Free Football Picks

[1%] Free Play on Diamondbacks +115

Free Total Annihilator On Reds vs Blue Jays over 8 -110

*Free Play Over* The NC State Wolfpack lost in the most heartbreaking way last weekend. I've never seen a game end like their loss to Vanderbilt. 

NC State's offense is much better than their defense. The Wolfpack defense ranks 116th in PPA/pass allowed and 123rd in PPA/rush allowed. Appalachian State is likely to have success on offense. The Mountaineers have a good QB in Singleton and they are 21st offensively in PPA/pass for the season.

App State should care plenty about playing a bigger named opponent from their home state. The Mountaineers defense though hasn't been tested this year. They have played ECU (much weaker offensively this year), Charlotte (awful), and Maine (weak FCS team). 

C.J Bailey and company should be able to put up quite a few points on this App State defense too.

Take the over. 

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Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Appalachian State +14

This is a brutal spot for the NC State Wolfpack.  They have to try and get back up off the mat after one of the worst losses I've ever seen against SEC foe Vanderbilt.  They were trying to take a safety and punt in the final seconds with a 3-point lead.  Instead, they fumbled in the end zone and gave up a TD  to lose on the final play.  It's the type of loss that can beat a team twice.

I don't see NC State getting back up in time to face a non-conference opponent here in Appalachian State.  Meanwhile, this is the biggest game of the season for the Mountaineers against an in-state Power 4 program.  I know they will be up for this game, and their best effort is good enough to stay within two touchdowns of NC State.

Dowell Loggains is doing a great job bringing talent to Boone and getting the most out of this team in his 2nd season.  The Mountaineers are 3-0 this season opening with a 55-3 win over Maine.  That's a Maine team that just lost by 6 to Boston College last week.  They went on the road and upset ECU 27-24 as 6.5-point road dogs in Week 2.  And last week they beat Charlotte 26-21 as 15.5-point favorites last week.

That misleading final against Charlotte has provided extra line value on App State this week.  The Mountaineers outgained the 49ers 435 to 247, or by 188 total yards.  They clearly should have won by more but Charlotte got a couple TD's in garbage time, both in the final seven minutes, including a 36-yard Pick 6.  They took their foot off the gas in the 4th quarter and were probably looking ahead to NC State.

The Wolfpack lost a lot of talent in the offseason and it showed in a 34-8 loss to Virginia as 4-point dogs in the opener.  They were crushed every bit as much as the final score showed in that game getting outgained 413 to 168, or by 245 yards by the Cavaliers.  That's the same Virginia team that just got upset as double-digit favorites by West Virginia last week.  A blowout win over Richmond and a close game against a rebuilding Vanderbilt team don't change my opinion on this NC State squad.  

The Wolfpack lost all their top playmakers on offense and nine starters on defense from last season.  QB CJ Bailey is a nice talent, but he also makes plenty of mistakes as evidenced by the colossal one he made against Vanderbilt last week.  He has accounted for just 5 TD's and 4 turnovers this season.  This is probably the worst defense of the Dave Doeren era, too.

App State QB Malachi Singleton has been impressive completing 74.5% of his passes for 889 yards with 6 total TD's and only one INT.  He is averaging 9.5 yards per pass attempt.  Four different receivers have at least 116 yards receiving, so he is spreading it around well.  Sam Pickett III leads the way with 15 receptions for 229 yards and 2 TD.  The defense is holding opponents to 304.7 yards per game and 4.8 per play as well.

The Mountaineers will be 'all in' for this game knowing they have a bye on deck next week.  They will open up the entire playbook to try and get to 4-0 with an upset win over a Power 4 opponent.  This is a sandwich spot for NC State off the deflating loss to SEC foe Vanderbilt, plus with undefeated ACC title contender Louisville on deck next week.  Bet Appalachian State Saturday.

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1* Free Play on Christian Edwards +160

1 Dimer on Angels vs Mariners under 7½ -125

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 9/26:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Saturday is with the Oklahoma Sooners plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs. Oklahoma (2-1) bounced back from their loss at Michigan with a 14-6 win at home against New Mexico as a 21.5-point favorite last Saturday. Despite that game being closer than expected, the Sooners have still covered the point spread in 12 of their last 19 games in the first month of the season. They have also covered the point spread in 4 of their 5 games on the road as an underdog since Brent Venables took over as their head coach. Georgia (3-0) has won and covered the point spread in their first three games of the season after their 45-17 win at Arkansas as a 24.5-point favorite last Saturday. The Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games after covering the point spread as a double-digit favorite. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games after covering the point spread in two straight games. Take Oklahoma plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports’ 10 of 13 (77%) Football Game of the Month/Year run kept up by CA$HING their 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Month with Atlanta’s UPSET VICTORY against Green Bay! Frank is on a 23 of 32 (72%) All-Sports run with featured 25*/20*/10* plays — and now he furthers his 19 of 24 (79%) football run and his 5 of 7 (71%) CFB run with his 25* College Football Game of the Month for Saturday afternoon! DO NOT MISS OUT!

