Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-17-22 | Minnesota v. Penn State -5.5 | 46-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
Minnesota/Penn State 4:00: Penn State has a strong home venue and have beaten or covered the number vs the best of the best in the Big 10 there. They're coming off a big home win vs Michigan State (62-58) and eager to avenge their 76-70 loss at Minneapolis last Saturday. Meanwhile, Minnesota is on a 1-6 SU slide, their only win last Saturday at home vs Penn State. Minnesota is coming off a blowout loss to OSU. Normally that would fuel the fire for elite teams, but the struggling Gophers are just 4-10 ATS off a SU loss of 20+. With the home team 5-0 ATS in this series and the favorite 4-0 ATS, we'll go with the revenge minded Nittany Lions. |
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02-16-22 | Illinois v. Rutgers +4.5 | 59-70 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
Illinois/Rutgers 7:00: Rutgers took a 35-point beatdown in Illinois December 3rd. Rutgers worked through a sluggish two months but found their rhythm in February rustling off 3 straight wins over Top 25 competition dropping Michigan State, Ohio State and Wisconsin. Fortunately for the Scarlett Knights, they're not reliant on any one player. When Ron Harper Jr. is not on, someone else steps up. And 6'11" C Omoruyi, who has elevated his game this month, is very eager to compete against All-American Cockburn. Rutgers defense is pesky and force teams into ugly shooting performances. Rutgers sports a 6-1-1 ATS at home vs a team with a road winning % above .600. Fighting Illini 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road tilts. With the home team at 4-0 ATS in this series, defensively stifling Rutgers is the call. |
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02-16-22 | St. John's +8 v. Xavier | 86-73 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-15-22 | Texas v. Oklahoma +1.5 | 80-78 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
Texas/Oklahoma 7:00: The dog sports a 16-5 mark in this series and the hungry dog tonight is Oklahoma. The Sooners are coming off a hard fought 71-69 loss at Kansas on Saturday. They're eager to not only avenge their 66-52 loss in Austin January 11th. On the other hand, Texas is coming off an 80-63 beatdown at Baylor on Saturday. Their offense, like Oklahoma's, is challenged. Texas relies on their #2 defense which allows just 56.8 PPG to lockdown opponents: however, on the road, the Longhorns give up 69.6 PPG. Oklahoma defense is very well disciplined under Moser as well - allowing just 59.1 PPG at home. Groves and heating up Goldwire should help deliver the goods tonight. TX just 3-8-1 ATS off a SU loss and 2-6 ATS on the road vs a team with a home winning % above .600. We'll look for the Sooners to exact revenge tonight. |
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02-15-22 | VCU -8.5 v. Fordham | 66-61 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
02-15-22 | Iona v. St. Peter's +4.5 | 70-61 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
02-14-22 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas -10.5 | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State/Kansas 9:00: Underachieving performance win for the Jayhawks at home vs Oklahoma on Saturday. This time of year, those lackluster Jayhawks' wins usually result in increased production the following game. Meanwhile, Cowboys coming off a blowout win at home vs West Virginia. Not a good spot for the Cowboys; after all, they're 1-6 ATS off a SU win, and 3-8 ATS after a SU win of 20+. Jayhawks have beaten Okie State in Kansas by 10 or more points 4 straight times. Cowboys have matchup problems vs Kansas as exhibited January 4th with Braun, Agbaji and McCormack all scoring 15+ in a 74-63 road win. Kansas should roll at home tonight. |
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02-13-22 | Connecticut v. St. John's +3.5 | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-12-22 | Hofstra v. Delaware +1.5 | 80-66 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
Hofstra/Delaware 6:30: Home team in this series is 5-0 ATS. Delaware is looking to avenge 82-77 loss at Hofstra back on January 15th. Delaware has a potent inside out combo with 6'10" Painter and Jameer Nelson Jr. Pride vulnerable covering the perimeter allowing 36.4% and the Blue Hens have some accurate 3 point bombers. Delaware 5-2 ATS as a dog and we'll roll with them. |
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02-12-22 | Ohio State +2.5 v. Michigan | 68-57 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
OSU/Michigan 6:00: Michigan coming off huge home win over Purdue and due for a letdown here. OSU plays Michigan tough in Michigan where they're 3-1 ATS. OSU is coming off loss at Rutgers where they squandered a lead down the stretch. Look for OSU, with an extra prep day, to maintain focus tonight. Liddell and Branham a dangerous duo in a more rhythmic offense than Michigan possesses. Wolves do not play the favorite role well at 1-5 ATS. Grab the Buckeyes. |
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02-12-22 | Syracuse +9 v. Virginia Tech | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Syracuse/Virginia Tech 6:00: Both of these teams playing well. Unfortunately, Syracuse lost their big man Jesse Edwards (wrist) in their win over BC. But no need to worry. Value added to the Orange in this line. HC Boeheim has a history of losing streaks and also big runs. The Orange are in the midst of a good run as his zone defense is starting to gel and the offensive flow is smooth. He has a few options - he can add minutes with 6'10" Anselem who is productive off the bench, or he can go small to add to the dangerous perimeter game with his son - Buddy and Girard. 6'9" Cole Swider has been a solid mainstay in the post. Not completely sold on VT. They're 1-5 ATS on Saturdays and 1-5 ATS vs teams above .500. Syracuse the call. |
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02-12-22 | Marquette -3 v. Butler | 79-85 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
Marquette/Butler 4:30: Marquette on an 8-2 SU/9-1 ATS run. They're coming off a tough road loss to U Conn where the long and athletic Huskies outmuscled them on the boards. Golden Eagles have now lost the rebound battle in 3 of last 4 road games. And Marquette has scored less than 45% in 4 of their last 7 games. However, Butler is offensively challenged and not a strong rebounding team nor a good scoring team (62.4 PPG). And Butler's leading scorer - Chuck Harris - struggling to manufacture points scoring less than 7 points in 3 of last 4 games. Look for Golden Eagles' HC Smart to step up their defensive game while running a smoother offense tonight. Golden Eagles 7-3 ATS off a SU loss and they've covered 5 of the last 6 in this series. Marquette the call. |
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02-11-22 | Detroit +1.5 v. Youngstown State | 69-82 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Detroit/YSU 7:00: This series has gone to the dog and the road team at 13-3 ATS. Detroit has either won or kept it tight with YSU over the last several years. The Titans possess a formidable duo in playmaking G Antoine Davis and the inside presence of F Akec. Titans lead the Horizon in 3-point shooting % (37%). They maintain composure on the road and present a big challenge to YSU. Take Detroit. |
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02-10-22 | Duke -6.5 v. Clemson | 82-64 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
Duke/Clemson 8:00: Duke is coming off an underachieving performance loss as an 11-point home favorite at Cameron vs Virginia. Coach K has made a career bouncing back off losses, including 4-0 ATS this season in that role. We'll look for the Duke team that showed up at UNC February 5th. Fr Banchero coming off a season low (9 points) vs Cavs, he'll need to step up and should. Clemson, which is offensively challenged down the stretch in games, won't have 6'8" Hunter Tyson's double digit scoring and 5.6 RPG; after all, he's recovering from broken clavicle. Duke gave up an amazing 52 points in the paint vs Virginia. Coach K will surely stress limiting Clemson's low post production and Duke should dominate the glass. It's the Duke way. We'll lay the points on the road with Duke. |
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02-09-22 | Georgia +14.5 v. Florida | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
Georgia/Florida 6:30: Georgia is the bottom feeder of the SEC while Florida is tied for 5th in the conference. We get pretty good value with them this time of year. Florida on a satisfying 3-0 run completing a regular season sweep over Missouri in OT. Georgia starting to get competitive on a 3-1 ATS run, including an outright upset at home vs Alabama on the 25th and missing out on monumental upset over then #1 Auburn by a last second half court miss. A moral victory for the Bulldogs as they go into this one with confidence. With the road team 10-1 ATS in this series, we'll take the generous number of points. |
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02-08-22 | Oklahoma State v. TCU -3 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State/TCU 7:00: Cowboys coming off huge win over intra-state rival Oklahoma on Saturday. Meanwhile, TCU off an underachieving performance at home vs KSU. Jamie Dixon should have his Horned Frogs fired up for this one; after all, they're looking to avenge January 19th one point road loss. Cowboys just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road tilts. We'll lay the trey with TCU. |
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02-08-22 | Marquette +7 v. Connecticut | 72-80 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
Marquette/U Conn 6:30: Golden Eagles gelled with a blend of portal transfers and jucos. HC Smart is doing a solid job playing to their strengths; as a result, they're on a 9-0 ATS run. They're looking to avenge the December 21st loss at home. That was during a rough 4 game stretch from Dec 11th through January 1st. Marquette has gotten it together since and should continue to be competitive here catching U Conn on an 0-3 ATS / 1-3 SU slide. With Marquette 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and the road team 7-2 ATS in this series, Marquette the call. |
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02-07-22 | Kansas +1.5 v. Texas | 76-79 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
Kansas/Texas 9:00: Two coaching heavyweights go at it tonight: Self vs Beard. We'll give the edge to Bill Self's Jayhawks which are a bit ahead of the curve at this time of season. Beard has shaped his team into the fierce defensive stop unit he was accustomed to doing while at Texas Tech. Only problem is that Longhorns foul a bit too much - 206th nationally sending opposition to free throw line. Consequently, Kansas should be in an attacking mode to the rim tonight. Texas is at its best when they can control pace of game and choke teams out with stifling defensive pressure; after all, they're 17-0 SU when holding opponents to 60 points or less. Kansas has a Top 20 offense. Agbaji, Braun and Wilson starting to find a nice rhythm this time of year and difficult to contain for 40 minutes. On the other hand, Kansas defense looked good the last two games and I don't see a letdown tonight. Kansas protecting the ball well and have good veteran floor leadership. Texas offense, 68.2 PPG - 256th nationally, can be painfully stagnant at times. Jayhawks 14-6 ATS on the road vs a team with a home winning % above .600. We'll grab the Jayhawks here. |
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02-06-22 | Houston -6 v. Cincinnati | 80-58 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
Houston/Cincinnati 6:00: Bearcats remain a decent defensive team under HC Miller but lack rhythm offensively, especially down stretch of close, competitive games. Bearcats just 3-9 ATS at home vs teams with a winning % above .600. Houston Cougars well balanced under HC Sampson. They'll lock you down (#1 defense in FG%) and have good flow to their offense despite season ending injuries to their stars Sasser and Mark. Houston has covered 8 of last 9 in this series and I'm not jumping off board here. Cougars 18-7 ATS on Sundays, and 8-3 ATS vs teams with a home winning % above.600. Houston the call. |
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02-06-22 | Providence -6.5 v. Georgetown | 71-52 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Providence/Georgetown Noon: These two teams played a few weeks ago and Georgetown had their full arsenal as sharp shooters Carey and Rice combined for 10 of 16 from 3-point range while Mohammed and Harris chipped in 12 and 8, respectively. And they had the Friars trying to get their legs back after an extended layoff. The Hoyas lost as usual but barely snuck inside the generous number. So, the Hoyas are not devoid of talent. Devoid of coaching - Ewing - yes! They're in the bottom of the nation defensively, as exhibited Thursday at home vs mediocre St. John's which lit them up for 90 points! Hoyas 9-21 ATS off a double-digit loss at home. Well coached Friars, 6-1 ATS on road, should stay hot as overachievers and sweep the season series. |
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02-05-22 | SMU +2 v. Wichita State | Top | 57-72 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
SMU/Wichita State 6:00: Wichita State has maintained a solid defense under Isaac Brown but no longer a functional offensive team like they had with Gregg Marshall. There are no playmakers down the stretch to go to and the offense is sometimes painful to watch vs good competition. With a FG% under 40%, the Shockers will have trouble late in this game sealing the deal. SMU is well guided under Jankovich who has four double digit scorers including the Weathers' brothers, Bandoumel and Davis. Road team has the edge in this series and the dog is 4-0-1. Shockers just 5-13 ATS as road chalk. With SMU covering 5 of their last 6 on the road, we'll grab the bucket with the Mustangs. |
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02-05-22 | Notre Dame +1.5 v. NC State | 69-57 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
ND/NC State 3:00: Notre Dame starting to heat up on an 8-2 ATS run. They came off a devastating loss to Duke and went into Miami to pull the upset Wednesday. This veteran Irish team should maintain focus and follow up strong at NC State to complete the season sweep; after all, NC State's front line is thin and they're struggling defensively. ND maintains their offensive consistency on the road and should deliver. |
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02-05-22 | East Carolina v. Tulane -7.5 | 66-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
East Carolina/Tulane 2:00: After Mike Dunleavy nearly killed the Tulane basketball program, Ron Hunter is bringing it back to respectability this season. Tulane has a chance to get to .500 with a win here and we'll grab them. The Green Wave is coming off a competitive loss to Top 10 ranked Houston. They're looking to avenge January 5th 88-80 OT loss at ECU. The Pirates play well at home but a money burning 9-21 ATS on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Pirates on the road, average a pitiful 59 PPG but give up 77 PPG. Roll with the Green Wave! |
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02-05-22 | Tennessee v. South Carolina +7.5 | 81-57 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Tennessee/South Carolina 1:00: Tennessee coming off a shootout win at home vs TX A&M now goes to South Carolina to scrum in out with the more methodical Gamecocks. Volunteers worked the Gamecocks in Tennessee on January 11th 66-46. SC couldn't stop Garrison Brooks and the Volunteers which out-boarded SC 41-24. That didn't settle well with the fury SC HC Frank Martin. Look for a much more competitive game here. Gamecocks 8-3 ATS at home and much better shooters in their building. Tennessee not the prolific scoring team on the road that they are at home; as a matter of fact, Vol's score 67 PPG on the road and a shaky 28% from 3 point range. Home team 5-0 SU in this series. Look for Gamecocks to exact revenge here. |
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02-04-22 | Creighton +6.5 v. Seton Hall | 55-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
Creighton/Seton Hall 7:00: Creighton coming off a big win at U Conn to break a two-game slide. We'll look for the Blue Jays to follow up with a solid outing here. Seton Hall not playing their best ball now on a 3-7 ATS slide. Pirates are coming off a win at Georgetown but that's not a ringing endorsement knowing that the Hoyas are the bottom feeder of the Big East. Much to the chagrin of HC McDermott, the Blue Jays don't have the 3 point marksmanship they're accustomed to having in their history; however, Hawkins led the Blue Jays to 41% from trey land on Tuesday. Seton Hall struggling to close out games now and vulnerable here. Creighton's covered 4 straight in this series and they're 6-2 ATS vs teams with a winning % above .600. The young Blue Jays have grown up fast and have some good road wins this season. We'll look for them to cover here. |
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02-04-22 | Miami-OH v. Akron -7 | 55-66 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
Miami Oh/Akron 6:30: Akron's covered 4 of the last 5 in this series. They're coming off a competitive loss at Toledo - class of the MAC. Akron was stone cold from 3 point land at Toledo shooting 28%. Zips back on their home floor hit 37% at Rhodes Arena. Miami OH has been soft on the defensive end as a traveler allowing 78 PPG and 39% from 3 point land. And Miami Ohio's F Delonte Brown sprained his ankle a minute into Tuesday's game at home vs Kent State. Chances are he'll be limited here if he does go. Miami OH on a 1-11 slide and 3-12-1 ATS off a loss is live bait for the Zips tonight. |
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02-03-22 | St. John's v. Georgetown +5.5 | 90-77 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
St. John's/Georgetown 6:00: Georgetown has lost nine straight games. They're hanging in games but failing to close. St. John's has similar issues but did beat the Hoyas handily January 16th at MSG. However, the Hoyas didn't have their best shooter - Donald Carey in that one. Carey is back in the fold and the struggling Hoyas overdue to be ultra-competitive; after all, they do have talent. Hoyas are 10-3 ATS at home vs a team with a losing road record. The underachieving Red Storm are on a money burning 5-12 ATS slide and do not play well on Thursdays (5-17 ATS). With the home team 14-6-1 ATS in this series, we'll look for the vengeful Hoyas to deliver tonight. |
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02-02-22 | Georgia Tech +10.5 v. Virginia Tech | 66-81 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech/Virginia Tech 9:00: Georgia Tech gives the Hokies trouble. They've covered 4 straight in this series including an outright 69-53 at Virginia Tech. GT HC Pastner doesn't have a whole lot of talent but makes the best of it. And pretty good spot for the Engineers. They're coming off a home loss to Miami. GT is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 road games following 3+ home games. They've covered 8 of their last 10 on the road and a sweet 40-17-1 ATS on Wednesday. VT finally got on the winning track with a satisfying win at Florida State. With the road team at 5-2 ATS and the dog at 6-2 ATS in this series, my money is on Georgia Tech. |
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02-01-22 | Seton Hall v. Georgetown +7.5 | 70-63 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
Seton Hall/Georgetown 8:30: Two struggling Big East teams trying to get in the win column. Seton Hall has fallen on hard times lately going 3-6 SU/2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. Just bad shooting slump. As for Georgetown, they've lost 8 straight games but did cover 3 of their last 4. Their defense is not good but do have some dangerous 3 point shooters with Carey and Haris. And go-to-guy Mohammed can score from all points of floor. With the home team in this series at 8-2 ATS, we'll look for Georgetown to hang around and deliver. |
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02-01-22 | Texas A&M +11.5 v. Tennessee | 80-90 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
TX A&M/Tennessee 7:00: Aggies getting good value here. Sure, they've lost 4 straight but went 3-1 ATS in the process. Buzz Williams' bunch has comparable skill to Tennessee and actually do well at this venue where they've won and covered 3 of the last 4. A&M shot poorly at home vs SC but played well in their last 2 conference road tilts - taking Arkansas to OT and easily covering at LSU. With the road team at 5-1 ATS in this series, we'll grab the double digits with A&M. |
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02-01-22 | Michigan State -4 v. Maryland | 65-63 | Loss | -104 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Maryland 7:00: Michigan State on the surge covering 3 straight after an impressive blowout of intra-state rival Michigan. They've covered 6 straight road games. They're now set on atoning for last year's losing efforts at MD and in the Big Ten Conference Tournament. The Spartans are getting good work off their bench which is creating a deep and dangerous team for Izzo. MD still can't garner momentum under interim HC Manning. They're coming off a home loss to Indiana. We'll look for Michigan State to deliver. |
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02-01-22 | Boston College v. Virginia -8.5 | 55-67 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
Boston College/Virginia 6:00: Boston College occasionally shows flashes of success; for example, they're coming off a good win at home vs Pittsburgh on Sunday. But they haven't shown that sustainability in their follow up game going 5-13 ATS off those SU wins. And they're now going on the road against a pissed off Virginia team coming off a close loss to ND on Saturday. BC hasn't had success at this venue, and this is the lowest amount of points Virginia will be laying in this series since 2013. Cavaliers very strong off losses recently at 5-0 ATS. Virginia struggles from perimeter but should find a way to the basket with BC giving up a generous 41% from the field (311th nationally). Virgina the call. |
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01-29-22 | Houston -6.5 v. UCF | 63-49 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
analysis to follow... |
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01-29-22 | Kansas State -1 v. Ole Miss | 56-67 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
analysis to follow.... |
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01-29-22 | Oklahoma +9.5 v. Auburn | Top | 68-86 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Oklahoma/Auburn 2:00: Auburn may be #1 but too many points to give to the dangerous Sooners. Oklahoma, led by the brilliant mind of Porter Moser, in a good spot to be extremely competitive here. The Sooners are coming off a strong win at West Virginia, which is a tough venue to play at. The Sooners have already knocked off 3 Top 15 teams this season, including two SEC opponents Arkansas and Florida; as a matter of fact, Oklahoma is now a perfect 9-0 SU vs the SEC. Auburn, declared #1 before Missouri game, got overconfident and almost lost on Tuesday at lightweight Missouri as a 12' point favorite. Top player Jabari Smith went a miserable 2 of 15 recording just 5 points in the narrow win. Moser's vaunted defense will find a way to keep Smith and company from running away with this one. Oklahoma a sweet 16-5 ATS as a dog should give Auburn a run for the money here. |
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01-28-22 | Ohio +3.5 v. Buffalo | 74-53 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
Ohio/Buffalo 7:00: Away team in this series is 4-1 ATS and we're on Ohio U. Bobcats were on a nice roll until they ran into the class of the MAC last Friday vs Toledo. I jumped all over Toledo and the "over" on that in our parlay winner. Tonight, I'm getting back on Ohio U. Bobcats a better team here with a heating up Sears who is the facilitator of the offense. When he's on Vander Plas and Carter play so much better. Bobcats have covered 10 of their last 14 road games while Bulls 0-4 ATS at home vs a road team with a winning road % above .600. Take Ohio U and the points |
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01-27-22 | Purdue v. Iowa +2.5 | 83-73 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
Purdue/Iowa 9:00: Home team in this series is 16-6 ATS. Iowa lost earlier this season (Dec 3rd) in a competitive 77-70 loss as a 14' dog. We'll look for the Hawkeyes, which are 11-1 SU at home, to deliver tonight. Purdue is loaded with talent, including leading scorer Jaden Ivey who is struggling with a hip pointer, and big men Edey and Williams. But Iowa has the athletes to compete and McCaffery can coach them up in a revenge mode. Iowa gets the offense rolling on this floor and should deliver. Purdue has had trouble covering on the road (1-4 ATS) especially vs home teams with a home winning % above .600 at 1-4 ATS. We'll grab the points at home with Iowa. |
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01-27-22 | Ohio State v. Minnesota +7 | 75-64 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
OSU/Minnesota 8:00: Gophers delivered the goods Saturday against Rutgers despite playing without three key starters. Loewe, Thompson, and Payton Willis who dropped 32 points including eight 3 pointers filled the void. Tonight, we're staying with the Golden Gophers at home where they've covered 3 of the last 4 vs the Buckeyes. Buckeyes are coming off a blowout of non-conference lightweight IUPUI but haven't played in 11 days (Covid postponements). Moreover, they've struggled covering in the Big 10 going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Minnesota a feisty bunch that plays well on Thursdays (10-4 ATS). With the home team covering 10 of the last 14 in this series, we'll look for the Golden Gophers to cover their fifth straight in this series. |
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01-26-22 | Texas A&M +8.5 v. LSU | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
Texas A&M/LSU 9:00: Both teams coming off losses. A&M lost two straight while LSU dropped three in a row. Tigers go to guy Pinson (knee) missed the last 4 games and leading scorer Days is struggling with a bad ankle. Meanwhile, Buzz Williams' team staying competitive and should be pumped to get back on track; after all, A&M 5-1 ATS off a SU loss. Aggies now getting key contributions from freshman Taylor IV who dropped 25 on Arkansas on Saturday. He can help alleviate pressure on leading scorer Jackson. LSU has owned this series at 6-1 ATS but A&M on track to cover tonight. |
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01-25-22 | Texas v. TCU +3 | 73-50 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
Texas/TCU 9:00: TCU on a sweet 8-1 ATS run and we'll ride them here. Jamie Dixon has assembled his best team in years and they're playing well together, especially defensively. O'Bannon Jr. leads a disruptive, opportunistic bunch that's creating turnovers and making buckets in transition. Texas is vulnerable to turnovers and despite being well coached on the defensive end by Beard, they're not quite that offensive team that can close out games. Texas 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Longhorns have covered 5 straight in this series but TCU should finally deliver here. |
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01-25-22 | Michigan State +5.5 v. Illinois | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Illinois 7:00: Illinois dependent on 7" Cockburn. When he's on, Illinois is tough to stop. MD, a lightweight in the Big 10, took advantage of his absence on Friday. Cockburn is back tonight, but the Spartans have the big, long bodies to contain him. Izzo should adjust his defense down to the lower block to help disrupt him around the basket. Spartans got their wake up call January 15th in home loss to Northwestern. Spartans came back strong off that with double-digit win at Wisconsin. Look for momentum to carry over here. Spartans 5-0 ATS on the road against teams above .600. Spartans 7-3 ATS on Tuesdays. Illini, on the other hand, just 1-4 ATS vs teams with road winning % above .600. Grab the points with the surging Spartans. |
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01-24-22 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina -5.5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech/North Carolina 8:00: Both of these teams coming off losses. VT got beat on the road vs ACC lightweight Boston College. Meanwhile, NC got blown out in their last 2 games, both on the road to Miami and Georgia Tech. Look for UNC's fortune to change tonight; after all, they do their best work at home (9-0 SU) where they've covered 4 straight easily. Hokies are offensively challenged (69 PPG) but play strong defense (16th ranked in nation). Unfortunately for the Hokies, they won't be able to shuttle in enough bodies to effectively counter the up-tempo Tar Heels on this strong floor. UNC's offense gets rolling on this floor and hopefully Bacot (tail bone), who drops nearly 17 PPG and a strong rebounder, is good to go. He's questionable as of now. Nevertheless, like the value with UNC. Holies a money burning 3-13 ATS on the road vs teams with a winning home record and just 1-5 ATS on the road vs a team with a home winning % above .600. UNC the call. |
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01-23-22 | Xavier v. Marquette +2 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Xavier/Marquette 2:00: Marquette running hot and we're riding them again. The Golden Eagles have now whipped four Top 25 teams and on a 5-game win streak under HC Smart. Playmaker Justin Lewis is hitting the mark and getting great support from starters including the bench. Xavier is dealing with some injuries with Edwards and Miles. We'll look for the Golden Eagles to avenge their December 18th loss and deliver here. |
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01-22-22 | Rutgers v. Minnesota -1.5 | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-21-22 | Toledo +5 v. Ohio | 87-69 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
Toledo/Ohio 6:00: The class of the MAC meet tonight. Value with the Rockets which sport a sweet 12-4-1 ATS mark for the season. Coach Massey has the talent to hang with the lead dog of the MAC. Toledo has 4 starters who average double digits and can hang with most mid-major conference teams. Toledo is a better defensive team and rebounding team. No question, Ohio U can light it up, but Toledo is more than capable of hanging around. Rockets 6-1 ATS on Fridays and covered 6 of last 7 road tilts. The road team in this series is 8-2 ATS and the dog is 7-2 ATS. Rockets the call. |
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01-20-22 | Georgetown +11.5 v. Providence | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
Georgetown/Providence 5:00: Providence has a solid team this year under Cooley with 4 grad transfers and lots of talent; however, they've been idle since January 8th after 3 straight postponements. Meanwhile, Georgetown had their long layoff last month with before dropping 3 straight games. They're on an 0-4 SU/ATS slide and in a desperation mode. Ewing has some talent including a few 3 point marksmen including Donald Carey (47.3% from treyland) who will be back tonight. He missed the last 3 games. Carey can surely help take pressure off Harris, Rice and add to free up leading scorer Mohammed. Dog in this series is 9-3 ATS and we got some value with the Hoyas as the Friars attempt to get their legs back and try to restart after a red-hot run. Georgetown the call. |
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01-19-22 | TCU +5.5 v. Oklahoma State | 56-57 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
TCU/Oklahoma State 8:00: Okie State coming off huge win over #5 Baylor. I'm going to look for a letdown here vs a more the more TCU Horned Frogs. TCU is coming off a big win themselves over a strong Oklahoma team. TCU, the more consistent team, on a 6-1 ATS tear. Horned Frogs' HC Dixon has a strong resume as a winner in the regular season going back to his days at Pittsburgh. His teams were strong on the boards and very good defensively. This TCU team resembles those old Pittsburgh teams. Okie State has some big wins but not consistent and just 1-6 ATS on Wednesdays, 1-4 ATS at home. With TCU on the road vs teams with a home winning % above .600, we'll take the points with TCU. |
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01-18-22 | North Carolina v. Miami-FL +2.5 | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-18-22 | Baylor v. West Virginia +6.5 | 77-68 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
Baylor/West Virginia 5:00: Both teams coming off losses. Baylor in a bit more decline off two straight home losses. The #6 ranked Bears, which play really well on the road, earned the right to be a road favorite but a bit overvalued here considering the circumstances. WV sports a perfect 10-0 SU mark at their strong home venue albeit not a strong schedule. However, WV has held its own in this series the last few years on its home floor winning outright March 7, 2020 and taking Baylor to OT on March 2, 2021. The Mounties still have a big piece of that team in place with McNeil, Bridges and Sherman. They no longer have McBride and Culver but Huggins added Malik Curry to fill the void. The Bears, however, came out of their loss to Okie State banged up a bit with Akinjo (glute) and F Sochon (ankle) questionable. WV is aggressive defensively on their home floor and will surely target Flagler who made a few key turnover errors late vs Oklahoma State. WV, 5-1 ATS off an ATS loss, will be fired up to gain ground in the Big 12 and boost resume for Big Dance with a huge win opportunity over the #5 team in the nation which is vulnerable here. Bears just 3-7 ATS off a SU loss and 1-4 ATS on Tuesdays. West Virginia the call. |
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01-17-22 | Purdue v. Illinois -1.5 | 96-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Purdue/Illinois Noon: Purdue was red hot early in the season but has cooled down recently on a 2-7 ATS slide including losing outright at Rutgers and at home to Wisconsin. Sure Boilermakers' Williams and Edey are beasts inside and Stefanovic and Ivey are great on the perimeter; however, Illinois' Cockburn a major problem for teams in the low post and the Fighting Illini have a host of dangerous perimeter shooters (Plummer, Frasier, Grandison). I do like Illinois defensive intensity and their ability to handle the ball a bit better than their counterpart. With the home team 6-1-1 ATS in this series, we'll ride Illinois here. |
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01-15-22 | Alabama v. Mississippi State -1 | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-14-22 | Akron +1.5 v. Kent State | 55-67 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
Akron/Kent State 8:00: Zips on a pretty good 6-2 ATS run since November 24th. Defensively, they're 41st in the nation allowing 62.5 PPG. And remember, Zips took Ohio State to the buzzer in Columbus. This game is a 25-minute bus ride to Franklin Township against their hated rival. Kent State, 1-6 ATS slide, sports a sluggish offense ranked 245th in the nation. The Zips are simply a better team offensively, on the boards and defensively. Zips getting consistently great work from F Ali Ali who's been strong on the boards and a big boost offensively. Zips have won 3 straight in this series and I expect a 4th tonight. Akron the call. |
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01-13-22 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin -2.5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
Ohio State/Wisconsin 7:00: Big revenge game for Wisconsin. Back on December 11th, the Buckeyes throttled the Badgers 73-55 in Ohio. Badgers couldn't stop 6'7" F Liddell who dropped 28 on them. Badgers haven't lost since, going on a 6-0 SU/3-2 ATS run. On paper, Badgers' numbers don't look good but they're great at making needed adjustments in matchups; for example, locked down Indiana, beat Purdue -class of the Big 10- on the road as Jonathan Davis went off for 37, and outscored the prolific offensive machine of Iowa 87-78 with 5 Badgers scoring double digits. The Badgers are coming off winning and covering at Maryland while the Buckeyes are coming off a satisfying win over Northwestern. Buckeyes 2-5 ATS off SU win and 0-4 ATS on Thursdays. With the favorite at 14-6 ATS in this series, we'll look for the rolling, vengeful Badgers to deliver on their strong home floor. |
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01-12-22 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -12.5 | 69-71 | Loss | -103 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-11-22 | Miami-FL +6.5 v. Florida State | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
Miami-Fla/Florida State 8:00: Miami Florida stewing over lack of respect after Saturday's upset on the road over then #2 Duke. Larranaga finally has a solid team of shooters and a great facilitator in Charlie Moore. Meanwhile, Florida State handed Louisville its first ACC loss. Florida State going into this one knowing they've knocked off Miami-Florida seven straight times. Florida State 0-4 ATS off SU wins this year. I don't see Miami-Florida with a letdown for they're hungry to beat their intra-state rival after a long drought. Look for Final-4 Coach Larranaga to keep his boys focused. Canes 7-3 ATS on the road vs a home team with a winning % above .600. Miami U the call. |
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01-08-22 | Kansas State v. West Virginia -7.5 | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Kansas State/West Virginia 2:00: K State struggling with Covid off 2 straight losses and still not at full strength including their bench leader - Webber (out). Jermaine Henderson fills in vs an angry Bob Huggins who's coming off a loss to Texas on the first and then a postponement vs TCU. Fortunately for WV, they're back at full strength including go-to-guy Taz Sherman. WV strong on their home floor should deliver the goods and then some vs a shell team of K-State. |
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01-08-22 | Texas -3.5 v. Oklahoma State | 51-64 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Texas/Oklahoma State 2:00: Didn't take long for Chris Beard to steer Texas on to the winning road. Already 2-0 in conference play and like their chances here. Okie State, which is no longer equipped with Cade Cunningham (NBA), suffered their 4th home loss on Tuesday. Like the poise the Longhorns have in their backcourt with Carr and Ramey. They're operating at a +7 turnover margin and road savvy. Texas delivers. |
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01-08-22 | Virginia +6 v. North Carolina | 58-74 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Virginia/North Carolina 1:00: Virginia has owned North Carolina - winning and covering seven straight. I still find value in Virginia today. North Carolina's first year HC Hubert Davis has talent but won't have 6'11" Garcia (10 PPG) and versatile 6'9" Manek (12.4 PPG) is a game time decision. The Tar Heels couldn't close out ND on the 5th and now going to lay 6 points to a team they haven't beaten since February 2017. Meanwhile, Tony Bennett's bunch is coming off 2 impressive conference road wins over Syracuse and Clemson. Moreover, they've had an extra day of prep. Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS on the road vs a team with a home win % above .700. Cavaliers have a veteran group led by Gardner and Franklin who are part of a group that can slow the Tar Heels down and work their methodical attack successfully. Take the points with the Cavaliers. |
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01-07-22 | Marquette -2 v. Georgetown | 92-64 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
Marquette/Georgetown 6:30: Georgetown has been idle for nearly 3 weeks due to Covid issues. Wednesday, was their first full practice in more than 2 weeks. Going to be hard to establish a rhythm and keep up with the frenetic pace that Shaka Smart will employ with his Golden Eagles. Marquette is coming off a blowout of Providence on Tuesday. Smart's blend of transfer talent Morsell (MD), Kuath (OK) and PG Kolek (George Mason) appear to be establishing a rhythm offensively. And their big man - Justin Lewis - adds a strong dimension to their inside game. GT does have some 3 point marksmen in Rice, Carey and dangerous Mohammed but Smart surely will shift defensive pressure to the perimeter. Eagles 4-1 ATS on the road vs home team with a home win % above .600. And they're 6-2 ATS on Fridays. Marquette, under Wojciechowski, had some success at Georgetown and under the new leadership of Smart, the Golden Eagles should deliver tonight. |
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01-06-22 | Ohio State v. Indiana -2 | 51-67 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
OSU/Indiana 7:00: Hoosiers were horrendous at Penn State on Sunday where they were a brick laying 4 of 17 from 3-point range, out-boarded yet still managed a narrow 3-point loss. Hoosiers now return home where they're 9-0. Indiana returned home successfully with a win in each of their last 2 road defeats this season. They're taking on an OSU team struggling defensively (198th nationally). Buckeyes had trouble getting their legs back at lightweight Nebraska where they needed OT to pull off a win. Prior to that, OSU was on an extended break (Dec 11th) after Covid issues occurred. We'll give the edge to the hungry Hoosiers here. Home team in this series is 6-1 ATS. Indiana the call. |
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01-05-22 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State -2.5 | 47-51 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow..... |
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12-10-21 | Murray State +11.5 v. Memphis | 74-72 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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12-07-21 | Butler v. Oklahoma -11 | 66-62 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
Butler/Oklahoma 9:00: Butler sports a respectable 5-3 SU mark on the surface but all wins come against lightweight teams. When they managed to step up in competition, the Bulldogs fell flat dropping to Michigan State, Houston and Texas A&M. The 1-5 ATS Bulldogs now have to travel to their first true road game with one of their top playmakers - Bryce Nye (torn labrum) most likely out. Offensively challenged Butler averaging just 64.6 PPG (306th nationally) will have difficulty manufacturing points vs Porter Moser's well-disciplined bunch. Moser, who had lock-down teams while at Loyola University Chicago, still driving his men to improve on the defensive end despite allowing only one team to shoot better than 37% this season. Butler likes to shoot from the perimeter but Oklahoma allows just 26.5% from the perimeter. Duke transfer Goldwire working well at the point and 6'10" Tanner Groves should be too much for the Bulldogs tonight. Oklahoma the call. |
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11-30-21 | Duke -2.5 v. Ohio State | 66-71 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Duke/Ohio State 9:30: There's always a chance of a letdown by a team after a huge win; after all, Duke took out top ranked Gonzaga in Las Vegas on Friday 84-81 to surge to #1. OSU will surely be hungry to knock them off but unlikely. Coach K, in his final season, will have his guys even keeled and well prepared. He's got a great mix of experienced talent including captain - Wendell Moore Jr., Roach and Williams to blend with super freshman - Banchero. And the Blue Devils are far more disciplined on both sides of the floor at this stage; for example, Duke is 2nd in the nation in fouls per possession while OSU ranks 234th; moreover, Buckeyes turned the ball over 17 times resulting in 23 points vs Florida. Duke forced #1 Gonzaga into 17 turnovers on Friday. Duke is 21st in nation in forcing turnovers. And the crowd surely won't sway Duke. They delivered on Friday in front of 20,400! We'll grab the Blue Devils. |
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04-05-21 | Baylor +4.5 v. Gonzaga | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
Baylor/Gonzaga 9:20: Baylor is coming off a dominating clinic on both ends of the floor against a very good Houston team; meanwhile, Gonzaga escaped in OT in what will be remembered as one of the great, if not the greatest, Final Four games ever. The emotional turnaround may be a bit hard to bounce back from for the Bulldogs after that epic clash. It was an old school 15 round slugfest with plenty of haymakers. Suggs, Timme, Kispert are prime timers and surely will show up tonight; however, anything after that huge win is anticlimactic. Surely, Coach Few is capable of flipping the script with laser focus on Baylor; however, the deep Baylor Bears should be a bit more fresh after their demolition of Houston. Baylor might be a bit undersized against Timme down low but has a few big bodies to throw at him with Thamba and Mayer. And I realize Suggs is a big time performer but Defensive Player of the Year - Davion Mitchell - can harass him enough to disrupt the Zags' rhythm a bit. And keep in mind that the Bears are the #1 three point shooting team in the nation at a ridiculous 43% clip. Bears have the defensive rhythm established and their offense is back to what it was earlier this season on their big run. We'll take the points with Baylor. |
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04-03-21 | UCLA v. Gonzaga -14 | 90-93 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 26 m | Show | |
UCLA/Gonzaga 8:34: UCLA would love to turn this into a grind it out affair like they did against Michigan. Juzang was amazing in the halfcourt; Campbell had his moments on switches and even toasted 7'1" Dickinson. And there was great supporting help; however, Gonzaga has proved to be another animal with immense talent that can turn it up on command. Timme and Suggs looked unstoppable and slipped it into another gear against a very good Trojans team. Gonzaga sports the #1 offense in the nation and no matter how Cronin draws it up, his hard working team won't be able to limit the talent of Gonzaga. Gonzaga has turned up defensive intensity, forcing turnovers and breaking to basket. Their finishing level is tops in the nation. We'll lay the wood with a laser focused Bulldogs team. |
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04-03-21 | Houston +5 v. Baylor | 59-78 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Houston/Baylor 5:14: Rode Baylor throughout this tourney but will grab the points here with Houston. Cougars are a stifling defensive team (#2 nationally) that force teams in to doing bad things. Sure, Baylor has +4 turnover margin in the NCAA Tournament and forced nearly 17; however, Houston manages the ball well and, although go into shooting slumps, can crash the boards with the best of them. And that is Baylor's weakness. They're 8th in the Big 12 in defensive rebounds and the lower tier nationally. If Houston can limit Baylor in offensive production, control the boards, and limit turnovers, Cougars can deliver. It was the prescription Kansas used to beat them February 27th and we'll look for savvy veteran Coach Sampson to employ a similar strategy. Take the points. |
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03-30-21 | UCLA v. Michigan -6.5 | 51-49 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
UCLA/Michigan 9:57: At first glance, UCLA, my choice vs Alabama, would be the call here; after all, they took down Michigan State in OT in the First Four. Proceeded to dispatch BYU and blasted ACU. Then found a way to hang with analysts favorite pick - Alabama before crushing them in OT. The fact of the matter is that Alabama couldn't make free throws. The Crimson Tide was a ridiculously bad 11 of 25 from the charity stripe which ultimately cost them the game. Meanwhile, Michigan beat up what many analysts agreed was the best Florida State team ever! And they did it without one of their stars - Livers (Out for season). Wolverines' floor leader Smith was phenomenal, Brown was strong off the bench while Austin Davis, Wagner, Dickinson working backdoor cuts and pick and roll to perfection. Can't see UCLA beating this tough and gritty team on the glass. And Michigan is knocking down their free throws at a 76% clip. We'll roll with Michigan again. |
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03-30-21 | USC +9 v. Gonzaga | Top | 66-85 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
USC/Gonzaga 7:15: Gonzaga is surely a talented team loaded with scorers. Kispert, Suggs, Timme and Ayayi can light it up on any given evening; however, the athletic Mobley brothers don't have to take a backseat to anybody. Evan has been a beast most of the season and his brother - Isaiah- elevated his game in the NCAA Tournament; moreover, Trojans getting great backcourt play from Eddy and White. PAC 12 continues to be a money maker in this tournament - a testament to how strong this conference is. For Gonzaga, they're toying with the lightweights for most of the regular season and it could cost them here. These PAC 12 teams are underrated in their defense and USC is one of those. The 64.1 PPG the Trojans allow - good for 38th in the nation - doesn't reflect how good defensively USC is. We'll take the points with the Trojans! |
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03-29-21 | Arkansas v. Baylor -7.5 | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
Arkansas/Baylor 9:57: Arkansas has been fortunate to come back from double-digits in a number of games including its 12 point second half deficit to Oral Roberts on Saturday. The Hogs utilized their size by going to the paint and cleaned up the glass on the smaller Golden Eagles in the second half. This time, however, the Hogs will have their work cut out for them vs the long, athletic Bears. Bears, the #1 three point shooting team in the nation (42.9%), had an extreme off day vs a very well coached and disciplined Villanova team. Bears shot a miserable 15.5% from beyond the arc yet won and covered! Coach Drew had the Bears attack the rim in the second half and despite a sluggish outing from leading scorer Jared Butler, Mitchell and Flagler elevated their game to deliver the goods. In addition, the Bears turned up the defensive intensity to force turnovers and get out and run. Baylor not only can ring up points (#3 in nation), they can lock down in critical moments defensively. Arkansas should have trouble finding their rhythm attacking the glass vs the swift Bears' defense. Baylor the call. |
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03-29-21 | Oregon State +8 v. Houston | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
Oregon State/Houston 7:15: Oregon State is having the most impressive run of the year. A team predicted to finish 12th in their league has beaten or avenged every loss in their conference, including USC, UCLA, Oregon! Given that the PAC 12 has established itself as the premier NCAA Tournament conference, that's impressive! Houston is pretty dominant itself and Sampson is an excellent teacher; however, the Cougars are expending tremendous energy each game to fight to stay alive; meanwhile, the Beavers displayed patience and a brilliant combination of zone/man defense to dismantle a very good Loyola-Chicago team. Now they face the #2 defense in the nation and I'm not betting against them. Oregon State's compiled a 6-0 ATS mark as a dog and 13-3-1 ATS vs teams above .500. Ethan Thompson is getting great support from clutch shooting of Lucas and the monster inside game of Alatishe. I'm grabbing the points. |
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03-28-21 | Oregon +2 v. USC | Top | 68-82 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
Oregon/USC 9:45: PAC 12 turning out to be the strongest conference in this tournament and both of these teams capable of being a Final Four team. And both head coaches are excellent tournament coaches; however, we'll roll with Oregon and Dana Altman. The Ducks were throttled by USC 72-58 in Southern California on February 22nd. The Ducks have avenged every conference loss (*only played WSU once this season) including Colorado and Oregon State. Ducks have a well balanced team and solid perimeter shooters (38%). Richardson, Figueroa are great in supporting leading scorer Duarte. And Rutgers transfer Omoruyi delivers the physicality they need. They'll need to be at their best for Evan Mobley is dangerous and his brother Isaiah is stepping up his game. We'll bet the Ducks deliver. They're 5-0 as a neutral court dog and 10-1 ATS as an NCAA Tournament dog! |
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03-28-21 | UCLA +6.5 v. Alabama | 88-78 | Win | 102 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
UCLA/Alabama 7:15: Good defensive teams that slowed down Alabama had success against them this season. Clemson, Missouri, Oklahoma instituted a winning formula in slowing down the Tide. UCLA's HC Cronin is a good defensive coach and surely will have his men slow down the Tide and force them to play from the half court to allow the Bruins to lock in defensively. Juzang and company have been a scrappy bunch - coming from double-digits behind in the First Four game vs Michigan State and easily dispatching BYU and ACU. UCLA a good momentum team under Cronin while Alabama a dud as an NCAA Tournament favorite 1-5 ATS. UCLA the call. |
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03-28-21 | Florida State v. Michigan -2 | 58-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
Florida State/Michigan 5:00: Despite the loss of Livers, I still like Michigan here. They still have what it takes to be a Final Four team. Brooks is stepping up his game to fill the void Livers left. Dickinson has been a beast in the paint all season, while Wagner and Smith and, at times - Brown, serve great in the supporting role on both ends of the court. Wolves with a strong 12-4-2 ATS mark as an NCAA Tournament favorite, and Juwan Howard should help continue to add to that strong trend. |
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03-28-21 | Creighton v. Gonzaga -13 | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Creighton/Gonzaga 2:10: Sure, pressure on Gonzaga - which is the overall favorite to win this tournament. And they've surely disappointed in previous NCAAs; however, not today. This Gonzaga team is the most talented ever. They drop nearly 93 PPG and should overwhelm a good but not great Creighton team. Bulldogs 5-1 ATS on a neutral floor and 2-0 SU/ATS in this series with double digit wins in 2017 and 2018. Gonzaga should be focused here and roll. |
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03-28-21 | Mississippi State +4 v. Memphis | 64-77 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Mississippi State/Memphis Noon: Like the value with the Bulldogs. Miss State - not a great shooting team but gelling under well schooled veteran tournament coach Ben Howland. Molinar and Stewart stepped up their game yesterday scoring 25 and 23 points, respectively. And they did it against a good LA Tech team. The Bulldogs, 4-1 ATS as a dog, are battle tested having three wins over NCAA Tournament teams - North Texas, Missouri and Florida. Memphis, which blew out a good Colorado State team yesterday, yet I'm still not sold. Tigers did have one win over a NCAA Tournament team - Wichita State; however, they failed twice to close out Elite 8 - Houston - not an easy task, but nevertheless not a closer. And getting a few buckets with the tough defense and strong rebounding Bulldogs which will try hard to slow this game down to a methodical half court game, we'll take. |
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03-27-21 | Oral Roberts v. Arkansas -11 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 20 m | Show |
Oral Roberts/Arkansas 7:25: No #15 seed has ever advanced to the Elite 8 and I don't see it happening here. These teams met earlier this season. Oral Roberts surprisingly jumped all over the Hogs before Justin Smith and Moody elevated their game significantly. The Hogs ended up dominating the glass to the tune of a 58-32 advantage. We'll look for Musselman to work a similar strategy in the low post but earlier this time. The Golden Eagles managed to cover the 19' point spread back on December 20th but now get a measly 11 points. Arkansas clearly the more talented team and should demonstrate that tonight. |
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03-27-21 | Villanova v. Baylor -7.5 | 51-62 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
Villanova/Baylor 5:15: Villanova doing a bang up job but now face a very talented and deep Bears team. Without Gillespie (season ending injury), Bears have the significant edge. Winthrop and North Texas are good teams the Wildcats dispatched but the Bears are a different animal. And Baylor is showing signs of elevated tournament basketball. Baylor the call. |
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03-27-21 | Oregon State +7 v. Loyola-Chicago | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 48 h 18 m | Show | |
Oregon State/Loyola-Chicago 2:40: Prior to the season, Oregon State was expected to finish last in the PAC 12 by most experts. Only Wayne Tinkle and his Beavers believed they could be a tournament team; consequently, Oregon State rolled to the Sweet 16 with an impressive 20-9 ATS mark! They're disrespected here vs Loyola-Chicago. Sure, the Ramblers rolled through #1 seed Illinois and Porter Moser will surely have his boys prepared for this matchup. Illinois Chicago's offense works through 6'9" Krutwig. He's a beast and his surrounding cast is unselfish and relentless; however, Oregon State plays is an underrated defensive team with an offense that is clicking in the post-season. Silva is an underrated center and Ethan Thompson is a consistent double-digit scorer with a good supporting cast. We'll take the points. |
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03-25-21 | Louisiana Tech v. Western Kentucky +1 | 72-65 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
Louisiana Tech/Western Kentucky 10:00: These teams played on January 8th and 9th with both teams splitting wins in tight games. Rick Stansberry, who coaches WKY, molded some really good Mississippi State teams from 1998 to 2012 in which he took the Bulldogs to 12 post-season trips including 5 NCAA Tournaments. He has a veteran group that's played together a few seasons now. 6'11" Bassey is a dominant big man with a solid group of perimeter shooters and a good floor leader in McKnight. Stansberry's prep should decide the winner here. Western Kentucky the call. |
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03-22-21 | Maryland v. Alabama -5.5 | 77-96 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-22-21 | Colorado +1.5 v. Florida State | 53-71 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-22-21 | LSU v. Michigan -4.5 | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-22-21 | Oregon +5.5 v. Iowa | Top | 95-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Oregon/Iowa 12:10: PAC 12 now undefeated in NCAA Tournament. Oregon is clearly a contender and a solid tournament team; as a matter of fact, Ducks 5-0-1 ATS last 6 in NCAAs. They're 13-3 ATS on a neutral floor and covered last 6 as a dog. Sure, the Ducks snuck in by virtue of default on VCU (Covid19). I'm sure well versed tournament coach Dana Altman made the best use of the Ducks extended time. The Ducks have some veteran players, including Rutgers transfer Omoruyi and Duarte. Also NCAA Tournament experience with G Richardson and St. John's transfer Figueroa. Sure Garza is a force and the Hawkeyes are offensively prolific; however, defensively, give up too many points and just 0-3-2 ATS on a neutral floor. We'll grab the points with the red hot PAC 12. |
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03-21-21 | North Texas v. Villanova -5 | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-21-21 | Rutgers v. Houston -8 | 60-63 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-21-21 | Wisconsin v. Baylor -6.5 | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Wisconsin/Baylor 2:40: Baylor just too potent for Wisconsin to stay with. Badgers' Davidson, who averages just around 9 PPG on the year, went off for 29 vs North Carolina. Highly unlikely he's on against Baylor. Badgers' Trice is the only consistent scorer for Wisconsin. Baylor, however, has a handful of players scoring double digits yet play solid defense too (allow 65.6 PPG). Baylor the call. |
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03-20-21 | Iona +17 v. Alabama | 55-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
Iona/Alabama 4:00: If any coach can do the impossible, Rick Pitino may be a guy to bet on. Pitino, who is taking his 5th different team to the NCAA Tournament, came off a Greek Cup Championship before taking his #9 Gaels to victory in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Championship for the automatic NCAA entry. He has some talent that can run the floor; after all, he'll need it against an athletic and talented Crimson Tide team. Gaels are 9-0-1 ATS when it scores more than 69.8 points in a game. They're 5-0-1 ATS on a neutral floor and 8-1 ATS as a dog. Given extra Pitino prep time, don't count the legendary coach out. We'll roll with Isaiah Ross and company and the points. |
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03-20-21 | UC-Santa Barbara +7.5 v. Creighton | Top | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
UCSB/Creighton 3:30: Gauchos another veteran tournament team with 3 seniors and 2 juniors including Big West Player of the Year - McLaughlin. Gauchos' HC Pasternack has his men playing great defense and running an efficient offense. They're 13-3 ATS vs teams above .500 and 5-1 ATS vs teams above .600. Blue Jays a disappointing 1-10-1 ATS in the NCAA Tournament and 1-5 ATS as an NCAA Tournament favorite. UCSB the call. |
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03-20-21 | St Bonaventure +2 v. LSU | Top | 61-76 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
Bonnies/Tigers 1:45: Bonnies a veteran team that's played together for years and finally reaping the rewards. St. Bonaventure won the Atlantic 10 regular season title and conference tournament title - first time ever in history of program. Mark Schmidt is an excellent coach and a solid tournament coach as evidenced by his 10-1 ATS mark on a neutral floor. Bonnies play great defense, rebound and take care of the ball well. They have solid perimeter shooters and Lofton and defensive stopper Osunniyi are a dangerous outside in combination. LSU can score but defensively flawed. And just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 NCAAs. |