Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on Bowling Green -5½ -105

Free Total Annihilator On Harvard vs Pennsylvania under 138½ -110

Ricky's 1* play on UCF.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Central Florida is 14-6 in its last 20 games.

- Baylor is 1-5 in its last 6 games.

- Baylor is 1-4 in its last 5 games played in February.

Verdict: The value is on the Home favorite.

During the past seven days, UCLA has enjoyed a blowout home win against arch-rival USC and scored an upset home victory in overtime against 10th-ranked Illinois on a buzzer-beater layup. Now the Bruins go on the road to face Minnesota in an early start time.

UCLA is 1-5 SU and ATS when playing out of its time zone. The Bruins have lost these five games - all to Big Ten teams - by an average of 17.2 points. The only win and cover came against Penn State, who ranks last in the Big Ten with a 2-15 conference record.

This is an awkward spot for the Bruins, who return home following this game to host Nebraska on Tuesday.

Minnesota is 11-4 at home. The Gophers have pulled off straight-up upset victories at home against Michigan State, Iowa and Indiana. They are well-coached under their first-year head coach Niko Medved.  The Gopher's physical style, slow pace, defensive rebounding and 31st-ranked defense can cause problems for UCLA, especially if the Bruins are flat which I expect.  (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is 7-1 on his last eight college basketball plays. Stephen has three premium CBB plays, headed by his CBB Total of the Year, going today in addition to this free selection.) 

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Red Wings +160

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

7-1 L2 DAYS ALL SPORTS. NOTHING BUT WINNERS AGAIN LAST NIGHT W/ ANOTHER SWEEP! Today, we continue to stay HOT HOT HOT: EARLY WINNER, BIG TEN BEAT DOWN, 10-3 ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE, ACC ANNIHILATOR, 8-1 L9 RUN SMASH WINNER. Get all 5 WINNERS today, & WIN BIG!

Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Alabama Crimson Tide.

Game 755.

3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST.

Yes, my friends, I am fully aware the Volunteers have dominated the Crimson Tide, prevailing in five consecutive matchups straight up, and covering four of those five meetings. This includes the only game played among these two teams this season on the road back in the third week of January, 79-73. But since then, the Crimson Tide have won eight of nine games SU. This team is really started to heat up, my friends. I will say I feel the Volunteers aren’t cracking, but they're certainly peeling a bit (lol). They have dropped two of their last six SU, and have only covered three of those last six outings, to boot. They come off a road loss at the hands of the Tigers of Missouri, 73-69 in their last outing. While this team is one of the best home teams in the nation, I feel the visitor will come in here motivated. Alabama ranks 17th in the nation while Tennessee currently sits at the No. 22 spot. This can't sit well with the visiting team who has won seven consecutive games, are this much of an underdog against a team that they are ranked better then. They're also motivated by revenge that they're looking to notch a victory over a team that has dominated them for so long. Obviously we are all aware Alabama possesses the No. 2 ranked scoring offense in the nation while Tennessee possesses a defense that has frustrated just about every opponent they have gone up against this season. It's true, the home team is also a little bit better on the boards at each end of the court, but I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard with an offense that averages over 92.7 PPG. I think this game is going to be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you.

1* Free Pick on Regina Tarin +150

OVER 5.5

Vancouver and Seattle have value to the over. Vancouver has allowed a combined 8 goals over their last two games out of the break while Seattle has allowed 9. Neither team has looked good defensively and they’re giving up a lot of clean looks. This should be a game that produces a lot of back and forth scoring chances, with both teams peppering the opposing net. Grab the over. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER 5.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Saturday FREE NHL O/U Play

1-2 THURSDAY! EN FUEGO! 143-97 60% +3764 since Mid-Dec! Full transparency as always. 44-34 56% +679 in FEB. The board is live and today’s card is posted. A BIG 5× Play Card is up for $ATURDAY, and today’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a Top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he's locked in right now. Clients are cashing, the consistency is showing, and he's climbing the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.

(Free Play Under) The last eight games between these two teams have stayed under the total. Randy Bennett is a really good coach, and he knows his St. Mary's team doesn't want a track meet against Gonzaga. The Bulldogs have a ton of length and athleticism that can hurt them in a transition battle.

St. Mary's is great on the offensive glass, but Gonzaga is strong on the defensive boards. This Gonzaga team isn't as good on offense as the last few Gonzaga teams, but they are better on defense.

Look for this to be played more in the halfcourt. Take the under.

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1* Free Play on Blues -102

1* Best Bet on Flames +1½

No analysis provided.

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Valparaiso -4.5

Valparaiso has won its last four games to get to 11-8 in MVC play.  The Beacons are now tied with Illinois State for 5th place in the MVC with one game remaining.  That's big because the top 5 teams all get a bye in the conference tournament.

That's why I'm not concerned about Valparaiso having any sort of letdown here when they travel to face the worst team in the MVC in Evansville.  They should make easy work of the Purple Aces, who are 6-23 pn the season and 2-16 in conference play.

Evansville looks to have quit on the regular season with four straight blowout losses by 26 to Southern Illinois, by 38 to Illinois-Chicago, by 13 to Murray State and by 34 to Belmont.  The Purple Aces have another game against Southern Illinois at home tomorrow to conclude their season, so they'll be far from 'all in' here.

Illinois State plays Belmont tomorrow and will likely be an underdog to the top team in the conference.  A win by the Beacons and a loss by the Redbirds would give them the bye.  Bet Valparaiso Saturday.

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1* Free Pick on Portland State +1½

Portland State is catching points in a matchup where they hold the clear schematic advantage.
The Vikings rely on a high-pressure defensive system that forces turnovers on nearly a quarter of all possessions.

Montana’s backcourt has been prone to mistakes when faced with a full-court press for 40 minutes.
The Grizzlies are playing their second game in three days and looked gassed at the end of their Thursday night contest.

Portland State plays a deep rotation and keeps fresh legs on the court to maintain their intensity.
That depth will be the deciding factor in the second half when Montana’s starters start to fade.

The Vikings are currently 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games as a road underdog.
They also lead the conference in offensive rebounding percentage and second-chance points.

Montana’s interior defense is vulnerable and lacks the size to keep the Vikings off the glass.
The Grizzlies have also seen their shooting efficiency dip over the last two weeks.

They are settling for low-percentage perimeter shots instead of attacking the paint.
Portland State is the more physical team and will win the battle for loose balls.

Free throw shooting is another edge for the visitors, as they rank near the top of the league in late-game situations.
Montana has struggled from the charity stripe recently, hitting under 70% as a unit.

Take the points with the more athletic and deeper squad in this spot.
The Vikings have the momentum and the style of play to win this game outright on the road.

Bet Portland State +1.5.

I have 10 premium NCAA-B selections ready for today’s action as I continue to identify the best value on the board. These plays represent my highest-rated research and most focused analysis for the current slate. You can view my complete daily card and long-term packages on my profile page.

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1* NCAAB - Gonzaga/St. Mary's FREE PICK on St. Mary's +130 (ML)

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Iowa State -9

The Key: The Texas Tech Red Raiders have been able to get by in their first 2 games without their best player in Jadyn Toppin (21.8 PPG, 10.8 RPG).  They won and covered at home against both Kansas State and Cincinnati.  But now they hit the road for the first time without Toppin, and they'll be playing at arguably the toughest place to play in the country.  Iowa State is 15-0 at home this season and hungry to keep that unbeaten record intact.  Take Iowa State.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Toronto Raptors -14

The Toronto Raptors will be motivated to bounce back from two consecutive losses to two of the best teams in the NBA in the Spurs and Thunder.  They have had the last two days off to recover, and they will take out their frustration on the tanking Washington Wizards tonight.  The Wizards are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall losing by 17 at home to the Hornets, and by 21 at the Hawks and by 30 at the Hawks.  They are sitting most of their best players with several others questionable in a blatant tanking job.  Give me the Raptors.

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BIG Saturday Card had the West Coast Conference Game of the Year, a TIER 1 Going Early a top total and NBA. NHL Comp play below.

The NHL Comp play is on Boston. Game 51 at 3:10 eastern. The Bruins are in a nice system here today that has cashed well over 75% for road teams with rest off a home favored win allowing at least 2 goals if they had 9 or more days rest prior to the win. Boston has won the last 3 in the series with Philadelphia and are red hot winning 12 of the last 13. The Flyers snuck past the Rangers on Thursday with a big 3rd period but have lost 4 of 5 playing off a win and have lost 7 of 8 at home. Look for Boston to get the win. GL Rob V-

This is a play on the LOYOLA MARYMOUNT LIONS for our Saturday Free Play. Loyola Marymount closes its season at home and it comes in with some momentum with two straight wins and can move as high as No. 6 in the conference standings. The Lions are 4-4 at home in the conference with two of those losses coming against St. Mary’s and Santa Clara and another against Oregon St. by just three points. Revenge is in play following a 10-point loss in Seattle last month and they are 4-1 in Quad 3 home games. Seattle was coming off a 2-1 homestand to close out its home portion of the schedule and is coming off a road win at 3-14 Pepperdine to move to 7-10 in the West Coast Conference. After going 3-0 on the road in the nonconference, the Redhawks have gone 1-7 in the conference outside of Seattle and now are either getting a short number or a pickem on the highway and are in auto fade after covering their last five games depending on that Pepperdine number. Seattle is 1-2 in Quad 3 road games, the only win coming at UC Davis by one point back in December. Play (794) Loyola Marymount Lions

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Kansas vs Arizona 
5-unit bet on the OVER priced as at 150.5 points 

NCAA Basketball Totals Algorithm 

10-UNIT MAX CBB Game of the Month goes tonight. 18-6 ATS 75% winners since Ju.y 12 across all sports. Bad kid by a perfect never-lost situation you will just love!

Algorithm Performance Overview 

Since 2015, this NCAA basketball betting algorithm has achieved a remarkable 57-26-2 record on OVER bets. This equates to a 69% win rate in qualifying situations, demonstrating its effectiveness in identifying games likely to exceed the posted total. 

Qualifying Criteria 

The bet is placed on  

The over in games where the home team is favored 

The home favorite has won at least 15 of their previous 20 games. 

The home favorite holds an overall winning percentage of 80% or greater. 

The game’s posted total falls between 150 and 160 points. 

The opposing team has a winning record. 

When all of these conditions are met, the algorithm recommends an OVER wager. The matchup fits the criteria, supporting a strong betting position on the posted total. 

Saturday's NBA Free Pick

PLAY ON: Raptors -13

In the super featherweight division, where power meets precision, Emanuel Navarrete steps into the ring against Eduardo "Sugar" Nunez this Saturday, February 28, at Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Arizona, aiming to unify the WBO and IBF titles, a bout that pits a battle-tested veteran against a knockout machine, highlighting the raw excitement of Mexican boxing rivalries. Navarrete, with a record of 39-2-1 including 32 knockouts, has proven his mettle across multiple weight classes, capturing world titles in super bantamweight, featherweight, and now super featherweight, relying on his awkward style, high volume punching, and relentless pressure that often overwhelms opponents over the distance. At 31 years old, standing 5'7" with a 72-inch reach, the orthodox fighter from Mexico has faced top competition, including notable wins over Isaac Dogboe, Joet Gonzalez, and Oscar Valdez, where his durability shone through, absorbing punishment while outworking foes in grueling exchanges. His most recent outing, a no-contest against Charly Suarez in May 2025 due to an accidental headbutt, still showcased his ability to control the pace, even if it ended prematurely, reminding bettors of his edge in chaotic, high-action fights.

On the other side, Eduardo "Sugar" Nunez enters with a sparkling 29-1 record, boasting 27 knockouts for a staggering 93% stoppage rate, a statistic that underscores his devastating power, particularly in a division known for explosive finishes. The 28-year-old orthodox puncher from Los Mochis, Mexico, measures 5'6" with a 68-inch reach, using his compact frame to deliver thunderous hooks and uppercuts, as evidenced by his 19-fight winning streak, including a unanimous decision over Christopher Diaz in September 2025 to retain his IBF belt. Nunez claimed the vacant IBF title in May 2025 with a decision victory over Masanori Rikiishi in Japan, proving he can go the distance when needed, though his career has largely been defined by early stoppages against lesser opposition, raising questions about his performance against elite, volume-based fighters.

Betting trends in boxing title unification bouts favor the more experienced fighter, even as an underdog, with data showing that in the last decade, challengers with multi-division pedigrees have upset favorites in roughly 35% of such matchups, often capitalizing on stamina and tactical adjustments in later rounds. In super featherweight specifically, where the average fight sees a 65% knockout rate due to the blend of speed and power, underdogs like Navarrete thrive when opponents rely heavily on early finishes, as seen in recent trends where volume punchers have won 60% of decisions in competitive 130-pound clashes. Overall boxing wagering patterns indicate that moneyline favorites in title fights cash at about 70%, but when the line sits around -190 as it does for Nunez, sharp action often flows to the plus-money side, especially in all-Mexican affairs known for their unpredictability and high engagement levels.

Key angles here revolve around stylistic contrasts, with Navarrete's unorthodox approach and superior reach potentially neutralizing Nunez's power, forcing the fight into deeper waters where the veteran's 254 career rounds of experience dwarf Nunez's 126, creating opportunities for a grind-it-out victory. Bettors should note Nunez's lone loss came via decision in 2018, exposing vulnerabilities against durable opponents, while Navarrete's two defeats were narrow decisions early in his career, since overcome by his adaptation in big spots. This matchup screams value on the underdog, particularly given super featherweight's trend toward longer fights in unification scenarios, where over 9.5 rounds has hit in 55% of recent examples.

For the top pick, back Navarrete on the moneyline at +150, a solid spot leveraging his championship pedigree in what figures to be a frenetic, crowd-pleasing war, where his volume and heart could turn the tide against Nunez's one-punch threat. For those chasing higher returns, consider Navarrete by decision around +300, aligning with trends where experienced fighters outlast power punchers in 12-rounders, avoiding the knockout risk while capitalizing on judges' preference for activity. Always wager responsibly, focusing on these angles to maximize edge in a division ripe for upsets.

Our selection is on the Dallas Stars to defeat the Nashville Predators on Saturday at 8:07pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Nashville did beat Chicago in it's first game back from the break. But, it's lost four of it's L5 games played on the road.

The Predators have not done well against the Stars, losing in four of the L14 games played against each other.

Dallas is a terrific 17-7-3 at home this year and those numbers improve to 10-2-2 against opponents within the Western Conference.

The Stars are also 12-4-1 in all games against opponents within the Central Division this year -- 5-0-1 at home.

We're on Dallas .

AAA Sports

Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's CBB Free Pick 

The Angle: Both teams have been trending under all season. Gonzaga is 8-2 to the under in its last 10, Saint Mary's 7-3 in its last 10, and the series is 2-8 O/U in the last 10 meetings. That's solid proof the books consistently overestimate the final score here. Add Gonzaga's 10-20 O/U record with totals of 140+ (1-5 under 150), and this line screams value.

The Bet: UNDER (3%).