15* Oregon/Arizona ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Oregon +13.5

Oregon (19-9) is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  The Ducks have a great opportunity to get in if they beat Arizona today.  They will be max motivated, and I trust head coach Dana Altman to come up with the right game plan to keep the Ducks competitive in this one Saturday.

Oregon was only a 3.5-point home underdog in its first meeting with Arizona in which the Wildcats shot 10-of-19 (52.6%) from 3-point range to win by 9.  Now the Ducks are 13.5-point dogs in the rematch, which is too big of an adjustment for home-court advantage.  The Wildcats will not shoot that well again.

Arizona is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after forcing 8 or fewer turnovers last game.  Altman is 50-36 ATS as a road underdog or PK as the coach of Oregon.  Bet Oregon Saturday.

20* Arkansas/Kentucky CBS No-Brainer on OVER 166

Kentucky is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Wildcats rank 17th in adjusted tempo and 6th in adjusted offense, plus this is one of John Calipari's worst defensive teams since he took over in Lexington.  Kentucky is 20-8 OVER in all games this season, including 13-3 OVER in its 16 home games where it is scoring 93.2 points per game on 53.3% shooting while also allowing 78.8 points per game at home.

Arkansas also likes to get out and run ranking 49th in adjusted tempo.  The Razorbacks are 7-1 OVER in their last eight games overall.  They won't mind getting out and running with the Wildcats today.

I think the first meeting between these teams with Kentucky and Arkansas both missing key players is keeping this total lower than it should be.  Kentucky won 63-57 for just 120 combined points.  But the pace was there and the shooting wasn't.  Arkansas shot 20-of-60 (33.3%) while Kentucky shot 23-of-63 (36.5%).  It's safe to say both teams will shoot a lot better in the rematch.

Kentucky is 9-0 OVER off two straight games committing 11 or fewer turnovers this season.  The Wildcats are 16-2 OVER after a combined score of 165 points or more this season.  Kentucky is 7-0 OVER in SEC home games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Big Ten Total DOMINATOR on Illinois/Wisconsin OVER 153.5

Illinois is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Fighting Illini rank 60th in adjusted tempo and 3rd in adjusted offense this season.  Brad Underwood has by far his best offensive team in his time at Illinois, but it's also his worst defensive team.  The Fighting Illini look to run every chance they get and nobody has been able to stop them.

Illinois is 8-0 OVER in its last eight games overall with 162 or more combined points in all eight games.  The OVER is 12-1 in their 13 games overall as well.  The books just haven't been able to set their totals high enough probably because of the perception of the Big Ten, and we're getting another good value on the OVER 153.5 points today.

Wisconsin has one of the best offenses of the Greg Gard era ranking 17th in the country in adjusted offense.  But the Badgers are also one of the worst defensive teams under Gard, which is a big reason they have lost six of their last eight games coming in while allowing 70 or more points in seven of those eight games.  The OVER is 11-4 in Wisconsin's 15 home games this season where they are scoring 78.2 points per game and shooting 49.9%.

Illinois is 11-0 OVER off a conference win this season.  Wisconsin is 8-1 OVER after playing a road game this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tulane +15.5

Florida Atlantic has been grossly overvalued in conference play this season after making the Final 4 last year.  The Owls join the American Athletic and are finding the sledding much tougher in a better conference.  They are just 4-11 ATS in conference games this season with just one win by more than 15 points, making for a 14-1 system working against them.  They should not be laying 15.5 points to Tulane today.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on Tulane after going 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  The Green Wave have kind of been going through the motions, but like everyone else in this conference, Florida Atlantic will get their attention after making the Final 4 last year.  Plus, the Green Wave want revenge from a 85-84 home loss to FAU as 7-point dogs in their first meeting this season, so they have already proven they can play with them.

Tulane has played 27 games this season and has just one loss by more than 14 points all season.  That makes for a 26-1 system backing the Green Wave pertaining to this 15.5-point spread.  Bet Tulane Saturday.

20* Villanova/Providence FOX No-Brainer on UNDER 136

Villanova is a dead nuts UNDER team.  The Wildcats rank 345th in adjusted tempo and 16th in adjusted defense.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Villanova's last seven games overall with 234 or fewer combined points in all seven games.  This total of 136 is too high for a game involving Villanova right now.

Providence is an elite defensive team as well ranking 20th in the country in adjusted defense.  The Friars are struggling to score right now without Bryce Hopkins (15.5 PPG).  Villanova is also possibly without two key players in TJ Bamba (10.5 PPG) and Jordan Longino (6.6 PPG), who are both questionable.  The Wildcats struggle to score as it is even with these guys in the lineup.

Villanova beat Providence 68-50 for just 118 combined points in their first meeting this season on February 4th.  It will be a similar defensive struggle in the rematch today as familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.

Villanova is 9-1 UNDER vs. poor pressure teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Bucks/Bulls ESPN No-Brainer on UNDER 221.5

Doc Rivers has delivered his promise to play better defense in a big way since taking over as the Milwaukee Bucks' interim head coach.  The Bucks are 12-1-1 UNDER in their last 14 games overall.  They have gone for 223 or fewer combined points with their opponents in eight consecutive games, including 220 or fewer in seven of them.  

The Bucks rank 3rd in the NBA in defensive rating in their last 15 games.  They have played at a much slower pace to try and keep their key players fresher as well.  Now they take on a Chicago Bulls team that doesn't like to run at all.  The Bulls rank 29th in the NBA in pace this season.

Chicago is 3-2 UNDER in its last five games overall and would be 4-1 if not going to double-OT against the Cavaliers last time out.  The Bulls have gone for 220 or fewer combined points at the end of regulation in four of their last five games.

Chicago is 10-1 UNDER in its last 11 games off two consecutive division games.  The Bucks are 7-0 UNDER in their last seven games vs. a team with a losing record.  Milwaukee is 12-1 UNDER in its last 13 games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 46% shooting or higher.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* Dayton/Loyola-Chicago ESPN 2 ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 137

Dayton and Loyola-Chicago are tied for 2nd place in the Atlantic 10 at 12-3 this season just one game behind Richmond.  There is a lot at stake for both teams tonight, and I expect this game to be played close to the vest, which is going to lead to a defensive battle as a result.

Dayton ranks 349th in adjusted tempo out of 362 teams in the entire country.  The Flyers are once again a great defensive team this season ranking 61st in adjusted defense.  They face a Loyola-Chicago team that is just 183rd in adjusted offense but 38th in adjusted defense and hang their hats on that end.

These teams met last year at Loyola-Chicago with a 65-49 win for Dayton and just 114 combined points.  The Ramblers are 10-4-1 UNDER in all home games this season where they are allowing just 61.1 points per game and 35.4% shooting.  Eight of Loyola-Chicago's last nine home games have seen 139 or fewer combined points.  Seven of Dayton's last eight road games have seen 138 or fewer combined points.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Pacers/Pelicans OVER 238

The Indiana Pacers are fully healthy right now and an elite offensive team when that's the case.  They face another fully healthy New Orleans Pelicans team tonight that is also an elite offensive team when that's the case.  This one has shootout written all over it.

These teams just met on Wednesday with the Pacers winning 123-114 at home for 237 combined points.  But that was a bad spot for the Pelicans playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, so they were tired and did not shoot it particularly well in a game that was played at a break-neck pace.  Both teams will be fresh after having yesterday off and will shoot it better in the rematch tonight that should also be played at a break-neck pace again.

New Orleans is 11-2 OVER in its last 13 home games off an ATS loss.  Any total below 240 in a game involving the Pacers who rank 2nd in pace and 2nd in offensive rating this season is rare.  We'll take advantage and back the OVER.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Mavs/Celtics ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 237.5

The Dallas Mavericks are a dead nuts OVER team when Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic are on the court at the same time.  They rank 8th in pace and 6th in offensive rating this season, but those numbers are even better with these two on the court.  They have been for their last four games and have combined for 251, 240, 244 and 236 points with their opponents in their first four games back from the All-Star Break.

Now the Mavericks face a Boston Celtics team that ranks 1st in offensive rating this season and is the best offensive team in the game when fully healthy, which is the case right now.  This one has shootout written all over it between these two elite offensive teams.

Dallas is a perfect 8-0 OVER in road games when revenging a home loss this season.  Boston is 8-1 OVER in its last nine games after getting outrebounded by 15 or more boards last game.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +9.5

The Detroit Pistons have quietly gone 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall and continue to show up every night.  They followed up their tough 113-111 loss at New York as 11.5-point dogs with a 105-95 upset as 10.5-point dogs at Chicago on the 2nd of a back-to-back.  Now the Pistons have had the last two days off and are fresh and ready to give the Cleveland Cavaliers a run for their money.

Cleveland has been grossly overvalued of late going 3-4 SU & 0-7 ATS in its last seven games overall.  Donovan Mitchell is questionable to play tonight with a knee injury and is unlikely to go.  This is a tired Cavaliers team that will be playing their 6th game in 9 days.  Asking them to go on the road and win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.

Detroit will be playing with triple revenge this season losing the first three meetings to the Cavaliers by 7, 9 and 8 points.  The Pistons don't want to get swept, and if they do a 9-point loss or less works for us.

The Pistons are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days.  The Pistons are 18-9 ATS when revenging a same-season loss this season.  Bet the Pistons Friday.

20* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Hornets/76ers UNDER 214.5

The Charlotte Hornets are a dead nuts UNDER team right now.  Charlotte is 7-0 UNDER in its last seven games overall with 222 or fewer combined points in nine consecutive games, including 213 or fewer in six of those.  The Hornets have allowed an average of 103.1 points per game in their last eight games, and they have scored an average of just 90.3 points per game in their last four, which is atrocious in today's NBA.

The Philadelphia 76ers have really been struggling offensively without Joel Embiid (35.3 PPG).  They have scored 104 or fewer points in five consecutive games and an average of 100.2 points per game during this stretch.  Now they just lost another key scorer in De'Anthony Melton (11.5 PPG) to injury.  Points will be hard to come by for both teams tonight.

Charlotte is 32-11 UNDER in the second half of the season over the last two seasons.  The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings with 217 or fewer combined points in four of the five, and 208 or fewer in three of them.  They combined for 186 points in their most recent meeting this season in January 20th.  It will be more of the same tonight.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Quinnipiac/Iona OVER 150.5

Quinnipiac is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Bobcats rank 18th in the country in adjusted tempo.  They score 78.4 points per game this season.  But they have quit playing defense during their current four-game losing streak which has seen them allow 80-plus points in four consecutive games.  The OVER is 4-1 in the last five games with 157 or more combined points in four of the five.

Iona also prefers to play up-tempo ranking 153rd in adjusted tempo while pressing the entire game.  We saw what happened when these two teams got together on January 21st in their first meeting this season and it was an absolute shootout.  Quinnipiac won 91-87 for 178 combined points.  We have 27.5 points to spare here in the rematch in what should be another track meet.

