Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on UL - Lafayette +4½ -110

1* FREE INFO PLAY Bucs -3 +100

*Free Play Over* The UCSB Gauchos don't have the level of defense they have had in recent years. They still have shooters spreading out the floor though. Cal State Northridge is very committed to pushing the pace, and I think they can get into the paint and score a lot of points here. An up and down type game where it stays close throughout. Take the over. 

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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #335 Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, January 4 CBS) Green Bay is locked into the No. 7 seed in the NFC Playoffs and thus the experts are expecting them to rest a lot of players in this game. Minnesota is still very weak at the quarterback position, and I am not sure this is a good spot for them laying this many points against a divisional opponent. Does Green Bay really want to enter the playoffs getting blown out in this game making it 4 straight losses? I think they will play some key players and be able to take this game down to the wire. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Football Card featuring top plays in NFL, College Football, NBA, and NHL. Sign-up now and let 54 years of handicapping experience work for you.

1* Free Sharp Play on Lille OSC -115

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Alabama -4½ -115

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Saturday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and San Francisco at 8 pm et on Saturday.

This game is for all the marbles in the NFC West and both teams enter it on a tear. The 49ers in particular have been humming offensively, leading to three straight 'over' results. I think we'll see that streak end here. Both teams are dealing with injury concerns on their offensive line. The Seahawks will be without their starter Charles Cross, not to mention his backup, at left tackle. We saw Seattle play a game of 'hide the quarterback' at times in a similarly important affair at Carolina last Sunday. The Niners could be without all-world LT Trent Williams after he missed the entire week of practice with a hamstring injury. While San Francisco's offense has been red hot, it runs into a truly elite Seahawks defense here. Expect a grind-it-out affair, much like we saw in the first meeting between these teams way back in Week 1 (30 total points were scored in that game). Take the under.

1* Free Play on Mississippi State +9½ -110

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Buffalo Bills -7.5

The Buffalo Bills were really pissed off when they lost to the Eagles at home last week.  They want to get that sour taste out of their mouths heading into the playoffs, and they still have AFC wild card seeing to play for.  That's evident by the fact that head coach Sean McDermott will play his starters.

Josh Allen and the entire Buffalo offense is healthy and ready to go with the exception of TE Dalton Kincaid, who is listed as questionable.  And there's no question that the Bills are going to hang a big number on what is one of the worst defenses in the NFL right now in the New York Jets.

The Jets are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall with all four losses coming by 23 points or more.  They are clearly tanking and would be better off losing this game too, and they know it.  They have allowed a whopping 38.3 points per game in the four losses.  Even poor offenses like Miami (34 points) and New Orleans (29) made easy work of them.

The Jets have been a mess defensively since trading away Quentin Williams and Sauce Gardner.  They have since lost they next best defender in DE Will McDonald.  They have 12 defenders either on IR or out for this one.  Their starting CB's last week in Stiggers (out) and Stephens (questionable) could both miss.

The injury situation isn't much better on offense, either.  You know both Justin Fields and Tyrod Taylor could have returned to action, instead they have both been out with 'injuries', so the Jets have gone with rookie 3rd-stringer Brady Cook.  That experiment has been a disaster with Cook averaging just 5.2 yards per attempt on 131 attempts with a 1-to-7 TD/INT ratio.

Of course, he doesn't have much help either with the two beast weapons in WR Garrett Wilson and TE Mason Taylor out.  Now the top two RB's are likely out with Breece Hall questionable and Isaiah Davis out for sure.  Hall reportedly suffered a knee injury after getting his 1,000 yards last week.  I'm guessing they are going to sit him and keep this tank going.

I know the Bills could pull starters especially if they get a big lead by halftime, but I don't think it matters.  This New York offense is incapable of coming back.  I also think the Bills have one of the best backup QB's in the league in Mitchell Trubisky, and he will keep the points coming if he gets in there.  

This will be similar to the 30-10 beat down by Buffalo in the first meeting when the Bills outgained the Jets 403 to 154, or by 249 yards total yards.  The Bills also won the final meeting last year 40-14 in Buffalo.  I really like the Bills -1.5 in 6-point teasers with the Bengals -1.5, the Rams -2.5 and the 49ers +8.5 at current lines as of this writing Friday night.  But I'm willing to lay the -7.5, too.  Bet the Bills Sunday.

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No. 1 Ranked NFL Capper All-Time! Jack has SIX Top-10 NFL Finishes (#3 2009, #4 2023, #4 2017, #5 2024, #8 2019, #10 2008) to his credit! He is riding a 641-511 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $73,440! That includes a 368-281 NFL Run since November of 2021! He delivered an 81-56 NFL Record two seasons ago and finished as the No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2023-24 as a result! He followed it up with an 87-66 NFL Record last season to finish as the No. 5 Ranked NFL Capper in 2024-25 as well!

