Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on Hawks -5½ -110

1*

1* Free Pick on New Mexico/Nevada: over 38

A total of 38 in a Mountain West game asks both offenses to go missing, and the numbers say that is unlikely here.

New Mexico is 7-1 through 8 games this season and averaging 35 points a game. Even over the last 5, a stretch that includes some grinders, the Lobos are putting up 33.2 a game. That one offense alone gets this total most of the way home.

I get why the number is short. New Mexico's defense has been suffocating, allowing under 12 a game, and the last three Lobos games landed on 37, 37 and 31 combined points. The market is anchored to those three scoreboards instead of the full season sample, and that is where the value sits.

Nevada is the piece that tips it. The Wolf Pack average 23 points a game this season, and at home they have shown real life: 28 on San Jose State, 33 against Air Force in a game that produced 69 total points. This is not last year's 0-7 Nevada team that scored 13.4 a game. They have UTEP and San Jose State wins where they hit 30 and 28.

So the math is simple. If New Mexico does what it has done all season and scores in the high 20s or low 30s, Nevada needs barely two scores at home to cash this ticket. Asking a 23-point-per-game home offense to find 10 to 13 points is not asking much.

Give me the Over 38 at -108 in New Mexico at Nevada.

1* FREE INFO PLAY Georgia Tech -16½ -105

1* Free Sharp Play on Northern Colorado vs Arizona State over 147 -110

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #366 Arizona State Sun Devils over Colorado Buffaloes (7:30 p.m., Saturday, November 7 | ESPN2)

Colorado snapped a five-game losing streak with its first conference victory of the season over Kansas State last time out. That result helps keep this line reasonable and creates value with Arizona State at home.

The Buffaloes were competitive in only one game during that five-game skid, and this looks like a good opportunity for the Sun Devils to bounce back. Arizona State remains in the hunt for a bowl berth and has alternated wins and losses all season. Coming off a loss to BYU, I expect the Sun Devils to respond with a strong performance and win by double digits.

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Air Force +3.5

Air Force and Army meet on Saturday and we're backing Air Force with the points. These are two teams with very similar styles of offense which should provide a game that is tightly played. Air Force has been flying under the radar a bit as they sit at 6-2 while coming off a win over UConn where they scored 35 points. This offense has been firing on all cylinders, averaging nearly 30 ppg and they're doing it with the ground attack. They rushed for 366 yards last week and this is going to be a game where they give Army a taste of what they do to other teams. This will be a game won at the line of scrimmage and both teams will run downhill right at each other. Army's defense has had some issues and this game will stay close throughout. Grab the points. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on AIR FORCE ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Saturday FREE NCAAF ATS Play

The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG weekend is coming up for football, plays locked in early in the week. Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”