6* Grizzlies/Thunder UNDER 197.5
The Key: The Under is 5-2 in the Grizzlies' last 7 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Under is 3-1-1 in the Thunder's last 5 overall and 9-4-1 in their last 14 games playing on 1 days' rest. Take the Under.

7* NBA Playoff "Total" Annihilator on Celtics/Heat UNDER 182.5
The Key: The Under is 7-1-1 in Miami's last 9 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 6-1 in its last 7 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Under is 19-7-1 in Boston's last 27 overall, 11-4-1 in its last 16 on the road and 14-2 in its last 16 games when playing with 1 day of rest. Take the Under.

7* NBA Playoff "Total" Annihilator on Spurs/Grizzlies UNDER 189
The Key: The Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these teams in Memphis. The Under is 9-3-1 in the Spurs' last 13 playoff games as an underdog, 8-3 in the Grizzlies' last 11 home games and 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite. Expect defense to take center stage tonight as the Spurs fight to stay alive and the Grizzlies try to close it out.

6* NBA Playoff "Total" Annihilator on Lakers/Hornets UNDER 184
The Key: The Under is 42-19 in the Lakers' last 61 games when playing with a day of rest. The Under is also 9-3 in the Lakers' last 12 road games and 10-3 in the Hornets' last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the Under.

7* NBA Playoffs 1st Round Total of the Year on Nuggets/Thunder UNDER 204.5
The Key: The Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. The Under is 7-1-2 in the Nuggets' last 10 road games. Denver is also 8-1 Under when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in the 2nd half of the season this season. We are only seeing an average of 194.7 total points scored in these games. Pound the Under.

6* NBA "Total" Annihilator (TNT) on Pacers/Bulls OVER 187
The Key: Plays Over on any team (INDIANA) after a game in which both it and its opponent scored 90 points or less, provided its opponent also scored 35 points or less in the first half of its last game, are 42-17 the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have combined with their opponent to score an average of 190.1 points. Take the Over.

6* NBA Playoff "Total" Annihilator on Spurs/Grizzlies OVER 188.5
The Key: Plays Over on home teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (MEMPHIS) - off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival and well rested (playing only their 2nd game in 5 days) - are 35-8 since 1996. We have seen an average of 195.9 total points scored with this system. Also, this system is a perfect 3-0 the last 3 seasons. Bet the Over.

6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Heat/76ers UNDER 189
The Key: The Under is 13-6-1 in the last 20 meetings in this matchup and 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia. The Under is 5-1 in the Heat's last 6 overall and 8-1 in the 76ers' last 9 overall. It is also 5-0 in Miami's last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-0 in the 76ers last 4 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the Under.

6* NBA 'Over the Total' Shootout on Spurs/Grizzlies OVER 191
The Key: Both meetings in Memphis this season went over 200 total points and I fully expect this trend to continue. The Spurs are not the same lock-down defensive team they once were and the Grizzlies' inside game has given them plenty of problems. San Antonio is 11-3 OVER as a road underdog of 3 points or less this season and Memphis 8-0 OVER as a home favorite of 3 points or less this season. Both of these situations are seeing more than 200 total points scored on average.

7* NBA Playoff *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers/Hornets UNDER 184
The Key: The Lakers are 8-0 UNDER in road games in the 2nd half of this season versus good 3 point shooting teams making >=36% of their attempts. We are only seeing an average of 181.6 total points scored in these contests. The Lakers have the third-best 3-point shooting defense in the NBA. They do a great job of contesting shots and their length bothers perimeter shooters. Limiting the number of 3-pointers made bodes well for the Under. We'll take the Under in this one.

7* NBA Playoff *HEAVY HITTER* on Heat/76ers OVER 186
The Key: Miami is 7-0 OVER after a game in which it made 20% of its 3 point shots or worse this season. We are seeing an average of 211.5 total points scored in this situation. The Over is also 5-1 in the 76ers' last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Pound the Over.

7* NBA Playoff Total of the Week on Hornets/Lakers UNDER 188
The Key: After holding the Hornets to an average of 91.0 points during the regular season, the Lakers gave up 109 points to them in Game 1. I'm extremely confident they'll put the clamps on Chris Paul tonight to keep this one under the number. The Under is 25-10-1 in the Lakers' last 36 games as a home favorite of 11.0 points or more and 36-16 in their last 52 games playing on 2 days rest. Bet the Under.

6* NBA Over/Under *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers UNDER 212
The Key: The Under is 19-7 in the Lakers' last 26 overall, and I feel great about this one finishing Under tonight, considering Amare Stoudemire has been held to an average of just 15.1 points in 11 career regular season road games against the Lakers. The Under is 8-3 in the Lakers' last 11 home games and 12-2 in their last 14 games following an ATS loss. The Under is also 4-1 in the Knicks' last 5 games following a S.U. win of more than 10 points. Pound the Under.

6* NBA Total Annihilator on Cavs/Bobcats OVER 197.5
The Key: Odds makers are yet to adjust their line to reflect Charlotte's new uptempo style of play. The Bobcats combined with Detroit to score 205 Monday and I expect the Cavs and Bobcats to take this one over 200 as well. The Over is 8-3 in the Bobcats; last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Bet the Over.

6* NBA Total of the Week on Pistons/Bobcats OVER 193
The Key: With Larry Brown out, the Bobcats are expected to play a much more offensive-minded game. In this style they'll score a lot more points and they'll also give up a lot more points. This number is too low for a team that is expected to run and gun under Silas. It is also worth noting that the Over is 7-3 in the Bobcats' last 10 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Making the struggling Bobcats this big of a favorite tells us the books are expecting them to score some points. Bet the Over.

6* NBA Total of the Week (ABC) on Heat/Lakers UNDER 195.5
The Key: The Under is 5-0 in the Heat's last 5 road games. The Under is 14-4 in the Lakers' last 18 overall, 5-0 in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 9-0 in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. Bet the Under.

7* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year (ESPN) on Heat/Knicks UNDER 211
The Key: Odds makers have set the bar way too high here in an attempt to trap the public, who is piling on after seeing the high-scoring game New York played with Boston Wednesday. The Under is 6-0 in the Heat's last 6 after they score 100 points or more in their previous game - further evidence that the books try to trap bettors on previous game results. Take the Under tonight.

7* NBA Playoffs 2nd Round Total of the Year on Lakers/Jazz UNDER 207
While the first 3 games of this series have found their way over the number, the Under is still 7-3 in the last 10 meetings and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Utah. The Lakers are 13-5 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season, and we are only seeing 189.3 points scored in these games on average. In other words, when odds makers have projected a close game for LA, they have almost all been low-scoring. With this being a closeout opportunity for the Lakers, and the Jazz fighting to stay alive, I expect both teams to step it up on the defensive end tonight. Bet the Under.

7* NBA Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz/Lakers UNDER 199
Line analysis tells the story here as the Lakers are 8-1 Under as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season, and we are only seeing an average of 187.2 total points scored in these games. 7 of the last 8 in this series have gone Under and I expect this trend to continue. Bet the Under.

7* NBA Playoffs Total of the Year on Cavs/Bulls UNDER 193
Play Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CLEVELAND) off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 25-4 the last 5 seasons, 15-2 the last 3 seasons and 2-0 this season. And, we are only seeing 184.7 points scored on average in this situation. I expect Game 3 to be a highly intense defensive battle and we should see this one come in Under the number as a result.

6* NCAA Championship Game "Total" Dominator on Butler/Duke UNDER 129
Plays Under on neutral court teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (BUTLER) after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games, are 54-27 since 1997. Teams in this situation have only combined for an average of 121 ppg. Butler has played to the Under in 4 straight and 10 of its last 13 because of how well it defends and because of its slow pace on offense. As a result, this one should also come in Under the number.

6* NIT "Total" Dominator on UNC/Dayton UNDER 139.5
Plays Under on neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (N CAROLINA) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, and up against an opponent that has covered the number in 3 or more consecutive games, are 52-26 the last 5 years. The Under is also 20-7 in the Tar Heels' last 27 overall and 8-2 in the Flyers' last 10 non-conference games. We'll bet the Under behind this strong system.

7* NBA Total of the Month on Lakers/Kings UNDER 208
Plays Under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (LA LAKERS) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season, are 94-58 since 1996, including 40-21 the last 3 seasons. Since we are only seeing an average of 202 total points scored in these games, the Under is showing exceptional value tonight. Pound it!

6* NBA Total of the Week on Jazz/Bucks UNDER 197
The Under is 4-1 in the Jazz's last 5 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 5-0 in the Bucks' last 5 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. The public is all over the Over here, but they are falling right into the bookmakers' trap. Consider that plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, are 64-32 since 1996 and 34-13 the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.

7* ACC Total of the Year on Duke/Maryland UNDER 148
In the last 5 meetings between these two teams we have not seen more than 145 points scored. This total is too high tonight, largely because Maryland just played a game that totaled 204 points, but Duke has played to the Under in 6 of its last 7 due to sensational defense. Here's the key: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DUKE) after allowing 60 points or less 3 straight games, against an opponent that has scored 75 points or more 3 straight games, are 26-5 the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.

6* NBA Total of the Night (ESPN) on Mavs/Hawks UNDER 194.5
Dallas is 9-1 UNDER in road games when revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. We'll bet the Under.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Suns/Thunder UNDER 204
System Play: Plays Under on teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (Phoenix Suns) - a team winning between 51 to 60% of its games, playing a winning team, in February games, are a perfect 15-0 this season. With Nash not in the lineup tonight, the Suns' offense takes a big hit. We'll bet the Under here.

7* Tuesday Night NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Celtics/Kings OVER 199
Here's the key: Plays Over on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games, are 43-14 since 1996. This situation is already 5-1 this season. Pound the Over.

7* Tuesday NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hawks/Grizzlies UNDER 199.5
Play Under on Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 11-1 the last 3 seasons. Bet the Under.

7* Monday Night NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers/Grizzlies UNDER 205.5
With this being the last game of a long road trip, LA's only chance to survive is to slow the game down, and that's precisely what they'll do. The Lakers are 15-5 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing an average of 194.9 points scored in these spots. Take the Under.

7* Friday Night NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Nuggets/Thunder UNDER 203
It doesn't get much better than this. Denver is 14-3 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing 197.6 total points scored in these games. We'll take the Under as this one stays Under 200 total points.

7* Eastern Conference Total of the Year on Celtics/Magic UNDER 190
These two teams have played to the Under in 6 straight and I don't expect that trend to come to an end just yet, especially since Boston is 11-1 Under in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing an average combined score of 177.8 points in these games. Pound the Under.

7* Big East Total of the Year on Notre Dame/Villanova UNDER 167
Odds makers have set the bar way too high in this one. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (VILLANOVA) - after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games against an opponent after scoring 85 points or more are 42-14 the last 5 seasons. Pound the Under.

6* ESPN Prime Time Total on Lakers/Knicks UNDER 201.5
The Under is 40-19 in the Knicks' last 59 overall, including 10-2 in their last 12 home games. The Knicks are also a Perfect 10-0 Under after playing a game as a home favorite this season. The Under is 5-1 in the Lakers' last 6 overall as well. We saw these two teams combine for just 190 points in the season's first meeting and I expect them to stay under the century mark again here.

7* 2010 NBA Total of the Year (TNT) on Lakers/Cavs UNDER 194.5
We've seen 5 straight games in this series go Under the number and 7 of the last 8. We've also seen the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Cleveland go Under the number. The Lakers are only allowing 96.4 ppg and the Cavs are only giving up 94.6 ppg on the season. The Lakers will be extremely motivated to "D" up tonight after giving up 102 points to the Cavs in a loss on Christmas Day and they will have the energy to do so as the Under is 25-10 in the Lakers' last 35 games playing on 2 day's rest. The Under is 6-0 in the Lakers' last 6 games as an underdog and 5-0 in the Cavaliers' last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bet the Under tonight.

7* Vegas Line Mistake on Spurs/Bobcats UNDER 189
In the last 11 meetings between the Spurs and Bobcats, none of those games have exceeded this number with only 2 of those games tying it. As a result, this line is showing exceptional value tonight. Take the Under.

7* NBA Total of the Month on Lakers/Spurs OVER 192
The Lakers are a perfect 13-0 Over this season when both teams score 98 or more points in a game. This should be a given tonight when you consider that San Antonio is averaging 104.6 ppg at home and the Lakers are scoring 100.8 ppg on the road. The last two games in San Antonio went Over easy and we'll ride the Over again here.

7* NBA Total of the Week on Lakers/Blazers UNDER 194.5
The Lakers are 16-4 UNDER off a road loss over the last 2 seasons and the 19-4 UNDER after a combined score of 205 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Expect a defensive battle as both teams try to bounce back tonight.

6* NBA Top Flight Total on Rockets/Lakers UNDER 199.
The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings overall. The Under is 4-0 in the Rockets' last 4 road games and 27-11 in their last 38 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Under is also 5-1 in the Lakers' last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bet the Under.

6* NBA Total of the Night on Bucks/Magic UNDER 195
The Magic are 4-0-1 to the Under in their last 5 and 6-1-1 to the Under in their last 8. The Under is 20-6 in the Magic's last 26 games following an ATS loss and 16-5 in their last 21 games following a S.U. loss. The Under is also 4-0 in the Bucks' last 4 road games. I expect a dominant defensive performance by the Magic tonight to keep this one Under.

6* NBA Total of the Night on Knicks/Pistons UNDER 194
NY has played 7 straight to the Under and it is 10-0 Under this season versus poor 3 point shooting teams making <=33% of their attempts this season. Expect this trend to reach 11-0 as Detroit is only shooting 25.7% from 3 at home this season, scoring only 91.1 ppg. Bet the Under.

6* NBA Total of the Week on Nuggets/Kings UNDER 211.5
The Under is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings between these two teams, 7-1-1 in the Kings' last 9 vs. the NBA Northwest, and 11-4 in the Kings' last 15 vs. a team with a winning record. The Under is also 20-7 in the Nuggets' last 27 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 8-3 in their last 11 vs. the NBA Pacific. Bet the Under.

6* NBA Total of the Night on Thunder/Lakers UNDER 198
OKC is 15-4 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score totaling just 188.6 in these games. Bet the Under.

6* NBA Total of the Night on Jazz/Hawks UNDER 206.5
System Play: Plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (Atlanta) after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 17-1 the last 3 seasons. Bet the Under.

7* NBA Total of the Week on Rockets/Nuggets UNDER 210
The Rockets have played to the Under in 6 straight road games. Plus, they are 7-1 Under in their last 8 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day. Houston is 8-1 Under in its last 9 games overall as it is beginning to play much better defense. The Under is also 4-0 in the Nuggets' last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We'll take the Under tonight.

6* NBA Game of the Night on Kings/Blazers UNDER 200
The Blazers have been an Unders machine at home with 8 of 12 home games coming in Under the number this season. Expect this trend to continue tonight. Plus, Portland is 17-4 Under after a combined score of 205 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The average score in these spots has totaled just 186.2 points. Bet the Under.

6* NBA Total of the Night on Blazers/Cavs UNDER 185.5
System Play: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (CLEVELAND) in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in December games, are 24-4 the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.

6* NBA Total of the Week on Hornets/T-Wolves UNDER 194

Take the Under tonight as Minnesota hosts New Orleans. The T-Wolves have been one of the worst scoring home teams in the NBA this season averaging just 90.7 ppg as the host. As a direct result, the under is no 7-4 in their home contests as the host team usually helps dictate the pace of the game. New Orleans is scoring 99.2 ppg at on the road this season, however they played in New Orleans against Sacramento last night, then made the quick trip up to Minnesota for this game. The last two meetings have been low-scoring affairs and this one shapes up to be exactly the same. Play the under in this game tonight.

6* NCAAB Total of the Week on Vandy/Illinois UNDER 148.5
This line opened at 144.5 and has been bet all the way up to where we see it now, creating great value on the Under. In last year's meeting these two teams didn't make it out of the 60's, combining to score just 132 points. I expect a similar game tonight. Vandy is on a 19-8 Unders run in road games versus good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game, with the average combined score in these games totaling just 143.4 points. Vandy is also 12-3 Under in non-conference games since the beginning of last season with the average combined score totaling just 133.7 points. Bet the Under.

6* NBA Prime Time Total (TNT) on Celtics/Spurs UNDER 188.5
I liked the Under when it opened at 186.5 and with the line moving in our favor I'll jump on it for a 6* play. Boston is 13-4 Under when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing a total of 181.4 points scored in these games. With both teams fighting to keep their 5-game winning streaks alive, I expect a very physical, defensive battle resulting in the Under tonight.

6* NBA Game of the Night on Suns/Knicks UNDER 225.5
Odds makers have set an inflated line here knowing the public perception is that these are two high scoring teams. They've been doing this all season and as a result, we've seen the Knicks play to the Under in 8 of their last 13 and we've seen the Suns play to the Under in 5 of their last 7. Mike D'Antoni knows Nash and company well, having had a lengthy stay in Phoenix, and he also knows that his team isn't going to be able to come out a victor if he tries to run and gun with the better uptempo team. Look for the Knicks to pick their spots to run tonight and to play at a slower pace throughout. Plus, the Suns have the Cavs tomorrow night so I expect them to rest players, especially Nash, if they build any kind of lead. The Under is 20-7 in the Knicks last 27 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 11-4 in the Knicks last 15 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Bet the Under.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* of the Week on Bucks/Hornets UNDER 202
It doesn't get much better than this. New Orleans is a perfect 10-0 UNDER in home games when the total is greater than or equal to 200 since the beginning of last season. The average score in these games is totaling just 194.2 points. In fact, the Under is 17-5 in the Hornets last 22 home games and 18-5 in home games versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game since the beginning of last season. Pound the Under.