20* NL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Phillies/Marlins OVER 8.5

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 72-36 OVER in all home games since the start of last season.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between the Marlins and Phillies with 9 or more combined runs in all six games, and 11 or more combined runs in five of them.

The Phillies rank 7th in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game.  The Marlins average 4.1 runs per game while also ranking 28th allowing 5.4 runs per game.  They have one of the worst staffs in baseball, and the Phillies are capable of covering this total on their own against Sandy Alcantara tonight.

Alcantara has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season, going 3-7 with a 7.14 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 13 starts.  One of those starts came against the Phillies on April 18th when he allowed 6 earned runs in 2 innings.

Rookie Mick Abel makes his 4th career start for the Phillies tonight.  He allowed 3 homers to the Cubs in 4 innings in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Philadelphia Phillies -106

The Philadelphia Phillies have won four consecutive games while scoring a total of 29 runs in those four wins for an average of 7.3 runs per game.  They will stay hot at the plate against Sandy Alcantara tonight.

Alcantara has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season, going 3-7 with a 7.14 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 13 starts.  One of those starts came against the Phillies on April 18th when he allowed 6 earned runs in 2 innings.

Rookie Mick Abel has held his own for the Phillies this season.  He is 1-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in three starts.  The Phillies need to be much bigger favorites over the Marlins tonight given their big advantages at the plate and on the mound.

This is also a tough spot for the Marlins.  They concluded their 9-game road trip by sweeping the lowly Nationals over the weekend.  Now they return home from that 9-game trip, and I like fading teams who return home following extended trips because there are a lot of distractions back home for their to deal with.  I also think the Marlins are fat and happy off that sweep.  Bet the Phillies Monday.

20* Giants/Dodgers ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game.  The Giants have an improved offense this season ranking in the middle of the pack.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Giants and Dodgers tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles.

Kyle Harrison will be making just his 4th start of the season for the Giants.  Harrison allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 6-5 win over the Padres in his last start.  Harrison allowed 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings in his last start against the Dodgers as well.

Dustin May has allowed 32 earned runs and 8 homers in 48 2/3 innings in his last nine starts for a 5.92 ERA.  The OVER is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings between the Giants and Dodgers.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Padres/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5

Arizona is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th scoring 5.13 runs per game while also ranking 27th allowing 5.11 runs per game.  The OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between Arizona and San Diego with 10 or more combined runs in eight of those 11 meetings.

Arizona won a wild 8-7 game over San Diego yesterday by scoring 5 runs in the 9th.  Both bullpens are now taxed.  The Padres used four relievers while the Diamondbacks used three of their best relievers.  Arizona has the 4th-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.14 ERA.

Nick Pivetta comes in scuffling for the Padres.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts.  Pivetta has allowed 6 earned runs and 18 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Arizona as well.

Merrill Kelly does not enjoy facing the Padres.  He is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in his last three starts against San Diego, allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 26 base runners in 16 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Brewers OVER 8

The Cardinals have one of the most improved offenses in baseball ranking 10th scoring 4.59 runs per game.  The Brewers also rank in the top half of the majors at 13th scoring 4.35 runs per game.  This total of 8 is too low for these two lineups up against these two struggling starting pitchers.

Regression has hit Miles Mikolas hard of late as he has allowed 13 earned runs and 26 hits in 15 innings in his last three starts for a 7.80 ERA.  Mikolas is 2-2 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in his last five starts against Milwaukee, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 28 2/3 innings.

Quinn Priester is 4-2 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 61 2/3 innings this season.  One of his worst starts of the season came against the Cardinals on April 26th when he allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings of a 6-5 loss.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Padres/Diamondbacks OVER 9

Arizona is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th scoring 5.09 runs per game while also ranking 26th allowing 5.09 runs per game.  The OVER is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between Arizona and San Diego with 10 or more combined runs in seven of those 10 meetings.

Rookie Ryan Bergert will be making his 3rd career start for the Padres.  This will be by far a much tougher test for him than his first two starts at San Francisco and at Milwaukee.  I expect Arizona to touch him up today.

Zac Gallen is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He is 4-8 with a 5.15 ERA in 14 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Gallen has allowed 19 earned runs and 8 homers in 29 1/3 innings in his last five stats for a 6.14 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Yankees/Red Sox AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

The OVER is 6-4-1 in the last 11 meetings between the Red Sox and Yankees with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those 11 meetings.  This total of 8.5 is too low for a game involving these two offenses at hitter-friendly Fenway Park tonight.

The Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.4 runs per game.  Boston ranks 5th scoring 4.89 runs per game.  Both offenses should have their way with these two starting pitchers tonight.

Carlos Rodon will be facing Boston for a 2nd time in a week.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of a 11-7 loss to the Red Sox on June 8th.  He has now allowed 5 homers in his last three starts against Boston.

Hunter Dobbins has allowed 13 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings in his last four starts for a 6.27 ERA.  One of those starts came opposite Rodon on June 8th when he allowed 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of that 11-7 win over the Yankees.  It should be another slug fest favoring the offenses in the mound rematch today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-153)

The Colorado Rockies are the worst team in baseball.  They are 13-56 on the season, scoring just 3.3 runs per game and allowing 6.33 runs per game, getting outscored by over 3 runs per game.  The Braves are as healthy offensively as they have been all season and boast one of the most potent offenses in the league when that's the case.

I expect the Braves to win this game by multiple runs tonight due to their big advantage on the mound.  That was the case last night when they crushed the Rockies 12-4 by scoring most of their runs against this awful Colorado bullpen, which is the 6th-worst in baseball with a 4.74 ERA.

Spencer Strider looks more and more back to full strength with each start.  This has the potential to be his best start yet.  Strider is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in two career starts against Colorado, allowing one earned run and 9 base runners in 12 innings with a whopping 21 K's.

Chase Dollander is 2-6 with a 6.85 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 10 starts for the Rockies this season.  He has allowed 34 earned runs, 12 homers and 22 walks in 44 2/3 innings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-135)

The Texas Rangers are finally heating up at the plate during their 5-1 run over their last six games where all five wins came by 2 runs or more.  They have scored a total of 46 runs in those six games for an average of 7.7 runs per game.

The Chicago White Sox are 23-47 on the season while ranking 27th in baseball scoring just 3.47 runs per game.  It won't get any easier for them today against Jacob DeGrom, who clearly looks back to full strength.

DeGrom is 6-2 with a 2.12 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 13 starts for the Rangers this season.  He has posted a 1.29 ERA in two career starts against the White Sox, allowing just 2 earned runs in 14 innings with a whopping 21 K's.

Rookie Mike Vasil will make his 2nd career start for the White Sox today and I don't expect it to go well for him.  Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Saturday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Blue Jays/Phillies OVER 8.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are 12-2 OVER in their last 14 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 14 games.  Toronto has scored at least 5 runs in six of its last eight games and 10 of its last 14 games overall.  The Phillies have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 4.64 runs per game.

The Phillies should crush Bowden Francis, who is 2-8 with a 6.12 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  He has allowed 41 earned runs and a whopping 19 homers in 60 1/3 innings this season.  Francis has allowed 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 7 2/3 innings in two career starts against Philadelphia.

Christopher Sanchez is 5-2 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 13 starts for the Phillies this season.  He allowed 8 base runners in 6 innings to the Blue Jays opposite Francis on June 3 in a 8-3 victory.  I like the fact that these offenses get to see these two starting pitchers for the 2nd time in less than two weeks because it will be to their advantage.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Diamondbacks OVER 9.5

Two of the worst starters in baseball square off against two of the best lineups in baseball tonight in what should be a slug fest between the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks.  Arizona is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th scoring 5.09 runs per game while also ranking 26th allowing 5.15 runs per game.

The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between Arizona and San Diego with 10 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings.  It should be more of the same in this series, starting in Game 1 tonight.

Stephen Kolek has allowed 14 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings in his last five starts for a 4.55 ERA.  He'll be opposed by Ryne Nelson, who is 2-2 with a 4.60 ERA in 45 innings this season.  Nelson allowed 7 earned runs in 3 innings of a 13-1 loss to the Reds in his last start coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Thunder/Pacers ABC No-Brainer on Oklahoma City -5.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been deadly following a loss.  Indeed, the Thunder are 5-0 SU off a loss in the playoffs winning those five games by a total of 98 points and by an average of 19.6 points per game.

That includes their dominant 123-107 win over the Pacers in Game 2 after losing Game 1 at the buzzer.  That was an even bigger blowout than the final score showed as both teams pulled their starters early with the Thunder up by 20-plus.  Oklahoma City will respond from a Game 3 loss with a blowout win in Game 4.  The Thunder are 20-7 ATS when avenging a loss this season.

The Thunder have a lot of mistakes they can correct from Game 3 as well.  They had an uncharacteristic 19 turnovers including several on inbound passes.  They also missed a lot of free throws late.  I think after experiencing the hostile atmosphere in Indiana in Game 3, they will be more prepared for it and thus more composed.  Expect a big effort from OKC to get the win and cover and tie this series at 2-2 tonight.  Bet the Thunder Friday.

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-145)

The Atlanta Braves have the rest advantage over the Colorado Rockies for Game 1 of this series Friday.  While the Braves had yesterday off, the Rockies were completing a 5-run comeback to beat the Giants 8-7 at Coors Field Thursday.  They are taxed and their bullpen is taxed as well.

The Rockies are the worst team in baseball.  They are 13-55 on the season, scoring just 3.29 runs per game and allowing 6.25 runs per game, getting outscored by nearly 3 runs per game.  The Braves are as healthy offensively as they have been all season and boast one of the most potent offenses in the league when that's the case.

I expect the Braves to win this game by multiple runs tonight due to their big advantage on the mound.  Bryce Elder is 2-3 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.17 WHIP In 10 starts for the Braves this season.  Elder has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts.  Elder is 3-0 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.11 WHIP In three career starts against Colorado with the Braves winning those three starts by 3, 8 and 10 runs.

German Marquez is 2-8 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 13 starts this season as he has been one of the worst starters in baseball.  Marquez is 1-3 with a 7.67 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in five career starts against Atlanta, allowing 23 earned runs in 27 innings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Friday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Red Sox/Yankees OVER 8.5

The OVER is 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings between the Red Sox and Yankees with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those 10 meetings.  This total of 8.5 is too low for a game involving these two offenses at hitter-friendly Fenway Park tonight.

This is a rematch from a 10-7 victory by Boston on June 7th that saw 17 combined runs.  Ryan Yarbrough allowed 8 earned runs in 4 innings in that game.  Yarbrough has now allowed a whopping 15 earned runs in 6 innings in his last two starts against Boston.

Garrett Crochet had one of his worst starts of the season against the Yankees opposite Yarbrough on June 7th.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings to the Yankees, who rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.46 runs per game.  Boston ranks 5th scoring 4.93 runs per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Blue Jays/Phillies OVER 8

The Toronto Blue Jays are 11-2 OVER in their last 13 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 13 games.  Toronto has scored at least 5 runs in six of its last seven games and 10 of its last 13 games overall.  The Phillies have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 4.6 runs per game.

The Phillies should tee off on Kevin Gausman, who is 5-4 with a 3.87 ERA in 13 starts this season.  Gausman allowed 7 runs, 5 earned, and 10 base runners in 5 1/3 innings of a 9-4 loss to the Phillies in his last start against them.

Ranger Suarez is getting too much respect from the books here and is due some regression, and this will be a tough matchup for him against this hot Toronto lineup.  The Blue Jays are hitting .299 in their 15 games against left-handed starters and scoring 5.5 runs per game in those 15 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+112)

The Chicago Cubs have big advantages at the plate and on the mound today over the Pittsburgh Pirates that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.53 runs per game while the Pirates rank 29th scoring 3.26 runs per game.

Jameson Taillon is 6-3 with a 3.54 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 13 starts for the Cubs this season.  Taillon has been dominant in his last four starts, allowing just 5 earned runs in 26 2/3 innings for a 1.69 ERA during this stretch. Taillon fired 7 shutout innings in his last start against the Pirates.

Andrew Heaney is 3-4 with a 3.24 ERA in 13 starts for the Pirates this season with just 52 K's in 72 1/3 innings.  He's one of the biggest regression candidates in baseball given how much he pitches to contact.  Heaney is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in two career starts against the Cubs, allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 2/3 innings.  He allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 8 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Cubs this season that resulted in a 9-0 loss on April 29th.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Giants/Rockies OVER 11

Coors Field is the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.  It's really deadly to pitchers when the forecast is like it's going to be today.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center in Colorado this afternoon.  The OVER is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings including 17 combined runs yesterday in a 10-7 victory by the Giants, and it should be more of the same today.

No question Hayden Birdsong has been solid this season, but this may be his toughest test of the season yet given the forecast.  But what I'm really expecting is the Giants to do the bulk of the scoring on their own like they did in scoring 10 runs yesterday.

They will tee off against Antonio Senzatela again today.  Senzatela has been the worst starter for the Rockies, going 1-10 with a 6.68 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 12 starts and one relief appearance.  He has allowed at least 4 earned runs in seven consecutive starts.  That includes 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings in his lone start against the Giants this season, which came on the road.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-133)

The San Francisco Giants are one of the more underrated teams in baseball this season sitting at 40-28.  The Colorado Rockies have been the worst team in baseball by a mile.  The Rockies are 12-55 on the season scoring just 3.22 runs per game and allowing 6.24 runs per game, getting outscored by 3.02 runs per game.

The Giants have owned the Rockies this season going 5-0 in their last five meetings with four wins by 3 runs or more.  They will get to bat at least 9 innings today being the road team, and I like their chances of winning this game by multiple runs today given their big advantage on the mound.

Hayden Birdsong is 3-1 with a 2.55 ERA in four starts and 11 relief appearances this season.  Birdsong held the Rockies to 2 earned runs in 6 innings with 12 K's in his lone career start against them.  He is backed by a bullpen that ranks 1st in baseball with a 2.42 ERA on the season.

The Giants scored 10 runs on the Rockies yesterday.  They will tee off against Antonio Senzatela again today.  Senzatela has been the worst starter for the Rockies, going 1-10 with a 6.68 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 12 starts and one relief appearance.  He has allowed at least 4 earned runs in seven consecutive starts.  That includes 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings in his lone start against the Giants this season, which came on the road.  Bet the Giants on the Run Line Thursday.

15* Thunder/Pacers ABC ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma City -5

The Indiana Pacers led for a total of 0.3 seconds after Tyrese Haliburton hit the game-winning just before the buzzer in Game 1.  It was a shocking result considering the Oklahoma City Thunder led the entire way and by 15 with under 10 minutes left in the 4th.  It was just another crazy comeback win for the Pacers, their 4th such improbable win of the postseason.

The Pacers shot 48% from the field and 18-of-39 (46%) from 3-point range in Game 1.  The Thunder shot 39-of-98 (40%) from the field in Game 1.  They were uncharacteristically poor from 2-point range, missing several bunnies and not capitalizing in the paint.

I came back on the Thunder -10.5 as my 25* NBA Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR in Game 2.  Predictably, they would have some shooting regression in their favor.  They led by 18 at halftime and controlled the game the entire way.  They proved they were the better team in this series, and I expect them to prove it again in Game 3 tonight to take back control of this series.

Tyrese Haliburton came up limping after Game 2.  He is expected to play tonight, but he won't be 100% if he does.  They need him to be the same player he was the entire playoffs to have any chance in this series because he controls everything they do.  The other problem for Haliburton is he hasn't faced a defense that can guard him with so many different guys like the Thunder, the best defensive team in the NBA in the last 20 years.  He can't hunt out defenders on switches because the Thunder have the answers for it unlike the three teams from the East the Pacers played to get here.

The Thunder have dominated the first two games of this series despite the fact that they haven't gotten a lot out of Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein.  Once those guys come along for the ride the Pacers will really be in trouble.  I expect the best games from Williams yet in Game 3.  Bet the Thunder in Game 3 Wednesday.

15* AL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Yankees/Royals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Yankees and Royals tonight.  Temps will be in the 90's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at game time.  It was a similar forecast last night when the Yankees beat the Royals 10-2 with ace Max Fried on the mound for New York.

The Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.52 runs per game.  They will give Kris Bubic a dose of regression just as they did against Noah Cameron yesterday.  Cameron has allowed just 3 earned runs in 31 2/3 innings in his first five career starts before allowing 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 2/3 innings to the Yankees yesterday.  Bubic is 0-1 with a 4.96 ERA in three career starts against the Yankees, allowing 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings.

Clarke Schmidt is 2-3 with a 4.04 ERA in nine starts for the Yankees this season.  Schmidt is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA in four career starts against the Royals, allowing 10 earned runs in 20 innings with just 11 K's.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Dodgers/Padres OVER 9.5

The Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.53 runs per game while also ranking 22nd allowing 4.57 runs per game.  The OVER is 40-28 in all Dodgers games this season as they really profile as a dead nuts OVER team.

The Dodgers are likely to make this a bullpen game, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  They made it a bullpen game yesterday as well and allowed 11 runs to the Padres.  Their bullpen is taxed, and their rotation is in shambles due to injuries.  The Padres will hang a big number on them again.

No question the Dodgers are going to hang a big number on one of the worst starters in baseball in Randy Vasquez as well.  Vasquez is 3-4 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 13 starts for the Padres this season with just 37 K's in 63 1/3 innings.  He went 4-7 with a 4.87 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 20 starts for the Padres last season and is clearly due some regression in the ERA department this season.

The OVER is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings between the Dodgers and Padres.  They have combined for 11 or more runs in five of their last seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on A's/Angels OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the A's and Angels today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles.  But we won't need any aid from the forecast considering how poor these two starting pitchers are.

JP Sears is 5-5 with a 5.21 ERA in 13 starts for the A's this season while allowing 39 earned runs and 15 homers in 67 1/3 innings.  Sears has allowed a whopping 25 earned runs and 10 homers in 22 1/3 innings in his last five starts for a 10.07 ERA.  One of those starts came against the Angels on May 21st when he allowed 6 earned runs and 4 homers in 5 innings of a 10-5 loss.

Kyle Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in his final season in Chicago last year.  The Angels took a shot on him, and he hasn't been any better for them this season.  Hendricks is 3-6 with a 5.40 ERA in 12 starts this season, allowing 39 earned runs and 11 homers in 65 innings.  Hendricks allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 9 hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 7-5 win over the A's in his last start against them on May 20th.

Not only are these two starters poor, but these are two of the top 3 worst bullpens in the majors.  The A's rank dead last with a 5.96 ERA this season while the Angels rank 3rd-worst with a 5.54 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Interleague Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Mariners/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Arizona Diamondbacks really profile as an OVER team this season.  They rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.09 runs per game and 26th allowing 5.19 runs per game.  They have the 4th-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.27 ERA on the season.  

Seattle has been much better offensively this season scoring 4.38 runs per game which ranks 12th.  But the Mariners' staff has regressed largely due to injuries, allowing 4.55 runs per game which ranks 21st.  Their bullpen has been below average with a 4.02 ERA as well.

Bryan Woo has struggled in his last three starts allowing 9 earned runs, 4 homers and 23 base runners in 18 2/3 innings.  Woo allowed 3 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings in his lone career start against Arizona.  This will be one of his toughest tests of the season today.

The Mariners should hang a big number on Eduardo Rodriquez, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  Rodriquez is 1-3 with a 6.70 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He has allowed 10 earned runs, 4 homers and 21 base runners in 15 innings in his last three starts against Seattle.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are 11-1 OVER in their last 12 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 12 games.  This total is very low for a game involving the Blue Jays right now, especially when you consider the forecast which is calling for temps in the upper-80's with light winds blowing out to center this afternoon in St. Louis.

Toronto has scored at least 5 runs in five of its last six games and nine of its last 12 games overall.  The Blue Jays should stay hot at the plate against Matthew Liberatore, who has regressed mightily of late.  Liberatore has allowed 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts for an 11.00 ERA.

The Cardinals have one of the most improved offenses in baseball ranking 7th scoring 4.69 runs per game this season.  They should get to Eric Lauer, who can't be expected to go very deep into this game as he has primarily worked out of the bullpen.  Lauer has allowed 4 earned runs, 3 homers and 11 base runners in 7 1/3 innings in his two starts this season.  Lauer has allowed 14 earned runs and 6 homers in 16 innings in his last three starts against Toronto.

The OVER is 10-3 in Cardinals last 13 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 13 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR On Cubs/Phillies OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between two of the best offenses in baseball.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center in Philadelphia this afternoon.  The Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.58 runs per game while the Phillies rank 9th at 4.55 runs per game.

We might not need any aid from the forecast considering how much these two starters are struggling right now.  Ben Brown has allowed 16 earned runs and 3 homers in 16 innings in his last three starts for a 9.00 ERA.  Brown allowed 6 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of a 10-4 loss to the Phillies in his lone career start against them, which came on April 26th earlier this season.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed a whopping 20 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in his last two starts for an absurd 31.75 ERA.  This total of 8.5 is too low today given the forecast, how good these two offenses are and the poor current form of both starting pitchers.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Dodgers/Padres NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

This is a pretty low total for a game involving the Los Angeles Dodgers.  The Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game while also ranking 22nd allowing 4.48 runs per game.  The OVER is 39-28 in all Dodgers games this season.

The Dodgers are likely to make this a bullpen game, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  The Padres will go with Dylan Cease, who is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.

Cease is 1-5 with a 4.72 ERA in 13 starts for the Padres this season.  He has allowed at least 3 earned runs in four consecutive starts coming in.  Cease does not enjoy facing the Dodgers, going 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in his last five starts against them, allowing 14 earned runs in 21 innings.  Worse yet, Cease has allowed 11 earned runs in 10 innings in his last three starts against them for a 9.90 ERA.

The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings between the Dodgers and Padres with 8 or more combined runs in six of those seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Cardinals OVER 8

The Toronto Blue Jays are 10-1 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 11 games.  This total is very low for a game involving the Blue Jays right now, especially when you consider the forecast which is calling for temps in the 80's that should have the ball flying out tonight.

The Blue Jays should stay hot at the plate against Miles Mikolas, who has regressed in recent starts.  Mikolas has allowed 7 earned runs and 17 hits in 10 innings in his last two starts.  He has not fared well against the Blue Jays, allowing 7 earned runs and 13 hits in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts against them for a 7.56 ERA and 1.56 WHIP.

The Cardinals have one of the most improved offenses in baseball ranking 7th scoring 4.62 runs per game this season.  They should get to Chris Bassitt, who has allowed 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 27 base runners in 16 innings in his last three starts.  Bassitt has allowed a whopping 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Cardinals.

The OVER is 9-3 in Cardinals last 12 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 12 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/Twins OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Rangers and Twins tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to left-center at Target Field.  The Twins are 8-2 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games.

Tyler Mahle has regressed in recent starts for the Rangers and it was clearly coming.  Mahle has allowed 7 earned runs and 22 base runners in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  Mahle has allowed 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 22 base runners in 12 innings in his last three starts against the Twins for a 8.25 ERA.

Simeon Woods-Richardson is 7-8 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 181 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Woods-Richardson is 2-2 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in seven starts and one relief appearance for the Twins in 2025.  He has allowed 21 earned runs and 8 homers in 37 2/3 innings this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays/Red Sox OVER 9

The Rays beat the Red Sox 10-8 in 11 innings yesterday to tax both of these bullpens.  I expect both offenses to have their way with these starting pitchers and bullpens again tonight at hitter-friendly Fenway Park.

Ryan Pepiot's worst start of the season came against the Red Sox on April 15th earlier this season allowing 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 11 base runners in 6 innings of a 7-4 loss.  Pepiot allowed 2 homers in his last start against the Rangers as well.

Lucas Giolito has been an absolute gas can this season for the Red Sox.  He is 1-1 with a 6.42 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in seven starts, allowing 24 earned runs in 33 2/3 innings.  Giolito has allowed 8 earned runs, 4 homers and 25 base runners in 19 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Tampa Bay.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Pirates OVER 8

The Marlins and Pirates combined for 13 runs yesterday.  It's a favorable forecast for runs again tonight with temps in the 70's and light winds blowing out to center in Pittsburgh tonight.  Plus, these two starting pitchers are not very good.

Sandy Alcantara has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 2-7 with a 7.89 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Mitch Keller is coming off one of his worst starts of the season.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings to the Astros last time out.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are 9-1 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 10 games.  This total is very low for a game involving the Blue Jays right now, especially when you consider the forecast which is calling for temps in the 70's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.

The Blue Jays should stay hot at the plate against Andre Pallante, who has allowed 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 24 base runners in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts for a 7.47 ERA.  Pallante allowed 3 earned runs in 4 innings of a 10-3 loss to the Blue Jays in his lone career start against them.

The Cardinals have one of the most improved offenses in baseball ranking 7th scoring 4.63 runs per game this season.  They should get to Jose Berrios, who is a huge regression candidate.  Berrios is 2-2 with a 3.67 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  

The OVER is 8-3 in Cardinals last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 11 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

25* NBA Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5

The Indiana Pacers led for a total of 0.3 seconds after Tyrese Haliburton hit the game-winning just before the buzzer in Game 1.  It was a shocking result considering the Oklahoma City Thunder led the entire way and by 15 with under 10 minutes left in the 4th.  It was just another crazy comeback win for the Pacers, their 4th such improbable win of the postseason.

There's a lot of reasons to believe the Thunder will bounce back with a blowout win in Game 2.  The Pacers shot 48% from the field and 18-of-39 (46%) from 3-point range in Game 1.  They aren't going to shoot that well from 3 again in Game 2.

The Thunder shot 39-of-98 (40%) from the field in Game 1.  They were uncharacteristically poor from 2-point range, missing several bunnies and not capitalizing in the paint.  It's not like the Pacers have a bunch of defensive stoppers at the rim.  The Thunder are going to shoot it much better in Game 2.

The Thunder also managed just 11 points off of 24 Indiana turnovers.  They are a much better fast break team than they showed in Game 1.  I think they played a little tight.  Forcing a ton of Indiana turnovers is sustainable because they have been the best defensive team in the NBA in the last 20 years this season.  They will just capitalize on many more of those opportunities in Game 2.

I think the Pacers will relax after stealing Game 1.  We have seen that several times throughout the postseason alone.  They lost by 16 at Milwaukee in Game 3 after winning the first two games of that series.  They lost by 22 at home to the Cavaliers in Game 3 after hitting a game-winner in a 120-119 win in Game 2.  They lost by 6 at home to the Knicks in Game 3 after taking the first two games of the series in dramatic fashion.  They lost by 17 at New York in Game 5 after winning by 9 to take a 3-1 series lead in Game 4.

Conversely, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been deadly following a loss.  Indeed, the Thunder are 4-0 SU off a loss in the playoffs winning those four games by a total of 82 points and by an average of 20.5 points per game.  Most notably they responded from a 2-point loss to the Nuggets in Game 1 with a 43-point blowout in Game 2 at home.  The Thunder are 19-7 ATS when avenging a loss this season, including 13-3 ATS at home in this spot.  Bet the Thunder in Game 2 Sunday.

15* Red Sox/Yankees ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

The Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.43 runs per game while the Red Sox rank 6th scoring 4.83 runs per game.  This figures to be a slug fest between AL East rivals in Game 3 of this series again after combining for 15 runs in Game 1 and 13 runs in Game 2.

The Yankees are capable of covering this total on their own against rookie Hunter Dobbins, who has allowed 10 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Carlos Rodon is due some serious regression for the Yankees.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 24 base runners in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Red Sox.  

The OVER is 5-3-1 in the last eight meetings with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings, and 9 or more combined runs in six of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/A's OVER 10.5

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento has proven to be a hitter's paradise this season.  Temps are always warm and the wind always seems to be blowing out, and that will be the case again today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center Sunday.

The A's are a dead nuts OVER team as it is.  They rank dead last (30th) in the majors allowing 6.11 runs per game.  The A's are 13-4-1 OVER in their last 18 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 15 of those 18 games, and 10 or more combined runs in 13 of them.

The Orioles rank 26th allowing 5.24 runs per game.  Both teams have terrible bullpens as the A's rank dead last (30th) with a 6.11 ERA while the Orioles are 5th-worst with a 4.91 ERA.  And both of these starting pitchers are likely to get rocked today.

Tomoyuki Sugano has already allowed 12 homers in his 12 starts this season.  Jacob Lopez has been much worse, going 0-4 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in three starts and four relief appearances this season.  He allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 1 2/3 innings to the Blue Jays in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Dodgers/Cardinals OVER 9

After two low-scoring games to open this series, Game 3 should be a slug fest today for a number of reasons.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center, so the ball should be flying out.

These are two of the better offenses in baseball.  The Dodgers rank 2nd scoring 5.54 runs per game while the Cardinals rank 7th scoring 4.66 runs per game.  Both offenses should have their way with these two starting pitchers today.

Clayton Kershaw is 0-0 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 9 earned runs and 26 base runners in 15 2/3 innings with only 8 K's.  Michael McGreevy will be making his first start of the season for the Cardinals, and I do not expect it to go well for him.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* AL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/Twins OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center at Target Field in Minnesota.  The Twins and Blue Jays combined for 9 and 10 runs in the first two games of this series, and they should easily top 8 combined runs in Game 3.

The Blue Jays are 8-1 OVER in their last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games.  They have scored at least 5 runs in seven of those nine games.  They should stay hot against Joe Ryan, who allowed 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings to the A's in his last start.

