07-10-16 |
Cardinals +115 v. Brewers |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
115 |
3 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals +115
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals should not be underdogs to the Milwaukee Brewers today. Junior Guerra is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers as the starting pitcher for the Brewers. The Cardinals are 8-1 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. St. Louis is 11-4 in its last 15 road games. The Brewers are 19-40 in their last 59 vs. a team with a winning record. Milwaukee is 0-6 in its last 6 during game 3 of a series. Take St. Louis.
|
07-09-16 |
Yankees v. Indians -160 |
Top |
7-6 |
Loss |
-160 |
4 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Indians -160
The Key: The Cleveland Indians have been on a tear to close out the All-Star Break. They should pick up another win with ease today thanks to their advantage on the mound over the New York Yankees. Danny Salazar has been their ace, going 10-3 with a 2.36 ERA and 1.141 WHIP with 113 K's in 99 innings. He's 5-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 0.993 WHIP in 7 home starts as well. C.C. Sabathia has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with an 8.31 ERA and 1.616 WHIP in his last 3 starts while allowing 16 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings. The Indians are 45-22 in their last 67 home games. Cleveland is 7-0 in Salazar's last 7 starts overall. The Indians are 20-7 in Salazar's last 27 home starts. Take Cleveland.
|
07-08-16 |
Cubs -158 v. Pirates |
Top |
4-8 |
Loss |
-158 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -158
The Key: The Chicago Cubs have lost 7 of their last 8 games overall heading into this series with the Pirates. It's safe to say they'll be hungry for a win in Game 1 here tonight. The good news is that ace Jake Arrieta will be taking the ball, giving the Cubs a massive edge on the mound. Arrieta is 12-3 with a 2.33 ERA and 1.062 WHIP in 17 starts this season. The right-hander is 10-1 with a 1.31 ERA and 0.753 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh. Francisco Liriano has been off all season, going 5-8 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in 16 starts, including 1-1 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.745 WHIP in his last 3. Arrieta is 20-2 (+16.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Cubs are 23-3 in Arrieta's last 26 road starts. The Pirates are 0-6 in Liriano's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Cubs are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings, including 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh. Take Chicago.
|
07-07-16 |
Tigers v. Blue Jays -113 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
7* Tigers/Blue Jays AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto -113
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays are on a tear right now. They have won 5 straight while outscoring opponents a combined 44-14 in the process. Look for their bats to stay red hot against Justin Verlander and the Tigers. Verlander is 1-1 with a 5.30 ERA in his last 3 starts. He is 3-4 with a 4.90 ERA in 10 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. Verlander has given up 12 earned runs and 4 homers over 12 innings in his last 2 starts against the Blue Jays. Drew Hutchison is 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Detroit. Toronto is 14-1 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Jays are 45-21 in their last 66 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Blue Jays are 19-7 in Hutchison's last 26 home starts. Take Toronto.
|
07-06-16 |
Mariners v. Astros -134 |
Top |
8-9 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -134
The Key: The Houston Astros are one of the hottest teams in baseball. They have gone 28-11 in their last 39 games overall to give themselves a realistic chance of chasing down the Texas Rangers for first place in the AL West heading into the All-Star Break. I expect them to continue to roll behind Mike Fiers, who is 2-0 with a 1.12 ERA in his last 3 starts. Fiers has fared well at home this season, going 5-2 with a 2.87 ERA in 9 starts. Wade LeBlanc is getting too much respect from oddsmakers for what he has done in limited action this season. He past posted a 1.50 ERA in 2 starts. The Mariners are 3-14 in their last 17 road games. Seattle is 0-7 in its last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Astros are 7-1 in Fiers' last 8 home starts. Houston is 10-1 in its last 11 home games. Take Houston.
|
07-05-16 |
Pirates v. Cardinals -153 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-153 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -153
The Key: Stephen Brault will make his MLB debut tonight against the St. Louis Cardinals. He's certainly going to be overmatched here by Mike Leake. Brault's fastball tops out at 91 MPH and he's only making this start due to all of the injuries to Pittsburgh's rotation. Leake is having a fine season at 5-6 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.204 WHIP in 16 starts. Leake has owned the Pirates, going 9-4 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.224 WHIP in 16 lifetime starts against them. St. Louis is 40-14 (+16.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 20-6 (+12.9 Units) against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 NL Central games. Take St. Louis.
|
07-04-16 |
Yankees v. White Sox +115 |
Top |
2-8 |
Win
|
115 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* Yankees/White Sox AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago +115
The Key: James Shields had a disastrous stretch there when he got traded from the Padres to the White Sox. But he has gotten it together over his last two starts, giving up just 4 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings against Boston and Minnesota. C.C. Sabathia has gone the other direction. After a tremendous start to the year, he has come back down to reality of late. Sabathia has given up 11 earned runs over 11 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts and should not be favored here. Shields sports a 4.15 ERA and 1.291 WHIP in 31 lifetime starts vs. New York. He has given up just 9 earned runs over 36 innings in his last 5 starts against New York for a 2.25 ERA. The Yankees are 2-10 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Take Chicago.
|
07-03-16 |
Cubs -114 v. Mets |
Top |
3-14 |
Loss |
-114 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Cubs -114
The Key: I've been on the Cubs the past two days with no success. But I'm certainly not going to miss out on them picking up their only win of this series, so I'll back the Cubs against Sunday. They are 0-3 in this series against the Mets but certainly do not want to get swept. I look for Jon Lester to lead them to victory in Game 4 this afternoon. Lester is 9-3 with a 2.03 ERA in 16 starters this year, and 5-1 with a 1.73 ERA in 8 road starts. Lester is 14-1 when starting against a team that hits .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons as well. Take Chicago.
|
07-02-16 |
Cubs -161 v. Mets |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-161 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -161
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are fuming mad right now. They lost to the Mets in the NLCS last year, and now they have dropped the first two games of this series. That's OK because ace Jake Arrieta is here to save the day Saturday and get the Cubs in the win column against them. Arrieta is 12-2 with a 2.10 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in 16 starts this year, including a perfect 8-0 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.889 WHIP in 8 road starts. Arrieta is also 2-2 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. New York. Bartolo Colon has never beaten the Cubs, going 0-2 with a 3.89 ERA and 1.373 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. Arrieta is 21-2 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. Arrieta is 22-1 (+20.6 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Take Chicago.
|
07-01-16 |
Cubs -110 v. Mets |
Top |
2-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* Cubs/Mets National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -110
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are in revenge mode today. They lost to the New York Mets in the NLCS last year, and they blew a 3-0 lead to lose 4-3 in Game 1 of this series Thursday. Look for them to bounce back behind Jason Hammel, who is 7-4 with a 2.58 ERA in 15 starts this year, including 4-3 with a 2.45 ERA in 9 road starts. Jacob DeGrom is having a great season as well, but he's 1-2 with a 5.24 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Chicago. The Cubs are 41-16 in their last 57 during game 2 of a series. Chicago is 13-4 in Hammel's last 17 starts during game 2 of a series. The Mets are 1-4 in DeGrom's last 5 starts. Take Chicago.
|
06-30-16 |
Indians v. Blue Jays +111 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Blue Jays +111
The Key: The Cleveland Indians' 12-game winning streak comes to an end tonight in Toronto. It's to the point where they are overvalued now being road favorites against a team the caliber of the Blue Jays. Plus, Cleveland starter Carlos Carrasco has never pitched well against Toronto. He is 1-1 with a 7.98 ERA and 1.840 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Meanwhile, R.A. Dickey is 4-2 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. Toronto is 11-1 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent over the last 2 seasons. Take Toronto.
|
06-29-16 |
Blue Jays -127 v. Rockies |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -127
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays clearly have the edge on the mound tonight over the Colorado Rockies and should roll to victory as a result, just as they did yesterday in their 14-9 victory. Aaron Sanchez has been brilliant all season, going 7-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.264 WHIP in 15 starts. Sanchez has actually been at his best on the road, going 5-0 with a 2.48 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in 9 starts away from home. Tyler Anderson has pitched well in his 3 starts this season for the Rockies, but two of them have come against the Marlins and Padres, who are light-hitting teams. He'll now be up against the best lineup he's faced this season in the Blue Jays. Colorado is 1-11 (-10.6 Units) against the money line after allowing 12 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Take Toronto.
|
06-28-16 |
Cubs -1.5 v. Reds |
Top |
7-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-140)
The Key: We'll back the Chicago Cubs to win by 2 runs or more for a 2nd consecutive day here as they take on the lowly Cincinnati Reds with a big advantage on the mound once again. Jon Lester is 9-3 with a 2.10 ERA in 15 starts, and 5-1 with a 1.83 ERA in 7 road starts. Lester has never lost to the Reds, going 2-0 (6-0 money line) with a 3.38 ERA and 0.925 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. John Lamb is 1-4 with a 4.79 ERA in 10 starts for the Reds this year. Lamb is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA in his lone lifetime start vs. Chicago. Cincinnati is 1-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot. Take Chicago on the Run Line.
|
06-27-16 |
Cubs -1.5 v. Reds |
Top |
11-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-145)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are in the midst of their worst stretch of the season. They have gone 1-6 in their last 7 games overall. But now they'll turn to ace Jake Arrieta tonight, and I'll back them on the run line to win this game by 2 runs or more as a result. Arrieta is 11-2 with a 1.74 ERA and 0.980 WHIP in 15 starts this year. The right-hander is also 4-2 with a 2.81 ERA and 0.816 WHIP in six career starts against Cincinnati. Dan Straily is 4-4 with a 3.89 ERA in 13 starts for the Reds, including 1-2 with a 5.71 ERA in his last 3 starts. Cincinnati is 1-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by an average of 3.1 runs per game in this spot. Take Chicago on the Run Line.
|
06-26-16 |
Red Sox +100 v. Rangers |
Top |
2-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox +100
The Key: I like the value we are getting with the Boston Red Sox as underdogs to the Texas Rangers today. I don't think Martin Perez should be favored here. He has struggled recently with a 4.91 ERA and 1.528 WHIP in his last three starts. Perez is 1-1 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.938 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Boston, too. The Red Sox are 9-3 in Buchholz's last 12 Sunday starts. Take Boston.
|
06-25-16 |
Nationals -140 v. Brewers |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-140 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -140
The Key: The Washington Nationals have lost 6 straight for the 1st time this season. Now they'll be motivated for a win Saturday to stop the bleeding. I like their chances against Matt Garza, who is 0-4 with a 7.41 ERA and 1.858 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts vs. New York. Take Washington.
|
06-24-16 |
Indians -107 v. Tigers |
Top |
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland -107
The Key: Cleveland continues to be one of the hottest teams in baseball and they bring their ace to the mound tonight in Danny Salazar. On the season, Salazar sits at 8-3 with a 2.23 ERA in 13 starts. He'll be backed by an Indians squad that has owned the Detroit Tigers of late, notching a 6-0 record against them, including taking the last three meetings in Detroit. The Tigers are fresh off of a sweep over Seattle, but they will find this hungry Cleveland team a much tougher opponent to handle, especially with one of the great young pitchers in the game on the mound. Take Cleveland.
|
06-23-16 |
Mets -143 v. Braves |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-143 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on New York Mets -143
The Key: The New York Mets were just swept in three games by the Atlanta Braves over the weekend. That will have them hungry for a victory and revenge in Game 1 of this new series Thursday. Matt Harvey has really turned it around of late, posting a 2.08 ERA over his last four starts. Harvey sports a 3.71 ERA in six lifetime starts vs. Atlanta. Matt Wisley has gone 1-5 with a 4.50 ERA in 8 home starts this year, and he's 1-2 with a 9.20 ERA in his last 3 starts coming in. Atlanta is 2-14 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season. The Braves are 3-19 (-17.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 this season. Take New York.
|
06-22-16 |
Rays v. Indians -117 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Indians -117
The Key: The Cleveland Indians are proving to be the best team in the AL Central behind the best rotation in the division. They have won 5 in a row to get to 40-30 on the season. The Tampa Bay Rays are reeling, having lost 6 straight coming in while scoring a combined 14 runs in the process. Trevor Bauer will keep the Rays' bats cold tonight. Bauer is 3-2 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.187 WHIP in 10 starts, including 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA in his last 3 starts. Chris Archer has been awful this season, going 4-9 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.442 WHIP in 15 starts, and 3-4 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.790 WHIP in 8 road starts. Archer has never beaten the Indians, going 0-4 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.682 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Take Cleveland.
|
06-21-16 |
Giants -139 v. Pirates |
Top |
15-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Francisco Giants -139
The Key: I'm going to back the hottest team in baseball in the San Francisco Giants, who have won 8 of their last 9 games overall coming in. They will be up against a Pittsburgh Pirates team that has lost 10 of its last 12 games overall. There's no question the Giants have a big edge on the mound in this one as well. Johnny Cueto has been brilliant, going 10-1 with a 2.10 ERA and 1.003 WHIP in 14 starts. Cueto is 18-5 with a 2.23 ERA and 1.009 WHIP in 29 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh as well. Wilfredo Boscan will be making his season debut for the Pirates, and he's simply overmatched in this one. Cueto is 11-1 (+9.4 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Giants are 9-0 in Cueto's last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take San Francisco.
|
06-20-16 |
Giants -1.5 v. Pirates |
Top |
0-1 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-110)
The Key: The San Francisco Giants are the hottest team in baseball right now. They have gone 8-0 in their last eight games with five of their last six victories coming by 2 runs or more. They should continue to roll tonight due to the edge they have on the mound. Ace Madison Bumgarner has gone 8-2 with a 2.01 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 14 starts this year for the Giants. Bumgarner is 3-3 with a 2.68 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh. Jeff Locke is now 5-5 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.487 WHIP in 13 starts for Pittsburgh. He has gone 1-2 with a 12.06 ERA in his last 3 starts, yielding 21 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings. Locke is 0-1 with a 9.42 ERA and 2.024 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. Bumgarner is 9-0 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games against NL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Giants are winning by 5.0 runs per game in this spot on average. Take San Francisco on the Run Line.
|
06-19-16 |
Rangers v. Cardinals -132 |
|
5-4 |
Loss |
-132 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -132
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals get the nod Sunday as small home favorites over the Texas Rangers in interleague action. Mike Leake has really been a nice addition to St. Louis' staff this season. He's 5-4 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.139 WHIP in 13 starts this year. Martin Perez is no more than a mediocre starters in the big leagues. He's 1-3 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in six road starts this year. Leake sports a 2.03 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Texas. The Cards are also hungry for a victory after losing 4 straight coming in. Take St. Louis.
|
06-18-16 |
Pirates v. Cubs -220 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs -220 The Key: Lester has been dominant all season. He'll continue to shine against the Pittsburgh Pirates today. Take Chicago.
|
06-17-16 |
Nationals -160 v. Padres |
Top |
7-5 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Friday Night *BAILOUT* on Washington Nationals -160
The Key: The Washington Nationals are playing their best baseball of the season right now. They have won 9 of their last 11 games overall and don't appear to be slowing down any time soon. They're up against a San Diego Padres team that has lost 5 of its last 6 coming in. The Nationals certainly have the edge on the mound tonight behind Joe Ross, who is 5-4 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in 12 starts, including 3-2 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in 7 road starts. Ross is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in one lifetime starts vs. San Diego, pitching 6 innings while allowing only 3 base runners and no earned runs in a 4-2 victory. Christian Friedrich has never beaten the Nationals, going 0-2 with a monstrous 10.57 ERA and 2.350 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against them. Washington is 22-7 (+11.9 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. The Nationals are 8-1 in Ross' last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Washington.
|
06-16-16 |
Rangers -123 v. A's |
|
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Texas Rangers -123
The Key: The Texas Rangers have gone under the radar again this season despite winning the AL West last year. They are 41-25 up to this point and will send out one of their best starters tonight in Colby Lewis. The right-hander is 5-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.083 WHIP in 13 starts this year. He has been unstoppable on the road, going 3-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.800 WHIP in 6 starts. Lewis is 11-4 with a 3.03 ERA and 1.167 WHIP in 25 lifetime starts vs. Oakland as well. The Rangers are 6-0 in Lewis' last 6 starts. The A's are 20-48 in their last 68 games following a loss. Oakland is 2-9 in its last 11 games overall. Take Texas.
|
06-15-16 |
Indians -133 v. Royals |
Top |
4-9 |
Loss |
-133 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Cleveland Indians -133
The Key: The Cleveland Indians are very hungry to avoid the sweep today against the hated Kansas City Royals after losing the first two games of this series by exactly one run each. The Indians have the edge on the mound today and should avoid the sweep as a result. Corey Kluber is 6-6 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.015 WHIP in 13 starts this year, including 4-2 with a 2.96 ERA and 0.8222 WHIP in 7 road starts. Kluber is also 6-5 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 15 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City. Ian Kennedy is 4-5 with a 4.06 ERA in 12 starts this year, including 0-2 with a 6.11 ERA in his last 3. Kennedy is 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. He gave up 5 earned runs in 6 innings of a 1-7 loss to the Indians on June 4 earlier this month. Cleveland is 14-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. The Royals are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. Take Cleveland.
|
06-14-16 |
Mariners v. Rays -111 |
Top |
7-8 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -111
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays come in playing some of their best baseball of the season. They've won 7 of their last 9 games overall. The Mariners come in playing some of their worst, losers of 7 of their last 10 games overall. I believe the Rays have the edge on the mound tonight with Jake Odorizzi. He's 3-3 with a 3.47 ERA in 13 starts, including 0-2 with a 2.52 ERA in 6 home starts. Taijuan Walker is 3-6 with a 3.48 ERA in 12 starts, and 1-3 with a 5.00 ERA in 4 road starts. Odorizzi has owned the Mariners, going 1-1 with a 0.52 ERA and 0.866 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. He has allowed just 1 earned run in 17 1/3 innings over those 3 starts. Walker gave up 4 runs in 5 2/3 innings in his only lifetime start against Tampa Bay back on May 11 this year. Take Tampa Bay.
|
06-13-16 |
Dodgers v. Diamondbacks -150 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Arizona Diamondbacks -150
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks will send ace Zack Greinke to the mound to take on his former team for the first time tonight. He'll be motivated to beat his former teammates, and he certainly looks good coming in. Greinke has won five straight starts and is 8-1 since his first two starts of the season. He is 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 0.727 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Mike Bolsinger is 1-3 with a 5.76 ERA in 4 starts this year for Los Angeles. Greinke faced the Dodgers prior to joining them, going 2-0 (4-0 money line) with a 2.52 ERA in 4 starts, having never lost to them. Take Arizona.
|
06-12-16 |
Astros -127 v. Rays |
Top |
0-5 |
Loss |
-127 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -127
The Key: The Houston Astros have clawed their back to near .500 on the season after a disastrous start. They will make another stride forward today in the win column considering the edge they have on the mound. Dallas Keuchel has gotten his act together of late, going 1-2 with a 3.98 ERA and 0.984 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I'll gladly back him over Matt Moore, who is 2-4 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.478 WHIP in 12 starts this season. Moore has already given up a whopping 14 homers in 69 2/3 innings pitched, so he has clearly been off his game all year. The Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. The Astros are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. The Rays are 1-8 in Moore's last 9 starts. Take Houston.
|
06-11-16 |
Dodgers v. Giants -120 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Francisco Giants -120
The Key: The San Francisco Giants get the nod today as short home favorites over the rival Los Angeles Dodgers. Jeff Samardzija looks to continue his great start to the season. He's 7-4 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.136 WHIP in 12 starts, including 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in 4 home starts. Scott Kazmir hasn't been nearly as effective for the Dodgers, going 5-3 with a 4.46 ERA in 12 starts, including 2-0 with a 5.13 ERA in 6 road starts. Kazmir is 1-2 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.548 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. In 2 starts against the Giants in 2016, he has given up 10 earned runs in 8 innings. The Giants are 17-4 in their last 21 vs. National League West. The Dodgers are 4-11 in the last 15 road meetings in this series. Take San Francisco.
|
06-10-16 |
Orioles v. Blue Jays -121 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -121
The Key: Toronto comes into tonight's matchup with the Orioles with a big edge on the mound. Marco Estrada is 4-2 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.978 WHIP in 11 starts this year. He has been at his best at home, going 2-1 with a 1.30 ERA and 0.808 WHIP in 5 starts. Estrada is also 2-1 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore. Kevin Gausman has yet to win this season, going 0-3 with a 3.52 ERA in nine starts. While solid, he's not as good as Estrada. The Orioles are 4-12 in Gausman's last 16 road starts. The Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 Friday games. Toronto is 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 starts. Take Toronto.
|
06-09-16 |
Indians +123 v. Mariners |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
123 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* Indians/Mariners MLB *BAILOUT* on Cleveland +123
The Key: The Cleveland Indians get the nod Thursday as nice-sized road underdogs to the Seattle Mariners Thursday night in the final game on the board. Josh Tomlin is killing it this season, going 8-1 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.098 WHIP in 10 starts. He has been at his best on the road at 4-0 with a 2.93 ERA and 0.867 WHIP in 4 starts. Nate Karns is 5-2 with a 4.23 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in 11 starts for the Mariners and shouldn't be the favorite here. He's also 1-1 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.851 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Tomlin is 4-1 with a 3.41 ERA and 0.903 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. He pitched a one-hit shutout in his last start against the Mariners. The Indians are 17-4 in Tomlin's last 21 starts overall, including 8-0 in his last 8 road starts. Take Cleveland.
|
06-08-16 |
Royals v. Orioles -152 |
|
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Baltimore Orioles -152
The Key: The Baltimore Orioles will be extra amped up for this game after the brawl they got into last night with the Royals. Look for them to continue their solid play this season after winning 6 of their last 7 coming in. They are now 23-11 at home this season and continue to be one of the most underrated home teams in baseball. Chris Tillman is 5-0 with a 2.78 ERA in 8 home starts this year, and the Orioles are 8-0 in those contests. Edinson Volquez is 2-3 with a 6.99 ERA in 5 road starts this season for Kansas City. Volquez has never beaten the Orioles, going 0-2 (0-4 money line) with a 5.40 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Take Baltimore.
|
06-07-16 |
Blue Jays -123 v. Tigers |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-123 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Blue Jays -123
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have a huge edge on the mound tonight over the Detroit Tigers. Aaron Sanchez has been their best starter all season, going 5-1 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.216 WHIP in 11 starts, including 4-0 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in 6 road starts. Matt Boyd is 0-1 with a 5.56 ERA in two starts this season for Detroit. Over his 2-year career, Boyd is 1-7 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in 14 starts and 2 relief appearances. He gave up 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 innings of a 3-5 loss to the Blue Jays in his only lifetime start against them last year. Toronto is 21-7 (+13.2 Units) against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. Toronto is 6-1 in Sanchez's last 7 starts. Detroit is 3-8 in Boyd's last 11 starts. Take Toronto.
|
06-06-16 |
Rockies +131 v. Dodgers |
Top |
6-1 |
Win
|
131 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Colorado Rockies +131
The Key: The Colorado Rockies should not be underdogs to the Los Angeles Dodgers today with the edge they have on the mound. Tyler Chatwood is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He's 6-4 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.212 WHIP in 11 starts this year, including a perfect 4-0 with a 0.53 ERA and 0.891 WHIP in 5 road starts. Mike Bolsinger is no more than a fill-in starter for the Dodgers. He's 1-2 with a 4.20 ERA in 3 starts this year. Chatwood sports a 3.68 ERA in 8 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. Bolsinger sports a 5.40 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Colorado. Take Colorado.
|
06-05-16 |
Giants v. Cardinals -144 |
|
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -144
The Key: I'll lay the juice with the Cardinals today in a game that they have a huge edge on the mound. Carlos Martinez is having a fine season at 5-5 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.148 WHIP in 10 starts. Martinez is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his lone lifetime start vs. San Francisco. Jake Peavy is one of the worst starters in the majors. He's 2-5 with a 6.354 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 11 starts this year. Peavy is also 3-6 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.394 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts vs. St. Louis. He hasn't made it past the 4th inning in any of his last 2 starts vs. St. Louis. Take St. Louis.
|
06-04-16 |
Blue Jays v. Red Sox -121 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -121
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are showing great value as only -121 favorites over the Toronto Blue Jays today. The Red Sox are extremely hungry for a victory after losing 3 straight coming in, and with their edge on the mound today, they should stop the losing streak here. Steven Wright has been awesome this season, going 5-4 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 10 starts. He has posted a 2.13 ERA and 1.184 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Toronto as well. Marcus Stroman sports a 4.46 ERA in 11 starts this year, including a 7.23 ERA in his last 3. He has given up 12 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against Boston, both of which have come this season. He'll get rocked again today. Take Boston.
|
06-03-16 |
Rays -115 v. Twins |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -115
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays are hungry for a victory tonight after losing 5 straight and 11 of their last 13 coming in. I like their chances to stop the bleeding with the edge they have on the mound tonight. Jake Odorizzi is having a fine season at 2-3 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in 11 starts. he has been at his best of late, going 2-1 with a 2.12 ERA and 0.765 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Ricky Nolasco is 2-3 with a 5.28 ERA in 10 starts and 0-1 with a 7.54 ERA in 4 home starts. Nolasco is 3-5 with a 7.33 ERA and 1.698 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. Minnesota is 7-26 (-17.6 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. The Twins are 1-14 (-13.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. Take Tampa Bay.
|
06-02-16 |
Mariners -135 v. Padres |
|
16-13 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Mariners/Padres Interleague *BAILOUT* on Seattle -135
The Key: The Seattle Mariners are swinging the bats very well right now. They have scored a combined 31 runs in the first 3 games of this series with San Diego. They have scored at least 5 runs in 15 of their last 21 games overall as well. I expect them to tee off on Colin Rea, who is 3-2 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in 9 starts for the Padres this season. Rea hasn't made it past the 5th inning while going 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. Wade Miley has made it through the 6th inning in each of his last 6 starts against San Diego without giving up more than 3 earned runs in any of the 6. He has posted a 2.25 ERA in his last 6 starts against the Padres while only allowing 10 earned runs in 40 innings. Seattle is 7-1 (+7.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season. The Mariners are 6-1 in Miley's last 7 starts overall. The Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. San Diego is 2-9 in its last 11 interleague home games. Take Seattle.
|
06-01-16 |
Pirates -105 v. Marlins |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Pittsburgh Pirates -105
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates have lost 3 of their last 4 games coming in and will be hungry for a victory tonight. I like their chances with the edge they'll have on the mound here. Jon Niese is the better starter at 5-2 with a 4.42 ERA in 10 starts this year. But he's been at his best recently, going 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Adam Conley is 3-3 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.481 WHIP in 10 starts, 1-3 with a 5.91 ERA and 1.641 WHIP in 4 home starts, and 1-1 with a 5.17 ERA and 2.043 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Niese gave up 1 run and 5 base runners in 7 innings of a 5-1 win at Miami in his last start against the Marlins. The Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Pittsburgh is 4-1 in Niese's last 5 road starts. The Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. The Pirates are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings. Take Pittsburgh.
|
05-31-16 |
Rays -114 v. Royals |
Top |
5-10 |
Loss |
-114 |
11 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -114
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays are certainly hungry for a victory here today against the Kansas City Royals. They have lost two straight and six of eight overall. But they do have the edge on the mound today to get back on track. Drew Smyly sports a 3.92 ERA and 1.048 WHIP in 10 starts, and a 3.16 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in 5 road starts. Dillon Gee is 1-2 with a 5.65 ERA and 1.745 WHIP in 3 starts for the Royals. Smyly is 3-1 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City. The Rays are 9-2 in their last 11 Tuesday games. The Rays are 8-2 in Smyly's last 10 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Take Tampa Bay.
|
05-30-16 |
Yankees v. Blue Jays -138 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -138
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays get the nod Sunday as small home favorites over the New York Yankees. That's because Marco Estrada has been brilliant all season, especially at home. Estrada is 2-2 with a 2.76 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 9 starts, including 1-1 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.825 WHIP in 4 home starts. He's also 2-2 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.234 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. New York. Ivan Nova is 5-5 with a 5.16 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. Take Toronto.
|
05-29-16 |
White Sox -141 v. Royals |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-141 |
3 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -141
The Key: The Chicago White Sox have been struggling of late, but the one thing that's certain is that they continue to win at an alarming rate with AL Cy Young contender Chris Sale on the mound. The left-hander is 9-1 with a 2.26 ERA and 0.837 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 5-0 with a 1.41 ERA and 0.809 WHIP in 5 road starts. Sale has posted a 2.80 ERA in 15 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City as well. Edinson Volquez has struggled for the most part this year, going 5-4 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.402 WHIP in 10 starts. Sale is 18-3 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in May games lifetime. The White Sox are 10-1 in Sale's last 11 starts. Take Chicago.
|
05-28-16 |
Orioles v. Indians -155 |
|
4-11 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Indians -155
The Key: The Cleveland Indians have a massive advantage on the mound tonight and are worth the -155 price because of it. Danny Salazar has quickly become the ace of their staff, going 4-3 with a 2.32 ERA and 1.123 WHIP in 9 starts this season. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.773 WHIP in 3 home starts as well. He's also 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore. Ubaldo Jimenez is 2-5 with a 6.04 ERA and 1.776 WHIP in 9 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.60 ERA and 2.200 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Jimenez is 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.547 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. Jimenez is 2-11 (-10.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Orioles are 0-4 in Jimenez's last 4 road starts. The Indians are 6-1 in Salazar's last 7 home starts. Cleveland is 25-12 in its last 37 games following a loss. Take Cleveland.
|
05-27-16 |
Orioles v. Indians -125 |
|
6-4 |
Loss |
-125 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Indians -125
The Key: The Cleveland Indians have gone 8-3 in their last 11 games overall, while the Orioles have cooled off in losing four straight coming in. I look for the Indians to continue their momentum here due to their edge on the mound. Trevor Bauer is 2-2 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.235 WHIP in 5 starts, including 1-2 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.232 WHIP in his last 3. Mike Wright is 2-3 with a 5.09 ERA and 1.377 WHIP in 7 starts for the Orioles, and 1-1 with a 5.94 ERA in 3 road starts. Baltimore is 2-10 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive road games this season. The Orioles are 2-11 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 to 4.70 over the last 2 seasons. The Orioles are 0-4 in Wright's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Take Cleveland.
|
05-26-16 |
Blue Jays -113 v. Yankees |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -113
The Key: J.A. Happ has been one of the best starters for the Blue Jays this season. He has gone 5-2 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.214 WHIP in 9 starts, including 2-1 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 5 road starts. Happ is 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA in his last 2 starts against New York, giving up just 4 earned runs in 13 innings. C.C. Sabathia has also been solid on the road, but terrible at home. He is 0-1 with a 5.78 ERA and 2.141 WHIP in two home starts this season. Sabathia is 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA in his last 3 starts against Toronto, giving up 12 earned runs in 18 innings. The Blue Jays are 9-4 in their last 13 meetings with the Yankees. Take Toronto.
|
05-25-16 |
Blue Jays -108 v. Yankees |
|
8-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -108
The Key: I expect the Toronto Blue Jays' to put an end to the Yankees' six-game winning streak tonight due to the advantage they have on the mound. Marco Estrada is 1-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in 8 starts for the Blue Jays with 50 strikeouts in 51 2/3 innings. Estrada sports a 3.77 ERA and 1.256 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. New York. Ivan Nova has not enjoyed facing the Blue Jays, going 5-4 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts against them. Nova gave up 6 earned runs in 1 2/3 innings of a 7-10 loss in his last home start against New York. The Yankees are 2-10 (-10.5 Units) against the money line off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Take Toronto.
|
05-24-16 |
Blue Jays +120 v. Yankees |
|
0-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays +120
The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Toronto Blue Jays as +120 road underdogs to the New York Yankees tonight. The Yankees come in overvalued due to having won five straight. R.A. Dickey has been at his best on the road this season, going 2-1 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.225 WHIP in 4 road starts. Dickey is 1-2 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. Not to mention, he's 5-4 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.065 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts vs. New York. Those are numbers that should warrant him getting more respect than he is here tonight. Nathan Eovaldi is 4-2 with a 4.44 ERA in 8 starts this year, and 2-1 with a 4.87 ERA in 4 home starts. The Blue Jays are 20-9 in their last 29 games following an off day. The Yankees are 1-8 in their last 9 games following an off day. The Blue Jays are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Take Toronto.
|
05-23-16 |
Royals -121 v. Twins |
|
10-4 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Kansas City Royals -121
The Key: This is a very generous price to get the defending champion Royals at Monday against the AL-worst Minnesota Twins (11-32). That's especially the case considering the Royals have a big edge on the mound here. Ian Kennedy is 4-3 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in 8 starts this year. Ricky Nolasco is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA in 8 starts for the Twins, including 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA in his last 3 starts. Kennedy is 2-1 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Minnesota. Nolasco allowed 5 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings in his last home start against KC, which resulted in a 1-6 loss. Minnesota is 1-15 (-13.4 Units) against the money line with triple revenge - 3 straight losses against opponent this season. The Twins are 1-14 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season. Take Kansas City.
|
05-22-16 |
Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -123 |
|
7-2 |
Loss |
-123 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -123
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are showing solid value as small home favorites over the Arizona Diamondbacks today. Jamie Garcia has been one of the best starters in baseball this season, going 3-3 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 8 starts. He is 2-1 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. Zack Greinke is 4-3 with a 5.08 ERA and 1.394 WHIP in his first season with the Diamondbacks. Garcia has never lost to the Diamondbacks, going 5-0 with a 2.94 ERA in 6 lifetime starts. The Diamondbacks are 16-39 in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 104-48 in their last 152 home games vs. a team with a losing record. St. Louis is 39-18 in its last 57 meetings with Arizona. Take St. Louis.
|
05-21-16 |
Cubs -160 v. Giants |
|
3-5 |
Loss |
-160 |
7 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -160
The Key: Talk about your ultimate mound mismatch here between the Cubs and Giants. We saw it yesterday with Jake Arrieta over Jake Peavy in an 8-1 Cubs' victory. I expect another blowout in favor of Chicago tonight. Jon Lester is 4-2 with a 1.88 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in 8 starts this year, including 3-0 with a 0.92 ERA in 3 road starts. Lester has never lost to the Giants, going 3-0 with a 1.11 ERA and 0.904 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Matt Cain is 0-5 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.478 WHIP in 8 starts this year. Cain is 0-2 with an 11.00 ERA in his last 2 starts against Chicago, both of which came last year. Take Chicago.
|
05-20-16 |
Yankees v. A's -129 |
Top |
8-3 |
Loss |
-129 |
15 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* American League GAME OF THE MONTH on Oakland A's -129
The Key: The Oakland A's won four straight before losing the first game of this series to the Yankees. Look for them to get back in the win column tonight behind ace Sonny Gray. The right-hander is undervalued right now due to a sub-par start to the season, but he's the real deal. Gray is 1-1 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.095 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. New York as well. C.C. Sabathia is washed up. He is 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.553 WHIP in 5 starts this year. Sabathia is 9-11 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in 29 lifetime starts vs. Oakland. The left-hander has given up 13 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings for a 6.75 ERA in his last 3 starts against the A's. The Yankees are 3-9 in their last 12 road games. The A's are 7-1 in their last 8 Friday games. The Yankees are 3-12 in their last 15 road meetings with the A's. Take Oakland.
|
05-19-16 |
Rockies v. Cardinals -137 |
|
7-13 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -137
The Key: This is a generous price here for the Cardinals at home against the Rockies as they look to win this series Thursday night. Michael Wacha has been solid this season at 2-4 with a 3.23 ERA, and he'll be up against Jon Gray, who is 1-1 with a 4.71 ERA for Colorado. Wacha has been really sharp at home, posting a 2.08 ERA and 1.115 WHIP in 4 home starts. In his only home start against Colorado, he pitched 7 shutout innings of a 7-0 victory last season. Colorado is 18-52 in its last 70 vs. a team with a winning record. The Rockies are 0-6 in Gray's last 6 road starts. The Cardinals are 21-8 in Wacha's last 29 home starts. Take St. Louis.
|
05-18-16 |
Rays v. Blue Jays -121 |
|
6-3 |
Loss |
-121 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Toronto Blue Jays -121
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have lost four straight games coming in, and it's safe to say they are hungry for a victory because of it. They have been blown out back-to-back days by the Rays, but that's not going to happen today. R.A. Dickey has been absolutely dominant of late, going 1-1 with a 1.27 ERA and 0.938 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He'll be opposed by Jake Odorizzi, who is 0-1 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 3 road starts this year. Dickey is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in his last 3 starts against Tampa Bay. Toronto is 24-7 (+15.3 Units) against the money line off 2 straight upset losses to division rivals as a home favorite since 1997. Tampa Bay is 1-13 (-14.7 Units) against the money line after 2 straight games with at least 7 more hits than their opponent since 1997. Take Toronto.
|
05-17-16 |
Yankees v. Diamondbacks -117 |
|
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Yankees/DBacks Interleague *CA$H COW* on Arizona -117
The Key: Rarely will you get the opportunity to back ace Zac5k Greinke as this small of a home favorite all season. He has gotten off to a below-average start, but that just has him undervalued right now. That being said, he has still been better than Yankees' starter Michael Pineda, who is 1-4 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.603 WHIP in 7 starts. Pineda has already allowed 9 homers in 38 2/3 innings this season. Pineda is 2-10 (-12.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 lifetime. Greinke is 58-24 (+27.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win lifetime. Arizona is 19-6 (+13.2 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. The Yankees are 5-16 in their last 21 road games and 0-6 in Pineda's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Diamondbacks are 41-20 in their last 61 vs. a team with a losing record. Take Arizona.
|
05-16-16 |
Yankees v. Diamondbacks -110 |
|
2-12 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* Yankees/DBacks Interleague *CA$H COW* on Arizona -110
The Key: No question the Arizona Diamondbacks come into this series with the Yankees hungry for a victory tonight. They have dropped five straight games and desperately need to get back on track. Robbie Ray has gone 1-2 with a 4.59 ERA in 7 starts this season, but he does have 41 strikeouts in 35 1/3 innings, so his stuff has obviously been pretty good. Chad Green makes his MLB debut for the Yankees here, and I look for the Diamondbacks to tee off on him. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Arizona is 4-1 in Ray's last 5 interleague starts. The Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 road games. New York is 1-7 in its last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Take Arizona.
|
05-15-16 |
Giants v. Diamondbacks -116 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-116 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Arizona Diamondbacks -116
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks have lost the first 2 games of this series to the rival Giants. So they'll obviously be hungry to avoid the sweep in Game 3 here. They should get the win behind Rubby De La Rosa, who is 3-3 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in 6 starts this season. De La Rosa has a 0.00 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Giants while pitching 13 2/3 scoreless innings. Matt Cain is 0-5 with a 6.69 ERA and 1.512 WHIP in 7 starts this year, and 0-2 with a 10.12 ERA in his 2 road starts. The Giants are 15-37 in Cain's last 52 starts overall as he has consistently been one of the most overrated starters in baseball. Take Arizona.
|
05-14-16 |
Mets -127 v. Rockies |
Top |
4-7 |
Loss |
-127 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* National League GAME OF THE MONTH on New York Mets -127
The Key: The New York Mets are coming off back-to-back losses and will be hungry for a win tonight in Colorado. I like their chances of getting one with Logan Verrett on the mound. Verrett has been dominant in his two starts this season, going 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA while tossing 12 shutout innings. Verrett has faced Colorado once before, which came last season as he pitched 8 innings of 1-run ball with 8 strikeouts in a 5-1 road victory. Eddie Butler is no more than a fill-in starter and wouldn't make most rotations in the big leagues. Butler faced the Mets once last season, giving up 6 earned runs in 4 innings of a 3-12 loss at New York. The Mets are 7-2 in their last 9 games following a loss. New York is 35-16 in its last 51 road games. The Rockies are 16-43 in their last 59 during game 2 of a series. Colorado is 1-8 in Butler's last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take New York.
|
05-13-16 |
Braves v. Royals -170 |
|
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Kansas City Royals -170
The Key: The Kansas City Royals have gotten off to a disappointing 16-18 start this season. But now they get to face the 8-25 Atlanta Braves, which will help them get back on the winning track. Edinson Volquez has been at his best at home this season, going 2-1 with a 1.37 ERA and 1.025 WHIP in 4 starts. Julio Teheran has yet to pick up a win this season as he's 0-3 with a 3.48 ERA in 7 starts and 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA in 2 road starts. Volquez is 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA in his last 2 starts against Atlanta, allowing 1 earned run in 14 innings with 19 strikeouts. Atlanta is 1-13 (-11.8 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. The Braves are 1-14 (-13.1 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive home games this season. The Royals are 8-1 in Volquez's last 9 interleague starts. Kansas City is 17-5 in Volquez's last 22 home starts. Take Kansas City.
|
05-12-16 |
Giants v. Diamondbacks +101 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* Giants/Diamondbacks NL West *CA$H COW* on Arizona +101
The Key: Getting the Arizona Diamondbacks as home underdogs tonight with ace Zach Greinke on the mound is a gift from oddsmakers. Greinke has turned it around in his last two starts, giving up only 4 earned runs in 13 innings while striking out 16. Now he looks to continue his dominance of the Giants. Greinke has never lost to them, going 8-0 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.009 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts. His teams are 10-1 in those starts. Enough said. Take Arizona.
|
05-11-16 |
Blue Jays v. Giants -115 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on San Francisco Giants -115
The Key: The San Francisco Giants have lost the first 2 games of this series to the Toronto Blue Jays to fall below .500 on the season. They will be hungry to avoid the sweep here, and you have to like their chances with ace Madison Bumgarner taking the mound. Bumgarner is 4-2 with a 3.14 ERA in 7 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 2.67 ERA in 4 home starts. Bumgarner is a perfect 12-0 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Jays are 6-14 in their last 20 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. Take San Francisco.
|
05-10-16 |
Mets -101 v. Dodgers |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-101 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on New York Mets -101
The Key: The Mets are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now having gone 18-6 in their last 24 games overall. They should continue their tear tonight due to the advantage they have on the mound over the Dodgers. Jacob DeGrom is 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA in 4 starts this year. Alex Wood is 1-3 with a 5.18 ERA in 6 starts for Los Angeles. DeGrom sports a 2.75 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. Wood has never beaten the Mets, going 0-3 with a 4.35 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against them. Take New York.
|
05-09-16 |
White Sox v. Rangers -117 |
|
8-4 |
Loss |
-117 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Texas Rangers -117
The Key: The Texas Rangers have the edge on the mound today over the Chicago White Sox in Game 1 of this series. Colby Lewis is 2-0 with a 3.32 ERA in 6 starts this year, and 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his last 3 starts. Miguel Gonzalez will make just his 2nd start of the year for the White Sox. The 1st did not go too well as he gave up 5 earned runs and 13 base runners in 5 1/3 innings against the Blue Jays. Gonzalez is 2-3 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.607 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Texas, while Lewis is 7-3 with a 3.74 ERA in 12 lifetime starts vs. Chicago. Lewis is 6-0 with a 1.25 ERA in his last 7 starts against the White Sox. The Rangers are 9-2 in Lewis' last 11 starts during game 1 of a series. The White Sox are 23-52 in their last 75 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Take Texas.
|
05-08-16 |
Red Sox -105 v. Yankees |
|
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Red Sox/Yankees ESPN *CA$H COW* on Boston -105
The Key: The Boston Red Sox figure to be hungry for a victory against the hated Yankees tonight after losing the first 2 games of this series. They really want to avoid the sweep, and they have an excellent chance to do just that thanks to their huge edge on the mound. Steven Wright has been light-out, going 2-3 with a 1.67 ERA and 1.144 WHIP in 5 starts this year. Luis Severino has consistently been rocked, going 0-4 with a 6.31 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in 5 starts. Wright is 1-1 with a 0.69 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. New York, allowing only 1 earned run in 13 innings in those 2 outings. Take Boston.
|
05-07-16 |
Rays v. Angels +116 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles Angels +116
The Key: The Los Angeles Angels should not be home underdogs to the Tampa Bay Rays today. Jered Weaver is 2-0 with a 3.75 ERA in 2 home starts this year. Jake Odorizzi is 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA in 2 road starts this season. Odorizzi is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. Weaver is 5-5 with a 3.81 ERA in 12 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. Weaver is 27-7 (+19.6 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 lifetime. Take Los Angeles.
|
05-06-16 |
Diamondbacks -144 v. Braves |
|
7-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Arizona Diamondbacks -144
The Key: The chances of the Arizona Diamondbacks winning tonight against the league-worst Atlanta Braves (7-20) are much greater than this -144 price that we have to pay. The Diamondbacks will be sending ace Zack Greinke to the mound as he looks to continue his solid pitching on the road. Greinke is 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 2 road starts this year. Greinke sports a 2.61 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Atlanta. The Braves are 2-14 (-13.3 Units) against the money line off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Greinke is 81-31 (+38.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse lifetime. Take Arizona.
|
05-05-16 |
Mariners v. Astros -105 |
|
6-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Houston Astros -105
The Key: I believe the Houston Astros are ready to turn the corner and start winning games in bunches after a disappointing start to the season. They have won back-to-back games coming in for the first time this year after throttling Minnesota 16-4 yesterday. But due to their 10-18 start, they are undervalued right now at nearly even money at home against the Seattle Mariners. I expect them to tee off on Wade Miley, who is 2-2 with a 5.06 ERA in 5 starts this year, including 1-1 with a 6.35 ERA in 3 road starts. Seattle is 12-24 (-15.9 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Houston is 20-7 (+13.6 Units) against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 15 game span over the last 2 seasons. The Astros are 15-3 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. The Astros are 14-4 in their last 18 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Mariners are 3-9 in their last 12 road meetings. Take Houston.
|
05-04-16 |
Rangers v. Blue Jays -1.5 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+115)
The Key: The best bet on the bases today is the Toronto Blue Jays on the Run Line to blow out the Texas Rangers. Given their edge on the mound, they should have no problem winning by 2-plus runs tonight. Aaron Sanchez is off to a blistering start, going 2-1 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.149 WHIP in 5 starts. He may be Toronto's most talented starter. Colby Lewis absolutely hates facing this potent Blue Jays' offense. Lewis is 3-6 with a 7.13 ERA and 1.708 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts vs. Texas. The Rangers are 2-8 in Lewis' last 10 starts during game 3 of a series. Take Toronto on the Run Line.
|
05-03-16 |
Rangers v. Blue Jays -1.5 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
118 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+118)
The Key: Toronto comes in hungry for a victory after losing 5 of its last 7 games overall, including a 2-1 loss in Game 1 of this series to Texas. With the massive advantage the Blue Jays have on the mound today, I'm going to back them on the Run Line. Marco Estrada is 1-2 with a 2.92 ERA in 4 starts this year, including 1-1 with a 1.98 ERA in 2 home starts. Estrada is also 2-1 with a 1.47 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Texas. Martin Perez is 1-2 with a 4.20 ERA in 5 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA in 2 road starts. Perez is also 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in one lifetime start vs. Toronto. Take Toronto on the Run Line.
|
05-02-16 |
Giants -141 v. Reds |
|
9-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on San Francisco Giants -141
The Key: Johnny Cueto gets to face his former team for the first time today, and he'll be motivated to beat the team that traded him away prior to the deadline last year in the Cincinnati Reds. Cueto has been brilliant with his new team in the Giants, going 4-1 with a 2.65 ERA in 5 starts, including 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA in 2 road starts. He'll be opposed by Brandon Finnegan, who is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in 5 starts, including 0-1 with a 6.30 ERA in 2 home starts. Cincinnati is 3-18 (-13.8 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more over the last 2 seasons. The Reds are 23-51 in their last 74 overall. The Giants are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Take San Francisco.
|
05-01-16 |
White Sox -117 v. Orioles |
|
7-1 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -117
The Key: The White Sox would be at least -150 favorites over the Orioles if they were playing at home with Chris Sale on the mound against Ubaldo Jimenez. But since they're on the road, we're getting Sale at a major discount here today. Sale is the leader in the clubhouse for the Cy Young award after starting 5-0 with a 1.66 ERA and 0.684 WHIP through his first five starts. Jimenez has gone 1-2 with a 3.91 ERA and 1.565 WHIP in his 4 starts this year. Sale pitched 7 2/3 shutout innings in his last start at Baltimore with 12 strikeouts and only 4 base runners allowed. Jimenez is 3-4 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts vs. Chicago. Sale is 14-2 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in May games in his career. The White Sox are 6-0 in Sale's last 6 starts. Take Chicago.
|
04-29-16 |
Reds v. Pirates -145 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh Pirates -145
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates are on an absolute tear right now as they have won 6 of their last 7 games overall while scoring 6 or more runs in all 6 victories. Now they are up against the ice-cold Reds, who have lost 6 of their last 7 while scoring 3 runs or fewer in all 6 losses. Juan Nicasio has pitched well in his 2 home starts for Pittsburgh, going 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 0.750 WHIP. Daniel Straily is 0-0 with a 3.72 ERA in 2 starts this season for the Reds. The Reds are 22-49 in their last 71 overall. Cincinnati is 26-55 in its last 81 during Game 1 of a series. The Pirates are 51-18 in their last 69 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Take Pittsburgh.
|
04-28-16 |
Cardinals -113 v. Diamondbacks |
Top |
0-3 |
Loss |
-113 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* MLB GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Louis Cardinals -113
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals have been hitting the cover off the ball here of late. They have scored 45 runs over their last 5 games while winning four of them. Now they get to go up against Ruby De La Rosa, who sports a 5.79 ERA through 3 starts this year. De La Rosa hasn't enjoyed facing the Cardinals, posting a 4.91 ERA in 2 starts against them. Michael Wacha has given up just 3 earned runs in his last 3 starts for a 1.50 ERA. The Cardinals are 26-11 in Wacha's last 37 starts. Take St. Louis.
|
04-27-16 |
Indians +104 v. Twins |
|
6-5 |
Win
|
104 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Indians +104
The Key: The Cleveland Indians will be out for revenge on the Minnesota Twins after losing the first 2 games of this series by a single run each. I look for them to avoid the sweep tonight. Josh Tomlin has been brilliant in 2 starts this season, going 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 0.771 WHIP. Tomlin has owned the Twins of late too, going 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA in his last 2 starts against them while allowing only 3 earned runs and 10 base runners in 13 innings. Tomlin is 8-0 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. Tomlin is 10-1 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. The Indians are 10-1 in Tomlin's last 11 starts. Take Cleveland.
|
04-26-16 |
Cardinals -128 v. Diamondbacks |
|
8-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -128
The Key: After blowing a big early lead to lose 7-12 to the Diamondbacks in Game 1 of this series yesterday, I fully expect the Cardinals to get revenge in Game 2 tonight. They clearly have the edge on the mound behind Carlos Martinez, who is 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 3 starts this year. Martinez is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Arizona as well, both of which resulted in St. Louis wins. Shelby Miller has been off his game to say the least, going 0-1 with an 8.59 ERA and 1.977 WHIP in 4 starts this year. He hasn't even made it out of the 2nd inning in any of his last two starts. St. Louis is 36-16 in the last 52 meetings, including 12-2 in all meetings over the last 3 seasons. The Cardinals are 25-7 in Martinez's last 32 starts. The Diamondbacks are 26-59 in their last 85 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take St. Louis.
|
04-25-16 |
A's v. Tigers -135 |
|
3-7 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Detroit Tigers -135
The Key: The Detroit Tigers have lost 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 games overall. It's safe to say they will be hungry to get back in the win column when they host the Oakland A's for Game 1 of this series Monday. I like their chances of getting a victory to end this skid with their best starter on the mound in Jordan Zimmerman. The right-hander hasn't allowed a single earned run in three starts this year. Zimmerman is 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 1.086 WHIP while pitching 19 1/3 shutout innings. The Tigers opened as -150-plus favorites and are now down to -135, but Zimmerman is 48-12 (+25.8 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more in his career. The A's are 2-9 in Kendall Graveman's last 11 starts. Take Detroit.
|
04-24-16 |
Cardinals -132 v. Padres |
|
8-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -132
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals should take care of the San Diego Padres with relative ease today. Mike Leake is 1-2 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.217 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts versus San Diego. He'll be opposed by Colin Rea, who is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in one lifetime start vs. St. Louis. Rea is 1-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.631 WHIP in 3 starts this season as well. St. Louis is 93-43 (+31.5 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. The Padres are 10-27 in their last 37 during game 3 of a series. Take St. Louis.
|
04-23-16 |
Mariners +114 v. Angels |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Mariners/Angels AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle +114
The Key: Getting ace Felix Hernandez and the Mariners at nearly even money tonight is an absolute gift from oddsmakers. The Mariners come in playing very well having won 6 of their last 8 games overall. Now they have a chance to get above .500 for the first time this season, and Hernandez will make it happen. He's 1-1 with a 1.00 ERA in 3 starts this season, allowing only 2 earned runs in 18 innings. Hernandez sports a 3.30 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in 46 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. The Mariners are 20-8 in Hernandez's last 28 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Seattle is 7-2 in its last 9 road games. The Mariners are 9-3 in Hernandez's last 12 starts vs. Angels. Take Seattle.
|
04-22-16 |
Mariners -110 v. Angels |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* Mariners/Angels AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle -110
The Key: Getting ace Felix Hernandez and the Mariners at nearly even money tonight is an absolute gift from oddsmakers. The Mariners come in playing very well having won 5 of their last 7 games overall. Now they have a chance to get to .500 for the first time this season, and Hernandez will make it happen. He's 1-1 with a 1.00 ERA in 3 starts this season, allowing only 2 earned runs in 18 innings. Hernandez sports a 3.30 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in 46 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. He's up against the lightly-used Nick Tropeano, who has yet to proven himself in the big leagues. The Angels are 24-44 (-17.2 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. The Mariners are 20-8 in Hernandez's last 28 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Mariners are 9-3 in Hernandez's last 12 starts vs. Angels. Take Seattle.
|
04-21-16 |
Blue Jays -103 v. Orioles |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -103
The Key: We're getting a solid price on the Toronto Blue Jays today at nearly even money with the underrated Marco Estrada on the mound. Estrada was tremendous all season last year, and he's 1-1 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.231 WHIP in 2 starts to start 2016. Estrada is 2-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 0.945 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore as well. Chris Tillman continues to get blown up after a disastrous 2015. He is 1-1 with a 5.11 ERA through 3 starts in 2016. But the real ugliness comes when he faces the Blue Jays. Tillman is 4-10 with a 5.48 ERA in 20 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. In 6 starts against Toronto last season, Tillman went 0-4 with a huge 11.72 ERA. He served up 10 homers and 40 hits in 25 1/3 innings while walking 11 and striking out only 15. Take Toronto.
|
04-20-16 |
Rays +100 v. Red Sox |
|
3-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Rays/Red Sox AL East *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay +100
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays should not be underdogs to the Boston Red Sox given the advantage they have on the mound today. Archer is coming off a season in which he posted a 3.23 ERA and 1.137 WHIP with 252 strikeouts in 212 innings. He is an elite starter. Rick Porcello is one of the most overpaid starters in the majors. After going 9-15 with a 4.92 ERA in 31 starts in his first season in Boston last year, he has posted a 5.11 ERA through two starts in 2016. Archer is 9-1 (+9.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. Boston is 1-10 (-10.7 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons. Take Tampa Bay.
|
04-19-16 |
Diamondbacks v. Giants -121 |
|
3-0 |
Loss |
-121 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* DBacks/Giants National League *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -121
The Key: After losing 2 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall, the San Francisco Giants will be hungry for a win today to get back on track. I look for them to get it behind Matt Cain and company. Cain is 14-7 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.217 WHIP in 34 lifetime starts versus Arizona. Robbie Ray is off to a shaky start to his big league career at 6-16 with a 4.27 ERA and 1.429 WHIP over 31 starts and three relief appearances. Ray is 4-13 (-9.8 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Take San Francisco.
|
04-18-16 |
Mets v. Phillies UNDER 7 |
|
5-2 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* National League *TOTAL* Annihilator on Mets/Phillies UNDER 7
The Key: I expect a pitcher's duel tonight between two of the worst offensive teams in baseball in the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets. The Phillies are hitting .207 and scoring 2.6 runs per game this season, while the Mets are hitting .220 and scoring 3.4 runs per game. Noah Syndergaard has been dominant, going 1-0 with a 0.69 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in 2 starts. Jerad Eickhoff has been a pleasant surprise, going 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in two starts. Syndergaard is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA and 0.973 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Philadelphia, while Eickhoff is 1-3 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. New York. Take the UNDER.
|
04-16-16 |
Giants +100 v. Dodgers |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* Giants/Dodgers NL West *BAILOUT* on San Francisco +100
The Key: Johnny Cueto is certainly enjoying his new home in San Francisco. The right-hander is 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.286 WHIP in 2 starts this year. Cueto has posted a 3.42 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts versus Los Angeles. His opponent in Scott Kazmir is 1-1 with a 4.32 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs San Francisco. Kazmir is 0-6 (-7.7 Units) against the money line after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. Take San Francisco.
|
04-15-16 |
Angels -116 v. Twins |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-116 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* American League GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Angels -116
The Key: The Minnesota Twins have obviously been a great team to fade up to this point as they are 0-9 on the season. I don't expect them to be getting their first win of the year today, either. That's because they are up against the Los Angeles Angels and ace Garrett Richards. The Angels come in having won four straight, and Richards wants to keep it rolling. I like his chances considering what he's done against the Twins in the past. Richards is 2-1 with a 2.63 ERA and 1.042 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Minnesota. Tom Milone sports a 4.55 ERA and 1.483 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. The Angels are 13-3 in their last 16 meetings with the Twins, including 7-1 in their last 8 meetings in Minnesota. The Angels are 11-1 in Richards' last 12 Friday starts as well. Take Los Angeles.
|
04-14-16 |
Orioles v. Rangers -125 |
Top |
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas Rangers -125
The Key: I like the value we are getting with the Rangers as small home favorites over the Orioles today, especially with ace Cole Hamels on the mound. The Orioles are way overvalued right now due to their 7-1 start. But they just suffered their first loss of the season yesterday, an I look for them to have a hangover today. Hamels is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two starts this season for Texas to pick up right where he left off last year for the Rangers. Hamels has allowed just 3 earned runs in 16 innings in his last 2 starts against Baltimore as well. Baltimore is 4-16 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. Take Texas.
|
04-13-16 |
Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8 |
|
2-7 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* American League *TOTAL* Annihilator on Yankees/Blue Jays OVER 8
The Key: Any time you get the opportunity to bet the OVER in a Blue Jays game with a total set of 8 runs or less, you should take advantage. That's precisely what we'll do here Wednesday in what should be a high-scoring affair between the Yankees and Jays in Toronto. Michael Pineda gave up 3 home runs in his last start against Toronto. J.A. Happ is 3-2 with a 5.02 ERA in 9 lifetime starts vs. New York. Take the OVER.
|
04-12-16 |
Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Yankees/Blue Jays OVER 8
The Key: Any time you can get a Blue Jays total at 8 or lower, it's time to look for the OVER. That's the case today as they host the Yankees. The Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 overall. The Over is 7-2-3 in Blue Jays last 12 home games. Take the OVER.
|
04-11-16 |
Braves v. Nationals -1.5 |
|
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-109)
The Key: The Washington Nationals send ace Max Scherzer to the mound tonight to dispose of the lowly Atlanta Braves. That shouldn't be a problem considering the Braves are 0-5 this season while losing four games by 2 runs or more. They were just outscored 31-13 by the Cardinals in their last series. Scherzer was dominant in his opening day start, giving up 2 runs and 5 base runners in 7 innings against the Braves. He has now given up 4 earned runs over 21 innings in his last 3 starts against Atlanta. Bud Norris is 2-2 with a 4.70 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Washington. Atlanta is 11-38 as a dog of +150 or more over the last 2 years, losing by 2.6 runs per game. The Braves are 11-41 in their last 52 road games. Take Washington on the Run Line.
|
04-10-16 |
Rangers v. Angels -105 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles Angels -105
The Key: At 1-4 on the season and off two straight losses to the Rangers, the Angels are hungry for a win here Sunday at home to get back on track. I'll back Jered Weaver over Martin Perez all day. Weaver has gone 15-8 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in 37 lifetime starts vs. Texas. Perez went 3-6 with a 4.46 ERA in 14 starts last season for Texas. Weaver is 25-7 (+17.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 in his career. Weaver is 40-11 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents in his career. Take Los Angeles.
|
04-09-16 |
Cubs v. Diamondbacks -109 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-109 |
20 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Arizona Diamondbacks -109
The Key: Because Zach Greinke got blown up in his Opening Day start, we are getting him at an excellent value here Saturday as a small home favorite over the Chicago Cubs. Greinke had the flu and pitched through it, but now he's fully recovered and ready to redeem himself. He'll be up against the Cubs No. 5 starter in Kyle Hendricks. So we have a No. 1 against a No. 5 and the No. 1 is at home. This is about as easy as it gets. Greinkey is 91-35 (+39.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher in his career. Take Arizona.
|
04-08-16 |
Rangers v. Angels -125 |
|
7-3 |
Loss |
-125 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles Angels -125
The Key: Matt Shoemaker is one of the more underrated starters in baseball. He has gone 23-14 with a 3.68 ERA in 53 big league appearances over the span of the last 3 years. But what really stands out in this game is how Shoemaker has dominated the Rangers. The right-hander is 4-0 with a 2.39 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Texas. That domination continues tonight. Texas is 10-26 in its last 36 meetings with the Angels. Take Los Angeles.
|
04-07-16 |
Astros v. Yankees -104 |
|
5-8 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on New York Yankees -104
The Key: We're getting the New York Yankees at basically even money against the Houston Astros today. This team comes in with a lot of confidence after exploding for 16 runs against the Astros yesterday. Now I look for them to tee off against Mike Fiers today. I also like Nathan Eovaldi quite a bit, especially when you consider what he has done against the Astros in the past. Eovaldi is 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Houston, and his teams are 3-0 in those games. He allowed only 2 earned runs in 14 innings in two starts against the Astros in 2015. The Astros are 21-44 in their last 65 road games. Take New York.
|
04-06-16 |
Astros v. Yankees -119 |
|
6-16 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on New York Yankees -119
The Key: The Yankees fell 5-3 in their opener against the Astros yesterday. Now I expect them to get their first win of the year behind Michael Pineda, who went 12-10 with a 4.37 ERA and 1.226 WHIP in 27 starts last season. Collin McHugh was vulnerable on the road, posting a 4.09 ERA in 18 starts away from home last season. McHugh went 1-1 with a 4.61 ERA in spring training. The Yankees are 37-16 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. The Astros are 21-43 in their last 64 road games. Take New York.
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04-05-16 |
Mets v. Royals OVER 8 |
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2-0 |
Loss |
-120 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
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6* MLB Total *Annihilator* on Mets/Royals OVER 8
The Key: The wind in Kansas City today is going to be very favorable for a high-scoring game. In fact, it is expected to be blowing a whopping 25 miles per hour out to left field. Look for plenty of offensive fireworks as normal fly balls hit to left will go for homers. The Mets are 13-2 OVER in their last 15 road games revenging a one run loss vs. opponent. Take the OVER.
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04-04-16 |
Blue Jays v. Rays -109 |
|
5-3 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 50 m |
Show
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6* American League *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay Rays -109
The Key: After losing on Opening Day to the Blue Jays, I look for the Rays to get in the win column today and exact some revenge. Yesterday's starting pitching matchup was a lot more evenly matched than this one. I'll gladly back Drew Smyly over R.A. Dickey. Smyly went 5-2 with a 3.11 ERA with 77 strikeouts in 66 2/3 innings for the Rays last year. I'll be anxious to see what he can do over a full season because this guy is so good when healthy. Smyly is 24-15 with a 3.24 ERA over his 4-year big league career and is primed for a breakout. Dickey hasn't been great in Toronto with a 4.21 ERA, 3.71 ERA and 3.91 ERA in his last three seasons there, respectively. Smyly is 1-0 with a 1.32 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Toronto, giving up just 2 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings. Take Tampa Bay.
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04-03-16 |
Blue Jays v. Rays -113 |
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5-3 |
Loss |
-113 |
5 h 52 m |
Show
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6* Blue Jays/Rays AL East *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay -113
The Key: We are getting the Rays at a nice price at home on opening day. I'll back Chris Archer at this price every time as he's one of the very best starters in baseball, but he doesn't get the kind of respect other aces around the league get. Archer is 5-3 with a 3.26 ERA in 15 lifetime starts vs. Toronto, while his counterpart Marcus Stroman is 1-1 with a 5.73 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. Archer finished 5th in the AL Cy Young balloting last year and went 12-13 with a 3.23 ERA in 34 starts. Take Tampa Bay.
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11-01-15 |
Royals +129 v. Mets |
|
7-2 |
Win
|
129 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
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6* Royals/Mets Game 5 *CA$H COW* on Kansas City +129
The Key: The Kansas City Royals have all the momentum now after erasing a 2-3 deficit in the 8th inning to win 5-3 in Game 4. The Mets just took a sucker punch and won't be able to recover from it in time for Game 5 as they were on the verge of squaring the series 2-2. The Royals are hungry to clinch the World Series now after losing it to the Giants in Game 7 last year. They don't want this series to go back to KC. Edinson Volquez lost his father on the same day he pitched Game 1, and he's going to be dedicating tonight's performance to his father. The Royals players can't help but rally around him, and this just has the feeling that the Royals won't be denied tonight. Volquez has pitched well in the postseason and is 1-0 with a 2.65 ERA in his last three starts against New York. The Royals are 27-9 in their last 36 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. The Royals are 6-0 in Volquez's last 6 interleague starts. Take Kansas City.
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10-30-15 |
Royals v. Mets -142 |
|
3-9 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
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6* Royals/Mets Game 3 *CA$H COW* on New York -142
The Key: It's now or never for the New York Mets. Down 0-2 in this series, Game 3 is a must-win, and I look for them to get the job done behind the massive advantage they have on the mound. Noah Syndergaard is 8-2 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.814 WHIP in 13 home starts this year. He has pitched well in the postseason, too, going 1-1 with a 2.37 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in his last three starts. Yordano Ventura sports a 4.36 ERA and 1.342 WHIP in 15 road starts this year, and a 4.02 ERA and 1.469 WHIP in three postseason starts. The Royals are 0-5 in Venturas last 5 interleague starts. The Mets are 8-2 in Syndergaard's last 10 home starts. The Mets are 17-1 (+15.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season. Take New York.
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10-28-15 |
Mets v. Royals +112 |
|
1-7 |
Win
|
112 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
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6* Mets/Royals Game 2 *CA$H COW* on Kansas City +112
The Key: The Royals have all of the momentum now after coming from behind in the 9th inning to force extra innings, where they would eventually win in the 14th with a sacrifice fly from Eric Hosmer. I like Johnny Cueto at home as he's 7-4 with a 3.08 ERA at home this season. Cueto has also had plenty of success against the Mets in recent years from his time with the Reds in the National League. He is 3-2 with a 2.05 ERA in his last seven starts against New York, allowing two or fewer earned runs in six of those seven starts. Cueto is 21-6 (+13.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 2 seasons. Take Kansas City.
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