3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Pacers -

The like the value here with the Pacers laying single-digits at home against the Hawks on Friday. Indiana should have no problem winning here going away. The Pacers are going to be extremely motivated off an embarrassing 20-point home loss to the Jazz last time out. Atlanta is the perfect team to get back on track against, as the Hawks are more focused about building for the future than winning games right now. 

Note the last two times that Atlanta traveled to play the Pacers it hasn't gone well. These two met at Indiana back on Feb. 23 and the Pacers won 116-93. The previous meeting at home for the Pacers saw them win by a final of 104-86. 

Pacers are 21-6 ATS in their last 7 off a double-digit loss at home and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs teams from the Eastern Conference. Take Indiana! 

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5* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH on Kentucky -

I love the value here and spot for the Wildcats, as they will take on Georgia in the quarterfinals of the SEC Tournament. Kentucky defeated the Bulldogs in the lone meeting this season and have won 10 straight in the series overall. 

This is a big spot for the Wildcats, who are going to want to bounce back with a strong showing here after an ugly double-digit loss at Florida to close out the regular season. Georgia just isn't a team I feel that can compete with Kentucky given the circumstances. While the Bulldogs will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days, the Wildcats will be playing their first game of the tournament after receiving a double-bye. This is a statement game for Kentucky and I expect them deliver with a convincing win. Take Kentucky! 

5* NCAAB A-10 GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Joe's -

I love the value here with the Hawks in Friday's A-10 action against George Mason. St. Joseph's closed out the regular-season on a tear, going 6-1 in their final 7 games, which includes that impressive 78-48 win at Rhode Island as a 13.5-point dog. I look for the Hawks to have zero problem making easy work of the Patriots. 

George Mason is at a big disadvantage here in terms of rest. While St. Joseph's got a bye for yesterday's action, the Patriots had to take on UMass. It wasn't an easy win, as George Mason escaped with a 75-70 victory. I just don't see them having enough left in the tank here and we know we are going to get the very best the Hawks have to offer. St Joseph's is playing with double-revenge from two extremely close losses to the Patriots, losing by 2 at George Mason and by 3 at home. 

Hawks haven't played since last Saturday and are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games when playing only their 2nd game in a week. They are also 11-2 ATS in their last 13 away from home when they come in having won at least 6 of their last 8 games. Take St. Joseph's! 

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4* NCAAB Early Bird ATS NO-BRAINER on Rhode Island -

I like the value here with Rhode Island in Friday's game against VCU in the quarterfinals of the Atlantic-10 Tournament. VCU is a well-known name for a small-school and aren't often this big of a dog, but they are simply outmatched here against a Rhode Island team that is one of the better teams in the country not everyone knows about. 

Rhode Island comes in at 23-6 overall and won the A-10 regular season title with a mark of 15-3 in conference play. They had a stretch in the season where they won 16 straight. They did close out the regular-season with 2 straight losses and I think that was more of just this team getting a little complacent. I expect to see a different focus an intensity when they take the floor here. 

Rhode Island went on the road and beat VCU 81-68 in early February, which is a good sign they can win by a similar margin on a neutral site. It also helps that Rhode Island will have a big edge here in terms of rest. While they had a bye on Thursday, VCU was playing in a dog fight against Dayton, which they prevailed 77-72. 

I mentioned earlier VCU isn't use to being a big dog. They are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games when getting points. They are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Rhode Island! 

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS MASSACRE on USC -

I like the value here with the Trojans in Thursday's Pac-12 Tournament action against the Beavers. I just think USC is being undervalued here because of the injury to Bennie Boatwright. While that's a big loss in the grand scheme of things, I don't think it will keep the Trojans from making easy work of the Beavers. 

Oregon State comes in off an impressive win over Washington last night, but they needed overtime to do it. The Beavers aren't a dip team and 5 different players logged over 30 minutes in that game. Now Oregon State has to play on no rest against a USC team that got a first round bye.

USC won both meetings during the regular season, including a 7-point win at Oregon State. The Trojans are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games vs a team with a winning record and a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Take USC! 

5* NCAAB MWC GAME OF THE MONTH on Boise State

I like the value here with the Broncos in Thursday's MWC action against the Aggies. Boise State was by the far better team during the regular season. The Broncos went 23-7 with a 13-5 mark in the MWC, while Utah State was just 16-15 with a 8-10 mark in conference play. The Aggies defeated Colorado State 76-65 yesterday, but that was to be expected. 

Now Utah State is being forced to play on no rest, while the Broncos are playing on 4 days of rest. Boise State is going to want to play well in this tournament after going just 3-3 down the stretch. They will also be extremely motivated here playing with revenge from a loss in the last meeting with Utah State. 

The Aggies have won and covered their last two games, but are a mere 2-12 ATS in their last 14 after successfully covering the spread in 2 straight games. They are also a mere 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games against a good team that's won between 60% and 80% of their games. Take Boise State! 

3* NBA Undervalued UNDERDOG on Nets +

I like the value here with the Nets catching a decent number here agains the Hornets. Just when it looked like Charlotte was making a move after winning 5 straight, they have lost their last 4. This team is a miserable 5-9 ATS in their last 14 games. This team continues to get too much respect. 

As bad as the Nets have been, I wouldn't be shocked to see them win this game outright. Brooklyn is starting to get healthy and I think they gained some confidence in their last game against the Warriors. While they lost by 14, they can build on the fact that they took a halftime lead against the defending champs after being down by as many as 21 in the 1st quarter. 

Charlotte has to be a tired team right now and are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games when playing their 8th game in 14 days. They have also really struggled against the Atlantic division, going just 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games. It's the exact opposite for the Nets, who are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs the Southeast. Take Brooklyn! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Prime Time TOP PLAY on Duke

I like the value here with the Blue Devils in Thursday's showdown with Notre Dame in the quarterfinals of the ACC Tournament. There's no question that the Irish are a different team with Colson in the lineup and likely deserve to be included in the NCAA Tournament regardless if they win this game or not. 

Either way, I don't think they will have enough gas left in the tank to keep this game competitive against what should be a very motivated Duke side. Notre Dame had to play in the opening round on Tuesday and scratched out a 67-64 win over Pitt. They then miraculously rallied from 21 down in the 2nd half in yesterday's win over Va Tech.

The Irish will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days against a Duke team that received a double-bye and hasn't played since Saturday. The Blue Devils will cruise to an easy win and cover tonight. Take Duke! 

4* NCAAB ATS HEAVY HITTER on UCLA -

I like the value here with the Bruins laying what I feel is a very short number against the Cardinal. While these two teams finished with identical 11-7 records in Pac-12 play, I believe UCLA is simply the better team and has the more impressive resume. 

The other big key here is the rest advantage that the Bruins have in this contest. Despite the same record, UCLA earned a first round by in the Pac-12 Tournament, while the Cardinal had to play yesterday in opening round action against Cal. Note that Cal is responsible for 2 of Stanford's 5 road wins. 

This is also a good spot to fade Stanford coming off a strong defensive showing against Cal, where they held the Golden Bears to just 58 points. The Cardinal are a mere 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing 60 points or less. Take UCLA! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Kansas -

I like the value here with the Jayhawks laying what I feel is a short number against the Cowboys. I know Oklahoma State swept the season series, but I think there's every reason to expect a different outcome this time around. The Cowboys caught the Jayhawks by surprise in Lawrence the first go around. That wasn't a great spot for KU off two big wins (at home vs Texas A&M and at in-state rival K-State). The second time around was the regular-season finale for both teams, which Oklahoma State rolled to a 18-point win. The big thing there is Kansas already had the conference title locked up, so there wasn't much of anything to play for. 

This time around I'm confident we will get the very best the Jayhawks have to offer. Not only because they are playing with double-revenge, but also because the last thing this team wants is to lose here and go into the NCAA Tournament with zero momentum. I think this one could get out of hand in a hurry, especially with the big rest edge the Jayhawks have with Oklahoma State playing on no rest and off a big win over in-state rival Oklahoma. Take Kansas! 

