Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on Valparaiso over 136½ -110

Free Total Annihilator On UC San Diego vs CS-Fullerton under 156½ -105

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Michigan -8½ -115

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Ricky's 1* play on NMSU.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- New Mexico State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games played in March.

- Jacksonville State is 1-5 in its last 6 games.

- Jacksonville State is 1-4 in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Conference USA conference.

Verdict: The value is on the Home favorite.

The Timberwolves have a tendency to play down to the level of their competition. It is a reason why they have the second-worst point spread mark in the NBA at 26-36 (42 percent). They are 3-9 ATS in their last dozen games.

The Raptors should be highly motivated for this game. Not only are they off an embarrassing blowout loss to the Knicks, but they have revenge for a 128-126 home loss suffered to the Timberwolves on Feb. 4. Toronto blew an 18-point lead in that loss.

Since then, Toronto has gone 5-4 with the defeats coming to the Knicks, Spurs Thunder and Pistons. Those four teams are a combined 108 games above .500.  The Raptors are a scrappy 35-26 and have a top-10 defense. They can hang here, if not pull the outright upset. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is enjoying great success across the board going 17-4-1 on his last 22 premium/free hockey plays, 16-7 on his last 23 NBA premium plays and 11-2 on his past 13 college basketball premium/free plays. Don't miss any of Stephen's winners.) 

Sens -155

Ottawa is worth a free move against Calgary. The Flames hold one of the worst offenses in the league at 2.45 gpg and they have struggled as a whole to produce any sort of good looks. They don’t possess the puck well and they’re reeling with 3 straight losses. Ottawa continues to impress and this is a good bounce back spot for them after blowing a 3rd period lead to Edmonton. They still managed 4 goals and they put up 3.30 gpg on average this season. Back the Sens. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the SENS ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Thursday FREE NHL ML Play

1-2 WEDNESDAY! 151-106 59% +3592 since Mid-Dec! The board is live and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for Thur$day, and today’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a Top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he's locked in right now. Clients are cashing, the consistency is showing, and he's climbing the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.

*Free Play Under* The MAAC Tournament has been great to under bettors in recent seasons. Boardwalk Hall is a large arena and these guys aren't used to shooting in this type of arena. This is a very high total to reach, and neither team plays particularly fast. Take the under here.

(140-90 CBB this season. 3 straight NBA winners. Thursday Night 3 Pack is up for $17 per play) 

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Arkansas State -7.5

I was on Georgia Southern -2 yesterday as the Eagles earned a hard-fought 88-84 victory over Old Dominion in their Sun Belt Tournament opener.  I'll be fading the Eagles today for many of the same reasons I was on them yesterday.

Now it's Arkansas State with a rest advantage after earning a bye into this round.  Georgia Southern will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day on tired legs.  Spudd Webb played 39 minutes and Alden Applewhite 37 minutes yesterday for the Eagles.

Arkansas State ranks 10th in adjusted tempo and 6th in average length of offensive possession and will test those tired legs by playing with pace.  The Red Wolves closed strong going 7-1 SU in their final eight games with their lone loss coming in OT to South Alabama.  They are fully healthy coming into this tournament and are the best team in the conference from a net rating perspective.

Arkansas State beat Georgia Southern 85-68 on the road in their lone meeting this season.  I think it will be more of the same in the rematch given their rest advantage heading into the Sun Belt Tournament.  Bet Arkansas State Thursday.

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Jack is the No. 1 Ranked NBA Capper All-Time on this network and he has delivered a 393-305 CBB Run since last season! He followed up a 10-3 Tuesday with a 9-2 Wednesday and a HOT 19-5 Run L2 Days on all premium plays! This money train stays right on track with Jack's Thursday 5-Play Power Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge are a pair of top play winners in his 20* CBB DOG OF THE MONTH along with his 20* CBB TOTAL OF THE MONTH as he adds to his 44-23 Run on all top plays rated 20* or higher! You'll receive 1 NBA & 4 CBB plays in all upon purchase tonight folks!

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1* Free Pick on Southern Miss +2½

Southern Miss is catching points at home in a spot where they have a massive situational edge. The Golden Eagles have been a dominant force at Reed Green Coliseum and play their best basketball in front of this home crowd.

James Madison comes into this matchup with a flashy record, but they are walking into a defensive trap. Southern Miss excels at grinding the game down and forcing high-tempo teams to play in the half-court.

The Dukes rely on transition points and a fast pace to stay ahead of the curve. Southern Miss ranks near the top of the Sun Belt in limiting fast-break opportunities and controlling the defensive glass.

James Madison has been on the road for the better part of the last week. This is their third game in a short window and the fatigue is starting to show in their perimeter shooting percentages.

Southern Miss is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games when listed as a home underdog. They have the physical presence in the paint to stop James Madison from getting easy looks at the rim.

This is a major revenge spot for the Golden Eagles after a tough loss earlier in the season. They have the defensive discipline to frustrate the Dukes' primary ball-handlers and force late-clock turnovers.

James Madison’s eFG% drops significantly when they play away from their home floor. Southern Miss will win the battle at the free-throw line and dictate the flow of the game from the opening tip.

Bet Southern Miss +2.5 (-120).

I have seven premium releases available for today's action across MLB, NBA, and college basketball. You can find my complete card and detailed analysis for these plays on my handicapper page.

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1* NBA - Michigan/Iowa FREE PICK on Iowa +9.5

Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Pepperdine +2.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Pepperdine Waves as underdogs to Portland tonight.  The Waves are playing great going 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and they are very healthy right now.  The Pilots have gone the other direction at 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall with their lone win coming against the worst team in the WCC in San Diego at home.  These teams just met on February 18th with Pepperdine pulling the 95-87 upset as 7.5-point road dogs.  Take Pepperdine.

1* FREE INFO PLAY Utah Valley vs Southern Utah over 150 -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Toronto Raptors +5

The Toronto Raptors have been a money maker on the road this season going 19-10 SU & 17-12 ATS in all road games.  The Minnesota Timberwolves have been money burners at home going 21-11 SU & 13-19 ATS.  Anthony Edwards has been downgraded to questionable tonight, and this line will drop even further if he's ruled out.  It seems as though he will be ruled out given the downgrade.  Give me the Raptors.

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Massive Thursday Card up with Big CBB TOTAL Steam move, a 24-2 Conf Tournament Side, a BIG 6* Late NBA Play and more. Comp play below

The Thursday Comp play is on Utah Valley at 8:30 eastern. The Wolverines are 1st in the WAC and have won 7 of the last 8. This is their 3rd meeting with Southern Utah this Year. They beat them by 17 at home then lost as a 12 point favorite by 14 points on the road. Southern Utah is off a big revenge win over Utah Tech last out but should not be too confident here and looking at this odd scheduling scenario we see that March Road favorites of 6 or more are 100% perfect to the spread if they lost as a road favorite of 5 or more in the last meeting between the two teams. Also let me add this nuggets. Utah Valley is 22-0 to the spread as a favorite between -2 and -10 if they have rest of less than 7 days and Revenge for a favored loss. Play on Utah Valley. GL Rob V-

This is a play on the PORTLAND PILOTS for our Thursday Free Play. This line opened at 3.5 and has come down to under a possession which creates value for the Pilots. Portland finished 6-12 in the West Coast Conference and obviously the big storyline was the home upset over Gonzaga which got its revenge in the second to last game of the season by 41 points. The majority of the losses for the Pilots were blowouts but we certainly do not see that happening here in what is a double-revenge spot as they lost both regular season meetings against Pepperdine. The Waves finished 4-12 with the other two wins coming by one point at home over Loyola Marymount and the other at home over Washington St. in the season finale which meant little for the Cougars. Pepperdine has the worst defense and the second worst offense in the conference in terms of efficiency and we just do not see this team advancing. Play (818) Portland Pilots

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Pure Lock's FREE CBB play Thursday 3-5-26

Memphis +7

Pure Lock has a TOP CBB play available on Thursday on the Tulsa/East Carolina. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 122-101 (55%) run over his last 224 basketball picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $10,450 since February 13, 2025!

Mikey Sports FREE CBB Play Thursday 3-5-26

Missouri State +2 1/2

Mikey Sports is on an INCREDIBLE 89-65 (58%) run over his last 156 basketball picks! $1,000/game clients now up $16,860 since November 18, 2025!  Mikey has THREE TOP 10* CBB BIG TICKETS and a 6* CBB play for Thursday!  

R&R Totals FREE CBB Over-Under Thursday 3-5-26

UNDER 165 1/2 Cal State Northridge/Cal State Bakersfield

Join R&R Totals with his total on Lindenwood v. SE Missouri State!

Thursday's NBA Free Pick

PLAY ON: Nuggets -5 

In the bustling world of mixed martial arts betting, where underdogs often deliver the most thrilling payouts, Cody Garbrandt emerges as a compelling choice against Long Xiao this Saturday, March 7, at plus-130 odds, offering savvy bettors a chance to capitalize on a veteran fighter's proven skills amid shifting trends in the bantamweight division. Garbrandt, boasting a professional record of 14 wins and 7 losses, brings a wealth of experience from his days as a former champion, his striking landing at a 39 percent accuracy rate, while absorbing fewer blows per minute compared to many in his weight class, which could prove crucial against an opponent known for aggressive forward pressure. Recent betting patterns show that underdogs in prelim bouts have cashed in around 40 percent of the time over the last two years, particularly when facing prospects with high-volume striking but vulnerabilities in defense, a scenario that aligns perfectly with this matchup, as Garbrandt's quick hands and counterpunching have historically dismantled fighters who overcommit early.

Delving deeper into the angles, Garbrandt's boxing pedigree stands out, honed through years of high-level competition, allowing him to exploit gaps in aggressive styles like Xiao's, who averages 5.25 significant strikes per minute but has shown susceptibility in recent unanimous decision losses, including one where he outstruck his foe yet failed to secure the win. With both men standing at 5 feet 8 inches, Xiao holds a 5-inch reach advantage at 70 inches to Garbrandt's 65, yet statistics reveal that such edges often diminish against boxers who close distance effectively, as Garbrandt has done in his 60 percent knockout rate among victories, turning the tide in chaotic exchanges. Betting trends further favor this upset potential, with veterans over 30 years old bouncing back in 35 percent of underdog spots against younger talents in the 135-pound class, especially when the favorite has a bloated record padded by decisions rather than finishes, much like Xiao's 27-10 ledger that includes only 5 knockouts despite his volume.

As the fight approaches , bettors should consider the intangible factors, such as Garbrandt's motivation following back-to-back setbacks, contrasted with Xiao's youth at 27 years old, which brings energy but also inexperience in big-stage prelims, where crowd energy and pace can overwhelm. Historical data from similar clashes indicates that when a former titleholder faces a rising star with a striking differential, the underdog prevails more often than odds suggest, particularly if the bout stays standing, where Garbrandt's 2.88 strikes landed per minute mask his efficiency in bursts that lead to stoppages. This pick isn't just about raw numbers, though, it's about recognizing value in a line that undervalues resilience, making Garbrandt's path to victory through sharp counters and veteran savvy a bet worth pursuing in a division ripe for surprises.

My selection is on Bucknell plus the points over Navy at 7 pm et on Thursday.

To say Navy is in uncharted territory would be an understatement. The Midshipmen have won 13 straight games including 12 in a row ATS. They've already won and covered twice against Bucknell this season. We'll go the contrarian route here, however, as back the Bison with a boatload of points. I like the consistency Bucknell has shown offensively of late. The Bison have connected on 25 or more field goals in three straight games and 22 or more in seven in a row. On the flip side, you would have to go back to January 31st to find the last time an opponent eclipsed 30 made field goals against them - that coming in an overtime win at Boston University. While Navy certainly owns the better overall record in this matchup this season, Bucknell has faced the considerably more difficult schedule by most metrics. Take Bucknell (8*).

1* on Valparaiso -3

Jazz vs Wizards NBA Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Utah Jazz are 37-25 to the over on the season but 16-11 to the under as road underdogs, 70% to the under against teams from the East. Thw Washington Wizards are 33-28 to the over overall but 13-9 (60%) to the under against teams from the West. Eight of the last 10 meetings in this series have gone over the total but this is just too big of a number IMO. 

The Bet: UNDER (3%). 

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Free Pick on SE Missouri State -1½ -110