15* NBA Friday Total ANNIHILATOR on Blazers/Rockets OVER 211

The Portland Trail Blazers and Houston Rockets will take part in a shootout tonight. Houston plays at a faster pace than any other team in the league, and it will control the tempo tonight playing at home.

Houston is scoring 110.0 points/game and allowing 103.5 points/game at home this season, combining with their opponents for 213.5 points/game. As you can see, that number is above tonight's posted total, giving us value to pull the trigger on the OVER.

The Rockets are hitting on all cylinders right now offensively. They have scored 108 or more points in six straight games, averaging a whopping 118.5 points/game in those six contests.

These teams last met on November 16th in an absolute shootout. Portland beat Houston 119-117 at home in overtime in a game that saw 236 combined points. It was tied 111-111 at the end of regulation for 222 combined points, so overtime was not needed to get the OVER.

The OVER is 4-1 in Blazers last 5 games overall. The OVER is 4-1 in Blazers last 5 vs. Western Conference opponents. The OVER is 8-3 in Rockets last 11 home games. The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston. Roll with the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Clippers/Heat ESPN Friday No-Brainer on UNDER 195

The Los Angeles Clippers and Miami Heat are set to square off on National TV Friday night in what could easily be an NBA Finals preview. I look for defense to reign supreme tonight as both teams get after it on that end of the floor.

The Clippers are really struggling offensively of late because they have no chemistry right now due to injuries to Chris Paul, Blake Griffin and Jamal Crawford. They have scored less than 100 points in 10 of their last 12 games overall. Los Angeles is averaging just 88.3 points/game in its last four contests.

Miami is coming off a very high scoring game against the Houston Rockets last time out, which is a big reason I believe the books have made the mistake of setting this total too high tonight. Miami's previous five games had all seen 193 or less combined points at the end of regulation.

This play falls into a system that is 92-48 (65.7%) to the UNDER over the past 5 seasons. It tells us to bet the UNDER on any team (MIAMI) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), on Friday nights. A great match-up like this almost always seems to bring out the best defensively in both teams.

The UNDER is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 games following a ATS win. The UNDER is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The UNDER is 4-0 in Heat last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. These three trends combined for a 12-0 system backing the UNDER tonight. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Nets/Wizards OVER 185.5

The books have set the bar too low tonight in this contest between the Brooklyn Nets and Washington Wizards. I look for a shootout tonight in Washington as both teams go for around 100 points apiece.

One look at the recent history between these teams and it's easy to see that the books have missed their mark. Washington and Brooklyn have combined for 197 or more points in each of their last three meetings.

Not counting overtime, the Nets and Wizards have combined to average 197.0 points/game in their last three meetings. That's roughly 12 points more than tonight's posted total of 185.5.

The OVER is 8-3 in Wizards last 11 home games. The OVER is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 Friday games. The OVER is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic division foes. Take the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Raptors/Pacers UNDER 188.5

The Toronto Raptors and Indiana Pacers will take part in a defensive battle tonight. The books have set the bar too high in this contest due to recent high-scoring games by both teams, which has forced them to inflate the number.

Indiana was out of character with its back-to-back home wins over Chicago (111-101) and Atlanta (114-103). It got back to reality last time out with an 88-69 road win at Philadelphia. Remember, this is a Pacers team that is scoring just 92.7 points/game and allowing 90.0 points/game on the season.

Toronto lost at home to Boston 95-99 last time out. Its previous three games had all seen 185 or less combined points with a 92-93 loss at Atlanta, a 98-73 home win over the Clippers, and an 85-100 home loss to Miami.

My biggest reason for backing the UNDER tonight is due to the recent history between these teams. The Raptors and Pacers have combined for 185 or less points in four of their last five meetings. That includes both meetings this season with a 74-72 Toronto road victory on November 13th for 146 combined points, and a 90-88 Indiana road win on October 31st for 178 combined points.

Indiana is 10-1 to the UNDER in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. We're seeing an average of 178.8 points/game in this situation. The UNDER is 6-0 in Pacers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Arizona State -3

The Arizona State Sun Devils are showing excellent value Thursday as a small home favorite over the Cal Bears. I look for them to roll to a blowout home victory tonight while easily covering this generous number.

Arizona State is one of the most underrated teams in the country at 17-5 SU & 11-6 ATS in all games. It has been absolutely dominant at home, going 13-2 SU while outscoring opponents by 9.3 points/game.

At 13-8 SU & 7-12 ATS on the season, Cal is one of the most overrated teams in the land. It is coming off back-to-back home wins over Oregon State and Oregon by a combined 7 points, setting it up for a big letdown spot here tonight as it hits the road. The Bears are just 3-4 SU in true road games this season.

The Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Cal is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. The Sun Devils are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. ASU is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games, while Cal is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 road games. Roll with Arizona State Thursday.

Note - This line has been fluctuating quite a bit today. I still recommend a bet on Arizona State -5 or better as I fully expect them to run away with this one. My best recommendation would be to buy it to -3 if it's -125 or less to do so, otherwise just go with anything at -5 or better. It is currently -4 in most places as of 12:00 EST.

20* Lakers/Celtics TNT Total ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 196

The Los Angeles Lakers and Boston Celtics will take part in a defensive battle. This is one of the most storied rivalries in sports, and the defensive intensity is always at its highest level when these teams get together. One look at the recent meetings between these teams and it's easy to see that the books have set the bar too high tonight.

Eight of the last nine meetings in this series have seen 191 or less combined points. In fact, the Lakers and Celtics have combined to average 178.3 points/game in those nine games. That's roughly 18 points less than tonight's posted total.

Pau Gasol being out certainly hurts the Lakers' offense more than it hurts their defense. Also, defensive stopper Metta World Peace returns from suspension tonight to help shut down Paul Pierce. I will be on this UNDER no matter whether or not Dwight Howard (shoulder, questionable) plays.

The UNDER is 11-4 in Lakers last 15 games overall. The UNDER is 49-20-2 in Lakers last 71 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The UNDER is 34-15-2 in Lakers last 51 Thursday games. The UNDER is 34-15-3 in Celtics last 52 Thursday games.

The UNDER is 7-0 in Celtics last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The UNDER is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The UNDER is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston. These three trends combine for a perfect 17-0 system backing the UNDER. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

Note - I put this total out basically as soon as the line came out today at 196. Within a matter of minutes, it moves down to 194 in most places. I still recommend a bet on the Under at 193 or better as a 20*. If it somehow manages to drop to less than 193, then play it as a 15*.

15* Indiana/Illinois ESPN No-Brainer on Illinois +8

The Illini realize they need to get things turned around in a hurry if they want to make the NCAA Tournament. Remember, this is the same team that started 12-0 with double-digit wins over Butler (78-61), Gonzaga (85-74) and Ohio State (74-55), so they have proven they can beat some of the best teams in the country.

Indiana is clearly in a letdown spot after its huge win over No. 1 Michigan on Saturday. College Gameday was there, so the stage really doesn

15* NBA Wednesday Total ANNIHILATOR on Spurs/Timberwolves OVER 196

This number has been set too low tonight in what I believe is going to be a shootout between the San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves. Tim Duncan is expected to miss this game, taking away San Antonio's best defender.

The Timberwolves have been forced to play small ball with all of their injuries. This makes them a more dynamic offensive team that likes to push the tempo, but it also makes them extremely vulnerable defensively.

The OVER is 5-1 in Minnesota's last 6 games overall with combined scores of 215, 203, 186, 211, 201 and 198 points. As you can see, five of those six games exceeded tonight's posted total.

San Antonio is scoring 103.2 points/game and allowing 99.5 points/game on the road this season. It is combining with its opponents to average 202.7 points/game away from home this year.

The OVER is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Minnesota between these teams. Take the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Bounce-Back BLOWOUT on Dallas Mavericks -4.5

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game Wednesday with the Portland Trail Blazers highly motivated for a win. They trail the Blazers in the Western Conference standings as both are trying to make a push for the playoffs. The Mavs cannot afford to lose this one.

Dallas has two more huge reasons to be laying it all on the line tonight. First, the Mavericks blew a 21-point third quarter lead at Portland last Tuesday to lose 104-106 after LaMarcus Aldridge hit the game-tying 3-pointer and the game-winning jumper for the Blazers in the closing seconds.

Second, Dallas is coming off a poor showing at Oklahoma City on Monday, and it will be hungry to bounce back after such a bad defeat. This team is clearly undervalued right now, and that's proven by the fact that it is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games overall. I believe the Mavs should be a much heavier home favorite tonight in this one.

Portland is just 8-15 on the road this season, getting outscored by 6.4 points/game. The Blazers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. Dallas is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. Bet the Mavericks Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on New Orleans Hornets -6

The Phoenix Suns are in a very tough spot tonight. Phoenix is coming off a huge 96-90 win over Memphis last night, setting it up for a big letdown spot tonight. The Suns will also be tired as this will be the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 6 days.

Meanwhile, New Orleans comes in on three days' rest having last played on Saturday in a blowout loss at Minnesota. In fact, the Hornets have lost four straight games as they come off a brutal five-game road trip with visits to Memphis, LAL, Utah, Denver and Minnesota.

So, the Hornets come in highly motivated to put an end to this losing streak. They are also motivated to avenge a 108-111 (OT) road loss at Phoenix in their first meeting this season. Neither Eric Gordon (16.9 PPG) nor Anthony Davis (13.1 PPG) played in that contest, but each will be suited up for the rematch tonight.

Phoenix is just 5-20 on the road this season. It is getting outscored by an average of 8.5 points/game away from home this year. The Suns are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 0 days rest. The Hornets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 3 or more days rest. New Orleans is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Roll with the Hornets Wednesday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rockets/Heat OVER 208

The books have set the bar too low tonight in this contest between Miami and Houston. I look for both teams to eclipse the 100-point barrier in an absolute shootout tonight.

The Rockets are really hitting on all cylinders offensively. They are averaging 120.6 points/game in their last five contests while scoring at least 109 points in each.

Miami will certainly get its points against a Houston defense that yields 102.7 points/game on the season. The Heat are scoring 106.5 points/game at home this year.

I look for this game to take a similar path to the first meeting of the season between these teams. Miami won at Houston 113-110 on November 12th for 223 combined points.

Houston is 10-1 to the OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. We're seeing an average combined score of 221.0 points/game in this spot. Roll with the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Knicks/Wizards UNDER 192.5

The books have set the bar too high in this contest between the New York Knicks and Washington Wizards tonight. I look for a low-scoring, defensive battle between two solid defensive squads. The Knicks allow 95.5 points/game this season, while the Wizards only yield 95.7 points/game.

The UNDER is 8-2 in Washington's last 10 games overall. Only once during this stretch has it scored 100 points or more. Also, only once during this span has it allowed at least 100 points. We've seen combined scores of 181, 193, 180, 215, 159, 190, 176, 161, 182 and 188 points in the Wizards' last 10 games, respectively.

This play falls into a system that is 74-34 (68.5%) to the UNDER over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet the UNDER on any team (NEW YORK) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.

The UNDER is 6-0 in Knicks last 6 games following a ATS win. The UNDER is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The UNDER is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 road games. The UNDER is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. The UNDER is 8-0 in Wizards last 8 Wednesday games. These five trends combine for a perfect 26-0 system backing the UNDER. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* Baylor/Oky State ESPN No-Brainer on Baylor +7.5

The Baylor Bears come in highly motivated to bounce back from two straight losses to Oklahoma and Iowa State by a combined 11 points. They had won six of their previous seven games before this skid with their only loss coming at Kansas.

This is certainly a bubble team looking to pick up a signature win to improve its resume in terms of the NCAA Tournament. Baylor has proven it can win on the road this season with victories at then-No. 8 Kentucky (64-55), at Texas Tech (82-48) and at TCU (82-56).

Oklahoma State is in a huge letdown spot after such a big win at Kansas on Saturday. There

25* Big Ten GAME OF THE YEAR on Michigan State -2.5

The Michigan State Spartans (18-4) seem to get better as the season progresses year after year under head coach Tom Izzo. That has certainly been the case again this season as they are clearly playing their best basketball of late. They have won seven of their last eight games overall with their only loss coming at current No. 1 Indiana by a final of 70-75 as a 9.5-point underdog.

