Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-08-23 | San Diego State v. Utah State -1.5 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Aztecs have gone 10-2 in their last 12. However, USU looks to have an easier bout on the weekend’s undercard, taking on cellar-dweller Colorado State. The Aztecs face a much sterner test as Boise State comes to town in a race for the MWC lead. Utah State has fashioned a nice 11-1 SU and 7-4 ATS record at home this season, and the series host is riding a 6-0 ATS skein. The Aggies lost to SDSU by 10 points at home earlier this season and the Aztecs are guilty of a poor 4-19 SU and 7-15-1 ATS effort versus foes with same-season revenge. Bear in mind that San Diego State’s scrap with Boise last Friday was a triple-revenge game for the Aztecs, so they may not have much left in the tank tonight. Aggies throw another wrench in the race. |
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02-08-23 | St. Joe's +3 v. Loyola-Chicago | 83-71 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Statistically, this is a fairly evenly matched game, although St. Joe’s seems like the team that is a little better offensively. The clubs are allowing about the same number of points per game, so the question becomes whether Loyola-Chicago has enough of an advantage by playing this contest at home. The Ramblers have won their last two games at home, but that came after three straight home losses and they are 2-8 in the conference while the Hawks are 5-6. When these clubs met earlier this season, St. Joseph’s absolutely blew out Loyola-Chicago, winning by 31. That was just three weeks ago, and not a lot has changed for either team since then. No one should expect a 31-point victory here for the Hawks, but do not be surprised if they win by at least 15. |
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02-08-23 | Wisconsin v. Penn State -4.5 | 79-74 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Penn State is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games vs. a team with a losing road record and Wisconsin is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record. The Badgers are also 1-9 ATS in their last ten games following an ATS loss and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games overall. These teams are in a similar position right now in terms of NCAA tourney seeding, as both are currently among the "Next Four Out" in ESPN's Bracketology prediction. That said, I view the Lions and Badgers as teams on different trajectories. |
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02-08-23 | Creighton v. Seton Hall +3.5 | Top | 75-62 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units Pirates have gone 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS, and should add to those figures with a game against pitiful DePaul last weekend. In yet another case of biting the hand that feeds us, we’ll fade Creighton off what we think will be a big win over Villanova. Yes, we know we talked up the Bluejays last Saturday but one of the deciding factors was the game location: Creighton is a great home team but a lousy road team. Not to mention the Jays are just 14-22-1 ATS against foes seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 20-plus points, including 3-8 ATS versus .550 or greater foes. Meanwhile, the Pirates can boast a 5-0 SUATS record at home this season with a sub .700 win percentage. Finally consider that Seton Hall is 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in this series when the Blue Jays fly in with a sub .700 record, including 8-0 SU and 7-0-1 ATS when the Hall boasts a winning record. |
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02-07-23 | TCU v. Kansas State -4 | 61-82 | Win | 100 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units I have to look at Kansas State in this spot. The Wildcats are undefeated this season when listed as favorites and will be highly motivated to get revenge for that 14-point defeat at TCU in January. Also, the Wildcats want to avoid a three-game losing streak, so I’m backing them to beat TCU by four or more points. Both teams defend the 3-point line very well, and the Wildcats are a more dangerous 3-point shooting team than the Horned Frogs. This could be a decisive factor, as K-State plays at home, and TCU has gone 1-3 SU and ATS in its previous four showings on the road. The Wildcats are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played on Tuesday. |
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02-07-23 | Toledo +2.5 v. Akron | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toledo is 16-6, riding a 6-game win skein, while 16-6 Akron had ripped off 7 straight wins before a Friday game against Kent State, so something’s gotta give. The ATS archives suggest the Rockets are the right side. Not only do they own a 19-7 ATS edge in this series of late, but they’re also 5-2 ATS with LTKO revenge, including 3-0 ATS away. That’s a few light years better than the Zips’ 3-7-1 ATS mark versus foes seeking LTKO revenge, including 0-5-1 ATS when Akron sports a sub .777 win percentage. These two go at it again in two weeks, so pay close attention to this matchup. While grabbing the points, of course. |
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02-07-23 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest +1.5 | 85-92 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wake Forest narrowly covered as 11.0-point underdogs in the first game, and playing at home I think they cover again. UNC's last two trips to Winston-Salem were blowout losses, and this UNC team has been pretty inconsistent this season. Wake Forest has performed almost identically to UNC this season, albeit with a weaker out-of-conference schedule. Wake Forest hit 47.6% of their threes against them in January, and their three-point shooting will keep them alive all night this time around too. Wake Forest covers against the Tar Heels again. |
