Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on Manhattan under 150½ -105

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Niagara +8½ -112

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Ricky's 1* play on Under.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Under is 6-1 in UNC Wilmington's last 7 games against College of Charleston.

- The Under is 4-1 in College of Charleston's last 5 games against an opponent in the Coastal Athletic conference.

- The Under is 4-2 in UNC Wilmington's last 6 games.

Verdict: Points should be hard to come by in this game.

#811 ASA FREE PLAY ON North Texas +4.5 over UAB, Sunday at 12 PM ET - UAB has been a weird team this year. They have an 18-10 overall record but they are not good at home. Their overall home record is 7-8 and in AAC play the Blazers 1-6 at home with their only win coming by 6 points vs Rice who rates as the 3rd worst team in the conference and 238th nationally per KenPom. Even in that win vs one of the worst teams in the conference, UAB trailed for 62% of the game but were +8 from the FT line which was the difference. UNT has been decent on the road going 3-3 away from home since mid January with 1 of those 3 losses coming in OT and another by a single point. That 1 point loss was @ Charlotte in a game the Mean Green led by 10 midway through the 2nd half. Charlotte shot a ridiculous 60% in that game and still needed 2 FT’s with 3 seconds left in the game to win by 1. North Texas has a high level defense ranking top 55 nationally in efficiency and 3rd in the AAC and 25th in the country in scoring D allowing just 67 PPG. You can expect them to come out with some fire on that end of the court after Charlotte lit them up from the field. The Green defense creates turnovers at a top 10 rate nationally ranking 8th in steal percentage. In their first meeting the UAB offense coughed it up at an 18% rate while UNT’s offense turned it over at just a 9% rate. That could be key here leading to extra possessions. In that first meeting UAB shot 51% (to 41% for North Texas) and the Mean Green made only 3 of 17 triples (18%) yet the game still was close (UAB won 72-68). North Texas hasn’t been great as a favorite, however as a dog they are 10-4 ATS this year with 6 outright wins. UAB, on the other hand, is just 7-12 ATS as a favorite and they’ve only covered 1 of their last 9 when laying points. Let’s take the points with UNT.

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SUNDAY, 3/1:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Sunday is with Michigan State minus the points versus Indiana. Michigan State (23-5) has won three games in a row after their 76-74 upset win at Purdue as a 6.5-point underdog on Thursday. The Spartans have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win on the road. They have also covered the point spread in 18 of their last 27 games against teams that are winning 60-80% of their games. Indiana (17-11) has lost three games in a row after their 72-68 upset loss at home against Northwestern as a 9.5-point favorite on Tuesday. The Hoosiers have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss against a fellow Big 10 rival. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games as an underdog. Take Michigan State minus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports is on a 12 of 18 (67%) All-Sports run after a 3-0 Saturday with three highest-rated 25* winners — headlined by DELIVERING their 25* CBB Game of the Month on Portland to further their 29 of 47 (62%) All-Sports mark with featured 25*/20*/10* plays! Frank is on a 4 of 5 (80%) CBB run — and now he furthers his 10 of 15 (67%) CBB Game of the Year/Month mark with a 25* CBB Conference Game of the Year this afternoon! DO NOT MISS OUT!

1* FREE INFO PLAY Blazers +6½ -115

1* Free Sharp Play on Fulham +100

My selection is on Brooklyn plus the points over Cleveland at 3:40 pm et on Sunday.

I don't know how the Cavaliers get up for this matinee affair against the reeling Nets on Sunday. Cleveland has lost consecutive games on this trip and while it certainly wants to turn the tide here, it is still without Donovan Mitchell and undoubtedly has one eye on Tuesday's rematch with the Pistons at home. Note that the Cavs have displayed a fairly firm ceiling offensively in recent weeks, connecting on 43 or fewer field goals in five straight games. The Nets have been getting blown out game after game and enter this contest on a seven-game SU and ATS losing streak. While they're simply playing out the string at this point, I do think there comes a point where pride matters and off Friday's embarrassing 148-111 defeat in Boston, I'm confident we'll see them put forth a better effort here. Note that Brooklyn has held six straight opponents to 87 or fewer field goal attempts. With that type of volume, I'm just not convinced the Cavs can cover this double-digit pointspread. Take Brooklyn (8*).