Free Football Picks

Free Total Annihilator On Nationals vs Mets under 8 -105

Ricky's 1* play on AZ.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Diamondbacks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.

- The Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 games.

- The Diamondbacks are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings.

Verdict: The value is on the road underdog.

Rams +2.5

The Rams have the value and are worth a move. The Chiefs will play their starters for only a handful of snaps and then turn it over to their backups, where there isn’t much depth. Meanwhile for the Rams, they’re going to see a lot of Ty Simpson and Stetson Bennett. The duo will battle all preseason for the backup role and that should provide them with good value here as the motivation factor is in play. Expect both to split a majority of the snaps and have a field day against the Chiefs 2nd and 3rd stringers. Back the Rams. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the RAMS ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Saturday FREE NFL ATS Play

2-1 FRIDAY! 268-227 54% +1948 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for today, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Saskatchewan -7 -105

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Free Pick on Cowboys +165

Preseason Week 1 is not a regular-season game, and the market keeps pricing it like one.

Seattle's 5-0 close to last season and that -0.1217 defensive EPA per play built the reputation, but Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, and Javonte Williams are all sitting Saturday.

So is most of Seattle's front line.

The star metrics don't apply.

The opposition case leans on Dallas giving up 33.8 points per game over their last five and posting 0.2601 defensive EPA per play across their last four.

Fair.

That was starters against starters in December.

Saturday is Sam Howell and Joe Milton III running the offense against Seattle's second and third-team defense, and the Cowboys' backup reps in camp have been aggressive by design.

Seattle's backfield is a real problem for the home side.

Kenneth Walker left for Kansas City, Zach Charbonnet is on PUP with a knee, and rookie Jadarian Price has been limited with lower-body soreness.

That leaves George Holani and Emanuel Wilson trying to sustain drives against a Dallas front where Quinnen Williams anchors the middle.

Dallas also has legitimate roster-battle motivation.

Blue and Mafah are in a heated fight for the RB2 job.

Howell and Milton are competing for QB2.

That's a group playing hard into the fourth quarter.

At +165, the implied 37.7% win rate is light for a coin-flip exhibition where variance rules.

Give me the points.

I like the Cowboys

1* MLB - Dbacks/Braves FREE PICK on Dbacks +120

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Kansas City Royals +142

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Kansas City Royals as big underdogs to the Los Angeles Angels.  The Angels have the worst record in the majors at 48-75 on the season and were big sellers at the deadline.  Reid Detmers is 3-8 with a 4.07 ERA in 24 starts this season and is 0-5 in 13 home starts, still in search of his 1st home win.  Detmers is 0-1 with a 8.10 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Royals, yielding 9 ER and 3 HR in 10 innings.  Randy Dobnak continues to get disrespected with this line despite being 2-1 with a 2.00 ERA this year yielding only 8 ER and 2 HR in 36 innings.  Take Kansas City.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Eagles vs Ravens under 37½ -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Boston Red Sox -120

The Boston Red Sox are playing the much better baseball than the Pittsburgh Pirates right now.  They also have the starting pitching advantage tonight.  Sonny Gray is 14-3 with a 2.79 ERA in 22 starts for the Red Sox this season.  Gray is 3-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in his last six starts against the Pirates dating back to 2024.  Jared Jones is 2-4 with a 5.03 ERA in 13 starts for the Pirates this season, including 0-2 with a 5.82 ERA in seven home starts.  Give me the Red Sox.

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1* Best Bet on Nationals/Mets under 8 -105

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on Padres +110

DOUBLE TOTAL OF THE YEARS on Saturday In Afternoon Action the 100% 7* CFL TOY and tonight the NFLX TOTAL OF THE YEAR DALLAS at SEATTLE. MLB and WNBA UP too. Comp play below.

