4* Total Money UNDER Phillies/ Giants

Going UNDER the total. We got a pair of aces tonight. Don't laugh. Kikuchi has been great at home. 8 home starts, 1.12 ERA 205 BA Against and 1.10 WHIP. Not too shabby. DeGrom is in his Cy Young form. The guy has a 2.40 ERA in 7 road starts. But a 170 BA Against and .82 WHIP. He is absolutely dealing. Rangers on the year 53-29 to the Under. Great pitching, poor hitting. Looks like we will see that from both sides tonight. Back in April Texas took all 3 and all 3 went under with scores of 5-3, 3-1 and 4-0. I'm expecting a 3-1 type of game here tonight. 4* Total Money UNDER Rangers/ Angels

Taking the MARLINS. I like Brandon Woodruff. There was a time I was all in on Brewers winning the division when he and Corbin Burnes led the rotation. Fact is though, this guy hasn't thrown in the bigs since 2023. Do I expect him to come in here for 6/7 innings this afternoon after 10 starts in the minors? Heck now. 10 starts is a good sample. 7 at Triple A. But just 25 innings in those 7 starts. Marlins on a 11-3 run and winners of 15 of their last 21. Edwin Cabrera has been pretty darn his last few outings allowing 6 runs in his last 7 starts. That is good for a 1.48 ERA and 1.08 WHIP when  you give up 24 hits in 37 innings of work. Brewers not an offensive power as they have gone 50-36 to the Under this year. Marlins get the call here on Sunday. 4* Money Maker MIAMI MARLINS

Going OVER the total. I thought that after his post season last year, Buehler would head to the bullpen like John Smoltz and start a new career as a closer. I think I was right in that thinking because he has been brutal this season. Guy was on a HOF path. Terrible. I hate to see guys get hurt. We aren't going to over-think things. The guy has a 9.49 ERA in 7 road starts. Now. I don't always dwell on an ERA. Maybe he just gave up some untimely hits. Well - .341 BA Against 2.11  WHIP. You put 65 guys on base in 30 innings - rest assured some are coming around to score. Buehler ended his June with a 1-3 record in 5 starts, an 11.07 ERA allowing 27 runs on 28 hits in 20 innings. That is a .320 BA Against and 2.21 WHIP, and that is a horrible month. Nats have gone over in 7 straight. Mitchell Parker has better splits at home, but has struggled his last 12 starts. 3 runs in 10 of those 12 -- 4 or more in 6 of those 12. So giving up 3 runs isn't all that bad. It is bad when you are averaging a 4.1 innings of work. Then your bad bullpen comes into play. I think plays out to a 12 run game. Maybe the Nats drop their own double digits today. Either way, we go OVER the total. 4* Total Money OVER Boston/ Washington 

Taking the NEW YORK METS. So the Mets take 2 of 3 from the Brewers. I know they are still struggling with a 5-14 run or whatever they had been on. The Pirates sweep was as bad as it gets. Otherwise, they had been pitching pretty well even in their losses. They now get the Yankees who come in getting swept right out of first place by the Blue Jays. The pitching has been bad. 8-11-12-5 runs allowed. A lot of work for that bullpen. We can look at their last 2 games vs the A's also. A 12-5 win and 7-0 loss. Pitching problems. I get the little brothers with better pitching and a short price at home. I faded Stroman in his first start back (12-5 win vs Sevie). Will do it again today. 4* Money Maker NEW YORK METS

Taking the GIANTS. I will get to Robbie Ray in a second. This is really a fade of my guy B Fatty. I like Brandon Pfaadt, i do. But the kid has been a gas can this year. He has the wins sure, 8-5 in 17 starts, looks good enough. He also has allowed 97 hits in 85 innings. Just 72 Ks and 21 walks. If you aren't striking out a guy an inning in an era where strikeouts are basically encouraged, I am not all that interested in backing you most of the time. We can also look at his .280 BA Against and even a light hitting team will be able to generate some offense tonight.  Robbie Ray is a guy who, when healthy, is as good as most of the top arms you want to name in baseball. We can go look at his best years in 2017 in Arizona and 2021 in Toronto. Seems like every 4 years the guy is healthy and ready to deal. Great road splits also this year with a .187 BA Against, a decent 1.13 WHIP. Again, 32 hits in 49 innings over 8 starts, 2.55 ERA. He has given up more than 3 runs just once this season back in April in Philly. We will get 6+ innings 6 K's and turn it over to one of the top bullpens in MLB. My mom taught me if you don't have something nice to say, don't say it all. So we won't mention the failures of the Arizona bullpen. 4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

Taking the BLUE JAYS. A little annoyed at 4 rain outs yesterday. Still, we will take a winning day. A little even more annoyed that I didn't play the Jays this entire series. That is just dumb. Yanks are just not playing good ball right now and continue to be favored. 11 games over .500 and you are still down over 600 bucks if you have blindly bet 100 on them every game. Jays have won 7 of 10, 3 straight, and getting plus money. Sign me up. Berrios has been on a great run the last month plus. 5 June starts translate to a 1.97 ERA 205 BA Against a 1.00 WHIP. You take a fluke start in Philly giving up 7 runs and Berrios has given up exactly 1 earned run this month. Last 13 starts, including that 6 spot, 2 games more than 3 runs allowed.  4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS

4* RL Money SEATTLE MARINERS

4* RL Money TEXAS RANGERS

4* Money Maker MIAMI MARLINS

4* Money Maker KANSAS CITY ROYALS

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS

4* RL Money PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES 

Taking the ATHLETICS. Prior to Sevie giving up 7 earned to Detroit in his last start, he had giving up exactly 4 earned (5 total) runs in his other 6 road starts. His road numbers are great. We are getting a huge number because one team is the Yankees and plays in New York and the other team is playing in a minor league park and no city name! How the heck is Stroman laying this huge price? The cat hasn't pitched since April 11th and in that start we saw him for 2/3rds of an inning getting smacked with 4 hits and 5 earned runs allowed. All 3 of his starts were trash.  9.1 innings 12 hits 12 earned runs a .300 BA Against a WHIP of 2.04 -- Hello! His 3 minor league starts were brutal also. 10.1 innings 13 hits 9 runs a .317 BA Against and a 1.74 WHIP.. But don't worry Yankee fans, he will be lights out today. Get the outta here with that. Give me the A's all day. 4* Money Maker ATHLETICS 

4* Total Money OVER Marlins/ Arizona

4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS

4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY RAYS

Taking CLEVELAND here. Will back Bibee at home. Has been solid in his 6 home starts with a decent .229 BA Against a 1.11. WHIP. Nothing all that flashy as he is just 1-2 in those 6 starts with a 2.50 ERA. He goes his 6 innings not allowing too many runs. Gausman right now looks to be in his worse year since about 2017. A rough June giving up 17 runs in 20 innings of work and hitters raked for a .290 batting average against him. That isn't going to win you many games or keep your team close either. His home/ road splits are pretty even. He's going to give you 5+. That is who he is. I believe Cleveland will get to Gausman here and should take this one in the 5-2 range. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND GUARDIANS 

4* Total Money UNDER Rays/ Royals

4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TWINS

4* Money Maker SEATTLE MARINERS

4* RL Money ATLANTA BRAVES

4* Money Maker SEATTLE MARINERS

4* Total Money OVER Arizona/ White Sox

4* Total Money OVER Yanks/ Reds

4* Money Maker OKC THUNDER

4* Total Money OVER Nats/ Dodgers

4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS

4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS

4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS

4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES

4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY RAYS

4* Total Money UNDER Rangers/ Pirates

4* RL Money LA DODGERS

4* Money Maker TAMPAY BAY RAYS

4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS

4* Total Money UNDER Royals/ Rangers

4* Money Maker SAN DIEGO PADRES

4* Total Money OVER Padres/ Dodgers

4* Total Money UNDER Royals/ Rangers

4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS

4* RL Money ATLANTA BRAVES

4* RL Money NEW YORK YANKEES

4* RL Money SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

4* Total Money UNDER Mets/ Braves

4* Total Money UNDER Royals/ Rangers

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS

4* Total Money OVER Arizona/ Jays

4* Total Money UNDER Pirates/ Tigers

4* Money Maker SAN DIEGO PADRES

4* RL Money TEXAS RANGERS

4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS

4* Money Maker ATHLETICS

4* Money Maker BOSTON RED SOX --  An absolute terrible Saturday. Few more RL loses. I think that is 5 the last couple days. Uh. Bad run. Let's get back in the win column today. 

