Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-30-22 | CFR Cluj v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 120 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals +120 in Hermannstadt vs CFR Cluj @ Noon ET - CFR Cluj has scored 3 goals twice in last four meetings with Hermanndstadt and averaged scoring 2 goals per match. I know Hermannstadt comes into this one having struggled in the goal-scoring department of late but they will bring extra effort here at home and hosting one of the top clubs in the league. At the same time though, the hosts will not be able to stop a CFR Cluj attack that is looking to get back on track after defeating CS Mioveni but only by a 1-0 count. CS Mioveni is the worst club in the league. Prior to that, 5 of last 6 CFR Cluj matches across all competitions totaled at least 3 goals! That said, getting the over 2 at plus money is a great value the way I see it. Hermannstadt, as noted above, will put up a fight on their home pitch so I expect them to make the net ripple at least once. But of course CFR Cluj a favorite here for a reason. So look for at least a 2-1 final here. The hosts have not scored in their last 2 home matches but did score at least 1 goal in each of the 6 before that and averaged 1.7 goals scored in those 6 matches. The lack of scoring recently will only further their determination here. 10* OVER 2 goals +120 in Hermannstadt |
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11-30-22 | Denmark -1 v. Australia | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
World Cup Wednesday 10* Top Play Denmark -1 -115 vs Australia @ 10 AM ET - Interesting scenario here as Denmark is tied with Tunisia in the standings and France is playing Tunisia today at the same time, of course, as this Denmark match with Australia. That said, France is already advancing and could be a big flat against Tunisia. If Tunisia would happen to win than even if Denmark wins, which I do expect, they would still be tied in the table. The key would then be goal differential and then if that did not decide it then it is most goals scored. That being said, I look for Denmark to go hard here in an effort to score plenty not only to win but also just to "be sure" of advancing. Certainly Australia wants to win here as they need at least a draw to advance but Denmark is simply the much better club and will bring their A game today. Look for at least a 2-0 final here as a result. 10* DENMARK -1 -115 |
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11-29-22 | United States v. Iran OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -122 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
World Cup Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -120 in Iran vs United States @ 2 ET - If the USA does not score a goal they are going home. If USA does score a goal then Iran must answer or they are going home. That is the key in this knockout game. I just can't see USA not being very aggressive on the attack and making sure the net ripples. This is their chance. A win and they are in. No questions asked. I know the USA does not have a good history of scoring goals but they can have some success against this Iran team for sure. Iran surprised Wales 2-0 but before that got rocked 6-2 by England. 6 of the last 8 matches for Iran have totaled at least 2 goals. This is simply another case where one team, in this case USA, has to go for it and have to be aggressive on the attack to get that early goal. Then it forces Iran to have to answer or they are finished. A draw here does not help USA so they will be aggressive and, though England should beat Wales the fact is Iran is in trouble if they don't. If Wales gets the upset and Iran loses this match then they don't advance. So I just don't see this match ending with anything less than 1-1 but absolutely expecting an entertaining battle to end in a 2-1 final at least. 10* OVER 2 in Iran |
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11-29-22 | CS U Craiova v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste vs Universitatea Craiova @ Noon ET - Universitatea Craiova is undefeated last 5 matches and has scored an average of 1.6 goals during this solid stretch! Chindia Targoviste is also playing much better and has gone undefeated in last 7 matches. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match during this stretch. Given these numbers, you can see why I am expecting at least 3 goals in this one. These teams have a history of low-scoring battles with each of the last 4 meetings finishing as 1-0 finals. However, that is merely serving to keep this total lower than it should be. We should be forced to play a 2.5 here but there are 2s out there and it is a great value. Also, the layoff for each team is 2 and 1/2 weeks so with rustiness on the pitch come some mistakes which tend to lead to quality scoring chances. 10* OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste |
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11-29-22 | Senegal v. Ecuador OVER 2 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
World Cup Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -120 in Ecuador vs Senegal @ 10 AM ET - I look for goals here and like the value of over 2. Both Ecuador and Senegal know that a win is likely for Netherlands over Qatar. That means that Senegal can not settle for a draw here. If they win they are in. That means Senegal pushes hard to get on the board here. They will be on the attack. But you know Ecuador will battle back too. Because they need at least a draw here to advance. So I am looking for a 1-1 final at the very least and, of course, we do not want a push. But there is extra value in this total set at 2 goals. This is the point is the value but we should see 3 here the way I see it as Senegal must play an aggressive game on the attack here. Senegal is off a 3-1 win and each of their last 5 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Ecuador trends toward lower-scoring matches long-term but the first two matches they have had in the World Cup did reach two goals and, again, Senegal can not afford to just sit back in this match. They must go strong for the win. 10* OVER 2 in Ecuador |
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11-28-22 | Uruguay v. Portugal OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
World Cup Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +135 in Portugal vs Uruguay @ 2 ET - Uruguay off that scoreless draw with South Korea but they hit the post twice. There definitely should have been some scoring in that match and this one will make up for it. Portugal is off a wild 3-2 win over Ghana and Uruguay will be even better able to take advantage of defensive deficiencies of Portugal in this one. However, the scoring ability this Portugal team has is going to be a key here. I would like to side with them here but some defensive ineptitude concerns me here and has me forecasting a 2-2 type match in this one! Yes, we finally should see plenty of goals and I know that 19 of the first 28 matches have ended with 2 or less goals. This one will not. Before that 0-0 final, Uruguay had scored an average of 2 goals per match last 9 matches. Portugal has scored an average of 2.24 goals per match last 25 matches. This one will see plenty of scoring as Portugal can lock up advancing to next round by getting the win here. They will be on the attack and this will leave their defense vulnerable again and this time Uruguay finds the back of the net. 10* OVER 2.5 +135 in Portugal |
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11-28-22 | Switzerland v. Brazil OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
World Cup Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brazil vs Switzerland @ 11 AM ET - Of course Brazil is arguably the favorite to win the World Cup and they are a big favorite in this match including by 1 goal on the goal line for a reason. I am looking for Switzerland to make the net ripple but Brazil to ultimately prevail. Look for a 2-1 final and I am not laying big money line on Brazil of course plus that would be a push on the goal line. To me the best value here is the over. Switzerland has scored at least one goal in 11 of last 14 matches. Brazil has scored at least 1 goal in 9 straight matches and actually averaged 3 goals per match in this 9-match stretch. There have not been many matches to exceed the 2 goal mark in this World Cup so far. In fact, only 9 of 28 matches thus far have totaled at least 3 goals. This one bucks that trend though and the reasons why are above. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brazil |
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11-27-22 | Germany v. Spain OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
World Cup Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Spain vs Germany @ 2 ET - This one should see goals. So many of the World Cup matches have seen 2 or less goals so far but this looks like a wild one. Spain is off 7-0 thrashing of Costa Rica plus they defeated Germany 6-0 last time these squads met two years ago. However, Germany is sure to put up a fight here after their surprising 2-1 loss to Japan in the opener. Germany is desperate for the full 3 points in the table now and they will not be successful if they sit back on their heels here. Germany has scored an average of 2 goals last 5 matches overall but they will struggle to stop a Spain club that dominated possession against Costa Rica plus dominated on the attack. Even prior to the 7-0 win, Spain had averaged scored 2 goals per match last 9 matches. 10* OVER 2.5 in Spain |
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11-27-22 | Canada v. Croatia +127 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 127 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
World Cup Sunday 10* Top Play Croatia Money Line +125 vs Canada @ 11 AM ET - Canada did generate a lot of shots in first match but not much of it was on target in the eventual 1-0 loss to Belgium. Now they need to go hard for the full 3 points here but Croatia is so strong defensively that aggression from Canada on the attack will likely only lead to great opportunities the other way on the counter-attack for Croatia. Speaking of aggression, the "F Croatia" quote from coach John Herdman of Canada is not going to help matters here. They do look improved in this go-round of the World Cup but don't have good history in their recent trips to this grand stage not only going winless but also scoreless for an extended stretch. That said, the last thing they needed to do was to give bulletin board material to the stronger club here. Good line value here as I feel strongly that Croatia will bounce back after a disappointing opening effort that resulted in a draw with Morocco. 10* CROATIA +125 |
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11-26-22 | Mexico v. Argentina -1 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
World Cup Saturday 10* Top Play Argentina -1 goal +100 vs Mexico @ 2 ET - Argentina had 3 goals disallowed in a 13 minute span in the first half of their eventual shocking 2-1 loss to Saudi Arabia. That huge upset loss has set up phenomenal line value here in my opinion. This Argentina club can, and will, respond. Mexico is off a scoreless draw with Poland and is not as strong as past squads. That said, this sets up well to be a bloodbath in favor of the favorites who I am sure are going to put on a display here and dominate from start to finish. Mexico goalie Ochoa had a huge save on a penalty shot in the match with Poland but, other than that, it was a quiet match for him. This one will not be quiet and he allowed a goal in 7 straight matches for Mexico (and average of 1.4 per match) before the clean sheet against a sluggish Poland side. That said, he will be very tested here and I feel strongly we'll see multiple goals from Argentina and you can bet the favorites will be hell bent on delivering a clean sheet of their own here! 10* ARGENTINA -1 goal +100 |
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11-26-22 | Saudi Arabia v. Poland OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
World Cup Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Poland vs Saudi Arabia @ 8 AM ET - Poland knows they must play more aggressively here on the attack then they did against Mexico in what ultimately ended up a 0-0 draw. Saudi Arabia is riding the wave of emotion of a 2-1 win over Argentina that was one of biggest upsets in World Cup history. The end result will be a match that flows very well with plenty of quality scoring chances for each side. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Poland |
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11-25-22 | United States v. England -1 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
World Cup Friday 10* Top Play England -1 -115 vs United States @ 2 ET - England has scored 9 goals in last 2 matches. Granted they also have surrendered some big goals too but they have firepower that the USA will not be able to match here. USA let one get away in blowing the 1-0 lead they held for a long time against Wales. That was a club that the United States matched up better with. Here, they are over-matched as you can tell by the line. Of course we hope not to get a push here and that we do get a win but there is nice value here in the fact that a 1-goal win at least gets us our money back. The reason to expect a big margin win though? The USA has scored a total of only 2 goals last 4 matches. England has scored 9 goals in just the last 2 matches as noted above. Also, the last 10 matches have included 5 shutout defeats for the United States and especially against tougher competition they struggle to score. I expect at least a 2-0 win for the favorites here. 10* ENGLAND -1 -115 |
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11-25-22 | Ecuador v. Netherlands OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
World Cup Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Netherlands vs Ecuador @ 11 AM ET - Both clubs off wins by a 2-0 score. Ecuador has not allowed a goal in 7 straight matches. Yet this total is 2.5 goals set on this one. How can that be? Exactly! Ecuador is facing a much tougher test now than those prior matches and I am sure Netherlands is going to force things to open up on the pitch in this match. Netherlands is off 3 straight victories and has not conceded in those but also has averaged scoring 1.7 goals in those matches. Prior to this it was a run in which 7 of 9 Netherlands matches totaled at least 3 goals. Those 9 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! Prior to this 3-game run by a 5-0 aggregate score, Netherlands had allowed at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches. I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here given all of the above. 10* OVER 2.5 +110 in Netherlands |
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11-24-22 | Serbia v. Brazil OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
World Cup Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brazil vs Serbia @ 2 ET - Brazil has won 7 straight matches and averaged scoring about 4 goals per match! I know that Brazil has not been conceding many goals but I like the attacking options Serbia has and also their emphasis on the attack in terms of the gameplan entering this one. Granted the competition has not been that among the ranks of Brazil - as few are! - but Serbia has scored an average of 3 goals per match their last 6 matches. Here we are just asking them to get 1 goal. Brazil is favored big for a reason and Serbia scoring once means we should see at least a 2-1 final here. Of course both Serbia and Brazil both capable of scoring well as their recent results show. However, I am expecting big scoring from the favorites in particular and a rather wide-open affair here! 10* OVER 2.5 in Brazil |
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11-24-22 | Ghana v. Portugal -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
World Cup Thursday 10* Top Play Portugal -1.5 +130 vs Ghana @ 11 AM ET - With all the Ronaldo controversy going on, Portugal is ready to get on the pitch and let their play do the talking. I am expecting a dominating win here. Portugal just beat Nigeria 4-0 and I feel strongly that they are going to make a statement in this game. Ghana split with that same Nigeria club a couple months ago with a composite tally of 2-2 in the two matches. The key point is that there is a talent disparity between these two clubs and the favorites are coming in fired up wanting to make a statement. That is why I am very comfortable with the goal line in this one. 10* PORTUGAL -1.5 +130 |
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11-23-22 | Canada v. Belgium OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
World Cup Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -140 in Belgium vs Canada @ 2 ET - Looks like Alphonso Davies is able to go for Canada in this one and that is big. This Canadian team has plenty of attacking talent and should absolutely be able to make the net ripple in this match at least once. Then you look at Belgium and you know this team is loaded with talent. They have a few injury concerns of their own too but they are one of the top teams in the field and are a big favorite here for a reason. In other words, you can see why I am looking for a 2-1 final here but also would not be shocked to see 3-2. I know the defense of Canada has improved but their facing a stern test here and Belgium will not sit back here. They will be on the attack and look to make up for some recent disappointments by being very aggressive in this match in looking to take down an opponent they know they should dominate. That said, I still like this Canada team to find the back of the net. They are stronger than people realize. That sets this one up for what should be an entertaining affair that finds its way over the total rather easily. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -140 in Belgium |
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11-23-22 | Japan v. Germany OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
World Cup Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -145 in Germany vs Japan @ 8 AM ET - We have to lay some extra juice to have the over 2.5 here but seeing 3 or more goals in this match is very likely in my opinion. There are so many attacking options for each club in this one. Japan has scored well at times in recent matches. Blanked by Tunisia and Ecuador but scored an average of 2.3 goals in other 3 matches dating back to 10 June. As for Germany, they are off 1-0 win but, prior to this, conceded an average of 1.8 goals 4 prior matches. This is why I do expect Japan, especially on the counterattack, to break through for a goal at some point in this match. At the same time, Germany is a heavy favorite for a reason. So I am looking for a 2-1 or 3-1 type final here as the big favorites are loaded with attacking talent which is going to give Japan fits in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -145 in Germany |
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11-22-22 | Australia v. France OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
World Cup Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -135 in France vs Australia @ 2 ET - This is a contrarian play if you will. 3 straight and 5 of last 7 Australia matches have finished with a total of 2 or less goals. 5 straight matches for France have finished with 2 or less goals. Yet the books have this total as high as a 3 or you can grab the 2.5 but play a little extra juice on the over. The key here is that the over is offering exceptional line value because of the situation specific to this match-up. First off, France is dealing with some injuries issues. I would not be surprised to see this open up the door to Australia finding their way to scoring a goal in this one. At the same time, France is a heavy favorite here for a reason. They are a big step up in level of competition to what Australia is use to seeing. The result is that this one should end up at least 3-1 in my opinion. The scoring talent France has is just too much for Australia to stop in this one. France is off a shutout loss but it was to a high-quality Denmark team. Prior to this, France scored an average of 2.2 goals per match their prior 24 matches. Australia is on a 4-0-1 run and scored 1.8 goals per victory in those 4 wins. They have added confidence as a result and that is why I expect them to score at least 1 goal here but they will not be able to stop France. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -135 in France |
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11-22-22 | Tunisia v. Denmark OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -135 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
World Cup Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -135 in Denmark vs Tunisia @ 8 AM ET - The ability to get an over 2 here has me involved in this one. Yes we must lay some juice to have the over 2 but it is a great value. 21 of Denmark's last 25 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Denmark has scored 2.3 goals per match in those 25 matches. Denmark has conceded at least 1 goal in 7 of last 10 matches. Tunisia had been on a run of clean sheets before being hammered by a 5-1 count versus Brazil. Though it was an ugly loss, it marked the 5th time in 6 matches that Tunisia scored at least 1 goal. We'll see some scoring here. The problem for Tunisia however will be stopping a loaded Denmark side. Look for a 2-1 or 3-1 type final or we might even see 3-0 but either way I do expect 3 goals and like the added insurance of 2 being a push in this one. 10* OVER 2 -135 in Denmark |
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11-21-22 | Wales v. United States | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
World Cup Monday 10* Top Play Wales Goal Line PK +135 vs United States @ 2 ET - Big line move toward USA in this one. I know Wales is without Joe Allen but they are otherwise healthy and have a star on the pitch in Gareth Bale. Grabbing the goal line here means we get a push if this match ends in a draw yet we still get some solid plus money if Wales wins which is what I am expecting here. I know a lot of people are pointing at the fact that Wales struggled coming into this match but their last 5 matches have included Netherlands twice and Belgium twice. Those are very strong clubs and, though Wales did lose the other match in last five they generated twice as many shots as Poland in that one. Wales has had some tight defeats lately but has faced a tough slate and I feel that stronger level of competition helps them here. They now take on a USA club that has many questions about the tactics and decision-making of manager Gregg Berhalter when it comes to this roster. Don't be surprised if that proves to cause some team chemistry issues with this club. Wales will prove to be the more cohesive unit entering this match and manager Rob Page helps tip the scales in their favor here. The USA has not faced the same level of competition last 3 matches that Wales has faced last 5 matches and yet the United States went an uninspiring 0-1-2 with just one goal scored. Lot of value here with the underdog in my opinion and we'll take it. 10* WALES PK +135 |
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11-21-22 | Netherlands v. Senegal OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
World Cup Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +130 in Senegal vs Netherlands @ 11 AM ET - I know Netherlands does not have the star power of past squads necessarily but they have formed quite a solid club and that is what matters the most. They will be on the attack early and often here and have a knack for scoring a lot of goals. I know Senegal may want to try and keep this match defensive and try to limit the attack of Netherlands. However, that just is not going to work as the better team is favored here for a reason and will dictate the style of play that will be required in this one. Also, Senegal has actually scored a goal in 13 straight matches and averaged 1.7 goals scored during this stretch. As for Netherlands, they have scored at least one goal in 15 straight matches and actually averaged 2.7 goals scored during this stretch. I am aware of injury issues for each club, etc. I just do not see this one ending with less than 3 goals and feel we have excellent value with the over 2.5 available at solid plus money. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +130 in Senegal |
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11-20-22 | Ecuador +130 v. Qatar | Top | 2-0 | Win | 130 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
World Cup Sunday 10* Top Play Ecuador Money Line +130 vs Qatar @ 11 AM ET - Qatar is the host country and that is an edge here. However, they rank as one of, if not the, worst in the 32-club field. Ecuador is on an incredible run in which they have just one loss in 15 matches. However, they have scored only 1 goal last 4 matches and that is my only concern in backing them here. The fact that Ecuador continues to deliver clean sheets is the reason I am pulling the trigger on them here. They will make it hard on Qatar to score here. Even though the hosts do like to play a defensive style of game and take pride in that end of the pitch, Qatar will eventually be penetrated by Ecuador for some quality scoring chances. The talent disparity is just too much between these clubs. We could be burned by a draw here but I feel the visitors just have too much in the way of skilled advantages to allow that to happen. 10* ECUADOR +130 |
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11-14-22 | Hermannstadt v. Botosani OVER 1.75 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -116 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 1.75 or 2 +120 in FC Botosani vs Hermannstadt @ 2 ET - This is a bit of a contrarian play here but I love the value. You can find this one at 1.75 goals at about a pick'em price or go for the bigger payout at over 2 goals +120 and I am expecting at least 3 goals here. Like I said, it is a contrarian play based on recent form but 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals and 2 of those 3 totaled 3 goals. Also, before their shutout loss to Voluntari last week, FC Botosani had a 2-2 draw the week prior versus Chindia Targoviste! Hermannstadt is off a shutout loss to that same Chindia Targoviste club but this was preceded by 3 straight matches totaling at least 2 goals. Before the loss to Voluntari, FC Botosani had scored in 5 of first 6 home matches this season. Hermannstadt has scored in 5 of last 6 road matches. All of these stats are referencing Romania Liga 1 matches but also note that Hermannstadt just won a 3-2 match in Romaniei Cup action Wednesday. Goals will be on the menu today in this one! 10* OVER 1.75 or 2 +120 in FC Botosani |
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11-14-22 | Arges v. Universitatea Cluj -101 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play Universitatea Cluj -105 vs FC Arges @ 11 AM ET - FC Arges won the first meeting way back in July 3-1 but they had the home pitch edge there. Revenge time now for Universitatea Cluj and they are off a loss but have won 3 of last 4 at home so this is perfect spot to back them. FC Arges is off a 5-0 loss to Sepsi and they were at home for that one! FC Arges did win most recent road match but this was preceded by 3 straight road losses by a combined score of 8 to 2. Excellent line value on the hosts here. 10* Universitatea Cluj -105 |
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11-13-22 | Steaua Bucharesti v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in U Craiova 1948 vs FCSB @ 2 ET - This is the match with the highest total on the board Sunday and it is with good reason. FSCB is off a scoreless draw in Cupa action Thursday but, in league action, they have been making their way back up the standings. FCSB is pushing hard after a slow start this season and, including UEFA Europa Conference League action, they have been involved in plenty of high scoring matches the last two months! For FCSB, 9 of last 11 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, in league action, FCSB is 5-1 last 6 matches and averaged scoring 2 goals per match! 5 of last 7 matches in league action for FCSB have totaled at least 3 goals. The last two meetings between these clubs have averaged 3 goals apiece. U Craiova 1948 has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of their 8 home matches this season. They enter this match with having allowed at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches. U Craiova 1948 allowing 1.6 goals per match in those 7 matches and now face an FCSB club that has been hot in league action. This sets up well to be at least a 2-1 final. The odds of a draw here are 1 in 3 so with strong odds each team scores here you can see why there is a good chance we get to at least 2-1 in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 in U Craiova 1948 |
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11-13-22 | Manchester United v. Fulham OVER 2.75 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 50 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5/2.75/3 in Fulham vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - The big news is that Fulham's leading scorer, Aleksandar Mitrovic, is out for this match. However, there is still a ton of value here. Note that Fulham's last 14 goals have seen only 3 come from Aleksandar Mitrovic. They certainly have other very capable scorers and I love the fact that Fulham's matches are averaging 3.5 goals this season as you are talking about a club that scores well and plays aggressively on the attack but that also struggles defensively and in goal. As for Manchester United, they lost their most recent league match to Aston Villa so they will be hungry here. They will push hard on the attack and not sit back. Man U has seen their road matches average 3.5 goals also. So I like the value with this total also available at over 2.5 and 2.75 but you can take the 3 at plus money if you must. The last 5 matches between these clubs have averaged 3.4 goals and I am looking for at least 3 here as I do trust Fulham at home to get on the scoresheet but they also will struggle to stop a resurgent Man U club that has been on a mission since they started the season so poorly. They are a different club now and also coming off a 4-2 win in mid-week English Carabao Cup action. 10* OVER 2.5/2.75/3 in Fulham |
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11-13-22 | CFR Cluj -135 v. Mioveni | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play CFR Cluj Money Line -135 @ CS Mioveni @ 11 AM ET - CS Mioveni has two slight edges here but they are not enough to overcome the talent disparity between these two clubs. CS Mioveni is hosting this match and they have a rest edge as CFR Cluj played in the Cupa Thursday while the hosts had their match on Tuesday. However, CFR Cluj won their match 5-0 and CS Mioveni had a much tougher 1-0 battle in getting past FC Botosani. That said, the value here is with the road favorite. Just how bad has CS Mioveni been this season? Every club in the league has at least FOUR victories except CS Mioveni and they have only ONE! Also, they have been outscored 8 to 2 in last 5 matches while, on the other hand, CFR Cluj is again one of the top teams in the league. The visitors also have won each of the last 3 meetings including a 4-2 win earlier this season. CFR Cluj has just one draw in their 15 matches this season so I am very comfortable laying a reasonable money line to have the road team to get the win over the worst team in the league which has already lost 11 matches this season! 10* CFR Cluj Money Line -135 |
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11-13-22 | Aston Villa +345 v. Brighton & Hove Albion | Top | 2-1 | Win | 345 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Aston Villa Money Line +345 @ Brighton & Hove @ 9 AM ET - Upsets happen. Yes, Aston Villa has not won on the road yet this season but neither had Brentford and then they went and upset Man City in Manchester yesterday as a huge dog! Aston Villa is off a win in their most recent EPL match over a solid Manchester United club but then lost to the same club in English Carabao Cup action when Man U got their revenge. Look for Aston Villa to be ready to fight back hard here after that 4-2 loss and they catch Brighton & Hove at the right time for an upset. The Albion just knocked off Arsenal 3-1 in English Carabao Cup action! Yes, Brighton & Hove won their only EPL match this month but it was against a bad Wolverhampton club. Also, lets not forget that the Albion won only 1 match in 6 in the month of October! I love the big dog value here and look for another team, like Brentford did yesterday, to finally enter the win column on the road after starting the season with a drought away from home. 10* ASTON VILLA +345 |
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11-12-22 | CS U Craiova v. Rapid Bucuresti | Top | 2-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play Rapid Goal Line PK +100/+105 vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET - Both clubs had been playing well but Rapid is off a loss to rival FCSB last week and then lost in Cupa action in mid-week to a very strong Farul club. Both defeats were by a 2-goal margin. That sets this one up well for a home victory. I really like the way Rapid has been playing and like having them here off those defeats. Rapid has been playing a very tough schedule of late and will make the most of this home match against Universitatea Craiova. Yes the visitors have won 9 of 16 this season but the hosts have lost just 5 of 17 matches. I feel we have good value on the goal line here as the pick'em in this case turns a draw into a push at the betting window. Rapid is undefeated (6-0-2) at home this season. Universitatea Craiova has won last two matches away from home but this was preceded by 3 straight losses as travelers in league action! 10* RAPID Goal Line PK +100/+105 |
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11-12-22 | Farul Constanta v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 50 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 1.75 or 2 goals in Chindia Targoviste vs Farul @ 10:30 AM ET - I understand the low total here. The last time these clubs met it was a scoreless draw in July. Last season the two matches finished 1-0 and 2-0 in favor of Chindia Targoviste. So Farul has not even scored in the last three meetings. However, Farul is off a 2-0 mid-week win in Cup action over a very strong Rapid team and is the highest-scoring team in league action this season. Farul is averaging scoring 2 goals per match this season! Chindia Targoviste, despite occasionally getting involved in low-scoring matches, still has seen their matches average 2.5 goals this season! The hosts are off a 1-0 win over Hermannstadt but their two prior matches averaged 3.5 goals apiece! Not only have 11 of Farul's last 12 matches totaled at least 2 goals, 8 of the 11 totaled at least 3 goals. Excellent value with the low total in this one. 10* OVER 1.75 or 2 in Chindia Targoviste |
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11-12-22 | Leeds United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 105 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United @ 10 AM ET - The Hotspur are getting some reinforcements to support the attacking side of things in this one and I am expecting plenty of goals. In league action, the last 3 Leeds United matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and actually averaged 5 goals apiece! Leeds is off a disappointing loss in the English Carabao Cup by a count of 1-0 but that was against low-scoring Wolverhampton. This match will play out much differently with Tottenham on their home pitch where they have averaged scoring 2.4 goals per match. Also, the Hotspur will be aggressive on the attack here because they are off B2B losses. One in the English Carabao Cup and one in EPL action. Those defeats were to a surging Newcastle club and long-time strong rival Liverpool. Look for Tottenham to rise up after those two tough losses so I don't see them taking their foot off the gas here. Leeds is averaging 1.5 goals per match this season so I don't see them being delivered a clean sheet here. Tottenham has gone 7 straight matches across all competitions without a clean sheet. That means look for at least a 2-1 match here but I am expecting more like a 3-1 or 3-2 type final here. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham |
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11-12-22 | Leicester v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs Leicester @ 10 AM ET - I know Leicester has been better defensively for some time now. However, the last 7 times they have met West Ham United the match has totaled at least 3 goals all 7 times! With this total at a 2.5 here that means we are testing a match-up angle producing 7-0 run. Despite Leicester playing better defensively of late, I just do not see a very hungry West Ham club being denied on their home pitch here. The Hammers have scored 9 goals in 7 matches here. As for Leicester, they were delivered a clean sheet by Manchester City to wrap up October but City is City! In their other 4 recent matches dating back to late October across all competitions, Leicester has scored an average of 2.8 goals per match! The last 5 matches between these clubs have averaged 4.4 goals apiece and 4 of the 5 totaled at least 4 goals. Though West Ham has struggled to score goals recently in EPL action their most recent match in league was a 2-1 loss to Crystal Palace. The Hammers have also played matches in English Carabao Cup and UEFA Europa Conference League action this month and scored an average of 2.5 goals per match in those two. With having scored at least once in all 3 matches across all competitions this month, the Hammers have some added confidence for this battle on their home pitch. As for the Foxes, they have been riding high of late and won't shy away from being on the attack in this one given that added confidence. 10* OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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11-11-22 | Petrolul 52 v. Sepsi OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Sepsi vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 2 ET - Incredibly the hosts have not scored a goal in any of their last 3 home matches yet are favored by about -200 on the money line in this one. A mistake? Of course not! Sepsi is off a 5-0 road win and hungry to get back on track on their home pitch and is facing the right club to do just that. Petrolul Ploiesti has been allowing plenty of goals and I look for this one to easily get to at least a 2-1 final. Sepsi has allowed at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 at home but they will find a way to prevail in this one. The weather will be chilly but most of the rain was earlier in the day and should not impact this match. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches and has averaged 1.5 goals scored during this stretch. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 road matches. Petrolul Ploiesti has only 2 draws in 17 matches so, again, another reason to look for at least a 2-1 final here. Petrolul Ploiesti delivered a clean shot at FC Voluntari in most recent road match but this was preceded by allowing at least 1 goal (and average of 1.8) in their 4 preceding road matches. Petrolul Ploiesti is ahead of Sepsi in the table but the hosts are a large favorite here and hungry for goals on their home pitch. Look for an entertaining one here if you like goals! 10* OVER 2.5 in Sepsi |
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11-07-22 | U Craiova 1948 v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -133 in CFR Cluj vs U Craiova 1948 @ 2 ET - There are some books with over 2 available at juice in the -133 range and that is the way I would recommend playing this one in case it lands on 2. However, I am expecting 3 goals or more or I would not be recommending this wager. CFR Cluj is off a victory in UEFA Europa Conference League action but they lost their most recent Romania Liga 1 match as they ran into a strong Rapid club. That meant it was a match-up of 2 of the heavyweights in the league but now CFR Cluj takes a step down in class to face a U Craiova 1948 club that is one of the weaker clubs in the league. I like the over here rather than laying heavy juice on the money line side because I do expect U Craiova 1948 to get on the scoresheet here. On the season, the visitors are averaging 1 goal per match and CFR Cluj is conceding an average of 1 goal per match. Back in July, U Craiova 1948 beat CFR Cluj 3-1 and so I am sure the hosts are going to look to get revenge in a big way here. The last 3 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 2 goals and have averaged 3.7 goals apiece! CFR Cluj has conceded at least once in 4 straight Romania Liga 1 matches so I am expecting U Craiova 1948 to get on the scoresheet here. However, the hosts have only 1 draw (the fewest in the league) in 14 matches this season. So all signs point to at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2 goals -133 in CFR Cluj |
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11-06-22 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 or 2.25 in FCSB vs Rapid @ 2 ET - Battle of Bucuresti here with FCSB hosting Rapid. No team has played fewer matches (14) then FCSB and yet they are the only club in the league that has both scored and conceded at least 20 goals on the season. In other words, expect goals here. The last two meetings between these rivals have averaged 3 goals and 3 goals per match is what FCSB matches are averaging this season. I know Rapid is capable of playing tighter, lower-scoring matches. However, Rapid has been trending to higher-scoring matches with each of last 6 matches totaling at least 2 goals. Rapid has averaged scoring 1.5 goals during this stretch and scored at least once in all 6 matches. In last 10 matches across all competitions, FCSB has allowed an average of 2.2 goals per match. Specific to Romania Liga 1 action, FCSB has scored in all but one match this season. The only match they did not was a 2-0 defeat against, you guessed it, Rapid! Payback time here on their home pitch and each team should score at least once as you can see and then note that Rapid has only 2 draws in 16 matches this season! In other words, strong odds that this one gets to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2 or 2.25 in FCSB |
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11-06-22 | Liverpool v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.75 or 3 +130 in Tottenham vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - You have the options of laying sizable juice for a 2.5 here or less juice for a 2.75 here or grabbing the big plus money with the over 3 goals available as high as a +130. For what it's worth, I am expecting 4 goals here. I know Tottenham has been hurt by the injury to Heung-min Son but they are still such a strong club when at home. Tottenham is scoring an average of 2.7 goals per game in home matches this season! Liverpool has struggled on the road this season but they have avoided defeats at the hands of Tottenham in 10 straight meetings. The most recent 5 have featured 3 wins and 2 draws and the last 4 have seen Liverpool score an average of 2 goals. Tottenham has scored at least 1 goal in each of last 4 meetings. That said, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 match here. But really I am expecting much more because Tottenham has shown a knack for coming back in recent matches and Liverpool also knows they must be more aggressive on the attack and they will feel they can do here especially because Heung-min Son is out for the hosts. So watch the Hotspur have some success on the counterattack with the visitors being so aggressive on the attack. Liverpool will have some success attacking but the hosts answer with great scoring chances of their own and I would not be surprised to see a 2-2 draw in this one. 10* OVER 2.75 or 3 in Tottenham |
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11-06-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. Hermannstadt OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 1.75 or 2 in Hermannstadt vs Chindia Targoviste @ 9:15 AM ET - Hermannstadt is tougher to face on their home pitch but Chindia Targoviste has been rolling and that is why I am expecting both clubs to score at least once here. Hermannstadt has allowed at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 home matches including a pair of goals conceded in each of last two. Hermannstadt scored 2 goals in last week's win and has scored at least 1 goal in 12 of 15 matches this season. 11 of 15 Chindia Targoviste matches this season have totaled at least 2 goals. Chindia Targoviste has seen their last dozen matches average 2.8 goals apiece. I feel we have good value with this low total because Chindia Targoviste has scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches and the hosts have scored at least 1 goal in 80% of their matches this season. 10* OVER 1.75 or 2 in Hermannstadt |
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11-06-22 | Newcastle United v. Southampton UNDER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play UNDER 2.5 in Southampton vs Newcastle @ 9 AM ET - Newcastle has been playing so well but Southampton has been tough on their home pitch this season. I look for this one to be very tightly played with goals tough to come by. Southampton is one of the lowest scoring clubs in the league but they also have conceded only 8 times in 6 home matches. Newcastle has allowed only 10 goals in 13 matches this season and that is the best mark in the league! This is why Newcastle is so high in the table as they continue to be so tough to score on and I look for that to continue here. The hosts, however, will put up a fight here and a 1-0 type match would not surprise me in the least. Southampton's last 4 matches have all totaled 2 or less goals and have averaged only 1.5 goals. Newcastle allowing just 0.5 goals since start of September as they have allowed only 4 goals last 8 matches! All signs point to this being a tight low-scoring affair! 10* UNDER 2.5 in Southampton |
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11-05-22 | Universitatea Cluj v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj @ 3 ET - Going for the bigger plus money here rather than playing this at Over 2 or 2.25 we will go over the 2.5 which is available in the +135 range! Why am I expecting at least 3 goals here? Well Universitatea Craiova has won 3 straight matches and scored 1.7 goals per match. Universitatea Cluj has allowed 1.7 goals per match last 3 matches but has also scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches. Universitatea Craiova is the biggest favorite on the board of 3 matches today. That said, look for the visitors to score at least once but the hosts to find a way to get the victory. On their home pitch and favored heavily for a reason, Universitatea Craiova should get multiple goals here. The hosts are one of the top teams in the league this season and looking to make a move up the table so they will fight hard here for the full 3 points. 3 of their last 4 home matches have totaled at least 3 goals and that included a wild 4-3 win over Farul. Prior to shutting out Sepsi last week, Universitatea Craiova had allowed at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches. That said, there is certainly reason to expect Universitatea Cluj to get on the scoresheet here. Look for at least 3 goals as an end result here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Universitatea Craiova |
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11-05-22 | Leicester v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Everton vs Leicester @ 1:30 ET - Both clubs have been getting solid defense and goaltending. That said, this is a contrarian play but there is a key to it. Both clubs need to be more aggressive and go for the full 3 points here. Leicester is still in a relegation position at #18 and Everton is only 3 points above them in the table. Yes the season is only about a third of the way in but it is not too early to have some concerns about this. Each club has only 3 wins on the season. Only 2 clubs have less and that is Nottingham Forest and Wolverhampton with 2 apiece and both of them are in relegation positions at #19 and #20. This is why I am expecting a 2-1 final here and feel we have excellent line value with this total at 2.5 goals and no juice on the over. I totally understand the line but just saying there is reason to go contrarian here and the situation is filled with value in my opinion. Both of Everton's home matches in October went over the total. The last time these clubs met went over the total. I know Leicester has allowed only 1 goal in last 4 matches but look at their long-term road history. All 6 of their matches away from home have totaled at least 3 goals and those have averaged 5.2 goals apiece. So I know they have been keeping teams from scoring and Jordan Pickford has been great between the sticks for the hosts too with just 1 goal allowed last 3 matches but you can see why I love the over here. I have no hesitation in testing the 6-0 / 100% run of overs in Leicester's road matches this season. 10* OVER 2.5 in Everton |
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11-05-22 | Fulham v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Fulham @ 11 AM ET - Reports are that Haaland will be back for Manchester City for this one. Even if he is not, though I expect he will be, City has won all 6 home matches this season and is on very long winning streak at home across all competitions. Not only that, the 6 matches in league have averaged 5.5 goals apeice. As for Fulham, they are on the only club in the 20-team league that has both scored AND allowed 22 goals or more. Considering that factor plus the way that City plays when on their home pitch, this one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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11-04-22 | Mioveni v. Farul Constanta OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +115 in Farul vs CS Mioveni @ 3 ET - CS Mioveni has had one scoreless draw in their last 6 matches. In the other 5 matches they have allowed an average of 2 goals per match. Now they are on the road and facing the highest scoring club in league. In terms of this match-up, it is one pitting first versus last in the table. Look for Farul not to hold back here. The hosts have scored an average of 2.5 goals in last 4 home matches. Farul has reached the 2-goal mark in 9 of their last 11 matches. Now facing the worst club in the league I would not be surprised to see them reach the 3-goal mark and push this total over all by themselves. As for CS Mioveni, don't be surprised if they get on the scoresheet here. Farul is willing to play aggressive on the attack and has allowed at least 1 goal in 7 of last 11 matches. Before a recent rough stretch that began in mid-October, CS Mioveni had scored at least 1 goal in 5 of 6 matches. They have scored at least 1 goal in 2 of last 3 meetings with Farul. This match, in Constanta, should see plenty of goals as the hosts have another foe (Chindia Targoviste) on deck that is at the lower portion of the table also. So there is no lookahead here! The hosts roll to a big win and that means plenty of goals. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +115 in Farul |
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10-31-22 | Steaua Bucharesti -101 v. Universitatea Cluj | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play FCSB Money Line -105 @ Universitatea Cluj @ 3 ET - FCSB was one of the top clubs in the league last season again and they are on their way back up the table this season too after a slow start. In the month of October they have won all 4 matches and, with a win here, they can move up to #5 in the table of 16 teams. We get line value here because they are on the road. That means we have a manageable line to work with here as this match is at Universitatea Cluj. Note that the hosts are one of the lowest scoring clubs in the league this season plus they enter this match off B2B losses in which they allowed 2 goals in each match. FCSB has allowed a total of only 1 goal last 3 matches so Universitatea Cluj has their work cut out for them here and I do not expect this to end well for the hosts! FCSB has a tough match with Rapid next week so they know making sure they take care of business here to get the full 3 points is of the upmost importance here. Look for them to do just that and make it 5 in a row. 10* FCSB -105 |
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10-31-22 | Hermannstadt v. Mioveni OVER 1.75 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 50 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 +115 in CS Mioveni vs Hermannstadt @ Noon ET - CS Mioveni is off B2B low scoring matches but this was preceded by a 3-match stretch in which all 3 totaled at least 3 goals. That said, prior to a scoreless draw with FC Botosani last week, CS Mioveni had seen last 4 matches average 3 goals. The last two matches between these clubs each totaled 3 goals and that included a key battle last summer in the Romanian Liga 1 Promotion/Relegation Playoffs. That said, intensity will be up for this match and I look for both clubs to be aggressive on the attack as a result. Hermannstadt has seen 10 of their 14 matches (and 5 of last 6) total at least 2 goals. With Hermannstadt having allowed at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches, I do expect CS Mioveni to enjoy success at home here in terms of finding the back of the net. However, Hermmannstadt will answer too as they have have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match last 5 road matches. The clubs have combined for just 10 draws in 29 matches this season so the odds favor a 2-1 match the way I see this one unfolding. Even if we get to just 2 goals we get a push but I am fully expecting 3 or more in this one! 10* OVER 2 +115 in CS Mioveni |
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10-30-22 | CFR Cluj v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti vs CFR Cluj @ 3 ET - This is a pretty simple write-up really. Farul is at the top of the league so far this season but these two clubs are right behind them and battling it out for the #2 spot in the table. Note that Rapid has just 2 draws in 15 matches and CFR Cluj has just 1 draw in 13 matches. That works out to a combined 3 of 28 draw rate or 11% chance of a draw. So if you like each club to score here and you know the draw rate is so low, you can feel comfortable with over 2 here as this one should get to at least a 2-1 final. Note that Rapid has scored at least 1 goal in 12 of last 14 matches. 5 straight Rapid matches have totaled at least 2 goals. CFR Cluj has seen 9 of last 12 matches in Romania Liga 1 action total at least 2 goals. They have scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches in league action and have averaged 1.8 goals scored per match during this stretch. Both clubs pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table here so we should see at least a 2-1 match here. 10* OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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10-30-22 | West Ham United +425 v. Manchester United | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play West Ham United Money Line +425 @ Manchester United @ 12:15 ET - Big upsets, though rare, do happen from time to time and this looks like another one here! The Hammers have been playing much better of late and this line looks funny to me. It looks too easy to take Manchester United at home on either the goal line or money line. The pricing looks too easy. The closer I looked at this match and knowing the recent distraction the hosts have had with the whole Ronaldo issue, I started to like West Ham United more and more in this spot. Keep in mind, Man U is off a hard-fought 1-1 draw with Chelsea followed by a 3-0 win in Europa League Thursday. They could be getting a little fat and happy now with all the recent successes as they drew with Chelsea in extra time too. As for West Ham, they are 6-1-1 this month across all competitions and I think the Hammers - still so far down in the table - will prove to be the hungrier club here. I sense a massive upset in this one. 10* WEST HAM +425 |
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10-30-22 | Nottingham Forest v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest @ 10 AM ET - Nottingham Forest getting high praises for a solid stretch in which they have allowed only 2 goals total over 4 matches. However, while they certainly deserve some credit, they caught slumping clubs in Liverpool and Aston Villa and Brighton at the right time plus they faced a Wolverhampton club that has scored less goals than anyone in the league this season. Now they face an angry Arsenal team that is 5-0 on their home pitching this season and those matches have averaged 4.2 goals. That is what I am looking for here. Nottingham Forest struggles to score goals but their confidence is growing and Arsenal is allowing 1.4 goals per match at home this season. So look for the visitors to slip one through at some point in this one but the hosts are -2 on the goal line for a reason! Look for at least a 3-1 final in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Arsenal |
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10-29-22 | Leeds United v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Liverpool vs Leeds United @ 2:45 ET - This is a great spot for a home blowout for Liverpool. They have disappointed in recent EPL action but are off a big win in Champions League action which means they can afford to rest some guys in their next Champions League clash. That means they are likely to trot out their best here for this one on their home pitch and they are scoring an average of 3 goals per match when at home this season. Couple that with the fact they have recently disappointed in league action and you have the right situation for a home blowout here. However, I am most comfortable with the over here rather than any goal line side for example and I say that because Leeds is scoring an average of 1 goal per match and even a 3-2 final here would not shock me but I also would not be any more surprised to see a 4-1 final. So I am looking for 5 goals here but fully expecting at least 4 and look for an entertaining affair here as I feel the Reds will be relentless on their home pitch in this one. 10* OVER 3.5 in Liverpool |
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10-29-22 | Everton v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Fulham vs Everton @ 12:30 ET - I know that Everton tends to play lower-scoring matches but Fulham at home is going to dictate the tempo here. Also, Fulham manager facing the club he formerly managed and will want revenge here. Fulham will be aggressive on the attack and their matches are averaging 4 goals this season! Indeed, Fulham is averaging 2 goals scored and 2 goals allowed per match. Everton is allowing 1.6 goals per match on the road this season. Given all of the above variables I know the hosts do not want to settle for a draw here and they play an aggressive style even at the risk of sacrificing the defense. That said, this one would not surprise me to get to 3-2 and I am confident we'll see at least 2-1 here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Fulham |
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10-29-22 | Petrolul 52 v. Voluntari | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play FC Voluntari Goal Line PK -130 vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ Noon ET - We could take plus money on the money line here but then if the match ends in a draw we lose our bet. By playing the goal line at a pick'em, a draw is a push with our bet. I do expect a win here or I would not be betting it, but I will have the added insurance of playing this on the goal line. This is great spot for FC Voluntari as they are off an ugly 3-0 loss on their home pitch. They are ready to bounce back strong here and they will take advantage of a Petrolul Ploiesti that has lost 3 straight road matches by a combined score of 5 to 2. Note that FC Voluntari, prior to ugly loss last week, was on a 5-match unbeaten streak which including winning both home matches by a combined score of 4 to 1. The home/road dichotomy here is a big difference maker. 10* FC Voluntari PK -130 |
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10-28-22 | Botosani v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste vs FC Botosani @ 11 AM ET - These two clubs have each played 4 matches in October and both are undefeated. Chindia Targoviste in particular is trying to turn their season around as they entered the month with no wins and now have won 4 straight to pick up 12 points in the table! Their average match this season is 2.5 goals and FC Botosani is off a scoreless draw but their 3 prior matches saw them score in all 3 matches. Also, the one before that they allowed 7 goals! 4 of the last 5 matches between these clubs each totaled at least 2 goals and those 4 actually averaged 3.3 goals. That is what I am looking for here...at least a 2-1 final totaling 3 goals. With a victory here, the hosts can tie up the visitors in the table at 18 points on the season plus Chindia Targoviste would be ahead of FC Botosani on goal differential. So I fully expect the hosts to push hard for the full 3 points here but the visitors are undefeated this month and will be up to the task too. Also, note that FC Botosani has seen 5 straight matches, before the last 2, total at least 2 goals. 8 of last 11 Chindia Targoviste matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Of course we don't want a push but if this lands on 2 a tie is certainly better than a loss. The way I see it playing out is a 1-1 match that then sees a hard push for the deciding goal and this one ends up 2-1 most likely. 10* OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste |
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10-24-22 | AFC Bournemouth v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in West Ham United vs Bournemouth @ 3 ET - Love the fact that both these clubs are off 1-0 matches last week. That has the betting markets leaning under in this one but I feel strongly we are going to see at least a 2-1 match here. I just don't see Bournemouth being delivered a clean sheet here but West Ham is a 1-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason. Looks like a 2-1 type match the way I see it. Bournemouth, prior to the loss to Southampton (the did outshoot the Saints), had scored 2 goals in each of last two games - one draw and one win. By the way, the last 3 matches between these clubs have all totaled at least 4 goals and those 3 matches actually averaged 5 goals. The Hammers are off a tough 1-0 loss to Liverpool but had averaged scoring 2 goals per match in their last 8 matches across all competitions. West Ham has allowed at least 1 goal in 9 of last 11 matches. Also, in their last 4 home matches across all competitions, the Hammers have scored 2.5 goals per match on average and scored at least 2 in all those matches. Bournemouth got shutout in embarrassing 9-0 road loss to Liverpool this season so we will remove that unusual result from the mix but you will still see their other 4 road matches have seen them score an average of 1.5 goals and allow an average of 2.2 goals. Given all of the above plus the -1 on the goal line for the Hammers, you can see why I am fully expecting at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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10-24-22 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Sepsi | Top | 1-0 | Win | 107 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play FCSB Goal Line 0 (pick) +105 @ Sepsi @ 2 ET - FCSB was #2 in the table last season and #1 in the table the season before that. Yes, this team is currently down in the table this season but they are on a mission to move back up. For one thing, some of the clubs have played as many as 15 matches now but FCSB has only played 12 so they can still make a big move up the table. In fact, they can jump all the way to #6 in the table and move just in front of Sepsi with a win here. That is what I am fully expecting here but 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have ended in a draw and I like the value of the goal line here of having FCSB at a Pick +105 so if the match ends in a draw we get a push and get our money back. But I am absolutely expecting a win here. FCSB has won all 3 league matches this season and by a combined score of 7 to 3. Sepsi is off B2B losses against CFR Cluj and Farul Constanta. Those are two of the top clubs in the league but still FCSB has been right up there at the top with CFR Cluj in each of the past two seasons so truly this is another top club for Sepsi to deal with. That said, these hosts have scored just 1 goal in last two matches combined while FCSB has scored at least 2 goals in EACH of last 3 matches in league action. Look for the road team to continue their strong push. 10* FCSB Goal Line 0 (pick) +105 |
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10-23-22 | Newcastle United +0.5 v. Tottenham Hotspur | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Sunday EPL 10* Newcastle United Goal Line +0.5 -120 @ Tottenham @ 11:30 AM ET - Even though Newcastle is hurt some by the Joelinton injury, Tottenham is hurt even more coming into this match as Richarlison (calf) and Dejan Kulusevski (hamstring) are both expected to miss this one and that really hurts the hosts. I also feel strongly that disappointment is setting in at Tottenham after their 2-0 loss to Manchester United. I know the Hotspur are undefeated at home this season but situationally and, with the injuries, Newcastle is the play here. In recent seasons Newcastle was known for playing very poorly on the road and only being tough at home. That is not the case at all this season and the visitors are one of only 3 clubs in the league that has just 1 loss on the campaign. The only other two are Arsenal and Manchester City. That is pretty elite company for sure and the fact is Newcastle has been "kings of the draw" this season with 6 already in 11 matches. That said, I love having half-goal with the visitors here at a very fair price. Tottenham has even been tinkering with formations because of the absences or Richarlison and Kulusevski. The Hotspur just not the same club without those guys and the visitors are the ones entereding this match with momentum off a 1-0 win versus Everton. 10* NEWCASTLE UNITED +0.5 -120 |
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10-23-22 | CS U Craiova v. UTA Arad OVER 2 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in UTA vs Universitatea Craiova @ 11:15 AM ET - Great value with this over available at 2 goals. We have to lay a little juice to have the over 2 but note that both clubs are off 2-1 finals last week with Universitatea Craiova prevailing and UTA falling just short. Now UTA is at home and should respond well here but I also look for Universitatea Craiova to continue their recent surge as they have lost just once in last four matches. That means we should see plenty of scoring here. 5 of last 6 Universitatea Craiova matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 6 matches have averaged 3 goals. As for UTA, each of their last 8 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. UTA has not delivered a clean sheet in any of their last 10 matches and there has been only 1 draw in their last 5 matches. In the 4 with decisions, the victor had 2 goals in all 4 matches. Given all of the above, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. |
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10-23-22 | Fulham v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leeds United vs Fulham @ 9 AM ET - Fulham is the only club in the league that has both scored and allowed at least 18 goals on the season! Their average goals per match is 3.6 and I am certainly looking for at least 3, if not 4, to be scored in this one. Leeds is desperate for a win as they have not won a match in league action since 21 August. The hosts will be on the attack here and pressing hard as a result. Leeds will not be sitting back. As for Fulham they are off a 3-0 win over Aston Villa and will continue their positive surge here as they have scored an average of nearly 2 goals per match. Leeds are allowing 1.5 per match and Fulham allowing nearly 2 goals per match and Fulham has just 1 road draw this season and Leeds just 1 home draw this season. Both clubs pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one so I look for nothing less than a 2-1 final in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 in Leeds United |
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10-22-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 110 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals +110 in FC Voluntari vs Chindia Targoviste @ 10 AM ET - Chindia Targoviste has won 3 straight matches and scored 2 goals in one of those wins. Overall, Chindia Targoviste has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches. FC Voluntari has won each of its last two matches on its home pitch and averaged scoring 2 goals in those matches. In 2 of the last 3 matches between these clubs in Voluntari, the victor has scored 2 goals. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and like the value we are getting with the over available at plus money. 10* OVER 2 goals +110 in FC Voluntari |
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10-22-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 120 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 or 3.5 in Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove @ 10 AM ET - Brighton & Hove would love to slow things down here but they are not going to slow down an attacking Manchester City as Erling Braut Haaland continues to re-write the record books. Off B2B scoreless efforts (only one in league action), I know that Manchester City is going to bring a phenomenal effort here on their home pitch where they have been so strong for so long and are on an amazing winning streak. Manchester City is scoring an average of nearly 5 goals per match at home this season! They absolutely could get us the win here all by themselves. However, I look for the hosts to be so aggressive in an effort to get back to winning ways by being in full-on attack mode here that it will open up some chances for the visitors. Brighton & Hove have averaged scoring 1.6 goals per match on enemy pitch so far this season. The thing is that Manchester City is just a machine right now and they have averaged 4.8 goals scored per match at home. Look for another goal-fest between these clubs as history repeats itself as the last 3 matches have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. I am looking for a solid over in this one that gets to 4 goals at a minimum. 10* OVER 3 or 3.5 in Manchester City |
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10-21-22 | Farul Constanta v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Farul Constanta @ 1:30 ET - Battle of the top two teams in the league might have you thinking under. However, Farul has scored an average of 2 goals per match this season and they are the highest scoring club in the league. Farul will force Rapid to respond here and the hosts should do just that on their home pitch. Rapid's last 4 league matches each have totaled at least 2 goals and they averaged scoring 1.5 goals per match during this stretch. Farul has won 8 of 9 matches in league action and scored an average of 2.4 goals per match during this hot streak! Each club was involved in Cupa României action earlier this week as they each had a match Tuesday and each match totaled at least 4 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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10-20-22 | Leeds United v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
EPL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester City vs Leeds United @ 3:15 ET - Leicester allowing 2.4 goals per match this season. Leeds allowing 2.5 goals per road match this season. Also, in the last 10 meetings between these clubs at King Power Stadium in Leicester City, there has not been a single draw. So if you think there are good odds on each club scoring - look at those goals allowed numbers again - and you know the odds of a draw are not strong at all, that means you should be looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Note that the last two road matches for Leeds have averaged 5 goals apiece. As for Leicester, they are off a scoreless draw with Crystal Palace but this was preceded by 8 of 9 preceding matches in League action all totaling at least 3 goals. In fact, those 8 matches averaged nearly 5 goals apiece. I am expecting 4 goals here at least but even if it lands on 3 that still cashes our ticket also! Both clubs desperate for wins and so they will be willing to attack throughout this match to avoid settling for a draw. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester City |
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10-20-22 | Aston Villa v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 103 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
EPL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Fulham vs Aston Villa @ 2:30 ET - Other than the Crystal Palace 2-1 victory over Wolverhampton, there has been all unders in the first 7 of 9 matches in EPL mid-week action this week. I look for that to change beginning with today's earliest match. Fulham has star striker Aleksandar Mitrovic back in action and the hosts have averaged scoring 2 goals per match on their home pitch this season. That meshes well with the fact that Aston Villa has allowed 1.6 goals in their 5 road matches this season. I know Aston Villa has not scored much this season but they just have not converted their opportunities. They have had plenty of chances - and quality ones too - and these opportunities are going to start to make the net ripple. This is likely the ideal match for that to start to happen because Fulham has allowed an average of 2.6 goals per match last 5 matches. All 5 of those matches totaled at least 3 goals and each of the last 4 have totaled at least 4 goals. The visitors in this one have struggled this season as noted above but they won both matches between these clubs last season and they scored 3 goals in each match! Extra confidence for sure and this one should end with nothing less than a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 in Fulham |
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10-19-22 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Manchester United vs Tottenham @ 3:15 ET - Tottenham off a 2-0 win over Everton and Manchester United off a scoreless draw with Newcastle United. Look for the scoring to open up here in this one! Each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and those matches averaged 4.8 goals apiece! Tottenham is scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match this season. Manchester United had a dreadful start to the season in their first few matches but they have since turned things around and, prior to the draw with Newcastle, they had won 5 of 6 matches in league competition and scored an average of 2 goals during this 6-match stretch. After that scoreless draw, look for this one to bring out the best in Manchester United on their home pitch. They had scored 8 goals in 3 most recent league matches before being held off the scoresheet this past weekend. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Manchester United |
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10-19-22 | Southampton v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Bournemouth vs Southampton @ 2:30 ET - Going to grab the plus money with the over 2.5 in this one. Bournemouth has gone 7 straight without a loss. Southampton has gone 5 straight without a win. Looks easy to therefore consider a play on Bournemouth in this one but, other than a scoreless draw versus Brentford to start the month, they have allowed an average of 1.5 goals in the last 4 matches. Southampton certainly should be conceding as well here. They have allowed at least 1 goal in 16 straight matches overall and in 19 straight road matches. On the season Southampton is allowing 2.2 goals per match on enemy turf. The last 4 meetings between these clubs across all competitions have averaged 3.8 goals apiece. Southampton has not had a draw in any of their 5 road matches this season. That trend stays intact here but you can see, per the above, why I am also expecting at least 1 goal from each club in this one and you put all these factors together and that means we are looking at a 2-1 final here at the minimum. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Bournemouth |
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10-18-22 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Crystal Palace +125 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 125 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play Crystal Palace Money Line +125 vs Wolverhampton @ 3:15 ET - Wolverhampton just can't score goals. Yes they just scored 1 goal against Nottingham Forest but that is a club that had allowed 13 goals in its first 4 road matches this season and yet the Wolves managed only a 1-0 win. This followed 3 straight losses for a Wolverhampton club that was on the wrong end of a combined 8-0 score in those 3 matches. As for Crystal Palace, they are off a disappointing draw at Leicester. This will result in some extra hunger from Crystal Palace and I like having them home pitch here. I know the hosts have struggled to get win this season but they now face a Wolves club that has gone winless (and with 4 losses) in its 5 road matches this season. Wolverhampton has scored just 1 goal in 5 matches away from this season! Crystal Palace has won each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs by a combined score of 5 to 0. Look for a 1 to 0 or 2 to 0 type final here in favor of the hosts given all of the above. They catch the Wolves off a rare victory and I know this home team is going to bring it and be extra hungry here for a win after a disappointing draw last week. 10* CRYSTAL PALACE +125 |
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10-18-22 | Nottingham Forest v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Nottingham Forest @ 2:30 ET - Brighton & Hove so hungry for that first win under their new manager. Nottingham Forest allowing 2.8 goals per match as visitors this season. The hosts scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match on the season and will be aggressive here to make sure they finally get the full 3 points in the table. Brighton & Hove allowing 1.2 goals per match and I do expect Nottingham Forest to take advantage of an aggressive attack from the hosts and to be able to find the back of the net in this one. But ultimately the visitors struggles to stop the opposition on the road is the difference in this one and I am expecting at least 2-1 type final here with a 3-1 final even more likely. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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10-17-22 | Sepsi v. CFR Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in CFR Cluj vs Sepsi @ 2 PM ET - Sepsi just faced the best club in the league and lost 1-0 but they did have some great scoring chances in that match. The loss at Farul should have featured more goals for sure. We get some line value now this week with this total at just 2 goals and about a pick'em either way on the O/U. I will grab the value as Sepsi had scored at least 2 goals themselves in 3 straight matches before the loss to Farul. As for CFR Cluj, they are also one of the top clubs in the league and have scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches in league competition and have scored an average of 1.8 goals last 5 matches in league action. Sepsi actually can move past CFR Cluj with a victory here and move into 3rd place in the table. That said, Sepsi is going to go strong for the full 3 points in the table and note that the hosts have only 1 draw in 11 matches this season. That said, the way I see this one playing out is that each team scores at least once and then neither club willing to settle for a draw. Look for at least a 2-1 final here but we do have the added insurance that if this game lands on just 2 we get a push. But I fully expect plenty of scoring here as the CFR Cluj 1-1 draw with UTA last week was their first draw of the season and they are not happy about that. The match should have had more goals too as there were multiple shots that just missed in that one including shots off the bar of the goal. Look for at least a 2-1 final here as Sepsi will be aggressive in this one but the hosts answer on their home pitch. 10* OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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10-16-22 | UTA Arad v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +100 in FCSB vs UTA @ 1:30 ET - Across all competitions, including UEFA Europa Conference League, Football Club Steau Bucuresti (FCSB), has allowed an average of 2.8 goals per match last 5 matches. In Romania Liga 1 action, FCSB has scored an average of 2 goals per match last 3 matches. We are highly likely to see plenty of scoring here as Uzina Textila Arad (UTA) have featured 6 of last 7 matches with both themselves and their opponent scoring. Each of the last two meetings between UTA and FCSB in Bucuresti have totaled 3 goals. UTA has played one scoreless draw on the road this season but in their other 6 games as travelers they have conceded at least 1 goal in each match and are actually allowing 1.7 goals per match in that stretch. FCSB has certainly underachieved this season but they have scored at least 1 goal in all 6 home matches this season and actually are averaging 1.8 goals scored per match as a host in league action this season. There have been 33 goals in the 11 matches FCSB has played in league action and that is an average of 3 goals per match. Look for this one to hit at least that 3-goal mark. FCSB will come out fired up after getting embarrassed in UEFA Europa Conference League action and they will be an aggressive mode that will translate to plenty of scoring in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 goals +100 in FCSB |
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10-16-22 | Manchester City v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 or 3.5 in Liverpool vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled 4 or more goals and have averaged 4.4 goals per match. Look for another wild one here. Liverpool would love to slow things down here but they are not going to slow down an attacking Manchester City as Erling Braut Haaland continues to re-write the record books. Also, Liverpool is so strong at home and even in this disappointing campaign they are undefeated there and have averaged scoring 3.8 goals per match on their home pitch. The thing is that Manchester City is just a machine right now and they have averaged 3.7 goals scored per match. Look for another goal-fest between these clubs as history repeats itself and I am looking for a solid over in this one that gets to 4 goals at a minimum. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 or 3.5 in Liverpool |
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10-16-22 | Newcastle United v. Manchester United +100 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Manchester United Money Line +100 vs New Castle United @ 9 AM ET - I realize Newcastle is playing better but they are still a club known for struggling on the road. This season has been no different with the exception of a 4-1 win at Fulham but that was fueled by the hosts getting a red card just 8 minutes in. Newcastle was able to take advantage and turn it into a rout. So now we are getting line value here because of that 11 on 10 scenario setting up a blowout for Newcastle the last time they were on the road. Keep in mind, Manchester United has really turned the corner since their ugly start to this season. I just don't see them being denied here on their home pitch. Newcastle won just 5 of 19 as travelers last season and has won only 1 of 4 this season on the road. Manchester United only lost 4 of 19 matches as hosts last season and they have already won 2 of 3 this season. So far Manchester United has had a road-heavy schedule and they will take advantage of this opportunity on their home pitch. The last meeting between these clubs was a draw but that was at Newcastle and was preceded by 4 straight Manchester United wins and all were by a multi-goal margin including 3 of the 4 by a 3-goal margin. The home/road dichotomy here is just not being properly factored into this line and we'll take advantage. 10* MANCHESTER UNITED +100 |
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10-16-22 | Mioveni v. Chindia Targoviste +111 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 111 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play Chindia Targoviste Money Line +110 vs CS Mioveni @ 7 AM ET - These two clubs are at the bottom of the table but there is a big difference in the current level of play we are seeing from each club. CS Mioveni is winless in last 4 matches and allowing 2 goals per match during this streak. Chindia Targoviste is a perfect 2-0 in the month of October and building momentum and they have only conceded a total of 2 goals last 3 matches! The hosts also have revenge from a loss at CS Mioveni the last time these clubs met in March of this year. 10* Chindia Targoviste +110 |
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10-15-22 | Petrolul 52 v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Universitatea Craiova vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 2 ET - Taking a shot with the plus money that this one will get to 3 goals. If this total drops to a 2 then grab that but, if not, look for the over 2.5 at plus money in this one. Both clubs are off 1-0 losses last week but Universitatea Craiova saw each of their 4 matches before that total at least 2 goals and those averaged 3.5 goals! Universitatea Craiova has scored at least 1 goal in each of last 5 matches on their home pitch and has scored an average of 1.8 goals in those 5 matches as a host! Petrolul Ploiesti has been outscored by a combined 3 to 0 in their last two matches so they are hungry to get something going again in the offensive zone. I fully expect that here as each of their 4 matches prior to this 2-match scoreless drought had seen both Petrolul Ploiesti and their opponent each score in all 4 matches! Those 4 averaged 3.8 goals per match as well. Look for this one to get to at least 3 goals in an entertaining affair given the way matches have been going in this venue for the host. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in Universitatea Craiova |
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10-15-22 | Everton v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -130 in Tottenham vs Everton @ 12:30 ET - Everton has played 4 matches this season on the road. In all 4 of those matches both Everton and their opponent scored at least once. If that streak holds true here that gets this one to 1-1 so would we see a 3rd goal? I would think so! Tottenham is a perfect 4-0 at home this season. I don't see the Hotspur "settling" for a draw here so if this match gets to 1-1 don't be surprised if they push hard for that deciding goal even at the risk of some exposure on the counter-attack the other way. Tottenham is scoring an average of 3.3 goals per match on their home pitch while conceding an average of 1 goal there. 3 of the last 4 matches between these clubs across all competitions have totaled at least 4 goals and actually averaged 6 goals! Everton is getting some key attacking talent back for this week's match as well. Tottenham is off a victory in UEFA Champions League action on Wednesday and carries momentum into this home match where they continue to be so strong. Everton puts up a fight but the Hotspur answer them goal for goal in what shapes up to be an entertaining high-scoring battle the way I see it. 10* OVER 2.5 -130 in Tottenham |
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10-14-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion +136 v. Brentford | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Money Line +135 @ Brentford @ 3 ET - I know Brentford is off an embarrassing 5-1 road loss and now will want to respond on their home pitch. However, the Bees just have not been playing well at all overall. They have a leaky defense and have now allowed an average of 2 goals per match last 7 matches in league competitions. Also, other than a recent 5-2 win over Leeds, Brentford has scored only 3 goals in their other 5 matches dating back to late August. That is an average of 0.6 goals per match! Against a Brighton club that is often stingy on defense, I like our chances for a road victory here. Brighton comes in off a loss but it was a 1-0 defeat against a tough Tottenham club. Prior to that Brighton delivered a 3-3 draw against a strong Liverpool club. The point is that Brighton has been very competitive under their new manager (Graham Potter left for Chelsea) and yet they still seek first win in a 3rd try. This club will be determined to pick that up here as they now take on a lesser foe in this one. Also, there is no lookahead here as only a newly promoted club, Nottingham Forest, is up next for Brighton. So I expect full focus from the road club here and they get the much-desired full 3 points in the table in this one. Their defense full capable of frustrating the Bees while Brentford's tendency for weakness at the backline will once again do them in by the time this one goes final. 10* BRIGHTON +135 |
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10-10-22 | Aston Villa +115 v. Nottingham Forest | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
English Premier League Monday 10* Top Play Aston Villa Money Line +115 @ Nottingham Forest @ 3 ET - With Aston Villa on the road for this one we have line value. I know they have struggled to win matches but their defensive style is going to frustrate Nottingham Forest here. Additionally, these hosts have not been able to stop anyone this season. So you have visitors likely to deliver a clean sheet here and you have hosts giving up a pile of goals on the campaign. I like our chances here. Aston Villa is unbeaten in 3 straight matches but off another draw and only one of the 3 matches was a victory. In other words, this club is very hungry for a full 3 points in the table and manager Steven Gerrard knows this is a winnable match and one his club must have as he has been on the hot seat and knows the run of positive results must continue. Keep in mind, Nottingham Forest is newly promoted and they made a bunch of off-season signings but the plan has back-fired. The club has not jelled and they just can not seem to stop the opposition. The hosts are allowing 2.6 goals per match this season for one of the worst marks in the league. Conversely, the visitors are allowing just 1.3 goals per match this season which is one of the best marks in the league. The last 4 meetings between these clubs took place in English League Championship action. Aston Villa took 3 of the 4 and the one they did not was a draw. No draw here. Look for a solid win as the visitors frustrate the hosts with a stifling defensive effort. Nottingham Forest has allowed 4 goals per match last 4 matches! Aston Villa, on the other hand, has allowed a total of only 4 goals last 5 matches and that included facing the two best clubs in the league - Manchester City and Arsenal! Lot of road club line value here. 10* ASTON VILLA +115 |
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10-10-22 | CFR Cluj v. UTA Arad OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals +105 in UTA vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - This total is 2 which is a solid insurance value as so many matches in this league do land on 2 goals. However, the other value here is that this over is available at plus money and I am certainly expecting 3 goals here. CFR Cluj is the only club in the league without a draw. If you are expecting each club to score here, and below I explain why we should expect that, then the odds certainly favor at least a 2-1 final. CFR Cluj has shown to push hard this season for the full 3 points in the table and to not settle for draws. Taking a look at UTA, the club from Arad has seen 10 of their 12 matches - and 6 straight - total at least 2 goals. UTA has scored at least once in all 5 home matches this season and is scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match on the season. Recent history shows that matches between these clubs have trended under but you can see why this one absolutely has high likelihood of playing out much different. UTA should score well at home here and CFR Cluj is again one of the top teams in the league this season. The visitors have scored in all but ONE of their matches this season and in the other 9 matches in which they were not shutout they have averaged 1.9 goals scored per match! Don't be surprised if EACH club scores TWICE in this one given all of the above but I am certainly confident in predicting a 2-1 final here given all of the above! 10* OVER 2 goals +105 in UTA |
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10-09-22 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -55 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs FCSB @ 2:30 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti is off a 1-0 loss at CFR Cluj but, prior to this, their last 4 matches all totaled 3 or more goals! Not only did those average 4 goals per match, the key is that Petrolul Ploiesti both scored and conceded in all 4 of the matches. We should see plenty of scoring in this one too because FCSB is having a disappointing campaign and so hungry for wins and will bring a strong effort here on the road. But also Petrolul Ploiesti known for being tougher at home and will be tough on their home pitch in this one so they will not be shut down here. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least one goal in 4 of last 5 matches on their home pitch. FCSB last 3 matches across all competitions have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. Going further back, 9 of last 11 matches across all competitions for FCSB have totaled at least 3 goals. FCSB has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight Romania Liga 1 competitions and averaged scoring 1.6 goals during this stretch. The average goals scored in those 8 matches was 3.4 goals. Given all of the above you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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10-09-22 | Manchester United +107 v. Everton | Top | 2-1 | Win | 107 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Manchester United Money Line +100 @ Everton @ 2 ET - Everton has been better this season without a doubt. However, they still struggle to score goals and their last two victories were against clubs that are now far down in the table. Now Everton faces a real challenge with Manchester United. The visitors started this season disastrously but have since responded and were indeed looking very strong until they ran into juggernaut rivals Manchester City and got hammered 6-3. Look for that to provide plenty of motivation for Manchester United to get right back on track here and we have added value with this line because Everton is a little over-rated right now. Everton has scored only 2 goals total in 4 matches at home this season! Manchester United is AVERAGING 2 goals per match last 5 matches and has scored 3 goals in each of last two matches even though those were against Arsenal and Manchester City. Those are the top two clubs in the league so far this season. I just don't see the hosts being able to keep up in this one and the visitors pull away for convincing win. 10* MANCHESTER UNITED money line +100 |
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10-09-22 | Liverpool v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Arsenal vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - We should see plenty of goals here. Liverpool is out to prove they can get back in the race for top spot in the league after a disappointing start to the campaign. Arsenal, other than perhaps Manchester City, has been the most impressive club in the league so far this season. That said, Liverpool will push here on the road but Arsenal will surely answer on their home pitch. There is so much firepower and attacking prowess for each club that I am expecting a 2-2 draw here. Should be a thrilling encounter and I know each club capable of defending well too but I don't see either team "sitting back" much in this one. Liverpool and Arsenal each are averaging scoring about 2.5 goals per match and each conceding 1 goal per match. Liverpool has not scored so well on the road this season but I believe Arsenal will force them too here! The hosts are scoring an average of 3 goals per match on their home pitch and their attacking style will end up forcing the tempo in this one after they breach the Reds defense a few times. Look for a strong attack from the Gunners and Liverpool will have to respond. 10* OVER 3 in Arsenal |
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10-08-22 | Botosani v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -51 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Rapid vs FC Botosani @ 2:30 ET - Rapid is going to be fired up here. They are back home in Bucuresti after falling short on the road at Chindia Targoviste last week. Rapid will take advantage of an FC Botosani club that has allowed an average of 3 goals per match last 4 matches overall. Also in the last 3 meetings between these clubs Rapid has scored an average of 2 goals per match. If you look at the table for the Romania Liga 1 every club has something in every single column for win, loss, draw other than one exception. That one exception is that Rapid has not had a draw this season. That makes me like this selection even more because I do expect FC Botosani to get on the scoresheet but of course Rapid is a rather big favorite here for a reason. In other words, look for at least a 2-1 final in this one given these factors! FC Bostonai has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 11 matches and has scored an average of 1 goal per match through this stretch. They have allowed 20 goals last 12 matches and Rapid is one of the top clubs in the league and will not hesitate to run up the score here. Like the value of the plus money at over 2.5 here. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in Rapid |
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10-08-22 | Southampton v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Southampton @ 10 AM ET - Manchester City is averaging scoring 5 goals per match when on their home pitch this season. Of course Erling Haaland has proven an incredible goal-scorer for City. Southampton did have 22 shot attempts last week even though they lost. Manchester city was the only other club to have at least that many. In other words, look for plenty of goals here. Note that Southampton is averaging 1 goal per match this season and they do have enough quality in terms of striking ability to net one here. But they will not be able to stop the well-oiled machine that is City right now and this is especially true with this match at Manchester. I am looking for at least a 3-1 match here but would not be surprised to see this one reach 5 goals. 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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10-08-22 | Brentford v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 0 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Brentford @ 10 AM ET - As long-time followers know I tend to like Newcastle and/or their overs when they are on their home pitch. Today is no different. Love this spot for Newcastle United as they are off a huge 4-1 win last week on the road and will build momentum off that. They host a Brentford team that is ready to get rolling again as this team had been playing well but suddenly has struggled to find the back of the net. Look for this match-up to remedy that. The last 5 times these clubs have met at Newcastle, those matches have averaged 4.8 goals apiece. We should get at least 3 goals here. Brentford is off a scoreless draw with Bournemouth but, prior to that, their first 7 matches this season averaged 4 goals apiece. I know Newcastle matches have not trended toward high-scoring this season but this is an ideal situation and last season when the clubs met here there were 6 goals scored in a 3-3 draw. Before the B2B scoreless efforts, Brentford scored in all 7 of their matches this season and had average scoring 2.7 goals per match! They will get at least 1 here but Newcastle is favored for a reason. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final though a 2-2 draw or 3-2 final also would not surprise me in the least. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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10-07-22 | CS U Craiova v. Arges OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -142 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -140 in Universitatea Craiova vs FC Arges @ 2 ET - Universitatea Craiova off a 1-1 draw with FC Voluntari in a match that definitely should have reached at least 3 goals. Even though it fell short of that mark it was the 4th straight Universitatea Craiova match that totaled at least 2 goals. Those 4 matches averaged 3.5 goal and I am expecting at least 3 here but like the added value of the fact that just getting to 2 goals would at least be a push here. FC Arges is off a 3-2 loss to FCSB and that was the 2nd straight road match in which FC Arges allowed 3 goals. With the way Universitatea Craiova has been scoring recently - 7 goals in last 4 matches - I like the odds on at least a 2-1 match in this one. Each of the last 3 meetings between these foes have totaled at least 3 goals and have actually average 4 goals! 10* OVER 2 goals -140 in Universitatea Craiova |
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10-03-22 | Nottingham Forest v. Leicester OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Leicester vs Nottingham Forest @ 3 ET - This total is currently available at 2.5 with moderate juice, 2.75 with small juice, or 3.0 with no juice. So you have your options in that regard. Definitely expecting a lot of goals here. I would love to play Leicester here as I do feel they will finally get their first win of the season. The hosts are the only team in the EPL that still do not have a victory. However, the problem is that I can not trust their leaky defense. However, I am certain the hosts are going to be aggressive on the attack as they also want revenge for a 4-1 loss to Nottingham Forest when these clubs met in the FA Cup. Again, just can not trust their defensive woes though and the visitors should have plenty of attacking chances as well in this one. These two clubs have each been conceding far too much this season as Nottingham Forest is allowing 2.4 goals per match and Leicester is allowing 3.1 goals per match! I would not be surprise to see a 3-2 final here but at least we should get to a 2-2 draw or 2-1 final at the bare minimum though the latter certainly not my wish here! 10* OVER the total in Leicester |
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10-03-22 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 2 ET - Interesting match-up as one of the league's worst hosts one of the league's best. I like the fact that Chindia Targoviste is the only club without a win and Rapid Bucuresti is the only club without a draw this season. Every team has at least 1 defeat after Hermannstadt finally fell yesterday. As for Chindia Targoviste, they have scored at least 1 goal in 3 of their 4 home matches this season. They are so hungry for a win I am confident they will be pushing hard on the attack for a goal here on their home pitch. Now remember what I said above about Rapid Bucuresti not having had a draw. They are not going to want to settle for a 1-1 share of the spoils here. I look for this match to get to a 2-1 final and give us a win. We have some added insurance in that if this game lands on 2 we have a push but definitely expecting a rather entertaining match here as Chindia Targoviste tends to play better at home but Rapid Bucuresti is clearly the better club in this one and will be pushing hard to build off of a 2-1 win last time out. The visitors have won 6 of last 7 matches so they should certainly find the back of the net here against a club that has allowed 18 goals in 11 matches this season! No club has allowed more than these hosts this season! 10* OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste |
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10-02-22 | Aston Villa v. Leeds United +137 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Leeds United Money Line +137 vs Aston Villa @ 11:30 AM ET - Leeds United got embarrassed 5-2 by Brentford when they were last in action. Now they are on their home pitch and have had plenty of time to recover from that demoralizing result both mentally and physically. Look for Leeds to come out hungry and refreshed here and they are tough on their home pitch where they are undefeated on the season and have outscored opponents 6 to 2. Note that Aston Villa is 0-3 on the road this season and has been outscored by a 7 to 2 margin as travelers this season. Aston Villa also has injury issues and that, coupled with their struggles away from home, make this is a great spot to back the hosts at a solid home dog money line price. 10* LEEDS UNITED +137 |
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10-02-22 | Manchester United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 115 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +115 in Manchester City vs Manchester United @ 9 AM ET - Manchester United has certainly been playing much better after their horrific start to the season. That said, the visitors should be able to find the back of the net at least once in this one. But Manchester City is a machine right now and particularly at home where they have score a ridiculous average of nearly 5 goals per match. Overall, City has scored at least 3 goals in each of last 7 home victories. Given that, I am looking for a 3-1 type match here as Manchester United will not go down without a fight but they can't stop this City juggernaut led by Erling Braut Haaland who has an amazing 11 goals already in this campaign! 10* OVER 3.5 +115 in Manchester City |
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10-01-22 | Newcastle United v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Fulham vs Newcastle United @ 10 AM ET - Fulham has seen each of their last 5 matches in league action total at least 3 goals. Normally I like Newcastle United more at home than on the road when it comes to looking for goal-scoring. However, after all the chances they had in their match against Bournemouth when last on the pitch and yet coming away with another draw, I feel the visitors are going to be very aggressive on the attack here. They had 20 shots and 7 on goal versus Bournemouth but had to settle for a 1-1 draw. Their 5th in 7 matches this season. Newcastle United did get some good news on the injury front that should help the attack in this one too as things are looking much better now in that regard. So I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here but with the visitors propensity for draws, 2-2 the more likely final outcome here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Fulham |
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10-01-22 | Everton v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 106 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Everton @ 10 AM ET - Southampton has conceded at least 1 goal in all 7 matches this season. The host club has averaged scoring 2 goals per match in the last 4 meetings between these clubs. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final. I know that goal-scoring has not been strong for either of these clubs early this season but sometimes, in a case like this, a break like these clubs just had is the best thing possible. This is the first match for these clubs in two weeks and is going to be played a little more wide open than you might normally expect as a result. This is only the 2nd match for each club in 4 weeks of time so it could be a little sloppy too and this leads to turnovers and creates good scoring chances. The final key is that Jordan Pickford is expected back between the pipes for Everton but he is coming back from a thigh injury. Could this still be bugging him some? I feel Southampton is going to be very aggressive on the attack here as they are at home and off B2B road losses by 1-0 counts. Their last home match was a big 2-1 upset of Chelsea. Everton is off a confidence-boosting victory over West Ham United and they have scored in all of their road matches so far this season. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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09-30-22 | Voluntari v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -54.5 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Universitatea Craiova vs FC Voluntari @ 2 ET - The hosts are a big favorite here at home for a reason. They are expected to win the match by 1 goal as you can see based on the goal line for this match-up. I do not expect them to deliver a clean sheet though and that means strong odds, in my opinion, on at least a 2-1 final in this match-up. Note that FC Voluntari is off a confidence boosting 1-0 win versus U Craiova 1948 in the most recent action 2 weeks ago. Also, they have scored at least 1 goal in 4 of their 5 road matches this season. Universitatea Craiova is in a high-scoring pattern as their last 3 matches have averaged 4 goals per game. You can see, given all of the above, why I am expecting at least 3 goals here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Universitatea Craiova |
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09-18-22 | Steaua Bucharesti +0.25 v. CS U Craiova | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play FCSB Goal Line Pick +130 @ Universitatea Craiova @ 2:30 ET - Utilizing the goal line here means that even if this match ends in a draw we still do not lose the pick. That is a nice added value to have here because FCSB is much better than people realize even this season. The problem is they continue to be "kings of the draw" as they have finished equal with their opponent in 5 matches already this season. Even though FCSB is down low in the standings, this is a club that has only 2 losses so far on the campaign. Out of the 16-club league, FCSB is one of only 3 clubs with 2 or less losses on the season. That said, a lot of value here in grabbing the goal line and fading a Universitatea Craiova that has won just 4 of 9 matches. That is a respectable win rate for sure but still the odds, as you can see, still slightly favor the hosts not winning this match. Tipping the odds even more in a our favor though is the fact that FCSB got ripped off last week and gave up a late tying goal on a penalty shot in the waning minutes of extra time. It was a sickening draw for FCSB against Voluntari and I feel they will be relentless on the road in this match as a result. I do expect a win here but hard to trust FCSB to claim victory considering how many draws they have had this season. That said, the value is there with the goal line giving us some extra insurance in the event of a draw. Great spot for the visitors though. No doubt about that and they catch Universitatea Craiova off 2 shutout losses in last 3 matches! 10* FCSB Goal Line Pick +130 |
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09-18-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj vs Chindia Targoviste @ 11:30 AM ET - Getting a total of 2 goals with the over in this one is a great value as Chindia Targoviste is scoring an average of 1 goal per match but allowing an average of 2 goals per match this season. Universitatea Cluj is allowing an average of 1 goal per match this season but is favored here for a reason. In other words, this match is set up perfectly for a 2-1 final in favor of the hosts. Not matter the exact final, based on statistical value and the fact that Chindia Targoviste has had only 1 match out of 9 this season NOT reach at least 2 goals, there is no hesitation in going top play on this one. 10* OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj |
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09-18-22 | West Ham United v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Everton vs West Ham United @ 9:15 AM ET - Recent series is history of unders as 3 of last 4 meetings have finished as 1-0 matches. Also, Everton has seen each of last 5 matches total 2 or less goals. However, all that said, I really like the over in this one. The goalie match-up should help us here as it is expected to be Begovic vs Fabianski and this is a first plus in this situation. I also like the fact that West Ham got their goal-scoring going again as they erupted in B2B wins in UEFA Europa Conference League action with netting 3 times in each victory. West Ham has now scored at least 1 goal in each of last 5 matches across all competitions. Also, the visitors enter this one having allowed 1.5 goals per match last 4 and this is also across all competitions. This line is saying it is roughly a toss up and I know that Everton is tired of all the draws (4 in 6 matches) and will push hard for the full 3 points at home in this one. In going hard for the 3 points, feel strongly we will see at least 3 goals here as well in what will likely be a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 in Everton |
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09-18-22 | Arsenal v. Brentford +373 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Brentford Bees Money Line +373 vs Arsenal @ 7 AM ET - Great line value with the home dog Bees here. Arsenal's most recent EPL match was a 3-1 loss to Manchester City. Let us not forget that Brentford beat Manchester United here at home 4-0 earlier this season. This Bees club is tough and especially at home where they have a 10-3 goal differential after knocking off Leeds 5-2 in most recent match here. Arsenal is a high-quality club and playing well but I feel the loss to City could be just enough of a mental factor to shake the confidence a bit and this is a tough road match for Arsenal. The visitors played some newly promoted clubs earlier this season and some other clubs that are down in the table right now. The point is that when Arsenal had to step and face City they got hammered 3-1. I feel that confidence of the hosts right now is a key and they already beat Manchester United early this season and they dominated here in that 4-0 victory. This is just too much home dog value to pass up on. I sense an upset here as Arsenal also saw Tottenham and Manchester City move past them in the table with easy victories yesterday so this has put even more pressure on the visitors here. 10* BRENTFORD Money Line +373 |
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09-17-22 | Leicester v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham vs Leicester @ 12:30 ET - These clubs have a history of plenty of goals being scored when they meet and I expect more of the same here. The last 5 meetings have seen the teams score an average of 3.6 goals. The last 3 meetings have averaged 5 goals. Tottenham is sure to score well in my opinion as they are angry off a loss in Champions League action. Also, the Hotspur are scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season. Leicester is conceding 2.7 goals per match thus far in this campaign. Leicester has averaged scoring 1.8 goals in last 4 meetings between these clubs and I expect them to make it 5 straight meetings with scoring at least 1 goals but I would not be surprised to see an angry host pile on for 2 or 3 goals in this one and that means we should be looking at 3 goals at least but more likely 4 to 5 goals in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham |
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09-17-22 | Botosani v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Sepsi vs FC Botosani @ Noon ET - Botosani is off B2B losses each by a 2-1 margin. Sepsi is off a 2-1 win but that was the 4th straight match in which they allowed at least 1 goal. If that pattern continues here that means a 2-1 final is likely. Why? Well Sepsi is a rather heavy favorite here with good reason on the money line. On their home pitch and facing a club that has allowed 4 goals in last two matches, the hosts will take advantage. But I like what I have seen from Botosani lately in terms of creating scoring chances as well and this one should fly over the total. We have to lay some juice to have over 2 goals here but I feel it should prove well worth it with a solid win and the added value of securing a push if this one lands on only 2 though I highly doubt that outcome and fully expect 3 or more goals in this one. 10* OVER 2 in Sepsi |
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09-17-22 | AFC Bournemouth v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth @ 10 AM ET - Newcastle should roll at home here. They are known for playing well at home and are angry for the past two weeks as they have been waiting to take to the pitch after a disallowed goal (that should have counted for sure) cost them a victory. So off a scoreless draw, Newcastle will not hesitate to pour it on here at home against Bournemouth. The key to the over is Bournemouth is playing better since the managerial change. Since the departure of Scott Parker, the visitors have picked up 4 points in the table in 2 matches and are off a big 3-2 win. The problem for Bournemouth is, even though I do expect them to score at least once here, they keep allowing multiple goals in road matches. Look for a 2-1 or 3-1 type match here in my opinion. Either way, that is a winner for us! 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United |
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09-16-22 | Southampton v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -116 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa vs Southampton @ 3 ET - Look for at least a 2-1 match here. Southampton has had just 1 draw this season in 6 matches and the same holds true for Aston Villa. That said, can each club score a goal here? I would say emphatically that the answer is yes to that question and with low likelihood of a draw here that means at least a 2-1 final. Aston Villa allowing 1.7 goals per match this season. Southampton allowing 2 goals per match when on the road this season. Southampton off a 1-0 loss to Wolverhampton but prior to that, and dating back to last season, 13 of last 14 Saints matches across all competitions have totaled 3 or more goals. Aston Villa off a hard-fought draw with Manchester City but, prior to that, 6 of last 8 Aston Villa matches across all competitions had totaled 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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09-16-22 | Fulham v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest vs Fulham @ 3 ET - Nottingham Forest brought in 22 summer transfers. When your roster has that kind of turnover and you are a newly promoted side, you are going to have some trouble in the Premier League! That said, it is no surprise that Nottingham Forest has conceded an average of 2.3 goals per match on the season. Fulham is also conceding at a relatively high rate with 1.5 goals allowed per match. However, the visitors also enter this one scoring at that same rate. Hence my expectation of a high-scoring match here. The hosts will fight hard to get on the board here and are averaging 1 goal scored per match at home. At the same time, they will struggle to stop a Fulham club that has played quite well early this season and that likes to attack as well. In fact, both teams play an attacking style which is conducive to an over. Look for at least 3 goals here as the last 4 matches for Nottingham Forest across all competitions actually have totaled an average of 4 goals. As for Fulham, 5 of their 6 matches in league competition have totaled at least 3 goals and have, in fact, averaged 3.6 goals apiece. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest |
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09-16-22 | U Craiova 1948 v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs U Craiova 1948 @ 11 *AM* ET - Both clubs were involved in matches last week that certainly could have had a lot more scoring. I do expect FC Voluntari to build off a late penalty-kick game-tying goal that allowed them to draw with FCSB last week. Now they are at home and have some momentum after salvaging that draw. As for U Craiova 1948, they have scored at least 1 goal in all but 1 of their 10 matches thus far on the season. So the visitors get at least 1 and I also do not see FC Voluntari being denied on their home pitch. The hosts have had some recent goal-scoring difficulties but now at home off rallying for the draw versus FCSB, this looks like a great spot for their goal-scoring slump to be broken. I see this match getting to 1-1 and ending at least 2-1. Each club has played 10 matches and FC Voluntari has had only 3 draws and U Craiova 1948 only 2 draws. Look for one of the two clubs to earn the full 3 points in the table in this one as the odds favor that and I expect at least a 2-1 final as a result. 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari |
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09-12-22 | Universitatea Cluj v. Mioveni OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 +115 in Universitatea Cluj vs CS Mioveni @ 11 AM ET - These are two of the lowest scoring clubs thus far this season but things are on the cusp of changing and hence we get value here with the plus money available at over 2 goals on this one. CS Mioveni is off their first victory of the season and will bring momentum to this match as a result. As for Universitatea Cluj, they are still in search of their first victory of the season and will give a little extra on the attack in this one as a result. The 1-1 draw that Universitatea Cluj had last week easily should have had a lot more scoring and this is another reason we are getting even more line value here. There were missed opportunities both ways that should have resulted in a match totaling more like 4 goals rather than just 2. We take advantage here because CS Mioveni also scored the prior week as well in a 1-1 draw and their confidence is on the rise while I know the hosts are going to be on the attack here as they see this as a great shot to get that first victory of the season. Look for at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2 +115 in Universitatea Cluj |