Free Football Picks

1 Dimer on Cardinals vs Cubs under 8½ -120

Ricky's 1* play on FRA.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- France are 5-0 in their last 5 games.

- France has scored 10 goals in their last 3 games.

- France has conceded only 2 goals in their last 4 games.

Verdict: The value is on the favorite.

Free Total Annihilator On Tigers vs Rangers over 8 +103

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Tigers/Rangers OVER 7.5

The Detroit Tigers have come to life offensively and lived up to their potential here heading into the All-Star Break.  The Tigers have scored 4 runs or more in seven consecutive games, including 6 runs or more five times.  They have gone for 8 or more combined runs in all seven games, and this total of 7.5 is too low for a game involving the Tigers right now.

The Rangers are also quietly swinging the bats well scoring 4 runs or more in 12 of their last 14 games.  They have gone 6-2 OVER in their last eight games overall finishing with 9 or more combined runs in six of those.  The Tigers and Rangers combined for 14 runs and 28 hits in Game 1 yesterday, and it should be more of the same today with a big step down in starting pitcher quality.

Jack Flaherty is 1-8 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  He is 1-5 with a 5.04 ERA and 1.908 WHIP in eight road starts.  Flaherty has allowed 9 earned runs and 5 homers in 6 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Texas.

Kumar Rocker is 1-5 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in nine home starts this season.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings to the Twins in his last home start.  Rocker also allowed 5 earned runs in 2 innings in his lone start against the Tigers this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

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1* on Giants -126

Joe D’s MLB is HOT! 29-13 MLB RUN. Today I have 2 BIG WINNERS for you: 7-1 MLB MONEYMAKER & my 5-1 MLB TOP RATED RELEASE. Follow me & SCORCH YOUR BOOK.

Saturday’s FREE WINNER; Boston Red Sox.

Game 923.

S 6:35 PM PST/9:35 PM EST.

Boston may be dwelling in the American League East cellar at 38-48. But they are starting to find their legs. The Red Sox enter today’s game, winning seven of their last 10 outings, which does include yesterday’s series-opener by a score of 5-2. Meanwhile, the Angels own one of the worst overall records in baseball, at 36-53, sitting in last place in the West. They have dropped four in a row, and six of their last 10 outings. Their offense is mediocre, and their pitching staff is downright deplorable. Granted, the Boston offense leaves a lot to be desired. But their pitching staff has been top-10 for quite a while now. Scheduled today are Gray and Aldegheri. On a solid staff, Gray has emerged as the best starter. The right-hander is an astounding 9-1 this season, with a 2.69 ERA. The team has won 11 of his last 13 outings, and in 14 of his 15 turns in 2026, he has yielded three runs or less. On the road his numbers are equally impressive, going 5-1 with a 3.29 ERA. The Los Angeles left-hander is just 3-3 with an ERA of 4.85. The team has dropped four of his last six appearances, and over his last three starts, he is just 1-2 with an 8.53 ERA. There aren’t too many bright spots for Angels fans this season. And I think things are going to go from bad to worse for this team as they playing a surging Red Sox visiting team here. Take Boston. Thank you.

1* Free Pick on Guardians -134

1* Free Play on Portland Fire/Storm over 168½ -110

OVER 2.5

France and Paraguay have value to the over. This France team is on a mission and this offense is loaded with so many weapons. They continue to put up a lot of goals and their attack is easily one of the best. While Paraguay upset Germany, they have the scoring potential, but also won’t be able to slow down this France attack. Expect plenty of goal scoring chances. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on THE OVER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Saturday Free World Cup Soccer O/U Play

3-0 FRIDAY! EN FUEGO! 338-278 55% +3256 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for today, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Storm -3½ -105

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Free Pick on Mets/Braves: over 7½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Baltimore Orioles +115

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Baltimore Orioles as underdogs to the Cincinnati Reds tonight.  Hunter Greene will be making his 1st start of the year as he returns from an elbow injury.  He should not be favorite in his 1st start back as he will be on a pitch count, and this awful Cincinnati bullpen with a 4.80 ERA this season will get a lot of action.  Brandon Young is 6-2 with a 3.48 ERA in 13 starts for the Orioles this year, and 4-1 with a 3.38 ERA in 6 road starts.  Young has yielded 3 ER or fewer in 12 of his 13 starts this year.  Take Baltimore.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Diamondbacks +142

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Phillies/Royals OVER 9

The Phillies are crushing at the plate scoring 5 runs or more in 10 of their last 14 games including 10 runs or more four times.  The Royals are 13-6 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 12 of those 19 games, and 10 or more in 11 of them.  Jesus Luzardo is 6-4 with a 4.35 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 17 starts this season.  Michael Wacha is 5-5 with a 3.31 ERA in 17 starts this season.  The OVER is 9-0 in the last nine meetings between the Royals and Phillies with 10 or more combined runs in all nine games.  It will be in the 80's tonight and the ball should be carrying out.  Give me the OVER.

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Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Saturday 7-4-26

Miami @ Oakland  (9:40 PM EST)
Play On:  Oakland +117

The Miami Marlins take on the A's on Saturday night.  Miami is 47-42 SU overall this year while the A's come in with a 41-47 SU overall record on the season.  Miami is 1-9 this year after scoring 8 runs or more.  The A's are 7-2 last 9 games when playing in July.  I'm expecting the A's to bounce back here.  I'll recommend a small play on the A's tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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1* Best Bet on Cardinals/Cubs under 8½ -120

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on Marlins vs A's over 10½ -110

4TH OF JULY Saturday with the Wimbledon Mens top TOTAL of the tournament and the WORLD CUP Game of the Year going early followed by EXCLUSIVE MLB 4TH of July systems and a 100% WNBA Play. Comp play below

 The Saturday comp play is on the under 3 goals here in the Paraguay vs France match in World Cup play at 5 eastern. Paraguay comes in off massive upset win on penalty kicks over Germany. They will once again employ a deep low block here and stick to a very strong defensive scheme to limit scoring chances for the high scoring France team that has scored 3 or more in each match thus far. France will eventually break through and likely get the win but this may not be as fun or easy for them as some of the other less defensive minded squads the have played. This one likely ends in a 2-0 or at worst 3-0 score. If the Total creeps up to 3.5 we will recommend upgrading to a higher ranking. GL Rob V-

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our Saturday Free Play. Colorado came through last night again and has busted out for 29 runs the last two games and has moved to a respectable 21-24 at home which is pretty good considering they were 25-56 all over last season here. We have a similar pitching matchup tonight with Tomoyuki Sugano who, like Ryan Feltner last night, has actually pitched better at Coors Field with a 4.14 ERA in seven starts while allowing three runs or less in five of those and has a good matchup. The Giants lost two of three in Arizona to open the roadtrip and after last night, they are 18-29 on the road. We faded Logan Webb who was on a roll and we will do the same with Robbie Ray who has been outstanding of late who has not allowed an earned run in three straight games across 22.1 innings. His 4.54 ERA on the road is over two runs higher than it is at home and while he has not lost in three starts at Coors Field going back to last season, he has a 4.97 ERA in those games and benefitted from 39 runs of support. Play (908) Colorado Rockies

Fargo is coming off a 1-2 Friday with the win on the +131 Rockies and he continues the holiday weekend to add to the great start to the season. THREE Winners Saturday including another Divisional Game of the Month!

The Orioles-Reds over is in play Saturday as the total is hovering around 9 to 9.5. While Cincinnati starts pitcher that’s coming off of elbow surgery for his season debut, this game takes place at Great American Ball Park which definitely plays up. Baltimore has a better starting pitcher in Brandon Young (6-2, 3.11 ERA), but both of these offenses have serious power potential.

Baltimore averages 4.6 RPG with 103 HR as a team. Cincinnati isn’t far behind with 106 HR and they also have enough speed (62 steals) to manufacture runs. The Reds were shut out Friday, but stranded 10 runners on base. They left tons of runners in scoring position so even though they didn’t hit the long ball Friday look for them to capitalize on their opportunities today.

If you add in some bullpen runs and a few bombs from either offense, I think this easily hits the over in this Holiday Showcase. I’m looking for total runs scored to be in the range of 11 runs today.

Jim's Free Play: 925. Orioles / Reds OVER 

Saturday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Twins/Yankees OVER 10

France minus 2 on the Asian Handicap stands out as one of those confident plays where the numbers line up and almost dare you to look away. France has dominated their first four World Cup matches with 13 goals scored and just 2 conceded, a plus-11 differential that averages a commanding 2.75-goal margin per game when you divide the total by matches played. They are firing off 18.25 shots per outing while restricting opponents to about 7 shots on average, and their overall shot conversion sits around 17.8 percent. That kind of sustained margin production, backed by strong underlying chance creation where their expected goals have consistently outpaced opponents by wide margins in recent outings like 3.17 to 0.67 and 2.38 to 0.60 in key matches, makes minus 2 feel like riding a wave rather than taking a leap.

Paraguay has earned plenty of respect for their penalty shootout magic against Germany and the defensive backbone that got them this far, but their attacking output has been modest with limited shot volume and a group stage goal difference that finished in the red. Matching up against a French side averaging 3.25 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per 90 minutes is a tough puzzle for any underdog, especially one that will probably sit compact and pray for counters or dead-ball moments. The math here tilts heavily toward the favorites opening up a clear two-goal cushion or better.

History adds another layer of reassurance. France has never lost to Paraguay across five meetings, including World Cup victories by margins of 7-3 and 1-0. Recent friendlies have followed the same comfortable script. Paraguay has shown they can make life awkward for bigger sides, but counting on them to keep things within one goal against this level of attacking efficiency feels like hoping for lightning to strike twice while the French storm is already rolling through.

France’s offensive efficiency has been borderline ridiculous. They generate high-quality chances through width, overloads, and slick movement, holding possession between 56 and 61 percent per match with pass accuracy routinely in the high 80s to low 90s. Mbappé has been lethal with 6 goals from 21 shots for roughly 28.6 percent conversion, while spread-out threats like Dembélé with 4 goals and creators such as Olise with 5 assists make it nearly impossible to shut down every avenue. The team creates big chances at a high clip and finishes them clinically, turning that 18-plus shot volume into multiple goals on a regular basis while their expected goals numbers reflect elite chance quality that translates into real output far above what most opponents can muster.

On the defensive side the efficiencies are equally sharp. Opponents are limited to around 7 shots per game with few shots on target and even fewer quality chances. The Saliba-Upamecano pairing controls the middle and the flanks, the fullbacks provide balance, and Maignan has been solid in goal. France has recorded three clean sheets in four matches, showing they can lock things down while still pressing forward. Their ability to limit quality opportunities while dominating possession gives them control that should translate into a multi-goal cushion here, especially against a Paraguay attack that has struggled for consistent output.

I have been digging into these advanced trends all summer, and this matchup jumps out because the shot volumes, conversion rates, expected goals creation edges, defensive suppression numbers, historical patterns, and average margins all align for a multi-goal result. France minus 2 on the Asian Handicap gives you that nice payout structure on what should be a controlled, efficient performance from one of the tournament’s sharpest sides. Paraguay has heart and fight in abundance, and nobody is writing them off lightly, but the data points to the French machine dictating terms and pulling clear as the clock ticks down.

It is the kind of bet that rewards trusting the underlying efficiencies instead of chasing every underdog fairy tale. The numbers have been pointing this direction for a while now, and this feels like the round where they deliver a satisfying payoff.

My selection is on Portland plus the points over Seattle at 9 pm et on Saturday.

The Fire have had five days to stew over their third straight loss, coming in marathon overtime fashion in Washington last weekend. Of note, Portland's most recent win actually came against this same Seattle team at home on June 17th. The Storm were drilled 90-67 in Phoenix two nights ago. That snapped their brief two-game winning streak SU and four-game ATS run. I'm just not sure Seattle has any business being favored by this many points against many teams in the WNBA, and I wouldn't put Portland in that category. Take Portland (8*).

Blue Jays vs Mariners MLB Free Pick

The Angle: The Blue Jays hand the ball to veteran right-hander Shane Bieber (0-0, 6.00 ERA), who will be making his third start of the season after being sidelined for the first three months due to right elbow inflammation. While his small-sample surface metrics look inflated, Bieber is a proven ace who should be settling into his rhythm with a couple of starts now under his belt. Furthermore, he brings massive psychological confidence into this matchup, carrying a solid 2.30 ERA across seven career starts against Seattle.

The Mariners counter with Logan Gilbert (6-5, 3.42 ERA) who was touched up for four runs in his last outing and has struggled mightily to control traffic in his home ballpark, laboring through an elevated 4.63 ERA at T-Mobile Park compared to his 1.73 ERA on the road. 

Toronto enters this contest in decent form, having won three of their last four games. They have been highly profitable for bettors in this exact spot, carrying a 12-13 record as road underdogs this season, while Seattle is only 14-23 against the runline as home favorites.

The moneyline is not a bad bet either, but I'm going with the runline. 

The Bet: Blue Jays +1½ (3%). 

Free Pick on A's +117

FREE PLAY on Tigers/Rangers under 8