Taking TAMPA BAY. Will again back the Rays. I said it yesterday. Will say it again. Yankees having problems beating good teams. TB is a good team. With their ace on the hill. If this was Cole on the road vs a 4th starter? Pfft. How about Cole -280 on the road in Detroit. Cole -265 in Texas. Cole -180 in Tampa. Cole -188 at Toronto. Total disrespect for the Rays. 4 straight wins here in New York. And, Rays have won 20 of last 27 in the series. 5* Best Bet TAMPA BAY RAYS 

5* Best Bet DENVER NUGGETS 

Taking GONZAGA. Not going to overreact to Saturday games. Baylor rolls. Gonzaga survives OT. Look. First time Bears are a dog all season. We can say how we should take them. 2 losses on the year. One, to Kansas when they were just getting their legs back after their Covid break. And in the Big 12 tourney where they shot under 40 from the field and 20% from 3. You won't be any good teams like that. And then the Zags laying the shortest number for them this year since opening -4 vs Kansas and winning 102-90. I couldn't believe the way UCLA was keeping up with these guys and shooting nearly 60% for the game. That won't get you a title and undefeated season. This line has dropped a full point since coming out. I think the people are forgetting the entire season for the Zags. Size inside a big edge for Gonzaga. Bears will be firing away from 3 all night. Should be a wild one. That said, let's look at Gonzaga vs 'Big Time Conferences' -After taking care of UCLA, Zags now 14-1 vs 'power' conference teams last 15 games. Team and Win Margin - UCLA (3), USC (19), Creighton (18), Oklahoma (16), Virginia (22), Iowa (11), West Virginia (5), Auburn (23) and Kansas (12) this season. Oh, the shortened Covid Season? - Wins at Arizona, Washington and Texas A&M. Home win over North Carolina. Neutral win over Oregon, loss against Michigan. Let's add in a  71-65 loser to North Carolina in the 2017 National Championship. A game tied 65-65 with 1.40 remaining, Mark Few knows how to handle the pressure. 5* Best Bet GONZAGA BULLDOGS 

Taking BAYLOR. This is a tough one since we have been so high on Houston since their AAC Tourney run and Championship win. I have said how good on both sides of the ball these guys are. But, always a but, as we just saw in them giving away a monster lead the other night - the offense can go missing. I mean, hats off for shooting 32% from the field and still, nearly cover. We have seen 3 crisp games from them lately. Over Cincy in the AAC Championship, running roughshod over Cleveland State, and the Syracuse game. We saw the Orange shooting regression coming and cashed. We didn't see the Oregon State let's not play for 17 minutes coming from our side. Rutgers game I toss up to a clunker. You can't take off 3 minutes against Baylor. This team will be all over you. I said at the start of the NCAAs this Bears team is very good. They have unfinished business from last year to attend to. It seems like Gonzaga/Baylor was what we have been expecting since December. As I write this Tuesday morning we don't even know who the other 2 Final Four teams are. Cougars are 28-3. This is by far, the best team they have seen all season. We can talk about the seeds they faced to get here. Overall schedule is no contest. Baylor, battle tested. I am not sure how Houston responds to a huge step-up in opponent today. 5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS 

Taking GONZAGA. We had USC last game. But this team has been really playing over it's head lately. Let's start vs Kanas. We had USC there also. But, 11-18 on 3s, 32-56 FG good for 59%. Over Oregon. 10-17 3pts, 57%! Another 31-54 57% FG game. 10-12 from FT line. Are you kidding me? They are a 64% FT team on the season, 34% from deep. I said way back I would lay 15-20 with the Zags vs really anyone but Baylor, Michigan, Illinois. And I stand by that. USC has had a nice run, and a nice season. But Gonzaga has too many bodies, to much talent for the Trojans. Zags by double digits, probably by 13+. 5* Best Bet GONZAGA 

Taking ALABAMA. Time for CinderFella to exit the ball. UCLA has treated us very nicely this tournament. The clock is ready to strike 12, or 7pm on Sunday night. Tide will win this one going away. It would be great if it goes like our last 10* Money Bomb when Alabama rolled the Terps on Monday night. Although almost hitting 100 points might be out of the question, Tide pull away in the 2nd half. UCLA really got a nice break in Round 2 vs Abilene and not Texas. I can't see them keeping up today. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA 

Taking FLORIDA STATE. I thought that Michigan would get picked off last game. They are a talented bunch. But I am on the 'Noles. I thought these guys have been a solid unit all season. I do have a Final Four future on them. As they say, hedging is for gardeners. I thought they were good enough to get to start the tournament. My thoughts have not changed. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA STATE 

Taking ARKANSAS. It does hurt going against our squad. We have been on this bunch since their Summit League Conference tournament. We said to grab them as a dog to win it. And they delivered cash hand over fist. They have delivered again here in the NCAAs. But this bank account is about to run dry. Time to find a new source of income. One - rebounding. Oral can't compete vs the Hogs. These guys played in December. Rebounding edge 54-25. Oh, Oral did sport a nice 40-30 half-time lead on the road. 57-36 in the second half and Oral did pull out a cover. They have managed to pull off not 1, but 2 big upsets while being out rebounded 68-50. You can't keep shooting 11-35 and 10-30 from 3 and expect to win or lose by 3 every game. You will meet a team that will run you out of the building. Especially when your 2 top guys have played every minute of your 2 games, 1 being an OT game. Shots will be short - Arkansas rebounds, off to the races. Razorbacks by 20. After beating SEC buddy Florida, the 2 seed Buckeyes, and, holding a 10pt road lead over them, not a chance that Arkansas takes this team lightly. 8* Sure Shot ARKANSAS

