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Jack Jones MLB Run Lines Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
06-14-25 Rockies v. Braves -1.5 Top 1-4 Win 100 7 h 31 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-153)

The Colorado Rockies are the worst team in baseball.  They are 13-56 on the season, scoring just 3.3 runs per game and allowing 6.33 runs per game, getting outscored by over 3 runs per game.  The Braves are as healthy offensively as they have been all season and boast one of the most potent offenses in the league when that's the case.

I expect the Braves to win this game by multiple runs tonight due to their big advantage on the mound.  That was the case last night when they crushed the Rockies 12-4 by scoring most of their runs against this awful Colorado bullpen, which is the 6th-worst in baseball with a 4.74 ERA.

Spencer Strider looks more and more back to full strength with each start.  This has the potential to be his best start yet.  Strider is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in two career starts against Colorado, allowing one earned run and 9 base runners in 12 innings with a whopping 21 K's.

Chase Dollander is 2-6 with a 6.85 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 10 starts for the Rockies this season.  He has allowed 34 earned runs, 12 homers and 22 walks in 44 2/3 innings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Saturday.

06-14-25 White Sox v. Rangers -1.5 4-5 Loss -135 6 h 11 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-135)

The Texas Rangers are finally heating up at the plate during their 5-1 run over their last six games where all five wins came by 2 runs or more.  They have scored a total of 46 runs in those six games for an average of 7.7 runs per game.

The Chicago White Sox are 23-47 on the season while ranking 27th in baseball scoring just 3.47 runs per game.  It won't get any easier for them today against Jacob DeGrom, who clearly looks back to full strength.

DeGrom is 6-2 with a 2.12 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 13 starts for the Rangers this season.  He has posted a 1.29 ERA in two career starts against the White Sox, allowing just 2 earned runs in 14 innings with a whopping 21 K's.

Rookie Mike Vasil will make his 2nd career start for the White Sox today and I don't expect it to go well for him.  Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Saturday.

06-13-25 Rockies v. Braves -1.5 4-12 Win 100 10 h 1 m Show

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-145)

The Atlanta Braves have the rest advantage over the Colorado Rockies for Game 1 of this series Friday.  While the Braves had yesterday off, the Rockies were completing a 5-run comeback to beat the Giants 8-7 at Coors Field Thursday.  They are taxed and their bullpen is taxed as well.

The Rockies are the worst team in baseball.  They are 13-55 on the season, scoring just 3.29 runs per game and allowing 6.25 runs per game, getting outscored by nearly 3 runs per game.  The Braves are as healthy offensively as they have been all season and boast one of the most potent offenses in the league when that's the case.

I expect the Braves to win this game by multiple runs tonight due to their big advantage on the mound.  Bryce Elder is 2-3 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.17 WHIP In 10 starts for the Braves this season.  Elder has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts.  Elder is 3-0 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.11 WHIP In three career starts against Colorado with the Braves winning those three starts by 3, 8 and 10 runs.

German Marquez is 2-8 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 13 starts this season as he has been one of the worst starters in baseball.  Marquez is 1-3 with a 7.67 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in five career starts against Atlanta, allowing 23 earned runs in 27 innings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Friday.

06-12-25 Pirates v. Cubs -1.5 2-3 Loss -100 8 h 40 m Show

15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+112)

The Chicago Cubs have big advantages at the plate and on the mound today over the Pittsburgh Pirates that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.53 runs per game while the Pirates rank 29th scoring 3.26 runs per game.

Jameson Taillon is 6-3 with a 3.54 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 13 starts for the Cubs this season.  Taillon has been dominant in his last four starts, allowing just 5 earned runs in 26 2/3 innings for a 1.69 ERA during this stretch. Taillon fired 7 shutout innings in his last start against the Pirates.

Andrew Heaney is 3-4 with a 3.24 ERA in 13 starts for the Pirates this season with just 52 K's in 72 1/3 innings.  He's one of the biggest regression candidates in baseball given how much he pitches to contact.  Heaney is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in two career starts against the Cubs, allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 2/3 innings.  He allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 8 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Cubs this season that resulted in a 9-0 loss on April 29th.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Thursday.

06-12-25 Giants -1.5 v. Rockies Top 7-8 Loss -133 3 h 1 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-133)

The San Francisco Giants are one of the more underrated teams in baseball this season sitting at 40-28.  The Colorado Rockies have been the worst team in baseball by a mile.  The Rockies are 12-55 on the season scoring just 3.22 runs per game and allowing 6.24 runs per game, getting outscored by 3.02 runs per game.

The Giants have owned the Rockies this season going 5-0 in their last five meetings with four wins by 3 runs or more.  They will get to bat at least 9 innings today being the road team, and I like their chances of winning this game by multiple runs today given their big advantage on the mound.

Hayden Birdsong is 3-1 with a 2.55 ERA in four starts and 11 relief appearances this season.  Birdsong held the Rockies to 2 earned runs in 6 innings with 12 K's in his lone career start against them.  He is backed by a bullpen that ranks 1st in baseball with a 2.42 ERA on the season.

The Giants scored 10 runs on the Rockies yesterday.  They will tee off against Antonio Senzatela again today.  Senzatela has been the worst starter for the Rockies, going 1-10 with a 6.68 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 12 starts and one relief appearance.  He has allowed at least 4 earned runs in seven consecutive starts.  That includes 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings in his lone start against the Giants this season, which came on the road.  Bet the Giants on the Run Line Thursday.

06-05-25 Guardians v. Yankees -1.5 0-4 Win 100 7 h 8 m Show

15* MLB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on New York Yankees -1.5 (-128)

The New York Yankees will be highly motivated for a victory after a 4-0 loss to the Cleveland Guardians yesterday.  I fully expect them to win this game by multiple runs due to their big advantages both on the mound and at the plate.  The Yankees are scoring 5.37 runs per game while the Guardians are scoring 4.02 runs per game this season.

Max Fried is among the AL Cy Young favorites after starting 7-1 with a 1.92 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Fried allowed 2 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings in his lone career start against the Guardians.

Slade Cecconi is 3-9 with a 5.96 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 119 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Secconi is 1-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in three starts this season.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 1/3 innings to the lowly Angels in his last start.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Thursday.

05-27-25 Pirates v. Diamondbacks -1.5 9-6 Loss -115 10 h 58 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-115)

The Arizona Diamondbacks have big advantage at the plate and on the mound that should have them winning by multiple runs again tonight after a 5-0 victory over the Pirates in Game 1 of this series last night.  The Diamondbacks rank 5th in baseball scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Pirates rank dead last (30th) scoring 3.0 runs per game.

Corbin Burnes is 3-2 with a 2.73 ERA in nine starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Burnes is 5-2 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 11 career starts against Pittsburgh as well.

Rookie Michael Burrows will be making his 2nd career start for the Pirates tonight.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of a 8-5 loss to the Brewers in his first start.  It won't get any easier for him tonight against this potent Arizona lineup.  Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Tuesday.

05-27-25 Yankees -1.5 v. Angels 3-2 Loss -120 10 h 45 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Yankees -1.5 (-120)

The New York Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game.  They also rank 5th allowing just 3.6 runs per game.  Their +111 run differential is the best mark in the majors to this point.  The Angels are scoring 4.2 runs per game but allowing 5.2 runs per game with a -54 run differential.

The Yankees have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Carlos Rodon, who is 6-3 with a 2.88 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Rodon has allowed just 21 earned runs and 8 homers in 65 2/3 innings with 80 K's this season.

Regression has finally hit Tyler Anderson hard in his last two starts.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 20 base runners in 9 2/3 innings to the A's and Dodgers.  It won't get any easier for him tonight against this potent New York lineup.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Tuesday.

05-27-25 Rockies v. Cubs -1.5 Top 3-4 Loss -143 8 h 23 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-143)

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 6.0 runs per game.  Their +93 run differential is the 2nd-best mark in baseball behind only the Yankees.  The Colorado Rockies are scoring 3.2 runs per game and allowing 6.4 runs per game this season with a 9-45 record.  Their -173 run differential is the worst mark in baseball by 81 runs!

Rookie Cade Orton has held his own in two starts for the Cubs this season allowing 4 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings.  This will be his easiest test yet against a Colorado lineup that is the worst in baseball.

German Marquez has been one of the worst starters in baseball for the Rockies this season.  He is 1-7 with a 7.66 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He has allowed 40 earned runs in 47 innings with only 26 K's.  Marquez has allowed 11 earned runs and 26 base runners in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Chicago.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Tuesday.

05-26-25 Rockies v. Cubs -1.5 1-3 Win 100 3 h 41 m Show

15* MLB Monday Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-143)

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 6.1 runs per game.  Their +91 run differential is the 2nd-best mark in baseball behind only the Yankees.  The Colorado Rockies are scoring 3.3 runs per game and allowing 6.5 runs per game this season with a 9-44 record.  Their -171 run differential is the worst mark in baseball by 76 runs!

Rookie Carson Palmquist has really struggled in his first two carer starts for the Rockies.  He has allowed 11 earned runs and 21 base runners in 8 1/3 innings this season.  It won't get any easier for him today against what has proven to be the best lineup in baseball to this point in the Cubs.

The Cubs have a big advantage on the mound today behind Jameson Taillon.  He is 3-3 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  Taillon has allowed just 2 earned runs in 12 innings in his last two starts against Colorado.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Monday.

05-23-25 Phillies -1.5 v. A's 4-3 Loss -110 23 h 27 m Show

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-110)

The Philadelphia Phillies are 7-0 in their last seven games overall with six wins by 2 runs or more and five wins by 3 runs or more.  While the Phillies are red hot right now, the A's can't do anything right going 0-9 in their last nine games overall with six losses by 2 runs or more.  They were just swept at home by the lowly Angels in their last series in four games.

It won't get any easier for the A's tonight having to face Philadelphia ace Zack Wheeler.  He is among the NL Cy Young favorites right now going 5-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 10 starts this season with 80 K's in 64 innings.  Wheeler is one of the most reliable starters year after year in the big leagues.

Jeffrey Springs has not enjoyed pitching in hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park this season with huge home/road splits.  Springs is 1-2 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in four home starts this season, allowing 14 earned runs, 4 homers and 34 base runners in 20 innings.  Expect the Phillies to tee off on him again today to win this game by multiple runs.  Bet the Phillies Friday.

05-22-25 Phillies -1.5 v. Rockies 2-0 Win 100 14 h 59 m Show

15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-190)

The Philadelphia Phillies are 6-0 in their last six games overall with five wins by 3 runs or more.  That includes their 9-3 win over the Rockies in Game 1 of this series, their 7-4 win over the Rockies in Game 2 and their 9-5 win over the Rockies in Game 3.  It should be another blowout in their favor against the worst team in baseball.

The Rockies are 8-41 this season with 36 of those losses coming by multiple runs.  The Rockies are scoring just 3.4 runs per game and allowing 6.6 runs per game.  Their -157 run differential is the worst mark in the majors by 72 runs!  This is a pretty cheap Run Line price to fade the Rockies.

Rangers Suarez has shaken off the rust and has been solid in his last two starts after getting rocked in his first start this season.  Suarez has only allowed 3 earned runs and 11 base runners in 14 innings in his last two starts.  He has allowed only 4 earned runs in 15 innings in his last two starts against Colorado.

German Marquez has been the worst starter in baseball this season.  He is 1-6 with an 8.78 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing 39 earned runs in 40 innings with only 21 K's.  Philadelphia will hang another big number on Marquez today.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Thursday.

05-21-25 Phillies -1.5 v. Rockies Top 9-5 Win 100 10 h 6 m Show

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-138)

The Philadelphia Phillies are 5-0 in their last five games overall with four wins by 3 runs or more.  That includes their 9-3 win over the Rockies in Game 1 of this series and their 7-4 win over the Rockies in Game 2.  It should be another blowout in their favor against the worst team in baseball.

The Rockies are 8-40 this season scoring just 3.3 runs per game and allowing 6.5 runs per game.  Their -153 run differential is the worst mark in the majors by 64 runs!  This is a pretty cheap Run Line price to fade the Rockies.

Taijuan Walker has posted a 2.62 ERA in six starts and two relief appearances for the Phillies this season.  He has allowed just 3 earned runs in 19 innings in his last three starts against the Rockies for a 1.42 ERA.  Two of those starts came in Colorado, and the latest was in Philadelphia when he tossed 6 shutout innings against the Rockies on April 3rd earlier this season.

Rookie Carson Palmquist will be making his 2nd career start for the Rockies today.  The first went terribly for him as he allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings of an 8-0 road loss to the Diamondbacks on May 16th.  It won't go much better for him against this red-hot Phillies lineup today.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Wednesday.

05-20-25 Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 3-4 Loss -110 23 h 14 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110)

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be highly motivated for a victory today.  They have inexplicably lost four straight games all at home coming into this one.  But now they finally have a big advantage on the mound over their opponent that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.

The Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game.  The Dodgers have scored a total of 161 runs in their last 22 games for an average of 7.3 runs per game.  They face an Arizona Diamondbacks team that ranks 24th in baseball allowing 5.1 runs per game.

Ryne Nelson is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-1 with a 5.13 ERA while allowing 15 earned runs in 26 1/3 innings this season.  Nelson allowed 3 earned runs in 6 innings of an 11-6 win over the Dodgers in his last start against them.  The Dodgers should tee off on him and this Arizona bullpen tonight.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is 5-3 with a 2.12 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in nine starts this season and is among the favorites to win the NL Cy Young.  He will come through for his team today and limit the Diamondbacks enough for the Dodgers to win this game by multiple runs. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday.

05-20-25 Phillies -1.5 v. Rockies Top 7-4 Win 100 9 h 15 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-180)

The Philadelphia Phillies are 4-0 in their last four games overall including their 9-3 win over the Colorado Rockies in Game 1 of this series yesterday.  It should be another blowout in their favor against the worst team in baseball in the Rockies, who are 8-39 this season scoring just 3.3 runs per game and allowing 6.5 runs per game.  Their -150 run differential is the worst mark in the majors by 64 runs!

The Phillies have a big advantage on the mound today behind Jesus Luzardo, who is 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA in nine starts this season with 57 K's in 54 innings.  Luzardo held the Rockies to one earned run in 7 innings with 13 K's in his last start against them.

Antonio Senzatela is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-7 with a 6.39 ERA and 1.99 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing 31 earned runs and 9 homers in 43 2/3 innings with just 22 K's.  Senzatela has allowed 18 earned runs and 5 homers in 19 1/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Tuesday.

05-17-25 Pirates v. Phillies -1.5 Top 2-5 Win 100 17 h 33 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-133)

The Phillies won 8-4 yesterday in Game 1 of this series with the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.  It should be more of the same today with their massive advantages at the plate and on the mound, plus the wind will be blowing out in Philadelphia to aid us in cashing the Phillies on the Run Line.

The Pirates are 15-30 this season largely due to a putrid offense that ranks dead last (30th) in baseball scoring just 3.1 runs per game.  It won't get any easier for them today against Philadelphia ace Zack Wheeler, who is 4-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in nine starts this season with 74 K's in 58 innings.

The Phillies rank 10th in baseball scoring 4.8 runs per game.  They should crush Carmen Mlodzinski, who is 1-3 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in eight starts this season with just 26 K's in 36 1/3 innings.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Saturday.

05-14-25 Angels v. Padres -1.5 1-5 Win 112 11 h 52 m Show

15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on San Diego Padres -1.5 (+112)

I love fading Kyle Hendricks.  He went 1-4 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 24 starts and five relief appearances in his final season with the Cubs last year.  He hasn't been any better for the Angels, going 1-4 with a 5.30 ERA in seven starts this season. Hendricks allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in a 10-2 loss to the Padres in his lone start against them last season.

The Angels are scoring just 3.8 runs per game and allowing 5.4 runs per game this season as one of the worst teams in baseball.  The Padres are scoring 4.7 runs per game and allowing just 3.5 runs per game as one of the best teams in baseball.

Randy Vasquez has been solid going 2-3 with a 3.76 ERA in eight starts for the Padres this season.  He has the advantage of having never faced the Angels, but he should have no problem navigating their weak lineup.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Wednesday.

05-12-25 Rockies v. Rangers -1.5 1-2 Loss -125 8 h 38 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-125)

The Rockies are 7-33 this season scoring just 3.3 runs per game and allowing 6.5 runs per game.  Their -128 run differential is far and away the worst mark in baseball.  They are 1-8 in their last nine games overall with all eight losses coming by 2 runs or more.

Getting the Rangers as only -125 favorites to win this game by two runs or more today is a nice value.  That's especially the case with their big advantage on the mound, plus they are heating up at the plate scoring 16 runs in their last two games and 6 runs or more in four of their last seven games.

Tyler Mahle is 3-1 with a 1.48 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in eight starts for the Rangers this season.  He'll be opposed by Chase Dollander, who is 2-3 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in six starts for the Rockies this season while allowing 24 earned runs and 8 homers in 28 innings.  Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Monday.

05-11-25 Padres -1.5 v. Rockies 3-9 Loss -192 5 h 16 m Show

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-192)

The San Diego Padres had Thursday off while the Colorado Rockies were playing a double-header with the Detroit Tigers.  That rest advantage is a big reason I was on the Padres in a 13-9 victory in Game 1, and it's a big reason I was on them again in their 21-0 victory in Game 2.  I'll hop on them again for Game 3 for many of the same reasons today.

The Tigers mopped the floor with the Rockies last series.  They won 10-2 in Game 1 and 11-1 in Game 2 of the double-header Thursday to outscore the Rockies 21-3 and absolutely tax their bullpen in the process.  Add to that their 8-6 loss in extra innings on Wednesday, plus the 13-9 loss in Game 1 and the 21-0 loss in Game 2 to the Padres, and this Colorado bullpen is extremely taxed.

The Rockies are 6-33 this season scoring just 3.2 runs per game and allowing 6.6 runs per game.  Their -134 run differential is far and away the worst mark in baseball.  The Padres are 25-13 this season scoring 4.7 runs per game and allowing 3.2 runs per game.  They have a +54 run differential on the season.

The Padres will crush German Marquez, who is 0-6 with a 9.90 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 33 earned runs in 30 innings.  Marquez allowed 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Padres this season on April 11th.

The Padres have a big advantage on the mound behind Nick Pivetta, who is 5-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Pivetta pitched 7 shutout innings with 10 K's opposite Marquez in a 8-0 victory over the Rockies at home on April 11th earlier this season.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Sunday.

05-10-25 Padres -1.5 v. Rockies Top 21-0 Win 100 23 h 43 m Show

20* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-130)

The San Diego Padres had Thursday off while the Colorado Rockies were playing a double-header with the Detroit Tigers.  That rest advantage is a big reason I was on the Padres in a 13-9 victory in Game 1, and it's a big reason I'm on the Padres again in Game 2 tonight.

The Tigers mopped the floor with the Rockies last series.  They won 10-2 in Game 1 and 11-1 in Game 2 of the double-header Thursday to outscore the Rockies 21-3 and absolutely tax their bullpen in the process.  Add to that their 8-6 loss in extra innings on Wednesday, plus the 13-9 loss to the Padres in Game 1 Friday, and this Colorado bullpen is extremely taxed.

The Rockies are 6-32 this season scoring just 3.3 runs per game and allowing 6.2 runs per game.  Their -113 run differential is far and away the worst mark in baseball.  The Padres are 24-13 this season scoring 4.2 runs per game and allowing 3.3 runs per game.  They have a +33 run differential on the season.

The Padres will crush Bradley Blalock, who is 1-4 with a 6.49 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in eight starts and three relief appearances in his career.  Blalock is 0-1 with an 8.03 ERA and 1.46 WHIP this season, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 12 1/3 innings.

Stephen Kolak pitched 5 1/3 shutout innings in a 4-0 victory over the Pirates in his first career start on May 4th.  He and this Padres bullpen will be good enough for them to win this game by multiple runs again tonight.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Saturday.

05-09-25 Padres -1.5 v. Rockies Top 13-9 Win 100 22 h 19 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-115)

The San Diego Padres had yesterday off while the Colorado Rockies were playing a double-header with the Detroit Tigers.  That rest advantage is a big reason I'm on the Padres for Game 1 of this series Friday night.

The Tigers mopped the floor with the Rockies yesterday.  They won 10-2 in Game 1 and 11-1 in Game 2 to outscored the Rockies 21-3 and absolutely tax their bullpen in the process.  Add to that their 8-6 loss in extra innings on Wednesday, and this Colorado bullpen is extremely taxed.

The Rockies are 6-31 this season scoring just 3.1 runs per game and allowing 6.1 runs per game.  Their -109 run differential is far and away the worst mark in baseball.  The Padres are 23-13 this season scoring 4.0 runs per game and allowing 3.2 runs per game.  They have a +29 run differential on the season.

The Padres will crush Antonio Senzatela, who is 1-5 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.86 WHIP in seven starts this season with just 17 K's in 34 1/3 innings.  Senzatela has allowed 21 earned runs and 8 homers in 24 2/3 innings in his last five starts.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Friday.

05-09-25 Rangers v. Tigers -1.5 1-2 Loss -115 20 h 14 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Detroit Tigers -1.5 (-115)

The Detroit Tigers are one of the best teams in baseball that nobody is talking about.  The Tigers are 25-13 this season scoring 5.5 runs per game and allowing 3.3 runs per game.  Their +83 run differential is far and away the best mark in baseball.  The Tigers are 13-3 at home as well.

The Rangers are 18-20 overall including 6-12 on the road.  They are scoring just 3.2 runs per game which ranks 28th in baseball.  Only the Rockies and Pirates have been worse.  The Rangers have a -20 run differential on the season.

The Tigers have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  Tarik Skubal won the 2024 AL CY Young by going 18-4 with a 2.39 ERA and 0.92 WHIP and 228 K's in 192 innings.  He has picked up where he left off, going 3-2 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in seven starts this season.

Patrick Corbin is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He posted a 5.20 ERA or worse and started at least 31 games in each of his last four seasons in Washington.  Corbin has a 1.50 WHIP in five starts this season and is very fortunate to have a 3.28 ERA.  His luck will run out today.  Bet the Tigers on the Run Line Friday.

05-07-25 Tigers -1.5 v. Rockies 8-6 Win 100 9 h 11 m Show

15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Detroit Tigers -1.5 (-118)

The Detroit Tigers are one of the most underrated teams in baseball.  They are off to a 22-13 start this season scoring 5.1 runs per game and allowing just 3.3 runs per game.  Their +63 run differential ranks 1st in all of baseball.

The Colorado Rockies are the worst team in baseball this season.  They are 6-28 on the season scoring just 3.1 runs per game and allowing 5.7 runs per game.  Their -89 run differential is far and away the worst mark in all of baseball by 26 runs!

Jackson Jobe is proving to be one of the better young starters in baseball.  He is 2-0 with a 2.89 ERA in 28 innings in his career, 24 or which have come this season across five starts.

I'll gladly fade rookie Chase Dollander, who is 2-3 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing 18 earned runs and 8 homers in 25 innings.  I fully expect the Tigers to win by multiple runs tonight.  Bet the Tigers on the Run Line Wednesday.

05-06-25 White Sox v. Royals -1.5 3-4 Loss -102 8 h 25 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (-103)

The Kansas City Royals own the Chicago White Sox.  The Royals are 14-1 in their last 15 meetings with the White Sox with 12 of those 14 wins coming by two runs or more.  I expect the Royals to win by multiple runs again today due to their advantage on the mound.

Seth Lugo is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  Lugo went 16-9 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 33 starts in his first season in Kansas City in 2024 while finishing 2nd in AL Cy Young voting.  Lugo is 3-3 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in seven starts this season to back it up.

Sean Burke is 2-4 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in six starts and one relief appearance for the White Sox this season.  He has allowed 18 earned runs and 7 homers in 33 innings.

Lugo owns the White Sox, going 3-0 with a 0.79 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in three career starts against them while allowing just 2 earned runs and 18 base runners in 22 2/3 innings.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Tuesday.

05-03-25 Rockies v. Giants -1.5 3-6 Win 100 8 h 37 m Show

15* NL Saturday No-Doubt Rout on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-125)

The San Francisco Giants are 20-13 this season and one of the most underrated teams in baseball.  They are scoring 4.5 runs per game and allowing 3.7 runs per game this season.  The Colorado Rockies are 6-26 this season, including 2-15 on the road.  The Rockies are scoring just 3.1 runs per game and allowing 5.6 runs per game this season.

The Giants should hang a big number on Bradley Blalock, who has allowed 20 earned runs in 17 innings in his last four starts dating back to last season.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 4 innings in his lone start this season.

Jordan Hicks has also struggled lately, but he should be good enough to hold the Rockies in check.  He has allowed 4 earned runs in 10 innings in his last two starts against Colorado.  He allowed one earned run in 5 innings of a 4-1 victory over the Rockies in his lone career home start against them.  Bet the Giants on the Run Line Saturday.

05-03-25 Astros -1.5 v. White Sox 8-3 Win 100 6 h 44 m Show

15* AL Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-140)

The Houston Astros will come back motivated today after getting upset as -200 favorites by the White Sox in Game 1 of this series.  The Astros have a big advantage on the mound that should have them winning this game by multiple runs today.

Hunter Brown is one of the best young starters in baseball.  He is 4-1 with a 1.22 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in six starts this season allowing just 5 earned runs in 37 innings with 40 K's.  Brown has allowed just 2 earned runs in 13 innings in his last two starts against the White Sox.

Davis Martin is 4-14 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.36 WHIP with 116 K's in 146 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Martin has allowed 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 33 base runners in 21 1/3 innings in his last four starts this season.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Saturday.

04-29-25 Brewers -1.5 v. White Sox 7-2 Win 100 6 h 20 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-135)

The Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season while the Chicago White Sox are scoring 3.4 runs per game.  The Brewers have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.

Freddy Peralta is 55-38 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in his career in the big leagues.  Peralta is 2-2 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in six starts this season.  He has held the White Sox to just 3 earned runs in 17 innings in his last three starts against them.

Tyler Gilbert is basically an opener for the White Sox.  He won't go deep into this game.  Gilbert is 3-8 with a 4.35 ERA in his career and 1-1. with a 5.87 ERA in 2025.  This is a tough spot for the White Sox, who return home from a 10-game road trip that concluded in Sacramento.  Bet the Brewers on the Run Line Tuesday.

04-26-25 Reds -1.5 v. Rockies Top 6-4 Win 100 7 h 31 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-123)

The Cincinnati Reds have a big advantage on the mound that will lead them to winning this game by multiple runs over the Colorado Rockies Saturday.  There will also be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center with temps in the 70's at hitter-friendly Coors Field to aid them in scoring more runs.  The Reds are scoring 5.3 runs per game while the Rockies are scoring just 3.6 runs per game this season.

Hunter Greene went 9-5 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 26 starts for the Reds last season.  He has backed it up by going 2-2 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in five starts this season.  Green allowed one earned run in 6 innings with 10 K's in his last start against Colorado.

Antonio Senzatela is 40-47 with a 4.90 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in his career in the big leagues.  Senzatela is 1-3 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 42 hits in 24 1/3 innings with only 9 K's.  Bet the Reds on the Run Line Saturday.

04-23-25 White Sox v. Twins -1.5 3-6 Win 100 9 h 50 m Show

15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-115)

The Minnesota Twins had Monday off while the Chicago White Sox had to play in Boston and traveled to Minnesota overnight.  The Twins won 4-2 in Game 1 yesterday, and they remain the fresher team and should make easy work of the White Sox again tonight.

David Festa has been perfect in two starts this season going 9 innings without allowing a single earned run.  Bryse Wilson will be making his first start of the season for the White Sox.  Wilson is 20-21 with a 4.61 ERA with only 313 K's in 425 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.

The White Sox are 5-18 this season including 1-10 on the road.  The Twins are 16-2 in their last 18 meetings with the White Sox.  Eight of their last nine wins have come by 2 runs or more.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Wednesday.

04-22-25 White Sox v. Twins -1.5 2-4 Win 100 20 h 55 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-112)

The Minnesota Twins had yesterday off while the Chicago White Sox had to play in Boston and will be traveling to Minnesota overnight.  That's a huge advantage for the Twins, who should easily win this game by two runs or more to cover the Run Line.

The White Sox are 5-17 this season including 1-9 on the road.  Davis Martin is an absolute gas can.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  Martin has allowed 13 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Minnesota.

The Twins have a big advantage on the mound behind Bailey Ober, who has allowed just 5 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Ober has allowed 8 earned runs in 18 innings in his last three starts against the White Sox with the Twins winning all three starts by 4 runs or more.

The Twins are 15-2 in their last 17 meetings with the White Sox.  Seven of their last eight wins have come by 2 runs or more.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Tuesday.

04-08-25 Angels v. Rays -1.5 4-3 Loss -100 8 h 19 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+130)

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this series with the Los Angeles Angels highly motivated for a victory.  After a 4-1 start to the season, the Rays have since lost four consecutive games.  They get back on track with a blowout win tonight due to their massive advantage on the mound.

They should tee off on Kyle Hendricks, who went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 24 starts for the Cubs last season.  Hendricks is washed up, and it's shocking the Angels took a chance on him, which just goes to show you how poor their rotation is going to be this season.

Shane Baz was dominant in his first start this season firing 6 shutout innings with 10 K's in a 7-0 home win over the Pirates.  Baz went 4-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 14 starts for the Rays last season.  He allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in all 14 starts, and he has now allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in eight consecutive starts dating back to last season.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Tuesday.

04-08-25 Blue Jays v. Red Sox -1.5 6-1 Loss -100 8 h 60 m Show

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+115)

The Boston Red Sox have a massive advantage on the mound tonight over the Toronto Blue Jays.  It should lead to them winning this game by multiple runs to bounce back from their Game 1 loss to Toronto.

Garrett Crochet is one of the best starters in baseball.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 13 innings in his first two starts this season against the Rangers and Orioles, so this will be a step down in class for him.  Crochet fired 6 shutout innings in a 5-0 win over the Blue Jays in his lone career start against them.

Youngster Easton Lucas has a 7.71 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in 23 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  He had a 8.64 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in spring training as well.  Lucas takes a big step up in class here against Boston after getting to face the Nationals in his first start.

The Red Sox also have a big advantage at the plate as they are scoring 5.9 runs per game while the Blue Jays are only scoring 3.7 runs per game this season.  I fully expect Boston to win by multiple runs tonight.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Tuesday.

09-01-24 Orioles -1.5 v. Rockies 6-1 Win 100 5 h 41 m Show

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (-121)

The Baltimore Orioles are 1.5 behind the New York Yankees for 1st place in the AL East with a lot to play for over the final month of the season.  They should be bigger favorites on the Run Line against the Colorado Rockies, who are 51-86 this season and one of the worst teams in baseball.

The Orioles have a big advantage on the mound over the Rockies today.  Zach Eflin is 9-7 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 23 starts this season.  Eflin has allowed just 3 earned runs in 19 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Eflin has allowed just 5 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Rockies despite pitching at Coors Field in two of them.

Ty Blach is 3-6 with a 6.36 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 10 starts and eight relief appearances for the Rockies this season.  Blach has allowed 13 homers and 45 earned runs with only 34 K's in 63 2/3 innings this season.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Sunday.

09-01-24 Mets -1.5 v. White Sox 2-0 Win 100 4 h 44 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -1.5 (-104)

The New York Mets are trying to chase down the Atlanta Braves in the NL wild card race.  They cannot afford to take the Chicago White Sox lightly and they haven't.  The White Sox are 31-106 this season and setting records for being the worst team in baseball.

Sean Manaea is 10-5 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 26 starts this season and one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts and will extend that streak to eight today.

Chicago ace Garrett Crochet gets the ball today.  But the White Sox are close to shutting him down as they have pulled him after 4 innings in nine consecutive starts now.  That means the Mets will get to batter this awful Chicago bullpen for at least 5 innings, and that should be enough to win this game by multiple runs.  Bet the Mets on the Run Line Sunday.

08-27-24 Yankees -1.5 v. Nationals 2-4 Loss -140 9 h 48 m Show

15* Interleague Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on New York Yankees -1.5 (-140)

The Yankees are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season and have scored a total of 39 runs in their last seven games for an average of 5.6 runs per game.  They are basically as healthy as they have been all season in their lineup and it is showing.

Speaking of healthy, Gerrit Cole finally has returned to form after battling injury earlier this season.  Cole has allowed just one earned run in 17 1/3 innings with 20 K's in his last three starts for a minuscule 0.52 ERA.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 12 innings in his last two starts against the Nationals as well.

The Yankees have a big advantage on the mound with Cole over Patrick Corbin, who is one of the worst starters in baseball.  Corbin is 3-12 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 26 starts for the Nationals this season.  He has allowed 21 earned runs and 5 homers in 23 1/3 innings in his last five starts coming in.  He has allowed 6 homers in 18 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Yankees.  

The Yankees are 5-1 in their last six games overall with all five wins coming by 3 runs or more.  The Nationals are 4-8 in their last 12 games and have scored 2 runs or fewer seven times.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Tuesday.

07-31-24 Royals -1.5 v. White Sox 10-3 Win 100 5 h 30 m Show

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (-115)

The Royals are 11-1 in 12 meetings with the White Sox this season with nine wins by 2 runs or more.  It should be more of the same in Game 3 of this series against the hapless White Sox, who are 0-16 in their last 16 games overall with 11 losses by 2 runs or more.

The Royals have a big advantage on the mound today behind the underrated Brady Singer, who is 7-6 with a 2.82 ERA in 21 starts this season for the Royals.  Singer owns the White Sox, allowing just 3 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings in three starts against them in 2024.

Drew Thorpe is 3-2 with a 4.81 ERA in eight starts for the White Sox this season with just 25 K's in 39 1/3 innings.  This Chicago bullpen is the worst in baseball and has wasted decent starts by starters all season.  The Royals can tack on late if need be.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Wednesday.

07-31-24 Blue Jays v. Orioles -1.5 Top 4-10 Win 100 4 h 57 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays were the biggest sellers at the trade deadline.  They gave away a lot of their best players and I struggle to see them being that motivated in the immediate future as a result.

The Baltimore Orioles are fighting tooth and nail with the New York Yankees for AL East supremacy.  They were buyers at the deadline and this team isn't lacking any motivation at all.  This will be the 4th game in 3 days in this series, and I think the Orioles are much better equipped than the short-handed Blue Jays to handle this situation better today.

Of course, the Orioles also have a massive advantage on the mound as well.  Grayson Rodriquez is 12-4 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 19 starts for the Orioles this season with 122 K's in 110 2/3 innings.  Rodriquez held the Blue Jays to one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of a 7-2 victory in his lone start against them this season on June 3rd.

Paulo Espino is 5-14 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 261 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  He is getting a spot start here for the Blue Jays.  He has a 7.71 ERA and 2.14 WHIP in 4 2/3 innings thus far in 2024.  He will get rocked by the Orioles today.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Wednesday.

07-30-24 Royals -1.5 v. White Sox 4-3 Loss -115 10 h 59 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (-115)

The Royals are 10-1 in 11 meetings with the White Sox this season with nine wins by 2 runs or more.  It should be more of the same in Game 2 of this series against the hapless White Sox, who are 0-15 in their last 15 games overall with 11 losses by 2 runs or more.

Michael Wacha is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He went 11-2 with a 3.32 ERA in 23 starts for the Red Sox in 2022, 14-4 with a 3.22 ERA in 24 starts for the Padres in 2023, and now he is 7-6 with a 3.65 ERA in 18 starts for the Royals in 2024.  Wacha has allowed just 2 earned runs and 14 base runners in 20 innings in three starts against the White Sox in 2024.

Rookie Jonathan Cannon is 1-4 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 10 starts for the White Sox this season with just 44 K's in 63 innings.  Cannon allowed 4 earned runs in 6 innings of a 6-1 loss to the Royals in his last start against them on July 20th.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Tuesday.

07-30-24 Blue Jays v. Orioles -1.5 2-6 Win 107 8 h 18 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+107)

The Toronto Blue Jays were the biggest sellers at the trade deadline.  They gave away a lot of their best players and I struggle to see them being that motivated in the immediate future as a result.

The Baltimore Orioles are fighting tooth and nail with the New York Yankees for AL East supremacy.  They were buyers at the deadline and this team isn't lacking any motivation at all.  These teams just played a double-header yesterday, and I think the Orioles are much better equipped than the short-handed Blue Jays to handle this situation better today.

Of course, the Orioles also have a massive advantage on the mound.  Corbin Burnes is among the Cy Young favorites this season, going 10-4 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 21 starts in his first season in Baltimore.  Burnes has allowed just 2 earned runs in 13 innings in two starts against the Blue Jays in 2024.

Chris Bassitt has allowed 15 earned runs, 3 homers and 35 base runners in 21 2/3 innings in his last four starts.  Bassitt has allowed 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 21 base runners in 9 innings in his last two starts against Baltimore.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Tuesday.

07-29-24 Royals -1.5 v. White Sox 8-5 Win 100 10 h 39 m Show

15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (+100)

The Royals are 9-1 in 10 meetings with the White Sox this season with eight wins by 2 runs or more.  It should be more of the same in Game 1 of this series against the hapless White Sox, who are 0-14 in their last 14 games overall with 10 losses by 2 runs or more.

I'll gladly fade Chris Flexen, who is 2-10 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 20 starts for the White Sox this season. Flexen has allowed 10 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 base runners in 11 innings in two starts against the Royals this season.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Monday.

07-25-24 Orioles -1.5 v. Marlins Top 7-6 Loss -127 2 h 55 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (-127)

The Baltimore Orioles will be highly motivated for a victory today after dropping the first two games of this series to the Miami Marlins in upset fashion.  This has been the toughest team to sweep in all of baseball over the last two seasons with tremendous resiliency.

The Orioles will bounce back with a blowout victory today due to their massive advantage on the mound.  Ace Corbin Burnes is 10-4 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  Burnes is 3-0 with a 0.45 ERA in his last three starts against Miami, allowing just one earned run and 13 base runners in 20 innings.

The Orioles will get their bats going against Roddery Munoz, who is 1-5 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He has already allowed 15 homers and 29 walks in 56 innings.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Thursday.

07-23-24 Cardinals v. Pirates -1.5 2-1 Loss -100 7 h 55 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (+115)

Paul Skenes has exceeded the massive hype of being baseball's top prospect.  He is 6-0 with a 1.90 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 11 starts this season with 89 K's in 66 1/3 innings.  The Pirates have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.

The Pirates are 9-2 in their last 11 games overall led by an offense that has scored at least 4 runs in five of their last seven games, including 8 runs or more in four of those 11.  They should stay hot at the plate tonight against Lance Lynn.

Lynn is 5-4 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  After a great start to the year, he has faded once the weather has gotten hotter just as he does every year.  Lynn has allowed 25 earned runs in 35 innings in his last seven starts coming in.

Lynn does not enjoy facing the Pirates, allowing 16 earned runs in 9 innings in his last three starts against them for a 16.00 ERA.  Skenes fired 6 1/3 shutout innings with 8 K's in his lone start against the Cardinals this season.  Bet the Pirates on the Run Line Tuesday.

07-19-24 White Sox v. Royals -1.5 1-7 Win 105 14 h 50 m Show

15* AL Friday Night BLOWOUT on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (+105)

The Kansas City Royals are right in the thick of the AL wild card race coming out of the All-Star Break with a lot to play for.  The Chicago White Sox have the worst record in baseball at 27-71 and will find it hard to be motivated the rest of the way.

Michael Wacha is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He went 11-2 with a 3.32 ERA in 2022 for the Red Sox, 14-4 with a 3.22 ERA in 2023 for the Padres, and he is 6-6 with a 3.83 ERA in 16 starts for the Royals in 2024.  Wacha has allowed just 2 earned runs and 13 base runners in 20 innings in his last three starts against the White Sox.

Chris Flexen is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 2-8 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 18 starts for the White Sox this season.  Flexen has already allowed 16 homers in 97 innings with only 71 K's this season.  The Royals have big advantages on the mound and at the plate today that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Friday.

07-14-24 Pirates -1.5 v. White Sox 9-4 Win 100 6 h 8 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (-133)

The Pittsburgh Pirates are surging heading into the All-Star Break to play their way back into wild card contention. They have gone 5-1 in their last six games overall while outscoring the opposition 31-7 in the five wins.

The Chicago White Sox just want to get to the All-Star Break. They have the worst record in baseball at 27-70 while losing six of their last seven games overall.

Mitch Keller is 10-5 with a 3.40 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 18 starts for the Pirates this season. Keller has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 12 starts, including one earned run or fewer six times.

Jared Shuster will be making his his 2nd start of the season for the White Sox. He is no more than an opener, and the Pirates should blast this awful Chicago bullpen. Bet the Pirates on the Run Line Sunday.

07-14-24 Rockies v. Mets -1.5 8-5 Loss -105 6 h 46 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -1.5 (-105)

The New York Mets have won 5 consecutive games to improve to 21-8 in their last 29 games overall.  They have played their way back into the wild card race and want to go into the All-Star Break on a 6-game winning streak.

The Mets have scored at least 6 runs in 5 consecutive games. They should stay hot against Colorado's German Marquez, who will be making his first start back from injury since April 26, 2023.

Jose Quintana has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season. He is 4-5 with a 3.91 ERA in 18 starts. Quintana has been dominant in his last five starts, going 3-0 with a 0.89 ERA while allowing just 3 earned runs in 30 1/3 innings. The Rockies are 13-36 on the road this season. Bet the Mets on the Run Line Sunday.

07-12-24 Rockies v. Mets -1.5 6-7 Loss -115 9 h 47 m Show

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on New York Mets -1.5 (-115)

The New York Mets are 19-8 in their last 27 games overall with 15 wins by 2 runs or more.  They have gotten to 47-45 on the season and back in the wild card race.  They will be motivated to finish strong hosting the Colorado Rockies in their final series before the All-Star Break.  The Rockies are just 13-34 on the road this season.

The Mets have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  Sean Manaea is 5-3 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 17 starts for the Mets this season.  He has allowed just 5 earned runs in 28 2/3 innings in his last five starts.

Rookie Tanner Gordon will be making just his 2nd career start today.  Gordon allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 1/3 innings to the Royals in a 10-1 loss in his first start this season.  It won't go much better for him today against a hot Mets lineup.  Bet the Mets on the Run Line Friday.

07-06-24 Royals -1.5 v. Rockies Top 1-3 Loss -115 22 h 38 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (-115)

The Kansas City Royals lost 4-2 to the Colorado Rockies in Game 1 of this series as a -180 favorite.  I expect them to bounce back in a big way in Game 2 due to their massive advantage on the mound.

Seth Lugo is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  Lugo is 11-2 with a 2.17 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 18 starts for the Royals this season.  He has only allowed 9 homers and 27 walks in 116 innings with 105 K's.  He has allowed just 4 earned runs in 24 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.

Austin Gomber is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-5 with a 4.72 ERA in 16 starts this season with just 59 K's in 87 2/3 innings.  Gomber has already allowed 46 earned runs and 15 homers in those 87 23 innings.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Saturday.

06-25-24 Marlins v. Royals -1.5 Top 2-1 Loss -100 10 h 2 m Show

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (+100)

The Kansas City Royals are 26-14 at home this season where they are scoring 5.3 runs per game.  The Miami Marlins are 11-24 on the road where they are scoring just 2.9 runs per game this season.

The Royals have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  Seth Lugo is 10-2 with a 2.51 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 16 starts for the Royals this season.  Lugo has never lost to the Marlins, going 4-0 with a 2.01 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in four career starts against them.

Yonny Chirinos will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Marlins.  Chrinos is 1-3 with an 8.68 ERA in his last eight starts dating back to last season, allowing 36 earned runs and 8 homers in 37 1/3 innings.

The Royals are 13-0 in home games against a team with a losing record this season.  The Royals are 8-0 in Lugo's eight starts against a team with a losing record this season and outscoring them by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Tuesday.

06-24-24 Marlins v. Royals -1.5 Top 1-4 Win 100 9 h 29 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (-113)

The Kansas City Royals have lost three straight and six of their last seven games overall.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory when they host the Miami Marlins for Game 1 of this series tonight.  They are 25-14 at home this season where they are scoring 5.4 runs per game.

The Royals have a big advantage on the mound behind Cole Ragans, who is 4-5 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 16 starts this season with 109 K's and only 6 homers allowed in 92 innings.  He is 3-2 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in nine home starts with 64 K's and only 3 homers allowed in 48 2/3 innings.

Roddery Munoz is 1-2 with a 5.76 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in six starts for the Marlins this season while allowing a whopping 11 homers in only 29 2/3 innings.  With temps in the upper-90's and 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center in Kansas City tonight, Munoz is almost certainly going to give up multiple homers in this one.

The Marlins are 4-23 against left-handed starters this season and hitting .224 and scoring 2.6 runs per game against them.  The Royals are 12-0 in home games against a team with a losing record this season and outscoring them by 4.8 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Monday.

06-22-24 Diamondbacks v. Phillies -1.5 Top 1-12 Win 100 5 h 23 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-115)

The Philadelphia Phillies have lost two consecutive games.  They have only lost three in a row once all season.  They have been very resilient, and I expect them to bounce back with a blowout victory today due to their huge advantage on the mound.

Ace Zack Wheeler is 8-4 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 15 starts this season, including 5-2 with a 1.71 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in eight home starts.  Wheeler is 8-3 with a 2.82 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 13 career starts against Arizona as well.

Tommy Henry is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in six starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Henry is 1-1 with an 8.79 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in three career starts against Philadelphia, allowing 14 earned runs, 3 homers and 27 base runners in 14 1/3 innings.

Philadelphia is 18-3 off four or more consecutive home games this season and outscoring opponents by 3.7 runs per game in this spot.  Arizona is 0-10 in its last 10 road games after allowing 4 runs or less in four consecutive games and getting outscored by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Saturday.

06-15-24 Phillies v. Orioles -1.5 2-6 Win 120 8 h 13 m Show

15* MLB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+120)

The Baltimore Orioles will be highly motivated for a victory today after losing in extra innings to the Phillies in Game 1.  The Phillies are without two of their best hitters in Trea Turner and J.T. Realmuto and are much less potent offensively without these two.

The Orioles have a massive advantage on the mound today that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  Grayson Rodriquez is 7-2 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in five home starts.

Taijuan Walker is 3-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in eight starts this season.  He is 2-1 with a 5.89 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in three road starts, allowing 12 earned runs and 30 base runners in 18 1/3 innings.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Saturday.

06-04-24 White Sox v. Cubs -1.5 Top 6-7 Loss -135 9 h 55 m Show

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-135)

The Chicago Cubs have a big advantage on the mound over the Chicago White Sox tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  The White Sox are the worst team in baseball right now going 1-15 in their last 16 games overall with 14 losses by 2 runs or more.

The Cubs should hang a big number on Chris Flexen, who is 2-5 with a 6.04 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  Flexen is 0-2 with an 8.56 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 25 base runners in 13 2/3 innings.  Flexen faced the Cubs three times last season, going 0-1 with a 9.24 ERA and 2.37 WHIP while allowing 13 earned runs and 30 base runners in 12 2/3 innings.

Shota Imanaga is 5-1 with a 1.86 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.20 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in five home starts.  He'll be facing a weak Chicago lineup that is hitting .206 and scoring 2.5 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Tuesday.

06-04-24 Twins v. Yankees -1.5 1-5 Win 120 8 h 10 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on New York Yankees -1.5 (+120)

The New York Yankees are the best team in baseball at 42-19 this season.  They have own the Minnesota Twins and have a big advantage on the mound over them tonight that should allow them to win this game by multiple runs.

Luis Gil is 7-1 with a 1.99 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 11 starts this season with 79 K's in 63 1/3 innings.  Gil has been at his best at home, going 4-0 with a 1.27 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in five starts with 44 K's in 28 1/3 innings and only one homer allowed.

Bailey Ober is 5-3 with a 4.90 ERA in 11 starts this season while allowing 10 homers in 57 innings.  Ober has been at his worst on the road, going 3-2 with a 5.52 ERA in six starts away from home.  Ober is 1-2 with an 8.36 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 14 innings.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Tuesday.

06-02-24 White Sox v. Brewers -1.5 Top 3-6 Win 100 5 h 38 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-144)

The Chicago White Sox are the worst team in baseball right now.  They have gone 0-10 in their last 10 games overall with nine losses by 2 runs or more.  They are without their two best hitters in Luis Robert Jr. and Eloy Jimenez, and they just lost Andrew Benintendi and Andrew Vaughn to injuries recently as well.

Things won't go any better for the White Sox today with Nick Nastrini on the mound up against his potent Milwaukee lineup that is scoring 5.6 runs per game at home this season.  Nastrini is 0-4 with a 9.92 ERA and 2.21 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 18 earned runs, 4 homers and 17 walks in 16 1/3 innings.

The Brewers have a big advantage on the mound behind Freddy Peralta, who is 3-3 with a 3.61 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 11 starts this season with 82 K's in 62 1/3 innings.  Peralta is 1-0 with a 3.57 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in four home starts this season as well.  He has fired 10 shutout innings in two career starts against the White Sox.

The White Sox are 1-16 off a loss by 2 runs or more this season and getting outscored by 3.7 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Brewers on the Run Line Sunday.

05-29-24 A's v. Rays -1.5 3-4 Loss -100 8 h 31 m Show

15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+116)

The Tampa Bay Rays will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after losing seven of their last eight games overall including Game 1 of this series to the Oakland A's.  They have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.

Ryan Pepiot is 3-2 with a 3.98 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in eight starts for the Rays this season with 44 K's in 40 2/3 innings.  He'll be opposed by Joey Estes, who is 1-1 with a 7.47 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in three starts this season.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and 19 base runners in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  

The A's are 0-6 in their last six games following a win.  Oakland is 6-16 in its last 22 games overall with 13 losses by 2 runs or more.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Wednesday.

05-26-24 Braves -1.5 v. Pirates Top 8-1 Win 100 3 h 60 m Show

20* NL Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-135)

I love the spot for the Atlanta Braves today.  They will be highly motivated for a victory after losing the first two games of this series to the Pittsburgh Pirates as -165 and -150 favorites.  Now they will avoid the sweep and win in a blowout in Game 3 due to their massive advantage on the mound.

The old Chris Sale is back.  He is 7-1 with a 2.22 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing just 14 earned runs, 4 homers and 8 walks in 56 2/3 innings with 70 K's.  Sale is 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last three starts, pitching 20 shutout innings with 28 K's.

Martin Perez is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-3 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  Perez has really struggled of late, going 0-1 with a 9.42 ERA and 1.95 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 15 earned runs, 7 homers and 28 base runners in 14 1/3 innings.

The Braves are 71-25 when revenging two consecutive losses as a -150 favorite and outscoring opponents by 2.0 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Sunday.

05-25-24 Marlins v. Diamondbacks -1.5 2-3 Loss -100 12 h 27 m Show

15* MLB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+110)

I love the spot for the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight after getting shut out 3-0 by the Miami Marlins as -180 favorites in Game 1.  It was a letdown spot for the Diamondbacks coming off consecutive wins over the Dodgers in Los Angeles the two games prior.

Now the Diamondbacks will be refocused tonight and I like their chances of winning by multiple runs with the massive advantage they have on the mound.  Lefty Jordan Montgomery is 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in three career starts against Miami, and his teams are 3-0 in those three starts winning all three by 2 runs or more.

I mention lefty because the Marlins are atrocious against left-handed starters, going 1-17 against them this season while hitting .220 and scoring just 2.8 runs per game.  I'll also gladly fade Sixto Sanchez, who is one of the worst starters in baseball.  Sanchez is 0-1 with a 6.51 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 34 base runners in 19 1/3 innings with just 12 K's.  Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Saturday.

05-24-24 Orioles -1.5 v. White Sox Top 6-4 Win 100 10 h 13 m Show

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (-145)

The Baltimore Orioles have massive advantages at the plate and on the mound today over the Chicago White Sox that will have them winning this game by multiple runs tonight.  The Orioles are scoring 4.9 runs per game this season while the White Sox are scoring 2.9 runs per game.

Corbin Burnes is 4-2 with a 2.56 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 10 starts this season for the Orioles.  He'll be opposed by Chris Flexen, who is 2-4 with a 6.16 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in eight starts for the White Sox.  Flexen allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 innings of a 7-2 loss to the Yankees in his last start.

The Orioles are 29-8 in their last 37 games against AL teams that allow 4.9 or more runs per game and outscoring these teams by 2.2 runs per game.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Friday.

05-23-24 Orioles -1.5 v. White Sox Top 8-6 Win 100 11 h 11 m Show

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (-140)

The Baltimore Orioles will be highly motivated for a victory today after getting swept by the St. Louis Cardinals last series.  It was the first time the Orioles have been swept in 107 series, which spanned more then two years.  That just shows the kind of resiliency this team has.

Now the Orioles will get right in blowout fashion against one of the worst teams in baseball in the Chicago White Sox, who are 15-34 this season and hitting just .217 while scoring 2.9 runs per game.  Injuries to their best hitters have kept the White Sox struggling at the plate.  They are 1-5 in their last six games overall and have been held to 3 runs or fewer in all five losses.

Grayson Rodriquez will shut down the White Sox today.  Rodriquez is 4-1 with a 3.15 ERA in seven starts this season.  He has fired 11 2/3 shutout innings in his last two starts coming in.  Rodriquez fired 6 shutout innings in a 9-0 victory over the White Sox in his last start against them.

Mike Clevinger is 0-2 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in three starts this season and working his way back from injury.  He is averaging just 3.8 innings per start and will be on a pitch count again, meaning the Orioles will get into Chicago's bullpen early.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Thursday.

05-22-24 Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 Top 6-0 Loss -130 12 h 33 m Show

20* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-130)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the Arizona Diamondbacks that should lead to them winning this game by multiple runs.  The Dodgers also have a hatred for the Diamondbacks after getting swept by them in the playoffs last year to add to their motivation.

Tyler Glasnow is 6-2 with a 2.90 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in 10 starts this season with 81 K's in 62 innings.  I expect him to shut down the Diamondbacks and he hasn't faced them since 2017, so he will have the element of surprise working in his favor.

Ryne Nelson is one of the worst starters in baseball, going 2-3 with a 7.06 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Nelson has allowed 23 earned runs, 4 homers and 55 base runners in 29 1/3 innings.  The Dodgers will hang a big number on him tonight.

Los Angeles is 58-24 in its last 82 games off a loss, and 29-7 off a loss by 4 runs or more while outscoring opponents by 2.7 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Wednesday.

05-20-24 Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 Top 4-6 Win 100 11 h 1 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110)

The Los Angeles Dodgers were swept by the Arizona Diamondbacks in the playoffs last year.  They haven't forgotten and will be looking for revenge all season on the Diamondbacks.  They outscored Arizona 19-8 in their first three meetings this season, and I expect them to win in a blowout at home tonight.

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who is 4-1 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in nine starts this season.  Yamamoto fired 6 shutout innings in an 8-0 victory over the Diamondbacks on May 1st.

The Diamondbacks will be making this a bullpen game starting with opener Joe Mantiply, who won't go more than one or two innings in this one.  This is a poor Arizona bullpen with a 4.60 ERA and 1.43 WHIP on the season.  The Dodgers should hang a big number on Mantiply and this bullpen tonight.

The Dodgers are 19-3 in their last 22 May home games and outscoring opponents by 3.2 runs per game in this spot.  Los Angeles is 45-12 in its last 57 home games off three or more consecutive wins.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Monday.

05-18-24 A's v. Royals -1.5 3-5 Win 110 9 h 47 m Show

15* AL Saturday BLOWOUT on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (+110)

The Oakland A's are back to reality, which is one of the worst teams in baseball.  They are 0-6 in their last six games overall and have scored a total of 10 runs during this 6-game skid, or an average of just 1.7 runs per game.  The Kansas City Royals are 27-19 this season, including 16-8 at home where they are scoring 5.0 runs per game.

It won't get any easier for the A's at the plate today against one of the most underrated starters in baseball in Seth Lugo.  He is 6-1 with a 1.81 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in nine starts this season while allowing just 12 earned runs in 59 2/3 innings.

I'll gladly fade Ross Stripling, who is 1-7 with a 4.98 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing 26 earned runs and 72 base runners in 47 innings.  Stripling is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA in four road starts as well.  

Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center tonight in Kansas City, giving the Royals an even better chance of winning this game by multiple runs.  Oakland is 2-14 as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season and getting outscored by 3.7 runs per game in this spot.  Lugo's teams are 22-4 in his 26 career starts against teams that average 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game and outscoring them by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Saturday.

05-18-24 Pirates v. Cubs -1.5 0-1 Loss -100 4 h 26 m Show

15* NL Saturday BLOWOUT on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+110)

The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated for a victory today.  They have lost the first two games of this series to the Pittsburgh Pirates up against their two best starting pitchers against two of their worst.  Now there's a role reversal, and the untouchable Shota Imanaga will take down the awful Bailey Salters in Game 3 today.

Imanaga is 5-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in eight starts this season, allowing just 5 earned runs in 46 2/3 innings.  Falter is 2-2 with a 4.15 ERA in eight starts, allowing 8 homers in 43 1/3 innings with only 27 K's.  Falter is 1-2 with a 6.63 ERA in four road starts as well.  He has never beaten the Cubs, going 0-3 with a 7.56 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in four career starts against them.  His teams are 0-4 in those four starts.  

The Cubs are 10-3 when playing with double revenge this season.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Saturday.

05-17-24 Reds v. Dodgers -1.5 3-7 Win 100 12 h 25 m Show

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-105)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 17-6 in their last 23 games overall with 15 wins by 2 runs or more.  They have one of the best lineups in baseball and are scoring 5.6 runs per game at home this season.  They will be highly motivated for a victory off two consecutive losses, including an upset loss as -305 favorites in Game 1 to the Reds yesterday.

The Cincinnati Reds are a mess right now.  They have gone 3-12 in their last 15 games overall.  A big reason for their struggles is injuries up and down their lineup as they are struggling to score runs.  They have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 11 of those 15 games, including 2 runs or fewer in seven of those.

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mount tonight behind James Paxton, who is 5-0 with a 2.58 ERA in seven starts this season, including 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA in three home starts.  Paxton held the Reds to one run in 5 innings in his lone career start against them last season.

Frankie Montas is 2-3 with a 4.20 ERA in seven starts this season, including 1-1 with a 7.29 ERA and 1.95 WHIP in three road starts, allowing 10 earned runs, 4 homers and 24 base runners in 12 1/3 innings away from home.  Montas is 0-2 with a 16.19 ERA and 2.70 WHIP in two career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 18 base runners in 6 2/3 innings.

The Dodgers are 28-7 in their last 35 games off a loss by 4 runs or more and outscoring opponents by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Friday.

05-16-24 Reds v. Dodgers -1.5 Top 7-2 Loss -145 10 h 22 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-145)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 17-5 in their last 22 games overall with 15 wins by 2 runs or more.  They have one of the best lineups in baseball and are scoring 5.7 runs per game at home this season.

The Cincinnati Reds are a mess right now.  They have gone 2-12 in their last 14 games overall.  A big reason for their struggles is injuries up and down their lineup as they are struggling to score runs.  They have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 11 of those 14 games, including 2 runs or fewer in seven of those.

Tyler Glasnow is among the favorites to win the NL Cy Young this year.  Glasnow is 6-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 0.86 WHIP while allowing just 16 earned runs and 49 base runners in 57 innings with a whopping 73 K's.

He'll be opposed by Brent Suter, who will be making his first start of the season for the Reds, who will be making this a bullpen game.  Suter is 0-2 with a 17.34 ERA and 3.43 WHIP in two career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 9 earned runs and 16 base runners in 4 2/3 innings.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Thursday.

05-10-24 Dodgers -1.5 v. Padres 1-2 Loss -105 10 h 39 m Show

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-105)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are rolling right now going 14-2 in their last 16 games overall with 12 wins by two runs or more.  They have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the San Diego Padres that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.

Tyler Glasnow is among the favorites to win the NL Cy Young award.  He is 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing just 3 earned runs in 21 innings with 29 K's.  The Dodgers are 7-1 in his eight starts this season with six wins by two runs or more.

I'll gladly fade Michael King, who has already allowed 9 homers in 38 2/3 innings this season.  He is 0-1 with a 7.72 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in two home starts, allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 1/3 innings.  King faced the Dodgers earlier this season on April 12th, allowing 7 runs, 4 earned, and 4 homers in 5 innings.  He will get lit up again tonight.

San Diego is 2-10 in home games in night games this season and getting outscored by 3.0 runs per game.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Friday.

05-10-24 Phillies -1.5 v. Marlins 8-2 Win 100 7 h 29 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-110)

The Philadelphia Phillies are the hottest team in baseball going 18-4 in their last 22 games overall with 13 wins by two runs or more.  I fully expect them to win this game against the Miami Marlins by multiple runs tonight.  The Marlins have the second-worst record in baseball this season at 10-29.  They have gone 4-12 in their last 16 games overall with 11 losses by two runs or more.

Ranger Suarez is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He has gone 6-0 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.72 WHIP in seven starts this season allowing just 9 earned runs and 34 base runners in 47 innings.  The Phillies are 7-0 in his seven starts this season with six wins by 3 runs or more.  Suarez is 3-1 with a 2.01 ERA in seven career starts against Miami.

Trevor Rogers is 0-5 with a 6.15 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 23 earned runs and 58 base runners in 33 2/3 innings.  The Marlins are 0-8 in Rogers' last eight starts with all eight losses coming by two runs or more.  Rogers is 1-5 with a 6.70 ERA in nine career starts against the Phillies.

The Phillies are 13-2 in Suarez's last 15 road starts in the first half of the season.  The Marlins are 0-10 in Rogers' last 10 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs and getting outscored by 4.9 runs per game in this spot.  Miami is 2-17 in Rogers' last 19 starts off a loss.  Philadelphia is 8-0 in Suarez's last eight starts against an NL team with a .245 batting average or worse.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Friday.

05-08-24 Giants -1.5 v. Rockies Top 8-6 Win 100 9 h 15 m Show

20* NL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-110)

The San Francisco Giants have a big advantage on the mound over the Colorado Rockies tonight that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.  The Rockies are 1-8 in their last nine games overall and have scored a total of 11 runs in their last six games overall.

Jordan Hicks is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  Hicks is 2-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in seven starts for the Giants, allowing just 8 earned runs and one homer in 38 innings.  He will shut down the ice cold Rockies tonight.

I'll gladly fade Peter Lambert, who is 0-1 with a 14.22 ERA and 2.21 WHIP in two starts for the Rockies this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 14 base runners in 6 1/3 innings.  Lambert is 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in four career starts against San Francisco.  He allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings of a 6-3 loss to the Giants in his last start against them.

Colorado is 8-27 in all games this season and getting outscored by 2.4 runs per game.  Bet the Giants on the Run Line Wednesday.

05-08-24 Marlins v. Dodgers -1.5 1-3 Win 100 4 h 47 m Show

15* MLB Wednesday Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-121)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are rolling right now going 13-2 in their last 15 games overall with 11 wins by two runs or more.  They have a big advantage on the mound this afternoon over the lowly Marlins, who are 10-28 on the season.

Gavin Stone is 2-1 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in six starts for the Dodgers this season.  He'll be opposed by Ryan Weathers, who is 2-3 with a 4.54 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in his last three.  Weathers is 0-1 with a 9.34 ERA in his last two starts against the Dodgers, allowing 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 8 2/3 innings.

The Dodgers are 30-7 in their last 37 home games off two or more consecutive wins and outscoring opponents by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Wednesday.

05-07-24 Marlins v. Dodgers -1.5 Top 2-8 Win 100 12 h 58 m Show

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-136)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are rolling right now going 12-2 in their last 14 games overall with 10 wins by two runs or more.  They have a big advantage on the mound over the lowly Marlins, who are 10-27 on the season.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is 3-1 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in seven starts this season with 42 K's in 34 innings.  He has fired 12 shutout innings in his last two starts coming in.

Edward Cabrera is 1-1 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in four starts for the Marlins this season.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Colorado and Washington at home.  Cabrera allowed 6 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of an 8-1 loss to the Dodgers in his lone career start against them.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday.

05-01-24 Phillies -1.5 v. Angels Top 2-1 Loss -110 6 h 2 m Show

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-110)

The Los Angeles Angels are playing like the team most thought they would be coming into the season, which is one of the worst teams in baseball.  They have gone 2-10 in their last 12 games overall and just lost Mike Trout to a torn meniscus.  He was having a great season and the lone bright spot on this team.

The Philadelphia Phillies are showing what they are capable of, which is one of the best teams in baseball.  They have gone 12-3 in their last 15 games overall and have now scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 14 games.  They are raking at the plate right now.

The Phillies should stay hot at the plate against Patrick Sandoval, who is 1-4 with a 6.66 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 20 earned runs and 49 base runners in 27 innings.  Philadelphia has a big advantage on the mound behind ace Zack Wheeler, who is 2-3 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 8 earned runs and 32 base runners in 37 1/3 innings with 46 K's.

The Angels are 2-14 in Sandoval's last 16 starts against a team with a winning record and getting outscored by 4.3 runs per game in this spot.  The Angels are 1-10 in Sandoval's last 11 home starts with a total set of 8 to 8.5 runs and getting outscored by 3.8 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Wednesday.

04-28-24 A's v. Orioles -1.5 7-6 Loss -100 3 h 44 m Show

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+110)

The Baltimore Orioles have a massive advantage at the plate today over the Oakland A's that should lead them to winning this game by two or more runs.  They are scoring 5.6 runs per game while the A's are scoring just 2.7 runs per game.

I've been very impressed with Albert Suarez, who will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Orioles.  Suarez is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in two starts this season, pitching 11 1/3 shutout innings while allowing just 9 base runners.  He will shut down the A's, who have scored 3 runs or fewer in nine consecutive games after getting shut out yesterday.

Baltimore is 26-7 in its last 33 games against bad teams that are outscored by one or more runs per game and winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  Plays on home favorites of -150 or more (Baltimore) - an excellent power team averaging 1.5 or more homers per game after allowing one run or less are 80-14 (85.1%) over the last five seasons.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Sunday.

04-27-24 Rays -1.5 v. White Sox 7-8 Loss -125 10 h 57 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-125)

The Chicago White Sox are the worst team in baseball this season.  They are 4-22 this season while scoring 2.5 runs per game and allowing 5.6 runs per game, getting outscored by 3.1 runs per game.  After a shocking win yesterday in Game 1 over the Rays, I expect them to get back to being the terrible team they are today.

The Rays have a big advantage on the mound.  Aaron Civale is 2-2 with a 3.90 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in five starts for the Rays this season.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in seven of his 10 career starts against the White Sox.

Jonathan Cannon is 0-1 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in two starts for the White Sox this season.  He has allowed 7 earned runs and 14 base runners in 8 2/3 innings to the Twins and Royals.

Chicago is 0-15 after losing four of its last five games this season and getting outscored by 4.6 runs per game in this spot.  Civale's teams are 22-3 in his last 25 starts against bad teams that are outscored by one or more runs per game on the season and winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Saturday.

04-27-24 A's v. Orioles -1.5 Top 0-7 Win 122 7 h 60 m Show

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+122)

The Baltimore Orioles are highly motivated for a victory today after getting upset as -275 favorites to the A's in Game 1.  They came into this series with a rest advantage over the A's, and that rest advantage will pay dividends today.  The A's have most of their top bullpen arms unavailable after needing them to upset the Yankees and Orioles in consecutive days Thursday and Friday.

Cole Irvin fired 6 2/3 shutout innings against the Royals in his last start.  Irvin allowed just one run in 5 innings of a 7-2 victory in his last start against the A's.  He'll be opposed by JP Sears, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts against the Orioles.  The A's lost those two games by 11 and 4 runs.

The Orioles are 8-0 in Irvin's last eight starts against an AL team slugging .410 or worse and winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Saturday.

04-26-24 Rays -1.5 v. White Sox 4-9 Loss -131 8 h 39 m Show

15* AL Friday Night BLOWOUT on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-131)

The Chicago White Sox are off to one of the worst starts in MLB history.  They are 3-22 this season scoring just 2.2 runs per game and allowing 5.6 runs per game, getting outscored by 3.4 runs per game.  I'll gladly back the Tampa Bay Rays to win by two runs or more tonight.

The Rays have the rest advantage after having yesterday off while the White Sox lost their 6th consecutive game in Minnesota.  The Rays also have a massive advantage on the mound in this one.

Zach Eflin is the ace of the Rays at 1-2 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in five starts this season.  Eflin is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in two career starts against the White Sox.

Chris Flexen is one of the worst starters in baseball.  Flexen is 0-3 with an 8.78 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 25 base runners in 13 1/3 innings with only 7 K's.  He is 1-2 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in three career starts against the Rays as well.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Friday.

04-26-24 A's v. Orioles -1.5 Top 3-2 Loss -115 7 h 6 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (-115)

I like the spot for the Baltimore Orioles tonight.  They have the rest advantage after having yesterday off while the Oakland A's pulled off the 3-1 upset as +240 underdogs against the New York Yankees on the road Thursday.  That makes this a letdown spot for the A's, whose bullpen is now taxed as well.

The Orioles have big advantages on the mound and at the plate tonight.  Ace Corbin Burnes is 3-0 with a 2.76 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in five starts this season.  He'll be facing an Oakland lineup that is hitting .201 and scoring 2.8 runs per game this season, including .194 and 2.7 runs per game against right-handed starters.

Ross Stripling is 0-5 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in five starts for the A's this season.  The A's have lost all five of his starts with four of them coming by two runs or more.  Stripling will be facing a loaded Baltimore lineup that is scoring 5.7 runs per game overall this season and 6.0 runs per game against right-handed starters.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Friday.

04-25-24 Dodgers -1.5 v. Nationals 2-1 Loss -110 5 h 35 m Show

15* MLB Thursday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage at the plate today over the Washington Nationals.  They are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall this season while the Nationals are scoring just 3.6 runs per game overall, including 3.3 runs per game at home.  The Nationals just lost one of their best hitters in RF Lane Thomas to a knee injury yesterday as well.

Los Angeles ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in five starts this season with 30 K's in 22 innings.  He has rebounded nicely from a terrible opening start against the Padres.

Mackenzie Gore is 1-1 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in three home starts for the Nationals this season.  Gore is 0-0 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in two career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 3 homers in 9 2/3 innings.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Thursday.

04-24-24 Marlins v. Braves -1.5 Top 3-4 Loss -120 9 h 56 m Show

20* NL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-120)

The Miami Marlins are now 6-19 this season after getting shut out in consecutive games by the Braves to open this series.  They have scored 3 runs or fewer in six of their last seven games and are averaging just 2.3 runs per game during this stretch.

It won't get any easier for them against Reynaldo Lopez, who has been brilliant for the Braves this season.  Lopez is 2-0 with a 0.50 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in three starts, allowing just one earned run in 18 innings with 18 K's.

Sixto Sanchez sat out from 2021-23 and he is just getting a spot start here.  Sanchez is 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 7 1/3 innings out of the bullpen this season, allowing 5 earned runs and 11 hits.  Sanchez is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in three career starts against Atlanta.

The Braves are 4-1 in their last five meetings with the Marlins with all four wins coming by 2 runs or more.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Wednesday.

04-24-24 Dodgers -1.5 v. Nationals 8-2 Win 100 8 h 22 m Show

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage at the plate today over the Washington Nationals.  They are scoring 5.6 runs per game against right-handed starters this season while the Nationals are scoring just 3.4 runs per game.  The Nationals just lost one of their best hitters in RF Lane Thomas to a knee injury yesterday as well.

Landon Knack was solid in his first start this season holding the Nationals to 2 runs in 5 innings.  He has posted a 4.02 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 15 2/3 innings at AAA this season for the Dodgers with 16 K's and only one homer allowed.

Jake Irvin went 3-7 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 24 starts for the Nationals last season, allowing 62 earned runs and 20 homers in 121 innings as a rookie.  He is off to a better start this season, but it's unsustainable.  Look for Irvin to get rocked tonight.

The Dodgers are 36-13 in their last 49 games against a NL starting pitcher with a 3.20 ERA or better.  They are outscoring opponents by 2.7 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Wednesday. 

04-23-24 Dodgers -1.5 v. Nationals Top 4-1 Win 100 7 h 53 m Show

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-130)

I love fading Patrick Corbin.  He has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the last 5 years.  He went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA in 2020, 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA in 2021, 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA in 2022 and 10-15 with a 5.20 ERA in 2023.  He is off to another rough start this season, going 0-3 with an 8.06 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in four starts while allowing 20 earned runs and 44 base runners in 22 1/3 innings.

Corbin is 0-4 with a 10.71 ERA in his last five starts against the Dodgers, allowing 25 earned runs, 6 homers and 50 base runners in 21 innings.  He just allowed 5 earned runs and 13 base runners in 6 1/3 innings of a 6-2 loss to the Dodgers on April 16th in his last start.  The Dodgers are 5-1 in their last six games against Corbin with all five wins coming by 4 runs or more.

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound today that will have them winning this game by multiple runs.  James Paxton is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA in three starts this season, allowing just 5 earned runs in 16 innings.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday.

04-21-24 Mets v. Dodgers -1.5 0-10 Win 100 5 h 24 m Show

15* MLB Sunday Late Afternoon BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120)

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be highly motivated for a victory today.  They have lost the first two games in this series to the New York Mets and will be looking to avoid the sweep in Game 3.  I like their chances of winning this game by multiple runs due to their massive advantage on the mound.

The Dodgers should feast on Adrian Houser, who is 0-1 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 8 earned runs and 23 base runners in 15 1/3 innings.  Houser is 0-2 with a 9.40 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in two career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 8 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings.

Tyler Glasnow is 3-1 with a 3.72 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in five starts for the Dodgers this season.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and 28 base runners in 29 innings with 34 K's.  I expect him to hold the Mets in check this afternoon.

Glasnow's teams are 20-1 in his last 21 starts as a favorite of -175 to -250 and winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Sunday.

04-21-24 White Sox v. Phillies -1.5 2-8 Win 100 3 h 43 m Show

15* MLB Sunday Early Afternoon BLOWOUT on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-140)

The Chicago White Sox are the worst team in baseball.  They are 3-17 this season while hitting .190 and scoring 2.1 runs per game and getting outscored by 3.3 runs per game.  They are without two of their best hitters right now in Robert Jr. and Moncada to make matters worse.

Instead of laying the Phillies -300 on the money line today, we'll take this massive discount on the -140 run line to win this game by two runs or more.  The Phillies are 5-0 in their last five games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in four consecutive games.  That includes their 7-0 win in Game 1 and their 9-5 win in Game 2 over the White Sox in which they led 9-0 heading into the 9th.

The Phillies have a massive advantage on the mound today.  Aaron Nola is 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing just 3 earned runs and 17 base runners in 19 innings.  Nick Nastrini will be making just his 2nd career start for the White Sox, and I don't expect it to go well for him today against the hot-hitting Phillies.

Chicago is 0-12 after losing four of its last five games this season and losing by 4.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Sunday.

04-20-24 A's v. Guardians -1.5 3-6 Win 127 6 h 43 m Show

15* MLB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (+127)

The Oakland A's are one of the worst teams in baseball this season. T hey are hitting .207 and scoring 2.9 runs per game.  They are getting outscored by 1.5 runs per game on the season.  

The Cleveland Guardians are one of the best teams in baseball this season.  They are 14-6 and outscoring opponents by 2.3 runs per game on the year.  I'll gladly take the opportunity to get the Guardians at plus money on the Run Line to win this game by multiple runs.

I'll also gladly fade Alex Wood, who is 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA and 2.10 WHP in four starts this season, allowing 15 earned runs and 35 base runners in 16 2/3 innings.  Wood allowed 6 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in an 8-0 loss to the Guardians on March 28th earlier this season.

Cleveland is 15-3 in its 18 meetings with Oakland over the last three seasons.  Each of their last five wins over the A's have come by 2 runs or more.  They have outscored the A's 45-14 in their last six meetings.  Bet the Guardians on the Run Line Saturday.

04-20-24 White Sox v. Phillies -1.5 Top 5-9 Win 100 6 h 33 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-145)

The Chicago White Sox are the worst team in baseball.  They are 3-16 this season while hitting .190 and scoring 2.0 runs per game and getting outscored by 3.2 runs per game.  They are without two of their best hitters right now in Robert Jr. and Moncada to make matters worse.

Instead of laying the Phillies -360 on the money line today, we'll take this massive discount on the -145 run line to win this game by two runs or more.  The Phillies are 4-0 in their last four games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in three consecutive games, including a 7-0 win over the White Sox yesterday.

The Phillies have a massive advantage on the mound today.  Zack Wheeler has posted a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing just 8 earned runs in 24 innings with 30 K's.

I'll gladly fade Mike Soroka, who is 0-2 with a 6.98 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 19 1/3 innings with only 10 K's.  Soroka has posted a 4.39 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in three career starts against the Phillies.

Chicago is 0-11 after losing four of its last five games this season and losing by 4.6 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Saturday.

04-12-24 Reds -1.5 v. White Sox 11-1 Win 100 20 h 10 m Show

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-109)

The Chicago White Sox are a mess.  They are 2-10 this season and scoring just 2.4 runs per game.  They are without three of their best hitters right now to boot due to injury in Robert Jr., Jimenez and Moncada.

The Cincinnati Reds will be highly motivated for a victory coming off two consecutive losses.  The Reds have one of the best lineups in baseball, and they have a big advantage on the mound over the White Sox today.

Andrew Abbott is 8-7 with a 3.84 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 23 career starts for the Reds.  He'll be opposed by Chris Flexen, who is 27-36 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in seven seasons in the big leagues.  He went 2-8 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.67 WHIP last season, and he is 0-2 with a 5.91 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 7 earned runs and 17 base runners in 10 2/3 innings. Flexen allowed 7 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 14-4 loss to the Reds in his lone career start against them.

The wind is expected to be blowing out to center at 20 MPH tonight in Chicago which will aid the Reds in scoring runs and winning this game by multiple runs.  Bet the Reds on the Run Line Friday.

04-10-24 Dodgers -1.5 v. Twins 2-3 Loss -110 3 h 50 m Show

15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110)

The Minnesota Twins are struggling right now without 3B Royce Lewis.  He is hitting .313 with a .369 OBP and a .564 SLG entering his 3rd season in Minnesota.  The Twins are 1-6 in their last seven games overall and have been held to 2 runs or fewer in five of the six losses, and 3 in the other.  They are hitting .181 and scoring 2.9 runs per game on the season.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have arguably the best lineup in baseball.  They are hitting .278 and scoring 5.6 runs per game this season, including .298 and 6.4 runs per game against right-handed starters.  They have a big advantage at the plate and the advantage on the mound today.

Bobby Miller went 11-4 with a 3.76 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 22 starts last season for the Dodgers.  He shut down the Cardinals in his first start, but the Cubs did get to him in his second start.  Now he takes a big step down in class here against the light-hitting Twins.

Chris Paddack hasn't been healthy since 2021.  He posted a 5.07 ERA in 2021, a 4.03 ERA in 22 1/3 innings in 2022 and a 5.40 ERA in 5 innings in 2023.  Paddack allowed 2 earned runs and 8 base runners in 4 innings to the Brewers in his first start this season.  He has allowed 13 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Dodgers.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Wednesday.

04-09-24 Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Rockies 3-2 Loss -120 11 h 45 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-120)

The Arizona Diamondbacks will be highly motivated for a victory tonight following five consecutive losses by a total of 8 runs.  They will take out their frustration with a blowout road win over the lowly Colorado Rockies.

Merrill Kelly is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He went 12-8 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 30 starts in 2023 after going 13-8 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 33 starts in 2022.

Kelly is off to another great start this season, going 1-0 with a 1.98 ERA and 0.66 WHIP in two starts allowing 3 earned runs and 9 base runners in 13 2/3 innings.  Kelly has owned the Rockies, allowing 4 earned runs and 14 base runners in 19 2/3 innings with a whopping 31 K's in his last three starts against them.

We'll gladly fade Cal Quantrill, who went 4-7 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 19 starts for the Guardians last season.  Quantrill is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 9 earned runs, 2 homers and 18 base runners in 9 innings.  The Diamondbacks will hang a big number on him and their bullpen (6.80 ERA) today.  Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Tuesday.

04-09-24 Dodgers -1.5 v. Twins Top 6-3 Win 100 10 h 50 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110)

The Minnesota Twins are struggling right now without 3B Royce Lewis.  He is hitting .313 with a .369 OBP and a .564 SLG entering his 3rd season in Minnesota.  The Twins are 1-5 in their last six games overall and have been held to 2 runs or fewer in all five losses.  They are hitting .181 and scoring 2.9 runs per game on the season.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have arguably the best lineup in baseball.  They are hitting .279 and scoring 5.6 runs per game this season, including .303 and 6.5 runs per game against right-handed starters.  They have a big advantage at the plate and and an even bigger advantage on the mound tonight.

Ace Tyler Glasnow takes the ball for the Dodgers.  Glasnow went 10-7 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.083 WHIP in 21 starts last season for the Rays with 162 K's in 120 innings.  He is 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA and 0.882 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing just 6 earned runs and 15 base runners in 17 innings.

Louie Varland went 4-3 with a 4.63 ERA while allowing 16 homers in 68 innings for the Twins last season.  He allowed 3 earned runs, a homer and 8 base runners in 4 innings in his first start this season against the Brewers.  It won't go well for him against this potent Dodgers lineup tonight, especially with double-digit winds expected to be blowing out to center.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday.

03-31-24 Cardinals v. Dodgers -1.5 4-5 Loss -100 8 h 15 m Show

15* Cardinals/Dodgers ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -1.5 (+110)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have the best lineup in baseball with the addition of Ohtani.  They are raking already scoring 6.8 runs per game in their five games this season.  They beat the Cardinals 7-1 in Game 1 and 6-3 in Game 2 before falling 6-5 in extra inning yesterday.  They stranded bases loaded and no outs in the 1st inning and 1st and 3rd with one out in the 2nd.  That poor start cost them, and they'll be out for revenge tonight on National TV.

The St. Louis Cardinals have arguably the worst rotation in baseball as well as an underwhelming lineup  That's evident by the fact that they started Miles Mikolas on Opening Day, Zack Thompson is their No. 2 starter and Lance Lynn is their No. 3 starter.  Now they go to No. 4 Steven Matz, who posted a 8.16 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in spring training while allowing 13 earned runs, 5 homers and 25 base runners in 14 1/3 innings.

Gavin Stone could be one of the best young starters in baseball.  He looks ready for this opportunity after posting a 3.21 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in spring training, allowing just 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 14 innings in spring training.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Sunday.

03-30-24 Cardinals v. Dodgers -1.5 6-5 Loss -105 11 h 43 m Show

15* MLB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-105)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have the best lineup in baseball with the addition of Ohtani.  They are raking already scoring 7.2 runs per game in their four games this season, including a 7-1 victory over the Cardinals in Game 1 and a 6-3 victory in Game 2.  It will be more of the same in Game 3 tonight.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto signed the richest contract of any pitcher in MLB history in the offseason.  That's how highly the Dodgers think of him.  I know he has been shaky in spring training and in his first start of the season against the Padres, but I expect him to be good enough today to win this game by multiple runs.

The St. Louis Cardinals have arguably the worst rotation in baseball as well as an underwhelming lineup  That's evident by the fact that they started Miles Mikolas on Opening Day, and Zack Thompson is their No. 2 starter.  Now No. 3 starter Lance Lynn takes the ball, and this is more of a fade of him than anything.

Lynn went 13-11 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 32 starts last season.  He posted a 7.90 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in spring training allowing 12 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings.  The Dodgers are going to crush him today.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Saturday.

03-29-24 Cardinals v. Dodgers -1.5 3-6 Win 100 12 h 19 m Show

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have the best lineup in baseball with the addition of Ohtani.  They are raking already scoring 7.7 runs per game in their three games this season, including a 7-1 victory over the Cardinals in their home opener.  It will be more of the same in the rematch tonight.

Bobby Miller is 11-4 with a 3.76 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 22 career starts.  He had a great spring training posting a 2.77 ERA in 13 innings while allowing just 4 earned runs.  I expect him to shut down this weak St. Louis lineup which is one of the worst in baseball.

The St. Louis Cardinals have arguably the worst rotation in baseball as well.  That's evident by the fact that they started Miles Mikolas on Opening Day, and Zack Thompson is their No. 2 starter.  Thompson went 5-7 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 66 1/3 innings last season.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Friday.

03-28-24 Cardinals v. Dodgers -1.5 Top 1-7 Win 100 6 h 45 m Show

20* 2024 MLB Season Opener on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have the best lineup in baseball with the addition of Ohtani.  They got Tyler Glasnow in the offseason and he quickly becomes their ace.  Glasnow went 10-7 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 21 starts last season with 162 K's in 120 innings.  He posted a 0.90 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in 10 innings this spring.

The St. Louis Cardinals have arguably the worst rotation in baseball.  That's evident by the fact that they are starting Miles Mikolas on Opening Day.  Mikolas went 9-13 with a 4.78 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 35 starts last season with just 137 K's in 201 1/3 innings.

Glasnow's teams are 17-1 in his 18 career starts as a favorite of -175 to -250 and winning by 2.3 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Dodges on the Run Line Thursday.

10-07-23 Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 Top 11-2 Loss -100 28 h 45 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+105)

Clayton Kershaw just keeps getting it done as one of the top starters in all of baseball.  Kershaw is 13-5 with a 2.46 ERA and 1.063 WHIP in 24 starts this season.  He has been at his best at home, going 7-1 with a 1.58 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in 10 home starts.

Kershaw owns the Diamondbacks, who struggle against left-handed starters.  Kershaw is 23-12 with a 2.80 ERA and 1.043 WHIP in 45 career starts against Arizona.  Kershaw has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in each of his last eight home starts against the Diamondbacks.  In fact, the Dodgers are 13-0 in Kershaw's last 13 home starts against Arizona.

Merrill Kelly is 0-11 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.697 WHIP in 16 career starts against the Dodgers.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or more in six of his eight career road starts at Los Angeles.  He is 0-3 with a 12.27 ERA in his last four road starts against the Dodgers, allowing 20 earned runs and 41 base runners in 14 2/3 innings.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Saturday.

09-24-23 Rockies v. Cubs -1.5 Top 3-4 Loss -121 5 h 59 m Show

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-121)

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 6 runs in five consecutive games and a total of 39 runs in those five games.  They are red hot at the plate, which is why I'm willing to take them on the Run Line today against the lowly Colorado Rockies, who have lost six consecutive games coming in.

Jordan Wicks is 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 1.185 WHIP in five starts for the Cubs this season.  Wicks held the Rockies to one run and 4 base runners in 6 innings in Colorado on September 11th earlier this month in his lone career start against them.

He'll be opposed by Ty Blach, who is 3-2 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 11 starts.  Blach is 1-1 with a 9.22 ERA and 2.195 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs and a whopping 6 homers in 13 2/3 innings.  Blach has posted a 5.32 ERA and 1.682 WHIP in four career starts against Chicago.

Colorado is 3-42 as an underdog of +200 or higher this season and getting outscored by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  The Rockies are 0-15 in road games vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs per game this season and getting outscored by 5.0 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Sunday.

09-23-23 Rockies v. Cubs -1.5 Top 3-6 Win 100 4 h 5 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-107)

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 6 runs in four consecutive games and a total of 33 runs in those four games.  They are red hot at the plate, which is why I'm willing to take them on the Run Line today against gas can Chris Flexen and the awful Colorado Rockies.

Marcus Stroman is 10-8 with a 3.85 ERA and 1.236 WHIP in 23 starts for the Cubs this season, including 6-6 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.052 WHIP in 12 home starts.  Stroman is 4-2 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.846 WHIP in six career starts against Colorado.

Flexen is 1-8 with a 7.70 ERA and 1.695 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 1-3 with a 10.99 ERA and 2.187 WHIP in five road starts.  Flexen is 0-1 with a 12.92 ERA and 3.003 WHIP in two career starts against the Cubs, both of which have come in 2023.  He has allowed 11 earned runs and 23 base runners in 7 2/3 innings in those two starts against Chicago.

Colorado is 3-41 as an underdog of +200 or higher this season and getting outscored by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  The Rockies are 0-14 in road games vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs per game this season and getting outscored by 5.0 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Saturday.

09-05-23 Orioles -1.5 v. Angels 5-4 Loss -100 12 h 43 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+102)

The Baltimore Orioles continue coming up clutch trying to win the AL East.  They are 9-3 in their last 12 games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in 10 of those 12 games.  The Angels have been a dumpster fire since the trade deadline.  They are 8-23 in their last 31 games overall, including 1-7 in their last eight games and were just swept at Oakland over the weekend while getting outscored 21-9 in the process.

Dean Kremer is 12-5 with a 4.20 ERA in 27 starts this season, 5-3 with a 3.77 ERA in 11 road starts, and 1-1 with a 2.00 ERA in his last three starts.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts and 12 of his last 14 starts overall.  Kremer is 2-0 with a 2.53 ERA in two career starts against the Angels.

Reid Detmers is 3-10 with a 5.01 ERA in 24 starts for the Angels this season.  He has really struggled of late, going 1-5 with a 7.56 ERA in his last nine starts while allowing 35 earned runs and 10 homers in 41 2/3 innings.

Baltimore is 14-1 in its last 15 games as a road favorite of -125 or more and outscoring opponents by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  The Orioles are 9-1 in Kremer's last 10 starts and winning by 3.4 runs per game.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Tuesday.

09-04-23 Orioles -1.5 v. Angels 6-3 Win 100 13 h 42 m Show

15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (-114)

The Baltimore Orioles continue coming up clutch trying to win the AL East.  They are 8-3 in their last 11 games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in nine of those 11 games.  They are raking right now and will stay hot at the plate against Kenny Rosenberg, who will be making his first start of the season for the lowly Angels.

The Angels have been a dumpster fire since the trade deadline.  They are 8-22 in their last 30 games overall, including 1-6 in their last seven games and were just swept at Oakland over the weekend while getting outscored 21-9 in the process.

Grayson Rodriquez is going through his best stretch of the season for the Orioles.  He is 2-1 with a 2.32 ERA in his last seven starts, allowing 11 earned runs in 42 2/3 innings while allowing 3 earned runs or fewer in all seven starts.

Baltimore is 13-1 in its last 14 games as a road favorite of -125 or more and outscoring opponents by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Monday.

09-02-23 Twins v. Rangers -1.5 9-7 Loss -100 8 h 10 m Show

15* MLB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Texas Rangers -1.5 (+107)

I like the Texas Rangers to bounce back in blowout fashion today due to their advantage on the mound.  The Minnesota Twins have huge righty/lefty splits this season and are hitting just .222 and scoring 3.5 runs per game vs. left-handed starters.  The Rangers are hitting .273 and scoring 6.1 runs per game vs. left-handed starters.

Lefty Jordan Montgomery is 8-10 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.201 WHIP in 26 starts this season.  Montgomery has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 15 of his last 16 starts.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 12 of those, and one earned run or fewer in nine of them.

Lefty Dallas Kechel goes for the Twins.  He is washed up and no more than a fill-in starter.  Keuchel is 1-1 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.462 WHIP in three starts this season.  His lone road start was a complete disaster as he allowed 6 earned runs and 8 base runners in 1 2/3 innings of a 13-2 loss at Philadelphia.  Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Saturday.

09-01-23 Yankees v. Astros -1.5 6-2 Loss -100 9 h 15 m Show

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Houston Astros -1.5 (+125)

The Houston Astros are 5-0 in their last five games overall while scoring outscoring opponents 52-17 in the process.  They are red hot at the plate and that will continue tonight against the lowly New York Yankees, who are 5-13 in their last 18 games overall and out of playoff contention.

The Astros have the rest advantage after having yesterday off while the Yankees played extra innings in Detroit on Thursday.  They also have the advantage on the mound behind Justin Verlander, who is 10-6 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.168 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 6-3 with a 2.27 ERA and 0.995 WHIP in 11 home starts.

Verlander has owned the Yankees over the past two seasons, going 3-1 with a 1.41 ERA in his last five starts against them while allowing just 5 earned runs in 32 innings.  He'll be opposed by Carlos Rodon, who is 1-4 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.407 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three road starts.  Rodon allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 2 2/3 innings of a 9-7 loss to the Astros in his lone start against them in 2023.

The Yankees are 1-7 in Rodon's eight starts this season and getting outscored by 2.3 runs per game.  Houston is 13-2 vs. starting pitchers that average less than 5 innings per start this season and outscoring opponents by 2.6 runs per game.  New York is 4-17 in its last 21 road games vs. teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Friday.

09-01-23 Red Sox -1.5 v. Royals Top 2-13 Loss -115 9 h 17 m Show

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-115)

It's now or never for the Boston Red Sox.  They are 6.5 games out of the wild card and have a month to make it up.  It starts with their series against the lowly Kansas City Royals tonight.  The Royals are 1-10 in their last 11 games overall with seven losses by two runs or more.  This is the perfect opponent for the Red Sox to get back on track after facing the Astros for seven games and the Dodgers for three games during a brutal stretch.

The Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind James Paxton, who is 7-4 with a 3.99 ERA and 1.257 WHIP in 18 starts this season.  Paxton has never lost to the Royals, going 4-0 with a 1.51 ERA and 0.902 WHIP in eight career starts against them.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in all eight starts, including firing 19 1/3 shutout innings with 29 K's in his last three.

The Red Sox will tee off on Jordan Lyles, who is one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  Lyles is 3-15 with a 6.39 ERA in 25 starts while allowing a whopping 33 homers.  That includes 0-2 with a 9.59 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 17 earned runs and 9 homers in 16 innings.  Lyles is also 2-3 with a 6.66 ERA and 1.788 WHIP in 10 career starts against Boston.  He has allowed 14 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Red Sox.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Friday.

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