Taking the SAINTS early. Should probably go ML for +150 the way we have cashed NFL. But we aren't greedy. We grind out day in, day out. I know NO has not looked good this year. I faded them Week 1. Backed them Week 2. And here we are again. Big edge for me is the Saints staff. We have seen this Atlanta offense sputter for over a year now with their play calling. Maybe Sark opens things up. Even if that is the case, NO has some horses of their own. We haven't really anything close to an 'A' game from New Orleans. Falcons a very good team, but I think they clipped here at home. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the REDSKINS. Faded these guys in Week 1. Was going to fade them in Week 2 but was worried about any hurricane remaining weather with dome Colts in town. But this is an easy play for me. One. I like Alex Smith. That guy is not going to do anything stupid to hurt you. Two. How about GB's first 2 games this season. A huge come from behind win over the Bears when Rodgers went out, then returned. Last week, they blow a lead. Had a bad call against them. Should have lost on FG. End up in a tie. How do they respond off 2 last second games like that. And hit the road for the first time this season. Plus, you see this line, some 2.5s even. You know just like me. You hear in your sleep, some uniformed troll saying how easy Packers are this week. Same line they said last week in Philly / Tampa game. home dog please. 4* Money Maker 

Taking the NINERS. Faded these guys Week 1 vs Minny and was sweating bullets before pulling out the cover. But Jimmy G can play. And this is a nice number to grab on SF as dogs. KC defense not exactly world beaters. Early line on this was 2, 2.5. Now we are 6.5 and 7. Niners as a dog will always be something I look for. Jimmy G 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in his brief career. Against a defense that gives up some points, I'll grab the dogs. 4* Money Maker SF NINERS 

Taking the RAVENS early. Catching Denver in their first road game of the year. 1-9 ATS and SU last 10 on the road. Coming cross country. Off a last second win over the Raiders. We have extra rest. Broncos in my eyes, paper tigers. I think the Ravens are the better team. Plain and simple. Coaching edge in our favor. Defense should be able to contain Keenum. Denver held off a bad Seattle team. They need a miracle comeback vs a Raiders team that in its first 2 games, seem to only show up for 1st halves. No such luck today. 10* Money Bomb BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Will grab ARIZONA STATE. Big dogs for sure. Faded Washington last week and couldn't cash. But the offense to me is still a bit of a question mark. I get the huge revenge angle for Washington. Arizona State has 12 straight covers with 11 straight-up wins vs Washington! What the heck is that? This is a big number, and ASU has played decent for Herm. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA STATE 

Taking LA TECH. So nice little spot to grab 3 TDs. LSU stole our soul last week as we backed Auburn. But off that huge upset, we get them in a bit of let-down spot. Nothing like a last second win and then a game vs a mid-major. Make no mistake though, this big brother/ little brother fight has huge implications for the dogs. How many of this kids grew up wanting to play for LSU? And they are at La Tech. Total disrespect card to be played along with huge dogs in an instate battle. Skip Holtz group should battle for their conference championship. I am still not sold on LSU even after that big road win. Down 21-10 last second FG to win on road. Ole Miss on deck. LSU should win, but I can't see them covering this number vs rested dog with a chip on their shoulder. 5* Best Bet 

Grabbing RICE and the points. Owls have covered 6 of the last 8. Off a bye (last played at Hawaii), while Southern Miss bye caused by Hurricane. Southern Miss is probably the better team based on Rice's 1-11 record last season. But sometimes you get a new coach and every thing changes. They have covered both games vs Houston and Hawaii putting points on the board. Against Houston, they put points up early. In Hawaii, it was late. That is where that long travel comes into play. But it also shows no quit. So we get an under-achieving Southern Miss team laying a pretty big number. Give me the hungrier team with something to prove. 5* Best Bet RICE OWLS 

Taking MARSHALL. Will sprinkle some +180 ML on this puppy also. I like the Herd team. A lot of starters back. Could battle for top spot in CUSA East and get into the Championship Game. Have to love a home dog vs Power 5 school. Also playing with revenge. NC State for me is a mid-pack ACC team. Wolfpack defense for me allows us to cover, and even get the outright win. 8* Sure Shot MARSHALL 

Taking TCU. I am tossing out Herman's great under dog record. Because Gary Patterson has absolutely owned Texas. 155-33. That isn't a typo. Last 4 games vs Texas, Horned Frogs 155-33. I think this line is a little short. Texas pulled out a big home win over SC. While TCU was undone vs Ohio State with some miscues. Well they take out that frustration on in-state rival and shows the State of Texas where the premier program is. 4* Money Maker TCU HORNED FROGS 

Taking VIRGINIA as our Top Play. Like this team. Like the coach. Clearly 2 programs going in opposite directions. Petrino at the 'Ville misses Lamar Jackson behind center. I just can't see them really keeping pace with the Cavs. Bronco Mendenhall will have the team focused in revenge mode. Too much offense as Virginia jumps out fast (last week 35-7 3 minutes to go in 2nd Q) and never looks back. 10* Money Bomb VIRGINIA CAVALIERS 

Taking IOWA STATE. So a lot of things working here. We Akron off their first Big 10 win beating Northwestern on the road. Back to back roadies vs Power 5 schools. Last year 41-14 Zips lost at home. Riding high after win and thinking they can knock off another Power 5 school? Let-down game after huge victory? What about the Cyclones desperation? Sitting at 0-2, these guys in the all too familiar 'circle the wagon' situation. TCU and Oklahoma State road trips await. You think these guys are looking ahead? They already know their schedule. No way they under estimate Akron here. Especially with them coming in off a win. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE 

Taking USC. Said on twitter the other night the send out line on this was USC -15.5. 15.5! SC has looked terrible the last 2 weeks vs Stanford and Texas. Offense sputtering. Getting stuffed at the 1 in that Texas game was really the turning point for me. Up 14-13 and going in, that changes everything. And on the road, that will suck the wind right out of your sails. Wash St comes in averaging 40ppg. But this is a big step up from Eastern Washington. Think the proverbial hot seat is entering the picture for the staff at USC. The good news is that Helton and Co. have won 12 straight at home. And, will be looking for revenge for last years road loss. Desperate team, I'll lay the short number. 4* Money Maker USC TROJANS 

Taking FLORIDA ATLANTIC. Well, Lane laid an egg for us way back in Week 1. But I will grab him and his squad as a nice double digit dog tonight. I like UCF. And I think the Heupel hire is solid. But this is still his 3rd game as HC. This is a HUGE game for not only bragging rights of these smaller schools, but has monster ramifications for recruiting the same players. And let's be honest, the way Florida and FSU have fared lately, they can be moving up on the players they are going after. That is a different write up all together. So I like FAU and the points. Just think this is going to be a lot closer than this line. 6-1 ATS as double digit dog for the Lane Train. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA ATLANTIC 

Taking the BROWNS. Yeah - You can say it is tough backing a team as a FG fave when they haven't won a home game since Dec 2016! We can say Cleveland could, or should be 2-0 if they had a decent field goal kicker. We can say with certainty that the Browns do have a good defense. And that my friends, is why we are rolling with Cleveland. Tough spot for a rookie QB, on the road, and a short week for the icing on top. Was also thinking about the Under but will just attack the small home fave and build our bankroll. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the GIANTS tonight. Last week we faded NY in our big GOW and cashed our 10* on the Jags. Well we are on the G-Men for Sunday night. One, I am a Cowboys fan. But I don't let teams I like blind me. Garrett has to go as HC. I have been saying this for the last few years. Anyone who has purchased plays gets a full run down on why he is a terrible coach. Like I said last week. I thought Coughlin would really fire up the players to avenge his firing. Tough spot for NYG against a very good defense. Dallas defense is ok, but nothing like the Jags. Eli has some players to help with ODB back and Barkley in the backfield. Can't count out the banged up Dallas OL. Giants never had problems generating pressure on Cowboy QBs. Dallas O in turmoil. Stacked Ds all year to shut down Zeke and force Dak to beat you with one of the worse WR groups in the league. Giants 5-2 ATS last 7 in the series. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the RAMS. Will lay this very hefty number. And I'm a dog guy. Especially with a division foe like this. But Arizona looks bad. I had them last week. And maybe this number is pumped up a FG based on how poorly they looked last week. But do we expect a big offensive game here? Fact is, (we had Raiders/Under) the 2nd half of MNF the Rams found their groove on both sides of the ball. This is their home opener. Against a team they demolished last year by a combine score off, stop me if you have heard this 100 times already this week, 66-15. What has changed? Cards bring in a new HC in Steve Wilks, a DC guy. Preseason is one thing. Everyone playing hard for the new regime. Regular season a lot different as every team is playing hard, on every play. Arizona O build around their stud RB. But if Rams get off to a fast start. Which, judging by last year, and 2nd half Monday night, they will. That renders their opponents best player useless. 23 points in the second half. Defense with 3 INTs. I get Bradford is a decent game manager. And you have Fitz at WR, Johnson at RB to try to milk the clock and score some points. But are they putting up over 20? Because I don't see their defense holding the Rams to less than 34. This has 34-13 written all over it. 40-17 wouldn't shock me. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

Taking the DOLPHINS here. Have to say. Had the Under in their Game 1. After a few weather delays, we got a shoot out. We did cash the Jets as a nice dog outright. But I think we our getting some value in this spot. Jets looked great. But let's be honest here. Rookie QB now making his second start. Every team looks bad in this division because the Patriots sit a the top. But I think Miami will toss some new wrinkles at the rookie. The defense isn't a bad unit. Offense is decent enough. Again, I think we have extra value based on the Monday night factor. 5* Best Bet MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking the STEELERS. Not going to over react to 5 TOs on the road and a tie at Cleveland. They could have, and probably should have won that game anyway. Now they are home. Big Ben totally different QB at Heinz field. Numbers back it up. Bell loss not the problem in their last game. KC will be in another shoot-out. Difference being, Pitt has a defense that can make stops. Back to back road games for KC. I think this is a 10pt win for the home team. 8* Sure Shot PITTSBURGH STEELERS 

Taking UTAH. Utes have played these guys tough last 2 years. Not thinking much have changed. Tough test again on the road for Washington. They couldn't get it done vs Auburn. Tigers better than these Utes for sure. But a tough conference foe on the road. Not an easy task. Have to grab the home dogs. 4* Money Maker UTAH 

Taking PURDUE. I know MizzU has revenge for last years loss (35-3). But this is a tough spot. Boilermakers now 0-2 after a terrible loss to Eastern Michigan. 0-2 and desperate. First road game of the year. Plus, Tigers have South Carolina on deck. I have this game as a toss up. So getting this amount of points on the home dog is a big bonus. 4* Money Maker PURDUE BOILERMAKERS 

Taking ALABAMA. I don't know. I can see this being a 30 point game. Tide can really name the score. I had Bama last year and they rolled these guys. I know that previously, Ole Miss had won 2 of the last 3 before getting demolished last year. I think we can see something like that again tonight. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA 

Taking TEXAS TECH. Not sure why all the love on Houston. This team really has only a few good games under their belt. Both HCs, for me, are on the proverbial 'hot seat'. Maybe a bit more at TT. I think this could be a back and forth affair. I will back the Red Raiders. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH 

Taking NORTH TEXAS. Like this little squad. Arkansas blew a 27-9 lead last week. Will have their hands full with a Fine QB for NT. Mean Green should be able to put up some passing yards with the best QB in conference.  Enough points for us to easily back NT. 8* Sure Shot NORTH TEXAS 

Taking BOISE here. Will grab the small points with the dog. I know a lot of times I am grabbing MLs at 3 or less. But I can see this one really coming down to something late. For me, the Boise defense is the difference maker. 10 guys back on that side of the ball. Cowboys always tough at home, especially when you see this short number. But a new QB behind center, vs a team that is always tough. Again. Comes down to someone making a stop. And I am betting on the road dogs to come through. 4* Money Maker BOISE STATE 

Taking AUBURN today. Look. I had LSU on the ML over the Hurricanes. But I am laying it and expecting a 15-20 point win Saturday afternoon. Right off the bat - Huge revenge spot for us blowing 20-0 lead last year. Home team on a 16-2 SU and 13-4-1 ATS run. LSU still has some QB issues. Do we really think they are coming in here and winning? Because, if I am taking a dog, I think it wins outright. I don't think the back door will be in play here. Guess people forget that Auburn smacked both Georgia and Alabama when they were ranked #1 on this field. This is a good Tigers team. 10* Money Bomb AUBURN TIGERS 

Taking OHIO here. Nearly made this a ML play. I have Ohio as the best in MAC East. I know Virginia isn't a sexy big school, but for the MAC, it's a big game. Off their bye week, I expect them to be more than ready to hang with this ACC team. Now. We did cash backing Virginia last week. But in this spot, game being played in Vandy's Stadium with Hurricane in town. I can't think they are fully focused here. As much as they need this win, I think Ohio is the hungrier team with less on their plate right now. Bobcats can stop this run game and force Perkins to beat them with his arm which he hasn't shown much consistency in doing. Solich is a solid mid-major coach and has pulled some upsets out of his hat before. 5* Best Bet OHIO BOBCATS 

Taking PITT. Almost went ML here. I'll grab the home dogs off a rough game as they were humbled by in state big brother, Penn State. G-Tech defense for me is why I lean on the homers. Don't see them making a key stop along the way. A little revenge on tap at Heinz today. 4* Money Maker PITT PANTHERS 

Taking WAKE here. There is a lot of love coming down on BC. And I get it. I like their HC. They are in a revenge spot from last years game. Hurricane approaching so maybe Wake isn't 100% focused on football. But the Eagles are not a good bet covering the number as a fave. They thrive more in a dog role when nobody is counting on them. Might be looking to pull the trigger on the Under 55.5 here. If the winds start picking up early and heavy rains come into play. 4* Money Maker WAKE FOREST 

Taking the RAIDERS. Think these guys can score a bit. I am on the Under 49.5 already, but am coming in on the puppy. Not sure what we see out of the Rams as this is a non-conference throw away game with Arizona on deck. Enough points to roll the dice. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS

Taking the JETS here on Monday night. Think this team is going to surprise some people this season. Think they have some players on both sides of the ball. For the Lions, a new regime. New HC takes over. And to be honest, I don't think he is some defensive wizard. Wasn't like the Patriots were a Top 5 defense in his time over there. Yeah, they are paying their QB a ton of cash. But I can't see this group being a .500 team. I see this 6.5 and can here every square in NJ at one of the new sportsbooks saying, uh, Jets are crap, Bowles sucks. No way the Lions don't win by a touchdown. 4* Money Maker NY JETS

Taking CAROLINA. Will grab the Panthers at this price. I like Dallas. Am a Cowboys fan. And they have much better ATS on the road than at home. But this team to me, isn't going to be that good. Unless a couple WRs really have huge years, this is a lost season. Load up the line, control Zeke, let Dak have one of his WRs beat you. That plays well into a good Panthers defense. Not a huge fan of Cam. But the guy has the weapons around him to get us the win and cover this afternoon. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the BROWNS. How many times did this guy kick my nuts in last year with lines I thought were too short. I will subject myself to abuse just once this opening weekend. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking MINNESOTA here. Wish I grabbed this earlier for myself. This is about as high I will want to go with Minny. I think this is a very good team. Great coach - probably the most underrated guy in the league. Defense always a top unit. But I have to tamper expectations because we have a new OC in town. I still think this is a win for us. SF is getting a bit too much love in my eyes. Everyone loving Jimmy G. Again, Minny HC will have something special to unleash on the youngster. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the JAGUARS. Also like the Under in this game. But we are all in on Jax. First off. You don't think that Tom Coughlin has been telling these guys to stick to NYG on every play. The guy was run out of town and replaced by a joke of a coach. Jags were already miles ahead of the GMen in talent. Yes, they drafted a nice RB, signed some OL, have a healthy ODB. But do we really think Eli, a statue, is going to be able to buy some time and make something happen against this pass rush and secondary. Jags defense will dominate. The offense will do enough to win this by double digits. Coughlin gets revenge against a team he hoisted Super Bowl Trophies with and got a kick in the ass out the door as a thank you, while the crappy GM stayed on board. 10* Money Bomb JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Taking the BENGALS. Yeah, The Colts are 46-30 with Luck behind center. But did you see anything in his brief August games that say this is a guy ready to come under live fire? Bengals have missed the playoffs last 2 years. Marv clearly on the hot seat as many though he would be canned last year. We saw 53 points from these guys in Week 4 of pre-season! That is normally under territory. But we saw that the 'starters' for Cincy held a 20-7 lead at the half over the Colts. Look - Pre-Season doesn't matter much to me when the calendar says September. But Indy, I think has a long way to go with Luck getting up to speed with his new HC and the playbook. Cincy always has a tough defense. Daulton has some nice weapons. He can beat bad teams. This isn't Pitt or NE that he is battling. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Taking TAMPA. I know this is crazy. But I like the Bucs more with FitzMagic behind center. Veteran guy. Smart. Won't lose the team. He has good weapons to work with. This is a bundle of points. Tampa defense isn't that bad. TB went 2-1 with Fitz last season. The line is a bit inflated as everyone will be hammering the Saints with Winston out. They should be able to mount some pressure on Brees. Just once in the last 8 match-ups have the Saints won by more than 7. Can't lay double digits in division play. Dog time. 4* Money Maker TB BUCCANEERS 

Taking RICE. Hawaii rewarding backers with a pair of big wins. But this line is inflated in my eyes. Have to grab the points. Simple as that. Can't give up free points. 4* Money Maker RICE OWLS 

Taking VIRGINIA. Again, a game I will sprinkle some ML +205. I'm a Bronco fan. Think he is a good coach. He has 8 starters back on D. Which will help against the Hoosiers who have 7 back on offense. I do think Indiana could be a bowl team this year. But, I have to grab the points with the visitor. VA with revenge for last years lost. I think if they can pound the ball and control things, they can pull out the outright win. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA 

5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS

Taking IOWA STATE. Grabbing a little ML +160 also. Tough in-state battle. Give me the points. ISU has covered 8 of 10 here. Like our QB better than theirs. Stanley for Iowa barely getting over 100 yards. I looked at that game and thought NI would show up. After looking at the roster, they had same holes to fill. Tough to do vs a Big 10 school. But a Big 12 program, and a bitter in-state rival. Well this screams upset to me. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE 

Taking COLORADO. Nebraska hasn't played yet. I like the Frost hire. But this is a tough spot for an opening game. True frosh starting at QB. This line also looks a little short in my eyes. Might sprinkle some ML also. Buffs young, but I think there was so much work to do at Nebraska, this is a pretty even match-up talent wise. 4* Money Maker COLORADO 

4* Money Maker NAVY

Taking DUKE. Duke rolled these guys last year. We can say, oh revenge at home for Northwestern. And we had these guys last week. But we also watched them not score a point in the 2nd half after putting up 31 in the first half. Not sure this veteran Duke team turns it over 3 times to help the cause. 4* Money Maker DUKE BLUE DEVILS 

4* Money Maker LIBERTY

Taking SOUTH FLORIDA. I'll even dabble in the +150 ML here. I know we are breaking in a new QB. But I will back the home dog here. Both teams in off easy wins. South Florida has some cupcakes on deck. G-Tech has a bigger game vs Pitt on deck. Maybe it is because I am a Charlie Strong fan. Even losing a bunch of talent, I feel that here in Year 2, he has enough to knock off a bigger school. 4* Money Maker SOUTH FLORIDA 

Taking ARIZONA. Should probably just go ML. Revenge. Arizona looking terrible in Week 1. Everybody goes crazy over one week and what they just saw. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA 

Taking TCU. Just can't get behind SMU at any price. Sonny Dykes? I guess you think he was an OC for the Frogs and might know some ins and outs. But I am not buying that angle tonight. SMU was down 36-0 before scoring vs North Texas last week. TCU isn't taking their foot off the gas. Is 52-20 really that far fetched? Last year, I had SMU and the points on the road and was rewarded with a cover. Actually had an early 19-7 lead before TCU poured it on. So we won't be taking this team for granted. 4* Money Maker TCU 

Taking the FALCONS. I know it is easy to take Philly. Defending champs, Home opener. Crowd pumped up. They have guys who missed out on the Super Bowl run returning to the lineup. But the QB play is iffy for me. We now that Wentz is out for a big. Foles got banged up this August. Falcons have revenge from the playoff loss. And playing outside in Philly now, as opposed to later in the winter or January is a big difference. Atlanta has a pretty solid defense themselves. The offense isn't too shabby. I am also on the under 46 in this game. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking VIRGINIA TECH. I think FSU is a very good program. But I think they start a little slow tonight. Might take a game or 2 to get things flowing in real time under new HC Willie Taggart. This guy could have a QB problem depending on how things go. VT had all summer to get ready for the Noles. I think they can keep this close and have a shot at an outright upset if things go to plan and they get a turnover or 2. 5* Best Bet VIRGINIA TECH 

Early mover.. 4* Money Maker NOTRE DAME

4* Money Maker FIU 

High on this team... 9 starters back on O, 7 on D. -- Liberty making the jump from FCS. They did beat Baylor last year. But lets not get to excited. Coastal Carolina, who was 10-3 their last year in FCS went 3-9 their first year with the big boys. Liberty was 6-5 last year. Not sure what to expect from Turner Gill who stunk up Kansas in his last gig on the big stage. 4* Money Maker OLD DOMINION 

Taking MISSISSIPPI early. 4* Money Maker

Taking TEXAS STATE. So. Both teams with young QB. If this was really any other Big 10 school, or Rutgers had a junior or senior behind center, I would be on the home team. Wins will be tough to come by for both clubs. At Ohio State for Rutgers next as Chris Ash heads back to his coordinator days. But this team can't look ahead. I just don't think they are going to be very good this year. My son plays on a football team with the brother of a Rutgers player. The dad has echoed my same concerns about QB play. But also just about many Rutgers players not being on the physical level as their Big 10 counterparts. Texas State won't be confused with Texas or TCU or even SMU. But it is Year 3 of HC Withers run. I think they can keep it close. 4* Money Maker TEXAS STATE 

Taking TEXAS. I am sure the Longhorns staff had this game circled since Week 2 of last year. Big game for Texas. A lot of off-field distractions for the Terps. This isn't even a real 'home' game as it is played at Fed Ex field. 4* Money Maker TEXAS LONGHORNS 

Taking FLORIDA ATLANTIC. Have to grab the big points with Lane's squad. CUSA Champs this year. Have to be thought of as the top program with Marshall on their heels. This is a huge game for them. As a small, mid-major conference team, they have to show they can play with the big boys. Sooners breaking in a new QB and always a bit shaky on defense. I like that last year on the road, they lost to Wiscy 33-14. That is a tough venue and tough team to play. Shows me they won't be intimidated. Defense has 10 starters back which is huge to me getting this many points. Can't discount the fact that FAU new starting QB is a Sooners transfer. As if he needs more motivation for his first of the year.  8* Sure Shot FLORIDA ATLANTIC

Taking WISCONSIN tonight. Going to lay the big, big wood in this spot. I think Wiscy can quietly win the Big 10. Lot of drama around Ohio State. Michigan hasn't won a big game under Harbaugh. Nebraska is not ready for the big leap. Michigan State has struggled. This team just always seems to be in the mix. They get a Western Kentucky team that did win the CUSA in 2015 and 2016. But they lose their starting QB. Just 3 offensive starters back. Opening up in Madison is tough for any school. 2nd year HC Mike Sanford will have some more growing pains this season. Badgers should win the West in the Big 10. Should be able to name the score behind this offense tonight. 4* Money Maker WISCONSIN BADGERS

Opinion WESTERN MICHIGAN 

Taking TULANE. So the early line on this was +13. That would have been a really nice home dog to bark at. But this is still a good number. I nearly made this a ML on the sites and will be looking for +200 in Jersey Sports Books this week. Wake breaking in a new starter behind center. Never an easy task. Green Wave bring back their QB, 2 top WRs, and a 800 yard back. 4* Money Maker TULANE GREEN WAVE

Taking UCF - Yeah. tough laying this on the road, especially with a new HC running the show. But this still is a very explosive offense. And UConn only brings back 2 starters on the defensive side of the ball. How about UCF saying they are National Champs last year after going undefeated. These guys don't lack any swagger. I expect them to come out fast to prove to people they are just as good as last year and need respect from voters. 4* Money Maker UCF 

Going to lock in early here with the PATRIOTS. 5* Best Bet NE PATRIOTS 

Alright everyone. Thanks for the follow this year. Going to cap off a great NFL season with a final winner for our pockets. 40-14 good for 74% since December 1. In that time, 11-4 with our Top Plays. Best Bets, Sure Shots and Money-Bombs. But I am not going to put out a huge 'name' play, just because it is the final game of the year. This, as always, the longest write up of the year. Let's get to it - 

As a big dog guy, especially with NHL and MLB, almost by instinct, I am pulled towards Philly. And why not. One of those 4 Top Game losses was Philly over NYG. I like Foles. As I said in previous write-ups, and last weeks Over analysis. Do people forget 27 TDs from this kid a couple years ago. The guy can play in the NFL. Not saying he is Wally Pip'ing Wentz out of a job, or Brady Bledsoe'ing for the younger crowd. But he can play. And let's be completely honest. Eagles probably rate better overall across the board except for the QB position. Plenty of offense for Philly vs, at best, a middle of the road Patriots defense.

Yes. The Hoodie gets the, oh, Mr Adjustments. What a great defense. Come on. Bend don't break defense carried by the greatest QB/ HC combo of all-time. This total has already ticked up, and I still lean Over in this game. 

I am sure the sharps are going to be lying in wait. Seeing if the public comes heavy on NE as they normally do. Maybe we see 4.5 - Maybe we see 6.5. I am 2 weeks out with my play. When we grab dogs, like the Jags, we think they win outright. Which, maybe they should have. We will leave questionable play calling to the talking heads.

Back to NE. Look. I am not a huge Pats fan. I did have a Top 10* on them to roll the Titans. I took the +9.5 out of the gate in the Championship Game. As much as I see Foles getting better. I see Brady cementing a legacy, if he hadn't already. If this was Wentz/ Brady. I would probably be on the Eagles. But it isn't. These guys, at this stage, look for any slight, to come out and piss people off. So we have all heard of that story about the owner/coach/QB - Next game. Utter destruction of the Titans. What better way to really get under peoples skin and win b2b Super Bowls. Did anyone miss that Hoodie didn't even hold onto the AFC Championship Trophy? Is that crazy? That is all you need to know about this team. That is how focused they are. 

Philly will get everyone's love since they are facing the Evil Empire. The, We wear Dog Masks. No respect. I get it. House money. Back-up QB. Rally around the role. Understood. And that isn't all it has going for them. I think they have the much better defense. Special teams are probably a wash. Again, this is why I am liking the Over a bit also. Plenty of weapons for Foles. Dome setting should help. 

As much as there are checks to cross in the Philly box. I just can't go against this HC/QB combo in a Super Bowl. Brady has proven time and time again. Champion. Down 10. No problem. 28-3. No problem. Do we have to go back and see the stats vs the Legion of Boom? Do we remember how 'legendary' that Seattle defense was suppose to be? 13-15 2TDs in the 4th quarter as Seattle was for 2 straight Super Bowls. 

Maybe the Eagles are like the Giants. Getting pressure. Knocking Brady off his spot. Or. Brady gets the ball out and carves them up. I think the really underrated unit is the Patriots OL. These guys are quietly, a solid bunch. 

So. I am going PATRIOTS as a 5* BEST BET here in Super Bowl action. I think they get this done by a TD or more. 

My FREE PLAY is on the UNDER 48.5 -- 

Taking the JAGUARS. So. We had the Jags over the Bills. And we faded them last week vs the Steelers. Not really the way I want things to be working out on Jax. We cash very nicely with the Patriots as our Top 10* Money-Bomb over the Titans. That being said. There were reasons I liked/disliked them in spots. We won't rehash those. That is the past. Let's get to it. -- Defense. Clear edge for the Jags. Arguably the best in the league this year. Yes. We have seen Big Ben last week, and prior the Seahawks and SF put some points on the board on these guys. And Brady is the best in the biz. I probably shouldn't write Brady and Bortles in the same sentence. Look. Marrone is familiar with NE after going 2-2 ATS vs them when he was HC in Buffalo. It sure as heck can't hurt to have Tom Coughlin, who beat these Pats TWICE in Super Bowls in case you have been under a rock. Much like those Giants teams, defense is this teams strength. And like Marrone's old Biils teams, running the ball, is what dictates this offense. I know. I know. Pats looking like the last go around. Internal power struggles. I said last week, the Hoodie was ready.. On to Tennessee. But the fact is this. Both OC and DC are probably out to HC gigs. The HC and QB have been the best in the biz for a long time. You have to think this is their swan song. Either way. I think this defense keeps us in the game. Weather shouldn't be a problem. It will be warmer here than it was in Pitt last week. Maybe some rain. Will also be on the under here. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking the VIKINGS. Real simple for me. One. We are rested. Two. We have the much better defense. Three. We have seen the last 2 weeks that New Orleans has had trouble stopping Tampa and Carolina. A pair of teams that are pretty generic with their offenses. - Now they face a Minny team that has a bunch of options for their QB to turn to. This is no knock on Brees. I just thin that their defenses injury and depth will catch up with on the road, and vs a team with probably the most under-rated HC in the league. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the STEELERS. Have to play a little on Pitt. First we have that revenge working for us. Utterly wrecked at home with Big Ben tossing, what, 10 INTS! - Seriously. That was a joke. Yes this Jags defense is very good. But the offense is putrid. And I had them last week. I thought they can put up points. Because they have. But I have seen Seattle and SF both carve this team up recently. This is an experienced Steelers team. Lots of explosiveness on offense. We are laying just a TD. I thin this should be a 10pt game for us. 8* Sure Shot PITTSBURGH STEELERS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. I'll lay this beast. And try to keep my reasons brief. So Titans down 21-3 to KC. KC loses best player to take advantage of poor Tenn pass defense. Titans get, let's just say, a few calls in their favor. Won't get into detail. Safe to say that everything that needed to happen, happened. Enter the Pats. We are going to go against Hoodie? In a week where we see a problem between Brady, Kraft and Hoodie. It's mass chaos in New England. Coach vs Trainer vs Owner vs QB. Forget that nonsense. The defense has been an absolute monster down the stretch. Toss out those early games. 14ppg since. 'All in on Tennessee' - Belichick  10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the FALCONS today. You can grab the 2.5, but I will go 3 just to take back a little extra cash. So, we cashed on Atlanta last week. I am not sure why everyone is shocked they won. As I said. Against a rookie HC and basically, a rookie QB, I would take a veteran QB and HC playing with a chip, the size of a Super Bowl Trophy, on their shoulder. And what do they walk into here. Only an Eagles team that has been average at best. Now, I like Foles. In fact, I backed Philly over the Giants and while they won, they couldn't cover. Then we had that Monday night game vs the Raiders. Finally, the Nate Sudfeld game. Enter our Falcons. This isn't last years team. They are playing much better defense. The fact is, with no Wentz, this game is a toss up. ATL the fave really based on the QBs. Both defenses are pretty solid. And both teams can run the ball. I am just coming back to what they learned last year. Philly, like the Rams, are rolling the dice with house money, up-starts. Bright futures. Falcons on the other side of that. Veterans. Looking to redeem themselves. 5* Best Bet ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking ALABAMA tonight. So. Tide is the team that shouldn't have been playing say a lot of people. Even though as the 4 seed they were to be favored over every other team in the playoffs, and the country for that matter. It is easy to say that the only real team Alabama played, Auburn, beat them. And then you Auburn beating what was the #1 Alabama and then #1 Georgia before falling to Georgia in the SEC Championship. But this Bama team was #1 for nearly all season for a reason. Just like they are favored over every team for a reason. Again, they have been dogs exactly once since 2010. A 1.5 to these same Georgia Bulldogs in 2015. Crimson Tide rolled to a 38-10 win. We know what to expect from Alabama. I thought they would cruise to a relatively easy win over Clemson and they did. I think the Clemson defense is as good, or better than Georgia's. Now. Is Baker Mayfield and the Sooner offense better than the Tide. Absolutely. But they pasted this defense for 48 points. And really, they should have won. And I am not saying that as a guy who had the Sooners. Their 1st year HC Riley really wet the bed when it mattered most. Kirby Smart is an old Bama assistant. Well, Saban is 11-0 winning with an average score of 38-10 over his old coaches. 427-111 in those 11 games Tide have outscored Tennessee (Dooley) , Colorado State (McElwain), Florida (Muschamp)+ (McElwain), Florida State (Jimbo) , and Michigan State (Dantonio. I am not expecting some wild game like that. I think this is going to be more along the lines of Bama/LSU, Auburn/ Oregon than the last 3 playoffs where we saw at least 60 scored in each game. These are really 2 of the same molded programs. But I am backing the teacher over the student. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking the PANTHERS. So. We have the old, it's hard to beat a good time 3 times playing out. Saints won 34-13 and 31-21 this already this year. But it is January football. I am not a fan of Cam at all. But I like his legs and the rest of the RBs vs this depleted Saints defense. Not a lot of depth and they are missing 5 starters. We saw the Bucs march down the field last week as time was running out to score a win. On a side not, that TD sent it Over the total and we go 7-2 instead of a super 8-1. I just think that we have seen Carolina knock off the Pats and Vikes. A pair of pretty good teams. We cashed with the Falcons over these same Panthers. Everyone saying, oh Carolina has a lot to play for. Well what about Atlanta. They were playing for their season. (had them yesterday also) - Road team 23-10 ATS last 33 in the series. Underdog 6-1 ATS last 7 in the series. Panthers 0-6 ATS last 6 in the series. Something has to give. I am betting on Cam being 'Superman' and not 'Laptop Man' - 8* Sure Shot CAROLINA PANTHERS  

Taking the JAGUARS. Forget the line here. To me, this game is pick the winner. And if you think the Bills cover, then you think they win outright. I don't think they win outright. I think the Jaguars defense is a beast. I think with a gimpy McCoy, if he even plays, we know he is not near 100%, that Taylor will force some things. That plays into the Jax strength, their defense. Yes, it is frightening laying near double digits with Blake Bortles. Jags have won their last 5 at home, last 3 putting up 35ppg. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking the FALCONS here. Now. I know that the Rams had a great year. Rookie HC takes off with a 2nd year QB who looked like a bust and turns 4-12 into 11-5. But those two combinations is exactly why I am on the visitors in this spot. Atlanta really changed gears down the stretch going 6-2. Rams not exactly with a huge home field edge here either. Falcons couldn't make a stop in the 2nd half of the Super Bowl. But the defense is what has improved this year while the offense has taken a step back. I do like this Rams team. But all I have heard from people is, how don't the Rams win by a touchdown? For me, this is too many points to give to a playoff tested experienced team. Don't be shocked if Falcons win this outright. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the CHIEFS here. Man oh man with all these lines wild-card weekend. Normally I am shying away from near double digit faves come playoff time. But I see a pair of totally different teams. Yes. We cashed the Titans as our Top 10* Money Bomb last Sunday. But we don't fall in love with teams. We like numbers. Value. We started the season backing the Titans over the Raiders. And we will end their season fading them vs the Chiefs. KC a bit different now with their new OC calling plays. I just don't see Tennessee being able to hang close here. I think that KC gets a big edge on special teams that gets us this 10-14 pt win. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS 

Taking ALABAMA. So here we are. 3rd times a charm right. Who takes the crown? I had Clemson ML last year. Had Alabama minus points the year before. Back to the Tide. Look. All I heard coming into the playoff selection was how Bama didn't play anyone. Lost to the only good team they played. Didn't deserve to be here. Forget the fact they were ranked #1 all year long. You don't think Saban uses this crap to motivate. Hard to motivate when you have been favored in 50 straight games or whatever it is. Well. After I typed that I went all the back to the 2010 season. 1 game. They were a 1.5pt dog at Georgia in 2015. They won 38-10. These guys are healthy. The defenses might offset. But Bama offense has the edge. They aren't facing Watson who carved them up. Heck, we saw what he did in his brief NFL stint. No. They get Kelly Bryant. 13 TDs 6 INTs on the year. In the 2 previous Championships, we saw 76-75, Bama by 1. That was with Watson. As good as Clemson is. I can't sit here and think they are that good right now. I know you will here about their great bowl run the last few years. We aren't laying 6.5 like the previous 2 years. It's a FG. And I am in on the Tide. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA 

-- I know this line has moved since we put it out -- Still take SF - They will cover a TD -- Taking the NINERS. Well. Faded the Jimmy G show last week. That didn't work out well. But we see they aren't playing for a higher pick. I said in games we took SF that they like Jimmy and their HC. Rams I think will rest up here after a fine season and get ready for the playoffs. 4* Money Maker SF NINERS

Taking the TITANS. Not sure where the Jags motivation is? They are locked into the 3 seed. They host a home game. Even off that SF loss, I can't see them risking getting guys injured. Maybe they play a half. I had Tennessee last Sunday. Win and they are in. I'll back the small home fave. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the FALCONS here. Man. All I am  hearing is talk about the Panthers. I know this isn't the same Super Bowl team as last year. The offense clearly not the same. I know Julio is banged up. But hell. It is Week 17. Playoff spot on the line. Time to man up. They win, they are in. They lose. And they need Arizona to beat Seattle. Just take care of business yourself. As for Carolina. They have some possible seed movement. Anywhere from 2-6. Not sure how they play it. They get down early, they might pull back. They just played a really tough game vs TB needed everything to win. Atlanta 7-2 ATS last 9 here at home vs Panthers. 5* Best Bet ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the COLTS. So Indy has lost 6 straight and 9 of 10. Yet, are favored. Look. Normally this a game I would mark a giant X through during the regular season. But final game of the season. Most likely, final game of Pagano's reign for the Colts. I will back the home team. As bad as this team is, likely assured the 3rd pick in the draft, they haven't quit. Oh, they blow 10pt leads like that is what you are suppose to do to win games. But they aren't mailing games in. Can't see them doing it here. Not with Frank Gore also probably heading out the door. They will play for that old timer for sure. Texans have been riddled with injuries all year. Not even sure they get off the plane. This is the game the Colts should win by 10+. Not get up 17-0 and somehow lose  21-20. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking MIAMI tonight. Almost want to go +200 on ML. But we'll grab the points. Now. I still think The U is a year from really being a top program again. Richt can coach and recruit. Have to like them in the home dog role. We have seen them demolish Va Tech and ND on this field. They have pulled some magic out of the rear-ends this year in last second wins over FSU and G-Tech. Plus, that crazy turnover chain! Everyone always sleeps on Wiscy. All they do is churn out 10 win seasons so we can't overlook them. But the points are too good to pass up. 4* Money Maker MIAMI HURRICANES 

Taking the POINTS with IOWA STATE. These guys went into Oklahoma and won. They win ugly. They lose ugly. They can play defense. They can put up points on offense. This is a scrappy bunch. This is a home game for Memphis and it looks a bit low to me. They do have some trouble slowing teams down, even if they march up and down putting their own points on the board. But the Cyclones won't be shocked. They see Big 12 spread offensives all the time. I think their defense can do enough to maybe pull out the outright this afternoon. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE 

Taking LOUISVILLE here. Big edge for the Cards. First, the coach. Plenty of bowls under his belt. Miss State HC left for greener pastures. Second. QBs. Last year's Heisman who had a pretty good follow up season, in his last college game. For the Miss State, their season starter lost for the year in Egg Bowl vs Ole Miss. I just think this lines up with a lot of positives for UL. Like I said - Mullen to the Gators. No Fitzgerald. Tough to overcome a UL team looking to make up for last years 29-9 loss to LSU, another SEC team. No lack of focus as their QB is looking to go out on a high note. 8* Sure Shot LOUISVILLE 

Taking USC. You can grab the points, but we will grab the +250 for a nicer payday. I know everyone is talking about OSU snub. But how do you think SC feels? These guys have similar resumes. But OSU was trucked by Iowa allow 50+ to a 6 loss team. At least getting pummeled on the road in South Bend isn't as ugly. SC is 20-2 with Denard under center. 4* Money Maker USC 

Taking NEW MEXICO STATE. First bowl game in nearly 60 years for the Aggies. These guys looked pretty evenly matched in my eyes. Not a far ride for Aggies backers. Word is they will be rolling in pretty deep with fan support. Huge game for the school. 5* Best Bet NEW MEXICO STATE 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Now. I will say that I was looking at Washington State. They lose their top 2 WRs for the game. Not that should matter since they have other players with 30+ catches. What really flipped me to Sparty is 1 - The coaches. Does anyone really have faith in Mike Leach? He tossed his hat into the ring of HC openings. Who knows if he was serious. But the coaches under maybe raised an eyebrow. Freshened up resumes. Dantonio, I know, will bring his A game. Dude got into with Michigan HC over the bowls. This team will come out angry with something to prove. 17-4 ATS 14 outright wins in Dantonio's last 21 listed as dogs. Now. This opened with Wash State as a the fave. Now it is a pk or even MSU favored. Either way, Sparty is the play. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN STATE 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. Man. Was really on these guys coming into the year. Thought the offense would really carry them to the Playoffs. Well, here we are in Orlando with a 9-3 record. Rudolph will score on this defense. I think 10 wins is big for the club. They have a chance to win back to back bowl games. No way that VT has the offense to trade punches. And let's not get wrapped up in the Hokie defense. 21st best passing defense?  Who have they faced that runs a similar offense? West Va in Week 1? Remember that the ACC replaced a couple QBs this year. Watson, Trubisky, Kaaya, Peterman. I won't bore you with their schedule. But beating Old Dom and ECU by big numbers isn't all that impressive. They scored more than 24 in 1 ACC game this year. They didn't even face the best ACC passing teams. I think that the big play ability of the Cowboys is a big difference maker this afternoon. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking MISSOURI. We already are on the over in this game. I am just thinking that the Tigers are just playing that much better. Texas barely got here. They get up for 'bigger' named teams. I think Missouri puts up 40+. As long as the Longhorns get off the bus, both side and total should cash easily. But we have seen some duds so far. As we rolled with FAU and La Tech, teams scoring 50, but both games went under. (We didn't have sides in either game) But I would hate this one to end up 44-13 and kick myself for not being on the team I believe is going to cover. 5* Best Bet MISSOURI 

Grabbing SOUTHERN MISS and all the points today. How can we not take this dog? I love to gamble as much as the next guy, and the ML +510 or whatever seems inviting. But instead, I will just play the points. First. Basic handicapping brings us to the motivation factor. FSU was a team many thought would be in the Playoffs. You lose your QB and it is all down hill to a 6-6 season just to make this bowl to keep a streak alive. Their HC bolts to Texas A&M. Their defensive leader is sitting out. For Southern Miss, this is a Super Bowl. A chance to beat Florida State. You know their players won't be just going through the motions which could be the case on the other side of the field.  4* Money Maker SOUTHERN MISS

Taking the COWBOYS this afternoon. Tough laying with Dallas at home especially with their terrible HC. But we are getting a fresh and angry Zeke back. That is enough to move the needle for us to Dallas. This Seattle team is in turmoil. Giving up tons of points. 72 points allowed last 2 weeks! Defense players tweeting at each other. Wilson is a great QB. Guy, by himself, has this team still alive for the playoffs. Now, we have seen Dallas and their brain dead HC crumble with playoffs on the line before. But I can't undervalue the return of Elliot. That is a huge boost. Coming off a 35pt home loss, you expect Seattle to be angry. But the defense is a shell of its former self. My thinking. Zeke, fresh off his break, bullies Seahawks late and Dallas wins this by 10. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking ARIZONA. Simple thinking for me here. Giants mail it in here on Christmas Eve. The Eli show comes to an end at home, against rival Redskins. That is the game the Giants go all out. This has been a brutal year all around for NY. The coach. The QB. The WR. The defense. Everything. Good news is they will draft high. Last week they left it all on the field in a near win vs the Eagles. They can't get up like that again. Not a chance. Not 3 weeks in a row. Next week. We'll look to NYG. Both teams playing for pride. Final home game for the Cardinals. Give the fans an early Christmas gift with an easy win! 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the JAGUARS. Man. Every where I look I see the Niners are back with Jimmy G. I had these guys with Jimmy the Gent. I get it. They are playing hard. I wrote this in previous write ups. They are playing hard for the new coach, and their QB. But as they say. Defense travels. We can mock Bortles all day long. And who can blame you? Fact is though, the guy has been very good lately. 900+ yards and 7TDs 0 picks last 3 games. And the Jags have been getting into the end zone. Not getting FGs like SF. Jimmy G is moving the ball, but trading 3 and 7 just doesn't add up to Ws. We saw this Jax defense frustrate Big Ben and a pretty good Steelers team to the tune of 5 INTs. Back to how our defense travels. This defense has 51 sacks. SF has given up 42. Good for 8th worse in the league. Jags have allowed just 21 (4th best). SF at tied for 6th least sacks. Jags 2nd in INTs with 20. SF 5th worse with 7. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking the TITANS. Had these guys last week ML and they let me down. Now I will grab them as a nice home puppy. Rams off a huge win over Seattle, 42-7. That was their statement game. Much like when we had the Jags over the Seahawks as their statement game. Now, we can see a bit of a let down. They have the Niners at home to close out their season. I just think with a desperate Tennessee team, this is too many points. Titans 9-1 SU their last 10 at home. Have to take the home team this afternoon. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the CHIEFS today. Hate laying huge numbers like this. Went 1-1 last night with the big faves. But this NFL season is crazy. I think the gap between the teams is this big. And not just this game. Look across the card. Just huge lines. As a big dog guy, you can only hold your nose so many times as you get burned during a season. So for here. Win and in KC gets the nod. I thought Miami would be a playoff team. I thought Cutler back with his old coach would produce nice numbers. They have some decent WRs in Miami. They had a decent home run hitting RB before trading him away. The defense has talent. And it will get them a new HC on Black Monday in 2 weeks. Andy Reid isn't calling plays on offense and lo and behold they scored 30 in 2 of the last 3 games. I think Dolphins are going through the motions. We saw how good KC can be as they roared out of the gate. And we saw them flat out awful. They are on the upswing again. Dolphins have been bad on the road. They pulled out a miracle win for us in Week 1. Lost to Jets 20-6. Shut out by Ravens 40-0. Lost by 24 at Carolina, 18 at NE, 8 at Buffalo. Pulled a gem out of the butts in Atlanta 20-17. We know they aren't scoring 20. Chiefs averaging nearly 30ppg last 3. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS 

Taking the VIKINGS. Again. I will lay the big number. Not happy about it. But Minny is playing for a bye week, and a shot at home field throughout the playoffs. Possible since Eagles lost their QB. Ya never know. Now. If GB had A-Aron behind center. Different story. But that went out last week in their loss. No Rodgers. That is a dagger. They might be OK for a half. But I think the reality sets in. Fact is Hundley has been terrible. OT wins at Cleveland and over TB. Not exactly Vikings type teams. Did we see them get blanked by Baltimore? The only game he looked half-way decent in was against the Steelers. And we now that Pitt plays down to teams. And the fact that they admitted to looking ahead to New England. I think McCarthy is a terrible coach. It is obvious. No Rodgers, the team is pathetic. Zimmer is a great coach. They will be playing for blood tonight. Just look at this line. They are begging us to take the Packers. 8-9pt division home dog rivalry game. I'm not buying it. This is a deflated Packers team. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the RAVENS. I'm going say this. I can make a case for taking every dog this NFL weekend. But then we will be dead broke. Like last December, the faves continue to crush. We have picked our spots with faves. Some cash, some lose. Laying basically 2 TDs in the NFL is not a recipe for long term success. But I look at Ravens as a team still alive for the playoffs. They get a Colts team that has an OL that has gotten their QB sacked 43 times this season. We had them last week on Thursday. They couldn't contain Brock! You would think they would play with some pride at home. You figure their HC is done after this season. Ravens win out, and are in the playoffs. 5 straight losses for the Colts. They blew another double digit lead, at home to boot! Indy hasn't scored more than 17 points in a game in over a month. Baltimore somehow averaging 30ppg their last 7 games. Ravens have forced 33 TOs, most in the league. I think our D is good for a pair today, and that should generate at least 10 extra points for us. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking SAN DIEGO STATE here. I know you worry about option running offenses. Normally, it is a team you take the points with they step up in class against a bigger school. But let's not forget that Rocky Long has seen this offense plenty. Air Force and New Mexico have the same run game. Aztecs defense gave up just 502 yards in those 2 games this year. Now SDST doesn't thrill you out of the stadium with their offense. But in RB Penny, they have a guy who can explode for us. Guy is a beast and will go over 2000 yards in this game. The defense should be the difference for us covering this number. 5* Best Bet SAN DIEGO STATE 

Taking FLORIDA ATLANTIC. Yeah. I will lay 3+ TDs with Lane. The guy is a kook and a total follow on Twitter trolling old teams and coaches. So we get an extra home game with the Owl. Let's be honest. They can write their own score in. I am expecting at least 50. Lane will love to run it up here. You know he is looking for his next job already. Akron out of the MAC is miserable on defense. This is an average team like what FAU beat up all year in CUSA. Do we forget Akron down 38-0 in the 3rd in MAC Championship Game before Toledo called off the dogs for an unlikely back door cover (45-28)? Owls 9th in scoring just under 40 game. If this was another year, or some other team, I would be worried about motivation. But FAU has won 3 games each of the last 3 years. The home fans will be pumped to come see them roll to a Bowl Win. 8* Sure Shot FAU 

Taking the COWBOYS. Would be easy to grab the home dogs, but not happening. Dallas sees playoff hope here. They have strung together a couple wins. They get their RB back soon. Eagles lose their QB. They have a playoff shot if they can win out. Raiders a lost season. I said at the start of they year when I had the Titans in Game 1 that the Raiders were lucky a lot last year. You can't sustain that 2 years in a row. Not going to get every break, or 1 point win or 2 pt conversion. Cowboys defense strong lately forcing TOs. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the SAINTS. Yeah. I will lay more than 2 TDs with Brees at home. First. We have extra rest from that Atlanta loss (Though we cashed the Falcons) We catch the Jets coming off getting shut out and losing their QB. They will turn to Petty. Good luck in the dome kid. Bottom line for me here is this. New Orleans needs to keep winning as the Panthers 9-4 and Falcons 8-5 are right on their heels. Things are getting crazy in the NFC with Wentz out and Rodgers on the mend. And who knows about Dallas running the table to get back in the hunt. Saints 17-2-1 ATS last 20 at home when they are sporting a winning record. Final though on this one. Brees tossed that INT in the end-zone real late last week. You know that is killing him. He is coming out breathing fire today. Won't be shocked to see 14-0 end of 1st quarter en rout to a 40+ point day. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the EAGLES. 9-1 ATS last 10 for Philly. Yes, they lost their QB. But Foles is no slouch. Guess people forget the guy had 27 TDs and 2 INTs back in 2013 in 13 games, 10 starts for these same Eagles. And right now, let's be honest. He is probably better than Eli. He has the better parts around him that is for sure. Really for me though is this. Giants are done. Last week would have been the game for them. New coach. Eli back. Home vs Cowboys. Nope. Doors blown off in the 4th. You can hear any life being sucked out of the building. 5* Best Bet PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 

Taking the VIKINGS. Two teams in total opposite directions. Cincy off getting smoked at home by the Bears. Where is there motivation? Their season was lost 2 weeks ago when they blew the game vs the Steelers. There will be, or least should be, a coaching change for the Bengals. Do we really think they rally around the coach? Time for a change from the top down. Minny home after 3 straight road games. Still have a lot to play for. I can't see their defense giving up more than 10-14 points today. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

============ BUY OFF OF THIS +++ NO PLAY === 

Taking BOISE. This was a spot I was looking at even before the Ducks lost their coach. But now that Taggert is heading to FSU, we will officially jump on Boise. Will even sprinkle in some ML +260 - We have Mountain West vs big brother PAC 12. This wasn't an old-school Boise team, but they won 10 games. Most times I am heading to the other team when I see the proverbial 'ranked' team catching points from an unranked opponent. But here we see a PAC 12 team favored over the smaller school. Even a down year 7 win Ducks team has more talent across the roster. I just look at this as a good spot to play on the dogs though. Where is the motivation for Oregon? Hey, we are in the Las Vegas Bowl! I think people forget that Chip Kelly left these guys with a 3 year reduction of scholarships. That just ended. This isn't 2014 with Mariota in the Rose Bowl for the Championship. Those were Chip's recruits. I think Helfrich did a crap job recruiting. They were 4-8 in his last year, and just 7-5 with Taggart this year. As good as this job is with everything Nike, this is not the spot to be playing on TD+ favorites. Give me the hungry dog looking to take down the big name. 4* Money Maker BOISE

Taking the RAVENS here. One really thing I like here is that Pitt is off that Cincy game. Man they hate Cincy. Almost as much as they hate Baltimore. Tough to come off such a physical, and emotional game like that. Now to get up for another hated division rival. Steelers appear, not to play down, but to always be in a game late. Maybe they are begging us to take Baltimore and Pitt rolls 34-17. But Ravens 4-1-1 ATS last 6 in the series. Pitt won 26-9 back in October. They have the Patriots on deck. I know they battled all the way back over Cincy. But the talk has been all New England and home field. I'll take the flyer on a division road dog. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS