20* Florida/Houston Championship Game No-Brainer on Houston +1.5

The Houston Cougars are 34-4 this season with all four losses coming by 5 points or fewer, including three in OT.  They have only lost one game since December 1st and that was a 1-point loss to Texas Tech in OT.  They are battle-tested and have come out on top in almost all of their close games since December.

The Cougars had the toughest route to championship game by far.  It started with beating Gonzaga, which was the most under-seeded team in the entire tournament.  Then they beat the defending runners-up in Purdue in a dog fight in what was essentially a home game for the Boilermakers being played in Indianapolis.  Tennessee had the home-court advantage in the Elite 8 in Indianapolis, but it didn't matter as the Cougars put together their most complete performance of the season in a wire-to-wire job in a 69-50 win over Vols.

Now it's Houston that gets the home-court advantage.  The Final 4 is being played in the Alamodome in San Antonio.  Houston is the 9th team to play in its home state in the Final 4 since 1975. Those teams playing in their home state have gone 8-1 SU in the previous nine instances, including all three underdogs winning outright.

That includes their 70-67 win over Duke in the Final 4.  Things were going against Houston for 30 minutes that they were able to overcome.  Uzan got two early fouls and picked up his 4th foul early in the 2H and played just 28 minutes total.  The Cougars overcame a 14-point deficit in the 2H and a 6-point deficit in the final minute to beat a Duke team that almost everyone thought would win the title after running through everyone else.

Florida is fortunate to be here.  The Gators survived a dog fight against 8th seed UConn, they needed a double-digit comeback in the final few minutes to beat Texas Tech, and they overcame a double-digit deficit in the 2H against Auburn.  They got to face Auburn with a hobbled Broome as well.  This is where the luck for the Gators runs out.

Florida hasn't face a team that plays with the physicality and toughness that Houston does defensively.  The Cougars rank 1st in adjusted defense and 360th in adjusted tempo.  They drag you in the mud and make you play their game.  And I think they should get the benefit of the whistle with this essentially being a home game for them being played in San Antonio.  No question the Cougars feel like they can't lose at this point after that comeback win over Duke.  They are playing with extreme confidence, and I trust Kelvin Sampson to make the proper adjustments over Todd Golden of the Gators.  Bet Houston Monday. 

15* Houston/Duke Final 4 Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 137

Two of the best defenses in the country square off in the Final 4 when Houston meets Duke in the spacious Alamodome in San Antonio.  These basketball games that are played in football stadiums all tend to be lower scoring.  We saw that play out in Indianapolis in the Sweet 16 and the Elite 8.

Houston is a dead nuts UNDER team as it is, and the Cougars played a 62-60 dog fight with Purdue for 122 combined points and another 69-50 defensive battle with Tennessee for 119 combined points in their two games in Indianapolis.  The Cougars rank 1st in adjusted defense this season and 360th in adjusted tempo as only four teams in the entire country play slower than they do.

Duke also doesn't like to push the pace ranking 268th in adjusted tempo and 4th in adjusted defense.  Few teams have been able to do what Duke did to Alabama last game.  The Blue Devils held the Crimson Tide to just 65 points and totally took them out of their game.  But Duke has gotten away with playing four poor, undersized defensive teams thus far in the tournament in Mt. St. Mary's, Baylor, Arizona and Alabama.  The Blue Devils haven't faced a team as physical and ferocious defensively as Houston is.  

This is a rematch from a 54-51 win by Duke and just 105 combined points in the Sweet 16 last season.  While I don't expect it to be that low-scoring again, I fully expect it to stay UNDER this 137-point total.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

25* NCAA Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on Houston +5

The Houston Cougars are 34-4 this season with all four losses coming by 5 points or fewer, including three in OT.  They have only lost one game since December 1st and that was a 1-point loss to Texas Tech in OT.  They are battle-tested and have come out on top in almost all of their close games since December.

The Cougars had the toughest route to the Final 4 of any of the four remaining teams, and especially much tougher than Duke's path.  It started with beating Gonzaga, which was the most under-seeded team in the entire tournament.  Then they beat the defending runners-up in Purdue in a dog fight in what was essentially a home game for the Boilermakers being played in Indianapolis.  Tennessee has the home-court advantage last round in Indianapolis, but it didn't matter as the Cougars put together their most complete performance of the season in a wire-to-wire job in a 69-50 win over Vols.

Now it's Houston that gets the home-court advantage here.  The Final 4 will be played in the Alamodome in San Antonio.  Houston is the 9th team to play in its home state in the Final 4 since 1975. Those teams playing in their home state have gone 7-1 SU in the previous eight instances, including both underdogs winning outright.

Duke has played four pretty soft, guard-oriented teams to get here.  The last three wins came against Baylor, Arizona and Alabama.  Arizona from the Big 12 gave them their toughest test in a 7-point defeat.  Houston went 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS against Arizona this season.

Duke has struggled against more physical, defensive-minded teams that slow down the tempo.  Their last loss came against Clemson, which ranks 327th in adjusted tempo and 17th in adjusted defense.  They also lost to fellow Big 12 opponent Kansas earlier this season, and the Jayhawks rank 11th in adjusted defense.  Kansas lost both meetings with Houston this season.

Duke hasn't seen a team that will challenge them physically and mentally like Houston will.  The Cougars rank 360th in adjusted tempo and 1st in adjusted defense.  But this is also the best offense of the Kelvin Sampson era with the Cougars ranking 10th in adjusted offense.  The trio of guards in Cryer, Uzan and Sharpe can match that of Duke, and Roberts, Francis and Tugler are a trio of big men that are tough to deal with inside.  

I expect Houston to win the majority of the loose balls and to feed off of what will feel like a home crowd in San Antonio.  This line should be much closer to PK.  Finally, the Cougars want revenge from a 54-51 loss to Duke in the Sweet 16 last season.  Jamal Shead got hurt in the 1H in that game and wasn't able to return, and it made all the difference.  The Cougars get their revenge in the Final 4 one year later.  Bet Houston Saturday.

15* Florida/Auburn Final 4 Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 161.5

The Final 4 will be played in the spacious Alamodome in San Antonio that seats 70,000 fans.  These basketball games that are played in football stadiums tend to be lower scoring due to the poor shooting backgrounds.  We saw that play out in Indianapolis in the Sweet 16 and Elite 8.  UNDERS went 3-0 in those three games.

The last 15 Final 4 games with a total of 160 or higher went 10-5 UNDER.  Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games, and Florida and Auburn being from the SEC and having already played once this season will know what to expect when they meet again in the Final 4.

Florida ranks 10th in adjusted defense while Auburn ranks 8th in adjusted defense.  Both teams hang their hats on defense.  The Tigers may have to do that even more now with their best player hampered as Johnni Broome suffered an elbow injury against Michigan State.  He was nursing that elbow the entire way when he returned, and there's no way he'll be 100% even though he will likely play through it.

Auburn is 5-1 UNDER in its last six games overall with 152 or fewer combined points in all six games, including 146 or fewer in five of the six.  Florida went for 152 combined points with UConn, 158 with Maryland and 163 with Texas Tech in its last three games coming in.  Florida needed 4 straight made 3-pointers and 25-of-27 from the FT line to escape with a victory in a very high-scoring final couple minutes against Texas Tech.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Chattanooga/UC-Irvine NIT Championship ANNIHILATOR on Chattanooga +5

Chattanooga is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the NIT with 4 outright wins as underdogs.  What more do the Mocs need to do to get some respect? Now they are 5-point underdogs to UC-Irvine in the NIT Championship Game, and I fully expect them to win outright, but we'll take the points for some insurance.

While Chattanooga had to play 3 of its 4 games on the road to get here, UC-Irvine benefitted from getting 3 home games to make the semifinals.  And it couldn't have been a much easier schedule with unimpressive wins over Northern Colorado by 10, Jacksonville State by 5 and UAB by 4.  And the Anteaters were fortunate to get a big comeback to beat North Texas by 2 in the semifinals.  So the only team they beat by more than this 5-point margin was Northern Colorado, which ranks 125th in Kenpom.

So UC-Irvine's 4 wins have come by a total of 21 points despite being favored in every game except being 1-point dogs to North Texas.  Chattanooga's 4 wins have come by a total of 30 points despite being an underdog in all 4 contests.  Bet Chattanooga Thursday.

20* Nebraska/Georgetown FS1 No-Brainer on OVER 152

We saw NIT OVERs thrive and now we are seeing College Basketball Crown OVERS thrive.  OVERS are 5-3 in the College Basketball Crown Tournament and 6-2 if you bet early.  Defense tends to be optional, and players just play freely in these lesser tournaments.  We got a good early number here on Nebraska/Georgetown OVER 152.

Georgetown beat Washington State 85-82 for 167 combined points in its tournament opener on Monday.  This despite the Hoyas only shooting 40.8% from the field.  The Hoyas have had to go more small ball without their best big man down the stretch, and they are 7-2 OVER in their last nine games overall.  They rank 117th in adjusted tempo so they like to play fast as well.

