11-05-16 |
East Carolina v. Tulsa -8 |
Top |
24-45 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 2 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week
Relentless Tulsa superb of late. Six wins (43+ points in all 6), with 362 rushing yards (Flanders: 249, 5 TDs), in last weeks romp over Memphis. Pirate QB Nelson at 297 passing yards per game, but ECU not hosting UConn this week.
|
11-05-16 |
Virginia +3 v. Wake Forest |
Top |
20-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
66 h 56 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Three straight losses for Virginia, but not until final 0:13 vs Louisvile. So Virginia now on 10-2-1 ATS run, while the underdog is 16-4-1. Just 1 Wake TD in last L2 games. They can't run (#120) so 4-0 start history.
|
11-05-16 |
Vanderbilt v. Auburn -25.5 |
Top |
16-23 |
Loss |
-106 |
63 h 8 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Vanderbilt has flexed defensive muscles more than a few times, but not vs this oncoming train, that has 192-53 point edge their L4 games (+89 points ATS), with 1,488-345 rushing yard edge (Pettway: 236 yards last week, and 123+ in 5-of-6). Vandy has posted
|
11-01-16 |
Western Michigan -17.5 v. Ball State |
Top |
52-20 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 55 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day The perfect Broncos impressive enough to rank as #20 in this week's national polls. They are led by Sr QB Terrell, who ranks 4th in the land in passing efficiency with 1,995 passing yards, with a 72% completion rates and 20 touchdowns with only 1 interception, Jr RB Franklin, who ranks 7th in rushing: (909 rushing yards per game), and Sr WR Davis, who comes in at 20th (92.4 receiving yards per game). Terrell has burned the Cards for 617 passing yards the past 2 years, and Western Michigan has 179-71 point edge in its last 4 games. Ball State counters with RB Gilbert (538 rushing yards the last 3 weeks), but that is not enough.
|
10-29-16 |
Auburn -4 v. Ole Miss |
Top |
40-29 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 51 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Well, I liked the Tigers a hole lot last week thinking that they would rout Arkansas , but I never stepped out. A 42½ point cover, with a 543-25 rushing yard edge. Now a 1,181-240 rushing yard edge in their last 3 games. Mississippi was at 42 points per game, before 21 at Lsu, as 10-0 lead turned into 38-21 loss. Just 133 rushing yards per game the last 2 weeks. Kelly: 308 passing yards. this choice is not any knee-jerk reaction to last week. The fact is that the War Eagles are once more among the elites, losing early to just #3 Clemson and #9 Texas A&M.
|
10-29-16 |
Boise State -13.5 v. Wyoming |
Top |
28-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
100 h 28 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Broncos blew most of a 25-point lead over Colorado State and a 14-0 lead over Byu. But still a 571-322 yard edge over the Cougars. Rypien and McNichols: 295 passing yards per game and 131 rushing yards per game. Cowboys +50 points ATS L3, and Hill in off 289 rushing yards (10.0 yards per rush) vs Nevada. But stepping up in class in this one.
|
10-29-16 |
Baylor v. Texas +3 |
Top |
34-35 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week Four losses for Texas this year, with 3 coming by just 7, 5, 3 points. Nicely balanced offense, with Foreman's 146 rushing yards per game ranking 2nd in the land, and Buechele has 13 touchdowns with 5 interceptions. The home team is now 6-0 ATS in Steer contests, which matches a 5-0 ATS home run in Baylor games. Baylor is a perfect 6-0, but I am calling a mild upset
|
10-27-16 |
Virginia Tech -4.5 v. Pittsburgh |
Top |
39-36 |
Loss |
-105 |
53 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Prime Time Game of the Week Panthers come in rested off taking Virginia, on 93-yard KO and 59-yard INT return for touchdowns. Pitt ranks 7th in rushing defense, but Virginia Tech is 10th in that column, and 10th in total defense. A 174-36 point edge in 4-of-5 Virginia Tech games (Syracuse), with a +115 point ATS edge. Also take note QB Evans has 19 touchdowns with only 2 interceptions.
|
10-22-16 |
Oregon State v. Washington -36.5 |
Top |
17-41 |
Loss |
-115 |
93 h 22 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week Not only do the Huskies own this series, but are at +219 points ATS in L18 lined games, while posting a 257-82 point margin for the season, and an incredible 114-27 point edge in their L2 games (+75 points ATS) vs likes of Stanford and Oregon. Hopeful Beavers improved, but only serves as focus.
|
10-22-16 |
Texas A&M v. Alabama -18.5 |
Top |
14-33 |
Win
|
100 |
90 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week The 'Tide has been installed as 17-point or less favorite 4 times this year, responding with 52, 48, 49, 49 points. So why not another, despite Aggies ranking 16th in scoring and 8th in total offense? Last week, Alabama held Tennessee and its 437 yards per game offense to 143 yards in 26-point cover
|
10-15-16 |
UCLA v. Washington State -5.5 |
Top |
21-27 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week The Cougars for real. They come into this contest with 1,109 yards, a 93-49 point edge, and +53 points ATS in the past 2 weeks vs Oregon and Stanford. Falk has 370 passing yards per game with 16 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions. Bruins' Rosen has 750 passing yards in the L2 weeks, but can't run (1 rushing yard vs Arizona State). Washington State 13-1 ATS along with being +43 points their L2 home games
|
10-15-16 |
Bowling Green v. Toledo -31 |
Top |
35-42 |
Loss |
-106 |
68 h 52 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week The Rockets come into this one at +164 points ATS in their L19 games (15-3-1), with rout of Eastern Michigan cushioning 55-53 loss at Byu. Late Falcon cover last week, but still a 311-110 point deficit in their L6 lined games. This one is going to be over early
|
10-15-16 |
Western Kentucky +3 v. Middle Tennessee State |
Top |
44-43 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 35 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Conference Play of the Day The Raiders have but a single loss, a 47-24 setback at 2-4 Vanderbilt, while Western Kentucky stands at 3-3, losing in OT to Vanderbilt, and by 2 points in last week's 55-53 final at Louisiana Tech (trailed 49-24). So competitive vs all but 1 opponent: Alabama. Beat Middle Tennessee by 30 points last year
|
10-08-16 |
California -12.5 v. Oregon State |
Top |
44-47 |
Loss |
-118 |
96 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week Bears sure didn't lose much with Webb for Goff, as he now has 5 straight 4-TD games, and at 429 passing yards per game with 22 touchdowns and only 6 interceptions. Last year, Cal posted 36 first downs and 760 yards in 30-point win over the Beavers. So, with Oregon Stat now allowing 40 points per game in its L13 lined games, and on 5-18 ATS run, I'll call for a repeat.
|
10-08-16 |
Washington -8 v. Oregon |
Top |
70-21 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 30 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day Huge line move following last weeks results, which saw Washington hold 214-29 rushing yard edge over Stanford (0.9 yards per rush). Multiple Browning TD passes in every game. A 187-61 point edge so far. Three straight OU losses ('07). Seeking a defense (46 points per game in Pac12), and -46 points ATS in L3 home game.
