Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-13-24 | Toronto v. BC OVER 50.5 | 33-17 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
8 Unit Play. Take #779 Over 52.5 in Toronto Argonauts @ BC Lions (10p.m., Friday, September 13 CBSSN) CFL Game of the Year While Toronto may not be reaping the victories it hoped for from the return of franchise QB Chad Kelly, it has resulted in a marked increase in yards gained per game. Before Kelly returned, the offense was a league-low 318 ypg; the offense under Kelly averaged 435 yards in his three games. Turnovers have been an issue, though, as Kelly has 6 INTs in his 3 starts, the same as Cameron Dukes through 8 starts. Unfortunately, Kelly's return hasn't helped the defense, as they have given up an average of 29 ppg over its last 5 contests. These two squads usually produce high-scoring, entertaining affairs, with the average score of the last 6 meetings being BC 28 - Toronto 26. The over in those 6 matchups is 4-2. That includes the June 9th meeting that saw the Argonauts defeat the Lions 35-27 in Toronto. We expect more of the same here now that Kelly is back slinging the ball for the Args. Take the OVER and good luck! |
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09-07-24 | Calgary v. Edmonton Elks OVER 50.5 | 16-37 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 777 Over 51 in Calgary Stampeders @ Edmonton Elks (Sat. Sep. 7th, 7:00 p.m. EST CFL+) In one of the quirks of CFL scheduling, this is a rematch from the Labour Day Classic (yes, I intentionally used the British spelling of Labour). Calgary was so disheartened by Monday's loss that Jake Maier will not start at quarterback for the first time in 39 games. That alone speaks volumes about the Stamps' current state. No matter who starts at QB (Logan Bonner gets the nod) for Calgary, it won't slow down the offensive juggernaut that Edmonton has become. The Elks' potent offense has averaged 34.8 ppg over their last five contests. Edmonton QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson just torched the league's worst scoring defense (29.5 ppg) for 486 yards and 3 TDs. When Logan Bonner came in relief of Maier Monday, he went 4-6 for 33 yards. He will undoubtedly do better than Maier, who was benched after going 22-34 for 297 yards and 1 TD but 4 costly picks. Bonner, in his second year in the CFL after a 7-year college career, has put up some impressive numbers collegiately but appears slightly injury-prone. It wouldn't shock me if Maier ended up back in the game. As Monday showed us, high scores are the norm between these two division rivals. The OVER has now gone 8-2 in the last ten meetings between the Elks and the Stampeders. It feels a little like cheating as this was the same play we just had, but if the books give us free money, we'll take it and kindly be on our way. Let's run this right back and take the OVER. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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09-02-24 | Toronto -4.5 v. Hamilton | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 783 Toronto Argonauts -5 @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2:30p.m., Monday, September 2 CBSSN) Chad Kelly's return to Toronto last week against Saskatchewan was fantastic, as he went 24-39 for 322 yards. The Args were stopped in four separate possessions inside the 5-yard line, including a first and goal on the one that was stopped. Hamilton's defense is abysmal, ranking dead last in scoring defense (32.7 ppg). The Args are 6-1 SU/ATS in their last see meetings against the Tiger-Cats. Toronto makes up for last week's red-zone failures against the hapless Hamilton defense. Take Toronto and lay the points. GOOD LUCK! |
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08-25-24 | Edmonton Elks v. Montreal OVER 51 | 17-21 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #778 Montreal Alouettes vs. Edmonton Elks OVER 51.5 points (Sun., Aug. 25th, 7:00 p.m. CBSSN) It's not often that the second-to-worst team in a league leads everyone in scoring, but that's precisely the case with Edmonton. The Elks' offense scores more points per game (29.6) than anyone. Their 3-7 record is due to a defense that surrenders 28.5 ppg. Meanwhile, the Alouettes haven't skipped a beat since starting QB Cody Fajardo went down, going 4-0 with backup Davis Alexander. They've averaged 28.3 ppg over that 4-game stretch, less than a point off their regular season average (28.8 ppg). Edmonton's offense has really been humming over the last five games, putting up 33 points per contest. The Elks also have no problem scoring on the road, ringing up 32 ppg in their five games outside of Edmonton. Finally, these two squads like to light up the scoreboard in their meetings, with the over going 15-8 over the last 23 matchups and an even sweeter 5-1 in the last six times the Elks have visited Montreal. Take the OVER, and good luck. |
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08-22-24 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto -3 | 19-20 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #772 Toronto over Saskatchewan (7:30p.m., Thursday, August 22 CFL+) The bad boy of the CFL, Toronto QB Chad Kelly, has been reinstated, with conditions, for violating the CFL's gender-based violence policy. The difference that Kelly makes cannot be emphasized enough. Last year, with him calling the signals for the Argonauts, Toronto was second in team scoring (32.8 ppg) and gaining offensive yards per game (377.9 ypg). This season, the scoring is down almost 4.5 points at 28.4 ppg, and the Args are dead last in offensive yards per game at 319 ypg. The Roughriders are a team on the decline, and it interestingly coincides with the absence of star running A.J. Ouellette. When A.J. first went out with his hip injury, Saskatchewan was in far ahead in first place with a sterling 5-1 mark. He has missed three out of the last four games, and the Roughriders have not won any of them, going 0-3-1 in that stretch. While he did play well last week, it was against the defending champion Montreal. He will not suit up this week as he aggravated his hip playing against the Alouettes last week. This season's first meeting between these two squads on the Fourth of July is also interesting. The Args had a 21-14 first down advantage, a 318-269 total net yard advantage, and STILL lost 30-23 on the strength of the Roughriders' five forced turnovers (four INTs and a fumble recovery). Even with those five giveaways, the game was tied 20-20 until midway through the 4th quarter. While Kelly is prone to throwing an INT or two, I am willing to bet that he won't chuck four of them (FULL DISCLOSURE: In his last start in the 2023 Grey Cup, Kelly did just that, tossing four INTs against Montreal). Finally, there are some strong ATS trends in Toronto's favor. The Args have made BMO Field a veritable fortress recently, going 14-2 SU and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games. As expected, Saskatchewan has received some rude hosting, as they are 1-4 SU/ATS in their last five trips to Toronto. The Args muddled through the first half of the season, waiting for their CFL All-Star QB to return, and now that he has, I expect to see them take off. The first victim will be the Roughriders of Saskatchewan. Take Toronto and lay the points. Good luck! |
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08-17-24 | Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton OVER 51.5 | 47-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #785 Edmonton Elks @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats OVER 52 points (7p.m., Saturday, August 17 CBSSN). Even though the Elks are in last place in the West, it isn't because of their offense, which ranks 3rd in the league in scoring at 27.7 points per game. However, when you have the league's second-worst scoring defense at 29.2 ppg, you end up with a 2-5 overall record. However, those two wins have come in the last two weeks. Elks QB Tre Ford was injured last week and the venerable McLeod Bethel-Thompson returns to the starting lineup after being benched a couple of weeks ago for the electric Ford. What makes this over so enticing is the struggles that Hamilton has had on defense, where they actually rank below the Elks by giving up 31.9 points per game. The offense also hasn't been a problem for them, as they lead the CFL in passing yards with 2,804 and are the only team to average more than 300 yards per game through the air. In the last five meetings between these two squads, the OVER is 4-1, with the most recent meeting back on July 28th producing a 44-28 Ti-Cats victory. While the score probably won't reach those heights, we feel confident that it will eclipse the total it's currently at. PICK: Take the OVER and good luck! |
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08-09-24 | Calgary v. Toronto UNDER 50 | 25-39 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #776 Under 49.5 in Calgary @ Toronto (7:30p.m., Friday, August 9 CFL+) Toronto will turn to their 3rd-string QB tonight when Nick Arbuckle gets the start for an injured Cameron Dukes. Regardless of who starts, neither one of them has been effective, with the Args ranking dead last in passing yards per game with 197 yards. Luckily for Toronto, Calgary's pass attack isn't much better, ranked 7th out of 9 teams with 247.9 ypg. Take two offenses that can't pass well, add in an Argonaut defense that can shut down the run, and you have the recipe for a beautiful defensive battle. These two teams typically lock horns in low-scoring affairs, with the totals going under 6 out of their last 8 meetings. Take the under, and good luck! |
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08-08-24 | Saskatchewan v. Ottawa OVER 48.5 | 22-22 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 774 Ottawa vs. Saskatchewan OVER 48.5 points (Thur., Aug 8th, 7:30 p.m.) In the premier matchup of week 10, the 1st-place Saskatchewan Roughriders host the 2nd-place Ottawa Red-blacks in a cross-divisional matchup. Saskatchewan let us down last week in their 42-31 loss to Edmonton, but not because of their offense, which generated 423 yards and 24 points (they opened the game with a 101-yard kickoff return for a touchdown). In the 1st half of that game, RoughRiders' QB Shea Patterson looked like the college version of himself when he was a dual-threat monster at Mississippi. For whatever reason, he stopped running in the 2nd-half and their offense ground to a halt. Ottawa looks to run their home record to a sterling 5-0 mark, and they're doing that by averaging scoring 25 points a home game. It seems that when Saskatchewan travels, they forget to pack their defense, as they are allowing 27 points per game on the road. The trends also back a high-scoring affair, as the OVER in Saskatchewan's last 19 games is 16-3. In the last 8 meetings between these two squads, the OVER has cashed 6 out of 8 times. Even though the Roughriders will be without RB A.J. Ouellette again due to a hip injury, his replacement, Frankie Hickson, was more than adequate, going for 89 yards on 12 carries. We look for this game to be an offensively exciting matchup where defense is optional. Take the OVER, and good luck. |
