Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on White Sox -115

1 Dimer on Blue Jays +118

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Angels/Tigers OVER 8.5

I'll back the OVER 8.5 today between the Angels and Tigers in Game 3 of this series.  These teams combined for 16 runs in Game 1 in a matchup of two poor starting pitchers.  They came back for just 4 combined runs in Game 2 in a matchup of the two best starting pitchers for both teams.  And now we get two gas cans in Game 3 and runs should be plentiful again.

Grayson Rodriquez has struggled in his return from injury.  Rodriquez is 1-1 with a 10.61 ERA and 2.14 WHIP in two starts this season.  He has allowed 11 earned runs and 20 base runners in 9 1/3 innings.  He is backed by one of the worst bullpens in baseball with the Angels having a 5.20 ERA this season.

Jack Flaherty is still in search of his first win of the season despite making 11 starts.  It's easy to see why as Flaherty has posted a 5.94 ERA and 1.66 WHIP while allowing 31 earned runs and 78 base runners in 47 innings.  He has allowed a whopping 19 earned runs and 4 homers in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Angels for a 12.51 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

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Free Total Annihilator On Braves vs Red Sox under 7 -120

Ricky's 1* play on ATL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.

- Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.

- Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.

Verdict: The value is on the Road favorite.

1* on White Sox -143

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Cubs/Pirates over 7½ -105

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

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Pittsburgh Pirates.

Game 952.

3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST.

Very quietly, the National League Central division has become the most competitive in all of baseball. They are the only division in the Majors possessing five teams all with winning records. But unfortunately, someone has to lead the division, and someone has to dwell in the cellar. Battling it out for the poorest record in the Central is everyone but the Milwaukee Brewers. One game separates the St. Louis Cardinals, Chicago Cubs, Cincinnati Reds, and Pittsburgh Pirates. We all know Chicago was riding a 10-game slide until yesterday’s game three victory by a score of 10-4. Prior to that, the Cubs accounted for a combined 25 runs scored during that 10-game losing streak. That would be enough. But their pitching staff got steamrolled for over 65 runs during that span. Obviously, yesterday, both their lineup and their staff came up big. However, I think today’s going to be a tough road outing for the Cubs. This is a team that is just 12-15 on the road. They lose a little something when they travel, folks. I am well aware as I mentioned a moment ago, they came up big yesterday. But they still have problems with Pittsburgh as they have dropped four of the six meetings between these two division rivals thus far this season. Speaking of the Pirates, yesterday’s defeat ended their three-game hot streak. This is a team that is 15-14 at home, and on paper, scores more and allows less than their visiting opponent. So, this game is going to come down to pitching. Colin Rea and Paul Skenes are scheduled. The Chicago right-hander is 4-3 with a 4.83 ERA on the campaign. Over his career in 10 appearances, which includes eight starts against Pittsburgh, he is 3-3 with a 5.09 ERA. He is also winless on the road in 2026 campaign, going 0-2 with whopping ERA of 6.75. The Pirates right-hander is 6-4 with an ERA of 3.00 this season. In seven career starts against the Cubs, he is 2-2 with a 2.94 ERA, and at home in 2026, he has pitch quite well, going 3-2 with the 2.62 ERA. Skenes comes off his two worst appearances this season, and I expect him to bounce back here today in a big time. Prior to those last two outings, he had eight appearances, allowing a combined six earned runs. I feel he comes back to form here and pitches well, while his lineup takes care of the rest. Take the Pittsburgh Pirates. Thank you.

Thursday card has a RARE UNDEFEATED Game 6 NBA Historical System and Another TOP WNBA Play. Soccer Comp Play below

The Thursday Comp play in Afternoon Soccer action is on Republic of Ireland at 2:45 eastern. We have to back the home tam here as Ireland has a strong home field and today they take on Qatar in a Friendly. Ireland  has 5 wins and 3 draws from their last 8 here and there is a sizeable gulf in talent. Qatar has struggled of late and its very likely they will be the victim of a clean sheet here. Ireland may find the back of the net here more than once as they will likely have ball possession most of the game. In their last match they toyed with Grenada in a 5-0 blowout that wasnt even as close as the final score. In their only other meeting here vs Qatar, Ireland was a 4-0 winner and this one has a similar feel. Play on Ireland today. GL Rob V

1* MLB - Braves/Red Sox FREE PICK on Braves -138

1* Free Pick on Valkyries -120

The Valkyries are the better team on a per-possession basis, and the market still isn't fully respecting it.

