Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on Kentucky +6½ -110

Free Total Annihilator On SMU vs Florida State under 161½ -110

1* Free Pick on Jessica Aguilar +195

Ricky's 1* play on Under.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Under is 3-0 in the Thunder last 3 games.

- The Under is 4-2 in the Thunder last 6 home games.

- The total has gone Under in 2 of the Warriors last 3 versus OKC. 

Verdict: Points should be hard to come by in this game.

1* Free Wiseguy Play on St. Joe's -9½ -110

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

*Free Play Under* Northern Iowa is excellent at controlling the pace. I like their chances of winning this game, and I think if they play from the lead the under has a good chance here. This tournament has seen loads of unders in the last decade. Bradley is typically a defensive team under Wardle. Northern Iowa is the slowest paced team in the MVC. A battle all the way here with the defenses having the upper hand. Take the under.

(6-1 Last 7 plays. 2-0 last night. 61.5% CBB wins this season. Get on board Saturday!) 

1* Free Play on Rhode Island +2 -110

Ohio State -4.5

The Buckeyes are worth a move as they host Indiana. Ohio State has caught fire at the right time. They have come up with some big wins, including one over Purdue in this stretch. They can add another huge win here and Indiana has dropped 4 of 5 coming into play. The Buckeyes will come out with a purpose and they’ve played much better at home as a whole. Lay the points. Back Ohio State. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the BUCKEYES -4.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Saturday FREE NCAAB ATS Play

1-2 Friday. The tide has to turn here. It's been a rough week. Full transparency always. Still 151-106 59% +3592 since Mid-Dec! The board is live and today’s card is posted. A BIG 5× Play Card is up for Saturday, and today’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a Top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he's locked in right now. Clients are cashing, the consistency is showing, and he's climbing the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.

Free Pick on Bruins -120

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Cincinnati +2.5

The Cincinnati Bearcats are motivated to make the NCAA Tournament and playing their best basketball of the season to try and get in.  They are squarely on the bubble, and a road win at TCU here would likely cement their spot in the Big Dance.

Jizzle James (11.6 PPG) has missed 10 games this season, but they've been dominant with him in the lineup down the stretch.  The Bearcats have gone 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall with their lone loss coming on the road at Texas Tech.  They won by 16 at Kansas and by 29 at Kansas State, while also crushing UCF by 20, Oklahoma State by 23 and BYU by 22 at home.

TCU punched its ticket into the NCAA Tournament with a 73-65 upset road win at Texas Tech last time out.  That was a letdown spot for the Red Raiders coming off their huge win over Iowa State on the road, handing the Cyclones their first home loss of the season.  TCU took advantage.

But now this is the letdown spot for the Horned Frogs, who have been far from dominant at home (8-10 ATS) this season.  They have actually been a better bet on the road (9-3 ATS).  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Cincinnati Saturday.

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1* Free Pick on UCLA -5½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on St. Louis -7

The Key: The St. Louis Billikens are a win away from winning the Atlantic 10 title outright.  They will show up with their best effort Saturday so they don't have to share it with VCU.  George Mason has been exposed down the stretch going 1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games overall.  They lost by 18 at St. Joe's, by 19 at GW, by 12 at Richmond and by 15 at home to Dayton.  They are getting blown out of the regular and don't have the firepower offensively to keep up with the Billikens today.  Take St. Louis.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Boston College +1½ -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Magic/Timberwolves UNDER 227

This will be an early 3:10 EST start time and I like backing UNDERS in these early start time games in the NBA because teams aren't used to playing this early.  It takes them some time to get going.  The Magic remain without Franz Wagner and have gone for 221 or fewer points at the end of regulation in their last five games against playoff contenders.  They've gone for 225 or fewer at the end of regulation in 11 of their last 14 games.  The Timberwolves are 4-0 UNDER in their last four games with 227 or fewer combined points in all four contests.  Give me the UNDER.

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1* Best Bet on Auburn +7½

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on William & Mary -4½ -112

This is a play on the NORTH DAKOTA FIGHTING HAWKS for our Saturday Free Play. This is the head scratching line of the night and we are going with the value. North Dakota easily took care of Denver on Friday in the Summit League tournament quarterfinals as it was getting 3.5 points and won by 16 points and now it is getting 12.5 points. On the flip side, St. Thomas was a 4.5-point favorite over 7-9 South Dakota St. and while it won by 13 points, the Tommies are now they are laying eight more points against a 10-6 team. The Fighting Hawks were getting 11.5 points at St. Thomas in the last meeting and won it outright and now they are getting a bigger number on a neutral floor and while that is a flag to actually take the favorite and the opposite move, not at a number this big in a conference tournament semifinal game. North Dakota is low in the metrics which is why the line is where it is with a lot of that due to half of their conference win by one possession. We are biting with the overpriced number. Play (757) North Dakota Fighting Hawks

CBB 12-6-1 run rolls into Saturday for a MASSIVE day. NBA 51-38-1 Run extended tonight. Matt was at the top of the boards in MLB last season! EARLY BIRD MLB available. Inclusive Package gets all plays in all sports.

76ers vs Hawks 
6 EST 
5-Unit bet on the 76ers priced as a 4.5-point underdog. 

NBA Betting Algorithm: Underdogs Scenario 

Algorithm Performance Overview 

This NBA betting algorithm has achieved a 173-266 straight-up (SU) record and a 255-181-3 mark against the spread (ATS) over the past seven seasons. The ATS performance equates to a 60% success rate in qualifying bets. 

Qualifying Criteria 

Bet is placed on underdogs priced between 3.5 and 7.5 points. 

The underdog is facing an opponent that has scored 120 or more points in each of their last two games. 

Enhanced Performance Condition 

When the opposing team is allowing a shooting percentage of 47% or worse, the algorithm's results improve significantly. In these situations, the selected team has compiled a 38-32 straight-up (SU) record and a 44-25-1 mark against the spread (ATS), delivering a 64% win rate. 

Free Play on Stony Brook +3 -110

Saturday's NBA Free Pick

PLAY ON: Hawks -6.5

In the bustling world of mixed martial arts betting, where underdogs often deliver the most thrilling payouts, Cody Garbrandt emerges as a compelling choice against Long Xiao this Saturday, March 7, at plus-130 odds, offering savvy bettors a chance to capitalize on a veteran fighter's proven skills amid shifting trends in the bantamweight division. Garbrandt, boasting a professional record of 14 wins and 7 losses, brings a wealth of experience from his days as a former champion, his striking landing at a 39 percent accuracy rate, while absorbing fewer blows per minute compared to many in his weight class, which could prove crucial against an opponent known for aggressive forward pressure. Recent betting patterns show that underdogs in prelim bouts have cashed in around 40 percent of the time over the last two years, particularly when facing prospects with high-volume striking but vulnerabilities in defense, a scenario that aligns perfectly with this matchup, as Garbrandt's quick hands and counterpunching have historically dismantled fighters who overcommit early.

Delving deeper into the angles, Garbrandt's boxing pedigree stands out, honed through years of high-level competition, allowing him to exploit gaps in aggressive styles like Xiao's, who averages 5.25 significant strikes per minute but has shown susceptibility in recent unanimous decision losses, including one where he outstruck his foe yet failed to secure the win. With both men standing at 5 feet 8 inches, Xiao holds a 5-inch reach advantage at 70 inches to Garbrandt's 65, yet statistics reveal that such edges often diminish against boxers who close distance effectively, as Garbrandt has done in his 60 percent knockout rate among victories, turning the tide in chaotic exchanges. Betting trends further favor this upset potential, with veterans over 30 years old bouncing back in 35 percent of underdog spots against younger talents in the 135-pound class, especially when the favorite has a bloated record padded by decisions rather than finishes, much like Xiao's 27-10 ledger that includes only 5 knockouts despite his volume.

As the fight approaches , bettors should consider the intangible factors, such as Garbrandt's motivation following back-to-back setbacks, contrasted with Xiao's youth at 27 years old, which brings energy but also inexperience in big-stage prelims, where crowd energy and pace can overwhelm. Historical data from similar clashes indicates that when a former titleholder faces a rising star with a striking differential, the underdog prevails more often than odds suggest, particularly if the bout stays standing, where Garbrandt's 2.88 strikes landed per minute mask his efficiency in bursts that lead to stoppages. This pick isn't just about raw numbers, though, it's about recognizing value in a line that undervalues resilience, making Garbrandt's path to victory through sharp counters and veteran savvy a bet worth pursuing in a division ripe for surprises.

My selection is on Villanova minus the points over Xavier at 12 noon et on Saturday.

Xavier took Villanova to overtime in their first meeting this season so the knee-jerk reaction may be to grab the generous helping of points with the Musketeers on Saturday. We'll go the other way and lay the points with the Wildcats noting that they own the considerably better overall record in this matchup this season despite the fact that the two teams have faced virtually identical strength-of-schedules. Xavier enters this game having allowed 29 or more made field goals in three straight and 28 or more in 11 of its last 12 contests. Meanwhile, Villanova has held five of its last eight opponents to 24 or fewer made field goals and has limited three of its last four foes to 53 or fewer field goal attempts. Take Villanova (8*).