04-08-24 |
Purdue v. Connecticut UNDER 146 |
Top |
60-75 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 9:20 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Purdue Boilermakers (675) and the Connecticut Huskies (676) in the National Championship Game. THE SITUATION: Purdue (34-4) has won 11 of their last 12 games after their 63-50 victory against North Carolina State as a 9.5-point favorite on Saturday. Connecticut (36-3) has won 12 games in a row after their 86-72 victory against Alabama as a 10-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Both of these teams are outstanding on the offensive end of the court — but I suspect the strength of their play on defense will dictate the flow of this game. Purdue ranks fourth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing away from home. In their 12 games played on a neutral court, they are allowing -5.0 fewer points per adjusted possessions. They only made 40.0% of their shots on Saturday — but it was their defense that carried the day as they held the Wolfpack to just 36.8% shooting in their 13-point victory. The Boilermakers have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing a game where neither team scored more than 65 points. They have covered the point spread in all five of their games in the Big Dance — and they have played 21 of their last 30 games Under the Total after winning and covering the point spread in three or more games in a row. UConn ranks second in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on a neutral court. They are giving up -10.7 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions in their 11 games played on a neutral court. The Huskies have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total on the road after a win by 10 or more points. They have also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total on the road after a straight-up win — and they have played 22 of their last 34 road games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while UConn has made at least 50% of their shots in their last two games, they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after making 50% or more of their shots in two or more games in a row. Furthermore, the Huskies have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: The Boilermakers have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total in the NCAA Tournament — and the Huskies have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total in the Big Dance. 25* CBB Total of the Year is with Under the Total in the game between the Purdue Boilermakers (675) and the Connecticut Huskies (676). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-06-24 |
Alabama v. Connecticut UNDER 161.5 |
|
72-86 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 8:49 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (671) and the Connecticut Huskies (672) in the Final Four Semifinals of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Alabama (25-11) has won four games in a row with their 89-82 victory against Clemson as a 3-point favorite in their Elite Eight game last Saturday. Connecticut (35-3) has won 11 games in a row after their 77-52 victory against Illinois as an 8-point favorite in their Elite Eight contest last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: UConn has won all four of their games in the Big Dance by 17 or more points. The Huskies have then played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after winning two games in a row by double-digits — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after winning three or more games in a row by 10 or more points. And while they have covered the point spread in five straight games, they have then played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after winning and covering the point spread in two or more games in a row. Illinois made the decision to attack the rim and not let the presence of 7’2 Donovan Clingan change how they want to play on offense. In hindsight, that decision was a mistake since the Illini made only of their 38 shots in the 22 minutes that Clingan was on the court for a mere 14 points overall during that span. Alabama players and head coach Nate Oats have indicated they will not make that mistake — but that means they will rely on 3-point shooting or midrange shots which is out of character for this Crimson Tide team. The Huskies rank second in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when they are playing on a neutral court (ten games). UConn allows -12.0 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing at a neutral site. Their four NCAA Tournament opponents have made only 18 of their 80 shots (22.5%) from behind the arc — and Northwestern shot the best against them with a 26.7% clip from 3-point range but making only four of their 15 shots. Good defensive teams can slow down this Alabama fast-paced attack. They only scored 74 points against Tennessee in the SEC Tournament — and they only put up 72 points in their victory against Grand Canyon in the Round of 32. The Crimson Tide have played 26 of their last 36 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 10 or more points. And while the Huskies average 19 Assists-Per-Game, Alabama has played 44 of their last 71 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams who dish out 16 or more Assists-Per-Game.
FINAL TAKE: UConn has played 12 of their last 16 games after 15 games into the season Under the Total when facing a team winning 60-80% of their games — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. 10* CBB Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (671) and the Connecticut Huskies (672). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-06-24 |
NC State v. Purdue UNDER 146.5 |
|
50-63 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 6:09 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (673) and the Purdue Boilermakers (674) in the Final Four Semifinals of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: North Carolina State (26-14) has won nine straight games after their 76-64 upset victory against Duke as a 7-point underdog in their Elite Eight game on Sunday. Purdue (33-4) has won 10 of their last 11 games after their 72-66 victory against Tennessee as a 3-point favorite in their Elite Eight game last Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: NC State held the Blue Devils to just 32.2% shooting last Sunday which was the best defensive effort of their season. Getting Kyle Filipowski into foul trouble helped — and Duke made only five of their 20 shots (25%) of their shots from behind the arc. The Wolfpack have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a double-digit win against an ACC rival. And while they only scored 21 points in the first half of that game, they have then played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 25 points in the first half of their last contest. Head coach Kevin Keatts will want to slow this game down — not only because they are a big underdog but to also protect D.J. Burns from not getting into foul trouble. Look for Keatts to full-court pressure against the Boilermakers as well — not necessarily to force turnovers but simply to slow Purdue’s offensive attack down and get them out of rhythm. The Boilermakers score 83.5 Points-Per-Game — and NC State has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams who score 77 or more PPG. Purdue has played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing with five or six days of rest between contests. And while they have covered all four of their NCAA Tournament games, they have then played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after winning and covering the point spread in three or more games in a row. They have not turned the ball over more than ten times in their four NCAA Tournament games — and they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not turning the ball over more than 11 times in four or more games in a row.
FINAL TAKE: Purdue is outscoring their opponents by +14.1 Points-Per-Game — and the Wolfpack have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +12.0 or more PPG. The Boilermakers have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the Big Dance. 10* CBB Saturday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (673) and the Purdue Boilermakers (674). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-04-24 |
Indiana State v. Seton Hall UNDER 159.5 |
|
77-79 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana State Sycamores (681) and the Seton Hall Pirates (682) in the Championship Game of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Indiana State (32-6) reached the finals of this tournament with their 100-90 victory against Utah as a 4.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Seton Hall (24-12) advanced from their semifinal contest in an 84-67 victory against Georgia as a 5.5-point favorite on Tuesday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Indiana State allowed the Utes to make 52.3% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 33 games. But they won the game comfortably because they nailed 56.9% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last five contests. This victory came on the heels of their 85-81 victory at home against Cincinnati back on March 26th — and they have played 4 straight Unders after playing two or more games in a row where 165 or more combined points were scored. The Sycamores have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after playing two games in a row where 75 or more points were scored by both teams. And in their last 8 games after allowing 80 or more points in two or more games in a row, Indiana State has played 6 of those games Under the Total. Seton Hall made 47% of their shots on Tuesday which was the worst shooting effort in their last three games — but they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after making at least 47% of their shots in three or more games in a row. This victory came on the heels of their 91-68 victory against UNLV in the quarterfinals last Wednesday — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning and covering the point spread in two or more games in a row. They have also played 6 straight Unders after winning two games in a row by 15 or more points — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring 75 or more points in two or more games in a row. The Pirates have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 5 games with the Total set in the 150s, they have played 4 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Pirates have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 80% or higher. 10* CBB Thursday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana State Sycamores (681) and the Seton Hall Pirates (682). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-02-24 |
Georgia v. Seton Hall UNDER 145.5 |
Top |
67-84 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (663) and the Seton Hall Pirates (664) in the Semifinals of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Georgia (20-16) has won four of their last five games after their 79-77 upset victory at Ohio State as a 9-point underdog last Tuesday. Seton Hall (23-12) has won five of their last six games after their 91-68 victory against UNLV as a 6-point favorite last Wednesday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs shot 47.8% from the field against the Buckeyes which was the best shooting effort in their last ten games. Georgia ranked just tenth in the SEC and currently ranks 105th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. In their five games played on a neutral court, the Bulldogs are scoring -12.2 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions. Georgia has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after playing a game where 155 or more combined points were scored. Their game with Ohio State finished Over the 150-point Total — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total when coming off a game that finished Over the Total. They have also played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row. And in their last 12 games with the Total set in the 140s, the Buckeyes have palled 8 of these games Under the Total. Seton Hall made 56.5% of their shots against the Runnin’ Rebels which was the best shooting effort in their last 19 contests. But the Pirates have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after making 55% or more of their shots in their last game. They have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after playing a game where 155 or more combined points were scored. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points on their home court. Seton Hall beat North Texas by a 72-58 score in their previous game in the NIT — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after winning two straight games at home by double-digits. They have played 7 straight games Under the Total after winning two games in a row where they covered as the favorite. Additionally, they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with five or six days of rest. On the road, the Pirates score -9.7 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions.
FINAL TAKE: Seton Hall has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when listed as the favorite or a pick ‘em. Georgia has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on a neutral court with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games in tournament settings. 25* CBB NIT Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (663) and the Seton Hall Pirates (664). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-31-24 |
NC State v. Duke UNDER 143.5 |
|
76-64 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 5:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina State (657) and the Duke Blue Devils (658) in the Elite Eight round of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: North Carolina State (25-14) has won eight games in a row after their 67-58 upset win against Marquette as a 7.5-point underdog on Friday. Duke (27-8) has won six of their last eight games after their 54-51 upset win against Houston as a 4-point underdog on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the American Airlines Arena in Dallas, Texas.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The second half of Duke’s game with Houston was the second slowest second half in terms of tempo of the entire season in Division I college basketball. There is a clear trend of the Blue Devils’ head coach Job Scheyer to slow down his offense — especially when Duke has the lead. Not coincidentally, the slowest team on offense in the Mike Krzyzewski era as the Blue Devils head coach was in the 2009-10 campaign when Scheyer was the starting point guard for that team. After Duke’s final two losses in the regular season and the ACC Tournament to this Wolfpack team saw 71 and 70 possessions, their three games in the Big Dance have seen 60, 64, and 56 possessions. The Blue Devils averaged 66.5 adjusted possessions in the regular season — but that number has dropped to 63.7 adjusted possessions in their last ten games, ranking 344th in the nation. Duke has played 21 of their last 29 road games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 19 of their last 25 road games Under the Total after winning two games in a row. They have not allowed more than 55 points in this tournament — and they have then played 6 straight road games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in two or more games in a row. Head coach Job Scheyer has his team playing their best defense of the entire season right now. They have not allowed an opponent to generate an effective field goal percentage higher than 43.3%. Their three opponents in the Big Dance have an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency no higher than 85.2 — and Duke only had two better defensive games than that in terms of Adjusted Defensive Efficiency before this tournament started. Scheyer benefits from having faced the Wolfpack for the third time since March 4th — the two previous games against him should help inform how they should scheme against him. The Blue Devils have played 17 of their last 24 road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished under the Total. Duke has played 20 of their last 32 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total on a neutral court. NC State is also playing at a slower pace. After four of their five games in the ACC Tournament had at least 70 possessions (the exception being their game against Virginia who perennially play at one of the slowest paces in the nation), the Wolfpack have not played a game in the Big Dance with more than 69 possessions including their overtime win against Oakland. In their 12 games played on a neutral court, NC State is holding their opponents to -3.7 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions than what they give up at home. The Blue Devils make 48.0% of their shots this season — but the Wolfpack have played 5 straight Unders against teams who make at least 48.0% of their shots.
FINAL TAKE: Duke has played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning record. And while the Blue Devils are outscoring their opponents by +13.0 PPG, the Volunteers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams outscoring their opponents by +12 or more PPG. 10* CBB NC State-Duke CBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina State (657) and the Duke Blue Devils (658). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-30-24 |
Illinois v. Connecticut OVER 155 |
Top |
52-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 6:09 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Illinois Fighting Illini (651) and the Connecticut Huskies (652) in the Elite Eight round of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Illinois (29-8) has won seven straight games after their 72-69 upset victory against Iowa State as a 1.5-point underdog on Thursday. Connecticut (34-3) has won ten games in a row with their 82-52 victory against San Diego State as a 12-point favorite on Thursday. This game is being played on a neutral court at TD Garden Arena in Boston, Massachusetts.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Fighting Illini played their best game on defense in their last five contests by holding the Cyclones to just 39.7% shooting from the field. But defense is not a staple for this Illinois team that ranks 98th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. When playing away from home, they are still allowing +5.4 more points per 100 adjusted possessions — and that is the 316th worst drop in efficiency when compared to a team’s defensive efficiency when playing at home. They rank 129th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their 19 games away from home — and that is not simply a function of playing in hostile environments since they also rank 172nd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their eight games played on a neutral court. To make matters worse for head coach Brad Underwood, it is very difficult to prepare for Huskies’ head coach Dan Hurley’s complex offensive sets — especially with only one day to prepare. The Illini only made 42.1% of their shots against the tough Iowa State defense — and that was the worst shooting effort in their last five contests. The Fighting Illini are a powerhouse on that end of the court. They lead the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in their last ten games — and they also lead the nation in that metric when playing away from home. They score +12.3 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home which is the biggest jump in the nation. They make 47.6% of their shots including 36.4% of their 3-pointers resulting in 85.6 Points-Per-Game on the road which is +1.4 more PPG than their season average. But they allow their opponents to make 45.0% of their shots including 36.1% of their 3s resulting in 78.1 PPG which is +4.9 PPG above their season average. Illinois has played 22 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 17 of their last 23 games Over the Total after a point spread win. They have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral court. UConn made 46.2% of their shots on Thursday which was the worst shooting effort in their last three games. The Huskies are scoring 82.7 PPG in this Big Dance despite only making 30.6% of their 3-pointers. They make 36.2% of their 3s on the season while ranking number in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. When playing on the road, they fall to second in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, just behind the Illini. They outrebounded the Aztecs by a 50-29 margin — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after outrebounding their previous opponent by +20 or more boards. But the Huskies have played four straight Unders on the strength of their defense and they have not allowed more than 58 points in those four games. A few things about this Under trend. UConn has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in two or more games in a row — and they have played 14 of their last 22 games Over the Total after playing two or more Unders in a row. They have won all four of those games by at least 16 points — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after winning four or more games in a row by double-digits. They have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams who score 84 or more PPG. On the road, they are also giving up +5.4 more points per 100 adjusted possessions than when they are at home. The Huskies have a great roster but they probably lack the player who can slow down the Illini’s Terrence Shannon.
FINAL TAKE: UConn attempts 24 shots from behind the arc per game — and Illinois has played 13 of their last 14 games Over the Total against teams who take at least 21 shots from 3-point range per game. The Fighting Illini have played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total against winning teams — and they have played 15 of their last 19 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB Elite Eight Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Illinois Fighting Illini (651) and the Connecticut Huskies (652). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-29-24 |
Creighton v. Tennessee UNDER 146.5 |
Top |
75-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Blue Jays (641) and the Tennessee Volunteers (642) in the Sweet 16 round of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Creighton (25-9) has won five of their last six games after their 86-73 victory in double-overtime against Oregon as a 4-point favorite last Saturday. Tennessee (26-8) has won nine of their last 11 games after their 62-58 win against Texas as a 6.5-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played at the Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bluejays only made 38.7% of their shots against the Ducks last weekend — but they did convert on 15 of their 39 shots (38.5%) of their shots from 3-point range (many of them in the second double overtime period to ruin our Oregon play). Creighton lives and dies by their 3-point shooting — they rank seventh in the nation by taking 48.7% of their shots from behind the arc. Their reliance on 3s could spell trouble when facing this stout Volunteers defense that ranks 28th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 30.9% of their 3-pointers. The Bluejays score -10.7 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home — that discrepancy is the 352nd worst split in the nation. The problem for Creighton is they lack a Plan B if their 3s are not falling. They are dead last in the nation by forcing turnovers in 11.1% of their opponent’s possessions. They only rebound 26.2% of their missed shots, ranking 273rd in the nation. They are the only team left in the Big Dance that has a negative Shot Volume mark relative to what they surrender. But head coach Greg McDermott’s squad is a good defensive team that ranks 23rd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Sacrificing offensive rebounding allows the Bluejays to get back on defense — and not going for turnovers limits the fouls they commit. They have the best defensive foul rate in the nation. They play great half-court defense by ranking 10th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 46.2%. The focus on defense is to get their opponent off the 3-point line — they rank sixth in the nation with their opponents only taking 27.6% of their shots from behind the arc. Made 3s consist of only 25.1% of their opponent’s points which is the 336th lowest mark. Creighton has played 12 of their last 15 games on the road Under the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last game. They have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Tennessee has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up victory where they did not cover the point spread. This Volunteers team was supposed to be different and not offensively challenged given the emergence of Dalton Knecht. But Knecht and Zakai Zeigler combined to miss 14 of their 16 shots from behind the arc. These primary scorers may be feeling the pressure to compensate for the massive funk that Santiago Vescovi is mired in right now. After scoring 12.9 Points-Per-Game and making 39% of his 3-pointers in the previous two seasons, he limped into this tournament with a 3.3 PPG scoring average in his last seven games while making only 23% of their shots including just 4 of 22 (18.1%) of his shots from behind the arc. In his two NCAA Tournament games, Vescovi has only scored eight combined points with a 33.3% shooting percentage with only two made 3s in his seven attempts. His struggles are impacting the flow of the offense — not only did Tennessee only make 33.8% of their shots against the Longhorns, but they had more turnovers than assists. Creighton will give the Vols the midrange — but Knecht only connects on 39% of his midrange jumpers. Tennessee will rely on its defense that held Texas without a 3-pointer for 24 straight minutes on Saturday. The Volunteers rank third in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Their 44.1% opponent’s effective field goal percentage ranks fourth in the nation — and they hold their opponents to 44.1% shooting inside the arc. Tennessee has played 30 of their last 44 road games Under the Total when playing with five or six days of rest.
FINAL TAKE: Tennessee has played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s including all four of their games played on a neutral court. 25* CBB Sweet 16 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Blue Jays (641) and the Tennessee Volunteers (642). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-28-24 |
Illinois v. Iowa State OVER 145.5 |
|
72-69 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Illinois Fighting Illini (631) and the Iowa State Cyclones (632) in the Sweet 16 round of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Illinois (28-8) has won six straight games and nine of their last ten contests after their 89-63 victory against Duquesne as a 10-point favorite on Saturday. Iowa State (29-7) has won five games in a row and nine of their last ten games after their 67-56 victory against Washington State as a 6.5-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cyclones outlasted the Cougars on Saturday despite only making 40.4% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. Despite that underwhelming performance, Iowa State is still making 47.8% of their shots in their last five games -- and they rank 40th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. And while the Cyclones rank second in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, they allow +7.5 more points per 100 adjusted possessions which is the 341st worst drop in that metric when compared to their home court split stats. Illinois has played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a straight-up win by ten or more points — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total after winning two or more games in a row. The Fighting Illini have played 18 of their last 23 games Over the Total after scoring 80 or more points. And in their last 22 games when playing for just the second time in seven days, they have played 18 of these games Over the Total. Furthermore, Illinois has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total on a neutral court with the Total set in the 140s.
FINAL TAKE: The Fighting Illini have played 21 of their 28 games this season Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 15 of their last 18 games after 15 games into this season Over the Total against teams with a winning record. 8* CBB Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout withOver the Total in the game between the Illinois Fighting Illini (631) and the Iowa State Cyclones (632). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-23-24 |
Washington State v. Iowa State UNDER 129 |
|
56-67 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 6:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (799) and the Iowa State Cyclones (800) in the Round of 32 of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Washington State (25-9) has won two of their last three games after their 66-61 upset victory as a 1-point underdog on Thursday in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Iowa State (28-7) has won four straight games as well as eight of their last nine contests after their 82-65 victory against South Dakota State as a 15-point favorite on Thursday in their opening game in the Big Dance. This game is being played on a neutral court at the CHI Health Center in Omaha, Nebraska.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Washington State has now played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total on the road against teams outside the Pac-12 after their game with the Duquesne finished below the 138-point total. The Cougars have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing for the second time in the last three days. They have also played 10 of their last 12 road games Under the Total when playing for the second time in seven days. They have also played 24 of their last 33 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. Washington State ranks 11th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. Iowa State is likely to get a visit from the Regression Gods after making 57.9% of their shots on Thursday which was the best shooting effort in their last 24 contests. The Cyclones have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after winning four of their last five games. And while they have covered the point spread in four straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five games.
FINAL TAKE: Washington State has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and Iowa State has played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. 8* CBB Saturday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (799) and the Iowa State Cyclones (800). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-22-24 |
Texas A&M v. Nebraska OVER 146.5 |
|
98-83 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 6:50 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (779) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (780) in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Texas A&M (20-14) was on a five-game winning streak before their 95-90 loss to Florida as a 2.5-point underdog in the Semifinals of the SEC Tournament on Saturday. Nebraska (23-10) had their three-game winning streak snapped in a 98-87 loss to Illinois as a 5-point underdog in the Semifinals of the Big Ten Tournament on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tennessee.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Texas A&M leads the nation in offensive rebounding by pulling down 42.0% of their missed shots. Crashing the glass travels — the Aggies score +5.8 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home. Texas A&M has played 8 straight Overs after scoring 85 or more points in their last game — and they have played 6 straight Overs after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest. They have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing a game where 165 or more combined points were scored. They have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. The Aggies have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total on the road against teams outside the SEC — and they have played 7 straight Overs when playing on a neutral court. Additionally, they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total as an underdog. Nebraska has played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss to a Big Ten rival. They have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest. Additionally, they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in seven days. And while the Cornhuskers have covered the point spread in seven of their last nine games, they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games.
FINAL TAKE: Nebraska has played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and Texas A&M has played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-80% range. 8* CBB Friday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (779) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (780). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-21-24 |
Drake v. Washington State UNDER 138.5 |
Top |
61-66 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Drake Bulldogs (745) and the Washington State Cougars (746) in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Drake (28-6) has won five straight games as well as 10 of their last 11 contests after upsetting Indiana State in the Missouri Valley Conference Championship Game as a 3-point underdog on March 10th. Washington State (24-9) has lost two of their last three games after their 58-52 loss to Colorado as a 2-point underdog in the Semifinals of the Pac-12 Tournament on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the CHI Health Center in Omaha, Nebraska.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs nailed 51.7% of their shots in their upset victory against the Sycamores 11 days ago which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. With the extended layoff between games, their shooting may be rusty tonight — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last game. They also allowed Indiana State to make 52.5% of their shots in that game which was the worst defensive effort in their last five contests — so head coach Darian DeVries will likely have his team tighten up on that end of the court. Drake struggled on the defensive end of the court in hostile environments where they had an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 103.9 — but their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their seven games on neutral courts of 97.8 this season was in line with their 98.5 defensive efficiency clip when playing on their home court. The Bulldogs have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing a game where 155 or more combined points were scored. And while they have played their last two games Over the Total, they have then played 5 straight Unders after playing two or more Overs in a row. Furthermore, Drake has covered the point spread in four straight games — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after playing two straight Unders and 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three or more games in a row. Drake scores -2.7 fewer Points-Per-Game when playing away from home — and they do not engage the things to increase their scoring opportunities if their shots are not falling. They only pull down 24.1% of their missed shots, ranking 314th in the nation. They force turnovers in just 17.4% of their opponent’s possessions, ranking 142nd. They rank 186th in getting to the free-throw line. The Bulldogs have not gotten great point guard play from sophomore Conor Enright or freshman Coby Colby who split time — it is why DeVries has resorted to deploying his son, Tucker, as a point forward. But that may not be effective against the outstanding half-court defense of the Cougars. Drake can’t get mired into being too reliant on outside shooting where they do make 35.8% of their shots from behind the arc when on the road. Washington State ranks 51st in the nation by holding their opponents to a 31.6% shooting clip from behind the arc when playing away from home — and they rank 16th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing away from home. Myles Rice is their only player who has the skills to create Despite their loss to the Buffaloes last week, they held them to just 43.1% shooting. They surrender -3.1 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home. But they also only score 69.7 PPG on the road which is -4.7 fewer PPG than their season average — and the -8.7 points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing on the road represents the 342nd worst drop in scoring efficiency when compared to their home numbers. Head coach Kyle Smith is going to slow this game to a crawl — the Cougars rank 315th in the nation with only 64.9 adjusted possessions per game. Washington State has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road after a point spread loss. And while the Bulldogs make 47.9% of their shots, the Cougars have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total against teams who make at least 45% of their shots.
FINAL TAKE: This game shapes up to be a rock fight given the lack of scoring options for both teams. Washington State has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 straight Unders against teams winning 80% or more of their games. The Cougars are outscoring their opponents by +7.4 Points-Per-Game — and Drake has played 21 of their last 32 games Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +4.0 or more PPG. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament Round of 64 Total of the Year is with Under the Total in the game between the Drake Bulldogs (745) and the Washington State Cougars (746). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-19-24 |
Colorado State v. Virginia UNDER 121 |
Top |
67-42 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado State Rams (671) and the Virginia Cavaliers (672) in the First Four Round of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Colorado State (24-10) had their four-game winning streak snapped in a 74-61 loss to New Mexico as a 2.5-point underdog in the semifinals of the Mountain West Conference Tournament on Saturday. Virginia (23-10) had won two games in a row before their 73-65 upset loss in overtime to North Carolina State as a 2.5-point favorite in the semifinals of the ACC Tournament on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the University of Dayton Arena in Dayton, Ohio.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers tend to get into rock fight contests — especially against teams unfamiliar with their brand of the pack line defense. Virginia ranks seventh in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They also like to slow the pace of the game to a crawl. They rank 352nd in the nation by averaging 19.7 seconds per possession — and they rank 362nd in the nation by averaging 59.9 adjusted possessions per game. Head coach Tony Bennett has had his team slow things down even more lately. In the Cav’s last three games, they have averaged 21.0, 21.5, and 22.6 seconds per possession. For some context, Air Force was the slowest team in the nation averaging 20.5 seconds per possession — so Bennett has his team going even slower than that. Virginia has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. And while this is their third game since Thursday, they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing for the third time in the last seven days. On the road, the Cavaliers only make 40.5% of their shots resulting in 60.4 Points-Per-Game — and those marks are -2.9 % and -3.2 PPG below their season averages. Their lack of secondary scoring threats will present a problem for them tonight. They rank 225th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring -4.8 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions. Virginia has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams outside the ACC. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning record. Colorado State has played 8 straight Unders after winning four of their last five games. And while the Rams have only covered the point spread once in their last seven games, they have then played 4 straight Unders after failing to cover the point spread in four or more of their last five games. Colorado State is a good defensive team that ranked 38th in the nation and third in the Mountain West Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They hold their opponents to 42.9% shooting away from home resulting in 69.7 PPG — and they give up -1.4 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing on the road. But the Rams’ 46.4% shooting percentage and 72.4 PPG scoring mark away from home are 2.4% and -4.4 PPG below their season averages. They score -4.6 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions away from home. They rank 241st in the nation by making only 31.8% of their shots from behind the arc away from home — and their inability to make 3s will make solving the Virginia pack line defense very difficult. They are led by point guard Isaiah Stevens — but he has a difficult challenge tonight when he will be guarded by Reece Beekman who is a glove defensively. Colorado State has played 26 of their last 39 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 15 of their last 20 road games Under the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.
