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Frank Sawyer ALL Sports Top Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
05-20-18 Golden Knights v. Jets UNDER 6 Top 2-1 Win 100 12 h 32 m Show

At 3:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (7) and the Winnipeg Jets (8). THE SITUATION: Vegas (54-30-7) seized a 3-1 lead in this series on Friday with their 3-2 victory over the Jets. This series returns to Winnipeg (61-26-11) for Game Five.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Both these teams are 8-1 if their score first in these playoffs — so not surrendering the first goal will be a priority for both teams. The Jets have only scored five goals in their last three games as goalie Marc-Andre Fleury has stymied them with a 1.67 Goals-Against-Average and a .951 save percentage in the last three games of this series which the Golden Knights have won. Winnipeg has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. And while the Jets lost Game Three of this series by a 4-3 score, they have then played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge two straight loss to their opponent who scored at least three goals in both those victories. Winnipeg returns home where they are allowing only 2.25 Goals-Per-Game in eight postseason games — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games at home against teams with a winning record on the road. Vegas has seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games following a win — and they have played 15 of their last 22 road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. The Golden Knights are allowing only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game in their seven playoff games away from home. The Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games on the road. And in their last 6 playoff games when leading in the series, Vegas has played 5 of these games Under the Total.

CONCLUSION: Winnipeg has made too many mistakes which have created scoring opportunities for Vegas. The Golden Knights should remain patient this afternoon while the Jets play cautiously to stop their miscues. 25* NHL Conference Finals NBC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (7) and the Winnipeg Jets (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.

05-16-18 A's v. Red Sox OVER 8 Top 4-6 Win 105 2 h 48 m Show

At 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oakland A’s (915) and the Boston Red Sox (916) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Cahill and Chris Sale. THE SITUATION: Oakland (21-21) won the second game of this series last night with their 5-3 victory in Boston.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The A’s have played 7 of their last 10 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Oakland has also played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total as a big underdog priced in the +175 to +200 price range. They send out Cahill who is coming off the 10-day disabled list exactly ten days after going on the DL — and his teams have played 4 straight games Over the Total when he was pitching with at least ten days between starts. The right-hander has a 1-1 record with a 2.25 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in four starts — but he has a 4.91 ERA in two starts on the road while not yet allowing an earned run in his two starts at home. Last year, Cahill had an awful 7.07 ERA with a 1.97 WHIP and .320 opponent’s batting average when pitching on the road in his stints with Kansas City and San Diego. The Over is 3-0-1 in Cahill’s last 4 road starts. He faces a strong hitting team in Fenway Park as Boston is scoring 6.5 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .287 batting average along with a .804 OPS. The Over is 9-3-1 in the Red Sox’s last 13 home games against teams against a right-handed starting pitcher. Boston (28-14) has played 12 of their last 17 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Red Sox have also played 6 of their last 9 home games with the Total set in the 8 to 8.5 range. They counter with Sale who is 3-1 with a 2.17 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP in nine starts this season. The left-hander has not been as effective at home with the Green Monster looming in left-field with his 1.06 WHIP and .224 opponent’s batting average in three starts as compared to his 0.83 WHIP and .182 opponent’s batting average on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Sale had a 2.17 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and .203 opponent’s batting average on the road with those numbers all rising to a 3.16 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and .215 opponent’s batting average at home. Boston has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Sale on the hill. Lastly, the Over is 26-8-2 in the A’s last 36 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

CONCLUSION: The Red Sox should pound Cahill while Sale should give up a few runs on his end of things. 25* MLB American League Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Oakland A’s (915) and the Boston Red Sox (916) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Cahill and Chris Sale. Best of luck for us — Frank.

05-15-18 Cavs v. Celtics OVER 202.5 Top 94-107 Loss -110 7 h 51 m Show

At 8:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (701) and the Boston Celtics (702). THE SITUATION: Boston (64-31) was dominant on Sunday as they crushed the Cavaliers in the opening game of the Eastern Conference Finals by a 108-83 score as a 1-point underdog. The Celtics host Game Two.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers were dreadful on offense in this game as they made only 4 of their 26 (15.4%) of their 3-point shots while shooting just 36% from the field. That was their worst field goal percentage in their last 44 games. Cleveland has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, the Cavs have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Furthermore, Cleveland has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when avenging a loss that was by at least 20 points. Boston (64-31) is not likely to play as well on defense in this contest when considering that the Cavs’ 36% field goal percentage was their lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 43 contests. The Celtics have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a win by at least 10 points — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win by at least 15 points. And in their last 12 games at home in TD Garden, Boston has played 10 of these games Over the Total.

CONCLUSION: This should be a close game which will drive the combined score over the number. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (701) and the Boston Celtics (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.

05-07-18 Raptors v. Cavs OVER 214 Top 93-128 Win 100 3 h 14 m Show

At 8:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (503) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (504). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (57-35) has taken a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Saturday with their 105-103 victory as a 4.5-point favorite over the Raptors. They host Game Four with the opportunity to close this series out.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers raced out to a 55-40 lead at halftime on Saturday before holding on for that victory. Cleveland has then played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after leading at halftime by at least 15 points in their last game. The Cavaliers have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Cleveland has won four straight games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in four of their last six games. The Cavs have played 26 of their last 38 home games Over the Total after only covering the point spread once or twice in their last six games. Cleveland has also played 6 of their last 9 playoff games Over the Total when playing with the possibility of closing out the series with a win. Toronto (63-28) has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread win — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss by 3 points or less. Additionally, the Raptors have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total as a road underdog of 6 points or less. Toronto has played has lost five games in a row to the Cavaliers going back to the regular season. The Raptors have then played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total when playing with triple revenge — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when facing an opponent that they have lost to at least four times in a row. Lastly, Toronto has played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total in the playoffs when facing elimination.

CONCLUSION: Expect a high-scoring game with the Raptors playing like they did in the second-half where they scored 63 points with the pressure off after digging a likely insurmountable hole in this series. 25* NBA 2nd Round Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (503) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.

05-07-18 Capitals v. Penguins UNDER 6 Top 2-1 Win 100 1 h 39 m Show

At 7:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (1) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (2). THE SITUATION: Washington (56-30-7) has the opportunity to finally defeat the Penguins in the playoffs after seizing a 3-2 lead in this series on Saturday with their 6-3 victory. The two-time defending Stanley Cup Champions return home to Pittsburgh where to stave off elimination.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Pittsburgh (54-33-6) has lost three of their last four games — but they have won their last four games when facing the possibility of playoff elimination. Expect goalie Matt Murray and this entire Penguins team to play very tough — particularly on defense. Pittsburgh has played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total when trailing in the playoffs. Additionally, the Under is 6-1-1 in the Penguins’ last 8 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Pittsburgh has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least six goals in their last contest. Washington has played a decisive 21 of their last 26 games Under the Total when having the possibility to close out a playoff series — and this includes playing five of these last six situations Under the Total. The Capitals have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when leading in a playoffs series. The team may be without Nicklas Backstrom who is a game-time decision tonight as he deals with an upper-body injury. Backstrom is tied for second on the team with 13 points in these playoffs with three goals and ten assists playing mostly with Alex Ovechkin. Ovechkin has already lost Tom Wilson on his line due to his three-game suspension that concludes tonight — so more disruption to that chemistry will not help the Capitals offensive designs. Furthermore, Washington has allowed three goals in the last three games of this series — and they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in three straight games.

CONCLUSION: Expect a tight, low-scoring game. 25* NHL 2nd Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (1) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.

05-06-18 Warriors v. Pelicans OVER 231 Top 118-92 Loss -105 1 h 56 m Show

At 3:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (705) and the New Orleans Pelicans (706). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (53-36) made this a series on Friday by crushing the Warriors by a 119-100 score as a 4.5-point underdog. They host Game Four in the Big Easy.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Golden State (64-26) should bounce-back with a much better effort after being pretty lethargic with the comfort of their 2-0 lead in this series. The Warriors shot just 38% from the field which was the worst offensive effort in their last four games — and they made just 9 of their 31 (29.0%) of their 3-point shots. Golden State has played 18 of their last 20 games Over the Total after an upset loss. The Warriors’ 26 free throws in Game Three were 14 more opportunities at the charity stripe — and they have played 24 of their last 33 games Over the Total after attempting at least 10 more free throws than their opponent in their last game. Golden State has also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. Moving forward, the Warriors have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when not playing more than their fifth game in fourteen days. Golden State has played 27 of their last 41 games Over the Total when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range — and they have also played 31 of their last 47 games Over the Total as a road favorite laying no more than 6 points. Furthermore, the Warriors have played 30 of their last 38 games Over the Total with the number at the lofty 230 or higher point range — and this includes them playing thirteen of their last eighteen games Over the Total when on the road. New Orleans (53-36) has played 4 straight home games Over the Total with the Total set at 230 or higher. They have also played 21 of their last 27 home games Over the Total after a double-digit win. And in the Pelicans’ last 13 games after a win by at least 15 points, they have played 10 of these games Over the Total.

CONCLUSION: New Orleans should continue to feed off the energy of their crowd — which is why I am passing on the side play with the Pelicans being a home dog (though I lean to the Warriors). This is an instance where just taking the Over seems prudent. 25* NBA 2nd Round ABC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (705) and the New Orleans Pelicans (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.

05-06-18 Bruins v. Lightning UNDER 6 Top 1-3 Win 100 1 h 33 m Show

At 3:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (63) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (64). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (61-25-3) has won three straight games in this series to seize a commanding 3-1 lead with their 4-3 victory over the Bruins on Friday. They return home with the opportunity to close out this series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Expect the Bruins (58-26-9) to tighten things up on defense as they look to grind out a low-scoring victory and extend this series back to Boston. Boston has played 10 of the lsat 15 games Under the Total after a loss by just one goal. Boston has also played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game. Additionally, the Bruins have played 14 of their last 17 road gams Under the Total after a loss to an Atlantic Division rival. Now Boston goes back on the road where they have played 10 of their last 14 games with the Total set at 6 or higher. The Under is also 8-3-1 in the Bruins’ last 12 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on home ice. Boston has also played 14 of their last 18 road games Under the Total against Atlantic Division foes. Tampa Bay (61-25-3) has played 12 of their last 17 Game Fives in the Stanley Cup Playoffs Under the Total — and this includes them playing four of their last five games Under the Total when up 3-1 in the series. The Lightning have also played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total when playing with the opportunity to close out a playoff series. Lastly, while Tampa Bay has scored four goals in three straight games, they have then played 24 of their last 38 games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in three straight games.

CONCLUSION: I lean strongly to the Bruins as a big underdog today — but this is an ideal situation to translate that play into a two-team parlay with the Under. 25* NHL 2nd Round ABC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (63) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (64). Best of luck for us — Frank.

05-04-18 Rockets v. Jazz UNDER 210 Top 113-92 Win 100 7 h 46 m Show

At 10:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (515) and the Utah Jazz (516). THE SITUATION: Utah (53-37) evened this series at 1-1 with their 116-108 upset win in Houston as a 10.5-point underdog on Wednesday. The Jazz now return home to Salt Lake City to host Game Three tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Utah has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after pulling off an upset win on the road as a double-digit underdog. The Jazz were on-fire with their shooting on Wednesday as they made 15 of their 32 (46.9%) shots from bind the arc. Their 51.8% field goal percentage in that game was their best shooting performance in their last five games. Utah returns home where they have played 13 of their last 20 home games with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. The Jazz have also played 6 of their last 9 home games as an underdog of 6 points or less. Utah has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Houston (70-19) needs to tighten things up on defense after allowing this Jazz team to make at least 50% of their shots in the first two games of this series — and that came after allowing Minnesota to shoot 50.6% from the field in their close out game with the Timberwolves in their previous playoff series. Utah has played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing their last two opponents to shoot at least 50% of their shots — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing their last three opponents to shoot at least 50% from the field. Additionally, the Rockets have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a double-digit favorite at home. Houston goes back on the road after playing their last three games at home — and they have played 10 of their last 11 road games Under the Total after playing their last three games at home. And while the Rockets have scored at least 105 points in five straight games — and they have then played 11 of their last 14 road games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games. Lastly, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss as a double-digit home favorite.

CONCLUSION: Expect the third game of this series to be lowest scoring game so far between these two teams in the playoffs. 25* NBA 2nd Round ESPN Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (515) and the Utah Jazz (516). Best of luck for us — Frank.

05-04-18 Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 Top 3-5 Loss -105 2 h 55 m Show

At 10:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (25) and the Vegas Golden Knights (26). THE SITUATION: San Jose (51-29-10) evened this series at two games apiece on Wednesday with their 4-0 shutout victory over the Golden Knights. This series returns to Las Vegas for this crucial fifth game.

REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: The Sharks have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total registering a shutout win at home. San Jose peppered the Knights’ goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury with 34 shots after putting 47 and 42 shots on him in the previous two games in this series. But San Jose has then played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after generating at least 33 shots on target in at least three straight games. The Sharks have won two of the last three games in this series — and they have then played 25 of their last 40 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three. Furthermore, San Jose has also played 35 of their last 54 road games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5. Vegas (57-29-7) suffered their first loss in regulation in the playoffs. They have allowed eleven goals over these last three games after winning Game Three of this series by a 4-3 score in overtime. The Golden Knights have played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in two straight games — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in three straight games. The Under is also 7-2-1 in Vegas’ last 10 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. And in their last 8 opportunities to avenge a blowout loss by at least three goals, the Golden Knights have played 6 of these games Under the Total.

CONCLUSION: Expect this important fifth game in this tied series to be played very close to the vest similar to how Vegas played all their games against Los Angeles in the first-round of the playoffs. 25* NHL 2nd Round Playoff Bailout Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (25) and the Vegas Golden Knights (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.

05-03-18 Predators v. Jets UNDER 6 Top 2-1 Win 106 1 h 26 m Show

At 9:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (21) and the Winnipeg Jets (22). THE SITUATION: Nashville (58-21-4) scored three goals in the first period but preceded to blow that lead on Tuesday in a 7-4 loss to the Jets. The Predators find themselves down 2-1 in this series while having to play once again in Winnipeg.

REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Nashville has to tighten things up regarding their discipline and play on defense after committing four penalties in the third period with three of them occurring after tying the game at 4-4. The Predators should get better play from goalie Pekka Rinne who has a 1.35 Goals-Against-Average with a .957 save percentage in the last three games in their first-round series with Colorado. The Under is 10-1-1 in Nashville’s last 12 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. The final two goals by Winnipeg (58-22-11) in Game Three were empty netters. The Predators have also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road after a game where both teams scored at least three goals. Nashville has also played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total on the road after a loss on the road to a Central Division rival. The Jets have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 20 of their last 31 games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games as they have after winning their opening round series against Minnesota in six games. Winnipeg has played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after a game where they scored at least six goals. They should get better play from their goaltender Connor Hellebuyck who had a 0.33 GAA along with a .991 save percentage with two shutouts in his last three games of that series with the Wild. And in their last 6 games on their home ice, the Jets have played 5 of these games Under the Total.

CONCLUSION: After high-scoring games in Games Two and Three of this series, expect this fourth game to be a low scoring affair. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (21) and the Winnipeg Jets (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.

05-03-18 76ers v. Celtics OVER 205.5 Top 103-108 Win 100 4 h 28 m Show

At 8:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (509) and the Boston Celtics (510). THE SITUATION: Boston (60-30) won the opening game of this series on Monday with their 117-101 upset win versus Philadelphia (56-32) as a 4.5-point favorite. The Celtics host Game Two.

REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: Boston has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. Additionally, the Celtics have played 7 straight games Over the Total after an upset win as a home underdog. Boston has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a win on their home court. They held the Sixers to just a 42.2% field goal percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last three games — so that is area that should see some regression. Furthermore, the Celtics have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total on their home court. Philadelphia (56-32) made only 5 of their last 26 (19.2%) shots from behind the arc   despite averaging 11 made shots from behind the arc with a 37.4% shooting percentage from 3-point land on the road. Yet despite that poor shooting effort, they still scored 101 points. The 76ers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 17 of their last 23 road games Over the Total as the favorite. Lastly, Philly has played 23 of their last 34 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range.

CONCLUSION: Expect another higher-scoring game between these two teams with Philly likely to play much better on offense and Boston happy to play at their pace while launching plenty of 3s. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (509) and the Boston Celtics (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.

05-02-18 Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 207 Top 116-108 Loss -105 15 h 13 m Show

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (507) and the Houston Rockets (508). THE SITUATION: Houston (70-18) won the opening game of this series on Sunday by a 110-96 score as an 11.5-point favorite. The Rockets dominated that game from the jump and held a 27-point lead at one point in the first-half while cruising to an easy victory.

REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Utah (52-37) needs to play much better on the defensive end of the court while making adjustments so that Rudy Gobert is roaming the middle again to protect the rim. Gobert did not block a shot on Saturday while Houston and too many easy shot attempts inside. The Jazz have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. They also have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Utah did make 50% of their shots in Game One which was the best offensive effort in their last four games. Despite being without Ricky Rubio, the Jazz collected 20 team assists that resulted in 38 field goals in that game — and it is difficult seeing them performing much better on offense despite that only producing 96 points with Rubio out indefinitely with a hamstring injury. Utah has played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Houston nailed 17 of their 32 (53.1%) of their 3-pointers on Saturday so they are due for an appearance from the Regression Gods in that aspect of their hame. The Rockets have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight up win — and they have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Furthermore, Houston has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Houston has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. The Rockets have also played 18 of their last 24 home games Under the Total including six of their last seven games against teams with a losing record on the road.

CONCLUSION: The adjustments in Game Two should favor the defensive end of the court for both teams leading to a lower scoring game. 25* NBA 2nd Round Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (507) and the Houston Rockets (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-30-18 76ers v. Celtics OVER 205 Top 101-117 Win 100 2 h 21 m Show

At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (555) and the Boston Celtics (556). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (56-31) gets back to the court for the first time since last Tuesday when they eliminated Miami in five games with their 104-91 victory as a 10-point favorite. Boston (59-30) has a quick turnaround after defeating Milwaukee on Saturday in Game Seven of that series by a 112-96 score as a 5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: Philadelphia (56-31) played their best defensive game in terms of opponent field goal percentage in their last game by holding the Heat to just a 38.6% shooting percentage. That defensive effort helped that game finish below the 215.5 point Total — but the 76ers have played 28 of their last 43 road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Philadelphia has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. And in their last 22 road games as the favorite, the 76ers have played 16 of these games Over the Total. Boston (59-30) should come out smoking in regards to their shooting after making 53.6% of their shots on Saturday. The Celtics have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, Boston has 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a double-digit win at home. And in their last 8 games on their home court, the Celtics have played 7 of these games Over the Total.

CONCLUSION: While the Total for this game is dropping after initially being installed at 210, that line movement is going the wrong way. The Celtics will be without Jaylen Brown who is dealing with a hamstring injury — but it is his absence which has led to the line dropping. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (555) and the Boston Celtics (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-29-18 Jets v. Predators OVER 5.5 Top 4-5 Win 100 1 h 11 m Show

At 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (13) and the Nashville Predators (14). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (57-21-11) seized home ice advantage in this series by stealing Game One of this series by a 4-1 score. Game Two will played again in Nashville.

THE REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: Nashville (57-20-4) will be desperate to even this series at 1-1 to avoid traveling to Winnipeg trailing by two games. The Predators have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when avenging a loss by at least three goals to their opponent. Nashville has also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, while the Predators have played four straight games Under the Total, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing at least four straight Unders. And in their last 7 games at home, Nashville has played 5 of these games Over the Total. Winnipeg (57-21-11) has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a win by at least three goals over a Central Division rival — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total when scoring at least four goals in a win over a divisional rival. The Jets have only allowed one goal in their last three games — but they have then played 24 of their last 38 games Under the Total after allowing two goals or less in three straight games while also playing 4 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than one goal in three straight contests.

CONCLUSION: Nashville had 48 shots on net on Friday — maintaining that pressure again should ensure their share of goals. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (13) and the Nashville Predators (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-29-18 Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 199 Top 101-105 Loss -102 3 h 53 m Show

At 1:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (705) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (706). THE SITUATION: Indiana (51-37) forced a climactic seventh game in this series on Friday when they destroyed the Cavaliers by a 121-87 score as a 1.5-point favorite. Game Seven returns to Cleveland (53-35).

REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Indiana made 15 of their 30 shots from behind the arc en route to their 56.3% field goal percentage on Friday which was the best shooting performance in their last 58 games. Expect those numbers to decline significantly when playing on the road under the pressure of a Game Seven. As it is, the Pacers shoot only 46.8% with a 36.2% mark from 3-point land when on the road. The Under is 19-6-1 in Indiana’s last 26 games on the road. Indiana has also played 12 of their last 13 games Under the Total after scoring at least 120 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Pacers have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Indiana has played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Cleveland has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, the Cavs have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after both a straight-up loss as well as a point spread loss. Cleveland should play better on defense after enduring their highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 35 games. The Cavs have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. But while Cleveland shot just 41.8% from the field on Friday, that was actually a better shooting mark than their 41.3% field goal percentage at home in Game Five. The Cavaliers have played 4 straight home games Under the Total.

CONCLUSION: The Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 games between these two teams — including going 3-0-1 in the last 4 games played in Cleveland. Expect these team trends to continue this afternoon. 25* NBA 1st Round ABC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (705) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-28-18 Pelicans v. Warriors OVER 226 Top 101-123 Loss -110 2 h 48 m Show

At 10:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (551) and the Golden State Warriors (552). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (52-34) reached the Western Conference Semifinals by sweeping Portland in four games after their 131-123 win last Saturday. Golden State (62-25) defeated San Antonio in five games with their 99-91 win over the Spurs on Tuesday. Stephen Curry took part in practice to prepare for this game but he is officially listed as questionable.

REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: The Pelicans were unstoppable on offense against the Trail Blazers as they made 57% of their shots in their close out game which was their third straight game where they made at least 51.2% of their shots. New Orleans has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after shooting at least 50% from the field in two straight games. The Pelicans have also played 20 of their last 31 games Over the Total after allowing at least 115 points in their last game — and they have played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a game where at least 235 combined points were scored. Furthermore, New Orleans has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. The extended break should help the Pelicans offensive flow as well — they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. Golden State (62-25) has played 12 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. And while the Warriors have not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then played 16 of their last 27 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. Additionally, the Over is 4-1-1 in Golden State’s last 6 games on their home court. And in their last 7 games in the Western Conference Semifinals, they have played 5 of these games Over the Total.

CONCLUSION: Even if Curry does not play tonight, the Warriors should be quite content to engage the Pelicans in an up-tempo game in which they feel they have the advantage over every team in the league. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (551) and the Golden State Warriors (552). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-28-18 Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 Top 4-3 Loss -140 1 h 44 m Show

At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (89) and the Vegas Golden Knights (90). THE SITUATION: Vegas (56-27-7) blew out the Sharks in the opening game of this series by a 7-0 score on Thursday. San Jose will be without Evander Kane tonight after he was suspended for a cross-check to the face of Pierre-Edouard Bellemare.

THE REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: The Sharks will tighten things up on defense after their embarrassing effort on Thursday where they were caught by surprise by the speed of the Golden Knights. San Jose has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Goalie Martin Jones was pulled after allowing five goals on just 13 shots in that game. However, Jones had a 0.99 Goals-Against-Average along with a .966 save percentage during the regular season in games following a contest where he was pulled — so he should play very well tonight. The Sharks have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals — and they have played 8 straight games Under the Total on the road after a loss by at least two goals. They will miss Kane who registered 14 points in the 17 games he played with the team since being acquired from Buffalo — and he scored three goals with one assist in the first-round of the playoffs. San Jose has also played 14 of their last 19 road games Under the Total when playing no more than their 5th game in fourteen days. Vegas (56-27-7) might be without Bellemare tonight given that injury which will hurt their Power Play Unit. The Golden Knights have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Under the Total after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. Goalie Marc-Andre Fleury is playing as well as he has any time in his career with two straight shutouts. He has a .982 save percentage in the playoffs. The Under is 7-2-1 in Vegas’ last 10 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Knights have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total at home.

CONCLUSION: The Total has moved to 5.5 for this game after Vegas played their first five games in these playoffs with the Total just at 5. The Golden Knights scored only seven total goals in their four games against Los Angeles while surrendering only three goals. 25* NHL NBC-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (89) and the Vegas Golden Knights (90). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-26-18 Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 5 Top 0-7 Loss -100 1 h 15 m Show

At 10:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (81) and the Vegas Golden Knights (82). THE SITUATION: Both these teams come off 4-0 sweeps in the first-round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. San Jose (49-27-10) swept the Ducks after closing out that series last Wednesday with their 2-1 win in Anaheim. Vegas (55-27-7) proved that their regular season was no fluke by sweeping the Kings after defeating them last Tuesday by a 1-0 score.

THE REASONS FOR TAKING THE UNDER: Both these teams may be rusty since they are playing with seven days and eight days off since their last game. The risk of rust will likely compel both teams to play cautiously in this opening game. The Sharks have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest between contests while the Golden Knights have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. Both these teams have hot goalies with Marc-Andre Fleury posting a 0.65 Goals-Against-Average with a .977 save percentage in the LA series for Vegas while Martin Jones allowed only four goals in four games against the Ducks while registering a .970 save percentage for San Jose. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Sharks’ last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Vegas has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total on their home ice. The Under is also 7-1-1 in their last 9 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, the Under is 7-1-1 in the Golden Knights’ last 9 games after allowing no more than two goals in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after shutting out their opponent in their last game.

CONCLUSION: These are two teams very comfortable in playing low-scoring games. 25* NHL Bailout Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (81) and the Vegas Golden Knights (82). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-26-18 Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 201 Top 86-97 Win 100 3 h 8 m Show

At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (501) and the Milwaukee Bucks (502). THE SITUATION: Boston (58-29) looks to close out this series tonight on the road in perhaps the last game ever to be played in the Bradley Center after taking a 3-2 lead in this series by a 92-87 score as a 4.5-point favorite. The Celtics got Marcus Smart back in that game and not only is one of the team’s best defensive players but he has been described as “kind of like the soul of our team” by fellow veteran Al Horford.” Milwaukee (46-41) returns home as the favorite looking to stave off elimination and force a decisive seventh game of this series. The Celtics and Bucks had played five straight and eight straight Overs respectively before Game Five finished below the Total that closed in the 202.5 range.

THE REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Boston has played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total after allowing 90 points or less in their last game. The Celtics have also played 15 of their last 19 Game Sixes in the NBA Playoffs Under the Total — so their history suggests a lower scoring defensive struggle. The insertion of Smart into the rotation is very significant as he can defend the Bucks’ Khris Middleton who has been one of Milwaukee’s two consistent offensive players in this series. The other reliable offensive player for the Bucks has been Giannis Antetokounmpo — but Brad Stevens made an interesting switch in Game Five by starting his rookie big man Semi Ojeleye to defend the Greek Freak. Ojeleye played 40 possessions on Antetokounmpo which accounted for half the game while holding him to a series-low 16 points. Ojeleye’s insertion into the lineup is a game-changer for the Celtics as it created smaller lineups with Greg Monroe pushed out the rotation while Stevens avoided playing Aron Bynes along with Al Horford at the same time. These moves gave the Celtics flexibility on defense for the first time in this series as all five players on the court could switch of screens without needing help. Milwaukee had shot at least 52.1% from the field in Games Two through Four in this series but those look like outlier performances to the 109 Points Per 100 Possession scoring rate that ranked 13th in the NBA during the regular season. I expect points to be hard to come by again for this team. The Bucks have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring no more than 90 points in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a game where no more than 185 combined points were scored. Prunty does have this team playing better defense. The Celtics shot 42% from the floor in their winning effort on Tuesday which was their highest field goal percentage in their last three games.

CONCLUSION: Expect the pressure of a elimination/close out game to negatively impact the shooting of both these teams — and with the Total still in the low 200s, the line has not adjusted to what looks to be the new reality of this series. 25* NBA 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (501) and the Milwaukee Bucks (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-26-18 Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 6 Top 3-2 Win 100 1 h 2 m Show

At 7:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (87) and the Washington Capitals (88). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (51-31-6) advanced to the second round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs by knocking off the Flyers in six games culminating in an 8-5 win in Philadelphia on Sunday. Washington (53-28-7) rallied from an 0-2 deficit by winning four straight games against the Blue Jackets by closing that series out in Columbus on Monday with a 6-3 win. These two teams have faced off in each of the last two postseasons with the Penguins winning both times en route to winning the Stanley Cup.

REASONS WHY TO TAKE THE UNDER: Both these veteran playoff teams tend to play cautiously in the opening games of a new playoff series. Pittsburgh has played 11 of their last 14 opening games to a new series Under the Total while Washington has played 16 of their last 23 opening games to a new series Under the Total. The Penguins look due for an Under after that high-scoring closeout game against the Flyers as the Under is 3-0-2 in their last 5 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game while the Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Pittsburgh will also be undermanned at the forward position with both Evgeni Malkin and Carl Hagelin out for this contest with injuries which decimates their second line. Washington has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning at least four in a row — and they have also played 15 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least three goals. The Capitals have also played 8 of their last 10 home games Under the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. CONCLUSION: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. With the Total set at 6 for this opening game, expect a lower scoring game to contrast the high scoring game both teams closed out their previous series with. 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (87) and the Washington Capitals (88). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-25-18 Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 Top 4-7 Loss -114 3 h 35 m Show

At 7:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (25) and the Boston Bruins (26). Toronto (52-29-5) forced a decisive seventh game in this series on Monday with their 3-1 victory at home over the Bruins. Expect Mike Babcock to instruct his team to play disciplined and controlled hockey in this climactic game since surrendering a goal or two to the Bruins on their home ice could be the recipe for this game quickly spiraling out of hand. As it is, the Under is 4-0-1 in the Maple Leafs last 5 games after a victory. The Under is also 2-0-2 in Toronto’s last 4 games after allowing two goals or less in their last contest. And in their last 8 games after a win by at least two goals against an Atlantic Division rival, they have then played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total. The Maple Leafs are getting great goaltending from their veteran Frederick Andersen who has stopped 74 of the 78 shots he has faced in the last two games of this series. But Andersen has been helped by his teammates blocking 45 shots in these last two games as they begin to appreciation the need for defense in desperation elimination game situations in the Stanley Cup Playoffs.



Boston (56-23-9) has seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against an opponent that allowed no more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, the Bruins have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least two goals against their opponent. And while Boston has lost two of their last three games, they have then played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. And in their last 30 games against Atlantic Division foes, the Bruins have played 20 of these games Under the Total. Their top line has been slowed down to an injury to Patrice Bergeron over these last two games yet — that top forward group of Bergeron along with Brad Marchand and David Patrnak have not registered a point in the last two games of this series. Lastly, in their last 8 Game Sevens in the NHL Playoffs, Boston has played 5 of these games Under the Total. 25* NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs Game Seven O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (25) and the Boston Bruins (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-25-18 Nationals v. Giants UNDER 7 Top 15-2 Loss -110 0 h 25 m Show

At 3:45 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (953) and the San Francisco Giants (954) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Jeff Samardzija. Washington (10-14) has lost four straight games after their 4-3 loss in Game Two of this series against the Giants. The Nationals are swinging cold bats right now as they are scoring only 3.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .211 batting average along with a .285 On-Base Percentage and a .589 OPS over that span. These cold bats have helped Washington play four straight Unders — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing their last two games Under the Total. The Nationals have not committed an error in the field in five straight games — and they have then played 39 of their last 63 games Under the Total after not committing an error in at least two straight games. Washington has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing as a road favorite with double-revenge on their minds. They send out Scherzer who is 4-1 with a 1.36 ERA and a 0.76 WHIP in five starts this season. The right-hander was more effective on the road last year where he enjoyed a 1.82 ERA along with a 0.81 WHIP and .156 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 3.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and .200 opponent’s batting average when at home. Scherzer was also better in day games where he sported a 1.90 ERA, 0.77 WHIP and .140 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 2.72 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and .191 opponent’s batting average at night. Washington has seen the Under go a decisive 31-14-6 in their last 51 games on the road. The Nationals have also seen the Under go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games with Scherzer on the mound on the road. He should fare well against this San Fran team that has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Under is also 15-5-1 in the Giants’ last 21 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

San Francisco (11-12) has won three straight games while hammering home runs in seven straight contests — but they will be facing a starting pitcher in Max Scherzer who has only allowed two homers this season. Despite this home runs, the Giants are scoring only 4.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games which is only a slight tick above the 3.2 Runs-Per-Game rate for the season. They are also hitting only .235 with a .292 On-Base Percentage and a .716 OPS over these last seven contests. The Under is 35-16-4 in their last 55 games after a win — and they have also played 36 of their last 54 games Under the Total after a win by just one run. San Fran has also only played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They counter with Jeff Samardzija who did not allow an earned run in 5 innings of work in his first start of the season on Friday on Los Angeles against the Angels. The right-hander started the season on the Disabled List with a pectoral injury but looked very good in that start. Last season, Samardzija was more effective at home where he owned a 3.97 ERA and .251 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 4.81 ERA and .258 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Samardzija struggled with giving up too many home runs last year — particularly in hitter’s parks like Colorado and Arizona. But he also struck out batters 24.2% of the time while only issuing walks in a career-low 3.8% of his batters faced. Those peripherals help explain why both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.63 and 3.60 off this 2017 numbers. Samardzija was also better during day games where hewed a 1.08 WHIP and .239 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 1.17 WHIP and .269 opponent’s batting average at night. The Giants have played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total with Samardzija pitching as an underdog. San Fran has also played 18 of their last 24 games Under the Total with Samardzija pitching with four days of rest. 25* MLB Getaway Game Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (953) and the San Francisco Giants (954) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Jeff Samardzija. Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-22-18 Predators v. Avalanche UNDER 6 Top 5-0 Win 100 2 h 16 m Show

At 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (75) and the Colorado Avalanche (76). Nashville (55-20-4) scored in the third period on Friday to take a 1-0 lead over the Flyers with the opportunity to close out that series in five games — but they then allowed two goals to lose Game Five of this series by a 2-1 score. Expect another low-scoring game in Game Six. While the Predators have much more balance and depth on offense this season versus their team that reached the Stanley Cup Finals last year, this is a team that is very comfortable playing low-scoring games behind the best blue-line in the NHL along with a goaltender in Pekka Rinne who will likely win the Vezina Trophy this season. Nashville has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss at home. The Predators have also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a loss by just one goal — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games on the road Under the Total after a loss by just one goal to a Central Division rival. Furthermore, the Under is 8-2-1 in Nashville’s last 11 games against an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last game.

Colorado (47-33-8) got an outstanding effort from third-string goaltender Andrew Hammond who was pressed into service with an injury to Jonathan Bernier in Game Four of this series. The Hamburglar has certainly enjoyed hot streaks in his NHL career (most notably with Ottawa a few seasons ago) so he there should be a positive carry over from his stopping 44 of the 45 shots he faced on Friday. Good goaltending is also a product of good defense — and the Avalanche will likely continue to play less aggressively than they would if their first-stringer Semyon Varlamov was between the pipes. That is a recipe for another low-scoring game. As it is, Colorado has played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win over a Central Division rival. Furthermore, the Avalanche have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a narrow win by just one goal. Colorado has also played 15 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a win on the road by just one goal — and this includes them playing four of these last situations Under the Total. Additionally, in games with the Total set at 6 or higher, when the home team comes off a win on the road against a divisional rival, these games finished Under the Total in 209 of these last 341 situations (61%) where these conditions applied. Lastly, in games with the Total set at 6 or higher, when the road team comes off a loss against a division rival now faces a team that comes off win on the road against a division foe, these games finished Under the Total in 60 of these last 88 situations. 25* NHL NBC-Sports Network 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (75) and the Colorado Avalanche (76). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-21-18 Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 208.5 Top 102-115 Loss -105 6 h 30 m Show

At 10:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (723) and the Utah Jazz (724). Utah (49-35) evened this series at one game apiece with their 102-95 upset win in Portland on Wednesday as a 3.5-point underdog. The Jazz return home for this first time since April 10th after playing three straight games on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total after being on the road for at least the last seven days. Utah has also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing their last three games on the road. The Jazz have also played 12 of the last 16 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest — and this includes them playing eight of their last nine games Under the Total when playing on their home court with two days of rest. Additionally, Utah has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 12 of their last 17 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. Furthermore, the Under is 20-8-1 in the Jazz’s last 29 games against fellow Northwest Division opponents.

Oklahoma City (49-35) played their best defensive game in their last ten games by limiting the Jazz to just a 41.7% field goal percentage — and they should continue to play well on the defensive end of the court. The Thunder have then played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite — and this includes playing seven straight Unders off an upset loss as a home favorite to a fellow Northwest Division rival. Oklahoma City has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss at home. Additionally, the Thunder have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now OKC goes on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total. The Thunder have also played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total against fellow Northwest Division opponents. And as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points, Oklahoma City has played 23 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, the Thunder have played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total when attempting to avenge an upset loss as a road favorite. And in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Utah, the game finished Under the Total all 8 times. 25* NBA Northwest Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (723) and the Utah Jazz (724). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-21-18 Devils v. Lightning UNDER 6 Top 1-3 Win 100 0 h 22 m Show

At 3:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (65) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (66). Tampa Bay (57-24-3) has the opportunity to close out this series tonight after taking a 3-1 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 3-1 victory over the Devils. The Lightning are getting great play from their goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy who has rebounded from a second-half slump to post a 2.26 Goals-Against-Average along with a .937 save percentage in this series. The Tampa Bay Power Play Kill Unit has also stepped up to negate 15 of New Jersey’s 18 Power Play chances for a 83.3% clip which is much better than their 76.1% mark during the regular season. This has become a physical series which has slowed down the torrid scoring pace that defined the earlier games in this series. The Lightning have only scored five goals over these last two games after scoring five goals in both Game One and Game Two of this series. This should be another low-scoring affair — they have played 11 of their last 16 Game Fives in a playoff series Under the Total. Tampa Bay has also played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total when up 3-1 in a playoff series. And in their last 19 opportunities to close out a playoff series, the game finished Under the Total 12 times — and this includes them playing three of their last four games Under the Total in that situation.

New Jersey (46-32-5) has played 11 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a loss at home. The Devils have also played 6 of their last 9 games after a loss at home by two more more goals. Goalie Cory Schneider was solid in net on Wednesday even in defeat as he stopped 34 of the 36 shots he faced. In this series, Schneider has stopped 78 of the 82 shots he has encountered since taking over for Keith Kinkaid for a sizzling .951 save percentage. Moving forward, New Jersey has played 5 of their last 6 games in the fifth game of an NHL series Under the Total — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when trailing by a 3-1 mark in the NHL Playoffs. 25* NHL 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (65) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (66). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-20-18 Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 209.5 Top 90-92 Win 100 4 h 11 m Show

At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (711) and the Indiana Pacers (712). Cleveland (51-33) raced out to a 16-1 lead in the opening minutes of Game Two of this series on Wednesday — and they held on to win that game by a 100-97 score as an 8.5-point favorite. The Cavaliers have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Cleveland has also played 11 of their last 15 games after a win on their home court where they failed to cover the point spread as a favorite. The Cavs shot 50.7% from the field while nailing 11 of their 28 (39.3%) shots from behind the arc — yet they scored 10 points below their 110.4 PPG season scoring average. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Over is also 4-0-1 in Cleveland’s last 5 games against teams with a winning record.

Indiana (49-35) has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Pacers have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a loss on the road against their opponent. Furthermore, the Under is 24-7-1 in Indiana’s last 32 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team returns home where they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Pacers have played 7 of these games Under the Total. 25* NBA Central Division Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (711) and the Indiana Pacers (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-19-18 Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 207 Top 110-97 Push 0 6 h 38 m Show

At 9:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (527) and the San Antonio Spurs (528). Golden State (60-24) seized a 2-0 lead in this series on Monday with their 116-101 win as an 8.5-point favorite. The Warriors made 52.6% of their shots in that game after making 54.3% of their shots in Game One of this series fueled by them nailing 15 of their 31 (48.4%) of their shots from behind the arc. Golden State is likely to get a visit from the Regression Gods tonight in regards to their shooting — especially with them playing on the road where they see their 3-point shooting drop to a 37.7% clip as compared to their 39.3% 3-point shooting mark for the season. The Warriors have played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where they made at least 50% of their shots. The Under is also 19-7-1 in Golden State’s last 27 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Warriors have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Golden State won the opening game of this series by a 113-92 score — and they have then played 35 of their last 57 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by double-digits. Now the Warriors go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.

San Antonio (47-37) has now lost three games in a row as well as five of their last seven contests. The Spurs have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. Game Two finished well above the 205.5 point total — and San Antonio has also played 13 of their last 18 games on their home court Under the Total after game that finished Over the Total. Additionally, the Spurs have seen the Under the Total go 12-5-1 in their last 18 games when playing with two days of rest. San Antonio has also played 4 of their last 5 games when avenging two straight double-digit losses to their opponent. Now the Spurs return home where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total. San Antonio has also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 21 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. 25* NBA 1st Round Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (527) and the San Antonio Spurs (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-18-18 Ducks v. Sharks OVER 5 Top 1-2 Loss -136 5 h 51 m Show

At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (63) and the San Jose Sharks (64). San Jose (48-27-10) has the opportunity to close this series out tonight after they took a commanding 3-0 lead with their 8-1 win on Monday in Game Three of this series. The Sharks have seen the Over go 12-3-2 in their last 17 games after a win. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in San Jose’s last 7 games after a game where they scored at least 5 goals in their last game. The Sharks enjoyed eight Power Play opportunities in that game which was filled with Ducks’ committing penalties — and they scored on four of those Power Play chances. San Jose has then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after getting ate last eight Power Play chances in their last game. Furthermore, the Over is 4-0-1 in the Sharks’ last 5 games after allowing no more than two goals in their last game — and the Over is also 9-1-1 in their last 11 games against an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last contest. San Jose can close this series out at home where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total.