Iona is 10-2 OVER in its last 12 games off an upset loss as a favorite.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Gonzaga/San Francisco ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on San Francisco +3.5

Both Gonzaga and San Francisco are on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  But Gonzaga looks more in than San Francisco right now, which means the Don need this game more.  The Bulldogs have a huge game on deck against St. Mary's on Saturday, and a win there would likely get them in the Big Dance.  They could be caught looking ahead to that game.

This is the best chance for the Dons to get a signature win, so they will be 'all in' to get it tonight.  Plus, they want revenge from a 77-72 road loss at Gonzaga in their first meeting this season.  The Bulldogs shot 20 more free throws than they did, and that was the difference.  I think they will get the benefit of the whistle at home this time around.

Nobody in the WCC has played Gonzaga and St. Mary's tougher than San Francisco has.  The Dons also lost by just 4 at St. Mary's two games ago.  It's time for them to get rewarded for their efforts tonight.  They are 14-1 SU at home this season.

The Dons are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 points or more.  San Francisco is 7-1 ATS off a blowout win by 20 points or more this season.  Bet San Francisco Thursday.

20* Wizards/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Washington +9.5

The Los Angeles Lakers are in a brutal spot tonight.  They came back from 21 points down in the 4th quarter to beat their hated rivals in the Los Angeles Clippers last night.  It was the largest comeback of LeBron James' career in the 4th quarter, and he was the catalyst.

Now the Lakers are a very tired team with James questionable to play tonight in the 2nd of a back-to-back.  He played 37 minutes, Anthony Davis 36, Russell 34 and Reaves 36 last night.  They aren't a very deep team right now due to missing Wood, Vincent and Vanderbilt as well.

The Wizards will relish this opportunity to try and knock off the Lakers on the road.  They have played their best basketball on the road this season going 19-10-1 ATS in road games.  They had yesterday off and took both the Cavaliers and Warriors to the wire in their last two games, so they have been competitive and have not quit.

The Lakers are 1-10 ATS off a road win this season.  Washington is 11-2 ATS in road games after going under the total in its previous game this season.  The Wizards are a perfect 11-0 ATS in road games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 116 or more points per game this season.  Bet the Wizards Thursday.

20* Heat/Nuggets TNT No-Brainer on Miami +5

The Miami Heat want revenge after losing 4-1 in the NBA Finals to the Denver Nuggets last season.  This is their first chance at revenge in the 2023-24 season, and I expect them to take advantage now that they are playing their best basketball of the season, plus the fact that they have the rest advantage.

The Heat are 9-2 SU & 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall with their lone losses coming by 4 to Boston and by 8 to the Clippers.  They are 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six road games including upset wins at Milwaukee by 26 as 8-point dogs, at Philadelphia by 5 as 3-point dogs, at New Orleans by 11 as 3-point dogs and at Sacramento by 11 as 7.5-point dogs.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Nuggets, who are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games against a very weak schedule.  Their lone impressive win was at Golden State, but they also beat Washington and Portland and Sacramento without De'Aaron Fox.  The Nuggets needed a comeback win last night against the Kings, and Jamal Murray is questionable to play tonight after scoring 32 points on 13-of-15 shooting.  I'll gladly fade the Nuggets playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight.  Bet the Heat Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Santa Clara -9.5

Santa Clara has been one of the most underrated teams in the country since getting into conference play.  The Broncos played a very difficult non-conference schedule which prepared them for this.  They beat the likes of Oregon, Stanford and Washington State in the non-conference.

The Broncos have since gone 11-2-1 ATS in WCC play this season.  That includes their 101-86 home win over the Portland Pilots.  This despite the Pilots shooting 14-of-28 (50%) from 3-point range while also shooting 17 more FT than the Broncos, yet they still lost by 15.  They are due some shooting regression in the rematch, and another blowout victory in the Broncos' favor is in store.

Portland is just 3-15 SU in its last 18 games overall with 12 losses by double-digits.  The three wins came against Pacific (twice) and Pepperdine by 4.  Pacific is the worst team in the conference.  Portland is one of the worst rebounding teams in the country and they will be up against one of the best rebounding teams in the country in Santa Clara, which is something they cannot fix.  Santa Clara outrebounded Portland 39-24 in the first meeting.

Santa Clara is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games vs. teams that are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game.  Portland is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games vs. dominant rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by 7-plus boards per game.  Bet Santa Clara Thursday.

15* NBA Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Thunder/Spurs OVER 236

The OVER is 7-2-1 in Thunder last 10 games overall with 236 or more combined points in seven of their last nine games.  They have combined for 232 or more points with nine of their last 10 opponents.  They rank 3rd in offensive rating this season.

The San Antonio Spurs are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th in pace and 24th in defensive rating this season.  The Spurs and their opponents have combined for 237 or more points in three of their last four games coming out of the All-Star Break.  The lone exception was against the Timberwolves, who are a dead nuts UNDER team being the best defensive team in the NBA.

These teams met earlier this year with the Thunder winning 140-114 on January 24th for 254 combined points.  It will be more of the same in the rematch tonight.

San Antonio is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 home games off three or more consecutive road games.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Warriors/Knicks TNT ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 223

The New York Knicks are a dead nuts UNDER team.  They rank dead last (30th) in pace and 11th in defensive rating this season.  They are missing Julius Randle and OG Anunoby, plus Jalen Brunson is questionable with a neck injury to really hamper them offensively right now.  They have scored 113 or fewer points in seven consecutive games, including 92 against the Pelicans without Brunson last time out.

The Golden State Warriors are playing much better defensively since getting Draymond Green back from suspension.  The Warriors are 11-3 UNDER in their last 14 games overall.  They have allowed 112 or fewer points in 10 of those 14 games.  They are without Andrew Wiggins right now which hurts them offensively.  The UNDER is 19-11 in New York's 30 home games this season, which are averaging 220.3 combined points.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Bucks/Hornets UNDER 218.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  This will be the 3rd meeting between the Bucks and Hornets in two weeks.  The first two stayed well UNDER their totals with 204 and 208 combined points, and it will be more of the same in the 3rd meeting tonight.

Both the Hornets and Bucks are dead nuts UNDER teams right now.  The Hornets have allowed an average of 102 points per game in their last seven games, which is unheard of in today's NBA.  Doc Rivers has delivered his promise to play better defense in a big way since taking over as the Bucks interim head coach.

The Bucks are 11-1-1 UNDER in their last 13 games overall.  They have gone for 223 or fewer combined points with their opponents in seven consecutive games, including 220 or fewer in six of them.  Charlotte is 6-0 UNDER in its last six games overall with 222 or fewer combined points in eight consecutive games.

Charlotte is 10-1 UNDER in its last 11 games when playing 5 or fewer games in 14 days.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota/Illinois OVER 154.5

The Illinois Fighting Illini are a dead nuts OVER team.  The OVER is 7-0 in their last seven games overall with 162 or more combined points in all seven games.  The OVER is 11-1 in their 12 games overall as well.  The Fighting Illini rank 57th in adjusted tempo and 4th in adjusted offense this season while also looking to get out in the fast break.

Illinois will control the tempo playing at home tonight in what I expect to be an up and down game.  Minnesota has really lit it up offensively in recent games scoring 81 or more points in three of its last five games, and 75 points or more in six of its last eight games.  If the Golden Gophers get to 75 points tonight this game is going to sail OVER because Illinois is getting 80-plus.  They have scored 80-plus in 10 of their last 11 games.

Illinois is 10-0 OVER off a conference win this season.  The Fighting Illini are 9-0 OVER in their last nine games vs. teams that attempt 21 or more 3-pointers per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Alabama/Ole Miss ESPN 2 No-Brainer on OVER 166

Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Crimson Tide rank 1st in adjusted offense and 12th in adjusted tempo in the entire country.  They have scored 81 or more points in eight consecutive games, including 95 or more in six of those eight.  

Nate Oats has one of the worst defensive teams he has ever had at Alabama this season as well allowing 92 or more points in four of their last five games.  The OVER is 6-0 in Alabama's last six games overall with 166 or more combined points in all six games.

Now the Crimson Tide face an Ole Miss team that boasts one of the best trios of guards in the entire country.  The Rebels rank 41st in adjusted offense and 18th in 3-point percentage at 37.7%.  Their guards will get whatever they want against Alabama's defense.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Seton Hall/Creighton FS1 No-Brainer on Seton Hall +8.5

Seton Hall is making its move to make the NCAA Tournament.  The Pirates have gotten healthy and have gone 5-1 SU in their last six games overall with their lone loss coming on the road at Villanova.  They beat Xavier by 18 at home three games ago, upset St. John's 68-62 on the road two games ago and crushed Butler by 12 at home last time out.

Now the Pirates want revenge from a 97-94 (3 OT) home loss to Creighton.  I love the value we are getting on them catching 8.5 points in the rematch.  They have a huge rest advantage here playing just their 2nd game in 10 days while having the last three days off, while Creighton has only had two days off since their 80-66 road loss at St. John's on Sunday with travel involved as well.  I think the Bluejays remain overvalued after upsetting UConn at home two games ago.

Creighton is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season.  Seton Hall is 6-0 ATS in its last six road games after two straight games with two or fewer assists.  The Pirates are on a mission tonight and I wouldn't be surprised to see them pull the outright upset.  Bet Seton Hall Wednesday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Southern Illinois +8.5

Southern Illinois has just one loss by more than 4 points in its last 12 games.  The Salukis should not be catching 8.5 points to Bradley tonight.  They will be out for revenge from a 1-point home loss to Bradley in their first meeting this season.  I love playing revenge-minded road underdogs who lost a close game to their opponent in their first meeting.

Bradley is just 3-3 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.  The Braves only won by 3 as 12.5-point home favorites over Illinois State last time out.  They also lost at home to Drake outright, so they have been vulnerable at home.  Southern Illinois is 7-2 ATS in its last nine true road games and has played its best basketball on the highway.

Each of the last 10 meetings between Bradley and Southern Illinois have been decided by 10 points or less, including eight by 8 points or fewer.  The Salukis trail the Braves by one game for third place in the MVC and are trying to hang on to a top 4 seed leading two teams by one game or less for that spot to add to their motivation.  Bet Southern Illinois Wednesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma/Iowa State UNDER 137

Two of the best defensive teams not only in the Big 12 but in the entire country square off tonight when Oklahoma visits Iowa State.  The Cyclones rank 3rd in adjusted defense while the Sooners rank 24th.  Both offenses are known for going on long scoring droughts as well.

Each of the last four meetings between Iowa State and Oklahoma have seen 134 or fewer combined points with 134, 111, 123 and 129 combined points, respectively.  That includes their 134-point effort in their first meeting this season, and familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  That game even became a foul fest late as Iowa State was trying to come back in a 71-63 defeat.

Oklahoma is 8-2 UNDER vs. good ball handling teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Iowa State is 23-11 UNDER in its last 34 games vs. a good teams that wins 60-80% of its games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Raptors +3

The Toronto Raptors have quietly gone 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with their lone loss coming by 2 to Indiana going into the break.  They have come out of the break on fire with a 28-point win over Brooklyn as 1-point home favorites, a 2-point win at Atlanta as 8-point dogs and an 8-point win at Indiana as 5.5-point dogs.

