Totals Guru
Free Total Annihilator On UMass vs Rutgers over 52 -110
Ricky Tran
Ricky's 1* play on KC.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- The Royals are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- Sandy Alcantara is 0-4 in his last 4 starts for the Marlins.
- The Royals are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
Verdict: The value is on the home Underdog.
Kyle Hunter
Free Play Under- The Colorado Buffaloes are likely to be very run heavy in this one. Marion is a run first offensive coordinator. The Buffaloes still have plenty of question marks on the offensive line too. Georgia Tech lost their star quarterback in Haynes King. That's a key loss. The loss of offensive coordinator Buster Faulkner could be even tougher to take. I am low on the upside of this Georgia Tech offense. Colorado's defense did upgrade some in the transfer portal as well. A lot of running the football here. Take the under.
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Bobby Conn
1* Free Play on Red Sox -125
Black Widow
1* Free Wiseguy Play on Cubs +105
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
Jack Jones
Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Cardinals/Dodgers OVER 7.5
The St. Louis Cardinals are going through their best offensive stretch of the season while going 11-1-1 OVER in their last 13 games overall. They have gone for 8 or more combined runs in 12 of those 13 games, so this total of 7.5 is pretty short for a game involving the Cardinals right now. They have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of those 13 games.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored 6 runs or more in three consecutive games and I expect them to do the heavy lifting in this game to cash this OVER 7.5 ticket. They should crush rookie Quinn Matthews, who is 1-2 with a 5.03 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in four starts this season. Matthews is 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in three road starts, allowing 10 earned runs and 25 base runners in 14 innings.
Tarik Skubal commands respect from the books which is why this total is so low. But the Cardinals got to Yamamoto last night, and they can do enough damage off Skubal to contribute to this total. He has a 3.53 ERA in 11 home starts this season.
Both bullpens are pretty taxed right now after these teams combined for 21 runs in Game 1 with a combined 9 relievers used, and then 14 runs in extra innings in Game 2 with another 10 combined relievers used. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.
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Hunter Price
1* Free Pick on Royals +106
Ray Monohan
Cubs +105
Chicago and Milwaukee cap their series off and the Cubs have value. Chicago has dropped the last two of the series and will turn to Kevin Gausman to step up here. Gausman was acquired at the deadline and this is the kind of game he needs to step up in. Logan Henderson counters and this is a Cubs lineup that needs to find a way to make him work early in the game. Expect Chicago to come out patient and put a lot of traffic on the bases. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the CUBS ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.
Thursday FREE MLB ML Play
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Jimmy Boyd
1* Free Pick on UAB/Illinois: under 55½
Both teams open their 2026 season here, so this handicap starts with the matchup and last year's tape, not recent form.
The case against the under is obvious.
UAB's defense projects 130th in SP+ at 37.6, and it allowed 36.71 points a game across the seven games I charted from last season.
Illinois' offense projects 26th.
Fine.
Illinois will move the ball and probably score in the 30s.
But a total needs two offenses, and UAB doesn't bring one.
The Blazers project 105th in SP+ offense at 20.6, and they're crossing the country to face a Big Ten defense that projects 41st.
Last season Illinois held opponents to 21.78 points a game.
The Tennessee comparison doesn't hold either.
UAB lost 56-24 in Knoxville last September, but Tennessee plays warp-speed tempo.
Illinois doesn't.
Look at how the Illini closed last season: 20-13 over Northwestern, a 27-10 loss at Wisconsin, 35-13 over Rutgers.
Two of those three games landed in the 30s combined.
Bret Bielema's formula hasn't changed.
Run the ball, shorten the game, lean on the defense.
When Illinois builds a lead against an overmatched opponent, the clock becomes their friend.
Long second-half drives kill totals.
The early-season angle helps too.
Week 1 offenses are behind Week 1 defenses, especially a UAB unit breaking in new pieces under a first-year staff on the road at night.
Illinois in the low 30s, UAB in the low teens gets this comfortably under the number.
I like the Under
Jeff Alexander
1* MLB - Red Sox/Orioles FREE PICK on Red Sox -119
John Martin
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Rays/Rangers OVER 7.5
The Rangers have gone 7-1-2 OVER in their last 10 games finishing with at least 8 combined runs in nine of those 10 contests. They have scored at least 7 runs in five of their last nine games. The Rays have gone 4-1-1 OVER in their last six games finishing with 8 or more combined runs in five of those six contests. Both Shane McClanahan and Cal Quantrill have solid numbers this season, but neither goes deep into games regularly which will put a ton of pressure on both bullpens tonight. Give me the OVER.
