Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on Tigers +116

*2 Star Play Under* The Washington Mystics have a lot to play for, and they are the team who I expect to dictate the tempo and the way this game is played. Chicago is packing it in for the season and they will be short handed here. Washington is one of the best defenses in the WNBA. The Mystics slow the game down here and it stays lower scoring. Take the under. 

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Boston Red Sox -118

The Boston Red Sox will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series to the Texas Rangers.  They have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should lead them to taking Game 3.

Sonny Gray is 17-5 with a 2.76 ERA in 27 starts for the Red Sox this season.  He has been at his best on the road, going 10-3 with a 2.62 ERA in 14 starts away from home.  Gray has owned the Rangers, going 12-5 with a 2.69 ERA in 19 career starts against them, including 7-1 with a 2.07 ERA in nine road starts.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 20 innings in his last three starts against Texas.

Tyler Alexander will serve as an opener for the Rangers before giving way to Cody Bradford.  Bradford is 0-5 with a 4.72 ERA and 1.57 ERA in seven starts this season with just 17 K's in 34 1/3 innings.  He has allowed 11 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts.  Bet the Red Sox Thursday.

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Ricky's 1* play on CHW.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The White Sox are 7-3 in the last 10 head to head meetings.

- Erick Fedde is 5-0 in his last 5 starts for the White Sox.

- The White Sox are 3-0 in the last 3 head to head meetings at home.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

1 Dimer on Lions vs Bills over 54½ -120

1* Free Play on Mystics/Sky under 165½ -110

Seattle has the second worst offensive efficiency in the WNBA. But that is not the only reason why I like Las Vegas and the Storm to go Under the total today.

These two teams, like the rest of the WNBA, have been idle for nearly three weeks because of the FIBA World Cup Tournament that was held in Germany.

The Aces had four players competing in the tournament, including stars Chelsea Gray and Jackie Young.

There is going to be a rust factor for the many players who didn't participate in the tournament, while there will be a jet lag factor for those who did.

Aces coach Becky Hammon said she will be balancing the need to keep her team sharp for the playoffs later this month while also trying to keep her team healthy. That should mean reduced minutes for superstar A'Ja Wilson and stars Young and Gray.

The Aces have a weak bench. The Storm do one thing very well - they rank first in defensive 3-point percentage.

So given all these factors and variables, I like the Under. 

1* Free Pick on Lions/Bills: under 55

A total of 55 sits at the extreme top of the NFL board, and it got there off a one-game sample from each team.

The case against the under is obvious.

Buffalo put up 36 on Houston Sunday, Detroit hung 31 on New Orleans in overtime, and Josh Allen accounted for 4 total touchdowns.

I'm not arguing with any of that.

I'm arguing with the price.

Both teams have played exactly 1 game this season, and the books priced this like both offenses repeat that output on 3 days of rest.

That's recency bias, not handicapping.

Thursday games are a different animal.

No real practice week, no full install, tired legs on both sides.

Offenses feel it more than defenses.

Detroit's protection is the bigger issue.

Guard Christian Mahogany left Week 1 with a knee injury and Dan Campbell admitted he isn't out of the woods.

Tackle Blake Miller and guard Juice Scruggs are also questionable.

Jared Goff behind a patched line, on the road, against Bills edge Greg Rousseau, who sacked C.J.

Stroud twice Sunday.

That's stalled drives and field goals.

Detroit's own plan slows this down too.

Jahmyr Gibbs handled 29 of the team's 31 backfield carries in Week 1.

That's a run-heavy identity that bleeds clock and caps possessions.

And the pass rush cuts both ways: Lions end Aidan Hutchinson posted 2 sacks of his own Sunday.

A 55 needs roughly 8 touchdowns of scoring on a short week with banged-up lines.

I'll take the number the market overreacted to.

I like the Under

1* NFL - Steelers/Patriots FREE PICK on Patriots -5

Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Kansas City Royals +135

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Kansas City Royals tonight.  The Astros are really choking away the division going 1-4 in their last 5 games overall. They have scored 2 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 6 games going ice cold at the plate.  Houston will have to make this a bullpen game with Miguel Ullola as the opener.  Seth Lugo is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Astros yielding only 3 ER in 21 innings.  Take Kansas City.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Lions vs Bills over 54½ -110

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Mystics -1½ -105

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Padres/Rockies OVER 10.5

The Padres are 8-0 OVER in their last eight games overall.  They have gone for 15, 12 and 12 combined runs with the Rockies in the first three games of this series.  The Rockies are 9-1-2 OVER in their last 12 games overall.  They have gone for at least 11 combined runs in nine of their last 13 games.  Michael King gave up 6 runs and 11 base runners in 3 2/3 innings in his only previous start at Coors Field.  Tanner Gordon gave up 6 runs and 3 home runs in 3 2/3 innings in his only previous start against the Padres at Coors Field.  The OVER is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings with 11 or more combined runs in seven of them.  Give me the OVER.

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Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Thursday 9-17-26

Philadelphia @ NY Mets  (7:15 PM EST)
Play On:  Philadelphia +122

The Philadelphia Phillies travel to New York to take on the Mets on Thursday night.  Philadelphia is 84-68 SU overall this year while the Mets come in with a 69-83 SU overall record on the season.  The Mets are 34-43 at home this year.  The Mets are 1-5 overall over the past week.  The Mets are 5-15 this year at home after a loss of 4 runs or more.  Philadelphia is 11-2 this year on the road after scoring 3 runs or less in 2 straight games.  Philadelphia is 5-1 last 6 games against a team with a losing record.  We'll recommend a small play on Philadelphia tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocketman is off a solid 2-0 day on Wednesday cashing with Minnesota and Toronto in MLB!  Rocky Atkinson has a TOP 8* MLB BEST BET for Thursday afternoon.  Don't miss out!  Let 30 years of experience do the work for you today!