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1* NFL - Panthers/Bucs FREE PICK on Bucs -3 

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Lions/Bears OVER 50.5

The Key: The Chicago Bears are coming off a 42-38 shootout loss to the San Francisco 49ers.  They have one of the best offenses in the NFL, but also one of the worst defenses.  The Detroit Lions fit a similar profile.  The Lions are 3rd in scoring offense at 28.9 PPG.  Both teams are a lot healthier on offense than they are on defense right now.  The Lions are without DT Alim McNeill, LB Alex Anzalone and basically their entire starting secondary.  The Bears have a poor secondary that was exposed by the 49ers last week.  They lost LB Noah Sewell to injury in that game and he's on IR now.  The Bears yielded 496 total yards to the 49ers.  They yielded 511 total yards to the Lions in a 52-21 loss in their first matchup this season that saw 73 combined points.  The weather looks good for another shootout in the rematch with temps in the 30's, no wind and no rain in Chicago Sunday.  Take the OVER.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Houston Texans -10

The Houston Texans are 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall to pull within one game of the Jacksonville Jaguars for the AFC South title.  They are still alive for it with a win, and they can improve their seeding in the wild card with a win, too.  They have a lot to play for still and will be playing their starters.  I think they want to keep this run going and will make easy work of the Indianapolis Colts.  The Colts are 0-6 SU & 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall.  They have officially been eliminated from playoff contention.  Now Philip Rivers will sit and give way to rookie Riley Leonard to make his first career start.  It wouldn't come against a tougher defense than Houston, which has the top-ranked stop unit in the NFL.  Leonard is averaging only 4.4 yards per attempt on his 33 attempts with 2 INT's without a TD.  The Colts will sit Sauce Gardner and are without several of their best defenders.  They gave up 48 points to the 49ers two weeks ago and 371 yards to the Jaguars last week.  The Texans had 364 yards on the Colts in their first meeting this season.  Give me the Texans.

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Cowboys vs Giants 
1 EST, Sunday 
5-Unit bet on the Giants priced as 3-point home underdogs. 

I am lacking confidence that the Giants QB will play the whole game, so be sure to check the latest news between now and kickoff. I have heard just one quarter and even one series, but if it is unknown at kickoff, don’t bet more than 3 units. Still, the betting system supporting the opportunity has produced exceptional results over many seasons and all of what we do now is priced into the market - just like in stocks and commodities trading.

The following NFL betting algorithm has compiled an outstanding 21-23 SU, and 32-11-1 ATS for 74% winning bets since 1990 or 35 seasons of action. 

The game occurs over the past 4 weeks of the regular season. 

Bet on home underdogs that won five or fewer games in their previous season. 

They have won no more than 33% of their games this season. 

The opponent allows more rushing yards per attempt than they have gained. 

1* Free Pick on Panthers +3 -115

Seahawks -2.5

Seattle is worth a free move on Saturday. The winner grabs the top seed in the NFC and Seattle is the better of the two teams on the defensive end. We’ve seen the last few weeks where the 49ers have got into shootouts ass they haven’t been able to stop anyone. Darnold and company can match the firepower offensively and they’re worth the move. Back Seattle. My daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Saturday's FREE selection is a strong lean on the SEAHAWKS -2.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray

Saturday 5* FREE NFL ATS Play

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Jazz vs Warriors NBA Free Pick

The Angle: This looks like a tough spot for the Golden State Warriors who are on the second leg of a back-to-back after battling the Thunder on Friday, without Steph Curry, Draymond Green and Jimmy Butler at that.

Green is expected to be back, but the status of Curry (ankle) and Butler (illness) is uncertain. Due to all the uncertainty we're going small with this free pick, but I can see this line dropping if more Warriors are announced available. 

The Bet: JAZZ (1%). 

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#610 ASA PLAY ON Wake Forest -5.5 over Virginia Tech, Saturday at 12 PM ET - Wake is in desperate need of win after back to back losses vs Vandy & NC State, both top 25 teams per KenPom. While the Deacs are in must win mode, they catch Virginia Tech is a perfect spot coming off a triple OT home win vs arch rival Virginia on Wednesday night. Va Tech hasn’t been away from home in over a month and their only true road game this season was an OT win @ South Carolina who ranks as the worst team in the SEC per KenPom. If we look at the Hokies entire away from home resume (away & neutral) they are 3-2 with 2 of their 3 wins coming in OT and the other win by 2 points all vs teams rated below this Wake Forest team. The 2 times they had to step up in class away from home vs teams ranked inside the top 70, they lost by double digits vs St Mary’s and VCU on neutral courts. Wake sits with a 9-5 record but they’ve played a very tough schedule with all 5 of their losses coming vs teams in the top 55 and 4 of those losses coming vs teams in the top 25. They took Michigan (#1 per KenPom) and Texas Tech (#21) to the wire losing each but just 1 point. In case you haven’t noticed, that’s a Michigan team that’s been destroying high level teams beating Gonzaga by 40, USC by 30, Auburn by 30, and Villanova by 28. The Demon Deacons gave them they best game they’ve had all season. Tech has good shooting numbers on the season but they’ve faced a schedule who’s average defensive efficiency rank is 255th. Now they face a very good WF defense that is 43rd in efficiency and ranks 39th guarding the arc and those numbers have come against offensive opponents that average 52nd in efficiency. Offensively WF can score averaging 82 PPG and 87 PPG at home. If they need to salt this one way late from the FT line they hit 76% as a team. We like how this one sets up for Wake Forest and we’ll lay the points.

Ricky's 1* play on CAR.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Carolina is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference South division.

- Tampa Bay is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games.

- Tampa Bay is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home.

Verdict: The value is on the Road Underdog.