Calvin King
[1%] Free Play on Nationals over 9½ +105
Dustin Hawkins
1 Dimer on Phillies vs Cardinals over 7½ -120
Ricky Tran
Ricky's 1* play on PHI.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- The Phillies are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- Kyle Leahy is 1-3 in his last 4 starts for the Cardinals.
- The Phillies are 3-1 in their last 4 road games.
Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.
Stephen Nover
Don't count out the defending American League champions just yet. The Blue Jays have won five of their last seven games. That puts them just 3 1/2 games back of the final American League wild-card spot with 42 games remaining in the regular season.
Toronto has momentum. Boston doesn't.
The Red Sox have gone from winning nine straight games to losing four in a row. They have scored 3 or fewer runs in four consecutive games for the first time since May.
The pitching matchup is Ranger Suarez versus José Soriano. They have similar numbers. Suarez is 4-3 with a 3.32 ERA. Soriano is 9-6 with a 3.24 ERA.
Suarez, though, is not in good form posting a 5.06 ERA in three starts since returning from the injured list. Soriano has allowed three earned runs during his past three starts spanning 16 2/3 innings.
Black Widow
1* Free Wiseguy Play on White Sox -136
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
Ray Monohan
REDS ML
Cincinnati and Chicago meet and the Reds are worth a free move. This is a spot to fade Castillo. He just hasn’t been good all year and over his last 4 starts he’s allowed a combined 17 runs. Lowder counters and he has thrown back to back quality starts where he’s gone 6.0 innings allowing just 2 runs in each. This is a good price on the Reds. Back Cinci. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the REDS ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.
Wednesday FREE MLB O/U Play
2-0 TUESDAY! EN FUEGO! 376-314 54% +2882 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for today, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”
Joseph D'Amico
Today we CRUSH THE BOOKS on the diamond with 2 BIG MLB WINNERS: WILD WEDNESDAY WINNER & my MONEYMAKER. Get both, go 2-0, and CRUSH THE BOOKS.
Wednesday’s FREE WINNER: St. Louis Cardinals.
Game 952.
11:15 AM PS/2:15 PM EST.
Looks can certainly be deceiving. At first glance, the Philadelphia Phillies look to be the play here. They sit in second place in the National League East, at 64-57. They are a solid road team at 32-27 away from home this season. On paper, they score a little more, and are about the same as their opponent overall on the mound in team ERA. However, as I mentioned at the start of this breakdown, looks can be deceiving. St. Louis (3rd place in the Central at 60-60), has played their National League rival very tough, taking six of the last nine overall meetings between them. Basically, Zack Wheeler owns better numbers than Kyle Leahy. But baseball isn’t played on paper, it’s played on the diamond, and I put some stock into trends and streaks. Wheeler owns a very impressive record of 10-3 in 2026. But over his last three appearances, he has gotten plowed for nine earned runs on 14 hits, in just 10.1 innings pitched. Yes, he is good away from home. But right now, he is struggling. Also, in his career against St. Louis, he is just 4-4 in nine appearances, all starts against them. Leahy owns an 8-4 record, also very respectable. Believe it or not, over his last eight appearances, he has yet to allow a single lineup to put a better than two earned runs on him. Over his last three outings he is 1-0 with a 2.65 ERA, and at home this season owns an ERA of 3.00. In three relief appearances against today’s opponent, he is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA. I like today’s pitching matchup, and I feel they heavily favor the home team. So, getting them as this much of an underdog, is a gift. Take the St. Louis Cardinals. Thank you.
Jack Jones
Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Boston Red Sox -117
I like the spot for the Boston Red Sox tonight. After going 32-5 over their previous 37 games, the Red Sox have now lost four straight. They will be highly motivated for a victory in Game 3 tonight against the Toronto Blue Jays after dropping the first two games of this series.
Ranger Suarez is 4-3 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 20 starts for the Red Sox this season, including 3-1 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 10 road starts. Suarez has owned the Blue Jays, going 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.58 WHIP in three career starts against them while firing 19 shutout innings with 22 K's.
Jose Soriano is 9-6 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.26 WHIP In 23 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 10 home starts. Soriano was rocked for 7 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of an 11-9 loss to the Red Sox in his lone career start against them last season. Bet the Red Sox Wednesday.
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Jimmy Boyd
1* Free Pick on Chargers/Texans: over 36½
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
Jeff Alexander
1* MLB - Red Sox/Blue Jays FREE PICK on Blue Jays +111
Dave Price
Dave's Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Rays/A's OVER 9.5
The Key: Sutter Health Park in Sacramento is the 2nd-most hitter-friendly park in the majors behind Coors Field. Conditions will be favorable for runs again today with temperatures approaching 90 and light winds blowing out. The Rays covered this total on their own in each of the first 2 games of this series and are capable of doing it again in Game 3. They won 10-6 in Game 1 and 12-4 in Game 2. Now they get to tee off on Jack Perkins, who is 2-8 with a 7.04 ERA this year while yielding 60 ER and 15 HR in 76 2/3 innings. He is 1-4 with a 7.20 ERA at home yielding 36 ER and 10 HR in 45 innings. Drew Rasmussen is probably due some regression for the Rays and having to pitch at Sutter Health Park today will likely have him coming back down to earth. Take the OVER.
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Info Plays
1* FREE INFO PLAY Pirates vs Marlins over 8 -110
John Martin
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Texas Rangers -129
The Texas Rangers are going to be hungry to bounce back from a loss to the Angels who have the worst record in the majors at 46-74. The Rangers are in the mix of a division title race trailing the Astros by 0.5 games for first place in the AL West. Cal Quantrill has been solid for the Rangers this season with a 3.56 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 65 2/3 innings. George Klassen has been a disappointment for the Angels with a 7.27 ERA and 2.89 WHIP in his three starts this season. Give me the Rangers.
*Top 10 Overall Capper 4 of L10 Years!*
*#1 Ranked MLB Capper in 2008!*
*#10 Ranked MLB Capper in 2009!*
*#4 Ranked MLB Capper in 2010!*
*#8 Ranked MLB Capper in 2019!*
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Rocky Atkinson
Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Wednesday 8-12-26
Cleveland @ Detroit (6:40 PM EST)
Play On: Cleveland +112
The Cleveland Guardians take on the Tigers in Detroit on Wednesday night. Cleveland is 58-62 SU overall this year while Detroit comes in with a 59-60 SU overall record on the season. Foster Griffin is 12-4 with a 3.31 ERA overall this year. Griffin is 9-1 with a 2.79 ERA at night this season. Framber Valdez is 0-4 with a 6.15 ERA against division opponents this year. Cleveland is 6-1 overall vs Detroit this season. Cleveland is 14-6 last 3 years when playing in Detroit. We'll recommend a small play on Cleveland tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Rocketman is documented hitting 73% this year in the WNBA! Rocky Atkinson has a 2-Pack of WNBA Winners for Thursday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 67-43 61% WNBA run over his last 112 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $19,200 since May 19, 2022!
Timothy Black
1* Best Bet on Reds +133
No analysis provided.
Steve Janus
1* Free Sharp Play on Mets vs Braves over 8½ -110
Rob Vinciletti
Wednesday Card led by the Leagues CUP TOTAL OF THE YEAR at night and a RARE 8* WNBA 16-0 TOTALS PLAY and a Top totals play in UEFA Afternoon Soccer in the Aston Villa VS PSG Match. Comp Play below
The Hump Day Comp play is on the Over in the WNBA Game pitting Toronto at Dallas at 8 eastern. Dallas has won the first 2 meetings and the last one had 203 points. The Wings have cashed overs in the last 3 games. Toronto has gone over in their last 2 games. To tie in a nice totals system Rob notes that road dogs of 15 or less like the Tempo are 15-2 to the over if they allowed 100+ points in a road dog loss and are playing a .550 or better opponent that allowed 75 r more. Look for this game to sail over the total. GL Rob V-
Doc's Sports
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Soccer Take #209810 Atlanta over New York Red Bulls (7:30 p.m. EST, Saturday August 15) We think this is a great spot for Atlanta. They have not been playing their best lately but this will be a homecoming for them as they have not played a home match since May 9, before the World Cup. Even though they lost last time out, we liked what we saw from them at Philly. They were up by two goals most of the match vs the Union but they were a man down and Philadelphia scored two goals in extra time to steal three points. As we stated, Atlanta has not played at home in a long time and we think this return will give them an extra burst of energy and it’s not like the Red Bulls are a great side. They are quite far above Atlanta in the standings but have a -10 goal differential compared to -14 for Atlanta, who have faced a real tough schedule on this road trip. It’s telling that Atlanta is a decent favorite here with their recent performances, and we think this is an amazing spot for them to pick up three points and some momentum for the second half of the season in front of the home fans.
Mikey Sports
Mikey Sports FREE WNBA play Wednesday 8-12-26
Toronto +10
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R&R Totals
R&R Totals FREE WNBA Over-Under Wednesday 8-12-26
OVER 185 Minnesota/Portland
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Hunter Price
1* Free Pick on Diamondbacks -170
Brandon Lee
Wednesday's Free MLB Pick
PLAY ON: Rays -1.5 (-130)
Alex Smart
The Packers roll into Pittsburgh Thursday night for the first full preseason game of the year, and the total is sitting right in that familiar 36.5 to 37.5 window. I’m on the under, and the deeper you dig into the league-wide and team numbers the more it feels like the right side of the math.
League-wide, the 37 threshold has been a reliable separator for years. Closing totals of 37 or higher have gone under at a 56.4 percent clip since 2010, a sample that runs well over 900 games. Since 2014 the under on those 37-plus numbers is even cleaner at 60.7 percent, returning solid units at standard pricing. The reverse holds too. When the number opens at 37 or lower the over hits closer to 59 or 60 percent. This matchup is perched right on the line, but the historical lean still favors the lower side once you account for how little the real starters play these days. Last year only 9.8 percent of preseason pass attempts came from quarterbacks who ended up starting Week 1. That is a sharp drop from the 30-plus percent range we saw a decade ago, and it means more backup-driven football, more conservative play-calling, and fewer explosive finishes.
The Steelers themselves have been a quiet under machine at home in the exhibition season. From 2002 through 2025 Pittsburgh as the home team went under in 67.4 percent of its preseason games, a 14-29-2 record that has produced double-digit units over the long haul. That is not a small-sample fluke. It lines up with the physical, run-heavy identity the organization has carried for years, even when the first-team defense sits most of the night. Green Bay has not been as extreme, but the Packers still play a brand of football that keeps games from turning into track meets, especially on the road in August.
Add the outdoor night setting in western Pennsylvania and the picture gets clearer. Early-season humidity and potential weather keep the ball on the ground more than the public expects. Combined scores in Week 1 preseason games have historically averaged just under 39 points against posted numbers that often sit in the mid-to-high 30s. When you stack the league-wide 56-to-60 percent under rate on 37-plus totals with Pittsburgh’s strong home under history, the edge starts looking real. At -110 a 56 percent hit rate over a 100-game sample nets you positive return after the juice. A 60 percent clip turns it into a steady grind that keeps bankrolls healthy over time.
There is the Rodgers-McCarthy reunion angle, and yes, the veteran may take 30 or 40 snaps against his old club. Even if he does, the majority of the game still belongs to the second and third units still working through timing and communication. Those groups rarely light up the scoreboard in Week 1. I like this under. It matches the long-term numbers, the team-specific home trend, and the reality of limited starter volume. Keep the stake sensible, enjoy the nostalgia, and let the points stay low.
Sean Murphy
My selection is on San Francisco plus the points over Tennessee at 9 pm et on Thursday.
The injury bug has hit the 49ers again this training camp and it has many bettors shying away from them as they host the Titans in their preseason opener on Thursday. I think this line has gone too far in Tennessee's direction. I understand the support for the Titans here in August as they do have a strong preseason quarterback rotation with experienced backups in Mitchell Trubisky, Will Levis and even Hendon Hooker who has made a splash in the preseason in prior years. With that being said, San Francisco has plenty of upside at the position behind Brock Purdy as well with Mac Jones firmly planted as the backup but Kurtis Rourke and Adrian Martinez capable of making some preseason noise. I just don't see enough of a depth advantage for a rebuilding Tennessee team to warrant it laying a field goal on the road in its first preseason contest. Both teams went 2-1 last August but dropped their respective preseason openers. It's worth noting the 49ers faced the tougher opening matchup against a deep Broncos team that has taken the preseason seriously under head coach Sean Payton. Take San Francisco (8*).
Mike Williams
1* on Brewers -110
Mike Lundin
Guardians vs. Tigers Free Pick
The Angle(s): Guardians left-hander Foster Griffin (12-4, 3.31 ERA) was a monster with Washington before arriving in Cleveland, and he enters this outing eager to rebound after a bump in his Cleveland debut. Prior to that hiccup, Griffin was on an absolute tear, boasting a sub-2.00 ERA over a seven-start stretch in June and July.
Detroit southpaw Framber Valdez (7-7, 4.17 ERA) is coming off a dominant performance where he tossed seven scoreless innings with five strikeouts against Seattle. Valdez has pitched seven full frames in back-to-back starts and allowed just four earned runs total over his last 19 innings. Combined with a Tigers pitching staff that has held opponents scoreless in four of their last six contests, runs should be at an absolute premium.
The Bet: Under (3%)
Cole Faxon
FREE PLAY on Royals +195