Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on Orioles under 8½ +100

Ricky's 1* play on TOR.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Blue Jays are 7-3 in their last 10 games.

- The Blue Jays are 7-3 in the last 10 head to head meetings.

- Jose Soriano is 4-1 in his last 5 starts for the Blue Jays.

Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Houston Astros +124

I like the spot for the Houston Astros tonight.  They had Monday off while the Philadelphia Phillies were completing their 4-game series with the rival Atlanta Braves yesterday.  The Phillies now have a pretty taxed bullpen after four straight tight games with the Braves in what was their most important series of the season.  This has letdown written all over it tonight.

The Astros have the advantage on the mound tonight and should not be underdogs as a result.  Hayden Wesneski is 4-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in seven starts for the Astros this season, allowing just 14 earned runs and 2 homers in 39 2/3 innings.  He has been dominant in his last three starts, allowing just one earned run in 17 innings for a 0.53 ERA during this stretch.

Andrew Painter is the weakest link in this Philadelphia rotation.  He is 3-8 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 19 starts and two relief appearances this season.  Painter is 2-5 with a 5.81 ERA and 1.35 WHIP at home, allowing 31 earned runs and 8 homers in 48 innings.  Houston is 4-0 in its last four meetings with Philadelphia.  Bet the Astros Tuesday.

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Tuesday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Brewers -1.5 (+100) 

1* Free Pick on Seahawks -3½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* MLB - Astros/Phillies FREE PICK on Astros +130 

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Diamondbacks/Royals under 9½ -120

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Best Bet on Guardians +110

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on Angels +131

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #344 Syracuse Orange over California Golden Bears (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 12 ACC Network) Both teams have a game under their belt and we will follow the line movement in this game. Cal has a new coach and system and they fell apart last week in Berkely, being outscored 21-0 by UCLA to lose by 21 points. I do not have much confidence in this team and feel Ron Rivera is in over his head as general manager. Syracuse got some confidence last week destroying New Hampshire and they did win at Cal in 2024 in route to a 10 win season. I see them bouncing back this year and making a bowl game. They should be able to win this game by double digits. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays football, soccer, and tennis. Sign-up now with a long term package and let 55 years of handicapping experience work for you.

R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Tuesday 9-8-26

OVER 7 1/2 LA Angels/Boston

R&R Totals has a TOP MLB Over-Under for Tuesday! Now an impressive 1284-1102 (54%) over his last 2605 MLB picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $92,610 since October 09, 2013!

R&R Totals has a TOP NFL Over-Under for Sunday! Now an impressive 181-155 (54%) over his last 353 OVERALL picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $8,300 since March 19, 2026!

1* Free Pick on Padres -173

Lions -7

Locking this in early. Analysis to follow.

Sunday FREE NFL ATS Play

50-36 NFL sides run! 410-351 54% +2337 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 5× Play Week 1 NFL Card going up, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Forty-four and a half is a quiet number until you remember who is walking into NRG on Sunday. Buffalo at Houston, 1:00 Eastern, Week 1, a pick’em dressed up like a heavyweight and a total that already admits this should look like 24-17, not 31-28. The public hears Josh Allen and starts adding touchdowns. The board heard Houston’s front and hung 44.5 like it meant it.

Last year the Bills went 12-5 and scored 481 points, 28.3 a night, tied for fourth in the league. That tape is real. So is a road opener in a building that has treated Allen like a tourist. Including the postseason he is 1-4 against this franchise with a 55.4 percent completion rate. That is not a curse you put on a poster. That is a completion percentage that lives in the 200s and a lot of third-and-long. Houston went 12-5 as well. The Texans were 7-11-1 to the total. Buffalo was 10-8-1. One of those clubs already knew how to keep a Sunday from turning into a track meet.

Week 1 is not January. First real snaps, first real crowd, first real script that has not been stress-tested since the spring. Openers lean under for a reason. Coaches call it safe. Quarterbacks check it down. Clock becomes the whole ticket. A 23-17 Texans win cashes 44.5 in its sleep. A 24-20 Bills win cashes. A 27-13 still has a pulse. The scores that beat it are the ones where both quarterbacks start slinging it in the fourth quarter of an opener because somebody panicked. That is not how this spot usually ages, and it is not how NRG usually ages when Buffalo is in town.

You do not need a defensive struggle that looks like 9-6. You need this to stay out of a late auction. Allen can still be the best player on the field and the under still gets paid. Stroud can still look like a franchise and the under still gets paid. The number is not asking you to fade talent. It is asking you to fade rust plus a Houston defense that does not need permission to hit.

Pertinent ledger from last season, the kind that lives on a football reference page if you want to stare at it: Bills 481 points in 17 games, 28.3 a night, 12-5, 19 giveaways. Texans 12-5, 12 giveaways, second-fewest in the league. Combined that is two grown clubs, not a cupcake and a bully. Combined they were not a 50-point problem every Sunday. Houston’s total record already told you that. Buffalo’s scoring average is the trap. People take 28.3, add a home dome, and forget that 28.3 was earned across a year, not on the first Sunday in somebody else’s building.

The public will smash Allen props and the over because the logo travels and the quarterback sells tickets. Let them. A 220-yard Allen night and a 210-yard Stroud night with a couple of field goals is an honest opener. James Cook can still eat and the total can still sit down. The ticket is not “nobody scores.” The ticket is “nobody turns this into a shootout before the rust comes off.”

Sit on 44.5. If the number drips to 43.5 it gets cleaner. If they hang 46.5, the edge is thinner and you can live without it. Sunday’s ticket is the under, not the chalk, not the revenge poster, not the first-game narrative that always sounds smarter on Saturday night.

Bet under the total in Week 1 games posted 45.5 or lower.

The Under’s record since the 2025 season: 12-7 (63.2%) with an average over/under of 43.8. (+4.1 units, ROI=19.7%)

Bet under the total in Bills road games against a 12-win defense.

That spot since 2023: 7-3 (70.0%) with an average over/under of 46.1. (+3.5 units, ROI=31.8%)

Bet under 45 in Week 1 games that open as a pick’em or inside a field goal.

That spot since 2024: 9-5 (64.3%) with an average over/under of 44.2. (+3.4 units, ROI=22.1%)

Bet under the total when Josh Allen plays in Houston.

That spot since 2022: 4-1 (80.0%) with an average over/under of 46.8. (+2.7 units, ROI=49.1%)

Confirm the number is still 44.5 closer to kick. Confirm both clubs are still listing the names you expect. Then take the under and let everybody else argue about a one-point spread in Week 1. Enjoy the early window. Bet the total. Let the logos yell at each other while the clock does the work.

Player Prop bets :Josh Allen’s passing line is sitting around 221.5. Take the under. He can still win the game and live in the 190s if Houston’s front gets him off schedule.

C.J. Stroud is around 218.5 passing yards. Same lean. Under. A home opener against Buffalo does not require 250. It requires 205 and a couple of scores.

Allen under 1.5 passing touchdowns is the other quarterback ticket. One through the air and a field-goal night is an honest road opener in this building.

James Cook around 73.5 rushing yards is the over that still fits the under. If this stays on the ground, he eats clock and the total still cashes.

My selection is on Cincinnati minus the points over Tampa Bay at 1 pm et on Sunday.

We saw considerable regression from the Buccaneers down the stretch last season as they ultimately missed the playoffs after having it set up on a platter for them in the down-trodden NFC South. So obviously Tampa Bay has a chip on its shoulder entering the 2026 campaign but I'm not sure that will make a lick of difference. I think we're going to see the Bucs get involved in their share of shootouts again this year and in the season opener, that suits Cincinnati just fine. The Bengals finally have QB Joe Burrow healthy to start a season and he has all the weapons around him he needs to take his team on a 'Super Bowl of bust' type of run this year. The big news is that Cincinnati finally made some moves to bolster its much-maligned defense. I think the Bengals defense is well-positioned to come up with the splash plays needed to ultimately pull away in this particular contest. Bettors are hesitant to back the Bengals in Week 1 given their early season futility in recent years. I think this is a team with a fresh outlook, however, and one that brings a lot of optimism into its home opener. Take Cincinnati (8*).

Our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers to defeat the Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday at 10:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Cincinnati will start Nick Lodolo -- His earned run average is in the 5.00's this season and that's a bad recipe against LAD.

The Reds are just 41-58 against opponents within the National League this year.

Los Angeles will start Tarik Skubal -- He has some of the best statistics in the MLB again here in 2026.

The Dodgers are still one of the top teams in the MLB with a 45-28 record here at home.

We're on LAD.

AAA Sports

FREE PLAY on Angels/Red Sox under 7½