Anaheim (45-28-13) has only scored three goals in this series — so they will be desperate to generate more offense tonight. The Ducks need to get more bodies in front of the net to pressure the Sharks’ goaltender Martin Jones. The Over is 3-1-1 in Anaheim’s last 5 games after a loss by at least three goals. The Over is also 3-1-1 in the Ducks’ last 5 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last contest. The Over is also 3-0-1 in Anaheim’s last 4 games when playing with one day of rest. But in trying to create more offense, the Ducks’ blue-line has creeped up into San Jose’s side of the ice which has made them vulnerable to the Sharks’ speed on rushes of their own. San Jose has scored fourteen goals in this series and do not seem to be letting up. Lastly, the Sharks have played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. 25* NHA 1st Round Pacific Division Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (63) and the San Jose Sharks (64). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-13-18 Wild v. Jets OVER 5.5 Top 1-4 Loss -100 3 h 59 m Show

At 7:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Wild (53) and the Winnipeg Jets (54). Winnipeg (53-20-10) took Game One of this series on Wednesday with their 3-2 victory in a game where they scored two goals in the 3rd period to rally from a 2-1 deficit. The Jets entered that 3rd period with a 1-0 score before both teams found the back of the net two times. Expect the scoring to continue in this important game for the Wild that wants to avoid falling behind by an 0-2 deficit in this series. Winnipeg has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against opponents that did not score more than two goals in their last game. The Jets are scoring 3.9 Goals-Per-Game at home in the Bell MTS Place this season — and they are averaging 4.0 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. Winnipeg peppered the Wild’s goalie Devan Dubnyk with 40 shots on Wednesday. They remain undermanned with their depth at the blue-line with Toby Enstrom and Dmitry Kulikov out with injuries. The Jets have won six straight games — and this will be their fourth game on home ice. Winnipeg has played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total after winning their last two games at home. The Jets have also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing their fourth game at home in a row.

Minnesota (45-27-11) needs to put pressure on the Jets’ goalie Connor Hellebuyck after only peppering him with 20 shots on Wednesday. The Wild should see their top line of Eric Staal, Jason Zucker and Nino Niederreiter be more aggressive tonight after they failed to generate a combined point in Game One. The trio combined for only four shots on net and just two legitimate scoring opportunities in that game. Minnesota has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss to a Central Division rival. The Wild have also played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. And in their last 17 road games after a game where they allowed at least two goals in the 3rd period. Considering that Minnesota is allowing 3.5 Goals-Per-Game when on the road, they have to enter this game thinking they need to score at least three goals on Hellebuyck to win this game. Lastly, these two teams have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing in Winnipeg. 25* NHL 1st Round Central Division Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between Minnesota Wild (53) and the Winnipeg Jets (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-12-18 Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 6 Top 1-5 Push 0 3 h 48 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (11) and the Boston Bruins (12). Boston (50-20-9) is limping into the playoffs having lost four of their last five games after their 4-2 loss in Florida. The Bruins have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game. Boston has also played 6 straight home games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least two goals. The good news for this team is that they will be healthier for the playoffs with both Rick Nash and Sean Kuraly practicing with the team this week and listed as probable to play tonight after they were out for that recent losing stretch. With a core group of Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand and Zeno Chara, the Bruins still have the leadership team that led them to a Stanley Cup win in 2013. Expect this team to be prepared to grind out a lower scoring game in this opening salvo. Their offense is struggling as they are scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. Goalie Tuukka Rask has been solid this season with a 2.36 Goals-Against-Average and a .917 save percentage — but he has a very good resume in the playoffs which included raising the Cup as the starting goalie in that 2013 campaign. In 53 career starts in the playoffs, Rask has a 2.12 GAA along with a .928 save percentage. Rask also likes playing against the Maple Leafs as he enjoys a 2.14 GAA with a .925 save percentage in 25 career starts in the regular season against them. Moving forward, the Under is 18-6-3 in Boston’s last 27 games against fellow Atlantic Division opponents. The Under is 33-16-6 in the Bruins’ last 55 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 home games with the Total set at 6 or higher, Boston has played 5 of these games Under the Total.

Toronto (49-26-5) enters the playoffs having four of their last six games with their 4-2 win over Montreal. Head coach Mike Babcock perhaps got this team to overachieve last season by making the playoffs with such a young roster. Some critics have suggested this year’s team has not been as dynamic on offense when considering their great young talent led buy Auston Matthews. However, Babcock has been molding his team to be able to be comfortable playing in the harder-hitting games that typically are required to advance deep into the playoffs. The Maple Leafs have played 10 of their last 13 opening games to a new playoff series Under there Total. Toronto has also seen the Under go 11-5-1 in their last 17 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Goalie Frederik Anderson has been solid again this season with a 2.81 GAA and a .917 save percentage although those numbers are not as good as what he posted last year when he carried this team at times. But Anderson loves playing against the Bruins against whom he has a 2.09 GAA along with a .935 save percentage in eleven career starts. The veteran also has plenty of playoff experience with a 2.45 GAA and .915 save percentage in thirty-two postseason starts. The Maple Leafs have now allowed more than two goals in their last three regular season games. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in two straight games — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in three straight contests. Lastly, in their last 8 trips to Boston, Toronto has played 6 of these games Under the Total. 25* NHL 1st Round Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (11) and the Boston Bruins (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-11-18 Flyers v. Penguins UNDER 6 Top 0-7 Loss -104 5 h 35 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Flyers (5) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (6). Philadelphia (42-26-14) enters the playoffs having won four of their last five games with their 5-0 shutout over the Rangers last Saturday. Head coach Dave Hakstol tipped his hand by starting Brian Elliott in goal for their last two games after he missed 25 games through April 3rd — so he has to be pleased with that shutout to end the regular season. Elliott only made five starts after the All-Star Break but he was outstanding with a 1.94 Goals-Against-Average and a .918 save percentage. The Flyers have a good core of young players — but after their dynamic top line featuring Sean Couturier and Claude Giroux, the scoring prowess of their forwards drops off considerably. Philadelphia has only seven players who registered at least 30 points during the regular season. Expect the Flyers to play with more caution on the road in this opening game of the playoffs. They have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice. The Under is also 5-1-1 in Philly’s last 7 games in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals.

Pittsburgh (47-29-6) has also won four of their last five games with their 4-0 shutout win over Ottawa last Friday. The Flyers have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams that did not allow more than two goals in their last game. These Penguins are considered to be not more than average with their blue-line — but I find those assessments undervaluing a group that helped the Penguins win the Stanley Cup for the second straight season. Pittsburgh has Kris Letang back to lead their defense after he missed all of the postseason last year with a herniated disc in his neck. But it was two years ago in the Pens’ first Cup run where Letang raised his level of play to establish that he was a top tier number one blue-liner. He is joined this year with many of the players that manned the blue-line in Brian Doumolin, Justin Schultz and Olli Maatta. I am loving that Game One of this series has a Total listed at 6 — let’s attack that number which is quite high for a playoff game. Head coach Mike Sullivan had his forwards help on defense in the playoffs last year to compensate for the absence of Letang which resulted in plenty of Unders — and I do not see him deviating from that winning formula. The Penguins were outscored this season in 5-on-5 play so I do not see Sullivan being too anxious in getting into a high scoring affair with the Flyers. Instead, Pittsburgh should be able to take advantage of their Power Play opportunities to grind out low-scoring games. The Penguins led the NHL with a Power Play Unit that converted on 26.2% of their chances. They also scored on 5 of their 13 Power Play chances in their four games against a Flyers’ team that ranked 29th in the NHL with a Power Play Kill Unit that was successful only 75.8% of the time. Pittsburgh also has a battle-tested net minder in Matt Murray who enjoys a 1.95 Goals-Against-Average with a .928 save percentage in 32 playoff games. Lastly, the Under is supported by two strong empirical situational angles. First, in games in the month of April with the Total set at 6 or higher, when the home team has won at least three of their last four games, the game finished Under the Total in 47 of these last 67 (70%) situations where these conditions applied since 1996. Second, in games involving a home team coming off a shutout win now facing a team did not allow more than one goal, these games finished Under the Total in 227 of the last 381 situations where these conditions applied since 1996. 25* NHL First Round Metropolitan Division Playoffs Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Flyers (5) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-10-18 Suns v. Mavs UNDER 209 Top 124-97 Loss -115 3 h 50 m Show

At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Phoenix Suns (507) and the Dallas Mavericks (508). Phoenix (20-61) has lost two straight games after their 117-100 loss to Golden State on Sunday as a 12.5-point underdog. The Suns allowed the Warriors to make 52.2% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last three games. Phoenix has then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Additionally, the Suns gave played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on their home court. And in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, Phoenix has played 14 of these games Under the Total.

Dallas (24-57) has lost three straight games with their 109-97 loss in Philadelphia on Sunday as a 13.5-point underdog. The Mavericks allows the 76ers to make 50.5% of their shots in that game which was their worst defensive effort in their last nine games. Dallas has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Mavericks have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Dallas returns home where they have played 22 of their last 32 home games Under the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. The Mavs will be looking to avenge a 102-88 loss to the Suns in Phoenix back on January 31st — and they have played 18 of their last 28 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a double-digit loss on the road. Lastly, in the last 16 meetings between these two teams in Dallas, the game finished Under the Total 13 times. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Phoenix Suns (507) and the Dallas Mavericks (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-05-18 Warriors v. Pacers UNDER 210 Top 106-126 Loss -104 1 h 2 m Show

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (701) and the Indiana Pacers (702). Golden State (57-21) has won three straight games with their 111-107 upset victory at Oklahoma City on Tuesday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Warriors flexed their muscles on defense by holding the Thunder to just a 37.6% field goal percentage. This Golden State team is still playing without Stephen Curry but they do have their other Big Three players in Kevin Durant, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green back healthy and on the court. The results have been lower scoring games with the team seeming to emphasize defense as they prepare for the playoffs. They have held their last five opponents to just 103.6 PPG as compared to their 107 PPG they allow for the season. The Warriors are also scoring just 105.6 PPG over those last five games which is far below the 113.9 PPG scoring average for the year. Golden State has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a win on the road. Additionally, the Warriors have played 21 of their last 28 games Under the Total Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now Golden State stays on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Warriors have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against fellow Eastern Conference opponents. They will be looking to avenge a 92-81 loss at home to the Pacers just back on March 27th — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss in the Oracle Center.

Indiana (46-32) saw their five-game winning stream snapped on Tuesday with their 107-104 loss in Denver as a 4.5-point underdog. The Pacers have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. Additionally, Indiana has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread win. And in their last 29 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game, the Under is 21-6-1. Now this team returns home where they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. The Pacers have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents. Lastly, in their last 8 opportunities to host the Warriors, the game finished Under the Total 6 times. 25* NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (701) and the Indiana Pacers (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-02-18 Michigan v. Villanova UNDER 145.5 Top 62-79 Win 100 24 h 9 m Show

At 9:20 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Michigan Wolverines (601) and the Villanova (602). Villanova (35-4) made 13 of their 26 shots from behind the arc in the first-half on Saturday en route to their 95-79 win over Kansas. The memories of the Wildcats’ explosive first-half while making 55.4% of their shots and scoring 95 points against the Jayhawks will compel many bettors take expect another high scoring game and take the Over. The Wildcats 3-point shooting quickly regressed back to their mean in the second-half as they made only 5 of their 14 (35.7%) shots from 3-point land. And while Kansas and Michigan hold their opponents to just a 33.3% and 33.0% shooting percentage from the 3-point line, this Wolverines team does a much better job in contesting these shots. Michigan ranks 5th in the nation with their opponents taking only 29.8% of their shots from the field from downtown which is far lower than Kansas’ 39.1% 3-point attempt to field goal attempt ratio. The Jayhawks simply did not execute on defense in the opening moments of that game — and that combined with Villanova’s Omari Spellman exposing Kansas big man Udoka Azubuike out on the perimeter. It will be much harder to do that against Michigan who have already played three wars against a Purdue team that has a similar offensive profile as this Wildcats team. Mo Wagner is much more mobile than Azubuike which will help his defensive assignment against Spellman. So while Villanova will cover the point spread if they shoot 50% from 3-point land, there is simply plenty of reasons to conclude that was an outlier performance. I expect both teams to be nervy in this game given the pressure of the moment. Both of these teams also sacrifice offensive rebounding for getting back on defense — so the tempo of this game can quickly become a slower, half-court affair. The Wolverines only rebound 25.6% of their missed shots which is 270th in the nation. And while Villanova ranks 149th in the nation with a healthier 29.4% offensive rebound rate, that number dropped significantly to a 25.2% mark in Big East play. The Wildcats have covered all five of their games in the NCAA Tournament as the favorite — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after covering at least three straight games as the favorite. Villanova has also played 7 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court with the number set in the 145 to 149.5 point range. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing with one day or less between games. And while the Wolverines hold their opponents to just 62.9 PPG, Villanova has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams that do not allow more than 64 PPG.

Michigan (33-7) is now ranked 3rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency after their 69-57 win over Loyola-Chicago on Saturday. They held the Ramblers to just a 43.1% shooting mark while limiting them to making only 1 of their 10 shots from behind the arc. The Wolverines raised their level of play in January when Xavier Simpson finally earned the starting point guard job. Simpson is an outstanding defender who has stymied some of the best offensive guards in the nation — he will make things difficult for the Wildcats’ Jalen Brunson. It is defense that has gotten this Michigan team to the National Championship Game. They made only 42.4% of their shots against the Ramblers — and that was the fourth time in this NCAA Tourney in their five games where they did not shoot better than 44.7% from the field. Head coach John Beilein will try to slow the pace of this game. The Wolverines rank 324th in the nation by averaging only 64.8 possessions per game as compared to the 68.3 national average for possessions. Michigan also ranks 309th in the nation with a patient offense that averages 18.7 seconds per possession which is 1.5 seconds slower than the national average. This slower pace translates into the NCAA Tournament where the Wolverines have now played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total. Michigan has also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court as an underdog or pick ‘em. Additionally, the Wolverines have played 8 of their last 12 games on a neutral court Under the Total with the number set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. And in their last 11 games when playing their second game in three days, Michigan has played 8 of these games Under the Total. 25* College Basketball Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Michigan Wolverines (601) and the Villanova (602). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-31-18 Kansas v. Villanova UNDER 155 Top 79-95 Loss -110 26 h 3 m Show

At 8:49 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas Jayhawks (813) and the Villanova Wildcats (814). This is an interesting clash between two teams that love to attempt 3-point shots. Kansas (31-7) is attempting more 3-pointers than ever under Bill Self with 41.4% of their field goal attempts coming from behind the arc which is 80th in the nation. Jay Wright has been having his team take advantage of the 3-point shot for years now — this year’s Wildcats are attempting 47.1% of their shots from 3-point land which is 14th most in the nation. This importance on the 3-point shot extends to the defensive end of the court where both teams emphasize defending against these shots. The Jayhawks hold their opponents to just a 32.7% shooting mark from inside the arc while Villanova limits their opponents to just a 32.2% field goal percentage from 3-point land. I see these similar styles clashing to produce a lower scoring game between these two heavyweights that will be feeling the pressure of the Final Four. Kansas made only 43.5% of their shots on Sunday in their 85-81 win in overtime over Duke as a 3.5-point underdog. The Jayhawks have then played 18 of their last 26 road games Under the Total after a game where they scored at least 85 points. Kansas made 13 shots from 3-point land against the Blue Devils after making 10 shots from behind the arc in their previous game against Clemson — but they have then played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after making at least 10 shots from behind the arc in each of their last two games. Additionally, while the Wildcats outscore their opponents by +16.4 PPG, the Jayhawks have played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +8.0 PPG.

Villanova (34-4) reached the Final Four with their 71-59 win over Texas Tech as a 6-point favorite last Sunday. The Wildcats held the Red Raiders to just a 33.3% shooting percentage in that victory. Villanova has raised their level of play on the defensive end of the court in this Big Dance as they have held their four opponents to scoring at just a 0.99 Points-Per-Possession rate. But concerns exist for the Wildcats on the offensive end of the court after they also made only 33.3% of their shots. Jay Wright credited the Red Raiders’ scouting and schemes to stymie their 3-point offensive attack. They made only 4 of their 24 (16.7%) shots from the 3-point line — and Kansas should be replicating those schemes with a week to prepare for this contest. Villanova has covered the point spread in all four of their NCAA Tournament games as the favorite — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after covering the point as the favorite in three straight games. 25* CBB Final Four Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas Jayhawks (813) and the Villanova Wildcats (814). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-30-18 Illinois-Chicago v. Northern Colorado OVER 157.5 Top 71-76 Loss -110 5 h 30 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Illinois-Chicago Flames (781) and the Northern Colorado Bears (782). Northern Colorado (25-12) reached the Championship Game of the College Insider Tournament on Wednesday with their 99-80 win over Sam Houston State as a 10.5-point favorite. The Bears made 59% of their shots in that game — they are torching the nets to close out the season by making 52.7% of their shots over their last five games. They are scoring 89.9 PPG on their home court this season while making 49.9% of their shots. Northern Colorado has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games on their home court Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, not only have the Bears played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring 80 points in their last game but they have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last contest. Northern Colorado made 17 of their 30 (56.7%) shots from behind the arc on Wednesday — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after making at least 13 shots from behind the arc in their last contest. Furthermore, the Over is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games on their home court — and they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Bears have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams outside the Big Sky Conference.

Illinois-Chicago (20-15) reached the Finals of the CIT with their 67-51 upset win at Liberty on Wednesday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Flames are finding their offense late in the season as the are shooting 46.6% from the field over their last five games which is a notch or so higher than their 45.2% season field goal percentage. Illinois-Chicago has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after an upset win. They have also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a double-digit win on the road. Furthermore, this team has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. The Flames have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Illinois-Chicago has played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after winning three of their last four contests. Lastly, the Flames have played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 150 to 159.5 point range. 25* CBB CIT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Illinois-Chicago Flames (781) and the Northern Colorado Bears (782). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-28-18 Mavs v. Lakers UNDER 216 Top 93-103 Win 100 5 h 23 m Show

At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (515) and the Los Angeles Lakers (516). Los Angeles (32-41) was eliminated from the Western Conference playoffs 112-106 loss in Detroit on Monday as a 4.5-point favorite. The Lakers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Los Angeles is a bit of M*A*S*H unit right now with their leading scoring Brandon Ingram out along with Josh Hart and now Isaiah Thomas who has is dealing with a hip injury like Ingram. Now after playing their last four games on the road, the Lakers return home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. LA has also played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, the Lakers have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

Dallas (23-51) snapped their five-game losing streak with their 103-97 upset win at Sacramento last night as 3-point underdogs. The Mavericks have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. Furthermore, Dallas has played 33 of their last 47 games Under the Total after an upset win — and this includes them playing eighteen of their last twenty-six games Under the Total after an upset win on the road. The Mavs have also played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a narrow win by 6 points or less — and the Under is a decisive 43-22-1 in their last 65 games after a straight-up win. Dallas is also dealing with a host of injuries with Wesley Matthews and Jose Barrea joining Seth Curry as being unavailable for this team. The Mavericks have played 28 of their last 42 games Under the Total when the Total is set in the 210 to 219.5 point range — and this includes them playing ten of their last fifteen games Under the Total when on the road with the over/under within this 210 to 219.5 point range. Dallas has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Lastly, the Mavericks are looking to avenge a 124-102 loss to the Lakers in the Staples Center back on February 23rd. Dallas has played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss — and they have played 15 of their last 222 games when avenging a loss on the road. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (515) and the Los Angeles Lakers (516). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-27-18 Mississippi State v. Penn State UNDER 136 Top 60-75 Win 100 8 h 35 m Show

At 9:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs (779) and the Penn State Nittany Lions (780). Mississippi State (25-11) reached the Semifinals of the NIT with their 79-56 upset win at Louisville as a 6-point underdog last Tuesday. The Bulldogs held the Cardinals to just a 35% field goal percentage in that game. This Mississippi State plays very good defense — they rank 31st in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency. Their last five opponents are shooting just 40.1% from the field. The Bulldogs have played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Mississippi State has also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after winning three straight games — and they have played a decisive 36 of their last 56 games on the road Under the Total after winning three straight games. Additionally, while the Bulldogs have played their last two games on the road as an underdog, they have then played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after playing two straight games on the road as a dog. Furthermore, Mississippi State has played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

Penn State (24-13) has also won three straight games with their 85-80 upset win at Marquette last Tuesday. The Nittany Lions made 53.4% of their shots in that game which was their best shooting effort in their last ten contests. They also allowed the Golden Eagles to make 45.9% of their shots which was actually the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have allowed in their last three games. Penn State has the 19th best defense in the nation when measured by Adjusted Efficiency. They will need to lean on their defense tonight considering that they are making only 40.1% of their shots over their last five games. Expect this game to be more of a defensive struggle as they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a game where at least 155 combined points were scored. The Nittany Lions have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with five or six days of rest. Additionally, Penn State has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams outside the Big Ten. 25* CBB NIT Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs (779) and the Penn State Nittany Lions (780). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-25-18 Ducks v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 Top 5-4 Loss -100 5 h 31 m Show

At 9:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (9) and the Edmonton Oilers (10). Edmonton (34-36-4) has won three straight games with their 3-2 win over the Los Angeles Kings last night. Goalie Cam Talbot stopped 27 of the 29 shots he faced to earn the win. This was a great Under situation save for the possibility that backup goalie Al Montoya would be between the pipes tonight given that Talbot played last night. Montoya cannot be trusted with Unders. However, my sources have informed me that Montoya is unavailable this evening (and the Oilers are calling up a backup goaltender from their minor league team) — so it will be Talbot playing again tonight. Voila, we have a great situation for us now. Talbot struggled earlier in the season — and his step back this season from an outstanding 2016-17 campaign is one of the reasons why this Edmonton team will not be in the playoffs this season. But Talbot has found his form this month with a 2.19 Goals-Against-Average and a .936 save percentage. And he has a solid 2.49 GAA with a .912 save percentage when playing without rest so that is not a concern for me. The Oilers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a victory — and they have played 10 of their last 13 home games Under the Total after a win by one goal or less. Edmonton has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing two goals or less in their last contest. Over their last five games, the Oilers are allowing only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game. Edmonton stays at home where the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, the Under is 3-1-2.

Anaheim (38-24-6) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Friday with their 3-2 loss in overtime at Winnipeg. The Ducks have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game. Anaheim may be without their captain and top-line center in Ryan Getzlaf tonight as he is questionable with a stomach virus. That means the team will be leaning even more on goalie John Gibson who has been of fire as of late. Since the All-Star Break, Gibson has a 1.80 GAA along with a .942 save percentage with three shutouts in 17 starts. He also enjoys a 1.45 GAA in his three starts against the Oilers this season. Anaheim will be looking to avenge a 6-5 loss to Edmonton back on February 25th — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least five goals. The Ducks have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road. They also have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 37 games against fellow Western Conference foes, the Under is 26-10-1. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (9) and the Edmonton Oilers (10). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-25-18 Texas Tech v. Villanova UNDER 144.5 Top 59-71 Win 100 18 h 44 m Show

At 2:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (719) and the Villanova Wildcats (720). Texas Tech (27-9) has won five of their last six games with their 78-65 upset win over Purdue on Friday. The Red Raiders made 47.5% of their shots in that game which was actually the best offensive performance in their last five contests. They also held the Boilermakers to just a 44.8% shooting percentage which sounds pretty good (especially against an offensive powerhouse like Purdue) — yet that was their highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six contests. Texas Tech is a defense-first team that likes to play at a slower pace. They average 66.7 possessions per game which is the 247th fewest in the nation. Chris Beard’s team is 3rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. While they are facing a Michigan team that scores 87.0 PPG, they have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams that score at least 84.0 PPG. The Red Raiders have also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total in Tournament action — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total with the Total in the 140 to 149.5 point range. And in the last 42 games on the road with no more than one day of rest, they have played 28 of these games Under the Total.

Villanova (33-4) has won eight straight games with their 90-78 win over West Virginia on Friday. The Wildcats held the Mountaineers to just a 38.6% field goal percentage in their victory. Villanova has played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total when playing with no more than one day of rest. The Wildcats made 23 of their 27 (85.2%) of their free throws against a West Virginia team that commits a ton of fouls as a by-product of their defensive pressure. Villanova has played 19 of their last 25 games on the road Under the Total after a game where they made at least 78% of their free throws. There were 76 possessions in that game with West Virginia which may persuade many bettors into expecting another Over with Jay Wright’s offensive juggernaut that has put up amazing shooting numbers over the years. But in Villanova’s previous ten NCAA Tournament games, the average number of possessions was 63.8 which is far below this year’s average throughout all of Division One College Basketball of 68.3. The Wildcats made 13 of their 24 (54.2%) of their 3-point shots against West Virginia but those shots may be harder to come by against this Red Raiders’ defense that holds their opponents to just a 32.8% shooting percentage from behind the arc. 25* CBB Elite Eight Total of the Year with Texas Tech Red Raiders (719) and the Villanova Wildcats (720). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-23-18 Clemson v. Kansas UNDER 143 Top 76-80 Loss -110 9 h 3 m Show

At 7:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Clemson Tigers (877) and the Kansas Jayhawks (878). Clemson (25-9) reached the Sweet 16 with their 84-53 upset win over Auburn on Sunday. The Tigers flexed their muscles on defense by holding the Tigers to just a 25.8% shooting percentage in what was their best defensive effort of the season. Clemson should be able to maintain this level of defensive intensity — they rank 7th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and have held their first two NCAA Tournament opponents to 32% shooting. The Tigers have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. Additionally, Clemson has covered the point spread in four straight games — and they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in two straight games while playing 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in at least three straight games. It is on offense where the Tigers are likely to receive a visit from the Regression Gods after they made 51.6% of their shots in their first two games in the Big Dance including nailing 16 of their 40 (40%) shots from behind the arc. Clemson is not a strong offensive team — they ranked 11th in the ACC in Adjusted Efficiency. The Tigers shooting inside the arc has been the biggest surprise as they made 46 of their 80 (57.5%) 2-point shots after making only 46.2% of their shots inside the arc in ACC play which ranked 10th in the conference. The season-ending injury to their best player in 6’9 Donte Grantham has really hurt the offensive effectiveness of this team. With Grantham on the court, Clemson was making 56.6% of their shots inside the arc — but without him, they see that number drop to just a 45.4% slip for their 2-pointers. They were scoring 77 PPG before Grantham’s injury but that number dropped to a 68 PPG clip for this team before they began the Big Dance. The Tigers benefited from playing New Mexico State and an Auburn team that suffered their own challenging season-ending injury in Anfernee McLemore who their best post defender. Moving forward, the Tigers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in non-conference play.

Kansas (29-7) has won five straight games after they defeated Seton Hall by an 83-79 score as a 4.5-point favorite. The Jayhawks have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win where they failed to cover the point spread — and the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a point spread loss. Kansas’ rim protector Udoka Azubuike was only able to play 22 minutes in that win over the Pirates — but they did hold Seton Hall to a 45% field goal percentage. With the extra days to rest and rehab his knee, Azubuike should be able to impose his presence of the defensive end of the court tonight. And while the Jayhawks have scored at least 76 points in five straight games, they have then played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total after scoring at least 75 points in five straight games. Lastly, Kansas has played 29 of their last 40 games in the NCAA Tournament Under the Total. 25* CBB Sweet Sixteen Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Clemson Tigers (877) and the Kansas Jayhawks (878). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-20-18 Mississippi State v. Louisville OVER 144 Top 79-56 Loss -108 2 h 44 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs (667) and the Louisville Cardinals (668). Mississippi State (24-11) has won two straight games — as well as three of their last four games — with their 78-77 upset win at Baylor on Sunday as a 5.5-point underdog. The Bulldogs have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Mississippi State has also played a decisive 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a game where both teams scored at least 75 points. The Bulldogs stay on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total — and they have also played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court.

Louisville (22-13) reached the NIT Quarterfinals with their 84-68 win over Middle Tennessee on Sunday as a 4.5-point favorite. The Cardinals have then seen the Over go 20-5-2 in their last 27 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is also 19-6-1 in their last 26 games after a point spread victory. Louisville has also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a win on their home court. Additionally, the Cardinals have covered the point spread in five of their last seven games — and they have then played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. 25* CBB NIT Quarterfinals Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs (667) and the Louisville Cardinals (668). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-19-18 Washington v. St. Mary's UNDER 143.5 Top 81-85 Loss -105 4 h 19 m Show

At 11:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Huskies (621) and the St. Mary’s Gaels (622). St. Mary’s (29-5) reached the second round of the NIT last Tuesday with their 89-45 win over Southeastern Louisiana as a 14.5-point favorite. The Gaels torched the Lions by making 59.3% of their shots which was the best offensive effort in their last eight games. This game shapes up to be more of a defensive struggle. St. Mary’s has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 30 points. Additionally, the Gaels have paled 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a win at home — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread. Furthermore, this team has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after scoring at least 80 points in their last game — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. St. Mary’s gets to host this second round game where they are holding their opponents to just 59.8 PPG on 40.9% shooting. The Gaels have played 14 of their last 16 games Under the Total on their home court. And in their last 5 games against non-conference opponents, St. Mary’s has played 4 of these games Under the Total.

Washington (21-12) advanced to the second round of the NIT with their 77-74 upset win over Boise State as a 2-point last Wednesday. The Huskies held the Broncos to just a 35.4% shooting percentage as they continued to play well on that end of the court leading the Pac-12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But Washington was 10th in the conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency so they will need to lean on their defensive play to stay competitive in this game. They make only 43.2% of their shots on the road. The Huskies have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Washington has also played 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 14 of their last 17 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Lastly, the Huskies have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* CBB NIT Second Round Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Huskies (621) and the St. Mary’s Gaels (622). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-17-18 Loyola-Chicago v. Tennessee UNDER 131 Top 63-62 Win 100 3 h 24 m Show

At 6:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (531) and the Tennessee Volunteers (532). Tennessee (28-8) played perhaps their best defensive game of the season on Thursday in their 73-47 win over Wright State. The Volunteers held the Raiders to just a 31.7% shooting percentage which was their best defensive performance of the season. Expect another outstanding defensive effort from Rick Barnes’ team as they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing 50 or less points in their last game. Tennessee has also played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. This Vols team boasts the nation’s 5th best statistical defense in terms of Adjusted Efficiency. They should slow down this Ramblers’ juggernaut. Tennessee can be exploited on the offensive glass — they allow their opponents to rebound 31.3% of their missed shots which is 288th in the nation. But this Loyola-Chicago team sacrifices offensive rebounding to get back on defense — they only rebound 22.2% of their missed shots which is 332nd lowest in the nation. Of course, the Ramblers’ commitment to getting back on defense will frustrate the Volunteers who love to get their offense going on the fast break. Tennessee struggles in their half-court offense — they make only 47.2% of their shots inside the arc (282nd in the nation). Tennessee has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 12 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, the Volunteers have played 9 of these games Under the Total.

Loyola-Chicago (29-5) reached the Round of 32 with their 64-62 win over Miami (FL) has a 1.5-point underdog on Thursday. The Ramblers eked that game out by making 47.3% from the field which was their best offensive effort in their last five games. But they also allowed the Hurricanes to make 51% of their shots which as their worst defensive effort in their last twenty-six contests. Expect Loyola-Chicago to play much better on defense this afternoon. This team ranks 27th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Tennessee makes over 38% of their 3-point shots — but the Ramblers rank 44th in the nation by holding their opponents to just a 32.7% shooting mark from behind the arc. Loyola-Chicago has played 6 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And with that game with the Hurricanes finishing below the 133 point total, the Ramblers have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Loyola’s previous game resulted in a 65-49 victory over Illinois State in the Finals of the Missouri Valley Conference Championship Game — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 65 points in their last two games. The Ramblers have also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 65 points in two straight contests. Loyola-Chicago’s offense stems primarily from good shooting — they are 8th in the nation in effective field goal percentage while ranking 14th in the nation with a 40.0% shooting mark from downtown. But the Volunteers rank 12th in the nation in their opponent’s eFG while limiting their opponents to just a 31.5% shooting mark from behind the arc which is 14th best in the country. Lastly, the Ramblers have played 5 straight games Under the Total on a neutral court — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament Round Two Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (531) and the Tennessee Volunteers (532). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-15-18 Wright State v. Tennessee UNDER 132 Top 47-73 Win 100 5 h 37 m Show

At 12:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Wright State Raiders (737) and the Tennessee Volunteers (738). I used to like taking Unders for these early tournament games on neutral courts in the Conference Tournaments — but too many bettors started latching on to that angle to squash much of the value in these investments. I had no early Unders for the Conference Tournaments (and I might have had an Over?) — but I do like the convergence of factors for this game to be lower scoring than expected between two teams with stout defenses but who can experience scoring droughts. And this game will tip off 11:40 AM local time in Dallas which may contribute to a groggy start for both teams. Wright State (25-9) is a defense-first team that ranked 30th in the nation by allowing only 65.7 PPG. Led by 6’9 freshman Loudon Love and 6’11 Parker Ernsthausen make it very tough for opposing teams to score inside — the Raiders’ ranked 26th in the nation by limiting their opponents to making just 45.6% of their shots inside the arc with that number dropping to just a 44.3% mark in Horizon League play. This strength compels them to play at a slow pace where they are quite content to grind out low-scoring games. This Wright State team has a low effective field goal percentage of 49.0% ranking 254th in the nation — and they make only 34.0% of their shots from behind the arc which ranks 221st in the nation. Only Grant Benzinger makes more than 36% of his shots from 3-point land This team plays as if the first team to 65 points wins — they averaged only 64 PPG in their nine losses this year. They won the Horizon League Tournament with their 74-57 win over Cleveland State — and they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 15 points. And while that game finished Over the 126.5 point total, the Raiders have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing an Over. They limited the Vikings to only 4 offensive rebounds in that game to continue their strong protection of their defensive glass as they ranked 38th in the nation by limiting their opponents to pulling down just 25.0% of their missed shots. Wright State has then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 5 offensive rebounds in their last game. And in their last 10 games against teams outside the Horizon League, Wright State has played 7 of these games Under the Total.

Tennessee (25-8) ranks 4th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. This Volunteers’ team boasts athleticism and length which helps them to be strong in all facets on defense including closing off transitions, forcing turnovers while boasting on-the-ball skills that led to them ranking in the 96th percentile in half-court defense. They limited SEC opponents to scoring at just a 1.01 Points-Per-Possession rate. But this Tennessee team can struggle on offense. They have five players who make at least 38% of their 3-pointers — but because they lack a guard who can create his own shot or who is proficient in creating scoring opportunities for others, this team can become too reliant on jump shots. They rank just 290th in the nation by making only 47.0% of their 2-point shots. In five of their last eight regular season games against SEC foes, the Volunteers scored at a rate lower than 0.97 PPP. Tennessee enters the Big Dance coming off a 77-72 upset loss to Kentucky in the SEC Championship Game as a 2-point favorite where they shot just 37.1% from the field. The Volunteers have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Tennessee has played their last two games Over the Total — but they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. Additionally, the Volunteers have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Furthermore, Tennessee has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the number set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. And in their last 5 games against SEC foes, the Vols have played all 5 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament First Round Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Wright State Raiders (737) and the Tennessee Volunteers (738). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-14-18 Washington v. Boise State UNDER 148.5 Top 77-74 Loss -110 10 h 23 m Show

At 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Huskies (625) and the Boise State Broncos (626). Washington (20-12) enters the NIT having lost two straight games after losing to Oregon State in the Pac-12 Tournament by a 69-66 score last Wednesday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Huskies made only 38.3% of their shots in that game but did hold the Beavers to a 39.3% shooting percentage. Washington has then played 20 of their last 24 games Under the Total after a loss to a conference rival. The Huskies have also played 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total — and they have played 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Washington was the lower seed in this game — but a conflict with the Boise State basketball arena tonight means that the Huskies will be hosting this game. The Huskies have played 8 of their last 11 home games Under the Total. Washington has also played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And while this team has played their last two games Under the Total, they have then played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight games Under the Total.

Boise State (23-8) has lost two of their last three games with their 78-75 upset loss to Utah State last Thursday as an 8-point favorite. The Broncos went to halftime with a 40-32 lead — and they have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in the first-half of their last game. Boise State made 14 of their 18 free throw attempts (78%) in that game — and they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a game where they made at least 78% of their free throw attempts. The Broncos have to accept that they will be on the road for this game (despite being the lower seed) — and they have seen the Under go 12-3-1 in their last road games which includes playing seven straight Unders against teams with a winning record at home. Boise State has also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams outside the Mountain West Conference. And in their last 16 games with the Total set in the 140 got 149.5 point range, the Broncos have played 12 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB NIT First Round Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Huskies (625) and the Boise State Broncos (626). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-14-18 Colgate v. San Francisco UNDER 140.5 Top 68-72 Win 100 10 h 36 m Show

At 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colgate Raiders (633) and the San Francisco Dons (634). San Francisco (18-15) has lost two of their last three games after their 88-60 loss to Gonzaga as a 13-point underdog back on March 5th. The Dons played their worst defensive game of the season by watching the Bulldogs make 53.3% of their shots in that game. Expect a strong defensive effort from San Francisco tonight as they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. The Dons have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. San Francisco hosts this game where they hold their visitors to just a 42.6% shooting percentage — but they only make 42.8% of their shots as well. The Dons have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total — and they have also seen the Under go 11-4-1 in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 8 home games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, the game finished Under the Total 7 times.

Colgate (19-13) saw their five-game losing streak snapped last Wednesday with their rough 83-54 loss at Bucknell as an 8.5-point underdog. The Raiders made only 32.7% of their shots in that game — and that came on the heels of making only 32.1% of their shots in their previous game. Over their last five games, this team is shooting only 40.3% from the field. But the bigger problem for Colgate was that Bucknell made 51.7% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last four contests. The Raiders have then played 7 of their last 10 boarded games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Additionally, Colgate has played 4 of their last 5 boarded games Under the Total on the road — and they have played a decisive 17 of their last 19 road boarded games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Raiders have played 5 straight games Under the Total against non-conference opponents. And in their last 25 games as an underdog, Colgate has played 18 of these boarded games Under the Total. 25* CBB CBI First Round Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Colgate Raiders (633) and the San Francisco Dons (634). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-13-18 Long Island v. Radford UNDER 139 Top 61-71 Win 100 18 h 38 m Show

At 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Long Island Blackbirds (543) and the Radford Highlanders (544). Redford (22-12) earned an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament with their 55-52 win over Liberty last Sunday to win the Big South Conference Tournament. The Highlanders got it done by playing outstanding defense. They have held their last five opponents to just a 39.2% shooting percentage which is a bit lower than their 42.8% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. Radford has then played 4 straight boarded games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 boarded games Under the Total after a win over a conference rival. Additionally, the Highlanders have played 6 of their last 7 boarded games Under the Total after not allowing more than 55 points in their last game. Radford’s win over Liberty occurred despite the Flames making 43.9% of their shots which was the best shooting percentage of their last seven opponents. The Highlanders shot 36.2% from the field which sounds low — but it was actually their best field goal percentage over their last three games. Scoring is an issue for this Radford team that makes only 41.2% of their shots away from home. They are making only 39.6% of their shots over their last five games. The Highlanders scored only 61 points in their previous game — and they have then played 5 of the last 6 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 65 points in two straight games. They only had 7 assists in their win over Liberty — and they have played 5 straight boarded games Under the Total after failing to generate at least 9 team assists in their last game. Long Island loves to shoot 3s as they average 23 shots from behind the 3-point line — but head coach Mike Jones coached teams have played 9 of their last 11 boarded games Under the Total against opponents who attempt at least 21 shots from behind the arc per game. Redford was 2nd in the Big South in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they led the conference by holding their opponents to just a 47.1% shooting percentage inside the arc.

Long Island (18-16) earned an automatic bid to the Big Dance with their 71-61 win at Wagner last Tuesday. The Blackbirds have then played 5 of their last 7 boarded games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 9 boarded games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Additionally, Long Island has played 5 of their last 6 boarded games Under the Total after winning at least two in a row. Over their last five contests, the Blackbirds defense has improved significantly as they have held those opponents to just a 35.5% field goal percentage. The Seahawks made only 30% of their shots despite having the advantage of playing on their home court in that Big South Tournament Championship Game. But Long Island was on fire wit their shooting as they made 53.2% of their shots — but they are not likely to come close to that figure in this game when considering that was tied for the best field goal percentage over their last fourteen games. Moving forward, the Highlanders have played 5 of their last 6 boarded. games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. And in their last 6 boarded games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, the Blackbirds have played 4 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament First Four Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Long Island Blackbirds (543) and the Radford Highlanders (544). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-09-18 Mississippi State v. Tennessee UNDER 133 Top 59-62 Win 100 2 h 24 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs (849) and the Tennessee Volunteers (850). Mississippi State (22-10) reached the Quarterfinals of the SEC Tournament yesterday with their 80-77 win over LSU as a 3-point favorite. The Bulldogs shot lights out in that game by making 58.3% of their shots which was not only their best field goal percentage over their last six games but also their third best offensive effort of the season. But Mississippi State has then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after shooting at least 55% from the field in their last game. The Bulldogs have also played 30 of their last 46 road games Under the Total when playing with one day or rest between games. Additionally, Mississippi State has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when an underdog or a pick ‘em. And while the Volunteers are outscoring their opponents by +8.1 PPG this season, the Bulldogs have played 5 straight games Under the Total against opponents that outscore their opponents by at least +8.0 PPG.

Tennessee (23-7) has won four straight games with their 66-61 win over Georgia last Saturday as an 8.5-point favorite. Despite holding the Bulldogs to just a 42.3% shooting percentage, that was actually the Volunteers highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last four games. Tennessee has not allowed more than 65 points in each of their last four games — and they have then played 12 of their last 14 road games Under the Total after not allowing more than 65 points in four straight contests. Additionally, the Volunteers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Furthermore, Tennessee has played 7 straight road games Under the Total after winning two straight games against SEC rivals. Moving forward, the Volunteers have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Lastly, in their last 10 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, Tennessee has played 8 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB SEC Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs (849) and the Tennessee Volunteers (850). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-08-18 San Diego State v. Fresno State UNDER 138 Top 64-52 Win 100 1 h 17 m Show

At 5:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (719) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (720). San Diego State (19-10) has won six straight games with their 79-74 win over Nevada last Saturday as a 1.5-point favorite. The Aztecs made 49.2% of their shots in that game which was their best shooting effort in their last four games. They also allowed the Wolf Pack to make 49.2% of their shots which was their worst defensive performance in their last seven contests. Both of those results should see some regression this afternoon which points to an Under. As it is, the Under is 5-0-1 in San Diego State’s last 6 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. The Aztecs have also played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after winning three straight games against conference rivals. Now this team goes back on the road after playing their last two games at home — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after playing their last two games on their home court. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Under is 4-1-1  for San Diego State.

Fresno State (21-10) has lost two of their last three games with their 95-86 loss at New Mexico as a 3.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Bulldogs did shoot 49.1% from the field in that game which was their best film goal parentage in their last four games. But Fresno State allowed the Lobos to make 53.7% of their sots which was their worst defensive effort in their last eight contests. Both marks should see declines in this game to help our Under. The Bulldogs have played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. Furthermore, Fresno State has managed to pull down only 8 offensive rebounds in each of their last two games — and they have then played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after not rebounding more than 9 boards in two straight games. Additionally, the Bulldogs have played 26 of their last 38 road games Under the Total after a loss on the road to a conference rival. Lastly, in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Fresno State has played all 4 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (719) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (720). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-05-18 Cleveland State v. Oakland UNDER 146 Top 44-43 Win 100 1 h 4 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland State Vikings (723) and the Oakland Grizzlies (724). Cleveland State (11-22) pulled off their third straight upset victory on Saturday with their 89-80 shocking 89-80 win over tournament favorite Northern Kentucky by an 89-80 score despite being a 14-point underdog. The Vikings have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after an upset win over a conference rival. Cleveland State has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Vikings have played 5 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 85 points in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last contest. Additionally, Cleveland State has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored at least 80 points — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games after a game that finished Over the Total as their game with Norse finished well above that 140 point total. Despite that high scoring game, the Vikings are playing better on defense which explains why they are pulling off these upsets. Cleveland State has held their last five opponents to just a 40.0% shooting percentage. Moving forward, the Vikings have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

Oakland (19-13) looks to build off their 62-55 win over IUPUI yesterday as a 7.5-point favorite. The Grizzlies flexed their muscles on defense by holding the Jaguars to just a 37.7% shooting percentage in the win. Oakland has then played 7 straight games Under the Total after winning a game where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. Additionally, the Grizzlies have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while this Oakland team has failed to cover the point spread in nine of their last ten games, they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven contests. Moving forward, the Grizzlies have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 6 games against teams playing on a neutral field, the Under is 4-1-1. 25* CBB Horizon League Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland State Vikings (723) and the Oakland Grizzlies (724). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-04-18 76ers v. Bucks UNDER 208 Top 110-118 Loss -105 2 h 9 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (809) and the Milwaukee Bucks (810). Philadelphia (34-27) has won two straight games with their 110-99 win over Charlotte on Friday as a 3.5-point favorite. The 76ers made 50.6% of their shots in that game — but they are still shooting only 44.8% over their last five games which a click or two below their 46.5% field goal percentage for the season. The 76ers have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win by at least 10 points. Philadelphia has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win. And in their last 14 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game, the 76ers have played 11 of these games Under the Total. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. Additionally, Philadelphia has played 10 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home.

Milwaukee (33-29) has lost four games in a row with their 103-96 loss to Indiana as a 3.5-point favorite on Friday. The Bucks shot just 38.3% from the field in that game as they continued to struggle on offense while missing two important pieces in their rotation in the injured Matthew Dellavedova and Malcolm Brogdon. Milwaukee is making only 43.3% of their shots over their last five games which is far below their 47.5% season average. The Bucks have then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Milwaukee has played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now the Bucks stay at home where they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total. And in their last 21 games against fellow Eastern Conference opponents, Milwaukee has played 16 of these games Under the Total. 25* NBA Sunday Night ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (809) and the Milwaukee Bucks (810). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-02-18 Wisconsin v. Michigan State UNDER 132 Top 60-63 Win 100 4 h 1 m Show

At 12:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (847) and the Michigan State Spartans (848). Wisconsin (14-17) advanced to the Quarterfinals of the Big Ten Tournament yesterday afternoon with their 59-54 upset win over Maryland as a 2.5-point underdog. The Badgers won that game despite making just 36% of their shots. Wisconsin has won four of their last five games in large part because they have finally started limiting their turnovers. Not offering opponents fast break transition opportunities was a foundational principle for this program under head coach Bo Ryan as they finished in Top-Five nationally in limiting turnovers in the final seven seasons of his coaching tenure. But this Badgers’ team under head coach Greg Gard was turning the ball over in 20.7% of their possessions after their first four games in Big Ten play. This young Wisconsin team has improved significantly in this department as they have not turned the ball over more than 15.9% of their possessions in each of their last eight games. Protecting the basketball has helped the Badgers slow the tempo and grind games out. They have played 4 of their last 5 games in conference play Under the Total. Wisconsin will certainly try to shorten the game and limit the number of scoring possessions for the Spartans. Michigan State is outscoring their opponents by +17.5 PPG — and the Badgers have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +4.0 PPG. Wisconsin has also played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total as an underdog. Additionally, the Under is 12-3-2 in the Badgers’ last 17 games played on a neutral court. Furthermore, Wisconsin is playing with double-revenge this season after losing to Sparty twice this season — and they have played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total when facing a team that has beaten them in at least two straight games.

Michigan State (28-3) takes to the court again after their 68-63 win at this same Wisconsin team last Sunday in Madison as a 7.5-point favorite. The Spartans have then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing just their second game in a week. Additionally, Michigan State has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. This Tom Izzo team may very well be his best defensive team ever in his long career. They lead the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 42.0%. Furthermore, this team is absolutely filthy in protecting the rim as they are limiting their opponents to just a 37.8% shooting mark inside the arc which is the second lowest mark for any team in College Basketball over the last fifteen seasons. But this Spartans team can get stuck on offense if their superstar Miles Bridges can not get his offensive game going. Bridges has not scored more than 10 points in four of his last seven games — and Michigan State has played 6 of those 7 conference games Under the Total. Moving forward, the Spartans have played 28 of their last 42 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range. And while Sparty has only covered the point spread twice in their last eight games, they have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Lastly, Michigan State has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. 25* CBB Big Ten Conference Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (847) and the Michigan State Spartans (848). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-01-18 Oregon State v. Washington UNDER 139.5 Top 77-79 Loss -105 6 h 45 m Show

At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oregon State Beavers (553) and the Washington Huskies (554). Oregon State (14-14) snapped their three-game losing streak on Saturday with their 79-75 win over Arizona State as a 2.5-point underdog. The Beavers made 52.8% of their shots in that game which was their best offensive effort in their last four contests. Oregon State has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory over a conference rival. Additionally, the Beavers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, while that game finished Over the 149.5-point Total, they have then played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. This Oregon State is one of the best defensive teams in the Pac-12 — they rank 4th in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, opponent’s effective field goal percentage and opponent’s 3-point percentage. But this Beavers team struggles on offense as they rank 8th in all three of those offensive categories as well. Oregon State makes only 43.2% of their shots on the road — but they do hold their home hosts to just a 42.8% shooting percentage. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Beavers’ last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Under is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% overall.

Washington (19-10) is the best team in the Pac-12 when it comes to Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, opponent’s effective field goal percentage and opponent’s 3-point field goal percentage. But this Huskies team ranks second to last on offense in all three of those categories. They enter this game having won two of their last three games with their 68-51 win at California as a 3-point favorite on Saturday. Washington has then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, this team has now played a decisive 23 of their last 28 games Under the Total against fellow Pac-12 opponents. They return home where they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Lastly, the Huskies are looking to avenge a 97-94 loss to Oregon State back on February 10th — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge. 25* CBB Pac-12 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oregon State Beavers (553) and the Washington Huskies (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-28-18 Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 207.5 Top 87-110 Win 100 5 h 56 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (701) and the Detroit Pistons (702). Detroit (28-32) has lost three straight games after their 123-94 loss at Toronto on Monday as a 10-point underdog. The Pistons allowed the Raptors to make 52.5% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last twenty-one games. Detroit started out red hot after bringing Blake Griffin into tow — but things have gone south very quickly for this team. Head coach Stan Van Gundy has to get this team playing harder on the defensive end of the court when considering that their shots are not falling. The Pistons are making only 41.9% of their shots over their last five games. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Detroit returns home where the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 contests. Additionally, the Pistons have played 12 of their last 13 road games Under the Total after suffering at least two straight losses on the road. Additionally, the Under is 19-7-3 in their last 29 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 18-6-2 in their last 26 games games after a loss by at least 10 points.

Milwaukee (33-27) has lost two straight games after their 107-104 loss to Washington last night as a 3-point favorite. The Bucks have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. Milwaukee has also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with winning records on their home court. Detroit launches 28 shots from 3-point land per game - -and the Bucks have played 13 of their last 18 games in the second-half of the season Under the Total against opponents that average at least 18 shots from behind the arc per contest. Lastly, in the last 9 meetings between these two teams, the Under is 6-2-1. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (701) and the Detroit Pistons (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-27-18 Ball State v. Central Michigan OVER 150 Top 51-75 Loss -103 1 h 2 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ball State Cardinals (517) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (518). Ball State (19-10) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 87-80 upset loss to Western Michigan as a 4.5-point favorite. The Cardinals allowed the Broncos to shoot 51.7% from the field in that game which was their worst defensive effort in their last six games. They did stay competitive in that game since they made 53.6% of their shots. Now this Ball State goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. The Cardinals have also played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Now they travel to Muskegon to face this Chippewas team that is outscoring their opponents by +5.3 PPG — and Ball State has played 21 of their last 29 games against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +4.0 PPG. Furthermore, Central Michigan launches 28 shots from 3-point range per game — and the Cardinals have played 22 of their last 31 games Over the Total against teams that average at least 21 shots from the 3-point line per game. 

Central Michigan (16-13) has lost three straight games after their 89-76 loss at Toledo on Saturday as a 7-point underdog. The Chippewas have then played 12 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. Central Michigan has also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last contest. Now this team returns home where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total. The Chippewas have also played 6 straight home games Over the total as an underdog. Ball State launches 23 shots from behind the arc themselves — and Central Michigan has played 17 of their last 20 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams that average at least 21 shots per game from 3-point land. Additionally, the Chippewas are looking to avenge a 82-76 loss to Ball State back on January 16th — and they have played 14 of the last 19 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. Lastly, in the last 6 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Ball State Cardinals (517) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (518). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-26-18 Pacers v. Mavs UNDER 210 Top 103-109 Loss -104 5 h 58 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (715) and the Dallas Mavericks (716). Indiana (34-25) has won four straight games with their 116-93 win over Atlanta on Friday as a 7-point favorite. The Pacers have then seen the Under go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a double-digit loss. Indiana has also seen the Under after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. And while that game finished just above the 208.5 point total, they have then played 18 of their last 24 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the number. Now this team goes back on the road where the Under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games. Furthermore, Indiana has played 13 of their last 17 road games in the second half of the season against opponents with a winning percentage in the 25-40% range. And in the last 10 games against Western Conference foes, the Pacers have played 8 of these games Under the Total.

Dallas (18-42) has lost four straight games after their 97-90 loss at Utah on Saturday as a 10-point underdog. The Mavericks have then played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total after losing at least two straight games. Dallas has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Now this team returns home where they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total. The Mavericks have also played 16 of their last 23 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 30 home games with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range, Dallas has played 21 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, the Mavericks have played 23 of their last 35 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, while the Pacers average 106.9 PPG, Dallas has played 11 of their last 13 home games Under the Total in the second half of the season against teams that score at least 106 PPG. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (715) and the Dallas Mavericks (716). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-25-18 Mercer v. Wofford OVER 139 Top 69-68 Loss -115 1 h 36 m Show

At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Mercer Bears (857) and the Wofford Terriers (858). Mercer (17-13) has won seven straight games after their 83-70 win at the Citadel on Friday as a 6.5-point favorite. The Bears shot 49.2% from the field in that game which was actually their worst offensive effort in their last four games. This Mercer team won by playing one of their better games of the season on defense as they held the Citadel to just a 36.7% shooting percentage which was tied for the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six contests. The Bears have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and the Over is also 10-4-1 in their last 15 games after a point spread win. Mercer has also played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after winning at least four straight games. Now this team stays on the road where they have played 12 of their last 16 road games Over the Total as the underdog or as a pick ‘em. The Bears have also played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Mercer has played 4 of these games Over the Total.

Wofford (20-10) has won three of their last four games with their 75-71 upset win at East Tennessee State on Friday as a 9-point underdog. The Terriers have then played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total after an upset win over a conference rival. Wofford has also played a decisive 31 of their last 44 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 9 home games after winning three of their last four, the Terriers have played 8 of these games Over the Total. Now this team returns home where they have played 37 of their last 53 games Over the Total — and this includes playing twenty-two of their last thirty home games Over the Total. Wofford has also played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, the Terriers are looking to avenge a 73-65 loss to the Bears back on February 3rd. Wofford has played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss on the road. 25* CBB Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Mercer Bears (857) and the Wofford Terriers (858). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-24-18 Lakers v. Kings OVER 220 Top 113-108 Win 100 3 h 27 m Show

At 10:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (515) and the Sacramento Kings (516). Los Angeles (24-34) snapped their three-game losing streak last night with their 124-102 win over Dallas as a 4-point favorite. The Lakers were buoyed by the return of Lonzo Ball to the court who helped them shoot 51.6% from the field. Los Angeles has scored at least 106 points in seven straight games — and they have then played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games. The Lakers also held the Mavericks to just a 40.7% shooting percentage in their best defensive effort in their last four games. But LA has then played 4 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. The Lakers have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. Now they go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on their home court, Los Angeles has played 4 of these games Over the Total. Furthermore, the Lakers have played 7 of their lsat 9 games Over the Total against Pacific Division rivals.

Sacramento (18-40) has lost two straight games — as well as four of their last five contests — with their 110-107 loss to Oklahoma City on Thursday as an 8-point underdog. The Kings have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, Sacramento has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. The Kings stay at home where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total. Sacramento has also played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 10 home games as an underdog getting no more than 6 points, the Kings have played 9 of these games Over the Total. Furthermore, Sacramento has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total against fellow Pacific Division rivals. Lastly, in their last 27 opportunities to host the Lakers, the Kings have played 19 of these games Over the Total. 25* NBA Pacific Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (515) and the Sacramento Kings (516). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-24-18 Massachusetts v. George Mason OVER 147 Top 76-78 Win 100 2 h 2 m Show

At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Massachusetts Minutemen (613) and the George Mason Patriots (614). UMass (11-17) has lost four games in a row after their 82-78 loss to VCU on Wednesday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Minutemen allowed the Rams to make 54.2% of their shots as their play on the defensive end of the court continues to falter. UMass has allowed their last three opponents to shoot at least 50.8% from the field — and seven of their last nine opponents have made at least 50.8% of their shots. Furthermore, all eight of their last eight opponents have scored at least 82 points. The Minutemen have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. Additionally, UMass has played 7 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now the Minutemen go back on the road where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total. And while the Patriots attempt 21 shots from the 3-point line per game, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams that average at least 21 shots from behind the arc per game.

George Mason (13-15) has won three of their last four games with their 79-76 win at St. Joseph’s on Wednesday as a 7-point underdog. The Patriots have then played 23 of their last 32 games Over the Total after an upset win over a conference rival. George Mason has also played 11 of their last 13 home games Over the Total after a win by 3 points or less. Now this team returns home where they have played a decisive 43 of their last 63 games Over the Total. The Patriots have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, George Mason has played 12 of their last 15 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 145 to 149.5 point range. And in their last 23 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, the Patriots have played 16 of these games Over the Total. They will be hosting this Minutemen team that makes 9 shots from the 3-point land per game — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams that average at least 9 made 3-pointers per game. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 154-47 combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Massachusetts Minutemen (613) and the George Mason Patriots (614). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-22-18 Tennessee State v. Tennessee Tech UNDER 135.5 Top 64-69 Win 100 2 h 28 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee State Tigers (651) and the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (652). Tennessee State (15-12) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their upset 72-59 loss to Eastern Kentucky. The Tigers allowed the Colonels to make 53.3% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last ten contests. They should play much better on defense tonight as they are holding their conference opponents to just 41.6% of their shots this season. Tennessee State also made just 37.5% of their shots in that game — but they may not improve much on that mark when considering that they are making only 40.7% of their shots on the road. Moving forward, the Tigers have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They go back on the road where they have played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total. Tennessee State has also played 11 of their last 16 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. They will be looking to avenge an 87-81 loss to Tennessee Tech back on January 8th — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing with revenge for a loss at home to their opponents. 

Tennessee Tech (17-12) has lost four of their last five games with their 75-65 loss at Murray State on Saturday as a 13.5-point underdog. The Golden Eagles have then played 7 straight home games Under the Total after a loss on the road to a conference rival. Tennessee State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Eagles are making only 41.5% of their shots in their last five games which is far below their 44.5% season average. Now they return home where they are holding their opponents to just a 40.6% shooting percentage which is much better than their opponent’s field goal percentage of 44.2% for the season. Tennessee State has played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total on their home court — and this includes playing four straight Unders. The Eagles have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Lastly, Tennessee State has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total as a favorite. Together, these team trends produce our specific 88-31 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Ohio Valley Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee State Tigers (651) and the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (652). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-21-18 Georgia v. South Carolina UNDER 130.5 Top 57-66 Win 100 14 h 21 m Show

At 6:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (705) and the South Carolina Gamecocks (706). Georgia (15-11) has won two straight games — both upset victories — with their 72-62 win over Tennessee as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Bulldogs have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while this Georgia team has played their last two games Over the Total, they have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after playing two straight games Over the Total. The Volunteers committed a whopping 27 personal fouls in that game on Saturday which helped produce a 38 free throw attempts for the Bulldogs (they made 27 of these shots from the charity stripe). Georgia has then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a game where their opponent committed at least 22 personal fouls — and they have played 16 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a game where their opponent committed at least 27 personal fouls. Now this team goes back on the road where they are making only 41.5% of their shots. The Bulldogs have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road — and they have also played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Georgia has also seen the Under go 8-3-1 in their last 12 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% overall. The Bulldogs will be looking to avenge a 64-57 loss at South Carolina back on January 13th — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with revenge.

South Carolina (14-13) snapped their six-game losing streak game after their 84-75 upset victory over Auburn on Saturday as a 7-point underdog. The Gamecocks played one of their best defensive games of the season in that contest by holding the Tigers to just a 31.7% shooting percentage. South Carolina is playing tough defense on their home court where they are holding their visitors to just a 41.4% shooting percentage. Yet the Gamecocks are only making 36.2% of their shots over their last five games overall. South Carolina has 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total after a straight-up victory. The Gamecocks have also played 19 of their last 27 home games Under the Total after a game where at least 155 combined points were scored. South Carolina stays at home where they are making just 40.5% of their shots. The Gamecocks have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. South Carolina has also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 26 games when they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Gamecocks have played 18 of these games Under the Total. Lastly, in the last 16 games between these two teams in Columbia, the Under is 11-4-1. 25* CBB SEC Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (705) and the South Carolina Gamecocks (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-20-18 Indiana v. Nebraska UNDER 138.5 Top 57-66 Win 100 7 h 33 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Hoosiers (527) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (528). Indiana (16-12) has won four games in a row with their 84-82 upset win at Iowa on Saturday as an 11-point favorite. The Hoosiers pulled that game out despite allowing the Hawkeyes to make 55.1% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last five games. Improving the play on defense for this team was priority number one for first-year head coach Archie Miller who came over from a Dayton program where he had very competitive NCAA Tournament teams predicated on strong defensive play. This team has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make at least 55% of their shots. Indiana has still held their last five opponents to just a 39.8% shooting percentage. The Hoosiers are also a surprising 3rd in the Big Ten in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Indiana has played 19 of their last 27 road games Under the Total after an upset victory. The Hoosiers have also seen the Under go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. Indiana won that game against Iowa because they made 56.1% of their shots which was actually their worst offensive effort in their last three games. Expect the Regression Gods to make an appearance tonight. Not only have the Hoosiers played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a game where they shot at least 50% of their shots but they have also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after shooting at least 47% from the field in three straight contests. Now this team stays on the road where they are making only 44.4% of their shots this season. Indiana has seen the Under go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games on the road — and the Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Additionally, the Hoosiers have played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams wit ha winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 6 games with the Total set in the 130-139.5 point range, Indiana has played 5 of these games Under the Total.

Nebraska (20-9) saw their six-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 72-66 loss at Illinois as a 1-point underdog. The Cornhuskers have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Nebraska has also played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. Now this team returns home where they are playing very tough defense by holding their opponents to just a 40.9% shooting percentage. These Cornhuskers are also limiting their Big Ten opponents to shooting only 40.9% from the field. Nebraska has played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And while the Hoosiers are making 46.0% of their shots this season, the Cornhuskers have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams that are making at least 45% of their shots. Nebraska has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Cornhuskers have also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total in Big Ten play. Additionally, they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 6 times. 25* CBB Big Ten Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Hoosiers (527) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-19-18 Oklahoma v. Kansas UNDER 165.5 Top 74-104 Loss -107 5 h 29 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma Sooners (715) and the Kansas Jayhawks (716). Oklahoma (16-10) has lost five straight games after their upset loss at home to Texas on Saturday as a 7-point favorite. The Sooners shot just 30.8% from the field in that game. At times, such a poor shooting effort may be a harbinger of a visit from the Regression Gods. However, this Oklahoma team has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after failing to make more than 33% of their shots in their last game — and this includes four Unders in those last five situations. The team’s struggles on offense start with freshman sensation Trae Young who is in the midst of a terrible shooting slump. He has made only 10 of the 51 shots from 3-point land he has hoisted up during his team’s losing streak. Young tends to force his shot when his teammates are not making their shots — and this problem gets worse when they are playing on the road. Oklahoma is still averaging 87.5 PPG on 47.1% shooting. But the Sooners are scoring over 13 PPG less than their season average over their last five games while making just 43% of their shots over that stretch. Unfortunately for this Oklahoma team, that low shooting mark is just about what they are shooting on the road given their 43.8% shooting percentage. The Sooners have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Oklahoma has also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss to a conference rival. Additionally, the Sooners have played 3 straight Unders after getting upset by at least ten points despite being the favorite in that game. And in their last 9 games after an upset loss to a conference rival, Oklahoma has played 6 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, the Sooners have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

Kansas (21-6) has won three of their last four games with their 77-69 won over West Virginia on Saturday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Jayhawks have then played 10 straight games Under the Total after a win on their home court. Additionally, not only has Kansas played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win but they have also seen the Under go 38-16-1 in their last 55 games after a point spread victory. The Jayhawks scored 83 points in their previous game against Iowa State — but they have then played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total after scoring at least 75 points in two straight games. Moving forward, Kansas has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against fellow Big 12 opponents. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Jayhawks have played 7 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB Big 12 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma Sooners (715) and the Kansas Jayhawks (716). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-16-18 IUPU-Indianapolis v. Wisc-Milwaukee UNDER 132.5 Top 76-71 Loss -110 4 h 34 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the IUPUI Jaguars (817) and the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (818). Milwaukee (14-14) has won two of their last three games — as well as five of their last seven contests — after their 74-73 upset win at Wright State as a 7-point favorite. The Panthers made 59.2% of their shots which was the best offensive effort in their last 27 games going all the way back to their first game of the season. The Regression Gods are likely to make an appearance with this team tonight — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after shooting at least 55% of their shots in their last game. Additionally, the Panthers have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Milwaukee’s improved play has much to do with their improved play on the defensive end of the court. They have held their last five opponents to just a 40.8% field goal percentage.

