Free Football Picks

Ricky's 1* play on TB.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Rays are 3-0 in their last 3 games.

- The Diamondbacks are 2-4 in their last 6 games.

- The Rays are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Washington Nationals +106

The Washington Nationals will be highly motivated for a victory today after dropping four straight overall coming into this Game 2 against their Interleague rivals in the Baltimore Orioles.  The Nationals have been the most profitable road team in baseball going 24-17 (+16.2 Units) on the highway this season.  They are led by one of the best offenses in the majors scoring 5.3 runs per game.

Foster Griffin is the clear ace of their staff and I'll gladly back him as an underdog today.  Griffin is 8-2 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 16 starts this season with 89 K's in 91 1/3 innings.  He has allowed one earned run or fewer in four consecutive starts.

Brandon Young is 6-2 with a 3.48 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 12 starts for the Orioles this season.  He is clearly due some regression with just 49 K's in 67 1/3 innings.  Young allowed 2 earned runs and 8 base runners in 3 2/3 innings in his lone career start against the Nationals, which came on May 17th earlier this season.

Washington is 7-3 in its last 10 meetings with Baltimore with six of those wins coming as underdogs.  Bet the Nationals Saturday.

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Jack Jones has SIX Top-10 MLB Finishes (#4 2024, #8 2023, #5 2019, #6 2014, #6 2010, #4 2009) to his credit! He finished as the No. 8 Ranked MLB Capper in 2023 with his $1,000/game players up $21,110 in 2023! He backed it up by finishing as the No. 4 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with $1,000/game players up $34,230! He has delivered a 274-216 MLB Run since last season!

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Free Total Annihilator On Mariners vs Guardians under 8 -114

Free Play on Storm +8½ -105

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Angels -105

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

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Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Minnesota Twins.

Game 980.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

There wasn’t too much expected of the Colorado Rockies this season. And yet, they are still underachieving. At 32-50, the Rockies possess the worst record in all of baseball. They dwell in the National League West cellar, 20.0-games back. Their lineup has been decent, posting solid numbers. But their pitching staff ranks dead last in the Majors in team ERA, WHIP, and quality starts. Throw into the mix that their defense ranks 22nd in errors, committing 48 miscues already, and that is a recipe for disaster. They did compete in the series-opener yesterday, but fell short, 9-8. This is a team that does not travel well, possessing one of the poorest road records in baseball at 14-28 away from home in 2026. Meanwhile, the Minnesota Twins are starting to show some signs of life. They sit in third place in the American League Central division, 4.5-games back, at 39-44. If it wasn’t for a three-game home sweep at the hands of the Los Angeles Dodgers earlier this week, they would own a winning record at Target Field. Their lineup has been very consistent, ranking in the top-10 and just about every major category. But just like their opponent, their pitching staff has left a lot to be desired. But today’s schedule starters compels me to side with them. Michael Lorenzen and Mike Paredes are slated. The Rockies right-hander owns some downright ugly numbers, going 2-9 with a whopping ERA of 7.10 on the season. Away from home it’s just as ugly, sporting a 1-5 record with a 6.05 ERA. Against American League foes in 2026, he is just 1-2. The Twins right-hander has yet to earn a decision this season, going 0-0 with a 4.05 ERA. He has made just three starts, and an overall five appearances. However, in his three turns, the team has won all three of his outings. I don’t expect him to go further than the fourth or fifth inning. But I do feel the Minny lineup will give him the run support he needs to get his first victory of the campaign. Take the Minnesota Twins. Thank you.

1* on Storm +8½

ASA WNBA play on Indiana Fever -6.5 vs. LA Sparks, 8pm ET - Obviously no Caitlyn Clark tonight as her feud with head coach Stephanie White continues but the Sparks are missing Kelsey Plum which is a bigger negative impact for L.A. than it Clark is for Indiana. We’re not dimishing Clark, it’s the fact that the Fever are deeper and can overcome her loss for a game or two. The Sparks on the other hand showed the other night just how tough it is to win without Plum after getting beat 125-97 by the expansion Tempo. Indiana will still get scoring from Kelsey Mitchell (21.4ppg) and rebounding from Aliyah Boston (8.6rpg) but L.A. will have a tough time making up for Plum’s 23.9ppg and 6.4 assists per game. Not to mention, they’re also missing one of their best defenders in Cameron Brink. Indiana has the 7th best average scoring differential of +2.8ppg, the Sparks rank 9th with a negative average +/- of minus -4.4ppg. L.A. has a middle-of-the pack offense, the Fever are roughly the same defensively. The big difference comes with the Sparks horrible defense trying to stop the Fevers offense. Indiana has the 2nd best offensive Net rating in the league, the Sparks are 14th out of 15 teams in defensive Net ratings. Indiana has the 3rd best FG% offense in the league at 46.7% and rank 5th in 3PT% at 35.6%. The Sparks allow teams to hit 47.8% of their field goal attempts (15th) and 33.9% of their 3’s (6th worst). Indiana is capable of filling the void of Clark, the Sparks don’t have anyone to fill Plum’s shoes in this one.