Taking BAYLOR. Again all in on these guys. What have we seen out of Nova. A win over Winthrop that was tight. And them throttling North Texas. Bears by double digits and it won't be close. 10* Money Bomb BAYLOR BEARS 

5* Best Bet MEMPHIS 

 Taking ALABAMA. Maybe this is the too good to be true, low hanging fruit line. I just think Bama is better. Probably 7-10 points better. This team is 21-6, lost to 1 bad team in Stanford early in the year. Top dogs in the SEC. And the Terps lost to Penn State twice! 9th in the Big 10. If I go down, I'll go down. But I would be shocked if the Tide don't pull away by double digits here. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA

Taking FLORIDA STATE. So maybe a bit biased since I do have a FSU Final Four future. I do like Colorado. An easy Best Bet win to start Saturday over the Hoyas. A step up here vs FSU though. I thought these guys were the best team in the ACC. As nice of a season Buffs have had, I think the Noles are at least 5 points better today. 8* Sure Shot FLORIDA STATE

Taking LSU. So these guys hurt us the other day, but we will dust off a loss and move on. Michigan will feel the loss of Livers here. As I said before, LSU a bit of up and down team. While Wolverines have been steady the entire season. When you're missing a guy like this though, when the talent level rises each additional game, that loss is tough to overcome. For as bad as LSU started, you have to be impressed with the way the still put up the points they did. I didn't think Michigan would make it to the Final Four. This is their first challenge. Tigers can win this one outright. Will sprinkle some ML also on this one. 5* Best Bet LSU 

Taking OREGON. Give me the Ducks here. I think is too many points for Iowa to give. Granted, these guys can score. But Oregon has been a solid team all year. We see a few PAC 12 teams showing up in the second round. I think the conference gets a bad knock because these guys have some wins under their belts. We saw Ohio State go down, and as I write this my Illini future is ready to be used as toilet paper as they trail Loy Chi by 9 with 3 to go. Inflated line to me for some odd reason. 5* Best Bet OREGON

Taking HOUSTON. Now. I do love some Rutgers. It's my home state. This team is a pretty decent squad. But, always a but, talent level not ready for a Sweet 16 run. We have Michigan State, the Boilermakers, and Ohio State all take dives early this tournament. I was wrong on Wiscy. Thought that NC would flip that final score on them. Not going to be wrong here. Rutgers at home in the RAC. A different game. They gave the Illini and Michigan some tough games. But this Cougar team is really rolling right now. Toss out grinders vs Memphis and we are staring at 20 and 30pt wins. This defense is humming. The offense is rolling. If Houston doesn't win by 12, I would be shocked. 8* Sure Shot HOUSTON COUGARS 

Taking TEXAS TECH. We liked this defense and team most of the season. Not going to get off them here. Big 12 better at the top than SEC. A couple bottom feeders in each. But give me the overall body of work here on both teams. And I am all over the Red Raiders. 5* Best Bet TEXAS TECH

Taking BAYLOR. Absolutely no way that Wiscy shoots 50% from 3 or 51% from the field the entire game. Not happening. Baylor is tough team. Lots of length. Better D than Carolina. I didn't think Wiscy should have even made the tourney. We have seen Ohio State go down. Purdue losing in OT. Michigan State bounced. Baylor should run these guys out of the state today. 10* Money Bomb BAYLOR BEARS

5* Best Bet OHIO

Taking the BONNIES. Not buying LSU. Don't be fooled by a last second loss. This team is soft and gives up points. Zero respect for the A10 here. Bonnies crash the glass and can rebound. They play solid defense. Give me the A10 Champs. 10* Money Bomb ST BONAVENTURE 

Taking COLORADO. Everyone loving the Hoyas. And why not. Big East Champs. Upsets galore. Killed us by blowing out Creighton. But I think reality strikes. No glass slipper for CinderFella here. Ewing totally overachieving right now. Team picked last for Big East. And here we are - 13-12 Conference Champs. I think PAC 12 was a little under-rated this year. Give me the Buffs. 5* Best Bet COLORADO BUFFALOS

8* Sure Shot LOYOLA CHICAGO 

5* Best Bet APPALACHIAN ST

5* Best Bet WESTERN KENTUCKY

Taking NORTH CAROLINA. Think people are under valuing this Tarheels team. Don't be fooled by the losses. Texas, Iowa, Florida State, Virginia. These are good teams. Georgia Tech has proven to be a pretty decent team also. The Marquette loss was sandwiched between a win over FSU and Duke. NC will crash the boards and should be able to extend to a double digit lead early. ND in off a game, really a miracle win. Wake, if they were any decent, would have found a way to win that one. No chance they are shooting 50+ % from the floor tonight vs the Tarheels. NC shot terribly when they beat the Irish in their lone meeting. If you are winning shooting 35% from the field, you will will going away when you get over 40%. Inside game they key here. 8* Sure Shot NORTH CAROLINA 

5* Best Bet IONA

5* Best Bet CLEMSON TIGERS

5* Best Bet CS NORTHRIDGE 

Taking TENNESSEE. Florida absolutely ambushed these guys back in January, 75-49. Vols couldn't find water if they dropped basketballs off a boat in that game. 29% FG, 3 of 18 from 3 good for 17%. 48% from the charity stripe. Just an awful performance. Now the Gators are in off a total heartbreaker losing on a last second layup at home to Missouri. Tennessee also in off a road loss. But time to get right on your home court. Payback time. 8* Sure Shot TENNESSE VOLUNTEERS. 

5* Best Bet HOFSTRA 

5* Best Bet OHIO ST

5* Best Bet SOUTHERN UTAH

5* Best Bet EAST TENN ST

5* Best Bet ARLINGTON 

5* Best Bet SOUTH ALABAMA

4* Money Maker GARDNER WEBB

4* Money Maker NICHOLLS 

Taking the CHIEFS. We had KC last year in the Super Bowl, will take them again here - on the ML. I really have no problem laying -3 -115, but something tells me the refs will be looking at Brady like he signs their checks. Especially as a home dog. Look. I faded both of these guys in Championship Sunday. That being said, I have no problem taking the favorite today. Brady Brady Brady. That is all anyone is talking about. Oh, will he retire if he wins. Guy is the greatest ever. If you had doubts, this season should all but seal that thinking up. Guy is unbelievable. KC though. I dunno. Reigning champs. They have basically played down to their opponents the last 2 months of the season before beating up on the Bills. I guess they can 'flip the switch' and turn it on when needed. We saw last year in this game there is absolutely zero quit in this team. As well as the TB defense has played, I thought SF had as good or better defense. And we saw how that worked out. I also think we have a HC edge, Andy Reid. Guy finally got credit when he won it all But he has been more than solid his career. Let's not forget how great he is off with extra rest and prep time. Guy is cashing over 80%. No starstruck Mahomes looking at Brady. He has faced him in AFC Championship Game. No intimidation factor. The defenses will get a little chippy here. I won't be shocked at an under. I think the game plays out slow to start before things open up. Special Teams of KC i think is a difference maker.. If you are in the NY/NJ/PA region, I will be at the Fan Cave at Bally's Wild West Atlantic City. Come by for a drink or bite to eat. Grab a shirt and make some money. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the BILLS. No Mahomes. Or a concussion Mahomes. Don't think it makes a difference. We will buy more Buffalo if we somehow start getting some points here. But as I said last week taking the Bills, this team is good. Underrated defense. A more than solid offense. A quality HC. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the PACKERS. Maybe this line comes down a bit more. Everyone loving the Brady story. He got his payback over the Saints last week. Now it is time for Rodgers to get his. Bad game in Tampa. I don't see Rodgers throwing 3 INTs this afternoon. Not happening. GB can run the ball. And we know they can pass it. The defense can get after Brady a bit. Not worried about Tom in this weather. But, it is Green Bay late January and Tampa is the road team. Everything went right last week in the New Orleans dome. Rodgers is the MVP this season. He shows it here. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking NEW ORLEANS. I didn't like Tampa last week, and not liking them here. I don't see the revenge angle here. 34-23 in Week 1. 38-3 Week 9. Brady has had some problems to say the least vs New Orleans. 2 TD in Week 1 2 INTs. 3 INTs 0 TDs in Week 9. The Saints defense is the real deal. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the BILLS. Everyone on the Ravens. And yes, they have been playing very well. But this Buffalo team is awfully good. The money poured in on Baltimore early, then shot up late here on the Bills Mafia. This defense is good. The offense is as good or better. This QB can run. This isn't one QB making a difference with his legs. Give me Bills by at least a touchdown. 10* Money Bomb BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the PACKERS. Already on the Under 46.5 here, we go with the home team. Rams in the cold. I dunno. Not buying Goff, who has a 5TD 7INTs when the weather turns chilly. Chilly thumb might act up a bit. Rodgers having an epic season and looks like he is going to try to close out an MVP Season with a Super Bowl Trophy.  Edge defense to Rams for sure, but GB offense should be able to cover this number. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS

Taking ALABAMA. So I lost with both of these guys on Friday. I am still not sold on Ohio State defense. I don't think anything can slow down the Tide but themselves. If you watched Alabama play at all this year, you can sit there and think they aren't 2 TDs better than any time? So they didn't run it up vs ND. To me, it seemed like they were going through the motions most of the time. Now- I didn't think OSU would lay the wood to Clemson. I thought they had something to prove in their own right. Maybe the loss of that offensive coach really set them back. Can't dwell on it - time to move on. OSU with a huge chip on their shoulder, probably the number 11. That being said, I still don't think the should be in the playoffs. The win, I will swallow a huge bitter pill. But this Tide team is just too much on offense. The total is in the mid-70s for a reason. I am just shocked this game isn't double digits. I mean, 22-10 grinder vs Northwestern. 42-35 Indiana. 49-27 Rutgers. 38-25 Penn State. PSU was 0-5 before it ran off a bunch of wins over 2 win teams. And lastly, let's not forget that big hit Fields took. He'll be feeling that a day later for sure. Eye test people. Think of what you have seen out of this Alabama team all year. I'd lay 10 and feel extra comfortable. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA 

Taking the TITANS. I am just not sold on the Ravens this season. Tennessee can control things with the run game. The QB can, as we saw late Sunday, make key plays. The defense, ok. - leaves a lot to be desired. But getting points at home, we will ride the home dog. I get it. Revenge Game for Baltimore. Double revenge in fact. They lost last year's playoff game 28-12. Then, thinking payback, Tennessee got them again 30-24. Everyone saying NO WAY Titans win again over Harbaugh's guy. Outright Dog 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the BILLS. I think these guys can give the Chiefs a run. The offense is just absolutely rolling right now. Dome team outside, in Buffalo in January. What can possibly go wrong? Under-rated defense. An MVP in the making at QB. Coach of the Year most likely. I don't think Indy keeps up. 8* Sure Shot BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking CAROLINA. I get a nice live dog QB at home this afternoon. Saints already clinched the South. Scoreboard watching GB and Seattle. Seattle and Saints both looking for a GB trip up to get home field. Possible for GB to lose at Chicago. Yes, any given Sunday is the saying I believe. Extra rest for visitors off that Minny beatdown on Christmas Day. New HC will demand a full 60 minutes from his guys. And depending how things go, NO might be pulling guys for a little breather in the 2nd half. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the NINERS. Oh these guys buried me last Saturday vs Arizona. Here I think they are mailing it in, and they come out full of piss and vinegar. Safe to say, they are not dead on the year. Last game and I am sure they will bring it. Especially against Seattle. And they get Seattle off a tough game vs the Rams. Division clinched for Seattle. This is also a spot depending on other games we can see the Seahawks pull some guys. I think SF controls this game from the opening kickoff. 5* Best Bet SF 49ers 