FINAL TAKE: Colorado State has played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total when on a neutral court — and Virginia has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on a neutral court with the Total set no higher than 129.5. 25* CBB First Four NCAA Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado State Rams (671) and the Virginia Cavaliers (672). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-16-24 |
UTEP v. Western Kentucky UNDER 145 |
Top |
71-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas-El Paso Miners (631) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (632) in the Championship Game of the Conference USA Tournament. THE SITUATION: UTEP (18-15) has won five straight games after their 65-63 upset win against Sam Houston State as a 5-point underdog yesterday afternoon. Western Kentucky (21-11) has won two games in a row after their 85-54 victory against Middle Tennessee as a 6-point favorite in their semifinal contest yesterday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Von Braun Center in Huntsville, Alabama.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: UTEP only made 43.7% of their shots yesterday — but they held the Bearkats to just 41.2% shooting while holding them to just 53 points. The Miners have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win against a Conference USA opponent — and they have played 3 of their 4 games Under the Total after a win by six points or less this season. They have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. And in their last 9 games played with one day or less of rest, they have played 6 of these games Under the Total. UTEP only makes 41.3% of their shots on the road resulting in just 65.5 Points-Per-Game — and those numbers are -3.7% and -7.2 PPG below their season averages. They rank 324th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency on the road — and they are scoring -4.1 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions on the road which is the 262nd worst drop in the country. But the Miners also rank 27th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road — and they are giving up -1.6 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home. A key dynamic for this contest is that UTEP leads the nation by forcing turnovers in 26.5% of their opponent’s possessions when playing on the road. The Hilltoppers play at the fastest pace in the nation — but the pressure the Miners present will slow down their attack. Western Kentucky ranks 262nd in the nation by turning the ball over in 18.2% of their possessions. UTEP has played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total as an underdog. They have also played 4 of their last games Under the Total as an underdog of six points or less on a neutral court — and they have played 5 of their last 6 tournament games Under the Total. Western Kentucky wants to build off their strong defensive effort yesterday after limiting the Blue Raiders to just 31.0% shooting in their 31-point victory. The Hilltoppers have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a win by double-digits. And while they made 11 of their 22 shots from behind the arc yesterday, they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after making 50% or more of their 3-pointers. They have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last game. Western Kentucky has scored 85 or more points in their two tournament games this week — but they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring 80 or more points in two or more games in a row. They have scored at least 79 points in five straight games — but they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring 75 or more points in four or more games in a row. The Hilltoppers’ fast pace makes Overs tempting when considering them but they only make 45.4% of their shots on the road resulting in 77.7 PPG — and those numbers are -1.4% and -3.0 PPG below their season averages. They are scoring -3.6 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing on the road. They are also giving up -4.9 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home. Western Kentucky has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total on a neutral court — and they have played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total on a neutral court as a favorite of up to six points.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular-season contests after Western Kentucky won on their home court by a 90-80 score on February 15th. The Miners have played 5 of their 6 opportunities to avenge an earlier loss this season Under the Total. They have also played 36 of their last 55 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss on the road. 25* CBB Conference USA Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Texas-El Paso Miners (631) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (632). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-15-24 |
Alabama A&M v. Texas Southern UNDER 136 |
Top |
65-72 |
Loss |
-112 |
1 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Alabama A&M Bulldogs (306503) and the Texas Southern Tigers (306504) in the Semifinals of the Southwest Athletic Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Alabama A&M (12-21) has won three of their last four games after their 75-63 upset victory against Alcorn State as a 3-point underdog in the Quarterfinals of this tournament on Wednesday. Texas Southern (15-15) has won six of their last seven contests after their 72-62 victory as a 3-point favorite yesterday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Bartow Arena in Birmingham, Alabama.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Alabama A&M has pulled off two straight upsets relying on their defense. After holding Southern University to 37.2% shooting last Saturday in their 66-56 victory, they limited Alcorn State to just a 37.0% field goal percentage in their upset victory on Wednesday. The Bulldogs rank fourth in the SWAC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they lead the conference with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 44.7%. Alabama A&M has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in two or more games in a row. They have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games — and they have played 6 straight road games Under the Total after winning two of their last three contest. But the Bulldogs rank only 356th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing away from home. Granted, we are talking about a SWAC team in what is not one of the strongest conferences in the nation. But they rank just 10th in the SWAC on Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they fall to 11th in that metric when playing on the road. They are making only 40.6% of their shots on the road including just 25.8% of their 3-pointers resulting in only 66.4 Points-Per-Game. They are scoring -7.2 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home. But back to their defense which has held their last five opponents to 64.4 PPG from 39.7% shooting from the field — and those marks are -11.0 PPG and -2.7% below their season averages. They lead the SWAC by limiting their opponents to making only 41.7% of their shots inside the arc. SWAC opponents are making only 38.5% of their shots against them overall — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total in conference play. Furthermore, Alabama A&M has played 42 of their last 69 games Under the Total as an underdog. Texas Southern comes off their best defensive game of the season after limiting Jackson State to a 32.3% shooting percentage yesterday. While I often think that is a mark screaming out for the Regression Gods, in this instance I suspect it is reflective of the tough defense this team has embraced under head coach Johnny Jones as they enter the postseason. That game finished Under the 140.5-point total — and the Tigers have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after playing an Under in their previous game. Texas Southern is second in the SWAC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they lead the conference in that metric when playing on the road. They also rank a very respectable 60th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 48.2%. The Tigers have played 12 of their last 15 road games Under the Total after a win against a conference rival — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a double-digit win. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games — and they have played 14 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after winning two of their last three. On the road, Texas Southern holds their opponents to -7.7 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions. But unfortunately for them, they also score -4.8 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions. They only make 39.3% of their shots including 29.1% of their 3-pointers away from home resulting in just 65.8 PPG — and those marks are -2.1% and -4.4 PPG below their season averages. Their last five-game scoring numbers are up — but that comes from three games on their home court where they scored at least 79 points in each game while generating 84.0 PPG. But in their last three games away from home, they have not scored more than 77 points. The Tigers have played 24 of their last 35 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 23 of their last 34 road games Under the Total in conference play.
FINAL TAKE: Texas Southern won the only previous meeting between these teams this season in an 85-69 victory at home. The Bulldogs have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. 25* CBB Southwest Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Alabama A&M Bulldogs (306503) and the Texas Southern Tigers (306504). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-13-24 |
Fresno State v. Wyoming UNDER 138.5 |
|
77-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 2:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Fresno State Bulldogs (665) and the Wyoming Cowboys (666) in the first round of the Mountain West Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Fresno State (11-20) has lost seven games in a row after their 86-47 upset loss to this Wyoming team as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday. Wyoming (15-16) snapped a four-game losing streak with that victory. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs allowed the Cowboys to make 57.4% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games and second-worst of their entire season. After losing by 39 points just four days ago, head coach Justin Hutson will make sure his team plays harder in this rematch. Fresno State has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make 55% or more of their shots. But Hutson may not be able to do much to help the Bulldogs improve on their dreadful 28.6% shooting in that game (other than pray to the Regression Gods). They rank 279th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they have scored only 95 combined points in their last two games. Fresno State has played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 60 points in their last game — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 60 points in two or more games in a row. The Bulldogs have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss to a Mountain West Conference rival — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss by 15 or more points. Wyoming certainly overachieved in the shooting department in that contest — it was their best shooting mark in their last 30 games going back to their season opener. Now playing away from Laramie, they only make 43.6% of their shots when on the road. Head coach Jeff Linder loved the defensive performance from his team — and the Cowboys have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing their previous opponent to make more than 33% of their shots.
FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams may need to knock some of the cobwebs loose with this being a local tip-off time at 11 AM PT. Wyoming has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total on a neutral court. Fresno State has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the neutral court as an underdog or pick ‘em. Wyoming has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total on a neutral court. The Bulldogs have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they gave up 75 or more points. 10* CBB Wednesday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Fresno State Bulldogs (665) and the Wyoming Cowboys (666). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-12-24 |
New Hampshire v. Vermont UNDER 137.5 |
|
59-66 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 5:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Hampshire Wildcats (306527) and the Vermont Catamounts (306528) in the Semifinals of the America East Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: New Hampshire (16-14) snapped their four-game losing streak with a 77-64 victory against Binghamton as a 3.5-point favorite in the Quarterfinals of this event on Saturday. Vermont (26-6) has won eight straight games after their 75-72 victory against Albany as a 16-point favorite in their Quarterfinals contest in this tournament on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats made 44.4% of their shots on Saturday which was the best shooting mark in their last five contests. But New Hampshire has then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point spread win. They have played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total on the road after a win on their home court. And in their last 17 games after losing four of their last five games, they have played 14 of those games Under the Total. Now they go back on the road where they are making only 40.4% of their shots including just 32.8% of their 3-pointers resulting in 72.1 Points-Per-Game (due their fast pace). They do hold their home hosts to 44.6% shooting and a 29.9% clip from behind the arc. New Hampshire has played 11 of their last 17 games on the road Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. Now they face a Catamounts team that leads the America East in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Vermont ranks 35th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 45.6% when playing at home. They also rank 13th in the nation on their home court by limiting their opponents to pulling down 22.6% of their missed shots — and they rank fifth in the nation in putting their opponents on the free throw line on their home court. Albany made 46.6% of their shots against them on Saturday which was the Catamounts' worst defensive performance in their last four games. Vermont has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win at home against a conference rival. They have also played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing for the second time in seven days. They stay at home where they are holding their opponents to just 39.3% shooting including a 31.3% mark from behind the arc resulting in just 58.5 PPG. And while they do score +1.4 more PPG when playing at home, that is nullified by the -4.7 fewer PPG they give up when it comes to this Under play. The Catamounts have played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s.
FINAL TAKE: New Hampshire plays at the 18th fastest rate in the country — but they have seen -0.6 fewer adjusted possessions per game in their last ten contests. But now they play this Vermont team that loves to slow games down to a crawl. The Catamounts rank 326th in the nation by averaging 18.9 seconds per possession — and they rank 350th in the nation by averaging 63.4 adjusted possessions per game. Vermont has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 10* CBB Tuesday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New Hampshire Wildcats (306527) and the Vermont Catamounts (306528). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-11-24 |
San Francisco v. Gonzaga UNDER 150.5 |
Top |
77-89 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 11:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Dons (873) and the Gonzaga Bulldogs (874) in the Semifinals of the West Coast Conference. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (23-9) snapped their two-game losing streak with a 72-51 victory against Portland as a 16-point favorite in the Quarterfinals of this tournament on Saturday. Gonzaga (24-6) has won eight straight games after their 70-57 upset victory at Saint Mary’s as a 3.5-point underdog on March 2nd. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Dons made 52.8% of their shots on Saturday which was the best shooting effort in their last three games. They stepped up their play on defense by holding the Pilots to just 32.7% shooting — and they have played 21 of their last 27 road games Under the Total after not allowing more than 55% of their shots in their last contest. Additionally, San Francisco has played 11 of their last 12 road games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points against a West Coast Conference rival. They have played 12 of their last 15 road games Under the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. And they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. They are making 45.7% of their shots on the road resulting in 71.5 Points-Per-Game — and those numbers are -3.3% and -8.4 PPG below their season averages. They are scoring -4.9 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing in those road games. But on the other end of the court, they are holding their opponents to just 42.2% shooting with a 32.2% clip from behind the arc resulting in 66.9 PPG. The Dons rank 33rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they improve to the eighth-best defense in the nation in that metric when playing away from home. They have an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 42.2% on the road ranking 21st in the nation — and they are giving up -8.0 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions on the road. San Francisco has played 23 of their last 33 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Gonzaga made 51.7% of their shots against the Gaels which was the worst shooting effort in their alt three games — but they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after making at least 50% of their shots in two or more games in a row. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. They have won six straight games by 13 or more points — and they have then played 6 straight road games Under the Total after winning two or more games in a row by 10 or more points. And in their last 13 games on the road after winning four or more games in a row, they have then played 11 of these games Under the Total. The Bulldogs are scoring 80.3 PPG away from home with a 49.6% field goal percentage — but those numbers are still -5.3 PPG and -2.3% below their season averages. They hold their opponents to 42.7% shooting and 69.9 PPG on the road — and they are giving up -3.9 fewer points per 100 possessions on the road. They rank 19th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on the road. Interestingly, head coach Mark Few has his team playing at a slower pace lately — they are averaging 1.3 fewer possessions per game in their last ten games. The Dons are outscoring their opponents by +12.3 PPG — and Gonzaga has played 7 straight Unders against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +12.0 more PPG.
FINAL TAKE: San Francisco has played 16 of their last 20 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games on a neutral court with the Total set in the 150s. Gonzaga has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on a neutral court with the Total set in the 150s. 25* CBB West Coast Conference Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Dons (873) and the Gonzaga Bulldogs (874). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-09-24 |
Arizona v. USC OVER 161.5 |
Top |
65-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Arizona Wildcats (727) and the USC Trojans (728). THE SITUATION: Arizona (88-65) has won four games in a row as well as 10 of their last 11 contests after their 88-65 victory as a 9.5-point favorite as a 9.5-point favorite on Thursday. USC (13-17) has won two games in a row after their 81-73 victory as a 9.5-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats made 51.9% of their shots against the Bruins which was actually the worst shooting effort in their last three games. They are making 51.8% of their shots in their last five contests. Arizona ranks sixth in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring 90.3 Points-Per-Game. They have scored 85 or more points in four straight games as well as nine of their last 11 contests. But they have also allowed 75 or more points in five of their last eight contests as well. They play at a very fast pace — they average only 15.1 seconds per possession which is the eighth quickest mark in the nation. The Wildcats have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road after a straight-up win against a Pac-12 rival — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit win on the road. They have also played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after a win on the road where they scored 85 or more points. Furthermore, they have played 14 of their last 19 road games Over the Total after winning four of their last five games. And while this is just their second game since February 28th, they have then played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in seven days. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with just one day of rest. Arizona stays on the road where they rank third in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring +4.0 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home. But they are also giving up 80.6 PPG on the road — and the +8.6 points per 100 adjusted possessions they are giving up away from home represents the 342nd biggest jump in the nation. The Wildcats have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 19 of their last 28 road games when favored or a pick ‘em. They have also played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. USC has played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. The Trojans have scored 163 combined points in their last two games — and they are making 48.6% of their shots in their last five contests resulting in 77.8 PPG. But they have allowed three of their last five opponents to make at least 50% of their shots after the Sun Devils enjoyed a 50% shooting clip against them on Thursday. USC has played 23 of their last 34 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a victory against a Pac-12 rival. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. They stay at home where they are scoring +3.4 more points per 100 adjusted possessions. But the Trojans rank 10th in the Pac-12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have played 9 of their last 14 home games Over the Total on their home court. USC has also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as a dog or as a pick ‘em.
FINAL TAKE: Arizona won the first meeting on January 17th by an 82-67 score as a 20.5-point favorite — and the Trojans have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when avenging a same-season loss on the road. 25* CBB Pac-12 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Arizona Wildcats (727) and the USC Trojans (728). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-09-24 |
Rhode Island v. Fordham OVER 146.5 |
Top |
58-50 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Rhode Island Rams (613) and the Fordham Rams (614). THE SITUATION: Rhode Island (11-19) has lost seven games in a row after their 69-57 loss at home to George Mason as a 4-point underdog on Wednesday. Fordham (12-18) has lost two games in a row as well as six of their last eight contests after a 66-64 loss at Massachusetts as a 9.5-point underdog on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Rhode Island made only 29.4% of their shots on Wednesday in what was the worst shooting performance of their season. That game finished well Under the 142.5-point total — but these Rams have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after losing five or more games in a row. And while they have not covered the point spread in six straight games, they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after not covering the point spread in three or more games in a row. Rhode Island has let their last five opponents make 50.5% of their shots resulting in 84.0 Points-Per-Game. They go back on the road where they rank 337th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are allowing their opponents to make 48.8% of their shots and 37.3% of their 3-pointers when on the road resulting in 81.9 PPG. They are surrendering +5.6 more points per 100 adjusted possessions on the road — but they are also scoring +1.2 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when away from home as well. They rank 35th in the nation by making 37.6% of their 3-pointers when away from home — and Fordham allows their guests to make 40.7% of their shots from behind the arc when playing at home, ranking 359th in the nation. Rhode Island has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. They have also played 5 straight road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Rhode Island should also get plenty of points from the charity stripe as they lead the Atlantic 10 in free throw rate — and Fordham is last in the conference in putting their opponent on the line. Fordham has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. And while they have covered the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. Their loss against the Minutemen on Wednesday finished Under the 143-point Total — but they have then played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. Fordham ranks 10th in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they return home where they rank 222nd in the nation in that metric. They allow their opponents to guests to make 46.0% of their shots resulting in 73.7 PPG — and they are giving up +9.5 more points per 100 adjusted possessions on their home court. They are also scoring +3.6 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing at home. The hosting Rams have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total when favored. Furthermore, they have played 4 straight Overs at home when playing 6.5 to 12 points.
FINAL TAKE: Fordham won the first meeting between these two teams by a 71-68 score as a 2.5-point underdog on January 24th — and Rhode Island has played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* CBB Atlantic 10 Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Rhode Island Rams (613) and the Fordham Rams (614). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-08-24 |
Pepperdine v. San Diego OVER 153.5 |
|
52-57 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pepperdine Wave (891) and the San Diego Toreros (892) in the second round of the West Coast Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Pepperdine (13-19) snapped their two-game losing streak in a 102-43 thrashing of Pacific as a 10-point favorite yesterday. San Diego (17-14) ended their three-game losing streak with an 81-69 victory as a 10.5-point favorite last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wave held the Tigers to just 25.0% shooting yesterday which was the best defensive effort all season. Pepperdine has played 6 straight road games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road after losing two of their last three games. That final score finished below the 151-point total — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total on the road after playing an Under in their last contest. They have also played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last contest. The Wave is nailing 51.8% of their shots in their last five games resulting in 81.4 Points-Per-Game. They stay on the road where they are scoring +3.7 more points per 100 adjusted possessions. But Pepperdine is also allowing their opponents to score +6.0 points per 100 adjusted possessions on the road. They are giving up 52.2% shooting including a 45.8% mark from behind on the arc say from home resulting in 82.1 Points-Per-Game. Those marks represent +7.5 and +3.6% higher marks than their season average. The Wave have played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. San Diego held the Tigers to 44.0% shooting last week which was the best defensive effort in their last four contest. The Toreros have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. They have also played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. They go back on the road where they are scoring +2.3 more points per 100 adjusted possessions. On the other end of the court, they are giving up +1.6 more points per 100 adjusted possessions away from home. They are allowing these opponents to make 49.5% of their shots including 37.2% of their shots from behind the arc resulting in 82.3 PPG. Those marks are +5.1 and +3.7% higher than their season average. San Diego has played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Toreros won the last meeting between these two teams by a 69-67 score as a 7.5-point underdog on January 27th — and the Wave have played 23 of their last 33 games Over the Total when avenging a loss by three points or less. 10* CBB Friday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Pepperdine Wave (891) and the San Diego Toreros (892). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-07-24 |
Navy v. Boston University OVER 132.5 |
|
61-70 |
Loss |
-115 |
0 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Navy Midshipmen (306575) and the Boston University Terriers (306576) in the Quarterfinals of the Patriot League Tournament. THE SITUATION: Navy (13-17) has won five games in a row after their 64-48 victory against Loyola-Maryland as a 6.5-point favorite in the first round of this tournament on Tuesday. Boston University (15-16) has won five games in a row as well after their 94-84 victory against Holy Cross as a 9-point favorite last Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Midshipmen held the Greyhounds to just 27.0% shooting from the field on Tuesday which was the best defensive effort in their last 27 games. But Navy has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing no more than 60 points in their last game — and they have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing a game where no more than 125 combined points were scored. They have also played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after holding their previous opponent to no better than 33% shooting. They have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. Now the Midshipmen hit the road against where they are allowing their opponents to make 46.5% of their shots resulting in 71.9 Points-Per-Game — and those numbers are +3.2% and +5.3 PPG above their season averages. They are allowing +6.7 points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing in hostile environments, the 308th worst drop in the nation. They are also scoring +1.1 points per 100 adjusted possessions in true road games. Navy has played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total as an underdog. Boston has played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a win in conference play — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a double-digit win at home. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning four or more games in a row. The Terriers stay at home where they rank 343rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are giving up +15.0 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing at home — the 362nd worst decline in the nation. Boston’s guests are scoring 69.9 PPG which is +3.7 more PPG than what they give up overall. They are also scoring +12.0 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing at home. The 72.3 PPG they score at home is +6.3 more PPG than their season average. The Terriers have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 130s.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular season games but the Terriers won the last meeting by a 74-65 score as a 3.5-point home favorite on February 17th. Navy has played 5 of their 8 opportunities for revenge this season Over the Total. 10* CBB Thursday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between Navy Midshipmen (306575) and the Boston University Terriers (306576). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-06-24 |
Utah State v. San Jose State OVER 144.5 |
Top |
90-70 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
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At 9:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Utah State Aggies (713) and the San Jose State Spartans (714). THE SITUATION: Utah State (24-5) has won three games in a row and five of their last six after their 72-60 victory against Air Force as a 17.5-point favorite on Friday. San Jose State (9-21) has lost five games in a row after their 68-50 loss at UNLV as a 13.5-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Aggies rank 11th in the nation by making 57.5% of their shots inside the arc — and they lead the Mountain West Conference with an effective field goal percentage of 54.8%. Utah State has played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a win in conference play — and they have played 22 of their last 33 games Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row. They have also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a double-digit win — and they have played 8 straight Overs after a win at home by 10 or more points. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after allowing 60 or more points in their last game. They go back on the road where they are scoring 76.4 Points-Per-Game while giving up 72.5 PPG. They rank second in the MWC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency but sit just eighth in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. They are scoring +2.6 points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing on the road — and they are giving up +8.5 points per 100 adjusted possessions when on the road in hostile environments. The Aggies have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 14 of their last 16 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. They have also played 6 straight Overs on the road as the favorite or as a pick ‘em. San Jose State has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss on the road. They have also played 4 straight Overs after a loss where they did not score more than 60 points — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after failing to score more than 55 points in their last game. And while their loss to the Runnin’ Rebels finished Under the 138.5-point total, they have then played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. The Spartans return home where they are nailing 47.8% of their shots resulting in 76.1 PPG — and those marks represent a +6.2 PPG and a +3.1% bump over their season averages. But they are also allowing their guests to make 47.4% of their shots including 39.4% of their 3-pointers resulting in 76.9 PPG which is +2.2 PPG higher than their season defensive average. San Jose State scores +8.1 points per 100 adjusted possessions when at home which ranks 29th in the nation in the biggest jump. They also allow +4.6 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing at home, ranking 307th worst in the country. The Spartans have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when at home — and they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as an underdog or as a pick ‘em.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose State is one of the worst defensive teams in the nation as they rank 281st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They also rank 331st in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 53.8% which does not bode well against a great shooting team like the Aggies. Utah State made 60% of their shots including a 6 of 12 mark from behind the arc en route to their 82-61 victory against the Spartans at home on January 30th — and San Jose State has played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Utah State Aggies (713) and the San Jose State Spartans (714). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-05-24 |
Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State OVER 145.5 |
|
75-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (635) and the Oklahoma State Cowboys (636). THE SITUATION: Texas Tech (20-9) snapped their two-game winning streak with an 81-70 victory as a 2.5-point favorite on Sunday. Oklahoma State (12-17) has lost three games in a row with their 81-65 loss at Texas as a 10-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Red Raiders rank 20th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they are 12th in the Big 12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have played 23 of their last 35 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total after a point spread win. And while their game with the Mountaineers finished just Under the 151.5-point total, Texas Tech has played 10 straight Over on the road after playing an Under in their last game. They stay on the road where they are making 46.2% of their shots including 39.1% of their 3-pointers resulting in 74.5 Points-Per-Game. But the Red Raiders are allowing their opponents to make 46.1% of their shots including 38.6% of their 3-pointers resulting in 76.0 PPG. Texas Tech has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Oklahoma State (12-17) has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last game. They return home where they are making 47.3% of their shots including 37.1% of their 3-pointers resulting in 76.9 PPG. They are scoring +5.1 PPG and making +2.7% of their shots at home. The Cowboys have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total on their home court. They have also played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.
FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma State wants to avenge a 90-73 loss to the Red Raiders as a 7.5-point underdog on January 9th — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Tuesday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (635) and the Oklahoma State Cowboys (636). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-03-24 |
Iona v. Marist UNDER 133 |
|
71-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 16 m |
Show
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At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Iona Gaels (833) and the Marist Red Foxes (834). THE SITUATION: Iona (13-15) has lost four games in a row after their 82-64 upset loss to Quinnipiac as a 3.5-point favorite on Thursday. Marist (16-10) won for the sixth time in their last seven games in a 58-55 upset victory against Fairfield as a 1.5-point underdog on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Gaels are only making 38.6% of their shots in their last five games resulting in 66.0 Points-Per-Game — and those marks are -4.4% and 6.6 PPG below their season average. This slumping Iona team has not scored more than 65 points in three of their last four games. The Gaels have played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total on the road after a loss by double-digits to a Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference rival. And while they have suffered upset losses in two straight games, they have then played 29 of their last 44 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row to a conference opponent. They have not covered the point spread in six straight games — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. They go back on the road where they rank 242nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing in hostile environments. But Iona does play better on the other end of the court when playing in true road games. They rank 86th in the nation in the Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing in hostile environments — and the adjusted -7.3 points per 100 possessions they give up in hostile environments represents the 16th improvement in the nation. The Gaels have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. Marist has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. The Red Foxes made 40.4% of their shots on Thursday which was the best shooting mark in their last three games. Marist has not scored more than 60 points in three straight games — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 60 points in two or more games in a row. They have also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total at home after not scoring more than 60 points in their last game. But the Red Foxes are playing outstanding defense right now. They have held five of their last seven opponents to no more than 55 points — and their last five opponents are only making 37.0% of their shots resulting in 58.2 PPG. They held the Stags to just 28.3% shooting on Thursday — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. Additionally, Marist has played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up victory on their home court. The Red Foxes lead the MAAC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they stay at home this afternoon where they hold their guests to just 37.3% shooting and a 30.1% clip from behind the arc resulting in 57.6 PPG. They are only scoring 65.5 PPG from a 44.4% shooting percentage when playing at home. Marist has played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total when favored by 3.5 to 6 points.
FINAL TAKE: Marist won the first meeting between these two teams by a 68-64 score back on November 29th despite being a 7.5-point underdog. Iona has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Sunday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Iona Gaels (833) and the Marist Red Foxes (834). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-02-24 |
Texas Tech v. West Virginia OVER 151 |
|
81-70 |
Push |
0 |
0 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (721) and the West Virginia Mountaineers (722). THE SITUATION: Texas Tech (19-9) has lost three of their last four games after their 81-69 upset loss at home against Texas as a 3.5-point favorite on Tuesday. West Virginia (9-19) has lost six of their last seven contests after their 94-90 loss in overtime at Kansas State as a 9.5-point underdog on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Red Raiders only made 35.6% of their shots against the Longhorns which was the worst shooting effort of their season. Texas Tech has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss to a Big 12 rival. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last game. And in their last 22 games when playing for just the second time in seven days, they have played 16 of those games Over the Total. The Red Raiders go back on the road where they rank 22nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in true road games. They are making 46.1% of their shots in hostile environments resulting in 74.0 Points-Per-Game — and they rank fifth in the nation by making 41.0% of their shots in true road games. Their effective field goal percentage of 56.6% in hostile environments ranks fourth best in the nation. But Texas Tech’s play on defense is faltering. They rank 77th in the nation and 12th in the Big 12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have allowed their last five opponents to score 73.8 PPG which is +4.4 PPG above their season average. On the road, they are allowing their home hosts to make 45.8% of their shots including 41.4% of their 3-pointers, ranking 355th worst in the nation. Overall, the Red Raiders are giving up 76.5 PPG in true road games — and they rank 215th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in hostile environments. West Virginia made only 39.0% of their shots against the Wildcats which was the worst shooting effort in their last four contests. The Mountaineers have then played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a loss to a Big 12 rival — and they have played 26 of their last 38 games Over the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. This team also struggles on the defensive end of the court. They are last in the Big 12 and 131st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are allowing 81.4 PPG in their last five games which is +6.3 PPG above their season average. But they are also scoring 75.4 PPG in those previous five games — and that mark is +6.0 PPG above their season average. West Virginia returns home where they have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total. They have also played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total at home as an underdog or as a pick ‘em. The Mountaineers rank 40th in the nation in getting to the free throw line when playing at home — and the 72.2 PPG they are scoring at home is +2.8 PPG above their season average.
FINAL TAKE: West Virginia has played 11 of their last 14 home games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning record. Texas Tech has played 25 of their last 36 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 10* CBB Saturday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (721) and the West Virginia Mountaineers (722). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-02-24 |
North Carolina-Asheville v. Radford OVER 147.5 |
Top |
71-62 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Asheville Bulldogs (306581) and the Radford Highlanders (306582). THE SITUATION: UNC-Asheville (19-11) saw their five-game winning streak snapped in a 78-77 upset loss at home against Gardner-Webb as a 5.5-point favorite last Saturday. Radford (15-15) had their two-game winning streak end in a 58-57 upset loss at Charleston Southern as a 5.5-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs made 50% of their shots in their loss last week which was actually the worst shooting effort in their last three games. UNC-Asheville has played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss at home. They have also played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after an upset loss — and they have played 5 straight Overs after an upset loss to a Big South rival. And while that game with Gardner-Webb finished Over the 1553.5-point total, they have then played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after playing an Over in their last contest. The Bulldogs lead the Big South with an effective field goal percentage of 55.9% — and they rank 22nd in the nation by making 37.5% of their 3-pointers. They also rank 11th in the nation in getting to the free throw line. Now they go back on the road where they are scoring 75.9 Points-Per-Game -- fueled by the sixth-best free throw rate when playing in hostile environments. They also rank 47th in the nation by making 37.0% of their shots from behind the arc when on the road. But UNC-Asheville ranks 208th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they plummet to 307th in that nation in that metric when playing on the road in hostile environments. The adjusted +8.3 points per 100 possessions they allow in hostile environments represents the 339th worst spike in the country. They are giving up 78.8 PPG in those games. The Bulldogs have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total as an underdog or a pick ‘em. The Highlanders make 46.5% of their shots — and UNC-Asheville has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams making 45% or more of their shots. Radford made only 41.8% of their shots on Wednesday in what was the worst shooting effort in their last seven contests. They still rank third in the Big South in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are still making 49.3% of their shots in their last five games. More surprisingly, they held Charleston Southern to 35.9% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last eight contests. The Highlanders rank 312th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while ranking last in the Big South in that category. Radford has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss by three points or less — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road. They have only covered the point spread twice in their last eight games — and they have played 8 straight Overs after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. They return home where they are scoring 76.2 PPG on 49.5% shooting — and those marks are +3.4 PPG and +3.0% above their season average. The Highlanders rank 14th in the nation by making 41.2% of their shots from behind the arc when playing on their home court. But they also rank 323rd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing at home — and the +5.4 adjusted points per 100 possessions they allow represents the 318th biggest jump when assessing home court play. Radford has played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as a favorite of three points or less or as a pick ‘em. They have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And while the Bulldogs average eight made 3s per game, the Highlanders have played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total against teams who make eight or more 3s per game.
FINAL TAKE: Radford has played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. They have also played 6 straight Overs when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. UNC-Asheville has played 10 of their last 15 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. They have also played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total on the road with the Total set in the 140s. 25* CBB Big South Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Asheville Bulldogs (306581) and the Radford Highlanders (306582). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-01-24 |
Old Dominion v. Georgia Southern OVER 152.5 |
Top |
75-92 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Old Dominion Monarchs (861) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (862). THE SITUATION: Old Dominion (7-23) has lost seven of their last eight games after their 89-64 loss at Appalachian State as a 14.5-point underdog on Wednesday. Georgia Southern (7-23) has won two of their last three games after their 87-73 victory as a 1.5-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Old Dominion plays at a fast pace — they rank 57th in the nation in Adjusted Possessions per Game while ranking 46th in their Average Possession Length. They have been playing even quicker in conference play as they lead the Sun Belt with 72.5 Adjusted Possessions per Game while averaging 16.2 Seconds per Possession. The Monarchs have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road. They have also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games on the road Over the Total after a point spread loss. They stay on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 9 road games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em. Old Dominion ranks 214th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they drop to ranking 312th in the nation in that metric when playing in hostile environments. Furthermore, they rank 233rd in the nation in their drop in Adjusted Net Defensive Efficiency when playing in hostile environments. They are allowing their home hosts to make 46.3% of their shots resulting in 82.5 Points-Per-Game — and they are scoring 73.2 PPG in those road games. The Monarchs’ Adjusted Offensive Efficiency rises by 5.5 points when they are playing in hostile environments — and that bump ranks as the 38th biggest jump in the nation. Old Dominion has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams winning 20-40% of their games. Georgia Southern played their best defensive game in their last nine contests by holding the Thundering Herd to 73 points. The Eagles rank 342nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But by making 56.9% of their shots in that game on Wednesday, they made at least 50.9% of their shots for the third time in their last four games. Georgia Southern has scored at least 80 points in three of their last four games. They are making 48.2% of their shots in their last five contests resulting in 80.0 PPG. They have played 35 of their last 54 home games Over the Total after scoring at least 85 points in their last game. They have played 9 of their last 11 home games Over the Total after a win against a Sun Belt Conference rival — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games over the Total after a victory by ten or more points. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. They stay at home where they are making 47.1% of their shots including 41.0% of their 3-pointers resulting in 76.5 PPG. They are scoring +11.2 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home — and that rise in efficiency is the sixth largest for home courts in the nation. Georgia Southern has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total on their home court — and they have played 10 of their last 14 home games Over the Total as a favorite of up to six points or as a pick ‘em.
FINAL TAKE: Old Dominion only makes 41.9% of their shots but they average 62 shot attempts per game. The Eagles have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams who average at least 62 shots per game — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams who are not making more than 42% of their shots. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Old Dominion Monarchs (861) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (862). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-29-24 |
Towson v. North Carolina A&T UNDER 132.5 |
Top |
84-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Towson Tigers (779) and the North Carolina A&T Aggies (780). THE SITUATION: Towson (17-12) has lost two of their last three games after their 72-56 loss to the College of Charleston as a 1.5-point underdog on Saturday. North Carolina A&T (7-22) has lost seven straight games after their 83-67 loss at Monmouth as an 11-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Tigers allowed the Cougars to nail 54.3% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games — and the 72 points they gave up was the most they had allowed in five straight contests. Towson still leads the Colonial Athletic Association in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have still held their last five opponents to just 40.2% shooting from the field resulting in only 61.4 Points-Per-Game. The Tigers should tighten things up on defense tonight — they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a loss by double-digits and they have played 4 straight Unders after a loss by 15 or more points. But Towson can struggle to score points. They rank 227th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are just eighth in the conference in that category. They go back on the road where they are only making 38.4% of their shots resulting in just 62.3 PPG. The Tigers have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total when favored by double-digits. UNC A&T only made 28.3% of their shots on Saturday — but that was only their second-lowest field goal percentage in their last five games in a span where they have not shot better than 38.2% from the field. In their last five games, the Aggies are making only 32.4% of their shots resulting in just 57.6 PPG. They are last in the Colonial Athletic Association and 323rd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The 67 points they scored was their highest total in their last nine contests. UNC A&T has then played 10 of their last 11 home games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. They have also played 10 of their last 12 games at home Under the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after losing six or seven of their last eight contests. They return home where they are holding their opponents to 45.1% shooting resulting in 68.5 PPG — and those marks are -3.2% and -9.7 PPG lower than their season averages. The Aggies have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em.
FINAL TAKE: Neither of these teams can shoot the basketball. Towson ranks 314th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage (eFG) of 46.7% and UNC A&T ranks 355th with an eFG of 44.2%. The Tigers have played 16 of their last 22 road games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s — and the Aggies have played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. 25* CBB Colonial Athletic Association Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Towson Tigers (779) and the North Carolina A&T Aggies (780). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-27-24 |
Pittsburgh v. Clemson OVER 141 |
Top |
62-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Panthers (631) and the Clemson Tigers (632). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (18-9) has won six of their last seven games after their 79-64 victory at Virginia Tech as a 3-point favorite on Saturday. Clemson (19-8) has won five of their last six games with their 74-63 win against Florida State as a 10-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Panthers held the Hokies to just 40.7% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last five games. But Pittsburgh is vulnerable on the defensive end of the court — especially in the interior where they rank 13th in the ACC by allowing their opponents to make 53.3% of their 2-point shots. And in their true road games, they allow their home hosts to make 56.3% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 329th in the nation. The Tigers' big man P.J. Hall should have a big night — he is scoring 18.7 Points-Per-Game while making more than 68% of his shots in the paint. Clemson ranks 38th in the nation by making 54.4% of their shots inside the arc. The Panthers have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a double-digit win at home. They have also played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a win by 15 or more points on their home court. Additionally, while Pitt has covered the point spread in five of their last six games, they have then played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. And while they have won eight of their last ten games, they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after winning at least eight of their last ten games. The Panthers rank just eighth in the ACC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have allowed their last five opponents to make 48.3% of their shots. But Pitt can put up points as they take advantage of most of their possessions and launch tons of 3s. They rank 18th in the nation by turning the ball over in just 14.2% of their possessions. They also rank 25th in the nation by taking 45.0% of their shots from behind the arc. On the road, they are scoring 72.9 PPG — and they rank 14th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing in hostile environments. They are scoring +9.1 more points per 100 possessions when playing on the road when compared to their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing at home. The Panthers have played 6 of their last 9 games on the road Over the Total. And while the Tigers hold their opponents to 41.4% shooting, Pitt has played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total against teams who hold their opponents to no higher than 42% shooting from the field. Clemson held the Seminoles to just 36.9% shooting on Saturday on the heels of limiting Georgia Tech to a 30.2% field goal percentage last Wednesday — but they have then played 6 straight Overs after holding their last two opponents to no higher than 37% shooting. They only made 44.0% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last five contests. But the Tigers are still making 49.8% of their shots in their also five games — and they rank 18th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Clemson has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 7 straight Overs after a double-digit win at home. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning four of their last five games. And while they have played two straight games Under the Total, they have then played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after playing two or more Unders in a row. They return home where they are allowing +1.9 more points per possession per 100 possessions in adjusted numbers — and that number ranks 245th in the largest home/road discrepancy. They are scoring 80.3 PPG at home — and they have played 12 of their last 19 home games over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Additionally, Clemson has played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total in February. And while the Panthers are outscoring their opponents by +6.0 PPG, the Tigers have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams outscoring their opponents by +4.0 or more PPG.
FINAL TAKE: Pittsburgh looks to avenge a 79-70 upset loss at home to Clemson as a 4.5-point underdog back on December 3rd — and they have played 5 of their last 6 opportunities for revenge Over the Total. The Panthers have also played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home to their opponent. 25* CBB ACC Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Panthers (631) and the Clemson Tigers (632). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-26-24 |
NC-Wilmington v. Campbell OVER 143 |
|
100-105 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (887) and the Campbell Camels (888). THE SITUATION: UNC-Wilmington (20-7) has won six of their last seven games after their 81-65 victory at William & Mary as an 11-point favorite on Thursday. Campbell (12-16) has lost three games in a row and five of their last six contests after their 72-68 upset loss against Hampton as a 9.5-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Seahawks made 49.1% of their shots against the Tribe which was the fifth straight game where they nailed at least 47.5% of their shots. They are making 51.4% of their shots in their last five games which is up 4.9% over their season average. UNC-Wilmington has played 4 straight Overs after making 47% or more of their shots in three or more games in a row. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a double-digit win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by 15 or more points. And in their last 9 games after scoring 80 or more points, they have played 6 of those games Over the Total. This is just their second game since last Saturday — and they have played 16 of their last 23 road games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in the last seven days. The Seahawks usually get the most out of each possession as they rank third in the country by turning the ball over in just 12.7% of their possessions. They are second in the Colonial Athletic Association in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They stay on the road where they are scoring 77.0 Points-Per-Game. They average 67.2 adjusted possessions per game which is +3.1 more possessions than what they average when playing at home with that slower pace. UNC-Wilmington has played 22 of their last 29 road games Over the Total with the Total set from 145 to 149.5. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road as a favorite in the 6.5-12 point range. Campbell only made 37.5% of their shots last Thursday which was the worst shooting effort in their last nine contests. And by holding the Pirates to 41.0% shooting, they played their best defensive game in their last eight contests. That final score flew Under the 148.5-point total — but the Camels have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss to a conference rival. Despite that good effort against Hampton, Campbell has allowed their last five opponents to make 45.8% of their shots resulting in 80.8 PPG — and those marks are +2.5% and +10.8 PPG above their season averages. The Camels stay at home where they have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games as an underdog or a pick ‘em.
FINAL TAKE: Campbell wants to avenge a 77-74 loss at UNC-Wilmington back on February 3rd — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. They have also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road. 10* CBB Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (887) and the Campbell Camels (888). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-26-24 |
Coppin State v. Howard UNDER 139.5 |
Top |
69-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Coppin State Eagles (306639) and the Howard Bison (306640). THE SITUATION: Coppin State (2-22) has lost eight games in a row after their 68-66 loss to Norfolk State as a 12-point underdog on Saturday. Howard (12-15) has won three of their last four games after their 78-72 victory against Morgan State as a 10.5-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Eagles are far away from being one of the best teams in college basketball — and it starts with their offense where they rank last in Division I in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They rank third to the bottom in Division I with their effective field goal percentage of 40.3. They only made 32.7% of their shots on Saturday in their narrow loss — and while I like to fade outlier shooting efforts like that in a team’s next game, that shooting performance was only tied for their sixth-lowest mark of the season. Coppin State has played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss at home. They only scored 24 points in the first half on Saturday — and they have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 25 points in the first half of their last game. They have also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row. They go back on the road where the adjusted efficiency numbers project them to score -10.5 fewer points per 100 possessions than they do when playing at home. They are only making 36.0% of their shots away from home including 26.0% of their shots from behind the arc resulting in only 53.3 Points-Per-Game. Coppin State has played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total on the road. Additionally, they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total as a double-digit underdog — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total on the road as an underdog getting 12.5 to 18 points. If there is one thing that the Eagles do well, it is force turnovers — they rank 16th in the nation by forcing turnovers in 21.9% of their opponent’s possessions. The Bison are vulnerable in this area since they turn the ball over in 21.3% of their possessions, ranking 350th in the nation. Taking away Howard’s scoring opportunities should keep the score of this game down. Coppin State also plays at a slow pace — their games average 66.4 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 264th in the nation. The Eagles have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range. Howard has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. And while they have played their last two games Under the Total, they have then played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after playing two or more Unders in a row. They stay at home where they hold their opponents to just 42.9% shooting including a 31.4% clip from behind the arc. And while the Bison are a good shooting team at home, they are going to lose possessions to this Eagles team because they turn the ball over in 22.4% of their possessions when playing at home, ranking 359th in the nation. Howard has played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total when favored or a pick ‘em. They have been favored by double-digits three previous times this season — and all three games finished Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Howard won the first meeting between these two teams on January 29th by an 81-66 score — but Coppin State has played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing with revenge. The Eagles have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they gave up 75 or more points. 25* CBB Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Coppin State Eagles (306639) and the Howard Bison (306640). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-25-24 |
Wright State v. Oakland OVER 159.5 |
Top |
96-75 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 3:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wright State Raiders (841) and the Oakland Grizzlies (842). THE SITUATION: Wright State (16-12) has won two games in a row as well as four of their last five contests after their 93-78 victory at Detroit Mercy as a 10.5-point favorite on Thursday. Oakland (19-10) has won four games in a row as well as seven of their last eight contests after their 63-43 win at Robert Morris as a 4.5-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Raiders nailed 53.3% of their shots on Thursday which was the fifth time in their last six games where they shot 50% or better from the field — and they have scored 85 or more points in four of their last five games. But they allowed the Titans to make 51.7% of their shots which was the third time in their last four games where their opponents made at least 50% of their shots. Wright State is an Over Machine because they shoot great and play at a fast pace but can’t stop anybody on the other end. The Raiders rank second in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 58.6% — and they rank in the top 11 in the nation in both 3-point and 2-point shooting. But they also rank 353rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and their opponents post a 56.6% effective field goal percentage against them, ranking 354th in the nation. Wright State ranks 28th in the nation by averaging only 15.9 seconds per possession — and they rank 31st in the nation by averaging 71.0 adjusted possessions per game. The Raiders have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a double-digit win. They have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning two of their last three contests. While this is their second game since last Saturday, they have also played 11 straight Overs when playing for the second time in eight days. They stay on the road where they average slightly more 73.2 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 17th in the nation. They make 51.8% of their shots on the road along with 41.0% of their 3-pointers (which leads the nation) resulting in 85.1 Points-Per-Game. But they allow their opponents to make 48.6% of their shots away from home resulting in 84.0 PPG. Wright State has played 11 of their last 12 road games Over the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total on the road as an underdog of six points or less or as a pick ‘em. Oakland only made 34.5% of their shots on Thursday which was their worst shooting of the season — but they also held the Colonials to just 28.3% shooting in what was the best defensive effort of their campaign. While that final score flew Under the 147-point total, the Grizzlies have then played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They have played 11 of their last 14 home games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total after a win by 15 or more points. They have played 15 of their last 18 home games Over the Total after winning four games in a row — and they have played 6 straight Overs at home after winning six or seven of their last eight games. They return home where they made 47.6% of their shots including 39.6% of their shots from behind the arc resulting in 82.2 PPG. They also average 69.2 adjusted possessions per game at home which is +1.9 possessions above their season average. But the Grizzlies defense takes a step back when they are playing at home. While Oakland ranks 146th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and second in Horizon League play, those numbers drop to 253rd in the nation and eighth in the conference when they are playing at home. The collapse comes from their interior defense as they allow their guests to make 52.5% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 308th in the nation — and Wright State ranks ninth in the nation by making 56.4% of their 2-pointers when playing away from home. Oakland has played 16 of their last 23 home games Over the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total in February.
FINAL TAKE: The Raiders want to avenge a 74-60 upset loss at home to Oakland back on February 10th in their worst shooting game of the season where they made only 33.8% of their shots including just 5 of their 28 (17.9%) shots from behind the arc. Wright State has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. 25* CBB Horizon League Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Wright State Raiders (841) and the Oakland Grizzlies (842). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-24-24 |
Pepperdine v. San Francisco OVER 149 |
Top |
68-92 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pepperdine Waves (799) and the San Francisco Dons (800). THE SITUATION: Pepperdine (12-17) has won two games in a row after their 89-70 victory at Pacific as a 7.5-point favorite on Wednesday. San Francisco (21-7) had their six-game winning streak snapped in a 70-66 loss at Saint Mary’s as a 7.5-point underdog on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Waves held Pacific to just 41.9% shooting on Wednesday which was the second-best defensive effort in their last eight games. But Pepperdine continues to struggle with their half-court defense as they rank 350th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 55.2% — and they allow their opponents to make 54.1% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 327th. The Wave have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. They have also played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last contest. They have averaged a whopping 90 points in their last two games with both those contests combining for 160 points — and they have played 7 straight Overs after playing two games in a row where 155 or more combined points were scored. They stay on the road where they allow their opponents to make 53.6% of their shots resulting in 84.4 Points-Per-Game. Pepperdine allows their opponents to nail 48.1% of their shots from behind the arc when playing away from home, ranking 362nd in the nation. Their opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 60.4% away from home ranks 362nd in the country. The Wave have played 17 of their last 22 road games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 10 of their last 15 road games Over the Total as a double-digit underdog. They should be able to generate offense against the Dons tonight by getting to the free-throw line. Pepperdine ranks second in the West Coast Conference in getting to the charity stripe — and San Francisco ranks 295th in the nation and ninth in the West Coast Conference in putting their opponents on the line. The Wave have played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games — and they have played 7 straight road games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning record. San Francisco has played 6 straight Overs at home after a loss by six points or less — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread win. They have also played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The Dons are one of the best shooting teams in the nation — they rank 19th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 55.5%. Led by 6’9 Jonathan Mogbo, they should have their way inside against the weak interior defense of the Wave as they rank eighth in the nation by making 57.9% of their shots inside the arc. After playing their last two games on the road, San Francisco returns home where they make 52.1% of their shots resulting in 84.7 PPG. They also rank 50th in the nation by nailing a healthy 38.8% of their shots from behind the arc. The Dons have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total on their home court — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a losing record — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite.
FINAL TAKE: San Francisco won the first meeting between these two teams by an 80-74 score as a 9.5-point favorite on February 8th. Pepperdine has played 21 of their opportunities for revenge Over the Total — and they have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed 75 or more points. 25* CBB West Coast Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Pepperdine Waves (799) and the San Francisco Dons (800). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-22-24 |
Oregon v. Stanford OVER 150 |
|
78-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oregon Ducks (835) and the Stanford Cardinal (836). THE SITUATION: Oregon (17-8) has won two of their last three games after their 60-58 victory at Oregon State as a 7-point favorite on Saturday. Stanford (12-13) has lost two games in a row and four of their last five contests after their 72-59 loss at Washington State as a 7.5-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Ducks held the Beavers to just 41.8% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 16 games. But Oregon only ranks 107th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win by three points or less — and they have played 20 of their last 30 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Ducks have failed to cover the point spread in four straight games — and they have played 23 of their last 33 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Now they go back on the road where they have played 20 of their last 30 games Over the Total. Stanford has played 7 straight Overs at home after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Cardinal has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. They return home where they have played 12 of their 13 games Over the Total this season — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. They are making 51.5% of their shots on their home court resulting in 85.5 Points-Per-Game — and they host a Ducks team that allows 76.4 PPG when playing on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Stanford has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and Oregon has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as an underdog. 8* CBB Thursday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Oregon Ducks (835) and the Stanford Cardinal (836). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-18-24 |
Texas-San Antonio v. Temple OVER 154 |
|
77-83 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the University of Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners (837) and the Temple Owls (838). THE SITUATION: UTSA (8-17) has lost five games in a row after their 79-70 loss at Charlotte as a 13-point underdog on Thursday. Temple (8-17) has lost ten games in a row after their 80-68 loss at Florida Atlantic as a 19.5-point underdog on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: There are 362 college basketball teams in Division I — and the Roadrunners rank 356th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have allowed at least 79 points in eight straight games — and they have then played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in their last game. They have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in three or more games in a row — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in five or more games in a row. UTSA combines their porous defense with a fast pace — their games average 70.6 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 50th in the nation. They only made 35.8% of their shots on Thursday which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. The Roadrunners have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total after losing two games in a row. Furthermore, they have played 6 straight Overs after losing or more games in a row. They stay on the road where they are scoring 77.7 Points-Per-Game — but they are allowing their opponents to nail 47.2% of their shots resulting in 88.2 PPG when they are away from home. UTSA has played 25 of their last 37 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 18 of their last 25 road games Over the Total as an underdog or as a pick ‘em. Additionally, they have played 8 of their last 10 games over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. The Roadrunners launch tons of 3s — they rank second in the American Athletic Conference by taking 45.1% of their shots from 3-point range. Temple ranks third in the conference by launching 44.5% of their shots from behind the arc — and they average 28 shots downtown per game. UTSA has played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total against teams who average 21 or more 3-point attempts per game. The Owls have played 8 straight home games Over the Total after losing five or more games in a row — and they have played 17 of their last 23 games Over the Total after losing eight or more of their last ten games. Temple returns home where they are scoring 76.1 PPG which is +5.4 PPG above their season average. The Owls have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total on their home court. Their play on defense has taken a step back lately as they have allowed their last five opponents to make 46.0% of their shots resulting in 79.8 PPG which is +5.8 PPG above their season average. And while the Roadrunners score 78.9 PPG, Temple has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams who score 77 or more PPG.
FINAL TAKE: The Owls have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total in February — and the Roadrunners have played 19 of their last 11 games Over the Total in February. 10* CBB Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the University of Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners (837) and the Temple Owls (838). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-17-24 |
Santa Clara v. San Diego OVER 152 |
|
82-69 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Santa Clara Broncos (809) and the San Diego Toreros (810). THE SITUATION: Santa Clara (16-10) snapped their three-game losing streak with their 79-53 win against Pacific as a 16-point favorite on Thursday. San Diego (16-11) has won four games in a row after their 71-66 victory against Portland as a 6-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Broncos held the Tigers to just 32.2% shooting which was their best defensive effort of the season. But Santa Clara has played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total on the road after a game that finished Under the Total. They have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a double-digit win against a West Coast Conference rival — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a win by 20 or more points. They go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. San Diego only made 40.0% of their shots on Thursday which was the worst shooting effort in their last seven contests. But the Toreros have then played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a narrow win by six points or less. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win at home against a conference opponent. They had covered the point spread in six straight games before that contest — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with one day of rest. They stay at home where they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em.
FINAL TAKE: San Diego won the first meeting between these two teams by a 70-59 score back on February 3rd as a 12.5-point road underdog. The Broncos have played 24 of their last 34 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss as a home favorite. 8* CBB Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Santa Clara Broncos (809) and the San Diego Toreros (810). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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02-17-24 |
NC-Greensboro v. Wofford OVER 139 |
Top |
58-47 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
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At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Greensboro Spartans (747) and the Wofford Terriers (748). THE SITUATION: UNC-Greensboro (18-8) snapped their two-game losing streak with their 76-61 win at The Citadel as a 6-point favorite on Wednesday. Wofford (15-11) has won two in a row and three of their last four contests after their 73-60 upset win at Mercer as a 2-point underdog on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Spartans held the Bulldogs to just 39.1% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last six games. But UNC-Greensboro remains a below-average defensive team — they rank seventh in the Southern Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But what this team does well is shoot 3s — they rank eighth in the nation by making 39.0% of their shots from behind the arc. Even better, in their last ten contests, they are nailing 42.3% of their 3-pointers, ranking third in the country. The Spartans have played 15 of their last 18 games on the road Over the Total after a double-digit win on the road. They have also played 26 of their last 39 games on the road Over the Total after a win on the road. And while they have covered the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in two of their last three contests. Their game against The Citadel finished Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total in their last contest. They stay on the road where they are making 37.9% of their 3-pointers to help them score 72.1 Points-Per-Game. UNC-Greensboro has played 28 of their last 42 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. They have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total when favored. Wofford has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a win on the road against a conference rival — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by double-digits. They have also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. Furthermore, the Terriers have played 8 of their last 9 games at home Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. Wofford converted 10 of their 24 (41.7%) of their shots from behind the arc against the Bears on the heels of nailing 11 of their 26 (42.3%) — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after hitting 10 or more shots from behind the arc in two or more games in a row. And while the Terriers have not allowed more than 64 points in three straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 65 points in three or more games in a row. Despite these recent results, Wofford is not a great defensive team — they rank eighth in the Southern Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Even worse for this matchup, they rank 329th in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 36.5% of their 3-pointers — and conference rivals are nailing 37.5% of their 3s. UNC-Greensboro makes 10 shots from distance per game from 25 shots from behind the arc on average. The Terriers have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams who attempt 21 or more 3s per game — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total against opponents who make eight or more shots from behind the arc per game. Wofford is a good shooting team as well — they rank 38th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 54.1%. They return home where they are making 50.1% of their shots including 37.9% of their 3s resulting in 82.5 PPG. The Terriers have played 15 of their last 20 games at home Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games at home Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Furthermore, they have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 20 of their last 29 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: The Spartans won the first meeting between these two teams by an 82-59 score as a 6-point home favorite back on January 20th — and Wofford has played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road to their opponent. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when attempting to avenge a loss on the road where they did not score more than 60 points. 25* CBB Southern Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Greensboro Spartans (747) and the Wofford Terriers (748). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-16-24 |
Siena v. St. Peter's UNDER 128.5 |
Top |
53-75 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Siena Saints (875) and the Saint Peter’s Peacocks (876). THE SITUATION: Siena (4-20) snapped their seven-game losing streak in a 68-63 victory at Manhattan as a 4.5-point underdog last Saturday. Saint Peter’s (11-11) has lost four games in a row after their 64-62 loss to Fairfield as a 3-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Saints only made 41.5% of their shots against the Jaspers — but it was still their best shooting effort in their last four games. They had not scored more than 61 points in their previous six games — and they only topped 52 points in five of those six contests. Siena is one of the worst-scoring teams in the country. They rank 359th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rank 353rd of the 362 teams in Division I with an effective field goal percentage of 44.4%. To make matters worse, they turn the ball over in 24.4% of their possessions, ranking second to last in the nation — so they do not even get a shot off in one of every four possessions. The Saints have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while their game with Manhattan finished far below the 139.5 point total, they have then played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing an Under in their last game. Additionally, they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after losing three of their last four games. Siena stays on the road where they are only making 41.9% of their shots and 21.9% of their shots from behind the arc resulting in just 60.0 Points-Per-Game. The Saints have played 21 of their last 29 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 9 points including five of these last six circumstances. Saint Peter’s made 41.8% of their shots against the Stags last week which was their best shooting performance in their last six contests — they had not made more than 38.3% of their shots in their previous five games. The Peacocks rank 323rd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rank 355th with an effective field goal percentage of 44.1%. But this team can play defense — they rank 98th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while ranking second in that metric in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. Critical in this matchup, they rank 24th in the nation by forcing turnovers in 21.4% of their opponents’ possessions — so Siena is likely to struggle to score much more than even 50 points in this one. Saint Peter’s has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss to a conference opponent. Furthermore, they have outshot their last two opponents by 11 and 14 attempts — and they played 19 of their last 21 games Under the Total after attempting at least 10 more shots from the field than their opponent in two straight games. They have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total in their last game. Uncharacteristically, they have allowed their last two opponents to make at least 50% of their shots from the field — but now they stay at home where they rank 28th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on their home court while limiting their guests to only 63.7 PPG. But the Peacocks’ offense is even worse at home where they rank 359th in the nation in both Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and with their 42.0% effective field goal percentage. Saint Peter’s makes only 37.1% of their shots including 29.9% of their 3-pointers when playing at home resulting in just 65.2 PPG. The Peacocks have played 7 of their last 8 games at home Under the Total — and they have played 29 of their last 44 home games Under the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points.
FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams play at a slow pace. The Saints average 67.0 adjusted possessions per game which is below the 67.7 national average — and the 18.6 seconds per possession that average ranks 307th in the nation. The Peacocks rank 341st in the nation in both their 63.8 adjusted possessions per game and the 19.4 seconds per possession they average. These two teams played on January 28th when Saint Peter’s won by a 63-52 score as a 10-point favorite — and Siena has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a loss. 25* CBB Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Siena Saints (875) and the Saint Peter’s Peacocks (876). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-15-24 |
Idaho State v. Eastern Washington OVER 144.5 |
Top |
82-88 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Idaho State Bengals (795) and the Eastern Washington Eagles (796). THE SITUATION: Idaho State (11-14) has won three games in a row after their 68-65 victory as a 4-point favorite on Saturday. Eastern Washington (16-8) has won three in a row and 12 of their last 13 contests after their 87-79 loss to Idaho as a 14.5-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Eagles are one of the best shooting teams in the country. They rank 10th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.4% — and they rank 19th in both 2-point and 3-point shooting. They should pour on the points tonight against a Bengals defense that ranks 273rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and their opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 53.7% ranks 332nd in the nation. Eastern Washington has scored 78 or more points in three straight games along with 177 combined points in their last two contests. The Eagles have then played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after scoring 75 or more points in two straight games. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a win at home against a Big Sky rival — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing a game at home where both teams scored 75 or more points. Furthermore, they have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after winning two or more games in a row — and they have played 7 straight home games Over the Total after winning four of their last five games. They stay at home where they make 55.0% of their shots including 39.7% of their shots from behind the arc resulting in 89.7 Points-Per-Game. Eastern Washington has played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total on their home court — and they have played 10 of their last 13 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Idaho State has played 21 of their last 27 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in their last game. The Bengals had covered the point spread in their four previous contests — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Idaho State goes back on the road where they have played 22 of their last 28 games Over the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 13 road games Over the Total in February. They have also played 21 of their last 27 road games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em — and they have played 11 of their last 14 road games as an underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. They have played 12 of their last 15 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. The Bengals have also played 14 of their last 21 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played four of their five games this season.
FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of Eastern Washington’s 79-67 win on the road as a 5.5-point favorite on January 20th — and Idaho State has played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total when attempting to avenge a loss on the road. 25* CBB Big Sky Total of the Month is with Over the Total in the game between the Idaho State Bengals (795) and the Eastern Washington Eagles (796). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-10-24 |
Idaho v. Eastern Washington OVER 147.5 |
|
79-87 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Idaho Vandals (791) and the Eastern Washington Eagles (792). THE SITUATION: Idaho (9-14) is on a two-game winning streak after their 61-45 upset victory at Sacramento State as a 5.5-point underdog on Monday. Eastern Washington (15-8) has won two games in a row as well as 11 of their last 12 contests after their 90-77 victory at Portland State as a 5.5-point favorite on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Vandals had lost eight games in a row before pulling off two straight upset victories. They made 53.7% of their shots on Monday which was the third straight game where they made at least 50.9% of their shots. But the outlier performance in that game was holding Sacramento State to just 32.6% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 20 contests. Idaho has still allowed their last five opponents to shoot 49.4% from the field. They rank 317th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Vandals have played 32 of their last 48 games Over the Total after winning two games in a row against conference rivals. They have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a game that did not see more than 125 combined points. And while that game finished below the 132-point total, they have then played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They stay on the road where they are allowing their opponents to make 48.7% of their shots including 36.4% of their 3-pointers resulting in 74.3 Points-Per-Game. The Vandals have played 7 of their last 9 road games Over the Total. They have played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total as a double-digit underdog including all five of those circumstances this season. They have also played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. Eastern Washington has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams winning 20-40% of their games. They only made 43.1% of their shots on Monday which was the worst shooting effort in their last 12 contests. They did still convert 13 of their 30 shots from behind the arc — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after making 13 or more shots from 3-point range in their last game. The Eagles rank 14th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.1% — and they rank in the top 22 in the nation in both 3-point and 2-point shooting. They face a Vandals team that ranks 332nd in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 53.4%. Eastern Washington also leads the Big Sky Conference in Adjusted Possessions per game and Average Possession Length in conference play. They have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a straight-up win in conference play — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. Additionally, they have played 6 straight home games Over the Total after winning four of their last five games. They return home where they are making 54.7% of their shots and 40.1% of their 3-pointers resulting in 90.1 Points-Per-Game. The Eagles have played 18 of their last 26 games at home Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s.
FINAL TAKE: Idaho wants to avenge a 79-58 loss at home to Eastern Washington as a 7-point home underdog on January 13th — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss at home. 10* CBB Saturday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Idaho Vandals (791) and the Eastern Washington Eagles (792). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-10-24 |
Kennesaw State v. Lipscomb OVER 169.5 |
Top |
95-101 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 5:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Kennesaw State Owls (306605) and the Lipscomb Bisons (306606). THE SITUATION: Kennesaw State (13-11) has lost five games in a row after their 85-69 loss at Austin Peay as a 1-point favorite on Thursday. Lipscomb (15-10) has won two games in a row after their 90-88 win against Queens University as a 7.5-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Owls scored their fewest points in 22 contests in their loss on Thursday. Kennesaw State has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after an upset loss against an Atlantic Sun rival — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. The Owls rank 320th in the Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have given up at least 85 points in five straight games. Kennesaw State has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last game. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in two or more games in a row — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in three straight games. They stay on the road where they are scoring 81.5 Points-Per-Game — but they are allowing their opponents to make 48.0% of their shots including 36.8% of their 3-pointers away from home which is resulting in 86.1 Points-Per-Game. Kennesaw State has played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as an underdog. Lipscomb has scored 81 or more points in seven of their last nine games after nailing 52.2% of their shots on Thursday — and that was the fifth time in their last seven games that have shot 51.7% or better from the field. But the Bisons allowed the Royals to shoot 50% from the field as well which was the fifth time in their last seven games where their opponent shot 50% or better. In their last five games, their opponents are making 50.3% of their shots resulting in 81.4 PPG. Lipscomb has played 7 straight Overs after allowing 80 or more points in their last game — and they have played 5 straight Overs after playing at home where both teams scored at least 75 points. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. They have played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total after a game where 165 or more combined points were scored. On their home court, the Bisons are making 54.8% of their shots and 42.4% of their shots from behind the arc resulting in 91.9 PPG. But they are giving up 77.1 PPG when playing at home where they rank 358th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Furthermore, Lipscomb has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total when favored.
FINAL TAKE: The Total is approaching the 170 mark for good reasons — both of these teams struggled to play defense while Kennesaw State plays at one of the fastest paces in the nation. The Owls lead the nation by only averaging 14.0 seconds per possession. They rank sixth in the nation with 73.9 adjusted average possessions per game — and that mark rises to 76.3 adjusted possessions per game when away from home, ranking second in the nation. Lipscomb plays at above-average pace as well — so they will be happy to accommodate the fast pace given how good they are on offense. The Bisons rank 62nd in the nation by averaging 16.4 seconds per possession. They rank 108th in the nation with 69.0 adjusted possessions per game — and that mark rises to 70.6 adjusted possessions per game when they are playing at home. 25* CBB Atlantic Sun Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Kennesaw State Owls (306605) and the Lipscomb Bisons (306606). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-09-24 |
Dayton v. VCU UNDER 135.5 |
|
47-49 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 16 m |
Show
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At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dayton Flyers (885) and the VCU Rams (886). THE SITUATION: Dayton (19-3) has won three straight games as well as 16 of their last 17 contests after their 94-79 victory at Saint Joseph’s as a 2-point favorite on Tuesday. VCU (15-8) has won two straight games as well as seven of their last eight contests after their 75-60 win at Fordham as a 4-point favorite on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Flyers nailed 56.9% of their shots on Tuesday in what was their best shooting effort of the season. But Dayton has then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last game. They also allowed the Hawks to make 48.4% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 18 contests. The Flyers still rank second in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in conference play — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a double-digit win. Now they stay on the road where they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when favored by up to six points or as a pick ‘em. VCU made 51.0% of their shots on Tuesday which was the best shooting performance in their last 16 contests. And despite holding the Rams to just 38.3% shooting, that was the worst defensive effort in their last four contests. VCU has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning on the road in their last game. They have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after winning two straight games against A-10 rivals. And while they have covered the point spread in two straight games they have then played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in two or more games in a row.
FINAL TAKE: The Flyers have played 4 straight Unders on the road with the Total set in the 130s — and the Rams have played 24 of their last 37 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. 8* CBB Friday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between Dayton Flyers (885) and the VCU Rams (886). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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02-03-24 |
North Dakota State v. North Dakota OVER 147 |
|
58-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 15 m |
Show
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At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota State Bison (709) and the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (710). THE SITUATION: North Dakota State (10-12) has won two of their last three games after their 74-73 upset win in overtime at South Dakota State as a 9.5-point underdog on Thursday. North Dakota (13-10) has won five games in a row after their 95-81 win at South Dakota as a 2.5-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bison rank 16th in the nation by making 38.4% of their shots from behind the arc. North Dakota State has played 4 straight road games Over the Total when playing for the second time in the last three days. They stay on the road where they are allowing their home hosts to make 48.3% of their shots resulting in 80.5 Points-Per-Game. The Bison have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. They have also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total as an underdog. North Dakota has played 10 of their last 12 games at home Over the Total after beating a Summit League rival on the road. They have also played 27 of their last 39 games Over the Total after a win by double-digits against a conference rival. Additionally, the Fighting Hawks have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing on the road in a contest where both teams scored 75 or more points. They have covered the point spread in five straight games — and they have then played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. They have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. They return home where they are making 46.9% of their shots resulting in 81.7 PPG. North Dakota has played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total when favored or a pick ‘em — and they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. The Fighting Hawks have cranked up their scoring lately as they are making 47.7% of their shots in their last five games resulting in 86.0 PPG in those contests — and that is +10.6 PPG and +4.0% above their season averages. But North Dakota’s defense has slipped in those games as they have allowed their last five opponents to make 46.7% of their shots which is +1.9% above their season opponent’s field goal percentage of 44.8%. The Fighting Hawks have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest.
FINAL TAKE: Both these teams struggle on defense — North Dakota and North Dakota State rank 303rd and 313th respectively in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Fighting Hawks have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a losing record. 10* CBB Saturday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota State Bison (709) and the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (710). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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01-26-24 |
Ohio v. Kent State OVER 146.5 |
Top |
71-64 |
Loss |
-116 |
2 h 6 m |
Show
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At 6:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ohio Bobcats (877) and the Kent State Golden Flashes (878). THE SITUATION: Ohio (9-10) had their two-game losing streak snapped in a 67-58 loss at Akron as an 8-point underdog on Tuesday. Kent State (10-9) has won two of their last three games after their 90-84 upset win at Bowling Green in overtime as a 1.5-point underdog on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bobcats only made 38.9% of their shots on Tuesday which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. Ohio still leads the Mid-American Conference with an effective field goal percentage of 54.4% in conference play — so they should shoot better tonight. The Bobcats have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total on the road after failing to cover the point spread. And while they have covered the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Toal after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. It is usually the other end of the court where Ohio struggles — they rank 265th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. In conference play, their opponents are nailing 40.5% of their shots from behind the arc which is the worst mark in the Mid-American Conference. Now they face a Golden Flashes squad that ranks 30th in the nation by making 37.6% of their 3-pointers — and they lead the MAC by nailing 41.0% of their shots from behind the arc in conference play. Kent State takes 22 shots from 3-point land per game — and Ohio has played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total against teams who average 21 or more shots from behind the arc per game. The Bobcats allow their opponents to make 45.3% of their shots resulting in 77.8 Points-Per-Game which is +6.5 PPG above their season average. Ohio has played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total when playing on the road. Kent State held the Falcons to just 43.3% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last six games. The Golden Flashes have allowed at least 76 points in five straight games — and they have then played 16 of their last 22 home games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in two or more games in a row. They have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last contest. Furthermore, while Kent State has only covered the point spread twice in their last six games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. They have also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in the last seven days. They return home where they are making 48.4% of their shots resulting in 84.2 PPG which is +5.7 PPG above their season average. The Golden Flashes have played 7 straight Overs when playing on their home court. They do allow their guests to make 47.4% of their shots resulting in 72.4 PPG which is +2.8 PPG above their season average. Kent State ranks 313th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 53.4% — and that mark has risen to a 55.6% clip in conference play. The Golden Flashes have allowed their last five opponents to make 50.9% of their shots resulting in 80.6 PPG. Ohio shoots 45.7% from the field while taking 24 shots from behind the arc per game. Kent State has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams who make 45% or more of their shots — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams who attempt 21 or more shots from behind the arc per game.
FINAL TAKE: Ohio has played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and the Golden Flashes have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Ohio Bobcats (877) and the Kent State Golden Flashes (878). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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01-25-24 |
Northern Colorado v. Eastern Washington OVER 161.5 |
Top |
74-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 1 m |
Show
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At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Northern Colorado Bears (813) and the Eastern Washington Eagles (814). THE SITUATION: Northern Colorado (11-7) has won two straight games as well as seven of their last eight contests after their 90-61 win against Portland State as a 6.5-point favorite on Sunday. Eastern Washington (11-7) has won seven straight games after their 79-67 victory as a 5.5-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bears have scored 77 or more points in eight straight games — and they have scored 83 or more points five times during that stretch. Northern Colorado has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last game — and they have played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total after scoring 75 or more points in two or more games in a row. Additionally, the Bears have played 6 straight Overs after a win on the road against a Big Sky rival — and they have played 7 straight Overs after a win on the road after a victory on their home court. They have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. And while their victory against the Vikings finished Under the 158.5-point total, they have then played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. The Bears can score points — but they struggle on the other end of the court as they rank 302nd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They go back on the road where they rank 338th in the nation by allowing their opponents to nail 39.2% of their shots from behind the arc. Northern Colorado allows their opponents to make 39.2% of their shots when away from home resulting in 84.5 Points-Per-Game. They do rank 18th in the nation by making 56.5% of their shots inside the arc — and they have a 48.1% field goal percentage on the road resulting in 81.5 PPG. The Bears have played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 9 points. Eastern Washington has scored at least 79 points in each of their seven-game winning streak. The Eagles have played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a win against a Big Sky rival — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a double-digit win. They have also played 18 of their last 23 games Over the Total after winning two or more games in a row against conference foes. They have covered the point spread in nine straight games — and they have then played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three or more games in a row. Eastern Washington ranks seventh in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.8%. They rank tenth in the nation by making 39.9% of their 3-pointers — and that mark rises to an incredible 54.5% clip behind the arc when playing at home which is the highest mark in the nation for home-court 3-point shooting. The Eagles make 56.8% of their shots at home resulting in 93.8 PPG. Eastern Washington has played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points. Northern Colorado averages eight made 3s per game — and the Eagles have played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total against teams who make eight or more 3s per game. Eastern Washington averages nine made 3s per game — and the Bears have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total against teams who make eight or more 3s per game.
FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams play at a fast pace. The Eagles rank 61st in the nation by averaging 16.3 seconds per possession — and they rank 76th in the country with 70.1 adjusted possessions per game. Northern Colorado is even quicker as they rank 30th in the nation by averaging 15.7 seconds per possession — and they rank 52nd in the country by averaging 71.0 adjusted possessions per game. The Bears have played 29 of their last 43 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB Big Sky Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Northern Colorado Bears (813) and the Eastern Washington Eagles (814). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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01-24-24 |
Chattanooga v. Wofford OVER 147.5 |
Top |
79-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
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At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chattanooga Mocs (695) and the Wofford Terriers (696). THE SITUATION: Chattanooga (12-7) has won two straight games as well as four of their last five after their 81-74 win at East Tennessee State as a pick ‘em on Sunday. Wofford (11-8) had their three-game winning streak snapped in an 82-59 loss at UNC-Greensboro as a 6-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Mocs scored at least 80 points for the eighth time this season with their victory over the weekend. Chattanooga has played 19 of their 27 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games — and they have played 21 of their last 28 games on the road Over the Total when playing for the second time in seven days. This is a game against two teams who love to launch 3s — and both squads average 10 made 3s per game. The Mocs rank third in the nation by taking 50.7% of their shots from behind the arc. They are making 48.2% of their shots in their last five contests. They rank 82nd in the nation by making 35.2% of their 3-pointers away from home — they are scoring 77.2 Points-Per-Game overall on the road. But Chattanooga’s defense falters on the road — they are allowing their opponents to nail 45.4% of their shots away from home resulting in 80.1 PPG which is +9.6 PPG above their season average. The Mocs have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when favored on the road up to six points. They have also played 7 of their last 11 road games Over the Total with the Total set from 145 to 149.5. Wofford has played 16 of their last 20 games Over the Total against opponents who make at least 8 3-pointers per game. The Terriers have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road to a Southern Conference rival — and they have played 7 straight Overs after a point spread loss. They have played 14 of their last 17 home games Over the Total after a double-digit loss on the road — and they have played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total after a loss by 20 or more points. Additionally, they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after allowing 80 or more points — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing for the second time in the last seven days. Wofford ranks 31st in the nation by taking 44.6% of their shots from behind the arc — and the Mocs have played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total on the road against teams who average at least 8 or more 3s per game. The Terriers only made 37.7% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games and tied for the lowest shooting performance in their last 14 contests. They return home where they rank 41st in the nation by nailing 40.2% of their 3-pointers. They are nailing 49.2% of their shots at home resulting in 85.7 PPG which is +8.1 PPG above their season average. Wofford has played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 8 straight home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Defense is an issue for the Terriers who have allowed their last five opponents to make 48.2% of their shots. They also rank 330th in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 36.9% of their 3-pointers — and their guests are nailing 37.3% of their shots from behind the arc when playing at home.
FINAL TAKE: Wofford has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total as an underdog. 25* CBB Southern Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Chattanooga Mocs (695) and the Wofford Terriers (696). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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01-13-24 |
Pepperdine v. San Diego OVER 150.5 |
Top |
83-77 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
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At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pepperdine Wave (793) and the San Diego Toreros (794). THE SITUATION: Pepperdine (8-10) snapped their two-game with a 93-78 victory against Pacific as a 12.5-point favorite on Thursday. San Diego (10-8) has lost three games in a row after their 83-63 loss at home to San Francisco as a 10-point underdog on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wave was never a good defensive team this season — and they are getting crushed on that end of the court now that conference play has started. Pepperdine has allowed at least 78 points in each of their last three games in conference action — and West Coast Conference opponents are nailing 51.5% of their shots resulting in 80.7 Points-Per-Game. The Wave ranks 252nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rank 333rd in the nation with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 54.2%. Their biggest weakness is defending the perimeter as their opponents are making 37.1% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 336th in the nation. Pepperdine has played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in their last game — and they have played 32 of their last 49 games Over the Total on the road after allowing 75 or more points in three straight contests. The Wave have also played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home where they scored 85 or more points. Pepperdine can score with points — Michael Ajayi leads the WCC in scoring while Houston Mallet has potential NBA talent. The Wave is making 45.6% of their shots in conference play resulting in a respectable 75.6 PPG. But now they go back on the road where their home hosts make 54.6% of their shots including 36.4% of their 3-pointers resulting in 85.3 PPG. Pepperdine has played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total on the road. They have also played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total in conference play. San Diego has played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a loss at home to a conference rival — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a loss at home by double-digits. The Toreros have allowed their last three opponents to make 51.7% or more of their shots — and they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing two straight opponents to make 50% or more of their shots. San Diego is not a great defensive team either — they rank 169th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and they are perhaps now getting exposed in conference play. In their first three games against West Coast Conference rivals, they are allowing them to make 53.9% of their shots resulting in 88.3 PPG. The Toreros play in high-possession games as well — they rank 41st in the nation with 72.1 adjusted possessions per game. Their opponents only average 16.1 seconds per possession with the ball which is the sixth quickest in the nation. San Diego is scoring 73.4 PPG at home — and they should be able to make 3-pointers against this Waves perimeter defense since they rank 112th in the nation by making 35.1% of their shots from behind the arc. The Toreros have played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 11 of their last 17 home games Over the Total as a dog.
FINAL TAKE: San Diego won both meetings last season with both games seeing 165 and 181 combined points scored. Pepperdine has played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. 25* CBB West Coast Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Pepperdine Wave (793) and the San Diego Toreros (794). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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12-29-23 |
Washington State v. Utah UNDER 144.5 |
Top |
58-80 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 50 m |
Show
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At 8:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (871) and the Utah Utes (872). THE SITUATION: Washington State (9-2) has won seven of their last eight games after their 66-61 victory against Boise State as a 2.5-point favorite on December 21st. Utah (9-2) has won six games in a row with their 85-43 win against Bellarmine as a 20.5-point favorite on December 20th.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cougars have played 18 of their last 22 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. They play stout defense for head coach Kyle Smith — they are holding their opponents to 37.3% shooting resulting in 62.5 Points-Per-Game. Washington State will slow this game down — they average 17.3 seconds per possession, ranking 179th in Adjusted Pace while their opponents take 18.0 seconds per possession, ranking 302nd in Adjusted Pace. The Cougars rank fifth in the nation in Opponent’s Effective Field Goal Percentage of 42.5% — and they rank in the top-19 in the country in opponent 3-point shooting and 2-point shooting. They also rank 21st in the nation by holding their opponents to pulling down only 23.7% of their missed shots. And their block rate of 15.5% of their opponent’s shot attempts ranks 12th in the country. Washington State has been a bit unlucky with their opponents’ free throws as well — their opponents have made 76.5% of their shots at the charity stripe, ranking 342nd in the nation. The Utes only make 71.3% of their free throws, so the Cougars should get some points back in that area tonight. Overall, Washington State ranks 35th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rise to 24th in the nation in that metric when playing away from home with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency mark of 93.8. But while the Cougars rank 89th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, they drop to 197th in that category when away from home with a 101.6 efficiency mark. The 67.2 PPG they score away from home is a -10.2 net PPG drop from their overall average. Washington State has played 16 of their last 20 games Under the Total in December — and they have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Utah has played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a win at home. They have also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a double-digit win at home — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a win by 15 or more points. They rank 22nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they drop by -1.6 adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing at home where they rank 56th in the nation. But the Utes are holding their opponents to 37.8% shooting resulting in 63.2 PPG with their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency ranking 38th in the nation — and that ranking improving to 20th in the country with that mark lowering to 89.8. Utah ranks eighth in the nation in Opponent’s Free Throw Rate. The Utes have held their last three opponents to no better than 37.5% shooting — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing three straight opponents to shoot better than 40%.
FINAL TAKE: Utah has played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and Washington State has played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams winning 75% or more of their games. 25* CBB Pac-12 Total of the Month is with Under the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (871) and the Utah Utes (872). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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12-19-23 |
New Mexico State v. Stephen F Austin OVER 144.5 |
|
72-75 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 37 m |
Show
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At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Mexico State Aggies (625) and the Stephen F. Austin (626). THE SITUATION: New Mexico State (5-7) has lost two of their last three games with their 73-72 loss to New Mexico as a 14.5-point underdog on Friday. Stephen F. Austin (5-5) has lost four of their last five games after their 78-70 upset loss at Wyoming as a 2-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Aggies have been one of the worst defensive teams in the nation so far this season. They rank 289th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They rank 318th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 54.5% — and their perimeter defense has been the biggest issue with their opponents nailing 39.4% of their shots from 3-point range, ranking 351st in the nation. New Mexico State also ranks 318th in defensive foul rate with their opponents sporting a 54.5% free throw attempt to field goal attempt ratio. The Aggies go back on the road where they are allowing their opponents to 49.1% shooting resulting in 89.2 Points-Per-Game. They have played 3 of their last 4 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 145-149.5 point range. On the other end of the court, New Mexico State has been playing better as they are making 50.7% of their shots resulting in 75.6 PPG. The best thing the Aggies do on offense is get to the free throw line — they rank 47th in the nation with a free throw attempt rate to field goal attempt rate of 39.7%. Now they play a Lumberjacks team that ranks 355th in the nation with a defensive free rate ratio of 50.6%. New Mexico State has played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss where they covered the point spread as an underdog. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total as an underdog. Stephen F. Austin has played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after an upset loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road. The Lumberjacks have also played 18 of their last 23 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 22 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a point-spread loss. Furthermore, Stephen F. Austin has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after losing two games in a row — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after losing three of their last four games. The Lumberjacks are struggling on offense — but they should get plenty of second-chance scoring opportunities tonight. They rank 70th in the nation by pulling down 33.8% of their missed shots — and now they face an Aggies team that allows their opponents to rebound 30.9% of their missed shots, ranking 217th in the nation. Stephen F. Austin returns home where they have played 6 straight Overs against teams with a losing record — and they have played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite. They have also played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite in all situations.
FINAL TAKE: The Lumberjacks have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. And while Stephen F. Austin is outscoring their opponents by +4.1 PPG, the Aggies have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +4.0 or more PPG. 10* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the New Mexico State Aggies (625) and the Stephen F. Austin (626). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-10-23 |
Michigan v. Iowa OVER 158 |
Top |
90-80 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 4:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Michigan Wolverines (855) and the Iowa Hawkeyes (856). THE SITUATION: Michigan (4-5) has lost three straight games as well as five of their last six contests after a 78-75 upset loss at home to Indiana as a 6.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Iowa (5-4) has lost two games in a row after their 90-65 loss at Iowa State as an 8-point underdog on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: After opening the season by playing good team defense, the play on that end of the court has fallen apart for the Wolverines. After the Hoosiers made 51.7 of their shots against them, Michigan has allowed four of their last six opponents to make at least 50.0% of their shots. Their last five opponents are making 48.0% of their shots which is resulting in 77.2 Points-Per-Game. The Wolverines rank 131st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The weakest link has been their perimeter defense as their opponents are nailing 39.2% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 349th in the nation. Michigan has remained competitive in most of their games because of their balanced offensive attack. They rank 26th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency based on their balanced scoring attack — they rank 18th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.7%. They are making 49.1% of their shots including 37.0% of their shots from behind the arc to generate 81.2 PPG. The Wolverines have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after losing two or more games in a row. They have failed to cover the point spread in three straight games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not covering the point spread in three or more games in a row. And while this is Michigan’s second game since last Saturday, they have played 28 of their latest 39 games Over the Total when playing for the second time in seven days. Iowa only made 38.6% of their shots against the Cyclones — and that was on the heels of their 38.5% shooting effort at Purdue in their previous game. The Cyclones have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. And while Iowa State has not covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in two or more games in a row. They return home where they are making 51.1% of their shots including 39.2% of their 3-pointers which is resulting in 99.7 PPG. Facing the porous Wolverines' defense may be just what the doctor ordered for this Hawkeyes team that ranks 18th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. But Iowa struggles on the other end of the court where they rank 147th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have allowed their last five opponents to make 46.7% of their shots which has resulted in those five opponents to average 81.2 PPG. The Hawkeyes have played 16 of their last 21 home games Over the Total after a game where 155 or more combined points were scored. They have also played 16 of their last 21 home games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Iowa has played 9 of their last 10 home games Over the Total in Big Ten play — and Michigan has played 30 of their last 42 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 6 points. 25* CBB Big Ten Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Michigan Wolverines (855) and the Iowa Hawkeyes (856). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-17-23 |
San Diego State v. St. Mary's UNDER 131 |
|
79-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 12 m |
Show
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At 9:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (877) and the Saint Mary’s Gaels (878). THE SITUATION: San Diego State (2-1) rebounded from their loss to BYU with an 88-76 victory against Long Beach State as a 13.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Saint Mary’s (2-1) lost their first game of the season in a 61-57 loss to Weber State as a 15.5-point favorite on Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas for the Continental Tires Main Event.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Aztecs beat the Beach despite allowing them to make 50.0% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have allowed so far this season. This team consistently is one of the best defensive teams in the nation under head coach Brian Dutcher. They currently rank 15th in the Adjusted Defensive Efficiency even after that game on Tuesday. San Diego State has played 21 of their last 32 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 33 of their last 48 games Under the Total after a win at home where they scored 85 or more points. They have also played 10 of the last 12 games Under the Total as an underdog. Saint Mary’s offense stalled against the Wildcats on Sunday as they scored only eight points in the final ten minutes of that game. After ranking 44th in the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency last season, the Gaels rank only 77th in that metric so far this season. But this team will continue to play tough defense for head coach Randy Bennett — they rank 27th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Their ability to stop their opponents starts with their size in the middle with seven-footer Harry Wessels and 6’10 Mitchell Saxen who will contend for the West Coast Conference Defensive Player of the Year award. Saint Mary’s has played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite. They did outrebound Weber State by a 41-26 margin — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after outrebounding their last opponent by +15 or more boards. They have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in the last eight days. As always under Bennett, this team plays at a slow pace — the Gaels rank 330th in the nation with adjusted tempo of just 66.9 possessions per game.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams played on a neutral court last December 10th with the Gaels winning by a 68-61 score with the Total set at 126.5. The Aztecs are replacing their leading scorer from last season Matt Bradley who led them with 13 points in that game. San Diego State has played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court with the Total set from 130 to 139.5. 10* CBB Friday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (877) and the Saint Mary’s Gaels (878). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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11-14-23 |
Kentucky v. Kansas UNDER 149 |
|
84-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 44 m |
Show
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At 9:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kentucky Wildcats (663) and the Kansas Jayhawks (664). THE SITUATION: Kentucky (2-0) has won their opening two games of the season after their 81-61 victory against Texas A&M Commerce as a 29-point favorite on Friday. Kansas (2-0) has won their first two games of the season with their 99-61 victory at home against Manhattan as a 36-point favorite on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats have a young team with an average age of 19 years old. After two warmups against New Mexico State by an 86-46 score before their triumph on Friday, the challenge gets much stronger tonight against a national championship contender. Kentucky has played 23 of their last 33 games Under the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points at home. Furthermore, the Wildcats have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread as the favorite — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up win at home where they did not cover the point spread as the favorite. Additionally, Kentucky has played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring 80 or more points in two straight contests. The Wildcats' lack of size may cause some trouble for them when trying to score against this veteran Jayhawks team that ranks fourth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Head coach John Calipari brought in the top-ranked freshman class this year which includes two intriguing point guards in D.J. Wagner and Rob Dillingham — but this contest will test their cohesion since they are both shoot-first guards who are used to having the ball in their hands. Calipari does have his young team playing good defense — they rank 27th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are only taking 39.4% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 137th in the nation — and now they face a Kansas team that ranks 12th in the nation by limiting their opponents to 38.2% shooting inside the arc. The Jayhawks have looked sharp on offense so far this season — and they have made 10 and 13 shots from behind the arc in their opening two games. Jayhawks nation is excited about Hunter Dickinson transferring over from Michigan — but they may be overrating the seven-footers shooting ability from behind the arc. Head coach Bill Self has to figure out how to best deploy Dickinson either inside or outside — and this game may present some growing pains in that learning curve. Kansas did struggle with their offense in the preseason against Illinois and Fort Hays. They have played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total after nailing 10 or more 3-pointers in two straight games. And while the Jayhawks have seen 155 or more combined points in two straight games, they have then played 40 of their last 63 games Under the Total after playing two games in a row where 155 or more combined points were scored.
FINAL TAKE: Calipari does not have his young team running and gunning as they rank 263rd in the nation in adjusted possessions per game. The Wildcats' defense is holding their opponents to averaging 20.3 seconds per possession which is the 355th slowest opponent tempo in the nation. The Jayhawks’ opponents are averaging 18.9 seconds per possession which ranks 315th slowest in the nation. These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total after Kansas’ 77-68 upset victory as a 2.5-point underdog on January 28th. 10* CBB Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Kentucky Wildcats (663) and the Kansas Jayhawks (664). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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11-10-23 |
Tennessee v. Wisconsin UNDER 133 |
|
80-70 |
Loss |
-106 |
3 h 59 m |
Show
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At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Volunteers (861) and the Wisconsin Badgers (862). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (1-0) opened their season with an 80-42 win against Tennessee Tech as a 32.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Wisconsin (1-0) tipped off their season with a 105-76 victory against Arkansas State as a 14-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Both of these teams come off big offensive efforts recently — but these remain two teams who typically play at slow paces. Wisconsin averaged 19.7 seconds per possession last year, ranking 349th slowest in the nation last season. On defense, their opponents averaged 18.3 seconds per possession, ranking 322nd slowest in the nation. Overall, the Badgers ranked 337th in Adjusted Tempo last year. Tennessee ranked 288th in Adjusted Tempo last season with their offense ranking 247th on offense and 279th on defense. The Volunteers made some waves with their high-scoring 89-89 exhibition victory at Michigan State back on September 10th — and their offense was on display with their victory on Wednesday. But Tennessee has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last game — and they have played a decisive 54 of their last 86 games Under the Total after a win at home by 20 or more points. And while the Volunteers raced out to a 41-12 halftime lead, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after taking a 20 or more point lead at halftime in their last contest. Don’t overlook the defensive effort of Tennessee on Wednesday as they held the Golden Eagles to just 27.5% shooting. The Volunteers have become one of the best defensive teams in the nation under head coach Rich Barnes. After ranking fifth and then third in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in 2020-21 and 2021-22, Tennessee led the nation in that metric last season. Defense travels — and the Volunteers have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total on the road when favored or as a pick ‘em. They have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total when favored by six points or less or as a pick ‘em. Wisconsin reached the century mark in points for the first time since December 13th, 2018 with their victory against the Red Wolves on Wednesday. The Badgers had not even reached 90 points since November 27th, 2020. Their scoring outburst may have more to do with Arkansas State’s frenetic style of play under new head coach Bryan Hodgson who previously served as an assistant under Alabama head coach Nate Oaks who pushes the pace. The Red Wolves' defense was reckless at times in that game as well — they are a team that needs to work some things out on that end of the court. Wisconsin nailed 6 of their 12 shots from behind the arc in that game — but they have played 51 of their last 82 games Under the Total after a game where they made 50% or more of their 3-pointers. And while they took a 56-41 lead into halftime, the Badgers have then played 5 straight Unders after holding a 15 or more-point lead at halftime of their last game. They have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored 75 or more points. Wisconsin is a strong defensive team as well under head coach Greg Guard — they ranked 14th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency last season. They stay at home where they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130 to 134.5 point range — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em.
FINAL TAKE: Tennessee is known for getting into rock fights against quality non-conference opponents — they beat Maryland by a 56-53 score last December and lost in overtime to Texas Tech by a 57-52 score two years ago. The Volunteers have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and the Badgers have played 6 of their last 9 home games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 10* CBB Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Volunteers (861) and the Wisconsin Badgers (862). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-03-23 |
San Diego State v. Connecticut UNDER 133.5 |
|
59-76 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 18 m |
Show
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At 9:20 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (711) and the Connecticut Huskies (712) in the National Championship Game of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: San Diego State (32-6) has won nine games in a row after their 72-71 win against Florida Atlantic as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. UConn (30-8) has won five games in a row — and 11 of their last 12 — after their 72-59 victory against Miami (FL) as a 6-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at NRG Stadium.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Diego State saw FAU make 9 of their 22 shots from 3-point range and 44.2% overall on Saturday. That was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in the Aztecs’ last seven games. San Diego State still ranks third in the nation by holding their opponents to 28.1% shooting from 3-point range. Creighton missed 15 of their 17 shots from behind the arc against them in the Elite Eight after Alabama missed 24 of their 27 shots from 3-point land. The Aztecs have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. San Diego State is susceptible to scoring droughts. They have not scored more than 75 points in ten straight games — and they have scored 64 or fewer points in six of those contests. They are only making 33.3% of their 3-pointers in this tournament — so a hot shooting night from outside the arc is unlikely. The Aztecs take many of their shots from the midrange — and now they play a UConn team that ranks sixth in the nation by holding their last ten opponents on the road to 42.9% shooting inside the arc. The Huskies held the Hurricanes to just 32% shooting and below 60 points despite them ranking sixth in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They stymied Gonzaga to just 54 points despite the Bulldogs leading the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. UConn has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory.
FINAL TAKE: UConn has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. San Diego State has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 27 of their last 36 games Under the Total played on a neutral court. 10* CBB San Diego State-UConn CBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (711) and the Connecticut Huskies (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-01-23 |
Miami-FL v. Connecticut UNDER 149.5 |
|
59-72 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 44 m |
Show
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At 8:49 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (703) and the Connecticut Huskies (704) in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Miami (FL) (29-7) has won six of their last seven games after their 88-81 upset victory against Texas a 3.5-point underdog on Sunday. UConn (29-8) has won 10 of their last 11 games after their 82-54 win against Gonzaga as a 2.5-point favorite last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at NRG Stadium in Houston.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes nailed 59.2% of their shots against the Longhorns in what was the best shooting effort in their last 20 games. Miami (FL) has pulled off three straight upsets against Indiana, Houston, and then Texas while scoring at least 85 points and making at least 48.6% of their shots in each of those games. But the Hurricanes only make 46.6% of their shots away from home which generates 76.2 Points-Per-Game — so I am expecting a visit from the Regression Gods for this team. Miami (FL) has played 6 straight Unders after scoring 75 or more points in three straight games. They also allowed the Longhorns to shoot 50% from the field which was the worst defensive effort in their last four games. They have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest. The Hurricanes have been playing better defense on the road this season. They are holding their opponents to a decisive -11.2 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing away from home. And when playing away from home, the Hurricanes score -2.9 fewer points per 100 possessions. UConn has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They have also played 18 of their last 26 games on the road Under the Total after a double-digit victory. And while the Huskies have covered the point spread in four straight games, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three straight games. UConn should slow down the Hurricanes' offensive attack since they rank 8th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road — and they rank 8th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road in their last ten games.
FINAL TAKE: Miami (FL) has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. UConn has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on a neutral court. 10* CBB Miami (FL)-UConn CBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (703) and the Connecticut Huskies (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-01-23 |
Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132 |
Top |
71-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 1 m |
Show
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At 6:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida Atlantic Owls (701) and the San Diego State Aztecs (702) in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Florida Atlantic (35-3) has won 11 games in a row after their 79-76 upset victory against Kansas State as a 1-point underdog last Saturday. San Diego State (31-6) has won eight games in a row after their 57-56 upset win against Creighton as a 2.5-point underdog on Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at NRG Stadium in Houston.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: FAU made 48.1% of their shots against the Wildcats which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. And they allowed Kansas State to nail 46.6% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 12 contests. The Owls have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total when playing with five or six days between contests. FAU is a good defensive team that ranks 30th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They hold their opponents to -1.4 fewer points per 100 possessions when they are playing on the road — and they rank 19th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their last ten games away from home. But the Owls score -4.2 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing away from home as well. And they are very dependent on making 3-point shots with 44.0% of their shots from the field coming from behind the arc, ranking 35th in the nation. They are a similar but not quite as dynamic opponent as Alabama — and the Aztecs coaxed the Crimson Tide into missing 24 of their 27 shots from 3-point range in the Sweet Sixteen and a 32.4% field goal percentage overall. Alabama ranked 344th in the nation in terms of consistency from game to game going into that contest with San Diego State — and FAU is not much better with their consistency rating being 219th in the nation. The Aztecs usually have a strong defense — but this year’s team has taken things to another level. They have not allowed more than 64 points in eight straight games. The Bluejays made 40% of their shots against them which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have surrendered in eight games with their previous six opponents not making more than 38.6% of their shots against them. San Diego State is a physical team that plays elite-level defense. They will slow the pace to a crawl — using “math” to their advantage by limiting FAU’s scoring chances and letting the pressure of the moment kick in for this mid-major Cinderella. The Aztecs are loaded with experience with three seniors and two juniors in the starting lineup with depth on the bench. Despite their opponents attempting 40.1% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 282nd in the nation, these shots are only falling at a 27.8% rate which is the second-best mark in the nation. In their last ten games on the road, not only does San Diego State hold their opponents to 22.2% shooting from behind the arc, they lead the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Owls average 10 made 3s per game — and the Aztecs have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams who average eight or more made 3s per game. San Diego State not only plays with a deliberate pace on offense but their opponents take 18.5 seconds per possession, ranking as the 345th slowest in the nation. The Aztecs have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 straight Unders after a point spread victory. Furthermore, they have played 24 of their last 36 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game — and they have played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after holding five or more straight opponents to no higher than 40% shooting from the field. But a concern for San Diego State is that their scoring fall by -5.5 points per 100 possessions when they are playing on the road. They have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games.
FINAL TAKE: FAU has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. San Diego State has played 7 straight Unders on a neutral court with the Total set in the 130s. 25* CBB Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Florida Atlantic Owls (701) and the San Diego State Aztecs (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-30-23 |
UAB v. North Texas OVER 127.5 |
Top |
61-68 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
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At 9:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (665) and the North Texas Mean Green (666) in the Championship Game of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: UAB (29-9) has won four in a row — and 12 of their last 13 contests — after their 88-86 win in overtime as a 4.5-point favorite on Tuesday. North Texas (30-7) has won four in a row — and seven of their last eight contests — with their 56-54 win against Wisconsin as a 1.5-point favorite on Tuesday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: UAB has seen the Over go 30-14-1 in their last 45 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 31 of their last 44 games Over the Total on the road after winning five or six of their last seven games. They have played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest. Additionally, with that game with the Wolverines finishing Over the 151-point Total, the Blazers have played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a game where 155 or more combined points were scored. UAB scores +1.1 points per 100 possessions when on the road versus when they are playing at home — but they are also giving up +3.1 points per 100 possessions when away from home as opposed to when they are playing at home. The Blazers have also played 15 of their last 23 games Over the Total against conference opponents. North Texas has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point-spread win. They have also played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total on the road after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The Mean Green have not allowed more than 59 points in their last four games — but they have then played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 65 points four straight games. North Texas plays outstanding defense — and they combine those skills by playing at a crawl’s pace. But the Mean Green allows +3.5 more points per 100 possessions when playing away from home. They are also scoring +2.7 more points per 100 possessions in their last ten games on the road versus their season average on the road. They are playing smaller lineups and at a quicker pace in this tournament with 6’10 Abou Ousmane now away from the team. North Texas has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road when playing for just the second time in the last seven days — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games.
FINAL TAKE: This is the fourth meeting between these two teams — with each game seeing a steady increase in scoring. North Texas won the first game between these teams on January 21st with a 63-52 victory. They then won the rematch on February 29th by an 82-79 score in double-overtime that had a 62-62 score after regulation. UAB avenged those two losses in the Conference USA Semifinals with a 76-69 victory on March 10th. That game was played on a neutral court where the Blazers have now played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total. 25* CBB NIT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (665) and the North Texas Mean Green (666). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-28-23 |
Wisconsin v. North Texas OVER 114.5 |
|
54-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (661) and the North Texas Mean Green (662) in the Semifinals of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Wisconsin (20-14) is on a three-game winning streak after their 61-58 upset victory as a 1.5-point underdog at Oregon last Tuesday. North Texas (29-7) has won six of their last seven games with their 65-59 upset win in overtime at Oklahoma State as a 4.5-point underdog last Tuesday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Wisconsin pulled the upset against the Ducks despite making only 33.3% of their shots in that which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games — and it is tied for the lowest field goal percentage in their last 18 contests. And on the other hand, the Badgers have allowed their last ten opponents on the road to score +4.6 more points per 100 possessions than their seasonal mark. While Wisconsin ranks 13th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road, that mark drops to 44th in the nation in their last ten games away from home. The Badgers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. North Texas only made 35.4% of their shots last week in their win against the Cowboys which was the worst shooting effort in their last three games. The Over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a point-spread victory. The Mean Green held Oklahoma State to just 17 points in the first half in that game — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after holding their previous opponent to no more than 25 points in the first half.
