Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-17-22 | Longwood v. Tennessee OVER 132.5 | 56-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Longwood Lancers will be a huge underdog in their first round matchup versus Tennessee, but you could say they have a "puncher's chance". Or more accurately a shooter's chance. Longwood ranks among the best in the country with a 38 percent three-point percentage, and they shot a solid 72.6 percent from the charity stripe. The over is 11-3 in the Volunteers last 14 neutral site games as a favorite, and the Lancers went over the total in five of their last seven overall. Longwood played Iowa and Georgetown in non-conference play, and both those games saw over 180 points combined. They lost both games, but scored 83 versus the Hoyas and 73 versus the Hawkeyes. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-22 | Indiana v. Wyoming UNDER 133 | 66-58 | Win | 100 | 33 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Wyoming Cowboys lost three of their final four games, but they played some strong defense down the stretch. The Cowboys allowed an average of just 65 points in those games. The problem is that they only scored 62.2 points per game over that span. The Hoosiers also lost three of their last five games, and prior to the loss to Iowa in the BIG10 Tournament they held four straight opponents to fewer than 70 points. They held the Illini to 63 points in the quarterfinals. The under is 7-3 in the Cowboys last 10 neutral site games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-22 | Oregon v. Utah State UNDER 144.5 | Top | 83-72 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Oregon Ducks lost six of their final eight games, and they have lost five straight road games. They really missed leading scorer Will Richardson, who also leads the team in assists and FG percentage. Their first game of the NIT Tournament won't be easy, on the road at Logan. The Aggies have held the opposition to just 56.6 points per game over their last five overall. Utah State has failed to reach the total in five of their last six games. Oregon shot just 34.3 percent from the field in a loss to Colorado in the first round of the PAC12 Tournament. The Ducks ranked near the bottom of the PAC12 with a free throw percentage of just .677, and their best free throw shooter has missed their last three games. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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03-11-22 | Quinnipiac v. St. Peter's UNDER 138 | 52-64 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. |
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03-10-22 | Quinnipiac v. Siena UNDER 140 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. |
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03-10-22 | Marquette v. Creighton UNDER 142.5 | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. |
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03-10-22 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati UNDER 137 | 63-74 | Push | 0 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. |
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03-09-22 | New Mexico v. Nevada UNDER 150.5 | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. |
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03-08-22 | Chicago State v. Utah Valley UNDER 133 | 47-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
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03-08-22 | Quinnipiac v. Marist UNDER 141 | 77-52 | Win | 100 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The total for this game looks a little high when you consider that Marist has averaged just 64.4 points per game over their last five overall, and Quinnipiac has scored just 67.4 points per game in their last five. These teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven head to head meetings. The under is 12-2 in the Bobcats last 14 neutral site games, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five as an underdog. In a single elimination game we can expect every possession to be a battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-22 | UT-Rio Grande Valley v. California Baptist UNDER 149 | 80-81 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The total for this game looks a little high when you consider that California Baptist has averaged just 65.8 points per game over their last five overall, and Texas Rio Grande Valley scored just 63 points per game in their last five. The under is 6-2 in the Vaqueros last eight overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six when coming off a loss. The under is 6-1 inthe Lancers last seven overall, and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 when coming off a win. In a single elimination game we can expect every possession to be a battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-22 | USC v. UCLA UNDER 141.5 | 68-75 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 20 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-05-22 | Massachusetts v. George Mason UNDER 147 | 83-80 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. I cashed in with the under in the Patriots last game, and here is what I said before tipoff: "The Davidson Wildcats sit in first place in the A-10, but the VCU Rams are just a half game back. They play their final home game against George Mason Wednesday, and we should expect them to be at their very best. Davidson is 12-1 at home, and they have gone under in four straight home games. They have really stepped it up defensively over their last five games, allowing just 57.2 points per game. Their last home game was a 66-45 win over Fordham. These two teams have gone under in five of the last six head to head meetings." The Patriots have averaged just 63.8 points per game over their last five overall, and they are the favorite here against the Minutemen. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-22 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State OVER 129 | 51-52 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. I have been playing a lot of totals here at the end of the season, and the vast majority of the time I am betting unders. This looks like the kind of matchup you might want to bet to go under. Both these teams are great defensively, and neither team scores a ton of points. That said, it looks like the books may be overreacting with a number under 130. History tells us that these teams went over in each of the last six head to head meetings. The total for this game is far lower than it was in any of those games. Three of those six games went to overtime, and this game figures to be a close contest as well. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-22 | Western Carolina v. Mercer UNDER 143 | 53-81 | Win | 100 | 17 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Mercer Bears and the West Carolina Catamounts will meet in Asheville NC Friday in the first round of the Southern Conference Tournament. The Bears have averaged just 67.4 points per game over their last five overall, and they have a history of playing low scoring games versus Western Carolina. The last five meetings between these teams all went under the total, and the under is 8-1 in their last nine neutral site games. The under is 9-4 in the Catamounts last 13 overall. It's tournament season and that means we should see some dialed up defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-22 | Oregon v. Washington UNDER 145.5 | 67-78 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Ducks won at home by a score of 84-56 versus Washington back in January, falling short of the total of 142. The total for tonight's game in Washington is several points higher, History suggests that we could see a low scoring game here in Washington, as eight of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under. Oregon has scored an average of just 67.4 points over their last five games, while the Huskies have averaged 66.6 points in their last five overall. This time of year we expect to see teams crank it up on defense, and we should see that here in Washington tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-22 | George Mason v. Davidson UNDER 138 | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-01-22 | Purdue v. Wisconsin UNDER 144.5 | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Badgers host Purdue in a marquee matchup in the BIG10 Tuesday, and these two teams have scored plenty of points this season. Scoring is down for both Purdue and Wisconsin in recent games though. The Boilermakers have scored over 80 points per game overall, but in their last five games they have averaged just 67.8 points per game. Thesse teams have a history of playing defensive games, which is why we haven't seen a total as high as 140 in any of the last 10 head to head meetings. The under is 6-1-1 in the Badgers last eight overall, and Purdue has failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-22 | Northwestern v. Iowa OVER 151 | 61-82 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Iowa Hawkeyes have won six of their last seven, and they have averaged 88 points in those wins. They have scored an average of 87.6 points while going 14-3 at home. The Northwestern Wildcats aren't shy about playing high scoring games either, and they have scored an average of 73.3 points per game. The over is 21-8-1 in Hawkeyes last 30 overall, and they have gone over in 19 of their last 27 home games. Both meetings between these teams last season saw more than 155 points, and the total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in either of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-22 | Nebraska v. Penn State OVER 137.5 | 93-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Nebraskas is just 1-16 in the BIG10, and they rank dead last in scoring defense allowing 79.6 points per game. Penn State ranks last in the conference in scoring, but they should get their points here in a home game against Nebraska. Last year the Nittany Lions won both meetings versus Nebraska, going over 137 in each of those games. The total for tonight's game is at least eight points lower than it was in those games last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-22 | Arizona State v. Utah OVER 137 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Utah Utes and the Arizona State Sun Devils are two of the bottom feeders in the PAC12, but each of them have shown signs of life late in the season. The Utes won back to back games at Stanford and California, before losing their last game to Arizona. The Sun Devils have won four of their last five games, and they scored an average of 69.2 points per game during that span. Utah has averaged 70 points per game over their last five overall. Utah has gone over in four straight home games, while the Sun Devils have gone over in five of their last seven as an underdog. Utah scored 98 points in their last home game versus Arizona State, and the listed total of 147 went over the number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-22 | Arizona State v. UCLA OVER 133.5 | 52-66 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-20-22 | Team Durant v. Team LeBron UNDER 325 | 160-163 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
This line opened at 318.5 ... already pretty high. They scored 320 last year, and less than that in two of the previous three years. Nobody cares, everyone is betting the over and there is no end in sight. I can't help but get in at 325 an hr before game time. FADE THE MOVE! |
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02-17-22 | Washington v. USC OVER 138.5 | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Trojans are a 10.5 point favorites at home versus Washington, and they scored 95 points in a home win over the Huskies last year. The Huskies allowed 92 points in a loss to Arizona on Saturday, they gave up 87 points to Stanford a week earlier, and they allowed 84 points in a loss to Oregon at the end of January. That's an average of 88 points in their last three losses. The over is 19-7 in the Huskies last 26 road games, and the over is 10-4 in the Huskies last 14 games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-22 | Colorado State v. Boise State OVER 130.5 | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Boise State Broncos will be a slight favorite at home against Colorado State, and the total for this game is at least 10 points lower than it was in the previous 10 meetings. The Broncos have allowed 60 or more points in each of their last five games overall, and they face a Colorado team that has averaged 72 points per game on the road. The over is 10-2-1 in the Broncos last 13 versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-22 | Purdue v. Michigan OVER 146.5 | 58-82 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The opening total looks a little low here, as both these teams have been scoring plenty in their last five games. Purdue comes in averaging 83.6 points per game, while the Wolverines have scored 75.8 points per game at home. Purdue has gone over in each of their last five games, and the over is 35-16 in the Boilermakers last 51 games as a favorite. The Wolverines have gone over in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-22 | Iowa v. Maryland UNDER 149.5 | 110-87 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, but things have changed. I think the bookmakers are mistaken here with an opening total just under 150 points. Neither of these two teams has averaged 70 points in their last five games overall, and both teams have held opponents to an average of less than 70 points per game during that span. The under is 10-4 in the Hawkeyes last 14 road games, and the under is 14-5 in the Terrapins last 19 home games. Bet this one early because I expect money to come in on the under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-22 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State OVER 138.5 | 70-62 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Badgers were fortunate to have avoided an upset at home against Penn State, shooting just 37.5 percent from the field, 6-of-21 from beyond the arc and 3-of-6 from the charity stripe. They will have to be much better here on the road at East Lansing, and we should expect both teams to score their share of points. The over is 6-1 in the Badgers last seven games as an underdog, and they have gone over in nine of their last 12 overall. The over is 5-2-1 in the Spartans last eight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-22 | Arizona v. Arizona State UNDER 143.5 | 91-79 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Sun Devils have played back to back home games against UCLA and USC, and both games were close, decided by a combined eight points. They will be a double digit underdog once again tonight when they host Arizona. They lost 67-56 at Arizona last week, and another close, low scoring game seems likely. The under is 9-2 in the Sun Devils last 11 overall, and they have gone under in 11 of their last 12 home games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings, and Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-22 | Penn State v. Wisconsin OVER 129.5 | 49-51 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. I started betting the over in Wisconsin games late last year, and here is what I said prior to their loss to Michigan State: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." The over is 20-8 in the Badgers last 28 overall, and they have gone over in five of their last six home games. This number should be a lot higher. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-22 | Auburn v. Georgia OVER 152 | 74-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. There were 100 points scored in the first half of Georgia's last game, a home loss to Arkansas. They host #1 ranked Auburn Saturday, and another shootout should be expected. The Tigers took a 52-27 lead to the locker room at halftime in a home win over Georgia earlier this season, but we should expect more scoring from the Bulldogs here at home. The over is 7-2 in the Tigers last nine overall, and the over is 9-4 in the Bulldogs last 13 overall. Georgia has gone over in seven of their last 10 as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-22 | Wisconsin v. Illinois OVER 139.5 | 67-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. I started betting the over in Wisconsin games late last year, and here is what I said prior to their loss to Michigan State: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." The Badgers come into Illinois averaging 74.8 points over their last five games, and Illinois averages 81.6 points per game at home. The over is 7-2-1 in the Fighting Illini last 10 home games, and the over is 7-3 in the Badgers last 10 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-22 | Arkansas v. Georgia OVER 152.5 | 99-73 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Razorbacks come into Georgia as a double digit favorite, and I am expecting this game to be a shootout. Arkansas has won six straight, and they have won four of their last five head to head meetings versus Georgia. These teams played last January, and the Razorbacks won by a score of 99-69. The Bulldogs won by a score of 99-89 at home versus Arkansas in 2020. Five of the last six head to head meetings have gone over the total, and the over is 20-6 in the Razorbacks last 26 road games, and the over is 9-4 in the Razorbacks last 13 games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-22 | Kansas v. Iowa State UNDER 138.5 | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Jayhawks just barely beat the Cyclones 62-61 at home a few weeks ago, and they are coming off a blowout home loss to Kentucky on Saturday. It won't get any easier on the road at Iowa State Tuesday. The Cyclones are holding opponents to just 56.4 points per game on their home court. Kansas has failed to cover in four straight overall. Ochai Agbaji leads the Jayhawks in scoring averaging over 20 points per game, but he shot just 4-of-14 from the field and scored just 13 points in the loss to Kentucky. We saw these teams play a defensive battle in Lawrence, and I expect to see another close, low scoring game in Ames. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-22 | Michigan State v. Maryland UNDER 138.5 | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Spartans are just a half game out of first place in the conference, and they will be a favorite on the road at Maryland Tuesday. The Terps are just a game above .500 at home, and they are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games. One of the reasons they have struggled at home is a lack of scoring. They scored just 55 points in a home loss to Indiana on Saturday. These two teams have gone under in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Spartans have held the opposition to 63.2 points per game on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-22 | Miami-OH v. Eastern Michigan OVER 141 | 75-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Eastern Michigan Eagles will be a home dog against Miami-Oh, and we should expect plenty of scoring in this matchup. The Eagles have scored an average of 78 points per game at home, and the Red Hawks have allowed opponents to score 80+ in each of their last three games. The over is 23-11 in the Eagles last 34 overall, and the over is 15-6 in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. The last time the Eagles hosted the Red Hawks they lost by a score of 85.63. Neither of these teams are known for their defense, so expect another shootout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-22 | UNLV v. Colorado State OVER 141 | 88-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
5* |
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01-24-22 | Arizona State v. USC OVER 134 | 56-78 | Push | 0 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. I recently bet over on the Trojans game at Colorado. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Trojans have lost two of their last three overall, taking a big slide in the AP Top 25. They come into Colorado off a 79-69 loss to Oregon, allowing 70+ points in three straight games. The total here looks quite low, and these teams combined to score over 140 points in both meetings last season. Colorado won at home by a score of 80-62, and the Buffaloes have averaged over 80 points per game home in PAC12 games so far this season. The Trojans rank 2nd in the PAC12 in scoring averaging 75.4 points per game, and they have the 2nd best FG percentage (.478)." They have been far better at home, scoring an average of 81.1 points per game. Tonight's total is significantly lower than it was in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-22 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin OVER 139 | 86-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Over. I bet the over in Wisconsin's last two games, including 78-68 win over Ohio State. Here is what I said before that game: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." The Badgers beat Northwestern 82-76, and they have gone over in seven straight. The over is 18-6 in the Badgers last 24 overall. The bookmakers have yet to make the necessary adjustments for Wisconsin's current style of play. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-22 | USC v. Colorado OVER 137 | 61-58 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Trojans have lost two of their last three overall, taking a big slide in the AP Top 25. They come into Colorado off a 79-69 loss to Oregon, allowing 70+ points in three straight games. The total here looks quite low, and these teams combined to score over 140 points in both meetings last season. Colorado won at home by a score of 80-62, and the Buffaloes have averaged over 80 points per game home in PAC12 games so far this season. The Trojans rank 2nd in the PAC12 in scoring averaging 75.4 points per game, and they have the 2nd best FG percentage (.478). Both teams should score their share of points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-22 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern OVER 138 | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Over. I bet the over in Wisconsin's last game, a 78-68 win over Ohio State. Here is what I said before the game: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." Northwestern has scored an average of 75 points per game over their last five overall, and during that span they have allowed opponents to average almost 80 points per game. The Badgers have gone over in six straight overall, and it doesn't look like the bookmakers have made the necessary adjustments. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-22 | Utah v. Arizona State UNDER 138 | Top | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Sun Devils host Utah Monday, and historically these teams have been involved in high scoring games. They have gone over in five straight head to head meetings, but a dark cloud hangs over both these teams at the moment. Arizona State has struggled without Marcus Bagley, ranking 391st nationally scoring just 62.6 points per game. They come into tonight's game averaging just 59.4 points per game in their last five overall. Utah hasn't been much better, averaging 67 points per game in their last five overall. The Sun Devils have gone under in five straight overall, and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 home games. They shot just 33 percent from the field in a home loss to Colorado in their last game, and they rank last in the PAC12 with a FG percentage of .385 on the season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-22 | Wake Forest v. Virginia UNDER 129 | 63-55 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on under. The Cavs have won nine straight head to head meetings against Wake Forest, and the Demon Deacons scored an average of 55 points in those games. The last two meetings went over the total, but the number in those games was far lower than the total we see here today. The under is 4-1 in the Demon Deacons last five overall, and the under is 7-2-1 in the Cavaliers last 10 games following a straight up win. The Cavs have played three home games in conference play, and all three of those games fell well short of 129 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-22 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin OVER 139 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games, and the Buckeyes have averaged exactly the same amount of points over that span. The over is 16-5 in the Buckeyes last 21 road games, and the Badgers have gone over in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-22 | New Mexico v. UNLV UNDER 151.5 | 56-85 | Win | 100 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Rebels host the last place New Mexico Lobos, who are coming off back to back losses to Utah State and Nevada. The Lobos have lost six straight head to head meetings versus UNLV, and they have failed to cover in seven of the last eight meetings. Four of the last five head to head meetings went under the total. The total for tonight's game is more than 10 points higher than it was in both meetings in 2021. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 218.5 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. While the Warriors defense has been stellar this season, they will be without their best defensive player (Draymond Green) when they play at Memphis tonight. This will be the second game back for Klay Thompson, and a showcase of Steph Curry versus Ja Morant. These teams have gone under the total in seven of the last nine head to head meetings, but tonight's total is significantly lower than it was in eight of the last nine meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-06-22 | Iowa v. Wisconsin UNDER 147 | 78-87 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Badgers are coming off an upset win at Purdue, holding the Boilermakers under 70 points on their home court. Wisconsin has allowed just 63.3 points per game while winning six of seven at home. They host the Iowa Hawkeyes who have only averaged 66 points per game on the road. The Hawkeyes last road game was a 73-53 loss at Iowa State. The under is 9-1 in the Hawkeyes last 10 road games. The under is 5-1 in the last six head to head meetings, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-21 | Utah v. Oregon State UNDER 140.5 | 76-88 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Oregon State Beavers are 2-10 overall, and 0-2 in the Pac12. They have really struggled on offense, scoring just 67 points per game. They have been pretty average on defense, allowing 72 points per game, very close to the national average. Utah comes in with an 8-4 record overall and they are 1-1 in the Pac12. The under is 2-2 in the last four head to head meetings, but tonight's total is far higher than it was in those previous four games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-21 | Arizona v. Tennessee UNDER 149.5 | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Wildcats are still undefeated coming into Knoxville with an 11-0 record. Playing on the road at Tennessee will be the toughest test they've faced so far, as the Vols have allowed just 54 points per game at home. The Vols are 6-0 at home, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall. This will be the second time Arizona will play a ranked team, and their win over Michigan saw a combined 142 points, well under the listed total here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-21 | Xavier v. Villanova UNDER 137.5 | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Villanova Wilcats have lost back to back games, scoring an average of just 47.5 points. They shot just 22 percent from the field against Baylor, and just 33 percent from the field against Creighton. They are 3-0 at home and they have allowed fewer than 50 points per game in those wins. The Wildcats have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and they have gone under in three of their last four versus Xavier. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-21 | Heat v. Bulls UNDER 212 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Miami Heat rank 1st in the Eastern Conference in opponent's scoring average, and the Bulls aren't far behind. For that reason the total is pretty low here, but it is still higher than the number in three of the last four head to head meetings between these teams. The under is 6-1 in the Bulls last seven games as a home underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 16 as a dog. The under is 20-6 in the Bulls last 26 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-21 | Alabama v. Iona OVER 147.5 | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Two 4-0 teams will meet on Thanksgiving Day in California when the Crimson Tide take on the Iona Gaels. Both these teams come in scoring plenty of points, Alabama averaging over 89 points per game while the Gaels are averaging over 74 points per game. The Crimson Tide can play defense if they need to, but they are also content to run and gun if it suits them. That was the case when they beat South Dakota State 104-88 in their second game of the season. This game has the potential to be a similar style, with another high score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-21 | Clippers v. Grizzlies UNDER 221.5 | 108-120 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. I bet the under in the Clippers last game, a 106-92 win over the Spurs. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The LA Clippers have quietly been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season. They come into tonight's home game against the Spurs ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 103.3 points per game. That would be good enough to rank 1st in the NBA last season. The under is 6-1-1 in Spurs last eight road games, and they have gone under in five of their last six when coming off a loss. The Clippers scored just 90 points in a home loss to Chicago in their last game, and the under is 4-1 in their last five when coming off a loss." The Clippers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five versus Memphis. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-21 | Kings v. Wolves UNDER 223.5 | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. After losing 99-96 at home to Phoenix in their last game, it seems rather optimistic to have the total set over 220 for a home game against the Sacramento Kings. The under is 11-4-1 in Kings last 16 road games, and the Kings have failed to reach the total in 35 of their last 51 overall. The under is 7-1 in the Timberwolves last eight home games, and they have failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 18 overall. Minnesota is only averaging 103 points per game this season (23rd). GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-21 | Toledo v. Oakland UNDER 147 | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Oakland Grizzlies will be a small favorite at home versus Toledo tonight, and the total for this matchup appears a little inflated. The Grizzlies have held their first two opponents to 56 points or fewer, going 1-1 versus West Virginia and Oklahoma State. The Grizzlies scored just 53 points in a loss to Toledo in 2020, and 63 points against the Rockets in a loss in 2019. Tonight's total is much higher than it was in those two games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-21 | Spurs v. Clippers UNDER 220 | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The LA Clippers have quietly been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season. They come into tonight's home game against the Spurs ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 103.3 points per game. That would be good enough to rank 1st in the NBA last season. The under is 6-1-1 in Spurs last eight road games, and they have gone under in five of their last six when coming off a loss. The Clippers scored just 90 points in a home loss to Chicago in their last game, and the under is 4-1 in their last five when coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-21 | BYU v. Oregon OVER 141.5 | 81-49 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Ducks scored 80+ points in both their first two games, and they shot 51.6 percent from the field in an 86-63 win over SMU in their last game. They hit 9-of-20 (45%) from beyond the arc in that game. Oregon has been playing a ton of high scoring games, with some pretty heavy over trends. The over is 8-0 in the Ducks last eight games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. They have also gone over in 10 of their last 11 neutral site games. The over is 10-2 in the Ducks last 12 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-21 | Pacers v. Knicks UNDER 217 | 84-92 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-14-21 | Warriors v. Hornets OVER 224.5 | 102-106 | Loss | -104 | 23 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Charlotte Hornets have won back to back games, but they rank dead last in the NBA allowing 116 points per game this season. Golden State ranks first in the NBA in scoring, averaging over 116 points per game. The Warriors come in as winners of seven straight, with an overall record of 11-1. The over is 4-1 in Hornets last five home games, and the over is 3-1 in the Warriors last four overall. Don't be surprised to see a high score in a game between two of the highest scoring teams in the NBA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-21 | Georgia v. Cincinnati UNDER 138.5 | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Bearcats gave up just 43 points in their season opener against Evansville, and they are a big favorite Saturday in a home game against Georgia. The Bulldogs scored just 58 points in a win over FIU in their first game of the season. Georgia shot just 35 percent from the field, going 3-of-15 (20%) from beyond the arc despite facing an inferior opponent. A road game against a notorious defensive powerhouse like Cincinnati spells trouble for the Bulldogs. Expect a low score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-21 | Hornets v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 | 118-108 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. This game features the highest total on tonight's NBA card, but there is a good reason for that. Memphis and Charlotte rank 29th and 30th respectively in opponents scoring, and both these teams can score more than their share of points. In fact Charlotte ranks 2nd in the NBA averaging over 114 points per game. The Hornets have gone over in five of their last six overall, and the over is 4-0 in their last five games at Memphis. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-21 | Spurs v. Magic OVER 211.5 | 102-89 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The one take away from the early season NBA games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The Spurs and the Magic are doing their part to keep scoring up, by refusing to play defense. They are both allowing roughly 110 points per game, well above the league average. These two teams have gone over in six of the last seven meetings, and the over is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings in Orlando. The over is 9-2 in the Magic last 11 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-21 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 214 | 95-78 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Two teams that haven't had any problems scoring are Miami (2nd in the NBA averaging 115.6 points per game) and Boston (4th in the NBA averaging 113.9 points per game). These teams have gone over in six of the last seven head to head meetings, and the over is 12-5 in Miami's last 17 games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-21 | Hawks v. Nets UNDER 221 | 108-117 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Nobody has been hit harder by the rule changes than James Harden, who is only averaging 18.6 points per game so far this season. The Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games, and the under is 10-4 in the Hawks last 14 road games. The under is 8-2 in the Hawks last 10 games as an underdog. Brooklyn has failed to reach the total in five straight at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-21 | Kings v. Jazz UNDER 220 | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The Jazz are one of five teams allowing less than 100 points per game, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. The under is 19-6-1 in the Kings last 26 road games, and the under is 9-1 in the Kings last 10 games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-21 | Jazz v. Bucks UNDER 224.5 | 107-95 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. I had the under in last night's game when the Jazz lost to Chicago. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Both the Utah Jazz and the Chicago Bulls rank near the top of the NBA in points allowed so far. History suggests that these teams trend toward low scoring games, and the under is 20-7-1 in the last 28 meetings. The under is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Chicago." With another big total in tonight's game in Milwaukee, I'll take the under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-21 | Jazz v. Bulls UNDER 217.5 | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-29-21 | Hornets v. Heat UNDER 222.5 | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Heat are off to a great start, winning three of their first four games. They host Charlotte tonight, and the Hornets are also playing well. Miami is getting it done on defense, ranking 1st in the NBA in opponent's scoring allowing just 95 points per game. Charlotte is on the opposite end ranking 1st in the NBA in scoring. Scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The under is 10-3 in the Hornets last 13 games as a road underdog. The total in the last seven head to head meetings has never been higher than 216.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-21 | 76ers v. Knicks UNDER 217 | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The New York Knicks finished #1 overall in scoring defense last season, and Philly wasn't far behind. Both these teams appear to have picked up right where they left off, and if history is any indication then we could be in for another low scoring game. Three of four meetings last season went under the total, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in three of the four meetings last season. The under is 17-8 in the 76ers last 25 road games, and the under is 7-3 in the Knicks last 10 games as a home favorite. The Knicks have failed to reach the total in four straight home games versus Philly. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-20-21 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 222.5 | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. It's fair to say that Game 5 was an outlier. It was the first time in this series that the road team won, and it was also the first time in this series that the total went over in the first half. The Phoenix Suns scored 119 points, shot better than 55 percent from the field and hit over 68 percent of thier three-point attempts. Those numbers are good enough to win 99 percent of the time, but in Game 5 the Bucks somehow shot 57.5 percent from the field and hung on for a stunning victory. So what happens in Game 6? I am going to go out on a limb and say Milwaukee won't be able to pull that off again. Looking back at Game 4 in Milwaukee, Phoenix dominated that game for the first three quarters, and fell apart in the final three minutes. With no margin for error, I expect the Suns to be at their best here in this elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns UNDER 219 | 123-119 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. I bet the under for the first half of Game 2, and here is what I said before tipoff: “The Bucks scored just 49 points in the first half of Game 1, and Giannis once again struggled at the free throw line. The total for Game 2 is a little higher than it was in the previous game, and I expect both the team to turn up the heat on defense. The Suns should continue to send Giannis to the line every chance they get, and the Bucks may have to make a few adjustments to slow down Chris Paul. The under is 8-1 in the Bucks last nine games following a straight up loss, and the under is 9-4 in the Bucks last 13 games as an underdog.” Despite going under in the first half in each of the first four games, the total for Game 5 is still quite high. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns UNDER 221 | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under 1H. The Bucks scored just 49 points in the first half of Game 1, and Giannis once again struggled at the free throw line. The total for Game 2 is a little higher than it was in the previous game, and I expect both the team to turn up the heat on defense. The Suns should continue to send Giannis to the line every chance they get, and the Bucks may have to make a few adjustments to slow down Chris Paul. The under is 8-1 in the Bucks last nine games following a straight up loss, and the under is 9-4 in the Bucks last 13 games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 217.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. This series has been all over the map, with injuries playing such a key role. The Bucks proved that they can win without Giannis in Game 5 at home, but they sure didn't rise to the challenge back in Game 4 in Atlanta. Both games in Atlanta were low scoring, and the under is 5-0 in the Bucks last five at Atlanta. The under is 8-3-1 in Bucks last 12 overall, and they have gone under in nine of their last 12 as an underdog. I expect points to be hard to come by in this elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 234 | 83-86 | Loss | -113 | 49 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Prior to this series I had said that the Nets seemed to have no interest in playing defense. They proved me wrong by holding the NBA's highest scoring team to fewer than 100 points per game in the first two games of this series. I wouldn't be surprised to see them look a little complacent here in Game 3 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are likely to come out firing on all cylinders, and I expect them to shoot the ball a lot better at home. The Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog, and the over is 4-1 in the Nets last five Conference Semifinals games. The Bucks won both home games versus Brooklyn during the regular season, and both of those games went over 240 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 229 | 95-120 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Washington Wizards went on a tear in the second half of the season to sneak into the playoffs, but strong and responsible play on defense didn't have much to do with their success. They finished the regular season ranking dead last in scoring defense, allowing over 120 points per game. They didn't look great defensively in Game 1, and they were actually quite fortunate that Philly didn't have a particularly good game shooting the ball. The Sixers made 10 three-pointers in Game 1, and I expect them to improve on that number in Game 2. The over is 6-1 in the Wizards last seven road games, and they have gone over in seven of their last 10 overall. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-21 | Nets v. Bucks UNDER 242.5 | 118-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Nets have lost back to back games, giving up 128 points versus Portland, and surrendering 117 points in a loss to Milwaukee. Neither of those games went over 240 combined points, and it seems reasonable to expect a better effort on defense here as they look to get off the schneid. The under is 8-3 in the Nets last 11 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall. The under is 7-3 in the Bucks last 10 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-21 | Bulls v. Pacers UNDER 226.5 | 113-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Bulls and the Pacers sit in second and third place respectively in the Central Division, and with both teams battling for a playoff berth we should see a highly competitive game here in Indiana tonight. The total for tonight's game is higher than in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings, and nine of those 10 games saw fewer than 225 total points scored in regulation. The under is 10-3 in the Bulls last 13 overall, and the under is 13-6-1 in the Bulls last 20 games as a road favorite. The under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Indiana. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | Top | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Both Gonzaga and UCLA hit over 57 percent from the field in the Final Four, but we can't expect that efficiency to continue here in the Final versus Baylor. The Bears are far better defensively than any of Gonzaga's previous opponents, and buckets will not be easy to come by. The total here is sky high, despite three of the last four head to head meetings falling below 155 points. Tonight's total is 10 points higher than in any of the previous four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor UNDER 135.5 | 59-78 | Loss | -113 | 89 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 135.5. The Baylor Bears will face the Houston Cougars in the Final Four, and I expect this to be a battle. Both these teams are capable of playing lock down defense, and I expect every possession to be played with the same intensity that is normally reserved for the final minute of a tight game. The Cougars have held the opposition to an average of just 55 points in their last five overall. The under is 23-9 in the Cougars last 32 games as an underdog, and the under is 4-1 in Cougars last five NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-21 | 76ers v. Clippers UNDER 220.5 | 112-122 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under 220.5. The Clippers were shorthanded in their last game, beating the Spurs by a score of 98-85. Patrick Beverly and Serge Ibaka are out, while Kawhi Leonard and Marcus Morris are questionable. LA has help opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game over their last five overall. The Sixers have also been bringing the defense, allowing just 102 points per game in their last five. The under is 5-1 in 76ers last six overall, and they have gone under in four straight on the road. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven head to head meetings. Look for another low score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-21 | Wizards v. Knicks UNDER 225.5 | 113-131 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under 225.5. The Knicks have the NBA's top ranked defense, and one of the league's worst offenses. The Knicks are coming off a 101-100 home loss to Philly, but the under is 9-3 in the Knicks last 12 games following a straight up loss. The Wizards are coming off a 113-106 loss at Brooklyn, and they have lost six of their last seven overall. The under is 11-4 in the Wizards last 15 road games, and the Wizards have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 when coming off a loss. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-21 | Jazz v. Celtics UNDER 228 | 117-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Jazz are coming off three straight road losses, and they should be highly motivated to get back on track here in Boston. The Celtics have won five of their last six overall, and they have played solid defense during that span. The return of Marcus Smart certainly won't hurt either. The under is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 games as a home underdog, and the under is 20-8 in their last 28 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. There is also a strong under trend in Utah's recent games at The Garden. The under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings in Boston. Tonight's total is almost 10 points higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-21 | Syracuse v. Virginia UNDER 133 | 69-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. We would expect both these teams to be prepared to grind out a gutty defensive game here in the ACC Tournament. The total for this game is higher than it has been in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Virginia is 5-1 straight up in their last six versus Syracuse, and the Orange averaged just 50 points per game in those losses. Both these teams played a few high scoring games down the stretch, but when they get together we expect the defense to shine. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-21 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga OVER 142 | 55-78 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. St. Mary's in one of the top defensive teams in the country, but the Gaels have had little success slowing down the Gonzaga Bulldogs. The Bulldogs rank 2nd nationally in scoring, averaging over 92 points per game. They dropped 87 on the Gaels in the most recent head to head meeting, and the over is 10-1 in the Bulldogs last 11 neutral site games. Gonzaga is 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings, and they averaged 84 points in those games. The total for tonight's game is lower than it was in four of the last five meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-21 | Texas Tech v. Baylor UNDER 139 | 73-88 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Baylor Bears beat Texas Tech 68-60 on the road earlier this season, and we should expect another defensive battle here in Sunday's game. The total for this game is a little higher than it was in any of the previous nine head to head meetings. The under is 20-8 in the Red Raiders last 28 games following an ATS win, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite, and I think they will have their hands full here against Texas Tech. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-21 | Colorado State v. Nevada UNDER 145 | 82-85 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. There are four teams at the top of the Mountain West standings with 14 wins, one of those teams is the Colorado State Rams. The Rams will play at Nevada Friday, and we might expect both these teams to play tough defense. The Rams have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall, and the under is 7-2 in their last nine coming off an ATS loss. The Wolfpack won by a score of 67-61 in their last home game against the Rams. I expect to see another low scoring game here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-21 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 225 | 115-112 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Atlanta Hawks have a new head coach, and they won their first game under Nate McMillan by a score of 94-80 at Miami. If that game is any indication of the style they intend to play moving forward, we could see them involved in more low scoring games. Holding the Heat to just 80 points in impressive, but also worth noting that Trey Young attempted just 12 shots, scoring 18 points on 5-of-12 shooting. The under is 36-16 in Hawks last 52 games as a road favorite, and the under is 37-17 in the last 54 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-21 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 224.5 | 91-117 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Lakers rank #2 overall in the NBA in scoring defense, and they will be a home favorite Sunday against Golden State. Four of the last six head to head meetings have gone under the total. The under is 5-1 in the Warriors last six road games, and the under is 5-1 in the Lakers last six overall. The under is 21-7 in the Lakers last 28 games playing on 1 days rest. The under is 20-9 in the Lakers last 29 games following a ATS win. We should see strong defensive play here in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | Jazz v. Magic UNDER 218 | 124-109 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Utah Jazz had won 11 of 12 prior to a loss at Miami last night. They play the second game of a back to back on the road at Orlando tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for Utah. There is no reason for Utah to get up for this game, and I wouldn't be surprised if they limit minutes for key players. The under is 6-2-1 in Jazz last nine road games, and the Magic have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. Utah's #2 ranked defense matches up against the Orlando offense that ranks #28 in the NBA in scoring. This should be a low scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | Marquette v. Connecticut UNDER 135.5 | 62-80 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Huskies won at Marquette earlier this year, holding the Golden Eagles to just 54 points. These teams have long history of playing defensive games, and they have been playing strong defense lately. UCONN has held opponents to 65.6 points per game in their last five, while Marquette has only scored 67.8 points per game in their last five. It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | Illinois v. Wisconsin UNDER 136.5 | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. Historically that has been the case when these two teams have faced each other. They have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. Wisconsin has cranked up their defense, allowing just 62 points per game in their last five. The under is 7-2-1 in the Fighting Illini last 10 overall, and the Badgers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall. The Badgers have gone under in six straight overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | VCU v. Davidson UNDER 132 | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the under. It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. Historically that has been the case when these two teams have faced each other. They have failed to reach the total in eight of the last nine head to head meetings. Davidson has really cranked up the defense, allowing an average of 58.8 points over their last five games. VCU has also been good defensively, allowing 66 points per game in their last five. The under is 7-2 in Rams last nine road games. The under is 12-4 in the Wildcats last 16 Saturday games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-21 | Kings v. Knicks UNDER 222.5 | 121-140 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Knicks are ranked #1 in the NBA in scoring defense, and they are ranked 30th in scoring. That alone might be tempting enough to bet the under, but history shows us there are plenty of trends that are worth noting. Nine of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under, and the under is 21-8 in the Knicks last 29 overall. They have gone under in seven straight following a loss, and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-21 | Warriors v. Pacers UNDER 228.5 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Warriors play their second game of a back to back here in Indiana, and history suggests the total looks a bit high here. The Dubs have gone under in three of their last four road games, and they have really played strong defense during that span. The Warriors are just 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Indiana, so we might not be expecting their best effort here. While these teams have gone over in six of the last 10 head to head meetings, tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact seven of the last 10 meetings saw a number below 220. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-21 | Texas v. Oklahoma State OVER 145 | 67-75 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. Texas will play at Oklahoma State Saturday, and we are expecting a high score here in Stillwater. These two teams played three times in 2020, going over the total in all three of those games. The over is 8-0 in Longhorns last eight overall, and they have gone over in seven straight Saturday games. The over is 15-4-3 in Cowboys last 22 home games, and the over is 22-8-3 in Cowboys last 33 overall. This total should probably be a little closer to 150. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-21 | Baylor v. Texas UNDER 144.5 | 83-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Baylor Bears are still undefeated, and they will be a six point favorite on the road at Texas Tuesday. These two teams have a history of playing very defensive basketball, and the total appears a little low given the history. The Longhorns lost both meetings versus Baylor in 2020, and they failed to score 50 points in both those games. Baylor failed to score 60 points in both those games. The total was under 140 in each of the last 10 meetings between these teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-21 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech UNDER 139 | 52-57 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Sooners are coming off a huge win over Alabama, holding the Tide to just 61 points. Oklahoma has been stellar defensively during a five game winning streak, but they are a significant underdog here in Lubbock. The Red Raiders are coming off a couple high scoring games, both of those on the road. Their last home game was a 68-60 loss to #2 ranked Baylor. History tells us that these teams have failed to reach the total in five straight head to head meetings, yet the total for this game is a little higher than it was in any of those previous contests. Oklahoma has gone under in nine of their last 12 overall, and the under is 25-9 in the Red Raiders last 34 versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-21 | Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 225 | 136-106 | Loss | -112 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Rockets appeared to reinvent themselves after dealing James Harden to the Nets, and they have allowed opponents to average just 102 points per game during a five game winning streak. They will face the #25 ranked Oklahoma City offense tonight, and it appears that the bookmakers have set the total a little too high. The under is 18-7-1 in the Rockets last 26 overall, and they have gone under in 13 of their last 19 against the Thunder. The under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings in Oklahoma City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-21 | Tulsa v. Temple UNDER 128.5 | 67-76 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have averaged just 57 points per game in their last four, and they are 2-2 during that span. They are excellent on defense, holding opponents to fewer than 63 points per game this season. The Temple Owls know a thing or two about playing defense, and we can expect a real defensive battle here in Philly. The under is 8-2 in the Owls last 10 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games. The Owls have gone under in seven of their last eight versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-21 | Utah State v. UNLV OVER 137 | 56-59 | Loss | -113 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. The Aggies are coming off their first loss in conference play, falling 84-76 to the Colorado State Rams. They will be a road favorite at UNLV, and I expect another high score here. The Rebels have won four straight against inferior opposition, including two Division 2 teams. The last time they played a contender in the Mountain West they lost back to back games at Colorado State. Both of those games were high scoring (145+). The home team has covered in four straight meetings between these teams, and I expect the Rebels to score enough points to keep this a close enough game to go over the total. GL, Jesse Schule |