7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -191

The Key: I have won with the Nationals the past two days as they've outscored the Rockies 19-7 while going 2-0.  I'll back them to cap off the sweep tonight due to the massive edge they have on the mound in this one.  Plus, the Rockies are just 1-8 in their last nine games overall and appear to have quit.  Max Scherzer is worth the price of admission today.  The right-hander is 11-9 with a 2.73 ERA and 0.897 WHIP in 24 starts, and 7-4 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.870 WHIP in 13 road starts.  He'll be opposed by Yohan Flande, who is 2-1 with a 4.19 ERA and 1.266 WHIP over 38 2/3 innings pitched this season.  Flande is 0-1 with a 5.87 ERA in three lifetime starts versus Washington.  Scherzer is 24-3 (+18.5 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 over the last 2 seasons.  That's why it's safe to lay this kind of juice with him.  Take Washington.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -146

The Key: The Washington Nationals put an end to their six-game losing streak yesterday with a 15-6 victory over the Rockies, who have gone 1-7 in their last eight games overall.  I look for that scoring outburst to be a signs of things to come for the Nationals, who are finally getting healthy.  Stephen Strasburg just recently returned to the rotation from injury, and he has been nothing short of dominant.  Strasburg is 1-1 with a 1.62 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in his last three starts with 23 K's in 16 2/3 innings.  Strasburg is also 3-3 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.077 WHIP in six lifetime starts versus Colorado.  Jorge De La Rosa has not enjoyed pitching at home this year, going 2-2 with a 6.62 ERA and 1.629 WHIP in 10 starts at Coors Field.  De La Rosa sports a 4.12 ERA and 1.445 WHIP in nine lifetime starts versus Washington.  The Nationals are 9-2 in their last 11 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.  Washington is 4-1 in Strasburg's last 5 starts.  The Rockies are 1-9 in their last 10 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.  Colorado is 0-7 in its last seven games with a total set of 9.0-10.5.  Take Washington.

7* National League GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington Nationals -148

The Key: The time is now for the Washington Nationals to get their act together and make a run at the NL East crown.  They have lost six straight coming in, but now they take on a team that has struggled just as much in the Rockies, who have lost 6 of their last 7.  The Nationals just have a lot more to play for right now, plus they have the clear advantage on the mound.  Jordan Zimmerman is 8-8 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.187 WHIP in 24 starts this season.  He owns the Rockies, going 5-0 with a 2.10 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts against them.  David Hale is 3-4 with a 5.69 ERA and 1.388 WHIP this season for Colorado.  Hale has been brutal of late, going 0-2 with a 7.02 ERA and 1.680 WHIP in his last three starts.  The Nationals are 45-16 in Zimmermann's last 61 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Nationals are 63-23 in Zimmermann's last 86 starts as a favorite.  The Rockies are 1-9 in their last 10 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.  The Rockies are 0-5 in Hale's last 5 starts.  Take Washington.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas Rangers -124

The Key: The Texas Rangers have won four straight games and are now right in the thick if the AL wild card race.  They are only one game behind the Baltimore Orioles for the final wild card spot.  They traded for Cole Hamels before the deadline, and now that move could really pay off going forward to get them in the postseason.  Hamels is 6-8 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.201 WHIP in 22 starts this season, and 2-2 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.082 WHIP in 10 home starts.  He's better than Seattle's Taijuan Walker, sho is 8-7 with a 4.60 ERA in 23 starts this year, and 6-4 with a 5.03 ERA in 13 road starts.  The Mariners are 17-35 in their last 52 games following a win.  The Rangers are 10-1 in their last 11 home games.  Take Texas.

7* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Diego Padres -103

The Key: The San Diego Padres have gone 4-1 in their last five games overall.  They have not quit on their season and have scored a combined 30 runs in their past four games.  The Colorado Rockies appear to have quit.  They have gone 0-6 in their last six games overall and have scored only 15 combined runs in the process.  The Padres have the advantage on the mound behind Ian Kennedy, who is 7-10 with a 4.37 ERA and 1.283 WHIP in 21 starts, 2-6 with 3.81 ERA and 1.220 WHIP in 10 road starts, and 1-1 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in his last 3 starts.  Plus, Kennedy is 6-4 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.190 WHIP in 19 lifetime starts versus Colorado.  Chris Rusin is 2-5 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.634 WHIP in 13 starts this year, and 0-1 with a 5.62 ERA and 1.875 WHIP in his last 3 starts.  The Rockies are 0-7 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The Padres are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.  The Padres are 4-1 in Kennedy's last 5 starts versus Colorado.  Take San Diego.

7* Nationals/Giants NL Saturday Night 'Bailout' on Washington -105

The Key: The Washington Nationals will be hungry for a victory after dropping the first two games of this series to the San Francisco Giants.  They have now lost four in a row and are desperate for a victory to turn their season around.  Surprisingly, Gio Gonzalez has been their best starter over the past couple months.  The left-hander is 5-0 with a 1.48 ERA in his last eight starts.  Gonzalez hasn't lost to San Francisco since 2010, going 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA in five meetings since.  Jake Peavy is 2-5 with a 3.76 ERA in nine starts this season for the Giants.  Peavy is 4-6 with a 3.72 ERA in 13 lifetime starts versus Washington.  Peavy is 29-57 (-23.5 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 in his career.  The Nationals are 13-3 in Gonzalez's last 16 starts vs. National League West.  The Nationals are 47-23 in Gonzalez's last 70 starts as a favorite.  The Giants are 0-6 in Peavy's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Washington.

7* AL Run Line GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-104)

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays are the hottest team in baseball.  They have won 11 in a row with 10 of those victories coming by 2 runs or more.  That's why I have no problem backing them on the run line today against the struggling Yankees, who have lost 5 of 6 to fall behind the Blue Jays in the AL East.  Ace David Price gets the ball for Toronto, and he's 11-4 with a 2.46 ERA and 1.081 WHIP in 23 starts this year.  He has won each of his first two starts with the Blue Jays, allowing 1 run in 15 innings.  One of those was against the Yankees on August 8 in his last start as he pitched 7 shutout innings of a 6-0 victory.  Ivan Nova does not enjoy facing this potent Toronto lineup.  Nova sports a 4.83 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts versus New York.  The Blue Jays are 10-1 against the run line in their last 11 games overall.  Take Toronto.

7* Nationals/Giants NL Thursday Night 'Bailout' on Washington -127

The Key: The Washington Nationals really need to pick it up now if they want to make the postseason.  They were shut out the past two days and have dropped to 58-55 on the season.  One of the teams they are chasing is the San Francisco Giants (60-53), so they will be hungry in Game 1 of this series tonight.  They have the edge on the mound behind Stephen Strasburg, who is 2-0 with a 1.53 ERA and 0.623 WHIP in his last three starts.  He struck out 12 and allowed just 1 run and 3 base runners in 7 innings of a 6-1 win over Colorado in his first start back from injury on August 8.  Ryan Vogelsong is no more than an average starter, going 7-8 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.391 WHIP over 17 starts and 8 relief outings this season.  Strasburg is 3-1 with a 2.63 ERA in 7 lifetime starts versus San Francisco, while Vogelsong is 1-2 with a 6.12 ERA in 7 lifetime starts versus Washington.  The Nationals are 4-0 in Strasburg's last 4 starts.  The Giants are 1-4 in Vogelsong's last 5 starts as an underdog.  Take Washington.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore Orioles +120

The Key: The Baltimore Orioles are now two games back in the wild card and still alive for the AL East division.  They have been one of the most resilient teams in baseball here of late.  In fact, they are a perfect 6-0 in their last six games following a loss.  They haven't lost consecutive games since July 23-24.  After last night's tough 5-6 loss to the Mariners, I look for them to bounce back with a win Wednesday.  Kevin Gausman has pitched pretty well with a 4.56 ERA in spite of a solid 1.220 WHIP over 53 1/3 innings this season.  Guasman is 1-1 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.082 WHIP in his last three starts as well.  He'll be opposed by Hisashi Iwakuma, who is 3-2 with a 4.40 ERA in 10 starts, and 2-2 with a 5.35 ERA in six home starts.  Gausman sports a 1.35 ERA in his only lifetime start versus Seattle.  The Mariners are 17-35 in their last 52 games following a win.  The Orioles are 8-2 in Gausman's last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Take Baltimore.

7* AL Tuesday 'Mound Mismatch' on Los Angeles Angels -115

The Key: The Los Angeles Angels find themselves not only in a dog fight with the Houston Astros to win the AL West, but also with several teams to hold on to the final wild card spot in the American League.  The Chicago White Sox (52-58) have really fallen out of that race by going 3-8 in their last 11 games overall.  With the advantage the Angels have on the mound today, they should be much heavier favorites.  Hector Santiago is 7-5 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in 21 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Carlos Rodon, who is 4-4 with a 5.00 ERA and 1.677 WHIP in 15 starts and three relief appearances.  Rodon is 3-3 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.672 WHIP in eight home starts, and 1-1 with a 7.53 ERA and 1.743 WHIP in his last three starts.  The Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.  The Angels are 5-0 in Santiago's last 5 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.  The White Sox are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Los Angeles.

7* Nationals/Dodgers National League 'Bailout' on Washington +115

The Key: The Washington Nationals are 5 games out of the wild card and 1.5 games back of the Mets for first place in the NL East. This is a much more important series for them than Los Angeles, which leads San Francisco by 3 games in the West.  I'll back the red-hot Gio Gonzalez at a great price tonight.  Gonzalez is 4-0 with a 1.77 ERA in his last seven starts.  He is also 1-1 with a 2.50 ERA in three lifetime starts versus Los Angeles.  Brett Anderson has been decent this year at 6-6 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.270 WHIP in 21 starts for the Dodgers.  But Anderson is 1-7 (-9.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.  Gonzalez is 7-0 (+7.7 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.   The Nationals are 12-3 in Gonzalez's last 15 starts vs. NL West foes.  Take Washington.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles Angels -120

The Key: After getting shut out 5-0 by the Baltimore Orioles yesterday, the Los Angeles Angels will be motivated Sunday to win this series.  This is a very generous price to back Jered Weaver, who is 2-2 with a 3.43 ERA in six home starts this year.  Weaver is 8-4 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.011 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts versus Baltimore.  He'll be opposed by Miguel Gonzalez, who is 9-8 with a 4.32 ERA in 20 starts this year.  Gonzalez is 5-5 with a 4.64 ERA in 10 road starts as well.  The Orioles are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Angels are 40-16 in their last 56 games as a favorite.  The Angels are 45-16 in Weaver's last 61 home starts.  Take Los Angeles.

7* MLB 'Never Lost' Mound Mismatch on Los Angeles Angels -145

The Key: The Los Angeles Angels have a very favorable starting pitching match-up today that I'm going to back.  Garrett Richards has been solid all season, going 11-8 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.177 WHIP in 20 starts.  He has been especially dominant at home, going 7-2 with a 2.36 ERA and 0.954 WHIP in 10 starts.  Richards gave up 2 earned runs over 7 2/3 innings in his only start against the Orioles in 2015 back on May 17.  Ubaldo Jimenez is 2-5 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.697 WHIP in 12 road starts this year.  He has been battered of late, going 1-2 with a 9.64 ERA and 1.786 WHIP in his last three starts.  But what stands out most is that Jimenez is 0-5 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.406 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts versus Los Angeles.  That's right, he and his teams are winless in all 5 starts.  Jimenez drops to 0-6 for his career against the Angels after tonight folks.  Take Los Angeles.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Arizona Diamondbacks -114

The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks (52-55) are still fighting to stay alive in the wild card race.  Yes, they are seven games back, but they are in much better position than the Cincinnati Reds (48-58), who just traded their two best starters before the deadline.  Chase Anderson is the better starter in this one as he's gone 4-4 with a 4.37 ERA and 1.276 WHIP in 18 starts.  While not impressive, Anderson has been better than his counterpart.  Raisel Iglesias is 2-3 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.395 WHIP over eight starts and two relief appearances for Cincinnati.  Iglesias has been at his worst away from home, going 0-3 with a 7.43 ERA and 1.575 WHIP in three road starts.  In his lone lifetime start against Cincinnati in 2014, Anderson allowed 1 earned run and 5 base runners over 7 innings of a 2-1 victory.  The Reds are 28-61 in their last 89 road games.  Cincinnati is 17-49 in its last 66 games as a road underdog.  The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.  The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.  Take Arizona.

7* Astros/A's AL West 'Bailout' on Houston -113

The Key: The Houston Astros will be hungry for a victory today after losing their last three games coming in.  They have lost the past two days by exactly one run each, so they will clearly be looking to get back in the win column in Game 1 of this series with Oakland.  Scott Feldman has done his best work on the road this year for Houston, going 2-1 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.110 WHIP in five starts away from home.  While Aaron Brooks has a 3.09 ERA this season for Oakland, he has only pitched 11 2/3 innings, so it's a very small sample size.  I believe he is getting too much respect for his ERA in limited action for an A's team with nothing to play for at 48-61.  The Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series.  Houston is 10-4 in its last 14 games as a favorite. The A's are 19-45 in their last 64 games as an underdog.  Oakland is 1-6 in its last 7 during game 1 of a series.  Take Houston.

7* NL Central GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs +120

The Key: The Chicago Cubs are showing solid value as road underdogs to the Pittsburgh Pirates when they shouldn't be today.  The Cubs have won six straight coming in, including yesterday's 5-0 victory over the Pirates.  I would argue that the Cubs have the edge on the mound with Dan Haren, who is 7-7 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.093 WHIP in 21 starts.  Jeff Locke is 6-6 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.421 WHIP in 20 starts this season for Pittsburgh.  Locke is 1-2 with a 5.75 ERA and 1.623 WHIP in eight lifetime starts versus Chicago.  The Cubs are 6-0 in their last six road games.  Take Chicago.

7* MLB Tuesday Night "Bailout" on Los Angeles Angels -124

The Key: The Los Angeles Angels finally put an end to a stretch where they lost six straight and nine of 10 with a 5-4 win over the Indians last night.  I was on them last night, and I'll back them again Tuesday to put together their first winning streak since July 21-22.  I have no problem backing the Angels tonight with Matt Shoemaker on the mound.  The right-hander has been on his game of late, going 1-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in his last three starts.  He has pitched 13 shutout innings in his last two starts while striking out 17.  Shoemaker sports a 2.25 ERA and 0.750 WHIP in one lifetime start versus Cleveland.  Carlos Carrasco has been overvalued for much of the season at 11-8 with a 4.03 ERA in 21 starts for the Indians, who have lost three straight and nine of 12.  The Indians are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The Indians are 4-12 in Carrasco's last 16 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.  The Angels are 38-14 in their last 52 games as a favorite.  The Angels are 8-0 in Shoemaker's last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Take Los Angeles.

7* American League GAME OF THE MONTH on Los Angeles Angels -115

The Key: The Los Angeles Angels will be more motivated for a win today than they have been at any other point in the season.  They have lost six straight and nine of their last 10 games overall to fall four games behind the Houston Astros in the AL West.  They are also barely hanging on to a wild card spot with just a two-game lead.  It's safe to say they are going to want this series opener against the Cleveland Indians (48-56) pretty badly.  This is a very generous price to get Garrett Richards, who is 10-8 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.190 WHIP in 19 starts this year.  Richards has been virtually untouchable at home, going 6-2 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.954 WHIP in nine home starts.  Corey Kluber did win the Cy Young last year, but he's overvalued as a result and is just 6-11 with a 3.44 ERA in 2015.  Kluber gave up 4 runs and 12 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his lone lifetime starts versus Los Angeles.  The Angels are 14-3 in Richards' last 17 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Indians are 7-15 in Kluber's last 22 starts.  Take Los Angeles.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota Twins +128

The Key: The Minnesota Twins would be the final wild card team in the AL if the season ended today.  But they lead a handful of teams by a very slim margin, so they clearly have a lot to play for.  The Seattle Mariners have lost five of six to fall eight games back of them with little to play for.  They own the second-worst record in the American League.  The Twins should not be underdogs to the Mariners today given the situation, but also because the Twins actually have the edge on the mound, too.  Mike Pelfrey is 5-7 with a 3.92 ERA in 19 starts this year.  While he hasn't fared well on the road, he's been dominant at home, going 3-2 with a 2.33 ERA in nine starts.  Hisashi Iwakuma just hasn't been the same pitcher this year because he's dealing with injury.  He is 2-2 with a 5.10 ERA in eight starts.  Iwakuma gave up 6 earned runs and 10 hits in his last start against the Diamondbacks.  The Mariners are 4-9 in Iwakuma's last 13 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.  The Mariners are 9-21 in their last 30 games as a favorite.  The Twins are 21-7 in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Twins are 7-3 in Pelfreys last 10 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.  Take Minnesota.

7* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Pittsburgh Pirates -147

The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates have won four of their last five games overall to get to 60 wins on the season.  They are easily one of the best teams in baseball.  They now send NL Cy Young contender Gerrit Cole to the mound to face the Reds, who were sellers at the deadline in shipping their two best starters in Johnny Cueto and Mike Leake to the Royals and Giants, respectively.  Their rotation is now arguably the worst in baseball.  Raisel Iglesias goes for the Reds, and he is 1-3 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.474 WHIP over 40 2/3 innings pitched this year.  Cole has been superb, going 14-4 with a 2.24 ERA and 1.081 WHIP in 132 1/3 innings.  Cole has actually been at his best on the road, too, going 6-2 with a 1.89 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in 10 starts away from home.  The Pirates are 38-15 in Cole's last 53 starts.  Cole is 9-0 (+9.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.  Cole is 11-1 (+9.4 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* American League *Mound Mismatch* on Baltimore Orioles -159

The Key: The Baltimore Orioles are in a great frame of mind right now.  They have won five of their last six with four wins by two runs or more, and their lone loss came by a single run last night to the Tigers.  Baltimore is only two games behind Minnesota for the final wild card spot, and it still believes it has a chance to catch the Yankees in the AL East.  Detroit is trading off its players as it sent ace David Price to the Blue Jays, leaving it in a fragile state of mind.  But the biggest reason I'm taking the Orioles today is because of the starting pitching match-up.  Wei-Yin Chen has been the ace of the Orioles' staff this year, posting a 2.89 ERA and 1.134 WHIP in 19 starts.  He'll be opposed by Buck Farmer, who has been destroyed in limited action in the big leagues this year.  Farmer has gone 0-2 with a 9.22 ERA and 1.898 WHIP.  He has allowed 14 earned runs, 26 base runners and 4 homers in only 13 2/3 innings.  I don't expect he'll have much success against this potent Baltimore lineup.  The Orioles are 65-32 in their last 97 home games.  Baltimore is 29-8 in Chen's last 37 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.  The Orioles are 20-6 in their last 26 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.  Take Baltimore.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Blue Jays -137

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays got a huge game from Troy Tulowitzki in his debut with the team last night.  He had a homer and two doubles to lead the Blue Jays to an 8-2 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies.  At 51-51 on the season, now is the time for the Blue Jays to make their run.  I look for them to make easy work of the Kansas City Royals tonight due to the edge they have on the mound and at the plate.  Marco Estrada is having a fine season in Toronto, going 7-6 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.182 WHIP over 15 starts and six relief appearances.  It isn't easy to pitch in Toronto, so his performance has really stood out to me.  Danny Duffy is 4-4 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in 14 starts this year for Kansas City.  The left-hander is 1-2 with a 5.52 ERA and 1.977 WHIP in three lifetime starts versus Toronto.  Meanwhile, Estrada sports a 2.70 ERA in his lone start against Kansas City, which came on July 10 of this year.  The Royals are 2-11 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season.  The Royals are 0-7 in Duffy's last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.  The Blue Jays are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The Royals are 12-26 in the last 38 meetings in Toronto.  Take Toronto.

7* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-126)

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays know it's time to make a run at the playoffs.  They sit at 50-51 right now and just traded for Troy Tulowitzki.  They will be all in the rest of the way to try and end of the longest current playoff drought in baseball.  The Phillies have won five in a row and nine of ten, but their run ends today.  Toronto goes with R.A. Dickey, who is 1-1 with a 2.11 ERA and 0.797 WHIP in his last three starts.  He'll be opposed by Jerome Williams, who is 3-7 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.658 WHIP in 15 starts. Williams is 0-5 with an 8.05 ERA and 1.868 WHIP in eight road starts, and 0-2 with a 9.23 ERA and 1.815 WHIP in his last three starts.  Dickey is 4-4 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts versus Philadelphia.  Williams gave up 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 5 innings in his last start against Toronto.  The Blue Jays are 18-7 against the run line (+12.4 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.  Toronto is 18-5 against the run line (+15.6 Units) after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits over the last 3 seasons.  Take Toronto on the Run Line.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Cubs -154

The Key: The Chicago Cubs (52-46) picked up an emotional win last night that could catapult them to the postseason the rest of the way.  They were coming off a 3-game sweep at the hands of the Phillies and needed a win yesterday.  But they blew a 7-4 lead by allowing four runs in the top of the 9th, only for Kris Bryant to save the day with a 2-run homer with two outs in the bottom of the 9th.  This is the kind of win the Cubs can look back to as the turning point for them.  The Colorado Rockies are clearly sellers right now as they traded Troy Tulowitzki last night, and that will have an impact on the emotional state of this team.  Both the starting pitchers in tonight's matchup are not very good.  Yohan Flande will be making his first start of the year for the ROckies, while Dallas Beeler will be making his third for the Cubs.  Colorado is 3-22 (-17.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.  The Rockies are 24-67 in their last 91 road games.  Colorado is 0-7 in Flande's last seven starts as an underdog.  The Cubs are 14-4 in their last 18 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.  Take Chicago.

7* National League GAME OF THE YEAR on Chicago Cubs -155

The Key: The Chicago Cubs have reached their low point by getting swept by the National League-worst Philadelphia Phillies at home over the weekend.  It's safe to say that they will be more motivated for a win Monday than they have been at any other point in the season when they welcome the Colorado Rockies (42-54) to Wrigley Stadium for Game 1 of this series.  The Cubs clearly have the edge on the mound in this one behind Kyle Hendricks, who is 4-5 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.130 WHIP in 19 starts.  Hendricks has been at his best at home, going 1-2 with a 2.81 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in eight starts.  Jorge De La Rosa has gone 6-4 with a 4.62 ERA and 1.403 WHIP in 16 starts this year for the Rockies.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 6 innings of an 8-10 loss to the Rangers in his last outing.  Colorado is 3-18 (-12.7 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more this season.  The Rockies are 6-42 (-31.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons.  The Cubs are 8-0 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss by 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.  The Rockies are 24-66 in their last 90 road games overall.  The Cubs are 7-1 in Hendricks' last 8 starts as a home favorite.  Take Chicago.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Blue Jays -108

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays erased a 6-3 deficit to come back and win 8-6 after scoring two runs in the top of the 9th yesterday.  It was a huge win for the Blue Jays to get them back to over .500 for the season and squarely in the AL East and wild-card races.  It was an equally deflating loss for the Mariners, who now sit at 45-53 with little chance of making the postseason.  I look for the Blue Jays to carry over that momentum into Sunday's game.  They clearly have the advantage on the mound today to boot.  Mark Buehrle has gone 11-5 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.161 WHIP in 19 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 1.23 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his last three.  The left-hander is 8-4 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.241 WHIP in 18 lifetime starts versus Seattle.  He has allowed 5 earned runs over 23 1/3 innings in his last three starts versus Seattle for a 1.93 ERA.  Taijuan Walker is 7-7 with a 5.06 ERA in 19 starts for the Mariners, including 0-1 with a 9.39 ERA in his last three.  Walker gave up 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners over 5 2/3 innings of a 2-8 loss at Toronto on May 24 in his only start against the Blue Jays this year.  Toronto is 6-0 in Buehrle's last 6 starts as a road favorite.  The Blue Jays are 13-3 in Buehrle's last 16 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Mariners are 5-16 in their last 21 during game 3 of a series.  Seattle is 0-7 in Walker's last 7 starts during game 3 of a series. Take Toronto.

7* National League GAME OF THE WEEK on San Diego Padres -135

The Key: The Miami Marlins just aren't a very good offensive team right now without their best player in Giancarlo Stanton.  Yet, they continue to get respect from oddsmakers when they shouldn't be.  The Padres got a win yesterday and will take Game 3 of this series tonight as well.  Ian Kennedy isn't having his best season, but I still believe he is the better starter in this one.  Plus, Kennedy is 3-1 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.168 WHIP in six lifetime starts versus Miami.  In fact, he is 1-0 with a 1.40 ERA in his last three starts against the Marlins, giving up 3 earned runs in 19 1/3 innings.  David Phelps is 4-6 with a 3.91 ERA and 1.283 WHIP this season for the Marlins, including 0-3 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.557 WHIP in his last three starts.  Phelps is 1-12 (-10.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.  Phelps is 4-16 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.  The Marlins are 18-41 in their last 59 games as a road underdog.  Take San Diego.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -109

The Key:  The Houston Astros send one of the most underrated starters in baseball in Scott Kazmir to the mound today.  The left-hander has gone 5-5 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.085 WHIP in 18 starts, and 1-0 with a 0.47 ERA and 0.569 WHIP in his last three starts overall.  The Astros made a huge move before the deadline in trading for Kazmir, who has to be extra motivated now that he is playing for a contender.  He faces arguably the worst starter in the Royals' rotation in Jeremy Guthrie, who is 7-5 in spite of a 5.36 ERA and 1.520 WHIP in 18 starts this year.  Guthrie is 2-2 with a 4.62 ERA in six lifetime starts versus Kansas City as well.  The Astros are 4-0 in their last four games overall.  The Astros are 6-0 in the last six meetings in this series.  Take Houston.

7* MLB Thursday 'Mound Mismatch' on Oakland A's -105

The Key: I would argue that the Oakland A's are one of the best teams in the American League despite their 44-52 record.  They are actually +48 in run differential, and only four teams in the AL have been better.  Unfortunately, they are just 10-22 on one-run games, which is more of a poor luck factor than anything.  The A's have now won five of their last seven games and are still fighting.  They send one of the most underrated starters in baseball in Scott Kazmir to the mound today.  The left-hander has gone 5-5 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.085 WHIP in 18 starts, 4-2 with a 1.36 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in 10 home starts, and 1-0 with a 0.47 ERA and 0.569 WHIP in his last three starts overall.  Kazmir has posted a 2.42 ERA in his last four starts versus Toronto while allowing 7 earned runs in 26 innings.  He'll be opposed by Drew Hutchison, who is one of the most overrated starters in baseball because he has gotten good run support this year.  Hutchison is 9-2 in spite of a 5.19 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in 19 starts.  He's also 2-1 in spite of an 8.81 ERA and 1.979 WHIP in 10 road starts, but his luck runs out today.  The Blue Jays are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.  The A's are 9-2 in their last 11 during Game 3 of a series.  Oakland is 5-1 in Kazmir's last 6 starts as a favorite.  Take Oakland.

7* AL 'BLOWOUT' Game of the Month on Oakland A's -147

The Key: I would argue that the Oakland A's are one of the best teams in the American League despite their 43-52 record.  They are actually +47 in run differential, and only four teams in the AL have been better.  Unfortunately, they are just 9-22 on one-run games, which is more of a poor luck factor than anything.  The A's send AL Cy Young contender Sonny Gray to the mound tonight.  The right-hander is 10-4 with a 2.29 ERA and 0.979 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  Gray has also gone 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 1.077 WHIP in two lifetime starts versus Toronto.  He'll be opposed by Felix Doubront, who is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.429 WHIP in 14 innings pitched this year.  Doubront is no more than a fill-in starter.  He has gone 1-2 with a 7.85 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in four lifetime starts versus Oakland.  Toronto is 0-8 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.  The Blue Jays are 1-9 in their last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Take Oakland.

7* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs -116

The Key: After dropping Game 1 of this series to the Cincinnati Reds, I look for the Chicago Cubs to get back in the win column in Game 2 thanks to the advantage they have on the mound.  Their motivation level is also higher in this series since the Reds know they are going to be sellers at the deadline coming up at the end of the month.  Jason Hammel has revived his career in Chicago.  The right-hander is 4-5 with a 2.86 ERA and 0.945 WHIP with 105 K's in 103 2/3 innings over 17 starts in 2015.  He'll be opposed by Raisel Iglesias, who is 1-2 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.517 WHIP over five starts and two relief appearances this year.  Iglesias is also 0-2 with an 8.31 ERA and 1.846 WHIP in his last three starts.  Cincinnati is 10-25 (-16.6 Units) against the money line after a one run win over the last 2 seasons.  The Cubs are 6-1 in Hammel's last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.  The Reds are 1-6 in their last 7 games following a win.  The Cubs are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.  Take Chicago.

7* MLB Underdog GAME OF THE YEAR on Pittsburgh Pirates +117

The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates are going to be highly motivated following a 3-game sweep at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend.  Look for them to come out with a sense of urgency in Game 1 of this series with the Kansas City Royals.  It will also help that they have a massive advantage on the mound.  A.J. Burnett is 7-3 with a 2.11 ERA in 18 starts this season as he's clearly an NL Cy Young contender.  He'll be opposed by Yordano Ventura, who is 4-6 with a 4.73 ERA in 13 starts on the year.  Ventura is also 3-3 with a 4.88 ERA in six home starts and 1-2 with a 7.36 ERA in his last three starts.  Burnett owns the Royals, going 5-3 with a 2.69 ERA in 11 lifetime starts against them.  Pittsburgh is 91-55 (+32.3 Units) against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons.  Burnett is 9-1 (+8.1 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season.  The Pirates are 37-13 (+20.7 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season.  The Pirates are 9-1 in their last 10 interleague games.  The Royals are 0-5 in Ventura's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland A's -125

The Key: The Oakland A's are only 42-51 on the season despite being +40 in run differential.  To compare, the Twins are 50-41 with a +27 run differential.  The difference is that the A's are 9-22 in one-run games, which is the worst mark in all of baseball and is a luck factor more than anything.  The A's are obviously better than their record, but they are undervalued because of that record.  Jesse Chavez sports a 3.40 ERA and 1.221 WHIP in 15 starts and four relief appearances this year, including 2-4 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.196 WHIP in seven home starts.  Chavez is 1-0 with a 0.63 ERA and 0.768 WHIP in two lifetime starts versus Minnesota, allowing just 1 earned run and 11 base runners over 14 1/3 innings with 16 strikeouts.  Minnesota is 10-33 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.  The Twins are 1-4 in Milone's last 5 road starts.  The A's are 8-2 in their last 10 during Game 3 of a series.  The A's are 10-2 in their last 12 home meetings with Minnesota.  Take Oakland.

7* National League GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs -145

The Key: The Chicago Cubs lost their first game back from the break to the Braves 4-2 last night.  I'll call for them to get back in the win column Saturday.  It was a rare win for the Braves, who are 1-5 in their last six games overall.  Jon Lester has gone 4-8 with a 3.59 ERA and 1.260 WHIP in 18 starts this season.  But he has shown his ace form in recent starts.  Indeed, Lester has posted a 1.71 ERA and 0.810 WHIP in his last three starts.  He has allowed one earned run or less in four of his last six starts as well.  Manny Banuelos has pitched well in limited action, but he is getting to much love from oddsmakers as a result.  The Cubs are 37-17 in their last 54 during game 2 of a series.  Chicago will be hungry to put an end to an 8-game losing streak in Atlanta as well.  Take Chicago.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -110

The Key: The Washington Nationals come out of the break looking to make a statement in this opening series with the Dodgers.  They clearly have the advantage on the mound in Game 1 behind Jordan Zimmerman.  The right-hander is 8-5 with a 3.22 ERA in 18 starts, 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA in his last three, and 4-3 with a 2.27 ERA in 10 home starts this year.  In his last two starts against the Dodgers, Zimmerman has only allowed 2 earned runs and 11 base runners in 10 1/3 innings.  Mike Bolsinger has struggled of late after a fast start to the year.  He has given up 6 earned runs and 16 base runners over 11 innings in his last two starts.  Zimmerman is 42-16 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.  The Dodgers are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a road underdog.  The Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Washington is 62-22 in Zimmerman's last 84 starts as a favorite.  Take Washington.

7* NL "Blowout" Game of the Month on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+102)

The Key: The San Francisco Giants' bats have come alive in this series with Philadelphia now that they are finally healthy.  They have scored a combined 23 runs over the past two days with 15-2 and 8-5 victories.  The Phillies' bullpen is completely taxed now. Look for the Giants' bats to stay red hot against Chad Billingsley, who is 1-2 with a 6.67 ERA and 1.704 WHIP in five starts this season.  Chris Heston has been brilliant this year, going 8-5 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.210 WHIP in 17 starts, including 1-0 with a 2.21 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in his last three.  Philadelphia is 7-31 (-17.5 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more this season, losing by 2.5 runs/game.  Philadelphia is 2-15 (-11.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 this season, losing by 3.8 runs/game.  San Francisco is 12-1 (+12.0 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start over the last 2 seasons, winning by 2.9 runs/game.  Take San Francisco on the Run Line.

7* Cardinals/Pirates NL Central GAME OF THE WEEK on Pittsburgh -117

The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates are hungry to inch closer to the Cardinals for first place in the NL Central before the All-Star Break.  They find themselves just 4.5 games back after winning 9 of their last 11 games overall.  They are clearly playing their best baseball of the season right now.  A.J. Burnett has been brilliant this year, going 7-3 with a 1.99 ERA and 1.212 WHIP in 17 starts, including 2-2 with a 1.28 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in eight home starts.  Burnett is 1-0 with a 0.60 ERA in his last two starts against St. Louis, allowing 1 earned run in 15 innings.  John Lackey has been very good at home, but he's just 2-3 with a 4.60 ERA in eight road starts this season.  Lackey is 2-14 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons.  The Pirates are 61-29 in their last 90 home games.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -103

The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays will be more hungry for a win today than they have been at any other point in the season.  After losing four straight and 11 of their last 12, they clearly want to right the ship going into the All-Star Break.  I like their chances with Erasmo Ramirez on the mound.  He has gone 7-3 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 12 starts this season, 3-2 with a 2.56 ERA and 1.074 WHIP in six home starts, and 1-1 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.750 WHIP in his last three.  Ramirez is also 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in two lifetime starts versus Houston.  Collin McHugh is 9-4 in spite of a 4.21 ERA this season for the Astros.  Houston has scored a combined three runs in losing three straight to the Indians in their last series.  Houston is 2-14 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.  The Rays are 6-1 in Ramirez's last 7 starts.  Take Tampa Bay.

7* NL Run Line GAME OF THE MONTH on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120)

The Key: Zach Greinke would be an excellent choice for NL Cy Young up to this point of the 2015 season.  He has gone 7-2 with a 1.48 ERA and 0.893 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.677 WHIP in his last three outings.  He has pitched 20 2/3 scoreless innings in his last three starts.  Now, he faces the worst team in baseball in the Philadelphia Phillies tonight.  Greinke has gone 3-1 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.020 WHIP in five lifetime starts versus Philadelphia.  He'll be opposed by Severino Gonzalez, who is 3-2 in spite of an 8.28 ERA and 1.760 WHIP in six starts.  Gonzalez has allowed a ridiculous 23 earned runs and 44 base runners in 25 innings pitched this year.  Greinke is 21-2 (+16.6 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -200 or more since 1997.  His teams are winning by an average of 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  Philadelphia is 4-21 (-14.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 this season.  It is losing by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  Take Los Angeles on the Run Line.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -128

The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays are desperate for a victory today.  They have lost nine of their last 10 games overall to fall to .500 on the season at 43-43.  Adding fuel to the fire is that they were swept by the Kansas City Royals in a double-header yesterday.  They will clearly be out for revenge, and I expect them to get it.  Tampa Bay will throw its best starter in Chris Archer, an All-Star who has gone 9-5 with a 2.26 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 18 starts, including 6-1 with a 1.54 ERA and 0.930 WHIP in eight road starts.  The right-hander has also posted a 2.13 ERA in two lifetime starts versus Kansas City.  The Royals throw their worst starter tonight in Jeremy Guthrie, who is 6-5 with a 5.42 ERA and 1.461 WHIP in 16 starts.  Archer is 10-1 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons.   The Rays are 14-3 in Archer's last 17 road starts.  The Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150.  Take Tampa Bay.

7* A's/Yankees AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland -109

The Key: The Oakland A's are showing excellent value as small road favorites over the New York Yankees today.  They should be much heavier favorites with the advantage they have on the mound in this one.  Sonny Gray was selected to the All-Star team for good reason.  He is 9-3 with a 2.09 ERA and 0.994 WHIP in 16 starts, and 6-1 with a 1.88 ERA in nine road starts.  Gray is 1-1 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in two lifetime starts versus New York.  He'll be opposed by Nathan Eovaldi, who is 8-2 in spite of a 4.52 ERA and 1.540 WHIP in 16 starts this year.  Eovaldi is 0-1 with a 5.60 ERA and 1.811 WHIP in three lifetime starts versus Oakland.  The A's are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.  Oakland is 4-0 in Gray's last 4 road starts.  The A's are 5-1 in the last six meetings.  Take Oakland.

7* MLB Monday Night "Bailout" on San Francisco Giants -130

The Key: The San Francisco Giants have lost six straight coming into this game.  They clearly won't be lacking any motivation as they open this three-game series with the New York Mets.  Chris Heston has been a pleasant surprise for the Giants this year, going 8-5 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.229 WHIP over 16 starts.  One of those starts came against the Mets on June 9th.  In that contest, Heston actually pitched a perfect game to go along with 11 strikeouts in a 5-0 San Francisco victory.  Jon Niese just hasn't been able to get on track this year.  The left-hander is 3-8 with a 3.90 ERA and 1.489 WHIP in 15 starts, including 1-5 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.511 WHIP in eight road starts.  Niese is 0-9 (-9.0 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.  The Mets are 8-22 in their last 30 road games.  New York is 5-24 in its last 29 games as an underdog.  Take San Francisco.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Cubs -131

The Key: The Cubs have won four of their last five and are showing good value against the Marlins today at home.  The Marlins are overvalued due to winning four of their last five as well, but keep in mind that they are still without their best player in Giancarlo Stanton, so this success cannot be sustained.  The Cubs have the advantage on the mound with Kyle Hendricks, who is 3-4 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in 15 starts.  Mat Latos is 3-5 with a 5.27 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in 13 starts for Miami.  Latos is 1-8 (-9.2 Units) against the money line after a game where he did not walk a batter over the last 2 seasons.  Hendricks is 9-1 (+8.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.  The Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.  The Cubs are 9-2 in Hendricks' last 11 home starts.  Take Chicago.

7* AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Los Angeles Angels -115

The Key: The Angels are rolling right now having won five of their last six games overall.  They should continue to roll with one of the most underrated starters in the league in Hector Santiago on the mound.  The left-hander has gone 4-4 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.135 WHIP over 15 starts and one relief appearance.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs and 8 base runners over 13 innings in his last two starts as well.  Plus, Santiago has given up just 2 earned runs over 12 1/3 innings in two starts against Texas this season already.  Wandy Rodriquez is 0-3 with a 7.10 ERA and 1.894 WHIP in five home starts this season.  He's also 2-1 with a 7.54 ERA and 2.442 WHIP in his last three starts overall.  Texas is 6-22 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons.  The Rangers are 0-9 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season.  Texas is 0-6 in its last six vs. AL West foes.  The Rangers are 22-50 in their last 72 games as a home underdog.  The Angels are 12-2 in their last 14 visits to Texas.  Take Los Angeles.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles Angels -126

The Key: The Los Angeles Angels should be bigger favorites today against the Texas Rangers.  Garrett Richards is one of the best starters in baseball, going 8-5 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.239 WHIP in 14 starts.  Chi Chi Gonzalez has pitched well in limited action this year, but he's overvalued as a result.  Gonzalez has come back down to reality of late, going 0-2 with a 4.95 ERA in his last three starts.  Meanwhile, Richards is 2-1 with a 2.18 ERA in his last three.  Richards is 6-1 with a 3.05 ERA in 11 lifetime starts versus Texas as well.  The Angels are 21-8 in Richards' last 29 starts.  The Angels are 11-2 in their last 13 meetings in Texas.  The Angels are 5-0 in Richards' last 5 starts versus Texas.  Take Los Angeles.

7* American League "Total" Annihilator on Red Sox/Blue Jays OVER 9

The Key: I'll back the over tonight in a battle between two of the most potent offenses in baseball in Boston and Toronto.  The Blue Jays have had the league's best offense this season, while the Red Sox haven't quite lived up to their potential, though it's only a matter of time.  Both lineups should feast on today's starting pitchers.  Wade Miley is 7-7 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.364 WHIP in 15 starts, including 3-5 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.576 WHIP in nine road starts.  Miley is 0-2 with a 10.56 ERA and 2.477 WHIP in two lifetime starts versus Toronto.  Matt Boyd will be making just his second start of the season.  The rookie gave up 4 runs, 9 hits and 3 homers over 6 2/3 innings in his major league debut against Texas on June 27.  The OVER is 3-0-1 in Red Sox last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.  Take the OVER.

7* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Detroit Tigers -107

The Key: The Detroit Tigers lost Game 1 of this series with the Pittsburgh Pirates in extra innings.  I expect them to get revenge in Game 2.  It's rare that you get the opportunity to back the Tigers at this kind of price at home, and we'll take advantage.  Alfredo Simon has proven to be an excellent addition to the rotation this year.  The right-hander is 7-4 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.272 WHIP in 14 starts, including 4-1 with a 2.33 ERA and 1.058 WHIP in seven home starts.  Simon is 3-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in five lifetime starters versus Pittsburgh.  He pitched 8 shutout innings in a 1-0 victory over the Pirates on April 15th of this year.  A.J. Burnett is having a career year to this point, but he's overvalued as a result.  Burnett sports a 4.56 ERA and 1.438 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts versus Detroit.  Detroit is 13-2 (+11.8 Units) against the money line after a game where they had 17 or more hits over the last 2 seasons.  The Tigers are 68-26 in their last 94 interleague home games.  The Pirates are 26-60 in their last 86 interleague road games.  Take Detroit.

7* AL Non-Divisional GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -140

The Key: The Baltimore Orioles have won seven of their last nine games overall to climb into first place in the AL East.  After dropping Game 1 of this series to the Rangers, I look for them to bounce back with a blowout victory in Game 2.  The Orioles clearly have the edge on the mound behind Miguel Gonzalez, who is 6-4 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  Gonzalez has been at his best at home, going 4-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.860 WHIP in seven home starts.  Colby Lewis, meanwhile, has been at his worst on the road, going 4-3 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.387 WHIP in eight road starts.  Lewis is 1-3 with a 5.97 ERA in six lifetime starts versus Baltimore.  In his last two starts against the Orioles, he has allowed 11 earned runs and a ridiculous 6 homers in 12 innings pitched.  Gonzalez is 2-1 with a 2.94 ERA in three lifetime starts versus Texas.  The Orioles are 60-27 in thier last 87 home games.  Baltimore is 26-10 in Gonzalez's last 36 home starts.  The Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Take Baltimore.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -130

The Key: The Houston Astros send out underrated starter Lance McCullers to take on the Kansas City Royals today for Game 1 of this series.  McCullers has been brilliant in eight starts this year, going 3-2 with a 2.33 ERA and 1.036 WHIP with 52 K's in 46 1/3 innings.  He has been at his best at home, going 2-0 with a 1.17 ERA and 0.913 WHIP in four home starts.  He'll face a Kansas City team that is primed for a letdown tonight.  The Royals just swept the A's over the weekend, which is a team they brawled with earlier this year.  Joe Blanton has put up good numbers this season, but it has come in very limited action, and he's made just two starts this year.  He had no success coming into the season, so I believe his start is a bit fluky.  The Astros are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Take Houston.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland A's -139

The Key: After losing the first two games of this series to the Kansas City Royals, I fully expect the Oakland A's to be motivated to avoid getting swept Sunday.  I anticipate they'll get the job done due to the edge they have on the mound in this one.  Jesse Chavez has been solid all season, going 4-6 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.147 WHIP in 12 starts and four relief outings in 2015.  He has been dominant at home, going 2-2 with a 1.85 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in five home starts.  He'll be opposed by Jeremy Guthrie, who is easily the Royals' worst starter.  Guthrie has gone 5-5 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.533 WHIP in 14 starts, including 3-3 with an 8.15 ERA and 1.840 WHIP in seven road starts.  He is also 4-5 with a 4.62 ERA and 1.414 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts versus Oakland.  The Royals are 0-4 in Guthrie's last 4 starts as an underdog.  The A's are 5-0 in their last 5 during Game 3 of a series. Take Oakland.

7* NL West GAME OF THE YEAR on San Diego Padres -129

The Key: The San Diego Padres represent my strongest play of the 2015 season in the NL West tonight when they take on the Arizona Diamondbacks.  I firmly believe they have the edge on the mound in this one and should be much heavier favorites.  Andrew Cashner sports a 4.35 ERA on the year, but his 2-9 record with poor run support has him undervalued.  Cashner sports a 3.19 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts against Arizona, so he clearly enjoys facing this team.  Jeremy Hellickson is one of the worst starters in baseball, going 5-4 in spite of a 4.94 ERA and 1.378 WHIP in 14 starts.  Hellickson is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in four lifetime starts against San Diego.  He has given up 18 earned runs over 24 innings to the Padres in those four starts.  The Diamondbacks are 12-26 in their last 38 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.  The Padres are 36-16 in their last 52 games as a home favorite.  Take San Diego.

7* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-113)

The Key: The Washington Nationals are absolutely rolling right now.  They have won six straight games while winning five of those contests by two or more runs.  I look for them to win this game against the Philadelphia Phillies, who have the worst record in baseball at 26-48, by multiple runs once again tonight.  Ace Max Scherzer gets the ball and looks to build off of two straight complete game shutouts.  He threw a no-hitter last time out and has allowed just two base runners over the past 18 innings while striking out 26.  It's safe to say he's in a groove right now.  He's the clear NL Cy Young favorite at 8-5 with a 1.76 REA and 0.801 WHIP in 14 starts this year.  Aaron Harang has been beaten up in his last three starts, going 0-3 with a 7.50 ERA while allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 18 innings.  Scherzer is 3-1 with a 1.41 ERA and 0.844 WHIP in five lifetime starts versus Philadelphia.  The Phillies are 7-25 (-16.3 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive road games this season, losing by an average of 2.5 runs/game.  Take Washington the Run Line.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami Marlins +108

The Key: The Miami Marlins have lost three straight and six of their last seven.  They will be hungry for a win tonight to avoid getting swept by the St. Louis Cardinals.  They give the ball to Dan Haren, who has been their best starter this season.  Haren has gone 6-4 with a 3.19 ERA and 0.997 WHIP in 14 starts this year, including 3-1 with a 2.32 ERA and 0.984 WHIP in seven home starts.  Haren will be opposed by Lance Lynn, who is making his first start since June 7th due to injury.  He'll likely be on a pitch count and won't be able to go very deep into this game.  Plus, Lynn is 1-3 with a 3.93 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in six road starts this season.  In his last start at Miami, Lynn allowed 7 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 innings.  St. Louis is 24-40 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.  Lynn is 4-15 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.  The Cardinals are 1-6 in Lynn's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Take Miami.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles Dodgers -106

The Key: After losing the first two games of this series, the Los Angeles Dodgers are going to be highly motivated for a victory in Game 3 tonight against the Chicago Cubs.  They have lost seven of their last nine games overall and will be hungry to turn things around.  I like their chances of getting back in the win column today behind Mike Bolsinger, who is 4-2 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in nine starts this year.  He has faced the Cubs before, pitching 6 2/3 innings without allowing a single earned run to get the 5-2 win in 2014.  Kyle Hendricks is now 2-3 with a 4.28 ERA and 1.235 WHIP in 13 starts for Chicago.  He gave up 6 earned runs and 12 base runners over 5 innings of a 2-7 loss at Minnesota last time out.  The Dodgers are 12-2 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a game where they had 4 or less hits over the last 3 seasons.  The Cubs are 4-20 (-18.4 Units) against the money line after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.  The Dodgers are 11-4 in their last 15 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.  Take Los Angeles.

7* Royals/Mariners American League 'Bailout' on Seattle +108

The Key: After losing two straight coming in, including Game 1 of this series to the Royals, the Seattle Mariners will be motivated for a victory Tuesday.  There's no way they should be underdogs in this game with the advantage they have on the mound.  Mike Montgomery has pitched very well for the Mariners this season, going 1-2 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.139 WHIP in four starts.  He'll be opposed by Jeremy Guthrie, who is 5-4 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in 13 starts for Kansas City.  Guthrie has really been beaten up on the road, going 3-2 with a 7.72 ERA and 1.780 WHIP in six road starts this year.  Guthrie is 2-7 with a 5.40 ERA in 13 lifetime starts versus Seattle.  In his last three starts against the Mariners, he has allowed 18 earned runs, 28 base runners and 6 homers over 16 innings for a 10.13 ERA.  The Royals are 0-6 in their last six games against a left-handed starter.  The Mariners are 6-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog.  Take Seattle.

7* American League Game of the Month on Seattle Mariners -151

The Key: The Seattle Mariners send out AL Cy Young contender Felix Hernandez tonight to take care of business against the Kansas City Royals.  Hernandez has gone 10-3 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.015 WHIP In 14 starts this season, including 6-2 with a 2.59 ERA and 0.916 WHIP in eight home starts.  The right-hander is 4-4 with a 2.80 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts versus Kansas City.  Joe Blanton will be making his his second start of the season for the Royals.  Blanton is 86-89 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.356 WHIP in his career in the big leagues.  He has posted a 4.71 ERA or worse in each of his last four seasons in the big leagues.  Blanton is 5-16 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last two seasons.  The Mariners are 14-3 in their last 17 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.  Seattle is 30-11 in Hernandez's last 41 starts.  Take Seattle.

7* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Diego Padres -103

The Key: This is like stealing.  The oddsmakers have given us the San Diego Padres at a tremendous price Sunday and we'll take advantage.  They have the clear advantage on the mound behind Andrew Cashner, who has gone 2-8 with a 4.24 ERA in 14 starts and one relief appearance.  Cashner is 2-4 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.084 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts versus Arizona.  He'll be opposed by Jeremy Hellickson, who is one of the worst starters in baseball.  Hellickson is 4-4 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.410 WHIP in 13 starts this year, including 2-2 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.624 WHIP in six home starts.  The right-hander is 0-1 with an 8.00 ERA in three lifetime starts versus San Diego.  Hellickson is 2-12 (-10.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.  Take San Diego.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Colorado Rockies -126

The Key: The Colorado Rockies will be hungry to put an end to their five-game losing streak.  I like their chances of doing so Saturday considering the massive advantage they have on the mound.  Chad Bettis has been arguably their best starter this season, going 2-2 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.246 WHIP in seven starts, including 1-1 with a 3.20 ERA in four home starts.  He'll be opposed by Kyle Lohse, who is 3-8 with a 6.44 ERA and 1.406 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  Lohse faced Colorado once this season back on April 6th, giving up 8 earned runs and 10 hits in only 3 1/3 innings of a 10-0 loss.  The Brewers are 16-38 in their last 54 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Brewers are 1-5 in Lohse's last 6 starts.  The Rockies are 5-2 in Bettis' last 7 starts.  Take Colorado.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on New York Mets -135

The Key: Off back-to-back losses to the Blue Jays the past two days, I look for the New York Mets to come into this series with the Atlanta Braves motivated for a win.  I believe they get that win thanks to the massive advantage they have on the mound.  Jacob DeGrom won the NL Rookie of the Year award last year, and he has carried that success over into 2015.  DeGrom is 7-4 with a 2.33 ERA and 0.988 WHIP in 13 starts, including 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.727 WHIP in his last three.  DeGrom is 2-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in four lifetime starts versus Atlanta.  Matt Wisler will be making his major league debut tonight for Atlanta.  He allowed seven runs and 10 base runners in 3 2/3 innings last Friday and is now 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA in 12 starts at Triple-A Gwinnett.  The Mets are 38-13 in their last 51 games as a favorite.  New York is 7-1 in DeGrom's last eight starts as a favorite.  The Mets are 6-1 in the last seven meetings.  Take New York.

7* MLB 'Blowout' Game of the Week on Pittsburgh Pirates -128

The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates are absolutely rolling right now.  They have won seven straight games behind dominant pitching, allowing a total of just five runs during their winning streak, including five shutout victories.  That dominant pitching will continue Thursday behind who I believe is the favorite to win the NL Cy Young in Gerrit Cole.  The right-hander has gone 10-2 with a 1.71 ERA and 1.083 WHIP over 13 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.45 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in his last three.  He'll be opposed by Jeff Samardzija, who is 4-4 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.328 WHIP in 13 starts.  Samardzija has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with an 8.38 ERA and 1.604 WHIP in his last three outings.  Cole is 13-1 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.  The Pirates are 21-6 in Cole's last 27 starts as a favorite.  The White Sox are 0-6 in their last 6 games overall.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -122

The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals should be bigger favorites today over the Minnesota Twins with the advantage they have on the mound.  Carlos Martinez has been brilliant, going 7-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 79 K's in 73 2/3 innings.  He has been untouchable here of late, going 4-0 with a 0.80 ERA in his last five starts.  He'll be opposed by Tom Milone, who is 2-1 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.356 WHIP in six starts.  Milone is 1-1 with a 7.72 ERA and 2.144 WHIP in two home starts as well.  The Cardinals are 12-1 in Martinez's last 13 starts as a favorite.  St. Louis is 40-18 in its last 58 games overall.  The Twins are 1-7 in their last eight games overall.  Take St. Louis.

6* MLB Never Lost *CA$H COW* on Kansas City Royals -105

The Key: The Kansas City Royals (35-25) are a much better team than the Milwaukee Brewers (24-41), and they have a massive advantage on the mound today, thus they should be much heavier favorites tonight.  Chris Young has been dominant this season in going 5-2 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.942 WHIP in seven starts and six relief appearances.  Young has been at his best on the road, going 1-1 with a 1.96 ERA and 0.873 WHIP in three road starts.  He'll be opposed by Matt Garza, who is 3-7 with a 5.27 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in 12 starts this year.  Young is 1-1 with a 2.49 ERA and 0.738 WHIP in three lifetime starts versus Milwaukee.  Young is 10-1 (+10.6 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.   Young is 9-0 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career, having never lost in this situation.  Take Kansas City.

7* MLB Underdog GAME OF THE WEEK on Toronto Blue Jays +102

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have won 11 straight games and should not be underdogs to the New York Mets tonight with the way they are playing right now.  They have scored a combined 31 runs in their last three games, and they have scored at least four runs in every game during their 11-game streak.  They now have the best run differential in the entire American League.  Mark Buehrle continues to provide quality innings for the Blue Jays, going 7-4 with a 4.25 ERA in 12 starts this season.  He has been dominant in his last two starts, allowing just 2 runs in 15 innings in beating both the Nationals and Marlins.  Noah Syndergaard has struggled as a rookie this season, going 2-4 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in six starts.  Syndergaard has allowed a combined 11 runs and 21 base runners in 10 innings over his last two starts.  Buehrle is 17-3 (+14.1 Units) against the money line after 5 or more consecutive wins in his career.  Buehrle is 12-0 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against NL East opponents in his career.  Take Toronto.

6* American League *CA$H COW* on Oakland A's -110

The Key: After losing the first two games of this series to the Los Angeles Angels by exactly one run each, the Oakland A's are clearly motivated for a win in Game 3 to avoid the sweep.  I like their chances of picking up that win today due to the massive advantage they have on the mound.  Sonny Gray is the clear ace of Oakland's staff, going 7-3 with a 1.74 ERA and 0.955 WHIP while putting up Cy Young-caliber numbers through 13 starts.  Gray is 4-1 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in seven lifetime starts versus Los Angeles.  Matt Shoemaker is 4-4 with a 4.86 ERA in 11 starts for the Angels, including 0-3 with a 5.26 ERA in five home starts.  Shoemaker is 0-1 with an 8.30 ERA in two starts against the A's in 2015, giving up 8 earned runs and 17 base runners in 8 2/3 innings.  The A's are 10-1 in Gray's last 11 Sunday starts.  The Angels are 2-11 in their last 13 Sunday games.  Los Angeles is 1-5 in Shoemaker's last six home starts.  Take Oakland.

7* MLB "Blowout" Game of the Month on Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (-110)

The Key: I expect the Pittsburgh Pirates to win this game going away today against the lowly Philadelphia Phillies.  They send Cy Young contender Gerrit Cole to the mound today.  Cole has gone 9-2 with a 1.73 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA and 1.095 WHIP in his last three.  Cole is also 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in three lifetime starts versus Philadelphia.  He'll be opposed by Sean O'Sullivan, who is 1-4 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.390 WHIP in eight starts this season.  O'Sullivan is 0-3 with a 7.02 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three road starts as well.  Cole is 12-1 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.  The Pirates are winning by 2.0 runs per game in this spot.  The Phillies are 3-19 (-14.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.  They are losing by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Take Pittsburgh on the Run Line.

7* A's/Angels AL West "Bailout" on Los Angeles -110

The Key: The Los Angeles Angels have lost six of their last eight and are now determined for a win heading into Game 1 of this series with the Oakland A's.  They send Hector Santiago to the mound, who has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this year.  Santiago is 4-3 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in 12 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 2.40 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in seven home starts.  While those numbers are great, they are nothing compared to his career stats against Oakland.  Indeed, Santiago is 3-0 with a 1.01 ERA and 1.038 WHIP in six lifetime starts against the A's.  Oakland is 1-10 (-14.2 Units) against the money line after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent over the last 2 seasons.  The A's are 5-21 in their last 26 games against a left-handed starter.  Oakland is 1-7 in Chavez's last 8 road starts, and 0-6 in his last six starts as an underdog.  The Angels are 39-15 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Take Los Angeles.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Washington Nationals -114

The Key: The Washington Nationals should be much heavier favorites against the lowly Milwaukee Brewers tonight with the advantage they have on the mound.  Tanner Roark was the odd man out this season because Washington's staff was so loaded to start the year.  But with Stephen Strasburg and Doug Fister out due to injury, he has gotten a chance to start, and he has shown once again that he belongs in the rotation.  Roark is 2-2 with a 3.16 ERA and 1.189 WHIP over 37 innings this year.  He is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA in one lifetime start against Milwaukee as well.  He'll be opposed by Matt Garza, who is 4-7 with a 5.09 ERA and 1.464 WHIP in 11 starts this year.  Garza has never beaten Washington, going 0-3 with a 7.33 ERA and 1.778 WHIP in six lifetime starts against the Nationals.  Washington is 5-1 in Roark's last 6 starts.  Milwaukee is 1-7 in its last 8 home games.  The Brewers are 1-4 in Garza's last 5 home starts.  Take Washington.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on San Diego Padres -108

The Key: The San Diego Padres have won five of their last seven games to get back to .500 on the season.  After losing yesterday, I fully expect them to bounce back Wednesday due to their advantage on the mound.  Tyson Ross has gone 3-5 with a 3.75 ERA in 12 starts with 78 strikeouts in 69 2/3 innings.  Ross is 1-2 with a 3.32 ERA in seven road starts this year, and 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA in his last three starts overall.  Williams Perez is 1-0 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.581 WHIP in 25 1/3 innings pitched this season.  He walks way too many batters as he has walked 15 on the season and 10 in his last 18 innings pitched.  The Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.  The Braves are 7-16 in their last 23 games following a win.  Take San Diego.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -114

The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals will be hungry to bounce back from their 11-3 loss to the Rockies in Game 1 of this series last night.  They should be much bigger favorites here considering the huge advantage they have on the mound.  Michael Wacha is a legitimate Cy Young contender.  He has gone 8-1 with a 2.18 ERA and 1.038 WHIP in 11 starts this year, including 6-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 1.015 WHIP in seven road starts.  The Cardinals are 10-1 in his 11 starts, and 7-0 in his seven road starts.  Jorge De La Rosa is 2-2 with a 6.15 ERA and 1.575 WHIP in seven starts, including 1-1 with an 8.44 ERA and 2.016 WHIP in five home starts for the Rockies.  The Rockies are 36-83 in their last 119 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  Take St. Louis.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago White Sox -135

The Key: The Chicago White Sox send ace Chris Sale to the mound Monday night to try and get back on track after losing two in a row coming in.  They play a Houston Astros team that has come back down to earth here of late with four straight losses.  Sale has been virtually untouchable in his last two starts at Baltimore and at Texas.  He has pitched 14 2/3 shutout innings while allowing only nine base runners and striking out a whopping 23 batters.  He is clearly on top of his game right now.  Lance McCullers has pitched very well in limited action for the Astros as a rookie, but he's clearly overvalued as a result.  Sale is 2-1 with a 0.38 ERA and 0.708 WHIP in three lifetime starts versus Houston, giving up just one earned run in 24 innings.  Chicago is 8-0 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after 4 straight games where they had 7 or less hits over the last 3 seasons.  Take Chicago.

6* Cardinals/Dodgers ESPN Sunday Night "Bailout" on St. Louis +142

The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals (37-19) are the best team in baseball, period.  That's why when you get the opportunity to back them at this kind of price, you should almost always take advantage.  I'll back them as +138 underdogs to the Los Angeles Dodgers on ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball.  Lance Lynn is having yet another dominant season as the ace of this staff.  He has gone 4-4 with a 3.03 ERA in 11 starts and has 72 strikeouts in 68 1/3 innings.  Lynn is 4-1 with a 4.10 ERA in seven career starts against Los Angeles.  He has allowed exactly two earned runs in each of his last two starts against the Dodgers.  The Cardinals are 26-6 in their last 32 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.  The Dodgers are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.  Take St. Louis.

7* American League GAME OF THE MONTH on Seattle Mariners -162

The Key: The Seattle Mariners are desperate for a victory today after losing seven straight coming in.  They couldn't possibly have a better starter on the mound to get back in the win column tonight.  Felix Hernandez is 8-2 with a 2.63 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in 11 starts this year and well on his way to winning the AL Cy Young like he should have last year. Hernandez is 6-2 with a 1.94 ERA in 14 career starts against Tampa Bay.  He'll be opposed by Alex Colome, who is 3-2 with a 5.05 ERA and 1.402 WHIP in seven starts this year.  The Rays are 1-8 in their last 9 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The Mariners are 28-10 in Hernandez's last 38 starts. Take Seattle.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami Marlins +105

The Key: The Miami Marlins have won two straight and four of their last six.  They have finally turned it around after a slow start, and I now feel good about backing them at an excellent price against the lowly Colorado Rockies tonight.  Tom Koehler has gone 3-3 with a 4.01 ERA in 10 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Eddie Butler, who has gone 3-5 with a 4.22 ERA and 1.755 WHIP in 10 starts this year.  Koehler has dominated the Rockies in the past, going 1-0 with a 2.14 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in three career starts against them despite pitching twice at hitter-friendly Coors Field.  The Marlins are 6-0 in Koehler's last 6 starts when working on 5 days of rest.  The Rockies are 16-37 in their last 53 during game 1 of a series.  Take Miami.

6* American League *CA$H COW* on Boston Red Sox -143

The Key: After losing seven of their last 10 games overall, the Boston Red Sox will be hungry for a win today against the Minnesota Twins to win this series and get some confidence moving forward.  They will be extra motivated after getting shut out yesterday.  They have a massive advantage on the mound tonight behind Stevan Wright, who is 2-2 with a 3.90 ERA and 1.264 WHIP in three starts and two relief outings.  Wright has posted a 3.71 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in three starts.  Minnesota starter Tom Milone is 2-1 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.456 WHIP in four starts this season, including 1-1 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.933 WHIP in his last three.  Milone is 0-2 with an 11.85 ERA and 2.048 WHIP in three lifetime starts versus Boston, giving up 18 runs, 8 homers and 28 base runners in 13 2/3 innings.  He has never beaten the Red Sox, and he's not about to pick up his first win against them tonight, either.  Take Boston.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles Angels -121

The Key: Hector Santiago has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season.  He has gone 4-3 with a 2.18 ERA and 1.178 WHIP in 10 starts, including 2-1 with a 1.49 ERA and 1.129 WHIP in six home starts.  Yet, he's still not getting the respect he deserves as only a -121 favorite over the Tampa Bay Rays at home today.  Los Angeles is 12-1 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in home games in June games over the last 2 seasons.  The Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Los Angeles.

7* MLB *Mound Mismatch* GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -105

The Key: The Atlanta Braves are red hot right now having won three in a row coming in.  They have outscored the opposition 23-6 in the process as they are hitting the cover off the ball.  Shelby Miller, a serious candidate for the NL Cy Young Award to this point, won't need a ton of run support tonight, but he may get it anyway.  Miller has gone 5-2 with a 1.48 ERA and 0.881 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Josh Collmenter, who is 3-5 with a 5.05 ERA and 1.386 WHIP in 10 starts, including 1-4 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in six home starts.  Miller is 10-0 (+10.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.  Arizona is 1-11 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or fewer errors/game over the last 2 seasons.  The Diamondbacks are 1-7 in Collmenter's last 8 starts as a home underdog.  Take Atlanta.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on San Diego Padres -111

The Key: The San Diego Padres get the nod Monday as small home favorites over the New York Mets.  This is a classic case of a starting pitcher being undervalued because of his record.  Andrew Cashner has posted a very nice 3.00 ERA and 1.270 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including a 2.42 ERA in four home starts, but he has just a 2-7 record to show for it.  He'll receive much better fortune going forward if he continues to pitch like this.  Jacob DeGrom has been dominant at home, but it has been a completely different story on the road.  DeGrom is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.687 WHIP In three road starts this year.  The Mets are just 7-15 on the road in 2015.  New York is 2-12 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.  The Mets are 14-32 (-16.1 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 seasons.  New York is 0-8 in its last 8 games as a road underdog.  The Padres are 35-16 in their last 51 games as a home favorite.  Take San Diego.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -107

The Key: Any time you can get the NL-leading St. Louis Cardinals (32-17) at this kind of price at home, it's certainly worth a look.  After all, the Cardinals are a ridiculous 41-12 in their last 53 home games.  Carlos Martinez is having a solid year for the Cardinals, going 4-2 with a 3.54 ERA in nine starts and one relief appearance.  Martinez has been untouchable in his last three starts, going 1-1 with a 0.98 ERA and 1.200 WHIP.  I'll fade Brett Anderson of the Dodgers, who is 1-2 with a 4.22 ERA and 1.453 WHIP in four road starts this year.  The Cardinals are 10-1 in Martinez's last 11 starts as a favorite.  The Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 games as road underdogs.  Take St. Louis.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland A's -117

The Key: The Oakland A's are on a roll right now.  They have quietly won five of their last seven games overall to turn their season around.  Since they got off to such a slow start this season, they are flying under the radar right now.  We are getting them at a very generous price at home against the New York Yankees today.  Nathan Eovaldi has been terrible for the Yankees, posting a 4.27 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in nine starts.  He'll be opposed by Jesse Hahn, who is 2-4 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.137 WHIP in nine starts, including 1-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 0.906 WHIP in five home starts.  Eovaldi is 0-1 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.615 WHIP in two lifetime starts versus Oakland.  The Yankees are 1-11 in their last 12 visits to Oakland.  Take Oakland.

7* American League GAME OF THE MONTH on Oakland A's -130

The Key: The Oakland A's have finally shown some signs of life here of late.  They have gone 4-2 in their last six games overall behind dominant pitching.  They have only allowed 10 runs in those six games.  I look for that dominance to continue on the mound tonight behind ace Sonny Gray.  Perhaps the most underrated starter in baseball, Gray has gone 5-2 with a 1.77 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 1.19 ERA and 0.626 WHIP in four home starts.  Gray will be opposed by the washed-up Chris Capuano, who has gone 0-2 with a 7.37 ERA and 1.910 WHIP in two starts for the Yankees this year.  The Yankees are 4-11 in their last 15 games overall.  The Yankees are 2-10 in their last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.  New York is 0-7 in its last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starts.  New York is 1-4 in Capuano's last 5 starts.  The Yankees are 1-10 in their last 11 meetings in Oakland.  Take Oakland.

7* Indians/Mariners AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -117

The Key: Corey Kluber did not get off to the kind of start that you would expect from a reigning AL Cy Young winner.  However, he has returned to that Cy Young form over the last couple weeks.  Kluber has gone 2-0 with a 0.72 ERA and 0.640 WHIP with 37 strikeouts in 25 innings in his last three starts.  In his only lifetime start against Seattle in 2014, Kluber pitched a complete game shutout while allowing only three base runners in 9 innings of a 2-0 victory.  Seattle is 2-10 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons.  The Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.  Take Cleveland.

6* Nationals/Cubs NL *CA$H COW* on Chicago +105

The Key: Getting the surging Chicago Cubs (25-20) as home underdogs is a very generous offer from oddsmakers.  I'll take advantage and back the Cubs at this excellent price Wednesday against the Washington Nationals.  Sure, they'll be up against Max Scherzer, but they have their ace on the mound as well.  Jon Lester has rebounded very nicely from a slow start this season.  The left-hander has gone 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his last three starts to improve to 4-2 with a 3.56 ERA on the season.  Lester is 2-0 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in three lifetime starts versus Washington.  Scherzer is 3-12 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season in his career.  Chicago is 5-1 in Lester's last 6 starts.  The Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.  Take Chicago.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Chicago Cubs -107

The Key: After back-to-back losses, I look for the Chicago Cubs to get back in the win column at home today against the Washington Nationals.  Kyle Hendricks has gone 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in his last three starts.  He pitched a complete game shutout in his last outing against the Padres.  He'll be opposed by Jordan Zimmerman, who is 2-1 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four road starts this season.  Zimmerman is 1-4 with a 4.81 ERA in seven lifetime starts versus Chicago.  He gave up 8 earned runs and three homers in 5 innings of a 1-11 loss to the Cubs in his last start at Chicago.  The Nationals are 23-48 in their last 71 games as a road underdog.  Washington is 1-5 in Zimmerman's last 6 starts as a road dog.  The Cubs are 7-1 in Hendricks' last 8 home starts.  Take Chicago.

6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles Angels -133

The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Angels at home today, especially considering they won't be lacking motivation after two straight road losses to the Red Sox.  They return home where they are a much better team.  They also give the ball to Jered Weaver, who has been virtually unhittable here of late.  Indeed, Weaver is 3-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 0.729 WHIP in his last two starts.  He'll be opposed by Tyson Ross, who has gone 2-4 with a 3.93 ERA and 1.462 WHIP in nine starts for the Padres this season.  Weaver is 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 0.750 WHIP in two starts against San Diego in his lifetime.  The Angels are 43-15 in Weaver's last 58 home starts.  Take Los Angeles.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Chicago Cubs -131

The Key: The Chicago Cubs are reasonably priced as small road favorites over the Arizona Diamondbacks today.  Jason Hammel is coming off the best year of his career in Chicago/Oakland in 2014.  He has picked up right where he left off in 2015.  Hammel is 3-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.919 WHIP in eight starts this year, including 1-0 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.773 WHIP in his last three.  He'll be up against Jeremy Hellickson, sho is 1-3 with a 5.52 ERA and 1.568 WHIP in eight starts this year, including 0-2 with a 7.45 ERA and 1.965 WHIP in four home starts.  Hellickson hasn't been right in three years now and doesn't deserve to be in a starting rotation.  Arizona is 6-26 (-22.0 Units) against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.   Hellickson is 2-14 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.  Take Chicago.

6* MLB *NEVER LOST* CA$H COW on Atlanta Braves -110

The Key: Shelby Miller has been lights out in 2015.  He has gone 5-1 with a 1.33 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in eight starts.  He'll be opposed by Mike Fiers, who is 1-4 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.536 WHIP in eight starts.  If those numbers don't show you that the Braves are the right play today, then this certainly will.  Miller has never lost to the Brewers, going 5-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.102 WHIP in eight lifetime starts against them.  His teams have gone 8-0 in those eight games.  Take Atlanta.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Chicago Cubs -134

The Key: The Cubs are clearly back at 23-17 on the season.  They are real contenders, especially after winning eight of their last 10 games overall.  They have one of the best lineups in baseball, and they have two aces in Jon Lester and Jake Arrieta to carry the pitching staff.  Lester gets the ball tonight against Josh Collmenter and the Diamondbacks.  The left-hander has gone 4-2 with a 3.70 ERA in eight starts this season.  He has been at his best on the road with a 1-0 record and 2.77 ERA in two starts.  Collmenter has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season at 3-5 with a 5.36 ERA.  He has really faltered of late, going 1-2 with an 11.30 ERA and 1.884 WHIP in his last three starts.  Collmenter is 1-4 with a 6.84 ERA and 1.640 WHIP in five home starts this year.  Lester is 15-3 (+10.6 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.  The Cubs are 5-0 in Lester's last five starts.  The Diamondbacks are 4-24 in their last 28 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150.  Arizona is 0-7 in Collmenter's last 7 starts as a home underdog.  Take Chicago.

7* American League GAME OF THE WEEK on Oakland A's +102

The Key: The Oakland A's could not possibly be more undervalued than they are right now due to their 14-28 start to the season.  This team isn't as bad as its record would indicate when you consider that it has so many one-run losses in 2015.  The A's should not be underdogs tonight with the edge they have on the mound.  Jesse Chavez has gone 1-3 in spite of a 2.63 ERA and 1.114 WHIP over five starts and four relief appearances this year.  He'll be opposed by Alex Colome, who is 2-1 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.345 WHIP in four starts for the Rays, including 1-1 with an 8.16 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in his last three.  Oakland is 14-5 in its last 19 vs. AL East foes.  The A's are 7-2 in their last nine meetings with Tampa Bay.  Take Oakland.

6* Dodgers/Giants NL West *Bailout* on OVER 7

The Key: The books have set the number too low in this contest between the rival Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants.  They played a 2-0 game yesterday, which probably had something to do with it, but I expect plenty of runs in Game 2 tonight.  Both Brett Anderson and Tim Lincecum are getting too much respect here for the numbers they have posted in limited action this season.  Well, when facing their respective teams, they haven't been good at all.  Anderson has allowed 7 earned runs over 8 2/3 innings in two starts against San Francisco this season.  Lincecum has given up 11 earned runs in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Los Angeles, failing to make it through the 5th inning in two of those starts.  The OVER is 41-18-4 in Dodgers last 63 games overall.  The OVER is 5-1-2 in Lincecum's last eight starts as a home underdog.  Take the OVER.

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Baltimore Orioles -125

The Key: This is the ultimate Mound Mismatch tonight when the Baltimore Orioles host the Seattle Mariners.  Yet, we are getting the Orioles at a very generous -125 price tonight.  Miguel Gonzalez has been one of the best starters in the AL this season.  He has gone 4-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.139 WHIP in seven starts, including 3-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.882 WHIP in four home starts.  Taijuan Walker somehow has held on to a spot in Seattle's rotation despite being awful.  Walker is 1-4 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.723 WHIP in seven starts, including 1-3 with a 10.91 ERA and 2.193 WHIP in four road starts.  Baltimore is 9-1 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.  Seattle is 1-9 (-9.9 Units) against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season.  Take Baltimore.

7* National League GAME OF THE WEEK on Miami Marlins -121

The Key: I like to back teams that make managerial or coaching changes in that first game.  These changes usually provide a spark for teams, which is exactly what the Marlins need after losing six of their last seven to drop to 16-22 on the season.  They do at least get to face a struggling Arizona Diamondbacks team that has lost four straight and seven of nine overall.  General manager Dan Jennings will be taking over for the fired Mike Redmond.  He'll watch Dan Haren take the mound tonight and continue his solid season up to this point.  Haren is 4-2 with a 3.79 ERA and 1.089 WHIP in seven starts, including 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.824 WHIP in three home starts.  He'll be opposed by Rubby De La Rosa, who is 4-2 with a 4.50 ERA on the season, but only 1-2 with a 5.60 ERA in three road starts.  Haren is 5-2 with a 3.63 ERA in seven lifetime starts versus Arizona.  Miami is 11-2 (+10.3 Units) against the money line after a game without an extra base hit over the last 2 seasons.  The Diamondbacks are 12-40 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  Take Miami.

6* National League *NEVER LOST* CA$H COW on Chicago Cubs -125

The Key: The Chicago Cubs are absolutely rolling right now having won six straight games entering this contest Sunday.  Yet, the oddsmakers continue to undervalue them in listing them as mere -125 home favorites over the Pittsburgh Pirates.  I'll take advantage and back them with the steady Jake Arrieta on the mound.  Arrieta is coming off a career year in 2014, and he has started 2015 brilliantly as well.  The right-hander is 4-3 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.067 WHIP in seven starts this year, including 2-2 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.012 WHIP in four home starts.  Arrieta has never lost to the Pirates, going 4-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in five career starts against them.  His teams are 5-0 in those contests.  Take Chicago.

7* MLB *BLOWOUT* GAME OF THE MONTH on Oakland A's -157

The Key: The Oakland A's have been struggling, having lost eight of their last nine games overall.  However, they have been pretty unlucky this season with so many close losses.  In fact, eight of their last 11 losses have come by exactly one run.  They clearly aren't as bad as their record would indicate, and they certainly will be motivated for a win tonight.  Chicago has won 5 of its last 6, but that run comes to an end tonight.  John Danks is 1-3 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.484 WHIP in six starts for Chicago, including 0-3 with a 7.10 ERA and 1.894 WHIP in three road starts.  He'll be opposed by Jesse Chavez, who has posted a 2.56 ERA and 1.009 WHIP in four starts and four relief appearances for the A's.  Chicago is 1-11 (-10.7 Units) against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.  The White Sox are 1-7 in Danks' last 8 road starts.  The A's are 9-1 in Chavez's last 10 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Take Oakland.

6* American League *Mound Mismatch* on Texas Rangers -118

The Key: Wandy Rodriquez appears to have revived his career in Texas this season.  He has been nothing short of spectacular up to this point, going 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.072 WHIP in four starts.  He'll be opposed by Bruce Chen, who sports a 13.50 ERA and 2.750 WHIP in just one start.  Chen doesn't even belong in the big leagues.  He gave up 6 earned runs and 11 base runners in 4 innings of a 4-7 loss to Minnesota in his first start of 2015.  Plus, Chen is 2-3 with a 7.84 ERA and 1.774 WHIP in six lifetime starts versus Texas.  The Indians are 1-10 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Cleveland is 0-7 in its last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in its previous game.  Take Texas.

6* American League *CA$H COW* on New York Yankees -120

The Key: After losing the past two games to the Rays over the last two days by a combined 3 runs, I look for the New York Yankees to come out motivated for a victory tonight.  I like them to get the win due to their huge advantage on the mound.  Chase Whitley has been a pleasant surprise for the Yankees this season, going 1-1 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in three starts.  That includes a start against Tampa Bay on April 28th in which he allowed just one earned run over 5 innings in a 4-2 victory.  He'll be opposed by Erasmo Ramirez, who is 0-1 with an 8.38 ERA and 1.554 WHIP in 2015.  Ramirez has allowed 18 earned runs in 19 1/3 innings of work this season.  The Yankees are 9-1 in their last 10 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.  New York is 7-1 in its last 8 games following a loss.  The Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Take this combined 22-2 angle backing the Yankees straight to the bank tonight.  Take New York.

6* American League *Mound Mismatch* on Baltimore Orioles -120

The Key: This play certainly lives up to its title as the Baltimore Orioles have a big advantage on the mound tonight.  They will give the ball to Miguel Gonzalez, who is 3-2 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.217 WHIP in six starts, including 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA and 0.919 WHIP in three home starts.  What I really like is the fact that Gonzalez is 6-2 with a 2.64 ERA and 0.978 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts versus Toronto.  Rookie Aaron Sanchez is 3-2 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.547 WHIP in six starts this year, including 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.772 WHIP in three road starts.  Sanchez has faced the Orioles twice already in 2015, coming away with a 5.20 ERA and 2.079 WHIP.  The Orioles are 12-1 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.  Take Baltimore.

6* AL *NEVER LOST* CA$H COW on Tampa Bay Rays -125

The Key: After getting embarrassed 5-11 by the Yankees last night and losing their second straight game, I look for the Tampa Bay Rays to be motivated for a win tonight.  They should have an excellent chance of getting one with ace Chris Archer on the mound.  Archer has been one of the best pitchers in the AL this season.  He has gone 3-4 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.008 WHIP with 50 strikeouts over 41 2/3 innings.  What I really love is the fact that Archer has never lost to the Yankees.  He is 5-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.762 WHIP in six lifetime starts, and the Rays are 6-0 in those outings.  Take Tampa Bay.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (+100)

The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates are feeling good about themselves after taking two out of three from the St. Louis Cardinals over the weekend.  I look for that series to springboard them going forward as they now take on arguably the worst team in baseball in the Philadelphia Phillies (11-21).  The Phillies are only hitting .228 and scoring 2.8 runs per game this season, and it won't get any easier against Pittsburgh ace Gerrit Cole.  The right-hander has gone 4-1 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.149 WHIP in six starts, including 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in three road starts.  Cole is 1-1 with a 2.61 ERA in two career starts against Philadelphia.  He'll be opposed by Jerome Williams, who is 2-2 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.606 WHIP in six starts.  Williams is 1-4 with a 4.37 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in six career starts against Pittsburgh.  Take Pittsburgh on the Run Line.

6* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-108)

The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers have a massive advantage on the mound today.  They'll give the ball to 2014 NL Cy Young and MVP winner, Clayton Kershaw.  The left-hander is 1-2 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in 2015 over six starts.  Kershaw is 14-5 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.149 WHIP in 27 lifetime starts versus Colorado.  The Dodgers have won each of Kershaw's last 6 starts against the Rockies all by 2 runs or more with finals of 7-3, 9-0, 8-0, 6-1, 11-0, and 10-8.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs over 34 innings in his last 5 starts against the Rockies for a minuscule 0.53 ERA.  Jorge De La Rosa is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.000 WHIP through three starts this season, and 5-10 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.511 WHIP in 17 lifetime starts versus Los Angeles.  Kershaw is 20-3 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) since 1997, winning by an average of 3.2 runs per game.  Take Los Angeles.

6* American League *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Indians -132

The Key: The Minnesota Twins are playing well right now having won seven of their last eight games overall.  However, this recent stretch of solid play has all come at home, and it also has them overvalued here as they hit the road for the first time since April 26th.  I'll back the Indians at home, who are hungry for a win after a slow 10-17 start to the season.  I'll also back them because of starting pitcher Trevor Bauer, who is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 29 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings in 2015.  He is quickly cementing himself as a reliable starter on this staff.  Minnesota is 15-42 (-23.0 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better over the last 2 seasons.  The Twins are 4-11 in Pelfrey's last 15 road starts.  Cleveland is 11-5 in Bauer's last 16 home starts.  The Indians are 52-23 in their last 75 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  Take Cleveland.