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Dave Price NCAA-F Top Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
01-09-23 TCU +12.5 v. Georgia Top 7-65 Loss -110 91 h 22 m Show

7* TCU/Georgia NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on TCU +12.5

01-02-23 Tulane +2.5 v. USC Top 46-45 Win 100 62 h 2 m Show

7* NCAAF Bowl Game of the Year on Tulane +2.5

12-31-22 Kansas State v. Alabama OVER 56 Top 20-45 Win 100 13 h 3 m Show

7* NCAAF Bowl Total of the Year on Kansas State/Alabama OVER 56

12-29-22 Minnesota -9.5 v. Syracuse Top 28-20 Loss -118 40 h 39 m Show

7* Minnesota/Syracuse NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota -9.5

12-28-22 Kansas +3 v. Arkansas Top 53-55 Win 100 29 h 20 m Show

7* Kansas/Arkansas NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas +3

12-27-22 East Carolina v. Coastal Carolina OVER 62 Top 53-29 Win 100 144 h 0 m Show

7* ECU/Coastal Carolina NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 62

12-23-22 Wake Forest -125 v. Missouri Top 27-17 Win 100 48 h 40 m Show

7* Wake Forest/Missouri NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Wake Forest ML -125

12-22-22 Air Force +5.5 v. Baylor Top 30-15 Win 100 185 h 49 m Show

7* Air Force/Baylor NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Air Force +5.5

12-21-22 South Alabama v. Western Kentucky OVER 56 Top 23-44 Win 100 162 h 20 m Show

7* South Alabama/Western Kentucky NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 56

12-20-22 Toledo -5 v. Liberty Top 21-19 Loss -110 137 h 50 m Show

7* Toledo/Liberty NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Toledo -5

12-16-22 Miami-OH v. UAB OVER 45 Top 20-24 Loss -110 33 h 51 m Show

7* Miami/UAB NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 45

12-03-22 Purdue +17 v. Michigan Top 22-43 Loss -110 117 h 47 m Show

7* Purdue/Michigan Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Purdue +17

12-02-22 Utah v. USC -2.5 Top 47-24 Loss -115 93 h 49 m Show

7* Utah/USC NCAAF Friday Night Lights on USC -2.5

11-26-22 Appalachian State v. Georgia Southern UNDER 61.5 Top 48-51 Loss -110 110 h 15 m Show

7* NCAA Football Total of the Year on Appalachian State/Georgia Southern UNDER 61.5

11-25-22 Toledo v. Western Michigan +8 Top 14-20 Win 100 80 h 17 m Show

7* Toledo/Western Michigan MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Western Michigan +8

11-22-22 Ball State v. Miami-OH -2.5 Top 17-18 Loss -118 15 h 14 m Show

7* Ball State/Miami Ohio MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami Ohio -2.5

11-19-22 Navy +16.5 v. Central Florida Top 17-14 Win 100 58 h 47 m Show

7* NCAA Football Game of the Year on Navy +16.5

11-18-22 San Diego State -14 v. New Mexico Top 34-10 Win 100 75 h 48 m Show

7* SDSU/New Mexico NCAAF Friday Night Lights on San Diego State -14

11-12-22 Liberty v. Connecticut +14.5 Top 33-36 Win 100 64 h 39 m Show

7* NCAAF Situational Game of the Year on Connecticut +14.5

11-11-22 Fresno State v. UNLV OVER 59 Top 37-30 Win 100 72 h 19 m Show

7* Fresno State/UNLV NCAAF Friday Night Lights on OVER 59

11-08-22 Ohio v. Miami-OH +2.5 Top 37-21 Loss -108 7 h 29 m Show

7* Ohio/Miami Ohio MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami Ohio +2.5

11-05-22 Wake Forest v. NC State OVER 54 Top 21-30 Loss -110 66 h 23 m Show

7* NCAA Football Total of the Year on Wake Forest/NC State OVER 54

11-04-22 Oregon State +4.5 v. Washington Top 21-24 Win 100 58 h 31 m Show

7* Oregon State/Washington NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Oregon State +4.5

11-03-22 UTEP v. Rice OVER 48 Top 30-37 Win 100 30 h 56 m Show

7* UTEP/Rice C-USA *Total* Annihilator on OVER 48

10-29-22 Northwestern +11.5 v. Iowa Top 13-33 Loss -110 49 h 18 m Show

7* Big Ten Game of the Month on Northwestern +11.5

10-22-22 Northern Illinois -2.5 v. Ohio Top 17-24 Loss -115 50 h 39 m Show

7* MAC Game of the Year on Northern Illinois -2.5

10-21-22 UAB +2 v. Western Kentucky Top 17-20 Loss -110 31 h 18 m Show

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UAB +2

10-15-22 Louisiana Tech v. North Texas OVER 67.5 Top 27-47 Win 100 62 h 26 m Show

