Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-20-23 | Bulls v. 76ers -8 | 109-105 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers Slam Dunk Play. Game 560. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. The red-hot 76ers are surging, winning eight straight contests, to bring the team within 2.5-games behind the Milwaukee Bucks in the Eastern Conference. They come into today’s game with confidence, having taken eight of the last nine meetings with the Chicago Bulls, both straight up and against the spread. The Bulls have covered just two of the last nine meetings in Philadelphia, only two of the last eight games played against teams with a winning record, and one of the last eight games played on the road. The 76ers have a covered 22 of the last 31 games played at home, four straight games played following a straight up win, and four of the last five games played on one days rest. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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03-15-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Wolves | 104-102 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Game 581. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. The Boston Celtics have relinquished the Eastern Conference’s top-spot to the Milwaukee Bucks. They now sit three-games behind them in second place in the Conference. Yes, even in the Atlantic Division, they have just a one-game lead over the Philadelphia 76ers. Teams are closing in on them. They have dropped five of the last seven games entering tonight’s matchup. They need to get back on track and they need to do it now. They face depleted Minnesota Timberwolves opponent here. Let’s face it, they’ve got a laundry list of players either banged up, questionable, or out. This is an ideal situation for the Celtics to earn a big victory and get back on the winning track. They took the only meeting with the Timberwolves this season back in December at home 121-109. I look for their explosive offense to absolutely dominate the lackluster Minnesota defense here. The Celtics have covered five of the last six games played at the Timberwolves and five of the last seven overall games played on the road. The Timberwolves have failed to cover six of the last eight games played following a straight up win and four consecutive games at home. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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03-13-23 | Pacers -150 v. Pistons | 97-117 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Indiana Pacers on the moneyline. Game 545. 4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM EST. Yes, it seems like every single day there are more and more injuries and players being sidelined for load management in the NBA. Both teams here have a laundry list of players that are either questionable or out this evening. But there is no question Indiana is deeper with talent and has something to play for. In a quick turnaround from Saturday’s, 121-115 on this very same court, Indiana should have no problem disposing of Detroit once again. The Pacers can continue their postseason push here playing for the Eastern Conference play-in tournament. The Pistons have not won a game since prior to Valentine’s Day. That’s right, they have lost 11 straight outings. Indiana has won and covered both meetings this season in this Eastern Conference rivalry. They have also covered four of the last five on the road and seven of the last nine overall. Take the Pacers. Thank you. |
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03-08-23 | Bulls v. Nuggets -9 | 117-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Game 560. 6:10 PM, PST/9:10 PM EST These are two teams certainly trending in opposite directions. The Denver Nuggets, which are perched atop the Western Conference at 46-19, have won eight of the last nine games straight up and seven of those games against the spread. The Chicago Bulls are just outside the postseason cut line at 29-36. They have turned ice-cold folks, dropping nine of the last 12 straight up, and 10 of those 12 against the number. If you recall, the Nuggets dissected the Bulls one 126-103 in the only meeting this season back in mid-November on the road. On both sides of the court and on the boards, the Chicago is significantly outclassed here. They have gotten blown up in the last two outings (both losses) defensively, getting plowed for a combined 250-points. Now they face a top-five offense accounting for over 117.2-points per game. Not only that, but defensively Denver leads the NBA on the glass, which will take away any of Chicago’s second-chance opportunities. The Bulls have failed to cover six consecutive games on the road and six of the last seven versus teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have covered 20 of the last 28 games played at home and have covered 10 of the last 11 games played following an ATS loss. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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03-07-23 | 76ers +2.5 v. Wolves | 117-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. Game 537. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST The Philadelphia 76ers are exactly where they want to be right now. They are currently in second place in the Atlantic Division, just two-games behind the Boston Celtics. Overall, in the Eastern Conference, they sit in third place four-games behind the Conferences top team, the Milwaukee Bucks. They are relatively healthy and are playing some excellent basketball. This is a team which happens to be equally impressive on the road as they are at home. While playing in Philadelphia, they possess a 24-10 record. When they travel, they are a stellar 18-12, one of the better away marks in the NBA. They face a Minnesota Timberwolves team riding a three-game win streak, both straight up and against the spread. However, those three victories were all on the road. Things happen to change for the team, when hosting, as they are being overvalued of late, losing and failing to cover their last two outings at the Target Center. They will once again be without two key cogs in the wheel, as both Karl-Anthony Towns and Jaylen Nowell continue to be sidelined tonight. I am well aware the 76ers played a barnburner at the Pacers last night, prevailing 147-143. Tonight’s contest will conclude a five-game road trip for the 76ers, which has won three of four already. Please understand they took control of last night’s matchup in the second half, riding the momentum coming into this outing. Granted, it’s always an issue if starters are going to play back-to-back games for any of the top teams in the NBA these days. But I do expect Joel Embiid and James Harden to be on the floor tonight (check status). There is even a good chance at least one, if not both, Tobias Harris, and P.J. Tucker will see some action as well (check status). This is a team that has covered seven of the last 10 outings played on zero days rest and seven of the last 10 as a visitor. They have also dominated this series, covering 13 of the last 16 meetings with Minnesota, which does include four straight on the road. In the only meeting this season, a mid-November matchup in Philadelphia, the T-Wolves prevailed 112-109. It was a cover for the 76ers, but the home loss left a bitter taste in their mouth. They want to sweeten that up with a big victory, and earn a little revenge and get payback here tonight. Take note, the home defeat, came without Harden, Harris, or Maxey playing. Minnesota is just 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played on two-days rest and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up win. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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03-03-23 | Knicks -137 v. Heat | 122-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
New York Knicks on the moneyline. Game 5533 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST New York is running red-hot, winning seven consecutive outings. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that their hot streak began since acquiring the scrappy reserve, Josh Hart. He, as well as the rest of the roster have played with a higher intensity of late. There is certainly no love lost between these two Eastern Conference rivals. Let’s face it, the Knicks do not like the Heat. And they catch Miami at just the right time. The Heat have dropped five of the last six games, both straight up and against the spread. Kyle Lowry is out this evening. And Jimmy Butler is listed as questionable with a knee issue. Meanwhile, New York, at least as of post, has declared zero injuries on their roster. Offensively, they have stepped up, averaging 123.7-points per game during their current win streak, with an average margin of victory coming by 16.0-points per game. The defense has also tightened up quite a bit. And I just don’t see the struggling 30th ranked Miami offense contending in this one. As a matter of fact, in most offensive categories, the Heat rank towards the bottom of the barrel in the NBA. They have also covered just nine of the last 33 games played at home and only one of the last seven played on one days rest. On the other hand, the Knicks have covered 30 of the last 41 on the road and five straight playing on one days rest. Take New York. Thank you. |
