Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on White Sox -115

Ricky's 1* play on ATL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.

- Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.

- Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.

Verdict: The value is on the Road favorite.

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Cubs/Pirates over 7½ -105

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Thursday card has a RARE UNDEFEATED Game 6 NBA Historical System and Another TOP WNBA Play. Soccer Comp Play below

The Thursday Comp play in Afternoon Soccer action is on Republic of Ireland at 2:45 eastern. We have to back the home tam here as Ireland has a strong home field and today they take on Qatar in a Friendly. Ireland  has 5 wins and 3 draws from their last 8 here and there is a sizeable gulf in talent. Qatar has struggled of late and its very likely they will be the victim of a clean sheet here. Ireland may find the back of the net here more than once as they will likely have ball possession most of the game. In their last match they toyed with Grenada in a 5-0 blowout that wasnt even as close as the final score. In their only other meeting here vs Qatar, Ireland was a 4-0 winner and this one has a similar feel. Play on Ireland today. GL Rob V

1* FREE INFO PLAY Red Sox +130

1* Free Sharp Play on White Sox -115

Thursday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Cubs +152

There’s a special kind of satisfaction in finding a totals spot where the numbers line up just right, and today’s Braves-Red Sox matchup at Fenway Park feels like one of those. With the total sitting around 7, I’m leaning Under, and not just because it’s my pick , the historical trends, pitching dominance, and park-adjusted realities make a compelling case for keeping the scoreboard quiet.

Let’s start with the league-wide picture on unders this season. Through late May 2026, unders have hit right around 50% overall, but that number climbs in games featuring at least one elite starter with a sub-3.00 ERA. Chris Sale has been absolutely filthy in 2026: 7-3 with a 1.89 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, and 72 strikeouts in just 62 innings. That’s elite territory , he’s allowing barely over a hit per inning while missing bats at a ridiculous rate. When Sale takes the mound, games have stayed under the total at a strong clip, especially on the road against lineups that strike out more than they walk.

Fenway Park gets a lot of hype as a hitter’s haven, and it’s true the quirky dimensions boost scoring by roughly 8-12% compared to neutral sites in many seasons. But dig deeper into the 2024-2026 park factors and you see it’s not a runaway slugfest every night. Right-handed power gets challenged in certain alleys, and ground-ball pitchers like Sale thrive here by keeping the ball out of the air. Boston’s home games have produced fewer runs than expected in low-total spots this year, particularly when facing lefties who induce weak contact.

On the other side, the Red Sox starter (likely a younger arm stepping up) faces one of the most patient, high-contact offenses in baseball. Atlanta ranks near the top in runs scored per game (around 5.3), but they’ve shown regression signals in road games against solid pitching , their road OPS drops noticeably, and they’ve gone under in a higher percentage of interleague contests this season. Boston’s offense, while dangerous at home with guys like Wilyer Abreu (.287 AVG, .789 OPS) and Willson Contreras (11 homers, .901 OPS), has been streaky. They rank lower in hard-contact rate on the season and have struggled to string together consistent rallies against strikeout-heavy pitchers.

Here’s where the math gets fun. Games featuring a starter with Sale’s profile (sub-2.00 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP) have gone under the total at a 56-58% rate over recent seasons when the posted number sits at 7 or higher. Add in Fenway’s reputation versus the actual outcomes in pitcher-dominated spots, and you’re looking at positive expected value. Factor the Braves’ road under trend (hitting unders in over 52% of their away games) and Boston’s home splits showing fewer multi-run innings against left-handed aces, and the layers stack up.

Baseball has this wonderful way of humbling everyone , one bad hop or a lucky bloop can flip a script , but that’s exactly why these calculated under spots feel rewarding. You’re not guessing; you’re playing probabilities built on strikeout rates, ground-ball percentages, and historical total outcomes. The public often overreacts to Fenway’s charm and loads up on the Over, which only sharpens the value on the other side.

I really enjoy these kinds of bets because they reward paying attention to the quieter edges instead of chasing the obvious. The Braves are a wagon, no doubt, but with Sale dealing and two lineups that can be tamed by precision pitching, I’m confident the Under is the sharpest Totals play on today’s limited slate.

My selection is on San Antonio minus the points over Oklahoma City at 8:30 pm et on Thursday.

This has had the makings of a seven-game series from the start and we'll naturally back the Spurs on Thursday as they return home looking to extend the series. San Antonio got off 92 field goal attempts in Game 5 on Tuesday but was unable to take advantage, knocking down only 37 in a double-digit loss. I'm confident we'll see the Spurs bounce back here, noting that they've endured just three ATS losing streaks dating back to January 22nd. Meanwhile, the Thunder, while certainly an elite team, have delivered only three ATS winning streaks since February 27th. While San Antonio has given up 122 or more points in three of five games in this series, I don't think their defensive play has been all that bad and we've already seen it flip the switch in a similar 'must-win' situation in Game 4 when it rolled to a 103-82 victory at home. Take San Antonio (8*).

Astros vs Rangers MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Rangers have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five games, and against a red-hot Spencer Arrighetti (6–1, 1.32 ERA) they should find it tough to put runs on the board.

With Nathan Eovaldi (5–5, 3.65 ERA) on the mound, Texas still has a chance to pick up a win, like when he blanked Houston over seven innings on May 17, but runs should come at a premium for both sides.

The Bet: UNDER (3%).