Calvin King
[1%] Free Play on Abilene Christian -2 -110
Dustin Hawkins
1 Dimer on Oklahoma -1½ -110
ASA
#647 ASA FREE PLAY ON Villanova -3.5 over Creighton, Saturday at 2:30 PM ET - Villanova is 10-3 in Big East play sitting behind only UConn and St Johns. Two of their three losses came vs those 2 teams and the other was vs this Creighton team. The Wildcats are in revenge mode today. They have been great on the road with a 5-1 conference record and their only loss coming @ UConn in OT. Creighton is 6-6 in conference play and all of their wins, with the exception of Nova, are vs teams that are at or below .500 in conference play. They’ve faced only 1 team at home this year that has a current winning record in league play, UConn, and they got blasted in that game 85-58. Four of their conference home wins were down to the wire beating Butler by 4, Georgetown by 3 on OT, Xavier by 1, and Seton Hall by 1. In their last 2 home games vs Xavier and Seton Hall, the Bluejays were a bit lucky trailing late in each. The Hall led Creighton by 9 with under 1:30 left and XU led by 4 with under 1:00 remaining here in Omaha. The Jays are really lucky to be sitting with a .500 record in the Big East. In their 76-72 home loss vs Creighton, the Wildcats allowed the Blue Jays to hit 50% from the field and Nova only made 6 of 24 triples (25%). We look for that to flip here as the Cats are the 2nd best 3 point shooting team in the conference (36%) and Creighton ranks 284th in the nation defending the arc. On the other end, the Blue Jays shoot more 3’s than any team in the league but they are facing a Villanova defense that is #1 in Big East play defending the arc allowing just 29%. The Wildcats have just 2 true road losses this year vs Michigan (#1 per KenPom) and UConn in OT (#8 per KenPom). They are 16-8 ATS while the Jays continue to underperform at 8-17 ATS. We’ll lay this small number with the much better team in revenge mode.
Kyle Hunter
*Free Play Over* The Santa Clara Broncos are fantastic on offense this year. Santa Clara is averaging 1.23 points per possession in WCC play. The Broncos have routinely been putting up big numbers. They scored 77 at Gonzaga in a loss. Santa Clara has been more efficient at home.
Gonzaga's Ike has a clear matchup advantage over Santa Clara's frontcourt, and he should pile up the points again as he did in the first matchup between these two.
A fun high scoring game.
Take the over.
(28-7 Last 35 CBB plays. Saturday Totals Trifecta is up for $21 per play today. Get on board!)
Timothy Black
1* Best Bet on Stanford/Wake Forest over 150 -105
No analysis provided.
Mike Williams
1* on Eastern Washington -2½
Ricky Tran
Ricky's 1* play on SANTA.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- Santa Clara is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games.
- Gonzaga is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Santa Clara.
- Santa Clara is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games played in February.
Verdict: The value is on the home underdog.
Frank Sawyer
FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 2/14:
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Saturday is with Iowa plus the point(s) versus Purdue. Iowa (18-6) saw their six-game winning streak snapped in a 77-70 upset loss at Maryland as a 10.5-point favorite on Wednesday. The Hawkeyes have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. They have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games with the Total set in the 140s. Purdue (20-4) has won three games in a row after their 80-77 upset victory at Nebraska as a 2.5-point underdog on Tuesday. The Boilermakers ave failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win against a fellow Big 10 rival. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after winning at home in their last game. Take Iowa plus the point(s). Best of luck — Frank.
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Bobby Conn
1* Free Play on Utah Tech +3½ -115
Jack Jones
Jack's Free Pick Saturday: NC State -5
I love the spot for the NC State Wolfpack today. Their 6-game winning streak came to a screeching halt with a 118-77 road loss at Louisville on Monday. They shot 18.2% from 3 while Louisville shot 60% from 3 in an absolute aberration.
Now the Wolfpack have had the last four days off to recover and regroup. They will come out with their hair on fire at home here against Miami. They were last seen at home beating Virginia Tech by 9 and Syracuse by 20 in their last two home games.
Miami is in a letdown spot off an upset home win over North Carolina on Tuesday. It was a prime letdown spot for the Tar Heels coming off their big win over rival Duke. The Hurricanes also benefited from UNC's best player in Caleb Wilson suffering an injury that will keep him out for the foreseeable future.
Miami had gone 1-5 ATS in its previous six games with upset home losses to FSU as 10.5-point favorites and California as 11.5-point favorites. The Hurricanes also lost by 10 at Clemson. This will be one of their toughest tests of the season on the road up against a highly motivated Wolfpack squad. Bet NC State Saturday.
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Jimmy Boyd
1* Free Pick on SIU-Edwardsville +1½
SIU-Edwardsville is catching points at home against a UT Martin team that consistently struggles to get stops on the road.
The Cougars are a much more disciplined group when they play in their own building and they excel at dictating the tempo.
UT Martin likes to play at a high pace, but their transition defense is one of the biggest vulnerabilities in the OVC.
SIUE ranks near the top of the conference in effective field goal percentage when playing at First Community Arena.
The Skyhawks have a major issue on the defensive glass and they give up far too many second-chance points to physical teams.
SIUE will use their size advantage to control the paint and keep the Skyhawks from getting out in the open floor.
UT Martin played a grueling road game on Thursday night and this travel schedule is starting to take a visible toll on their depth.
The Cougars have been sleeping in their own beds all week and will clearly have the fresher legs in the second half.
The betting market is giving too much credit to the Skyhawks' raw scoring numbers while ignoring their defensive efficiency gaps.
SIUE is the more balanced team and they have a distinct advantage in turnover margin when playing in front of their home crowd.
The Cougars are 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games against the Skyhawks.
In a conference game that should be priced as a pick'em, we are getting value with the better defensive team at home.
Expect SIUE to win this one outright by winning the battle at the free-throw line and controlling the boards.
I like the SIU-Edwardsville +1.5 (-110)
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Dave Price
Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on UCF -3.5
The Key: The UCF Knights are 13-2 at home this season with wins over Big 12 powers Kansas and Texas Tech. This looks like the bounce back situation for the Knights off consecutive road losses to Houston and Cincinnati. They have been off for 5 days and are primed for a big effort tonight. West Virginia has just 2 true road wins all season and they came against ASU and Cincinnati. They lost by 29 at Houston and by 35 at Arizona. Take UCF.
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Info Plays
1* FREE INFO PLAY Tenn-Martin +1½ -115
John Martin
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Minnesota +6.5
Minnesota has had the last five days off since an upset loss to Maryland. That was predictable given the Golden Gophers were coming off their biggest win of the season, an upset win over Michigan State. They had their letdown, and now they will be re-energized and refocused for this trip out to Washington. They take on a Huskies team they can handle. Washington is 0-3 SU in its last three games overall including an upset home loss to Penn State as 12.5-point favorites on Wednesday. The Huskies only have two days off in between games. They should not be favored by more than two possessions here. Give me Minnesota.
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Rob Vinciletti
Saturday Card has the 2026 CBB TOTAL OF THE YEAR Headlining. Comp Play below
The Saturday comp play is on BYU -14.5 over Colorado at 4 eastern. The Cougars stopped a 4 game skid with a nice road win and cover last out. Today they fit a long term system that has cashed 8 of 9 times for conference home favorites of 10 or more that scored 90 or more in a road favored win and lost the 2 prior games if they have less than 5 days rest. Colorado is just 1-6 on the road and scored a season low 44 points at Texas Tech last out. Colorado is 1-17 to the spread when they lost as a road dog of less than 17 points. Play on BYU. GL Rob V-
Matt Fargo
This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our Saturday Free Play. This is an odd scheduling spot in February with Virginia and Ohio St. playing in Nashville and this will likely have a more adverse effect on the Buckeyes. Ohio St. is coming off a pair of home games against Michigan and USC where it is now 8-6 in the Big Ten Conference and while this is a game that can be a resume builder, it can be a distraction. The Buckeyes have Wisconsin, Michigan St., Purdue and Iowa on deck and this is a tough travel spot for them as they are 5-5 away from home with the best win being No. 75 Northwestern, the only Quad 1 win as they are 1-7. While it is also a disruption for Virginia, the Cavaliers are coming off a very easy five-game stretch with Georgia Tech on deck so there is no letdown/lookahead. They are 10-2 in the ACC with the losses coming against Virginia Tech in triple overtime and against North Carolina after blowing a 16-point lead. Play (747) Virginia Cavaliers
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Hunter Price
1* Free Pick on Villanova -2½ -110
Chip Chirimbes
Chip’s FAB-5 of CBK Best Bets
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Marquette at Xavier 3:00 ET
Golden Eagles (+) over Musketeers - It has been a difficult year for Marquette who have won just nine of 25 contests and are 0-9 SU on the road. Xavier at 12-12 would need to win out ti get into the Tourney and that isn’t likely. The Golden Eagles have won seven of the past eight meetings including a home 66-65 victory five weeks ago as hosts. Trends are backing the Musketeers But, I’m not. Take MARQUETTE!
Brandon Lee
Saturday's CBB Free Pick
PLAY ON: Texas Tech +10
Alex Smart
As the West Coast Conference race heats up on this Valentine's Day evening , all eyes turn to the Leavey Center where the Santa Clara Broncos, riding a scorching nine-game winning streak and boasting a 22-5 overall record with a 13-1 mark in league play, host the powerhouse Gonzaga Bulldogs, who sit at 24-2 and 12-1 in the WCC, trailing by just half a game in the standings. This matchup screams value on the home underdog Broncos catching +4.5 points, considering their elite home form where they've gone 8-4 against the spread this season and 10-6 overall at the Leavey Center, while Gonzaga has struggled somewhat on the road with a 5-3 ATS clip away from Spokane. Digging into the angles, Santa Clara's offensive firepower leads the WCC in scoring during conference games at over 93 points per outing, fueled by efficient shooting splits of 58.4% from two-point range and 37.5% from beyond the arc in their recent surge, allowing them to push tempo, minimize turnovers at a league-low rate, and exploit perimeter defenses, precisely where Gonzaga ranks vulnerably at 299th nationally in defensive momentum. The Bulldogs, despite dominating the series historically with a 73-32 edge and winning the first meeting 89-77 on January 8 behind Graham Ike's 34 points and 11 rebounds, are without key scorer Braden Huff due to injury, which has capped their scoring output below 90 in recent contests and contributed to hitting the team total under in their last 11 games, while also feeding into a broader trend of game totals going under in nine of their past 11 outings. From a betting trends perspective, road favorites in WCC revenge scenarios like this have stumbled to a 7-10 ATS record over the last two years, and Santa Clara shines as underdogs with a perfect 3-0 ATS mark this season, including strong showings against top competition; moreover, eight of the Broncos' last nine night games against AP-ranked foes at home have stayed under 157 points, suggesting a lean toward the under on the 159.5 total if you're eyeing correlated plays, but the real edge lies in Santa Clara's ability to keep it close by capitalizing on Gonzaga's 34.9% three-point defense and their own 51.3% field goal efficiency. Adding to the underdog angle, Gonzaga has only covered the first-half spread in four of their last seven games, while Santa Clara's 5-0 straight-up run includes wire-to-wire dominance at home, making the +.5 a sharp grab for bettors hunting value in this high-stakes clash that could flip the conference lead.
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Mike Lundin
10-0 FREE PICK RUN: Texas Tech vs Arizona College Basketball Free Pick
The Angle(s): The Arizona Wildcats are 5-0 against the spread as home favorites laying fewer than 20 points and I expect them to have a chip on their shoulder after their first loss of the season in Kansas last Monday.
The Bet: ARIZONA (2%)
Following a 3-0 SWEEP with his CBB picks on Friday, Mike's now 6-2 (75%) last 8 College Basketball premium picks. Oh, and he also gave out a CBB free pick winner last night! This multi-pick pack features Mike's 3 strongest CBB plays for Saturday, with his Kentucky/Florida CBB Total of the Month SUPER MAX included!