12-19-12 |
Morehead State v. South Dakota +4.5 |
|
75-85 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on South Dakota +4.5 The Key: I'll gladly grab the points with the home team considering each of the last two meetings between these two have been decided by 2 points or less. Morehead State is 0-4 on the road this season while South Dakota is 3-2 at home. The Coyotes are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 lined home games dating back to last season. Take the points as the Coyotes will have an excellent opportunity to win this one outright.
|
12-18-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats +12 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
100-101 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Bobcats +12 The Key: The Lakers can't be trusted laying big points as they are just 9-21 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
|
12-18-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +9 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
92-103 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Timberwolves +9 The Key: The Timberwolves aren't getting the respect they deserve from oddsmakers tonight, and I'll gladly grab the points as they are 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
|
12-18-12 |
Ball State v. Purdue -15.5 |
|
56-66 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Purdue -15.5 The Key: I'll gladly lay this big number with the Boilermakers as they are an impressive 16-5 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. They have won these contests by 21.2 points on average.
|
12-17-12 |
Sacramento Kings +6 v. Phoenix Suns |
|
90-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Sacramento Kings +6 The Key: The Kings are a strong underdog play tonight with the Suns coming off a game in which they allowed less than 85 points after a combined score of 215 or more in two straight games. This situation has been very profitable for the opposing team, going 85-50 (63%) since 1996.
|
12-17-12 |
Georgia Southern v. Bradley -10 |
|
43-62 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Bradley -10 The Key: Bradley has played extremely well coming off of a win over the past several seasons, going 51-29 ATS in those situations. They are matched up well against a Georgia Southern team who is very poor offensively, averaging just 58 points per game in their road games this season. Bradley is favored by double-digits for good reason and has already covered the spread twice this season when favored by ten points or more.
|
12-17-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers -6.5 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
88-76 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on LA Clippers -6.5 The Key: This plays is as much against the Pistons as it is on the Clippers. NBA teams off of a poor home loss in which they scored less than 80 points have been terrible in their next game historically, going just 38-71 against the spread in similar situations. The Clippers also fall into a sweet spot having just won in blowout fashion where teams in similar situations have rolled to a 44-17 record (72.1%) since 1996.
|
12-17-12 |
Valparaiso -3.5 v. Oakland |
|
68-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Valparaiso -3.5 The Key: Valpo returns all five starters this season and has excelled defensively thus far, allowing just 57.6 points per game through their first ten games. This game also falls under a very successful situation for road favorites against poor teams that has hit 71.4% over the last five seasons (50-20).
|
12-16-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +5.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
|
94-95 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* *NBA Cash Cow* get in on part of an awesome 30-17 ATS trend backing the Hornets tonight!
|
12-16-12 |
Denver Nuggets -4.5 v. Sacramento Kings |
|
122-97 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Ca$h Cow on Denver Nuggets -4.5
|
12-16-12 |
Delaware v. Villanova -6.5 |
|
65-75 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* NCAABB *CA$H Cow!* There's no better bet this weekend than the absolute certainty that is Dave Price's magical winning prediction this week@
|
12-15-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies +2 v. Utah Jazz |
|
99-86 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Grizzlies +2 The Key: The Grizzlies have played exceptionally well over the last two seasons against teams that score over 99 points per game, going 13-4 against the spread against those teams in that time frame. They are also one of the best teams in the NBA versus good free throw shootings teams, posting a 60-33 ATS record against them over the past three season combined. Because of their defense, this Memphis team is going to be a tough win all season. Take the points.
|
12-15-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers -4 v. Milwaukee Bucks |
|
111-85 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Clippers -4 The Key: The Clippers play thier best against up-tempo teams, in fact, they are 16-6 against the spread versus teams averaging more than 83 shots per game over the last two seasons. They also play extremely well against poor foul-drawing teams like the Bucks (less than 24 free throw attempts per game), going 10-2 against the spread in that situation. This LA team is build on athleticism and the high tempo of this game should lead to an easy victory by the Clippers.
|
12-15-12 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Chicago Bulls -5 |
Top |
82-83 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 39 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bulls -5 The Key: Play against teams off of an overtime game (the Nets), on no rest against opponents on two days of rest. This very profitable situation has gone 29-17 over the last several years ATS and is one that is worth following in the right situations. In addition to playing in back-to-back nights off of an overtime game, the Nets are also playing their 4th game in 5 days, another great situation that has gone 24-11 in recent seasons in similar situations. Take the Bulls as the best NBA bet of the day.
|
12-15-12 |
Iowa State -7 v. Drake |
|
86-77 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -7 The Key: This Drake team has not played well against good offensive teams like Iowa State whose average scoring margin is better than +4. In fact, in similar situations over the last two sesaons the Bulldogs are just 5-13 ATS. They Cyclones have excelled on Saturday games under head coach Fred Hoiberg, posting an impressive 11-3 ATS record in their Saturday games over the last two seasons.
|
12-15-12 |
Elon +8 v. Massachusetts |
|
73-78 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Elon +8.5 The Key: UMASS has been overrated all season and it shows with their 1-6 ATS record so far. Elon has been playing great defense and, situationally, they have been great off of good defensive performances. As for situations that fit this game, they are 13-2 ATS after allowing 55 points or less in a game and 9-1 ATS after holding any opponent to less than 33% shooting from the floor since 1997.
|
12-14-12 |
LSU v. Boise State -5.5 |
|
70-89 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Boise State -5.5 The Key: The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games while the Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Boise State was crushed in its last game but is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games following a loss of more than 20 points. It will be further motivated by last season's poor showing against LSU. The Broncos defeated Creighton on the road and gave Michigan State all it wanted and more. LSU has played a soft schedule to this point and hasn't stepped off its home floor yet. It will struggled in its first road games against a motivated opponent.
|
12-14-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +3 |
Top |
90-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Cavaliers +3 The Key: The Bucks have won 3 in a row but are on a 45-73 ATS slide after 3 or more consecutive wins. They are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a win and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Cavs played them to a 3-point game on the road in the first meeting, and I expect them to get the job done at home tonight.
|
12-14-12 |
Golden State Warriors v. Orlando Magic +5.5 |
|
85-99 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Magic +5.5 The Key: The Warriors are being overvalued following a string of 5 straight wins that included a win over the Heat. Orlando defeated the Warriors on the road earlier this month and will have at excellent shot at doing so against here. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the Warriors are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Orlando.
|
12-13-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers +6.5 v. New York Knicks |
|
107-116 |
Loss |
-107 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Lakers +6.5 The Key: I'll gladly grab the points with the Lakers as they head to New York off three straight losses looking to show the NBA that they ARE a contender. Kobe loves the big stage, and I fully expect him to deliver in this national TV affair. The Lakers have won or lost by less than 7 points in 17 of their last 18 games against the Knicks. I also believe coach D'Antoni will coach the heck out of this game against his former team and former assistant coach. Teams headed up by D'Antoni are 30-13 ATS lifetime in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses. D'Antoni knows the Knicks and their personnel well and should be able to devise a solid game plan. Take the points.
|
12-13-12 |
Wichita State v. Tennessee +1 |
|
60-69 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Tennessee +1 The Key: The Vols have been money at home, going 14-3 ATS in all home lined games since the beginning of last season. They should especially be focused as they return home tonight following back-to-back poor performances on the road. Tennessee is on a 6-0 ATS run in home games off a road loss in which it was held to less than 60 points. It has won by an average of 8.3 points in these spots. The Volunteers are also on a 6-0 ATS run in home games after being held to 25 points or less in the 1st half last game. It has won by an average of 10.0 points in these spots. Bet the Vols.
|
12-12-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +13.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
88-92 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +13.5 The Key: Plays on road underdogs, a cold team that has lost 8 or more of its last 10 games against a hot team that has won 8 or more of its last 10 games, are 58-25 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Hornets are a terrific 41-26 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons and 19-9 ATS in road games when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent. Take the points.
|
12-12-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Charlotte Bobcats +8 |
Top |
100-94 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Game of the Week on Bobcats +8 The Key: The Clippers are being overvalued because they have won 7 in a row and are coming off a big win over the Bulls. They are on a 19-38 ATS slide after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games and a 37-60 ATS slide in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. The Clippers covered the number by a point last night but are still only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. LA has especially been overvalued on the road versus teams that have sub .500 records at home. In fact, it is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Bobcats played the Knicks to a 2-point game as an 8-point dog last Wednesday, and I like them to give the Clippers a game tonight.
|
12-11-12 |
Cal Poly Slo +6.5 v. Nevada |
|
56-69 |
Loss |
-106 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Bailout on Cal Poly SLO +6.5 The Key: I successfully played against Cal Poly following its big upset win over UCLA as it was crushed by St. Mary's. Now, I'm playing against Nevada following its big upset win over Washington as it comes in overvalued because of it. The Wolf Pack are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Big West. Cal Poly's style of play works in our favor as well considering Nevada is just 8-19 ATS in its last 27 home games versus slow-down teams that average 53 or less shots per game. Take the points.
|
12-11-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Detroit Pistons +5.5 |
Top |
101-94 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +5.5 The Key: The Pistons aren't getting the respect they deserve here considering they are 14-1 in their last 15 home games against the Nuggets and considering the Nuggets are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. Detroit has been an outstanding home dog in recent seasons at 32-18 ATS in its last 50 games in the role. Also, the Nuggets are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Detroit. Take the points.
|
12-10-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Houston Rockets +5.5 |
|
134-126 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Rockets +5.5 The Key: The Rockets have been solid at home where they have won 7 of their last 9 games. They are also 3-0 in their last 3 and 7-3 in their last 10 home games against the Spurs. Also, Houston is a perfect 8-0 ATS as a home underdog since the start of last season. It has won by an average of 6.3 points in these games.
|
12-09-12 |
Orlando Magic v. Phoenix Suns -4 |
|
98-90 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Suns -4 The Key: The Magic started off their road trip strong with a pair of wins but have since dropped their last two and I have them going down again here. The Suns got home at a good time yesterday as they played in LA in the afternoon, and they'll be very focused here knowing they have lost 4 straight to Orlando. 3 of those losses, including the last 2, were on the road so home court should make a big difference. The Suns have won 8 of their last 9 home games in the series, and the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. It's also worth noting that the favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. This trend hasn't lost since Dec. 2008. Lay the points.
|
12-08-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Charlotte Bobcats +8.5 |
Top |
132-102 |
Loss |
-103 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bobcats +8.5 The Key: The aging Spurs are being overvalued on the road against a younger Charlotte squad that will fare better than them playing on consecutive nights. The Bobcats fell to Milwaukee both SU and ATS last night but are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Also, the home team is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Spurs won by only 4 points the last time they visited the Bobcats. The time before that they lost. The time before that they won by just 2 points. Take the points.
|
12-08-12 |
La Salle v. Northeastern +4 |
Top |
66-64 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Northeastern +4 The Key: The value clearly lies with Northeastern catching points at home. The Huskies lost their last game both SU and ATS, but they are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a game in which they did not cover. La Salle has won 5 straight while Northeastern has lost 3 straight. Also, La Salle won last season's meeting at home by 17 points and they are only laying 4 here? You tell me which side the books want your money on. The Huskies return four starters, and they'll be hungry to avenge last year's loss. Take the points.
|
12-07-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. New Orleans Hornets +7.5 |
|
96-89 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +7.5 The Key: The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Hornets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss. New Orleans is also 29-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets have won or lost by 7 points or fewer in 17 of their last 18 home meetings against the Grizzlies. Take the points.
|
12-07-12 |
Golden State Warriors v. Brooklyn Nets -6 |
Top |
109-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Game of the Week on Nets -6 The Key: After going down to the Heat and Thunder - last season's conference champs - in their last two games, the Nets will be primed and ready to run up the score on a lesser opponent tonight. Because Brooklyn lost to the Warriors on the road last month, it will be very hungry and focused here. The Warriors have struggled to a 3-9 ATS record in their last 12 Friday games while the Nets are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Friday games. It is also worth mentioning that the Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NBA Atlantic division while the Nets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 vs. the NBA Pacific division. The Nets are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and have wins of 7 and 10 points against the Knicks and Clippers during this stretch. The Nets are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against the Warriors. Lay the points.
|
12-06-12 |
New York Knicks v. Miami Heat -7 |
|
112-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Heat -7 The Key: Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have won 4 of their last 5 games, provided they have played 8 or more games in 14 days, are 61-30 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 6 points on average but have lost by an average of 9 points. With the Knicks getting taken down to the wire last night, the Heat will be the much fresher side. Miami is on a 10-2 ATS run in games when it has had 1 day of rest. Also, the Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Miami and have lost these 4 contests by an average of 17.3 points. Lay the points.
|
12-06-12 |
Vanderbilt +11.5 v. Xavier |
|
66-64 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Vanderbilt +11.5 The Key: The Commodores are an impressive 15-6 ATS in road lined games over the last 3 seasons. Furthermore, they are 6-0 ATS in road games during this span after holding their opponents to 65 points or less in 2 straight games. The Musketeers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Off a big upset win at Purdue, Xavier won't give a Vandy squad it defeated by 12 points last season its full attention. Take the points.
|
12-05-12 |
Orlando Magic v. Utah Jazz -8 |
|
81-87 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Jazz -8 The Key: The Magic are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings with the Jazz, and the 4 losses have come by 9 points or more. Look for a hungry Utah squad that has lost its last three to take out its frustrations all over the Magic tonight.
|
12-05-12 |
New York Knicks v. Charlotte Bobcats +8 |
Top |
100-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bobcats +8 The Key: I expect the Knicks to get caught looking ahead to tomorrow night's showdown with the Miami Heat. Charlotte, meanwhile, wants this game badly. Not only is it looking to end a four-game slide, but it has been embarrassed the last two times it has faced New York. The Knicks have dropped 3 of their last 4 road games and their road struggles will continue tonight.
|
12-05-12 |
Florida v. Florida State +6 |
|
72-47 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Florida State +6 The Key: Off an embarrassing home loss to Mercer and with an 18-point loss at Florida last season also stoking the fire, I expect the Seminoles to put forth their best effort of the season tonight. Under coach Hamilton, FSU is 21-8 ATS as a home underdog or pickem, including 12-4 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pickem. The Noles are also on a 17-8 ATS run in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points.
|
12-04-12 |
Wyoming v. Illinois State -8 |
Top |
81-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Illinois State -8 The Key: Following back-to-back narrow defeats to worthy opponents (Northwestern and Louisville), I expect the Redbirds to bounce back strong at home against a Wyoming team that finds itself in a letdown spot following a big win over Colorado. The Redbirds are an outstanding 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. Wyoming has been an ugly investment on the road, especially when coming off a win. It is on a 41-70 ATS slide in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins. It is also 5-15 ATS as a road underdog or pickem over the last 3 seasons. It has lost these 20 games by an average of 12.1 points. Lay the points.
|
12-04-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Brooklyn Nets +4.5 |
|
117-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nets +4.5 The Key: The Thunder are getting a little too much respect on the road against a Brooklyn team that is 7-1 at home. The Nets are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 home games and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Also, plays against road favorites that have covered the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, if they have won 75% or more of their games and are playing a team that has a winning record, are 93-52 ATS since 1996. These teams have been favored by 3.5 points on average but have only won by an average of 0.4. Take the points.
|
12-03-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. New Orleans Hornets +4.5 |
|
81-102 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +4.5 The Key: The Hornets have been a strong play when catching this many points. In fact, they are 28-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets have won 10 straight at home against Milwaukee, and they are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings (3 SU wins, 1 loss by just 4 points). Take the points.
|
12-03-12 |
USC -2 v. Nebraska |
|
51-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on USC -2 The Key: This is a huge revenge game for an experienced USC team that returns 4 starters. The Trojans have suffered three narrow defeats to the Huskers, who return only 1 starter, over the past 3 seasons, and I expect them to finally have their revenge tonight. The Cornhuskers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall, 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Lay the points.
|
12-02-12 |
California v. Wisconsin -7 |
|
56-81 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 0 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Wisconsin -7 The Key: After coming off an upset loss at home to Virginia and failing to cover the spread in 3 consecutive games, the value now lies with Wisconsin. The Badgers are on a 15-6 ATS run after failing to cover the number in 3 straight games or more. They are also on a 25-12 ATS run when coming off an upset loss. Cal has the better record, but it has benefited from a relatively soft schedule. Wisconsin is the better team, and it has challenged itself in the early going with games against Florida and Creighton. Lay the points.
|
12-01-12 |
Cal Poly Slo v. Saint Marys CA -13.5 |
|
68-86 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on St. Mary's -13.5 The Key: The Mustangs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games, and I expect a major letdown from them tonight following a huge come-from-behind upset win over UCLA. That win guarantees the Gaels will not be overlooking Cal Poly. Plus, Saint Mary's will be lacking no motivation after losing its last two games. Lay the number.
|
12-01-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Chicago Bulls -6.5 |
|
88-93 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bulls -6.5 The Key: This game is all about revenge for the Bulls, who were knocked out of the playoffs by the 76ers last season. It works in Chicago's favor that Philly played a tough one last night. The 76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games when playing without a of rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The 76ers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Chicago. Lay the points.
|
12-01-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. New Orleans Hornets +8.5 |
Top |
100-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hornets +8.5 The Key: I expect a strong showing from New Orleans tonight following a disappointing performance versus Utah in its last home game. That 12-point loss bodes well for us here as the Hornets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a defeat of more than 10 points. It is also worth mentioning that the Hornets are on an awesome 46-24 ATS run as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. They have only lost by an average of 1.3 points in these games. Take the points.
|
11-30-12 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Orlando Magic +4.5 |
Top |
98-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +4.5 The Key: This is a huge game for the Magic, who are out for revenge for two losses to the Nets this month and who are trying to close out their season-high 5-game homestand with a winning record. It actually bodes well for us that the Magic are coming off a double-digit defeat since they are 8-0 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average of 3.5 points in these spots. Also, teams coached by Avery Johnson are just 9-32 ATS all-time following a road win of 10 points or more. Take the points.
|
11-29-12 |
Pepperdine v. Montana State -2 |
|
76-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Bailout on Montana State -2 The Key: Montana State has had this one circled since the season tipped off. That's because it was handed an embarrassing 59-36 defeat at Pepperdine last December. That loss will be the driving force behind a win and cover tonight. The Bobcats enter off a loss but are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a defeat. The Waves are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, and it is significant that they enter off an upset win because they are just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following an upset win at home. They have lost by an average of 8.3 points in this scenario. Lay the deuce.
|
11-28-12 |
Cal State Northridge v. UCLA -14.5 |
|
56-82 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on UCLA -14.5 The Key: This is a highly motivated spot for UCLA after it blew a big lead and lost to Cal Poly in its last game. The Bruins are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games. They are also 54-41 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points under coach Howland. They have won these games by an average of 17.4 points. UCLA is one of the most talented teams in the country, and it will be very focused after the way it was embarrassed last time out.
|
11-28-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Orlando Magic +7.5 |
Top |
110-89 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Game of the Week on Magic +7.5 The Key: The Magic has been solid at home where they are 4-3 this season and should be lacking no confidence after taking Boston to OT as a 5.5-point dog last game. Also, Orlando has won 3 of its last 4 home games against the Spurs with the defeat coming by just 2 points in OT. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. This is also a look ahead spot for San Antonio as it takes on the Heat tomorrow night. Take the points.
|
11-28-12 |
Kent State v. Youngstown State -4 |
|
85-78 |
Loss |
-106 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Youngstown State -4 The Key: Kent State can't be trusted on the road tonight. The Golden Flashes are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 12-22 ATS in all lined games since the beginning of last season. The Penguins, who went 10-4 at home last season, are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Also, the Golden Flashes are just 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Lay the points.
|
11-27-12 |
Illinois-Chicago v. Northern Illinois +6.5 |
Top |
58-46 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Northern Illinois +6.5 The Key: This is Illinois-Chicago's first true road game of the season, and history says the Flames will flame out. NIU has struggled to score the ball in a couple of its games and only averages 57.0 points on the season. However, Illinois-Chicago is on a 0-7 ATS slide in road games versus horrible offensive teams that score 57.0 points or less per game. The Flames have lost by an average score of 69.6 to 62.0 in these 7 instances. The Huskies were held to 46 points in their last game but are Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Take the points.
|
11-27-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5 |
|
91-78 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Cavaliers +2.5 The Key: The Suns can't be trusted on the road where they are 1-5 this season. They are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall. They are also 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Suns are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Cavs. Take the points.
|
11-26-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Utah Jazz -3.5 |
Top |
103-105 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz -3.5 The Key: The home team has been the play in this series lately. It has won the last 2 and 4 of the last 5. The last 2 wins by the home team have come by 19 and 20 points, respectively. Also, the Jazz have been exceptional at home for years. They are off to a 5-0 start at home this season and are 4-1 ATS in those games. 4 of these wins have come by 9 points or more. Bet Utah.
|
11-26-12 |
No. Colorado +15 v. Colorado St |
|
69-85 |
Loss |
-106 |
10 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on N. Colorado +15 The Key: This is a double-revenge spot for Northern Colorado, who has gone down to Colorado State each of the past two seasons. 4 starters return from last year's team which lost 92-78 at home to the Rams, and I expect these guys to be out for some serious revenge tonight. The Bears are an awesome 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 10 or more points. Take the points.
|
11-25-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Philadelphia 76ers -4 |
|
101-104 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers -4 The Key: The Suns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a win. They are on a 0-7 ATS slide versus teams that have a winning record and a 0-5 ATS slide after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The 76ers are 3-0 SU and ATS in the last 3 meetings with each of these wins coming by double digits. Also, the favorite is 18-4 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Lay the points.
|
11-24-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers -1 v. Dallas Mavericks |
|
115-89 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Lakers -1 The Key: The Lakers will be hungry to tonight as they check in off back-to-back defeats. Losing the season's first meeting with Dallas back on Oct. 30 will add more fuel to the fire. Prior to that loss, the Lakers had won 4 straight in the series. They are a much better team than they were the first time these two met this season, and I fully expect them to have their revenge here. The Mavericks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Also, the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take LA.
|
11-24-12 |
Nevada v. Marshall -7 |
Top |
82-89 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB Game of the Week on Marshall -7 The Key Recent history suggests Marshall will be ready to go following an upset loss to Hofstra its last time out. The Thundering Herd are a perfect 6-0 ATS off an upset loss over the last 3 seasons. Plus, Nevada has struggled to defend the 3-point line as it ranks 281st in the country in 3-point percentage defense, allowing its opponents to shoot 37.1% from beyond the arc. Because it doesn't defend the 3-point shot well, it has struggled against volume 3-point shooting teams like Marshall. Nevada is on a 0-6 ATS slide in road games versus teams that attempt 21 or more 3 point shots per game. Lay the number.
|
11-23-12 |
Idaho State +6.5 v. Wright State |
|
45-60 |
Loss |
-106 |
13 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Idaho State +6.5 The Key: Idaho State is showing some nice value catching a good amount of points against a Wright State squad that is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games overall. The Raiders are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games while the Bengals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Take the points as this game goes right down to the wire.
|
11-23-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Boston Celtics +4.5 |
Top |
100-108 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Celtics +4.5 The Key: Oklahoma City is getting too much respect on the road this evening as it goes up against a solid Boston squad that will be hungry following back-to-back disappointing performances. Three of OKC's road contests have been close with two of them being decided by only 2 points so I'm loving Boston catching more than that here. The Thunder are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus Eastern Conference opponents. They are constantly overvalued against East teams with the exception of Miami. Take the points.
|
11-21-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Sacramento Kings +5.5 |
Top |
97-113 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings +5.5 The Key: The Lakers have lost their last two in Sacramento by 9 and 17 points and will have a difficult time avenging those losses considering how fatigued they are. They played last night and this will be their third game in four days. They are just 20-35 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons and have only won by an average of 2.5 points in these games. Take the points.
|
11-21-12 |
Texas-San Antonio v. Brigham Young -17 |
|
62-81 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on BYU -17 The Key: After suffering back-to-back losses to quality programs, the Cougars will be ready to run up the score on an inferior opponent tonight. They are a rock solid 50-38 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points under coach Rose and have won these games by an average of 19.0 points. Lay the number.
|
11-20-12 |
Cornell +11.5 v. Arizona St |
Top |
53-64 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cornell +11.5 The Key: The Big Red went down hard at Wisconsin (73-40) last game, but that won't keep me off them here. That's because they are a perfect 6-0 ATS all-time under coach Courtney following a loss of 15 points or more. They are a perfect 7-0 ATS all-time under Courtney following a road loss of 10 points or more and have won these contests by an average of 6.6 points. Also, ASU has been a dead fade when laying points. It is just 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games as a favorite and has lost these games by an average of 3.1 points.
|
11-20-12 |
Toronto Raptors +5.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
|
98-106 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Raptors +5.5 The Key: This is a big revenge game for the Raptors, who lost by 93-83 at home to the 76ers Nov. 10. Toronto is on an awesome 18-8 ATS run when out for revenge for a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent. It's also worth mentioning that Philly is just 68-104 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996. The Raptors are 18-5-2 ATS in the last 25 meetings in Philadelphia, and the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
|
11-19-12 |
Denver Nuggets +7.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
|
97-92 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nuggets +7.5 The Key: I know Memphis has been rolling and Denver has lost 3 in a row, but the Nuggets clearly aren't getting the respect they deserve here. Denver is 53-35 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons, 42-25 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and 30-12 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The Grizzlies are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing record.
|
11-19-12 |
Virginia Tech v. NC-Greensboro +6 |
|
96-87 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on North Carolina Greensboro +6 The Key: VA Tech can't be trusted laying points on the road. It is on a 9-21 ATS slide as a road favorite or pickem and a 5-15 ATS skid as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pickem. NC Greensboro is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 home games, 5-2 ATS in its last 7 vs. the ACC and 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games vs. a team with a winning percentage greater than .600.
|
11-18-12 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Sacramento Kings +3.5 |
|
99-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Kings +3.5 The Key: The Nets have really struggled in Sacramento, where they have lost or won by fewer than 3 points in 12 of the last 13 meetings. The home team is on a 5-1 ATS run in the series. Also, the Nets are just 25-51-2 ATS in their last 78 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400, 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 road games versus a team with a losing mark at home and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Take the points.
|
11-18-12 |
Nebraska Omaha +15 v. Nebraska |
|
62-75 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Nebraska Omaha +15 The Key: Plays against favorites of 10 or more points following a win of 6 points or less that are up against an opponent coming off a loss by 15 points or more are 72-40 ATS the last 3 seasons. These teams have been favored by an average of 15.3 points but have only won by an average of 13.7. Also, the Cornhuskers are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games. Take the points.
|
11-17-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Charlotte Bobcats +6 |
|
94-87 |
Loss |
-115 |
14 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bobcats +6 The Key: Off three consecutive big wins over Miami, Oklahoma City and New York, I'm expect a letdown from Memphis. The Bobcats have played Memphis tough. In fact, they have won 5 of the last 7 meetings. The Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.
|
11-16-12 |
Washington State v. Pepperdine +10 |
|
56-58 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Pepperdine +10 The Key: Pepperdine has lost its first two but both of those were on the road. I expect it to show much better in its first home game tonight. This is also a difficult spot for Washington State, which is going on the road for the first time and has a big game against Kansas on deck. Don't be surprised if the Cougars get caught looking ahead here. The Waves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Pac-12 and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take the points.
|
11-16-12 |
New York Knicks v. Memphis Grizzlies -5.5 |
Top |
95-105 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies -5.5 The Key: The Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 1 day of rest. They are also on an 8-0 ATS run versus teams that outscore their opponents by 6+ points/game and an 8-0 ATS run after 5 straight games of committing 14 or less turnovers. The Grizz have taken it to the Heat and Thunder - the two top teams in the NBA last season - in their last two games, and I expect them to hand the Knicks their first loss of the season tonight.
|
11-15-12 |
Western Carolina +17.5 v. Wichita State |
Top |
63-79 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Western Carolina +17.5 The Key: This is a big letdown spot for Wichita State following an emotional win on the road against a Virginia Commonwealth team it was upset by in last season's Big Dance. Plus, Wichita State has had very little time to get prepared for this game as it played VCU Tuesday and had to travel back home. Western Carolina has had 3 full days to gear up for this one. The Catamounts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. Take the points.
|
11-14-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Golden State Warriors -1.5 |
|
88-92 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Warriors -1.5 The Key: Golden State has been a quality investment in bounce back spots. It is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a loss. It especially works in our favor that it is coming off consecutive defeats because it is 18-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Lay the number.
|
11-14-12 |
Toledo +14 v. Northern Iowa |
|
81-84 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Toledo +14 The Key: The Rockets have dropped each of their first two games by double digits but are an impressive 6-0 ATS in road games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more. Also, the UNI Panthers are just 14-29 ATS in their last 43 games as a home favorite of 10 or more points. Take the points.
|
11-13-12 |
Cal Irvine +18 v. UCLA |
|
79-80 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Cal Irvine +18 The Key: Plays on underdogs of 10 or more points that had a losing record last season and return all five starters from that team are 71-38 ATS since 1997. Teams fitting this scenario have only lost by an average of 14.1 points. The Anteaters are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings at UCLA. Take the points.
|
11-13-12 |
New York Knicks v. Orlando Magic +7 |
Top |
99-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +7 The Key: Plays on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that won 45-55% of their games last season are 38-11 ATS since 1996. These teams have won by an average of 0.9 points. This system is already off to a perfect 4-0 ATS start this season. The Magic are being undervalued here, and the above time-tested system supports this claim. Take the points.
|
11-12-12 |
Pennsylvania v. Delaware -9 |
|
69-84 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Delaware -9 The Key: This is a big revenge spot for Delaware, who has lost to Penn by 10 and 9 points, respectively, the past two seasons. Delaware is the superior team this season as it returns all five starters, and losing the last two meetings assures us it won't be taking it easy on the Quakers. Penn returns only two starters and lost three of its top four scorers from last year's squad. The Blue Hens lost their first game to a La Salle team that was hungry to pay them back, but they are on a 55-39 ATS run in games directly following 1 or more consecutive losses. Lay the number.
|
11-12-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Phoenix Suns +5 |
|
100-110 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Suns +5 The Key: This is a big revenge spot for the Suns, who will be out to end a 6-game losing streak in the series. The Suns were pounded at Utah Saturday, but they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They were outrebounded by 23 boards by the Jazz, but they are 11-2 ATS under coach Gentry following a game in which they were outrebounded by 20 or more. They have won these games by an average of 8.4 points. Lastly, the Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games versus Denver.
|
11-12-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Detroit Pistons +6.5 |
Top |
92-90 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +6.5 The Key: The Pistons are 0-7 but have played 6 of their games on the road. Back home and hungry to notch their first win of the year, I expect them to take the Thunder down to the wire. OKC won't be as fresh as Detroit as it played yesterday. And, it will be more interested in its next opponent, Memphis, since it just defeated the Pistons by 11 Friday. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take the Pistons.
|
11-11-12 |
Orlando Magic +8 v. Brooklyn Nets |
|
74-82 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Magic +8 The Key: Orlando will be extremely motivated here after the egg they laid at home against the Nets Friday night. The Magic are on an awesome 6-0 ATS run when checking into a game following a loss of 10.0 points or more at home. Plus, the Nets are on a 0-4 ATS skid when checking into a game off a victory. Prior to Friday's victory, Brooklyn's only other win came by just 7 points at home against the Raptors. Orlando has thumped Denver and Phoenix and played the Bulls to a 6-point game. Take the points as the Magic keep this one closer than the oddsmakers think.
|
11-11-12 |
Eastern Michigan v. Jacksonville State -8 |
|
54-61 |
Loss |
-104 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Jacksonville State -8 The Key: The Eastern Michigan Eagles are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record while the Gamecocks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Eagles are also 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games while the Gamecocks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. The Eagles are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games while the Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games. Jacksonsville State is also 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall, 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games following a win and 5-2 ATS in its last 7 home games. Lay the number.
|
11-10-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Utah Jazz -8 |
|
81-94 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Jazz -8 The Key: The Suns' only road win came against lowly Charlotte. They were blown out on the road by Orlando and Miami. The Jazz have won both of their home games by double digits and they'll be hungry tonight following last night's ugly performance in Denver. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games,1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a win, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Western Conference foes and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on no rest and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Lay the points.
|
11-10-12 |
Eastern Washington +12.5 v. Washington State |
|
69-88 |
Loss |
-106 |
11 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Eastern Washington +12.5 The Key: Eastern Washington will be the hungrier team tonight as it looks to pay the Cougars back for handing it a 75-49 defeat last season. Washington State's backcourt took a big hit with the dismissal of guard Reggie Moore. Moore averaged over 5 assists per game and was clearly the best distributor on the team. Not having Moore will also affect Brock Motum, who built good chemistry with the guard last season. Expect the Cougars to struggle early on. Take the points.
|
11-09-12 |
Maryland Terrapins +10.5 v. Kentucky |
|
69-72 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Maryland +10.5 The Key: Plays on neutral court teams (Maryland) - bad pressure defensive team from last season that forced 12 turnovers or less per game - with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 34-11 ATS since 1997. This system tightens up to 16-4 ATS the last 3 seasons. Kentucky is being overvalued in its opener because it won it all last season. It has brought in an excellent recruiting class but don't expect the new guys to click right away. We're talking about a team that lost Anthony Davis, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Marquis Teague, Terrence Jones, Doron Lamb and Darius Miller to the pros. Maryland has the size up front to contend with the size of Kentucky and should be able to keep this one within the number.
|
11-09-12 |
Indiana Pacers +2 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
|
94-96 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Pacers +2 The Key: Plays on road teams when the line is +3 to -3 that have been outscored by an average of 3.0 points or more per game and are coming off a loss of 6 points or less are 73-33 ATS since 1996. These teams have been underdogs by an average of 0.9 points and have won outright by an average of 1.8 points. Fueled by two straight losses, expect Indiana to bounce back strong against a team it defeated by double digits in both of last season's meetings.
|
11-08-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Portland Trail Blazers +1 |
|
103-90 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Trailblazers +1 The Key: Expect the Clippers to come out flat following last night's emotional win over a San Antonio squad that had swept them in the playoffs. The Blazers are rested having not played since Monday, and they'll be the hungrier team here as they look to avenge two straight narrow defeats to the Clippers. The Blazers have won 6 of their last 7 at home in the series. The Clippers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.
|
11-07-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers +2 |
|
84-106 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Clippers +2 The Key: This game is all about revenge for the Clippers who were swept by the Spurs in last season's playoffs. Following back-to-back defeats, I have no doubt the Clipps will bring passion and energy to the floor tonight. The Spurs are 4-0 but have played 3 of those at home. We went against them in their only road game and earned the cover with the Hornets. They aren't nearly the same team on the highway. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Take L.A.
|
11-07-12 |
Toronto Raptors +6.5 v. Dallas Mavericks |
Top |
104-109 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Game of the Week on Raptors +6.5 The Key: The Raptors are 11-2 ATS in road games following a road loss under coach Casey. They have only lost these games by an average of 2.3 points. Their success in this situation has stemmed from a combination of the books overreacting to their previous loss and their resiliency. It is also worth mentioning that Dallas is just 19-42 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 2 of their last 3 games under coach Carlisle. They have only won these games by an average of 2.9 points. Take the points.
|
11-06-12 |
Orlando Magic v. Chicago Bulls -8.5 |
Top |
93-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bulls -8.5 The Key: One thing you don't want to do is go against the Bulls when they check in off an upset defeat. That's because they are 23-9 ATS all-time under coach Thibodeau following an upset loss. They have bounced back to win by an average of 10.1 points in this situation. Bet Chicago.
|
11-05-12 |
Golden State Warriors v. Sacramento Kings -2 |
Top |
92-94 |
Push |
0 |
13 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings -2 The Key: The Kings will be very motivated as they finally step foot on their home floor following 3 straight road losses to start the season. They won't be lacking any confidence either having played the Bulls and Pacers very tough. The Kings have been exceptional defensively thus far. They rank No. 2 in the NBA in field goal percentage, holding opponents to just 39.2% shooting. They also rank No. 1 in 3-point field goal percentage defense, holding foes to a ridiculous 16.7%. The Warriors haven't shot the ball particularly well in the early going, and I expect them to really struggle from the floor tonight. Take the Kings.
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11-05-12 |
New York Knicks v. Philadelphia 76ers -3.5 |
|
110-88 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
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6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers -3.5 The Key: The 76ers will be very motivated this evening following yesterday's disappointing performance in New York. The Knicks have won each of their first two in impressive fashion as they've shot the lights out but don't expect the shots to fall as easily tonight as they go out on the road for the first time. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss,4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Take Philly.
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11-04-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers +4 v. New York Knicks |
|
84-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 28 m |
Show
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6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers +4 The Key: The Knicks are being overvalued following their blowout win over Miami. They are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points. The 76ers should feel rested and be very prepared having not played since Wednesday. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the road team is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Take the points.
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11-03-12 |
Portland Trail Blazers +5.5 v. Houston Rockets |
Top |
95-85 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 31 m |
Show
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7* NBA Game of the Week on Trailblazers +5.5 The Key: The Rockets are getting a lot of attention with their 2-0 start and the backcourt of Lin and Harden, and they are being overvalued because of it. The Rockets have defeated Portland by more than 5 points just twice in the past 10 meetings. Teams headed up by Kevin McHale are just 3-14 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins. His teams are also just 4-16 ATS in home games following an upset win. The Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games when playing on no rest. Also, the underdog is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.
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11-02-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Los Angeles Lakers +1 |
Top |
105-95 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
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7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers +1 The Key: Off back-to-back losses to start the season, the Lakers will go after this one with all they've got. I expected it to take some time for LA to jell after adding additions like Dwight Howard and Steve Nash. The offense looked good last game as it put up 106 points, but the defense was the issue as it gave up 116. Following that poor defensive effort, I fully expect the Lake Show to show up on both ends of the floor in front of their fans. The Lakers have won 2 straight and 4 of the last 5 versus the Clippers. It is also significant that the Lakers are listed as the home team tonight because they are on a 9-0 run against the Clippers when that's the case. This run speaks both to the Lakers being the superior team and the boost received from having the crowd behind them.
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11-01-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs -2.5 |
|
84-86 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 26 m |
Show
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6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Spurs -2.5 The Key: One thing you don't want to make a habit of is going against the Spurs at home where they are on a 23-6-1 ATS run. They went 3-1 at home against Oklahoma City last season with each of the 3 wins coming by at least 3 points. The Spurs were pushed to the limit by New Orleans last night, but you can expect them to play even harder here as they look for revenge against the team that knocked them out of the playoffs.
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10-31-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. New Orleans Hornets +7 |
Top |
99-95 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
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7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hornets +7 The Key: The Spurs can't be trusted laying this many points on the road against an improved New Orleans' squad. Their two win in New Orleans last season came by a total of five points. The Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games while the Hornets are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games. The home team is on a 19-7 ATS run in this series. Take the Hornets and the points.
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10-30-12 |
Boston Celtics +6.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
107-120 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 13 m |
Show
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7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Celtics +6.5 The Key: Oddsmakers love to overvalue the defending champ in season openers and have done it yet again here. Fading the reigning champ in season openers is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 6 seasons. This is a game the Celtics want badly as they were defeated by the Heat in last season's playoffs. I expect them to take Miami right down to the wire with an opportunity for an outright win. Take the points.
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06-21-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
106-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
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7* NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder +3.5 The Key: The Thunder could just as easily be up 3-1 in this series. They blew an excellent opportunity to even the series Tuesday night but have no reason to hand their head. Because of the format, which will have Games 6 and 7 in Oklahoma City, the Thunder have to feel like they still have a chance to win this series. The Thunder have lost 3 games in a row just 1 other time this season and rebounded to win by 16 points following the skid. The Thunder are 15-5 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games under coach Brooks while the Heat are 5-15 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games under coach Spoelstra. The Thunder are also 40-18 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses and 20-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses under Brooks. Down 3-1, OKC isn't expected to win this series. That means it can play loose tonight. All the pressure is on Miami. We'll take the points as the Thunder extend the series.
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06-19-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
98-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 48 m |
Show
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7* NBA Finals Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder +3.5 The Key: After a pair of narrow defeats in the second and third games of this series, I'm confident the Thunder will break through tonight. Oklahoma City is a strong 39-23 ATS following 2 consecutive losses to an opponent under coach Brooks. It has won by an average of 0.6 points in this spot. It is also 40-17 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses under Brooks, winning by an average of 1.4 points in this spot. The Thunder are a terrific free throw shooting team but were outscored 31-15 at the line in Game 3 as they only connected on 62.5 percent of their attempts. I don't see OKC getting punished at the line like that again. Consider that Miami is only 8-23 ATS in its last 31 home games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making >=80% of their shots. The Heat have lost to these foes by an average of 4.5 points. Take the points.
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06-17-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
85-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 42 m |
Show
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7* Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder +4.5 The Key: The Thunder got out very slow in both Games 1 and 2. They were able to earn a come-from-behind victory in Game 1 but fell short in their comeback attempt in Game 2. They quite possibly could have completed another comeback in Game 2 had a foul been called on LeBron James when he was defending Durant's baseline runner. The focus for OKC tonight will be to not dig themselves a hole early. The key will be Westbrook not taking poor shots early in the shot clock during the first quarter. I expect him to make an effort to go to Durant early to get him off. The Thunder are the more explosive offensive team and will have an excellent opportunity to win this game if they can keep it close in the first quarter. The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 60-29-1 ATS in their last 90 games following a SU loss. The road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings and the Thunder are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Miami.
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06-14-12 |
Miami Heat v. Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 |
Top |
100-96 |
Loss |
-104 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
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7* NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder -5.5 The Key: Going back to last season, the Heat are now 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 NBA Finals contests. They are also 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. In addition, OKC is 9-0 at home in these playoffs with those wins coming by an average of 10.7 points. Miami got good production from its role players in Game 1, but it still wasn't enough. The Thunder came back from 13 down despite getting much of anything from spark plug James Harden. I like Harden to be a major factor tonight and for the Thunder to go up 2-0. Lay the points.
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06-12-12 |
Miami Heat v. Oklahoma City Thunder -5 |
Top |
94-105 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 21 m |
Show
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7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder -5 The Key: When the Heat have been deemed an underdog by the books it has been for good reason as they are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. The Thunder, on the other hand, are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Oklahoma City is also 4-0 ATS in its last 4 home games, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win and 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. The Thunder are the more rested team, and they have the advantage at home where they haven't lost in these playoffs.
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