Georgia vs Seton Hall

NIT Semifinals | Hinkle Fieldhouse | Indianapolis

8-Unit bet on the OVER priced at 145 points and is valid to 146.5 points.

These two teamsd are playing at Hinkle Fieldhouse which will provide different site lines for the players on these teams. I have seen many games go under at this venue in the NCAA Tournament over the years. So, to hedge that a bit, consider betting 70% preflop and then look to get the remaining 30% at a price of 141.5 points during the first half of action.

The following NCAAB situational team and head coach trends support this bet on the OVER.

·       Georgia is 14-2 Over in road games and are coming off a game away from home (neutral or away).

·       Georgia is 16-4 Over when coming off a win away from home (neutral or away) by three or fewer points.

·       Georgia is 8-1 OVER after having won four or five of their last six games spanning the past two seasons.

·       Head coach Holloway is 17-4 Over for his career after his teams had won four or five of their last six games.

·       Head coach White is 8-1 Over after winning four or five of his team’s last six games.

·       White is 37-17-2 OVER after covering the spread in two or more of his previous games for his career.

From my predictive model, Georgia is projected to score 74 or more points and make 9 or more 3-pointers. In past games in which Georgia met these measures has seen the Over go 20-5 for 80% winning bets since 2019.

Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add 25% more at 159.5 points during the first half of action. This game will take on the same look that the Alabama vs UNC game did where they got off to a meteoric pace, which allowed us to get all four in-game pieces of the total booked with the highest one being at 189.5 points. So, allow the scoring chaos to work in your favor.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 58-24 Under record good for 71% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under the total priced between 150 and 159.5 points.

·       The game is played in a neutral court setting.

·       One of the teams (Illinois) is coming off an upset win.

·       That team is priced as a 3.5 or more-point underdog.

Here’s a snapshot of some key metrics for both teams:

Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to add 15% more at 147.5 points and the remaining 15% at 149.5 points during the first half of action.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 45-23-1 UNDER record good for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Tennessee) has allowed 60 or fewer points in two straight games.

If the team is favored, the Under has gone 24-11-1 good for 69% winning bets.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 21-9 Under record good for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under the total priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Tennessee) is coming off a game in which they shot 36% or worse form the field.

4-seed Alabama vs 1-seed UNC

9:39 CBS | Crypto Arena, LA

8-Unit bet UNDER the total of 173.5 points and is valid to 170 points.

Scoring volatility is going to be scorching at times during the first half of action between these teams. So, consider betting 60% preflop and then look to add 10% more of your 8-Unit betting amount at 176.5 points, 10% more at a 179.5 points, 10% more at 181.5 points and the final 10% amount at 184.5 points. I also do not recommend a parlay, as I rarely bet them, because you will make more money if you simply bet these opportunities individually over the course of a season. The exception to that rule is when I get two significant MLB dogs of +150 or more where I will take 2-Units and parlay them using the money lines.  With that said be sure to get on board the MLB full season package, which is on sale now on the web site for 40% off the regular price.

In the NCAA Tournament, totals of 165 and more have gone 12-4 Under since 2014. The crypto arena is an NBA stadium where the Lakers and the Clippers call home. The venue is significantly bigger than where these two teams are accustomed to playing and with that change the player’s site lines change. Many times players do find it hard to find their shooting touches from range and lends itself to seeing the Under win the money.

The following NCAA Sports betting algorithm has produced an 86-49-1 Under record good for 64% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

ü  Bet Under in a neutral site game.

ü  The total is between 140 and 149.5 points.

ü  One of the teams led by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game.

If the game occurs in the NCAA Tournament the Under has gone 11-3 for 79% winning bets. If the foe (Texas) is not ranked and the game occurs in the NCAA Tournament, the Under has gone 67-30-1 for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

The Matchup Preview and Things to Watch
Texas Longhorns

Round of 64 Results: Texas showcased their defensive prowess by defeating Colorado State with a score of 56-44. The Longhorns’ defense was the highlight, with Dylan Disu leading the scoring with 12 points and Tyrese Hunter making a significant impact despite scoring only 8 points.

Key Players: Keep an eye on Max Abmas, who leads the team with an average of 17.1 points per game. His matchup against Tennessee’s defense, particularly against Zakai Zeigler, will be critical.

Tennessee Volunteers

Round of 64 Results: Tennessee had a commanding 83-49 victory over Saint Peter’s, asserting their dominance early on and maintaining it throughout the game.

Key Players: Dalton Knecht, the SEC’s player of the year, and Santiago Vescovi, known for his three-point shooting, are the players to watch. Their performance against Texas’ defense, especially against the likes of Tyrese Hunter, will be pivotal.

Matchup to Watch: The defensive strategies of both teams will be under the spotlight, with Texas’ Tyrese Hunter and Tennessee’s Zakai Zeigler both being key defensive players for their respective teams.

8-Unit Bet on the Under priced at 128.5 points and is valid to 126.5 points.

Consider betting 70% Under preflop and then look to add 15% more at 131.5 and the remaining 15% at 135.5 points during the first half of action.  

The following NCAA Sports betting algorithm has produced a 15-6-1 Under record good for 71% winning bets in the last 10 NCAA Tournaments. The requirements are:

ü  Bet the Under with a team that won their conference Championship (Iowa Sate).

ü  That Champion is facing a team that did not win their conference championship.

ü  The total is priced between 120 and 137 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 30% more at 144.5 points during the first half of action.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-8 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Morehead) has won 12 of their last 15 games.

·       The game takes place in the NCAA Tournament.

·       The opponent (Illinois) has won 15 or more of their past 20 games.

The following betting algorithm has produced an 89-52 Under record good for 63% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Auburn) is coming off a double-digit win over a conference rival.

·       Both teams have won 60 to 80% of their games.

If the team is playing on 4 or fewer days of rest, the Under has gone 73-41-1 for 64%. If both teams are playing on 4 or fewer days of rest, the Under has gone 65-35-1 for 65% winning bets.

Matchup Analysis:

Keep in mind when playing totals that many of these mid-majors, like Yale will be playing in significantly larger arenas with different site lines than they are accustomed to at their quaint 2 to 5 thousand capacity venues. The Unders have performed very well when college basketball teams of any stature play in the football stadiums like the Luke Oil in Indianapolis, for instance. More on these developments in the rounds ahead.

MOREHEAD ST (26 - 8) vs. ILLINOIS (26 - 8)

3:10 EST | TRU TV | CHI Health Center, Omaha

8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 147.5 points and is valid to 145.5 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 30% more at 152.5 points during the first half of action. Both teams have near the best predictive scoring variance in their respective conferences, and both have more consistent first half scoring than second half. So, it stands to reason that these teams will get out to faster than expected start and the total will rise into the 150’s at some point during the first half of action.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 23-14-2 Under record good for 63% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-8 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Morehead) has won 12 of their last 15 games.

·       The game takes place in the NCAA Tournament.

·       The opponent (Illinois) has won 15 or more of their past 20 games.

Both teams meet the requirements of this system.

Consider betting 75% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 25% more at 154.5 points during the first half of action.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 74-49-3 Over record good for 60% winning bets. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting.

·       The total is priced between 140 and 150 points.

·       A team (Wisconsin) is avenging a same-season loss in which the foe (Illinois) scored 85 or more points.

Iowa State vs Houston

6 ET

10-Unit Max Bet Over the posted total currently priced at 122 points and is valid to 123.5 points.

Big 12 Tournament Championship:

The top two teams in the Big 12 conference face off in the championship game: Iowa State Cyclones and Houston Cougars. Both teams have been on fire recently, winning 17 of their last 18 games. Houston boasts the nation’s third-longest active winning streak with 11 consecutive wins. Iowa State and Houston share similarities defensively. They both rank in the top five for near-shot proximity allowed (per Haslametrics).Additionally, they excel in their ball screen coverages on the perimeter, disrupting opponents’ ball handlers. Keep an eye on Iowa State point guard Keshon Gilbert, who ranks 11th in the Big 12 for percentage of possessions and 15th in assist rate.However, facing Houston’s Jamal Shead, who leads the country in Defensive Bayesian Performance Rating, Gilbert may have a tougher time distributing assists. In the regular-season meetings, Gilbert had four-plus assists against Houston, but we’re intrigued by the plus-money value for him to have three or fewer assists in the tournament final. 

The Sports Betting Algorithm

The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-6 Over record good for 78% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Over that is priced between 120 and 129.5 points.

·       One of the teams (ISU) has allowed 65 or fewer points in each of their three previous games.

·       The opponent (Houston) has won each of their last three games by double-digits.

From my predictive models we are expecting both teams to attempt a combined total of 115 or more shots and make at least 75% of their free throws. The Over is 19-2 in Houston games and 11-3 Over in Iowa State games when these measures are met or exceeded.

“Bet with your head and Never Over it and May all the Wins be Yours!”

Consider betting 75% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 25% more at 129.5 points during the first half of action.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 74-49-3 Over record good for 60% winning bets. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Over in a neutral court setting.

·       The Over is priced between 130 and 139.5 points.

·       A team (Duquesne) has seen the total play Under by 54 or more points spanning their previous 10 games.

If the team is favored then the Over improves to a highly profitable17-7-1 ATS for 71% winning bets.

From the predictive model, we are expecting Duquesne to shoot 46 or better from the field, make 78% or more of their free throws, and commit no more than 13 turnovers. The Over is a perfect 10-0 in previous games in which Duquesne met or exceeded these measures. St. Bonaventure is expected to shoot 46% or better form the field. In past games that the Bonnies have played and both they and their opponent shot 46% or better from the field, the Over has gone 16-0. In past games that Duquesne has played and both they and their opponent shot 46% or better from the field, the Over has gone 32-4. In game played involving Duquesne in which both teams shot 46% or better from the field and those teams combined for no more than 25 turnovers has seen the OVER produce an 18-2 record and in game involving the Bonnies the Over has produced a 14-0 record.

Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to add 15% more at a price of 149.5 points and 20% more at 152.5 points during the first half of action. Betting all your 8-Unit amount preflop is always a sound strategy and I provide the live betting strategy as an added extra.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 27-13 SU (68%) SU record and a 24-15-1 ATS mark for 62% and an impressive 28-10-2 Under record good for 74% winning bets. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting that is priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       After game number 15.

·       One of the teams (Nebraska) is averaging between 74 and 78 PPG.

·       That team scored 45 or more points in the first half of their previous game.

·       That team is facing a foe that is allowing an average of 67 to 74 PPG.

Over the past three seasons this algorithm is 8-2 Under for 80% winning bets.

San Francisco vs Gonzaga

11:30 ET | ESPN2 | Orleans Arena, Las Vegas

West Coast Conference Semifinals

8-Unit bet Over the posted total of 149.5 points and is valid to 151.5 points.

Consider betting 50% of your 8-Unit Best Bet preflop and then look to add 25% more at 145.5 points, and 25% more at 142.5 points during the first half of action.

Gonzaga is 26-19 Over following a game in which they allowed less than 40% shooting and shot better than 50% from the field. They have seen the Over go 17-10 over the past five seasons following a game in which they shot better than 50% and with the current game less than 150 points.

San Fran is 35-25 Over for 58% in games with a total of less than 150 points and coming off a game in which they allowed 45% or lower shooting since 2019. IN games against Gonzaga with a total less than 150 points, San Fran has seen the Over go 8-4 for 67% since 2014.

Gonzaga head coach Mark Few is 65-50 Over in all March games; 16-5 Over in road and neutral games coming off an upset win as an underdog.

From my predictive models, Gonzaga has an 83% probability of scoring 80 or more points, shoot at least 49% from the field, and make 78% or more of their free throws. In past games over the last five seasons Gonzaga is 23-1 SU, 12-8 ATS, and 16-4 Over when scoring 80 or more points against San Fran. The Over has posted a highly profitable 13-4 Over record good for 77% winning bets when they have allowed 80 or more points and allowed higher than 49% shooting in games played over the past five seasons.

North Florida vs Austin Peay
Atlantic Sun Tournament - Quarterfinals

8 ET | ESPN+ | F&M Bank Arena

8-Unit bet on the Under 146 points and is valid down to 144.5 points.

NFU is 27-14 Under in games with a total priced between 140 and 149.5 points spanning the past three seasons; 18-6 Under in road games where the total is priced between 140 and 149.5 points spanning the previous three seasons; 13-4 Under in road games following a game in which they made 13 or more 3-point shots in games played over the past three seasons.

From the predictive model, NFU has seen the Under go 10-3 for 77% winning bets when allowing 75 or fewer points and getting between 34 and 39 rebounds in games played over the past 5 seasons.

Purdue vs Illinois

7:00 ET | Peacock | State Farm Center

8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 163.5 points and valid to 161.5 points

The following NCAA Basketball betting system has earned 24-14 Under mark good for 64% winning bets since 2007. The requirements are:

« Bet the Under when it is priced between 160 and 169.5 points.

« The home and road teams are dominant rebounding teams out rebounding their foes by at least 6 boards per game.

« The game occurs after game number 15

The following NCAA Basketball betting system has earned an 18-8 Under mark good for 70% winning bets since 2007. The requirements are:

« Bet the Under in games with the total priced between 160 and 159.5 points.

« One of the teams (Purdue) is on a three-game Over streak.

« Both teams’ defenses allow between 67 and 74 PPG.

« The game take place in the second half of the season after game number 15.

Iona vs Mount St. Mary’s

2:00 ET | ESPN+

8-Unit Bet on the Under priced at 145.5 points and is valid to 143.5 points.

The following NCAAB algorithm has earned a n 85-53 record good for 62% over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet the under when priced between 143 and 152 points.

·      The home team has lost the spread by 52 or more points spanning their previous 10 games.

·      The visitor has seen their last five games play Over the total by 30 or more points.

Georgetown vs DePaul
6:00 ET | CBSSN | Wintrust Arena

8-Unit Bet on the Under priced at 150 points and is valid to 148.5 points

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 90-42 Under for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet the Under in a game priced between 145 and 150 points.

·      The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

·      The opponent has seen their last five games play Over the total by 35 or more points.

Georgetown is 18-7 Under when facing a team that is allowing 45% shooting in games played in the second half spanning the past 10 seasons. DePaul is 29-12-1 Under after having three consecutive games in which they forced 11 or fewer turnovers in each game.

Purdue vs Ohio State

1 ET | CBS | Value City Arena

8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 145.5 points and is valid down to 142.5 points.

This game is expected to feature scoring runs by both teams and there will be intervals where the teams are combining to score 5 or more points per minute spanning three minutes. Consider betting 70% Under preflop and then look to add 15% at 149.5 points and 15% more at 153.5 points during the first half of action.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced an 26-21 SU record and 24-23 ATS record  and 31-16 Under good for 66% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

ü  Bet the under with a price between 143 and 152.

ü  The home team has failed to cover the spread by 55 to 65 points over their previous 10 games.

ü  The visitor has seen their last five games play Over by 35 or more points.

If the game occurs after the 15th of the season, the Under has produced a 28-11 record good for 72% winning bets since 2006.

Queens NC vs Lipscomb

8 ET

8-Unit bet on the Under currently at 168 points and is valid to 165.5 points.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 21-5 UNDER for 71% winning bets. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in a game with a total of 165 points.

Ø  One of the teams (Lipscomb) has had 33 or fewer turnovers over their last four games.

If that team is favored and the total is 160 or more points the Under has produced a 26-14 record for 65% winning bets.

Bradley vs Evansville
8 ET | ESPN+ | Ford Center

8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 143.5 points and is va.id to 141.5 points.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 90-55 Under record good for 62% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total between 143 and 151 points.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The road team, has seen the total play Over by 30 or more points spanning their previous five games.

Georgia Southern vs South Alabama

8 ET | ESPN+ | Mitchell Center, Mobile, AL

8-Unit Bet on the Under 151.5 points and is valid to 149.5 points.

Here is a Free glance at type of unique and highly profitable research my subscribers get every day for every play I release. Check it out and then check the special discounted subscription I started offering today for the rest of the College Basketball season covering you through the NCAA Championship game.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 90-55 Under record good for 62% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total between 143 and 151 points.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The road team, has seen the total play Over by 30 or more points spanning their previous five games.

If the game is taking place in the second half of the regular season, the Under has produced a 76-43 record good for 64% winning bets.

From my predictive mode, we are looking to see South Alabama to shoot 45% or lower from the field and with both teams making fewer than 10 3-point shots. In lined games, the Under has gone 9-2 when South Alabama and GS has seen the Under go 9-0.when they have met or exceeded these performance measures.

Xavier vs DePaul

8-Unit best bet on the UNDER 150.5 points and is valid down to 148.5 points.

The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points.

For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Under preflop and then look to add 20% more on the Under at 157.5 points during the first half of action.

Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois

8-Unit best bet on NIU -6 points and is valid to -8 points.

The line for this game is likely to get cheaper for us, so give this one a bit of patience and monitor it ahead of the tip.

The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points.

Ø  The home team is the underdog.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points.

For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount NIU preflop and then look to add 20% more on NIU at -1.5 points during the first half of action.

Detroit Mercy vs Robert Morris

8-Unit best bet on the UNDER 144.5 points and is valid down to 143.5 points.

The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 39-23 Under for 63% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under between 143 and 152 points.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points.

If the home dog is priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points, the Under has gone 17-8 for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Under preflop and then look to add 20% more on the Under at 151.5 points during the first half of action.

Vanderbilt vs Auburn

Neville Arena, Auburn, AL

8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 142.5 points and is valid to 142.5 points.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 62-34 Under record for 65% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet Under the total between 140 and 150.

Ø  The road team is coming off a double-digit loss.

Ø  The host is coming off a road upset loss.

If our road team is the underdog, the Under improves to a 56-27 record for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Consider betting 70% preflop at 142.5 points and then at 15% more at 146.5 points and 15% more at 149.5 points during the first half of action.

Fairfield vs Manhattan
2:00 EST | ESPN+
Draddy Gymnasium, Riverdale, NY
8-Unit Bet on the Under 148.5 and is valid to 145,5 points.

Consider betting 7 units Under preflop and then look to add 1-Unit at 155.5 points during the first half of action.

Betting the Under in a game with a total between 143 and 152 and the home team has failed to cover the spread by 50 or more points over their previous 10 games and facing a foe that has seen the total play OVER by 35 or more points over their previous five games has earned a 56-28 Under record good for 67% winning bets since 2016.

Consider betting 7 units Under preflop and then look to dd the remaining 3 units at 159.5 points during the first half of action.

From the predictive models we are looking for MSST to commit no more than 18 turnovers, score 70 or fewer points and hold Kentucky to 38% or worse from beyond the arc. In past games when they have achieved these measures has seen the Under go 41-6 for 87% winning bets over the past five seasons. The Under has gone 33-9 for 79% winning bets when Kentucky has shot no better than 37% from beyond the arc, allowed 70 or fewer points and forced 18 or fewer turnovers spanning the last five seasons.

Southeast Missouri State vs Tennessee Tech
4:00 EST ESPN+ | Hooper Eblen Stadium
8-Unit Bet on the Under 146.5 points and is valid to 143.5 points.

Bet the under in games priced between 143 and 152 points, the home team has failed to cover the spread by 52 or more points over their last 5 games and facing a foe that has played Over the total by 29 or more points over their last 5 games has produced a 75-38 record for 61% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

Tennessee Tech head coach Pelphrey is 8-0 Under when coming off an upset double-digit win and is 11-2-1 Under coming off a road win by double-digits.

Oakland vs IUPU

2 EST | Indiana Farmers Coliseum
8-Unit best bet on the Under 143.5 and isa valid to 141.5 points.

Bet the under in games priced between 143 and 152 points, the home team has failed to cover the spread by 52 or more points over their last 5 games and facing a foe that has played Over the total by 29 or more points over their last 5 games has produced a 75-38 record for 61% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

Oakland is 7-0 Under in road games following a close win by six or fewer points in games played over the past two seasons.

Iowa vs Iowa State

9:00 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on the OVER currently priced at 231 points

Betting the Over in a game with a total priced between 150 and 159.5 with one of the teams allowing 77 or more PPG and with that team trailing at the half in their previous game by 20 or more points has produced a 55-32 record good for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Betting the Over in any Tournament semifinal game (NCAA, NIT, or CBI) with a total between 130 and 139.5 points and with one of the teams coming into the game on a 7 or more-game win streak has earned a 53-32-2 Over record over the past 25 years. 

UCONN vs Gonzaga
Elite-8 Round
Bet the OVER 153 points currently. My strategy will be to bet 75% preflop OVER the total. As you may have seen on this Tweet and heard on the ERSPN Syracuse shows and Sports Map Radio shows, games that have played UNDER the first half total by 10 or more points have gone a perfect 4-0 OVER since last Saturday alone using the LIVE in game bet that can be executed during the half time break. So, if this first half does play Under by 10 or more points, add the 25% remaining bet amount on the OVER.
     Plus, this one, from the Elite 8 on through the Championship game, DOGS that led at the half went on to a 17-6-1 ATS record for 74% winning bets. So, if Gonzaga is leading at the half, look to get a pizza money size bet on the books at pick-em during the first 7 minutes of the second half only. 

Gonzaga is 7-1 over the posted total on facing elite offensive teams scoring 77 or more points per game in games played this season. UCONN is 12-3 over the total after allowing 65 or fewer points in three consecutive games in all games played over the last two seasons. The head coach Mark Few is 31-15 over the posted total when playing on a neutral court and priced as an underdog for his coaching career.

Florida Atlantic vs Kansas State
8-Unit Best Bet OVER the posted total of 143.5 points
The same betting strategy I am using in the UCONN vs Gonzaga game also applies to this matchup. 
     Kansas State is 12-3 over the posted total and road gains when playing against a team with a winning record after game #15 of this season. Kansas State is 16-8 over the poster total when facing solid shooting teams making 45% or more of their shots in games played this season. Kansas State is 7-0 over the posted total in road games or games not played at home when facing excellent ball handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season. Florida Atlantic is 10-1 over the posted total after a combined score of 125 or fewer points in all games played over the last three seasons.

From the predictive model we are expecting both teams to shoot at least 44% from the field and make at least 78% of their free throw attempts. In past games in which Florida Atlantic met or exceeded these performance measures the over has gone 6-1 for 86% winning bets. In past games in which Kansas State met or exceeded these performance measures has seen the over go 7-2-1 for 78% winning bets.

Miami (Fla) vs Houston 
8-Unit best bet on the Under 138 points. 
Betting the Under in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament with a dog 3 or more points being a member of a Major Conference (B10, B12, SEC, ACC, PAC-12, BEAST) and the favorite not from the Major Conferences has seen the Under go 9-0 Under.  
Miami is 11-3 Under in road games facing a foe that averages 17 or fewer fouls per game in games played this season. Houston is 21-11 Under when facing a non-conference foe in games played over the past two seasons. Miami head coach Larranaga is 47-26 Under after having won four of the last five games for his career. 

San Diego State vs Alabama 
8-Unit Best Bet Over the posted total of 137 points 
Betting the Over in the NCAA Tournament with a total between 130 and 139.5 points, one of the teams (Alabama) has won 15 or more of their last 20 games and playing with 5 or 6 days of rest has earned a highly profitable 14-8 Over good for 64% winning bets. If the line for the game is at least a –2 favorite, the record is 8-2 Over for 80% winners. 

Alabama is 8-2 Over following four consecutive games in which they forced four or fewer turnovers in games played this season. 

North Texas vs Oklahoma State 
8-Unit bet on the OVER currently priced at  
 
Betting the OVER when the total is 127.5 or lower involving as matchup of excellent defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage of 40% or lower on the season, after game number 17, and a matchup of solid rebounding teams out rebounding their foes by 3 to 6 boards PG on the season has earned a 49-25-2 Over for 67% winning bets. 

North Texas is 13-5 OVER when facing a team that is averaging at least 21 three-point shots per game. OKSTATE is 20-6 ATS when having won three of their last four games spanning the past three seasons and 8-1 ATS having won four of their last five games spanning the past three seasons.  
 

Pittsburgh vs Xavier 
8-Unit bets bet over the total currently priced at 147.5 points 
Xavier is 18-9 Over when facing a team that has a solid defense allowing 42 or less opponent shooting in games played over the past two seasons. Xavier is 12-3 OVER following a game in which they did not cover the spread. Pittsburgh is 12-3 OVER following four consecutive games in which they forced 14 or fewer opponents in each game; 13-4 Over following an upset win in games played over the past three seasons.  

The predictive model projects that both teams will score at least 80 points each making this a terrific betting opportunity. If the game starts out slowly and the total drops to a price level between 140 and 144 points during the first half add a bit more to your bet with a sprinkle. An alternative is to bet 75% preflop and then add 25% at 145 or better during the first half of action. Or wait for the first half to be completed and if the first half plays Under then add to the Over bet at that point. There is a significant trend of games that play Under in the first half then play Over full game based on the closing total in the NCAA Tournament.  

 
Xavier is 32-5-1 OVER for 87% winning bets when scoring 80 or more points over the past three seasons. Pittsburgh is 14-3 OVER for 82% winning bets when scoring 80 or more points since 2020.  

Princeton vs Yale 
8-Unit bet on Yale –3 points 
8-Unit Bet UNDER 140 points 
Interesting to note that Yale is the home team despite playing on Princeton’s home court at Jadwin Gymnasium in Princeton, NJ. This does make the line a bit cheaper and adds value to backing Yale in this spot to win and earn the automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. 
This season, the Ancient Eight saw Princeton and Yale tie for the regular season Championship with Princeton getting to host their version of the Final Four. To their credit they get the IVY League Tournament done in just 2 days on a weekend.  

I suggest betting no more than a 2.5-unit amount on the parlay and would encourage you to wait till the game starts and look to get Yale at pick-em and the Under at 146.5 or more points during the first half of action. Perhaps 1.5 units parlay preflop and then 1 more unit in-game.  
 
Princeton lost at Yale 87-65 back on January 28 as 3-point dogs and lost at home in overtime 93-83 as 1.5-point favorites. Dogs of 3.5 or fewer points playing in a conference tournament, having lost two same season games to the foe, who has covered the spread in at least three consecutive games have seen the Under go 20-7 for 74% winners.  

Dogs that are playing in their conference tournament and that lost two same season games to the current foe, with a total between 135 and 145 points and with that foe averaging a higher shooting percentage over their last three games than what they shot for the season have gone just 18-27 ATS for 40%. 
 

Cornell vs Yale 
8-Unit best bet Under the posted total, currently priced at 149 points 
This game start at 11:00 AM EST, Saturday 
Betting the Under in a conference tournament game with a dog of not more than 9.5 points that has failed to cover the spread or pushed in 8 or more of their last 10 games and facing a foe that has covered the spread or pushed in 8 or more of their last 10 games has gone a perfect 7-0 UNDER. All, but one of these Under wins did not win by double digits. 
 
So, if this game starts out faster than expected and the in-game total is approaching 156 or kore, then add a sprinkle to the preflop bet. Another option is to bet 60% preflop at 149 points and add 20% more at 155.5 and 20% more at 157.5 points. 

Ohio State vs Iowa 
8-Unit best bet UNDER the total currently at 154.5 points 
Betting the Under in a neutral court venue with a total between 150 and 159.5 points, averages 70 to 74 PPG and facing a defense that allows 74 to 78 PPG has earned a highly profitable 37-22-1 Under record good for 63% winning bets since 2015. If the game is in a conference tournament the Under has produced a 21-11-1 record for 66% winning bets since 2015. 
 

Alabama vs Texas A&M 
8-Unit best bet on Alabama getting 2 points. 

The two best teams in the SEC Conference square off in this showdown, but there is nothing at stake. Alabama is the #1 seed with a 16-4 conference record and A&M is locked in the #2 seed heading into the SEC Tournament this week. Alabama has used only 3 different starting lineups this season and the quintet of Bediako, Bradley, Clowney, Miller, and Spears have amassed a 17-3 record. They will start today against A&M. 
Alabama fought back from a 17-point deficit in the second half against Auburn by using a 16-0 run that started with about 12 minutes left in the game. With Jahvon Quinerly leading the way with 24 points, Alabama coach Nate Oats saw his club win 90-85 in overtime and end up cutting down the nets to celebrate its second SEC regular-season title in three years. It was the third consecutive close shave by the Crimson Tide and star freshman Brandon Miller. Alabama has won four straight, with the last three decided by a total of 10 points. 

Top-10 road teams in a matchup facing a foe that is ranked between 11 and 25, both teams have won 20 or more games, but the team ranked in the Top-10 has lost fewer games than the foe and are priced between the 3’s are 29-14-3 ATS for 67.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.  

Betting on road teams priced between the 3’s, have allowed 80 or more points in each of their last two games, and facing a foe that has played four consecutive games in which they and their foes scored fewer than 70 points.  

Alabama vs Texas A&M 
8-Unit best bet Under the posted total of 150 points 
Betting the Under in a game lined between the 3’s, the road team has allowed 80 or more points in their last two games, and is facing a host that has scored 70 or fewer and allowed 70 or fewer over their last three games has earned a 26-8 Under record for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This system is 4-0 over the past two seasons and only 2020 was a losing money one when it went 1-0 Over.  
For in-game betting place 50% preflop at the best price you are offered and then look to add another 50% at 162.5 points full fame and only during the first half of action. If they get out to a slow start, then don’t add anymore to the bet.  

For the in-game betting parlay look to get ‘Bama at +6.5 and the total Under at 157.5 points. This pair of prices may not occur during the first half of the action and if it doesn’tthen so be it and resist the temptation to force the bet. 
 

Florida Gulf Coast vs Stetson (6 ET) 

8-Unit bet Under the total currently priced at 143.5 points 

The same Total system supporting the Under bet in the North Florida and Austin Peay game applies to this one as well. FGCU has lost to the spread by 53.5 points over their last 10 games while Stetson has played over the total by 57 points over their previous 5 games. FGCU head coach Patrick Chambers is 21-12 Under following a game in which his team made 78% or more of their free throw attempts. He coached 7 seasons at Boston University for two seasons 2010-11, then went to Penn State from 2012-2020 and is now in his second season with FGCU. 

New Orleans vs Nicholls State  
4% 8-Unit Best Bet UNDER the posted total, currently at 150 points. 

Betting on the UNDER in games with a total between 143 and 153, the home team has been defeated by 48 or more points against the spread over their past 10 games and facing a foe that have seen their last 5 games play OVER by 28 or more points has produced an 83-46 record for 64.3% winners since 2012 and 39-21 UNDER for 65% winning bets. If our home team is a favorite of at least 6 points, the Under then has earned a highly profitable 24-10 record for 71% winning bets.  

Denver vs North Dakota 

4% 8-Unit bets bet Under the total, currently at 144 points 

Betting the Under with a dog that has seen their last five games play Under the total by at least 36 points and facing a foe that has seen their total play Over by at least 8 points I each of their last four games has earned an outstanding 25-9 for 74% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. 

If the game is lined between a 3.5-point favorite and a 3.5 dog, the record soars to 15-4 Under for 79% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.  

Lafayette vs Holy Cross 
4% 8-Unit best bet Over the posted total currently priced at 125 points. 

 
Betting the over in a game with a total of less than 130 points, with one of the teams, Lafayette, coming off an upset loss to a conference foe and. facing a foe, Holy Cross, coming off a home loss has produced an exceptional 41-19 record good for 68% Over bets spanning the past five seasons. If that opponent, Holy Cross has won no more than 40% of their games, has produced an even better 41-18-2 Over record for 70% winners over the past 10 seasons.  

Southern Utah vs Fresno State 

The Basketball Classic Semifinals 
10 ET, 3/28 

4% bet OVER the posted total 
3% bet on FSU minus the points 
NO PARLAY HERE 

FSU head coach Hutson is 9-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in four of their last five games, 35-20-1 ATS following a home game, and 16-6-1 ATS following two consecutive home games.  

From my predictive models, we learn that FSU is 8-0-1 Over when scoring 70 or more points and making at least 12 free throws in games played over the last three seasons.  

Michigan vs Villanova 

7:29 PM EST, March 23, 2022 

4% best bet Under the posted total 

The last time these two programs met in San Antonio on the basketball court was in the 2016 NCAA Championship game won by Villanova. The Wildcats look to be poised for another Championship run here in San Antonio and credit goes to head coach Jay Wright for having the courage to load up the front end of the season with top-rated superior teams. That ‘seasoning’ is now going to pay off for the remainder of their Tournament run starting tonight. 

When away from Ann Arbor, Michigan is 7-0 Under after two consecutive games attempting 10 or fewer shots than the opponent and 31-15 Under following two consecutive games where the opponent was called for five or more fouls than they were called for. Villanova is on a 7-1 Under run when playing in a neutral court settling and installed as the favorite. 

For his entire career at Villanova, Jay Wright is 45-27-2 Under when facing a marginal winning team sporting a win percentage not higher than 60%, 32-20-3 Under when playing against a winning record team with a win percentage not higher in than 60% in the second half of each season (after game number 15) 

From my predictive models, we are expecting to see a well-played matchup within a slower than average pace of play. The spread and total are telling us that Villanova will win 70.25-64.75 or 70-65. They are also projected to make no higher than 37% from beyond the arc OR not make more than 11 3-pointers in total and not score more than 75 points. In past games when not playing at home, the Wildcats have gone 5-14-2 Over-Under for 74% wining bets when not scoring more than 75 points and not making more than 11 3-pointers in games played since 2019. Michigan is 5-10 Over-Under for 67% winning Under bets in games where they did not make more than 6 3-pointers and did not score more than 70 points.  

Delaware vs Villanova 

2:45 PM EST, March 18, 2022 
4% best bet on the UNDER 

The total for this game is 133.5 points and has not moved from that opening price. One live in-game strategy worth considering and one that I will look to execute is to bet 50% of your 4% betting amount pre-flop and then hope to see a faster than expected pace at the start of the game. If that happens look to add the remaining 50% at 139.5 points during the first half only. To bet in-game in the second half has a significantly reduced ROI simply because there is less time to be correct. The worst case is that 139.5 is not made available during the first half of play which implies that we are correct on the 4% Under bet looking good to cover. You can also bet 80% pre flop and look to add 20% at 139.5 points. Send me a Direct Message on Twitter @JohnRyanSports1 if you have any questions. 

Betting the Under in the first round of the NCAA Tournament in a matchup of teams that have won 60 to 80% of their games on the season has earned a 67-29-1 Under record good for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. Delaware is 8-2 Under when playing against a team with a win percentage between 60 and 80% this season. Nova is 6-0 Under as a favorite on a neutral court this season and 13-4 Under coming off a win of six or fewer points in games played over the last three seasons. 

Notre Dame vs Rutgers 

9:10 PM EST, March 16, 2022 

4% Best Bet Under the posted total 

Notre Dame and Rutgers will be the participants in the last “Play-In” game prior to the March Madness Insanity begins in earnest Thursday. I thought Rutgers had earned a spot in the bracket by virtue of how well they did play down the stretch. This reflects that the committee only looks at quality of wins and the full-season body of work to give a team a thumbs up or thumbs down vote. I’d like to see more weighting for those teams that played hot down the stretch that would then bump out the teams that finished the regular season in a stumbling manner.  

The former Big East Conference rivals ended up earning two of the last four at-large bids into the 2022 field and will play each other in a First Four game Wednesday night at Dayton, Ohio. The winner will earn a No. 11 seed and move on to play sixth-seeded Alabama on Friday. 

This Under bet is backed by a simple to use betting system that has earned a 200-276 Over-Under record good for 58% winning Under bets spanning the last 15 seasons and is on a 19-42 Over-Under record for 69% winning Under bets spanning the last two seasons. The requirements are to bet the Under in games played in March with a team that allowed 85 or more points in their previous game. Plus, a subset that filters out only the games played with a total between 130 and 135 points that has earned a 17-33 Over-Under record good for 67% winning Under bets over the last 15 seasons. 

Iowa vs Purdue 

3:30 PM EST, March 13, 2022 

4% bet on the UNDER in this Big Ten Championship matchup. 

Iowa’s offense was quite good at the beginning of the season, but now is monumentally better right now than the first time these two teams met. They play fast ranking 5th nationally averaging 64.6 shots per game and the nation’s best ball handling team sporting 1.74 assists to turnover ratio. However, now the betting total has been overpriced by the betting community and both teams are prone to scoring below their average score per game. 

Betting the Under in a game being played on a neutral court, with a total between 150 and 159.5 points, after the 15th game of the regular season including Tournament action, and two teams that are allowing 42.5% to 45% shooting on the season has earned an insanely profitable 32-4 Under record good for 89% winning bets over the last five seasons.  

For March Madness moving forward, totals in the month of March ranging between 150 and 159.5 points, in games being played on a neutral site have gone 176-128-6 Under for 58% winners since 2006. In April games, the Under is 5-1.  

Nebraska vs Penn State 

7 ET 

4% Best Bet on the Under the posted total 

PSU is 31-14 Under when playing a game in the second half of the season (after game number 15) and taking on a team with a losing record and 23-9 Under when playing a struggling team with a win percentage between 20 and 40% on the season. They are 16-3 Under as a double-digit home favorite and 12-3 Under in the month of February, 11-3 Under after allowing 30 or fewer points in the first half of each of the last two games, and 7-1 Under following four consecutive games committing 14 or fewer turnovers and 6-0 Under following five games. 

West Virginia vs TCU 
5% best bet UNDER the total of 132.5 points. I do believe that you will see this line moving higher in price. So, I recommend that you place 5)0% of your normal 5% bet size now and then as we get through the Monday hours ahead of game time look to add the other 50% at a price higher than the first bet. If the market does not move higher than simply add the 50% remaining amount within one hour of game time if possible.

TCU is 82-48 Under for 63% winners coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe and if suffering this double-digit loss on the road they are 52-30 Under for 64% winners. Even just coming off a double-digit loss regardless if a conference foe or not or site location, they have produced a 91-60 Under record for 60% winning bets. Over the last three season, TCU is 16-6 Under for 73% winners after losing by double-digits to a conference for in their previous game.

The month of February is when the contenders seperate themselves form the pretenders and head coaches look to start coaching more aggressively and with more inspiration for his players. West Virginia’s skipper Huggins is this type of coach and his teams have a tendency every season to play their best in the month of February – and that starts on the defensive end. Huggins is 31-19 Under in games played in February and 77-53 Under when facing a team on the road that is forcing 14 or fewer turnovers on the seasons.
From my predictive models the projections are that neither team is going to score 65 or more points. TCU is 72-20 Under in games in which they allowed 60 to 65 points. They are also 18-10 Under when they have held their opponent to 40 to 45% shooting over the last three seasons.

UCLA vs Arizona State 

4% best bet OVER the posted total 

Betting the OVER involving a home team that allowed 33% or worse opponent shooting in their last two games and in a matchup of two teams average at least 60 shots per game has earned a highly profitable 31-7 OVER record good for 82% winning bets over the last 25 seasons, 16-4 OVER for 80% winners the last five seasons, and 12-3 OVER for 80% over the last three seasons.  

UCLA is 8-1 OVER when facing an opponent that is making 42% or fewer of their shots.  

From the predictive models, UCLA is projected to score at least 75 points and in past games over the last three seasons when they have scored 75 or more points has seen the OVER go 14-2 for 78% winning bets. When ASU has allowed 75 or more points, the OVER has gone 15-5 for 75% winning bets spanning the last 3 seasons.  

Presbyterian vs Morehead State

7:00 PM EST, December 6, 2021

4-UNIT Best Bet on the OVER

My predictive models are suggesting that 130 or more points will be scored in this game. They also project that Morehead State will shoot at least 47% from the field and Presbyterian will have fewer turnovers than Morehead State and make at least seven 3-pointers. Presbyterian is 6-0 OVER in games where they made 6 or more 3-point shots. Morehead State is 19-7 OVER the past three seasons and 75-52 OVER the past 20 seasons when they have shot 47% or better from the field. Love the OVER

Baylor vs Gonzaga
NCAA 2021 National Championship Game

9:00 PM EST, April 5, 2021

4% Best bet UNDER the posted total of 159 points.

How in the world is this Championship Game even come close to matching the drama of the UCLA vs Gonzaga semifinal game, which is at the top of the All-Time greatest games in any sport. I do see this game being a physical war between these two juggernaut programs, who were ranked 1 and 2 in the nation throughout the season.

Betting on the UNDER in neutral court settings with a total between 150.5 and 160 points in a matchup where the one team, Gonzaga, has scored 75 or more points in at least two consecutive games and now facing an opponent, Baylor, who is coming off a game in which they scored at least 40 or more points in the first-half of their last game has earned a solid 110-57-1 UNDER record for 67% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. If the ‘other’ team, Baylor, has scored 40 or more in two consecutive first-halves, the record moves up to 70% winning bets.

Creighton vs Gonzaga
Sweet 16 Hinkle Field House
2:10 PM EST, March 28, 2021

4% Best Bet OVER the posted total of 158 points.

We all have seen many more UNDER results this NCAA Tournament, and with the UNDER a perfect 4-0 UNDER yesterday. These UNDERS combined for going under their respective totals by 78 points in total and is easily above the highest UNDER total for a sweet 16 round since 2010, which occurred in the 2014 tournament and a total of 38 points. For this matchup, the OVER is the play based on my research and machine learning applications.

The line and total imply a Gonzaga 86-73 win today over Creighton. The ML apps underscore Gonzaga’s points total of 86 or more points. Gonzaga has an 82% probability of scoring 86 or more points. In past games, Creighton is 7-0 OVER when they have allowed 87 or more points spanning the last three seasons.  Gonzaga is 30-3 OVER when both they and their opponent have scored 75 or more points spanning the last three seasons. Gonzaga is 75-2 and 55-15 OVER in games scoring 81 or more points spanning the last five seasons and teams in the NCAA Tournament that have scored 87 or more points, are 52-4 and 50-6 OVER spanning the last six NCAA Tournaments.

Iona vs Alabama
4:00 PM EST, March 21, 2021
NCAA First Round, Hinkle Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
4% OVER the posted total of 147 points

This total opened at 143 points and has seen smart money hitting the OVER lifting the market price to a current 147-points. My machine learning applications continue to ‘love’ the OVER with a high probability of both teasm socring 75 or more points and a final tally of about 160 points.

One way to play this this total is to place 50% of your normal 4% betting amount pre-flop and then look to add 25% more at 143 and the last 25% at 138.5 points. If both teams start out fast, you may not get the chance to add the two parts. However, as we have seen in the first day’s action, the in-game pricing is extremely fast and volatile. So, let that volatility work for you in this game.

Alabama is 41-26 OVER when installed as a favorite in games played over the last three seasons and 23-11-1 ATS in non-conference games played over the last three seasons. Alabama head coach Oats is 28-14-1 ATS when playing just the second game spanning the past week; 32-14 ATS when playing against an opponent that has won 60 to 80% of their games on the season and only in games played after the 15th game of the regular season.

Duke vs North Carolina
6:00 PM EST, March 6, 2021
10-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER 149-points

Currently, and in my opinion, Duke would get an invite to the NCAA Tournament. And a loss to UNC today, would require them to run the slate in the ACC Tournament . The latter is highly unlikely and for that reason and many others, Duke must play focused defense with excellent defensive rebounding for 40-minutes and not get into a shoot-out with UNC.

Duke does shoot the ball well and ranks 42nd with a 54% effective FG percentage, but they are not good, in fact, horrid ranking 336th with a 0.232 free throws attempts to field goals attempted ratio. UNC does not shoot the ball well, but they are the second best offensive rebounding team in the nation. They get the offensive board on 39.6% of their missed shots.

Duke has been playing much better of late and rank 16th in current momentum attributed to a 9th best ranking in second-chance scoring opportunities. Duke has been playing better on the road than at home too. I expect the pace of play to be much slower than what UNC has averaged on the season.

Krzyzewski is 18-7-1 UNDER when on the road and coming off a road game in which they and their opponent scored at least 75 points. Williams is 19-8-1 UNDER cpoming off a tough loss of no more than three points to a conference foe.

No 11 Florida State vs North Carolina
Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC
4:00 PM EST, February 27, 2021

4% Best Bet UNDER the posted total of 151 points.

FSU is the dominant force in the ACC this season and enter this showdown with UNC on a four-game win streak and went 2-1-1 ATS. They are on an 11-game ‘OVER’ streak and shot over 50% from the field in five of those games. Most notably, they shot an incredible 71% from the field in a 105-73 destruction of NC State back on January 13.

UNC has been largely inconsistent this season as demonstrated in their last two games. They destroyed Louisville 99-54 as a 4.5-point home favorite and then inexplicably lost to Marquette 83-70 installed as a 9.5-point home favorite. They have had games where the defense does disappear of they forget how to score. However, in this matchup, their full attention and focus will on FSU knowing that a win will strengthen their NCAA resume.

This is the highest total this season in FSU games. Over the last five seasons, ranked teams that are playing in a road game with the highest total of the season, has seen the ‘UNDER’ earn a 44-24 UNDER record for 65% winning bets.

FSU plays an average-pace based on D-1 standards, but can really turn up the defensive heat. They rank 27th allowing 40.2% opponent shooting and 6th when adjusted by opponent and SOS. UNC is once again a great renounding team that ranks 2nd averaging 42.5 Rebounds-per-game, and third averaging 13.2 offensive rebounds-per-game. Both teams will look to be strong on their defensive glass and minimize the opponent’s second-chance scoring opportunities. UNC ranks best and FSU second-best in second chance scoring, but both are solid in their defensive second-chance scoring as well. So, bottom line is that second chance scoring for both teams is going to be much lower than their averages.

FSU is 32-14-1 UNDER after four consecutive games committing no more than 14 turnovers under head coach Hamilton.

Illinois vs Minnesota
3:30 ET, February 20, 2021
4% Best Bet UNDER the posted total of 148 points

Betting the UNDER in games after he 15th game of the season and where the road team is a great shooting team making at least 47.4% of their shots and is facing an opponent that is allowing 42 to 45% shooting has earned a crazy 820-600 record for 58% winners over the last 20 seasons.

Minnesota is 8-0 UNDER after the 15th game of the season and facing an elite opponent that is outscoring their opponents by 12 or more points-per-game spanning the last three seasons. They are also 6-0 UNDER following four consecutive games committing 11 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last three seasons.

Pitino is 21-7-1 UNDER as the head coach of Minnesota when facing elite teams that are outscoring their opponents by 12 or more PPG.

No 7 Ohio State vs Maryland

9:00 PM EST, February 8, 2021

Xfinity Center, College Park, MD

4% Best Bet UNDER the posted total of 139-points. 

Ohio State set a program record of four consecutive road victories against Top-15 teams in their win over Iowa last Thursday. Maryland has been struggling and lost 55-50 at a vastly underrated Penn State team last Friday. The loss to PSU marked season-lows in points scored with 50 and assists with just six.

Maryland has played solid defense and rank 46th in overall defensive efficiency. They will be tested by an OSU offense that ranks 5th nationally in overall offensive efficiency. Both teams play at some of the slowest paced games nationally and in the Big Ten conference this season. OSU ranks 274th averaging 67.8 possessions-per-forty-minutes and Maryland ranks 206th averaging 66.7 possessions-per-forty-minutes. So, there certainly will be no rush after rebounding a missed shot by either team.

Betting UNDER the posted total in games lined between 130 and 139.5 points after one of the teams involved is coming off five consecutive games scoring 65 or fewer points and facing an opponent that scored 40 or more points in the first half of their last two games has earned a 46-16-1 ATS record good for 74% winning bets over the last 20 seasons.

OSU is 9-1 UNDER following a game in which they scored 85 or more points in games played over the last three seasons. 

Wisconsin vs. Michigan State

12:30, PM EST, Christmas Day

4% Best Bet ‘UNDER’ the posted total of 140 points. 

Bettng UNDER the posted total between 140 and 149.5 points after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games and is winning 80% or more of their games on the season has earned an outstanding 48-15-1 UNDER record in games played over the past five seasons. MSU and Wisconsin sport win percentages above 80%. 

MSU is averaging 82 PPG on the season. Wisconsin is 12-2 UNDER in road games facing good offensive teams scoring 77 or more points-per-game over the last three seasons. Wisconsin is 7-0 UNDER coming off three consecutive home wins. Wisconsin head coach Gard is 25-7-1 UNDER when playing only their third game in a week. He is also 30-11-1 UNDER when facing an elite opponent that has outscored their opponents by an average of 8 or more PPG. 

From the machine learning tools, MSU is 14-2 UNDER when scoring 65 to 72 points in games played over the last three seasons. 

Michigan State vs Maryland
8:00 PM EST, February 29, 2020
7-Star Best Bet Titan on the ‘OVER’

Due to the huge card, these reports are shorter than normal. I am sure you understand.

So, from the predictive side Michigan State is 40-22 ‘OVER’ for 65% winning bets in games in which they make at least 77% of their free throw shots and made at least 26 field goals.

Maryland is projected to match these projections and is 47-16-1 ‘OVER’ for 75% winning bets including 6-0 ‘OVER’ when they and the opponent are both ranked.

Virginia vs Pittsburgh

12:00 PM EST, 02-22-20
NCAAM 7-Star Best Bet Titan ‘UNDER’

The betting line opened at 111 points and despite 60% of the bets placed being on the ‘OVER’ the line has dropped to the current level of 108 points.  This reflects the fact that there have been much larger sized bets being placed on the ‘UNDER’ – the so-called smart money.

Pittsburgh is 25-10 UNDER (+12.3 Units) in home games and facing good ball handling opponents committing no more than 14 turnovers-per-game in games played over the last three seasons. This is also the lowest total for a Pitt game since at least 2006,. But for good reasons too as both teams bring an intense defensive attitude in their games.

 From the predictive side of things, UVA is projected to contain the Pitt offense to 57 or fewer points. UVA is 16-2 ‘UNDER’ in road games since 2010 when holding an opponent to fewer than 57 points. This implies that if UVA allows 56 points they will lose the game in order to stay under the 108 point total. Not is not the case as it is more likely that Pitt scores between 48 and 52 points than scores 56 points. It is the ceiling projection that Pitt will not score more than 56 points is what matters in this matchup.

Texas vs Iowa State 

2:00 PM EST, February 15, 2020
7-Star Best Bet ‘OVER’ the posted total

Iowa State is 180-135 ‘OVER’ I games played facing an opponent with a winning record on the season since 2006; 131-59 for 59% when the game is taking place after game number 15 of the regular season; 11-4 ‘OVER’ when we include an embarrassing loss of 20 or more points in their previous game.

From the predictive side of things, ISU and UT are projected to make a combined 55 field goals in this game. In past games in which the Iowa State and their opponent met or exceeded this performance measure the ‘OVER’ has gone 74-12-1 since 2006 and 13-1 ‘OVER’ for 93% since 2017. 

Missouri vs No. 25 LSU
7:00 PM EST, February 11, 2012
NCAAM 7-Star Basketball Best Bet on the Missouri Tigers

First, my plays are released thoruighout the day and there will be more releases forthcoming in the NCAA and NBA hardwood, and NHL The Missouri Tigers have had a rough season, but they are extraordinarily over valued in this matchup against an LSU tiger tea that ahs exceeded preseason expectations.

This situational betting query has earned a solid 77-36-1 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 10 or more points, which is Missouri, after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games.

If the underdog has failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games and queried with the aforementioned situations the ‘UNDER’ has produced a solid 27-13-2 record for 68% winning bets.

 I recommend playing this pair of 7-star Titans as two separate bets with the normal amount you bet on a 7-Star play. I then recommend to play NO MORE than a 3-Star amount on a Reverse Parlay (pays 4:1) combining the Missouri Titers plus the points and the ‘UNDER’.

Presbyterian vs Hampton
4:00 PM EST, February 1, 2020
10-Star Bet ‘UNDER’ the posted total

 This is an important game in the Big South Conference with the Hampton Pirates sitting at 4-3 and in third place and the Presbyterian Blue Hose at 5-4 in the Big South Conference Standings. The Winthrop Eagles are a perfect 9-0 and atop the conference standings so this is a must win game for both teams and with comes a greater defensive tone.

 The Blue Hose are looking to end a three-game conference losing streak while the Pirates are coming off a tough 83-79 road loss to the Radford Highlanders, but did cover the spread as 8-point underdogs.

 The Pirates are led by two players that are averaging more than 20 points-per-game. It is rare on any of the 353 Division-1 NCAAM programs in the country to have two players averaging more than 20 a game. Guard Jermaine Marrow is averaging 24.7 PPG and a team-high 36.6 minutes per game and Forward Benjamin Stanley is averaging 22.10 PPG including a team-high 7.5 rebounds-per-game. So, when you have two dominant players in an extremely unbalanced offense scoring consistency suffers.

The following situational betting system has earned a 22-5 ‘UNDER’ record good for 82% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements for the bet are to play ‘UNDER’  in a game with a total between 150 and 160 points and with one of the teams on a three-game ATS win streak and the that team has a win percentage between 39 and 49% and is playing a team that has won 40% or fewer of their games on the season.

 From the predictive side of things, both teams are projected to score a comined total of 36 or fewer points from 3-point range. The Pirates are 9-3 ‘UNDER’ and 12-4 ‘UNDER’ when they have played in games that met this performance measure.

Miami (FLA) vs Duke
9:00 PM EST, January 21, 2020
7-Star Bet ‘OVER’ the posted total

 Let us take a look at some specific bullet points form the trustworthy database that support the ‘OVER’ bet that was produced by the machine learning tools.

Duke is 10-2 ‘OVER’ when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 8-1 ‘OVER’ when facing a good shooting team that is making 45% or more of their shots this season; 7-1 ‘OVER’ when facing good ball handling teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game this season; 8-1 OVER after playing four consecutive games as a favorite this season.

From the predictive side of things, all these outcomes match the projections for this game and for the ‘OVER’ to be an easy winning bet tonight.

Miami is 53-6 ‘OVER’ when they allow 80 or more points in a game over since 2007.

Miami is 23-1 ‘OVER’ when they allow 87 or more points in a game since 2007.
Duke is 8-2-1 ‘OVER’ in home games when they score 80 or more points in a game this season.

DUKE is 83-29 ‘OVER’ when they score 87 or more points in a game since 2007

TCU vs West Virginia

9:00 PM EST, January 13, 2020
NCAAM 7-Star Best Bet on the ‘UNDER’

Let us start by reviewing a consistent NCAAM betting system that has earned a 48-21-3 ‘UNDER’ record since 2006. The requirements are to play ‘Under’ with all teams where the total is between 123 and 130 points that are off a win by 10 or more points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two top-level teams that have won at least 80% of their games in the current season.

WVU is a near-perfect 10-1 UNDER when facing a good defensive team sporting a shooting percentage defense of 42% or lower in games played this season. Also, 11-1 UNDER when facing winning opponents that are out scorig their opposition by 4 or more points-per-game this season. Not to mention that WVU is a perfect 9-0 UNDER when playing only their second game in a week in games played this season.

Ohio University vs Villanova
12:00 PM EST, November 16, 2019
7-Star Bet is on the OVER in this matchup of NCAA basketball teams

This situational betting system has earned a 33-10 record good for 77% winning College Hoops bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet over the posted total with a team that is off an upset win as a road underdog and had a win percentage of 40 to 49% last season.

Ohio University is 68-36 OVER following a game in which they scored 80 or more points.

Villanova is 15-4 OVER in games in which they allowed 67 to 75 points.

John Ryan Sports

10-STAR WAGER ON THE ‘OVER’ IN THE NCAA TOURNAMENT CHAMPIONSHIP GAME BETWEEN UVA AND TEXAS TECH SET TO START AT 9:20 PM EST

This database situational query has earned a solid 40-11 against the total record for 78.4% wins since 2014 and instructs us to play ‘Over’ with neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (VIRGINIA) after 4 straight games forcing opponents to commit 11 or fewer turnovers in each game. 

Texas Tech is a perfect 7-0 OVER after a game committing 8 or fewer turnovers this season.

Texas Tech is projected to score a minimum of 71 points and has the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio in this Championship game. The ‘OVER’ is an amazing 82-30-3 for 73% and Texas Tech is 85-34-1 ATS for 71% when they have achieved these performance measures. 

So, play a 10-Star wager on the ‘OVER’ and add an optional 3-Star Parlay using the Texas Tech on the money line and the ‘OVER’. 

John Ryan Sports

10-STAR WAGER ‘OVER’ IN THE V-TECH DUKE EAST SEMIFINAL

The machine learning summary projections call for both teams to score 75 or more points, both teams shoot a minimum of 48% from the field, and combine for 18 made 3-point shots. Duke has gone 26-10 ‘OVERR” when they have scored 75 or more points, combined with the opponent for 18 made 3-pointers and shot better than 48%. V-Tech in the same scenario has earned a 27-5 ‘OVER’ record for 84.4% winners. When V-Tech and their opponent have both scored 75 or more points, the ‘OVER’ is a remarkable 67-3 for 96% winners. 

JOHN RYAN SPORTS

Wager Opportunity

  10-Star Wager (5,7 and 10-Star scale) on the OVER in the Davidson versus ST. Louis A-10 Conference Tournament semifinals set to start at 3:30 EST, Saturday, March 16, 2019. 

Machine Learning Projections and Outcomes

 From the machine learning side of this game. The ‘OVER’ is a remarkable 22-3 for 89% when Davidson and their opponent each attempt 60 or more shots and they combine for 17 or more made 3-point shots. 

This play is projected to cover the TOTAL by at least 11 points.

JOHN RYAN SPORTS

1.The Play and How to Play It

 7-Star wager (5,7 and 10-Star scale) on the Cincinnati Bearcats (796) as they take on the SMU Mustangs in the quarterfinals of the AAC Conference Tournament set to start at 7:00 PM EST. 

Also, a 5-Star wager on the ‘OVER’ and a 3-Star parlay wager using Cincy and the ‘OVER’

2.Data Base Situational Queries

  Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development 

This database situational query has earned a 48-27 ATS mark good for 64% winners over the last five seasons. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games and is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games.

Cincinnati is 26-3 SU winning the game by an average of 20.2 points and 20-8-1 ATS for 69% and 21-3 ‘OVER’

Ryan’s AAC 7-Star Quarterfinals Titan; 

John Ryan's proven algorithm has identified a 7-Star Titan winner tonight’s AAC quarterfinals game that includes a bonus 5-Star graded play on the ‘OVER’ and a PARLAY! Backed by an impressive database situational query and several predictive metrics that have hit above 80% ATs and one supporting the TOTAL that is 21-3. 

JOHN RYAN SPORTS

1.The Play and How to Play It

Play a 10-Star wager amount on the OVER (635-636) in the Duke-Virginia Tech in an ACC Conference matchup set to start at 7:00 PM EST.

2.Machine Learning Projections and Outcomes

  Duke is projected to score a minimum of 75 points, and shoot at least 48% from the field, and make a minimum of 78% of their free throw shots. V-Tech is projected to score a minimum of 75 points and has between 4 and 9 fewer rebounds than Duke. 

So, Duke has earned a 30-11 ‘OVER’ record when they have met or exceeded these performance measures. Under the same parameters and when Duke has been on the road, they have earned a perfect 5-0 ‘OVER’ mark covering the total by an average of 11.8 points. 

V-Tech has earned a 25-3 ‘OVER’ record when they have met or exceeded these performance measures. When installed as a home dog they have posted a perfect 5-0 ‘OVER’ record covering the total by an average of 19.9 points. 

3.Data Base Situational Queries

 Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. 

V-Tech is a solid 26-12 OVER in home games after a game with 9 or fewer assists since 1997.

JOHN RYAN SPORTS

1.The Play and How to Play It

 7-Star wager (5,7 and 10-Star scale) on the  OVER in the Duke versus Syracuse game set to start at 6:00 PM EST. 

2.Data Base Situational Queries

 Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development 

Both teams are projected to score a minimum of 72 points with the most likely outcome showing both teams scoring 77 or more points.

Syracuse is 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Duke is a perfect 8-0 OVER in road games revenging a loss over the last 3 seasons.

John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

UNDER William & Mary versus College of Charleston (618)

Thursday, 02/21/2019 7:00 PM

Place a 7-Star wager (5,7 and 10-Star scale) on the UNDER.

Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This DB Query has returned a  58-21 UNDER record for 73.4% over the last 21 seasons. Play Under with all teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COLL OF CHARLESTON)  and is an excellent shooting team making a minimum of 47.5%  and posting 4 straight games making making at least 47% of their shot attempts and is now facing a below average defensive team allowing 45 to 47.5% shooting.

The UNDER is 13-1 going below the posted total by an average of 11.7 points when Charleston has been installed as a road favorite and shot 45% or less and their host opponent has shot under 42%.

John Ryan Sports

Wednesday, February 13, 2019

Missouri State at Evansville (788)

1.The Play and How to Play It

Play a 10-Star wager amount on the OVER in the Missouri State (787) versus Evansville set to start at 7:00 PM EST.

­

 Projections calls for a minimum of 135 points to be scored in this game.

The following precedents support the OVER

MS is a solid 8-1 OVER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

MS is 61-38 OVER (+19.2 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

Evansville is 8-2 OVER (+5.8 Units) after playing a game as a road underdog this season.

MS is 14-5 OVER (+8.5 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Evansville is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in home games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons.

John Ryan Sports

Sunday, February 3, 2019

Ryan is 13-2 ATS with four no-plays over the last 19 Super Bowls. He has a 10-Star for tomorrow’s SB LIII that includes 4 parlays using the alternative lines giving you an unbelievable winning opportunity.

The Play and How to Play It

Play a 10-Star wager amount OVER the posted total in the Georgetown (825) Villanova (826) Big East Conference matchup set to start at 12:00 PM EST.  

­

 Projections calls for Georgetown and Villanova to combine for a minimum of 161 points. High probability tool that both teasm exceed the 80-point total. G-Town is 8-0 OVER when they allow 81 or more points in a game this season.

Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development.

G-Town is 11-3 OVER when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season; 6-0 OVER after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season.

John Ryan Sports

Saturday, February 2, 2019

Ryan is 13-2 ATS with fours no-plays over the last 19 Super Bowls. He has a 10-Star for tomorrow’s SB LIII that includes 4 parlays using the alternative lines givig you an unbelievable winning opportunity.

The Play and How to Play It

Play a 10-Star wager amount UNDER the posted total, currently 134 points, in the G-Tech versus FSU matchup. Rotation number for this game is 603.

­

 Projections calls for fewer than 130 points to be scored in this game.

Georgia Tech is a solid 8-1 UNDER when facing good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4 or more per game this season; 21-10 UNDER (+10.0 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 8-2 UNDER (+5.8 Units) when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game this season.

FSU is 24-5-3 UNDER when allowing 56 to 65 points since the start of the 2016 season; 12-2-2 UNDER since 2017.

Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development.

This DB situational query has gone 64-20 UNDER for 76.2% over the past 20 seasons. Play Under the posted total with all teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points after scoring 65 points or less 5 straight games and is now facing an opponent after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game

The Play and the Matchup

UNDER Colorado State – Long Beach State (644)

COLORADO ST (5 - 6) at LONG BEACH ST (4 - 9)

Saturday, 12/22/2018 5:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the UNDER, which is currently priced at 152.5 points.

SIM Projections and Results
LBST is 32-18-3 UNDER in home games when they have shot 40 to 46% from the field and 15-8 UNDER in home games when both teams have shot between 40 and 46% from the field. The clincher is that both teams are projected to shoot 35 or fewer free throws and when this is combined with LBST shooting between 40 to 46% in a home game produces an amazing 16-1 UNDER record that has covered the total by an average of 17.5 points.

Our database tells us that playing UNDER the posted total with all teams in December where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points that have win percentage between 20 to 40% and now paying a losing record team has produced a nice profit via a 59-23 UNDER mark good for 72% winners.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

OVER (553 - 554)

Virginia (3 - 0) Vs. Middle Tenn St (3 - 1)

Wednesday, 11/21/2018 9:30 PM

BATTLE 4 ATLANTIS - Round 1 - Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort - Nassau

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the ‘OVER’, which is priced ayt 128 points after opening at 133 points.

SIM Projections and Results

Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows:

UVA is a solid 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. MTST is 22-8 OVER (+13.2 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game.

This database situational query has produced a 30-9 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 1997.  Play Over in a Neutral court setting for both teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points after leading their last 3 games by 5 or more points at the half and now facing an opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10 or more points at the half.

Next, this query has returned a record of 53-23 ‘OVER’ for 70% winners since 1997.   Play Over in a Neutral court setting for both teams where the total is 129.5 or less after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more and is now facing an opponent after leading their last 3 games by 5 or more points at the half.  

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: OVER

The Matchup: GEORGIA TECH (11 - 16) at VIRGINIA (24 - 2)

Start Time: Wednesday, 2/21/2018 7:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7-star wager OVER using the total line. The current line shows a total of 113 points.

Game Intelligence Analytics

Play ‘Over’ with road teams where the total is 119.5 or less (GEORGIA TECH).

After scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games.

And is now against an opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.
38-14 over the last 5 seasons for 73.1%, $2260 per $100 wagered.

SIM Matching Game Situations

Georgia Tech

23-7 OVER (+15.3 Units) off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points.

Virginia

            17-8 OVER when hitting between 50 and 54% of their shot attempts and playing at home.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also a 5-2 ATS mark for the Top-Rated 10 Star College Hardwood Titans and on a 12-7 ATS run in the NBA and 11-5 NHL run.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: OVER

The Matchup: THE CITADEL (9 - 15) at SAMFORD (8 - 18)

Start Time: Saturday, 2/10/2018 8:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the ‘OVER’ using the line. The current line shows a posted total of 180 points.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

There will not be much defense in this game and the pace will be very fast. Citadel ranks 34th nationally averaging 81 PPG and both defenses rank bwlo 334th out of 352 D-1 basketball teams. The Cital allows 92.5 PPG ranking 350th and Samford allows 83 PPG ranking 334th worst.

Game Intelligence Analytics

Play Over with home teams against the total (SAMFORD).

And is a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a horrible defensive team allowing at least 78 PPG.

After 15 or more games, after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games.

31-10 since 1997 for 75.6%, $2000

Play Over with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 170 (THE CITADEL).

After having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread.

38-14 since 1997 73.1%, $2260.

SIM Matching Game Situations

The Citadel is 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) in road games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Samford is 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also 26-15 ATS  for 62% winners in College Hoops and on a11-7 ATS run in the NBA and 10-4 NHL run.

10* graded play on ‘UNDER’ in the NCAA Final featuring UNC (602) against Gonzaga that is set to start at 9:20 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 150 points will be scored in this game. Projections also call for both teams to score ‘UNDER’ 75 points as well. So, we recommend playing ‘under’ in each team’s total for a 3* amount each.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Here is a system that has gone 318-194 ‘under’ good for 62% winners since 2011. Play ‘under’ - neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points in a NCAA tournament game. 

We provide that system more for you copy and paste it, so that you can tap into its’ benefits next season.

Tweaking this a bit or your reference library creation, moving the total to 159 to 165 points has provided a very strong 18-10 ‘under’ record in 2016 All Tournament action (NCAA, CBI, and NIT).

Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘UNDER’

UNC is a solid 15-5 UNDER (+9.5 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons.

UNC is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons.

7* graded play ‘UNDER’ South Carolina Gonzaga (811) in their Final Four showdown set to start at 6:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 135 points will be scored in this game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Gonzaga is 19-9 UNDER (+9.1 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.

SC is7-1 UNDER (+5.9 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game this season.

SC is 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) in road games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons.

SC is 19-7 UNDER (+11.3 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘UNDER’

7* graded play on ‘UNDER’ Coastal Carolina – Wyoming (522) in Game 2 of the CBI Tournament finals set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 150 points will be scored in this game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Coastal Carolina is 9-2 UNDER (+6.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season. 

Wyoming is 15-5 UNDER (+9.5 Units) in home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread 

Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘UNDER’ in Game 2.

7* graded play ’OVER’ in the NIT semifinal game between G-Tech and Cal State Bakersfield set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that 130 or more points will be scored in this game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

G-Tech is 14-5 OVER (+8.5 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.

G-Tech is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. 

CS-Bakersfield is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. 

Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘OVER’ tonight.

7* graded play on ‘UNDER’ n the Elite 8 Round between Kentucky and UNC set to start at 5:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 155 points will be scored in this game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

The current line at 159.5 and likely to move to 160 given the public betting flows. Kentucky is coming off a game where they committed just 8 turnovers and this combined with the current line produces a very favorable set of criteria for the ‘UNDER’ to bring home the bacon. In games on a neutral court where one of the teams committed just 8 or fewer turnovers and the line is between 158 and 165 has produced a 15-6 ‘UNDER’ mark good for 71.4% winners since the 2012 season.

Kentucky is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season.

Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘UNDER’

7* graded play ‘UNDER’ Michigan – Louisville (721) in Round 2 NCAA action set to start at 12:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 135 points will be scored in this game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

This system has gone 45-13 ‘UNDER’ for 78% winners since 1997. Play ‘UNDER’ with neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MICHIGAN) in a game involving 2 very good teams outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after allowing 85 points or more. 

Louisville is 21-7 UNDER (+13.3 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to take the ‘UNDER’ in this matchup.

7* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total in the Duke-ND ACC set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 145 points will be scored in this game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Duke is 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. 

Duke is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better over the last 3 seasons. 

This system has gone 42-14 ‘UNDER’ for 75% winners since 1997. Play ‘UNDER’ with neutral court teams against the total (DUKE) off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog. 

Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘UNDER’ in the ACC Championship game.

7* graded play ‘OVER’ the posted total in the SEC matchup between Kentucky (738) and Alabama set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 150 points will be scored in this game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Alabama is a solid 43-12 OVER (+29.8 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game.

Alabama is 40-21 OVER (+16.9 Units) in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game

Kentucky is 13-5 OVER (+7.5 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Kentucky is 15-6 OVER (+8.4 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘OVER’

10* graded play ‘OVER’ Troy-Appalachian State in the first round of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 155 points will be scored in this game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

AS is a solid 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) in road games when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game over the last 2 seasons.

AS is 8-2 OVER (+5.8 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game this season.

AS is 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Troy is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season.

Troy is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Troy is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game this season.

Troy is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season.

Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘OVER’.

SIM Algorithm High-Level Overview

10* graded play ‘UNDER’ Duke-Miami (Fla) (577) in ACC Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 140 points will be scored in this game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Duke is 80-40 UNDER (+36.0 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game 

Miami is a solid 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) in home games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Miami is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) in home games when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Miami is 7-1 UNDER (+5.9 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season.

Miami is 10-2 UNDER (+7.8 Units) facing very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘INDER’

50* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total in the Notre Dame – North Carolina ACC showdown set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 150 points will be scored in this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 68-28 ‘UNDER’ for 71% winners since 1997. Play ‘Under’ with neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (NOTRE DAME) that are good 3-Point shooting teams making better than 36.5% and is now facing an average 3-Point defense allowing between 32 to 36.5% shooting, good ball handling team forcing less than 14.5 TOPG against an average pressure defensive team forcing between 14.5 and 17.5 TOPG. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

UNC is a solid 8-2 UNDER (+5.8 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. 

ND is a solid 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. 

Brey is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) in road games after playing a game as a home underdog as the coach of ND

25* graded play ‘UNDER’ Kansas 544 – Nebraska 543 in NCAA action set to start at 3:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 140 points will be scored in this game.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 52-16 mark ‘UNDER’ for 77% winners since 2010. Play ‘under’ with home teams against the total after 6 or more consecutive wins and is a top-level team winning 80% or more of their games and now playing a marginal winning team sporting a record between 51% to 60%.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Nebraska is a solid 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Kansas is a solid 16-6 UNDER (+9.4 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.

25* graded play ‘OVER’ in the MIDWEST Regional Final set to start at 6:05 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 125 points will be scored in this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting 28-7 ‘OVER’ mark good for 80% winners since 1997. 55% of these games went ‘over’ the posted total by seven or more points. Play ‘over’ with neutral court teams against the total (SYRACUSE) after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Syracuse is a perfect 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game this season. UVA is a perfect 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) in road games after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better this season; 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more over the last 3 seasons; 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) in road games after 4 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more

Fundamental Discussion Points ND shot horridly from the field in their Sweet 16 win against Gonzaga. However, they are 5-1 ‘OVER’ following a game where they shot under 40% this season. The Syracuse zone will not impact UVA’s offense as it can other teams simply because UVA can shoot well from the perimeter. They rank 10th in the nation making 40.3% of their 3-point shot attempts and this will pull the ‘zone’ out from the paint. In turn, this will open up that paint area for UVA where they rank 30th hitting 52.8% of those shots. UVA does not need to play slow-paced lock down defensive style in this matchup. I fully expect them to come up shooting and putting pressure on the Syracuse defense with every possession. Take the ‘OVER’

25* graded play ‘OVER’ Wisconsin-Notre Dame in the SWEET 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 7:25 PM ET, Friday, March 25, 2016. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that More than 140 points will be scored in this game. Truly remarkable that these two teams are playing each other in the Round of 16. Wisconsin and Notre Dame are not elite offenses by any stretch of the imagination or the stats. However, their defenses do not match up well against the offenses, as shown below in the fundamental discussion points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-19 ATS over the last 5 seasons good for 73% winners: Play Over neutral court teams against the total (ND and Wisc) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Notre Dame is 8-2 OVER (+5.8 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. Brey is 85-62 OVER (+16.8 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite as the coach of ND. Wisconsin is 17-4 OVER (+12.6 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points ND ranks 122nd in opponent shooting percentage at 43%, 119th in overall opponent shooting efficiency at 1.050, 264th in FGA/game, 206th in FGM/game, 270th allowing 7.8 3-point shots per game. Wisconsin ranks below 200th level in the majority of offensive metrics, however, the SIM shows that they will have an above average night from beyond the arc. ND does shoot the ball well and are quite disciplined in this style of play. Wisconsin has a decent defense, but here again ND ranks 38th with a 1.139 shooting efficiency, and 28th in 2-point shot percentage at 53%. So, Wisconsin will be successful from the perimeter early and then spread the ND defense opening up the paint. Meanwhile, ND will be the opposite, looking to pound the paint early and then look to wide open shots from the perimeter. Take the ‘OVER’

25* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total currently at 145 points in the Maryland-Kansas Sweet 16 matchup set to start at 9:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 138 points will be scored in this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Maryland is a solid 10-3 UNDER (+6.7 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 9-2 UNDER (+6.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season; 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season; 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game this season. This last one begs to show Kansas winning the game comfortably, but the probabilities are too inconsistent to validate an individual play on Kansas. This game projects to be more of an intensive defensive battle, with spurts of offensive brilliance. 

Fundamental Discussion Points As the season ends and the tournament continues on totals are more prone to going UNDER than ever before, but especially in this game with two stout defenses. Players are going to tire as they play more and more games and as the tournament continues they are trying to score over better and more competitive teams. Maryland is 42nd best in the country only allowing opponents 66.4 PPG and Kansas is 61st only giving up 67.7 PPG. Kansas is 15th and Maryland is 31st in opponents effective FG percentage. Maryland turns the heat up as the game goes on ranking 39th in opponents 2nd half points. Also, Maryland is 13th BEST in blocks per game. Pick UNDER the total.

50* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total in the Texas A&M-Kentucky SEC Championship game set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 140 points will be scored. In addition, there is a high probability that both teams will not exceed 70 points in scoring.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-9 ‘UNDER’ mark good for 77% winners since 1997. Play ‘under’ with neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (KENTUCKY) in a game involving 2 very good teams outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season, after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. A&M is a solid 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 8-2 UNDER (+5.8 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 9-2 UNDER (+6.8 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points This is game where the A&M defense is being completely overlooked and a defense that can dominate the pace of play in this matchup. Moreover, Kentucky ranks best in the nation allowing 9.1 assists per game and with a 0.398 opponent assist-turnover ratio. A&M offense moves the ball very well, but will find those passing lanes impacted by the ‘length’ of the Kentucky defense. Both teams playing their third game in as many days and fatigue will be a factor leading to many shots that just don’t have the legs behind them. Take the ‘UNDER’

50* graded play ‘OVER” Kansas-Oklahoma State in BIG-12 Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 150 points will be scored in this game. I also have a 25* graded play on Oklahoma State so this offers up a very rare wagering opportunity. Always remember, you must be all about discipline and not for one second believing money has been won before it is even wagered at the window. Do not wager more than you have to lose. This should all be about fun, a little excitement, learning, and making a little more cabbage over time. For this play consider making a Reverse Parlay for a 7* amount using Oklahoma State and ‘OVER’ So, 50* amount on the ‘over’, 25* amount Ok State, and optional 7* reverse parlay wager.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 66-31 mark good for 68% winners since 1997. Play ‘over’ with home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (KANSAS) revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season. Supporting the cowboys is a system that has gone 49-17 ATS for 74% winners since 1997. Play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (KANSAS) after 3 or more consecutive ‘unders’, an explosive offensive team scoring >=76 PPG against an average offensive team scoring 67 to 74 PPG after 15+ games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Ok State is a solid 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 56-30 OVER (+23.0 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; 26-3 OVER (+22.7 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Kansas is a solid 14-1 OVER (+12.9 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) in home games when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points  Kansas is one of the best and most efficient scoring offenses in the nation. They rank 19th scoring 81 PPG, 20th in effective FG percentage, 7th in 3-point shooting, 17th in overall shooting efficiency. As a result, this game will be faster paced and will give Ok State solid chances to score in transition as well. Kansas players know they are the better team and know they simply need to score above their season average and make a push toward 100 points. However, this offensive focus, leads to diminished defensive presence and will allow Ok State to keep it close.

25* graded play on ‘UNDER’ in the NCAA Hardwood showdown between Louisville and Kentucky set to start at 12:00 PM ET ST.  SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 135 points will be scored in this game. Neither team is projected to get 70 points and there is a 65% probability that both teams score 65 or fewer. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. This play is a ‘total’ so you need access to the ‘adjusted lines’, which have grown in popularity this season. So, if you are able yo get those adjusted lines ALWAYS look to the dog line as it makes no sense from a ROI point to risk greater vig on a higher total line. So, you may see 130/132 for the adjust ‘under’ and a return of +200/+200. Wager a 21* play ‘under’ using the posted total and then add a 4* play using the adjusted total. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Louisville is a very good team and have outscored their opponents by 30 PPG so far this season. However, this is by far the best opponent they have faced to date. Louisville ranks second in the nation in scoring defense. Kentucky is a solid 16-5 UNDER (+10.5 Units) in home games facing elite defensive teams allowing