The Raptors are still very much alive for the play-in in the Eastern Conference trailing the reeling Hawks and Bulls.  They are playing with a fire under their belly to try and make it.  The Raptors have a big rest advantage over the Dallas Mavericks tonight.  This will be just the 2nd game in 5 days for the Raptors, who are fully healthy right now.

Dallas will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and its 3rd road game in 4 days.  The Mavericks will have to try and get back up off the mat after losing on a half court buzzer-beater to the Cleveland Cavaliers last night.  Luke Doncis played 41 minutes and had 45 points, 14 assists and 9 rebounds while Kyrie Irving played 39 minutes and scored 30 points, and it still wasn't enough.  I question how much these two and the Mavericks have left in the tank tonight.

Toronto is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 home games off two consecutive road games.  Dallas is 16-30 ATS in its last 46 non-conference games.  Toronto has pulled the outright upset in each of its last two meetings with Dallas, including on the road earlier this season.  Bet the Raptors Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Providence +11.5

The Providence Friars (18-9) are coming up clutch here down the stretch while squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  They have gone 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with upset wins over Creighton at home and Xavier on the road.  Their lone loss came by 3 points at Butler.

The Friars can pretty much seal their spot in the Big Dance with an upset road win at Marquette tonight, and they will be max motivated to do just that.  They already beat Marquette 72-57 as 4-point home dogs in their first meeting this season, so they clearly have this team figured out.

Providence also has a big rest advantage having six days off in between games to rest and prepare for the Golden Eagles.  Meanwhile, Marquette just beat Xavier on Sunday and will only have two days to get ready.  The Golden Eagles should not be this heavily favored given the rest disrepancy.

Providence is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six road games when playing with five or six days' rest.  The Friars are 7-1 ATS in Big East road games this season.  Providence is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games vs. good shooting teams that make 48% or better.  Bet Providence Wednesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Notre Dame +6.5

This is a terrible spot for Wake Forest.  The Demon Deacons are in a massive letdown spot off their 83-79 'upset' home win over a Top 10 Duke Blue Devils team that led to a court storming.  It followed up their blowout home win over Pitt.  The Demon Deacons won't be nearly as motivated to beat lowly Notre Dame tonight.

Wake Forest has been vulnerable on the road this season going 3-9 SU & 4-8 ATS in 12 games played away from home.  Notre Dame is 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four games overall and improving as the season goes on under first-year head coach Micah Shrewsberry.  They beat Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech at home, upset Louisville by 22 on the road and only lost by 3 as 7.5-point dogs at Syracuse.

The home team is 5-1 SU in the last six meetings between Notre Dame and Wake Forest.  The Fighting Irish are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after allowing 85 points or more.  This is a dangerous, sleepy spot for the Demon Deacons.  Bet Notre Dame Tuesday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Hornets/Bucks UNDER 221.5

Both the Hornets and Bucks are dead nuts UNDER teams right now.  The Hornets have allowed an average of 98.5 points per game in their last six games, which is unheard of in today's NBA.  Doc Rivers has delivered his promise to play better defense in a big way since taking over as the Bucks interim head coach.

The Bucks are 10-1-1 UNDER in their last 12 games overall.  They have gone for 223 or fewer combined points with their opponents in six consecutive games, including 220 or fewer in five of them.  Charlotte is 5-0 UNDER in its last five games overall with 222 or fewer combined points in seven consecutive games.

The Hornets and Bucks played earlier this month and combined for just 204 points.  It will be more of the same in the rematch with how these teams are playing currently.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Charlotte Hornets +14.5

The Charlotte Hornets are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  Their only non-cover came on the 2nd of a back-to-back on the road to the Warriors by 13 as 12.5-point dogs.  The Warriors got a layup in the final seconds to cover when they could have ran out the shot clock.

The point is the Hornets are a team that keeps fighting.  They have won all five of those games outright as underdogs beating Memphis 115-106 as 5-point dogs, Indiana 111-102 as 10-point dogs, Atlanta 122-109 as 7-point dogs, Utah 115-107 as 10-point dogs and Portland 93-80 as 3.5-point dogs.

It's a good time to 'sell high' on the Milwaukee Bucks.  They are coming off two consecutive huge road wins over the Timberwolves and 76ers.  They won't be nearly as motivated to beat the Hornets, who they just blew out at home in early February.  But this is a different Hornets team now, and they will be the more motivated team for revenge.  Getting 14.5 points here is too much.

Charlotte is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 road games after allowing 105 points or fewer last game.  The Hornets are playing elite defense right now holding their last six opponents to an average of 98.5 points per game, which is unheard of in today's NBA.  Bet the Hornets Tuesday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New Orleans Pelicans -2.5

I love the spot for the New Orleans Pelicans tonight.  They are coming off two consecutive upset home losses to the Heat and Bulls.  But they have played their best basketball on the road this season, and they will be happy to get to play at Madison Square Garden tonight.

The Pelicans are 15-4 SU & 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games.  They have a big rest advantage tonight after having yesterday off.  Meanwhile, the Knicks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after needing a basket in the final seconds to beat the Pistons 113-111 as 11.5-point home favorites on Monday.

The Knicks have been struggling lately due to all the injuries that have mounted up.  The Knicks are 3-6 SU & 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They are without three of their best players in Randle, Anunoby and Robinson.  Josh Hart played 42 minutes, Jalen Brunson 40 and Dante ViVincenzo 32 last night.  The Knicks won't have much left in the tank for the Pelicans tonight.  Bet the Pelicans Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Pelicans/Knicks UNDER 218.5

Two of the best defensive teams in the NBA square off tonight when the New Orleans Pelicans visit the New York Knicks.  The Pelicans rank 6th in defensive rating this season while the Knicks rank 9th.  The Knicks rank dead last (30th) in pace this season, and will control the tempo playing at home.

The Knicks and their opponents have combined for 118 or fewer points in four of their last five games overall.  They are struggling offensively right now scoring 113 points or fewer in nine of their last 10 games overall.  They are struggling because they are short-handed without Julius Randle and OG Anunoby right now.

The Pelicans also have injury concerns of their own with both Zion Williamson and CJ McCollum questionable, plus Jose Alvarado out due to suspension.  The UNDER is 8-4 in Pelicans last 12 games overall.  The Pelicans beat the Knicks 96-87 in their first meeting this season that saw just 183 combined points.  It should be more of the same in the rematch.

New York is 8-0 UNDER in its last eight home games vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 3-plus points pre game in the 2nd half of the season.  The Knicks are 8-1 UNDER in  home games when revenging a road loss this season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Hawks PK

It's addition by subtraction for the Atlanta Hawks.  They have actually been better without Trae Young than with him this season.  They proved it again last time out with a 109-92 home win over the Orlando Magic last time out.  They are certainly much better defensively without Young, and Dejounte Murray plays better when he is running the offense rather than playing off the ball.

The Utah Jazz are a mess right now going 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall with their lone win coming at home over the lowly San Antonio Spurs.  They lost by 8 as 10-point favorites to the Hornets, by 3 to the Warriors who were playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, by 16 at home to the Lakers, by 22 at home to the Warriors and by 14 at Phoenix.  They are all but eliminated from playoff contention because they would have to chase down the Warriors or Lakers for the final two play-in spots, which they know isn't happening.

The Jazz are 9-20 SU & 13-16 ATS on the road this season where they are getting outscored by 10.0 points pre game.  Atlanta is trying to fend off two teams for the final play-in spot in the East.  Bet the Hawks Tuesday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on Loyola-Chicago +3.5

Loyola-Chicago sits at 20-7 this season and 12-2 SU & 11-3 ATS in Atlantic 10 play and tied for first place in the conference with a lot to play for the rest of the way.  There's a shot they could earn an at-large berth into the NCAA Tournament with a big finish.

The Ramblers are 10-1 SU & 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall with their lone loss coming on the road by 7 at VCU.  The spot really favors them because they are rested and ready to go tonight playing just their 2nd game 9 days and coming off an 80-59 home win over George Mason that took very little out of them.

St. Bonaventure will be playing in its 3rd different city in 7 days after a 13-point road loss at La Salle on Wednesday followed up an upset road win at UMass on Saturday that is giving the Bonnies more respect than they deserve tonight.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Loyola-Chicago Tuesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Wisconsin -4

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Wisconsin Badgers after going 2-5 SU & 0-7 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They went through a gauntlet during that stretch with little rest and some very tough opponents.

But the Badgers finally got the rest they needed as they have had the last six days off.  Now they get to face arguably the worst team in the Big Ten in the Indiana Hoosiers, who are 2-8 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  The last four games have been very concerning losing by 20 at Purdue, by 4 at home to Northwestern, by 15 at home to Nebraska and by 9 at Penn State.

The Hoosiers are dangerously close to quitting on head coach Mike Woodson, and they are a banged up team that just isn't very deep.  This is a tough spot for the Hoosiers playing their 4th game in 10 days to really test that fatigue.

Wisconsin is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 road games after losing five or six of its last seven games.  Bet Wisconsin Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Pittsburgh +7.5

The Pittsburgh Panthers are squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament and could use a big road win over Clemson tonight.  The Panthers are on the bubble despite going 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall with some tremendous road wins during this stretch.  They upset Duke, NC State and Virginia on the road.

Now the Panthers have their sights set on revenge from a 79-70 home loss to Clemson as 1.5-point favorites in their first meeting this season.  I think it's a great time to 'sell high' on the Tigers after going 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall, including two blowout wins at Georgia Tech and at home against Florida State, which are two of the worst teams in the conference.  They lost outright to NC State at home the game prior as similar 8-point favorites.

Clemson is just 2-6 ATS in ACC home games this season.  The Tigers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games after making 78% of their free throws or better last game.  Pitt is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when revenging a home loss.  The Panthers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points.  Bet Pittsburgh Tuesday.

15* Baylor/TCU ESPN ANNIHILATOR on TCU -2

TCU is playing as well as anyone in the Big 12 right now.  The Horned Frogs are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with their lone loss coming by a single point as 5.5-point road dogs at Texas Tech.  They crushed West Virginia by 16 and Cincinnati by 18 at home and upset Kansas State on the road as well.

Now the Horned Frogs get to stay at home following that 18-point win over Cincinnati on Saturday.  They will still be fresh and ready to go tonight.  The same cannot be said for Baylor, which is in one of the worst spots of the season.

Baylor is coming off an 82-76 (OT) home loss to Houston.  The Bears had a chance to win it with a FT with 4 seconds left in regulation and missed.  I don't know how they are going to be able to get back up off the mat after that defeat, which followed up two road games at West Virginia and at BYU with a lot of travel involved.  The Bears will now be playing in their 4th different city in 10 days.  And they must face a TCU team that likes to push the tempo and will test their tired legs and minds.

TCU beat Baylor 105-102 (3 OT) on the road in their first meeting this season.  Baylor is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games when revenging a loss as a favorite.  The Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games after five straight games forcing 14 or fewer turnovers.  TCU is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games after four straight games committing 14 or fewer turnovers.  Bet TCU Monday.