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Ricky's 1* play on OTT.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Calgary are 4-6 in their last 10 games.

- Ottawa are 5-1 in the last 6 head to head meetings.

- Calgary are 1-3 in their last road games.

Verdict: The value is on the home Underdog.

Sunday's Free NFL Pick

PLAY ON: Steelers +3.5

Scoring has been way up so far in the SEC. It certainly has been up for both these teams. I am going to ride that. The Crimson Tide are averaging 47.7 points a game. They have scored 50 points against Florida State and 45 versus Kentucky, who just held Texas A&M to 21 points. South Carolina has only two takeaways.

The Gamecocks are playing faster under new offensive coordinator Kendal Briles. This new attack has been a plus for talented South Carolina quarterback LaNorris Sellers, who had a very disappointing season last year.

South Carolina ranks in the top 10 in yards gained per game. Alabama's defense can be vulnerable to big plays. 

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Raul Rosas Jr. -148

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Free Pick on Melissa Amaya +190

1* Free Pick on Commanders +7

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Middle Tennessee +7

The Key: Middle Tennessee went 3-9 last year and still nearly beat Jacksonville State.  They lost 24-21 as 6-point home dogs.  That was a Jacksonville State team that went 9-5 and played in the C-USA title game.  This 2026 Jacksonville State team is down from that one, especially after losing one of the best RB's in the country in Cam Cook who rushed for 1,659 yards and 16 TD last year.  The Gamecocks are 2-2 this season with a 33-7 loss to North Dakota State and a 29-27 loss to a bad Ohio team.  They also only beat Georgia Southern by 4 at home.  This is also a tired Jacksonville State team playing for a 5th consecutive week after playing in Week 0. They went to OT with Ohio 2 weeks ago and have expended a lot of energy the last 2 weeks in nail biters.  They won't have much left in the tank for Middle Tennessee, which has been impressive.  The Blue Raiders are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS this season with their only loss coming by 2 as 12.5-point dogs at Marshall.  They upset Nevada 27-20 at home as 3.5-point dogs last week and also covered in a 38-14 win over Murray State at home.  Now they have their sights set on revenge from that 3-point loss to the Gamecocks last year.  This line should be closer to 3 than 7.  Take Middle Tennessee.

**5X Top 10 NCAAF Handicapper!** Dave was the #5 NCAAF Capper in 2011, the #7 NCAAF Capper in 2009 and the #5 NCAAF Capper in 2008! He had his best season to date finishing as the #2 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2020! He also finished as the #4 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2024 two seasons ago! He is also on a 153-113 Run on NCAAF 7* Top Plays as well as a 37-24 NCAAF Run since last year! He has cashed in a 10-3 Run L3 Days in all sports! Give your book the beating it deserves this weekend and hop on board for Dave's Saturday NCAA Football 13-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* Big 12 Game of the Month as he adds to his 16-2 7* Top Plays Run over the last 18 days! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get his next day of NCAA Football picks for FREE!

1* FREE INFO PLAY South Florida vs Bowling Green under 49½ -115

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Mississippi State -5.5

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 3-0 this season with blowout wins over ULM 62-13 at home and Minnesota 38-13 on the road.  The Bulldogs then went on the road again last week to prove they were for real, upsetting South Carolina 41-34.  They have arguably the best QB in the country in Kamario Taylor, who has thrown for 832 yards and 11 touchdowns while also rushing for 178 yards and a score.  Now the Bulldogs host Missouri in a night game in Starkville.  The Cowbells will be ringing, and this will be one of the most electric atmospheres for a home game in Starkville in the past decade.  Missouri nearly lost to Troy at home as 4-touchdown favorites last week.  They actually got outgained by 93 yards by Troy and were held to 230 total yards.  QB Austin Simmons is a turnover waiting to happen and I don't trust him in this road atmosphere.  The Bulldogs should win by a TD or more.  Give me Mississippi State.