Golden State sits at a 110 offensive rating and 98.7 defensive rating over the last 10, good for a +11.3 net.

Indiana's net rating in the same window is +8.4.

The pace gap tells the same story: Golden State plays at 93.2, Indiana at 100.8.

This game gets played on the Valkyries' terms.

Ball security is the other lever.

Golden State's 14% turnover rate against Indiana's 19% means fewer transition buckets for Kelsey Mitchell and Caitlin Clark, which is exactly how the Fever generate their offense.

The opposition case is real.

Indiana has 6 days of rest to Golden State's 3, and the Fever took the last meeting 90-82.

I'm not dismissing that.

But the rest edge gets diluted when Clark is listed day-to-day with a back issue, and the last meeting was a road game where Golden State still kept it inside a single possession most of the way.

Take Clark to 75% and the Indiana offense isn't the same machine.

The trends back the home side too.

Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 at home and 5-2 ATS in its last 7 overall.

The Valkyries are coming off a 27-point win over Connecticut at Chase Center.

At -120, I'm getting the better defense, the better net rating, the home floor, and a banged-up opposing star.

That's the price I want.

I like the Valkyries

Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Atlanta Braves -127

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Atlanta Braves and ace Chris Sale today.  Sale is 7-3 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 10 starts this year with 72 strikeouts in 62 innings.  He is 3-1 with a 2.12 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against the Red Sox.  He has held them to 1 ER in 13 innings with 18 strikeouts in his last 2 starts against them.  Rookie Payton Tolle makes the start for the Red Sox in what will be one of the toughest tests of his young career against this potent Braves lineup.  Take Atlanta.

1* FREE INFO PLAY Red Sox +130

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Houston Astros +130

Spencer Arrighetti has been too good to be a +130 underdog to the Texas Rangers tonight.  Arrighetti is 6-1 with a 1.32 ERA in seven starts this season while giving up only 6 earned runs and one home run in 41 innings.  Nathan Eovaldi is 5-5 with a 3.65 ERA in 10 starts this season while giving up 11 home runs in 61 2/3 innings.  Arrighetti is 1-0 with a 0.68 ERA in two previous starts against the Rangers, giving up one earned run in 13 1/3 innings.  Give me the Astros.

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Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Thursday 5-28-26

Atlanta @ Boston  (4:10 PM EST)
Play On:  Atlanta -137 (Sale/Tolle) Listed

The Atlanta Braves take on the Red Sox in Boston on Thursday afternoon.  Atlanta is 37-19 SU overall this year while Boston comes in with a 23-31 SU overall record on the season.  Atlanta is 20-9 on the road this year.  Atlanta is 17-6 this year against left handed starters.  Atlanta is 12-2 this year as a road favorite of -110 or higher.  Boston is 9-18 at home this season.  Boston is 0-5 this year as a home underdog of +100 or higher.  Boston is 0-6 this year after shutting out their opponent.  We'll recommend a small play on Atlanta today!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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1* Free Sharp Play on White Sox -115

R&R Totals FREE WNBA Over-Under Thursday 5-28-26

UNDER 179 Las Vegas/Dallas

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Braves -137

Atlanta is worth a free move. The Braves send out Chris Sale, who is all too familiar with this ballpark. He’s also 7-3 so far with an ERA of under 2 as he continues to be just dominant for this rotation. Payton Tolle counters and this will be a bad matchup for him against the Braves, who typically bounce back in big ways after a bad offensive day. Expect Atlanta to get to him early and for Sale to settle in. Back Atlanta. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the BRAVES ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Thursday FREE MLB ML Play

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Thursday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Cubs +152

There’s a special kind of satisfaction in finding a totals spot where the numbers line up just right, and today’s Braves-Red Sox matchup at Fenway Park feels like one of those. With the total sitting around 7, I’m leaning Under, and not just because it’s my pick , the historical trends, pitching dominance, and park-adjusted realities make a compelling case for keeping the scoreboard quiet.

Let’s start with the league-wide picture on unders this season. Through late May 2026, unders have hit right around 50% overall, but that number climbs in games featuring at least one elite starter with a sub-3.00 ERA. Chris Sale has been absolutely filthy in 2026: 7-3 with a 1.89 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, and 72 strikeouts in just 62 innings. That’s elite territory , he’s allowing barely over a hit per inning while missing bats at a ridiculous rate. When Sale takes the mound, games have stayed under the total at a strong clip, especially on the road against lineups that strike out more than they walk.

Fenway Park gets a lot of hype as a hitter’s haven, and it’s true the quirky dimensions boost scoring by roughly 8-12% compared to neutral sites in many seasons. But dig deeper into the 2024-2026 park factors and you see it’s not a runaway slugfest every night. Right-handed power gets challenged in certain alleys, and ground-ball pitchers like Sale thrive here by keeping the ball out of the air. Boston’s home games have produced fewer runs than expected in low-total spots this year, particularly when facing lefties who induce weak contact.

On the other side, the Red Sox starter (likely a younger arm stepping up) faces one of the most patient, high-contact offenses in baseball. Atlanta ranks near the top in runs scored per game (around 5.3), but they’ve shown regression signals in road games against solid pitching , their road OPS drops noticeably, and they’ve gone under in a higher percentage of interleague contests this season. Boston’s offense, while dangerous at home with guys like Wilyer Abreu (.287 AVG, .789 OPS) and Willson Contreras (11 homers, .901 OPS), has been streaky. They rank lower in hard-contact rate on the season and have struggled to string together consistent rallies against strikeout-heavy pitchers.

Here’s where the math gets fun. Games featuring a starter with Sale’s profile (sub-2.00 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP) have gone under the total at a 56-58% rate over recent seasons when the posted number sits at 7 or higher. Add in Fenway’s reputation versus the actual outcomes in pitcher-dominated spots, and you’re looking at positive expected value. Factor the Braves’ road under trend (hitting unders in over 52% of their away games) and Boston’s home splits showing fewer multi-run innings against left-handed aces, and the layers stack up.

Baseball has this wonderful way of humbling everyone , one bad hop or a lucky bloop can flip a script , but that’s exactly why these calculated under spots feel rewarding. You’re not guessing; you’re playing probabilities built on strikeout rates, ground-ball percentages, and historical total outcomes. The public often overreacts to Fenway’s charm and loads up on the Over, which only sharpens the value on the other side.

I really enjoy these kinds of bets because they reward paying attention to the quieter edges instead of chasing the obvious. The Braves are a wagon, no doubt, but with Sale dealing and two lineups that can be tamed by precision pitching, I’m confident the Under is the sharpest Totals play on today’s limited slate.

My selection is on San Antonio minus the points over Oklahoma City at 8:30 pm et on Thursday.

This has had the makings of a seven-game series from the start and we'll naturally back the Spurs on Thursday as they return home looking to extend the series. San Antonio got off 92 field goal attempts in Game 5 on Tuesday but was unable to take advantage, knocking down only 37 in a double-digit loss. I'm confident we'll see the Spurs bounce back here, noting that they've endured just three ATS losing streaks dating back to January 22nd. Meanwhile, the Thunder, while certainly an elite team, have delivered only three ATS winning streaks since February 27th. While San Antonio has given up 122 or more points in three of five games in this series, I don't think their defensive play has been all that bad and we've already seen it flip the switch in a similar 'must-win' situation in Game 4 when it rolled to a 103-82 victory at home. Take San Antonio (8*).

Astros vs Rangers MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Rangers have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five games, and against a red-hot Spencer Arrighetti (6–1, 1.32 ERA) they should find it tough to put runs on the board.

With Nathan Eovaldi (5–5, 3.65 ERA) on the mound, Texas still has a chance to pick up a win, like when he blanked Houston over seven innings on May 17, but runs should come at a premium for both sides.

The Bet: UNDER (3%). 

FREE PLAY on Orioles -123