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02-05-23 | Houston -11.5 v. Temple | 81-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Temple is on a solid 4-0 SU run of late overall, but only 4-11 SU and 6-9 ATS in this series, including 3-8 ATS when Houston sports a sub .925- win percentage. In addition, head coach Aaron McKie owns a weak 5-10 ATS with a winning record with the Owls versus foes with revenge, and worse, Temple is 10-100-1 ATS in games they lose outright at home, including 0-38-1 ATS versus avenging foes. Remember, Sampson’s Cougars are a perfect 8-0 SUATS away this season, plus they get added backing from the fact that Houston head coach Kelvin Sampson is 36-17 SUATS with same season conference loss revenge, including 5-0 SUATS when coming off one win. |
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02-04-23 | Villanova v. Creighton -9.5 | 61-66 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units From a squad that was a permanent fixture in the Top 25 poll under Wright, this year’s Wildcats still haven’t found their footing, standing 10-12 overall after losing 7 of their last 10 contests. They also bring along an 8-16-2 ATS log in games when sporting a losing record, including 1-5-2 ATS in conference play. Look, we’ll be the first to admit it’s not often you’ll find the Bluejays dressing up as favorites against the Wildcats (just 3 times in 20 meetings since they joined the Big East) but when they do, there is certainly provocation. It starts with last year’s 54-48 loss to Villanova in the finals of the Big East tourney, and with that Creighton brings a 5-1 SUATS record into tonight’s affair when looking to exact LTKO revenge, including 5-0 SUATS when they face sub .900 opponents. Greg McDermott’s troops have been a tough out at home this season, going 10-1 SU and scoring an average of over 81 points per game, and we think they’ll heap a little more misery on Nova here. |
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02-04-23 | Purdue v. Indiana +1 | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Hoosiers have won five of their last six games and four of their last five home games. They are very good offensively, especially at home where they are scoring more than 83 points per game while making over 53 percent of their shots. They do a good job finding the open man and they were very aggressive on the offensive glass in their last three games, grabbing more than 10 offensive rebounds per game in their last three games, which will give them more scoring opportunities. They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Boilermakers a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Boilermakers have played well defensively, but they aren’t as efficient on the road and will have a hard time slowing down the Hoosiers in this game. The Boilermakers have won nine straight games. They have played well offensively, but they’re not as good on the road where they are scoring more than 72 points per game. They struggled at the free throw line in their last three games, making less than 68 percent of their shots. They also didn’t rebound the ball as well as the Hoosiers in recent games and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against the Hoosiers. The Hoosiers are very good defensively and do a better job at home where they are holding opponents under 65 points per game and will keep Purdue’s offense in check. Go with the Hoosiers to cover the spread. |
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02-04-23 | Texas v. Kansas State +1.5 | 69-66 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This has the makings of a fantastic matchup, as Texas is atop the Big 12 (7-2) with Kansas State right behind (6-3). This means a lot is on the line, especially for the Wildcats, who want to keep their home winning streak alive while also ensuring that Kansas, TCU, and Iowa State, who are also 6-3, do not have a chance to jump over the Wildcats in the standings. So, look for Kansas State to play this game like it is a tournament game. They have been absolutely dominant at home while Texas is just 2-3 on the road. The Wildcats have covered the spread it in four of their last five games and eight of their last 10. |
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02-04-23 | Butler v. Marquette -15 | 52-60 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Butler is going the wrong direction with six losses in seven games and their offense has been stuck in neutral for the most part. The Bulldogs have scored more than 61 points just once in their last seven games and have hung 58 or less in five of those matchups. That doesn’t bode well against a Marquette team that is in the top 20 in the nation in scoring offense and who leads the nation in two-point shooting. Butler is a decent defensive team but their inability to scare anyone on the offensive end, coupled with their road woes, is too much to ask for in this one. Take Marquette at home as they prevail in this contest. |
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02-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State +1.5 | 53-68 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units ISU looks to get even for their recent 2-point setback to KU. We like the Cyclones’ chances to do just that: they own a 5-0 ATS series record versus Kansas when playing with same season revenge from a loss of fewer than 20 points, plus the Jayhawks have cashed just a single ticket in their last six games after clashing with K-State. Keep a close eye on the line today, too, as Iowa State stands 5-0 ATS as home dogs of 7-plus points if .666 or greater. Also keep in mind that Iowa State has won the rebound battle in its last 8 straight contests and won’t be overpowered here. With Kansas possibly looking ahead to a bigger game at Texas on Monday, we expect the Cyclones to keep their fans satisfied in this high-noon showdown |
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02-03-23 | Boise State +6 v. San Diego State | 52-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between BSU and SDSU. Give me the Broncos at +7 following a solid road win over Air Force. Boise will have a shot to assume complete control of the Mountain West, especially with a home rematch versus San Diego State in a few weeks. These two teams should determine the conference champion in those games. With its stellar defense, Boise State will cover the spread and give itself a shot at an outright win. The stats don't paint the entire picture, but they give a glimpse into BSU's defensive dominance. Ranked 9th in the country in defensive efficiency with a top 5 three-point defense, the Broncos will make life difficult for the home squad on offense. |
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02-01-23 | New Mexico +4.5 v. Utah State | 73-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Aggies are one of the most dangerous offensive teams in the country. They heavily lean on 3-point shooting and pace the nation in 3-point percentage, but the Aggies’ defense is far away from an elite level. That’s going to be an issue in this matchup, as New Mexico owns one of the best scoring trios in college basketball. Jamal Mashburn Jr, Jaelen House, and Morris Udeze will torture the Aggies’ D and help the Lobos to keep it close down the stretch. The Lobos defend the 3-point line well and love to get to the free-throw line. They are 17th in the country in free-throw rate. I’m backing the Lobos, who are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven outings on the road. The Aggies, on the other side, are 1-4 ATS in their previous five games overall. |
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02-01-23 | LSU v. Missouri -10 | 77-87 | Push | 0 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units LSU’s 12-1 start to the season came to a grinding halt with seven straight losses for the Bengal Cats, and as a result they find themselves in a 3-way mess with both of the Mississippi’s at the bottom of the SEC totem pole. They also have to face off against a Missouri team tonight that remembers its season-ending loss to LSU in the Donkey Round of last year’s SEC tourney, and that sets the table here as they check in with a sparkling 3-0 SUATS log in home games when seeking LTKO revenge. The Tigers from COMO have lost just two games in Mizzou Arena this season, against Kansas and Alabama – two squads that are head-and-shoulders above the troubled Tigers from the bayou. With only one conference win in his pocket this season, we don’t see anything changing soon for first-year LSU head coach Matt McMahon. |
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02-01-23 | Indiana State -13.5 v. Evansville | 83-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana State won the first head-to-head meeting by 28 points, and I expect another dominating performance here. The Purple Aces' rank in the bottom 40 in the nation in field goal percentage, three-point percentage and scoring on both offense and defense. On the other end, Indiana State is 46th in field goal percentage, scoring and free-throw shooting on offense. The Sycamores are also much better defensively. There's always a chance that Indiana State overlooks Evansville here or falls victim to a late backdoor cover, but the Sycamores are the smart play here. |
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02-01-23 | Tulsa v. Cincinnati -15.5 | 55-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tulsa has been one of the worst teams in college basketball to bet on this season as they have been awful against the spread. The Golden Hurricane is 3-15-2 against the spread this year. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has been a solid bet, going 14-7 against the spread on the season. One concern here is that Landers Nolley is listed as questionable for this game with a banged-up knee. Cincinnati may try to rest him thinking they can beat Tulsa without him as they prepare for bigger games coming up. If this game was at Tulsa I might give the Golden Hurricane a shot to cover, but the Bearcats have been great at home and I like them to cover with or without Nolley. Take Cincinnati here. |
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02-01-23 | Tennessee -5 v. Florida | 54-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is too big of a game for the Volunteers to expect any sort of letdown. In essence, Tennessee is in a two-team race for the SEC regular season crown and that outcome could ultimately determine whether or not the Volunteers earn a coveted #1 seed in one of the four tournament regions. Tennessee just has too much talent for this Florida team. Florida was overwhelmed by K-State on Saturday, particularly the Wildcats' defense. Now they face arguably the best defense in the country in the Volunteers. Tennessee has the nation's #1 scoring defense and #1 3pt defense. The Volunteers also have more than enough scoring to get off and running and keep the Gators at bay. I expect the Volunteers to dominate the interior, double Castleton in the post, and force Florida to try to beat them with the Gators' subpar perimeter shooting. Tennessee will roll in this spot. |
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02-01-23 | Providence +4 v. Xavier | 83-85 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Xavier (17-5, 9-2 Big East) enters the game tied for first in the conference but is coming off an 84-67 loss at Creighton on Saturday. The Friars (17-5, 9-2) also sit atop the conference, alongside the Musketeers and Marquette. The Musketeers received untimely news on Tuesday with the revelation that big man Zach Freemantle will be sidelined at least four weeks with a left foot injury. Freemantle is averaging 15.2 points and a team-best 8.1 rebounds per game and is shooting 58.5 percent from the field. Consider that the Friars are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. |
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01-31-23 | Kansas State v. Kansas -6.5 | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The fact is Kansas stands only one game out of first place and we expect a strong surge down the stretch. It starts here with KU bringing a 3-0 SUATS mark in this contest in games in which they own the inferior record by an average win margin of 20 PPG. As for the over-achieving Wildcats, they’re just 1-5 ATS against foes they beat earlier in the season by one-point exact. And if that’s not bad enough, they crawl into this week’s contest with a gaudy 7-40 ATS mark in conference games they fail to win against avenging opponents. Let’s face it: Kansas is a ticking time bomb right now and we expect them to hit the 0:00 mark against hated Kansas State tonight. Finally, Kansas is 4-0 SUATS since 1990 when seeking same-season revenge against Kansas State, with every win by a double-digit margin. |
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01-31-23 | Nebraska v. Illinois -14 | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Fighting Illini are 4-0 ATS in their last four Tuesday games, 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games. The Huskers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games and 0-6 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. This game should be one-sided, as the Huskers are down a few bodies and the Illini have a significant talent advantage. Nebraska will be boxed out for rebounds all night, and if it can't handle the press, turnovers will lead to easy Illinois baskets. |
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01-30-23 | Baylor +5 v. Texas | 71-76 | Push | 0 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Neither team has been profitable ATS this season, and while I'm leaning towards the Longhorns winning straight-up, this should be a close game. With the Longhorns coming off a disheartening loss and the Bears riding a six-game winning streak, I'm siding with Baylor. Texas is 8-13 ATS this season, including 3-7 in its last ten overall. While Baylor is just 10-10-1 ATS overall, it has been the better side to back as of late, going 4-1-1 in its past six overall. History tells us the Bears are the profitable team to bet on Monday, as well. Baylor is 4-0 ATS in its last four Monday games and Texas is 0-4 in its last four Monday games. In what should turn out to be a one or two-possession game, I'll take the team that's getting points. |
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01-30-23 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech +1.5 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Raiders are still red-faced thinking about the last time these two met in Ames three weeks ago, where the Cyclones annihilated them, 80-54 – Texas Tech’s worst loss this season, and its worst overall since 2015. The Raiders had gone 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS in the series with ISU before the blowout, and just so happen to own a 7-1 ATS at home with revenge versus the Cyclones. Iowa State also has a revenge affair with Kansas on deck, and the Clones are just 3-22 SU away before facing the Jayhawks, including 6-10-1 ATS the last 17 games. Tech makes up for a season’s worth of hurt by bringing down the Cyclones. |
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01-30-23 | Virginia -5 v. Syracuse | 67-62 | Push | 0 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavaliers have won six straight games and three of their last four road games. They are playing well offensively, even on the road where they are averaging more than 71 points per game. They do a good job finding the open man and they’re aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring opportunities. They also do a good job protecting the ball, turning it over less than 10 times per game, and won’t give the Orange a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Orange usually play well defensively, but they struggled in recent games, giving up more than 73 points per game in their last three games, and will have a hard time slowing down the Cavaliers in this game. The Orange have lost three of their last four games. They struggled offensively during the stretch, scoring a little more than 72 points per game in their last three games. Their rebounding also dropped off during the stretch, so don’t expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against the Cavaliers. They were also careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Cavaliers, who average seven steals per game on the road. The Cavaliers play well defensively and they’re just as good on the road where they are holding opponents to 65 points per game, so expect them to keep Syracuse’s offense in check. Go with Virginia to cover the spread. |
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01-29-23 | Michigan State +8 v. Purdue | 61-77 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Sparty suffered a 64-63 setback at home to Purdue just 13 days ago, stirring up bad memories of being booted from the Big Ten tourney in the semifinals by the Makers last season. The Wizard brings a lofty 18-10 SU and 17-11 ATS career record in conference games when seeking same-season revenge when his troops are coming off an ATS loss, including 5-2 SUATS versus .800 or greater opposition. State’s biggest concern will be putting the clamps on Purdue center Zach Edey, a 7-4, 305-pound monster from Toronto who averages 21 PPG and pulls down 13 rebounds. Still, the Boilermakers haven’t cashed a ticket in the last three meetings with MSU, which is a perfect setup for the fact that playing on the Michigan State Spartans when they are seeking revenge against a Big Ten opponent is 31-11-1 (75%) since 1975. |
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01-28-23 | Georgia State v. Marshall -12 | 65-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Panthers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. While the Thundering Herd are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. |
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01-28-23 | Nebraska v. Maryland -11.5 | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Nebraska is struggling with injuries that minimize their rotation and hamper their ability to rebound. Reese should take advantage of Derrick Walker, who is not as big as some of the other centers in the league at 6-9. That doesn't sound small, but when you face the likes of 7-4 Zach Edey two games before and Reese had great success against him, that's an advantage. The Terps' pressure defense will also be crucial in this matchup Maryland needs to continue to win at home, where they have many students returning from winter break in what should be a raucous atmosphere in College Park. |
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01-28-23 | Richmond v. Dayton -8.5 | 60-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Flyers return to UD Arena, where they own a legitimate home court advantage. Dayton has gone 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home, including 10-1 SU this season where the Flyers have won by an average margin of just over 16 PPG. And when it comes to dueling with foes that own a sub .525 win percentage, Dayton has treated its backers to a 13-0 SU and 9-3 ATS effort. We can’t say the same for the 11-10 Spiders, who arrive on a 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS slide in their last four games. Even worse, Richmond has gone 0-6 ATS versus foes coming off consecutive losses, including 0-4 ATS this season. Yikes. The hosts are hanging tough in the Atlantic 10 race in 4th place and will be facing a bunch of Spiders that could be more concerned about an upcoming double-revenger against St. Bonaventure. Don't forget Dayton’s 68-64 loss to Richmond in the semifinals of the Atlantic-10 tourney last season snapped a 7-0 SUATS series win skein against the Spiders. |
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01-28-23 | Alabama -5 v. Oklahoma | 69-93 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Crimson Tide have won nine straight games and six straight road games. They are very good offensively, even on the road where they are scoring more than 80 points per game. They’ve taken advantage of their opportunities at the charity stripe, making over 81 percent of their free throws in their last three games. They are very aggressive on the offensive glass, grabbing more than 10 offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also cut back on their turnovers in recent games and won’t give the Sooners a lot of easy scoring opportunities. The Sooners usually play well defensively, but they struggled in recent games, giving up more than 70 points per game in their last three games, and will have a hard time slowing down the Crimson Tide in this game. The Sooners have lost four of their last five games and three of their last four home games. They’re not very good offensively and they played worse in recent games, averaging less than 60 points per game in their last three games while making less than 40 percent of their shots. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Crimson Tide and won’t get a lot of extra scoring opportunities against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy scoring opportunities for the Crimson Tide, who average more than five steals per game on the road. The Crimson Tide are very good defensively and they have played better in recent games, holding their last three opponents under 65 points per game. They won’t have trouble keeping Oklahoma’s offense in check. Go with Alabama to cover the spread. |
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01-28-23 | Northern Iowa v. Indiana State -6 | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When looking into the adjusted efficiency margin provided by KenPom, Northern Iowa is 170th in the sport with a -0.21 rating while Indiana State is 128th in the country with a +3.77 rating so far. Looking at the defenses throughout the last few games, there is a difference there as the Panthers are giving up 68.8 points in their last five games while the Sycamores are allowing 76.7 points in their previous three games. Go with the Indiana State Sycamores to cover the spread in their own building. |
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01-27-23 | Air Force +13 v. New Mexico | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Air Force is 12-9 SU overall this year while New Mexico comes in with an 18-3 SU overall record on the season. Air Force is 62-34 ATS their last 96 games as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more. Air Force is 5-1 ASTS their last 6 road games against a team with a winning record. Air Force is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a SU loss of more than 20 points. Additionally, the road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in this series. |
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01-27-23 | UC-Santa Barbara +1.5 v. Hawaii | 65-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UC Santa Barbara has shown no signs of slowing down in conference play, covering the spread in 10 of its last 11 games. I am thrilled to back the Gauchos again on Thursday night against a Hawaii team that has been struggling to put up points. The Rainbow Warriors rank outside the top 200 nationally in multiple key offensive statistics, and they are going to have trouble turning things around against a taller UCSB defense. The Gauchos’ height advantage should allow them to control the paint proceedings on the other end of the court as well, and their experienced lineup makes them a strong team to back on the road. |
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01-26-23 | Arizona -4.5 v. Washington State | 63-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cougars stunned the Wildcats in their first meeting of the season on the back of Mouhamed Gueye’s 24-point, 14-rebound double-double. Arizona had a horrible shooting night (31.7% from the field and 16.0% from downtown), and the Wildcats’ backcourt couldn’t make the basket to save its life. I think the Wildcats can only play better this time around. The Cougars struggle to defend the paint, so I’m backing Arizona to win and cover. Keep your eyes on Azuolas Tubelis (19.9 PPG, 9.5 RPG) and Oumar Ballo (16.1 PPG, 9.0 RPG). This duo will torture the Cougars all night long. Arizona is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games against Washington State. |
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01-26-23 | Utah v. Oregon State +7.5 | 63-44 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Beavers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Thursday games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. Additionally, the underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. While the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
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01-25-23 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -11.5 | 63-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Alabama Crimson Tide has a high-scoring, elite offense that will tear down one of the top defenses in college basketball. Their explosive, fast-paced play will allow them to grow a comfortable lead very quickly, causing Mississippi State to scramble to keep up. In their last meeting, Alabama had two players put out on offense with Sears scoring 20 points and Miller scoring 19 points while also bringing down 11 rebounds. These two have been the dynamic duo that has a huge impact offensively and defensively, so watch for them to carry their team to their second win against the Bulldogs. In addition, the Bulldogs have a low-scoring offense, so expect the Crimson Tide to punish their slow offensive style. Take Alabama winning by a decent margin. |
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01-25-23 | Valparaiso v. Northern Iowa -7.5 | 66-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Beacons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. While the Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Additionally, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. |
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01-25-23 | Georgia v. Tennessee -16.5 | 41-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Georgia has the ability to put up big point totals but they have their work cut out for them here when it comes to getting things down offensively against Tennessee. The Volunteers are extremely stingy on the defensive end of the floor, allowing more than 65 points just once in their last eight games entering this one. Tennessee has very good depth in their rotation as they have five guys averaging in double figures this season, so it could be any one of a handful of guys that could go for 20-plus points on any given night. Georgia doesn’t have that kind of weaponry to lean on as they rely mainly on Oquendo and Roberts on that end of the floor. Look for Tennessee to clamp down defensively and earn the home win here. |
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01-24-23 | Fresno State v. Boise State -10.5 | 53-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This matchup will be between two Mountain West Conference rivals that focus on defense first, which will result in a low scoring game and the advantage here goes to Boise State due to a better offense. The Broncos are allowing an average of only 61.6 points per game and at the same time are scoring an average of 73.2 points per game, while in contrast Fresno State Is tough on defense allowing an average of just 62.9 points per game but struggles offensively scoring just 61.4 points per game. Fresno State's weakness is its shooting, as the Bulldogs hit just 42.6% of their field goal attempts and 29.8% of their 3-point attempts. Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in four of the last six. Boise State has covered the spread in each of its last five and on the season is an above average 13-5-1 ATS. |
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01-24-23 | Oklahoma v. TCU -5 | 52-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units TCU is primed for a big win in this one, especially as they continue to ride the wave of confidence from their weekend win over Kansas. The more pressing concern continues to be Oklahoma's ability to find success in the Big 12 and especially as they hit the road. The offensive struggles are well documented and their issues hitting the offensive glass are only going to add to their issues of finding success in this one. TCU's balance on both sides of the ball has only improved as the season has progressed and with their depth of scoring, they are destined for success at home. Additionally, according to covers.com, TCU is 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight road games and 7-2-1 ATS in their last ten games overall. |
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01-24-23 | Tulsa v. East Carolina -4.5 | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Golden Hurricane have lost seven of their last eight games and six straight road games. They aren’t very good offensively and they play worse on the road where they are scoring less than 70 points per game. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Pirates and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against them. They were very careless with the ball in their last three games, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Pirates, who average more than six steals per game at home. The Pirates have played well defensively, especially at home where they are giving up less than 68 points per game, so expect them to keep Tulsa’s offense in check. The Pirates also struggled in recent games, but they’ve won five of their last eight home games. They have played well offensively at home where they are scoring more than 71 points per game. They rebound the ball very well at home and they’re aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring opportunities. They’ve also done a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Golden Hurricane a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Golden Hurricane aren’t very good defensively and they play worse on the road where they are giving up more than 77 points per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Pirates in this game. |
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01-23-23 | Wisconsin +2.5 v. Northwestern | 63-66 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wisconsin has won seven straight in this series and covered seven straight. It's tough to come back from a long break at this point of the season and play perfect or even solid basketball. Northwestern has the better metrics, but Wisconsin is the better team, especially now that Wahl is back and healthy. Northwestern couldn't shoot worse at home (38.3) and the Badgers normally-solid defense will slow down a rusty team that hasn't played in over a week. |
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01-22-23 | Oregon State +3.5 v. California | 68-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units California and Oregon State will look to halt skids at the other's expense this afternoon when the Pac-12 rivals meet in Berkeley, Calif. A losing streak is nothing new for the Golden Bears (3-16, 2-6), who began the season with 12 straight setbacks. Now, they find themselves mired in a three-game slide following an 87-58 loss to Oregon on Wednesday. Consider that the Golden Bears are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record, and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. |
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01-21-23 | San Jose State +11.5 v. Utah State | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Spartans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games, 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. |
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01-21-23 | Cal Poly +10 v. UC-Davis | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss, and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. While the Aggies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. |
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01-21-23 | James Madison v. Southern Miss | 70-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Southern Mississippi is at the top of the Sun Belt Conference standings with three others and one game ahead of James Madison. The Golden Eagles have used a very strong defense to go along with an above average offense that has resulted in 16 victories in 20 games. Southern Miss has covered the spread in 10 of 17 games with a betting line. James Madison also has a very tough offense that scores the third most points per game in the nation but is allowing 66.7 points per game while Southern Miss is allowing an average of only 63.6 points per game. This matchup will be back and forth and will most likely come down to the final possession as both offenses are tough to stop and the team that makes the most stops on defense down the stretch and does not commit turnovers will be victorious, which favors the home team (USM). |
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01-21-23 | Texas A&M +5.5 v. Kentucky | 67-76 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite their overall record, I agree with the oddsmakers that Kentucky is the better team, but I expect the Aggies to keep this game too close to striking distance to lay the five points. The Aggies hold a 74% to 68.2% advantage from the free-throw line, which will help do the stretch. One of Kentucky's biggest strengths is on the boards, where they are fifth in the nation in total rebounding percentage (55.9%), but Texas A&M will be competitive in that area as they are 16th (54.6%). This is a big game on both sides, and Texas A&M is on 5-0 ATS run in road games, but Kentucky is just 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine home games. I will take Texas A&M to cover. |