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03-02-23 | 76ers +4 v. Mavs | 126-133 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. Game 541. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Well, my friends, Philadelphia has won six of the last eight outings coming into tonight contest, both straight up and against the spread to bring them just 4.5-games back for the top-spot in the Eastern Conference. Overall they possess a very solid record of 40-21. They’ve been good to us sports bettors, D donning a 36-25 ATS mark this season. The Dallas Mavericks are struggling. They are just one-game over .500 overall, at 32-31, currently the seventh seed in the Western Conference and seven games behind the Memphis Grizzlies and the Southwest Division. They have lost and failed to cover five of the last six outings, including their last two. The recipe of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving has been far from successful. As I mentioned this team is just 1-5, both SU and ATS the L6. The Mavericks certainly have issues on the defensive side of the court. They have been getting smoked, sports fans. Well, in comes a very well-rested Joel Embiid (check status). The 7,0”, 285 lb. center was rested last night so we can be in perfect form for this evening‘s match up. Overall, the Sixers have won four in a row straight up when playing the second of back-to-back games. And is 6-2 ATS this season when unrested. By the way, Embiid is just two-tenths of a point behind Doncic as the NBA’s leading scorers. I look for him to turn it up tonight. I doubt anybody on Dallas can slow him down, let alone stop him. Philly has won and covered three of the last four meetings in this series. They’ve also covered six of the last eight on the road and seven of the last nine playing on zero days rest. Dallas is just 2-6 ATS the last eight at home and has only covered two of the last eight meetings in Dallas against Philadelphia. Take the 76ers. Thank you. |
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02-28-23 | Pacers +8.5 v. Mavs | 124-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
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02-23-23 | Thunder +2.5 v. Jazz | 119-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City Thunder. Game 513. 6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST. My friends, you may not realize this, what is Thunder/Jazz matchup tonight is significant. As we begin the second half of the NBA campaign, Oklahoma City sits in 10th in the Western Conference, a half-game ahead of Utah. Strangely enough, this is the first meeting between these two division rivals this season. It’s true, the Jazz have taken seven in a row straight up. However, they are just 3-4 ATS during that span. As a matter of fact, going back a bit further, the Thunder have covered 12 of the last 16 overall meetings in this rivalry. Both teams are very different currently than they were even a season ago. Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert are no longer sporting Utah uniforms. OKC isn’t the same team either as SGA, Giddey, and Williams are three of their four players all averaging double-digits. They also happen to be one of the most successful ATS road teams in the NBA, covering 44 of the last 66 as a visitor. On the other hand, despite a respectable straight up home record of 18-12 at the Vivint Arena, the Jazz are just are just 8-14 ATS as a home favorite the last 22. This does include losing and failing to cover the last three on their own court. The Thunder a little healthier, a little hungrier, and the stronger side here. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you. |
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02-16-23 | Wizards +3.5 v. Wolves | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Washington Wizards. LVSM. Game 577. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. Washington is starting to heat up, winning and covering three of the last four outings. They come into tonight’s match up with confidence, knowing they have taken the last six meetings against Minnesota, both straight up and against the spread. This includes a late November 142-127 victory at home. They face a Timberwolves team which has been very predictable. Over the last nearly three weeks, they have alternated wins and losses. Well folks, their last game they had a win on the road at the Mavericks. Their defense has gotten plowed. And their offense is going to have some trouble against the frustrating Wizards “D.” On both sides of the court, Washington is far better on the boards. I look for them to get quite a few second chance shots offensively. And to pull down any second chance opportunities for Minnesota. The Wizards have covered the last five meetings at the Timberwolves, six of the last eight overall on the road, and nine of the last 13 overall outings. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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02-02-23 | Lakers -125 v. Pacers | 112-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Lakers on the moneyline. OM play. Game 519. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. In today’s NBA, it’s very difficult to rely upon anything for sure. However, one thing I know is that LeBron James and the Lakers do not take a tough loss lightly. The last time Los Angeles and Indiana squared off, the Lakers were at home and squandered a fourth-quarter, 17-point lead, only to lose 116-115 at the hands of the Pacers. That Game took place November 28th. L.A. has had more than two months to stew over that outcome. And what a time to catch Indiana. The Paces are really struggling at the moment, dropping 10 of the last 11 straight up, and nine of the last 12 against the spread. With LeBron focused on two things right now; the team to make the playoffs, and to surpass Kareem Abdul-Jabbar in career points scored, I look for him to come out fired up here tonight. The Lakers are 6-2 ATS the last eight games played on the road. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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01-25-23 | Hawks v. Thunder +1.5 | 137-132 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City Thunder. LVSM. Game 562. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. To put it very plainly, Atlanta is in trouble. The Hawks had won seven of the previous nine before losing at home against Charlotte when at the end of the game in which they blew a 19-point third quarter lead, head coach Nate McMillan and star guard Trae Young had an argument. Well, if they had any sort of reconciliation, then they wouldn’t have gotten downed in Chicago the following game, 111-100. This team is in a serious funk, folks. Now they travel to the Paycom Center to take on an Oklahoma City Thunder opponent which has won seven of the last nine straight up and nine in a row against the spread. The Thunder took the only other meeting with the Hawks this season, back in December on the road, 121-114. I just feel that the issues in the locker room for Atlanta are spilling over on the court. Oklahoma City has covered four straight at home, 11 of the last 14 on two days rest, and 20 of the last 27 overall. Oh, by the way, they’ve also covered 25 of the last 36 meetings in this series. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you. |
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01-21-23 | Celtics v. Raptors | 106-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics on the moneyline. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 501. 2:10 PM PST/5:10 PM EST. Boston is striding, winning 12 of the last 14 straight up, covering four of the last five against the spread. Let’s face it sports fans, the Celtics are playing some great basketball. At 34-12, they possess the best overall record in the NBA. To say they have dominated the Raptors, would be an understatement. They have taken seven of the last nine both straight up and against the spread, including the only meeting this season, a December 5, 116-110 win and cover on the road. Toronto seems to be struggling, losing and failing to cover three of the last four outings. Yes, I know Jason Tatum is supposed to be sidelined this evening (check status), but the way Boston is surging right now, I don’t think it will matter. They have enough depth and talent with their second-ranked scoring offense to outgun the lackluster Toronto squad. The Celtics have covered four of the last five games played on the road. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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01-06-23 | Blazers v. Pacers -120 | 99-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Indiana Pacers on the moneyline. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 502. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. Covering five in a row and nine of the last 11, the Pacers have been money in the bank to us sports bettors. They were riding a four-game straight up win streak prior to Wednesday’s trip to Philadelphia in which they lost a heartbreaker in overtime, 129-126. Now they return home to the Gainbridge Fieldhouse, where are they own a 13-7 straight up record, covering four straight en route to an overall 9-2 ATS run to face off against a Trailblazers team that is struggling. Portland has hit a wall, dropping five of the last seven outings both straight up and against the spread. The teams best contributors, Lillard and Simmons possess their top-scoring numbers, the back court tandem has overall struggled recently combining for just 41% from the floor since mid-December. Indiana is a little healthier and certainly comes in here more reliable against the number. Portland is just 0-5 ATS, both playing on one days rest and the last five games on the road, Indiana is a perfect 5-0 ATS both the last five games played on one days rest and the last five games played overall. Take the Pacers. Thank you. |
