Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on Jiri Lehecka -130

Free Total Annihilator On Raiders vs Patriots over 45 -110

1* Free Play on Bulls +9½ -115

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: 49ers/Seahawks UNDER 46.5

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  The 49ers and Seahawks squared off three times last season after meeting in the playoffs, too.  Looking at the history of this series it has been a dead nuts UNDER when these division rivals get together.

The UNDER is 3-1 in the last four meetings with 37, 30, 16 and 47 combined points.  They combined for just 566 total yards in that 37-point meeting, 614 yards in that 30-point meeting, 534 yards in that 16-point meeting and 517 yards in that 47-point meeting.  It took a miracle to get 47 combined points in that playoff meeting last year with the Seahawks winning 41-6 while benefitting from a 95-yard kickoff return TD to open the game.  The 49ers gifted them some easy points with three turnovers as well.

This season, these have been two of the best defenses in the NFL, so it should be more of the same especially with the 49ers much healthier on defense than they were in the playoffs last season.  San Francisco ranks 3rd in scoring defense at 16.0 points per game, 7th in total defense at 308.8 yards per game and 3rd at 4.9 yards per play allowed.  Having Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw back healthy and leading the defense this season has made all the difference.

Seattle has been even better and is actually nearly at full strength on defense.  The Seahawks rank 5th in scoring defense at 18.2 points per game, 1st in total defense at 246.8 yards per game and 1st at 4.2 yards per play allowed.  They have all hands on deck defensively with the exception of one starting CB position, but they have proven they have plenty of depth in the secondary to make up for it.

The 49ers rank well offensively this season, but the injuries continue to pile up for them, and I think they have benefited from a soft schedule of opposing defenses.  Mike Evans is playing hurt, and they are down five receivers plus FB Kyle Juszczyk, who is one of the most underrated players in the league for what he does for this Kyle Shanahan offense.  The Seahawks really miss Kenneth Walker as their running game has been a major disappointment this season.  It doesn't help that they remain without Zach Charbonnet, first-round pick Price, and having George Holani questionable heading into this one.

There will be double-digit winds in Seattle to affect the passing and kicking games as well to aid us in cashing this UNDER 46.5 ticket.  I expect another defensive grinder between these NFC West rivals this afternoon.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

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1* NFL - Giants/Commanders FREE PICK on Commanders -3.5

1* Free Pick on Browns +2½ -105

Sunday's Free NFL Pick

PLAY ON: Chargers +3.5 

There is going to be a lot of passing in this game. The Packers heavily rely on Jordan Love and his three excellent receivers - Christian Watson, Matthew Golden and Tucker Kraft - because they can't run the ball. Love has thrown multiple TD passes every game this season.

The Packers' vulnerable offensive line gave up zero sacks and only two hits on 30 pass attempts against the Buccaneers last week. The Bears do not have a big pass rush. 

Statistically the Bears have improved their defense since giving up a shocking 37 points and 478 yards to the Panthers in Week 1. But I am not sold on Chicago's defense. Since then, the Bears got to play the Vikings in a rainstorm, went against a broken Eagles offense and a Jets offense that was missing Breece Hall and had Geno Smith play his worst game of the year.

The Bears are going to do damage against Green Bay's defense even with backup quarterback Tyson Bagent. He is surrounded by excellent skill position players and will be passing more this week in his second start of the season. The Packers are without their top linebacker, injured Edgerrin Cooper.

Ricky's 1* play on MCI.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Manchester City are 7-0 in their last 7 games.

- Cody Gakpo and Alexander isak will be out for Liverpool in this game.
  
- Manchester City have scored 10 goals in their last 2 games.

Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.

1* Free Pick on 49ers/Seahawks: over 45½

These two offenses are combining for almost 57 points a game and the total sits at 45.5.

That gap is the whole bet.

The 49ers are 4-0 and scoring 30.5 a game.

Brock Purdy leads the league with 11 touchdown passes and hasn't taken a sack through four games.

When the quarterback is clean and protected, points follow.

The weapons are rolling too.

George Kittle has at least 70 receiving yards in three straight games.

Christian McCaffrey has 4 rushing touchdowns and 340 total yards.

Mike Evans is active after clearing the injury report.

Seattle is scoring 26.25 a game and has hit 30 or more in three of four, including 30 on the Chargers last week.

Sam Darnold's offense isn't the run-heavy grinder people remember.

Now the real driver: San Francisco's defense is stripped down.

Nick Bosa is out.

DT James Thompson Jr. misses a third straight game.

Safety Marques Sigle is out.

Slot corner Upton Stout is questionable with an AC joint sprain and unlikely to go after one limited practice.

That's the pass rush and the secondary both compromised on the road.

Recent results back the number too.

The 49ers' game with the Cardinals two weeks ago landed on 66.

Seattle's trip to Washington produced 64.

Both offenses keep finding themselves in games that clear this total with room.

Two healthy, efficient offenses.

One banged-up defense.

A total priced below what both teams have been producing all season.

I like the Over

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Houston Texans -7

The Key: The Houston Texans are one of the best 0-4 teams in the NFL history.  The Tennessee Titans are deserving of their 0-4 record.  The Texans had a chance to get a stop with a lead in the final seconds in 3 of their 4 losses this season against a tough schedule of the Bills, Bengals, Colts and Cowboys.  This will be a big step down in competition for the Texans.  The Titans have losses to the Jets, Eagles, Giants and Ravens so their schedule has been much softer.  Their offense is one of the worst in the league.  Injuries have been a problem for the Texans, but they are about as healthy as they have been all season coming into this game.  Nico Collins is back healthy and the Texans thrive on offense when that's the case.  Their defense also looks fully healthy outside backups as they get LB Al Shaair back this week, and if you ask their locker room he is their most important player as their green dot and their enforcer in the middle.  The Titans will be without their best defender in the secondary in SS Amani Hooker, and their best receiver on offense in WR Carnell Tate is highly questionable as he has easily been Cam Ward's favorite target this season.  The Texans are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS n their last 7 matchups with the Titans.  Take Houston.

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1* Free Wiseguy Play on Steelers -2½ -115

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Minnesota Vikings ML -130

The fact that the Vikings have a bye on deck next week should have them focused and hungry to go into the bye 5-0.  They no question have the best unit on the field in their defense, which is holding opponents to 12.8 points per game.  The Saints are giving up 32.0 points per game and their defense is the worst unit on the field.  I think offensively it's much closer to even especially with all the offensive line injuries the Saints are dealing with, plus losing their only explosive RB in Etienne.  Tyler Shough is going to be under duress all game.  He was harassed in a 45-24 loss to the Falcons on Monday Night Football, and now he has to come back on a short week here.  The Saints are also extremely banged up defensively missing two of their best players in LD Elliss and LB Jennings, plus three other starters are questionable in NT Shepherd, DE Broughton and FS Blackmon.  The Vikings should finally get right on offense this week with their best performance of the season against this New Orleans defense.  Give me the Vikings on the Money Line.

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1* Best Bet on Colts +3

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on Bears vs Packers under 47½ -110

2026 CFB Total of the Year $$ big on Saturday. SUNDAY Card with a 10* NFL Conference Play of the Year with 2 100% Systems and 23-1 stat, we also have a TOP Total, the RED ZONE Play, 100% MLB N.L.C.S System and MLB. Comp play below

 The NFL Comp play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers at 1 eastern. Rob notes that road teams like the Colts that a dog of 7 or less are 1-5 straight up and to the spread coming off a neutral site game with less than 5 days rest. That system was perfect since 2003 until last week when Dallas came back to beat Houston. Pittsburgh has won 9 of 10 at home vs the Colts in the series. The Steelers have won and covered 4 of 5 at home off a loss. The Colts are 1-8 as a road dog off a win. The Steelers have been solid winning their first two here and if they could contain The Colts run game and Taylor they should get a cover here. Play on Pittsburgh. GL Rob V-

Mikey Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 10-11-26

Houston -7

Mikey is passing on Sunday with premium member picks!  Back Monday!

My selection is on Las Vegas plus the points over New England at 1 pm et on Sunday.

Bettors won't want any part of the Raiders here after the air was let out of their balloon in their first loss of the season last week against the Chiefs. The Patriots are back in bettors' good graces after staging an 'upset' win in Buffalo last Sunday. Add in the fact that we have the overplayed west coast team playing in an early game on the east coast angle at work and it's easy to understand why the Raiders are catching more than a field goal here (at the time of writing). Most bettors have forgotten that Las Vegas nearly pulled off an 'upset' victory in a pointspread cover here in Foxborough way back in Week 1 of last season. That was a much weaker Raiders team while the Patriots would ultimately represent the AFC in the Super Bowl. Look for the Raiders to take this one down to the wire at the very least. Take Las Vegas.

1* on Jets -2

Bengals vs Dolphins NFL Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) are being asked to lay a big number on the road, and I don’t think this offense has earned that right now. They’ve lost two straight, including a 22-17 home loss to Jacksonville last week in which they ran for just 23 yards on 15 carries. A one-dimensional Bengals offense with hobbled receivers is not built to pull away from anybody.

The Miami Dolphins (0-4) are winless and nobody wants any part of them, which is exactly why this number is so inflated. Their schedule has been brutal, with three of four on the road and the Chiefs as the lone home game. The defense is quietly playing well. They held the Vikings to 15 points last week and covered as double-digit underdogs, and they rank eighth against the run.

The Bet: Dolphins ATS (3%). 

Mike's coming off a 6-2 Saturday, with several outright underdog winners at generous plus-money odds! Don't miss Sunday's card, including a 5% NFL MAX BET!