4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog  on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats catching a big number on the road against the Purple Eagles in Thursday's MAAC action. Quinnipiac will be out for revenge from a 73-81 home loss to Niagara back in January and it's worth noting that they lost by just 8-points in that game, despite playing about as poor as they could. The Bobcats shot just 37.8% from the field, while allowing the Purple Eagles to shoot 50%. 

This is also a great spot to go against Niagara, as they are in a prime letdown spot here after playing about as well as they could in Sunday's 96-91 upset win at Monmouth. The Purple Eagles are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games off an upset win and are also a worthless 0-7 ATS at home in the month of February over the last 3 seasons. Take Quinnipiac! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Norhteastern -

I look for the Huskies to have no problem going into Delaware and covering this spread against the Blue Hens. Northeastern is currently tied for 2nd in the Colonial at 8-4, just 1-game back of Charleston for the top spot in the conference. Delaware on the other hand is tied for the 2nd worst record in the CAA at 4-8, just 1-game ahead of last place James Madison. 

The Blue Hens have also been a great team to fade when they take a step up in competition. Delaware is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs a team that's won between 60% and 80% of their games and a mere 8-20 ATS in their last 28 vs strong offensive teams that are shooting 45% or better from the field. In both scenarios the Blue Hens are losing on average by double-digits. Take Northeastern! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Hofstra +

I love the value here with the Pride as a dog against the Phoenix on Thursday. Hofstra will be out for revenge from a home loss to Elon earlier this season and are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. As for the Phoenix, they are a mere 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games against a team with a winning road record. 

On top of that we see that Hofstra is 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games when listed as a road dog and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games with a total in the range of 150 to 159.5. 

Adding to all of this is a huge system in favor of the Pride. Road underdogs who are evening a loss where they allowed 75+ points in a game that involves two marginal winning teams are 49-21 (70%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Hofstra! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Marist +

I like the value here with the Red Foxes as a double-digit dog against the Peacocks in Thursday's MAAC action. Marist was just embarrassed in their last game, losing by 34-points at home to Iona and that should lead to a big time effort here from the Red Foxes. 

St. Peter's comes in off a 15-point home loss against one of the top teams in the conference in Canisius and are now just 1-7 in their last 9 games. Simply put this team has no business being a double-digit favorite here. The Peacocks are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 following a double-digit loss at home and a mere 8-25 ATS in their last 33 home games after a stretch where they have lost 8 or more of their last 10.

The Red Foxes on the other hand are 22-10 ATS in their last 32 in this price range of a road dog of 9.5 to 12 points. They are also 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 off a double-digit loss at home and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Marist! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Florida -9)

I really like this spot for the Gators to win in blowout fashion at home against LSU on Wednesday. Florida is going to be a pissed off group when they take the floor in this one. The Gators come in off back-to-back losses. The most recent being an ugly 18-point upset loss at home to Alabama as a 8-point favorite. The big key here is we know this is a really good Florida team and let's not forget the last time they lost at home was to South Carolina and they came back the very next game and destroyed a good Baylor team by 21-points. 

The other key here is that LSU is a team they can put away early and win comfortably against. The Tigers come in off a win and cover at home against Arkansas, but are just 2-5 SU in their last 7 games and have lost 3 straight on the road in SEC play, including a 23-point loss to Tennessee and 25-piont loss at Auburn in their last two away from home. 

The favorite is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series and LSU is just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 off a conference win and just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 off a home conference win. Take Florida! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Missouri +

I like the value here with the Tigers catching points against the Rebels in Tuesdays' SEC matchup. Missouri has been better than anticipated without star freshman Michael Porter Jr. The Tigers are 15-8 with a 5-5 record in the SEC and if the season were to end today they would be a NCAA Tournament team. Ole Miss on the other hand is just 11-12 with a mere 4-6 record in league play. 

The Rebels come into this game struggling to get anything going. They have lost 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall. I think Ole Miss will find it difficult to get on the right track against Missouri, who are an excellent defensive team. The Tigers rank in the Top 25 in the country in field goal % allowed (39.9%) and defending the 3-pointer (31%). The Rebels rank 238th in shooting at 43.5% and 252nd in 3-point shooting at 33.6%. Factor in that Ole Miss is 281st allowing 76.8 ppg and struggle to defend the 3-pointer and are facing a good 3-point shooting team and all signs point to the Tigers getting the victory here. Take Missouri! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Tennessee + 

The public is all of Kentucky as a slim home favorite, but I think the Vols are the right side in Tuesday's big SEC showdown on ESPN. Tennessee has been one of the bigger surprises this season, as they come in at 17-5 overall and 7-3 in the SEC. One of those wins was a comfortable 76-65 home win over Kentucky back in early January.

As much respect as I have for Calipari and what this Wildcats program has been able to do, I think it has them getting a little too much respect with this years team, which is way down in comparison to what we have seen in the past. That's pretty evident when you look at the fact that Kentucky is just 9-13 ATS on the season and are a mere 2-7-1 ATS in their 10 conference games.

While the Wildcats do have a 13-1 record at home, we did just recently see them lose to Florida on their home floor and Tennessee has gone 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in their 10 games away from home this season. I think the Vols pull off the upset tonight. Take Tennessee! 

4* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Kings -

I like the value here with Sacramento at basically a pick'em on their home floor against the Bulls. Chicago had something going, but it's been all down hill of late. It started with the injury to Kris Dunn that has had him out the last 7 games and won't be suiting up tonight. Then the team traded away their best player in Mirotic, whose return from injury is what sparked their big turnaround. Note they were just 3-20 before he played his first game. They have played the last two without talented rookie Lauri Markkanen, as he was with his family for the birth of his child. He was expected to play tonight, but a flight cancelation has him ruled out. 

Simply put, this is not the same Bulls as they were a couple weeks ago, but are still getting some respect from the books for that run. Sacramento is also a team the public wants nothing to do with, which only adds to the value here with the Kings, who are an impressive 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs the Eastern Conference. Take Sacramento! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Wizards +

Washington has won 4 straight without their All-Star point guard John Wall and have covered the spread in all 4 games, winning twice outright as underdogs. The most recent was a 17 point win as a mere 5-point favorite at Orlando. Simply put the books are undervaluing the Wizards right now because of the Wall injury. Washington's offense hasn't missed Wall at all, as they come in averaging 116 ppg over their last 5. 

The Pacers are a much better team at home, but have really struggled to figure out this Washington team. The Wizards have covered each of their last 8 trips to Indiana, as the road team has now gone a ridiculous 21-5 ATS in the last 26 meetings in the series. Take Washington! 

4* Patriots/Eagles 'Super Bowl 52' VEGAS INSIDER on Patriots -

I just think the value here is with the Patriots against the Eagles in Super Bowl 52. I know each of the previous Super Bowl trips for Belichick and Brady have resulted in close games and last year's OT win over the Falcons (6-points) was their largest margin of victory in a Super Bowl, but I just think the circumstances here are different. 

This will be the first time during this run that the Patriots have gone up against a backup quarterback the caliber of Nick Foles, who I don't think is very good. Sure, Foles played well at home in the NFC Championship Game against the Vikings, but I think a lot of that had to do with Minnesota coming out flat off that miracle win the week before agains the Saints. Foles only guided the Eagles to 15-points in the previous game against the Falcons and I think we see their offense struggle to score against a Patriots defense that will be 100% prepared for what the Eagles like to do with 2-weeks to prepare. Take New England! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Temple -

I like the value here with the Owls as a slim 2-point favorite at Tulane on Sunday. Temple comes in having won 4 of 5 and are fresh off a thrilling 81-79 win at home over Wichita State. That followed a 27-point blowout win at home over UCONN. Needless to say the Owls are rolling right now and the Green Wave are certainly a team they can handle away from home. 

I just think Tulane is getting way too much respect here on their home floor. Let's not forget they lost 75-80 in their last home game against USF as a massive 13-point favorite. I also think there's a perception here that Temple is going to suffer a letdown after that big win, but I see them building off that. 

Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Tulane and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 on the road after a game where 155 combined points were scored. Green Wave are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 after playing a game as a road favorite and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 conference home games. Take Temple! 

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on San Francisco -

I like the value here with the Dons laying what I think is a short number here on the road against the Broncos. San Francisco has got off to a disappointment 4-7 start in conference play, but a big part of that is they have already played Gonzaga twice and had to play at St. Mary's. Another one of their losses came at home to Santa Clara, which I think was more of a result of the Dons not showing up after a hard fought 10-pt loss at home to Gonzaga. 

I think we get an all-out effort here from San Francisco in this one and that should lead to a rather comfortable win. The Dons are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 off a SU loss of more than 20 points, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after scoring less than 50 points and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Take San Francisco! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on UCLA -

I like the value here with the Bruins laying a short number at home against the Trojans. USC comes in having won 6 straight games and are 4-1-1 ATS during this stretch. I think it has the Trojans way overvalue here on the road against a good UCLA squad that is playing with confidence after winning their last two games. The Bruins are also 11-2 on their home floor this season, where they are outscoring opponents by 12.5 ppg. 

Bruins are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and are 5-0 in their last 5 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games overall. It's also worth noting the home team has consistently been the right side, going 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in the series. Take UCLA! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Drexel +

I like the value here with the Dragons catching almost double-digits on the road against the Tribe. Drexel is playing well right now, as they come in having won 3 straight, and are going to be extremely motivated here to get revenge from an earlier loss at home to William & Mary. 

Needless to say the Dragons have been money in this spot. They are 50-28 ATS in their last 78 when revenging a home loss and a much better 24-9 ATS when revenging a home loss of 10 or more points. Take Drexel! 

4* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Illinois State -

I like the value here with the Redbirds as a short home favorite against the Purple Aces on Saturday. Illinois State simply isn't getting enough respect here with this game being on their home floor. The Redbirds are 7-3 at home this season, while Evansville is just 3-7 on the road (getting outscored by nearly 10 ppg). 

Not only does Illinois State have a big home court edge here, but they have also already shown they matchup well with this Evansville side, handing them one of their two home losses earlier this season. Redbirds are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games played on Saturday and 22-7 ATS in their last 29 when they come in having won 2 of their last 3 games. Take Illinois State! 

5* NCAAB West Coast GAME OF THE MONTH on Loyola +

I love the value here with the Lions at basically a pick'em on the road against the Pilots this Saturday. Loyola-Marymount is just 1-5 in their last 6 games, but are fresh off an impressive 76-69 win at home over BYU as a 10-point dog. They have been a lot more competitive than their recent run would suggest, as 4 of those losses were by 7 points or less. 

Not only are we catching the Lions playing with some renewed confidence off that upset win, but they will also come out highly motivated to get revenge from a recent loss to these Pilots. Another big key here is that Portland has a history of not playing well on their home floor. The Pilots are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games and a mere 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take Loyola-Marymount! 

3* NCAAB ATS Heavy HITTER on Wake Forest +

I like the value here with the Demon Deacons catching points at home against Clemson. Wake Forest snapped a 7-game skid with a 76-72 upset win at home over FSU on Wednesday. I think we see the Demon Deacons carry over that momentum for today's home game against the Tigers.

Clemson was able to hold on for a 82-78 win at home over UNC. Easily their best win since losing one of their better players in senior Donte Grantham. I don't think it will be as easy playing at that level on the road without Grantham. Keep in mind that the Tigers are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 conference road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games after playing a game as an underdog. Take Wake Forest! 

3* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Warriors -

I believe the Kings are simply going to be in the wrong place at the wrong time on Friday when they host the Warriors. I expect Golden State to come out looking to make a statement after losing by 30 on the road to the Jazz on Tuesday. That's not just another loss the Warriors are going to shrug off. That's the kind of embarrassing defeat that pisses you off. 

Normally this would potentially be a spot to take the Kings, as it would be easy for Golden State not to take this game seriously. I just don't see that happening and if the Warriors play up to their full potential, Sacramento has no chance of keeping this within 20 points. Take Golden State! 

5* NCAAB Ivy League GAME OF THE  MONTH on Dartmouth +

I love the value here with the Big Green catching points here on the road against the Big Red. The books are just begging for you to take Cornell here with this small number, which only makes me like Dartmouth that much more. The Big Green have lost their last 7 games, but only two of those were at home and they have been a lot more competitive than the skid would lead you to believe. 

The Big Red are getting some love for an upset win at home over Columbia, but let's not forget this is a team that had gone just 1-6 in their last 7 games. Cornell has also not done well in this spot, as they are just 15-32 ATS in their last 47 when listed as a home favorite of 6 points or less. They are also just 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 after a came where they covered the spread. Take Dartmouth!  

4* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats as a big double-digit road dog against the Gaels on Friday. Quinnipiac is more than capable of keeping this within the number. The Bobcats come inlaying extremely well, as they have won 3 straight with the last two being upsets over Marist and Fairfield.

I think we are seeing an inflated number here due to Iona being 6-1 at home, but Quinnipiac has gone 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The Bobcats are also 10-3-1 ATS in their last 13 after a came where they covered the spread and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games after a game where they covered. Take Quinnipiac! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Niagara +

I like the value here with the Purple Eagles catching points on the road against the Peacocks on Friday night. Niagara just won 105-89 at Canisius as a 8-point dog and are now 7-1 in their last 8 games overall.

I look for the Purple Eagles to ride that momentum to another win tonight. St Peters has lost 6 in a row and are just 1-5 ATS during this stretch. Purple Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and the Peacocks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games vs a team with a winning road record. 

Adding to all of this is a great system. Rod teams off a conference win as a dog of 6 points or more are 42-15 ATS over the last 5 seasons when facing a team off 2 or more road losses. That's a 74% system in favor of the Purple Eagles. Take Niagara. 

5* NCAAB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Elon +

I love the value here with the Phoenix catching points on the road against the Tribe. Elon comes in off a 83-76 win at Towson St as a 9-point and I look for them to carry over that momentum in tonight's showdown against William & Mary. The Phoenix will definitely be up for this game, as they have revenge from an upset loss at home to the Tribe a couple weeks back. 

Adding even more value is a great system in play on the Phoenix. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a conference win as a dog of 6 or more are 27-7 (74%) ATS when facing an opponent off a road win by 3 points or less. Take Elon! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on James Madison +

I love the value here with the Dukes catching points on the road against the Dragons. While Drexel comes in off an impressive 68-67 upset win at home over Northeastern as a 6-point dog, I think it works against them here, as it puts in a major letdown spot against at team they lost to already once this season. 

James Madison is also a team that has thrived in the role of the road dog, going 7-1 ATS this season in this spot. Dragons are just 2-12 ATS in their last 14 after playing a game as a home dog, while the Dukes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 at home vs a team that is giving up 77+ points/game at least 15 games into the season. Take James Madison! 

5* NCAAB No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH  on Riverside +

I love the value here with the Highlanders catching points here on the road against the Mustangs. These are two equally bad teams and I just don't see a big enough home court edge for Cal Poly to be laying this many points. UC Riverside has started out 0-7 in Big West play and I see them being extremely motivated to get that first conference win against a team they can compete against. 

It wouldn't be anything new if the Highlanders pulled off the upset. They have done exactly that each of the last two years. They won 72-68 in 2016 as a 8-point dog and last year won 67-56 as a 5-point dog. Cal Poly is also just 8-22 ATS in their last 30 home games and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take UC Riverside! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Baylor +

All the hype around Oklahoma's star freshman Trae Young not only has the Sooners overvalued in the betting market, but it also has put a target on their back. Teams are looking ahead to playing this team and it's hard when you get the best from every single opponent you face. I think this game had a lot to do with Baylor's lackluster showing on the road saturday at Florida, where they lost by 21 points. 

The Sooners are just 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS over their last 7 games. Baylor is a team that finds a way to play their best on the road in Big 12 play, especially against the top teams. They only lost by 3 at West Virginia as a 10-point dog and had Kansas on the ropes before losing by 3-pionts as a 8-point dog. This is a game the Bears are more than capable of winning outright, but should be able to keep it within the number. They are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 road games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 off a loss by more than 20-points. Take Baylor! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS B-L-O-W-O-U-T on Raptors -

This might seem like a lot of points for Toronto to be laying against a team like the Timberwolves, but I actually feel that there is some decent value here with Toronto. Chances are that with free throws late, if the Raptors win here they do so by at least 7. I'm not so sure we will even have to worry about free throws. 

Toronto is coming off a really strong showing in their last game against a red-hot Lakers team, covering as a double-digit favorite. I expect another big effort here in what will be their 3rd straight at home with a full day in between each game. While Toronto is rested, Minnesota is a team that I think is running on fumes right now. The Timberwolves haven't played consecutive games in the same city in more than 2 weeks. They played 2 on the road, 1 at home, 3 more on the road, one at home and now playing their 2nd on the road in a back-to-back spot. Take Toronto! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Marist +

I love the value we are getting here with the Red Foxes as a near double-digit dog at Manhattan on Tuesday. Marist is just 4-17 overall and 1-11 SU in road games this season, but are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games and have covered 3 of their last 4 on the road and barely missed out on a cover in the one that didn't go their way. 

Manhattan simply isn't a good enough team to be laying this many points. The Jaspers have lost 3 of their last 4 and are just 1-3 ATS during this stretch. Marist has failed to cover 2 of their last 3, but that's a positive, as they are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games in this spot. 

Adding to all of this is a great system back a play on the Red Foxes. Underdogs who have won fewer than 20% of their games are 43-17 (72%) ATS when revenging a home loss to an opponent that has a losing record. Take Marist! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Nuggets -

Given normal circumstances this would be a great line to back Boston, but this is not just a normal game for the Celtics. Boston has championship aspirations and they got a chance to put their goals to the test this past Saturday in a showdown at Golden State. That's a game they were really looking forward to and they almost pulled off the upset.

I just have a hard time seeing them being 100% locked in for this game tonight against the Nuggets. Keep in mind that this is also the final game of a 4-game road trip on the west coast, so players could be looking forward to return home and have to be a bit fatigued. 

Denver has some nice talent, but haven't played up to their potential so far. However, they have won 3 straight and I see them being extremely motivated to play well here. Much like the Celtics used the game against the Warriors to see where they were, I think Denver will treat this in a similar way. Simply put the Nuggets are favored for a reason here. Take Denver! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Nebraska +

This Cornhuskers team has been flying under the radar pretty much all season. They were being predicted to finish in the bottom of the Big 10 and some even thought they would be the worst team in the league. Nebraska is 16-8 SU and 16-6 ATS, which includes a 9-2 ATS mark inside Big Ten Play.

The Cornhuskers own the 4th best record in the conference at 7-4, while Wisconsin is 3-6. The Badgers weren't done any favors by the schedule makers, as they have played 5 of their last 6 on the road and have gone just 1-5 during this stretch. Could they bounce back with a win here, certainly, but I just think Nebraska is the much better team and don't feel Wisconsin deserves to be favored by this much. Badgers are 6-3 at home, but when faced against a good team they have struggle at home, losing by 10 to Xavier, by 25 to Ohio State and by 19 to Marquette. I think the Cornhuskers win outright here. Take Nebraska! 

3* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHLATOR on Raptors -

The public is going to be all over the Lakers here with LA coming in having won 4 straight and the Raptors fresh off a home loss to the Jazz. That has me going the other direction and backing Toronto here to win at home by double-digits.

Most of the Lakers recent success has come at home, as they are just 7-15 on the road the road this season. Their struggles away from home stem from a defense that allows 112 ppg on the highway. That's going to make it tough for them to keep pace with the Raptors here, as Toronto is averaging 112.1 ppg at home. Raptors don't just score better at home, they only give up 101.3 ppg on the defensive side of the ball. 

Raptors are a team you want to jump on when they have struggled to cover the numbers, as they are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 when failing to cover 4 of their last 5 games. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their teams. Take Toronto! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Santa’s Clara -

I cashed in on the Broncos on the road Thursday at San Diego and will fire back with them here catching points at Pepperdine. The Waves come in off a mere 1-point win at home over Loyola-Marymount for their first conference win of the season. That's nothing to get excited about, as they are now tied with Loyola-Marymount in the basement of the WCC at 1-8. 

The Broncos are 4-5 in league play and already took care of business against the Waves earlier this season at home and are now 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in the series. Pepperdine is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 when revenging a loss and 1-8 ATS over the last 2 seasons at home when playing on Saturday. Broncos are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games off a conference loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games after scoring 25 or fewer points in the 1st half of their previous game. Take Santa Clara! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on San Diego -

I love the value here with the Toreros as a short road favorite against the Lions on Saturday. San Diego comes in off a 66-58 win at home over Santa Clara and I look for them to carry over that momentum here against Loyola Marymount.

This is a game San Diego needs to win with games against Gonzaga and St Mary's looming on deck. That shouldn't be a problem, as the Lions are a mere 1-8 in conference play and are just 4-5 at home this season. Toreros are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games, while Marymount is just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Take San Diego! 

4* NCAAB Non-Conf Game of the Week  on Alabama +

I like the value here with the Crimson Tide as a home dog against the Sooners on Saturday. I think we are getting a great price here on Alabama because of how much love Oklahoma is getting because of the play of Trae Young. The Sooners have lost 3 straight on the road and couldn't be in a bigger letdown spot after their huge win over Kansas earlier this week. 

Alabama on the other hand is very tough to take down on their home court. The Crimson Tide are a perfect 4-0 at home in SEC play and 9-1 overall. That includes a 22-point win over Texas A&M and a victory over Auburn, who is on top the SEC and has a 18-2 record overall. Adding to this is the fact that Oklahoma is a mere 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games when listed as a favorite. Take Alabama! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO BRAINER on Duke -

I like the value here with the Blue Devils laying a short number at home against Virginia in Saturday's huge ACC showdown. Duke was widely considered the most talented team in the country coming into the season and they haven't disappointed. The fact that the Cavaliers are 19-1 is certainly helping us here and I'm not saying Virginia isn't a good team, I just don't think they can keep it this close against Duke on their home floor.

The Blue Devils are a perfect 10-0 at home this season, where they are averaging 96 ppg. As good as the Cavaliers are defensively, they haven't seen anything like what Duke is going to bring to the table on Saturday and I don't think they have the offensive fire-power to keep pace. 

Adding to all of this is a great system backing a fade of Virginia here. Road underdogs who are an excellent defensive team, allowing 63 or less points/game, and fresh off a game where they held their opponent to 50 or less are just 16-46 (26%) ATS when facing an average defensive team that allows 67-74 points/game. Take Duke! 

3* NBA 76ers/Spurs HEAVY HITTER on Spurs -

I just think this is too good a price to pass up on San Antonio. The Spurs might be without Ginobili, Gay and Leonard, but they come in having won 2 straight and are 20-3 SU and 16-6 ATS at home this season. I just feel this line is a lot lower than it should be due to the fact the 76ers come in off a blowout win and cover over Chicago and are 8-2 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 overall. Only 3 of those 8 wins came on the road and two were against struggling teams in Denver and Phoenix and the other was the Celtics without Irving. 

San Antonio is 6-1 ATS last 7 at home, 11-5-1 ATS last 17 vs the Eastern Conference and 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 when playing with 1 day of rest. Spurs are also 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games vs strong rebounding teams who are averaging 3+ rebounds more than their opponents on the season. Take San Antonio! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS B-L-O-W-O-U-T on Bulls -

I really like the value here with Chicago as a short home favorite against the Lakers on Friday. The Bulls are simply a much better team than their 18-30 record would suggest. This team has been playing so well of late a a lot of people forget they started out the season 3-20. I just don't think they are getting enough respect here at home. 

A big reason for that is the Lakers enter this contest having won 3 straight and are 7-2 in their last 9 games. What people overlook when looking at how well they have been playing, is that 6 of those 7 wins came on their home floor. The only road victory was an overtime win at Dallas, who owns one of the worst records in the league. LA is also still without starting point guard Lonzo Ball and I think they will miss him even more on the road. 

Bulls are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games and 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs a team with a losing record. Lakers are just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 on the road vs a team with a losing home record. Take Chicago! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Dartmouth +

I like the value here with the Big Green as a decently priced road dog against the Bears on Friday. Dartmouth is getting zero love here due to the fact that they are just 4-11 overall and have lost 5 straight. The key here is that Brown is a team they can not only hang with on the road, but beat outright. 

The Big Green lost by just 5 points in their last game, but failed to cover as a 4.5-point dog. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a game where they didn't cover, 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 off a SU defeat and 13-4 ATS over the last 3 seasons when they come into a game having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7. Take Dartmouth! 

5* NCAAB Small Conf GAME OF THE MONTH  on St. Peter's +

I love the value and the spot here with the Peacocks catching a big number here on the road against the Broncs.   St. Peter's comes in having lost 4 straight, but have been a lot more competitive than you would think for a team on a 4-game skid. All 4 losses came by 12-points or less, including a mere 4-point loss at home to Rider. Revenge is a big time motivator in college sports and I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Peacocks returned the favor and won this game outright. 

The road team has dominated this series, going 27-10-2 ATS in the last 39 meetings, with St. Peter's going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Rider. The Peacocks are also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games off a loss. The Broncs are also just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games after 3 or more consecutive wins and 5-15 ATS in their last 20 off a close road win by 3 points or less. Take St. Peter's!

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT B-L-O-W-O-U-T on Santa Clara +

I like the value here with the Broncos catching near double-digits on the road against the Toreros. While San Diego comes in with an overall record of just 7-13, they are 4-4 in conference play. The Broncos lost 60-75 at home to the Gonzaga in their last game, but did cover as a 20 point dog.

Santa Clara is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games off a conference loss and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games off a loss by 15 or more points. San Diego on the other hand is just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of the Broncos. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are off a cover where they lost outright are 66-33 (67%) ATS when facing a team off a road loss by 10 or more points. Take Santa Clara! 

5* NCAAB CAA (Colonial) GAME OF THE MONTH on Northeastern +

I love the value here with the Huskies at basically a pick'em here against the Pride. Northeastern is tied with William & Mary on top the CAA and red-hot right now having won 3 straight, which includes a 20-point road win over William & Mary. I look for the Huskies to have no problem here coming away with a win against Hofstra. 

The Pride upset Northeastern on the road earlier this season, which only adds more fuel to the fire here for the Huskies. Hofstra failed to cover in their last game and that's worth noting, as they are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games after failing to cover the spread. The Pride are also just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games overall and 3-15 ATS over the last 3 seasonswhen playing for just the second time in a week stretch. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in play on the Huskies. Road teams who are listed at +3 to -3 that are revenging a home loss and have won each of their last 2 games by 10 or more points are 30-9 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Northeastern! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Quinnipiac +

I like the value with the Bobcats at basically a pick'em here against the Red Foxes. While Quinnipiac is just 2-9 on the road, Marist is just 3-5 at home and have just 1 win in their last 6 games. They are also just 2-8 in their last 10 overall. 

Bobcats come into this one off a 76-69 win at home over Siena as a 2-point favorite and are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a contest in which they covered the spread. The Bobcats are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs a team with a losing record, while the Red Foxes are a mere 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Quinnipiac! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO BRAINER on William & Mary +

I like the value here with the Tribe catching what I feel is way too many points here against the Tigers. This line would suggest that Towson is the much better team. I don't think that's the case at all. William & Mary is 6-2 in conference play, while the Tigers are just 4-4 and fresh off a loss as a 5.5-point favorite at Wilmington. The Tribe on the other hand just won by 7 on the road as a dog against Elon and are now 6-4 away from home this season. 

Tribe are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games after scoring 80 or more points, 7-0 ATS after a game where they shot 50% or better from the field and 10-0 ATS in their last 10 when revenging a loss. Take William & Mary! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Missouri -

I like the value here with Missouri as a short home favorite against Auburn on Wednesday. Missouri has been better than most expected after losing star freshman Michael Porter Jr and as a result have been undervalued in a number of their games. I really like them here at home at basically a pick'em, as they are 9-1 on their home floor this season. 

Auburn comes in at 17-2 and have been a big surprise, but I also think they aren't quite as good as their record would suggest. Auburn played a really weak non-conference schedule and have yet to face the elite teams in the SEC. They recently lost at Alabama as a 5-point favorite and struggled in their previous road game against a mediocre Mississippi State team. Take Missouri! 

3* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR  on Rockets -

I like the value here with Houston and see the Rockets covering easily on the road Wednesday against the Mavs. The Rockets have won 3 straight and are 5-2 ATS in their last 7. Injuries played a big part in Houston cooling off from their ridiculous pace to start the year that saw them open the season 25-4. Now that everyone is healthy for the Rockets, I think we see them get back to dominating the opposition. 

Dallas had been playing well for a stretch, but are just 3-6 SU in their last 9. I'm sure they will give a big effort here with this game being televised on ESPN, but so will the Rockets. I just don't see the Mavs being able to keep pace offensively. Not to mention this line is basically calling for them to have a shot to win this game outright and I just don't see that being the case. Take Houston! 

5* NCAAB 'ACC' GAME OF THE MONTH on Miami -

I love the value we are getting here with the Hurricanes as a short home favorite against the Cardinals. Louisville is getting way too much respect coming off a 4-game winning streak, while Miami isn't getting near enough respect due to the fact that they come in having lost 2 of their last 3. They did however win their last game, going on the road and handing NC State a rare loss on their home floor. 

One of the key factors here is the home court advantage for the Hurricanes, who are 6-1 at home with the only loss coming against Duke in a game they should have won (led by double-digits). Louisville is 15-4 overall, but just 3-3 away from home and I believe this is their biggest road test since losing 61-90 at Kentucky. They also lost 69-74 at Clemson in ACC play. 

Cardinals are also just 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games after a win, while the Hurricanes are a dominant 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a contest where they made 55% or more of their field goal attempts. Take Miami! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Georgia Tech +

I like the value here with the Yellow Jackets as a double-digit road dog against the Seminoles on Wednesday. Last time out Georgia Tech pushed as a 14-point dog at UNC and the previous game they failed to cover as a 7.5-point home dog to Virginia (lost 48-64). I think those two results are creating the value here with the Yellow Jackets, as well as the fact that the Seminoles are off a 9-point win and cover as a 2-point dog at Va Tech. 

Prior to losing their last two, the Yellow Jackets had really been playing well. They had won 4 straight and covered 5 in a row. I just think they took a big step up in class against the Tar Heels and Cavaliers. FSU is a good team, but I think they are a bit overrated and that's been evident by their mere 3-4 record in ACC play. Seminoles likely win, but I see a much closer game than books are suggesting. Take Georgia Tech! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on LSU +

I love the value here with LSU as a home dog against the Aggies on Tuesday.  Texas A&M comes in having won their last two, but those were home games against Missouri and Ole Miss. Nothing to get excited about. Prior to that they had lost 5 straight and are winless on the road in SEC play with two of the three losses coming by double digits. 

LSU has dropped 3 straight and that's playing into the value here. The Aggies did managed to cover in their most recent win over Missouri, but that's not a good thing for them in terms of covering tonight. Texas A&M is a mere 3-13 ATS over the last 2 seasons after a game where they covered the spread. They are also just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 SEC games and and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs a team with a winning record. Take LSU! 

3* NCAAB KU/Oklahoma ATS ANNIHILATOR  on Oklahoma -

My money is on the Sooners laying a short number at home against the Jayhawks on Tuesday. Oklahoma comes in having lost 2 straight, but both were on the road. The Sooners are a perfect 9-0 at home this season, including a 4-0 record in Big 12 play. 

Defense has been a problem for Kansas inside conference play. While the Jayhawks are allowing just 69.8 ppg on the season, they are giving up 76.9 ppg in the Big 12. Now they go up against one of the most explosive offenses in the country in Oklahoma, which averages 98.9 ppg at home behind freshman sensation Trae Young, who leads the nation at 30.5 ppg. 

KU is a mere 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 following a SU win. Take Oklahoma! 

4* NCAAB K-State/Baylor VEGAS INSIDER on Baylor -

I like the value here with the Bears as a short home favorite against the Wildcats on Monday. Baylor is just 2-5 SU in their last 7 games, but have covered 4 of their last 5, including a mere 3-point loss at Kansas in their last game as a 8-point dog. The previous game they won by 16 at home against Oklahoma St as a similar 4.5-point favorite to what we see here against K-State. 

This has the feeling of a must win game for the Bears and I expect an all-out effort here. I don't think K-State is going to be able to match that intensity. This has the makings of a letdown spot for the Wildcats, who are coming off two huge wins at home over Top 25 teams and have played 5 ranked teams in their last 6 games overall. Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and I expect them to cruise to a win here. Take Baylor! 

3* NBA Situational ANNIHILATOR  on Grizzlies +

I like the value here with Memphis as a home dog against the 76ers on Monday. The public is all over Philadelphia, who comes in having won 3 straight and are 7-1 in their last 8 games. However, I think it's going to be tough for the 76ers to get up here after a grueling stretch that had them play the Raptors at home, Celtics on the road and Bucks at home in a span of just 6 days last week. It won't be easy getting up on the road against the Grizzlies. 

Memphis doesn't get a ton of love and rightfully so with an overall record of 16-29, but this team has quietly been playing well and have been a covering machine. Grizzlies have covered 4 straight and 9 of their last 11 overall. They have won 4 straight at home and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Backing up a possible letdown here for the 76ers is the fact that Philadelphia is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Memphis! 

4* NBA Situational ATS NO BRAINER on Pistons -

I like the value here with Detroit at home against Brooklyn on Sunday. The Pistons come in having dropped 4 straight and their last two at home have seen them lose by 11 to the Hornets and 10 to the Wizards. Guys going in and out of the lineup played a big part of the struggles for Detroit during this stretch and that's why I'm confident backing them here with a near full roster. 

The other thing is how Detroit has historically bounced back from a bad loss, especially when that defeat came on their home floor. The Pistons are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 home games off a loss as a favorite and an even better 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 or more points. Take Detroit! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS ANNIHILATOR on Manhattan +

I like the value here with the Jaspers catching points on the road against the Peacocks. These are two very similar teams and this line suggests that St. Peter's is the superior side. I don't think that's the case at all and wouldn't be the last bit surprised if the Jaspers won this game outright. 

The other big thing here is the Peacocks aren't playing great basketball right now. St. Peter's comes in having lost 3 straight. The most recent being a 84-88 outright loss at home to Rider as a 4-point favorite. Peacocks are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Jaspers on the other hand are 4-1 ATS last 5 off a SU loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Manhattan! 

5* NCAAB Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Pepperdine +

I love the value here with the Waves as a double-digit dog against the Dons on Saturday. We are simply seeing a big overreaction here by the books due to Pepperdine coming in with a 3-16 record and 0-7 mark in league play. San Francisco hasn't exactly been playing well, as they have lost 3 straight, including a 62-65 loss at home to Santa Clara as a 10-point favorite in their last game.

The Dons are also just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs a team with a losing record. 

Adding to this is a great system in favor of the Waves. Road teams off 2 straight conference losses by 10 or more and revenging a same season loss are 89-49 (65%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Pepperdine! 

5* NBA Western Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Rockets +

I like the value here with the Rockets here at home in Saturday's big showdown with the Warriors. James Harden returned to action in Houston's last game and the Rockets cruised to a 116-98 win over a Timberwolves team that had been playing very well. The Rockets might not be able to beat the Warriors in a 7-game series, but I like their chances here at home in this 1-game set, as this one simply means more to Houston than it does Golden State. 

Warriors are overvalued just about every time they take the floor, but even more so when they go up against a good team and the numbers back it up. Golden State is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of fading the Warriors. Teams off a road win as a favorite where they failed to cover the spread are just 16-40 (29%) ATS in the month of January over the last 5 seasons. Take Houston! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sixers -

I like the value here with Philadelphia at home against the Bucks on Saturday. The 76ers are rolling right now. They have won 6 of their last 7 and fresh off a 89-80 win at Boston. They caught a break with the Celtics not having Irving and will catch an even bigger break here, as the Bucks will be without Antetokoumpo and Brogdon.

Milwaukee struggles as it is with the Greek Freak and I just don't see how they are going to be competitive on the road here without him. Not having him on the floor doesn't just hurt their ability to score, but it takes a lot away from their defense. 

76ers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 when they come in having won 3 of 4 and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 after covering 2 or more straight games. This is a team you want to keep riding when they are playing well. Take Philadelphia! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS NO BRAINER on Marist +

I like the value here with the Red Foxes as a big road dog against the Broncs. Maris is just 4-14 on the season, but 2 of those wins have come in league play. That poor record has led to them being undervalued by the books and they come in having covered 3 straight. The most recent being a mere 3-point loss at Siena as a 7.5-point dog. They also lost by just 1-point at Quinnipiac as a 7.5-point dog in their previous road game. 

Rider comes in playing well, but are just 12-25 ATS in their last 37 home games when they come in having won 4 of their last 5. The Red Foxes have been a great bet against good teams, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. The road team is also 12-5 ATS in their last 17 meetings overall. Take Marist! 

3* NCAAB Vegas ATS ANNIHILATOR on William & Mary +

I like the value here with the Tribe as a short road dog against the Phoenix. William & Mary come in off a couple of blowout losses at home against two of the top teams in the CAA in Northeastern and Towson. Prior to that they had started out 5-0 in conference play and I look for them to bounce back in a big way here against Elon. 

Tribe are 27-8-2 ATS in their last 37 off a SU loss and 19-7-2 ATS in their last 26 off a double-digit loss at home. They are also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games after playing 3 or more straight games at home and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Take William & Mary! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cal Poly -

I like the value here with the Mustangs as a short road favorite against the Matadors. Cal Poly comes in off a couple of hard fought losses on the road against Hawaii and UC-Irvine and I think they are primed to bounce back with a big win here against Northridge. Cal Poly is scoring 73.7 ppg in conference play, while the Matadors are averaging a horrific 59 ppg on just 36.2% shooting. That makes it tough to win regardless if you are playing at home or on the road. 

Northridge is just 8-22 ATS in their last 30 home games against a team with a losing road record and a mere 1-10 ATS in their last 11 as a home underdog and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games played on Saturday. Take Cal Poly! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Drexel +

I like the value here with the Dragons catching points on the road against the Dukes. Neither of these teams have been very good in league play, as both come in with a 1-6 record in conference games. I just think the books are giving James Madison too much respect here in what I think is a very evenly matched game, especially with the Dukes missing second leading scorer Joey McLean. 

Both teams also figure to be a bit fatigued playing on one day of rest and it's a spot that James Madison has struggled with, as they are just 2-13 ATS in their last 15 when playing on 1 or less day  of rest. It's worth noting that last time out the Dragons lost by 22 at Towson, as they are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games off a road loss by 20 or more points. Take Drexel! 

4* NCAAB Early Bird HEAVY HITTER  on Niagara +

I like the value here with the Purple Eagles catching points against the Stags. Niagara shouldn't be a dog in this one. Fairfield is just 6-11 overall and a mere 1-5 in league play. The Purple Aces are 12-8 overall with a 5-2 record in conference games and are 7-3 SU and 6-2 ATS on the road this season. 

Niagara is also playing some of their best basketball right now. They just won at Quinnipiac, extending their winning streak to 5. The Stags are headed in the exact opposite direction, as they have lost 5 straight. The most recent being a 6-point loss at Marist as a 5-point favorite. They also lost the game before that at home to Manhattan as a 6.5-point favorite. 

Niagara is a big time threat offensively, averaging 83 ppg and that's worth noting as Fairfield is a mere 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games vs teams who average more than 77 ppg. Purple Eagles are also 26-13 ATS in their last 39 road games vs bad teams who have won between 20% to 40% of their games. Take Niagara! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on North Dakota State +

I like the value here with the Bison catching points on the road against the Mastodons. North Dakota State comes in off an upset loss at home to in-state rival North Dakota. I believe it's going to have the Bison 100% locked in for this showdown against Ft-Wayne.

I don't think there's any question that North Dakota State is the better team. These two teams have 4 common opponents. The Bison are 3-1 in these games, while the Mastodons are just 2-2. NDSU averaged 80.3 ppg against these teams, while giving up only 67 (+13.3). Ft-Wayne only average 72 ppg and allowed 72.8 (-0.8). 

Mastodons are just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 conference games and a mere 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 off a game where they failed to cover the spread. Bison are 5-2 ATS last 7 on the road and 4-0 ATS last 4 off a SU loss. Take North Dakota State! 

3* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Pacers -

I like the value here with Indiana as a short road favorite against the Lakers on Friday. I think we are getting a good price here on the Pacers due to the fact that they are playing on no rest and off a 14-point loss to the Blazers where they scored just 86 points. I think the ugly showing last night will actually help get Indiana motivated for a strong showing tonight. 

More than anything, I think the injury situation for the Lakers is just too much for them to overcome. We know for sure they will be without Ball and Caldwell-Pope and it could get a lot worse. Both Brandon Ingram and Kyle Kuzma are both questionable with injuries. I know they are at home, but I just don't think the Lakers have enough here to keep this competitive. Take Indiana! 

4* NBA Situational ANNIHILATOR on Suns +

I think we are getting some great value here with Phoenix as a near double-digit dog against the Nuggets. Denver just hasn't been able to put it all together this season and a lot of that has to do with the injury to Paul Milsap, which has had him sidelined since late November. He's still out and tonight they aren't expected to have 3rd leading scorer Jamal Murray. I also think we see a tired Nuggets team, as they will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. 

Phoenix has lost 3 straight and are just 1-5 in their last 6, but injuries have really played a big part in their struggles. When this team has been healthy or close to, they have been a dangerous team and I think they are more than capable of going into Denver and getting a win. Note that while the Nuggets likely have some tired legs, the Suns are playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. Take Phoenix! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Yale -

I love the value here with the Bulldogs as a short road favorite against the Bears. These two teams come in with similar overall records and each has played only one league game so far. I think it's got Yale way undervalued here. The Bulldogs were expected to give Harvard a run for their money for the Ivy League title, while Brown was picked by many to finish in the bottom 3 of the league. 

It also just so happens that these two teams only league game was against each other with Yale winning 78-72 at home. While the Bulldogs only won by 6, it should have been more, as they shot 50% from the field and the Bears shot only 43.4%. 

I'm not concerned with the change in venue. Yale has been a great road team when in a similar spot to what we see here. The Bulldogs are 33-16 ATS in their last 49 as a road favorite of 6 or less dating back to 1997 and are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. Take Yale! 

5* NCAAB Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Oregon State +

I love the value here with the Beavers as a home dog against the Bruins. UCLA will be the popular side, but I don't trust the Bruins on the road in this spot. Last time out UCLA lost at home to Colorado 59-68 as a 11-point favorite. The Bruins have only played 3 true road games and the lone win was against a bad Cal team. 

Oregon State might not look like much on paper, especially given they come in having lost 3 of their last 4, but the Beavers are a vastly improved team. Two of those losses came on the road against Arizona and Arizona State (covered both). The other was a 2-point home loss to Utah. Earlier they beat Colorado at home by 19 and I think their ability to frustrate teams defensively will allow them to pull of the upset here. 

UCLA is just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 off a SU loss, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 on the road vs a team with a winning record. Take Oregon State! 

4* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Pepperdine +

I like the value here with the Waves catching double-digits on the road against the Tigers. Needless to say it's been a tough stretch for Pepperdine, as they come in at just 3-15 overall and are 0-8 on the road and 0-6 in conference play. I believe all of that has the Waves way undervalued here against a pretty average Pacific side that is just 9-10 on the year. 

I also think it's going to be tough for the Tigers to give the Waves the respect they deserve, as they are riding high off 3 straight wins and have 3 big games against top tier teams in the conference on deck. Pacific comes in off a 66-54 win at Portland as a 3.5-point favorite, which is worth noting, as the Tigers are just 3-11 ATS after playing their previous game as a favorite and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 60 points or less. Take Pepperdine! 

5* NCAAB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Rider +

I love the value here with the Broncs catching points against the Peacocks. Rider is 11-7 with a 4-2 mark in conference play, while St. Peter's is just 8-9 overall and 2-4 in league play. 

Last time out the Broncs were embarrassed in a 64-91 defeat at Iona, but that puts them in a great spot to rebound and cover against the Peacocks. Rider is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 80 or more points and a perfect 6-0 ATS after giving up 90+. 

The Broncs are also 4-1-1 ATS in their lat 6 road games against a team with strong home record of 60% or better. On top of that, the road team in the series is 26-10-2 over the last 38 meetings, with the Broncs going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 trips to St. Peters's. Take Rider! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog  on Drexel +

I like the value here with the Dragons as a big road dog against the Tigers. Last time out Drexel lost at home to Hofstra 86-91. It was a dismal defensive performance by the Dragons, who not only gave up 90 points, but allowed Hofstra to shoot 61% from the field. Drexel has responded well from a poor defensive effort, as they are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing more than 90 points. 

The other big key here is how strong the road team has been in this series. The home team is a mere 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. On top of that, Towson is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games when they come in having won 2 of their last 3. Take Drexel! 

3* NCAAB Late Night ATS Annihilator on San Diego State -

I like the value here with the Aztecs at home in Wednesday's late night action against the Bulldogs. This is a big bounce back spot for San Diego State, as they come in off a tough 80-83 loss at Boise State over the weekend. Prior to that the Aztecs had won 3 straight all by double-digits. This is also a big revenge game for the SDSU, as they were upset by Fresno State on their home floor last year. 

The Bulldogs come in off a win over New Mexico at home, but failed to cover as a big favorite. It continued a trend of Fresno State failing to cash, as they are now 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games. They are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games (Aztecs are 7-1 at home) and are 0-4 ATS off a SU win. Take San Diego State! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on IUPU Ft Wayne -

I love the value here with the Mastodons as a short road favorite against the Leathernecks. Western Illinois has started out 0-3 in the Summit and that's really not a surprise, as the Leathernecks were the consensus pick to finish in the basement of the league. All 3 losses have come by 12 or more points, including a 21-point loss at home to Nebraska-Omaha as a 3-point favorite. Ft Wayne is 2-2 and last time they beat Nebraska-Omaha at home, which is a good sign that they can make easy work of Western Illinois and cover this spread on the road. 

One thing the Mastodons do well is connect from outside. They come in averaging 10 made 3-pointers per game and that's worth noting as the Leathernecks are just 6-16 ATS in their last 22 vs teams who average 8 or more made 3-pointers. Western Illinois is also just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games when playing a team with a winning record. Take IUPU Ft Wayne! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Temple -

I like the value here with the Owls laying single digits at home against the Golden Hurricane. Both teams come in off heartbreaking losses. Tulsa lost at home by 3-points to No. 5 Wichita State, while Temple fell on a last second shot in OT at home to Memphis. My money here is on the Owls to have the easier time bouncing back from defeat. 

Tulsa put everything they had into that game against the Shockers and I just don't think they will have a lot left in the tank on the road. Note that their last two road games didn't end well, losing by 23 at Houston and by 9 at Memphis. On the flip side, the Owls likely didn't come out with the right intensity against the Tigers as they were fresh off an upset win at SMU as a 10-point dog. 

Golden Hurricane are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games overall and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games off a conference loss. Take Temple! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Ole Miss +

I like the value here with the Rebels as a double-digit dog against the Aggies on Tuesday. Texas A&M was expected to be a Top 10 caliber a team this year and they were well on their way after a 11-1 start. Then things started to go unravel, as players were suspended and injuries piled up. The suspensions aren't a good sign that everyone is all in on the team and I just think this is way too many points for them to be laying. 

Texas A&M comes in having lost 5 straight. The most recent being a 13-point loss at Tennessee. They have also lost at home to LSU and Florida during this stretch. Ole Miss isn't a top tier team in the SEC, but are more than capable of keeping this game close. In fact, the Rebels are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 as a road dog of 10 or more, while the Aggies are a mere 4-13 ATS in their last 17 as a home favorite. Take Ole Miss! 

5* NCAAB 'SEC' GAME OF THE MONTH  on LSU -

I like the value here with the Tigers laying a short number at home against Georgia. LSU has been one of the big surprises early on this season out of the SEC, as not much was expected after last year's 10-21 campaign. Will Wade has done a tremendous job in year one turning the Tigers into a contender and as a result LSU has been a team constantly undervalued by the books. I think that's exactly the case here at home against the Bulldogs. 

Georgia is a good team, but aren't exactly playing well at the moment. They just lost by 7 at home to South Carolina as a 5-point favorite and the game before that they fell by 12 at Missouri. The road struggles have been a theme all season and a big reason why I got no problem laying this short number on LSU here. The Tigers are 7-3 at home and the Bulldogs are a mere 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. 

Georgia's offense has been struggling and have really relied on the defense to keep them a float. In that loss to the Gamecocks, they scored just 57 points and allowed only 64. That's worth bringing up, as the Bulldogs are a miserable 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games after a game where both teams scored fewer than 65 points. Take LSU! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on DePaul +

I like the value here with the Blue Demons catching double-digits on the road against the Golden Eagles. DePaul is just 1-4 in their last 5, but have been competitive during this stretch outside a blowout loss to Villanova. They only lost by 5 at Xavier, 9 at Georgia, won by 17 at St John's and lost by just 7 to Providence. 

Marquette is a decent team, but I think they are getting a little too much respect here against the Blue Demons. The Golden Eagles lost by 11 last time out at Butler and could struggle to get up for this game against an inferior opponent. Plus, Marquette has a big break looming, as they won't play again until 1/24. 

Blue Demons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a winning home record, while the Golden Eagles are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 after allowing 90 or more points in their previous game. Take DePaul! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Suns +

I like the value here with Phoenix catching points at home against the Pacers. Indiana is primed for a letdown here off that huge home win over the Cavs, where they rallied from a 22-point deficit to pull out a 97-95 win. The Suns on the other hand are in a prime bounce back spot after a blowout loss at home to the Rockets on ESPN Friday. 

Phoenix is 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games off a double-digit loss at home. They are also 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a game where they failed to cover the spread and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 off a SU loss. Pacers are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 overall and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs the Western Conference. Take Phoenix! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Indiana -

I like the value here with the Hoosiers at basically a pick'em at home against the Wildcats. We saw Indiana cover in a very similar spot last time out, defeating Penn State 74-70 as a 1.5-point home favorite. The Hoosiers are now 8-3 at home on the season and I think they should be a much bigger favorite here. Big reason they aren't is the fact that Northwestern comes in off a 23-point win at home over Minnesota as a mere 4-point favorite. This is also a Wildcats team a lot was expected of coming into the season, so the books will be quick to overvalue them off a performance like that. 

The Wildcats are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 off a SU win and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS last 5 at home and are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Indiana! 

5* JAC/PIT Divisional Rd GAME OF THE YEAR on Jaguars +

I love the value we are getting here with Jacksonville on Sunday against the Steelers. Say what you want about the Blake Bortles and the Jaguars offense, I think this team is built to have success against Pittsburgh. We saw that first hand in the regular-season, as the Jags went into Pittsburgh and beat the Steelers 30-9. 

Jacksonville's defense made life miserable for Ben Roethlisberger, intercepting him 5 times. That's what everyone talks about, but I think the key to their success in that game was their ability to keep the running game in check. Le'Veon Bell had just 47 rushing yards on 15 attempts and the Steelers as a team only rushed for 70 yards on 20 attempts, which is just 3.5 yards/carry. With the talent they have in the secondary, if they can have similar success against the run, I think Pittsburgh will have a hard time moving the ball. Let's also not forget Antonio Brown is coming off an injury that kept him out the final two weeks of the regular season. 

While there's reason to be optimistic that the Jaguars defense can have similar success against the Steelers offense, I think we could see Jacksonville's offense surprise some people with how well they play. Pittsburgh's defense was one of the best in the NFL early on, but it wasn't the same after they lost Ryan Shazier, especially when it came to stopping the run. If the Jags can have success on the ground, that should open up things for Bortles to make some plays through the air. With all that said, it's not out of the question the Jaguars win this game outright. Take Jacksonville! 

3* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Pistons +

I like the value here with the Pistons at basically a pick'em on the road against the Bulls. Chicago had a nice run, but have come back to reality here of late. The Bulls are just 2-5 SU in their last 7 and 2-4 ATS in their last 6.

Detroit continues to be undervalued due to the injury to Reggie Jackson, but come in having covered 3 straight. The most recent being a 114-80 blowout win at Brooklyn as a mere 2-point favorite. I look for the Pistons to build off that impressive showing here and secure a comfortable road win over their division rivals. Take Chicago! 

3* NCAAB Prime Time HEAVY HITTER on Arkansas -

I like the value here with the Razorbacks as a short home favorite against the Tigers. Last time out Arkansas was upset on their home court by LSU, as the Tigers embarrassed the Razorbacks by 21 points. That was Arkansas first home loss of the season and even with that lopsided defeat the Razorbacks are still outscoring teams on their home floor by nearly 20 ppg. 

Any time a team gets embarrassed the way Arkansas was in their last game, they almost always respond with one of their best efforts in their next game, especially at home. They also make a great team to back, as you often get them at a discount off the blowout loss. Missouri is a good team and playing better than expected without Porter Jr, but are just 4-3 on the road and I just don't see them matching the intensity of the Razorbacks in this one. Take Arkansas! 

4* ATL/PHI Divisional Round NO BRAINER on Falcons -

My money is on the Falcons to go into Philadelphia and take care of business. I cashed on Atlanta last week when they went on the road and beat a very good Rams team as a 6-point dog. The Falcons didn't just sneak out a win, they dominated LA. I think we could see a similar type of lopsided affair here. 

The Eagles might have the edge here in terms of rest, but I just don't think that makes up for the loss of Carson Wentz. Philadelphia continues to talk about how much the trust Nick Foles and how he's more comfortable in the offense. That doesn't change the fact that he's an average backup QB, replacing a legit MVP caliber player. We have seen just how different the offense looks since Wentz has went down and I don't think the bye week is going to help fix that. 

The other big thing with Atlanta that gets overlooked is they played one of the toughest schedules in the league and on top of that had a huge target on their back from playing in the Super Bowl the year before. I think this is the team to beat in the NFC. You also have to factor in their edge in experience. This team knows what it takes to win this time of year and have proven they can do it. Take Atlanta! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Hofstra -

I like the value here the Pride as a short road favorite against the Dragons. Hofstra comes in off a 76-73 win at Towson as a 5-point dog. Their previous road game they won 71-70 at Northeastern as a 5.5-point dog. The Pride are now 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs a team with a winning home record. 

On the flip side of this Drexel is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and are a dismal 1-10 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs a team with a road winning percentage of 60% or better. Take Hofstra!

5* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Towson +

I like the value here with the Tigers catching points on the road against the Tribe. I also think the books are tipping their hand in this one. William & Mary, who are only laying 3-points despite the fact that they come in having won 5 straight and are a perfect 7-0 at home. 

The Tigers have a history of stepping up their game against top level teams on the road. Towson is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games when matched up against top level teams who are outscoring opponents on averaging by 8 or more points/game. The road team is also a solid 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in the series. Take Towson! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Iowa State +

I like the value here with the Cyclones catching points at home against the Bears. Not a lot was expected of this Iowa State team after all they lost from last year's team, but they have been better than expected, despite the results not going their way. Last time out they went on the road and gave Kansas a massive scare before eventually losing 78-83. 

This is a team that has one of the biggest home court advantages in the country and Hilton should be rocking this afternoon. Baylor also hasn't been playing all that great in league play, as they are just 1-3 in the Big 12. They have lost both road games, including a 24-point loss at Texas Tech. 

Cyclones are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 after 2 straight games where they scored 75 points or more, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on Saturday and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take Iowa State! 

4* NCAAB Oklahoma/TCU NO BRAINER on Oklahoma -

I like the value here with the Sooners in Saturday's Big 12 showdown against TCU. Oklahoma has come out of nowhere to be a force behind freshman sensation Trae Young. These two teams already played once and the Sooners knocked off the Horned Frogs at TCU. Oklahoma took control of that game late after trailing early. I expect them to dominate from the start here at home, where they are a perfect 8-0 on the season, outscoring opponents by more than 21 ppg. 

This is also a tough spot for TCU. The Horned Frogs have found life a lot harder in conference play, as they are just 1-3 in the Big 12. Last time out they suffered a crushing double-overtime loss at Texas. I just don't think they will have enough gas in the tank to keep this one close. Take Oklahoma! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT  on Bucks +

I think we are getting great value here with Milwaukee as decently priced home dog against the Warriors on Friday. Golden State is a huge public team and the squares will be backing them big tonight with this being a nationally televised game on ESPN. That has this line a lot higher than it should be, especially with Steph Curry not expected to play for the Warriors. 

No disrespect to the Bucks, but I also think this is a game Golden State will have trouble matching the intensity of their opponents. The Warriors simply have two monster games on deck. They are at Toronto tomorrow, who is one of the hottest teams in the league and then have their much anticipated game at Cleveland on Monday. Milwaukee on the other hand is going to treat this as close to a playoff game as you will see in the regular season. 

Bucks have been a good team to back when they take a step up in competition. They are 8-2-1ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a winning record and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take Milwaukee! 

4* NCAAB Ivy League NO BRAINER Columbia +

I like the value here with the Lions catching double-digits on the road against the Tigers. Columbia comes in with a miserable 3-10 record, but have won each of their last two games and are catching Princeton off a crushing 70-76 loss at Penn in their Ivy League opener.

I look for the Lions to keep this one close, as they have in their last several trips to Princeton. Last year Columbia lost by just 2-points on the road agains the Tigers as a 14-point dog and are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 trips to Princeton. 

It's also worth noting the Tigers are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 off a SU loss and a mere 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games after playing 3 or more straight road games. Lions are 32-11 ATS in their last 43 as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points and perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. Take Columbia! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS HEAVY HITTER on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats catching a big number against the Broncs. Quinnipiac comes in having failed to cover 3 straight and last time they played on the road they lost by 26 to St. Peter's. On the flip side of this, Rider has won and covered 3 straight. There's little doubt these recent results are playing into this big number here with the Bobcats. 

The Broncs are just 8-21 ATS in their last 29 home games after 3 or more consecutive wins and a mere 15-29 in their last 44 off 3 straight conference wins. Quinnipiac on the other hand has been great in this spot, going 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 road games against at team with a winning home record. 

We also find a great system in play on the Bobcats. Road teams off a home win as a favorite where they didn't cover the spread are 44-16 (73%) ATS when playing on Friday over the last 5 seasons. Take Quinnipiac! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on St. Peter's

I love the value here with the Peacocks catching points on the road against the Golden Griffins. St. Peter's has owned this series of late, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings, including their last trip to Canisius, as well as their meeting in the MAAC Tournament. Going back even further the Peacocks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games against the Golden Griffins. 

St. Peter's is also a team that has consistently played well on the road against quality opponents, as they are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games against a team with a winning home record. They are also working on a 35-16 ATS run in their last 51 conference games and are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 when coming off a game where they covered the spread. 

Not only did the Peacocks cover in their last game, they absolutely destroyed Quinnipiac at home 84-58. That has them in a very profitable situation over the last 5 seasons. Road underdogs off a win by 20 or more at least 15 games into the season are 36-9 (80%) ATS if the game is between two average teams with a +/- 3.5 ppg differential. Take St. Peter's! 

5* NCAAB *WCC* GAME OF THE MONTH on San Diego +

I like the value here with the Toreros at basically a pick'em on the road against the Tigers. San Diego comes in at 12-4, but are fresh off a 63-70 loss at St Mary's, which snapped a 4-game winning streak. I look for the Toreros to bounce back in a big way here against a Pacific team that isn't very good. The Tigers are just 7-10 overall and are a mere 2-6 in their last 8. 

More than anything, Pacific should not be favored here against San Diego. You won't find me complaining. The Toreros are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 road games with an impressive 13-2 ATS mark in their last 15 as a road underdog. Pacific won last time out, which is also a plus, as the Tigers are a mere 2-12 in their last 14 off a win and 1-9 ATS when that win was at home. Take San Diego! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Drexel +

I like the value here with the Dragons catching points on the road against the Blue Hens. Drexel is simply undervalued because their record doesn't stack up with Delaware, but I view these two teams as one in the same. If anything, I would argue the Blue Hens are the lesser of the two teams. Either way, the play here is with the Dragons, who I'm confident will win this game outright. 

Delaware is not a good home team. They are just 4-4 on their home floor, where they are getting outscored on the season. The Blue Hens are also just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games when they come into a game having won 5 or 6 of their last 7. Also a great spot to back the Dragons off their blowout loss to William & Mary, as they are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 off a loss by 20 or more points. Take Drexel! 

4* NCAAB Small Conf ATS NO-BRAINER on Hofstra +

I like the value here with the Pride catching points on the road agains the Tigers. Towson has the better overall record, but I don't think there's much that separates these two teams. Both are 2-2 in league play and if anything the Pride have played the tougher schedule to this point. 

My numbers suggest this should be closer to a pick'em, making this an easy play for me on Hofstra. Note that the Pride are an impressive 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a winning record and 14-3 in their last 17 as a road dog, including a perfect 7-0 ATS mark in their last 7 as a road dog of 3.5 to 6 points. Take Hofstra! 

5* NCAAB *MAAC* GAME OF THE MONTH on Manhattan +

I like the value here with the Jaspers catching points against the Stags. Manhattan has already beat Fairfield once this season. The Jaspers held the Stags to just 35% from the field, while they connected on 59% of their shots. There's simply no reason that Manhattan should be this big of a dog here. In fact, my numbers suggest this should be closer to a pick'em. 

Fairfield is only 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games following 3 or more consecutive road games and a mere 1-5 ATS in their last 6 following a loss. Jaspers on the other hand are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning home record. 

We also have a great system in play backing a fade of the Stags. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are a good free throw shooting team (69-73%) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are a mere 16-43 (27%) ATS since 1997. Take Manhattan! 

3* NBA Vegas ATS LINE MISTAKE on Sixers +

I like the value here with the 76ers in Thursday's contest against the Celtics in London. Boston is the better team, but with this game being played overseas, I think it's all about motivation. The Celtics own the best record in the east with a 3-game lead over the Raptors and 5.5-game lead over the Cavs. This is a game they can afford to lose. I just don't think they will be 100% invested in this contest, while I expect Philadelphia to come out looking to make a statement, as this is one of those 'measuring stick' games, where they see how they stack up against one of the elite teams. 

It's also a big revenge game for the 76ers, who have already lost twice to Boston, though they are competitive in each game. Philadelphia has been rolling of late and are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 when they come in having covered the number in 3 or more games. They are also 15-5 ATS in their last 20 after 2 or more consecutive wins and 24-9 in their last 33 when playing a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take the 76ers! 

4* NCAAB 'Late Night' BAILOUT BLOWOUT  on SMU -

This is likely going to seem like a big number to back SMU at home with against Temple. The Owls got off to a decent start, racking up non-conference wins over the likes of South Carolina, Wisconsin and St Joseph's. However, they come in at just 7-8 overall and have lost 5 straight. The most recent being a 21-point loss at UCF as a mere 5-point dog.

I actually think there's some value here with SMU, who is a completely different team at home than on the road. The Mustangs lost their last two, fallowing 70-73 at Tulane as a 7.5-point favorite and 56-76 at Cincinnati as a 7.5-point dog. That should have SMU 100% locked in for this game and I look for them to lay in on the Owls. 

The Mustangs are 11-0 at home, where they are outscoring their opponents by 23.5 ppg, as they are shooting 50.1% from the field and holding their opponents to just 36.8% from the field at home. Mustangs are also 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 home games and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take SMU! 

3* NCAAB 'Situational' ATS ANNIHILATOR on New Mexico -

I like the value here with the Lobos laying a short number at home against the Cowboys. All we basically need here is for New Mexico to win the game outright. The Lobos should have no problem doing just that, as they are 7-3 at home, outscoring their opponents by 17.5 ppg. Wyoming on the other hand is just 3-4 on the road. 

Last time out the Lobos crushed laid it on San Jose State, beating the Spartans 80-47 as a 10-point favorite. New Mexico has responded well off a blowout win, as they are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 off a victory by 30 or more points. 

We also have a great system in play backing a fade of the Cowboys. Teams off a conference home win (Wyoming) going up against a team that won by 30+ in a conference game are 25-57 (30%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take New Mexico! 

4* NBA 'Magic/Bucks' VEGAS INSIDER on Magic +

I like the value here with Orlando catching double-digits on the road Wednesday at Milwaukee. The public wants nothing to do with this Magic team right now. Orlando is a mere 1-14 SU in their last 15 and a pathetic 3-14 ATS in their last 17. Not to mention they are playing on no rest after a game last night in Dallas, which they lost 99-114 as a 7.5-point dog. 

The books had no choice but to inflate this line on the Bucks and I just can't pass up the value here, especially given that Milwaukee hasn't been playing all that great of late and are in a major lookahead spot with a big game at home against the defending champs (Warriors) on deck this Friday. I think the Bucks go through the motions here and do just enough to get the win. 

Milwaukee is just 4-10-3 in their last 17 games against a team from the east and 0-5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs a team with a losing record. Bucks are also just 17-40 in their last 57 when laying double-digits. Take Orlando! 

3* NCAAB Vegas UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG on Wisconsin +

I like the value here with the Badgers catching points on the road against the Cornhuskers. Nebraska is getting a lot of respect for keeping it closer than expected last time out against Purdue, despite losing the game by 12-points. That was simply a bad line by the books, as they continue to overvalue the Boilermakers. The Cornhuskers have now covered the spread in 6 straight games where a line has been posted and I believe we are seeing this line inflated as a result. 

There's no arguing that this isn't the same caliber a Badgers team as previous seasons, but it's not a bottom feeder either. The loss at Rutgers in their last game looks bad on paper, but that's a much improved Scarlet Knights team and I don't think Wisconsin went into that game with the right mindset. That won't be the problem here, as I expect a big time effort and outright win by the Badgers tonight. Take Wisconsin! 

3* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Blazers +

I like the value we are getting here with Portland as a near double-digit dog against the Thunder. The public won't want anything to do with the Blazers in this one, as star point guard Damian Lillard is out with a calf injury. Most will just assume Portland has no chance of keeping close without Lillard. 

What they will overlook is how his absence takes away some of the focus and motivation for OKC, who were already going to have a tough time getting up for this game with tomorrow's big showdown at Minnesota on ESPN. Don't be surprised if the Thunder just go through the motions here and end up finding themselves sin a much closer game than expected. 

Portland has won 2 straight, both at home, which is important to note, as they are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games after 2 or more home wins under head coach Stotts. Blazers are also 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games with a total of 200 to 209.5, while the Thunder are a mere 5-17 ATS in their last 22 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Take Portland! 

5* Alabama/Georgia CFB Champ NO LIMIT Top Play on Georgia +

I think we are getting some exceptional value here with the Bulldogs in Monday's national championship game. Because Alabama has been here before and are coming off the more dominant performance in the semifinals, the perception is that they are the better team and the books are going to inflate this line, knowing the public will be on the Crimson Tide. I'm not so sure that Georgia isn't the better team. If anything, this line should be closer to a pick'em than a touchdown, which makes this an easy play for me. 

Don't be fooled by Georgia's struggles defensively against Oklahoma. I don't know that there's a defense in the country that could slow down Baker Mayfield and that Sooners attack. The Bulldogs made some great adjustments at the half and should have a much easier time shutting down Alabama's offense. The Crimson Tide only had 261 total yards and 16 first down the entire game against Clemson and benefited big time by jumping out to a 10-point lead. This Alabama offense simply isn't that good. 

I know the Crimson Tide defense looked like a different animal against Clemson, but let's not forget they had more than a month to prepare for the Tigers and the past two years have looked great defensively in the semifinals and then struggled in the title game. I think the 1-2 punch of Georgia's rushing attack will be the difference, as I think the Bulldogs win this one outright. Take Georgia! 

3* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR  on Cavs 

I like the value here with Cleveland as a road dog against the Wolves on Monday. No question that Minnesota has been playing much better of late, but I think the Cavs are about to go off here now that Isaiah Thomas is healthy an in the starting lineup. Thomas gives Cleveland another prolific scorer who can take over games when James isn't on the floor, which should allow him to rest a little more and be even that much moor effective when he does play. 

In the first two games with Thomas, Cleveland has scored 127 and 131 points, while shooting over 50% from the field in both games. I just think the Cavs have too much fire-power for the Timberwolves, who have to be a bit fatigued here playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Take Cleveland!