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12-21-22 | Raptors v. Knicks -125 | Top | 113-106 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
Whether you look on the 3-DAY, the 7-DAY, or the 30-DAY leader boards in the NBA, it doesn’t matter, because you will find the name Joe D’Amico there. Once again, this season, since the opening day of the campaign, I have been a fixture on the NBA leaderboard. Tonight, I have just one big money maker for you on the pro basketball hardwood in my 41-16 NBA FAST BREAK PLAY. I have it posted right now for you. New York Knicks. Fast Break. Game 540. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Sports fans, you cannot find two teams trending in more opposite directions than the Toronto Raptors and the New York Knicks. Toronto is on a six-game slide, both straight up and against the spread. New York is riding an eight-game hot streak, both straight up and against the spread. While the Raptors had a night off following with their overtime loss at the 76ers, the Knicks had six players score in double-digits last night at the Garden in their 132-94 crushing victory over the Warriors. Granted, in some of their losses during their current losing streak, Toronto played some very close games. However, coming off that overtime loss is going to find them very fatigued here tonight. Their offense is basically nonexistent, ranking 22nd in scoring, 28th in field-goal percentage, and 29th in three-point percentage. This does not bode well as they must face a New York defense that ranks in the top-10 in several major categories. New York is also one of the healthiest teams in the NBA, while Toronto has several players out and a few also listed as questionable this evening. The Raptors are just 2-8 ATS their last 10 games played on the road, 0-4 ATS their last four games played on one days rest, and 1-5 ATS their last six games played versus teams with a winning record. New York is 4-0 ATS their last four games played at home, 19-6-1 ATS their last 26 teams played on zero days rest, and 4-0 ATS their last four games played versus teams with a losing record. Take the Knicks. Thank you. |
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12-19-22 | Mavs v. Wolves +4 | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Minnesota Timberwolves. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 508. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. My friends, there is no way Minnesota should be an underdog in this matchup. I have them a two-point favorite on my power ratings. They come off back-to-back wins and covers, including a huge 150-126 victory last night at home against Chicago. They set a franchise mark for points scored and field goals. Don’t expect a let down here as they will keep their foot on the gas because a victory tonight would bring them a better than .500 record. They play a Dallas team that they have taken three of the last five meetings against a season ago. This will be the first meeting this season. However, the Mavericks over the last few weeks have been very inconsistent, going just 2-4 both straight up and against the spread. While both teams have a few questionable players here, the Timberwolves are certainly deeper and can’t sustain the injury situation a little bit better. They are the third ranked field goal shooting team in the league, hitting just shy of 50% from the floor, while the Mavericks rank 26th, allowing 48.1% shooting. Dallas is 6-14 ATS the last 20 games played on the road and 7-17-2 ATS the last 26 games played overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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12-17-22 | Heat v. Spurs +7.5 | 111-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
San Antonio Spurs. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 552. To 10 PM PST/5:10 PM EST. As of 6 AM PST this morning, the Miami Heat have 15 players listed on their injury report. I guess being fined for violating the league’s injury reporting rules had no effect LOL. Now I will tell you only two are listed as out, six are listed as questionable, and seven as are listed as probable. That has little to do with why I am coming in on the San Antonio Spurs. But it does play a small part. Obviously overall the Heat are a little banged-up. But Miami travels down to Mexico City after playing two games back-to-back down to the wire in Oklahoma City and in Houston. I think this team is going to be a little weary and a little tired. Despite winning three in a row, the Miami still ranks 29th in the NBA in scoring, averaging just 108.0-points per game. They’re also absolutely horrible on the boards, and shooting from downtown and overall, from the floor. Granted, the Spurs defense leaves a lot to be desired, ranking 30th in several categories. However, they’re not too bad on the defensive glass. They enter this matchup winning and covering three of their last four outings. They are also no strangers to playing in Mexico City. Over the years they have played six games south of the border, with the most recent coming in 2019. San Antonio took down Miami just seven days ago on the road, 115-111. Normally I look at the losing team in a rematch within a week, however they’re traveling south of the border and as I mentioned at the beginning of this analysis, the Heat are weary and tired. They are also 0-3-1 ATS their last four games played versus teams with a losing record, 7-18-2 ATS their last 27 games played following a straight up win, and there’s 1-5-1 ATS their last seven games played overall. Take the Spurs. Thank you. |
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12-16-22 | Nets -120 v. Raptors | 119-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Brooklyn Nets on the moneyline. Slam Dunk Play. Game 535. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Brooklyn has taken all three meetings with Toronto this season, both straight up and against the spread. The most recent, a 114-105 win less than two weeks ago at home. The Nets are surging. They have won eight of their last nine straight up. And are playing equally good at home as well as on the road. Their last two outings within the last week were both wins and covers at the Pacers and at the Wizards. On the other hand, the Raptors are struggling. They have dropped seven of their last nine both straight up and against the spread. This includes a three-game slide (L3 games) in which they were favored in all three games and lost outright. Things will go from bad to worse for this team as they face one of the best defenses in the NBA. As a matter of fact, nothing looks good for Toronto offensively. Their field goal percentage ranks 26th in the league, and their percentage from beyond the arc is a dismal 28%. They’re even struggling from the free throw line, hitting just 78.6%. Defensively they are one of the worst in the league, allowing a whopping 48.4% shooting. This doesn’t bode well as Brooklyn ranks second in shooting, hitting 49.9% from the floor. Outside of Curry, who is questionable this evening, the Nets are relatively healthy. I wouldn’t worry about the guard playing, they have Harris and Simmons to rotate. Toronto is a little thin upfront, and I believe will be over matched on the boards here. The Nets are 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in Toronto. The Raptors are 0-4 ATS the last four games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Brooklyn. Thank you. |
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12-15-22 | Heat v. Rockets +4 | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Houston Rockets. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 524. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. The Houston Rockets have shown signs of life. They are coming off back-to-back victories for just the second time this season. And the last two opponents were no pushovers in the Milwaukee Bucks and the Phoenix Suns. If they would’ve had a letdown situation, it would’ve been following the Bucks victory. But instead, they clobbered the Suns by 15-points. As a matter of fact, they have won five consecutive games at home while covering their last six outings at the Toyota Center. Their defense has really played well. I understand that the Heat are a very good team, however they are just 5-9 straight up on the road this season. And to be quite honest with you their offense leaves a lot to be desired. I know defensively they are one of the better teams in the league. But the way the Rockets are playing I just don’t see the Heat contending as a visitor here tonight. By the way, Miami is just 7-18-1 ATS their last 26 games played following a straight up win, 2-7 ATS the last nine games played versus a team with a losing record, and 1-5 ATS their last six games played overall Take Houston. Thank you. |