|
10-08-16 |
Oklahoma v. Texas +10.5 |
Top |
45-40 |
Win
|
100 |
87 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week Can be no questioning the vast improvement of Long Horns, who are now at 261 rushing yards, 256 passing yards per game (329 rushing yards, 239 passing yards at Oklahoma State (killed by the big play). Texas is +64½ points ATS L3 versus Oklahoma, who shook demons with 1st cover in last weeks 52-46 win at Tcu. Still -68½ points ATS L5 games.
|
10-01-16 |
Louisville -2 v. Clemson |
Top |
36-42 |
Loss |
-106 |
74 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit ACC Play of the Day
You won't find another game this season that means so much. Louisville's mercurial QB Jackson: 1,451 yards, 17 touchdowns in the last 3 weeks. Plus a 254-90 point edge this year (+84 points ATS). Clemson proved worth with 82-52 play, 318 yard edge in rout of Georgia Tech. Watson: 304 passing yards. However, I am sticking with the Cards in this one.
|
10-01-16 |
Texas A&M -17.5 v. South Carolina |
Top |
24-13 |
Loss |
-106 |
70 h 44 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week All South Carolina games are close to spot, but they had just 91 rushing yards versus Kentucky's 254 rushing yard per game defense last week (#124, #127, #124 in run scoring, total offense). Texas A&M comes into this one cooking: 29-9 and 38-7 windups versus Auburn & Arkansas (Knight: 407 yards last week).
|
10-01-16 |
Miami (Fla) -7 v. Georgia Tech |
Top |
35-21 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 0 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Conference Game of the Week
Yellow Jackets came from 511 yards versus Vanderbilt to just 124 versus Clemson, with QB Thomas minus 25 yards on 10 rushes. Now on 2-9-1 ATS slide. The visitor is 11-4-1 ATS in Miami contests, and with them rested off 45-10 point, 549-241 yard edge at Appalacian State QB Kaaya 21-of-27 and 368 yards in that one.
|
09-24-16 |
Louisville -25 v. Marshall |
Top |
59-28 |
Win
|
100 |
107 h 36 m |
Show
|
Rating: 5 Unit NCAAF Game of the Month I don't know if there are any questions on this one! Try a 195-62 point edge for Cards so far (+81 points ATS), with Jackson at 972 yards and 10 touchdowns the L2 weeks (led Florida State 63-10). Simply amazing. Marshall in off just 2nd home loss in L23 games, but it was something else: 44½ point ATS loss, despite 413 passing yards from Litton. No doubt about this one!
|
09-24-16 |
Stanford -3 v. UCLA |
Top |
22-13 |
Win
|
100 |
107 h 32 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC - 12 Game of the Week Just a 50-yard edge for Cards over Southern California, but a 27-10 win, behind McCaffrey's 165 rushing yards and 56-yard TD catch. Now +138 points ATS in their last 20 games. Just 125 and 50 rushing yards for Ucla versus only 2 legitimate opponents, so this will depend almost entirely on Rosen, who ranks 73rd in passing efficiency. And the Bruins have been lit up for 30+ points 8 times since last year. This is a very reasonable number.
|
09-24-16 |
Central Florida -6.5 v. Florida International |
Top |
53-14 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 20 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day
Vastly improved Knights took Maryland into OT, despite 4-0 turn over deficit. Nicely balanced 455 yards in that one. FIU owns 211-47 point deficit in their L5 lined games, and QB Holman hurting. Give up the points
|
09-17-16 |
Troy v. Southern Miss -10.5 |
Top |
37-31 |
Loss |
-104 |
103 h 29 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Mismatch of the Week
Trojans showed their mettle in tight loss to Clemson (29-point cover, only 28-yard deficit). But Eagles have an 83-0 point edge in their L6 quarters, and are 10-2 ATS. QB Mullens, RB Smith, etc, etc
|
09-17-16 |
Alabama -10 v. Ole Miss |
Top |
48-43 |
Loss |
-106 |
99 h 27 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Oh, how Alabama wants this one, after 2 straight losses to Mississippi, with last years 5 turn overs the key. Kelly bombed 'Tide for 3 long TD passes last year, but Ole Miss was manhandled in 2nd half by Florida State. Visitor is 10-1 ATS in Alabama games, so site not a problem. Revenge rears its head here.
|
09-17-16 |
San Diego State -10.5 v. Northern Illinois |
Top |
42-28 |
Win
|
100 |
99 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Aztecs lost cover versus Cal in final 0:56, despite another splendid showing by Pumphrey who had 281 rushing yards (#1 rusher in land). Now +168 points ATS last 11 lined games, with a 135-38 point edge in L3 road games. NIU has 177-71 point deficit their L4 games, as well as a 536-290 rushing yard deficit this year.
|
09-10-16 |
Texas Tech +3 v. Arizona State |
Top |
55-68 |
Loss |
-106 |
99 h 28 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Inter-Conference Game of the Week
Both teams are off to routs of horrible teams, with the Raiders in their usual passing display with 633 passing yards (Mahomes had 483 yards with 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. The Sun Devils in 34-10 2nd half edge for their wipe out, but return only 4 offensive starters. The did get 180 passing yards and 89 rushing yards from Wilkins, but they are allowing 369 passing yards. Texas Tech can't wait for this one.
|
09-10-16 |
Virginia Tech +11.5 v. Tennessee |
Top |
24-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
98 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Vols were tied for 8th in the land in the "Polls" column, after winding up 2015 with a 35 points per game average, and 9 returning offensive starters. But they needed a 67-yard Dobbs TD pass to extend Appalachian State into OT (20-13 win), with only 127 rushing yards. Beamer-less Tech overcame 4 lost fumbles for rout of Liberty, allowing just 1 offensive TD. Hokies as a double digit dog is definitely the play.
|
09-10-16 |
Georgia Southern -13 v. South Alabama |
Top |
24-9 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 36 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week It was a huge comeback win for Jags at Mississippi State last week, overcoming a 20-7 deficit in the 4th, behind QB Davis and RB Thomas. But they had a 239-94 rushing yard deficit in the game. That in itself spells big trouble versus and unstoppable Georgia Southern running game that has been #1 in the nation the L2 years. Last week in their opener they had 420 rushing yards along with 34 first downs.
|
09-03-16 |
Clemson -7 v. Auburn |
Top |
19-13 |
Loss |
-111 |
118 h 59 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Inter-Conference Game of the Week A premier matchup the first week of the NCAAF season, despite Eagles failing to get a single preseason vote, while Clemson is once again figured as one of the Top 2 teams in the nation. As Watson is under center for Clemson, there is only 1 way to go. Now +115 points ATS in last 15 games, and on 27-4 SU run. Auburn still respectable, but outgained only 4 opponents last year
|
09-03-16 |
Southern Miss +7 v. Kentucky |
Top |
44-35 |
Win
|
100 |
116 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Can the hapless 'Cats finally turn the corner? Have been whipping boys since '10, but their faithful have hopes of a resurgence, behind 9 returning offensive starters, although that defense is, as always, cause for concern. I rode the Eagles, with much success, last year, including a 167-44 point edge in their L3 regular season road games. Chalk inviting 9-0 in UK games, but not here
|
09-03-16 |
Boise State -20 v. UL-Lafayette |
Top |
45-10 |
Win
|
100 |
109 h 37 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Quite a comedown for Broncos, despite last year's 9-4 mark, as they were -107½ points ATS in L6 regular season games, before routs in final 2 outings (38½ bowl cover). UL-La lost L2 home games by 46 points ATS, and came from 8-1 line skein to current 2-7-1 ATS mark. No offense or defense to compete
|
01-02-16 |
Kansas State v. Arkansas -12.5 |
Top |
23-45 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 1 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Bowl Game of the Day This years Kansas State team is not Snyder's most dominant edition, outplaying only 1-of-9 conference opponentss (0-12 Kansas). QB Hubener is just 9 touchdowns with 9 interceptions and 47.8%, and cannot ignore Kansas State's #109 and #101 offense an defense rankings. Also, a 226-139 point deficit in its L6 games, and 2-10 ATS bowl record. It's another matter for the Hogs, who've had stat edges in 9-of-12 games, and that includes bowl-bound Toledo, TexA&M, Tennessee, Auburn, Ole Miss, and Lsu. QB Allen (3,125 yards, 65.1%, 29 touchdowns with 7 interceptions) leads the SEC in touchdown passes, yards per attempt (9.08), and total QB rating (87.2). RB Collins ranks 16th in the land with 1,392 yards, 17 touchdowns. Thus, a balanced attack that was held in check just once. Guess who? Right, Alabama. And the Wildcats are no Crimson Tide. Obviously, I always respect Snyder in the dog role, but allowing 31+ points 7 times in an 8-game stretch this year hardly a hopeful sign. And UA (-7) took Texas, 31-7, in last year's Texas Bowl.
|
01-01-16 |
Florida v. Michigan -4 |
Top |
7-41 |
Win
|
101 |
26 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 5 Unit NCAAF Bowl Game of the Year What a start Michigan made, opening at 5-1, with a 160-14 point edge when they entertained Michigan State, holding a 23-21 lead in the closing seconds only to botch a punt, which was returned for a touchdown after the clock ran out. But then 4 straight wins, before wipe out 42-13 finale loss Ohio State (369-57 rushing yard deficit). Improved, but vulnerable. Offense revolves around QB Rudock (2,739 yards, 64%, 17 touchdowns and 9 interceptions), as UM ranks 97th in rushing. But try nation's 4th-ranked defense though. Thus, the Gators, and their 109th ranked offense should definitely feel the heat. Florida has also welcomed new head coaching (McElwain from Colorado State), with a 10-3 log the result, although it has been the takeaway that has been the major contributor (4 in upset of OleMiss, 5 in rout of Georgia). In their SEC title match with Alabama (29-15 loss), the Gators were on the short end of 25-7, 233-15 rushing yard, 437-180 rushing yard margins (touchdowns on 85-yard punt return and 46-yard pass). At least Michigan can move it. In addition, Michigan is 5-1 ATS in their last six after an ATS loss. 5-1 ATS in their last six after a straight up loss. 9-3 ATS in their last 12 after giving up more than 200 yards on the ground.
|
01-01-16 |
Tennessee -8 v. Northwestern |
Top |
45-6 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 32 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Bowl Game of the Day Since 2004, the Vols have posted just 5 winning campaigns, including a pair of 7-6 years. That is, until this season, when they took full advantage of no less than 18 starters (10 offensively), although it hardly seemed the case, as they opened at 3-4, with tough losses to Alabama, Oklahoma, Florida, and Arkansas (combined 40-10), after leading or tied in the 4th quarter in each. However, note turning a 21-point deficit to Georgia, into a 38-31 win, along with a 5-game SU run to wind it all up, including that 53-point outburst versus a Vandy team which had allowed just 21 points per game in its first 11 games. QB Dobbs is their key, although he finished 68th in pass efficiency (2,125 yards, 60%, 15 touchdown and 5 interceptions). However, he led the SEC in QB rushing yards (9 touchdowns).
|
12-31-15 |
Oklahoma -3.5 v. Clemson |
Top |
17-37 |
Loss |
-108 |
27 h 51 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Bowl Game of the Day For the Sooners, high hopes abounded, as they got off to a 4-0 start, averaging 42 points per game, but were dashed in a dispirited 24-17 loss to eventual 5-7 Texas, including a 313-67 rushing yard deficit. However, that's when they took stock and streamed to their current 7-0 SU run (6-1 ATS), by an average score of 52-19. They are led by QB Mayfield (#2 in pass efficiency, 3,389 yards, 68.6%, 35 touchdowns with only 5 interceptions), RB Perine (1,291 yards, 6.1 yards per rush, with 15 touchdowns), and WR Shepard (1,201 yards, 15.2 yards per catch, 11 touchdowns). Not quite like last year, when the Sooners quarterbacking was shaky. Sooners electrifying, and the Tigers just continue to win. Clemson couldn't stop North Carolina's Williams, so I am going for Mayfield and the Sooners. Oklahoma is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up
|
12-30-15 |
NC State v. Mississippi State -5 |
Top |
28-51 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Units This year appeared dismal for Mississippi State, until Prescott and his do-everything talent, opted to return for his Senior year. And he is once more extremely dangerous, as shown in Mississppi State's 51-50 win over Arkansas, in which he threw for 508 yards and 5 touchdowns, and ran for 46 yards and 2 touchdowns. By season's end he became only the 6th SEC player to account for at least 100 touchdowns. This year, he is at 284.4 passing yards per game, 67%, and 25 touchdowns with 4 interceptions, while leading the Bulldogs with 541 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. The Wolfpack of North Carolina State opened at 4-0, but those wins came versus teams with Power Ratings of 25, 27, 28, along with a non-lined outfit. Just 3 wins thereafter, against Wake Forest, Boston College, and Syracuse, teams with 3-9, 3-9, and 4-8 records. So nary a win over any sort of quality opponent, although they did stay with Clemson for a half, before inevitable 56-41 loss (623-389 yard deficit). QB Brissett is an efficient 61.3%, and solid 19 touchdowns with 4 interceptions, but the North Carolina State running game is a shambles with the loss of Dayes (6.5 yards per rush, 12 touchdowns), and Thornton. The Bulldogs with a totally different psyche from last year's bowl loss
|
12-27-15 |
Panthers -6.5 v. Falcons |
Top |
13-20 |
Loss |
-103 |
25 h 44 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week Quick revenge shot for Falcons, who were taken apart, 38-0, just 2 weeks ago, along with a 424-230 yard deficit. At least Atlanta save some face, by snapping 0-6 SU and 0-9 ATS slides (1st cover since Oct 4) in 23-17 win over Jags. Still -79 points ATS last 10 games, and 0-5 ATS in division play. Panther magic continues, although blowing 35-28 lead in 3rd was a bit scary. Cam simply superb: 5 touchdown passes in 3-of-5 tilts (19 in those 3). Now 18 straight regular season wins. Falcs 1-15 ATS as underdogs of greater than 3 points off 2 road games
|
12-27-15 |
Steelers -10 v. Ravens |
Top |
17-20 |
Loss |
-100 |
25 h 37 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day - It has all fallen apart for the Ravens, who got off to that horrid 0-3 and 1-6 start. At least they've been competitive at home, with first 5 games decided by 4 points or less SU. That is until the last 2 weeks, namely 35-6 and 34-14 losses to smoking Seahawks and Chiefs. First time in their 20-year history, that the Ravens have dropped 5 home games. And it hardly gets any easier, as Pittsburgh not only finished last weeks game with Denver on a 24-0 run, but has topped 29 points in its last 6 games. Ben is now at 337 passing yards per game. No stopping the Steelers now.
