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1* NFL - Giants/Commanders FREE PICK on Commanders -3.5

Sunday's Free NFL Pick

PLAY ON: Chargers +3.5 

1* Free Pick on Bucs/Cowboys: under 47½

This total is priced off Sunday's shootout, and short-week Thursday football rarely delivers a sequel.

Dallas just played a 64-point game.

The Cowboys trailed Houston 16-6 at halftime and stole it 34-30, with Dak Prescott throwing 45 times for a season-high 335 yards and CeeDee Lamb soaking up 21 of those targets.

That performance is built into 47.5.

Dallas is averaging 30.5 points and allowing 28 through four games, so the books have already pushed this number up.

You make money when you buy, not when you sell, and the buy price on the over here is the worst it's been all season.

Now both teams turn around on three days' rest.

Thursday games get sloppy.

Game plans shrink, legs are heavy, and offenses that live on rhythm tend to look a step slow.

The Cowboys are also patching the offensive line.

Tackle Drew Shelton is doubtful and unlikely to be cleared for Thursday.

Guard Tyler Smith was only cleared to return to practice Monday after opening the season on injured reserve, and he was limited in his first session back.

Getting him activated on a short week is a stretch.

Outside of Lamb, the passing game is thinner than the scores suggest.

Cowboys tight end Jake Ferguson sits at 0.71 yards per route run with just 12 catches for 83 yards.

If Lamb doesn't see 21 targets again, Dallas has to grind this one out.

Take the inflated number before it drops.

I like the Under

1* FREE INFO PLAY Bucs vs Cowboys under 48 -110

1* Free Sharp Play on Bucs vs Cowboys under 48½ -110

OVER 49.5

UTSA's offense comes alive at home, scoring 59 and 45 in its two Alamodome games this season while going OVER in 12 straight there. USF can help against a Roadrunners defense allowing 218 rushing yards per game, and the Bulls have already scored 13 rushing TD's. We don't need a track meet at 49.5. UTSA gets into the 30's, USF does enough, and we're in business. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER 49.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Thursday FREE NCAAF O/U Play

The current run has been strong. A BIG Card is going up for this weekend, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

My selection is on Sam Houston State plus the points over Liberty at 7 pm et on Thursday.

Liberty enters this game riding a four-game SU and three-game ATS winning streak. That's impressive to be sure, but I think the Flames are laying too many points in this tough scheduling spot. Liberty will be playing on just five days' rest after posting a 30-14 win at Delaware last Friday. Meanwhile, Sam Houston State has been idle since dropping a 49-14 decision in an impossible road matchup against Texas Tech on September 26th. That ATS defeat against the Red Raiders marked the Bearkats first dropped cash of the season. Of note, Sam Houston State has faced a slightly more difficult schedule than Liberty based on most metrics and its first two losses came by a combined nine points against Troy and Tulsa. Take Sam Houston State.

Our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to cover the spread against the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Tampa Bay hasn't won a single game yet. But, the good thing is that the division isn't great either this season.

The Buccaneers didn't look that bad last week with Daniels in at QB.

With a week under his belt, we're anticipating Daniels to have an even better performance on Thursday.

Dallas hasn't been extremely impressive either, winning just two of it's first four games.

The Cowboys have allowed 112 points over the four games -- an average of 28.0 points a game.

We're on TB.

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