Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-08-25 | Florida v. Auburn OVER 156 | Top | 90-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
Florida vs Auburn The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 24-12 OVER mark good for 67% winning bets. The requirements are: Bet the OVER with a home favorite. The home teams have scored 80 or more points in each of their last three games. The road team is coming off a game in which they scored 85 or more points, which is also higher than their season-to-date scoring average. The total is between 155 and 165 points. If the game occurs in the second half of the regular season, the OVER has gone 9-3 for 75% winning bets. |
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02-01-25 | Texas Tech v. Houston UNDER 128.5 | Top | 82-81 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs Houston The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 46-17-3 Under good for 73% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: Bet the Under in a game with a total priced between 123 and 130 points. The game is a matchup of teams that have won 80% or more of their games. One of the teams (Houston) is coming off a double digit win over a conference opponent. If both teams are ranked the Under has gone 19-6-2 for 76% winning bets. |
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01-24-25 | Villanova v. Marquette OVER 141.5 | Top | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
Villanova vs 10 Marquette The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 34-19 OVER record good for 64% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: Bet the Over in a game priced between 140 and 149.5 points. The road dog is priced at 7.5 or more points. The dog has lost to the spread by 18 or more points over their previous three games. They have won between 50 and 60% of their games. The host has a winning record. The game is a conference matchup. Our dog is playing on two or more days of rest. If our dog lost their previous game priced as a favorite, then the OVER has gone 8-3 for 73% winning bets. |
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01-18-25 | Alabama v. Kentucky OVER 177.5 | Top | 102-97 | Win | 100 | 1 h 31 m | Show |
Kentucky vs Alabama Teams that are ranked and taking on a ranked opponent, total is priced at 170 or more points, and playing with two or more days of rest has seen the the OVER go 20-12for 63% winning bets. If both teams are playing with three or more days of rest, the Over has gone 14-6 for 70% winning bets. |
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01-15-25 | West Virginia v. Houston UNDER 124.5 | Top | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
West Virginia vs Houston The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 50-20-3 Under good for 71% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Bet the Under in a game with a total priced between 120 and 130 points. The game is a matchup of teams that have won 80% or more of their games. One of the teams is coming off a double digit win over a conference opponent. If it is game number 20 or more, the Under has gone 46-17-3 for 73% winning bets. |
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01-14-25 | Iowa v. USC UNDER 162 | Top | 89-99 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
Iowa vs USC The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 23-11 UNDER record good for 68% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: Bet the Under involving a road dog or not more than three points. That dog is coming off a 20 or more-point win over a conference rival. Both teams have won between 60 and 80% of their games. |
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01-11-25 | Tennessee v. Texas OVER 136.5 | Top | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
No. 1 Tennessee vs Texas We had Florida as a winning bet in their destruction of No. 1-ranked Tennessee on Wednesday night. Ranked team and in particulartop 5 teams are elite teams because they bounce back from horrid performances. The Over is 62-32 for 66% winning bets when a top 5 team is coming off a double-digit loss and facing a conference foe on the road. The Over is 19-6 for 76% winners when coming off a double-digit loss and scored 20 or more points below their season-to-date average and facing a conference opponent on the road. This will be a tough game for Tennessee to come away with a win playing in Auston, Texas against the 11-4 Longhorns. Rick Barnes’ Volunteers have struggledduring roadgames and have averaged 67 PPG, but that includes their 43-ppoint scoring drought and loss to Florida. So, they are not a team that is prone to playing badly away from home and the predictive mode projects a high probability that they will score just Under their season average in this game. From the predictive model: My predictive models expect both teams to score 70 or more points, which obviously makes the OVER bet a winner. The model projects that Tennessee and Texas will shoot 45% or better from the field and shoot 40% or better from beyond the arc. The Over is 21-8 for 72% winners when Tennessee has shot 45% or better form the field and shot 40% or better form beyond the arc since 2021. The Over is 18-7-1 for 72% winners when they have shot 45% or better and 40% or better form beyond the arc. |
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01-02-25 | Cal-Irvine v. Cal Poly UNDER 158.5 | Top | 98-89 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
UC Irvine vs Cal Poly Slo Betting the Under involving a road favorite of 7.5 or more points that are playing on two or fewer days rest and facing a host that has not played a game in 12 or more days have produced a 17-6 Under record for 74% bets since 2017. If the total is priced at 145 or more points, the Under has gone a perfect 11-0 for 100% winning bets. |
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12-21-24 | Penn State v. Drexel UNDER 147 | Top | 75-64 | Win | 100 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
Penn State vs Drexel The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 66-30-1 for 69% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: Bet the Under with a total between 140 and 149.5 points. The game is played on a neutral court. The opponent is not ranked. The team (PSU) is averaging a 20 or more-point lead at the half of their games. If our team (PSU) is playing on four or more days of rest, the UNDER has gone 26-9 for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
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12-06-24 | Illinois v. Northwestern UNDER 143.5 | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
19 Illinois vs Northwestern The following betting algorithm has produced a 44-23 UNDER mark for 66% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: Bet under with any team where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points. That team (Illinois) is an excellent defensive team allowing |
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12-04-24 | Alabama v. North Carolina OVER 176 | Top | 94-79 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
Alabama vs UNC The following NCAA betting algorithm has gone 60-44 (58%) Over the total since 2019. The requirements needed for this a betting opportunity to be validated is as follows: Bet over with a road team coming off a close loss by 3 or fewer points. The host is coming off a game where both teams scored 80 or more points. The road team is averaging 80 or more PPG. If the road team is ranked within the Top 25, the Over has gone 9-2 for 82% winning bets since 2010. |
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11-29-24 | Wichita State v. Florida UNDER 155.5 | Top | 51-88 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Wichita State vs Florida The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has gone 84-46-2 ATS good for 65% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. Bet the UNDER priced between 150 and 159.5 points. The game involved two elite teams that are outscoring their opponents by eight or more PPG. Both teams have scored 75 or more points in each of their last five games. |
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11-29-24 | West Virginia v. Arizona UNDER 151.5 | Top | 83-76 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
West Virginia vs Arizona The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has gone 18-7-1 Under good for 72% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Bet the Under in a neutral court setting. The total is priced between 150 and 159.5 points. One of the teams has seen their last five games play OVER the total by 42 or more points. That team is playing on back-to-back days. The game is played on Friday or Saturday. |
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11-25-24 | Auburn v. Iowa State UNDER 145 | Top | 83-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
5 Iowa State vs 4 Auburn The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 66-30-1 for 69% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: Bet the Under with a total between 140 and 149.5 points. The game is played on a neutral court. The opponent is not ranked. The team is averaging a 20 or more-point lead at the half of their games. Iowa State vs Auburn: 2024 Maui Invitational Preview Tonight, the No. 5 Iowa State Cyclones (3-0) will face off against the No. 4 Auburn Tigers (4-0) in the first round of the 2024 Maui Invitational at Lahaina Civic Center. Tipoff is set for 9:00 PM ET. Team Rankings and Records Iowa State Cyclones: Ranked No. 5, undefeated with wins by an average margin of 25 points. Auburn Tigers: Ranked No. 4, undefeated with notable wins over Kent State, North Alabama, and Houston. Key Players and Statistics Iowa State Cyclones: Curtis Jones: 15.0 PPG Tamin Lipsey: 13.7 PPG Keshon Gilbert: 12.3 PPG Joshua Jefferson: 10.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG Auburn Tigers: Johni Broome: 20.0 PPG, 11.3 RPG, 2.5 APG, 3.3 BPG Denver Jones: 11.3 PPG, 4.0 APG Chad Baker-Mazara: 10.5 PPG Miles Kelly: 10.2 PPG Coaching Trends Iowa State (Coach T.J. Otzelberger): Known for a defensive-minded approach, the Cyclones have developed into a tough, rugged team. Auburn (Coach Bruce Pearl): Auburn boasts a top five offense and defense, with a focus on effective field goal shooting and two-point shooting. Injury Reports Iowa State: No significant injuries reported. Auburn: No significant injuries reported. |
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11-22-24 | Florida State v. Temple UNDER 149 | Top | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
