15* Grizzlies/Nuggets ESPN ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 234

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  The Nuggets and Grizzlies will be meeting for a 2nd time in 7 days.  The Grizzlies won the first meeting 112-94 for just 206 combined points.  It will be a similar low scoring game in the rematch here Friday.

The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings with the Grizzlies and Nuggets combining for 231 or fewer points in six of those seven meetings.  They have combined for 206, 196, 231, 240, 214, 203, and 214 points in their last seven meetings, respectively.

The UNDER is 13-3-1 in Grizzlies last 17 games overall.  The UNDER is 19-7 in Nuggets last 26 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The UNDER is 27-11 in the last 38 meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Orlando Magic -3.5

Tough break for the Charlotte Hornets after going 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall, they lost their best player in La'Melo Ball (23.3 PPG, 8.4 APG, 6.3 RPG) to a season-ending injury.  They promptly lost by 14 at home to the Suns in their first game without him.  They are also without PJ Washington (15.3 PPG) right now.

The Orlando Magic are fully healthy and should make easy work of the short-handed Hornets.  The Magic continue to battle here down the stretch, especially when coming off a loss.  The Magic are 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss.

Dating back further, the Magic are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss.  Orlando is 6-0 ATS in its last six games following a loss by more than 10 points.  Orlando is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 road games.  Charlotte is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games following a loss.  The Hornets will have questionable motivation the rest of the way without Ball.  Bet the Magic Friday.

15* CBB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Dayton/Saint Louis UNDER 137.5

The Dayton Flyers are a dead nuts UNDER team.  They rank 346th in the country in adjusted tempo and 48th in adjusted defense.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Dayton's last seven games overall with combined scores of 127, 120, 126, 114, 126, 143 and 130 points.  As you can see, six of their last seven games have finished with 130 or fewer combined points.

This has been an UNDER series between Dayton and Saint Louis as well.  The Flyers and Billikens have combined for just 126, 133, 131 and 129 combined points in their last four meetings, respectively.  Dayton won the first meeting 70-56 this season for just 126 combined points in what was a very slow-paced game.  It will be more of the same in the rematch.

The UNDER is 7-0 in Billikens last seven Friday games.  The UNDER is 6-0 in Billikens last six games following a road loss by 10 points or more.  The UNDER is 7-1 in Dayton's eight games vs. a good team that wins 60-80% of their games this season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Kent State -4

I love the spot for the Kent State Golden Flashes tonight.  They want revenge from a 55-67 road loss at Akron in their first meeting this season.  They were 1.5-point road favorites in that meeting, and now are only 4-point home favorites in the rematch.

That 2.5-point adjustment for switching home courts isn't enough, especially when you consider Kent State is 14-0 at home and outscoring opponents by 19.2 points per game.  Now they go for a perfect home record on Senior Night and will be max motivated.

Kent State is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games following two consecutive conference wins.  The Golden Flashes are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as home favorites of 6 points or less or PK.  Akron is 1-7 ATS in road games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 4-plus points per game this season.  The Zips are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning % above .400.  The Golden Flashes are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 home games.  Bet Kent State Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Washington State/Washington UNDER 134

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  Plus Washington State and Washington are huge rivals so the defensive intensity will be there.  The Cougars won the first meeting 56-51 for just 107 combined points in Pullman.  It should be more of the same here in Seattle in the rematch.

Washington State is a dead nuts UNDER team ranking 329th in adjusted tempo and 53rd in adjusted defense.  The Cougars and their opponents have combined for 120, 130, 133, 142, 107 and 128 points in their last six games overall.  As you can see, five of those six games stayed UNDER this 134-point total.  Washington and its opponents have combined for 131 or fewer points in four of their last seven games overall.

Washington is 7-0 UNDER in its last seven games after allowing 5 or fewer offensive rebounds last game.  The Cougars are 7-0 UNDER in their last seven road games with a line of +3 to -3.  The UNDER is 13-4 in Cougars last 17 road games.  The UNDER is 41-20-1 in Cougars last 62 games overall.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

20* Clippers/Warriors TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -3.5

I love the spot for the Los Angeles Clippers tonight.  We'll 'buy low' on them after going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  That assures they will be highly motivated for a victory, and now they've had a few games to work out their chemistry with Russell Westbrook.  At their best, this Clippers team is one of the best in the league and would crush this current version of the Golden State Warriors.

While the Clippers are fully healthy, the Warriors are without their two best players in Steph Curry and Andrew Wiggins right now.  They have six players on the injury report currently including Jordan Poole.  This version of them isn't good enough to hang with the Clippers, not even at home.

Los Angeles is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 road games after failing to cover five or six of its last seven games coming in.  Plays on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA Clippers) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against a team that is off a home win where they scored 110 or more points are 31-7 (81.6%) since 1996.  Bet the Clippers Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Temple PK

I love the spot for Temple tonight.  We'll 'buy low' on the Owls after losing five of their last six games against a brutal schedule.  They have been off since February 22nd so they are rested and ready to go and primed for a big effort on Senior Night, their final home game.

UCF is getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers for a team that is just 3-8 SU & 4-7 ATS in its last 11 games overall with two of those wins coming against AAC bottom feeder Tulsa.  The Knights already lost 70-77 at home to Temple in their first meeting this season as well.

UCF is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games following three consecutive games where they committed 14 or fewer turnovers.  Temple is 23-10 ATS in its last 33 games as a home favorite of 3 points or less or PK.  The Owls are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games following a loss.  Bet Temple Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Valparaiso ML +105

I love the spot for Valparaiso after a 76-77 (OT) loss at Murray State in their regular season finale.  The Beacons don't have to wait long for revenge and will be facing them on a neutral court this time around.  I believe they are the better team based on what I've seen here down the stretch and will get the job done in the rematch.

Valparaiso is much better than its record this season and has suffered seven losses in its last eight games, but six of those seven losses came by 10 points or fewer including two by a single point.  Murray State is 3-4 in its last seven games overall but has been much less competitive in the losses, losing by 43 at Indiana State, by 34 at home to Drake, by 35 at Bradley and by 15 at Missouri State.  The three wins came against Illinois State by 1, Valaparaiso by 1 and Evansville.

Valparaiso is 8-2 ATS vs. poor passing teams that average 12 or fewer assists per game this season.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Valparaiso on the Money Line Thursday.

20* AAC GAME OF THE WEEK on Wichita State +18

Only Memphis and Wichita State have played Houston tough in the AAC in recent seasons.  When you look at recent history in this series, the Shockers should not be catching this many points against the Cougars tonight.

Wichita State is 5-0 ATS in its last five meetings with Houston.  The Shockers haven't lost any of their last five meetings with the Cougars by more than 10 points.  They lost by 9 as 13-point home dogs, by 2 as 6.5-point home dogs, by 10 as 11-point road dogs, by 7 as 11-point road dogs upset them by 5 as 7-point home dogs.

The Shockers have done their best work on the road this season going 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five road games with upset wins at SMU, at Temple by 14 and at Tulane by 7.  The Shockers are 9-1 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  Wichita State is 35-14-2 ATS in its last 51 road games overall.  Bet Wichita State Thursday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on TCU -2

TCU has been one of the best teams in the country when Mike Miles Jr. has been healthy.  He returned three games ago and they promptly crushed Oklahoma State 100-75 to end a four-game losing streak.  They went on to lose at home to Kansas by 5 due to shooting just 30.3% and missing a ton of layups.  But they rebounded with an 83-82 road win at Texas Tech.

Now the Horned Frogs have their sights set on revenge from 75-79 road loss at Texas where they blew a 13-point halftime lead in their first meeting this season.  I like their chances of getting revenge at home this time around as a short favorite.

Texas is 4-5 SU & 3-6 ATS on the road this season.  That includes 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games losing by 11 at Iowa State, by 11 at Tennessee, by 8 at Kansas, by 7 at Texas Tech and by 9 at Baylor.  Keep in mind the Bears lost their best player in Keyonte George in the opening minutes of that game over the weekend and they still beat the Longhorns by 9.

TCU is 7-0 ATS in home games when revenging a road loss over the last two seasons.  The Longhorns are 2-9 ATS as road underdogs or PK over the last two years.  The Horned Frogs are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.  Bet TCU Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +7.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Milwaukee Bucks following 15 consecutive victories.  But now is the spot they let down playing the 2nd of a back-to-back following a comeback win at Brooklyn from 10 points down at halftime last night.

The Orlando Magic have been one of the most underrated teams in the NBA over the past couple months.  They have gone 25-13 ATS in their last 38 games overall.  The Magic are fully healthy right now and ultra competitive even against the best teams in the NBA.

Indeed, the Magic are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Orlando is 8-1 ATS vs. teams that make 14 or more 3-pointers per game this season.  Bet the Magic Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma +7.5

Oklahoma (14-15) is the best team in the country that currently has a losing record.  They have lost a ton of close games this season and still have a chance to make the NCAA Tournament with a big finish here despite their record.  They will be the more motivated team here against a Kansas State team that is comfortably in the NCAA Tournament and in the midst of a surprising 22-7 season.

Oklahoma clearly matches up well with Kansas State, winning 79-65 as 1.5-point favorites in their first meeting this season.  Now this has been a 9-point adjustment for flipping home courts, which is too much.  I fully expect this game to go down to the wire tonight.

Oklahoma's last three road games were very impressive as they took Baylor to the wire, only lost by 2 at Texas in OT and upset Iowa State by 11 as identical 7.5-point dogs.  The underdog is 11-5-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.  Bet Oklahoma Wednesday.

20* Cavs/Celtics ESPN No-Brainer on Cleveland +5.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Cleveland Cavaliers.  They had lost three straight before crushing the Toronto Raptors 118-93 at home on Sunday.  Now they have had the last two days off and are rested and ready to go tonight.

Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics will be playing in their 4th different city in 7 days.  They have been shaky since returning from the break, needing OT to beat the Pacers, winning by 3 over the 76ers and losing by 15 to the Knicks.  I fully expect this game to go down to the wire tonight.

The Cavaliers have had the Celtics number in their two meetings this season, pulling the 132-123 upset on the road as well as beating the Celtics at home.  They clearly match up well with them and that won't change here tonight.

Boston is 1-13 ATS when revenging a loss as a favorite this season.  The Celtics are 0-10 ATS when revenging a same-season loss this season.  The Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a win by more than 10 points.  Bet the Cavaliers Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Charlotte Hornets +10.5

The public is all over the Phoenix Suns tonight in anticipation of Kevin Durant's debut with the team.  That's why they are double-digit road favorites here when they shouldn't be, and we'll take advantage.  Chemistry will be an issue for the Suns in the immediate future trying to incorporate Durant, and he'll also be on a minutes restriction.

Couple that with the fact that La'Melo Ball just suffered a season-ending injury for the Hornets and the public is really on the Suns.  But teams tend to rally in their first game without their superstar, and the Hornets will do just that tonight.

The Hornets have quietly gone 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with three outright upsets as underdogs of 5.5 points or more.  They still have plenty of talent without Ball to compete with the Suns with the likes of Oubre Jr., Rozier and Hayward all healthy right now.

