Free Football Picks

1* Free Pick on Wichita State/Boise State: under 154

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

[1%] Free Play on Kentucky under 154 -120

1* FREE INFO PLAY Curacao +299

Free Play on Wichita State +10 -110

1* Free Sharp Play on Mexico +136

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Warriors/Magic under 223½ -115

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Free Play on James Madison +3 -110

Free Pick on Detroit +1½ -105

Golden State is in action for the fourth time in six days. The record shows the Warriors to be 4-1 in their last five games. But on closer inspection, Golden State's current run doesn't seem that impressive considering the Warriors' victories have come against the 2-12 Pelicans, twice against the Spurs and versus the 1-13 Pacers.

Orlando was hoping to be better than 7-7. The Magic, though, are showing signs of picking up their game. They are 4-2 in their last six games with one of those defeats occurring to the Rockets, 117-113 in overtime, as 7 1/2-point road underdogs. The Magic impressively defeated the Knicks, 124–107, as four-point road underdogs six days ago.  

These two teams are extremely similar statistically. The Warriors average 115.7 points and give up an average of 114 points. The Magic average 115.5 points and allow an average of 114 points.

So I find value getting this money points at home with the Magic. 

1 Dimer on Arkansas-Little Rock vs Murray State under 159½ -105

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Akron +3

This will be the final game of the season for Akron.  The Zips will treat this like their bowl game.  They are the better team in this matchup with Bowling Green and should not be 3-point underdogs as a result.

The Zips certainly have the better offense with senior QB Ben Finley, who will be looking to go out with another one of the best games of his career.  He has a 18-to-8 TD/INT ratio this season, and he just threw for 424 yards and 3 TD on Kent State last week.  He also led them to a 44-10 win over UMass and a 24-16 upset win as 10-point dogs at Buffalo the two games prior as the Zips are playing their best football of the season here down the stretch.

The same cannot be said for the Bowling Green Falcons, who were just eliminated from bowl eligibility with a 27-21 loss at Eastern Michigan last week.  The Falcons fell to 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.  They were blown out by Buffalo 28-3 and by Central Michigan 27-6 in their two home games during this stretch.

This BG offense in particular has been brutal managing just 216 total yards against Buffalo and 259 against a bad Eastern Michigan defense in their last two games.  I don't think they have the firepower to keep up with the Zips.  BG wants to run the ball, and the Zips have been elite against the run in their last three games, holding opponents to an average of just 75 rushing yards per game.  Bet Akron Tuesday.

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Dave's Tuesday Free Play:

1* on Old Dominion +10.5

The Key: Xavier is a mess in the first season under Richard Pitino.  The Musketeers are 2-2 SU & 0-4 ATS this year.  They only beat Marist by 4 as 13-point favorites and LeMoyne by 5 as 25-point favorites in their 2 victories.  They lost by 19 at home to Santa Clara as 3-point favorites and failed to cover in a 19-point loss at Iowa as 15-point dogs.  They should not be laying double-digits to Old Dominion tonight.  The Monarchs returned 4 key contributors who all scored at least 5.5 PPG last year including Robert Davis Jr. (15.6 PPG).  They added two great transfers in LJ Thomas and KC Shaw who are already combining to average 30.1 PPG.  Another transfer in Jordan Battle is averaging 9.0 PPG.  Take Old Dominion.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Golden State Warriors -3

After a bad loss to the Thunder on the road, the Golden State Warriors have been a different team and are playing with an edge.  They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall with all three wins coming on the road against the Spurs (twice) and Pelicans.  Now they stay on the road to take down the short-handed Orlando Magic.  The Magic will be without their best player in Paulo Banchero (21.7 PPG, 8.7 RPG) and Jalen Suggs (12.5 PPG, 4.4 APG) is questionable.  The Warriors are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with the Magic.  Give me the Warriors.

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1* Best Bet on Islanders +1½

No analysis provided.

This is a play on the IDAHO ST. BENGALS for our Tuesday Free Play. Santa Clara is off to a 4-0 start that is skewed a bit by the schedule. The Broncos rolled Cal Poly Humboldt and while big wins over Xavier and Nevada may look good, those teams are not very good as the Musketeers struggled to get past Marist and LeMoyne before getting blown out by Iowa while Nevada struggled against Pacific and needed overtime to defeat Southern Illinois. This is a team with a brand new roster and while the winning is there so far, they are overvalued and in a great sell high spot. Idaho St. is 2-2 with its last three games taking place on the road and the Bengals have covered all three of those, the last two against San Diego St. and Seattle. Idaho St. is a contender in the Big Sky Conference and this is the final road game of this four-game trip and they will want to end on a high and with Justice University of the NAIA on deck, there is no lookahead. Here, we play against home favorites between 10 and 19.5 points allowing 39 shooting or less on the season, after two straight games shooting 50 percent or better from the floor. This situation is 38-12 ATS (76 percent) since 2022 with a scoring differential of 10.3 ppg. Play (651) Idaho St. Bengals

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UNDER 238.5

Utah and Los Angeles are worth a move to the under. This game is going to be played the Lakers way and they like to slow things down. They’re giving up only 114 ppg and are off a performance where they only conceded 95. They can turn this into a half court style kind of game and really knock Utah off their rhythm. Expect this game to have some longer possessions as the game goes on. Back the under. My daily free plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the UNDER 238.5 tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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Free Total Annihilator On Seattle Kraken vs Red Wings under 6 -115

Tuesday NHL Free play. My selection is on Chicago over Calgary at 8:30 pm et on Tuesday.

The Blackhawks remain an undervalued commodity as they enter this game on the heels of four wins in their last five games, all in an underdog role. They're being priced at virtually a pk'em on Tuesday as they look to continue to build positive momentum against the reeling Flames - a team they handled 4-0 on the road back on November 7th. Calgary checks in a woeful 2-8-1 on the road this season where it has been outscored by an average margin of 1.6 goals. Meanwhile, Chicago improved to 4-3-1 on home ice with Saturday's win over the Maple Leafs and has outscored the opposition by 0.4 goals on average here at the United Center. Take Chicago.

1* on Delaware -4

ASAwins NHL play on: St. Louis Blues @ Toronto Maple Leafs – Over 5.5 (-128) This matchup remains a prime over opportunity, fueled by Toronto's potent offense against a St. Louis squad prone to defensive lapses. The Blues rank 32nd in goals against at 3.84 per game, with a team SV% of .861 that's bottom-tier (32nd) and ties into deeper issues in shot quality (xSV% ~.905, 28th). Jordan Binnington has struggled on the road (.887 SV%, 3.50+ GAA), while Joseph Woll (confirmed starter for TOR) sits at .906 SV% but has surrendered 3.05 goals in 1 start this season. Toronto's games have gone over 5.5 in 16 of 19 (84%), and their 19th-ranked PK (78.95%) could falter against STL's 12th-ranked PP (22.9%).

Ricky's 1* play on ATL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.

- Atlanta is 6-1 in its last 7 games played in November.

- Detroit is 3-8 in its last 11 games against Atlanta.

Verdict: The value is on the home Underdog.