Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-18-22 | Mavs +182 v. Warriors | Top | 87-112 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +180 @ Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - Dallas has won 8 of the last 10 meetings. That is a SU 80% record in last 10 meetings and also that includes 4 of last 5 in San Francisco. That said, we have exceptional line value here with the money line in my opinion. The Mavericks already beat two division champs - Utah and Phoenix - to get here. The Warriors, on the other hand, beat a Memphis team that ended up without star player Ja Morant as the series went on plus Golden State defeated a Denver team that went just 6-10 in divisional play this season. In other words, the teams that the Warriors beat to get here were not on par with what the Mavs faced. Don't get me wrong, GS is a great team of course. I just think the hunger and resolve that Dallas has already shown in this post-season is going to carry over to Game 1 of this series. Warriors are at home and feeling good about themselves and will be guilty of overlooking the Mavs in this one. The road team makes them pay and steals game one. 10* DALLAS +180 |
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05-18-22 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 8 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 7:40 ET - The Pirates have not settled on a pitcher but I really do not care who Pittsburgh chooses. The Pirates continue to give up big runs no matter who is on the mound. I am expecting the Cubs to start Drew Smyly but even if he does not go I do not care here. I am expecting the Bucs to bounce back at the plate after back to back shutouts. If Smyly does go (which is likely by the way), the Pirates should finally get going at the plate as the southpaw has a 5.79 ERA in his home starts and has struggled to a 4.80 ERA last 3 starts and he has been hit hard and has a 1-4 record on the season. The Cubs have won 6 of 8 games and have scored an average of 5.4 runs per game in those 8 games. The Pirates have scored better (4 runs per game) in games against left-handed starters but, again, even if Smyly does not go here I do like this play. Pittsburgh, prior to Tuesday's shutout, had scored an average of 4.7 runs per game this season when entering a game off B2B games in which they were held to 2 or less runs. In other words, the Pirates are due and recent history suggests their bats come to life here. At the same time, Pittsburgh's mound struggles continue. 10* OVER 8 in Chicago Cubs |
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05-18-22 | Rangers +153 v. Hurricanes | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play New York Rangers +150 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7 ET - As we saw yesterday with Tampa Bay, good teams know how to win on the road. The road team has taken 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs. Also, the Rangers have won 3 of their last 4 visits to Carolina. Of course the Hurricanes are a good team but New York is under-valued here and can steal game one on the road. I know that Shesterkin had some struggles in the first round series with the Penguins but he seems past that now. Note that the Hurricanes are not quite the same team without goalie Andersen. Just too much value here to pass up on with the road dog. The Rangers tied for the regular season league lead with 25 road wins this season. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +150 |
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05-17-22 | Celtics +112 v. Heat | Top | 107-118 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics Money Line +114 @ Miami Heat @ 8:45 ET - My family is from the Philly area and I am about as passionate of a Philly fan as you will find and have followed the sports scene in Philadelphia like a hawk for 4 decades now! What does that have to do with this play? More than you would think! The 76ers, at times, played the series with the Heat like it was preseason. Their lack of hunger and passion and effort on the floor is absolutely sickening to me. You are paid to play a game and you can't get up for a do or die post-season series? What is wrong with teams/players like this? Well how that relates to this is that Miami is here because they just beat a Sixers team that was without Embiid in the first two games of the series and then played later in the series like a team lacking heart and fire. Now the Heat face a real team. A real team that knows how to play high-level basketball and that will not quit and that has the talent level to knock off the defending champion Bucks. Unlike Philly, Boston has killer instinct, hunger, passion, fight. I admire Boston much more for their series victory over Milwaukee in comparison with Miami beating a gutless, heartless Philly team that needs shaken up in a big way. Now look at this game. The Heat are at home and playing with rest and the Celtics are off a hard-fought series victory over the Bucks and yet Miami opened up at a pick'em line. Talk about a trap! The whole world will likely be lining up on the Heat here and, indeed, the line has already moved that way. Guess what Miami...this is not the sad-sack Sixers you are facing here...this is a real team. Celtics get the outright win. We don't need any points here. Fading the masses and fading the trap line in this one! 10* BOSTON +114 |
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05-17-22 | Lightning +155 v. Panthers | Top | 4-1 | Win | 155 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning +155 @ Florida Panthers @ 7 ET - I know the Lightning are likely without Brayden Point here but this is just such a strong team and getting a great price in this one. Also, I like the fact that the Bolts just beat a very strong Maple Leafs team. Florida struggled at times with the Capitals and I feel strongly that Washington was nowhere near the level of the Toronto club that Tampa just defeated. So, don't get me wrong, the Panthers are certainly a strong team but the point is that the value is off the charts here with the two-time defending champion Lightning getting a huge comeback price here on the money line. Look for goalie Vasilevskiy to be a key here in Game 1 and I certainly like the goalie edge here with him over Florida's Bobrovsky. 10* TAMPA BAY +155 |
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05-17-22 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees @ 7:05 ET - As mentioned in yesterday's analysis, Baltimore entered this series off a 3-game sweep at the hands of the Tigers but, keep in mind, that was on the road! The fact is the Orioles are known for playing better at home and they entered this series having won 4 of last 5 games as a host and scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in those 5 games. The Yankees enter this one with plenty of confidence too as they have won 7 of 8 games. Also, in their last 6 wins, New York has scored an incredible average of 8 runs per game. That said, I am expecting them to give plenty of run support to Taillon here and he will need it! The right-hander is facing the Orioles for the 3rd time already this season and they hit him harder in the 2nd one than the first and so you know what is likely coming here in the 3rd one especially with the Orioles being at home. As for Watkins, he has been getting hit hard and the Yankees are likely to pound the Baltimore right-hander. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, and even though we have two pretty solid bullpens working in this one, I love the over. Just thinking the confidence of each lineup based on recent play (at least when Orioles at home they had been scoring well) is going to key a lot of success for each club in this one. 10* OVER 8 in Baltimore |
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05-17-22 | Liverpool v. Southampton OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +120 in Southampton vs Liverpool @ 2:45 ET - Liverpool still has sights set on winning the league as they chase Manchester City for the top spot. There also will be no chance of Liverpool overlooking Southampton here as they lost here last season by a 1-0 final. So the visitors are going to pour it on here but the hosts have been solid on their home pitch this season and I do expect them to put up quite the fight here. Southampton will find the back of the net at least once but will not be surprised to see Liverpool score at least 3 goals here. The hosts getting to 2 would not be a shock here either as the visitors are allowing 1 goal per match when on the road this season. Considering all of the above and the plus money available on the over 3.5 goals in this one, it gets my highest rating. 10* OVER 3.5 +120 in Southampton |
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05-16-22 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees @ 7:05 ET - This is a contrarian play because Bradish is off a fantastic start for the Orioles and fanned 11. Also because Baltimore is off a 3-game sweep at the hands of the Tigers but, keep in mind, that was on the road! The fact is the Orioles are known for playing better at home and they have won 4 of last 5 games there and scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in those 5 games. The Yankees enter this one with plenty of confidence too as they have won 6 of 7 games. Also, in their last 5 wins, New York has scored an incredible average of 8.2 runs per game. That said, I am expecting them to give plenty of run support to Severino here and he will need it! Severino has been a bit "off" this season and has a 5.74 ERA in his last 3 starts and has been hit particularly hard in his last 2 starts. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, and even though we have two pretty solid bullpens working in this one, I love the over. Just thinking the confidence of each lineup is going to key a lot of success for each club in this one. 10* OVER 8 in Baltimore |
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05-16-22 | Arsenal v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle vs Arsenal @ 3 ET - Arsenal and Newcastle both looking to bounce back from losses in which they failed to score. As you can tell by the line here, Arsenal is the better club but the fact is they have been giving up too many goals of late plus have some injuries impacting the defense. Also, the hosts do tend to score better at home and I expect them to put up a strong effort here in this one. Look for Arsenal to ultimately prevail or look for at least a draw in this one. That said, the over is the play here as we should see at least a 2-1 final or perhaps even a 2-2 draw. There is just some leaky defense being played by both clubs of late and I do like the fact this match is at Newcastle. Both clubs hungry to bounce back after being dealt clean sheets by strong clubs last week. That said, should be goals aplenty in this one. 7 of last 8 Arsenal matches have totaled at least 3 goals and all signs point to that trend continuing here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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05-15-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -133 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line -135 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:05 ET - Crosby likely going to play tonight as he was at practice yesterday and seemed ready to go. However, he is not the Penguins biggest issue right now. Their biggest issue is that they have goalie injury issues and the Rangers have an edge in the crease. Dominque has allowed at least 4 goals in 3 of his last 4 starts. Also, the Rangers have the home ice edge here and all the momentum after rallying from a 3-1 series deficit to tie this series up. Look for the Rangers to ride all these edges to the win this one this evening. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -135 |
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05-15-22 | Bucks +5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 81-109 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 3:30 ET - Boston has home court here for Game 7. Critical, right? Hardly! The home team has only gotten the money ONCE in the first SIX games of this series. These are two very evenly matched teams and I like the value of having the 5.5 points on our side here. We'll grab the points in what should be a tight battle in Game 7. There has been only one blowout win for a home team so far in this series. Also, the same team has not won B2B games in this series yet and I do not expect that to change here. I am expecting the Bucks to get the outright upset win as they have the champion pedigree. But I am also grabbing the points should this be a tight finish decided by just a bucket or two. 10* MILWAUKEE +5.5 |
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05-15-22 | Reds v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds @ 1:35 ET - The Pirates won 3-1 yesterday but this followed a stretch in which the Reds had scored 4 or more runs in 10 straight games. Cincinnati had been heavily trending to the over and I am not going to let one game stand in way of that. The Reds should bounce back here. I know Quintana has been throwing well for the Pirates but there will be a regression to the mean for this guy. As for Greene, he has struggled badly for Cincinnati and the over is 3-0 in his last 3 starts. He has a 7.62 ERA on the season and a 10.22 ERA in his last 3 starts. Neither bullpen is very good and no matter who starts here I am expecting plenty of runs in this one. 10* OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh |
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05-15-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Leeds United | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove PK -115 @ Leeds United @ 9 AM ET - Even though Leeds are hosting this one, they are slumping and have less rest and are a bit of a depleted squad right now. Conversely, Brighton is playing extremely well of late and has the rest edge here plus has won 7 road matches this season while Leeds have only 4 victories on their home pitch this season. A lot of pressure on the hosts as they are looking to avoid relegation while Brighton is loaded with confidence and playing without any pressure. Leeds allowing an average of 2 goals per match as a host this season while the visitors allowing only 1 goal per match when traveling this season. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE PK -115 |
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05-15-22 | Manchester City v. West Ham United OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in West Ham United vs Manchester City @ 9 AM ET - West Ham has scored in all their home matches this season and Manchester City has some issues impacting their defense right now. That said, West Ham should score at least once here but, of course, the visitors are heavy favorites on the road for a reason here. Manchester City is looking to hold off Liverpool for the top spot in the league in this campaign and will be heavy on the attack here. City averaging scoring about 2.6 goals per match this season while the hosts averaging about 1.7 goals scored per match on their home pitch. That said, plenty of goals expected here given all of the above. 10* OVER 3 in West Ham United |
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05-14-22 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -120 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Maple Leafs -120 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:05 ET - The Lightning are the 2x defending champs. Tampa just forced a Game 7 with the OT win in Game 6. The Leafs are now 0-8 their last 8 games with elimination potential. That said, all signs would point toward the Bolts in this one. However, in typical contrarian fashion I am on Toronto here and I feel backing them is fully justified in this one. The fact they are favored despite all of the above is further justification for backing the Maple Leafs. Truly this season's Leafs team seems different and I just do not see them being denied here. Toronto is very strong and on home ice and has a different team chemistry than other recent Maple Leafs teams. This is the season they put it all together and advance to the 2nd round. Toronto is 8-1 last 9 times when off a loss and they get it done again here as they bounce right back from the loss at Tampa Thursday. The Bolts are actually 0-4 last 4 times when off a win. The patterns continue here as no team has won B2B games yet in this series and, in my strong opinion, that is how this one closes out as well. 10* TORONTO -120 |
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05-14-22 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 8 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -124 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 6:10 ET - Both pitchers in this match-up have struggled in limited action so far this season. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, like the over tremendously here! The Rays over is 9-3-1 the last 13 games. The Blue Jays are 6-1 to the over last 7 games. Tampa Bay has won 8 of 11 games and scored 6 runs per game in those 8 victories. Toronto has scored an average of 4 runs per game last 7 games. With this total only at 8 runs, I feel we have excellent line value here and expect the recent over trending for each of these clubs to continue. 10* OVER 8 in Tampa Bay |
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05-14-22 | Bruins +130 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 9* Top Play Boston Bruins Money Line +130 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 4:35 ET - I know the home team has won all the games in this series but I am bucking that trend here. What I am looking at is the fact that the Bruins have allowed just 2 goals to the Hurricanes in 3 of the last 4 games since they switched to Swayman in net. Also, the Canes have allowed 4 goals - not including empty netters! - in 3 of the last 4 games. Boston is a veteran team loaded with playoff experience and the Hurricanes home ice edge can only take them so far. Carolina just 3 for 21 on the power play last 4 games while Bruins 5 for 20 and the special teams play could absolutely make a difference in a winner take all Game 7. Grab the underdog in this one as they continue with the better goaltending and ride their recent momentum to the upset win to advance. 9* BOSTON +130 |
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05-13-22 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 210.5 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 210.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics @ 7:30 ET - Finally B2B overs in this series but truly the pacing has been there for overs in all but one of the five games so far in this series. That said, and with Boston facing elimination here and the Bucks continuing to push the pace at home, I am going to take advantage of this low total. The posted total has moved down a little from its opener and I feel we have excellent line value here as a result. Keep in mind, the Celtics have averaged 117 points per game last 7 road games. The Bucks have averaged 110 points per game last 7 home games. This line is practically a pick'em and whether the Bucks get to their recent 110 range and or the Celtics get to their recent 117 range and if the odds makers are right about this game being decided by a slim margin, you can see why this one should fly over the total. Milwaukee has had at least 90 shot attempts from the field in 4 of the 5 games and they are not going to change this faster pace which has been serving them well. This is a chance for the Bucks to close this series out on their home floor. Great pace expected here. 10* OVER 210.5 in Milwaukee |
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05-13-22 | Rangers -110 v. Penguins | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play New York Rangers -110 @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7 ET - The Penguins already dealing with goalie injury issues and now they are hurting at the other end of the ice too as Sidney Crosby is a big question mark for this game. Even if he plays, I like the fact that Igor Shesterkin bounced back in goal for the Rangers in Game 5. When he is on, he certainly gives the Rangers the huge goalie edge with Pittsburgh having now turned to Louis Dominque in goal due to the injury issues. It is with good reason that the Rangers are favored on enemy ice here even though they are facing elimination and even though the home team has won four straight games. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -110 |
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05-13-22 | Brewers -142 v. Marlins | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Brewers Money Line -142 vs Miami Marlins @ 6:40 ET - The Brewers are the better team and this situation favors them as well. The Marlins are off a big win but had lost 9 of 10 games prior to that. The Brewers are off a loss but had won 16 of 22 games prior to that. Regardless of the pitchers I like the better team here. But I will mention that the scheduled starters are Burnes for the Brewers and Lopez for the Marlins. Burnes and Lopez both have been pitching well but Burnes has been piling up a lot more strikeouts. I also like the fact that Lopez allowed 4 earned runs in less than 5 innings of work in his most recent home start. Also, he has allowed 5 earned runs in 2 of his 3 starts against the Brewers. Look for the road team to roll to a big win here. 10* MILWAUKEE -142 |
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05-12-22 | Yankees v. White Sox OVER 7.5 | Top | 15-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees @ 8:10 ET - Both teams have been heating up and I like the extra confidence at the plate regardless of the pitching match-up. The Yankees have won 15 of last 17 games and scored an average of nearly 7 runs per victory! The White Sox had a postponement yesterday but that will not slow them down here as they have won 8 of 10 games and are finally starting to score better too after a very slow start to the season. Chicago now averaging 4.2 runs scored last 10 games. As for the pitching match-up (again, my play is action here) Cease has been throwing very well for the White Sox but note he faced the Yankees in two starts last season and had a 7.72 ERA. Also, Luis Gil would be making first start of this season and struggled as a starter late last season. Plenty of runs expected here as both teams have a lot of confidence right now. 10* OVER 7.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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05-12-22 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -122 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Boston Bruins -122 vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 7 ET - We have seen the zig zag theory working quite well in this particular NHL first round series and I expect more of the same here. Bruins just got blasted by the Hurricanes in most recent game in Carolina so watch them bounce right back here in Boston. The home team is a perfect 5-0 in this series and the hosts have won the games by an incredible margin - average of 3.2 goal margin per victory! More of the same expected here and another solid home win projected in this one. 10* BOSTON -122 |
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05-12-22 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | Top | 99-90 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Philadelphia 76ers -2 vs Miami Heat @ 7 ET - We have seen the zig zag theory working quite well in the NBA of late and I expect more of the same here. Philly just got blasted by the Heat in most recent game so watch them bounce right back here. The home team is a perfect 5-0 in this series and the host has actually won 7 straight meetings dating back to regular season action in March. More of the same expected here and another solid home win projected in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA -2 |
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05-11-22 | Orioles v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in St Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:45 ET - The Cardinals should pound Watkins as he has been hit quite hard in his past two starts and those were at home plus he allowed 2 homers in just 5 innings in most recent road start. As for the Cardinals Mikolas, I know he has been strong again this season but the Orioles have been heating up at the plate and that is why they have been winning some games of late. Baltimore has won 5 of 6 games and scored an average of 5.5 runs per game during this stretch. The Cards, before yesterday's home loss, had won 4 of last 6 home games and scored at least 7 runs in 3 of the 4 wins. Overall, before back to back losses in which they scored just 3 runs in each game, the Cardinals had a 4-game stretch in which they averaged 7 runs per game. This is why, regardless of the pitching match-up here...no matter who starts, I am expecting double digits in runs in this one. 10* OVER 8 in St Louis |
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05-11-22 | Capitals v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 -120 in Florida Panthers vs Washington Capitals @ 7:30 ET - The Capitals nearly won Game 4 but gave up a late goal and lost in overtime. Washington did a very poor job of generating shots on goal in that game and they ultimately paid for it. Look for the Caps to have learned their lesson and be much more aggressive in the offensive zone in this one but, at the same time, they will not be able to stop the Panthers in Florida. The hosts will be a determined bunch on home ice and should score plenty here and I expect a very high-scoring game here as a result. 10* OVER 6.5 in Florida |
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05-11-22 | Bucks +5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7 ET - The Bucks fell short in Game 4 as the Celtics rallied. However, Milwaukee is 4-0 SU the last 4 times when off a loss. Whether or not the Bucks get the outright upset here, I definitely like the fact that Milwaukee is getting a handful of points and I expect this game could go down to the wire! The Bucks had won 4 of 5 SU against the Celtics prior to Monday's loss and I feel strongly they will bounce back big here. At worst it will be a loss by a bucket or two in my opinion. Boston a bit over-rated here after the huge fourth quarter rally in Game 4. I do not expect a repeat of that here but yet we get line value as a result of that game 4 finish. 10* MILWAUKEE |
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05-11-22 | Manchester City v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.75 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Wolverhampton vs Manchester City @ 3:15 ET - Manchester City still gunning hard to lock up the top spot in the League for the season. They will not let up here. I know that Wolverhampton is known for lower-scoring matches on the season. However, the hosts have been struggling defensively and have allowed 5 goals over last two matches. For Manchester City, they have seen each of last 5 matches across all competitions total 4 or more goals. City has some depth concerns defensively and Wolverhampton should find the back of the net at least once in this one. However, the key to the over here is a Manchester City attack that has helped lead the way to piling up a league best average of 2.6 goals scored per match. The Wolves are scoring an average of 1 goal per match and I just don't see this match finishing with anything less than at least 3 goals given all of the above. 10* OVER 2.5 in Wolverhampton |
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05-10-22 | 76ers +140 v. Heat | Top | 85-120 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Mauling Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +140 @ Miami Heat @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers have swung momentum in this series and have won the only two games that Embiid has played in. I know one could argue that the home team has won every game in this series and that should continue would be their argument. However, my argument would be that I think Joel Embiid is the different maker and I am also expecting another big game from James Harden here. Simply put, just too much value with the road dog getting a money line payback price in this one. Will take the Sixers here as they stay red hot in games in which Embiid has played. 10* PHILADELPHIA +140 |
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05-10-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 105 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB AL East Total of the Month Tuesday 10* OVER 7.5 +105 in New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:05 ET - Yankees getting their 3rd shot at Kikuchi already this season. Blue Jays seeing Severino for 2nd time this season. Regardless of the starting pitchers here the Yankees have endured a tough 2-2 stretch and will be ready to bounce back here and New York had average scoring 7 runs per game in the 11-game winning streak before this 2-2 stretch. The Blues Jays have averaged 4.5 runs per game last 4 games so you can see, given all of the above, this total seems a bit low. We'll take advantage here. 10* OVER 7.5 +105 in New York Yankees |
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05-10-22 | Bruins +135 v. Hurricanes | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play Boston Bruins +135 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7 ET - The home team has won all 4 games so far in this series but I see a shift happening here. Boston won the last two games on home ice and part of the key was that Kochetkov struggled in one game in goal for the Hurricanes and Raanta struggled in the other guarding the crease. The Bruins on the other hand, switched to Swayman in goal after losing the first two games of this series. The move has paid off huge and he will be in goal for Game 5 on the road tonight at Carolina. All the momentum with the road team and a hotter goalie. The Hurricanes are a great team but really got hurt badly when Frederik Andersen got hurt and that costs them again here. 10* BOSTON +135 |
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05-10-22 | Liverpool v. Aston Villa OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.75 in Aston Villa vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - Aston Villa has played better recently but it had to do with level of competition too. The last time they faced a strong club, Aston Villa got blasted 4-0 by Tottenham. Now they are hosting one of the best clubs in the league and Liverpool is not happy as they are off a 1-1 draw versus Tottenham. That said, the visitors are going to bring an extremely strong effort here and I look for them to pile up the goals. Aston Villa home matches do average 3 goals apiece. Liverpool allows about 1 goal per match in road matches this season but also has scored an average of 2.5 goals on the season. That said a 3-1 type match would not surprise me in the least. I don't see the hosts being held without a goal on their home pitch and I also expect the visitors to be very aggressive on the attack here after scoring just 1 goal in their most recent match versus Tottenham. 10* OVER 2.75 in Aston Villa |
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05-09-22 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 7.5 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Central Div Total of the Month Monday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians @ 8:10 ET - The over is 3-0 in last starts by Plesac for the Guardians this season. Cleveland enters this game off an under but this followed 6 straight overs. Chicago has been trending under but they are on a 7-1 winning run in which they have scored an average of about 4 runs per game. Look for a breakout game for the White Sox lineup here as Plesac has allowed 10 earned runs in less than 9 innings of work spanning his last two starts. Chicago's Kopech did have more walks than strikeouts in his last home start. With the over trending of the Guardians coupled with the winning run the White Sox are on, all signs point to an over here regardless of the pitchers. 10* OVER 7.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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05-09-22 | Celtics -102 v. Bucks | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Mauling Monday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics -102 @ Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:30 ET - The Celtics rallied to put a scare into the Bucks in Game 3 but ultimately came up just a bucket short. That huge 4th quarter for Boston and yet still falling short will only increase their motivation here and they will not be denied here as they look to even this series up. Milwaukee has been managing without Middleton but this is the type of game they could really use him and he is not there. The Celtics as determined as ever and have gone 8-1 the last 9 times when off SU loss. That strong 89% trend continues here. 10* BOSTON -102 |
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05-09-22 | Rangers -112 v. Penguins | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Metro Div Game of the Year Monday 10* New York Rangers -112 @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7 ET - The Rangers got down huge to the Penguins in Game 3 but then rallied to tie it only to ultimately lose the game 7 to 4. This will only strengthen their resolve here in Game 4. I do feel strongly that New York is the stronger team and this is essentially a must-win game to even up this series up at 2 games apiece. Rangers could have easily won Game 1 of this series and should have were it not for a disallowed late goal that never should have been disallowed. NY also won the final two meetings between these teams in the regular season. Look for the Rangers to bounce right back here as they are 8-1 last 9 times when they are playing on the road after coming off a loss in the prior game. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -112 |
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05-08-22 | Heat v. 76ers OVER 207 | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
NBA 2nd Rd Total of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 207 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat @ 8 ET - Game 3 of this series was a dead under. But the 76ers last 8 home games, prior to the under Friday, had featured 6 overs - a 75% over rate as a host. Look for both teams to finally put it together offensively here as I feel certain the Heat are going to bounce back after scoring just 79 points in the Game 3 loss. At the same time, the 76ers tend to be a better shooting team when at home and I expect them to roll up big points in this one as, with Embiid back, they are hell-bent on getting back into this series and tying it up at 2 games apiece. Keep in mind the 76ers have scored an average of 114 points per game last 5 home games versus Miami. 10* OVER 207 in Philadelphia |
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05-08-22 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
NHL 1st Rd Total of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7 ET - The over is 5-1 in last 6 meetings between these teams. There has not been an under in any of the last 4 meetings between these clubs at Tampa Bay. I fully expect the Lightning to respond big off the 5-2 loss to the Leafs in Game 3 but, at the same time, I don't see Toronto's scoring slowing down any time soon. The Leafs are feeling it again and growing with confidence and, amazingly, the winning team has scored at least 5 goals in each of the last 6 games between these teams. Neither goalie has been consistently overly impressive of late and there have been 11 power play goals scored in the last 4 games between these teams. 10* OVER 6.5 in Tampa Bay |
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05-08-22 | Wild +105 v. Blues | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Wild +105 @ St Louis Blues @ 4:30 ET - The Wild have swung the series behind back to back strong starts from Marc Andre Fleury while the Blues have lost each of the last two games behind a struggling Ville Husso. St Louis also has some injuries to defenseman and I feel Minnesota will continue to pull away in this series. They are just so strong and are built well for the playoffs and the Blues simply are not what they use to be. The downhill slide for St Louis continues here. 10* MINNESOTA +105 |
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05-08-22 | Suns v. Mavs +115 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 115 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Mauling Sunday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +115 vs Phoenix Suns @ 3:30 ET - The home team trend continues here in my opinion. The home team has won all 3 of the games so far and 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams have seen the host come out victorious. Phoenix has lost 5 of last 8 road games. The Mavericks have won 16 of last 19 home games. The home edge here is simply offering great value in this one because so many bettors play the zig-zag theory and yet I don't see it in this case. Just because Mavs won Game 3 does not mean the Suns come back and win Game 4 on the road. 10* DALLAS +115 |
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05-08-22 | A's v. Twins OVER 7 | Top | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Total Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Minnesota Twins vs Oakland A's @ 2:10 ET - I know scoring is down so far this season but this total is simply far too low in this one. Oakland's Daulton Jefferies is 0-3 last three starts and has allowed 11 earned runs in 9 innings in his last two starts. Jefferies gave up 11 hits in 5 innings in his most recent start. I know Chris Paddack has great numbers on the season so far for the Twins but he allowed 16 hits in less than 11 innings in his two career starts versus Oakland and both those games went over the total. More of the same expected here as these teams both enjoy some success at the plate and that helps this one get over the very low number set for this match-up. Regardless of the pitching match-up, I expect the bats to finally come back to life in a Sunday afternoon game. 10* OVER 7 in Minnesota |
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05-08-22 | Newcastle United v. Manchester City OVER 3.25 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
EPL Annihilation Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 goals +120 in Manchester City vs Newcastle United @ 11:30 AM ET - The hosts need to win after Liverpool settled for a 1-1 draw yesterday so now City can overtake them for first place in the table with a win here. I expect Manchester City to score plenty here as they are averaging 3 goals per match on the season when on their home pitch. Also, they are scoring an average of 4 goals per game in last 4 match-ups with Newcastle. The visitors have been playing better late in the season and should be good for at least a goal here but will not be able to stop a determined home club here. That said, this one should fly over the total via a 3-1 or 4-1 type final in my opinion. Look for at least 4 goals here given the situation. 10* OVER 3.5 goals +120 in Manchester City |
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05-07-22 | Rangers -110 v. Penguins | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Situational Slaughter Saturday 10* Top Play New York Rangers -110 @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7 ET - The Rangers have won 4 of 5 games against the Penguins including the key blowout in Game 2 of this series after losing a heart-breaker in Game 1. Keep in mind, New York never should have lost Game 1 of this series as they had a disallowed goal late in the game that never should have been disallowed and they went on to lose that game in triple-OT. In other words, the Rangers could easily be up 2-0 in this series and have 5 straight wins over the Penguins. Considering that plus the fact the Pens had already lost goalie Jarry to injury and now also lost back-up goalie DeSmith to injury. That said, the Penguins are counting on Dominque in net and the Rangers have a huge edge with Shesterkin between the pipes. With Rangers on the road for this one we get line value with a very low price and I will take it. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -110 |
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05-07-22 | White Sox v. Red Sox OVER 8 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
MLB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox @ 4:10 ET - Yesterday's game saw the teams combine to go for 2 for 16 with runners in scoring position. Was a tough game for over players. I will come right back with the over in today's match-up. I know it will be chilly and the wind blowing in at Fenway Park but I love the over here. Boston's Pivetta has struggled bad this season and particularly struggles in his home starts and the White Sox will get to him early and often. I know Cease has great numbers for Chicago this season but he got hammered by the Red Sox in his two starts against them last season. More of the same here as Boston gets their bats going finally. Cease has struggled more on the road than at home. We'll see runs aplenty after the teams hit into 4 double plays yesterday plus left 17 men on base. The game yesterday saw so many wasted opportunities and I expect today to make up for that. 10* OVER 8 in Boston |
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05-07-22 | Celtics v. Bucks -117 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Mauling Saturday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks -117 vs Boston Celtics @ 3:30 ET - The Celtics rolled the Bucks in Game 2 in Boston by a 23 point margin. However, Boston outscored Milwaukee by 51 points from 3-point land! That's right, from beyond the arc, the Celtics hit 20 threes while the Bucks hit just 3. Suffice to say that was the difference in the game and that kind of insane variance will not be happening again in Game 3 in Milwaukee. Look for the return home to get the Bucks going here. Milwaukee 6-1 last 7 times when off a loss. 10* MILWAUKEE -117 |
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05-07-22 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -112 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Liverpool vs Tottenham @ 2:45 ET - Tottenham tends to give Liverpool trouble. These match-ups between these two tend to be high-scoring. The thought here is another high-scoring match-up as Tottenham knows that going on the attack is their best chance for success here as they know they will not shut down Liverpool especially with this match being played at Anfield. Tottenham scoring an average of nearly 2 goals per match this season. Liverpool is known for being tough to score on when on their home pitch but, again, the hosts tend to have trouble slowing down the Hotspur. Liverpool should score plenty here as they average 2.5 goals scored per match and are even better when on their home pitch which means 3 goals would not be a surprise in the least in terms of the production of the host in this one. 4 of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and each of the last two have totaled 4 goals and I am projecting at least that many here with a 3-2 final actually in the cards in my opinion. 10* OVER 3 in Liverpool |
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05-07-22 | Manchester United v. Brighton & Hove Albion | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Manchester United PK -108 vs Brighton & Hove @ 12:30 ET - Manchester United undervalued in my opinion. They are off a key win in the last match and look revitalized. I feel that Brighton & Hove is overvalued here. This is a host that has won only 3 matches in 17 on their home pitch this season. Conversely, Manchester United is a club that has won 16 matches this season and seems revitalized of late. I feel strongly that the visitors will continue their strong recent run of play and get the big victory here. The nice thing is that a draw gets us a push here since the goal line is a pick'em. Man U has played 36 matches this season and only 10 were losses so, based on odds alone, we have value here with a 26 of 36 spot. 10* MANCHESTER UNITED PK -108 |
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05-06-22 | Tigers v. Astros OVER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers @ 8:10 ET - The Astros have won 9 of 12 games and scored an average of 5.3 runs per game in the 9 wins. The Tigers are known as a bad team that does not score a lot of runs but they could get to Garcia early in this one. Garcia has a 6.17 ERA in home starts this season. Both Garcia and the Tigers Brieske have proven homer-prone this season. Brieske has allowed 3 homers in 10 innings as a starter. Garcia has allowed a pair of homers in each of his last two starts. Regardless of the pitchers here I have a strong feeling the Astros will stay hot and take advantage of a bad Tigers team in this one. Time for the bats to turn things up a notch in this one and I do like the homer angle here too. After yesterday's 3-2 battle yesterday a lot more runs in this one. 10* OVER 8 in Houston |
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05-06-22 | Maple Leafs +107 v. Lightning | Top | 5-2 | Win | 107 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
NHL Atlantic Division Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Toronto Maple Leafs +107 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:30 ET - The Maple Leafs lost Game 2 by a 5-3 count but the Lightning had 3 power play goals in that game. In other words, Toronto outscored Tampa Bay in 5 on 5 hockey. Also, the Leafs did win Game 1 by a 5-0 count. The point is that I feel we are now getting some line value here as the series has shifted to Tampa. It is so hard to repeat and I know this is only the opening round of the post-season but the Bolts are B2B Stanley Cup Champs and will they be able to match the hunger and intensity of this Maple Leafs team coming off a loss? I don't think so! I really like Toronto here to bounce back off the Game 2 loss with a strong effort and we are getting line value since they are on the road. Keep in mind, TB has lost 6 of last 15 home games so they certainly are not automatic when they are on home ice! The Maple Leafs have won 6 of 9 road games and I like the value with them in this spot. 10* TORONTO +107 |
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05-06-22 | Brewers +102 v. Braves | Top | 6-3 | Win | 102 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Brewers +102 @ Atlanta Braves @ 7:20 ET - The expected pitchers are Lauer vs Chavez. I don't care who pitches here as I like the fact that the Brewers have won 10 of 12 games and have gotten a confidence boost with playing some weaker foes and having a chance to get their lineup going. Milwaukee has scored an average of 9 runs per game last 8 wins. The Braves, on the other hand, have lost 4 of 6 games and Atlanta has scored an average of only 2 runs per game in those 4 losses. This one will be all Brewers regardless of the pitchers but I will mention that Milwaukee has won all 4 of Eric Lauer's starts this season and he has been phenomenal of late including piling up the strikeouts. 24 K's in last 13 innings spanning two most recent starts. Grabbing the hotter team that is also available at a great price because of being on the road. 10* MILWAUKEE +102 |
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05-06-22 | Heat v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 79-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
NBA 2nd Rd Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +3.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7 ET - The Sixers will still be without Joel Embiid. However, even on the road in Game 2, the only difference in the game was really the 3-point shooting of Miami. The Heat outscored Philly by 18 points from 3 point land and won the game by 16 points. The 76ers had just 8 turnovers while Miami had 14 and Philadelphia did have 6 more FG attempts in the game. Philly is going to bring a huge effort here and are going to shoot much better than the combined 14 of 64 they shot from distance in the first two games of this series in Miami. At the same time, I do not expect the Heat to make a ridiculous 14 of 29 from outside the arc like they did in Game 2. The Sixers can get back into this series with a win here and Embiid possible returning for Game 4. That said, this is Philly's season here and I expect a huge amount of fight in this dog at home! The Sixers have won 5 of last 6 home games and the Heat have lost 2 of last 3 road games. The home team has won 10 of last 13 meetings between these teams and I expect that trend to continue here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +3.5 |
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05-05-22 | Capitals +1.5 v. Panthers | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Puck Line Punisher Thursday 10* Top Play Washington Capitals Puck Line +1.5 goals -120 @ 7:30 ET - The Capitals rallied for the win in Game 1 as they were down 2-1 after two periods. However, the victory was no fluke really. This Washington team built well for the playoffs and they outshot a tough Panthers team 38 to 32 in the game. I don't necessarily think they will spring the outright upset in each of the first two games of this series but they will be tough to beat here. Florida going to have to really battle just to win this game let alone cover the 1.5 goals on the puck line. Washington is a strong physical team and I also do not trust goalie Sergei Bobrovsky of the Panthers. Again, not saying they will not win this game. Just think it is going to be a tough battle all the way through and remember the Capitals tied for the league lead this season with 25 road wins in the regular season! 10* WASHINGTON +1.5 goals -120 |
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05-04-22 | 76ers +8.5 v. Heat | Top | 103-119 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Early Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +8.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers off a double digit loss in Game 1 but should respond here even without Joel Embiid. Philly just getting no respect here and, with backs against the wall, will get back on track in Game 2. The Sixers had won 9 of 12 before the ugly loss in Game 1. The Heat are 1-3 ATS last 4 times when off an ATS win. The 76ers are going to battle all the way to end in this one and remember they were only down 4 with 4 minutes to go in the 3rd quarter Monday. 10* PHILADELPHIA +8.5 |
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05-04-22 | Bruins +105 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play Boston Bruins +105 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:05 ET - The Bruins lost Game 1 by a 5-1 score but outshot the Hurricanes by a count of 36 to 25. In other words, this was not the blowout it really looked like. In fact, the game was very close for a very long time so the final score not indicative of how the game played out. The Bruins are a playoff-veteran team that will bounce back off the game one loss. Boston has eliminated Carolina from the post-season twice in recent seasons and has plenty of confidence in this match-up despite the recent Hurricanes wins in both the regular season and the start of this series. 10* BOSTON +105 |
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05-04-22 | Rays v. A's +114 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Afternoon Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Oakland A's +115 vs Tampa Bay Rays @ 3:37 ET - The A's blew a 5-3 lead in the top of the 9th yesterday but overall their bullpen has been solid this season. I know Oakland is on a losing streak but they bounce back at home here after letting yesterday's game slip away and losing 10-7 in extra innings. I like this play regardless of the pitchers but will mention that Tampa Bay's Kluber is off a strong start but allowed 11 hits in 5 innings in his prior start. Also, in his 8 career starts against Oakland his teams have a record of 2-6. Conversely, Montas has a 2.46 ERA in his 4 career starts versus the Rays and his teams have a record of 3-1 in those 4 starts. Look for the A's to bounce back big here and I love fading the line move as the line on TB as a small fave has been climbing higher and higher this morning. 10* OAKLAND +115 |
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05-04-22 | Mariners v. Astros OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Contrarian Dominator Wednesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 -115 in Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners @ 2:10 ET - Mariners off B2B shutout losses and now face Justin Verlander. However, watch Seattle surprise some people here. Verlander did give up 2 homers in his only home start this season and now the Mariners getting a 2nd look at him after facing him in Seattle in mid-April. Look for this to benefit the M's lineup here but the issue for Seattle is they are starting Matt Brash. He is winless with a 9.82 ERA in his road starts this season and the over is 3-0 in his last 3 starts and that included a start against the Astros in which he was fortunate he did not give up more runs as he walked 6 in about 5 innings. No matter who starts here I am anticipating the Mariners bats get back on track and the Astros bats will stay hot. Houston has won 7 of 10 games and averaging 5.4 runs scored per victory. 10* OVER 7.5 in Houston |
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05-03-22 | Bucks v. Celtics OVER 215 | Top | 86-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 215 in Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7 ET - The Bucks have had unders now in 6 straight games. In typical contrarian fashion, I will take the over in this one given that streak! I love the fact that Milwaukee held Boston to just 89 points in the Game 1 upset win. The Celtics entered that game having won 8 of 9 games and scoring an average of 122.6 points per game! Boston will bounce back and make adjustments and score well here but the Bucks are the defending champs for a reason. Milwaukee will hang around in this game and they had averaged 114 points per game last 4 games before the low-scoring Game 1 win in this series. Celtics were on an 8-4 run to the over last dozen games before that under and also in match-ups between these teams the over was 7-3 last 10 meetings before that under. Game 2 will play out much differently. 10* OVER 215 in Boston |
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05-03-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -125 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line -125 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7 ET - Very few teams in the NHL had more home wins than the 27 the Rangers amassed this season. Also, the Rangers Igor Shesterkin was arguably the best goalie in the game this season. Though he is coming off a tough couple starts to finish the season that will only motivate him even more to have a huge performance beginning with Game 1 of this series. So the Rangers have the goalie edge and home ice edge and we are getting a very fair price because the Penguins are a public team in the NHL. They are very popular indeed and a lot of bettors like to back them which gives us even more value in the backing the Rangers here. New York has won 4 of last 5 home ice meetings with the Pens. Overall, the Rangers have won 3 straight meetings with Pittsburgh. Love the line value here. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -125 |
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05-03-22 | Rangers v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Run Line Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +125 vs Texas Rangers @ 6:45 ET - I do not care who pitches here but do expect it to be Suarez and the Phillies are 4-0 in his starts this season. As for the Rangers it could be Otto or Gray but most likely Gray and he has a 7.00 ERA so far this season and Otto is off to a good start this season but he got hammered last season. Otto is still inexperienced and whether he goes or Gray goes or whoever pitches for Texas here I like the Phillies to bounce back off a 10-6 loss to the Mets on Sunday. Philadelphia had won 7 of 10 games before that. I am comfortable laying the run line here as 10 of the Phillies 11 wins this season have been by 2+ runs. Texas is off B2B wins but had lost 14 of 20 games prior to that! Also, the Rangers last dozen losses have featured 10 by 2 or more runs. This one has home blowout written all over it. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 +125 |
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05-03-22 | Braves v. Mets OVER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves (Game 1) @ 3:10 ET - I know that scoring has trended downward early this season but Morton is having a rough start to the season and the over is 3-1 in his outings. As for Carrasco, he is off a very rough start in his last outing plus got hammered by the Braves the last time he faced them and that was in October so was not too long ago. Regardless of the pitching match-up here I like the over as Atlanta is on a 6-3 run to the over and the Mets lineup is super solid but off a loss yesterday and ready to respond here. Prior to that, New York had won 7 of 10 games and scored at least 5 runs in 6 of those 10 games. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 7 in New York Mets (Game 1) |
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05-02-22 | 76ers +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 92-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +7.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7:30 ET - How many times have we seen a key player out for a team and then the line jumps the other way of course but it is the wounded team that actually gets the cover? Plenty! This has been a strong regular season trend and it has continued into the post-season. That said, with Joel Embiid out for at least the first two games of this series, this line on the Heat has gotten out of hand. Keep in mind, Miami is currently dealing with some nagging injury issues as well. Too much value to pass up here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +7.5 |
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05-02-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Divisional Dominator Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees @ 7:07 ET - The Yankees have won 9 straight games and averaged scoring 7.4 runs per game. The Blue Jays are known for scoring better at home but are off some low-scoring games here. I look for the bats to come back to life here. I do not care who the pitchers are as the Yankees will stay hot at the plate and the Blue Jays will answer them run for run in this one. Toronto has trended under this season but they are scoring an average of 4.5 runs per game at home this season. The over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 games. If it is Montgomery versus Stripling (again I am playing this regardless of pitchers) note that Montgomery has struggled in recent starts versus Jays and Stripling is winless with a 4.50 ERA in two career starts versus Yankees and the New York sticks are hot right now and the Jays bullpen has struggled a bit particularly at home. 10* OVER 8.5 in Toronto |
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05-02-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -110 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes Money Line -110 vs Boston Bruins @ 7 ET - The Hurricanes seek revenge for playoff ouster at the hands of Bruins two years ago. Boston is a great team but only one team in the Eastern Conference (Florida with 7) had fewer losses than the 8 Carolina had on home ice in the regular season. This is a tough team to beat at Carolina. Also, the Hurricanes certainly are not lacking for confidence in this one after beating the Bruins by a combined score of 16 to 1 in the 3 regular season meetings! The goalie match-up is expected to be Raanta versus Ullmark and both have been playing well but note that the Canes won 10 of 13 home starts for Raanta and the Bruins lost 8 of 20 road starts for Ullmark. The pick'em price considering the home ice factors and all of the above make the Hurricanes well worth the investment here. 10* CAROLINA -110 |
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05-02-22 | Brentford v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
EPL Early Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Brentford @ 3 ET - Brentford has actually been in solid form and their road matches have been higher-scoring than their home matches as the former have averaged 3 goals apiece. That is what I am fully expecting here - at least a 2-1 final - as I expect Brentford to put up a fight in this one but I also see Manchester United putting forth a very strong effort here in their final home match of the campaign. It has been a disappointing campaign for Manchester United but they battle hard in their 1-1 draw with Chelsea and now will push even harder to end the home portion of their season on a positive note with a big win here. Brentford fully capable of an upset here with how strong they have been playing and would not be surprised to see this match in a 2-2 draw either. Solid goal-scoring expected as, prior to their 1-1 draw with defensive-minded Chelsea, 3 straight Manchester United matches had totaled 4 or more goals. Brentford off a scoreless draw with Tottenham but, prior to this, they had scored 2 or more goals in 5 of last 6 matches and averaged 2.3 goals scored per match. The last two matches between these clubs each totaled 4 or more goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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05-01-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +127 | Top | 117-116 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Mauling Sunday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies Money Line +127 vs Golden State Warriors @ 3:30 ET - The Grizzlies just are not getting any respect here and waiting until Sunday morning has paid off in terms of line value here as now we can get some extra plus money with the money line in this one. The home team has won 3 straight meetings between these teams and 5 of the last 7. The Warriors are 4-4 SU in last 8 road games. The Grizzlies are 32-12 SU in home games including post-season this year. Golden State is barely above .500 on the road this season. The public will be all over the Warriors here. They see Curry, Thompson and know the history of these guys and the playoff runs they have had. Conversely, most do not know too much about this Grizzlies team and how good they can be on defense and particularly when at home. They will know more about just how good this Memphis team is after they notch the upset in Game 1 on their home floor. All the big comebacks the Grizzlies had in the series with Minny also gives this team a ton of confidence and a never say die attitude. They win this one at home. 10* MEMPHIS +127 |
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05-01-22 | Reds v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds @ 3:10 ET - I am coming right back with this play we had yesterday. When the Reds loaded the bases with no one out on 3 straight line drive hits in the top of the 5th but only scored 1 run out of all of that I knew we were in trouble. Sure enough the Rockies had one of those "Coors Field innings" in the bottom of the 6th and put up a 4 spot but it was too little too late. We'll get payback today as Sanmartin is 0-3 with an 11.75 ERA this season and Freeland is also 0-3 this season plus has a 7.71 ERA in his home starts. Even if those guys weren't the starters here I will again mention bad bullpens and the fact Rockies tend to score very well at home and Reds had been scoring better prior to yesterday's debacle. This one will be the slugfest that just never developed yesterday. These two hurlers a combined 0-6 on the season. Regardless of starting pitchers, runs runs runs the story in this one. 10* OVER 10.5 in Colorado |
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05-01-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Jets OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
NHL Playoff Primer Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Winnipeg Jets vs Seattle Kraken @ 2 ET - Seattle is off a win and Winnipeg has won 3 straight games. This is a "meaningless" late season game but you know both these non-playoff clubs want to head into the off-season on a positive note. There should be plenty of open ice and solid scoring chances in this one. Seattle is off a rare 3-0 shutout win but had allowed an average of nearly 5 goals per game in losing 4 straight before that. The Kraken will have their hands full trying to slow down a Jets team that wants to end the season with a bang. I do like the fact that Seattle has scored at least 2 goals in 9 straight games and has actually averaged 3 goals per game during this stretch. The Jets are favored heavily for a reason though and I am looking for a 4-3 type game here at a minimum. Winnipeg is on a 3 game winning streak and off a 3-1 win versus Calgary plus scored at least 4 goals in each of the 3 home games preceding that one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Winnipeg |
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05-01-22 | Arsenal v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
EPL Early Annihilation Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs Arsenal @ 11:30 AM ET - West Ham has scored in all their matches on their home pitch this season. Yes, at least 1 goal in each match. Of course red hot Arsenal is favored to win for a reason. In other words, the least we should see here is a 2-1 final on that notion alone! No guarantees of course but indeed we should get to 3 goals based on logic here. The last time Arsenal visited the Hammers they found themselves down 3-0 but battled all the way back in the 3-3 draw. No lead is safe in other words and neither club has forgotten that match. That said, this is a match that should see solid scoring because West Ham is missing some guys on defense and plus Arsenal, as strong as they have been, has still proven to not be immune to untimely miscues defensively which lead to great scoring chances for the opposition. This one should feature plenty of scoring as the visitors desperate to stay hot and get the full 3 points in the table as they are hungry for that top-4 finish this season. 10* OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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04-30-22 | Reds v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Total of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds @ 8:10 ET - The Rockies bats are different at home. After struggling to score runs on their road trip they are back on track at home. 10-4 win yesterday for Colorado. Though Cincinnati is still having the same problem - losing - that they have had all season long, at least they are scoring some runs. Yesterday's loss was the 5th straight game in which the Reds have scored at least 4 runs and they have averaged 5 runs per game during this stretch. The Rockies are averaging nearly 6 runs per game at home this season and the weather will be nice for this one. I like this play regardless of the starting pitchers as both teams have bullpens that have struggled this season. But, in terms of the expected starting pitchers, Connor Overton is making his first start of the new season and he allowed 8 earned runs in less than 4 innings in his last two starts of last season to finish the season in ugly fashion. He only has limited MLB career action including just 3 starts and 2 of those were disasters. As for Rockies starter Chad Kuhl, he is off to strong start this season but he got roughed up in spring training and is coming off a rough season with Pirates last year. He is making just his 2nd home start of the season and Coors Field can be tough on pitchers. I feel strongly that the money line is priced rather low on Rockies here for a reason. They are -140 at home and hosting a 3-17 team. Something funny with that and tells me that Rockies pitchers are expected to get hit hard in this game. Maybe they win a slugfest but the money line price is funny to me and I feel confident of a slugfest being the ultimate result here no matter which team comes out on top. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado |
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04-30-22 | Mariners +110 v. Marlins | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play Seattle Mariners +110 @ Miami Marlins @ 6:10 ET - The Marlins lost 8-6 yesterday but are 3-0 last 3 times they were off a loss by a multi-run margin. I know Miami has been hot but they had scored a total of 5 runs in the two games prior to yesterday's explosion at the plate. Also, they have been held to 3 or less runs so often this season. I like the road dog here regardless of the starting pitchers as Seattle has the better lineup and slightly better bullpen in my opinion as well and early season runs and ERA are proving that out. As for the expected starters here, Robbie Ray has gone undefeated with a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 starts versus Miami. Jesus Luzardo got hammered the last time he faced Seattle and also enters this start struggling a bit with 6 walks and 9 hits for 15 baserunners in about 9 innings of work spanning his last two starts. The real ugly start of those two was here at home and I expect another home loss for the Marlins in this one too as the Mariners put an end to Miami's hot streak. 10* SEATTLE +110 |
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04-30-22 | Manchester City v. Leeds United OVER 3.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 124 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
TOTAL OF THE MONTH EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 goals +125 in Leeds United vs Manchester City @ 12:30 PM ET - The fact that Leeds United will have a raucous crowd at home for this one should help them find the back of the net at least once in this one but the key to this total going over on their home pitch is they will not be able to stop the top team in the league. Manchester City will score a pile here. Leeds is off a scoreless draw but that was preceded by 4 matches that averaged 3.3 goals apiece. Those matches, of course, were not against Man City. The last time they faced Man City they were destroyed 7-0. Man City enters this match having scored an average of 3.5 goals last 4 matches across all competitions and they allowed 3 goals apiece in 2 of those 4 matches. Leeds will put up a fight here but they are going to have to score a little to keep up here and a high-scoring match will be the result. The visitors have some injury issues with their defense here and I do expect the hosts to put some pressure on the attack in this one. 10* OVER 3.5 +125 in Leeds United |
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04-30-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | Top | 3-0 | Win | 101 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Goal Line Pick +101 - Brighton & Hove have lost only 4 of 17 road matches this season. They are coming off a match on their home pitch in which they had to settle for a draw despite jumping out to a 2-0 lead. This means extra motivation here for the visitors and note that Wolverhampton is in poor current form overall plus already has 7 losses on the season in 16 matches on their home pitch. The value of the goal line at a pick'em is that a draw becomes a push at the betting window and based on the current situation as well as current form and the fact that the visitors have picked up at least a point in 13 of 17 road matches this season, this is a top play for me on the side. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE +101 |
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04-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +110 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Game of the Month 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +110 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 9 ET - Look for the long-term home team trend to continue here as the host has won SU in 78% of the last 9 meetings between these teams. I know Memphis is the better team defensively overall but if you look at the road/home dichotomy that is not the case. The Timberwolves allow less points and a lower shooting percentage when they are at home compared to what the Grizzlies allow in those two categories when on the road. That said, we have some home dog value here in my opinion because Minny is known for lighting up the scoreboard when on their home floor and they should do just that here. 10* MINNESOTA +110 |
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04-29-22 | Phillies +112 v. Mets | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Early Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies +110 @ New York Mets @ 7:10 ET - Excellent line value here regardless of the pitching match-up. The Phillies overall pitching staff including bullpen has been fantastic as they have won 4 straight games and have allowed an average of only 2 runs per game last 5 games. The Phillies bats have been going in a big way too and confidence is building with 4 wins by a combined score of 32 to 9 in this hot streak. Now they take on a strong Mets team and seeking revenge from losing 2 of 3 in Philly earlier this month. I like the hot Phillies regardless of pitching match-up here but will mention the expected starters here and the fact that Aaron Nola absolutely dominated in his last two visits to this ballpark and Tylor Megill is coming back down to earth after a strong start to season. He has still been solid last two starts but not like he was earlier this season. This is called regression to the mean as he was pitching better than usual earlier. Now the Phillies pound him tonight. 10* PHILADELPHIA +110 |
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04-29-22 | Senators v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - The Flyers are off B2B embarrassing road losses but are now back home for their final game of the season. Philadelphia scored 4 goals in winning their most recent home game. Also, that followed a 6-3 win at Montreal in the prior game. The Flyers have been struggling defensively and in goal but they can find the back of the net when motivated and Philly is motivated on home ice to close the season with a win. However, they will have to score plenty of goals to do so because of their recent poor defense and sub-par netminding. The Senators will take advantage and enter this game having scored 3 goals in each of the first two games against Flyers this season. The Sens are off a shutout loss versus Florida but had won 4 straight games prior to that. Also, other than 2-1 win in that stretch, Ottawa's other 5 games prior to the shutout loss to the Panthers had totaled an average of 8.4 goals apiece. 10* OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia |
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04-28-22 | Suns v. Pelicans +2.5 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
NBA 10* Top Play New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 - It is the Pelicans turn here. No team has won B2B games yet in this see-saw series and New Orleans is a home dog and will take advantage of Booker still being out for the Suns and I look for the home team to get it done here. I know there is speculation he might return tonight but I doubt he will. Even if he does, I like the fact that the Pelicans have been the much stronger rebounding team in this series and I expect them to shoot better from long-distance after a 5 for 25 at Phoenix in Game 5. The home dog gets it done here and extends the series. 10* NEW ORLEANS +2.5 |
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04-28-22 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:05 ET - Lost with this play when these teams met in Tampa Bay Tuesday but the Lighting scored 4 goals in that one. TB will be able to score well again here but this time the Blue Jackets will join the party as well. Columbus is a different team on home ice and should produce much better here. The Jackets last home game was a 5-2 win and they love for that cannon to be going off plenty of times with each goal scored for the hosts when in Columbus. Overall that 5-2 win was the 13th time last 19 home games for Columbus totaling at least 7 goals. This one will too as the Blue Jackets are sure to put up a fight in their home finale but they will have to score plenty of goals to topple Tampa Bay. So look for a 4-3 or 5-4 type game here that might see the Jackets fall just short but our over will not fall short this time! 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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04-28-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 7 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 9 m | Show |
*action on the pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox @ 3:07 ET - I fully understand the line move but it has gone from an 8 to a 7 and in typical contrarian fashion here I am on the over. The Red Sox got their sticks going with 13 hits yesterday. The Blue Jays typically hit well at home but struggled yesterday and I fully expect them to bounce back here. Toronto is averaging 5 runs per game at home this season. I also am aware of Xander Bogaerts likely being out of the lineup today. Again, this is a contrarian play all the way. I have seen so many times this type of scenario play out and I like the fact the road team scored so well yesterday and brings confidence to the ball park this afternoon and the fact that we have one of the better home hitting teams in the majors ready to bounce back here. No matter who the pitchers are here I like the over but I will mention that Whitlock was fantastic out of the bullpen last season and to start this year but this is still a guy who has only one MLB start under his belt. Also, Manoah is a great starter but his hits allowed have gone from 1 to 4 to 7 in last 3 starts. Again, banking on the bats here to get us over this low total regardless of the pitchers. 10* OVER 7 in Toronto |
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04-28-22 | Chelsea v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
EPL 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United - The last 3 Man U matches have all totaled at least 4 goals. Chelsea is off a tight 1-0 win over West Ham but 5 of last 6 matches within premier league action had totaled at least 4 goals. Knowing Man U is on a 7-game unbeaten run on home soil but also that Chelsea has been so strong on the road and is averaging 2 goals scored per match as a visitor this season, the play here is the OVER |
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04-27-22 | Flyers +169 v. Jets | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +170 @ Winnipeg Jets @ 7:35 ET - This is a tricky spot for the Jets and this play is all about the underdog value for the Flyers. Winnipeg is off a win but had lost 4 straight games before that. The average margin of defeat was 3.3 goals per game in those 4 losses. The point is that the Jets have not been playing that well, their playoff hopes were only recently dashed, and they have two bigger games against Western Conference foes on deck. They will want the game with Calgary up next and then their home finale after that versus Seattle. This is the most meaningless game left on their schedule and the Flyers could surprise here. Also, I do respect back-up goalie Comrie but he is the #2 to Hellebuyck for a reason of course and Comrie will be between the pipes tonight. Flyers off a loss but won 2 straight before that and will be motivated to win their final road game of the season after a bit of a lackluster showing at Chicago Monday. 10* PHILADELPHIA +170 |
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04-27-22 | Bulls +12.5 v. Bucks | Top | 100-116 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NBA Double Perfect Play Wednesday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +12.5 @ Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:30 ET - The road team is a perfect 4-0 ATS in this series and on a 5-0 ATS run dating back to the regular season. Once this one is in the books, I am predicting that streak to reach 6 in a row. I do expect Milwaukee to close this series out with a home win tonight but look for Chicago to rally the troops, with Zach Lavine out, and battle hard all the way in this one to lose by just a single digit margin and get us the all-important ATS cover. By the way, the Bucks are on an 0-5 ATS run in home games dating back to the regular season as well. Hence, the double perfect situation here and I understand the line move but love fading line moves too and this is the perfect spot (literally) - filled with high value in my opinion. 10* CHICAGO +12.5 |
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04-27-22 | Rockies v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB PA Dominator Wednesday 9* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 runs -110 vs Colorado Rockies @ 6:45 ET - Regardless of the pitching match-up here the Phillies confidence is up again at the plate as they have won the first two games in this series by a combined score of 18 to 5. In fact, their last 3 games against Colorado have now all been wins by a combined score of 27 to 11. So they are enjoying success against Rockies pitchers no matter who has been on the mound and now they are expected to face Feltner making his first start of the new season. He will be no match for expected starter Suarez in this one as the Phillies lefty is gradually showing more and more signs of being the pitcher he was last season and he should dominate this outing. No matter who the pitchers are, the Phillies hot bats carry the way again and the Rockies road struggles continue. 9* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 runs -110 |
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04-27-22 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 +100 vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 3:40 ET - Love the home dog value here on the run line. We get value because Dodgers have been so hot this season and are off a 5-3 loss yesterday but give Arizona credit here. The Diamondbacks rallied from a 3-0 deficit yesterday to get that win. It was impressive and no matter who pitches here I like the fact that Arizona's last 8 games have featured only 2 losses my more than a single run. The expected pitchers here are Gallen versus Urias. I love the fact that Gallen has been strong early this season even though he faced a tough Mets lineup twice. He is throwing very well. Conversely, Urias got to enjoy a start against a bad Reds team plus he struggled badly in one of his two road starts as he got hammered by the Rockies. Though Urias is a solid pitcher for sure, so too is Gallen and the latter has enjoyed success against Los Angeles as well. I know Urias has good numbers against the Dbacks but he has allowed 9 hits in 10 innings in last two visits to Arizona and struggles again here. Regardless of starting pitchers, look for the Diamondbacks to make it 7 of last 9 games either being a win or a 1-run loss. Highly competitive match-up here and the home team finds a way. 10* ARIZONA +1.5 runs +100 |
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04-26-22 | Golden Knights v. Stars +100 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Situational Slaughter Tuesday 10* Top Play Dallas Stars Money Line +100 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:35 ET - The Golden Knights are the more desperate team here. But that is merely serving to give us extra line value because of public perception. The fact it is the Stars have yet to clinch a playoff spot and they can do so with a win tonight. On home ice and with a chance to clinch, Dallas should get the win tonight. Vegas knows their odds are now extremely slim after losses to the Devils and then a heart-breaking gut-wrenching OT loss to the Sharks in which they blew a late 2-goal lead. The Knights will try to bounce back here but it is too much to ask and Dallas rolls again on home ice after a 3-2 win over Seattle in most recent game. The Stars are 25-10-3 on home ice this season while Vegas has won only about half their road games this season. The situation sets up perfectly for a home ice win here. 10* DALLAS +100 |
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04-26-22 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Early Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals @ 7:10 ET - Over is 5-2 in last 7 White Sox games and Royals now off B2B overs. Lynch has a horrible history against Chicago including 16.19 ERA in 3 starts last season. Keuchel has struggled in 2 of his last 3 starts versus Kansas City. Chilly weather in Chicago tonight but expected breezes out of northwest could actually help our over as well. Either way, no matter the pitchers here (play it with action), we should see plenty of runs as White Sox starters and relievers have combined to give up 6 or more runs in 5 of last 7 games. Both lineups should get going here as Royals have hit well here in past and ChiSox happy to be back home for sure. 10* OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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04-26-22 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Punisher Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - The Lightning just blasted three straight teams including the Maple Leafs and they prefer to meet Toronto in the post-season so they will keep going hard so they don't fall into a wild-card sport. That said, Tampa Bay should again score extremely well here. TB has won 5 of 6 games and scored 6.4 goals per game in those 5 victories! As for the Blue Jackets, they are off a 5-2 home win and 2 of their last 4 road games totaled at least 9 goals. Look for another high-scoring game here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Tampa Bay |
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04-26-22 | Hawks +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 94-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +7.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7 ET - The Hawks just got embarrassed on their home floor in a 24 point loss on Sunday. This is now their season right here. I am not saying they will win this game outright but I do like the odds of at least a cover here. Since mid-February, Atlanta has gone 10-1 SU when entering a game off a non-OT loss! The only time they lost back to back was in Games 1 and 2 of that series and in that one that Game 2 loss they were down by just 3 points with 2 and 1/2 minutes to go and missed a game-tying 3 at that juncture in the game. The point is that the eventual 10 point loss was a closer finish than you think and that game was here in Miami too. Big value with the big points here given the situation and the 10-1 / 91% angle. 10* ATLANTA HAWKS +7.5 |
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04-25-22 | Raptors v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 103-88 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7.5 vs Toronto Raptors @ 8 ET - Look for the Sixers to respond off the Game 4 loss at Toronto. Even though the 76ers are still very much in control of this series they last thing they want to do is let this series go back to Toronto for Game 6. That is for two key reasons. Not only would that then give the Raptors a chance to tie the series up on their home floor and force an "anything can happen" Game 7, it also would lead to more tired legs for Philly if they do advance. Philadelphia wants this series to end right here right now and to let guys like Joel Embiid get some rest for the next round. Similar to the huge energy and motivation we saw from the Sixers in the opening game of the series, I am expecting a similar effort here. Philadelphia in a big home rout is my expectation here. The 76ers are on a 5-0 run in home games and the average margin of victory was 18 points in those 5 games. More of the same expected here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5 |
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04-25-22 | Flyers v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals in Chicago Blackhawks vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 8:05 ET - This is the perfect spot to fade the Flyers off their huge upset win over the in-state rival Penguins yesterday. However, while I do expect the Blackhawks to catch a sleepy and unmotivated defense here (plus goalie likely to be a very young Felix Sandstrom in this one) I just do not trust the Blackhawks defense and netminding either. Hence, a play on the over in this one. Chicago has allowed at least 4 goals in 7 of last 8 games. Blackhawks home games have totaled at least 7 goals in 4 straight contests and, in fact, those games averaged 8 goals per game. As for the Flyers, before yesterday's 4-1 win stayed under the total, 6 of 7 Philly games totaled at least 7 goals. As a matter of fact, those 6 games averaged 8.3 goals per game. Look for at least 7 goals in this one as well with two teams just playing out the string on tough seasons so there will be little defensive intensity here particularly with Flyers off win over their biggest rival yesterday. 10* OVER 6.5 in Chicago |
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04-25-22 | Rockies v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 106 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB RL Dominator Game of the Month Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +105 vs Colorado Rockies @ 6:45 ET - So the Rockies are off to a great start this season and the Phillies are struggling and yet the home team opened up as nearly a 2 to 1 favorite here on the money line. What happened? Well for one thing, just playing the home team in Colorado game last season netted you a 102-59 record. Notoriously a solid home team but the Rockies are known for struggling on the road. Here they face a Phillies team that will be poised to bounce back big at home. Philadelphia is off a shutout loss to the Brewers last night in a frustrating game as Angel Hernandez was behind the plate and the man is the worst umpire in the game. Sickening calls that went both ways but sure did not help the flow of the game. The Phillies bats will get going tonight regardless of the pitchers. This season Philadelphia has been held to 1 run or less 5 times, including last night's game. After the first 4, the Phillies have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game. Freeland has struggled this season on the mound for the Rockies and Gibson has overall been solid for the Phillies on the mound and he also delivered an absolute gem in his only home start this season. Again, no matter who pitches here, the Phillies bounce back big at home and win this one in a rout. 5 of the Phillies 6 wins by at least 2 runs this season and all 5 Colorado losses this season by at least 2 runs. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 +105 |
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04-25-22 | Leeds United v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs Leeds United @ 3 ET - Crystal Palace and Leeds United each are battling hard to avoid relegation. Both will be going strong for the full 3 points in the table here. Leeds allows piles of goals and this is particularly true on the road this season. However, Leeds also has been scoring a lot of goals recently as they have been on the attack in looking to earn big points in the table and avoid relegation. With how well Crystal Palace has been playing when on their home pitch, I am looking for plenty of scoring here. Leeds concedes a lot on the road but also will be on the attack and is capable of getting great scoring chances even though Crystal Palace known for being solid defensively on their home pitch. The current trending for Leeds has me envisioning at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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04-24-22 | Brewers v. Phillies -144 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -144 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* ESPN Blowout Sunday 9* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -140 vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 7:08 ET - This line has come down some and it is go time with the Phillies. Price is now as low as the -140 range after being as high as the -175 range. There is value here at the lower price after the move. When the Phillies were up 3-0 yesterday and Wheeler was cruising on the mound, it looked like they were well on their way to their 3rd straight win. Unfortunately - for Philly at least - one bad inning things came unraveled and suddenly they were down 4-3 and went on to lose 5-3. Regardless of who pitchers here I like the Phillies as they are at home and available at a reasonable price and they have the better overall lineup. The pitchers are expected to be Nola vs Lauer and through his many years in Philly Nola has been much better when on the home mound than on the road. Considering that plus the fact that Lauer gave up 3 homers in 6 innings in his only career start here (last season), I do like the home team to get it done here. Action on pitchers and look for a huge game at the plate from the home team. 9* PHILADELPHIA -140 |
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04-24-22 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals OVER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Situational Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - The Capitals have lost each of the two prior meetings with the Leafs by a combined score of 12 to 6 - an average total of 9 goals scored per game. Washington comes in seeking revenge but Toronto also comes into this one angry off B2B losses after a loss at Florida yesterday. The Maple Leafs have averaged scoring 4.3 goals per game the last 6 times they have entered a game off 2 or more losses. At the same time, note that the Caps have been scoring plenty of goals and have been particularly high-scoring in home games. Now, finally back in DC after a lengthy road trip, this one should see a pile of goals scored. I know this total is a big one posted at 7 goals but it should not be a problem here given the situational edges pointing toward goals in this one. 10* OVER 7 in Washington |
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04-24-22 | Mets v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Run Line Rout Sunday 10* Top Play Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 -105 vs New York Mets @ 4:10 ET - Regardless of who pitches here I like the Diamondbacks as a home dog getting the +1.5 runs. Not only has Arizona won 3 of 4, none of their last 5 games have resulted in a loss by more than a single run. The Diamondbacks have been scrappy, they are at home, and Bumgarner has been solid so far this season. Megill started off great for Mets but did give up 4 earned runs in most recent start. Bumgarner has given up a total of only 2 earned runs in his 3 starts this season! Like the home dog to get it done here but will grab the run line in case they fall one run short in this one. 10* ARIZONA +1.5 -105 |
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04-24-22 | Penguins v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 46 m | Show |
NHL PA Dominator Sunday 9* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals in Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 4:05 ET - You know Philly is going to bring a strong effort on their home ice here against the rival Penguins. However, this does not change the fact that this team can stop no one! The Flyers continue to struggle defensively and in goal and Pittsburgh should score plenty here. But Philadelphia has been scoring well and continues to get involved in one high-scoring game after another and I expect that trend to continue here. The result is a game in which I expect each team to get to 3 goals and, of course, this guarantees of nothing less than a 4-3 final in this one. 9* OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia |
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04-24-22 | Warriors v. Nuggets +170 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 170 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets +170 vs Golden State Warriors @ 3:30 ET - Sweeps are not easy to come by. There are 8 series going and only 2 of them still have a shot at being a sweep and this is one of them. I do not see an angry Denver team being denied here on their home floor. They have outrebounded the Warriors heavily in each of the last two games plus shot much better from the free throw line. Golden State has simply shot lights out from the field, including downtown, so far in this series but that can not go on forever. This is the game the Nuggets bring their absolute best game of this series as they will be relentless in refusing to let GS take this series on their home court. 10* DENVER +170 |
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04-23-22 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers OVER 7 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Divisional Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7 -130 in Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - The Leafs could get Auston Matthews back for this one. Either way I am looking for plenty of goals. Toronto just got destroyed at Tampa Bay and gave up a ton of goals so they need to bounce back after that embarrassing loss. The Maple Leafs should bounce back here and score plenty against a Panthers team known for having some issues defensively and in front of their own net. Of course the difference is that Florida also scores goals like crazy. This one sets up nicely to be a barnburner just like the 7-6 final these guys played to in their last meeting. This one of course may not get that crazy but a 5-4 type game would not surprise me in the least. Just so much firepower for these two clubs and the Leafs have consistently been involved in high-scoring games and the Panthers will put up a pile of goals here at home too. Toronto needs to bounce back after embarrassing loss to Lightning but the hosts here make this one turn into a wild goal-filled contest. 10* OVER 7 goals -130 in Florida |
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04-23-22 | Brewers v. Phillies -134 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -134 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -135 vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 4:05 ET - The Phillies are favored by a moderate margin here and that may surprise some when you consider their tough start this season and the Brewers hotter start. However, regardless of the pitching match-up here, I like Philadelphia at home as they have the stronger lineup and they can build off a high-scoring win at Colorado Wednesday which got their bats going and helped lead the way to rallying for yesterday's 4-2 win over Milwaukee to open up this series. Also, in terms of the projected pitchers, note that Wheeler was fantastic last season and he was much better in his home start this season and will put a rough road start behind him here. Also, Wheeler has been fantastic facing the Brewers in recent starts against them. As for the Brewers, their expected starter is Houser and he has struggled a bit in each of his first two starts this season and, unlike Wheeler, he struggled recently against the opponent he is facing today. Regardless of pitching match-up I do like the Phillies at a reasonable price at home to get the win again here and make it 2 straight over the Brewers and 3 in a row overall as the home/road dichotomy makes a difference here as well. 10* PHILADELPHIA -135 |
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04-23-22 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 212.5 | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 2 PM ET - The Raptors will do anything to extend this series as they are down 3-0 and do not want to get eliminated on their home floor. To extend their series they are likely going to have to extend this game. What I mean by that is even if they are down 7 to 10 points late they will be fouling plenty and looking to send Philly to the line and climb back into the game. I love the fact that after B2B unders, even if an game that went to OT in Game 3, most will be looking under here. Keep in mind, Game 1 of this series flew over the total. I am expecting much better shooting like we saw in the first game and I look for Toronto to put up a valiant effort here. However, as has been a problem all series long, the Raptors will struggle to stop all the weapons the Sixers have. I am not confident of who will win this game but I am confident of plenty of points being scored! 10* OVER 212.5 in Toronto |
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04-23-22 | Islanders v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 109 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Saturday 9* Top Play OVER 6 in Buffalo Sabres vs New York Islanders @ 12:35 ET - The Islanders are known as a defensive-minded team but this is a late season match-up between two teams out of the playoff race. The Isles have been playing a different style recently and the Sabres enter this game off 3 straight wins. Buffalo is scoring a lot of goals and this will be an up-tempo game on their home ice. The Sabres have seen 14 of their last 16 games total at least 6 goals so I feel we have fantastic value here with this posted total at 6 goals. In fact, of those 14 games, 13 of them totaled at least 7 goals. I fully expect this one will too as the Sabres continue to score well but the Islanders come to play in this one too as they are off 3 straight losses including a 6-3 loss to the Rangers. 9* OVER 6 in Buffalo |
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04-23-22 | Aston Villa v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
EPL King Power Blowout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Leicester vs Aston Villa @ 10 AM ET - With Leicester the hosts in this one, this match is taking place at King Power Stadium. I am looking for enough fire "power" from each side to send this one over the total. I love the fact that Leicester will be pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table and Aston Villa has never had a draw this season in 16 road matches and a clean sheet here is unlikely. In other words, this match has high likelihood of being at least a 2-1 final given all those factors and the posted total here is 2.5 goals so we have solid value here. Leicester could be a little worn out because they have had some extra matches lately and that will put Aston Villa on the attack even more in this one as they look to take advantage. That said, you also know the hosts are going to put up a strong fight at King Power Stadium in this one so the result should be at least a 2-1 final. Solid line value here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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04-22-22 | Heat v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 110-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Payback Special Friday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +1.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7 ET - After 3 straight games for us all slipping away in the 4th quarter in the NBA after cashing 8 in a row in NBA - most all of them easy no doubt winners without drama - I have no doubt we are getting back on track starting today. One thing is for sure, if a break is involved it most certainly should go our way here! The home team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings between these teams and the Heat won each of the first two games of this series at home. The home team dominance in this series continues here. The Hawks have won 28 of 42 home games this season and the Heat are 21-16 SU last 37 road games. You can see why, given those numbers, we have some line value here with the desperate and hungrier team available as a home underdog. 10* ATLANTA +1.5 |