Taking the BROWNS. Going  big with a SURE SHOT play here. Little brother vs Big brother and if they could have beat the pathetic Jets last week. I like this HC. You know I am sitting on COY futures even though I think the guy up in Buffalo has it in the bag now. What I do think we see is Pitt pull some guys in the second half for sure. I see 10s starting to pop up here. That would mean we get a full game of back-ups. Cleveland wins, and they are in the Playoffs. We know they can run the ball. They will have WRs back. And Pitt, again, they HAVE to rest guys. Their bye week was way back in Week 4. I can't see them going all game - not happening. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking A&M. I thought this team should have made the Playoff over Ohio State. After OSU gets trucked by Clemson and Bama wins by 30 over ND, you will hear that losing to good teams isn't bad. Except when you are 1 loss A&M. NC lost a bunch of offense to bowl opt-outs. 2 thousand yard rushers 28 TDs, Out. Leading receiver, 1000 yards 8 TDs Out. I'm all for next guy up. But next RB up has 121 yards on 80 rushes - oh its the QB. Yikes. The TAM comments alone make me think they will try to run it up. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS A&M

Taking CLEMSON. Not a chance that Ohio State slows down the Tigers. You should know by now that I don't even think OSU belongs in this game, or even sniffing the playoffs. Clemson / Alabama Championship game awaits. Buckeyes defense will have zero answers tonight. 5* Best Bet CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking ALABAMA. Part of me wanted Ohio State here so we can all make fun of the Big 10 when the Tide put up 60+ on them and beat them by 45. But, we get another laugher as Notre Dame gets the 4 spot based on beating a team they just got dominated by with a backup QB. Irish do not have the horses to run with Alabama. I lost with Bama in the SEC Championship, but I think that is really a blessing. Now the Tide have been in a close game. They won't call the dogs off when they get up as Florida was fighting back the entire time. Is ND keeping Alabama under 50? Blowout. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking TULSA. Hey Hey. Armed Forces Bowl -Look at us. We play in the SEC. Oh nice. Yeah. Come to our bowl. Who cares you are 3-7. Your coach is a great quote with a great named, 'Air Raid' offense. Tulsa all day for me. Only losses on the year. Opening game at Oklahoma State 16-7 and a FG loss in AAC Championship Game to Cincy. Both those teams would be favorites over this slop of a team from Starksville. Nothing better than your smaller brother beating up big brother. 8* Sure Shot TULSA 

8* Sure Shot FLORIDA ST

Taking the RAMS. Seattle with no answers for LA. Rams with straight up wins in 6 of the last 7 and the loss was 30-29, wide right with 15 seconds left after Greg The Leg hit his first 3 FGs of the game. Besides that. We have the better team. No question in my mind. Defense a clear edge. Rams know they just need to win these last 2 games. Well, would have been nice if they took care of the winless Jets last week for us. Heck. I can't tell you what I lost live betting them when they went to even money to win after cutting lead to 23-10. Brutal. Anyway. So - in off a horrible loss. A game they didn't show up for in the first half. They take care of business here like they always do. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS 

Taking ARIZONA. We cashed the Cowboys ML last week over SF. It's over. 10 months ago, you had a lead in the Super Bowl. Now, you are playing out the string and guaranteed last place in the NFC West. Can't practice or play games in your own area. Zero motivation now as Niners have dropped 3 straight. Coach said they will be home with their families for the holidays. Last I checked Christmas Eve/Christmas is Thursday/Friday. This is a Saturday afternoon game. Yeah. These guys will be roaring to go. Arizona still fighting for their playoff lives. Arizona played these guys tough when SF was at the top of their game. Now they are down. Home team blowout. 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking HAWAII. Fading away Houston here. In fact, lets sprinkle some +300 ML here on the Rainbows. Cougars with at least 15-20 guys not suiting up here. 3 of them, your sack leader, tackle leader and a pretty explosive WR, helps our dogs cause. I think the lack of games for Houston, they have played once since mid-November hurts them. They have had some extended bouts of Covid Cancels. I'm grabbing the Rainbows and pinning faith on their backfield to land some haymakers against a weakened defense. 5* Best Bet HAWAII 

Taking BYU. Only loss that blemish at Coastal. Travel mid week to face another undefeated team in a crazy season. No shine of the luster in my eyes. Another big travel here down to Boca. But BYU is a program that will be proud to go 11-1 when some teams played 5 games. Defense the big edge here for me. UCF is a pretty good offensive unit. But the defense won't be able to slow down the road team. 8* Sure Shot BYU 

Laying it with APP STATE. Every loss on the season for them, well, that team was playing in conference championship game the other day. North Texas gives up 40ppg. App allows less than 20. In 2017 NT lost its bowl game 50-30 to Troy, 2018 52-13 to Utah State. 2019- No Bowl game. Not because they were banned for giving up 50 in back to back losses, no, they were 4-8. Give me App State to run Mean Green out of the South Carolina. 5* Best Bet APPALACHIAN STATE 

Taking ALABAMA. It would be great to cash my Gator SEC Future and the my Trask Heisman. But let's be honest here. This Bama team is steam-rolling people. Florida has slowed some bad SEC teams. They will have zero answers tonight. Alabama will put up 50 because that is what it does. I don't think Gators keep it within 20. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA - this line has moved to 17.. I would lay 20. 