Bowden Francis is 2-7 with a 5.84 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 12 starts this season while allowing 37 earned runs and a whopping 17 homers in 57 innings.  That's bad news for him with the wind blowing out today, so the Twins should hang a big number on him as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks/Reds OVER 9.5

Two Top 10 offenses square off today inside one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball in Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.  The Diamondbacks rank 4th scoring 5.02 runs per game while the Reds rank 9th scoring 4.57 runs per game.  Both offenses should have their way against these two suspect starting pitchers today considering the forecast with temps in the 70's and light winds blowing out to center in Cincinnati.

Zac Gallen is 4-7 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 13 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Gallen has allowed 20 earned runs in 28 1/3 innings in his last five starts for a 6.35 ERA.

Brady Singer is 6-4 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 12 starts for the Reds this season.  Singer has allowed 21 earned runs in 30 1/3 innings in his last six starts for a 6.23 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Orioles/A's OVER 10.5

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento has proven to be a hitter's paradise this season.  Temps are always warm and the wind always seems to be blowing out, and that will be the case again today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center tonight.

The A's are a dead nuts OVER team as it is.  They rank dead last (30th) in the majors allowing 6.09 runs per game.  The A's are 12-4-1 OVER in their last 17 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 14 of those 17 games, and 10 or more combined runs in 12 of them.

The Orioles rank 27th allowing 5.26 runs per game.  Both teams have terrible bullpens as the A's rank dead last (30th) with a 6.15 ERA while the Orioles are 5th-worst with a 5.06 ERA.  And both of these starting pitchers are likely to get rocked today.

Charlie Morton is 2-7 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.58 WHIP while allowing 37 earned runs and 10 homers in 53 2/3 innings.  Luis Severino is 0-5 with a 6.99 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in eight home starts this season, allowing 36 earned runs in 46 1/3 innings.  Severino has allowed a whopping 16 earned runs in 6 innings in his last two starts against Baltimore.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Red Sox/Yankees AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

The Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.4 runs per game while the Red Sox rank 6th scoring 4.75 runs per game.  This figures to be a slug fest between AL East rivals in Game 2 of this series after combining for 15 runs in Game 1 last night.

Garrett Crochet is getting too much respect from the books here.  He has never faced the Yankees, and this will be one of the toughest tests of his career tonight.

Ryan Yarbrough is due some regression after allowing four solo homers in his last four starts but getting away pretty clean otherwise.  He'll have his hands full against Boston.  Yarbrough is 2-3 with a 7.69 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in nine career starts against the Red Sox, allowing 37 earned runs and 9 homers in 43 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Kansas City Royals -129

After dropping Game 1 of this series to the lowly Chicago White Sox, I fully expect the Kansas City Royals to come back highly motivated for a victory in Game 2.  They should be bigger favorites today considering their big advantage on the mound.

Michael Wacha is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  Wacha went 11-2 with a 3.32 ERA in 23 starts for the Red Sox in 2022, 14-4 with a 4.22 ERA in 24 starts for the Padres in 2023, 13-8 with a 3.35 ERA in 29 starts for the Royals in 2024, and he is 3-4 with a 2.88 ERA in 12 starts for the Royals in 2025.

Wacha has owned the White Sox, going 5-1 with a minuscule 0.88 ERA in his last six starts against them, allowing just 4 earned runs in 41 innings.  He'll be opposed by Adrian Houser, who is 33-40 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 627 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Houser has allowed 5 earned runs and 16 base runners in 8 innings in his last two starts against Kansas City.  Bet the Royals Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -145

The Philadelphia Phillies will be highly motivated for a victory today.  They have lost three in a row and seven of their last eight games overall, including a 5-4 walk off loss to the Pirates in Game 1 of this series yesterday.  Look for them to bounce back in Game 2 due to their big advantage on the mound.

Ranger Suarez is 4-0 with a 2.72 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in six starts for the Phillies this season.  Suarez has allowed just one earned runs in 18 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Suarez has allowed just 3 earned runs and 11 base runners in 13 innings in his last two starts against Pittsburgh.  He is 3-0 with a 2.48 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in five career starts against the Pirates.

The Phillies rank 8th in baseball scoring 4.68 runs per game while the Pirates rank 29th scoring just 3.19 runs per game.  Andrew Heaney has allowed 7 earned runs, 3 homers and 16 base runners in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Heaney is 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in three career starts against Philadelphia.  Bet the Phillies Saturday.

15* NL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Diamondbacks/Reds OVER 9.5

Two Top 10 offenses square off today inside one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball in Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.  The Diamondbacks rank 4th scoring 5.11 runs per game while the Reds rank 10th scoring 4.44 runs per game.  Both offenses should have their way against these two suspect starting pitchers today.

Ryne Nelson is 21-16 with a 4.44 ERA in 355 innings in his career in the big leagues.  He has worked mostly out of the bullpen this season after failing as a starter last season.  He'll be backed by a Arizona bullpen that is the 4th-worst in baseball with a 5.25 ERA on the season.

The Diamondbacks should hang a big number on Nick Martinez, who is 3-6 with a 3.89 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 12 starts this season with just 47 K's in 69 1/3 innings.  Temps will be in the 80's this afternoon and favorable hitting weather.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Seattle Mariners -128

Kyle Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in 130 2/3 innings in his final season in Chicago last year.  Hendricks hasn't been any better for the Angels, going 2-6 with a 5.34 ERA in 11 starts while allowing 35 earned runs and 11 homers in 59 innings with only 39 K's.  I'll gladly fade Hendricks with the Mariners as short favorites tonight.

Bryce Miller has struggled this season only due to injury.  He will be making his 2nd start back from injury here, and I expect him to be much sharper moving forward and get back to being the starter that earned him all the hype.

Miller is 22-19 with a 3.75 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 65 career starts for the Mariners.  Miller owns the Angels, going 2-1 with a 1.30 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in five career starts against them while allowing just 4 earned runs and one homer in 27 2/3 innings.  Bet the Mariners Friday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are a dead nuts OVER team going 37-26 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.7 runs per game and allowing 4.5 runs per game.  The St. Louis Cardinals are 34-26-2 OVER in all games with one of the most improved offenses in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game.

The Dodgers are making this a bullpen game starting Justin Wrobleski, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  The Cardinals have a taxed bullpen after playing a double-header with the Royals yesterday that saw Game 1 going to extra innings.  Sonny Gray tends to have a high pitch count every start and I don't expect him to have much success against the Dodgers tonight.  

The OVER is 5-3-1 in the last nine meetings between the Dodgers and Cardinals with 9 or more combined runs in six of those nine meetings.  The OVER is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games.  The OVER is 7-1 in Cardinals last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Red Sox/Yankees OVER 9

The Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.34 runs per game while the Red Sox rank 6th scoring 4.73 runs per game.  This figures to be a slug fest between AL East rivals in Game 1 of this series tonight.

The Yankees are capable of covering this total on their own against Walker Buehler, who is 4-3 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in nine starts for the Red Sox this season.  Buehler allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 12 base runners in 5 2/3 innings to the Braves in his last start.

Will Warren is coming off his worst start of the season for the Yankees.  He allowed 7 earned runs and 10 base runners in 1 1/3 innings of a 18-2 loss to the Dodgers.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs/Tigers OVER 7

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.74 runs per game this season.  The Detroit Tigers have one of the most improved offenses in baseball ranking 5th scoring 4.95 runs per game.  This total of 7 is too short for a game involving two Top 5 offenses.

The Tigers are capable of covering this total on their own against Ben Brown, who is 3-3 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 10 starts and two relief appearances for the Cubs this season.  Brown has been awful in his last two starts, allowing 14 earned runs in 9 innings to the Marlins and Reds.

The reason this total is so low is because 2024 AL Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal is going for the Tigers.  But Skubal has never had success against the Cubs, allowing 8 earned runs and 16 base runners in 12 innings in two career starts against them for a 6.00 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rangers/Nationals OVER 9

Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Rangers and Nationals tonight.  But we won't need the aid considering these are two of the worst starters in baseball going at it tonight.

Patrick Corbin faces his former team after posting a 5.20 ERA or worse and making at least 31 starts in each of his last four seasons in Washington.  Corbin is 3-4 with a 3.71 ERA in 10 starts for the Rangers this season and is due some serious regression.

Michael Soroka is 2-3 with a 5.81 ERA in six starts for the Nationals this season while allowing 20 earned runs in 31 innings.  He is backed by the 2nd-worst bullpen in the majors as the Nationals ahve a 5.93 ERA on the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Pacers/Thunder ABC No-Brainer on OVER 230.5

This is going to be an exciting, up-tempo series that is one of the more underrated NBA Finals in recent memory.  It starts with Game 1 tonight, and I expect both teams to have their way offensively in this one.

The Pacers and Thunder met twice in the regular season combining for 243 points in Oklahoma City and 234 points in Indiana.  In fact, the Pacers and Thunder have now combined for at least 232 points in seven consecutive meetings, making for a 7-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 230.5-point total.  The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings with 232 or more combined points in nine of the 10 meetings.  Bet the OVER in Game 1 Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on New York Yankees -1.5 (-128)

The New York Yankees will be highly motivated for a victory after a 4-0 loss to the Cleveland Guardians yesterday.  I fully expect them to win this game by multiple runs due to their big advantages both on the mound and at the plate.  The Yankees are scoring 5.37 runs per game while the Guardians are scoring 4.02 runs per game this season.

Max Fried is among the AL Cy Young favorites after starting 7-1 with a 1.92 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Fried allowed 2 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings in his lone career start against the Guardians.

Slade Cecconi is 3-9 with a 5.96 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 119 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Secconi is 1-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in three starts this season.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 1/3 innings to the lowly Angels in his last start.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Thursday.

15* NL Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Cubs/Nationals OVER 9.5

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.72 runs per game.  They are 33-22-6 OVER in all games this season.  The Washington Nationals have scored 9 runs or more in four of their last seven games overall, so they are as hot as anyone at the plate right now.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center as well to aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket.

The Cubs should hang a big number on Jake Irvin, who is 18-22 with a 4.38 ERA in 69 career starts in the big leagues.  Irvin allowed 6 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings to the Diamondbacks in his last start.  Worse yet, Irvin has allowed a whopping 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Cubs for a 12.46 ERA.

