Free Football Picks

1* Free Play on Michigan State -26½ -110

Free Total Annihilator On Georgia State vs Charlotte under 143½ -110

[1%] Free Play on Warriors -5 -110

1* Free Pick on Canadiens +110

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: James Madison/Southern Miss OVER 57.5

There should be a ton of possessions in this game between James Madison and Southern Miss tonight with more opportunities for points.  Southern Miss ranks 2nd in the country in tempo snapping the ball every 21.4 seconds.  James Madison ranks 16th, snapping the ball every 23.9 seconds.

James Madison has a potent offense scoring 39.1 points per game while averaging 6.4 yards per play this season.  They have a tired defense off consecutive OT losses to Appalachian State and Troy.  They will actually be playing for a 10th consecutive week to start the season.  They are playing their 4th game in 19 days as well.

Southern Miss hasn't played many offenses the caliber of James Madison this season.  Yet they still allowed 31 points to Louisiana and 55 points to Troy.  They also allowed 48 points to UConn and 43 to Auburn.  The Dukes can pretty much name their number against this poor Southern Miss defense.

The Golden Eagles are going to be playing fast no matter the score of the game, but they will play even faster when trailing and that's likely to be the case.  This offense has produced 26.9 points per game, 399.5 yards per game and 5.7 yards per play this season.  They have put up at least 34 points in three of their last four games and should do their part against this tired JMU defense to contribute to the total.

The forecast also looks great for a shootout with temps in the 60's, no wind and no rain tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

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Thursday's Free NBA Pick

PLAY ON: Warriors -7 

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Jaguars/Ravens under 39½ -110

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Free Pick on Jaguars/Ravens: under 40

The Ravens' quarterback room is down to an undrafted rookie, and that's where this total starts.

Lamar Jackson is out indefinitely with a thumb injury and headed for injured reserve. Tyler Huntley is out as well. That leaves Joe Fagnano, an undrafted rookie out of UConn, making his first career NFL start on a short week. He came out of Sunday's loss to the Bills with an ankle injury of his own, practicing in a heavy brace.

Fagnano's emergency relief work against Buffalo told the story: 10 of 21 for 91 yards with an interception. No Ravens player topped 25 receiving yards, and Zay Flowers was held without a catch for the first time in his career. Expect Baltimore to lean on Derrick Henry, run the clock and protect the kid.

The other side of the ball helps too. Jacksonville is allowing just 15.9 points per game through 7 contests, and the defense just hung a shutout through three quarters on the Colts in a 42-7 win. Rayuan Lane took a pick-six 92 yards in that one.

Baltimore has scored 13, 10 and 10 in three of its last 5 games, averaging 17.4 over that stretch. And the Jaguars needed just 14 Trevor Lawrence pass attempts last week. When this team gets a lead, it sits on it.

Even the kicking game is patched together. Asked whether Jake Moody kicks Thursday with Tyler Loop headed to IR, Jesse Minter said "At this point, yes."

A rookie quarterback, a run-heavy script on both sides and a stingy Jacksonville defense on a short week. Give me the Under 40 (-110) in Jaguars at Ravens.

Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Illinois -30

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Ravens +10 -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Tulsa -14

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1* Best Bet on Canadiens +110

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on Ravens +10 -110

Thursday night Card has a TOP line Executive Level TIER 1 in College Hoops and Perfect Power systems in the NFL and College Football. NHL Comp play below

The NHL Comp play is on Colorado at 9:35 eastern. The Avalanche are laying 2-1 here but fit a 22-2 revenge system that pertains to Home favorites at -150 or higher that have a 550 or better win percentage, lost their last game and have road favored loss revenge for a -200 or higher loss. Colorado has bounced back to win 4 of 5 off a loss this year and catch Nashville off a pair of upset wins. Colorado was flattened 7-2 in their last game and likely bounce back here. Play on Colorado. GL Rob V-

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #366 Arizona State Sun Devils over Colorado Buffaloes (7:30 p.m., Saturday, November 7 | ESPN2)

Colorado snapped a five-game losing streak with its first conference victory of the season over Kansas State last time out. That result helps keep this line reasonable and creates value with Arizona State at home.

The Buffaloes were competitive in only one game during that five-game skid, and this looks like a good opportunity for the Sun Devils to bounce back. Arizona State remains in the hunt for a bowl berth and has alternated wins and losses all season. Coming off a loss to BYU, I expect the Sun Devils to respond with a strong performance and win by double digits.

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WOWEEE!!! We have a HUGE PAYDAY coming today with my NCAAF & NCAAB SLATE: NCAAF AAC TOTAL OF THE MONTH along with my SUNBELT GAME OF THE WEEK. Then we also have my 1st NCAAB RELEASES OF THE YEAR: WAKE FOREST/VANDY WINNER, CRUSHER, and SHOCKER PLAYS. Get them all and together we will enjoy a HUGE PAYDAY!

Baltimore Ravens.

When all fingers point to one side in Sports betting, I raise an eyebrow and look at the other side. Maybe it’s because I’m a contrarian player who has made a very successful career going against the grain. I understand Jacksonville is coming off a demolishing at home over Indianapolis 42-7. I also understand they have struggled in this rivalry over recent matchups. However, Baltimore is without both their first- and second-string quarterbacks and are relying on Joe Fagnano. Undrafted out of UConn, he is certainly untested. They do have a couple of able bodies behind him. But he is named the starter for this matchup. It has been over a decade since the Jaguars won in Baltimore, as the Ravens to enjoy a very nice home-field advantage at M&T Bank Stadium. Over recent weeks, this team has lost and failed to cover all three of their games. But I think this is a different situation here. Yes, the Jaguars possess a top-five scoring offense and a top-two scoring defense. But they don’t know what to expect from Fagnano and are very lax against the pass, ranking 29th. I do feel the No. 6 ranked rushing attack of the Baltimore Ravens behind the legs of Derrick Henry will get a large portion of their action. Now the Jacksonville Jaguars own the top run defense in the NFL. However, I think there are several items that compel me to side with the home team here. The Ravens do, as I mentioned a moment ago own a very good record at home and have the confidence of knowing they’ve dominated this opponent on this field over the last decade. Also, please take into account in 10 days from now on the road the Jaguars take on the Tennessee Titans, a team in their own division that sits in second place with the record of just 2-5. I don’t think they’re going to be a look in a look ahead mode. But they certainly don’t need to take this game seriously through four quarters. I’m taking the Baltimore Ravens. Thank you.

1 Dimer on Ravens +10 -108

Air Force +3.5

Air Force and Army meet on Saturday and we're backing Air Force with the points. These are two teams with very similar styles of offense which should provide a game that is tightly played. Air Force has been flying under the radar a bit as they sit at 6-2 while coming off a win over UConn where they scored 35 points. This offense has been firing on all cylinders, averaging nearly 30 ppg and they're doing it with the ground attack. They rushed for 366 yards last week and this is going to be a game where they give Army a taste of what they do to other teams. This will be a game won at the line of scrimmage and both teams will run downhill right at each other. Army's defense has had some issues and this game will stay close throughout. Grab the points. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on AIR FORCE ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Saturday FREE NCAAF ATS Play

The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG weekend is coming up for football, plays locked in early in the week. Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

The Hurricanes arrive at UBS Arena as the clear class of the early-season East, sitting at 12-3-2 with 26 points, a +24 goal differential, and elite underlying numbers (roughly 3.76 goals for and 2.29 against per game). The Islanders sit at 7-5-2 with 16 points and a more modest +1 differential. Public money has piled onto Carolina at moneyline prices in the -175 to -185 range, which makes the Islanders +1.5 (generally -150 to -188 depending on the book) the sharper number.

Carolina’s system is a high-volume, possession-driven machine that generates shots and suppresses them at the other end. They take the puck away in the neutral zone, transition quickly, and tilt the ice. The Islanders under their current structure are more methodical and structured, leaning on a stingy defensive zone, a strong penalty kill (among the league’s better units early), and the ability to clog the middle. Through 14 games New York has allowed just 2.71–2.79 goals per game, ranking among the NHL’s tighter defensive clubs.

That defensive identity is why the +1.5 is the play. Carolina has been an excellent straight-up team but a mediocre or worse ATS squad as a favorite (8-9 overall in one tracking source, with the bulk of those failures coming in favorite spots). They can win 3-2 or 4-2 games without covering the 1.5-goal line. The Islanders, meanwhile, have shown more resilience as underdogs and have been covering at a solid clip recently (including a strong last-five ATS stretch in some trackers).

Rest is the clearest non-talent factor. The Islanders last played on October 31 (a 4-0 home shutout loss to Edmonton) and have had four full days off. Carolina played November 3 and lost 4-1 in Nashville, so they are on one day of rest. Four days versus one is a meaningful difference this early in the season, especially for a structured defensive team that can use the extra practice time to tighten details. Home underdogs with a multi-day rest edge against a high-profile favorite who just played are a classic value spot on the puck line.

Bo Horvat remains the Islanders’ steady two-way centerpiece. Through 14 games he has 7 goals and 7 assists, continuing the reliable top-six production and face-off work that has defined his Islanders tenure. He doesn’t need to outscore the opposition; he needs to help limit quality chances and contribute secondary scoring.

Sebastian Aho is the higher-end offensive driver on the other side (9 goals, 12 assists in 17 games). Aho is a pure playmaker and finisher who can tilt a period by himself. The Islanders’ best path is not trying to match Aho’s skill level one-for-one; it is funneling him toward the perimeter and limiting the secondary chances that follow his touches. Ilya Sorokin (when he starts) has the ability to erase odd-man rushes and high-danger looks that Aho creates. Carolina’s goaltending (Kochetkov or Bussi) has been solid, but the Islanders do not need to outscore them—they need to stay within one.

Recent history favors Carolina. They have won the majority of the last several meetings, including a 2-1 road win at UBS Arena on April 14, 2026. Many of those games have been relatively tight rather than blowouts, and the Islanders have shown they can compete when the series is played at home. Carolina’s overall dominance does not automatically translate to covering a -1.5 every night, especially against a rested defensive group.

The slate’s clearest value sits on the side that is getting the points on the board more often while the favorite is priced to win by two or more. Carolina is the better team on paper and on the ice in most metrics, but the market has already adjusted for that. The Islanders’ combination of solid early-season defensive metrics, multi-day rest, home ice, and Carolina’s documented difficulty covering as a heavy favorite creates a clean +1.5 spot. It does not require New York to win outright—just to keep the game within a goal or steal it in regulation/overtime.

Public betting has been heavily skewed toward the Hurricanes in some markets, which further supports fading the short favorite on the puck line. Both teams defend well enough that a lower-scoring, competitive game is a realistic outcome, which is exactly the environment in which the underdog +1.5 thrives.

In short: Carolina can (and probably will) win more of these matchups. The number is simply too short for them to be reliable -1.5 covers against a rested Islanders team that has already shown it can stay in games and cover as a dog. That is the edge.

My selection is on Montreal over Utah at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.

To say that the Canadiens enter this game in a foul mood would be an understatement after they inexplicably coughed up a 4-0 lead with three minutes remaining in an eventual 5-4 overtime loss against the struggling Jets two nights ago. We'll call for Montreal to bounce back on Thursday as it hosts a Utah team that has gone 2-1 on its current road trip and checks in off a 3-2 victory in Toronto on Tuesday. Note that the Mammoth haven't posted consecutive wins since a three-game winning streak from October 10th to 15th. They certainly haven't had much room for error lately as they're 4-4 over their last eight contests with two of those wins coming by way of overtime and all four by a single goal. Tuesday's loss only served to snap Montreal's five-game winning streak. Take Montreal (8*).

1* on Hurricanes -181

Ricky's 1* play on Under.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Under is 3-1 in the Magic last 4 games.

- The Under is 4-3 in the Magic last 7 head to head meetings.

- The Under is 3-1 in the Suns last 4 home head to head meetings.

Verdict: Points should be hard to come by in this game.

Free Pick on Canadiens +110

FREE PLAY on Jaguars/Ravens over 39½