|
12-20-15 |
Cardinals -3.5 v. Eagles |
Top |
40-17 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 29 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day Seven straight wins for the Cards, who were saved when vet Freeney forced Minny fumble in final 0:05. No question that Arizona plays its best ball on the road (32-19 points per game edge), and not about to go into late swoon after last years disastrous finish (without Palmer, who is now at 4,003 yards and 31 touchdowns with only 9 interceptions). Eagles 6-2 SU when Bradford starts and finishes, but no Philly touchdowns in final 40:38 versus Buffalo. Kelly is 2-10 ATS off 2 wins, and 1-8 ATS versus the NFC West. And Eagles are 0-9 ATS off 2 SU/ATS wins versus non-division.
|
12-13-15 |
Falcons v. Panthers -7.5 |
Top |
0-38 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 31 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week The perfect Panthers stand at 12-0 SU this year, and 16-0 SU in regular season play, behind 2nd best defense in the league, and Newton's leadership (5 touchdowns with 1 interception last week and now 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions this year). Missed spread last week via pair of botched PATs and 2-point runback off failed 2-point try (497-334 yard edge) versus Saints. For Falcons, it all continues. Five straight losses (last 1:39 at Tampa), and now at 6-6 SU, after 5-0 start, and a horrid 0-8 ATS run (-58 points).
|
12-06-15 |
Panthers -6.5 v. Saints |
Top |
41-38 |
Loss |
-104 |
17 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rating: 5 Unit NFL Game of the Month Talk about opposite directions! The Saints are in off their 1st no-TD showing in 155 games, with Brees TDless for first time in 46 games. New Orleans on 0-3-1 ATS slide (-61½ points), and 6-12-1 ATS since '14. Panthers, of course, are perfect: 11-0 SU, 9-2 ATS TY, & 11-3 since last year, with their only misses by 3½, 3½, 2½ points. Have topped 26 points in their last 9 games, are +16 turn overs. That defebse is superb, while Cam and mates should feast on Saints horrid stop unit (NFL's worst). And Carolina 11-3 ATS as series visitor
|
12-06-15 |
Chiefs -3 v. Raiders |
Top |
34-20 |
Win
|
106 |
16 h 23 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week Talk about streaky. Chiefs came from 9-1 ATS run, to 3-9, to current 5-0 (+89 pts). Five straight wins, with 761 rushing yards, and a 14/0 turnover advantage. They have a 62-16 point edge in their 2 division road games so far, with vastly improved Raiders victim #3. The dog is 7-3 ATS in Oakland games, with the only misses by a mere 1½, 4, & 2 points. Carr's touchdown pass in final 1:21 versus Titans snapped 3-game Oakland slide, but note the Raiders losing their last home game by 19 points ATS. Chiefs 9-3 ATS as series guests
|
11-29-15 |
Vikings +1 v. Falcons |
Top |
20-10 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 46 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week Current Falcon futility continues. Opened at 4-0 (+42 points ATS), but just the reverse since, going 2-4 SU and 0-6 versus the points (-43½ pts). And Ryan, who has been remarkably steady, was responsible for 3 of Atlanta's 4 second half turnovers in blowing a pair of 14-point leads versus the Colts. The Vikings had their confidence shaken a bit with 30-13 loss to the Packers, but are still +44½ points ATS in their last 9 games. Minny is 7-1 ATS off a division game, and a superb 19-4 ATS versus non-division opponents. I'll grab this dog
|
11-29-15 |
Bucs +3 v. Colts |
Top |
12-25 |
Loss |
-115 |
24 h 30 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day Now that's what I call a statement. Tampa Bay QB Winston tied a rookie record with 5 touchdown passes in 45-17 rout of a decent Philly squad, with Martin contributing 235 rushing yards just for good measure. Indianapolis is going it without Luck, with Hasselbeck leading a 17-0 windup versus the Falcons. So a field goal favorite here. Well, the underdog has covered ALL TEN Colt games this season, and Tampa is 13-0 ATS as a road underdog off reaching 28+ points. Underdog call here!
|
11-28-15 |
North Carolina -5.5 v. NC State |
Top |
45-34 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week Ten straight wins for North Carolina +108½ points ATS in their last 8 games. They blew a 14-point lead in the final 3:00 at Virginia Tech, but won in overtime. NC State highly respectable 7-4 SU, but the fact is that they've played nobody (last 3 wins versus 3-8, 3-8, 3-8 squads). The favorite is 8-2 ATS in NC State games.
|
11-28-15 |
Alabama -13.5 v. Auburn |
Top |
29-13 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 40 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week "Iron Bowl". Tigers bowl eligible, but on a 2-12 ATS run. Note allowing 26 first downs and 479 yards to 3-8 Idaho, and ranking 87th on offense. Won't do much with 3rd-ranked Alabama defense, which has held 8-of-11 opponents under 18 points. And check Jones with 3 punt returns for touchdowns the past 2 games. Alabama in an easy one.
|
11-27-15 |
Navy -3 v. Houston |
Top |
31-52 |
Loss |
-112 |
40 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Bye-bye to perfect season for Houston, who came from 256 rushing yards per game to 110 in loss to U Conn. A bit gimpy at QB, but still 12th in rush defense. So Navy won't run on that unit, right? Wrong. Winner to AAC title game, and Navy at 348 rushing yards per game, behind Reynolds' leadership (418.5 per game last 4 games)
|
11-21-15 |
San Diego State -16 v. UNLV |
Top |
52-14 |
Win
|
100 |
77 h 49 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week The Aztecs are super hot. Six straight wins and covers (+118 points ATS), with Price and Pumphrey: 292 rushing yards versus Wyoming. Won't be contained by hopeful UNLV's 109th-rated defense. Add that to the fact that the visitor is 12-3 ATS in Vegas games
|
11-21-15 |
Old Dominion v. Southern Miss -21 |
Top |
31-56 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day The Eagles have a 175-43 point edge their last 4 games, and +103 points ATS this year. AB Mullens had 5 touchdowns with 0 interceptions last week and had 30 touchdowns with 7 interceptions this year. ODU a 296-167 point deficit in their last 9 games, ranking #101 and #103 in scoring and total defense.
|
11-21-15 |
Michigan v. Penn State +4 |
Top |
28-16 |
Loss |
-108 |
66 h 14 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week Michigan defensive mystique about vanished (27.5 points per game in their last 4). Needed all of Rudock's 440 passing yards and 6 touchdowns to take Indy in OT. Home team is 6-0 ATS in Penn State Big-10 games and the they covered their last home game by 35 points
|
11-15-15 |
Saints +1 v. Redskins |
Top |
14-47 |
Loss |
-101 |
22 h 56 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week Redskins in middle of Patriot, Saint, Panther, Giant run, so it doesn't get any easier for 3-5 outfit, which ranks 25th on offense. That 210-yard deficit at New England was fully expected in light of the unrelenting machine that the Pats represent. But note a 748-172 Redskin rushing yard deficit over their last 4 games. Ripe for the plucking. Saints in off OT loss, despite another 387 passing yards with 3 touchdowns and 1 interceptions from Drew who now has 898 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and 2 interceptions the past 2 weeks. They have amassed 66 first downs in those 2 games. Blowouts have become a near norm for the Redskins. They’ve lost 10 games by 17 or more points during the last two and one-half seasons. Historically November is a brutal month for Washington. The Redskins have dropped 20 of their last 27 games during the month, including going 0-4 last November.
|
11-08-15 |
Broncos -5 v. Colts |
Top |
24-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
28 h 36 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Play of the Day Peyton Manning returns to his former home once again. What a defense the Broncos displayed in rout of splendid Packers, with a 500-140 yd edge, neutralizing Rodgers, in the process. Now at 7-0 for the 1st time since '98, when they upset the Packers in the SuperBowl. Catching Colts off their Monday Nighter with Carolina is a definite plus, as is the revenge motive for last years 24-13 home playoff loss to Inddianapolit. the Underdog is 7-0 ATS in Colt games this year and Andrew is 2-0 versus Peyton. But Denver is 6-0 ATS off a SU underdog win, while Indy is 1-10 ATS at home versus a non-division opponent who is off a SU and ATS win.
|
11-07-15 |
California +4.5 v. Oregon |
Top |
28-44 |
Loss |
-106 |
99 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week Miraculous overtime win for Oregon last week, giving up 37 first downs and 742 yards. They are -62½ points ATS this year, and rank 84th, 125th, 117th, 115th in run, pass, scoring, total defense. Th Underdog is 13-4-1 ATS in California games. I call the upset here.
|
11-07-15 |
Utah v. Washington -1 |
Top |
34-23 |
Loss |
-108 |
96 h 6 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Return of QB Browning paid instant dividends for the Huskies (263 passing yards with 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions), in 41-point cover versus Arizona. Washington is now +94 points ATS in their L8 lined games. Just 60-yard edge for Utah in 11-point ATS loss versus Oregon State. Rank 75th on offense, with QB Wilson only with 10 touchdowns with 7 interceptions for the season. Plus they lost their last road game 42-24.
|
11-01-15 |
Cardinals -5.5 v. Browns |
Top |
34-20 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 50 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week A week ago, I gave a couple of solid reasons for backing the Browns over the Rams, such as Cleveland with an 11-3 ATS record as an underdog, as well as 10-1 ATS off a loss. Well, four lost fumbles put those stats into the trash bin. Still, the dog is 12-3-1 ATS in Cleveland games, and the Browns are 9-0 ATS as non-division home dogs. And try 6-0 ATS off scoring less than 14 points. But the Cards have a 34-22 points per game edge away this year, and are 7-0 ATS versus an opponent off a double digit SU loss. All things considered, Card call.
|
10-31-15 |
Michigan -14 v. Minnesota |
Top |
29-26 |
Loss |
-103 |
95 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week It was a good time for Michigan's bye week, off that incredible loss to Michigan State. Harbaugh won't let them stay down. A 183-41 point edge in their last 6 games. Minnesota was also off last week. However, they have just one cover since thei opener, and lost their last underdog role by 23 points ATS. Michigan gets revenge for last year.
|
10-31-15 |
Clemson -10 v. NC State |
Top |
56-41 |
Win
|
100 |
91 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week A resounding 58 point shutout win at Miami for perfect Tigers (567-146 yard edge). Now +125½ points ATS their L8 games. NC State in off 4 touchdowns of 57 or more yards and 322 yards in the 1st quarter of 35-17 win versus Wake. Days: 205 rushing yards (12.8 yards per rush). But they just aren't up to this task
|
10-25-15 |
NY Jets v. New England Patriots -7.5 |
Top |
23-30 |
Loss |
-104 |
16 h 29 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week Well, what do you know? He's human after all. The initial interception (pick-six) for Brady in win over Indy (not by enough: Colt touchown in final 1:19), so he is now only 14 touchdowns with 1 interception for the season (71%). The Jets just continue to do it, now standing at 4-1, both SU & ATS, with the SU winner covering New York games by 17½, 20, 9, 11½, & 7½ points. So why not another? Home team is 29-8 ATS in Pat games, and New England is at 36.4 points per game in their last 8 games. Jets +39½ points ATS on road this year, but Pats are 8-0 ATS at home versus opponents who are off 2 wins
|
10-24-15 |
Washington v. Stanford -19 |
Top |
14-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
33 h 60 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Pac-12 Game of the Week Stanford comes into this one on a 7-1 ATS run of late, (+82 points), with a 949-410 rushing yard edge in their L3 games (McCaffery: 605, including 243 and 4 touchdowns versus Ucla). The Huskies in off 385-338 yard edge versus Oregon, but a 26-20 loss (RB Gaskin: 155 yards). But Washington ranks 112th and 100th in rushing and total offense.
|
10-19-15 |
NY Giants +4 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
Top |
7-27 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 46 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Game of the Month - Eagles finally came alive in the 39-17 throttling of the Saints, who are in search of anything that will come to their aid. No, those 34 first downs, 186 rushing yards, and 519 total yards (Bradford: 333 passing yards, and now has 8 touchdowns with 6 interceptions) aren't to be dismissed, but consider the opponent. That snapped a 9-0 ATS dog run in Philly games. And the pup is 8-2-1 ATS in the Giants' last 11 games, as well. Three straight wins for New York, but no cover versus the Niners, despite 30 first downs and 525 yards. Eli a superb 41-of-54 with 3 touchdowns and only 1 interception in that one, and is a respectable 10 touchdowns wih 2 interceptions for the season, which hasn't been the case, recently.
|
10-18-15 |
New England Patriots -8 v. Indianapolis Colts |
Top |
34-27 |
Loss |
-108 |
23 h 3 m |
Show
|
Rating 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week After facing the likes of Tyrod Taylor, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Marcus Mariota, Blake Bortles and Ryan Mallet, the Colts step way up in quarterbacks drawing Tom Brady and the NFL’s top offense. New England is averaging 37.2 points per game while leading the NFL in total yards and passing yards. Indianapolis is 21-7-1 ATS in its last 29 home games. That record is trumped by New England’s dominance of the Colts during the Chuck Pagano era. The Patriots are 4-0 SU and ATS versus the Colts in the last three years – and that’s against Andrew Luck. The Patriots have buried the Colts during this span winning 59-24, 43-22, 42-20 and 45-7. That comes out to average victory of 29 points.
|
10-17-15 |
Michigan State v. Michigan -8 |
Top |
27-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
70 h 30 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week The Wolves are a true force. First FBS team with 3 straight shutout wins in 20 years, with a 160-14 point edge in their last 4 games, ranking #2, #2, #1, #2 in run, pass, scoring and total defense. Spartans are 6-0 SU, but -45½ points ATS. They had the #8 defense last year but are 56th this year. The Spartans failed to cover the spot in any of their first six starts. They were out-yarded by Oregon, Air Force, and Central Michigan and were hard-pressed to dismiss disheveled Rutgers.
|
10-17-15 |
West Virginia v. Baylor -21 |
Top |
38-62 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 50 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week The Mountaineers have surrendered 17 sacks. To date, no one has figured out how to slow down the Baylor attack. Baylor is on pace to lead the nation in total offense for the third straight year; this after finishing #2 in 2011 and 2012. And their best players, OL Spencer Drango and DE Shawn Oakman – surefire first round draft picks – work in the trenches. The Bears have won 18 straight in Waco. WVU’s best player, DB Karl Joseph, has been lost for the season. The Mountaineers have won only 11 of their last 29 league games.