Nebraska is coming off a 86-78 win over Arizona State and 164 combined points.  Neither team really lit it up shooting wise, either.  The Huskers also play faster than your average team ranking 149th in adjusted tempo.  We will see more offensive fireworks in the shooter-friendly MGM Grand Garden arena tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* CBB Sunday Elite 8 Total DOMINATOR on Michigan State/Auburn UNDER 150

Two elite defensive teams square off in the Elite 8 Sunday when Michigan State takes on Auburn in the South Region final.  This profiles as a defensive battle with points very hard to come by, especially for Michigan State.

The Spartans rank 4th in the country in adjusted defense and have been riding defense and rebounding to the Elite 8.  They have gotten away with just how poor of a shooting team they are, largely due to their soft schedule to this point.  The Spartans rank 318th in 3-point percentage at 31.1% this season.  They rank just 329th in 3-point rate at 32.8%, so at least they know they shouldn't be taking a ton of them.  That also allows them to set their defense with fewer long rebounds.

Auburn ranks 8th in the country in adjusted defense and 11th in effective FG percentage.  The Tigers have great defensive guards across the board, and they have two great defensive big men inside led by Broome and Cardwell.  Nothing will come easy for the Spartans in this one.  I also like the fact that neither team really looks to push the pace as both rank middle of the pack in tempo.

Michigan State is a dead nuts UNDER team going 25-11 UNDER in all games this season.  They are 14-4 UNDER in their last 18 games overall with 149 or fewer combined points in 13 of those 18 games.  That includes 143 with Ole Miss and 134 with New Mexico in their last two games coming in.

Auburn has been an UNDER team since the start of the NCAA Tournament.  The Tigers are 4-1 UNDER in their last five games overall with 146 or fewer combined points in four of those five games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

20* Michigan State/Auburn South Region No-Brainer on Auburn -5

It's amazing how good Auburn can be when they are dialed in.  The Tigers clearly knew they were going to be a No. 1 seed regardless of how they performed in the SEC Tournament and it showed.  They were also lackluster in their NCAA Tournament opener against Alabama State winning by 20 as 31.5-point favorites.

The Tigers started slow against UConn trailing by 2 at halftime.  They showed what they were capable of down the stretch, pulling away for a 82-70 victory as 9-point favorites.  They did the same thing against Michigan, trailing by 8 points with about 12 minutes left.  That's when they decided their season was on the line, and they locked in from that point outscoring the Wolverines by 21 the rest of the way to win 78-65 and cover as 9-point favorites.

If Auburn is anywhere near at its best for 40 minutes, it will crush Michigan State.  The only hope for the Spartans to keep this game competitive would be an off game for Auburn, and considering a trip to the Final 4 is on the line I expect we get their best effort.

Michigan State needed late surges to beat both New Mexico by 8 and Ole Miss by 3 the last two rounds.  The Spartans have been getting by with hustle, defense and rebounding because they rank just 318th in the country in 3-point shooting at 31.1%.  This is where their lack of shooting finally hurts them as they can't hang with a team the caliber of Auburn without it.

Ole Miss is a common opponent and Auburn went 3-0 against Ole Miss this season winning those three meeting by a total of 45 points, or by an average of 15 points per game.  Michigan State pretty much trailed Ole Miss the entire way and was life and death.  This is a big step up in class for the Spartans against an Auburn team with no weaknesses ranking 3rd in adjusted offense and 8th in adjusted defense.  It's also a home game for the Tigers basically less than two hours from campus in Atlanta.  Bet Auburn Sunday.

20* Alabama/Duke East Region No-Brainer on OVER 171.5

Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Crimson Tide rank 1st in adjusted tempo, 4th in average length of offensive possession and 4th in adjusted offense.  Alabama and its opponents have combined for at least 166 points in 12 of their last 14 games overall.  The two games they didn't came against two slow-paced, defensive-minded teams in Tennessee and St. Mary's.

Now Alabama plays a team that won't mind running and gunning with them in Duke, which has really upped its tempo here down the stretch.  The Blue Devils have been a dead nuts OVER team down the stretch when Cooper Flagg has been healthy.  The Blue Devils are 10-1 OVER in their last 11 games in which Flagg has started.

Alabama has scored at least 80 points in 17 of its last 19 games, including 90 or more in 12 of those 19 games.  The Crimson Tide beat BYU 113-88 last game for 201 combined points and shot 25-of-51 from 3-point range.  They aren't going to change how they play against Duke.

Duke has scored at least 78 points in each of the last 12 games in which Flagg has started.  They are averaging 94.5 PPG in games in which Flagg has started and finished since mid-February.  The Blue Devils hung 100 on Arizona in a 100-93 win for 193 combined points.  They won't mind getting in an up-tempo game with Alabama, either.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Friday Sweet 16 Total DOMINATOR on Michigan/Auburn OVER 151

Michigan really profiles as an OVER team.  The Wolverines rank 58th in adjusted tempo and 22nd in average length of offensive possession.  They also rank 324th in turnover rate, committing turnovers on 20% of their possessions to create easy scoring opportunities for their opponents.

Auburn also likes to play with pace ranking 146th in adjusted tempo and 132nd in average length of offensive possession.  The Tigers do everything under control and get good looks each time down the court, ranking 3rd in adjusted offense.

Michigan went for 170 combined points with Texas A&M last game despite neither team shooting well from the floor, especially the Aggies who shot 38% from the floor and 26% from 3.  Auburn went for 152 combined points with Creighton against a Bluejays team that likes to play at a much slower tempo than Michigan does.

Auburn is 11-5 OVER in its last 16 games with 152 or more combined points in 11 of those 16 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Michigan/Auburn South Region No-Brainer on Auburn -7.5

Michigan is the most overrated team left in the tournament.  The Wolverines have a negative point differential despite winning 13 of their last 17 games.  They were simply fortunate in close games all season, and they've won just two games by more than 6 points since January 12th.

Michigan was once again fortunate to escape with a 68-65 win over UC-San Diego in the Round of 64.  They had the officials on their side when UC-San Diego's best player in Tait-Jones fouled out and was in foul trouble all game only playing 24 minutes thanks to a couple questionable calls.  Michigan only won by 3 despite a rare poor shooting performance by the Tritons going just 7-of-30 (23%) from 3-point range.

Michigan was then able to overcome a double-digit deficit in the 2H to beat Texas A&M in the Round of 32.  The Aggies are a poor shooting team and it came back to bite them hitting just 38% from the field and 26% from 3-point range against the Wolverines.

Now the Wolverines face a complete team in Auburn, and this is where their luck runs out.  The Tigers rank 3rd in adjusted offense and 12th in adjusted defense.  They take care of the ball ranking 5th in turnover rate on offense turning it over on only 13% of possessions.  That's going to be the difference in this game.

Michigan ranks 324th in turnover percentage on offense turning it over on nearly 20% of possessions.  Auburn will capitalize on those opportunities, and I don't think Michigan has what it takes to keep up in what I expect to be a shootout.  This will also feel like a home game for the Tigers being played in Atlanta less than two hours from campus.  Bet Auburn Friday.

15* Kentucky/Tennessee Midwest Region ANNIHILATOR on Tennessee -4

Tennessee lost both meetings to Kentucky during the regular season.  The ultimate revenge would be to knock out the Wildcats in the NCAA Tournament, and I fully expect the Vols to get their revenge in blowout fashion today.

The shooting in the first two meetings was very fluky and heavily in Kentucky's favor.  While Tennessee went 14-of-63 (22.2%) from 3-point range in the two meetings, Kentucky remarkably went 24-of-48 (50%) from 3-point range.  That was the difference.  Jax Robinson had 17 points on 4-of-9 from 3 in one of the meetings, and the Wildcats are now without Robinson and much less potent offensively.

Let's also look at this from a line value perspective.  Tennessee was a 10.5-point favorite at home and a 4-point favorite on the road in the first two meetings.  Now the Vols are a 4-point favorite on a neutral, which is too big of an adjustment in Kentucky's favor.  The value is clearly on the Vols tonight.  Bet Tennessee Friday.

20* Arizona/Duke East Region No-Brainer on OVER 153

Duke has been a dead nuts OVER team down the stretch when Cooper Flagg has been healthy.  The Blue Devils are 9-1 OVER in their last 10 games in which Flagg has started.  They have gone for at least 151 combined points with their opponents in seven of those 10 games.

Arizona really profiles as an OVER team ranking 49th in adjusted tempo and 13th in adjusted offense.  The Wildcats have gone 5-2 OVER in their last seven games overall with 158 or more combined points in six of those seven games.  This is a pretty low total for a game involving the Wildcats, who went for 170 combined points with Oregon last game.  

Arizona has scored at least 83 points in seven of its last 10 games.  Duke has scored at least 78 points in each of the last 11 games in which Flagg has started.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Maryland/Florida West Region ANNIHILATOR on Maryland +6.5

Maryland is 27-8 this season with all eight losses coming by 6 points or less.  So they haven't lost a single game all season by more than 6 points, making for a 35-0 system backing the Terrapins pertaining to this 6.5-point spread.

The Terrapins finally got some good fortune to go their way in close games with a buzzer-beater 72-71 win over Colorado State.  I think the betting public is looking at that as a poor result, but I've been riding Colorado State this entire time during their 11-1 SU & 12-0 ATS run to close out the season.  The Rams are much better than they get credit for.