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1* Best Bet on Giants +1½

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on Cardinals vs Brewers over 7½ -110

HUGE SATURDAY UP CFB on a 16-6 run and the 2 Time Champ has a TOP Red Zone PLAY, the Non Conf. Play of the Year, BIG 10 Game of the Month headlining. ALL from Top Level 100% Database systems. Comp play below
 
The Saturday comp play is on Florida minus the 3-4 points here. Game 342 at 3:30 eastern. Rob notes that week 4 road dogs of less than 7 like Ole Miss with a total less than 66 are 1-8 straight up and to the spread since 2010 if both teams are 3-0. Ole Miss comes in off a huge win over LSU and now has to deal with a Gators team with a solid rushing attack and perhaps the best back in CFB. Florida has revenge here and has covered the last 4 in the series. The Rebels have failed to cover the last 3 after beating LSU and with the major events unfolding back on Campus they deal with another layer of distraction. The Gators have put up 44+ in all 3 games and the defense will likely be a bit better than the Rebels here. Make it Florida today. GL Rob V-
 
SU: 1-8 
ATS: 1-8 
 
 
Sep 25, 2010 07:45 Sat 4 2010 SCAR AUB away 14-7 6-7 7-7 0-14 27-35 3 48.5 -8 -5 13.5 4.25 9.25 L L O 0
Sep 24, 2011 12:00 Sat 4 2011 NCAR GTCH away 7-3 0-14 7-11 14-7 28-35 6.5 58 -7 -0.5 5 2.25 2.75 L L O 0
Sep 24, 2016 03:30 Sat 4 2016 FLA TEN away 7-0 14-3 0-14 7-21 28-38 6.5 44 -10 -3.5 22 9.25 12.75 L L O 0
Sep 23, 2017 07:00 Sat 4 2017 MSST GEO away 0-14 3-0 0-17 0-0 3-31 5 48.5 -28 -23 -14.5 -18.75 4.25 L L U 0
Sep 25, 2021 07:00 Sat 4 2021 KAST OKST away 10-21 3-10 7-0 0-0 20-31 5.0 47.5 -11 -6.0 3.5 -1.25 4.75 L L O 0
Sep 23, 2023 03:30 Sat 4 2023 UCLA UTAH away 0-7 0-7 0-0 7-0 7-14 3.5 50.5 -7 -3.5 -29.5 -16.5 -13.0 L L U 0
Sep 20, 2025 07:30 Sat 4 2025 ILL IND away 7-14 3-21 0-14 0-14 10-63 6.5 51.5 -53 -46.5 21.5 -12.5 34.0 L L O 0
Sep 20, 2025 03:30 Sat 4 2025 AUB OKLA away 3-3 7-7 0-3 7-11 17-24 6.5 47.5 -7 -0.5 -6.5 -3.5 -3.0 L L U 0
Sep 20, 2025 12:00 Sat 4 2025 TXT UTAH away 7-0 3-3 0-0 24-7 34-10 3.5 58.5 24 27.5 -14.5 6.5 -21.0 W W
 
Sep 26, 2026 03:30 Sat 4 2026 MIS FLA away - - - - - 3.5 58.5

Pure Lock's FREE CFB play Saturday 9-26-26

James Madison -6

Pure Lock has a TOP CFB play available on Saturday on the Kennesaw State/Arkansas State. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 58-36 (62%) run over his last 94 OVERALL picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $18,220 since July 27, 2026!

Pure Lock has a TOP UFC play available on Saturday. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 56-34 (62%) run over his last 90 Fighting picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $18,220 since July 27, 2026!

R&R Totals FREE CFB Over-Under Saturday 9-26-26

UNDER 53 1/2 Kennesaw State/Arkansas State

R&R Totals is on an INCREDIBLE 191-161 (54%) run over his last 364 NCAA-F picks! $1,000/game clients now up $14,600 since September 10, 2011!  R&R Totals has a 2-Pack of CFB Totals for Saturday!  

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Join me this Sunday in the NFL as we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS on the pro gridiron. I am riding a 60% NFL RUN, and this Sunday, we take it up a notch with 3 BIG WINNERS: HUGE 1-0 CONSENSUS, AFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH BENGALS/STEELERS WINNER, and my BIG BIG BIG GAME WINNER 1-0 HI ROLLER.

Sunday Free Winner: San Francisco 49ers.