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12-05-22 | Suns +3 v. Mavs | 111-130 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Phoenix. Suns. OM PLAY. Game 543. 5:40 PM PST/8:40 PM EST. The Suns have dominated the regular season play with the Mavericks over the past three or four campaigns. But you may also recall last years Western Conference Finals in which Dallas took the final two games by 27 and 33-points to end Phoenix’ season. In their only matchup this season, the Suns eked out a two-point victory at home against the Mavericks nearly two months ago. Fast forward to tonights meeting, and Phoenix comes in here winning seven of their last eight straight up, which includes a 38-point blowout in San Antonio last night. Dallas had a day off to rest following their 21-point drubbing over New York at the Garden a few nights ago. That was their second win and their last three outings. However, that was also just their second win in their last seven outings. And only their third cover in the last 10. The Suns are still looking for a little pay back from being ousted from last year’s Western Conference Finals and they can exact a bit of vengeance here tonight. I just don’t see the Mavericks contending offensively with the seventh-ranked scoring offense in the NBA. When it comes to defense, both teams are very good. But because the Suns are so strong offensively it will slow Dallas down in transition. Oh, one more item, the Mavericks are one of the worst in the league on the offensive boards and they are facing one of the stingiest and most ferocious defensive rebounding squads in the NBA. So, second-chance shots will be at a minimum. I know the Suns have a couple guys that are banged-up here. It doesn’t matter folk. They will still be very competitive and keep this game close. Getting a few baskets is the play. Take Phoenix. Thank you |
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12-05-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Raptors | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Las Vegas Strip Move. Game 535. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST Yes, I am well aware of the fact that Toronto is 9-2 SU at home this season. But Boston is pretty darn good on the road themselves, going 8-3 straight up away from home in 2022. These two teams share the Atlantic division as the Celtics are atop with an overall record of 19-5 and the Raptors sit tied for second just above .500 at 12-11. For our purposes, the Celtics have covered three straight in this rivalry. And going back a bit, seven of the last 10 meetings. They come in here a bit hotter and with the No. 1 scoring offense in the NBA. As a matter fact the rank in the top-three in every major offensive category. I just don’t see the Raptors keeping pace with them on the scoreboard offensively. Boston is 9-0 ATS the last nine meetings in Toronto. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |
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11-28-22 | Rockets +12 v. Nuggets | 113-129 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Houston Rockets. Slam Dunk. Game 513. 6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST. The Houston Rockets own one of the poorest records in the NBA at 5-14. However, one thing they do is get us bettors paid, going 11-8 ATS this season. They are starting to show signs of life, winning their last two games straight up and covering three in a row and four of their last five against the spread. While the Denver Nuggets are one of the better teams in the NBA atop the Northwest division at 12-7, they are crushing anyone who supports them at the betting window. There is a reason for this my friends. They are severely overvalued by the odds makers. Put a pin in that we will come back around to it. They are currently without several key players. Recently added to the injured list is Jeff Green, who is expected to be out this evening. And Michael Porter Jr., who is most-likely going to be sitting tonight. (Always do your due diligence and check status on both). The Nuggets are not that deep with experienced backup players folks. To be honest with you, both teams statistics as far as scoring offensively and defensively are very similar. Going back to the ATS situation for Denver, they are just 6-13 ATS the last 19 at home, 1-7 the last eight home games versus teams with a losing road record, and 7-19 ATS the last 26 following a straight up win. This is way too many points to give a game team like Houston. Take the Rockets. Thank you. |
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11-15-22 | Knicks v. Jazz -4 | 118-111 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Utah Jazz. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 550. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Following a few of their big names departing for other teams, many didn’t expect the Utah Jazz to be very competitive this season. Well, they are currently sitting at 10-5 and playing excellent basketball. Getting them off a loss in Philadelphia a few nights ago in which Joel Embiid had one of the best nights a player has had so far this NBA campaign, and having them return home to Salt Lake where they are perfect 5-0 straight up this season, compels us to side with the Jazz. By the way they have covered four of the five at Vivint Arena. The New York Knicks are off a very rough stretch in which they play five road games out West in seven nights. They dropped a game at home on Monday to the Oklahoma City Thunder. That was their sixth straight up loss over the last nine outings. And the seventh time they failed cover in those same nine outings. On both sides of the court, they are significantly our class. While they are relatively healthy, Utah is one of the few teams currently in the NBA that are listening absolutely no injured players. The Jazz have won and covered the last three meetings in this series all quite easily. By the way, the Knicks are 0-4 ATS the last four meetings in Utah. Take Utah. Thank you. |
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11-10-22 | Mavs -3 v. Wizards | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Dallas Mavericks. Fast Break. Game 557. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. The Dallas Mavericks were running hot, winning four ina row prior to last nights loss in Orlando. Not only was it a loss, but it was the first time this season that Luka Dončić was held under 30 points. You can expect the Mavs to come back here with a vengeance and redeem themselves as the star forward will light up the scoreboard. They will exploit the Washington Wizards on both sides of the court. Without question, both offensively and defensively Dallas is far superior. The Wizards have a problem scoring points this season, ranking 29th and accounting for just 107.0-points per game. They’re also absolutely horrible on the offensive glass. And one of the worst in the league from beyond the arc. These are each areas Dallas ranks in the top-five defensively. I just don’t feel the Wizards can keep pace offensively against the stifling Mavericks defense. Dallas is 41-18-1 ATS the last 60 games following a straight up loss and 7-3 ATS the last 10 meetings in Washington. Washington is 5-21-1 ATS the last 27 following a straight up win and 1-4-1 ATS the last six at home. Take the Mavericks. Thank you. |
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11-09-22 | Suns -120 v. Wolves | 129-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Phoenix Suns on the moneyline. Las Vegas Strip Move. Game 547. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. There is no doubting that the Phoenix Suns are an outstanding basketball team. They currently have a 1.5-game lead over the Los Angeles Clippers in the Pacific division. And overall, in the West they are tied with the Portland Trailblazers and the Denver Nuggets for the second-best record in the conference. They come off a loss here. Let me rephrase that, they come an embarrassing loss in Philadelphia two nights ago in which they scored a season-low 88-points. I expect this team to bounce back here with a vengeance and take their frustrations out on the struggling Minnesota Timberwolves team that they have dominated. The Suns have won five in a row straight up over the Timberwolves, going 4-1 against the spread. This includes a November 1st, 116-107 win and cover in Phoenix. Minnesota is on a 1-4 game slide both straight up and against the number. While they have a pretty decent offense, they must face one of the toughest defenses in the NBA. That’s right, Phoenix ranks second in points allowed, yielding just 103.5-points per game. When the Suns have the ball, there will be no problem for them scoring at will against a T-wolves “D” that has been getting steamrolled. Minnesota is 4-10 ATS the last 14 home games and just 1-1-5 ATS the last seven meetings at home against Phoenix. Phoenix is 7-3 ATS as the last 10 following a straight up loss. Take the Suns. Thank you. |
