Free Football Picks

1* Free Play on West Virginia -27 -105

[1%] Free Play on Richmond -3 -110

1* Free Pick on Commanders/Giants over 40½ -118

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Dallas Mavericks +6

The Dallas Mavericks have gone 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.  That includes upset wins over the Heat, Thunder and Rockets.  They also lost to the Spurs by a single point.  Now the Mavericks are rested and ready to go tonight after having the last two days off and should put forth a big effort in Minnesota.

It's time to 'sell high' on the Timberwolves, who have remarkably gone 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall without Anthony Edwards (33.3 PPG).  Four of those wins were against bottom feeders in the Jazz, Pelicans, Bucks and Clippers.  They lost by 10 to the Spurs in their lone defeat during this stretch.

Teams can navigate around being without their star players for a short stretch like the Timberwolves have.  I think this tougher stretch of the schedule coming up will expose them a bit.  This line is a couple ticks too high due to Minnesota's recent success without Edwards.  Dallas will give them a game tonight.  Bet the Mavericks Thursday.

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1* Free Wiseguy Play on Commanders +2½ -112

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Thursday's Free CBB Pick

PLAY ON: Oklahoma State +8.5

Free Play on Loyola Marymount +1½ -110

Mikey Sports FREE NBA Play Thursday 11-12-26

Charlotte +6 1/2

Mikey is passing with premium picks on Thursday!

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Thursday Headliner Includes The NFL Thursday night Game of the Month with a 14-0 System dating to 1990. We also have hoops and African Nations Cup Soccer. CFB Comp play below.

The College Football Play tonight is on Memphis at 8 eastern -3.5 points. The Tigers are in a solid Thursday specific Power system tonight that pertains to road favorites of 8 or less that are off a home favored win and cover and scored more than 28 points while allowing less than 24 and they are taking on a team like South Florida that is off a road dog loss where they scored at least 7 points. Memphis is off 2 high scoring home wins popping 40+ in each. South Florida blew the lead and lost in over time to East Carolina. Memphis has won 8 of the last 9 in the series so we will back then minus the small number here. GL Rob V

1* Free Pick on Commanders/Giants: under 41½

The Commanders simply don't have the horses to score right now. Terry McLaurin is out for the year, Dyami Brown is on IR with a calf injury, and Treylon Burks is questionable with a foot issue. Jayden Daniels was down to Van Jefferson, a guy with zero catches entering last week, leading his wideouts in receiving.

The results show it. Washington has managed 13, 17, and 13 points in three of its last four, averaging 19.4 a game over the last 5. The lone TD pass against the Rams went to Jefferson. That's an offense surviving on Drew Stevens field goals, not sustaining drives.

The Giants just played a 19-11 game against the Eagles where rookie kicker Dominic Zvada accounted for 13 of their 19 points. J.J. McCarthy is officially questionable with a hip pointer, but he took every rep Tuesday and is cleared to start on the short week. Even so, a quarterback playing through a hip issue three days after taking that shot isn't a recipe for fireworks.

Yes, these teams combined for 54 in a 27-27 tie back in Week 5. Washington's receiver room was a different animal then. McLaurin is gone, Brown is gone, Burks may not go, and the point production has cratered since.

Short week, banged-up quarterback on one side, no healthy receivers on the other. The play is the Under 41.5 at -115 in Commanders at Giants.

Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Montana State +22.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Montana State tonight.  They only lost by 10 as double-digit dogs at Colorado State in their 1st game and came back with a win and cover in a 13-point home win over Long Beach State.  They have had the last 4 days off to rest and get ready for BYU.  The Cougars lost top pick AJ Dybansta to the NBA draft and will take a big step back.  They have opened 3-0 but their 98-82 win over Queens last time out was concerning.  That's a Queens team that lost by 50 to Oklahoma State in their previous game.  BYU only has one day off since that Queens game and will still be pretty tired coming into this one.  The rest edge for the Bobcats makes me think they can stay within this number, especially since Queens did.  Take Montana State.

**9X Top 10 NFL Handicapper!** That's right, Dave has NINE Top 10 NFL Finishes dating back to 2008!  He is riding a solid 836-703 NFL Run over the long haul that has $1,000/game investors up $61,210! Dave is also in the midst of a 351-281 NFL 7* Run as well as a more recent 191-155 NFL Run that helped him finish as the #3 NFL Capper in 2024-25! He is also on a 44-18 Run on 7* Top Plays in all sports! Give your book the beating it deserves tonight and hop on board for Dave's Thursday All Sports 4-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* Commanders/Giants TNF *HEAVY HITTER* along with three 6* picks for you to crush your book with tonight ladies and gents! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Friday's picks for FREE!

1* FREE INFO PLAY Commanders vs Giants under 41 -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Phoenix Suns -6.5

The Charlotte Hornets are without their two best players in Miller and Knueppel who are expected to be their franchise cornerstones.  They are also without another key role player in Dennis Schroder.  The Nets rank 27th in net rating this season with only the Kings, Bucks and Bulls being worse.  The Suns are off to a poor 4-6 start but it's mostly due to playing the toughest schedule in the NBA with eight of their games coming against the best teams in the West.  In their two games against the worst teams they played they blew out the Magic by 13 and the Clippers by 33.  They will blow out the short-handed Hornets tonight.  Give me the Suns.

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Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play Thursday 11-12-26

Mercer @ West Virginia  (7:00 PM EST)
Play On:  West Virginia -25 1/2

The Mercer Bears travel to West Virginia to take on the Mountaineers on Thursday night.  Mercer is 2-2 SU overall this year while West Virginia comes in with a 2-0 SU overall record on the season.  West Virginia is 5-0 ATS last 5 games overall.  West Virginia is 5-0 ATS last 5 games as a favorite.  West Virginia is 7-1 ATS last 8 games against a team with a losing record.  West Virginia is beating teams by an average of 91 to 49.5.  Mercer is allowing 91.7 points per game on the road this year.  Bet on - Home teams - after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 175 points or more. System applies to: West Virginia. System's record since 1998: 129-77 (62.6%). We'll recommend a small play on West Virginia tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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1* Best Bet on Commanders +1

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on Commanders vs Giants under 41 -110

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take UCF Knights over Arizona State Sun Devils (Saturday, November 14, 3:30 p.m., ESPN2)

Both teams have had up-and-down seasons, and the winner clinches bowl eligibility. I like UCF to take care of business at the Acrisure Bounce House and earn its second straight win and third in four games. Arizona State is coming off a home win over Colorado, but the Sun Devils have alternated wins and losses all season. I expect that pattern to continue in Orlando, where I like the Knights to win by double digits.

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R&R Totals FREE CFB Over-Under Thursday 11-12-26

UNDER 50 1/2 Memphis/South Florida

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1 Dimer on Commanders vs Giants under 41 -110

OVER 6.5

Columbus has been a defensive mess, and that's not a good combination against a Tampa Bay offense that's finding the back of the net in bunches. The Lightning just hung 8 goals on Buffalo, and there's no reason to expect them to suddenly take their foot off the gas. The Blue Jackets play an aggressive, up-tempo style, but their defensive-zone coverage and inability to clear pucks consistently leave them vulnerable to sustained pressure. Tampa Bay should generate plenty of quality looks, especially when rebounds turn into second and third scoring opportunities. Columbus can contribute offensively, too, making this an attractive spot for goals at both ends. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

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UMBC hosts Morgan State in the 410 Invitational at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena. The Retrievers are 1-2 overall and 1-0 at home after a 91-61 win over McDaniel. Morgan State arrives 3-0 with a +31.3 scoring margin. The posted number is 6.5 points; home-court form and the structure of the matchup leave more room on the UMBC side than the raw records suggest.

 UMBC under Jim Ferry has shown a more controlled home profile early. In the only home game the Retrievers scored 91 points on 42.3% shooting while holding McDaniel to 61. They average 75.0 points overall but have limited opponents to 61 points in that home setting. Defensive blocks sit at 4.3 per game, and free-throw shooting is strong at 85.1%. The system leans on balanced scoring and forcing turnovers in familiar surroundings.

Morgan State under Kevin Broadus has been high-volume and efficient against lesser competition. The Bears average 90.3 points while allowing just 59.0 (30th nationally in points allowed through three games). They hold a 52.0-to-35.3 rebounding edge and shoot 44.8% from the field and 38.1% from three. That production has come against Cheyney, Virginia University of Lynchburg, and Niagara. The defensive numbers look elite in the small sample, yet the Bears have not faced a structured America East home defense in this setting. When the opponent’s pace slows and the glass is contested, the early margin of +31.3 has not been tested at this level.

UMBC’s primary options include Devin Ceaser at 16.3 points on 37.8% shooting and strong free-throw volume. Aidan Able contributes 3.3 assists, while Jovan Ristic averages 7.7 rebounds. Those pieces give the Retrievers secondary creation and frontcourt presence that can occupy the ball for stretches. In the home win over McDaniel the group produced efficient half-court looks without relying on one creator.

Morgan State is led by Alfred Worrell Jr. at 22.3 points on 51.2% shooting. Keith Richard adds 4.0 assists, and Trent Edwards averages 8.3 rebounds. Worrell Jr. and the supporting cast have generated volume against lower-level opponents, yet the individual efficiency has not been measured against a defense that can contest the perimeter and limit second-chance points. When the top option is forced into contested mid-range or three-point attempts, Morgan State’s supporting production has been thinner in two-way impact.

UMBC is 1-0 at home this season and just posted a 30-point home win. Morgan State is 3-0 and 1-0 on the road after a 73-67 win at Niagara, but the three victories have come against teams that combined for a weak early efficiency profile. League-wide, home favorites of 5–8 points in the first 10 days of the season against teams that have played mostly low-major or Division II/III opponents have covered at a higher rate when the home side is coming off a double-digit home victory.

Longer-term patterns point the same direction. Over the last 15 seasons, mid-major home favorites in the 5-to-8-point range in early November invitational settings have covered more often than not when the visitor’s recent scoring average was inflated by weaker competition. The series history is nearly even (UMBC leads 16-15), and the posted 6.5 number sits closer to the structural gap once home environment and competition level are factored in. UMBC should control the tempo and win by more than 6.5; the line simply does not ask for as much as the systems, the individual matchups, and the early-season home trends have typically delivered.

My selection is on Arizona plus the points over Los Angeles at 4:05 pm et on Sunday.

Bettors figure to line up to back the Rams on Sunday as they roll into this game on the heels of three straight wins both SU and ATS and just welcomed back Myles Garrett to an already fearsome defense last week. Of course, Arizona is down to third-string rookie quarterback Carson Beck after trading away Jacoby Brissett and losing backup Gardner Minshew to an injury. I don't expect the Cardinals to put too much on Beck's plate here. While Arizona isn't a great team, it hasn't given up on the season, having split its last four games. The problem for the Cards has been stringing together consecutive strong performances which is why last Sunday's rather lifeless 14-3 loss in Seattle wasn't a surprise following an 'upset' win in Dallas the week previous. Arizona continues to play hard defensively, holding six of its nine opponents to 5.8 yards per play or fewer this season and its last two foes to just 3.8 and 4.8 yards per play. The Rams offense has been anything but explosive for much of the season and will be without WR Puka Nacua who joins Davante Adams on the sidelines this week. This one might not be pretty but we'll grab all the points we can get with Arizona. Take Arizona (8*).

1* on Oklahoma State +8½

Ricky's 1* play on WAS.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Commanders are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.

- The Commanders are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 head to head meetings.

- The Commanders are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Verdict: The value is on the road Underdog.

Free Pick on San Jose State -7½ -110

FREE PLAY on Commanders/Giants over 40½