Game 482.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

San Francisco has dominated their division rival, taking six of the last eight meetings SU, going 5-3 ATS during that span. They are looking strong so far this season sporting a 2-0 record both SU/ATS as their offense ranks in the top-10 in just about every major category, including the one that means the most, scoring where they average over 31.0 PPG. By the way, very uncharacteristic for teams at the start of a season, they’ve also only turned the ball over once. Meanwhile, the Arizona Cardinals look to be a trainwreck. Yes, they did open up their season on the road with a big surprise victory over the Los Angeles Chargers as nearly a double-digit underdog. But last week came back down to Earth as they got shellacked at home by the Seattle Seahawks, 31-7. This team has a lot of problems, my friends. Scoring is certainly one of them. If you like numbers, you’ll love these: Arizona is 1-10 SU in their last 11 divisional games and 1-9 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more points. They were also winless against the NFC West last season (0-6). With Jacoby Brissett at the helm, I doubt very much they’re going to be able to move the chains at all here. The 49ers defense looks solid and remember, they have the luxury of something they haven’t had in the past, some of their biggest names are healthy. San Francisco is a well-coached, smart team. Although they have Denver up next followed by a road game at Seattle, I doubt very much they’re going to be in a look ahead mode here. They know these division victories mean a lot. This is their final chance to find tune their team on both side sides of the line of scrimmage before their schedule gets more difficult. Take the San Francisco 49ers. Thank you.

Wyoming gets a huge home-field advantage playing in Laramie at over 7,000 feet of elevation. Hawaii is flying all the way across the country from the islands for an early kickoff. The Rainbow Warriors also have some injury concerns on offense including starting quarterback Micah Alejado and receiver Pofele Ashlock. Hawaii has struggled to score on offense averaging just around 21 points per game.

Wyoming hasn’t been great on offense either but this feels like a much better spot for the Cowboys at home after playing two of their first three games on the road. In a game that projects to be low-scoring in the Mountain West, I like taking the home underdog with points.

Seahawks -7

Seattle’s defense is the difference for me here. The Seahawks have allowed just 17 points through two games, and now they draw Marcus Mariota with Jayden Daniels sidelined. That’s a tough assignment against a Seattle front that should control the line of scrimmage. Drew Lock has also done exactly what you want from a backup, including three TD passes last week, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba remains a matchup problem. Seattle has won 15 of its last 16 road games, so traveling east doesn’t scare me much. Washington has too many problems to solve against one of the league’s best defenses. Lay the touchdown. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the SEAHAWKS ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Sunday FREE NFL ATS Play

WEEK 4 CFB / WEEK 3 NFL! 437-374 54% +2503 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s plays up soon. A BIG 5× Play Card is up for NFL Week 3, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Minnesota just played a 12-point game in Chicago and the board still hung 42.5 in Tampa like it was doing the public a favor. That is the tell.

Sunday, 4:05, Raymond James, FOX. Vikings 2–0. Buccaneers 0–2. Spread is Minnesota −1.5, Tampa +1.5. Total 42.5. Heat in the mid-80s. Kyler Murray is back after the Week 1 concussion. Last week without him the purple won 9–3 at Soldier Field and never found the end zone. Twenty-five points allowed in two games. Tampa has lost twice by a field goal or less. Neither club has looked like a 48-point roster this month.

Fifty-seven meetings. Vikings 33–24 all-time. That is the old NFC Central book. The last ten flipped: Buccaneers 8–2. Last two chapters: Tampa 20–17 in Minneapolis on Sept. 10, 2023, and Tampa 26–14 in this stadium on Dec. 13, 2020. Combined 37 and 40. Minnesota’s last win in Tampa was Oct. 26, 2014, and it needed overtime, 19–13. Combined 32. The 2017 Minneapolis game went 34–17. That 51-point night is the outlier they will sell you. The last two trips through this series lived under 41.

You are not fading Minnesota to lose on the road. You are not fading Tampa to stay winless. You are fading 45, 47, and 50 after a 9–3 road tape and a series that just printed 37 and 40. 20–17 cashes. 23–16 cashes. 19–16 is the gift. Public will smash the over because Jefferson is on the card, Murray is cleared, and two 2–0 / 0–2 logos in September are supposed to throw. Last week’s box score was 9–3. This building’s last chapter against this roster was 26–14. Different year. Same number that does not need 43.

Home team has won about 58 percent of this series. Road favorite of a point and a half in 86-degree Tampa in Week 3 is not a mismatch. It is a grind. Implied team totals sit around 22 and 20. That is how 42.5 becomes the work instead of a prayer.