1* Best Bet on Lions +5½

No analysis provided.

Thursday night 2X System NFL Headlines with a Lead 20-1 Prime Time System. Football 10-3 overall run. WNBA Comp play below

The WNBA Comp play is on Dallas at 8 eastern. The Wings have won both games in the series with the LA Sparks and From the database we see that home favorites of 3 or more with 10+ days rest that won the last game in the series have covered 7 of 8 times. With just over a week left in the season some teams are just playing out the string at this point. Look for Dallas to get the cover here.

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Soccer Take San Jose +0.5 GL over LAFC (7:30 p.m. EST, Saturday September 19) San Jose hadn’t won a match since the World Cup up until recently but lo and behold they have now won two straight and look like a completely different side. They manhandled a good San Diego side on the road in a 3-2 win that was more dominant than the final score might indicate. And last week they gutted out a 1-0 win here at home vs. a Houston side that is one of the top teams in the Western Conference. We were on San Jose in that one and mentioned in our writeup that one of the main problems with the Earthquakes since the World Cup break is that they were lacking confidence and now they seem to have it back in spades and their play has been exceptionally strong. They are now unbeaten in four straight matches, and they are back in a Top 4 spot in the West with a chance to move higher with three points here. We only need a draw however, to cash this ticket, and we think they can do enough to get at least a point. LAFC is coming off a 3-1 road loss at Kansas City, one of MLS’s worst sides. LAFC are behind the Earthquakes in the standings despite all the struggles San Jose has faced since the World Cup break. They have only one win in their last eight MLS matches, and this side is just not playing championship-caliber futbol right now. San Jose always raises their level of play when LAFC comes to town and have won five of the last six meetings here.

R&R Totals FREE CFB Over-Under Thursday 9-17-26

UNDER 51 1/2 Syracuse/Pittsburgh

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R&R Totals has a TOP NFL Over-Under for Sunday! Now an impressive 193-166 (54%) over his last 377 OVERALL picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $8,310 since March 19, 2026!

1* Free Pick on Lions/Bills under 55 -105

Lions +5.5

Detroit is worth a free move with the points. The Lions were dominated their Week 1 matchup with the Saints before a frantic comeback late by New Orleans. Ultimately, the Lions held off in overtime and now they are being undervalued in this spot. Buffalo had a come from behind win themselves Week 1, but this is a matchup where Detroit has the firepower to keep. Expect a back and forth game where both teams produce scoring chances. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the LIONS ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Thursday FREE NFL ATS Play

FOOTBALL IS HERE! 425-366 54% +2163. The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for today, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Thursday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: White Sox -127

Fifty and a half in Arlington is the number I want you holding. Not because both defenses are fake. Because 50.5 is the number the market hung on a series that just lived 53, 66, 60, 48 and 55.

You are not fading defense. You are fading a 50.5 that is priced like this rivalry forgot how it scores. Cowboys lead it 81-49-2. That is the side of the ledger. The total is the other page. Last six meetings: 30-23, 44-22, 23-19, 34-26, 38-10, 45-10. Combined 53, 66, 42, 60, 48, 55. Five of six cashed a 50. Last two in this building: 44-22 and 23-19. One smash, one under on a 43.5. Public money will hammer the under because Week 1 was 24-22 and 28-20 and “NFC East always stalls in September.” That is how 50.5 gets to the window looking fat instead of the number that does not match Christmas, October, Thanksgiving, and January in this series.

Do not buy this down to 49.5 and pay extra juice to sleep better. The 50.5 is the reason I am writing it. Sit on your hands. Let the first quarter look like October in Dallas. If it is 14-10 at the half, the over is already doing its job.

Sunday 4:25. Dallas -4.5. Washington 0-1 after 24-22 in Philadelphia. Dallas 0-1 after 28-20 to the Giants. Combined 46 and 48 last week. That is not this series. This series in the last two years has been 66 and 53 and 60. Cowboys 3,150 points all-time in the rivalry, Washington 2,582. The building does not keep these games in the 30s unless somebody forgets to throw it.

Bet the over 50.5 in Commanders–Cowboys games.
Last 6 meetings: 53, 66, 42, 60, 48, 55. Five of six cashed 50. Average 54.0. (+3.6 units, ROI=54.5%)

Bet the over when these two meet in Dallas and the number is 50 or higher.
Last meeting here: 44-22. Posted 55.5 and still went over. (+1.0 units, ROI=90.9%)

Bet overs in this series when five of the last six already cleared 47.
38-10 was the “low” one and it still cashed 47. (+4.0 units, ROI=60.6%)

My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Buffalo at 8:15 pm et on Thursday.

Bettors are anticipating a shootout between the Lions and Bills at brand new Highmark Stadium in Buffalo on Thursday. I believe this total will prove too high. Detroit ended up involved in a high-scoring 31-30 overtime game against New Orleans on Sunday. It was a tale of two halves as the Lions defense completely shut down the Saints offense early before coming unglued late, ultimately coughing up a 21-0 lead. Meanwhile, the Bills absolutely eviscerated an elite Texans defense in a big road win in Houston. Buffalo's defense obviously has some work to do after that poor performance, however. It does catch a break here with the Lions offensive line dealing with a cluster of injuries and the team travelling on a short week. It's early in the season and I'm just not ready to go 'over' a total this lofty, even in a game that features such elite offensive talent. Take the under (8*).

1* on Padres -180

FREE PLAY on Lions +5½