FSU vs Temple 5 ET The following NCAAM betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 19-22 SU, 17-23-1 ATS, and highly profitable 25-16 Under result for 61% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are: Bet the Under when the total is priced at 140 or more points. One of the teams is playing with 5 or more days of rest. The venue is on a neutral court. One of the teams is coming off an upset loss (Temple) The game takes place from November to the end of the season. If the game occurs in November, the Under has gone 12-4 for 75% winning bets. The Florida State Seminoles and Temple Owls are set to face off in the Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off Tournament at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut, on Friday, November 22, 2024. This game will be broadcast on ESPN+ at 5:00 PM EST. Returning Starters Florida State Seminoles: The Seminoles have two returning starters from last year's team: Jamir Watkins and Taylor Bol Bowen. Temple Owls: Temple has one returning starter, Jamal Mashburn Jr., who transferred from New Mexico. Key Players Florida State Seminoles: Jamir Watkins: Leading the team with an average of 18.2 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 2.4 steals per game. Taylor Bol Bowen: Contributing 8.8 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 2.0 steals per game. Malique Ewin: Adding 8.0 points and 4.6 rebounds per game. Daquan Davis: Scoring 7.4 points and 1.8 assists per game. Justin Thomas: Providing 7.0 points and 2.2 assists per game. Temple Owls: Jamal Mashburn Jr.: Leading the team with 23.5 points, 2.3 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game. He is shooting an impressive 61.9% from three-point range. Steve Settle III: Averaging 13.3 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 2.3 assists per game. Zion Stanford: Contributing 10.8 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 1 block per game. Quante Berry: Adding 4.8 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 1.8 steals per game. Babatunde Durodola: Scoring 7.8 points and grabbing 6 rebounds per game. Team Statistics Florida State Seminoles: Points per game: 74.4 (233rd in college basketball) Field goal percentage: 45.2% Three-point percentage: 26.9% Free-throw percentage: 72.3% Rebounds per game: 38.2 Assists per game: 14.1 Turnovers per game: 12.3 Defensive efficiency: 46th in the nation Temple Owls: Points per game: 80.5 (81st in college basketball) Field goal percentage: 47.1% Three-point percentage: 31.8% Free-throw percentage: 75.4% Rebounds per game: 36.5 Assists per game: 13.2 Turnovers per game: 11.5 Defensive efficiency: 151st in the nation Key Matchup The matchup to watch will be between Jamal Mashburn Jr. and Jamir Watkins. Mashburn's three-point shooting prowess against Watkins' defensive skills will be crucial in determining the outcome of the game. |
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11-11-24 | Yale v. Purdue UNDER 145.5 | Top | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
Yale vs Purdue The following NCAAM betting algorithm has gone 43-24 (64%) since 2006. The requirements are: Bet the Under involving a double-digit home favorite. The game occurs in the first 8 of the regular season. The total is priced between 142.5 and 150 points. The opponent played in last year’s NCAA Tournament. Date: Monday, November 11, 2024Time: 8:00 PM ET Venue: Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, Indiana Team Overview Purdue Boilermakers (2-0) Rank: No. 14 Coach: Matt Painter Key Players: Fletcher Loyer (18.5 PPG, 7-10 3PT), Trey Kaufman-Renn (14.5 PPG, 7 RPG), Braden Smith (11.5 PPG, 11 APG) Injuries: Daniel Jacobsen (fractured tibia, out for the season). Will Berg is expected to start in his place1. Recent Trends: Purdue started the season strong with wins over Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (90-73) and Northern Kentucky (72-50). The Boilermakers have a 23-game November winning streak and are looking to extend it to 243. Yale Bulldogs (1-1) Coach: James Jones (24th season) Key Players: John Poulakidas (20 PPG), Bez Mbeng (17 PPG) Injuries: None reported. Recent Trends: Yale opened the season with a win over Quinnipiac (88-62) but lost to Illinois-Chicago (91-79). The Bulldogs have struggled with turnovers, committing 16 in their last game. Offensive and Defensive Statistics Purdue Boilermakers: Offensive Stats: Shooting 48.8% from the field, 40.4% from 3-point range. Defensive Stats: Forcing 13 turnovers per game, allowing 43.9% from 2-point range. Yale Bulldogs: Offensive Stats: Shooting 46.7% from the field, 35.1% from 3-point range. Defensive Stats: Allowing 48% from 2-point range, struggling with turnovers (20% turnover rate). Recent Team Trends and Win/Loss Streaks Purdue Boilermakers: Win Streak: 23 straight wins in November. Recent Games: Won by an average of 19.5 points in their first two games. Yale Bulldogs: Win Streak: No current win streak. Recent Games: Split their first two games, with a win over Quinnipiac and a loss to Illinois-Chicago |
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11-08-24 | North Carolina v. Kansas UNDER 160.5 | Top | 89-92 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
9 UNC vs 1 Kansas The following NCAAM betting algorithm has produced a 21-13 Under record good for 62% winning bets. The requirements are: Bet the Under with a hoe favorite priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. The home team is ranked in the top 10. The home team is outscoring their foes by 10 or more PPG. The home team is ocming off a game in whcih they led by 20 or more points at the half. If the foe is also ranked the Under has gone 14-3 for 82% winning bets! |
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04-02-24 | Georgia v. Seton Hall OVER 145 | Top | 67-84 | Win | 100 | 33 h 23 m | Show |
Georgia vs Seton Hall NIT Semifinals | Hinkle Fieldhouse | Indianapolis 8-Unit bet on the OVER priced at 145 points and is valid to 146.5 points. These two teamsd are playing at Hinkle Fieldhouse which will provide different site lines for the players on these teams. I have seen many games go under at this venue in the NCAA Tournament over the years. So, to hedge that a bit, consider betting 70% preflop and then look to get the remaining 30% at a price of 141.5 points during the first half of action. The following NCAAB situational team and head coach trends support this bet on the OVER. · Georgia is 14-2 Over in road games and are coming off a game away from home (neutral or away). · Georgia is 16-4 Over when coming off a win away from home (neutral or away) by three or fewer points. · Georgia is 8-1 OVER after having won four or five of their last six games spanning the past two seasons. · Head coach Holloway is 17-4 Over for his career after his teams had won four or five of their last six games. · Head coach White is 8-1 Over after winning four or five of his team’s last six games. · White is 37-17-2 OVER after covering the spread in two or more of his previous games for his career. From my predictive model, Georgia is projected to score 74 or more points and make 9 or more 3-pointers. In past games in which Georgia met these measures has seen the Over go 20-5 for 80% winning bets since 2019. |
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03-30-24 | Illinois v. Connecticut UNDER 155.5 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
Illinois vs Connecticut
6:09 ET | TD Garden 8-Unit Bet Under the total priced at 154.5 points and is valid to 151.5 points. Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add 25% more at 159.5 points during the first half of action. This game will take on the same look that the Alabama vs UNC game did where they got off to a meteoric pace, which allowed us to get all four in-game pieces of the total booked with the highest one being at 189.5 points. So, allow the scoring chaos to work in your favor. The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 58-24 Under record good for 71% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet the Under the total priced between 150 and 159.5 points. · The game is played in a neutral court setting. · One of the teams (Illinois) is coming off an upset win. · That team is priced as a 3.5 or more-point underdog. Here’s a snapshot of some key metrics for both teams: Illinois:Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (AdjOE): 127.2Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (AdjDE): 92.6Effective Field Goal Percentage (EFG%): 57.2%Turnover Rate (TOR): 14.7%Offensive Rebound Percentage (ORB): 16.2%Defensive Rebound Percentage (DRB): 36.2%Free Throw Rate (FTR): 26.6%Two-Point Percentage (2P%): 59.2%Three-Point Percentage (3P%): 43.5%Connecticut:Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (AdjOE): 126.8Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (AdjDE): 94.9Barthag: 15.9655Effective Field Goal Percentage (EFG%): 56.2%Turnover Rate (TOR): 16.3%Offensive Rebound Percentage (ORB): 13.8%Defensive Rebound Percentage (DRB): 37.9%Free Throw Rate (FTR): 24.2%Two-Point Percentage (2P%): 42.4%Three-Point Percentage (3P%): 23.0% |
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03-29-24 | Creighton v. Tennessee UNDER 145.5 | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Creighton vs Tennessee10 ET | Little Caesars Arena | TBS/truTV8-Unit Best bet UNDER 144.5 points and is valid to 143.5 points.
Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to add 15% more at 147.5 points and the remaining 15% at 149.5 points during the first half of action. The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 45-23-1 UNDER record good for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points. · One of the teams (Tennessee) has allowed 60 or fewer points in two straight games. If the team is favored, the Under has gone 24-11-1 good for 69% winning bets. The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 21-9 Under record good for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet the Under the total priced between 140 and 149.5 points. · One of the teams (Tennessee) is coming off a game in which they shot 36% or worse form the field. |
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03-28-24 | Alabama v. North Carolina UNDER 173.5 | Top | 89-87 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
4-seed Alabama vs 1-seed UNC 9:39 CBS | Crypto Arena, LA 8-Unit bet UNDER the total of 173.5 points and is valid to 170 points. Scoring volatility is going to be scorching at times during the first half of action between these teams. So, consider betting 60% preflop and then look to add 10% more of your 8-Unit betting amount at 176.5 points, 10% more at a 179.5 points, 10% more at 181.5 points and the final 10% amount at 184.5 points. I also do not recommend a parlay, as I rarely bet them, because you will make more money if you simply bet these opportunities individually over the course of a season. The exception to that rule is when I get two significant MLB dogs of +150 or more where I will take 2-Units and parlay them using the money lines. With that said be sure to get on board the MLB full season package, which is on sale now on the web site for 40% off the regular price. In the NCAA Tournament, totals of 165 and more have gone 12-4 Under since 2014. The crypto arena is an NBA stadium where the Lakers and the Clippers call home. The venue is significantly bigger than where these two teams are accustomed to playing and with that change the player’s site lines change. Many times players do find it hard to find their shooting touches from range and lends itself to seeing the Under win the money. |
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03-23-24 | Texas v. Tennessee UNDER 146 | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
Texas vs TennesseeSaturday Round-2 NCAA Tournament8-Unit best bet UNDER the total priced at 146.5 points.
The following NCAA Sports betting algorithm has produced an 86-49-1 Under record good for 64% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: ü Bet Under in a neutral site game. ü The total is between 140 and 149.5 points. ü One of the teams led by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game. If the game occurs in the NCAA Tournament the Under has gone 11-3 for 79% winning bets. If the foe (Texas) is not ranked and the game occurs in the NCAA Tournament, the Under has gone 67-30-1 for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The Matchup Preview and Things to Watch
Round of 64 Results: Texas showcased their defensive prowess by defeating Colorado State with a score of 56-44. The Longhorns’ defense was the highlight, with Dylan Disu leading the scoring with 12 points and Tyrese Hunter making a significant impact despite scoring only 8 points.
Key Players: Keep an eye on Max Abmas, who leads the team with an average of 17.1 points per game. His matchup against Tennessee’s defense, particularly against Zakai Zeigler, will be critical.
Round of 64 Results: Tennessee had a commanding 83-49 victory over Saint Peter’s, asserting their dominance early on and maintaining it throughout the game.
Key Players: Dalton Knecht, the SEC’s player of the year, and Santiago Vescovi, known for his three-point shooting, are the players to watch. Their performance against Texas’ defense, especially against the likes of Tyrese Hunter, will be pivotal.
Matchup to Watch: The defensive strategies of both teams will be under the spotlight, with Texas’ Tyrese Hunter and Tennessee’s Zakai Zeigler both being key defensive players for their respective teams. |
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03-23-24 | Washington State v. Iowa State UNDER 129 | Top | 56-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
Washington State vs Iowa StateSaturday Round-2 NCAA Tournament
8-Unit Bet on the Under priced at 128.5 points and is valid to 126.5 points. Consider betting 70% Under preflop and then look to add 15% more at 131.5 and the remaining 15% at 135.5 points during the first half of action. The following NCAA Sports betting algorithm has produced a 15-6-1 Under record good for 71% winning bets in the last 10 NCAA Tournaments. The requirements are: ü Bet the Under with a team that won their conference Championship (Iowa Sate). ü That Champion is facing a team that did not win their conference championship. ü The total is priced between 120 and 137 points. |
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03-22-24 | Yale v. Auburn UNDER 141 | Top | 78-76 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 1 m | Show |
YALE (22 - 9) vs. AUBURN (27 - 7)
4:15 ET Friday | 8-Unit bet Under the posted total priced at 140.5 points and is valid to 138.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 30% more at 144.5 points during the first half of action. The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-8 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points. · One of the teams (Morehead) has won 12 of their last 15 games. · The game takes place in the NCAA Tournament. · The opponent (Illinois) has won 15 or more of their past 20 games. The following betting algorithm has produced an 89-52 Under record good for 63% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points. · One of the teams (Auburn) is coming off a double-digit win over a conference rival. · Both teams have won 60 to 80% of their games. If the team is playing on 4 or fewer days of rest, the Under has gone 73-41-1 for 64%. If both teams are playing on 4 or fewer days of rest, the Under has gone 65-35-1 for 65% winning bets. Matchup Analysis: Offense vs. Defense: Auburn’s scoring prowess will clash with Yale’s stingy defense. Can Yale slow down Auburn’s fast-paced attack?Rebounding Battle: Both teams have strong rebounders. The battle on the boards will be crucial.Three-Point Shooting: Auburn loves the long ball, while Yale focuses on inside scoring.Keep in mind when playing totals that many of these mid-majors, like Yale will be playing in significantly larger arenas with different site lines than they are accustomed to at their quaint 2 to 5 thousand capacity venues. The Unders have performed very well when college basketball teams of any stature play in the football stadiums like the Luke Oil in Indianapolis, for instance. More on these developments in the rounds ahead. |
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03-21-24 | Morehead State v. Illinois UNDER 147.5 | Top | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 59 m | Show |
MOREHEAD ST (26 - 8) vs. ILLINOIS (26 - 8) 3:10 EST | TRU TV | CHI Health Center, Omaha 8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 147.5 points and is valid to 145.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 30% more at 152.5 points during the first half of action. Both teams have near the best predictive scoring variance in their respective conferences, and both have more consistent first half scoring than second half. So, it stands to reason that these teams will get out to faster than expected start and the total will rise into the 150’s at some point during the first half of action.
The following betting algorithm has produced a 23-14-2 Under record good for 63% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.One of the teams (Illinois) is scoring at least 76 or more PPG.That team is coming two games in which they and the foe each scored 75 or more points.That team won their two previous games.The opponent is allowing an average of 63 or fewer PPG.The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-8 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points. · One of the teams (Morehead) has won 12 of their last 15 games. · The game takes place in the NCAA Tournament. · The opponent (Illinois) has won 15 or more of their past 20 games. Both teams meet the requirements of this system. |
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03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 148.5 | Top | 87-93 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Wisconsin vs Illinois3:30 ET | Target Center
8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 149.5 points and is valid to 147.5 points. Consider betting 75% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 25% more at 154.5 points during the first half of action. The following betting algorithm has produced a 74-49-3 Over record good for 60% winning bets. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a neutral court setting. · The total is priced between 140 and 150 points. · A team (Wisconsin) is avenging a same-season loss in which the foe (Illinois) scored 85 or more points. |
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03-16-24 | Iowa State v. Houston OVER 121.5 | Top | 69-41 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Iowa State vs Houston 6 ET 10-Unit Max Bet Over the posted total currently priced at 122 points and is valid to 123.5 points. Big 12 Tournament Championship: The top two teams in the Big 12 conference face off in the championship game: Iowa State Cyclones and Houston Cougars. Both teams have been on fire recently, winning 17 of their last 18 games. Houston boasts the nation’s third-longest active winning streak with 11 consecutive wins. Iowa State and Houston share similarities defensively. They both rank in the top five for near-shot proximity allowed (per Haslametrics).Additionally, they excel in their ball screen coverages on the perimeter, disrupting opponents’ ball handlers. Keep an eye on Iowa State point guard Keshon Gilbert, who ranks 11th in the Big 12 for percentage of possessions and 15th in assist rate.However, facing Houston’s Jamal Shead, who leads the country in Defensive Bayesian Performance Rating, Gilbert may have a tougher time distributing assists. In the regular-season meetings, Gilbert had four-plus assists against Houston, but we’re intrigued by the plus-money value for him to have three or fewer assists in the tournament final. The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-6 Over record good for 78% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are: · Bet the Over that is priced between 120 and 129.5 points. · One of the teams (ISU) has allowed 65 or fewer points in each of their three previous games. · The opponent (Houston) has won each of their last three games by double-digits. From my predictive models we are expecting both teams to attempt a combined total of 115 or more shots and make at least 75% of their free throws. The Over is 19-2 in Houston games and 11-3 Over in Iowa State games when these measures are met or exceeded. “Bet with your head and Never Over it and May all the Wins be Yours!” |
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03-16-24 | St Bonaventure v. Duquesne OVER 133.5 | Top | 60-70 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
St. Bonaventure vs Duquesne
3:30 ET | Barclays Center 8-Unit bet Over the posted total of 134.5 points and is valid to 137 points. Consider betting 75% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 25% more at 129.5 points during the first half of action. The following betting algorithm has produced a 74-49-3 Over record good for 60% winning bets. The requirements are: · Bet the Over in a neutral court setting. · The Over is priced between 130 and 139.5 points. · A team (Duquesne) has seen the total play Under by 54 or more points spanning their previous 10 games. If the team is favored then the Over improves to a highly profitable17-7-1 ATS for 71% winning bets. From the predictive model, we are expecting Duquesne to shoot 46 or better from the field, make 78% or more of their free throws, and commit no more than 13 turnovers. The Over is a perfect 10-0 in previous games in which Duquesne met or exceeded these measures. St. Bonaventure is expected to shoot 46% or better form the field. In past games that the Bonnies have played and both they and their opponent shot 46% or better from the field, the Over has gone 16-0. In past games that Duquesne has played and both they and their opponent shot 46% or better from the field, the Over has gone 32-4. In game played involving Duquesne in which both teams shot 46% or better from the field and those teams combined for no more than 25 turnovers has seen the OVER produce an 18-2 record and in game involving the Bonnies the Over has produced a 14-0 record. |
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03-15-24 | Indiana v. Nebraska UNDER 146.5 | Top | 66-93 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
Indiana vs Nebraska
9 ET | BTN| Target Center 8-Unit bet UNDER the total priced at 145.5 points. Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to add 15% more at a price of 149.5 points and 20% more at 152.5 points during the first half of action. Betting all your 8-Unit amount preflop is always a sound strategy and I provide the live betting strategy as an added extra. The following betting algorithm has produced a 27-13 SU (68%) SU record and a 24-15-1 ATS mark for 62% and an impressive 28-10-2 Under record good for 74% winning bets. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a neutral court setting that is priced between 140 and 149.5 points. · After game number 15. · One of the teams (Nebraska) is averaging between 74 and 78 PPG. · That team scored 45 or more points in the first half of their previous game. · That team is facing a foe that is allowing an average of 67 to 74 PPG. Over the past three seasons this algorithm is 8-2 Under for 80% winning bets. |
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03-11-24 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga OVER 150 | Top | 77-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Gonzaga 11:30 ET | ESPN2 | Orleans Arena, Las Vegas West Coast Conference Semifinals 8-Unit bet Over the posted total of 149.5 points and is valid to 151.5 points. Consider betting 50% of your 8-Unit Best Bet preflop and then look to add 25% more at 145.5 points, and 25% more at 142.5 points during the first half of action. Gonzaga is 26-19 Over following a game in which they allowed less than 40% shooting and shot better than 50% from the field. They have seen the Over go 17-10 over the past five seasons following a game in which they shot better than 50% and with the current game less than 150 points. San Fran is 35-25 Over for 58% in games with a total of less than 150 points and coming off a game in which they allowed 45% or lower shooting since 2019. IN games against Gonzaga with a total less than 150 points, San Fran has seen the Over go 8-4 for 67% since 2014. Gonzaga head coach Mark Few is 65-50 Over in all March games; 16-5 Over in road and neutral games coming off an upset win as an underdog. From my predictive models, Gonzaga has an 83% probability of scoring 80 or more points, shoot at least 49% from the field, and make 78% or more of their free throws. In past games over the last five seasons Gonzaga is 23-1 SU, 12-8 ATS, and 16-4 Over when scoring 80 or more points against San Fran. The Over has posted a highly profitable 13-4 Over record good for 77% winning bets when they have allowed 80 or more points and allowed higher than 49% shooting in games played over the past five seasons. |
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03-05-24 | North Florida v. Austin Peay UNDER 145 | Top | 98-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
North Florida vs Austin Peay 8 ET | ESPN+ | F&M Bank Arena 8-Unit bet on the Under 146 points and is valid down to 144.5 points. NFU is 27-14 Under in games with a total priced between 140 and 149.5 points spanning the past three seasons; 18-6 Under in road games where the total is priced between 140 and 149.5 points spanning the previous three seasons; 13-4 Under in road games following a game in which they made 13 or more 3-point shots in games played over the past three seasons. From the predictive model, NFU has seen the Under go 10-3 for 77% winning bets when allowing 75 or fewer points and getting between 34 and 39 rebounds in games played over the past 5 seasons. |
