Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-04-24 | Liberty +3 v. Aces | 81-95 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
New York Liberty. Game 3 Winner. Game 641. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. New York has an opportunity to close out this series on Friday, and get a little bit of rest before the WNBA Finals. They have had their way with Las Vegas this season, taking all five meetings in this series straight up, including both games played in Vegas. Not only that, but the Liberty are also 9-1 ATS their last 10 games played on the road. They are money in this role. Giving them points here is a huge mistake by the oddsmakers. While the Aces are a very good team, they just aren't the same squad they were the last two seasons. Take New York. Thank you. |
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10-01-24 | Sun +4.5 v. Lynx | 70-77 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Connecticut Sun. Game 2 Winner. Game 637. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. Twice over the last five years, the Connecticut Sun have made it to the WNBA Finals, and both times have fallen short. This is their opportunity to rectify themselves. They enter this matchup with authority, knowing they have dominated the Minnesota Lynx, taking seven of the last nine meetings, which does include three of four this season. Going back to September of last season, the Sun have taken four consecutive meetings on the road at the Lynx. Giving them points here is a mistake. Take Connecticut. Thank you. |
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10-01-24 | Aces v. Liberty -4 | 84-88 | Push | 0 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
New York Liberty. Game 2 Winner. Game 636. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. These teams ran through their opponents in the first round. So far in this round of the semifinals, the Liberty is up 1-0. New York took Game 1 of this best-of-five series at home on Sunday, 87-77. That marked the fourth victory straight up of the four meetings this season with Las Vegas. By the way, they have covered three of the four meetings. Expect a little payback here from last season’s Championship series loss at the hands of the Aces. I think we can all agree, while Las Vegas is a very good team, they're just not the same team they were the last two seasons when they prevailed in both. Take New York. Thank you. |
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09-25-24 | Fever v. Sun -6.5 | 81-87 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Connecticut Sun. Fast Break Play. Game 614. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Another win and the Connecticut Sun can get a little bit of rest before their next series. They took Game 1 of this series with authority, 93-69. Going back a few seasons, they have dominated the Indiana Fever, winning nine of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering six of those meetings. This season they not only have won each contest at home against the Fever, they have covered all three as well, winning by 21, 17, and 24 points. With all respect to Caitlin Clark and the team, their lack of leadership is evident as they have dropped five of their last seven games SU, covering only once since September 1 (1-8 ATS run). Both teams can score, my friends. But the difference in this matchup is on the defensive side of the court. Connecticut and their frustrating "D" has been much more effective this season than the 11th ranked defense of Indiana. Take the Sun. Thank you. |
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09-13-24 | Mystics +3.5 v. Dream | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Mystics. Fast Break. Game 615. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Washington enters this matchup running hot, winning six of their last eight straight up, and eight of the last nine against the spread. This does include wins and covers in five consecutive road games. On the other hand, Atlanta is ice cold, dropping seven of their last nine straight up, and only covering four of those nine games. Always stay with a hot team. Take the Mystics. Thank you. |
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09-13-24 | Aces -3.5 v. Fever | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Aces. Slam Dunk. Game 621. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. With just four games remaining in the regular season, the Aces sit in second place in the Western Conference. However, just behind them is the Storm. They enter this contest with confidence, knowing they have dominated the Fever, taking 10 consecutive matchups in this rivalry, going back to 2021. This does include wins and covers in all three meetings this season. Indiana has dropped two of the last three straight up, and four in a row against the number. Take Las Vegas. Thank you |
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09-10-24 | Lynx -4 v. Dream | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Minnesota Lynx. Fast Break. Game 601. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. With only four games left in their regular season, the Minnesota Lynx sit 4.0-games ahead in the Western Conference. They want nothing more than to coast through the last few games and go into the postseason rested. With a win tonight, they can do just that. They have their way with the Atlanta Dream this season, winning and covering all three meetings. Going back to last season, they are 4-0 in this rivalry both SU and ATS. They enter this matchup one of the hottest teams in the League, winning nine of their last 10 straight up, covering seven of those 10 contests. They know all too well with a win here they can coast through the last few regular season games and go into the postseason. Minnesota. Thank you. |
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09-04-24 | Sparks +11.5 v. Fever | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Sparks. Fast Break play. Game 609. 4;00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Just by looking at the records, we can see the Sparks aren't the greatest team in the world. As a matter of fact, they possess the WNBA’s poorest record at 7-25. But one thing they do, is play the Fever very tough. These two teams split two matchups this season, both straight up and against the spread. Indiana took the first game in Los Angeles, 78-73. Los Angeles took the second game in Indiana, 88-82. Funny thing about this matchup, this is the highest pointspread the Fever have been this season. Meanwhile, the Sparks are 10-3 ATS in 2024 as a double-digit underdog. Interesting side note here: Indiana has the Minnesota Lynx up next, which happen to be the Western Division’s top team…maybe overlooking tonight’s opponent a bit. This is just way too many points. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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09-03-24 | Storm v. Sun -4 | 71-64 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Connecticut Sun. Crusher. Game 602. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. With only eight games remaining in the regular season, the Connecticut Sun are definitely going to make the playoffs. However, they sit just 2.5-games back of the New York Liberty in the Eastern Conference. They certainly don't want to be a bridesmaid, therefore will go all out in each of the remaining contests. They have taken seven of the last eight meetings over the Seattle Storm straight up, covering six of those eight. The Storm, have failed to cover nine consecutive games overall. To make matters worse for those bettors who support them, they have failed to cover seven consecutive games played as a visitor. They are pointspread poison, to say the least. Going into the Mohegan Sun Arena and taking on the red-hot, talented Connecticut opponent here, which happen to be one of the best home teams in the WNBA, will be fatal for this team. Take the Sun. Thank you. |
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09-01-24 | Storm v. Sun | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Connecticut Sun. Smash. Game 622. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The line is way off here. I believe the oddsmakers are stressing the fact the Sun are playing their second of back-to-back nights. However, the only other time they did that this season was a week ago after beating Chicago at home, they traveled the next night to New York and took down the Liberty outright, 72-64, as a 7.5-point underdog. By the way, the Storm have not covered a single game since July 12, going eight consecutive outings without an ATS cover. Take Connecticut. Thank you. |
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08-30-24 | Dream +10 v. Aces | 72-83 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Atlanta Dream. Slam Dunk. Game 615. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. With all respect to the Las Vegas Aces, they just don't cover. They are currently riding a nine-game ATS no cover Streak. Not only are they not covering, they're not covering big numbers. They have failed to cover four straight as a double-digit fav, and six straight of 9.5 or more points. Throw into the mix, the Atlanta Dream are 6-2-2 ATS in 2024, and have covered three straight in this rivalry, and it compels us to take the dog here. Take the Dream. Thank you. |
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08-30-24 | Liberty -137 v. Storm | 98-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
New York Liberty on the moneyline. TV Game Winner. Game 617. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. The New York Liberty doesn’t drop too many games. And they haven't dropped back-to-back games since the third week of May. They have taken the Seattle Storm down five consecutive meetings. Now, the Storm have covered four of those five, including the only matchup this season. But (and there is a very big but here), but they were always favored by at least 10.0 points per game in those matchups. Their average margin of victory during those last five wins were 8.4-points per game. Sitting just behind the Liberty in the Eastern Conference, 3.0-games back is the Connecticut Sun. I doubt very much New York is going to let them gain any ground in the Conference. Take the Liberty. Thank you. |
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06-15-24 | Liberty +2.5 v. Aces | 90-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
New York Liberty. Slam Dunk. Game 621. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM PST. We've seen it before, and I'm sure we will see it again. Yes, I am talking about the defending League Champions in any sport coming back the following season and failing to come out of the gate with authority. The Las Vegas Aces are a very talented team. However, they are just 6-5 this season, sitting in third-place in the Western Conference, possessing the overall fifth-best record in the WNBA. Meanwhile, the New York Liberty are playing amazing basketball, owning the WNBA’s second-best overall record at 11-2. The Aces have certainly gotten the better of the Liberty over recent seasons. But I think we can all agree, this is a very different season, for sure. New York enters this matchup red-hot, winning seven consecutive games straight up. They have also covered four of their last five overall games. Meanwhile, Las Vegas has dropped four of their last six SU, and five of those six against the number. I believe they are being overvalued here again at home. Both teams can score points offensively, for sure. But at both ends of the court on the boards New York is significantly stronger, and possess a swarming and truly frustrating defense. They will swarm and certainly frustrate Las Vegas here. I feel they will win outright. But I will take the points. Take the Liberty. Thank you. |
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06-15-24 | Sun -6.5 v. Wings | 85-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
Connecticut Sun. TV Game Winner. 619. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. This is truly a huge mismatch, my friends. The Connecticut Sun possess the League’s best overall record at 11-1, which does include a perfect, 4-0 away mark. The Dallas Wings own one of the worst records, at 3-8, and are just 1-4 at home this season. But the disparities don't end there. The Sun have taken four of the last six meetings overall straight up. And I feel this line is a little bit short. Connecticut been hot since the season began. However, as far as covering games, they're starting to heat up there as well, going 5-2 ATS their last seven outings. Dallas is not only riding a six-game straight up slide; they have also failed to cover five consecutive contests. Yes, it is true, statistically the Wings account for 1.5 points per game more offensively. But they won't have the same success here against the WNBA's stingiest, toughest, and most frustrating, No. 1 ranked scoring defense (71.1 PPG allowed). It will be their “D” that will get them the win and the cover. Take Connecticut. Thank you. |
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06-11-24 | Lynx +6.5 v. Aces | 100-86 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
Minnesota Lynx. Best Bet. Game 603. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. My friends, being a resident of Las Vegas for over 34 years, I am a fan for everything Vegas has to offer. Of course, that includes the Las Vegas Aces. The back-to-back defending WNBA Champions are a very good team. However, I think we can all agree they are just not the same team they were the last two seasons, at least at this point. They currently sit in third place in the Western Conference, possessing the sixth best overall record in the League, at 5-4. To make matters worse, the oddsmakers are still overvaluing them as they are just 3-6 against the spread this season. Yes, it's true they have won and covered the last five meetings with the Minnesota Lynx. That does include an 80-66 beat down back in the last few days of May on the road. However, since then Minny has started to heat up. They won four of five, both straight up and against the number. As a matter fact, this is the best team in the WNBA currently at covering the number, going 9-2 ATS this season. They possess the League’s second stingiest defense, allowing a mere, 75.1 points per game. They also rank No. 1 defensively in both field goal percentage allowed and three-point percentage allowed. Meanwhile offensively, they top the WNBA in both of those categories. While the Aces can certainly score, their defense leaves a lot to be desired. And I think that they're just not in sync yet. This is going to be a very big number for them to win outright, let alone cover. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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06-07-24 | Lynx -5.5 v. Mercury | 80-81 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Minnesota Lynx. Slam Dunk. Game 613. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Don't look now, but Minnesota has taken over the top spot in the West, leading the Conference at 7-2. They are equally good on the road as they are at home. They face an opponent here today in Phoenix, that has done a little bit better at home than on the road. But is severely outclassed in this matchup. To say the Lynx have had their way with the Phoenix, would be another statement. They have taken nine of the last 10 meetings, both straight up and against the spread. This does include the only matchup this season about a week ago at home, 95-71. As far as sports betting goes, Minnesota has been money, covering eight of their nine outings thus far in the 2024 regular season. I don't expect a different outcome here as in the first meeting. Minnesota possesses one of the top scoring offenses in the League, topping the WNBA in both field-goal percentage and three-point percentage. This is where the game will be won. Take the Lynx. Thank you. |
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06-05-24 | Lynx -7 v. Sparks | 86-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Minnesota Lynx. Slam Dunk. Game 603. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Don't look now, but the Lynx have taken control of the Western Conference, sitting in first place with a record of 6-2. On the other hand, the Sparks own the worst record in the West, at 2-6. To say Minnesota has had their way with Los Angeles, would be an understatement. They've taken nine of the last 10 matchups straight up, including five consecutive games. And as a matter of fact, every game they have won over the last 10 meetings, they have also covered. This is the first meeting between these two Conference rivals this season. The Lynx come in here playing some great basketball, while the Sparks just continue to disappoint. As far as sports betting is concerned, Minnesota has covered seven of eight contests this season, while Los Angeles has only covered two of eight outings in 2024. Every way you look at this, the visitor outclasses the home team here. The only bright spot for the Sparks is their three-point shooting. However, let's not get ahead of ourselves because the Lynx possess the second-ranked three-point shooting defense in the WNBA. Take the visitor. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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05-21-24 | Mercury +14.5 v. Aces | 98-88 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
Phoenix Mercury. OM play. Game 625. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. My friends, living in Las Vegas for over 34 years, I am an advocate for everything Vegas. I feel Las Vegas will once again vie for the WNBA title. However, the oddsmakers know the general public likes to bet them and they're inflating the number on their games so far during this regular season. Yes, the team is 2-0 this season straight up. But they have failed to cover both outings. Meanwhile going back to last season, Phoenix has now covered three straight games, which does include both of their contest played this season. This is a team that finished dead last in the Western Conference a season ago. They've come out at the start of this season and have played very competitively against better opposition. I just feel this is way too many points to give this team. Take the Mercury. Thank you. |
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05-21-24 | Wings +5 v. Dream | 78-83 | Push | 0 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Dallas Wings. Slam Dunk. Game 621. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Dallas has dominated Atlanta, winning and covering six consecutive meetings going back to July of 2022. They enter this matchup 1-1 straight up on the season, however going back to last year they've covered three of their last four and seven of the last nine overall lined games. This is a scrappy team and I feel they come in here with confidence knowing they've dominated the Dream. Take the Wings. Thank you. |