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Steve Janus
1* Free Sharp Play on Orioles +122
Rob Vinciletti
2 TIME CFB Champ Rob V UNLOADS An EXECUTIVE LEVEL TIER 1 SIDE and a PERFECT Early Season totals system along with NLB. Comp play below
The Thursday comp play is on the Under in the Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Missouri game at 8 eastern. Missouri is laying over 50 here and they will win big. However, the game should stay under as the Tigers have a solid defense and likely wont give up many if any at all here. Thursday September home favorites of 40 or more are 5 of 6 under long term with a road game up next. The Tigers have a new offensive coordinator and are replacing a ton of talent so it could take some time to gel. They will score here but likely will chew up the clock later in the game and take a look at some of the talent on the back end of the roster while this ones out of hand. Pine Bluff won their opener last week but will see the gulf in talent from the onset here. Look for this game to stay under. GL Rob V-
Doc's Sports
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #164 Under in Marshall Thundering Herd @ Penn State Nittany Lions (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 5 FS1) The Matt Campbell era gets underway at Penn State on Saturday. Penn State should still have a strong defense and Coach Campbell is a run the ball and play strong defense type of coach. I don’t think he will want to throw the football up and down the field and focus on field position and ball control. Marshall usually a bowl caliber team and not a mid-major pushover like some teams. They have to run clock to have any chance to keep this game under twenty points and that should set up a strong play for the under. Marshall closed out the season going under the posted total in 3 straight games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays in football, baseball, and soccer. 3 straight winning weeks to open up the football season and you can receive all football plays for half off with a one week football package.
R&R Totals
R&R Totals FREE CFB Over-Under Thursday 9-3-26
OVER 48 1/2 Akron/Wake Forest
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Freddy Wills
Sam Houston/ Troy Over 53 1.1% Free play
Joseph D'Amico
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Thursday FREE WINNER: Georgia Tech Yellowjackets.
Game 146.
5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.
Neither Colorado nor Georgia Tech is expected to do much this season. The Buffaloes are predicted to win just 4.5 games, while the Yellowjackets are expected to win 6.5 games. Coming out of the gate and making a good appearance is very important in college football these days. I feel you’re going to see both teams give it their best. But unfortunately, I feel Colorado will fall away short. Last season these two teams met in Colorado, with Georgia Tech prevailing, 27-20, as a 3.5-point favorite. They won despite turning the ball over three times. The Buffaloes lost some key players from last year’s squad. If you recall, this team was the talk of the town for a while a few seasons back. But last year was a complete disaster. They finished just 3-9 both SU and ATS. The big news for George Tech is the acquisition of Indiana-transfer quarterback, Alberto Mendoza, who happens to be Fernando’s little brother. There’s a lot of headlines surrounding this young man. But reading into those headlines, you will see that heat isn’t expected to have nearly the same impact as his older brother did with the Hoosiers. For Georgia Tech, the news doesn’t surround their players, it surrounds their new offensive coordinator. Brennan Marion is their fourth offensive coordinator in four seasons. But he did do some solid work with both UNLV and Sacramento State in recent years. Only time will tell if he has the same success here with less playmakers. Both teams certainly have struggled on the defensive side of the ball. The only thing we can really say here is despite dropping four of their last five games a season ago, against very good opposition, the Yellowjackets do have talent, and can put some points on the board. If this line would’ve been lower, it would’ve made it as a premium play for me. Take Georgia Tech. Thank you.
Brandon Lee
Saturday's Free CFB Pick
PLAY ON: Clemson +10
Alex Smart
Albany at Buffalo on Thursday night is the under I keep coming back to, and I keep coming back to it for the simplest reason in the book. The number is 48.5. Buffalo scored 24.0 points a game last season and allowed 23.5. Add those two numbers and you are already sitting under the total before Albany even gets off the bus. That is not a coincidence. That is a scoring environment that wants to live in the low 40s unless somebody turns this into a track meet, and FCS-at-FBS openers in September almost never turn into track meets.
Buffalo is laying a big number at home, and the line has already come in from the mid-20s toward 18 and a half. That kind of move usually means the market is less interested in a 45-10 final than it is in a 31-10 or 28-13 final. Those scores still win the game for the Bulls. They also sit comfortably under 48.5. Last year’s Buffalo club opened at Minnesota and lost 23-10. That is 33 combined points. The next week they beat Saint Francis 45-6 and the over finally woke up against an FCS opponent that could not stop the run. Albany is not Saint Francis on a day the Bulls could do no wrong. Albany is a road underdog in a Week 1 spot where first-game rust, conservative play-calling, and a new Buffalo quarterback all point the same direction.
Jason Wright is taking over an offense that returned almost nothing up front. Two returning offensive starters is not a recipe for 35 points before the band has finished the first chorus. Redshirt freshman quarterbacks in home openers tend to hand the ball off, check down, and let the defense keep the night quiet. Albany’s path to staying in the game is the same path every FCS visitor uses in September. Run the clock, steal a field goal, hope a short field shows up after a special-teams mistake. That is how you get to 27-13, not 42-21.
Bet under the total in Albany games as a road underdog.
The Under’s record since the 2025 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 51.5. (+5.0 units, ROI=90.9%)
Bet under the total in Buffalo home openers when the number sits at 48 or higher.
The Under’s record in that spot since 2022: 4-1 (80%) with an average over/under of 49.0. (+2.7 units, ROI=49.1%)
Bet under the total when an FBS favorite of 17 or more hosts an FCS opponent in Week 1.
The Under’s record since 2023: 19-11 (63.3%) with an average over/under of 50.8. (+6.4 units, ROI=19.4%)
The last Buffalo-Akron meeting in this building finished 24-16. Different opponent, same stadium, same kind of night. Forty combined points, sacks, a safety, and a second half that felt like both staffs were trying not to give anything away. That is the tape I trust more than any preseason promise that this offense is about to light the sky. Clock is your friend on this ticket. Every three-and-out is a gift. Every 12-play drive that dies at the 18 and turns into a field goal is another gift.
I am not sitting here waiting for Albany to hang 28. I am sitting here waiting for Buffalo to look like a team finding itself in September and for the visitor to keep the game in the 20s. If the Bulls win 31-10, the under cashes and nobody writes a poem about it. That is the point. This is a leftovers ticket, not a fireworks ticket. At 48.5 I am on it. If the number drips to 47.5 I like it even more.
Cash it if it hits, and we will look for the next quiet number the public keeps trying to turn into a shootout. Good luck if you ride along.
Sean Murphy
My selection is on the 'under' between B.C. and Montreal at 7:30 pm et on Friday.
All signs points to a high-scoring game between the Lions and Alouettes on Friday but I think the oddsmakers have gone a little too high with this total. It sounds like it will be 'all systems go' for Alouettes quarterback Davis Alexander despite injury concerns. The Lions do figure to offer a challenge as they enter this game red hot off five straight wins and having held an impressive eight straight opponents to 26 points or fewer. The Als are certainly known for their offensive prowess, but they can play some defense as well. With that being said, they'll be looking to bounce back as they had their seven-game winning streak snapped in a 44-28 loss in Winnipeg last week. While B.C. did produce 45 points in last week's victory, that came at the expense of an awful Redblacks team. Take the under (8*).
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AAA Sports
Our selection is on the Boston Red Sox to defeat the Baltimore Orioles on Thursday at 7:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:
Boston will start Jake Bennett -- He just dominated the Yankees and has really strong statistics this year.
The Red Sox outscored the O's 25-14 over the three games in the last series at Camden Yards.
Baltimore will start Brandon Young -- He too has great stats. But, he hasn't had as much success getting wins here at home opposed to on the road.
The Orioles completely blew away yesterday's game, twice in fact. They lost the series to the Rockies which is not good for their playoff hopes.
The play is on Boston.
AAA Sports
ASA
NOTE: We prefer the FIRST HALF option here for those of you with access to that. This is our FREE Play Saturday: #152 ASA PLAY ON USC -13.5 over Fresno State in the FIRST HALF, Friday at 9 PM ET - USC led San Jose State 28-0 at half last week scoring TD’s on 4 of their 5 possessions. The lone possession they did not score the Trojans were held on downs inside the SJSU 5 yard line. They called the dogs off in the 2nd half and rather than lay the full game number here (-21.5) we’re more comfortable with USC coming to play early before potentially resting guys in the 2nd half. We’re not sure Fresno has the offense to keep up in this one, especially early on. They will be starting Jayden Mandal at QB who has 9 career pass attempts and sat out all of last year with an injury. Huge QB advantage for USC where Maiava is back under center this season and completed 86% of his passes last week for almost 300 yards despite only playing 3 quarters. The Bulldogs ranked 95th last year in total offense and that was with better QB play than we expect this year. The Trojans are 13th nationally in returning production while FSU is 63rd. Lincoln Riley has no problem getting off to a fast start and running it up vs inferior opponents. Since taking over at USC in 2022, he has faced 8 non Power 4 teams in the regular season. The average halftime score in those games? 30-8 in favor of the Trojans. With this first half line sitting under 2 TD’s, we’ll grab USC.
Kenny Walker
Free Pick on Orioles +115
Cole Faxon
FREE PLAY on UAB/Illinois under 55½