6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Atlanta Braves -130

The Key: No analysis Friday.

6* Dodgers/Diamondbacks MLB *BAILOUT* on Arizona +144 

The Key: If there’s such a thing as a letdown spot in MLB this would be it.  The Dodgers just swept their 2-game series with the Astros by winning in extra innings last night.  It was sweet revenge for the Dodgers, who felt like they were robbed of a World Series title by the Astros a few years ago due to the cheating scandal.  And we’re getting the Diamondbacks at a great price tonight with Robbie Ray on the mound.  Ray has had great success against the Dodgers, going 8-6 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 21 lifetime starts.  Ross Stripling is 1-2 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts against the Diamondbacks.  Take Arizona. 

7* AL Central Game of the Month on Chicago White Sox -113 

The Key: The White Sox really need a win as they are just 1-4 while the Cleveland Indians are 4-1.  Ace Lucas Giolito is here to the rescue and is the much better starter in this matchup with Zach Plesac.  Giolito is 2-2 with a 3.16 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against Cleveland.  He has pitched 14 2/3 shutout innings in his last 2 starts against them with 17 K’s.  Plesac has never beaten the White Sox, going 0-2 with a 5.25 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against them.  Take Chicago. 

7* National League Game of the Week Pittsburgh Pirates +155

The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates want revenge after blowing a 5-1 lead in the 9th and losing in extras to the Brewers yesterday.  We are getting them at a tremendous price here Tuesday in Game 2 of this series.  Derek Holland has never lost to the Brewers as he is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against them.  Josh Lindblom makes his return to the majors after spending the last few years in Korea.  He is 5-8 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.37 WHP lifetime in the majors.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-120)

The Key: Josh James is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in 7 lifetime appearances against the Mariners.  Kendall Graveman will be making his first appearance since May 11, 2018 for the Mariners.  He went 1-5 with a 7.60 ERA in 2018.  The Astros are hitting .290 and scoring 7.0 RPG through 3 games this season behind one of the best lineups in MLB.  The Mariners are hitting .238 and scoring 3.7 RPG.  Seattle is 10-45 vs. teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 RPG or more over the last 2 years.  It is losing by 2.4 RPG in this situation.  Take Houston on the Run Line.

7* Braves/Mets ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta +102

The Key: The Braves should not be underdogs to the Mets today.  Rick Porcello went 14-12 with a 5.52 ERA with Boston in 2019 and is on the decline.  Sean Newcomb went 6-3 with a 3.16 ERA last year for the Braves.  Newcomb is 2-2 with a 2.75 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against the Mets.  Take Atlanta.

7* Saturday MLB *Total* Annihilator on Pirates/Cardinals UNDER 9.5

The Key: I definitely got robbed on the UNDER 8.5 yesterday in the Cardinals/Pirates game.  It was 3-0 going into the 7th inning and finished with 9 combined runs.  I’m back on the UNDER 9.5 today because the fact remains that these are two of the worst lineups in baseball, especially Pittsburgh.  Adam Wainwright has allowed just 2 earned runs in 13 innings in his final 2 starts against the Pirates in 2019.  Trevor Williams gave up just 2 earned runs in 12 innings in his 2 starts against St. Louis in 2019.  Take the UNDER.

7* Friday MLB *Total* Annihilator on Pirates/Cardinals UNDER 8.5

The Key: The Pirates have arguably the worst lineup in baseball.  They aren’t going to contribute much to this total going up against Jack Flaherty.  Flaherty is 4-1 with a 1.84 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts against the Pirates.  Joe Musgrove appeared to fix some mechanical issues at the end of last season by going 3-0 with a 2.89 ERA with 32 K’s over his final 5 starts of 2019.  The one weakness for the Cardinals is their lineup as it just hasn’t produced the last few years.  They are a perfect ‘under’ team and that will prove to be the case today.  Take the UNDER.

6* Nationals/Astros Game 7 *CA$H COW* on Washington +123 

The Key: The Washington Nationals will improve to 10-0 this postseason in games decided by Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg when they win Game 7 Wednesday night.  Scherzer is 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 starts and 9-2 with a 2.49 ERA in 14 road starts this year.  Zack Greinke is 0-4 with a 5.56 ERA in his last 7 playoff starts and isn’t built to handle this big of a moment.  The Nationals have won 7 straight playoff road games.  The Nationals are 11-1 in their last 12 trips to Houston.  Take Washington. 

7* Nationals/Astros Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington +1.5 (-135) 

The Key: Stephen Strasburg is too good to allow the Astros to beat the Nationals by more than one run tonight, let alone beat him at all.  I think the price is right to pull the trigger on the Nationals on the Run Line here.  Strasburg is 5-2 with a 1.34 ERA in 8 postseason starts lifetime.  Justin Verlander is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA in his last 4 playoff starts this season.  Take Washington. 

6* Astros/Nationals Game 4 *CA$H COW* on Washington -103 

The Key: The Washington Nationals have a big pitching advantage tonight.  They go with Patrick Corbin and will have their best bullpen arms available after none of them pitched last night.  The Astros go with rookie Jose Urquidy and probably won’t have all of their best bullpen arms available after they all pitched last night.  Take Washington. 

7* Astros/Nationals Game 3 *Total* Annihilator on OVER 8 

The Key: Zack Greinke is 0-4 with a 6.14 ERA in his last 6 playoff starts.  Look for him to get rocked again in another high scoring Game 3.  The weather is perfect in Washington DC with little to no wind and 60 degree temps at game time.  Anibal Sanchez has been good this postseason, but he faces a different animal here in this hungry Astros lineup.  The OVER is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games overall.  The OVER is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games overall.  The OVER is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games.  Take the OVER. 

7* Astros/Nationals Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington +1.5 (-132) 

The Key: Stephen Strasburg is the biggest underdog he has ever been in his career tonight.  Only having to lay -132 on him on the +1.5 run line is a gift from the books.  Another game that’s expected to be a pitcher’s duel here and it’s likely this game is decided by one run either way.  Strasburg sports a 1.10 ERA in 7 lifetime postseason appearances with 6 starts.  Justin Verlander is 0-2 with a 5.19 ERA in his last 3 starts.  He has yielded 10 runs and 5 homers in 17 1/3 innings during this stretch.  The Nationals are 90-35 in Strasburg’s last 125 starts and 44-15 in his last 59 road starts.  Take Washington on the Run Line. 

7* Nationals/Astros Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington +1.5 (-115) 

The Key: The total for this game is only 6.5, so oddsmakers are expecting a pitcher’s duel.  And when that’s the case there is a good chance the game is decided by one run either way.  Getting Max Scherzer on the run line here as only a -115 favorite is a great price.  Scherzer has been dominant in the postseason, especially of late while yielding only one run and 5 hits in his last 15 innings pitched for a 0.60 ERA.  The Nationals have won 15 of Scherzer’s last 18 starts.  They have won 6 straight playoff games and couldn’t possibly come into the World Series with any more confidence after coming from behind to win the wild card game and Game 5 of the NLDS over the Dodgers before sweeping the Cardinals with ease.  Take Washington on the Run Line. 

6* Astros/Yankees Game 5 *CA$H COW* on New York +131 

The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Yankees at home underdogs as they try to stave off elimination for one more game.  The Yankees are 54-19 in their last 73 home games, so it’s hard to envision them not winning a single home game in this series.  The Yankees are 6-0 in James Paxton’s last 6 home starts as well.  Paxton is 7-3 with a 3.48 ERA in his 16 home starts this year.  Paxton sports a 3.25 ERA in 15 lifetime starts against the Astros.  Take New York. 

7* MLB Playoffs Game of the Year on New York Yankees -128 

The Key: Masahiro Tanaka beat Zack Greinke in Game 1 to cash in the Yankees as nearly +150 underdogs.  Tanaka will beat Greinke again in Game 4 here and save the Yankees season.  Tanaka is 3-0 with a. 1.00 ERA in his last 3 starts.  Tanaka sports a 1.95 ERA in his last 6 starts against the Astros.  Greinke is 0-4 with a 6.84 ERA in his last 5 postseason starts.  He has yielded 19 runs and 8 homers in 25 innings.  The Yankees have won 54 of their last 72 home games.  Take New York. 

7* Astros/Yankees Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +141 

The Key: If anyone was going to beat Gerrit Cole this season, it would be the Yankees at home.  They are 59-24 at home this year.  And I would argue they are going with their most talented starter tonight in Luis Severino, who had a huge season last year but has been injured most of this year, so he is under the radar.  Severino is 1-1 with a 1.12 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 4 starts this year, and 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in 2 home starts. Severino is also 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Yankees, yielding only 2 earned runs in 16 innings.  The Yankees are 22-3 in home games off a loss this year, and 14-1 in home games after scoring 2 runs or less this year.  Take New York. 

6* Cardinals/Nationals Game 3 *CA$H COW* on St. Louis +123 

The Key: Jack Flaherty gives the Cardinals hope that they can get back in this series.  He takes the ball for Game 3 tonight with the Cardinals trailing 0-2.  Flaherty is 12-9 with a 2.75 ERA in 35 starts this year.  What he has done in the second half of the season has been unmatched and is deserving of Cy Young consideration.  Flaherty sports a 1.13 ERA in his last 18 starts.  He has yielded only 15 runs in 119 innings during this stretch.  Take St. Louis. 

6* Nationals/Cardinals NL *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 8 

The Key: This game sets up perfectly for an UNDER.  Both teams are still hungover from winning Game 5 in the NLCS and the batters will be affected more.  It will take some time for players to get into this series, and the pitchers on both teams will be at an advantage in Game 1.  But the biggest advantage for the pitchers in this one is the fact that temperatures will be in the 40’s for this game in St. Louis Friday night.  Anibal Sanchez sports a 3.48 ERA in 15 road starts this year, and Miles Mikolas sports a 3.01 ERA in 15 home starts.  The UNDER is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 playoff road games.  The UNDER is 35-16 in Cardinals last 51 home games against a right-handed starter.  The UNDER is 9-1-2 in Mikolas’ last 12 starts against a team with a winning record.  The UNDER is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings.  Take the UNDER. 

6* Cardinals/Braves Game 5 *CA$H COW* on Atlanta -102 

The Key: Mike Foltynewicz already squared off with Jack Flaherty once in this series.  Foltynewicz won Game 2 by a final of 3-0 as he fired 7 shoutout innings, while Flaherty gave up 3 runs in his 7 innings.  Foltynewicz now is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Cardinals in 2019 without allowing a single earned run in 13 innings.  He has been pithing well for a couple months now.  Foltynewicz sports a 1.48 ERA in his last 8 starts and has yielded only 8 earned runs in 48 2/3 innings over this time frame.  Flaherty is 1-2 with a 4.18 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against the Braves.  The Cardinals are 1-7 in their last 8 playoff road games.  St. Louis is 1-5 in Flaherty’s last 6 road starts against a team with a winning record.  The Braves are 14-3 in Foltynewicz’s last 17 starts, and 6-0 in his last 6 home starts.  Take Atlanta. 

7* Astros/Rays AL *Total* Annihilator on OVER 7.5 

The Key: The Astros and Rays combined for 13 runs in Game 3.  I think they’ll easily top this 7.5-run total in Game 4 as well.  Justin Verlander is vulnerable tonight as he’ll be pitching on 3 days’ rest for the first time this season.  And Diego Castillo will be the opener in what will be a bullpen game for the Rays.  Castillo is 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 6 starts this year, and 0-0 with a 10.81 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 3 home starts.  Castillo is 11-2 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 years.  The OVER is 4-0 in Astros last 4 playoff road games.  The OVER is 13-3 in Castillo’s last 16 starts.  The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.  Take the OVER. 

6* Yankees/Twins AL *CA$H COW* on Minnesota +138 

The Key: The Minnesota Twins will be determined to avoid the sweep in Game 3 tonight.  They had too good of a season and are too good a team for it to end like that.  They should be able to get to the lightly-used Luis Severino, who has only pitched 12 innings all season due to injury.  The Yankees won’t extend him too long in this game.  Jake Odorizzi is having a great year at 15-7 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 30 starts.  He has actually done pretty well against the Yankees lifetime with a 1.20 WHIP across 17 starts.  Severino has never beaten the Twins as he is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them.  Odorizzi is 10-0 after giving up 2 earned runs or fewer in each of his last 2 outings this season.  The Yankees are 2-10 in their last 12 playoff road games.  The Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 road games against a right-handed starter.  The Twins are 21-6 in Odorizzi’s last 27 starts.  Take Minnesota. 

6* Braves/Cardinals NL *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 8.5 

The Key: Adam Wainwright has been dominant at home this season, and Mike Soroka has been dominant on the road.  I think the price is right to pull the trigger on the UNDER 8.5 here in Game 3 because of it.  Soroka is 7-1 with a 1.55 ERA in 16 road starts.  Wainwright is 9-4 with a 2.56 ERA in 16 home starts.  Wainwright is 8-0 UNDER as a home dog of +100 or higher over the lsat 3 years.  Wainwright is 8-1 UNDER in day games this season.  Take the UNDER. 

6* Nationals/Dodgers NL *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 7.5 

The Key: Runs will be hard to come by again tonight for the Dodgers and Nationals.  These are two elite starting rotations when you have Stephen Strasburg and Clayton Kershaw as your No. 2 starters.  Strasburg is 18-6 with a 3.32 ERA in 33 starts this year.  Kershaw is 16-5 with a 3.10 ERA in 28 starts.  Strasburg sports a 2.66 ERA in 11 lifetime starts against the Dodgers.  Kershaw sports a 2.65 ERA in 18 lifetime starts against the Nationals.  The UNDER is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 games against a left-handed starter.  The UNDER is 17-6-1 in Strasburg’s last 24 road starts against a team with a winning record.  The UNDER is 9-1-1 in Dodgers last 11 playoff home games.  The UNDER is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in Los Angeles.  Take the UNDER. 

6* Nationals/Dodgers NL *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 7.5 

The Key: Runs will be hard to come by between the Dodgers and Nationals with the two starters going tonight.  Pat Corbin is 14-7 with a 3.25 ERA in 33 starts this year.  Corbin is 2-0 with a 0.59 ERA in his last 5 starts against the Dodgers.  Walker Buehler is 14-4 with a 3.26 ERA in 30 starts this year.  Buehler is 6-1 with a 2.86 ERA at home this year.  He sports a 2.92 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Nationals.  He fired 7 shutout innings in his lone home start against the Nationals this year.  The UNDER is 8-1-1 in Dodgers last 10 playoff home games.  The UNDER is 34-13-5 in Dodgers last 52 home games against a team with a winning record.  The UNDER is 11-0-2 in Buehler’s last 13 home starts against a team with a winning record.  Take the UNDER. 

7* Rays/A’s AL *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 7.5 

The Key: Two elite starters go at it tonight followed by two elite bullpens in this wild card game.  The end result will be a pitcher’s duel and UNDER 7.5 combined runs.  Charlotte Morton is 16-6 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 33 starts this year for the Rays.  Morton is 2-1 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts against the A’s, including 1-0 with a 0.68 ERA in 2 starts against them in 2019 while yielding only one earned run in 13 1/3 innings.  Sean Manaea is 4-0 with a 1.21 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in 5 starts this year.  Manaea is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Rays.  The UNDER is 6-0 in A’s last 6 games overall.  The UNDER is 5-0-1 in A’s last 6 playoff home games.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Manaea’s last 6 starts.  The UNDER is 4-1 in Rays’ last 5 games overall.  The UNDER is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Oakland.  Take the UNDER. 

7* Brewers/Nationals NL *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington -174 

The Key: The Nationals come into the postseason with all the momentum and a real chance to win a World Series with their combination of starting pitching, a revamped bullpen and a great lineup.  I expect them to handle their business here in the wild card against the Brewers and improve to 9-0 in their last 9 games overall.  The Brewers are 0-3 in their last 3 games overall, which has to have given their confidence a hit because all 3 were meaningful games in Colorado with the NL Central title at stake.  Max Scherzer sports a 2.92 ERA in 27 starts this year and a 1.80 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against the Brewers.  I trust in him to get the job done over Brandon Woodruff, who has a 4.41 ERA in 9 road starts and a 5.14 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Take Washington. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Pittsburgh Pirates +109 

The Key: The Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games overall and closing the season strong.  I don’t believe they should be home dogs to the Reds today.  Trevor Williams has never lost to the Reds, going 5-0 with a 1.94 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against them.  Tyler Mahle is 2-12 with a 5.42 ERA in 24 starts this year for the Reds and 0-1 with a 9.26 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Mahle has never beaten the Pirates, going 0-3 (0-5 ML) with a 4.61 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them.  Take Pittsburgh. 

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Oakland A’s -1.5 (-123) 

The Key: The A’s can move closer to clinching a wild card with a win over the Mariners on Friday.  The Mariners have lost 4 straight and have scored a combined 2 runs in those 4 games, an average of just 0.5 RPG.  Mike Fiers is 15-4 with a 3.86 ERA in 32 starts for the A’s this year and should shut down the Mariners. Justus Sheffield is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA in 6 starts for the Mariners, and 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in 4 home starts this year.  Fiers is 14-0 against an AL team with an OBP of .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 years.  Fiers is 12-0 as a road favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 years.  The A’s are winning by 3.7 RPG in this situation.  Take Oakland on the Run Line. 

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-117) 

The Key: The Indians are now 1.5 games out of the wild card after losing yesterday.  Due to their advantage on the rubber in this one, they will bounce back in blowout fashion against the Chicago White Sox Thursday night.  Aaron Civale is 3-3 with a 1.82 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 9 starts this year.  Dylan Cease is 4-7 with a 5.67 ERA in 14 starts, and 2-4 with a 6.55 ERA in 7 home starts.  The Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 against a right-handed starter.  Cleveland is 40-11 in its last 51 against a team with a losing record.  Take Cleveland on the Run Line. 

7* AL East Game of the Year on Tampa Bay Rays -142 

The Key: That Tampa Bay Rays are the 2nd wild card right now, but 0.5 games behind the A’s and 0.5 games ahead of the Indians.  They need to keep winning just to get into the postseason.  The Yankees have already clinched the division and aren’t likely to catch the Astros for the top seed.  They don’t need wins right now, and it’s showing.  The Yankees are just 5-5 in their last 10 games overall, while the Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 contests.  The Rays have the clear advantage on the rubber tonight with Charlie Morton, who is 15-6 with a 3.15 ERA in 32 starts, and 7-3 with a 2.75 ERA in 16 home starts.  Jonathan Loaisiga is 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA in 3 starts for the Yankees.  The Yankees are 4-19 as a road dog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 years.  New York is 0-4 in Loaisiga’s last 4 starts.  The Rays are 6-0 in Morton’s last 6 home starts against a team with a winning record.  Take Tampa Bay. 

6* Monday MLB *Total* Annihilator on Marlins/Mets UNDER 8.5 

The Key: I can’t see the Marlins and Mets being able to do much offensively in this game.  Steven Matz is 7-1 with a 1.97 ERA in 13 home starts for the Mets this year.  Caleb Smith has been the Marlins’ best starter, going 9-10 with a 4.12 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 26 starts.  Smith is 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against the Mets.  Matz is 4-3 with a 2.83 ERA in 11 lifetime starts against the Marlins.  The UNDER is 6-1-1 in Mets last 8 games overall.  The UNDER is 7-1-1 in Matz’s last 9 starts against the Marlins.  Take the UNDER. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-160) 

The Key: The Dodgers have a huge advantage over the Rockies on the rubber tonight.  Ace Clayton Kershaw is 14-5 with a 3.10 ERA in 26 starts this year, and 9-2 with a 2.79 ERA in 15 home starts.  Kershaw is 22-8 with a 3.21 ERA in 41 lifetime starts against the Rockies.  Peter Lambert is 3-6 with a 6.98 ERA in 18 starts for Colorado, and 1-1 with a 9.25 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Lambert is 0-1 with an 11.11 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against the Dodgers.  The Rockies are 3-13 in Lambert’s last 16 starts, and 0-7 in his last 7 road starts.  The Dodgers are 92-32 in Kershaw’s last 124 starts, and 45-12 in his last 57 home starts.  Take Los Angeles on the Run Line. 

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-170) 

The Key: The Indians are 17-1 against the Tigers this season with 16 of those 17 wins coming by multiple runs.  Expect more of the same here thanks to their advantage on the rubber tonight.  Mike Clevinger is 11-3 with a 2.68 ERA in 18 starts this year, and 4-1 with a 1.98 ERA in 9 home starts.  Clevinger is 7-2 with a 1.88 ERA in 10 lifetime starts against the Tigers, and 3-0 with a 0.45 ERA in his last 3 starts against them with only one run yielded in 20 innings.  Daniel Norris is 0-1 with a 7.81 ERA in 2 road starts at Cleveland this year.  Norris is 2-5 with a. 4.65 ERA in 16 road starts this season.  Take Cleveland on the Run Line. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-150) 

The Key: The Cleveland Indians are now 16-1 against the Detroit Tigers this season.  They have won 15 straight over the Tigers with all 15 wins coming by at least 2 runs.  The Indians have a huge advantage on the rubber over the Tigers today.  Aaron Civale is 3-3 with a 1.93 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 8 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 1.06 ERA in 3 home starts.  Civale is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA in 2 starts against the Tigers this year.  Spencer Turnbull is 3-15 with a 4.77 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 27 starts for the Tigers, including 0-2 with an 11.11 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Turnbull has never beaten the Indians, going 0-5 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them.  Take Cleveland on the Run Line. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+115) 

The Key: The Chicago Cubs have reeled off 4 straight wins to pull within 2 games of the Cardinals for 1st place in the NL Central.  They just scored a total of 47 runs in their 3-game sweep of the Pirates over the weekend.  To say they are clicking right now offensively would be an understatement.  I’ll back them on the Run Line today at home against the Cincinnati Reds.  Cole Hamels is 3-1 with a 2.66 ERA in 12 home starts this year.  Hamels is 12-2 with a 2.06 ERA in 20 lifetime starts against the Reds, and his teams are 18-2 in those starts.  Kevin Gausman is 3-7 with a 6.19 ERA in 16 starts this year and 1-4 with a 6.82 ERA in 7 road starts.  Gausman is 0-1 with a 12.38 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Cubs.  Take Chicago on the Run Line. 

6* AL West *CA$H COW* on Oakland A’s -119 

The Key: The Oakland A’s have won 4 straight and 9 of their last 11 as they try and hold onto a wild card spot in the American League.  They are hitting the cover off the ball right now with 43 runs scored in their last 4 games. Not even Mike Minor will slow them down today.  I think we’re getting the A’s pretty cheap here.  Mike Fiers is 14-4 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 30 starts this year and has been one of the most profitable pitchers in baseball.  Fiers is 11-0 against an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 years.  The A’s are 8-0 in Fiers’ last 8 starts against a team with a losing record.  The Rangers are 7-20 in their last 27 against a team with a winning record.  Texas is 1-7 in Minor’s last 8 home starts against a team with a winning record.  Take Oakland. 

6* Thursday MLB *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays +141 

The Key: The Boston Red Sox are starting to realize that they have no shot of making the postseason, and they are playing like it.  The Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games overall.  They were held to 1, 0 and 0 runs in 3 of the losses and have only scored a combined 9 runs in those 5 games.  Jhoulys Chacin is 3-10 with a 5.66 ERA in 20 starts this season, 1-9 with a 7.25 ERA in 10 road starts, and 0-1 with an 11.05 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Clay Buchholz is 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA in 3 home starts this year, and 1-2 with a 3.57 ERA in his last 3 starts for the Blue Jays.  Take Toronto. 

7* AL Game of the Month on Cleveland Indians -130 

The Key: The Cleveland Indians are fighting for a wild card in the American League.  There is only 2 games separating 3 teams fighting for 2 spots with the Rays and A’s also in the mix.  The Indians have handled their business against the Angels winning 6-2 and 8-0 in the first two games of this series, and they should sweep it tonight.  The Angels are 4-14 in their last 18 games overall, and they’ve been playing with Mike Trout of late due to injury.  Cleveland starter Adam Plutko is 6-4 with a 4.16 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 16 starts this year.  Los Angeles starter Dillon Peters is 2-2 with a 5.80 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 8 starts.  The Indians are 7-1 in Plutko’s last 8 starts against a team with a losing record.  The Indians are 23-4 in the last 27 meetings.  Take Cleveland. 

7* Interleague Game of the Week on Minnesota Twins -144 

The Key: The Minnesota Twins are hungry to win the AL Central.  The Washington Nationals are kind of stuck in no man’s land right now as they are likely to get the 1st wild card, but they can’t win the division.  The Nationals have lost 4 of their last 5 games coming in.  Jose Berrios is the better starter in this matchup with a 3.78 ERA in 28 starts this year, and a 3.62 ERA in 12 home starts.  Anibal Sanchez has a 4.11 ERA in 26 starts for the Nationals.  He gave up 7 runs and 3 homers in 5 innings of a 4-8 loss to the Mets in his last turn.  The Twins are 51-17 in their last 68 games against a starter with a WHIP of greater than 1.30.  The Twins are 40-16 in their last 56 games off a loss.  Take Minnesota. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -140 

The Key: The Cubs are desperately trying to hang on to the 2nd wild card spot in the National League.  They have 3 teams within 2 games of them.  They need this series in San Diego, and it starts with Game 1 tonight.  The Cubs should win with ease thanks to their advantage on the rubber.  Kyle Hendricks is 9-9 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 26 starts this year.  Hendricks is 5-2 with a 2.98 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts against the Padres.  Cal Quantrill is 0-3 with an 11.15 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in his last 3 starts.  The Padres are 2-10 in their last 12 games against a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15.  The Padres are 8-20 in their last 28 against a team with a winning record.  The Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 meetings in San Diego.  Take Chicago. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-130) 

The Key: Jack Flaherty is one of the best starters in baseball.  He is 9-7 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 28 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 0.90 ERA and 0.60 WHIP in his last 3 starts.  But he has been dominant for months now.  Flaherty is 5-2 with a 0.90 ERA in his last 11 starts, yielding just 7 earned runs in 70 1/3 innings.  James Marvel will be making his major league debut for the Pirates today and it won’t go well for him against his hot Cardinals team.  Flaherty is 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against Pittsburgh.  The Cardinals are 36-17 in their last 53 games overall.  The Pirates are 8-18 in their last 26 home games.  Take St. Louis on the Run Line. 

6* NL Central *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -140 

The Key: The Cardinals are coming off a rare loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates in which they let the game get away from them late.  The Cardinals are still 21-7 in their last 28 games overall and should bounce back today with a win.  Steven Brault is 0-0 with a 7.94 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in 4 previous starts against the Cardinals.  Adam Wainwright is 17-7 with a 3.99 ERA in 37 previous starts against the Pirates.  The Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss.  St. Louis is 23-5 in Wainwright’s last 28 Saturday starts.  The Cardinals are 52-16 in Wainwright’s last 68 starts against a team with a losing record.  Take St. Louis. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-136) 

The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games overall and have scored a total of 28 runs in their last 3 games.  They are now 55-18 at home this season and winning by 2.1 RPG on average.  The Giants are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall and have fallen out of playoff contention.  Clayton Kershaw is 9-1 with a 2.62 ERA in 14 home starts this year.  Kershaw is 23-11 with a 1.66 ERA in 46 lifetime starts against the Giants.  The Dodgers are 45-11 in Kershaw’s last 56 home starts.  Take Los Angeles on the Run Line. 

6* Cubs/Brewers NL Central *CA$H COW* on Chicago -112 

The Key: The Cubs have a big advantage on the rubber tonight over the Brewers.  Jose Quintana is 2-1 with a 2.16 ERA in his last 3 starts and 4-3 with a 3.88 ERA in 12 road starts this year.  Chase Anderson is 5-4 with a 4.58 ERA in 22 starts, but 1-2 with an 11.92 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Quintana is 8-4 with a 2.65 ERA in 16 lifetime starts against the Brewers.  Anderson yielded 5 runs and 2 homers in 4 innings of a 1-7 loss to the Cubs on August 30th in his last start.  The Cubs are 9-2 in Quintana’s last 11 starts.  The Cubs are 7-0 in Quintana’s last 7 starts against NL Central teams.  The Cubs are 5-1 in Quintana’s last 6 road starts against the Brewers.  Take Chicago. 

7* NL West Game of the Week on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-144) 

The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored 21 runs in the first 2 games of this series with the Rockies while covering the Run Line both times.  Expect more of the same tonight thanks to their advantage on the mound once again in this contest.  Hyun-Jin Ryu is the favorite to win the Cy Young as he’s 12-5 with a 2.46 ERA in 25 starts, including 9-1 with a 1.54 ERA in 12 home starts.  Antonio Senzatela is 8-9 with a 6.95 ERA in 20 starts for the Rockies, including 0-3 with a 20.25 ERA in his last 3 starts while yielding 18 earned runs in 8 innings.  The Dodgers are 54-18 at home this season and winning by 2.1 RPG.  Ryu is 21-3 as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 3 years with the Dodgers winning by 2.8 RPG.  Take Los Angeles on the Run Line. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-146) 

The Key: The Dodgers just hung 16 runs on the Rockies yesterday as Colorado had to throw a position player to the mound at the end of the game.  Now the Dodgers have another big advantage over the Rockies on the rubber tonight.  Julio Urias is 1-1 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 6 starts this year, including 1-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Chi Chi Gonzalez is 0-5 with a 7.57 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in 8 starts this year, including 0-2 with an 11.45 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Colorado is 2-15 in road games off a loss by 4 runs or more while losing by 3.6 RPG.  The Dodgers are 53-18 at home this season.  Take Los Angeles on the Run Line. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-150) 

The Key: Big advantage for the Dodgers on the rubber tonight over the Rockies.  Walker Buehler is 11-3 with a 3.03 ERA in 25 starts this year.  He is 5-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in 12 home starts as well.  Buehler is 3-1 with a 2.98 ERA in 9 lifetime starts against the Rockies.  Peter Lambert is 2-5 with a 6.63 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 15 starts for the Rockies this year.  Lambert sports a 7.45 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against the Dodgers, both of which have come this season.  The Dodgers are 52-18 at home this year while winning by 2.1 RPG on average.  Colorado is 2-14 in road games off a loss by 4 runs or more this year, losing by 3.4 RPG.  Take Los Angeles on the Run Line. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-138) 

The Key: The Washington Nationals are the hottest team in baseball.  They’ve been playing well for months, but in particular of late as they are 15-3 in their last 18 games overall with 12 of those wins coming by 2 runs or more.  Expect more of the same today with Pat Corbin getting the ball.  Corbin is 6-2 with a 1.83 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 13 home starts this year.  Corbin is 3-1 with a 3.15 ERA in 9 lifetime starts against Miami, including 2-0 with a 0.78 ERA in 3 starts against the Marlins in 2019, yielding only 2 earned runs in 23 innings.  Caleb Smith is coming off 2 terrible starts in a row where he yielded 10 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings.  Smith is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Nationals.  Take Washington on the Run Line. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-143) 

The Key: The Washington Nationals are 7-1 in their last 8 games overall and have won 6 of those contests by 2 runs or more.  Stephen Strasburg is clearly the better starter in this matchup.  He is 15-5 with a 3.63 ERA in 27 starts this year, including 1-0 with a 2.89 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Strasburg is 20-7 with a 2.86 ERA in 34 lifetime starts against the Marlins.  Pablo Lopez is 2-4 with a 6.81 ERA in 7 road starts this year for the Marlins.  Lopez is 0-1 with an 8.16 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against the Nationals.  Miami is 0-13 in August road games this year and losing by 3.4 RPG on average.  Take Washington on the Run Line. 

6* AL West *CA$H COW* on Texas Rangers -107 

The Key: The Texas Rangers are cheap at home tonight.  They host the Seattle Mariners, who are 28-38 on the road this year, while the Rangers are 38-28 at home.  Kolby Alred is a nice young talent who is 2-0 with a 4.64 ERA in 4 starts with 23 strikeouts in 21 1/3 innings.  Marco Gonzalez is 14-10 with a 4.17 ERA in 28 starts for the Mariners this year.  Gonzalez has yielded 8 runs in 11 innings in his last 2 starts against Texas this year.  The Mariners are 9-27 in their last 36 road games against a team with a winning home record.  The Rangers are 8-3 in their last 11 home meetings with the Mariners.  Take Texas. 

6* Padres/Giants MLB *BAILOUT* on San Francisco +114 

The Key: The Giants desperately need to get hot here over the last month if they want to make the postseason.  They did a good job of making a run prior to the trade deadline to put themselves in position.  Dereck Rodriquez sports a 4.43 ERA in his 4 home starts this year.  Rodriquez is 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Padres.  Chris Paddack is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in his last 3 starts as he is struggling down the stretch in his first full season as a starter.  The Giants had yesterday off, while the Padres played the Dodgers yesterday, so the home team has a rest advantage also.  The Padres are 2-7 in Paddack’s last 9 road starts.  The Giants are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.  Take San Francisco. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-117) 

The Key: The Cleveland Indians are 3.5 games of the Twins in the AL Central.  They need to continue their dominance of the Tigers to close the gap.  They did just that yesterday with a 10-1 victory.  They are now 53-17 in the last 70 meetings, including 13-1 in 14 meetings with the Tigers this season.  This should be a blood bath considering the advantage the Indians have on the rubber.  Aaron Civale sports a 1.82 ERA in 5 starts this year.  Jordan Zimmerman sports an 8.18 ERA in 7 home stats.  Zimmerman has never beaten the Indians, going 0-6 with a 10.68 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against them.  Take Cleveland on the Run Line. 

7* AL Central Game of the Month on Cleveland Indians -148 

The Key: The Cleveland Indians are 3.5 games back of the Twins in the AL Central.  They need to continue their dominance of the Tigers to close the gap.  The Indians are 52-17 in the last 69 meetings, including 12-1 in 13 meetings with the Tigers this season.  Adam Plutko is 5-3 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 13 starts this year.  Spencer Turnbull is 3-12 with a 4.05 ERA in 23 starts, 0-7 with a 4.19 ERA in 12 home starts, and 0-3 with a 6.43 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Detroit is 1-14 in home games against a starter with a. WHIP of 1.20 or better this year.  Cleveland is 17-1 against an AL team that scored 3.9 RPG or fewer this season.  Take Cleveland. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Philadelphia Phillies -125 

The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies are battling for a wild card spot in the National League.  The Pittsburgh Pirates are 11-30 in their last 41 games overall.  These are two teams headed in opposite directions.  Jason Vargas is 3-2 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 11 home starts this year.  Joe Musgrove is 8-12 with a 4.94 ERA in 26 starts for the Pirates, including 0-2 with a 5.10 ERA in his last 3 outings.  The Phillies are 12-5 in their last 17 games off a loss.  The Pirates are 16-40 in their last 56 road games against a left-handed starter.  The Phillies are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.  Take Philadelphia. 

7* Nationals/Cubs NL *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago +119 

The Key: The Chicago Cubs do not want swept at home by the Nationals.  This is their chance to salvage the series and I like the price we are getting on them as home underdogs.  The Cubs are 44-21 at home this season and are rarely home dogs.  Cole Hamels is 17-9 with a 2.69 ERA in 38 lifetime starts against the Nationals.  Hamels is 3-0 with a 2.56 ERA in 10 home starts this year.  Take Chicago. 

6* Braves/Mets NL East *CA$H COW* on New York -105 

The Key: The Mets will be hungry following a rare home loss in extra innings yesterday to the Braves.  The Mets are now 14-3 in their last 17 home games and we are getting them at a cheap price tonight.  Atlanta starter Max Fried has a 4.57 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 12 road starts this year.  Zack Wheeler comes in pitching very well for the Mets, going 2-1 with a 2.88 ERA in his last 4 outings.  Wheeler is 6-5 with a 3.78 ERA in 13 lifetime starts against the Braves.  The Mets are 8-0 in home games off a loss by 2 runs or less this season.  Take New York. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-125) 

The Key: The Astros are cheap on the run line tonight considering the advantage they have on the rubber over the Angels tonight.  Zack Greinke is 13-4 with a 3.00 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 26 starts this year.  He’ll be opposed by Jose Suarez, who is 2-4 with a 6.57 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 11 starts this year, and 0-3 with a 10.22 ERA and 2.03 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  The Angels are 0-4 in Suarez’s last 4 starts.  The Astros are 40-13 in their last 53 Game 1’s.  The Astros are 44-21 in the last 65 meetings, and 7-1 in the last 8 home meetings.  Take Houston on the Run Line. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-130) 

The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays have actually been a lot better on the road than at home this year.  They are 40-23 on the highway in 2019.  They should win by multiple runs tonight over the Baltimore Orioles thanks to their advantage on the rubber.  Ryan Yarbrough is 3-2 with a 2.76 ERA and 0.71 WHIP in 7 starts this year, and 3-0 with a 1.14 ERA and 0.51 WHIP in 3 road starts.  Asher Wojciechowski is 2-6 with a 4.84 ERA in 9 starts, and 0-2 with a 6.28 ERA in his last 3 outings.  He yielded 4 runs in 5 1/3 innings of a 3-6 loss to the Rays in his only lifetime start against them back on July 2nd.  Baltimore is 1-21 after allowing 3 runs or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.  It is losing by 4.0 RPG in this situation.  Take Tampa Bay on the Run Line. 

7* Interleague Game of the Week on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-170) 

The Key: Instead of laying -350 plus to back the Dodgers on the money line we’ll take them -170 on the run line and save nearly 200 points of juice.  They exploded for 16 runs on the Blue Jays yesterday and not face an opener in Wilmer Font who has a 5.61 ERA in 4 road starts this year.  Walker Buehler is 10-3 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 23 starts this year for the Dodgers, and 5-0 with a 2.33 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in 11 home starts.  The Blue Jays are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games against a right-handed starter.  The Dodgers are 44-12 in their last 56 home games.  There’s better than a -170 chance of the Dodgers winning this game by 2 runs or more.  Take Los Angeles on the Run Line. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+100) 

The Key: The Chicago Cubs have a big advantage on the rubber tonight over the San Francisco Giants.  Cole Hamels is 6-4 with a 3.69 ERA in 20 starts this year, and 2-0 with a 2.35 ERA in 9 home starts.  Tyler Beede is 3-6 with a 5.74 ERA in 15 starts, including 3-3 with a 6.11 ERA in 9 road starts.  Beede faced the Cubs on July 24th and yielded 4 runs, 3 homers and 11 base runners in 5 2/3 innings of a 1-4 loss.  Beede is 0-4 with a 6.32 ERA in his last 6 starts overall having yielded 8 homers in 31 1/3 innings with opponents hitting .321 against him.  Chicago is 21-3 in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 over the last 2 seasons and winning by 2.9 RPG.  The Giants are 0-5 in Beede’s last 5 starts.  The Cubs are 6-0 in Hamels’ last 6 home starts against a team with a winning record.  Take Chicago on the Run Line. 

7* NL Central Game of the Month on St. Louis Cardinals -112 

The Key: The Cardinals are cheap at home tonight.  Dakota Hudson is 11-6 with a 3.84 ERA in 24 starts, 4-2 with a 3.60 ERA in 11 home starts, and 1-1 with a 3.29 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Zach Davies is 8-5 with a 3.74 ERA in 23 starts this year, but 0-3 with an 11.77 ERA in his last 3 outings, which required a trip to the DL.  Now he makes his first start back off the DL and will be on a pitch count.  Davies is 0-2 with a 7.53 ERA in his last 4 starts against the Cardinals, yielding 17 earned runs in 20 1/3 innings.  Hudson is 10-0 when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.  Take St. Louis. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-120) 

The Key: The Houston Astros have lost 5 straight and are hungry for a win Sunday.  They don’t want to get swept by the Oakland A’s and want to salvage this series with a Game 4 victory.  They should do just that thanks to their advantage on the rubber.  Zack Greinke is 12-4 with a 3.08 ERA in 25 starts this year, including 7-3 with a 2.86 ERA in 14 road starts.  Greinke is 6-2 with a 3.18 ERA in 12 lifetime starts against the A’s.  Brett Anderson is 4-5 with a 4.65 ERA in 11 home starts this year.  Anderson is 1-4 with a 7.04 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against the Astros.  Anderson is 1-9 in home games against a team that outscores their opponent by one or more runs per game in his career.  His teams are losing by 3.6 RPG on average in this situation.  Take Houston on the Run Line. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-166) 

The Key: The Boston Red Sox have won 3 straight and have outscored their last 2 opponents 14-2.  The Red Sox will win this game over the hapless Orioles by multiple runs again tonight.  Eduardo Rodriquez is 13-5 with a 4.33 ERA in 24 starts and 6-1 with a 3.96 ERA in 10 home starts.  Rodriquez is 8-5 with a 3.60 ERA in 15 lifetime starts against the Orioles, including 5-0 with a 1.74 ERA in his last 5 starts against them with all 5 wins coming by 2 runs or more.  Asher Wojciechowski is 2-5 with a 4.91 ERA in 8 starts for the Orioles this year.  Take Boston on the Run Line. 

7* NL Central Game of the Month on Cincinnati Reds -138 

The Key: Luis Castillo is having a Cy Young worthy season and will shut down the Cardinals tonight.  Castillo is 11-4 with a 2.76 ERA in 24 starts this year, and 7-3 with a 2.45 ERA in 15 home starts.  Castillo sports a 3.11 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against the Cardinals, and he’s 2-0 with a 0.96 ERA in his last 3 starts against them while yielding 2 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings.  Adam Wainwright is 2-6 with a 6.79 ERA in 11 road starts this year.  Wainwright has a 5.42 ERA in 26 lifetime starts against the Reds, and he yielded 7 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in his last start at Cincinnati on July 19th.  Take Cincinnati. 

7* Astros/A’s AL West *BAILOUT* on Oakland +111 

The Key: The Oakland A’s should not be home dogs to the Houston Astros today.  The Astros have gone 1-3 in their last 4 games overall while losing as -450, -355 and -350 favorites.  The A’s have the clear advantage on the rubber tonight with Mike Fiers, who is 11-3 with a 3.18 ERA in 24 starts, including 7-1 with a 1.92 ERA in 3 home starts.  Fiers has limited the Astros to only 4 earned runs in 14 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts against them this season.  Aaron Sanchez is 5-14 with a 5.60 ERA in 25 starts this year, including 2-8 with a 6.41 ERA in 13 road starts.  Sanchez is also 1-2 with a 5.71 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against the A’s.  Take Oakland. 

7* Interleague *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Diego Padres -105 

The Key: The Padres will be hungry to avoid the sweep after losing the first 2 games of this series to the Tampa Bay Rays.  And now they have the advantage on the rubber in Game 3 today.  Cal Quantrill is 3-3 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 11 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 3.16 ERA in 7 home starts.  Quantrill is 2-1 with a 1.56 ERA in his last 3 outings as well.  Tampa Bay starter Jalen Beeks is 0-1 with an 11.04 ERA in his 2 starts this year.  Take San Diego. 

7* Interleague Game of the Month on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-144) 

The Key: The Cardinals have won 3 straight and have scored 20 runs in the 3 wins.  They take on a Royals team that is 4-12 in their last 16 games overall.  The Cardinals have a big advantage on the rubber tonight with Jack Flaherty, who is 5-6 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 23 starts this year.  Flaherty is 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 0.60 WHIP in his last 3 starts while yielding just 2 earned runs in 20 innings with 28 strikeouts.  Glenn Sparkman is 3-6 with a 5.96 ERA in 13 starts this year, including 0-2 with a 10.56 ERA in his last 3 starts, yielding 18 earned runs and 6 homers in 15 1/3 innings.  The Cardinals are 37-15 in their last 52 against a team that wins less than 40% of their games.  The Royals are 2-12 in their last 14 interleague home games.  Kansas City is 1-5 in Sparkman’s last 6 starts.  Take St. Louis on the Run Line. 

7* Red Sox/Indians ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland +106 

The Key: Two teams headed in opposite directions square off in Cleveland Monday night on ESPN.  The Indians are 36-15 in their last 51 games overall and have moved into a tie for first place with the Twins in the AL Central.  The Red Sox are 3-11 in their last 14 games overall to fall 7.5 games back in the wild card and are almost assuredly missing out on the playoffs now.  Zach Plesac isn’t getting the respect he deserves as a home dog to the Red Sox here.  Plesac is 6-3 with a 3.25 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 13 starts this year, including 4-1 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 7 home starts.  Eduardo Rodriquez has a 4.38 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 13 road starts for the Red Sox this season.  Plesac held the Red Sox to one run in 5 1/3 innings at Fenway Park back on May 28th in his only lifetime start against them.  The Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.  Boston is 0-8 in its last 8 against a team with a winning record.  The Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 home games against a left-handed starter.  The Indians are 6-0 in Plesac’s last 6 starts overall and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts.  Take Cleveland. 

7* Phillies/Giants ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco -103 

The Key: The Phillies are just 1-4 in their last five games overall and have scored only 6 runs in the 4 losses.  Talented rookie Conner Menez should shut them down today as well.  Jake Arrieta has been below average this season at 8-8 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 23 starts.  He is pitching through injury and just hasn’t been right of late.  He hasn’t made it out of the 6th inning in any of his last 6 starts.  The Phillies are 6-14 in their last 20 road games against a left-handed starter.  Philadelphia is 1-5 in its last 6 road meetings with the Giants.  Take San Francisco. 

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -144 

The Key: The Red Sox aren’t dead yet.  They’ve rebounded nicely by winning the last two days and outscoring the Angels 19-4 in the process.  The Angels have basically given up at this point as they are currently in the midst of an 8-game losing streak.  Andrew Heaney is 1-3 with a 5.09 ERA in 9 starts this year and will get lit up by the Red Sox today.  Heaney has a 6.97 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Red Sox as well.  Take Boston. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-155) 

The Key: The Astros have won 9 of their last 10 all by 2 runs or more.  They now face the Orioles, who were just swept by the Yankees and outscored 12-32 in the process.  Wade Miley has a 3.05 ERA on the season and a 1.89 ERA in his last 3 starts.  He is a much better starter than Dylan Bundy, who has a 5.15 ERA on the season and a 5.89 ERA at home.  Bundy is 1-18 against teams that score 4.9 RPG or more over the last 2 years.  Take Houston on the Run Line. 

7* AL East Game of the Month on New York Yankees -1.5 (-125) 

The Key: The New York Yankees are riding an 8-game winning streak after their 14-2 beat down of the Orioles Wednesday night.  They have hit at least 5 home runs in 3 straight games and are playing with all kinds of confidence.  Domingo German is 10-0 against teams that steal 0.5 or fewer bases per game this season.  The Yankees are winning by 4.9 RPG in this situation.  German is 9-0 against division opponents this season with the Yankees winning by 4.6 RPG.  German is 13-2 with a 4.06 ERA in 18 starts, while Thomas Pannone is 0-3 with a 9.28 ERA in 5 starts for the Blue Jays.  Take New York on the Run Line. 

7* Interleague *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-175) 

The Key: We’ll lay the Astros on the Run Line today.  They’re playing too well and have too big of an advantage on the rubber tonight to not win by at least 2 runs.  Gerrit Cole is the Cy Young winner if the season ended today.  He is 13-5 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 24 starts with 216 strikeouts in 150 2/3 innings.  Cole is 4-1 with a 2.39 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against the Rockies.  Peter Lambert is 2-2 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 10 starts this year.  Lambert is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in one lifetime start against the Astros, which came on July 3rd.  The Rockies are 8-22 in their last 30 games overall.  The Rockies are 3-11 in their last 14 road games.  Colorado is 1-7 in Lambert’s last 8 starts.  The Astros are 23-5 in Cole’s last 28 home starts.  The Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 games overall with all 8 wins coming by 2 runs or more.  Take Houston on the Run Line. 

7* Interleague *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cincinnati Reds -140 

The Key: The Reds come in playing well at 7-3 in their last 10 games overall.  The Angels appear to have given up after losing 5 of 7 recently to the Tigers and Orioles of all teams.  The Angles are now 2-9 in their last 11 games overall.  Big advantage goes to the Reds on the rubber tonight . Anthony Desclafini is 4-3 with a 2.94 ERA in 9 home starts this year.  Jose Suarez is 2-2 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 9 starts for the Angels, and he has a 5.70 ERA in 5 road starts.  The Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.  Take Cincinnati. 

7* Nationals/Giants National League *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -120 

The Key: The San Francisco Giants have the clear advantage on the rubber tonight over the Washington Nationals.  Jeff Samardzija is 8-8 with a 3.75 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 22 starts this year, and 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 5 of his last 6 starts.  Erick Fedde is 1-2 with a. 4.98 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 9 starts this year, including 0-1 with a 7.24 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  The Giants are 21-9 in their last 30 games overall.  San Francisco is 9-1 in its last 10 games off a loss.  The Giants are 5-1 in Samardzija’s last 6 starts.  The Nationals are 1-5 in Fedde’s last 6 road starts.  Take San Francisco. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Washington Nationals -153 

The Key: Big advantage on the rubber today for the Nationals over the Diamondbacks.  Patrick Corbin is 9-5 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 22 starts this year with 159 strikeouts in 136 1/3 innings.  Corbin has been really spectacular of late, going 4-0 with a 1.75 ERA in his last 8 starts while yielding only 10 earned runs in 51 innings.  Taylor Clarke is 4-3 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 12 starts this year, and 2-2 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 5 home starts.  The Nationals are 7-1 in Corbin’s last 8 starts.  The Diamondbacks are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win.  Take Washington. 

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -130 

The Key: The Nationals have been on a tear for months and are closing in on the Braves in the NL East.  Stephen Strasburg has been a big reason for their success.  Strasburg went 5-0 with a 1.43 ERA in July and has 53 strikeouts against 10 walks during a seven-game winning streak.  The Diamondbacks were sellers at the deadline and it’s showing as they are 1-4 in their last 5 games.  Robbie Ray has never beaten the Nationals, going 0-5 with a 6.52 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against them.  Take Washington. 

7* MLB Total of the Month on Cubs/Cardinals UNDER 8.5 

The Key: The UNDER is 8-1 in the last nine meetings between the Cubs and Cardinals in St. Louis.  The UNDER is 22-6 in Cardinals last 28 home games.  The UNDER is 4-0-1 in Flaherty’s last 5 starts.  The UNDER is 11-2-1 in Cubs last 14 games overall.  Lester has a 2.78 ERA in 22 lifetime starts against the Cardinals.  Flaherty has a 3.20 ERA in 11 home starts this year.  Take the UNDER. 

7* Interleague Game of the Week on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-120) 

The Key: The Twins score 6.1 RPG on the road this season while the Marlins score just 3.4 RPG against right-handers.  Jose Berrios has a 2.95 ERA in 21 starts this year, while Sandy Alcantara has a 4.18 ERA in 20 starts.  This has the feel of a blowout in favor of the Twins, who are hungry to hold off the Indians in the AL Central.  Take Minnesota on the Run Line. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cincinnati Reds -136 

The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates have dropped 9 straight and are just 2-15 in their last 17 games overall.  The Reds should be heavier favorites today in this matchup.  Tanner Roark has been one of the more underrated starters in baseball over the last few years.  Roark is 6-6 with a 3.95 ERA in 20 starts this year.  He has yielded only 5 earned runs in 12 innings in his last 2 starts against the Pirates.  Joe Musgrove is 7-9 with a 4.53 ERA in 21 starts this year.  Take Cincinnati. 

7* Braves/Nationals NL East *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington -145 

The Key: The Nationals need to gain ground on the Braves in this series.  It starts with Game 1 and their clear advantage on the rubber tonight.  Pat Corbin is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 8-5 with a 3.25 EAR and 1.15 WHIP in 21 starts with 151 strikeouts in 130 1/3 innings.  Corbin is 5-1 with a 1.68 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in 10 home starts.  Corbin is 4-1 with a 2.03 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against the Braves.  Dallas Keuchel is 2-2 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 4 road starts this year for Atlanta.  Keuchel has never beaten the Nationals, going 0-2 (0-4 ML) with a 4.70 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them.  The Nationals are 9-2 in their last 11 Game 1’s.  The Nationals are 6-0 in Corbin’s last 6 home starts.  Take Washington. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Mets -126 

The Key: Big advantage for the New York Mets on the rubber today over the Pittsburgh Pirates.  Jason Vargas is 2-2 with a 1.83 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 7 home starts this year.  Chris Archer is 0-3 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 8 road starts.  The Mets are 9-4 in their last 13 games with wild card aspirations, while the Pirates are 2-13 in their last 15 games overall with nothing to play for.  The Mets are 5-0 in Vargas’ last 5 home starts against a team with a losing record.  Take New York. 

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-110) 

The Key: The Minnesota Twins are staking advantage of the schedule lightening up.  They are crushing the White Sox in this series 10-3 and 6-2 to take the first 2 games.  I don’t see them letting up here against a White Sox team that is just 3-12 in their last 15 games overall.  The Twins are 23-7 in their last 30 road games against a team with a losing record.  Martin Perez is 7-3 with a 4.10 ERA in 17 starts this year.  Ivan Nova is 5-9 with a 5.49 ERA in 21 starts for the White Sox, and 2-4 with a 6.02 ERA in 9 home starts.  Nova is 0-2 with a 7.15 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Twins while yielding 3 homers and 9 runs in 11 2/3 innings.  He has already given up 23 homers this season compared to 11 for Perez.  Chicago is 3-18 in Saturday home games over the last 2 seasons.  Take Minnesota on the Run Line. 

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -120 

The Key: The Indians are now 18 games over .500 after going 16-4 in their last 20 games overall.  They only trail the Twins by 2 games in the AL Central now after trailing by more than 10 games a few months ago.  So they have a lot to play for here, while the Royals do not.  And the Indians are cheap considering they have the advantage on the rubber too.  Zach Please is 4-3 with a 3.67 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 10 starts this year.  Jake Junis is 6-8 with a. 4.83 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 21 starts, including 3-4 with a. 5.37 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 11 home starts.  Junis is 3-4 with a. 5.30 ERA in 9 lifetime starts against the Indians.  Take Cleveland. 

7* AL Central Game of the Week on Minnesota Twins -149 

The Key: The Twins feel the Indians breathing down their necks.  Fortunately, they now have an easy schedule moving forward after playing a tough schedule prior to this stretch.  They just beat the White Sox 10-3 last night and they should crush them again Friday.  The White Sox are just 3-11 in their last 14 games overall and out of contention in the division now.  Chicago starter Dylan Cease is 1-2 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in his 3 starts this year.  Michael Pineda is 2-1 with a 2.31 ERA in his last 4 starts coming in.  He has allowed exactly one earned run in five of his last seven starts.  The Twins are 22-7 in their last 29 road games against a team with a losing record.  Take Minnesota. 

6* American League *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay Rays -129 

The Key: This one is pretty simple.  The Rays are 58-47 and in contention for a wild card berth.  The Blue Jays are 39-65 and out of contention.  I believe the Rays are cheap given their motivational advantage, and the fact that they have a very easy schedule coming up now after just facing the Yankees and Red Sox.  The Blue Jays won’t offer much resistance.  Jacob Waguespack is 0-0 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 2 starts for Toronto.  Take Tampa Bay. 

7* AL Central Game of the Month on Cleveland Indians -141 

The Key: The Indians are 20-7 in their last 27 games overall, including 8-1 in their last 9 road games.  They are surging right now and should be a bigger favorite here over the Kansas City Royals.  Adam Plutko is 3-2 with a 4.30 ERA and 0.98 WHUIP in 8 starts this year, and 1-0 with a. 3.48 ERA in 2 road starts.  Plutko has yielded only 2 earned runs in 11 innings for a 1.64 ERA in his 2 starts against the Royals in 2019.  Mike Montgomery was rocked for 5 earned runs in 2 innings on July 19th in his first and only start this season.  Now the Indians get to face him again less than a week later.  The Indians are 39-19 in the last 58 meetings.  Take Cleveland. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Texas Rangers -136 

The Key: The Texas Rangers have the advantage over the Seattle Mariners on the rubber today.  Mike Minor has a 2.86 ERA in 20 starts this year.  Minor is 20 with a 2.08 ERA in his 2 starts against the Mariners this season.  Mike Leake is 0-2 with a 9.98 ERA in 3 starts against the Rangers this year.  The Mariners have lost 16 of their last 20 games coming in.  The Rangers are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.  Take Texas. 

7* AL West Game of the Week on Houston Astros -153 

The Key: The Houston Astros have won 6 straight coming in and are really grabbing a stranglehold on the AL West.  Going 8-1 against the A’s this season has certainly helped their cause as they simply have their number.  There’s no reason to believe the A’s will win this game, either.  Wade Miley is 8-4 with a 3.25 ERA in 20 starts this year, including 4-1 with a 1.86 ERA in 8 home starts.  Miley is 5-2 with a 1.61 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against the A’s.  Mike Fiers is 3-2 with a 5.57 ERA in 10 road starts this season.  Fiers is 1-2 with a 6.15 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against the Astros.  Houston is 15-1 in home games against a team that slugs .440 or better this season.  Miley is 9-0 as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season, and 12-1 as a favorite of -110 or higher this year.  Take Houston. 

7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Houston Astros -1.5 (-118) 

The Key: The Houston Astros have won 5 straight while scoring at least 4 runs in 9 of their last 10 games overall.  They make it 6 in a row tonight behind Gerrit Cole, who is 10-5 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 21 starts this year with 194 strikeouts in 129 2/3 innings.  Cole is 7-2 with a 2.94 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 11 home starts this season.  Cole is 3-1 with a. 3.30 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts against the A’s.  Homer Bailey is 8-6 with a 4.69 ERA in 19 starts this season.  Bailey is 3-18 against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.  Houston is 19-3 at home against AL teams that score 4.9 RPG or more this season.  The Astros are 22-5 in Cole’s last 27 home starts.  Take Houston on the Run Line. 

7* AL West Game of the Month on Los Angeles Angels -127 

The Key: The Angels are licking their chops at the chance to face Yusei Kikuchi again today.  Kikuchi is 1-2 with a 10.91 ERA in 4 starts against the Angeles this season.  The Mariners are 3-14 in their last 17 games overall and having difficulty finding reasons to be motivated.  The Angels are at least back in the wild card hunt after a great finish before the break and coming out hot after the break by winning 6 of 9.  Take Los Angeles. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -166 

The Key: The Cleveland Indians have won 6 straight and are 12-2 in their last 14 games overall.  They are quickly closing in on the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central.  Their bats are hot as they have scored 6 or more runs in 5 straight.  These streaks should continue today against Jake Junis and the Kansas City Royals.  Junis is 5-8 with a 5.08 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 20 starts this year.  He is 2-4 with a 5.98 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against the Indians, including 0-2 with a 7.94 ERA in 3 starts against them in 2019, yielding 15 earned runs in 17 innings.  Adam Plutko is 3-1 with a 4.87 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 7 starts this year.  The Indians are 5-0 in Plutko’s last 5 starts.  The Royals are 3-23 in road games off 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.  Take Cleveland. 

7* NL East Game of the Month on Washington Nationals -117 

The Key: The Nationals are 19-6 in their last 25 games and really surging right now.  Patrick Corbin is 7-5 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 19 starts this year, including a 1.80 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Corbin is 5-1 with a 1.66 ERA in nine appearances (7 starts) against Atlanta.  Julio Teheran is 0-2 with a 6.57 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Nationals.  They’ll continue their torrid hot streak thanks to their advantage on the rubber tonight.  Take Washington. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -144 

The Key: The Houston Astros have a big advantage on the rubber tonight over the Los Angeles Angels.  After scoring 11 runs yesterday, the Astros will be licking their chops at the chance to face Matt Harvey tonight.  Harvey is 3-4 with a 6.88 ERA in 11 starts this season, including 2-2 with an 8.78 ERA in 6 home starts.  Harvey is 0-2 with a 16.19 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Astros as well.  Wade Miley is 7-4 with a 3.32 ERA in 19 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 2.41 ERA in his last 3 starts.  Miley is 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against the Angels as well.  Take Houston. 

7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-128) 

The Key: Nobody is playing better than the Washington Nationals right now.  They are 18-5 in their last 23 games overall.  The Orioles will offer little resistance.  They are 1-5 in their last 6 games overall with all 5 losses coming by 3 runs or more.  The Nationals should have no problem covering the run line once again tonight.  Erick Fedde is 1-1 with a 3.94 ERA in 6 starts this year, while Aaron Brooks is 2-3 with a 5.29 ERA in 7 starts.  The Nationals are 11-1 in their last 12 road games against a right-handed starter.  The Orioles are 9-46 in their last 55 home games against a team with a winning road record.  Baltimore is 1-10 in its last 11 interleague home games against a right-handed starter.  Take Washington on the Run Line. 

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Minnesota Twins -150 

The Key: The Minnesota Twins have advantages all over the field over the Mets in this game, including on the rubber.  Michael Pineda is 6-4 with a 4.56 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 17 starts this year, 2-2 with a 4.28 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 9 home starts, and 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last 2 starts.  Pineda is also 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against the Mets.  Steven Matz is 2-6 with a 7.07 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 9 road starts for the Mets this year.  He is 0-2 with an 11.12 ERA and 2.30 WHIP in his last 3 starts overall as well.  Minnesota is 9-0 at home against an NL team with an OBP of .325 or worse in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 years.  The Mets are 0-12 when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons.  New York is 2-15 as a road dog of +125 to +175 this season.  Take Minnesota. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -115 

The Key: The Chicago White Sox have a big advantage on the rubber today over the Kansas City Royals.  Lucas Giolito is 11-3 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 17 starts this year, including 6-1 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 8 road starts.  Giolito is 6-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against the Royals.  Jake Junis is 4-8 with a. 5.33 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 19 starts this year, including 2-4 with a 5.89 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 10 home starts.  Junis is 2-1 with a 5.34 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against the White Sox as well.  Giolito is 9-1 against an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse this season.  The White Sox are 10-3 in Giolito’s last 13 starts.  The Royals are 0-4 in Junis’ last 4 starts.  Kansas City is 1-5 in Junis’ last 6 home starts.  Take Chicago. 

7* Dodgers/Red Sox ESPN *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -103 

The Key: The Dodgers want revenge on the Red Sox after losing to them in the World Series last year.  They can get some revenge by winning Game 3 here Sunday night and taking this series from them.  The Dodgers have Cy Young favorite Hyun-Jin Ryu on the rubber tonight.  He is 10-2 with a 1.73 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 17 starts this year.  The Dodgers are 9-2 in Ryu’s last 11 starts.  Los Angeles is 14-3 in Ryu’s last 17 Sunday starts.  Take Los Angeles. 

7* AL Central Game of the Year on Cleveland Indians -140 

The Key: The Cleveland Indians suffered a devastating loss to the Twins yesterday after leading 3-1 late.  They are now 6.5 games back in the AL Central and really need to win today to close the gap.  They will come back hungry here and I believe they have a big advantage on the rubber in this one.  Trevor Bauer is 4-0 with a 2.90 ERA in his last 6 starts.  Jake Odorizzi is 0-2 with an 8.76 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in his last 3 starts, coming back to reality after a great start to the season. Odorizzi is 1-4 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against the Indians, and his teams are 2-8 in those starts.  Bauer has yielded 3 earned runs or fewer in 8 of his last 10 starts against the Twins.  The Indians are 6-0 in Bauer’s last 6 starts and 9-1 in their last 10 games following a loss.  The Twins are 0-6 in Odorizzi’s last 6 starts against the Indians.  Take Cleveland.