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Rob Vinciletti NASCAR Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
03-16-25 Chase Elliott v. Ross Chastain -160 0-1 Win 100 18 h 7 m Show

The Penzoil 400 NASCAR Head to head driver play is on Ross Chastain to finish better than Chase Elliot here today at 3:45 eastern. Chastain has 4 top 5 finishes on this track over his last 6 races and a top 10. He has 155 laps led 4th most of any driver in the race. Elliot has zero top 5/s here in the last 5 races and has and average of 21st compared to 5th for Chastain who We like here in the first 1.5 mile non drafting track. He may not win but should finish ahead of Elliot here tonight.

02-16-25 Denny Hamlin -120 v. Chase Elliott 0-1 Loss -120 25 h 55 m Show

NEW START Time 1:30 for the Daytona 500 And the Head to Head Driver play is on Denny Hamlin to finish better than Chase Elliot. Hamlin has a win here and a sold 86 driver rating on the track. He will be motivated here after 3 straight out of the top 15. He has led the most laps of any driver with 676 led. He has better top 5 and top 10 finishes here than Elliot who is 0 for 18 here and has just 5 top 10/s in the 18 starts here. His driver rating is lower at 79 as well. Look for a better finish from Hamlin.

02-19-24 Denny Hamlin +115 v. Chase Elliott 0-1 Loss -100 20 h 30 m Show

At 4 eastern the Dayton 500 Head to Head drive play is on Hamlin to finish better than Chase Elliot. Hamlin will do well here and he had had big performance here and is a legit contender at the Checkered flag. Elliot will be in the mix but does his best work on the dirt tracks. look for Hamlin to finish ahead of him.

09-24-23 Kyle Larson -180 v. Tyler Reddick 0-1 Loss -180 3 h 30 m Show

NASCAR H2H Dominator alert at 3:50 eastern. Larson over Reddick

08-20-23 Daniel Suarez +120 v. Michael McDowell 1-0 Win 120 17 h 44 m Show

The Go bowling at the Glen head to head driver play at 3 eastern is on  Daniel Suarez to finish ahead of M. Mcdowell 

08-13-23 Chase Elliott -110 v. Christopher Bell 1-0 Win 100 15 h 12 m Show

The MLB Non Divisional Dog is on the Chicago White sox at 2:10 Eastern. Chicago will look to avoid the sweep and they have their ace on the mound. Dylan never Ceases to amaze us and he was lit up earlier in the week his worst start of the season so expect a big bounce back here today against the Brewers. We note that Non divisional Home dogs at +125 or less are PERFECT since 2004 of they are off back to back home dog losses and are taking on a team that scored 4 or less in a road favored win if this is the last game of the series. Peralta has a 5 Road Era so we will Back the Whitesox here

The Bonus NASCAR Driver head to head play is on Chase Elliot to finish better than Christopher Bell  at the Verizon 200 at the Brickyard at Indianapolis Motor speedway. Elliot is at his best on road tracks. Look for him to finish better than Bell

08-06-23 Tyler Reddick v. Kevin Harvick +125 0-1 Win 125 3 h 10 m Show

The Big bounce back system is on Arizona here today at 2:10 eastern. We are playing on Non division road favorites off a road loss if they had 2 or less hits and struck out 7 or more times, vs an opponent like Minnesota that is off a home win and scored 4 or more runs and the posted total is 8 or higher. These road favorites are 27-3. Arizona has Gallen going and he has 11 wins and a solid 3.41 Era. Keuchel makes his first start for the Twins and he may not be in their long. Arizona likely takes the finale here today

The Head 2 head driver play at 2:50 eastern at the Fire keepers 400 at Michigan speedway is on Kevin Harvick to finish better than Tyler Reddicks. Harvick won here last year and has always been solid here with 6 wins and 10 top 5/s overall. Reddick has an average 22nd finish in his last 4 here and has just 1 top 20. Look for Harvick to finish ahead of Reddick

07-30-23 Tyler Reddick v. Alex Bowman -125 1-0 Loss -125 19 h 50 m Show

The NASCAR Head to head driver play is on Alex Bowman to finish better than Tyler Reddick at the Federated Auto Parts 400 live from Richmond Motor Speedway at 3:15 eastern. Bowman has been decent here on this track and over his last 6 races he has finished top 20 all 6 times with 5 top 10/s and a win here, Reddick has 5 top 20/s in 6 races here but has no wins and no top 10/s and has averaged a 17th placed finish and has not led a single Lap. Unlike other tracks this one does not spring upsets as the form really holds here for the drivers that have done well. For all the above reasons we will back Bowman

07-23-23 Kevin Harvick -145 v. Alex Bowman 1-0 Win 100 16 h 42 m Show

At 2:30 eastern. The Pocono 400 Head to head driver play is on Kevin Harvick to finish better than Alex Bowman   Harvick has finished 8th or better 5 times here and has a win over the last 6 races here. Bowman has a win here and just the that one top 5 finish. Harvick should do very well here according to our stat cast model. Look for him to finish better than Bowmans here at the Tricky Triangle

07-09-23 Chase Elliott v. Joey Logano -110 1-0 Loss -110 7 h 52 m Show

The Quaker State 400 takes center Stage live from Atlanta at 7:20 Easter and we will back Joey Logano here to finish better than Chase Elliot in this rave. Logano eon here in the spring and led 140 laps. Chase Elliot may be favored but his Chevy is not the fastest in this race and he is starting 23rd overall. Logano has been solid in fact, In his  three races at Daytona, Atlanta and Talladega in 2023, Logano has posted the best driver rating while leading the most laps. Look for him to finish ahead of Chase here. LAY IT with LOGANO

06-25-23 William Byron +115 v. Kyle Busch 1-0 Win 115 8 h 35 m Show

The ALLY 400 Head to head Driver play is on William Byron to finish better than Kyle Busch at Nashville Speedway at 7 eastern on NBC. Byron has had solid results on intermediate tracks and has top 3 finishes in all 4 races this year in the #23 Chevy car. He finished 3rd here 2 years ago and will be motivated after a 35th place finish here last year due to car trouble. He has won twice on these type of tracks and will be tough here. Busch has an average 12th place finish in Cup Series races he has been hot of late he has 5 DNF/S on these intermediate tracks so we will Back Byron here.

The bonus ESPN 100% Totals System play is on the the UNDER in the Houston at LA Game. Solid pitching match here with Brown and Gonsolin and the game fits a rare totals system that plays under form home teams with a total of 9 or less that are a home favorite and off a home favored win scoring 8 or more runs on 5 or less hits. These games have finished under every time and the average game score yielded 4 runs. Play this game under.

04-09-23 Joey Logano -120 v. Martin Truex Jr 0-1 Loss -120 19 h 35 m Show

At 7 eastern on FOX the 2023 Food City Dirt race from Bristol Motor Speed way

Back in the Early  days of NASCAR, dirt races were more common. In fact . From 1949 through 1970, nearly 500 NASCAR races were on dirt. After the 1970 season though, dirt races became a thing of the past. Then Bristol brought it back in the 2021 season, and introduced the Food City Dirt Race. For the head to head driver play we will back Joey Logano to finish better than M. Truex. Logano won the first of 3 races here on the dirt and is the only driver with 2 top 5 finishes. This year Logano already has a win, and four finishes in the top ten. Truex does not have a solid dirt track resume as he has no top 10 finishes on dirt. Play on Logano to finish better

MLB SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL System Play UNDER 9 San Diego at Atlanta at 7:10 eastern. This game fits a solid April Specific Totals System. Both Dodd for Atlanta and Lugo for the Padres were Lights out in their opening start. Look for a lower scoring game in the Finale of the series.

04-02-23 Martin Truex Jr -150 v. Tyler Reddick 1-0 Win 100 3 h 29 m Show

Art 3:30 eastern the NASCAR H2H PLAY is on Martin Truex to finish better than T. Reddick in the TOYOTA Owners 400 on Fox Sports 1. Truex has 3 wins here and 7 top 5 finishes on this Richmond track and has to be considered a potential winner here today. Look for hin to finish ahead of Reddick

03-26-23 Kyle Larson -125 v. Kyle Busch 0-1 Loss -125 4 h 32 m Show

NASCAR HEAD TO HEAD Driver play on Larson over Busch here at the Echo park Texas Grand Prix AT 3:50 Eastern. Worth noting here that Busch will be bandages here after hurting his shifting hand yesterday at the truck series which prompted a visit from the doctor. Looks like Busch is a go here but but we will back Larson to finish better

03-12-23 Austin Cindric v. Aric Almirola -115 1-0 Loss -115 4 h 36 m Show

The NASCAR head to head driver play is on Aric Almirola to finish better than Austin Cindric.  Play on Almirola ion the head to head line

03-05-23 Ross Chastain v. Joey Logano -130 1-0 Loss -130 3 h 57 m Show

The HEAD TO HEAD Drive play at 3:50 eastern is on Joey Logano to finish better than Chastain. Logano won here in 2019 and 2020 and finished first here in October. Look for Logano to finish better

02-19-23 Kyle Larson -150 v. Tyler Reddick 1-0 Win 100 16 h 30 m Show

The Daytona Head to Head Driver play is on Kyle Larson to finish better than T. Reddick

08-14-22 Joey Logano -155 v. Ty Gibbs 1-0 Win 100 16 h 5 m Show

The NASCAR Head to head driver play is on Joey Logano to finish better than TY Gibbs at 3:15 eastern on USA Network in the Federated Auto parts 400 in Virginia at Richmond race way. Logano is a real sleeper in this race and has done well on flat tracks. He has 2 wins here and 12 top 5 finishes along with an average 10.5 overall finish. With the competitiveness of this race and some desperate driver We cant see Ty Gibbs anywhere near the top today. Look for Logano to finish better

08-07-22 Kyle Larson -140 v. Kyle Busch 1-0 Win 100 24 h 60 m Show

The Head to Head driver play in the NASCAR Firekeepers 400 at Michigan International Speedway is on Kyle Larson to finish ahead of Kyle Busch at 3:15 eastern. Televised live on USA Network. This is a 2 mile track and will feature Plenty of speed. Larson should bounce back and do well here. He does have 9 Top 5 finishes this year.. Kyle Busch has 1 win and 6 top 5 finishes this year and 1 win in 33 starts here.. Larson has 3 wins here. Look for Larson to finish better than Busch.

07-31-22 Daniel Suarez -150 v. AJ Allmendinger 0-1 Loss -150 4 h 11 m Show

The Verizon 200 at 2:30 eastern live on NBS at the Brickyard. This week our Head to Head driver play is on Daniel Suarez to finish better than AJ Allmendinger

07-24-22 Denny Hamlin -145 v. Martin Truex Jr 0-1 Loss -145 16 h 57 m Show

The M&M 400 at Pocono Speedway headlines NASCAR AT 3:20 Eastern and we have a head to head driver play with Hamlin to finish better than M. Truex.  Hamlin has been solid at Pocono lately. He has six wins here, including two in the last five. He was also 2nd in another and has six Top 6s in his last seven on this track. Truex is 0 for 6 here with just 1 top 5 finish of late. Look for Hamlin to finish better

07-17-22 Denny Hamlin -125 v. Ryan Blaney 1-0 Win 100 21 h 52 m Show

The NASCARE power Play Head to Head driver play is on Hamlin to finish better than Blaney at the Foxwoods resorts casino 3-1 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway at 3:00 eastern Televised on USA Network at 3:00 eastern. Hamlin has 3 wins here and one of the best average finishers for active drivers here in New Hampshire. Blaney has never been a force here. Look for Hamlin to finish ahead of Blaney

07-10-22 Chase Elliott -105 v. Ryan Blaney 1-0 Win 100 4 h 56 m Show

The Quaker State 400 selection at 3:30 eastern is on Chase Elliot to finish better than Ryan Blaney at the Atlanta Motor Speedway

04-24-22 Kyle Busch v. William Byron -110 1-0 Loss -110 3 h 47 m Show

NASCAR returns to Talladega Superspeedway for the 2022 GEICO 500 on Sunday AT 3:00 Eastern LIVE on FOX. In Our Driver HEAD 2 HEAD Matchup play we are Backing Byron to finish better than Kyle Busch.  Byron has a win at Daytona back in 2020 and he has also been very fast in the Next Gen car on these types of race tracks so far this season.Busch has no super speed way wins since 2008 and while he does have some decent finishes Byron has the better current form and will Finish ahead of him here. Play on W. Byron here.

04-03-22 Kyle Larson v. Martin Truex Jr -110 0-1 Win 100 3 h 57 m Show

The Toyota owners 400 H2H Drivers play from Richmond SpeedWAy is on Martin Truex to finish better than K. Larson at 3:45 eastern liver on FOX Truex dominates here with 2 wins in 2019 and a 2nd place in 2020 and has a recent win here in late 2021. Larson has 0 Top 5/s here in his last 6 races and finished 18th here in April of last year. He has fallen off this year. Look for Truex to finish better

02-20-22 Denny Hamlin -135 v. Kyle Larson 0-1 Loss -135 5 h 55 m Show

The Daytona head to head play will be on Denny Hamlin to finish better at 2:25 eastern

10-10-21 Brad Keselowski -130 v. Matt DiBenedetto 0-1 Loss -130 6 h 32 m Show

The Head to driver play is on  Brad Keselowski to finish better than Matt Dibenedetto at 2:20 eastern at Charlotte Motor Speedway on the Bank of America Roval 400.. Dibenedetto is 0 for 5 here with no top 5/s while Keselowski  has a win and 2 top 5/s in his last 5 here.

09-26-21 Martin Truex Jr -120 v. Chase Elliott 0-1 Loss -120 7 h 27 m Show

The NASCAR Playoffs Round of 12 are under way at Las Vegas Speedway for the South Point 400. Our Head to Head driver Play is on Martin Truex over Chase Elliot. Truex won here a few years back and has powerful numbers on 1.5 mile tracks he has 12 wins over the past 5 years and has finished top 4 6 times. He has much better numbers than most of the other drivers in here in this situation.  As for Chase Elliot he has jut 2 top 5/s on this track, with his last three no where near the top at 26th, 22nd and 13th. Look for Truex to finish better.

08-08-21 Chase Elliott -115 v. Martin Truex Jr 1-0 Win 100 16 h 45 m Show

The Go Bowling at the Glen The NASCAR H2H Driver Matchup is on Chase Elliot to finish better than Martin Truex. Elliot  has won 6 of the last 7 cup races on road courses. Watkins Glen. Truex is 1 for 14 here with 6 top 5 finishes bit Chase has 2 wins in 4 races winning his last 2 here. So we will Play on Chase Elliot over Truex

07-18-21 Martin Truex Jr v. Denny Hamlin -110 0-1 Loss -110 16 h 18 m Show

The Foxwoods Resorts 301 live from New Hampshire Motor Speedway at 3:05 eastern. The H2H Play is on Denny Hamlin over Martin Truex. Hamlin may win this race today and he has superb long term numbers at this track and will excel with this package. In Hamlin has 3 wins, 11 top 5/s and 16 top 10/s here and most laps led of any driver over the last 3 races here. Truex is 0 for 27 here and while he has top 5/s in 2 of his last 3 here he has just 7 top 5/s overall  and 13 top 10/s. Look for Hamlin to finish better today.

07-11-21 Kevin Harvick -150 v. Joey Logano 1-0 Win 100 4 h 11 m Show

NASCAR Power Head to head Play Harvick over Logano at 3:35 eastern at the Quaker 400 in Atlanta. Harvick has 2 wins and a fistful of top 5/s here and has led more laps here over the last 10 races. Look for Harvick to finish better.

06-20-21 Kyle Larson -110 v. Kyle Busch 1-0 Win 100 2 h 56 m Show

NASCAR H2H MEMBERS ONLY PLAY ON Kyle Larson to finish better than Kyle Busch at 3:45 eastern in the 2021 Ally 400 - Exhibition Race for One Million Dollars at Nashville Superspeedway

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