Free Football Picks

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Orioles/Marlins OVER 8.5

The Miami Marlins are 105-72 OVER in all home games over the last three seasons.  The Orioles are 14-1-1 OVER in their last 16 games overall finishing with 8 or more combined runs in all 16 games, and 9 or more in 14 of them.  This total of 8.5 is too short for a game involving the Orioles right now.

The Orioles won 9-7 over the Marlins in Game 1 for 16 combined runs and 7-4 over Miami in Game 2 for 11 combined runs.  The Orioles and Marlins have combined for at least 9 runs in 10 of their last 13 meetings.  It should be more of the same today, and the Marlins should actually do the heavy lifting this time around.  

Cade Povich is 7-18 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 38 starts and three relief appearances in his career in the big leagues.  He is 1-1 with a 4.41 ERA in 16 1/3 innings this season.  He is backed by a poor, tired Baltimore bullpen that has posted a 4.89 ERA this season.

Max Meyer is 8-11 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 32 career starts in the big leagues.  Meyer has been much better this season with a 2.68 ERA in seven starts, but he won't be able to sustain this level.  He faces a red hot Orioles lineup tonight that should do enough damage against him to cash this OVER 8.5 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

Free Total Annihilator On A's vs Phillies under 9 +100

Ricky's 1* play on Under.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Under is 14-3 in Detroit's last 17 games against Cleveland.

- The Under is 7-2 in Detroit's last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland.

- The Under is 4-1 in Cleveland's last 5 games against an opponent in the Central Division.

Verdict: Points should be hard to come by in this game.

The Rangers upset the Yankees last night and they are very live to do it again today as this shapes up to be a bullpen game for New York.

The Yankees are not at full strength. Giancarlo Stanton is out. Ben Rice, Austin Wells and Jose Caballero are not in the starting lineup. 

Ranger starter MacKenzie Gore has a history of starting well and he is backed by a bullpen that has the lowest ERA in the majors. 

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Diamondbacks -103

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Thursday's Free Pick: Over 8 (-115)

The weather is heating up in the Bronx and so are these bats. We have a major pitching shift today that opens the door for a high-scoring finale. The Yankees were forced to scratch Ryan Weathers due to illness. They are turning to veteran Paul Blackburn for the start.

Blackburn has been serviceable in long relief this season. However, moving from the bullpen to a starting role against this Texas lineup is a notable change for New York. The Rangers have struggled at home this season, but they have been a different animal on the road. Texas is averaging nearly 4.6 runs per game away from home compared to just 2.7 at their own park.

Aaron Judge is one of the hottest hitters in the league right now. He is among the major league leaders in home runs and has been hitting at an elite level over the last week. Even with Giancarlo Stanton on the shelf with a leg injury and Ben Rice dealing with a finger issue, this Yankees order is lethal. They have been scoring runs in bunches during their recent successful stretch and should find plenty of success against MacKenzie Gore.

Gore brings a 4.67 ERA into this matchup. He has elite strikeout numbers, but he is prone to the long ball. That is a difficult recipe at Yankee Stadium. Texas is also navigating a beat-up bullpen with Chris Martin and Robert Garcia both on the shelf.

Both teams are missing key defensive and depth pieces like Wyatt Langford and Josh Smith for Texas. Less depth usually leads to more mistakes and more runs. With a spot starter on one side and a high-ERA lefty on the other, eight runs is too low.

I like the Over 8 (-115).

1* MLB - Twins/Nationals FREE PICK on Nationals -103

Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Miami Marlins -122

The Key: The Miami Marlins will be hungry to avoid the sweep after dropping the first 2 games of this series to the Baltimore Orioles.  They have a big edge on the rubber tonight that should have them taking Game 3.  Max Meyer is 2-0 with a 2.68 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 7 starts this year yielding 11 ER and 2 HR in 37 innings with 40 strikeouts.  Cade Povich is 1-1 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 3 outings this year for the Orioles.  Povich sports a 5.14 ERA and 1.45 WHIP lifetime.  The Marlins have a 3.45 ERA as a bullpen while the Orioles have a 4.89 ERA.  Take Miami.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Pittsburgh Pirates +105

The Pittsburgh Pirates should not be underdogs to the Arizona Diamondbacks today.  They have the clear starting pitching advantage.  Mitch Keller is 3-1 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Keller is 1-0 with a 2.15 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in five previous starts against the Diamondbacks.  He has given up 2 earned runs in 18 innings in his last three starts against them. Zac Gallen is 1-2 with a 4.45 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in seven starts for the Arizona this season.  Gallen is 3-4 with a 4.43 ERA in seven previous starts against the Pirates.  He gave up 9 earned runs in 11 innings in two starts against them last season.  Give me the Pirates.

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Rocketman Sports FREE NBA play Thursday 5-7-26

Cleveland @ Detroit  (7:00 PM EST)
Play On:  Cleveland +3 1/2

The Cleveland Cavs take on the Pistons in Detroit on Thursday night.  Detroit leads the series 1 game to 0.  Cleveland is 56-34 SU overall this year while Detroit comes in with a 65-25 SU overall record on the season.  Cleveland is 14-4 SU last 18 overall meetings in this series.  I've got Cleveland winning this game by 11 points.  We'll recommend a small play on Cleveland tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocketman is passing with members plays on Thursday!  Be sure to check back on Friday for more premium and free winners!

1* Best Bet on Rays/Red Sox under 8½ -115

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on Rays +113

Thursday card has 2 NBA TOP Plays one is a 100% Game 2 Round two 6* the other from our NBA Unsurpassed totals Collection. We also have NHL and MLB. Comp play below

The NHL Comp play is on Carolina at 8 eastern. The Canes have won the first 6 playoff games and tonight they take to the road off a come from behind win over Philly on Monday after trailing 2-0. Rob notes that home dogs like Philly that are off a pair of road dog losses are winless over the last 22 seasons if they blew a 2 goal lead in their last game. All time in round 2 game 2 road teams are 52-39 if they wont the first two at home. Look for the Canes to keep rolling here. GL Rob V-

Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Thursday 5-7-26

Cleveland +3 1/2

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R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Thursday 5-7-26

UNDER 11 NY Mets/Colorado (Scott/Quintana) Listed

R&R Totals has a TOP MLB Over-Under for Thursday! Now an impressive 68-41 (62%) over his last 116 OVERALL picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $21,520 since March 19, 2026!

HOT 16-7 70% NBA run!  R&R Totals has a TOP NBA Over-Under for Thursday! Now an impressive 68-41 (62%) over his last 116 OVERALL picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $21,520 since March 19, 2026!

916. Miami Marlins money line over Baltimore Orioles

Miami is no-brainer at a decent number. The Marlins are getting price down low enough and the pitching matchup favors Miami with Max Meyer against Cade Povich. Meyer is rolling into the game 2-0 with a 2.68 ERA and 40 strikeouts, compared to Povich who is 1-1 with a 4.41 ERA. Baltimore does have a decent lineup, but Meyer gives Miami the edge to pitch to contact early and Loan Depot Park will do its job at suppressing some of the Orioles’ slug potential. Not a sexy play by any means, but one of the better value bets on Thursday's board.  Jim's Free play is on Miami. 

OVER 9

The Athletics and Phili clash and this is a good over spot. The Athletics goes with JT Ginn, who hasn’t been able to find any sort of rhythm so far. He owns an ERA well above 4 and was roughed up last time out for 5 runs against Cleveland. This Phili offense is heating up and they will put a lot of traffic on the bases against Ginn. Philadelphia counters pitching wise with Andrew Painter. He’s got an ERA of 5.28 and hasn’t surpassed 5 innings yet this season. He’s given up 3 or more runs in 4 of his outings this year and that number will rise as this A’s offense can really string together hits. Grab the over. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER 9. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Thursday FREE MLB O/U Play

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Thursday's MLB Free Pick

PLAY ON: Phillies -130 

My selection is on the 'over' between Carolina and Philadelphia at 8 pm et on Thursday.

We couldn't quite get there with the 'over' in Game 2 of this series on Monday, even after three goals were scored in the game's first 11 minutes. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play again in Game 3, however, at an even more generous price. The Flyers are now on a four-game 'under' streak and that's notable as they've had just one 'under' streak last more than four games this season, that coming during an eight-game streak that stretched from late January to early March. Of course, that streak featured four games with totals set at 6.5. The Hurricanes check in off back-to-back 'under' results. They've posted more than two 'unders' in a row just twice since December 13th. Take the over (8*).

Mets vs Rockies MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): Wednesday’s matchup at Coors Field produced 15 total runs, and I expect the ball to carry again in Thursday’s rematch. Mets right‑hander Christian Scott (0‑0, 4.26 ERA) has just 11 big‑league starts under his belt and is still finding his footing. In his two outings this season, he’s allowed three earned runs on only three hits but has issued five walks, a dangerous combo at altitude. Pitching at Coors can be tricky even for veterans, and left‑hander Jose Quintana (0‑1, 5.40 ERA at Coors this year, is now learning that first‑hand with Colorado.

With a hitter‑friendly environment, a green arm in Scott, and a vulnerable Quintana, the setup strongly favors another high‑scoring affair.

The Bet: OVER (3%). 

FREE PLAY on Rockies +138