This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We are going contrarian with the Thunder which may sound like an oxymoron but the fact they are now 0-8 ATS on the road in postseason makes it contrarian. As mentioned for Game Three, the Thunder were the first team to lose 6 consecutive playoff road games ATS since the 2008 Celtics so the fact that it has reached eight is pretty shocking. Despite being down 2-1 in the series and having no more home court advantage, Oklahoma City is still the series favorite at -220 and that is a number based on the thinking it is going to win this game and we think that does happen and by margin comfortably. Game Three was swung by turnovers as the Thunder committed 17 of them which led to 21 Pacers points. Indiana also got a team high 27 points from Benedict Mathurin off the bench who was 9-12 from the floor and a team best 7-8 from the free throw line and they aren't going to get that again. It is almost do or die for the Thunder and they bring it Friday on both ends to square up the series and regain home court. 10* (507) Oklahoma City Thunder

This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Indiana is back home following a necessary road split in Oklahoma City and now have home court advantage for at least part of the rest of the series. We do think the Pacers can win the game tonight as they have been awesome at home in the postseason, going 6-2 and catching a great number. The Thunder are the better team, we know that and it is backed up wityh this line but Indiana can stay within the number and still lose and it really comes down to Tyrese Haliburton who has struggled at times in the playoffs but has also been able to take over games and after scoring 31 points in Oklahoma City, he picks it up at home. The Thunder have started the playoffs 0-7 ATS on the road and they were the first team to lose 6 consecutive playoff road games ATS since the 2008 Celtics. 10* (506) Indiana Pacers

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Game One is finally here and we keep it simple. This Oklahoma City team does have a lot to prove but there is so much in its favor. We are not touching the series price since there is no value and we are staying away from Indiana overall and in Game One. Per Action, over the last 50 years, 11 teams have been -600 or higher series favorites and they have gone 10-1 with the 2004 Pistons being the only exception. Additionally, the Game One underdogs have been atrocious, going 2-18 while covering just three of those over the last 20 years and when getting more than five points, they are 0-12 while covering just one of those. This Pacers roster is solid but for everything they have advantages most of the time including bench, depth, taking care of the ball and pace, the Thunder do it better. As with most home teams to start the Finals, the Thunder will be out to make a statement in Game One. 10* (502) Oklahoma City Thunder

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We all know what is at stake tonight for the Knicks to keep the series going and while they have lost the first two at home, they get it done and do not let the Pacers advance at MSG. New York is 30-19 at home but just 3-5 in the postseason and that is making bettors hesitant as we are seeing 60 percent of the money on the Pacers yet we have the reverse line move. This opened at 5 and has come down to 4 in some places despite the Indiana money. The Knicks avoid the gentleman sweep, we can go into stats but it is not necessary here as we are playing the situation and the number as this series goes back to Indianapolis as the garden will be rocking tonight. 10* (552) New York Knicks

This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We are seeing a Game Four where the road team has won every game and now we have the same number with the Pacers from Game Three. With that comes the fact that we are seeing 63 percent of the money on Indiana and yet the number has come down. We saw a 3 at a short time on Sunday and went to 2.5 quickly and now at 2 most everywhere despite the money variance. Obviously the big concern is the injury report with Aaron Nesmith being questionable but he really has had only one exceptionally good game since Game Two against Cleveland. From a statistical standpoint, the Pacers were awful in Game Three where they went 5-25 from behind the behind the arc and that will get better. We have a number that is within a possession on a home team that has yet to win in this series. Sign us up. 10* (548) Indiana Pacers

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Oklahoma City got away with one at home on Tuesday as a tie game late turned into a win thanks to Michael Porter, Jr. not being able to find the rim when it mattered. The Thunder can close it out tonight and we are actually getting a number that makes sense as they closed at 6 and 7 the first two games here and now laying a shorter price. A lot of that is due to the Nuggets having covered four of the five games in this series and this is actually considered a contrarian side despite playing the favorite. Denver is catching 78 percent of the money at both BetOnline and DraftKings yet we are seeing minimal line movement and it has gone up in some places so we are getting a reverse line move which we do not see very often in the postseason. Denver looked to go the Celtics route by launching 46 three-pointers in Game Five and hit only 13 of those and the Nuggets have now shot less than 46 percent overall in all five games. The defense has done its job in three of the five games and while being home is a bonus, the Nuggets are just 30-17 at home which is not very good compared to past seasons and the Thunder have adjusted well to the altitude adjustment this far into the series. 10* (507) Oklahoma City Thunder

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Three of the four games have been decided by one or two possessions, although overtime took one of those away, so we are seeing a much more competitive series than most expected. That being said, this game is going back to Oklahoma City where the only blowout took place and the Thunder will not only be out to take a 3-2 series lead, they will be out to make a statement and get some of their mojo back before having to go back to Denver. This is the first time we have touched Oklahoma City in the postseason which has been the right move thus far as the Thunder are 1-5 against the number in their last six games and this is the time to strike. They lost Game One here and they cannot afford to come out with that complacency again or there is a real possibility they will not be coming back for a Game Seven. They are 38-7 at home with the largest scoring differential in the league at 15.6 ppg and they are 18-8-1 ATS when favored by double digits and they add to the win column tonight. 10* (582) Oklahoma City Thunder

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. All series are not created equal but this one and the Cleveland/Indiana series are looking eerily similar. The Celtics have been on the same path as the Cavaliers, losing the first two games at home and then posting a blowout win in Game Three. We expect a bounce back from New York and we are catching an extra point on top of it and comparable to Indiana last night, we have the double edge with the Knicks which can win outright while also coming in as the underdog that can cover with a loss. One factor for playing Boston in Game Three was the fact there was an unlikely chance it was going to continue to shoot poorly and we are playing the Knicks here for that same reason. They shot just 40 percent from the floor including going 5-25 from long range and lost by 22 points despite outscoring the Celtics by nine points at the free throw line. Boston did not sway from its style as it put up 40 three-pointers on Saturday and was fortunate to make 20 of those but the three-pointer can be fickle. We expect the Knicks to close the gap on the long range scoring and while Boston may be considered the more desperate team, New York does not want to give home court back to the Celtics with the next game in Boston. 10* (576) New York Knicks

This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Cleveland got back into the series with a 126-104 Game Three win and has the chance to reclaim homecourt with a win tonight and while that could happen, we see a much closer game and the sense of urgency switches to Indiana to protect its homecourt on Sunday. The Cavaliers were decimated with injuries in Game Two but were back to full strength on Friday thanks to having an extra day of rest and now they are laying roughly the same number with the public backing behind them. Indiana was shell of itself in Game Three and it was due to one bad quarter. In the second quarter, they missed eight of 11 shots, committed five turnovers and scored a season low 13 points in any quarter. The Pacers are ranked third in points per game (116.8) and fifth in possessions per game (103.8) so we should see a bounce back, especially on their home floor and more specifically, a better performance from Tyrese Haliburton who scored only four points on 2-8 shooting. We have the double edge with Indiana which can win outright while also coming in as the underdog that can cover with a loss. 10* (574) Indiana Pacers

This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Signature Enforcer (15-12 Run). Cleveland came through on Friday on the road after dropping its first two games at home and we are banking on Boston doing the same. The Celtics became the first team ever to lose two playoff games after leading by at least 20 points and making it even more unheard of is that both were at home. It was a simple failure in that Boston could not hit its shots late and the NBA playoff record of 45 missed three-pointers from Game One was backed up with 30 misses in Game Two. They are bound to shoot better and have already had the edges in possessions and rebounding. The Knicks have now played seven straight games that were within three points in the final minute and have come away with five wins so there has definitely been some luck involved. Throughout NBA history, 34 teams have faced a 0-2 deficit and came back to win the series including five that lost the first two games at home and all it takes is two wins to regain homecourt. Following the Cavaliers win last night, higher-seeded favorites that are coming off a two-game losing streak are 33-19-3 ATS on the road. 10* (567) Boston Celtics

This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Cleveland is off to a disappointing 0-2 start in the Eastern Conference Semifinals along with Boston as the two top seeds are in serious jeopardy of not advancing as most everyone predicted. Injuries played a major role for the Cavaliers in the Game Two loss as they lost gas down the stretch in blowing a 20-point loss with Darius Garland, De'Andre Hunter, and Evan Mobley all out. There are two points of optimism. They have had two days off in-between games which helps the injury situation and there is some noted information heading into Friday. Per the Athletic's Joe Vardon, all three players will try to play Game Three coming from two league sources. Throughout NBA history, 34 teams have faced a 0-2 deficit and came back to win the series including five that lost the first two games at home so they are not dead yet. Indiana clearly has the momentum and at 32-11 at home, that would normally be a huge edge but Cleveland brings in an identical 32-11 record on the road and now much healthier, the season remains alive after tonight. 10* (563) Cleveland Cavaliers

This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. To no surprise, we are seeing 81 percent of the money on Minnesota as it is coming off a loss and Golden St. will be without Steph Curry for the foreseeable future so this one looks easy for Timberwolves backers. They have been solid at home this season but far from dominating as they are 27-17 but they have covered only 20 of those games and are now seeing a 4.5-point line swing from Game One and being asked to roll by double digits. They are 8-7 ATS as home favorites by double digits with 13 of those games against non-playoff teams and the two against postseason teams resulted in going 0-2 ATS. This is the scenario where we see a team rise up when their star is out and while they did already do this for three quarters in Game One, the fact that they are being this disrespected will have the Warriors ready again. We are obviously going contrarian and while the Oklahoma City shellacking is fresh on the minds of everyone in the same situation at Minnesota, we are not buying this move. This is the first time since 2007 the Warriors have been a playoff double-digit underdog. 10* (559) Golden St. Warriors

This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The road teams are now 5-0 in the first five games of the second round of the playoffs with one of those taking place here in overtime. The Knicks took Game One in overtime despite going 17-31 from the free throw line which nearly came back to haunt them but they caught Boston on one of its worst shooting nights. The Celtics missed an NBA postseason record 45 three pointers and the most important factor was that In the fourth quarter, Jason Tatum scored two points, both of which came on free throws as he missed all seven of his shot attempts, five of which were from long range. Meanwhile, the Knicks were 11-19 from behind the arc in the second half. Point being, it took these shooting outliers for New York to barely win so coming back to more normal conditions, the Celtics should roll in Game Two. The Knicks win was a breakthrough for a team that went 0-10 against the league’s top three seeds during the regular season and we do not see a repeat of that as Boston can and should dominate. 10* (556) Boston Celtics

This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We have seen all three underdogs win outright in their respective Game Ones and that ends here. Cleveland played one of their worst games in a long time as its defense allowed Indiana to shoot 53 percent including 53 percent from long range. The Cavaliers have lost four of the five meetings this season with the lone Pacers loss coming when Tyrese Haliburton did not play it can be argued they have the huge matchup edge and in a prolonged series, we could see that but this is a bounce back spot for the home team. 87 percent of the money is on Indiana and the line has continued to come down because of the injury report so the value is there. 10* (584) Cleveland Cavaliers

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston swept this season series starting with three blowouts and then concluding with an overtime win in New York. The Celtics are obviously the big favorite in this series at -750 but we have value in Game One based on what they were laying in the two regular season games here and they are laying just a bucket less than what they were in all three home games against Orlando to open their first round series. Boston is 31-13 at home which is just a four-game difference than the Knicks record on the road. The big talk about New York has been the fact it has not beaten any of the top teams, going 2-12 against the top 10 the NBA but we are not looking for the outright winner and this has been a rare but great price for New York. This is a major step up from the Pistons but we like the number with Thibs coming into this opener. 10* (553) New York Knicks

This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The four teams on Sunday that were down 2-1 in their respective series and trying to avoid the dreaded 3-1 deficit all lost and we have another in play on Monday. We were on the Pistons and Lakers yesterday and those could have gone the right way but the last seconds did not go in our favor and we are going right back with the same situation on Monday with the Rockets. We are seeing a different line move here though as this line opened at a number we do not usually see based on the bounce back angle and getting over a possession presents excellent value. Houston could not have played worse on offense as it shot just 39 percent from the floor while going only 14-24 from the free throw line on its way to blowing a 13-point lead and getting outscored in the fourth quarter 35-22. This was the second game in the series that the Rockets have shot below 40 percent and both resulted in double digit losses and now it is gut check time. The Warriors improved to 26-17 at home but they are just 7-16-1 ATS when home favorites of 3.5 point or more and could be without Jimmy Butler once again and he will clearly not be 100 percent if he does go. 10* (581) Houston Rockets

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS as part of our NBA Sunday Double Play. We are backing situations and rebound opportunities in the first two games on Sunday with the two teams looking to avoid 3-1 series deficits. Both the Pistons and Lakers played good enough to win Game Three but Detroit was the victim of some controversial late calls while Los Angeles was on the wrong end of a close game late that ended up being an inflated loss. Both teams are looking to bounce back to even their series up and while the line swings are going against our teams in both games, that is expected in these zig-zag situations but we are not concerned about either of the moves. 10* (571) Los Angeles Lakers

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS as part of our NBA Sunday Double Play. We are backing situations and rebound opportunities in the first two games on Sunday with the two teams looking to avoid 3-1 series deficits. Both the Pistons and Lakers played good enough to win Game Three but Detroit was the victim of some controversial late calls while Los Angeles was on the wrong end of a close game late that ended up being an inflated loss. Both teams are looking to bounce back to even their series up and while the line swings are going against our teams in both games, that is expected in these zig-zag situations but we are not concerned about either of the moves. 10* (570) Detroit Pistons

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Following a split in Denver, the Clippers took a 2-1 series lead with a 34-point win in Game Three as they blew it open thanks to a 23-2 run over the end of the first quarter and the start of the second quarter and then never looked back. These blowouts should not happen in the playoffs between two fairly equal teams separated by one game and coming off the first two games that were decided by five points combined. It was the offensive effort for Denver that was lackluster as it shot only 40 percent from the floor including 26 percent from long range while committing 16 turnovers. The Nuggets are catching a rare bigger number as they are 4-2 ATS on the road when getting six points or more, one of those losses coming way back in November and the other coming at Oklahoma City where they entered the fourth quarter down by three points before the Thunder pulled away. We saw this number go between 6 and 5.5 points after opening and then fell down to 4.5 points very early Friday morning and stayed for about four minutes and has been on the move back up since then. The public will be backing the Clippers based on their run of 20-4 over their last 24 games and we feel this is the contrarian spot. 10* (565) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Round 1 Game of the Year. Miami did its best to hang around in Game Two as it had to withstand 11 three-pointers from the Cavaliers in the second quarter, an NBA Playoff record, and Cleveland led by 19 points late in the third quarter yet the Heat rallied to take a two-point lead with 3:11 left but were outscored 18-7 the remainer of the game. Donovan Mitchell took over and now the Heat find themselves in a must win spot to keep the series alive in a very similar spot where we had Memphis in Game Three heading home down 2-0 and while it still lost, it was a wire-to-wire cover despite the Grizzlies losing Ja Morant for more than half of the game. Miami finally home after winning two Play-In Tournament road games prior to the two games in Cleveland. The Cavaliers coasted to the top seed in the Eastern Conference and they hit the road where they are 30-11 and are going to be the public team here laying single digits. While being one of the best covers teams in the league throughout the season, they are just 9-14 ATS since March 5th, 7-13 ATS as favorites. We are seeing a reverse line move, albeit slight, but this line opened at 6.5 and is down to 6 and even 5.5 despite 82 percent of the money on Cleveland as of Friday afternoon. 10* (562) Miami Heat

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Timberwolves attained their goal in Los Angeles by coming away with the series split and are back home where they are 25-16 and the line here is holding despite the majority of the money coming in on the Lakers. The Timberwolves finished the season strong with winning eight of the final nine regular season games prior to the split but this one is not ideal laying a possession. Minnesota really struggled in these fringe home games as it is 1-12 ATS when favored at home between 1.5 and 7 points. They won both regular season home meetings but LeBron James missed one of those games while he and Anthony Davis combined to score just 22 points on 8-30 shooting and this is a more dynamic Lakers teams since the Luka Doncic acquisition. The Lakers did just go 19-22 on the road this season but were 8-5 against the number when getting fewer than five points and all but two of those were very early in January and prior while going 2-0 ATS in the two games in March with the current roster. This is an ideal spot for the offense to rebound as aside from Doncic, Los Angeles shot just 40 percent from the floor in the first two games and Game Three playoff contests is where LeBron has shined in the pas, averaging over 27 ppg with the Lakers. 10* (557) Los Angeles Lakers

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Memphis got embarrassed in Game One of this series as it lost by 51 points in a game that was over before it started. The Grizzlies looked better in Game Two as they lost by 19 points so looking better may sound tongue in cheek and the series is on the line tonight as another loss here will basically end it. While they are out to win, we are more concerned about the cover and Memphis is catching a big number at home and it is actually the biggest it has seen this season. We are seeing the overadjustment because of the first two results as well as the fact the Grizzlies are 0-6 straight up and against the number in the six meetings this season. The public is at 69 percent on the Thunder which is certainly as expected. Oklahoma City comes in on a six-game winning streak while covering all six which is also being factored into the number. The Thunder are 8-3 ATS as double-digit road favorites and while that is hard to go against, all 11 of those games were against teams not in the postseason and looking at shorter prices, they are 2-4 ATS as favorites between 8.5 and 9.5 points and that includes a 0-3 ATS mark against current playoff teams. 10* (546) Memphis Grizzlies

This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Wednesday Signature Enforcer. Golden St. did what it needed and stole one of the first two games in Houston, taking Game One by 10 points on Sunday in an ugly offensive game from the Rockets. They shot just 39 percent including 21 percent from long range with Jalen Green and Fred VanVleet going a combined 7-34 from the floor which ruined a dominating performance on the offensive glass with a 22-6 advantage. That was the expected gameplan but the shots just were not falling and we can expect that to reverse itself. We are seeing the typical line move from the opener but it is only a move of one point with a line swing of 4.5 points from the opener in the first game. Houston is now between +270 and +290 to win the series after opening +150 and this is obviously a must take before hitting the road. The Warriors got a combined 56 points from Steph Curry and Jimmy Butler as they went 22-38 from the floor against a Houston defense that came in allowing opponents to shoot just 44.9 percent from the floor, top five in the NBA. The Rockets have lost four straight games going back to the regular season including two straight games at home where they are 29-13, three of those to the Warriors who have covered six of the last seven in this series which is going to make them a public play again and we are seeing that with 87 percent of the money on them and we are still seeing the reverse line move. 10* (542) Houston Rockets

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The NBA Playoffs were accustomed to the zig-zag theory of backing a team coming off a loss but the markets have made adjustments and we are seeing a line switch here and it Is too much. Denver opened as a 3.5-point favorite in Game One and closed at -3 while failing to cover in overtime and we are seeing a four-point swing despite a clean injury list. As mentioned, the Nuggets had a roller coaster of a season which went through stretches of looking like the best team in the NBA and others where they could not get out of their own way. They went through a stretch starting in early March where it went 6-10 which ultimately led to the firing of head coach Mike Malone but have no business being a home underdog here. The Clippers had their eight-game winning streak snapped with the Saturday loss and still remain ahead of Denver in the Championship odds. A win here gets them closer to market value but the Nuggets home floor gets it done and even more so with the number where a win means a cover. 10* (524) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The four No. 1 and No. 2 seeds open their series on Sunday with the Rockets being the lone team not a large favorite and actually opened as underdogs before a line flip. They were +1.5 on Wednesday and despite money coming in on Golden St. early, up to 86 percent, the line switched and this is similar to what we saw in Indiana with the Pacers seeing their line go up despite the huge money on Milwaukee. Clearly, Houston is getting no respect here as it comes in as a series underdog of +150 despite being the No. 2 seed which comes with home court advantage where the Rockets are 29-12 this season which includes a loss in their final game of the season where they clearly were not engaged against a Denver team that was playing for the No. 4 seed. While the Rockets were not great when laying big numbers, they did go 11-6-1 ATS as home favorites of seven or fewer points, winning all but three of those outright which is important considering the short price. Golden St. opened as the favorite and is favored in the series simply because it is Golden St. and history goes a long way with the betting public even as skewed as that rationale is. This is the first home playoff game for Houston since 2020 and it is a big deal. 10* (516) Houston Rockets

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Denver opened as a 3.5-point favorite but it has been bet down with the money all over the Clippers which are the biggest sleeper favorite in the postseason and we are seeing that with the series price as they are now a -125 favorite after the Nuggets opened at -130 favorites. It is a weird opening number based on the series price with Denver having home court and will be the favorite in all four home games should the series go the distance and while it is a possible thing that the Clippers steal a game on the road, it is not likely in Game One. They come in rising an eight-game winning streak and have the playoff scheduling advantage with days off making it a given that Kawhi Leonard will be available for every game. The Clippers are 20-21 on the road including a 7-14 record as underdogs. The Nuggets had a roller coaster of a season which went through stretches of looking like the best team in the NBA and others where they could not get out of their own way. They went through a stretch starting in early March where it went 6-10 which ultimately led to the firing of head coach Mike Malone but they did close with three straight wins to secure the No. 4 seed and the home court which has not been as dominant is it has in years past, thus the short Game One price. 10* (506) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Afternoon Dominator. We are playing this game partly due to the line move as this opened at 4.5 and there has been money on Milwaukee all week starting Tuesday night with 79 percent of the take and 60 percent of the tickets yet the line went the other way and despite those percentages still in the Bucks favor, it continues to move up so we are going against this reverse line move. Milwaukee caught fire to end the regular season as it won its final eight games so it has adjusted to playing without Damian Lillard but still comes in with a very under matched backcourt in this series. Milwaukee is just 4-12 this season as an underdog of five or more points while covering only six of those. The Pacers nearly matched the Bucks success down the stretch as they won seven of their last eight games to hold off Milwaukee for the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference which they took by two games. Indiana went through stretches this season where injuries played a toll but now fully healthy, this is a roster that is one of the best in the conference and this is the statement game. Indiana went 29-11 at home this season which includes a record of 11-9 when favored by five or fewer points or as an underdog but went 18-2 when favored by more than five points. 10* (504) Indiana Pacers

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Friday Play-In Dominator. Memphis lost a tough one in Golden St. in the play-in opener as it was suffocated by Jimmy Butler and Steph Curry which combined for 75 points on 50 percent shooting but the Grizzlies haver a second life coming back home with a chance to meet Oklahoma City in the Western Conference first round. Going into that game, Memphis was 2-10 since the start of February against conference opponents that that were a No. 10 seed or higher, now 2-11 following the Warriors loss, but both of those wins came against Dallas and this is going to be a great environment. Memphis is 13-4 as a favorite at home by six points or more, two of those losses were against the Nuggets and Clippers when they were without Nikola Jokic and Kawhi Leonard respectively so the lines were actually inflated, another was against Brooklyn way back in November and the fourth was against Atlanta with no Ja Morant in the lineup. We won with Dallas against Sacramento as the Mavericks built a 26-point lead and never looked back. They have the rest disadvantage with one less day and while they are have 18 road wins, 10 of those were December and prior. 10* (592) Memphis Grizzlies

This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Play-In Game of the Year. Miami went on the road and took out Chicago by 19 points in a wire-to-wire cover as it never trailed to advance for a chance to claim the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference. The Heat are now just 18-23 on the road and they come in as the slight underdog once again but this is a spot they have flourished in this season as they are 10-30 against the top 16 in the league while going 28-15 against teams ranked No. 17 or lower with the latter including only seven losses on the road. Miami got 38 points from Tyler Herro, two points off his season-high but the Heat do not need to bank on another big performance from him as they have gone only 9-10 this season when he scores 30 points or more. Atlanta will likely be a popular public play based on heading back home following a blowout loss in Orlando in the first round where it is 21-19 including a pair of wins over the Heat by 10 and 12 points during the regular season. Despite the blowout in Orlando, the Hawks have been better in the role of the underdog as they are 5-16 ATS this season when favored by seven points or less including 3-10 ATS at home. 10* (589) Miami Heat

This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Wednesday Play-In Dominator. Sacramento was able to snag home court for the play-in game and while coming off an 11-point win over Phoenix on Sunday, the Suns were playing for nothing and did not play their big starters. The Kings had lost two home games prior to that at home and while those were against the Nuggets and Clippers, you have to go all the way back to the end of March before they were laying a similar number and that was against Portland. Now they are laying the same number against a Dallas team that everyone had written off but was able to sneak in partly due to the Suns collapse down the stretch. This is an overlay with the perception of the Mavericks and the fact the Kings won all three regular season meetings. Dallas did not exactly close strong down the stretch not counting the meaningless Memphis game as the Mavericks suffered three blowout losses, two at the red hot Clippers and the other at home against the Lakers in the return of Luka Doncic. Now they are back to playing a team on their own level and this number is in their wheelhouse as Dallas is 12-7 ATS when getting between 3 and 7.5 points. Dereck Lively II was hurt in January and missed two and a half months but has played four games since the start of April and while still progressing, his minutes should start amping up and he is a key player back at the right time. 10* (585) Dallas Mavericks

This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Tuesday Signature Enforcer. We went against Golden St. Sunday in a game against the Clippers in what looked like a tossup and with it going into overtime, that was proven and the Warriors came up small at home to get into this spot but they did get the top seed as all it takes is a win in one of two games to solidify a playoff spot. It is a quick turnaround following an overtime game just two days ago but they remain at home where they are now 24-17 including a pair of wins against Memphis. They have dropped three straight games at home and this atmosphere is going to be wild on Tuesday in what is an unfamiliar situation for Golden St. and covering this number should be no problem. The Grizzlies went 5-9 down the stretch and are in a situation they have failed miserably in going back 10 weeks. In February, March and April, Memphis played 12 games against Western Conference teams either locked in the playoffs or taking part in the play-in games and it went 2-10 with the two wins coming against Dallas, one coming in the final game of the regular season where starters did not take part and the other on March 7th where the Mavericks were shorthanded. The Grizzlies not only failed to win any of those 10 games but went 0-10 ATS, losing those games by an average of 13.5 ppg. 10* (580) Golden St. Warriors

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Sunday Signature Enforcer. The scenario is simple for Golden St. as a win here keeps it out of the play-in game and while a loss could still let the Warriors avoid it but it will also need a Minnesota loss which is unlikely with the Timberwolves being a 23-point home favorite. We have seen this line fluctuate as it opened at 4.5, got bet down to as low as two points and has been on the rise overnight into this morning with it currently back up to four points in most places. The Warriors will be the popular public take based on the notoriety along with playing at home but this is a tough matchup and laying anything over a possession is a bonus on the underdog. Golden State is 0-9 ATS in its last nine home games after allowing 95 or fewer ppg. The situation is virtually the same for the Clippers as a win avoids the play-in game but a loss puts them in it with the likelihood of both Minnesota and Denver winning their games today. Los Angeles has won seven straight games to get in this position and while Golden St. is 23-8 since getting Jimmy Butler, the Clippers are 21-10 over that same stretch with the No. 5 ranked offense and the No. 7 defense. The Clippers are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games against teams outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg. 10* (569) Los Angeles Clippers

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Friday Signature Enforcer. The Clippers concluded its regular season home schedule with five straight wins and have now won six straight overall but are still on the outside of the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference by virtue of losing the tiebreaker with Denver. They have a 21% chance of getting the spot but need to win out and have the Nuggets lose one game so it looks likely they will face Denver in the 4-5 series without home court. Los Angeles will be at full strength to win here and win at Golden St. with a day off in-between but covering is a different matter as this line is overadjusted with what is on the line. These teams played in Los Angeles a month ago, with the Clippers having Kawhi Leonard in the lineup, and are now favored by more on the road now than they were then. The Kings lost to Denver Wednesday but still have a one game lead over Dallas for the No. 9 spot which means a home game against the Mavericks on Tuesday should they win one more game so they will be going all out here. Sacramento is 10-1 in its last 11 home games when playing against a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 with a scoring differential of +8.8 ppg. 10* (534) Sacramento Kings

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our Western Conference Game of the Month. Memphis is coming off a home loss against Minnesota on Thursday which severely hurt its playoff positioning as it can now only control its own destiny for the No. 7 spot and it is the highest percentage team to now claim the No. 8 spot. The Grizzlies have an outside shot at No. 4, No. 5 or No. 6 but those percentages are 3%, 9% and 15% respectively and they need a lot of help. They are back on the road where they are 22-18 while coming in deflated and Memphis is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games when playing against a team with a winning record with a scoring differential of -9.3 ppg while going 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games against teams averaging 116 or more ppg with a scoring differential of -13.1 ppg. Denver snapped a four-game losing streak with a win at Sacramento on Wednesday and is back home for its final regular season home game where it is 25-15. The Nuggets coaching change paid off after one game with clear effort as they committed only seven turnovers, the fewest since March 9th and now have the best shot for the No. 4 spot as 23% and control their own destiny to do so with a win here and a win at Houston Sunday who will not be playing their full starting roster. 10* (528) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Thursday Signature Enforcer. Atlanta lost its chance to get a home game in the 7-8 play-in game with a loss at Orlando which put it two games behind Orlando, now 2.5 games with the Magic win over Boston that gave them the No. 7 spot since they can finish no worse that with a series split with the Hawks and have clinched the best division record, but the Hawks still have plenty to play for. They are only a half-game ahead of Chicago and a game and a half ahead of Miami so they can still fall into the 9-10 spot so that puts them in a must win spot here and going forward. With that comes lines that are over adjusted which we have seen across the league the last week and this is one of the bigger ones. Atlanta played here three weeks ago and closed at -6.5, and lost outright, and on the season it has been a road favorite of two points or more eight times and has gone 2-6 ATS and this is foreign territory as the most it has been favored by is eight points. Brooklyn has gone 3-2 in its last five games and while that includes wins over no one, Atlanta is no elite team on the schedule where it should be an underdog of this amount. Since the end of January, the Nets have been double-digit home underdogs three times and those were against the Clippers, Timberwolves and Thunder, clearly a group where Atlanta does not belong. Atlanta is 13-34 ATS (28 percent) going back to last season off a road loss. 10* (506) Brooklyn Nets

This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS as part of our NBA Wednesday Double Play. This game can very well decide home court for the 9-10 play-in game with the winner going on the road to face the 7-8 loser in that play-in game. Both teams close the season with a pair of games against teams at the very bottom of the league so both should likely win out. Chicago and Miami both have 36-43 records with the Bulls holding onto the No. 9 seed by virtue of winning the season series against the Heat but this is the big one. The Bulls played last night as they lost by 22 points against the Cavaliers which were going for the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference and Chicago let them have it before tip as starters Coby White, Josh Giddey, Kevin Huerter and Nikola Vucevic were all out. Miami has won seven of nine games to get to this point including three road wins, one at Boston, but the other two were at Washington and Philadelphia and the Heat enter tonight 16-22 on the road which is actually a half-game better than Chicago is at home but they are the false favorite here. Here, we play against road teams revenging a home loss going up against an opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival. This situation is 62-24 (72.1 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +5.1 ppg. 10* (566) Chicago Bulls

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Double Play. The Lakers are coming off a 16-point loss at Oklahoma City last night as a close game was changed when Luka Doncic was ejected on a phantom technical foul called by a look at me referee and the Thunder outscored Los Angeles 29-12 the rest of the way. They head to Dallas with a chip on their shoulder after that and the fact that Doncic will make his return to Dallas tonight to take on the Mavericks for the first time in Dallas. Los Angeles is now a game ahead of the Clippers for third place in the Western Conference which is the coveted spot as to not having to face the Thunder in the conference finals should they advance that far. Dallas is coming off a pair of blowout losses in Los Angeles against the Clippers but despite this, the Mavericks are just one win away from clinching a playoff berth thanks to the Suns cashing it in. Dallas will be ready for this game inside the game but this is a tough spot and with Toronto on deck at home, the clincher can come there. Dallas is 3-14 in 17 games this season after failing to cover four of their last five games. Here, we play on favorites playing on back-to-back days, in April games. This situation is 73-30 ATS (70.9 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +11.2 ppg. 10* (563) Los Angeles Lakers

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Tuesday Double Play. Boston is coming off a pair of home blowout wins on Friday and Sunday and is now back on the road and this line is telling us everything we need to know. The Celtics have the No. 2 seed locked up and while they have a chance to match an NBA record for road wins a season with a win here and at Orlando tomorrow, health remains the most important factor. They plan to rest players down the stretch and the full roster will not be available tonight with all of the top six rotation players on the injury report. New York still has something to play for as it can lock up the No. 3 seed which may not seem different than a No. 4 seed but it can have implications but this game goes further than that for the Knicks. They have lost the first three meetings against the Celtics and additionally, they are 0-8 against the top three teams in the league, Cleveland, Boston and Oklahoma City so if nothing else, they need an elite quality win before the postseason for any sort of confidence. At 27-12 at home, they can prevent the possible Boston record and come in close to full strength with Jalen Brunson back in the lineup. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +8.8 ppg. 10* (546) New York Knicks

This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC as part of our NBA Tuesday Double Play. Winning a division in the NBA is not the same as the NFL or MLB where teams do not get a bump in the playoff seedings so the Southeast Division championship means little except for a banner but this division is tight enough where these games still count. Orlando has a one game lead over Atlanta and a two-game lead over Miami so a win here and a Chicago loss to Cleveland will keep the Magic out of the 9-10 matchup in the Play-In Tournament and come closer to securing a 7-8 home game matchup. They have Boston on deck tomorrow so this game is huge and the fact they have been off for four days gives them a big rest advantage which is huge this time of season. The Hawks were in this position that Orlando currently holds but lost three straight games prior to their win over Utah on Sunday. This game is big for them as well and while they have been a cover machine on the road as underdogs, those have come against the elite teams, they are just 2-4 on the road against teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. This cements how the Hawks have played up and down to the competition this entire season. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 130 points or more. This situation is 38-11 ATS (77.6 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +10.3 ppg. 10* (538) Orlando Magic

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our Nonconference Game of the Month. Denver has lost three straight games and it has been a rough stretch for the Nuggets as since a nine-game winning streak that ended in late February, they have gone 10-12 over their last 22 games and now things are starting to get real. They have a half-game lead over the Warriors for the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference and sit just one game out of the play-in scenario so the bottom half is up for anyone to make the late move. Denver needs to take care of business at home where it has dropped two straight but one of those was with everyone sitting against the Spurs and that is a game that could haunt them. Denver is 12-1 in its last 13 games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games with a scoring differential of +10.7 ppg. Indiana has won three straight games and is a longshot to move into the No. 3 spot in the Eastern Conference as the Pacers trail the Knicks by three games with five games left including two against Cleveland. They are sitting Pascal Siakam which is a smart move at this point as rest and recoup are more important. Indiana is 2-10 in its last 12 games off a home blowout win by 20 points or more with a scoring differential of -7.4 ppg. 10* (528) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Saturday Signature Enforcer. This is the second game of a two-game set in Los Angeles with the Clippers taking the first game last night by 23 points and we are seeing a two-possession line swing based on the Clippers most likely resting Kawhi Leonard as the training staff made it evident that playing Leonard on the front end would sideline him on the back end and the Mavericks having Anthony Davis available after sitting last night. Los Angeles has won three straight games to remain in a tie with Minnesota and Memphis for the No. 6 through No. 8 spots in the Western Conference and the goal is to grab the No. 6 seed to avoid the play-in but winning and covering are two different things and coming off a blowout already has the markets plugged with Clippers money. Dallas had won five of its previous seven games before last night and the Mavericks are still 2.5 games ahead of Phoenix for the final team out of the postseason but they are far from a lock based on the remaining schedule that includes games against the Lakers and Grizzlies. Dallas was a dreadful 2-20 from long range last night partly because Klay Thompson left after 12 minutes with an illness after taking just one three-pointer but should be ready here. Dallas is 4-0 on the road this season revenging a road loss. 10* (509) Dallas Mavericks

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS as part of our NBA Friday Double Play. Coming off an overtime loss against Minnesota on Tuesday, Denver cashed it in the next night against San Antonio as the Nuggets sat everyone which was probably a good spot to do so to heal up. The injury list is long again but we expect a full roster tonight in a big game as the Nuggets are clinging to a half-game lead over the Lakers for the all-important No. 3 spot in the Western Conference. They hit the road where they are 22-16 and the line is making a statement here and Denver comes in 6-1 this season coming off consecutive wins. Additionally, the Nuggets are 25-7 in their last 32 games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread with a scoring differential of +10.1 ppg. Golden St. is coming off a big win last night in Los Angeles to move one game behind the Lakers for fourth place in the conference. The Warriors are back home where they are 23-14 but that does include a 4-6 record as underdogs and have failed to cover eight of 12 games this season coming off an underdog outright win. Here, we play against teams off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 71-30 ATS (70. percent) since 021 with a scoring differential of +5.3 ppg. 10* (575) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS as part of our NBA Friday Double Play. Oklahoma City refuses to slow down as it clinched the top spot in the Western Conference long ago and has now reeled off 11 straight wins, the last four coming at home where the Thunder are 34-5 including two wins over Houston by 15 and 9 points. They are not much worse on the road at 29-7 but one of those losses was in Houston and during this recent winning streak, five of the wins have come on the road with three of those being one or two possession games. The Thunder are just 6-13 against the number on the road against teams with a winning record and this is obviously due to their lines being skewed in the markets. Houston is comfortably in the No. 2 spot in the Western Conference as it has a three-game lead over Denver with five games remaining and this game can go a long way for confidence. Additionally, the last four games are all against teams in current playoff positions in the Western Conference. The Rockets are 28-11 at home including a 3-1 record as home underdogs. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 115 points or more in five straight games. This situation is 23-8 (74.2 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +5.7 ppg. 10* (570) Houston Rockets

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Month. Golden St. is coming off a win at Memphis to make it three straight wins following a pair of losses at Atlanta and Miami to open its six-game roadtrip which concludes tonight. The Warriors are on a 19-5 run over their last 24 games which has pushed them from a fringe playoff team all the way up to No. 5 in the Western Conference but are still a half-game out of the No. 8 spot so there is little room for error. The Nuggets loss last night but them two games behind Denver for No. 4 so there is plenty at stake but this is not an ideal spot tonight. The Pacific Division has been the Achillies Heel with Golden St. going just 3-10 with two of those wins coming against reeling Sacramento. Los Angeles pulled away from Houston on Tuesday late grabbing the six-point win to make it two straight victories following a 1-4 stretch and have built a one game lead over Denver for the all-important No. 3 spot in the conference. The Lakers remain home where they are 29-9 and are 13-2 ATS against division opponents this season while going 16-3 at home following a home win. Here, we play against road underdogs in the second half of the season in a game involving two average teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg, after a combined score of 235 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 38-4 (90.5 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +10.0 ppg and this includes a 9-0 record this season. 10* (560) Los Angeles Lakers

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Thursday Signature Enforcer. We had Memphis on Tuesday and we got Curried as Steph put up 52 points including 12 three-pointers as the Grizzlies held a lead with under four minutes remaining but could not pull it out down the stretch. Through February 19th, Memphis was in second place in the Western Conference but since then it has gone 8-14 and has dropped into eighth place. This includes four straight losses that started with a fourth quarter meltdown at Oklahoma City, the last game for then head coach Taylor Jenkins, and then followed up with three home losses, albeit against the Lakers, Celtics and Warriors and have a great matchup here. Memphis is 11-0 ATS on the road this season against teams forcing 13 or fewer turnovers per game with a scoring differential of +14.4 ppg. Miami has now won six straight games following the outright upset in Boston last night which pretty much eliminated the Celtics from the top spot in the Eastern Conference and the Heat have put themselves just a game and a half out of first place in the Central Division. Overall, they are in the No. 9 spot in the conference and can certainly catch either Orlando or Atlanta or both but this is a tough spot off that win in Boston and they are 3-6 ATS off an upset win. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more consecutive home losses, in April games. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +10.7 ppg. 10* (555) Memphis Grizzlies

This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Wednesday Double Play. Boston has won nine straight games and this is bad news for the rest of the Eastern Conference heading into the playoffs as the Celtics are coming out of their championship hangover slumber and will want to keep rolling as they head into the postseason. Going back to the playoffs last season, Miami won Game Two of the First Round series to tie it up and Boston has not let up since then, winning the final three games by 20, 14 and 34 points and has taken the first three games this season by 19, 18 and 12 points while covering all six games and we will not back off this train. Miami has won five straight games to position itself firmly in the postseason but likely will not be moving up past the No. 9 spot with a tough upcoming stretch. The Heat have won five straight games including two straight on the road but those two were against Washington and Philadelphia and remain a half-game ahead of Chicago and 6.5 games clear of Toronto which is close to being eliminated. The Heat are 2-8 ATS on the road this season coming off a road win. Here, we play against underdogs revenging a same season loss, off a road win against a division rival. This situation is 48-21 ATS (69.6 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +11.1 ppg. 10* (538) Boston Celtics

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Double Play. We are going contrarian with the Knicks as a win here goes a long way, not in the standings but for confidence. They are 0-7 against the top three teams in the league, Cleveland, Boston and Oklahoma City and this is a well-publicized fact and we are getting value because of it. New York is getting double digits and we have this line at 7 which is actually the same number it was getting in the last matchup here just over a month ago with some of the adjustment due to Jalen Brunson being out but motivation should go a long way here. Cleveland is getting closer to clinching the top seed in the Eastern Conference as it has a four-game lead over the Celtics but it is pretty much a given based on the remaining schedule and the Cavaliers probability of taking the conference is 97.3 percent. Since their 16-game winning streak, the Cavaliers are just 4-5 over their last nine games while going 2-7 ATS in those games and looking back further, they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games laying 10 or more points. Here, we play against teams after allowing 115 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after two straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 152-87 ATS (63.6 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +7.5 ppg. 10* (535) New York Knicks

This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Toronto was on a four-game losing streak following a 34-point loss against San Antonio but it has won four straight games since then including three of those coming on the road. The four wins were against Washington, Brooklyn, Charlotte and Philadelphia so that is not saying much and while Chicago is no juggernaut, it least it is playing for something still. The Raptors remain on the road where they are just 11-26 despite the recent three-game run and catch the Bulls at the wrong time. Chicago has lost two straight games following a 28-point loss at Oklahoma City on Monday. This followed a four-game winning streak and while sitting at 33-42 overall, the Bulls are sitting in the No. 10 spot in the Eastern Conference and are close to clinching a playoff berth as they are five games up on Toronto. They are still alive to move up to No. 8 as they are just two and a half games behind Orlando and it is more than doable with six of their final seven games against teams with a losing record. 10* (526) Chicago Bulls

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Tuesday Signature Enforcer. We lost with the Grizzlies on Saturday and they fell again on Monday against Boston as the firing of head coach Taylor Jenkins is looking like a mistake. However, we think this is the rebound game as they finally turn the corner against this gauntlet of games. Memphis has struggled since the NBA All-Star break and has lost six of its past seven games but is still sitting No. 5 in the Western Conference. They are still 25-13 at home and now this is the final home games of this homestand before hitting the road for three straight games. Golden St. rolled past San Antonio on Sunday for its second straight win after a two-game slide. The Warriors are 20-17 on the road and have struggled laying points, going 9-11 against the number including a 3-6 ATS mark when laying six points or less. This is a big game for Golden St. as well as they are trying to avoid any sort of play-in scenario as they are in the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference but we do not like this spot in the middle of a big travelling roadtrip. 10* (522) Memphis Grizzlies

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS as part of our NBA Monday Double Play. The Rockets came away with a 39-point win at Phoenix last night and this is the spot to go against. We played against Houston, more so of a play on Phoenix which at this point looks like it wants the season to just end, and with the win has now won 12 of its last 13 games to remain in the No. 2 spot in the Western Conference, two games ahead of Denver. As mentioned, the best win was at Orlando which was better than the Suns win no matter the scoring differential. The Lakers are back home following a 2-2 roadtrip culminating with a seven-point win at Memphis on Saturday and they are still fighting to remain in the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference. More important, they are just a game and a half out of No. 3 which would avoid Oklahoma City until the conference finals. The Lakers are 11-2 this season coming off a win as an underdog while going 9-0 ATS at home following losses in four or five of their last six games. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game going up against an opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +10.0 ppg. 10* (516) Los Angeles Lakers

This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS as part of our NBA Monday Double Play. Miami has played itself into the play-in tournament and by that meaning a 10-game losing streak from March 5-21 knocked them out of contention of avoiding it as they can no longer move out. The Heat have won four straight games since then which includes a solid win over Golden St. but the Warriors were without Steph Curry and now come in as big road favorites. They can finish as high as No. 7 or as low as No. 10 with nowhere outside to go and getting to No. 8, they will have to make up 2.5 games and pass Orlando. Washington has lost two straight and seven of its last eight games and while the word tanking is always thrown out, their players are not tanking for their own benefit. The Wizards have the worst home record in the NBA so the line is what it is for a reason but it is overreaction and overadjusted based on the time of year. Washington is 10-1 ATS this season following two straight home losses. Here, we play against road teams in the second half of the season against the money line shooting between 45.5 percent and 47.5 percent and after allowing 50 percent shooting or higher going up teams allowing between 45.5 percent and 47.5 percent shooting. This situation is 47-15 (75.8 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +6.5 ppg. 10* (508) Washington Wizards

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES as part of our NBA Sunday Double Play. Detroit has won three straight games including an 11-point upset at home against Cleveland as a 6.5-point underdog which sets up a letdown possibility hitting the road. More impressively, the Pistons did it without Cade Cunningham who was out with a calf injury and he is doubtful again tonight. They are 21-16 on the road which matches their home record but this is a tough situation likely shorthanded and Detroit is 5-10 ATS coming off an upset win as an underdog. Minnesota is coming off a win over Phoenix and is just 2-3 in its last five games following an eight-game winning streak. The Timberwolves remain in the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference but are just three games out of fourth place so they have an opportunity to move up as many as four spots and ultimately avoid the play-in tournament. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points going against an opponent off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. This situation is 49-17 ATS (74.2 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +11.0 ppg. 10* (568) Minnesota Timberwolves

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our Western Conference Game of the Month. Memphis head coach Taylor Jenkins became the second NBA coach to be fired this season with a lot of backlash behind it but it was a locker room decision as much as the Grizzlies not playing well of late. Memphis has struggled since the NBA All-Star break and has lost four of its past five games but is still sitting No. 5 in the Western Conference with a chance to move to No. 4 with a win tonight. This is the spot to back the Grizzlies with the coaching bump as well as coming back home where they are 25-11 following a five-game roadtrip. The Lakers conclude a four-game roadtrip following a last second loss at Chicago where it blew a five-point lead with 12.6 second remaining. That was a bad look and we will fade Los Angeles again on the road where it is 16-20. When looking at luck metrics, there is a big variance in this game as the Lakers remain No. 1 in the Luck Ratings while Memphis is No. 26. 10* (556) Memphis Grizzlies

This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS as part of our NBA Friday Double Play. Charlotte was involved in a back and forth game with Orlando but the Magic pulled away late for the cover and the Hornets have now dropped three straight games. They are back on the road where they are 7-28 and while they have covered more than half of these games, the roster will be light tonight with LaMelo Ball out because of an ankle injury. Toronto has won two straight games following a 30-point win at Brooklyn with a depleted starting lineup and while R.J. Barrett will sit tonight, the Raptors will have Immanuel Quickley and Jakob Poeltl back in the lineup after resting on Wednesday. Toronto is now 7-3 ATS against teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season after three or more consecutive unders, averaging between 108 and 114 ppg going up against teams averaging between 104 and 108 ppg. This situation is 29-9 ATS (76.3 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +10.6 ppg. 10* (532) Toronto Raptors

This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS as part of our NBA Friday Double Play. The Clippers are coming off a 13-point win in New York over the Knicks so based on that one result, this line makes sense but looking at the grand scope, this is a huge overlay. They have won six of seven games but are now in a letdown/lookahead spot coming off the MSG win and having a game at Cleveland on deck. Kawhi Leonard logged over 40 minutes so if there is going to be a night of rest, this will be it with the Cavaliers up next. Brooklyn is coming off a loss against Toronto on Wednesday which made it five straight losses and this is a great number to get behind with the Nets going 11-4 ATS against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. Even though it was two months ago, the Nets have not forgotten a 59-point loss in Los Angeles Here, we play on underdogs revenging a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of -0.4 ppg. 10* (534) Brooklyn Nets

This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS as part of our NBA Wednesday Double Play. Boston is coming off a win over Sacramento on Monday which made it six straight wins for the Celtics but did suffer a loss against the Kings with Jayson Tatum going down with an ankle sprain. This actually could work in their favor as shutting him down for a week or more could benefit them in the long run as rest is never a bad thing especially with Boston already locked into the No. 2 spot in the Eastern Conference. Phoenix is hanging in there as it has won four straight games to remain in the No. 10 spot in the Western Conference and it is part of a three-team race with Sacramento and Dallas which are all separated by a half-game for the two final playoff spots. The Suns issue has been the road where they are 12-24 but a near flip at 23-13 at home. Here, we play on home teams after two or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive wins. This situation is 48-20 (70.6 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +3.9 ppg. 10* (512) Phoenix Suns

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Double Play. The Clippers had their five-game winning streak snapped with a two-point loss at home against Oklahoma City on Sunday and with the cover, they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games which is certainly affecting this number. They are back on the road where they are 15-20 while going just 14-21 against the number and have struggled with the fringe lines, going 3-6 when the line is between +3 and -3. New York has won two straight games and while those were against Washington and Dallas, they were needed by snapping a two-game slide. The Knicks have won three straight home games to improve to 24-11 which is the third best home record in the Eastern Conference. They currently sit in third place in the Eastern Conference and likely now only have to worry about Indiana catching them with the Pacers three games back. Here, we play on teams revenging a loss of 10 points or more, after a cover as a double digit favorite. This situation is 63-27 (70 percent) with a scoring differential of +5.4 ppg. 10* (506) New York Knicks

This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Div. Game of the Month. Kudos to Orlando which took out the Lakers last night as they pulled away with a big third quarter and finished with only eight turnovers for the game. It is now letdown time for the Magic which hit the road and are in the rare situation of being a home underdog and then going into the role of a road favorite on close to a 10-point swing. Orlando is now just a game and a half behind Atlanta in the Southeast Division carrying a 15-21 road record while going only 4-7 in the second game of a back-to-back. Charlotte has dropped two straight games following road losses at Oklahoma City and Miami by way of blowouts and returns home where it has not been good at 11-25 but the spreads are made for a reason and the Hornets are 19-11-1 ATS as home underdogs. Here, we play on home teams off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival going up against an opponent off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog. This situation is 44-14 (75.9 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +6.5 ppg. 10* (566) Charlotte Hornets

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS as part of our NBA Monday Double Play. Since a home loss against Oklahoma City, Boston has rolled off five straight wins albeit against just one teams currently in a playoff spot and that is Miami which was in the midst of a 10-game losing streak. The Celtics have won four straight road games where they are now 28-7 and have actually been better on the highway than at home, sitting 4.5 games better. They do remain overpriced and are just 8-19 ATS coming off a road win while continuing to deal with key injuries, namely Jaylen Brown and Jrue Holliday. It has been a tough stretch for Sacramento which has lost two straight games and six of its last eight although the two wins mixed in there were against Memphis and Cleveland. The Kings have covered 10 of 16 games against teams outscoring opponents by three of more ppg. Here, we play on home teams off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive road wins. This situation is 43-16 (72.9 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +7.0 ppg. 10* (562) Sacramento Kings

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS as part of our NBA Monday Double Play. The Lakers put out a D-League roster on Thursday against Milwaukee , never having a lead while trailing by as many as 35 points in a 29-pojnt loss. They got LeBron James back into the lineup on Saturday for his first game since March 8th and it resulted in an embarrassing loss by 31 points at home as 10.5-point favorites. They are now back on the road where they are on a four-game skid and now in a great bounce back situation. Orlando is coming off a win over Washington on Friday and is now just two games behind Atlanta for first place in the Southeast Division. The Magic have had their struggles against the Western Conference, winning just seven of 25 games and they are only 2-10 as home underdogs this season. Here, we play on road favorites revenging a home loss, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.3 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +10.7 ppg. 10* (549) Los Angeles Lakers

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES as part of our NBA Friday Double Play. Memphis has lost its first two games on this five-game roadtrip and the value is there tonight as Ja Morant is out again and we are seeing a 10-point swing from the previous game in Portland. The Grizzlies are now 5-3 in their last eight games and is now two games behind Houston in the Southwest Division with the Rockets having won eight straight games. They are above water on the road at two games over .500 and have been solid in this spot with six straight wins on the road coming off a loss as favorites. The Clippers have won and covered four straight games including a 13-point win over Cleveland on Tuesday and have now won seven of their last eight games. Los Angeles is sitting in the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference and four games being the Lakers in the Pacific Division as well as fourth place in the Western Conference. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in March games. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) since 2021. 10* (519) Memphis Grizzlies

This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Friday Double Play. We have two teams in complete opposite runs and you know where we are going here. Miami lost its ninth straight game following a home loss against Detroit but stayed within the number and is now catching a slightly bigger number tonight. This is its longest losing streak since the 2007-08 season and the longest in the Erik Spoelstra era and the Heat are now 11 games below .500 for the first time since February of 2017 and yet they are just four games out in the Southeast Division, thankfully for them the worst division in the NBA. Houston meanwhile has won eight straight games to improve to 45-25 and it leads the Southwest Division by two games over Memphis while now sitting No. 2 in the Western Conference. Orlando and Phoenix are the only fringe postseason teams they have faced during the winning streak so while a nice run, not overly impressive. This is a road revenge spot which we are not a proponent of and Houston is 8-29 in its last 37 road games revenging a home loss. 10* (510) Miami Heat

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Thursday Signature Enforcer. Milwaukee went 2-1 on its recent homestand closing with a loss against Oklahoma City by 16 points and then opened its five-game roadtrip with an 11-point loss at Golden St. on Tuesday which was a bad spot with the Warriors coming off a loss to the Nuggets which snapped their seven-game winning streak. The Bucks are now in a similar situation that Denver was in, coming off a loss and playing a team that has caught fire a little bit. Milwaukee has not been great on the road and it has been favored 19 times on the road, going 6-13 ATS but six of those have come against playoff teams or teams in contention and have gone 4-2 ATS and this line is telling us all we need to know. The Lakers recently went 0-4 on their roadtrip, losing LeBron James in the process, and have come back home to win their last three games, making it nine straight home wins, including a 12-point win over Denver last night. Favored by 5.5 points over the Nuggets who were without Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray, they are now underdogs seeing close to a 10-point swing and that points to Luka Doncic possibly being out after playing 32 minutes last night. Here, we play on favorites after having lost five or six of their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 53-20 ATS (72.6 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +7.8 ppg. 10* (559) Milwaukee Bucks

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES as part of our NBA Triple Play. We rode Portland to a 15-point win over Washington on Monday to make it two straight wins for the Blazers following a five-game losing streak and we will fade them here in a much tougher spot. The wins and losses have come based on the schedule as going back to February 8th where the Blazers have played 17 games, seven against teams that will not be going to the playoffs and they have gone 7-0 and in the 10 games against postseason teams, they are 0-10. Memphis is coming off a loss at Sacramento on Monday by five points and it is now 5-2 in its last seven games and is now a game behind Houston in the Southwest Division with the Rockets having won seven straight games. The Grizzlies were without Ja Morant against the Kings and he will be out again but that gives us value with a roster that is still loaded. Memphis is 8-1 this season coming off a double-digit loss and 19-2 against teams outscored by 3.0 or more ppg. 10* (547) Memphis Grizzlies

This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS as part of our NBA Triple Play. The Knicks are in a difficult travel spot as they were coming off a five-game west coast roadtrip and then got back home play Miami, which they won by 21 points on Monday and are back on the road all the way out to San Antonio. New York is 21-13 on the road and while it has won six of eight road games when favored between 6.5 and 12 points, it is just 1-7 against the number. Those numbers are identical when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 as they win but do not cover, losing the money in seven of eight games. San Antonio is off a loss at Los Angeles by 16 points against the Lakers and are back home where the Spurs are staying competitive at 5-5 since the end of January, covering six of those games. This in comparison to going 3-10 on the road over the same time period and the value is here with the two major injuries and the fact the opponent is the Knicks. 10* (538) San Antonio Spurs

This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Triple Play. We are going contrarian here as the numbers and the ATS runs all favor Detroit which come in as a significant road favorite following its biggest win of the season as it rolled past the Pelicans in New Orleans by 46 points and that makes it auto fade time especially against a desperate team and the fact the Pistons are 1-3 ATS following a win by 20 points or more. It has been a great season for Detroit which has seven more wins than it had in the previous two seasons combined. Miami has lost eight straight games, its longest losing streak since the 2007-08 season and the longest in the Erik Spoelstra era and the Heat are now 10 games below .500 for the first time since February of 2017. It really has not been a case of execution but one of effort, especially on the defensive end as Miami is allowing opponents to shoot nearly 38 percent from long range, and their opponent Effective Field Goal% over the last 10 games is 57.9 percent. 10* (534) Miami Heat

This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Non-Conf Game of the Month. Cleveland is coming off a home loss against Orlando on Sunday which snapped its 16-game winning streak and it heads west for the start of a five-game roadtrip. As dominant as the Cavaliers have been at home, they have been just as dominant on the road, 30-5 in Cleveland compared to 26-6 on the highway and they have done damage as road favorites where the lines are playable, going 17-9 against the number. Cleveland is 23-6 ATS (79 percent) against teams with a winning record including 15-2 ATS against winning teams at .600 or below. The Clippers have won three straight and six of their last seven games after a slow start out of the break where they lost six of their first seven games. The offense has been the key as they have shot 48 percent or better in six of those games including above 50 percent five times but this is a tough spot against a solid defense and Los Angeles is 2-11 in its last 13 games after shooting 47 percent or better in five straight games. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 35-9 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +11.4 ppg. 10* (527) Cleveland Cavaliers

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS as part of our NBA Triple Play. Denver is coming off a 1-2 homestand including a brutal loss against Washington on Saturday as a 12-point favorite and the Nuggets have failed to cover three straight and are 1-7 over their last eight games. They are definitely in a tough spot here but the bounce back scenario along with the streak and public love on the other side makes them a sure take here. They have won all six games off a loss by six points or less while going 7-3 ATS off a home loss. Golden St. continues to roll as following a win over the Knicks on Saturday, it has won seven straight games while going 12-1 over its last 13 games but only three wins have been significant, two against New York and another against Houston. Golden St. has moved up to No. 6 in the Western Conference standings and have not flourished in this spot as the Warriors are 1-12 ATS this season off a win by six points or less. Here, we play against home teams revenging a same season loss going up against an opponent off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +11.5 ppg. 10* (513) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS as part of our NBA Triple Play. Portland snapped a five-game losing streak with a three-point win over Toronto but it was favored by seven points and is now laying a possession less against the worst team in the league. The recent stretch came after putting together a 5-1 run with the lone loss coming against Cleveland on the road in overtime while three of the recent losses have been against title contenders. The Blazers are still in playoff contention and this is a must with Memphis, Denver, Boston and Cleveland on deck. Portland is 19-4 ATS in its last 23 games playing with no rest. This is a big fade on Washington and even more so with the value. The Wizards have won two straight games, both on the road, at Denver and Detroit which were just their seventh and eighth road wins on the season. Washington is 3-18 in its last 21 games after two straight covers with a scoring differential of -12.5 ppg. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points outscored by their opponents by six or more ppg, after scoring 125 points or more. This situation is 83-38 ATS (68.6 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +10.6 ppg. 10* (518) Portland Trailblazers

This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Triple Play. Chicago is coming off a loss at Houston which snapped a four-game winning streak but the Bulls have covered all five of these games which is adding value the other way. Their last win was at Brooklyn where they were favored by two points and the Nets are one spot ahead of Utah in the Predictive Power Ratings and by just a half-point so we are seeing a big overlay. Chicago is 5-16 against the Western Conference, covering just eight of those games. Utah is coming off its ninth straight loss with a 26-point defeat at Minnesota on Sunday and we actually like the back-to-back situation with nobody going to be backing the Jazz and we are seeing it with the line move. They have covered more than half of the games during this skid and this is a spot they have prospered in, going 25-13 ATS as underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points. Here, we play against favorites of -165 to -500 revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite of seven points or more, off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog. This situation is 20-10 (66.7 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +0.1 ppg. 10* (510) Utah Jazz

This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS as part of our NBA Triple Play. Give Brooklyn credit as it has gone through a brutal stretch but has held its own of late. The Nets have lost 10 of their last 11 games but the last five losses have been by one or two possessions with three of those coming against Boston, Cleveland and Golden St. while the lone win came against the Lakers albeit they were shorthanded. The problem here is that they are coming off an all-out effort last night against Boston and lost by two points and that will be a tough recovery and this is now their fifth game since Monday. Atlanta was on a roll with four straight win including a pair of impressive home wins over Indiana but got blasted against the Clippers by 23 points on Friday and this is now a great spot to bounce back catching the Nets at the perfect time. They have a game and a half lead in the Southeast Division and the Hawks are 3-0 ATS of a home loss by 20 points or more this season. Here, we play against home underdogs off a home loss against a division rival, playing their 5th game in seven days. This situation is 27-2 (93.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (551) Atlanta Hawks

This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS as part of our NBA Triple Play. Toronto has won three straight games and six of its last seven but the schedule has played an integral part of that as the Raptors have had a very favorable stretch. They have two wins over Orlando, two wins over Utah and wins over Washington and Philadelphia, four of the eight or nine worst teams in the NBA. Three of those wins were on the road where Toronto is just 8-23 and now it plays a team with a pulse and the injury report is still an issue for the Raptors. Portland has lost five straight games after putting together a 5-1 run with the lone loss coming against Cleveland on the road in overtime. Three of the recent losses have been against title contenders and the last one came against the Knicks in overtime on a last second shot and have had ample time to recover from that. Portland is 14-3 ATS (82 percent) in home games this season following a cover. Here, we play on home teams after having lost four or five of their last six games, playing with three or more days rest. This situation is 68-31 ATS (68.7 percent) since 2021. 10* (556) Portland Trailblazers

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS as part of our NBA Triple Play. The Lakers are clearly in a slump with the absence of LeBron James playing a major role in that. They have lost four straight games, the last three without James, including a close defeat at Denver on Friday where they were also without Luka Doncic and he will be back on Sunday in a good bounce back spot for Los Angeles laying a short price I its return back home as all four of the recent losses have been on the road. The Lakers are 12-2 (86%) ATS against division opponents this season. Phoenix is coming off a home win and cover over Sacramento which mean auto fade in this game. The Suns were coming off a 1-3 roadtrip to fall to 12-23 on the road as they have been the biggest underachieving team this season with the Sixers a close second due to their injuries. When underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points, Phoenix is just 1-15 while winning only three of 15 games against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .700. Phoenix is 2-22 (8%) ATS this season following a spread win while going 3-15 (17%) ATS following a win by 15 points or more. 10* (550) Los Angeles Lakers

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. San Antonio is officially in tank mode as De'Aaron Fox has joined Victor Wembanyama on the shelf for the rest of the season. Fox missed his first game last night and the Spurs were pounded at home against Charlotte by 11 points and have dropped four of their last five. This is their 12th back-to-back of the season and San Antonio has only won twice in the second game while covering just four of those. New Orleans has been horrible on the road this season but most of the damage was done when injuries plagued the main starters but the Pelicans are mainly healthy now and in a good spot to follow up their loss to Orlando at home by 20 points. With the day off, we are unlikely to see any players rest. The ATS number are not good but again, that is injury related and they are still 10-5 ATS when facing teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, playing their 5th game in 7 days. This situation is 77-36 ATS (68.1 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +7.5 ppg. 10* (543) New Orleans Pelicans

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES as part of our NBA Double Play. The Grizzlies were coming off a pair of road wins at Dallas and New Orleans and came back home to defeat Phoenix and then Utah on Wednesday. Memphis had lost four straight games at home and have now failed to cover its last eight games in Memphis and overall the Grizzlies are 1-11-1 ATS over their last 13 games and catching a small number against the hottest team in the league making then an anti-public play here. The Grizzlies into a tie with the Nuggets for the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference so they want to keep this rolling along. One reason for the short price is the fact Donovan Mitchell is out for the Cavaliers which are in the midst of their second 15-game winning streak of the season which is pretty absurd. They have built an 8.5-game lead in the Eastern Conference over the Celtics and this is a big reason in keeping Mitchell out for a second straight game as there is no reason to push him back. This looks to be the one to end the string. Here, we play on home teams after two or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive wins. This situation is 48-18 (72.7 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +4.2 ppg. 10* (522) Memphis Grizzlies

This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Double Play. This is a good bounce back spot for Boston which is coming off a loss against Oklahoma City at home which snapped a five-game winning streak and they are back on the road following a seven-game homestand which started miserably after losing to Cleveland in the opener after starting the game on a 25-3 run. They recovered well from that deflating loss and now they have the opportunity to again come back from a tough home loss. Boston has been brutal coming off a win, especially big wins, but it is 13-2 in its last 15 road games coming off a loss. Normally this would be a good spot to look at Miami but the Heat are playing horrible with five straight losses, including a pair of bad ones against Chicago and Charlotte, but this is not the time to catch the Celtics in this spot. Miami is now one game under .500 at home and in an awful situation as we play against home underdogs in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams shooting between 45.5 and 47.5 percent, after a game allowing 55 percent shooting or higher. This situation is 24-2 ATS (92.3 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +11.4 ppg. 10* (513) Boston Celtics

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for his NBA Div. Game of the Month. Golden St. continues to roll along as it has won five straight and 10 of its last 11 games but still remains in the No. 6 spot in the Western Conference. The Warriors did go 7-1 ATS in the first eight games during the stretch but are 0-2-1 ATS the last three games which is not a big sample size but shows the markets are adjusting and this is still a good sell high spot. Golden St. is just 2-10 within the division this season with a scoring differential of -6.9 ppg and while this is a different team with Jimmy Butler, they remain overpriced. The Kings have lost two straight games including a 29-point home loss against the Knicks on Monday so they have had some time to get over that and they hit the road where they are a game over .500. Sacramento is 6-3 ATS on the road when getting more than three points and while we are not a huge proponent of road revenge, they will be a little more amped up here following a 24-point home loss against Golden St. three weeks ago. The Kings are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 road games after allowing 130 or more points. 10* (509) Sacramento Kings

This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS as part of our NBA Double Play. Houston has some momentum back and it can keep it rolling here. The Rockets have won three straight and are 22-10 at home and following a bit of a rough patch since the end of January, they have fallen to No. 5 in the Western Conference but they trail Memphis by just one game and are only three games out of the No. 2 spot. Because they are just 7-10-1 ATS since the start of February, there is value on the home team. Houston is 19-5 ATS following a non-conference game. Phoenix is coming off a two-point loss at Memphis on Monday but got the cover to make it four straight against the number which is their longest cover streak of the season by two games. This ATS run has been a rarity as the Suns are now 3-20 ATS following a cover on the season and the recent road stretch has been poor as they are 2-7 over their last nine games with the wins coming against Chicago and a depleted Dallas team. 10* (574) Houston Rockets

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES as part of our NBA Double Play. The Grizzlies were coming off a pair of road wins at Dallas and New Orleans to get back on track and came back home to defeat Phoenix. Memphis had lost four straight games at home and have now failed to cover its last seven games in Memphis and overall the Grizzlies are 1-10-1 ATS over their last 12 games. The Grizzlies remain in the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference and this is a smash spot to finally blow another team out. Utah is coming off a great effort in Boston but fell short by six points to make it six straight losses and this includes four losses against some bottom of the league teams that are also going nowhere. The Jazz have started to get healthier but Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George and Jordan Clarkson remain on the injury report. Utah has been a solid cover team but this is a very tough spot coming off one of their better effort and adding travel to face a team ready for a bust out. 10* (578) Memphis Grizzlies

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES as part of our NBA Triple Play. The Grizzlies are coming off a pair of road wins at Dallas and New Orleans to get back on track and are back home ready to get back on track here. Memphis has lost four straight games at home while failing to cover its last six in Memphis which includes a non-cover against Phoenix in a 151-148 overtime thriller, their last home win, where the Grizzlies were laying as many as eight points so there is plenty of value Monday. The Grizzlies remain in the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference and this is a good buy low spot. Phoenix has won two of its last three games, the loss coming against Denver in overtime but the suns are in a tough spot here. Phoenix has numerous negative angles going into this one as it is 1-21 ATS following a cover, 1-10 ATS following a road win and 1-10 against the money line when playing with double revenge with a scoring differential of at least eight ppg in all of those. 10* (544) Memphis Grizzlies

This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS as part of our NBA Triple Play. Indiana is coming off a pair of losses in Atlanta on the heels of a 19-7 run and this is a boog buy low spot to get back to winning. The Pacers were without Tyrese Haliburton for both games but is expected to return tonight yet keep an eye on the injury report if he is a late scratch as we will get value if he happens to sit again. Indiana remains a half-game out of the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference and it is 29-12 in its last 41 games off an upset loss as a favorite. The Bulls meanwhile are coming off a pair of road wins at Orlando and Miami and are back home where they have lost six of seven and are 11-22 on the season. Chicago is 4-17 in its last 21 games off an upset win as a road underdog. Here, we play against home underdogs after a win by six points or less going up against an opponent after two straight losses by six points or less. This situation is 32-5 (86.5 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +10.1 ppg. 10* (545) Indiana Pacers

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS as part of our NBA Triple Play. Denver got pummeled last night in Oklahoma City as a three-point deficit heading into the fourth quarter turned into a 24-point loss and we expect an effort from the Nuggets tonight mirroring those first three quarters and not the final period. They have failed to cover four straight games against the closing number and are now 2-7 ATS in their last nine games so we are getting value in a buy low spot with a number that has risen from last night. Denver is 11-1 this season when playing with no rest, the only loss coming at home against Houston where Nikola Jokic did not play. Oklahoma City continues to hum along as it has won seven straight games while covering their last three and look to be in a tough spot to duplicate another blowout. Here, we play against home teams off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 33-18 (64.7 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +1.4 ppg. 10* (549) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS as part of our NBA Double Play. 10* (530) Portland Trailblazers

This is a play on the MILWUKEE BUCKS as part of our NBA Double Play. 10* (526) Milwaukee Bucks

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS as part of our NBA Double Play. 10* (513) Detroit Pistons

This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Double Play. 10* (510) Miami Heat

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Phoenix is coming off a win over the Clippers on Tuesday and is still five games under .500 to remain one of the top disappointments in the league. The Suns have been overvalued much of the season as evidenced by their 22-39-1 ATS record but they are starting to get adjusted as they were home underdogs in their last two games and are catching a big number here but we still are not buying in. They have been road underdogs 14 times, covering only five of those while losing 13 of the 14, the only win being by one point at Dallas. Phoenix is 1-20 ATS this season following a cover and have lost 16 of 19 games against teams averaging 116 or more ppg. Denver took out Sacramento on Wednesday and while the Nuggets covered the early number, they did not cover the closing number as the line steams late. They remain home where they are 21-9 for a on more get right game before going to Oklahoma City for two straight games on Sunday and Monday. Denver is 15-7 ATS as a favorite of three points or more. 10* (574) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Knicks head out west for a five-game road trip after having their three-game winning streak snapped with a 12-point home loss against Golden St. which is playing some of its best basketball of the season. They are 19-10 on the road and catching a short number and they will be the anti-play because of this with the public all over the Lakers laying this at home. New York has won nine of 10 games this season against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .700. The Knicks are 19-5 in their last 24 games off a home loss including 13-1 in 14 games off a home loss as favorites. Like Golden St., the Lakers are playing some of their best basketball of the season as they have won seven straight games, covering six of those, and they have moved into the No. 2 spot in the Western Conference. They are considered a title contender with the addition of Luka Doncic but this is the too good to be true fade spot. This is the final home game before heading out for a four-game roadtrip that opens in Boston on Saturday. 10* (559) New York Knicks

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES as part of our NBA Double Play. Memphis has lost three straight games, by a combined five points, while failing to cover its last four games and the Grizzlies have gone 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight games. The last two have been with the absence of Ja Morant who has been out with a shoulder injury and while he will be evaluated during shootaround, he is likely to come back in this pivotal game. Memphis has gone from the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference to the No. 4 seed, falling behind the Lakers and Nuggets. Oklahoma City has since won four straight games, three against non-contending playoff teams. The Thunder have increased their lead in the Western Conference to 10.5 games so getting the No. 1 seed is a given so now it is about winning by margin. They are the No. 2 cover team in the NBA at 37-20-4 ATS but a lot of this has come against poor teams as they have gone 27-8-4 ATS against teams not outscoring opponents by three or more ppg. 10* (542) Memphis Grizzlies

This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS as part of our NBA Double Play. Dallas continues to hold its own since the big trade at the deadline as it has gone 6-4 over its last 10 games to remain in the No. 10 spot in the Western Conference. The Mavericks are coming off a home loss against Milwaukee on Saturday and are now 19-12 at home and we are still seeing the overreaction lines following the Luka Doncic trade where he was not even playing beforehand. Dallas is 21-9 in its last 30 games following a home loss with a scoring differential of +4.9 ppg. The Kings made some big moves at the trade deadline and it seems to be paying off as they have won three straight games and six of their last eight. They have moved into the No. 9 spot in the conference, one game ahead of Dallas and come in as an overpriced favorite. Sacramento is two games over .500 on the road which does include an upset at Houston on Saturday while these marginal games have been a problem for Sacramento as it is 5-11 ATS when the line is between +3 and -3. 10* (512) Dallas Mavericks

This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS as part of our NBA Double Play. Oklahoma City had a stretch of four games where it faced Minnesota three times and came away 1-2 with that lone win being a struggle and has since won three straight games, all against non-contending playoff teams. The Thunder have increased their lead in the Western Conference to 10.5 games so getting the No. 1 seed is a given so now it is about winning by margin. They are the No. 2 cover team in the NBA at 37-19-4 ATS but a lot of this has come against poor teams as they have gone 27-8-4 ATS against teams not outscoring opponents by three or more ppg. Houston is coming off a loss against Sacramento on Saturday following a two-game winning streak and the Rockets have fallen into fifth place in the conference but are just 2.5 games out of second place. They have been an above average road team at 17-12 and Houston is 9-3 ATS this season coming off a loss as a favorite. This is the biggest number they have seen this season and they are 9-4-1 ATS as underdogs of two or more points. 10* (509) Houston Rockets

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES as part of our NBA Triple Play. Memphis has been playing inconsistent around the break as it is just 3-4 in its last seven games but only one of the losses was at home which was against Oklahoma City while the three road losses were all against playoff teams including one at Cleveland. The Grizzlies are coming off a win over Phoenix in one of the best games of the season as they defeated the suns 151-148 and have had two days off since then. They are now 22-6 at home and Memphis is 16-6-1 ATS against the Eastern Conference. The Knicks are coming off a five-point win over the Sixers following a pair of road losses at Cleveland and Boston. They have been solid on the road at 17-10 but have gone just 2-4 straight up and ATS as road underdogs and have gone only 2-6 as underdogs overall. Here, we play on home favorites off a close home win by three points or less, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 64-14 (82.1 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +6.8 ppg. 10* (542) Memphis Grizzlies

This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Triple Play. Boston has won two of the first three meetings between the top two teams in the Eastern Conference and we love the Celtics to win the season series and show they are still the team to go through. The Celtics lost in Detroit on Wednesday following a win at Toronto on Tuesday and they played with zero energy against the Pistons and that can be attributed to both the travel aspect and the lookahead possibility. Boston is 5-1 ATS this season off a road loss, winning those games by an average of 17.6 ppg. Cleveland has won eight straight games and has built a 6.5-game lead over Boston in the conference but this is a very tough spot. Cleveland has manhandled the poor teams in the league as it is 38-5 against teams ranked outside the top ten but just 10-5 against teams ranked inside the top ten. Here, we play against underdogs off a road win by 10 points or more going up against an opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +7.5 ppg. 10* (534) Boston Celtics

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS as part of our NBA Triple Play. We saw Boston go into Detroit and lose the second of a back-to-back set and which came right after the Clippers doing the same and now the Pistons welcome their third straight opponent playing with no rest but the difference here is that Denver has dominated in this spot. The Nuggets lost in Milwaukee last night by nine points which temporarily halted a 10-1 run and we like the bounce back factor here. Denver has been one of the best teams in this scenario as it is 10-1 this season playing with no rest. The Pistons pulled off the home upset as they dominated Boston for three quarters, losing only the second quarter while outscoring the Celtics by 29 points in the other three quarters to pick up their eighth straight victory. Six of the wins have been against non-playoff teams and overall, Detroit is just 16-13 at home. Here, we play against home teams off an upset win as a home underdog, playing five or less games in 14 days. This situation is 28-9 (75.7 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +4.9 ppg. 10* (529) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Golden St. is rolling along as it has won four straight games and it is 6-1 since Jimmy Butler got into the lineup but this is now a tough spot coming off a 30-point blowout win facing a team coming off a 40-point blowout loss as we are seeing an overreaction line. The Warriors rolled over Charlotte on Tuesday and is back on the road where it has gone 4-1 during this run to get back to .500 on the highway but we will fade at this number to not win by margin. Orlando suffered a 40-point home loss against Cleveland on Tuesday and this is a good spot to get some momentum going with a favorable upcoming schedule facing Toronto twice and Chicago in Orlando to close the homestand. The Magic are 18-12 at home compared to 11-19 on the road and they are getting the same number they were getting against the Cavaliers. 10* (520) Orlando Magic

This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Divisional Game of the Year. This is the second game of a home and home with Atlanta winning the first game by 12 points at home which snapped a three-game losing streak for the Hawks. They are back on the road for the first time in two weeks where they are 14-16 and the win over the Heat game them a one game lead over Miami in the Southeast Division and for the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference. Atlanta has been money in this situation as a short road underdog but this is not the spot. Miami has dropped six of its last seven games following a 1-4 roadtrip that wrapped around the break and it is back home for the first time since February 10th. The Heats are an average home team at 12-11 but we are getting value because of it and an immediate revenge game adds to the incentive to go along with their losing run. They are 18-10 against teams ranked outside the top 16 in the league. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg scoring differential, after a combined score of 195 points or less. This situation is 31-7 ATS (81.6 percent) since 2021 with a scoring differential of +7.4 ppg. 10* (510) Miami Heat

This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS as part of our NBA Double Play. Milwaukee has won four straight games including three straight out of the break but two of those were at home and the one road win was at Washington by only three points. The Bucks are 12-15 on the road but seven of those have come against teams that will not be in the playoffs and they also have some awful losses at Brooklyn, Charlotte, Chicago, Portland and San Antonio so their home floor has kept them a half-game out of the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference. Houston went through a six-game losing streak before winning three of four games but is coming off a bad loss at Houston by nine points as a 7.5-point favorite. The Rockets are back home where they are 18-9 and despite being 13 games over .500, they are sitting in the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference. They have 20 wins against the top 16 in the NBA, third most overall. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 88-45 ATS (66.2 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +8.9 ppg. 10* (572) Houston Rockets

This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS as part of our NBA Double Play. San Antonio won its first game after the All Star Break which was its first since Victor Wembanyama was shut down for the season but the Spurs have lost their last two games since then, a pair of blowout losses against the Pistons and Pelicans. The game against New Orleans was on Sunday and while they were getting two points and were blown out, the fact they are getting just a half-point more two days later is telling. It could go up closer to game time but either way, we like the bounce back spot. San Antonio is 8-1 in its last nine games off a road loss by double digits. New Orleans has won two of its last three games following a 10-game losing streak and while the other victory was a good one against Sacramento, it took overtime to get it done. The Pelicans have been a disaster on the road at 4-24 and while better at home at 10-19, this is still an inconsistent team that is hard to trust winning consecutive games. Injuries were an issue early on and while relatively healthy now, these back-to-back sets are hard to sweep. They have gone just 3-6 in nine games this season coming off a home win. 10* (573) San Antonio Spurs

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS as part of our NBA Triple Play. Denver had a nine-game winning streak snapped with a 23-point loss at home to the Lakers and is back on the road where it is 17-11 which is the fifth best road record in the league. And the Nuggets now come in as favorites but the spot is great to win by margin. While Denver has not been great as a road favorite, it has struggled with the big numbers going 1-7 ATS when favored by eight points or more but 8-4 ATS when favored by less than that and they are 6-2 ATS after a road loss. Indiana has won its first two games after the All Star Break against two of the better teams in the league but is now in a back-to-back where it is 2-6 ATS in the second game and the Pacers have faced some poor opposition including Toronto, Brooklyn, Portland and Washington. This is letdown time off an 18-point win over the Clippers. 10* (551) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS as part of our NBA Triple Play. Philadelphia has lost seven straight games while failing to cover any of its last eight games and remains the clear disappointment in the NBA. Injuries have played a big role but there has been no consistency and the big three were all in the lineup in their last game and the Sixers still lost to Brooklyn which was the case in their previous game as well but that was against Boston. There is not much good to say about this team right now but it is about value and the eight-game ATS skid is providing that. The Bulls have not been much better with six straight losses but they have covered both games after the break, a two-point loss at New York and a four-point home loss against Phoenix. Chicago is 9-12-1 ATS as a road underdog and similar to the Phoenix game, it is facing a desperate team on a big losing streak. 10* (554) Philadelphia 76ers