4* Money Maker MIAMI MARLINS

4* RL Money PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

4* Money Maker SEATTLE MARINERS

4* Total Money UNDER Rays/ Mets

4* Total Money OVER Rockies/ Braves

4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS

4* RL Money BALTIMORE ORIOLES 

4* RL Money PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES 

4* RL Money CHICAGO CUBS

4* RL Money LA DODGERS 

4* Money Maker SAN DIEGO PADRES

4* Total Money UNDER Thunder/ Pacers

4* Money Maker BOSTON RED SOX

4* Money Maker MIAMI MARLINS 

4* RL Money PITTSBURGH PIRATES

4* Money Maker KANSAS CITY ROYALS 

4* RL Money DETROIT TIGERS

4* RL Money NEW YORK METS

4* Total Money UNDER Thunder/ Pacers

4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY 

4* Total Money UNDER Braves/ Brewers

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS

4* Total Money OVER A's/ Angels

4* Total Money UNDER Yanks/ Royals 

4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY RAYS

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS

4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS

4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY RAYS

4* Total Money UNDER Cubs/ Phillies

4* RL Money CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS

4* Total Money UNDER Padres/ Brewers

4* Total Money UNDER Astros/ Cleveland

4* RL Money SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

4* Money Maker CHICAGO CUBS

Taking SAN FRAN. Giants have been beating San Diego the last 2 in a 4 game set. Pitching has not been a problem. You lose 1-0, 3-2 and win 6-5 and 3-2, the arms and bullpen are doing their job. Giants bullpen is one of, if not, tops in MLB for my money. Here we have the Braves coming cross country after a wild 11-10 loss, giving up 7 runs in the top of the 9th. I would say tough one, but Atlanta has dropped 4 in a row, 5 of 6, 8 of 10 and 11 of 14. Not exactly great baseball being played. Giants send their youngster Birdsong to the hill. Just his 4th start after some bullpen work. At plus money, and the way Atlanta has played, I am not running to back them. Schellenbach has been better at home than on the road this season giving up identical earned run (13) in 4 less starts (8/4).  We will close noting the Braves sit in 4th place 2 games behind the Nats and just 3 ahead of Miami. A 10-20 road mark will do that to you. And another reason why we will go with the home underdogs and their 19-11 winning record. 4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

4* Total Money OVER Pacers/ Thunder

Taking the CARDINALS. GAME 2  LIBERATORE MUST START for STL.. . One- If you watch Mid Day Money you know I went in for a hernia surgery on Wednesday. - I survived! - Two. A little sore in the core section. I would be lying if I said I can dive online into all these games Thursday. If I don't a have a pick in MLB over the next couple please understand I must have been having a really tough day recouping. I appreciate everyone who follows.  -- On to the game. Will fade my guy Ragans in this spot. You know we have a KC win future and a Ragans win total over. That I think is a loser. He is just 2-3 in 12 starts and is now making his first start since hitting the IL back on May 16. And honestly, he wasn't all that sharp before. Cards just the better team right now, and the much better pitcher on the hill. Libertore has been pretty good this season. His numbers at home, excellent.  A 1.69 ERA, and I am not a huge ERA fan. I like the WHIPs and BAAs. A .84 WHIP in 5 starts, awesome. A .198 Batting Average Against. Great. 27 runners in 32 innings and 27 Ks at home. Sign me up. Royals 38-22 to the Under this year. WE had the Under for yesterday and it got PPD. Kansas City with the least HRs in all of MLB. Bottom 5 in On Base and Slugging. I do not expect them to break out vs a kid who has improved every season and is entering prime age territory. 5* Best Best STL CARDINALS 

4* Total Money UNDER Padres/ Giants

4* Cold Cash FLORIDA PANTHERS

4* RL Money MINNESOTA TWINS

4* Total Money UNDER Royals/ Cards

4* Total Money UNDER Rangers/ Rays 

4* RL Money ATLANTA BRAVES

4* Total Money OVER Phillies/ Jays 

4* Money Maker CLEVELAND GUARDIANS