Free Football Picks

1 Dimer on Nuggets vs Blazers over 239½ -105

1* Best Bet on Blazers +2½

No analysis provided.

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Heat -2½ -110

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* NBA - Bucks/Pelicans FREE PICK on Pelicans -3.5

Free Pick on Heat -2½ -110

Free Play from Doc’s Sports in MLS. Take LA Galaxy over NYCFC (7 p.m. EST, Sunday, February 22) Last year the Galaxy were fresh of their MLS Cup win and expectations were high, but they got off to a historically bad start, winless in their first 16 games, and the season was over before it started. A lot of this had to do with injuries, especially to Ricard Puig, the Galaxy’s best player. He was really central to a lot of what the Galaxy wanted to do, and his absence created lots of problems for the side. Puig had offseason surgery, and is out again for the season, but the Galaxy have solidified the team in his absence. Young players got a lot of experience last season when they might have not otherwise had the opportunity, and they made some nice signings in the offseason. Last season is a thing of the past, and this team is back to where it wants to be as a Cup contender and a very likely playoff side at the very least. They are underrated by the oddsmakers to start the season, and we will take advantage of the value here with this plus-money line. The Galaxy have won the last two meetings at home vs NYCFC, and we see this one as a low scoring match but we think the Galaxy will find a way to win. There hasn’t been a draw in seven meetings and we don’t envision one here. After last season, we think there will be an emphasis on a strong start, and home pitch will propel the Galaxy to three points. 

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Miami Heat -3.5

The Atlanta Hawks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 117-107 road win at the Philadelphia 76ers last night.  They took advantage of a short-handed 76ers team that was without Joel Embiid and Paul George.

The Hawks had six players play at least 27 minutes including 37 from both Jalen Johnson and Dyson Daniels.  They now must face a Miami Heat team that had yesterday off and comes out of the All-Star Break as healthy as they have been all season.

The Heat have everyone available including Norman Powell and Tyler Herro.  The break will have given them more of an opportunity to implement Herro into the lineup to form some chemistry.  This is one of the best teams in the East at full strength.

The Heat are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last four meetings with the Hawks with all four wins coming by 9 points or more.  Their lone loss came without the services of Powell, Herro and Wiggins, which are three of their top four scorers.  Bet the Heat Friday.

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Dave's Friday Free Play:

1* on Indiana +12

The Key: The Purdue Boilermakers are coming off a home loss to Michigan in their biggest game of the season.  It's the type of loss that can beat a team twice.  They have only had 2 days off to great ready for Indiana and will be playing their 3rd game in 6 days.  The Hoosiers have the luxury of rest having the last 4 days off and playing just their 2nd game in 11 days.  Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games overall with its only losses coming on the road to USC and Illinois.  They beat Purdue 72-67 at home in their first matchup this year, and I don't think they should be catching 12 points in the rematch on the road given their rest advantage.  Take Indiana.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Portland Trail Blazers ML +105

The Denver Nuggets suffered a brutal 115-114 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers last night.  They remain pretty short-handed without both Aaron Gordon and Peyton Watson.  They could be extra cautious with Nikola Jokic in these back-to-back situations after he got injured largely due to his usage rate.  The Blazers have Deni Avidja back healthy and come out of the All-Star Break looking to make the playoffs.  They also recently got Holiday, Grant and Henderson back from injuries.  They went 4-1 SU in their final five games going into the All-Star Break with their lone loss coming at Minnesota.  Give me the Blazers on the Money Line.

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This is a play on the BOWLING GREEN FALCONS for our Friday Free Play. Miami Ohio has five more games to complete a perfect regular season and the schedule sets up well as their two toughest games are both at home and the three road games are against teams in the bottom six in the MAC in NET Ranking. The RedHawks have covered three straight and are 17-6 ATS despite the numbers being inflated due to the undefeated record but they do come in just 4-3 ATS in home conference games. They passed the test at Massachusetts and now face the highest remaining NET Ranked team. Bowling Green is No. 4 in the conference and they bring one major strength into this game that can slow down Miami and that is its defense. The Falcons are allowing opponents to shoot just 42.8 percent from the floor and they can neutralize the potent Miami offense. They are ranked No. 30 in average possession length on defense and will want to keep it slow paced. Play (893) Bowling Green Falcons

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Mikey Sports FREE CBB play Friday 2-20-26

Siena +3 1/2

Mikey Sports has been on an INCREDIBLE 40-24 (63%) RUN over his last 64 basketball picks! He has now made $1,000/game bettors $13,540 in profits since February 01, 2026. Join Mikey Sports with his Spread for Friday on Nuggets v. Blazers!

Bowling Green vs Miami (Ohio) 
5-Unit bet on Miami (priced as a 7.5-point favorite. 
8:30 EST | CBSSN 

Bowling Green at No. 22 Miami (OH): RedHawks Chasing History at Millett Hall 

Bowling Green Falcons (16–11, 7–7 MAC) at Miami (OH) RedHawks (26–0, 13–0 MAC) 
Friday, 8:30 p.m. ET | Oxford, Ohio 

Miami (OH) has reached the stage where every game is no longer just a conference matchup—it’s a referendum on history. On Friday night at a sold‑out Millett Hall, the No. 22 RedHawks put their perfect 26–0 record on the line against a Bowling Green team still fighting for positioning in the MAC race. 

Why Miami (OH) Is Still Standing — and Why It Likely Will Be After Friday 

Miami’s undefeated run is not a fluke, and advanced efficiency models like Bart Torvik’s T‑Rank underscore why. The RedHawks check every box that predictive analytics value most: elite offensive efficiency, ruthless turnover control, and consistent shot quality across all areas of the floor. 

Miami is 14–0 at home, and that dominance is driven by discipline. The RedHawks average just over 10 turnovers per game and are a perfect 19–0 when winning the turnover battle, a stat that aligns directly with Torvik’s emphasis on possession value. Simply put: Miami doesn’t give games away. 

Offensively, the RedHawks play with pace and precision. Their 92.3 points per game aren’t just a volume stat—they’re the product of spacing, ball movement, and an attack that stresses defenses at every level. Torvik-style efficiency analysis consistently rewards teams that score efficiently inside while also punishing help with perimeter shooting, and Miami does both. 

The result? Opponents are forced to keep up in a track meet they rarely survive. 

Bowling Green’s Challenge: Keeping It Close, Not Chasing 

Bowling Green enters at 7–7 in MAC play, fresh off a competitive but telling 78–71 loss at Kent State, where Javontae Campbell poured in 22 points. The Falcons are capable offensively, but the matchup math is unforgiving. 

From an analytics perspective, Bowling Green profiles as a middle-tier MAC team: solid defensively, but limited in areas that matter most against elite offenses. The Falcons allow 70.5 points per game, respectable on paper, but Miami averages nearly 22 more points per contest—a gap that reflects both tempo and shot efficiency. 

Rebounding is another concern. Bowling Green ranks near the bottom of the conference in offensive rebounding, an issue against a Miami team that closes possessions and turns stops into immediate scoring opportunities. Torvik’s models consistently penalize teams that struggle to extend possessions against efficient opponents—and Miami thrives on that exact edge. 

The First Meeting Told Us Plenty 

These teams met once already this season, and Miami controlled the matchup in a 93–83 road win on December 31. Bowling Green scored well, but it never dictated terms. Miami’s balance was the difference, with multiple players contributing and the offense never stagnating. 

That theme has only intensified since. 

Players to Watch 

Miami (OH): 

Eian Elmer continues to be the engine, averaging nearly 12 points and 6 rebounds while anchoring Miami’s interior efficiency. 

Peter Suder, one of the MAC’s most reliable scorers, has elevated his play late in the season, averaging 18.4 points over the last 10 games—exactly the kind of late‑season surge analytics models reward. 

Bowling Green: 

Javontae Campbell has been on a heater, scoring 19.8 points per game over the last 10, shooting an elite 52.5% from the floor. 

Mayar Wol provides perimeter punch, hitting nearly 40% from three, but Bowling Green will need volume and efficiency from deep to keep pace. 

Recent Form Favors the RedHawks—Decisively 

Over the last 10 games, Miami has been nothing short of dominant: 

10–0 record 

Nearly 91 points per game 

Shooting 53.5% from the field 

Forcing opponents into uncomfortable, up‑tempo games they can’t win 

Bowling Green, meanwhile, sits at 5–5 in that span, scoring just over 71 points per game—a number that historically struggles against top-tier efficiency teams like Miami. 

Final Word: Why 26–0 Becomes 27–0 

I have had Bart Torvik on my shows in past years, and his efficiency principles consistently highlight the same truth: teams that protect the ball, score efficiently, and control tempo rarely lose—especially at home. Miami (OH) does all three at an elite level. 

Bowling Green is good enough to compete, but Miami is built to close. Expect the RedHawks to dictate pace early, stretch the floor, and lean on their discipline to pull away late—another step toward a history-making undefeated season. 

The Super Turbo-Charged Money Maker. 
The following betting algorithm has compiled an exceptionally profitable 26-3 SU (90%^) and 20-7-2 ATS for 74% winning bets since 2014. The required criteria are: 

Bet on teams that are undefeated after game number 26 of the regular season. 

They are favored and facing a conference foe. 

If the foe has a winning record, our undefeated juggernauts have compiled an incredible 14-1 SU and 12-3 ATS record for 80% winning bets. 

Jim's FREE Play : 536. Lakers -7 (7:10 PT / 10:10 ET)

The Lakers are sitting around -6.5 at home. The driving force for liking them to cover is availability. Injury updates coming out of Thursday's practice has the Lakers hopeful to be at essentially full strength with Luka Doncic back in the fold, Austin Reaves coming off minutes restrictions, and Deandre Ayton expected to play. If that happens the Lakers simply have a higher offensive floor with more avenues to build separation - particularly late in games when spacing and shot creation decides close ones. Conversely, the Clippers injury report has guards Darius Garland out and Bradley Beal out, which limits their depth at guard and makes it more difficult to sustain pace for 4 quarters. Throw in the difference in overall play (Lakers 33-21 vs Clippers 26-28) and you've got yourself a spot where the Lakers can cover comfortably if they play smart / limit dumb turnovers and control the boards.

Friday's CBB Free Pick 

PLAY ON: Purdue -10.5 

Friday NBA Free play. My selection is on Portland plus the points over Denver at 10:10 pm et on Friday.

Bettors figure to line up to back the Nuggets off last night's narrow loss to the Clippers in Los Angeles. We'll go the other way and grab the points with the Trail Blazers. Not only does Denver enter this game on no rest but it comes in on a three-game ATS losing streak. The Trail Blazers elected to sit some key contributors in a back-to-back situation in their final game prior to the All-Star break but still managed to win by 16 points over the Jazz in Utah. They come out of the break with the .500 mark in their sights riding a 4-1 run (3-2 ATS) over their last five contests. I think the case can be made for the wrong team being favored in this spot and I like the fact that Portland is an unpopular home underdog. Take Portland.

Our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover the spread against the Brooklyn Nets on Friday at 8:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Brooklyn is one of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference and that won't change anytime soon if not for some team moves.

The Nets are just 2-5 against the spread over their L7 games and are 8-12 versus the spread against Western Conference teams this year.

They have also lost 12 of their L13 games played on the road.

Oklahoma City remains at the top of the West with a 42-14 record.

The Thunder are back after a much needed break to regain healthiness.

We're on OKC tonight.

AAA Sports