Taking GONZAGA. Not going to overreact to Saturday games. Baylor rolls. Gonzaga survives OT. Look. First time Bears are a dog all season. We can say how we should take them. 2 losses on the year. One, to Kansas when they were just getting their legs back after their Covid break. And in the Big 12 tourney where they shot under 40 from the field and 20% from 3. You won't be any good teams like that. And then the Zags laying the shortest number for them this year since opening -4 vs Kansas and winning 102-90. I couldn't believe the way UCLA was keeping up with these guys and shooting nearly 60% for the game. That won't get you a title and undefeated season. This line has dropped a full point since coming out. I think the people are forgetting the entire season for the Zags. Size inside a big edge for Gonzaga. Bears will be firing away from 3 all night. Should be a wild one. That said, let's look at Gonzaga vs 'Big Time Conferences' -After taking care of UCLA, Zags now 14-1 vs 'power' conference teams last 15 games. Team and Win Margin - UCLA (3), USC (19), Creighton (18), Oklahoma (16), Virginia (22), Iowa (11), West Virginia (5), Auburn (23) and Kansas (12) this season. Oh, the shortened Covid Season? - Wins at Arizona, Washington and Texas A&M. Home win over North Carolina. Neutral win over Oregon, loss against Michigan. Let's add in a  71-65 loser to North Carolina in the 2017 National Championship. A game tied 65-65 with 1.40 remaining, Mark Few knows how to handle the pressure. 5* Best Bet GONZAGA BULLDOGS 

Taking GONZAGA. We lost by fading UCLA last game, but we will do it again here in the Final Four. Zero chance that the Zags shoot like Michigan. Michigan couldn't hit a 3. Couldn't hit a FT. Bruins shoot 39% and win. Crazy. Did you happen to catch the game before it though? We had a Best Bet there. We will run it back again here on this bunch. First Four to Final Four. Great story. But, they are fairy tales for a reason. Zags and Baylor have been on a collision coarse all year. I said I would lay anything short of 20 with Gonzaga vs any team not named Baylor, Illinois or Michigan. And I am doing it here. 4* Money Maker GONZAGA 

Taking BAYLOR. This is a tough one since we have been so high on Houston since their AAC Tourney run and Championship win. I have said how good on both sides of the ball these guys are. But, always a but, as we just saw in them giving away a monster lead the other night - the offense can go missing. I mean, hats off for shooting 32% from the field and still, nearly cover. We have seen 3 crisp games from them lately. Over Cincy in the AAC Championship, running roughshod over Cleveland State, and the Syracuse game. We saw the Orange shooting regression coming and cashed. We didn't see the Oregon State let's not play for 17 minutes coming from our side. Rutgers game I toss up to a clunker. You can't take off 3 minutes against Baylor. This team will be all over you. I said at the start of the NCAAs this Bears team is very good. They have unfinished business from last year to attend to. It seems like Gonzaga/Baylor was what we have been expecting since December. As I write this Tuesday morning we don't even know who the other 2 Final Four teams are. Cougars are 28-3. This is by far, the best team they have seen all season. We can talk about the seeds they faced to get here. Overall schedule is no contest. Baylor, battle tested. I am not sure how Houston responds to a huge step-up in opponent today. 5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS 

4* Money Maker MICHIGAN WOLVERINES

Taking GONZAGA. We had USC last game. But this team has been really playing over it's head lately. Let's start vs Kanas. We had USC there also. But, 11-18 on 3s, 32-56 FG good for 59%. Over Oregon. 10-17 3pts, 57%! Another 31-54 57% FG game. 10-12 from FT line. Are you kidding me? They are a 64% FT team on the season, 34% from deep. I said way back I would lay 15-20 with the Zags vs really anyone but Baylor, Michigan, Illinois. And I stand by that. USC has had a nice run, and a nice season. But Gonzaga has too many bodies, to much talent for the Trojans. Zags by double digits, probably by 13+. 5* Best Bet GONZAGA 

Taking BAYLOR. I'll be honest. I had an entire write up done on how I think this can be a 3-6 point game. It really all came down to the rebounding of Arkansas. We split by having both of these guys Saturday. A big 10* win on Baylor, a 8* loser on the Razorbacks. And this isn't to simply fade off that loss. It is what we have seen all tournament from Arkansas. Which is, to rally from down double digits. You can pull that off against Colgate and Oral Roberts. You aren't getting away with that vs a team like Baylor who is an elite program. I think people forget about how good this defense is because everyone loves the 3 ball. Well, they didn't bring that in a suitcase last game, and still won by 10. This team can do it inside or out. And, they will force turnovers. Arkansas still a young bunch at the guard position. I think they TOs for some easy baskets. Bears double, or even triple their 3 ball count from last game. Much more confident in a 10pt Baylor win, than taking the points and thinking Razorbacks keep it within 4-6. 5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS 

Taking HOUSTON. I think the Ball, or in this case, the Big Dance, is ending for CinderFella. We made some money on the Beavers, now it is time to move on. They do have some size here, but Houston is scrappy. This is an underrated team, 27-3! I have said on the daily show since Conference Tournaments began. This team is one of the top offense/defense efficient teams in the country. I think this line is right around where it should at 8/9 points. And you can argue that taking the points would be the 'sharp' move since Oregon State is playing well. They are a 12 seed for a reason. They are here off a miracle run in the PAC 12 tourney. Houston has been sitting in the Top 10 all season. Maybe I am a bit biased on the Cougars. We have seen them in top form crushing Cincy and Cleveland State recently. We saw a ho-hum, we somehow pulled it out game vs Rutgers. We saw some ugly vs Syracuse and they still won by 16. I'm riding them again. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON COUGARS 

Taking USC. We loved us Oregon and had USC last time these games played. Both playing very well right now. But going back to their regular season matchup. USC wins 72-58, and that was going 7-17 (41%) from 3. That isn't a terrible number. They were 11-25 from 3 against Iowa, 55% FG overall. Trojans bring a bit of a better defense. Ducks also had no answer for Garza inside who put on a show, 14-20, 3-4 3pts 37 points and 9 boards. The Mobley's arent' Garza, but the inside game will be a big edge for USC here. 4* Money Maker USC 

Taking ALABAMA. Time for CinderFella to exit the ball. UCLA has treated us very nicely this tournament. The clock is ready to strike 12, or 7pm on Sunday night. Tide will win this one going away. It would be great if it goes like our last 10* Money Bomb when Alabama rolled the Terps on Monday night. Although almost hitting 100 points might be out of the question, Tide pull away in the 2nd half. UCLA really got a nice break in Round 2 vs Abilene and not Texas. I can't see them keeping up today. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA 

4* Total Money OVER Bruins/ Bama

Taking FLORIDA STATE. I thought that Michigan would get picked off last game. They are a talented bunch. But I am on the 'Noles. I thought these guys have been a solid unit all season. I do have a Final Four future on them. As they say, hedging is for gardeners. I thought they were good enough to get to start the tournament. My thoughts have not changed. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA STATE 

4* Money Maker GONZAGA

4* Total Money UNDER Syracuse/ Houston 

Taking ARKANSAS. It does hurt going against our squad. We have been on this bunch since their Summit League Conference tournament. We said to grab them as a dog to win it. And they delivered cash hand over fist. They have delivered again here in the NCAAs. But this bank account is about to run dry. Time to find a new source of income. One - rebounding. Oral can't compete vs the Hogs. These guys played in December. Rebounding edge 54-25. Oh, Oral did sport a nice 40-30 half-time lead on the road. 57-36 in the second half and Oral did pull out a cover. They have managed to pull off not 1, but 2 big upsets while being out rebounded 68-50. You can't keep shooting 11-35 and 10-30 from 3 and expect to win or lose by 3 every game. You will meet a team that will run you out of the building. Especially when your 2 top guys have played every minute of your 2 games, 1 being an OT game. Shots will be short - Arkansas rebounds, off to the races. Razorbacks by 20. After beating SEC buddy Florida, the 2 seed Buckeyes, and, holding a 10pt road lead over them, not a chance that Arkansas takes this team lightly. 8* Sure Shot ARKANSAS

Taking BAYLOR. Again all in on these guys. What have we seen out of Nova. A win over Winthrop that was tight. And them throttling North Texas. Bears by double digits and it won't be close. 10* Money Bomb BAYLOR BEARS 

4* Total Money OVER Nova/ Baylor

4* Money Maker COLORADO STATE

4* Money Maker WESTERN KENTUCKY

5* Best Bet MEMPHIS 

4* Money Maker PEPPERINE 

4* Money Maker PEPPERDINE

4* Money Maker USC

 Taking ALABAMA. Maybe this is the too good to be true, low hanging fruit line. I just think Bama is better. Probably 7-10 points better. This team is 21-6, lost to 1 bad team in Stanford early in the year. Top dogs in the SEC. And the Terps lost to Penn State twice! 9th in the Big 10. If I go down, I'll go down. But I would be shocked if the Tide don't pull away by double digits here. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA

4* Money Maker BELLARMINE

Taking FLORIDA STATE. So maybe a bit biased since I do have a FSU Final Four future. I do like Colorado. An easy Best Bet win to start Saturday over the Hoyas. A step up here vs FSU though. I thought these guys were the best team in the ACC. As nice of a season Buffs have had, I think the Noles are at least 5 points better today. 8* Sure Shot FLORIDA STATE

Taking LSU. So these guys hurt us the other day, but we will dust off a loss and move on. Michigan will feel the loss of Livers here. As I said before, LSU a bit of up and down team. While Wolverines have been steady the entire season. When you're missing a guy like this though, when the talent level rises each additional game, that loss is tough to overcome. For as bad as LSU started, you have to be impressed with the way the still put up the points they did. I didn't think Michigan would make it to the Final Four. This is their first challenge. Tigers can win this one outright. Will sprinkle some ML also on this one. 5* Best Bet LSU 

4* Money Maker OHIO

4* Total Money OVER Ohio/ Creighton

4* Total Money OVER Oregon/Iowa

Taking OREGON. Give me the Ducks here. I think is too many points for Iowa to give. Granted, these guys can score. But Oregon has been a solid team all year. We see a few PAC 12 teams showing up in the second round. I think the conference gets a bad knock because these guys have some wins under their belts. We saw Ohio State go down, and as I write this my Illini future is ready to be used as toilet paper as they trail Loy Chi by 9 with 3 to go. Inflated line to me for some odd reason. 5* Best Bet OREGON

4* Money Maker ORAL ROBERTS

Taking HOUSTON. Now. I do love some Rutgers. It's my home state. This team is a pretty decent squad. But, always a but, talent level not ready for a Sweet 16 run. We have Michigan State, the Boilermakers, and Ohio State all take dives early this tournament. I was wrong on Wiscy. Thought that NC would flip that final score on them. Not going to be wrong here. Rutgers at home in the RAC. A different game. They gave the Illini and Michigan some tough games. But this Cougar team is really rolling right now. Toss out grinders vs Memphis and we are staring at 20 and 30pt wins. This defense is humming. The offense is rolling. If Houston doesn't win by 12, I would be shocked. 8* Sure Shot HOUSTON COUGARS 

Taking TEXAS TECH. We liked this defense and team most of the season. Not going to get off them here. Big 12 better at the top than SEC. A couple bottom feeders in each. But give me the overall body of work here on both teams. And I am all over the Red Raiders. 5* Best Bet TEXAS TECH

Taking WEST VIRGINIA. Again, like Wisconsin. Not a chance that the team shoots like last game. Or, Buddy goes like a stud. I like the Over a bit here also. But I think  WVA is a superior team. I thought this line should be 2 points higher. Give me the small faves here. 4* Money Maker WEST VIRGINIA

Taking BAYLOR. Absolutely no way that Wiscy shoots 50% from 3 or 51% from the field the entire game. Not happening. Baylor is tough team. Lots of length. Better D than Carolina. I didn't think Wiscy should have even made the tourney. We have seen Ohio State go down. Purdue losing in OT. Michigan State bounced. Baylor should run these guys out of the state today. 10* Money Bomb BAYLOR BEARS

Taking MISSOUR. Sooners come in with losses in 5 of 6. The win, 2-21 Iowa State. Who, we had plus the points and a nice cover on the video. The Tigers - an  uneven year for sure. Opened the year beating tourney teams Oral Roberts, Wichita, Oregon, Liberty and Illinois! Also beat Arkansas and Alabama. You would think this is a Top 5 team. But, some bad losses. In this spot, I will grab them since they have clearly played and beaten, superior foes. 5* Best Bet MISSOURI 

5* Best Bet OHIO

4* Total Money OVER Iona/Bama

5* Best Bet UC SANTA BARBARA 

Taking the BONNIES. Not buying LSU. Don't be fooled by a last second loss. This team is soft and gives up points. Zero respect for the A10 here. Bonnies crash the glass and can rebound. They play solid defense. Give me the A10 Champs. 10* Money Bomb ST BONAVENTURE 

Taking COLORADO. Everyone loving the Hoyas. And why not. Big East Champs. Upsets galore. Killed us by blowing out Creighton. But I think reality strikes. No glass slipper for CinderFella here. Ewing totally overachieving right now. Team picked last for Big East. And here we are - 13-12 Conference Champs. I think PAC 12 was a little under-rated this year. Give me the Buffs. 5* Best Bet COLORADO BUFFALOS

4* Money Maker WINTHROP

4* Total Money OVER Winthrop/ Nova

Taking PURDUE. Mean Green in off a truly ugly game in the CUSA Championship. At one point in 2nd half, were outscored 22-9. Had early lead erased. Battled back down 4 late. Tough OT win. Poor FT shooting and lack of size will be exposed vs solid Big 10 team. Add in this is a quasi-home game for Purdue, and for that, any Big 10 teams, have to believe Boilermakers get a 10pt win here. 4* Money Maker PURDUE 

4* Money Maker NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking BUFFALO. I know the NIT is a fraction of the usual teams. And, teams could have easily said, thanks, but no thanks. Yet, I still feel Colorado State does not want to be here. Easily one of the last 4 out. This is not a reward for missing the NCAAs. Buffalo on the hand. Highly motivated to continue their season after it ended in an absolute ambush at the hand of MAC Tourney Champ Ohio. 41-21 at half and it was over. Losing by 15 as a 3pt fave. Yeah. This team wants to redeem themselves. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO 

8* Sure Shot LOYOLA CHICAGO 

4* Money Maker ORAL ROBERTS

4* Total Money UNDER Utah St/ Texas Tech

4* Money Maker UCLA

5* Best Bet APPALACHIAN ST

4* Money Maker DAVIDSON 

4* Money Maker DRAKE

4* Money Maker TEXAS SOUTHERN 

Taking WESTERN KENTUCKY. Had these guys going down in heartbreaking fashion in CUSA Championship Game vs North Texas. They battler  back from an early hole. Led late, couldn't hold on, OT tough, ugly loser. Still believe in this talented bunch. This is a school that won't be upset to be here. In Covid basketball, you could have easily said no. They have something to prove. I think they could have picked off a team in the NCAAs. This team beat a good Memphis team on a neutral. Lost 70-64 to West Virginia on a neutral. And, Beat Alabama on the road 73-71. They were just 4pt dogs in that game. Obviously, not impressed at all with the Gaels. Memphis beat Mary's 73-56 on a neutral if you like that kind of stuff. 4* Money Maker WESTERN KENTUCKY 

Taking TOLEDO. Just the better team. Should have grabbed them +1 last night. They will get it done. Pulling down 38 boards help to get scoring at a 81ppg clip. Richmond has zero motivation here. We had them in their last, loss to Duquesne. Also had an A10 Tourney future that went up in a flames. A season that had so much promise off a 24-7 campaign last year and a pre-season Top 25 ranking, is ending here. Losers of 3 straight, this team has shown little heart when needed. Rockets will be more than excited to keep playing after dropping their conference championship game. And, A10 is a bit superior to MAC, so we have a little brother/big  brother thing also going on. 4* Money Maker RICHMOND 

4* Total Money  UNDER Ohio State / Illinois

4* Money Maker HOUSTON

4* Money Maker ST BONAVENTURE 

4* Money Maker ALABAMA

4* Money Maker COLGATE

5* Best Bet WESTERN KENTUCKY

4* Money Maker CREIGHTON 

4* Money Maker TEXAS LONGHORNS 

Taking WICHITA ST. Shockers rolling 10 of 11, 15 of 17, heck, 16 of 20 on the year. Took care of Cincy 82-76 already. Split with Houston who is a very good team. Out of conference games - win over our guys Oral Roberts. Lost to Oklahoma State by 3, and Missouri by 10.  We did cash Cincy and the Over yesterday. But, not so fast as dogs today. Slow start to AAC Conference play. Dropped 5 of 6. Then ran over wins in 6 of 7. Who did they play though? I'll tell you this. Lost to Memphis, Houston and Wichita. All the good teams. All the teams seeded higher than them, and SMU. Bearcats get exposed this afternoon. 4* Money Maker WICHITA ST

4* Money Maker ALABAMA

4*  Money Maker HARTFORD

Taking COLORADO STATE. So you already know from the videos I have an NCAA make the tournament future and a MWC Tourney championship future on these guys, So maybe I'm a tad biased. But I am not hedging as we are small dog vs a team we split with this year. We went 14-4 in conference, they went 15-4, 18-5 for us 19-7 for them. Not much difference. I thought CSU would be good. They have delivered. Not changing my thought on them now. 4* Money Maker COLORADO STATE

4* Money Maker UCF

4* Money Maker UCONN

4* Total Money OVER Conn/Creighton

4* Money Maker IOWA

4* Money Maker FLORIDA ST

4*  Money Maker ST PETERS

Taking BUFFALO. One game played and it was a 80-78 win for our guys just last week. Akron in off win over BG. But BG was just average at best in my eyes. Before that, Zips had lost 3 straight. Buffalo on a 11-1 and seem to be hitting their stride coming into the tourney. We'll grab the fave here, 4* Money Maker BUFFALO

Taking SOUTHERN UTAH. 3 losses for this bunch. In conference to Weber and Eastern Washington. Both of those guys are top seeds like this Overall #1 in the Big Sky. They beat up on the bottom and middle tier teams. Hello Montana State. We  had a lean on these guys in the live video yesterday. Here. Nope. You know how you win a tournament game by shooting 41%? You have the team you play shoot 31! These guys had lost 6 of 8 coming into the tourney. They lucked into a team that was somehow shooting worse then they were. Not in this game. Southern Utah by double digits. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN UTAH 

Taking BAYLOR. I think people forget how good this team was last year.  A 1-1 start turns in 24-1. Then hello Kansas. Loser. TCU, Loser. West Va Loser. 26-4 season. No way Bears were going to let the Jayhawks ruining this season  Yes, 13-1 and 21-1 on the year. Loss, hello Kansas. But, we give a bit of a flyer there. Out of covid pause, they went through motions vs Iowa State before Kansas beat them 64-61.  Last year. All defense allowing just 60ppg. This year. 85ppg on the offensive side of things and 66 on defense. Still a nice number. This team is very talented. Whereas I would lay 10+ with Gonzaga over really all teams but maybe 2 or 3, I can say the same for this Baylor bunch. Anything under 10. This season, they wouldn't have covered this number 5 times- 2 of those were 8pt wins.  4* Money Maker BAYLOR BEARS 

4*  Money Maker MORGAN ST

4* Total Money OVER Morgan/Coppin

4* Total Money OVER Cincy/SMU

Taking CINCINNATI. We are on the over here also. Yes, SMU has not played in over a month. Do I think they will be a bit sluggish, yes. But that is why we are on the points. We are on the over because SMU is an inside scoring team. In fact, neither team shoots the 3 ball particularly well. I see a lot of inside score, and those buckets are a lot easier then hoisting bombs from the parking lot. Obviously I think both teams get into the 70s today. Cincy on a 13-3 over run also. This should be a back and forth game. OT possible. We are getting a nice number. Bearcats hang tough. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI 

4* Money Maker TENNESSEE 

4* Money Maker WESTERN KENTUCKY

Taking MICHIGAN. 8 Seed Maryland got by Sparty and it cost us yesterday. No such luck vs Wolverines. This is one of the Top 3 teams in the country. No arguing that fact. 87-63 and 84-73 in the season sweep. These guys looking to wrap up a 1 seed. To do that, they need to win this tournament. Terps couldn't shoot a lick yesterday (38%), but still managed to win - 20-28 from the FT line helps a cause. Michigan will not shoot as poorly as their in-state rivals. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN 

4* Money Maker WEBER

4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH

4* Money Maker NORTH CAROLINA

4* Money Maker NORFOLK

4* Money Maker NORTHERN ARIZONA 

4* Money Maker UCF

4* Total Money UNDER Rice/ UAB

4* Money Maker KANSAS

4* Total Money OVER Butler/ Creighton 

4* Money Maker MORGAN ST

4* Money Maker BOISE 

4* Money Maker ST PETERS

4* Money Maker TULSA

4* Money Maker GEORGIA TECH

4* Total Money UNDER Minny/Ohio St

4* Money Maker SOUTHERN UTAH