Taking STANFORD. So, Stanford final game of the year. And we have UCLA in off that USC disaster. Safe to say that Bruins will be flatter than a pancake for this one. Leading the entire game until the final 16 seconds. Even your QB says it hurts. Stanford 10-2 ATS vs UCLA last 12. 5* Best Bet STANFORD 

Going OVER the total. Clemson at 7.5, 8 ok. 10+, eh. I will ride the OVER here. I think Tigers put up 40+ and ND has enough offense to put up 20+. We saw 87 with a backup QB in for Clemson. I think we get at least 70 with a guy who is suppose to go #1 in the NFL Draft. So back to the Irish - the offense has cracked 40+ 6 times this season. The defense has stymied lesser teams. Again, we saw Clemson get to 40 in a ND win. They can't stop a good offense. Maybe they slow it down a bit. I still see 30+ from the Tigers. We see the same from Clemson. What I can't see, is either team not get to 30. 5* Best Bet OVER Tigers/ Irish 

Taking A&M. Real simple thinking for me here. Aggies on the outside looking in sitting at #4. We know that at least 1 team ahead of them will be taking a loss. Their lone L is to #1 Alabama. This is the game they need to drop a 40+ spot for some extra style points. No way they can let the Vols come anywhere near them. Aggies defense should keep Tennessee under 10 points. If this game isn't 40-6 heading into the 4th quarter, I would really be shocked. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS A&M 

Taking the BROWNS. So yeah. Probably a little bias from me sitting on Stefanski COY tickets that will net be a few thousand and a Baker Comeback POY that will put another nickel in my pocket. That being said, there is a reason I made those bets! Stefanski has changed this team around. They are good! The OL is solid. The defense is solid. The QB doesn't have to force things to happen and make mistakes. He has a pair of RBs that can carry the team all game if need be. Now the Ravens. So I am writing this Monday before they even face Dallas. But as I take Dallas Tuesday I say - what have the Ravens looked like lately? The offense looks average. I think the league has caught up to Lamar. Much like when the offense was run in SF by Kap, the OC has yet to make adjustments. We had Cleveland in the first meeting and we were swamped. Look for some payback Let's go all the way to Romeo Crennal and 2007 for a 10 win season. Sitting at 9-3, playoffs still not locked in place. What better way to reach double digits and bury a division rival. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE

5* Best Bet UCLA

Taking the CHIEFS. I'll lay anything less than 17 here. Denver, no matter who is behind center, has trouble getting into the end zone. KC cruised to an early lead and coasted to a win vs Tampa last week. Division game. Rivalry. Statement game to let the league know the best team still resided in the AFC West. 2 road games up next. Give the fans a nice 44-10 win. 5* Best  Bet KC CHIEFS 

Taking the RAMS. What is going on with Arizona? No home field edge here. Take away that Hail-Mary vs the Bills and you have 4 straight home losses. Now 2 straight losses, 17ppg. Couldn't score in NE. Sitting at 6-5 with SF on their heels at 5-6. 7-3 Rams in off loss to said Niners. But, Rams with 6 straight wins over Arizona, 5-0-1 ATS. Rams with McVay. 21-10 SU, 19-12 ATS on the road, plus 14-7 SU 13-8 ATS vs division. 4 TO's doomed LAR last week. I expect a crisp offense this afternoon. And defensively for us, we have the 2 best guys on the field. On the line with Donald, in the secondary with Ramsey. 10* Money Bomb LA RAMS 

Taking the PACKERS. This should be an easy double digit win. We have GB in off OT loss to Colts. Bad enough to lose on a fumble to start the OT. But blowing a double digit lead is also bad. Full focus A-Aron tonight in Prime Time. Packers the #3 scoring offense while Bears can't score 16ppg. I don't care who is QBing tonight, it won't matter for Chicago. 5-5 with 5 straight losses. They could be 0-10! Final possession games vs Carolina and Giants. Rallied from double digit deficits against the Lions and Falcons. And the Tampa Bay Thursday night game. This team is an absolute fraud. Saints at 8-2. Rams and Seattle at 7-3. Tampa at 7-4, Arizona 6-4. GB needs to continue winning for playoff implications. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the BILLS. Chargers a nice story with their rookie QB. But their HC has got to go. Why I really like this game. A couple reason. Right off the bat, early start on East Coast. Poor HC who makes terrible in game adjusts. Weather could be a factor. LA, Buffalo. Totally different elements end of November. Buffalo has a pretty good defense. The offense is pretty darn good too. I can't believe we are getting this at less than a touchdown. Maybe its too good to be true. We will rate it a best bet instead of money bomb, but in the end, we are still collecting. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS 

So we like the OVER - I don't think Lane Kiffin will be taking his foot off the gas in this game. Ole Miss has put up 54+59 their last 2 games. They also had 42-48 point back to backs in a win at Kentucky and loss vs Alabama. We know they can score. The Air Raid of the Rebels hasn't taken off much. But there is signs of life showing - after 5 straight losses, they beat Vandy, and nearly picked off Georgia losing 31-24. I think this will be a wild Egg Bowl. 8* Sure Shot OVER Miss St/ Miss

Taking the CHIEFS. I will be honest. I was thinking, yeah, I'll grab the Raiders here as a nice home dog. But then reality smacked me in my giant head. Hello. Andy Reid off bye week where he is 25-6 SU and 21-10 ATS. Not too shabby. Let's add a tidy 17-1 SU 15-3 ATS run when Andy has Mahomes under center. Add a dash of revenge from a 40-32 home loss as the icing on this winning ticket. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFS

Taking OREGON. Will lay the big number here. Not scared of UCLA. Yeah, nice little game last week beating up on Cal. But I will take that one with a grain of salt. I think Ducks roll here. Oregon is -5 in turnovers and still 2-0 on the year. They haven't played a crisp game yet and are still averaging nearly 40ppg. Short rest for UCLA who again, beat Cal early on Sunday. 10* Money Bomb OREGON DUCKS   

Taking FLORIDA. Had these guys last week, will do it again and look for another huge offensive output. And why not. Yes we are in on Trask Heisman futures. You know that already from the other games we backed the Gators. You know we are Florida to win the SEC in our futures. Look. Vandy is not sniffing a win here short of something catastrophic occurring. Trask will throw 6 TDs by half time. This total is 68 for a reason - Gators will be approaching 60 themselves. No time to let up in this season. The team knows it. The coach and QB know it. Every game matters. Every stat matters. If you don't think the HC QB and this team knows it has the Heisman leader right now, you are crazy. No taking the foot off the pedal for Florida. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking BALTIMORE here. We had the Ravens last week, and will ride them again here on the road. Ravens crushed a better NE team last year 37-20. We saw how bad the Patriots looked on MNF. Now a short week to face an always tough Baltimore team. Forget it. Cam. Holy cow. If I hear one thing about how he is some kind of the next Kap when he isn't on a NFL roster next season. As much as 25-5 last 30 games with Lamar looks, 3-13 as a team when Cam is your QB is not a good look. 2 TDs 7 INTs on the year, he does have 8 rushing TDs to his credit. Patriots offense with the most turnovers in the league. That isn't a good club. It isn't going to flip a switch sitting at 3-5 and reel of a bunch of wins. The defense is showing its lack of depth with the opt outs. The offense is showing that there are not any kind of playmakers. Yeah. It is a big number. And we will hear all about The Hoodie being an underdog. I don't even think we have to worry about the back door. Ravens still looking up at undefeated Steelers and KC looms. They cannot lose a game if they want to make up any ground and wish to host a home playoff game. 8* Sure Shot BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the RAMS. Off a bye week, Seattle coming back west after a loss. Will happily take LA in this spot. McVay clearly knows how to play the Seahawks. Last year. 28-12 Win. 30-29 should have been a win. 2018 36-31 33-31 Win Win. 42-7 Win in 2017. You getting the sense of a trend going on here. Rams can rush the passer with a much better defense right now than Seattle. 10* Money Bomb LA RAMS 

Taking the BROWNS. Off bye. Rested. Better team. Better defense. Better coach. The coach is the difference maker here. Not your same old Cleveland club. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS

Taking ARIZONA. Grabbing these guys off their bye week. Look. This is really just fading Tua. I had Miami last week. And somehow, we pulled out a huge win. And I say somehow - because, hello - Tua led Miami to a whopping 145 yards of offense. 12-22 93 through the air. 4  turnovers will make you look good. Not getting that vs this bunch. Miami was laying in wait for the Rams to come east. Now Arizona will return the favor. 3 straight wins for them by 17ppg. If the Dolphins defense forces 2+ turnovers, well, hats off to them. I just don't see that being the case. 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the FALCONS. Uh. These guys kill me every year. Another NFC South future ticket down the drain. Another Matt Ryan MVP ticket to be used as kindling to a fire. On the bright side, no more Dan Quinn. Woo Hoo. Atlanta should be 3-0 under Morris except for that stupid final play vs the Lions. Denver comes in as a nice win for last week, albeit that was vs the Chargers and Anthony Lynn another HC who costs backers thousands. Falcons playing better ball right now. 27 Turnovers for Lock in 10 games is probably a favorable thing for the Atlanta defense. I mean, can't hurt when you are given 2 turnovers at some point during the game. 15 turnovers for Denver on the season - and that my friends is why I am calling for a double digit win here by the home team. 8* Sure Shot ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the RAVENS. Lost with these guys last week, and lost fading the Colts and taking the Lions last week. Will continue down that road. One. Lamar and the Ravens 23-5 good for a 82% since he took over under center. I'll take a shot on several things with an 82% return rate. We are off a loss. We are off 4 turnovers. We are off rushing for over 225 yards. We are not sold on Phillip Rivers finding the fountain of youth the last 2 weeks with 6TDs 1 int. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking MICHIGAN. We liked these guys over Minny when everyone loved the Gophers - we will like them today when people will want to back the small home dogs. Look. Harbaugh can't beat good teams. Ohio States Michigan States Penn States. Indiana is not a team like that. Just like Minny isn't. And oh. How about that Indiana win last week. We had the Hoosiers. But that was really me thinking that Rutgers wasn't going to someone muster 7 turnovers from another Big 10 team. And, we probably should have grabbed Sparty based on the horrible game vs Rutgers. Total overreaction. And that is what we see here. Oh, Michigan is bad. Indiana 2-0, beat Penn State. We had the Hoosiers that game also. Were totally outplayed there. Nearly blew a cover last week. I think Indiana is a little full of themselves right now thinking they will catch the Wolverines licking their wounds. I think the total opposite. Talent level not close. The vultures might be circling above the HC. I expect a big game from Michigan. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking the RAIDERS. Easy to say oh yeah Tampa. Tom Brady is the GOAT. They reeled off 38 straight vs Rodgers and the Packers. Ho-hum. Extra rest off a game where their HOF QB didn't know what down it was an embarrassed on national TV. Now they fly cross country to a team off their bye week. A team that just held a pretty good KC to 8 points after half-time. A team that has a RB that will run right at your defensive weak spot. Raiders not a bad bunch. Went on the road an beat a decent Carolina team. Beat the Saints here. Lost a tough one to the Bills turning the ball over 4 times. Beat the Chiefs on the road as double digit dogs. Lost to NE after that MNF Saints win. Let's not sell them short. Won't be shocked if we steal this one outright. 5* Best Bet LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 

Going OVER the total. Texans defense is like a wet bag trying to hold a brick. Absolutely pathetic. Cost us last week in these write ups. I can't see them slowing down an angry A-Aron. Rodgers hurt us also as we had the Over against Tampa. Well. Looked good early as it was 10-0 then Rodgers turns into INT machine and its 38-10 and we can't get any garbage scoring. Off that kind of game, I am all in on the Pack and Rodgers jumping out fast. Already on the first half over will also be on the full game. 8* Sure Shot OVER Packers/ Titans 

Taking DALLAS. I will never say 'bad pick' when I have a team +3 and it goes to -1. No way. But, Hello 2020. Plenty of time we have been ahead of lines and totals only to be beat. It is a tough grind. I can't believe how poorly things played out Monday night. But there is zero shot that I think that Washington is a good team. I do like their defense though. We are also on the UNDER in this game. And why not. Redskins now with 5 straight games of 20 or less points. I have faith in Andy. The playmakers are there for him to make plays. Dallas isn't laying anything this afternoon. Any early number of them laying is long gone. That's fine. Washington has been down double digits in EVERY game this season. Dallas 15-4 ATS last 19 in division games. I'll tell you this. Dallas loses here, there should be a HC change coming. There is way too much talent here going to waste even before Dak was injured. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking INDIANA. Everyone going to say, oh, Penn State just has to win by a touchdown. Easy money. And yeah. PSU with some nice offensive talent. But the questions are on defense where they have just 4 returning starters. Hoosiers a bit better shape on that side of the ball. A lot of hype on Indiana as I see some 'top 25' mentions which I hate since that means the cat will be out of the bag soon enough if things go well. This is a pretty good team. They have held spring practices, PSU had none. Home dog gets it done. 5* Best Bet INDIANA HOOSIERS 

Taking IOWA STATE. Team ranked 6 giving the ole 3.5 - Now, you know that normally when I see that 3.5 or 7.5 I am riding the fave. But in this case, I am going against my usual thinking. Because 1, I don't believe one iota that the OkSt is a Top 10 team. The defense is alright. But really. They needed a huge 13-0 4th quarter not to lose outright at home to Tulsa. I remember, I was laying 24 with them! They were out yarded. 14pt win at West Virginia (I was on WVa). Another phantom win and cover as they got a fumble return TD and scored with a little over a minute left to open things up. Time for a little revenge as the Cyclones lost at home as 11pt faves to Cowboys. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE 

Taking TCU. Not high on Oklahoma at all this season. Yet oddsmakers still laying the wood with these guys thinking Baker, Murray and Hurts are behind center. Sooners 2-2 coming off that Texas win (we had the Longhorns). They need 4 OTs to pull that off or they would be sitting at 1-3 season. Give me some home dog love here. Plus +195 ML will get some action. Last year was 28-24 Sooners as 18pt faves. Patterson 14-4 ATS at home with rest. Sign me up. 5* Best Bet TCU

Taking the COWBOYS. Ok. No Dak. I get it- huge loss. Guy has been throwing for 400 yards and 4 TDs a game. But, let's be honest. The turnovers have killed them early in games. The defense is like a wet paper bag trying to hold 20 tuna cans. Not going to hold. Give me some Andy Dalton. Do people forget this guy took Cincy to the playoffs? Have you see the offensive playmakers on this Dallas roster? The WR corp is possibly the best in the league. And, they RB is, I dunno, pretty good in his own right. Home dogs. I'll take the points and grab the ML. This team will be 100% improved based on the QB change. Why? Cause they will feed Zeke like a fat guy at a buffet. Then Andy will pick apart an Arizona defense playing their 3rd straight road game. Make no mistake people. The Cowboys offense isn't the NY Jets, Panthers or Washington Redskins. And it isn't the Niners or Lions either. And Dalton is probably a lot less likely to toss INTs then Dak.  No way you can lay points with Arizona in this spot. Murray may run all over the place. But the Cowboys are winning this one outright. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS

Taking the CHIEFS. I am high on the Bills. We had the over on Tuesday, but all in all, I do like the club. Like the HC. Like the defense. Like the run game. QB a bit of a question mark. It shows at time. But look. How the heck are we getting in front of Andy Reid here. This is like a bye week for him. Extra rest for his guys - Extra prep. Off a loss on top of that where they played poorly. And the Bills. Ok, at home. Short week after a Tuesday game. I have taken my fair share of home dogs this season. We can run down those losers if we really wanted to. Not doing it. Give me the reigning champs, angry, with extra prep + rest. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS 

5* Total Money OVER Browns/ Pitt

Taking ALABAMA. Covid for Nick. Ok. I still have Sark on the sidelines. Who has more to prove than this guy? Hot shot OC. HC in Washington. Back to USC. Drinks way out of job. Gets gig in Bama. Leaves for NFL. Comes back to college. Look. It's a Wednesday night. Who knows where Nick will be on Saturday night. What I do know is that the defense will be up ready to eat glass after giving up 48 last week. Georgia defense a tough one to crack. But my money is on the Tide and their NFL ready skill position players. I would have been on this game at 6/6.5/7. I will be on it at 3.5/4. I just can't see this Georgia team putting up enough points to pull this thing out. And the line is short enough for me to think the defense will close any back door. Who has given the Tide hard times over the years? Cam. Tebow. Burrow. DeShaun and Trevor. Johnny Manziel. I'm not trying to knock Steson, but I can't put him in that kind of category. Bama defense with a bruised ego. Home game. Sark looking to show he can coach and maybe find another HC gig. Plus Saban doing whatever. Tide by 10. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking TENNESSEE. Grabbing the Vols here. And what am I missing? Is this the low hanging fruit game and I am not seeing the obvious? They won a tough one on the road against South Carolina. They handled MizzU 35-12, which looks better now as LSU was a 14pt road fave and lost 45-41. And led Georgia 21-17 at the half on the road. Kentucky defense is not near the Georgia defense. So - Wildcats in off a 24-2 win where they put 157 yards, allowed zero points defensively and got 6 INTs. Can you get past Kentucky was 4-14 on 3rd down and averaged about 3 yards a play? Vols 33-2 SU 26-9 ATS in this series and 7-1 ATS last 8. Tennessee off that loss - well. Let's go Pruitt. Bama on deck. If you have any hope of being over .500 you need to win this by double digits. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS 

Taking KANSAS STATE. Oh, you think we are in let-down mode? Not a chance. The real let down will be coming from the Red Raiders. What is left in their tank? You have a 15pt lead with 3+ minutes to go. You give that up, and lose in OT - vs a hated rival. Puh-Leaze. Nowhere to go but down as they hit the road. KST is 7-2 ATS last 9 in the series and have won the last 4 outright. 8* Sure Shot KANSAS STATE 

4* Total Money UNDER NC/BC

Taking the COWBOYS. Going to sprinkle some ML in on these guys also. We have seen that both of these teams can score. And both can give up some points. We are already on the over. Something just tells me Dallas really shows up this week. I mean, Ok. Wilson with 9 TDs in his 2 games. But, Seahawks have been outgained (970 yards) in their two games. Dak and Dallas overcame multiple 15 point holes. Seattle is 3-7 ATS last 10 and that was with a great home-field edge. Dallas as a fave, eh, I'm leery. As a dog, I will bite - just like this live dog this afternoon. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. We have the Hoodie vs Gruden. No contest. We cashed Vegas on MNF while riding the Over in our free pick video Sunday. Nice emotional win for the Raiders in their new stadium. Now they face the best HC and a QB who looks like he is healthy and back in Super Bowl Season form. Tough one for sure the way it ended Sunday night. But this is a team that just goes about its business. Let's flash back to when we had the Panthers in Week 1 over Vegas. That should have been a win for us. This coach won't make those mistakes to cost a team the win. Especially coming up a yard short last week. 2-0 and off a big win over the Saints. Nowhere to go but down for the Silver and Black. 10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the GIANTS. I get it. Higgs. How the F are we taking another crap dog! You are killing us with the Browns and Giants in Week 1 - Lions + Jets Week 2. Oh the pain. This line is coming down for a reason. SF is pretty banged up. Giants are in desperation mode. I get no Barkley. But that might actually help NYG since they will realize this is a passing league and they have some weapons. Won't be shocked at an outright win here. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS 

Taking the RAMS. Eagles going to Eagle. We had Washington last week and the defense did exactly what I thought they would do. 8 sacks of Wentz. Injuries already piling up in Philly. Normally I don't simplify things by saying if you can't stop X, how will you stop Y. In a case of now preseason games and practices though, I will. Cowboys a much better team talent wise. Even if their new coach was as lame as the old one in the play calling. Rams have a lot to prove after last season. Can't see how their pass rush does not get to Wentz at least 5 times. They have the best guy on the DL in the game. Yes - early start west to east for LAR. But I will be more inclined to fade them next week at Buffalo since the Covid forces them to go home and not stay in nearby. McVay will have the offense exploiting Philly weaknesses. 5* Bets Bet LA RAMS

Taking the BROWNS. Had these guys and watched them get demolished on Sunday. Also faded Cincy and had to hold for dear life just to earn a push with the Chargers. So - First drive for Cleveland INT and 8 plays later a TD. Next possession. Run a fake punt and fumble the ball. FG. 10-0 just like that. But. We did come right back for a TD. Missed the PAT, and that should have told us we are going to be in for a long day. And it was. A 99 yard drive for a TD. We miss a FG - 70 yards in about 40 seconds, its 24-6 and we are done. Hunt and Chubb went for 130 combined which is nice. I don't see them playing catch-up vs Cincy. Ah the Bengals. I can't even write the Chargers HC name since he is so terrible. Maybe I should have said, he's a crap HC, and just stayed away. But Taylor was a winning QB for the Bills. Plenty of weapons. And, Chargers do what they do. Shoot themselves in the foot, time and time again. Last week Cleveland saw an MVP performance from opposing QB completing 20/25 3 TDs. Burrow led a great drive to put them in position to win or tie the game. But overall. Come on. 23-36. Pretty sure he was 8-12 on the last drive. All short stuff. 5 yards a pass. Short week for a rookie QB, on the road. Fans or not, it is a tough task. I think we have a great play here. Everyone down on the Browns saying same ol' Cleveland. While everyone saying, wow, Burrow nearly had a last minute TD drive negated by an OPI. That game was ugly because the players played ugly. Browns in a blow-out. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS 

5* Best Bet NORTHEASTERN 

Taking SOUTH DAKOTA STATE. Coming in off loss to the top seed, So Dak St will lay a double digit beating on Fort Wayne. Jackrabbits won both regular season games. They shoot the lights out. IPFW not a great shooting team, especially from the charity stripe and deep. 5* Best Bet SOUTH DAKOTA STATE