Drew Pomeranz is nothing more than an opener for the Cubs.  So this will be a bullpen game for them, and I like backing OVERS in bullpen games.  Pomeranz has allowed 7 earned runs, 4 homers and 16 base runners in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Nationals.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Mets/Dodgers NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.69 runs per game this season.  The OVER is 7-2 in Dodgers last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those nine.  They are really a dead nuts OVER team with a dominant lineup and a suspect rotation.  Both bullpens are taxed after going to extra innings in each of the first two games of this series.

Both lineups will have the advantage after recently facing these same two starting pitchers at the end of May.  David Peterson has a 4.50 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in five career starts against the Dodgers, and a 6.51 ERA in two career road starts at Los Angeles.

Landon Knack is 3-2 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in six starts and two relief appearances for the Dodgers this season.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket with temps in the 70's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles this afternoon.

The OVER is 12-6 in the last 18 meetings between the Dodgers and Mets with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 18 meetings and 10 or more combined runs in 10 of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* AL Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Twins/A's OVER 10

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento has proven to be a hitter's paradise this season.  Temps are always warm and the wind always seems to be blowing out, and that will be the case again today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center this afternoon.

The A's are a dead nuts OVER team as it is.  They rank dead last (30th) in the majors allowing 6.17 runs per game.  The A's are 11-3-1 OVER in their last 15 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 12 of those 15 games, and 10 or more combined runs in 11 of them.

The Twins covered this total on their own in each of the first two games of this series winning 10-4 in Game 1 and 10-3 in Game 2.  They are capable of doing it again here against Mitch Spence, who will be making his first start of the season for the A's.  Spence has posted a 4.54 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 190 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Once he departs, the Twins should continue tacking on runs against what has been the league's worst bullpen with a 6.28 ERA for the A's.

David Festa is 2-6 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 77 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  The A's should do enough off him and this Minnesota bullpen to contribute to cashing this OVER 10 ticket this afternoon.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Phillies/Blue Jays OVER 8

Two struggling starting pitchers will have to try to tame two hot lineups.  The Blue Jays have scored 8 runs or more in four of their last six games and a total of 44 runs in those six games for an average of 7.33 runs per game.  The Phillies are scoring 4.75 runs per game on the season as one of the best offenses in baseball.

Jesus Luzardo allowed a whopping 12 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of a 17-7 loss to the Brewers in his last start.  Chris Bassitt has allowed 10 earned runs, 3 homers and 20 base runners in 9 innings in his last two starts against the Rays and A's.  Bassitt allowed 4 runs, 3 earned, 2 homers and 12 base runners in 5 1/3 innings of a 10-9 loss to the Phillies in his last start against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Mets/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.77 runs per game this season.  The OVER is 7-1 in Dodgers last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight.  They are really a dead nuts OVER team with a dominant lineup and a suspect rotation.  Both bullpens are taxed after going to extra innings in each of the first two games of this series.

Regression has finally hit Griffin Canning hard in his last two starts.  He has allowed 8 runs, 6 earned, and 13 base runners in 5 2/3 innings in those two starts.  Canning is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in his last three starts against the Dodgers, allowing 8 earned runs, 3 homers and 19 base runners in 12 innings.

Tony Gonsolin has not been sharp for the Dodgers this season.  He is 3-1 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in six starts this season.  Gonsolin has allowed 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 15 innings in his last three starts.  One of those starts came against the Mets on May 24th when he allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 5 innings.

The OVER is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings between the Dodgers and Mets with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 17 meetings and 10 or more combined runs in 10 of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Twins/A's AL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9.5

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento has proven to be a hitter's paradise this season.  Temps are always warm and the wind always seems to be blowing out, and that will be the case again tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center.

The A's are a dead nuts OVER team as it is.  They rank dead last (30th) in the majors allowing 6.18 runs per game.  The A's are 11-2-1 OVER in their last 14 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 12 of those 14 games, and 10 or more combined runs in 11 of them.

The Twins covered this total on their own in each of the first two games of this series winning 10-4 in Game 1 and 10-3 in Game 2.  They are capable of doing it again here against Jeffrey Springs, who is 1-2 with a 5.88 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in five home starts this season while allowing 17 earned runs and 6 homers in 26 innings.  Springs allowed 6 earned runs in 2 innings in his last start against Toronto.

The A's should do their part against Zebby Matthews, who is 1-5 with a 6.62 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 12 career starts.  Matthews is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in three starts this season.  Both starters will get rocked again tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Orioles/Mariners OVER 8

Both the Baltimore Orioles and Seattle Mariners should have their way with these two starting pitchers tonight.  The Mariners have one of the most improved offenses in baseball scoring 4.5 runs per game.  The Orioles rank 27th in majors allowing 5.4 runs per game.  But the Orioles are getting hot at the plate scoring 4 runs or more in six of their last eight games overall.

They should stay hot against Emerson Hancock, who is clearly the weakest link in this Seattle rotation.  Hancock is 2-2 with a 5.64 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing 28 earned runs and 8 homers in 44 2/3 innings.

Cade Povich is 4-13 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 26 career starts for the Orioles.  That includes 1-4 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He has allowed 30 earned runs and 9 homers in 51 innings this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Night Line Mistake on Diamondbacks/Braves OVER 7.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks have the 4th-best offense in baseball scoring 5.07 runs per game.  But they rank 25th allowing 5.15 runs per game as their rotation continues to get decimated by injuries, and their bullpen is the 5th-worst in the league with a 5.23 ERA.  They really profile as a dead nuts OVER team.

The Atlanta Braves have one of the most potent offenses when they are as healthy as they are right now.  They should get to Merrill Kelly, who has allowed 10 runs, 8 earned, and 2 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts coming in.

Chris Sale is getting too much respect from the books here.  Arizona has the offense that can get to him and he hasn't made it past 5 1/3 innings in any of his last three starts against the Diamondbacks.

The OVER is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings between the Diamondbacks and Braves with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 15 meetings, and 10 or more combined runs in 10 of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Cubs/Nationals OVER 8.5

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.82 runs per game.  They are 33-21-6 OVER in all games this season.  The Washington Nationals have scored 9 runs or more in four of their last six games overall, so they are as hot as anyone at the plate right now.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center as well to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.

Regression has hit Matthew Boyd hard in recent starts for the Cubs.  He has allowed at least 2 earned runs in eight of his last nine starts.  Boyd allowed 3 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in his last start against the Nationals as well.

MacKenzie Gore has held his own for the Nationals this season.  But he has not enjoyed facing the Cubs, going 2-2 with a 5.24 ERA in four career starts against them while allowing 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 22 1/3 innings.  That includes 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in two home starts, allowing 7 earned runs in 9 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Mets/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.77 runs per game this season.  The OVER is 6-1 in Dodgers last seven games overall with 9 or more combined runs in six of those seven.  They are really a dead nuts OVER team with a dominant lineup and a suspect rotation.

The Dodgers should get to Tylor Megill, who has a 5.96 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 15 earned runs and 15 walks in 22 2/3 innings.  Megill has allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 18 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Dodgers.

The Mets should get to Clayton Kershaw, who is on a pitch count while making his way back from injury.  He has allowed 6 earned runs in 11 innings in his three starts this season while not making it past the 5th inning in either start. Both bullpens are taxed after going to extra innings last night.

The OVER is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings between the Dodgers and Mets with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 16 meetings and 10 or more combined runs in nine of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Twins/A's OVER 9.5

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento has proven to be a hitter's paradise this season.  Temps are always warm and the wind always seems to be blowing out, and that will be the case again tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center.

The A's are a dead nuts OVER team as it is.  They rank 29th in the majors allowing 6.11 runs per game.  The A's are 10-2-1 OVER in their last 13 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 13 games, and 10 or more combined runs in 10 of them.

The Twins covered the total on their own last night in a 10-4 victory over the A's.  They are capable of doing it again with Jacob Lopez likely to get the start for the A's.  He allowed 7 earned runs in 1 2/3 innings to the Blue Jays in his last start.  Lopez is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 38 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.

Pablo Lopez is coming off his worst start of the season for the Twins.  he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 9 base runners in 5 innings to the Rays last time out.  Lopez has allowed 10 earned runs in 18 innings in his last three starts against the A's for a 5.00 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Guardians/Yankees OVER 7.5

The New York Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game this season.  They are capable of covering this total on their own against the Guardians.  Temps will be in the 70's with light winds at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium tonight.

Tanner Bibee has been shaky to say the least of late for the Guardians.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings to the Dodgers in his last start.  Bibee allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 11 base runners in 6 innings to the Reds three starts back.  Bibee is 0-1 with a 5.41 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in two career starts at Yankee Stadium as well.

The Guardians are heating up at the plate scoring 4 runs or more in four of their last five games.  They will do enough against Carlos Rodon and this banged up Yankees bullpen to contribute to us cashing this OVER.  The Yankees just lost closer Luke Weaver (1.05 ERA) to a hamstring injury for 4-6 weeks.  Backup closer Devin Williams (6.23 ERA) has been a disaster.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs/Nationals OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.78 runs per game.  They are 32-21-6 OVER in all games this season.  The Washington Nationals have scored 9 runs or more in four of their last five games overall, so they are as hot as anyone at the plate right now.  Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to center as well to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.

Rookie Cade Horton has allowed 6 earned runs, 3 homers and 21 base runners in 16 1/3 innings in his three starts this season.  But this is a big step up in class for him after getting to face the White Sox, Marlins and Rockies in his first three starts, which are three of the worst lineups in baseball.

The Cubs are capable of covering this total on their own against Trevor Williams and this Washington bullpen that is the 3rd-worst in baseball with a 5.94 ERA.  Williams has allowed 21 earned runs in 30 2/3 innings in his last six starts for a 6.16 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Rockies/Marlins OVER 8

The Miami Marlins are a dead nuts OVER team at home which is one of the best-kept secrets in baseball.  The Marlins are 72-34 OVER in all home games dating back to the start of last season.  Chalk another up in Game 1 as the Rockies and Marlins combined for 10 runs yesterday, and it should be another high-scoring game today with these two gas can starting pitchers.

Sandy Alcantara has been arguably the worst starter in baseball.  He is 2-7 with an 8.47 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 11 starts for the Marlins this season, allowing 48 earned runs in 51 innings.  Alcantara has allowed 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 19 base runners in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Colorado.

Rookie Chase Dollander is 2-5 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in eight starts for the Rockies this season.  He has allowed 27 earned runs and 10 homers in 38 2/3 innings this season.  Dollander will be making his return from the injured list and likely will be on a pitch count as a result.

The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings with 10 or more combined runs in all four.  The Marlins and Rockies have combined for at least 9 runs in six of their last eight meetings as well.  The Rockies rank dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.22 runs per game while the Marlins rank 28th allowing 5.47 runs per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Mets/Dodgers MLB Network No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.81 runs per game this season.  The OVER is 6-0 in Dodgers last six games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all six games.  They are really a dead nuts OVER team with a dominant lineup and a suspect rotation.

The Dodgers should feast on Paul Blackburn, who will be making his 1st start of the season for the Mets tonight.  Blackburn is 22-28 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in his career in the big leagues spanning 428 1/3 innings.

Dustin May has allowed 24 earned runs and 7 homers in 38 2/3 innings in his last seven starts for a 5.59 ERA.  One of those starts came against the Mets on April 17th when he allowed 5 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of a 8-6 loss that saw 14 combined runs.

The OVER is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings between the Dodgers and Mets with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 15 meetings and 10 or more combined runs in nine of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* AL Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Twins/A's OVER 9

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento has proven to be a hitter's paradise this season.  Temps are always warm and the wind always seems to be blowing out, and that will be the case again tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center.

The A's are a dead nuts OVER team as it is.  They rank 29th in the majors allowing 6.1 runs per game.  The A's are 9-2-1 OVER in their last 12 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 12 games, and 10 or more combined runs in nine of them.

No question Joe Ryan has been great this season for the Twins, but he will likely struggle to shut down the A's given the forecast.  Luis Severino is 0-4 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in seven home starts this season, allowing 28 earned runs in 40 2/3 innings.  Severino allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 3 innings in his last start against Minnesota.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NL Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Giants OVER 7

Stephen Kolek is likely to get crushed again today.  He has allowed 14 earned runs, 3 homers and 27 base runners in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  I expect the Giants to hang a big number on him today.

Logan Webb is getting too much respect from oddsmakers here.  Webb has been shaky in his last two starts, allowing 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 hits in 10 innings to the Royals and Tigers.  And Webb does not enjoy facing the Padres, allowing 11 earned runs and 30 base runners in 15 innings in his last three starts against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Brewers/Reds OVER 9

Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  That has played out here recently as the Reds are 3-0 OVER in their last three home games combining for 19, 19 and 10 runs with the Cubs.  The Reds have scored 6 runs or more in five of their last eight games overall as they are heating up at the plate as well.

Speaking of heating up at the plate, the Brewers are 7-0 in their last seven games overall while scoring 5 runs or more in six of those seven games.  They have scored a total of 48 runs in those seven games for an average of 6.9 runs per game.

Aaron Civale is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in three starts for the Brewers this season.  He'll be opposed by Brady Singer, who is 6-3 with a 4.60 ERA in 11 starts for the Reds this season.  Singer has allowed 18 earned runs in 25 1/3 innings in his last five starts for a 6.39 ERA.  He allowed 5 runs, 3 earned, and 10 base runners in 5 innings of an 11-7 win over the Brewers on April 5th in his last start against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Yankees/Dodgers ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

Two of the best offenses in baseball square off tonight in what should be another high-scoring game after combining for 13 runs in Game 1 and 20 runs in Game 2 of this series.  The Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.9 runs per game while the Yankees rank 3rd scoring 5.5 runs per game.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket with temps in the 70's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.

The Dodgers managed to score 8 runs on the Yankees in Game 1 with Cy Young contender Max Fried on the mound.  They came back for 18 runs against Will Warren in Game 2.  And now they will crush Ryan Yarbrough in Game 3 tonight as he is a worse starter than both Fried and Warren.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has regressed in recent starts allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 24 innings in his last four starts.  The Yankees should do enough against him and this Los Angeles bullpen to contribute to the OVER.

The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those 11 meetings, 10 or more combined runs in six of them, and 13 or more combined runs in five of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Nationals/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Nationals beat the Diamondbacks 9-7 in Game 1 of this series for 16 combined runs.  The Nationals beat the Diamondbacks 11-7 in Game 2 for 18 combined runs.  The Nationals have now scored 9 runs or more in four consecutive games for the first time in franchise history.

The Diamondbacks have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 5.1 runs per game.  The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between Arizona and Washington with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight meetings.  It should be another high-scoring game today.

The Diamondbacks are capable of covering this total on their own against Mitchell Parker, who is 4-4 with a 4.65 ERA in 11 starts this season with just 40 K's in 60 innings.  Parker has allowed 26 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings in his last six starts for a 8.46 ERA during this stretch.

The Nationals are so hot right now I have no doubt they'll get to Corbin Burnes, too.  Burnes has not enjoyed facing the Nationals, allowing 11 earned runs and 27 base runners in 17 innings in his last three starts against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Twins/Mariners AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

This total of 7.5 is simply too low.  Both the Twins and Mariners have better offenses than they get credit for.  That's especially the case for the Mariners, who have one of the most improved offenses in baseball scoring 4.6 runs per game which ranks 9th in the majors.

The Mariners are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall which were all at home.  They combined for 9, 10 and 12 runs with the Nationals last series, and 18 runs in Game 1 and 9 runs in Game 2 of this series with the Twins.  Their bullpen is now taxed after going to extra innings in three consecutive games.

Minnesota's bullpen is taxed as well after going to extra innings in the first two games of this series.  And starter Chris Paddack isn't known for going deep into games, either.  He is 29-29 with a 4.32 ERA in his career in the big leagues.  Luis Castillo hasn't been very sharp this season and has allowed 9 earned runs in 24 innings in his last four starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Rockies/Mets OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Rockies and Mets today.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right-center at Citi Field in New York this afternoon.

The Mets beat the Rockies 8-2 yesterday and are capable of covering this total on their own again today.  Carson Palmquist is 0-3 with an 8.78 ERA and 2.03 WHIP in three starts for the Rockies this season, allowing 11 earned runs and 27 base runners in 13 1/3 innings.

Clay Holmes has regressed quite a bit here recently allowing 7 earned runs, 4 homers and 22 base runners in 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts.  The Rockies should do enough against him and this New York bullpen to contribute to us cashing this OVER 8 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Angels/Guardians OVER 8

The Angels and Guardians combined for 12 runs yesterday which was the 6th time in the last 7 meetings that they combined for 8 runs or more.  This total of 8 is too low today given the poor quality of these two starting pitchers.

The Guardians are capable of covering this total on their own against Jack Kochanowicz and this suspect Angels bullpen.  Kochanowicz is 3-6 with a 5.07 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He has allowed 34 earned runs and 9 homers in 60 1/3 innings with just 40 K's.  He allowed 2 homers in 5 innings in his lone career start against Cleveland.

Gavin Williams is 4-3 with a 4.27 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 11 starts for the Guardians this season.  Conrol has been a big issue for him allowing 32 walks in 52 2/3 innings.  He allowed 4 runs, 2 earned, and 8 base runners in 3 innings in his lone career start against the Angels.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on A's/Blue Jays OVER 8

This has been a very high-scoring series thus far with the A's and Blue Jays combining for 12 runs in Game 1, 18 runs in Game 2 and 15 runs in Game 3.  It should be more of the same today with these two starting pitchers going.  The OVER is 8-2-1 in A's last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 11 games.

The Blue Jays have covered this total on their own in each of the first three games of this series scoring 12, 11 and 8 runs.  They are capable of doing it again against JP Sears, who have been roughed up for 19 earned runs and 8 homers in 12 1/3 innings in his last three starts for a 13.87 ERA.

Kevin Gausman is 5-4 with a 3.68 ERA in 11 starts this season.  The A's should do enough against him and this tired Toronto bullpen to help contribute to cashing this OVER 8 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Brewers/Phillies OVER 8

The Brewers beat the Phillies 17-7 for 24 combined runs yesterday aided by the wind blowing out.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket Sunday as well.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Philadelphia this afternoon.

Jose Quintana is far past his prime and on his last leg for the Brewers.  Quintana has allowed 7 earned runs, 4 homers and 15 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Ranger Suarez has allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts against Milwaukee.

Both teams have been better against left-handed pitching than right-handed pitching.  Both offenses have been very good this season with the Phillies scoring 4.8 runs per game and the Brewers 4.6 runs per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nationals/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Nationals beat the Diamondbacks 9-7 in Game 1 of this series for 16 combined runs.  In fact, the OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings with 9 or more combined runs in six of those seven meetings.  It should be another high-scoring game today.

Mike Soroka is 1-3 with a 5.61 ERA in five starts for the Nationals this season.  Soroka allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 11 base runners in 3 2/3 innings in his last start against Arizona.

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed 16 earned runs and 7 homers in 26 2/3 innings in his last five starts for a 5.40 ERA.  Pfaadt has allowed 7 earned runs, 4 homers and 15 base runners in 12 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Washington.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

25* NBA Conference Finals GAME OF THE YEAR on Indiana Pacers ML -165

Rick Carlisle is 4-0 at home with a chance to close out a series in his time between Dallas and Indiana.  The Pacers are 7-1 SU in their last eight playoffs games following a loss, including 3-0 in these playoffs off a loss beating the Bucks by 26 on the road, the Cavs by 20 on the road and the Knicks by 9 at home.

The Pacers basically gave away Game 5 and played like they knew they had a chance to close out this series at home in Game 6.  They weren't nearly as aggressive with pushing the tempo, and Tyrese Haliburton was very passive after posting a 30-point triple-double at home in Game 4.

Carlisle didn't play all of his cards and didn't push the buttons he will entering Game 6.  Only two starters played more than 30 minutes for the Pacers in Game 5, so they should still be very fresh.  Haliburton only attempted 7 shots for the game.  He will be more assertive, and the Pacers will get back to playing at the break-neck pace that gives them an advantage.

The Knicks are a tired team right now with no multiple days off in between games.  They play their starters so many minutes, and five players played at least 33 minutes for the Knicks in Game 5.  The Pacers playing up-tempo will give them problems and wear them down as this game goes on, and that will be the difference.  

Playoff teams who are up 3-2 and lost Game 5 on the road but have Game 6 at home are 45-14 SU & 39-19-1 ATS over their last 59 tries to close out a series.  These Game 6 home teams looking to clinch are winning by 14.3 points per game and covering the spread by 9.4 points per game in those 59 games.  Bet the Pacers on the Money Line in Game 6 Saturday.

15* Knicks/Pacers TNT Total DOMINATOR on OVER 220

The Pacers let the Knicks control the tempo in Game 5 in New York.  They won't allow that to happen at home in Game 6.  They will push the tempo and play at the break-neck pace that earned them a 130-121 win at home in Game 4 for 251 combined points.

The Pacers and Knicks have combined for 221 or more points in seven of their last nine meetings, so this total of 220 is very low for a game involving these two teams.  That's especially the case knowing the Pacers will control the tempo at home tonight and try to run the Knicks out of the gym.  Bet the OVER in Game 6 Saturday.

15* Twins/Mariners AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7

This total of 7 is simply too low.  Both the Twins and Mariners have better offenses than they get credit for.  That's especially the case for the Mariners, who have one of the most improved offenses in baseball scoring 4.6 runs per game which ranks 10th in the majors.

The Mariners are 4-0 OVER in their last four games overall which were all at home.  They combined for 9, 10 and 12 runs with the Nationals last series, and 18 runs with the Twins in Game 1 of this series.  Their bullpen is now taxed after losing in extra innings each of the past two days.

That puts a lot of pressure on Bryce Miller to go deep into this game.  But that clearly won't be the case as Miller makes his return from the injured list after allowing 11 earned runs in 9 innings in his two starts before going on the IL.  He will be on a pitch count, and he likely won't be effective.

No question Bailey Ober is a solid starter, but the Mariners should do enough off him and this Minnesota bullpen to help contribute to the OVER.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Yankees/Dodgers Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

Two of the best offenses in baseball square off tonight in what should be another high-scoring game after combining for 13 runs in Game 1 yesterday.  The Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game while the Yankees rank 3rd scoring 5.5 runs per game.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket with temps in the 80's and light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.

The Dodgers managed to score 8 runs on the Yankees yesterday with Cy Young contender Max Fried on the mound.  They will certainly get to Will Warren, who is due some regression after feasting on a very easy schedule of opponents in recent starts.

But the Yankees should hang a big number on Landon Knack, too.  Knack is 2-2 with a 5.22 ERA in five starts and two relief appearances for the Dodgers this season.

The OVER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings with 9 or more combined runs in six of those 10 meetings, 10 or more combined runs in five of them, and 13 or more combined runs in four of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Red Sox/Braves OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Red Sox and Braves today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Atlanta this afternoon.

Walker Buehler hasn't been the same since returning from injury.  He is 4-2 with a 3.95 ERA in eight starts this season, and I fully expect the Braves to hang a big number on him today.  Buehler has allowed 8 earned runs and 27 base runners in 15 innings in his last three starts against Atlanta.

Spencer Schwellenbach is one of the more overrated starters in the big leagues.  He has allowed 25 earned runs and 8 homers in 48 1/3 innings in his last eight starts for a 4.66 ERA.  Schwellenbach has allowed 10 earned runs and 2 homers in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Boston.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Angels/Guardians OVER 8

No game featuring Kyle Hendricks should have a total of 8 or lower.  Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in 24 starts and five relief appearances for the Cubs last season.  Hendricks is 2-6 with a 5.23 ERA in 10 starts for the Angels this season.  The Guardians are capable of covering this total on their own.

But the Angels should have more success at the plate today.  They will be up against Slade Cecconi, who is 3-9 with a 5.79 ERA in 19 starts and 10 relief appearances over 115 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Cecconi will be making just his 3rd start of the season for the Guardians.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Interleague Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Rangers OVER 8.5

The Cardinals have one of the most improved offenses in baseball scoring 4.74 runs per game this season.  The Rangers scored 11 runs on the Cardinals yesterday, and the OVER is now 4-0 in the last four meetings with 9 or more combined runs in all four.  This total of 8.5 is too low today.

Sonny Gray is one of the more overrated starters in baseball.  Gray has allowed 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 27 innings for a 4.67 ERA in his last five starts.  Gray has allowed 8 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Texas.

Patrick Corbin is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He has posted a 5.20 ERA while making at least 31 starts in each of his last four seasons in Washington.  Corbin has now allowed 9 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts for the Rangers.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Reds/Cubs NL Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7

The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds meet for their 2nd series in a week.  The first was very high-scoring and I was on the OVER in every game cashing all three with 19, 19 and 10 combined runs in the three games in Cincinnati.  These teams combined for 8 runs yesterday in Game 1 i Chicago, and this total of 7 is too low for Game 2.

The Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game and have been a dead nuts OVER team as a result.  The Reds are heating up at the plate scoring 6 runs or more in six of their last seven games with the OVER going 5-2 in those seven games with 8 or more combined runs in six of the seven.

Nick Lodolo has allowed 15 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings in his last five starts for a 4.88 ERA.  Lodolo has allowed a whopping 11 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Chicago.

Drew Pomeranz will be making his first start since 2019.  Pomeranz will not be successful here against this red hot Cincinnati lineup.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Twins/Mariners OVER 6.5

This total of 6.5 is simply too low.  Both the Twins and Mariners have better offenses than they get credit for.  That's especially the case for the Mariners, who have one of the most improved offenses in baseball scoring 4.6 runs per game which ranks 10th.

The Mariners are 3-0 OVER in their last three games overall which were all at home as they combined for 9, 10 and 12 runs with the Nationals last series.  Their bullpen is now taxed after losing in extra innings to the Nationals yesterday as well.

That puts a lot of pressure on Bryan Woo to go deep into this game.  But he is usually a high pitch count guy and rarely goes more than 6 innings.  Woo allowed 10 hits in 6 innings to the Astros in his last start.  Woo allowed 6 earned runs and 11 base runners in 3 1/3 innings to the Twins in his last start against them, which also came at home.

The Mariners should get their bats going against Zebby Matthews, who will be making just his 3rd start of the season.  He has allowed 6 earned runs and 13 base runners in 7 innings in his two starts.  He only had 71 pitches in his 1st start and 81 in his 2nd start and will remain on a pitch count.  Matthews is 1-5 with a 6.85 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 11 career starts in the big leagues.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Giants/Marlins OVER 8.5

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Marlins are 71-31 OVER at home over the last two seasons.  It's a much more hitter-friendly park than it gets credit for, and the Marlins have one of the worst staffs in baseball to boot ranking 28th allowing 5.7 runs per game.

The Giants are capable of covering this total on their own against one of the worst starters in baseball in Cal Quantrill.  He is 3-4 with a 6.09 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 10 starts for the Marlins this season, allowing 30 earned runs in 44 1/3 innings.

The Marlins have scored a total of 16 runs in their last two games which came at pitcher-friendly San Diego.  They have now scored 3 runs or more in six consecutive games, and they should get to Kyle Harrison, who will be making just his 2nd start of the season after allowing 2 earned runs in 4 innings to the Nationals.  Harrison is 8-9 with a 4.44 ERA in his career and will be on a pitch count.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Cubs OVER 8.5

The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds meet for their 2nd series in a week.  The first was very high-scoring and I was on the OVER in every game cashing all three with 19, 19 and 10 combined runs in the three games in Cincinnati.  

It should be more of the same in Game 1 of this series in the Chicago given the forecast at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  The Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.9 runs per game and have been a dead nuts OVER team as a result.  They will get to face Andrew Abbott for the 2nd time in a week, which favors their hitter over Abbott.

The Reds are heating up at the plate scoring 6 runs or more in five of their last six games with the OVER going 5-1 in those six games with 9 or more combined runs in five of the six.  They will also get to face Colin Rea for the 2nd time in a week.  Rea allowed 6 earned runs in 5 innings to the Reds on May 24th.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Mariners OVER 7.5

The Seattle Mariners have one of the most improved offenses in baseball ranking 10th at 4.6 runs per game this season.  The Washington Nationals just hung 9 runs on the Mariners yesterday and will be licking their chops at the opportunity to face tonight's starting pitchers.  Both teams took their turns covering the total on their own in the first two games of this series as the Mariners won 9-1 in Game 1.

Emerson Hancock is only starting for the Mariners due to injuries to the rotation.  Hancock is 2-2 with a 5.95 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in eight starts this season.  He has allowed 26 earned runs, 8 homers and 67 base runners in 39 1/3 innings.  Hancock is 6-6 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in his career in the big leagues while allowing 64 earned runs and a whopping 21 homers in 112 innings.

No question MacKenzie Gore has electric stuff with big strikeout numbers.  But he has also given up a lot of hard contact this season, and his 3.47 ERA and 1.25 WHIP aren't anything spectacular.  The Mariners should get to him and this awful Nationals bullpen enough to contribute to cashing this cheap OVER 7.5 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Nationals/Mariners OVER 8

The Seattle Mariners have the most improved offense in baseball this season.  They rank 10th in the majors scoring 4.66 runs per game.  They have covered the total on their own in the first two games of this series in a 9-5 victory in Game 1 and a 9-1 victory in Game 2.

That could very well be the case again today as the Mariners should crush Trevor Williams.  Williams has posted a 7.66 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 21 earned runs in 24 2/3 innings.  He has allowed 3 homers and 14 base runners in 9 innings in his last two starts against Seattle.

George Kirby is working his way back from injury and will be on a pitch count again tonight.  Kirby allowed 5 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings with only 72 pitches in his first start of the season on May 22nd.  I think the Nationals can get to him and this Seattle bullpen as well today.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Timberwolves/Thunder ESPN No-Brainer on Minnesota +8.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves showed they could play as a team in their last two games against the Oklahoma City Thunder.  After winning 143-101 in a runaway in Game 3 at home, they took the Thunder to the wire in a 128-126 loss in Game 4.

They only lost by 2 in Game 4 despite not getting good games out of their two best players in Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle.  Edwards scored just 16 points on 1-of-7 from 3-point range, and Randle had just 5 points on 1-of-7 shooting from the floor.  They were able to overcome it by getting 20-plus points from McDaniels, Alexander-Walker and DiVincenzo.

While I don't expect the role players to be as good for the Timberwolves on the road in Game 5, I certainly expect bounce back games from Edwards and Randle to make up for it.  I think the Timberwolves have the heart to give the Thunder a run for their money and not go out quietly.

This is a very young Thunder team that could be a bit antsy with a trip to the NBA Finals on the line.  I question how well they will handle their 1st opportunity to close out this series tonight with what's at stake.  I think the Timberwolves will take them to the wire again and possibly pull off the upset.  Bet the Timberwolves in Game 5 Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rockies/Cubs OVER 7.5

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 6.0 runs per game this season.  This total of 7.5 is too low, especially with the starting pitching matchup and the fact that both bullpens are taxed after going to extra innings last night.

Matthew Boyd has allowed at least 2 earned runs in each of his last eight starts for the Cubs.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 innings to the Reds last time out.

Tanner Gordon is 1-7 with a 7.52 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 10 career starts for the Rockies.  He has allowed 39 earned runs and a whopping 11 homers in 46 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Padres OVER 8.5

The Padres beat the Marlins 8-6 yesterday in what was a wild game where both bullpens were heavily used.  I think both teams will need their bullpens early again in this one with these two starting pitchers going.

Sandy Alcantara has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  Alcantara is 2-7 with a 8.04 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 10 starts for the Marlins, allowing a whopping 42 earned runs and 25 walks in 47 innings. Alcantara is 0-1 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in his last two starts against the Padres, allowing 8 earned runs in 13 innings.

Kyle Hart hasn't been much better for the Padres.  He is 2-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 6 homers in 21 innings.  The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Dodgers/Guardians OVER 9

The Dodgers are a great OVER bet this season with one of the best lineups in baseball but also one of the worst staffs.  The Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.64 runs per game and 22nd allowing 4.4 runs per game.

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Guardians and Dodgers today.  Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to left-center in Cleveland this afternoon.

Clayton Kershaw is working his way back from injury.  He has allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings in his two starts thus far since returning and will be on a pitch count again today.  The Guardians should tag him and this Los Angeles bullpen today.

The Dodgers should feast on Kolby Allard, who will be making his 1st start since 2023 as the Guardians make this a bullpen game.  They already have a taxed bullpen after losing 7-2 to the Dodgers in Game 1 and 9-5 to the Dodgers in Game 2.  It should be another game with 9-plus combined runs in Game 3 this afternoon.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-115)

The Arizona Diamondbacks have big advantage at the plate and on the mound that should have them winning by multiple runs again tonight after a 5-0 victory over the Pirates in Game 1 of this series last night.  The Diamondbacks rank 5th in baseball scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Pirates rank dead last (30th) scoring 3.0 runs per game.

Corbin Burnes is 3-2 with a 2.73 ERA in nine starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Burnes is 5-2 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 11 career starts against Pittsburgh as well.

Rookie Michael Burrows will be making his 2nd career start for the Pirates tonight.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of a 8-5 loss to the Brewers in his first start.  It won't get any easier for him tonight against this potent Arizona lineup.  Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Yankees -1.5 (-120)

The New York Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game.  They also rank 5th allowing just 3.6 runs per game.  Their +111 run differential is the best mark in the majors to this point.  The Angels are scoring 4.2 runs per game but allowing 5.2 runs per game with a -54 run differential.

The Yankees have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Carlos Rodon, who is 6-3 with a 2.88 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Rodon has allowed just 21 earned runs and 8 homers in 65 2/3 innings with 80 K's this season.

Regression has finally hit Tyler Anderson hard in his last two starts.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 20 base runners in 9 2/3 innings to the A's and Dodgers.  It won't get any easier for him tonight against this potent New York lineup.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* Knicks/Pacers TNT No-Brainer on Indiana ML -130

The Indiana Pacers let the New York Knicks off the hook in Game 3.  They took their foot off the gas when Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns got into foul trouble and the Pacers built a 20-point lead, only to relinquish it all largely to backups for the Knicks.

Now that they got humbled, I expect a big effort from the Pacers in Game 4 at home tonight to regain control of this series.  Look for them to push the pace and get back to playing their style of basketball and controlling the tempo playing at home.  The pace has favored the Knicks so far this series, and I think Rick Carlisle will make the proper adjustments and tell his players to get back to playing Pacer basketball.

The problem with the Knicks is that they are a defensive liability with Brunson and Towns on the court at the same time.  Both get cooked on defense, especially Brunson.  That won't change in this series, and the Knicks aren't just going to bench their two biggest superstars due to poor defense.  The only reason they are ever off the floor is due to foul trouble, not because Tom Thibodeau made some great coaching moves.

The longer this series goes, the more Indiana's advantage in depth will take over.  The Pacers actually have reliable options off the bench, while the Knicks are really stuck to a 7-man rotation.  And there hasn't been more than one day off in between games thus far in this series.  Look for the Pacers to get a lot more from their role players than they got in Game 3 at home in Game 4.  Bet the Pacers on the Money Line Tuesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-143)

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 6.0 runs per game.  Their +93 run differential is the 2nd-best mark in baseball behind only the Yankees.  The Colorado Rockies are scoring 3.2 runs per game and allowing 6.4 runs per game this season with a 9-45 record.  Their -173 run differential is the worst mark in baseball by 81 runs!

Rookie Cade Orton has held his own in two starts for the Cubs this season allowing 4 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings.  This will be his easiest test yet against a Colorado lineup that is the worst in baseball.

German Marquez has been one of the worst starters in baseball for the Rockies this season.  He is 1-7 with a 7.66 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He has allowed 40 earned runs in 47 innings with only 26 K's.  Marquez has allowed 11 earned runs and 26 base runners in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Chicago.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Royals OVER 8

The Reds and Royals both have taxed bullpens right now.  The Reds gave up 13 and 11 runs to the Cubs in two of their three games last series, and also won by 2 in the other game.  They beat the Royals 7-4 on Monday in Game 1 of this series yesterday with a total of just 7.5.

The Royals have played four straight games decided by 3 runs or fewer.  Eight of their last nine games were decided by 3 runs or fewer as well with a save opportunity.  I don't expect either starter to go deep into this game, thus both bullpens are going to have to be used a lot again tonight.

Brady Singer is 5-3 with a 4.88 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  Singer has allowed 16 earned runs and 34 base runners in 18 1/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.

Daniel Lynch will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Royals.  His first start he lasted just 1 2/3 innings against the Giants on May 21st.  He won't be going very deep in this game, either.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers/Guardians OVER 9

The Dodgers are a great OVER bet this season with one of the best lineups in baseball but also one of the worst staffs.  The Dodgers rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game and 21st allowing 4.4 runs per game.

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Guardians and Dodgers tonight.  Temps will bein the 60's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Cleveland.

Dustin May is really struggling for the Dodgers.  He has allowed 21 earned runs and 6 homers in 33 2/3 innings in his last six starts for a 5.61 ERA.  Tanner Bibee has just 43 K's in 58 innings and is pitching much more to contact this season which is why he has struggled.  He has already allowed 11 homers as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Yankees/Angels OVER 9.5

The New York Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game.  The Los Angeles Angels are scoring 4.3 runs per game but allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket with temps in the 70's and light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.

Jack Kochanowicz has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 3-5 with a 5.03 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 10 starts.  Kochanowicz has allowed 30 earned runs, 9 homers and 29 walks in 53 2/3 innings with just 35 K's.  The Yankees are capable of covering this total on their own, and there's a good chance they have the lead in the 9th so the Angels will get to bat in the bottom half.

Ryan Yarbrough has been forced into the rotation due to injuries.  He has only made three starts for the Yankees this season and hasn't made it past the 5th inning in any of those starts.  The Yankees due have a tired bullpen after a couple one-run games with the Rockies over the weekend.  And this Angels bullpen is one of the worst in baseball once Kochanowicz exits early.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Thunder/Timberwolves ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota +4

The Minnesota Timberwolves responded in a big way in Game 3.  I grabbed them +4 on the opener and it closed +3.  It opened +4 again for Game 4 and I grabbed the opener, and I expect it to close around +3 again so hopefully we get in good.

The Timberwolves shot just 15-of-51 (29%) from 3-point range in Game 1.  They weren't any better in Game 2 going 11-of-39 (28%) from 3-point range, including 1-of-9 from Anthony Edwards.  They were a much better shooting team than they should in the first two games, and that came to fruition in Game 3.

Minnesota shot 20-of-40 (50%) from 3-point range in its 143-101 victory in Game 3 to save this series.  Seven different players made at least two 3-pointers for the Timberwolves in a complete team effort.  It's true that role players play much better at home where they are more comfortable, and that is the case for Minnesota throughout these playoffs.

While I don't expect the Timberwolves to shoot 50% from 3 again in Game 4, they have a lot of margin for error considering they won by 42 points.  They should be in the 40% range, and if they are they can beat the Thunder again an even this series, and at the very least get the cover as 4-point home underdogs.  

Minnesota is 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS at home in the playoffs this postseason.  Oklahoma City is 3-3 SU but 1-5 ATS on the road in these playoffs.  They even struggled with the short-handed Grizzlies in two road games as all three of their road wins have come by 6 points or fewer in these playoffs.  Bet the Timberwolves Sunday.