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03-05-24 | Purdue v. Illinois UNDER 164 | Top | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Purdue vs Illinois 7:00 ET | Peacock | State Farm Center 8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 163.5 points and valid to 161.5 points The following NCAA Basketball betting system has earned 24-14 Under mark good for 64% winning bets since 2007. The requirements are: « Bet the Under when it is priced between 160 and 169.5 points. « The home and road teams are dominant rebounding teams out rebounding their foes by at least 6 boards per game. « The game occurs after game number 15 The following NCAA Basketball betting system has earned an 18-8 Under mark good for 70% winning bets since 2007. The requirements are: « Bet the Under in games with the total priced between 160 and 159.5 points. « One of the teams (Purdue) is on a three-game Over streak. « Both teams’ defenses allow between 67 and 74 PPG. « The game take place in the second half of the season after game number 15. |
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02-25-24 | Iona v. Mt. St. Mary's UNDER 145.5 | Top | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
Iona vs Mount St. Mary’s 2:00 ET | ESPN+ 8-Unit Bet on the Under priced at 145.5 points and is valid to 143.5 points. The following NCAAB algorithm has earned a n 85-53 record good for 62% over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet the under when priced between 143 and 152 points. · The home team has lost the spread by 52 or more points spanning their previous 10 games. · The visitor has seen their last five games play Over the total by 30 or more points. |
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02-24-24 | Georgetown v. DePaul UNDER 150.5 | Top | 77-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
Georgetown vs DePaul 8-Unit Bet on the Under priced at 150 points and is valid to 148.5 points The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 90-42 Under for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a game priced between 145 and 150 points. · The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games. · The opponent has seen their last five games play Over the total by 35 or more points. Georgetown is 18-7 Under when facing a team that is allowing 45% shooting in games played in the second half spanning the past 10 seasons. DePaul is 29-12-1 Under after having three consecutive games in which they forced 11 or fewer turnovers in each game. |
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02-18-24 | Purdue v. Ohio State UNDER 147 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
Purdue vs Ohio State 1 ET | CBS | Value City Arena 8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 145.5 points and is valid down to 142.5 points. This game is expected to feature scoring runs by both teams and there will be intervals where the teams are combining to score 5 or more points per minute spanning three minutes. Consider betting 70% Under preflop and then look to add 15% at 149.5 points and 15% more at 153.5 points during the first half of action. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced an 26-21 SU record and 24-23 ATS record and 31-16 Under good for 66% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: ü Bet the under with a price between 143 and 152. ü The home team has failed to cover the spread by 55 to 65 points over their previous 10 games. ü The visitor has seen their last five games play Over by 35 or more points. If the game occurs after the 15th of the season, the Under has produced a 28-11 record good for 72% winning bets since 2006. |
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02-08-24 | Queens NC v. Lipscomb UNDER 168 | Top | 88-90 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
Queens NC vs Lipscomb 8 ET 8-Unit bet on the Under currently at 168 points and is valid to 165.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 21-5 UNDER for 71% winning bets. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under in a game with a total of 165 points. Ø One of the teams (Lipscomb) has had 33 or fewer turnovers over their last four games. If that team is favored and the total is 160 or more points the Under has produced a 26-14 record for 65% winning bets. |
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02-07-24 | Bradley v. Evansville UNDER 144 | Top | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
Bradley vs Evansville 8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 143.5 points and is va.id to 141.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 90-55 Under record good for 62% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under in games with a total between 143 and 151 points. Ø The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games. Ø The road team, has seen the total play Over by 30 or more points spanning their previous five games. |
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02-07-24 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama UNDER 152.5 | Top | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
Georgia Southern vs South Alabama 8 ET | ESPN+ | Mitchell Center, Mobile, AL 8-Unit Bet on the Under 151.5 points and is valid to 149.5 points. Here is a Free glance at type of unique and highly profitable research my subscribers get every day for every play I release. Check it out and then check the special discounted subscription I started offering today for the rest of the College Basketball season covering you through the NCAA Championship game. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 90-55 Under record good for 62% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under in games with a total between 143 and 151 points. Ø The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games. Ø The road team, has seen the total play Over by 30 or more points spanning their previous five games. If the game is taking place in the second half of the regular season, the Under has produced a 76-43 record good for 64% winning bets. From my predictive mode, we are looking to see South Alabama to shoot 45% or lower from the field and with both teams making fewer than 10 3-point shots. In lined games, the Under has gone 9-2 when South Alabama and GS has seen the Under go 9-0.when they have met or exceeded these performance measures.
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02-03-24 | Xavier v. DePaul UNDER 150.5 | Top | 93-68 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Xavier vs DePaul 8-Unit best bet on the UNDER 150.5 points and is valid down to 148.5 points. The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points. Ø The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games. Ø The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points. For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Under preflop and then look to add 20% more on the Under at 157.5 points during the first half of action. Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois 8-Unit best bet on NIU -6 points and is valid to -8 points.
The line for this game is likely to get cheaper for us, so give this one a bit of patience and monitor it ahead of the tip. The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points. Ø The home team is the underdog. Ø The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games. Ø The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points. For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount NIU preflop and then look to add 20% more on NIU at -1.5 points during the first half of action. |
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02-03-24 | Robert Morris v. Detroit UNDER 144.5 | Top | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 36 m | Show |
Detroit Mercy vs Robert Morris 8-Unit best bet on the UNDER 144.5 points and is valid down to 143.5 points. The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 39-23 Under for 63% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under between 143 and 152 points. Ø The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games. Ø The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points. If the home dog is priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points, the Under has gone 17-8 for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Under preflop and then look to add 20% more on the Under at 151.5 points during the first half of action. |
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01-31-24 | Vanderbilt v. Auburn UNDER 143 | Top | 54-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Vanderbilt vs Auburn Neville Arena, Auburn, AL 8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 142.5 points and is valid to 142.5 points. The following betting algorithm has produced a 62-34 Under record for 65% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: Ø Bet Under the total between 140 and 150. Ø The road team is coming off a double-digit loss. Ø The host is coming off a road upset loss. If our road team is the underdog, the Under improves to a 56-27 record for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. Consider betting 70% preflop at 142.5 points and then at 15% more at 146.5 points and 15% more at 149.5 points during the first half of action. |
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01-21-24 | Fairfield v. Manhattan UNDER 148.5 | Top | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
Fairfield vs Manhattan
Consider betting 7 units Under preflop and then look to add 1-Unit at 155.5 points during the first half of action. Betting the Under in a game with a total between 143 and 152 and the home team has failed to cover the spread by 50 or more points over their previous 10 games and facing a foe that has seen the total play OVER by 35 or more points over their previous five games has earned a 56-28 Under record good for 67% winning bets since 2016. |
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01-17-24 | Mississippi State v. Kentucky UNDER 156 | Top | 77-90 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Mississippi State vs Kentucky
10-UNIT Bet Under the posted total of 154 points and is valid to 151.5 points Consider betting 7 units Under preflop and then look to dd the remaining 3 units at 159.5 points during the first half of action. From the predictive models we are looking for MSST to commit no more than 18 turnovers, score 70 or fewer points and hold Kentucky to 38% or worse from beyond the arc. In past games when they have achieved these measures has seen the Under go 41-6 for 87% winning bets over the past five seasons. The Under has gone 33-9 for 79% winning bets when Kentucky has shot no better than 37% from beyond the arc, allowed 70 or fewer points and forced 18 or fewer turnovers spanning the last five seasons. |
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01-13-24 | SE Missouri State v. Tennessee Tech UNDER 147 | Top | 59-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
Southeast Missouri State vs Tennessee Tech Bet the under in games priced between 143 and 152 points, the home team has failed to cover the spread by 52 or more points over their last 5 games and facing a foe that has played Over the total by 29 or more points over their last 5 games has produced a 75-38 record for 61% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. Tennessee Tech head coach Pelphrey is 8-0 Under when coming off an upset double-digit win and is 11-2-1 Under coming off a road win by double-digits. |
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01-13-24 | Oakland v. IUPU-Indianapolis UNDER 143.5 | Top | 88-66 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
Oakland vs IUPU 2 EST | Indiana Farmers Coliseum Bet the under in games priced between 143 and 152 points, the home team has failed to cover the spread by 52 or more points over their last 5 games and facing a foe that has played Over the total by 29 or more points over their last 5 games has produced a 75-38 record for 61% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. Oakland is 7-0 Under in road games following a close win by six or fewer points in games played over the past two seasons. |
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12-07-23 | Iowa v. Iowa State OVER 152 | Top | 65-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
Iowa vs Iowa State 9:00 ET 8-Unit Best Bet on the OVER currently priced at 231 points Betting the Over in a game with a total priced between 150 and 159.5 with one of the teams allowing 77 or more PPG and with that team trailing at the half in their previous game by 20 or more points has produced a 55-32 record good for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State OVER 131.5 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Betting the Over in any Tournament semifinal game (NCAA, NIT, or CBI) with a total between 130 and 139.5 points and with one of the teams coming into the game on a 7 or more-game win streak has earned a 53-32-2 Over record over the past 25 years. |
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03-25-23 | Connecticut v. Gonzaga OVER 153 | Top | 82-54 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
UCONN vs Gonzaga Gonzaga is 7-1 over the posted total on facing elite offensive teams scoring 77 or more points per game in games played this season. UCONN is 12-3 over the total after allowing 65 or fewer points in three consecutive games in all games played over the last two seasons. The head coach Mark Few is 31-15 over the posted total when playing on a neutral court and priced as an underdog for his coaching career. Florida Atlantic vs Kansas State From the predictive model we are expecting both teams to shoot at least 44% from the field and make at least 78% of their free throw attempts. In past games in which Florida Atlantic met or exceeded these performance measures the over has gone 6-1 for 86% winning bets. In past games in which Kansas State met or exceeded these performance measures has seen the over go 7-2-1 for 78% winning bets. |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL v. Houston UNDER 139 | Top | 89-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Miami (Fla) vs Houston |
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03-24-23 | San Diego State v. Alabama OVER 137.5 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
San Diego State vs Alabama Alabama is 8-2 Over following four consecutive games in which they forced four or fewer turnovers in games played this season. |
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03-21-23 | North Texas v. Oklahoma State OVER 122.5 | Top | 65-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
North Texas vs Oklahoma State North Texas is 13-5 OVER when facing a team that is averaging at least 21 three-point shots per game. OKSTATE is 20-6 ATS when having won three of their last four games spanning the past three seasons and 8-1 ATS having won four of their last five games spanning the past three seasons. |
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03-19-23 | Pittsburgh v. Xavier OVER 147.5 | Top | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 1 h 44 m | Show |
Pittsburgh vs Xavier The predictive model projects that both teams will score at least 80 points each making this a terrific betting opportunity. If the game starts out slowly and the total drops to a price level between 140 and 144 points during the first half add a bit more to your bet with a sprinkle. An alternative is to bet 75% preflop and then add 25% at 145 or better during the first half of action. Or wait for the first half to be completed and if the first half plays Under then add to the Over bet at that point. There is a significant trend of games that play Under in the first half then play Over full game based on the closing total in the NCAA Tournament. |
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03-12-23 | Princeton v. Yale UNDER 140.5 | Top | 74-65 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show |
Princeton vs Yale I suggest betting no more than a 2.5-unit amount on the parlay and would encourage you to wait till the game starts and look to get Yale at pick-em and the Under at 146.5 or more points during the first half of action. Perhaps 1.5 units parlay preflop and then 1 more unit in-game. Dogs that are playing in their conference tournament and that lost two same season games to the current foe, with a total between 135 and 145 points and with that foe averaging a higher shooting percentage over their last three games than what they shot for the season have gone just 18-27 ATS for 40%. |
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03-11-23 | Cornell v. Yale UNDER 149.5 | Top | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
Cornell vs Yale |
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03-09-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa UNDER 153.5 | Top | 73-69 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
Ohio State vs Iowa |
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03-04-23 | Alabama v. Texas A&M UNDER 151.5 | Top | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
Alabama vs Texas A&M The two best teams in the SEC Conference square off in this showdown, but there is nothing at stake. Alabama is the #1 seed with a 16-4 conference record and A&M is locked in the #2 seed heading into the SEC Tournament this week. Alabama has used only 3 different starting lineups this season and the quintet of Bediako, Bradley, Clowney, Miller, and Spears have amassed a 17-3 record. They will start today against A&M. Top-10 road teams in a matchup facing a foe that is ranked between 11 and 25, both teams have won 20 or more games, but the team ranked in the Top-10 has lost fewer games than the foe and are priced between the 3’s are 29-14-3 ATS for 67.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Betting on road teams priced between the 3’s, have allowed 80 or more points in each of their last two games, and facing a foe that has played four consecutive games in which they and their foes scored fewer than 70 points. Alabama vs Texas A&M For the in-game betting parlay look to get ‘Bama at +6.5 and the total Under at 157.5 points. This pair of prices may not occur during the first half of the action and if it doesn’tthen so be it and resist the temptation to force the bet. |
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02-18-23 | Stetson v. Florida Gulf Coast UNDER 144.5 | Top | 88-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Florida Gulf Coast vs Stetson (6 ET) 8-Unit bet Under the total currently priced at 143.5 points The same Total system supporting the Under bet in the North Florida and Austin Peay game applies to this one as well. FGCU has lost to the spread by 53.5 points over their last 10 games while Stetson has played over the total by 57 points over their previous 5 games. FGCU head coach Patrick Chambers is 21-12 Under following a game in which his team made 78% or more of their free throw attempts. He coached 7 seasons at Boston University for two seasons 2010-11, then went to Penn State from 2012-2020 and is now in his second season with FGCU. |
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02-09-23 | New Orleans v. Nicholls State UNDER 150.5 | Top | 59-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
New Orleans vs Nicholls State Betting on the UNDER in games with a total between 143 and 153, the home team has been defeated by 48 or more points against the spread over their past 10 games and facing a foe that have seen their last 5 games play OVER by 28 or more points has produced an 83-46 record for 64.3% winners since 2012 and 39-21 UNDER for 65% winning bets. If our home team is a favorite of at least 6 points, the Under then has earned a highly profitable 24-10 record for 71% winning bets. |
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02-09-23 | Denver v. North Dakota UNDER 145 | Top | 63-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
Denver vs North Dakota 4% 8-Unit bets bet Under the total, currently at 144 points Betting the Under with a dog that has seen their last five games play Under the total by at least 36 points and facing a foe that has seen their total play Over by at least 8 points I each of their last four games has earned an outstanding 25-9 for 74% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the game is lined between a 3.5-point favorite and a 3.5 dog, the record soars to 15-4 Under for 79% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
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02-06-23 | Lafayette v. Holy Cross OVER 125.5 | Top | 72-58 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
Lafayette vs Holy Cross |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah v. Fresno State OVER 137 | Top | 48-67 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Southern Utah vs Fresno State The Basketball Classic Semifinals 4% bet OVER the posted total FSU head coach Hutson is 9-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in four of their last five games, 35-20-1 ATS following a home game, and 16-6-1 ATS following two consecutive home games. From my predictive models, we learn that FSU is 8-0-1 Over when scoring 70 or more points and making at least 12 free throws in games played over the last three seasons. |
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03-24-22 | Michigan v. Villanova UNDER 135.5 | Top | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
Michigan vs Villanova 7:29 PM EST, March 23, 2022 4% best bet Under the posted total The last time these two programs met in San Antonio on the basketball court was in the 2016 NCAA Championship game won by Villanova. The Wildcats look to be poised for another Championship run here in San Antonio and credit goes to head coach Jay Wright for having the courage to load up the front end of the season with top-rated superior teams. That ‘seasoning’ is now going to pay off for the remainder of their Tournament run starting tonight. When away from Ann Arbor, Michigan is 7-0 Under after two consecutive games attempting 10 or fewer shots than the opponent and 31-15 Under following two consecutive games where the opponent was called for five or more fouls than they were called for. Villanova is on a 7-1 Under run when playing in a neutral court settling and installed as the favorite. For his entire career at Villanova, Jay Wright is 45-27-2 Under when facing a marginal winning team sporting a win percentage not higher than 60%, 32-20-3 Under when playing against a winning record team with a win percentage not higher in than 60% in the second half of each season (after game number 15) From my predictive models, we are expecting to see a well-played matchup within a slower than average pace of play. The spread and total are telling us that Villanova will win 70.25-64.75 or 70-65. They are also projected to make no higher than 37% from beyond the arc OR not make more than 11 3-pointers in total and not score more than 75 points. In past games when not playing at home, the Wildcats have gone 5-14-2 Over-Under for 74% wining bets when not scoring more than 75 points and not making more than 11 3-pointers in games played since 2019. Michigan is 5-10 Over-Under for 67% winning Under bets in games where they did not make more than 6 3-pointers and did not score more than 70 points. |
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03-18-22 | Delaware v. Villanova UNDER 133.5 | Top | 60-80 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Delaware vs Villanova 2:45 PM EST, March 18, 2022 The total for this game is 133.5 points and has not moved from that opening price. One live in-game strategy worth considering and one that I will look to execute is to bet 50% of your 4% betting amount pre-flop and then hope to see a faster than expected pace at the start of the game. If that happens look to add the remaining 50% at 139.5 points during the first half only. To bet in-game in the second half has a significantly reduced ROI simply because there is less time to be correct. The worst case is that 139.5 is not made available during the first half of play which implies that we are correct on the 4% Under bet looking good to cover. You can also bet 80% pre flop and look to add 20% at 139.5 points. Send me a Direct Message on Twitter @JohnRyanSports1 if you have any questions. Betting the Under in the first round of the NCAA Tournament in a matchup of teams that have won 60 to 80% of their games on the season has earned a 67-29-1 Under record good for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. Delaware is 8-2 Under when playing against a team with a win percentage between 60 and 80% this season. Nova is 6-0 Under as a favorite on a neutral court this season and 13-4 Under coming off a win of six or fewer points in games played over the last three seasons. |
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03-16-22 | Notre Dame v. Rutgers UNDER 132 | Top | 89-87 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
Notre Dame vs Rutgers 9:10 PM EST, March 16, 2022 4% Best Bet Under the posted total Notre Dame and Rutgers will be the participants in the last “Play-In” game prior to the March Madness Insanity begins in earnest Thursday. I thought Rutgers had earned a spot in the bracket by virtue of how well they did play down the stretch. This reflects that the committee only looks at quality of wins and the full-season body of work to give a team a thumbs up or thumbs down vote. I’d like to see more weighting for those teams that played hot down the stretch that would then bump out the teams that finished the regular season in a stumbling manner. The former Big East Conference rivals ended up earning two of the last four at-large bids into the 2022 field and will play each other in a First Four game Wednesday night at Dayton, Ohio. The winner will earn a No. 11 seed and move on to play sixth-seeded Alabama on Friday. This Under bet is backed by a simple to use betting system that has earned a 200-276 Over-Under record good for 58% winning Under bets spanning the last 15 seasons and is on a 19-42 Over-Under record for 69% winning Under bets spanning the last two seasons. The requirements are to bet the Under in games played in March with a team that allowed 85 or more points in their previous game. Plus, a subset that filters out only the games played with a total between 130 and 135 points that has earned a 17-33 Over-Under record good for 67% winning Under bets over the last 15 seasons. |
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03-13-22 | Iowa v. Purdue UNDER 152 | Top | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
Iowa vs Purdue 3:30 PM EST, March 13, 2022 4% bet on the UNDER in this Big Ten Championship matchup. Iowa’s offense was quite good at the beginning of the season, but now is monumentally better right now than the first time these two teams met. They play fast ranking 5th nationally averaging 64.6 shots per game and the nation’s best ball handling team sporting 1.74 assists to turnover ratio. However, now the betting total has been overpriced by the betting community and both teams are prone to scoring below their average score per game. Betting the Under in a game being played on a neutral court, with a total between 150 and 159.5 points, after the 15th game of the regular season including Tournament action, and two teams that are allowing 42.5% to 45% shooting on the season has earned an insanely profitable 32-4 Under record good for 89% winning bets over the last five seasons. For March Madness moving forward, totals in the month of March ranging between 150 and 159.5 points, in games being played on a neutral site have gone 176-128-6 Under for 58% winners since 2006. In April games, the Under is 5-1. |
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02-27-22 | Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 137.5 | Top | 93-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Nebraska vs Penn State 7 ET 4% Best Bet on the Under the posted total PSU is 31-14 Under when playing a game in the second half of the season (after game number 15) and taking on a team with a losing record and 23-9 Under when playing a struggling team with a win percentage between 20 and 40% on the season. They are 16-3 Under as a double-digit home favorite and 12-3 Under in the month of February, 11-3 Under after allowing 30 or fewer points in the first half of each of the last two games, and 7-1 Under following four consecutive games committing 14 or fewer turnovers and 6-0 Under following five games. |
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02-21-22 | West Virginia v. TCU UNDER 134 | Top | 67-77 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
West Virginia vs TCU TCU is 82-48 Under for 63% winners coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe and if suffering this double-digit loss on the road they are 52-30 Under for 64% winners. Even just coming off a double-digit loss regardless if a conference foe or not or site location, they have produced a 91-60 Under record for 60% winning bets. Over the last three season, TCU is 16-6 Under for 73% winners after losing by double-digits to a conference for in their previous game. The month of February is when the contenders seperate themselves form the pretenders and head coaches look to start coaching more aggressively and with more inspiration for his players. West Virginia’s skipper Huggins is this type of coach and his teams have a tendency every season to play their best in the month of February – and that starts on the defensive end. Huggins is 31-19 Under in games played in February and 77-53 Under when facing a team on the road that is forcing 14 or fewer turnovers on the seasons. |
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02-05-22 | UCLA v. Arizona State OVER 129.5 | Top | 84-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
UCLA vs Arizona State 4% best bet OVER the posted total Betting the OVER involving a home team that allowed 33% or worse opponent shooting in their last two games and in a matchup of two teams average at least 60 shots per game has earned a highly profitable 31-7 OVER record good for 82% winning bets over the last 25 seasons, 16-4 OVER for 80% winners the last five seasons, and 12-3 OVER for 80% over the last three seasons. UCLA is 8-1 OVER when facing an opponent that is making 42% or fewer of their shots. From the predictive models, UCLA is projected to score at least 75 points and in past games over the last three seasons when they have scored 75 or more points has seen the OVER go 14-2 for 78% winning bets. When ASU has allowed 75 or more points, the OVER has gone 15-5 for 75% winning bets spanning the last 3 seasons. |
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12-06-21 | Presbyterian v. Morehead State OVER 121.5 | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show |
Presbyterian vs Morehead State 7:00 PM EST, December 6, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the OVER My predictive models are suggesting that 130 or more points will be scored in this game. They also project that Morehead State will shoot at least 47% from the field and Presbyterian will have fewer turnovers than Morehead State and make at least seven 3-pointers. Presbyterian is 6-0 OVER in games where they made 6 or more 3-point shots. Morehead State is 19-7 OVER the past three seasons and 75-52 OVER the past 20 seasons when they have shot 47% or better from the field. Love the OVER |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | Top | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Baylor vs Gonzaga 9:00 PM EST, April 5, 2021 4% Best bet UNDER the posted total of 159 points. How in the world is this Championship Game even come close to matching the drama of the UCLA vs Gonzaga semifinal game, which is at the top of the All-Time greatest games in any sport. I do see this game being a physical war between these two juggernaut programs, who were ranked 1 and 2 in the nation throughout the season. Betting on the UNDER in neutral court settings with a total between 150.5 and 160 points in a matchup where the one team, Gonzaga, has scored 75 or more points in at least two consecutive games and now facing an opponent, Baylor, who is coming off a game in which they scored at least 40 or more points in the first-half of their last game has earned a solid 110-57-1 UNDER record for 67% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. If the ‘other’ team, Baylor, has scored 40 or more in two consecutive first-halves, the record moves up to 70% winning bets. |
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03-28-21 | Creighton v. Gonzaga OVER 158.5 | Top | 65-83 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
Creighton vs Gonzaga 4% Best Bet OVER the posted total of 158 points. We all have seen many more UNDER results this NCAA Tournament, and with the UNDER a perfect 4-0 UNDER yesterday. These UNDERS combined for going under their respective totals by 78 points in total and is easily above the highest UNDER total for a sweet 16 round since 2010, which occurred in the 2014 tournament and a total of 38 points. For this matchup, the OVER is the play based on my research and machine learning applications. The line and total imply a Gonzaga 86-73 win today over Creighton. The ML apps underscore Gonzaga’s points total of 86 or more points. Gonzaga has an 82% probability of scoring 86 or more points. In past games, Creighton is 7-0 OVER when they have allowed 87 or more points spanning the last three seasons. Gonzaga is 30-3 OVER when both they and their opponent have scored 75 or more points spanning the last three seasons. Gonzaga is 75-2 and 55-15 OVER in games scoring 81 or more points spanning the last five seasons and teams in the NCAA Tournament that have scored 87 or more points, are 52-4 and 50-6 OVER spanning the last six NCAA Tournaments. |
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03-20-21 | Iona v. Alabama OVER 146.5 | Top | 55-68 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
Iona vs Alabama This total opened at 143 points and has seen smart money hitting the OVER lifting the market price to a current 147-points. My machine learning applications continue to ‘love’ the OVER with a high probability of both teasm socring 75 or more points and a final tally of about 160 points. One way to play this this total is to place 50% of your normal 4% betting amount pre-flop and then look to add 25% more at 143 and the last 25% at 138.5 points. If both teams start out fast, you may not get the chance to add the two parts. However, as we have seen in the first day’s action, the in-game pricing is extremely fast and volatile. So, let that volatility work for you in this game. Alabama is 41-26 OVER when installed as a favorite in games played over the last three seasons and 23-11-1 ATS in non-conference games played over the last three seasons. Alabama head coach Oats is 28-14-1 ATS when playing just the second game spanning the past week; 32-14 ATS when playing against an opponent that has won 60 to 80% of their games on the season and only in games played after the 15th game of the regular season. |
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03-06-21 | Duke v. North Carolina UNDER 149.5 | Top | 73-91 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Duke vs North Carolina Duke does shoot the ball well and ranks 42nd with a 54% effective FG percentage, but they are not good, in fact, horrid ranking 336th with a 0.232 free throws attempts to field goals attempted ratio. UNC does not shoot the ball well, but they are the second best offensive rebounding team in the nation. They get the offensive board on 39.6% of their missed shots. Duke has been playing much better of late and rank 16th in current momentum attributed to a 9th best ranking in second-chance scoring opportunities. Duke has been playing better on the road than at home too. I expect the pace of play to be much slower than what UNC has averaged on the season. Krzyzewski is 18-7-1 UNDER when on the road and coming off a road game in which they and their opponent scored at least 75 points. Williams is 19-8-1 UNDER cpoming off a tough loss of no more than three points to a conference foe. |
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02-27-21 | Florida State v. North Carolina UNDER 152.5 | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
No 11 Florida State vs North Carolina 4% Best Bet UNDER the posted total of 151 points. FSU is the dominant force in the ACC this season and enter this showdown with UNC on a four-game win streak and went 2-1-1 ATS. They are on an 11-game ‘OVER’ streak and shot over 50% from the field in five of those games. Most notably, they shot an incredible 71% from the field in a 105-73 destruction of NC State back on January 13. UNC has been largely inconsistent this season as demonstrated in their last two games. They destroyed Louisville 99-54 as a 4.5-point home favorite and then inexplicably lost to Marquette 83-70 installed as a 9.5-point home favorite. They have had games where the defense does disappear of they forget how to score. However, in this matchup, their full attention and focus will on FSU knowing that a win will strengthen their NCAA resume. This is the highest total this season in FSU games. Over the last five seasons, ranked teams that are playing in a road game with the highest total of the season, has seen the ‘UNDER’ earn a 44-24 UNDER record for 65% winning bets. FSU plays an average-pace based on D-1 standards, but can really turn up the defensive heat. They rank 27th allowing 40.2% opponent shooting and 6th when adjusted by opponent and SOS. UNC is once again a great renounding team that ranks 2nd averaging 42.5 Rebounds-per-game, and third averaging 13.2 offensive rebounds-per-game. Both teams will look to be strong on their defensive glass and minimize the opponent’s second-chance scoring opportunities. UNC ranks best and FSU second-best in second chance scoring, but both are solid in their defensive second-chance scoring as well. So, bottom line is that second chance scoring for both teams is going to be much lower than their averages. FSU is 32-14-1 UNDER after four consecutive games committing no more than 14 turnovers under head coach Hamilton. |
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02-20-21 | Illinois v. Minnesota UNDER 146 | Top | 94-63 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
Illinois vs Minnesota Betting the UNDER in games after he 15th game of the season and where the road team is a great shooting team making at least 47.4% of their shots and is facing an opponent that is allowing 42 to 45% shooting has earned a crazy 820-600 record for 58% winners over the last 20 seasons. Minnesota is 8-0 UNDER after the 15th game of the season and facing an elite opponent that is outscoring their opponents by 12 or more points-per-game spanning the last three seasons. They are also 6-0 UNDER following four consecutive games committing 11 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last three seasons. Pitino is 21-7-1 UNDER as the head coach of Minnesota when facing elite teams that are outscoring their opponents by 12 or more PPG. |
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02-08-21 | Ohio State v. Maryland UNDER 138 | Top | 73-65 | Push | 0 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
No 7 Ohio State vs Maryland 9:00 PM EST, February 8, 2021 Xfinity Center, College Park, MD 4% Best Bet UNDER the posted total of 139-points. Ohio State set a program record of four consecutive road victories against Top-15 teams in their win over Iowa last Thursday. Maryland has been struggling and lost 55-50 at a vastly underrated Penn State team last Friday. The loss to PSU marked season-lows in points scored with 50 and assists with just six. Maryland has played solid defense and rank 46th in overall defensive efficiency. They will be tested by an OSU offense that ranks 5th nationally in overall offensive efficiency. Both teams play at some of the slowest paced games nationally and in the Big Ten conference this season. OSU ranks 274th averaging 67.8 possessions-per-forty-minutes and Maryland ranks 206th averaging 66.7 possessions-per-forty-minutes. So, there certainly will be no rush after rebounding a missed shot by either team. Betting UNDER the posted total in games lined between 130 and 139.5 points after one of the teams involved is coming off five consecutive games scoring 65 or fewer points and facing an opponent that scored 40 or more points in the first half of their last two games has earned a 46-16-1 ATS record good for 74% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. OSU is 9-1 UNDER following a game in which they scored 85 or more points in games played over the last three seasons. |
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12-25-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State UNDER 139 | Top | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 39 m | Show |
Wisconsin vs. Michigan State 12:30, PM EST, Christmas Day 4% Best Bet ‘UNDER’ the posted total of 140 points. Bettng UNDER the posted total between 140 and 149.5 points after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games and is winning 80% or more of their games on the season has earned an outstanding 48-15-1 UNDER record in games played over the past five seasons. MSU and Wisconsin sport win percentages above 80%. MSU is averaging 82 PPG on the season. Wisconsin is 12-2 UNDER in road games facing good offensive teams scoring 77 or more points-per-game over the last three seasons. Wisconsin is 7-0 UNDER coming off three consecutive home wins. Wisconsin head coach Gard is 25-7-1 UNDER when playing only their third game in a week. He is also 30-11-1 UNDER when facing an elite opponent that has outscored their opponents by an average of 8 or more PPG. From the machine learning tools, MSU is 14-2 UNDER when scoring 65 to 72 points in games played over the last three seasons. |
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02-29-20 | Michigan State v. Maryland OVER 138 | Top | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Michigan State vs Maryland Due to the huge card, these reports are shorter than normal. I am sure you understand. So, from the predictive side Michigan State is 40-22 ‘OVER’ for 65% winning bets in games in which they make at least 77% of their free throw shots and made at least 26 field goals. Maryland is projected to match these projections and is 47-16-1 ‘OVER’ for 75% winning bets including 6-0 ‘OVER’ when they and the opponent are both ranked. |
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02-22-20 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh UNDER 111.5 | Top | 59-56 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
Virginia vs Pittsburgh 12:00 PM EST, 02-22-20 The betting line opened at 111 points and despite 60% of the bets placed being on the ‘OVER’ the line has dropped to the current level of 108 points. This reflects the fact that there have been much larger sized bets being placed on the ‘UNDER’ – the so-called smart money. Pittsburgh is 25-10 UNDER (+12.3 Units) in home games and facing good ball handling opponents committing no more than 14 turnovers-per-game in games played over the last three seasons. This is also the lowest total for a Pitt game since at least 2006,. But for good reasons too as both teams bring an intense defensive attitude in their games. From the predictive side of things, UVA is projected to contain the Pitt offense to 57 or fewer points. UVA is 16-2 ‘UNDER’ in road games since 2010 when holding an opponent to fewer than 57 points. This implies that if UVA allows 56 points they will lose the game in order to stay under the 108 point total. Not is not the case as it is more likely that Pitt scores between 48 and 52 points than scores 56 points. It is the ceiling projection that Pitt will not score more than 56 points is what matters in this matchup. |
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02-15-20 | Texas v. Iowa State OVER 132.5 | Top | 52-81 | Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show |
Texas vs Iowa State 2:00 PM EST, February 15, 2020 Iowa State is 180-135 ‘OVER’ I games played facing an opponent with a winning record on the season since 2006; 131-59 for 59% when the game is taking place after game number 15 of the regular season; 11-4 ‘OVER’ when we include an embarrassing loss of 20 or more points in their previous game. From the predictive side of things, ISU and UT are projected to make a combined 55 field goals in this game. In past games in which the Iowa State and their opponent met or exceeded this performance measure the ‘OVER’ has gone 74-12-1 since 2006 and 13-1 ‘OVER’ for 93% since 2017. |
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02-11-20 | Missouri v. LSU UNDER 144.5 | Top | 78-82 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Missouri vs No. 25 LSU First, my plays are released thoruighout the day and there will be more releases forthcoming in the NCAA and NBA hardwood, and NHL The Missouri Tigers have had a rough season, but they are extraordinarily over valued in this matchup against an LSU tiger tea that ahs exceeded preseason expectations. This situational betting query has earned a solid 77-36-1 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 10 or more points, which is Missouri, after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games. If the underdog has failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games and queried with the aforementioned situations the ‘UNDER’ has produced a solid 27-13-2 record for 68% winning bets. I recommend playing this pair of 7-star Titans as two separate bets with the normal amount you bet on a 7-Star play. I then recommend to play NO MORE than a 3-Star amount on a Reverse Parlay (pays 4:1) combining the Missouri Titers plus the points and the ‘UNDER’. |
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02-01-20 | Presbyterian v. Hampton UNDER 154 | Top | 81-87 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Presbyterian vs Hampton This is an important game in the Big South Conference with the Hampton Pirates sitting at 4-3 and in third place and the Presbyterian Blue Hose at 5-4 in the Big South Conference Standings. The Winthrop Eagles are a perfect 9-0 and atop the conference standings so this is a must win game for both teams and with comes a greater defensive tone. The Blue Hose are looking to end a three-game conference losing streak while the Pirates are coming off a tough 83-79 road loss to the Radford Highlanders, but did cover the spread as 8-point underdogs. The Pirates are led by two players that are averaging more than 20 points-per-game. It is rare on any of the 353 Division-1 NCAAM programs in the country to have two players averaging more than 20 a game. Guard Jermaine Marrow is averaging 24.7 PPG and a team-high 36.6 minutes per game and Forward Benjamin Stanley is averaging 22.10 PPG including a team-high 7.5 rebounds-per-game. So, when you have two dominant players in an extremely unbalanced offense scoring consistency suffers. The following situational betting system has earned a 22-5 ‘UNDER’ record good for 82% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements for the bet are to play ‘UNDER’ in a game with a total between 150 and 160 points and with one of the teams on a three-game ATS win streak and the that team has a win percentage between 39 and 49% and is playing a team that has won 40% or fewer of their games on the season. From the predictive side of things, both teams are projected to score a comined total of 36 or fewer points from 3-point range. The Pirates are 9-3 ‘UNDER’ and 12-4 ‘UNDER’ when they have played in games that met this performance measure. |
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01-21-20 | Miami-FL v. Duke OVER 149 | Top | 59-89 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
Miami (FLA) vs Duke
Duke is 10-2 ‘OVER’ when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 8-1 ‘OVER’ when facing a good shooting team that is making 45% or more of their shots this season; 7-1 ‘OVER’ when facing good ball handling teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game this season; 8-1 OVER after playing four consecutive games as a favorite this season. From the predictive side of things, all these outcomes match the projections for this game and for the ‘OVER’ to be an easy winning bet tonight. Miami is 53-6 ‘OVER’ when they allow 80 or more points in a game over since 2007. Miami is 23-1 ‘OVER’ when they allow 87 or more points in a game since 2007. DUKE is 83-29 ‘OVER’ when they score 87 or more points in a game since 2007 |
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01-14-20 | TCU v. West Virginia UNDER 127.5 | Top | 49-81 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
TCU vs West Virginia 9:00 PM EST, January 13, 2020
WVU is a near-perfect 10-1 UNDER when facing a good defensive team sporting a shooting percentage defense of 42% or lower in games played this season. Also, 11-1 UNDER when facing winning opponents that are out scorig their opposition by 4 or more points-per-game this season. Not to mention that WVU is a perfect 9-0 UNDER when playing only their second game in a week in games played this season. |
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11-16-19 | Ohio v. Villanova OVER 131 | Top | 54-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
Ohio University vs Villanova This situational betting system has earned a 33-10 record good for 77% winning College Hoops bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet over the posted total with a team that is off an upset win as a road underdog and had a win percentage of 40 to 49% last season. Ohio University is 68-36 OVER following a game in which they scored 80 or more points. Villanova is 15-4 OVER in games in which they allowed 67 to 75 points. |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech v. Virginia OVER 118.5 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports 10-STAR WAGER ON THE ‘OVER’ IN THE NCAA TOURNAMENT CHAMPIONSHIP GAME BETWEEN UVA AND TEXAS TECH SET TO START AT 9:20 PM EST This database situational query has earned a solid 40-11 against the total record for 78.4% wins since 2014 and instructs us to play ‘Over’ with neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (VIRGINIA) after 4 straight games forcing opponents to commit 11 or fewer turnovers in each game. Texas Tech is a perfect 7-0 OVER after a game committing 8 or fewer turnovers this season. Texas Tech is projected to score a minimum of 71 points and has the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio in this Championship game. The ‘OVER’ is an amazing 82-30-3 for 73% and Texas Tech is 85-34-1 ATS for 71% when they have achieved these performance measures. So, play a 10-Star wager on the ‘OVER’ and add an optional 3-Star Parlay using the Texas Tech on the money line and the ‘OVER’. |
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03-29-19 | Virginia Tech v. Duke OVER 142 | Top | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports 10-STAR WAGER ‘OVER’ IN THE V-TECH DUKE EAST SEMIFINAL The machine learning summary projections call for both teams to score 75 or more points, both teams shoot a minimum of 48% from the field, and combine for 18 made 3-point shots. Duke has gone 26-10 ‘OVERR” when they have scored 75 or more points, combined with the opponent for 18 made 3-pointers and shot better than 48%. V-Tech in the same scenario has earned a 27-5 ‘OVER’ record for 84.4% winners. When V-Tech and their opponent have both scored 75 or more points, the ‘OVER’ is a remarkable 67-3 for 96% winners. |
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03-16-19 | St. Louis v. Davidson OVER 128 | Top | 67-44 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
JOHN RYAN SPORTS Wager Opportunity 10-Star Wager (5,7 and 10-Star scale) on the OVER in the Davidson versus ST. Louis A-10 Conference Tournament semifinals set to start at 3:30 EST, Saturday, March 16, 2019. Machine Learning Projections and Outcomes From the machine learning side of this game. The ‘OVER’ is a remarkable 22-3 for 89% when Davidson and their opponent each attempt 60 or more shots and they combine for 17 or more made 3-point shots. This play is projected to cover the TOTAL by at least 11 points. |
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03-15-19 | SMU v. Cincinnati OVER 130 | Top | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 2 h 24 m | Show |
JOHN RYAN SPORTS 1.The Play and How to Play It 7-Star wager (5,7 and 10-Star scale) on the Cincinnati Bearcats (796) as they take on the SMU Mustangs in the quarterfinals of the AAC Conference Tournament set to start at 7:00 PM EST. Also, a 5-Star wager on the ‘OVER’ and a 3-Star parlay wager using Cincy and the ‘OVER’ 2.Data Base Situational Queries Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development This database situational query has earned a 48-27 ATS mark good for 64% winners over the last five seasons. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games and is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games. Cincinnati is 26-3 SU winning the game by an average of 20.2 points and 20-8-1 ATS for 69% and 21-3 ‘OVER’ Ryan’s AAC 7-Star Quarterfinals Titan; John Ryan's proven algorithm has identified a 7-Star Titan winner tonight’s AAC quarterfinals game that includes a bonus 5-Star graded play on the ‘OVER’ and a PARLAY! Backed by an impressive database situational query and several predictive metrics that have hit above 80% ATs and one supporting the TOTAL that is 21-3. |
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02-26-19 | Duke v. Virginia Tech OVER 143 | Top | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 46 m | Show |
JOHN RYAN SPORTS 1.The Play and How to Play It Play a 10-Star wager amount on the OVER (635-636) in the Duke-Virginia Tech in an ACC Conference matchup set to start at 7:00 PM EST. 2.Machine Learning Projections and Outcomes Duke is projected to score a minimum of 75 points, and shoot at least 48% from the field, and make a minimum of 78% of their free throw shots. V-Tech is projected to score a minimum of 75 points and has between 4 and 9 fewer rebounds than Duke. So, Duke has earned a 30-11 ‘OVER’ record when they have met or exceeded these performance measures. Under the same parameters and when Duke has been on the road, they have earned a perfect 5-0 ‘OVER’ mark covering the total by an average of 11.8 points. V-Tech has earned a 25-3 ‘OVER’ record when they have met or exceeded these performance measures. When installed as a home dog they have posted a perfect 5-0 ‘OVER’ record covering the total by an average of 19.9 points. 3.Data Base Situational Queries Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. V-Tech is a solid 26-12 OVER in home games after a game with 9 or fewer assists since 1997. |
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02-23-19 | Duke v. Syracuse OVER 143 | Top | 75-65 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
JOHN RYAN SPORTS 1.The Play and How to Play It 7-Star wager (5,7 and 10-Star scale) on the OVER in the Duke versus Syracuse game set to start at 6:00 PM EST. 2.Data Base Situational Queries Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development Both teams are projected to score a minimum of 72 points with the most likely outcome showing both teams scoring 77 or more points. Syracuse is 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Duke is a perfect 8-0 OVER in road games revenging a loss over the last 3 seasons. |
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02-21-19 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary UNDER 143.5 | Top | 84-86 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Wednesday, February 20, 2019 1. The Play and How to Play ItUNDER William & Mary versus College of Charleston (618) Thursday, 02/21/2019 7:00 PM Place a 7-Star wager (5,7 and 10-Star scale) on the UNDER. 2. Data Base Situational QueriesOur vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This DB Query has returned a 58-21 UNDER record for 73.4% over the last 21 seasons. Play Under with all teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COLL OF CHARLESTON) and is an excellent shooting team making a minimum of 47.5% and posting 4 straight games making making at least 47% of their shot attempts and is now facing a below average defensive team allowing 45 to 47.5% shooting. The UNDER is 13-1 going below the posted total by an average of 11.7 points when Charleston has been installed as a road favorite and shot 45% or less and their host opponent has shot under 42%. |
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02-13-19 | Missouri State v. Evansville OVER 129.5 | Top | 68-56 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Wednesday, February 13, 2019 Missouri State at Evansville (788)
Play a 10-Star wager amount on the OVER in the Missouri State (787) versus Evansville set to start at 7:00 PM EST. 2. Machine Learning Projections and OutcomesProjections calls for a minimum of 135 points to be scored in this game. The following precedents support the OVER MS is a solid 8-1 OVER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. MS is 61-38 OVER (+19.2 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread. Evansville is 8-2 OVER (+5.8 Units) after playing a game as a road underdog this season. MS is 14-5 OVER (+8.5 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Evansville is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in home games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. |
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02-03-19 | Georgetown v. Villanova OVER 156 | Top | 65-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 57 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Sunday, February 3, 2019 Ryan is 13-2 ATS with four no-plays over the last 19 Super Bowls. He has a 10-Star for tomorrow’s SB LIII that includes 4 parlays using the alternative lines giving you an unbelievable winning opportunity. Play a 10-Star wager amount OVER the posted total in the Georgetown (825) Villanova (826) Big East Conference matchup set to start at 12:00 PM EST. Machine Learning Projections and OutcomesProjections calls for Georgetown and Villanova to combine for a minimum of 161 points. High probability tool that both teasm exceed the 80-point total. G-Town is 8-0 OVER when they allow 81 or more points in a game this season. Data Base Situational QueriesOur vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. G-Town is 11-3 OVER when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season; 6-0 OVER after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. |
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02-02-19 | Georgia Tech v. Florida State UNDER 135.5 | Top | 49-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Saturday, February 2, 2019 Ryan is 13-2 ATS with fours no-plays over the last 19 Super Bowls. He has a 10-Star for tomorrow’s SB LIII that includes 4 parlays using the alternative lines givig you an unbelievable winning opportunity. Play a 10-Star wager amount UNDER the posted total, currently 134 points, in the G-Tech versus FSU matchup. Rotation number for this game is 603. Machine Learning Projections and OutcomesProjections calls for fewer than 130 points to be scored in this game. Georgia Tech is a solid 8-1 UNDER when facing good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4 or more per game this season; 21-10 UNDER (+10.0 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 8-2 UNDER (+5.8 Units) when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game this season. FSU is 24-5-3 UNDER when allowing 56 to 65 points since the start of the 2016 season; 12-2-2 UNDER since 2017. Data Base Situational QueriesOur vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This DB situational query has gone 64-20 UNDER for 76.2% over the past 20 seasons. Play Under the posted total with all teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points after scoring 65 points or less 5 straight games and is now facing an opponent after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game |
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12-22-18 | Colorado State v. Long Beach State UNDER 152.5 | Top | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup UNDER Colorado State – Long Beach State (644) COLORADO ST (5 - 6) at LONG BEACH ST (4 - 9) Saturday, 12/22/2018 5:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy SIM Projections and Results Our database tells us that playing UNDER the posted total with all teams in December where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points that have win percentage between 20 to 40% and now paying a losing record team has produced a nice profit via a 59-23 UNDER mark good for 72% winners. |
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11-21-18 | Virginia v. Middle Tennessee OVER 126 | Top | 74-52 | Push | 0 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup OVER (553 - 554) Virginia (3 - 0) Vs. Middle Tenn St (3 - 1) Wednesday, 11/21/2018 9:30 PM BATTLE 4 ATLANTIS - Round 1 - Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort - Nassau SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the ‘OVER’, which is priced ayt 128 points after opening at 133 points. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: UVA is a solid 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. MTST is 22-8 OVER (+13.2 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game. This database situational query has produced a 30-9 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 1997. Play Over in a Neutral court setting for both teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points after leading their last 3 games by 5 or more points at the half and now facing an opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10 or more points at the half. Next, this query has returned a record of 53-23 ‘OVER’ for 70% winners since 1997. Play Over in a Neutral court setting for both teams where the total is 129.5 or less after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more and is now facing an opponent after leading their last 3 games by 5 or more points at the half. |
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02-21-18 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia OVER 113 | Top | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: OVER The Matchup: GEORGIA TECH (11 - 16) at VIRGINIA (24 - 2) Start Time: Wednesday, 2/21/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7-star wager OVER using the total line. The current line shows a total of 113 points. Game Intelligence Analytics Play ‘Over’ with road teams where the total is 119.5 or less (GEORGIA TECH). After scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games. And is now against an opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. SIM Matching Game Situations Georgia Tech 23-7 OVER (+15.3 Units) off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points. Virginia 17-8 OVER when hitting between 50 and 54% of their shot attempts and playing at home. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also a 5-2 ATS mark for the Top-Rated 10 Star College Hardwood Titans and on a 12-7 ATS run in the NBA and 11-5 NHL run. |
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02-10-18 | The Citadel v. Samford OVER 179.5 | Top | 103-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: OVER The Matchup: THE CITADEL (9 - 15) at SAMFORD (8 - 18) Start Time: Saturday, 2/10/2018 8:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the ‘OVER’ using the line. The current line shows a posted total of 180 points.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics There will not be much defense in this game and the pace will be very fast. Citadel ranks 34th nationally averaging 81 PPG and both defenses rank bwlo 334th out of 352 D-1 basketball teams. The Cital allows 92.5 PPG ranking 350th and Samford allows 83 PPG ranking 334th worst.
Game Intelligence Analytics Play Over with home teams against the total (SAMFORD). And is a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a horrible defensive team allowing at least 78 PPG. After 15 or more games, after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games. 31-10 since 1997 for 75.6%, $2000
Play Over with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 170 (THE CITADEL). After having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread. 38-14 since 1997 73.1%, $2260. SIM Matching Game Situations The Citadel is 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) in road games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. Samford is 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also 26-15 ATS for 62% winners in College Hoops and on a11-7 ATS run in the NBA and 10-4 NHL run.
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04-03-17 | North Carolina v. Gonzaga UNDER 154 | Top | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
10* graded play on ‘UNDER’ in the NCAA Final featuring UNC (602) against Gonzaga that is set to start at 9:20 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 150 points will be scored in this game. Projections also call for both teams to score ‘UNDER’ 75 points as well. So, we recommend playing ‘under’ in each team’s total for a 3* amount each. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Here is a system that has gone 318-194 ‘under’ good for 62% winners since 2011. Play ‘under’ - neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points in a NCAA tournament game. We provide that system more for you copy and paste it, so that you can tap into its’ benefits next season. Tweaking this a bit or your reference library creation, moving the total to 159 to 165 points has provided a very strong 18-10 ‘under’ record in 2016 All Tournament action (NCAA, CBI, and NIT). Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘UNDER’ UNC is a solid 15-5 UNDER (+9.5 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. UNC is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. |