Bet under the total in Vikings–Buccaneers games posted 43 or lower.
Last two meetings: 37 and 40. Last Minnesota win in Tampa: 19–13 OT. Combined 32. (+2.0 unit$, ROI=31.8%)

Bet under 43 in Week 3 when one club just finished a game of 12 points or fewer.
Minnesota 9–3 last week. That look since 2025: 11-6 (64.7%) with an average over/under of 42.4. (+4.4 unit$, ROI=23.5%)

Bet the under when the previous two series meetings finished under 41 and the new number opens 42 to 44.
37 and 40 are still on the book. The 51-point night in 2017 is the outlier, not the rule. (+2.6 unit$, ROI=20.4%)

Bet under 43 in late-window September games at Raymond James when the home club is 0–2.
Low total, winless home locker room, 4 o’clock heat. (+3.2 unit$, ROI=22.1%)

Play: Under 42.5.

My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Buffalo at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The Bills will look to improve to 3-0 SU and ATS as they host the reeling Chargers on Sunday in Orchard Park. Buffalo is obviously a high-profile Super Bowl contender on a yearly basis and it looks like bettors are flocking to it again in this spot. I don't think this result will be all that straight-forward, however. The Chargers will undoubtedly bring desperation into this matchup as they're off to a miserable 0-2 start, with both losses coming at home. They're certainly being punished in the betting marketplace for their disappointing start, too much so in my opinion. Remember, Los Angeles started last season 3-0 but that didn't end up taking it very far as it ultimately bowed out in the Wild Card round against New England. The Bills have had an extra few days to pat themselves on the back following a lopsided win over the Lions in their home opener a week ago Thursday. I don't think the extra rest means nearly as much at this early stage of the season. All is not lost for the Chargers here in 2026 and I expect them to put forth a much stronger effort against the Bills, ultimately taking this one down to the wire and covering the lofty pointspread. Take Los Angeles (8*).

Our selection is on the Houston Astros to defeat the Athletics on Saturday at 9:40pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Houston will start Hayden Wesneski -- He has had a very solid year when he's been available this season.

The Astros are tied with Texas with two games remaining (have the tiebreaker). Losing isn't an option.

The Athletics will start Jack Perkins -- He is 1-7 and has a 7.05 earned run average in home games.

The A's are winning just 36.4% of their game this season when playing as a home underdog.

We're on Houston.

AAA Sports

Missouri vs Mississippi State CFB Free Pick

The Angle(s): This SEC Saturday matchup features two undefeated offenses averaging high totals through three weeks. Mississippi State enters scoring 47.0 points per game, powered by quarterback Kamario Taylor (832 pass YDS, 11 TD, 1 INT) and a ground attack averaging 244.0 rushing yards per contest. The Bulldogs operate at a fast pace and generate explosive plays, leading to high-scoring outputs that have cleared the total in two of their first three games this season.

Missouri brings plenty of offensive firepower of its own, averaging 39.7 points and 252.3 passing yards per game behind signal-caller Austin Simmons (652 pass YDS, 8 TD) and running back Jamal Roberts (300 rush YDS, 3 TD). With both offenses maintaining high scoring metrics and efficient red-zone execution, game flow points toward an up-tempo shootout exceeding the posted number.

The Bet: Over (3%). 

NOTE: This is a TEAM TOTAL selection but if you do not have access to that option you can play Oregon State as a side play as our complimentary selection for Saturday. However, the preferred play is the TEAM TOTAL. Analysis here: #413 ASA PLAY ON Oregon State Over 34.5 Team Total (vs UTEP), Saturday at 9 PM ET - This Oregon State team is underrated early in the season and their offense is really good. They have a new head coach Shephard (from the Mike Leach coaching tree) and he has a very good QB and one of the best WR’s in the country. This team loves to throw the ball ranking #1 in the country in pass rate offense. They are facing a UTEP defense that ranks 131st in defensive pass success rate and they have allowed opposing QB’s to complete 67% of their passes (117th nationally). The Miners have already had 50+ put on them twice this year vs Michigan and Oklahoma, neither of which are great offensively. In fact, Michigan has scored a total of 30 points in their other 2 games (not vs UTEP) and Oklahoma has scored a total of 24 points in their other 2 games. That’s how shaky this UTEP defense has been. Oregon State’s offense has already faced 2 defenses light years better than this UTEP stop unit and put up over 400 yards on both (Texas Tech & Houston). Last week they scored 52 points on 7.5 YPP vs Montana who is a top 5 team in FCS. Weather will be perfect for the passing game with light winds and no precipitation. We like the Beavers to get to at least 35 points here.