|
10-11-15 |
Arizona Cardinals -2.5 v. Detroit Lions |
Top |
42-17 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 16 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day The Cardinals defeated the Lions with Drew Stanton at quarterback last season, 14-6. Arizona is much more potent this season with a healthy Carson Palmer averaging 37 points per contest. Arizona had covered its past eight games with Palmer as a starter until last Sunday’s loss to the Rams when the Cardinals had to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns during many trips inside the Red Zone. Matthew Stafford entered Week 4 having thrown the most interceptions in the NFC. A short week after playing the physical Seahawks on Monday doesn’t leave the Lions in a great spot either physically or mentally.
|
10-10-15 |
Iowa State v. Texas Tech -11.5 |
Top |
31-66 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit BIG-12 Game of the Week After facing Tcu and Baylor (118-88 point deficit), the Raiders will feel like a runner with weights removed. Mahomes at 367 passing yard per game, but no run defense for Tech. Iowa State's in off most lopsided win in 2 years. But even after all that, it won't happen hear! Tech primed to unload on Cyclones for a big win.
|
10-03-15 |
Alabama +2.5 v. Georgia |
Top |
38-10 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit SEC Play of the Day This is the first underdog role for Alabama since the '09 SEC title game where they beat Florida 32-13. Alabama ranks just 37th on offense, but 4th and 12th in run and total defense. Georgia comes in off a 318-yard edge over South Carolina, with another 3 touchdowns from Chubb who has 100+ yards in 12 straight games. Georgia is formidable, but Alabama excels in this setup.
|
10-03-15 |
Michigan -16 v. Maryland |
Top |
28-0 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 12 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit BIG-10 Game of the Week Michigan comes into this one owning a 94-14 point edge in their last 3 games (24½ point cover versus BYU), with a 733-201 rushing yard edge. Maryland was exposed by West Virginia, and just out of their league versus the BIG-10 upper echelon teams. It's the first road game since 9/3 for Michigan, but own the 2nd best defense in the nation. No contest in this one.
|
09-27-15 |
Buffalo Bills +3 v. Miami Dolphins |
Top |
41-14 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 21 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day The Bills have a 307-120 rushing yard edge this year, while the Dolphins have a 284-116 rushing yard deficit. And Miami is a 3 point favorite? As per usual, Buffalo couldn't stay with the Patriots, despite an overly hyped crowd, as a quick 7-0 lead melted into a 37-13 deficit. But Taylor was 23-of-30 (76.7%) for 242 yards, but he had 3 touchdowns with 3 interceptions and now has 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions for the season. Tannehill comes in with 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions while completing 67% so far, but that rushing yard edge for Buffalo cannot overlooked. The Bills won, 29-10, here a year ago.
|
09-26-15 |
Mississippi State +2.5 v. Auburn |
Top |
17-9 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Tigers were never in the LSU game going down 24-0 at the half, with a 411-160 rushing yard deficit. QB Johnson their only offense? They are Now 1-8 ATS in SEC play. Bulldogs and Prescott 5 touchdowns a 0 interceptions this year picking up where they left off in '14, and the dog is 8-1 ATS in Mississippi State contests. The wrong team is favored in this one
|
09-20-15 |
Seattle Seahawks v. Green Bay Packers -3 |
Top |
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 53 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit SNF Smoker Rodgers has a tremendously balanced offense with Eddie Lacy and Randall Cobb. Picking up veteran James Jones, a wide receiver Rodgers is comfortable with, was a huge plus. Seattle’s defense isn’t as dominant on the road and currently is minus holdout star safety Kam Chancellor. Seattle is far from intimidating away from CenturyLink Field. The Seahawks are 2-9 SU and ATS during their last 11 September road games. Marshawn Lynch hasn’t been as effective on the road and he’s running behind a mediocre-at-best offensive line that when the shuffling finally stopped starts two players who went undrafted and one who was taken in the seventh round of the draft. This has Green Bay’s written all over it.
|
09-20-15 |
Dallas Cowboys +5 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
Top |
20-10 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 49 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NFC Game of the Day The Cowboys have a veteran, productive, high-percentage in passer in Tony Romo as an underdog against the Sam Bradford-led Eagles, who are all about “potential.” Bradford, a 58.2% career completion percentage person, has played all of one real game for Philly. It wasn’t pretty, and although there is potential to improve, potential at -5 is a tightrope walk. The Eagles could not run DeMarco Murray much on Monday Night because of the scoreboard situation. The situation was that they were trailing by 17 points at halftime. A lot of people assume that when they start 0-0 here, Murray will make the Cowboys suffer for letting him go to Philadelphia in free agency. But he’s no lock to run as well as he did behind the Eagles line as he did behind the Dallas line. Different blocking schemes. And the Cowboys know how to make him fumble.
|
09-19-15 |
Ole Miss v. Alabama -6 |
Top |
43-37 |
Loss |
-115 |
104 h 55 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Rebel QB race is over with Kelly tossing for 346 yards and 4 touchdowns versus Fresno, in 73-21 balanced romp (22-point cover). Just 1 offensive touchdown for 'Tide in last years loss to Ole Miss, so you know Alabama will be more than ready. Super balance, behind Coke and Henry, and they held Wisconsin to 40 rushing yards. In addition, This is a big revenge game for the Tide who are 8/2 SU and 7-3 ATS with revenge under Nick Saban
|
09-19-15 |
East Carolina v. Navy -3.5 |
Top |
21-45 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week After a strong performance versus Towson on Week 1, ECU’s top ball-carrier, Chris Hairston, had only 15 yards on 17 carries versus Florida. This is the biggest Navy team ever. The five projected starting OL average 288 pounds. The three fullbacks range from 245 to 255. The top WR, Jamir Tillman, stands 6’4”. The QB, Keenan Reynolds, belongs in the Heisman conversation. Reynolds is on course to set the NCAA career mark for rushing touchdowns. ECU gave a spirited effort in Gainesville in a futile quest to avenge last year’s bowl loss. Navy opened with Colgate and was idle last week. The Midshipmen are an easy call.
|
09-13-15 |
Seattle Seahawks -4 v. St Louis Rams |
Top |
31-34 |
Loss |
-100 |
42 h 27 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day Last year, when the Seahawks played on this field, the Rams (+6½) pulled the 28-26 upset, thanks, in part, to a successful faked punt late in the game. So you know that Seattle who is 47-20-1 ATS lately will be more than prepared. Still one of the best teams in the NFL, especially with that impregnable defense. The addition of TE Graham from New Orleans gives QB Wilson another key option. Rams swapped Bradford for Foles, but their offensive line is still a problem, with the use of rookies needed, so that will take some time. St Louis lost its last home game by 16½ points ATS, and now face determined Seahawks team.
|
09-12-15 |
Oregon v. Michigan State -3.5 |
Top |
28-31 |
Loss |
-106 |
80 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Inter-Conference Game of the Week Last week I was on Michigan State and it appears that they were looking to this game versus Oregon. As a result they produced a non-cover win at Western Michigan when they led 34-10 late in 3rd quarter. In that game the Spartans allowed an unthinkable 365 Passing yards, so new Duck QB Adams (19-of-25 last week) could be trouble, and note 485 rushing yards (Freeman: 180). But Michigan State is +164 points ATS in their last 20 games, and are hungry this one.
