Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on Blue Jays -106

1* FREE INFO PLAY Hapoel Tel Aviv +155

1* Free Sharp Play on Orioles +122

2 TIME CFB Champ Rob V UNLOADS An EXECUTIVE LEVEL TIER 1  SIDE and a PERFECT Early Season totals system along with NLB. Comp play below

The Thursday comp play is on the Under in the Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Missouri game at 8 eastern. Missouri is laying over 50 here and they will win big. However, the game should stay under as the Tigers have a solid defense and likely wont give up many if any at all here. Thursday September home favorites of 40 or more are 5 of 6 under long term with a road game up next. The Tigers have a new offensive coordinator and are replacing a ton of talent so it could take some time to gel. They will score here but likely will chew up the clock later in the game and take a look at some of the talent on the back end of the roster while this ones out of hand. Pine Bluff won their opener last week but will see the gulf in talent from the onset here. Look for this game to stay under. GL Rob V-

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #164 Under in Marshall Thundering Herd @ Penn State Nittany Lions (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 5 FS1) The Matt Campbell era gets underway at Penn State on Saturday. Penn State should still have a strong defense and Coach Campbell is a run the ball and play strong defense type of coach. I don’t think he will want to throw the football up and down the field and focus on field position and ball control. Marshall usually a bowl caliber team and not a mid-major pushover like some teams. They have to run clock to have any chance to keep this game under twenty points and that should set up a strong play for the under. Marshall closed out the season going under the posted total in 3 straight games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays in football, baseball, and soccer. 3 straight winning weeks to open up the football season and you can receive all football plays for half off with a one week football package.

Sam Houston/ Troy Over 53 1.1% Free play

Saturday's Free CFB Pick

PLAY ON: Clemson +10 

Albany at Buffalo on Thursday night is the under I keep coming back to, and I keep coming back to it for the simplest reason in the book. The number is 48.5. Buffalo scored 24.0 points a game last season and allowed 23.5. Add those two numbers and you are already sitting under the total before Albany even gets off the bus. That is not a coincidence. That is a scoring environment that wants to live in the low 40s unless somebody turns this into a track meet, and FCS-at-FBS openers in September almost never turn into track meets.

Buffalo is laying a big number at home, and the line has already come in from the mid-20s toward 18 and a half. That kind of move usually means the market is less interested in a 45-10 final than it is in a 31-10 or 28-13 final. Those scores still win the game for the Bulls. They also sit comfortably under 48.5. Last year’s Buffalo club opened at Minnesota and lost 23-10. That is 33 combined points. The next week they beat Saint Francis 45-6 and the over finally woke up against an FCS opponent that could not stop the run. Albany is not Saint Francis on a day the Bulls could do no wrong. Albany is a road underdog in a Week 1 spot where first-game rust, conservative play-calling, and a new Buffalo quarterback all point the same direction.

Jason Wright is taking over an offense that returned almost nothing up front. Two returning offensive starters is not a recipe for 35 points before the band has finished the first chorus. Redshirt freshman quarterbacks in home openers tend to hand the ball off, check down, and let the defense keep the night quiet. Albany’s path to staying in the game is the same path every FCS visitor uses in September. Run the clock, steal a field goal, hope a short field shows up after a special-teams mistake. That is how you get to 27-13, not 42-21.

Bet under the total in Albany games as a road underdog.
The Under’s record since the 2025 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 51.5. (+5.0 units, ROI=90.9%)

Bet under the total in Buffalo home openers when the number sits at 48 or higher.
The Under’s record in that spot since 2022: 4-1 (80%) with an average over/under of 49.0. (+2.7 units, ROI=49.1%)

Bet under the total when an FBS favorite of 17 or more hosts an FCS opponent in Week 1.
The Under’s record since 2023: 19-11 (63.3%) with an average over/under of 50.8. (+6.4 units, ROI=19.4%)

The last Buffalo-Akron meeting in this building finished 24-16. Different opponent, same stadium, same kind of night. Forty combined points, sacks, a safety, and a second half that felt like both staffs were trying not to give anything away. That is the tape I trust more than any preseason promise that this offense is about to light the sky. Clock is your friend on this ticket. Every three-and-out is a gift. Every 12-play drive that dies at the 18 and turns into a field goal is another gift.

I am not sitting here waiting for Albany to hang 28. I am sitting here waiting for Buffalo to look like a team finding itself in September and for the visitor to keep the game in the 20s. If the Bulls win 31-10, the under cashes and nobody writes a poem about it. That is the point. This is a leftovers ticket, not a fireworks ticket. At 48.5 I am on it. If the number drips to 47.5 I like it even more.

Cash it if it hits, and we will look for the next quiet number the public keeps trying to turn into a shootout. Good luck if you ride along.