Taking DALLAS. Had these guys last week, back on them. Dak a total beast last week with the game on the line. But he is not new to comebacks. I think people forget a couple years ago he went toe to toe with a healthy, good Aaron Rodgers and just ran out of time as his terrible coach cost the team a win. Rams a good team. Coming in off bye, but before that taking Arizona and San Fran. But those QBs aren't Dak. And neither team has Zeke. Or even Amari. This team really changed with the arrival of Cooper. But let us not forget this defense either. Both teams with strong Ds - But maybe the Rams really peaked early. Is Gurley 100%? I know everyone is banged up after a season of football. Basically 3 weeks off. Will he be rusty? Good? Who knows? Let's not forget the Cooper Kupp loss. This is a lot of points for the Rams and Goff. Only his 2nd playoff start. 1st one wasn't that good. Dallas with house money getting a TD. Can eat clock and keep offense off the field. I think we have a live dog here. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the BEARS. It is a tough call fading Foles. I think Philly really rally's around the guy. But something tells me this is all Chicago. I faded the Bears last week thinking they would rather face Minny who they have controlled this season, over the defending champs and St Nick at QB. But the coach has the players behind him and this team is really a tough club on both sides of the ball. I just think the Bears defense will maul this team. And the Philly defense is average on its best day. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking NORTH DAKOTA STATE and will be on the OVER (60.5)in this game also. We had these guys a couple weeks ago. I wrote how this is the swan song for their HC. This program has won 6 of the last 7 FCS Titles and is looking to give said coach, Chris Klieman his 4th ring. 131-31 the scores in NDST 3 playoff games. We'll lay the number. 4* Money Maker NORTH DAKOTA STATE 

Taking OHIO STATE. Urban's swan song. We saw these guys destroy Michigan and their 'great defense.' Do we think that Washington has seen anything like this Buckeyes team in the PAC 12. Rose Bowl is a big deal for the conferences. But in today's day and age, they really are a step down from the Play-offs. This is all about motivation. And the OSU kids will want to send out their coach on a winning note. Not even going to overthink things. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE BUCKEYES

Taking MISSOURI. This is really a fade of an up and down Oklahoma State team. These guys were 1-4 on the road. Beating Kansas. Kansas put up 28. I think Missouri goes for 40+ this afternoon. This is a program looking for big wins. A bowl win will help the resume of QB Drew Lock. 4* Money Maker MISSOURI TIGERS 

Taking PITT. This is Stanford's 2nd trip to the Sun Bowl in 3 years. Yeah, they are pumped to be in El Paso. These guys had PAC 12 title dreams behind their RB, who just happens to be sitting out. I think Pitt is the hungrier group. This isn't a monster defense like Pitt saw in Clemson last time out. This will be a huge bowl win for a program looking to get back on track. 4* Money Maker PITT PANTHERS

Taking CINCINNATI here. I am actually kind of shocked that this line moved down a bit. I thought it would be moving up. Not sure why there is so much love for Virginia Tech. Hokies had to pay Marshall to come play to qualify and be bowl eligible. I think the Herd took the payday and got ready for their bowl game (who we cashed with) as it was 21-7 after 1 and off to the races. Back to the Hokies. This isn't Beamer ball. These guys are giving up more than 30ppg. 6-6 vs 10-2 yes the line looks low. But I am backing the Bearcats with something to prove beating an ACC team. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BEARCATS 

Taking the VIKINGS. So we like the UNDER in this game also. Same thinking. If you like the Bears here, then you must be all over the 0-7 on the road SF 49ers beating the 12 win Rams as double digit dogs. No cover. Winning. I can't see it.  You are telling me the Bears will be pulling new tricks out of their bag, and throwing in new wrinkles to confuse Minny who they are more than likely playing again next week. They want to try to knock out the Vikes to face the defending champs, Eagles with Foles behind center who the team does nothing but rally behind? Not buying it. Taking the Vikings who seem to have turned the offense around since canning their OC. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Taking the RAVENS. Another Super Contest pick for me.. Tied for 42 heading into the final Sunday. So I like Baltimore. Everyone will be on the upstart Browns. I think this defense is too much for the rookie to deal with on the road. Ravens bringing some fire today - let's not forget a TD pass with 40 something seconds left, at home, to knock them out of the playoffs last year. Focused, they deliver us the W . 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the BILLS. These guys haven't given up. They did lose (covered late) vs NE last week. But if we look at their 2 previous games at home. Beating the Lions and losing a tough one to the Jets. As we saw with the Jets vs GB, they haven't quit on their coach. This Bills team still has a pretty solid defense. And Miami wants no part of being in Buffalo in January. Back to teams showing fight. I think its safe to say the Dolphins have given up on their coach. We faded them 2 weeks ago in Minny and the Vikings ran them out of town. They still had a shot at the playoffs. And after scoring first to take a 7-0, Jags control the entire game. Nothing. No desperation. Jags off a loss to a 4th string QB picked up off the street. Where was their motivation? But pros with pride showed up for a road win. And as long as we are on road wins. How about Miami 1-11 SU last 12 on the road. 0-6 and 1-5 ATS last 6. Back on Dec. 2, Bills put up over 400 yards of offense and lost 21-17. That is what 3 TOs will do to a team on the road. 10* Money Bomb BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the PACKERS. So we had the Jets last week and Rodgers came to play. So there is zero chance I don't back him at home. No way he lets the Lions come in here and hand him an L. Detroit 2-29 SU last 31 here. Packers with a lame duck fill in HC. He will let Rodgers do whatever the heck he wants to do. Again - Rodgers came to play in the Meadowlands. Down 14-0, 21-7, 35-20. There was no quit. And I expect the same here at home. Domers like the Lions want nothing to do with the weather in Green Bay last Sunday in December. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS

Taking the GIANTS. Grabbed these guys in the Super Contest and will play them here. Don't think we see much from Dallas. It is their bye week. Could be Eli's last game. Either way, if they can't beat Cooper Rush by 10, this team has huge problems heading into next season. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS 

Taking OKLAHOMA tonight. I will grab 2 TDs with an offense that is #1 in college putting up nearly 50ppg. Look. We had Bama several times through the season and they did nothing but print money for us. I can't say a single negative thing about Alabama. I am just taking 14 points with a team that can score every time it touches the ball. We just need the defense to make a stop or two. Obviously easier said than done. I will sprinkle some ML on the Sooners also. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking NOTRE DAME. Actually played this on the ML for a little bit. This ND is tough. I am not taking anything away from Clemson. But they haven't faced a real team in weeks. Should have put this out when I could have gotten a bit of higher number. I thought it would come down game day based on ND alum pounding their school. This slight move is probably based on people waking up to the fact that ND can play, and Clemson is sending out a freshman QB laying nearly 2 TDs. 4* Money Maker NOTRE DAME 

Taking FLORIDA here. Just a small Money Maker 4* on the Gators. This play for me in really based on how is Michigan going to respond. If they are fired up and ready to take out all the pain from getting blasted by Ohio State out on Florida, we will know very early. And then if you want, you could possibly buy out in some live betting. But my guess is we see them lay an egg. 10 straight wins and a spot in the Playoffs with a win vs your hated rivals. 62-39. Gators with a little revenge angle from opening game loss last season. Won't be shocked if we see another Michigan defensive player sit out either. Huge New Years Day bowl for Florida after a 4-7 season. Again. Where are the Wolverines after thinking they would be in the Sooners spot if they won? 4* Money Maker FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking VANDY. Won't be shy about laying a couple points even if Baylor has a bit of home edge playing in Texas. Bears come in losers in 4 of their last 6. Their wins, a TD pass with 6 seconds to go over Oklahoma State. And win over Texas Tech who canned their HC after the game. How about that Baylor didn't beat a team with a winning record this year? Vandy was competitive in their games. I give them a pass on getting run out by Georgia. The other bad loss was to South Carolina after they played ND on the road and lost 22-17. They just ran out of gas in the 2nd half to SC. They have better talent right now with Shurmur at QB and a 1000 yard RB averaging 7 yards a carry. 8* Sure Shot VANDERBILT 

Taking MINNESOTA. I get that long time Georgia Tech HC is hanging things up. I don't think that warrants a line move like this though. I like PJ Fleck. Looks like firing the DC was the right move. Closing out the year winning 2 of 3 blasting Wiscy 37-15 and a pretty decent Purdue team 41-10. Plenty of prep time for the new DC to come up with a good plan. We will take the dogs and won't be shocked by an outright win. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA 

Taking the RAIDERS here. Should really go ML here on the sites for +120. Final game here for Oakland. Should be an insane atmosphere. Now- Normally I like to fade home teams when they honor former players or come out with retired jerseys and so-on. But not here. We have a complete disaster on the other sideline with the Vance Joseph led Denver Broncos. Guy should have been canned for that FG on Saturday night. So Denver limps in officially eliminated from playoff action. Raiders have shown life playing at home. Dog outright tonight. 5* Best Bet OAKLAND RAIDERS 

Taking SEATTLE. I will say this. I thought this would be a down year. Have these guys Under their win total. But yet, here they are. Fighting for a playoff spot. Now, last week was a brutal loss losing to San Fran. But that just gets us in a prime spot today. No way they are losing at home. Especially off a poor performance. KC comes in off that Thursday loss (we had LAC) with extra rest and time to stew on blowing that game. There is more going on in KC so. They lost hunt and we see a close game vs the Raiders. An OT game vs Baltimore at home. Blowing 14pt leads and losing at home. This line is 2.5 or 3 in most spots. If this game was in KC, would you be laying 8 points on a team 0-4-1 ATS last 5? Home about this - Seattle 11-1-1 ATS last 13 as home dogs. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the SAINTS. Had NE over the Steelers last week and that bit me in the behind. We will again fade Pitt though. New Orleans not looking overly impressive of late. And, as I said when we took Dallas on Thursday night, they were losing at Dallas or Carolina. Well, they lost at Dallas. A total flat spot vs Tampa on the road. Then in their 3rd road game, it was ugly vs the Panthers. I don't think the Steelers can slow down any part of this Saints offense. Do you know what I see after 3 games like that. I see a team that can win ugly. A team that isn't, just Brees putting up 40. A team that can make some stops when it needs them. After dropping 3 straight Pitt had all their marbles ending the Patriots hex on them. They won, finally. Speaking of wins, a W here wraps up home field for New Orleans. Lay it. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the JETS. Smacking myself for not taking them last night when I saw 3s and even a 3.5 pop up on the sites. I was liking NYJ before the Rodgers will or will not play rumors swirled. New York not a great team. But as we saw Saturday (we ended up with a push at 7) there is no quit in this bunch. Now we have GB in off having their season officially ended by the Bears. But has this team really impressed us this year at all? They are playing for a lame-duck coach who won't be back. I think they are thinking about Christmas with their families. This is one of those do they even get off the plane games. If A-Aron is sitting today, I would expect this line to move even more. 4* Money Maker NY JETS

Taking the FALCONS. Cam looked absolutely terrible. Probably will be out as reports are starting to come he could be done. I had the over MNF and man, what a pathetic pick by me. And for that, I am sorry. But as I said on my free pick video taking Carolina, that was a game I felt they were playing for their coach. Won't be shocked to see him get the boot after the way things have gone after a 6-2 start. 6 straight losses now, no QB and a coach with a cloudy future. Look - I will be the first to say Falcons were a disappointment. And I won't be shocked to see them part ways with at least their OC who wastes, arguably, the best WR in the NFL. Atlanta doesn't want to end up in the basement of the South. Sitting at 5-9, same as Tampa, I think they take care of this beaten Panthers team. They left everything they had on the field vs the Saints. Packing it in for Christmas, road team gets the call. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Only way to go in this spot. Off their first shut-out since Quincy Carter was their QB! Look. We had Indy last week. Real tough spot for the Cowboys off that OT Philly win. And a rough stretch in general. 5 straight. Road wins over Philly and Falcons. A Redskins game. That Saints Thursday nighter. A stinker was coming. It came. Let's not sell the Colts short either. They are a tough foe right now. So Bucs in a back to back road spot. 5 wins. Looks like they have lame duck coach who could be canned after the season. Perhaps the GM heads out also. As good as the TB QB tandem has been putting up points, 31 TDs it also has 15 INTs. And we won't talk about the terrible defense. Don't be confused by last week vs the Ravens. And I type that knowing we had Baltimore to get it done. Dak won't throw the ball 23 times for 131 yards. Amari Cooper could have 100 yards by half-time. Zeke will Zeke. Cowboys need to lock up their playoff spot. This is the spot. Now next week in New York with a wild-card game vs possible Seattle after that. They win this by double digits. Rest some guys vs the Giants. Ready for the playoffs. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the VIKINGS. Cashed with these guys last week, back on them again. I know that taking a division home dog in revenge spot is nice. Especially with a guy like Stattsford who can garbage time a back-door cover. But like last week, this play is based on the new OC getting things done. This team has been waiting to break out and I think with their season on the line again, we get another good effort. Let's not short change the defense that recorded 9 sacks last week. Safe to say Year 1 of the Patricia Era is closing out poorly. Lions scoring 16ppg and are getting out-yarded every week. Minny should crack 30 and this is a 10+ point win. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the TEXANS. Now. Before last week, Eagles as a home dog. I'm on them. Dome team outside for 2nd straight week. We pulled out a push with NYJ +7 last week in bad weather. Shouldn't be too bad tomorrow. Back to Philly. Though Foles should have started and stayed behind center a bit longer. But they yanked him for a non 100% Wentz. I have raved about Foles in this posts in the past. Not so much in this spot. Double digit dog with a HUGE road win. Maybe the Rams are down a bit. Either way huge win. Just feel that Houston playing some great ball right now. Getting points makes this a no-brainer play on the road team. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS 

Taking the CHARGERS. I know that this could be a bit of let-down spot for LAC. There is no home field advantage. Winning out and a KC loss somewhere will get them a bye week. I thought that Chargers were a good team starting the year. I think they are better now. They have 2 nice comebacks under their belts. Zero quit in these guys. I know Baltimore is a good defense. But I think LAC can put up what KC did, and possibly more. Against KC and NO, two offense I would say rate well to the Chargers, we saw 24 points allowed. This LA team has a better defense. They will stop the rush game. And if come to Lamar Jackson throwing the ball. Let's look at his last 5 games. Yards -- 131-147-125-178-150. We won't talk about his completion % - Or the rankings of the Tampa, Chiefs, Raiders, Falcons or Bengals defenses. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

Taking the TITANS. Was close to using these guys in the Super Contest (was in the Top 20, now Top 40) - It does look painful laying points with this offense. But I can't see a 4th string QB getting it done on the road. Yes, Redskins have over achieved with the way they have been playing. They are 4-3 on the road (Tampa, Giants, Arizona, Jaguars) - Are any of those teams playoff bound or alive here in December? Washington with 16-16-13 points scored their last 3 games. I won't be shocked to see a 30-9 game like the Titans dropped on the Jaguars two weeks ago. 4* Money Maker 

Taking ARMY today. Right off the bat you know Army is showing up big time for the Armed Forces Bowl. Army has won 3 straight bowl games over SMU, North Texas and San Diego State. Houston comes in with 2 straight bowl losses vs San Diego State and Fresno State. Where is the Cougar motivation? They lose their QB and were blitzed in their final game 52-31 by Memphis. We add game and we see the Cougars dropping 3 of their last 4. Army has reeled off 8 straight after losing by a TD at Oklahoma. Houston canned their DC, will be without their best DL and will also be missing some other key DL members. Black Knights roll. 10* Money Bomb ARMY 

Taking WAKE FOREST. Grabbing the dog here. And why wouldn't we? We have Memphis coming in off of blowing their conference championship. To face, a 6-6 team. Yeah. They will be pumped for this game in Alabama. Did I mention their all-world RB is sitting out as he enters the NFL draft. Wake won't bring much defense. But they do bring an offense that can put up some points. Again. Enter Wake off of a 59-7 win over Duke to get bowl eligible. Tigers in off another loss to UCF in the Title Game. Wake took out Texas A&M last year and is looking for 3 straight bowl wins. How about the fact that Memphis has beaten 1 bowl team this year? 4* Money Maker WAKE FOREST 

Taking FIU here. Should be a wild one and getting the points is fine by me. Total has been bet up a bit, and I still think it goes over. Toledo defense not that good. And with the MAC as a whole 1-11 SU last 12 bowl games, how do you back them laying points to a team from a better conference. And I have backed these guys a couple times the last 2 years. I like Butch Davis. The can recruit. This will be a solid school in another 2 years. Back to back 8-4 seasons and bowls. Last year didn't end well with a bad 28-3 loss to Temple. Just too many points to pass up in a pretty even matched game. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 

Taking MARSHALL. So South Florida playing a quasi-home game - Do you really think that matters? Banged up QB - 5 straight losses , all by double digits by nearly 20ppg. The OC left for McNeese State. I think that is a step backwards! Look. Marshall defense very good. Doc Holiday a perfect 5-0 SU/ ATS in bowl action. Herd come in off loss at Va Tech. But don't fool yourselves. They got a nice payday from the Hokies to show up, lay down, and get VT bowl eligible. Low scoring affair that Marshall should wrap up 29-13. 5* Best Bet MARSHALL 

Taking UAB. We have a huge motivational edge as the Blazers folded up their football program couple years ago. Now here they are- A small fave over this MAC team. And let's be honest. Northern Illinois pulled off a miracle win over Buffalo. And I am not saying that because I had Buffalo. I mean, really. That was a miracle. Offense, one of the worse in college, ranked 123rd in offense yards per game. Some how, down 29-10, scores basically 20 pt in the 4th to win 30-29. No way they catch lighting in the bottle twice. UAB brings one of the better defense to the party. In fact, they are 11th in offensive yards allowed. So 11th D vs 123 O - I will lay the short number and then be ready to cash our ticket. 4* Money Maker UAB 

Taking the RAMS. LA offense sure didn't look good in Chicago. I think things will be different at home. Both teams in off losses. But Rams still battling for that home field with New Orleans. Eagles defense has been a MASH unit nearly all season. Dallas put up nearly 600 yards off offense. Again. Bears defense and the cold a lot different than this Philly team that looks like it sold its soul for last years Super Bowl Win. 38-17 sounds about right. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. Had both of these losing sides last week. And I gotta tell ya. What was The Hoodie thinking? How do you not punch it in and go up 37-28. If you fail, Miami is pinned in their 5 or closer. You take a FG and all hell breaks loose on the final play. I can't blame Tomlin too much. The guy is a big dummy. Takes Big Ben out and then puts him. The FG attempt. Just terrible. Now - Who do we think is bouncing back this afternoon? What HC/QB combo do you think we should be backing? Big Ben with rib issues. Maybe they get their RB back. They couldn't do anything against the 2nd worse rush defense in the league. 5 straight wins for NE in the series. How about Pats off SU loss and a fave of 3 or less, 20-0 ATS run. They are on a 14-4 ATS run in games after losses regardless of line. Now 3 straight losses for Steelers. Big Ben 7 TDs 6 INTs last 4 games. The run game has been lost. Anytime we get the Pats and a short number like this, we have to grab it. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS 

Taking the TITANS here. Should really be playing +125/+130 that the sites are offering. I am trying to get back to that #1 NFL Capper Spot. No shame being ranked where I am right now. But we are looking forward to a big month here after we go 31-10 (76%) last December - Let's jump right in on the Giants. Are you really impressed with a 5-8 record. Wins over Mark Sanchez and the Redskins. Chase Daniel and the Bears in OT (and let's not forget Bears nearly lost at Arizona, lost at Miami. Totally different on the road) A final minute over the Nick Mullens led 49ers. A wild shoot out vs Tampa and back up QB Fitzharris before Winston came in. 7 straight losses. A last minute win over a backup QB. A wild-shoot out over a backup QB and the worse defense in the league. A loss to Philly. An OT win. And a gift bag of Mark Sanchez and Josh Johnson. Oh Christmas came early for sure for the GMEN. Give me Tennessee all day with extra rest. They will run over the soft Giants all afternoon. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the VIKINGS. This is it for Minny. Had these clowns Monday night and they were brutal. Canned their OC who was suppose to be the 'hot' name for one of the soon to be opened HC jobs in the NFL. Well. The smart money ain't on that happening now. I like this spot based on 2 things. One - that poor MNF performance and the canning of the OC and two. How about the clouds that Miami is coming in on? Nowhere to go but to have that bubble burst. Now. As having the Patriots last week I am shocked that they didn't try to get 7 and instead settle for a FG. Heck. Run another run play and have them try to go 97 yards or whatever. So- Miami off a huge win and could be a flat spot. Desperate Vikes need to win out. How about Dolphins 1-10 SU last 11 on the road. Yikes. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the RAVENS. I know what everyone is thinking. Laying points like this with Lamar Jackson, and off that brutal OT game vs KC. I get it. You are worried. Well don't be. This Tampa defense, if it is plays more for the run, will give up chunks of yards, and enough points for a 10pt win. Did you miss the collapse last week (we got a miracle cover with NO) - plenty of mistakes to go around. Special teams looked like garbage. OL fell apart. Winston doing Winston things. How is that going to fly vs this Ravens defense coming in angry, vs a team that will be out of it's element and quite frankly, not a good team. As good as this TB QB combo is putting up 31 TD passes, they also have 24 INTs. I am sure we see at least 2 turnovers this afternoon. Tampa 2-12 SU last 14 on the road including a 3-9 ATS run in their most recent 12 games.  In 6 road games this season - 40 at New Orleans, 48 at Chicago, 34 at Atlanta, 37 at Cincinnati, 42 at Carolina, and 38 at NYG.  I know that this Baltimore team isn't the Greatest Show on Turf, but we will get our 30 today. 8* Sure Shot BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the COLTS here. As a Dallas fan, tough to go against them as they are playing some inspired football right now. But the way this game falls, it is a great situational spot for Indy. 5 straight wins anchored by wins over bitter rival Philly. The last game, a wild OT affair. That off of a huge home upset of New Orleans. Colts in off big win over the Texans. Just feels like the way Indy has been playing (minus that Jax game), this is spot they win 27-17. I can see the Boys and their flake HC really mailing it in here. They have Tampa at home, then close at the Giants. With a 2 game lead in the NFC East, I think we see them lay an egg. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking DENVER. I get the love on the Browns. It is like taking a chain off a rabid dog finally firing Hue Jackson. Look. I am no fan of the Denver HC. I don't like him, the Dallas HC or the Charger HC. I don't even name them. They are garbage. But I think the sexy pick on the Browns is really putting whipped cream on crap. Mayfield will have his hands full, or really feet moving Chubb and Miller have 25 sacks between them. It won't be easy for the rookie. And at least with a veteran QB on the other side of the field, with a RB closing in on 1000 yards, I like the chances of the home team. Broncos off a terrible loss at San Fran should take care of business here. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS 

