Free Football Picks

1* Free Play on East Carolina/Memphis under 54½ -110

1* Free Pick on Patriots/Bears under 51 -110

Thursday's NBA Free Pick

PLAY ON: Nuggets +9.5

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Patriots +3 -110

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Free Pick on Patriots +3

The line says Chicago is the better team.

The season says otherwise, and the matchup detail that should scare you off the Patriots doesn't hold up.

New England is 4-2 and has won 4 of its last 5, averaging 25.2 points a game over that stretch.

Drake Maye threw 3 touchdown passes in Sunday's 26-19 win over the Jets, and A.J.

Brown is back in the lineup after missing four games.

Chicago is also 4-2, but the profile is softer.

The Bears are averaging just 18.2 points over their last 5 and got run off the field 31-7 in Green Bay two weeks ago.

The obvious concern is New England's offensive line.

Alijah Vera-Tucker and Ben Brown are both doubtful, Morgan Moses is questionable, and Mike Vrabel admitted "I think that Caleb will have to be ready to go at multiple positions."

Here's why that concern is overpriced: Chicago can't make them pay.

Montez Sweat is suspended through Week 7, and Dayo Odeyingbo, second on the team with 3 sacks, just went on IR.

The two best edge rushers on this roster are watching from home.

Backup guards against a gutted pass rush is a survivable spot.

Caleb Williams looked sharp in his return against Atlanta, but he now faces Christian Gonzalez and a Patriots secondary that has been the strength of this team, on a short week, against a better opponent than the Falcons.

Getting a field goal with the team playing better football is the value side.

I like the Patriots

Rocketman Sports FREE CFB play Thursday 10-22-26

Liberty @ Kennesaw State  (7:00 PM EST)
Play On:  Kennesaw State +9 1/2

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1* Best Bet on Bears -3

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on Alebrijes de Oaxaca +122

Thursday Card led by the NBA Masterpiece Collection side NBA OFF FAST 2-0, the Thursday night CFB Game of the Year from a 17-0 system and an NFL Perfect totals system. NHL Comp play below

The NHL Comp play for Thursday is on the St. Louis Blues at 8:10 eastern. A nice early season NHL Database system takes center stage here tonight as Rob see that Game 25 or earlier road favorites that allowed 6+ goals at home do not bounce back well vs .450 or better home teams that are off a home win. The Blues have done well thus far considering they have opened up with 6 of the first 9 on the road. In their home games they have 2 wins and an OT Loss. Vegas is just 1-4 as a road favorite off a home loss and an even worse 0-5 on the road after allowing 6+ goals at home with rest. Play on the Blues tonight. GL Rob V-

Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Take #387 Michigan State Spartans over UCLA Bruins (3:30 p.m., Saturday, October 24, CBS)

UCLA has been a pleasant surprise in the Big Ten this season, standing as the only unbeaten team in either the Big Ten or SEC. Still, this is a hefty number to lay with a backup quarterback. The Bruins were one-dimensional against Wisconsin, and I expect Michigan State to make running the football difficult again.

The Spartans are rebuilding under a new coach, but they’ve shown they can compete, taking Illinois and Northwestern down to the wire. I expect another competitive effort here, with Michigan State keeping the final margin within 7–10 points.

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Pure Lock's FREE CFB play Thursday 10-22-26

East Carolina +11

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Mikey Sports FREE CFB play Thursday 10-22-26

Appalachian State +11 1/2

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R&R Totals FREE NHL Over-Under Thursday 10-22-26

OVER 6 1/2 Florida/Pittsburgh

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1 Dimer on Patriots vs Bears under 51 -110

OVER 53.5

Detroit's offense is averaging nearly 33 PPG and Goff has been surgical with 12 TD passes and zero turnovers. Now he gets an extra week to prepare for a Green Bay defense whose recent improvement came against backup QBs and a struggling Dallas attack. That's a different assignment than dealing with this Lions offense. The problem for Detroit? Its defense is surrendering more than 400 yards per game, giving Love and Green Bay plenty of opportunities to answer. With Jacobs expected back, the Packers have another weapon to keep the scoreboard moving. This one has shootout written all over it. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER 53.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Sunday FREE NFL O/U Play

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The Bruins are 7-2-1 and have already shown they can separate at home (3-1-0). Nashville is 3-2-3, collecting points but still short on regulation wins and five-on-five consistency. The market is pricing the building more than the actual gap. A short home favorite against a team still finding its game is only a tax if the number gets fat. This one has not.

Boston is scoring roughly 3.4–3.6 goals per game and allowing about 2.2. Nashville is scoring 2.88 and allowing 2.75. The Bruins’ power play has been converting in the low-to-mid 20s. The Predators’ penalty kill sits around 85 percent early, but their five-on-five underlying numbers have lagged (expected goal share in the mid-40s in some samples). Boston’s five-on-five share has leaned their way. The building is the rest of the argument.

Bet the home team of 3 or fewer points in the moneyline when the opponent is under .500 through 10 games.

The home side’s record in that spot since the early 2010s: 41-27 (60.3%). At -110, 41 wins and 27 losses is +11.3 units, ROI = 16.6%. Boston is 7-2-1. Nashville is 3-2-3. The number is short. That is the exact look.

Bet the home favorite of -150 or shorter when the road team has allowed more than 3.0 goals per game (or sits near that threshold with uneven form).

The favorite’s record since 2015: 29-18 (61.7%). At -150, that is +4.7 units, ROI = 10.0%. Nashville’s early goals-against numbers have fluctuated but have not shown the sustained defensive consistency of the better clubs. Boston is the short home side. The juice is the filter. Shop it. If it walks past -165, leave it.

Additional matchup edges reinforce the spot. Jeremy Swayman has been excellent (roughly .928 save percentage, sub-2.00 GAA in his starts). Juuse Saros has been solid but more ordinary (.906, ~2.82 GAA). Boston is coming off a productive road trip that banked seven of eight points before an overtime loss in Dallas. Nashville is beginning a three-game road trip after a brief break and has a 1-0-2 road record so far. Recent head-to-head results are mixed (Predators took the last meeting 6-3 in Nashville in March 2026; Bruins won in overtime earlier that season), but the current form and venue favor the home side. Special-teams matchup is closer than the original read, yet Boston’s overall defensive structure and goaltending edge remain clear.

The crease is the last check. A backup in Boston changes little. A backup in Nashville does. The house does not care that one club is still under .500. The points are already on the sheet. The price is the rest.

My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over San Francisco at 1 pm et on Sunday.

We cashed a ticket fading the 49ers on Monday Night Football as they won but failed to cover against the Commanders. Still undefeated on the season, I think the Niners are ripe for the 'upset' as they head to Atlanta to take on the Falcons on Sunday afternoon. Atlanta is coming off a tough home loss to the Bears last week. That marked its second straight loss both SU and ATS and it has quickly fallen out of favor with most bettors following a brief surge that saw it win consecutive primetime games in Green Bay and New Orleans. I still think the Falcons are a good team with plenty of weapons on offense and a competitive defense led by an underrated coordinator in Jeff Ulbrich. Look for the Falcons to scheme up a gameplan to take San Francisco down to the wire at the very least on Sunday, noting that this will only be the Niners second true road game of the season (they won the other by a field goal in Seattle two weeks ago). Take Atlanta (8*).

Sharks vs Senators NHL Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Ottawa Senators are coming off an emotional 5-1 rout of Florida in Brady Tkachuk's much-hyped return, and now they have to turn around on the second night of a back-to-back. That's a classic letdown spot, and Ottawa will likely give Linus Ullmark the night off in favor of Samuel Ersson, who owns a .884 career save percentage.

The San Jose Sharks arrive with confidence after an overtime win in Montreal. Macklin Celebrini has five goals in eight games, the power play is converting at 24.2%, and Alex Nedeljkovic has been sharp in net.

The Bet: Sharks ML (3%): 

Ricky's 1* play on VAN.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Red Wings are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games.

- The Canucks are 4-2 ATS in the last 6 head to head meetings.

- The Red Wings are 0-3 ATS in their last 3  road games.

Verdict: The value is on the home Underdog.

Free Pick on Liberty -9 -110

FREE PLAY on Patriots +3