Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on Braves over 8½ -110

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Angels/Dodgers OVER 8.5

Two struggling starters square off Sunday when the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Los Angeles Angels in Game 3 of this interleague rivalry.  The Dodgers covered this total on their own in Game 2, and they are likely to do the heavy lifting for us again today.

Jose Soriano has allowed 11 earned runs and 25 base runners in 17 innings in his last three starts.  One of those starts came against the Dodgers on May 16th when he allowed 6 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of a 15-2 loss.  The Dodgers have the advantage getting to see him for the 2nd time in three weeks.

Emmet Sheehan is 3-2 with a 4.50 ERA in 11 starts this season allowing 29 earned runs and 11 homers in 58 innings.  He has allowed 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  Sheehan allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings of a 7-6 loss to the Angels in his lone career start against them.  

The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the Angels and Dodgers with 10 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

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Ricky's 1* play on TEX.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Texas are 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.

- Texas are  4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.

- Texas are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the American League.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

1* Free Pick on Brewers -170

Don't give up on the Spurs yet. They very well could be up 2-0 in this NBA Finals rather than down 0-2.

The best player on the court is not Karl-Anthony Towns nor Jalen Brunson. It is Victor Wembanyama and he is more than capable of playing much better than he has shown so far in this championship series.

San Antonio also has a secret weapon. More on that later.

Much is being made of the Knicks' 13 straight playoff victories. That is the second-longest streak by any team in NBA playoff history. Note that 11 of those victories came against the Cavaliers, 76ers and Hawks. The Spurs have their own impressive streak - 13-2 SU and ATS in their next game following a loss since January.

The Spurs had a 14-point second-half lead in Game 1 against New York. Not nearly as well rested as the Knicks, the Spurs missed many shots they normally hit and ended up blowing the game.

San Antonio led New York with less than a minute left in Game 2. The Spurs ended up losing by one point when Wembanyama made an unforced error that led to a turnover and then compounded his poor decision with a foul. Then Wembanyama, who shot 51.2 percent from the floor during the regular season, missed a makeable jumper in the final seconds.

This is what Wembanyama said after the game: "I threw that one away. I messed up. We didn’t play great as a team. We needed to win that game. This game was ours. But at this point, it’s done. “Am I going to regret it? Yes, of course. Am I going to use that to fuel me and to fuel me and fuel us next game? Absolutely.”

I believe him. I regard Wembanyama as the most complete basketball player in the world, none better.

Now for San Antonio's secret weapon.

Well, actually, it's not such a secret that President Donald Trump is going to attend this Game 3.

The Knicks' have all the momentum, enthusiasm and joy going their way now. Trump, with all his baggage and controversial presence, is going to prove a huge distraction if not steal the spotlight.

Those attending the game at Madison Square Garden are being asked to arrive at least 2 hours before tip off because of TSA-screening procedures and security. The Secret Service also announced fans cannot bring bags into the arena.

Some are saying the Spurs are not yet ready to win an NBA championship, too young and inexperienced in pressure packed deep playoff games like this one. This calls for a reminder that the Knicks have not won an NBA championship in 53 years. They have not hosted an NBA Finals game in 27 years.

All the pressure is on the Knicks and Trump's divisive presence in the heart of the deeply blue state of New York could make things worse.

So I am on the Spurs. 

SUNDAY Card has a TOP 6* WNBA TOTAL (#1 RANKED Lady Hoops this Year) along with a 14-0 EARLY MLB Diamond Cutter System and Sunday night Bases. Soccer Comp play below

 The Sunday Comp Play is on the Under 2.5 goals at 3 eastern in the Greece vs Italy match. We have two teams that missed the World Cup and playing in their last friendly for this season. Italy is in a rebuild featuring several young players and will be without just about all of the older guys. They do still play solid on the back line but are conservative on offense. Greece after playing well in the Nations Cup fell short of the World Cup finishing 3rd. They have not looked all that good lately and were lucky to salvage a draw in their last game with a late score. Greece will be very conservative here and has a manager in the hot seat so with Neither team known for a heavy offense and both above average on defense we will look for limited scoring mostly likely a draw here in a game that stays under. GL Rob V-

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Brewers -170

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Guardians/Rangers UNDER 7.5

The Key: The Guardians and Rangers are both UNDER teams with great staffs and terrible lineups.  The Guardians are scoring 4.1 RPG and yielding 4.0 RPG, while the Rangers are scoring 3.9 RPG and yielding 3.9 RPG.  These teams went for 5 combined runs in Game 1 and 6 combined runs in Game 2.  Joey Cantillo is 4-2 with a 4.06 ERA in 13 starts this year yielding only 8 HR in 62 innings.  He yielded 2 ER in 5 2/3 innings in his lone lifetime start against Texas.  The Guardians have a 3.68 ERA as a bullpen.  Jacob DeGrom is 4-4 with a 3.48 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 12 starts this year, and 2-1 with a 1.52 ERA and 0.64 WHIP in 5 home starts.  Texas has a 3.27 ERA as a bullpen.  Take the UNDER.

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1* Free Pick on Reds/Cardinals: over 8½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* FREE INFO PLAY Reds vs Cardinals over 8½ -120

1 Unit FREE PLAY on A's -105

Gage Jump is one of the top prospects for the A"s.  He has fared well in his 2 starts this year with a 3.75 ERA and 1.17 WHIP yielding 5 earned runs in 12 innings without a home run.  Mike Burrows is one of the worst starters in the league going 3-7 with a 5.66 ERA in 12 starts this season.  Burrows is 1-3 with a 7.26 ERA in six home starts.  He has given up 18 earned runs and 7 home runs in 23 2/3 innings in his last four starts.  The A's want this game more to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series to the Astros.  Give me the A's.

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1* Free Sharp Play on Reds +121

My selection is on the Dodgers -1.5 runs over the Angels at 4:10 pm et on Sunday.

Dodgers starter Emmet Sheehan was a hard-luck loser in his most recent start as he held the Diamondbacks to just two earned runs on three hits over 6 1/3 innings in a 4-1 defeat. He's quietly pitched well lately, working at least six innings and allowing two earned runs or less in three of his last four outings. It's been a much different story for Angels starter Jose Soriano. He got off to a fantastic start this season but his numbers have regressed back to the mean lately as he's been tagged for 13 earned runs over his last four starts, covering a span of 22 innings. His career FIP is 3.77 and his 2026 FIP has gradually moved back toward that number, currently a 3.68 and climbing. Here, he'll face a Dodgers lineup that he's kept in check to the tune of just five hits in 37 at-bats (.135) to go along with a .454 OPS. With that being said, only Alex Call has seen him more than five times and he owns a pedestrian 11:10 strikeout-to-walk ratio against them. The Dodgers check in ranked fifth in the majors in xwOBA over the last week while the Angels sit in 15th. The bullpen matchup certainly favors the home side. Los Angeles' bullpen has logged a 3.42 ERA and 1.18 WHIP with nine saves converted and only three blown at home. The Angels 'pen on the other hand has posted a 5.00 ERA and 1.57 WHIP with two saves converted and six blown on the road. Take the Dodgers -1.5 runs (8*).

Guardians vs Rangers MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): This looks like a good spot to back the Texas Rangers, who had won six of seven before getting blanked 6–0 by Cleveland yesterday. With Guardians left-hander Joey Cantillo (4-2, 3.92 ERA) struggling lately and giving up four runs in each of his last two starts, it is hard to see Texas getting shut out again, and Jacob deGrom (4–4, 3.48 ERA) typically does not need a ton of run support to put his team in position to win anyhow. 

The Bet: RANGERS (3%). 

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