02-15-18 Weber State v. Portland State OVER 160.5 Top 95-86 Win 100 5 h 36 m Show

At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Weber State Wildcats (607) and the Portland State Vikings (608). Weber State (17-7) has won seven straight games with their 71-66 win over Northern Colorado on Saturday as a 3-point favorite. The Wildcats made just 43.5% of their shots which was their worst offensive effort in their last five contests. This Weber State team made up for their poor shooting performance by holding the Bears to just a 34.2% shooting mark which was their best defensive performance in their last ten contests. The Wildcats have seen the Over go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Weber State has played 6 straight road games Over the Total after a win by 6 points or less. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 16 of their last 20 games Over the Total. They also have played 20 of their last 26 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. And in their last 9 road games as an underdog of 6 points or less, the Wildcats have played 8 of these games Over the Total. Weber State has covered the point spread in six of their last seven games — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. And in the last 9 road games against teams with a winning record after 15 games into the season, the Wildcats have played all 9 games Over the Total.

Portland State (15-10) has won two of their last three games with their 80-77 win at Montana State as a 2-point favorite on Saturday. The Pilots have then seen the Over go 12-3-1 in their last 16 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games after a point spread victory. And while Portland has covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then played 8 of the last 9 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three contests. Now this team returns home where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total. The Over is also a decisive 15-4-2 in their last 21 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Lastly, in the last 4 meetings between these two teams, the Over is 3-0-1. 25* CBB Big Sky Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Weber State Wildcats (607) and the Portland State Vikings (608). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-14-18 Thunder v. Grizzlies UNDER 208.5 Top 121-114 Loss -110 5 h 17 m Show

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (719) and the Memphis Grizzlies (720). Oklahoma City (32-260 has lost two of their last three games — as well as six of their last eight contests — with their 120-112 upset loss to Cleveland last night as 3-point favorites. The Thunder saw the new-look Cavs’ made 51.1% of their shots which tied for their worst defensive effort in their last six games. Oklahoma City has then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a favorite. The Thunder have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team now goes back on the road where the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Oklahoma City has also played 4 of the last games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall. Additionally, the Thunder have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents.

Memphis (18-37) has lost six straight games with their 110-92 loss at Oklahoma City on Sunday as a 4-point underdog. The Grizzlies have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. Memphis has also played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, not only have the Grizzlies played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after losing three straight games but they have also played 7 straight games on their home court Under the Total after losing at least four straight games. This team is undermanned even more than usual right now given the season-ending injury to Michael Conley. Wayne Seldon is out for tonight with JaMychal Green and Chandler Parsons both being questionable — and these absences are having more of an impact for this team on the offensive end of the floor. Memphis made just 39% of their shots against the Thunder on Sunday. Now this team returns home where they have played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total. The Grizzlies have also played 9 of their last 14 home games Under the Total as the underdog. Lastly, they will be looking to avenge that loss to the Thunder on Sunday — and not only have they played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total when avenging a loss on the road but they have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Western Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (719) and the Memphis Grizzlies (720). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-12-18 Clippers v. Nets UNDER 223 Top 114-101 Win 100 4 h 29 m Show

At 7:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (705) and the Brooklyn Nets (706). Los Angeles (28-26) saw their three-game winning streaks snapped on Saturday with their 112-98 loss at Philadelphia as a 5-point favorite. The Clippers allowed the 76ers to make 47.8% of their shots in that game which was their worst defensive effort in their last six games. Los Angeles has played 6 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Clippers have also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, Los Angeles has played 4 straight games Under the Total when on the road. They also have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against Eastern Conference opponents. Furthermore, while the Clippers have played seven straight games Under the Total, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games Under the Total. And in their last 25 games in the month of February, LA has played 17 of these games Under the Total.

Brooklyn (19-38) has lost five straight games — as well as nine of their last ten contests — with their 138-128 loss in double-overtime on Saturday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Nets shot just 37.7% from the field in that game which was their worst shooting effort in their last eight games. This team really misses Rondae Hollis-Jefferson who has been declared out the season with a groin injury. Brooklyn will also likely be without Caris LeVert who has been downgraded to out with a knee injury — and this leaves the team very thin on the offensive end of the court. As it is, the Nets have played 8 of their last 11 home games Under the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. Brooklyn has also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while the Nets have scored at least 106 points in three straight games, they have then played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games. Now this team stays at home where they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total. Brooklyn has also played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 4 times. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (705) and the Brooklyn Nets (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-10-18 Gonzaga v. St. Mary's UNDER 146.5 Top 78-65 Win 100 13 h 57 m Show

At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Gonzaga Bulldogs (679) and the St. Mary’s Gaels (680). St. Mary’s (24-2) continues to roll as they enter this game coming off an 83-62 win at Loyola-Marymount on Thursday as a 13-point favorite. This is an excellent offensive basketball team — but they are not likely to come close to replicating their 64% shooting mark that they enjoyed against the Lions which was their best offensive performance in their last seven games. St. Mary’s has played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after shooting at least 55% from the field. And while the Gaels have made at least 50.8% of their shots in three straight games, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after shooting at least 50% from the field in three straight games. St. Mary’s has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Under is also a decisive 64-29-2 in the Gaels’ last 95 games after a straight-up win. Now this team returns home where they have played 7 straight games Under the Total. St. Mary’s has also played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Gaels have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 16 games in conference play, the Under is 12-3-1.

Gonzaga (22-4) has won six straight games with their 71-61 win at Pacific on Thursday as a 13-point favorite. The Bulldogs have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Gonzaga has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team stays on the road where they are holding their home hosts to just a 41.6% shooting mark after limiting the Tigers on Thursday to a low 35.7% shooting mark. The Bulldogs have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Gonzaga has played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record Under the Total — and this includes playing four straight Unders against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, the Zags have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against fellow West Coast Conference opponents. They first meeting meeting between these two teams resulted in a 74-71 upset win for St. Mary’s back on January 18th. The final score finished below the 149 point total for that contest which was the 12th Under between these two teams in their last 14 meetings. Lastly, the Bulldogs have played 5 of the last 6 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a loss to their opponents. 25* CBB West Coast Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Gonzaga Bulldogs (679) and the St. Mary’s Gaels (680). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-10-18 Wizards v. Bulls OVER 215 Top 101-90 Loss -100 8 h 37 m Show

At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (507) and the Chicago Bulls (508). Washington (31-24) has lost two straight games with their 110-104 loss to Boston on Thursday as a 2-point underdog. The Wizards shot just 40% from the field in that game which was their worst shooting effort in their last five contests. Washington has made at lest 51.8% of their shots in four of the seven games they have played since the injury to John Wall. The Over is 9-1-1 in the Wizards’ last 11 games after a straight-up loss. Washington has also played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Wizards have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total. And in their last 8 games against fellow Eastern Conference opponents, Washington has played 7 of these games Over the Total.

Chicago (19-35) snapped a seven-game losing streak last night in their 114-113 upset win over Minnesota and their former teammate Jimmy Butler as a 7.5-point underdog. The Bulls’ five starters combined to play 169:44 minutes last night — and they have then seen the Over go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after playing a game the day before where their five starters combined to play at least 160 minutes. Chicago has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. And while that was the Bulls’ first point spread victory in their last eight games, they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. This team stays at home where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 11 home games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6 points or less. Chicago will be looking to avenge a 114-110 win over the Wizards back on December 31st — and they have played 11 of their last 16 Over the Total when avenging a loss where they gave up at least 110 points. Lastly, in the last 6 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (507) and the Chicago Bulls (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-08-18 Hawks v. Magic UNDER 212 Top 98-100 Win 100 2 h 44 m Show

At 7:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (501) and the Orlando Magic (502). Atlanta (17-37) has won two games in a row with their 108-82 win over Memphis on Tuesday as a 3-point favorite. The Hawks are playing better defense as of late as they held the Grizzlies to just a 43% shooting percentage from the field after holding the Knicks to a 43.6% from the field in their last game. Atlanta also made 50.6% of their shots in that game which appears to be an outlier as that was their best offensive effort in their last eleven contests. The Hawks have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Atlanta has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 18 of their last 24 games Under the Total against fellow Southeast Division rivals. The Hawks have also played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 27 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, Atlanta has played 20 of these games Under the Total.

Orlando (17-36) has won three of their last four games after registering their second-straight upset victory on Tuesday with their 116-98 win over Cleveland despite being a 6.5-point underdog. The Magic made 52.9% of their shots which was their best offensive effort in their last seventeen games. Orlando is also playing better defense as they held the Cavaliers to just a 42.9% shooting mark after limiting the Heat to just a 43% shooting mark despite that game being played in Miami in their previous game. The Magic have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Orlando has also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. And in their last 12 games after winning two of their last three games, the Magic have played 10 of these games Under the Total. Now this team stays at home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. Orlando has also played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Magic will be motivated to avenge a 117-110 loss in Atlanta back on December 9th — and they have played 14 of their 20 home games Under the Total when playing with revenge. Lastly, in the last 56 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 39 times. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Southeast Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (501) and the Orlando Magic (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-07-18 George Mason v. Fordham OVER 136.5 Top 66-67 Loss -110 4 h 38 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the George Mason Patriots (723) and the Fordham Rams (724). George Mason (10-13) snapped their four-game losing streak on Saturday with their 79-75 upset win at Richmond as a 7-point underdog. The Patriots held the Spiders to just a 38% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort of the season. George Mason has still allowed their last five opponents to make 46.9% of their shots even with that strong effort — so the Regression Gods are likely to make an appearance tonight. The Patriots have allowed at least 75 points in eight straight games — and they have then played 8 straight games Over thew Total after allowing at least 75 points in two  straight games. Additionally, George Mason has played a decisive 42 of their last 61 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total. The Patriots have also played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Furthermore, George Mason has played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 8 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, the Patriots gave played 7 of these games Over the Total.

Fordham (7-15) has lost seven of their last eight games with their 73-50 loss at St. Louis on Saturday. The Rams made only 34% of their shots which was their worst shooting effort in their last four games. Fordham has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total a loss — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. Additionally, not only have the Rams played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points but they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points against a conference opponent. And in their last 16 games after just a point spread loss, the Over is 12-3-1 for Fordham. Now the Rams return home where they have played 12 of their last 19 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 142-4301 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Atlantic-10 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the George Mason Patriots (723) and the Fordham Rams (724). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-06-18 Wizards v. 76ers OVER 211.5 Top 102-115 Win 100 4 h 12 m Show

At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (511) and the Philadelphia 76ers (512). Washington (31-22) is on fire since losing John Wall for six to eight weeks with a knee injury. They have won five games in a row since losing their point guard after their 111-102 win at Indiana last night. The Wizards are making 51.2% of their shots over this five-game winning streak while making at least 51.8% of their shots in four of those five games. The difference clearly seems to be a renewed commitment to passing the basketball. Washington is assisting on a whopping 73.9% of the field goals since the Wall injury. They have produced at least 27 assists in each of their last five games which is a franchise record. This is the Wizards third game in a row on the road — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after winning at least two straight games on the road. Washington has also played 28 of their last 39 games Over the Total when playing without a day of rest. Additionally, the Wizards have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 4 straight road games Over the Total against a team with a winning record at home.

Philadelphia (25-25) has lost four of their last five games with their 100-92 loss at Indiana on Saturday as a 1.5-point underdog. The 76ers have then played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after losing four of their last five games. Philadelphia has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. And while that game finished Under the 210 Total in that contest, they have then played 38 of their last 63 games Over the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. The Wizards have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against an opponent that allowed at least 100 points in their last game. Moving forward, the 76ers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 19 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, Philadelphia has played 13 of these games Over the Total. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 122-52 combined angle for this situations. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Tuesday TNT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (511) and the Philadelphia 76ers (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-04-18 Eagles v. Patriots OVER 48 Top 41-33 Win 100 253 h 10 m Show

At 6:30 PM ET on Sunday, February 4th, we will be playing Over the Total in the Super Bowl between the Philadelphia Eagles (101) and the New England Patriots (102). New England (15-3) reached the Super Bowl with their 24-20 win over Jacksonville in the AFC Championship Game. The Patriots offense was slowed down a bit from both Rob Gronkowski’s concussion as well as a questionable fumble call on running back Deion Lewis for what was looking like a touchdown drive midway through the second-half. That game finished below the 46-point total for that game — but New England has still played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total in the playoffs. The Patriots have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as the number one seed in the playoffs. This offense has been remarkably consistent this season. For the year, they are scoring 28.7 PPG while averaging 393.3 total YPG. In their eight games away from this season, New England is scoring 27.9 PPG while averaging 398.9 total YPG. In their last three contests, the Pats are scoring 28.3 PPG while averaging 370.7 total YPG. And in their twelve games played on field turf this year, New England is scoring 28.4 PPG while generating 392.2 total YPG. In fact, the Patriots have played a decisive 67 of their last 100 games Over the Total when playing on field turf which includes not only their home games but also those away games on turf which is the surface for this Super Bowl in Minnesota. Gronkowski should be able to play in this game with two weeks to get through the concussion protocol (and how high is his normal baseline test that he has to reach anyways?). At full strength, this New England offense is simply loaded with diverse weapons this season. Tom Brady has much more options at his disposal than the one last year that scored 34 points in overtime in their win over the Falcons.

Philadelphia (15-3) generated 456 yards of offense against an outstanding Vikings defense last week in their 38-7 win over Minnesota to win the NFC Championship Game. Doug Pederson and the offensive coaching staff for the Eagles have done a masterful job in using the bye week in the first-round of the playoffs to install an offense tailored to the skill set of QB Nick Foles. He completed 26 of 33 passes last week against the Vikings for 352 yards with three touchdown passes and no interceptions. In the playoffs, Foles has completed 49 of his 63 passes for 602 yards. Philadelphia has played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after passing for at least 300 yards in their last contest. On the defensive side of the football, the Under deserves consideration since the Eagles have allowed just 33 combined points over their last four games while never allowing more than 10 points in any of those games. But all those games were at home. In their three previous games on the road (before this recent stretch), the Eagles allowed 88 combined points at Seattle, at the Los Angeles Rams and at the New York Giants (and no doubt the Patriots will study what Eli Manning did in shredding the Philly defense for 795 passing yards in two games this season). Philadelphia allowed 23.5 PPG on the road this season with six of their eight opponents scoring at least 23 points — their seasonal stats are skewed by allowing just 9 points against that Cowboys team without both Ezekiel Elliott and left tackle Tyron Smith. As it is, the Eagles have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in three straight games. Playing on turf is also an issue since Philly played most of their games on grass which tends to slow down speedy offensive players. The Eagles have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing on field turf. Furthermore, their win over the Vikings finished above the 39 point total for that game — and they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. Additionally, Philadelphia has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Lastly, the pressure of the Super Bowl and needing to defeat Brady and his uncanny ability to generate 4th quarter comebacks will likely compel Doug Pederson to be aggressive with his play-calling and decisions — and that should create more scoring opportunities for both teams (one way or another). 25* NFL Super Bowl *A-List* O/U Special with Over the Total in the Super Bowl between the Philadelphia Eagles (101) and the New England Patriots (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

SUPER BOWL PROPOSITIONS BETTING CARD. Please note that this Prop Bets Report is only a bonus; the Guarantee policy applies only to the Super Bowl Over part of this Report. Thanks, Frank.

Our Best Bet Wager is on the Tom Brady completing more passes than Nick Foles with the line at -3 passes — priced at -170 at Bovada. To be clear, Brady has to complete four more passes than Foles to win this bet (with Brady completing three more passes than Foles pushing the bet). Philadelphia is more anxious to run the football to control the line of scrimmage while burning time off the clock to keep the Patriots offense off the field. New England will pass a bit more for two reasons in addition to that. First, they are going to run more plays on offense because it is highly likely they will operate their no-huddle offense to attempt to thwart the Eagles ability to rotate players on the defensive line. Second, Jim Schwartz’s defense will likely protect the deeper ball which will leave a soft underbelly for 5 to 7 yard passing plays — and Brady has shown a proclivity to be very happy to nickel-and-dime his way down the field with these short passes. I much prefer a Brady-Completions Bet to a Brady-Passing Yards Bet for this reason. Additionally, if the Eagles are winning this game in the second half, they will move to running the ball even more. However, even if the Patriots are winning in the second half, the trust in Brady is so high that they will continue to pass the ball with those short but safe passes.

Our Top Underlay Wager is with the Patriots -0.5 points in the 4th quarter which Bovada prices at -110. We all know how good Tom Brady has been in the 4th quarter in Super Bowls with the memory of New England’s big 4th quarter comeback against Atlanta last year (as well as against Jacksonville in the AFC Championship Game two weeks ago). In Brady’s last two Super Bowls, he has completed 29 of 36 passes in the 4th quarter for 320 yards with two TDs, no interceptions and a Quarterback Rating of 129. If the Patriots are trailing again, Brady should make the game close (at the very least). But if New England is winning, I don’t love Nick Foles’ ability to rally his team if he is forced to throw the football. Foles is at his best when operating the Run-Pass Option — and those plays require the ability to take what the defense gives you when the receiver is covered. Foles will feel compelled to throw the football if the Eagles need quick scoring. Foles’ productivity also significantly declines if and when he is under pressure. The Patriots will certainly feel free to apply pressure with blitzes and other schemes if they know Foles is throwing the football.

Our Long Shot Wager is on Zack Ertz to have the most receiving yards in this game which Bovada places at +400. The value is in choosing an Eagles passing target since the Patriots have so many weapons in their passing game with Brady often going to his running backs (in those short safety valve passes which makes our Top Underlay Bet so intriguing). So I consider all the Patriot options for this bet Overlays (with Rob Gronkowski the favorite at +300 and Brandin Cooks tied for second favorite at +400). Ertz is not only one of the best tight ends in the NFL by also Philadelphia’s most reliable pass catcher. Furthermore, the Patriots’ linebackers to struggle in pass coverage — and this is a prime area for the Eagles to exploit. If the Eagles enjoy a second-half lead, Ertz will likely have played a big part. If they are trailing, Ertz will be a key component in their passing game. In the end, have fun with these bets but please keep in mind I still consider the best (and most reliable) two betting options for the Super Bowl to be our Side and Totals plays. Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-01-18 Thunder v. Nuggets UNDER 217.5 Top 124-127 Loss -110 7 h 47 m Show

At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (509) and the Denver Nuggets (510). Oklahoma City (30-21) saw their eight-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 102-96 loss to the Wizards as a 3-point favorite. The Thunder did play one of their best defensive games of the season as they held Washington to just a 38.2% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last twenty games. That was a very encouraging performance for this team that will be without their best defensive player in Andre Roberson for the rest of the season with his leg injury last weekend. The Thunder stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Oklahoma City has also played 11 of their last 13 road games Under the Total against fellow Northwest Division opponents. Furthermore, the Thunder have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against Northwest Division opponents overall. Additionally, the Under is 5-0-1 in Oklahoma City’s last 6 games against teams with a winning record.

Denver (26-25) has lost two straight games after their 106-104 loss at San Antonio on Tuesday as a 6.5-point underdog. The Nuggets have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Denver has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Nuggets have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team returns home where they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total. They have also played 20 of their last 26 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, Denver has played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total against fellow Northwest Division opponents. The Nuggets will be playing with revenge on their minds from a 95-94 loss to the Thunder back on December 18th — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a loss to their opponents. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 4 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 110-20-2 combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Thursday TNT Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (509) and the Denver Nuggets (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-31-18 Mavs v. Suns UNDER 210 Top 88-102 Win 100 7 h 56 m Show

At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (715) and then Phoenix Suns (716). Dallas (16-35) has lost four straight games — as well as seven of their last eight contests — with their 95-88 loss to Miami. The Mavericks have then played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Dallas has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a loss at home. Now the Mavs go back on the road — and they have played 13 of their last 19 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, Dallas has played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.

Phoenix (17-34) has lost five straight games — as well as eight of their last nine games — with their 120-109 loss at Memphis. The Suns allowed the Grizzlies to make 56.6% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last 21 games. Phoenix has played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, the Suns have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And in the last 10 games after a double-digit loss, Phoenix has played 8 of these games Under the Total. This team may be handicapped tonight if Devin Booker does not play given his ribs injury. Even if Booker plays despite being listed as questionable, his effectiveness has to be questioned since he is not at 100%. The Suns return home where he has played 5 straight games Under the Total. And in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning percentage at 40% or less, Phoenix has played all 4 of those games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 136-42-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (715) and then Phoenix Suns (716). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-31-18 Wyoming v. Colorado State OVER 149 Top 91-86 Win 100 5 h 39 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (769) and the Colorado State Rams (770). Wyoming (14-7) has won three games in a row with their 90-86 win at San Jose State as an 11-point favorite on Saturday. The Cowboys have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played a decisive 44 of the last 58 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Wyoming has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. That win over the Spartans finished well over the 141.5 point total for that game — and they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished above the number. In fact, the Cowboys have played four straight Overs — and they have then played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. Wyoming will be looking to avenge a 78-73 upset loss to the Rams back on January 13th — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss to their opponent. The Cowboys have also played 7 straight Overs when attempting to avenge a same-season loss. Furthermore, Wyoming has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against fellow Mountain Western Conference opponents.

Colorado State (10-13) has lost four straight games with their 80-65 loss at New Mexico on Saturday as a 10.5-point underdog. The Rams shot a sizzling 53.1% from the field in that game but they allowed the Lobos to make 51.9% of their shots in the loss. Colorado State has played 25 of their last 33 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Rams have also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total as an underdog. Additionally, Colorado State has played 22 of their last 30 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 12 games against Mountain West Conference opponents, the Rams have played 9 of these games Over the Total. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, that game finished Over the Total all 5 times. 25* CBB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (769) and the Colorado State Rams (770). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-25-18 Long Beach State v. Cal Poly OVER 150 Top 87-71 Win 100 3 h 21 m Show

At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Long Beach State 49ers (557) and the Cal-Poly SLO Mustangs (558). Long Beach State (10-12) has won three of their last four games with their 81-73 win over Cal-State Fullerton last Saturday as a 2.5-point favorite. The 49ers have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. Additionally, while that game barely finished below the 156 point total, they have then played 6 straight games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Long Beach State has also played 22 of their last 32 road games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em. And in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, the Over is 4-1-1.

Cal Poly SLO (6-13) has lost four straight games with their 72-54 loss at CS-Northridge as a 4-point favorite last Saturday. The Mustangs have then played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road. Additionally, Cal Poly SLO has played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Mustangs have also played 12 of their last 13 home games Over the Total after losing four straight games. This team returns home for the first time since January 6th after playing their last three games on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight games on the road. Furthermore, Cal Poly SLO have played 6 straight games Over the Total on their home court. The Over is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Lastly, the Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams at Cal-Poly SLO. Together, these team trends produce our specific 115-29-3 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Big West Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Long Beach State 49ers (557) and the Cal-Poly SLO Mustangs (558). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-23-18 Creighton v. St. John's UNDER 156 Top 68-63 Win 100 3 h 16 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Blue Jays (541) and the St. John’s Red Storm (542). Creighton (15-5) has lost two of their last three games with their 85-71 loss at Providence on Saturday as a 1.5-point underdog. The Blue Jays’ defensive effort was lacking in that contest as they allowed the Friars to shoot 53.4% which was their worst defensive effort in their last thirteen games. But Creighton also shot just 39.4% from the field in that game which was their worst offensive effort in their last fifteen contests. But while the Blue Jays are making 50.4% of their shots overall, they see that number drop to just a 45.4% mark when on the road — so a complete reversal of fortune on the offensive end of the court is unlikely. Creighton has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Blue Jays have also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total in Big East play. Additionally, Creighton has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total in the month of January. Moving forward, the Blue Jays have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as a favorite of 6 points or less. And in their last 15 games listed in the +/- 3-point range, Creighton has played 10 of these games Under the Total.

St. John’s (10-10) has lost eight straight games with their 93-89 loss at Georgetown as a pick ‘em on Saturday. The Red Storm have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Furthermore, St. John’s has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. That loss came on the heels of an 88-82 loss at Xavier last Wednesday — and they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where both teams scored at least 75 points in two straight games. The Red Storm return home where they only allow 66.1 PPG while holding their visitors to just a 39.8% shooting percentage. St. John’s has played 9 of their last 12 home games Under the Total with the number set in the 150 to 159.5 point range. And in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage above 60%, the Red Storm have played 7 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 91-30 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Big East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Blue Jays (541) and the St. John’s Red Storm (542). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-22-18 Nebraska v. Ohio State UNDER 139 Top 59-64 Win 100 1 h 21 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers (725) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (726). Nebraska (14-7) has won two straight games after their 72-52 upset win over Michigan as a 5-point underdog. the Cornhuskers shot 55.3% from the field which was their best offensive performance in their last fifteen games. But now this Nebraska team goes back on the road where they are making just 39.3% of their shots. The Cornhuskers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Nebraska has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 7 games on the road, the Cornhuskers have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, Nebraska has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games against fellow Big Ten opponents, the Cornhuskers have played 6 of these games Under the Total.

Ohio State (17-4) enters this game coming off their 67-49 win over Minnesota as an 8.5-point favorite. The Buckeyes shot only 40.9% from the field in that victory but they held the Golden Gophers to just 38.3% shooting. Ohio State has then played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Buckeyes have also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Ohio State has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Buckeyes stay at home where they have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total. Ohio State has also played 10 of their last 11 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Lastly, in their last 6 games as a double-digit favorite, the Buckeyes have played all 6 games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 80-17 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Big Ten Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers (725) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (726). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-21-18 Jaguars v. Patriots OVER 46.5 Top 20-24 Loss -101 105 h 37 m Show

BRADY WRIST-GATE UPDATE (Friday): The line has moved down to New England to the 45 point total range with the news that Tom Brady injured his throwing wrist in practice. I released my AFC plays before this took place (taking the Over at 46.5). The Patriots’ Beat Writer says that the “chatter” is that Brady injured the area between his thumb forefinger. Brady can still throw but his snaps under center may be limited. Pain is the biggest issue (and he will likely be shot up before kickoff). That all said, in general, I don’t let rumors of injuries sway my handicapping on a game — so my recommendation is to just ride things out (like I am) if you you have already invested in this play. If you have yet to bet, I would jump all over any 45s you can find and be happy with -45.5. I am not letting these rumors diffuse from the strong fundamental play on the Over. For those needing a pick me up, I did hear that Brady has, in fact, thrown some passes in practice. It makes sense for the Pats to exhibit extreme caution with their veteran. Brady still benefited from just walking through the Thursday/Friday practices where specific offensive game plans and Red Zone plays were worked on — and many former NFL QBs argued that just walking through those plays to intellectualize them is all Brady really needs. Thanks, Frank.

At 3:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars (311) and the New England Patriots (312). Jacksonville (12-6) reached the AFC Championship Game with their 45-42 upset win at Pittsburgh last Sunday as a 7-point underdog. The Jaguars have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Jags scored a defensive touchdown in that game while enjoying a +2 net turnover margin — and they then played 7 straight games Over the Total after a game where they enjoyed a +2 net turnover margin. Jacksonville generated 378 yards of offense in that game — and they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Jags have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. This Jacksonville offense is underrated — they ranked 5th in the NFL by scoring 26.1 PPG while ranking 6th by averaging 365.9 total YPG. After last week’s explosion, the Jags are averaging 28.1 PPG when playing on the road. The irony of this team is they are also a bit overrated when it comes to the strength of their defense. They allowed Ben Roethlisberger to pass for 462 yards en route to their 545 total yards of offense for the Steelers — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. The Jaguars finished 2nd in the NFL in both points allowed (16.8 PPG) and total yardage (286.1 total YPG) — but check out their strength of schedule. Jacksonville was able to pad their numbers with NFL’s least productive division in terms of offense in the AFC South against Tennessee, Indianapolis and Houston (they were fortunate to avoid QB DeShaun Watson both times). Throw in additional games against Cleveland, Baltimore in Week Three (that London game when their offense was ravaged with injuries and still finding itself), Cincinnati in Week Seven (when their offensive line was imploding) and then Buffalo in the Wild Card game. Then throw in their first game with the Steelers where they won by a 30-9 score with the benefit of two defensive touchdowns and five interceptions — and they allowed 65 combined points for a measly 6.5 PPG scoring average in those top ten defensive performances. There are six games — representing 33% of their results this year that should raise eyebrows for the wrong reasons: last week against the Steelers where they allowed 42 points and 545 yards of offense; allowing 44 points and 364 yards of offense against a Jimmy Garoppolo-led 49ers offense on December 24th; allowing 27 points and 344 yards of offense led by Blaine Gabbert; allowing 27 points in a loss to the LA Rams on October 15th; allowing 23 points and a whopping 471 yards in a loss to the Jets on October 1st; allowing 37 points and 390 yards of offense to Titans back on September 17th. Of their eighteen games including their two in the playoffs, Jacksonville has played six playoff teams (with the Bills and Steelers’ second-meeting being in the actual playoffs). They are 3-3 overall in those games — but they are allowing 22.2 PPG and 341.7 total YPG in those six contests. Of course, the Jaguars had the benefit of facing the likely two worst teams to make the playoffs in Tennessee (twice) and Buffalo in the Wildcard round. Take away those three games to just assess how this Jaguars defense performed against Pittsburgh (twice) and the LA Rams and the results are simply unimpressive: 26.0 PPG and 388.3 total YPG allowed. Where this Jags’ defense struggles when compares to those Super Bowl winning Ravens and Giants teams that defeated the Brady/Belichick combo is in run defense. Jacksonville ranked 21st in the NFL during the regular season by allowing 116.2 rushing YPG. This is where the Patriots will attack.

New England (14-3) has won four straight games with their 35-14 win over Tennessee last Sunday. The Patriots have won their last three games by at least three touchdowns — and they have then played 17 of their last 22 home games Over the Total after winning at least two games in a row by at least two touchdowns. New England has also played a decisive 48 of their last 69 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Patriots have also played 25 of their last 37 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. The Patriots stay at home for this game where they are scoring 30.0 PPG while generating 394.8 total YPG. Over their last three games, they are scoring 32.7 PPG. New England has played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total — and they have played 12 of their last 17 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 7 Playoff games at home, the Patriots have played all 7 games Over the Total. 25* AFC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars (311) and the New England Patriots (312). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-20-18 Coyotes v. Blues UNDER 5.5 Top 5-2 Loss -135 2 h 27 m Show

At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Coyotes (17) and the St. Louis Blues (18). Arizona (10-28-5) has lost five straight games with their 3-2 loss in Nashville on Thursday. The Coyotes have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game. Arizona has also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. This Coyotes team is scoring only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game this season. They will go with their top goaltender tonight in Antti Raanta whose .917 save percentage on the road is exactly the same as it is when playing at home. Arizona has played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total on the road — and this includes playing six straight Unders when on the road against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice.

St. Louis (28-17-3) has won two games in a row with their 4-1 win at Ottawa on Thursday. The Under is then 33-16-2 in their last 51 games after a victory. Additionally, the Blues have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing two goals or less in their last game. Now St. Louis returns home where they have played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total. They will be going with their backup goalie Carter Hutton who has been outstanding this season in that role. Hutton has a 1.72 Goals-Against-Average with a .943 save percentage this season in fourteen starts and eighteen appearances overall. He has been even better at home where he sees those numbers improve to a 1.67 GAA along with a .944 saver percentage. Moving forward, the Under is 19-4-3 in their last 26 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Lastly, in the last 11 meetings between these two teams in St. Louis, the Under is 8-1-2. 25* NHL Pre-All Star Break Western Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Coyotes (17) and the St. Louis Blues (18). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-18-18 NC-Wilmington v. College of Charleston OVER 150 Top 76-80 Win 104 1 h 25 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (519) and the College of Charleston Cougars (520). UNC-Wilmington (5-13) has lost three of their last four games with their 81-77 loss to Northeastern on Saturday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Seahawks have then played 10 of their last 12 road games Over the Total after playing a game at home where both teams scored at least 75 points. UNC-Wilmington has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total. Additionally, the Seahawks have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 5 games against Colonial Athletic Conference opponents, UNC-Wilmington has played 4 of these games Over the Total.

Charleston (12-6) has lost three of their last four games themselves after their 63-58 upset loss at Elon as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Cougars have played 7 straight games Over the Total after a loss to a conference rival. Charleston has also played 12 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now the Cougars return home where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 30 games against conference opponents, the Over is 21-8-1. Together, these team trends produce our specific 110-27-1 combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (519) and the College of Charleston Cougars (520). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-16-18 North Dakota v. North Dakota State OVER 148.5 Top 86-77 Win 100 2 h 13 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (547) and the North Dakota State Bison (548). North Dakota State (10-8) has won two of their last three games with their 82-64 win over Oral Roberts on Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite. We had the Over in that game and won that play with the number finishing around 140.5 despite the Bison holding the Golden Eagles to just a 31.7% shooting mark which was their best defensive performance of the season. North Dakota State has then played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 16 of their last 22 home games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. The Bison stay at home for this game where they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 11 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall, North Dakota State has played 7 of these games Over the Total.

North Dakota (6-11) has won two straight games with their 89-79 win over Weber State as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Fighting Hawks have then played 6 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, North Dakota has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total against non-conference opponents. This is a rematch of the 88-79 victory for the Bison between these two non-conference in-state rivals back on December 9th. The Fighting Hawks have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing with a revenge against a team that scored at least 75 points in a victory against them. North Dakota goes back on the road for this game where they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 99-24 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Non-Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (547) and the North Dakota State Bison (548). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-15-18 Warriors v. Cavs OVER 234 Top 118-108 Loss -115 4 h 1 m Show

At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (715) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (716). Cleveland (716). Cleveland (26-16) has lost seven of their last nine games after their 97-95 loss in Indiana on Friday as a 1.5-point favorite. The Cavaliers have lost their last two games despite being the favorite — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after suffering at least two straight upset losses. Cleveland has also played 12 straight games Over the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 33 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Now this team returns home for the first time since January 2nd after playing five straight games on the road — and they have played 9 straight home games Over the Total after being on the road for at least seven days. Cleveland has also played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. This is a rematch of the Christmas Day game between these two teams that finished well below the 216 Total with the Warriors winning by a 99-92 score. We had a big play on the Over that day — and neither team could hit the side of a barn that day. The Cavaliers made just 31.8% of their shots along with making only 27% of their 3-pointers. They should shoot much better tonight as they have a 48.6% shooting percentage along with a 37.6% mark behind the arc when playing at home. Of course, Cleveland has since seen Isaiah Thomas return from injury — and his insertion into this rivalry should help the scoring on both sides since he is both a prolific scorer and a liability on defense because of his size. It is interesting that the Total has been installed in the 230s for this game like the Totals ended in last year’s NBA Finals — even after a combined 191 points were scored between these two teams three weeks ago. It looks easy to take the Under — and that makes me feel even more comfortable with this contrarian play.

Golden State (35-9) did not have Stephen Curry in that Christmas Day meeting between these two teams — so that explains some of the reasons why the Total has shot up over 15 points from that contest. The Warriors made only 46.3% of their shots in that contest which was well below their 51% mark for the season. That game started at a blistering pace — but with both teams unable to make their baskets, that fast tempo eventually waned as both coaches wanted their teams to take more time to get better shots. Golden State comes off a 127-125 win in Toronto on Saturday as a 5.5-point favorite. The Warriors have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Golden State has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. And in their last 7 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game, the Warriors have played 6 of these games Over the Total. Additionally, Golden State has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. This team is fully healthy again with Andre Iguodalo listed as probable despite his hip injury. The Warriors got on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total. Golden State has also played 12 of their last 16 road games with the Total set at 220 or higher. Lastly, in the last 8 games between these two teams in Cleveland, the game finished Over the Total 6 times. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break TNT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (715) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (716). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-13-18 Titans v. Patriots OVER 47 Top 14-35 Win 100 30 h 34 m Show

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (303) and the New England Patriots (304). New England (13-3) has been a favorite laying at least 13 points three times in the AFC Divisional Round of the Playoffs in the Bill Belichick-Tom Brady era. The results were as follows: a 34-16 win over Houston last year with the Total at 44; a 45-10 win over Denver in 2012 with the Total set at 50; a 31-20 win over Jacksonville with the Total set at 51. While the Total was 2-0-1 for those three games, all three games saw at least 50 combined points scored with the Patriots averaging 36.7 PPG over that stretch. If New England approaches that number in this game, then this game should go safely Over the Total. The Patriots enter this game with momentum as they followed up their 37-16 win over Buffalo in Week 16 with a 26-6 victory over the Jets to close out their regular season. New England has then played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning at least two straight games by double-digits. The Patriots are averaging 29.4 PPG at home this season — and they have not only played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total at home but they have also played 9 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. Furthermore, New England has played 6 straight playoff games at home Over the Total. And in their last 8 games in the AFC Divisional Playoffs, the Over is 7-0-1.

Tennessee (10-7) got their offense going in the second-half last week by scoring 19 points to stun Kansas City with their 22-21 upset victory as an 8.5-point underdog. The Titans have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after failing to score more than a field goal in the first-half of their last game. Tennessee has also played 16 of their last 22 games after a victory by 3 points or less in their last game. The Titans have played two straight games Under the Total — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing two straight games that finished below the number. Tennessee’s defense ranks 13th in the NFL by allowing 328.0 total YPG — but Pro Football Focus ranks their strength of schedule of opposing offenses to be last in the league. The Titans pass defense allowed 239.2 passing YPG this season which was 25th in the NFL. Considering that the Tennessee run defense ranks 4th in the NFL by allowing 88.8 rushing YPG, it is the passing game from which the Patriots are likely to exploit — and that helps our Over play with more stoppages of the clock likely coming from incomplete passes. The Titans have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 5 trips to Foxboro to play the Patriots, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. 25* AFC Divisional Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (303) and the New England Patriots (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-13-18 Falcons v. Eagles OVER 41 Top 10-15 Loss -105 38 h 31 m Show

At 4:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (301) and the Philadelphia Eagles (302). Atlanta (11-6) has now played six straight games Under the Total given the steadily improved play of their defense combining with too many bettors not catching up to the reality that this Falcons offense is not as powerful this year as the one last year that led the NFL by scoring 33.8 PPG. This Total opened in the 43.5 range and has been bet down to 41 — and that is simply too low for how this game will likely play out. For starters, both these teams have amped up the number of offensive plays they are generating per game. Atlanta leads all teams left in the Playoffs by averaging 68.0 offensive plays per game over their last four contests — and that is well above their 62.5 offensive plays per game average for the regular season which was just 25th in the league. They now face an Eagles team that opponents passed the ball against in 61.4% of their offensive plays which was 3rd most this season. It stands to reason that the Falcons will emphasize the pass in this game considering that this Philadelphia team led the NFL by allowing a 79.2 rushing YPG. Atlanta behind Matt Ryan has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total in the Playoffs. The Over is also 11-4-2 in the Falcons’ last 17 games in the month of January. Additionally, the Over is 3-1-1 in Atlanta’s last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And while the Falcons come off their 26-13 upset win in Los Angeles as a 6.5-point underdog against the Rams last week, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after upset win as a road underdog.

Philadelphia (13-3) ran the 3rd most plays this season averaging 67.1 offensive plays per game this season — and that number dropped only slightly to 66.1 offensive plays per game over their last four contests which encompasses the time where Nick Foles became the starting quarterback for the injured Carson Wentz. The Eagles hale the field again after losing their last game of the regular season by a 6-0 score at home to the Cowboys as a 4-point underdog. Philadelphia has then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss at home. The Eagles have also played a decisive 47 of their last 69 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and this includes playing fifteen of their last twenty games Over the Total after a defeat. Additionally, Philadelphia has played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. And they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. The Eagles ran the ball only 18 times in that game for 70 yards with their number one seed in the NFC already secured. The Eagles will surely attempt to get their ground game going support Foles under center — and they have seen he over go 40-15-1 in their last 56 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. 25* NFC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (301) and the Philadelphia Eagles (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-11-18 Spurs v. Lakers OVER 210.5 Top 81-93 Loss -110 8 h 50 m Show

At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (507) and the Los Angeles Lakers (508). Los Angeles (13-27) played their best defensive game of the season on Tuesday when they held the Kings to just 34.5% shooting in their 99-86 victory. Even with that strong defensive performance, the Lakers have allowed their last five opponents make 46% of their shots which is right in line with their 45.9% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. Los Angeles did see the return of their rookie point guard Lonzo Ball who bolstered the offense with 11 assists along with pulling down 11 rebounds. While Ball’s shooting numbers have been disparaged by his many critics this season, his contributions to his team as the Floor General have been unappreciated. The Lakers have covered the point spread in two straight games — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in their last two games. Los Angeles stays at home in the Staples Center for this game where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, the Lakers have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.

San Antonio (28-14) is a M*A*S*H Unit right now as they are burdened with a host of injuries. The biggest loss for the team is two-time Defensive Player of Year Kawhi Leonard who is out tonight with the shoulder injury he suffered a few days ago. Rudy Gay is also out for tonight with a heel injury while Tony Parker and Danny Green are questionable with ailments. Gregg Popovich has lamented that missing these players will impact the cohesiveness of the five players he can send out on the court — and that likely will hurt the team on defense much more than on offense. The Spurs come off a 107-100 win at Sacramento on Monday. That game finished well above the 199.5 point total which was the 22nd game that San Antonio has played Over the Total in their last 33 games in the month of January. Additionally, the Spurs have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Additionally, San Antonio has played 4 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Lastly, these two teams have played 7 of their last 8 meetings Over the Total — including playing four straight Overs when playing in LA at the Staples Center. Together, these team trends produce our specific 65-21 combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Thursday TNT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (507) and the Los Angeles Lakers (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-11-18 Denver v. North Dakota State OVER 138 Top 67-61 Loss -110 1 h 24 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Pioneers (587) and the North Dakota State Bison (588). North Dakota State (9-7) has won four of their last five games with their 84-79 upset win at South Dakota as an 8-point underdog. The Bison nailed 52.8% of their shots in that win — and that momentum may very well carry over into tonight’s game. North Dakota State has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And with that game with the Coyotes ending far above the 142.5 point total in that game, the Bison have now played a decisive 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total against fellow Summit League members. North Dakota State stays at home for this contest where they are shooting a slick 52.6% from the field. The Bison have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total on their home court — and they have played eight of their last nine home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Defense is an issue for this team as they are allowing Summit foes to make 47% of their shots. Additionally, North Dakota State has played 6 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%.

Denver (6-10) has lost two straight games — as well as five of their last six contests — with their 82-63 loss to IUPU-Fort Wayne last Saturday as a 3-point underdog. The Pioneers have then played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. This is Denver’s second game in the last eight days — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing their second game in ten days. The Pioneers are allowing their Summit League foes to make 49.1% of their shots which helps explain why they have played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total against conference opponents. Denver is making 48.8% of their shots over their last five games. And in their last 28 road games against teams with a winning home record, the Pioneers have played 21 of these games Over the Total. 25* CBB Summit League Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Pioneers (587) and the North Dakota State Bison (588). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-08-18 Alabama v. Georgia OVER 44 Top 26-23 Win 100 89 h 51 m Show

At 8:45 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the National Championship Game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (151) and the Georgia Bulldogs (152). Alabama (12-1) flexed their muscles on defense last Monday by holding Clemson to just 188 yards of offense en route to their 24-6 win over the Tigers. Considering that the Crimson Tide generated just 261 yards of offense against the Clemson defense, it might appear that the Under is the preferred totals play when they face off against another Top-Ten defense in this Alabama team. But each game has its own internal narrative. The third contest in the Crimson Tide-Tigers trilogy played out as a defensive battle. Don’t be surprised if this Alabama-Georgia showdown between two teams of similar compositions ends up seeing much more offense — and with a Total set in just the mid-40s. The Crimson Tide have seen the Over go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their lsat game. And while Alabama has played three straight games that finished Under the Total, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight games that finished Under the Total. Remember that while this Crimson Tide team has the nation’s top scoring defense (11.1 PPG) and total defense (252.4 YPG), they are no slouches on offense either. Alabama was 12th in the nation by scoring 37.9 PPG while averaging 449.7 total YPG (27th in the FBS). And remember that these offensive numbers are a little lower than they could be since their outstanding defense helped them earn comfortable leads without putting up Oklahoma-like numbers. An elite defense is nothing new for a Nick Saban-coached team. Yet they have played 10 of their last 14 Bowl games Over the Total — and this includes playing five of their last six games in the month of January Over the Total.

Georgia (13-1) finished Top-Five in scoring defense (15.7 PPG) while finishing 6th in total defense (289.5 YPG). But this Bulldogs team scored 36.3 PPG while averaging 440.3 total YPG which ranked 17th and 31st in the FBS respectively. As Georgia proved against the Sooners on Monday, they can crank up their offense into high gear to winning a scoring fest if they need to in order to win. In their 54-48 win in overtime against Oklahoma, they generated 527 yards of offense. The Bulldogs have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. But the Georgia defense had trouble slowing down the Sooners offense as they gave up 531 yards along with 6.55 Yards-Per-Play. The Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 6.25 YPP in their last game. Additionally, while Georgia has covered the point spread in four straight games, they have then played 5 of the last 6 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Furthermore, the Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against fellow SEC opponents. Lastly, in the last 6 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. 25* CFB Bowl Total of the Year with Over the Total in the National Championship Game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (151) and the Georgia Bulldogs (152). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-07-18 Panthers v. Saints UNDER 48 Top 26-31 Loss -105 20 h 51 m Show

At 4:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Panthers (107) and the New Orleans Saints (108). Carolina (11-5) will be facing this Saints’ offense for the third time this season — and that should give an advantage to their defense given this familiarity. The Panthers have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total against NFC South rivals — and this includes playing four of their last five games Under the Total against divisional rivals. Carolina looks to bounce-back from their 22-10 loss in Atlanta last week with that final score falling far below that 44.5 point total. The Panthers offense managed to generate just 248 yards of offense in that game. Carolina also allowed 371 yards in that contest — and the Under is then 9-3-1 in their last 13 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Panthers have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing in a domed stadium. They only generate 308.2 YPG when playing on the road this season. But this stout Carolina defense only allows the home team to score 19.6 PPG while limiting them to just 303.2 total YPG.

New Orleans (11-5) looks to bounce-back from their 31-24 upset loss in Tampa Bay despite being a 6-point favorite in that game. The Saints have then played 11 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a loss as a road favorite. New Orleans has also played 14 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. The Saints defense allowed the Bucs to generate 455 yards of offense in that loss. But now New Orleans returns home where they held the Panthers to just 279 yards of offense back on December 3rd in their 31-21 victory. That does not seem to be a fluke when considering that the Saints only allowed 288 total yards in the first meeting between these two teams back on September 24th in their 34-13 victory. Those numbers average out to just 17 PPG along with 283.5 total YPG for Carolina in their two games against New Orleans this season — so the Saints defense looks poised to have a much better day. Additionally, while New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then played 23 of their last 38 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. 25* NFC South Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Panthers (107) and the New Orleans Saints (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-06-18 Titans v. Chiefs UNDER 44.5 Top 22-21 Win 100 20 h 49 m Show

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (101) and the Kansas City Chiefs (102). Kansas City (10-6) has won four straight games with their 27-24 win at Denver as a 3-point underdog last Sunday. The Chiefs have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now this team returns home where they are holding their visitors to just 16.9 PPG. This Kansas City team scores 24.1 PPG on their home field — and that is 1.8 PPG lower than their 25.9 PPG seasonal average. They also only generate 343.1 total YPG which is over 30 YPG lower than their 375.4 total YPG mark. The Chiefs have played a decisive 44 of their last 63 games Under the Total on their home field. They also have played 14 of their last 20 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 5 playoff games at home, Kansas City has played 4 of these games Under the Total.

Tennessee (9-7) clinched a spot in the AFC Playoffs last Sunday with their 15-10 victory over Jacksonville as a 2.5-point favorite. The Titans eked out that game despite generating only 232 yards of offense. A +3 net turnover margin helped the Titans overcome their limited offensive effort in that game. Tennessee scores only 20.9 PPG while averaging just 314.0 total YPG — and those numbers drop to scoring just 17.5 PPG while averaging a mere 270.7 total YPG when on the road. The Titans defense did do a fine job of stopping the Jaguars offense last week as they managed only 229 yards of offense. In fact, the lone Jacksonville touchdown came from a fumble recovery returned for a 67-yards touchdown. Tennessee has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Titans formula for success in this game will be running the football to burn time off the clock which keeps the Chiefs’ offense off the field — and that is a great formula for the Under. Lastly, in their last 11 games played in the month of January, Tennessee has played 8 of these games Under the Total. 25* NFL Wildcard Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (101) and the Kansas City Chiefs (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-05-18 Penguins v. Islanders OVER 6 Top 4-0 Loss -110 2 h 14 m Show

At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (51) and the New York Islanders (52). New York (20-17-3) has lost four straight games with their 6-4 loss in Philadelphia last night. The Islanders have then seen the Over go 16-5-1 in their last 22 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. The Over is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest. Additionally, New York has played 21 of their last 26 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished above the number. This team returns home where they are scoring 4.0 Goals-Per-Game. The Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games on home ice. Some of the issue is goaltending for all these Overs. Their top goalie, Jaroslav Halak who will be between the pipes tonight, has a mediocre 3.0 Goals-Against-Average with a middling .913 save percentage on home ice this season. Moving forward, the Islanders have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. New York has also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against fellow Metropolitan Division opponents. And the Islanders will be playing with revenge on their minds after their 4-3 loss at Pittsburgh back on December 7th. Not only has New York then played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss to their opponent but they have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when their opponent scored at least four goals in that victory.

Pittsburgh (20-19-2) has lost three of their last four games with their 4-0 shutout loss to Carolina last night. The Penguins have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a loss by at least three goals — and the Over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a loss on home ice by at least three goals. The Over is also 6-1-1 in their last 8 games when playing without a day of rest. Sidney Crosby has not scored a goal in his last eight games while managing just three assists over that span — but that means he is time bomb when it comes to the offensive fury that is likely to come. The Penguins will likely need to score goals tonight with backup Tristan Jarry serving as goaltender. Jarry has been a surprise with his 2.36 GAA along with a .922 save percentage  — but those numbers are likely not to be sustainable as teams get a book on him. This will be the second time he has faced this Islanders team. Pittsburgh’s defense has been faulty this season — they are allowing 3.56 Goals-Per-Game on the road this year. The Over is also 7-3-1 in the Pens’ last 11 games against teams with a losing record. And in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. 25* NHL Pre-All Star Game Metropolitan Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (51) and the New York Islanders (52). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-02-18 Hofstra v. Northeastern OVER 149.5 Top 71-70 Loss -110 0 h 22 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Hofstra Pride (525) and the Northeastern Huskies (526). Hofstra (7-6) has lost three straight games after their 90-87 loss at William & Mary on Saturday as a 2-point underdog. The Pride have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now Hofstra stays on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total — and they have played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Pride allow their home hosts to make 50.6% of their shots. That is one of the reasons why they have played 12 of their last 15 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6 or less points.

Northeastern (8-5) looks to build off their 81-70 won at James Madison on Saturday. The Huskies forced only 8 turnovers in that game — and they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a game where they did not force more than 8 turnovers. Now Northeastern returns home where the Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games on their home court. The Huskies have also played a decisive 50 of their last 78 home games Over the Total when playing just their second game in a week. Additionally, Northeastern has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Lastly, in the last 13 meetings between these two teams at Northeastern, the game finished Over the Total 9 times. 25* CBB Colonial Athletic Association Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Hofstra Pride (525) and the Northeastern Huskies (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-31-17 49ers v. Rams UNDER 44.5 Top 34-13 Loss -110 1 h 24 m Show

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (331) and the Los Angeles Rams (332). Los Angeles (11-4) will be resting a few key players — including quarterback Jared Goff and running back Todd Gurley — in this game with their slot in the NFC Playoffs as either the third or fourth seed secured. That means that the QB for this game will be Sean Mannion while the bell cow running back will be Malcolm Brown. While those names are not encouraging, the Rams defense should still be in good shape under defensive coordinator Wade Phillips. In fact, Phillips will want to see many adjustments made from the 41-39 game that the Rams won in the first meeting between these two teams back on September 21st. Los Angeles enters this game coming off their 27-23 win at Tennessee last week as a 5.5-point favorite. The Rams have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning a game on the road where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. Los Angeles has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. The Rams return home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. Los Angeles has also played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 8 home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, the Rams have played 6 of these games Under the Total.

San Francisco (5-10) has won four straight games with their 44-33 upset win over Jacksonville as a 4-point underdog. The Jimmy Garoppolo era is off to a fine start with the QB still undefeated as a starter after tearing up a very good Jaguars defense by completing 21 of 30 passes for 242 yards. While some bettors may expect another big day from the 49ers’ offense, I look for the San Fran defense to play much better this week as they look to build for next season. The 49ers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Now San Francisco goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. And in their last 5 games against fellow NFC West rivals, the 49ers have played 4 of these games Under the Total. 25* NFC West Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (331) and the Los Angeles Rams (332). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-31-17 Texans v. Colts UNDER 42 Top 13-22 Win 100 1 h 12 m Show

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (315) and the Indianapolis Colts (316). Houston (4-11) has lost five straight games after their 34-6 loss to Pittsburgh on Christmas Day. The Texans managed only 227 yards of offense behind quarterbacks T.J. Yates and Taylor Heinicke — and the team will be without their All-World wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins. As it is, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. The Texans have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Additionally, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to generate at least 250 yards of offense. And in their last 10 games after failing to score at least 15 points, the Texans have played 8 of these games Under the Total. The team had to resign QB Josh Johnson off the streets this week with both their quarterbacks going through the concussion protocol this week. Yates has been cleared to start — but he completed just 19 of 47 passes for 211 yards and a QB Rating of 50.9 in his Houston has not scored a point in the first-half in their last two games — and they have then played 21 of their last 28 road games Under the Total after failing to score more than a touchdown in the first-half in two straight games. 

Indianapolis (3-12) has lost six straight games with their 23-16 loss in Baltimore last week in a game where they managed only 296 yards of offense. The Colts have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Indianapolis has also played 22 of their last 29 games Under the Total in the month of December. Now Indy returns home where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total — and they have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total at home against teams with a losing record on the road. With rumors that the franchise will not be retaining head coach Chuck Pagano, the team may mail in their effort this afternoon. As it is, the Colts have played 4 straight games Under the Total against AFC South rivals. Lastly, these two teams have played 8 straight games Under the Total when facing off in Indianapolis. 25* AFC South Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (315) and the Indianapolis Colts (316). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-29-17 Utah State v. New Mexico State OVER 63 Top 20-26 Loss -116 6 h 12 m Show

At 5:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Arizona Bowl between the Utah State Aggies (253) and the New Mexico State Aggies (254). Utah State (6-6) enters this game coming off a 38-35 loss at Air Force as a 2.5-point favorite back on November 25th. Utah State has then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Utah State gained 521 yards in that losing effort — and they have then played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. And in their last 4 games against teams outside the Mountain West Conference, the Aggies have played all 4 games Over the Total.

New Mexico State (6-6) has won two straight games with their 22-17 win over South Alabama back on December 2nd as a 12-point favorite. These Aggies have then seen the Over go 11-4-1 in their last 16 games after a point spread loss. New Mexico State generated 491 yards in that victory — and the Over is then 26-12-1 in their last 39 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, New Mexico State has played 22 of their last 30 games Over the Total against teams outside the Sun Belt Conference. Together, these team trends produce our specific 89-34-2 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB CBS-Sports Network Total of the Year is with Over the Total in the Arizona Bowl between the Utah State Aggies (253) and the New Mexico State Aggies (254). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-25-17 Raiders v. Eagles UNDER 46.5 Top 10-19 Win 100 13 h 43 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oakland Raiders (131) and the Philadelphia Eagles (132). Philadelphia (12-2) enters this game coming off a 34-29 win in New York against the Giants on the heels of a 43-35 win in Los Angeles against the Rams. Those two games went Over the Total by 22 and 31 points respectively which may make it tempting for some bettors to expect another Over tonight. There are a host of empirical situational angles that help inform my decisions that do not end up being documented in my Reports but I wanted to highlight this one that identifies the contrarian play regarding the Under with the Eagles. After the first month of the season in games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, when one team has played their last two games Over the Total by at least two touchdowns, these games finished Under the Total in 34 of the last 44 situations (77%) where these conditions applied. The Eagles should see a much better effort from their defense after giving up 64 combined points over their last two games. Philly has played 5 of the last 6 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored — and they have also played 15 of their last 18 home games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least 50 combined points were scored. Additionally, the Eagles have played 37 of their last 54 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored in two straight contests. Philadelphia has also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after two straight wins on the road. Returning home after playing a rigorous three straight games on the road should help this defense. On their home field, the Eagles are allowing only 15.2 PPG along with just 278.3 total YPG — and they have not given up more than 24 points at home all season. Furthermore, the Eagles have played 11 of their last 18 home games Under the Total as the favorite which includes playing their last two games Under the Total when favored in the 7.5 to 14 point range.

Oakland (6-8) enters this game coming off their 20-17 loss to Dallas back on December 17th. The Raiders have then played a decisive 39 of their last 57 road games Under the Total after a loss at home. This team struggles to score when away from home. Oakland is averaging just 17.0 PPG while generating a mere 292.5 total YPG when on the road. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when on the road. And things are likely to get even tougher for Derek Carr and this offense with their Pro Bowl left tackle Donald Penn going on Injured Reserve with a foot injury. Penn will be missing his first game since the 2007 season after being a rock on the offensive line for this team. On the plus side, the Raiders are quietly playing much better on defensive side of the football. They are allowing only 334.3 total YPG over their last three contests. Lastly, Oakland has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of December — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total when on the road in the last four weeks of the regular season. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oakland Raiders (131) and the Philadelphia Eagles (132). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-25-17 Cavs v. Warriors OVER 216.5 Top 92-99 Loss -110 5 h 50 m Show

At 3:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (703) and the Golden State Warriors (704). Over six months after last year’s NBA Finals, it is safe to give away a trade secret: I was pounding the Over in the NBA Finals because the betting public and the oddsmakers were behind on appreciating the style of play that the Cavaliers were deciding to engage against the Warriors. While I expect more of the same for this early regular season game in this marquee television matchup, too much will have changed by the time the 2018 NBA Finals rolls around to ensure near automatic Overs if there is a third sequel between these two teams. The oddsmakers set the number rather high for Game One of the NBA Finals last year at 224.5 — and the Under hit with Cleveland shooting just 34.9% from the field in a Golden State blowout. The Total dropped to 222 and we pounded the Over in what turned out to be the Warriors’ 132-113 victory. The number jumped to 226.5 for Game Three and we still took the Over and got there with Golden State’s 118-113 victory. For Game Four, the number climbed to 227 yet we kept the Over going and won easily with the Cavs’ 137-116 victory. That finally prompted the oddsmakers to traverse the 230 Total threshold with the number placed at 231. We still took the Over and were rewarded with a 129-120 score with the Warriors closing out that series. With this Total for a regular season game with a reconfigured Cavs’ roster facing a Golden State team without Steph Curry who is injured, lets still pound the Over. The Warriors side of this equation is rudimentary. Golden State (26-7) saw their eleven-game winning streak snapped on Saturday in a 96-81 loss to Denver despite being an 8-point favorite. The Warriors shot just 38.6% from the field which was their worst shooting effort in their last twenty-two games. Expect Golden State to come out firing on all cylinders. Not only has Golden State played 6 straight games Over the Total after an upset loss but they have played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total after an upset loss by at least 15 points as a home favorite. While the team certainly misses Curry, they still have plenty of offensive firepower with Kevin Durant, Klay Thompson along with Draymond Green and Shaun Livingston who are both listed as probable after dealing with nagging  injuries. The Warriors have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.

Cleveland (24-9) should see LeBron James and company continue to deploy the same strategy they established last season to defeat the Warriors — especially with Golden State missing Curry and this Cavs’ team yet to incorporate Isaiah Thomas into their rotation (which might change everything). Cleveland’s basic plan is to use their depth to out-run and out-gun their opponents. They entered the NBA Finals last year scoring 120.7 points per 100 possessions which was the top mark in the last 40 years in the NBA Playoffs. They shoot tons of 3s — they entered last year’s Finals with 41.9% of their field goal attempts to be behind the arc. Granted, I am not even looking at what the numbers are this year for Cleveland because I don’t think it matters. This is how the Cavs wanted to play Golden State last year and they have not changed their roster in a way to change this formula. Defense was the biggest issue for this team last year — particularly in transition. Cleveland plans to sacrifice defense for easier transition points when the opponent does miss while they take and make more 3-pointers than their opponents. In other words, they try to out-do the Warriors’ style — and that is why we get huge numbers with the Over/Under that the Over still shatters. The Cavaliers enter this game having won six of their last seven games with their 115-112 win over Chicago back on December 21st. They shot 51.2% from the field in that win which was their fifth game in their last six contests where they made at least 50% of their shots. But Cleveland allowed the Bulls to make 55.3% of their shots after allowing the Bucks to make 52.4% of their shots in their previous game. Not coincidentally, the Cavs’ defense is missing one of their best defenders in Iman Shumpert who is dealing with a knee injury. The Cavaliers have failed to cover the point spread in five of their last six games — and they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Cleveland has also paled 31 of their last 47 games Over the Total after a game where at least 220 combined points were scored. Furthermore, the Cavs have played 25 of their last 36 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219 point range. Cleveland has played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total against Western Conference opponents. Lastly, the Cavaliers have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break ABC-TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (703) and the Golden State Warriors (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-25-17 Akron v. Davidson UNDER 149.5 Top 78-91 Loss -110 4 h 11 m Show

At 12:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (711) and the Davidson Wildcats (712) in the Diamond’s Head Classic. This game first consolation match on the last day of this holiday tournament in Hawai’i will be played at 7:30 AM local time to accommodate the early afternoon tipoff on the east coast for the ESPNU national audience. Expect both teams to be a bit sluggish for this one. Akron (6-4) has lost two straight games after their 64-62 loss to Princeton on Saturday as a 5.5-point underdog. The Zips have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Akron has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing their second game in three days — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day or less between games. Furthermore, the Zips have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams outside the Mid-American Conference. And in their last 21 road games against non-conference foes, Akron has played 15 of these games Under the Total. And in their last 7 games played on a neutral court, the Zips have played 6 of these games Under the Total.

Davidson (4-6) has lost three straight games with their 79-71 upset loss at Hawai’i who is the host team for this event on Saturday. The Wildcats shot just 38.1% from the field in that loss. While I sometimes expect the Regression Gods to swoop in an correct outlier efforts like that, in this case, I suspect those Gods will be busy elsewhere and not appearing in Hawai’i before 9:30 AM local time. As it is, Davidson has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 18-8-1 in their last 27 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after an upset loss. Davidson has covered the point spread once in their last three games — and they have played 22 of their last 30 games Under the Total when they have failed to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. Their game with Hawai’i did finish Over the 141 point Total — but they have played 22 of their last 30 games Under the Total after a game that finished above the number. Lastly, the Wildcats have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total as a favorite on a neutral court by 6.5 to 12 points. 25* CBB Diamond’s Head Classic Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (711) and the Davidson Wildcats (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.

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