Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-14-24 | Fever v. Lynx UNDER 164 | 81-74 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Minnesota Lynx were blown away by the Seattle Storm in their last game by a score of 91-63. Minnesota has the best defense in the WNBA so far this year giving up just 0.927 points per possession. The Lynx were embarrassed on defense in that loss to Seattle. They gave up 50 points in the first half alone. I expect Minnesota to come out with a lot more effort on defense and try to control the pace. Minnesota plays at the second slowest pace of any team in the WNBA. The Fever play at a league average tempo. They are below average on defense, but with Collier not likely to play I think Minnesota will have a bit more trouble scoring than normal. This is a Sunday afternoon contest and those games have been great under bets in the last decade in the WNBA. Take the under here. |
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06-20-24 | Wings v. Sky UNDER 160.5 | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Dallas Wings take on the Chicago Sky in a noon eastern (11 am central) start. These rare early start times have played heavily toward the under in the WNBA. In games with a spread of 5.5 points or less in either direction and a total of 155 or higher (both fit this game), the under is at almost exactly 60% in the last 400 contests. Dallas ranks second to last in tempo in their last eight games. If you look at just the last five games, Dallas is last in offensive efficiency in the WNBA. Chicago is only 10th out of 12 teams in offensive efficiency. Both teams saw their last game go comfortably over the total. The WNBA has shown the propensity to have games that were high for both teams followed up by an under. Take the under here. |
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08-01-23 | Mercury v. Fever UNDER 160.5 | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Phoenix Mercury will be without Brittany Griner for this one. Griner is their second most efficient offensive player and their leading scorer. She averages more than 18 points per game. The two times these two teams have played this season Griner has scored 29 and 22 points. Griner is just 10th in defensive efficiency on the Mercury team. NaLyssa Smith is out for this game for Indiana. She averages more than 15 points per game. The Fever are significant favorites here, but they haven't scored more than 83 points in regulation in any of their last seven games. The Mercury have scored 72 points or fewer in five of their last eight games. These two teams play at the slowest and second slowest pace in the entire WNBA. This game should be played in the halfcourt. Take the under. |