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[1%] Free Play on Jacob Fearnley +130

HUGE THURSDAY CARD up #1 ALL TIME CFL on the network and on a 5-1 run RARE 6* UP NOW. We also have a TOP WNBA, 5* WORLD CUP POWER TOTAL and 50% OFF MLB DIAMOND CUTTER.  Comp Play below

The Thursday Comp Play is on Algeria plus the half goal at 11:00 eastern. Look for Algeria to push The Swiss team to a very tight game here that may very well be ties at the end of regulation. Algeria head coach Petkovic is a former Switzerland coach and will have his team amped up to take on his former mates. Algeria allowed 3 goals in a draw with Austria last out and should be much better in the back here tonight. They have the quality to score and have pushed at last one through in every match of late except for the Argentina game.. The Swiss team is solid but has not made it to a Quarter final of a major tournament in 72 years. Look for Algeria to hang tough here. Take the + half goal line in this one. GL Rob V-

1* FREE INFO PLAY Toronto vs Calgary over 60½ -110

1* Free Sharp Play on Tigers vs Rangers under 8 -119

BEST BET — THURSDAY

Milwaukee Brewers  TBD  (Est. -235 favorite)

Thu Jul 3, 2026  ·  2:10 PM ET  ·  American Family Field, Milwaukee  ·  5-Unit Play

WAGERING STRATEGY — HOW TO PLAY THIS

•       Conservative approach:  1.5 units on the run line + 3.5 units on the money line. Reduces risk/reward exposure at a heavy price.

•       Aggressive approach:  5 units straight on the money line. If you believe in the play — and with Misiorowski on the hill, there’s very good reason to — this is the full commitment.

•       Live betting angle:  If Cincinnati somehow scores first OR ties the game at any point in the first five innings, add 1–2 units on the Brewers live. The price will improve dramatically and the value jumps.

ALGORITHM PERFORMANCE

Record

Win %

ROI

Dime Profit

$50/Game

18-4

82%

33%

+$9,500

+$475

22 total bets  ·  Average money line wager: -233  ·  Run line subset: 14-8 (64%), 21% ROI at avg -112

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE — HIGH CONVICTION

At only 22 bets, this is a situational algorithm with a limited history. However, the 82% win rate and 33% ROI at a heavy average price of -233 are exceptional. What gives the system its logic tonight is the starting pitcher criterion — a WHIP of 1.15 or better with zero walks in his last start. Misiorowski’s 0.77 WHIP and 15-strikeout, zero-walk, complete game shutout vs. Philadelphia are as perfect an activation as this algorithm will ever see.

ALGORITHM CRITERIA — ALL THREE BOXES CHECKED

✓     Bet against road underdogs priced between -190 and -250 — Reds are estimated road underdogs in the +190 to +250 range; Brewers’ line est. -235 ✓

✓     Starting pitcher has a WHIP of 1.15 or better — Jacob Misiorowski’s WHIP is 0.77, the best in all of Major League Baseball ✓

✓     That pitcher is coming off a start with zero walks allowed — Misiorowski’s last start: 15 K, 1 H, 0 BB, complete game shutout vs Philadelphia ✓

JACOB MISIOROWSKI — WHY THE REDS SIMPLY CANNOT SCORE

ERA

1.45 (1st MLB)

WHIP

0.77 (1st MLB)

Record

9-3

Strikeouts

146 (1st MLB)

IP

99 innings

K/9

13.4

FIP

1.66 (1st MLB)

Opp AVG

.151 (1st MLB)

Whiff %

37.8% (98th pct)

HR/9

0.4 (elite)

Home record

5-0

Home ERA

1.57

Home IP

57⅓ innings

Home K

88 strikeouts

Last start

15 K, 1 H, 0 BB, CG SHO vs PHI

Max velo

105.5 mph fastball

There are seasons, and then there is what Jacob Misiorowski is doing in 2026. The 24-year-old right-hander from Blue Springs, Missouri has put together one of the most statistically dominant stretches in the history of Major League Baseball. His 0.17 ERA over an eight-start span in May and June is the lowest in baseball history in an eight-start window since earned runs became official in 1913. His 0.77 WHIP leads the majors by a staggering margin. His 146 strikeouts in 99 innings — a 13.4 K/9 rate — lead all of baseball. Opponents are hitting a collective .151 against him, also the lowest mark in MLB.

What makes Misiorowski different from every elite pitcher in the game is the combination of elite velocity and pinpoint command. On June 12, he threw a 104.5 mph fastball to Kyle Schwarber in a 15-strikeout, 95-pitch Maddux — a complete game shutout on fewer than 100 pitches — setting the record for the fastest pitch ever thrown by a starting pitcher in the tracking era. He then threw a 105.5 mph fastball in his most recent start, breaking that record again. In that same start, he issued zero walks.

At home in American Family Field, he is a flawless 5-0 with a 1.57 ERA, 88 strikeouts, and near-zero margin of error for opposing lineups. He has pitched a shutout in six of his last seven starts. He has never given up a run in the second inning all season. He threw 58 pitches at 100 mph or faster against Philadelphia alone.

WHY THE REDS LINEUP IS THE WRONG ONE TO FACE HIM

•       Cincinnati ranks 27th in the majors in runs scored (355 total, 4.2 R/G) — a bottom-five offense in all of baseball

•       The Reds strike out 26.4% of the time at the plate — a middling-to-poor mark that becomes catastrophic against a pitcher whose whiff rate is in the 98th percentile

•       Misiorowski’s fastball at 103-105 mph is simply faster than anything Cincinnati’s hitters have faced this season — their swing decisions will be a step behind from pitch one

•       The Reds have a Pythagorean record of 36-48 — they have been outscored by 58 runs on the year, suggesting their true talent level is even below their win total

•       The algorithm requires the opposing starter to come off a start with zero walks. Misiorowski’s last start was 15 strikeouts, one hit, zero walks, 95 pitches, complete game. He is at peak sharpness heading into Thursday.

THE BOTTOM LINE

Jacob Misiorowski is not a pitcher having a good year — he is a pitcher having one of the most statistically unprecedented seasons in baseball history. He is throwing 105 mph, striking out over 13 batters per 9 innings, holding opponents to a .151 average, and is coming off a perfect start with zero walks allowed. He is going home to American Family Field where he has never lost. The opponent is a Cincinnati team that ranks 27th in runs scored and strikes out at a rate that makes them an ideal matchup for Misiorowski’s arsenal. The algorithm fires at 82%. The eye test says the same thing. This is not a bet — it is an appointment.