Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-16-23 | Temple +9.5 v. VCU | 78-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Temple Owls. Game 617. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. Temple took last season’s matchup with VCU at home, 83-73. They enter this contest winning their last two games straight up. And winning and covering both road games this season. They've already stepped up in class and beat the likes of Drexel outright, a tough LaSalle foe, while covering but not getting the win against Mississippi with a heartbreaking, one-point loss. Meanwhile, the Rams have already taken outright losses against the McNeese State Cowboys and the Norfolk State Spartans. This certainly raises a red flag for me, my friends. Giving the Owls this many points is a huge mistake. Take Temple. Thank you. |
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12-13-23 | Arkansas State v. Louisville -3.5 | 75-63 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Louisville Cardinals. Game 634. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Last year was head coach. Kenny Payne's first season at the helm for the Louisville Cardinals. And to say it was a disastrous season would be an understatement. The team went 4-28. Now, I'm not saying this team is going to compete for the conference title. But one more victory and they surpassed last season's win total. This is a very big, very emotional game for this team. Arkansas State is less than a formidable opponent, for sure. They are winless on the road and an overall 3-7. They have played three power conference squads already, and got outscored by a total of 67 points at the hands of Wisconsin, Iowa, and Alabama, all resulting in losses. Although Louisville is not as strong as those teams, they are still a step up in class here. I expect the Red Wolves to fold like a cheap suit. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
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12-12-23 | California Baptist v. Oregon -11.5 | 55-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Oregon Ducks. Game 620. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Following back-to-back straight up losses to USC and Alabama, Oregon is now back on track winning and covering their last few games against Michigan and UTEP. As a matter of fact, the team is 5-3 ATS this season already. At home. They are perfect at 4-0 and what better team to face to continue their win streak than Cal Baptist. With all respect to the Lancers, they don't pose too much of a threat here tonight against the Ducks. This is a team that's already suffered losses at the hands of the Portland State Vikings and the Utah Tech Trailblazers. I know several of the Oregon big 0names have been sidelined. But this team is stacked deeper and higher than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast establishment. Granted, California Baptist possesses a statistically solid defense. But they haven't played any decent opponents yet, let alone the caliber offense that accounts for over 80.8 points per game on 47.8% shooting from the line and 37.6 shooting from beyond the arc. Take the Ducks. Thank you. |
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12-09-23 | Gonzaga -3.5 v. Washington | 73-78 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Gonzaga Bulldogs. Game 743 8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST. The No. 7 Bulldogs have dominated the Huskies, winning seven consecutive meetings straight up, going back quite a while. This contest will be the seventh matchup just over the last eight years for the two West Coast squads. Gonzaga, has gotten the bettors paid, covering all but one. Since suffering their lone defeat back on November 20, at the hands of Purdue, the Zags seem to be on a mission, riding a five-game straight up hot streak, taking down such notables as Syracuse, UCLA, and USC. Washington is struggling, with three losses already. It is obvious the Huskies beat the beatable opponents, while get beat up by the solid ones. Granted, losing to Nevada, San Diego State, and Colorado State isn’t something to be ashamed of, but they seem to fold when facing strong competition. And folks, Gonzaga is just about as strong as it gets (LOL). No matter how you look at it, the Bulldogs are far superior here. Take Gonzaga. Thank you. |
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12-02-23 | Memphis v. Ole Miss | 77-80 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Memphis on the moneyline. Game 619. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. Memphis has some very high expectations this season, led by Coach, Penny Hardaway. The team is already taken down such notables as Missouri, Michigan, and Arkansas. But come off their first loss of the campaign over a week ago at the hands of Villanova. I expect them to rebound here and come back and make a statement against Mississippi. Granted, the Rebels are undefeated at 6-0 straight up. But they are just 1-5 against the spread so far, and they really haven't faced the cream of the crop. This is a big step up in class for them. And I don't see them coming out of it with a victory. The Tigers have height, speed, depth, and some serious rebounders. Take Memphis on the money line. Thank you. |
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12-01-23 | Purdue -5 v. Northwestern | 88-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Purdue Boilermakers. Game 875. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. And right now, the No. 1 team in the nation, the Purdue Boilermakers have had this game circled since the schedule came out. If you recall a season ago, the Northwestern Wildcats took them down, 64-58. Last season, Purdue went 15-5 straight up in Big Ten play to win the Conference regular season title. They then followed that up by winning the Big Ten Tournament. But that loss against Northwestern will motivate them here tonight, not just to win, but to win big. They were ranked No. 1 last season when they did take the loss to the Wildcats. The Boilermakers are a monster team, with arguably the best player in the country, owning an explosive offense, and a frustrating defense. They have already taken down such notables as Gonzaga, Tennessee, and Marquette. They have done quite well so far possessing an unblemished 7-0 record straight up, while going 6-1 against the spread. While Northwestern is a formable opponent, they just don't have the personnel to stack up here. They enter this match 5-1 SU, but just 2-4 ATS. And to be honest with you, they haven't faced anyone near the caliber of opponent as they're facing here tonight. The boilermakers get their revenge. Thank you. |
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11-30-23 | Texas State v. Texas -19 | 58-77 | Push | 0 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Texas Longhorns. Game 756. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Following their only loss of the season at the hands of defending National Champion, UConn Huskies, the Texas Longhorns, crushed the Wyoming Cowboys, 86-63 at home. They continue to stay at the Moody Center where they are perfect this season at 4-0 SU. I think that loss at the hands of the Huskies motivated this team to keep their foot on the gas. After this matchup, they have a pushover opponent in Houston Christian before playing a neutral site game against LSU. So, this is their final last few games to get in sync and work out any kinks. What better opponent to face than the Texas State Bobcats. They have taken the last 12 meetings in this series. Just going back, the last 10, they have one by an average margin of 24.9 points per game. They seem to take a lot of enjoyment in beating up on their in-state rival. Lol. Outside of the Sooners, which they were annihilated, 93-54, the Bobcats haven't faced any teams of the caliber as they are facing here tonight. Let's face it, the Longhorns average over 82.0 points per game, while allowing just 67.2 points per game. They hit over 51.4% from the field and 38.1% from beyond the arc, while making over 72.2% of their free throws. They're also monsters on the boards. None of these matchups will benefit the visitor here. Take the home team Texas. Thank you. |
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11-21-23 | Colorado -4.5 v. Florida State | 71-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Colorado Buffaloes. Game 647. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. At 4-0, Colorado is off to their best start since the 2019/2020 season. The team is ranked 18th in the nation right now. Not only are they winning, but they are covering, going 3-1 ATS. This is a team that beat some very good opposition a season ago, including some very solid, non-conference foes. If you recall, last November, they took down Tennessee outright as a 15.0 point ‘dog and Texas A&M outright as a 6.5 point ‘dog. I feel Florida State is not on the same level at all. If you recall last year, they began the campaign off going 1-9 straight up and 3-7 against the spread. They lost to teams they should've beaten; Stetson, Central Florida, Troy, and Siena. As the season progressed, things didn't get too much better for the Seminoles. Offensively, the Buffaloes possess better scorers, both inside and out. As a matter fact, they're hitting just shy of 50% from downtown. They're also a lot stronger from the line And I do believe this game will get physical. Oh, by the way, on the defensive side, they are feisty and own the better rebounders. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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11-10-23 | UCF +10 v. Miami-FL | 72-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
UCF. Game 827. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. This is just way too many points to give a very capable, very feisty, and very underrated, Central Florida squad. The Knights are motivated by the preseason prediction of finishing last in the Conference. They will come out here with something to prove and make a statement. Take UCF. Thank you. |
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11-06-23 | Georgia v. Oregon -5 | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Oregon Ducks. Game 768. 1:30 PM, PST/4:30 PM EST. The Georgia Bulldogs seriously underwhelmed a season ago. They also lost several key players, including their three-top scorers. As a matter of fact, they do not return a single player that averaged double-digits a season ago. On the other hand, the Oregon Ducks are expected to be one of the best teams in the Pac-12. They return their top-scorer. Overall, three of their four top-scorers from last year's roster are back. While the Bulldogs haven't been to Sin City, since Tom Crean was on the sidelines, the Ducks are a fan-favorite here. And are certainly used to the bright lights on the Strip, playing in Las Vegas the last six seasons. They have a lot to prove in the season-opener. This is a team that should've won the Conference Title season ago. And when they went to play in the postseason in the brackets, won and covered against UCI and UCF, but lost a heartbreaker to Wisconsin. They have a lot to prove here and they will. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4 v. Texas | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Miami Florida Hurricanes. Tournament Top Rated Play. Game 655. 2:05 PM PST/5:05 PM EST. With all respect to the Longhorns, the Hurricanes match up well with them. They also come in here 100% healthy. Texas will not know until just prior to the game time if their top postseason scorer and rebounder, Dylan Disu (check status) will be playing here. Even if he plays, the forward will not be 100% as he is dealing with a foot injury. As I mentioned earlier, Miami matches a very well here. Offensively, they score a little more per game. They are also more accurate from downtown, the free throw line, and overall, on the floor. Let’s not forget that defensively, the Hurricanes are monsters on the boards. Arguably, one of the best backcourts in college basketball belongs to the Hurricanes with Wong and Miller. Throw into the mix that forward, Omier and guard, Pack have taken their games up a notch, and that spells doom for Texas. The Hurricanes have the speed, the height, the muscle, the intelligence, and the depth to not just contend here this matchup, but to win it. Giving this team four-points (at the time of posting this) is a huge mistake. They have covered six of the last seven games in NCAA Tournament, nine of the last 12 games played versus teams with a winning record, and four of the last five games played following an ATS win. Take the Hurricanes. Thank you. |
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03-24-23 | Xavier v. Texas -4 | Top | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Texas Longhorns. Tournament Top Rated Play. Game 646. 6:45 PM PST/9:45 PM EST. This is the matchup that being depleted will prove to be fatal for Xavier. The Musketeers are without a couple of key cogs in the wheel. Yes, I know they can score points. But let’s face it, they are going up against a team that scores just about as much as them. And an opponent that defensively can frustrate here immensely. Texas has the size, the speed, and the depth to take this game on their shoulders, control the tempo, and send Xavier home packing. The Longhorns also had better success playing out of their conference this season. They had early season wins over Gonzaga, Stanford and yes, even Creighton. They enter this matchup running red-hot, winning and covering every single postseason game thus far. I think both teams have very strong backcourts. But the difference in this matchup will be the Longhorns having the height and the muscle in the paint to dominate. Take Texas. Thank you. |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Houston | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Miami Hurricanes No Limit Play. Game 643. 4:15 PM, PST/7:15 PM EST. My friends, Houston is a monster team. I’m not looking to take anything away from the Cougars. However, I think we can all agree, this team gets vastly overvalued by oddsmakers. Case in point, they have only covered five of the last 15 outings. This team possesses one of the best backwards in the nation. But for the first time in a long time, they do not have the best backcourt on the floor in a matchup. Wong and Miller are the driving force behind the Miami Hurricanes. Not only can the tandem score, they can rebound, they can steal, and let’s face it, they are amazingly unselfish, earning assists. I know Houston possesses one of the most frustrating defenses in college basketball. But Miami has a very complete offense and as I mentioned earlier, they are very unselfish. It is so hard to key on any one or two players on the floor. They are also vastly superior from the free throw line, which I believe will play a major factor in this game. One more thing folks. On a regular basis, playing in the ACC definitely benefits a team like Miami, which faces tougher opposition from day-to-day than does Houston in the AAC. By the way, the Cougars are just 1-6 ATS the last seven games played following an ATS win and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played versus teams with a winning record. The Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS the last six NCAA Tournament games played and 36-16-1 ATS the last 53 games played versus teams are the winning percentage of 1.600. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee -5.5 | 62-55 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Tennessee Volunteers. Slam Dunk Play. Game 636 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. With all respect to the Owls, they just don’t face the same level of competition the Volunteers do on a regular basis. Yes, they have tallied a record of 33-3 this season. However, they just can’t contend with their opponent in this matchup. I understand they score 79.3-points per game. But they are going up against one of the toughest, stingiest, and most frustrating defenses in college basketball. Tennessee allows a mere 57.5-points per game, which ranks fourth in points allowed. They also rank first in the nation in field-goal percentage allowed and three-point percentage allowed. And the advantages don’t stop there either. They are excellent on the defensive boards as well. Not only that, but I offensively they will dominate inside and out in this matchup. They too can score points and rank 14th on the offensive glass. They will get a ton of second-chance opportunities. If you really wonder how good this team is defensively, just look at how they completely shut down the Duke, just five days ago. While both teams here possess solid back court talent. Upfront, there is no doubt that the Vols will dominate in the paint. They are bigger, stronger, and will be more physical here. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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03-23-23 | Arkansas v. Connecticut -4 | 65-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
U Conn Huskies. Tournament Top Rated Play. Game 640. 4:15 PM PST/7:15 PM EST. My friends, Arkansas is in way over their head here. With all due respect, this team played their best basketball of the season a few days ago when they took down top-seeded, Kansas. Not only are they going to be in letdown mode. They’re actually going to come back down to Earth, plummeting from the penthouse to the ground floor very quickly. We all know that the Big East conference teams play a very physical game. Well folks, the Razorbacks faced one Big East squad this season, back in November and fell to the Blue Jays. Meanwhile, the Huskies covered both meetings with that same Blue Jays team this season, winning the first match up 69-60 and then falling just a bit short in the second matchup, 56-53. Meanwhile, Connecticut has done extremely well against the South Eastern Conference once again this season. They won their only two meetings against SEC representatives this season, taking down Alabama, which happens to be the SEC‘s No. 1 team, 82-67. They also decimated Florida 75-54. Granted the Razorbacks had no problem with the Gators in their sole matchup. But did lose and failed to cover two meetings with the Crimson Tide. The Huskies possess an overwhelming defense that just smothers you. I mean they play in a very competitive conference, and yet they only allow 54.8-points per game, and also happened to be a top-10 squad on the defensive glass. I mentioned earlier how physical the Big East teams play. Well, that is going to be a big disadvantage for the Razorbacks, which only hit 69% from the free-throw line. If you’re worried about UConn’s scoring ability, don’t be. Since the season began, they’ve been one of the best in the nation in scoring, averaging over 79.0-points per game. Let’s not forget they are also monsters on the offensive glass as well. When it comes to NCAA Tournament matchups, they have been money to anybody who wagers on them, covering 18 of the last 24 in that situation. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
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03-23-23 | Michigan State v. Kansas State +1.5 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Kansas State Wildcats. NO Limit Play. Game 638. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. After taking down the Big East champ and No. 2 seed Marquette, 69-60 on Sunday, I feel Michigan State is in a huge let down situation here. We all know Tom Izzo‘s squads fall a little short when it comes to the Big Dance. We don’t have to rehash that issue. I do think the Spartans are very lucky to be here at this point. This is a team that’s just 5-3 straight up the last eight outings, going 4-4 ATS. They really don’t have the most explosive offense. They’re only real asset offensively, is their accuracy from beyond the arc. However, the Wildcats counter with the 13th ranked three-point shooting defense in college basketball. As a matter fact, they’ve played very good defense for most of the season. This is a team that plays in arguably the toughest conference in college basketball today, and yet only allows 68.7-points per game. They’re hotter entering this matchup, winning and covering six of the last eight outings. Kansas State has scorers, height, strength, speed, and depth. They are also 5-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, 4-1 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win, and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |