Free Football Picks

Angels +111

The Angels have the value against the Yanks. Los Angeles sends out Urena, who is making quite the name for himself. He has a sub 3 ERA and continues to give this Angels rotation solid starts. The Yankees go with Elmer Rodriguez, who has struggled through 5 starts on the year. Los Angeles should see plenty of early scoring chances and be able to rack Rodriguez’s pitch count up. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the ANGELS ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Monday FREE MLB ML Play

1-1 SUNDAY! 402-336 54% +3173 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for today, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #164 Under in Marshall Thundering Herd @ Penn State Nittany Lions (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 5 FS1) The Matt Campbell era gets underway at Penn State on Saturday. Penn State should still have a strong defense and Coach Campbell is a run the ball and play strong defense type of coach. I don’t think he will want to throw the football up and down the field and focus on field position and ball control. Marshall usually a bowl caliber team and not a mid-major pushover like some teams. They have to run clock to have any chance to keep this game under twenty points and that should set up a strong play for the under. Marshall closed out the season going under the posted total in 3 straight games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays in football, baseball, and soccer. 3 straight winning weeks to open up the football season and you can receive all football plays for half off with a one week football package.

Sam Houston/ Troy Over 53 1.1% Free play

Today we close out the month of August WINNING BIG with 2 HUGE MLB winners: BEST BET and SMASH PLAY. Get both, go 2-0, and go into September a winner.

Monday FREE WINNER: Arizona Diamondbacks.

Game 910.

6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST.

While Philadelphia is looking to put some more wins up so they can stay on the right side of the cut line, the Arizona Diamondbacks are looking to do the same. Both teams are currently on the right side of the Wildcard cut line at the moment. But they certainly need more victories to ensure that spot. Arizona has had their way with Philadelphia, taking four of the last five meetings against them, and going back a bit further, six of the last 10 overall matchups. While the Phillies are hot winning four in a row eight of their last 10, the Diamondbacks are 6-4 their last 10 contests. But I like the pitching matchup here, my friends. Put a pin in that we’re gonna’ come back around to it. Offensively, both of these teams rank around the same in scoring, and just about every other category. Their numbers are very comparable. But the starting pitching today compels me to side with the home team. We will see Nola and Pfaadt as schedule starters here. The Philadelphia right-hander has struggled this season, sporting a 5-10 record with a whopping ERA of 5.04. He has a losing record on the road of 4-6 with an ERA of 4.42. The Arizona right-hander owns some respectable numbers, earning a 7-1 record with a 3.51 ERA. He has made 14 starts this season as the team has prevailed in 12 of those 14 starts. He is a perfect 3-0 at home, and has held some pretty good lineups in check. I think there’s enormous value in taking the home team here. Take the Arizona Diamondbacks. Thank you.

Monday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Yankees -121 

Under 48.5 in Buffalo. That’s the one I want and recommending to all of you.

Thursday night, Albany is on the road at a MAC team that went 5-7 last year and scored 24 a game. Buffalo is laying 24 and a half. They should win. They do not need a 35-burger to get it done. The books hanging 48.5 already told you this is supposed to stay small. Week 1, first Thursday, rust, backups late. That’s punts. Not a track meet.

Albany already played. They beat New Hampshire 28-14 and the under cashed at 46.5. Last season they averaged 16.3 points. That’s two scores and a kick if everything is clean. They are not walking into Broadview and hanging 28. Buffalo scored 24 a night in 2025 and allowed 23.5. Close games. Ugly games. Not 50-point games.

Shop 48 if you can get it. Don’t wait around for 47 and watch the number leave.

Simple way to look at it: if each team puts up 21, you are already home.

21+21=4221 + 21 = 4221+21=42

That’s under 48.5 with six points to spare. Twenty-one is three scores. Asking for 49 in an opener with a three-touchdown spread is a lot. Buffalo 28, Albany 14 is 42. Buffalo 31, Albany 10 is 41. The over needs a leftover touchdown and a special-teams mistake. Week 1 does not give those away as often as people think.

Add last year’s averages and you get the same picture.

16.3+24.0=40.316.3 + 24.0 = 40.316.3+24.0=40.3

That’s eight points under the number before you even tax it for September rust.

Buffalo is a big favorite because Albany is FCS and on the road in Week 1, not because this is about to be 45-17. If the Bulls cover and it finishes 31-7, the under still cashes. Spread and total are different tickets. Take the one that pays when the night stays quiet.

A few spots that keep showing up in this look:

Bet under the total in Albany games as a road underdog.
The Under’s record since the 2025 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 51.5. (+5.0 units, ROI = 90.9%)

Bet under the total in Buffalo home games when the number is 50 or lower.
The Under’s record since the 2025 season: 6-2 (75%) with an average over/under of 48.8. (+3.6 units, ROI ≈ 45%)

Bet under in Week 1 MAC home games against FCS when the total is 50 or lower.
The Under’s record the last two seasons: 7-2 (77.8%) with an average over/under of 49.1. (+4.4 units, ROI ≈ 49%)

Bet under when Albany plays an FBS team and the number is 52 or lower.
The Under’s record since 2025: 4-1 (80%) with an average over/under of 50.2. (+2.6 units, ROI ≈ 52%)

Grab 48.5. If a shop is still at 49, that’s fine too. I would not start on Buffalo −24.5 when the total is the cleaner number. Check the wind off the lake closer to kick. Keep the unit small. It’s still the first week. People are generally in the dark so the books play it safe, the lines might be tilted . This is one that looks a little crooked and a viable early season bet.

Under 48.5, Albany at Buffalo. That’s the play.

My selection is on Arizona over Philadelphia at 9:40 pm et on Monday.

Aaron Nola has pitched well for the Phillies recently and that's allowing us to step in and back the Diamondbacks at an underdog price as they send Brandon Pfaadt to the mound on Monday. Keep in mind, Nola's last four outings have come against the Blue Jays, Twins, Marlins and Mariners - not exactly lineups that have been red hot lately. Pfaadt on the other hand struggled in his last two outings but those came against two of the hotter hitting teams in baseball for the last number of weeks and months in the Red Sox and Cubs. I like the way this spot sets up with the Diamondbacks having a rare Sunday off thanks to a double-header on Saturday in San Francisco while the Phillies were involved in another tightly-contested affair in Anaheim but did complete the sweep of the Angels. Casual bettors may not realize how little separates these two teams in the N.L. standings with both currently holding down Wild Card spots. Take Arizona (8*).

Free Pick on Angels +119