The more concerning result was Florida escaping with a 77-75 win over UConn as 9-point favorites last round.  The Gators failed to cover the spread in each of their first two NCAA Tournament games, and you're paying a tax to back them still after winning the SEC Tournament.

I like the fact that Maryland played in Seattle last round and decided to stay out West instead of flying back to Baltimore.  The Terrapins have had some bonding time in San Francisco prior to this game.  The tougher travel spot is Florida, which played in North Carolina on Sunday and now has to fly clear out West to San Francisco for this one.  That's a lot of travel in a short amount of time, and I don't think the Gators will be nearly as fresh or prepared as the Terrapins will be tonight as a result.  Bet Maryland Thursday.

25* NCAA Tournament TOTAL OF THE YEAR on BYU/Alabama OVER 173

Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Crimson Tide rank 1st in adjusted tempo, 3rd in average length of offensive possession and 4th in adjusted offense.  Alabama and its opponents have combined for at least 166 points in 11 of their last 13 games overall.  The two games they didn't came against two slow-paced, defensive-minded teams in Tennessee and St. Mary's.

Now Alabama plays a team that won't mind running and gunning with them in BYU.  The Cougars rank 9th in adjusted offense and 6th in effective FG percentage.  They rank 21st in 3-point rate shooting 3-pointers on 48% of their possessions.  Alabama ranks 49th in that same category hoisting 3-pointers on 46% of possessions.  So there will be a ton of long rebounds and opportunities for both teams to run.

BYU has scored at least 80 points in nine of its last 11 games, including 91 or more points in five of its last 10 games with the OVER going 8-2 in those 10 games.  Alabama has scored at least 80 points in 16 of its last 18 games, including 90 or more in 11 of those 18 games.  I think Alabama pushed 100 in this game and BYU keeps up in a shootout.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Illinois State ML -135

Illinois State has a sneaky rest advantage over Cleveland State.  Not only were they off from March 7th until March 23rd, but the Redbirds also got a day in between their 78-70 win over Presbyterian as 5-point favorites on Sunday and their 78-73 win over Incarnate Word as 6.5-point favorites on Tuesday.

I don't think the Redbirds are tired at all, and if anything they have shaken off the rust of being off for over two weeks and will be better off for it playing their 3rd game in 4 days here.  Meanwhile, Cleveland State will be playing for a 3rd consecutive day after beating Queens-Charlotte 88-73 on Monday and Florida Gulf Coast 72-65 on Tuesday.  Not to mention, the Redbirds got to play the early game last night while the Vikings had to play the late game, which only adds to the rest advantage for Illinois State especially with an early 5:00 EST tip tonight.

Illinois State is far and away the superior offensive team in this matchup.  The Redbirds rank 87th in adjusted offense and 18th in effective FG percentage.  The Vikings rank just 213th in adjusted offense and 246th in effective FG percentage.

The Vikings rely on forcing turnovers (9th, 22.2%) and grabbing offensive rebounds (44th, 34.6%).  Well, that makes this a great matchup for the Redbirds.  Illinois State ranks 90th in turnover rate on offense turning it over on only 15.9% of possessions.  Better yet, the Redbirds rank 11th in the country allowing offensive rebounds on only 24.9% of opponent possessions.  Bet Illinois State on the Money Line Wednesday.

20* North Texas/Oklahoma State ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Oklahoma State PK

Oklahoma State quietly has one of the better home-court advantages in the country this season.  The Cowboys have gone 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games wit their only losses coming to Arizona and Texas Tech.  They upset Iowa State and Cincinnati during this stretch.

The Cowboys have been impressive in the NIT thus far crushing Wichita State 89-79 at home and upsetting SMU as 8.5-point road dogs.  That win over Wichita State is significant here because it gives them a common opponent with North Texas, who played the Shockers twice in AAC play.

North Texas only beat Wichita State by 2 at home and by 4 on the road in their two meetings this season.  The Mean Green have a great home-court advantage and used it with lackluster wins by 11 over Furman and by 2 over Arkansas State to get here.  But now the Mean Green are on the road where they aren't nearly as dominant.

The Big 12 is much stronger than the AAC and I'll gladly side with the Big 12 team here at a PK when I believe the Cowboys should be favored.  Bet Oklahoma State Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Illinois State/Incarnate Word OVER 148

Illinois State has been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  The Redbirds are 20-13 OVER in all games.  They rank 84th in adjusted offense and 15th in effective FG percentage, so they are elite offensively.  The problem is defense, where the Redbirds rank 237th in adjusted defense and 306th in effective FG percentage defense.

Incarnate Word profiles similarly where the Cardinals are much better on offense than they are on defense.  The Cardinals rank 151st in adjusted offense and 121st in effective FG percentage offensively, while ranking just 294th in adjusted defense and 239th in effective FG percentage defensively.

Both teams are a combined 3-0 OVER in this CBI Tournament.  Illinois State went for 148 combined points with Presbyterian with a 142.5-point total.  Incarnate Word sailed OVER the total in its first two games going for 177 combined points with Manhattan with a 147.5-point total and 158 combined points with Jacksonville with a 142-point total.  It will be more of the same here tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Oregon/Arizona West Region No-Brainer on Oregon +5

In Dana Altmann I trust.  He is 17-7-1 ATS in the NCAA Tournament in his career as a head coach.  He always has his Oregon Ducks playing their best basketball of the season down the stretch, and this season has been no exception.  The Ducks have gone 9-1 SU in their last 10 games with their lone loss coming to Michigan State, which had the rest advantage with a double-bye in the Big Ten Tournament.

Oregon should also have what feels like home-court advantage with this game being played in Seattle, Washington.  It's about 4 hours up the coast from Eugene.  No question it felt like a home game for the Ducks when they blasted Liberty 81-52 as 7-point favorites in the Round of 64.  They'll still be fresh after getting to rest their starters and playing just their 2nd game in 9 days.

Arizona made the Big 12 Championship Game and will be playing its 5th game in 11 days as a result.  The Wildcats were gifted that run because they beat a tired Kansas team off an OT game and beat a Texas Tech team that was without two of its top three scorers.  Reality set in with a 8-point loss to Houston as 5.5-point dogs in the championship game.

I just don't trust this Arizona team led by Caleb Love.  He is eventually going to shoot them out of a game in the NCAA Tournament, and I believe this is the game he does.  Bet Oregon Sunday.

15* UAB/Santa Clara NIT ANNIHILATOR on OVER 165.5

NIT OVERS have been a great bet for a couple seasons now.  The OVER is 14-4 in 18 NIT games thus far this season.  Books just can't set these totals high enough.  This is one of my favorite OVERS in NIT play today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Jacksonville State/UC-Irvine NIT ANNIHILATOR on OVER 138.5

NIT OVERS have been a great bet for a couple seasons now.  The OVER is 14-4 in 18 NIT games thus far this season.  Books just can't set these totals high enough.  This is one of my favorite OVERS in NIT play today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Sunday Round of 32 Total DOMINATOR on Ole Miss/Iowa State UNDER 146

This is where the loss of Keshon Gilbert (13.4 PPG, 4.1 APG) will hurt Iowa State.  The Cyclones were able to get by Lipscomb 82-55 for just 137 combined points without Gilbert in their opener.  They shot 58.3% as a team and it still stays UNDER the 144-point total.  Nothing will come easy against this elite Ole Miss defense today.

Ole Miss beat UNC 71-64 in the Round of 64 for just 135 combined points, shutting down what was previously one of the hottest teams in the country, and certainly boasts one of the best offenses in the country.  This is actually a step down in class for this Ole Miss defense.

Ole Miss ranks 20th in adjusted defense while Iowa State ranks 8th.  So these are two of the top defensive teams in the country.  Nothing will come easy for either team today, and the UNDER looks like a great bet as a result.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

20* Ole Miss/Iowa State South Region No-Brainer on Ole Miss +5.5

Iowa State has just two wins against NCAA Tournament teams since January 16th, and one of those was Lipscomb.  I think the Cyclones are overvalued after that win against overmatched Lipscomb, and they will get a much stiffer test here against Ole Miss.

This is where the loss of Keshon Gilbert (13.4 PPG, 4.1 APG, 1.7 SPG) will hurt Iowa State.  Ole Miss has some of the best guards in the country who can handle Iowa State's pressure, and Gilbert was a big part of that pressure defensively not even factoring in what he means for them on the offensive end.

Ole Miss ranks 3rd in the country in turnover rate on offense turning it over on just 13% of possessions.  That will be the difference in this game as Ole Miss takes care of the ball offensively and gets good shots each time down.

Ole Miss beat UNC 71-64 in the Round of 64, shutting down what was previously one of the hottest teams in the country, and certainly boasts one of the best offenses in the country.  This is actually a step down in class for this Ole Miss defense.  I also trust Ole Miss head coach Chris Beard immensely.  Beard has 5 wins as a seed line underdog in the NCAA Tournament in his career.  Bet Ole Miss Sunday.

20* Colorado State/Maryland West Region No-Brainer on Colorado State +7.5

I've been riding Colorado State during basically their entire run to win the Mountain West and make the NCAA Tournament.  I'm not about to jump off now. No team in the country has been more underrated down the stretch than Colorado State.

