20* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Diamondbacks/Padres OVER 7.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.13 runs per game and 27th allowing 5.1 runs per game.  They also have the 3rd-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.05 ERA as a team.

Merrill Kelly is struggling of late allowing 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 32 base runners in 22 innings in his last four starts.  Kelly does not enjoy facing the Padres, going 1-3 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in his last four starts against them while allowing 16 earned runs, 4 homers and 34 base runners in 21 innings.

Nick Pivetta has been solid for the Padres this season, but the Diamondbacks are a different animal, and I think he is getting too much respect here with this total of 7.5.  Pivetta is 2-1 with a 4.59 ERA in three career starts against Arizona.

The Diamondbacks and Padres have combined for at least 8 runs in 24 of their last 30 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on San Diego Padres -129

The San Diego Padres have a big advantage on the mound over the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight.  They will also be motivated to bounce back from a loss to the Diamondbacks in Game 1 of this series last night.

Merrill Kelly is struggling of late allowing 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 32 base runners in 22 innings in his last four starts.  Kelly does not enjoy facing the Padres, going 1-3 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in his last four starts against them while allowing 16 earned runs, 4 homers and 34 base runners in 21 innings.  The Diamondbacks also have the 3rd-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.05 ERA as a team.

Nick Pivetta is 9-2 with a 3.25 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 17 starts for the Padres this season.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 13 innings in his last two starts against Arizona.  He is backed by the 4th-best bullpen in baseball as the Padres have a 3.31 ERA as a team.  Bet the Padres Tuesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs/Twins OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.47 runs per game.  They scored 28 runs in their three-game series with the Cardinals over the weekend.  The Twins also have a potent lineup when they are as healthy as they are right now.  They scored 15 runs in their three games with the Rays over the weekend.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.

Simeon Woods Richardson is 4-4 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 12 starts and one relief appearance for the Twins this season.  He has faced a very weak schedule of opponents to boot as 10 of his 13 outings came against teams that rank in the bottom half of baseball in runs per game.  This will be his toughest test of the season tonight.

Shota Imanaga is working his way back from injury.  He threw 77 pitches in his 1st start back and 81 in his 2nd, and he will likely be on a pitch count again in his 3rd start back here tonight.  Imanaga allowed 3 homers in 5 1/3 innings to the Guardians in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays/Tigers OVER 8

The Rays and Tigers boast two of the most underrated offenses in baseball this season.  The Tigers rank 5th scoring 5.01 runs per game while the Rays rank 7th at 4.75 runs per game.  This total of 8 is too low for these two offenses.

The Rays are capable of covering this total on their own against Jack Flaherty, who looks washed this season.  Flaherty is 5-9 with a 4.84 ERA in 17 starts for the TIgers this season.  He has allowed 21 earned runs and 5 homers in 18 innings in his last four starts for a 10.50 ERA.  

Flaherty does not enjoy facing the Rays, allowing 12 earned runs in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts against them.  He allowed 8 earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of a 14-8 loss to the Rays in his lone start against them this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Tampa Bay Rays +114

The Tampa Bay Rays have a big advantage on the mound and should not be underdogs to the Detroit Tigers as a result tonight.  They will be motivated to bounce back from a Game 1 loss to the Tigers as well.

Jack Flaherty is 5-9 with a 4.84 ERA in 17 starts for the TIgers this season.  He has allowed 21 earned runs and 5 homers in 18 innings in his last four starts for a 10.50 ERA.  Flaherty does not enjoy facing the Rays, allowing 12 earned runs in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts against them.  He allowed 8 earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of a 14-8 loss to the Rays in his lone start against them this season.

Ryan Pepiot is 6-6 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 18 starts this season.  Pepiot is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in three career starts against Detroit, allowing 4 earned runs in 16 innings.  Bet the Rays Tuesday.

20* NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Diamondbacks/Padres OVER 8

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.12 runs per game and 27th allowing 5.12 runs per game.  They also have the 3rd-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.06 ERA as a team.

Zac Gallen is one of the most overrated starters in the league.  Gallen is 6-9 with a 5.45 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 18 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in a 8-7 win over the Padres in his lone start against them this season.

Yu Darvish will be making his first start of the season for the Padres tonight.  He will be on a pitch count, and I don't expect him to be sharp.  Given the pitch count for Darvish and the struggles of Gallen, this total of 8 is too short.

The Diamondbacks and Padres have combined for at least 8 runs in 23 of their last 29 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Cardinals/Cubs ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Chicago -1.5 (+107)

The Chicago Cubs have a big advantage on the mound over the St. Louis Cardinals tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  The Cubs also have the advantage at the plate ranking 2nd in baseball scoring 5.4 runs per game.  The Cardinals are really struggling at the plate actually getting shut out in 5 of their last 10 games overall.

Matthew Boyd is quietly having a Cy Young-caliber season in his first year in Chicago.  Boyd has gone 8-3 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 17 starts this season.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts.  Boyd has owned the Cardinals, going 2-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in four career starts against them, allowing just 6 earned runs and 18 base runners in 23 innings with 26 K's.

Erick Fedde has allowed a whopping 14 earned runs, 4 homers and 22 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts.  One of those starts came against the Cubs on June 25th in an 8-0 loss when he allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 3 2/3 innings.  Fedde is now 0-2 with a 7.92 ERA in five career starts against Chicago, allowing a whopping 22 earned runs and 10 homers in 25 innings.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon Line Mistake on Astros/Dodgers OVER 9

The Astros beat the Dodgers 18-1 in Game 1 for 19 combined runs and 6-4 in Game 2 for 10 combined runs.  I think the Astros stay hot at the plate, but the Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own as they get their bats going after facing two quality starters in the first two games in McCullers and Valdez.

The Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.54 runs per game.  They should crush rookie Ryan Gusto, who is 5-3 with a 4.90 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 11 starts and seven relief appearances for the Astros this season.  Gusto allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in an 8-7 win over the Angels on June 22nd in his last start.

Emmet Sheehan will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Dodgers after lasting just 4 innings in his first start, so the bullpen will be tested again after already being taxed.  Sheehan has posted a 4.76 ERA in 64 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.

The OVER is 5-2 in the last seven meetings with 10 or more combined runs in five of them.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket with temps in the 80's and light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Detroit Tigers -1.5 (-125)

The Cleveland Guardians are 0-9 in their last nine games overall and lifeless at the plate.  They have scored a total of 13 runs in those nine games for an average of 1.44 runs per game.  They have been shut out five times during this stretch.

It won't get any easier for the Guardians today against 2024 AL Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal, who is well on his way to winning the award again in 2025.  Skubal is 10-2 with a 2.15 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in 17 starts this season.  He fired a complete game shutout in a 5-0 victory on May 25th in his lone start against Cleveland in 2025.

The Tigers rank 5th in baseball scoring 4.99 runs per game.  They should tee off on Gavin Williams, who is 5-4 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 17 starts this season.  Williams has allowed 49 walks in 86 1/3 innings this season as control has been an issue.  Bet the Tigers on the Run Line Sunday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Yankees/Mets OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Yankees and Mets today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at Citi Field in New York this afternoon.

The Yankees rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.12 runs per game.  The OVER is 7-0 in Yankees last seven games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all seven, and 17 or more combined runs four times.  They are playing in some slug fests right now and their bullpen is taxed because of it.

The Mets scored 12 runs on the Yankees yesterday and should stay hot at the plate today even against Max Fried, who is one of the biggest regression candidates in baseball.  Fried is coming off one of his worst starts of the season allowing 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 innings of a 12-5 loss to the Blue Jays.

The Mets will make this a bullpen game starting with Chris Devenski, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  The OVER is 6-3 in the last nine meetings between the Yankees and Mets with 10 or more combined runs six times.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Red Sox/Nationals OVER 8

The Red Sox covered the total on their own in the first two games of this series winning 11-2 in Game 1 and 10-3 in Game 2.  I wouldn't be surprised if they do it again considering Shinnosuke Ogasawara will be making his major league debut for the Nationals today.

Ogasawara posted an 11.25 ERA in five spring training starts and a 4.50 ERA in six minor league starts.  He hasn't made a Triple-A start since April 13th.  When he exits, the Nationals have the worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.85 ERA.

Garrett Crochet is coming off one of his worst starts of the season, allowing 5 earned runs in 6 innings of a 13-6 win over the Reds.  It was the 2nd time in his last 5 starts that he has allowed 5 earned runs as regression has hit him hard.

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket with temps approaching 90 and light winds blowing out to center in Washington today.  This total of 8 is simply too low today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Rangers/Padres OVER 8

Any total of 8 in a game involving Patrick Corbin is too low.  Corbin posted a 5.20 ERA or worse while making at least 31 starts in each of his final four seasons in Washington.  I don't believe he is automatically fixed in Texas.  Corbin is 4-7 with a 4.26 ERA in 15 starts for the Rangers this season.  He has allowed 15 earned runs and 35 base runners in 21 innings in his last four starts.

Corbin is 0-2 with a 6.16 ERA in his last three starts against San Diego, allowing 13 earned runs in 19 innings.  He'll be opposed by rookie Stephen Kolek, who is due some regression with a 3.73 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Kolek has allowed 12 earned runs in 20 2/3 innings in his last four starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NL Saturday Afternoon Line Mistake on Brewers/Marlins OVER 8.5

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 74-46 OVER in all home games since the start of last season.  The Marlins are also going through their best offensive stretch of the season right now during their 9-2 run in their last 11 games.  They have scored a total of 64 runs in those 11 games for an average of 5.82 runs per game.

They should stay hot against rookie Chad Patrick, who has really struggled of late now that teams have him figured out.  Patrick has allowed 13 earned runs, 4 homers and 34 base runners in 20 innings in his last four starts. 

The Brewers quietly rank 8th in baseball scoring 4.72 runs per game this season.  They should tee off on Cal Quantrill, who is one of the worst starters in the majors in 2025.  Quantrill is 3-7 with a 5.42 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Yankees/Mets Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Yankees and Mets today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at Citi Field in New York this afternoon.

The Yankees rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.11 runs per game.  The OVER is 6-0 in Yankees last six games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all six, and 17 or more combined runs three times.  They are playing in some slug fests right now and their bullpen is taxed because of it.

Carlos Rodon has allowed 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 27 innings in his last five starts for a 4.33 ERA.  Frankie Montas will be making just his 3rd start of the season fro the Mets.  He was rocked for 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 innings of a 12-1 loss to the lowly Pirates in his last start.

The OVER is 5-3 in the last eight meetings between the Yankees and Mets with 10 or more combined runs five times.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Phillies OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Reds and Phillies.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center.  The Reds beat the Phillies 9-6 yesterday for 15 combined runs, and it should be more of the same today with how healthy and potent these two lineups are right now.

Nick Lodolo has allowed 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 25 innings in his last five starts for a 4.68 ERA.  Lodolo has allowed 5 earned runs and 19 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts against Philadelphia.

Ranger Suarez has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three starts.  He is one of the biggest regression candidates in baseball, and I expect the Reds to get to him today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cardinals/Cubs OVER 11

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 11 ticket between the Cardinals and Cubs at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field.  Temps will be in the 90's with 15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center.  The ball should be flying out today.

Matthew Liberatore has a 5.14 ERA in his last five starts.  Drew Pomeranz will be making just his 3rd start of the season as the Cubs make this a bullpen game, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Interleague Friday Total DOMINATOR on Orioles/Braves OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing in this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Orioles and Braves today.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center.  The Orioles rank 27th allowing 5.16 runs per game this season.

The Braves are capable of covering this total on their own against former teammate, Charlie Morton.  It has been a rough go of it for Morton in Baltimore this season, going 4-7 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 12 starts and six relief appearances in his first season with the Orioles.

Spencer Strider is making his way back from injury and is far from the form he showed in his dominant rookie season.  Strider is 3-6 with a 3.86 ERA in nine starts this season.  The Orioles will do enough against him to contribute to cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* AL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Angels/Blue Jays OVER 9

The Toronto Blue Jays are 24-8 OVER in their last 32 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 23 of those 32 games.  They are coming off 13, 20 and 17 combined runs with the Yankees in their last three games.  It should be more of the same in Game 1 against the Angels today.

The Blue Jays should stay hot at the plate against Kyle Hendricks, who went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in his final season in Chicago last season.  Hendricks hasn't been much better for the Angels, going 5-6 with a 4.66 ERA in 16 starts this season.

The Blue Jays have a taxed bullpen, and it will be tested again today with Eric Lauer getting the start.  He rarely goes more than 5 innings or 85 pitches as the Blue Jays are trying to turn him into a starter from a reliever this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Rangers/Padres Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

Two of the worst starters in baseball go tonight in this showdown between the Rangers and Padres.  The Rangers have scored at least 6 runs in six of their last eight games overall and are really heating up at the plate.  The Padres have one of the most talented lineups in baseball as well.

Kumar Rocker is 3-4 with a 6.13 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in nine starts for the Rangers this season.  He'll be opposed by Randy Vasquez, who is 3-4 with a 3.84 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 17 starts with just 48 K's in 84 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rays/Twins OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Rays and Twins today.  Temps will be in the 90's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Minnesota.  The ball should be flying out.

The Rays have been crushing the ball for over a month now.  They rank 7th in baseball scoring 4.78 runs per game.  They should tee off on Chris Paddack, who has allowed 19 earned runs and 4 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last four starts for a 9.16 ERA during this stretch.

Zack Littell has allowed 6 homers in his last 4 starts and the long ball has been a problem for him this season.  Littell is 1-2 with a 4.03 ERA in four career starts against the Twins, allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 22 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Yankees/Mets Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Yankees rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.11 runs per game.  The OVER is 5-0 in Yankees last five games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all five, and 17 or more combined runs three times.  They are playing in some slug fests right now and their bullpen is taxed because of it.

The Yankees will turn to Marcus Stroman, who will be making his 2nd start back from injury.  His first resulted in a 12-5 win over the A's where he threw just 74 pitches, and he will be on a pitch count again today.  Stroman has allowed 9 earned runs in 17 innings in his last three starts against the Mets.

The Mets will be making this a bullpen game likely starting with Justin Hagenman, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  The OVER is 4-3 in the last seven meetings with 10 or more combined runs four times.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Giants/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.22 runs per game and allowing 5.12 runs per game this season.  The OVER is 13-4-1 in the last 18 meetings between the Giants and Diamondbacks with 9 or more combined runs 13 of those 18 games.

Brandon Pfaadt has been a disaster this season for the Diamondbacks.  He is 8-5 in spite of a 5.38 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 17 starts this season.  Pfaadt has allowed 8 earned runs, 3 homers and 17 base runners in 6 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Giants over the last two seasons.

Robbie Ray has come back down to earth of late allowing 9 earned runs, 4 homers and 30 base runners in 22 innings in his last four starts.  He has been very fortunate in the earned runs department with putting that many runners on base.  Ray allowed 3 earned runs and 10 base runners in 6 innings of a 10-6 win over the Diamondbacks in his lone start against them this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Brewers/Mets OVER 8

The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the Mets and Brewers with 8 or more combined runs in four of those five.  That includes both teams yesterday that saw 9 and 10 combined runs and likely taxed the bullpens in a double-header.  I'm expecting both bullpens to be used heavily again tonight.

Jose Quintana has allowed 9 earned runs in 16 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Quintana allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 1/3 innings in his last start against the Mets.

David Peterson has allowed 10 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts.  So both starters come in struggling and off short outings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Yankees/Blue Jays OVER 8.5

The Yankees rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.12 runs per game this season.  The Blue Jays are 23-8 OVER in their last 31 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 26 of those 31 games and 9 or more in 22 of them.  These teams combined for 9 runs in Game 1, 17 runs in Game 2 and 20 runs in Game 3 so the bullpens are taxed.  It should be another high-scoring Game 4 today.

Clarke Schmidt is coming off one of his worst starts of the season.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 innings to the lowly A's on June 28th.  Schmidt has allowed 7 earned runs, 3 homers and 20 base runners in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Blue Jays.

Chris Bassitt has allowed 16 earned runs in 21 innings in his last four starts for a 6.86 ERA during this stretch.  Bassitt allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Yankees this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Rangers OVER 8

The Orioles rank 27th allowing 5.15 runs per game this season and they have the 5th-worst bullpen in the majors with a 4.66 ERA.  They just gave up 10 runs to the Rangers yesterday, and this is a red hot Texas lineup that has scored at least 6 runs in five of its last seven games overall.

The Rangers should stay hot at the plate against Tomoyuki Sugano, who has been figured out in his rookie season.  He is a contact pitcher with just 52 K's in 88 2/3 innings.  Sugano has really struggled of late, allowing 16 earned runs, 5 homers and 36 base runners in 17 2/3 innings for a 8.15 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in his last four starts.

The Orioles are also heating up at the plate scoring 8.4 runs per game in their last five games after scoring 10 runs on the Rangers in Game 1 of this series.  They should get to Nathan Eovaldi, who is working his way back from injury.  Eovaldi lasted just 3 innings and 45 pitches while giving up 3 earned runs in his first start back on June 27th against the Mariners.  Eovaldi allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings in his last start against Baltimore.

The OVER is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between the Orioles and Rangers with 10 or more combined runs in seven of those 10 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Giants/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 3rd in baseball scoring 5.19 runs per game but 26th allowing 5.14 runs per game.  The Diamondbacks have the 3rd-worst bullpen with a 5.27 ERA as a team.  Two gas can starting pitchers go tonight in what should be a slug fest between the Giants and Diamondbacks in Game 2 of this series.

Zac Gallen is one of the most overrated starters in the majors.  Gallen is 5-9 with a 5.75 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 17 starts this season.  Gallen has allowed 20 earned runs and 8 homers in 23 1/3 innings in his last four starts.

Hayden Birdsong is 3-2 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in seven starts and 11 relief appearances this season.  Birdsong has allowed 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts which both came at home against two poor lineups in the Marlins and Red Sox.

The OVER is 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings between the Giants and Diamondbacks with 9 or more combined runs 11 of those 16 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Orioles/Rangers OVER 7

The Orioles beat the Rangers 10-6 in 11 innings yesterday.  Both bullpens are now taxed already, and that could play a factor here.  This total of 7 is too low especially when you consider the Rangers are capable of covering this total on their own.

The Orioles rank 25th allowing 5.1 runs per game this season and they have the 6th-worst bullpen in the majors with a 4.52 ERA.  Brandon Young is 0-2 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in three starts for the Orioles this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 25 base runners in 12 2/3 innings.

This total is so low because Jacob DeGrom is starting for the Rangers, but I think they have adjusted it down too much.  The Orioles likely only need to score 2 runs to cash this OVER 7 ticket.  They are scoring 10.0 runs per game in their last four games so they are heating up at the plate and should do enough against DeGrom.  

The OVER is 6-3 in the last nine meetings with 7 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings and 10 or more combined runs in six of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on A's/Rays OVER 8.5

George M. Steinbrenner Field is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the majors.  It's largely due to hot temps, and that will be the case again today with temps in the 80's and light winds blowing out to center.  The Rays have been red hot at the plate for over a month now, scoring at least 4 runs in 18 of their last 26 games overall.

The A's are really a dead nuts OVER team with one of the worst staffs in baseball.  The A's rank 29th in baseball allowing 5.75 runs per game.  Only the Rockies have been worse.  The A's also have the 2nd-worst bullpen with a 5.83 ERA as a team.

The Rays should hang a big number on Jeffrey Springs, who is 6-6 with a 4.30 ERA in 15 starts and two relief appearances this season.  Springs has allowed 21 earned runs and 7 homers in 39 innings in his last seven outings for the A's.

Shane Baz has been a disappointment for the Rays this season posting a 4.37 ERA in 16 starts while allowing 44 earned runs and 14 homers in 90 2/3 innings.  The A's have scored at least 5 runs in three consecutive games, including 6 runs yesterday.  Both starters were knocked out in the 4th inning, so both bullpens are taxed heading into this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Twins/Marlins OVER 7.5

The Miami Marlins are red hot at the plate right now scoring 7.4 runs per game in their last seven games.  The Marlins are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall with 10 or more combined runs in all five games.  One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Marlins are 73-42 OVER in all home games over the last two seasons.

The Marlins rank 28th in baseball allowing 5.21 runs per game.  Their bullpen has a 4.36 ERA on the season, and the Twins have only been slightly better with a 4.32 ERA as a team.  The Twins also allow 4.4 runs per game on the season.

This total of 7.5 is too low even with Joe Ryan and Edward Cabrera on the mound.  The Marlins will stay hot against Ryan, and the Twins should get to Cabrera, who is 2-2 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Yankees/Blue Jays AL East Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

The Yankees rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.07 runs per game this season.  The Blue Jays are 21-8 OVER in their last 29 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 24 of those 29 games and 9 or more in 20 of them.  This total of 7.5 is too low for a game involving these two offenses right now.

Max Fried has allowed multiple earned runs in three of his last four starts and is one of the biggest regression candidates in the majors.  Look for the Blue Jays to get to him today.

But the Yankees are capable of covering this total on their own against Kevin Gausman, who has allowed 17 earned runs in 28 innings in his last five starts for a 5.46 ERA during this stretch.  Gausman hates facing the Yankees, allowing 17 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings in his last three starts against them for a 13.11 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Yankees/Blue Jays OVER 8

The Yankees rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.08 runs per game this season.  The Blue Jays are 20-8 OVER in their last 28 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 23 of those 28 games and 9 or more in 19 of them.  This total of 8 is too low for a game involving these two offenses right now.

Max Scherzer is making just his 2nd start back from injury and will be on a pitch count.  He tossed 83 pitches while allowing 3 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings to the Guardians in his 1st start back from injury.  Scherzer has allowed 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees for a 9.00 ERA.

Carlos Rodon comes in scuffling a bit allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 22 innings in his last four starts.  Rodon does not enjoy facing the Blue Jays, allowing 14 earned runs in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against them for a 8.79 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Marlins/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Marlins beat the Diamondbacks 9-8 in Game 1 for 17 combined runs and 8-7 in Game 2 for 15 combined runs. The Marlins and Diamondbacks have now combined for at least 10 runs in six of their last eight meetings.  It should be another slug fest today given that these are two of the worst starters in baseball.

Cal Quantrill is 3-7 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 15 starts for the Marlins this season.  Quantrill is 0-3 with a 6.46 ERA in six career starts against Arizona, allowing 22 earned runs and 7 homers in 30 2/3 innings.  When he departs, he is backed by the 9th-worst bullpen in baseball as the Marlins have a 4.41 ERA as a team.

The Diamondbacks have the 3rd-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.22 ERA.  Eduardo Rodrizuez is 3-4 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 13 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  He is 2-1 with a 5.75 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in three career starts against the Marlins, allowing 10 earned runs and 25 hits in 15 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Angels OVER 9.5

The Nationals beat the Angels 15-9 in Game 1 of this series for 24 combined runs.  The Angels came back with an 8-2 victory in Game 2 and 10 combined runs.  It should be another high-scoring affair in Game 3 today in a game that features two of the worst starters and bullpens in baseball.

Mitchell Parker is 5-8 with a 4.59 ERA in 16 starts for the Nationals this season with just 59 K's in 86 1/3 innings, and pitching to contact clearly isn't working out for him.  Parker has allowed 10 earned runs, 5 homers and 25 base runners in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  He will be backed by a Washington bullpen that is the worst in baseball with a 5.93 ERA on the season.

Jack Kochanowicz is 3-8 with a 5.49 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 16 starts for the Angels this season.  He has just 59 K's in 82 innings and pitching to contact isn't working out for him, either.  He is backed by the 4th-worst bullpen in baseball as the Angels have a 5.17 ERA on the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs/Astros OVER 7.5

The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.46 runs per game.  This total of 7.5 is too low for a game involving the Cubs right now.  The Astros won 7-4 in Game 1 for 11 combined runs while the Cubs came back with a 12-3 victory in Game 2 for 15 combined runs.  It should be more of the same in Game 3 today.

Framber Valdez is one of the most overrated starters in baseball in my opinion.  Valdez allowed 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 4 innings to the Cubs in his last start against them, and I expect this potent Chicago lineup to have their way with him again.

Jameson Taillon has been rocked for 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 8 innings in his last two starts for a 14.63 ERA during this stretch.  Taillon has allowed 5 earned runs and 17 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Houston.  

The Cubs and Astros have combined for at least 9 runs in six of their last eight meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Nationals/Angels MLB Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The Nationals beat the Angels 15-9 in Game 1 of this series yesterday for 24 combined runs.  It should be another high-scoring affair in Game 2 tonight in a game that features two of the worst starters and bullpens in baseball.

Mike Soroka is 3-5 with a 5.06 ERA in 10 starts for the Nationals this season.  Soroka has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  He will be backed by a Washington bullpen that is the 2nd-worst in baseball with a 5.74 ERA on the season.

Kyle Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in his final season with the Cubs last year.  Somehow the Angels keep throwing him out there this season as he is 5-6 with a 4.83 ERA in 15 starts for his new team.  Hendricks allowed 4 earned runs and 9 hits in 5 1/3 innings in his last start against the Angels.  He is backed by the 3rd-worst bullpen in baseball as the Angels have a 5.21 ERA on the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Phillies/Braves NL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Phillies have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game.  They did all of the work yesterday in a 13-0 victory over the Braves.  I expect both offenses to have success today against these two starting pitchers given the forecast, which is calling for temps in the 80's and almost zero wind.

Jesus Luzardo has a 9.64 ERA in his last five starts while allowing a whopping 25 earned runs in 23 1/3 innings.  He has also allowed 6 earned runs in 11 innings in his last two starts against the Braves.  No question Atlanta gets its bats going tonight.

Spencer Schwellenbach has come back down to earth here of late.  He has allowed 11 earned runs and 4 homers in his last four starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cubs/Astros OVER 8

The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.38 runs per game.  This total of 8 is too low for a game involving the Cubs right now.  The Astros won 7-4 in Game 1 yesterday for 11 combined runs.  It should be more of the same in Game 2 today.

Colin Rea has been battered for 25 earned runs and 9 homers in 26 1/3 innings in his last five starts for a 8.54 ERA.  Rea allowed 5 earned runs and 12 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 9-4 loss to the Astros in his last start against them.

Lance McCullers is working his way back from injury for the Astros.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 8 base runners in 5 innings to the White Sox in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Marlins/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Marlins beat the Diamondbacks 9-8 yesterday for 17 combined runs in Game 1 of this series.  The Marlins and Diamondbacks have now combined for at least 10 runs in five of their last seven meetings.  It should be another slug fest today given that these are two of the worst starters in baseball.

Sandy Alcantara is 4-8 with a 6.69 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 15 starts for the Marlins this season.  Alcantara allowed 5 runs, 3 earned, in 6 innings in his last start against Arizona.  When he departs, he is backed by the 8th-worst bullpen in baseball as the Marlins have a 4.41 ERA as a team.

Brandon Pfaadt is 8-5 in spite of a 5.49 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 16 starts this season. Pfaadt has allowed 22 earned runs in 18 innings in his last five starts for an 11.00 ERA.  He is also 2-1 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in three career starts against Miami, allowing 11 earned runs in 16 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays/Orioles OVER 9.5

The Orioles beat the Rays 22-8 in Game 1 yesterday for 30 combined runs.  It should be another slug fest in Game 2 today given the forecast, which is calling for temps in the 90's and light winds blowing out to left-center.

Zach Eflin is 6-4 with a 5.46 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 11 starts for the Orioles this season.  Eflin has allowed a whopping 13 earned runs, 5 homers and 26 base runners in 8 innings in his last two starts.  One of those starts came against the Rays on June 16th when he allowed 7 earned runs in 5 innings to fall to 1-3 with a 5.64 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in four career starts against them.

The Rays are capable of covering this total on their own against Efflin and this Baltimore bullpen that has a 4.46 ERA on the season.  But the Orioles should also put up some runs against Zack Littell, who has a allowed 8 homers in his last 5 starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NL Non-Divisional TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Padres/Reds OVER 9

Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  That will especially be the case tonight in Game 1 of this series between the Padres and Reds given the forecast.  It will be 90 degrees at game time with temps in the 89's for the majority of the game, so the ball should be flying out.

Both lineups are very healthy right now and two of the most potent lineups in baseball when that's the case.  The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings with 10 or more combined runs three times.  

Dylan Cease is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He has gone 3-6 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  Cease has really struggled away from the pitcher-friendly confines of Petco Park, going 0-4 with a 6.26 ERA in eight road starts this season while allowing 29 earned runs in 41 2/3 innings away from home.

Nick Martinez is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 4-8 with a 4.40 ERA in 15 starts and two relief appearances for the Reds.  Martinez has allowed 17 earned runs and a whopping 8 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last four starts for a 8.19 ERA.  Martinez is 0-3 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.60 WHIP In three career starts against the Padres, allowing 12 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings with just 9 K's.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cubs/Cardinals OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket in Game 4 of this series between two of the best offenses in baseball.  Temps will be in the upper-90's with light winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis.  The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.43 runs per game while the Cardinals rank 7th scoring 4.72 runs per game.

Shota Imanaga will be making his first start back from injury since May 4th and will certainly be on a pitch count.  Imanaga allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 hits in 6 2/3 innings in his last start against St. Louis.

Andrew Pallante is 5-3 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 15 starts for the Cardinals this season with just 58 K's in 82 1/3 innings.  Pitching to contact will not go well for him today.  Pallante has allowed 15 earned runs in 26 1/3 innings in his last five starts for a 5.13 ERA during this stretch.  He has a 1.73 WHIP in his last three starts against Chicago while allowing 23 base runners in 13 1/3 innings with just 8 K's.

It has been a similar forecast the last couple days with the Cardinals and Cubs combining for 10 runs in Game 1, 15 runs in Game 2 and 8 runs through 4 1/2 innings in Game 3, which was a bad beat to stay under 8.5.  The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the Cubs and Cardinals with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Rays/Royals OVER 10

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket between the Rays and Royals today.  Temps will be in the 90's with 15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Kansas City this afternoon.  The Rays rank 6th in baseball scoring 4.74 runs per game and have been hitting the cover off the ball over the last month.

The Rays will stay hot at the plate against Michael Lorenzen, who is 4-7 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 15 starts for the Royals this season.  Lorenzen has really struggled of late, allowing 20 earned runs and 5 homers in 25 innings for a 7.20 ERA during this stretch.

Shane Baz has been a major disappointment for the Rays as well.  He has a 4.79 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 15 starts this season while allowing 44 earned runs and 14 homers in 82 2/3 innings.  One of his worst starts of the season came against the Royals on May 1st when he allowed 7 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Blue Jays/Guardians OVER 7.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are 18-6 OVER in their last 24 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 21 of those 24 games and 9 or more in 18 of them.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Blue Jays right now.

Kevin Gausman is really struggling of late.  He has allowed 17 earned runs and 4 homers in 20 innings in his last four starts.  Tanner Bibee hasn't been much better, posting a 4.40 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 30 1/3 innings.  

The Blue Jays and Guardians have combined for at least 8 runs in each of their last nine meetings, making for a 9-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 7.5-run total.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cubs/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket in Game 3 of this series between two of the best offenses in baseball.  Temps will be in the 90's with light winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis tonight.  The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.39 runs per game while the Cardinals rank 6th scoring 4.78 runs per game.

Matthew Boyd is a major regression candidate for the Cubs, and Erick Fedde does not enjoy facing the Cubs.  Fedde is 0-1 with a 6.33 ERA in four career starts against Chicago, allowing 15 earned runs and a whopping 7 homers in 21 1/3 innings.

It has been a similar forecast the last couple days with the Cardinals and Cubs combining for 10 runs in Game 1 and 15 runs in Game 2.  The OVER is 8-1 in the last nine meetings between the Cubs and Cardinals with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Yankees/Reds OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Yankees and Reds tonight.  Temps will be in the 90's at game time with almost zero wind.  The ball should be flying out of what is already one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball at Great American Ball Park.

Max Fried has finally come back down to reality in his last five starts with a 3.77 ERA as regression was inevitable.  Fried has allowed 6 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Cincinnati.

The Yankees should hang a big number on Brady Singer, who is 0-2 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in six career starts against New York.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees, which both came last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Braves/Mets OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Braves and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 90's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right field.  The Braves have one of the most potent lineups in baseball when they are as healthy as they are right now, and the Mets have one of the most talented lineups in baseball as well.

Didier Fuentes will be making his 2nd career start for the Braves tonight.  He was rocked for 4 earned runs in 5 innings by the lowly Marlins in his first start.  Clay Holmes was rocked for 3 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his lone career start against the Braves, which came in his last start on June 19th.  Getting to see him for a 2nd time in a week is a huge advantage for these Atlanta hitters.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Nationals/Padres OVER 8.5

The OVER is 4-0 in Nationals last four games overall with 10, 11, 20 and 16 combined runs.  They are really a dead nuts OVER team with a terrible pitching staff that ranks 27th in baseball allowing 5.16 runs per game.  They also have the worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.95 ERA.

The Padres should hang a big number on Trevor Williams, who is 3-8 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 15 starts for the Nationals this season.  Williams allowed 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 2/3 innings in his last start against San Diego.  The Padres have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last 10 games overall.  

Rookie Ryan Bergert will be making just his 5th starts off the season for the Padres.  Bergert hasn't lasted more than 5 1/3 innings or 90 pitches in any of his previous four starts, so the Padres will have to use their bullpen early after getting taxed last night allowing 10 runs to the Nationals.  Washington has scored at least 4 runs in seven of its last eight games overall.

The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between the Nationals and Padres with 11 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Dodgers/Rockies OVER 11.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are really a dead nuts OVER team going 47-31-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.59 runs per game and 23rd allowing 4.61 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 10-3-1 OVER in their last 14 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 14 games.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against German Marquez, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball.  Marquez is 3-8 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 15 starts this season.  One of those starts came against the Dodgers on April 16th when he allowed 7 earned runs in 2/3 of an inning in a 8-7 loss that saw 15 combined runs.

The Dodgers will make this a bullpen game, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  The OVER is 5-3-1 in the last nine meetings with 15 or more combined runs in three of the last six meetings.  Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Coors Field to aid us in cashing this OVER 11.5 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Philadelphia Phillies +139

The Philadelphia Phillies have actually been better since losing Bryce Harper to injury.  The Phillies are 9-2 in their last 11 games overall and hitting the cover off the ball.  They have scored at least 4 runs in eight of those 11 games.

