01-30-25 |
Sam Burns -120 v. Shane Lowry |
|
68-66 |
Loss |
-120 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
Pebble Beach Pro-Am Maverick McNealy –120 over Sepp Straka Maverick McNealy –120 over Tom Kim Sam Burns -120 vs Shane Lowry Corey Conners –105 over Taylor Pendrith Robert Macintyre –140 over Akshay Bathia The keys to scoring well at Pebble Beach and Spy Glass is not predicated on long driving or accuracy. Overall, shots-gained total is important and the courses measure and test a player’s skills in uncountable situations. Putting on Poa Annua greens is critical and they will be on the slower side. Par 3 scoring is critical too as three of the four par-3s at Pebble Beach historically play at par or over par.The 7th plays at an average of 111 yards and averages 0.02 strokes under par, so par is a good score. Based on my model projections, Sheffler has the best course fit. Obviously, he is the World #1 and most courses are a great fit, but the market has significantly overvalued him for this event. Rasmus Hojgaard at +7000 is my long shot to win. Maverick McNealy is another value bet priced at +5000 to win. Playing both golfers instead to finish Top-20 is a much safer wager, but placing even a 0.25 unit bet on to win the event is not going to cause a sleepless night.
|
01-30-25 |
Akshay Bhatia v. Robert Macintyre -133 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-133 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
Pebble Beach Pro-Am Maverick McNealy –120 over Sepp Straka Maverick McNealy –120 over Tom Kim Sam Burns -120 vs Shane Lowry Corey Conners –105 over Taylor Pendrith Robert Macintyre –140 over Akshay Bathia The keys to scoring well at Pebble Beach and Spy Glass is not predicated on long driving or accuracy. Overall, shots-gained total is important and the courses measure and test a player’s skills in uncountable situations. Putting on Poa Annua greens is critical and they will be on the slower side. Par 3 scoring is critical too as three of the four par-3s at Pebble Beach historically play at par or over par.The 7th plays at an average of 111 yards and averages 0.02 strokes under par, so par is a good score. Based on my model projections, Sheffler has the best course fit. Obviously, he is the World #1 and most courses are a great fit, but the market has significantly overvalued him for this event. Rasmus Hojgaard at +7000 is my long shot to win. Maverick McNealy is another value bet priced at +5000 to win. Playing both golfers instead to finish Top-20 is a much safer wager, but placing even a 0.25 unit bet on to win the event is not going to cause a sleepless night.
|
01-30-25 |
Corey Conners +100 v. Taylor Pendrith |
|
70-67 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
|
Pebble Beach Pro-Am Maverick McNealy –120 over Sepp Straka Maverick McNealy –120 over Tom Kim Sam Burns -120 vs Shane Lowry Corey Conners –105 over Taylor Pendrith Robert Macintyre –140 over Akshay Bathia The keys to scoring well at Pebble Beach and Spy Glass is not predicated on long driving or accuracy. Overall, shots-gained total is important and the courses measure and test a player’s skills in uncountable situations. Putting on Poa Annua greens is critical and they will be on the slower side. Par 3 scoring is critical too as three of the four par-3s at Pebble Beach historically play at par or over par.The 7th plays at an average of 111 yards and averages 0.02 strokes under par, so par is a good score. Based on my model projections, Sheffler has the best course fit. Obviously, he is the World #1 and most courses are a great fit, but the market has significantly overvalued him for this event. Rasmus Hojgaard at +7000 is my long shot to win. Maverick McNealy is another value bet priced at +5000 to win. Playing both golfers instead to finish Top-20 is a much safer wager, but placing even a 0.25 unit bet on to win the event is not going to cause a sleepless night.
|
01-30-25 |
Sepp Straka v. Maverick McNealy -113 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-113 |
4 h 50 m |
Show
|
Pebble Beach Pro-Am Maverick McNealy –120 over Sepp Straka Maverick McNealy –120 over Tom Kim Sam Burns -120 vs Shane Lowry Corey Conners –105 over Taylor Pendrith Robert Macintyre –140 over Akshay Bathia The keys to scoring well at Pebble Beach and Spy Glass is not predicated on long driving or accuracy. Overall, shots-gained total is important and the courses measure and test a player’s skills in uncountable situations. Putting on Poa Annua greens is critical and they will be on the slower side. Par 3 scoring is critical too as three of the four par-3s at Pebble Beach historically play at par or over par.The 7th plays at an average of 111 yards and averages 0.02 strokes under par, so par is a good score. Based on my model projections, Sheffler has the best course fit. Obviously, he is the World #1 and most courses are a great fit, but the market has significantly overvalued him for this event. Rasmus Hojgaard at +7000 is my long shot to win. Maverick McNealy is another value bet priced at +5000 to win. Playing both golfers instead to finish Top-20 is a much safer wager, but placing even a 0.25 unit bet on to win the event is not going to cause a sleepless night.
|
01-30-25 |
Tom Kim v. Maverick McNealy -110 |
|
69-68 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 50 m |
Show
|
Pebble Beach Pro-Am Maverick McNealy –120 over Sepp Straka Maverick McNealy –120 over Tom Kim Sam Burns -120 vs Shane Lowry Corey Conners –105 over Taylor Pendrith Robert Macintyre –140 over Akshay Bathia The keys to scoring well at Pebble Beach and Spy Glass is not predicated on long driving or accuracy. Overall, shots-gained total is important and the courses measure and test a player’s skills in uncountable situations. Putting on Poa Annua greens is critical and they will be on the slower side. Par 3 scoring is critical too as three of the four par-3s at Pebble Beach historically play at par or over par.The 7th plays at an average of 111 yards and averages 0.02 strokes under par, so par is a good score. Based on my model projections, Sheffler has the best course fit. Obviously, he is the World #1 and most courses are a great fit, but the market has significantly overvalued him for this event. Rasmus Hojgaard at +7000 is my long shot to win. Maverick McNealy is another value bet priced at +5000 to win. Playing both golfers instead to finish Top-20 is a much safer wager, but placing even a 0.25 unit bet on to win the event is not going to cause a sleepless night.
|
06-27-24 |
Matt Wallace v. Nicolaj Hojgaard -105 |
Top |
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 4 m |
Show
|
I like Nicolaj here against a heavily bet Matt Wallce, who I do have in one of my DraftKings lineups. here to the course sets up to his eye and strengths. This is a course that is going to yield birdies. So, shots gained total is obviously important, but so is shots form the rough ranging between 150 and 175 and then shots from the rough going at par 5's in 2 shots from 225 to 275 are the opportunities to gain one of more shots to the field. I also like betting Nicolaj to finish T-10 and T-20
|
06-27-24 |
Maverick McNealy v. Akshay Bhatia -110 |
Top |
73-64 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 19 m |
Show
|
Akshay is growing with confidence each week and is a golfer that is on the precipice of earning a PGA Tour win. I have bet him at 20:1 to win, and +250 to finish T-10
|
06-27-24 |
Erik Van Rooyen +100 v. Lee Hodges |
Top |
69-73 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 43 m |
Show
|
Needless to say I wish I could bet this here at Sportscapping for the tournament meaning that who ever goes lowest over the four rounds wins the bet. However, 18 holes and my belief that this course sets up very well for Erik's eye and that he does have the potential to 65 or even lower today. Bet Erik over Lee in this matchup.
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