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11-07-22 | Cavs -3.5 v. Clippers | 117-119 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Cleveland Cavaliers. SLAM DUNK. Game 529. 7:40 PM PST/10:40 PM EST. Guys, I honestly don’t know in what alternative universe this line should be just two-points. Cleveland is one of the best teams in the NBA at 8-1 straight up. And more importantly for our purposes, 8-1 against the spread. They have covered four straight road games during their eight-game win streak. Meanwhile Los Angeles it’s just 1-3 at the Crypto.com Arena straight up. And have failed to cover all four at home in the 2022 campaign. They currently rank 30th in the league offensively, averaging just a 102.3 points per game. They must face the third ranked Cavaliers defense yielding just 103.9 points per game. Not only that, but Cleveland also ranks second in the NBA on the defensive glass. L.A. won’t get too many second-chance shots here. When the Cavaliers have the ball, they must deal with a very formidable Clippers defense. However, being that they’re so strong defensively, I feel this will help them in transition. And they will light up the scoreboard. I mean let’s face it, they already average nearly 14-points per game more than Los Angeles. Cleveland took the last two meetings both straight up and against the spread. Los Angeles owns absolutely deplorable ATS numbers going 1-6 ATS the last seven versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, 1-5 ATS the last six following an ATS loss, and 2-7 ATS the last nine overall. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you. |
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11-04-22 | Bucks -3 v. Wolves | 115-102 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Bucks. Slam Dunk. Game 547. 7:10 PM PST/1010 PM EST. The Milwaukee Bucks are the only undefeated team left in the NBA. And trust me when I tell you they will not let the Minnesota Timberwolves stand in their way of staying perfect. Not only has Milwaukee been winning, they’ve been getting us bettors paid, going 6-1 ATS. On the other hand, Minnesota has lost and failed to cover their last two outings. Granted both of those contests were on the road, but this team is giving up a lot of points. Not only that but they are one of the worst in the league on the defensive glass. This specific mismatch is going to be fatal for them here today as they face the NBA’s top-offensive rebounding squad. On the flipside, believe it or not Milwaukee tops the NBA in defense, both in points allowed and in field-goal percentage. There’s some talk Giannis might be sitting today. The latest report looks like he will play (check status). Even if the star forward does not play, I feel this team has enough talent on the floor and on the bench to stay undefeated. And for our purposes to get another ATS cover. Milwaukee is 9-3 ATS the last 12 road games, while Minnesota is 3-8 ATS the last 11 home games. Take the Bucks. Thank you. |
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11-01-22 | Magic v. Thunder -3 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City Thunder. Slam Dunk. Game 570. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. The Thunder are playing some great basketball. Not only have they won and covered three straight, but they are 5-1 ATS this season. On the other hand, the Magic are right on course. Orlando is expected to be one of the poorest teams in the NBA this season and so far, they haven’t disappointed. They are 1-6 straight up and 2-4-1 ATS. Oklahoma City has one eight of the last nine meetings in this rivalry straight up going, 7-1 ATS the last eight matchups. While Orlando is still dealing with a slew of injuries, for the most part OKC is relatively healthy. They are much stronger offensively. They are monsters on the offensive boards as well. And will get a lot of second- chance opportunities. While Orlando has a decent defense, offensively, they are absolutely horrible. They rank at or near the bottom of the barrel in a couple of major offensive categories. This includes scoring, which they rank 28th in the league. Not only is this team winless on the road the season, going 0-5, they have also failed to cover the last seven as a visitor going back to last season. Take the Thunder. Thank you. |
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10-28-22 | Jazz +9 v. Nuggets | 101-117 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
Utah Jazz. CRASH THE BOARDS. Game 517. 6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST. Sports fans, Utah took down Denver at home in both teams season-openers, 123-102. Even if Collin Sexton, who is listed as questionable for this game, doesn’t play, this is still way too many points to give the Jazz. I understand that the Nuggets are in revenge-mode here and are playing at home, but it is still way too many points. On both sides of the court Utah is looking much stronger than Denver at this point. Throw into the mix that the Jazz are monsters on the offensive boards and will get a ton of second-chance shots, and I like the visiting team to possibly win outright here. But I will take the points for sure as they are 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. Meanwhile The Nuggets are just 4-11 ATS the last 15 at home. Take Utah. Thank you. |
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10-28-22 | Cavs +6 v. Celtics | 132-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
Cleveland Cavaliers. FAST BREAK. Game 507. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Despite a 2-1 record, the Boston Celtics are not looking like the team that they were a season ago. Their defense is absolutely atrocious, ranking 19th, and yielding over 115.3 points per game. They’ve got a couple of cogs in the wheel that will be continuing to sit due to injuries. But they are going to be without Grant Williams. He is serving a one-game suspension. I feel they are going to be a little thin upfront against the very talented duo of Jarett Allen and Evan Mobley. And when Boston tries to adjust, this will leave Donovan Mitchell open to score at will. Look for a major mismatch from beyond the arc in this contest as well. Cleveland is hitting over 40% from downtown, while Boston is allowing over 40% from three-point land. Not only that, but the Celtics are one of the worst in the NBA right now on the offensive boards. And they must go up against one of the best defensive rebounding corps in basketball. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you. |
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10-28-22 | Hornets -150 v. Magic | 93-113 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Charlotte Hornets on the moneyline. Slam Dunk. Game 503. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST The Orlando Magic are one of the three remaining teams in the NBA that are winless. After today they stay that way. They are 0-5 SU and for our purposes, 1-4 ATS. This team is absolutely atrocious. They face a very hungry Charlotte Hornets squad that is 2-2 SU on the season. However, they have been money, going 3-1 against the spread. Believe it or not, the Hornets possess the top-scoring team in the NBA, averaging over 124.5 points per game. They are also number one in three-point percentage and number two in field goal percentage. I just don’t see the Magic even slowing them down in this matchup. On the other hand, Orlando ranks at or near the bottom and just about every major offensive category. They just won’t be able to keep peace in this contest. Charlotte is 15-6 ATS the last 21 meetings in Orlando, 19-7-1 ATS the last 27 on the road, and 6-1 ATS the last seven overall. Take the Hornets. Thank you. |
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10-26-22 | Spurs +9.5 v. Wolves | 122-134 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
San Antonio. Fast Break. Game 549. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. Can you believe the Spurs are tied for the top-spot in the Southwest, while the Timberwolves are tied for the third spot in the Northwest? Not only is San Antonio 3-1 straight up, they’ve also covered three of their four outings this season. Minnesota, which is sitting at 2-2 has crushed sportsbettors, going 1-3 against the spread. The Spurs have won and covered three in a row, all on the road. And yet, the Timberwolves come in here nearly a double-digit favorite. These two teams just met on the same floor at the Target Center a few nights ago, when the Spurs devoured the T-Wolves 115-106. Now the odds makers of telling us that revenge is such a big factor that Minnesota is going to turn around and cover this nearly double-digit point spread. That is just ludicrous. San Antonio is money, going 8-0 ATS the last eight games played on one days rush, 6-0 ATS the last six games played following a straight up win, 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 games played on the road, and 13-3 ATS the last 16 games played overall. Take the Spurs. Thank you. |
