Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on Royals +140

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Houston Texans ML -122

The Houston Texans are 0-2 but have played two of the best teams in the AFC in the Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals.  They opened 0-3 last season before making the playoffs, so they won't panic with this start.  But they will be playing with a sense of urgency on Sunday against the Indianapolis Colts.

The Colts are also 0-2 and will be playing with a sense of urgency.  They've also lost to two of the best teams in the AFC in the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs.  But a deeper dive into the box scores shows the Texans deserved better, while the Colts deserve to be 0-2.

The Texans were only outgained by 28 yards by the Bills but were -2 in turnovers in a 36-31 home loss in Week 1.  They dropped what would have been the game-winning INT.  Last week, they actually outgained the Bengals by 107 yards but lost 20-6.  That was one of the most misleading finals of the season.  The defense is still one of the best in the NFL, and the offense deserved more points against Cincinnati, which also has a solid defense this season.

The Colts lost 41-23 at home to the Ravens in Week 1.  It was every bit the blowout that the final score showed as the Colts were outgained by 255 yards.  They didn't deserve to go to OT with the Chiefs in Week 2, either.  They were outgained by 194 yards by Kansas City in a very misleading final.

This Indianapolis defense is clearly a problem and by far the worst unit on the field this week.  The Colts allowed 506 yards and 8.2 yards per play to the Ravens and 523 yards and 6.9 yards per play to the Chiefs.  It's a tired defense as well after being on the field for 76 plays against the Chiefs, which will carry over into this week.

I also think this Indianapolis offense is broken after losing WR Alec Pierce to a potential season-ending injury.  Daniel Jones looks like a shell of his former self and is hesitant to run coming back from injury.  His legs are his biggest weapon, and he's just not a very good pocket passer.  He has rushed four times for 14 yards this season.

The Texans have owned the Colts going 5-0 SU in the last five meetings.  The best unit on the field is by far this Houston defense, and they will shut down Jones and the Colts again this week.  Bet the Texans on the Money Line Sunday.

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Ricky's 1* play on LA.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Rams are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

- The Rams are 5-0 in the last 5 head to head meetings.

- The Rams are 3-1 in their last 4 road games.

Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.

Sunday's Free NFL Pick

PLAY ON: Steelers +3.5

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Titans +2½ -105

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Free Pick on Commanders +7

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Bengals/Steelers UNDER 43

The Key: There will be 15 MPH winds for this division rivalry between the Steelers and Bengals Sunday.  These are 2 of the better defenses in the NFL, and the defenses look way ahead of the offenses to this point.  The Steelers are broken offensively managing just 13 points from their offense against the Falcons and 3 points against the Patriots.  The Bengals have an improved defense and just held the Texans to 6 points last week.  They don't have to rely on Burrow to win shootouts anymore as this is the best defense they have had since he has been there.  Aaron Rodgers looks washed and knows his best chance of keeping the Steelers competitive is to lean on the defense and ball control offense.  Pittsburgh held Atlanta to 13 points and New England to 20.  Take the UNDER.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Tigers +120

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Los Angeles Rams -2

Sean McVay has been great at getting his team ready on a short week throughout his time with the Rams.  He will be helped by the fact that the Rams had extra time off after playing in Australia in Week 1.  The Rams also blew out the Giants 28-6 on Monday Night Football so they could rest their starters late in the 4th quarter.  They outgained the Giants 481 to 182 for the game.  I think we are getting the Rams at a discount as a short road favorite in Denver Sunday night due to their loss to the 49ers in Australia.  if they were 2-0, they would be at least a 3-point favorite here.  The Broncos are getting a lot of credit for their 20-13 win over the Jaguars.  But they trailed 13-3 in the 2H and expended a lot of energy for their comeback.  This came after a blowout 31-10 loss to the Chiefs in the opener on MNF, so they were on a short week last week as well.  The Broncos were outgained 392 to 176 by the Chiefs.  They will be playing their 3rd game in 14 days while the Rams will be playing their 3rd game in 18 days, which is a hidden advantage here.  The weakness of the Broncos is their run defense and the Rams will be able to exploit it.  Give me the Rams.

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1* Free Sharp Play on Bucs +1 -110

HUGE Sunday 5 big NFL Plays including the TOP Red Zone side, early 6*, Unsurpassed Totals Play, Sunday night Football and our Game 1 WNBA Playoff systems and Final Game 162 MLB Plays.   NFL Play below
 
The NFL 3* Power system comp play today is on the Tennessee Titans plus the points at 1 eastern as Rob notes that week 3 or less home favorites of 4 or less like the Giants are 0-12 straight up and to the spread since 1990 if they are off a road dog loss and had less than 55 yards rushing, vs an opponent like the Titans that has more than 80 yards rushing. The Giants are on short rest here off the MNF Blowout loss to the Rams. NY lost QB Jackson Dart and now have to go with Turnover prone Winston. The Titans lost a close one in Philly last week and are a live dog here. Play on Tennessee today. GL Rob V-
 
SU: 0-12 ( Ag NYG)
ATS: 0-12 
 
Sep 08, 1991 - Sun 2 1991 Bengals Oilers home 0-0 0-6 7-7 0-17 7-30 -2.0 51.0 -23 -25.0 -14.0 -19.5 5.5 L L U 0
Sep 14, 1997 - Sun 3 1997 Giants Ravens home 0-7 12-7 8-0 3-10 23-24 -2.5 44.0 -1 -3.5 3.0 -0.25 3.25 L L O 0
Sep 26, 2004 08:36 Sun 3 2004 Dolphins Steelers home 0-3 0-0 0-3 3-7 3-13 -1.0 33.0 -10 -11.0 -17.0 -14.0 -3.0 L L U 0
Sep 18, 2005 04:05 Sun 2 2005 Cardinals Rams home 3-7 3-3 3-7 3-0 12-17 -1.0 44.5 -5 -6.0 -15.5 -10.75 -4.75 L L U 0
Sep 25, 2005 01:02 Sun 3 2005 Bills Falcons home 3-7 10-10 3-0 0-7 16-24 -2.5 37.0 -8 -10.5 3.0 -3.75 6.75 L L O 0
Sep 20, 2009 01:00 Sun 2 2009 Chiefs Raiders home 3-0 0-3 0-3 7-7 10-13 -2.0 39.0 -3 -5.0 -16.0 -10.5 -5.5 L L U 0
Sep 14, 2014 01:04 Sun 2 2014 Giants Cardinals home 0-10 7-0 7-0 0-15 14-25 -2.0 41.5 -11 -13.0 -2.5 -7.75 5.25 L L U 0
Sep 15, 2014 08:31 Mon 2 2014 Colts Eagles home 7-3 10-3 3-14 7-10 27-30 -3.0 53.0 -3 -6.0 4.0 -1.0 5.0 L L O 0
Sep 25, 2016 01:02 Sun 3 2016 Bengals Broncos home 7-3 7-13 0-0 3-13 17-29 -3.5 42.0 -12 -15.5 4.0 -5.75 9.75 L L O 0
Sep 26, 2016 08:30 Mon 3 2016 Saints Falcons home 7-7 10-21 8-10 7-7 32-45 -3.0 54.0 -13 -16.0 23.0 3.5 19.5 L L O 0
Sep 15, 2019 01:00 Sun 2 2019 Bengals Fortyniners home 7-14 3-10 0-10 7-7 17-41 -1.0 46.0 -24 -25.0 12.0 -6.5 18.5 L L O 0
Sep 25, 2022 04:25 Sun 3 2022 Seahawks Falcons home 10-10 10-7 3-10 0-0 23-27 -1 42 -4 -5 8 1.5 6.5 L L O 0
 
Sep 27, 2026 01:00 Sun 3 2026 Giants Titans home - - - - - -2.5 38.5

1* Free Pick on Titans/Giants over 37 -110

Join me this Sunday in the NFL as we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS on the pro gridiron. I am riding a 60% NFL RUN, and this Sunday, we take it up a notch with 3 BIG WINNERS: HUGE 1-0 CONSENSUS, AFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH BENGALS/STEELERS WINNER, and my BIG BIG BIG GAME WINNER 1-0 HI ROLLER.

Sunday Free Winner: San Francisco 49ers.

Game 482.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

San Francisco has dominated their division rival, taking six of the last eight meetings SU, going 5-3 ATS during that span. They are looking strong so far this season sporting a 2-0 record both SU/ATS as their offense ranks in the top-10 in just about every major category, including the one that means the most, scoring where they average over 31.0 PPG. By the way, very uncharacteristic for teams at the start of a season, they’ve also only turned the ball over once. Meanwhile, the Arizona Cardinals look to be a trainwreck. Yes, they did open up their season on the road with a big surprise victory over the Los Angeles Chargers as nearly a double-digit underdog. But last week came back down to Earth as they got shellacked at home by the Seattle Seahawks, 31-7. This team has a lot of problems, my friends. Scoring is certainly one of them. If you like numbers, you’ll love these: Arizona is 1-10 SU in their last 11 divisional games and 1-9 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more points. They were also winless against the NFC West last season (0-6). With Jacoby Brissett at the helm, I doubt very much they’re going to be able to move the chains at all here. The 49ers defense looks solid and remember, they have the luxury of something they haven’t had in the past, some of their biggest names are healthy. San Francisco is a well-coached, smart team. Although they have Denver up next followed by a road game at Seattle, I doubt very much they’re going to be in a look ahead mode here. They know these division victories mean a lot. This is their final chance to find tune their team on both side sides of the line of scrimmage before their schedule gets more difficult. Take the San Francisco 49ers. Thank you.

My Free play will be on the New Orleans Saints to cover against the Las Vegas Raiders Sunday as the Saints welcome their fans to their home opener after two challenging road style games.

Tyler Shough and the Saints are one of the NFL’s top passing offenses through two weeks. Shough ranks first in the NFL with 662 passing yards while the Saints rank second as a team with 305.5 yards per game. Also cooking early on in Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Chris Olave, who has racked up 18 receptions for 268 yards so far this season. (raiders.com) 

Two wins through two games is nice for the Raiders, but they are playing their second consecutive road game and now they travel to the Superdome for the Saints home opener. Las Vegas might even be without their star rookie tight end Brock Bowers. He is questionable after sitting out Friday’s practice due to a knee injury. Safety Treydan Stukes was ruled out for Sunday’s game.

If Shough continues his hot start, the Saints will be able to pull away in the second half.

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Chip’s FREE NFL Winner

Seattle at Washington 1:00 ET

Foreskins (+) over Seahawks - These two met last November in Washington and it wasn’t even close as Seattle was up 28-0 before the half and cruised to a 38-14 romp. QB’s Jayden Daniels and Sam Darnold were matched-up in that contest whereas this Sunday, veteran back-up Marcus Mariota will get the start for the DC boys. As it appears from what we have seen thus far with the Super Bowl champions in beast mode the only way they do not run away with this game is if Darnold on his return is rusty and or the Seahawks are generally disinterested. It’s a big deal to host the defending Champion and the home side will be ready. Take WASHINGTON!  5

Seahawks -7

Seattle’s defense is the difference for me here. The Seahawks have allowed just 17 points through two games, and now they draw Marcus Mariota with Jayden Daniels sidelined. That’s a tough assignment against a Seattle front that should control the line of scrimmage. Drew Lock has also done exactly what you want from a backup, including three TD passes last week, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba remains a matchup problem. Seattle has won 15 of its last 16 road games, so traveling east doesn’t scare me much. Washington has too many problems to solve against one of the league’s best defenses. Lay the touchdown. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the SEAHAWKS ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Sunday FREE NFL ATS Play

WEEK 4 CFB / WEEK 3 NFL! 437-374 54% +2503 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s plays up soon. A BIG 5× Play Card is up for NFL Week 3, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Minnesota just played a 12-point game in Chicago and the board still hung 42.5 in Tampa like it was doing the public a favor. That is the tell.

Sunday, 4:05, Raymond James, FOX. Vikings 2–0. Buccaneers 0–2. Spread is Minnesota −1.5, Tampa +1.5. Total 42.5. Heat in the mid-80s. Kyler Murray is back after the Week 1 concussion. Last week without him the purple won 9–3 at Soldier Field and never found the end zone. Twenty-five points allowed in two games. Tampa has lost twice by a field goal or less. Neither club has looked like a 48-point roster this month.

Fifty-seven meetings. Vikings 33–24 all-time. That is the old NFC Central book. The last ten flipped: Buccaneers 8–2. Last two chapters: Tampa 20–17 in Minneapolis on Sept. 10, 2023, and Tampa 26–14 in this stadium on Dec. 13, 2020. Combined 37 and 40. Minnesota’s last win in Tampa was Oct. 26, 2014, and it needed overtime, 19–13. Combined 32. The 2017 Minneapolis game went 34–17. That 51-point night is the outlier they will sell you. The last two trips through this series lived under 41.

You are not fading Minnesota to lose on the road. You are not fading Tampa to stay winless. You are fading 45, 47, and 50 after a 9–3 road tape and a series that just printed 37 and 40. 20–17 cashes. 23–16 cashes. 19–16 is the gift. Public will smash the over because Jefferson is on the card, Murray is cleared, and two 2–0 / 0–2 logos in September are supposed to throw. Last week’s box score was 9–3. This building’s last chapter against this roster was 26–14. Different year. Same number that does not need 43.

Home team has won about 58 percent of this series. Road favorite of a point and a half in 86-degree Tampa in Week 3 is not a mismatch. It is a grind. Implied team totals sit around 22 and 20. That is how 42.5 becomes the work instead of a prayer.

Bet under the total in Vikings–Buccaneers games posted 43 or lower.
Last two meetings: 37 and 40. Last Minnesota win in Tampa: 19–13 OT. Combined 32. (+2.0 unit$, ROI=31.8%)

Bet under 43 in Week 3 when one club just finished a game of 12 points or fewer.
Minnesota 9–3 last week. That look since 2025: 11-6 (64.7%) with an average over/under of 42.4. (+4.4 unit$, ROI=23.5%)

Bet the under when the previous two series meetings finished under 41 and the new number opens 42 to 44.
37 and 40 are still on the book. The 51-point night in 2017 is the outlier, not the rule. (+2.6 unit$, ROI=20.4%)

Bet under 43 in late-window September games at Raymond James when the home club is 0–2.
Low total, winless home locker room, 4 o’clock heat. (+3.2 unit$, ROI=22.1%)

Play: Under 42.5.

My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Buffalo at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The Bills will look to improve to 3-0 SU and ATS as they host the reeling Chargers on Sunday in Orchard Park. Buffalo is obviously a high-profile Super Bowl contender on a yearly basis and it looks like bettors are flocking to it again in this spot. I don't think this result will be all that straight-forward, however. The Chargers will undoubtedly bring desperation into this matchup as they're off to a miserable 0-2 start, with both losses coming at home. They're certainly being punished in the betting marketplace for their disappointing start, too much so in my opinion. Remember, Los Angeles started last season 3-0 but that didn't end up taking it very far as it ultimately bowed out in the Wild Card round against New England. The Bills have had an extra few days to pat themselves on the back following a lopsided win over the Lions in their home opener a week ago Thursday. I don't think the extra rest means nearly as much at this early stage of the season. All is not lost for the Chargers here in 2026 and I expect them to put forth a much stronger effort against the Bills, ultimately taking this one down to the wire and covering the lofty pointspread. Take Los Angeles (8*).

Our selection is on the Houston Texans to defeat the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday at 1:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Both Houston and Indianapolis have started with 0-2 record this season, searching for that first win.

The line has come down to -1.5 after Nico Collins got announced out. But, the Colts struggled against K9 and will have trouble stopping Monty.

The Texans won both games against the Colts last season as well.

Indianapolis is at home today. But, it looked really bad at home against Baltimore in week one.

The play is on Houston.

ASA NFL FREE PLAY ON Arizona Cardinals +8 -115 over San Francisco 49ers. Sunday at 4:05 PM ET - This is a classic sell high spot with the Niners who have quickly become one of the main talking points of the young NFL season after a 2-0 start. San Francisco had a strange travel situation in the opener against the Rams in Australia then beat the Dolphins at home last week 35-13. Arizona pulled a shocker in week 1 by upsetting the Chargers, then lost badly at home to the Seahawks who were motivated by a poor showing (still a win) at home against the Patriots. Arizona managed just 151 total yards of offense last Sunday and 3.3YPP on 45 offensive plays. This week the Cardinals get a slight reprieve as the Niners defense is really beat up right now with 6 defensive linemen on the injured report in the last two weeks. Edge rusher Nick Bosa was injured earlier this week and is out for this game. Offensively the 49ers are already without Demarcus Robinson and Mike Evans is currently questionable. Even though this is a division game, don't be surprised if the 49ers look past this Cardinals team that was blown out last week, plus they have two much bigger games on deck versus Denver and Seattle. Arizona and QB Brissett should muster enough offense in this one to keep it within double-digits. The visitor is 7-3 ATS in the last ten meetings between this NFC West rivalry.