Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing $77000.00 dime player profit run!Free Olympics Hoops Pick: Mens BB -Canada (-7) vs Greece
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We have two starting pitchers who are operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum entering this tilt. The Rangers starter Heaney is just 1-1 but has allowed just two earned in 15.1 innings of top tier work. Meanwhile the Blue Jays starter Kikuchi, has given up 11 earned runs over his last 9.2 innings of very sub par work. Toronto has lost in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas and my projections estimate they have a high probability of losing here again .Texas is 5-0 on the ML in its last 5 games and have momentum and the pitching edge here today.The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI).
Play on Texas
Luis Ortiz is ecpected to toe the rubber for the Pittsburgh Pirates this Friday against Arizona ,He currently owns a 5-2 record along with a stingy 2.57 ERA his season. Ortiz has allowed 14 hits and 2 runs in his last 20.2 innings of top tier work and has recorded a 2.31 ERA and .229 allowed batting average in 35 road innings in 2024. Meanwhile, the Dbaks will send Zac Gallen tp the hill . He owns a 7-5 record along with a stable 3.64 ERA on the campaign.Gallen has a 3.35 ERA and .246 allowed batting average in 45.2 home innings and in his career vs the Pirates owns a 3.04 ERA My projections estimate these hurlers will go long and strong here today in what could end up in a pitchers duel.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games on the road
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 96 games (+11.20 Units / 10% ROI)
Play under
The Red Sox will hand the ball to Brayan Bello (10-5, 5.27 ERA). He's had a fortunate campaign as compared to his overall metrics and does not matchup well here vs the Yankees offense according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings . Meanwhile, the Yankees starter Nestor Cortes (4-9, 3.99) has lost back-to-back starts as he goers to the hill at Fenway Park tonight. The left-hander allowed six runs on eight hits in 4 1/3 innings last Saturday against the Rays.Cortes is 2-0 with a 4.89 ERA in 11 career appearances (five starts) against Boston. With that said, Im expecting these two strong offenses to tee off on each other here tonight, and for the Green Monster to see alot of action.
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+10.80 Units / 17% ROI)The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 47 games (+15.15 Units / 29% ROI)The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 gamesThe total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games.
Play over
Experience & Awards
I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.
My picks have been documented for 22 years.
I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.
I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.
I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.
Handicapping Approach
I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.
My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.
Sports Betting Is An Investment
Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.
Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.
I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.
In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.
I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!
This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!
Money Management
To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.
If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.
This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.
Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.
1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.
2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.
3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.
4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.
5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.
6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.
These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.
I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.
*All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit).