Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-29-24 | Magic v. Mavs -4 | Top | 129-131 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month. Dallas won in Atlanta on Friday with Luka Doncic putting up 73 points but the Mavericks gave it right back on Saturday with a home loss against Sacramento and they have now lost four of their last five games. It has been an up and down season for Dallas which is now four games over .500 but one thing is has had success in is bouncing back, going 13-7 straight up and against the number following a loss. Orlando is coming off a win over Phoenix last night to snap a two-game losing streak and after a huge start to the season, the Magic have regressed. Orlando is 8-15 over its last 23 games including a 4-10 record on the road and the early success is still overvaluing this team, one of only five teams with an ATS record of 60 percent or better. The Magic have played nine games this season with no rest and have gone 2-7 including a 1-6 record when not playing back-to-back home games. Here, we play against underdogs off an upset win as an underdog going up against an opponent off a home loss. This situation is 141-89 ATS (61.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Dallas Mavericks |
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01-29-24 | Jazz +1 v. Nets | Top | 114-147 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Utah is coming off a pair of road wins against two of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference and now id facing a third that is trending that way. The Jazz moved back over .500 and have been one of the hotter teams in the NBA since mid-December, going 17-7 over their last 24 games. While sitting in the No. 10 spot in the Western Conference, Utah is just 3.5 games out of the No. 5 spot with the bottom half being wide open. Utah is 14-1 ATS this season coming off consecutive road games. Brooklyn opened the season 12-9 but it has lost 18 of its last 24 games and is barely holding onto a playoff position in the Eastern Conference. The Nets are coming off a win over Houston, one of the worst road teams in the NBA, by a bucket as they nearly blew a 28-point lead. The win snapped a four-game home losing streak and a 2-7 run with one of those wins coming against Detroit. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against an opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite. This situation is 44-11 ATS (80 percent) since 1996. 10* (539) Utah Jazz |
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01-28-24 | Raptors +6.5 v. Hawks | Top | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Toronto has lost four straight games while failing to cover any of those and it hits the road following a 20-point home loss to the Clippers. The Raptors are 6-16 on the road but they have covered 10 of those games which is a direct relation to being undervalued based on the numerous moves they have made. Despite being 13 games under .500, Toronto is just -2.4 ppg in scoring margin as it is top 20 in both offense and defensive efficiency. Atlanta has equally lost four straight games while also failing to cover any of those and despite being the worst ATS team in the league at 11-34, they continue to be overvalued. The Hawks are coming off the loss to Dallas where they gave up 73 points to Luka Doncic and are home favorites again where they have gone 1-11 ATS. They will keep any team in the game as the Hawks are No. 29 in defensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage defense. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after allowing 115 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a loss by 15 points or more. This situation is 73-37 ATS (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (527) Toronto Raptors |
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01-27-24 | Pelicans v. Bucks -5 | Top | 117-141 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Milwaukee became the first team to fire its coach this season despite being 30-13 and sitting just 3.5 games out of first place in the Eastern Conference at the time. The Bucks won their first game with interim head coach Joe Prunty against Cleveland but lost the rematch with the Cavaliers last night and despite hiring Doc Rivers as the new head coach, Prunty will coach again Saturday. Milwaukee has failed to cover 11 of its last 13 games and this is helping keep this number within reason. The Bucks are 10-3 this season coming off a loss. New Orleans is coming off a bad loss last night as well as it fell by 24 points against Oklahoma City at home and while this could be a good bounce back opportunity, not in this spot at this place. The Pelicans are just 5-5 over their last 10 games following a four-game winning streak and they are currently tied with Phoenix for the No. 6 spot in the Western Conference. They have been pretty solid on the road this season but continues to struggle against the top teams as New Orleans is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 road games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .700. 10* (514) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-26-24 | Clippers v. Raptors +7.5 | Top | 127-107 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Clippers are coming off a three-game sweep of their recent homestand culminated with an 11-point win over the Lakers. Los Angeles improved to 19-4 at home and it hits the road for a seven-game roadtrip where success has not been the same as the Clippers are 9-10 and even though they have been solid as road favorites, this is not the spot. They head to Boston tomorrow so there is the lookahead to that and it is exemplified more that it is a revenge spot after the Celtics came to Los Angeles and won by 37 points in December. Toronto has lost three straight games following an eight-point loss to Memphis as a seven-point chalk and now the line has flipped. The Raptors have been sellers by getting rid of Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby to build for the future but they got pieces in return for the present that still makes this a talented roster. Toronto remains home after a solid rest of three days off and catches the Clippers at the right time. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points allowing 114 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 97-55 ATS (63.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (564) Toronto Raptors |
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01-25-24 | Bulls v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 132-141 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Los Angeles has gone 8-14 since winning the In-Season Tournament including a loss against the Clippers on Tuesday which was considered a road game but still in the same building so there is no disadvantage for travel. This is the last home game before playing the next six games on the road so this is one the Lakers need. They were without LeBron James in the last game but he is expected to return tonight following three days of rest. Los Angeles is 15-8 in its 23 home games including wins in five of its last seven. Chicago lost in Phoenix on Monday by two points as it stayed within the number to make it three straight covers. The Bulls fell to 7-14 on the road which includes a 3-13 record as underdogs and while they are 7-9 against the number in those games, they are 3-6 ATS when getting between 3.5 and 9 points. Chicago will once again be without Zach LaVine who is out for at least two weeks with a sprained ankle which is not good for an offense that is No. 22 in efficiency. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg differential, after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 75-34 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (556) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-24-24 | Cavs v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 116-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Milwaukee became the first team to fire its coach this season despite being 30-13 and sitting just 3.5 games out of first place in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks are coming off a pair of wins over Detroit but both were unimpressive and this is the game to break out as teams typically step up in the first game with a new coach and the matchup situation calls for that even more. Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in its last five games and has failed to cover 10 of its last 11. Prior to the games against the Pistons, the Bucks lost by 40 points to Cleveland setting up the big revenge angle. Cleveland has now won eight straight games, covering seven of those, but only two of those have been on the road coming against struggling Atlanta and Orlando. The Cavaliers have moved up to the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference and they are a respectable 12-7 on the road but are walking into a pissed off place tonight. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points failing to cover the spread in eight or more of their last 10 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 83-43 ATS (65.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (536) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-24-24 | Grizzlies v. Heat -9.5 | Top | 105-96 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Miami has dropped three straight games and made a big roster upgrade, acquiring Terry Rozier and shipping out Kyle Lowry which is going to pay dividends. The Heat are just 24-19 and tied for No. 6 in the Eastern Conference, and they rank No. 20 in offensive rating and this is a big game to get right with Boston on deck and while that could be a lookahead, not with a team that has lost three straight games. Memphis is coming off a win at Toronto by eight points as a seven-point underdog and despite that, this is a team that looks to be cashing it in sooner rather than later. The Grizzlies have actually been better on the road than at home but are in a tough spot here. Memphis has slowly been losing its top players as it has been without Ja Morant for eight games, Marcus Smart for six games, Desmond Bane for five games and the Grizzlies have gone 2-3 since those three have been out together. Here, we play on teams with a +/- 3 ppg differential after a blowout loss by 15 points or more going up against teams with a -3 to -7 ppg differential. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (532) Miami Heat |
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01-24-24 | Hornets v. Pistons -2.5 | Top | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Detroit remains the worst team in the NBA but there are winnable games and this is one of those and a great spot for it to happen. The Pistons have lost three straight and 10 of their last 11 games since their last home win at the end of December against Toronto but they have been competitive as they are 7-4 ATS in those games. Detroit has struggled against the tougher Western Conference but are a respectable 14-11-1 ATS against the Eastern Conference. Charlotte is coming off a big upset at Minnesota despite Karl Anthony-Towns putting up 64 points as the Timberwolves decided not to play defense as the Hornets shot a season-high 56.8 percent from the floor and their 128 points is the second most they have scored this season. This is now a big letdown off the win and now without their top player Terry Rozier and Charlotte is 1-8 following a win while going 2-13 straight up following a cover, going 4-11 ATS in those games. Here, we play against road teams revenging a home loss of 10 points or more going up against an opponent off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog. This situation is 36-14 ATS (72 percent) since 1996. 10* (530) Detroit Pistons |
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01-23-24 | Nuggets v. Pacers +4 | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Indiana has dropped two straight games and four of its last five following an 8-1 run over its previous nine games and the Pacers return home following a six-game roadtrip. They are 13-8 at home and have been solid in this spot, going 4-2 straight up and against the number as a home underdog. It has been an awful stretch of defense where Indiana has allowed over 55 percent shooting over its last five games and the Pacers remain No. 26 in defensive efficiency but are much better at home. Denver handed the Celtics their first home loss of the season, snapping their 20-0 start to the season, two games back and followed that up with a lethargic win at Washington two nights later. The Nuggets have again had most of their success at home where they are 17-4 but come in 13-10 on the road which is good by most NBA standards but not necessarily when laying points. Denver is 11-7 when favored on the road yet covering only six of those 18 games. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams shooting 36.5 percent or better from long range, after two straight games allowing 50 percent shooting or higher. This situation is 42-17 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (518) Indiana Pacers |
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01-22-24 | Celtics v. Mavs +3.5 | Top | 119-110 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Dallas is coming off a loss in Los Angeles against the Lakers by 17 points and it has been a pretty average run so it is not surprise the Mavericks are getting points at home but based on the home/road splits of both teams, this is an overinflated number. Luka Doncic returned from his injury and was great but it was Kyrie Irving that was the big letdown as take away his 4-16 shooting performance and the Mavericks shot 50.7 percent so we can expect a better game from him against his former team. Dallas is back home where it is 13-9 and it is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games after a loss by 15 points or more. Boston shook off its first home loss of the season after starting 20-0 with a win over Houston on Sunday but it failed to cover the big number. The Celtics hit the road where they are 13-9 while going 8-12-2 against the number showing them being overvalued. They have gone just 2-2 this season playing with no rest on the road. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams shooting 36.5 percent or better from long range, after two straight games allowing 50 percent shooting or higher. This situation is 42-17 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (512) Dallas Mavericks |
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01-21-24 | Blazers v. Lakers -10.5 | Top | 110-134 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Portland is coming off a win over Indiana which was its second straight underdog win which is just the second time the Blazers have won consecutive games since winning three in a row six games into the season. Portland hits the road where it is 5-17 and it is 0-7 on the season it road games coming off a home game, losing those seven games by an average of 13.7 ppg. The Lakers went on a 2-9 run but came back with wins in four of six to get some momentum going but are coming off a bad loss at home against Brooklyn by 18 points after blowing a 12-point lead. Los Angeles has gone 7-13 since winning the In-Season Tournament and even though it is against Portland tonight, it is a big game with seven of the next eight games taking place on the road. This is a great rebound spot as the Lakers are 22-9 in their last 31 games coming off a loss by 15 or more points. Here, we play against underdogs off an upset win as an underdog going up against an opponent off a home loss. This situation is 138-88 ATS (61.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (574) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-20-24 | Jazz v. Rockets -2 | Top | 126-127 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. As expected, Houston lost its last game of its recent roadtrip by 15 points to the Knicks to close 1-5 on the trek and the Rockets fell to 4-15 on the road. They return home where things have been different as they are 15-6 both straight up and against the number including an 8-2 record as favorites, covering eight of those games as well. It has not been as good of late after a great start in Houston but it is a big edge and they are laying a great number in a needed win with Boston coming to visit tomorrow. Utah was on a roll as it won six straight games while covering all of those but had the streak snapped on Thursday with a loss against Oklahoma City. The Jazz have been pretty similar as to playing to the venue as they are 15-6 at home but now they hit the road where they are 7-15 and while they have done a better job covering, most of the underdog numbers have been big. Utah has gone 108 ATS this season in nine road games immediately coming after a home game. Here, we play against road underdogs after a loss by six points or less going up against an opponent after a loss by 15 points or more. This situation is 37-16 ATS (69.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (558) Houston Rockets |
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01-19-24 | Hawks v. Heat -6.5 | Top | 109-108 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Divisional Game of the Month. Miami is back home following 24-point loss in Toronto which snapped a three-game winning streak and it has been an average run with the Heat going just 5-5 over their last 10 games. The Heat still hold a two-game lead in the Southeast Division where they have dominated by winning all nine divisional games. Miami has struggled against the top teams in the league, going 5-11 against the top 16 which are the six fewest wins in the league but the Heat are 19-6 against the teams outside that. The favorite has gone 16-3 in 19 games in Miami. The Hawks have won two straight games for just the fourth time since early November but the last two have come against San Antonio and Orlando, both at home, and they are 0-4 in their last four games following consecutive wins, losing those games by an average of 15.5 ppg and all coming by at least nine points. The Hawks hit the road where they are 9-12 and following a non-cover against the Magic, they are now 10-30 against the number. Atlanta is 7-17 against the top 16 in the league. Here, we play on home teams off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, playing six or more games in 10 days. This situation is 62-28 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (540) Miami Heat |
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01-18-24 | Bulls -2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Toronto continues to trade away its core and last night was the perfect example for players to step up in the first game after a significant trade only to let down the time out which happens to be the second of a back-to-back set. The Raptors snapped a four-game losing streak with the victory and they are now 16-25 overall yet are still in the playoff mix because of the weakness of the Eastern Conference but are in a bad spot tonight. Toronto is 2-5 when playing with no rest while going 3-12 in its previous 15 games following a win. Chicago has been off since Monday following a loss in Cleveland as the Bulls will look for a bounce back as they have been playing a lot better since becoming healthy. Chicago opened the season 5-14 through its first 19 games but the Bulls have won 14 of their last 23 games and have moved into the No. 9 spot in the conference. They are in a rare position of laying points on the road but they have gone 3-1 in four games in this role and off their worst offensive game of the season. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 95-53 ATS (64.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (521) Chicago Bulls |
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01-17-24 | Rockets v. Knicks -4.5 | Top | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Houston is coming off a pair of losses against two of the top teams in the Eastern Conference as it has been a great team at home but an awful team on the road. On the season, the home team is 29-10 which includes the Rockets going 4-14 on the road including 2-14 when getting points. They are having an amazing turnaround with 19 wins already this season after winning only 22 games all of last season so they are going to shatter that number and they are right in the playoff mix as they are currently in the No. 11 spot in the Western Conference. The Knicks are coming off a home loss against Orlando which snapped a four-game home winning streak where they are now 11-5. This is the second game of a four-game homestand and a stretch of 12 of 14 games taking place at MSG. With the next two games coming up against Washington and Toronto, there is no looking past Houston. And this is even more so coming off a loss where New York is 12-4 straight up and against the number after a defeat. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg, after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 79-44 ATS (64.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (510) New York Knicks |
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01-16-24 | Kings v. Suns -4 | Top | 117-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Phoenix is coming a pair of road wins at the Lakers and Blazers to get back to three games over .500 and more importantly, completely healthy. Home court has not been to the Suns advantage as they are 11-11 while going 6-15-1 against the number but the majority of the games have been without a full roster. Phoenix is in the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference which is not ideal but will be a tough out if they can remain healthy and the early injuries can be to their advantage in a season that still has over four months left. The absences have been factored in with the Suns going 2-8 as underdogs and 19-10 as favorites and the markets are still slow to catch up. Sacramento is coming off a great game against Milwaukee as it lost by a point on Sunday to make it two straight losses and now face one of the top teams in the league for a third straight game. The Kings dropped to 10-9 on the road and while going 16-4 against bottom 16 teams, they are just 7-12 against the top half. Here, we play against road underdogs off two or more consecutive road losses going up against an opponent off a road win by 10 points or more. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (572) Phoenix Suns |
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01-15-24 | Spurs v. Hawks -7.5 | Top | 99-109 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Afternoon Dominator. Atlanta snapped a two-game losing streak with an overtime win over Philadelphia last week but has dropped its two games since then including a horrible 28-point loss at home against Washington on Saturday. The Hawks continue to take money from backers as after opening 3-3 against the number, Atlanta is 6-26 ATS in its last 32 games and the Hawks have gone 0-9 against the number as home favorites so this a contrarian spot (they closed as underdogs against the Sixers). The defense has been one of the worst in the league as the Hawks are No. 27 in defensive efficiency while sitting dead last in Effective Field Goal Percentage but have a break against a limited San Antonio offense. The Spurs picked up a pair of wins last week but those were against Detroit and Charlotte and it followed those up with a home loss against Chicago. San Antonio now embarks on a five-game roadtrip where it is 4-15 and on the season, it has gone 5-25 following a loss. The Spurs have been cashing as they are on a 6-0 ATS run based on the closing line and are catching a smaller than anticipated number. Here, we play against road underdogs after a loss by six points or less going up an against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. This situation is 36-16 ATS (69.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (556) Atlanta Hawks |
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01-13-24 | Bulls -5.5 v. Spurs | Top | 122-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Chicago had its three-game winning streak snapped with a home loss against Golden St. on Friday to fall back to four games under .500. The bottom part of the Eastern Conference is not very good as the Bulls are right in the playoff mix, currently holding down the No. 9 spot and part of a group of four teams separated by 2.5 games. Chicago has not been good on the road with a 5-12 record but nine of those losses have come against teams that are in a playoff spot and overall, Chicago has gone 10-6 against teams outside the top 16 and have won two of three games as a road favorite. San Antonio has won consecutive games for just the second time this season after beating Detroit and Charlotte, two of the three worst teams in the Eastern Conference. After a 3-2 start, the Spurs are 4-28 over their last 32 games and the home and road splits are similarly bad. This is the fifth time San Antonio is playing back-to-back nights and it has gone 0-4 both straight up and against the number in the previous four games playing with no rest, losing those games by an average of 18.5 percent. 10* (531) Chicago Bulls |
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01-12-24 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Denver is coming off a 13-point loss at Utah and is now a modest 3-3 over its last six games. The Nuggets remain in third place in the Western Conference as they are game behind Minnesota and Oklahoma City and in a group of seven teams separated by just four games. Denver returns home where it is 15-4 and pretty much remains on pace with its home success last season where it went 34-7 and for those that think the Nuggets are suffering through the NBA Title hangover, they were 26-13 through 39 games last season as well. New Orleans defeated Golden St. by 36 points on the road Wednesday night which was a solid win but this is not the Golden St. team we are accustomed to. The Pelicans have been playing well after a slow start where they were 4-6 through 10 games and have gone 19-9 over their last 28 games. Most impressive is that they have won eight straight road games including wins at Minnesota and Sacramento (twice) but it is in a tough spot here. The big three of Brandon Ingram, C.J. McCollum and Zion Williamson are all questionable. 10* (516) Denver Nuggets |
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01-11-24 | Suns +1 v. Lakers | Top | 127-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is the fourth meeting between the Suns and Lakers with Los Angeles winning the first two scheduled meetings and then winning the In-Season Tournament matchup. Phoenix looks to break through for the first time with a fully healthy roster of the big three as it has had Devin Booker and Bradley Beal each miss two of the first three meetings. The Suns come in with two straight losses to fall to 19-18 and they are arguably the biggest disappointment in the league which has been due to injuries from the start. The Lakers were on a dreadful 2-9 run to fall two games under .500 but they have won two straight games including a narrow one point win over Toronto on Tuesday. Los Angeles got the win thanks to some questionable officiating in the fourth quarter as they went to the free throw line 23 times compared to the Raptors hitting the stripe just twice. The Lakers have been the complete opposite at home than on the road as they are 13-6 at the Crypto compared to 6-13 on the highway and while they have been solid as favorites, they are just 7-12 ATS coming off a win. 10* (577) Phoenix Suns |
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01-10-24 | 76ers v. Hawks -2.5 | Top | 132-139 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Following a blowout loss at home against New York, Philadelphia played without Joel Embiid on Saturday against Utah and lost by 11 points and that was just the fourth time this season the Sixers have lost consecutive games. While they have been able to avoid three straight losses in the previous three instances, the Sixers will be without Embiid again so they are in a tough situation without one of the best players in the league and they are underdogs for a reason yet are still being bet in the public circles. Atlanta has also lost two straight games and it has been a miserable season for Hawks bettors. After opening 3-3 against the number, Atlanta is 5-24 ATS in its last 29 games and the Hawks have gone 0-7 against the number as home favorites so this is the ultimate contrarian spot. The defense has been one of the worst in the league as the Hawks are No. 27 in defensive efficiency while sitting dead last in Effective Field Goal Percentage but have a break against a limited Philadelphia offense. Here, we play on home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 revenging a loss of 10 points or more, playing a winning team. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (558) Atlanta Hawks |
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01-09-24 | Raptors v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 131-132 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Lakers came through for us on Sunday as they snapped a four-game slide with a win over the Clippers and they need to carry over that momentum with this favorable portion of the schedule. They outshot the Clippers 51.2 percent to 39.6 percent with the latter being most important as it was the first time in 14 games where they allowed an opponent to shoot fewer than 40 percent. Keeping the defensive effort going is big in this spot against an up tempo offense but one that is ranked just No. 21 in offensive efficiency. Toronto is coming off a win at Golden St. on Sunday and has won three of its last four games but the Raptors are still far from a good team as they are 15-21 which includes a 6-12 record on the road compared to being a .500 team at home. Toronto has won back-to-back games only three times, going 3-11 following a victory and each instance involved at least one team six games under .500 or worse. While the offense has not been efficient, neither has the defense as it is also ranked No. 21 in efficiency. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging between 114 and 118 ppg and after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game going up against teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (548) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-08-24 | Bulls v. Hornets +6.5 | Top | 119-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is the second game of a home-and-home between Chicago and Charlotte with the Bulls winning at home on Friday by 13 points. We played on the Bulls there but we are switching sides as the venue switches and the line has not been adjusted correctly. We are seeing only a three-point swing which is not enough based on a normal venue switch but especially one where Chicago is horrible on the road. The Bulls are 4-12 away from home and have been favored only twice, going 1-1 in those games which were against the two worst teams in the league in Detroit and San Antonio and those lines were just 2.5 and 2 points respectively. Charlotte snapped an 11-game losing streak with a win over Sacramento but gave it right back in that loss to the Bulls. The Hornets have not been much better at home than the Bulls are on the road as they are 4-11 and while they have failed to cover all three games as favorites, they are a respectable 7-5 ATS as home underdogs. They have faced six teams at home with losing records and this is the biggest line they have seen. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points outscored by their opponents by three or more ppg, after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 42-13 ATS (76.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Charlotte Hornets |
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01-07-24 | Clippers v. Lakers +5 | Top | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Clippers have taken over the supremacy in Los Angeles as they are on a roll right now. After a 3-7 start to the season, they have gone 19-5 over their last 24 games and they are currently on a five-game winning streak while covering their last four games. The offense has completely turned things around as they have shot 49 percent or better in 10 of their last 14 games and have moved up to No. 8 in offensive efficiency with the public all over them tonight. The Lakers have been a mess as they have lost four straight games and are 2-9 over their last 11 games to fall under .500. They are a fringe playoff team and this is an important stretch with nine of 10 games taking place at home with the lone road game being in Utah. Los Angeles has dropped the first two games of this favorable home stretch and despite the recent struggles, it has played solid inside the arc, ranking No. 7 in two-point shooting percentage and No. 10 in opponent two-point shooting percentage. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games, playing their 3rd road game in five days. This situation is 56-26 ATS (68.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (526) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-06-24 | Knicks v. Wizards +9 | Top | 121-105 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Knicks are coming off a huge win last night as they went into Philadelphia and beat the Sixers by 36 points to make it three straight wins and covers. This puts New York in a letdown spot especially facing team that it would not be up for in the first place. The Knicks are coming off their best defensive effort since late November and they are not going to match that again. New York is 2-5 straight up and against the number when playing with no rest including 1-3 both ways in the second of back-to-back road games. Washington is back home following a pair of losses in Cleveland by 39 and 24 points and this is the spot to back the Wizards. Prior to those two games against the Cavaliers, they were on a 7-2 ATS run that included a pair of outright wins at home. Washington has covered three of five games when playing with no rest and any good news from last night is the starters saw limited minutes with the game out of hand after three quarters. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after scoring 95 points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 125 points or more. This situation is 40-17 ATS (70.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (504) Washington Wizards |
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01-05-24 | Hornets v. Bulls -8.5 | Top | 91-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. Charlotte is coming off a win over Sacramento on Tuesday to snap an 11-game losing streak and the Hornets still remain one of five teams in the NBA that have yet to reach double digit wins. Charlotte has not responded well to a victory as it is 1-6 following a win with that one follow up victory coming against 6-27 Washington. The Hornets have been even worse after a cover, going 1-12 straight up and 3-10 against the number. They have been horrible at both ends as Charlotte is No. 26 in offensive efficiency and No. 30 in defensive efficiency. The Bulls dropped two games in Philadelphia and New York by 13 and 16 points respectively following a solid run where they went 10-5 over their previous 15 games. Those losses dropped Chicago to 4-12 on the road and it returns home where it is a much better 11-9 which includes a 6-1 record against teams not currently in a playoff position with those six victories coming by an average of 10.7 ppg. This is a good bounce back spot, especially for the offense that shot a combined 40 percent against the Knicks and Sixers. 10* (570) Chicago Bulls |
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01-05-24 | Wolves -3.5 v. Rockets | Top | 122-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Western Conf. Game of the Month. Minnesota is coming off a loss at home against New Orleans on Wednesday which was its second straight loss, the first time this season the Timberwolves have dropped consecutive games. This is the start of a five-game roadtrip so there will be plenty of focus and prior to the loss to the Pelicans, Minnesota won their previous seven games after a loss by an average of 13.3 ppg. The Timberwolves remain in first place in the Western Conference by one game over Oklahoma City. Houston has won two straight but those came against the horrible Pistons and the Nets which are mired in a 2-10 stretch and are in a tough spot here. The Rockets have been solid at home as they are 14-5 both straight up and against the number but prior to the two most recent wins, they went 1-4 in their previous five home games and catch Minnesota at the wrong time tonight. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 32-7 ATS (82.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (571) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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01-03-24 | Nets +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 101-112 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Brooklyn came up small for a us last night but we come back with the Nets here in a great value spot in a bounce back situation based on recent results. Brooklyn has lost four straight games while failing to cover its last five and going back, it is 1-10 ATS over its last 11 games after starting the season as one of the top cover teams in the league. This is another team no one will be betting on considering the fact their 2-9 run only includes two wins over Detroit. Brooklyn is now getting more points tonight against a lower ranked team that it did last night against a top ten ranked team. Houston is 19-15 following a blowout win over Detroit on Monday which snapped a three-game losing streak. The Rockets have had an amazing turnaround as they are only three wins away from matching their entire win total from last season. They are 13-5 at home but it is a tough spot as they have a back-to-back on deck against Minnesota and Milwaukee. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after scoring 95 points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 130 points or more. This situation is 23-6 ATS (79.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (537) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks +2 | Top | 138-141 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Oklahoma City is coming off a home underdog win over Boston last night to make it five straight wins which also includes wins over Denver and Minnesota and now falls into a tough spot tonight. The Thunder remain the biggest surprise in the NBA, with Minnesota close second, as they remain in the No. 2 spot in the Western Conference, one game behind the Timberwolves with a 23-9 record. Oklahoma City has been solid on the road at 9-4 and has covered four of six as a road favorite and the win over Boston increased its ATS record to 23-8-1 which is tops in the league. Atlanta has been the complete opposite from all aspects. The Hawks are coming off a win at Washington but failed to cover as they have now gone 0-5 ATS in their last five games and they return home where they have been throwing money away with a 1-12 ATS mark that includes 11 consecutive non-covers on their home floor. This is the ultimate contrarian play but the situation sets up perfectly especially with a number this short as Atlanta will likely be the least bet team from the entire 12-game slate tonight and we are all over that. 10* (536) Atlanta Hawks |
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01-03-24 | Bucks -3 v. Pacers | Top | 130-142 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Milwaukee and Indiana meet for the second time in three days with the Pacers winning that first meeting in Milwaukee which was the third win in four games this season. The Bucks struggled from the floor, shooting just 44.1 percent, and they have been a great bounce back offense as in their previous six games shooting less than 45 percent, they shot at least 51.2 percent in their next game. Damian Lillard is coming off an awful shooting night as he went 3-16 including 1-9 from long range and scored just 13 points and he too has been great in bounce back games. Indiana has now won four straight games which has followed a horrible run after the In-Season Tournament where it went on a 2-6 run after the loss against the Lakers. The Pacers moved over .500 on the road with that victory and they head home where they are just 9-7. While the offense scores a ton, the defense gives up nearly as much and Indiana is No. 26 in defensive efficiency. Here, we play on road favorites against division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite. This situation is 71-36 ATS (66.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (531) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-02-24 | Nets +6.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 85-112 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Brooklyn has lost three straight games while failing to cover its last four and going back, it is 1-9 ATS over its last 10 games. This comes after the Nets starting 17-5-1 ATS so it has been a complete reversal which has made the markets have to adjust. The defense has been dreadful during the three game losing streak as they have allowed opponents to shoot over 50 percent in each game and 54.4 percent combined. The Nets had allowed 50 percent or higher shooting only four times all season prior to that and Brooklyn is 18-4 ATS in its last 22 games after three straight games allowing 50 percent shooting or higher. New Orleans has won two straight games following a win over the Lakers on Sunday by 20 points to improve to 19-14 after a 4-6 start. To their credit, the Pelicans has been solid in this role, going 8-1 straight up and against the number as home favorites but they are in a tough spot here coming off that win over Los Angeles and with a game at Minnesota on Wednesday night. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 playing a losing team, in January games. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (523) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-01-24 | Mavs -3 v. Jazz | Top | 90-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Jazz are playing their best basketball of the season as they have won four of their last five games while going 7-3 over their last 10, covering five straight. Utah has struggled on the road with a 5-14 record but it has been solid at home, going 9-5 including three straight wins. The Jazz have had their problems against the top teams in the league as they are one of just eight teams with fewer than five wins against the top 16, going 4-12. Dallas defeated Golden St. on Saturday which snapped a two-game losing streak and it was its best shooting performance of the season, hitting 55.7 percent from the floor and it is in a stretch of shooting 50 percent over its last five games. The Mavericks have dominated the teams they should take care of, going 17-4 against teams ranked outside the top ten including a 12-2 record against teams outside the top 16. Dallas has been great in these spots, going 9-1 straight up and against the number as a road favorite including five straight wins. 10* (513) Dallas Mavericks |
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12-31-23 | Kings v. Grizzlies -1.5 | Top | 123-92 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Memphis has dropped two straight games against the Nuggets and Clippers which snapped a four-game winning streak. That run started with the return of Ja Morant to the lineup and he came out blazing but did sit out the first of the back-to-back against Denver and had a poor game against Los Angeles. He has made a huge difference but has not found his shooting touch as he is 3-25 from long range and this is the healthiest the Grizzlies have been all season as Marcus Smart has also returned after missing six weeks. They are 2-11 at home but the 1-11 start was with that depleted roster. Sacramento defeated Atlanta on Friday to snap a two-game losing streak and that win over the Hawks was just their fourth road game since November 26 as it had 11 home games sandwiched in there. The Kings are 11-5 at home compared to 7-7 on the road and while they possess a top rated offense, their defense is once again a liability as it was last season. They are No. 21 in defensive efficiency after finishing No. 24 last season. They allowed a season low 39.4 percent shooting against Atlanta but regress back. 10* (590) Memphis Grizzlies |
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12-30-23 | Raptors v. Pistons +4.5 | Top | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This line stinks as the Raptors are laying fewer points tonight than they were three night ago at Washington and are now in an awful letdown spot. Toronto is coming off a hard-fought loss at Boston on Friday as it tried to rally back from a big deficit but fell just two points short. The Raptors are now 4-11 in their last 15 games and while they have been respectable at home, going 8-9 but are just 4-10 on the road. Toronto is below average on both ends of the floor as it is ranked No. 20 in offensive efficiency and No. 20 in defensive efficiency and in a game that hovers around the number, the Raptors are bad in putting games away, being the second worst free throw shooting team in the NBA. We won with Detroit on Tuesday as it covered at home against Brooklyn and then followed that up with an overtime loss at Boston on Thursday and despite 28 straight losses, the Pistons are playing hard to lose this streak. It will happen eventually and this is the perfect opportunity against a bad team coming off a game where full effort was put in late but fell short. 10* (570) Detroit Pistons |
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12-29-23 | Spurs v. Blazers -5.5 | Top | 128-134 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. San Antonio snapped a five-game losing streak with a win here in Portland last night which just its fifth win of the season. Playing consecutive good games has not been in the cards for the Spurs as they are 1-3 following their first four wins while going 2-8 following a cover in their previous game. This is the fourth game on the season playing back-to-back night and San Antonio is 0-3 both straight up and against the number playing with no rest, losing those games by 41, 12 and 15 points. The Blazers have not been much better as they are 8-22 but do have the revenge spot in play. Portland has failed to cover as a favorite this season so this is the contrarian side based on that but has covered four of five games playing with no rest with the lone exception coming against Cleveland. The Blazers hope to get back Anfernee Simmons back tonight after missing the game last night and there is also a chance Deandre Ayton comes back Friday after missing two straight games. here, we play on favorites revenging a home loss, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 50-20 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (564) Portland Trail Blazers |
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12-28-23 | Heat v. Warriors -2.5 | Top | 114-102 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Star Attraction. Golden St. had its five-game winning streak snapped on Christmas with a loss at Denver but this is a great bounce back spot in the opener of a seven-game homestand. The Warriors are back to .500 on the season which includes a 9-6 record at home and while their ATS record of 4-10-1 is brutal, that is due to a 0-8-1 ATS start on their home floor. After a 1-6 start, Golden St. has won eight straight home games and this is the stretch where it needs to make a move and it is laying a short number here. Miami is coming off a Christmas Day win over the Sixers to make it three straight wins and the Heat have quietly been moving up in the Eastern Conference after a 1-4 start to the season. This is the start of a five-game west coast roadtrip and while they bring in a solid 9-6 road record, it is diluted with an easy schedule. Miami is 6-1 on the road as a favorite and this is the first time this season the Heat have been getting fewer than four points on the road which shows some overvaluation based on their recent results. Miami is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 games following consecutive home wins. 10* (544) Golden St. Warriors |
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12-27-23 | Bucks -3.5 v. Nets | Top | 144-122 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Eastern Conference GOM. Milwaukee is coming off a Christmas Day loss to the Knicks which snapped a seven-game winning streak and the Bucks are now a game and a half behind Boston in the Eastern Conference for first place. The loss dropped them to 6-6 on the road but they have been great this season following a defeat and are laying a short price. Milwaukee is 6-1 following a loss this season with the lone defeat coming off consecutive road games when Damon Lillard did not play which have been his only two absences this season with Milwaukee going 22-6 in his 28 games played. Brooklyn was taken to the final minutes last night in Detroit but was able to escape with the six-point victory, sending the Pistons to an NBA single season record of 27 straight losses. The Nets return home riding an overall two-game winning streak, both against Detroit and they had dropped five straight games prior to that. Brooklyn is not great at home, going 9-7 with five of those nine wins coming against teams with a losing record. Additionally, they are 1-7 against teams ranked in the top 10 with the lone win coming against the Clippers in what was just the second game of the season for James Harden. 10* (523) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-26-23 | Wolves v. Thunder -3 | Top | 106-129 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER as part of our Tuesday Triple Play. Minnesota continues to cruise along as it has won two straight games following a loss in Philadelphia to improve to 22-6. The Timberwolves still lead the Western Conference by two games over reigning NBA Champion Denver but come into a tough spot on the road where they have had success but a lot of that against bad or banged up teams. Karl-Anthony Towns missed the last game with a knee injury and he is questionable once again tonight and not at 100 percent even if he does go. Oklahoma City is coming off a home loss to a desperate Lakers team on Saturday which snapped a three-game winning streak and the Thunder remain in third place in the conference, 4.5 games behind Minnesota. The Thunder are 15-6 in their last 21 games following a 3-3 start including a 9-2 record over their last 11 home games with the other home loss coming against the Sixers. Here, we play against underdogs off an upset win as an underdog going up against an opponent off a home loss. This situation is 134-86 ATS (60.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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12-26-23 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -4.5 | Top | 116-115 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS as part of our Tuesday Triple Play. Memphis opened the season 6-19 but has gone 3-0 since the return of Ja Morant who has not missed a beat. He has averaged 28.0 ppg and 9.0 apg and is shooting over 50 percent from the floor but he is hitting only 18.2 percent from long range. The Grizzlies had one of the best home courts in the league last season but at just 2-11 at home this season and have been much better on the road but are in a tough spot here. They won here in the first game back for Morant on a last second shot by him and the Pelicans will be out for some payback. New Orleans is laying nearly half of that number in this rematch from just a week ago which started a two-game slide, both losses by two points, following a four-game winning streak. The Pelicans has been just average at home at 9-6 but the last three losses have come by five combined points so the record could be better. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a straight up loss as a favorite of seven points or more, off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (508) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-26-23 | Nets v. Pistons +6.5 | Top | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS as part of our Tuesday Triple Play. It was another loss for Detroit as the Pistons tied the NBA record for most consecutive losses then they lost 126-115 on Saturday in Brooklyn. This is the last record they want, especially in front of the home crowd, what little of it there might be. For being the worst team in the NBA, they are not near the worst on either side of the ball as the Pistons are No. 22 in offensive shooting and No. 23 in defensive shooting. We have stayed off Detroit for quite a while but this is the spot to back them, especially with line value coming home. This is a tricky spot for Brooklyn coming off that win on Saturday, having the Christmas break with travel and then hosting Milwaukee tomorrow night. The Nets had not been playing well as they were on a five-game losing streak prior to the Saturday victory and they are still sitting a game under .500 and hit the road where they are 5-8. Here, we play on underdogs after a loss by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after two straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more. This situation is 71-31 ATS (69.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (504) Detroit Pistons |
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12-25-23 | Celtics v. Lakers +3 | Top | 126-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Star Attraction. The Lakers are coming off a much needed win on Saturday against Oklahoma City to snap a four-game losing streak and they return home where they are 10-3 on the season with two of those losses coming by three and five points. After a rough stretch on offense, Los Angeles has shot 48 percent or better in seven of its last nine games including 52 percent or better five times. They will need to keep that rolling against the No. 5 ranked team in defensive efficiency. On their own defensive side, the Lakers are No. 8 in defensive efficiency. Boston has won two straight games after opening the roadtrip with a loss at Golden St. in overtime and that snapped a four-game road losing streak. While the Celtics are 14-0 at home, they are just 8-6 on the road while going 4-8-2 against the number which includes losing both games outright when favored by three points or more. Boston remains No. 1 in the Eastern Conference, a half-game ahead of Milwaukee but it is in a very tough position coming off a pair of blowout wins where the offense went off for 144 and 145 points. Here, we play on underdogs averaging 114 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after scoring 135 points or more. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (592) Los Angeles Lakers |
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12-25-23 | Bucks -3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 122-129 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Afternoon Dominator. Milwaukee is coming off a 130-111 win over the Knicks on Saturday in the first game of this two-game set and we expect the Bucks to dominate again. They outshot New York 52.7 percent to 44.1 percent and they have shot 50 percent or better in seven of their last 10 games. Milwaukee has a big advantage down low as it outrebounded the Knicks 53-41 and they are now without Mitchell Robinson so their only true center is Isaiah Hartenstein. Milwaukee has won seven straight and it is 12-3 ATS over its last 15 games following six or more wins. The Knicks had a three-game winning streak at the start of the month but they have gone 4-5 since then and they have fallen into the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference, six games behind Boston. They have been good but not great at home, going 7-4 and while gong 7-2 as favorites, they have lost both games at home when getting points with the other loss coming against the Celtics. New York has struggled on defense of late, allowing opponents to shoot 50 percent or higher in six of their last 11 games and face the No. 2 ranked team in offensive efficiency. 10* (587) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-23-23 | Lakers +3.5 v. Thunder | Top | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Lakers have lost four straight games to fall to 16-14 including a loss at Minnesota on Thursday where LeBron James sat out with an ankle injury but will be back tonight. Los Angeles was able to cover that game because of the inflated line and this is a big game to get things right before Boston comes to town on Christmas day. The Lakers have struggled on the road with a 5-11 record but they are 4-1 in road games following a road loss. This is the second meeting this season with the Lakers looking for some payback after losing by 23 points in the first meeting. Oklahoma City has won three straight games and is now 13-4 over its last 17 games. We won with the Thunder on Wednesday against the Clippers which were without Kawhi Leonard and they were able to pull away late. Oklahoma City remains in second place in the Western Conference, two and a half games behind Minnesota. Here, we play on teams after having lost five or six of their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 103-60 ATS (63.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (547) Los Angeles Lakers |
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12-22-23 | Suns +3.5 v. Kings | Top | 105-120 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. It has been a rough start to the season for Phoenix as it is in bounce back mode yet again. The Suns are coming off a disappointing loss to Portland on Tuesday which was its seventh loss in their last 10 games. one of those losses came against Brooklyn but it was the first time that Kevin Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal were on the floor in the same game as injuries had deferred that through the first 23 games but it was short lived. Beal is out again and has played just five game and part of a quarter this season and was a non-factor in any of those. The Suns are 7-5 on the road and catching a good number. Sacramento has turned things around following a 2-4 start to the season as it has gone 14-6 over its last 20 games but is coming off a bad 25-point loss at home against the Celtics on Wednesday. That snapped a three-game winning streak as well as a four-game home winning streak and while this would be a good bounce back spot normally, not in this matchup. The Kings are 10-4 at home including 8-3 as a home favorite but are just 5-6 ATS in those games. 10* (525) Phoenix Suns |
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12-21-23 | Clippers v. Thunder -4 | Top | 115-134 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. We lost playing against the Clippers last night and will go against them again tonight in a back-to-back set coming off a dominating shooting effort on both sides of the floor. They outshot Dallas 55.8 percent to 42.9 percent and that was the sixth straight game Los Angeles has shot 50 percent or better from the floor. The Clippers have won nine straight games while covering five in a row but they are still a game under .500 on the road and come in as underdogs where they are 0-5 this season compared to going 17-5 as favorites. The Thunder have won two straight games and six of their last eight and sit 2.5 games behind Minnesota for first place in the Western Conference. Oklahoma City is tied for fifth in the NBA in defensive efficiency so it can slow down the recent offensive run of the Clippers. The markets may be starting to catch up as they are favorites here but that has been a good spot as they are 11-3 straight up and 10-4 against the number when laying points. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four or five of their last six against the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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12-20-23 | Clippers v. Mavs +3.5 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Clippers are on a roll as they have won eight straight games to go from two games under .500 to six games over .500 and have moved into a tie for fifth place with Dallas in the Western Conference. Not to diminish the win streak but only two of those were on the road and of their five overall road wins, two have come against 4-21 San Antonio and another against 10-17 Utah. Coincidence or note, the Clippers opened 0-5 when James Harden joined the teams but have gone 13-3 in the 16 games he has played in since then. Dallas has lost two of its last three games including a 26-point loss at Denver on Monday. It has been pretty up and down for the Mavericks which are 8-8 over their last 16 games following an 8-2 start. The average run coupled with the Clippers surge have made the Mavericks the home underdog where they are 1-1 and will likely be without Kyrie Irving for a sixth consecutive game which is also a spread factor. On the flip side, Paul George is not 100 percent and is questionable. 10* (548) Dallas Mavericks |
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12-20-23 | Hawks v. Rockets -3.5 | Top | 134-127 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. After winning 22 games all of last season, Houston has already won 13 games this year with new head coach Ime Udoka clearly making a difference. The Rockets are coming off a pair of losses at Milwaukee and Cleveland and that has been the story this season as they are 2-10 on the road and head home where they are 11-1 which is easily the biggest road/home disparity in the NBA. Houston has not been favored often but gets it done when it is, going 6-0 straight up and against the number. Atlanta snuck out a win over the horrific Pistons which put a small stop to its recent 2-8 stretch. The Hawks are four games under .500 and probably one of the biggest underachieving teams in the league thus far as they possess a great backcourt but have one of the weaker frontcourts which Houston can take advantage of. A lot of that is due to a bad defense that is No. 29 in opposing shooting and No 27 in defensive efficiency. Atlanta is still overvalued despite its 6-20 ATS record which is worst in the league. 10* (544) Houston Rockets |
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12-20-23 | Wolves v. 76ers -3 | Top | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Star Attraction. Philadelphia is coming off a bad home loss against Chicago as a 10-point favorite which snapped a six-game winning streak. The Sixers are now in third place, 2.5 games behind Boston in the Eastern Conference and are now 10-4 at home. Three of those losses were by a combined 13 points with the other coming against the Celtics and this is a revenge game where they lost at Minnesota by 13 points which is their biggest loss of the season. Philadelphia is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games revenging a road loss. Minnesota won its third straight game, a four-point win over Miami and the Timberwolves have won nine of their last 10 games. They are the big surprise in the Western Conference at 20-5 and lead the conference by three games over another surprise team in Oklahoma City. The Timberwolves have used their No. 1 defensive efficiency to get where they are but face the No. 1 efficiency team in offense and the sixers back that up with the No. 5 rank in defensive efficiency. 10* (536) Philadelphia 76ers |
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12-19-23 | Celtics v. Warriors +5.5 | Top | 126-132 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston won its fifth straight game on Sunday to close out a perfect 5-0 homestand and it is now 14-0 at home and now hits the road for four games for its first trip out west this season. The Celtics have played only two games against the Western Conference this season, losing to Minnesota and barely getting by a bad Memphis team by two points. They are 6-5 on the road and have gone only 2-7-2 ATS in those games as they have been favored in all of those and overall, they have played down to the competition as Boston is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. Golden St. escaped Portland with a four-point win to make it two straight wins. The Warriors are still two games under .500 and sitting in the No. 11 spot in the Western Conference, two and a half games out of the final playoff spot. Golden St. has won five straight games at home after a 1-6 start and catching a good number. The Warriors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games when playing against a teams with a winning percentage of .700 or better while going 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games after failing to cover three of their last four against the spread. 10* (528) Golden St. Warriors |
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12-18-23 | Hornets +11.5 v. Raptors | Top | 99-114 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Toronto is coming off a home split against Atlanta following a 21-point loss on Friday and the Raptors have dropped five of their last six games. They now come in as a massive favorite, the first time this season they have laid double digits and they have not been good as a favorite of any kind, going 6-5 straight up and 5-6 against the number. Toronto is 10-15 overall, one of only 10 teams in the league with 10 or fewer wins and has no business laying a number this big. Charlotte is coming off its worst loss of the season as it lost by 53 points against the Sixers which is certainly being factored into this number. Teams coming off embarrassing losses like that step it up next time out and while that loss cannot be discounted, the Hornets are getting close to the same number they were getting against Philadelphia which is a total overreaction. Here, we play against home favorites after allowing 115 points or more in three straight games going up against an opponent after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game. This situation is 37-11 ATS (77.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (511) Charlotte Hornets |
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12-17-23 | Magic +8.5 v. Celtics | Top | 97-114 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Boston has won four straight games including the first game against Orlando in this two-game home set with the Magic. These back-to-back games are not easy to sweep but we are more tuned into the spread as the Celtics are now overvalued in a tough spot. Boston is undefeated at home at 13-0 but have covered only eight of those and there is a possible lookahead here to a four-game west coast trip that starts on Tuesday at Golden St. Boston remains in first place in the Eastern Conference, a game and a half over Milwaukee and Philadelphia but Orlando is still lingering. The loss on Friday snapped a two-game winning streak for the Magic which are still a solid 16-8. They have been one of the best teams in the league when not playing back-to-back or with prolonged rest as they are 11-1 when playing on one day off, going 9-2-1 against the Number. Orlando is just three games behind Boston in the conference so getting out of here with a split is ideal but again, we are getting value with this number. Orlando closed as a five-point underdog in the first game and now it has shot up to eight points with no injury situation factoring into that. 10* (569) Orlando Magic |
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12-16-23 | Pacers +8 v. Wolves | Top | 109-127 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Indiana was coming off an expected loss at Milwaukee on Wednesday which was a big revenge game for the Bucks but to follow that up with a loss at Washington, which snapped the Wizards six-game losing streak and a 1-15 run was a bad loss. The Pacers may have been guilty of looking ahead and hopefully they were which means they will be ready to go despite playing a team they should have won. The defense was the issue which has been common knowledge but the offense is good enough to push the ball against what has been the best defense in the league. Minnesota is coming off an upset win at Dallas as it won by 18 points as a slight underdog. The Timberwolves remain the surprise No. 1 team in the Western Conference at 18-5 as they are 2.5 games ahead of Denver but this line is too much. Minnesota has won seven of its last eight games but five of those wins have come against some of the worst teams in the league and the Timberwolves have failed to cover any of their last three home games as the markets have caught up with an overreaction. Great bounce back spot for the Pacers. 10* (557) Indiana Pacers |
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12-15-23 | Knicks v. Suns -5 | Top | 139-122 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Phoenix is coming off a disappointing loss to Brooklyn on Wednesday which was its fifth loss in its last seven games. If there is any good news from a loss, it was the fact that Kevin Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal were on the floor in the same game for the first time this season as injuries had deferred that through the first 23 games because of injuries. Now with a game under their belt and some rotations sorting beyond them, it will be a much different result here. Part of the problem was that the Suns only forced seven turnovers and the pressure will be better against a turnover prone Knicks team. New York is coming off a bad loss at Utah on Wednesday and the Knicks are just 5-5 over their last 10 games and they catch the Suns at the wrong time. They have lost three straight and four of their last five games on the road and they are just 2-6 straight up and 3-5 as road underdogs. That has been key all season as the favorite is 18-5 in New York games this season. Here, we play on home favorites after having lost five or six of their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (548) Phoenix Suns |
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12-15-23 | Hawks +3 v. Raptors | Top | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Atlanta has been one of the early disappointing teams in the Eastern Conference as it has now lost five straight games to fall to 9-14 on the season with what is considered a very above average roster and backcourt. This is an immediate revenge spot for the Hawks which lost the first game of this two-game set in Toronto by seven points on Wednesday. It was one of their worst defensive efforts of the season, allowing 57.5 percent shooting but facing the same opponent two days later means adjustments will be made. We are also bucking the Hawks 0-8 ATS run. Toronto has not done anything special either as it is just 10-14 and the win on Wednesday snapped a four-game losing streak. The Raptors have been nothing special at home with a 7-6 record and stringing wins together has been a problem all season as they are just 2-7 following a victory, covering only three of those games. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive losses, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 141-89 ATS (61.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (543) Atlanta Hawks |
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12-14-23 | Thunder v. Kings -1.5 | Top | 123-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Sacramento has been up and down since a six-game winning streak in early November as it is 5-5 over its last 10 games including a 20-point loss at Los Angeles against the Clippers on Tuesday. The Kings are in bounce back mode at a good price against the biggest surprise in the Western Conference. Their defense has not been great but is improved from last season and the offense is top 12 in efficiency after a slow start. Sacramento has won seven of its last nine home games following a loss in its first home game of the season against Golden St. and this is the start of a six-game homestand leading up to Christmas. Oklahoma City has won two straight games following a 2-3 run and the Thunder remain in second place in the conference, two games behind Minnesota. The cover against the Jazz put them at 15-6-1 ATS which is tied for third best in the league which is keeping this number low. Oklahoma City has been favored in 10 of its last 12 games and in the two games as an underdog, it lost. Here, we play on teams after a blowout loss by 15 points or more going up against an opponent after two straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more. This situation is 57-18 ATS (76 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Sacramento Kings |
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12-13-23 | Pacers v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 126-140 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Month. This is a double revenge spot for Milwaukee as it lost the first meeting at Indiana by a bucket and most recently, lost to the Pacers in the semifinals of the In-Season Tournament in Las Vegas. The Bucks first game after that resulted in a four-point win over Chicago in overtime as they outshot the Bulls 51.2 percent to 41.2 percent but allowed a season high 114 shot attempts with Chicago grabbing 18 offensive rebounds while forcing only six turnovers. It was the second time Chicago shut down Damian Lillard as he scored only 14 points on 3-17 shooting and after being held to 12 points in the first meeting, he went off for 37 points in his next game. Indiana responded to the In-Season Tournament loss to the Lakers with an eight-point win over Detroit as it was able to sneak out the cover by a half-point. The Pacers are sitting in the No. 5 spot in the Eastern Conference at officially 13-8 as the offense is coming off another stellar performance, shooting 56.5 percent, but the defense continues to struggle as they allowed 55.6 percent which was the best shooting effort for Detroit this season. They have allowed 50 percent shooting or higher 12 times and Indiana is No. 26 in defensive efficiency. 10* (514) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-12-23 | Lakers -1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 125-127 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Lakers are coming off the win in the In-Season Championship game over Indiana but that was back on Saturday so there is no letdown, it that is even a thing, and with the extra time off, there will no chance of resting on Tuesday. Los Angeles is 14-9 as the win over the Pacers does not count toward the overall record which some places are counting, and it is in the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference and comes in as the road favorite. We will not shy away from that even though the Lakers tend to get bumped a point or two just because they are the Lakers. Dallas is coming off a win at Memphis on Monday to improve to 14-8 which has it at No. 3 in the conference and has gone 2-2 when playing with no rest so no edge either way. The Mavericks are a rare home underdog where they lost their only game in that spot this season against Oklahoma City. In their 22 games, the favorite has gone 18-4 straight up and 16-6 against the number and a win here likely means the cover as well. This is a revenge game for the Lakers which lost at home by three points. 10* (563) Los Angeles Lakers |
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12-11-23 | Nets v. Kings -4.5 | Top | 118-131 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. The Nets won against Washington on Friday to make it three straight wins and improve a recent run to 6-1. Brooklyn leads the league with a 16-4-1 ATS record and while this includes an 8-3-1 ATS record as an underdog, it is 4-8 straight up on those games and getting a short number here. The markets have to catch up and this is the ideal spot to go against with a five-game west coast roadtrip starting tonight. 13 of their 21 games have come at home where they are 8-5 but just 4-4 on the road. Sacramento bounced back from a loss against New Orleans by winning at Phoenix on Friday. It has been a solid run of late for the Kings which are 10-4 over their last 14 games following a 2-4 start. Their defense has not been great but is improved from last season and the offense is top 12 in efficiency after a slow start. Sacramento has won six of its last eight home games following a loss in its first home game of the season against Golden St. and now is playing seven of its next eight at home. 10* (560) Sacramento Kings |
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12-11-23 | Wolves v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. The Pelicans made a solid run in the In-Season Tournament as it fell to the Lakers in the semifinals and has had ample rest heading into this one. New Orleans is as healthy as it has been most of this season as their big three of Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram and C.J. McCollum and back in the starting lineup together and while the trio scored just 31 points combined against Los Angeles and are off their worst shooting game of the season, this is a good spot for a bounce back. Minnesota is one of the biggest surprises in the NBA this season as it is now 17-4 following its sixth straight victory on Friday, a 24-point win at Memphis. The win was possibly costly however as Anthony Edwards left the game with a hip contusion and he is listed as questionable tonight and it would not be surprising if he sits this one out based on the line movement. The defense has led the way as the Timberwolves are No. 1 in the league in offensive efficiency but Minnesota is just No. 16 in offensive efficiency. 10* (556) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-11-23 | Pacers v. Pistons +6.5 | Top | 131-123 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. This is a big letdown spot for Indiana which made a great run in the In-Season Tournament, defeating Boston and Milwaukee before eventually losing to the Lakers in the championship game. The offense managed only 109 points on Saturday which was its third lowest output of the season while coming off its worst shooting performance on the year, shooting only 36.8 percent from the floor. We will see a better effort on that end but the defense remains a liability as the Pacers are No. 27 in defensive efficiency. Detroit is having a horrible season as it opened 2-1 but has now lost 19 straight games and is five games away from tying the NBA record for consecutive losses and this is with the highest paid coach in NBA history. As bad as the record is, the Pistons are ranked No. 23 in offensive shooting and No. 21 in defensive shooting and those rankings do not corelate to a record as bad as that. This is a revenge game from a couple weeks ago where they lost by 23 points on the road. 10* (538) Detroit Pistons |
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12-08-23 | Rockets v. Nuggets -8.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. It has not been a great start for Denver as it is off to a 14-8 start following a pair of losses at Sacramento and Los Angeles against the Clippers and the Nuggets are in the midst of a tough stretch. They have a run of 16 games where 12 of those are on the road and Denver is 6-7 in the first 13 games including a 3-7 record on the road. So the Nuggets are 3-0 at home over this stretch and are 9-0 at home this season so the huge home court edge has not changed from last season. We cannot forget it was a slow start for Denver last season as well as it started 14-10 but then went on a 20-3 run and foresee big things happening again. Houston snapped a three-game losing streak with a win against Oklahoma City on Wednesday which also snapped a three-game streak against the number following a remarkable 11-0 ATS run. However, eight of those 11 games were at home where the Rockets won all eight of those games outright and the venue has played a big role in the records as Houston is 9-1 at home but 0-8 on the road with one of those losses coming here just over a week ago by 10 points. 10* (522) Denver Nuggets |
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12-08-23 | Warriors v. Thunder -3.5 | Top | 136-138 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Oklahoma City is coming off a loss at Houston to fall to 13-7 which is still good for No. 2 in the Western Conference. The Thunder have lost three of their last five games following a six-game winning streak that included a pair of wins against Golden St. on the road and a win here gives them an important early season series win that could go a long way at the end of the season. They are doing it on both ends of the floor as the Thunder are No. 4 in offensive shooting and No. 2 in defensive shooting and while their record does not completely corelate with that, they are the second best ATS team at 14-5-1 including a 5-0-1 ATS record following a loss. Golden St. is not right as it is 10-11 following a 5-10 run and while injuries have played a role, this team is just plain old yet the linesmakers are still overvaluing them. To their credit, the Warriors have played the No. 2 ranked schedule but it does not get easier here. Golden St. has taken care of the bad teams as they are 7-1 against teams ranked outside the top 16 and 3-10 against teams ranked inside that including a 2-5 record against the top 10. 10* (518) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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12-08-23 | Wizards +9.5 v. Nets | Top | 97-124 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. The Nets won in Atlanta on Wednesday to make it two straight wins and improve a recent run to 5-1. They are now 11-9 overall but a fairly average 7-5 at home. Brooklyn leads the league with a 15-4-1 ATS record and while this includes a 7-1 record both straight up and against the spread as a favorite, the lone loss came when it was favored in this price range. The markets have to catch up and this is the ideal spot to go against with a five-game west coast roadtrip on deck. Washington lost for the third consecutive game to fall to 3-17 which surprisingly is not even the worst record in the Eastern Conference. The Wizards were not expected to do anything this season and that has already come to fruition but it was known coming in and the markets adjusted from the start so while they have not been winning, they have been staying within the number, going 10-10 ATS. Washington has been better on the road with inflated numbers as it is 8-4 ATS and is again catching an inflated number. After a slow start, the offense has improved, shooting 47 percent or better in their last six games and has shot 50.3 percent in the six games. 10* (511) Washington Wizards |
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12-07-23 | Pacers v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 128-119 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Milwaukee is coming off a 24-point win against the Knicks in the quarterfinal after sweeping the group stage by outscoring opponents by 46 points and is in good position to make it to the championship. It was an uneven start to the season for the Bucks trying to find their chemistry with a revamped roster as they opened 5-4 but have gone 10-2 since then with one of those losses coming to Boston on the road. Milwaukee is one of only two teams in the league with two scorers in the top 15 and as a team, it is No. 3 in scoring and No. 2 in scoring. Indiana brings in the most potent offense in the league but that has resulted in just an 11-8 record. The Pacers are coming off a 10-point upset against Boston but they were outshot and the difference was from the free throw line as they outscored Boston 17-8 while making seven more three-pointers. While the offense has been humming, the difference here is the defense as the Bucks have not been great but are middle of the pack while Indiana is No. 29 in both points allowed and opponents shooting and has allowed opponents to shoot 47 percent or higher in 12 straight games including 50 percent or more seven times. 10* (502) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-06-23 | Nets v. Hawks -3.5 | Top | 114-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Atlanta is back home following a five-game roadtrip where it went 2-3 to remain one game under .500 on the season. This is the first Hawks home game since November 22 which also came against Brooklyn in a two-point win and this is an important game with games against Philadelphia and Denver on deck. Atlanta is the worst ATS team in the league as it is 5-14 against the number which adds value with people staying clear. Brooklyn defeated Orlando by 29 points in its last game on Saturday which concluded a five-game homestand where it went 4-1 to move a game over .500. The Nets have been a pleasant surprise in the Eastern Conference as the roster has been depleted from the last couple seasons. While Atlanta has poor against the spread, Brooklyn has been the opposite as it is 14-4-1 ATS which is tied with Oklahoma City for the best in the NBA. Here, we play against road underdogs after a blowout win by 20 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (570) Atlanta Hawks |
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12-05-23 | Suns +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 103-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We were hoping to find more injury info in this matchup but it is likely going to be late with LeBron James listed as questionable and will likely go as he seems to be on the injury report every game. This game is for a trip to the semifinals of the In-Season Tournament and the Suns look for some revenge here. They have lost the first two meetings with Los Angeles and while they are not at full strength, they are better off than those first two games with Devin Booker back in the lineup. He has been consistent since coming back with the exception of a poor game against Toronto two games back when he rolled an ankle but was fine in the last game against Memphis where he put up 34 points. After a rough start by going 4-6 in their first 10 games, the Suns have won eight of their last 10 to move into fourth place in the Western Conference. The Lakers also started slow but then went on a 6-1 run but have gone 3-3 since then. They are laying a short number but for good reason and they are a significant public side tonight. 10* (561) Phoenix Suns |
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12-02-23 | Thunder v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 126-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Dallas is coming off a loss last night against Memphis which was its second worst offensive output this season. The Mavericks scored 94 points, second lowest, and shot just 37 percent from the field which was also its second lowest this season. They were without Luka Doncic on Friday night as he welcomed Baby Doncic and he is on track to return tonight with the line still making it questionable. It was his first missed game of the season and he is obviously the cog of this team, averaging 31.1 ppg, 8.0 rpg, and 7.9 apg in 17 games. Oklahoma City snapped a two-game losing streak with a 23-point win over the Lakers on Thursday and it is the biggest surprise in the Western Conference through the early part of the season. The Thunder are 12-6 which is good for third place in the conference, two games behind Minnesota. They have been excellent on both sides of the ball, No. 3 in offensive shooting and No. 2 in opponent shooting percentage but have done the damage against the bottom half of the league where they are 6-0 and just 6-6 against the top 15. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after scoring 95 points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 130 points or more. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (546) Dallas Mavericks |
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12-01-23 | Wizards +11.5 v. Magic | Top | 125-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We are grabbing the big number here on a bad team that is in a great situation. This is the second straight game between Washington and Orlando with the Magic winning the first meeting by 19 points and the line has slightly gone up because of that. Washington has won only three games this season which includes a 2-9 record on the road but because of the inflated lines, the Wizards are 7-4 against the number compared to covering just one game at home in seven tried where the lines are a lot shorter. Orlando is off to a very impressive start as it is now 13-5 which has it sitting in the second spot in the Eastern Conference. The Magic are 8-1 at home but this is not a good spot despite coming off that 19-point win as they come in banged up with Paolo Banchero dealing with an ankle injury after exiting the last game early. He is probable but could be limited and a late scratch would not be surprising in this matchup with a game at Brooklyn on deck for tomorrow night. Orlando is in that lookahead situation as it will be out to avenge a 20-point loss to the Nets earlier this season, it biggest defeat of the season. 10* (519) Washington Wizards |
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11-30-23 | Hornets +8 v. Nets | Top | 129-128 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Brooklyn has won three straight games which snapped a three-game losing streak to get back over .500 and is currently sitting right on the playoff line with a ton of basketball left. The Nets have covered four straight games and remain home where they are just 6-4 which is nothing special. Brooklyn has won the games it has supposed to win as it is a perfect 6-0 as a favorite and has covered all of those games as well but the difference now is that the Nets are laying their biggest number of the season. Charlotte has dropped two straight games following a two-game winning streak and it has been a rough start overall as the Hornets are 5-11. They played their first game without LaMelo Ball who suffered a sprained ankle against Orlando after playing only 14 minutes and their offense struggled with their lowest point total with just 91 points scored on 41.6 percent shooting but now a second game in they should be more comfortable as Terry Rozier is a very capable backup. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a win against a division rival. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (507) Charlotte Hornets |
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11-29-23 | 76ers v. Pelicans +1.5 | Top | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Philadelphia has won two straight games following a 2-4 stretch and this includes a 44-point win over the Lakers on Monday at home. Not only does that provide a letdown opportunity to go against but the Sixers have a game at Boston on deck in a revenge spot so there is the lookahead aspect as well. Philadelphia is tied for No. 3 in the Eastern Conference, one and a half games behind the Celtics and despite one of the best records in the NBA, they are ranked just No. 10 in offensive shooting and No. 12 in defensive shooting. New Orleans was on a 5-1 run including covers in all six games but went to Utah and lost both games by a combined seven points. The Pelicans are now 9-9 on the season and sitting on the playoff line and are back home where they are 6-4 which includes solid wins over Dallas, Denver and Sacramento twice. Despite a record that is 3.5 games worse, New Orleans is right in line statistically as it is No. 11 in offensive shooting and No. 9 in defensive shooting. Excellent spot with a good line where a win gets the cover. 10* (564) New Orleans Pelicans |
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11-28-23 | Rockets v. Mavs -3.5 | Top | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. Dallas has lost four of its last six games after an 8-2 start and head back home at full strength. Six of the last seven Mavericks games have been on the road and are 4-2 at home with the only home game during this stretch resulting in a 16-point loss against Sacramento. This is a top ranked offense that is No. 6 in scoring and No. 6 in long range shooting. The Rockets opened 0-3 but have turned a corner by going 8-3 over their last 11 games to get over .500 and they are currently in the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference. They have been cash at the betting window as Houston has covered 11 straight games and this is certainly not sustainable especially when hitting the road where it has played only five games and has gone 0-5. Nine of the Rockets last 12 games have been at home and this is the start of a tough three-game roadtrip. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game going up against an opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (554) Dallas Mavericks |
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11-27-23 | Pelicans -4 v. Jazz | Top | 112-114 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. This is the second game of a back-to-back between New Orleans and Utah with the Jazz winning the first game on Saturday. That win snapped the Pelicans three game winning streak and a five-game cover streak but they are still 5-2 over their last seven games after a 4-6 start. They are 3-4 on the road and are coming off their third worst shooting performance of the season where they hit just 41.9 percent from the floor. This is actually a four-game revenge spot after getting swept in all three games last season. Utah snapped a four-game losing streak with the win on Saturday and put an end to a 2-8 skid. This is one of the worst offenses in the league as the Jazz are No. 25 in shooting and their defense has been just as bad, ranking No. 24 in opponents shooting. The advanced stats are even worse against a No. 18 schedule and they are 2-8 against the top 16 in the league. Here, we play on road favorites revenging a straight up loss as a favorite, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 46-21 ATS (68.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (537) New Orleans Pelicans |
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11-26-23 | Hawks v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Boston is coming off a 17-point loss at Orlando on Friday which was its second loss in the last three games, both on the road, and the Celtics return home for the start of a seven-game homestand. 10 of their first 16 games have been on the road and they are back in Boston where they are 6-0 and in a great spot for a get right game. The Celtics are still in first place in the Eastern Conference behind a top five defense and coming off a game with its lowest scoring output of the season. Atlanta is coming off a win at Washington last night and this is its second back-to-back road games this season and the first with no rest. The Hawks are 8-7 and while they bring in a top ranked offense, their defense is one of the worst, ranking No. 27 in both points allowed and opponent shooting percentage. Here, we play against underdogs off a road win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 45-19 ATS (70.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (518) Boston Celtics |
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11-25-23 | 76ers -1.5 v. Thunder | Top | 127-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Sixers have lost two straight games including a 13-point loss at Minnesota on Wednesday where Joel Embiid was a scratch with a bothersome hip but he will be back tonight. Philadelphia is now 10-5 which is goof for fourth place in the Eastern Conference, a game and a half behind Boston following the Celtics loss yesterday. The Sixers have one of the best rosters when healthy with the top three of Embiid, Tyrese Maxey and Tobias Harris averaging a combined 77.7 ppg. Oklahoma City has won six straight games to improve to 11-4 which is good for a tie for first place in the Western Conference. It has been surprisingly good on the road at 6-1 but it just 5-3 at home. The Thunder have covered all six of those games and their 12-3 ATS is record is second best in the NBA behind Orlando, another surprise team with a young roster. Oklahoma City has been getting it done on both sides as it leads the league in shooting defense and is second in shooting offense but there are troubles. Guard Josh Giddey could be in some serious trouble that it has been uncovered he has been in a relationship with a minor and it would not be surprising if he is out for this game and the distractions are not ideal for this team. 10* (501) Philadelphia 76ers |
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11-24-23 | Nuggets -3 v. Rockets | Top | 86-105 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Denver opened the season 8-1 and looked to continue the run from its NBA Title from last season but it has gone 2-4 since then to fall into third place in the Western Conference. The Nuggets have failed to cover seven straight games and we are getting some value here. The struggles have coincided with the absence of Jamal Murray but this is now their fourth game without him so there has been time to find the continuity without him. The Rockets opened 0-3 but have turned a corner by going 7-3 over their last 10 games to get over .500 and they are currently in the No. 8 spot in the conference. It has been the opposite at the betting window as Houston has covered 10 straight games and this is certainly not sustainable. This is a good roster overall but not a good spot with a revenge minded Denver coming to town. Here, we play on road teams revenging a loss of three points or less, off an upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (567) Denver Nuggets |
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11-22-23 | Kings -1.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 112-117 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. This is the second game of a two-game home set for New Orleans which rolled over Sacramento on Monday by 36 points for this is a big revenge game for the Kings. They are now 8-5 and had a six-game winning streak snapped in that last contest. This included three straight road wins after starting 1-3 on the highway. De'Aaron Fox has played only eight games but is healthy again and coming off his worst game of the season as he scored 14 points on 5-18 shooting including 2-12 from long range so we should see a big bounce back game from him. New Orleans has won three of its last four games following a five-game losing streak. The offense has been shooting lights out, going over 51 percent from the floor in its last five games including a season high 54.3 percent on Monday. The Pelicans can expect the best effort from Sacramento after that awful effort and they do come in just 5-4 at home. The Pelicans are still without CJ McCollum who is out indefinitely with a collapsed lung. Here, we play on teams revenging a same season loss, off an upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (539) Sacramento Kings |
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11-22-23 | Bulls +7 v. Thunder | Top | 102-116 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Oklahoma City is one of the biggest surprises in the NBA as it is now 10-4 following its fifth straight win. Two of those games were against two of the worst teams in the Western Conference in Portland and San Antonio while the other three games were against a depleted Golden St. twice and a banged up Phoenix team at the time. The Thunder are 11-3 against the number and the markets are starting to catch up as they are laying a sizeable number here. Chicago is coming off a four-game homestand where it went 1-3, losing to games against Orlando and splitting games with Miami. The Bulls are now 5-10 straight up and 5-0-1 against the number and are catching their third biggest number of the season with the first two bigger numbers coming against Denver and Milwaukee and we cannot put Oklahoma City in the group with those team just yet. This is a road revenge game with Chicago losing the season opener by 20 points at home. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg, after scoring 105 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 52-22 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (541) Chicago Bulls |
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11-22-23 | Bucks v. Celtics -5.5 | Top | 116-119 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Boston is coming off an overtime loss at Charlotte as it was in a horrible spot riding a six-game winning streak with this game on deck so the fact there was a lack of focus was no surprise. We played against the Celtics there but are now backing them as they return home where they are undefeated but has played only five of their 14 games here. Their three losses have by a combined 11 points and currently sitting in the No. 1 spot in the Eastern Conference, this is an early statement game. Milwaukee got off to an uneven start as it opened 5-4 but has won five straight games to sit one game behind Boston in the conference and while this is a statement game for the Bucks as well, the venue will make a big difference here. Milwaukee has played a very favorable schedule that is ranked No. 27 in the league and while it is 6-1 at home, it is 4-3 on the road. The Damon Lillard acquisition is paying off thus far and while a top team in the NBA, this is not a good spot. Here, we play on home favorites with a winning percentage of .750 or better after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 51-26 ATS (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (536) Boston Celtics |
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11-21-23 | Pacers v. Hawks -3.5 | Top | 157-152 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. The Hawks have opened their four-game homestand with a pair of losses against New York and Philadelphia to fall to 6-6 on the season. Atlanta has lost three straight home games and are in a good spot here to keep the offense rolling as it is No. 5 in the league in scoring with Trae Young and Dejounte Murray averaging a combined 44.7 ppg while having seven players averaging double digits in scoring. Indiana is coming off a home loss against Orlando to go to 7-5 on the season. The Pacers have the top scoring offense in the NBA as they go fast, averaging a league high 107.7 possessions per game but the defense suffers from it. Indiana is No. 28 in points allowed and No. 26 in opponents shooting and over the last four games, they have allowed 50.7 percent shooting. Here, we play on teams after a loss by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after two straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more. This situation is 83-43 ATS (65.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (522) Atlanta Hawks |
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11-20-23 | Celtics v. Hornets +9 | Top | 118-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Boston has won six straight games to move to 11-2 and one game up on the Sixers and two games up on the Bucks. The Celtics are coming off their second straight one possession win and while the opposition is not good tonight, this is a bad spot. Boston is No. 2 in both points allowed and opponents shooting even with the loss of Marcus Smart and while this should be an easy layup, It is too many points with a home game on deck against Milwaukee. Charlotte has lost four straight games and is 3-9 on the season but it is in a great spot off two double digit losses. This is contrarian and the line says it. Arguably, one of the worst teams in the league, they can score as the Hornets are No. 14 in scoring and No. 15 in shooting. They can keep up here in a great lookahead spot for the opponent in a quad revenge spot. The Celtics are 9-19 in their last 28 games following consecutive road games. 10* (504) Charlotte Hornets |
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11-19-23 | Thunder v. Blazers +7.5 | Top | 134-91 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. This is the ultimate letdown spot for Oklahoma City which is coming off a two-game sweep at Golden St. including an overtime win last night. The Warriors led by as many as 18 points midway through the third quarter before the Thunder came back to force overtime as Chet Holmgren has his coming out party with 36 points and 10 rebounds. Along with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored 40 last night, this will be a great top two but it is not sustainable yet. Oklahoma City is one of the big surprises at 9-4 and with its 10-3 ATS record, it is now a public team. Portland is off to an expected poor start as it is 3-9 which includes six straight losses and this is exactly the time to back the Blazers. The offense has failed to reach 100 points in three straight games shooting just over 37 percent but catches a team at the right time. The Blazers have been hurt with injuries but that has only built chemistry with the latest roster and there is a possibility Malcolm Brogdon comes back tonight after missing the last four games. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after scoring 95 points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 130 points or more. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (570) Portland Trail Blazers |
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11-18-23 | Heat v. Bulls +3 | Top | 97-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Miami has been red hot as it has won seven straight games after a 1-4 start to move into the No. spot in the early Eastern Conference standings. Previous to the most recent win over Brooklyn at home, their last four wins have been on the road and this is the start of another roadtrip, this one five games. Three of those road wins were against three of the worst teams in the league and tonight the Heat are actually favored by more than they were against San Antonio. Chicago is off to a rough start at 3-9 but it still is not considered as one of the worst teams in the league as the Bulls have a solid roster. Three of their last six losses have come by a combined five points so they have been unfortunate. This is the second of a back-to-back following a pair of losses against Orlando where the offense scored 94 and 97 points, their two lowest outputs of the season but the Magic have a top four defense. This is a get right spot with the first of two straight against the Heat. Here, we play on underdogs outscored by their opponents by 3.0 or more ppg, after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 65-30 ATS (68.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Chicago Bulls |
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11-17-23 | Rockets v. Clippers -7 | Top | 100-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Game of the Week. The Clippers are a wreck right now as they have lost six straight games and the addition of James Harden has been the blame which is partly true but it is about chemistry as a team. Los Angeles is now 3-7 following a 3-1 start with the home team winning those first four games. The schedule has not been in its favor during this losing streak as five of the six games were on the road and while it is no excuse, winning on the road is not easy in this league. The lone home loss was against Memphis which was a bad one and it was a game they should have won, outshooting the Grizzlies. On the opposite spectrum, the rockets have been the early surprise of the NBA. They opened the season 0-3 but have won six straight games to currently sit in fourth place in the Western Conference but enjoy it while it lasts. Houston is coming off a seven-game homestand which is a benefit in itself and it faced a majority of the teams that had players out. Houston is now on the road for just the third time this season and it could not be in a worst spot. This is a big number that has gone up from opening but it is a must lay as this is the statement game similar to the Suns game on Wednesday. 10* (542) Los Angeles Clippers |
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11-16-23 | Nets v. Heat -2.5 | Top | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Star Attraction. After opening the season 1-4, Miami has won six straight games with most of those coming against some poor teams. That being said, this is a scheduling spot the Heat have to take advantage of with a good line on top of it. They are coming off a four-game roadtrip and begin a five-game roadtrip right after this in a very quirky scheduling disadvantage. The offense was horrid through those first five games but they have shot 48.7 percent during this winning streak and face an up and down defense tonight. This is a revenge game for the Heat which lost by four in the first meeting and were favored by 6.5 points in that game. Brooklyn has been an early season surprise as it is 6-5 with most of those losses being relatively competitive and the Nets have opened the season 9-1-1 ATS and that is certainly part of keeping this line short. The five losses have come against teams that will be likely in the playoffs while the win over Miami was the only one against a quality team with the Clippers possibly being in that group but they are playing horrible right now. The Nets are No. 5 in shooting defense but are No. 17 in points allowed and Miami is scoring at a high pace right now. 10* (518) Miami Heat |
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11-15-23 | Wolves v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 115-133 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Wednesday Star Attraction. Minnesota has been one of the hottest teams in the NBA as it has won seven straight games including a pair of wins at Golden St., culminated with a three-point win last night in a game where the Warriors lost Klay Thompson and Draymond Green in the first couple minutes. The Timberwolves are now 8-2 and they have done it with defense as they are ranked No. 1 in points allowed, opponents shooting and opponents three-point shooting. They will be tested here in what is a contrarian spot despite the line. Phoenix is off to a slow start as it is now 4-6 following a pair of home losses against the Lakers and Thunder. Injuries have played a big part as Bradley Beal missed the early part of the season and then the Suns lost Devin Booker as he has played only two games due to a calf injury but he is probable tonight and they will be at full strength for the first time this season. This is arguably the best roster in the league and as long as they can stay healthy, they can start their run. Phoenix is shooting just 45.4 percent from the floor which is No. 23 in the league and it would normally be a tough matchup but this is the statement game. 10* (512) Phoenix Suns |
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11-14-23 | Spurs +10 v. Thunder | Top | 87-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Tuesday Star Attraction. San Antonio started the season 3-2 but it has lost five straight games and failed to cover any of those. The last two have been competitive in losses against Minnesota and Miami with both being at home and now the Spurs are catching an even bigger number albeit on the road but against a fairly similar talented team. The Spurs defense has been the worst in the league as they are dead last in points allowed and shooting but it is a pace thing as they are No. 16 in scoring and No. 13 in opponent shooting percentage. Oklahoma City opened the season 2-0 and has gone 4-4 since then including an upset win at Phoenix on Sunday. The Thunder have been paced with an offense that is ranked No. 4 in shooting and No. 8 in scoring but have shot more than 50 percent in just four their nine games. They are now laying their biggest number on the season as they have been favored only three times and this is a huge overadjustment. Oklahoma City has two games on deck at Golden St. so there is that lookahead as well. 10* (567) San Antonio Spurs |
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11-12-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3 | Top | 136-124 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Sunday Star Attraction. Dallas bounced back from its loss against Toronto with an 18-point win over the Clippers on Friday to improve to 7-2 on the season and hits the road as a favorite. The Loka Doncic and Kyrie Irving experiment that failed miserably last season is in fine form so far this season as they are averaging a combined 54.2 ppg and with the exception of Tim Hardaway, Jr., after that there is not much. The Mavericks are second in the league in scoring but the defense has suffered with the pace as they are No. 23 in points allowed and No. 27 in opponents shooting. New Orleans opened the season 4-1 with the lone loss coming against Golden St. but it has lost four straight games, three by double digits and the most recent being a three-point loss at Houston. The last three games have come on the road and the Pelicans are back home to right the ship. They have been dealing with a not full roster as Brandon Ingram and Zion Williamson have both already missed time but they are both back to give this offense some consistency. New Orleans is No. 28 in scoring and No. 26 in shooting but can keep up here as the home underdog. 10* (544) New Orleans Pelicans |
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11-11-23 | Cavs v. Warriors -4 | Top | 118-110 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Game of the Week. Golden St. starts a six-game homestand following a 2-2 roadtrip that included a tough loss at Denver in the final game and now it has its first revenge game of the season. The other loss on that roadtrip was at Cleveland by 11 points and that was its worst loss of the season based on the numbers as the Warriors were outshot by over 13 percent from the floor. That was the part of that four-game stretch where they allowed a shooting percentage of 50.3 percent after allowing just over 42 percent in their first five games. The defense returns here. Cleveland is off to an awful start with that Warriors win notwithstanding as it is 2-5 in its other seven games with those two wins coming against Brooklyn by a point and against the Knicks in their own revenge game in the second of a back-to-back. The Cavaliers lost at Oklahoma City by eight points to open their four-game roadtrip and the offense continues to struggle as they are now No. 26 in scoring and No. 23 in shooting. Donovan Mitchell is carrying the team with 30.7 ppg on 51 percent shooting but there has been no one else. 10* (530) Golden St. Warriors |
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11-10-23 | Wolves v. Spurs +6.5 | Top | 117-110 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. After opening the season 1-2, Minnesota has won four straight games including impressive wins over Denver and Boston but all of those were at home and now it hits the road as a significant favorite. The venue has been the difference as the home team is 7-0 in Timberwolves games and while this is certainly a winnable game for them, this is too big of a price. They have been effective thanks to a strong defense that is ranked No. 1 in points allowed, opponents shooting and opponents three-point shooting and they have allowed more than 40 percent shooting only once. San Antonio started the season 3-2 but it has lost three straight games and failed to cover any of those. The last two were by 41 and 21 points against the Pacers and Knicks respectively but those were away from home and the Spurs have actually played five of their last six games on the road. This is the start of a stretch of over their next seven games, six are at home. Not much is expected from San Antonio but it is an exciting time with Victor Wembanyama who has had an up and down start to his career but has shown signs of future stardom. 10* (512) San Antonio Spurs |
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11-10-23 | Nets v. Celtics -11.5 | Top | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Boston has lost two straight games following a 5-0 start including a loss against rival Philadelphia on Wednesday but both of those were on the road by a combined eight points. Five of the Celtics first seven games have been on the road and the last time we say them at home, they hung 155 points on Indiana in a 51-point victory. Their last victory came against Brooklyn on the road by 10 points which resulted in a push and now Boston is laying just a point more at home and it certainly wants to get right after the two-game skid. Brooklyn is coming off a win Wednesday against the Clippers which snapped its own two-game skid to get back to .500. The Nets are an impressive 3-1 on the road and overall, they have overachieved which is apparent in their ATS record where they are 7-0-1 against the number, coming in as the underdog in all but one game. Yes, this is a big number but it sets up for a blowout as we should see big games from Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown who had subpar games against the Sixers as they combined for only 27 points on 10-27 shooting as they both lit the Nets up last time out. 10* (510) Boston Celtics |
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11-10-23 | 76ers v. Pistons +9 | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. The Sixers opened the season with a one point loss at Milwaukee but has won six straight games but the last five have been at home and after tonight, their next three are at home so their schedule could not have been more in their favor to open the season. Philadelphia is a perfect 7-0 ATS so that is a streak many will keep riding but we go contrarian of that as the line is being inflated here because of that so while they clearly are a better team that Detroit, being asked to win by nearly double digits on the road is a lot to ask. Detroit got off to a good start at 2-1 but it has been downhill since then with six straight losses. The Pistons did go on a 0-5 ATS run to start the skid but put together a solid effort against Milwaukee on Wednesday, losing by just two points on the road to get the cover and now face their fourth straight title contender. Nine players are averaging double digits as injuries have kept a few players out of the lineup but this is valuable experience to pace the roster behind Cade Cunningham who is having a strong comeback season after missing most of last season, averaging a team high 24 ppg. 10* (506) Detroit Pistons |
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11-09-23 | Bucks -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 124-126 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Milwaukee has won three straight games to improve to 5-2 but failed to cover any of those and fell to 1-6 against the number with their only cover being their big revenge game against Miami. The Bucks blew a 15-point lead and had to rally against the Pistons last night as they overcame a 10-point fourth quarter deficit. Giannis Antetokounmpo played just 21 minutes after being ejected for picking up a pair of technical fouls but it was Damian Lillard who picked up the slack with 34 points and overall seven Bucks scored in double digits. The poor ATS record is giving us value on their side. Also, part of that is due to the recent play of Indiana which has put together two straight blowout wins after a 3-4 start. The schedule has been in favor of the Pacers in the early going as seven of their eight games have come against teams with a losing record with the only game against a team with a winning record came against Boston in a 51-point loss. The offense remains the highest scoring team in the league with pace being a main factor in that as Indiana is No. 26 in scoring defense and No. 21 in shooting defense. The road favorite price is no issue as Milwaukee is 37-19 ATS in its last 56 games as road chalk. 10* (501) Milwaukee Bucks |
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11-08-23 | Lakers -2.5 v. Rockets | Top | 94-128 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. It was a slow start last season for the Lakers and that is the case again this season as they are now 3-4 following a pair of losses in Florida against Orlando and Miami. After a slow start, the offense has picked it up by shooting 51 percent or better in three of their last four games but the problem has been shots taken as they have put up more than 84 only once in that span. Conversely, the defense has allowed 91 or more shots in five of seven games but face a team that does not put it much. Houston opened the season 0-3 but has won three straight games, one against a bad Charlotte team and two other against an banged up Sacramento team. It is a pace scenario with the Rockets as they are No. 7 in scoring defense and No. 20 in scoring defense but are middle of the pack in both shooting categories. This could be a team on the rise going forward with head coach Ime Udoka but this is not a good spot as we see a similar result in their only home loss against Golden St. Here, we play against home underdogs after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. This situation is 105-57 ATS (64.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (563) Los Angeles Lakers |
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11-08-23 | Heat -1 v. Grizzlies | Top | 108-102 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Miami won on Monday but did not cover again in a one-point win over the Lakers and we are backing the Heat again which are now 0-6-1 or 0-5-2 ATS based on the closing line. Miami is 3-4 on the season following an opening game win over Detroit by one point and then four straight losses before its last two victories. The Heat are 0-4 on the road but those were against two title contenders and a good Minnesota team. The defense has been surprisingly bad, allowing 50 percent shooting or more in four of their last five games but have a great matchup here. Memphis opened the season 0-6 before picking up its first win against Portland on Sunday. The absence of Ja Morant is evident as the Grizzlies are No. 24 in scoring and No. 27 in shooting and have shot 43 percent or less in four of seven games and a lot that is with the depth with the top four bench players shooting less than 38 percent. This was one of the best home floors last season at 35-6 but that is not the case with this current roster. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a road game where both teams scored 100 or more points, playing with two days of rest. This situation is 54-27 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (569) Miami Heat |
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11-08-23 | Jazz +7 v. Pacers | Top | 118-134 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Utah has lost three straight games including two losses to open this roadtrip by 28 and 17 points. That is inflating this number for the Jazz which are 0-4 on the road and failing to cover any of those which makes them the contrarian side here. The defense has struggled this season by allowing 49.4 percent from the floor which is No. 27 in the league and no one will back that based on the Pacers performance in their last game. Pace has played a factor with the offense shooting 46 percent or better in three of their last four games so that is not a liability. Indiana is coming off a thrashing of San Antonio where it scored 152 points in a 41-point victory. That moved the Pacers to 4-3 and that aberration moved them into the No. 1 spot in scoring offense and like Utah, it has a lot to with pace. Indiana is allowing 48.5 percent shooting which is No. 23 and its 121.7 ppg allowed is No. 27 so Utah can keep up. Here we play on teams after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (555) Utah Jazz |
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11-06-23 | Kings +2 v. Rockets | Top | 97-122 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. This is the second game of a home and home for Sacramento and Houston with the Rockets winning by 18 points in the first meeting. The Kings were coming off their worst offensive performance of the season against Golden St. where they scored 101 points on 40.9 percent shooting but they trumped it Saturday by scoring just 89 points on 38.1 percent shooting. Only two starters scored in double figures with just 16 field goals including just five from long range. This is the ideal bounce back spot. Houston opened the season with three straight losses before picking up its first win of the season against Charlotte last Wednesday which was the second game of a seven-game homestand. This is still a team in transition with additions of Fred Van Vleet and Dillion Brooks and we consider Saturday an aberration. As mentioned the, the Rockets consecutive games only eight times last season and was 2-6 following consecutive wins. The line has completely flipped to our side based on one result. (541) Sacramento Kings |
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11-06-23 | Celtics v. Wolves +4.5 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. Boston remains the only undefeated team in the NBA as it moved to 5-0 with a 10-point win over Brookyln which was its third straight double-digit victory. The Celtics are in a tough spot here following that win over Brooklyn with another road game at Philadelphia on deck. The numbers back them up as the Celtics are No. 1 in scoring offense and No. 7 in scoring defense with the latter being No. 1 in opponents shooting percentage. Minnesota is off to a 2-3 start as it has won two straight games that included giving Denver its first loss of the season two games back. As typical with the NBA, the home team is 5-0 in Timberwolves games this season and the splits have shown that as Minnesota is shooting 50.8 percent at home in three games while the defense allows just 42.7 percent shooting. The Timberwolves have a great roster that continues to underachieve but there has been great balance thus far with five players averaging double digits led by Anthony Edwards and his 26.2 ppg. Great spot for another upset. 10* (546) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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11-06-23 | Lakers v. Heat -1 | Top | 107-108 | Push | 0 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. Miami won on Saturday but did not cover after a late 5-0 run from Washington and we are backing the Heat which are now 0-5-1 ATS. Miami is 2-4 on the season following an opening game win over Detroit by one point and then four straight losses before its last victory. The most frustrating part is the Heat had leads of 13 and 16 points in two of those losses and nearly blew a 19-point lead against the Pistons so this has not been able to close which was evidenced by the non-cover against the Wizards. The Lakers opened their roadtrip with a 19-point loss at Orlando and fall into another bad spot getting next to nothing. Los Angeles was coming off a two-game winning streak and has fallen to 3-3 with the home team winning all six games. The Lakers were an under .500 team on the road last season and we always get value based on name and public perception. They are ranked in the bottom half of the league in both points scored and allowed and while a small sample size, they face an offense coming off its best effort of the season. 10* (536) Miami Heat |
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11-05-23 | Warriors v. Cavs -1 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Golden St. opened the season with a loss against Phoenix at home and has since won five straight games. Four of those have come on the road which is pretty impressive considering the Warriors won 11 road games all of last season. They are coming off a win at Oklahoma City in their last game but had their worst defensive performance as they allowed 139 points on 60.2 percent shooting and that was with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander not even playing and were lucky to escape on a last second layup. Cleveland opened the season with a win but has gone 1-4 since then, the only win coming at New York in the second of a back-to-back against the Knicks. The Cavaliers have lost all three of their home games and by an average of 10.1 ppg so it has been a struggle here. Many will question why they are favored, but they are still favored for a reason as this is a great roster that has not been fully together with Daruis Garland only playing once since opening night and he will bounce back after a bad game against the Pacers. This has been a one sided series with Golden St. having won the last 16 meetings and this is the spot to go against that as most of the Cleveland players were not part of most of those. 10* (522) Cleveland Cavaliers |