Ranger Suarez shouldn't be this big of an underdog to anyone.  Suarez is 6-1 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in nine starts for the Phillies this season.  He went 12-8 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 27 starts for the Phillies last season.

Framber Valdez is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He has faced a very easy schedule of opponents especially of late as his last three starts came against the A's, White Sox and Pirates.  Five of his last 10 starts have come against teams ranked in the bottom 5 in baseball in runs per game.  He will struggle tonight against this hot Philadelphia lineup.  Bet the Phillies Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cubs/Cardinals OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket in Game 2 of this series between two of the best offenses in baseball.  Temps will be in the 90's with light winds blowing out to left center in St. Louis tonight.  The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.37 runs per game while the Cardinals rank 7th scoring 4.73 runs per game.

Jameson Taillon is coming off one of his worst starts of the season for the Cubs.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 innings to the Brewers.  Michael McGreevy will be making just his 3rd start of the season for the Cardinals, and I don't expect it to go well for him.

The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between the Cubs and Cardinals with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays/Royals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Rays and Royals tonight.  Temps will be in the 90's with light winds blowing out to left-center at Kauffman Stadium at game time.  These are two offenses that are heating up with the weather, especially the Rays.

The Rays have scored at least 7 runs in seven of their last 10 games overall.  The OVER is 7-3 in those 10 games.  The Royals have scored at least 6 runs in three of their last six games coming in.

Taj Bradley is likely to get rocked for the Rays.  He has allowed a whopping 19 runs, 13 earned, and 3 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  Kris Bubic has come back down to earth in his last two starts, allowing 8 earned runs and 20 base runners in 9 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cubs/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket in Game 1 of this series between two of the best offenses in baseball.  Temps will be in the 90's with light winds blowing out to left center in St. Louis tonight.  The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.42 runs per game while the Cardinals rank 9th scoring 4.69 runs per game.

Ben Brown has had a rough go of it in his 2nd season in the big leagues.  Brown is 4-5 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 13 starts and two relief appearances for the Cubs.  He has allowed 46 earned runs in 74 1/3 innings.

Matthew Liberatore is 4-6 with a 4.08 ERA in 14 starts for the Cardinals this season.  Liberatore has really struggled of late, allowing 18 earned runs and 4 homers in 20 innings in his last four starts for a 8.10 ERA during this stretch.  He has allowed 8 runs, 4 earned, 3 homers and 15 base runners in 5 2/3 innings in two career starts against Chicago.

The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the Cubs and Cardinals with 9 or more combined runs in six of those seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NL Monday Total DOMINATOR on Braves/Mets OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Braves and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center.  The Braves are scoring 5.2 runs per game in their last 10 games and are as potent as anyone when they are as healthy as they are right now.  The Mets are scoring 4.5 runs per game on the season and capable of much more with all their talent.

Spencer Schwellenbach just faced the Mets in his last start allowing 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 7 innings of a 5-4 win.  Getting to face him again for the 2nd time in less than a week is a huge advantage to these New York hitters.

Paul Blackburn will be making just his 3rd start of the season for the Mets.  His last actually came against the Braves on June 18th.  He allowed 4 runs, 3 earned and 6 base runners in 3 2/3 innings.  Again, the advantage goes to Atlanta's hitters getting to see Blackburn for the 2nd time in less than a week.  Blackburn is 22-29 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 441 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Yankees/Reds OVER 10

Great American Ball Park is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the majors.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket between two of the best lineups in the majors.  Temps will be in the 90's today in Cincinnati so the ball should be flying out.  

The Yankees rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.13 runs per game while the Reds rank 11th at 4.62 runs per game.  The Yankees have scored 23 runs in their last four games for an average of 5.75 runs per game.  The Reds have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last nine games.  The OVER is 7-3 in Reds last 10 games overall with 11 or more combined runs in seven of those 10 games.

Allan Winans will be making his 1st start of the season for the Yankees tonight.  He is 1-4 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in eight career starts in the big leagues, allowing 32 earned runs and 8 homers in 40 innings.

Nick Lodolo is 20-19 with a 4.31 ERA in 62 career starts, including 5-5 with a 3.71 ERA in 15 starts this season.  Lodolo comes in struggling allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts for a 6.46 ERA.  Bet the OVER In this game Monday.

20* Pacers/Thunder ABC No-Brainer on Oklahoma City -6.5

The Thunder are 45-8 SU at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA.  They are 10-2 SU & 9-3 ATS in the playoffs at home with eight of those wins coming by 15 points or more and nine wins by 11 points or more.  

After closing as 10-point favorites in Game 1, 11.5-point favorites in Game 2, and 9-point favorites in Game 3, the Thunder are only 6.5-point favorites in Game 7 which is a huge discount.  It's too big of an adjustment.  Consider the Thunder have a 26.9 Net Rating difference in their home/road splits in these playoffs.  Bet the Thunder in Game 7 Sunday.

20* Pacers/Thunder ABC Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 215.5

Game 7's in the conference finals and NBA Finals are 11-1 UNDER in their last 12 tries.  All 12 finished with 196 or fewer combined points, so this total of 215.5 is very high for a Game 7 in the NBA Finals.  The last four NBA Finals Game 7's went UNDER by an average of 17 points per game.

The Pacers and Thunder just combined for 199 points in Game 6.  The longer a series goes, the more familiar teams become with one another and that certainly favors defense.  Both of these young teams will be pretty tight for a Game 7 with the Larry O'Brien Trophy at stake, so look for this to be yet another ugly defensive battle.  Bet the UNDER in Game 7 Sunday.

20* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Dodgers OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are really a dead nuts OVER team going 46-31-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game and 23rd allowing 4.6 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 9-3-1 OVER in their last 13 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 13 games.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against Michael Soroka, who is 3-5 with a 5.06 ERA in nine starts for the Nationals this season.  Soroka allowed 3 earned runs and 10 base runners in 6 2/3 innings in his lone career start against the Dodgers.

Shohei Ohtani will be making his 2nd start of the season for the Dodgers.  He went just one inning in his first start, and he won't last long in this one either before turning it over to this suspect Los Angeles bullpen.

The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings between the Nationals and Dodgers with 10 or more combined runs in all five.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Astros/Angels OVER 9

Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.  These two starters will both get rocked.

Kyle Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in his final season in Chicago last year.  He hasn't been much better for the Angels, going 5-6 with a 4.79 ERA in 14 starts this season.  Hendricks allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings to the Astros in his lone start against them this season.

Ryan Gusto is 4-3 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 10 starts and six relief appearances for the Astros this season.  Gusto allowed 3 earned runs in 4 innings in his lone start against the Angels this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL West PLAY OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks/Rockies OVER 12.5

Coors Field is already the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.  It will be exaggerated even more today given the forecast, which is calling for temps in the 90's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center today.  It was a similar forecast last night when the Diamondbacks beat the Rockies 14-8 for 22 combined runs in Game 1.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.2 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  They have the 3rd-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.31 ERA.  The Rockies rank dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.2 runs per game.  They have the 5th-worst bullpen with a 4.69 ERA.

The Diamondbacks should tee off on Antonio Senzatela, who is 2-10 with a 6.72 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 14 starts for the Rockies this season.  The Rockies should tee off on Brandon Pfaadt, who is 8-4 with a 5.38 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 15 starts this season and one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mariners/Cubs OVER 11.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 11.5 ticket between the Mariners and Cubs today.  Temps will be in the 90's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left-center.  It was a similar forecast for the first two games of this series when these teams combined for 13 runs in Game 1 and 17 runs in Game 2.

Logan Gilbert is making his 2nd start back from injury and only threw 84 pitches in his first start.  He'll be opposed by Colin Rea, who is really struggling of late.  Rae has allowed 18 earned runs and 5 homers in 21 innings in his last four starts.  Rae has allowed 10 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Chicago.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NL Central TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Cardinals OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Reds and Cardinals today.  Temps will be in the 90's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis.  These are two of the best offenses in baseball with the Cardinals ranking 7th at 4.74 runs per game and the Reds ranking 10th at 4.62 runs per game.

The Reds should tee off on Miles Mikolas, who is 4-4 with a 4.35 ERA in 14 starts this season.  Mikolas has allowed 15 earned runs in 21 innings in his last four starts.  Mikolas has allowed 9 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Cincinnati.  He is 3-3 with a 5.66 ERA in his last six starts agianst Cincinnati, and 1-2 with an 8.83 ERA in his last three home starts against the Reds.

Andrew Abbott is 3-2 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in six career starts against St. Louis.  He has come back down to early recently giving up 5 runs in two of his last three starts and 4 homers in those two starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Nationals/Dodgers OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers are really a dead nuts OVER team going 45-31-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game and 23rd allowing 4.6 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 8-3-1 OVER in their last 12 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 12 games.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against Jake Irvin, who is 5-3 with a 4.23 ERA in 15 starts this season with only 59 K's in 89 1/3 innings.  Irvin has allowed 16 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 innings in his last four starts.  He has allowed 10 earned runs and 20 base runners in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Dodgers.

Dustin May is 4-4 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 13 starts for the Dodgers this season.  May has allowed 8 earned runs in 11 innings in his last two starts.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings with 10 or more combined runs in all four.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-136)

The Arizona Diamondbacks crushed the Colorado Rockies 14-8 yesterday with a similar forecast with temps in the 90's and 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  With the opportunity for more runs being scored, I'll gladly back the Diamondbacks on the Run Line today.

Arizona ranks 3rd in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game.  The Rockies rank dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.2 runs per game.  They have the 5th-worst bullpen with a 4.71 ERA.  The Diamondbacks have a big advantage on the mound tonight.

Carson Palmquist is 0-4 with a 7.76 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in six starts for the Rockies this season, allowing 23 earned runs and 7 homers in 26 2/3 innings.  One of those starts came against Arizona on May 16th when Palmquist allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings.

Merrill Kelly is 6-3 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 15 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Kelly has owned the Rockies, going 5-0 with a 1.61 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in his last seven starts against them, allowing just 8 earned runs in 44 2/3 innings.  Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Saturday.

15* NL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Diamondbacks/Rockies OVER 12

Coors Field is already the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.  It will be exaggerated even more today given the forecast, which is calling for temps in the 90's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center tonight.  It was a similar forecast last night when the Diamondbacks beat the Rockies 14-8 for 22 combined runs.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.2 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  They have the 3rd-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.37 ERA.  The Rockies rank dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.2 runs per game.  They have the 5th-worst bullpen with a 4.71 ERA.

Merrill Kelly is coming off one of his worst starts of the season allowing 4 earned runs in 5 innings to the Padres.  He has allowed at least 4 earned runs in three of his last five starts.  

Carson Palmquist is 0-4 with a 7.76 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in six starts for the Rockies this season, allowing 23 earned runs and 7 homers in 26 2/3 innings.  One of those starts came against Arizona on May 16th when Palmquist allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mariners/Cubs OVER 12

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 12 ticket between the Mariners and Cubs today.  Temps will be in the 90's with over 20 MPH winds blowing out to left-center.  It was a similar forecast yesterday when the Mariners beat the Cubs 9-4 for 13 combined runs.

Emerson Hancock is 3-2 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 12 starts for the Mariners this season.  Rookie Cade Horton is 3-1 with a 3.47 ERA in six starts and one relief appearance for the Cubs this season.  I expect both youngsters to get rocked given the forecast today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Reds/Cardinals OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Reds and Cardinals today.  Temps will be in the 90's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis.  These are two of the best offenses in baseball with the Cardinals ranking 8th at 4.72 runs per game and the Reds ranking 10th at 4.62 runs per game.

The Reds will make this a bullpen game starting with Brent Suter, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  Sonny Gray is coming off one of his worst starts of the season allowing 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings to the Brewers.  Gray has allowed 13 runs, 10 earned, and 3 homers in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Cincinnati.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Brewers/Twins OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Brewers and Twins today.  Temps will be in the 90's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left at Target Field.  It was a similar forecast yesterday when the Brewers blasted the Twins 17-6 for 23 combined runs.

Jose Quintana has a 5.47 ERA in his last five stats while allowing 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 24 2/3 innings.  Simeon Woods-Richardson is 2-3 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in nine starts and one relief appearances for the Twins this season.  Both starters get rocked today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Diamondbacks/Rockies OVER 11.5

Coors Field is already the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.  It will be exaggerated even more today given the forecast, which is calling for temps in the 90's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center tonight.  This has the makings of one of the highest-scoring games of the season.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.1 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  They have the 3rd-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.42 ERA.  The Rockies rank dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.1 runs per game.  They have the 5th-worst bullpen with a 4.62 ERA.

Zac Gallen is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He is 4-8 with a 5.19 ERA in 15 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Austin Gomber is 35-40 with a 4.82 ERA in 653 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Gomber has a 6.00 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in his last six starts against the Diamodnbacks, allowing 20 earned runs and 8 homers in 30 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Reds/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Reds and Cardinals tonight.  Temps will be in the 90's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis.  These are two of the best offenses in baseball with the Cardinals ranking 7th at 4.71 runs per game and the Reds ranking 8th at 4.67 runs per game.

The OVER is 6-1 in Reds last seven games overall with 11 or more combined runs in six of those seven games.  They have scored at least 4 runs in six consecutive games, and they should stay hot at the plate today.

Andrew Pallante is 4-3 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 14 starts for the Cardinals this season with just 54 K's in 76 1/3 innings.  Brady Singer is 7-4 with a 4.34 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 14 starts for the Reds this season.  Both offenses will have their way with these below-average starting pitchers with a hitter-friendly forecast tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Mariners/Cubs MLB Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Mariners and Cubs today.  Temps will be approaching 80 with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field this afternoon.

The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.4 runs per game.  They should tee off on George Kirby, who is 1-3 with a 5.96 ERA in five starts this season while working his way back from injury.

Matthew Boyd is one of the biggest regression candidates in baseball considering he has a 4.68 ERA for his career in nearly 1,000 innings compared to a 2.79 ERA this season.  Boyd is 2-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in four career home starts against the Mariners, allowing 14 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Dodgers OVER 8.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are really a dead nuts OVER team going 44-30-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game and 23rd allowing 4.6 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 7-2-1 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against rookie Ryan Bergert, who will be making just his 4th start of the season for the Padres.  Bergert hasn't lasted past 5 1/3 innings and 90 pitches in any of his three starts thus far, so the Dodgers should get into their bullpen early.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is going through his worst stretch of the season for the Dodgers.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 29 base runners in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  Yamamoto is 1-1 with an 8.36 ERA in four career starts against the Padres, allowing 13 earned runs in 14 innings.

The OVER is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings between the Dodgers and Padres with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 12 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Rays OVER 8.5

George M. Steinbrenner Field is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  It's always hot, and the wind is almost always blowing out to center.  It will be hot again today with temps in the 80's, and these two hot lineups should have their way with these two starters tonight.  The Rays have scored 7 runs or more in seven of their last 11 games, while the Orioles are scoring 6.2 runs per game in their last five.

The Rays should stay hot at the plate against Charlie Morton, who is 3-7 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 61 innings for the Orioles this season.  Drew Rasmussen is coming off one of his worst starts of the season, allowing 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings to the Mets.  Rasmussen allowed 3 earned runs in one inning in his last start against the Orioles.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Interleague Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Diamondbacks/Blue Jays OVER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.0 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  The Toronto Blue Jays are 15-3 OVER in their last 18 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 14 of those 18 games.

Ryne Nelson has had a rough go of it in the big leagues.  He has a 4.51 ERA in 363 innings in his career, including a 4.14 ERA in 50 innings this season.  He'll be opposed by Kevin Gausman, who has allowed 10 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts to fall to 5-5 with a 4.08 ERA in 14 starts this season.

The OVER is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings with 9 or more combined runs in all six.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rockies/Nationals OVER 9

Two of the worst starters and bullpens in baseball square off today in Game 4 of this series between the Rockies and Nationals.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket today with temps in the 90's and 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Washington this afternoon.

Chase Dollander is 2-7 with a 6.57 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 11 starts for the Rockies this season.  Dollander allowed 9 runs, 6 earned, and 4 homers in a 12-11 loss to the Nationals on April 19th in his lone career start against them.  When he departs, he will be backed by a Colorado bullpen that is the 5th-worst in baseball with a 4.69 ERA.

Trevor Williams is 3-8 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 14 starts for the Nationals this season.  Williams is 3-2 with a 5.14 ERA in six career starts against the Rockies.  When he departs, he will be backed by the 2nd-worst bullpen in baseball as the Nationals have a 5.90 ERA on the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Early ANNIHILATOR on Angels/Yankees OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Angels and Yankees this afternoon.  Temps will be in the 90's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium today.

The Yankees should hang a big number on Tyler Anderson, who has a 7.30 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 20 earned runs in 24 2/3 innings.  But the Angels should also have success against Carlos Rodon, who has allowed 8 earned runs in 10 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Rodon has a 6.75 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in three career home starts against the Angels.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Dodgers OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are really a dead nuts OVER team going 44-29-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game and 23rd allowing 4.6 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 7-1-1 OVER in their last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against Stephen Kolek, who is 6-2 with a 4.35 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in his career in the big leagues.  This is his first season as a starter and he will be making his 9th start of the season.  He has never faced the Dodgers, so this will be his toughest test yet.

Emmet Sheehan will be making his first start since 2023 for the Dodgers tonight.  He has posted a 4.92 ERA while allowing 33 earned runs and 11 homers in 60 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.

The OVER is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings between the Dodgers and Padres with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 11 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Astros/A's OVER 9

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento has been one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball this season.  It's always hot and the wind is usually blowing out, and that's the case again tonight with temps in the 90's and light winds blowing out to center.  The A's are 23-14 OVER in all home games this season.

The Astros have scored at least 10 runs in three of their last six games and are heating up at the plate.  They should stay hot tonight against Luis Severino, who has been a victim of Sutter Health Park this season.  Indeed, Severino is 0-6 with a 7.10 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in nine home starts this season, allowing 41 earned runs in 52 innings.  He is 1-3 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in six career home starts against Houston.

Framber Valdez is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  The OVER is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings between the A's and Astros with 9 or more combined runs in six of those nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Rockies/Nationals OVER 9

Two of the worst starters and bullpens in baseball square off tonight in Game 3 of this series between the Rockies and Nationals.  I expect both offenses to have their way with these staffs again tonight after combining for 10 runs in Game 1 and 16 runs in Game 2.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center so the ball should be flying out.

German Marquez is 2-8 with a 6.62 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 14 starts for the Rockies this season.  Marquez has allowed 16 earned runs in 16 innings for a 9.00 ERA in his last three starts against Washington, and 2-4 with an 8.29 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in seven career starts against the Nationals.  When he departs, he will be backed by a Colorado bullpen that is the 5th-worst in baseball with a 4.69 ERA.

Mitchell Parker is 4-7 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 14 starts for the Nationals this season with just 50 K's in 74 1/3 innings.  When he departs, he will be backed by the 2nd-worst bullpen in baseball as the Nationals have a 5.90 ERA on the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Royals/Rangers OVER 8

No game started by Patrick Corbin should have a total of 8 or lower.  Corbin posted a 5.20 ERA or worse while making at least 31 starts in each of his last four seasons in Washington.  He is a huge regression candidate with how much he pitches to contact in his first season with the Rangers.  He has just 49 K's in 66 1/3 innings this season.

Speaking of regression, Kris Bubic finally came back down to earth in his last start.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 1/3 innings to the Yankees.  Bubic allowed 7 runs, 4 earned, and 12 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his lone career start against Texas.  Corbin has allowed 10 earned runs and 18 base runners in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Kansas City.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Rays OVER 9

George M. Steinbrenner Field is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  It's always hot, and the wind is almost always blowing out to center.  It will be hot again today with temps in the 80's, and these two hot lineups should have their way with these two starters tonight.  The Rays have scored 7 runs or more in six of their last 10 games, while the Orioles are scoring 5.8 runs per game in their last four.

Trevor Rogers will be making his 2nd start of the season for the Orioles.  Rogers is 15-34 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 85 career starts in the big leagues.  He'll be opposed by Taj Bradley, who is 1-2 with a 6.52 ERA in four career starts against Baltimore, allowing 14 earned runs and 7 homers in 19 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Diamondbacks/Blue Jays OVER 9

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.1 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  The Toronto Blue Jays are 14-3 OVER in their last 17 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 13 of those 17 games.

Eduardo Rodriquez has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 2-3 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and 31 base runners in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Toronto.

Eric Lauer will be making just his 4th start of the season for the Blue Jays.  He hasn't lasted more than 4 1/3 innings in any of those three starts, allowing 6 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 2/3 innings.  The OVER is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings with 9 or more combined runs in all five.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Marlins OVER 7.5

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 73-37 OVER in all home games since the start of last season.  The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between the Marlins and Phillies with 9 or more combined runs seven times, and 11 or more combined runs in six of them.

The Phillies rank 7th in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game.  The Marlins average 4.1 runs per game while also ranking 28th allowing 5.3 runs per game.  They have one of the worst staffs in baseball, and the Phillies are capable of covering this total on their own tonight.

They will feast on Adam Mazur, who is 1-3 with a 7.49 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in eight career starts in the big leagues.  He won't last long, and then the Phillies will get into this Miami bullpen that is the 6th-worst in baseball with a 4.58 ERA on the season.

Ranger Suarez has been solid this season for the Phillies, but he does not enjoy facing the Marlins.  He has allowed 6 earned runs and 17 base runners in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Miami.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Dodgers OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are really a dead nuts OVER team going 43-29-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game and 23rd allowing 4.5 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 6-1-1 OVER in their last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against Randy Vasquez, who is very fortunate to have a 3.57 ERA despite a 1.40 WHIP and just 41 K's in 68 innings.  He is one of the biggest regression candidates in all of baseball this season.

The Dodgers will make this a bullpen game, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  They will face a hot and healthy San Diego lineup that has scored at least 7 runs in four of its last seven games overall.

The OVER is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings between the Dodgers and Padres with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Diamondbacks/Blue Jays OVER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.1 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  The Toronto Blue Jays are 13-3 OVER in their last 16 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 12 of those 16 games.

Brandon Pfaadt is 8-4 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  He has allowed 43 earned runs and 14 homers in 70 1/3 innings.

Chris Bassitt has really struggled of late for the Blue Jays.  He has allowed 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 23 innings in his last four starts for a 5.87 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Angels/Yankees OVER 9

The New York Yankees are 3rd in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game.  They have been held in check during their current four-game losing streak, but I expect them to break out in a big way tonight and come close to covering this total on their own.

They will feast on Kyle Hendricks, who went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in 24 starts and five relief appearances in his final season in Chicago last year.  Hendricks hasn't been any better in Los Angeles, going 4-6 with a 5.20 ERA in 13 starts for the Angels this season.

The Angels should do their part against Will Warren, who has allowed 11 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings in his last three starts for a 8.03 ERA.  He has also thrown 84 or fewer pitches in five consecutive starts, so the Angels should get into this New York bullpen early.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115)

The New York Yankees will be highly motivated for a victory following a season-high four-game losing streak.  Look for them to take out their frustration on the Los Angeles Angels tonight due to their big advantage on the mound.

The Yankees will feast on Kyle Hendricks, who went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in 24 starts and five relief appearances in his final season in Chicago last year.  Hendricks hasn't been any better in Los Angeles, going 4-6 with a 5.20 ERA in 13 starts for the Angels this season.

Will Warren is 4-3 with a 4.86 ERA in 14 starts for the Yankees this season.  The Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game while the Angels rank 21st scoring 4.1 runs per game.  The Angels have the 3rd-worst bullpen in the majors with a 5.47 ERA on the season.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Phillies/Marlins OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 72-37 OVER in all home games since the start of last season.  The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the Marlins and Phillies with 9 or more combined runs six times, and 11 or more combined runs in five of them.

The Phillies rank 7th in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game.  The Marlins average 4.1 runs per game while also ranking 28th allowing 5.4 runs per game.  They have one of the worst staffs in baseball, and the Phillies are capable of covering this total on their own tonight.

Cal Quantrill is 3-7 with a 5.61 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 13 starts for the Marlins this season.  One of his worst starts of the season came against the Phillies on April 19th when he allowed 7 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in a 11-10 defeat that saw 21 combined runs.

Jesus Luzardo has really struggled of late for the Phillies.  He has allowed 21 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings in his last three starts for a 16.20 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Pacers/Thunder ABC ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma City -9

The Oklahoma City Thunder will be oozing with confidence when they return home for Game 5.  They outscored the Pacers 31-17 in the 4th quarter in Game 4 to come away with a 111-104 victory in what felt like a must-win for them.

The best unit on the floor is the OKC defense, and that was on display in the 4th quarter against the Pacers.  It will be on display again tonight when they return to OKC in front of their hostile home crowd.  Amazingly, the Thunder won and covered Game 4 despite shooting just 3-of-16 (19%) from 3-point range.  They will be much more efficient at home.

The Thunder are 44-8 SU at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA.  They are 9-2 SU & 8-3 ATS in the playoffs at home with eight of those wins coming by 15 points or more.  After closing as 10-point favorites in Game 1 and 11.5-point favorites in Game 2, the Thunder are only 9-point favorites in Game 5 which is a discount.  Bet the Thunder Monday.

20* NL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Phillies/Marlins OVER 8.5

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 72-36 OVER in all home games since the start of last season.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between the Marlins and Phillies with 9 or more combined runs in all six games, and 11 or more combined runs in five of them.

The Phillies rank 7th in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game.  The Marlins average 4.1 runs per game while also ranking 28th allowing 5.4 runs per game.  They have one of the worst staffs in baseball, and the Phillies are capable of covering this total on their own against Sandy Alcantara tonight.

Alcantara has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season, going 3-7 with a 7.14 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 13 starts.  One of those starts came against the Phillies on April 18th when he allowed 6 earned runs in 2 innings.

Rookie Mick Abel makes his 4th career start for the Phillies tonight.  He allowed 3 homers to the Cubs in 4 innings in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Philadelphia Phillies -106

The Philadelphia Phillies have won four consecutive games while scoring a total of 29 runs in those four wins for an average of 7.3 runs per game.  They will stay hot at the plate against Sandy Alcantara tonight.

Alcantara has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season, going 3-7 with a 7.14 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 13 starts.  One of those starts came against the Phillies on April 18th when he allowed 6 earned runs in 2 innings.

Rookie Mick Abel has held his own for the Phillies this season.  He is 1-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in three starts.  The Phillies need to be much bigger favorites over the Marlins tonight given their big advantages at the plate and on the mound.

This is also a tough spot for the Marlins.  They concluded their 9-game road trip by sweeping the lowly Nationals over the weekend.  Now they return home from that 9-game trip, and I like fading teams who return home following extended trips because there are a lot of distractions back home for their to deal with.  I also think the Marlins are fat and happy off that sweep.  Bet the Phillies Monday.

20* Giants/Dodgers ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game.  The Giants have an improved offense this season ranking in the middle of the pack.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Giants and Dodgers tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles.

Kyle Harrison will be making just his 4th start of the season for the Giants.  Harrison allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 6-5 win over the Padres in his last start.  Harrison allowed 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings in his last start against the Dodgers as well.

Dustin May has allowed 32 earned runs and 8 homers in 48 2/3 innings in his last nine starts for a 5.92 ERA.  The OVER is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings between the Giants and Dodgers.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Padres/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5

Arizona is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th scoring 5.13 runs per game while also ranking 27th allowing 5.11 runs per game.  The OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between Arizona and San Diego with 10 or more combined runs in eight of those 11 meetings.

Arizona won a wild 8-7 game over San Diego yesterday by scoring 5 runs in the 9th.  Both bullpens are now taxed.  The Padres used four relievers while the Diamondbacks used three of their best relievers.  Arizona has the 4th-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.14 ERA.

Nick Pivetta comes in scuffling for the Padres.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts.  Pivetta has allowed 6 earned runs and 18 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Arizona as well.

Merrill Kelly does not enjoy facing the Padres.  He is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in his last three starts against San Diego, allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 26 base runners in 16 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Brewers OVER 8

The Cardinals have one of the most improved offenses in baseball ranking 10th scoring 4.59 runs per game.  The Brewers also rank in the top half of the majors at 13th scoring 4.35 runs per game.  This total of 8 is too low for these two lineups up against these two struggling starting pitchers.

Regression has hit Miles Mikolas hard of late as he has allowed 13 earned runs and 26 hits in 15 innings in his last three starts for a 7.80 ERA.  Mikolas is 2-2 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in his last five starts against Milwaukee, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 28 2/3 innings.

Quinn Priester is 4-2 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 61 2/3 innings this season.  One of his worst starts of the season came against the Cardinals on April 26th when he allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings of a 6-5 loss.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Padres/Diamondbacks OVER 9

Arizona is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th scoring 5.09 runs per game while also ranking 26th allowing 5.09 runs per game.  The OVER is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between Arizona and San Diego with 10 or more combined runs in seven of those 10 meetings.

Rookie Ryan Bergert will be making his 3rd career start for the Padres.  This will be by far a much tougher test for him than his first two starts at San Francisco and at Milwaukee.  I expect Arizona to touch him up today.

Zac Gallen is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He is 4-8 with a 5.15 ERA in 14 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Gallen has allowed 19 earned runs and 8 homers in 29 1/3 innings in his last five stats for a 6.14 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Yankees/Red Sox AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

The OVER is 6-4-1 in the last 11 meetings between the Red Sox and Yankees with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those 11 meetings.  This total of 8.5 is too low for a game involving these two offenses at hitter-friendly Fenway Park tonight.

The Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.4 runs per game.  Boston ranks 5th scoring 4.89 runs per game.  Both offenses should have their way with these two starting pitchers tonight.

Carlos Rodon will be facing Boston for a 2nd time in a week.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of a 11-7 loss to the Red Sox on June 8th.  He has now allowed 5 homers in his last three starts against Boston.

Hunter Dobbins has allowed 13 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings in his last four starts for a 6.27 ERA.  One of those starts came opposite Rodon on June 8th when he allowed 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of that 11-7 win over the Yankees.  It should be another slug fest favoring the offenses in the mound rematch today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-153)

The Colorado Rockies are the worst team in baseball.  They are 13-56 on the season, scoring just 3.3 runs per game and allowing 6.33 runs per game, getting outscored by over 3 runs per game.  The Braves are as healthy offensively as they have been all season and boast one of the most potent offenses in the league when that's the case.

I expect the Braves to win this game by multiple runs tonight due to their big advantage on the mound.  That was the case last night when they crushed the Rockies 12-4 by scoring most of their runs against this awful Colorado bullpen, which is the 6th-worst in baseball with a 4.74 ERA.

Spencer Strider looks more and more back to full strength with each start.  This has the potential to be his best start yet.  Strider is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in two career starts against Colorado, allowing one earned run and 9 base runners in 12 innings with a whopping 21 K's.

Chase Dollander is 2-6 with a 6.85 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 10 starts for the Rockies this season.  He has allowed 34 earned runs, 12 homers and 22 walks in 44 2/3 innings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-135)

The Texas Rangers are finally heating up at the plate during their 5-1 run over their last six games where all five wins came by 2 runs or more.  They have scored a total of 46 runs in those six games for an average of 7.7 runs per game.

The Chicago White Sox are 23-47 on the season while ranking 27th in baseball scoring just 3.47 runs per game.  It won't get any easier for them today against Jacob DeGrom, who clearly looks back to full strength.

DeGrom is 6-2 with a 2.12 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 13 starts for the Rangers this season.  He has posted a 1.29 ERA in two career starts against the White Sox, allowing just 2 earned runs in 14 innings with a whopping 21 K's.

Rookie Mike Vasil will make his 2nd career start for the White Sox today and I don't expect it to go well for him.  Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Saturday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Blue Jays/Phillies OVER 8.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are 12-2 OVER in their last 14 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 14 games.  Toronto has scored at least 5 runs in six of its last eight games and 10 of its last 14 games overall.  The Phillies have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 4.64 runs per game.

The Phillies should crush Bowden Francis, who is 2-8 with a 6.12 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  He has allowed 41 earned runs and a whopping 19 homers in 60 1/3 innings this season.  Francis has allowed 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 7 2/3 innings in two career starts against Philadelphia.

Christopher Sanchez is 5-2 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 13 starts for the Phillies this season.  He allowed 8 base runners in 6 innings to the Blue Jays opposite Francis on June 3 in a 8-3 victory.  I like the fact that these offenses get to see these two starting pitchers for the 2nd time in less than two weeks because it will be to their advantage.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Diamondbacks OVER 9.5

Two of the worst starters in baseball square off against two of the best lineups in baseball tonight in what should be a slug fest between the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks.  Arizona is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th scoring 5.09 runs per game while also ranking 26th allowing 5.15 runs per game.

The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between Arizona and San Diego with 10 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings.  It should be more of the same in this series, starting in Game 1 tonight.

Stephen Kolek has allowed 14 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings in his last five starts for a 4.55 ERA.  He'll be opposed by Ryne Nelson, who is 2-2 with a 4.60 ERA in 45 innings this season.  Nelson allowed 7 earned runs in 3 innings of a 13-1 loss to the Reds in his last start coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Thunder/Pacers ABC No-Brainer on Oklahoma City -5.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been deadly following a loss.  Indeed, the Thunder are 5-0 SU off a loss in the playoffs winning those five games by a total of 98 points and by an average of 19.6 points per game.

That includes their dominant 123-107 win over the Pacers in Game 2 after losing Game 1 at the buzzer.  That was an even bigger blowout than the final score showed as both teams pulled their starters early with the Thunder up by 20-plus.  Oklahoma City will respond from a Game 3 loss with a blowout win in Game 4.  The Thunder are 20-7 ATS when avenging a loss this season.

The Thunder have a lot of mistakes they can correct from Game 3 as well.  They had an uncharacteristic 19 turnovers including several on inbound passes.  They also missed a lot of free throws late.  I think after experiencing the hostile atmosphere in Indiana in Game 3, they will be more prepared for it and thus more composed.  Expect a big effort from OKC to get the win and cover and tie this series at 2-2 tonight.  Bet the Thunder Friday.