Bowl Game of the Year

Bowl Game of the Year

The Buckeyes are 0-2 under Day vs. Oregon after winning the first nine matchups against the Ducks; however, Ryan is 3-0 ATS in games against foes with a better win percentage. It’s usually a good day for OSU to play unbeaten teams, going 13-7 SU, including 3-0 ATS in games when Ohio State is not unbeaten. The Buckeyes overcame a hostile crowd of Tennessee supporters and some of their fans to rout the SEC opponent to set up, oddly enough, a traditional Rose Bowl if Oregon was still in the Pac-12. Nike founder Phil Knight, the 12th man of the Ducks program, has spent his money wisely on everything from A to Z to get the Ducks to this moment, including a chance to be the first 16-0 team in college football history. Gabriel will get most of the attention, but Oregon RB Jordan James rushed for 1,253 yards and 15 TDs. Tez Johnson is Oregon’s #1 WR, hauling in 10 of Gabriel’s 28 TD tosses. Ohio State QB Will Howard rebounded nicely from the Michigan disaster with a world-class performance versus the Volunteers, and he’s publicly shared his willingness to get another shot at the Ducks, who beat the Bucks by one earlier this year. The game ended with Howard trying to lead a game-winning drive that fell short. You want to avoid falling short on something else: your money. Be warned that bowl teams coming off rest, like the Ducks, are 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS against unrested bowl teams. Finally, teams seeking revenge in bowl games featuring same conference rivals are 6-0 ATS since 1990.

Bowl Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Remember that SEC bowl favorites are 30-12 SU and 20-11-1 ATS versus Big Ten opponents off a loss, but just 2-8 ATS in bowl games against foes off a SU loss. On the flip side, the 6-6 Trojans were also a major disappointment this season, and Lincoln Riley needs a win here to avoid his first losing season as a head coach. QB Miller Moss was benched mid-season, and Riley will get a good look at Jayden Maiava, who beat Nebraska and UCLA in November. Finally, the good news is that 6-6 bowl teams shine against foes coming off consecutive SUATS losses and are ready to rumble in the post-season. That’s confirmed by the fact that 6-6 bowl teams coming off a pair of SUATS losses are 24-10 ATS, including 12-3 SU and 14-1 ATS with a scoring defense that allows 25 or fewer PPG.

CFB Playoff Play of the Day

Rating: 3 Units

The Fighting Irish have a surprising 0-2 SUATS record vs. the Big 10 in bowl games since 2000 and since 1995, an even weirder 1-13 SU and 3-11 ATS in bowls versus .666 teams. The IU numbers are sweeter than a Hoosier Sugar Cream Pie, with Cignetti 30-6 all time vs. FBS and 6-1 SUATS vs teams .750 or greater and 5-1 ATS coming off a win over 48 plus points. IU has lived off the brilliant play of Manning Award fi nalist Kurtis Rourke (27 TD 4 INT and his top target Elijah Sarret, who rode along to Bloomington with Cignetti from James Madison. The Irish turn to veteran QB Riley Leonard (16 passing TDs and 14 rushing) plus the strong legs of Jeremiyah Love, who has scored in each game this season. The victory formula is simple: the winner of the run game vs. run defense battle should prevail. Consider that Bowl dogs who score 56 or more in their final regular season game are 5-1 SUATS since 1990, including 5-0 SUATS if they gave up 27 points or fewer on the season.

Conference Championship Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Defending MAC champs are 1-6 ATS and 1-7 SU when trying to repeat. Since 2006, Miami is 5-14 SU and 7-11-1 ATS when Ohio brings a .666-win percentage into the game. Additionally, MAC title dogs are 16-6-1 ATS and 7-1 ATS vs. teams coming off back-to-back SU and ATS wins. Finally, MAC dogs are 16-6-3 in conference championship games, including 8-1-1 ATS if they surrendered 21 or fewer points in their last game.

CFB Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Marshall is only 3-7 ITS (In The Stats) this campaign, while JMU is 9-2 ITS. Hmm, something looks off here. Meanwhile, Jimmy is plenty mad just about now, sporting the better numbers while looking up at Marshall in the Sun Belt standings. While they can’t make it to the title game, they can get a large measure of revenge in their Last Home Game from a 26-2 loss they suffered here as double-digit chalk when the Herd last visited in 2022. The Mad Men are 2-0 SUATS in regular season finales since joining the FBS, winning by an average margin of 41 points per game. FYI: Last season, they dropped their LHG, 26-23, as a double-digit favorite to Appalachian State. They won’t make the same mistake this year since Marshall is 2-10 SUATS in the second of consecutive away games, including 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS versus sub .750 foes

CFB Mismatch of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Dame is 0-3-1 ATS in the last four as favorites of 10 or fewer points, 1-5 ATS with single revenge, and 3-6 ATS in this series with a .900 or greater win percentage. Ugh. While USC  is 7-2 ATS in Last Home Games and 8-3-1 ATS as a dog in Last Home games, including 6-0 ATS with a sub .600 win percentage. Don’t forget about head coach Lincoln Riley, who stands 9-4-1 ATS as a dog, including 4-0-1 ATS with a sub .700 win percentage. Consider that playing against Notre Dame in its final game of the regular season if they own a .900 or greater win percentage and they are facing a foe who allows fewer then 22 PPG is 6-0 ATS.

Big-12 Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

After a puzzling 27-3 loss to Arizona, the 4-4 Cougars will need to pull off a pair of wins in their final two games to take first-year head coach Willie Fritz to a bowl game – a win here and next week at BYU. This will be Houston’s last game at TDECU Stadium, and that’s a plus for the Cats, who are 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS in home finales, including 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS when they surrender fewer than 24 points per game. The real trouble for the Bears is a defense that has allowed 36 points per game in its last seven games. Now, coming off four consecutive revenge wins in a row, we need to consider that playing against any college football team from Game Ten out coming off three consecutive revenge wins in a row if they are facing a .400 or greater opponent is 18-37-2 ATS in this role. When dressed as favorites of 8 or fewer points, they slip to 9-27-1 ATS, including 1-12 ATS if they won three or fewer games last season.

SEC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

A bunch of good numbers suggests UK might get the money even if they don’t win on the scoreboard. The Cats are 6-0 ATS in LRG (Last Road Games), 6-1 ATS as conference dogs of 14 or more points, and 6-2 ATS away versus an .850 or better league foe. Meanwhile, hidden within the layers of the Longhorns’ 9-1 record is the troubling fact that head coach Steve Sarkisian is just 10-16-1 ATS when coming off back-to-back wins and facing foes who allow fewer than 24 points per game, including 5-12-1 ATS from Game Six out. The line is hovering around three TDs at the moment, but if you’re still having second thoughts about backing the 4-6 Wildcats with their backs to the bowl wall, then consider that Kentucky is 18-5 outright and 18-4 ATS when coming off a non-conference home game, including 9-1 SU and 10-0 ATS away.

Big-10 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Wisconsin head coach Luke Fickell is 44-11 outright at home in his career, including 27-2 in games in which his team is surrendering fewer than 17.5 PPG. And when it comes to being cast in the role of big home underdog, Bucky has cashed in four of the last five tries when getting 14 or fewer points in Madison. Hopefully, someone with the Oregon contingent will see fit to mention the passing of the great John Robinson, who was a player and coach for the Ducks before moving on to USC and the Los Angeles Rams. With the Ducks eyeing up a double-revenge affair next week against the Huskies, we expect to see some feathers ruffled before they escape tonight. If you need more, there is always the fact that playing against any 10-0 CFB favorite in Game Eleven if they are facing a .555 or greater is 21-3 ATS.

Big-12 Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

What a difference a year makes: the Utes were the unanimous choice to win the Big 12, while the Buffaloes were the No. 11 choice. And now Kyle Whittingham and company are getting doubles in this matchup? We don’t think so, not with the Utes controlling the series of late, going 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, including 4-0 ATS at Folsom Field. Utah is also 10-2 ATS when coming off an outright home dog loss and 24-6 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points under Kyle Whittingham, including 18-2 ATS versus foes that allow 17 or more PPG. Bad before-and after numbers plague the Buffaloes, who are 0-3 ATS after Texas Tech and 1-7 ATS before Kansas. The bottom line is that this is too many points to lay to the Utes, and consider that Colorado is 2-11 outright in this series, with the two wins coming by a combined total of 8 points

Big-12 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Utes are on a rare 4-game losing streak and are clearly nowhere near the national contender we expected them to be entering the season, many good numbers are supporting them this week. Utah is 9-1 ATS as a dog in this series, 4-0 ATS in Game Nine, and 4-2 versus the number with rest. Finally, Tte Utes are 20-2-1 ATS as a dog when coming off a SUATS loss, including 5-0 ATS versus undefeated foes.?

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Alabama is just 1-4 ATS off a home shutout win and 2-4 ATS versus single conference revenge, while new coach Kalen DeBoer stands 2-5 ATS versus .500 or greater opponents coming off a loss, including 0-4 ATS versus foes who allow 23.2 or fewer points per game. On the opposite end of the spectrum, Brian Kelly’s Tigers are 6-1 ATS off a SU loss of 14 or more points, 11-2 ATS with single conference revenge, and 6-2 ATS versus a rested foe. LSU is also 25-6 SU and 18-7 ATS during the regular season when coming off one loss, including 15-3 SUATS versus foes who allow more than 18.5 points per game. Finally, LSU is 16-2-1 ATS as a dog off a SUATS loss versus a foe off a win as a favorite who allows more than 12 points per game, including 10-0 ATS the last ten games.

Big-10 Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

USC HC, Riley, is 8-20 ATS when favored on the road, including 1-10 ATS versus foes coming off consecutive losses. Washington is also 8-0 In the Stats, which puts them as a ‘play on’ dog.  Finally, Lincoln Riley is 4-18 ATS away versus conference foes coming off consecutive losses, including 0-7 ATS against foes who won seven or more games during the regular season last year

SEC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

South Carolina has limited four of their last six foes to season-low yardage, while the Aggies have been out yarded in each of their last two victories and three of their last four games overall. Texas A&M is 1-4 ATS away versus single conference revenge and a 4-13 ATS as a Game Seven conference favorite. The Gamecocks, though, are 4-1 ATS of late when playing after a week of rest off a SU win. With the Aggies coming off that huge conference revenge victory over LSU, we back this Homecoming dog. Finally, Texas A&M is 2-10 SU and 2-9-1 ATS in its last dozen road games, including 0-8 SU and 1-6-1 ATS against winning opponents.

SEC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Both of these teams lost their season opener, but LSU is really rounding into form and is now on a six-game win streak. Additionally, LSU is 14-2 ATS in the second of back-to-back games, including 10-3 SU and 13-0 ATS versus greater than .400 opponents. Unfortunately, A&M is also 0-9 ATS in this series when coming off consecutive wins and just 3-7 as conference home chalk of less than 5 points. Finally, SEC road dogs are 14-3 ATS this season, including 13-2 ATS in conference games.

Big-10 Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Unit

Franklin is 0-3 SUATS in his career away during the regular season games with rest against greater than .666 opponents. Wisconsin is 4-0 ATS at home in this series when both teams are off a win. Finally the Badgers are 14-2 ATS as a conference home dog with a .700 or greater win percentage, including 13-0 ATS as a dog of more than two points.

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The Gators beat Kentucky 31 straight times, but since then, the Wildcats have taken four of the last six thanks to a defense-first mentality that can break an opponent; this year’s edition is ranked #4 in the nation at 251.5 ypg. Under Beleaguered Billy Napier, UF is 3-9 outright from Game Six on. Kentucky already smoked Ole Miss despite being a 15-point underdog and battled CFP contender Georgia to the tape before the Bulldogs prevailed. Finally, Mark Stoops is 8-3 ATS off an outright loss as a favorite, including 4-0 SUATS against .500 or greater opponents.

Big-10 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The defending National Champions are 17-24-1 ATS as road favorites versus .833 or greater opponents. Add to that an 0-3 spread record coming off a double-digit SU loss and a 3-8-1 ATS mark with rest, and we start to have the makings of a solid case for the Fightin’ Illini, who have covered the last three meetings in this series. The Illini are also 3-1 versus conference opponents with rest, 9-2 ATS coming off a conference home game, and 8-3-1 ATS at home versus .666 or greater opponents, including 3-0 ATS with a winning record. Finally, playing on any unrested 5-1 college football underdog of 7 or fewer points in Game Seven if they are off one win that was preceded by a loss is 14-2 ATS.

CFB Dog of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The visitor in this series has covered the number three straight times. In addition, Zona is 4-1 ATS versus an undefeated conference opponent, and they are 4-1 ATS as conference dogs of less than 8 points. The Cougars have opened with five straight wins. However, BYU is just 3-12 ATS with rest and 3-9 versus the number as home chalk of less than 8 points. Finally, Arizona head coach Brent Brennan is 4-0 ATS in his career as a dog versus undefeated foes when his team allows fewer than 24.5 PPG.

ACC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The Ramblin’ Wreck is just 3-9 SU and 2-10 ATS as road chalk over the last ten years, including 0-7 ATS versus .500-or-greater opponents. Tech is also 4-8 SU and 2-9-1 ATS as a favorite against opponents seeking revenge (they beat UNC, 46-42, as a 12-point dog last season). Meanwhile, North Carolina is 3-3 this season, after a 3-0 start, however head coach Mack Brown is 9-3 ATS at home with a .500 exact record, including 6-0 ATS in conference games against .666 or greater opponents.

CFB Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Miami is 1-9 ATS off a SU win but an ATS loss, just 3-10 versus the spread as conference road chalk of less than 12 points, and 3-9 ATS in Game 6. This could very well be a flat spot for Miami as they probably should have lost that game against Tech and now must be ready to play in front of a raucous Game Day crowd in Berkeley, which undoubtedly will be high from an entire day of partying. Finally, the Golden Bears are 8-2 ATS as home dogs of more than 6 points and 8-3 against the number when coming off a SUATS conference road loss.

SEC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Tennessee head coach is just 9-16 ATS versus conference opponents coming off a loss., including 4-12 ATS as a favorite of 13 or more points. The Vols are also 6-11 ATS as conference favorites when playing with rest, including 1-6 ATS when Tennessee is undefeated. On the other side of the coin, the Hogs are 6-1 ATS in the last seven match ups in this series, and overall, they are 8-2 ATS as conference home dogs of less than 14 points. In addition, Arkansas head coach Sam Pittman is an outstanding underdog going 20-8 ATS with his team, including 14-2 ATS in games when his team is allowing fewer than 26 PPG.

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Ole Miss is 1-6 against the number as conference home chalk of more than 10 points and an equally sad 1-6 ATS versus an SEC opponent with triple revenge.  The visitor in this series is 3-0 ATS, while Kentucky is 3-0 SUATS in their 1st road game and 3-0 ATS in Game 5. In addition, the Wildcats are 4-1 ATS before a Week of Rest, 7-2 ATS as dogs of more than 11 points, and 3-1 ATS in their last four contests with triple revenge. The Wildcats own a wondrous 15-1 ATS record when coming off a non-conference contest and are facing a.500 or greater opponent. Finally, Kentucky head coach Mark Stoops is 17-5 ATS with a .500 or greater record versus undefeated foes, including 11-0 ATS against foes coming off a SUATS win.

Big-12 Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Game Five matchups of 3-1 teams - each coming off a loss – the visiting team is just 2-8 ATS, including 0-7 ATS if they surrender more than 17 points per game. Another important stat to note is the fact that the host is 6-0 ATS in this series. K-State is also 4-1 ATS with single conference revenge and 4-1 ATS as Big 12 favorites of less than a TD. Finally, Kansas State is 21-4-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit ATS loss, including 18-0 ATS when the Wildcats sport a .375 or greater win percentage.

CFB Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The Wildcats are 12-11-2 ATS, including 3-7 ATS versus .700 or greater foes. KSU is 7-1 ATS after a Weekday game but just 2-6 ATS as conference road chalk of 12 or fewer points. In addition, Kleiman has a revenge payback on deck against Oklahoma State. On the flip side, BYU is 4-1 ATS at home off back-to-back road games and 18-5 ATS as a dog, including 11-1 ATS over the last twelve games. Finally, BYU head coach Kalani Sitake is 9-4 SU and 10-3 ATS in games when both teams are undefeated, including 10-1 ATS versus foes coming off a double-digit win.

SEC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

This is the fourth of a five-game season-opening homestand for Auburn, with Oklahoma on deck. Teams in such a role are just 3-9-1 ATS when hosting foes coming off a double-digit win, including 0-4-1 ATS when not favored by six or more points. Last year’s 52-3 home loss to the Tigers was the second-worst in head coach Sam Pittman’s career with Arkansas. Pittman is 18-8 versus the number as a dog, including 9-1 ATS when taking six or fewer points. Finally, Arkansas is 7-1 ATS as a road dog with revenge under head coach Sam Pittman, including 7-0 ATS in games in which the Razorbacks are not undefeated.

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Georgia checks in with a 2-10 ATS effort before a Week of Rest and a 1-4 ATS mark as SEC road chalk of 14 or more. Coach Smart is 59-14 SU and 42-31 ATS in SEC battles, but he’s only 6-12 ATS as a conference favorite of 23 or more points. He is also 0-6 ATS as a favorite of 24 or more points when coming off a win of 35 or more points and with Alabama on deck (in two weeks). Additionally, Kentucky is 8-2 ATS as a dog of 17 or more points when seeking revenge under Mark Stoops, including 5-0 ATS versus foes coming off a win.

CFB Inter-Conference Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Roadrunners are 5-1 ATS in the second of consecutive road trips and also 5-1 ATS as dogs of more than 20 points.  Jeff Traylor is 8-4 SU and 10-2 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss, including 10-0 ATS over the last ten games. The Horns are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 non-conference home games but just 1-5 ATS in the first of 3 straight contests in Austin. Texas laid 13.5 points in their previous meeting with UTSA here in 2022. Finally, Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian is 3-9-1 ATS in his career when his team is coming off two wins, including 3-7 SU and 0-9-1 ATS when facing .500 or greater opponents.

NCAAF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

After last week’s systematic dismantling of Georgia Southern, the Broncos head to Autzen Stadium with a 3-0 SUATS series record, and they catch Oregon with hated rival Oregon State on deck. Boise has shined on the road in Game Twos, going 18-7 SU and 15-9-1 ATS, including 6-0 ATS as a pick or dog and 5-0-1 ATS when coming off an away game. Sooner or later, someone’s going to awaken the sleeping giant, but we can’t lay points like this with a team that is 11-29-1 ATS as a double-digit home favorite against foes coming off a win, including 3-11 ATS against undefeated nonconference opponents. Finally, Boise State is 19-5-1 ATS as a dog versus .750 or greater opponents, including 5-0 ATS as a double-digit dog.

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Kentucky has turned the offense over to former Georgia QB Brock Vandergriff, whose debut against Southern Mississippi was adequate, especially with multiple weather delays. How UK fares in SEC play will be almost entirely on his shoulders. But Brock has some help on the sidelines. Stoops is 16-2 SU and 12-6 ATS as a home favorite coming off a home game and down the stretch and Kentucky is 15-0 ATS coming off a nonconference game when facing a .500 or greater opponent.

ACC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Boston College has a significant revenge chip on its shoulder from a 31-29 home loss last season – a game in which the Eagles outgained the Seminoles 434-340. Anything remotely resembling that performance should improve their 4-1 ATS mark in Game One versus a conference opponent, 3-1 ATS record in this series, and 12-3 ATS log when playing on the road with ACC revenge. Finally, playing on any CFB underdog with revenge in its first game of the season facing a foe in its second game of the second game of the season if the foe won 10+ games last season is 14-2-1 ATS.

NCAAF Game of the Week

The Nittany Lions laid a 38-15 whipping on the Mountaineers, a bludgeoning in which a coach who owns a 12-6-2 ATS career mark in games as a dog can return the favor. His counterpart, PSU coach James Franklin, stands 2-2 SUATS in season-opening road games, with the two wins by six and four points. Finally, West Virginia is 19-1 outright in its last twenty home openers.

Bowl Game of the Year

Rating: 5 Units

Liberty has averaged out-yarding teams +166 per game, and while we admit Oregon is a leap above in class for LU, the Flames are also 6-0 ATS vs foes coming off a SUATS loss as a favorite and a healthy 17-4 ATS off a win when facing a .500 or better opponent. Pac 12 Bowling Teams are 6-21 SU and 2-25 ATS vs teams coming off a win. Liberty Coach Jamey Chadwell brought his winning ways from Coastal Carolina, he’s 44-11 SU when his team has the better record, including 12-0 at Liberty. Not sold yet on the former conference and national title contender being unable to cover? Then consider that Pac-12 teams are 2-13 SU and 0-15 ATS since 2016 when coming off a SUATS loss with the only outright wins by 1 and 2 points.

Bowl Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Miami has the look of a dog that you like to see, going 64-44-2 ATS when taking points under head coach Chuck Martin, including 8-2 ATS when playing with rest, and 4-0 ATS in bowl games. Both teams closed strong down the stretch with the RedHawks riding a 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS finish while Appalachian State went 5-0 U and 4-1 ATS before suffering a 49-23 loss to Troy in the Sun Belt Championship game. However, Miami won the MAC title against Toledo, getting revenge against a Rockets team that handed the ‘Hawks one of their two losses this campaign. Although they have had their way against the MAC since joining the FBS, going 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS, the Mountaineers have struggled laying points of late and it looks like they are laying them to the wrong foe at the wrong time, as evidenced by their 7-13 SU and 8-12 ATS mark versus .846 or greater opposition, including 2-8 ATS as chalk. ASU is also staring down the barrel of a 2-6 SU and 0-7-1 ATS disaster in its last eight tries as chalk versus a foe with a better record. A call to FEMA could be in order when we get a look at Miami’s superior stats: 6-0 ATS in bowl games since 2019, 10-1 ATS as a dog after being a dog, and 4-1 ATS as pups this season with three wins coming outright. We love bowl dogs who won a conference championship game when taking on non-champions, especially when the opponent’s defense gets ripped for 5.1 Yards Per Rush. And considering the last four Cure Bowl favs went 0-4 ATS. Finally Miami head coach Chuck Martin is 6-0 ATS as a dog on a neutral field.

PAC-12 Championship Best Bet

Rating: 4 Units

Ironically, the Huskies are the first – and only – undefeated team to land a berth in the Pac-12 championship game. While QB Michael Penix Jr. gets the lion’s share of media attention, we’d like to heap some praise on second year Washington head coach Kalen DeBoer. Not only is he 23-2 SU since taking the job in Seattle, DeBoer is 15-1 SU with the Huskies when they own a better record than their opponent, including 13-0 the last 13 games. He also fits right into tonight’s role, going 6-1 ATS in his career as an underdog, including 3-0 SUATS as a dog with the Huskies. The Ducks may have cashed more tickets in this series of late, going 14-4-1 ATS, but they’re just 3-8 SU with revenge when Washington sports a .875 or greater win percentage.

PAC-12 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Bruins are just 6-14 ATS when playing against revenge in this series and are a miserable 3-7 SU and 1-8-1 ATS at home after facing USC. Add to that a 2-9 SU and 1-9-1 ATS in LHGs and we put up the stop sign in Pasadena. Meanwhile, Cal head coach Justin Wilcox is 13-5 ATS as a home dog, including 7-0 ATS when coming off a win as a favorite versus a foe coming off a win as a dog. UCLA has the nation’s second-ranked rushing defense, but Cal’s sophomore RB Jadyn Ott has averaged nearly 145 yards on the ground over the last four games and scored 6 TD’s and is the Pac-12’s leading rusher. Finally, Cal is 9-1 ATS in this series when UCLA is coming off a win

CFB Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The NCAA stuck to their moronic stupidly needless rule not allowing a team to play in a bowl game while transitioning from D3 to D1. The week got worse when the ‘72 Dolphins popped the corks once JMU was upset by App. State. You can’t fix stupid, so JMU is finishing their promising season at Coastal against a team that likely hasn’t forgotten the 47-7 beatdown they took from J. Mad last year. Finally, Coastal Carolina is 5-2 SU and 7-0 ATS as a single-digit dog with revenge on the brain, including 4-0 SUATS when the Chants are batting .600 or better in the win column.

SEC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Vols come in 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games,7-0 ATS when coming off a conference road game, and 6-0 ATS off a loss. Despite their spotless SU record this season, Georgia is a surprising 1-6 ATS when coming off a double-digit win, and 1-4 ATS in their last five conference road games. Additionally, Defending National Champions are 26-38-1 ATS as road favorites against .700 or greater opponents, including 0-6 ATS versus foes coming off a SUATS loss. Finally, playing against any 10-0 college football double-digit favorite in Game 11 if they are facing a .666 or greater opponent is 17-2-3 ATS.

PAC-12 Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Arizona is 0-7 ATS before ASU and 0-6 ATS in Game 11. Additionally, Arizona is 2-8-1 ATS when coming off a road favorite win. Utah has recently dominated this series, 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS. You make the Utes a road dog or pick ‘em, they are 15-3 ATS. This game, pre-season, had Utah as an eight point favorite and we think the wise guys had it right the first time. Finally, Arizona is 3-12 ATS in last home games when coming off a win, including 1-10 ATS versus sub .800 opponents.

Sun Belt Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Anytime Vegas makes ASU the underdog, they deliver, going 10-1-1 ATS in their Sun Belt days and 9-1-1 ATS overall when on the receiving end of points in their last 11 games. Georgia State was rocked last week by conference leader James Madison, 42-14, and that was fresh off being blown out by Georgia Southern the week before when State gave up 44 points. The Mountaineers have won two straight games, combining for 80 points in wins over Southern Miss and Marshall and ASU QB Joey Aguilar has thrown at least two TD passes in every game this season but for the loss at Wyoming. ASU is the better offensive AND defensive team. Finally, since joining FBS in 2013 the Panthers are 0-4 ATS in Last Home Games versus foes coming off a win.

BIG-10 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Consider that 9-0 teams hitting the road for Game 10 are 30-47-1 ATS since 1982 including 6-20-1 ATS when facing teams with competent defenses, giving up 20.5 ppg or fewer. The Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS with double conference revenge. James Franklin is 15-5-1 ATS at home with conference vengeance on the evidence table, including 6-2 SU and 6-1-1 ATS with a win percentage of .800. Finally, Penn State is 8-3 SU against undefeated opponents under James Franklin when the Lions allow fewer than 12 PPG including 7-0 by an average win of 22.4 PPG.

Rating: 5 Units

The Huskies are 2-8 ATS as road chalk, 3-8 ATS in the last 11 against Pac 12 foes .666 or better in the W and L column and in their last four games UDub is 0-3-1 ATS. The Trojans are 8-2-1 ATS when the underdog. As a Coliseum dog, the Men of Troy are 16-10-1 ATS including 7-3 ATS vs. the undefeated. Riley is 40-3 ATS in his career at home. Finally, Lincoln Riley is 4-0 SU vs unbeaten conference opponents and 3-0 ATS as a conference dog.

BIG-12 Play of the Day

The Sooners are 4-0 ATS in the last four Bedlam confrontations, but plenty of the numbers going into this year’s edition are not so pretty. Oklahoma is 4-15-1 as conference road chalk of 6 points or more, 1-4 against the number in Game 9, and 1-4 against the number versus single conference revenge. Oklahoma State is 8-0 ATS as home dogs of less than 14 points and 6-0 ATS w/ single conference revenge. Additionally, Okie State is 5-1 ATS in their last six matchups with a conference opponent. Finally, the Cowboys are 18-10 SU and 18-9-1 ATS at home under Gundy against foes with a better win percentage, including 12-2 SUATS the last fourteen contests

PAC-12 Game of the Week

Rating; 5 Units

Jedd Fisch rebuild, now in its third year and very much on track. Last week they embarrassed Washington State 44-6 for the Wildcats largest margin of victory over a ranked opponent. Oregon State is a solid, well-coached outfit to be sure and QB DJ Uiagalelei has finally stopped having screaming nightmares about Clemson Coach Dabo Sweeney. DJ hasn’t been picked since September 30th vs. Utah. Watch for the starting QB for Fisch- early in the week he had not announced if RS-Freshman Noah Fifita gets the nod against over the injured vet Jayden de Laura. If he plays, it’s a game changer in favor of U of A since the Hawaii native is completing a very nice 69% of his passes and has three rushing TD’s. Jedd Fisch is 4-0 ATS as a dog versus teams coming off consecutive SUATS wins. AZ is 4-2 ATS and 6-0 SU in this series when coming off a win of 28 points or greater and they’re 5-2 ATS as conference home dogs. Finally, the Beavers are 1-7-1 ATS as road favorites of fewer than seven points, including 0-6-1 ATS vs sub .600 opponents.

Big-12 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

KU is 5-1 ATS in the last six games of this series and a most impressive 7-0-1 ATS versus undefeated opponents that give up more than 14 PPG. (OU is a still stingy 16.4 PPG). Can Oklahoma stop the run? The Sooners are going to have to, because Kansas has a two headed rushing combo of Devin Neal and Daniel Hishaw Junior who have combined for nearly 1,100 yards and 12 rushing touchdowns so far. Oklahoma is 2-7 ATS when coming off a conference home game. Finally, Jayhawks Head Coach Lance Leipold is 29-10-1 ATS at home in FBS play, including 13-1-1 ATS versus greater than .700 opponents and 12-1-1 ATS when his team is .700 or better. Rock, Go Against the Chalk, KU!

PAC-12 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

There are some good numbers on USC, including a 9-3 ATS mark with triple revenge, plus a 6-2 spread record after a non-conference road game and a 5-2 ATS record after taking on Notre Dame. As for the Utes, it’s beginning to look as though they will be redshirting star QB Cam Rising, as his recovery from knee surgery is not looking promising. Kyle Whittingham is 8-16-1 ATS when the Utes lose their previous game outright as a road dog, including 1-12-1 ATS as a dog of fewer than 7 points. Finally, USC head coach Lincoln Riley is 40-2 outright at home in his career, including 20-0 from Game Six out.

ACC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The fact is the 4-2 / 2-2 Tigers find themselves up against it and if they have any realistic hope of competing in the ACC title game (which they’ve missed only once since 2015), a win today is mandatory. Point spread history suggests they’ll get it done, considering Clemson is 6-2 and 7-1 ATS in the series of late, including 4-0 SUATS the last four. The Hurricanes put up plenty of garbage yards in last week’s loss at UNC but they’re a feeble 0-5 ATS at home with conference revenge and 1-7 ATS when both teams are coming off a conference game. They also have problems coming off two losses, going 4-11 SU and 4-10 ATS, including 0-3 SUATS away, with every loss by 18 or more points. Finally, Hurricanes head coach Mario Cristobal is 9-16 ATS at home in conference games, including 0-5 SUATS with Miami.

ACC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

UM is better than last year’s brutally disappointing squad and the Canes are one of 16 teams unbeaten In the Stats; of course UNC is also one of the 16 but the Tar Heels are a sticky 3-7 ATS in the second of three straight home games. Mack Brown’s team is 5-0, and he could have been joined by Mario Cristobal’s Canes, who instead are 4-1. Finally, UNC is 4-11 SU and 1-14 ATS when coming off a conference home game, including 0-9 ATS as the favorite.

ACC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Panthers rush defense is best in the nation. In this series, Pitt is 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS plus 8-1 ATS coming off a conference game. The Panthers are 9-4 ATS as a dog coming off a SU favorite loss, including 3-0 ATS at home. Finally, playing against any college football favorite who defeated Notre Dame as an underdog in its last game if they beat the spread by 10 or more points in the win and they are facing a .600 or fewer opponent is 14-0-1 ATS.

Pac-12 Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Colorado has been outscored 90-28 in the first half of their last three games. The Buffs are also 1-8 ATS when coming off a home loss. Meanwhile, the Arizona State owns the better defense by 136 YPG and are also 9-0 ATS at home in Game Six of the season. They are also 17-9 ATS as a conference home dog, including 13-4 ATS when coming off a loss. Finally, Arizona State is 9-0 ATS as a home dog when both teams are coming off a loss and they are hosting an opponent that allows 23 or more points per game.

Big-12 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Plenty of smart people also know Texas historically underperforms when this is a heavyweight championship fight of undefeated teams. UT is 1-5 SU and 2-5 ATS when both teams are without a blemish (last time was 2011) and for some strange reason, Texas is 1-7 ATS the week before a bye. Finally, as big as Big Tex, the 55-foot statue that greets you in Fair Park: Texas is 4-16 ATS in its last twenty games against avenging conference opponents, including 0-9 ATS away from home.

Big-10 Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Vegas has made the Boilermakers the betting favorite, and that’s where things get ugly for Purdue. They are 1-6 ATS in the last seven games when laying points against avenging teams, 0-4 ATS at Ross-Ade last year and 0-3 SU at home this season. Purdue always seems tougher when they have the chip on their shoulder and here to knock it off is the fact that Purdue is 0-12 ATS as a conference favorite of 18 or less points.

SEC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Kentucky head coach Mark Stoops has worked wonders during his 10-plus years at Lexington but he’s a money-burning 8-14 ATS at home in conference games versus foes off an ATS loss. And when it comes to taking on a conference team playing with revenge, the Cats had cashed just three tickets in their last ten tries. Finally, consider that Florida's HC is 11-2 ATS as a dog in conference games, including 7-0 SUATS as a dog of 5 or fewer points

SEC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Hogs got crushed last week in a stunning home loss against BYU last week but they actually outgained the Cougars 424-281 in total yardage. In addition, Arkansas Head coach Sam Pittman is 6-1-1 ATS on the road with revenge and the Razorbacks are 7-1-1 ATS away with conference revenge. Meanwhile, the Tigers have not had the best of it in this series, going 1-3-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Finally, LSU is 3-11-2 ATS as a favorite in conference home openers, including 0-7-2 ATS when favored by 13 or more points

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Nick Saban’s is 28-3 record versus former assistants, including 2-0 SUATS when the Tide is coming off consecutive point spread losses by an average win margin of 24 PPG. Additionally,  if those assistants are undefeated, Saban is 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS against them. Saban is 9-2 SUATS in his career when his team is coming off consecutive double-digit ATS losses, including 8-0 SUATS the last eight games. Finally, Nick Saban is 21-7-1 ATS in conference games when coming off back-to-back ATS losses, including 8-0-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit win and 4-0 SUATS versus undefeated foes (by an average win margin of 30 PPG)

NCAAF Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The Boilermakers are 7-2 ATS in games in which both teams enter off an ATS win and 8-2 ATS as a home dog with a win percentage less than .666. Additionally, Home teams in Game Three of the season, who were in a bowl team last season and are coming off a road win that was preceded by a season-opening home loss, are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS since 2017. Finally, Syracuse versus sub-.666 avenging foes, is just 3-9 SU and 1-11 ATS in this role (0-11 the last eleven).

SEC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Gators are 5-1 ATS in the last six, even with last year’s wild loss when UF was beaten 38-33 while a double-digit dog. UT on the other hand struggles early, their Game 3 record is an embarrassing 0-8 SU and 1-6-1 ATS in game three versus the SEC. After cake games versus FCS teams, the Vols limp around, going 1-5 ATS in the first game after an FCS opponent and in SEC openers, the Vols are also 1-5 ATS. Take them on the road and in games where the home team is seeking revenge, like this one, Tennessee is 3-10-1 ATS, including 0-6 ATS if the foe is coming off a win. Finally, Florida’s Bill Napier is 17-8 ATS as the underdog, including 3-0 SUATS at home.

NCAAF Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Broncos after owning the No. 2 rushing attack in the Mountain West last season under OC Dirk Koetter, BSU’s top two RB’s George Holani and Ashton Jeanty managed just 95 yards on 20 carries against Washington under new OC Bush Hamdan (a former Boise QB). Meanwhile the Boise defense, which was ranked 11th in the nation in 2022, was lit up for 568 yards by Michael Penix and his cohorts. But keep in mind that the Broncos have survived in the past. Boise is now cast into the rare role of a home dog where they are 5-3 SUATS in this role since 1999. Finally, Boise State is 21-0 outright in its first home game of the season the past twenty-one years.

NCAAF Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Texas A&M has gone 1-5 on the scoreboard, 4-13-1 ATS overall in road openers and 0-5-1 ATS as a favorite of 3 or more points. They haven't done well coming off a big win, going 4-11-1 ATS off a 40+ point win when meeting a team better than a .400 record. Miami comes in at 17-4 SU and 14-6-1 ATS at home in a battle of undefeated teams. Miami has also done well versus the SEC when a dog against a team coming off a win, going 3-0-1 ATS. Miami has done well versus unbeatens, going 4-1 SUATS and 13-5 ATS. Finally, Miami is 13-5 SUATS as a non-conference home dog, including 5-0 SUATS the last five, and 7-0 SUATS versus foes coming off a SUATS win.

NCAAF Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Clemson comes into this one with a 1-7 ATS mark as a road favorite in season openers, and a 3-7 ATS log in its last ten games on this field. Swinney brought in Garrett Riley from TCU to overhaul the Tigers’ stagnant offense. Duke comes in 3-1 SUATS in its last four lined home-openers as well as 3-0 SUATS in its last three lined season openers. More importantly, Duke was 6-1 SU and 6-0 ATS at home in Mike Elko’s debut last season. Finally, College football home dogs in season openers who return 17 or more starters are 43-16-1 ATS since 1990 if they won three or more games the previous season, including 12-2 ATS if they are a dog of more than 12 points.

NCAAF Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The Tigers are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games away from the Bayou when forced to lay points. Meanwhile, the Seminoles comes back with no less than 18 starters back from last year’s 10-win squad which improved on offense by 8 points and 104 yards per game, while the defense allowed 6 points less and 58 yards less per contest. They are 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in this series since 1980, including 4-0 SUATS when facing an LSU squad that won six or more games the previous season. Finally, Florida State is 9-0-2 in 11 previous contests in Orlando.

NCAAF Play of the Day

Rating: 3 Units

Vanderbilt has been more than 7-point favorites in a season opener five times since 1980 and lost four games outright. They’re just 5-10 ATS as favorites of 14 or more points in nonconference clashes, including 0-4 ATS in the last four. Hawaii likely comes into this one seething from a 63-10 season-opening loss to Vanderbilt in Timmy Chang’s debut last year. A 9-5 ATS mark in season-opening road games works, as does momentum for a 6-1 ATS season-ending effort the previous year.

Bowl Game of the Year

Rating: 5 Units

This will be Georgia’s third time playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium this season, with the Bulldogs dominating both Oregon and LSU by a combined margin of 99-30. In addition to a virtually impenetrable defense, veteran QB Stetson Bennett is complimented by a three-headed rushing attack featuring RB with Kenny McIntosh, Daijun Edwards, and Kendall Milton, who have all rushed for more than 500 yards in 2022. Meanwhile, OSU receivers Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emeka Egbuka just might be the best receiver tandem in the country for Heisman finalist QB CJ Stroud. Yes, bowlers like UGA who allow fewer than 14.5 PPG that won their conference title game are 19-4 SU and 17-6 ATS all-time, including 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS against foes who allow 14.5 or more PPG.

Bowl Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The military teams take advantage of success, going a combined 29-9 ATS when coming off a win. AFA is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 bowl games and in addition to being stingy at giving the ball back, they carry the top overall defense in the country. This bowl game is to honor the military and they give back by going 6-3 ATS in the last 9, including 4-1 ATS as the dog. Meanwhile, Da Bears are a sub-standard 0-3 SUATS as single digit favorites while the Big 12 has been small ATS versus military teams, going 0-3. If you are a trend lover, BU is 3-14 ATS on Thursdays plus this game is at TCU’s home field, where Baylor has lost five of the last seven, both SU and ATS. If that’s not a strong persuader, consider that Playing on any greater than .667 college military team in a bowl game that scored fewer than 50 points in its last game if they are not off a loss and their team’s overall net Yards Per Rush is greater than 1.0. is 17-0 ATS since 1980.

Upset of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

App State is 2-7 ATS in lined games, 1-7 ATS as a favorite (!) and 0-4 ATS when coming off a victory. Georgia Southern is the opposite going 4-0 ATS in regular season finales and a sturdy 5-1 ATS in last home games. Finally, Eagles Coach Helton has never lost four straight (even though Southern Cal die-hards thought he lost every game there) and is 6-2 SUATS when coming off consecutive losses.

Big-12 Game of the Mont

Rating: 5 Units

Iowa State has out-yarded each of their last five opponents, including a 422-246 margin over Texas Tech in last week’s 14-10 loss. They have also held eight opponents to a season-low – or 2nd low – yardage this year, and that is just enough to apply the slip-knot on the TCU noose. When you consider that the Clones are 5-1 ATS in this series over the last six matchups (3-0 ATS as a dog), and that they own a 6-0 ATS mark as conference road dogs, you’ll find your winner. Finally, playing on any CFB dog off two losses, both as a favorite, if they allow 21 or fewer PPG and they are facing an undefeated opponent is 13-2-1 since 1980.

Big-10 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Good numbers for the visitors, though, as they’re 4-0 ATS as double-digit conference road dogs this season, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight run-ins with undefeated conference foes. Michigan counters with a superb 11-1 ATS mark as Big Ten home chalk of less than 20 points, but the Maize-and Blue can’t be trusted to cash a ticket in their final home game, as they’ve gone 2-6 ATS in the last eight such affairs. And let’s face it, Harbaugh will work from a strictly “vanilla” playbook today to avoid tipping off Ohio State’s Ryan Day. Meanwhile, with two rough defenses doing battle today – and Ohio State on deck for Michigan – points could be hard to come by. Finally, playing against any 10-0 college football double-digit favorite in Game Eleven if they are facing a .700 > foe is 16-2-2 ATS since 1980.

Big-12 Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Unit

We realize TCU is 12-1 ATS in LRGs (Last Road Games), but they weren’t undefeated then and carrying the weight of being in the position they are in this year. Meanwhile, some of the numbers look very good when studying Baylor: 5-0 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back home games, 7-1 ATS after scoring fewer than 10 points in previous game, and 3-0 ATS with double conference revenge (Bears lost 30-28 as 7.5-point favorites at TCU last season, one of only two defeats they were dealt in 2021). Meanwhile, back to the Horned Frogs, whose numbers are less-shiny: 1-6 ATS versus double conference revenge and 2-12 ATS after playing Texas. It is extremely strange to imagine, but the Frogs can possibly afford a loss and still make the College Football Playoff – but why take the chance? One thing we know for sure is Baylor is 13-1 ATS as a dog with conference revenge versus a foe coming off a SUATS win, including 8-0 ATS at home

ACC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Louisville has quietly stitched together a decent season after a terrible start and may be saving Scott Satterfi eld’s job. Satterfi is a solid 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS against teams coming off a spread loss of 19 or more points. UL is 4-0 SUATS in their last four. To tap it off playing against  any CFB home favorite of more than 4 points from Game Nine out coming off its first loss of the year as a favorite of 4 or more points if they are off a DD ATS loss and are facing a foe who allows 20.1 or fewer PPG is 11-0 ATS since 1982.

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Arkansas is 13-6 SUATS at home when coming off a SU favorite loss to a conference foe, including 3-0 SUATS as a dog of fewer than 8 points. Also, Sam Pittman is 19-9-1 ATS overall in his career with the Hogs, including 8-1 ATS as a dog of 16 or fewer points. In addition, you need to realize that LSU is a horrendous 2-7 ATS as a road favorite of less than 15 points while coming off back-to-back home games. Also, road favorites who upset Alabama the previous week are also just 2-7 ATS in the following game since 1980 when coming off three consecutive wins, including 0-5 ATS when they own a win percentage of greater than .750 on the season. Sure, Jayden Daniels has improved greatly, as has the Tiger defense, but Pittman’s crew will be up to the challenge. Finally, Arkansas is 5-0 ATS when coming off a SU favorite loss in this series.

Big-12 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

We will find out if the maligned OU defense will continue their Cyclones form or revert to the team that was strafed for 41, 55, 49 and 42 points prior to visiting Ames, Iowa last weekend. If the Sooners can’t stop Baylor frosh RB Richard Reese, who despite his 5’9” stature, has 12 TDs and 791 ground yards, the game will be a Bear market. Oklahoma is a depressing 0-5 ATS at home versus a team coming off consecutive SUATS wins. To cap it off, Baylor is 20-1 ATS as a conference dog versus an opponent coming off a SUATS win.

Big-10 Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Boilermaker head coach Jeff Brohm has carved out a ‘good dog, bad favorite’ personality and we’re not about to go against that today, not after Purdue upset the Hawkeyes as 11-point dogs at Iowa last season, meaning a major payback is in order today. With the Boilers now a lousy 1-4 ATS at home in this series, and HC of Iowa going 24-14 ATS in his career, including 10-2 ATS when taking single digits and coming off a SUATS win.  To seal the deal, Iowa is 12-5 ATS as a dog with revenge when coming off a SUATS win under head coach Kirk Ferentz, including 8-1 ATS when not coming off a spread win of 13 or more points.

Upset of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Aggies have won and covered the last three games of this series, but they have gone 9 consecutive FBS games scoring 25 or fewer points – second-longest current streak in the FBS. Things are in crisis mode in College Station, as their fans are not used to seeing three consecutive defeats. Their saving grace is the fact they actually outgained their first FBS foe this season (they’re 1-5 ITS) in last week’s loss to South Carolina. Fisher lost three games in a row once in his career, (in 2011) but won the next game 41-16 at home against Duke. We call for the upset today. To cap it off,  Jimbo Fisher is 14-3 SU at home off consecutive losses, including 2-0 SUATS as a dog.

ACC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Notre Dame has been favored in the last eight matchups in this series since 2003 and even covered when a 33-point favorite in 2020. They are 3-1 ATS in the last four, 4-1 ATS away vs foes .800 or better, and a sturdy 9-3 ATS in ACC road games… PLUS a whopping 5-0 SUATS in the last five ACC battles. Meanwhile the state of the Orangemen must be called into doubt after the Clemson crusher, plus the Dome hasn’t always been a warm home to the football program. SU is a horrible 0-4-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3 or fewer points when coming off a conference contest. Finally, ND is 17-6 ATS as a dog versus an opponent coming off a loss, including 10-1 ATS when the Irish are coming off a win of 4 or more points.

SEC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Bama’s 40 straight appearances in the Top 5 ends as they fall to No. 6 entering this contest. However, before knee-jerking and deciding to back Bama here, you need to know that Nick Saban is just 6-13 ATS in his CFB head coaching career, including just 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS at home when coming off a SUATS loss and facing an FBS opponent. Mississippi State HC, Mike Leach is 30-15 ATS after a double digit loss, including 15-4 ATS in the last 19 games. Additionally playing against any unrested double-digit conference favorite from Game 7 out off its first loss of the season as a conference favorite of more than 7 points if they’re facing a greater than .333 conference foe off a loss is 15-1 ATS since 1980.

MAC game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

After a slow 0-3 start, the Bulls have kicked their heels and ride a 4-0 SUATS win skein entering this contest. The offense has averaged 36.5 PPG in those four games, while the defense has held its last two opponents to just 7 points apiece. Buffalo in this series is 5-1 ATS of late, including 3-0 ATS at UB Stadium. Buffalo is also 12-4-1 ATS as a home dog, including 5-0-1 ATS versus greater than .700 opposition. Head coach Maurice Linguist, had sunk to 4-11 with the Bulls until they went on their recent 4 game rampage. Buffalo is 7-2 SU and 8-0-1 ATS versus foes coming off a SUATS favorite win. Also, consider that playing on any college football home dog who is 4-0 SUATS in its last four games if they were favored in their last game is  22-9 ATS since 1980, including 20-4 ATS if they are facing a foe coming off consecutive wins..

SEC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The bottom line is that Brian Kelly will need to do a better job or his one-game deficit in the SEC West will be blowing in the wind. At least he helps himself by bringing along a 21-12 ATS record as a road dog, including 9-1 ATS off an ATS loss of 9 or more points. LSU has also held its own in the last nine series contests with Florida, going 6-2-1 ATS overall and 3-1 SUATS away. New Gators head coach Billy Napier looks to be behind the 8-ball here, as the host team has gone 1-4 ATS in five lined games under Napier this season. Florida also hasn’t fared well of late in home games when playing with SEC revenge, going just 1-4 ATS. Consider finally, that Napier stands 5-11-1 ATS as a conference home favorite, including 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS versus .666 or greater opponents.

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

First, BYU in the favorite role at home is 2-6 ATS when the spread is under 6 points. Second, Arkansas is 5-1 ATS as a dog of 6 or less. Third, the Razorbacks are a sharp 4-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games. Even better, or worse depending on whom you’re rooting for, a top-notch SEC underdog coming off losses to Bama and Texas A&M finds itself 7-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in this situation. Consider that the Cougars have not faired well versus the SEC going 1-8 ATS versus SEC foes since 1990.

PAC-12 Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Washington State is 7-2 ATS as the visitor  in this series and 12-3 ATS in Game One of back-to-back road games. Looking up another Washington State stat yields: 7-0 ATS on the road against double-digit unbeaten favorites. USC makes this decision easier by being 2-11 ATS in Game 6, 1-6 ATS home versus conference triple vengeance, and 2-6 ATS in game two of a back-to-back conference affair at home. Add to that the risk of SC looking ahead to a big-time revenge matchup with Utah next week and the LA crowd might be distracted.

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Kelly has been a home hero, going 18-7 SU at home versus undefeated foes, including 13-3 in games in which his troops allow fewer than 21 PPG. LSU is also 5-1 ATS versus conference opponents with rest, and 15-8 ATS as a home dog when coming off an ATS loss, including 4-0 SUATS over the last four. Last week’s win over Auburn was ugly, as Kelly’s team fell behind early, 17-0, before getting it into gear. Tennessee has solid wins against Florida and
Pitt, but the Vols are just 2-7 ATS in Game 5. Finally, consider that the Vols are 3-11 SU and 1-13 ATS when both teams were favorites in their last game, including 1-9 SU and 0-10 ATS in SEC games.

ACC Game of the Week

Rating; 4 units

Both teams are 4-0 on the season, this marks the Wolfpack’s first ACC tilt while the Tigers bring a 2-0 conference record into this affair. Recent ATS history offer full support to Clemson here, as they are 7-1 ATS as conference chalk of 8 or fewer points, plus the series host has cashed in three of the last four. That’s pretty strong considering State’s 1-7 ATS failure as a dog of 8 or fewer points, and a 1-4 ATS mark playing away from Raleigh after a non-conference home game. Most important, though, is the fact that the Wolfpack tripped up the Tigers, 27-21, as 10.5-point home dogs last season. With Dabo revenge in play here, we’ll lay the points as he has excelled in conference games when seeking revenge, going 14-6 SU and 13-7 ATS in his career, including a perfect 6-0 SUATS as a single-digit favorite.

Big-10 Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The 23 points given up by the Hawkeyes in their first four games are the fewest scored on the team since 1966. In addition,  Iowa will be looking to avenge last season’s loss to Michigan,42-3, in the Big Ten title game. things to consider are that College football home dogs like Iowa, who won 10-plus games the previous season, are 3-0 ATS in Game Five versus undefeated foes playing their first road game of the season. Additionally,  4-0 College football favorites in their first road game are 1-7 ATS since 1980 in Game Five versus foes coming off consecutive wins.

Big-12 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

K-State has covered the last three matchups in this series, and head coach Chris Kleiman is 7-2 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points, including 4-0 ATS when taking more than a dozen points. There is no question that the Wildcats have struggled offensively this season, but the loss to Tulane last week was truly an aberration for star RB Deuce Vaughn, as the diminutive junior failed to score a TD for the first time in 10 games. Kleiman’s defense, however, is very good. Consider , teams playing AWAY off their first loss of the season find point spread success, nearly reversing their home counterparts by going 139-106-7 ATS dating back to 1980. When these teams are also off an ATS loss (Kansas State), they improve to 121-78-4 ATS in these situations. And if these teams are coming off a SU favorite loss they ratchet up to 69-35-2 ATS, including 38-13-1 ATS as a dog, in addition to 31-10-1 ATS against a foe coming off a SUATS win – and a 20-6 ATS combo as a dog against foes coming off a SUATS win.

SEC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Gators own a huge statistical edge in this series, going 5-1 SUATS the last six meetings, 11-1-1 ATS in Game 4, and a whopping: 16-1 ATS in the last 17 games against Tennessee. The Vols are 0-4 SUATS in Game 4’s, and 1-8 ATS as SEC home favorites of 10 or more points. Tennessee is also 6-8 SU and 4-10 ATS at Rocky Top coming off a home game, and a depressing 0-5 SUATS against SEC foes coming off a win. To cap it off Florida is 14-2 SU and 14-1-1 ATS in this series when Tennessee is coming off a win of 10 or more.

Mismatch of the Week

Rating: 4 units

Bowling Green is 4-0 ATS at home in this series and this 6th most experienced team in the nation. Meanwhile, Marshall has struggled on the road when they visit the MAC, going 11-25-1 ATS and 1-5 ATS when coming off a win where they beat a 21 point plus spread. In addition,  double-digit ATS winners that are 2-0 road favorites slip badly the following week, going 3-10 ATS the past five years in game 3’s. Consider as well that playing against any college football favorite who upset Notre Dame in its last game if they beat the spread by 17 or more points in the win is 12-1-1 since 1992.

Inter-Conference Game of the Month

Rating; 5 Units

Coach Bryan Harsin after a rough first season, is 27-7 in his first four games of the season and Auburn is 10-2 ATS as home dogs against undefeated foes. Nittany Lions leader James Franklin is 3-10-1 ATS away vs a team coming off back to back wins. PSU being 2-7 ATS vs. the SEC is another reason we’re going with the Tigers.

CFB Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Cougars are 15-7 ATS in home openers, including 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS as a favorite of more than 2 points. The host in this series winning and covering the last three matchups, while BYU is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with Big 12 opponents. To clinch it, Baylor is 2-10 ATS in its first away game of the season, including 0-6 ATS when not favored by more than 14 points.

ACC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

With at least four games to come against ranked opponents, last weeks loss deals a major blow to the Eagles’ path back to bowl eligibility under 3rd-year coach Jeff Hafley. A long-term 18-7-1 ATS record as conference road dogs since 2013, including 7-1 ATS when both teams are coming off a loss, plus a series spread mark of 8-3 ATS in the last eleven games (4-1 ATS in the last five) means it's a BC call tonight. To seal the deal consider that beaten bowlers in Game Two who lost their season-opening game as a favorite are 54-72 ATS in these games, and if they happen to be seeking revenge in this contest, they dip to 8-17 SU and 6-19 ATS in these frays – including 2-13 SU and 1-14 ATS if they scored 24 or fewer points in the loss.

NCAAF Play of the Day

4 Units

Kelly hasn’t exactly been an ATM early in the season, going 0-3 ATS in season openers the last three years, and 5-13-2 ATS in the first three games of the year versus foes that won 5 or fewer games the previous season,  including 0-5 ATS when not favored by 7 or more points. Meanwhile, Norvell is 16-9 SU and 11-7 ATS versus non-conference opponents, including 7-0 ATS the last seven contests, and 7-1 ATS during the first three games of the season.

5* CFB Blowout

The tale of the ATS tape tonight doesn’t strongly favor either side. Ohio State is 34-1 SU in season openers, including 22 wins in a row, and 4-0 SUATS of late in the series (average win 15.5 PPG). The Irish counter with a recent 14-5 SU record versus Big Ten opponents, and in the last 115 games in which ND has tackled the Big Ten, they’ve lost by more than 17 points only 10 times. The bottom line is this many points is simply too much to pass up with a quality team like the Irish. Buckeyes win on the scoreboard, but Notre Dame cashes the ticket.

NCAAF Game of the Week

5 Units

Appalachian State stands 11-1 SU at home under third-year head coach Shawn Clarke, and 32-3 SU on the Mountain since 2016. FYI: the Apps are also 40-11 ITS (In The Stats) the last four years, including 21-3 at home. To seal the deal, consider that Appalachian State is 23-1 SU in regular season games in which they win the stats the past two seasons.

Rating: 4 Unit Bowl Game of the Day

The Golden Domers are 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS versus .846-or-greater Big 12 opponents, plus 7-13 SU and 6-14 ATS versus bowl opponents that allow fewer than 18.5 PPG. And that is key here as the Cowboys have one of the stingiest defensive units in the nation (ranked 3rd in the country), and allowed just 16.8 points per game this season, which was 7th in scoring defense. DC Jim Knowles is another major coach who has flown the coop before a bowl game, heading for the same position at Ohio State, but the defensive game plan is etched in stone in Stillwater. Also, remember, the Cowboys were one inch away from a possible appearance in this season College Football Playoff after going 5-0 SUATS away from home this season. Consider that College Bowl favorites entering 3-0 SUATS in their last three games, the last an ATS win of 6-plus points, are 4-29 ATS against a foe who scored 21 or fewer points in its final game of the season.  Know also that playing against any College Bowl favorite who is 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in its last 3 games if they are off a double-digit ATS win and are facing a foe coming off a loss who allows fewer than 25 PPG is a perfect 17-0 ATS since 1980.

Rating: 5 Unit Bowl Game of the Week

The East Lansing Knothole Gang is a crackling 7-1 ATS in its last eight bowls, 3-0 ATS versus the ACC in the last three, and the B1G Boys have been bullies against the ACC in bowl season, going 7-1 ATS in the last eight. Big-moneyed Head Coach Mel Tucker engineered the biggest one-season turnaround in the long history of Spartans’ football and despite all the attention Walker III earned, don’t sleep on talented QB Payton Thorne, especially if receiver Jalen Nailor is able to bounce back from injury and join fellow wideout Jayden Reed. Consider as well that .700 or greater College Bowl ‘Mission Teams’ – teams who missed a bowl game last season after having been a bowler each of the previous three seasons – are 16-3-1 ATS versus foes coming off a loss.

Rating: 5 Unit Bowl Game of the Month

Oregon got as high as No. 3 in the CFB Playoff rankings before getting spanked twice in two weeks by Utah, which destroyed any hopes for a playoff appearance or a New Year’s Six Bowl. It’s bad enough that the down-and-out  Ducks are just 1-5 ATS in their last six Bowls, but the Pac-12 is 0-5 ATS versus the Big 12 of late in post-season matchups, and Bowl dogs of 15 or fewer points off a conference loss of 28 or more are 3-9 ATS… that’s a lot of fugly numbers at work here against the quackers in this matchup. Meanwhile, Oklahoma is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in bowl games in which the Sooners sport the better record. In fact, OU is 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS against Pac-12 foes in games in which the Sooners own the better record. With both head coaches bolting for greener pastures – Oklahoma’s Lincoln Riley is off to USC, while Oregon’s Mario Cristobal landed at Miami Florida – the feeling here is the Sooners have much more unfinished business at hand in this contest. The Clincher: Pac-12 bowlers coming off a SUATS loss are 1-11 SU and 0-12 ATS since 2015.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Bowl Play of the Day

Despite being the primary focus of every defense, Brad Roberts is the Falcons workhorse, averaging over 106 YPG with his longest run of the season being only 33 yards. People tend to forget the Falcons in the bowl season too, but AFA is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 bowls, 11-2 ATS off back-to-back SU victories, 4-1 ATS when an opponent limps in off a double-digit loss (like UL is), and 4-1 ATS as dogs of 6 or fewer points. Also consider that playing on any Military bowl team with a greater than .666 win percentage versus an opponent not coming off a double-digit win is 18-2 ATS since 1980.

Rating: 4 Units 4* Big-10 Bash

The Hawkeyes have held the upper hand in this series with the Wolverines, going 15-8-1 ATS as a dog in this series, including 8-2 ATS with an .800 or greater win percentage, and 6-0 ATS when the Maize-and-Blue are coming off back-to-back wins.  In addition, teams entering their conference championship game, coming off a win of 14 or more points, are just 19-29 ATS all-time, including 1-9 ATS against a foe coming off a loss. Next, the favorite in Big Ten title games is 2-8 ATS (1-7 ATS versus .800 or greater foes). Finally, Iowa head coach Kirk Ferentz brings a 5-0 ATS record as a dog of more than 7 points with a win percentage of .750 or more into the fray. The clincher:  Playing Against any favorite of 6 or more points with a better record than its opponent in its conference championship game – if coming off an ATS win of 15 or more points and facing an .800 or fewer opponent is 10-1 ATS since 1996.

Rating: 5 Unit 5* AAC Championship Cash

Playing high-profile opponents has not been a problem for Cincinnati, either, considering they own a spotless 5-0 ATS record in the last five contests versus .900 or greater opponents. Series history also favors UC, as Houston stands 4-10 SU and 3-10-1 ATS versus the Bearcats, including 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS here. And despite this year’s success, Cougars coach Holgorsen is only 9-18 SU and 11-16 ATS versus undefeated opposition in his career. The clincher: Playing against CFB team with revenge in its Championship Game if they allow more than 17.5 PPG and they are facing a .916 or greater opponent who allows fewer than 19 PPG if the opponent they are facing was has won 20 or more of its last 22 games is a perfect 8-0 ATS since 1992.

Rating: 5 Unit 5* Sun Belt Championship Smash

Much like the Baylor-Oklahoma State contest, these two own very similar numbers in the most important offensive and defensive team stats, but there is one area where the Cajuns own an overwhelming edge: Appalachian State is dead even when it comes to turnover margin in 2021, while Louisiana checks in at +11. In addition to riding an 11-game win streak since an opening season loss at Texas, Louisiana beat ASU by 28 points in mid-October when they held the Mountaineers to a season-low 13 points and 211 yards. The Clincher: Playing against CFB team with revenge in its Championship Game if they allow more than 17.5 PPG and they are facing a .916 or greater opponent who allows fewer than 19 PPG if the opponent they are facing was has won 20 or more of its last 22 games is a perfect 8-0 ATS since 1992.

Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day

There is not a whole lot on the line in this game for the Bruins – they have qualified for a bowl game (but cannot reach the Pac-12 title game), and they are still basking in the glow of their 62-33 destruction of arch-rival USC. Also, consider that they are 0-6-1 ATS after taking on the Trojans, 0-5-1 ATS in Game Twelve, and 1-7 ATS as home chalk of less than 10 points. Therefore, this becomes the ideal spot for the Bears, who still need a pair of wins (although next week doesn’t matter unless they score a victory here) to earn their bowl stripes. On top of that, they have owned this series spread-wise, going 12-4-1 ATS as a dog, and overall are 6-0 ATS as road dogs of 10 or fewer points. In addition, the Bears are 21-8 ATS as an underdog with head coach Justin Wilcox, including 7-0 ATS when the Bears own a losing record.

Rating: 5 Unit  Big-12 Game of the Week

Okies a step behind normally overpowering "O", with 3 take aways greasing skids for escape vs Iowa St (25-15 first down & 362-306 yard deficits). Oklahoma St "D" has been immovable, ranking 3rd, 4th, & 2nd in total, rushing, scoring. A 165-23 pt edge L4 tilts. Repaying 6 straight losses. Consider as well that playing against any unrested college football favorite from Game Eight or later who allows 13.3 or more PPG on the season coming off its first loss of the season if they were favored by 4 or more points in the loss and lost to the spread by 14 or more points, if they are facing an opponent coming off a loss is a perfect 22-0 ATS since 1980