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10-26-22 | Nets v. Bucks -3.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Milwaukee. Slam Dunk. Game 546. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Nothing would give the only undefeated team in the Eastern conference, the Milwaukee Bucks more pleasure then crushing the Brooklyn Nets. Both teams were touted to be contenders this season. However, after a week of play, they are certainly looking like they’re heading in opposite directions. Brooklyn is just 1-2 and have suffered some ugly defeats already. While Milwaukee is a perfect 2-0, covering both of their outings at Philadelphia and at home against Houston. The Bucks own the number one defense in the NBA, yielding just 96.5 points per game. I just don’t see the out-of-sync Nets scoring on them here. To make matters worse, once again this season Milwaukee possesses one of the best offensive rebounding squads in the league. While they rank amongst the best in basketball in field goal percentage and three-point percentage, they will get as many second-chance shots as they need in this matchup. They have won and covered five of the last six overall meetings and five of the last seven in Milwaukee. Take the Bucks. Thank you. |
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10-24-22 | Nets v. Grizzlies | 124-134 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Memphis Grizzlies on the moneyline. FAST BREAK. Game 524. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. I would absolutely hate to be the Brooklyn Nets today. My friends, this is a team with a lot of big names, a large payroll, and a lot of ego. But, let’s be honest, they just aren’t meshing. And now they have to face a Memphis Grizzlies opponent which is touted once again to be one of the strongest teams in the Western Conference. The Grizzlies begin the campaign beating both the Knicks and the Rockets, two subpar teams. Saturday night they went into Dallas and got crushed 137-96 by the Mavericks. Getting them off that embarrassing loss, which Ja Morant was held to just 20-points after setting a franchise record for points in the first two games, is going to be fatal for the visitors here. Let’s not forget Memphis has won and covered the last six meetings against Brooklyn, including all three at the FedEx forum. Granted the home team is a little shorthanded without Jaren Jackson or Zaire Williams. However, Dillon Brooks is expected to make his debut tonight. I just don’t see the Nets keeping pace with the Ja Morant and the explosive Memphis offense in this matchup. Not only that but, the Grizzlies are absolutely crushing it on the boards. This is a place where the Nets certainly need improvement. Look for a big mismatch on the glass in this meeting. Brooklyn is 2-6 ATS the last eight games played on two days rest, 9-28 ATS the last 37 games played following an ATS win, and 1-4 ATS the last five games played overall. Memphis is 16-6 ATS the last 22 games played following an ATS loss, 35-16 ATS the last 51 games played on one days rest, and 21-7 ATS the last 28 games played at home. Take the Grizzlies. Thank you. |
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10-23-22 | Wizards v. Cavs -3 | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Cleveland Cavaliers. Slam Dunk. Game 508. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST This line is a little short as the odds makers are looking to trap you. They know that we all know the Cavaliers played last night in Chicago and had to had to travel back home to Cleveland for this matchup. Yes, Washington is 2-0. That is a fact. But let’s face it, they played the Bulls two evenings ago, and although they did win, they barely got the victory, eking out a 102-100 victory. Last night in Chicago, the Cavaliers demolished the Bulls, 128-96. You know after the Bucks, the Cavs are touted as the second strongest team in the Central Division. This is a very talented squad folks. They don’t commit to many turnovers, they are very accurate from the floor, whether it be around the basket or from downtown, and they also hit a high-percentage from the line. But the most impressive thing about Cleveland is once again they have a monster defense. They will frustrate the Washington squad, create turnovers, and will certainly take advantage in transition here. The Wizards are 6-20-1 ATS the last 27 following a straight up win, 4-9 ATS the last 13 on the road, and 7-19-1 ATS the last 27 played on one days rest. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you. |
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10-23-22 | Blazers +3.5 v. Lakers | 106-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Take Portland. Crash the Boards. Game 501. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Most of the early money this morning is coming in on the Lakers because the general public feels that after starting the season off going 0-2, that they are due for a victory. Well waiting for LeBron James and Los Angeles to get their first win, is worse than waiting for a check in the mail from Publishers Clearing House. Portland travels to LA with sporting their first 2-0 start since the 2018 campaign. Let’s throw away the fact that the Blazers are 14-6 ATS the last 20 meetings with the Lakers in Los Angeles. Let’s look at the present day. The Blazers are relatively healthy, while once again the Lakers are already listing most of their stars as questionable or probable here today. No one expect too much from LA. And I really don’t think their fans are expecting a victory here today. Despite all their superstar personnel, the Lakers are accounting for just 103.0 points per game. And now must face a much-improved Portland squad that is brimming with confidence, following wins and covers on the road at Sacramento and at home a few nights ago against Phoenix. Damian Lillard will light up the scoreboard here today in this match up. Take Portland. Thank you. |
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10-21-22 | Grizzlies -6.5 v. Rockets | 129-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Memphis Grizzlies. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 547. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. Memphis begins their campaign off with a big win at Madison Square Garden two days ago, taking New York down 115-112 in overtime. Houston put up a valiant effort in Atlanta in their season opener, falling short 117-107 in Atlanta. Important to tell you that the Grizzlies did fail to cover, while the Rockets eked by with a cover by a half-point. The Memphis one of the strongest teams in the West. And once again, Houston is one of the worst. No one expects too much from them. However, the Grizzlies have high hopes this season. After a lackluster overtime win against the Knicks, the they must put their foot on the gas in this matchup to give the team a little momentum and confidence and their fans something to be excited about. Going back to last season the Rockets have now dropped eight in a row straight up. They are pretty good against the spread. But Memphis has had their way with them, taking five of the last six straight up and four of those six against the spread. Houston is just 0-5 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with the winning percentage above .600. They are also a dismal 25-55 AYTS the last 80 games played at home. Ja Morant and company are just too much for their counterpart to handle here. Take the Grizzlies. Thank you. |
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10-20-22 | Clippers -5.5 v. Lakers | 103-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Clippers. Above The Rim Play. Game 531. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. After the beating the Lakers received at the hands of the Warriors in their season-opener a few days ago, I would normally look to jump on a team like that to bounce back in their second game of the campaign. However, the Lakers are a whole different story. And now that they have to face the Los Angeles Clippers, their crosstown rival in their season opening contest, I think things are going to go from bad to worse for LeBron James and company. The Clippers are at full strength with no significant injuries to the roster. This is very exciting because it is the first game Kawhi Leonard will be taking the floor in about 15 months. Not only that, but it is the first game he and Paul George are both on the floor for in quite a while. And when you have a guy like John Wall coming off the bench, I think it’s safe to say that your team is loaded. The Clippers have taken seven consecutive meetings straight up with the Lakers, including all three a season ago. They are 10-1 against the spread the last 11 meetings at the Lakers and 35-17 against the spread the last 52 overall meetings with the Lakers. I look for Leonard to come out here and play very well as the team flexes their muscles against their crosstown rival. Take the Clippers. Thank you. |
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10-18-22 | Lakers v. Warriors -6 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Slam Dunk Play. Game 504. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Funny thing folks, the Golden State Warriors are touted to take the Western Conference. However preseason predictions have the Phoenix Suns actually taking the Pacific Division. That can’t sit well with the Warriors. No matter how you look at it, Los Angeles just does not have the horses to run with Golden State. I know that last season they played each other three times and the Warriors took two of the three meetings straight up. And the Lakers took two of the three against the spread. Yes, they play each other very tough. But this is a new season and Golden State would love to come out here and make a statement not just to their hated rivals, but to the entire Western Conference. This is a team loaded with playmakers. Let’s not forget they also finished last year covering six of their final seven at home and four of their final five overall. There’s no way they come out and start the season off without making a statement. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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10-18-22 | 76ers +2.5 v. Celtics | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 43 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. Vegas Insider Move. Game 501. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. The Celtics are touted to take Atlantic Division this season. This is a very talented team. However, they did lose a couple of big names that would definitely make them more competitive in this match up with the Sixers here tonight. I just don’t think with their current personnel that they have anyone that can contest Joel Embiid in the paint. And when they start to double-team him, Philadelphia is loaded with playmakers that can score both inside and out. If you recall, over the las few seasons, the 76ers covered seven of the last eight meetings with the Celtics. And that was with Boston’s bigger, stronger personnel. I just don’t see them stopping the big man in the middle. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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06-16-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | 103-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Game 527. 6:00 pm pst. Taking Game 4 and 5, the Golden State Warriors seem to come up with a recipe for success in this series. They certainly don’t want to force a Game 7. I know that a lot of people out there are looking at the Boston Celtics to get a big win here to force that final game. However, something compelling struck me looking at the statistics from the last few games. Despite the fact that Golden State shot extremely poorly from beyond the arc and was significantly out rebounded in both matchups, and they still won both. This tells me that is their playoff experience will come through here again tonight. There’s no way that Steph Curry, who by the way broke his streak of 132 consecutive playoff games with a 3-pointer made will not come out and light it up from downtown. Yes, Boston has the muscle. And they certainly have several outstanding players. But their lack of playoff experience will certainly hurt them here not to mention that momentum is against them. The Warriors are 7-3 against the spread the last 10 games as an underdog and 8-3 against the spread the last 11 games overall. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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06-13-22 | Celtics +4 v. Warriors | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. High Roller play. Game 525. 6:00 PM PST. The winner of each game of this series has won and covered all four contests. Now going into Game 5, these two teams are clearly evenly matched. I strongly feel this matchup will be the closest and toughest fought of the series. Not wanting to fall three games to two, Boston will come out here and utilize their strengths. They are 8-1 against the spread the last nine games played on two days rest, 13-3 against the spread the last 16 games played following a straight up loss, and 18-7-2 against the spread the last 27 games played as an underdog. The Celtics will come in here and out play the Warriors physically, both on defense and in the paint. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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06-10-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Game 523. 6:00 PM PST. Whether you are a fan of the Western Conference or the Eastern conference, you must admit that this is a very evenly matched series. Two explosive offenses and two frustrating defenses. However, looking at this Game 4 matchup, I just don’t see Golden State giving this series up without a fight. They know very well that if they drop tonight’s game, it is going to be near impossible to then win three straight. I look for their third ranked defense to frustrate Boston’s top scorers, Tatum and Brown. I also look for Steph Curry to do what he does and take this game on his shoulders and soar. The Warriors are 4-0 against the spread the last four games following a straight up loss, 4-1 against the spread the last five games on one days rest, 7-3 against the spread the last 10 games as an underdog, and 6-2 against the spread the last eight games overall. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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06-08-22 | Warriors +3.5 v. Celtics | 100-116 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 30 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Las Vegas Strip Move Game of the Year. Game 521. 6:00 pm pst/ 9:00 pm est. +3.5 Consensus. Wednesday June 8, 2022. Following an embarrassing Game 1 loss at home, Golden State took Game 2 of the Finals with authority. Not only did they light up a very good Boston defense for 107 points, but their defense held the Celtics to their lowest output this postseason, just 88 points. I understand that many out there subscribe to the zigzag theory come the NBA postseason. First of all, I don’t subscribe wholeheartedly to any theories or angles when it comes to sports betting. Once I look at a game from every angle, if there is a specific theory that confirms my initial feel, then I will put some stock into it. But by no means do I put stock in any one theory as an absolute. Having said that, the Warriors evened the series and now take it on the road to the TD Garden. Granted, Boston has not lost back-to-back games this entire postseason. But they haven’t faced Golden State either. While they certainly belong here, many out there are underestimating the well-balanced, well-coached Warriors squad. This is a team that possesses one of the most frustrating defenses in all of basketball. Not only that, but offensively they can score both inside and out. And unlike several of the Celtics other opponents during this playoffs season, they don’t just have a big man to shut down. The Warriors have a slew of talent. Of course, Steph Curry is the key cog in the wheel. However, Draymond Green stepped up big time in Game 2. And you can bet you’re going to see a lot more of what he did there here in Game 3. To go back to the Warriors defense, they held Brown to just 17 points on Sunday. Tatum did get his points, but the pair were surely out of sync. Other than that, Boston’s leading scorer was White with just 12 points. Every other Celtic had six-points or less. Golden State forced a lot of turnovers and that’s what they do folks. They slowed down and disrupted Boston’s flow in transition. And that’s where the Celtics have had much of their success. You can look for more of the same here. Now that the series is even, trust me when I tell you the Warriors want this win so bad to take a lead in the Finals, they can taste it. I get the number here. But making them an underdog is a gift by the oddsmakers. They are 7-3 against the spread the last 10 games played in the underdog role and 6-2 against spread the last eight games played overall. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -4 | Top | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. NBA Finals Game of the Year. Game 520. 5:00 pm pst. My friends, make no mistake of it, Boston dominated Game 1. They came in with a game plan, executed it, and took a very crucial road victory. Well, Golden State desperately needs to win Game 2. Not only to even up to series, but to establish their presence in this matchup. This isn’t the “due-for” factor or the “zig zag” theory. This is logic. The Warriors have not lost back-to-back games this postseason. As a matter fact they have not dropped two games in a row in over two months. In the series opener, Golden State only shot 44% overall from the floor, 42% from beyond the arc, and only went to the free-throw line 15 times, making 11 out of 15 free throws. They also allowed Boston to put up 120 points. That has only happened twice this entire postseason. And they faced some very good offenses. You can expect both teams to be basically at full force in this match up. Anyone that can suit up and play, will suit up and play. Having said that, look for the Warriors to make their shots on offense, play a little more physically, go to the line and make their free throws, and do what they do defensively. And that is to frustrate opponents’ offenses. There is no way Steve Kerr, Steph Curry and company will drop a second game at home and go down two games to zero in the series. They are also 5-1 against the spread the last six games played following a straight up loss, 4-1 against the spread the last five games played at the Chase Center, and 5-2 against the spread the last seven games played overall. Take the Warriors. Thank you.
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06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. NBA Finals Game 1 Winner. Game 518. 6:00 pm pst. There is no question both of these teams belong here. But there are certainly more than a few advantages on the side of the Warriors. First of all, they’re playing at home where they sport a 39-10 SU record this season. They have also covered four straight at the Chase Center. Next, they had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for the Championship series. And lastly, which I feel is the most important, this is a whole different monster of an opponent than the Celtics have faced in the playoffs. In the first several rounds, Boston had to deal with very good opponents. But each of the opponents have one main player they had to contain. That is not the case here. Golden State is chock-full of talent. And they can beat you both inside and out. Not only that, but an enormous amount of the Celtics success comes in transition. They are excellent in transition. However, they will not have that same opportunity here in this match up with the Warriors. Golden State owns one of the nastiest, most frustrating, and well-disciplined defenses in the NBA. They can swarm you man-to-man, they can play zone, they are excellent on the boards, they can steal the ball, they can create turnovers, and they can force a lot of mistakes. There is one more major factor here in the first game of the NBA finals that significantly benefits the Warriors. Their players have a lot more postseason experience. They don’t rattle very easily in big game situations. Obviously, the Celtics have played well. They got to the Finals. But they certainly have some cracks and the Warriors can and will exploit those cracks. Boston is 2-5-1 against the spread the last eight games following a straight up win. Golden State is 5-1 against the spread the last six games overall. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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05-29-22 | Celtics -140 v. Heat | Top | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Boston Celtics. Game 509. 5:30 pm pst. Boston had a chance to finish off the series at home on Friday. The Celtics are no stranger to winning under pressure in the postseason. If you recall they took the final two matchups with the Bucks to take that series. Both teams have a few players listed as questionable here. However, Miami’s injuries are a little more significant. With Lowry and Herro being the most important. As of post, reports are that Lowry, hampered with a hamstring issue will play. And most likely, Herro, dealing with a groin issue, will not. Check status on both as these are just early morning reports. Through their 17 games played this playoffs campaign, the Boston Celtics have never not covered back-to-back games. For our purposes this is huge. Look for The Boston scoring leaders, Tatum and Brown to take this came on their shoulders and light up to scoreboard. The Celtics are 4-1 against this spread the last five games played at the FTX arena, 6-0 against the spread the last six games played following a straight up loss, and 6-1 against the spread the last seven games played as a road favorite. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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05-22-22 | Warriors +3 v. Mavs | Top | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. Slam Dunk Game of the Year. Game 563. 6 pm pst. Taking Game 1 and 2 of this series at home, the odds makers are looking to beat you here. But we aren’t going to fall for the trap as the Warriors have won and covered three straight in the postseason. Their frustrating defense along with their very deep, talented, and experienced bench and crafty team, is just too strong in the series for Dallas to handle. Giving them points here is a huge mistake. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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05-21-22 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 207.5 | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Over in the Heat/Celtics matchup. Best Bet Total. Games 551/562. 5:30 pm pst. Despite both the Heat and the Celtics possessing top-five defenses, both Games 1 and 2 of this series have gone over the total. Game 1, Miami came out and just dominated. Game 2, Boston made some adjustments with the addition of some players that were injured in the previous game and dominated there. There will obviously be more adjustments made in Gam3, however no matter how good these defenses are, their offenses superstars will shine here again. Nine of the last 12 overall meetings have got over the total including four the last five matchups in Boston. The over is also 8-1 in the Heats last nine vs. teams with a winning record and 9-2 and the Celtics last 11 vs. teams with a winning record. Take the over. Thank you. |
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05-20-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -6 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Game 648. 6:00 pm pst. The Dallas Mavericks are a very good team. However, they lose a little something when they travel. And let’s be honest, the Golden State Warriors defense is absolutely outstanding. Andrew Wiggins handcuffed Luka Doncic in Game 1 as good or better than we’ve seen anybody defend the forward this season, holding him just 20 points and seven rebounds in the series opener. The Mavericks have trouble when they travel. Not just straight up, but against the spread as well as they are 1-4 ATS their last five games played on the road. On the other hand, the Warriors have really turned it up the ladder half of the season and in the playoffs. They have won all seven postseason games played at home in 2022, going 5-2 against the spread. Overall, this team is 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played at the Chase Center. Dallas will make some adjustments at the start of this game but so will Golden State. The Warriors are just going to be kryptonite for the Mavericks in this series. Particularly here at home where they know they need to take another victory before Game 3 on the road. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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05-19-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Heat | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Game 543. 5:30 pm pst. Both teams were missing some key players in the Game 1 match up. However quite a few things went wrong for Boston. This is a team that owns the NBA’s number one scoring defense, and yet they allowed the most points this postseason in Tuesday’s match up. While Al Horford is listed as doubtful here, Marcus Smart, they’re defensive key, is listed as probable. That will be big for Boston here. The Celtics cannot afford to go down two games in this series. Look for NBA Defensive Player of the Year, Smart (check status) to return here and make an impact right away, thus allowing the Celtics to succeed in transition and allow superstars Tatum and Brown to shine. Boston is 4-0 against the spread the last four games played following a straight up loss, 7-1-1 against the spread the last nine games played as underdog, and 19-7-1 against the spread the last 27 games played on the road. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |