Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-09-21 | Cowboys +8 v. Bucs | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 38 h 46 m | Show | |
I know the Dallas Cowboys are off a down season, but with a healthy Dak Prescott back behind center Im betting the Cowboys will have a bounce back season, as long as health issues don't rear their ugly head again. I know Mike McCarthy the Cowboys coach did not have a very efficient first season at the helm of Americas team, but the last time one his teams had a sub .500 campaign he bounced back with a 11 win season. Meanwhile, their opponents tonight the defending Super Bowl Champs will be Im betting in an emotional hang over mode. Note: Super Bowl champs are 12-24-1 ATS L/ in their first two games of the new season, as 6 or more point favs. Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS L/5 Thursday night home games. Bucs are 0-5-1 ATS L/6 vs NFC East competition. Buccaneers are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite. Buccaneers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 1. Boyz are 9-3 ATS L/12 as 7 or more point underdogs. Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. McCarthy is 95-66 ATS in games played on a grass field in all games he has coached in his career. Play on Dallas Cowboys to cover |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 59 h 43 m | Show | |
Overall Tampa Bay has had a better season than the KC Chiefs, and deserve respect here on a underdog line playing at home. In last seasons Super /bowl Kansas City had been out-gained the entire contest by the 49ers until a late game-winning 65-yard drive . In truth the wrong team won/ covered and ever since KC has been looked upon in some divine way by the betting public. Something they do not deserve in my humble betting opinion. Yes I know how great a QB Mahomes is, but Tom Brady has far superior experience and now going into this 10th Super Bowl must be considered a NFL prime time super star with god like abilities. Bottom line: Both these teams can score, and both have top teir QBs at the helm of their offense, but to me the difference maker comes on defense. Defense wins championships : Note: Tampa Bay brings the league’s seventh-ranked defense to this big game. With said, it must also be noted that the team with the better D, has won 44 of the L/53 Super Bowls. |
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01-24-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | 24-38 | Loss | -100 | 59 h 59 m | Show | |
Two strong teams with two top tier QBs Josh Allen (107.2 QB Rating) , and Patrick Mahomes (108.2 ) go head to head. The game is expected to be close, but I like the Bills here getting points vs a side that 0-8-1 ATS L/9. Buffalo is 11-5-1 ATS the past couple of seasons as a underdog of 6 or less points. Bills head coach Sean McDermott 8-1 ATS as a non-division dog vs an above .500 opponent. BUFFALO is 8-1 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (KANSAS CITY) - after failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 3-20 L/37 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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01-24-21 | Bucs +3.5 v. Packers | 31-26 | Win | 100 | 49 h 29 m | Show | |
The Bucs blitzed Aaron Rodgers on 18-of-41 drop backs in the first game they played against each other, and Im betting that kind of pressure will be on todays agenda. Advantage Bucs as underdogs in a game that could easily be a pickem. TAMPA BAY is 8-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play this season. TAMPA BAY is 7-1 ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 this season. NFL Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 40-14 ATS L/37 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GREEN BAY) - after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to cover |
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01-17-21 | Bucs +3 v. Saints | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
The Saints beat Tom Brady and company have lost both meetings this season but it must be noted that Brady is 18-3 SU revenging a division loss and 13-1 SU/ATS vs sides wtih a .300 record or better with the only loss coming to the Saints this season. Brady has never lost 3 times in a row to any team,. Considering HC Arians has won 16 of 23 road games vs division opposition and Brady seething with retribution at hand Im betting on TB getting us the cover. |