Michigan State is 13-0 at home this season as the Breslin Center continues to be one of the toughest places in the country to play. It is outscoring opponents 72.1 to 55.9 at home, or by an average of 16.2 points per game. All 13 of those wins have come by 3 points or more.

Minnesota has not been playing very well of late. It has lost four of its last six with its only wins coming at home against Nebraska and Iowa. The Spartans have won four of their last five meetings in this series, so their 76-63 road loss in their first meeting this season was rare to say the least.

In fact, Michigan State is a perfect 13-0 in its last 13 home meetings with Minnesota dating back to 1999. It has won all 13 of those games by 6 points or more. That's long-term evidence that I'll gladly back with a big wager tonight.

The Spartans will be the more rested team having last played on January 31st in an 80-75 win over Illinois. They have had nearly a full week to prepare for Minnesota, and they certainly want revenge after losing the first meeting. Meanwhile, the Gophers last played on Sunday, February 3rd, so they have had much less time to prepare. Bet Michigan State Wednesday.

Note - I put out Michigan State -2.5 as soon as the lines came out on Tuesday. I figured the line would move and it has. I still recommend a bet on the Spartans -4, which is the current line as of 10:00 AM EST. Otherwise, buy it to -4 or better if you have to.

20* Ohio State/Michigan ESPN Tuesday No-Brainer on Michigan -6

The Wolverines have a lot of reason to be motivated heading into this one. They are coming off just their second loss of the season Saturday with a 73-81 setback at current No. 1 Indiana. They want to make that loss a distant memory real quick, and the only way to do that is to beat Ohio State at home Tuesday night.

They also want revenge from a 53-56 loss at Ohio State in the first meeting between these teams on January 13th. They dug themselves an early hole, falling behind 22-34 at halftime before fighting their way back only to fall short by 3. I look for the Wolverines to dominate from start to finish at home this time around.

Michigan is a perfect 12-0 at home this season. It is scoring 78.5 points per game while allowing 55.7 points per game. As you can see, it is outscoring opponents by a whopping 22.8 points per game at home this year. Ohio State is just 3-3 in true road games this season.

The Wolverines are 43-21-2 ATS in their last 66 games overall. Michigan is 38-17-1 ATS in its last 56 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Michigan is 37-17 ATS in its last 54 games following a S.U. loss.

Michigan is 6-0 ATS in home games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=39% over the last 2 seasons. The Wolverines are 6-0 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Michigan is 6-0 ATS after a game where they attempted 7 or less free throws over the last 2 seasons. The Wolverines are 7-0 ATS off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.These five trends combine for a perfect 30-0 system backing the Wolverines. Bet Michigan Tuesday.

Note - I put out Michigan -6 as soon as the lines came out Monday. I see that the line has already moved pretty drastically, which is what I expected to happen. This is the benefit of being a long-term client to be able to get in early on the best available lines as soon as I release my picks. I still recommend a bet on Michigan up to -9, but this pick will be graded at -6.

15* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Rockets -2.5

The Houston Rockets are showing excellent value as only a 2.5-point home favorite over the Golden State Warriors tonight. I look for them to roll as they continue playing solid basketball over the past few weeks.

The Rockets have won four of their last five games overall while going 4-1 ATS in the process. They come in well-rested as this will be just their 2nd game in 6 days, so they will be chomping at the bit to get back on the floor.

I believe the Warriors come into this contest overvalued due to their 4-game winning streak. All four of those victories came against teams with losing records in the Raptors, Cavs, Mavericks and Suns. A step up in competition tonight will put an and to their winning streak.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series between the Warriors and Rockets. The home team has won four straight and seven of the past eight meetings. Houston is 8-0 in its last eight home meetings with Golden State dating back to 2008 with all eight wins coming by 3 points or more.

Houston is 7-0 ATS in home games off a home win this season. It is outscoring opponents 113.0 to 99.9 in this spot, or by an average of 13.1 points/game. Roll with the Rockets Tuesday.

15* Missouri Valley GAME OF THE NIGHT on Missouri State +12.5

Few handicappers on the planet have been riding Missouri State as much as I have during the Missouri Valley Conference season. The Bears have made me and my premium clients a ton of money here recently, and I believe that continues tonight.

Missouri State is underrated because of its 7-16 record on the season, which is very misleading. As a result, the Bears have gone a sensational 10-1 ATS in conference play this season. I believe they are once again undervalued as a double-digit road dog to a mediocre Northern Iowa team in this one.

The Panthers are just 12-11 on the season, including 5-6 in MVC play. They have no business being a double-digit favorite in this one. Northern Iowa is coming off a huge 57-52 home win over a ranked Wichita State team on Saturday, which sets it up for a big letdown spot tonight.

This has been a very closely-contested series over the last few years. Each of the last seven meetings have been decided by 12 points or less. That 12-point win came last season when Missouri State beat UNI 63-51 at home. The other six meetings over this span have been decided by 9 points or fewer. This makes for a perfect 7-0 system since 2009 backing the Bears with tonight's spread of 12.5.

The Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Missouri State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Panthers are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The road team is 21-8 ATS in the last 29 meetings. Take Missouri State Tuesday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on Seton Hall +16

The Seton Hall Pirates are showing excellent value as a big road underdog to the Pittsburgh Panthers tonight. This is a much-improved team that is 13-9 on the season and fully capable of beating anyone in the Big East.

Pittsburgh is in a huge letdown spot tonight. It is coming off a big win over No. 6 Syracuse on Saturday and it will have a hard time getting motivated to face the unranked Pirates just two days later. That will allow Seton Hall to stay within 16 points tonight.

Seton Hall beat Pittsburgh 73-66 in their lone meeting last season. The Pirates have won two of the past four meetings over the last three seasons.

This play falls into a system that is 173-102 (62.9%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites of 10 or more points (PITTSBURGH) - off a home win against a conference rival, in February games.

Seton Hall is 8-1 ATS after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. It is actually coming back to win in these spots 63.4 to 62.8 on average. The Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win. Bet Seton Hall Monday.

15* NBA Monday Total ANNIHILATOR on Blazers/Timberwolves OVER 192

The books have set the bar too low tonight in this Western Conference clash between the Portland Trail Blazers and the Minnesota Timberwolves. I look for these teams to combine for 200-plus points in this one.

One look at the recent history in this series and it's easy to see that there is value with the OVER in this contest tonight. The OVER is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings as the Blazers and Timberwolves have combined for 198 or more points in all five contests. They are combining to average 210.8 points/game during this span, which is nearly 19 points more than tonight's posted total.

Both teams have been playing in high-scoring games of late. Four of Minnesota's last five contests have seen 201 or more points. Three of Portland's last five games have seen 201 or more points.

The OVER is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The OVER is 5-0 in Timberwolves last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The OVER is 4-1 in Timberwolves last 5 games overall. The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. Roll with the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Dallas Mavericks +9

The Dallas Mavericks are showing some of their best value of the season tonight as a 9-point road underdog to the Oklahoma City Thunder. I know both Dirk Nowitzki and Kevin Durant are questionable tonight, but no matter whether or not either plays I am all over the Mavs in this one.

My biggest reason for backing the Mavs in this one is the revenge factor. Dallas has lost two heartbreakers to Oklahoma City this season, both of which came in overtime. They lost 105-111 (OT) at Oklahoma City on December 27th as a 10.5-point dog, and 114-117 (OT) vs. the Thunder on January 18th as a 5.5-point dog.

While the Mavs will be highly motivated for payback, I look for the Thunder to relax having already beaten them twice. They know they cannot lose the season series no matter what happens in this game.

Also, seven of the last eight meetings in this series have been decided by 9 points or less. OKC has won all eight outright, so you can only imagine how badly the Mavs want revenge in this one. They will be giving everything they have to put an end to this streak.

The underdog is 33-16-2 ATS in the last 51 meetings. The road team is 35-15-2 ATS in the last 52 meetings. The Mavericks are 20-7-1 ATS in the last 28 meetings in Oklahoma City.

The Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Mavericks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Western Conference foes. These three trends combine for a 20-1 (95%) System backing Dallas. Take the Mavericks Monday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Clippers/Celtics UNDER 184

The Los Angeles Clippers and Boston Celtics will take part in a defensive battle Sunday afternoon. Both teams have been prone to low-scoring games of late, and I look for that to continue today.

The biggest reason both teams are struggling to score points is the loss of their starting point guards. Rajon Rondo is out for the season with a torn ACL, while Chris Paul remains out with an knee injury.

The UNDER is 3-0 in Clippers last three games with combined scores of 179, 186 and 171 points. The UNDER is 2-0 in Celtics last two games with combined scores of 180 and 181 points. In fact, Rondo has missed the last three games, and the first game he missed resulted in a 100-98 Boston victory in OT against Miami. That game was tied 87-87 at the end of regulation for 174 combined points.

This has been a low-scoring series in recent meetings over the past two seasons as well. Los Angeles won at home 106-77 in their lone meeting this year for 183 combined points, while Boston won at the Clippers last season 94-85 for 179 combined points. Dating back further, seven of the last nine meetings have seen 183 or less combined points.

The UNDER is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 games following a S.U. win. The UNDER is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 vs. Western Conference foes. The UNDER is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The UNDER is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The UNDER is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic opponents. These five trends combine for a perfect 24-0 system backing the UNDER today. Take the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* Big Ten GAME OF THE DAY on Iowa +10.5

The Iowa Hawkeyes should not be catching double-digit points this afternoon to the Minnesota Golden Gophers. This is an Iowa team that starts three freshman and is only getting better as the season progresses. It is certainly undervalued in this spot.

Minnesota is not playing well of late, and it is ripe for the picking because of it. The Gophers have lost four of their last five games overall with their only victory during this stretch coming at home against lowly Nebraska.

Iowa is 3-2 in its last three games overall, which includes a 70-50 road win at Northwestern, and a 70-66 home win over Wisconsin. Its only two losses during this stretch both came on the road by single-digits against Ohio State (63-72) and Purdue (62-65, OT).

The Hawkeyes clearly match up well with the Gophers as evidenced by last season. Iowa went 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS in both meetings with Minnesota last year. It won 63-59 at home as a 1.5-point dog, and 64-62 on the road as an 8.5-point dog.

Iowa is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games following a S.U. win. The Hawkeyes are 12-1 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. They are winning in this spot 76.9 to 65.4, or by an average of 11.5 points/game. Iowa is 7-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. These three trends combine for a 27-1 (96%) system backing the Hawkeyes. Roll with Iowa Sunday.

20* Jazz/Blazers NBA Saturday Night BAILOUT on UNDER 195

The Portland Trail Blazers and Utah Jazz just played in an absolute defensive battle last night. The Jazz came out on top at home by a final of 86-77 for 163 combined points. This is a home-and-home situation with Saturday's contest being played at Portland this time around.

I fully expect another low-scoring, defensive battle in the rematch tonight. The books have made a huge mistake by setting this number so high. These teams are obviously very familiar with one other after playing last night, and familiarity makes points hard to come by for both teams.

This has been a very low scoring series between these teams over the past couple of years. In fact, six of the last eight meetings have seen 190 or less combined points. They Jazz and Blazers have combined to average 187.3 points/game in those eight contests.

The UNDER is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games following a S.U. win. The UNDER is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 vs. NBA Northwest opponents. The UNDER is 7-1 in Jazz last 8 vs. Western Conference. The UNDER is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Iowa State -3

The Iowa State Cyclones are showing awesome value as only a 3-point home favorite over the Baylor Bears Saturday. It needs this win for its tournament resume, and I believe it goes out and gets it in blowout fashion.

Iowa State's only losses have come on the road this season, including heartbreaking road defeats in Big 12 play to Oklahoma State (76-78), Texas Tech (51-56) and Kansas (89-97, OT).

The good news is that the Cyclones return home Saturday where they are a perfect 11-0 on the season, outscoring opponents by a whopping 20.8 points/game. In fact, dating back to last season they are riding an 18-game home winning streak, and they are 27-2 inside Hilton Coliseum over the last two seasons.

While ISU's home record this season is a great reason to back them, it's not the most important. My biggest reason for backing the Cyclones Saturday is the fact that they are a perfect 10-0 at home against Baylor all-time. That's right, they have never lost in Ames to the Bears folks. Roll with Iowa State Saturday.

15* Big 12 GAME OF THE DAY on Oklahoma -3

The Oklahoma Sooners are one of the most underrated teams in the entire country. Oklahoma is off to a 14-5 start this season while going an impressive 10-5 ATS. Lon Kruger returned all five starters from last year's team and it's really starting to pay dividends.

Oklahoma is off to a 6-2 start in Big 12 play to really show what it is capable of. That includes a 74-71 road win at Baylor on Wednesday. Its only Big 12 losses have come on the road at Kansas and at Kansas State.

That road loss against the Wildcats in their first meeting this season puts the Sooners in revenge mode and wanting this game more. I like their chances of getting it considering they are 7-1 SU & 4-1 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 13.8 points/game.

Oklahoma is 18-6 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons. Kansas State is 0-6 ATS in road games after a win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Wildcats are 4-15 ATS in road games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons. The Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Wildcats are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. Take Oklahoma Saturday.

25* Missouri Valley GAME OF THE YEAR on Missouri State +2

I've been riding Missouri State with a ton of success during conference season. I'm going to continue to do so Saturday and label the Bears as my MVC GAME OF THE YEAR. This is my strongest release in this conference all season.

Missouri State has been a covering machine in conference play. It is a sensational 9-1 ATS in MVC action this season with its only ATS loss coming against Creighton. A big reason this team remains undervalued is due to its 6-16 overall record. There's no question this team is far better than its record would indicate.

The Bears will be out for revenge Saturday against an Evansville team they lost to 59-62 (OT) on the road in their first meeting of the season on January 2nd. They were a 13-point dog in that game and nearly won outright. Now, as a home dog this time around, I fully expect them to win outright.

Missouri State is 12-3 SU in its last 15 home meetings with Evansville. The home team is 12-2 SU In the last 14 meetings (not including neutral court). The Purple Aces are just 2-7 SU on the road this season.

The Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. Missouri State is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following a ATS win. The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Missouri State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games overall. These four trends combine for a perfect 19-0 system backing the Bears. Bet Missouri State Saturday.

15* SEC GAME OF THE DAY on South Carolina -3.5

The South Carolina Gamecocks should be a much heavier home favorite Saturday over the Georgia Bulldogs. I'll gladly take advantage by backing the Gamecocks as I fully expect them to run away with this one.

South Carolina comes in highly motivated for a win after losing three of its last four games, including an embarrassing 36-75 loss at Florida on Wednesday. Its lone win during this stretch came by a final of 75-54 at home over Arkansas, and I expect a similar blowout today.

While the Gamecocks are a solid 8-4 at home this season, the Bulldogs are a mere 1-6 on the road. Georgia is only scoring 54.4 points/game away from home this season, getting outscored by 11.3 points/game in the process.

The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings in this series. The Bulldogs are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. win. Georgia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 road games. The Gamecocks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss. Bet South Carolina Saturday.

15* Big Ten GAME OF THE DAY on Northwestern -1.5

The Northwestern Wildcats are showing awesome value as a small home favorite over the Purdue Boilermakers Saturday. I'll gladly take advantage by backing them at an excellent price today.

Northwestern will be motivated to bounce back from back-to-back road losses to Michigan and Nebraska. It was last seen at home beating Minnesota 55-48 as an 8-point underdog.

Purdue is just 2-6 SU & 2-5 ATS on the road this season. The home team has won four of the last five meetings in this series. The home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The Boilermakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. Curtis Painter is 9-19 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games as the coach of Purdue. Take Northwestern Saturday.

15* ACC GAME OF THE DAY on Boston College +1

The Boston College Eagles are going to be highly motivated for a victory Saturday when they welcome the Clemson Tigers to their house. The Eagles have lost five straight, including three by 5 points or less against a daunting schedule.

I like the Eagles' chances of getting back in the win column against a Clemson team that it has owned throughout the years at home. The Eagles have won five of their last six home meetings in this series. In fact, the home team is 12-1 SU in the last 13 meetings dating back to 2003.

Clemson has squeaked by with back-to-back home wins over lowly Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech by a combined 10 points. However, the Tigers have not played well on the road this season. They are just 2-4 in true road games this year.

Boston College is 7-0 ATS after playing a home game this season. The Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. Clemson is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 Saturday games. Roll with Boston College Saturday.

25* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Hornets/Nuggets OVER 203

The books have set the bar too low tonight in this contest between the New Orleans Hornets and Denver Nuggets. I look for a shootout tonight with both teams topping the 100-point mark in this one.

Since the return of leading scorer Eric Gordon, the Hornets have been a much more dynamic offensive team. They have scored 102 or more points in six of their last 11 games overall. Five of their last seven games have seen 203 or more combined points.

Denver is one of the highest-scoring teams year in and year out under George Karl. It is putting up 103.8 points/game overall, including a whopping 208.0 points/game at home this year. It is combining with its opponents to average 207.2 points/game in home games.

The OVER is 4-0 in Hornets last 4 vs. NBA Northwest opponents. The OVER is 7-0 in Nuggets last 7 home games. The OVER is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. The OVER is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The OVER is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. These five trends combine for a perfect 27-0 system backing the OVER. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Wizards +6.5

The Memphis Grizzlies are in shambles right now. They just traded away arguably their best player in Rudy Gay, and they are going to have a hard time finding points from their perimeter players without him. I know many of their players are shocked at what has taken place.

Memphis really wasn't in it mentally last night as it lost 89-106 at Oklahoma City. I look for that to be the case again tonight whether or not Austin Daye, Tayshaun Prince and Ed Davis make their season debut for their new team. Plus, this will be the second of a back-to-back and the 4th game in 6 days for Memphis.

Making matters worse for the Grizzlies is the fact that they run into a buzz saw in the Wizards who have been one of the best covering teams in the league over the past month. Washington is 7-5 SU & 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games overall.

The return of John Wall clearly has this team playing its best basketball of the season. The Wizards have beaten the likes of the Thunder, Hawks, Nuggets, Blazers and Bulls during this stretch, which are five playoff contenders.

The Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 road games overall. The Wizards are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Roll with the Wizards Friday.

15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia 76ers -6

The Philadelphia 76ers are undervalued as only a 6-point home favorite over the lowly Sacramento Kings. Philadelphia won't be taking any games off the rest of the way as they fight to earn a playoff spot in the East. The same cannot be said for the 17-30 Kings.

Philly has really played well in its last three games. It beat New York 97-80 while also topping a red hot Washington team 92-84. Its lone loss during this stretch came in the last seconds in a 100-103 setback to Western Conference power Memphis.

Fading the Kings away from home has been a very prosperous move all season. They are just 5-18 SU & 10-13 ATS in road games this season. That includes a blowout road loss at Boston on Wednesday by a final of 81-99.

This has proven to be an excellent matchup for Philadelphia over the past several year, and I fully expect that to be the case again tonight. The 76ers are 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings with the Kings. In fact, all seven of those wins have come by 10 points or more!

Keith Smart is 4-15 ATS versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of Sacramento. Doug Collins is 40-20 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of Philadelphia. Smart is 16-33 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more in all games he has coached.

The Kings are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Sacramento is 8-26-2 ATS in its last 36 games following a ATS loss. The Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Sacramento is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Bet the 76ers Friday.

15* Heat/Pacers ESPN Friday No-Brainer on Indiana +2

While the Pacers have lost three of their last four, all three of those losses came on the road against Western Conference playoff contenders in Denver, Utah and Portland. They lost in overtime to the Jazz, and by a single point to the Nuggets. They certainly haven

20* Mavs/Warriors TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 206

The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks. I look for a low-scoring, defensive battle as neither team tops 100 points in this one.

A look at the recent meetings between these teams and it's easy to see that there is value with the UNDER tonight. Five of the last six meetings between these teams have seen 206 or less combined points.

Even that 206-point effort, which was in their lone meeting this season on November 19th, only saw 206 points because of overtime. That game was tied 90-90 at the end of regulation for 180 combined points. So, not counting OT, five of the last six meetings in this series have seen 198 or fewer combined points.

Golden State has a ton of injury concerns that could hurt them offensively. Stephen Curry (21.0 PPG), Harrison Barnes (8.9 PPG) and Carl Landry (12.0 PPG) are all questionable to return tonight after missing their 108-95 win at Cleveland on Tuesday. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* Arizona/Washington ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Washington +5.5

The oddsmakers have overcompensated for Washington

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Butler +2.5

Any time the Butler Bulldogs are catching points, it's certainly worth a look. That's the case here tonight as the ninth-ranked Bulldogs are a 2.5-point dog to the Saint Louis Billikens.

Butler is 17-3 this season with its only losses coming to Xavier, Illinois and La Salle. It has won 14 of its last 15 games overall with its only loss coming to a single point (53-54) at La Salle on January 23rd. That was actually a decent loss and one that will keep this team grounded going forward.

Somehow, Butler remains one of the most underrated teams in the country. That's evident by the fact that it is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games overall, and a sensational 13-5 ATS in all games this season. Leading scorer Rotnei Clarke (16.7 PPG) just recently returned from injury in an 83-71 win over Temple last game, which only helps the Bulldogs even more going forward.

Saint Louis is a quality team, but with five losses on the season, it is no match for Butler in this one. It has recent losses to Temple (54-64) and Rhode Island (80-82), and it is clearly getting too much respect from oddsmakers as a 2.5-point home favorite here.

Brad Stevens is 29-14 ATS as an underdog as the coach of Butler. In fact, the Bulldogs are a dominant 7-1 as an underdog this season. As stated before, this team is always worth a look when they are catching points.

Butler is 8-0 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Butler is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following a S.U. win. The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. Butler is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. These five trends combine for a perfect 31-0 system backing the Bulldogs. Bet Butler Thursday.

15* Illinois/Michigan State ESPN No-Brainer on Illinois +8.5

Sure, the Illini have struggled of late, but that gets factored into the odds as well. Now, the books are asking Michigan State to win by nearly double-digits to beat you if you bet Illinois, so the value is certainly with the road underdog in this one.

Remember, this is the same Illinois team that beat Ohio State, Gonzaga and Butler all by double-digits en route to its 13-1 start. Take a look at the AP Poll and you will find all three of those powerhouses ranked inside the Top 11.

Each of Michigan State

15* Lakers/Suns ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles Money Line -137

The Los Angeles Lakers are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have won three in a row over the Jazz, Thunder and Hornets due to playing team basketball for the first time all season. Kobe Bryant has double-digit assists in each of his last three games, and Dwight Howard is dominating like he's supposed to.

I look for the Lakers to carry their momentum into Phoenix tonight. At 20-25 on the season, Los Angeles cannot afford a letdown, so it will not be overlooking the lowly Suns tonight. Phoenix owns the worst record in the West at 15-30 this season.

The Suns are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Phoenix is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 vs. Western Conference foes. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Roll with the Lakers on the Money Line Wednesday.

15* St. Mary's/San Francisco West Coast BAILOUT on San Francisco +8.5

The San Francisco Dons should not be catching 8.5 points at home tonight against the St. Mary's Gaels. I'll gladly side with the value and back one of the most underrated teams in the country.

That's evident by the fact that San Francisco is 9-12 SU but a very impressive 11-5-1 ATS. It has gone 6-4 at home this season with several impressive showings. The Dons even played Gonzaga tough on the road last time out, falling 52-66 as a 20-point favorite.

Now, the Dons want revenge from a 72-78 loss at St. Mary's as a 13-point underdog in their first meeting of the season on January 12th just over two weeks ago. In fact, San Francisco has lost each of its last three meetings with the Gaels all by 7 points or less. There's no question the Dons are going to be the more motivated team heading into this one because of it.

The Gaels are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The Dons are 25-8-1 ATS in their last 34 games overall. San Francisco is 39-14 ATS in its last 53 vs. WCC opponents. The Dons are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Roll with San Francisco Wednesday.

15* ACC GAME OF THE NIGHT on Virginia Tech +10

The Virginia Tech Hokies are showing perhaps their best value of the season as a 10-point home underdog to the Miami Hurricanes. Off back-to-back losses, the Hokies return home hungry for a win tonight. They are a solid 8-3 at home this season.

Miami comes in way overvalued due to its current 7-game winning streak. There's no question that this is a quality team, but after back-to-back blowout home wins over FSU and Duke, the Hurricanes are in an ideal letdown spot tonight.

The Hurricanes' last road game resulted in a 60-59 win at Boston College as a 6-point favorite. In fact, all three of their losses have come on the road this season. The home team has won five of the last six meetings in this series. Take Virginia Tech Wednesday.

15* Missouri Valley GAME OF THE NIGHT on Missouri State +20

I have been backing Missouri State with a ton of success over the past month. This is one of the most underrated teams in the country, and once again the Bears are undervalued as a 20-point road underdog to Creighton tonight.

While Missouri State is just 4-5 SU in conference play, it is an incredible 8-1 ATS against MVC opponents this season. Four of its five losses came by 10 points or less. Sure, the one exception was a 52-74 home loss to Creighton, but that puts the Bears in revenge mode tonight.

The Bluejays will have a hard time getting motivated to face a team that they already beat by 22 points this season. That will allow the Bears to keep it close for most of the game as the Bluejays won't be mentally in it. Creighton has shown it is vulnerable by losing two of its last three games, including a 69-74 loss at Drake.

The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Missouri State is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 road games. The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Missouri State is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. These four trends combine for a perfect 16-0 system backing the Bears. Bet Missouri State Wednesday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference Total DOMINATOR on Raptors/Hawks UNDER 198.5

The oddsmakers have set the bar too high tonight in this game between the Toronto Raptors and Atlanta Hawks. I'll gladly take advantage by backing the UNDER as I don't see either team getting to 100 points in this one.

I believe the biggest reason this total has been inflated is because both teams have played in some high scoring games of late. But the biggest reason for that has been overtime games. Toronto has played three overtime games in its last seven, while Atlanta played a double-overtime game against Boston two games ago.

One look at the recent history between these teams and it's easy to see that this number has been inflated. The Hawks and Raptors have combined for 196 or less points in each of their last five meetings. They are averaging a combined 185 points/game during this stretch. That's roughly 13 points less than tonight's posted total.

The UNDER is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 20-8-1 in Raptors last 29 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The UNDER is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Non-Conference Total DOMINATOR on Kings/Celtics UNDER 194

The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the Sacramento Kings and Boston Celtics. I don't expect either team to reach 100 points tonight in this one, thus I'll back the UNDER with confidence.

Oddsmakers are overreacting from some recent high scoring games by Boston. However, three of Boston's last six games have gone to overtime, which is the biggest reason for this inflated number tonight. Also, you have to remember that Rajon Rondo is out for the season, so Boston is going to be lost offensively for a while. It is going to have to rely on its defense to win games.

Not counting overtime, the Celtics and their opponents have combined for 196 or less points in 10 straight games while averaging a mere 181.4 points/game during this stretch. In fact, nine of their last 10 games have seen 194 or less combined points at the end of regulation.

The UNDER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Boston. The UNDER is 7-2 in Boston's last 9 home games. The UNDER is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games following a S.U. win. The UNDER is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The UNDER is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. Western Conference foes. These last three trends combine for a perfect 13-0 system backing the UNDER. Take the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Philadelphia 76ers -3.5

The Washington Wizards are way overvalued right now due to their recent run against the spread. They had covered 10 in a row before a 94-96 home loss to Sacramento on Monday. Now, they're only catching 3.5 points at Philadelphia, and I'll gladly pull the trigger on the 76ers.

Philly has played a brutal schedule of late, which is the reason it is only 1-3 in its last four games. It lost to the Spurs and Grizzlies by a combined 8 points, while also falling at Milwaukee. It did beat the New York Knicks 97-80 at home on Saturday, and a I look for another blowout home win here.

The Wizards are a woeful 3-18 on the road this season. The home team has won seven of the last eight meetings in this series. The 76ers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Washington, including a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home meetings. Take the 76ers Wednesday.

20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -8

The Indiana Pacers are highly motivated for a win tonight. They are coming off three straight losses, all of which came on the road to Western Conference playoff contenders in the Nuggets, Jazz and Blazers.

Now, the Pacers return home to take on an Eastern Conference bottom feeder in the Detroit Pistons, and I fully expect them to make easy work of them while getting back in the win column. Indiana is 16-3 at home this season, while Detroit is just 5-16 on the road.

The Pacers come in the more rested team as well. This will be just the 3rd game in 7 days for the Pacers, while the Pistons will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days. They started to show signs of wearing down last night with a 90-117 home loss to Milwaukee.

Indiana has won four of its last five meetings with Detroit with three of those wins coming by double-digits. The Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Pacers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss. Indiana is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 meetings with Detroit, including 7-2 ATS in its last 9 home meetings. Bet the Pacers Wednesday.

15* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE NIGHT on UMass +9

The UMass Minutemen are showing solid value as a 9-point road underdog to the La Salle Explorers tonight. These are two evently matched teams as the Minutemen are 13-5, while the Explorers enter with a 14-5 mark.

La Salle is way overvalued due to back-to-back wins over Butler and VCU by a combined 9 points. There's no question it is in a big letdown spot tonight after those two huge victories, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the Minutemen win this thing outright.

Both meetings last season were decided by a combined 8 points with La Salle winning 82-75 at home, and 72-71 on the road. In fact, the Explorers have won three straight and seven of the last eight meetings in this series. That clearly puts UMass in revenge mode as it will want this game more.

The Minutemen are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Explorers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. La Salle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games following a win. UMass has played its best basketball away from home this season as it is 5-1 SU in true road games. Roll with UMass Wednesday.

20* NBA Western Conference ANNIHILATOR on Dallas +3.5

The Dallas Mavericks should not be an underdog to the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. This is a must-win game for the Mavs as they trail the Blazers by three games in the Western Conference standings as both teams chase the 8th and final playoff spot.

Dallas comes in playing its best basketball of the season. It is 6-3 SU & an incredible 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games overall. Its only three losses during this stretch came to Western Conference powers in the Clippers, Spurs and Thunder, all by 6 points or less.

Portland comes in playing its worst basketball of the season. The Blazers are just 2-7 SU in their last nine games overall. They are showing signs of wearing down right now, and for good reason considering they have the worst bench in the league.

Portland's 16.5 points per game off the bench are by far the fewest in the NBA. The Blazers come in tired as this will be their 3rd game in 4 days. Meanwhile, the Mavs are well-rested considering this will be just their 3rd game in 9 days.

This play falls into a system that is 28-7 (80%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a road loss by 10 points or more. Dallas beat Portland 114-91 at home in their lone meeting this season on November 5th, which was without Nowitzki.

The Mavericks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. Dallas is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 Tuesday games. The Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. These three trends combine for a perfect 18-0 system backing Dallas. Bet the Mavericks Tuesday.

15* Big Ten GAME OF THE NIGHT on Nebraska +19

This line is an overreaction from oddsmakers tonight folks. They expect Minnesota to bounce back and put an end to their 4-game losing streak. While that may be the case tonight, it won't be by 20 or more points against an underrated Nebraska team.

Nebraska is one of the most improved teams in the country when you look at where it is at now compared to where it started. The Huskers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall, which have all been in Big Ten play.

The Huskers have won two of their last three outright with a 68-64 win at Penn State as a 4-point dog, and a 64-49 home win over Northwestern as a 1-point dog. They played Michigan (47-62) and Michigan State (56-66) tough on the road this season in Big Ten action as well.

Minnesota is simply not playing well during its current 4-game losing streak. Sure, this is still a quality team, but it has not business being this heavily favored tonight against one of the most underrated squads in the country.

The Gophers are 0-6 ATS in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Minnesota is 2-13 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons.

Both meetings between these teams last year were decided by 12 points or less. In fact, each of the last 10 meetings in this series dating back to 1997 have been decided by 17 points or fewer. Also, Minnesota's biggest margin of victory over Nebraska in those 10 meetings is 12 points. This makes for a perfect 10-0 system since 1997 backing the Huskers. Bet Nebraska Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Cavaliers +1.5

This is one of the best spots you will ever find to back the Cleveland Cavaliers. Not only are they playing their best basketball of the season right now, they also come in by far the more rested team in this showdown with the Golden State Warriors tonight.

Cleveland is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games overall. It has home wins over the Celtics and Bucks, as well as road wins over the Blazers and Raptors during this stretch. This team got a lot stronger with their trade with Memphis, bringing in Marreese Speights and Wayne Ellington, who combined for 29 points in a 99-98 win at Toronto on Saturday.

While the Cavaliers come in on two days' rest since beating the Raptors on Saturday, the Warriors will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days. Most teams are tired as it is as we near the All-Star break, and this situation is nearly unbearable for most teams. That's especially the case for Golden State considering it is expected to be without Stephon Curry (ankle, doubtful) tonight.

The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on 2 days rest. Golden State is 54-81 ATS in road games after scoring 110 points or more since 1996. Take the Cavaliers Tuesday.

15* SEC GAME OF THE NIGHT on Vanderbilt +8.5

The Tennessee Volunteers are one of the most overrated teams in the country this season. At 10-8 on the season, this is clearly a team in rebuilding mode. They miss arguably their best player in Jeronne Maymon, who is out for the season with a knee injury.

Tennessee has lost five of its last seven games with its only wins coming at home over Mississippi State and Alabama. That was a fortunate win Saturday as the Vols had to rally late for a 54-53 home win over the Crimson Tide, and that victory has them overvalued heading into this one.

Vanderbilt is playing its best basketball of the season here of late. It has won two of its last three games, while also taking Ole Miss to overtime four games ago. It won at South Carolina 58-51 before coming back home for a 73-61 win over Auburn. It did lost at Missouri 59-81 on Saturday, but that loss has it undervalued heading into this one.

This is an in-state rivalry that will be played close to the vest as it usually is. These teams have split each of their last six meetings dating back to 2010. All three of Vanderbilt's losses during this stretch came by single-digits.

Vanderbilt is 11-1 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons. It is actually winning in this spot 66.1 to 60.4 on average. Tennessee is 4-15 ATS after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons. The Vols are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Roll with Vanderbilt Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Bobcats/Bulls UNDER 186

The Chicago Bulls and Charlotte Bobcats will take part in a defensive battle tonight. While this is one of the lowest totals on the board Monday, I believe the books have made a big mistake by not setting it low enough.

Chicago comes in motivated for a win following its 73-86 loss at Washington on Saturday. It will be exerting its energy on defense to get the win, which is the trademark of this team.

The Bulls are allowing just 91.8 points/game overall, including 88.8 points/game at home. They have given up 87 or less points in five straight games, yielding an average of 84.6 points/game over this span, and that even includes an overtime game.

Chicago's biggest weakness is an offense that averages 93.3 points/game, including 91.8 at home. The loss of leading scorer Luol Deng (hamstring) has really hurt its offense of late as the Bulls are averaging a mere 87.6 points/game in their last five. Deng is questionable to return tonight.

A quick look at the recent history between the Bobcats and Bulls, and it's easy to see that there is a ton of value with this UNDER tonight. Chicago and Charlotte have combined for 185 or less points in each of their last five meetings with combined scores of 185, 184, 159, 168 and 172 points. That includes the 91-81 victory by the Bobcats on 12/31 in their lone meeting this season.

Chicago is 7-0 UNDER in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season. The Bulls are 7-0 UNDER revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points this season. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in Bobcats last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in Bulls last 4 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. These five trends combine for a perfect 23-0 system backing the UNDER tonight. Roll with the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* NBA Monday Total ANNIHILATOR on Warriors/Raptors UNDER 202

The books have set the bar too high tonight in this game between the Golden State Warriors and Toronto Raptors. I look for this to be a defensive battle between two of the most underrated teams in the league.

Golden State comes in hungry for a victory after back-to-back road losses to Chicago and Milwaukee. After giving up 103 points to the Bulls and 109 to the Bucks, there's no question that head coach Mark Jackson is going to preach defense to his team heading into this one.

Toronto is also hungry for a win after dropping six of its last eight, including a 98-99 home loss to Cleveland last time out. This is one of the more underrated defensive teams in the game, especially at home where they are allowing only 95.3 points/game.

Just looking at team averages alone, it's easy to see that there is value with this UNDER tonight. Golden State combines with its opponents to average 200.1 points/game on the season, while Toronto combines with its opponents to average 197.5 points/game.

The Raptors are 21-7 to the UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Paul Casey is 13-3 to the UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game as the coach of Toronto.

The UNDER is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 19-8 in Raptors last 28 home games. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. The Raptors beat the Warriors 83-75 for 158 combined points the last time these teams met up. Take the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* Pitt/Louisville ESPN Big Monday No-Brainer on Louisville -6

The Louisville Cardinals are going to be highly motivated for a win tonight as they host the Pittsburgh Panthers. In fact, I believe they will be giving more effort to get a win in this game than in any other contest all season.

Louisville comes in on a 3-game losing streak with three straight heartbreaking defeats to Syracuse (68-70), Villanova (64-73) and Georgetown (51-53). It hasn't lost four straight games in a single season in nine years.

"We have to get this win. It's a must game for us," head coach Rick Pitino said. "Because four (losses in a row), now you're on the verge of getting a sub-.500 record in the league, and you don't want to mess with that."

I believe Pittsburgh comes in overvalued due to its 4-game winning streak. Those four wins came against a soft schedule in Villanova, UConn, Providence and Depaul. Remember, this is the same Pittsburgh team that opened 1-3 in Big East play with losses to Cincinnati, Rutgers and Marquette.

The Cardinals are 9-1 at home this season. They are outscoring opponents by 21.9 points/game at home this year. They are 8-0 ATS after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons. The Panthers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Louisville is 11-1 ATS when playing its 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons. This is always one of the most well-conditioned teams year in and year out under Pitino because they have to be to be able to run his full-court press. Bet Louisville Monday.

15* CBB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Creighton -10.5

The Creighton Bluejays are highly motivated for a victory tonight over the Southern Illinois Salukis. While the Blue Jays are 17-3 this season, they are coming off back-to-back road losses to Wichita State and Drake by a combined 8 points.

I look for Creighton to take out its frustration on the lowly Salukis, who are just 8-11 on the season. Southern Illinois has lost eight of its last nine games overall with five of those losses coming by 11 points or more.

Southern Illinois G Jeff Early is expected to miss this game due to a suspension. That's a huge loss for the Salukis as Early is their second-leading scorer (12.7 PPG) and top rebounder (7.5 RPG).

Creighton has won nine straight meetings with Southern Illinois while going 7-2 ATS in the process. In fact, the Bluejays have really owned this series of late, winning three straight meetings with the Salukis all by exactly 19 points. The road team is 21-7 ATS in the last 28 meetings, and Creighton is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The Bluejays are 25-6 ATS in their last 31 Sunday games. Creighton is 4-0-2 ATS in its last 6 games following a ATS loss. The Salukis are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Bluejays are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Southern Illinois dating back to 2007. Take Creighton Sunday.

25* NBA Pre-All Star GAME OF THE YEAR on Dallas Mavericks -7

This is an excellent situation to back the Dallas Mavericks tonight, so much so that I have selected them as my strongest NBA release prior to the All-Star break. I look for them to roll by double-digits tonight over the lowly Phoenix Suns.

Dallas is playing much better now that Dirk Nowitzki is finally back and healthy. The Mavericks are 5-3 SU and a sensational 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall with their only losses coming to the Clippers, Thunder and Spurs all by 6 points or less.

Phoenix is a very tough spot tonight. It will be playing the second of a back-to-back and its 4th game in 5 days. After falling at San Antonio 99-108 last night, I look for the Suns to really wear down in this one and not have anything left to give in the 2nd half. That's where the Mavs will pull away.

This play falls into a system that is 32-9 (78%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on home favorites (DALLAS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days against opponent extremely tired team - playing their 4th game in 5 days.

Phoenix is a woeful 4-18 on the road this season. It is giving up a whopping 103.9 points/game on the road, getting outscored by 8.4 points/game away from home this year.

Dallas is 9-1 SU & 9-1 ATS in its last 10 meetings with Phoenix. It is also 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last 5 home meetings against the Suns dating back to 2010. All five of those wins came by 6 points or more, including four by 9 points or more. Bet the Mavericks Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Missouri State +1

The Missouri State Bears are one of the most underrated teams in the country this season due to their 5-15 record. This team has gotten better as the season has gone on, and I've ridden them with a ton of success of late.

While Missouri State is just 3-5 SU in Missouri Valley Conference play, it is an incredible 7-1 ATS. One of its three wins came at Drake by a final of 77-65 on January 5th despite coming into that game as a 10-point underdog.

While the Bulldogs would normally be in revenge mode in this spot, they simply won't care about it after what just happened. Drake beat Top-25 opponent Creighton 74-69 on Wednesday, and there's no question that sets it up for a big letdown here against a Bears team that will be hungry for a win following four straight losses.

Missouri State is 26-6 SU in its last 32 meetings with Drake, including a ridiculous 14-1 SU in its last 15 home meetings dating back to 1997. The Bulldogs are 1-12 ATS in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Drake is 1-8 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons. Roll with Missouri State Sunday.

20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Houston Rockets -2.5

The Houston Rockets are clearly undervalued right now due to losing eight of their last 10 games overall. They should be a much heavier favorite tonight over the Brooklyn Nets, who come in overvalued due to winning 10 of their last 12 games overall.

Brooklyn has been taking advantage of a very easy schedule during its recent run, but it finally met its match last night in an ugly 77-101 loss at Memphis. Houston had played a very tough schedule before getting back on track of late against some softer competition. It won 100-82 at New Orleans last night, which was a win it needed to regain its confidence.

Houston is a perfect 11-0 SU & 8-3 ATS in its last 11 meetings with Brooklyn. It has won all 11 of those meetings by 5 points or more, which dates back to 2006. That makes for a perfect 11-0 system backing to Rockets since 2006 pertaining to tonight's spread of -2.5.

The Rockets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win. Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Brooklyn is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games following a S.U. loss. Take the Rockets Saturday.

15* SEC GAME OF THE DAY on Auburn +7.5

The Ole Miss Rebels are one of the most overrated teams in the country this season. They are off to a 16-2 start, which has caught the attention of oddsmakers and the betting public. They should not be laying 7.5 points on the road to the Auburn Tigers Saturday.

Ole Miss has done most of its damage at home this season, but it has just been so-so on the road. The Rebels have road losses to Middle Tennessee State and Indiana State. They also needed overtime to win at Vanderbilt as an 8-point favorite, won at Loyola-Marymount 73-70 as a 9.5-point favorite, and won against San Francisco 85-78 as an 8.5-point favorite in their other three road games.

Auburn comes in undervalued off three straight losses with two on the road to Arkansas and Vanderbilt, as well as a home loss to Kentucky. It will certainly be hungry for a victory to put an end to this skid. Remember, this is the same team that had won three straight against FSU, LSU and South Carolina before this skid.

Auburn is 11-1 ATS after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent since 1997. The Tigers are 9-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

The Tigers are 7-0 ATS off 3 straight losses against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons. The home team is 6-0 SU in the last 6 meetings. The Tigers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. These three trends combine for a 20-0 system backing the Tigers. Bet Auburn Saturday.

15* Big 12 GAME OF THE DAY on Oklahoma +14

The Oklahoma Sooners are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They should not be catching 14 points against the Kansas Jayhawks Saturday in a game that I fully expect to go right down to the wire.

Lon Kruger returned all five starters from last season for Oklahoma. Off a down year, this team came into the 2012-13 season undervalued, and they continue to be at this point of the season. The Sooners are 13-4 SU & 9-4 ATS on the season.

Kansas comes in overvalued due to its 17-1 start this season. It is in a huge letdown spot after a big 59-55 road win at Kansas State on Tuesday. The Jayhawks have been shaky in a few home games this season. They needed overtime to beat Iowa State, while also topping Temple 69-62 as a 13-point favorite.

Three of Oklahoma's four losses have come by 9 points or less. Bill Self is 10-20 ATS in home games after 8 or more consecutive wins as the coach of Kansas. The Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Roll with Oklahoma Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Tennessee -3

The Tennessee Vols are very hungry for a win Saturday when they host the Alabama Crimson Tide. They have lost five of their last six and are desperate for a victory right now. They also want revenge from a 65-68 loss at Alabama in their first meeting of the season on January 12th just two weeks ago.

Alabama is overvalued right now due to its four-game winning streak coming in. It will have a hard time getting motivated to face the Vols again after winning the first meeting. The Crimson Tide are also in a big letdown spot because they are coming off a huge home win over Kentucky 59-55 on Tuesday.

Alabama is 3-15 ATS in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997. Tennessee is 24-10 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997. The Vols are 9-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

The Vols are 7-0 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. Tennessee is 7-0 ATS in home games off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points over the last 2 seasons. These two trends combine for a perfect 14-0 system over the last two years backing the Vols. Take Tennessee Saturday.

25* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Duke -11.5

The Duke Blue Devils are highly motivated for a victory Saturday as they take on the Maryland Terrapins at home. They are coming off their worst loss of the season in a 63-90 setback at Miami on Wednesday. There's no question they will be looking to take out their frustration on the Terrapins Saturday.

Duke is 10-0 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 22.1 points/game. Maryland is just 2-3 on the road this year. The Terrapins are clearly overvalued, and that's evident by the fact that they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Duke simply owns Maryland, winning five straight and 11 of the last 12 meetings in this series. Each of the Blue Devils' last four wins in this series have all come 13 points or more.

Maryland is 0-8 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. The Terrapins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Maryland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games overall. The Terrapins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. ACC foes. Maryland is 0-7 ATS in road games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons. The Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. These six trends combine for a perfect 34-0 system backing the Blue Devils. Bet Duke Saturday.

15* NBA Western Conference ANNIHILATOR on New Orleans Hornets -2.5

The New Orleans Hornets are one of the most underrated teams in the league right now. I have been riding them with a ton of success lately, and I'll continue backing them at a great price tonight as only a 2.5-point home favorite over the Houston Rockets.

New Orleans is 7-3 SU and a sensational 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games overall. It has beaten the likes of San Antonio and Houston at home, while also topping Dallas and Boston on the road during this stretch. This team is much better than its 14-28 record would indicate due to the recent return of G Eric Gordon.

Houston is stuck in a free-fall right now, yet it is still getting treated like one of the better teams in the West. That certainly isn't the case as the Rockets are 1-8 SU & 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Both James Harden and Jeremy Lin have been asked to do too much for this team, and as a result each is starting to wear down.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series to say the least. The home team has won each of the last seven meetings in this series dating back to 2011. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New Orleans.

The Rockets are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Houston is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 after allowing 100 or more points in its previous game. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Houston is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 road games. The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. The Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. New Orleans is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 vs. division opponents. These seven trends combine for a perfect 40-0 system backing New Orleans. Take the Hornets Friday.

20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Memphis Grizzlies -4

The Memphis Grizzlies are showing excellent value as only a 4-point home favorite over the Brooklyn Nets tonight. I'll gladly take advantage and back the Grizz in this spot as I fully expect a blowout by game's end.

Brooklyn is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers right now due to winning 10 of its last 11 games overall. However, must of those wins have come against weak competition with the likes of the Wizards, Kings, 76ers, Suns, Raptors and Timberwolves mixed in. The schedule finally gets tougher starting tonight.

Memphis remains one of the most underrated teams in the league this season. That's evident by the fact that it is 27-14 SU and an incredible 24-15-2 ATS on the year. The Grizzlies are 16-6 at home this season, giving up just 87.0 points/game. The Nets are a mediocre 10-9 on the road.

The Grizzlies are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Memphis is 47-22-3 ATS in its last 72 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Grizzlies are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Bet Memphis Friday.

15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Miami Heat -9.5

The Miami Heat will roll by double-digits tonight over the Detroit Pistons. After a five-day layoff, they were a little rusty against an underrated Toronto team on Wednesday, needing overtime to win 123-116.

Now that the Heat have shaken off the rust, they will turn their attention to a Pistons team that actually beat them 109-99 in their most recent meeting in Detroit on December 28th. Miami will certainly want revenge from that defeat while getting back to its domination in this series.

Miami has won seven of its last eight meetings with Detroit. Four of those seven wins came by 14 points or more, including a 98-75 victory in their most recent home meeting on April 8th, 2012.

The Heat are 17-3 at home this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 10.1 points/game. The Pistons are 4-16 on the road this season, scoring a mere 92.5 points/game away from home.

Detroit is 0-7 ATS after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less this season. The Pistons are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Heat are 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 meetings with the Pistons. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Roll with the Heat Friday.

20* Knicks/Celtics TNT Thursday No-Brainer on UNDER 189.5

The New York Knicks and Boston Celtics are very familiar foes in the Atlantic Division. There is no love lost between these teams, especially after the Carmelo Anthony/KG war of words in Boston's 102-96 win at New York on January 7th just over two weeks ago. I look for the defensive intensity to be at a regular-season high for both teams tonight.

It's no surprise that New York has been prone to the UNDER since losing starting PG Raymond Felton to injury. In fact, the UNDER is 3-0 in New York's last three games overall. It has combined with its opponents to average 183 points/game in its last three contests.

Boston is really struggling right now as it just cannot find easy point. It has lost three straight while scoring a mere 88.8 points/game in the process. If the Celtics want to be competitive tonight, they'll have to rely on a defense that is only allowing 93.4 points/game at home this year.

The UNDER is 8-1 (89%) in Knicks last 9 games following a ATS loss. The UNDER is 19-8 in Knicks last 27 Thursday games. The UNDER is 6-1 (86%) in Celtics last 7 home games as they've combined with their opponents to average just 180.1 points/game. The UNDER is 11-4 in Celtics last 15 games overall. The UNDER is 42-19-3 in Celtics last 64 Thursday games. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* ACC GAME OF THE NIGHT on Virginia Tech +5

The Virginia Cavaliers have no business being favored on the road tonight against in-state rival Virginia Tech. I'll gladly take advantage and back the home team as I believe the Hokies have a great chance to win outright. I'm only taking the points for some insurance.

Virginia is an excellent home team, but it has been simply atrocious on the road, which is why it should not be favored here. The Cavaliers are just 1-5 SU in games played away from home this year.

VA Tech has also been a poor road team, but it has been simply dominant at home. The Hokies are 8-2 at home this year, outscoring opponents by 9.5 points/game. Their home wins include Oklahoma State, Iowa and Wake Forest.

This has been a very closely-contested series in recent years. Both meetings last season were decided by exactly 2 points. Looking back further, all meetings between the Hokies and Cavaliers over the past three seasons have been decided by 7 points or fewer. In fact, nine of the past 10 meetings were decided by 7 points or less.

To no surprise, the underdog is 7-0-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series dating back to 2009. The Cavaliers are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. Virginia is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Roll with Virginia Tech Thursday.

15* Tennessee/Ole Miss ESPN 2 ANNIHILATOR on Tennessee +8

The Tennessee Vols will be highly motivated for a win tonight when they travel to face the overrated Ole Miss Rebels. I believe there's a great chance the Vols win outright, but I'll take the points for some insurance.

Tennessee wants revenge from its worst loss of the season. Nothing went right as it fell 74-92 at home to Ole Miss on January 9th just two weeks ago. The Vols shot a woeful 38.5% from the field, including 7-of-26 from distance. There's no question they will be hungry for payback tonight.

Ole Miss is overvalued due to its 15-2 start this season. It has won seven straight coming in, and I have a good feeling it's starting to get to their heads. The Rebels will have a hard time getting motivated to face a Tennessee team they already beat by 18 points this season, which puts them on upset alert.

Ole Miss is 1-9 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games since 1997. Tennessee is 16-4 ATS after a conference game over the last 2 seasons. The Vols are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Tennessee Thursday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Washington Wizards +7

The Washington Wizards have been the best team to back in the NBA over the past couple weeks. They are playing their best basketball of the season right now, and they should not be a 7-point dog to the Utah Jazz tonight.

Washington is 5-2 SU and a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last seven games overall. Its only losses came 94-95 at Sacramento as a 5-point dog, and 87-94 at the Los Angeles Clippers as a 13-point dog.

The biggest reason for the Wizards' resurgence is that PG John Wall has returned to the line-up. He has been on board the past six games, so it's no surprise that they are playing their best basketball right now. Wall is averaging 14.0 points and 6.7 assists in six games this year.

This play falls into a system that is 46-22 (67.4%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.

Washington is 10-1 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season. The Wizards are 9-0 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent this season. The Jazz are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Utah is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Take the Wizards Wednesday.

15* Big Ten GAME OF THE NIGHT on Northwestern +9

The Northwestern Wildcats are showing awesome value as a 9-point home underdog to the Minnesota Golden Golphers tonight. Minnesota is clearly overvalued due to its 15-3 start and should not be this big of a favorite away from home where wins are very tough to come by in Big Ten play.

The Golden Gophers have finally come back down to earth with back-to-back losses to Indiana and Michigan, which are the two best teams in the Big Ten in my opinion. Minnesota's chances of winning the Big Ten took a big hit with those two defeats, and I look for it to suffer a mental hangover because of it.

It will be very tough for the Gophers to get up emotionally tonight to face a team that they already beat 69-51 at home on January 6th. There's no question that the Wildcats are going to be the more motivated team heading into this one as they want revenge from that loss that occurred just over two weeks ago.

Northwestern comes in playing its best basketball of the season. It won 68-54 at Illinois as a 10-point underdog on January 17th before coming back with a solid showing against Indiana at home on Sunday. It lost to the Hoosiers 59-67 as a 12.5-point underdog, and I believe it will stay within 9 points of the Gophers tonight as well.

The home team has won nine straight meetings in this series dating back to 2009. The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Bet Northwestern Wednesday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on New Orleans Hornets +10.5

The New Orleans Hornets head into this game with the San Antonio Spurs playing their best basketball of the season. They should not be catching double-digits tonight because of it.

New Orleans has gone 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games overall. This run has coincided with the return of G Eric Gordon from injury. He leads the team in scoring at 17.4 points per game. and he's played in just 10 games all season.

New Orleans has played San Antonio very tough this season. All three meetings have been decided by 7 points or less, including a 95-88 New Orleans home victory on January 7th. The Hornets also lost 95-99 at home on 10/31, and 94-99 on the road on 12/21.

This play falls into a system that is 41-13 (75.9%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games.

The Hornets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest. New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 vs. Western Conference foes. The Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. The Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. San Antonio is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 vs. Western Conference opponents. Bet the Hornets Wednesday.

Note: I locked in the Hornets early this morning before it was announced that Tim Duncan and Kawhi Leonard would be out, while Manu Ginobli is expected to return. I still recommend the Hornets +8.5 (the current line as of 2:00 EST) as a 20* play.

15* NBA Wednesday Total ANNIHILATOR on Pistons/Bulls UNDER 183

The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the Chicago Bulls and Detroit Pistons. I look for a low-scoring affair tonight as neither team exceeds 90 points in this one.

Chicago has been without leading scorer Luol Deng (17.4 PPG) in its last two contests, and with no surprise those two games have gone UNDER the number. Chicago lost at home to Memphis 82-85 (OT) on Saturday before beating the Lakers 95-83 on Monday. Deng remains questionable to return tonight.

This has been a low-scoring affair between the Bulls and Pistons in recent meetings. Not counting overtime, the Bulls and Pistons have combined for 182 or less points in four of their last five meetings. The four have been 182, 160, 164 and 172 points.

The UNDER is 3-0-1 in Pistons last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. The UNDER is 4-0-1 in Pistons last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 3-0-2 in Pistons last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Chicago. These four trends combine for a perfect 14-0 system backing the UNDER. Also, the UNDER is 23-8 in Bulls last 31 home games. Roll with the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* Missouri Valley GAME OF THE NIGHT on Missouri State +11

The Missouri State Bears are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They are playing their best basketball of the season in MVC play, yet they keep getting treating like a bottom feeder in the conference from oddsmakers.

I'll gladly take advantage of this false perception and back the Bears as a double-digit home dog to Wichita State tonight. While Missouri State is just 3-4 in MVC play, it is a dominant 6-1 ATS on the season. It has been an underdog in all seven games, and only once has it lost by more than 8 points, and that came against Creighton.

Wichita State is in a huge letdown spot tonight. It came into the season as one of the favorites to win the MVC, right alongside Creighton. Well, the Shockers now have the inside track after beating Creighton 67-64 at home on Saturday. However, off such a big win, there's no question they have a letdown tonight against Missouri State.

The Shockers really haven't been impressive on the road at all this season. They have a 60-69 loss at Tennessee and a 67-71 loss at Evansville. They also beat Drake 75-63 and Bradley 69-63 on the road in MVC play, which is far from impressive.

Missouri State has not lost by more than 7 points to Wichita State in any of its last eight home meetings with the Shockers dating back to 2005. That makes for a perfect 8-0 system since 2005 backing the Bears pertaining to tonight's spread. Roll with Missouri State Wednesday.

15* Big East GAME OF THE NIGHT on St. John's +4.5

The St. John's Red Storm want revenge from their 56-58 home loss to Rutgers in their first meeting of the season on January 9th just two weeks ago. With home closely this series has been contested in recent years, there's no question the play is on the road dog tonight.

Incredibly, four straight meetings between St. John's and Rutgers have been decided by 3 points or less, and by a combined 9 points. The Red Storm are actually playing with double revenge having lost the last two in this series by a combined 5 points.

St. John's comes in playing very well having beaten Notre Dame 67-63 as a 7-point underdog, and also topping Depaul on the road 71-62 as a 3-point dog. Rutgers is coming off a heartbreaking 66-69 loss at Notre Dame and will suffer a hangover from that defeat.

Rutgers is 4-12 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Scarlet Knights are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Rutgers is 10-26-1 ATS in its last 37 Wednesday games. The Scarlet Knights are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. Big East opponents. The underdog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take St. John's Wednesday.

25* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE YEAR on St. Joseph's -7

Simply put, the St. Joseph's Hawks have underachieved this season with a 10-6 start despite returning all five starters from last season. However, that works to our advantage here as they are clearly undervalued as only a 7-point home favorite over St. Bonaventure (8-9).

St. Joseph's has really started showing signs of being undervalued by going a perfect 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall. They won at Duquesne 74-66 as a 6-point favorite and at Pennsylvania 79-59 as an 11.5-point favorite. They also lost at VCU 86-92 (OT) as a 12-point dog during this stretch.

St. Bonaventure has lost six of its last seven games overall. It is getting too much respect for its 81-78 win at Temple over the weekend, which has kept this line lower than it should be. The Bonnies are 2-6 in true road games this year, including recent ugly road losses to George Washington (59-78), Colorado State (64-85), and NC State (73-92).

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series. The home team is a perfect 6-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last six meetings. St. Joseph's has won 10 straight home meetings with St. Bonaventure. The last have all come by 7 points or more with victories by 14, 7, 11, 25, 31, 18 and 32 points. As you can see, their last seven home games in this series since 2004 have resulted in wins by an average of 19.7 points/game.

The Hawks are 7-0 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. They are winning in this spot by an average of 14.6 points/game. Bet St. Joseph's Wednesday.

15* ACC GAME OF THE NIGHT on Boston College +8.5

The Boston College Eagles are one of the most underrated teams in the country this season. They came into this year with little expectations after a rebuilding year last season in head coach Steve Donahue's first year on the job. Donahue has the Eagles playing much more competitive basketball in 2012-13.

While Boston College is just 9-8 on the season, there's no question this team is much better than its record would indicate. It has suffered three heartbreaking ACC losses in its last four games. It fell 73-78 to NC State, 72-75 to Wake Forest and 59-60 to Miami. There's no question it will be highly motivated for a win tonight after this tough stretch of losses.

Opposite of Boston College, this Maryland team isn't nearly as good as its 14-4 record would indicate. It has a 62-65 home loss to a down Florida State team, as well as road losses to Miami (47-54) and North Carolina (52-62). This is certainly a look-ahead game for Maryland, which has Duke on deck Saturday.

Also, the Eagles will come in the more prepared and fresher team having last played on January 16th in a 59-60 home loss to Miami. This will be just their 2nd game in 7 days, while the Terrapins will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days. They last played on Saturday in a 52-62 loss at North Carolina.

Boston College is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Maryland is 0-6 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. The Eagles are 6-0 ATS after playing a home game this season. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Terrapins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. These five trends combine for a perfect 27-0 system backing the Eagles. Bet Boston College Tuesday.

15* Big East GAME OF THE NIGHT on Villanova +11.5

The Villanova Wildcats are showing solid value as a double-digit home underdog tonight. This line is an overreaction from Louisville's home loss to Syracuse Saturday as the books expect the betting public to believe that the Cardinals will bounce back.

However, I look at it differently, feeling that the Cardinals are more likely to suffer a hangover from that heartbreaking 68-70 home loss to the Orange. It will be hard for these players to get up for Villanova after playing such a high-profile game over the weekend against Syracuse.

Meanwhile, Villanova is the team that has every reason to be motivated for a victory tonight. The Wildcats are looking to put an end to a 3-game losing streak heading in. They'll have no problem getting up to face Louisville tonight.

The home team has won six of the last eight meetings in this series. The two road wins came by 1 and 8 points. Rick Pitino is 6-16 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite as the coach of Louisville. Take Villanova Tuesday.

20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Celtics -4

The Boston Celtics are highly motivated for a victory tonight as they travel to face the Cleveland Cavaliers. Boston will be looking to put an end to a 3-game losing streak, which included an ugly 88-103 loss at Detroit on Sunday. The Celtics have one of the best head coaches in the league in Doc Rivers, and he'll get his team to respond tonight.

"We are playing awful and I am clearly not doing my job for this team - and I am serious," Rivers said. "I am not trying to take a bullet for the team and I told them that. I said we have to find something where all 12 guys play the same way."

"I gotta either find the right combination or the right guys, or we're going to get some guys out of here," he said following Sunday's loss to Detroit. "That's the bottom line. This group right now, they're not playing right. It's in them to play right. But right now they haven't been either because I'm not getting to them, or they're not getting to each other."

The Celtics have an excellent chance of getting back on track against the lowly Cavaliers, who are just 10-32 on the season. They have played their worst basketball at home this season, going just 4-12 SU & 4-12 ATS. Their season is basically lost already, especially with the news that Anderson Varejao will be out for the rest of the season.

This play falls into a system that is 27-4 (87.1%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - after playing 3 consecutive road games, playing with 2 days rest. Bet the Celtics Tuesday.

15* SEC GAME OF THE NIGHT on South Carolina +14.5

With the distraction surrounding Missouri head coach Frank Haith right now, I'll gladly fade the Tigers at home as a 14.5-point favorite over the South Carolina Gamecocks tonight.

The NCAA is expected to notify Haith of allegations of "unethical conduct and failure to promote an atmosphere of compliance" stemming from his time as coach at Miami, according to a report by CBSSports.

This team isn't playing all well already, and they certainly don't need these distractions. The Tigers have lost two out of their last three in blowout fashion with a 49-64 loss at Ole Miss, and a 52-83 setback at Florida.

The distraction is bad enough, but when you couple that with Missouri's injury woes, and it almost has no chance of covering this inflated spread. Leading scorer Laurence Bowers (16.8 PPG) and 6th-leading scorer Keion Bell (8.9 PPG) are doubtful, while 5th-leading scorer Earnest Ross (9.6 PPG) is questionable.

Former Kansas State head coach Frank Martin is already turning around this South Carolina basketball program in his first year on the job. He has the Gamecocks off to a 11-6 start, which includes an 82-73 win at LSU as a 10-point underdog in their last road game. In fact, the Gamecocks are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS on the road this season.

This play falls into a system that is 26-6 (81.2%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (MISSOURI) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%), after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse. Take South Carolina Tuesday.

15* Spurs/76ers TNT ATS ANNIHILATOR on San Antonio -6

The San Antonio Spurs are once again a covering machine this season. They are 32-11 SU & 25-17-1 ATS on the year and somehow they continue to go under the radar. Once again, they are undervalued as only a 6-point favorite over the lowly Philadelphia 76ers tonight.

The 76ers are really struggling of late, losing 14 of their last 19 games overall with 12 of those losses coming by 6 points or more. That includes recent losses to New Orleans (99-111), Toronto (72-90), Brooklyn (89-109), San Antonio (86-109) and Oklahoma City (85-109).

The Spurs have really had the 76ers' number in recent meetings. They have won three straight over Philadelphia all by 10 points or more. That includes their 109-86 home victory over the 76ers on January 5th earlier this month. San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 meetings with Philadelphia.

The Spurs are 40-17-4 ATS in their last 61 games following a S.U. win. San Antonio is 34-15-3 ATS in its last 52 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The Spurs are 41-19-2 ATS in their last 62 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The 76ers are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 vs. Western Conference foes. Take the Spurs Monday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nets/Knicks UNDER 193.5

The books have set the bar too high Sunday between the Brooklyn Nets and New York Knicks. This will be the 4th meeting of the season between these teams, so they are certainly familiar with one another. Familiarity usually breeds low-scoring games.

The first three meetings this year have seen 185 (OT), 197 and 186 combined points. They have combined to average 183.7 points/game (not counting overtime) in those three contests. That alone lets you know that there's at least 10 points of value with this UNDER.

Another big reason to back the UNDER is the fact that the Knicks are now a slow it down team without starting PG Raymond Felton, who is out with a finger injury. Their offense just doesn't run as smoothly without him out there running the pick and roll.

Brooklyn is 16-6 to the UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 20-7 in Nets last 27 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The UNDER is 19-7-2 in Nets last 28 road games overall. The UNDER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in New York. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* Cincinnati/Syracuse ESPN No-Brainer on Cincinnati +9

The Syracuse Orange are in a huge letdown spot Monday after a huge win at then-No. 1 Louisville by a final of 70-68 over the weekend. They will not have enough left in the tank to beat a very good Cincinnati team by double-digits today.

Cincinnati is off to a 16-3 start this season while posting three straight wins in conference play. Its three losses this season have come by a combined 8 points, which includes two 1-point defeats and a 6-point setback to Notre Dame.

What is most impressive about the Bearcats this year is the fact that they have played their best basketball on the road. They are a perfect 7-0 away from home this season, which includes road wins over Iowa State, Oregon, Xavier, Pitt, Rutgers and DePaul. They won't be intimidated by the Carrier Dome one bit.

Cincinnati is 10-0 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Bearcats are 8-0 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons. Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Syracuse is 0-6 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 2 seasons. These four tends combine for a perfect 30-0 system backing the Bearcats. Take Cincinnati Monday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Minnesota Timberwolves +8

The Minnesota Timberwolves are way undervalued right now due to their recent string of injuries to good players like Kevin Love and Nikola Pekovic. However, what the betting public fails to realize is that this team is one of the deepest in the league, which allows it to overcome these injuries and remain competitive.

That was on display last time out as the Timberwolves made easy work of the Houston Rockets by a final of 92-79. They had six different players score in double figures in a complete team win. Andrei Kirilenko led the way with 21, followed by Luke Ridnour (16), Chris Johnson (15), Derrick Williams (11), Jose Barea (11) and Mickael Gelabale (11).

The Atlanta Hawks are playing their worst basketball of the season right now, which is why they should not be an 8-point favorite today. They are 2-8 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last ten games overall. That includes an embarrassing 58-97 loss at Chicago on January 14th. Atlanta also has injury issues of its own as Devin Harris and Deshawn Stevenson are questionable, while Lou Williams is out for the season.

This play falls into a system that is 23-3 (88.5%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites (ATLANTA) - cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days. Roll with the Timberwolves Monday.

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Rockets/Bobcats OVER 206.5

The Houston Rockets are coming off a 79-92 loss at Minnesota, which has certainly influenced the oddsmakers heading into Monday's showdown with the Charlotte Bobcats. The Rockets shot a season-worst 32.1% in that game, and there's no question they'll turn it around and get their offense going today.

Houston is one of the highest-scoring teams in the league at 104.5 points/game. They play at the fastest tempo in the league, which is also a big reason why they give up a whopping 103.5 points/game.

Charlotte is not a great offensive team (95.0 PPG), but it will certainly get its offense going against this soft Houston defense. Also, the Bobcats are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA as well. They give up 103.3 points/game on the season.

Houston is 50-27 to the OVER in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996. The OVER is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The OVER is 7-1 in Rockets last 8 vs. Eastern Conference foes. The OVER is 6-1 in Bobcats last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Thunder/Nuggets NBA Sunday Night BAILOUT on Denver +1

The Denver Nuggets are highly motivated for a win Sunday for a couple different reasons. They are coming off an ugly home loss to the Washington Wizards on Friday as a double-digit favorite.

However, I picked the Wizards +10 in that game knowing that the Nuggets would likely be looking ahead to this game with the Thunder. That's because they want revenge from a 97-117 road loss to Oklahoma City on Wednesday.

The Thunder will be the team looking ahead in this one. After just beating the Nuggets only four days ago, they won't be motivated at all to beat them again. Plus, they have a road game against the Los Angeles Clippers on deck Tuesday, and they'll be looking ahead to that huge showdown between the top two teams in the West.

Denver is 15-3 at home this season. Oklahoma City is 10-24 ATS in its last 34 games after a close loss by 3 points or less. The Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Denver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games following a S.U. loss. Bet the Nuggets Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Afternoon Line Mistake on Rider +4

The Rider Broncs are showing excellent value as a 4-point home underdog to the Iona Gaels Sunday. This is one of the most underrated teams in the country, and that has really shown of late.

Rider is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games overall. It has won four straight outright to get to 10-9 on the season. All four wins came by 7 points or more, and it is now ready to take on the overrated Gaels today.

Iona is overvalued due to its current 6-game winning streak coming in. Two of those wins came by narrow margins on the road. One was a 66-62 win at Siena as an 11.5-point favorite, and the other was an 86-82 victory at Marist as a 9.5-point favorite. All six of Iona's losses have come on the road this season.

Iona is 0-6 ATS versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game this season. Rider is 10-2 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997. The Broncs are 12-1 ATS in January games over the last 2 seasons. Roll with Rider Sunday.

15* Utah/Washington Pac-12 Late-Night BAILOUT on Utah +11

The Utah Utes are one of the most underrated teams in the country due to their 8-9 start. They are highly motivated for their first Pac-12 victory of the season Saturday. Clearly, when you look at most of their losses this season, its easy to see that this team is much better than its record would indicate.

Seven of Utah's eight losses have come by 10 points or less. That includes road losses to Arizona State (54-55) as an 8-point dog, to Arizona (57-60) as a 19-point dog, and home to UCLA (53-57) as a 7-point dog. There's no question that the Utes have what it takes to play with the Huskies tonight.

Washington is on a nice run right now, but with this run comes expectations from oddsmakers that it cannot live up to. It has won four straight while beating Washington State, Cal and Stanford on the road while also knocking off Colorado at home. The Huskies could easily be overlooking the Utes tonight and looking ahead to a five-game stretch that includes Oregon State, Oregon, Arizona, Arizona State and UCLA.

This play falls into a system that is 31-6 (83.8%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 10 or more points (UTAH) - a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games.

Utah is 12-3 ATS after 5 or more consecutive losses since 1997. Washington is 4-12 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Utes are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Utah is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 road games. Roll with the Utes Saturday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Iowa PK

The Iowa Hawkeyes (12-5) opened with a brutal Big Ten schedule, losing their first three to the likes of Indiana, Michigan and Michigan State. However, they proved what they were capable of by nearly upsetting both the Hoosiers (65-69) and Spartans (59-62).

Iowa exploded for its first Big Ten victory last Sunday in a 70-50 triumph at Northwestern. This is one of the more underrated teams in the country, and it is capable of beating anyone at home inside of rowdy Carver Hawkeye Arena.

The Wisconsin Badgers are in a huge letdown spot here after winning at Indiana 64-59 as a 10.5-point underdog on Tuesday. They have opened 4-0 in Big Ten play with two of their wins coming over lowly Penn State and Nebraska by single-digits. As a result, they are overvalued right now.

Iowa is 8-1 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The Hawkeyes are in all home games over the last 2 seasons. Iowa is 11-1 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. The Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. Bet Iowa Saturday.

20* NBA GAME OF THE NIGHT on San Antonio Spurs -3.5

The San Antonio Spurs are showing solid value as only a 4-point road favorite over the Atlanta Hawks tonight. They have won 12 of their last 15 games overall and should have no problem making easy work of the struggling Hawks in this one.

Atlanta has lost seven of its last nine games overall coming into this one. That includes losses to Cleveland and Washington both by double-digits, which is a clear sign that there is something wrong with this team right now. They don't have what it takes to compete against a title contender like San Antonio from the West.

The Spurs have won 10 of their last 11 meetings with the Hawks while going 8-3 ATS in the process. All 10 wins came by 6 points or more. Dating back further, San Antonio is 22-7 SU & 20-8-1 ATS in its last 29 meetings with Atlanta.

San Antonio is 42-19-4 ATS in its last 65 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Atlanta is 6-18 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. The Spurs are 9-1 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Bet San Antonio Saturday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Virginia Tech -4

The Virginia Tech Hokies (10-6) have played an absolutely brutal schedule in their last six games. They finally put an end to a 4-game losing streak by going on the road and knocking off Georgia Tech 70-65 in overtime as a 10-point underdog.

I like the Hokies to pick up back-to-back wins Saturday while facing the lowly Wake Forest Demon Deacons (9-7). Virginia Tech is 7-2 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by 10.5 points/game. It has impressive home wins over both Oklahoma State and Iowa.

Wake Forest is just 2-5 on the road this season, getting outscored by 7.3 points/game. It has blowout road losses to both Duke (62-80) and Clemson (44-60) in conference play. I expect a third straight blowout road loss for the Demon Deacons in ACC action today.

The home team has won seven of the last nine meetings in this series. Virginia Tech has won eight of the last 10 meetings. The Hokies are 5-0 in their last 5 home meetings with Wake Forest dating back to 2006. Take Virginia Tech Saturday.

25* SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Arkansas +10.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks are showing their best value of the season as a double-digit underdog at Ole Miss Saturday. This is a team on the rise under second-year head coach Mike Anderson, and they are clearly underrated right now despite a solid 11-5 start.

I have no doubt that Ole Miss is one of the most overrated teams in the country after seeing them play several times this season. Ole Miss is off to a 14-2 start, but it is nowhere near as good as its record would indicate. It needed overtime to win at Vanderbilt last time out despite being a 9-point favorite.

This has been a very closely-contested rivalry in recent years. In fact, each of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2008 have been decided by 10 points or less. That makes for a perfect 10-0 system backing the Razorbacks pertaining to today's 10.5-point spread.

Ole Miss is 0-6 ATS in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Bet Arkansas Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Penn State -4

The Penn State Nittany Lions are very hungry for their first Big Ten victory of the season. They played Michigan State tough at home on Wednesday, and I look for them to get that elusive first conference win today.

They'll host the lowly Nebraska Cornhuskers, who I feel are the worst team in the Big Ten. They are just 2-5 on the road this season, scoring 57.9 points/game away from home. They are also winless in Big Ten play, which includes an 0-3 road record. They have lost all three of their conference road games by 10 points or more.

The home team one both meetings last season in Nebraska's inaugural Big Ten campaign. In fact, both were blowouts as the Huskers won 70-58 on January 11th, while the Nittany Lions had their revenge with a 67-51 triumph on February 11th.

Penn State is a perfect 6-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Take Penn State Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Harvard +11

The Harvard Crimson are one of the most underrated teams in the country under former Michigan head coach Tommy Amaker. This team is much better than its 9-5 record would indicate as it has had some very close losses to some very good teams.

In fact, four of Harvard's five losses this season have come by less than 11 points. That includes road losses to UMass (64-67) as an 11-point dog, UConn (49-57) as a 9-point dog, and St. Mary's (69-70) as a 12-point dog. They have also won at Boston College (79-63) as a 4-point dog and at California (67-62) as an 11-point dog.

Memphis really only has one very good win this season, which was an 85-80 win at Tennessee as a 2.5-point underdog. This team has lost to the three best teams it has faced in Louisville, Minnesota and VCU all by 9 points or more. The Tigers are clearly overvalued today as a double-digit favorite.

Harvard is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. It is winning in this spot by 14.8 points/game. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. The Crimson are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. These three trends combine for a 15-0 system backing the Crimson. Roll with Harvard Saturday.

20* Thunder/Mavs ESPN No-Brainer on UNDER 205.5

The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between Western Conference rivals Dallas and Oklahoma City. These teams are very familiar with one another after squaring off in the playoffs last year. Familiarity breeds low-scoring games.

A quick look at all meetings between these teams over the past two seasons and it's easy to see that this total has been inflated. Not counting overtime, each of the last eight meetings between the Mavs & Thunder have seen 201 or less combined points at the end of regulation. That's a perfect 8-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to tonight's total set.

This play falls into a system that is 36-13 (73.5%) to the UNDER over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet the UNDER on road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 105 points or more.

The UNDER is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The UNDER is 7-0 in the Mavs last 7 Friday games. Combine these two trends with the 8-0 one based on their recent head-to-head history, and we have a perfect 19-0 system backing the UNDER tonight. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Night Line Mistake on Washington Wizards +10

I have ridden the Washington Wizards with success in their last couple of games. They have won three of their last four with their only loss coming 94-95 at Sacramento as a 5-point underdog last time out. Their three wins came at home over the Thunder, Hawks, and Magic with two of the three coming by double-digits.

This is a completely different Washington team now with John Wall back in the line-up. His energy is contagious, and you can see it coming off in his teammates during this four-game stretch. He makes the job of everyone on offense easier, creating looks for open teammates.

It's no coincidence that the Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. They are once again undervalued as a 10-point dog to the Denver Nuggets tonight. Denver is a great home team, but it certainly has a tendency to play down to its competition.

The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Washington is 40-22 ATS off a close road loss of 3 points or less since 1996. The Wizards are 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season. Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Roll with the Wizards Friday.

15* Bulls/Celtics ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Boston -3

I have been riding the Boston Celtics with a lot of success lately. They have won six of their last seven games overall while going 5-2 ATS in the process. Off a loss last time out, the Celtics are once again undervalued as only a 3-point favorite over the Bulls tonight.

Chicago comes in overvalued after back-to-back wins, which included a 97-58 home victory over Atlanta. It needed overtime to win at Toronto last time out, and there's no question that it is the more tired team heading into this one.

The Bulls will be playing their 5th game in 8 days, while the Celtics will only be playing their 3rd game in 7 days. Boston does have some veteran on its team like Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce, so playing on good rest is very important for the Celtics.

The home team has won nine of the last 11 meetings in this series with all nine wins coming by 4 points or more. The Bulls are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Boston is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 vs. Eastern Conference foes. Take the Celtics Friday.

25* NBA on TNT TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Heat/Lakers UNDER 207

You can expect the defensive intensity to be at an all-time high when the Los Angeles Lakers and Miami Heat get together tonight. That has been the case in recent meetings when Kobe and company and Lebron and his teammates have gotten together.

The UNDER is 4-0 in the last four meetings in this series. All four games saw 185 or less combined points with an average of 179.8 points/game. As you can see, we are getting roughly 27 points of value in backing the UNDER based on their last four meetings.

Sure, the Lakers have a new system under Mike D'Antoni, but that's the biggest reason this total has been inflated. Since defensive stopper Dwight Howard has returned from injury, the UNDER is 2-0 in the Lakers' past two games with a 113-93 victory over Cleveland, and a 104-88 triumph over Milwaukee.

The Lakers know they cannot run with the more athletic Heat, so they certainly aren't going to turn this into a track meet. Look for the Lakers to control the tempo playing at home tonight in what will be a half-court game.

The UNDER is 6-1-1 in Lakers last 7 home games. The UNDER is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games overall. The UNDER is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. These five trends combine for a 22-1 system backing the UNDER. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* Pac-12 GAME OF THE NIGHT on Oregon State +15

The Oregon State Beavers are way undervalued heading into this showdown with UCLA tonight. They are coming off three straight losses to Oregon, Arizona State and Arizona all by 13 points or less. There's no question they'll be hungry for their first Pac-12 victory of the season tonight.

The UCLA Bruins are way overvalued heading into this one due to their current 9-game winning streak coming in. Each of their last six wins have come by 14 points or less, and with Oregon on deck Saturday, this is a huge letdown spot for the Bruins. They will clearly be looking ahead to their showdown with the Ducks this weekend.

Oregon State is a balanced team that features six different players scoring in double figures. They are without one of them in Angus Brandt, but they still have five averaging double digits, which is a rarity in college basketball.

Each of the last five meetings in this series have been decided by 10 points or less. The Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

This play falls into a system that is 32-9 (78%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on underdogs of 10 or more points (OREGON ST) - off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins. Take Oregon State Thursday.

15* Sun Belt GAME OF THE NIGHT on Louisiana-Monroe +12

The LA Monroe Warhawks are showing excellent value as a double-digit road underdog to the South Alabama Jaguars tonight. The Jaguars are certainly overvalued in this spot, and they have been for about a month now as they are just 3-5 ATS in their last 8 games.

Because LA Monroe is just 3-10 on the season, it is clearly undervalued. That is also evident by the fact that it is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall. Each of its last four losses have come by 9 points or less to MTSU, Troy, South Alabama, and UAB.

As you can see, they recently played South Alabama earlier this month on January 3rd, falling at home 72-77 as a 7-point underdog. That put the Warhawks in revenge mode as they will be facing the Jaguars twice within two weeks.

Six of South Alabama's eight wins this season came by 11 points or less, and the other two were against William Carey and Arkansas-Little Rock at home.

LA Monroe is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series dating back to 2009. All five games were decided by 7 points or less and by a COMBINED 19 points! Look for another closely-contested game with the Warhawks possibly pulling off the upset. Take Louisiana-Monroe Thursday.

15* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE NIGHT on Duquesne +10

The Duquesne Dukes should not be catching double-digits tonight at UMass. The Minutemen are clearly overvalued heading into this one due to winning eight of the last nine contests overall.

UMass has been extremely fortunate during this recent run as seven of its last eight wins have come by 9 points or less. In fact, the Minutemen are 11-4 this season, but only one of those eleven wins came by more than 9 points. That was a 75-61 home victory over Eastern Michigan as a 15-point favorite.

Duquesne is undervalued heading in due to its 7-9 start, which includes four straight losses all as underdogs. Remember, this is a team that beat West Virginia 60-56 as an 8-point dog, while also falling at Georgetown 55-61 as a 14-point dog earlier this season. This team is much better than its 7-9 record would indicate.

UMass was dealt a big blow when it lost second-leading scorer Jesse Morgan (13.4 PPG) to a season-ending ACL injury on January 10th in a 62-70 loss at Saint Louis. I look for the Minutemen to really struggle without him the rest of the way, and to not be so fortunate in these close games.

You have to go back to 2008 to find the last time that Duquesne lost to UMass by more than 9 points. The Dukes have won four of their last six meetings in this series.

UMass is 0-7 ATS off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite since 1997. The Minutemen are 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Roll with Duquesne Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Troy +7.5

The Troy Trojans are showing excellent value as an 8-point underdog to the Florida Atlantic Owls tonight. These are two very evenly-matched teams with Troy coming in at 7-10, and FAU sporting a 9-9 record. I look for the Trojans to give the Owls a run for their money, possibly pulling off the upset.

The biggest reason I'm backing Troy is that this team is clearly undervalued due to its 7-10 record. I have no doubt that the Trojans are better than their record would indicate. That's evident by the fact that six of their last seven losses have come by 7 points or less. They have simply been victim of bad luck in close games.

Troy has turned the corner with back-to-back wins over Arkansas-Little Rock and LA-Monroe heading into this one. Now, it wants revenge from a 54-61 home loss to FAU on December 27th. The Owls are coming off a big win at Western Kentucky last time out, setting them up for a huge letdown spot here against a team they have already beaten once this season.

Florida Atlantic is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. It is losing in this spot 67.0 to 71.3 on average. The Owls are 0-6 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. They are losing in this spot 66.1 to 69.0. Bet Troy Thursday.