Indiana Pacers.

Game 5 Winner.

Game 509.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Oklahoma City certainly deserves to be in the NBA Finals. For most of this season, the Thunder proved to be a true force to be reckoned with. No one gave the Indiana Pacers too much thought coming into this series. But here we are in Game 5, as the series is all tied up, 2-2. The Pacer style of play seems to be frustrating their opponent here. They match up very well. Giving them nearly double-digits, in my opinion, is a big mistake made by the oddsmakers. I know OKC is playing at home at the Paycom Center, where they are 44-8 SU this season. Even if Oklahoma City comes in here and plays their best game and wins, I still feel this is way too many points to give Indiana. I don't see the Pacers letting their foot off the gas at all, and once again being extremely competitive in Game 5. By the way, this playoff campaign, after each loss, they came back to win and cover (5-0 ATS in that situation). Taking Indiana plus the points. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder.

BEST BET.

Game 505.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Dropping the first game of the Finals brought the Thunder back down to Earth. They got back to business in Game 2, and proved that they are the best team in the NBA. Playing on the road at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse doesn't change a thing as far as the outcome. But the oddsmakers put a short line out to try to trap you. We will not fall for it. OKC took care of business in the last matchup, and will do the same here tonight. They will take no chances, especially being on the road. They will once again prove why they are the best team in basketball. Take the Thunder. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder on the ML.

Slam Dunk.

Game 5456.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

The Oklahoma City Thunder haven't lost too many games overall this season. But losing by 42 points in Game 3 was a real embarrassment. It was the worst beating they took all season long. As a matter of fact, they have not dropped back-to-back games this postseason, and only dropped back-to-back games twice during the regular season. With all respect to the Minnesota Timberwolves, I think they poked the bear in the last game. I feel the Thunder will come out here and prove a point, and take Game 4 of this series. OKC is a very well coached, smart team, and they know if they allow Minny to even up this series, it changes things significantly. Take the Thunder on the money line. Thank you.

NBA BEST BET PLAY. Be on it & be a WINNER.

Oklahoma City Thunder on the Moneyline.

Game 541.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

With all respect to the Minnesota Timberwolves, they are just simply outclassed in this matchup. It doesn't matter that they are now playing at home at the Target Center. They lost Games 1 and 2 by 26 and 15 points. People forget how good the Thunder are on the road as they are 35-10 as a visitor this season. I feel the oddsmakers are aware Oklahoma City has yet to cover an away game this postseason. They are also aware the Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in this playoff campaign at home. There is no way OKC will allow Minny back in this series. Take the Thunder on the Moneyline tonight. Thank you.

***61.1% NBA RUN (22-16-1). Today, we CRUSH THE BOOKS on the hardwood with my PACERS/KNICKS GAME 2 WINNER.

New York Knicks.

Game 2 Winner.

Game 540.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

As of posting this play very early in the a.m., most of the money has come on the Indiana Pacers. But I am here to tell you once again, the general public is wrong. Yes, New York held a 14-point lead within three minutes left in regulation in the series opener. And yes, they let the game slip away. But head coach Tom Thibodeau and his team know that they cannot fall behind 2-0, and then take this series on the road. New York is a very good team, loaded with playmakers. It is true Indiana has played them tough over recent seasons. But something further motivates them here, and that is Tyrese Haliburton's actions in Wednesday’s contest. Halliburton made a choke sign towards the Knicks bench, and their crowd. Trust me when I tell you this did not sit well with anyone in the building. New York still built up that tremendous lead before they let it slip away. They have the ability to do so again here, and will not fall back in the series. They will tie the series up, and make a statement for Halliburton and Indiana team that they are a superior squad. Take the Knicks. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

GAME 1 WINNER.

Game 527.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Sports betting isn't about who wins. Sports betting is about who covers. The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered three of four meetings with the Oklahoma City Thunder this season. Going back a little further, they have covered seven of the last 10 matchups. They also enter this round, a little hotter, and certainly better-rested. They have won and covered eighth of 10 playoff games this season. They also dispatched of the Golden State Warriors four days before the Thunder needed seven games to send the Denver Nuggets home. They are better rested, have more momentum, and have their opponents number. Speaking of their opponent, Oklahoma City is a darn good team. But I don't feel they warrant being this high of a favorite in Game 1 of this round. They are dangerous at both ends of the court. But I think we can all agree, their defense has shown signs of cracking, while they're offense can be stalled. This is way too many points. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

MONEYMAKER PLAY.

Game 581.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

As good as the Oklahoma City Thunder are, the Denver Nuggets cover against them. Remember my friends, sports betting isn't about who wins, it’s about who covers. The Nuggets have covered five of seven meetings with the Thunder this season. Folks, this is a lot of points. I am aware the Thunder possesses the fourth-ranked scoring offense, and the second-ranked scoring defense in the NBA. But they are just not crushing it like they were in the regular season. A lot of people forget the Nuggets own the second-ranked scoring conference, top the league in field-goal percentage, rank fifth in three-point percentage, and fourth on the offensive glass. Denver’s regular season and postseason leading scorer, Nikola Jokic has struggled the last three games. He is just 21-of-63 from the field, which is just 33.3%, and just 18.2% from downtown, shooting 4-of-22. Moreover, he has average only 5.0 assists per contest over the last three games. This is a superstar that shot less than 40% just once in the regular season, but hasn't reached that percentage since the series-opener. I feel he will step up here, and have his best numbers this series. Obviously both teams want this win. No matter what the final score, I do believe it will be a lot closer than this point spread. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

MONEYMAKER PLAY.

Game 581.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

As good as the Oklahoma City Thunder are, the Denver Nuggets cover against them. Remember my friends, sports betting isn't about who wins, it’s about who covers. The Nuggets have covered five of seven meetings with the Thunder this season. Folks, this is a lot of points. I am aware the Thunder possesses the fourth-ranked scoring offense, and the second-ranked scoring defense in the NBA. But they are just not crushing it like they were in the regular season. A lot of people forget the Nuggets own the second-ranked scoring conference, top the league in field-goal percentage, rank fifth in three-point percentage, and fourth on the offensive glass. Denver’s regular season and postseason leading scorer, Nikola Jokic has struggled the last three games. He is just 21-of-63 from the field, which is just 33.3%, and just 18.2% from downtown, shooting 4-of-22. Moreover, he has average only 5.0 assists per contest over the last three games. This is a superstar that shot less than 40% just once in the regular season, but hasn't reached that percentage since the series-opener. I feel he will step up here, and have his best numbers this series. Obviously both teams want this win. No matter what the final score, I do believe it will be a lot closer than this point spread. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

BEST BET.

Game 573.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

The Cavaliers, the #1 team in the East ran through the Miami Heat in the first round of the playoffs sweeping them, 4-0. They then entered round two, the conference semifinals, and took losses in the first two games at home. They certainly remedied their situation by shredding the Indiana Pacers in Game 3 on the road, 126-104. People forget how good the Cavaliers really are. This is a team that has won and covered all three road games this postseason. Going back a little further, Cleveland has won and covered five consecutive games played as a visitor. This team is money on the road. Their defense stifled the Pacers in the last matchup, and will give them another heavy dose of defense here. No matter how you slice it, the Indiana defense ranked 20th during the regular season, yielding a whopping 116.6 points per game. This does not bode well when you're facing the NBA’s top-scoring offense. Cleveland is also better at both ends of the court overall on the boards. They will even the series here, and get another win and cover. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

SLAM DUNK.

Game 569.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

This series is now tied 1-1. Minnesota took Game 2 with authority, 117-93, in the absence of Steph Curry. Golden State is a very good team. But without one of the most seasoned and savvy players in the NBA, it looks like they are just sitting ducks. Curry is their leading scorer, and one of the best three-point shooters in the history of the NBA. We know the Warriors heavily rely upon their outside shooting. In the last outing, without the guard, they shot just 28% from beyond the arc, a dismal 9-for-32. Not only does the absence of their leader affect their shooting, it also affects their defense, and whatever they do in transition. The Timberwolves are a darn good team. They enter this matchup winning eight of their last 10, and covering seven of those 10, which does include ATS covers in three of four on the road. They possess one of the best outside shooting teams in the NBA, and a truly frustrating defense. While I'm never crazy about laying points on the road in pro hoops, this game is a winner. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 565.

7:00 PM PST/10;00 PM EST.

After losing the series-opener at home, a heartbreaking two-point loss, the Oklahoma City Thunder came out in Game 2 to rout the Denver Nuggets, 149-106. I feel they ride that momentum here into Game 3 on the road, where they are a very small favorite. This is one of the best overall teams in the NBA, and one of the best road teams in the NBA as well. The Thunder are 34-8 away from home this season, and have also covered 11 of their last 14 games played as a visitor. They know they cannot allow the Nuggets to go up 2-1 in this series. They will come out here riding the momentum from the last matchup, and devour the home team in this matchup. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers on the ML.

SLAM DUNK PLAY.

Game 563.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

The Cleveland Cavaliers were heavily favored in this series with the Indiana Pacers. But here we are playing at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Game 3, and the Cavs are down 2-0. They must come back to win today if they have any chance in this series. Please remember, this is one of the best teams in the NBA this season, amassing an overall record of 68-20, which does include a 32-11 road record. This is a team that has won and covered four consecutive games played as a visitor, including both road contests this postseason. They have some injury issues. However, this is a very smart, very talented, very well coached squad. They know they must take Game 3. I think they cover the spread. But just to err on the side of caution, take Cleveland on the Moneyline. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

SLAM DUNK PLAY.

Game 557.

6:30 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Traditionally, when a heavy favorite in a series opener at home loses Game 1, you would look to side with them in Game 2. But that's not the case here as the Nuggets face the Thunder at the Paycom Center in the second game of this round. Denver has been a thorn in Oklahoma City’s side, winning three of the last four meetings, both straight up and against the spread. Going back a little further, they have also covered four of the last five matchups played at the Paycom Center. Obviously OKC cannot afford to lose another game at home. After this the next few games are played in Denver. I am aware the Thunder have only lost back-to-back games twice during the regular season, and are of the best home teams in the NBA. But the Nuggets match up well with them. People forget Denver possesses one of the best offenses in the league, ranking second in scoring, first in field goal percentage, fifth in three-point percentage, and fourth on the offensive boards. To make matters worse for opponents, they're also a top-10 team on the defensive side of the court on the boards as well. It's true, the Oklahoma City Thunder defense ranks second in basketball. But they're outclassed on the boards here. That is a big factor, and a huge edge for the visiting team in this matchup. I think this is way too many points. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

SLAM DUNK PLAY.

Game 587.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

A lot of people like the Minnesota Timberwolves in this series because they have younger legs. With all respect to them, they are a very good team. However, experience plays a huge part, come the postseason. One thing the Golden State Warriors have, is a seasoned squad come playoff time. They showed what they are made of in Game 7 in the first round series with the Houston Rockets. This is a team that doesn't get rattled, and knows how and when to turn it up. Giving them this many points is a huge mistake. Especially because they won and covered the last three meetings in this rivalry, going back to December 2024. My friends, that includes both meetings played on the road. This is a team that has had success away from home this season, going 26-19 as a visitor. Yes, Minnesota has had four extra days to rest and prepare for this series. But I do feel with their lack of playoff experience, they are going to come in here rusty. I am aware they have won and covered their last three games. But this is a whole different monster here. Golden State possesses very similar numbers on offense, and their defense can be very frustrating. They are also a little stronger on the offensive boards, which will give them a lot of second-chance opportunities. I mentioned earlier this is way too many points. I feel the Warriors can win this game outright. But I'll take the points. By the way, if you're worried about being in a big underdog here, don't be. I think we learned a lesson from the Pacers, Knicks, and Nuggets already. Take the Warriors. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 521.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

The Nuggets can close out the series tonight. They certainly don't want the Clippers to even it up here, at all. This is a team that was very successful when they traveled this season, going 25-18 away from home. While Los Angeles has struggled over the last two games, I am well aware they ran hot for a bit prior to that. However, I feel the oddsmakers are giving them way too much credit in this situation because they are faced with elimination, and are playing at home. Those two reasons do not justify this high of a number. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

SLAM DUNK PLAY.