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08-04-24 | Toronto +4 v. Calgary | Top | 23-27 | Push | 0 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #785 Toronto Argonauts over Calgary Stampeders (7p.m., Sunday, August 4 CFL+) Toronto is too good of an historic team to have this type of record against Calgary. They cannot afford to take this game lightly and should come out strong early in this game. Now, the good. This Argonaut team is the only team this season to defeat the defending Grey Cup champions, Montreal. The Argos are first in rushing with 124.4 yards per game and second in scoring offense with 27.7 ppg. Calgary, meanwhile, is second to last in offensive scoring with just 23.6 ppg and third to last in defensive points allowed per game with 28.1 ppg surrendered. They are also second to last in defensive yards allowed, giving up 383.9 yards per game. While Toronto's history against Calgary is definitely cause for alarm, the Argonauts are simply a better team. Toronto's recent history on the road is also promising, as they're 14-5 SU in their last 19 road games. Anytime we can grab the better team AND points, we'll do so and let the chips fall where they may. Take Toronto plus the points and good luck! |
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08-03-24 | Edmonton Elks v. Saskatchewan -4 | 42-31 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 784 Saskatchewan -4 over Edmonton (Sat., Aug. 3rd, 7:00 p.m. EST) To say that Saskatchewan is the surprise team of the CFL this season would be an understatement of epic proportions. They have the league's best rush defense, with 47.9 yards per game. This stout ground defense is one of the reasons the Roughriders are 3rd in points allowed per game, at 22.6 ppg. Meanwhile, former long-time Toronto Argonaut A.J. Ouellette has found the fountain of youth and is 5th in the CFL in rushing with 397 yards and 3 TDs in 6 games with the Roughriders this season. Edmonton, meanwhile, is in absolute shambles, winless (0-7) on the season with the league's second-worst scoring defense at 216 points. They are last in yards gained per game (326.4), while also last in yards allowed per game (393.3). The Elks QB, the impressive McLeod Bethel-Thompson, has been the epitome of inconsistent, with a 69% completion percentage but only 9 TDs against 7 INTs. He's been sacked 13 times as well, which doesn't bode well against a Roughrider pass rush that is third in the CFL with 16 sacks. The trends are also leaning heavily in Saskatchewan's favor, as the Roughriders are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games against the Elks. Meanwhile, Edmonton has lost 5 straight on the road. These two squads already met once this season, which resulted in a 29-21 victory for the Roughriders in Edmonton. Even though the bulk of Saskatchewan's wins have been over struggling teams, Edmonton certainly fits that bill here. The Roughriders are simply the better team and will eventually wear down the Elks with a solid defense and strong ground game. Take the first-place Saskatchewan Roughriders and lay the points. Good luck! |
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07-28-24 | Hamilton +3.5 v. Edmonton Elks | 44-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 777 Hamilton Tiger-Cats +3 @ Edmonton Elks (Sun., July 28th, 7:00 p.m.). Tonight, we have the dregs of the CFL, with a one-win Hamilton team taking on a winless Edmonton squad. Hamilton is second in the CFL with 377.7 yards per game. Edmonton, meanwhile, is next to last with 333.2 ypg. The Ti-Cats QB Bo Levi Mitchell is in prime form, throwing for 315 yards per game while completing 68.0% of his passes with 12 TDs to 6 INTs. That's bad news for an Edmonton squad that has the second-worst pass defense in the league, surrendering 294.8 ypg through the air. Hamilton has dominated the recent series between these two squads, going 6-3 both SU and ATS in their last 9 games against the Elks. Last year was the first time in 5 years that Edmonton was a pre-game favorite over Hamilton, and they promptly lost 37-29 at home as a 2-point favorite. The Tiger-Cats have covered an amazing 7 straight games as a dog to the Elks (winning 4 of the contests), dating back over a decade. It seems, both on paper and in history, that the wrong team is favored. Take the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, and good luck! |
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07-20-24 | Toronto -2.5 v. Hamilton | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #783 Toronto -2.5 over Hamilton (7p.m., Saturday, July 20 CBSSN) Just not going to overthink this play and play the traditionally better team. Hamilton has not beaten Toronto since 2022 and I see that streak continuing into next week. Toronto took down the league’s best in Montreal last time out and they can certainly take down a team that has not won a game this season. The Ticats have been terrible defending the pass this season giving up over 300 yards in the air. Lay the small change with the much better team on Saturday. |
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07-14-24 | Ottawa v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 50.5 | 37-34 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 778 Edmonton Elks vs. Ottawa Red-Blacks UNDER 49 points (Sun., July 14th, 7:00 p.m.). This Sunday night matchup features two of the three lowest-scoring teams in the CFL, with Edmonton putting up 24.5 ppg and Ottawa dead last at 21.0 ppg. Edmonton's defense, meanwhile, has allowed 30+ points just once in its four games and held the potent BC offense to just 24 points in the Elks' last game two weeks ago. When these two teams tangle, defense usually reigns supreme. 8 out of the last 10 meetings have gone under the total, and looking further back in their history, an astounding 15 out of the last 20 games have seen the score fail to eclipse the total. Put two offenses that have difficulty scoring together with two decent defenses, and you get a game that seems destined to continue the pattern of unders in this series. Take the UNDER in the Ottawa @ Edmonton game and good luck! |
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07-07-24 | BC -4.5 v. Hamilton | 44-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #785 BC Lions -4.5 over Hamilton Tiger-Cats (7p.m., Sunday, July 7 CBSSN) After a season-opening loss to Toronto, BC has reeled off 3 wins (2-1 ATS). They have the league's most prolific offense regarding yards gained, with 415.2 ypg. However, they've struggled to turn those yards into points, ranked in the middle of the CFL pack with 25.8 ppg. They should get a break as Hamilton has the absolute worst defensive-scoring unit in Canada, giving up 31.2 ppg. Unfortunately for the Ti-Cats, their offense isn't much better, ranked 7th in the 9-team league with 24.0 ppg. Dating back to 1997, the Lions are 7-3 SU (5-4-1 ATS) as road favorites of 1-5 points in Hamilton. With the issues that the Ti-Cats defense is having this season, we expect that trend to continue quite easily. Take the BC Lions to win and cover the spread in Hamilton. Good luck. |
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07-06-24 | Calgary v. Montreal UNDER 49.5 | 26-30 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #784 Under in Calgary Stampeders @ Montreal Alouettes (7p.m., Saturday, July 6 CBSSN) Montreal is off to a CFL-best 4-0 start, thanks to the league's 2nd-best offense at 31.8 ppg. However, it's their league-leading defense (18.2 ppg) we're focusing on in this game. The Stampeders are 2-1, scoring only an average of 23.7 ppg. They racked up 32 points in their first victory of the season but at the expense of the league's worst-scoring defense in Hamilton. Since then, they've struggled to punch the ball in. They're staying competitive because of their own defense, which has been porous in yards allowed (372.7 yards/game) but not in points allowed (23.0 ppg). There are some strong trends pointing towards the under as well, such as 7 out of the last 8 Calgary visits to Montreal have gone under the mark. Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal's home, has been a veritable fortress as of late, with an under mark of 11-5 over their last 16 home contests. Finally, dating back to last season, Calgary has posted a 6-3 under mark in its last 9 games. We feel the marquee matchup will revolve around two of the best-scoring defenses in the CFL. Take the UNDER and good luck! |
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06-29-24 | Winnipeg -3 v. Calgary | 19-22 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #775 Winnipeg Blue Bombers over Calgary Stampeders (Sat., June 29th, 7 p.m. CBSSN) Winnipeg finally showed some signs of life last week against the BC Lions, losing a heartbreaker 26-25. Perhaps even more important, they limited the Lions to just one sack of QB Zach Collaros, indicating some offensive line improvement. Stampeder QB Jake Maier has had his own trouble staying upright, being dumped 5 times in two games. Calgary has been dominated by Winnipeg in recent history, losing six straight games outright (2-4 ATS in that stretch) and 8 out of 10 SU (4-6 ATS). This season, both teams have played BC, with Calgary losing to the Lions 26-17 in the second week of the season. While the Jets have gotten off to a horrendous start, they have played the 3-0 reigning champs Montreal and 3-1 BC. We expect them to continue to show improvement and notch their first win of the season with relative ease. Take Winnipeg and lay the points. Good luck! |
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06-27-24 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 53.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 772 BC vs. Edmonton OVER 53 (Thur., June 27th, 10:00 p.m.) Two of the top 3 aerial units square off against each other on Thursday. Edmonton and QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson come into this game 3rd in the CFL in yards passing per game at 311. Unfortunately for them, BC has the #1 ranked passing offense, with QB Vernon Adams averaging 328.7 yards/game. What makes this a great OVER wager is Edmonton's defense has been very leaky, giving up 30.3 ppg. There are some significant trends working in our favor as well, such as the over cashing in 4 out of the last 5 Edmonton games and 9 out of the last 12 BC home contests. Take the over here and enjoy the fireworks show. Good luck!! |
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06-16-24 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton +1.5 | 33-30 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take 786 Hamilton +1.5 vs Saskatchewan (Sun, June 16th., 7:00 p.m. CBSSN) Hamilton's offense looked in mid-season form last week, putting up 459 total yards and 24 points. Unfortunately, their defense looked like they were still in preseason, giving up 363 yards and 32 points. However, 18 of those points came in 6 Calgary field goals. The Ti-Cats rushed the ball 17 times for 156 yards, a 9.18 ypc with 10 first downs and 1 TD. Saskatchewan won last week against the Edmonton Elks 29-21 in a game where they held the Elks to just 40 yards on the ground. Dating back to last season, the Roughriders are 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS over their last 7 road trips. They're equally as bad when visiting the Tiger-Cats, going 2-6 SU/ATS in their last 8 games in Hamilton. The Elks struggle against dual-threat QBs and not many CFL QBs are better than Ti-Cats QB Bo Levi-Mitchell, who went 27-38 for 300 yards and 1 TD/1 INT, as well as 3 carries for 36 yards. Hamilton rebounds from last week's defeat with a big win in their home opener. Take Hamilton and lay the points. Good luck |
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06-14-24 | Montreal -4 v. Edmonton Elks | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Take 781 Montreal over Edmonton (Fri., June 14th, 9:00 p.m.) It would seem the CFL schedule maker doesn't care much for the defending champion Alouettes, as they start the 2024 season with two road games. Montreal doesn't care where they play and neither should you, as they look to continue their title defense with a second-consecutive road victory. Last week, their stifling defense grounded a Blue Bomber attack, holding the 2023 best offense to 301 total yards and one touchdown in a rematch from last year's Grey Cup, also won by Montreal. Edmonton has been atrocious at home, going 2-17 SU and 3-15-1 ATS in their last 19 home games. The Alouettes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 trips to Edmonton, winning their last 3 games against the Elks by an average of 12.7. Take the reigning champs, the Montreal Alouettes and lay the points. Good luck! |
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06-13-24 | Winnipeg -6.5 v. Ottawa | 19-23 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #779 Winnipeg over Ottawa (7:30 p.m., Thursday, June 13 CFL+) Winnipeg looks to rebound from their season-opening 27-12 loss to Montreal in what amounted to a replay of last year's Grey Cup championship. Playing Ottawa should be just what the doctor ordered, as the Blue Bombers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Ottawa. This will be the Redblacks' first game of the 2024 season. Ottawa finished last season in a tailspin, going 1-11 SU over its final 12 games. Former Winnipeg QB Dru Brown gets the start for Ottawa against his former team and we're confident that he will wish he was still a Blue Bombers' backup after tonight's game. Take Winnipeg and lay the points. Good luck! |
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06-08-24 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton Elks OVER 46 | 29-21 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take 776 Edmonton Elks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders OVER (4p.m., Saturday, June 8 CBSSN) Saskatchewan had the 2nd-worst rushing attack last year, so they added 1000-yard rusher AJ Ouellette from Toronto. Edmonton welcomes the 2022 CFL passing yard leader QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson. Unfortunately for the worst 2 defenses in points allowed per game (28.7 for the Elks and 30.6 for the Riders), the changes on defense weren't as progressive. Look for the offense to be a bit further advanced than the defenses in this Saturday game. Take the OVER and good luck. |
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11-19-23 | Winnipeg v. Montreal OVER 47 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 53 h 32 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #441 OVER in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Montreal Alouettes (6 p.m., Sunday, November 19 FL+) 2023 Grey Cup. While Montreal's defense has been stout during their playoff run to the Grey Cup, stopping Winnipeg's #1 ranked scoring offense (33 ppg during the regular season) is a different story. Montreal's offense has perked up during the postseason as well, averaging 32.5 ppg. These two teams met back in August, and Winnipeg won 47-14, going well north of the total. This will be a fantastic Grey Cup to watch as there should be points aplenty, making the over the best bet. |
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10-20-23 | Calgary v. BC OVER 49 | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #681 Over in Calgary @ BC (10p.m., Friday, October 20) Both meetings have gone under the posted number and we expect there to be at least one over from these two teams. BC is a definite over team as they usually score in the thirties or forties when it comes to total team points. If they do that again on Friday, we should be in good shape to collect with the over. Calgary is fighting for their playoff lives and need to follow-up their strong second half scoring last week into this game. Calgary scored 21 points in the second half last week. |