7* Conference USA Total of the Year on LA Tech/North Texas OVER 67.5

10-08-22 South Florida +28 v. Cincinnati Top 24-28 Win 100 62 h 49 m Show

7* AAC Game of the Year on South Florida +28

10-07-22 UNLV v. San Jose State OVER 52 Top 7-40 Loss -105 50 h 51 m Show

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNLV/San Jose State OVER 52

10-05-22 SMU v. Central Florida OVER 63 Top 19-41 Loss -110 25 h 36 m Show

7* SMU/UCF AAC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 63

10-01-22 Northwestern +25.5 v. Penn State Top 7-17 Win 100 64 h 28 m Show

7* Big Ten Game of the Month on Northwestern +25.5

09-30-22 Washington v. UCLA UNDER 66 Top 32-40 Loss -110 59 h 6 m Show

7* Washington/UCLA NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNDER 66

09-24-22 Southern Miss +13 v. Tulane Top 27-24 Win 100 42 h 24 m Show

7* Sun Belt Game of the Month on Southern Miss +13

09-23-22 Nevada v. Air Force -24 Top 20-48 Win 100 42 h 59 m Show

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Air Force -24

09-22-22 Coastal Carolina v. Georgia State OVER 61.5 Top 41-24 Win 100 17 h 29 m Show

7* Coastal Carolina/Georgia State Sun Belt *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 61.5

09-17-22 SMU v. Maryland -2.5 Top 27-34 Win 100 52 h 49 m Show

7* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Year on Maryland -2.5

09-16-22 Air Force v. Wyoming UNDER 47.5 Top 14-17 Win 100 28 h 20 m Show

7* Air Force/Wyoming NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNDER 47.5

09-10-22 Eastern Michigan +11.5 v. UL-Lafayette Top 21-49 Loss -110 31 h 20 m Show

7* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Week on Eastern Michigan +11.5

09-05-22 Clemson -22.5 v. Georgia Tech Top 41-10 Win 100 90 h 55 m Show

7* Clemson/Georgia Tech ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Clemson -22.5

09-03-22 Utah State +42 v. Alabama Top 0-55 Loss -110 41 h 22 m Show

7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Utah State +42

09-01-22 New Mexico State v. Minnesota UNDER 53 Top 0-38 Win 100 24 h 10 m Show

7* NCAAF Total of the Week on New Mexico State/Minnesota UNDER 53

08-27-22 Connecticut +28 v. Utah State Top 20-31 Win 100 69 h 33 m Show

7* Saturday NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Connecticut +28

01-10-22 Georgia -2.5 v. Alabama Top 33-18 Win 100 127 h 13 m Show

7* Georgia/Alabama NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Georgia -2.5

01-04-22 LSU v. Kansas State -3.5 Top 20-42 Win 100 115 h 1 m Show

7* LSU/Kansas State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas State -3.5

01-01-22 Utah +4.5 v. Ohio State Top 45-48 Win 100 39 h 2 m Show

7* Utah/Ohio State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Utah +4.5

12-31-21 Georgia v. Michigan +7.5 Top 34-11 Loss -110 57 h 11 m Show

7* Bowl Game of the Year on Michigan +7.5

12-30-21 Purdue v. Tennessee -6 Top 48-45 Loss -110 29 h 32 m Show

7* Purdue/Tennessee NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Tennessee -6

12-29-21 Maryland -3.5 v. Virginia Tech Top 54-10 Win 100 4 h 47 m Show

7* Maryland/Virginia Tech NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Maryland -3.5

12-28-21 West Virginia v. Minnesota -5 Top 6-18 Win 100 15 h 33 m Show

7* West Virginia/Minnesota NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota -5

12-25-21 Ball State v. Georgia State -5.5 Top 20-51 Win 100 76 h 40 m Show

7* Ball State/Georgia State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Georgia State -5.5

12-23-21 Miami-OH v. North Texas OVER 54 Top 27-14 Loss -110 29 h 41 m Show

7* Miami Ohio/North Texas NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 54

12-22-21 Missouri v. Army OVER 56 Top 22-24 Loss -110 47 h 4 m Show

7* Missouri/Army NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 56

12-21-21 Wyoming -3.5 v. Kent State Top 52-38 Win 100 19 h 55 m Show

7* Wyoming/Kent State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Wyoming -3.5

12-17-21 Coastal Carolina v. Northern Illinois OVER 63 Top 47-41 Win 100 18 h 55 m Show

7* Coastal Carolina/NIU NCAAF Friday Night Lights on OVER 63

12-11-21 Navy v. Army UNDER 34.5 Top 17-13 Win 100 95 h 41 m Show
7* Army/Navy NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on UNDER 34.5
12-04-21 Houston +10.5 v. Cincinnati Top 20-35 Loss -107 43 h 8 m Show

7* Houston/Cincinnati AAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston +10.5

12-03-21 Oregon v. Utah UNDER 58 Top 10-38 Win 100 23 h 0 m Show

7* Oregon/Utah NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNDER 58

11-27-21 Florida State +3 v. Florida Top 21-24 Push 0 61 h 43 m Show

7* NCAAF Rivalry Game of the Year on Florida State +3

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

11-26-21 UTEP +13.5 v. UAB Top 25-42 Loss -104 53 h 59 m Show

7* NCAAF Situational Game of the Year on UTEP +13.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

11-25-21 Fresno State v. San Jose State OVER 51.5 Top 40-9 Loss -110 30 h 30 m Show

7* Fresno State/San Jose State MWC *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 51.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

11-23-21 Buffalo v. Ball State OVER 58.5 Top 3-20 Loss -110 8 h 12 m Show

7* Buffalo/Ball State MAC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 58.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

11-20-21 UCLA -3 v. USC Top 62-33 Win 100 48 h 2 m Show

7* NCAAF Game of the Year on UCLA -3

The Key: The UCLA Bruins want to avenge their 43-38 loss to USC last year in which they had the game won but somehow lost it in the final seconds.  This is a different USC team.  The Trojans are just ready for their season to be over at 4-5 this year.  They have lost 3 of their last 4 games by 15 points or more, and their lone win was a 7-point victory over terrible Arizona.  The Bruins own bad teams, going 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record.  And the Trojans will be without starting QB Slovis and 1,000-yard receiver London.  Take UCLA.

11-19-21 Arizona v. Washington State OVER 52 Top 18-44 Win 100 29 h 2 m Show

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Arizona/Washington State OVER 52

The Key: Two teams not used to being on the prime time stage will square off tonight when the Arizona Wildcats visit the Washington State Cougars.  I think we see offensive fireworks between these two teams tonight.  Washington State has seen 4 of its last 5 games combined for 55 or more points.  Arizona combined for 67 points with Utah and 75 points with USC in 2 of its last 3 games.  There was a low-scoring game with Cal in between, but the Bears were missing almost everyone on offense due to COVID.  Washington State is 6-0 OVER in Weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 years.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last 5 matchups with combined scores of 97, 95, 76, 87 and 96 points.  Take the OVER.

11-17-21 Central Michigan -1.5 v. Ball State Top 37-17 Win 100 8 h 8 m Show

7* Central Michigan/Ball State MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Central Michigan -1.5

The Key: The Central Michigan Chippewas have gone 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall with their lone loss coming by a single point.  They are still alive to win the MAC West due to this run.  They would need to win out and have Northern Illinois lose its final 2 games, which is very possible considering NIU is only a 1-point favorite at Buffalo tonight and has Western Michigan next week.  The Chippewas will show up tonight.  I question whether or not Ball State will show up.  The Cardinals were just eliminated from MAC West title contention after losing on a last-second field goal to NIU 29-30 last week.  The defending champs now have nothing to play for other than bowl eligibility, which they can accomplish next week at home against Buffalo.  I think they will suffer a hangover from that NIU loss last week and not show up this week.  The Chippewas are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games as road favorites.  The Chippewas are 14-2-1 ATS in their last 17 Wednesday games.  The Cardinals are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.  The road team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 matchups.  Take Central Michigan.

11-16-21 Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan OVER 66 Top 21-22 Loss -106 7 h 21 m Show

7* MAC Total of the Month on Western Michigan/Eastern Michigan OVER 66

The Key: Two OVER teams square off tonight in Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan.  Western Michigan is 4-1 OVER in its last 5 games with combined scores of 65, 95, 72 and 95 points in the 4 OVERS.  Eastern Michigan is 3-1 OVER in its last 4 games overall with combined scores of 69, 79 and 101 points in the 3 OVERS.  Expect more of the same with a shootout between these two great offenses tonight and suspect defenses.  WMU has yielded 31 or more points in 5 straight games.  EMU has yielded 34 or more points in 3 of its last 4.  The OVER Is 17-4 in Broncos last 21 November games.  The OVER Is 8-2-1 in Eagles last 11 games off a loss.  These teams combined for 95 points last year in a 53-42 EMU victory.  Take the OVER.

11-13-21 Georgia v. Tennessee +20.5 Top 41-17 Loss -110 27 h 21 m Show

7* SEC Game of the Year on Tennessee +20.5

The Key: Tennessee has the best offense that Georgia has faced this year and should be able to put up enough points to stay within this number.  The Vols also have a better defense than they get credit for yielding only 5.3 YPP and 3.8 YPR.  Their fast tempo will be something that Georgia hasn't seen this season and may not be prepared for.  It is the type of style that can actually find some holes in this amazing Georgia defense.  QB Hendon Hooker has thrown 21 TD against only 2 INT this year with 69.4% completions.  He has also rushed for 457 yards and 4 TD while being one of the most underrated QB's in the nation.  Take Tennessee.

11-12-21 Wyoming v. Boise State UNDER 48.5 Top 13-23 Win 100 12 h 35 m Show

7* Wyoming/Boise State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNDER 48.5

The Key: Wyoming and Boise State are two UNDER teams because they run the ball a lot and have good defenses.  Wyoming attempts 42 rushes per game while Boise State attempts 38.  Wyoming yields 21.3 PPG and Boise State 20.9 PPG.  The last 4 matchups between Wyoming and Boise State have seen 26, 37, 48 and 38 combined points.  Take the UNDER.

11-11-21 North Carolina v. Pittsburgh OVER 71.5 Top 23-30 Loss -110 6 h 19 m Show

7* UNC/Pitt ACC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 71.5

The Key: Two of the best offenses in the ACC go at it tonight when North Carolina travels to face Pitt.  The Panthers score 45 PPG and average 541.1 YPG behind an NFL quarterback in Kenny Pickett who has 29 TD and only 3 INT this year.  North Carolina averages 38.9 PPG and 488.8 YPG behind an NFL quarterback in Sam Howell who can beat you with his arms and his legs.  He did just that last week in a 58-55 win over Wake Forest.  And it should be a shootout again tonight against this Pitt squad.  UNC's last 3 games have all seen 78 or more combined points.  6 of Pitt's last 8 games have seen 72 or more combined points.  UNC is 7-0 OVER In its last 7 road games against good passing teams that complete 58% or better. Take the OVER.

11-09-21 Akron v. Western Michigan OVER 62 Top 40-45 Win 100 8 h 56 m Show

7* Tuesday MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Akron/Western Michigan OVER 62

The Key: Western Michigan will gets its points against Akron's defense and can pretty much name its number.  The Zips should get their points as well being an improved offense under QB Zach Gibson, who has 72% completions, 8 TD and 0 INT in basically 3 starts this year.  The Zips scored 35 points against Bowling Green, 21 against Miami and 25 against Ball State in his 3 starts.  He threw for 291 against a good Miami defense and 331 against Ball State.  The OVER is 5-1 in Zips last 6 road games.  The OVER is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 home games against a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 Tuesday games.  Take the OVER.

11-06-21 Wake Forest v. North Carolina -2.5 Top 55-58 Win 100 47 h 50 m Show

7* ACC Game of the Year on North Carolina -2.5

The Key: The North Carolina Tar Heels have played a much tougher schedule than the Wake Forest Demon Deacons this season and they have had tough luck in close games, while the Demon Deacons have won all their close games.  That's the difference in UNC being 4-4 while Wake is 8-0.  But the Tar Heels will hand the Demon Deacons their first loss of the year this week.  The Tar Heels are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games against a team with a winning record.  The home team has covered 6 of the last 7 matchups in this series.  Take North Carolina.

11-05-21 Virginia Tech v. Boston College +3 Top 3-17 Win 100 30 h 21 m Show

7* VT/BC NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Boston College +3

The Key: This is Boston College's Red Bandana game that stems back to 9/11 and the heroes.  Look up the story it's pretty good.  The Eagles have been great in this game year after year as it adds to their motivation.  And they won't have any problem being motivated with rival Virginia Tech coming to town for a National TV Friday night game.  I expect them to win this game on the field, but I'll take the 3 points.  The Hokies are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games off 2 straight games where they committed zero turnovers.  The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in 3 straight games.  The Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.  Virginia Tech is 8-25 ATS in its last 33 games as a road favorite.  The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.  Take Boston College.

11-02-21 Miami-OH v. Ohio UNDER 53 Top 33-35 Loss -110 8 h 29 m Show

7* Tuesday MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio/Miami (Ohio) UNDER 53

The Key: Two poor offensive teams go at it tonight in MACtion when Miami (Ohio) visits Ohio.  Both teams are averaging just 21.1 PPG and I think this total is too high.  8 of the last 11 matchups between these teams have resulted in 47 or fewer combined points.  The Redhawks are 8-1 UNDER in their last 9 MAC road games.  The UNDER is 9-1 in Redhawks last 10 games off a conference win.  The UNDER is 9-0 in Redhawks last 9 games off an ATS win.  The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 matchups.  The UNDER is 5-0 in Bobcats last 5 games overall.  Take the UNDER.

10-30-21 Kansas +30.5 v. Oklahoma State Top 3-55 Loss -110 28 h 46 m Show

7* Big 12 Game of the Year on Kansas +30.5

The Key: Oklahoma State hasn't won a game by more than 11 points this season.  They may win this game by more than 11, but it's not going to be by 31-plus.  Kansas nearly upset Oklahoma last week and is getting better under their first-year head coach.  They will keep battling and keep this game competitive for 4 quarters.  The Cowboys are in a hangover situation after suffering their 1st loss of the season last week against Iowa State.  Take Kansas.

10-29-21 Navy v. Tulsa UNDER 46.5 Top 20-17 Win 100 8 h 6 m Show

7* Navy/Tulsa NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNDER 46.5

The Key: Tulsa has had the last 2 weeks off to prepare to face Navy's triple-option.  It is one of the weakest offenses in recent memory for Navy, and the Golden Hurricane should shut it down.  The Midshipmen average just 17.9. PPG and 280.3 YPG this year.  They do have a good defense and shorten games with their offense.  They give up 356 YPG on defense.  Tulsa has an above average defense and is good at stopping the run, giving up 3.8 YPC this year.  Take the UNDER.

10-23-21 Oregon v. UCLA -1 Top 34-31 Loss -110 22 h 6 m Show

7* Oregon/UCLA Pac-12 *HEAVY HITTER* on UCLA -1

The Key: The Oregon Ducks have been getting too much love since winning at Ohio State.  They have lost to Stanford, nearly lost to Cal and played terribly against Arizona in their last 3 games while going 0-3 ATS.  UCLA is the more legit of these 2 teams and is a field goal away from being 6-1 this year.  They want to avenge their 35-38 road loss at Oregon last year and I expect them to.  The Ducks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games off a win.  Take UCLA.

10-22-21 Colorado State -2.5 v. Utah State Top 24-26 Loss -120 9 h 43 m Show

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Colorado State -2.5

The Key: Colorado State is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games overall.  The only loss came by 10 points at Iowa when they had the Hawkeyes on the ropes as 24-point dogs.  They won by 16 at Toledo as 14.5-point dogs.  They won by 18 over San Jose State as 3.5-point favorites.  They won by 29 at New Mexico as 13-point favorites.  Utah State is 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games overall with its only win coming by 4 points against a very bad UNLV team.  They also lost by 14 to BYU and by 24 to Boise State, both at home.  The Aggies are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as home underdogs.  Take Colorado State.

10-21-21 UL-Lafayette v. Arkansas State +18 Top 28-27 Win 100 6 h 7 m Show

7* Sun Belt Game of the Month on Arkansas State +18

The Key: Game report coming soon.

10-16-21 Ball State -1 v. Eastern Michigan Top 38-31 Win 100 50 h 50 m Show

7* MAC Game of the Month on Ball State -1

The Key: After a rough start to the season, the Ball State Cardinals are back to looking like the team that won the MAC last season.  They are coming off a 12-point win over Army as a 10.5-point dog and a 25-point win at Western Michigan as a 12.5-point dog.  Now they basically are a pick 'em against Eastern Michigan, a team that isn't nearly on those other two teams' levels.  Eastern Michigan is 4-2 but the wins have come against 4 of the worst teams in the nation.  They are in over their head here against the defending champs.  Ball State is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 against a team with a winning record.  The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games off an upset win as a dog.  Take Ball State.

10-15-21 California +14 v. Oregon Top 17-24 Win 100 47 h 57 m Show

7* California/Oregon NCAAF Friday Night Lights on California +14

The Key: The Oregon Ducks just had their dreams of making the college football playoff crushed with a 24-31 loss to Stanford last game.  The game prior was a misleading 41-19 win over an 0-5 Arizona team.  They were outgained by 42 yards by the Wildcats but were +5 in turnovers.  This Oregon team continues to get too much respect for its upset win at Ohio State.  Oregon just lost leading rusher C.J. Verdell and his 397 yards and 5 TD to a season-ending injury, too.  California always seems to play Oregon tough.  The Bears are 1-1 SU & 2-0 ATS in the last 2 matchups the last 2 seasons.  They won outright 21-17 as 9-point home dogs last year.  The only lost 7-17 as 21.5-point road dogs in 2019.  They have the defense to keep them in this game for 4 quarters.  They need their offense to play like it did at Washington 2 games back when they had 457 yards against a very good Huskies defense in an OT loss.  The Golden Bears are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as road underdogs.  The Ducks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as favorites.  Take California.

10-14-21 Georgia Southern v. South Alabama UNDER 51 Top 14-41 Loss -110 20 h 57 m Show

7* Georgia Southern/South Alabama NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on UNDER 51

The Key: Two teams that love to run the football and are both good against the run square off in this Sun Belt showdown Thursday night.  The clock will be moving constantly to help aid in cashing this UNDER.  Georgia Southern averages 47 rushing attempts per game and only 23 passing.  South Alabama averages 40 rushing attempts per game and only 30 passing.  Georgia Southern is holding opponents to 150 RYPG, while South Alabama is holding foes to 121 RYPG.  The UNDER is 2-0 in the 2 matchups between these teams the last 2 years with 41 and 37 combined points scored.  The UNDER is 18-7-1 in Jaguars last 26 games overall.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 home games.  The UNDER is 8-1 in Jaguars last 9 games on grass.  We've seen 51 or fewer combined points in 7 of the 11 games played between these teams this year.  Take the UNDER.

10-09-21 Utah +3 v. USC Top 42-26 Win 100 52 h 37 m Show

7* Pac-12 Game of the Month on Utah +3

The Key: The Utah Utes are coming off their bye week and have had time to put the distractions and the poor start behind them.  Look for them to put their best foot forward against USC Saturday.  Utah is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games off a conference win.  The Utes are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games as road dogs.  Utah is 46-22-2 ATS in its last 70 games as a dog.  The Utes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 October games.  Take Utah.

10-08-21 Stanford +13.5 v. Arizona State Top 10-28 Loss -112 33 h 55 m Show

7* Stanford/Arizona State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Stanford +13.5

The Key: The Arizona State Sun Devils are starting to get too much love after 2 straight blowout wins over Colorado and UCLA.  They are being asked to win this game by at least 14 points and it's too much.  Stanford has been underrated all season.  They have upset wins over both USC and Oregon, which were expected to be the 2 best teams in the Pac-12 coming into the year.  So they have proven what they are capable of.  And they are more than capable of going on the road and hanging with Arizona State and possibly pulling the upset.  The Cardinal are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.  The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning record.  The Sun Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as home favorites.  Take Stanford.

10-02-21 Louisiana Tech +19 v. NC State Top 27-34 Win 100 27 h 57 m Show

7* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Year on Louisiana Tech +19

The Key: The LA Tech Bulldogs are close to being 4-0 despite a brutal schedule.  Their 2 losses are to Mississippi State and SMU by a combined 3 points.  And they had both of them on the ropes with late leads in the 4th quarter.  This couldn't be a worst situation for NC State.  They are feeling fat and happy off their win over Clemson last week.  They won't give the Bulldogs their full attention this week.  The Wolfpack are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games against good passing teams that average 8 YPA or more.  Take Louisiana Tech.

10-01-21 Iowa -3 v. Maryland Top 51-14 Win 100 12 h 26 m Show

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Iowa -3

The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes are 4-0 this season behind an elite defense that is one of the best in the country.  And defense clearly travels, so I like Iowa to cover this short 3-point spread on the road at Maryland tonight.  The Hawkeyes are giving up just 11.0 PPG and 271.5 YPG while forcing 9 turnovers in 4 games.  These teams have a common opponent in Kent State.  Iowa only gave up 264 yards to Kent State.  Maryland allowed 458 yards to the Golden Flashes.  While Iowa has already played two Top 25 teams in Indiana and Iowa State, Maryland has feasted on a weak schedule during its 4-0 start.  The Hawkeyes are more battle-tested and will get the job done here.  The Hawkeyes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as road favorites.  The Terrapins are 9-27 ATS in their last 36 games off a win.  Maryland is 7-20 ATS in its last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Iowa.

09-25-21 Kentucky v. South Carolina +5.5 Top 16-10 Loss -110 33 h 35 m Show

7* SEC Game of the Month on South Carolina +5.5

The Key: The South Carolina Gamecocks are underrated this season.  They are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS and just played Georgia last week in a cover.  Now they get to host Kentucky, which will be playing its first road game of the year.  The Wildcats weren't impressive in their 7-point home win over Missouri or their 5-point home win as a 31-point favorite against UT-Chattanooga last week.  They barely escaped with victory over that bad FCS team, and they shouldn't be road favorites here against the Gamecocks.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups.  Take South Carolina.

09-24-21 UNLV +30.5 v. Fresno State Top 30-38 Win 100 12 h 37 m Show

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNLV +30.5

The Key: The Fresno State Bulldogs are in the ultimate letdown spot tonight.  They just upset UCLA late Saturday night in a 40-37 win as 10.5-point dogs.  That was one of the most exciting, back-and-forth games of the season.  QB Jake Haener played through an injury and just kept coming in one of the most remarkable games you will ever see by a quarterback.  He had to basically be carried off the field and cannot be 100%.  Look for the Bulldogs to be cautious with him.  They just won't be able to get up for UNLV.  This is actually a step down in competition for UNLV after facing Arizona State and Iowa State the last 2 weeks.  The Rebels are expected to get back QB Doug Brumfield after he missed the last 2 games with injury.  He played well in the opener against Eastern Washington with 117 passing yards and 9.0 YPA as well as 27 rushing yards and a score.  The Rebels only lost that game 33-35 (OT) as 2.5-point dogs against one of the best teams in FCS.  Fresno State has only won one of its last 10 matchups with the Rebels by more than 29 points.  Take UNLV.

09-23-21 Marshall v. Appalachian State OVER 59 Top 30-31 Win 100 17 h 14 m Show

7* Marshall/App State NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 59

The Key: Marshall is a dead nuts OVER team this year.  They average 43.7 PPG and 603.7 YPG on offense and run 80 plays per game.  Appalachian State's offense will have no problem keeping up with them as they average 33.3 PPG and 446.3 YPG along with 68 plays per game.  Marshall just scored 80 combined points with East Carolina last game and gave up 553 yards to a mediocre Pirates offense.  The OVER is 21-5 in Thundering Herd last 26 non-conference games.  The OVER is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 September games.  Take the OVER.

09-18-21 Utah -8.5 v. San Diego State Top 31-33 Loss -108 41 h 21 m Show

7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Utah -8.5

The Key: Kyle Whittingham called out his team after losing the line of scrimmage to BYU in their upset loss last week.  Look for his players to respond here, and for the Utes to put it on the San Diego State Aztecs.  San Diego State will be without starting QB Jordan Brookshire after he was knocked out of the Arizona game last week.  The Aztecs have played a weak schedule of New Mexico State and Arizona thus far, so this is a big step up in competition.  San Diego State was actually outgained by New Mexico State in their opener.  That's a New Mexico State team that lost 30-3 to UTEP and 34-25 to New Mexico.  Whittingham is 22-7 ATS after a game where his team forced zero turnovers as the coach of Utah.  The Utes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 against Mountain West teams.  Utah is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last 5 matchups with four of the wins coming by 16 points or more.  Take Utah.

09-17-21 Maryland v. Illinois +7 Top 20-17 Win 100 19 h 19 m Show

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Illinois +7

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Illinois tonight as 7-point dogs to Maryland.  We are getting this price because Illinois is coming off two bad losses in a row to UTSA and Virginia.  But keep in mind that Illinois upset Nebraska at home in their opener with a healthy Brandon Peters at quarterback.  Peters left that game and hasn't returned since.  But Peters is now back this week and will give the offense a spark.  I think Maryland is overrated off a 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS start that included a win against Howard.  The other win was gift-wrapped to them by West Virginia who lost the turnover battle 4-0 in a 30-24 win by the Terrapins.  The Fighting Illini will put up a much better fight than they have the last 2 weeks in this standalone home game in front of a good crowd and with Peters back under center.  Bets on home dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 6.25 YPP or more last game that has 8 or more offensive starters including their QB returning in the first month of the season are 23-5 ATS since 1992.  Take Illinois.

09-11-21 Middle Tennessee State +20 v. Virginia Tech Top 14-35 Loss -108 33 h 26 m Show

7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Middle Tennessee +20

The Key: Middle Tennessee is primed to be one of the most improved teams in the country this year.  16th-year head coach Rick Stockstill brought back 19 starters and added in NC State transfer Bailey Hockman at quarterback.  The Blue Raiders won their opener 50-15 over Monmouth as an 8.5-point favorite.  That was a quality FCS team that came into the season ranked 13th in the country.  Hockman went 17-of-22 passing for 215 yards and three touchdowns in the win.  This is a letdown spot for Virginia Tech coming off a big upset win over North Carolina in the opener last week.  The Hokies took advantage of three UNC turnovers in a 17-10 win.  Their offense is a problem with just 296 total yards against a weak UNC defense.  And they are going to have a hard time covering this big number with their offense.  Hockman and company can keep up with them on the scoreboard.  And don't be surprised if the Hokies are flat off that upset win, and with a game against West Virginia on deck.  The Blue Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs.  The Hokies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off a win.  Take Middle Tennessee.

09-10-21 Kansas +26.5 v. Coastal Carolina Top 22-49 Loss -108 17 h 46 m Show

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Kansas +26.5

The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks had one of the best hires of the offseason by bringing in Lance Leipold from Buffalo.  He took the Bulls to 2 MAC title games the past 3 seasons and previously went 109-6 at D-3 Wisconsin-Whitewater.  He is one of the best up and coming head coaches in the country.  Les Miles didn't leave the cupboard bare as he has 16 returning starters and Miles recruited as well as he could have to Kansas.  The Jayhawks went 0-9 last year, so the fact that they finally won a game even though it was against South Dakota in the opener is a big step in the right direction.  It will give these players some confidence moving forward.  Now they face an overrated Coastal Carolina team that nearly went undefeated last year.  Because of that, you are paying a tax to back Coastal Carolina.  Keep in mind Kansas was a 4.5-point home favorite against Coastal Carolina last year and is now a 26.5-point underdog this year, a 31-point adjustment.  Kansas lost that game 23-38, but they outgained Coastal 367 to 318 for the game.  But they were -3 in turnovers which was the difference.  I just think the price is right to back the Jayhawks here as they stay within 4 touchdowns of the Chanticleers.  Take Kansas.

09-06-21 Louisville v. Ole Miss -9 Top 24-43 Win 100 77 h 3 m Show

7* Louisville/Ole Miss NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Ole Miss -9

The Key: There's a lot to like about Ole Miss this year coming off a 5-5 season in which they took Alabama to the wire and beat Indiana in their bowl game.  The Rebels have an elite offense that put up 39.2 PPG and 556 YPG last year.  They have 8 starters back on offense and QB Matt Corral.  They have 9 starters back on defense and will be improved there.  Louisville went 4-7 last year with its 4 wins all coming in the role of the favorite against overmatched teams like WKU, Syracuse, Florida State and Wake.  Only 13 starters return for the Cardinals and they lose all of their big playmakers on offense, which is going to make it hard for them to keep up with Ole Miss on the scoreboard in a shootout in this one.  The Rebels will get their points.  Take Ole Miss.

09-05-21 Notre Dame v. Florida State OVER 55 Top 41-38 Win 100 53 h 37 m Show

7* Notre Dame/FSU NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 55

The Key: Florida State and Notre Dame played last year with the Fighting Irish winning 42-26 for 68 combined points.  This rematch should sail OVER the number.  Florida State's defense is not very good after giving up 36 PPG last year and 7 starters back on D this year.  But the Seminoles will have their best offense in years in Mike Norvell's 2nd season.  He led the high-powered offenses at Memphis going 38-15 in his 4 years there including a New Year's 6 Bowl in 2019 before coming here.  McKenzie Milton comes over from UCF to give him his next great quarterback.  And he has 10 returning starters on offense to work with.  Notre Dame will be better than expected on offense this year despite all they lost.  They will also be weaker on defense this year, and that's even after giving up 31 or more points in 4 of their final 6 games.  Take the OVER.

09-04-21 Fresno State +20.5 v. Oregon Top 24-31 Win 100 23 h 59 m Show

7* Fresno/Oregon NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Fresno State +20.5

The Key: The Fresno State Bulldogs looked great in their 45-0 win over Connecticut.  The had 538 yards of offense and will be great on that side of the ball again this year.  They gave up just 107 yards on defense and will be improved there as well.  Oregon did give up 28.3 PPG and 406 YPG last year and won't be great defensively, especially with all the players they are missing in their secondary for the opener.  Anthony Brown is a downgrade at QB now that Tyler Shough left.  Oregon will be good this year, but they are now 3 touchdowns better than this tough Fresno State team from an underrated Mountain West Conference.  The Bulldogs are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Pac-12 games.  Take Fresno State.

09-03-21 Duke -6.5 v. Charlotte Top 28-31 Loss -109 9 h 57 m Show

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Duke -6.5

The Key: The Duke Blue Devils are flying under the radar coming into the 2021 season.  That's because they went just 2-9 last season.  But they were much better than their record.  Amazingly, the Blue Devils finished -19 in turnover differential last year.  It can only get better this year with improved QB play as Chase Brice transferred and was a turnover machine.  One of Duke's win last year came against this same Charlotte team as they blew them out of the building, 53-19.  Now they are just being asked to cover a 6.5-point here and win by a TD or more to cover.  I certainly like the price.  Charlotte went 2-4 last year with its only wins coming against North Texas and UTEP.  Three losses came by 15 points or more.  The 49ers only have 5 starters back on defense and should get picked apart on that side of the field this season.  Take Duke.

09-02-21 East Carolina +10 v. Appalachian State Top 19-33 Loss -109 10 h 33 m Show

7* Thursday NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on East Carolina +10

The Key: The East Carolina Pirates were much better than their 3-6 record last year.  They got robby against Tulsa by the refs the week after losing to Navy by 4.  But they played their best football of the season the last 2 games beating Temple by 25 and upsetting SMU outright by 14 as 12-point dogs.  That gives them a lot of momentum heading into 2021.  Now they have a whopping 20 starters back and a veteran QB in Holton Ahlers who will be starting for a 3rd straight year.  It is head coach Mike Houston's 3rd season here and it is his best team by far.  Appalachian State took a step back in Shawn Clark's first season last year with a 9-3 record.  The 9 wins were all against bad teams, and they lost to the best teams they faced in Louisiana, Coastal Carolina and Marshall.  The Mountaineers will be starting a new QB this year in Duke transfer Chase Brice.  I just think it's asking a lot of them to win this game by double-digits in their opener against what will be a much improved ECU team from the AAC.  It is also on a neutral field in Charlotte and not a true home game for App State, which is big because they've had such a huge home-field advantage through the years.  Take East Carolina.

01-11-21 Ohio State v. Alabama -8.5 Top 24-52 Win 100 9 h 55 m Show

7* Ohio State/Alabama NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -8.5

The Key: The Alabama Crimson Tide are going to go down as one of the best teams in college football history.  They have an elite defense as always, giving up 19 PPG.  But their offense is a record-setting one that will continue to pile on the points against Ohio State.  The Crimson Tide average 48.2 PPG and 535 YPG this year as they have outscored their foes by 29.2 PPG on the season.  And they have let up in the 2nd half of most their games.  They won't let up against the Buckeyes after seeing what they did to Clemson last week.  That was an aberration as the Buckeyes managed just 22 points against Northwestern in the Big Ten Championship the week prior.  Clemson just allowed receivers to get behind them the entire game, which was a terrible strategy.  I trust Nick Saban to make the proper adjustments defensively.  And the weakness of this Ohio State defense is their secondary, which allowed 491 passing yards to Indiana and 400 more to Clemson.  That's bad news going up against Mac Jones, Devonta Smith and perhaps Jaylen Waddle returning.  The Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after yielding more than 280 passing yards in their last game.  The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against Big Ten opponents.  The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games off an ATS loss.  Take Alabama.

01-02-21 North Carolina v. Texas A&M -7 Top 27-41 Win 100 37 h 33 m Show

7* UNC/Texas A&M NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas A&M -7

The Key: Texas A&M just completed a dominant 8-1 season in which they proved they were one of the best teams in college football.  Their lone loss came to Alabama, which could be the best team in college football history.  And now the Aggies want to punctuate their season.  They don't have anyone really opting out for this one, and it's a senior-led team.  And they'll be up against a UNC team from a weak ACC conference that has almost all of their best players opting out and getting ready for the NFL draft.  Their top NFL prospect on defense and leading tackler Surratt is out.  They are without 2-time 1,000-yard receiver Brown, plus two 1,000-yard rushers in Carter and Williams.  QB Sam Howell might as well opt out as well with all the weapons he is missing.  It will go about as well for him as it did for Kyle Trask and Florida when they got blasted by Oklahoma earlier this week.  The Aggies are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games as favorites.  Texas A&M is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games.  Take Texas A&M.

01-01-21 Notre Dame v. Alabama -19.5 Top 14-31 Loss -102 8 h 25 m Show

7* Notre Dame/Alabama NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -19.5

The Key: The Notre Dame Fighting Irish keep coming up short in big games.  It happened against in the ACC Championship when they lost 10-34 to Clemson.  And that game was every bit the blowout it seemed as Clemson outgained Notre Dame 541 to 263.  And it will be more of the same here against Alabama.  This may be the best Alabama team we've ever seen as they are outscoring opponents by 30.2 PPG this season.  They definitely have their best offense of the Saban era at 49.7 PPG.  And the Crimson Tide have outscored their opponents 131-47 in their last 4 playoff semifinal games.  They beat Notre Dame 42-14 in their last playoff matchup.  Ian Book isn't good enough to keep up with Mac Jones and company.  The Fighting Irish have allowed over 200 rushing yards in 2 straight games coming in, so the Crimson Tide should be able to run the ball when they need to late to keep margin.  Alabama is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games off an ATS loss.  The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.  Take Alabama.

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