Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on North Dakota State +3½ -110

Ricky's 1* play on SJ.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Calgary is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.

- The Sharks are 3-1 in their last 4 home games.

- Calgary is 2-6 in their last 8 road games.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

OVER 5.5

Locking this in early. Analysis to follow shortly.

Thursday FREE NHL O/U Play

1* FREE INFO PLAY Wichita State vs Memphis over 146½ -110

1* Free Sharp Play on Lille OSC +163

Atlanta draws Washington at home, and the Wizards remain one of the league’s weakest road teams. The Hawks’ scoring depth and pace should overwhelm a Washington defense that has struggled all season. Atlanta is positioned to control this matchup from start to finish.

Jim's Free Play: 544. Atlanta Hawks -12 (4:40 PT / 7:40 ET)

In the super featherweight division, where power meets precision, Emanuel Navarrete steps into the ring against Eduardo "Sugar" Nunez this Saturday, February 28, at Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Arizona, aiming to unify the WBO and IBF titles, a bout that pits a battle-tested veteran against a knockout machine, highlighting the raw excitement of Mexican boxing rivalries. Navarrete, with a record of 39-2-1 including 32 knockouts, has proven his mettle across multiple weight classes, capturing world titles in super bantamweight, featherweight, and now super featherweight, relying on his awkward style, high volume punching, and relentless pressure that often overwhelms opponents over the distance. At 31 years old, standing 5'7" with a 72-inch reach, the orthodox fighter from Mexico has faced top competition, including notable wins over Isaac Dogboe, Joet Gonzalez, and Oscar Valdez, where his durability shone through, absorbing punishment while outworking foes in grueling exchanges. His most recent outing, a no-contest against Charly Suarez in May 2025 due to an accidental headbutt, still showcased his ability to control the pace, even if it ended prematurely, reminding bettors of his edge in chaotic, high-action fights.

On the other side, Eduardo "Sugar" Nunez enters with a sparkling 29-1 record, boasting 27 knockouts for a staggering 93% stoppage rate, a statistic that underscores his devastating power, particularly in a division known for explosive finishes. The 28-year-old orthodox puncher from Los Mochis, Mexico, measures 5'6" with a 68-inch reach, using his compact frame to deliver thunderous hooks and uppercuts, as evidenced by his 19-fight winning streak, including a unanimous decision over Christopher Diaz in September 2025 to retain his IBF belt. Nunez claimed the vacant IBF title in May 2025 with a decision victory over Masanori Rikiishi in Japan, proving he can go the distance when needed, though his career has largely been defined by early stoppages against lesser opposition, raising questions about his performance against elite, volume-based fighters.

Betting trends in boxing title unification bouts favor the more experienced fighter, even as an underdog, with data showing that in the last decade, challengers with multi-division pedigrees have upset favorites in roughly 35% of such matchups, often capitalizing on stamina and tactical adjustments in later rounds. In super featherweight specifically, where the average fight sees a 65% knockout rate due to the blend of speed and power, underdogs like Navarrete thrive when opponents rely heavily on early finishes, as seen in recent trends where volume punchers have won 60% of decisions in competitive 130-pound clashes. Overall boxing wagering patterns indicate that moneyline favorites in title fights cash at about 70%, but when the line sits around -190 as it does for Nunez, sharp action often flows to the plus-money side, especially in all-Mexican affairs known for their unpredictability and high engagement levels.

Key angles here revolve around stylistic contrasts, with Navarrete's unorthodox approach and superior reach potentially neutralizing Nunez's power, forcing the fight into deeper waters where the veteran's 254 career rounds of experience dwarf Nunez's 126, creating opportunities for a grind-it-out victory. Bettors should note Nunez's lone loss came via decision in 2018, exposing vulnerabilities against durable opponents, while Navarrete's two defeats were narrow decisions early in his career, since overcome by his adaptation in big spots. This matchup screams value on the underdog, particularly given super featherweight's trend toward longer fights in unification scenarios, where over 9.5 rounds has hit in 55% of recent examples.

For the top pick, back Navarrete on the moneyline at +150, a solid spot leveraging his championship pedigree in what figures to be a frenetic, crowd-pleasing war, where his volume and heart could turn the tide against Nunez's one-punch threat. For those chasing higher returns, consider Navarrete by decision around +300, aligning with trends where experienced fighters outlast power punchers in 12-rounders, avoiding the knockout risk while capitalizing on judges' preference for activity. Always wager responsibly, focusing on these angles to maximize edge in a division ripe for upsets.