The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last six games when playing on two days' rest.  The Hornets are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a win.  Bet the Hornets Wednesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on DePaul +17.5

It's a good time to 'buy low' on DePaul following 10 consecutive losses where they have been competitive with nine losses by 14 points or fewer.  That includes an 84-90 road loss at Marquette as 14-point dogs last time out.  And now the Blue Demons are once again catching too many points at UConn tonight.

DePaul wants revenge from a 76-90 home loss to the Huskies as 11-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  I don't see UConn being focused enough to put away the Blue Demons by 18-plus points, which is what it's going to take to cover this inflated number.  We'll 'sell high' on a Huskies team that has won six of their last seven while going 5-2 ATS in the process.

DePaul is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games after scoring 30 points or fewer in the first half of two consecutive games.  UConn is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games after winning six or seven of its last eight games coming in.

Plays on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DePaul) - following 10 or more consecutive losses in Wednesday games are 79-40 (66.4%) ATS since 1997.  Bet DePaul Wednesday.

20* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Vanderbilt +10.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores have gone 6-1 SU in their last seven games overall with an upset road win over Florida as well as upset home wins over both Tennessee and Auburn.  They are playing their best basketball of the season and have an outside shot of making the NCAA Tournament, especially if they can beat Kentucky and Mississippi State to close out the season.

While the Commodores remain undervalued on a nightly basis and lacking the respect they deserve, the Wildcats are starting to get a ton of respect from oddsmakers after going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  It's time to 'sell high' on Kentucky following a blowout home win over Auburn last time out.

Vanderbilt as a road underdog is just pure gold.  That has been the case in this series as well as Vanderbilt is 6-0 ATS in its last six trips to Kentucky losing by 7 as 14.5-point dogs, by 3 as 11.5-point dogs, by 9 as 21-point dogs, by 9 as 13-point dogs, by 2 as 9-point dogs and by 6 as 10.5-point dogs.  As you can see, the Commodores haven't lost by more than 9 points in any of their last six trips to Kentucky.

The road team is 20-5-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings.  The Commodores are 37-18-1 ATS in their last 56 road games.  Vanderbilt is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games as an underdog of 10 or more points.  The Wildcats are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games after winning six or seven of their last eight games.  Kentucky is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games following four or more consecutive wins.  The Commodores are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games vs. teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game.  Bet Vanderbilt Wednesday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Louisville +10.5

Virginia Tech has now lost four of its last six games overall to fall to 16-13 on the season and will now have to win the ACC Tournament to make the big dance.  I think the Hokies will just be playing out the string in these final two games against Louisville and Florida State and will be lacking motivation until they get to the tournament.

Louisville has quietly gone 6-2 ATS in its last eight games overall with upset home wins over both Georgia Tech and Clemson.  The Cardinals have been competitive in 3-point losses to Virginia and Florida State, as well as an 8-point loss at Miami as 20-point dogs.  They also covered on the road at Duke.  Asking the Hokies to win by double-digits to beat us is asking too much tonight given their current mental state.

Virginia Tech is 1-9 SU & 1-9 ATS in its 10 road games this season with its lone win coming by 6 at Notre Dame.  The Hokies are 11-29-1 ATS in their last 41 road games.  The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.  Bet Louisville Tuesday.

20* Texas Tech/Kansas ESPN No-Brainer on Texas Tech +9.5

Texas Tech is playing its best basketball of the season here down the stretch to play itself into the NCAA Tournament.  The Red Raiders have gone 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall with two losses coming by 1 and 3 points.  They are catching too many points tonight against Kansas.

The Red Raiders want revenge from a 72-75 home loss to the Jayhawks in their first meeting this season.  This is a Kansas team that has been vulnerable at home losing by 23 to TCU, only beating Oklahoma by 4, Iowa State by 2, WVU by 2 and Oklahoma State by 2 in conference play this season.

Kansas is 9-19 ATS in its last 28 games following four or more consecutive wins.  Plays on road teams as an underdog or PK (Texas Tech) - revenging a home loss against an opponent that is off two consecutive close conference wins by 5 points or less are 170-104 (62%) ATS since 1997.  Bet Texas Tech Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana Pacers +9

The Indiana Pacers are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall with their lone loss coming in OT to the Celtics.  They went on the road and beat the Magic by 13 last time out, and I think they take the Dallas Mavericks to the wire tonight.  They are as healthy as they have been all season which is a big reason for their recent surge.

The Dallas Mavericks are over-hyped right now due to trading for Kyrie Irving.  They are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone victory coming against the worst team in the NBA in the San Antonio Spurs.  Asking the Mavericks to beat the Pacers by double-digits to beat us is asking too much tonight.

The Pacers are 13-3 ATS when playing just their 2nd game in 5 days this season.  The Mavericks are 13-27 ATS as favorites this season.  Dallas is 4-14 ATS in non-conference games this season.  The Mavericks are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Pacers Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Villanova ML -120

Villanova has been competitive in each of its last nine games since Justin Moore returned to the lineup.  Moore is getting better with each passing game and just had 25 points in an upset road win over Xavier two games back.  It was a team effort in an 79-67 upset win over Creighton on Saturday that moved the Wildcats closer to making the NCAA Tournament.

Now the Wildcats will crush Seton Hall on the road tonight.  Villanova just beat Seton Hall 58-54 at home on February 11th.  But that was a 53-39 game with under 3 minutes to go before a frantic comeback by the Pirates.  The Wildcats were clearly the better team, and that will prove to be the case again tonght.

Seton Hall has struggled down the stretch going 1-4 SU in its last five games overall with its lone victory coming at home over Georgetown by 8 as 11.5-point favorites.  Georgetown is the worst team in the Big East.  The Pirates lost by 13 at home to Creighton, by 9 at UConn and by 22 at home to Xavier in the three losses plus the misleading close loss to Villanova.

Seton Hall is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games when revenging a same-season loss.  The Pirates are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.  The road team is 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Bet Villanova on the Money Line Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5

I love the spot for the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight.  They will be out for revenge from a 115-124 home loss to the Sacramento Kings on Sunday, and now they get their shot at revenge here just two days later.  And there's a chance the Kings won't have De'Aron Fox, who is questionable with a wrist injury and means everything to them.  Either way I think the Thunder pull off the upset.

The Thunder are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a loss.  Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following an ATS loss.  The Thunder are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games after losing four or five of their last six games.  The Kings will suffer a letdown tonight after just beating this team two days ago.  Bet the Thunder Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Brooklyn Nets +6.5

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Milwaukee Bucks following 14 consecutive victories, and a great time to 'buy low' on the Brooklyn Nets following two consecutive losses while also losing four of their last five games overall.

It was going to take the Nets a few games to form some chemistry following the trades.  They played well in Atlanta losing 127-129 as 6.5-point dogs last time out.  And now they are back home for the first time since the break and will be highly motivated to try and knock off the Bucks.  Don't be surprised to see Milwaukee take them lightly tonight.

Brooklyn is 46-29 ATS in its last 75 games as an underdog.  The Nets are 19-10 ATS after playing a road game this season.  The Nets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.  Brooklyn is 25-9-1 ATS in its last 35 games after allowing more than 25 points in its previous game.  Brooklyn has an elite defender in Mikal Bridges to sick on Giannis, which is a factor that is getting overlooked here.  Bet the Nets Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on La Salle +14

La Salle has quietly gone 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall and have played some very competitive basketball with just one loss by more than 7 points in their last 10 games overall.  They are catching too many points here against the Dayton Flyers tongiht.

La Salle has done its best work on the road this season.  They are 9-2-1 ATS in their 12 road games this season which includes upset wins over UMass, St. Joseph's and St. Bonaventure.  They have only one road loss by more than 13 points all season.

Dayton just showed they were vulnerable with an upset home loss to George Mason as 11-point favorites last time out.  The Explorers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. poor pressure defensive teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game after 15-plus games.  La Salle has pulled the upset over Dayton in each of the last two meetings as 9.5-point home dogs and as 11.5-point road dogs.  Bet La Salle Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Georgia +2

Georgia wants revenge from a 75-82 road loss at Florida in their first meeting this season as 8.5-point underdogs.  Now the Bulldogs are catching 2 points at home in the rematch when they shouldn't be underdogs at all.

The Gators lost their best player in Colin Castleton (16.0 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 3.0 BPG) to a season-ending injury against Ole Miss.  That's a huge blow to a Gators team that was already short on talent.  They only have one other double-digit scorer, nobody else averages more than 4.7 rebounds per game, and nobody else even averages a block per game.  Simply put, Castleton means as much to Florida as almost any other player means to their team in the country.

The Gators are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall in what is quickly becoming a lost season.  They were outrebounded by 15 by Arkansas in a 19-point loss in their first game without him.  They were then outrebounded by 19 in an 8-point home loss to Kentucky in their second game without him.  And they were outrebounded by 11 in a 16-point loss at Vanderbilt in their third game without him.

Castleton has 12 points, 8 rebounds, 7 blocks and 5 assists in the first meeting with Georgia this season.  The Bulldogs will be glad to not have to deal with him this time around.  The Bulldogs have been great at home this season going 13-3 SU with upset wins over Auburn, Mississippi State and Kentucky.  Florida is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after three straight games being outrebounded by 6 or more.  The Gators are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.  Bet Georgia Tuesday.

25* Big East GAME OF THE YEAR on Butler +9.5

The Marquette Golden Eagles have already clinched at least a share of the Big East title.  They can win it outright when they host St. John's on Saturday, so they know they can afford to lose this game to Butler.  I don't think they will be fully focused as a result.

Butler wants revenge from a 52-60 loss at Marquette as 15-point dogs in their first meeting this season on February 4th.  So they already proved they could play with the Golden Eagles on the road, and asking Marquette to beat them by double-digits to beat us here is asking too much.

Butler comes in playing some of its best basketball of the season going 3-3 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall.  The Bulldogs beat St. John's at home and Xavier at home while also upsetting DePaul on the road.  

The Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a win and it's a great time to 'sell high' on them here.  They were shaky in their 8-point home win over DePaul as 14-point dogs last time out.  The Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet Butler Tuesday.

20* Baylor/Oklahoma State ESPN No-Brainer on UNDER 142.5

The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings between Oklahoma State and Baylor with combined scores of 132, 120 and 115 points at the end of regulation.  The total was set at 138.5 in the first meeting between these teams and is now set at 142.5 for the rematch.  This adjustment is not warranted, and there's a ton of value with the UNDER tonight.

That's especially the case considering Baylor is expected to be without leading scorer Keyonte George (16.3 PPG), who suffered an ankle injury early against Texas and was forced from the game on Saturday.  They did a good job of rallying without him, but they are much less potent without him until he returns.  They'll be up against the 12th-best defense in the country in Oklahoma State tonight.

The UNDER is 4-1 in Bears last five road games.  The UNDER is 9-6 in Oklahoma State's 15 home games this season where they are allowing just 62.5 points per game and 39.3% shooting.  They are also only scoring 69.5 points per game overall this season and struggle to get anything easy on offense.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on New Orleans Pelicans -3.5

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the New Orleans Pelicans following three consecutive road losses to the Lakers, Raptors and Knicks.  Now the Pelicans return home highly motivated for a victory where they are 20-10 SU & 17-13 ATS this season.

They host an Orlando Magic team that is quickly playing themselves out of playoff contention after going 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They barely beat the Pistons by 2 as 7.5-point home favorites in their first game back from the break, and were blown out by the Pacers by 13 as 2.5-point home favorites last time out.  This is a step up in class for them and now having to go on the road.

The Pelicans are 28-14 ATS in their last 42 games after losing four or five of their last six games.  New Orleans is 24-13 ATS in its last 37 games as a home favorite.  Plays against underdogs (Orlando) - off an upset losses as a favorite, in a game involving two teams that win 40-49% of their games are 26-9 (74.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Pelicans Monday.

20* UNC/Florida State ESPN No-Brainer on Florida State +8

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Florida State Seminoles.  They are 2-7 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall.  But they are as healthy as they have been in a long time and just showed what they were capable of with an 85-84 upset win at Miami on Saturday.  Now the Seminoles will come back highly motivated to upset North Carolina on National TV tonight.

The Tar Heels have been one of the most overrated teams in the country this season after making it to the championship game as an 8-seed last year.  The Tar Heels are 9-19-1 ATS in all games this season.  It's a terrible spot for the Tar Heels after beating ranked Virginia at home on Saturday and with their biggest rivals on deck in Duke.  That makes this a sandwich spot for them.

The Seminoles will be playing only their 2nd game in 9 days, while the Tar Heels will be playing their 3rd game in 6 days.  UNC is 6-9 SU & 2-12-1 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  The Tar Heels are 1-9 ATS in true road games this season.  The home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.  The Seminoles are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days.  Bet Florida State Monday.

20* Rutgers/Penn State Big Ten No-Brainer on Penn State -2.5

Penn State (17-11) is trying to play its way into the NCAA Tournament.  The Nittany Lions have come up clutch here down the stretch going 3-0 SU in their last three games overall including a 93-81 home win over Illinois.  They are now on the 'First 4 Out' line according to Joe Lunardi with some work to do.

Now I expect the Nittany Lions to get revenge on Rutgers after losing on the road to the Scarlet Knights in their first meeting.  This is a struggling Rutgers team that is 1-4 SU & 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games overall with its lone win coming by a single point against Wisconsin.  They were upset by 10 at home by Nebraska and upset by 13 at home to Michigan during this stretch.

Penn State is 12-2 SU & 9-5 ATS at home this season.  Rutgers is 3-6 SU & 3-5-1 ATS on the road this season and has been a terrible road team in Big Ten play over the past several seasons.  The Scarlet Knights are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five road games.  The Nittany Lions are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.  Bet Penn State Sunday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Cleveland Cavaliers -6.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Cleveland Cavaliers.  They are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall and highly motivated for a victory as a result.  The three losses came to the 76ers, Nuggets and Hawks, where they were playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  So the spots haven't been great for them, but this is a great spot here.

The Cavaliers are 25-7 SU & 21-11 ATS at home this season.  They had yesterday off and host a Toronto Raptors team that will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 95-91 win over lowly Detroit last night.  

It will also be the 2nd road game in 2 days and the 3rd game in 4 days overall for the Raptors.  Anunoby played over 38 minutes, Barnes 37, Trent Jr. 36 and Siakam 35 yesterday for the Raptors.  They also may be without VanVleet again.

Toronto is 1-13 ATS in its last 14 road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days.  The Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.  The Cavaliers are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 Sunday games.  Cleveland is 7-1-2 ATS in its last 10 games following a loss by more than 10 points.  Bet the Cavaliers Sunday.

15* Cincinnati/Memphis AAC ANNIHILATOR on Memphis -5

The Memphis Tigers are 12-1 at home this season.  They are a highly motivated team right now as they are one of the last teams in the NCAA Tournament according to Joe Lunardi, currently on the 'Last 4 Byes' line.  They can't afford to stumble here against Cincinnati.

That shouldn't be a problem for the Tigers, who have the Bearcats' number and clearly match up well with them.  The Tigers are 5-1 SU & 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings with all five victories coming by 6 points or more, and the lone loss coming on the road in OT.

Cincinnati is 22-50-3 ATS in its last 75 games following a win.  Cincinnati is 19-41-1 ATS in its last 61 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Bearcats are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games after scoring 80 points or more.  Bet Memphis Sunday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Loyola-Marymount/Pepperdine OVER 156

Pepperdine has been a dead nuts OVER team this season especially here down the stretch.  They are 19-7-1 OVER on the season including 13-2 OVER in their last 15 games overall.  They have combined for at least 153 points with their opponents in 14 of those 15 games, so this 156-point total is actually pretty short for them.

Pepperdine ranks 9th in the country in adjusted tempo and will control the tempo playing at home.  They take on a Loyola-Marymount team that also doesn't mind running ranking in the top half of the country in adjusted tempo.  The Lions have allowed at least 70 points in seven consecutive games, including 88 to Pacific and 108 to Gonzaga in their last two games coming in.

Pepperdine and Loyola-Marymount have combined for at least 154 points in each of their last three meetings.  They combined for 154 points in their first meeting this season with Pepperdine shooting just 38.3% from the field, so you have to expect them to improve on that end.

Marymount 11-1 OVER in its last 12 games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 45% shooting or higher.  The Lions are 9-0 OVER in their last nine games vs. a team with a losing record after 15-plus games.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Oregon State +9

The Oregon Ducks have gone 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall to play themselves out of the NCAA Tournament.  They know they will now need to win the Pac-12 Tournament to get in, and I expect them to just be playing out the string now until they get there.

Oregon State will be the more motivated team and wants revenge from a 68-77 road loss at Oregon as 13.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  Asking the Ducks to now go on the road and win by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.

Oregon State has pulled two impressive upsets in its last three home games, beating USC 61-58 as 9-point home dogs and Colorado 60-52 as 7.5-point home dogs.  The Beavers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after a combined score of 115 points or fewer this season.

Oregon is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after allowing 30 points or fewer in the first half of two consecutive games.  The Ducks are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.  Bet Oregon State Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Memphis Grizzlies ML -120

The Denver Nuggets have a six-game lead over the Memphis Grizzlies for first place in the Western Conference.  It's easy to see who is going to be the more motivated of these two teams, and I like the Grizzlies to win at home here Saturday to inch closer to the Nuggets.

Adding to Memphis' motivation is that they're coming off a 5-point road loss to Philadelphia, which is one of the toughest places to play in the NBA.  The Nuggets pulled the upset in Cleveland with a big 4th quarter in their first game back from the break and won't be as motivated as a result.

Speaking of tough places to play, Memphis is 24-5 SU at home this season.  Memphis is 38-17-1 ATS in its last 56 home games.  The Grizzlies are 10-1 ATS after scoring 105 points or fewer this season.  Memphis is 4-0 ATS in its last four home meetings with Denver.   Jaren Jackson Jr. is likely going to win Defensive Player of the Year and he matches up with Nikola Jokic as well as any big man in the league can.  Bet the Grizzlies on the Money Line Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New Orleans Pelicans +3

The New Orleans Pelicans are playing better going 4-3 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They lost by 5 on the road at Toronto in their first game back from the break, and I look for them to come back highly motivated for a victory tonight in New York as a result.

The Pelicans had yesterday off, while the Knicks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after coming back from double-digits down to beat the Washington Wizards 115-109 on the road last night.  Julius Randle played over 36 minutes and Jalen Brunson over 38 minutes for the Knicks last night.

New York is 10-22 ATS in its last 32 home games following a win.  Plays against any team (New York) - following two or more consecutive upset wins as road underdogs, when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back are 103-58 (64%) ATS since 1996.

Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (New Orleans) - following two or more consecutive road losses, a well-rested team playing 6 or fewer games in 14 days are 84-41 (67.2%) ATS since 1996.  The road team is 4-1 SU in the last five meetings.  Bet the Pelicans Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on SMU/USF OVER 148.5

South Florida has been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 21-7 OVER in all games this season and this is a very low total for a game involving the Bulls.  They are a very athletic team that likes to get up and down.

The OVER is 20-4 in Bulls' last 24 games overall.  We have seen at least 149 combined points in 11 of their last 12 games overall.  That includes an 80-82 loss at SMU in their first meeting this season that saw 162 combined points.  It should be more of the same in the rematch.

SMU is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games overall with 149 or more combined points in six of those 10 games.  The OVER Is 11-1 in Mustangs last 12 games following an ATS win.  This is going to be a carefree game with little defense being played.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Vanderbilt -3.5

The Gators lost their best player in Colin Castleton (16.0 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 3.0 BPG) to a season-ending injury.  That's a huge blow to a Gators team that was already short on talent.  They only have one other double-digit scorer, nobody else averages more than 4.7 rebounds per game, and nobody else even averages a block per game.  Simply put, Castleton means as much to Florida as almost any other player means to their team in the country.

The Gators are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall in what is quickly becoming a lost season.  They were outrebounded by 15 by Arkansas in a 19-point loss in their first game without him.  They were then outrebounded by 19 in an 8-point home loss to Kentucky in their second game without him.

Now the Gators have to go on the road and take on a hot Vanderbilt team that has gone 5-1 SU in its last six games overall while playing its best basketball of the season.  The Commodores have won all three home games during this stretch including upset victories over Tennessee and Auburn.  Vanderbilt F Liam Robbins (15.4 PPG, 7.0 RPG) is one of the best big men in the country and will have a field day not having to go up against Castleton.

Vanderbilt just won 88-80 at Florida on February 11th in their first meeting this season.  Robbins had 32 points and 10 rebounds while Castleton had 25 points and 11 rebounds in a tremendous battle of big men.  So that's a ton of production the Gators will be missing from that first meeting.

The Gators are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.  The Commodores are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.  Vanderbilt is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 February games.  The Commodores are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after a combined score of 155 points or more.  Bet Vanderbilt Saturday.

25* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on Middle Tennessee -6

Louisiana Tech (13-15) just lost its bet player in G Cobe Williams (18.8 PPG, 4.1 APG) as he is no longer with the team.  The Bulldogs couldn't afford to lose him.  He has been off the team for their last three games, a 62-72 home loss to North Texas as 4-point dogs, a 67-74 home loss to Charlotte as 1-point dogs and a 66-76 road loss at Western Kentucky as 4.5-point dogs.

So the Bulldogs are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS without Williams, and now the are in a tough spot here having to playing their 2nd road game in 3 days while being short-handed.  This isn't going to go well for them on the road against Middle Tennessee, which is 11-2 SU & 8-2-1 ATS at home this season with a huge home-court advantage.

Middle Tennessee blasted LA Tech in the first meeting this season 68-51 on the road even with Williams, who had 22 of their 51 points in the loss.  It's easy to see how much they are going to struggle here without him in the rematch.  They have failed to top 67 points in any of their last three games without Williams.

Middle Tennessee has had the last six days off, which gives them a huge advantage in rest and preparation over LA Tech playing its 2nd game in 3 days.  The Blue Raiders are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games following a home win.  Middle Tennessee is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games as a home favorite or PK.  The Blue Raiders are 16-1 ATS in their last 17 games following two consecutive games with 12 or fewer assists.  Bet Middle Tennessee Saturday.

15* K-State/Oklahoma State ESPNU ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma State -1

The Oklahoma State Cowboys return home highly motivated for a victory after three consecutive losses.  After losing at home to Kansas, the Cowboys went on the road and were also beaten badly by TCU and West Virginia.  They had won five consecutive games prior to this skid.

Now the Cowboys have their sights set on revenge from a 57-65 road loss at Kansas State in their first meeting this season.  Oklahoma State is 14-4 SU in its last 18 home meetings with the Wildcats.

Kansas State is coming off two consecutive home wins over Iowa State and Baylor.  Now the Wildcats hit the road where they are 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.

Oklahoma State is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 home games when playing only its 2nd game in a week.  The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Oklahoma State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 home games.  Bet Oklahoma State Saturday.

25* Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Baylor -3

I love the spot for the Baylor Bears today hosting the Texas Longhorns.  Baylor had won 10 of its previous 11 games before going on the road and losing to two of the top teams in the conference in Kansas and Kansas State.  They fell apart in the 2H of both of those games.

Now they return home highly motivated for a victory and primed for one of their biggest efforts of the season.  They also want revenge from a 71-76 road loss at Texas in their first meeting this season in a game that wasn't decided until the closing seconds.  They'll have their revenge on the Longhorns this time around at home.

It's time to 'sell high' on the Longhorns after consecutive home wins over Oklahoma and Iowa State, two teams that are really struggling right now.  It's easy to see the Longhorns are overvalued when you compare the line from the first meeting.  Baylor was actually a 1-point road favorite in that first meeting, and is now just a 3-point home favorite in the rematch.  So the books have only adjusted 2 points for flipping home courts.  There is a ton of value on Baylor as a result.

Texas is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 road games.  The Longhorns are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following a win.  The Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.  The favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet Baylor Saturday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE MONTH on Arkansas +9

Alabama has a lot of turmoil and distractions within their program right now.  That showed up when they needed OT to squeak out a 78-76 win at lowly South Carolina as 17-point favorites on Wednesday.  Now they only have two days to get ready for Arkansas and distractions will be an issue for the Crimson Tide the rest of the way.

Arkansas has had the last three days off an is coming off two of its most impressive performances of the season.  The Razorbacks crushed Florida 84-65 before beating Georgia even worse, 97-65.  So the Razorbacks should still be fresh for this one.

A big reason for their recent success is Eric Musselman giving star freshman Nick Smith more minutes.  When Smith plays at least 20 minutes, the Razorbacks are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS this season.  He just put up 26 points in the win over Georgia last time out and will be a problem the Crimson Tide have to deal with this time around that they didn't have to deal with in the first meeting.

The underdog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.  Arkansas is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games when revenging a loss, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when revenging a loss by 10 points or more.  The Razorbacks are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games following two conference wins.  Alabama is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 games after going over the total in two consecutive games.  Bet Arkansas Saturday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Villanova +4

Villanova has been competitive in each of its last eight games since Justin Moore returned to the lineup.  Moore is getting better with each passing game and just had 25 points in an upset road win over Xavier last time out.

Now the Wildcats have had the last three days off and will be out for revenge from a 61-66 loss at Creighton on February 4th just three weeks ago in a game that wasn't decided until the final seconds.  I think they are showing tremendous value catching 4 points at home today in a game I fully expect them to get their revenge and win outright.

Villanova is 8-1 ATS in its last nine home games when revenging a loss and outscoring opponents by a whopping 18.8 points per game in this spot.  Creighton is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games vs. teams that attempt 21 or more 3-pointers.  The Wildcats are 7-2 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last nine home meetings with Creighton.  The underdog is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  Bet Villanova Saturday.

15* TCU/Texas Tech ESPN 2 Early ANNIHILATOR on Texas Tech -2.5

Texas Tech has played its way back into the NCAA Tournament discussion in recent weeks while playing its best basketball of the season.  The Red Raiders have gone 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall with four consecutive wins coming in with three outright upsets and a win as a 1.5-point favorite.

Now the Red Raiders are only 2.5-point home favorites over TCU today and will continue their momentum.  The spot is a bad one for TCU coming off a home loss to Kansas, and a hangover can be expected.  The Horned Frogs have gone the other direction of late at 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  Yet they continue getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers here as a short road dog.

The Red Raiders will be out for revenge from a 61-67 road loss at TCU in their first meeting this season.  They have gone 13-4 SU & 9-7-1 ATS in their last 17 home meetings with TCU.  The Red Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games following two consecutive covers.  The Horned Frogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.  The home team is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet Texas Tech Saturday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Iowa -4

I love the spot for the Iowa Hawkeyes today.  They return home following consecutive road losses at Northwestern and at Wisconsin in which they could just not get a 3-pointer to fall.  Indeed, the Hawkeyes went 6-of-52 (11.5%) from 3-point range in those two games combined.

But now the Hawkeyes are back home where they have one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  Iowa is 13-2 SU & 12-3 ATS in its last 15 home games.  They will be out for revenge from a 61-63 road loss at Michigan State in their first meeting this season.  The Hawkeyes beat the Spartans 86-60 as 6-point home favorites last season.

It's time to 'sell high' on the Spartans, who have gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall with two home wins over Maryland and Indiana as well as a road win at Ohio State, which is 1-14 in its last 15 games.  They also lost by 12 at Michigan and are just 3-5 SU in true road games this season.

Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in its last six road games.  Iowa is 46-21-3 ATS in its last 70 home games.  The Hawkeyes are 8-2 ATS in home games vs. a team with a winning record this season.  The Spartans are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after making 88% of their free throws or better last game.  Iowa is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games after playing a game as a road underdog.  Bet Iowa Saturday.

15* Nevada/Fresno State FS1 Late-Night BAILOUT on Fresno State +3.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Nevada Wolf Pack.  They have gone 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall which includes a 77-66 home win over Fresno State as 9-point favorites on February 10th just two weeks ago.  That game was much closer than the final score as the Wolf Pack pulled away late, and it was a brutal beat for Fresno backers.

The Bulldogs now get their shot at revenge at home this time around here just two weeks later.  They are playing competitive basketball going 3-3 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games with two losses coming by 2 and 3 points to San Diego State and Colorado State, respectively.  They upset UNLV and Air Force on the road while also beating San Jose State by 8 at home.

The home team is a perfect 7-0 SU in the last seven meetings in this series.  The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  The Bulldogs are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games following two consecutive games with 8 or fewer turnovers.  The Wolf Pack are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road games.  Bet Fresno State Friday.

20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on Air Force +9.5

The Air Force Falcons have been an undervalued commodity this season at 17-12 ATS in their 29 games.  The are much better than they get credit for, and asking UNLV to beat them by double-digits to beat us tonight is asking too much.

UNLV is going through its worst stretch of the season right now going 1-4 SU in its last five games overall.  That includes upset home losses to Fresno State as 9.5-point favorites and San Jose State as 6.5-point favorites.  A big reason for the Rebels' struggles is the loss of Luis Rodriquez (11.2 PPG), who remains out tonight.

The Falcons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.  Air Force is 6-1 ATS in its last seven Friday games.  The Rebels are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.  The underdog is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.  Bet Air Force Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Nets/Bulls OVER 222.5

This is a pretty low total for an NBA game.  The Nets are better offensively than they get credit for after trading away Irving and Durant and getting back some really nice pieces in Dinwiddie, Bridges and Johnson along with the emergence of Cam Thomas.  The Bulls are very healthy coming out of the All-Star Break and should get their offense going after a rough finish to the break with six consecutive losses.

Plays on the OVER on all teams with a total of 220 to 229.5 (Chicago) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, winning between 40-49% of their games on the season are 97-57 (63%) since 1996.  The OVER is 9-3-1 in Nets last 13 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Charlotte Hornets +6.5

The Charlotte Hornets won their final two games going into the All-Star Break upsetting Atlanta as 5.5-point dogs and crushing the Spurs by 10 as 5-point favorites.  There's a lot to like about this team moving forward because they are as healthy as they have been in a long time.

La'Melo Ball, Gordon Hayward, Terry Rozier and Kelly Oubre Jr. have all missed significant time for the Hornets this season which has contributed to their struggles.  But they are all healthy coming out of the All-Star Break.  They are primed for a big effort here against the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves traded away De'Angelo Russell and are still without Karl-Anthony Towns, two of their three best players.  They are probably going to be a fade team the rest of the way until Towns returns because Anthony Edwards can't do it all on his own.

Charlotte simply owns Minnesota.  The Hornets have gone 5-1 SU & 5-0-1 ATS in their last six meetings with the Timberwolves with their lone loss coming in OT.  They beat the Timberwolves 110-108 as 6.5-point home underdogs in their first meeting this season.  Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games when playing in three or more days' rest.  Bet the Hornets Friday.

15* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Washington Wizards +2

The Washington Wizards have quietly gone 10-4 SU & 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  They actually rank 3rd in the NBA in net rating over their past 15 games, and only the Cavaliers and Bucks have been better.  They should not be home underdogs to the New York Knicks tonight.

The Knicks have gone 8-8 SU & 8-8 ATS in their last 16 games overall.  They rank 17th in net rating over their past 15 games.  They have been below average during this stretch, and they have no business being road favorites here.

Washington is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 home games after covering three of its last four coming in.  Bet the Wizards Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Diego +23

The Gonzaga Bulldogs have been one of the most overrated teams in the country this season.  They have gone 23-5 SU but just 9-17-1 ATS on the season.  And now they are in a terrible spot Thursday with St. Mary's on deck Saturday in a game that will decide the WCC regular season champion.  They can't help but look ahead to that game with revenge on their mind after losing to the Gaels in OT in their first meeting.

As a result, I expect a flat effort from the Bulldogs tonight that will allow San Diego to stay within this inflated number.  The Toreros have been much more competitive here of late going 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.  They upset Loyola-Marymount by 8 as 3.5-point home dogs, only lost by 5 at Santa Clara as 11.5-point dogs, only lost by 5 at Pacific and only lost by 3 at home to St. Mary's as 13.5-point dogs.  There's no way they should be 23-point dogs here to Gonzaga.

The Bulldogs are 9-22-2 ATS in their last 33 games overall.  Gonzaga is 7-15-3 ATS in its last 25 home games.  The Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.  Gonzaga is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better.  Bet San Diego Thursday.

15* Warriors/Lakers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -5

The Los Angeles Lakers sit in 13th place in the West and two games out of the play-in round and 3.5 games out of 6th place.  It's safe to say they will be fully focused and locked in here for the stretch run to try and make the playoffs.  They made some key trades that will help them, and they are fully healthy coming out of the break with both LeBron and Davis probable tonight.

The same cannot be said for the Warriors, who will be without their two best players in Steph Curry (29.4 PPG, 6.4 APG) and Andrew Wiggins (17.1 PPG, 5.0 RPG).  The Warriors are one of the worst road teams in the NBA this season to boot, going 7-22 SU & 9-20 ATS away from home this season.  This one has blowout written all over it.  Bet the Lakers Thursday.

20* WCC GAME OF THE MONTH on Pacific +19.5

St. Mary's is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games overall and consistently overvalued here down the stretch.  This is all about the spot though as the Gaels have Gonzaga on deck Saturday in a game that will decide the WCC regular season champion.  They can't help but to be looking ahead to that game.

We saw St. Mary's struggle to put away San Francisco in a 9-point win as 12-point home favorites the game prior to Gonzaga earlier this month.  I think they let down enough here to allow Pacific to stay within this inflated number tonight.

Pacific has gone 5-3 ATS in its last eight games overall which includes some very impressive performances.  The Tigers only lost by 9 as 18-point dogs to Gonzaga, upset Santa Clara outright as 12-point dogs and only lost by 2 at Loyola-Marymount as 9.5-point dogs, easily covering the spread in all three games against three of the better teams in this conference.

The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a loss.  The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The underdog is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  Bet Pacific Thursday.

20* NBA Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder come out of the All-Star Break as the 10th and final team to make the play-in round in the Western Conference.  They are just 1.5 games out of 6th place and a secured spot.  They have a lot to play for the rest of the way and are trending up, ranking 3rd in the NBA in net rating over their last 15 games.  Only the Cavaliers and Bucks have been better.

The Utah Jazz just made some big trades that indicate they are punting on this season.  They are in 11th in the West and faltering, going 2-5 SU In their last seven games while ranking 26th in net rating during this span.  They traded away Mike Conley hoping to get Collin Sexton (14.3 PPG) more minutes, but he's out tonight.  They also let Russell Westbrook walk to the Clippers.  What's left of this roster is an NBA bottom feeder.

The Thunder are 44-21-1 ATS in their last 66 road games.  Oklahoma City is 25-9-1 ATS in its last 35 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Thunder are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings, including 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in Salt Lake City.  Bet the Thunder Thursday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado -2.5

Colorado has one of the biggest home/road splits in the country and that's the case year in and year out. The Buffaloes are just 4-11 in all games played away from home this season, but they are 11-2 in Boulder with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  I expect Colorado to make easy work of USC tonight.

I love the spot for the Buffaloes coming off three consecutive road games at Utah, ASU and Arizona where they did good to come away with one win.  Now they are back home tonight for the first time since February 5th.  Meanwhile, USC hits the road following a pair of easy home wins over Cal and Stanford.  The Trojans were last seen losing by 18 at Oregon and getting upset by 3 at Oregon State in their last two road games.  Bet Colorado Thursday.

20* C-USA GAME OF THE MONTH on Western Kentucky -4

Louisiana Tech (13-14) just lost its bet player in G Cobe Williams (18.8 PPG, 4.1 APG) as he is no longer with the team.  The Bulldogs couldn't afford to lost him.  He has been off the team for their last two games, a 62-72 home loss to North Texas as 4-point dogs and a 67-74 home loss to Charlotte as 1-point dogs.

Now the Bulldogs go on the road for the first time without Williams and it won't go well for them tonight, either.  Western Kentucky wants revenge from an OT loss at Louisiana Tech in their first meeting this season.  Williams scored 20 points in 41 minutes for the Bulldogs in that first meeting.

Western Kentucky has won three consecutive home games and will be highly motivated not only for revenge, but to bounce back from two close road losses at Charlotte by 4 and at Rice by 6 in their last two games coming in.  Bet Western Kentucky Thursday.

20* NBA Thursday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New Orleans Pelicans +6

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the New Orleans Pelicans.  They went 4-12 SU & 5-10-1 ATS in their final 16 games going into the All-Star Break as they were really banged up.  They are still without Zion Williamson, but they are healthy everywhere else and come out of the break playing with a chip on their shoulder.  They are just a half-game back of the 6th spot in the West to avoid the play-in round despite their recent struggles.

I like their chances of staying within 6 points of the Toronto Raptors, who we'll 'sell high' on after winning five of their final six games going into the break against an extremely soft schedule of Houston, San Antonio, Detroit, Orlando, Utah and Memphis.  Both OG Anunoby and Thaddeus Young are questionable for the Raptors tonight.

Toronto is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 home games following a win by 10 points or more.  The Pelicans are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last six trips to Toronto.  Bet the Pelicans Thursday.

15* NBA Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Orlando Magic -6.5

I keep riding the Orlando Magic and they keep delivering.  The Magic have quietly gone 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games overall with outright upset wins over Boston (three times), Philadelphia, Golden State, Denver and the Clippers among others.  They are much better than the books and the bettors are giving them credit for.

Now the Magic come out of the break with their sights set on revenge from two losses at Detroit in their first two meetings this season, both of which came in 2022.  They have been a completely different team in 2023 with a positive net rating over their last 15 games.  They are much better than the Detroit Pistons.

The Pistons look to be tanking and there's just not much to like about them right now.  They lost five of their final six games prior to the All-Star Break with their lone win coming at home over the lowly Spurs in OT.  They rank 27th in the net rating over their past 15 games and 28th on the season.  They sit at 15-44 on the season.

Orlando is 13-3 ATS after playing two consecutive road games this season.  The Magic are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss.  Orlando is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games following a SU loss.  Bet the Magic Thursday.

25* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Cleveland Cavaliers -2

The Denver Nuggets are fat and happy coming out of the All-Star Break sitting in first place in the West with a five-game lead over Memphis.  I don't expect them to come out of the break playing with a sense of urgency.  They definitely aren't healthy coming out of the break with Jamal Murray (20.2 PPG, 5.8 APG) battling a knee injury and questionable, while Aaron Gordon (17.3 PPG, 6.9 APG) is out.

Cleveland went into the break playing some of the best basketball in the NBA going 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in their final eight games with all seven victories coming by 8 points or more.  They did lost at Philadelphia in their final game, and that will help them come out of the break more motivated.  Not that they are lacking any motivation as they are in 4th place in the East and only five games back of first place.

The Cavaliers come out of the break fully healthy with the exception of Ricky Rubio, who they have been without for most of the season anyway.  They have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA going 25-6 SU & 20-10-1 ATS at home this season while outscoring opponents by 8.8 points per game.  Denver is a mediocre 14-4 SU & 12-16 ATS on the road this season.

Denver is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games following three consecutive games where they made 47% shots or better, including 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games following two consecutive games where they made 50% of their shots or better.  Cleveland has the big men defensively that will make life on Nikola Jokic much more difficult than he's used to on a nightly basis.  Bet the Cavaliers Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on North Texas -2.5

North Texas (23-5, 14-3 C-USA) is a half-game back of Florida Atlantic for first place in Conference USA.  They have a lot to play for here down the stretch and won't be taking Charlotte lightly tonight.

That's key here because they won't be complacent after crushing Charlotte 67-43 at home in their first meeting this season.  Now they come back as just 2.5-point road favorites here in a game they should win going away.

Charlotte is just 4-6 SU & 4-6 ATS in its last 10 games overall with the four wins coming against WKU (twice by 4), LA Tech without Cobe Williams and UTEP.  They don't have much of a home-court advantage as they have lost three of their last four home games despite being 7.5-point favorites in two of them.

North Texas is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 February games.  The Mean Green are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games following three consecutive covers as a favorite.  Charlotte is 0-6 ATS in its last six games following two consecutive conference wins.  The Mean Green are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.  North Texas is 23-8-3 ATS in its last 34 road games.  Bet North Texas Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Penn State +2

Penn State sits at 16-11 on the season and currently on the 'Next 4 Out' line according to Joe Lunardi.  That means they have some work to do to make the NCAA Tournament, and thus they won't be taking Ohio State lightly tonight.

Ohio State has been the single-most overrated team in the country in conference play this season.  They have gone just 1-13 SU & 1-13 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  Yet here they are once again a home favorite over a team they shouldn't be favored against.  

Their last three games have seen the Buckeyes lose by 27 at Purdue, by 17 at Iowa and by 21 at home to Michigan State.  Not to mention, they just lost Zed Key (10.8 PPG, 7.5 RPG) to a season-ending injury and will no longer have him the rest the way.

The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  The underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Penn State Thursday.

20* New Mexico/Boise State FS1 Late-Night BAILOUT on New Mexico +6.5

New Mexico opened 19-3 this season and looked like a shoe-in to make the NCAA Tournament.  Instead, they have gone 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall to put their tournament hopes in jeopardy.  It's now time to 'buy low' on the Lobos as 6.5-point road underdogs at Boise State tonight.

The loss at Utah State that started this poor run is understandable, and then they lost on a buzzer-beater at home to Nevada.  They lost their best player on Jaelen House (16.9 PPG, 4.6 APG) in that loss to Nevada for two games, which saw them get upset by Air Force and Wyoming.  House returned to help lead the Lobos to a 96-68 blowout victory at San Jose State and he makes all the difference for this team.

The Lobos last played on Friday and have had the last four days off to rest and recover and prepare to beat Boise State again after already topping the Broncos at home in their first meeting.  Meanwhile, Boise State has only had the last two days off after a narrow 73-69 home win over UNLV on Sunday.  That's a big edge in rest and preparation for the Lobos.

Boise State is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after two straight games making 78% of their free throws or better.  The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall and once again overvalued here as a 6.5-point home favorite in a game that is likely going to come down to the final possession.  Bet New Mexico Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Georgetown +2.5

The Georgetown Hoyas have quietly gone 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They have just two outright wins to show for it during this stretch, but their hard work will pay off tonight as they get an upset home victory over a team they can handle in St. John's.

The Hoyas will be out for revenge from a 73-75 road loss at St. John's in their first meeting this season.  Now they get them at home this time around and face a struggling Red Storm team that has gone just 3-6 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall with five losses by 8 points or more.

The Red Storm are just 2-7 SU in true road games this season.  St. John's is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet Georgetown Wednesday.

25* AAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Tulane +15.5

Tulane is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall and continues to be undervalued here as a 15.5-point road underdog to Houston.  The Green Wave have pulled off impressive road wins as underdogs at Wichita State and at Memphis while also crushing USF by 18 on the road during this stretch.

The Green Wave now have their sights set on revenge from a 20-point home loss to Houston as 10.5-point underdogs in their first meeting this season on January 17th.  This team has improved by leaps and bounds since then, and has played their best basketball on the road this season.  The Green Wave are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.

Houston has consistently been overvalued at home this season, especially in conference play.  The Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.  They only beat UCF by 6 as 15-point favorites, South Florida by 6 as 23-point favorites, lost outright to Temple as 19-point favorites, only beat Cincinnati by 6 as 14-point favorites and only beat Memphis by 8 as 14.5-point favorites.

Tulane is 6-0 ATS after playing a road game this season.  The road team is 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings as home-court advantage has meant very little in this series.  The Cougars will get more of a battle than they bargained for tonight.  Bet Tulane Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on South Florida/UCF OVER 141

South Florida has been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 20-7 OVER in all games this season and this is a very low total for a game involving the Bulls.  They are a very athletic team that likes to get up and down.

In their first meeting this season, USF pulled the 85-72 upset as 4.5-point home underdogs over UCF in a game that saw 157 combined points.  It's not like either team shot lights out either as USF shot 44.3% while UCF shot 41.8%.  So there's actually room for improvement offensively from both teams in this rematch.

UCF is 7-0 OVER when revenging a loss this season.  The OVER is 8-0 in Bulls last eight games following an ATS loss.  The OVER is 9-0 in Bulls last nine road games.  The OVER is 6-0 in Bulls last six home games.  These four trends combine for a perfect 30-0 system backing the OVER tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Vanderbilt -2.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores are quietly playing their way back into the NCAA Tournament discussion.  They have gone 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall which includes upset home wins over Tennessee and Auburn as well as an upset road win at Florida.

Now the Commodores should have no problem making it six in a row against the worst team in the SEC in the LSU Tigers.  The Tigers are 0-14 SU & 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall with 12 losses by 8 points or more as they have rarely even been competitive.  They just lost by 9 as 7.5-point home favorites to South Carolina and look to have quit on their season.

Vanderbilt is 8-0 ATS in its last eight road games following a conference win.  The Commodores are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games with a total set of 140 to 149.5.  Vanderbilt is 37-17-1 ATS in its last 55 road games, including 22-6-1 ATS in its last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Bet Vanderbilt Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Valparaiso +8.5

Bradley is tied with Drake for for first place in the Missouri Valley with two games remaining.  Well, Bradley hosts Drake on Sunday in a game that will decide the the regular season conference champion.  I have no doubt the Braves are looking ahead to that game and overlooking Valparaiso here.

Valparaiso has been much better than its record would indicate.  The Beacons are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games overall, which includes OT losses at home to Drake and on the road at Missouri State.  They have proven they can play with the best teams in the conference, and I expect them to take Bradley to the wire tonight.

Valparaiso is 8-6 SU at home this season with only two losses all season by more than 7 points.  Bradley is 14-1 at home but just 7-7 SU & 5-9 ATS in their 14 games played away from home.  The Beacons are 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six home meetings with Bradley.

Bradley is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games after scoring 60 points or less.  The Braves are 1-12 ATS in their last 12 road games after allowing 25 points or fewer in the first half last game.  The Beacons are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.  The home team is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  Bet Valparaiso Wednesday.

20* Kentucky/Florida ESPN No-Brainer on Kentucky -2.5

The Kentucky Wildcats have gone 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall and are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  I expect them to put it on the Florida Gators, who are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall in what is quickly becoming a lost season.

The Gators lost their best player in Colin Castleton (16.0 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 3.0 BPG) to a season-ending injury.  That's a huge blow to a Gators team that was already short on talent.  They only have one other double-digit scorer, nobody else averages more than 4.7 rebounds per game, and nobody else even averages a block per game.  Simply put, Castleton means as much to Florida as almost any other player means to their team in the country.

They lost their first game without Castleton 65-84 at Arkansas and were outrebounded by 15.  Kentucky beat Florida 72-67 as 4.5-point home favorites in their first meeting this season despite 25 points, 8 rebounds and 3 blocks from Castleton.  They won despite their best player in Oscar Tshiebwe going 2-of-14 for 4 points as Castleton shut him down.  Without him now, the Gators have no chance of stopping Tshiebwe inside and will get dominated on the boards.  Bet Kentucky Wednesday.

15* Indiana/Michigan State ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Michigan State -3

I like the spot for Michigan State tonight.  They are coming off a road loss at Michigan and will be looking to bounce back at home where they are 10-2 SU this season with their two losses coming to Purdue by 1 and Northwestern early in the season.

The spot favors the Spartans as they will be playing just their 2nd game in 9 days.  Meanwhile, Indiana will be playing in its 3rd different city in 7 days.  The Hoosiers are coming off a big comeback 71-68 home win over Illinois who were playing without their best player in Shannon.  They also lost by 2 at Northwestern the game prior, and each of their last five games were decided by 6 points or fewer.  They have been through the gauntlet and won't have much left in the tank for Michigan State.

The Spartans want revenge from a road loss at Indiana in their first meeting this season.  I like their chances of getting revenge considering they are 18-2 SU & 14-6 ATS in their last 20 home meetings with the Hoosiers.  The Hoosiers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games.  The Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.  The home team is 26-10 ATS in the last 36 meetings.  Bet Michigan State Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Georgia Tech +12.5

The Pittsburgh Panthers have been one of the most surprising teams in all of college basketball at 19-8 this season.  But you are paying a tax to back them now, especially after going 6-1 SU in their last seven games overall.  They finally had their six-game winning streak snapped with a 72-79 loss at Virginia Tech last time out, and are now likely to be flat at home against Georgia Tech as a result.

Georgia Tech has quietly gone 4-0 ATS in its last four games overall.  They only lost by 8 at NC State as 15-point dogs, upset Notre Dame at home, only lost by 1 at Wake Forest as 13-point dogs, upset Virginia Tech by 7 as 8-point home dogs and crushed Florida Tech by 23 at home.  They are playing their best basketball of the season right now and catching too many points here.  Asking Pitt to beat them by 13-plus points to beat us is asking too much.  Bet Georgia Tech Tuesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Virginia Tech -2

The Virginia Tech Hokies made a big run at the end of last season to win the ACC Tournament and get into the field.  A big finish here again could get them into the big dance as they have ranked games against Miami and Duke in their next two games and need to win both.

The Hokies are starting to play up to their potential of late going 5-3 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last eight games overall with home wins over Duke, Syracuse, Virginia and Pitt.  They can handle Miami, which hasn't been nearly as good on the road as they have been at home.

The Hokies want revenge from an 83-92 road loss at Miami in their first meeting this season.  Virginia Tech is 12-3 SU & 9-6 ATS at home this season, including 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five home games.  The Hokies are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better.  The Hokies are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games following an ATS win.  This is a must-win for them and they'll get the job done.  Bet Virginia Tech Tuesday.

25* SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Texas A&M ML -115

Texas A&M has been one of the most undervalued teams in the country over the last few seasons under Buzz Williams.  He's one of my favorite head coaches in the country.  The Aggies are 20-7 SU & 18-9 ATS this season including 12-2 SU & 10-4 ATS in SEC play with a legit shot to win the conference.

The Aggies have a tremendous home-court advantage at 13-1 SU & 10-4 ATS this season.  It will be a packed house tonight with ranked Tennessee coming to town.  The Volunteers have been one of the most overrated teams in the country in recent weeks and just can't be trusted to score despite being great defensively.

Tennessee is 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.  That includes a 13-point loss at Florida as a 4.5-point favorite, an upset loss at Vanderbilt as a 10-point favorite, an upset home loss to Missouri as a 12.5-point favorite and an upset loss at Kentucky by 12 as a favorite.  The Volunteers have scored 54 or fewer points in three of their last six games, and 68 or fewer points in five of the six.

Texas A&M is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games as a home favorite or PK.  The Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  Bet Texas A&M Tuesday.

20* Oklahoma State/WVU ESPN 2 No-Brainer on UNDER 143.5

Oklahoma State beat West Virginia 67-60 for just 127 combined points in their first meeting this season on January 2nd.  The total was set at 138.5 points for that game, and now has been set 5 points higher for the rematch at 143.5.  There is a ton of value on the UNDER here tonight as a result.

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games, and these teams always tend to play in defensive battles.  Each of their last four meetings have seen 141 or fewer combined points.  Oklahoma State ranks 9th in adjusted defense while West Virginia ranks 56th.

A big reason this total has been inflated is due to WVU going over the total in six of its last seven games including a 150-point effort against Texas Tech last time out.  The same can be said for the Cowboys, who have gone over the total in seven of their last eight games including a 175-point effort against TCU last time out.  Points will be much harder to come by tonight.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Nebraska +5.5

Nebraska comes in playing its best basketball of the season right now.  The Huskers have gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.  They upset Penn State by 9 as 5-point home dogs, upset Wisconsin by 10 as 3-point home dogs and upset Rutgers by 10 as 14-point road dogs.

Now the Huskers are catching 5.5 points at home today against a Maryland team that is in a huge letdown spot.  The Terrapins are coming off a 68-54 home win over No. 3 ranked Purdue on Thursday.  Now they have just two days to get ready for Nebraska, while the Huskers have had the last four days off after beating Rutgers on Tuesday.

Maryland is just 2-6 SU in true road games with their two wins coming against Louisville and Minnesota, two of the worst Power 5 teams in the country.  They lost by 5 at Wisconsin, by 35 at Michigan, by 14 at Rutgers, by 14 at Iowa and by 5 at Michigan State while also losing at Purdue.

Plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Nebraska) - revenging a same-season loss, off an upset win as a road underdog of 12 or more points at 47-16 (74.6%) ATS since 1997.  The Terrapins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Huskers are 6-0 ATS in their last six Sunday games.  The Huskers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.  Bet Nebraska Sunday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE MONTH on Southern Illinois +2

Southern Illinois wants revenge from a 52-62 road loss at Bradley in their first meeting this season earlier this month on February 1st.  I like their chances of getting their revenge at home this time around.

The Salukis are 12-1 SU at home this season, so getting them as a home underdog is a nice proposition.  Their lone home loss came to Indiana State by 3 points early in the season.  They have beaten the likes of Belmont by 18, Drake by 4 and Missouri State by 20 at home this season.

Bradley is overvalued right now after going 7-0 SU in their last seven games overall against an extremely soft schedule.  They have wins over Illinois State (twice), Murray State, Illinois-Chicago, Northern Iowa, Missouri State and SIU during this stretch.  We'll gladly 'sell high' on the Braves today.

Bradley is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 road games.  The Braves are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games following two consecutive games where their opponents was called for 15 or fewer fouls.  Bradley is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games after committing eight or fewer turnovers last game.  Bet Southern Illinois Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on NC State -2

NC State wants revenge from a 69-80 road loss at North Carolina in their first meeting this season.  The Tar Heels have been faltering since and are scuffling inside their own locker room.  They are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone win coming at home to Clemson.  They were also upset at home by both Miami and Pitt during this stretch, while losing at Duke and at Wake Forest.

NC State has had a big home-court advantage this season at 12-1 SU on the year.  North Carolina is 5-8 SU & 2-10 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  The Tar Heels are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games when the line is +3 to -3.  The Tar Heels are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet NC State Sunday.

15* Auburn/Vanderbilt SEC ANNIHILATOR on Vanderbilt +3.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores are playing their best basketball of the season right now and quietly working their way back into the NCAA Tournament discussion.  They have gone 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.  They upset Tennessee as 10-point home dogs and Florida as 8.5-point road dogs during this stretch.