The WNBA Comp play is on the Under in the LA Sparks at Washington Mystics game at 7:30 eastern. In this study Rob looked at home favorites like the Mystics that have home loss revenge with a total is 155 or higher with both teams coming into the game off road losses. These games since 2011 have gone under on 7 of 8 occasions. With an average posted total of 167 in these games the final score averaged out at 155 points. Washington has gone over 3 straight as a home favorite with a total of 175 or more. The Sparks are on a 5-0 under as a road dog.Based on the systems and applicable team angles we will back the under here. GL Rob- V

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Soccer Take #209810 Atlanta over New York Red Bulls (7:30 p.m. EST, Saturday August 15) We think this is a great spot for Atlanta. They have not been playing their best lately but this will be a homecoming for them as they have not played a home match since May 9, before the World Cup. Even though they lost last time out, we liked what we saw from them at Philly. They were up by two goals most of the match vs the Union but they were a man down and Philadelphia scored two goals in extra time to steal three points. As we stated, Atlanta has not played at home in a long time and we think this return will give them an extra burst of energy and it’s not like the Red Bulls are a great side. They are quite far above Atlanta in the standings but have a -10 goal differential compared to -14 for Atlanta, who have faced a real tough schedule on this road trip. It’s telling that Atlanta is a decent favorite here with their recent performances, and we think this is an amazing spot for them to pick up three points and some momentum for the second half of the season in front of the home fans.

1* Free Pick on Dodgers +118

Saturday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Dodgers +116

Ian Machado Garry moneyline is the live dog I’m betting on at UFC 330.

Makhachev rolls in with that ridiculous 16-fight UFC win streak and the kind of resume that makes the chalk look invincible on paper. Garry sits 17-1 overall, 10-1 inside the Octagon, and just stacked back-to-back wins including a former champ. The size gap is real: Garry at 6'3" with a 74.5-inch reach against Makhachev’s 5'10" and 70.5-inch wingspan. That four-inch reach edge is pure structural leverage. It forces the shorter guy to walk into jabs and teeps just to get in range.

Strike output tells the rest of the story. Garry pumps out 4.78 significant strikes per minute. Makhachev sits around 2.45. That’s a 2.3-strike differential every minute the fight stays standing. Stretch that over five championship rounds and the volume gap gets loud if Garry can keep the distance. Makhachev’s 3.10 takedowns per 15 minutes is still the biggest hammer on the card, but Garry’s been defending at roughly 80 percent lately and has shown he can scramble back up when the pressure hits.

Historically the bigger, rangier underdogs who also own the volume edge have made life miserable for recently moved-up champs more often than the public wants to admit. Garry already solved some awkward, long opponents. His only loss came against a pure grappler who dragged him into deep water. Since then he’s cleaned up the details.

The number right now prices him as a low-to-mid 20s percent dog. I have him closer to 30-33 percent true. That gap is the edge. Once the price drifts past the +220 range the expected value flips positive and the ticket starts looking like sharp action instead of square hope.

I’m not blind. One clean body lock from Makhachev and the whole script flips. His top control is still elite and he rarely gives rounds away once he gets there. But the combination of reach, volume, recent form, and the fact that Makhachev still has limited sample size against tall technical strikers who actually jab in open stance makes this the side I want exposure to.

If the early rounds stay on the feet and Garry banks the first couple of scorecards, the pressure shifts fast and the chalk starts sweating. That’s the angle. That’s the number. That’s the action I’m most comfortable sitting with when the cage door closes in Philly.

My selection is on Texas over the Athletics at 9:40 pm et on Saturday.

A bit of a desperation spot for the Rangers here as they look to end their four-game losing streak following a loss in the opener of this series last night. Texas will be seeing A's starter J.T. Ginn for the second time this season after suffering a 6-5 loss in their first look at him. Ginn labored through that outing but was ultimately bailed out by the A's bats. I expect a different story to unfold here. Rangers starter MacKenzie Gore is pitching as well as he has all season, yielding just four earned runs over his last three starts. The Rangers lone defeat over his last six outings came in a tough matchup on the road against the red hot Rays. Look for Gore to serve as a 'stopper' for the Rangers on Saturday. Take Texas (8*).

1* on Twins +125

Free Pick on Dodgers +118