FINAL TAKE: North Texas has a stout defense but they are allowing +4.1 adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road versus on their home court — and that mark rises another +2.0 adjusted points per 100 possessions in their last ten games on the road. 8* CBB Wisconsin-North Texas ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (661) and the North Texas Mean Green (662). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-26-23 |
Miami-FL v. Texas UNDER 150 |
Top |
88-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 5:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (655) and the Texas Longhorns (656) in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Miami (FL) (28-7) has won five of their last six games after their 89-75 upset victory against Houston as an 8-point underdog on Friday. Texas (29-8) has won seven games in a row with their 83-71 victory against Xavier as a 4-point favorite on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Miami converted on 11 of their 25 (44%) shots from 3-point range en route to a 51.7% shooting percentage in that game which was the best effort in their last four games. But now they play a stout Longhorns defense that has played three opponents in this Big Dance that entered the game with a top-ten shooting percentage from behind the arc yet held those three foes to 18 of 60 (30%) shooting from 3-point range. The Hurricanes only made 30.2% of their shots in their opening game against Drake — so clunkers are in the repertoire. As it is, Miami has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last game — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a game where 155 or more combined points were scored. The Hurricanes have pulled off two straight upset wins after their 85-69 win against Indiana last Sunday — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games on the road Under the Total after scoring 75 or more points in two straight games. They have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in two games in a row — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games after two straight upset wins. Miami’s scoring drops by 3.8 points per 100 possessions when they play away from home. But the dirty little secret about this Hurricanes team is how much better their defense has been when playing on the road. Not only are they allowing 11.7 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road in hostile environments or neutral courts, but they are also giving up -12.8 fewer points per 100 possessions in their last ten games on the road versus their defensive efficiency at home — and their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on the road in their last ten games ranks 22nd in the nation. Two reasons for this improved play on defense: Miami is limiting their opponents to pulling down only 23.4% of their missed shots, ranking 24th in the nation, and their defensive foul rate ranks 11th in the nation in those last ten games. Texas has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight Unders after a point-spread win. And while they have covered the point spread in seven of their last eight games, they have then played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. There is some conventional wisdom out there that this Longhorns team wants to play at a fast pace — and that interim head coach Rodney Terry has pushed the pace more since taking over for Chris Beard. The numbers simply do not bare this out. Texas ranks 115th in the nation by averaging 68.5 adjusted possessions per game. In their last ten games, that number drops to 67.5 adjusted possessions per game. There were 72 mutual possessions on Friday against the Musketeers — but their two previous games in the Big Dance had 64 possessions apiece after playing three games in the Big 12 tournament where no more than 68 possessions were played. Does Miami want to push the pace? Maybe — but that will be difficult against a Longhorns’ defense that ranks third in the nation in transition defense. The Hurricanes have averaged 69.7 adjusted possessions in their last ten games on the road. But here are some numbers that scream out to me: Texas scores -7.2 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. They also hold their opponents to -3.7 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing away from home, ranking fourth best in the nation. And in their last ten games overall, the Longhorns boast the second-best defense in terms of Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in the nation.
FINAL TAKE: Texas has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on a neutral court. The Longhorns have also played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total in the NCAA Tournament. Miami (FL) has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the Big Dance. 25* CBB Elite Eight Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (655) and the Texas Longhorns (656). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-26-23 |
Creighton v. San Diego State UNDER 135 |
|
56-57 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 60 m |
Show
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At 2:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Bluejays (657) and the San Diego State Aztecs (658) in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Creighton (24-12) has won six of their last seven games with their 86-75 victory against Princeton as a 10-point favorite on Friday. San Diego State (30-6) has won seven games in a row after their 71-64 win against Alabama as a 6.5-point underdog on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky.
REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Diego State found themselves down 48-39 with just 11:30 minutes left in the second half to a Crimson Tide team that many observers considered the best team in the country. But head coach Brian Dutcher called on his team to rededicate themselves to their efforts on defense to then create scoring opportunities — and the Aztecs went on a 12-0 run to seize control of that game. They held the heavily reliant Alabama scoring attack to just 3 of 21 shooting from behind the arc and a 32.4% field goal percentage overall. In the end, they held an Alabama team that was scoring 82.3 Points-Per-Game to more than 18 points below their season average. They have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 straight Unders after a point spread victory. San Diego State usually has a strong defense — but this year’s team has taken things to another level. They have held seven straight opponents to no better than a 38.6% shooting percentage — and they have not allowed more than 64 points in those seven games. San Diego State ranks fourth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rank third in the nation by limiting their opponents to 28.1% shooting from behind the arc. Their defense leads the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their last ten games away from home. Creighton made 58.2% of their shots on Friday in their victory against Princeton — but that was the best shooting effort in their last 12 games. They have benefited from a relatively easy road to the Elite Eight against NC State, Baylor, and then the Ivy League champions. Only the Wolfpack rank in the top 100 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are just 82nd in the nation in that metric. This is a very steep step in competition for the Bluejays when they have the basketball. San Diego State outrebounds their opponents by +4.6 rebounds per game — and Creighton has played 15 of their last 21 games after 15 games into the season Under the Total against opponents who out-refund their opponents by +4.0 or more RPG. The Bluejays play a similar drop-coverage style on defense as the Aztecs that should have success. Creighton has the second lowest-foul rate in the nation — and they are 11th in the nation by limiting their opponents to rebounding 23.2% of their missed shots.
FINAL TAKE: San Diego State has played 5 of their last 7 games in the NCAA Tournament Under the Total. 8* CBB Creighton-San Diego State CBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Bluejays (657) and the San Diego State Aztecs (658). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-25-23 |
Connecticut v. Gonzaga UNDER 154 |
|
82-54 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 8:49 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Connecticut Huskies (653) and the Gonzaga Bulldogs (654) in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Connecticut (28-8) has won three in a row and nine of their last ten games with their 88-65 victory against Arkansas as a 3.5-point favorite on Thursday. Gonzaga (31-5) has won 12 games in a row after their 79-76 win against UCLA as a closing-line pick ‘em on Thursday. This game is being played on a neutral court at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: UConn outclassed the Razorbacks by making 57.4% of their shots and holding Arkansas to just 31.7% shooting. The Huskies have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total after playing a game where they shot 55% or better from the field while holding their opponent to no better than 43% shooting. That 57.4% field goal percentage was the best shooting effort in their last 25 games — so regression is likely. UConn ranks 13th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they maintain that ranking when playing away from home. They have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing on the road for the second time in three days. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. Gonzaga survived a UCLA team that did not have the 6’10 Adem Bona suit-up due to his bum shoulder (although Bona did play 21 minutes in his previous game after missing the two prior contests). The Bulldogs were able to control the offensive glass by pulling down 16 offensive rebounds representing 45.7% of their missed shots. If Bona plays, those second chances on offense go down significantly. Gonzaga leads the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they do score -3.5 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. They also hold their opponents to -1.5 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road in hostile environments or neutral courts. With the Total set in the 150s, it does not take many scoring lulls to impact the scoring pace to get an Under.
FINAL TAKE: Gonzaga has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. 8* CBB UConn-Gonzaga TBS O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-24-23 |
Miami-FL v. Houston UNDER 140 |
Top |
89-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 7:15 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (643) and the Houston Cougars (644) in the Sweet Sixteen of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Miami (FL) (27-7) has won four of their last five games after their 85-69 upset win against Indiana as a 1.5-point underdog on Sunday. Houston (33-3) has won 15 of their last 16 games with their 81-64 victory against Auburn as a 5.5-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes shot 48.6% of their shots against the Hoosiers in their best shooting effort in their last three games. They also pulled down 19 offensive rebounds which led to 29 second-chance points. That level of productivity is not likely to continue tonight against this Cougars team that holds their opponents to 27.9% shooting in the midrange. Miami (FL) has played 19 of their last 29 road games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last game. And while that game finished Over the 145-point total installed for that game, they have then played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. The Hurricanes do see their scoring drop by -5.5 points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. But while defense seems to be the weakness of head coach Larranaga’s team, they do give up -11.8 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road on neutral courts or in hostile environments. And Larranaga has his team peaking on defense at this point of the season. Miami (FL) ranks 22nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their last ten games on the road. The improvement is sharpest in defensive rebounding with their last ten opponents away from home rebounding only 24.7% of their missed shots, ranking 50th in the nation. Miami also ranks ninth in the nation in defensive foul rate in their last ten games on the road. Houston might have played their best 20 minutes of the season in the second half against Auburn by scoring a whopping 41 points against the stout Tigers’ defense. But the defense played a big role in that final 20 minutes as they held Auburn to just four baskets on 17% shooting from the field. The Cougars have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last game. Houston is scoring -3.7 fewer points per 100 possessions on the road in their last ten games as compared to their season scoring efficiency away from home this season. It is the Cougars’ defense that leads the way for head coach Kelvin Sampson. Houston ranks fourth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they lead the nation with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 36.1%. They lead the nation by blocking 16.8% of their opponent’s shots. Houston will also bring a slow pace to this game as they rank 342nd in the nation with only 63.3 adjusted possessions per game. The Under is a decisive 43-21-1 in their last 65 games against teams with a winning record in the Sampson era.
FINAL TAKE: The Cougars have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on a neutral court laying 6.5 to 12 points — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the NCAA Tournament. The Hurricanes have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on a neutral court — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the NCAA Tournament. 25* CBB Sweet Sixteen Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (643) and the Houston Cougars (644). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-24-23 |
San Diego State v. Alabama UNDER 139 |
|
71-64 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (647) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (648) in the Sweet Sixteen of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: San Diego State (29-6) has won six in a row and 12 of their last 13 contests with their 75-52 win against Furman as a 4.5-point favorite on Saturday. Alabama (31-5) has won five games in a row with their 73-51 win against Maryland as an 8.5-point favorite as an 8.5-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Crimson Tide held the Terrapins to just a 35.2% shooting percentage on Saturday — but that was still the best a team has shot against them in their last five games. Alabama will bring a ferocious defense into this game that ranks third in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. And while they have won nine of their last ten games, they have then played 11 of their last 15 road games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. Alabama ranks 8th in the nation by taking 47.5% of their shots from behind the arc — but they only make 34.1% of their 3-pointers, ranking 272nd in the nation — and this mark drops to 33.2% when they are playing away from home. And in their last ten games away from home, they are only making 33.0% go their shots from behind the arc which means they are actually a little below base-level efficiency in using “math” to their advantage by lauding almost half of their shots from distance. Now here comes this Aztecs team that plays with a style that can give the Tide fits. San Diego State is a physical team that plays elite-level defense. They will slow the pace to a crawl — using “math” to their advantage by limiting Alabama's scoring chances and letting the pressure of the moment kick in for this number one seed. Despite their opponents attempting 40.5% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 288th in the nation, these shots are only falling at a 28.7% rate which is the fourth-best mark in the nation. In their last ten games on the road, not only do the Aztecs hold their opponents to 25.5% shooting from behind the arc, they lead the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. San Diego State not only plays with a deliberate pace on offense but their opponents take 18.5 seconds per possession, ranking as the 346th slowest in the nation. They have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight Unders after a point spread victory. The Aztecs have also played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. San Diego State has played ten straight Unders after not allowing more than 57 points in four straight games — and they have played 7 straight Unders after playing three or more Unders in a row while wreaking havoc with sports bettors whose philosophy is to engage the gambler’s fallacy.
FINAL TAKE: The Aztecs have played 6 straight Unders against teams winning 60 % or more of their games — and they have played 25 of their last 33 games Under the Total on a neutral court. Alabama has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total on a neutral court listed as a favorite in the 6.5-9 point range. 10* CBB Friday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (647) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (648). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-23-23 |
Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee UNDER 131 |
|
62-55 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida Atlantic Owls (635) and the Tennessee Volunteers (636) in the Sweet 16 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: FAU (33-3) has won nine games in a row — and 12 of their last 13 games — with their 78-70 victory against Fairleigh Dickinson as a 16-point favorite on Sunday. Tennessee (25-10) has won three of their last four games with their 65-52 upset win against Duke as a 3-point underdog on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Madison Square Garden in New York City.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OWLS: FAU held Fairleigh Dickinson to just 38.0% shooting in their victory on Sunday. Four of their last five opponents have not shot better than 38.1% from the field. The Owls rank 33rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they give up -1.3 fewer points per 100 possessions when they are playing away from home. But Florida Atlantic scores -5.2 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road on neutral courts or in hostile environments. Tennessee only made 40.4% of their shots in their upset win against Duke — but they nailed 9 of their 21 shots from behind the arc to secure the victory. The Vols miss their spark plug on offense in point guard Zakai Zeigler who suffered a season-ending torn ACL in late February. They have only scored 123 combined points in their two Big Dance games. The Volunteers lead the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they also enjoy the lowest Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. They have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 55 points in their last game. But Tennessee sees their scoring drop by -8.0 points per possession when playing away from home.
FINAL TAKE: Tennessee has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on a neutral court when favored by up to six points or listed as a pick ‘em. FAU has played 5 of their last 6 tournament games Under the Total. 8* CBB FAU-Tennessee TBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Florida Atlantic Owls (635) plus the points versus the Tennessee Volunteers (636). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-21-23 |
Wisconsin v. Oregon OVER 131.5 |
|
61-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (615) and the Oregon Ducks (616) in the Quarterfinals of the NIT. THE SITUATION: Wisconsin (19-14) has won three of their last four games after their 75-71 win against Liberty as a 4-point favorite on Sunday. Oregon (21-14) has won two straight games — and six of their last seven contests — after their 68-54 win against Central Florida as a 2-point favorite on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Wisconsin is back to full strength after dealing with injuries during the Big Ten conference play — and they shot a season-high 54.0% from the field in their win against Liberty. Now they go on the road where they have played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total — and the Over is 22-7-1 in their last 30 road games against teams winning 60% or more of their games. The Badgers score +6.8 more points per 100 possessions on the road than at home — but they also give up +5.2 more points per 100 possessions when playing in hostile environments. Oregon entered the season with high expectations — but injuries and inconsistencies kept this team from making the NCAA Tournament. They beat Arizona in mid-January — but they also suffered two three-game losing streaks. The Ducks are dealing with some injuries with three regulars in their rotation, Will Richardson, N’Faly Dante, and Jermaine Couisnard, all questionable to play tonight. But for big programs like Oregon, the NIT is an opportunity to establish momentum for next season by giving the younger players an opportunity — and this trio of players has yet to play in the NIT due to these injuries. The absence of the 6’11 Dante has created more opportunities for a pair of seven-footers in Nate Brittle and Kel’el Ware. Brittle is a sophomore who has scored 21 and 17 points for the Ducks in their two NIT victories. Ware is a freshman who has added 11 and 9 points in the NIT. Without Richardson and Couisnard, some veterans have stepped up with senior Quincy Guerrier scoring 16 points against Central Florida and senior Rivaldo Soares contributing 21 points in their first NIT game which was an 84-58 win against UC-Irvine. Remember, Oregon was considered to have one of the top ten rosters in the nation entering the season. The Ducks make 46.7% of their shots at home which results in them scoring 73.8 Points-Per-Game — and they are scoring a robust 116.7 points per 100 possessions when playing at home, ranking 31st in the nation over that span.
FINAL TAKE: Wisconsin takes 23 shots from behind the arc per game while Oregon takes 22 shots from 3-point land per game. The Badgers have played 7 of their last 8 games on the road Over the Total against teams who average 21 or more shots from 3-point land per game — and the Ducks have played 17 of their last 23 games after 15 games into the season Over the Total against teams who take 21 or more 3-pointers per game. 8* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (615) and the Oregon Ducks (616). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-19-23 |
TCU v. Gonzaga UNDER 153.5 |
|
81-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (851) and the Gonzaga Bulldogs (852) in the Round of 32 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: TCU (22-12) has won two of their last three games with their 72-70 victory against Arizona State as a 5-point favorite on Friday. Gonzaga (29-5) has won ten games in a row with their 82-70 victory against Grand Canyon as a 15-point favorite on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Horned Frogs survived their game with the Sun Devils despite allowing them to make 48.1% of their shots. TCU ranks 23rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory as the favorite where they did not cover the points spread. And while the Horned Frogs have only covered the point spread once in their last five games, they have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Gonzaga has played six straight Unders after winning five or more games in a row. The Bulldogs lead the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they score -3.6 fewer points per 100 possessions when they are playing away from home. Gonzaga has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams winning 60-80% of their games.
FINAL TAKE: TCU has played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total in March — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the NCAA Tournament. 8* CBB TCU-Gonzaga Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (851) and the Gonzaga Bulldogs (852). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-19-23 |
Fairleigh Dickinson v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 145.5 |
Top |
70-78 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 7:45 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Farleigh Dickinson Knights (843) and the Florida Atlantic Owls (844) in the Round of 32 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Farleigh Dickinson (21-15) has won five of their last six games after their 63-58 upset victory against Purdue as a 23-point underdog on Friday. Florida Atlantic (32-3) is on an eight-game winning streak after their 66-65 upset victory against Memphis as a 1.5-point underdog on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, Ohio.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Part of the Knights' success in shocking the Boilermakers was holding them to 35.8% shooting — although Purdue’s 19.2% shooting percentage from behind the arc had something to do with some nervy Boilermakers’ shooters. Fairleigh Dickinson will continue to work hard on the defensive end of the court. The Knights have held their last four opponents to no better than 41.9% shooting and no more than 67 points — and these last four opponents have averaged just 59 Points-Per-Game. But while Fairleigh Dickinson’s hopes rely on their 3-point shooting, they only made 7 of their 23 (30.4%) shots from behind the arc and settled for a 38.7% shooting clip overall on Friday. The Knights have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. They have also played 6 straight games Under the Total on the road after winning three of their last four games. FAU beat Memphis with the Tigers making 43.1% of their shots which was actually the Owls’ worst defensive effort in their last four games. In their last ten games on the road, FAU ranks 10th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they hold their opponents to just 27.7% shooting from behind the arc which is the seventh lowest mark in the nation during that span. But the Owls also score -4.5 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road on neutral courts or in hostile environments. The Under is 19-7-1 in FAU’s last 27 games on a neutral court — and they have played 7 straight Unders on a neutral court with the Total set in the 145-149.5 point range.
FINAL TAKE: Florida Atlantic has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams winning 51-60% of their games. 25* CBB Second Round NCAA Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Farleigh Dickinson Knights (843) and the Florida Atlantic Owls (844). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-17-23 |
Arizona State v. TCU UNDER 142.5 |
|
70-72 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona State Sun Devils (797) and the TCU Horned Frogs (798) in the Round of 64 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Arizona State (23-12) has won three of their last four games after their 98-73 victory as a 2-point favorite in their First Four NCAA Tournament game on Tuesday. TCU (21-12) has lost two of their last three games after a 66-60 loss to Texas as a 1.5-point underdog in the Semifinals of the Big 12 Conference Tournament last Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Arizona State torched the nets by making 63.6% of their shots against the Wolf Pack including 11 of their 22 shots from behind the arc. That was, by far, their best offensive effort of the season. But this team possesses an effective field goal percentage of just 47.3% when playing on the road, ranking 269th in the nation. The Sun Devils have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points. TCU only shot 35.6% from the field in their loss to the Longhorns last week. This team lost their best inside presence when 6’11 Eddie Lampkin left the program a few weeks ago. They rank 218th in the nation in their last ten games on the road with an effective field goal percentage of 48.9%. The Horned Frogs have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road after a loss to a Big 12 rival.
FINAL TAKE: TCU has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams winning 60-80% of their games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on a neutral court. 8* CBB Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Arizona State Sun Devils (797) and the TCU Horned Frogs (798). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-17-23 |
Drake v. Miami-FL UNDER 146 |
Top |
56-63 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 7:25 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Drake Bulldogs (769) and the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (770) in the Round of 64 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Drake (27-7) has won three in a row — and 13 of their last 14 contests — after their 77-51 victory against Bradley as a 2-point favorite in the Championship Game of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament on March 5th. Miami (FL) (25-7) had their two-game winning streak snapped in an 85-78 loss to Duke as a 2.5-point underdog in the Semifinals of the ACC Tournament last Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at MVP Arena in Albany, New York.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Drake won all three of their games in their Arch Madness by at least 12 points while shooting 47.1% or better from the field in each game. But the Bulldogs have then played 8 straight games Under the Total on the road after winning at least three games in a row by double-digits. They have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after making 47% or more of their shots in three straight games. Drake has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. And while they have covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in two or more games in a row. The Bulldogs’ efficiency on offense drops by -2.4 points per 100 possessions when they play away from home. Now they face an angry Hurricanes team that allowed Duke to nail 54.9% of their shots last week which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. Miami (FL) lost Norchad Omier early in that game to an ankle injury — and his absence was felt in their interior defense. At 6’7, Omier and Jordan Miller are the two tallest players in their starting five lineup. While he helps their offensive efforts by scoring 13.6 Points-Per-Game this season, he is important for their frontcourt defense and keeping opponents off their offensive glass. Duke pulled down 36.0% of their missed shots with Omier missing most of that game. The Hurricanes tighten things up on that end of the court tonight as they have played 8 straight Unders after allowing 85 or more points in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total after slowing 85 or more points in their last game. Furthermore, Miami has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. According to their Adjusted Efficiency numbers, the Hurricanes allow -10.9 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing away from home.
FINAL TAKE: Miami (FL) has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total played on a neutral court — and they have played 5 straight games in the NCAA Tournament Under the Total. Drake has played 4 straight games Under the Total played on a neutral court. 25* CBB First Round Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Drake Bulldogs (769) and the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (770). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-16-23 |
Northern Kentucky v. Houston UNDER 122 |
|
52-63 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Northern Kentucky Norse (749) and the Houston Cougars (750) in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Northern Kentucky (22-12) has won five games in a row after taking the Horizon League tournament title with their 63-61 victory against Cleveland State as a 2.5-point favorite on March 7th. Houston (31-3) saw their 13-game winning streak snapped in a 75-65 upset loss to Memphis in the American Athletic Conference Championship Game as a 5.5-point favorite on Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Legacy Arena in Birmingham, Alabama.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Houston may continue to be without their top playmaker on offense in Marcus Sasser who injured himself in the semifinals of the AAC tournament. Even if the groin injury that kept him out of the title game against the Tigers last Sunday, it is not likely he will play a ton of minutes with an important game looming on Saturday. The Cougars only made 31.2% of their shots against Memphis on Sunday — and that effort came two games after they only shot 28.1% from the field in their Quarterfinals of the American Athletic Conference Tournament against East Carolina. They also let the Tigers make 50.9% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last four games. Head coach Kelvin Sampson’s team should tighten things up on defense — they rank second in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 43.4% when playing away from home. The Under is 6-1-1 in Houston’s last 8 games after a straight-up loss. The Under is also 42-20-1 in their last 63 games against teams with a winning record. Northern Kentucky has played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total following a straight-up win. Things could get dicey for the Norse tonight when considering that they rank 315th in the nation with a 45.5% shooting percentage inside the arc when playing away from home. They have played 4 straight Unders against teams winning 60% or more of their games.
FINAL TAKE: The Norse have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and the Cougars have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on a neutral court. 8* CBB Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Northern Kentucky Norse (749) and the Houston Cougars (750). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-16-23 |
College of Charleston v. San Diego State UNDER 142.5 |
|
57-63 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 3:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the College of Charleston Cougars (737) and the San Diego State Aztecs (738) in the Round of 64 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: College of Charleston (31-3) has won ten straight games after their 63-58 victory against UNC-Wilmington in the Colonial Athletic Association Tournament Finals as a 9.5-point favorite on March 7th. San Diego State (27-6) has won 10 of their last 11 games after their 62-57 victory against Utah State as a 2-point favorite on Saturday to win the Mountain West Conference Tournament. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Amway Center in Orlando, Florida.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cougars only made 40.4% of their shots to beat UNC-Wilmington last week — but that was still the best shooting effort in their last three games. The Under is 3-0-1 in the College of Charleston’s last 4 games after a straight-up win. This team is playing better defense as of late after holding the Seahawks to 40.7% shooting from the field. While they rank 70th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, they improve to 58th in the nation in their last ten games when looking exclusively at defenses on a neutral court or the road in a hostile environment. But the Cougars rank just 106th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in their last ten games away from home. San Diego State has played 20 of their last 30 games on the road Under the Total after winning their last game. They have also played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after winning four or more games in a row.
