Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on Magic +10½ -110

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Rays/Guardians UNDER 7

The forecast will aid us in cashing this UNDER 7 ticket between the Rays and Guardians this afternoon.  Temps will be in the 50's with double-digit winds blowing in from center field and the possibility of rain to boot.  Conditions will certainly be favorable for these two solid starting pitchers.

Drew Rasmussen is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in five starts for the Rays this season.  He has allowed just 7 earned runs and 18 base runners in 25 2/3 innings with 26 K's.  Rasmussen has owned the Guardians with a 1.69 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in four career starts against them, allowing just 3 earned runs in 16 innings.

Gavin Williams is 4-1 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in six starts for the Guardians this season.  He has allowed just 13 earned runs and 39 base runners in 35 2/3 innings with 44 K's.  Williams has thrived against the Rays, going 1-1 with a 2.42 ERA in four career starts against them while allowing just 6 earned runs in 22 1/3 innings.

The UNDER is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings between the Rays and Guardians with 7 or fewer combined runs in seven of those eight meetings, and 6 or fewer in six of them.  They have combined for 5 runs or fewer in four consecutive meetings, including the first two meetings in this series.  It should be more of the same in Game 3 today given the forecast.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

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Ricky's 1* play on TOR.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Cleveland.

- Toronto is 13-7 in its last 20 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference

- Toronto is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games against an opponent in the Central Division

Verdict: The value is on the road Underdog.

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:

1* on Nationals/Mets OVER 7.5

The Key: This is a pretty low total given the quality of these 2 starting pitchers plus the fact that the wind is expected to be blowing out at Citi Field Wednesday night.  David Peterson is 0-3 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.65 WHIP while yieldng 15 ER in 26 2/3 innings this year.  Cade Cavalli is 0-1 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 6 starts this year, and 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in 3 road starts.  The Nationals are 19-9-2 OVER in all games this year.  Take the OVER.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+100)

A 2-1 loss to the Marlins yesterday will get the Dodgers' attention.  They have still gone 8-2 in their last 10 meetings with the Marlins with six wins by 3 runs or more.  Tyler Glasnow has been lights out this season going 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in five starts this season.  Glasnow has held the Marlins to one earned run in 13 innings in his last two starts against them.  Sandy Alcantara has given up 13 earned runs and 4 home runs in 17 innings in his last three starts.  Alcantara is 2-5 with a 9.57 ERA and 1.99 WHIP in eight previous starts against the Dodgers, giving up 39 earned runs and 11 home runs in 36 2/3 innings.  Give me the Dodgers on the Run Line.

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1* Free Sharp Play on Rangers +110

Canadiens +150

Montreal and Tampa clash in a pivotal Game 5 and this is too nice of a price on Montreal. The first 4 games have all been close and Montreal has already proven they can win in Tampa. They coughed up a 2-0 lead in Game 4, but they still have plenty of good takeaways from that game. This defense is one of the best at clearing the zone and they can beat this Lightning side on the counter attack. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the HABS ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

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My selection is on Detroit over Orlando at 7 pm et on Wednesday.

The straight-up winner has covered the spread in all four games in this series with the Magic holding a 3-1 lead entering Wednesday's Game 5 in Detroit. Note that the Pistons have now dropped consecutive games and that's notable as they've lost more than two games in a row only once previously this season. Meanwhile, the Magic have covered the number in more than two straight games only once going back to March 12th. Facing elimination at home, I'm confident we'll see Detroit bounce back with a convincing victory in this spot. Take Detroit (8*).

Marlins vs Dodgers MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Los Angeles Dodgers are only 5-10 against the runline as home favorites. They won the irst game of the series 5-4 before losing Game 2 2-1, but I think that just adds fuel to the fire for the series-finale. Miami right-hander Sandy Alcantara (3-2, 3.05 ERA) has labored through his last three starts, and his career numbers against the Dodgers are weak, ERA of 9.57 and a 2-6 team record against the runline as underdog against the Dodgers. 

The Bet: Dodgers -1½ (3%).