Now they host an Auburn team that has been dreadful on the road this season.  Indeed, the Tigers are just 4-5 SU in true road games this season with their four wins coming against Washington, Ole Miss, LSU and South Carolina.  None of those teams are even sniffing the NCAA Tournament.

Auburn is 7-22 ATS in its last 29 road games following a game where they made 50% of their 3-pointers or better.  They shoot just 29.9% from 3-point range this season.  The Tigers are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games following a win, including 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win.  Bet Vanderbilt Saturday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tulane/South Florida OVER 155.5

Tulane ranks 5th in the country in adjusted tempo.  The Green Wave consistently play in shootouts as they are 14-9 OVER in all games this season.  Now they face a South Florida team that will have no problem getting up and down with them as they are playing a lot faster this season and are 20-6 OVER as a result.

The OVER is 10-1 in USF's last 11 games overall with combined scores of 154 or more points in nine of their last 10 games.  Tulane is 4-1 OVER in its last five games overall with combined scores of 160 or more points in four of those five contests.

Tulane is 6-0 OVER in all games played away from home this season.  USF is 9-1 OVER following a win this season.  USF is 8-0 OVER vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 4-plus points per game this season.  The OVER is 9-0 in Bulls last nine games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  These four trends combine for a 32-1 system backing the OVER.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Creighton/St. John's Big East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 150.5

St. John's ranks 3rd in the country in adjusted tempo and will control the tempo playing at home today against Creighton.  They face a Bluejays team that ranks 27th in adjusted offense and will get up and down with them, no problem.

We saw that in the first meeting this season with Creighton winning 104-76 for 180 combined points on January 25th.  We have nearly 30 points to spare here with this 150.5-point total.  Shootouts have been nothing new in this series as Creighton and St. John's have combined for 180, 159, 151, 176, 170, 161 and 176 points in their last seven meetings, respectively.

As you can see, each of the last seven meetings have seen 151 or more combined points, making for a perfect 7-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 150.5-point total.  St. John's is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Pepperdine +16.5

Pepperdine has a ton of young talent and it's starting to show here late in the season.  The Waves have gone 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall upsetting Portland at home, upsetting BYU by 12 as 7.5-point home dogs and losing only by 8 as 9-point dogs at San Francisco.

Now the Waves have had the last week off to rest and get ready to try and knock off mighty Gonzaga.  I think this is a great time to 'sell high' on the Bulldogs after one of their most dominant performances of the season Thursday in a revenge-fueled blowout at Loyola-Marymount after recently losing at home to the Lions.  Now they just have one day to get ready for Pepperdine and feel like they just have to show up to win, which won't be the case.

Gonzaga is 1-8 ATS following an ATS win this season.  The Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games after leading their previous game by 15-plus points at halftime.  Gonzaga is 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games.  The Bulldogs are 9-21-2 ATS in their last 32 games overall.  Bet Pepperdine Saturday.

25* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Syracuse ML +105

The Syracuse Orange have come up clutch of late to try and make the NCAA Tournament.  They have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their lats three games overall winning by 9 at Boston College, by 9 at Florida State and by 3 at home over NC State.  Now they could really use a win over Duke to help their resume.

Syracuse has been handling its business at home this season, while Duke has been atrocious on the road.  The Blue Devils are 2-6 SU & 1-7 ATS in true road games this season with their two wins coming at Georgia Tech and at Boston College (by 1), two of the worst teams in the ACC.  They lost by 11 at Wake Forest, by 24 at NC State, by 8 at Clemson, by 3 at VA Tech, by 22 at Miami and by 7 at Virginia.

Syracuse is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games when the line is +3 to -3.  The Blue Devils are 0-8 ATS vs. good shooting teams that make 45% of their shots or better after 15-plus games this season.  Duke is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games.  The Blue Devils are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Orange are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Syracuse on the Money Line Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Villanova +4.5

This is a terrible spot for Providence.  They are coming off a 94-86 (Double OT) home win over the Creighton Bluejays.  This is now a letdown spot, especially after already beating Villanova by 5 on the road in their first meeting this season.

But this isn't the same Villanova team they faced the first time around.  The Wildcats have played the last six games with Justin Moore (10.0 PPG, 4.7 APG), who has progressively been getting better.  They have lost three tough games in their first three games with him by 5 to Providence, by 9 at Marquette in a game they led late, and by 5 at Creighton in a game they also led late.  

The Wildcats have since gone 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in their last three games overall beating DePaul by 16, Butler by 12 and Seton Hall by 4 in a game they led by 11 in the final minute.  Now the Wildcats have their sights set on revenge on the Friars, and they could really use this upset victory to help their NCAA Tournament chances.

Villanova is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 road games following a home win, including 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games following a conference home win.  Bet Villanova Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Villanova/Providence UNDER 138.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  I cashed the UNDER 138 in the first meeting between these teams as Providence won 70-65 for 135 combined points.  Now they have set the total in the same ball park for the rematch, and it's too high again.  Providence shot 50% in that first meeting and that's not going to happen again.

Villanova plays a style the forces their opponents to play in the half court.  They rank 343rd in adjusted tempo this season.  Providence ranks 190th in adjusted tempo, so they rank in the bottom half in terms of pace, too.

Providence is 11-3 UNDER in its last 14 games following an upset win as an underdog.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Wildcats last seven games overall.  The UNDER is 4-0 in Wildcats last four gams following a win.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Friars last six games overall.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on DePaul +13.5

Xavier is without one of its best players in Zach Freemantle (15.2 PPG, 8.1 RPG) and it has shown of late.  The Musketeers are 2-3 SU & 2-3 ATS in their last five games overall with their two wins coming over St. John's and by 2 over Providence.

Now they are laying too many points without Freemantle against DePaul, which already beat Xavier 73-72 as 8-point home underdogs.  Now the Blue Demons are catching too many points (13.5) on the road in the rematch.  That's especially the case when you consider each of the last four meetings in this series were decided by 4 points or less.  

Xavier hasn't won any of its last 11 meetings with DePaul by more than 11 points, making for an 11-0 system backing the Blue Demons pertaining to this 13.5-point spread.  The Blue Demons are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following two or more consecutive ATS losses.  

We'll gladly 'buy low' on the Blue Demons after losing seven consecutive games while going 1-6 ATS in the process.  They are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 10 days against a familiar foes that they match up well with.  Bet DePaul Saturday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma +11

The Oklahoma Sooners want revenge from a 69-70 home loss to Texas as 2.5-point underdogs in their first meeting this season.  Now the Sooners are catching a whopping 11 points on the road in the rematch against their biggest rivals.  This is simply too much folks.

We'll 'buy low' on the Sooners, who have gone 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  We'll 'sell high' on the Longhorns, who have gone 5-3 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last eight games overall.  The Longhorns due have a good home-court advantage, but it hasn't meant much in this series with Oklahoma.

Indeed, the road team is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.  The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.  The underdog is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings.  I expect this game to be decided by single-digits either way.  Bet Oklahoma Saturday.

20* Tennessee/Kentucky CBS No-Brainer on UNDER 135.5

Tennessee ranks 1st in the country in adjusted defense this season but struggles to score the ball.  The Volunteers have been held to 68 or fewer points in four of their last five games, including 54 against Florida and 46 against Auburn.  Kentucky hasn't scored more than 76 points in any of its last eight games overall.  

The Wildcats rank 277th in adjusted tempo while the Volunteers rank 255th, so this game will be played at snail's pace.  That was the case in the first meeting as Kentucky pulled the 63-56 upset at Tennessee for just 119 combined points.

Both teams have significant injuries right now that are hampering them offensively.  Tennessee has been without both James (9.5 PPG) and Phillips (9.0 PPG) and both are questionable to return today.  Kentucky remains without Wheeler (7.7 PPG) and could be without Fredrick (7.3 PPG) again.

Tennessee is 9-1 UNDER in its last 10 games following two consecutive home games.  Kentucky is 15-5 UNDER in its last 20 home games following a close win by 3 points or less.  The UNDER is 27-13 in Vols' last 40 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Wisconsin +1.5

Wisconsin is starting to play up to its potential again with upset road wins over Ohio State and Northwestern as well as a home win over Michigan in three of its last five games.  The Badgers still have one of the best home-court advantages in the country, and they should not be home underdogs to Rutgers today.

Rutgers has one of the biggest home/road splits in the country.  The Scarlet Knights are 3-7 SU in all games played away from home this season.  They are struggling coming into this one going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall which includes an upset loss to Nebraska by 10 as 14-point home favorites last time out.  A big reason for their struggles is the loss of big man Mawot Mag (7.8 PPG, 5.3 APG), who missed each of their last three games, all losses.

Wisconsin is 5-1 SU in its last six home meetings with Rutgers.  The Scarlet Knights are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games losing by 9 at Illinois, by 6 at Indiana, by 11 at Iowa and by 13 at Michigan State.  Bet Wisconsin Saturday.

20* Mountain West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Jose State -1

Tim Miles is one of the best in the business at reviving programs from the dead.  He did it at Nebraska, and he's doing it at San Jose State.  Miles has led the Spartans to a 16-10 start this season and they've been one of the most underrated teams in the country, going 17-8 ATS in their 25 lined games.

The Spartans have been really good at home, going 10-2 SU & 8-3 ATS and have been mighty impressive recently at home.  They upset Utah State as 6-point home dogs, beat Wyoming by 20, Air Force by 30 and Fresno State by 10 in their last four home games.  Now they have their sights set on revenge from a loss at New Mexico in their first meeting this season.

But the Lobos aren't playing anywhere near as well as they were in that first meeting.  They have gone 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall with four consecutive losses.  They followed up a 12-point loss at Air Force as 5.5-point favorites with a 14-point home loss to Wyoming as 9-point favorites in their last two games.  They were without second-leading scorer Jaelen House (17.3 PPG, 4.6 APG) for both games and he remains questionable tonight with a hamstring injury.

The Lobos are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  The Spartans are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall.  San Jose State is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games.  The Spartans are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games revenging a loss where they scored less than 60 points.  The Spartans are 13-2 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season.  Bet San Jose State Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Loyola-Marymount +8.5

Gonzaga has been one of the most overrated teams in the country all season.  The Bulldogs are 21-5 SU but just 8-16-1 ATS.  They take on a Loyola-Marymount team that has been one of the most underrated all season.  The Lions are 17-10 SU & 16-9-1 ATS this season.

Loyola-Marymount already upset Gonzaga outright as 16.5-point road underdogs in their first meeting this season, handing the Bulldogs their lone home loss.  Yes, Gonzaga will be out for revenge, but they simply aren't good enough to go on the road and beat the Lions by 9-plus points, which is what it's going to take to beat us.

Loyola-Marymount is 12-2 SU & 10-3 ATS at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  Their two home losses both came by exactly 2 points.  They upset St. Mary's as 6.5-point home dogs in their last home game, so they have wins over each of the top two teams in this conference.

The Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games.  Gonzaga is 8-21-2 ATS in its last 31 games overall.  The Lions are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games.  Loyola-Marymount is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games following a loss.  Bet Loyola-Marymount Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Arizona -10.5

I love the spot for the Arizona Wildcats tonight.  They will be max motivated coming off an upset loss at Stanford, while also looking to revenge an upset loss at Utah in their first meeting this season.  They were 7-point favorites at Utah and are now 10.5-point home favorites in the rematch, a 3.5-point adjustment which isn't enough for home-court advantage.

Arizona is 13-1 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 17.6 points per game.  Utah is coming off three consecutive home games and was last seen losing by 12 on the road at Oregon, by 15 on the road at USC and by 19 on the road at UCLA in three of its last four road games.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 7-1 SU in the last eight meetings with the lone exception being Arizona's 97-77 win in Utah last season.  Utah is without Gabe Madsen (11.7 PPG), who had 11 points in that first meeting with the Wildcats.

Utah is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after failing to cover two of its last three games ATS coming in.  The Utes are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games after playing a game as a home favorite.  The Utes are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.  Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last five games vs. a team that wins more than 60% of their games.  Bet Arizona Thursday.

20* Bucks/Bulls TNT No-Brainer on Milwaukee -7.5

The Chicago Bulls are struggling going 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  They are banged up with DeRozan, Dragic and Jones Jr. all questionable to play tonight.  And now they are in an absolutely terrible spot.

Indeed, the Bulls will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back following a 113-117 loss in Indiana last night.  It will also be the 7th game in 11 days for the Bulls.  They couldn't hold on to a 24-point lead at the end of the 1st quarter, which shows how bad they are right now.  It also meant that their starters would have to play big minutes.  LaVine played 42 minutes. Dosunmu 42, Vucevic 36 and White 33 for the Bulls last night.

They won't have much left in the tank for the Milwaukee Bucks, who are playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now and will be motivated to extend their 11-game winning streak to 12 games in their final game prior to the All-Star Break.  Nine of their 11 wins have come by 8 points or more during this streak.  They are the much fresher team playing just their 2nd game in 6 days.  Look for them to put it on the Bulls tonight.

Milwaukee is 29-13 ATS in its last 42 games as a road favorite.  Chicago is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games following a road loss.  The Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.  Milwaukee is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 trips to Chicago.  Bet the Bucks Thursday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Iowa State -3.5

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Iowa State Cyclones.  They have gone 2-5 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall with four narrow losses.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory tonight, and we should get a big effort from them at home where they are 12-1 SU & 8-5 ATS this season.

TCU is struggling right now due to injuries to their best player in Mike Miles Jr. (18.1 PPG) and key role player Eddie Lampkin Jr. (7.1 PPG, 6.3 RPG).  The Horned Frogs are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall and aren't likely to have Miles back tonight.  Either way, I like the Cyclones to roll.  Bet Iowa State Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Northern Iowa +6.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Northern Iowa Panthers after going 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall against a brutal schedule.  It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Drake Bulldogs after winning seven consecutive games against a soft schedule.

It's easy to see how this spread is inflated tonight considering Northern Iowa was a 7.5-point road dog at Drake in their first meeting this season, and now they are 6.5-point dogs at home in the rematch.  The books have barely even adjusted for home-court advantage.  Northern Iowa will be out for revenge from an 81-88 (double-OT) loss at Drake in their first meeting this season.  

The Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a losing record.  Drake is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games following a win.  Northern Iowa is 5-0 ATS in its last five games following a double-digit home loss.  Drake is 0-7 ATS following a home win by 10 points or more this season.  The Bulldogs are 1-10 ATS following a home win this season.  Bet Northern Iowa Wednesday.

20* Kentucky/Mississippi State SEC No-Brainer on Mississippi State -2.5

The Kentucky Wildcats have been one of the most overrated teams in college basketball all season especially of late.  After losing by 15 as 5-point home favorites to Arkansas, they were just upset by 7 as 7-point road favorites at Georgia.  They are without Sahvir Wheeler (7.7 PPG) right now and could be without CJ Fredrick (7.3 PPG), who is questionable.

Things won't get any easier for the Wildcats tonight as they have to travel to face a Mississippi State team playing their best basketball of the season.  The Bulldogs are 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone loss coming by 3 as 11.5-point road dogs at No. 1 Alabama.  They beat South Carolina by 15 and Arkansas by 6 on the road, while topping TCU by 7, Missouri by 11 and LSU by 11 at home.

Kentucky is 0-8 ATS when playing only its 2nd game in 8 days this season.  The Wildcats are 8-18-2 ATS in their last 28 road games.  Bet Mississippi State Wednesday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Illinois State ML -115

Few teams in the entire country are playing worse than Murray State right now as the Steve Prohm era is off to a rocky start.  The Racers are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall losing by a combined 112 points and failing to cover the spread by a combined 91 points.  They lost 56-99 at Indiana State, 68-92 at home to Drake and 48-83 at Bradley.

Murray State did beat Illinois State 70-67 at home in their first meeting this season, but now the Redbirds will be out for revenge in the rematch at home this time around.  I look for them to win this game against the struggling Racers.  Illinois State has won two of its last three home games over Southern Illinois and Illinois-Chicago with its lone loss coming to red-hot Bradley.

Murray State is 1-7 ATS as a road underdog or PK this season.  The Racers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Bet Illinois State Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Brooklyn Nets PK

The Brooklyn Nets will be playing with a chip on their shoulders moving forward.  They have a bunch of players now that were traded in the Durant and Irving deals.  I really like the pieces they got back in Dinwiddie (17.9 PPG, 5.3 APG), Bridges (17.2 PPG), Johnson (13.8 PPG) and Finney-Smith (9.0 PPG).  I also like holdovers Claxton (13.0 PPG), Curry (10.6 PPG), Thomas (10.6 PPG), O'Neale (9.2 PPG) and Harris (8.6 PPG).  This is now one of the deepest teams in the NBA and won't be an easy out.

While the Nets are fully healthy heading into their final game prior to the All-Star Break and will have all hands on deck, the Miami Heat are limping into the break.  They are without Herro (20.6 PPG), Oladipo (11.2 PPG), Lowry (12.0 PPG, 5.3 APG) and Robinson (6.9 PPG) tonight.  The Heat are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall and struggling right now due to these injuries.

Miami is 3-11 ATS when revenging a home loss this season.  Plays on home favorites or PK (Brooklyn) - after having lost five or six of their last seven games, a winning team playing another winning team are 36-11 (76.6%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Nets Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +7.5

This is a terrible spot for the Boston Celtics tonight.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 125-131 (OT) loss in Milwaukee last night.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Detroit Pistons tonight, and they won't be all that motivated to beat them for a 4th time.

Meanwhile, the Pistons will be playing with triple-revenge after losing by 16, 9 and 12 points to the Celtics in their first three meetings this season.  They will also be the much fresher team coming in on two days' rest after a 1-point loss at Toronto as 11-point dogs last time out.

Plays on any team (Detroit) - revenging a home loss vs. opponent that is coming off a road cover where they lost SU as an underdog are 52-24 (68.4%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Pistons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings, including 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Boston.  Bet the Pistons Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Bulls/Pacers OVER 230.5

The Indiana Pacers are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 4th in the NBA in pace and 25th in defensive efficiency.  They have a healthy Tyrese Haliburton (20.0 PPG, 10.1 APG) now and he makes all the difference for this team offensively.

This total is lower than it should be due to the Bulls going under the total in five consecutive games coming in.  But they should get their offense going tonight against the Pacers, plus I expect them to give up a big number here.  

The first two meetings between these teams saw totals of 234.5 and 233 points, so as you can see there's some value on this OVER 230.5 number when you compare the previous two totals.  They combined for 233 points in their first meeting and 226 in their 2nd meeting.  But they shot a combined 15-of-61 from 3-point range in that 2nd meeting, and they aren't going to shoot that poorly again.

Plays on the OVER on road teams where the total is 220 or higher (Chicago) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games in February games are 45-19 (70.3%) Over the last five seasons.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana Pacers -2.5

The Indiana Pacers will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after losing five consecutive games coming in.  This is their final game prior to the All-Star Break so they would love to go into the break without the sour taste of a six-game losing streak.  They are as healthy as they have been in a long time and primed for a big effort here.

The Chicago Bulls are struggling worse, going 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall losing by 15 at Memphis, by 11 at Brooklyn, by 8 at Cleveland and by 9 at home to Orlando.  Making matters worse are six players on the injury report.  They will be without DeRozan and Jones Jr, while both Caruso and Dragic are questionable.

The Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.  Indiana is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 home meetings with Chicago.  The Pacers are 17-14 SU & 18-12 ATS at home this season.  The Bulls are 10-19 SU on the road this season.  Chicago is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games following three or more consecutive underdogs.  Indiana is 10-2 ATS in home games following a non-conference game this season.  Bet the Pacers Wednesday.

20* Alabama/Tennessee ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Alabama +3.5

I've been fading Tennessee and will continue to do so tonight.  They have gone 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall losing by 13 as 4.5-point favorites at Florida, by 1 as 10-point road favorites at Vanderbilt and by 1 as 12.5-point home favorites to Missouri.  They also only beat Auburn by 3 as 9.5-point home favorites during this stretch.

The Volunteers have really been struggling on offense which is why they cannot be trusted, scoring 56 against Florida, 46 against Auburn and 65 against Vanderbilt.  Two of their best players in James (9.5 PPG, 5.3 RPG) and Phillips (9.0 PG, 4.8 APG) are questionable to play tonight and won't be 100% if they do.

Now Tennessee must face the No. 1 team in the country in Alabama, which ranks 13th in adjusted offense and 5th in adjusted defense and has no weaknesses.  The Crimson Tide come in winning four consecutive games scoring 101, 79, 97 and 77 points.  They are elite defensively amazingly allowing 69 or fewer points in 13 of their last 14 games overall while going 13-1 SU during this stretch.  I just don't think the Volunteers have the offense to hang with them in this one.

Alabama is 10-2 ATS against conference opponents this season, far and away the best team in the SEC.  Alabama is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Alabama Wednesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Kansas/Oklahoma State UNDER 140.5

Two of the best defensive teams in the country square off tonight when Kansas visits Oklahoma State.  The Cowboys rank 5th in the country in adjusted defense while the Jayhawks rank 11th.  It's safe to say points will be hard to come by tonight.

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  This will be the 2nd meeting between the Cowboys and Jayhawks.  Kansas won 69-67 at home for 136 combined points on December 31st.  Both teams were lights out from 3 in that game as well as the Cowboys were 13-of-29 (44.8%) and the Jayhawks were 11-of-23 (47.8%).  It's highly unlikely both teams shoot that well again, and that game saw just 136 combined points.  Each of the last three meetings have seen 138 or fewer combined points.

The UNDER is 6-0 in Oklahoma State's last six home games with a total of 140 to 149.5.  Kansas is 9-0 UNDER in its last nine games after covering four of its last five games.  The Cowboys are 8-1 UNDER in their last nine home games when playing against a top-level team that wins more than 80% of their games on the season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.