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10-13-23 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary -3.5 | 19-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 674 Calgary Stampeders over Saskatchewan Roughriders (Friday, October 13 9:30 PM) The Stampeders and Roughriders meet for the proverbial "rubber match", having split the season so far. This matchup is about the defenses, as both offenses are almost identical in scoring. Saskatchewan gives up an average of 31.0 ppg, the worst in the CFL. Calgary surrenders 26.7 ppg, 4th-best. We think the Stampeders take the season series. Calgary is also 13-5 SU in its last 18 home games against Saskatchewan. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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10-09-23 | Ottawa +6.5 v. Montreal | 3-29 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 43 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #687 Ottawa +6 over Montreal (1p.m., Monday, October 9 CBSSN) The Holiday Weekend continues on Monday with this afternoon game in the CFL. These two teams played last week and turnovers were again the story. Ottawa moved the football up and down the field but were done in by turnovers. The RedBlacks can score points and thus should be able to cover this 6 point spread. Montreal is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Monday Holiday games. If Ottawa can hand onto the football they should be able to emerge victorious. |
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10-06-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Toronto OVER 48.5 | Top | 12-35 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take 681 OVER 48 in Edmonton Elks @ Toronto Argonauts (7p.m., Friday, October 6 CBSSN) CFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR Toronto comes into this matchup with the highest-scoring offense in the CFL, averaging 32.9 ppg (Edmonton averages 20.6). These two tangled in June and combined for 74 points. In the last 18 games between the Elks and Args, the OVER is 13-5. |
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09-29-23 | Saskatchewan v. BC -10 | 26-33 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 674 BC -10 vs. Saskatchewan (Friday, September 29th 10:30 PM) The BC Lion have the 3rd-highest scoring offense at 27.6 ppg, while Saskatchewan has the 3rd-lowest at 21.6 ppg. The Roughriders have the worst scoring defense at 30.4 points per game, while BC comes in again at the 3rd best, 22.0. Our models have the Lions winning by 20 points, so having to only lay half of that is like an early Halloween treat. BC is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 home games. Take the home team and lay the points. |
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09-29-23 | Toronto v. Winnipeg OVER 48 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 671 OVER 48.5 in Toronto @ Winnipeg (Friday, September 29th 8:00 PM) As stated above, both teams are averaging over 31 ppg. The total has gone over 6 out of 7 times in the Blue Bombers last 7 contests. In the last 12 meetings between these 2 teams, the OVER is 10-2. Take these 2 squads OVER as they put on a display of offensive prowess. |
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09-29-23 | Toronto +7.5 v. Winnipeg | 21-31 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take 671 Toronto +7.5 against Winnipeg (Friday, September 29th 8:00 PM) A true clash of the CFL Titans, these are the top 2 offenses AND defenses in the league. The Args average 33.8 ppg, with Winnipeg coming in at 32.0. They are flipped on defense, as the Blue Bombers are allowing 20.9 ppg and Toronto 21.4. The Args have been road warriors recently, going 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in its last 7 road games. Meanwhile, Winnipeg has struggled slightly, going 2-4 in its last 6 games. Anytime you get to take a team that's ranked 1st and 2nd in scoring offense and defense, with a TD, grab them. PICK: Toronto and the points. |
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09-22-23 | Saskatchewan v. Ottawa +2 | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 682 Ottawa Redblacks over Saskatchewan Roughriders (Friday, Sept. 22, 7:00 PM CBSSN) Even though the Redblacks are in the midst of a 7-game losing streak, we like for them to rebound and stop the bleeding here. They still have a better scoring offense (24 ppg vs. 21.2) AND a better scoring defense (27 ppg vs. 29.9) During this losing streak, the Roughriders beat Ottawa 26-24 in Saskatchewan. |
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09-04-23 | Toronto -7.5 v. Hamilton | 41-28 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take 675 Toronto Argonauts -7.5 at Hamilton TigerCats (Monday, Sept. 4th, 3:30 p.m.) Toronto, with the league's highest-scoring offense at 34.1 ppg, takes on the league's 3rd-worst scoring D at 26.1 ppg. Toronto's scoring differential is +11.22, while Hamilton's is -6.10. The Args are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games, and 4-2 in the L/6 games at the TiCats. Take the favorite here. |
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09-03-23 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan OVER 48 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 673 OVER 48 in Winnipeg Jets at Saskatchewan Roughriders (Sunday, Sept. 3rd, 7 p.m. CBSSN) Winnipeg has struggled ATS in its last 5 games, going 2-3 ATS in that stretch. But they haven't struggled scoring in the least, averaging 36.4 ppg while allowing 18.4 ppg. The Roughriders are on the opposite end of that spectrum, surrendering 28.4 ppg while putting up 18.4 ppg. The Jets have gone over 30 points in seven of their games. They could cover the over themselves, but figure to get a wee bit of help for the Roughriders. Either way, expect an offensive display in Sunday night's game. |
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08-25-23 | Calgary v. Toronto -9.5 | 31-39 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 684 Toronto Argonauts -10 vs Calgary Stampeders (Friday, Aug. 25th, 7:30 p.m.) This line has opened at 8.5 and is now up to 10 in most places (9.5 in some)...and for good reason. Toronto's offense is the most prolific in the CFL this season, putting up 33.5 PPG while the defense allows 21.9 PPG. Calgary meanwhile is only scoring 21.7 PPG while giving up 25.5 PPG. The Args are 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 tilts and a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS at home. Take the home team and lay the points. |
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08-18-23 | Winnipeg v. Calgary OVER 46 | 19-18 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take 673 OVER 47 in the Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Calgary Stampeders (Friday, Aug. 18th, 9 P.M.) True to their name, the Blue Bombers have the league's best aerial attack at 283.7 and a total offense output of 403.2 YPG. This equates to 30.9 PPG. 2 weeks ago, they hung 50 on the best defense in the league. They also average giving up 3 TDs a game, which is just slightly less than the 22.1 PPG Calgary averages. Winnipeg has gone OVER the total in 5 out of the last 6 games, while the OVER is 4-2 in L/6 when the Blue Bombers visit Calgary. Take the over. |
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08-17-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton UNDER 45 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 671 UNDER 44.5 in Edmonton Elks at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Thursday, Aug. 17th, 7:30 p.m. CBSSN) This is a battle of the punchless offenses, as the Elks have the lowest-scoring unit (14.9 PPG) and the Ti-Cats the 3rd-lowest (20.0 PPG) The Elks low-scoring offense dates back to last season, as the UNDER is 7-3 in their L10. Their defenses are the worst in the league, so it's just a question of which side does better. Shaky defenses are easier to fix than broken offenses. Take the UNDER. |
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08-13-23 | Ottawa v. Toronto -10 | 31-44 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take 688 Toronto Argonauts -10 vs. Ottawa Redblacks (Sunday, August 13th, 7:00 p.m.) We can thank Calgary for making this just a 10-point spread last week when they handed the Argonauts their first loss of the season. Toronto is 13-2 SU in their L15 home games against the Redblacks. In their last 8 meetings, the Args are 6-2 ATS against Ottawa. The Redblacks have gone 3-6 ATS in their L9. Lay the favorite and take Toronto to cover. |
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08-12-23 | Calgary v. BC -6 | 9-37 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 686 BC Lions -6.5 vs. Calgary Stampeders (Saturday, Aug. 12th 7:00 p.m.) A rematch of a Week 1 battle, won by BC 25-15. These 2 teams have headed in opposite directions since then, with BC's defense leading the league in scoring allowed and at the top for everything else. The first week should have been worse but 2 turnovers spared the Stampeders a thorough beatdown on their home field. That shouldn't happen again. Lay the favorite. |
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08-06-23 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan OVER 44 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 678 OVER 44 Saskatchewan vs. Ottawa (Sunday, August 6th, 7 p.m.) While neither of these offenses is anything to write home about (the Redblacks average 21.7 PPG and the Roughriders average 19.7 PPG), their defenses are why this game will go over. Ottawa gave up 353 yards through the air to Hamilton but got 5 interceptions. That won't be the case against Saskatchewan. The over has cashed four out of the last five home games for the Roughriders and six out of the last eight home games versus Ottawa. Take the OVER. |
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08-04-23 | Toronto v. Calgary OVER 51 | 7-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 8 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 673 OVER 51 in Toronto Argonauts at Calgary Stampeders (Friday, August 4th 9:00 p.m.) The Args have the CFL's most prolific offenses, putting up 36.2 PPG and not scoring less than 31 points all season while their Calgary opponents have averaged 25.3 PPG themselves. What's worse, however, is that the Stampeders give up an average of 27.8 PPG. The OVER is 8-4 in Calgary's last 12 games at home. Expect a shootout and take the OVER. |
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07-29-23 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto -10 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #684 Toronto Argonauts -10 over Saskatchewan Roughriders (Saturday, July 28th 4:00 p.m.) Toronto's offense is playing like an undefeated 5-0 team, leading in many of the offensive categories. The Arg's QB Chad Kelly is finally starting to live up to the hype, leading the league in completion percentage (71.7%) and QB Rating (116.5). Saskatchewan is back on it's 3rd QB again. The Argonauts are the only undefeated, both SU and ATS, in the league. Riding that train until it comes off the track. Take Toronto and LAY THE POINTS. |
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07-28-23 | Hamilton v. Ottawa | 16-12 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 682 Ottawa Redblacks -1.5 over Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Friday, July 28th 7:30 p.m. CFL+) There has been a lot of wrong line movement this year in the CFL; this game is an example. The spread has dropped 2 points because Hamilton's QB Bo Levi Mitchell is returning after missing 4 games. The Redblacks are a defensive team and Ottawa has been swept up with "Crum-insanity" with backup QB Dustin Crum to straight come-from-behind wins. These 2 teams have gone in opposite directions from the 21-13 Hamilton win over Ottawa 3 weeks ago. Take OTTAWA as a short home favorite. |
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07-23-23 | Ottawa v. Calgary OVER 44.5 | 43-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 678 Calgary-Ottawa OVER 44.5 (Sunday, July 23, 7:00 p.m.) RedBlacks scored 31 points last week with 3rd-string QB Dustin Crum leading a wild comeback against Winnipeg. Calgary posted 33 against Saskatchewan as Jake Maier threw for 306 yards. When these 2 met in week 2, they combined 41 points and the offenses were abysmal. They have improved greatly since then and their recent efforts are showing it. Take the OVER. |
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07-22-23 | Saskatchewan v. BC UNDER 45.5 | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 675 Saskatchewan-BC UNDER 45.5. The Roughriders have averaged 23.2 PPG with starting QB Trevor Harris and while Fine is adequate, there should be a bit of an initial dropoff. Meanwhile, BC's Vernon Adams leads the CFL in yards per game with 291.4 YPG, he's also thrown 8 drive-killing picks. The Roughriders may try to lean on the rushing attack to relieve some of the pressure from Fine. Take the UNDER. |
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07-22-23 | Saskatchewan +10 v. BC | 9-19 | Push | 0 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take 675 Saskatchewan +10 vs BC (Saturday, July 22nd 7 p.m.) The Roughriders lost their starting QB last week and while backup Mason Fine was fine (pun intended) going 6-8 for 122 yards and 2 TDs. Now he'll have a full week of preparation to fully utilize his mobility (1 rush for 24 yards last week). The Roughriders have owned the Lions, going 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS against BC. They've done their part on the road as well, going 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five visits to British Columbia. Don't think they'll win this week but love getting points. |
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07-21-23 | Toronto -9 v. Hamilton | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take 673 Toronto Argonauts -9 vs Hamilton TigerCats (Friday, July 21 7:30) The Args are 5-0 both SU and ATS in its last 5 games and also 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 away games. Hamilton is now starting its 3rd-string QB with an offensive line that is struggling. This line has already move two points from the opening and still has room to slide. Take Toronto and lay the points. |
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07-15-23 | Calgary +1 v. Saskatchewan | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take 687 Calgary Stampeders vs Saskatchewan Rough Riders (7:00 p.m. Saturday, July 15th) If you believe in the revenge narrative, this is the game for you. 3 weeks ago the Rough Riders came into Calgary and escaped with a 29-26 win as a 1.5-road dog. Saskatchewan has a lofty 3-1 record, but besides the win above against the Stamps, they've struggled to get their 2 wins against winless Edmonton. This is how rare that win was 3 weeks ago: The Stamps (including that loss) are 15-6 SU against the Rough Riders. Furthermore, the Riders are 1-7 SU and ATS in their last 8 games. We're betting they'll tack on another L. Take Calgary and the points. |
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07-15-23 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa UNDER 44.5 | 28-31 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take 685 Winnipeg vs. Ottawa UNDER 44.5 Total Points (4 p.m. Saturday, July 15th) When these teams meet, it's usually a defensive battle. It should be even more so for Ottawa since they're on their 4th-string QB (the first 2 are out for the season, and the third one was already benched). The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two squads and Ottawa's last 8 games have seen the total go UNDER six out of eight times. We expect more of the same today. Take the UNDER. |
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07-15-23 | Winnipeg -9.5 v. Ottawa | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take 685 Winnipeg Blue Bombers -9.5 Ottawa Redblacks (4 p.m. Saturday, July 15th) Ottawa is 0-5 SU in their last 5 matchups against Winnipeg, and that was with healthy QBs. The Redblacks just lost their 2nd QB for the season. Now they're asked to play a team that is 4-1 on the season. That's a tough spot for any team, let alone one that's 1-3. Take Winnipeg and lay the points. |
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07-14-23 | Toronto v. Montreal OVER 48 | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take 683 Toronto vs. Montreal OVER 48 (7:30 p.m., Friday, July 14th) As stated above, Toronto's offense may just cover the over almost by themselves, posting 43 and 45 points their last two games. The total has sailed past the over by more than 20 points in those 2 outings. We don't think Montreal will get shut out, and they might just need one touchdown to push it above 48 with the Arg's offense firing on all cylinders. Take the OVER 48. |
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07-14-23 | Toronto -6 v. Montreal | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 683 Toronto -6 vs Montreal (7:30 p.m. Friday, July 14th ) Dating back to last season, the Args are on a 5-0 ATS streak. They're averaging 40 PPG and have won every game this season by double digits. Meanwhile, Montreal's offense hasn't been very exciting, averaging 19.8 PPG and going over 20 points only once this year. Take Toronto -6. |