This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our Sweet 16 Thursday Ultimate Underdog. BYU is a bad matchup for Alabama and the Crimson Tide are good matchup for the Cougars based on their styles. BYU has won 11 of its last 12 games with the lone loss coming against Houston which was able to slow it down and muck it up to hold the Cougars to only 54 points which was a season low behind a 55-point performance back in January, also against Houston so that has been the matchup that has been the most troublesome. They like to run and shoot and Alabama will gladly give them that and this team is ranked No. 4 in the country at BartTorvik since this 12-game run that started on February 11th. This includes an 8-1 run against Quad 1 teams and while their defense can be an issue at times, they now face an Alabama teams that is shooting just 34.7 percent from long range this month. If Alabama gets hot, it can beat anyone in the country but when playing its averages, it is as vulnerable as anyone and its No. 348 Turnover Rate on defense is a huge concern with the Cougars not feeling much resistance. 10* (627) BYU Cougars

This is a play on the UC IRVINE ANTEATERS for our NIT Game of the Year. UC Irvine has held serve on its home floor with wins over Northern Colorado and Jacksonville St. to improve to 12-2 at home and has the benefit of a third straight home game to open the NIT. We have seen the line come down considerably from the first two games despite the Anteaters facing three teams relatively similar in NET Rankings, going from No. 122 to No. 114 to now No. 106. They come in with their own ranking of No. 62 and while this season overall has not gone as expected, mostly due to UC San Diego have been more dominant, winning this championship would be a great compensation. The Anteaters have been solid at the free throw line this season as they are shooting 80.6 percent which is No. 3 in the country and this is huge in all of these postseason tournaments. UAB has pulled off a pair of road wins to get here, winning at St. Joseph’s and Santa Clara both by four points, the latter following a 17-point deficit. The Blazers got a tough draw having to play in California three days later so even having the option to remain on the road to avoid extra travel is not an advantage being away from home. We have this number at 7 so there is a significant edge. 10* (622) UC Irvine Anteaters

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CBB Tuesday NIT Signature Enforcer. At 15-17, Oklahoma St. got the surprise call from the NIT but the Cowboys are a better team than that record indicates coming out of the Big 12 Conference and they have showed that in the NIT. They finished last in the conference in NET Ranking but still a respectable No. 95 as their 1-14 Quad 1 mark hurt the record overall showing they could not play with the big boys, especially on the road where they are 3-10 but come in 13-3 at home. All three home losses were against teams No. 12 or better in NET Ranking. One key factor they have improved upon as the season has gone along is free throw shooting with nearly a quarter of its offense coming on free throws. The Cowboys lead the conference in free throw rate at No. 19 while sitting No. 16 in both attempts and made free throws. North Texas hits the road for the first time in the NIT after home victories over Furman and Arkansas St., the latter on a last-second jumper. The Mean Green are 7-5 on the road with the only quality win coming at Minnesota but that was all the way back in November. 10* (612) Oklahoma St. Cowboys

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CBB Sunday Late Powerhouse. We loved Oregon coming into the NCAA Tournament and love them in this spot after blowing out Liberty. Oregon was on an eight-game winning streak before running into Michigan St. in the Big Ten Tournament but that was just a small bump in the road and the Ducks came back with that win over the Flames. They have a big travel edge as this game is being played in Seattle and the Ducks will also have the big advantage in the crowd especially with this being the final game of the night once again. They are 8-2 in Quad 2 games including five straight wins. Arizona is off a blowout win over Akron which definitely gave them some much needed confidence but that big win is having them overvalued with a lot of that based on name and the number. A short line is putting the public on Arizona but we are seeing a reverse line move and the wildcats come in having lost 14 of their last 26 games coming off a double-digit win outright. 10* (871) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the MARYLAND TERRAPINS for our CBB Sunday Signature Enforcer. We won with Colorado St. on Friday as the Rams have now covered 11 straight games and now is the time to get off them. Memphis committed 16 turnovers and the Rams will not have that luxury against arguably the most underrated team in the country. Maryland does not turn the ball over as it is No. 36 in the country in Turnover Rate with the best starting five that has played every game, the only team to have this luxury. Colorado St. has won four straight Quad 1 games after a 0-5 start and before Memphis, two of those were against Boise St. which did not get in the tournament and the other against Utah St. which got hammered by UCLA. The Terrapins absolutely controlled a very good Grand Canyon team and while they move up to Quad 1, they are 8-4 in their last 12 Quad 1 games with the four losses by nine points combined and all against Big Ten Conference teams. This is the smash spot for Maryland. 10* (870) Maryland Terrapins

This is a play on the ST. MARY’S GAELS for our Round 2 Game of the Year. St. Mary’s was able to get past Vanderbilt as it overcame a 12-point deficit in the second half to pull off a narrow three-point win and now faces another Southeastern Conference team and this one comes down to tempo. This is the lowest total posted for Alabama all season and that is where the underdog has the edge. The Gales have failed to cover five straight games and that is where the value comes in as we have them as a three-point dog and speaking of threes, they got by the Commodores despite shooting just 28 percent from long range, a game after going 0-16 from deep against Gonzaga in the West Coast Conference championship game. Alabama was never in control against Robert Morris despite playing the game it wanted to and that was fast. The Crimson Tide were able to put up 90 points on 59 percent shooting and still won by only nine points and that was against a team willing to run with them. They will not have that edge here with the Gaels looking to muck it up and keep it slow with points being the premium. 10* (861) St. Mary’s Gaels

This is a play on the CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS for our CBB Saturday Signature Enforcer. This is a great clash that Auburn has not really seen yet this season. Creighton took out a Louisville team that may have been considered overrated in a bad conference but this is a team that can make some noise based on its style which is unique. The Bluejays are No. 2 in the country in 2-Point% at 60.7 percent as they go to the rim to get the easy buckets but that sets up the three-point ball as they are No. 11 in the country in three-point shooting rate and with the easy outs, they are a tough matchup. Defensively, they take advantage of their length and athleticism as they are 12-1 against teams that take 21 or more three-pointers per game. Auburn pulled away from Alabama St. with a 20-point win but it was a competitive game for the majority. The Tigers came into the NCAA Tournament going 1-3 in their previous four games yet were still the top overall seed and the markets have caught up and have failed to cover five straight after a great mid-season run. They are on upset alert here with this matchup and are laying close to double-digits against a team that has been an underdog of four or more points eight times, going 6-1-1 ATS in those games., 10* (819) Creighton Bluejays

This is a play on the DRAKE BULLDOGS for our CBB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. Drake came through on Thursday against a Power 6 team and we are backing them again based on the fact winning is contagious no matter the opponent. Under first-year head coach Ben McCollum, who came over from Division II and was named MVC Coach of the Year this season, Drake is in a position to make a run similar to what we thought two years ago but coughed up a late lead in the first round against Miami. Drake has now played eight neutral site games this season and is 8-0 straight up and 7-1 ATS in those games and is 3-0 in Quad 1 games, wins over Vanderbilt and Kansas St. before the Missouri victory. Texas Tech is a very popular No. 3 seed to make the Final Four but this offense remains an issue to go along with no depth. The Red Raiders shot just 39 percent from the floor but were efficient with only six turnovers but now they face a defense that is ranked No. 16 in the country in Turnover Rate defensively. They went seven deep against UNC Wilmington and a tougher test here awaits with an overpriced number with the Red Raiders now failing to cover all six neutral court games this season. 10* (825) Drake Bulldogs

This is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CBB Saturday Star Attraction. It was a second straight day for the favorites rolling in the NCAA Tournament with 13 of the 16 chalk teams winning after 12 taking their games on Thursday and we are seeing the lines for Saturday reflecting that. St. John’s won by 30 over Omaha with a 19-point closing line and now comes a great coaching matchup. The Red Storm have been one of the best covers team in the country as they are now 22-12-1 against the number following their fourth straight double-digit win and we have seen this line move up slightly in what was an already overreaction number. They are one of the best defensive teams in the country but the offense remains a concern, sitting at No. 342 in three-point shooting and on top of that, No. 292 in free throw shooting which can bite them in a close game. Arkansas pulled away late in its win over Kansas and with the exception of a bad loss at South Carolina, the Razorbacks have been one of the better teams in the Southeastern Conference following a 0-5 start. They got a big piece back with Boogie Fland taking the court for the first time since January 18th and while he scored just six points in 24 minutes, his presence will be more felt today in what should be one of the best afternoon games. 10* (817) Arkansas Razorbacks

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our Round 1 Game of the Year. Oregon was on an eight-game winning streak before running into Michigan St. in the Big Ten Tournament but that was just a small bump in the road and the Ducks are in good shape to recover as some extended time off cannot hurt. They have a big travel edge as this game is being played in Seattle and the Ducks will also have the big advantage in the crowd especially with this being the final game of the night. They are 8-2 in Quad 2 games including five straight wins and we love the coaching edge as Oregon head coach Dana Altman is 8-0 straight up in the first round of the NCAA Tournament with Oregon, despite an average seed between No. 7 and No. 8 and he has been one of the most profitable coaches in the tournament. Liberty won the C-USA regular season title and backed it up with the C-USA Tournament Championship but have yet to play a Quad 1 game. Oregon is hitting 77 percent from the stripe and teams shooting 77 percent or higher from the free throw line are 87-52-2 ATS (63 percent) in the NCAA Tournament. 10* (802) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CBB Friday Signature Enforcer. We know who the public will be on here and we have seen line movement because of it as this opened at 4.5 and has been pushed to 5.5 as of Wednesday afternoon. 74 percent of the money is on Connecticut and this is something to keep an eyes on as since 2005, going against the heavy public action has paid off as teams that close with 80 percent of the money or higher are just 2-11 ATS. The Huskies were able to pull away from Villanova in the Big East Tournament but were eliminated by Creighton to fall to 23-10 and secured a No. 8 seed which does correlate with their No. 32 NET Ranking. The defense is a concern as Connecticut fell from inside the top 10 in the two championship seasons to No. 96 in Defensive Efficiency after losing multiple key players. Oklahoma won a pair of big games against Missouri and Texas to close the regular season to get it inside the NCAA Tournament bubble and solidified it with an SEC Tournament win over Georgia before falling to Kentucky by one point. The Sooners do have seven Quad 1 wins. 10* (783) Oklahoma Sooners

This is a play on the AKRON ZIPS for our CBB Friday Ultimate Underdog. Arizona has been a tough team to figure out. The Wildcats have played one of the toughest schedules in the country so losses were inevitable and they started 4-5 before finding its groove by going on a 14-1 run with the only loss coming at Texas Tech but nine of those wins were against non-NCAA Tournament teams and then came a rough patch at the wrong time. They closed with five losses in eight games as the defense was one of the worst in the country among Power 6 teams at No. 92 in Defensive Efficiency and while they did win two games in the Big 12 Tournament, a bad loss to Houston deflated them yet again. They are 4-1 in Quad 2 games but three of those wins were at home and the road win was at Oklahoma St. by. Akron enters the tournament as one of the hottest teams as it is 21-1 since the start of 2025 and over this stretch, they are No. 4 in 2-Point% at 59.9 percent and have one of the best players in the country no one knows in Nate Johnson. While Arizona is a top free throw shooting team, Akron is there as well. 10* (803) Akron Zips

This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI REBELS as part of our CBB Friday Afternoon Three-Game Pack. North Carolina told all of the naysayers to stick it on Tuesday as it rolled over San Diego St. and showed it belongs in the NCAA Tournament and the No. 11 seed is now favored again and that line screams Tar Heels. They take a big step up here, going from facing the No. 52 NET Ranked team to the No. 28 NET Ranked team which means back in Quad 1 they go where they are 1-12. That first game was an adrenaline rush fueled by a lot of pride and while they might have some more confidence now, this is not the spot to face a more recently tested team. The Rebels did win one game in the Southeastern Conference Tournament before losing to Auburn by five points and it has been a great season and this team can make a run and are being disrespected here. Mississippi went 8-10 in Quad 1 games with five of those losses by five points or less including three by five points combined. Mississippi should be a three-point favorite and has schedule, free throw shooting, luck and turnover edges and we take advantage of a bad number. 10* (794) Mississippi Rebels

This is a play on the ST. MARY’S GAELS as part of our CBB Friday Afternoon Three-Game Pack. This looks to be one of those games that exposes the SEC as being overrated and not as strong as everyone thinks. Vanderbilt went 12-1 in the nonconference portion of their schedule and while it did have solid wins within the conference, all five Quad 1 wins were by one or two possessions and four of those were on the Commodores home floor and they were blown in nearly every game away from home in Quad 1. They were 3-7 on the road while going 3-2 in neutral court games but those three wins were outside Quad 1 including one in Quad 4. While the bottom part of the conference is interchangeable as most teams are very similar, Vanderbilt is the lowest NET Ranked team that made the NCAA Tournament. St. Mary’s easily won the West Coast Conference but did lose to Gonzaga in the Tournament Championship yet this is still the best Gaels team that we have seen. They come in No. 21 in NET Ranking and No. 22 in KenPom Ranking and their other two Quad 1 losses were by three combined points, one in overtime. 10* (790) St. Mary’s Gaels

This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS as part of our CBB Friday Afternoon Three-Game Pack. Many of the so-called TV experts are calling for a Colorado St. upset since the Rams are a No. 12 seed but the fact they are favored does not make this an upset. The Rams are favored for a reason and with the first year of the skewed seedings because of the SEC and Big Ten expansions, seedings can be tossed out in a lot of cases, i.e. Gonzaga, so a casual bettor taking Memphis because of the much higher seed is going about it wrong. Colorado St. has won 10 straight games including three wins in three nights to win the Mountain West Conference Tournament and it has lost only four games since December 14th, the last three coming in true road games and the Rams have the big free throw angle as teams that shoot 77 percent or better are 87-52-2 ATS (62.6 percent) and when the spread is six points or less, those teams move to 60-29 ATS (67.4 percent). Memphis rolled through an extremely weak American Athletic Conference and while it is 6-1 in Quad 1 games, it has not played in one since December 28th. 10* (805) Colorado St. Rams

This is a play on the UC SAN DIEGO TRITONS for our CBB Thursday Late Powerhouse. The 5-12 matchups have been known for upsets but a No. 12 win would not be an upset based on metrics and the line. UC San Diego is going to be a very trendy pick based on the seeding and the Tritons are under-seeded as they are No. 12 despite being No. 35 in NET Ranking and No. 36 in KenPom which should have them in an 8/9 game. They opened the season 2-2 which included a Quad 1 loss at San Diego St. and then went 28-2 over their last 30 games including 15 straight wins and the short price will be a concern but it is short for a reason as they match up well and have a massive edge in Offensive Turnover% as they are No. 6 while Michigan is No. 332 and defensively, San Diego is No. 3. The Wolverines won the Big Ten Conference Tournament which was unexpected as they came in on a three-game losing streak . We are not impressed with that title as once a top offense in efficiency, Michigan is No. 149 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency over the last month. And they are in Denver which hurts their two big men. 10* (769) UC San Diego Tritons

This is a play on the DRAKE BULLDOGS for our CBB Thursday Ultimate Underdog. There are a number of Southeastern Conference teams that are bunched after the top five that are all interchangeable and Missouri is part of that group. The Tigers started the season 17-4 but since February 5th, they have gone 5-7 and while the losses were all against NCAA Tournament teams, they are of course playing another NCAA Tournament team. They were a dominant home team, going 18-2 but are just 4-9 outside of Columbia while all three Quad 2 games they played, and won, were at home. They are laying a big number with a small total and that favors the underdog. Under first-year head coach Ben McCollum, who came over from Division II and was named MVC Coach of the Year this season, Drake is in a position to make a run similar to what we thought two years ago but coughed up a late lead in the first round against Miami. Drake has played seven neutral site games this season and is 7-0 straight up and 6-1 ATS in those games and is 2-0 in Quad 1 games, wins over Vanderbilt and Kansas St. 10* (765) Drake Bulldogs

This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our CBB Thursday Signature Enforcer. While there have been a number of disappointing teams in college basketball this season, Kansas is certainly near the top of the list. The Jayhawks were picked to win the Big 12 Conference and were the No. 2 Preseason Team at Blue Ribbon and it started well with a 7-0 start that included wins over Michigan St. and Duke and then things started to unravel. They are 14-12 since then so there is no indication that this team can make a run based on that especially with their No. 7 seeding , the first time they are higher than No. 4 since 2000. On the flip side, the roster has Final Four talent and there might be a run left in the tank. John Calipari was supposed to be the savior for Arkansas but it has not been great as a 0-5 SEC start had them fighting for their lives late. Since 2005, going against the heavy public action has paid off as teams that close with 80 percent of the money or higher are just 2-11 ATS and as of Tuesday afternoon, Arkansas is collecting 82 percent. 10* (750) Kansas Jayhawks

This is a play on the GONZAGA BULLDOGS for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Because of the NCAA seeding policies and the expansion of the SEC and Big Ten Conferences where teams cannot play each other early on based on how many times they played during the season, Gonzaga was one of the teams that was affected by the seeding. The Bulldogs finished with a No. 8 NET Ranking and No. 9 KenPom Ranking but were given a No. 8 seed making them the biggest under-seeded team in the tournament. Georgia went 8-10 in the Southeastern Conference and made the tournament thanks to winning its final four regular season games including wins over Florida, Texas and Vanderbilt before bowing out in its first SEC Tournament game against Oklahoma. The Bulldogs only have two other Quad 1 wins and while one was against St John’s, that was all the way back in November. Free throw shooting is important as ever in the NCAA Tournament and teams that shoot 77 percent or better are 87-52-2 ATS (62.6 percent) and when the spread is six points or less, those teams move to 60-29 ATS (67.4 percent). 10* (764) Gonzaga Bulldogs

This is a play on the MONTANA GRIZZLIES as part of our CBB Thursday Early Three-Game Package. The Big Sky Conference has been horrible throughout the years in the NCAA Tournament, going 1-24 over the last 24 years but we could care less about an outright win here with this number. Montana comes in as one of the hottest teams in the country as it has gone 14-1 straight up and 12-2-1 against the number since January 20th with the only loss coming in overtime. The Grizzlies bring in the momentum and while they were blown out in their only two games against Power 6 teams, those were all the way back in November and both in true road games. Wisconsin went 13-7 in the Big Ten Conference, which was good for a tie for fourth place and made it to the conference championship where it lost to Michigan and the Badgers went just 5-4 down the stretch. They were still rewarded with a No. 3 seed which was in line with the NET Ranking and KenPom Ranking but they got a bad draw in their region having to travel to Denver with very little time to acclimate to the elevation. 10* (775) Montana Grizzlies

This is a play on the HIGH POINT PANTHERS as part of our CBB Thursday Early Three-Game Package. Purdue made a run to the NCAA Championship last season but that is not expected this year as their numbers in key areas have dropped drastically. The Boilermakers lost six of their final nine regular season games to finish 22-11, but still finished No. 19 in the NET Rankings and in KenPom Rankings so the metrics have them seeded accordingly. They were one of the best defenses in the country last season but fell to No. 159 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Size is also an issue for Purdue, which dropped from No. 10 in rebounds last season to No. 315 this season. This team has lost in the first round in four of the last nine postseasons and three of those were at least 21-win seasons. Since January 28th, High Point is 14-0, with those 14 wins currently the longest winning streak in the country, and the Panthers offense has led the way as they are No. 5 in Effective Field Goal% and No. 3 in 2-Point% Offense. The matchup could not be better as Purdue is No. 331 and No. 364 respectively on defense in those categories. 10* (747) High Point Panthers

This is a play on the CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS as part of our CBB Thursday Early Three-Game Package. Louisville comes with a No. 24 NET Ranking and a No. 23 KenPom Ranking but was under-seeded at No. 8 but the committee did soften that up by opening in Lexington so the Cardinals will have an edge in the stands and it has been said that Auburn got a horrible draw because of this. These arguments are not warranted quite yet because Louisville has not advanced and we do not think they will. While the aforementioned rankings are solid, for a team that went 18-2 in its conference shows how weak the Atlantic Coast Conference is and while the Cardinals did defeat Clemson twice, they only have only two other Quad 1 wins and they are against teams not even in the NCAA Tournament. Creighton escaped DePaul in the Big East Tournament before taking out Connecticut in the semifinals but ran into a St. John’s team that could not miss in the second half, connecting on 17 of their last 19 shots. The Bluejays are 6-6 in Quad 1 games, five coming against NCAA Tournament teams. 10* (755) Creighton Bluejays

This is a play on the TEXAS LONGHORNS for our CBB Wednesday First Four Winner. While Texas is another team many thought it should not have made the NCAA Tournament, it was on the outside of many bubbles leading to selection Sunday, the Longhorns make a stronger case that North Carolina. The Longhorns were left for dead following a home loss against Oklahoma in their regular season finale, they defeated Vanderbilt in the first Southeastern Conference Tournament game and a double-overtime win over Texas A&M sealed the deal before eventually losing to Tennessee. Texas is a very solid 7-10 in Quad 1 games, losing four of those games by five points or less, two against Auburn and Tennessee, and another in overtime against Arkansas. Xavier heated up at the right time as it won seven straight games before eventually losing to Marquette by two points in the Big East Tournament. The issue for Xavier was it went just 1-9 in Quad 1 games, the only win coming by two points against Marquette and now they are being asked to win by more than three points. 10* (710) Texas Longhorns

This is a play on the SMU MUSTANGS as part of our CBB Wednesday NIT Triple Play Package. SMU was on the outside of the NCAA Tournament bubble all season and it needed a run in the Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament to have a chance and it nearly pulled off the big upset over Clemson but fell three points short as the offense went ice cold over the last six minutes. They got leading scorer Bloopie Miller back for the final four games after he missed three weeks and now it is in position to win this tournament. Some teams have already turned down postseason invitations, but given the Mustangs mix of veterans finishing their careers alongside players who could benefit from more postseason experience, they are more than happy to be here. They are back in Quad 3 where they are a perfect 12-0, winning nine of those by double digits. Northern Iowa put a nice run together to open February with six straight wins but lost three of its last four games including getting upset by Valparaiso in the first Missouri Valley Conference Tournament game and come in 2-7 in Quad 1 and Quad 2 games. 10* (722) SMU Mustangs

This is a play on the BRADLEY BRAVES as part of our CBB Wednesday NIT Triple Play Package. And so it begins. Teams outside the NCAA Tournament and playing in the lower tiered tournaments have to be researched for players opting out and Bradley was one of the first to encounter that as leading scorer Darrius Hannah advised the team over the weekend he was not going to play in the upcoming NIT, opting out in what was believed to be preparation for his pursuit of opportunities with a professional league. However, he changed his course of action and will play which is a big boost for the Braves which are back home for another home game where they are 13-3 while playing a Quad 2 game where they are 11-2. North Alabama lost at Lipscomb in the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament Championship and come in 24-10 but now take a step up in competition. The Lions went 22-0 in Quad 4 and non-Division I games but now they take a jump to Quad 2 where they are 0-3 and the offense that was No. 56 in the nation averaging 79.2 ppg scored 54, 63 and 65 in those games. 10* (716) Bradley Braves

This is a play on the ST. JOSEPH’S HAWKS as part of our CBB Wednesday NIT Triple Play Package. This is a tough game for UAB as this is a rather quick turnaround after losing to Memphis in the American Athletic Conference Tournament Championship on Sunday and have to travel. The Blazers are 5-5 on the road which is legit but getting up for this one is going to be difficult and the line is telling us that. UAB was in the spotlight on Sunday and even though they lost, they kept it close for a while and people will remember that and they come in 13-2 in Quad 4 games but just 9-10 in games inside that. St. Joseph’s comes in with an identical 22-12 record following a loss against George Mason in the Atlantic Ten Conference Semifinals and have the extra day with no travel with is a big edge. The Hawks have won seven of their last eight Quad 3 games with the lone loss at LaSalle which was a tough spot with that being the final game for Explorers head coach Fran Dunphy. The Hawks were double digit favorites in 11 games and did not fare well but are 5-1 ATS as favorites of seven points or less. 10* (712) St. Joseph’s Hawks

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CBB Tuesday First Four Winner. While the biggest uproar in the NCAA Tournament selections was North Carolina getting in, the metrics say the Tar Heels belong with a No. 36 NET Ranking and No. 33 in KenPom while the lines are saying the same thing. One of the main arguments was that they went just 1-12 in Quad 1 games and while that is totally valid in leaving them out, this first game does not fall into that, This is a Quad 2 game where they are 8-0 while going 21-1 outside of Quad 1, the only loss being a one point loss against Stanford. The thing is, San Diego St. in No. 52 so they are right on the edge and in those eight Quad 2 wins, four were by one and two points and three of the decisive wins were against teams ranked No. 69 or higher. The Aztecs were on the inside of the bubble all season and never left the first four in despite losing to Boise St. in the Mountain West Conference Semifinals. They have a good matchup with their strong defense and ability to control the pace. 10* (672) San Diego St. Aztecs

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CBB Tuesday NIT Supreme Annihilator. At 15-17, Oklahoma St. got the surprise call from the NIT but the Cowboys are a better team than that record indicates coming out of the Big 12 Conference. They finished last in the conference in NET Ranking but still a respectable No. 95 as their 1-14 Quad 1 mark hurt the record overall showing they could not play with the big boys, especially on the road where they are 2-10 but come in 12-3 at home. They are 14-3 outside Quad 1, all losses away from home and this is the number to jump on as Oklahoma St. went 0-5 ATS as a double-digit favorite but is 7-0 ATS when laying single digits, winning those games by 12 ppg and all by at least nine points. Cowboys coach Steve Lutz said they would welcome any postseason invitation so motivation is not a problem. Wichita St. is coming off a loss against Memphis by three points and that will be tough to overcome as the Shockers went in with some confidence and they come into the NIT with only one Quad 2 road win. 10* (682) Oklahoma St. Cowboys

This is a play on the CHATTANOOGA MOCS for our CBB Tuesday NIT Underdog Dominator. Chattanooga went into the Southern Conference Tournament as the No. 1 seed after winning the regular season with a 15-3 record but lost to Furman in overtime which snapped a 12-game winning streak. It was a disappointment but the tournament was in the first week and they have been off since March 9th so they have had a good amount of time to get past that. They are a solid road team at 10-5 with three of those wins coming in Quad 2 games which is where this one falls with not much of a ranking difference from that of the Blue Raiders. Middle Tennessee St. snuck by Louisiana Tech in overtime in the Conference USA Tournament opener but then lost to eventual runner-up Jacksonville St. by a bucket. The Blue Raiders are a solid home team at 11-4 but there is not much of a home court edge. Middle Tennessee St. is 14-4 in Quad 3 games but 17 of those 18 games were against teams ranked worse than Chattanooga and three of those four losses were at home. 10* (677) Chattanooga Mocs

This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our AAC Championship Winner. Memphis was able to escape with another close win as it defeated Tulane by two points which came after a three-point win over Wichita St. and while the Tigers have won seven straight games, they have failed to cover these big numbers, failing to cover four of their last six with one of the wins coming as underdogs. Memphis suffered a huge blow yesterday however as it lost point guard Tyrese Hunter with a foot injury and finished the game in a walking boot. He has been their leader and his experience, not only here but at Iowa St. and Texas, is a huge loss and he and had been a massive part of a team that won the AAC regular season championship. UAB pulled away from North Texas early and was able to hold on for the easy win and the Blazers have the opportunity to avenge two losses during the regular season. They suffered a pair of true road losses down the stretch but come in 7-2 in their last nine games and are live today. 10* (645) UAB Blazers

This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our SEC Championship Winner. Tennessee proved that all of the talk that it cannot compete with the other top four team was wrong as it led most of the game against Auburn and won by five points to make a trip to the Southeastern Conference Championship. The Volunteers have now won seven of its last eight games and 10 of its last 12 and they are trending the right way following a 1-3 run to end January but as mentioned yesterday, it was not necessarily a bad run as those three losses were by nine points combined. They are 11-6 in Quad 1 games including wins in seven of their last nine and of those six losses, four of those were by one or two possessions and are now catching roughly the same number, not getting the credit for possessing the top ranked defense in the country. Florida can lock up a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament with a win here and a loss could still get it there but we are concerned about the points and this has one possession written all over it following two blowouts in the regular season. 10* (643) Tennessee Volunteers

This is a play on the GEORGE MASON PATRIOTS for our Atlantic Ten Championship Winner. VCU came up small for us on Saturday as it built a 12-point lead but allowed Loyola Chicago to hang around and eventually won by seven points and missed the cover by one possession. The Rams have been and currently remain the best team in the Atlantic Ten Conference by a significant margin and it is now No. 30 in the NET Rankings after improving to 6-0 in Quad 3 games after the win over the Ramblers. They now go back to Quad 2 where they are 4-3 which accounts for all three of their conference losses. The line is about right based on the number from the first meeting just over three weeks ago but the stakes are bigger and we are due for a close final after all of the uncanny blowouts on Saturday night. The Patriots are off a pair of blowout wins to reach the tournament final and the matchup on a neutral floor is more in their favor than it was at VCU and we are catching a huge number with the No. 5 ranked defense in Effective Field Goal%. 10* (641) George Mason Patriots

This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our ACC Championship Winner. Duke stepped up in the first game without All American Cooper Flagg which is a typical scenario for teams when they lose their star and it happened to come against North Carolina to complete the three-game season sweep which was the first time the Blue Devils have defeated the Tar Heels three times in a season since 2001-02 so this presents the ultimate letdown. This game means nothing for Duke as it already has locked up a No. 1 NCAA Tournament seed with health being the biggest importance right now and with Flagg not playing, the Blue Devils are vulnerable in game two without him. Louisville defeated Clemson as it nearly gave it away, holding a 15-point lead with 3:50 remaining and Clemson having a chance to tie or take the lead with under a minute left but the Cardinals held on. After a 1-5 start, the Cardinals are 4-0 in their last four Quad 1 games and while a win is not out of the question, we are getting an abundance of points as a cushion. 10* (631) Louisville Cardinals

This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE ST. GAMECOCKS for our CUSA Championship Winner. Liberty withstood a huge effort from Kennesaw St. to win by two points to advance to the Conference USA Championship game which was expected coming into the season. The Flames were the preseason favorite to win the conference which they did with a 13-5 record, holding off Jacksonville St. and Middle Tennessee St. by one game but we are seeing an overlay tonight. The line value is in play as the Flames were favored by the same amount on Friday over a team ranked well before the Gamecocks and they were favored by the same number at home over Jacksonville St. just two weeks ago so there is no adjustment to a neutral court setting. Jacksonville St. snuck past Middle Tennessee St. by two points as a two-point favorite and now we are seeing a nine-point adjustment in a game where the teams split the season series with the Gamecocks losing by only four points in the road meeting. 10* (633) Jacksonville St. Gamecocks

This is a play on the CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS for our Big East Championship Winner. St. John’s turned a 15-point deficit into a 16-point win over Marquette and as good as it is playing, this is an overreaction line one night late. The Red Storm closed as a 3.5-point favorite and while that number was not in jeopardy late, they are now laying three points more which creates value. There is nothing bad to say about St. John’s as it has won eight straight games and 18 of its last 19 in 2025 with the last loss before that being a defeat at Creighton. The Red Storm did return the favor as these teams met a month ago at MSG with the Red Storm favored by 6.5 and it resulted in a six-point win and while still in the same arena, it is not a full-fledged home game even though St. John’s will have the majority of the fans in attendance. They are going to be a huge public side and we are already witnessing this with the line climbing from the opening of five with 91 percent of the money on St. John’s. 10* (625) Creighton Blue Jays

This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our AAC Game of the Year. North Texas was on a seven-game winning streak heading into its regular season finale at Temple and ended up losing but it was a meaningless game as the Mean Green were already locked into the No. 2 seed in the American Athletic Conference and they opened the tournament with a resounding win over an outmatched Tulsa team. North Texas is now 24-7 with those seven losses coming by an average of 4.6 ppg with the biggest loss by seven points and the other six by five points or less. North Texas is 10-1 in Quad 3 games with that Temple game being the only setback. UAB took care of business against East Carolina and it jumped ahead big early and never looked back. The Blazers picked up a Quad 3 win in doing so and they are just 6-5 in this quadrant as they did all of their damage in Quad 4 games where they went 12-2 and that is the reason for the big NET Ranking disparity as they are separated by 56 spots. 10* (620) North Texas Mean Green

This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our Big 10 Tournament Winner. Michigan snapped a three-game losing streak with a much needed win over Purdue and it was a comfortable win which was as important to instill some confidence that was lacking late in the season. The Wolverines picked up their tenth Quad 1 win which is second in the Big Ten Conference behind Michigan St. and we are now catching a substantial number which is overadjusted mainly because of what the opponent did. These teams played 10 days ago in Michigan and Maryland walked out with a six-point win which was clearly impressive but it is the line switch that is significant. The Wolverines were favored by a point and a half and are now catching 4.5 so we are seeing a six-point swing from a home court to a neutral floor which is simply too much of an adjustment. Maryland rolled over Illinois as it was never challenged and that victory is playing a big role in the number. We are still seeing 91 percent of the money on the Terrapins so you know where to go. 10* (611) Michigan Wolverines

This is a play on the VCU RAMS as part of our CBB Early Afternoon 3-Pack. St. Louis got off to a poor start and could not come back from a very early 10-point deficit and the Ramblers advanced to the Atlantic Ten Conference Semifinals. As noted Friday and after adding the win, Loyola Chicago has played 15 games against teams between No. 50 and No. 150 and it is 7-8 in those games, 6-0 at home, 0-5 on the road and now 1-3 in neutral site games. This has been the story all season as they are 16-1 at home but 5-5 on the road and 1-4 on neutral courts so take them out of Chicago and they are a below average team. Now they hit Quad 1 which does include two overtime losses to their credit but they are 1-6 in Quad 1 and Quad 2. VCU continues to roll along and while style points are not considered to be too important anymore, it does not hurt and they should have no issues here to keep it going following a 17-point win over St. Bonaventure. The Rams are 5-0 in Quad 3 games with the wins by an average of 17.4 ppg. 10* (606) VCU Rams

This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS as part of our CBB Early Afternoon 3-Pack. Tennessee took out a pretty hot Texas team by 11 points and has now won six of its last seven games and nine of its last 11 to move into the Southeastern Conference Tournament Semifinals and the Volunteers are trending the right way following a 1-3 run to end January but it was not necessarily a bad run as those three losses were by nine points combined. They are 10-6 in Quad 1 games including wins in six of their last eight and of those six losses, four of those were by one or two possessions including a loss at Auburn by two points. Tennessee is now 4-0 in neutral court games all of which have been blowouts making them 20-1 in non-true road games and a chance for revenge. Auburn closed the season with a pair of losses and we expected the Tigers to get right on Friday and while they flirted with running away from Mississippi, they failed to do so each time and came away with another unimpressive game and are vulnerable again laying over a possession. 10* (613) Tennessee Volunteers

This is a play on the ARIZONA WILDCATS for our CBB Contrarian Crusher. This is another game where we are seeing an aggressive line shift from the last meeting as Arizona hosted Texas Tech and was favored by 3.5 points and now is getting 2.5 points on a neutral floor so the six-point swing is too much. That was five weeks ago and while Texas Tech is three-games since that meeting, the schedule had a lot to do with it with the Red Raiders playing four games against NCAA Tournament teams while the Wildcats faced six. The Red Raiders were one Baylor shot away from being eliminated in the Big 12 Conference Tournament but survived a two-point win. Texas Tech is 7-3 over its last 10 games but four of those wins are against teams whose seasons will be over following this conference tournament and of their 10 Quad 1 games against teams going to the big dance, they were 6-4 with four of the wins by five points or less and the other two while blowouts, they were on their own home floor. 10* (859) Arizona Wildcats

This is a play on the PURDUE BOILERMAKERS for our Big 10 Tournament Winner. Michigan comes limping into the Big Ten Tournament with three straight losses and what was once a team looking like one that could win the conference now looks like a vulnerable team that could make an early exit in the NCAA Tournament. The Wolverines did win eight of its previous nine games prior to this losing skid but those eight wins were all by four points or less and six of those were against teams not going to the NCAA Tournament. The two exceptions were two wins at home, one of those against Purdue which was a revenge game from a 27-point loss at West Lafayette and we will bank on the latter being the more indicative result. Purdue survived a scare from USC that ran on adrenaline all night but came away with a five-point win to advance. The Boilermakers need to keep going after a 2-5 stretch before USC had them down and while they come in 1-5 their last six Quad 1 games, four were true road games. 10* (819) Purdue Boilermakers

This is a play on the CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. These teams met a month ago in Creighton and while Connecticut won that game by four points, we are not concerned about the result but the line as the Bluejays were favored by 3.5 points in that game and now they are getting 3.5 points on a neutral floor so what should be a two-point line swing based on venue change, we are seeing a seven-point swing. This is an overreaction from yesterday and the fact the Huskies are still a public team based on history. Connecticut has won five straight games but it has not been a great streak as it won three games against teams whose seasons are already over, had a home win over Marquette which came down to the final seconds and then the win over Villanova last night where a late run was the difference. Creighton had to go to double-overtime to defeat DePaul and it trailed through most of the game and that game will deter bettors but we think that game actually helps going forward. 10* (852) Creighton Bluejays

This is a play on the UTAH VALLEY WOLVERINES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Utah Valley was the best team in the Western Athletic Conference as its only loss came against preseason favorite Grand Canyon on the road and we saw last night, there is no let up on the gas as the Wolverines rolled over Utah Valley by 17 points and have the extra day of rest coming into this game. They are now laying a short number against one of the most overvalued teams in the country and in a situation where similar head-to-head matchups clearly favors Utah Valley. They went 0-4 in Quad 2 games, all in true road games and they come in 9-2 in Quad 3 games with the two losses in the non-conference back in November and December. Seattle got by Abilene Christian by six points to make it three straight wins, the first two coming against the two lowest NET Ranked teams in the conference. The Redhawks move out of Quad 4 where they dominated late and now come back to Quad 3 where they are 0-10 on the season. 10* (862) Utah Valley Wolverines

This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. BYU survived Iowa St. in a four-point win on Thursday as it shook off a huge Cyclones run to get back into the game in the second half and the Cougars benefitted from Iowa St. being short-handed as starters Keshon Gilbert and Tamin Lipsey were late scratches and they were still almost able to pull it off. BYU has now won nine straight games which is the third longest current winning streak in the country but they are facing a team ahead of them in that category. While we thought BYU was facing a big test, it was fortunate and here comes the real test against a team with everyone playing. Houston shook off a little lethargic play early on to defeat Colorado in its tournament opener to make it 11 straight wins and there will be more focus here start to finish. The Cougars are now 28-4 overall with all four losses in Quad 1 with three of those coming in overtime as well as three of those against teams No. 7 or better in NWT Ranking. 10* (858) Houston Cougars

This is a play on the MARQUETTE GOLDEN EAGLES as part of our CBB Late Afternoon 3-Pack. Marquette picked up Quad 1 win No. 6 over Xavier on Thursday which snapped a streak of five straight losses in that quadrant and the narrow victory helps them going forward. Two of those were against St. John’s but both were games that could have gone either way as the Golden Eagles lost by six points on the road and by two points at home in overtime in the regular season finale. Now comes the possible retribution game but it might not even come to that with this line which is an overlay based on the recent results. Marquette has been one of the healthiest teams in the country with their top six scorers playing all 32 games. St. John’s was not challenged against Butler as it rolled to a 21-point win as it dominated down low and only took four free throws the whole game. The Red Storm come in 4-4 in Quad 1 games with none of the wins being blowouts and they will be getting the best effort from Marquette in a game that goes either way. 10* (849) Marquette Golden Eagles

This is a play on the GEORGE MASON PATRIOTS as part of our CBB Late Afternoon 3-Pack. George Washington survived a scare against Fordham as it won by seven points on Thursday and the Revolutionaries improved to 13-1 in Quad 4 games and those 13 wins account for 13 of their 20 overall wins. They have won three straight games but those were two against Fordham and one against LaSalle and they are catching a short number. George Washington has held its own in Quad 3 with a respectable 5-4 record but that is not a big step up form who they saw Thursday and now they go back up to Quad 2 where they are 2-5 with four of five losses by at least eight points. The only exception is a three-point loss at home against George Mason, the second of the season, which is part of the reason for a short price. The Patriots went just 3-2 down the stretch with three non-quality wins coming in Quad 4 and they jump up to Quad 3 where they are 7-3, all three losses coming in true road games. This is the blowout spot for the Patriots. 10* (810) George Mason Patriots

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BILLIKENS as part of our CBB Early Afternoon 3-Pack. St. Louis built an early 17-4 lead over Davidson, lost it all but put together a strong run at the end to win by a comfortable eight points. The Billikens have won five of their last six games following a 2-5 stretch so they are peaking at the right time. All five of those losses were in Quad 2 games and after the Thursday win, they are a perfect 8-0 in Quad 3 conference games which includes three true road wins and the recent neutral court win. Loyola Chicago has played 14 games against teams between No. 50 and No. 150 and it is 6-8 in those games, 6-0 at home, 0-5 on the road and 0-3 in neutral site games. This includes a 4-3 record in Quad 3 games and while it does include a home win over St. Louis, the Ramblers lost at St. Louis after that by 31 points on the road. This has been the story all season as they are 16-1 at home but 5-5 on the road and 0-4 on neutral courts so take them out of Chicago and they are a below average team. 10* (807) St. Louis Billikens

This is a play on the AUBURN TIGERS as part of our CBB Early Afternoon 3-Pack. Auburn has been the best team in the country throughout most of the season and the Tigers remain the No. 1 overall seed, which may irk the Duke fanbase, despite losing their final two regular season games. That is the big reason for the play here as they will be coming out hungrier than ever to make a statement and avoid going into the NCAA Tournament on a down note. They lost at Texas A&M following a six-game winning streak as the Aggies were desperate for a win and then lost at home against Alabama on a last second shot. Auburn has 15 Quad 1 wins which is the most in the country and that includes two blowout wins over Mississippi and we do not see it being any different here. The Rebels snuck by Arkansas on Thursday and are just 3-4 over its last seven games and going back, their last five wins have been by an average of 2.8 ppg with four of those against average to bad teams and they come in 3-7 in their last 10 Quad 1 games. 10* (834) Auburn Tigers

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS as part of our CBB Early Afternoon 3-Pack. Michigan St. is going to be a very popular public play on Friday and we have already seen this line move from 4.5 opening to 6.5 and we could see it go up more. The Spartans had the regular season Big Ten Championship already locked up going into their final game of the season but they did not hold back as they rolled over Michigan by 17 points and they have now won eight straight Quad 1 games. They are 3-2 in neutral court games, two of those wins against low ranked Oakland and Colorado and the other against North Carolina in overtime when it was not playing good. They catch Oregon at the wrong time as the Ducks are the hottest team in the conference with eight straight wins and this is the team we thought we would see all season but they went through a five-game losing streak right before the winning run but four of those were sandwiched around a home game and both of those two-game roadtrips were to the Midwest. 10* (813) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the UC RIVERSIDE HIGHLANDERS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. Cal Poly came through last night in what was a huge game after not qualifying for the Big West Conference Tournament last season but now it is time for the dream season to end. The Mustangs opened 0-8 in the conference before going on to win eight of their final 12 games including four of their last five to qualify on the final day of the season and then took out UC Davis last night. All four losses during the recent stretch were all against teams finishing with at least 11 wins and they face one of those tonight. The Mustangs went 1-7 in Quad 1 conference games, the majority being blowouts, with the one win coming at home against UC Riverside by 12 points which was actually a rare overtime blowout victory. The Highlanders finished tied for third in the conference with CSU Northridge and come in 5-3 in Quad 3 games. One loss was the one at Cal Poly while the other two were by four points combined in true road games. 10* (800) UC Riverside Highlanders

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CBB Late Night 3-Pack. Oklahoma is peaking at the right time and playing its best basketball of the conference season. The Sooners went 13-0 in non-conference play and then reality hit as they were blasted at Alabama by 28 points to start a 0-4 run to open Southeastern Conference action and while they won three of four, they went 1-7 over their next eight games to fall outside the NCAA Tournament bubble. Oklahoma then won a pair of Quad 1 games to close the regular season and defeated Georgia yesterday to make it three straight and have more extra incentive tonight. The Sooners lost at home against Kentucky on a last second shot by former Sooner Otega Oweh who had a career-high 28 points including the final 18 of the game. Double revenge now. Kentucky has been very inconsistent this season as it has some major upsets including Duke, a pair over Tennessee and Florida but also has some questionable losses and are overvalued here. 10* (775) Oklahoma Sooners

This is a play on the VILLANOVA WILDCATS for our CBB Late Night 3-Pack. Villanova kept its season alive with a blowout win over Seton Hall and while the victory did it nothing to move up, it provides more opportunities for quality wins to make a run. The Wildcats have won four of its last five games as the loss at Georgetown in their regular season finale really hurt, two more wins could push them across. Villanova is 3-5 in Quad 1 conference games with all of the wins at home and all of the losses on the road but now it is a neutral court game which gives them more hope. Connecticut has put together four straight wins for the first time since opening the Big East Conference season 4-0 and while many will think it has flipped the switch, the winning streak has not been impressive. The Huskies took out three teams whose seasons are already over and a home win over Marquette came down to the final seconds. They are 7-3 in Quad 2 games but five of those were decided late and the two wins were DePaul and Providence. 10* (743) Villanova Wildcats

This is a play on the ARIZONA WILDCATS for our Big 12 Game of the Year. We won with Kansas in this matchup on Saturday as the Jayhawks were in desperate need of a big win and they came through on Senior Day, defeating the Wildcats by seven points but we are now flipping. Kansas went 5-6 over its final 11 regular season games and in addition to the Arizona win, a win at home against Iowa St. was solid but the other three wins were against Colorado twice and Oklahoma St. The Jayhawks survived their opening game with an overtime win over Central Florida as a 10.5-point favorite. They are 6-10 in Quad 1 games which included six straight losses away from home including four against teams between No. 26 and No. 73 in NET Ranking. Arizona is ready for the quick revenge turnaround and while the Wildcats have limped to the finish as well, this is the ideal spot to gain some mojo while laying a good number. They have gone 7-6 in their last 13 Quad 1 games with three losses against top ten NET Ranked teams. 10* (760) Arizona Wildcats

This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. BLUE RAIDERS for our CBB Revenge Rout. Louisiana Tech and Middle Tennessee St. were separated by one game overall but three games in Conference USA with the Blue Raiders tying with Jacksonville St. for second place at 12-6. They had a three-game winning streak snapped with a five-point home loss to Liberty which ended their chances of a regular season championship but closed with a 22-point win over Florida International to bring in some momentum. Middle Tennessee St. went 13-3 in Quad 3 games which included a home loss to Louisiana Tech by 11 points that concluded a season sweep against the Bulldogs so there is some added juice which certainly is not needed but getting defeated three times by the same lower ranked team should not happen. Louisiana Tech closed with a home win over UTEP to get to 9-9 in the conference and their overall solid record was bolstered by an 11-2 non-conference record and they come in just 8-7 in Quad 3 games. 10* (792) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders

This is a play on the PURDUE BOILERMAKERS for our CBB Late Night 3-Pack. Purdue had a rough close to the regular season as it went 2-5 over its last seven games but the schedule played a big role in that and the Boilermakers need to get some momentum and confidence back before the NCAA Tournament. They had one home loss during this stretch which came against Wisconsin and three of the road losses were at Michigan, Illinois and Michigan St. with the other at Indiana which was a bad loss. They are back in Quad 2 where they are 8-1, six of those wins by double digits. USC is very fortunate to be here as the Trojans had a 15-point lead in the first half and was up by eight points with 1:25 remaining but gave it all back and needed double overtime to advance. The extra time will not necessarily hurt the Trojans but this is not the spot to recover as they are catching Purdue at the wrong time. They are 3-12 in Quad 1 games with the last four games being losses by 18, 17, 21 and 27 points. 10* (752) Purdue Boilermakers

This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Kent St. finished about where it was predicted to, in third place with an 11-7 record and we feel they are still overpriced. The Golden Flashes closed the season 3-2 with the two losses coming against the two top teams in the Mid-American Conference and the other road win was at Western Michigan but by only one point and while they went 10-6 away from home which was solid, this is a sneaky tough opening matchup for them. Kent St. went 10-2 in Quad 4 conference games and recently, it has been a grind as of the last six wins, five were decided by eight points or less. Western Michigan opened 0-3 and 2-5 in conference action but finished 7-4 with two of those losses on the road against Akron and Ohio with another that one point loss to Kent St. Western Michigan went only 2-5 in Quad 3 games but one of the losses was the one to the Golden Flashes while the Broncos actually won outright at Kent St. in the other meeting. 10* (719) Western Michigan Broncos

This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our MWC Tournament Winner. San Diego St. came into the season picked to finish first in the Mountain West Conference but it ended up 14-6 which put it into a tie with Boise St. and got the No. 4 seed because it defeated the Broncos in both regular season matchups. The Aztecs went 6-2 over their final eight games so they do come in with some momentum but none of those were Quad 1 wins as they have dropped their last three within this quadrant with the last win coming against the Broncos on January 4th and the underdog price is warranted. Boise St. was riding a five-game winning streak and was on a 9-1 run before its final game of the season which resulted in a 10-point home loss against Colorado St. which knocked them from the No. 3 spot to the No. 5 spot in the standings. The Broncos will certainly be out for revenge but more importantly, this is an absolute must win game as they are the first team out on the NCAA Tournament bubble. 10* (779) Boise St. Broncos

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BILLIKENS as part of our CBB Early Afternoon 3-Pack. We went against Davidson on Wednesday and it easily could have lost to Richmond which ended its season as the lowest NET Ranked team in the conference and the Wildcats have a much tougher test on Thursday. The win snapped a four-game losing streak which put them at 6-12 in the Atlantic Ten Conference with four of those wins coming against Fordham and Richmond which finished with eight conference wins combined. Overall, the Wildcats are 3-8 in Quad 3 games. St. Louis won four of its final five games to finish 11-7 in the conference and it was an important finish because the Billikens opened 5-1 in the A-10 but then went through a 2-5 stretch so the recovery timing was ideal heading into the tournament. Four of those five losses during the stretch were against teams with at least 11 wins and all five were in Quad 1 and Quad 2. St. Louis went a perfect 7-0 in Quad 3 conference games. 10* (724) St. Louis Billikens

This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES as part of our CBB Early Afternoon 3-Pack. Iowa St. struggled down the stretch in the Big 12 Conference as it finished 2-3 in its last five games including a loss at home in overtime against BYU. The Cyclones finished 13-7 in the conference and that loss to the Cougars knocked them out of the top four spots that came with a first round bye but that was arguably a good thing for Iowa St. as it needed a game before this matchup to get their legs under them and get some momentum going following a 16-point win at Kansas St. to close the regular season. The Cyclones easily took care of business against Cincinnati in the opening game as they rolled over the Bearcats by 20 points. While they did lose to BYU three games back, they were favored by nine points and we are seeing a 6.5-point line swing over to a neutral court which is too much. BYU has been a great story as it comes in red hot with seven straight wins but now comes real test time and this is not the time to catch Iowa St. 10* (753) Iowa St. Cyclones

This is a play on the DUQUESNE DUKES as part of our CBB Early Afternoon 3-Pack. Duquesne finished 8-10 in the Atlantic Ten Conference and it could have been so much better. The Dukes lost six of those games by one or two possessions and five of those were on the road which makes it that much tougher to take. They only won four games away from home on the season but two of those were in three of their final road games so the recent road victories are definitely more important heading into the tournament. They went 3-6 in Quad 2 games but three of the conference losses were against three of the top four teams. St. Bonaventure rolled through the early portion of its schedule as it went 14-1 in its first 15 games including a 2-0 start in the conference which included a home upset over VCU, one of its three conference losses, but the Bonnies went just 7-9 over their final 16 games. They ended up 3-3 in Quad 3 games which included two road wins but against teams behind Duquesne in NET Ranking and record. 10* (721) Duquesne Dukes

This is a play on the CAL POLY MUSTANGS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. This is a big game for Cal Poly which did not qualify for the Big West Conference Tournament last season and came on late to get in this year. The Mustangs opened 0-8 in the conference before going on to win eight of their final 12 games including four of their last five to qualify on the final day of the season following an upset at Long Beach St. All four losses during the recent stretch were all against teams finishing with at least 11 wins. They went 10-1 in Quad 4 games with the only loss coming at home against UC Davis, its second loss to the Aggies so there is revenge in play and they still come in as the favorite which is telling and they are a motivated bunch to keep this going. UC Davis meanwhile has been going the opposite way as they have lost six straight games, four against those 11-win teams but two other bad losses. The Aggies are 4-3 in Quad 3 games which includes two straight losses and are not in a good spot at all. 10* (705) Cal Poly Mustangs

This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our ACC Tournament Winner. California has been on a cover run and following its double overtime win over Virginia Tech, the Golden Bears are on 6-1-1 ATS run with the lone non-cover coming by a bucket at No. 23 NET Ranked Louisville. Normally, going against a run like that is the way to go with there being value the other way but this is a different situation with it being a rivalry and California in a situation of revenge trying to avoid a 3-0 season sweep. This was the second straight multiple overtime game for the Golden Bears but at this point in the season, that is not a concern especially when they have not gone home since that Notre Dame game so there has been no travel, just plenty of rest. Stanford is coming off a pair of losses at Notre Dame and Louisville as well but failed to cover both and they are overvalued with this number. The Cardinal were favored by 6.5 points in the five-point win over California at home and are laying nearly the same on a neutral floor. 10* (651) California Golden Bears

This is a play on the RHODE ISLAND RAMS for our A-10 Game of the Month. Fordham finished last in the Atlantic Ten Conference at 3-15 which included an eight-game winning to close out the regular season. The Rams lost at Rhode Island in the finale by 19 points and while there are a few games in some of these tournaments with immediate attainable revenge, this is not one of those as this is a very bad team. Their last victory was at home against Rhode Island back on February 5th, it was by just one point, one of two their two conference wins by two or fewer points. Six of their seven Quad 3 losses were by nine points or more. The win over Fordham snapped a four-game losing streak for the Rams, three of which were true road games and the lone home loss against Dayton, the second NET Ranked team in the conference. Eight of their nine true road losses were in Quad 1 – Quad 3 with the exception being the Fordham one point loss. Rhode Island went 9-0 in its other nine Quad 4 games. 10* (644) Rhode Island Rams

This is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS as part of our CBB Early Afternoon 3-Pack. After starting 0-5 in the Southeastern Conference, Arkansas went 8-5 down the stretch and that finish is more indicative of the Razorbacks that we were expecting and not the team that started winless. That 0-5 start did include four losses against teams ranked No. 5, No. 27, No. 4 and No. 21 with the other on the road by four points. Since the loss to Missouri in that opening skid, the Razorbacks went 5-3 in their eight Quad 1 games which included three top 30 wins and the three losses were against Auburn, Alabama and Texas A&M by an average of just 6.3 ppg which is far from bad. Two of their three Quad 2 losses, where this one falls, were by seven combined points and the other was by 19 points at South Carolina. Hello revenge. The Gamecocks had a miserable season as they finished 2-16 in the conference with their other win coming at home against Texas. They are back to Quad 1 where they are 0-14 in their last 14. 10* (666) Arkansas Razorbacks

This is a play on the GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS as part of our CBB Early Afternoon 3-Pack. Virginia and Georgia Tech come in with very similar resumes as the Cavaliers come in with the slightly higher NET Ranking No. 106 to No. 116 with the Yellow Jackets posting a 10-10 Atlantic Coast Conference record compared to an 8-12 record for the Cavaliers. Virginia did finish solid down the stretch as it went 5-4 over its last nine games with the best win coming against these Yellow Jackets by 14 points but that was at home. They went 5-1 in Quad 3 games but three of those were by three points, two coming at home and the other coming on the road against No. 166 NET Ranked Virginia Tech. Georgia Tech went 4-1 in Quad 3 games with a bad loss at Boston College being the lone blemish but what can make this team a threat in this tournament is that the Yellow Jackets had three Quad 1 wins, one against Pittsburgh and the other two against Clemson and Louisville accounting for 2 of their 4 ACC losses. 10* (648) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

This is a play on the RICHMOND SPIDERS as part of our CBB Early Afternoon 3-Pack. Richmond was massively disappointing this season as it went 5-13 in the Atlantic Ten Conference and while a regression was expected from its 15-3 record last year, this was not expected. The Spiders finished tied for the second worst record but they were not as bad as that record shows. Four losses were blowouts against the three top teams in the conference, two against VCU but they had an overtime loss against Dayton in Quad 1 and a four-point loss to George Mason in Quad 2 and while they went 4-9 in Quad 3, which is where this one falls, three of the nine losses were in overtime while four others were by one or two possessions. They closed the season 0-4 but those were against the top four teams with NET Rankings between No. 3 and No. 74. Davidson is No. 151 in NET Ranking and also lost its final four games heading into the conference tournament but not against the same opposition the Spiders faced. 10* (641) Richmond Spiders

This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our CBB Late Powerhouse. Utah opened 0-3 in the Big 12 Conference, all losses against teams going to the NCAA Tournament and with NET Rankings of No. 33, No. 9 and No. 7 but the Utes finished a respectable 8-9 over their last 17 conference games. Their problem was winning away from home where they only won once, going 1-9 in true road games and 0-2 in neutral court games. Those true road games were all in the conference where they were underdogs in every one of those so the fact they are a slight favorite on a neutral floor is not a surprise with those first two coming early in the season. Central Florida also has issues away from home where it went 2-8 in their road games and 1-2 in neutral court games. Like Utah, the Knights were underdogs in all of their road games but the difference here is overall quality wins and non-quality losses as Central Florida went just 2-5 in Quad 2 games, both home wins by four points, including a win over Utah so the Utes have the revenge angle in the opener. 10* (608) Utah Utes

This is a play on the GONZAGA BULLDOGS for our WCC Championship Winner. This can be classified as the sucker bet of the night or the sharp play of the night depending what you look at. St. Mary’s rolled through the West Coast Conference with a 17-1 record including a sweep of Gonzaga yet the Bulldogs come in as the favorite in what was a down year as they went 14-4 in the conference. The line is saying Gonzaga is the play as they are the higher NET Ranked team, No. 8 in the country actually, and will be hell bent to avoid a three-game season sweep which has never happened. The Gaels are the better team by record but were by far the luckier team, No. 138 compared to No. 350 for Gonzaga and they have disadvantages offensively, Turnover Rate and most importantly here, from the free throw line. The Bulldogs are shooting 80.3 percent from the stripe which is No. 3 in the country so we are catching the better team that some may consider a false favorite when they actually are not. 10* (633) Gonzaga Bulldogs

This is a play on the FLORIDA ST. SEMINOLES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Florida St. finished 8-12 in the Atlantic Coast Conference after going 10-10 last season and like most teams outside the top three, the Seminoles could not win enough big games. They went 1-5 in Quad 1 Conference games, all five losses to those top three teams. The schedule strength was relatively equal to other teams in their seeding but they truly lost only one bad game, a home loss to Virginia Tech but that came after a trip to California. This one falls into Quad 3 where they are 6-1, that one loss coming on the road at Boston College which was right after that California/Virginia Tech cluster. This is potentially the last game for head coach Leonard Hamilton and they want to keep this going for a potential postseason tournament and at 17-14, it is possible. Syracuse won its season finale at home against Virginia and is 33 spots lower than Florida St. in NET Ranking. The Orange went 1-15 in Quad 1 and Quad 2 games, 1-6 in the latter which is where this one falls. 10* (614) Florida St. Seminoles

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our ACC Game of the Month. Pittsburgh is on the list of a few teams from the Atlantic Coast Conference that were major disappointments this season as a positive 12-2 start, losses to Mississippi St. and Wisconsin, spiraled quickly as the Panthers finished 5-12 and are now well outside the NCAA Tournament Bubble. The issue was they have been unable to win big games as they went 0-8 over their final eight Quad 1 games with four of those being decided by four points or less so if those flipped, they would be in. They are No. 58 in NET Ranking which puts them 42 spots ahead of Notre Dame, who they lost to on the road so there is revenge and they went 4-2 in their other Quad 2 games. The Irish closed the season with two wins but both were at home and both by two points against Stanford and California, the latter in overtime. Notre Dame went 3-7 in Quad 2 games with a win over No. 106 NET Ranked Virginia being the only conference win in Quad 2 away from home. 10* (609) Pittsburgh Panthers

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our Big 12 Early Tournament Winner. It has been a disappointing season for Cincinnati as it came in picked to finish sixth in the Big 12 Conference which would have been around .500 but it finished 7-13 after losing its final three games. The Bearcats were closer to the good side of the NCAA Tournament Bubble but are now the seventh team out so it needs a major run in the conference tournament and it starts with this revenge game following an 11-point loss in Stillwater on Saturday. The last two losses have been Quad 2 losses where the Bearcats were 8-1 in nine games coming in. Oklahoma St. won three more conference games than it did last season and was a lot more competitive in some of its losses but this is now a tough situation where we can actually sell high on the Cowboys. They were excellent at home this season, going 12-3 but they won only three games away from home, wins over Seton Hall, Miami and Tulsa, ranked No. 210, No. 226 and No. 272 in NET respectively. They are 1-12 in Quad 1 games. 10* (601) Cincinnati Bearcats

This is a play on the PORTLAND STATE VIKINGS for our Big Sky Tournament Winner. Portland St. and Idaho come in on the opposite ends of momentum and the overall body of work gives the Vikings the big edge. They have won three straight games which got them to 11-7 in the Big Sky Conference and have an excellent matchup in their tournament opener. Portland St. beat Idaho in both regular season meetings and while the adage is that it is tough to beat a team three times in the same season, this should not be an issue here. The Vikings went 16-4 outside the top three quadrants with the four losses by 11 points combined and all in true road games. Idaho closed the season with losses in three of its last four games with a two-point win at home against Weber St. being the only victory. 11 of their 13 overall wins came in Quad 4 and non-Division I games and the Vandals are back in Quad 3 where they are 2-6 with both wins coming on their home floor and they will be outmatched again. 10* (846) Portland St. Vikings

This is a play on the WOFFORD TERRIERS for our SoCon Championship Winner. Wofford ended the 12-game winning streak for Chattanooga, which was fifth best in the country coming in, and the Terriers have advanced to the Southern Conference Championship following that overtime win against the top NET Ranked team as well as defeating Samford, the No. 2 NET Ranked team in the conference. That could provide some huge confidence or setup for a letdown trying to take out three top teams in three days and we think it is the latter. The Paladins were unconscious from long range in the first two games, going 29-57 (50.9 percent) and that shooting is hard to sustain. Wofford defeated No. 4 East Tennessee St. and ripped VMI which finally came back to earth and the Terriers have a huge edge in rebounding as they are No. 27 in the country in Rebound Rate and will dominate the offensive glass. Wofford will have the chip on its shoulder as the Terriers spoiled Senior Day with an upset in Spartanburg. 10* (837) Wofford Terriers

This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our SBC Game of the Year. Arkansas St. and Troy finished in a four-way tie for first place in the Sun Belt Conference and were given the No. 3 and No. 4 seeds which was actually an advantage in this tournament setup as the top two seeds were off for over a week and it showed. One look at the first two games for these two teams shows a Troy domination while the Red Wolves sweated out two three-point wins so the Trojans are going to be the popular play here. We love the fact Arkansas St. has two clutch wins going into the championship and they are getting value, having been favored at home in the last matchup by 6.5 points and are now laying five points less on a neutral floor. The Trojans rolled over Old Dominion and James Madison and the defense will get credit as it should but the Red Wolves possess the better defense, ranked No. 11 in Effective Field Goal% in the country. Arkansas St. is the better team with five double-digit scorers and prevails. 10* (835) Arkansas St. Red Wolves

This is a play on the ROBERT MORRIS COLONIALS for our Horizon Tournament Winner. Oakland pulled off the upset over Milwaukee to get to the Horizon League Semifinals and the line has been overadjusted because of that victory. The difference in the win over Milwaukee was free throws as Oakland went to the line only nine times but made all nine while the Panthers went just 3-12 from the stripe. The Golden Grizzlies came into the game 6-5 over its previous 11 games but three of those wins were against Green Bay twice and IU Indianapolis while three of the victories were in overtime. Oakland has only six wins outside of Quad 4 and non-Division I games. Robert Morris had no issues with Wright St. to get here and has now won eight straight. While we like to go against streaks line that because the line is usually shaded, it is not the case here as we like the momentum and the fact is has won eight of its last nine Quad 3 games, losing only by two points on the road at Wright St. 10* (840) Robert Morris Colonials

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO DONS for our WCC Game of the Month. 10* (822) San Francisco Dons

This is a play on the WEBER ST. WILDCATS for our Big Sky Tournament Winner. 10* (815) Weber St. Wildcats

This is a play on the CHATTNOOGA MOCS for our SoCon Tournament Winner. 10* (808) Chattanooga Mocs

This is a play on the WILLIAM & MARY TRIBE for our CAA Early Tournament Winner. 10* (800) William & Mary Tribe

This is a play on the DRAKE BULLDOGS for our MVC Championship Winner. 10* (806) Drake Bulldogs

This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. 10* (790) Tulane Green Wave

This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. 10* (784) Rutgers Scarlet Knights

This is a play on the SIU EDWARDSVILLE COUGARS for our OVC Championship Winner. 10* (767) SIU Edwardsville Cougars

This is a play on the TEXAS LONGHORNS for our SEC Game of the Month. 10* (712) Texas Longhorns

This is a play on the TARLETON ST. TEXANS for our WAC Game of the Year. 10* (722) Tarleton St. Texans

This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CBB Star Attraction. 10* (702) North Carolina Tar Heels

This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our SBC Tournament Shocker. 10*(755) Marshall Thundering Herd

This is a play on the CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. 10* (692) Creighton Bluejays

This is a play on the SMU MUSTANGS as part of our CBB Late Afternoon 3-Pack. 10* (667) SMU Mustangs

This is a play on the COLORADO BUFFALOES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. 10* (674) Colorado Buffaloes

This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS as part of our CBB Late Afternoon 3-Pack. 10* (664) Indiana Hoosiers

This is a play on the DRAKE BULLDOGS for our MVC Afternoon Tournament Winner. 10* (752) Drake Bulldogs

This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE ST. GAMECOCKS as part of our CBB Late Afternoon 3-Pack. 10* (660) Jacksonville St. Gamecocks

This is a play on the GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. 10* (641) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

This is a play on the DAVIDSON WILDCATS as part of our CBB Early Afternoon 3-Pack. 10* (622) Davidson Wildcats

This is a play on the MARQUETTE GOLDEN EAGLES as part of our CBB Early Afternoon 3-Pack. 10* (604) Marquette Golden Eagles

This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS as part of our CBB Early Afternoon 3-Pack. 10* (610) Missouri Tigers

This is a play on the DREXEL DRAGONS for our CAA Early Tournament Winner. 10* (736) Drexel Dragons

This is a play on the SIU EDWARDSVILLE COUGARS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. SIU Edwardsville was able to lock down the No. 2 seed in the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament with a win in the regular season finale over Little Rock which benefitted it of one fewer game. The Cougars had two straight losses prior to that which came after a 5-1 run to get them in position and come in 16-7 in Quad 4 games. Tennessee St. defeated Lindenwood by 14 points as they caught the Lions off a big come from behind win over Morehead St. and are now in a tough spot. The Tigers finished 12-8 in the conference which got them the No. 5 seed but they struggled against the top part of the OVC. They finished 11-3 in their final 14 Quad 4 games and even some of those wins were suspect and while they swept Little Rock, they were 0-4 against the two top teams. 10* (872) SIU Edwardsville Cougars