|
09-12-15 |
Oklahoma v. Tennessee |
Top |
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
78 h 31 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day These 2 were placed 21st & 22nd in our "Polls" column, and have responded accordingly. Oklahoma's Mayfield had 388 passing yards and 3 touchdowns in new Air Raid Offense (439-88 passing yard edge versus Akron), under new offensive coach Riley. The Tennessee Vols turned in 29 first downs, 399 rushing yards, and 604 total yards in rout of Bowling Green, but check 433 passing yards. It will be a shootout with Okie taking it at the end.
|
09-07-15 |
Ohio State -11 v. Virginia Tech |
Top |
42-24 |
Win
|
100 |
141 h 1 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Units The Hokies are always a premier dog, and are especially primed for this one, after doing a number on the national champs last year. However, this Buckeye team has no weaknesses, as they were >41 points 11 times last year, and +106½ points ATS in their last 3 games. You can forget the fact that the dog is 7-0 ATS in OSU games. Elliott is unstoppable, as are all QBs. A huge revenge call here.
|
09-05-15 |
Texas +10 v. Notre Dame |
Top |
3-38 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Units NCAAF Play of the Day Notre Dame won its first six games last season before Everett Golson’s turnover problems at quarterback helped lead to a 2-5 finish. Golson is gone after a transfer to Florida State and Malik Zaire, who started a win over LSU in the Music City Bowl last season, will take over under center. Zaire will get a stiff test in the opener from Texas, which had its problems on offense last season under first-year coach Charlie Strong, but was stout defensively and held opposing quarterbacks to an average of 184.2 yards passing. The Irish are just 11-11 ATS.
|
09-03-15 |
Oklahoma State -24.5 v. Central Michigan |
Top |
24-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
45 h 0 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Well, it didn't take the Cowboys long to regain their offensive form, covering their last 3 games by a combined 46½ points, including an shocking upset of Oklahoma. No less than 17 starters return, so that momentum should carry over. The Chips are horrible in the home dog role, with the favorite on a 20-8 ATS run.
|
12-28-14 |
St. Louis Rams v. Seattle Seahawks -11.5 |
Top |
6-20 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 57 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week There are teams currenty playing up to their potential but nobody is on the level of the Seahawks. They are not only on 5-0 SU run (4-0-1 ATS), but total domination, holding those 5 opponents to 6.6 points per game along with a franchise record of 596 yards in annihilation of one of the better defenses in the league ('Zona). Wilson: 339 passing yards (17 yards per pass); Lynch: 113 rushing yards (11.3 yards per rush). The Rams are -27½ points ATS last 2 weeks, and will pay the price for earlier 28-26 upset.
|
12-21-14 |
Seattle Seahawks -7 v. Arizona Cardinals |
Top |
35-6 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week Seattle looks to be near full speed now. They need two wins for the division title, and possibly home field throughout the playoffs. Their defense is near its apex, allowing just 27 points in their last 4 games. That's 6.75 points per game versus Arizona, San Francisco, Philadelphia, and San Francisco. They have given up just 9 and 14 first downs in the last 2 weeks. The Cardinals are still atop the NFC West, but are averaging only 13 poins per game in their last 5 games, are going it without Stanton, and have managed just 2 touchdowns in their last 19 quarters.
|
12-14-14 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks -9.5 |
Top |
7-17 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week The Seahawks are again the at the top of the NFL. They have had 379-164 and 440-139 yard edges at San Francisco and Philadelphia (17, 11 pt covers). They are coming off holding the former 416 yards per game Eagles to only 139 yards. The Niners are sinking fast, with a 145-103 point deficit in their last 7 games (5 of last 6 SU wins by just 5, 5, 3, 6, & 4 points). Seattle is 7-1 ATS hosting an avenging division opponent.
|
12-07-14 |
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 v. Cincinnati Bengals |
Top |
42-21 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week Home/road dichotomy worm sure has turned in Bengal contests, with the road team on 4-1 SU and ATS run. Three straight wins for Cincinnati, so 1½ up on Ravens, Browns, and these Steelers. Dalton had 1 touchdown with 3 interceptions at Tampa, but Bengals survived, due to inopportune Buc penalties. The underdog is on an 8-1 ATS run in Cincinnati games, and the Bengals lost their last home game by 27 points ATS. The Steelers, with and underdog 5-0 spread run in their last five games, by 63½ points. Ben has 3,705 passing yards thus far, and the Steelers had a 538-393 yard edge over the Saints.
|
11-30-14 |
Arizona Cardinals -2.5 v. Atlanta Falcons |
Top |
18-29 |
Loss |
-108 |
75 h 18 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week The Cardinals got their comeuppance in 19-3 loss at Seattle, posting only 12 first downs, 64 rushing yards, and only 204 total yards. But, they are still 2 games up in the NFC West, & and have won 16 of their last 20 games, while covering a profitable 15-4-1. They did sack Wilson 7 times in that loss, and Stanton was off a 305 passing yard effort, before just 149 versus the Seahawks. The Falcons can move it, behind Matty who has 19 touchdowns with 9 interceptions, but rank dead last on defense.
|
11-29-14 |
Kansas v. Kansas State -28 |
Top |
13-51 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 35 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Kansas State is currently on a 5-0 ATS home run (+53½ points in their last 3). They had just 1 rushing yard at West Virginia, but 4 take aways, a punt return for a touchdowns, and 400 Waters passing yards. They are also on a nice 37-12 ATS run. Kansas has a 104-21 point deficit in their last 2 road games, with an 836-35 rushing yard deficit
|
11-28-14 |
Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan -7.5 |
Top |
31-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
41 h 44 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Units NCAAF Game of the Week Broncos are a perfect 10-0 ATS. Not only that, their early line covers were tight, but they've improved by the week, with covers of 14½, 12, 24½, 17, & 13 points in their last 5 games. QB Zerrell has completed 32-of-39 passes the last 2 weeks, while Franklin has run for 1,432 yards & 23 touchdowns. The Huskies continue steady winning ways, but departure of QB Lynch has stripped them of former dominance. In their six wins this year, NIU’s margin of victory is only eight points and they were flattened at home by Central Michigan.
|
11-23-14 |
Jacksonville Jaguars v. Indianapolis Colts -13.5 |
Top |
3-23 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week This is one that the Colts just do not let get away, with 37-3, 30-10, & 44-17 wins, in their last 3 games with the Jaguars. You know they are extra focused following last week's annihilating loss to the Pats, in this building. A 244-19 rushing yard deficit in that one, as well. Despite last week, Indy is on a 30-17-2 ATS run, and has topped 32 points in 5 of its last 8 games. The Jags, of course, will be bent on revenge for earlier 44-17 pasting,but have topped 17 points in just 2 of their last 12 games. To cap it off, Pagano is 12-1 ATS off a loss.
|
11-22-14 |
Oklahoma State v. Baylor -28.5 |
Top |
28-49 |
Loss |
-110 |
72 h 15 m |
Show
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Rating: 5 Unit NCAAF Game of the Month
Baylor comes into this one with their sights set on a BCS playoff spot. They have the best offense in nation and this pick is enhanced by their amazing 18-2 ATS home record. they now are at 52.4 points per game in their last 26 games. Oklahoma State is getting worse by week going 0-6-1 ATS (-101½ points ATS in their last 5). They also have the 94th ranked total offense. Last week they had only 9 first downs versus Texas. Not a good spot for the Pokes!