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03-16-23 |
Howard v. Kansas UNDER 147 |
|
68-96 |
Loss |
-107 |
2 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 2:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Howard Bison (757) and the Kansas Jayhawks (758) in the Round of 64 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Howard (22-12) rides a five-game winning streak after their 65-64 win against Norfolk State in the Championship Game of the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference as a 2-point underdog last Saturday. Kansas (27-7) lost in the Big 12 Championship Game to Texas by a 76-56 score as a 2-point favorite last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, Iowa.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jayhawks’ first order of business is to tighten things up on defense after they allowed the Longhorns to nail 50.0% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. Kansas has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point-spread loss. The Jayhawks should play much better on that end of the court this afternoon as they rank fourth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing away from home. But Kansas also sees their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency drop by -4.5 points per 100 possessions when they are playing away from home. The Jayhawks have played 4 straight Unders against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Howard has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point-spread win. The Bison have played three straight Unders after holding Norfolk State to just 37.9% shooting which was still their worst defensive effort in their last four games.
|
03-15-23 |
Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati OVER 153.5 |
|
72-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Virginia Tech Hokies (715) and the Cincinnati Bearcats (716) in the First Round of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Virginia Tech (19-14) got eliminated in the ACC Tournament in a 97-77 loss to North Carolina State as a 2.5-point underdog on Wednesday. Cincinnati (21-12) lost in the Semifinals of the American Athletic Conference Tournament to Houston by a 69-48 score as a 9.5-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Cincinnati shot a season-low 25.5% from the field against the Cougars. They should find their shooting stroke again at home where they are making 46.9% of their shots which is resulting in 82.7 Points-Per-Game. The Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games at home. They have also played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total when favored by up to six points. But what was also a concern for the Bearcats against Houston was the play of their defense as they allowed them to nail 50.9% of their shots. Virginia Tech has a 2-9 record in their 11 true road games in hostile environments,— and they ranked 201st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. What drags this team down the most when playing in those road games is their interior defense as they allow their home hosts to make 54.2% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 283rd in the nation. The Hokies have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Virginia Tech has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road against teams with a winning record. 8* CBB Wednesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Virginia Tech Hokies (715) and the Cincinnati Bearcats (716). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-11-23 |
Texas v. Kansas UNDER 143.5 |
|
76-56 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas Longhorns (623) and the Kansas Jayhawks (624) in the Finals of the Big 12 Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Texas (25-8) is on a three-game winning streak after their 66-60 victory against TCU as a 1.5-point favorite in the semifinals of this tournament yesterday. Kansas (27-6) has won nine of their last ten games after their 71-58 victory against Iowa State as a 4.5-point favorite on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Longhorns held the Horned Frogs to just a 35.6% field goal percentage — it was the third game in a row that they held an opponent to no higher than 36.2%. Texas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. The Longhorns rank 12th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and on the road, they give up -2.9 fewer points per 100 possessions than when they are playing at home, ranking 11th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in hostile environments or neutral courts. But Texas sees their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency drop by -9.5 points per 100 possessions when they are on the road versus their efforts at home. They only made 2 of their 14 shots from behind the arc yesterday — and they have played 41 of their last 64 games Under the Total after a game where they did not shoot better than 20% from 3-point range. The Longhorns have now played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Kansas has played 5 straight Unders after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. They have also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. They held the Cyclones to just 40% shooting yesterday as they rank sixth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Furthermore, they give up -5.6 fewer points per 100 possessions when they are playing on the road helping them rank 4th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing away from home. But the Jayhawks score -3.8 points per 100 possessions less when on the road as well. Kansas has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular season games with Texas winning the most recent matchup on March 4th by a 75-59 score. The Jayhawks have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total on the road when avenging a loss on the road by 10 or more points. 10* CBB Saturday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Texas Longhorns (623) and the Kansas Jayhawks (624). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-11-23 |
St. Louis v. VCU UNDER 141 |
|
78-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Saint Louis Billikens (607) and the Virginia Commonwealth Rams (608) in the Semifinals of the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Saint Louis (21-11) has won three of their last four games after their 82-54 win against George Mason as a 4.5-point favorite on Thursday. VCU (25-7) has won seven games in a row after their 71-53 win against Davidson as a 7-point favorite on Thursday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Billikens nailed 55.9% of their shots against the Patriots on Thursday which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. Saint Louis does see their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency drop by -3.6 points per 100 possessions when they are playing away from home. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win. And while they have covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Saint Louis has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games. VCU shot 57.4% from the field on Thursday which was the best shooting effort in their 16 contests. But the Rams rank just 164th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on the road. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning two games in a row against conference rivals. And while they have covered the point spread in five of their last six games, they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total. Furthermore, VCU has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a game where no more than 125 combined points were scored. The Rams will bring an outstanding defense into this game — they rank 16th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency.
FINAL TAKE: VCU swept the two games between these two teams — following up a 73-65 victory on February 3rd with a 79-67 win at home on February 28th. Saint Louis has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a loss on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they gave up 75 or more points. 10* CBB Saturday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Saint Louis Billikens (607) and the Virginia Commonwealth Rams (608). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-11-23 |
Utah State v. Boise State OVER 144 |
Top |
72-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 AM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Utah State Aggies (871) and the Boise State Broncos (872) in the Semifinals of the Mountain West Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Utah State (25-7) has won six games in a row after their 91-76 victory against New Mexico as a 3.5-point victory yesterday in the quarterfinals of this tournament. Boise State (24-8) has won two of their last three games after their 87-76 victory against UNLV as a 5.5-point favorite yesterday. This game is being played at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Aggies scored 91 points despite a 48.4% field goal percentage which was the lowest shooting mark in their last three games. Utah State ranks 13th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and that mark improves to 11th in the nation when they are playing away from home. The Aggies are fourth in the nation by nailing 39.5% of their 3-pointers — and they make 38.7% of their shots from behind the arc when playing away from home. Utah State has played 6 straight Overs after scoring 90 or more points in their last game. Additionally, the Over is 20-8-1 in their last 29 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 13-5-1 in their last 19 games after a point-spread victory. The Over is 5-2-1 in the Aggies’ last 8 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total on a neutral court. Boise State has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a win against a conference rival. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. The Broncos are a good offensive team that can keep up with the Aggies’ scoring. In their last ten games away from home, they rank 39th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They make 37.0% of their 3-pointers in conference playing, ranking fourth in the Mountain West. And while the Aggies attempt 24 shots from behind the arc per game, Boise State has played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams who attempt 21 or more shots from downtown per contest. Despite their good defensive numbers, the Broncos tend to play higher or lower-scoring games based on their opponent. They have scored 80 or more points in three of their last eight games. They have given up 74 or more points in four of their last five games despite an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency that ranks 19th in the nation. Boise State has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games. They have also played 26 of their last 37 games in the Mountain West Conference Tournament Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Broncos will be looking to avenge an 86-73 loss at Utah State last Saturday — and they have played 15 of their last 19 games Over the Total when attempting to avenge a double-digit loss on the road. 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Tournament Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Utah State Aggies (871) and the Boise State Broncos (872). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-10-23 |
UAB v. North Texas OVER 126.5 |
Top |
76-69 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 3:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (819) and the North Texas Mean Green (820) in the Semifinals of the Conference USA Tournament. THE SITUATION: UAB (24-8) has won seven games in a row with their 87-60 victory against Rice as a 14-point favorite on Thursday. North Texas (26-6) has won three in a row and 11 of their last 12 contests with their 74-46 victory against Louisiana Tech as a 9-point favorite yesterday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Center at the Star in Frisco, Texas.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: This is a clash of styles with North Texas playing at one of the slowest paces in the nation while UAB ranks 39th in the nation with their games averaging 70.5 adjusted possessions per game. We bet numbers — and we are getting value with the Total in the 126 range. If the Blazers can successfully amp up the pace, we will win this one comfortably. But even if the Mean Green impose their will, I still think a rock fight finds its way over the number. North Texas is an outstanding defensive team — but their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency rises by 3.5 points per 100 possessions when they are playing away from home on neutral courts or hostile environments even after they stymied the Bulldogs to just 30.4% shooting yesterday. The Mean Green has played 5 straight Overs after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. They have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road after a double-digit victory. Additionally, the Over is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after both a straight-up win and a point-spread victory. North Texas forces turnovers -- but this aggressiveness can get them in trouble as they rank 344th in the nation in foul rate. And they are a solid offensive team that ranks third in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in the conference and do not see much drop off when playing away from home. They have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games. UAB ranks 42nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they score 80.9 Points-Per-Game when on the road. They are scoring 84.0 PPG with a 47.4% field goal percentage in their last five games. They have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last contest. They have also played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a win by 10 or more points — and the Over is 13-3-1 in their last 17 games after a win by 20 or more points. Furthermore, the Over is 34-16-1 in their last 51 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 19-7-1 in their last 27 games after a point-spread victory. The Blazers have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher.
FINAL TAKE: North Texas swept the two regular season games with neither seeing more than 124 combined points in regulation (the rematch in Denton on February 9th went to double overtime after a 62-62 score after 40 minutes — so the 82-79 final score is deceiving). But UAB has played 3 of their 4 games Over the Toal when attempting to avenge a loss on the road this season — and they have played 7 of their 8 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral court. 25* CBB Conference USA Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (819) and the North Texas Mean Green (820). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-09-23 |
Stanford v. Arizona OVER 152.5 |
Top |
84-95 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (769) and the Arizona Wildcats (770) in the Quarterfinals of the Pac-12 Tournament. THE SITUATION: Stanford (14-18) won for the third time in their last four games with a 73-62 victory against Utah in a pick ‘em contest yesterday in the first round of the Pac-12 Tournament. Arizona (25-6) comes into this event having lost two of their last three games after an 82-73 loss at UCLA as a 5-point underdog last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cardinal advanced despite making only 41.9% of their shots from the field against the Utes which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. They are still making 47.5% of their shots in their last five games. Stanford ranks 32nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rise to 10th in the nation in that metric in their last ten games. Their productivity does not decline when playing away from Palo Alto either — they rank 4th in the nation in their last ten games in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing away from home. The Cardinal has played 5 straight Overs after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a win by 10 or more points against a Pac-12 opponent. Furthermore, Stanford has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing on the road against a point spread victory. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing their third game in seven days. The Cardinal has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total in March. Arizona only made 47.4% of their shots against the Bruins which was the lowest shooting percentage in their last four games. The Wildcats rank 5th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rank 5th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.5% with top-20 marks in both 3-point and 2-point shooting. When playing away from home, their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency improves to 3rd in the nation. Arizona also plays at a blistering pace as they average 72.7 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 6th in the nation — and that mark rises to 73.6 adjusted possessions per game when playing away from home. The Wildcats have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight Overs after a point spread loss. They have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road when playing for the second time in the last seven days. They have also played 16 of their last 23 road games Over the Total against conference rivals. Furthermore, Arizona has played 9 straight games in March Over the Total — and they have played 4 straight Overs on a neutral court as a favorite laying 6.5 to 12 points.
FINAL TAKE: Stanford upset the Wildcats in their lone meeting this season back on February 11th as a 7.5-point home underdog — and Arizona has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss on the road. 25* CBB Pac-12 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (769) and the Arizona Wildcats (770). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-07-23 |
New Orleans v. Northwestern State OVER 149 |
Top |
70-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Privateers (306559) and the Northwestern State Demons (306560) in the Semifinals of the Southland Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: New Orleans (12-19) has won two in a row and six of their last seven after their 82-78 upset win against Southeast Louisiana as a 5-point underdog yesterday. Northwestern State (21-10) has won two of their last three games after an 81-64 win against Incarnate Word as a 10.5-point favorite last Wednesday. This game is being played on a neutral court at The Legacy Center in Lake Charles, Louisiana.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Privateers advanced to the semifinals of the Southland Conference Tournament despite making only 44.6% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight contests. New Orleans should shoot better tonight as they lead the conference with an effective field goal percentage of 55.0%. The Over is 46-22-1 in their last 69 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by six points or less. They have also played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a point-spread win. And they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning two straight games against conference opponents. The Privateers will push the pace in this game. They rank 24th in the nation by averaging 71.4 adjusted possessions per game — and that mark rises to 72.9 adjusted possessions per game in their last ten games when playing away from home, ranking 14th in the nation. New Orleans has played 23 of their last 34 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total as an underdog. The Over is also 25-7-1 in their last 33 games played on a neutral court — and the Privateers have played 18 of their last 23 conference tournament games Over the Total. Northwestern State has played 20 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a win against a conference rival in their previous game. They have all played 21 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. The Demons rank second in the Southland Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Their attack is fueled by them pulling down 33.4% of their missed shots, ranking second in the conference. They should have success on the offensive glass tonight against this Privateers team that is last in the Southland Conference by allowing their opponents to rebound 34.4% of their missed shots. Northwestern State has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral court — and the over is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular-season meetings with Northwestern State winning the first encounter on the road by an 88-65 score before New Orleans upset them on the road in the rematch on February 18th by a 68-65 score as a 10.5-point underdog. The Demons have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss. 25* CBB Southland Conference Tournament Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Privateers (306559) and the Northwestern State Demons (306560). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-06-23 |
Chattanooga v. Furman UNDER 151 |
Top |
79-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UT-Chattanooga Moccasins (867) and the Furman Paladins (868) in the Finals of the Southern Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: UT-Chattanooga (18-16) has won three straight games after their 74-62 win against Wofford as a 4-point favorite yesterday. Furman (26-7) has won five games in a row after their 83-80 win in overtime against Western Carolina as a 12-point favorite on Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Harrah’s Cherokee Center in Asheville, North Carolina.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Moccasins held Wofford to just 38.7% shooting yesterday — that was the fourth time in their last five games and the sixth in their last eight contests where they held their opponent to 42.6% or lower shooting from the floor. Chattanooga ranks second in the Southern Conference when playing on the road by holding their opponents to 48.8% shooting inside the arc. The Moccasins have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a double-digit win against a conference opponent — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Chattanooga has played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 150s. Furman only shot 39.0% from the field yesterday which was the worst shooting effort of the season for them. But while I often conclude that outlier efforts like that are aberrations — in this instance, I suspect it is nerves kicking for this Paladins team playing with the weight of expectations. This team has not made the NCAA Tournament since 1980 — and they lost the title game of the Southern Conference Tournament last year against this Chattanooga team so winning this game has been the goal for 365 days. Furman is a good defensive team that led the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. It starts with the Paladins’ half-court defense as they rank second in the conference with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 48.5% while ranking second in the Southern Conference in both 2-point and 3-point defense. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing 80 or more points per game — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a game where 155 or more combined points were scored. Yesterday’s game flew Over the 149-point total because of overtime (the score was 72-72 after regulation time) — and Furman has played 8 straight road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. The Paladins have played 5 straight Unders against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Furman swept the two games between these teams in the regular season with the last meeting being on February 1st with the Paladins winning by a 79-58 score. The Moccasins have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing with revenge — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when avenging a double-digit loss. UT-Chattanooga has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and Furman has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on a neutral court. 25* CBB Southern Conference Tournament Total of the Year is with Under the Total in the game between the UT-Chattanooga Moccasins (867) and the Furman Paladins (868). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-04-23 |
St Francis PA v. Fairleigh Dickinson OVER 156 |
Top |
50-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Semifinals of the Northeast Conference Tournament between the St. Francis-PA Red Flash (306527) and the Farleigh Dickinson Knights (306528). THE SITUATION: St. Francis-PA (13-17) has won four of their last five games after their 83-69 win against Central Connecticut State as a 4.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Farleigh Dickinson (18-14) has won three of their last four games with their 83-75 win against St. Francis-NY as a 9-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Lots of Overs this week — I’m just following the numbers. The data points to the Over for this one — even before I then realize that these two teams are top-two statistical offenses in terms of Adjusted Efficiency in the Northeast Conference while registering two of the worst defensive metrics in the nation. St. Francis-PA ranks 356th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. And with their win against Central Connecticut State finishing Over, they have then played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total after playing an Over in their previous game. After playing their last three games on the road, they go on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing three or more games in a row at home. The Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games on the road — and the Over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The St. Francis-PA offense is bolstered by their 3-point shooting as they rank 38th in the nation by nailing 36.9% of their shots from behind the arc. Now they play a Knights team ranking 344th in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 37.7% of their shots from behind the arc. Farleigh Dickinson ranks 362nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — but they also lead the Northeast Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Knights have scored 169 points in their last two games — and they have palled 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after scoring at least 75 points in their last two games. They stay at home where the Over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games — and they have played 5 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. They have also played 19 of their last 25 games at home when it is just their second game in seven days.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular-season meetings with St. Francis-PA winning the most recent game by an 82-72 score on February 23rd — and Farleigh Dickinson has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* CBB Northeast Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the Semifinals of the Northeast Conference Tournament between the St. Francis-PA Red Flash (306527) and the Farleigh Dickinson Knights (306528). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-04-23 |
USC Upstate v. North Carolina-Asheville OVER 139 |
Top |
62-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the South Carolina Upstate Spartans (306521) and the UNC-Asheville Bulldogs (306422) in the Semifinals of the Big South Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: USC-Upstate (16-14) reached the semifinals of this tournament with their 77-76 upset win against Gardner-Webb as a 4-point underdog yesterday. UNC-Asheville (25-7) joined them in the semifinals of this tournament with their 75-66 win against Charleston Southern as a 9-point favorite on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Bojangles Coliseum in Charlotte, North Carolina.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Spartans are a good shooting team — they rank second in the Big South with an effective field goal percentage of 52.7% based on the strength of their interior shooting. USC-Upstate ranks second in the conference by making 53.6% of their shots inside the arc. The Spartans have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. USC-Upstate is playing their best basketball of the season now with three straight victories along with seven wins in their last eight games. They have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning two in a row against conference rivals — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after winning five or six of their last seven contests. Betting Unders for these early tip-offs on neutral courts has been a fashionable play in the past — but we bet numbers rather than being a zombie simply for the situation. This Total is dropping — giving us more value on the Over. While these early tips can see groggy teams struggling to shoot — the Spartans bring energy by forcing turnovers. They rank 58th in the nation by forcing turnovers in 20.7% of their opponent’s possessions — and that mark improves to a 21.1% defensive turnover clip against conference opponents. They forced 17 turnovers representing 23.6% of Gardner-Webb’s possessions yesterday — and now the Bulldogs may be vulnerable in this area. UNC-Asheville ranks 313th in the nation by turning the ball over in 20.3% of their possessions — and they turn it over in 20.7% of their conference possessions. Forcing turnovers tends to create easier scoring opportunities in transition which is reinforced by the Spartans' effective 2-point shooting. USC-Upstate has played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 28 of their last 43 games Over the Total as an underdog. The Over is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 games played on a neutral court. UNC-Asheville only made 35.8% of their shots yesterday which was the worst shooting effort in their last 22 games. The Bulldogs should shoot much better today after that outlier effort. They rank 32nd in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 54.1%. They rank seventh in the nation with a 39.1% shooting percentage from behind the arc — and that number improves to 40.6% in conference play. UNC-Asheville has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and the Over is 24-10-1 in their last 35 games after a point spread loss. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after winning five or more games in a row. The Bulldogs are going to get their share of points at the free throw line — they rank 12th in the nation in free throw rate. The downside to USC-Upstate’s pressure on the basketball is that they foul too much — they rank 354th in the nation in defensive free throw rate. The charity strip should help this game finish Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular-season meetings after USC-Upstate upset the Bulldogs by a 76-70 score as a 3-point home underdog on February 4th. UNC-Asheville has played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road including three of their four opportunities this season. 25* CBB Big South Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the South Carolina Upstate Spartans (306521) and the UNC-Asheville Bulldogs (306422). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-03-23 |
New Mexico v. Colorado State OVER 155 |
Top |
84-92 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 11:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (867) and the Colorado State Rams (868). THE SITUATION: New Mexico (21-9) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 94-80 win against Fresno State as a 7-point favorite on Saturday. Colorado State (13-17) has lost two of their last three games after their 63-46 loss at San Jose State as a 2.5-point underdog on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Lobos rank 20th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a game where they scored at least 90 points. The Over is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win against a Mountain West Conference rival. New Mexico has covered the point spread in three straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three straight games and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three straight contests. They go back on the road where they rank 14th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing in hostile environments boosted by their 39.7% shooting percentage from behind the arc, ranking 9th in the nation. The Over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games on the road. The Lobos rank 306th in the nation in defensive foul rate when playing on the road — and the Rams make 76.1% of their free throws on their home court. Colorado State held the Spartans to just 38.9% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 11 games. But the Rams only shot 36.5% from the field in what was the worst shooting effort in their last 24 contests. They have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing a game where they did not score more than 50 points. And while they only scored 22 points in the first half of that game, they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after not scoring more than 25 points in the first half in their last game. The Over is also 10-3-1 in their last 14 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a loss by 10 or more points in their last contest. And in their last 13 games after a point-spread loss, the Over is 10-2-1. While that game with San Jose State finished far below the 136.5-point total, Colorado State has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last contest. The Rams should approach their 80.4 Points-Per-Game scoring average when playing at home tonight. They rank 13th in the nation with a 56.4% shooting percentage inside the arc. The Lobos allow their opponents to convert on 50.7% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 205th in the nation — and their conference opponents have converted on 53.6% of their 2-pointers against them. Colored State ranks 21st in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on their home court — and they rank 17th in the nation by making 40.7% of their shots from behind the arc at home. The Rams have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing at home — and they have 5 straight Overs at home against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Colorado State has played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games.
FINAL TAKE: New Mexico won the first meeting between these two teams by an 88-69 score on December 28th — and the Rams have played all 3 of their games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road this season. The Lobos have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total when favored — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total with the Total listed in the 150s. 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (867) and the Colorado State Rams (868). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-03-23 |
Toledo v. Ball State OVER 158 |
Top |
87-81 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 6:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (841) and the Ball State Cardinals (842). THE SITUATION: Toledo (24-6) rides a 14-game winning streak after a 99-65 victory as a 15-point favorite on Tuesday. Ball State (20-10) has lost three of their last four games after an 87-83 loss at Akron as a 9-point underdog on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Rockets are nailing 54.4% of their shots in their last five games which helps them generate 92.8 Points-Per-Game in those contests. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a win by 20 or more points — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning seven or more games in a row. Toledo ranks 10th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they rank 275th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. On the road, they are scoring 81.5 PPG but allowing 77.7 PPG. The Rockets rank 2nd in the nation by making 40.1% of their shots — and that mark drops only slightly to a 39.0% clip when playing on the road, ranking 14th best in the nation. Toledo has played 14 of their last 20 road games Over the Total — and they have played 20 of their last 26 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. Furthermore, the Rockets have played 22 of their last 33 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s — and they have played 25 of their last 35 games Over the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games. Ball State has played 4 straight Overs after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win against a conference rival. Additionally, the Cardinals have played 29 of their last 42 games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in their last game — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing for the third time in seven days. Ball State ranks 6th in the nation in getting to the free throw line — and they rank 23rd in the nation by making 37.7% of their shots from behind the arc. When playing at home, they make 48.4% of their shots which generates 80.4 PPG. They have played 5 straight Overs at home — and they have played 22 of their last 28 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. They have also played 19 of their last 25 home games with the Total set in the 150s. But the Cardinals have given up 77.4 PPG in their last five games — and now they host this Rockets’ team that is so good with their 3-point shooting having allowed their guests to nail 38.8% of their 3-pointers, ranking 349th in the nation. Ball State has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Ball State won the first meeting between these two teams by a 90-83 score on January 3rd — and Toledo has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when attempting to avenge a loss. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Total of the Year is with Over the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (841) and the Ball State Cardinals (842). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-02-23 |
Lipscomb v. Kennesaw State OVER 145.5 |
Top |
71-80 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Lipscomb Bisons (306591) and the Kennesaw State Owls (306592) in the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament Semifinals. THE SITUATION: Lipscomb (20-12) has won four straight games and seven of their last nine after their 83-70 win against Stetson on Tuesday. Kennesaw State (24-8) has won three in a row and six of their last seven after their 67-66 victory against Queens-University of Charlotte as a 7-point favorite on Tuesday. The Owls are the host team at their Convocation Center in Kennesaw, Georgia.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Lipscomb made 47.6% of their shots on Tuesday which was the worst shooting effort in their last four contests. The Bisons rank 34th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 54.0% — and they are third in the Atlantic Sun with a 37.6% shooting clip from behind the arc, ranking third in the conference. Lipscomb has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight road games Over the Total after a win against a conference rival. Additionally, they have played 4 straight Overs after a point spread win — and they have played 7 straight overs when playing for the second time in the last three days. The Bisons are playing at a quicker pace than they were earlier in the season. While they are averaging 69.6 adjusted possessions per game, that mark has risen to 71.1 adjusted possessions per game in their last ten contests, ranking 31st in the nation. They are making 49.4% of their shots in their last five games which are generating 85.4 Points-Per-Game, a +8.8 PPG bump over their season average. But they are also allowing their opponents to make 45.2% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in 79.6 PPG. On the road, the Bisons have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage at 60% or higher on their home court. They have played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog of up to six points or as a pick ‘em — and they have played 8 of their last 12 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 145-149.5-point range. Kennesaw State has seen the Over go 20-6-1 in their last 27 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 straight games Over the Total after a win at home against an Atlantic Sun rival. They have also played 6 straight Overs after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread as the favorite. The Owls will be vulnerable against the Bisons' 3-point shooting — they rank 10th in the conference by allowing their opponents to make 36.0% of their shots from behind the arc. But Kennesaw State can score — they rank 27th in the nation by making 57.2% of their shots inside the arc and rank 26th in getting to the free-throw line. On their home court, the Owls are making 48.6% of their shots which is generating 81.4 PPG which is +6.0 PPG above their season average. The Over is 20-7-1 in their last 28 games on their home court — and they have played 12 of their last 16 home games Over the Total when favored or as a pick ‘em.
FINAL TAKE: Kennesaw State won the first meeting between these two teams by an 85-72 score at home as a 4-point favorite — and they have played 5 straight Overs against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Lipscomb Bisons (306591) and the Kennesaw State Owls (306592). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-01-23 |
Southeastern Louisiana v. Houston Christian OVER 161 |
Top |
80-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Southeast Louisiana Lions (306551) and the Houston Christian Huskies (306552). THE SITUATION: SE Louisiana (17-13) has won three games in a row after a 78-75 win in overtime as an 8-point favorite on Saturday. Houston Christian (10-20) had won two games in a row before a 68-64 loss at Nicholls State as an 11-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Lions only scored 22 points in the first half on Saturday while ending the game with a 42.3% shooting percentage which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. They had nailed at least 50% of their shots in their previous three games — and they are still making 49.3% of their shots in their last five contests which is resulting in 78.4 Points-Per-Game. SE Louisiana has played 20 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a win at home. The Over is 38-15-1 in their last 54 games after a point-spread win. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after not scoring more than 25 points in the first half of their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after winning two games in a row against conference rivals. The Lions are not a good defensive team — they rank 317th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are allowing their home hosts to 46.7% shooting when playing on the road which is resulting in them giving up 77.2 PPG. The Over is 19-7-1 in their last 27 road games — and the Over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning record a home. Furthermore, SE Louisiana has played 12 of their last 16 games in conference play Over the Total — and they have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total when favored. Houston Christian only made 35.8% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last five contest. The Huskies have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Houston Christian returns home where they are making 51.3% of their shots which is generating 88.1 PPG, a +9.8 PPPG bump over their season average. They are 30th in the nation by making 39.6% of their shots from behind the arc — and now they host a Lions team that allows Southland Conference opponents to make a whopping 41.5% of their shots from downtown. But Houston Christian does not play a lick of defense — they rank dead last in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in the nation. They allow their opponents to make 37.3% of their 3-pointers and 58.5% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 336th and 306th in the nation respectively. They don’t force turnovers — and they rank 306th in the nation by allowing their opponents to pull down 31.4% of their missed shots. What the Huskies cannot do on defense, they make up for by playing at a fast pace. Their opponents average just 16.4 seconds per possession, the third fastest rate in the nation — and the 70.8 adjusted possessions per game in their contests is the 36th most in the nation. Houston Christian allows their guests to make 48.3% of their shots on their home court which is producing 88.1 PPG. The Over is 34-16-1 in their last 51 games at home — and they have played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total on their home court. They have also played 22 of their last 28 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, the Huskies have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total as an underdog or as a pick ‘em — and they have played 5 straight Overs when listed in the +/- 3-point range.