5* NCAAB Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Arizona -

I like the value here with the Wildcats in Thursday's Pac-12 Tournament action against Colorado. I just think all the outside noise that has surrounded this program of late with head coach Sean Miller and a couple of their star players, has brought Arizona closer together as a team and have them poised for a great postseason run. This is without a doubt one of the most talented teams in the country. 

Colorado comes in off an impressive upset win over Arizona State yesterday, but the Sun Devils have struggled down the stretch. It was only the 5th win away from home all season for the Buffaloes and chances are they won't be able to duplicate that strong performance this afternoon. I think the Wildcats win here comfortably. 

Colorado is a mere 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games off a win and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 off a win by 10 or more points. Wildcats on the other hand are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games after playing their previous game as a home favorite and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games off a conference home win. Take Arizona! 

4* NCAAB Money Line DESTROYER on George Mason 

I like the value here with the Patriots on the money line Thursday against the Minutemen. George Mason closed out the regular season with an ugly 14-point loss at home to Richmond, but keep in mind they were dog in that fight. The Patriots are still a respectable 6-3 over their last 9 games, which includes a win over UMass. 

The Minutemen knocked off LaSalle 69-67 as a 6-point dog yesterday, which followed an 85-75 win over Duquesne at home in their regular-season finale. I think these back-to-back wins have UMass way overvalued here. Keep in mind the Minutemen were a mere 1-11 in their previous 12 games. 

The Patriots won both regular season meetings and history backs them winning the third meeting, as UMass is a mere 1-9 on the money line in their last 10 games when playing with double-revenge. Take George Mason! 

5* NCAAB ATS No-Brainer TOP PLAY on Clemson -

I like the value here with the Tigers laying a short number against the Eagles in Thursday quarterfinals action of the ACC Tournament. Not only is Clemson the better team, but the Tigers have a major edge here in rest. Boston College will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days, while Clemson has yet to play after receiving a double-bye. 

I still think this Tigers team is being undervalued because of the fact that they lost Donte Grantham for the season, but they have played extremely well without him. Clemson should also be plenty motivated here after losing their regular-season finale at Syracuse, as they will want some momentum going into the NCAA Tournament. It's been a nice run for the Eagles, but it stops here. Take Clemson! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Virginia -

I really like the value here with the Cavaliers covering what I think is a short number against the Cardinals. I know Louisville had Virginia on the ropes last Thursday (blew a 13-point lead 2nd half lead and 4-point edge with less than a second to play), but that was on their home floor. Keep in mind that the Cardinals came into that game not playing well and it's likely the Cavaliers didn't give them the respect they deserved. 

I don't see that being a problem this time around. Virginia will be extremely motivated here to play well, as they don't want to go into the NCAA Tournament off an early exit from the ACC Tournament. This is also a well-rested Virginia squad, who hasn't played since Saturday. Louisville on the other hand could be both emotionally and physically drained after a big win over FSU yesterday, as that was one they had to have for any shot at making the field of 68. 

The Cavaliers ended the regular-season with a win at home over Notre Dame, but did fail to cover the spread. Both are important to note, as they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games off a conference win and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 off a game in which they failed to cover the spread. Take Virginia! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Xavier -

I like the value here with the Musketeers covering this spread against the Red Storm on Thursday. Xavier simply isn't getting enough respect here. They went 15-3 in league play with two of those losses coming against Villanova. They swept the season series against St. John's and should have no problem taking them down again. 

Xavier has a history of playing well in games played on a neutral court, as they are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games played at a neutral site. They are also 14-5 ATS in their last 19 tournament games. While St John's won and covered in the first round yesterday against Georgetown, they are still just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. 

Rest is also a key factor here, as Xavier had a first round bye and will be catching the Red Storm in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. I just don't think St. John's is capable of playing well enough on no rest to keep this one competitive. Take Xavier! 

5* NCAAB ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on North Carolina -

I love the value here with the Tar Heels laying single-digits against the Orange on Wednesday. North Carolina is one of the best teams in the country and after losing their final two regular-season games are going to be extremely motivated here to play well in the ACC Tournament, so they have some kind of momentum going into the NCAA Tournament. 

As for Syracuse, they got a huge win yesterday in the opening round against Wake Forest. They still likely need to win here to get in, but I don't see it happening. The Orange simply don't have the offensive fire-power to keep this close and it's only going to be that much harder with tired legs  on rest. 

Syracuse is a mere 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games away from home after a win and are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 road games vs a team that averages 8 or more made 3-pointers a game. Take North Carolina! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on NC State - 

I like the value here with the Wolfpack laying a short number against the Eagles. NC State really closed out the season strong. They went 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS over their last 6 games. The lone hiccup coming in a game at Georgia Tech, where they simply didn't show up to play. I don't see any concern here with NC State showing up. 

The Wolfpack offensively are absolutely rolling right now. They are average 83 ppg over their last 5 and haven't scored fewer than 70 points in a game since the middle of January when they put up just 51 at Virginia. 

Another key here is the rest advantage for the Wolfpack, who received a first round bye, while the Eagles had to suit up yesterday and take on the Yellow Jackets. NC State is also a great tournament team and have gone 30-12 ATS in their last 42 games in the ACC Tournament. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of the Wolfpack. Neutral court favorites who are an explosive offensive team (76+ ppg) that have scored 75+ in 3 straight games are 83-41 (67%) ATS when facing a decent offensive team that averages 74-76 ppg. Take NC State! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Stony Brook +

The Catamounts are the overwhelming favorites to take home the America East Tournament title and earn the automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. I think it has Vermont way overvalued here against the Seawolves. Stony Brook comes in playing well, as they are 5-2 in their last 7 games. They got the America East Tournament started off in style, winning on the road over Albany 69-60 as a 9.5-point dog. 

It's also worth pointing out just how competitive the Seawolves were in both regular-season meetings between these two teams. Stony Brook lost by just 9-points in each meeting. While the game will be played at Vermont, the Catamounts are a mere 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take Stony Brook! 

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5* NCAAB Colonial GAME OF THE MONTH on Northeastern -

Analysis will be posted shortly

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Fresno State +

I like the value here with the Bulldogs catching points on the road against the Lobos. Fresno State comes in off a win at Air Force and are now 6-1 in their last 7 games. They have also won 4 straight on the road. New Mexico comes in having won 4 straight behind some ridiculous shooting, but that's not sustainable and this Bulldogs defense can get after you on the defensive side of the ball. 

Fresno State is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 as a road underdog and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games after allowing 25 points or less in the 1st half of their last game. 

Adding to this is a great system to fade New Mexico. Home favorites who have shot 47% or better from the field in 3 straight games are just 12-35 (25%) ATS over the last 5 seasons when facing a team that held their previous opponent to 33% or less from the field. Take Fresno State! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Louisville +

I like the value here with the Cardinals catching points in Saturday's road contest against the Wolfpack. Louisville will be in desperation mode here, as they need a win to get off the bubble for the NCAA Tournament. It looked like they were going to get that big win in their last game, as they had No. 1 Virginia on the ropes, but somehow blew a 4-point lead with less than 1-second to play. I think we see the Cardinals bounce back in a big way here with a huge road win at NC State. 

Louisville has been a covering machine in the ACC, as they are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 conference games. They also have been a great bet on the road, where they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games. NC State on the other hand is a team that hasn't played up to their potential against the better teams. The Wolfpack are just 7-15 ATS in their last 22 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Louisville! 

5* NCAAB Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Oklahoma  State +

The Cowboys already went into Lawrence and defeated the Jayhawks 84-79 as a huge 12-point dog. I see no reason why we shouldn't expected a similarly competitive game in the rematch and I think there's an excellent chance Oklahoma State wins this one outright.

Keep in mind there's plenty of incentive here for the Cowboys, not only playing against an elite team and Big 12 regular season champ, but it's also senior day. 

The other big factor here is the spot for Kansas. I don't know that revenge is really on the mind of the Jayhawks here. They are coming off two huge wins at Texas Tech and at home against Texas to lock up yet another Big 12 title.

This game really doesn't mean a whole lot and I think Kansas is going to come out a bit flat, as they start to look ahead to next week's Big 12 Tournament and NCAA Tournament. Take Oklahoma State!

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on South Alabama +

I like the value here with the Jaguars in Saturday's Sun Belt action that has them on the road against the Panthers. South Alabama does come into this game having lost 4 straight, but I think it has them way undervalued here. Georgia State is far from an elite team and aren't exactly playing well right now.

The Panthers have lost 4 of their last 5 games, including a 13-point loss to Troy at home as a 7.5-point favorite in their last game. They also lost 82-90 at home to ULM as a 13.5-point favorite during this stretch. 

South Alabama covered last time out against the Georgia Southern and are 13-4 ATS on the season after covering in their previous contest. The Panthers on the other hand are are a mere 8-18 ATS in their last 26 when playing 2 games in a 3 day stretch and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 off a conference loss by 10 or more points. Take South Alabama! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Clemson +

I like the value here with the Tigers at basically a pick'em on the road against the Orange in Saturday's ACC action. This Clemson team has been flying under the radar all season and come in off an impressive 13-point win at home over a good Florida State team. I think they have no problem here against Syracuse. 

The Orange haven't been playing well at all down the stretch. They come in having lost each of their last 3 and are just 3-6 in their last 9. Last time out they got rolled by 15-point at BC. I think the woes for Syracuse continue here at home against the Tigers. Clemson has the talent offensively to attack that Orange zone and are one of the top defensive teams in the ACC. Take Clemson! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Cornell +

I like the value here with the Big Red catching near double-digits on the road against the Crimson. These two teams met back in early February at Cornell and the Big Red nearly pulled off the upset, losing 73-76. That result is important to note, as it sets up Cornell in a very profitable situation. 

The Big Red are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games when revving a loss of 3-points or less. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games overall vs a team with a winning home record and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in the series. Take Cornell! 

5* NCAAB MAAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Rider -

I like the value here with the Broncs laying what I feel is a short number in the quarterfinals of the MAAC Tournament. Rider earned a share of the MAAC regular-season title with a 15-3 league record. That includes two wins over St. Peter's who finished up 9th in the MAAC with a mere 6-12 record. 

The Peacocks did give the Broncs a scare in each of the meetings this season, but it won't be easy keeping this one close. That's because St. Peter's is at a big disadvantage here playin on no rest after taking on Monmouth last night. A game that went right down to the wire, as the Peacocks escaped with a 60-58 win. I just don't see St. Peter's having enough left in the tank here and the Broncs aren't going to overlook them given how close the previous two games were. 

Last time out Rider played in a shootout, defeating Iona 110-101. That's worth noting, as the Broncs are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 90 points. We also see that the Peacocks are a mere 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 off a SU win. Take Rider! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Ohio State -

I like the value here with the Buckeyes laying what I think is a short number here against the Nittany Lions. The fact that Penn State won both regular-season meetings will have some looking to grab the points, but I fully expect Ohio State to not just get their revenge, but to do so in conniving fashion. Note the Buckeyes are a dominant 35-19 ATS in their last 54 when playing with double-revenge. 

Another key factor here is the rest advantage that Ohio State has in this matchup. The Buckeyes are well rested having not played since last Friday, while the Nittany Lions will be playing on 0 days of rest after facing off against Northwestern last night. Penn State is also a mere 1-7 ATS in their last 8 when playing against a top tier team that's won between 60% and 80% of their games. Take Ohio State! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Michigan State -

I'm recommending laying the points here with the Spartans in Friday's quarterfinal action of the Big Ten Tournament. Michigan State will face off against the Badgers in the first game of the day and I think they make easy work of them. Wisconsin has been playing well down the stretch and come in having covered 5 straight, but let's not get carried away. This is still a very mediocre team (15-17 overall) and even with yesterday's win over Maryland, they are still a mere 4-10 away from home this season. 

While the Badgers edged out the Terps on Thursday, they shot just 36% from the field. It doesn't figure to get any better on Friday. Wisconsin's offense shot 37% or worse in both meetings against the Spartans during the regular season. I look for Michigan State to turn the defensive intensity up another notch here in tournament play and should be able to provide more than enough offense to pull away and cover this double-digit spread. 

Note that while the Badgers covered at home recently against Michigan State, the Spartans had gone 10-3 ATS in the previous 13 meetings in the series. They also come in with a dominant 22-9 ATS record in their last 13 games vs a team with a losing record. Take Michigan State! 

4* NCAAB Late Night HEAVY HITTER on Austin Peay -

I like the value here with the Governors laying a short number in Thursday's quarterfinals action of the Ohio Valley Tournament. Austin Peay ended the season on a 7-3 run, which included a 7-point win at Eastern Illinois. The Governors also defeated the Panthers at home by 16 earlier in the year and have won 5 straight in the series. 

I like this spot for Austin Peay off that crushing loss at home to Murray State in their regular-season finale. The Governors are a a rock-solid 6-2 ATS in their last 8 off a SU loss and are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. They also have a big edge in rest here, as they have had a full 4 days off since their last game, while the Panthers had to play last night in the opening round, which they gutted out 73-71 over Tennessee State. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of the Governors. Favorites with a winning record that are playing a team with a losing record on a neutral site are 31-9 (78%) ATS when they come in having gone over the total by 42 or more points in their previous 5 games. Take Austin Peay!  

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Missouri State -

I like the value here with the Bears laying a short number against the Crusaders in Thursday's opening round action of the Missouri Valley Tournament. Missouri State won both meetings during the regular season and I see no reason why they won't finish off the sweep. The Bears won going away by 17 at Valpo back in late December and by 7 at home in the rematch (trailed by 5 at the half). Missouri State's defense was the difference in both meetings. They held the Valpo to just 34.8% shooting on the road and 35.5% at home. Look for their defense to be the difference once again. 

Crusaders are just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games in the first round of a tournament and are a mere 2-10 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games with a total set between 130 and 139.5. Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of the Bears. Favorites with a winning record that are playing a team with a losing record on a neutral site are 31-9 (78%) ATS when they come in having gone over the total by 42 or more points in their previous 5 games. Take Missouri State! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cal +

I like the value here with the Golden Bears catching a big number on the road against the Sun Devils tonight. I just think this is way too many points for Arizona State to be laying here. The Sun Devils aren't exactly playing their best basketball right now. They come in having lost 3 straight. The most recent being a 75-79 defeat at Oregon State, who is now just 6-10 in Pac-12 play. 

There's no denying that Cal is right there with Washington State for the honors of being the worst team in the conference, but I think the Golden Bears show up here. Cal gave the Sun Devils all they could handle in a 8-point home loss earlier this season and now will be out for revenge. This is also a big bounce back spot after getting embarrassed on their home floor 51-68 by Washington last time out. 

Adding to this is a great system in favor of the Golden Bears. Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points who are revenging a same season loss and are off a home loss where they scored 60 or fewer points are a dominant 94-53 (64%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Cal! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Jacksonville State -

I like the value here with the Gamecocks laying what I feel is a short number against the Golden Eagles in Thursday's quarterfinals action of the Ohio Valley Tournament. Jacksonville State closed out the regular season with back-to-back impressive wins. They first knocked off Belmont 78-67 as a 3-point dog and then rolled over Tennessee Tech 66-57 as a mere 3-point road favorite. 

Some might think the Golden Eagles are the play here with revenge from that recent loss, but they also beat Tennessee Tech by 17 on their home floor earlier this month. On top of that, they have an edge here playing on a full 4 days of rest, while the Golden Eagles are on no rest after playing last night against SIU Edwardsville in the opening round. A game they won 60-51, but shot a miserable 34.5% from the field. 

The Gamecocks are an impressive 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs a team with a winning record and are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Golden Eagles are a mere 3-9 ATS in their last 12 off a SU win. Take Jacksonville State! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Charleston Southern +

I like the value here with the Buccaneers catching a decent number against the Bulldogs in the Quarterfinals of the Big South Tournament. Charleston Southern got a tune-up game last night, as they rolled over Presbyterian 68-51, covering the number as a 9.5-point favorite. I like the Bucs chances of carrying over that performance and giving UNC-Asheville all they can handle. 

Charleston Southern lost both regular-season meetings against the Bulldogs, but the key thing is they were competitive in both. They only lost by 10 at UNC-Asheville and by a mere 5-points at home. The Bucs shot 47% or better in both meetings and I believe their ability to score with the Bulldogs will allow them to keep it close and maybe even pull off the upset. Take Charleston Southern! 

5* NCAAB Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Michigan -

I love the value here with the Wolverines laying single-digits against the Hawkeyes this afternoon. Iowa was able to pull away late and defeat Illinois 96-87 in the opening round of the Big Ten Tournament on Wednesday. I'm not reading into that performance at all. Michigan has a big time advantage here in rest with the Hawkeyes playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and let's not forget they swept the season series. They first won by 7 at Iowa and later won by 15 on their home floor. 

While Iowa was able to knock off the Fighting Illini, this Hawkeyes' team has had a miserable time just keeping games competitive on the road. Iowa's loss at Michigan was one 7 losses away from home in Big Ten play by double-digits. The only two exceptions being against Rutgers and Minnesota, who were the first two teams out of the tournament. 

Iowa's inability to defend should allow the Wolverines to pull away. Iowa is giving up staggering 82.3 ppg away from home, while the Wolverines are only allowing 68.6 ppg away from home and have a more than capable offense. Take Michigan! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS HEAVY HITTER  on Dayton +

I like the value here with the Flyers catching points against the Explorers in Wednesday's A-10 action. Dayton has failed to cover 5 straight and are fresh off an embarrassing 25-point loss at Rhode Island. I think it has the Flyers way undervalued here in a game we should get their best effort. 

LaSalle is just not a team I trust laying a short number at home and it's a spot they have not fared well in in the past. The Explorers are a mere 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games with a line of +3 to -3. They are also a miserable 8-20 ATS in their last 28 off a SU win and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs a team with a losing record. Take Dayton! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Creighton -

I like the value here with the Bluejays at this price. Creighton just played arguably their best game of the season, as they knocked off Villanova 89-83 at home this past Saturday. I think we are seeing a shorter number than we should because of the potential letdown here for the Bluejays off that big win, but I'm not as concerned with teams not showing up this late in the season, especially teams like Creighton, who are trying to put the finishing touches on their resume. Keep in mind the Blue Jays were a 7-point road favorite against DePaul earlier this season, which based off that line means they should be around a 13 to 14-point favorite here. 

I actually think there's a better chance the Blue Demons struggle to show up here, as they come in off a big upset win over Marquette at home, snapping a 3-game losing streak. However, DePaul hasn't won back-to-back games since winning 5-straight from 11/26 to 12/11. They are a mere 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 off a SU win. The Bluejays on the other hand are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 off an upset win and a perfect 10-0 ATS in their last 10 home games when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3. Take Creighton! 

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3* NBA Vegas ATS ANNIHILATOR on Hornets -

I like the value here with the Hornets even as a double-digit favorite here at home against the Bulls. Charlotte has come out of the All-Star break playing like a team on a mission to get back in the Eastern Conference playoff race. They have won 3 straight all in convincing fashion. It started with a 111-96 win at home over the Nets, continued with a 122-105 upset win at Washington an added to it most recently with a 114-98 home win over the Pistons. Key here is there's still a ton of work to do, as they are still 4-games out of the 8th and final playoff spot. 

As for Chicago, this is a team I think is trying to lose (tank) and will be a good team to fade going forward, especially on the road. The Bulls lost 104-122 at Minnesota (without Butler) and followed that up with an ugly 87-104 loss at Brooklyn last night. This is now their 3rd road game in 4 days and they are playing on no rest. Look for the Hornets to win this one going away an improve to 5-0 ATS in their last 5 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Take Charlotte! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Miami (OH) +

I like the value here with the Red Hawks catching points on the road against the Golden Flashes. Miami (OH) has been one of the more underrated teams in the MAC this season and that's evident by the fact that they are 10-5 ATS in conference play. They come in off back-to-back upset wins. First they knocked off Buffalo 84-81 as a 6-point home dog. They followed that up with a 64-62 win at Akron as a 1.5-point dog.

I think the streak continues here against a Kent State team they already beat by 11 on their home floor earlier this season. Note Miami really dominated that game, shooting 51.8% from the field, while holding the Golden Flashes to a mere 41%. They also had twice as many 3-pointers (10), while hitting on 40% from deep. 

Kent State is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and a mere 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record. The Golden Flashes are also winless at 0-6 ATS this season when playing a marginal winning team, that's won between 51% and 60% of their games. Take Miami (OH)! 

4* NBA Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Jazz +

I like the value here with the Jazz as a home dog against the Rockets tonight. This line really tells you everything. It's no secret that Houston is one of the best teams in the league and they come in having won 12 straight. Utah had been rolling, but have failed to cover each of their last 4 and the public simply won't trust them here, especially with this short number. 

What the public will overlook here is that this is a really tough spot for the Rockets. Houston just played last night in the thin air of Denver and now has to travel to the thin of Utah. Arguably the toughest back-to-back slate in the league. Add in the possibility that Houston will again be without key reserve Eric Gordon and just how well Utah has been playing (12-1 last 13) I think we see the Jazz pull off the upset here. Take Utah! 

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3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR  on James Madison +

I like the value here with the Dukes catching points on the road against the Phoenix. I just don't trust this Elon team laying points given their current form. The Phoenix have lost 5 straight and have failed to cover all 5 of them. Last time out they lost 59-81 at home to Northeastern as a 3-point dog. Their previous home game they got rolled 67-48 by Delaware as a 1-point dog. 

James Madison is just 3-6 SU in their last 9, but have been a covering machine during this stretch, going 6-2-1 ATS during this run. Last time out they lost by just 2-points on the road to Delaware, covering as a 3.5-point dog. They are now 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 true road games. Dukes are also 9-1 ATS away from home as an underdog this season. Take James Madison! 

5* NCAAB PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Colorado +

I absolutely love the value here with the Buffaloes catching points at home against the Bruins. Colorado is a prime bounce back spot after dropping 3 straight. The most recent being a crushing 9-point loss at home to USC. Not only will the Buffaloes come out swinging against one of the top teams in the Pac-12, but there's added incentive here to win on senior day. 

I also think this is a great spot to go against the Bruins. UCLA is a full 2-games back of Arizona for the regular-season Pac-12 title and would need to win out and have the Wildcats lose their final two at home to Stanford and Cal (Bears are a league-worst 2-14 in league play) just to earn a share of the title. They know that's not going to happen, which in turn makes this game less important and more likely that UCLA looks ahead to their big showdown on the road against rival USC to close out the regular-season.

Another key factor here is just how much better Colorado is at home than they are on the road. The Buffaloes have gone 11-3 SU and 9-5 ATS on their home floor this season. UCLA is just 5-7 on the road. Colorado is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games, while the Bruins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Take Colorado! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHIALTOR on Tulsa +

I'm recommending grabbing the points here with the Golden Hurricane on the road, as they face off against No. 11 Cincinnati. There's no question that the Bearcats are the better team and while Cincinnati should be emotionally up for senior day, I think they are way overvalued here and will have a hard time putting away this Tulsa team. 

The Golden Hurricane come in playing their best basketball of the season. Tulsa is riding a 6-game winning streak and are now sitting 4th in the AAC at 10-5. This is their only matchup against the Bearcats, who lead the conference at 13-2, and I think they give everything they got. 

Last time out, Tulsa knocked off UCF 70-61 as a slim 2.5-point home favorite. That's worth noting, as the Golden Hurricane are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 off a home win. Cincinnati enters off a 77-52 blowout win over UConn , which is also worth noting, as the Bearcats are a mere 5-17 ATS in their last 22 home games off a conference win by 20 or more points. Take Tulsa! 

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Oregon -

I like the value here with the Ducks as a short home favorite against the Wildcats on Saturday. Oregon bounced back in a big way after two hard fought losses at USC and UCLA with a 75-68 win and cover at home over Arizona State last time out. The Ducks have now won 5 straight at home in Pac-12 play and my money is on them making it 6 in a row. 

This is simply a horrible spot for the Wildcats. It was bad enough when star point guard Allonzo Trier was made ineligible for a positive PED test, then came the news regarding head coach Sean Miller and the wiretap that proved he took a payment. I just don't see how Arizona puts all this aside and plays well here. Take Oregon! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

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4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Oklahoma -

I like the value here with the Sooners laying a short number at home against the Wildcats. This is do or die for Oklahoma, who comes in having lost 6 straight games. What you can't overlook is that 4 of the 6 losses during their skid came on the road. The Sooners are simply a different team at home, where they are 11-2 this season, outscoring teams by 13 ppg. 

Another key factor here is revenge. Oklahoma was embarrassed in the first meeting with K-State, losing by 18 on the road to the Wildcats. Sooners are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 when revenging a loss to an opponent. It's also worth pointing out that K-State comes in having won 3 straight, as the Wildcats are a miserable 0-6 ATS this season after 3 or more consecutive wins. Take Oklahoma! 

3* NBA Undervalued UNDERDOG on Magic +

I like the value here with the Magic catching double-digits on the road against the 76ers this afternoon. While Orlando lost their first game back from the break, this team is finally got their key pieces back from injury and have been an absolute covering machine here of late. The Magic are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games and have lost just once during this stretch by more than 10 points. 

Philadelphia needed some late-game heroics to escape with a 116-115 win at Chicago on Thursday and I just think the 76ers are overvalued right now, as they come in having won 6 straight. Note that this is a team that has routinely struggled to put bad teams away, as they are  a mere 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a winning percentage below 40%. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in play to fade the 76ers. Home favorites on Saturday when coming off a game where they won outright as a favorite but didn't cover the spread are just 19-47 (29%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Orlando! 

4* NCAAB Early Bird Vegas Line Mistake on Boston College +

I like the value here with the Eagles as a near double-digit dog against the Hurricanes in Saturday's ACC action. Miami comes in off an impressive 77-74 win as a 4.5-point dog at Notre Dame in their last game, but are still just 1-3 SU in their last 4 and 3-9 ATS in their last 12. With a huge game at UNC on deck, I think the Hurricanes have a hard time giving BC the full respect they deserve. 

As for the Eagles, they are in a big bounce back-back spot here after a couple of ugly losses the last two times out. BC was a dreadful 4 for 25 (16%) from long-distance in their last game and that's worth noting, as the Eagles are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 after a game where they shot 20% or worse from behind the 3-point line. Miami is also just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 as a home favorite. Take Boston College! 

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3* NCAAB Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on Maryland 

I like the value here with the Terrapins at basically a pick'em at home against the Wolverines. Michigan comes in having won and covered 4 straight with the most recent being a 9-point win at Penn State as a 4-point underdog.

I believe the Wolverines are way overvalued here on the road against a underrated Maryland squad that has won 3 of 4 and have are red-hot from the field, hitting 51.2% from the field in their last 5 games. The Terps should be able to keep the offense rolling here, as Michigan has allowed opponents to connect on 47% of their shots away from home. 

Maryland might be just 8-9 in Big Ten play, but the important thing here is the game is being played at the XFINITY Center, where the Terps are 12-2 this season, where their only two losses have come against two of the elite teams in the entire country in Purdue and Michigan State. Take Maryland! 

5* NCAAB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Yale -

I love the value here with the Bulldogs laying a short number on the road against the Big Red in Friday's Ivy League action. Yale comes in off an ugly loss at Harvard, but had won each of their previous 3 games and I like their chances of bouncing back in a big way here against Cornell. These two teams already played once this season and Yale won by 9 as a 6.5-point home favorite. 

Backing the Bulldogs on the road has been a money-maker, especially when they are laying points. Yale is 12-2 ATS over the last 3 seasons when listed as a road favorite. The Bulldogs have also owned this series, as they are a perfect 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings and have covered 6 straight on the road against the Big Red. Take Yale! 

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Hawaii - 

I like the value here with the Warriors laying a short number at home against the 49ers. Hawaii comes into this one riding a wave of confidence after racking up back-to-back road wins over UC-Irvine and UC-Riverside.

Long Beach State on the other hand has dropped 3 of their last 4 and all 4 of those came on the road. I just don't see the 49ers flipping the switch here on the road and winning this game. Long Beach State is a mere 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games off a loss and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after playing 3 or more consecutive games at home. Take Hawaii! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Loyola Marymount +

I really like the value here with the Lions catching points on the road against the Broncos. While Santa Clara comes in having won 3 straight, each of the last two came on the road. The Broncos simply don't have a great home court edge and are just 6-10 SU and 4-10 ATS at home this season.

I know Loyola Marymount is just 2-12 away from home, but they have gone 6-5 ATS on the road and Santa Clara is a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games vs a team with a losing road record. The Broncos are also 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games off an upset win over a conference opponent and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Take Loyola Marymount! 

5* NCAAB Colonial (CAA) GAME OF THE YEAR on Hofstra -

I love the value here with the Pride at basically a pick'em against the Dukes on Thursday. Hofstra has been rolling and hasn't got the respect they deserve. That's evident by this low number here and the fact that they have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. 

Last time out the Pride rolled 88-76 at home over Drexel and are 8-1 in their last 9 road games after a combined score of 155 or more in 2 straight games and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games after a home game where both teams scored 75 or more points. Hofstra is also 12-1 ATS in their last 13 road games with a total set of 150 to 159.5, while the Dukes are a mere 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games after playing their previous game on the road. 

Adding to all of this is a great system going against the Dukes covering this number. Underdogs off a conference win as a dog of 6 or more are a mere 9-27 ATS (25%) ATS in their next game if facing a team that just scored 80 or more points in a conference win. Take Hofstra! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Fullerton +

I love the value here with the Titans as a short road favorite against the Highlanders in Wednesday's Big West action. CS-Fullerton is simply the superior team and there's just not a big enough home court edge for UC-Riverside to keep this within the number. The Titans are 15-9 overall and 8-4 in league play, while the Highlanders are just 7-19 overall and a mere 2-10 in conference play. 

The fact that Riverside only lost be 3 on the road to Fullerton in the previous matchup this season isn't a big concern for me. The Titans should have won that game going away, as they shot 54% from the field, while holding the Highlanders to just 34% shooting. They also had a +11 edge in rebounding. The big difference in the game was Riverside made 10 3-pointers on 46% shooting. That's unlikely to repeat itself. The Highlanders are shooting just 29.7% from 3-point range at home this season. 

Riverside is a mere 9-22 ATS in their last 31 home games, 3-11 ATS in their last 14 conference home games and 0-6 ATS over the last 2 seasons in home games played in February. Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 vs a bad team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take CS-Fullerton! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Virginia Tech -

I like the value here with the Hokies laying a short number at home against the Tigers. Virginia Tech has been rolling here of late, as they are 6-2 SU and 6-2 ATS over their last 8 games. I just don't feel they are getting enough respect here at home given the state of Clemson right now. 

The Hokies are 12-3 SU this year and are 26-11-1 ATS in their last 38 home games. The Tigers come in having lost their last two. The most recent an 11-point loss at home to Duke. Some might write that loss off because it came against the Blue Devils, but I believe it was more of a result of the team being without both Shelton Mitchell and Donte Grantham. Mitchell won't be available again and Grantham is out for the season. I think it's going to be really hard for Clemson to be competitive on the road here. 

The Tigers are just 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 off a SU loss and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs a team with a winning record. Take Virginia Tech! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Northern Iowa +

I like the value here with the Panthers as a road dog against the Crusaders on Tuesday. Northern Iowa won the first meeting on their home floor 81-76 and it could have been a lot worse as the Panthers shot 48% from the field and finished with a +13 rebound margin. 

Valparaiso comes in with a mere 14-15 record overall and these are the teams that UNI has had their way with. The Panthers are a dominant 20-8-4 ATS in their last 32 games vs a team with a losing record. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of fading the Crusaders. Home favorites who have gone OVER the total by 30 or more combined points in their last 3 games are just 23-55 (30%) ATS since 1997 when it's a matchup of two marginal losing teams that have won between 40% to 49% of their games. Take Northern Iowa! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Boston College +

I like the value here with the Eagles catching a big number here on the road against the Wolfpack. NC State is coming in off a couple of big road wins over Syracuse and Wake Forest and I could see them overlooking a pesky Boston College team that is going to be motivated off an embarrassing 17-point home loss to Notre Dame. The Eagles had won 3 of 4 prior to that defeat and while it won't be easy winning this one outright, I believe they can keep it close. 

A big reason for that is the Wolfpack are not a great defensive team. NC State has allowed 84 or more in 3 of their last 4 games. While BC isn't a top tier team, they do have two of the best players in the ACC in Ky Bowman and Jerome Robinson, who combined average 37.4 ppg, 10.5 rpg and 8.0 apg. These two guards should have their way here against the Wolfpack defense and that should allow the Eagles to keep this within the number. 

Note the Eagles are 14-1 ATS in their last 15 road games off an upset loss as a home favorite, while NC State is just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 off a cover and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Boston College! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Central Michigan +

I like the value here with the Chippewas catching a decent number on the road against in-state rival Western Michigan. Central Michigan has covered 4 of their last 5 on the road in league play and the road team has dominated this series against the number, covering 7 of the last 10 meetings. 

Western Michigan has been overvalued a lot in MAC play and are just 3-7 ATS over their last 10 conference games. The Broncos have also not been a great bet at home, despite at 9-4 SU record, as they are just 3-6-1 ATS in their 10 lined home games. It's also worth noting that last time out Western Michigan fell 67-75 at Northern Illinois, as the Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 off a SU loss. Take Central Michigan! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cincy -

I like this spot for the Bearcats at home against Wichita State. This might seem like a big number for Cincinnati to be laying against a quality opponent, but my money is on the Shockers winning this one going away. This is a prime bounce back spot for the Bearcats off a lackluster showing in a 62-67 loss at Houston. Cincinnati had won 16 straight prior to that defeat to the Cougars. Their only other two losses were on the road to Xavier and Florida, as they come in a perfect 13-0 at home with a 7-3 ATS record in home lined games (outscoring opponents by almost 30 ppg, 83.7-54.6). 

Wichita State has found life a lot harder in the American. They are just 4-3 in their last 7 with all 4 wins coming on their home floor. Bearcats are 30-19 ATS in their last 49 as a favorite and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 off a game where they failed to cover. Take Cincinnati! 

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT B-L-O-W-O-U-T on Santa Clara +

I like the value here with the Broncos as a near double-digit dog on the road against the Tigers. Santa Clara comes in red-hot off two straight upset wins. First they knocked off San Diego 70-64 as a 5-points home dog. They followed that up with a 81-72 win at Portland as a 2.5-point dog.

I think there's a shot here the Broncos can keep it rolling and make it 3 straight upset wins, but I'm especially confident they keep this one close. Revenge is also a major factor here, as Pacific laid it on Santa Clara earlier this season. That was simply an off night shooting for the Broncos, as they connected on just 32.1% from the field. Take Santa Clara! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on St. Peter's -

I like the value here with the Peacocks as a short road favorite against the Red Foxes. These two teams recently played on Feb. 8th and St. Peter's won that contest 70-66. the Peacocks dominated on the glass and had it not been for an off night shooting they would have won by a wider margin. 

Marist is a mere 1-9 SU in their last 10 games and have lost 4 straight on their home floor. The Red Foxes are just 9-20-1 ATS in their last 30 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games, while the Peacocks are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 road games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Take St. Peter's! 

4* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE YEAR on William & Mary +

I like the value here with the Tribe catching a decent number here on the road against Northeastern. William & Mary have been an excellent team to back on the road, as they are 9-3 ATS away from home.

The Huskies on the other hand are a team that has been overvalued basically the entire month of February, as they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6, which includes an outright loss at home to Charleston as a 4-point favorite. 

The Tribe are also a team you want to look to back off a loss, as they have gone 14-5 in their last 19 off a conference loss. They also are great at getting revenge, as they are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 when revenging a loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. Take William & Mary! 

3* NCAAB Ivy League ATS ANNIHILATOR on Cornell +

I like the value here with the Big Red catching points at home against the Tigers. Cornell is a rock-solid 6-2 on their home floor with both losses coming by a mere 3-point. Princeton on the other hand has dropped 4 in a row, with each of the last two on the road. The offense has gone missing for the Tigers, as they have now shot 40% or worse from the field in each of their last 3 games. I don't see them being able to keep pace here on the road against a Cornell offense that averages a healthy 84.2 ppg at home. 

Last time out the Big Red lost 65-74 as a 6.5-point dog at Yale and that puts them in a great spot here, as they are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 after failing to cover their last game. Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Ivy League games and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 off a SU loss. Take Cornell! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Yale -

I like the value here with the Bulldogs laying a short number on the road against the Big Green. Dartmouth is getting way to much respect on their home floor. The Big Green are just 5-16 overall with a mere 1-7 record in league play. Yale is 11-13 with a 4-4 record in league play. 

Dartmouth is simply getting love here following their impressive upset win over Princeton, as they won 72-56 as a 5.5-point home dog. The Big Green are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win and are also a mere 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games against Yale. The Bulldogs already beat Dartmouth by 10 at home and it could have been worse, as they shot 50.9% from the field. It's also worth noting that Yale has been an excellent team to back in this spot. The Bulldogs are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 as a road favorite. Take Yale! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Montana State +

I like the value here with the Bobcats as a double-digit dog on the road against the Vandals Thursday. Idaho is coming off a hard fought 66-64 win at home over Eastern Washington and I believe it puts them in a prime letdown spot here against a struggling Montana State team, as they will have a hard time not looking ahead to their showdown at home against Montana, who sits on top the Big Sky with a perfect 13-0 record. 

Idaho is also just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win and a mere 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Bobcats have also gone an impressive 4-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Idaho and the underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take Montana State! 

3* NCAAB Late Night ATS Annihilator on Arizona +

I like the value here with the Wildcats at basically a pick'em on the road against the Sun Devils. Arizona rebounded nicely from back-to-back losses with a convincing 81-67 win at home over USC this past weekend an I look for them to carry over that strong play with another win over Arizona State. The Wildcats defeated Arizona 84-78 in the first meeting this season, thanks in large part to their defense, which held a potent Sun Devils attack to just 37.9% shooting from the field. 

I just think Arizona State is still getting way too much respect from their 12-0 start to the season. They haven't been anywhere close to that in Pac-12 play and simply put Arizona is the much better team and knows how to win on the road. The Wildcats are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 conference road games and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games off a home conference win. Take Arizona! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on William Mary +

I love the value here with the Tribe catching points on the road agains the Pride. William & Mary has been a road covering machine this season, as the Tribe are 9-2 ATS away from home. They have also enjoyed the role of the underdog going 8-2 ATS in the 10 games this season when getting points. 

On the flip side of this Hofstra has been a great team to fade at home, as they are a mere 14-36-1 ATS in their last 51 home games. Last time out they lost by 20 as a 3-point road favorite at UNC-Wilmington. That's important to note as they are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 home games after playing their previous game as a favorite and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 off a game where they didn't cover. Simply put, the Pride are getting way too much respect at home here. Take William & Mary. 

3* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Delaware +

I like the value here with the Blue Hens catching double-digits on the road against the Tigers. Delaware comes in off a 66-83 loss as a 9.5-point dog at William & Mary. Few teams have been as good as the Blue Hens at bouncing back after a non-cover, as they are 33-16-3 ATS in their last 52 games after failing to cover the number in their previous game. 

Towson on the other hand comes in having failed to cover the spread in each of their last 5 games. The most recent being a 15-point home loss to Northeastern as a 3.5-point favorite. It's the second straight game they have lost outright at home as a favorite, as they fell 76-83 as a 9-point favorite against Elon in their previous home game.

Adding to all of this is a strong system in favor of the Blue Hens. Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points off a game where they allowed 80 or more points are 65-34 (66%) ATS when facing a team that's coming off a loss by 15 or more points. Take Delaware! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

5* NCAAB Big West GAME OF THE MONTH on Riverside +

I'm recommending a play on the Highlanders as a short road dog against the Matadors in Wednesday's Big West action. UC Riverside is going to be out for revenge from an earlier loss at home to Northridge and I believe there's reason they get it. The Highlanders couldn't have shot much worse in that first meeting, as they connected on just 32.1% from the field. Riverside is also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their lsat 6 when revenging a loss as a home favorite. 

I look for a much better showing here against a Matadors defense that comes in having allowed each of their last 2 opponents to shoot better than 50% from the field. Note that Northridge ranks 8th out of 9 teams in the Big West in defensive efficiency. 

I also think this is a good spot to fade the Matadors off a ridiculous shooting game against Hawaii, where they shot 65.1% from the field in an outright win as a 12.5-point dog. Northridge is just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 off a game where they shot 55% or better. They are also a mere 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games when they come in having lost 4 of 5. Take UC Riverside! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Pelicans -

I'm recommending laying the points with New Orleans at home on Wednesday against the Lakers. The Pelicans have won and covered each of their last two games, including an impressive 118-103 win on the road against a red-hot Detroit team last time out. 

The Lakers come in off a 123-130 loss at Dallas in the first game with newly acquired Isaiah Thomas. I think the trade LA made to get Thomas, giving up two solid pieces in Nance Jr and Clarkson are a clear sign this team is looking ahead to next year. The big reason Thomas was outed in Cleveland was his defense and in his first game the Lakers the Mavs to put up 130 on them, while shooting 54% from the field. I expect the defense to continue to struggle with him going forward, especially on the road. Take New Orleans!

4* NBA Situational Vegas Insider on Hornets -

I think the price and situation present some solid value here with Charlotte covering as a road favorite against the Magic on Wednesday. This is a big game for the Hornets, who come in having lost 4 straight. I believe they will be extra motivated here to avoid a 5th straight loss going into the All-Star break. As for Orlando, this isn't a team that has a whole lot to play for right now and I think we see a lack of focus from the home team in this one. 

Note that the Hornets have absolutely dominated this series with the Magic, as they have won 9 straight and covered each of the last 7. That includes two meetings this season in Charlotte. Orlando hasn't been great revenging a loss, as they are just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games when revenging a road loss to an opponent. They are also just 14-29-1 ATS in their last 44 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Look for the Hornets to take control early on in his one and cruise to a win and cover. Take Charlotte! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS No-Brainer on Central Michigan +

I like the value here with the Chippewas at basically a pick'em on the road against the Huskies. Central Michigan had their way with Northern Illinois in the previous meeting this season, winning 81-67 as a mere 5-point home favorite.

They did so while allowing the Huskies to shoot 51.9% from the field. I think we get a better defensive effort here, while the offense once again rolls over a struggling Northern Illinois defense that has allowed their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field in 5 of their last 8 games. The Huskies were able to snap a 4-game skid with a 90-88 upset win at home over Buffalo, but are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 off a SU win. Take Central Michigan! 

3* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on St. Peter's +

I like the value here with the Peacocks catching points on the road against the Hawks. St. Peter's will hit the road following a 4-game homestand and this has proven to be a great time to back the Peacocks, as they are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games after playing 3 or more consecutive games at home. Not to mention they are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games after a loss.

They will be taking on a Monmouth team that i just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Hawks are just 1-4 in their last 5 and have won a grand total of 8 games all season. These are the kind of teams that the Peacocks have performed well against, as they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take St. Peter's! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout  on West Virginia -

I like the value here West Virginia at home against the Horned Frogs. The Mountaineers come into this game off a crushing 85-88 loss at home just when it looked like they were getting back on track after that 1-5 stretch. I believe they will be extremely motivated here not to go into another slump and will do whatever it takes to get a win. On top of that, they also will be out for revenge against the Horned Frogs. 

TCU has been hit or miss since losing point guard Jaylen Fisher, so while they come in off an impressive 16-point win at home over Texas, they are just as likely to lay an egg here. Note that the Horned Frogs haven't won consecutive games since they started the season 12-0. Part of that is they aren't a deep team, which I think is a major factor here on the road playing on just 1-day of rest. Take West Virginia! 

3* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Pelicans +

There's been plenty of excitement with with the Pistons after they landed Blake Griffin in a trade. They won their first 5 games after acquiring him, but have lost their last two, including a bad loss at Atlanta last time out. I think this is a team that is overvalued right now and the Pistons 2-5 ATS record during this stretch backs that up. 

I know the Pelicans aren't the same caliber a team with Cousins sidelined, but they do still have one of the best players in the game in Davis and I think they are poised to go into Detroit and get a win tonight. Pelicans are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 road games vs the Eastern Conference, while the Pistons are a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 off a loss. Take New Orleans! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS No-Brainer on Illinois +

I like this spot here with Illinois as a home dog against the Nittany Lions. I know the Fighting Illini are just 2-10 in Big 10 play and Penn State is the better team, but the situation here really favors the home team. The Nittany Lions are not a great road team and I think they could have a hard time not looking ahead to this week's big home game against Ohio State. 

On the flip side of this, I think we are going to get a max effort here from Illinois after a lackluster showing in their last game at home against Wisconsin. The Fighting Illini shot just 38.2% from the field in that game, which is well below their season average of 46% at home. 

Nittany Lions are just 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs a team with a winning home record and are 0-6 ATS on the road over the last 3 seasons when they come into a game having covered 3 of their last 4 games. Take Illinois! 

3* NCAAB Late Night ATS Annihilator on Portland +

I like the value here with the Pilots catching a big number on the road against the Tigers. I just feel that Portland is way undervalued right now due to their 4-9 league record and it's shown in their recent games, as they come in on a 6-0-1 ATS run in their last 7 games. Last time out they went on the road and lost by just 2-points at San Francisco as a 10-point dog. They also have outright wins at San Diego as a 13-point dog and Loyola-Marymount as a 7-point dog. 

The Pilots are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games when playing on just 1 day of rest and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games when revenging a same season loss. Take Portland! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS No-Brainer on Pepperdine +

I like the value here with the Waves catching a decent amount of points against the Lions. While Pepperdine is just 4-21 on the season and a mere 1-12 in conference play, Loyola Marymount isn't much better. The Lions are only 7-17 overall and just one game better at 2-11 in West Coast action. 

It just so happens that lone win for Pepperdine came against Loyola-Marymount. That outcome is a good sign that the Waves can not only keep this within the number, but I wouldn't be shocked if they won the game outright given how little a home court edge the Lions have. Loyola is just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games when listed as the favorite and are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 off a SU loss of more than 20 points (lost by 21 at home to St. Mary's last game). Take Pepperdine! 

3* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Alabama +

I like the value here with the Crimson Tide as a home dog against the Volunteers on Saturday. Alabama has a tremendous home court advantage and it's a big reason why they are 10-2 at home this season. Coleman Coliseum is going to be electric tonight when the Crimson Tide take on No. 15 Tennessee and I fully expect them to win this game outright. 

Tennessee is just 11-25 ATS in their last 36 road games when they go into a game having won 3 or more conference games in a row and are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 trips to Tuscaloosa. Crimson Tide are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 conference games and 16-6 ATS in their last 22 as a home dog of 3 points or less. Take Alabama! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats catching a big number on the road against the Golden Griffins. I just feel that Canisius is way overvalued here in a game they could be easily overlooking, as they have already knocked off Quinnipiac on the road and the Bobcats have lost their last 3 with the most recent being a 19-point loss at Niagara. 

Quinnipiac did keep it close against the Golden Griffins in that first meeting, losing by just 8, despite shooting just 35% from the field and allowing Canisius to connect on 48% of their attempts. The Golden Griffins come in having won 3 straight and that's important to note as they are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games when off 3 straight conference wins. Take Quinnipiac! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Delaware +

I like the value here with the Blue Hens as a near double-digit dog against the Tribe on Saturday. Delaware is simply undervalued right now, as they come in having lost 7 straight. A lot of that has been the simply inability to close out games, as 5 of the 7 losses have come by 8 points or less.

I like their chances of keeping it well within the number here against William & Mary and wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. The Tribe are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The most recent being a 79-91 loss to Drexel as a 8.5-point favorite. Take Delaware! 

5* NCAAB Colonial Athletic GAME OF THE MONTH on Northeastern +

I love the value here with the Huskies catching points against the Tigers in Saturday's Colonial Athletic showdown. Northeastern comes in having won 2 straight and are 6-2 in their last 8 overall, while Towson has failed to cover the spread in each of their last 4 games. Playing on the road hasn't been a problem for the Huskies, who are 4-1 in their last 5 away from home in CAA action with the only loss a mere 1-point defeat at Drexel. 

One of the big keys to this game will be the edge Northeastern has on the defensive side of the ball. The Huskies have held 5 of their last 6 opponents under 70 points, while Towson has allowed 70+ in 6 straight games, including a whopping 92 points in their last game against the Dragons. The Tigers are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 after giving up 90+ points. Take Northeastern! 

4* NCAAB Situational Vegas Insider on Baylor +

I like the value here with the Bears as a home dog against the Jayhawks in Saturday's Big 12 action. Baylor comes into this game with a ton of confidence after back-to-back impressive wins. First they rolled ISU 81-67 at home and they followed that up with a 67-56 victory at Oklahoma State. On top of that, this is a game the Bears have had circled on the calendar, especially after that heartbreaking 67-70 loss at Lawrence in late January, where Baylor blew a 6-point lead in the final couple minutes of regulation. 

I know Kansas comes in at 19-5, but this is not the same caliber a Jayhawks team as we have seen in years past. They have been very fortunate in close games and I think it has them overvalued on the road here. Kansas was able to beat TCU at home in their last game, but are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 off a SU win. Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a win and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take Baylor! 

3* NCAAB Oddsmakers Error on NC State +

I think we are getting some great value here with the Wolfpack as a home dog against in-state rival North Carolina. This is an ideal spot to fade the Tar Heels off arguably their biggest win of the season in Thursday's 82-78 victory against rival Duke. Big time letdown spot here for UNC, while NC State is going to lay everything they have into this matchup. 

The biggest factor here is just how well the Wolfpack play at home. NC State is 13-2 on their home floor this season, which includes a 96-86 win over Duke as a 12.5-point dog. The other key here is we know the Wolfpack matchup well with the Tar Heels, as they went into Chapel Hill and knocked off UNC in late January. 

It's also worth noting that North Carolina is just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 conference road games and a mere 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games off a conference win. Take NC State! 

4* NBA Situational (ATS) NO-BRAINER on Jazz -

I like the value here with Utah laying what I feel is a short number at home given the circumstances. The Jazz are playing their best basketball of the season right now. Utah has won 7 straight and 6 of the 7 wins came on the road. No surprise the surge for the Jazz has coincided with the return of big man Rudy Gobert, who is one of the best rim protectors in the game. 

I don't think the Jazz will have any problem keeping it going here against the Hornets. This is a really tough spot for Charlotte, who will be concluding a 4-game road trip that has seen them go from Phoenix to Denver to Portland and now to Utah. They also are on no rest and on top of that last night's game against the Blazers went to OT. Note that the Hornets had to use a ton of energy late in that game, as they rallied from 17 down in the 4th quarter. I just don't think they have enough gas left in the tank to keep this one close. Take Utah! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Columbia +

I love the value here with the Lions catching points on the road against the Bulldogs. Columbia held on for a 77-74 win at home over Dartmouth, which was a good win coming off that big victory at home over Harvard. The Lions are now 3 -1 in their last 4 with the only loss being a 1-point loss at Cornell. 

Yale on the other hand has dropped each of their last 2 games and are just 1-4 SU in their last 5. The most recent being a 50-59 loss at Penn, which is important to note as the Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after playing their last game on the road and 0-6 ATS this season off a road loss. Yale is also a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games, while Columbia is 19-8 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team that's won 60% or more of their home games. 

Adding to all of this is a great system favoring a play on the Lions. Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are off a home win as a favorite where they didn't cover the spread are 27-7 (79%) ATS when playing on Friday over the last 5 seasons. Take Columbia! 

5* NCAAB Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on San Diego -

I love the value here with the Toreros in Thursday's road game against Pepperdine. San Diego is going to be chomping at the bit to get back in action after losing their last two games, both of which were contested battles against two of the top teams in the conference in Gonzaga and St. Mary's. 

I just don't see the Waves being able to keep this one competitive enough to cover this spread. Pepperdine is just 4-20 overall and a mere 1-11 in conference play. They are just 6-21 ATS in their last 27 vs a team with a winning record and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs a team with a winning record. 

The Toreros on the other hand are a great road team, especially when it comes to covering the number. They are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games overall and a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Take San Diego! 

5* NCAAB Big West GAME OF THE YEAR on Poly +

I look for the Mustangs to have zero problem covering this spread on the road against the Titans Thursday. CS-Fullerton simply has no business being this big a favorite in this matchup. These two teams played earlier this season at Cal-Poly and the Titans needed overtime to escape with a 101-97 win, despite shooting a ridiculous 58% from the field in that contest. 

I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Mustangs won this game outright. Cal Poly has won each of their last two games, including a 78-64 win over Hawaii as a 4-point home dog in their last game. CS-Fullerton has lost each of their last 2 games at home are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs a team with a losing road record. 

Adding to all of this is a great system backing a play on the Mustangs. Underdogs off an upset win by 10 or more points as a home dog, who have 2 more returning starters than their opponent are 54-23 (70%) ATS going all the way back to 1997. Take Cal Poly! 

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS Heavy Hitter on Portland +

I like the value here with the Pilots as a double-digit dog against the Dons in Thursday's West Coast action. Portland is playing arguably their best basketball of the season right now. The Pilots come in off back-to-back wins and are 4-2 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games. San Francisco was able to knock of Santa Clara on the road in their last game, but are just 3-5 in their last 8.

The Dons have struggled to put back-to-back quality games together, as they are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 off a win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 off a cover. San Francisco is also a miserable 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Pilots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 on the road. Take Portland! 

4* NBA Celtics/Wizards ATS NO BRAINER on Celtics +

I like the value here with Boston as a dog against the Wizards. I just think we are seeing Washington won their first 5 games after losing John Wall to an injury that will have him sidelined for an extended period, but couldn't keep it going in a 102-115 loss at Philadelphia last time out. I just think we saw a spike in effort with the Wizards, as they wanted to show that they could win without Wall. The problem is that's become a national story, with Wall seemingly upset with his team's success. I just think that takes away from what they had going and this is the time to start fading them. 

As for Boston, this is a great spot to jump on the Celtics after they played one of their worst games of the season last time out in a 20-point loss at Toronto. Anytime a team gets embarrassed like that and doesn't come out with the right energy, they almost always fire right back in the next game with one of their best efforts. I expect exactly that from the Celtics, who will have some added motivation here with this being a nationally televised game on TNT and the fact that they will be out for revenge from a loss to Washington on Christmas Day. Take Boston! 

4* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Manhattan +

I like the value here with the Jaspers catching a big number on the road against the Broncs in Thursday's MAAC action. Manhattan snapped a 3-game skid with a 51-47 win at Siena last time out and are now 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. They are also a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. 

Rider is also a team that is way overvalued right now. The Broncs come in riding a 6-game winning streak and are 10-1 in their last 11 overall. Keep in mind in their last home game they were just a 6.5-point favorite against Monmouth, who currently has the same 6-6 record in league play as Manhattan. 

The Jaspers are also 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games when playing only their 2nd game in a 7-day span, while the Broncs are just 10-22 ATS in their last 32 home games when riding a winning streak of 3 or more games. Take Manhattan!