Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on Gonzaga -5½ -110

*Free Play on Texas* Sean Miller is 11-4 ATS when coaching in the NCAA Tournament on just one day of rest for his team. He has been great at these short turnaround situations. Texas certainly has flaws, but Gonzaga isn't the same team without Braden Huff. They have had several close wins against teams they should have easily beaten. The Longhorns have length and athleticism to bother the Zags here. On the underdog. 

(15-2 Last 17 CBB plays. CBB 100% Angle Crusher is up for Saturday and it is backed by a 7-0 angle. Join in!) 

Ricky's 1* play on ILL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- VCU is 1-8 in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.

- Illinois is 15-5 in its last 20 games.

- Illinois is 14-4 in its last 18 games played in March.

Verdict: The value is on the favorite.

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 3/21:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Saturday is with Arkansas minus the points versus High Point in the Round of 32 in the NCAA Tournament. Arkansas (27-8) has won six games in a row after their 97-78 victory against Hawai’i as a 14.5-point favorite on Thursday. The Razorbacks have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games as a double-digit favorite. They have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games with the Total set in the 160s. High Point (31-4) has won 15 games in a row after their 83-82 upset victory against Wisconsin as a 10.5-point underdog on Thursday. The Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing for the second time in three days on the road. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games with the Total set in the 160s. Take Arkansas minus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports improved their 12 of 16 (75%) CBB Game of the Year/Month sides mark by DELIVERING their 25* CBB Round of 64 Game of the Year on Miami (FL) last night! Frank is on a 13 of 19 (68%) college basketball run that fuels his 18 of 27 (67%) CBB winning streak! Now Frank furthers his 12 of 17 (69%) CBB Game of the Year run with his 25* CBB Round of 32 NCAA Tournament Underdog of the Year for Saturday! DO NOT MISS OUT!

1* Free Pick on Florida -10

Florida is simply too athletic for Iowa to handle in this matchup.
The Gators excel at forcing turnovers and turning them into quick transition buckets.

Iowa struggles when they cannot dictate a slower, more methodical pace.
Florida’s defensive length will disrupt the Hawkeyes' ball movement and perimeter sets all night long.

The Gators rank in the top ten nationally in offensive rebounding percentage.
They will earn constant second-chance points that Iowa’s frontcourt is not built to stop.

Florida has been a cover machine lately, going 8-2 against the spread in their last ten games.
Iowa has struggled away from home, posting a 2-6 record against the spread in their last eight road or neutral games.

The Hawkeyes rely far too much on the three-point line to stay competitive.
Florida is elite at running shooters off the arc and forcing teams into contested mid-range shots.

The talent gap between these two rosters is wider than this ten-point line suggests.
Florida’s bench depth allows them to keep the defensive pressure high for the full forty minutes.

Iowa lacks a true rim protector to stop Florida’s high-percentage looks inside.
The Gators will likely spend the night at the free-throw line as Iowa fouls to stop easy dunks.

This is a nightmare matchup for a Hawkeyes team that lacks elite lateral quickness on the perimeter.
Expect Florida to use their superior speed to pull away early in the second half.

I like the Florida -10 (-110).

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Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Illinois -11

The Key: The VCU Rams were fortunate to come back from 19 points down to beat a short-handed UNC Tar Heels team missing their best player.  The Rams needed OT to prevail 82-78 over the Tar Heels.  Now they have a short turnaround after 5 players played at least 31 minutes for them.  They take a big step up in competition against Illinois, which was able to rest guys late in a 105-70 blowout of Penn.  Illinois will be the best team that VCU has faced this season.  The only other team in their stratosphere is Vanderbilt, which beat VCU by 15 on a neutral.  The Big Ten has been dominant in the big dance thus far and that should continue in this matchup.  Take Illinois.

**4X Top 10 NBA Handicapper!** Dave is a former #1 NBA Capper and he is riding a 1702-1462 NBA Run over the long haul that has his $1,000/game investors up $109,350! He is in the midst of a 430-368 NCAAB Run since last year! Give your book the beating it deserves today and hop on board for Dave's Saturday Basketball 7-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* TCU/Duke NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* which is among 3 NBA & 4 NCAAB picks for you to crush your book with today ladies and gents! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Sunday's picks for FREE!

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Charlotte Hornets -16

The Memphis Grizzlies will be playing the second of a back-to-back tonight after a home loss to the Boston Celtics last night.  They will also be playing their 4th game in 6 days.  They will likely rest some guys that played last night as they are clearly just trying to give their young guys a look in the midst of tanking.  The Charlotte Hornets are trying to win a division title and get out of the play-in.  They won't take the Grizzlies lightly tonight.  They beat the Heat by 30 and the Magic by 19 in their last two games coming in.  They will only be playing their 3rd game in 7 days.  Give me the Hornets.

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BIG SATURDAY CARD UP with an EXECUTIVE LEVEL TIER 1 side headlining a 4 Game Tournament Package that has a TOP Round 2 TRIPLE System Side and TOTAL. There is also late season NBA. N.I.T Comp play below.