FINAL TAKE: Southeast Louisiana won the first meeting between these two teams by a 71-59 score as a 10-point home favorite on January 5th — but Houston Christian has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* CBB Southland Conference Total of the Year is with Over the Total in the game between the Southeast Louisiana Lions (306551) and the Houston Christian Huskies (306552). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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02-28-23 |
Texas Tech v. Kansas OVER 147.5 |
|
63-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (643) and the Kansas Jayhawks (644). THE SITUATION: Texas Tech (16-13) had their four-game winning streak snapped in an 83-82 upset loss against TCU as a 2-point favorite on Saturday. Kansas (24-5) has won six straight games after their 76-74 win against West Virginia as a 9.5-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Red Raiders lost to the Horned Frogs despite nailing 50.6% of their shots. They made 60.7% of their shots in their previous game at Oklahoma last Tuesday — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing two straight games where they shot 50% or better from the field. Texas Tech is shooting 48.9% in their last five games. Their game with TCU went way Over the 144-point Total in that game — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total in their previous contest. The Over is also 7-3-1 in their last 11 games after a point spread loss — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. The Red Raiders’ play on defense is of concern as they rank 9th in the Big 12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They allow their conference opponents to make 52.0% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 9th in the Big 12 — and the Jayhawks rank 2nd in the conference with a 51.5% shooting percentage inside the arc. Texas Tech also ranks 297th in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 32.6% of their missed shots. The Over is 4-0-1 in the Red Raiders’ last 5 games on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. They have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total as an underdog. Kansas has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after winning two straight games against conference rivals. After naming 54.9% of their shots against the Mountaineers, they are shooting 50.5% from the field in their last five games. Head coach Bill Self has his team playing at a faster pace as well. They are averaging 69.6 adjusted possessions per game but in their last ten contests, they are averaging 71.3 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 33rd in the nation. They rank 19th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing at home where they are making 48.3% of their shots which is generating 79.6 Points-Per-Game. The Jayhawks have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and the Over is 25-12-1 in their last 38 home games against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road. Kansas has also played 4 straight Overs against teams with a winning record. Dajaun Harris got injured on Saturday but he is listed as probable to play tonight.
FINAL TAKE: Kansas won the first meeting between these two teams on January 3rd by a 75-72 score in Lubbock — and the Red Raiders have played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Texas Tech-Kansas ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (643) and the Kansas Jayhawks (644). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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02-25-23 |
UAB v. Western Kentucky OVER 151.5 |
Top |
72-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (763) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (764). THE SITUATION: UAB (21-8) has won four in a row and eight of their last nine contests after their 85-57 win against Rice as a 12-point favorite on Thursday. Western Kentucky (15-13) won for the fourth time in their last six games with a 76-66 victory against Louisiana Tech as a 4.5-point favorite on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blazers held the Owls to host 32.3% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 28 games. The Over is 27-9-1 in their last 37 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 13-2-1 in their last 16 games after a win by 20 or more points. The Over is also 18-7-1 in their last 26 games after a point spread win — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last contest. Additionally, they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after winning four or more games in a row. Now they go on the road where they are scoring 80.0 Points-Per-Game — and they have played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total. They have also played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better on their home court. Western Kentucky has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. And while their game with the Bulldogs two days ago finished Under the 143.5-point total, they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They stay at home where they are second in Conference USA by nailing 37.2% of their shots from behind the arc which is helping them score 78.5 PPG. The Hilltoppers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total at home. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games.
FINAL TAKE: UAB will have revenge on their mind after losing to Western Kentucky by an 80-78 score as a 10.5-point home favorite on January 11th. The Blazers should score more points in this rematch. They rank 7th in the nation by pulling down 37.1% of their missed shots. The Hilltoppers rank 271st in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 30.3% of their missed shots. UAB also nails 37.5% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 22nd in the nation. Western Kentucky ranks 327th in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 37.0% of their shots from 3-point range, and that mark rises to a 38.4% clip when playing at home against Conference USA rivals. The Blazers have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total when avenging a loss. 25* CBB Conference USA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (763) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (764). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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02-25-23 |
The Citadel v. Mercer UNDER 136.5 |
Top |
50-72 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between The Citadel Bulldogs (621) and the Mercer Bears (622). THE SITUATION: The Citadel (10-20) has lost two in a row and eight of their last nine contests with their 78-70 loss at East Tennessee State as a 7.5-point underdog on Wednesday. Mercer (12-18) has lost five games in a row after their 70-67 loss at Furman as a 13-point underdog on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Citadel allowed the Moccasins to nail 50.0% of their shots in what was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. The Bulldogs should tighten things up on the defensive end of the court in their final regular season game before the Southern Conference Tournament — they have played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. They have also played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row to a conference rival — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after losing six or seven of their last eight contests. The Citadel’s bigger problems are with making baskets as they rank 287th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They only make 43.3% of their shots on the road — and they don’t crash the offensive glass either as they rank 307th in the nation by pulling down only 20.6% of their missed shots. The Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 19 of their last 25 games Under the Total in February. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Mercer has seen the Under go 38-17-2 in their last 57 games after losing their previous game — and they have played ten of their last fourteen games Under the Total after losing their previous game. The Bears have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing their previous game by six points or less. The Under is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a point-spread loss. And in their last 17 games when playing their second game in seven days, they have played 11 of these games Under the Total. Mercer also struggles to make baskets as they rank 10th in the Southern Conference and 288th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Bears are a solid defensive team that holds their guests to just 42.4% shooting when playing at home which results in them scoring 68.2 Points-Per-Game. The Under is 14-4-2 in their last 20 games on their home court — and the Under is 36-16-2 in Mercer’s last 54 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Bears have also played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: Mercer won the first meeting between these two teams by a 74-65 score as a 2-point favorite on January 28th — and The Citadel has played 17 of their last 20 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a same-season loss. 25* CBB Southern Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between The Citadel Bulldogs (621) and the Mercer Bears (622). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-21-23 |
Indiana v. Michigan State UNDER 137 |
|
65-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Hoosiers (641) and the Michigan State Spartans (642). THE SITUATION: Indiana (19-8) has lost four of their last five games after a 71-68 victory against Illinois as a 6.5-point favorite on Saturday. Michigan State (16-10) had their two-game winning streak end with an 84-72 loss at Michigan as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hoosiers have played 4 straight Unders after a straight-up win. Indiana ranks 13th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing at home at Assembly Hall — but they drop massively to ranking 110th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. Their collapse in offensive efficiency from those home/road splits ranks 351st in the nation in terms of discrepancy. But head coach Mike Woodson does have his team play strong half-court defense away from home. The Hoosiers lead the Big Ten with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 47.3% when playing on the road. And while Indiana ranks 46th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, that mark has improved to 30th in the nation in their last ten games. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Hoosiers’ last 5 games on the road — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games on the road against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Michigan State shot 47.5% from the field in their loss to the Wolverines on Saturday which was the best shooting mark in their last four games — but they allowed Michigan to nail 49.2% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last four contests. The Spartans have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Michigan State returns home to the Breslin Center where they rank 14th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while holding their guests to 38.5% shooting which results in only 59.7 Points-Per-Game. Sparty has played 6 straight Unders when playing on their home court. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher.
FINAL TAKE: Michigan State looks to avenge an 82-69 loss at Indiana on January 22nd. The Spartans have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by 10 or more points — and they have played 7 straight Unders at home when avenging a loss where they gave up 75 or more points. 10* CBB Indiana-Michigan State ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Hoosiers (641) and the Michigan State Spartans (642). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-20-23 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Texas Southern OVER 142.5 |
|
59-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 33 m |
Show
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At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (306515) and the Texas Southern Tigers (306516). THE SITUATION: Arkansas-Pine Bluff (10-17) has lost five games in a row after their 82-71 loss at Prairie View A&M as a 6-point underdog on Saturday. Texas Southern (10-17) has won three of their last four games after an 80-62 win against Mississippi Valley State as an 11-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: This is a solid technical play in the Southwest Athletic Conference tonight. The Golden Lions have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss to SWAC rival. They have also played 4 straight Overs after a point-spread loss. Additionally, Arkansas-Pine Bluff has played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total when playing their second game in seven days. They stay on the road where they are giving up 75.9 Points-Per-Game, up +5.9 Points-Per-Game above their season average. They have played 12 of their last 19 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140 to 144.5-point range. They have also played 5 straight Overs against teams not winning more than 40% of their games. Texas Southern has played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a point spread cover as a double-digit favorite. They have also played 10 of their last 11 home games Over the Total after a point-spread win. And while their win against Mississippi Valley State finished Over the 135.5-point total, they have then played 9 of their last 10 home games Over the Total after playing their last game Over the Total. On their home court, the Tigers are scoring 76.3 PPG which is +7.0 PPG above their season average. They have played 20 of their last 28 games at home Over the Total including eight of these last nine situations. They have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage no higher than 40% on the road. Additionally, they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: Texas Southern will be looking to avenge a 70-66 upset loss to Arkansas-Pine Bluff on January 7th — and the Tigers have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss. 10* CBB Monday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (306515) and the Texas Southern Tigers (306516). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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02-19-23 |
Maryland v. Nebraska UNDER 135.5 |
|
66-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 22 m |
Show
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At 5:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (847) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (848). THE SITUATION: Maryland (18-8) has won six of their last seven games after their 68-54 win against Purdue as a 1-point favorite on Thursday. Nebraska (13-14) has won three of their last four games after an 82-72 upset win at Rutgers as a 14-point underdog on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Terrapins have played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They have also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in seven days. Maryland ranks 23rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and that mark improves to 20th in the nation when they are playing on the road in hostile environments. The Terrapins have played 9 straight Unders on the road — and they have played 7 straight Unders on the road against teams with a winning percentage at home of 60% or higher. Additionally, Maryland has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. Nebraska has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win on the road against a Big Ten rival — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. And while the Cornhuskers have played three straight Overs, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row. Nebraska returns home where they are holding their opponents to 39.8% shooting — and they rank 35th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their last ten games on their home court. The Under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games at home — and the Cornhuskers have played 6 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or lower on the road. Furthermore, Nebraska has played 5 of their last 7 home games as a favorite or pick ‘em — and they have played 8 of their last 10 home games Under the Total with the total set in the 130s.
FINAL TAKE: Nebraska will be looking to avenge an 82-63 loss at Maryland against the Terrapins as an 11.5-point underdog on January 28th — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by 10 or more points. 10* CBB Maryland-Nebraska FS1-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (847) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (848). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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02-17-23 |
Abilene Christian v. Grand Canyon OVER 143 |
Top |
84-94 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 21 m |
Show
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At 11:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Abilene Christian Wildcats (893) and the Grand Canyon Anteaters (894). THE SITUATION: Abilene Christian (13-12) had their three-game winning streak snapped with a 77-62 loss to San Houston State as a 1.5-point underdog on Saturday. Grand Canyon (16-10) has lost two games in a row after their 77-76 upset loss to the University of Texas Rio Grande Valley as a 12-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats only made 38.9% of their shots last Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. Abilene Christian has played 4 straight Overs after a straight-up win in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. The Wildcats have played six straight Overs — but not only have they then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing an Over in their last game but they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row. Abilene Christian allowed Sam Houston State to nail 55.1% of their shots in the loss last week — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing their last opponent to shoot 55% or better from the field including three of their four games Over the Total this season under those circumstances. The Wildcats are second-to-last in the Western Athletic Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are last in the conference with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 56.3%. Furthermore, they are last in the WAC in putting their conference opponents on the free throw line — and Grand Canyon leads the conference by making 74.7% of their shots in conference play. Abilene Christian goes back on the road where they allow their home hosts to nail 50.4% of their shots which results in 77.1 Points-Per-Game which is 7.5 PPG above their season average. The Wildcats have played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total on the road after winning two of their last three games. They have also played 13 of their last 15 games Over the Total in February. Grand Canyon has played 8 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 straight Overs after a loss at home to a WAC rival. Furthermore, the Over is 35-16-4 in the Anteaters’ last 55 games after a point spread loss including 12 Overs in the last 15 games after not covering the point spread. And while that game finished above the 147.5-point total for that game, they have then played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total after playing an Over in their previous game. Grand Canyon held UT Rio Grande Valley to just 37.7% shooting after holding Seattle to 36.4% shooting — but those were both their top two defensive efforts in their previous nine games. They stay at home where they are last in the WAC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on their home court. nit the Anteaters make 47.5% of their shots at home which generates 80.3 PPG. In conference play, they sport a 56.5% effective field goal percentage on their home court, ranking second in the WAC — and they are nailing 43.1% of their shots from behind the arc at home in conference play. They have played 19 of their last 26 games at home Over the Total including eleven of their last thirteen home games. The Over is also 16-4-1 in their last 21 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Grand Canyon has also played 15 of their last 17 games Over the Total when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Abilene Christian will be looking to avenge a 75-73 loss at home to Grand Canyon as a 2.5-point underdog on January 26th. The Anteaters have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing with revenge — and they have played 4 straight Overs when avenging a loss at home to their opponent. 25* CBB Western Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Abilene Christian Wildcats (893) and the Grand Canyon Anteaters (894). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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02-13-23 |
Texas v. Texas Tech OVER 144 |
|
67-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 32 m |
Show
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At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Texas Longhorns (879) and the Texas Tech Red Raiders (880). THE SITUATION: Texas (20-5) has won three of their last four games after their 94-60 win against West Virginia as an 8-point favorite on Saturday. Texas Tech (13-12) snapped a two-game losing streak after their 71-63 victory against Kansas State as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Longhorns held the Mountaineers to just 35.2% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last ten games. The Over is 18-7-1 in Texas’ last 26 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win against a Big 12 rival. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by 20 or more points — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread win. They have also played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a win at home where they scored 85 or more points. The Longhorns rank 11th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they make 55.3% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 27th in the nation. The Red Raiders are vulnerable in defending the interior as they rank 9th in the conference by allowing their opponents to make 53.4% of their 2-pointers. Texas goes back on the road where they have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total — and they have played 12 of their last 17 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. They have also played 17 of their last 27 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Texas Tech held the Wildcats to 35.2% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 20 games. The Red Raiders have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. They stay at home where they are making 48.1% of their shots and generating 77.9 Points-Per-Game. Texas Tech should be able to score their share of points against the Longhorns. They rank 30th in the nation by making 57.4% of their shots inside the arc — and Texas is 185th in the country by allowing their opponents to make 52.2% of their 2-point shots when playing on the road. The Red Raiders also rank 24th in the nation at home in getting to the free throw line — and the Longhorns rank 307th in the country when playing on the road in defensive free throw rate percentage. Texas Tech has played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total when playing on the road against a team with a winning percentage of 60% at home. Furthermore, the Over is 5-2-1 in the Red Raiders’ last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s.
FINAL TAKE: Texas Tech looks to avenge a 72-70 loss at Texas as an 8-point underdog on January 14th — and the Red Raiders have played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Texas-Texas Tech ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Texas Longhorns (879) and the Texas Tech Red Raiders (880). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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02-08-23 |
Florida v. Alabama UNDER 151.5 |
|
69-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
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At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida Gators (733) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (734). THE SITUATION: Florida (13-10) has lost two of their last three games after their 72-67 loss at Kentucky as a 4.5-point underdog on Saturday. Alabama (20-3) has won 11 of their last 12 games in a 79-69 victory as an 11-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Gators allowed the Wildcats to nail 45.2% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst defensive effort in their last 13 games. Florida has then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Gators have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 6 straight games on the road Under the Total after a loss by six points or less. Florida stays on the road where they rank 6th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are 2nd in the country with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 41.7% when playing on the road. And in their last five games, Florida has held their opponents to 37.2% shooting which is resulting in just 61.8 Points-Per-Game. But when the Gators go on the road from Tallahassee, they only make 39.9% of their shots which generates just 65.4 PPG. Their effective field goal percentage of 41.8% ranks 357th in the nation. Florida has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Alabama nailed 13 shots from behind the arc in their win against Tigers on Saturday — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after making 13 or more 3-pointers in their last game. And Crimson Tide head coach Nate Oats has taken full advantage of his team’s embarrassing defensive effort in their SEC-Big 12 Challenge game with Oklahoma where they allowed 93 points as they held LSU to just 30.6% shooting after containing Vanderbilt to 25.0% shooting in their previous game. Alabama has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after holding their last opponent to no better than 35% shooting — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after holding their last two opponents to 37% or less shooting from the field. The Crimson Tide has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win against a conference rival. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit win against SEC rivals. Alabama ranks 6th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rank 2nd in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 41.4%. They return home where they have held their guests to 34.5% shooting which results in 61.7 PPG. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing at home — and they have played 5 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Alabama does play at the fastest pace in the nation with their games averaging 73.5 adjusted possessions per game. But Florida sees only 69.0 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 80th in the nation — and they have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. 10* CBB Florida-Alabama ESPN2 O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Florida Gators (733) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (734). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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02-07-23 |
Maryland v. Michigan State UNDER 131.5 |
|
58-63 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 14 m |
Show
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At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (645) and the Michigan State Spartans (646). THE SITUATION: Maryland (16-7) has won four games in a row after their 81-46 win at Minnesota as a 9.5-point favorite on Saturday. Michigan State (14-9) has lost two games in a row after their 61-55 loss to Rutgers as a 5-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Terrapins held the Golden Gophers to just 34.2% shooting in their victory on Saturday. They have held their last five opponents to just a 40.6% field goal percentage which is resulting in only 55.4 Points-Per-Game. Maryland nailed 52.4% of their shots in the win which was the second-best shooting effort in their last 11 games. The Terrapins have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 21 of their last 31 games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points. They have all played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 4 straight Unders after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. Now Maryland stays on the road where their 67.3 PPG that they average is -3.7 PPG below their season average. The Terrapins rank 29th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they collapse to ranking 200th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on the road in hostile environments (even after shooting well at Minnesota). Maryland has played 8 straight Unders on the road — and they have played 6 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. The Terrapins do get much of their offense from second-chance opportunities as they rank 2nd in the Big Ten by rebounding 31.2% of their missed shots. But they will not get many second chances against the Spartans who lead the Big Ten by holding their opponents to only 23.4% of their missed shots. Michigan State has played 5 straight Unders after losing their last game. In their last five games, the Spartans are scoring only 63.6 PPG. When playing at home in the Breslin Center, Sparty ranks only 89th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. But head coach Tom Izzo’s team still plays tough defense as they hold their guests to just 38.5% shooting which translates into just 59.9 PPG. Michigan State ranks 18th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing at home. They have played 5 straight Unders when playing at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Spartans have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and Maryland has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. 10* CBB Maryland-Michigan State ESPN2 O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (645) and the Michigan State Spartans (646). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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02-05-23 |
Niagara v. Siena UNDER 130.5 |
Top |
56-54 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
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At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Niagara Purple Eagles (839) and the Siena Saints (840). THE SITUATION: Niagara (12-9) has won three games in a row after their 76-73 victory against Canisius as a 4-point favorite on Friday. Siena (15-8) had won two games in a row before their 71-66 upset loss at Manhattan as a 5.5-point favorite on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Purple Eagles have played 35 of their last 52 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Niagara goes back on the road where they rank 48th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 48.0% — and they rank in the top-64 in the nation in 3-point defense and inside the arc. And while the Purple Eagles rank 250th in the nation with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 101.6, that mark plummets to 95.5 when playing on the road in hostile environments, ranking 306th in the nation. They only make 44.7% of their shots inside the arc in these true road games, ranking 307th in the nation. Niagara has played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total on the road — including five of their last six games away from home. They have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Siena allowed Manhattan to make 44.9% of their shots on Friday which was the worst defensive effort in their last six games. The Saints have the second-best Adjusted Defensive Efficiency mark in conference play in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. Siena has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss to a conference rival — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after an upset loss. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing for the second time in three days. They return home where they are making only 47.8% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 298th in the nation. The Saints have played their last 4 games at home Under the Total — and the Under is a decisive 30-12-2 in their last 44 games at home against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less when playing on the road. Siena has also played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130-134.5 point range.
FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams play at a slow pace. The Saints see 66.6 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 209th in the nation — and they average 19.0 seconds per possession, ranking 325th in the nation. Siena’s opponents average 16.9 seconds per possession which is the 45th quickest clip in the nation — but now they play a Purple Eagles team that averages 20.4 seconds per game, ranking 361st in the nation. Niagara averages 62.3 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 353rd in the nation. Both of these teams are going to crawl in this game. 25* CBB Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Niagara Purple Eagles (839) and the Siena Saints (840). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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01-31-23 |
UNLV v. Colorado State OVER 142.5 |
Top |
83-71 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 11 m |
Show
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At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (637) and the Colorado State Rams (638). THE SITUATION: UNLV (14-7) has won two in a row after their 68-62 victory against Nevada as a 1-point favorite on Saturday. Colorado State (10-12) has lost three games in a row after their 80-59 loss at Boise State as an 8.5-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Rams only made 41.1 of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last seven games. This is a surprise since Colorado State ranks 20th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 54.8% — and they are 13th in the nation by nailing 56.2% of their shots inside the arc. The Rams also allowed the Broncos to make 59.2% of their shots — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest. Additionally, the Over is 7-1-1 in Colorado State’s last 9 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. And while the Rams have lost four of their last five games, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. They return home where they are scoring 81.3 Points-Per-Game. Colorado State makes 41.3% of their shots from behind the arc on their home court, the 30th-best mark in the country. The Runnin’ Rebels are last in the Mountain West Conference by allowing their opponents to nail 41.5% of their 3-pointers. UNLV also ranks 246th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 51.8%. The Over is 6-0-1 in the Rams’ last 7 games at home. Furthermore, Colorado State has played 6 straight Overs against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. But the Rams rank 9th in the Mountain West in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — so they are going to give up their share of points. UNLV held the Wolf Pack to just 36.4% shooting on Saturday which was the best defensive effort in their last 12 contests. And while that final score flew Under the 140.5 point total for that game, the Runnin’ Rebels have then played 5 straight Overs after playing an Under in their last game. They have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. Now UNLV goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home.
FINAL TAKE: Colorado State has seen three of their last five games go into overtime — including their 82-81 upset win in Las Vegas against the Runnin’ Rebels as a 5.5-point underdog on January 14th so perhaps we can catch a break with an extra five minutes in this one. We should not need the additional time — UNLV has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with revenge and they have played 6 straight Overs when avenging a loss by three points or less. 25* CBB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (637) and the Colorado State Rams (638). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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01-27-23 |
UC-Santa Barbara v. Hawaii UNDER 128 |
Top |
65-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
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At 12:00 AM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (837) and the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (838). THE SITUATION: UC-Santa Barbara (16-3) has won three straight games after their 76-58 victory against CS-Bakersfield as a 17-point favorite on Saturday. Hawai’i (15-5) has won three of their last four contests with their 67-63 upset win at UC-Riverside as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Hawai’i pulled the upset against the Highlanders by making 45.3% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last five contests. The Rainbow Warriors have played 6 straight Unders after an upset win against a Big West Conference rival — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after beating a conference rival in their last contest. Additionally, Hawai’i has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Rainbow Warriors held UC-Riverside to just 31.9% to help earn this win. They rank 5th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 43.0%. Hawai’i is outstanding in defending the perimeter as they rank 5th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 25.5% shooting from behind the arc. But they also make things very difficult for their opponents inside the arc as they are only hitting 44.2% of their 2-point shots, ranking 16th in the nation. The Rainbow Warriors return home where they rank 24th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Hawai’i has played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total when favored by up to six points. UC-Santa Barbara comes off their worst defensive effort of the season after allowing the Roadrunners to nail 51.1% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have given up all year. The Gauchos survived by shooting 53.4% from the field themselves which was actually the lowest field goal percentage in their last three games. UC-Santa Barbara has played 31 of their last 45 games Under the Total after making 50% or more of their shots in two straight games. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road after winning their last game. Furthermore, the Gauchos have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point-spread win. And while their last game finished Over the Total, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing an Over in their last game. Now after playing their last two games at home, they go back on the road where their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency drops from ranking 62nd in the nation on their home court to a rough 227th ranking in their eight true road games. But while ranking 243rd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing at home, they dramatically improve in their away games on the road or neutral courts by ranking 33rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. UC-Santa Barbara has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Gauchos have held their last five opponents to just 41.8% shooting which has resulted in only 57.6 Points-Per-Game. UC-Santa Barbara is an excellent shooting team inside the arc where they rank 23rd in the nation by making 55.5% of their 2-pointers. But Hawai’i can pack inside the paint against this team and dare them to take 3s where they rank 347th in the nation by making only 27.0% of their 3-pointers when playing away from home.
FINAL TAKE: UC-Santa Barbara has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and the Rainbow Warriors have played 5 of their last 6 games at home Under the Total with the Total set no higher than 129.5. 25* CBB Big West Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (837) and the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (838). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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