Rating: 3 Unit Big-12 Play of the Day

Buckeye superlatives just continue to mount.  A 492-126 point edge in L9 regular season games, with 386-63 point margin this year: 24-9 first down, 264-83 rushing yard, 431-191 total yard edges in rout of mighty Wisconsin.  Dobbins: 139 rushing yards per game (7.2 yards per rush), Fields 69% (24 touchdowns with 1 interception), etc, with the top-ranked "D" in the nation. Quite a mountain for Terps to climb.  Have already been stung for 59 & 52 points

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

Tigers stayed with LSU, despite 508-287 yard deficit.  Still an overland force (#20 run "O", #16 run "D"), & taken likes of Mississippi State apart (ala Ole Miss?).  Reb "D" stung for 28+ points 11-of-last-15, but note rushing for more than 220 yards 5 times, & covered L2 road games (barely).  Whatever AU wants

Rating: 3 Unit Big-12 Play of the Day

We took the Wildcats to the bank just about every year in this one, but things change.  Jays: 569 & 527 yards vs Texas & Texas Tech (lost in L0:00; won in L0:00). Stanley 19 touchdowns with 5 interceptions this year.  'Cats 90th in total "O", but took Oklahoma 48-41 (led 48-23 in 4th).  Host is 13-7 ATS in Kansas State contests.

Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week

Yes, we know that this goes contrary to history, as Coogs have covered last 9 vs the 'Ducks, including last year, when Minshew outdueled Herbert.  Washington State came in nicely last week vs Colorado, but OU not only has the firepower, but the 16th-ranked "D".  Revenge in style.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

Is Navy smoking, or what?  Try an 822-219 rushing yard edge L2 weeks (27 & 17 point covers), & 7-1-1 ATS run, with only miss by 1 point (Perry now over 3,000 rushing yards).  Wheels came off 'Wave ride, from 288 rushing yards per game to 146 in last week's 47-17 loss to Memphis.  Chalk is now 7-0 ATS in TU contests

Rating: 3 Units

They just keep on winning & covering, do these Mustangs.  Now +79 points ATS, & Buechele in off 6-TD, 457 passing yard showing in destruction of a decent Temple squad (655 yards).  Coogs never sniffed spread in narrow escape of 1-6 UConn (154-yard deficit).  And UH ranks 120th in total "D

Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day

Payback time for Lions. A 177-70 rushing yard edge over Iowa, holding Hawkeyes without a TD 'til L2:31. And Clifford is 13 touchdowns with only 2 interceptions. Wolverine run "D": 46, 1, 64 yards L3 games. But just no overland reciprocating.

Rating: 4 Unit Pac-12 Game of the Week

Bloom is off the rose, as far as Coogs are concerned, losing to Arizona State in L0:34, not having covered since August. However, Buff "D" a perfect remedy, allowing 30+ points in their last 11 games, entering off a 45-3 loss to Oregon (228-yard deficit, with Montez at 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions)

Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week

Sure, there are legions who won't hesitate in jumping on the Wildcats as such heavy dogs, as they've thrived in the pup role for many years, including current 16-5 spread run in that setup, much less as 4-TD dogs. Fact of the matter is that they not only lost their last home game by a 34-10 score (Wisconsin), but can't approach matching points with such a huge juggernaut, ranking 128th in scoring (14.4 ppg). Compare that to Bucks at 50.2 points per game, while playing their starters for little more than a half of every game. We gladly lay the huge spot..

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Upset of the Week

Tigers at 54.6 points per game, with Burrow first QB in Lsu history with 300 passing yards 4 straight games (78.3% & 22 touchdowns and 3 interceptions). And the Bayous on a 16-5 regular season ATS run. Gators a 231-87 point edge in L7 lined games, holding Auburn to 124 rushing yards (entered at 252). Typical classic SEC war. Lean to the points

Rating: 3 Unit Inter-Conference Play of the Day

Host series: 6-0: 49, 41, 45, 49 points for winners, before last year's 24-17 Irish (-11) win, with Troy back dooring it on 20-yard pass in L0:48. Daniels & Book: 349 & 352 passing yards. USC 14-35 away, 7-18 as a dog, & 1-14 as a road dog.

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

- Aggies have played mighty 'Tide better than anyone, save Clemson, of course. Simple math here, as L2 years, Alabama has beaten all regular season foes by 22 points, or more. A 259-74 point edge this year. Sure, 'Tide "D" is nowhere near recent editions, but Alabama "O" is seemingly unstoppable.

Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week

Check out the Buckeyes with a 369-106 point edge in their last 7 regular season games, with Fields now at 16 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Try scoring on their first 6 possessions in destruction of Nebraska, to push their run to +135½ points ATS in last 7 regular season games. Wisconsin & Penn State on deck for Spartans, who rank 7th in total "D", with Lewerke at 10 touchdowns and 1 interception. Still Bucks.

Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Mismatch of the Week

No doubt the boys in Vegas leave no stone unturned in posting a number, & without a doubt, they are without peers in their knowledge. However, for the life of us, we simply cannot see the Hawkeyes as the underdog in this important match. The Wolverines finally got it together with last week's drubbing of a totally lacking Rutgers outfit, for their first cover of the year, which followed their embarrassing loss to Wisconsin (359-37 rushing yard deficit). Iowa has paid off with regularity (14-4-1 ATS), ranking 5th in total "D", with QB Stanley at 8 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. This is a take.

Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week

We've been on the 'Boys all season, & have reaped the rewards of their 4-0 spread opening, with their only SU miss by just 6 points at Texas. In Hubbard, they own the top rusher in the nation, 10 TDs & 187.6 yards per game. Check their 21-8 first down, 373-126 rushing yard, & 526-244 total yard edges in last week's 10½ cover over always dangerous Kansas State. The Raiders are always among the passing leaders, & at are again, but note in last week's loss to Oklahoma, their yardage was exactly doubled (642-321). Texas Tech in a revenge sandwich.

Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day

Katie, bar the door! Firepower galore! Year ago, nothing was left on the field in 36-31 Buckeye win, with a 485-456 yard edge. Ohio State is fully focused this season, with a 321-99 point edge in L6 lined games. Fields now 13 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. Nebraska may have been caught peeking in last quarter loss to Illini

Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week

Wolfpack not playing their best ball, barely getting by Ball State, with a 23-25 first down deficit, & a 417-389 yard deficit (McKay: no touchdowns and 1 interceptions). Florida State led Louisville 21-0, but trailed 24-21, before 35-24 win, covering in the L 1:37. We're always on the 'Pack when these 2 meet. Again.

Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week

Badgers continue on impressive way, with a 141-10 point edge for the season (+80½ points ATS), & in off a 359-37 rushing yard edge over Michigan, with another 203 rushing yards from Taylor (147 per game). The Wildcats stand at 1-2 SU, & 0-3 vs the points, losing to the spot a by 15 points in last week's 34-10 home loss to Michigan State. Payback cements it.

Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week

Can this be anything but? Sure, the Cougars lost 8 starters, including QB Minshew, but are 11-2 ATS at home, & Gordon has picked up baton, by leading the nation, at 441.3 passing yards per game. Bruins continue along their feeble way: 17 points from a 7-34 line run, & can't run: 78 yards per game.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

They keep on doing it. Knights now on 28-1 SU run, with accompanying 17-6-1 spread run, topping 37 points in 24 regular season games since '17. A 604-253 yards per game edge this year, with Gabriel at 9 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. Pitt at just 87.3 rushing yards per game, with a 117-70 point deficit in its last 6 lined games. Sure QB Pickett is at 293 passing yards per game, but Panthers just missed on the one that they truly wanted (Penn State)

Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day

Payback for last year's Wolverine stomping of the Badgers, with a 320-187 rushing yard edge. Wisconsin hasn't exactly taken on the cream thus far, but cannot argue with 110-0 point edge, nor its balanced 217 rushing yards per game, 300 passing yards per game "O", as well as its 107.5 yards per game "D". First road game for Michigan, with the host on an 11-5 ATS run in UM contests. Tables turned from year ago

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Smash of the Week

Incredible 'Tide now has a 1,066-394 point edge in its last 25 lined games. As usual, Saban called off the dogs in last week's rout of New Mexico State. Tua now has 7 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. South Carolina lost QB Bentley, but check Hilnski's 24-of-30 (282 yards) last week. But don't forget that 483-270 yard deficit at North Carolina.  Not going to be close.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

Again & Again! Knights now on 27-1 SU run, topping 37 points 22 times since '17. A 665-146 rushing yard edge this year, with QB Gabriel has 5 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. And on 16-6-4 ATS run. Cards have rung up 3 "O" TDs so far, & going it without QB Costello. A 157-yard deficit at Southern Cal a precursor here?

Rating: 3 Unit Mismatch of the Day

Another win for the 'Cane, who are on a 4-18 SU run. Surely impressed vs San Jose State, with balanced 256 rushing yards, & 283 passing yards (Brooks: 140 rushing yards last week). However, 'Pokes are relentless (40.1 ppg in their last 48 lined games). Sanders: 59 & 75 yard TD passes last week, & 6 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. We don't buck 'em

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

McKay has replaced the brilliant Finley for the 'Pack (40-of-52: 77%) in cakers vs likes of East & West Carolina. Also check a 500-49 rushing yard edge. Mounties lost without Grier & 11 other starters: 13, 13 first downs, along with 34-30 rushing yards. Only way to go.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

Extra week to prepare for 'Canes after loss (3-pt cover) to Florida (six lead changes),  despite 94-50 rushing yard edge. Tars rode Brown's return to enviously balanced (238 rushing yards, 245 passing yards) win over South Caroline, with 213-yard edge. 'Heels just 8 points from 7-0 spread run. Again.

Rating: 3 Unit CFB Play of the Day

Tech missed cover at Clemson on late 51-yard FG. A 411-157 rushing yard deficit for 'Jackets' formerly overpowering run game (#1 last year). Now 131-45 point deficit in L3 tilts. Nine returning Bull "O" players made little difference in the horrendous 0-point, 9-first down, 157-yard effort vs Wisconsin.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Mismatch of the Week

Last week we described the Utes as "always there", & weren't they ever in 30-12 throttling of oncoming Byu, behind Huntley's 13-of-16, & 181 Moss rushing yards (35:58-24:02 time edge). Just 90 rushing yards, & 24 points for NIU vs Illinois State, including a 68-yard Bowers TD pass. Utes smother 'em.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

We've never seen such a dramatic drop as these Cards are experiencing: -331½ points ATS in their last 27 outings (6-21). Another? Okay, Louisville allowing 57 ppg in its last 7 games. Irish got to Final Four, before being taken apart by Clemson. Return 7 offensive starters, including QB Book. A one-sided affair.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

Kentucky is coming off 3 consecutive bowl campaigns, & rare 10-win season, but will be hard pressed to continue that performance, as they've lost a dozen starters, including record-setting RB Snell. Underdog is 18-6 ATS in UK games, & Rockets not only topped 50 points on 5 lined occasions in '18, but have been a staple for the last decade. All ingredients for a nail biter.

Rating: 4 Unit Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Florida State on a steady decline (12-13 SU L2 years), with unthinkable 210-87 point deficit in their last 5 outings. Hornibrook or Blackman at QB? Broncos have said goodbye to QB Rypien (13,587 passing yards on 1,035 completions for his career), but Boise has been a steady force forever. Note visitor is 29-12 ATS in Bronco games. Take the points.

Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Upset of the Day

For the 2nd straight year, the Knights of Central Florida have made it through the regular season unscathed. And for the second consecutive season have been rewarded with a New Year's Day bowl game against an SEC power. A year ago, it was the Peach Bowl, vs the 10-3 & #7 Tigers of Auburn, who were expected to put an end to this false challenger. But things don't always pan out, & didn't in that one, as UCF (+9½) turned a 20-13 deficit in the 3rd, into a 34-20 lead in the 4th, en route to the 34-27 upset. Knight QB Milton was just 16-of-35, but 242 passing yards (2/0), along with 116 rushing yards (8.9 ypr). Before entering that one, the Knights barely got by Memphis, 62-55, in their AAC title game. Ditto this year, as UM (+3) led 38-21 at intermission, with 336 rushing yards, only to go down 56-41, with 65 2nd half rushing yards. Check a 252-134 rushing yard edge over Cincinnati, which out rushed its other 11 opponents. The loss of Milton (knee) on Nov 23rd mattered little as backup QB Mack was 19-of-27 for 348 passing yards & 2/0, while rushing for 4 TDs, with Knights totaling 34 first downs, 350 rushing yards, & 348 passing yards. And they haven't missed a beat, with the replacement of HC Frost, for Heupel. Another "upset"?

Rating: 5 Unit Bowl Game of the Year

Iowa HC Ferentz is 7-8 SU & 9-6 ATS in bowls, but most recently 1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS, with 4 wipe out losses in those 6. As usual, the Hawks again depend on their 7th-ranked defense, which more than offsets a 76th-ranked offense, that has topped 159 rushing yards only 4 times. QB Stanley has had his moments (23/9), but just 58.6 %. The Bulldogs finished at 4-1 SU & ATS, with a 160-49 point edge (+75½ points ATS). Fitzgerald is a bit of an heir-apparent to "do-all" QB Dak Prescott, with 1,615 rushing yards (15/7) & 1,018 yards (15 & 12 TDs). Thus, much attention to their offense, & deservedly so, but check ranking 10th, 6th, 3rd, & 1st in run, pass, total, & scoring defense, giving up just 12 TDs in 12 games.

Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Game Play of the Day

Aggie bowl games exceed simple excitement, with final scores of 52-28, 45-37, 21-27, 28-33, & 52-55 in their last 5. In last year's Belk, A&M led Wake 14-0, trailed 31-14, led 42-41, trailed 48-45, led 52-48, & lost 55-52, in last 2:18, with 636-614 yard deficit. This year was highlighted by its 74-72 seven OT win vs Lsu, behind 6 TD passes from Mond (no picks), who tied it on a 19-yard TD pass at the gun in regulation, along with 198 rushing yards from Williams, who ranks 3rd in the country with 1,524 yards (15 TDs). The Aggies are on a 13-6-2 ATS run, with one of their misses coming by a point in that Lsu contest. The Aggies are 5-2-1 ATS vs bowl teams this season

Rating: 5 Unit Bowl Game of the Month

Tech has been out rushed by 7 of their last 8 opponents, surrendering 465 & 492 rushing yards to Georgia Tech & Pitt. It is the exact opposite for the Bearcats, who've had the overland edge in 11-of-12 games (#14 run offense, #6 run defense). HCs Minter, Dantonio, Kelly & Jones had the 'Cats on a seemingly constant 10+ win run, only to have Tuberville gradually take them down the tube (4-8 in '16), before their transformation, under Fickell (from 4-8 to 10-2 SU, & from 100th & 96th in total offense & defense to 23rd & 7th this year). Ridder (2,359 passing yards, with 19 touchdowns and 4 interceptions), Warren (1,163 rushing yards, 17 TDs), & Lewis (1.4 yards per catch), along with that defense have 'Cats at +110 points ATS for the year. No doubt on this one.

Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Game Play of the Day

The Wolves were ranked 4th in the land, with a Final Four Playoffs spot a given, if they just took Ohio State in their season finale. Michigan went into that one on a 10-game winning streak by an average score of 39-13. But it wasn't to be, as the Buckeyes (+4) destroyed the Wolves, 62-39, with a 656-401 yard edge. And that vs a Michigan squad whose defense entered at 13.5 points per game, & 234.8 yard per game. Thus, from a playoff spot, to a lesser bowl, while plunging to #8 in the polls. This marks UM's 47th bowl, & 8th in the last 9 years (2-5 SU, & 2-4-1 ATS). No questioning the improvement under Harbaugh (38-14 SU) with the Wolverines finishing 4th, 1st, 3rd, & 1st in total defense, although they are just a 1-2 bowl proposition, spread wise. Opponents state that their devastating loss to the Buckeyes kills any focus or dedication for this contest. However, I remember in '15, when an identical 10-1 Michigan outfit was demolished, 42-13, also in its season finale vs the Buckeyes. Thus, a match with Florida in the Citrus Bowl. Did they care? As noted above, they must have, as they mauled the Gators, 41-7, as a field goal favorite, with a 503-273 yard edge.  Mullen's arrival from Mississippi State, has turned Gator fortunes around, with a 6-1 start (5-1 ATS), before ending 3-2 (1-3 ATS), coming from 108th & 78th in scoring & rushing offense, to 25th & 26th, respectively, is a true improvement. But I just can't dismiss that '15 Wolverine bowl bounce back.

Rating: 4 Unit Bowl Game of the Year

The Mountaineers of West Virginia are going it without their 2 best players, namely All-Big12 OT Cajuste, & All-American QB Grier, who has thrown for 7,354 yards & 71 TDs last 2 years. How valuable is he? Try just 14 points, 9 first downs, 52 rushing yards, & 100 passing yards, with a 498-152 yard deficit, in 30-14 loss to Iowa State, when he was subpar. This marks the Mounties' 37th bowl (15-21 SU), 15th in 16 years, 19th in 22 years, & 22nd in 26 years. Quite an accomplishment, except for the fact that they are currently on a horrible 3-12 ATS run in these contests (0-5 & 1-8 of late, as well as on a 2-6 SU slide), while allowing 30+ points in 8 of their last 9, including last year's Heart of Dallas, trailing 30-6 until the final 1:58.

Rating: 3 Units

Three straight bowl seasons for the Trojans of Troy, who are on a splendid 31-7 SU run, with HC Brown turning this former doormat into a power, serving notice with a tight 30-24 loss at Clemson, as 35-pt dogs, in '16; & an outright 24-21 win at Lsu, as 20½-pt dogs, in '17. And this year, they upset Nebraska, 24-19. They have a pair of 1,000-yd QBs, as Smith (1,349 yds) took over for an injured Barker in mid season. In Troy's 3 losses, the Trojans committed 4, 3, & 4 TOs. Stay clean, & this one is theirs.

Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Game Play of the Day

Fresno State has been a dream to their backers, as they are currently on a 19-6 spread run, while compiling a 22-6 SU run since Tedford took over as HC in '17. All he did was inherit a squad which was fresh off a 1-11 record in '16 (0-10 windup), as well as a 3-9 log in '15. He simply duplicated what he had done for Cal in '02, when he took over a 1-10 team, immediately turning it into a 7-5 outfit. Led by McMaryion (3,453 yards, 70%, 25/3), & WR Johnson (1,307 yards), Fresno is seeking its first-ever 12-win season. For the Sun Devils of Arizona State, this marks their 30th bowl game, standing at 14-14-1 SU, but on a current 4-9 SU & ATS run.

Rating: 4 Unit Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Just one more, & the Irish are in the playoffs. Book is back (23-of-37 for 292 passing yards vs Syracuse). Notre Dame has topped 30 points 7-of-8, & held a 300-yd rushing yard edge over Troy last year. Only 97 & 112 rushing yards for Trojans the L2 weeks, who are 3-11 ATS (1, 4, 1 point covers), & Daniels just 15 touchdown with 12 interceptions.

Rating: 4 Unit ACCC Game of the Week

Panthers have clinched their first ACC title game berth, with 28-3 2nd half edge at Wake (470-285 yard edge). Have reached 200+ rushing yards 9 times this year, & are on 6-0 ATS run (+107½ points). Miami snapped 4-game slide, with a 28-0 windup last week. On 5-14 ATS run. Grab the points.

Rating: 3 Unit CFB Play of the Day

Zip QB Nelson back, but just 2 field goals vs Bowling Green, & a 794-317 yard deficit in their L2 games. Ohio just the opposite, with 339 rushing yards per game in their L5 games, & in off 646-277 yard edge vs 9-2 Buffalo. And Ohio is +88½ points ATS at home.

Rating: 4 Unit CFB Mismatch Game of the Week

Most potent offense in Utah State school history: 804 yards last week (40 first downs). Now on a 7-1-1 ATS run, by 116 points. Rams on a 3-12 spread slide, with a 523-94 rushing yard deficit L2 weeks. No way this stays close.

Rating: 4 Unit CFB Game of the Week

Loved Pitt's rout of Virginia Tech, piling up 654 yards in the process (Ollison: 235 rushing yards). Panthers on 5-0 ATS run, by 92½ points, & at 410 rushing yards per game the L3 weeks. Wake slowing it down (lack of depth). Took NC State in L6:10, but have allowed 39.8 points per game in their last 5 games. More of same

Rating: 3 Unit CFB Play of the Day

Nothing but superlatives, as far as Owls are concerned: 26-8 ATS (7-1 ATS LA: 2-point miss); 1,207 yards L2 weeks, vs Central Florida & Houston. Bulls a 133-74 point deficit L3 games, with 606-191 rushing yard deficit the last 2

Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week

Line opened at Baylor minus 1, and is now minus 2. How the pendulum doth swing. A near complete turnaround for these 2 this season. For the Bears, they've gone from last year's 1-11 log, to this season's 5-5, needing this for bowl eligibility. And for the Frogs, they've come from a perennial bowl squad (11-3 in '17), to a team which has been the victim of countless key injuries, resulting in a 4-6 log, with current spread runs of 0-7 & 1-10, failing to reach the 300-yard offensive plateau in 3 of their last 4 games, & are in off 47-10 loss to West Virginia (25-point ATS loss), while Bears pulled upset of Oklahoma State in their last home game. I'll lay the 2.

Rating: 4 Unit CFB Game of the Week

Line opened at Cincinnati minus 12, and is still minus 12. Guess who popped into the weekly Top 25 polls this week? Right, these Bearcats, who are more than deserving, despite their level of competition. They've been a huge step ahead of the odds makers all season. Just one slip, & that in narrow road loss to always dangerous (& underrated) Temple. Last week, they demolished a Navy team, 42-0, & in so doing, kept the Mids out of the end zone, which hadn't happend to them since '12. Cincy: a 451-171 yard edge, as well. The Bulls of South Florida have had the rug pulled out, with the departure of Flowers. Weekly squeakers, have evolved into 98-51 point deficit the last 2 weeks.

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

Line opened at Georgia minus 14½, and is now minus 14. Are their anymore non-believers in the brilliance that of this 'Dawg squad? Sure, their lopsided loss at Lsu didn't help, but that was simply a classic SEC home upset, which makes that league so special. Truth is, the 'Dawgs are still very much in the mix for the National Title playoffs, currently ranking 5th. Thus, no possibility of anything but full focus. A week ago, they simply crushed Kentucky's highly ranked rushing "D", with a 331-84 RY advantage, while the Tigers have run only on OleMiss' sieve "D", & have topped 33 points in 7-of-8 games.

Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week

Panthers in the groove, winning & covering 4 straight (+65½ points). Came from 191 rushing yards per game to 369 rushing yards per game in the L2 weeks. Hall vs Cavs LW: 229 rushing yards (12.1 yards per rush) & 3 TDs. Four straight home losses for Hokies (1st time since '92). Scorched for 309 rushing yards per game in their L3 & 0-4 ATS by 50½ points.

Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day

Pair of spread setback for Boilers, on the heels of 5-0 ATS run. Beat Iowa on FG in L0:08, & in doing so posted their 3rd win over a ranked team. Blough: 3 TDs. Visitor now 37-15 ATS in Purdue tilts. Minnesota got its comeuppance in 33-point line loss at Illinois. Ceding 43 points per game their L6 games

Rating: 3 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day

Cougar magic continues, taking Stanford in 0:19, after Minshew completed his first 19 passes in the 2nd half. And Washington State is on a 5-0 ATS run. No offensive TDs for Bears vs Washington, but still a 12-10 win (key: "pick-6"). Solid defense, but no match for Washington State at this site.

Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week

Raiders always among the offensive leaders (3rd, 6th, 4th in pass, scoring, total). Bowman another 323 passing yards last week, but 1 touchdown with 3 interceptions. Oklahoma never rests. In off a 702-yard effort in destruction of a Kansas State team that took Oklahoma State 31-12. Murray at 2,329 yards (28 touchdowns with 3 interceptions). OU: 18 straight road wins

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

Yes, we are fully aware of the fact that this series is rife with brutal, low scoring wars. The Tigers are on a 12-2 ATS run, & at +55½ points ATS in last 3 home games. But also note that Lsu was held without a TD in the L57:37 of its win over Mississippi State. Alabama is always a defensive marvel, but this year they own possibly their best-ever offense. Tagovailoa now 25 touchdowns with 0 interceptions, 70%. Tide rolls

Rating: 4 Unit Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Line opened at Fresno State minus 23½, and is now minus 24. Five straight wins for the Bulldogs, covering all 5 by a combined 60 points, which swells their current spread run to a very profitable 23-4-1 run. Their only slip (SU & ATS) this year came in an early season 21-14 loss to Minnesota, as 2-pt dogs. QB McMaryion is the perfect leader (now 14/2 TDs to INTs), & Fresno has allowed just 3, 3, & 7 points the last 3 weeks. Rainbows of Hawaii can move the ball, behind QB McDonald, who now stands at a remarkable 29/3 for the year. But 'Bows cannot run, & HI "D" has only contained formerly punch-less Wyoming

Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day

Line opened at Penn State minus 5, and is now minus 6½-7. Weekly Nittany Lion romps have come to a close, dropping 2 of their last 3 contests, SU, but with a cumulative score of 76-76. Their brutal loss to Ohio State (led 26-14 with 6:45 left, only to lose 27-26 in the final 2:03) simply crushed them, as they followed that one up with 21-17 upset loss to Michigan State (were 13½ pt favorites). Both were at home, by the way. And last Saturday, they were outplayed in narrow 33-28 win over Indiana, as 14-pt favorites. QB McSorley has assumed too much of the "O" load. Hawkeyes a steady force, looking sweet as TD dog

Rating: 5 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Month

Herman Edwards has switched ASU defensive system to 3-3-5 and opponents have been very hesitant to throw against it. USC hasn’t been able to run very well this season, and a pass-heavy plan as they prep #3 QB, red shirt freshman Jack Sears, would seem to be a good recipe for losing. There doesn’t seem to be a best-case scenario here for the home side. The Trojans’ defense suffered a major blow when linebacker Porter Gustin was lost for the season a couple of weeks ago. Giving up 40+ in defeat at Utah was not a good way to resume playing without him. The exposure could continue to be exploited.

Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week

Lions white-knuckling it, with 1, 4, & 5 point margins L3 games. A 48-43 point deficit in their L2 home games, & in off 32-20 first downs & 554- 417 this year deficits at 4-4 Indy. Penn State took Hawkeyes at the gun last year, & this should resemble that, although Iowa managed just 1 "O" vs MD. This to wire.

Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week

Tigers came from a 1,371-362 rushing yard edge in previous 4 games, to a 104-91 rushing yard deficit vs NC State. However, Lawrence posted more than 300 rushing yards. And that "D". So a 104-10 point edge in L2 games. FSU cranking it up, behind QB Francois (353 passing yards vs Wake), but cannot run. Rout

Rating: Pac-12 Play of the Day

Just that improbable OT loss to Stanford keeps 'Ducks from unbeaten ranks. Took Washington in OT, by twice freezing Husky placekicker, on final play. Herbert: another 2/0, & now at 17 touchdowns with 5 interceptions. But offensive line is hurting. Washington State also 5-1 (39-36 loss to Usc). Minshew in off 430 passing yards (5/0) & Wash State is at 38.6 points per game in its L7 home games (14-4 ATS at home).

Rating: 3 UnitInter-Conference Game of the Day

Line opened at Missouri minus 7, and is now minus 10. Sure, the line swing is hardly welcomed here, but, this sets up nicely. Catching the Tigers of Memphis, off being crushed in the one that they've been pointing all season, gives us a perfect spot to jump in. In its 31-30 loss to unbeaten Central Florida, Memphis held 31-14 lead over the Knights, in the 2nd, only to be held scoreless over the final 32:04, not exactly what this offense is accustomed to. Mizzouri's loss to mighty Alabama was nearly on script (28-point dog, 29-point loss), so no letdown. Offense galore, with the emotional edge to Missouri.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Blowout of the Week

Utah State doing it up right, behind QB Love, who has 9 TD passes, with no picks L2 weeks. Are 4-0-1 ATS, by 72 points so far, and in off balanced 598 yards vs a decent Unlv squad. 'Pokes have a 159-62 point deficit in lined games, with zero "O" TDs past 2 weeks. Favorites are 6-0 ATS in Wyoming games this year.

Rating: 4 Unit NCCAAF Game of the Week

Cadets are something else. Check their current 5-0 spread run by 95½ points. A better than 300 rushing yard edge in latest romper, vs San Jose State. 'Hawks in off 29 & 14 point covers (led Kent 30-0), but were at just 132 rushing yards per game, before posting 295 vs Kansas State's paper defense. Use Army/Buff as a barometer.

Rating: 5 Unit NCAAF Game of the Month

West Virginia quarterback will Grier got 3 interceptions out of the way against the Jayhawks, who’d displayed those tendencies with 8 picks in their prior five games. Iowa State has only 3 INTs. They changed quarterbacks to dupe the Oklahoma State defense for 48 points, but that defense had already been duped for 41 by Texas Tech.

Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week

Spartans not moving from top spot in rushing "D", but can't run, themselves, & have a current 46-19 point deficit in their last 5 quarters. And check QB Lewerke at just 6 touchdowns with 6 interceptions. Rested Lions do it every which way: 261 rushing yards per game & 254 passing yards per game. And a matter of last year's killer to settle.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

Sure, Spartans have covered 5-of-6, but still looking for SU win #1. Managed only 48 rushing yards vs Colorado State's previous 249 rushing yards per game "D". Came back vs Rams, but collapsed in 4th. Cadets rested & ready after pasting previously perfect Buffalo, & taking Oklahoma into OT: +45½ points!

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

Owls again in the groove. Are on 23-7 ATS run, covering their L4 games by 80½ ptoins. Have neutered overland game of Middies L2 years (26 & 14 point covers). Navy yet to cover, & the visitor is 13-5 in Navy contests. Only 9 first downs, with a 399-178 yard deficit for Navy at Air Force

Rating: 4 Unit  NCAAF Game of the Week

Irish a totally different outfit with the insertion of Book who followed super effort vs Wake with 4-TD, 24-of-33 showing in 15½ point cover vs Stanford. Perfectly balanced. Hokies got 332 passing yards (3 TDs) in Willis' 1st start (21½ cover at Duke). But Tech: only 82 rushing yards. Irish!

Rating: 4 Unit Military Game of the Week

Right, I rarely, if ever, stray from backing the underdog when these 2 meet (26-8 ATS). No wins for Falcons vs lined teams, but Middies are 1-8 ATS in road spreads (-42½ points ATS this year), & in off OT loss to SMU, allowing 2-point conversion. The Underdog is 20-3-1 ATS in Air Force games. Again

4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

Gators put it to us last week, holding Mississippi State without an offensive TD, and a 155-yard edge (98 passing yards). So 3-0 SU & ATS (+54 points). The Bengals just keep plugging along. On 10-1 spread run (5-0 away), with lone miss: 3 points, and +46½ points ATS this year. Note a sweet 573 balanced yards vs Ole Miss. Ditto.

Rating: 5 Unit BIG10 Game of the Year

Line opened at Iowa minus 3, and is now minus 7. I originally went with the Gophers here, as the host team has been splendid play in Minnesota games, covering 8-of-10. That following a streak in which the underdog paid off in 13-of-15 Gopher games. However, all that has changed, with the favorite now on an 8-0 spread run in Minnesota games. Thus, a mere 7-point spot, vs an Iowa squad, which ranks 5th in the land in total defense, holding 9 opponents to less than 18 points over the last 2 years. And note that the favorite is 16-5-1 ATS in the Hawkeyes' last 22 games. Minnesota had a 315-94 rushing yard deficit in their last game (31½ point line loss to Maryland).

Rating: 3 Units

The visiting team in Bronco games has been a godsend, currently standing 25-8 ATS, & we've certainly reaped the reward. Sure, that trend hasn't paid off in Boise's last 2 games, especially when the Broncos took the road, returning with an embarrassing 44-21 stomping at Oklahoma State. The Cowboys have made some noise, of late, with a pair of 8-win bowl seasons. However, after taking the measure of patsy New Mexico State in their opener, they were nailed for 41 & 40 points in their 2 lined games since. Catching Boise in this spot is just a killer

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

No less than 6 take aways for Gators in rout of hapless Tennessee. Only 14 first downs, but a 47-21 win (22-point cover). Will need a repeat of such generosity if they are to be competitive vs Bulldogs, who stunk out the joint at Kentucky: 11 first downs, with a 229-56 rushing yard deficit. Are seething. Don't worry about the number.

Rating: 4 Unit Non-Conference Game of the Week

Utah a week off after feeble 13-first down effort vs Washington. Washington State averaging 40.3 points per game in their last 6 home games, with a 108-58 point edge in lined games this year. Minshew: 344 passing yards, with 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions vs USC.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

Katie, bar the door! Can this be anything but a barn burner? Question: how did Raiders lose by 20 hosting Ole Miss? They've taken their normal spot atop passing & total "O" columns. A 38 point cover at Oklahoma State, with 35 first downs & 621 yards. West Virginia's Weir at 14 touchdowns with 3 interceptions, so a wild one.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Mismatch of the Week

Bulldogs keep on doing it. Now have a 394-170 point edge in RS play since last year. Fitzgerald last week: 6 touchdowns (4 rushing) and over the last 2 games, he has thrown for 397 yards and run for 266. Kentucky at 301 rushing yard per game in lined games, & posted 24½ point cover vs Florida 2 weeks back. Visitor 6-1 ATS in UK games.

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

No questioning Texas A&M  improvement behind QB Mond (640 passing yards L2 weeks). Nicely balanced, but note only 71 rushing yards in narrow loss to Clemson. Alabama in another stratosphere (527-155 point edge L13 games). Trailed Ole Miss 7-0; won 62-7. Tagovailoa: 20 drives so far: 14 touchdowns & a field goal.  No question about this outcome.

Rating: 3 Unit ACC Play of the Day

No covers for either squad, with mighty Tigers 3-7 spread run. Note 595-140 yard & 27-7 first down edges over Georgia Southern. Georgian Tech on a 10-5 ATS run, but lost its last lined home game, 38-7. Check a 739-362 rushing yard edge in Jackets' last 2 contests: a 73-57 point deficit, & -23 points ATS. Tigers roar.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

Eagles still smoking: +141½ points ATS L9 games & on a 10-1-1 spread run. Brown against Blough here, with the former in off TD passes of 27, 35, 29, 71, & 40 yards, & latter blistering Mizzou for 531 yards (3 touchdowns with 1 interception). Visitor still the way to go in Boiler games as they are 34-12 ATS. Lay it.

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

Not much more need to be said about this one concerning Alabama.  They have a 465-148 point edge in it's last dozen games.  Now Tagovailoa is #2 in the land in passing efficiency.  Old Miss QB Last week had 448 passing yards with 5 touchdowns and no interceptions.  The Tide will be fully focused, which is big trouble for the Rebels.  This ones a route

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

Quite a turn around for the Gophers who were horrid favorites, before current 3-0 ATS favorite run, by a combined score of 123-45, including holding Fresno State to 13 first downs and 87 rushing yards. Miami-Ohio is on a 3-10 ATS slide, with a 359-147 rushing yard deficit this year.  Don't worry about the number in this one.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

Just 4 punts in 2 games for the Rainbows, with McDonald at 846 passing yards and 9 touchdowns so far (6 vs Navy). Another? Hawaii is +53½ points ATS to date. Owls in off allowing 577 balanced yards hosting Houston. And no letup here.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Upset of the Day

Both off & running. Minnesota turned a 10-7 deficit vs New Mexico State, into a 48-10 win, with a 295 -38 rushing yard edge. Opposite of last year, when they had a 103-10 point deficit in 3 of last 4. Seven rushing touchdowns for 'Dogs in opener with Bryant taking 2 blocked field goals to the house. Fresno an 8-0 ATS underdog

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Week

The Utes have Washington, Washington State, & Stanford on deck, but clicking (+35 points ATS in last year's final 3 games, and opened with 608-61 yard edge vs Weber). NIU has allowed 31, 31, 36, & 33 points in last 4 games, and on 2-8 ATS run. Just 211 yards vs Iowa, and passing offense is suspect.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

Vanderbilt turnaround in '12 & '13, has dissipated, save for '16's 6 -7 mark, including a 41-17 bowl loss. A 353-211 point deficit in their last 9 games, following a 3-0 getaway. QB Shurmer returns, but so does Raider QB Stockstill. Middle Tennessee averaging 35.8 points per game in their L5 games.

Rating: 4 UnitNCAAF Blowout of the Week

Quite a nice windup for the Bulldogs last year, winning their final 3 games by a combined 113-37, including a 45-point bowl cover. Helped ease the frustration of three 1-point losses. Jags were blitzed by Smith last year, & a repeat is possible. The favorite is 32-15 ATS in South Alabama games

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

No Allen at QB for the Cowboys, but that defense (9th in scoring LY) is still a force (8 returnees), ceding 7 FDs & 135 yards in rout of New Mexico State.  Washington State not the best of road favorites, with an 87-161 point deficit in their last 4 away from home. And both lines are decimated.

Rating: 3 Units Bowl Game of the Day

This year's 'Tide hasn't been as overpowering as usual, with but one cover vs bowl opponents, which is mainly due to a "D" that has suffered an abnormal amount of injuries. But even with that, they rank 3rd, 7th, 1st, & 2nd in run, pass, scoring, & total "D". So, still a huge force. The last 2 years, we've bucked the Tigers in their semi-final games vs Oklahoma & Ohio State. Mistake & mistake, as CU (-3½, +1½) dominated both with a combined score of 68-17, and a 1,000-593 yd edge! Absolutely stunning, especially in light of the fact that both the Sooners & Buckeyes entered with identical 11-1 records. Dabo sure can coach. QB Bryant is no Watson, but Tigers more than match for anyone. Take the points

Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Game of the Day

The Bulldogs have been one of our "goto" squads this year, with their 8 wins coming by an average of 21 points per game SU, & 10.2 points per game ATS, but also heed 2 of their 4 losses coming by 28, 39 points (#3 Georgia, #7 Auburn). Their offensive fireworks have overshadowed one of the finest stop units in the land (#10). They have, however, lost the services of QB Fitzgerald, who, like his predecessor, Dak Prescott, could do it all, both overhead (1,782 passing yards, 56%, 15/11), & overland (984 rushing yards, 14 TDs). And how about seeing 9th-yr HC Mullen leave for the Florida Gators. This all adds up to solid win for dedicated Cards.

Rating: 4 Unit Bowl Game of the Week

For the Demon Deacons of Wake Forest, this marks just their 12th bowl game, the first coming in their 26-14 win over South Carolina, in the '46 Gator Bowl, & the latest, in last year's Military Bowl, when, as 11-pt underdogs vs Temple, they jumped to a 31-7 lead, holding on for the 34-26 win. That one was noteworthy for 2 reasons: the fact that the Owls entered on a 10-0 ATS run; & holding Temple to minus 20 RYs, (TU at 190 RYpg at game time). For Wake, back-to-back bowl seasons, on the heels of 8 straight losing campaigns, including 3-9 records in '14 & '15. They're led by QB Wolford, who ranks 10th in passing efficiency, throwing for 2,792 yards, 64%, & a sensational 25/6. In back-to-back-to-back games vs Louisville, NoDame & Syracuse, he threw for 1,155 yds, 69%, & 10/1, leading Wake to 143 points, Oh, in that Syracuse game, Deacs turned a 17-pt second half deficit, into a 21-point win. So not much wrong with Deacs' 27th, ranked "O", nor a spread streak that now stands at 16-6-1.

Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Game of the Day

The Cowboys are an annual fixture among the elites, placing 9th in our "Polls" this year. The arrival of Mike Gundy in '05, has resulted in 12 straight bowl seasons, with at least 10 wins in 5 of the past 7 years, nearly meeting for the '11 national title game, before an impossible 37-31 loss to 26½ pt underdog on week #11 shattered that dream. They have been led by brilliant QB Rudolph (4,553 yards, 65%, & 35/9), who has thrown for 13,267 yards in his career, & 84/22 the past 3 years. But he isn't the only cog in this wheel, as Hill is at 1,347 RYs (14 TDs), & WRs Washington & Ateman have combined for 2,572 receiving yards, averaging 20.6 & 19.4 yards per catch. Oklahoma State ranks 3rd in scoring, 1st in passing, & 2nd in total "O". Can Tech's 5th & 10th ranked scoring & total "D" contain 'em. No way.

Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Game of the Week

There has only bee two teams that have outplayed every one of their opponents this season, the mighty Sooners of Oklahoma, & the unnoticed Bulls of South Florida. So, moving the ball has hardly been a problem, especially since the prolific Quinton Flowers took over the leadership role in '15. He has amassed 11,201 yards the past 3 years, with USF compiling a 28-9 SU record, while gracing the Miami Beach & Birmingham Bowls, prior to this year's defense of the latter bowl. His worth is nearly impossible to overstate. Just check USF's season finale game with a perfect Central Florida, where he piled up 503 passing yards with 4 touchdowns and 1 interception along with 102 rushing yards, tying it on an 83-yard TD pass in the final 1:41, only to lose on a TD return of the ensuing KO. This marks the Bulls' 3rd straight bowl game, & 9th in the last 13 years. The line on this one is a bit perplexing, as the balanced attack of the Bulls seems to more than counter Tech's one-dimensional offense

Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week

Six straight wins for the 'Cats, while on an 8-1 ATS run. Check a 32-point cover at always dangerous Minnesota, doubling Gopher yardage output, & registering 5 take aways. On 16-5-1 spread run. Illinois in off 3-point cover at Ohio State, despite a 438-yard deficit, & 5 first downs. Nine straight losses

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

Right, Hogs put it to us in narrow loss to Mississippi State, despite a 195-97 rushing yard deficit. But have ceded 38.4 points per game in their last 10 underdog roles. Tigers smoking, with 5 straight wins & 7 straight covers: 260-83 point edge in their L5 games (+126 points ATS). And QB Luck is stratospheric 38 touchdowns with 10 interceptions. Lay it.

Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week

Deacons something else, with a 734-621 yard edge over Syracuse, with a 43-5 point windup. Wolford last two weeks: 694 passing yards. The dog is 6-2-1 ATS in Wolfpack games this year, but note a 778-424 rushing yard deficit the past 3 weeks. Finley now 15 touchdowns with 4 interceptions, but can't ignore host owning this series.

Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week

Lions seemed to shake off woes of incredible losses to Ohio State & Michigan State, with 35-6 romp of Rutgers, but note just 304 yards, with Bradley now at 33rd in the land in rushing. 'Huskers a 340-rushing yard deficit in 54-21 loss to Minnesota. And note allowing 43.7 points per game in last 9 underdog roles

Rating: 3 Unit SEC Play of the Day

Bulldogs stayed with Alabama, losing in final 0:25. The host has a 255-91 point edge in Mississippi State games this year, but note 'Dogs covering their last road game by 18½. Hogs are barely competitive, with their 2 covers by ½ & 4 points. And they're allowing 39.6 points per game in last their 9 dog role setups.

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

Alabama not all that impressive in win over LSU, with 151-116 rushing yard & 306-299 total yard deficits. But never down for long, with 59-0 & 41-9 wins off L2 ATS setbacks. Bulldogs peeked to this one in 22 point ATS loss to U Mass. Eleventh in rushing, but Alabama defense will be ready. Lay it

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

Five straight wins for FAU, with a 237-132 point edge (+80½ points ATS). Check Singletary at 140 rushing yards per game & 19 touchdowns. Bulldogs in weekly squeakers, & in off 100-yard deficit vs North Texas. FAU call.

Rating; 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week

About time that I jumped on this legitimate train that is BC. Not only 6 straight covers, by a combined 119 points ATS, but check +98½ points in their last 3 games, including upsets of Louisville, Virginia, & Florida State, with the latter 2 by 31 & 32 points SU! Are rested, to boot, while facing a Wolfpack outfit that is in off no less than #3 Notre Dame, & #4 Clemson. No questioning the fact that NC State QB Finley is the real deal, but check a 542-203 rushing yard deficit past 2 weeks. Climbing off the carpet vs this oncoming train, is unlikely

Rating: 3 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day

Home team in California games is 7-0 ATS (+125 points), but Bears just 288 passing yards per game in their L3 home games, while the Beavers suddenly an offensive force (833-607 yard edge vs Colorado & Stanford). However, I am going to the perfect ATS mark for the home team.