The Saturday Comp play comes in round 2 N.I.T Action on Nevada at 9 eastern. Liberty comes in off an upset win in round 1 but these teams in tonights situation likely start packing for a return trip home. Round 2 dogs of 6 or more that are off a dog win at +3 or more are 1-7 straight up and to the spread if they lost the game prior to the upset win as a favorite and the home team won a round 1 game as a favorite. Nevada is 16-2 at home and took out Murray St in round 1 by 14. Liberty first overall on Conference USA rebounded from a round 1 upset loss in Conference tournament action by taking out George Mason on the road but this is a much tougher task. Play on Nevada. GL Rob V-

Chip’s Triple-Play of CBK Best Bets

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Chip’s FREE NCAA Tourney winner

VCU vs Illinois 6:10 ET

Illini (-) over Rams - Those dirty rat VCU Rams came from 19 points down to beat North Carolina in over ruined what could have been a perfect 5-0 on Thursday. Illinois took down Penn who had upset Yale to get in the tourney and just could not cowboy up against the Illini! Lay it with ILLINOIS!

Saturday's NBA Free Pick

PLAY ON: Lakers -3 

The UFC Fight Night main event this Saturday at The O2 Arena in London pits undefeated featherweight contenders Movsar Evloev against hometown fighter Lerone Murphy in a high-stakes matchup with title implications looming. Evloev enters as the betting favorite, riding a perfect 19-0 professional record built largely on relentless grappling pressure and control. He has secured the majority of his victories by decision, 12 out of 19 overall, including all nine of his UFC wins, showcasing a grinding style that wears opponents down through takedowns, top control, and sustained pace rather than seeking early finishes. This approach has proven highly effective against elite competition, allowing him to dominate rounds and avoid risks that could lead to upsets.

Murphy, boasting a 17-0-1 record (with the draw in his UFC debut), counters with explosive finishing power and sharp striking. He has racked up eight knockouts in his career, including several first-round finishes, and his recent UFC performances highlight a knack for landing devastating shots like knees, elbows, and precise combinations. His ability to avoid damage while maintaining high output makes him dangerous in stand-up exchanges, and he thrives when fights remain at range where his reach and power can shine.

One compelling angle here is the historical trend of home-country fighters in UFC events held in the United Kingdom. UK-based competitors have occasionally defied expectations as underdogs, capitalizing on crowd energy, familiarity with the venue, and the psychological boost of performing in front of passionate fans. While not every home fighter wins, these bouts have produced notable upsets or closer-than-expected results, particularly when the underdog possesses knockout upside against a more methodical opponent. Recent UFC cards in the UK have shown that local fighters often perform with extra intensity, turning potential decisions into highlight-reel moments.

Betting trends in featherweight title eliminators and undefeated-vs-undefeated clashes further support looking at the underdog side when the price offers value. Favorites in grinding stylistic matchups can become overbacked due to their consistency and records, but underdogs with finishing tools have cashed at plus-money odds by catching opponents in exchanges or capitalizing on openings that the favorite's cautious approach leaves exposed. Murphy's active schedule compared to Evloev's longer layoff adds another layer, momentum and sharpness can play a role in five-round wars where early damage shifts momentum.

This spot presents a live underdog opportunity at around +195 to +205. Murphy's finishing power gives him a clear path to victory if he keeps the fight standing or stuffs takedowns effectively, while the home-crowd factor and his explosive style make him more than just a live dog, he's a fighter capable of turning the fight with one big shot. For bettors seeking value over chalky favorites in this card, backing Murphy outright offers strong potential in a matchup where the grinding favorite could be vulnerable to power if the pace isn't fully controlled.

My selection is on Vanderbilt minus the points over Nebraska at 8:45 pm et on Saturday.

This line opened as high as +3 at some books but bettors have stepped in and backed Nebraska to push it lower. We'll go the other way and lay the short number with the Commodores as they look to spoil the Cornhuskers party in Oklahoma. Nebraska figures to have a lot of support again on Saturday after it earned its first ever NCAA Tournament victory in blowout fashion over Troy on Thursday. Vandy will offer a much more difficult challenge and I think bettors are sleeping on the Commodores a little bit after their bandwagon cleared following last weekend's SEC Championship loss against Arkansas. Note that while Nebraska does own the slightly better overall record in this matchup this season, Vandy has faced the more difficult schedule by most metrics. Take Vanderbilt (8*).

Texas vs Gonzaga CBB Free Pick

The Angle(s): Gonzaga is 23-11 to the under on the season and held Kennesaw State to 64 points on 36% shooting from the field in the last round. Texas has relied on scoring over defense all season, but I expect the Zags to keep the Longhorns, and the total score, in check. 

The Bet: UNDER (3%). 

Mike storms into Saturday on a SCORCHING 17-7 (71%) BASKETBALL RUN!

As of the publication of this free pick, he has 2 CBB & 3 NBA picks locked in. More might be added.