The Rams are 11-0 SU & 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games overall with all 11 wins by 8 points or more. They have absolutely been crushing teams.  A big way to tell just how underrated a team is is with ATS margin.  The Rams covered the spread in those 11 games by a total of 128.5 points, or by an average of 11.7 points per game.

I'm certainly going to keep riding the Rams catching 7.5 points against Maryland.  No question the Terrapins have one of the most talented starting 5's in the country.  But they also have one of the worst benches in the country.  And their depth will be more tested here playing their 2nd game in 3 days.

We saw that play out in the Big 10 Tournament as after blasting Illinois by 23, the Terrapins were upset the next day by Michigan as 4.5-point favorites.  The Terrapins may win and advantage here, but not without a fight from a Rams team that couldn't possibly be playing with more confidence than they are right now.  Bet Colorado State Sunday.

15* Arkansas State/North Texas NIT ANNIHILATOR on OVER 136

NIT OVERS have been a great bet for a couple seasons now.  The OVER is 14-4 in 18 NIT games thus far this season.  Books just can't set these totals high enough.  This is one of my favorite OVERS in NIT play today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* St. Mary's/Alabama East Region ANNIHILATOR on OVER 149

Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Crimson Tide rank 1st in adjusted tempo, 4th in average length of offensive possession and 4th in adjusted offense.  This total of 149 is so low for a game involving Alabama right now.

Amazingly, Alabama and its opponents have combined for at least 166 points in 11 of their last 12 games overall.  Better yet, the Crimson Tide and their opponents have gone for at least 153 combined points in 17 consecutive games, making for a 17-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 149-point total.

Yes, St. Mary's plays at one of the slowest tempos in the country.  But Alabama plays its game no matter the opponent, and it's St. Mary's that is going to have to change its style a little to match just how potent the Crimson Tide are offensively.  I think Alabama is overrated defensively, so St. Mary's will have plenty of offensive success as well.  Alabama allowed 81 points to Robert Morris last round and has allowed 81 or more points in four of its last five games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Baylor/Duke East Region ANNIHILATOR on OVER 143.5

Duke has been a dead nuts OVER team down the stretch when Cooper Flagg has been healthy.  The Blue Devils are 8-1 OVER in their last nine games in which Flagg has started.  They have gone for at least 142 combined points with their opponents in all nine games.

Baylor is going to be forced to try and pick up the tempo to keep up with Duke today.  The Bears are coming off a 75-72 win over Mississippi State for 147 combined points.  Baylor has some of the best guards in the country, but they are limited inside due to injuries to their most important defenders down low.  

Norchad Omier (15.8 PPG) is a great offensive big man but he doesn't have much help defensively, so the Blue Devils should score at will in the paint against him as he tries to avoid foul trouble.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NIT TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State/SMU OVER 155.5

NIT OVERS have been a great bet for a couple seasons now.  The OVER is 14-4 in 18 NIT games thus far this season.  Books just can't set these totals high enough.  This is my favorite OVER in NIT play this week.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NIT GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State +9.5

The ACC was the most overrated conference in the country and it has played out in the NCAA Tournament with upset losses by Clemson, Louisville and North Carolina.  Only Duke remains in the NCAA Tournament as Sunday's Round of 32.

I'll gladly fade ACC opponent SMU today laying a big number against a Big 12 foe in Oklahoma State.  Asking the Mustangs to win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.

SMU was life and death with Northern Iowa in the final minutes before pulling away late for a 10-point victory.  Oklahoma State will present a much tougher, more athletic opponent today.  The Cowboys put away what was previously a red hot Wichita State team 89-79 in their NIT opener.

The Big 12 clearly looks dominant going 9-1 SU in the NCAA Tournament thus far heading into Sunday's Round of 32.  I'll trust the Cowboys after playing the much tougher schedule this season.  Bet Oklahoma State Sunday.

25* NCAA Tournament Opening Weekend GAME OF THE YEAR on Drake +8.5

Drake is 31-3 this season with all 3 losses by 7 points or fewer and by a combined 13 points, making for a 34-0 system backing the Bulldogs pertaining to this 8.5-point spread.  The Bulldogs had a great hire in Ben McCollum, who won four National Championships at DII Northwestern Missouri State.  He brought several players with him and the Bulldogs have proven they can compete at the DI level.

Drake made pretty easy work in the MVC Tournament beating Southern Illinois by 17, Belmont by 7 and then most impressively topped Bradley by 15 in the championship game.  Their suffocating defense held those three teams to an average of just 50 points per game.

Drake ranks 364th in adjusted tempo so they force their opponents to play on their terms.  They drug Missouri into the mud on Thursday and forced the Tigers to play their game even though Missouri likes to play up-tempo.  Drake won 67-57 as 6-point underdogs despite a huge FT discrepancy in favor of Missouri.  The Tigers went 23-of-26 from the FT line while the Bulldogs went just 12-of-24.

I am a big fan of Texas Tech when the Red Raiders are fully healthy, but that's just not the case right now.  Two of their top three players are banged up.  Darion Williams (13.8 PPG, 5.2 RPG) returned from injury against UNC-Wilmington and went just 5-of-15 from the floor.  He still looked hobbled.  Chance McMillian (13.7 PPG, 43.4% 3-pointers) did not return and they desperately miss his shooting and scoring.

I was not impressed with Texas Tech on Thursday beating UNC-Wilmington 82-72 as 15-point favorites.  Wilmington only shot 7-of-26 (27%) from 3-point range and still only lost by 10.  I expect the Red Raiders to be life and death in the final seconds with Drake in this one whether or not McMillian returns.  Bet Drake Saturday.

20* Michigan/Texas A&M East Region No-Brainer on Texas A&M ML -125

Michigan is the most overrated team in the country.  The Wolverines have gone 12-4 SU in their last 16 games despite a -17 point differential.  They were simply fortunate in close games all season, and they've won just one game by more than 6 points since January 12th.

I actually like fading teams that won their conference tournament because it takes a lot out of them.  The Wolverines had to play on Sunday and had the quick turnaround to a Thursday game.  The are fat and happy heading into the NCAA Tournament after winning the Big Ten Tournament.

Michigan was once again fortunate to escape with a 68-65 win over UC-San Diego on Thursday.  They clearly had the refs and shooting on their side.  UC-San Diego's best player in Tait-Jones fouled out and was in foul trouble all game only playing 24 minutes.  Michigan only won by 3 despite a rare poor shooting performance by the Tritons going just 7-of-30 (23%) from 3-point range.

This is where the luck runs out for the Wolverines.  Michigan ranks just 330th in turnover rate on offense turning it over on almost 20% of their possessions.  They are also 269th in turnover rate on defense, making them one the worst teams in the country in turnover rate.  I think that will be the difference.

Texas A&M just out-works everyone.  The Aggies rank 54th in country forcing turnovers on nearly 20% of opponent possessions, so this a terrible matchup for the Wolverines.  Texas A&M ranks 1st in offensive rebound rate grabbing 41.7% of its own misses.  Michigan ranks 176th allowing opponents to get offensive rebounds on 30% of their misses.  The Aggies are 9th in adjusted defense despite playing in the most offensive-friendly conference in the country in the SEC.  Turnovers and offensive rebounds will be the difference as the Aggies show they want it more.  Bet Texas A&M Saturday.

15* Arkansas/St. John's Midwest Region ANNIHILATOR on St. John's -6.5

St. John's is 31-4 SU & 23-11 ATS this season and still one of the most underrated teams in the country. All four losses came by 3 points or fewer and by a combined 7 points, which shows just how close the Red Storm are to being 35-0.

St. John's is playing its best basketball of the season down the stretch going 10-0 SU & 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games overall.  The Red Storm have put together four straight wins by 16 points or more which includes wins over Creighton and Marquette.

The strength of the Red Storm is defense as they rank 1st in the country in adjusted defense.  They make you work for everything you get, and they suffocate teams in the 2H consistently running out of gas after intermission.  They make for a great tournament team because they are so difficult to prepare for.

John Calipari only has one day to prepare for St. John's, and I don't expect it to go well for him.  Rick Pitino is far and away the superior head coach here.  Arkansas has been fortunate in close games there of late with five of its last six wins coming by 7 points or fewer.  This is where their luck runs out.

Arkansas is without one of its best players in Adou Thiero (15.6 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 1.7 SPG) and he will be missed here.  We saw Kansas go zone on Arkansas in the 2H and they didn't know what they were doing against it.  I think Pitino will pull all the right strings here to make life difficult on the Razorbacks.

St. John's forced turnovers on 22% of opponents' possessions which ranks 22nd in the country.  Arkansas is prone to turning it over ranking 135th in turnover percentage.  The Red Storm will want it more here and win most of the loose balls while pulling away in the 2H once again.  They will also have a big home-court advantage with this game being played in Providence.  Bet St. John's Saturday.

20* Liberty/Oregon East Region No-Brainer on Oregon -5.5

In Dana Altmann I trust.  He is 16-7-1 ATS in the NCAA Tournament in his career as a head coach.  Oregon is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games in the Round of 64.  Altmann always has his Oregon Ducks playing their best basketball of the season down the stretch, and this season has been no exception.  The Ducks have won 8 of their last 9 games with their lone loss coming to Michigan State, which had the rest advantage with a double-bye in the Big Ten Tournament.

Oregon played the 19th-toughest schedule in the country this season while Liberty played the 198th-ranked schedule.  The Flames only played one NCAA Tournament team all season, which was McNeese State from the Southland.  They are a good shooting team, but I think they are getting too much respect here.

Oregon should also have what feels like home-court advantage with this game being played in Seattle, Washington.  It's about 4 hours up the coast from Eugene and I expect the Ducks to have plenty of support there.  Bet Oregon Friday.

15* CBB Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Xavier +3.5

Since the First 4 started in 2011, 13 teams from the First 4 have advanced to the Round of 32.  At least one team has won a Round of 64 game in 12 of the last 14 years.  Xavier looks to be the most promising team to make a run if it's not UNC.

Xavier is playing as well as anyone in the Big East outside of St. John's here down the stretch to play their way into the NCAA Tournament.  The Musketeers are 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall with their only loss coming by 2 to Marquette as 2.5-point dogs.  They beat Creighton by 22 at home during this stretch.

I don't understand why Illinois continues to get so much respect.  The Fighting Illini are 8-8 SU & 7-8-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.  They only beat three NCAA Tournament teams during this stretch and two of those came at home.  

They lost by 23 to Maryland in the Big Ten Tournament, by 43 to Duke on a neutral, by 14 to Michigan State at home, by 21 to Maryland at home and by 21 to Wisconsin on the road.  They also were upset by Nebraska, USC and Rutgers during this stretch.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Xavier Friday.

20* Xavier/Illinois South Region No-Brainer on OVER 158.5

The Illinois Fighting Illini are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 18th in adjusted tempo, 15th in adjusted offense and 41st in adjusted defense.  They let opponents get shots up quickly as they rank 8th in average length of defensive possession at just 16.5 seconds per possession.

Illinois has allowed at least 78 points in 10 of its last 13 games overall.  The Fighting Illini are 15-7-1 OVER in their last 23 games overall.  They have combined for at least 161 points with their opponents in seven of their last 10 games.

Xavier profiles as an OVER team as well ranking 76th in adjusted tempo and 49th in average length of offensive possession.  The Musketeers are a tough offense to tame scoring at least 76 points in eight of their last nine games overall.  The OVER is 11-3 in Musketeers' last 14 games overall with 166 or more combined points in three of their last four games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Oklahoma/UConn East Region ANNIHILATOR on OVER 147.5

The UConn Huskies aren't the team they were the last couple seasons when they won the NCAA Tournament.  They are elite offensively, but this is perhaps the worst defensive team of the Dan Hurley era.  The Huskies rank 14th in adjusted offense but just 95th in adjusted defense.

They face an Oklahoma Sooners team that has really changed philosophy this season under Porter Moser to play more up-tempo.  The Sooners are a dead nuts OVER team as a result, ranking 107th in adjusted tempo, 66th in average length of offensive possession, 22nd in adjusted offense and just 70th in adjusted defense.

The OVER is 6-1 in Oklahoma's last seven games overall with 148 or more combined points in all seven games, so this total of 147.5 is pretty short for a game involving the Sooners right now.  They combined for 169 with Kentucky, 156 with Georgia, 180 with Missouri, 171 with Ole Miss, 165 with Kentucky and 180 with Mississippi State during this stretch.  

Oklahoma ranks 29th in free throw rate on offense and 254th in free throw rate on defense, so they foul a lot and get fouled a lot.  UConn fouls even more, ranking 333rd in free throw rate defensively.  They just don't have guys on the perimeter that can move their feet and stay in front of opponents this season.  Both teams will get to the FT line a lot, which will help us cash this OVER ticket tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* CBB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Marquette -3.5

The Mountain West is now 26-55 ATS in their last 81 NCAA Tournament games after San Diego State got blown out 95-68 by North Carolina on Tuesday and Utah State got blown out 72-47 by UCLA on Thursday.  The only Mountain West team I trust is Colorado State, and I'll gladly fade New Mexico tonight.

The Lobos struggled down the stretch going 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall.  THat includes two losses to Boise State and a 8-point loss to that same San Diego State team that got blown out by UNC.  They also narrowly escaped with a pair of 4-point wins over Wyoming and Nevada, two of the poor teams in the Mountain West.  And earlier this season they lost by 14 to St. John's, a fellow Big East opponent of Marquette.

I think the Golden Eagles come into the NCAA Tournament a little undervalued after losing three of their final four games including two losses to St. John's.  The other loss came on the road to UConn, while they also beat Xavier in the Big East Tournament, which was the only loss Xavier has suffered in its last nine games playing as well as anyone in the Big East.

Marquette is a very balanced team with very few weaknesses.  The Golden Eagles rank 31st in adjusted offense and 22nd in adjusted defense.  And while New Mexico is a solid defensive team, there is a glaring weakness for the Lobos on the other end as they rank just 85th in adjusted offense.  There will also be bit of a home-court advantage for Marquette with this game being played in Cleveland, Ohio.  Bet Marquette Friday.

20* Colorado State/Memphis West Region No-Brainer on Colorado State ML -130

I've been riding Colorado State during basically their entire run to win the Mountain West and make the NCAA Tournament.  I'm not about to jump off now. No team in the country was more underrated down the stretch than Colorado State.

The Rams are 10-0 SU & 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games overall with all 10 wins by 8 points or more. They have absolutely been crushing teams.  A big way to tell just how underrated a team is is with ATS margin.  The Rams covered the spread in those 10 games by a total of 122 points, or by an average of 12.2 points per game.

Memphis has been pretty fortunate here down the stretch winning four of its last six games by 7 points or fewer, including a 1-point win over Tulane and a 3-point win over Wichita State in the AAC Tournament.  Give Memphis credit for rallying in the title game without their leader in Tyrese Hunter to beat UAB.

Hunter hasn't been officially ruled out, but he was in a walking boot for that UAB game, and even if he plays he won't be anywhere near 100%.  Penny Hardaway has just one NCAA Tournament win in his three years at Memphis.  We are definitely getting the better head coach in Niko Medved and the healthier team playing the better basketball right now.  This 12-seed is favored over the 5-seed for good reason here.  Bet Colorado State Friday.

25* Round of 64 TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Robert Morris/Alabama OVER 165.5

Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Crimson Tide rank 1st in adjusted tempo, 4th in average length of offensive possession and 4th in adjusted offense.  This total of 165.5 is actually low for a game involving Alabama right now.

Amazingly, Alabama and its opponents have combined for at least 166 points in 10 of their last 11 games overall, making for a 10-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 165.5-point total.

Robert Morris is a pretty athletic team that won't mind getting up and down with Alabama.  The Colonials rank 140th in adjusted tempo, and they rank 39th in average length of defensive possession, so they allow their opponents to get up shots quickly.  They haven't seen anything like Alabama.

These are also two teams that get to the FT line a lot.  Alabama ranks 25th in free throw rate while Robert Morris ranks 41st.  Both also shoot the 3-pointer well as both are right at 35%.  Robert Morris has scored at least 79 points in four consecutive games to close out the season.  I think they can do enough to contribute to this total, while Alabama pushes 100 points.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on UC-San Diego +3.5

UC-San Diego won 30 games this season.  They are the best mid-major in the country outside of perhaps VCU.  I don't think they could have gotten a better 1st-round matchup than Michigan.

Michigan is the most overrated team in the country.  The Wolverines went 11-4 SU in their last 15 games despite a -20 point differential.  They were simply fortunate in close games all season, and they've won just one game by more than 6 points since January 12th.

I actually like fading teams that won their conference tournament because it takes a lot out of them.  The Wolverines had to play on Sunday and now have the quick turnaround to a Thursday game.  They are fat and happy heading into the NCAA Tournament.

The best part of UC-San Diego is turnovers, as they are 7th in turnover rate on offense and 2nd in turnover rate on defense with the best turnover differential in the entire country.  Michigan ranks just 328th in turnover rate on offense turning it over on almost 20% of their possessions.  They are also 265th in turnover rate on defense, making them one the worst teams in the country in turnover rate.  I think that will be the difference.  Bet UC-San Diego Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on UCLA -5.5

The Mountain West is now 26-54 ATS in their last 80 NCAA Tournament games after San Diego State got blown out by North Carolina on Tuesday.  The only Mountain West team I trust is Colorado State, and I'll gladly fade Utah State Thursday night.

Utah State struggled away from home down the stretch going 2-6 ATS in its final eight road games.  That includes a 27-point loss at Colorado State and a 17-point loss at Boise State in their final two.  They also lost to Colorado State by 11 in the MWC Tournament.  Key role player Drake Allen (7.2 PPG) who is their top bench player is out for the season.

UCLA will benefited from playing in the Big Ten this season and playing a much more difficult schedule than they were used to in the Pac-12 before.  The Bruins are 11-4 SU & 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games overall.  They are the much better defensive team, and their physicality will give this soft Utah State team fits for 40 minutes.  Bet UCLA Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Drake +6.5

The Missouri Tigers are one of the more vulnerable teams from the SEC.  They are limping into the NCAA Tournament going 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  Their best player in Mark Mitchell is banged up as well.  Head coach Dennis Gates has just one NCAA Tournament win to his name.

Drake went 30-3 this season with the three losses coming by a combined 13 points.  The Bulldogs had a great hire in Ben McCollum, who won four National Championships at DII Northwestern Missouri State.  He brought several players with him and the Bulldogs have proven they can compete at the DI level.

Drake made pretty easy work in the MVC Tournament beating Southern Illinois by 17, Belmont by 7 and then most impressively topped Bradley by 15 in the championship game.  Their suffocating defense held those three teams to an average of just 50 points per game.

Drake ranks 364th in adjusted tempo so they force their opponents to play on their terms.  I think that will frustrate Missouri, which prefers to play a more up-tempo game.  

One big advantage for the Bulldogs is that they rank 17th in offensive rebounding rate grabbing 36% of their own misses.  Missouri ranks 300th allowing opponents to grab 32.2% of their misses.  That could easily be the difference in this game.  I trust McCollum over Gates to make the necessary adjustments, and I have the Bulldogs pulling off the upset here.  Bet Drake Thursday.

20* Arkansas/Kansas West Region No-Brainer on Arkansas +5.5

Arkansas really showed off its depth down the stretch without two of its best players in Boogie Fland and Adou Thiero who combined to average over 30 points per game.  This was actually one of John Calipari's better coaching jobs.

Arkansas went 9-2-2 ATS in its last 13 games overall.  The Razorbacks won three of their final four games with their lone loss coming to Ole Miss by 3 in the SEC Tournament.  Ole Miss was coming off a bye and had the rest advantage after Arkansas beat South Carolina the previous day.  Boogie Fland (15.1 PPG, 5.7 APG, 1.5 SPG) is expected back for the NCAA Tournament, so reinforcements are on the way.

Kansas is one of the most overrated teams in the country right alongside Michigan.  The Jayhawks went just 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games.  They needed OT to beat UCF twice.  They have just one win against a NCAA Tournament team in their last 11 games.  I don't even think they should be favored here.  Bet Arkansas Thursday.

20* Creighton/Louisville South Region No-Brainer on Louisville ML -125

Let's start with the fact that this will essentially be a home game for Louisville being played in Lexington, Kentucky.  That's the least the committee could do for the Cardinals after grossly under-seeding them with an 8th seed.

Louisville went 27-7 this season with six of the seven losses coming to NCAA Tournament teams.  Four of the losses came to SEC teams in the non-conference which is the best conference in basketball, and two came to Duke, which is the best team in the country.

I'm just not very high on this Creighton team, and I think it's a tough spot for them after playing in a grind in the Big East Tournament.  They needed 2 OT to beat DePaul, managed to get by UConn, then really ran out of gas in the 2H in a 16-point loss to St. John's.  They aren't a very deep team as it is.

Chucky Hepburn is one of the best perimeter defenders in the country, and he will make life difficult on Creighton PG Ashworth.  Reyne Smith (13.4 PPG, 38.3%) 3-pointers missed their last five games including the ACC Tournament, but he's expected back for the NCAA Tournament.  He means a lot to them offensively with his ability to stretch the floor as one of their best 3-point shooters.  The Cardinals are the better team and with home-court advantage and should be bigger favorites as a result.  Bet Louisville Thursday.

15* NIT Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Jose State +3

San Jose State was one of the most underrated teams in the country this season.  The Spartans went 22-9 ATS in all games, including 10-4 ATS in home games.  The only point of the season where they struggled was when they were injured, but they are fully healthy heading into the NIT.

San Jose State has gone 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last four games overall.  The Spartans beat Fresno State 92-68 as 5.5-point home favorites in their regular season finale.  They went on to beat Wyoming 66-61 as a PK in the first round, and then covered against a rested New Mexico team in the MWC Tournament in a hard-fought 11-point loss as 15.5-point dogs.

Loyola-Chicago is in the worse spot here.  The Ramblers beat Saint Louis in their Atlantic 10 opener before a hard-fought 7-point loss to VCU.  They really felt like they had a chance to win the tournament, so they are disappointed to be playing in the NIT.  Now they have to travel clear out on the West Coast with just three days in between games since losing to VCU.

With a losing record on the season, no question San Jose State is relishing the opportunity to be playing in the NIT.  They get to host a game no less.  The Spartans have had the last five days off so they will have the rest and preparation advantage.  I trust in head coach Tim Miles to get his team ready to go, and I believe the wrong team is favored here.  Bet San Jose State Wednesday.

20* Xavier/Texas First Four No-Brainer on Xavier ML -130

The Xavier Musketeers have the benefit of playing this game in Dayton, Ohio in their home state.  They are going to have a massive home-court advantage against Texas due to the venue.  It's less than an hour drive from Cincinnati to Dayton.

Xavier is playing as well as anyone in the Big East outside of St. John's here down the stretch to play their way into the NCAA Tournament.  The Musketeers are 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall with their only loss coming by 2 to Marquette as 2.5-point dogs.  They beat Creighton by 22 at home during this stretch.

Texas is fortunate to make the NCAA Tournament after completely falling apart down the stretch.  The Longhorns needed a couple narrow wins in the SEC Tournament just to get here.  They are 5-8 SU & 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

No question Xavier has the coaching edge with Sean Miller over Rodney Terry.  They are the better team, and with home-court advantage they should be bigger favorites in this First Four showdown.  The Musketeers are also the 8th-best FT shooting team in the country.  Bet Xavier Wednesday.

20* NIT DOG OF THE WEEK on Northern Iowa +10.5

Handicapping the NIT is all about motivation.  SMU feels like it should be in the NCAA Tournament and is disappointed to be playing in the NIT.  A 3-point loss to Clemson in the ACC Tournament cost them a shot at making the NCAA Tournament.  They don't want to be here in the NIT.

Northern Iowa has known it will be going to the NIT since losing to Valparaiso on March 7th.  The Panthers have had nearly two weeks to get over that defeat and prepare for their NIT run.  I love them catching double-digits here as they were one of the most underrated teams in the MVC all season.

SMU went 4-5 SU & 4-5 ATS in its final nine games to play its way out of the NCAA Tournament.  That includes upset losses to Florida State and Wake Forest that really cost them.  The Mustangs have been poor in their last three home games losing by 11 to Wake Forest, by 10 to Clemson and only beating Syracuse by 2 as 13.5-point favorites.  They should not be double-digit favorites over Northern Iowa tonight.  Bet Northern Iowa Wednesday.

15* NIT Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Dayton/FAU OVER 150.5

The NIT OVERS have been a great bet over the last couple years.  This is my favorite on the board for Wednesday night.  Dayton is an elite offensive team that ranks 51st in adjusted offense but just 133rd in adjusted defense.

FAU profiles as an OVER team ranking 92nd in adjusted tempo, 49th in average length of offensive possession, 82nd in adjusted offense and just 201st in adjusted defense.  The Owls are coming off a 159-point game with Tulane and recently played a 169-point game with UAB.

Dayton is 7-1-1 OVER in its last nine games overall.  The Flyers and their opponents have combined for at least 153 points in four of their last eight games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NIT GAME OF THE WEEK on Samford +7.5

The Samford Bulldogs are live underdogs Wednesday night in their NIT opener against George Mason.  This is a Bulldogs team that opened 19-7 before going 3-5 in their final eight games this season.  They were awesome in non-conference play with their only three losses coming against Cornell by 2, Michigan State by 8 and Arizona.  They beat some very good teams in Utah Valley, North Dakota State and North Alabama.  I think it's time to 'buy low' on the Bulldogs.

But this is as much of a fade of George Mason as anything.  This is a brutal spot for the Patriots.  They just played 3 games in 3 days from Friday through Sunday and lost in the Atlantic 10 Championship Game by 5 to VCU.  Their dreams of making the NCAA Tournament were crushed, and they won't be able to get back up off the mat in time here three days later to get motivated to beat Samford in the NIT consolation.

Meanwhile, Samford has been off since March 8th with 10 days in between games to get ready for this one.  The Bulldogs are happy to be playing in the NIT, and handicapping the NIT is all about motivation.  The Patriots don't want to be here at all.  Bet Samford Wednesday.

20* NIT TOTAL OF THE WEEK on UC-Riverside/Santa Clara OVER 154.5

Santa Clara is a dead nuts OVER team that ranks 88th in adjusted tempo and 49th in adjusted offense.  The Broncos rank 28th in effective FG percentage and 22nd in 3-point percentage at 37.7%.  The Broncos can light it up offensively, but they are vulnerable defensively.

They take on a UC-Riverside team that also profiles as an OVER team.  Riverside ranks 106th in adjusted offense but just 215th in adjusted defense.  The Highlanders have been playing in some very high-scoring games here down the stretch, and the same goes for the Broncos.

Riverside is 7-1 OVER in its last eight games overall with 158 or more combined points in four of its last five games, and 149 or more in seven of those eight.  Santa Clara is 3-1 OVER in its last four games with 154 or more combined points in all four games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* UNC/San Diego State First Four ANNIHILATOR on North Carolina -3.5

North Carolina will be extra motivated to prove their naysayers wrong.  Almost everyone felt the Tar Heels shouldn't be in the NCAA Tournament due to their poor Quad 1 record.  However, they went 15-1 in Quad 2 games and they can handle a team like San Diego State.

North Carolina is the best of all the bubble teams in my opinion, certainly better than WVU, Indiana, Ohio State and Boise State who were all left out.  The Tar Heels earned their way by playing their best basketball of the season down the stretch, going 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their final 10 games with each of their last seven wins coming by 9 points or more.  Their two losses both came to Duke, and they took the Blue Devils to the wire in both games, and I have Duke as the best team in the country.

San Diego State is the fortunate team to be in the field.  The Aztecs went 3-3 SU & 2-4 ATS in their final six games and were bounced in their first MWC game in a 10-point loss to Boise State.  The Mountain West is 26-53 ATS in the NCAA Tournament since 2006 so this is one of the most overrated conferences in the country year in and year out.  Bet North Carolina Tuesday.

20* Wisconsin/Michigan Big Ten No-Brainer on OVER 150.5

The Wisconsin Badgers have one of their best offenses in program history and they are playing faster this season.  They rank 10th in adjusted offense and 148th in adjusted tempo.  The Badgers are 3-1 OVER in their last four games combining for 151 with Michigan State, 156 with UCLA and 161 with Penn State.  The only game that went under was against a Northwestern team that is a dead nuts under team that plays slow and is without two of its top three scorers due to injury.

Michigan is a dead nuts OVER team that ranks 61st in adjusted tempo, 22nd in average length of offensive possession and 37th in adjusted offense.  Both Big Ten Tournament games for Michigan went OVER the total as well combining for 154 points with Purdue and 161 with Maryland.

I think what's keeping this total lower than it should be is the fact that the only meeting between Wisconsin and Michigan this season went way under the total with the Wolverines winning 67-64 for just 131 combined points.  Both both teams shot uncharacteristically poor with Michigan going 23-of-59 (39%) from the floor and 6-of-25 (24%) from 3 while Wisconsin shot 22-of-64 (34.4%) from the floor and 6-of-27 (22.2%) from 3.  Both teams are due positive shooting regression in the rematch today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* George Mason/VCU Atlantic 10 Early ANNIHILATOR on George Mason +8.5

The VCU Rams are likely in the NCAA Tournament win or lose.  The George Mason Patriots have to win to get in.  I like the motivational advantage the Patriots have here, and this number is out of whack as George Mason has been one of the most underrated teams in the country all season.

George Mason is 26-7 this season.  The Patriots should still be pretty fresh after making easy work of both George Washington and St. Joseph's the last two days beating both by double-digits.  VCU was in a dog fight with Loyola-Chicago yesterday winning by just 7.

George Mason also wants revenge after blowing a halftime lead on the road at VCU in their lone meeting this season.  The Patriots shot just 35.4% as a team, 26.3% from 3-point range and 62.5% from the FT line in that defeat.  They are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch today.  Bet George Mason Sunday.

20* Louisville/Duke ACC No-Brainer on Louisville +6.5

Duke lost Cooper Flagg (18.9 PPG, 7.5 PPG, 4.1 APG) to an ankle injury in their ACC Tournament opener to Georgia Tech.  They also lost their best defender in Maliq Brown to another dislocated shoulder.  I cashed in UNC +7.5 yesterday fading Duke without these two, and I'm fading them again today as they should not be 6.5-point favorites over Louisville without Flagg and Brown.

Duke showed a ton of heart in the first half against UNC yesterday with an inspired effort to prove they could still win without Flagg.  The Blue Devils led by 21 at halftime, but then reality set in and UNC stormed back to get within 1, only to commit a lane violation that cost them the game in a 74-71 defeat.

I have Louisville power rated a few points better than North Carolina, so I'll gladly take the points again.  The Cardinals are battle-tested coming through clutch late to prevent comebacks by Stanford and Clemson the last two days.  I think they have what it takes to hang with Duke, especially knowing they don't have to deal with Flagg and Brown.

Duke beat Louisville by 11 in their lone regular season meeting this season.  But Flagg had 20 points and 12 rebounds, while Brown had 6 points, 11 rebounds and 3 steals.  That's a combined 26 points and 23 rebounds the Blue Devils will be without in the rematch.  Bet Louisville Saturday.

25* Conference Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on St. John's -4.5

The St. John's Red Storm have a huge home-court advantage in the Big East Tournament playing at Madison Square Garden.  They have made easy work of their first two opponents beating Butler 78-57 as 12-point favorites and Marquette 79-63 as 3.5-point favorites.

Now the Red Storm should still be pretty fresh for this game against Creighton due to the blowout nature of their first two games.  Meanwhile, Creighton was in a couple dog fights the last two days, needing 2 OT to beat DePaul 85-81 as 13-point favorites on Thursday and staving off a big comeback by UConn in a 71-62 win on Friday.

You could see Creighton players breathing heavily as UConn nearly erased a 15-point deficit in the 2H.  Now the Bluejays go up against a St. John's team that will test your stamina more than just about any team in the country.  They will give Creighton zero room to breathe.  The Red Storm rank 49th in adjusted tempo and 19th in average length of offensive possession.  They press for 40 minutes and make everyone work for everything they get offensively.  They rank 1st in adjusted defense.

Finally, St. John's hasn't won the Big East Tournament since 2000.  That's 25 years of suffering, and you can bet the Red Storm will be max motivated today to get it done.  I expect them to win in a blowout as Creighton tires out in the 2H, while the Red Storm only get stronger.  Bet St. John's Saturday.

20* Boise State/Colorado State MWC No-Brainer on Colorado State PK

Colorado State is the most underrated team in the Mountain West and one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The Rams have gone 17-3 SU & 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games overall, including 9-0 SU & 9-0 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Yet they are still on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament, so they remain motivated to prove their naysayers wrong.  They want to earn the automatic bid and not leave it up to the committee.

Colorado State led Utah State by as many as 28 points in the 2H yesterday in a misleading 11-point win.  The Rams were able to rest their starters late so they should still be pretty fresh for this game.  Meanwhile, Boise State has been in dog fights the last two days against San Diego State and New Mexico.  I question how much the Broncos have left in the tank, especially with their lack of depth with three starters playing at least 36 minutes yesterday in their 3-point win over New Mexico.

Colorado State beat Boise State 75-72 as 1-point home dogs in their first meeting back on January 22nd before winning 83-73 as 6-point road dogs in their 2nd meeting on March 7th.  What more do the Rams have to do to get some respect? They'll earn it again tonight.  Bet Colorado State Saturday.

15* Alabama/Florida SEC ANNIHILATOR on OVER 173.5

This is a very low total for a game involving Alabama right now.  The Crimson Tide and their opponents have combined for at least 179 points in seven of their last nine games overall.  The two games that didn't were against a dead nuts under team in Tennessee and yesterday with 169 combined points with Kentucky, a Wildcats team that was missing two of their top four scorers in Butler and Jackson.  Alabama did their part with 99 points, but Kentucky only managed 70 on 37.5% shooting.

Florida is 5-0 OVER in its last five games overall while scoring at least 89 points in four consecutive games.  The Gators rank 62nd in adjusted tempo, 33rd in average length of offensive possession and 3rd in adjusted offense.  The Crimson Tide rank 1st in adjusted tempo, 4th in average length of offensive possession and 4th in adjusted offense.

Florida beat Alabama 99-94 for 193 combined points on March 5th in their lone meeting this season.  Neither team shot lights out either with Florida shooting 48.6% including 8-of-27 (29.6%) from 3-point range, while Alabama shot 47.2% including 9-of-25 (36%) from 3-point range.  So there's actually room for improvement, and we have 20 points to spare here with 193 down to 173.5.  The total for that 1st meeting was set at 179 as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* St. Joe's/George Mason Atlantic 10 No-Brainer on George Mason +1

George Mason has a huge rest advantage over St. Joe's today and should not be underdogs as a result.  The Patriots got a bye into the quarterfinals yesterday before blasting George Washington 80-65.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 2 days and should still be fresh after the blowout win.

St. Joe's will be playing its 3rd game in 3 days after two dog fights the last two days.  The Hawks only beat La Salle 75-70 as 12.5-point favorites on Thursday before needing OT to beat Dayton 73-68 on Friday.  I love fading teams in these conference tournaments coming off OT games because they tend to run out of gas in their next game.

George Mason beat St. Joe's 58-57 in their lone meeting this season.  They won that game despite St. Joe's shooting 10-of-23 (43.5%) from 3-point range while the Patriots shot just 2-of-10 (20%).  Positive shooting regression can only be the case in their favor in the rematch today.  Bet George Mason Saturday.

20* Michigan/Maryland Big Ten No-Brainer on Maryland -4

I cashed in both Maryland and Michigan yesterday as premium plays.  But only one of these teams is a contender while the other is a pretender.  I'll gladly back the contender in Maryland laying the short number against the pretender in Michigan.

Maryland is playing as well as anyone in the country right now going 8-1 SU & 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine games overall with its only loss coming to Michigan State by 3, one of the best teams in the country.  The Terrapins made easy work of Illinois 88-65 yesterday which allowed its started to rest late and stay fresh for this game.  That's an Illinois team that was coming off four straight blowout wins including a 20-point win at Michigan.

Michigan is 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall with that 20-point loss to Illinois, a 17-point loss at Michigan State and also a 6-point home loss to this same Maryland team.  The Terrapins shot just 38.1% from the field in that game and still won by 6 on the road.  There's just not much room for improvement for the Wolverines on a neutral in the rematch.  Bet Maryland Saturday.

20* Utah State/Colorado State MWC Late-Night BAILOUT on Colorado State PK

Colorado State is the most underrated team in the Mountain West and one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The Rams have gone 16-3 SU & 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games overall, including 8-0 SU & 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Yet they are still on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament, so they remain motivated to prove their naysayers wrong.  Utah State is pretty much locked into the NCAA Tournament now after a 70-58 win over UNLV yesterday against a Rebels team that was missing two of their best players.  I wasn't impressed at all with that win.

What I was impressed with was Colorado State handing Utah State its worst loss of the season in a 93-66 home win on March 1st just two weeks ago.  It will be more of the same in the rematch, and the Rams should be favored here by a lot more.  Bet Colorado State Friday.

20* Cal Poly/UC-Irvine Big West Late-Night BAILOUT on UC-Irvine -10

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  The system is even better when the rested team is playing a team playing for a 3rd straight day.

That is the case here as Cal Poly will be playing for a 3rd consecutive day while UC-Irvine got a bye into the semifinals.  That's a huge rest advantage for the Anteaters, who have been off since March 8th and are highly motivated to get to the final.  Irvine beat Cal Poly 101-71 in their last meeting this season.  Bet UC-Irvine Friday.

15* Kentucky/Alabama SEC ANNIHILATOR on Alabama -6

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  Kentucky beat Oklahoma 85-84 at the buzzer yesterday.  That was a poor result considering Oklahoma played a grueling game the day before while Kentucky was rested.

Now it's Kentucky at the rest disadvantage because Alabama got a bye into the quarterfinals today.  And Kentucky lost Lamont Butler (11.5 PPG) to an injury in that game, and they were already without Jax Robinson (13.0 PPG).  They don't have the firepower to keep up with Alabama today without two of their top four scorers.  The Crimson Tide won by 5 on the road and by 13 at home in their two regular season meetings with the Wildcats and scored a combined 198 points in both wins.  Bet Alabama Friday.

15* Arizona/Texas Tech Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on Texas Tech ML -130

Texas Tech was crushing Baylor before going extremely cold down the stretch and letting the Bears make it interesting late.  Arizona played the late game and beat Kansas 88-77 as 3-point favorites.  I think those two misleading finals have Texas Tech laying less point than they should be today.

Texas Tech is by far the superior team here.  Arizona benefited from playing a Kansas team that was tired and coming off an OT game against UCF the day before.  Kansas also just isn't that good this season.  The Red Raiders were playing a Baylor team desperate to punch their ticket into the NCAA Tournament with a win as they were on the bubble.

Texas Tech is fully healthy and one of the best teams in the country when that's the case.  The Red Raiders are 7th in Kenpom while the Wildcats are 12th.  I'm confident the Red Raiders win this game today and will take them on the ML instead of laying the points.  Bet Texas Tech on the Money Line Friday.

15* Purdue/Michigan Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Michigan +3

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  Purdue is coming off a 76-71 comeback win over a USC team that was coming off a double-OT game the previous day.  It's concerning that Purdue struggled to put away USC given the rest advantage.  Now it's Purdue at the rest disadvantage playing a Michigan team that got a bye into the quarterfinals today.  It's a very motivated Michigan team that lost three straight to close out the regular season.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Michigan Friday.

15* Seattle/Utah Valley WAC ANNIHILATOR on Utah Valley -3

The WAC Tournament is a little quirky but the top teams have the advantage.  No. 1 seed Utah Valley crushed Utah Tech 74-57 as 12.5-point favorites on Wednesday, while No. 5 seed Seattle squeaked by Abilene Christian 69-63 as 6-point favorites on Thursday.

So Utah Valley has the rest advantage after having yesterday off.  With that rest and preparation advantage, plus the fact that Utah Valley won and covered against Seattle in both meetings this season, they should be more than 3-point favorites today.  Bet Utah Valley Friday.

20* UConn/Creighton Big East No-Brainer on UConn -3.5

It's Tournament Time and the UConn Huskies are as dangerous as they come in tournament action.  They won the NCAA title the last two years, and they are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  UConn is 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games overall.

While UConn made easy work of Villanova in a 73-56 win yesterday, Creighton had to go to double-overtime to beat lowly DePaul 85-81 (2 OT) yesterday.  The Bluejays lack depth as it is, and Kalbrenner played 47 minutes while Neal played all 50 in the win.  I question how much they'll have left in the tank for the Huskies today.  Bet UConn Friday.

15* St. Joe's/Dayton Atlantic 10 ANNIHILATOR on Dayton ML -122

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  St. Joseph's beat La Salle 75-70 as 12.5-point favorites yesterday, while Dayton got a bye into the quarterfinals.  The Flyers have won four straight games coming in including a 79-76 upset win at VCU as 10-point dogs.  Bet Dayton Friday.

15* Missouri/Florida SEC ANNIHILATOR on OVER 161

Florida is 4-0 OVER in its last four games overall with 159 or more combined points in all four games.  Missouri is 8-0 OVER in its last eight games overall with 161 or more combined points in seven of those eight games.  Missouri and Florida combined for 165 points in their lone meeting this season and neither team shot it all that well with Florida at 48.1% and Missouri at 44.3%.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* UNC/Duke ACC No-Brainer on UNC +7.5

Duke lost Cooper Flagg (18.9 PPG, 7.5 PPG, 4.1 APG) to an ankle injury yesterday to Georgia Tech.  They also lost their best defender in Maliq Brown to another dislocated shoulder.  They will almost certainly be without both guys today.

Duke should not be 7.5-point favorites over North Carolina without Flagg and Brown.  Flagg had 15 points, 9 rebounds and 6 assists to lead the Blue Devils to a 82-69 win over UNC in the regular-season finale.  Brown had 8 points and was a menace switching on the perimeter to stop UNC's guards down the stretch.  UNC led basically the entire way until the final few minutes with Duke pulling away late.  UNC wants revenge and has a great shot at getting that revenge today without having to deal with Flagg and Brown.  Bet UNC Friday.

20* Illinois/Maryland Big Ten No-Brainer on Maryland -1

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  Illinois played an absolute shootout against Iowa yesterday in a 106-94 victory and I question how much they'll have left in the tank.

Maryland got a bye into the quarterfinals.  The Terrapins already beat Illinois 91-70 on the road in their lone meeting this season.  Bet Maryland Friday.

15* George Washington/George Mason Atlantic 10 ANNIHILATOR on George Mason -2.5

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  George Washington beat Fordham 88-81 yesterday, while George Mason got a bye into the quarterfinals.  Bet George Mason Friday.

20* Texas/Tennessee SEC No-Brainer on Tennessee -9.5

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  The system is even better when the rested team is playing a team playing for a 3rd straight day.

That is the case here as Texas will be playing for a 3rd consecutive day while Tennessee got a bye into the quarterfinals.  Texas was in two dog fights the last two days beating Vanderbilt 79-72 before upsetting Texas A&M 94-89 (2 OT) yesterday.  That 2 OT game will make the Longhorns even more tired head into this one as three starters played at least 40 minutes yesterday.  Bet Tennessee Friday.

15* FAU/Tulane AAC ANNIHILATOR on Tulane +3.5

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  FAU beat Charlotte 64-59 as 10-point favorites yesterday, while Tulane got a bye into the quarterfinals.  Tulane beat FAU 80-65 in their lone meeting this season.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Tulane Friday.

20* UNLV/Utah State MWC Late-Night BAILOUT on Utah State -7

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Oklahoma/Kentucky SEC ANNIHILATOR on Kentucky -6.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Villanova/UConn Big East No-Brainer on UConn -5.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* USC/Purdue Big Ten No-Brainer on Purdue -9

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Nevada/Colorado State MWC No-Brainer on Colorado State -4.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* DePaul/Creighton Big East ANNIHILATOR on Creighton -11.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Stanford/Louisville ACC ANNIHILATOR on Louisville -10

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Baylor/Texas Tech Big 12 No-Brainer on Texas Tech -5.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Iowa/Illinois Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Illinois -10.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Texas/Texas A&M SEC No-Brainer on Texas A&M -6

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Northwestern/Wisconsin Big Ten No-Brainer on Wisconsin -7.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Xavier +2

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Davidson/Saint Louis Atlantic 10 No-Brainer on Saint Louis -3

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Arkansas/Ole Miss SEC No-Brainer on Ole Miss -3

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Iowa State/BYU Big 12 No-Brainer on BYU +3

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Big Ten Total DOMINATOR on USC/Rutgers OVER 154

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* USC/Rutgers Big Ten No-Brainer on Rutgers PK

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Stanford -5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* La Salle/UMass A-10 ANNIHILATOR on UMass -2.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Fordham/Rhode Island A-10 ANNIHILATOR on Rhode Island -4.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on San Jose State -1

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* South Carolina/Arkansas SEC Early ANNIHILATOR on South Carolina +4.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* UCF/Utah Big 12 Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 156.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* CBB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Lamar +1

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Arizona State/Kansas State Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 143

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on McNeese State -12.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Colorado/TCU Big 12 No-Brainer on UNDER 134.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.