|
06-26-25 |
Mystics +8.5 v. Aces |
|
94-83 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play on Mystics* The Washington Mystics aren't a bottom feeder anymore. Washington is battling to the end on a consistent basis. They are 9-6 ATS so far this season. Las Vegas is playing in their first back to back spot of the season thus far. The Aces aren't the same team they were a couple years ago. Las Vegas is solid, but not nearly the same level they were before. The Aces bench is a problem area and that could be an even bigger problem with no rest. I like the spot here for Washington. Washington is well rested and could easily be overlooked here. The Aces are coming off back to back wins. Road underdogs from the Eastern Conference that are dogs by 6.5 points have cashed more than 57% of the time ATS dating back to 2007. I'll take the points with the Mystics in this one. Take Washington. |
|
06-07-25 |
Storm v. Mercury OVER 157 |
|
89-77 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Seattle Storm offense has been showing signs of life lately. Seattle has scored 83 points or more in three of their last five games. Phoenix has been terrific offensively in their last few games. The Lynx have slowed them down, but they might have the single best defense in the WNBA. The rest of their recent games have been Phoenix really pouring it on offensively. The recent meetings between these two teams have been low scoring because of abnormally low shooting percentages. I think this one normalizes and gets past the total. Take the over. |
|
08-15-24 |
Mystics +9 v. Lynx |
|
68-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
43 h 9 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play on Mystics ATS* The Washington Mystics are 16-8 ATS so far this year. They have the best point spread record in the WNBA. Washington has been covering spreads without star center Shakira Austin. Austin is expected back for this game coming out of the long break. The Lynx are a good defensive team, but they have a lot of lower scoring games and struggle to win by margin because of an inefficient offense. Road underdogs have been good in the WNBA in the long run, and this is a very unique spot coming off the long break for the Olympics. I'll take the points here. Take the Mystics. |
|
07-16-24 |
Mercury v. Mystics +5 |
|
96-87 |
Loss |
-112 |
20 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play on Mystics* The Phoenix Mercury have a long history of struggling on the road. Phoenix is 13-27 ATS in their last 40 road games. The Mercury are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Eastern Conference too. The Mystics aren't a good team, but they are a good team against the spread. They have continually battled and at least kept games close. They get a home game here against a Mercury team that is inconsistent and not nearly as strong as they were a few years ago. Phoenix is also in a tough scheduling spot. This is an 11:30 am eastern start time and an 8:30 am pacific start time. It's not easy for the road team. The Mystics are a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. They are also 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games. A combined 15-0 angle. Take Washington. |
|
07-14-24 |
Fever v. Lynx UNDER 164 |
|
81-74 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Minnesota Lynx were blown away by the Seattle Storm in their last game by a score of 91-63. Minnesota has the best defense in the WNBA so far this year giving up just 0.927 points per possession. The Lynx were embarrassed on defense in that loss to Seattle. They gave up 50 points in the first half alone. I expect Minnesota to come out with a lot more effort on defense and try to control the pace. Minnesota plays at the second slowest pace of any team in the WNBA. The Fever play at a league average tempo. They are below average on defense, but with Collier not likely to play I think Minnesota will have a bit more trouble scoring than normal. This is a Sunday afternoon contest and those games have been great under bets in the last decade in the WNBA. Take the under here. |
|
07-04-24 |
Sun v. Lynx -3 |
|
78-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 17 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play on Minnesota* The Connecticut Sun started the season great, but they have been mediocre of late. The Sun haven't done well when stepping up in class. Their schedule is about to get a lot tougher. The Sun beat the Minnesota Lynx by one point in overtime with the Sun playing at home earlier this year. Minnesota is coming off a loss to New York, and this is a revenge chance for them off that tight loss to the Sun early in the season. The Lynx haven't lost two games in a row all year. They are coming off a bad performance and this fits many good long term angles in the WNBA of a good team playing at home coming off a loss. Take Minnesota. |
|
06-20-24 |
Wings v. Sky UNDER 160.5 |
|
72-83 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Dallas Wings take on the Chicago Sky in a noon eastern (11 am central) start. These rare early start times have played heavily toward the under in the WNBA. In games with a spread of 5.5 points or less in either direction and a total of 155 or higher (both fit this game), the under is at almost exactly 60% in the last 400 contests. Dallas ranks second to last in tempo in their last eight games. If you look at just the last five games, Dallas is last in offensive efficiency in the WNBA. Chicago is only 10th out of 12 teams in offensive efficiency. Both teams saw their last game go comfortably over the total. The WNBA has shown the propensity to have games that were high for both teams followed up by an under. Take the under here. |
|
08-01-23 |
Mercury v. Fever UNDER 160.5 |
|
71-72 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Phoenix Mercury will be without Brittany Griner for this one. Griner is their second most efficient offensive player and their leading scorer. She averages more than 18 points per game. The two times these two teams have played this season Griner has scored 29 and 22 points. Griner is just 10th in defensive efficiency on the Mercury team. NaLyssa Smith is out for this game for Indiana. She averages more than 15 points per game. The Fever are significant favorites here, but they haven't scored more than 83 points in regulation in any of their last seven games. The Mercury have scored 72 points or fewer in five of their last eight games. These two teams play at the slowest and second slowest pace in the entire WNBA. This game should be played in the halfcourt. Take the under. |
|
07-20-23 |
Sparks v. Lynx -2.5 |
|
70-73 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star on the Lynx ATS* The Minnesota Lynx are in a good situational spot here. Minnesota is a home favorite off a loss, and in the WNBA that angle has been fantastic through the years. In the last ten years, WNBA teams at home off a loss by eight points or more and favored by 8 points or less are cashing at 58% ATS. It is good for an ROI of 12.1%. LA hasn't played a game in 8 days. The Sparks are still badly banged up. Minnesota got to play a game after the break and lost in disappointing fashion. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 following a loss. Minnesota has beaten LA three times this year by 5, 5, and 6 points. The Lynx have the healthier team and should win and cover again. Take Minnesota. |