Game 519.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

After taking back-to-back contests in this series in Games 3 and 4, New York lost a heartbreaker the other night at home, 106-103. Outside of the series opener in which the Knicks prevailed, 123-112, every matchup since has been a close one. New York must not allow Detroit to even up this series. They must win tonight, or at the very least, keep this game extremely competitive. Please understand Detroit enters this matchup losing and failing to cover seven of their last 10 games, which does include five of their last six played on their own home court. I feel, on both sides of the court, NY has a little too much, and they're certainly better coached. Take the Knicks. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Slam Dunk.

Game 430.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

The Golden State Warriors, and their extensive playoff experience is showing what it takes to win this time of year. They have the opportunity to finish out this series, and get some well-needed rest before the next round. This is a good road team, possessing an overall away record of 25-18 this season. They have covered six of their last seven games played as a visitor as well. With all respect to the Houston Rockets, they have now dropped six of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread. They have a ton of talent, folks. But they don't have the playoff experience to contend with their counterpart here. Take the Warriors. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

SLAM DUNK.

Game 561.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Game 3's can sometimes be tricky in the NBA. Especially when a team goes on the road after winning the first two of the series. But I don't see anything tricky about the Cavaliers/Heat matchup. Cleveland has dominated Miami, taking four in a row, all in 2025. There are an excellent road team, sporting a 30-11 away record this season. They enter this matchup winning seven of their last 10 straight, up and four of the last six against the spread. This does include ATS covers in the last two games played on the road at the Knicks, and the Pacers. Meanwhile, the Heat are struggling, dropping six of their last 10 straight up, which does include three of their last four played at home. I just don't see them deep enough, or talented enough to compete in this matchup. I also don't see the Cavaliers letting their foot off the gas here. There is no way they're gonna’ allow Miami to get back in this series. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

OKC THUNDER.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 545.

6:30 M ST930 PM EST.

The first two games of this series were played at the Paycom Center, in which the Thunder were favorites of 13.0 and 14.0 points. They covered both of those games. As a matter of fact, they've taken 10 in a row over the Grizzlies, covering nine of the 10, which does include all six meetings this season. In the six matchups this campaign, they have won by 24, 13, 17, 21, 51, and 19 points. There is no question they outclass the Memphis. They enter this matchup covering six consecutive games, and eight of their last overall 10 contests. They are one of the best road teams in the NBA, going 32-8 away from home this season. They're also, overall, on the campaign, 57-24-4 against the spread. They will not allow their opponent to gain any ground here. Once again, their high-flying offense will light up the scoreboard against one of the poorest defenses in basketball. Take OKC. Thank you.

New York Knicks MONEYLINE.

SLAM DUNK PLAY.

Game 547.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Early money on this contest is coming in on the home team, and I understand why. Detroit took four of the most recent five meetings with New York, which includes Game 2 of of this series at Madison Square Garden. But I doubt very much Karl-Anthony Towns has another bad game. They standout center had just 10 points in the last meeting, which is 14.4 points less than he averaged during the regular season. I see him bouncing back here with a good performance, while NY does what they do, play physical basketball. Please understand Detroit enters this matchup losing and failing to cover seven of their last 10 games, which does include three or four played at home. I just feel the Knicks bounce back. Take NY. Thank You.

Golden State Warriors.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 541.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

With the Golden State Warriors at full strength, this is a time of year this team specifically, will shine. They have several players with a ton of playoff experience. While the Houston Rockets are a good team, they lack postseason seasoning. That was evident in Game 1 of this series in which the Warriors, on the road took down the Rockets, 95-85. Houston pulled down 22 offensive rebounds to just six offensive boards for Golden State. But yet their advantage in second-chance opportunities was absolutely horrible Steph Curry took the game on his shoulders. The one-two punch of him and Jimmy Butler, is phenomenal. Yes, the Warriors let a very large lead dwindle. But they still took the game at the end, and did what they had to do. That is because of the experience they possess in playoff games. Making them this much of an underdog is a mistake. They know they must not allow their opponent to even up this series before going home for the next two matchups. Take Golden State. Thank you.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS.

LATE BAILOUT.

Game 515.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

Sports fans, I understand why the line is what it is. But I do feel the oddsmakers are looking to put you in a bear trap here. Golden State is a deep team, a talented team, and is a very good road team. They face a Houston opponent that is a very good team, too. However, they did lose and fail to cover their final three regular season games. They face a very frustrating defense here. They did take the most recent meeting about two weeks ago at Golden State, as the team limited Steph Curry to just three-points. As one of the best players in the history of this league, and one of the most experience players as well, I see Curry coming back here with a vengeance, making a statement, and bringing a victory to his team. Take the Warriors. Thank you.

OKC THUNDER.

FAST BREAK.

Game 514.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Don't think for a single second that this is a lot of points. Oklahoma City is one of the best home teams in the NBA, at 35-6 at the Paycom Center. They are also 55-24-4 ATS this season. They have dominated Memphis, taking nine consecutive games straight up, covering eight of the nine. They have won and covered all four a matchups this season by 24 points, 13 points, 17 points, and 21 points. I just don't see the Grizzlies competing defensively against a top-five offense in every major category. Let's not forget the Thunder also possess the league’s second-best defense as well. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 507.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

I know this game is being played in L.A. But Minnesota has given Los Angeles some headaches over recent seasons. I feel the Lakers are being overvalued here, for sure. The Timberwolves enter this matchup winning eight of their last nine games straight up, and covering six of those nine, which does include three or five on the road. Let's face it, the Lakers have some high-profile players. But their numbers are middle of the road. Minnesota scores more on offense, allows less on defense, is better from downtown, both offensively and defensively, is better from the free-throw line, is better at both of the court on the boards, and owns better numbers defensively. For the life of me, I feel the oddsmakers are putting this number out so high because they know LeBron James and company is going to get money wagered on them. In all sincerity, I think this game should be closer to a Pick ‘em. So. I'll take the points and take the Timberwolves. Thank you.

Detroit Pistons.

LVSM.

Game 501.

3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST.

I don't know if you're aware of this, but I am a born and raised New York Knicks fan. And yet, I think they're significantly overvalued in this matchup. Yes, they are playing at home where they're 27-14 straight up this season. But this team struggled a bit down the stretch, dropping four of their last seven games straight up. They also had a lot of problems with the Detroit Pistons, losing and failing to cover the three most recent matchups in December, January, and April. By the way, two of those three matchups were played at Madison Square Garden. Speaking of the Pistons, Cade Cunningham is going to be back on the court (check status). They were very successful on the road this season, possessing a 22-19 away record. New York puts up solid statistics at both ends of the court. But I just don't think they should be this high of a favorite in this matchup, particularly against a Detroit defense that is top-five on the defensive glass. They will take away a lot of second-chance opportunities for the Knicks, and give themselves more opportunities in transition. Take the points with the Pistons. Thank you.

Milwaukee Bucks.

Slam Dunk.

Game 503.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Bucks really have something to prove in this matchup. They come into the Gainbridge Fieldhouse to face a Pacers team they have dominated of late, taking four of the last six meetings straight up, covering five of those six games, which does include four consecutive ATS covers, and yet, they are heavy underdog. They also enter this game one of the hottest teams in the NBA, winning eight in a row straight up, and covering seven of those eight outings. This does include ATS covers in three of their last four on the road. This team certainly is more successful when Damian Lillard is on the floor. Latest news (check status) is he will be missing Game 1, for sure. I feel Milwaukee still has a lot of fire power. If you have kept up with Lillard’s injury, he hasn't taken the court since March 18. This is a team that puts up some solid numbers at both ends of the court, tops the NBA in three-point shooting, and it's definitely frustrating on defense, where they rank in the top-10 in most categories. Indiana can score. But their defense is deplorable. They themselves, have some players that are either out, questionable, or not back at full strength. I feel that you'll see Giannis Antetokounmpo light up the scoreboard, and put up some of his best postseason numbers ever. This is way too many points to give the Bucks. Take Milwaukee. Thank you.

Chicago Bulls.

LVSM.

Game 926.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

The line in this game has gone down due to the Chicago Bulls being hit with some injuries. The big news is the fact they might be without several point guards. However, two of the three PG’s that are probably not going to play aren't that much of a factor this season at all. Josh Giddey (check status) has been upgraded to probable here, and that's the one player the Bulls need in this matchup. He has averaged a triple double against the Heat this season: 26.0 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 10.0 assists. All this while shooting 58.3% overall from the field, and 53.3% from downtown. Chicago comes into this matchup hotter, winning and covering their last three outings. Overall, they have won six of their last seven straight up, covering five of those seven. They have had their way with Miami, winning and covering all three meetings this season. The Heat have their own issues. They dropped five of their last seven straight up to finish the regular season. They also failed to cover three of their last five, and have their own injury concerns. They also have a lack luster offense, and are in trouble in this matchup on the boards. Their only bright spot offensively, is their outside shooting, and they must face the NBA’s second-best three-point shooting defense here. I feel the Bulls come in here with more momentum, more confidence, and better talent. Take Chicago at home. Thank you.

Duke Blue Devil's.

Game 680.

545 PM PST/8:45 PM EST.

There is no question both Houston and Duke have earned the right to be in the Final Four. They sported two of the best records in college basketball this season, and from their season-openers straight on through to the postseason, and into this Tournament they have dominated just about all comers. I think the big difference here would be depth and coaching. I give an edge in both of those categories to the Blue Devils. Yes, they also score a few more points on offense, are more accurate overall from the floor, and are better from the free-throw line as well. They're also a little bit stronger on the offensive glass, folks. I feel second-chance opportunities is going to be huge in this specific matchup. We all know how good the Cougars defense is, ranking No. 1 in the nation. But the Blue Devils “D” is just as frustrating. They're also just as tough on the defensive glass. Please understand, while I think Houston is one of the best teams in the nation, they've only been made an underdog once this entire season. That's got a weigh on them psychologically here. Oh, by the way, not only has Duke only lost one game since the end of November, they've also been covering quite a bit as well, as they finished their regular season covering seven straight games, and have covered four of their last five in the playoffs/postseason. Take Duke. Thank You.

Florida Gators on the moneyline.

Game 681.

3:05 PM PST/6:05 PM EST.

Playing in the SEC, both Florida and Auburn not only know each other well, but they have several common opponents this season. But if you think you can gage a matchup because of two teams’ previous common opponents, you are crazy. Neither one of these squads have dropped too many games this season, and both have covered a lot of spreads as well. The Gators are slightly better, going 27-11 ATS this season, while the Tigers are 21-16 against the number. Florida did take the only matchup this season, back at the beginning of February on the road, 90-81. That marked the Gators fifth straight up victory over the last eight meetings, and their sixth ATS cover during that span. Auburn dropped their final two regular season games, and one of their postseason games. But they have been overvalued for sure, only covering 11 of their last 26 overall contests. Since their February 1st defeat at the hands of the Tennessee, Florida only dropped one remaining regular season game, and has been perfect during their postseason. Meanwhile, they've covered 25 of their last 33 outings. Statistically, I think the matchups are pretty even. Both teams score about the same and both teams allow about the same. But there is a big advantage for the Gators on the offensive boards, with their ranking third and the nation, pulling down over 39.1 rebounds per game. This team gives themselves a lot of second-chance opportunities which is huge here, folks. Both defenses are two of the best in college basketball defending the arc. Once again, I give an edge to Florida because Auburn relies more on their outside shooting. This is going to be a dogfight. But I will take the Gators on the moneyline, and take my bookmakers money. Thank you.

Boise State Broncos on the MONEYLINE.

Game 684.

10:30 AM PST/1:30 PM EST.

You can talk about the differences all you want between the Big Ten and the Mountain West Conference’s. But being the 16th-best team in the Big Ten, in my opinion does not equal being the fifth-best team in the Mountain West. Nebraska is a decent team. But when asked to step up this season, they fall way short. I know they have beaten Arizona State and Georgetown in the postseason. But they were heavy favorites in both games. They come to this match up an underdog, and for good reason. Boise State is a very good team. When asked to step up this season, they took down the likes of Clemson, Saint Mary's, Utah State, and Nevada during their regular season, and in the postseason, they have taken down San Diego State and New Mexico. Granted they were heavy fav’s in their last few outings against George Washington and Butler. But their offense exploded for a combined 189 points in those two contests. Their defense is very frustrating, and they are much better at both end of the court on the boards. Let's not forget, if this game gets physical, they are significantly better from the free-throw line as well. Take the Broncos on the moneyline. Thank you.

Boise State Broncos.

Game 670.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, the seat CBC is proving to be an exciting Tournament, and today in the Butler/Boise State matchup, I think we're gonna’ see another good game. Butler just took down Utah on Monday, 86-84, as a 3.5-point underdog. That was only their second win and cover over their last seven games. Boise State took down George Washington on Monday with authority, crushing them by 30, 89-59 as an 8.5-point favorite. That was their eighth straight up victory over their last 10 outings, and their seventh cover during that span. I know the Bulldogs play in a more physical conference, and have three very strong forwards upfront. But the Broncos defense is stifling, yielding just 66.3-points per game, and when they have stepped out of their conference, they’ve held nonconference opponents scores very low. By the way, they also have a very strong front court of three starting forwards, and rotate in a few others. Believe it or not, they are also better on the offensive side in the scoring, shoot better from the free-throw line, are better from the three-point line, and superior at both ends of the court on the boards. Take Boise State here. Thank you.

Villanova Wildcats on the moneyline.

Game 666.

530 P.M. PST/830 P.M. EST.

I think this is a very good situation for Villanova. As many out there know, they fired coach Kyle Neptune a few weeks back. In his three seasons at the helm, the team missed the Big Dance all three times. Prior to him, Jay Wright had a lot of success, leading the program to two National Titles. They have an interim coach on the bench here in assistant coach, Mike Nardi. Maryland’s coach, Kevin Willard will take over the program once this tournament ends. I feel the team is going to go all out here. They have one of the best players in the country in forward, Eric Dixon, who averages over 23.0 points per game and 5.2 rebounds per game. He leads an experienced, and disciplined squad. This season they've notched notable victories over the likes of Maryland, Cincinnati, Butler, Connecticut, Xavier, St. John's, and Marquette. They face a Colorado Buffaloes opponent that finished 16th in the Big 12, with an overall record of 14-20. There is some talent on this team. But overall, they possess just two double-digit scorers, and account for just 69.9 points per game. Their defense has gotten steamrolled, and on both sides of the court, they are overmatched on the boards. If this game gets physical, and I believe it will, they are at a big disadvantage as they only shoot 75.4% from the line, while the Wildcats hit a whopping 80.0% of their free throws. Another disadvantage would be their 223rd ranked three-point shooting defense going up against the nation’s third-best three-point shooting offense here. I see Villanova crushing it. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Auburn Tigers.

Crusher Play.

Game 646.

2:05 PM PM PST/5:05 PM EST.

While Michigan State has played some very solid basketball recently, yesterday’s matchup against Mississippi blue-printed a way to actually beat them. And that way is tailor-made for Auburn to take advantage. It is by no accident the Tigers are the No. 1 seed in the south. This is a team that owns an overall record of 31-5, and has covered 20 of their 36 lined games this season. Both defenses can be frustrating. But the Auburn offense is more explosive, far superior, far more accurate, and better from downtown. They have a little bit more muscle upfront as well. I think that'll be a big difference here in this matchup take the Tigers. Thank you.

Tennessee Volunteers.

Hight Roller.

Game 647.

11:20 AM PST/2:20 PM EST.

Odds makers don't have to make a line sharp. They just have to make it enticing to take wagers on both sides of the game. That is the case in this matchup. While Houston deserves to be a small favorite here, Tennessee matches up with them very well. There is no question the Cougars are a fan favorite, thus compelling odds makers to inflate their numbers. They had some problems against Gonzaga and Purdue in this tournament. Meanwhile Tennessee absolutely devoured both UCLA and Kentucky in the Big Dance. Both teams score about the same. And yes, the Houston defense tops the nation. However, the Volunteers "D" isn't far behind them. They are just as frustrating, and just as good on the glass. This game is gonna’ come down to the final possessions. I think the line is a little bit off. Take Tennessee. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 641.

5:45 PM PST/8:45 PM EST.

Without question, Duke is a very talented basketball team, and are playing incredibly right now. But very simply, this is way too many points to give a very talented Alabama opponent. For starters, if they win here, this will be the first Final Four appearance for the Blue Devils since Coach K was at the helm. However, the Crimson Tide made it to the Final Four last season. At both ends of the court Duke possesses great numbers, particularly on the defensive side. However, they match up here against the No. 1 scoring offense in the nation, averaging over 91.1 points per game, along with the second-best college basketball offensive rebounding group out there. They are extremely accurate, and possess the big men upfront to give them the added muscle they need to content here. Both teams have talented back courts. But I really feel giving the Crimson Tide, and they're explosive offense this many points is a mistake. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Michigan State Spartans on the MONEYLINE.

SWEET 16 SMASH PLAY.

Game 636.

Friday, March 28, 2025.

4:05 PM PST/7:05 PM EST.

My friends, there is no debating Mississippi has played very well during this postseason. They have won three of four in the playoffs/postseason, and have covered their last three games overall. However, Michigan State has played solid basketball since the season opener back at the beginning of November. This is a team that has amassed an overall record of 29-6, covering 25 of their 35 games. Whether they are at home or on the road, they have won with authority. They enter this match up rolling, winning 10 of their last 11, both straight up and against the spread. I will admit the Rebels surprised a few, taking down the Tar Heels and the Cyclones. But you can’t blame the Spartans for being the No. 2 seed in the south, and only having to face two bottom tier opponents. Yes, ‘Ole Miss certainly has some scorers. But MSU has the defense. They are right there with scoring as well. As a matter fact, they average 1.0 more points per game than their opponent on offense. But they give up a lot less defensively. They're also far superior from the free-throw line, and far better on the offensive and defensive glass. They will give themselves significantly more second-chance opportunities on “O”, and takeaway their opponents second-chance opportunities on “D”. I think this game will get out of hand. Take the Spartans. Thank you.

Florida Gator.

Bookie Buster Play

Game 632.

4:35 PM PST/7:35 PM EST.

I wanna’ give a big shout out to the Maryland terrapins as they finished the regular season in second-place in the very competitive Big Ten Conference, and they’ve played very well in this tournament. Tallying a record of 27-8, we have watched them place in amazing basketball at times this season. But at times we have also watched them play some less than stellar basketball as well. I wouldn’t exactly classify them as inconsistent. But I really don't feel they’re in the class of their opponent they face here today. During the regular season there were an underdog against Purdue in early-December, losing and failing to cover. They were a ‘dog against Oregon at the beginning January, covering the number but losing outright. They did win and cover as a doggie at Illinois towards the end of January. But once again, the beginning of February as a ‘dog, they lost and failed to cover at Ohio State. I think we all watched back at the beginning of this month when they took down Michigan on the road as they're biggest victory this season. But they have not gone up against a team this postseason that they were not favored over. Yes, they beat Illinois in their conference tournament opener. But then lost to Michigan. In this tournament, they played Grand Canyon and Colorado State, teams they were favored by 9.5 and 8.5-points. I just don't see this team facing the level of competition and stepping up that they're going to face and need to step up to today. By the way they're also just 19-16 against the spread this season. The Florida Gators are the No. 1 seed in the West regional. They are 32-4 overall, and have covered 26 of their 36 outings. They enter this matchup taking no prisoners. This is a monster team, folks. They've only dropped four games this season, as I mentioned a moment ago. They've also covered 20 of their final 25 regular season games. Then they went through the postseason, crushing everybody in their way. The Terrapins can score, and have a good defense. But they're going up against a team with a better offense, a deeper team, a superior rebounding core, and a more frustrating defense as well. I just don't see them competing in the matchup at all. I think this line should be at least 8 to 10-points. So, I will take Florida. Thank you.

Orlando Magic.

LVSM PLAY.

Game 565.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

The Orlando Magic are currently sitting in the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference. They certainly can use some victories right now. They enter tonight’s contest winning two in a row, and five of their last eight straight up, covering six of those eight outings. During that span, they have covered five of six games played on the road. They have dominated the Charlotte Hornets, taking eight of the last nine matchups, both straight up and against the spread. This does include wins and covers in all three meetings this season. Speaking of the Hornets, they are really struggling, and my opinion, they're not playing for anything, and they've thrown in the towel on the season already. They have dropped six of their last 10 straight up, and have failed to cover five of their last seven against the spread. I just don't see them putting up too much of a fight here, at all. This is one of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference, let alone the entire NBA. The Magic needs a game, and will get it. Take Orlando. Thank you.

Boston Celtics.

Fast Break Winner.

Game 561.

7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST.

Boston is a phenomenal squad, and they are heading back to the playoffs once again this season. The Celtics are currently surging, winning nine of their last 10 straight up, and covering six of those 10 outings. Meanwhile, Sacramento is struggling, dropping seven of the last nine SU, and five of their last seven ATS. The reason why I like the Celtics so much here is because in the only matchup with the Kings this season, back in the second week of January at home, they were embarrassed, 114-97. They have an opportunity to give a little payback, and exact some revenge in this contest. I just see this game getting truly out of hand. Take Boston. Thank you.

Chicago Bulls.

LVSM.

Game 557.

6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST.

Currently, Chicago is sitting in the ninth spot in the Eastern Conference, at 31-40. They need to put some victories on their record. They enter this matchup striding, winning seven of their last nine straight up, and eight of those nine against the spread. They face a Denver opponent tonight they have taken down in the only meeting this season, back at the January at home, 129-121. The Nuggets are a good team, no doubt about that. They are also a very good team when playing at the Ball Arena. But they have been overvalued, only covering three of their last nine overall. Going back a bit, they have failed to cover seven consecutive contests played on their own court. Take the Bulls. Thank you.

Well folks, the janitor of the Sportsbetting industry, yours truly, swept the board again last night in college basketball, going 3-0 in tournament play: UConn, Duke, and Alabama all got us paid. Overall, I am riding a 25-10 college basketball run. But the winning just doesn't stop there. I've won seven of my last 10 in NBA, and I am on a 62.5% NHL hot streak. No matter how you slice it, if you follow me, you will get you paid. I've got three big premium releases in the NBA going off tonight: my Slam Dunk, which are on a 5-1 run, my Las Vegas Strip Move, and my Fast Break Winner. Get all three and go 3-0.

For Todays Free Play winner: Toronto Raptors.

Game 547.

4:10 PM PST/ 7:10 PM EST.

Normally my friends, I don't come in with teams that aren’t playing for anything this late in the season. And it's true, both the Wizards and the Raptors are going to be two lottery-bound teams. But I think the situation here heavily favors the visitor. Giving them points I feel as a mistake. To say the Toronto has dominated the Washington would be an understatement. They have taken seven of the last nine meetings in this rivalry, both straight up and against the spread. This does include two of three this season. They enter this matchup ice-cold, dropping four in a row. But don't be concerned about that as the home team has also dropped four in a row coming into tonight. The big difference for us, Toronto has been covering. They have covered seven of their last 10, which does include four of their last five as a visitor. Washington has dropped three straight on their own home court. I just feel the Raptors have a little more pride, are a little deeper with talent, and have the Wizards number. I feel the visitor should be a favorite. So, I will take advantage of the odds makers mistake here. I will take the Raptors. Thank you.

Los Angeles Lakers.

Slam Dunk.

Game 549.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Going to keep this break down very short and very sweet, just like me LOL. Los Angeles took their worst defensive beating this season in their last outing, allowing Chicago to decimate them for 146-points, in a 31-point loss. I look for the Lakers to come back tonight, and make a statement here. Yes, Orlando is a good team, and yes, they have been covering. But the Lakers are prideful team, and let's face it, they are full of ego. After their last outing, getting shredded, looking bad, and being embarrassed, they will come out here with something to prove. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

No Limit.

Game 862.

3:10 PM PST/6:10 PM EST.

Playing in the SEC, and averaging over 91.1-points per game offensively, in my opinion trumps playing in the WCC, and allowing just 60.8-points per game. Here we see the nations top-scoring offense go up against a top-five defense. But on a regular basis the Crimson Tide certainly face better opponents than the Gaels. They're also the second-best team in college basketball on the offensive glass, giving them a lot of second-chance opportunities. They shoot better from the free-throw line, and hit over 48.3% overall from the floor. This is an accurate team. I think this game might be competitive for a little bit. But Alabama has way too much talent. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you.

Duke Blue Devils.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 858.

11:40 AM PST/2:40 PM EST.

Duke is taking no prisoners this season, accumulating an overall record of 35-3 and covering 21 of the 31 lined games, and playing in their own backyard here, will give the team a boost. They have laid double-digits 27 times this season, covering 19 of the 27. On both sides of the court, they are spectacular. They are significantly better from beyond the arc as well as a free-throw lines, and I just don't see Baylor competing on the boards here. If you're concerned about the number, don't be. The Bears have lost by double-digits six times this season: Gonzaga crushed by 38, Tennessee wins by 15, Iowa State routed by 19, Arizona wins by 11, Texas Tech dumped them by 14, and Houston dumped them by 11 as well. I also expect the Blue Devils to come in here with fresher legs as they had a much easier time in their last outing, decimating the Mountaineers by 44, while the Bears had a tough outing, squeaking by the Bulldogs by three. By the way, Duke has covered nine of their last 11, while Baylor has failed to cover 13 of their last 16. Take the Blue Devils. Thank you.

UConn Huskies.

Crusher Play.

Game 859.

9:10 PM PST/12:10 PM EST.

This is way too many points to give a Huskies squad with a stifling defense, and a monster core of rebounders. They also hit almost 80% from the line. Big edge there. Tale Connecticut. Thank you

Tennessee Volunteers.

Game 822.

6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST.

I'm going to keep this breakdown just like me, short and sweet LOL. UCLA is a good team. But they struggled this season in Big Ten play when facing top conference opponents, and physical opponents as well. I just don't see them matching up in anyway with Tennessee. The Volunteers are a monster team That have no problem beating down opponents. It's true, once December arrived, they were erratic against the spread, and towards the end of the regular season, they were just downright crushing anybody who bet on them. But the odds makers were inflating their lines, my friends. Don't fall for that trap here. Their defense is stifling. That rank 11th on the defensive side in points allowed, third in field goal percentage allowed, first in three-point percentage allowed, and 18th on the defensive boards, and they went up against some very tough offenses this season. The Bruins just don't have the offense to measure up here. Yes, they have a pretty good defense themselves. But not enough to contain the Volunteers for double-digit scorers. This is a team that's just as talented upfront as they are in the backcourt. I think this game gets ugly. Take Tennessee. Thank you.

Creighton Blue Jays.

Game 819.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Sportsbetting isn't about who wins. It is about who covers. Let's face it, we're not in this for fun. We're in this to make money. And I'm here to tell you Auburn is giving way too many points to Creighton in this matchup. While the Tigers are a very good team, I feel the odds makers are overvaluing them as they have failed to cover five straight, and seven of the last nine outings. Creighton enters this matchup covering five of their last seven, and playing some very competitive basketball. Ryan Kalkbrenner is going to be a major factor here. The 7’1”, 270-lb, center is a force to be reckoned with in the paint. Auburn relies heavily on their team playing physical basketball down low. Let's face it, both defenses allow about the same. Yes, the Tigers do score more. But the Blue Jays are just as accurate, and just about as good from both the free-throw, and three-point areas. Both teams are solid on the boards. I think this game is a lot more evenly matched up than what the line is reflecting. This is way too many points. Take Creighton. Thank you.

Drake Bulldogs.

Game 825.

3:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

This matchup is being played in Wichita, Kansas. The Drake Bulldogs didn't just take the regular season and tournament crowns in the Missouri Valley, they also amassed a record of 31-3 overall this season. As a road team, they were excellent, winning nine of their 10 as a visitor. This is a team that took down Miami, Florida Atlantic, Vanderbilt, and Kansas State during the regular season. And you saw what they did to Missouri just two days ago. By the way, they are red-hot, winning 19 of their last 20 games played straight up. They've also covered three of four matchups in the playoffs/ postseason. They have a great back court, and an offense overall that ranks 20th, hitting over 48.6% from the floor. That would be enough for me to raise an eyebrow here. But they rank second nationally on defense, yielding just 59.2-points per game, and they are the top defensive rebounding core in the nation. Yes, Texas Tech deserves to be here. But I feel because they are mediocre on the boards at both ends of the court, they're going get a lot of second-chance opportunities taken away from them. They will also give their opponent a lot of second-chance opportunities as well. They do shoot pretty well from outside. But they face a very frustrating “D” from downtown. This is way too many points. Take Drake. Thank you.

Dayton Flyers on the moneyline.

Game 831.

8:30 AM PST/11:30 AM EST.

 To put it very simply, Dayton has faced and beaten better opponents on their resume this season. This is a team that's already taken down such notables as Northwestern, Connecticut, Marquette, and UNLV. They have also hung with such other notables as North Carolina and Iowa State, covering both of those matchups. While Chattanooga is a great story, they just don't measure up when facing superior opponents. They got crushed by USC by 26, Saint Mary's by 12, and Indiana by nine. Those are the only times this season they had to step up in class, and they failed in all three contests. They do possess four double-digit scorers. But so does their opponent here. I see a big mismatch defensively, as well as on the boards. Take the Flyers on the Moneyline. Thank you.

Michigan State.

Game 788.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

After seeing a couple of very close games in yesterday’s Rd. 1 matchups, and of course McNeese State besting Clemson, I doubt very much Michigan State will take this game lightly. I am aware most of the money is coming in on Bryant. But this team has only stepped up in class twice this season, and got crushed in both outings. They faced Saint John's in mid-December, and lost by 22, and two weeks later faced Grand Canyon, and lost by 46. Those are the only two teams they had to worry about, and they lost badly in both contests. The Spartans crushed everybody in their way this season, particularly in their own conference against some very, very strong teams. Bryant is all about the offense, averaging over 82.1-points per game. They're also pretty good on the offensive glass as well. But that's where their strengths end. They go up against one of the most frustrating defenses in the country, that also ranks as one of the best on the defensive boards. That would be enough for me to raise an eyebrow here. However, the Spartans put up almost 80 PPG themselves, hit over 78% from the free-throw line, and are one of the best in the nation, ranking 11th on the offensive glass. Right now, neither of these teams know who they will play in the next round as the winner will go up against the Marquette/New Mexico winner. So, I don't see MSU looking ahead here either. I think they come out, take no prisoners, and send Bryant home very early. Take the Spartans. Thank you.

Connecticut Huskies.

Game 784.

6:25 PM PST/9:25 PM EST.

Both Connecticut and Oklahoma will have their hands full in this matchup, and I doubt very much either will be in a look ahead mode with a probable matchup in the next round vs. Florida. The Huskies are 14-4 in Big Dance games under Dan Hurley. The coach brought them two National Titles over the last two seasons. This is familiar territory for the team. While Oklahoma is a formidable foe, they really hit a snag in the second half of their season. They began the regular season winning their first 13 contests. However, they finished the regular season dropping 12 of their final 18 outings. While they played well in the playoffs taking down Georgia and losing a one-point heartbreaker at the hands of Kentucky, this team just doesn't measure up here. Yes, they have covered their last seven outings. But this is a whole different monster facing the very physical UConn squad. The Huskies played well out of the conference, taking down such notables as the Baylor Bears, Texas Longhorns, and Gonzaga Bulldogs. They also held their own finishing third in the very competitive, Big East conference. They finished their regular season winning four in a row straight up, and covering their final three games. They devoured Villanova in the postseason, only to be embarrassed taking a nine-point loss as a four-point favorite in their last game against Creighton. I feel they bounce back here strong, and get back on track to compete for another National Title. Both teams have been running with three big men, and two guards as a starting lineup in the playoffs. This will be a big advantage for the Huskies. While both teams average about the same and scoring offensively, Oklahoma has a slight edge, both from downtown, and from the free-throw line. However, Connecticut possesses a swarming, and frustrating defense that allows a mere, 68.0-points per game, and rank second nationally on the defensive boards. They will take away a lot of their opponents second-chance opportunities here. They're also monsters on the offensive glass as well, giving themselves more second-chance opportunities. They’re are way too big, and way too strong in this matchup. BTW, this game is being played in Raleigh, North Carolina, you will see quite a few more Connecticut fans. BTW, they are also a better road team going 7-4 away from home compared to Okie, who went 2-7 on the road. Take the Huskies. Thank you.

North Carolina on the MONEYLINE.

Game 793.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

Momentum from the regular season, and playoffs carry over into the Big Dance, for sure. The Tar Heels finished their regular season winning six of their final seven, and covering five of their final six. Then they went 3-1 straight up in the playoffs, and covered all four of those outings as well. Not only have they stepped up recently, they're also covering the number. Mississippi has been point spread poison, failing to cover 12 of their last 15 outings. By the way, they finished their regular season losing four of their final six games, then split out dropping their last game in the playoffs. While they do have six double-digit scorers, they can't rebound aren’t very accurate, and are atrocious from the line. As good as their “O” is, the Tar Heels account for more points per game, ranking 25th in scoring, averaging over 81.7-points per game and hit 48% overall from the floor. Take North Carolina. Thank you.

Saint Mary’s.

Game 790.

12:15 PM PST/3:15 PM EST.

They say offense gets the glory, but defense gets the win. St. Mary's possesses one of the best defenses in college basketball today, ranking fifth in the nation, yielding just 60.8-points per game. They allow just 40.8% overall from the floor, 31.6% from downtown, and rank fourth in the nation on the defensive boards. When it comes to defense, Vanderbilt has none. They're absolutely deplorable at the stop end of the court. They rely solely upon their offense, which does account for over 79.7-points per game. However, they are not very good overall in shooting percentage from the floor, three-point percentage, or even from the free-throw line. They're also atrocious on the offensive boards. They do have three double-digits scorers. But so does the Gaels. This is also a team that disposed of opponents like Nebraska, USC, and Utah in nonconference competition this regular season. Remarkably, they haven't allowed a single opponent in their 33 games played, to post better than 75 points. They have too much defensively. Not to forget, a very experienced team, and a very experienced coach. Take Saint Mary's. Thank you.

Memphis Tigers.

Game 806.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

How about the No. 5 seed getting points against the No. 12 seed? It puzzles me as well, my friends. While Colorado State is getting most of the money from the general public, and does come in here red-hot, winning and covering 10 straight games, Memphis has been playing well themselves. They have won 16 of their last 17 straight up. Granted, they are not very good against the number. But this team has a lot of talent. Maybe many out there have forgotten that during the regular season they took down Missouri, UNLV, San Francisco, Connecticut, Michigan State, Clemson, Virginia, and Mississippi. They are no strangers to stepping up in big game situations. By the way, Colorado state got embarrassed by Mississippi in a mid-November matchup. Not only that, but they also lost to some other teams they should've played well against. Both teams play in competitive conferences, and both finished pretty well in their perspective conferences. While the Rams account for 75.3-points per game, and only allow 67.1-points per game, the Tigers post over 80.0-points per game, and allow just 73.0-points per game. They are much better at both ends of the court on the boards as well, with a bigger, and stronger front court. Oh, by the way, they're also monsters from downtown. I think the wrong team is favored here. They are also 10-2 as a visitor this season. Take Memphis. Thank you.

St. John's Red Storm.

Game 752.

6:45 PM PST/9:45 PM EST.

The Red Storm is in the Big Dance for the first time since 2019. They have a coach who has been to the Final Four seven times, and has walked away with two National Titles. They play in one of the most competitive, and most physical conferences in college basketball, and they finished with both, the regular season, and Conference Tournament Crowns. This is a team that has won nine straight games, covering all three in the postseason. They are no strangers to laying big numbers. I mean, they've covered double-digits against Fordham, Quinnipiac, Virginia, Kansas State, Bryant, DePaul, Seton Hall twice, and Butler. They have no problems crushing lesser opponents. Meanwhile, with all respect to the Summit League’s top-team, the Omaha Mavericks have failed miserably when they step up in class. Yes, they covered against Minnesota and UNLV early on this season. But they got crushed by Northern Iowa and Iowa State. Let's face it, they also took a bad beating by Abilene Christian as well. They have won and covered all three of their playoff matchups, too. But playing an opponent like they're going to see in the opening round, who has lost just one game in 2025, is going to be fatal for this team. The Red Storm will have to play either the Razorbacks or the Jayhawks in the next round. I believe they'll come out here to make a statement, not just to their next opponent, but to the entire West Regional. I feel coach Rick Pitino is going to take no prisoners here. Take St. John's. Thank you.

Drake Bulldogs.

Game 765.

4:35 PM PST/7:35 PM EST.

Of all the Thursday games, I feel this just might be the one in which the line is most off. Yes, I am aware Missouri plays in the SEC, and owns an overall record of 22-11. But they really struggled down the road. They dropped their final three regular season games, and got humiliated by Florida in their last outing. They have failed to cover four of their last five overall matchups. Yes, they started the campaign off on fire. But then the end of December came, and they started struggling. Granted, the Missouri Valley isn't the SEC. But the Drake Bulldogs took the regular season crown, and the Conference Tournament Title as well. They finished with an overall record of 30-3. Something that I checked, and rechecked was Drake stepping up in class four times this regular season. All four times they won outright. They took down Miami by 11, FAU by 12, Vanderbilt by 11, and Kansas State by three. By the way, they kept all four of those opponents to 70-points or less. You may not realize this, but this team possesses the No. 2 overall defense in the nation, allowing just 59.2-points per game. They are also monsters at defending the arc, and own the No. 1 defensive rebounding core in college basketball. Yes, Missouri possesses as a top-10 offense, accounting for over 84.5-points per game. But their defense leaves a lot to be desired, and they really do rely upon their outside shooting. Not only that, but the Tigers are absolutely horrible on the offensive boards. That is where this game will be won, as their opponent will take away a lot of second-chance opportunities. I think this line should be a lot lower. Take Drake. Thank you.

Tennessee Volunteers.

Game 760.

3:50 PM PST/6:50 PM EST.

Wofford and Tennessee met in November of 2023, as the Volunteers prevailed 82-61. The Terriers are a good team. Let's face it, they have won and covered all three of their postseason games thus far. But looking at their regular season schedule, they've only stepped up in class twice. They got decimated in mid-November by the Duke Blue Devils, 86-35. They did get an outright three-point victory over the St. Louis Billikens a month later. But I think we can all agree, the Billikens not really a formidable foe. I think we can also all agree the Southern Conference cannot compare in any way to the Southeastern Conference. Wofford finished 10-8 in conference play this season, and sported an overall record of 19-15. Tennessee finished fourth in the SEC, going 12-6 in league play, enroute to an overall record of 27-7. When this team played lesser opponents earlier on in the schedule, they devoured them. They took down Webber by 16, Montana by 35, Austin Peay by 35, Tennessee Martin by 43, Western Carolina by 48, Middle Tennessee by 18, and Norfolk by 15. They are not afraid to run up the score. They are also no strangers to covering double-digits point spreads. Please remember they took down some great teams this season with authority as well. The list is so long, I'll save you the death toll. Losing to the Gators in their last outing is going to further motivate this team. They will send a message to the rest of the Midwest representatives here. They possess one of the most frustrating defenses in the nation, allowing just 63.1-points per game, on 38.2% shooting overall from the floor, and just 27.8% from beyond the arc. They will also dominate the boards as well. They will crush it. Take Tennessee. Thank you.

Loyola Chicago on money line.

Game 727.

8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST.

My friends, I've been doing this a long time, and I just don't understand how the No. 4 team in the Atlantic 10 is laying such a short price against the No. 8 team in the Mountain West. Loyola Chicago faces better competition, for sure. Not only that, but they enter this matchup winning eight of their last 10 straight up, and nine of those last 10 against the spread. Yes, I am aware San Jose State has been one of the best ATS cover teams in college basketball, covering 22 of their 32 games this season. But I just don't see them competing in this matchup. The Ramblers trio of starting guards are amazing. Yes, the Spartans have their own talented back court as well. But their numbers are padded as they don't face the same level of competition. Speaking of Loyola, they have a monster defense, yielding a mere, 69.0-points per game. They are also pretty darn accurate from downtown, and are much better on the boards at both ends of the court. Granted, they leave a lot to be desired from the free-throw line. But these are not the most physical teams, and I don't think that's going to be a factor in this matchup. BTW, SJ State is only 7-8 at home this season. I look for the Ramblers to crush here. But just to err on the side of caution, play them on the money line. Thank you.

Xavier Musketeers on the moneyline.

Game 709.

6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST.

Today in the NCAA First Four situation, we see Xavier face Texas. Both teams had to wait to find out if they received an invite to this situation. These two don't see each other very often. However, in March 2019 and March 2023 Texas took both meetings straight up, covering the most recent. Having said that, the Musketeers and Longhorns had very different regular seasons. Xavier started the campaign slowly only to finish strong, while the Longhorns started strong, and struggled towards the end. As a matter of fact, Xavier finished the regular season winning seven in a row, and covering five of those seven. They also covered a heartbreaking two-point postseason loss against Marquette six days ago. Texas finished their regular season dropping eight of their last 10 straight up, and only covering one of those 10. They did win and cover their first two in the postseason only to lose and fail to cover to Tennessee five days ago. Funny thing, this is going to be basically a home game for the Musketeers, whose campus is less than 50 miles away from the University of Dayton Arena where they are playing this matchup today. You're going see a lot of friendly faces, and Xavier colors in the crowd in this matchup. BTW, they were 15-2 at home this season SU. While not technically a home game, for our purposes, still not a true away game either. Both teams have strong front courts, and talented back courts. But there is no denying Xavier and their frustrating defense. Yes, they also score just about as much as Texas. But their defense gives up less, and they are much better on the defensive glass. Not only that, but they are deadly from downtown, hitting over 38.5% from beyond the arc, and are far better from the free-throw line, hitting just about 80%. I believe this game will get physical, and being they are so good from the line will make a big difference here. Just to err on the side of caution take the Musketeers on the money line. Thank you.

Dayton Flyers.

Game 717.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, there is no way the Flyers should be underdog here or even a Pickem. They should definitely be at least a basket or two favorite. This is a very good basketball team. They enter this matchup winning seven of their last 10 straight up, and two of their last three against the spread. Meanwhile, Florida Atlantic comes in here dropping five of their last eight straight up, and only covering two of their last 10 overall. Dayton has taken down such notables this season as Northwestern, Connecticut, Marquette, UNLV, Saint Louis, and Virginia Commonwealth. They also hung in tight dropping a late-November matchup on a neutral site against North Carolina, covering but losing 92-90. Not to mention they lost by five getting double-digits against Iowa State the next day. When this team steps up, they play very strong. Meanwhile, FAU lost early to Central Florida, College of Charleston, Drake, Seton Hall, and even Florida Gulf Coast. They took beatings from Michigan State, Memphis twice, North Texas twice Wichita, and UAB. They have been point spread poison this season, covering just 12 of 32 overall contests. Their defense has been getting steamrolled. I just don't see them competing on the boards in this match up either. The Flyers have kept some solid opponents at bay on the scoreboard. I feel they'll do the same here. This line is off. Take Dayton. Thank you.

Tennessee Volunteers.

Game 613.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

I feel the line here should be at most a basket or so. Especially because it is being played in Nashville. These two SEC powerhouses are both monster teams. As you know, Auburn took the regular season crown, going 15-3 in conference play, while Tennessee was a very respectable, 12-6 against SEC opponents this season. Yes, the Tigers took the only meeting this season over the Volunteers, 53-51 at home back at the end of January. But Tennessee has won three of the last five meetings SU and covered three of the last five ATS, which includes ATS covers in the last two most recent matchups. They also enter this game a lot hotter, winning nine of their last 11 SU, while Auburn dropped two of their last three SU. Yes, it's true, neither team has been consistent against the number recently. However, the Tigers have failed to cover three in a row, and five of their last seven games. Overall, we have got one of the best offenses in the country going against one of the best defenses. The Tigers account for over 85.2-points per game. But defensively they give up a lot of points. Meanwhile, the Volunteers have a solid offense, for sure. But it is their defense which has brought them success this season ranking seventh in the nation, and allowing a mere 62.0-points per game, also ranking first in field goal percentage allowed, and second in three-point percentage allowed. By the way, they're also better on the defensive boards, which will give their opponent less second-chance opportunities. One more item folks: Tennessee had a much easier time yesterday taking down Texas, 83-72. A game in which they had in hand from the opening tip off. Meanwhile, Auburn had a very tough time with the pesky Mississippi opponent, eking out of five-point victory. But once again failing to cover. Take the points with the Volunteers. Thank you.

Florida Gators.

Game 838.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

I'm not a big fan of laying big numbers, especially in these conference tournaments. But Florida comes in here well rested, winning and covering, and looking for a little revenge. The Gators have not taken the court since March 8. They are also on a great run, going 9-1 both straight up and against the spread their last 10 games. Not only that, but this is a team that hasn't suffered too many losses this season. One of those losses was against the Tigers at home in their only matchup this season back in mid-January. It was a heartbreaker in which they lost 83-82 late in the game. Florida has been money to sports bettor’s most of the season, covering 23 of their 31 outings. Not only that, but this is a team that covers big numbers. They have covered 12 of their last 14 games played being favored of 8.5 for more points. Don't get me wrong, Missouri can play. But playing back-to-back days against a team like they're going to face today is going to be tough for them. Remember, this is a team that lost four of their last six, both straight up and against the number. While they do have a strong, deep team, they just don't have the defense. Both teams rank in the top-10 in scoring, and both are pretty good from downtown. But Florida’s defense allows a mere 68.2 points per game on 39.5% shooting, and ranks in the top-10 at defending the three. I'll take the Gators here. Thank you.

Maryland Terrapins on the money line.

Game 818.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

Yes, I am aware Illinois enters this matchup winning and covering four straight over the likes of Iowa, Michigan, Purdue, and yesterday's game again over Iowa. But Maryland is a whole different monster. The Terrapins, which rank 11th in the nation, are 14-6 in conference play this season, enter this matchup winning three in a row, and seven of their last eight straight up, and covering seven of their last 10. They also have the confidence of knowing they shredded the Fighting Illini on their own home court in the third week of January, 91-70 in the only meeting between these two conference rivals this season. As a matter of fact, the Terrapins have dominated this rivalry, taking seven of the last nine straight up, and six of the last eight against the spread. Illinois has a strong front court, and five double-digit scorers. But so does Maryland. They also enter this contest with fresher legs, having not played a game in six days. I think that's going be a big factor here. They are more accurate overall from the floor, which does include a much higher percentage from downtown, and possess a monster defense that frustrates opponents, yielding 66.6 points per game. Take the Terrapins on the moneyline just an error on the side of caution.

St. John's Red Storm.

Game 850.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

My friends, St. John's took both meetings against Marquette this season, straight up and against the spread. Granted, the early-February matchup they took by four-points, and the early-March matchup they took in overtime by two-points. However, the Golden Eagles have been point spread poison, failing to cover three in a row, and seven of their last 10, while the Red Storm have covered five of their last six. Both teams played yesterday as Marquette went to the mat in a tough, physical two-point victory over Xavier. Meanwhile, St. John's had a much easier time crushing Butler by 21-points. In both meetings this season the Red Storm outrebounded the Golden Eagles. They are much stronger on the offensive boards, giving them more second-chance opportunities, and their defense is certainly more frustrating. One more item folks: St. John’s is perfect at home this season at 18-0, and playing at home this season at Carnesecca Arena. Playing in Madison Square Garden is their second-home. Take SJU. Thank you.

Colorado State Rams.

Game 782.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

I think the line is way off in this matchup. I understand Nevada is playing in their home state. But here in Las Vegas, they despise the Wolfpack. They enter this matchup losing three in a row, and seven of the last 10 matchups with the Rams. They have lost and failed to cover the last three, including both this season. This is a team that does not travel well, and has not played well at all against conference opponents. Meanwhile CSU is on fire, winning and covering seven straight, and eight of their last nine overall games. I must tell you, this line is way short. The Rams account for more points on offense, give up less points on defense, are much better on the boards, and significantly stronger from the line. I see them winning by about double-digits. Take CSU. Thank you.

Xavier Musketeers.

Game 740.

11:30 AM PST/2:30 PM EST.

Both Marquette and Xavier last played on March 8, and should come in here with fresh legs. The Musketeers took the most recent meeting between these two conference rivals back in mid-January on the road, 59-57. As a matter of fact, both matchups this season were settled by two-points. The Golden Eagles haven't been so golden, losing and failing to cover their last two outings. Meanwhile, Xavier is red-hot, winning seven in a row, and covering five of those seven contests. The difference here is the stellar outside, and far better free-throw shooting by the Musketeers. Thanks Xavier plus the points. Thank you.

Arkansas Razorbacks.

Game 769.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Arkansas enters this matchup coming off a big, 72-68 win against South Carolina yesterday, while Mississippi hasn't stepped on the court since March 8, a road defeat at the hands of Florida, 90-71. That loss was their fourth over their last six games straight up, and there seventh over their last eight games against the spread. They did take down the Razorbacks in the only matchup this season back at the beginning of January on the road, 73-66. But Arkansas enters this match up hotter, winning five of their last six straight up, and five of their last seven against the number. Yes, the Rebels possess six double-digit scorers. But only account for 1.0 more PPG than their opponent. I do see a mismatch on the boards here. The Razorbacks come in here hotter, and ride momentum from yesterday's win. By the way, the game wasn't as close as the score against the Gamecocks. They had a 20-point lead at one point, and just started pulling their starters to keep them fresh for today's contest. Take the points with the Razorbacks. Thank you.

Syracuse Orange

Game 653.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

I'd like to discuss a late game being played in the Atlantic Coast Conference tonight as Syracuse and SMU face off at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. These two teams met once this season, just eight days ago where the Mustangs were a 13.0-point favorite at home, and eked out a two-point victory, 77-75. I know there's a big difference between their records as Syracuse is 14-18 overall, and SMU, is a very respectable, 22-9 on the campaign. But the Orange enter this matchup, winning their last two, covering three in a row, and six of their last seven. Meanwhile, I think it would be safe to say the Mustangs are point spread poison, failing to cover six of their last seven outings. Syracuse has a very big, very strong frontcourt, and they really do run with four big men most of the time. SMU just doesn't have the muscle down low to cover this number in this matchup. Yes, statistically they put up better numbers on both sides of the court, and hit 38% from downtown. But I just think this is way too many points to give a team like the Orange who, let's face it are a scrappy squad. Too many points here. Play the doggie here. (Woof Woof). Take ‘Cuse and take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Boston Celtics on the Moneyline.

Game 566

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

I know both teams have key players listed as questionable/day-to-day. But I expect most of the big names to play here (check status). Having said that, with all respect to the Thunder, who own of the best teams in the NBA, I think they fall short here tonight. They did lose their last outing, two nights ago at home against Denver in the second of back-to-back games against the Nuggets. But because they dominated Boston at home back on January 5, 105-92, I feel the Celtics will come in here with something to prove. It is very possible Boston will be facing Oklahoma City in the NBA finals, and the fact they got beat so badly in the only matchup this season against the Thunder, I feel they come out here and make a point. Tatum rested in their last game, a home victory against Utah a few nights ago. So, he will be fresh here for this game. By the way, that was their fifth consecutive straight up win as they went 4-1 ATS during that span. All those games were played at home. Take the Celtics on the Moneyline. Thank you.

Kansas State Wildcats.

Game 659

4:00 PM PST 11:00 PM EST.

These teams met only once this season as Baylor took a home meeting back in the third week of January, 70-62. But not only did Kansas State cover that matchup, they also won the three previous meetings, and covered all three of those as well. One thing for sure about the Bears, they have been overvalued by oddsmakers this season, only covering one of their last 10, and three of their last 17 overall contests. Yes, on paper they put up some better numbers. But I do feel Baylor is being overvalued by the oddsmakers again. Take Kansas State. Thank you.

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 Tuesday’s FREE WINNER: Los Angeles Clippers.

Game 563.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

 This is a game if the line will be a little bit lower would've probably been a premium release for me. As of posting this play, the Clippers are lying about six-points. They enter this matchup looking to better their situation in the Western Conference. They currently sit in the eighth spot at 35-29 overall, winning three in a row. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are dwelling in the 14th spot in the West, at 17-48, and are riding a four-game straight up losing streak. They lost a heartbreaker last night at home against Memphis. While they did cover the game (their first ATS cover in their last six outings), I just don't think they have what it takes to bounce back in this situation. I think they got the wind knocked out of them last night, and it's going to sting for a few days. The Clippers took the only meeting this season against the Pelicans back at the end of December on the road, 116-113. Obviously, New Orleans has been hit by the injury bug pretty badly. Plus, it looks like (check status) some of their starting playmakers might be out resting this evening. While their defense is one of the worst in the NBA, ranking 26th, and getting plowed over 119.1 points per game, they are also horrible in most major defensive categories. The rank 29th in field goal percentage allowed, and 29th on the defensive boards. That would be bad enough. But their offense is absolutely atrocious. Granted, Los Angeles is struggling offensively, too. However, their defense ranks fourth in basketball, allowing just 108.7 points per game, and also ranks in the top-10 in most defensive categories. Oh, they are also one of the best in the league on the defensive glass. They will take away any second-chance opportunities their opponent has this evening. As I mentioned earlier, if this line was a little lower, I would've put out the Clippers as a premium play. But I still put a lean on them. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Milwaukee Bucks on the moneyline.

Game 557.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Both the Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers are looking to better their situation on the Eastern Conference. Currently, Milwaukee sits in the fourth position, while just behind them is Indiana. Prior to their last two outings, the Bucks were running red-hot, winning eight of their last nine straight up, and covering eight of those nine against the number. But the last two contests, they have fallen short at home to the Magic and the Cavaliers. They need to get back on track, and bounce back with a big victory here tonight. I believe they will as they come in here with confidence knowing they have won, and for our purposes, they have also covered both matchups with the Pacers this season. Speaking of Indiana, they're starting to crack a bit, dropping three in a row, both SU and ATS. Yes, they are a decent home team. But I feel this matchup is going to be a tough one for them. Not only is their defense getting pushed around quite a bit. But they are one of the worst teams in the league on the offensive glass, and they rank in the bottom third on the defensive glass. When this matchup gets physical (and I believe it will), they're going try to move their offense to the outside game. Well, Milwaukee ranks eighth in the NBA at defending the “3”. They're also tighter defensively, and also the third best three-point shooting offense in the league to boot. I feel the Bucks will make a statement here. Take Milwaukee on the moneyline. Thank you.

Kentucky Wildcats.

Game 909.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Kentucky still has a lot of prove to both the pollsters as well as themselves, and must finish out the regular season on a high note. This is the team that's covered five of their last eight overall outings. I am aware Missouri is 18-1 at home this season. But they are showing signs of cracking, as have dropped three of the last four, both straight up and against the number. The Wildcats, even without guard Robinson (sidelined due to injury for several weeks), possess five double-digit scorers. They also have a big inside presence, and are monsters that both ends of the court on the boards. Both teams can score, that's for sure. The big difference here is the fact Kentucky is both better from the free-throw line, and much stronger at defending the arc. I feel that will be the difference in this match up, and giving them this many points is a mistake. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Michigan State.

Game 767.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

The No. 8 Michigan State squad clinched a share of the Big Ten regular season championship on Wednesday without even playing a game. They can win it outright tonight with a victory over Iowa. Michigan took a home loss last night to Maryland to ensure the Spartans at least a piece of their first conference title since the 2019/2020 season. A loss tonight by MSU would give Michigan a chance to share the regular season crown. To add to the drama, the in-state rivals meet on Sunday in their regular season finale. Having said that, the Spartans are riding a five-game win streak, both straight up and against the spread, in which their defense has not allowed a single opponent to put up better than 66-points on the scoreboard. Not only that, but during that span, they have won and covered all three games played as a visitor. On the other hand, Iowa has struggled, dropping seven of their last nine straight up, and only covering one of their last 13 outings. They have been absolute point spread poison, folks. Just going backwards in their recent losses, they lost by 11 to Northwestern, 20 to Illinois, two to Oregon, 26 to Maryland, 11 to Wisconsin, nine to Purdue, 17 to Ohio State, five to Minnesota, 16 to UCLA, and 10 to USC. Yes, the Hawkeyes had a very solid frontcourt of Freeman and Sandfort, combining for 32.8 points per game and 12.9 rebounds per game this season. But they lost Freeman back on January 27, coincidentally, when the team started sliding. Their trio of starting guards are outclassed here as well. While both teams score about the same, the Spartans defense allows only 66.6 points per game, and overall, this squad are monsters at both ends of the court on the boards. Oh, by the way, there's also a double revenge factor as Iowa took the last two meetings in this rivalry. I look for Michigan State to win with authority here. Thank you.

Liberty Flames.

Game 759.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

I've said it before, and I will say it again; it doesn't have to be a major conference in college basketball for you to make money in it. Today I want to talk about a Conference USA matchup between the second and third best teams in the league, as the Liberty Flames and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders square off against one another. Both teams are sitting at 11-5 in conference play this season. But the Flames did take the only meeting back in the beginning of January at home, 73-63. They are an excellent road team, going in 7-2 as a visitor, while Middle Tennessee State is 10-3 at the Murphy Center on the campaign. The Flames come off a loss following a six-game straight up win streak, while the Blue Raiders enter this matchup riding a three-game straight up hot streak. Both offenses are loaded with talent. Both have talented back courts, and strong front courts. Both possess four double-digit scorers. The difference you're going to see here is on the defensive side of the court, where Liberty ranks in the top-10 nationally, yielding just 61.7 points per game, allowing a mere 40% shooting from the floor, and are the No. 1 team in college basketball from the arc, allowing just 27.7% from downtown. To make matters worse on the opposite side of the court, there're a top-25 three-point shooting team themselves. That's going to be be the big difference in this contest. This is a big game for them. They could, at the very least solidify a No. 2 spot for sure. But if they win out their last two regular season games, and the top team in the division, Jacksonville State runs into any issues with Kennesaw State two days from now, because they took down the Gamecocks already, they would win the tiebreaker, and take over the No. 1 seed in the Conference USA. I put a lean on the Flames here to burn the Blue Raiders. Thank you.

Tennessee Volunteers on the moneyline.

Game 715.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

This is a big matchup for both Tennessee and Mississippi. The Volunteers are looking for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. They enter this matchup red-hot, winning four in a row, and seven of their last eight straight up. I don't see a letdown situation here tonight as they come off a late win over the Crimson Tide at home four nights ago. With remaining regular season games here tonight on the road at ‘Ole Miss, and then finishing up at home against South Carolina, Tennessee can certainly finish the season with two big victories. They currently sit behind Auburn, Florida, and Alabama at 11-5 in the SEC. They can certainly ensure themselves off top-four spot and all the benefits that go along with that for the upcoming conference tournament. Moreover, they want that No. 1 seed in the Big Dance. They face a Mississippi opponent they have dominated, taking four in a row, and nine of the last 10 overall matchups SU. They've covered six of those 10 meetings, which does include the two most recent. Speaking of the Rebels, they have been point spread poison, only covering one of their last 11 contests. They have failed to cover five of their last six games played at home. Just to err on the side of caution take the Volunteers on the moneyline. Thank you.

BYU Cougars.

Game 649.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Two teams that are looking to better their situation in the Big 12 face each other this evening in the Iowa State/BYU matchup. The national rankings currently have the Cyclones ranked 10th in the nation, while the Cougars are 23rd. I am aware BYU is just 5-5 on the road, while Iowa State is 15-1 at home. But I do feel the Cyclones are overvalued by the oddsmakers as they have covered just four their last 10 overall outings, which does include just two of five played at the James H. Hilton Coliseum. Meanwhile BYU is not just winning, they are covering as they are on a six-game SU/ATS hot streak. They have also covered four of their last five as a visitor. Last March's matchup saw the home team, Cyclones prevail 68-63. I feel this is way too many points to give the Cougars as they do match up pretty well on both sides of the court here. Take BYU. Thank you.

New Mexico Lobos.

Game 655.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

New Mexico is perched atop the Mountain West at 15-3 in conference play. Just behind them at 14-4 sits Colorado State, followed by Utah State at 14-5, and then tied at 13-5 is San Diego State and Boise state. They need to keep their foot on the gas if they want to finish the regular season the top team in the MWC. They have this matchup tonight on the road at Nevada then finish up the regular season at home in a few days against UNLV. They can easily take both of these opponents. Granted, they haven't covered too many games lately, failing to cover their last five straight. But this is a team that knows how to win when they need to. Let's face it, they're 23-6 overall on the campaign, winning nine of their last 11 games straight up. They have also taken the last three meetings against Nevada straight up, covering two of the three. Speaking of the Wolfpack, they come here struggling, going 1-3 both SU and ATS their last four contests. I don't see their mediocre offense, which averages mere 72.9 points per game competing on the scoreboard with the Lobos four double-digit scorers which contribute to their 18th ranked, 82.7 points per game average. At a Pickem, this game is a gift. Take New Mexico. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Game 519.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Granted, the Warriors have been playing a lot of road games lately. But they've also been winning and covering. Entering this matchup, they are on an 8-2 run, both SU and ATS. While the Knicks have had an extra day to rest for this matchup, and are riding a three-game straight up win streak, they are being seriously overvalued as they have only covered three of their last 10 overall outing. By the way, they are on a six-game ATS no cover slide, their last six games played at Madison Square Garden. Take Golden State. Thank you.

Memphis Tigers on the Moneyline.

Game 845

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

The 18th ranked Memphis Tigers need this game badly. They have a one-game lead over the UAB Blazers and the North Texas Mean Green in the conference with three games remaining. A win here would give them a sweep of UAB this season, and they also beat UNT in January in their only matchup this season. Basically, they would own two tiebreakers on both conference rivals. After this matchup, they face UTSA on the road, then South Florida at home. Those two teams are both easy victories if they don't let their foot off the gas. My point being, they can wrap up the conference. This is something they desperately want. They took the only meeting with the Blazers this season back in the end of January, 100-77 on the road. That was their eighth win and cover over their rival over the last 10 matchups. In that first matchup, they shot better, and dominated on the glass. I see the same thing happening here. Their stellar backcourt will control the pace and the tempo, while they're top-10 ranked three-point shooting offense will take care of the rest. Take the Tigers on the money line. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines on the ML.

Game 842.

12:45 PM PST/3:45 PM EST.

Both Illinois and Michigan have played some great basketball this season. However, from a betting point of view, the Fighting Illini are horrible at covering the spread on the road, while the Wolverines are just as bad at covering the number at home. Granted, Illinois has taking eight consecutive meetings in the rivalry going back to December 2019. But they have struggled lately, particularly on the road. They have dropped four of their last five straight up and against the spread as a visitor. They enter this matchup dropping five of their last nine overall straight up, and failing to cover six of those nine. The home team, Michigan squad has won eight of their last nine straight up. They're also one of the best home teams in the nation, going 13-1 at the Crisler Center. After this contest, the Fighting Illini return home to play the Boilermaker in their regular season finale. Meanwhile, following this game, the Wolverines stay at home to face the Terrapins, then finish up their regular season on the road at the Spartans. The big difference here is the fact that Wolverines have a chance at the conference title. I doubt very much they're going to do anything to jeopardize that here. I believe their defense, which will frustrate the Illinois offense, and their ability to snag defensive rebounds is going to be the difference in this matchup. Take the Wolverines. Thank you.

Wisconsin Badgers.

Game 817.

10:30 AM PST/1:30 PM EST.

Both Wisconsin and Michigan State enter this mashup running hot. The Badgers have won seven of their last nine straight up, and eight of their last 10 against the spread, while the Spartans have won and covered four in a row. This is the first time this season these two will face one another. However, Wisconsin has taken the last two meetings both SU/ATS, a season ago. They are also 7-1 ATS their last eight games played on the road, while Michigan State is just 4-4 ATS their last eight games played at home. Both teams have impressive statistics. Both can score, and both have solid defenses. While the Spartans are a little bit better on the boards, the Badgers are certainly better from both, downtown and from the free-throw line. I believe this game is going to get physical, which will definitely benefit the visitor here. Please understand Wiscy has a little bit easier regular season remaining. After this they play on the road at Minnesota, and then at home against Penn State. MSU plays at Iowa next, then finishes their regular season at home against Michigan. This is a very big game for the Badgers, and I think it's going to be a lot closer than the point spread. Take Wisconsin. Thank you.

Boston Celtics on the ML.

Game 562.

10:10 AM PST/1:10 PM EST.

Boston is looking to avoid their first three-game losing streak of the season today. They had a commanding lead a few nights ago at home against the Cleveland Cavaliers, and let it slip away, finally losing 123-116. This is not a team that takes losing lightly, especially on their own home court. While Denver is playing some solid basketball, I just don't feel they have what it takes to match up here talent-wise. The Celtics took the only meeting this season against the Nuggets, back at the beginning of January on the road, 118-106. I believe Boston comes out here with something to prove and avenge their last loss on their homecourt the other night in a big way. Take the Celtics. Thank you.

Arizona Wildcats.

Game 779.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Arizona sits in second-place in the conference, and wants to keep it that way. After tonight's matchup, they play at home against Arizona State, and then take it on the road to finish the regular season at Kansas. They can certainly win out the rest of their games. They enter this matchup with confidence, knowing they took the only meeting this season with Iowa State, back at the end of January at home, 86-75. In that matchup they dominated the boards, and shot better from the free-throw, and three-point lines, as well as shooting far better overall from the floor. Let's not forget they've also covered four of their last five on the road, while the Cyclones have failed to cover three of their last four at home. I know Iowa State is 14-1 straight up at home this season. But they have lost their last two games straight up, and failed to cover three of their last four overall. By the way, they failed to cover the last two at home. This is way too many points. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Creighton Blue Jays.

Game 697.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

Both Creighton and Xavier need victories here. The Blue Jays want to stay one-game ahead of the third-place Golden Eagles. Mathematically, they have a chance of catching the conference’s top team, the Red Storm. But they would have to win their final three games while St. John's would need to lose their final two to tie for a regular season title. Xavier sits in the fifth spot in the Big East. They also need some victories. However, Creighton has taken the last three meetings in this rivalry, covering the last two, which includes a win and cover in the only matchup this season at home back at the end of January, 86-77. They are red-hot winning eight of their last 10 straight up, and covering seven of those 10. By the way, they have also covered seven straight games played on the road. This is huge this time of year. It's true the Musketeers are on a win streak right now. But overall, their last 10 games they have only covering half of those outings, going 5-5 against the number. I believe making them this high of a favorite is a mistake made by the odd makers. Creighton has a little tighter of a defense, and is a little better on the boards. They also possess the best player on the court in center Ryan Kalkbrenner. Take the Blue Jays. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

Game 533.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

The Cleveland Cavaliers don't just own the best record in the East at 48-10, they possess the best overall record in the NBA. Just behind them in the conference sits the Boston Celtics. These two teams have met three times this season as Boston took the first meeting back in mid-November at home by three-points, Cleveland took the second meeting back in the beginning of December at home by four-points, and in the most recent meeting 24 days ago on the road, Boston prevailed 112-105. Since that defeat, the Cavaliers have rattled off eight consecutive victories, covering their last six contests. They come in here with an extra day to rest and heal, and face an opponent which happens to be a mediocre, 18-10 at home this season. Boston does come off a road loss, and embarrassing road loss two days ago at the hands of Detroit. I don't see them in a big bounce back mode here. I look at this game is more of not just a revenge factor, but the Cavaliers coming in here and proving they can beat the Celtics at the TD Garden to gain back a psychological edge for a definite postseason showdown. Please don't forget Cleveland is also the best road team in the NBA at 21-6 straight up as a visitor this season. I feel giving them points as a huge mistake. I like them outright. But I'll take the points with the Cavaliers. BTW, Boston has Denver up next and might be saving some gas in the tank for the Nuggets. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Game 519

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Golden State is starting to stride again, and at just the right time. The Warriors currently sit in the eighth spot in the Western Conference at 31-27. They have won and covered four in a row, and six of their last seven outings. They are playing pretty darn good basketball. They have covered four of their last five as a visitor. They are relatively healthy, and enter this matchup with confidence knowing they have won, and for our purposes, they have also covered the last three meeting with the Orlando Magic. Golden State, during their six victories over their last seven games have averaged over 124.6 points per game, while allowing just 103.6 points per game. Yes, Orlando is playing some decent basketball against the number, covering four their last five games. But this team has been very erratic. They've only split out their last 10 contests straight up and against the spread. They come off an embarrassing 40-point loss at home two nights ago at the hands of Cleveland. I feel this is an ideal situation for the Warriors, who really need to continue to stride to better their situation in the Western Conference. Take Golden State. Thank you.

BYU Cougars.

Game 745.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

Currently sitting in fifth place in the Big 12 at 10-6 in conference play, BYU can certainly finish in the top-four. After tonight, they have games against West Virginia, Iowa State, and Utah. They can certainly without question win at least three of these contests. That would put them in a good position, or at least in the mix of the top-four. They have won and covered the last three meetings in this rivalry. The two most recent, a 28-point blowout in November 2023, and a 20-point blowout in December 2024. They enter this matchup winning a covering their last four outings, while Arizona State has dropped six of their last seven straight up, and five of those seven against the number. As a matter of fact, the Cougars have won and covered four of their last five as a visitor. This is a team deep with talent, and I just don't see the Sun Devils competing on the scoreboard here. Take BYU. Thank you.

Kentucky Wildcats on the moneyline.

Game 733.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Kentucky desperately needs a victory here. They come off a loss on the road at Alabama, 96-83. This was a game they were playing very competitively through most of the contest. They do enter this matchup covering four of their last five. Meanwhile, Oklahoma is a nightmare. They've dropped five of their last six straight up, and against the spread. If the Wildcats want to make a case for an NCAA Tournament invite, it all starts with a victory here. The remaining games in the regular season are against Auburn, LSU, and Missouri. Two of which are top teams in the SEC. They must finish the regular season with 20 wins, and they can certainly take out LSU. This game tonight means a lot to them. I do see them with their five double-digit scorers (plus one player flirting with double-digits) and third ranked scoring offense lighting up the scoreboard here. I also see the Wildcats dominating the boards. They are accurate on the offensive side, and frustrating on the defensive side of the three-point line as well. This will be a factor. Take Kentucky. Thank you.

Villanova Wildcats.

Game 725.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

The Big East is a very physical, and extremely competitive conference. Villanova wasn't expected to do much this season, and yet they are on the right side of a winning record in conference play. They also have an opportunity to finish in the top-four in the Big East. Granted, this is a lot of points to lay, especially on the road in college basketball. But the Wildcats have had their way with the Pirates, taking nine of the last 10 meetings straight up, and seven of those 10 against the spread. This does include the only matchup this season back in mid-December at home, 79-67. One thing for sure, Villanova has been money recently, covering five of their last six contests. Meanwhile, Seton Hall is just dismal, dwelling near the cellar in the Big East at 2-14 in conference play, possessing an overall record of 7-20. They have lost 11 of their last 12 SU, and failing to cover seven of their last 10. This is certainly a game the Wildcat need to win. As a matter of fact, after this matchup tonight, their remaining games are at home against the Bulldogs, before finishing the regular season off on the road at the Hoyas. They can certainly win out the rest of their games. This would certainly put them in the mix for a top-four finish. It is a slim chance. But still a chance for them. I feel they stay competitive here, and beat up on an inferior Seton Hall opponent. Look for them to dominate on the defensive glass, and absolutely pick apart the 320th ranked three-point defense of Seton Hall with their second-ranked three-point shooting offense. Oh, by the way, they're also one of the best free throw shooting teams in the nation. Take Villanova. Thank you.

Kansas State Wildcats.

Game 703.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Both Kansas State and Central Florida need a miracle to get an invite to the Big Dance. Stranger things have happened. But it looks like both are on course for the NIT. Following a six-game winning streak, Kansas State has now dropped three in a row, both SU and ATS. By the way, that hot streak they were on was SU, and also were riding a nine-game cover streak. As far as Central Florida goes, I see them in letdown situation here. They got a win cover in their last outing at home against Utah. That followed a seven-game SU slide, and a six-game ATS no cover run. The Wildcats have a chance at a winning record in the Big 12, as they sit right now at 7-9. Their remaining games are tonight at the Knights, followed by a home game against the Buffaloes, a road game at the Bearcats, then finish the regular season at home against the Cyclones. Only one of those teams currently possess a winning record in conference play. They can certainly finish with a winning record, or at least at .500 mark. Overall, they have a better defense, and are a little stronger at the stop end of the court…quite a bit stronger. Giving them points as a mistake. Take Kansas State. I feel theyw3 in outright. But take the points anyway. Thank you.

Florida Gators.

Oddsmaker's Mistake.

Game 625

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

In my opinion, this line should be closer to or just above double-digits. The gators are looking for the 13th straight win in this series over the Bulldogs. As a matter fact, they haven't lost to their conference rival since March of 2019. This team is rolling right now, winning six in a row, and nine of their last 10. They have also been money, covering eight of those last 10 outings. After this matchup, Florida then plays Texas A&M, Alabama, and Mississippi to finish the regular season. All three of those teams possess winning records in SEC play. Georgia is just 4-10 in conference play this season. Let's face it, Florida has a chance at taking the regular season crown. Not only that, but if they finish with a big showing, they could probably lock up a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. They cannot be in a look ahead situation here, and must keep their foot on the gas. To be honest, the Bulldogs are not a very good team. They've dropped eight of their last 10 straight up, and have only covered three of their last nine. They were shellacked in the first meeting against the Gators back at the end of January on the road, 89-59. Speaking of Florida, during their current six-game win streak, their average margin of victory is 16.0 PPG. Take the Gators. Thank you.

Houston Cougars on the moneyline.

Game 881.

6:00 PM PST/9 PM EST.

The Cougars are currently ranked fifth in the nation, and own a three-game lead in the Big 12 with four games remaining in the regular season. A victory here will bring them one step closer to securing the top seed for the conference tournament. With a 23-4 overall record, which does include a perfect-8-0 road mark, Houston is riding a six-game straight up win streak, and have covered for the last five as a visitor. Not only that, but this is a big revenge game for the team as 23 days ago at home they lost a heartbreaker in overtime to the Texas Tech, 82-81. Prior to that defeat, they took the four previous meetings against the Red Raiders. Both teams can score, both teams are solid on the boards. On top of the reasons I stated earlier, two major factors give the Cougars an edge here; first, how good they are shooting from downtown, where they rank third in the nation, hitting over 40% from beyond the arc, and second, their No. 1 defense. They yield just 57.7 points per game, allow only 38.3% from the field, and are second nationally on the defensive glass. Take Houston on the moneyline. Thank you.

Xavier.

Big East Money Maker.

Game 839.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

Xavier is striding at the perfect time. The Musketeers have won three in a row, as well as covering all three. Overall, they are 7-3 their L10 games SU, covering six of those 10 outings. They currently sit in fifth-place in the Big East, and finish out their season with games against Seton Hall, Creighton, Butler, and Providence. In all sincerity, the only formable foe there would be on deck at home against the Blue Jays. This is a team that must continue to win to finish the regular season to earn a top-four spot in the conference. They already took down Seton Hall back at the end of December at home, 94-72. That victory marked their fourth over the last five meetings with their conference rival. As a matter of fact, the last three wins over the Pirates have all been by 20 or more points. The Musketeers possess four double-digit scorers, are a top-20 three-point and free-throw shooting team as well. They will also dominate the glass here. Take Xavier. Thank you.

Purdue.

Sunday Smash.

Game 819.

10:30 AM PST/1:30 PM EST.

Purdue is currently in a tie for fourth-place in the conference. We all know finishing in the top-four gives a team several key advantages. With games remaining against Indiana here, then UCLA, Rutgers, and Illinois, this team needs to finish the regular season strong. They have won each of the last three meetings within Indiana straight up, including an 81-76 victory at home at the end of January. As a matter of fact, the average margin of victory over the last three meetings with their conference rival have come by an average of 15.3 PPG. They enter this matchup losing three in a row, and must bounce back here with authority. The Hoosiers are just 6-9 in conference play, and have dropped eight of their last 10 SU. While this team does have solid big men, they lack quite a bit on the offensive side of the court, and are giving up a lot of points on the defensive side. They're going to have a lot of trouble with the accuracy of the Boilermaker's offense, which shoots 49.4% overall from the floor, and 37.7% from beyond the arc. Take Purdue. Thank you.

Texas Longhorns on the money line.

Game 787.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Texas comes off a big win at home against Kentucky on the 15th and will ride that momentum here. They also enter this matchup well-rested. With a strong finish, they can certainly make it better for themselves for any postseason situations. They face a South Carolina team riding a 13-game slide. I just don't see the Gamecocks competing at all with the talented backcourt of the Longhorns here. I mean, Texas posts almost 10-points more per game offensively, while yielding less points per game, defensively. They are also much stronger on the boards, shoot better from downtown, and are much more accurate from the free-throw line. Take the Longhorn. Thank you.

Duke Blue Devils.

Game 770.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Well, my friends, Duke appears to be on course for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. This week, they are ranked third in the nation, and lead the ACC with a 15-1 record. They have games remaining in the regular season with Illinois here at MSG, on the road at Miami, at home at Florida State and Wake Forest, and finish the regular season on the road at North Carolina. They definitely need a couple more wins to ensure the top-seed and the regular season crown in the conference. But they cannot afford a slip up, especially against an opponent like Illinois. The "not so” Fighting Illini are struggling, dropping six of their last 10 straight up, and seven of those 10 against the spread. They have failed to cover four of their last five on the road. Granted, this game is not a true road game. But it's still being played at Madison Square Garden where they have to travel. This team does not travel well. There will be a ton of Blue Devils fans in attendance. You'll see a lot of blue shirts for sure. This is a team on a mission. If you are worried about the number here, don't be. Going backwards, they have won their last several outings by 18, 36, 21, 29, 17, and 10-points. They are healthier, hungrier, are great at both sides of the court on the boards, possess a defense that allows you to 60.8 points per game, and shoot lights out from downtown. This is a big mismatch. Take Duke. Thank you.

Kentucky Wildcats.

Game 733

3:00 PM PST 6:00 PM EST.

With all respect to the fourth-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide, I just don't see them playing good enough basketball right now to be laying double-digits against any formidable foe. They are coming off back-to-back straight up losses; at home against Auburn and on the road at Missouri. They have also failed to cover those two games, and four of their last seven contests. They did take down Kentucky back in mid-January at home, 102-97. Speaking of the Wildcats, they are starting to surge. They have won three of their last four straight up, and have covered four in a row. There is certainly a lot more pressure on the Crimson Tide, which by the way, after this game have four remaining games in the regular season, three of which against some top teams. After this contest they face Mississippi State at home, before going on the road to face Tennessee, then returning home to face Florida, then finish the regular season on the road at Auburn. I really think they'll be looking ahead in this contest. They've been double-digits favorites 14 times this season, going 7-7 ATS. Yes, Alabama possesses the top-ranked scoring offense in college basketball, and are monsters on the offensive boards. However, their defense is absolutely deplorable, ranking 349th, and getting plowed for over 80.3-points per game. They're also atrocious on the defensive boards. Kentucky can score, accounting for over 85.8-points per game, which ranks third in the nation, hitting 48.6% overall from the floor, 38.0% from beyond the arc, and are they themselves pretty good on the offensive boards. They are also a bit better on the defensive side of the court. They have a lot more to play for here, have less pressure on them, and have been money against the spread. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Wake Forest.

Game 623

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

In my opinion, the line is way too short here. Yes, Cameron Hildreth missed Saturday's game at SMU with a foot injury. However, even without him the Demon Deacons took down the Mustangs, 77-66 on the road as a 6.5-point underdog. They are deep at the guard position. Right now, he is listed as questionable. This is a team that is tied for fourth-place in the ACC, and holds the tiebreaker with SMU, which is also in fourth-place. They also hold tiebreakers with the current sixth, seventh, and eighth-place teams in terms of the ACC tournament pecking order. Of their five remaining regular season games, only one is against a winning team in conference play. They can certainly better their situation with a couple of victories. They enter this matchup winning four of their last five, and seven of their last 10 straight up, covering seven of those last 10 games. They have taken down and NC State in the last two matchups, which does include a 77-59 win and cover at home back at the beginning of January. The Wolfpack are one of the worst teams in the conference at 3-12 in ACC play. They've dropped nine of the last 10 straight up, and eight of those 10 against the number. Take Wake Forest. Thank you.

Mississippi State.

Game 619.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

I feel the line is way off here. Mississippi State has five games remaining on their regular season schedule, with four of those five games against teams with losing records in the conference. Yes, they have Alabama on deck. But I don't feel they'll be in a lookahead situation here. They know what they have to do here to better their situation. They enter this matchup winning and covering three of their last four games, which does include both away outings. Meanwhile, Oklahoma enters this game ice cold, losing and failing to cover five straight. I see the Bulldogs dominating at both ends of the court. Take Mississippi State. Thank you.