TOP PLAY Saturday headlines with a BIG CFL TOTAL, 3X PERFECT WNBA, World Cup Power Side and MLB 100% BLOWOUT Side. Comp play below

The Saturday World Cup Play is on the Under 2.5 goals in the Portugal vs Columbia match in Group K action. Both teams are in to the knockout stage and this game likely decides the group win. Portugal is a top level offensive team that generates a plethora of scoring chances. However they take on a Columbia team that is very difficult to score on and has won 7 of 8 group stage matches. They completely shut down Congo DR Last out and Ronaldo who netted 2 for Portugal in their last game wont have the space here like he did vs Uzbekistan. The game will be played in Miami where it will be hot and humid and both teams are on shorter than usual rest having played Tuesday. Look for a very tactical game here that stays under. GL Rob V-

1* Free Play on Sparks/Fever over 178½ -110

1* FREE INFO PLAY Salamat Isbulaev +124

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Rockies/Twins OVER 9.5

The Twins are 52-30-1 OVER in all games this season and 20-8-1 OVER in their last 29 games.  They have finished with 9 or more combined runs in 19 of their last 26 games and 10 or more in 18 of those.  The Rockies and their opponents have gone for at least 9 combined runs in 18 of their last 25 games.  Lorenzen has been awful at 2-9 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  Paredes has a 4.05 ERA in 20 innings this season and a 7.36 ERA at home.  Both bullpens have been poor too with Minnesota having a 5.42 ERA and Colorado a 4.99 ERA this season.  Give me the OVER.

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1* Best Bet on A's +103

No analysis provided.

Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Saturday 6-27-26

San Diego +177 (Yamamoto/Vasquez) Listed

Join Pure Lock with his Money Line on Diamondbacks v. Rays!

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Mikey Sports FREE WNBA play Saturday 6-27-26

Atlanta -8

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R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Saturday 6-27-26

OVER 8 Chicago Cubs/Milwaukee (Peterson/Harrison) Listed

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I've been buried in these World Cup group stage finales longer than I'd like to admit, crunching the numbers and watching how motivation, form, and little edges play out under the lights. This Colombia versus Portugal clash at Hard Rock Stadium has all the ingredients of a spot where the market might be sleeping on the value. Colombia to win outright isn't some wild swing, it's the calculated play that stands out when you line up the recent trends, defensive metrics, and the unique dynamics of a final group game. Portugal brings the star power, but Colombia has been the more balanced, disciplined side, and the setup gives them every chance to pull off the result.

Colombia arrives with six points from two wins: a 3-1 victory over Uzbekistan that saw goals from three different contributors and a hard-fought 1-0 over DR Congo that locked in progression with a clean sheet. Across the tournament, they've scored four goals and conceded just one, 0.5 goals against per 90 minutes. Zoom out to their last five competitive matches and you get four wins, one loss, 10 goals scored, and five conceded. The attack spreads the load beautifully: right-back Daniel Muñoz has already notched two tournament goals (that's fullback production most teams would kill for), Luis Díaz adds pace and a goal of his own, and James Rodríguez orchestrates from midfield like the veteran mathematician he is. Their scoring distribution, multiple sources chipping in,creates a higher floor than teams reliant on one or two finishers.

Portugal sits on four points after a 1-1 draw with DR Congo (late concession after leading) and a 5-0 rout of Uzbekistan featuring a Cristiano Ronaldo brace that bumped his World Cup tally deeper into double digits. Their last five show four wins and a draw, 12 goals scored, and only three conceded. Impressive firepower, no question, but that opening draw revealed cracks against organized, physical resistance. In the group, their +5 goal difference looks strong, yet it includes easier matchups, while Colombia's +3 has come with elite defensive efficiency and tougher tests. This is their first-ever senior meeting, so no historical baggage, just current form meeting situational pressure.

The trends favor the side that doesn't have to chase. In World Cup group finales, teams already qualified and able to secure top spot with a draw often settle into controlled, low-event games rather than all-out wars. Colombia can play for that point while still threatening on the break, especially with Miami's Colombian faithful turning the stadium into a cauldron of support. Portugal must push for the win to leapfrog them, which opens lanes for counters through Díaz's speed and Muñoz's overlapping runs. It's the classic chaser-versus-protector formula, and the numbers tilt toward the protector when defensive deltas are this favorable (Colombia's 0.5 GA/90 versus Portugal's occasional vulnerabilities in tighter spaces).

Humor me for a second: Portugal's attack is like that flashy sports car roaring down the highway, Ronaldo at the wheel, Bruno Fernandes navigating, but Colombia's defense is the well-placed speed bump that reminds expensive machinery it still has to obey the laws of physics. Their structure under Néstor Lorenzo has been a joy to watch for anyone who appreciates organization over individual fireworks. Add in the distributed goal involvement (Muñoz from the back, midfield creativity, wide threats) and you get a side that's hard to break down and capable of punishing overcommitment. At big plus money on Colombia to win, you're getting implied odds around 52 percent on a team with a recent points-per-game clip near 2.2–2.4 in competitive windows, positive goal difference, and the tactical profile to exploit a must-win opponent.

This isn't about ignoring Portugal's quality, they can absolutely win on talent alone, but the context, the trends, and the metrics point to Colombia having the higher floor and the better spot. I've seen enough of these deciders to know that when the eye test, the defensive efficiency, and the motivation mismatch align, you lean into the value. Colombia to win feels like one of those plays where the smart money quietly accumulates because the public is distracted by the big names.

. Respect the process, size it smart, shop for your best lines and enjoy the match. These Cafeteros have earned the backing, and nights like this are why we dig into the details in the first place.

If your not feeling as brave as me take the Asian Handicap and proceed to the cashiers window.

My selection is on Colorado over Minnesota at 7:10 pm et on Saturday.

We'll take a flyer on the Rockies on Saturday as they look to respond following last night's wild, high-scoring affair in Minnesota. Michael Lorenzen won't draw much support from bettors but he's pitched well lately, allowing exactly one earned run in two of his last three starts. While Colorado has struggled this season, it does rank sixth in the majors in wOBA against right-handed pitching and it will face a righty in Mike Paredes on Saturday. Parades has pitched well in his first three starts - all Twins victories - but he's not a candidate to work deep into the ball game with his longest outing lasting just five innings. When it comes down to it I don't think there's much to choose between the two starters here and I have enough confidence in the Rockies offense to get them over the hump on Saturday. Take Colorado (8*).

AAA Sports' Selection: Los Angeles Dodgers (ML).

Los Angeles will start Yoshinobu Yamamoto -- He's been fantastic this season and has a 2.01 earned run average in June so far.

Yamamoto also has the 2nd best WHIP amongst all big league starting pitchers this season (0.87).

The Dodgers have won four of their L5 games with him on the mound, all by more than a run.

San Diego will start Randy Vasquez -- He has been the opposite of Yoshinobu, with a 7.27 earned run average in June.

The Padres are just 6-13 over the L19 games between these two teams as well.

The play is on LAD.

Nationals vs Orioles MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): After dropping Friday's opener 3-1, the Washington Nationals find themselves on a rare four-game losing streak. However, this team has been an absolute cash cow for bettors all season, and the current market creates a prime bounce-back opportunity to lock in considerable plus-money value on the visitors.

The Nationals hand the ball to left-hander Foster Griffin (8-2, 3.15 ERA), who has quietly compiled a stellar 2026 campaign. Washington has been incredibly profitable with Griffin on the bump, winning 4 of his last 5 starts. During that sensational stretch, Griffin has registered a microscopic 2.15 ERA. 

Baltimore counters with Brandon Young (6-2, 3.07 ERA), and while his record and ERA look flawless on the surface, his structural metrics hint at regression. Young sports a higher WHIP compared to Griffin, indicating he routinely dances around heavier base traffic.

The Trend: The Orioles are 1-7 as home favorites against left-handed starters. 

The Bet: NATIONALS (3%). 

Free Pick on Rockies +125

FREE PLAY on Austria +240