20* Big 12 TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Baylor/TCU OVER 147.5

TCU is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 66th in adjusted tempo and 26th in adjusted offense.  The Horned Frogs are always looking to get out rand run and get easy buckets in transition.  They face a Baylor team that is elite on the offensive end ranking 5th in adjusted offense but one that among the worst in the Big 12 defensively.

TCU is scoring 83.0 points per game at home this season while Baylor is scoring 82.3 points per game overall.  These teams met on January 27th at Baylor with a 105-102 (3 OT) win for TCU being the result.  That game was tied 76-76 at the end of regulation for 152 combined points, so it still went OVER the 148.5-point total in regulation.  And now we are getting an even better number of 147.5 for the rematch.

Baylor is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 games off two consecutive games with five or fewer steals.  The Bears are 8-1 OVER in their last nine road games vs. teams who average 9 or more steals per game.  TCU Is 7-1 OVER vs. good free throw shooting teams that make 72% or better this season.  The Horned Frogs are 8-2 OVER vs. good offensive teams averaging 77 or more points per game this season.  This one has shootout written all over it.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Memphis Grizzlies +2.5

Finding teams like the Memphis Grizzlies who are out of playoff contention but continue to show up and fight every night is one key to winning in the NBA late in the season.  The Grizzlies are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games overall.  They are 4-0 ATS in their last four games taking both New Orleans and the Clippers to the wire in two losses, while also upsetting both Houston and Milwaukee.

Finding teams like the Brooklyn Nets who seem to care less about winning games and fading them is also one key to winning in the NBA late in the season.  The Nets are 8-25 SU & 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 games overall.  Their last three games were very concerning.  They lost by 50 at Boston, by 28 at Toronto and by 15 at Minnesota.  They aren't even trying right now, and they should not be favored over the Grizzlies, who at least get after it defensively ranking 10th in the NBA in defensive rating.

Memphis is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games off three or more consecutive home games.  Brooklyn is 1-10 ATS in road games after losing six or seven of its last eight games this season.  The Nets are 2-14 ATS in road games vs. teams who shoot 24 or fewer free throws per game.  The Grizzlies are 11-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. teams that shoot 21 or fewer free throws per game in the 2nd half of the season.  Bet the Grizzlies Monday.

15* Kings/Clippers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 239

The Sacramento Kings are a dead nuts OVER team.  The Kings are 7-1-1 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 238 or more combined points in eight of those nine games.  The OVER is 3-1 in their last four meetings with the Clippers with 248, 255 and 351 combined points in the three OVERS.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Charlotte Hornets +3.5

The Charlotte Hornets are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  Their only non-cover came on the 2nd of a back-to-back on the road to the Warriors by 13 as 12.5-point dogs.  The Warriors got a layup in the final seconds to cover when they could have ran out the shot clock.

The point is the Hornets are a team that keeps fighting.  They have won all four of those games outright as underdogs beating Memphis 115-106 as 5-point dogs, Indiana 111-102 as 10-point dogs, Atlanta 122-109 as 7-point dogs and Utah 115-107 as 10-point dogs.

Now the Hornets take on a hapless Portland Trail Blazers that has no business being favored over them in their current state.  The Blazers are 0-7 SU in their last seven games overall losing all seven games by 6 points or more, and six by 9 points or more.  They are without Malcolm Brogdon, Scoot Henderson and Shaedon Sharpe right now and struggling to score without these guys.  They have scored 112 or fewer points in six of their last seven games with the lone exception being 122 against the Pistons in OT.

Portland is 1-9 ATS in home games when playing 6 or fewer games in 14 days this season.  Charlotte is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 road games after allowing 105 points or less.  The Hornets are only allowing 102.2 points per game in their last five games and are getting after it defensively.  Bet the Hornets Sunday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Spurs/Jazz OVER 241

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 10th in pace and 25th in defensive rating.  The Jazz have allowed at least 129 points in four of their last five games overall.  They face another dead nuts OVER team tonight in the San Antonio Spurs, who rank 4th in pace and 24th in defensive rating.

The Jazz and Spurs met once earlier this season with the Jazz winning 130-118 for 248 combined points.  They also combined for 245 points in their final meeting last season.  This total of 241 is too short for this game tonight.

Plays on the OVER on home teams where the total is 200 or higher (Utah) - after getting beating by the spread by 54 or more points total in their last 10 games, a marginal losing team (40-49%) playing a losing team are 26-8 (76.5%) over the last five seasons.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

25* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Golden State Warriors +1

The Golden State Warriors are motivated to make the playoffs.  They are playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now.  They have gone 8-1 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall with their only loss coming to the Clippers.  The Clippers rallied from a double-digit deficit in the 4th quarter after Tyron Lue was ejected and they couldn't miss from 3 down the stretch.

The Warriors also want some revenge on the defending champion Denver Nuggets.  They are 0-3 SU against the Nuggets this season losing by 3, 3 and 6 points.  They have been close, but they haven't been able to get over the hump.  Now I fully expect them to get over the hump and avoid the season sweep.

The Nuggets have two starters questionable to play in this one in Jamaal Murray and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope.  This isn't a very deep team as it is, so missing one or both would be big.  But I like the Warriors to get the job done either way.

Golden State is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 home games off two consecutive covers as a favorite.  Plays against favorites (Denver) - after scoring 120 points or more against an opponent that is coming off a game with a combined score of 185 points or less are 29-9 (76.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Warriors Sunday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota +7

Minnesota is the most underrated team in the country.  The Gophers have gone 17-9 SU & 23-3 ATS and are still on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  They could use a big road win over Nebraska, and at the very least I expect them to stay within 7 points.

You're paying a tax to back the Huskers at home now since they are perfect both SU and ATS at home in Big Ten play this season.  But Minnesota has been no pushover on the road.  They have gone 9-0 ATS in their last nine games overall including 4-0 ATS in their last four Big Ten road games not once losing by more than 10 points.  

They only lost by as as 16.5-point road dogs at Purdue, upset Penn State and nearly upset Iowa.  The Gophers will give the Huskers a run for their money in a game that should come down to the final possession.  Bet Minnesota Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Cavs/Wizards OVER 232.5

The Washington Wizards are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 1st in pace and 28th in defensive rating.  They have allowed 147, 130 and 133 points in their last three games overall coming into this one.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played their first two games out of the break without MVP candidate Donovan Mitchell due to illness.  But they get back Mitchell tonight and should hang a big number on the Wizards.  They have scored 114 points or more in six of their previous seven games with Mitchell in the lineup.  He has scored 27 or more points in six of his last seven games as well.

Washington is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 games off four or more consecutive road games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Creighton/St. John's CBS No-Brainer on St. John's +2.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the St. John's Red Storm.  They have gone just 3-8 SU in their last 11 games overall and have failed to cover the spread in four consecutive games.  Head coach Rick Pitino called out his team and it was a bad look, which is giving us the opportunity to 'buy low'.

But the Red Storm responded well to Pitino last game jumping out to a huge lead against Georgetown and coasting home for the victory.  Now the Red Storm want revenge from a 66-65 loss at Creighton as 6-point dogs on January 13th.  Now they are 2.5-point home dogs in the rematch, and the books haven't adjusted enough for flipping home courts as St. John's should be favored.

While the Red Storm need this game like blood and will be max motivated, this is a massive letdown spot for Creighton.  They are coming off their biggest win of the season where everything went right for them in knocking of No. 1 UConn at home.  They are also 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, so we are 'selling high' on the Bluejays here.

St. John's is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games after failing to cover the spread in eight or more of its last 10 games.  Rick Pitino is a perfect 9-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in eight or more of his last 10 games as a head coach having never lost in this situation.  Bet St. John's Sunday.

20* Celtics/Knicks ABC No-Brainer on New York +6.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the New York Knicks and 'sell high' on the Boston Celtics.  The Knicks went into the All-Star Break going 1-5 SU & 0-6 ATS in their final six games.  But their struggles were largely due to injuries to Brunson, DiVincenzo and Hartenstein.  All three came back from the break healthy.

I successfully backed the Knicks on the ML as underdogs in a 110-96 win at Philadelphia in their first game back from the break.  And now I'm back on them as 6.5-point home dogs to the Celtics as they still look undervalued in the market place.

Boston is the consensus best team in the NBA.  But with that consensus comes expectations that are hard to live up to.  You're paying a tax on the Celtics right now due to having the best record in the NBA and being on a 7-game winning streak.  But Boston is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games overall, and if they manage to win this game, it will go down to the wire against the feisty Knicks.

New York is 12-2 ATS in home games with a total of 220 to 229.5 this season.  Boston is 12-25 ATS in its last 37 games off two consecutive covers as favorites.  The Knicks are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 3-plus points per game in the 2nd half of the season.  Bet the Knicks Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Seton Hall -3

Seton Hall is making its move to make the NCAA Tournament.  The Pirates have gotten healthy and have gone 4-1 SU in their last five games overall with their lone loss coming on the road at Villanova.  They beat Xavier by 18 at home two games ago and upset St. John's 68-62 on the road last time out.

The Pirates have had the last five days off to rest and get ready for this game against reeling Butler.  The Bulldogs are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall including a pair of blowout losses in their last two, losing by 22 at home to Creighton and by 10 at Villanova.  The Bulldogs are coming back down to reality as this team just isn't that talented and doesn't play much defense, allowing 71 or more points in seven consecutive games.

Seton Hall beat Butler 78-72 on the road in their first meeting this season to improve to 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with all five wins by 6 points or more.  Butler even shot 39.1% from 3 and 15-of-16 (93.7%) from the FT line in that first meeting and still lost by 6.  It's going to be hard to see them improving on the road in the rematch.

Butler is 1-7 ATS off a conference loss this season.  Shaheen Holloway is 7-0 ATS vs. up-tempo teams that attempt 62 or more shots per game after 15-plus game as a head coach.  Holloway is 9-1 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog as a head coach.  Bet Seton Hall Saturday.

20* Villanova/UConn FOX No-Brainer on Villanova +12.5

The Villanova Wildcats are playing their way back into NCAA Tournament contention by playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They have gone 4-1 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone loss coming by 3 points at Xavier.  All four wins have come by double-digits by 10 over Butler, by 26 over Seton Hall, by 16 over Georgetown and by 18 over Providence.  The Wildcats haven't lost any of their last seven games by more than 7 points.

Now the Wildcats want revenge from a 66-65 home loss to UConn as 3.5-point dogs.  They are catching 12.5 points on the road in the rematch, which is too much.  Everyone is expecting UConn to bounce back from its 85-66 loss at Creighton, but I'm not buying it.  Villanova needs this game more and will be the more motivated team.

Villanova hasn't lost any of its last 18 meetings with UConn by more than 12 points, making for an 18-0 system backing the Wildcats pertaining to this 12.5-point spread.  Bet Villanova Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night Line Mistake on Illinois State +12.5

Illinois State has quietly gone 6-4 SU & 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games overall not once losing by more than 13 points.  The last four games have been very impressive going 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS with the lone loss at Southern Illinois by 3 as 8-point dogs.

In their very next game the Redbirds pulled off the upset of the season in the MVC beating Indiana State 80-67 as 17.5-point road dogs.  They could have easily let down after that, but instead they have gone on to beat Evansville by 7 as 3.5-point home favorites and Northern Iowa by 81-73 as 1.5-point home dogs to prove it was no fluke.

Now the Redbirds want revenge from that 13-point loss to Bradley at home in their first meeting.  Bradley shot 58.8% in that game which is unsustainable.  Home-court advantage has meant little in this series as the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Illinois State is 3-0 ATS in its last three trips to Bradley not once losing by more than 8 points.

The Redbirds are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after scoring 80 points or more in two consecutive games.  Bet Illinois State Saturday.

20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on UNLV -1

UNLV is making its push to make the NCAA Tournament playing its best basketball of the season here down the stretch.  The Rebels are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall with their lone loss coming after they blew a double-digit lead late to rival Nevada and lost by 3.  Their wins have been mighty impressive including an 80-77 upset win at New Mexico as a 12-point dog.  They bounced back from that loss to Nevada with a 29-point win at Air Force last time out.

Now the Rebels have their sights set on revenge from a 78-75 loss at Colorado State as 7-point dogs.  The Rams are 1-6 SU in Mountain West road games with thier lone win coming at Fresno State.  They lost by 16 at San Diego State, by 13 at Nevada, by 7 at Boise State and by 5 at Utah State.  UNLV is in the same class as those teams and will handle their business at home.

UNLV is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games vs. good offensive teams that score 77 or more points per game in the 2nd half of the season.  Bet UNLV Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Georgetown -4.5

DePaul is 0-15 SU & 5-10 ATS in Big East play this season and just ready for this dreadful season to be over.  They have an interim coach and haven't been any more competitive since firing their head man.  They have gone 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall and were fortunate to cover as 20-point dogs to Providence in a game they trail by 23 in the final minutes.

Georgetown continues to play hard for first-year head coach Ed Cooley.  Despite going 0-11 SU in their last 11 games overall, the Hoyas have gone 6-5 ATS with five losses by single-digits.  They are about to get rewarded for their efforts with a blowout victory over the hapless Blue Demons tonight.

Georgetown is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.  DePaul is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games after a combined score of 155 points or more.  Bet Georgetown Saturday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Belmont -5

The Belmont Bruins have gotten healthy and are playing their best basketball of the season right now as a result.  They have gone 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall with two losses to the two best teams in the conference in Indiana State and Drake, plus a 7-point loss at Missouri State.

Now the Bruins get their shot at revenge on the Bears at home this time around.  They have gone 10-2 SU at home this season.  The Bears have gone the other direction since that win, going 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone win against the worst team in the conference in Valpairaiso by 8 as 13-point home favorites.  They are coming off a 26-point home loss to Bradley and lost by 10 at Murray State in their last road game.

Missouri State is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games off a loss by 10 points or more.  I question the Bears' motivation the rest of the way.  The Bruins will want this one more.  Bet Belmont Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Loyola-Chicago -3

Loyola-Chicago sits at 19-7 this season and 11-2 SU & 10-3 ATS in Atlantic 10 play and tied for first place in the conference with a lot to play for the rest of the way.  There's a shot they could earn an at-large berth into the NCAA Tournament with a big finish.

The Ramblers are 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall with their lone loss coming on the road by 7 at VCU.  The spot really favors them because they have five days in between games to rest and prepare for George Mason.

The spot is a bad one for the Patriots who are coming off their biggest win of the season, beating ranked Dayton 71-67 at home on Wednesday.  Now they only have two days off in between games and are in a massive letdown spot off the Dayton win.

Loyola-Chicago beat George Mason 85-79 on the road in the first meeting despite the Patriots shooting 59.5% as a team and 9-of-17 (52.9%) from 3-point range while making 26 free throws.  They aren't going to shoot that well again on the road in the rematch.  Bet Loyola-Chicago Saturday.

15* Alabama/Kentucky CBS ANNIHILATOR on OVER 175

Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Crimson Tide rank 1st in adjusted offense and 14th in adjusted tempo in the entire country.  They have scored 81 or more points in seven consecutive games, including 98 or more in five of those seven.  Nate Oats has one of the worst defensive teams he has ever had at Alabama this season as well.

Now the Crimson Tide face another dead nuts OVER team in Kentucky.  The Wildcats rank 18th in adjusted tempo and 9th in adjusted offense.  The Wildcats score 87.6 points per game overall and 91.6 points per game at home.  They are also a shaky defensive team like Alabama.

Kentucky is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games off a road loss.  The Wildcats are 9-1 OVER in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 6 points or less or PK.  Alabama is 11-1 OVER in Saturday games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma/Oklahoma State UNDER 141

I backed the UNDER with success in the first meeting between Oklahoma and Oklahoma State this season.  I'm back on the UNDER again for many of the same reasons.  This rivalry is always low scoring in a matchup of two dead nuts UNDER teams.

The Cowboys and Sooners have combined for 132 or fewer points in six consecutive meetings.  They have averaged 120.2 combined points per game at the end of regulation in those six games, so we have over 20 points to spare here with this 141-point total.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

25* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on Kentucky -1

I love the spot for the Kentucky Wildcats today.  They were humbled with a 75-74 loss at LSU at the buzzer which followed up their 70-59 road win over Auburn handing the Tigers their first home loss of the season.  That was a clear sandwich spot for Kentucky with this game against Alabama on deck.

Now we will get Kentucky's best effort today, and it will be good enough to beat Alabama.  The Crimson Tide are riding high right now winning seven of their last eight.  But they needed OT to beat Florida as 10-point home favorites last time out, and that effort will have taken a lot out of them.

Alabama will be without Mohamed Wague (4.0 PPG) due to suspension and could be without Latrell Whitesell Jr. (9.0 PPG, 44.5% 3-pointers), who missed last game with a concussion.  Conversely, there's a good chance Kentucky gets back Tre Mitchell (12.0 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 3.1 APG) after missing the last two games with a shoulder injury.  They beat Auburn without him, however.

Nate Oats is 4-15 ATS off a home win where they didn't cover as a favorite as the coach of Alabama.  Oats is 1-9 ATS after three straight games where both teams scored 75 points or more as the coach of the Crimson Tide.  Bet Kentucky Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on East Tennessee State +13

Samford (24-4) is just one win away from clinching the Southern Conference regular season title with three games remaining.  They have a home game against The Citadel to close out the season and will be a massive favorite.  I expect the Bulldogs to be going through the motions until the conference tournament.

We've seen that already with an 88-84 loss at 10-point favorites at Mercer two games ago followed by a comeback 74-72 home win over Furman as 7-point favorites last time out.  I think this is a letdown spot over that massive win over Furman.

East Tennessee State only lost 75-72 as 6-point home dogs to Samford in their first meeting this season despite shooting just 37.8% from the floor while the Bulldogs shot 52.8%.  They are due some positive shooting regression, and they should not be catching 13 points in the rematch.

East Tennessee State hasn't lost any of its last 19 meetings with Samford by more than 11 points.  That makes for a 19-0 system backing the Buccaneers pertaining to this 13-point spread.  Bet East Tennessee State Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on UMass -3.5

Frank Martin is working wonders in his first season at UMass.  He has the Minutemen sitting at 17-9 this season and 8-6 in conference play.  The Minutemen are 12-2 SU & 9-5 ATS at home this season and coming off an impressive 74-52 win over VCU as 2-point home favorites.  They should be laying more than 3.5 points at home to St. Bonaventure today.

The Bonnies are 16-10 this season and 7-7 in conference play.  They are coming off a bad 72-59 road loss to LaSalle as 5.5-point favorites to fall to 1-6 SU in their last seven Atlantic 10 road games with their lone win coming at lowly Fordham.  All six losses came by 4 points or more.  Bet UMass Saturday.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet UMass Saturday.

25* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Wake Forest -1

I love the spot for Wake Forest Saturday.  They get a chance at quick revenge after giving Duke a run for its money in a 77-69 road loss as 7-point dogs on February 12th.  Now they get to host the Blue Devils in the rematch here two weeks later, and home-court advantage will make all the difference.

Wake Forest is 14-0 SU & 11-3 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 20.1 points per game.  The Demon Deacons are 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in ACC home games this season outscoring opponents by 20 points per game.  They have one of the best home-court advantages in the country.

Duke is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after scoring 75 points or more in four consecutive games.  Bet Wake Forest Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Western Carolina/VMI OVER 151.5

VMI is a dead nuts OVER team and this is a very low total for a game involving the Keydets.  They rank 2nd in adjusted tempo and 279th in adjusted defense.  They are allowing 81.7 points per game this season, including 90.2 points per game in conference play.

Western Carolina can name its number just as it did in the first meeting this season.  The Catamounts beat the Keydets 102-77 for 179 combined points on January 27th.  We have 27.5 points to spare here with this 151.5-point total in the rematch.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Charlotte Hornets +13

One key to winning in the NBA is finding undervalued teams out of the playoff hunt that continue to play hard every night.  One of those teams is the Charlotte Hornets.  The Hornets have quietly gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  

That includes 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with outright upset victories over Memphis by 9 as 5-point dogs, over Indiana by 9 as 10-point dogs, by 23 over Atlanta as 7-point dogs and by 8 over Utah as 10-point dogs.  This is a young team that has not quit, and the players they traded for are making an immediate impact and playing with a chip on their shoulder.

Golden State is overvalued off a 128-110 home win over the Los Angeles Lakers last night.  They wanted revenge on the Lakers after losing 145-144 (OT) at home to them in their previous meeting and they got it.  But keep in mind it was without LeBron James.  Plus, this is now a huge sandwich spot for them with defending champion Denver on deck at home on Sunday that they could be looking ahead to.  I don't think we get a max effort from the Warriors, which is going to make it very difficult for them to cover this inflated 13-point spread.  Bet the Hornets Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Wizards/Thunder OVER 241.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 6-0-1 OVER in their last seven games overall.  They are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 10th in pace and 4th in offensive rating.  Now they face another dead nuts OVER team in the Washington Wizards, who rank 1st in pace and 27th in defensive rating.

The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the Wizards and Thunder with 237 or more combined points in all four.  That includes a 136-128 win by the Thunder in their first meeting this season for 264 combined points.  It should be more of the same in the rematch tonight.

The Thunder are 21-6 OVER in their last 27 games off a home win by 10 points or more.  Washington is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 6-plus points per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Memphis Grizzlies +9.5

One key to winning in the NBA is finding undervalued teams out of the playoff hunt that continue to play hard every night.  One of those teams is the Memphis Grizzlies.  They went into the All-Star Break covering three straight including outright upsets over Houston 121-113 as 3-point home dogs and Milwaukee 113-110 as 12-point home dogs the very next night on the 2nd of a back-to-back.

Everyone is talking about the Los Angeles Clippers winning the NBA title right now.  As a result, the Clippers are overvalued.  They are 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  They are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 107-129 loss in Oklahoma City last night.  Asking them to win by double-digits on the road to beat us here is asking too much.

The Clippers are 6-19 ATS in their last 25 games off a road loss by 10 points or more.  Los Angeles is 9-18 ATS after playing a road game this season.  The Grizzlies are 29-14 ATS in their last 43 games when playing with double revenge.  Bet the Grizzlies Friday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5

I love the spot for the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight.  They are coming off an upset home loss to the Orlando Magic last night, who have been the best covering team in the NBA and are grossly undervalued.  But the Cavaliers also didn't have their best player in Donovan Mitchell due to illness in that loss.

My best guess is Mitchell returns tonight, but I like the Cavaliers either way.  I'll gladly fade the 76ers again like I did with the Knicks easily cashing on the Knicks ML +100 in a 110-96 victory over the 76ers in a game that wasn't even that close.

The Philadelphia 76ers remain without Joel Embiid and the difference between being with or without him has been drastic for this team.  The 76ers are 26-8 with Embiid in the lineup but just 6-15 without him.  They should not be getting this much respect tonight without him.

Cleveland is 12-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  The Cavaliers are 17-3 SU & 12-8 ATS in their last 20 games overall.  Philadelphia is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games vs. good passing teams that average 23 or more assists per game.  Bet the Cavaliers Friday.

15* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cornell -1.5

I love the spot for Cornell tonight.  The Big Red will be out for revenge from an 80-78 road loss at Yale on February 10th just two weeks ago.  They blew an 8-point halftime lead in that game and a 7-point lead late.  Now they get the Bulldogs at home this time around.

Cornell is 9-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 17.7 points per game.  Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 6-0 SU in the last six meetings.  Matt Knowling (11.4 PPG, 4.8 RPG) had 12 points and 9 rebounds in that first meeting for Yale.  Knowling has been out with a groin injury since and is questionable to play tonight.

Cornell is 6-0 ATS in its last six Friday night home games.  The Big Red are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games against teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game.  Cornell is 6-0 ATS vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or less this season.  These three trends combine for a perfect 20-0 system backing the Big Red tonight.  Bet Cornell Friday.

15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Wizards +15.5

The Washington Wizards have been a great bet on the road this season.  They have gone 19-8-1 ATS in their 28 road games as one of the best covering teams on the highway in the NBA this season.  They are consistently catching too many points away from home, and that's the case again tonight as 15.5-point dogs at Denver.

The Nuggets have been kind of bored just waiting for the playoffs to get here.  The defending champs are having that dreaded title hangover.  They are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall losing by 29 at Sacramento, by 17 at Milwaukee and by 4 at home to Sacramento in the rematch in a game you would have expected them to fire back in.  The Nuggets are now just 8-16-1 ATS in their last 25 games overall.

Washington is 7-0 ATS in non-conference road games this season.  The Wizards are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 road games off a non-conference game.  Washington is 7-0 ATS in road games off five or more consecutive losses this season.  Denver is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home games vs. poor teams that are outscoring by 3-plus points per game in the 2nd half of the season.  Bet the Wizards Thursday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Charlotte Hornets +10

The Charlotte Hornets quietly went 5-1 ATS in their final six games going into the All-Star Break.  That includes 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their final three games with outright upset victories over Memphis by 9 as 5-point dogs, over Indiana by 9 as 10-point dogs and by 23 over Atlanta as 7-point dogs.  This is a young team that has not quit, and the players they traded for are making an immediate impact.

The Utah Jazz went 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their final four games going into the break to all but play themselves out of playoff contention.  Three of the four losses came by 14 points or more.  I question their motivation the rest of the way, and they are so poor defensively that they cannot be laying double-digits to Charlotte tonight.  They have allowed 129 or more points in four consecutive games.

Charlotte is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games after allowing 105 points or less.  Utah is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games when playing 5 or fewer games in 14 days.  Plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (Charlotte) - a poor team that is outscored by 3-plus points per game, after allowing 105 points or fewer in two consecutive games are 43-13 (76.8%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Hornets Thursday.

15* NBA Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Oklahoma City Thunder ML -114

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1 PPG, 6.5 APG) is the 2nd favorite to win the NBA MVP award currently.  He holds a grudge with the Los Angeles Clippers for trading him away, so he has his best stuff every time he faces his former team.  The Thunder are a legit title contender with Gilgeous-Alexander leading the way and tremendous depth.  I expect the Thunder to make easy work of the Clippers tonight.

The Thunder are 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings with the Clippers.  They won 134-115 in their lone home meeting this season.  The Thunder are 21-6 SU & 18-9 ATS at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA.

Oklahoma City is 13-1 ATS in its last 14 games off a road win by 10 points or more.  Bet the Thunder on the Money Line Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Minnesota -3.5

Minnesota is the single-most underrated team in the entire country.  The Golden Gophers are 16-9 SU & 22-3 ATS this season, including 14-3 SU & 16-1 ATS at home.  They are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall as the books just cannot catch up to how good this team really is.

But Minnesota finds itself on the outside looking in in terms of making the NCAA Tournament currently, so they cannot afford a letdown here.  I expect another big effort from the Gophers tonight as they get the win and cover at home against Ohio State.

Ohio State is just 3-9 SU in its last 12 games overall.  But the Buckeyes are coming off their biggest win of the season, beating Purdue outright 73-69 as 8-point home dogs.  That was their first game with their interim head coach after firing Chris Holtman.  But now they are in a massive letdown spot and getting too much respect off that win against Purdue.

Ohio State is 0-7 SU & 2-5 ATS in Big Ten road games this season.  Minnesota is 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in Big Ten home games this season.  Ohio State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog of 6 points or less or PK.  Minnesota is 11-1 ATS as a favorite this season.  Bet Minnesota Thursday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Denver/South Dakota State OVER 160

Denver is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Pioneers rank 42nd in adjusted tempo, 95th in adjusted offense and a woeful 354th in adjusted defense.  They score 84.4 points per game and allow 81.2 points per game this season.

South Dakota State has been a dead nuts OVER team under current head coach Ric Henderson.  That's pretty much the case again this season ranking 109th in adjusted tempo, 153rd in adjusted offense and 212th in adjusted defense.  The Jackrabbits are scoring 76.7 points per game overall including 81.4 points per game at home.

Denver beat South Dakota State 99-80 for 179 combined points in their first meeting on January 13th this season.  It should be more of the same in the rematch, and we have 19 points to spare with this 160-point total.  That first total was set at 163, and there's no way the books should have adjusted it down.

Denver is 18-6 OVER in all games this season.  The Pioneers are 8-0 OVER in their last eight games after playing two consecutive games as a favorite.  South Dakota State is 10-1 OVER vs. good free throw shooting teams that make 72% or better this season.  Denver is 7-0 OVER vs. a team with a winning record this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* NBA Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on New York Knicks ML +100

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the New York Knicks coming out of the All-Star Break.  They went into the break going 1-5 SU & 0-6 ATS in their final six games.  But the struggles were mostly due to injuries as they were playing without Jalen Brunson, Donte DiVincenzo, Isaiah Hartenstein and Bojan Bogdanovic at various times.  All four are healthy and expected to play coming out of the break.

The Philadelphia 76ers remain without Joel Embiid and the difference between being with or without him has been drastic for this team.  The 76ers are 26-8 with Embiid in the lineup but just 6-14 without him.  They should not be favored over the Knicks tonight without him.

Plays on any team (New York) - after losing five or six of its last seven games, a good team (60-75%) playing a team with a winning record are 46-15 (75.4%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Knicks on the Money Line Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Rutgers +15.5

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are making their push to try and make the NCAA Tournament.  An upset win over Purdue would be just what the doctor ordered.  The Scarlet Knights are 4-1 SU in their last five games overall which includes upset road wins at Michigan, at Maryland and at home over Wisconsin.

Rutgers already proved it could play with Purdue only losing 68-60 as 10-point home underdogs in their first meeting this season.  The Scarlet Knights improved to 5-3 SU & 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight meetings with Purdue.  They haven't lost any of those eight meetings by more than 12 points.  Defense travels, and Rutgers is as good as anyone on that end ranking 2nd in the country in adjusted defense behind only Houston.

Rutgers is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games off a conference loss by 10 points or more.  The Scarlet Knights are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against good shooting teams that make 48% or better.  Bet Rutgers Thursday.

15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on New Mexico -7

I love the spot for New Mexico tonight.  The Lobos are coming off an 81-70 road loss at San Diego State on Friday.  They have had the last four days off to rest and prepare for revenge on Colorado State, which they lost 76-68 to on January 2nd in their first meeting this season.  Colorado State made 14 more free throws than they did which was the difference.

Now the Lobos get the Rams at home where they are 11-2 SU & 9-3-1 ATS inside 'The Pit', which is one of the toughest venues in the country for road teams.  The Lobos are 18-3 SU & 14-7 ATS in their last 21 home meetings with the Rams.

This is a good time to 'sell high' on the Rams coming off a 20-point blowout home victory over Utah State.  They have also gone 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games with four of those at home.  They did win at Fresno State, but they also lost by 16 at San Diego State in their other road game.  The Rams are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in MWC road games this season.

New Mexico is 8-1 ATS in home games with a total of 150 to 159.5 this season.  The Lobos are 8-1 ATS vs. good offensive teams that score 77-plus points per game this season.  The Lobos are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS following a loss this season.  Bet New Mexico Wednesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Marquette -25.5

The books just can't set the lines in these DePaul games high enough.  The Blue Demons have lost 13 consecutive games with nine of those 13 losses coming by 23 points or more.  They are 1-4 ATS in their last five games losing by 33 to Seton Hall, by 25 to Xavier, by 28 to St. John's and by 36 to UConn.  I'll gladly lay the 25.5 points with Marquette at home Wednesday.

DePaul did only lost by 13 at home to Marquette in their first meeting this season.  But they got the new coach bounce in that game as their head coach was fired after the game prior.  The Blue Demons are also coming off a misleading 11-point loss at Providence.  The Friars led that game by 23 points late before the Blue Demons closed on a 12-0 run to make it look closer than it was.

I know we're going to get a focused effort from Marquette tonight, which is key when laying these big numbers.  The Golden Eagles are coming off an embarrassing 81-53 road loss at Connecticut over the weekend.  They had gone 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in their previous eight games.  They will get right in a big way with a 26-plus point home victory over DePaul tonight.

DePaul is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after a game where they committed 8 or fewer turnovers.  Marquette is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games off a loss.  Bet Marquette Wednesday.

20* AAC GAME OF THE WEEK on Charlotte +5.5

Charlotte is one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The 49ers are 17-8 SU & 14-9 ATS this season including 11-2 SU & 8-4-1 ATS in AAC play.  They are in 2nd place in the conference just one game behind South Florida, which is also one of the most underrated teams in the country.

On the opposite end of the spectrum is Memphis, which is one of the most overrated teams in the country.  The Tigers are 7-6 SU & 2-11 ATS in AAC play this season.  Penny Hardaway is in dangerous territory here looking like he has lost this team.

Memphis followed up a 76-66 loss at North Texas with a 106-79 loss at SMU on Sunday.  The Tigers just quit playing defense against SMU and have now allowed 74 or more points in 10 of their last 11 games overall.  They have upset home losses to Rice as 14.5-point favorites and South Florida as 10-point favorites.  They also only beat Wichita State by 2 as 9.5-point favorites.

Memphis is 0-9 ATS after failing to cover four of its last five games this season.  Charlotte is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games when playing its 3rd game in a week.  The 49ers are 7-1 ATS off two or more consecutive wins this season.  Bet Charlotte Wednesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma State/Cincinnati UNDER 141

This total has been set too high tonight in this Big 12 battle between two dead nuts UNDER teams in Oklahoma State and Cincinnati.  The Cowboys rank 202nd in adjusted tempo and 133rd in adjusted offense but 96th in adjusted defense.  The Bearcats rank 199th in adjusted tempo, 22nd in adjusted defense and 74th in adjusted offense.

Oklahoma State being without G Bryce Thompson (11.6 PPG) makes them even more of an UNDER team.  They lost him for the season in late January.  This is a very poor offensive team especially on the road where the Cowboys are scoring 62.8 points per game, shooting 38.7% as a team and 28.9% from 3.

Cincinnati has been an elite defensive team at home allowing 63.8 points per game, 40.4% shooting and 30.3% shooting from 3-point range.  I think the fact that both of these teams went over the total in their last games is keeping this total higher than it should be.   Cincinnati had gone 6-1 UNDER in its previous seven games with 134 or fewer combined points in five of those seven games.  Oklahoma State and its opponents have combined for 143 or fewer points in six of its last eight games.

Oklahoma State is 9-2 UNDER in its last 11 road games after losing two of its last three games coming in.  Cincinnati is 13-2 UNDER in its last 15 games vs. teams that allow 45% shooting or higher after 15-plus games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

20* Florida/Alabama ESPN 2 No-Brainer on OVER 173.5

Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Crimson Tide rank 1st in adjusted offense and 11th in adjusted tempo in the entire country.  They have scored 81 or more points in six consecutive games, including 99 or more in four of those six.  Nate Oats has one of the worst defensive teams he has ever had at Alabama this season as well.

Now the Crimson Tide face another dead nuts OVER team in Florida.  The Gators rank 36th in adjusted tempo and 10th in adjusted offense.  The Gators have scored at least 79 points in seven of their last eight games overall.  They are also a shaky defensive team like Alabama.

Alabama averages 91 PPG overall and 96 PPG at home.  Florida averages 85 PPG overall and 82 PPG on the road.  I expect both teams to get to their season averages tonight considering this game will be played at a rapid pace, and if that happens we cash this OVER ticket.

Florida is 6-0 OVER vs. good shooting teams that make 48% of their shots or better this season.  Alabama is 6-0 OVER in its last six games after scoring 80 points or more in four consecutive games.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings.  These three trends combine for a perfect 16-0 system backing the OVER.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Big 12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH on TCU/Texas Tech OVER 147.5

TCU is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Horned Frogs rank 72nd in adjusted tempo and 25th in adjusted offense this season.  Texas Tech ranks 13th in adjusted offense and can light it up on that end of the court.

These teams met on January 30th with TCU winning 85-78 for 163 combined points.  Now we have a total of 147.5 for the rematch, which is just too low.  These teams also combined for 165 points in their final meeting last season.  Texas Tech is scoring 77.2 points per game at home this season while TCU is scoring 79.2 points per game on the road.

TCU is 7-0 OVER in road games off an ATS win this season.  Texas Tech is 8-2 OVER with a total of 140 to 149.5 this season.  The Red Raiders are 13-2 OVER in their last 15 games after playing their last game on the road.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MWC GAME OF THE MONTH on Utah State -2

I like the spot for Utah State after losing two of its last three games with two of those losses coming on the road to Colorado State and San Diego State.  Now the Aggies want revenge from that loss to the Aztecs on February 3rd.  They shot 26.1% from 3 while the Aztecs shot 45% from 3 and attempted 15 fewer free throws.  They are due for some positive shooting regression and the benefit of the whistle at home in the rematch.

It's a good time to fade San Diego State after going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.  The Aztecs are coming off a huge 81-70 home win over New Mexico to get their revenge on the Lobos from a previous road loss.  The Aztecs are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five road games with their lone win coming at Air Force.  They are also 1-5 ATS in their six MWC road games this season.

Utah State is 11-1 SU & 7-3-1 ATS at home this season.  They are outscoring opponents by 18.4 points per game at home.  San Diego State is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games with a line of +3 to -3.  The Aztecs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games off two or more consecutive wins.  Bet Utah State Tuesday.

20* UConn/Creighton FS1 No-Brainer on UNDER 145.5

UConn and Creighton both play at a snail's pace and both play some of the best defense in the country.  That makes them both dead nuts UNDER teams.  UConn ranks 327th in adjusted tempo and 11th in adjusted defense.  Creighton ranks 221st in adjusted tempo and 24th in adjusted defense.

The UNDER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between UConn and Creighton.  They combined for 110 points in a 62-48 win by UConn in their first meeting this season.  In fact, they have combined for 129 or fewer points in each of their last six meetings.  They have combined for 140 or fewer points at the end of regulation in eight consecutive meetings, making for an 8-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 145.5-point total.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tennessee -11

The Tennessee Vols are an absolute juggernaut this season.  They have their best offense of the Rick Barnes era and remain an elite defensive team.  They rank 5th in adjusted defense and 16th in adjusted offense.  Each of their last seven wins have come by 11 points or more, so they have no problem getting margin on teams.

Now they face the Missouri Tigers, who are 0-12 SU & 2-10 ATS in SEC play this season.  That includes 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in SEC home games with losses by 24 to Mississippi State, by 19 to Texas A&M and by 12 to Florida.  Add another blowout home loss to their record tonight against the best team they have faced at home all season.  Bet Tennessee Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Boston College +4.5

Boston College wants revenge from a 63-62 home loss to Florida State as 4-point favorites on February 6th just two weeks ago today.  Now the Eagles come back as 4.5-point underdogs in the rematch, which is too big of an adjustment for switching home courts.

Florida State is just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall with that lone win coming against these Eagles.  The Seminoles have fallen to 12-13 this season with very little to play for the rest of the way.  The Eagles sit at 15-10 and still feel like they can make a run to the NCAA Tournament.

Florida State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after allowing 75 points or more in three consecutive games.  Bet Boston College Tuesday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on NC State -5.5

NC State sits at 16-9 and trying to make the NCAA Tournament.  The Wolfpack added a big win to their resume pulling off the 78-77 win at Clemson as 8-point dogs last time out to end a two-game skid.  Now they are in a great spot tonight playing just their 2nd game in 10 days, so they will be fresh and ready to go.

NC State wants revenge from a 77-65 loss at Syracuse in their first meeting this season on January 27th.  They shot just 35.8% as a team, plus the Orange attempted 21 more free throws than they did.  That will flip in the rematch at NC State this time around.

This is a bad Syracuse team that is just 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall with little to play for the rest of the way.  The Orange are coming off a 65-60 upset road loss at Georgia Tech.  They lost by 9 at home to Clemson, only beat Louisville by 2 as 8.5-point home favorites and lost by 29 at Wake Forest.  The Orange are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in ACC road games this season.  Bet NC State Tuesday.

15* Butler/Villanova FS1 ANNIHILATOR on Villanova -6

Villanova has played its way onto the bubble by going 3-1 SU & 3-0-1 ATS in its last three games overall.  The Wildcats are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They beat Providence 68-50 as 4.5-point home favorites, lost by 3 as 3-point dogs at Xavier, crushed Seton Hall 80-54 as 7-point home favorites and handled Georgetown 70-54 as 10-point road favorites.

Now the Wildcats want revenge from an 88-81 (OT) loss at Butler on January 27th.  I expect them to get their revenge in blowout fashion tonight against a reeling Butler team that has gone 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in its last four games overall.  That includes a 22-point home loss to Creighton last time out.

Villanova is 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS in its last 10 home meetings with Butler with all nine wins coming by 10 points or more.  Bet Villanova Tuesday.

20* CBB Big Monday No-Brainer on William & Mary +17.5

William & Mary is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games.  The Tribe lost by 9 as 13.5-point dogs at Hofstra, pulled off the 4-point upset win as 9-point dogs at Northeastern, only lost by 4 as 8.5-point dogs at Monmouth and only lost by 11 as 12.5-point dogs at Delaware.

William & Mary only lost 84-83 as 13-point home dogs to College of Charleston in their first meeting on February 3rd earlier this month.  Now the Tribe are catching 17.5 points in the rematch, which is too much.  That's especially the case considering they have played much better on the road here of late.

Plays on road teams (William & Mary) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15-plus games, after scoring 55 points or less are 31-9 (77.5%) ATS over the last five seasons.

Charleston is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games overall and consistently overvalued.  That's the case again tonight.  Bet William & Mary Monday.

15* Utah/UCLA Pac-12 ANNIHILATOR on UCLA -2.5

The UCLA Bruins are making an impressive run here late in the season to try and make the NCAA Tournament.  They have gone 8-1 SU & 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games overall with their lone loss coming on the road at Arizona by 6 as 18-point underdogs.

Now the Bruins have their sights set on revenge from their worst loss of the season.  They lost 90-44 at Utah on January 11th, which was the game right before this 8-1 run.  That loss inspired them and forced them to take a look in the mirror.  Now they are dead set on revenge against Utah to prove that they are a much different team from that first meeting.

These teams are headed in opposite directions.  While the Bruins are very much alive for the NCAA Tournament, the Utes have played their way out of contention at this point.  They have gone 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  They lost by 22 at Washington State by, 25 at Washington, were upset at home by Arizona State as 12-point favorites and lost by 4 at lowly USC.  They miss G Rollie Worster (9.9 PPG, 5.5 APG), who hasn't played since that win against UCLA and remains out.

UCLA is 7-2 SU & 6-3 ATS in its last nine home meetings with Utah.  The Utes are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games against a marginal winning team (51-60%).  Utah is 4-18 ATS in its last 22 games with a line of +3 to -3.  The Bruins are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games off three consecutive conference wins.  Bet UCLA Sunday.

15* Rutgers/Minnesota Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota -4

The Minnesota Golden Gophers are the most underrated team in the entire country.  They have gone 15-9 SU & 21-3 ATS in all games this season, including 13-3 SU & 15-1 ATS at home.  I expect them to get the win and cover tonight at home against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights.

I like the spot for Minnesota coming off two consecutive tough road losses at Iowa and at Purdue.  They blew a 20-point lead at Iowa after their best player in Dawson Garcia (17.6 PPG) got hurt with 16 minutes remaining.  Garcia returned for the Purdue game and scored 24 points and the Gophers showed what they were capable of, only losing 84-76 as 16.5-point road dogs against one of the best teams in the entire country in the Boilermakers.

Rutgers is starting to get too much respect after going 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four games overall.  But the Scarlet Knights have some major injury concerns coming into this one, while the Gophers are fully healthy.  Noah Fernandes (6.7 PPG) was knocked out of the Northwestern game last time out with an ankle injury.  He scored 17 points against Wisconsin the game prior.  Mawot Mag (9.8 PPG) missed the NW game but had scored 12 or more points in three straight games prior.  Both Mag and Fernandes are questionable to play tonight.

20* AAC GAME OF THE MONTH on South Florida +5.5

South Florida has been disrespected all season and Florida Atlantic has been getting too much respect after making the Final 4 last season.  That remains the case here Sunday.  I fully expect the Bulls to earn their respect with an outright upset of the Owls, but we'll take the points for some insurance.

South Florida is 18-5 SU & 15-6 ATS this season.  The Bulls have gone 13-2-2 ATS in their last 17 games overall.  They are 12-2 SU at home this season and 11-1 SU in conference play.  Their lone conference loss came on the road by 4 points at UAB.

Florida Atlantic is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games overall and consistently laying too many points to the opposition due to the notoriety of making the Final 4 last year.  But they are getting everyone's best shot with a target on their back, and they will get South Florida's best shot today as well.

South Florida is a perfect 7-0 SU in its last seven home meetings with Florida Atlantic.  Bet South Florida Sunday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Arizona State +18.5

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Arizona Wildcats off five consecutive victories.  They are coming off a pair of impressive road wins 105-99 (3 OT) at Utah and 99-79 at Colorado.  That win at Colorado was even more impressive because they were coming off that 3 OT game and playing their 2nd game in 3 days in altitude.  I think they take their foot off the gas tonight against Arizona State.

But Arizona hasn't been very impressive in three of its last four home games.  The Wildcats are 1-3 ATS in their last four home games beating Stanford by 11 as 18-point favorites, UCLA by 6 as 18-point favorites and USC by 15 as 20.5-point favorites.  I think Arizona State can stay within 18.5 tonight just as those three teams did.

The Sun Devils are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now.  Their last two games they upset Utah 85-77 as 12-point road dogs and crushed Oregon State 79-61 as 6.5-point home favorites.  Now they are looking at this game against big brother Arizona as their 'national championship' game and will put their best foot forward.

Arizona State pulled the 89-88 outright upset as 12.5-point road dogs last year.  The Sun Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games vs. teams that are called for 3-plus fewer fouls per game than their opponents.  Each of the last eight meetings in this series were decided by 19 points or fewer, including seven by 13 points or fewer.  Bet Arizona State Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Providence -20

The books just can't set the lines in these DePaul games high enough.  The Blue Demons have lost 12 consecutive games with nine of those 12 losses coming by 23 points or more.  I'll gladly lay the 20 points with Providence at home Saturday.

Providence already beat DePaul 100-62 on the road this season.  I think after beating the Blue Demons by 38 on the road, they will have no problem beating them by 21-plus at home in the rematch.  Bet Providence Saturday.

15* Kentucky/Auburn ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 164.5

Kentucky is a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 12th in adjusted tempo and 7th in adjusted offense but just 104th in adjusted defense.  They are 18-6 OVER in their 24 games this season.  They are averaging 167.0 combined points per game with their opponents this season.

Auburn won't mind running with Kentucky at all.  The Tigers rank 66th in adjusted tempo and 9th in adjusted offense this season.  They are scoring 86.8 points per game at home this season.  I expect both teams to top 80 points in this one and Auburn to get 90-plus.

Kentucky is 16-4 OVER vs. teams that commit 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  The Wildcats are 9-1 OVER vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or less this season.  Kentucky is 10-1 OVER after a win by 10 points or more this season.  The Wildcats are 11-1 OVER off an ATS win this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE MONTH on Vanderbilt +20.5

Tennessee just doesn't take Vanderbilt seriously.  As a result, the Commodores are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with Tennessee.  They lost by 13 as 13.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  They upset the Vols as 10-point home dogs last year.  They only lost by 9 as 16.5-point road dogs and by 9 as 11.5-point road dogs in their last two road meetings.

Vanderbilt treats this game like its 'national championship' game every year.  The Commdores upset Texas A&M 74-73 as 8.5-point home dogs last time out to flash their potential, and they already proved they could play with the Vols int their first meeting this season.  They actually led that game by 5 points at halftime, and the 13-point loss was not indicative of how close it really was.

Vanderbilt is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games off a win by 6 points or less.  Tennessee is 1-9 ATS with a total set of 140 to 149.5 this season.  The Commodores are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 points or more.  Bet Vanderbilt Saturday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on UCF +1

UCF has proven it can hang in the Big 12 in its first season going 8-3 ATS in its 11 Big 12 games.  That includes home wins over Kansas, West Virginia and Oklahoma.  Now they host a Cincinnati team that they can handle here.

Cincinnati is finding the Big 12 to be tough sledding going 3-7 SU in its last 10 games overall.  The Bearcats just lost at home to both Houston and Iowa State and now have to go on the road here against UCF.  This is a brutal stretch that will have taken a lot out of them.

UCF is 10-4 SU & 10-4 ATS at home this season.  The Knights are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games off two consecutive games with 12 or fewer assists.  UCF is 8-1 ATS following a loss this season.  Bet UCF Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Wisconsin +1

This is the ultimate 'buy low' spot on Wisconsin after going 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall against a brutal schedule.  Now they get a break in the schedule here against an Iowa Hawkeyes team that is one of the worst in the Big Ten.

Iowa is 3-5 SU & 1-7 ATS in its last eight games overall.  The three wins came against Michigan, Ohio State and Minnesota.  They were down 20 at home to Minnesota but the Gophers' best player in Dawson Garcia got hurt and they made the big comeback.  They are coming off a 12-point loss at Maryland last time out.

Wisconsin beat Iowa 83-72 at home in their first meeting this season to continue their dominance in this series.  Iowa shot 41.2% from 3 while Wisconsin shot 25% yet the Badgers still won by 11.  The Badgers are now 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with the Hawkeyes.

Iowa is 1-9 ATS after two straight games committing 11 or fewer turnovers this season.  Bet Wisconsin Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Mississippi State -12

Arkansas is a dead team walking.  The Razorbacks are 3-8 SU & 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  They have rarely been competitive losing by 21 at LSU, by 26 at Ole Miss, by 22 at Florida, by 10 at Georgia and by 29 at home to Tennessee last time out.  They are getting blasted on the road going 1-4 SU in their SEC road games with four losses by double-digits and their lone win at Missouri, which is winless in SEC play still.

Mississippi State is in a great spot coming in on a full week of rest after playing last Saturday in a 75-51 win at Missouri.  Arkansas just played on Wednesday in that 29-point home loss to Tennessee.  The Bulldogs have one of the better home-court advantages in the SEC going 9-2 SU at home this season including wins over Tennessee and Auburn, which are the two best teams in the SEC.

Arkansas is 0-7 ATS after playing two consecutive home games this season.  The Razorbacks are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games after allowing 80 points or more.  Arkansas is 3-14 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season.  Bet Mississippi State Saturday.

15* Horizon League PLAY OF THE DAY on IPFW -9.5

Detroit (1-26) is coming off its first victory of the season with an 81-66 home win over IUPUI as 5.5-point favorites.  IUPUI is the only team that is worse than Detroit in the Horizon League.  Now this is a massive letdown spot for the Titans, and I don't expect them to show up at all after getting that huge monkey off their back.

IPFW crushed Detroit 91-56 as 13-point home favorites in their first meeting this season.  I don't think it's asking much of them to win this game by double-digits to get the cover in the rematch considering the letdown spot for Detroit.

IPFW is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games with a total set of 140 to 149.5 points.  Detroit is 2-8 ATS in home games this season.  The Titans are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games when revenging a road loss.  Detroit is 1-9 ATS vs. teams that make 8 or more 3-pointers per game this season.  Bet IPFW Saturday.

15* Texas/Houston CBS ANNIHILATOR on Texas +10.5

Houston has been grossly overvalued here of late due to being the top-ranked team in KenPom.  The result has been the Cougars going 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.  They are once again overvalued as double-digit home favorites against Texas Saturday.

Texas wants revenge from a 76-72 (OT) home loss to Houston on January 29th less than three weeks ago.  The Longhorns already proved they could play with Houston at home, and they have some very impressive efforts on the road in Big 12 play this season.  They upset TCU 77-66 as 4.5-point road dogs, upset Oklahoma 75-60 as 4.5-point road dogs and upset Cincinnati 74-73 as 5-point road dogs.  This is a veteran team that will relish the hostile atmosphere in Houston.

Houston is 0-6 ATS in its last six games vs. good shooting teams that make 48% of their shots or better after 15-plus games.  Bet Texas Saturday.

25* SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Georgia +3.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Georgia Bulldogs.  They are 0-5 SU & 2-3 ATS in their last five games overall against a brutal schedule.  But now they have had the last week off having played last Saturday to rest and recover.  I expect a big effort from the Bulldogs against their arch rivals in Florida.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Gators.  They have gone 6-1 SU in their last seven games overall.  But they are starting to get overvalued, and they were fortunate to escape with an 82-80 home win over LSU as 11-point favorites on Tuesday.

Georgia will be extra motivated for revenge from a 102-98 (OT) loss at Florida on January 27th.  The Gators shot 54.9% from the field and 17-of-20 (85%) from the FT line and still needed OT to get by the Bulldogs.  Things won't come as easy for the Gators on the road this time around.  Georgia is 11-3 SU at home this season while Florida is 2-4 SU in SEC road games with one win at winless Missouri and the other coming by 3 points.

Florida is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 road games after winning four or five of its last six games.  Bet Georgia Saturday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Creighton -2.5

Creighton wants revenge from a shocking 99-98 home loss to Butler as 10-point favorites on February 2nd just two weeks ago.  Now the Bluejays come back as only 2.5-point road favorites in the rematch, and I like the value we are getting on them.

Butler shot 55.1% from the field and a ridiculous 13-of-22 (59.1%) from 3-point range to pull off that upset.  The Bulldogs won't shoot that well again in the rematch.  Creighton ranks 18th in adjusted offense and 29th in adjusted defense while Butler ranks 31st in adjusted offense and 84th in adjusted defense.  The Bluejays are by far the superior team, and it will show Saturday.

Creighton is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 road games after winning two of its last three games.  The Bluejays are 30-15 ATS in their last 45 games when revenging a close loss by 3 points or less.  The Bulldogs are 10-20 ATS in their last 30 games as underdogs.  Creighton is 6-0 ATS in its last six road games vs. up-tempo teams that average 62 or more shots per game.  Bet Creighton Saturday.

15* Texas A&M/Alabama ESPN Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 157.5

Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Crimson Tide rank 1st in adjusted offense and 14th in adjusted tempo in the entire country.  Nate Oats has one of the worst defensive teams he has ever had at Alabama this season as well.

The OVER is 7-2 in Alabama's last nine games overall with 154 or more combined points in all nine games, including 161 or more in five consecutive games.  This is a very low total for a game involving Alabama right now.

Alabama will control the tempo playing at home against a Texas A&M team that likes to slow it down.  But the Aggies have an offense that can keep up with some elite guards.  They rank 33rd in the country in adjusted offense.  Alabama has a problem defending elite guards.

Texas A&M is 20-9 OVER in its last 20 road games.  Alabama is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games after scoring 80 points or more in three consecutive games.  The Crimson Tide are 10-1 OVER in Saturday games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.