Free Football Picks

Tuesday's Free NBA Pick

PLAY ON: Blazers +1.5

1* CBB - Illinois/Texas Tech FREE PICK on Texas Tech +2

1* Free Pick on Raiders +3½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* FREE INFO PLAY Siena vs Dayton over 153½ -110

My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Ottawa at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Senators are expected to get a big boost with the return of Linus Ullmark between the pipes on Tuesday. They've treaded water in his absence, going 4-4 over their last eight games but do check in off consecutive wins over the Sabres and Mammoth. We're working with a reasonably high total here as the Capitals are coming off back-to-back 'over' results and have posted a 10-5 o/u mark on the season. I do think we have a 'catalyst for change' at work with Washington hitting the road for the first time since October 29th. Note that only two of the Caps four road games this season have totalled more than six goals with both of those contests reaching seven total goals. Ottawa currently ranks around the middle of the pack in terms of goals per game but enters the week top 10 in goals allowed per contest. Neither of these teams have enjoyed much success with the man advantage. Washington ranks 22nd in power play percentage while Ottawa sits 31st. The Sens have seen their last two games stay 'under' the total but previously posted a three-game 'under' streak back in October. Take the under (8*).

Our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder to defeat the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday at 11:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Oklahoma City is still playing really well this season even while dealing with these injuries.

In fact, the Thunder are now on a four game winning streak and are just a game outside of first in the Western Conference (played two less games).

Portland is also improved this season. But, the loss of Morant is big, especially in games like this.

The Blazers have lost 19 of the L20 reg season games between these two teams.

The play is on OKC.

AAA Sports

#306676 ASA FREE PLAY ON South Dakota -3 over Houston Christian, Tuesday at 8 PM ET

South Dakota will be hungry for a win off back to back losses vs formidable opponents.  They lost by 8 points vs Northern Kentucky and by 2 vs Cal State Fullerton.  Three point shooting was the difference in those 2 games with South Dakota hitting 32% while their opponents combined to make 26 of 48 from deep for 54%.  Surprising the Coyotes were able to make both games very competitive with those numbers.  The 3 point numbers in this one should look much better for SD facing a Houston Christian team that has played just one Division 1 opponents this year, Western Illinois who ranks 363rd out of 368 teams per Ken Pom, and HCU made just 2 of 12 from deep in that game.  Last year they ranked 392nd from deep making only 31% so we don’t expect that to change much here.  The Huskies were able to hold on for a 7 point win vs a bad Western Illinois team who shot 1 of 11 from beyond the arc.  That game was on a “neutral” site in Illinois (not WIU’s home court) so HCU is on the road for the 2nd straight game.  While SD has been unfortunate with their 3 point defense, HCU has been extremely fortunate with their first 2 opponents combining to make only 20% from 3.  Regression to the mean for both teams in this one.  Coming into the year, South Dakota had won 28 of their previous 35 home games while Houston Christian has only won 3 of their last 21 true road games.  HCU hasn’t had a winning season since 2017 and they are getting a little too much respect here after their 2-0 start vs Louisiana Christian and Western Illinois.  We mentioned their recent road woes above, however going back further HCU has a record of 10-60 SU their last 70 road games.  South Dakota, on the other hand, is a bit undervalued with a 1-2 start but they’ve played the much tougher schedule so far.  The Coyotes get the FT line frequently already having attempts 99 FT’s this season (an average of 33 per game).  HCU is averaging 23 FT’s per game after 2 contest.  Just 10% of Houston Christians points have come from the FT line while South Dakota gets 24% of their points from the charity stripe.  That could be key in a tight game.  Short number here and we’ll side with South Dakota.