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11-16-14 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. New Orleans Saints -7 |
Top |
27-10 |
Loss |
-115 |
52 h 11 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week The Saints haven't lost two in a row at home since 2009 after losing in overtime to the 49ers in the Superdome this past Sunday, snapping a 10-game home win streak. New Orleans is 19-2-1 ATS under Sean Payton at home. The Bengals haven't been the same since coming out of their bye in Week 5. They are 2-4 SU, 1-4-1 ATS since then. Three of those four losses have been by three touchdowns or more.Drew Brees has a 37-to-8 touchdown-to interception ratio at home since the start of last year. Mark Ingram has rushed for 392 yards in the last four games while tight end Jimmy Graham has hauled in 22 passes and scored four touchdowns in the last three games since recovering from a shoulder injury. The Saints have covered 80 percent as home favorites during the past 31 instances.
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11-15-14 |
Michigan State -12 v. Maryland |
Top |
37-15 |
Win
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100 |
75 h 4 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week The Spartan dreams were crushed last week with the loss to Ohio State. Michigan State has now given up 46, 31, 49 points this year, but they still own the 10th rated defense. QB Cook had 358 passing yards. The Terps come into this one rested but have managed only 10, 15 first downs their last 2 games and have the 96th rushing defense along with 106th total offense. Maryland has allowed 52 points to both upper echelon Big-10 teams (Ohio State and Wisconsin).
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11-09-14 |
St. Louis Rams v. Arizona Cardinals -6.5 |
Top |
14-31 |
Win
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100 |
25 h 41 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week Arizona comes in to this one with another 4-game run, both SU & ATS. The cards are currently on runs of 14-3 SU (2 of those 3 loses by a mere 4 & 3 pints) & 13-3-1 ATS. They're averaging 25.9 points per game in their last 17 games, with Palmer a solid 11 touchdown passes with only 2 interceptions on the season. This is the third straight road game for the Rams, who are 4-4 ATS, but who have allowed 34, 34, 34, 31, & 34 points in their 5 losses, and have yet to put back-to-back covers. Arizona is 7-1 ATS in division play, versus a team below .500 off a SU win. Arizona's 3rd-ranked defense should handle the Rams easily.
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11-08-14 |
Georgia Tech -3.5 v. North Carolina State |
Top |
56-23 |
Win
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100 |
50 h 54 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week
The Wolfpack finally posted an ACC win, which was their first conference win in 2 years. However, the win was possible due to an 82-yard interception return, and a fumble recovery, deep in their own territory. NC State has only 14 first downs and just 14 points per game in their last 4 while allowing 35 points per game in their last 5. The Jackets, on the other hand, are hot, rushing for 1,107 yards the last 3 weeks, and have covered their last 2 games by 52½ points. They are also in off a 268-22 rushing yard edge over a Virginia team which entered with a 170-106 ruhsing yards per game edge.
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11-02-14 |
San Diego Chargers +2 v. Miami Dolphins |
Top |
0-37 |
Loss |
-105 |
24 h 51 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week The Chargers come into this one off 2 straight losses, after a 5-game SU run (4-1 ATS). However, they are +52½ points ATS in their last 7 games, with Rivers throwing for 20 touchdowns with only 5 interceptions for the season. The Dolphins come in on a 2-game run, for the first time all year. But those two wins have come versus the fast falling Bears and horrible Jacksonville. The Chargers are 7-1 ATS on the road, off a DD SU loss.
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10-26-14 |
Seattle Seahawks -5 v. Carolina Panthers |
Top |
13-9 |
Loss |
-108 |
16 h 53 m |
Show
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Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day Carolina averaged 34 points per game 2 games prior to last week's 38-17 blowout at GreenBay (38-3 in 4th). But still a game up on New Orleans. Shock has set in for Seattle, with losing 2 straight, although they nearly came all the way back from a 21-3 deficit versus the Rams. In that game Wilson became the 1st QB in NFL history with a 300-yard passing and 100-yard rushing game. Seattle HC Carroll is 7-1 ATS off 2 straight losses, and the Seahawks are 9-0 ATS as favorites off a pair of SU losses.
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10-25-14 |
Alabama -17 v. Tennessee |
Top |
34-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
73 h 34 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week After averaging only 15.5 points per game in their previous 2 games Alabama let it all out in 59-0 rout of nation's 4th-ranked offense, with a 602-172 yard edge (45-0 at half). Tennessee is in off allowing the game's final 34 points to Ole Miss in a 34-3 loss and has a 167-34 point deficit the last 4 games in series. They also rank 120th on offense. Can you spell route?
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10-19-14 |
Kansas City Chiefs +4 v. San Diego Chargers |
Top |
23-20 |
Win
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100 |
20 h 55 m |
Show
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Rating: 3 Unit NLF Play of the Week Five straight wins for Chargers, with a 147-73 point edge. They trailed Oakland, 28-21, in 4th, before 31-28 win. Rivers had 3 touchdowns with 0 interceptions and now has 15 touchdown with only 2 interceptions for the year. He has 5 straight games with a 120 passing rating. Kansas City has a nice 92-51 point edge of its own in their last 3 contests and took San Diego into overtmie here last year.
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10-18-14 |
Kansas State +7.5 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
31-30 |
Win
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100 |
68 h 28 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Sooners highly unimpressive in bounceback game versus Texas, with 482-232 yard, 24-11 first down, and 37:58-22:02 time deficits (touchdowns on kickoff return and interception run back. Kansas State comes into this one rested and led by Waters, who does it in the passing and running game. And Kansas State is a super play as they are 9-1 ATS as the series visitor.
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10-12-14 |
Carolina Panthers v. Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 |
Top |
37-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 53 m |
Show
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Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day sThe home team is owns the win when Cincinnati takes the field, standing at 18-4-1 ATS. This is a Patriot/Colt sandwich for the Bengals, but Cincinnati is not about to be caught. The Panthers lost their last road game by 24½ points, and have a 75-29 point deficit versus the AFC North this year.
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10-11-14 |
TCU v. Baylor -7.5 |
Top |
58-61 |
Loss |
-115 |
90 h 35 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day The Frogs are on the rise again and come into this one at 4-0 SU, and on a 5-0 ATS run. They beat Oklahoma last week thanks to fumble and an interception returned for touchdowns. Plus QB Boykin had 318 passing yards. They also have the #13 passing defense. Baylor's QB Petty had a horrible game last week versus Texas hitting only 7-of-22 but Linwood had 148 rushing yards. But you can't forgetthat Baylor is 17-1 ATS at home.
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10-05-14 |
Pittsburgh Steelers -6 v. Jacksonville Jaguars |
Top |
17-9 |
Win
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100 |
17 h 54 m |
Show
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Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day Jacksonville has lost all 4 games by at least 17 points, and now have a 152-58 point deficit, as well as -58 points ATS. Pittsburgh let one get away last week, after leading Tampa, 27-24 in the 4th, losing in the final 0:07, on a 15-yard pass. The Steelers did cover their last road game by 21 points. Pittsburgh took Carolina, 37-19, in last road trip.
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