Taking the JETS here. I'll grab the points in this one. I guess it looks real easy to take the Texans and this defense vs a rookie QB. But I see a team that won by 2 at Washington 23-21. 19-17 at Denver. 37-34 at Indy. 20-17 loss at Tennessee. 20-7 win at Jax. I won't include 27-20 loss at NE. But I don't see a dominate team on the road. Loss by 5 at home to the Giants. Needed the Pick 6 Perriman of the Bills to toss another INT to win 20-13. 19-16 vs the Cowboys. Where is the dominance? 42-23 short week home win over Miami and back-up QB? I will give them Titans and Cleveland in back to back home games. But overall, this team has really gotten a lot of breaks, and luck along the way. There is a lot of love and I think inflated price on the Texans. Could be a nasty day as the weather is calling for 39-40 degrees and rain. Domed team from Houston playing in cold and nasty NJ weather. I'm dogging up. 4* Money Maker NY JETS 

Taking FRESNO STATE. Big turn around for this program under Jeff Tedford. Not a chance in hell they take this game for granted. Mountain West vs PAC 12 and the little brother has something to prove. Nobody expected much from Herm Edwards at ASU. Yet, they are bowling. Good for him. But they will be without a huge piece of the offense as their star WR is sitting out getting ready for the NFL Draft. Bulldogs bring it and win this one going away. 5* Best Bet FRESNO STATE 

Taking NORTH TEXAS. Will also be sprinkling in some ML on Mean Green. Right off the bat. Where is the motivation for Utah State? Yeah. A great year. 10-2 - close loss at Michigan State. Ranked in the Top 25. But losing to Boise crushed their MWC Title hopes. So here they are in an early bowl game vs Conference USA, in the New Mexico Bowl, which they have been to already. To add insult to injury, their HC is off to greener pastures to take over Big 12 Texas Tech and probably will be bringing his OC and DC with him. North Texas gets a shot at 10 wins and win a bowl game. NT is the only team in FBS to not trail a team by more than 1 possession in a game this season! 3 losses in conference play by a combined 13 points (3-8-2). Live dogs. 8* Sure Shot NORTH TEXAS 

Taking NORTH DAKOTA STATE. I have seen this line as low as 6 and as high as 12.5. All I know is that NDST is going for its 7th title in 8 years and their coach is heading to Kansas State after this season wraps up. 4* Money Maker NORTH DAKOTA STATE 

Taking the CHARGERS. Lost with these guys last week as they sleep-walked setting for FGs last Sunday. I get it short week. Big, bad KC with their awesome rookie QB. They didn't have an easy Sunday as the Ravens took them to OT. And what I really take away from that, and why I had this circled early in the season. The defense. Not the Chargers defense. But the Ravens defense. That is like the old-school Steelers, Seahawks defenses of past. Where you get hit on every play. And the next game you are just mush. Baltimore brings that type of defense every game. And they got it for a game, plus OT. The short home week doesn't help them much other than sleeping in their own beds. I have been on LAC all season. This is a good team. The offense behind Rivers will carve up this KC defense. The Chargers defense isn't terrible. I think they can make some plays here. Bonus with the 3.5, but I won't be shocked at an outright win tonight. 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERS 

Taking the STEELERS. Lost a brutal game on these guys last week. I am the first to say that I get you looking at Oakland here. Big Ben has some brutal road numbers. That being said though, I can't fade Pitt here. In a AFC North dog-fight, they need wins. Off that loss, they need a win. With their star fill in RB out, they really need a win. Raiders for some crazy win won at Arizona and cost me in that game. Last I checked, this team is, for a lack of a better word, tanking. They didn't want to pay Mack. They didn't want to pay Cooper either. I like their TE. And if they don't make any adjustments from LW vs LAC, a 40-20 win will turn into another mind-boggling 30-27 game. Big Ben should be able to pick apart this bad defense. 4* Money Maker PITT STEELERS 

Taking the CHARGERS. I think they are just begging you to take Cincy. Look- I had the Steelers last week. Thought I was sitting pretty at the half. And then here come LAC. Now, we have had these guys a few times this year. I will grab them here. No let-down. This is a very good team. Both coaches for me are crap. And the guy on the other sideline should be run out of town after this season. Back up QB vs a tough defense. Potent offense vs the worse defense in the league. Chargers are scoring 35-40 today. Does Cincy get 20? 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERS 

Taking GREEN BAY. Not over thinking here. Dome team in cold weather. Aaron Rodgers gets his coach fired and I expect a huge day. Not just for him, but the entire offense. Defense is what it is. This is really a dead number - I don't think this is a FG game. This is GB running away by 2+ TDs as the Falcons, already sitting in last place, see their season slip away further. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS. 

Taking the SAINTS. Have these guys at -7 that I put in last Sunday. Have them in Super Contest -8. No problem laying double digits today. New Orleans with rest. New Orleans with revenge. New Orleans defense vastly improved since Game 1 (we did have Tampa). New Orleans with 7 sacks last vs Dallas. New Orleans off worse offensive game since 2010.  I"m not impressed with Tampa beating Washington, SF and Carolina at home. The first 2 offenses scare nobody. And Carolina, well, they were 6-2 at one point, now 6-6, so they are sputtering. Tampa defense may look improved. But they won't shut down a determined Saints offense. Bucs do have a great offense. #1 offense, #1 passing in the league. But prone to TOs. The defense is 27th overall, 28th against pass. Hello Brees to Thomas for 180 and 2 TDs. I'm looking at Kimara, Ingram and even Taysom Hill to have a big impact today. 4* Money Maker NO SAINTS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. I am sure the 20 something people ahead of me in the Super Contest will be on the home dogs. They see Miami's 27-20 win last year and think more of the same. Well, we here Brady talking about how Dolphins play good and we don't in Miami. I am expecting more of what we have seen in 3 of the last 4 encounters between these two teams. They have been 35-7, 35-17 and 35-14. 5* Best Bet NE PATRIOTS 

Taking ARMY. I know when these guys play, you can toss out records and spreads. But this Army team is pretty good this year. I think they should cash at least a 10pt win this afternoon. Maybe the Sooners overlooked them at home in that over-time affair. But Army came out the next week, no let-down, hang-over, and took it to a pretty good Buffalo team on the road putting up 42 points. At 3-9 Navy is wrapping up a long season. Army looking to for back to back 10 win seasons. 4* Money Maker ARMY 

Taking the STEELERS. Hate going against the Chargers. We have had them several times already this year. But Pitt at home is a different animal. Big Ben, totally different at Heinz field. Will probably look into the over here as the game gets closer also. Flex helps a bit so it's not an early body clock game for LAC - If the Chargers had a healthy Gordon, maybe I would think about bucking Pitt at home. Can't see Rivers having a day like he did last week vs Arizona. Steelers will be in foul mood after losing at Denver. It's a short number, and Steelers dominate at Heinz. 4* Money Maker PITT STEELERS 

Taking SEATTLE. Will lay this. Seattle hurt me last week as we had Caroline. Our only loser on a 7-1 Sunday of NFL action. This SF team has hit hard times. The offense is terrible. Can't see them putting up 14 here vs the Seahawks who look they are ready for a playoff push. Seattle 10-2-1 ATS last 13 in the series. Mullins or Beathard vs Wilson. I was never a huge Wilson fan. But the guy is great. Seattle going away 30-13. 5* Best Bet SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the BROWNS. We will find out just how good the Texans are eventually. They are really getting all kinds of gifts in this win streak. OT Coaching blunders by Colts and Dallas. Injury to QBs during games. Games with backup QBs starting. Pick 6 INTs with a minute left in game. Now they are on a short week off that Monday nighter against Titans - and have big division game on deck vs Colts. Texans 4-11 ATS last 15 and 1-5 ATS last 6 at home. Browns come into town showing zero quit and battling every game. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the COLTS. Time to send in the clowns. Jags officially done. We faded them and cashed last week. Will do the same here. Streaking Colts looking to the playoffs. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking the BILLS. This group shows zero quit. Buffalo has covered 7 of 10 in the series. Miami showed some life with Tannehill behind center. But I like the Bills defense right now and the 3.5 is too good to pass up. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the RAMS. The door to the 1 seed has reopened. LA fresh off their bye. This could get ugly. McVay has no problem running things up. We will see 40+ this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb LA RAMS 

Taking OHIO STATE. So I am no fan of tOSU - But I will lay it and would lay 20 here. Fast track in the dome and I don't think Northwestern is keeping up. I know that Buckeyes have had some up and down performances. But not in Championship Games. They come to play, and Meyer won't be ashamed to run it up tonight. Last game on the card, so he will know how all the Sooners and Georgia did. I think Alabama, Clemson are locked in no matter the outcome of their games, plus ND. Who saw last week's butt-kicking of Michigan coming? Much like that 59-0 drubbing of Wisconsin in 2014 Championship Game. Not sure how Wildcats going to slow this machine done. No grass to help the cause. Ohio State has dropped 50+ 4 times and 49 on 2 more occasions. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE 

Taking ALABAMA today. My NJ Fan Dual app had this at 11 and I grabbed it.They sometimes have lines a couple points off, so that is nothing new. I feel just as fine laying this. We had the Tide last week. Eventually. This train breaks loose and it's a 20pt win. This isn't last year. Yes, Bulldogs with revenge for the Championship OT loss last year.  A full season, and a full game Tua is a tough match-up. I hate comparing how they do in SEC play. But, Alabama 29-0 at LSU and Georgia losses 36-16 at LSU. I'm going to lay it. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking UCF. Bucking the trend of everyone fading these guys based on a back-up QB taking the reigns. At Memphis earlier this year, the line was 5.5, it opened in some places at 7 - and that tells me that with Milton this would have been UCF laying 10 or 11 points. Last 2 games a double OT game and a 1pt win. I am sure something special is in store for this afternoon. Something like back QB Darriel Mack leads UCF to back to back undefeated season with 4 TDs in win 20pt win over Memphis. Knights rally for their fallen leader. 4* Money Maker UCF 

Taking OKLAHOMA. Forget about Tom Herman dog trends. Big revenge spot for the Sooners. Oklahoma has a bad defense- Well, after spotting Texas 3 turnovers and a 45-24 lead, Oklahoma only reeled off a 21-3 4th quarter. Did Texas just sit on their heels? Or did the Sooners play some defense? 56 points allowed last week. But hey, 2 defensive TDs. I don't think Ehlinger can keep Texas in this thing. If you are telling me you know that Boomer Sooner is turning the ball over 3 times and Longhorns hold onto the ball and turn those into 21 points - then I can see taking Texas here. No way Texas slows these guys down. 7 times scoring more than 50. 10 times scoring more than 45. High Noon Assault in Jerry's World. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking BUFFALO. Had these guys a couple times during the year. Look. Huskies have some experience in MAC Championships with a run of 6 straight in the books. But this team is different. As, the don't muster offense like some of those squads. Defense is solid. We will side with the Bulls to get it done. It will be a grind, they should pull away for a 10+ point win. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BULLS 

Taking DALLAS here. Both teams last seen winning on Thanksgiving. We have made money on the Saints all season except when we had Tampa in Week 1 and then Cincy 3 weeks ago. If NO is going to get clipped, it's here or in 2 weeks at Carolina. The first of 3 road games for the Saints. This is a tough game. Dallas finally putting some offense together. They do have a decent defense, though it doesn't really get turnovers. Take the home dog tonight. Won't be shocked if they steal an outright win here. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the VIKINGS. I get how everyone will run to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Last we saw these guys they were busy blowing a double digit lead on the road to Seattle. Always tough game after playing up there. GB now a miserable 0-5 this year on the road and 7 straight! 7 straight losses and a 1-5-1 ATS run for the Packers when they aren't at home. Minny on a 17-4-1 ATS as a home fave. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Taking the CHARGERS. Lost with both of thees guys last week. Will fade the road team today. I know that overall, Arizona has a pretty decent defense for themselves. And laying basically 2 TDs is a tough cover. But Chargers aren't too shaby themselves. Rosen has more INTs than TDs this year. he will cough it up. LAC needs to shut down the Cards RB. I don't see Arizona getting more than 13 points. Unless we have Rivers and LAC with 4 TOs on the wrong side of the 50, this games should be 30-10. A nice steady pace of Gordon on the ground and Rivers in the air should make this a nice afternoon win. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

Taking the BILLS. Think it is safe to say the party is over for the Jags. What a brutal way to go down last week to the Steelers. Now you are expecting them to get off the deck to win on the road, in Buffalo? I get the Bills are a bad team. But, we have revenge from the playoffs last year. Still some hold-over from that team. And, there has been plenty of play-off payback this season already. So again.. Both teams 3-7. Jags officially out of the playoffs. Up 16-0 and blowing it vs Steelers. On the heels of coming up short vs Indy. 6 straight losses. Bills dropped 41 on the Jets and have to be feeling good about things coming out of their bye week. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking BALTIMORE. Looking to really move a bit here on the Ravens. Last week I took it right on the chin backing Arizona. What the heck are the Raiders doing winning games when they need that top draft pick? Oh. Carr says screw the draft, he wants to win. Well why I won't be shocked one bit when he is on the bench at halftime in say, a 16-3 game. He isn't going to be in Vegas. Gruden will be. Now from Arizona out the east coast vs a desperate Ravens squad. A bunch of 5-5 teams in the AFC. Baltimore needs to notch a win. Raiders had lost 5 straight games by at least 14 points before pulling out the W last week. I see this in the 27-13 range. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the GIANTS. I never thought that NYG was as bad as the record. They had a heck of schedule out of the gate. I should have grabbed the 6 earlier in the week, but, I think we have the shot at the outright win today. Eagles don't look good. The offense isn't the same missing last years OC. The defense has been hit with injuries. GMen do have a couple play-makers that can cause some trouble for this Eagles crew. As much as people make fun of the Giants and Cowboys not scoring - Philly has scored more than 24 points just once this season! NYG has gotten 27 or more on 4 occasions including their last 2. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. Both teams in off bye weeks. Both in off losses. Pats on the road vs Titans as we backed Tennessee and their NE connections to a nice dog outright. Jets crushed at home by Bills. HC match-up is a complete mismatch. And one of them is having a rough go of things lately. NE has covered 3 of 4 off bye weeks and 13 of 17 off SU losses. Laying double digits to a division foe who plays you tough is a tricky spot. But as we toss in a rookie QB and the total state of Jets, a clearer picture comes into focus. At 7-3 NE has its work cut out for them if they want to be the 1 seed. It is a crowded room as Pitt 7-2-1, Houston 7-3, Chargers 7-3 are all looking at the 9-2 Chiefs. I'm thinking NE 27-13 with a couple of INTs by whoever is under center for NYJ. 8* Sure Shot NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking CAROLINA as our Top 10* today. Last we saw Seattle, they were beating the Packers for all the world to see. Extra rest helps the cross-country trip. But still a 10am body clock game. Panthers last see costing us bankroll in a game vs Detroit. Look. I have had Seattle as a rebuilding club all year. That isn't changing. Carolina at home is a big step up from win-less on the road Green Bay. Cam is usually on the money in his home games. I see this as a 10 point win for us. 10* Money Bomb CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking NOTRE DAME. I think ND is the real deal. We have see the Irish drop 40+ the last 3 meetings. Were any of those teams better than 5-6 SC team? I know you can rally around the, 'well it's their Super Bowl or whatever' I just can't get behind the Trojans in anyway tonight. ND, like other playoff teams, know they need to pass the eye test. And that is putting up points. They need to pull a 48-17 win on the road, in the books tonight. 8* Sure Shot NOTRE DAME

Taking FAU. Florida Atlantic needs a win to go bowling. Charlotte just canned their HC after last weeks loss. Lane Train needs to do something. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA ATLANTIC 

Taking ALABAMA. How does anyone get in front of this out of control freight train. So they played The Citadel to a 1st half tie last week. Bama needs to play with chips on their shoulders. Where is there motivation? Revenge from last years 26-14 loss should get the gears churning a bit. Not sold at all on Auburn. The one team remotely close to the Tide they have played - Georgia.. A 27-10 road loss. 37-6 sounds about right. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA 

Taking SMU. Had these guys last game vs Memphis. Not only did they fail to cover, they did it a painful fashion with a missed 2pt conversion. Ouch. Look- SMU needs this W for their bowl birth. No let-down off that bad loss in site. Tulsa miserable this year. When they aren't turning the ball over, they are thinking about how to turn it off 3 possessions from now. Tulsa is 2-9 for a reason. They're bad. 10* Money Bomb SMU 

Taking OHIO STATE. Hey,, Laying 3.5 and maybe buying down to 3 with Michigan is one thing. Laying 5 to Urban Meyer and his insane dog numbers - totally different breed of animal.  Ohio State hasn't been a home dog since 2011! 40-3 SU here. 13-1 SU in this series. In with 6 straight wins, and 13 in 14 games, Buckeyes dog to the Wolverines. The send out Game of the Year line on this was OSU -9. Now they are +5. I know OSU doesn't have a defense anything close to Michigan. Senior day in Columbus with the winner heading to the Big 10 Championship Game. Give me the home pups. 4* Money Maker OHIO STATE 

Taking CENTRAL FLORIDA. Had these guys last week, will go back to the well again. As i said then. No team with more to prove. If they have any shot at the Playoffs they need 20-30 point win here. Win, win and win some more. This will be one of their 38-17 type games. 4* Money Maker UCF 

Taking VIRGINIA. No time like the present to end a 14 game losing streak to your in-state rivals. VT suffering through a bad year. I know as home pups, you would think they are up and ready to play their rivals. I just can't get behind the Hokies. Even off a loss, VA has a lot working in its favor. Big edge on defense. A QB completing over 70% of his passes last 3 games. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA

Taking the SAINTS, and will look for a 20+ point win. Look. Had these guys last week. And they rolled. And it looked like they went easy on Philly. Falcons in off loss to Dallas. We had the Cowboys and the points (lost the Over though). This is it for Atlanta. For you to be on the Falcons you have to be thinking they win out. They need to win their final 6 games for 10 wins and a playoff spot. They still have games at GB, Carolina and TB. And before you laugh at Tampa, just look at the points they put up. Plus games at home vs Baltimore and Arizona. And to tell you the truth, that isn't really weighing all that much on my play here. Rams won on Monday night. And for NO to hold that tie-breaker edge and home field through playoffs, they need to win. And this team isn't a win by a point team. Brees is on another level right now. He should carve up this defense like we will be carving up our Turkeys and Hams 3 hours prior to this kick-off. New Orleans again will toy with dropping a 50 spot. The sites don't have first half lines - But I can see NO jumping out to a fast lead by half-time if you want to sprinkle something on that. At this points, Saints really can just name their score vs teams. I think they want this 40pt streak to continue. The spots where I think NO is ripe for being picked off (though I was wrong at Cincy) is possibly Dallas next week or, playing their 3rd straight game at Carolina in 3 weeks. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking DALLAS - I know that Dallas is terrible at home ATS wise 0-7 on Thanksgiving. I know that Thanksgiving home faves are great ATS wise 15-3 when laying 7 or more. I don't think there is much drop off at the QB position for Washington. I think the bigger issue is their OL play. Dallas defense is tough. Not great at turning teams over, but the defense is very sound. Last game, Jason Garrett clapped his way to lose. That's what this clown does. Crush peoples hopes and dreams when you back them. In this spot, like last week. I swallow hard and pray to the football Gods that in a league that gave us a 100pt game on Monday night, this guy doesn't continue to bring back 3 yards and a cloud of dust football. Zeke is the key. The kid does it all out of the backfield. He then opens things up for Dak.  Back to back upset road wins has Cowboys back in the NFC East hunt - Winner here takes first place as even splitting, Dallas 3-1 in division, Redskins 2-1. Huge game for Cowboys. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the SAINTS. We faded NO last week and it cost us. Otherwise, we have pegged these guys all season long. This line is moving. Not surprising really. Eagles O didn't look good vs Dallas. And Saints D is not as good as the Cowboys defense. But at home, Brees and the New Orleans will do damage. Golden Tate will probably score a TD this week. There is a nice prop bet if you can find it. But I don't think that Philly can slow down this machine right now. Rush, pass. Doesn't matter. NO finds ways to put points on the board. Take out a 34 game vs the Giants, and the Philly high water mark is 24 points. Not enough bullets for this battle. Scoring 22 a game and giving up 20 will get you exactly what the Eagles are. A 4-5 team. They got very hot and rode it all the way to a Super Bowl Championship. Well - things seem to lining up perfectly for a Saints run as they scored at least 40 in 5 of their nine games. A little luck doesn't hurt either. And they have been falling into their share of breaks along the way. Just 2 losses their last 11 home games. Tough stopping this group in the dome. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking ARIZONA. Yeah. Tough taking a 2 win team to win by 6 points. But they are playing the Raiders. The Raiders who have score 6,3,3 in 3 of their last 4 games. 5 straight losses of 14 or more points. It really comes down to this for me - Oakland is clearly 'tanking'. They want the #1 Pick. They won't get that by beating a team h2h and tying them with 2 wins.  The trades of Mack and Cooper, waiving Irvin. Clear signs this team is done. I think everyone has checkout. For Arizona, a tough year sure. But they have their franchise QB. They also have a new OC who is looking to spice things up a bit. He has David Johnson who is still a stud RB. HOF Fitzgerald who should find some space vs this terrible Oakland secondary. Cards 5-1-1 ATS run shows no quit even with their poor record. *Sure Shot ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the CHARGERS. Had these guys last week. And even sleepwalking they managed to cover double digits. This just seems like a different all around team. Still don't like their kicking game, but man oh man, what a year from Rivers. Let's not forget Gordon either. The RB is having a great year rushing, and catching the ball. First 'home' game for LAC in 6 weeks! Remember London. They are 7-1 here at Stub Hub. Neither of these coaches are at the top of any of my lists. Maybe worse NFL lists. Broncos in the midst of a terrible year. I think Vance Joseph is out the door in January. When I see Denver I see 2 pt loss vs Houston (home0, 7pt loss on road to KC, 3 point loss to Rams (home), 4 pt loss to KC (Home) -- Plus 1 pt win at home over Oakland, 3pt win at home over Seattle. Yes. They are 'in' games. And losing is a reflection on the coach. You think Case is happy about trading WR Thomas? How the heck is he matching big-plays from Rivers today? 34-16 loss at Jets. 27-14 loss at Ravens.. That is what we will be seeing from Denver this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb LA CHARGERS 

Taking the PANTHERS. Have been back and forth with this. Not a fan of laying on the road. But Panthers were humiliated on Thursday night football last week. It was nice as we cashed the over, but they want to move on from that in a quick minute. Lions. Man. What are they doing? I thought they were going for it by trading for Snacks. Then they deal Tate. I like Ron Rivera over Patricia for sure. Better defense with something to prove off that Steelers loss. Lions had covered 5 straight, now 3 straight double digit losses. Short week with Bears on Thanksgiving. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Always tough backing this team because not only do you have an entire team on the other side of the field working against you, you have a head coach who is against you for about 40 of the 60 minutes of the game. If, huge if - If Dallas gives it to Zeke, should be a nice easy day. He is a legit playmaker. Kid is very good. He opens things up for Dak. Cooper has caught some balls since he arrived. I expect more of him vs a banged up Falcons defense. I know in the dome ATL can light it up. But the Dallas defense has actually been good. The don't get many TOs, but they don't give up a ton of points either. It is a tough spot as Falcons come in off terrible loss to Browns and the 'Boys upset Philly on the road. I'm still grabbing the points though. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking HAWAII. A good spot to fade UNLV. Big 14 point 4th quarter in a 24-13 comeback win over San Diego State for the Rebels last game. Now they are in gorgeous Hawai'i. Of course they won't be looking past the Rainbows as have state rival Nevada on deck. 4* Money Maker HAWAI'I 

Taking SAN DIEGO STATE. The ole bubble burst fade. We had Fresno as they blew a 17-3 lead last week and hopes of a New Year's Day bowl get flushed down the blue turf toilet. Now they have to face SDST, who, is also off a disappointing loss. But I do like Rocky Long. And  nothing will get an upset loss out of their minds like taking care of Fresno. Aztecs 7-1 ATS last 8 as dogs with outright wins over Boise and Arizona State this year. San Diego State has played 8 straight games decided by one score. Fresno 18-4-2 ATS run, but that is why we are getting extra points with the dog tonight. 8* Sure Shot SAN DIEGO STATE 

Taking CENTRAL FLORIDA. Just think this is the old 'statement' game for UCF. Disrespected again the playoff poll. Only undefeated again. Last year they did everything asked of them including beating SEC Auburn. This is a game they will want to run it up as the powers that be say 'they don't pass the eye-test' or 'who do they play'. I see a 40-50 spot being dropped tonight. College Game Day in town. Huge home game of for the Knights. Cincy D gets a lot of press. But, 1 Top 30 offense faced all year. That was Ohio, who put up 30 points and over 400 yards. Reigning in the #3 offense is a bigger challenge. UCF should win this one by double digits. 10* Money Bomb CENTRAL FLORIDA 

Taking NOTRE DAME. So. It looks really nice getting a 'ranked' Syracuse team and double digits. I mean, - these guys almost beat Clemson this year and beat Clemson last year. And Clemson is good right!! Clemson lost their starting QB. They had a 3rd stringing in for the game this year. Who has Syracuse beaten? I see ratings where they are 30th or below. They trailed NC and needed OT to beat a 3 win team. They lost in OT to Pitt. Played LSU tough, Yes played Clemson tough on the road. And this is a tough spot for ND travel wise if you look at their schedule. But yet, 10 points. This line has ticked up. 5* Best Bet NOTRE DAME 

Taking MINNESOTA. Gophers with everything to play for today. Need a win for a bowl big. Northwestern comes in as the Big 10 West Champions! Possible let-down spot? Absolutely. This line just is begging you to take the Wildcats. Ranked team, getting points. A 5-5 team vs the Big 12 West Champs. Home team please. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS

Taking SMU. So neither team really shows up with a defensive game plan. Have to play the home dogs at this price. Somehow tied for 1st in AAC West sitting at 5-5. They beat Houston and Tulane, both teams they are tied with at 4-2 in conference play. Memphis at 3-3 and looking to leapfrog to the top of the West. Not sure it will be that easy. One - We have seen them on the road give up 41-65-40 this year to ECU MizzU Tulane. SMU has put up 63-45 in their last 2. They seem to be finding a groove right now. Memphis has put up 50+ 5 times and got to 47 once. Again the OVER will also be in play tonight. This won't shock me to be at 50 by half-time. Who will be shocked when this is a 55-49 game to start the 4th? 4* Money Maker SMU + OVER 

Taking SEATTLE. Had thought about these guys yesterday at 2.5 or the total. I still like the over a bit. We will see some points tonight. GB is not that good. Coach is garbage. 0-4 on the road. This Seattle team. Man, I was wrong. I put out Under their win total way back in July and they have a shot at getting the over right now. Look. Seahawks even off 2 losses are tough, especially at home. They were in these games late vs the Rams and Chargers. We cashed GB last week. Pretty easy as they were off Rams and Patriots and get the Dolphins at home. As I said. 0-4 on the road. Losses at Washington, Detroit, Rams, Patriots. Wilson getting some RB help that just makes him better. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking OHIO. Easy to think Buffalo is the play. You look at the 9-1 record. Getting a couple points. I'm not interested. Will go the other way. Ohio clearly caught looking ahead last week. Both teams can score. But I'll grab the MAC home team tonight. 4* Money Maker OHIO 

Taking the GIANTS. So. Going ugly here. What worries me is this line moving up a half point. I don't really like that too much. I know that SF looked good last Thursday vs the Raiders. But, it was the Raiders. New York in off their bye week. You have to think that they are going to get Barkley more touches. Kid is electric. And that will open things up for Eli to at least complete pass to another unworldly talent in ODB. And I say that as someone who can't stand the G-Men. But those 2 guys are great. I know the race is on for a top pick, but this team has too many veterans and attitudes to mail it in. I saw 2 spots with conflicting SF trends. 2-9-1 ATS last 12 as a fave and 1-12 ATS last 13 as fave. So maybe they used different closing numbers. In taking NYG, I am under the impression that their HC gets away from relying on Eli and moves more to the RB he took at the top of the draft. Rested dog gets the call in Prime Time. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS 

Taking the PACKERS. Not a fan of laying double digits that's for sure. Especially with a coach I hate. And this guy ranks up there with his brothers from Dallas, Chargers and Denver. But this QB is a beast. He actually is getting some RB help. I like when A-Aron is angry. This Miami team is like a JV club coming to town after the Patriots and Rams. Miami does have a pretty schedule if you look at records and who they have to play. They are projected to be a AFC 6 seed. GB with Seattle and Minny on deck. They can't overlook an AFC team. They can't overlook anyone when you are 3-4. Dolphins needed a lot of extra help, as in 4 INTs to get a win over the Jets (Miami my Top 10 LW)- And I am grateful for the win. But that shouldn't inspire much confidence as they come to a cold city with Brock leading the troops. If Osweiler keeps Miami in striking distance I will really be shocked. 5* Best Bet GB PACKERS 

Taking the CHARGERS. Yes. Very tough laying this with the Chargers since I can't stand their HC and I don't think they know they need a placekicker to score points. But it is clear that the Raiders are checked out and looking forward to Vegas. Picking up draft picks and cutting vets. Rivers having a monster year. Gordon back. LAC can name their score. I'm thinking something like 27-6. 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERS  (took me 3 times to write this as I keep putting SD instead of LA) 

Taking the TITANS. Uh. Going against Brady and friends. Never really a wise move. We did cash with the Patriots over Green Bay last time out and failed to cover as we had Dallas Monday night. (Side note, only loss for me on a 4-1 Super Contest day currently 18th overall out of 3200 people) So we have seen ex Pats in the form of Lions HC get the better of their former mates. We have that again today. Plenty of ex NE's on the Titans side of the field. Tennessee lost 35-14 to NE in last years playoffs. This years team is bad on offense. I get it. But the defense is a top unit. I think they hang here. Have to grab the TD with a home dog who knows their way around the Patriots thinking. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the BENGALS. Now. We are 6-1 when betting Saints game. Had TB in Game 1, lost our fade of them vs NYG. In this spot, I will again go against them. More a situational spot more than anything. NO comes in winners of 7 straight. A tough come from behind win over Baltimore on the road. And ugly win at Minny. Then, shooting out to a fast lead, only to the Rams tie it up at 35, before winning by 10. That is an emotional run the last couple weeks. And, Super Bowl Champion, Philadelphia Eagles on deck. Losing out of conference isn't a bad loss by any stretch. Maybe a slight look ahead. Cincy in off their bye week. Dome team outdoors. Bengals quietly the most efficient red-zone team in the league. Again. Ravens missed a PAT that would have forced OT. Vikes turned the ball over at the worse time. Rattling off 10 points after a Rams rally. You need some luck to go along with talent to win. But you can't get that every time you suit up. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Taking the JAGUARS. I get we have 2 teams that look totally different right now. Jax off their bye week. Licking their wounds. Benching QBs. Pointing fingers. Train running off the tracks. While Indy looks like things are great with Luck healthy and back behind center. They have 2 straight beating the Raiders and the Bills. Not exactly NFL royalty. This team gave up 42 points to the Jets and were in the throes of a 4 game losing streak when Buffalo arrived with Derek Anderson at QB who they pulled out of a rest home. This is the Jaguars season. The defense did an awful lot of talking and has produced just 7 TOs after 33 last year. Time to step up and Jax has had success vs the Colts. Jags 6-0 ATS last 6 in the series. 8-3 ATS last 11 in Indy. Will also be looking at the Under in this game. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking CINCY. Man. South Florida was undefeated 2 weeks ago. Then Houston beat them by 57-36. They followed that up as a 7pt home fave and losing to Tulane 41-15! USF 33-3 last year. We will see that flipped tonight. Cincy in off blanking Navy 42-0. They are licking their chops at a wounded Bulls team. USF 2-7 ATS. So even when they were winning, they were over-valued and under performing. Cincy 6-3 ATS on the year. Bulls defense in for a long night - last 3 road games, 57-24-42 points allowed. Bearcats last 3 at home 42-37-34. 8* Sure Shot CINCINNATI BEARCATS 

Taking PITT today. Not liking the VT rush defense at all in this spot. Panthers are on a tidy 4-0 ATS run. VT at 4-4 on the year. Not a nice season at all. But, this is the Backyard Brawl. So we toss records out. That being said, Pitt has been getting better as the season progresses, VT in a tail-spin. I want to say with everything points in Pitt's direction. Upset win over ranked Virginia last week. Close loss vs ND. Leading the ACC Coastal. This line does have me slightly worried. Won't shock me if VT plays this one as their Super Bowl. But I just can't see Pitt letting this slip away. VT has won the last 2 meetings. Pitt off that upset Virginia win, plus, they dropped 54 spot on Duke. If the Hokies didn't score a last (19 seconds) TD vs NC, we are talking about a team that has dropped 4 straight and not looking good at all. Small home fave gets the call. 4* Money Maker PITT PANTHERS 

Taking ALABAMA. How do we not taking the Tide when laying less than 30? Let-down? Not likely. Please let us not forget that this Mississippi State team managed 3 points on the road at LSU (29 there for us) 6 vs Florida at home, 7 at Kentucky. We take LT, ULL and SFA and this team has scored more than 28 points (A&M) just once (Kansas State). This game should be right around the number by half time. I don't see MSU scoring more than 14 points here. 67 points in 5 SEC games works out to be about a little more than 13ppg. Not cutting it against the Tide home even getting a bundle. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA