Free Football Picks

1* Free Pick on Cardinals/Bengals: over 52

We are hammer-pounding the Over 52 because these are quite literally the two most generous defenses in the NFL right now. Both units are surrendering a massive 30.5 points per game, and with Cincinnati coming off a 45-point explosion against Miami, the offensive momentum in this stadium is undeniable. Arizona has Jacoby Brissett airing it out to Trey McBride, who leads all tight ends in yards and touchdowns, while this Bengals secondary remains dead last in the league in points allowed. 

[1%] Free Play on Clippers under 225½ -105

1* FREE INFO PLAY Celtics -6 -110

*Free Play on Bengals* Whether they should be trying this hard to win is a fair question, but the Bengals are clearly still pushing to win games even after being eliminated from the playoffs. Joe Burrow was in a groove last week and he should be once again here against Arizona. 

Arizona is the more injured team of these two. The Cardinals will move the ball and score points here, but I don't think they can trade scored with Cincinnati. 

Take Cincinnati. 

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #425 New England Patriots over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, December 28 FOX) The Jets are a mess and just got pounded by the Saints last Sunday. The Patriots have too much to play for in this game to take it lightly and I see them winning by 20+ points. New England beat New York by 13 points earlier this season and that was a much better team than what they will see on Sunday. The Patriots are playing for the No. 1 seed in the AFC and they are coming off a big win over the Ravens on Sunday Night Football. New England is better in all 3 phases and they will take care of business in a big way at the Meadowlands. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Holiday Card featuring top plays in NFL, NBA, and College Basketball.

1* Free Sharp Play on Steelers vs Browns over 34½ -110

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Bengals -7 -110

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: San Francisco 49ers -3

The San Francisco 49ers are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with all five wins coming by 11 points or more and by an average of 16.4 points per game.  This run has coincided with getting Brock Purdy back healthy, and he leads the NFL in QBR (75.8).

Purdy has this San Francisco offense humming with an average of 34.4 points per game during this five-game winning streak.  He just threw 5 TD passes in a 48-27 win at Indianapolis.  He should stay hot against a Chicago defense that ranks 19th in scoring at 23.6 points per game, 25th in total defense at 348.1 yards per game and 28th at 6.1 yards per play.

The 49ers will be max motivated because if they win out they will get the No. 1 seed in the NFC.  The Bears could be in a big letdown spot here after another improbable 22-16 (OT) home win over the Packers.  Trailing 16-6 in the final two minutes, they kicked a 43-yard FG in the wind, got the onside kick and scored a TD on 4th down to tie it at 16-16.  They forced a fumble in OT and took advantage with a 46-yard TD pass from Williams to Moore to walk it off.

Several Bears players were seen wearing cheese grater hats after the game as it was a huge win over a division rival in the Packers that gave them a 1.5-game lead.  The Bears will be 'fat and happy' off that win, plus they have the luxury of knowing they just need to win one of their final two games to clinch the division, or have the Packers lose one of their final two games.  The Packers play the Ravens Saturday night, and if they lose that game the Bears will clinch the division and be even less motivated for this game against the 49ers.

I think the 49ers are the better team on both sides of the football, they are at home, and they have more to play for here.  Not only does Kyle Shanahan deserve Coach of the Year for what he is doing with this banged up roster, Robert Saleh is proving his chops as a defensive coordinator.  Despite losing Bosa and Warner early in the season, the 49ers still rank 11th in scoring defense at 21.3 points per game and 18th in total defense at 332.2 yards per game.  With as good as their offense is, they just need an average defense to be a contender and they have that.  They are also as healthy as they have been in a long time on both sides of the football.

Both the Bears and 49ers are 11-4 this season.  The Bears rank 1st in the league with a +21 turnover differential while the 49ers are -4.  That just shows you how much better the 49ers are as they are a net -25 in turnovers compared to the Bears and still have the same record.  The Bears are 7-2 in one-score games.  I think this is where Chicago's luck finally runs out.

The Bears haven't been nearly as potent offensively without WR Rome Odunze (44 receptions, 661 yards, 6 TD).  They had 6 points in 58 minutes against a banged up Green Bay defense last week.  RT Darnell Wright didn't travel with the team.  Defensively, the Bears are very short-handed in the secondary with four CB's out and another three CB's questionable, including starters Wright and Gardner-Johnson.  LB TJ Edwards is questionable this week as well.  Purdy will light up this secondary.  The Bears are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after playing Green Bay.  Bet the 49ers Sunday.

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Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Cleveland Browns +3.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Cleveland Browns Sunday.  There's a chance the Steelers clinch the AFC North before they play this game.  If the Ravens lose to the Packers Saturday night, they will clinch the division.  The Steelers also know that even if the Ravens were to win they could still afford to lose this game as long as they beat the Ravens next week.  Either way, the Browns will be up for this game against a division rival, and I think they are primed to pull off the upset.  The Steelers are a mess from an injury standpoint.  They are without WR DK Metcalf due to suspension and WR Calvin Austin do to injury, a team that cannot afford to be without their top two receivers because they are already short on weapons.  They will be extremely predictable without these guys as the Browns just have to focus in on stopping the quick passing game to the TE's and RB's.  LG Isaac Seumalo is out and this is a banged up Pitt offensive line.  The Steelers are without LB TJ Watt, CB James Pierre and CB Brandon Echols this week defensively.  The Browns are a lot healthier on the offensive line this week to give Shedeur Sanders a chance.  They are also nearly at full strength on defense with CB Denzel Ward returning and only CB Myles Harden questionable.  They are the much healthier team, and they always play opponents much tougher at home.  The Browns are 5-2 ATS at home this year and coming off a 3-point home loss to the Bills.  They outgained the Bills by by 35 yards as well.  Cleveland is actually 5-1 SU in their last 6 home matchups with Pittsburgh.  It will be a raucous crowd with the anticipation of Miles Garrett setting the sack record.  Take Cleveland.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Tennessee Titans +3 (-120)

This line suggests the New Orleans Saints would be more than a FG favorite over the Tennessee Titans on a neutral.  I can't get to that price, and I certainly can't get to this price on the Titans +3 -120 at home.  The Titans are playing their best football of the season right now.  They upset the Browns 31-29 on the road and dominated the Chiefs 26-9 at home.  In between, they gave the 49ers a battle on the road failing to cover by 0.5-point only after the 49ers kicked a FG in the final two minutes.  They outgained the Chiefs 376 to 133 last week in that 17-point win.  That's the same Chiefs team that just nearly upset the Denver Broncos on Thursday.  The Saints are getting too much credit for their three consecutive wins over mediocre teams in the Jets, Panthers and Bucs.  They were fortunate to beat both the Bucs and Panthers, and the Jets may be the worst team in the NFL right now with the team they are fielding.  The Titans have an elite defensive line that has given up 70 rushing yards or fewer in three of their last four games.  In the one game they didn't, it took the 49ers 38 carries to get 138 yards.  This defensive line will blow up a suspect, beat up New Orleans offensive line.  The Titans have a solid O-Line that has allowed them to rush for 161.3 yards per game in their last three games.  That has taken pressure of Cam Ward and opened things up for him in the passing game, too.  The Saints have given up 133.5 rushing yards per game in their last four games and the Titans will be able to run on them.  New Orleans has no running game due to injuries to their top two RB's in Kamara and Neal plus that banged up O-Line.  That puts a lot of pressure on Tyler Shough to do it all through the air.  Give me the Titans.

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Big 4 game Sunday card up with a TOP Red Zone play, the NFL Total of the Month and SNF. We also have hoops going. Comp play below.

The NFL Comp play is on Tennessee plus the point or two at 1 eastern. The Titans look to build off last weeks win as they host the Saints at home and they are improving on offense scoring 24 or more in each of the last 3. New Orleans is off 3 straight wins but we will back the home team here as week 16 or later regular season home dogs of less than 3 with 5 or less wins are 10-2 straight up vs a team with a .400 or less win percentage. Look for the Titans to get the cash here. GL Rob V-

1* Free Pick on Bengals -7 -110

Patriots -13.5

New England continues their trek toward a division crown and they matchup well with the Jets. New England put up 28 last week against the Ravens in a huge road win and Maye right now is firing on all cylinders. This offense averages nearly 4 touchdowns a game and the Jets are in full tank mode. Lay the points. My daily free plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the PATS Sunday. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on New York plus the points over New England at 1 pm et on Sunday.

It seems that it's probably in both teams' best interest to effectively shorten proceedings in this AFC East matchup on Sunday and that lends itself to grabbing all the points we can get with the underdog Jets. New England is coming off a much-needed primetime win in Baltimore last Sunday night. However, now the Patriots are dealing with a number of injury concerns on both sides of the football. Job one is to leave the Meadowlands with a win but job two is to simply avoid any more key injuries. The Jets hung around for a while but couldn't produce enough offense to avoid a third straight loss last week in New Orleans. They'll be happy to be back at home where they've actually won two of their last three contests. New York will be looking to avenge an earlier 27-14 loss in New England in mid-November. Take New York.

Giants vs Raiders NFL Free Pick 

The Angle: With two 2-13 teams already looking forward to the draft, one might wonder ie either team is interested in winning this game, bbut I think the Raiders will show up for the home crowd. They moved the ball well on the ground whey they gave Houston a bit of a scare in a 23-21 loss last week, and I expect them to replicate it here against a Giants team giving up 150+ yards on the ground (31st). 

The Bet: RAIDERS (2%). 

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#419/420 ASA PLAY ON Over 39.5 Points - New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans, Sunday at 1 PM ET - We get two terrible teams in full rebuild mode, with nothing to play for late in the season, which is typically a favorable OVER betting situation. Going into this season the Saints thought they had their future QB on the roster in Spencer Rattler. It turns out the future guy on the depth chart was rookie Tyler Shough. Shough has exceeded expectations this season with 1,792 passing yards in 9 games with 7 TD and 5 INT. He has helped lead the Saints to three straight wins, two of which were against teams fighting for their playoff lives. New Orleans scored 24, 20 and 29 points in the past three games, averaging 336 total yards and 5.5YPP in the process. Overall, the Saints defense has been pretty good this season, but what do they have to play for against the Titans? New Orleans has allowed 20+ points in 12 of their fifteen games and with total set so low, that’s all we need the Titans to get to for this game to go OVER. Tennessee has looked better with their rookie QB as well in recent games with 31, 24 and 26 points in their last three outings. Those numbers came against three quality defenses of the Browns, 49ers and Chiefs so it’s not like they did it against poor defenses. The Titans offense averaged just 4.7YPP on the season but in their last 3 games that number goes to 5.7YPP. While the offense has improved, the defense has not. The Titans have some of the worst defensive statistics in the league, including allowing 6.0YPP (26th) and 26.9ppg (26th). The Titans have allowed 25+ in 4 of their last five games and 30 or more in three of those.