Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-15-18 | Weber State v. Portland State OVER 160.5 | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Weber State Wildcats (607) and the Portland State Vikings (608). Weber State (17-7) has won seven straight games with their 71-66 win over Northern Colorado on Saturday as a 3-point favorite. The Wildcats made just 43.5% of their shots which was their worst offensive effort in their last five contests. This Weber State team made up for their poor shooting performance by holding the Bears to just a 34.2% shooting mark which was their best defensive performance in their last ten contests. The Wildcats have seen the Over go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Weber State has played 6 straight road games Over the Total after a win by 6 points or less. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 16 of their last 20 games Over the Total. They also have played 20 of their last 26 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. And in their last 9 road games as an underdog of 6 points or less, the Wildcats have played 8 of these games Over the Total. Weber State has covered the point spread in six of their last seven games — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. And in the last 9 road games against teams with a winning record after 15 games into the season, the Wildcats have played all 9 games Over the Total. |
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02-14-18 | Thunder v. Grizzlies UNDER 208.5 | Top | 121-114 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (719) and the Memphis Grizzlies (720). Oklahoma City (32-260 has lost two of their last three games — as well as six of their last eight contests — with their 120-112 upset loss to Cleveland last night as 3-point favorites. The Thunder saw the new-look Cavs’ made 51.1% of their shots which tied for their worst defensive effort in their last six games. Oklahoma City has then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a favorite. The Thunder have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team now goes back on the road where the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Oklahoma City has also played 4 of the last games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall. Additionally, the Thunder have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents. |
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02-12-18 | Clippers v. Nets UNDER 223 | Top | 114-101 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (705) and the Brooklyn Nets (706). Los Angeles (28-26) saw their three-game winning streaks snapped on Saturday with their 112-98 loss at Philadelphia as a 5-point favorite. The Clippers allowed the 76ers to make 47.8% of their shots in that game which was their worst defensive effort in their last six games. Los Angeles has played 6 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Clippers have also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, Los Angeles has played 4 straight games Under the Total when on the road. They also have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against Eastern Conference opponents. Furthermore, while the Clippers have played seven straight games Under the Total, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games Under the Total. And in their last 25 games in the month of February, LA has played 17 of these games Under the Total. |
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02-10-18 | Gonzaga v. St. Mary's UNDER 146.5 | Top | 78-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Gonzaga Bulldogs (679) and the St. Mary’s Gaels (680). St. Mary’s (24-2) continues to roll as they enter this game coming off an 83-62 win at Loyola-Marymount on Thursday as a 13-point favorite. This is an excellent offensive basketball team — but they are not likely to come close to replicating their 64% shooting mark that they enjoyed against the Lions which was their best offensive performance in their last seven games. St. Mary’s has played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after shooting at least 55% from the field. And while the Gaels have made at least 50.8% of their shots in three straight games, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after shooting at least 50% from the field in three straight games. St. Mary’s has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Under is also a decisive 64-29-2 in the Gaels’ last 95 games after a straight-up win. Now this team returns home where they have played 7 straight games Under the Total. St. Mary’s has also played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Gaels have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 16 games in conference play, the Under is 12-3-1. |
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02-10-18 | Wizards v. Bulls OVER 215 | Top | 101-90 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (507) and the Chicago Bulls (508). Washington (31-24) has lost two straight games with their 110-104 loss to Boston on Thursday as a 2-point underdog. The Wizards shot just 40% from the field in that game which was their worst shooting effort in their last five contests. Washington has made at lest 51.8% of their shots in four of the seven games they have played since the injury to John Wall. The Over is 9-1-1 in the Wizards’ last 11 games after a straight-up loss. Washington has also played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Wizards have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total. And in their last 8 games against fellow Eastern Conference opponents, Washington has played 7 of these games Over the Total. |
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02-08-18 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 212 | Top | 98-100 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (501) and the Orlando Magic (502). Atlanta (17-37) has won two games in a row with their 108-82 win over Memphis on Tuesday as a 3-point favorite. The Hawks are playing better defense as of late as they held the Grizzlies to just a 43% shooting percentage from the field after holding the Knicks to a 43.6% from the field in their last game. Atlanta also made 50.6% of their shots in that game which appears to be an outlier as that was their best offensive effort in their last eleven contests. The Hawks have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Atlanta has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 18 of their last 24 games Under the Total against fellow Southeast Division rivals. The Hawks have also played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 27 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, Atlanta has played 20 of these games Under the Total. |
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02-07-18 | George Mason v. Fordham OVER 136.5 | Top | 66-67 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the George Mason Patriots (723) and the Fordham Rams (724). George Mason (10-13) snapped their four-game losing streak on Saturday with their 79-75 upset win at Richmond as a 7-point underdog. The Patriots held the Spiders to just a 38% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort of the season. George Mason has still allowed their last five opponents to make 46.9% of their shots even with that strong effort — so the Regression Gods are likely to make an appearance tonight. The Patriots have allowed at least 75 points in eight straight games — and they have then played 8 straight games Over thew Total after allowing at least 75 points in two straight games. Additionally, George Mason has played a decisive 42 of their last 61 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total. The Patriots have also played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Furthermore, George Mason has played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 8 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, the Patriots gave played 7 of these games Over the Total. |
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02-06-18 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 211.5 | Top | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (511) and the Philadelphia 76ers (512). Washington (31-22) is on fire since losing John Wall for six to eight weeks with a knee injury. They have won five games in a row since losing their point guard after their 111-102 win at Indiana last night. The Wizards are making 51.2% of their shots over this five-game winning streak while making at least 51.8% of their shots in four of those five games. The difference clearly seems to be a renewed commitment to passing the basketball. Washington is assisting on a whopping 73.9% of the field goals since the Wall injury. They have produced at least 27 assists in each of their last five games which is a franchise record. This is the Wizards third game in a row on the road — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after winning at least two straight games on the road. Washington has also played 28 of their last 39 games Over the Total when playing without a day of rest. Additionally, the Wizards have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 4 straight road games Over the Total against a team with a winning record at home. |
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02-04-18 | Eagles v. Patriots OVER 48 | Top | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 253 h 10 m | Show |
At 6:30 PM ET on Sunday, February 4th, we will be playing Over the Total in the Super Bowl between the Philadelphia Eagles (101) and the New England Patriots (102). New England (15-3) reached the Super Bowl with their 24-20 win over Jacksonville in the AFC Championship Game. The Patriots offense was slowed down a bit from both Rob Gronkowski’s concussion as well as a questionable fumble call on running back Deion Lewis for what was looking like a touchdown drive midway through the second-half. That game finished below the 46-point total for that game — but New England has still played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total in the playoffs. The Patriots have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as the number one seed in the playoffs. This offense has been remarkably consistent this season. For the year, they are scoring 28.7 PPG while averaging 393.3 total YPG. In their eight games away from this season, New England is scoring 27.9 PPG while averaging 398.9 total YPG. In their last three contests, the Pats are scoring 28.3 PPG while averaging 370.7 total YPG. And in their twelve games played on field turf this year, New England is scoring 28.4 PPG while generating 392.2 total YPG. In fact, the Patriots have played a decisive 67 of their last 100 games Over the Total when playing on field turf which includes not only their home games but also those away games on turf which is the surface for this Super Bowl in Minnesota. Gronkowski should be able to play in this game with two weeks to get through the concussion protocol (and how high is his normal baseline test that he has to reach anyways?). At full strength, this New England offense is simply loaded with diverse weapons this season. Tom Brady has much more options at his disposal than the one last year that scored 34 points in overtime in their win over the Falcons. SUPER BOWL PROPOSITIONS BETTING CARD. Please note that this Prop Bets Report is only a bonus; the Guarantee policy applies only to the Super Bowl Over part of this Report. Thanks, Frank. Our Best Bet Wager is on the Tom Brady completing more passes than Nick Foles with the line at -3 passes — priced at -170 at Bovada. To be clear, Brady has to complete four more passes than Foles to win this bet (with Brady completing three more passes than Foles pushing the bet). Philadelphia is more anxious to run the football to control the line of scrimmage while burning time off the clock to keep the Patriots offense off the field. New England will pass a bit more for two reasons in addition to that. First, they are going to run more plays on offense because it is highly likely they will operate their no-huddle offense to attempt to thwart the Eagles ability to rotate players on the defensive line. Second, Jim Schwartz’s defense will likely protect the deeper ball which will leave a soft underbelly for 5 to 7 yard passing plays — and Brady has shown a proclivity to be very happy to nickel-and-dime his way down the field with these short passes. I much prefer a Brady-Completions Bet to a Brady-Passing Yards Bet for this reason. Additionally, if the Eagles are winning this game in the second half, they will move to running the ball even more. However, even if the Patriots are winning in the second half, the trust in Brady is so high that they will continue to pass the ball with those short but safe passes. |
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02-01-18 | Thunder v. Nuggets UNDER 217.5 | Top | 124-127 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (509) and the Denver Nuggets (510). Oklahoma City (30-21) saw their eight-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 102-96 loss to the Wizards as a 3-point favorite. The Thunder did play one of their best defensive games of the season as they held Washington to just a 38.2% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last twenty games. That was a very encouraging performance for this team that will be without their best defensive player in Andre Roberson for the rest of the season with his leg injury last weekend. The Thunder stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Oklahoma City has also played 11 of their last 13 road games Under the Total against fellow Northwest Division opponents. Furthermore, the Thunder have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against Northwest Division opponents overall. Additionally, the Under is 5-0-1 in Oklahoma City’s last 6 games against teams with a winning record. |
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01-31-18 | Mavs v. Suns UNDER 210 | Top | 88-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (715) and then Phoenix Suns (716). Dallas (16-35) has lost four straight games — as well as seven of their last eight contests — with their 95-88 loss to Miami. The Mavericks have then played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Dallas has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a loss at home. Now the Mavs go back on the road — and they have played 13 of their last 19 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, Dallas has played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. |
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01-31-18 | Wyoming v. Colorado State OVER 149 | Top | 91-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (769) and the Colorado State Rams (770). Wyoming (14-7) has won three games in a row with their 90-86 win at San Jose State as an 11-point favorite on Saturday. The Cowboys have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played a decisive 44 of the last 58 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Wyoming has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. That win over the Spartans finished well over the 141.5 point total for that game — and they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished above the number. In fact, the Cowboys have played four straight Overs — and they have then played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. Wyoming will be looking to avenge a 78-73 upset loss to the Rams back on January 13th — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss to their opponent. The Cowboys have also played 7 straight Overs when attempting to avenge a same-season loss. Furthermore, Wyoming has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against fellow Mountain Western Conference opponents. |
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01-25-18 | Long Beach State v. Cal Poly OVER 150 | Top | 87-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Long Beach State 49ers (557) and the Cal-Poly SLO Mustangs (558). Long Beach State (10-12) has won three of their last four games with their 81-73 win over Cal-State Fullerton last Saturday as a 2.5-point favorite. The 49ers have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. Additionally, while that game barely finished below the 156 point total, they have then played 6 straight games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Long Beach State has also played 22 of their last 32 road games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em. And in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, the Over is 4-1-1. |
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01-23-18 | Creighton v. St. John's UNDER 156 | Top | 68-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Blue Jays (541) and the St. John’s Red Storm (542). Creighton (15-5) has lost two of their last three games with their 85-71 loss at Providence on Saturday as a 1.5-point underdog. The Blue Jays’ defensive effort was lacking in that contest as they allowed the Friars to shoot 53.4% which was their worst defensive effort in their last thirteen games. But Creighton also shot just 39.4% from the field in that game which was their worst offensive effort in their last fifteen contests. But while the Blue Jays are making 50.4% of their shots overall, they see that number drop to just a 45.4% mark when on the road — so a complete reversal of fortune on the offensive end of the court is unlikely. Creighton has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Blue Jays have also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total in Big East play. Additionally, Creighton has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total in the month of January. Moving forward, the Blue Jays have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as a favorite of 6 points or less. And in their last 15 games listed in the +/- 3-point range, Creighton has played 10 of these games Under the Total. |
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01-22-18 | Nebraska v. Ohio State UNDER 139 | Top | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 1 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers (725) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (726). Nebraska (14-7) has won two straight games after their 72-52 upset win over Michigan as a 5-point underdog. the Cornhuskers shot 55.3% from the field which was their best offensive performance in their last fifteen games. But now this Nebraska team goes back on the road where they are making just 39.3% of their shots. The Cornhuskers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Nebraska has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 7 games on the road, the Cornhuskers have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, Nebraska has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games against fellow Big Ten opponents, the Cornhuskers have played 6 of these games Under the Total. |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots OVER 46.5 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -101 | 105 h 37 m | Show |
BRADY WRIST-GATE UPDATE (Friday): The line has moved down to New England to the 45 point total range with the news that Tom Brady injured his throwing wrist in practice. I released my AFC plays before this took place (taking the Over at 46.5). The Patriots’ Beat Writer says that the “chatter” is that Brady injured the area between his thumb forefinger. Brady can still throw but his snaps under center may be limited. Pain is the biggest issue (and he will likely be shot up before kickoff). That all said, in general, I don’t let rumors of injuries sway my handicapping on a game — so my recommendation is to just ride things out (like I am) if you you have already invested in this play. If you have yet to bet, I would jump all over any 45s you can find and be happy with -45.5. I am not letting these rumors diffuse from the strong fundamental play on the Over. For those needing a pick me up, I did hear that Brady has, in fact, thrown some passes in practice. It makes sense for the Pats to exhibit extreme caution with their veteran. Brady still benefited from just walking through the Thursday/Friday practices where specific offensive game plans and Red Zone plays were worked on — and many former NFL QBs argued that just walking through those plays to intellectualize them is all Brady really needs. Thanks, Frank. At 3:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars (311) and the New England Patriots (312). Jacksonville (12-6) reached the AFC Championship Game with their 45-42 upset win at Pittsburgh last Sunday as a 7-point underdog. The Jaguars have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Jags scored a defensive touchdown in that game while enjoying a +2 net turnover margin — and they then played 7 straight games Over the Total after a game where they enjoyed a +2 net turnover margin. Jacksonville generated 378 yards of offense in that game — and they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Jags have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. This Jacksonville offense is underrated — they ranked 5th in the NFL by scoring 26.1 PPG while ranking 6th by averaging 365.9 total YPG. After last week’s explosion, the Jags are averaging 28.1 PPG when playing on the road. The irony of this team is they are also a bit overrated when it comes to the strength of their defense. They allowed Ben Roethlisberger to pass for 462 yards en route to their 545 total yards of offense for the Steelers — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. The Jaguars finished 2nd in the NFL in both points allowed (16.8 PPG) and total yardage (286.1 total YPG) — but check out their strength of schedule. Jacksonville was able to pad their numbers with NFL’s least productive division in terms of offense in the AFC South against Tennessee, Indianapolis and Houston (they were fortunate to avoid QB DeShaun Watson both times). Throw in additional games against Cleveland, Baltimore in Week Three (that London game when their offense was ravaged with injuries and still finding itself), Cincinnati in Week Seven (when their offensive line was imploding) and then Buffalo in the Wild Card game. Then throw in their first game with the Steelers where they won by a 30-9 score with the benefit of two defensive touchdowns and five interceptions — and they allowed 65 combined points for a measly 6.5 PPG scoring average in those top ten defensive performances. There are six games — representing 33% of their results this year that should raise eyebrows for the wrong reasons: last week against the Steelers where they allowed 42 points and 545 yards of offense; allowing 44 points and 364 yards of offense against a Jimmy Garoppolo-led 49ers offense on December 24th; allowing 27 points and 344 yards of offense led by Blaine Gabbert; allowing 27 points in a loss to the LA Rams on October 15th; allowing 23 points and a whopping 471 yards in a loss to the Jets on October 1st; allowing 37 points and 390 yards of offense to Titans back on September 17th. Of their eighteen games including their two in the playoffs, Jacksonville has played six playoff teams (with the Bills and Steelers’ second-meeting being in the actual playoffs). They are 3-3 overall in those games — but they are allowing 22.2 PPG and 341.7 total YPG in those six contests. Of course, the Jaguars had the benefit of facing the likely two worst teams to make the playoffs in Tennessee (twice) and Buffalo in the Wildcard round. Take away those three games to just assess how this Jaguars defense performed against Pittsburgh (twice) and the LA Rams and the results are simply unimpressive: 26.0 PPG and 388.3 total YPG allowed. Where this Jags’ defense struggles when compares to those Super Bowl winning Ravens and Giants teams that defeated the Brady/Belichick combo is in run defense. Jacksonville ranked 21st in the NFL during the regular season by allowing 116.2 rushing YPG. This is where the Patriots will attack. |
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01-20-18 | Coyotes v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -135 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Coyotes (17) and the St. Louis Blues (18). Arizona (10-28-5) has lost five straight games with their 3-2 loss in Nashville on Thursday. The Coyotes have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game. Arizona has also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. This Coyotes team is scoring only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game this season. They will go with their top goaltender tonight in Antti Raanta whose .917 save percentage on the road is exactly the same as it is when playing at home. Arizona has played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total on the road — and this includes playing six straight Unders when on the road against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice. |
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01-18-18 | NC-Wilmington v. College of Charleston OVER 150 | Top | 76-80 | Win | 104 | 1 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (519) and the College of Charleston Cougars (520). UNC-Wilmington (5-13) has lost three of their last four games with their 81-77 loss to Northeastern on Saturday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Seahawks have then played 10 of their last 12 road games Over the Total after playing a game at home where both teams scored at least 75 points. UNC-Wilmington has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total. Additionally, the Seahawks have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 5 games against Colonial Athletic Conference opponents, UNC-Wilmington has played 4 of these games Over the Total. |
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01-16-18 | North Dakota v. North Dakota State OVER 148.5 | Top | 86-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (547) and the North Dakota State Bison (548). North Dakota State (10-8) has won two of their last three games with their 82-64 win over Oral Roberts on Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite. We had the Over in that game and won that play with the number finishing around 140.5 despite the Bison holding the Golden Eagles to just a 31.7% shooting mark which was their best defensive performance of the season. North Dakota State has then played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 16 of their last 22 home games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. The Bison stay at home for this game where they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 11 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall, North Dakota State has played 7 of these games Over the Total. |
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01-15-18 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 234 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (715) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (716). Cleveland (716). Cleveland (26-16) has lost seven of their last nine games after their 97-95 loss in Indiana on Friday as a 1.5-point favorite. The Cavaliers have lost their last two games despite being the favorite — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after suffering at least two straight upset losses. Cleveland has also played 12 straight games Over the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 33 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Now this team returns home for the first time since January 2nd after playing five straight games on the road — and they have played 9 straight home games Over the Total after being on the road for at least seven days. Cleveland has also played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. This is a rematch of the Christmas Day game between these two teams that finished well below the 216 Total with the Warriors winning by a 99-92 score. We had a big play on the Over that day — and neither team could hit the side of a barn that day. The Cavaliers made just 31.8% of their shots along with making only 27% of their 3-pointers. They should shoot much better tonight as they have a 48.6% shooting percentage along with a 37.6% mark behind the arc when playing at home. Of course, Cleveland has since seen Isaiah Thomas return from injury — and his insertion into this rivalry should help the scoring on both sides since he is both a prolific scorer and a liability on defense because of his size. It is interesting that the Total has been installed in the 230s for this game like the Totals ended in last year’s NBA Finals — even after a combined 191 points were scored between these two teams three weeks ago. It looks easy to take the Under — and that makes me feel even more comfortable with this contrarian play. |
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01-13-18 | Titans v. Patriots OVER 47 | Top | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (303) and the New England Patriots (304). New England (13-3) has been a favorite laying at least 13 points three times in the AFC Divisional Round of the Playoffs in the Bill Belichick-Tom Brady era. The results were as follows: a 34-16 win over Houston last year with the Total at 44; a 45-10 win over Denver in 2012 with the Total set at 50; a 31-20 win over Jacksonville with the Total set at 51. While the Total was 2-0-1 for those three games, all three games saw at least 50 combined points scored with the Patriots averaging 36.7 PPG over that stretch. If New England approaches that number in this game, then this game should go safely Over the Total. The Patriots enter this game with momentum as they followed up their 37-16 win over Buffalo in Week 16 with a 26-6 victory over the Jets to close out their regular season. New England has then played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning at least two straight games by double-digits. The Patriots are averaging 29.4 PPG at home this season — and they have not only played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total at home but they have also played 9 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. Furthermore, New England has played 6 straight playoff games at home Over the Total. And in their last 8 games in the AFC Divisional Playoffs, the Over is 7-0-1. |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles OVER 41 | Top | 10-15 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 31 m | Show |
At 4:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (301) and the Philadelphia Eagles (302). Atlanta (11-6) has now played six straight games Under the Total given the steadily improved play of their defense combining with too many bettors not catching up to the reality that this Falcons offense is not as powerful this year as the one last year that led the NFL by scoring 33.8 PPG. This Total opened in the 43.5 range and has been bet down to 41 — and that is simply too low for how this game will likely play out. For starters, both these teams have amped up the number of offensive plays they are generating per game. Atlanta leads all teams left in the Playoffs by averaging 68.0 offensive plays per game over their last four contests — and that is well above their 62.5 offensive plays per game average for the regular season which was just 25th in the league. They now face an Eagles team that opponents passed the ball against in 61.4% of their offensive plays which was 3rd most this season. It stands to reason that the Falcons will emphasize the pass in this game considering that this Philadelphia team led the NFL by allowing a 79.2 rushing YPG. Atlanta behind Matt Ryan has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total in the Playoffs. The Over is also 11-4-2 in the Falcons’ last 17 games in the month of January. Additionally, the Over is 3-1-1 in Atlanta’s last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And while the Falcons come off their 26-13 upset win in Los Angeles as a 6.5-point underdog against the Rams last week, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after upset win as a road underdog. |
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01-11-18 | Spurs v. Lakers OVER 210.5 | Top | 81-93 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (507) and the Los Angeles Lakers (508). Los Angeles (13-27) played their best defensive game of the season on Tuesday when they held the Kings to just 34.5% shooting in their 99-86 victory. Even with that strong defensive performance, the Lakers have allowed their last five opponents make 46% of their shots which is right in line with their 45.9% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. Los Angeles did see the return of their rookie point guard Lonzo Ball who bolstered the offense with 11 assists along with pulling down 11 rebounds. While Ball’s shooting numbers have been disparaged by his many critics this season, his contributions to his team as the Floor General have been unappreciated. The Lakers have covered the point spread in two straight games — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in their last two games. Los Angeles stays at home in the Staples Center for this game where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, the Lakers have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. |
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01-11-18 | Denver v. North Dakota State OVER 138 | Top | 67-61 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Pioneers (587) and the North Dakota State Bison (588). North Dakota State (9-7) has won four of their last five games with their 84-79 upset win at South Dakota as an 8-point underdog. The Bison nailed 52.8% of their shots in that win — and that momentum may very well carry over into tonight’s game. North Dakota State has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And with that game with the Coyotes ending far above the 142.5 point total in that game, the Bison have now played a decisive 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total against fellow Summit League members. North Dakota State stays at home for this contest where they are shooting a slick 52.6% from the field. The Bison have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total on their home court — and they have played eight of their last nine home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Defense is an issue for this team as they are allowing Summit foes to make 47% of their shots. Additionally, North Dakota State has played 6 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. |
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01-08-18 | Alabama v. Georgia OVER 44 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 89 h 51 m | Show |
At 8:45 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the National Championship Game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (151) and the Georgia Bulldogs (152). Alabama (12-1) flexed their muscles on defense last Monday by holding Clemson to just 188 yards of offense en route to their 24-6 win over the Tigers. Considering that the Crimson Tide generated just 261 yards of offense against the Clemson defense, it might appear that the Under is the preferred totals play when they face off against another Top-Ten defense in this Alabama team. But each game has its own internal narrative. The third contest in the Crimson Tide-Tigers trilogy played out as a defensive battle. Don’t be surprised if this Alabama-Georgia showdown between two teams of similar compositions ends up seeing much more offense — and with a Total set in just the mid-40s. The Crimson Tide have seen the Over go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their lsat game. And while Alabama has played three straight games that finished Under the Total, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight games that finished Under the Total. Remember that while this Crimson Tide team has the nation’s top scoring defense (11.1 PPG) and total defense (252.4 YPG), they are no slouches on offense either. Alabama was 12th in the nation by scoring 37.9 PPG while averaging 449.7 total YPG (27th in the FBS). And remember that these offensive numbers are a little lower than they could be since their outstanding defense helped them earn comfortable leads without putting up Oklahoma-like numbers. An elite defense is nothing new for a Nick Saban-coached team. Yet they have played 10 of their last 14 Bowl games Over the Total — and this includes playing five of their last six games in the month of January Over the Total. |
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01-07-18 | Panthers v. Saints UNDER 48 | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 51 m | Show |
At 4:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Panthers (107) and the New Orleans Saints (108). Carolina (11-5) will be facing this Saints’ offense for the third time this season — and that should give an advantage to their defense given this familiarity. The Panthers have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total against NFC South rivals — and this includes playing four of their last five games Under the Total against divisional rivals. Carolina looks to bounce-back from their 22-10 loss in Atlanta last week with that final score falling far below that 44.5 point total. The Panthers offense managed to generate just 248 yards of offense in that game. Carolina also allowed 371 yards in that contest — and the Under is then 9-3-1 in their last 13 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Panthers have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing in a domed stadium. They only generate 308.2 YPG when playing on the road this season. But this stout Carolina defense only allows the home team to score 19.6 PPG while limiting them to just 303.2 total YPG. |
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01-06-18 | Titans v. Chiefs UNDER 44.5 | Top | 22-21 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (101) and the Kansas City Chiefs (102). Kansas City (10-6) has won four straight games with their 27-24 win at Denver as a 3-point underdog last Sunday. The Chiefs have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now this team returns home where they are holding their visitors to just 16.9 PPG. This Kansas City team scores 24.1 PPG on their home field — and that is 1.8 PPG lower than their 25.9 PPG seasonal average. They also only generate 343.1 total YPG which is over 30 YPG lower than their 375.4 total YPG mark. The Chiefs have played a decisive 44 of their last 63 games Under the Total on their home field. They also have played 14 of their last 20 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 5 playoff games at home, Kansas City has played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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01-05-18 | Penguins v. Islanders OVER 6 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (51) and the New York Islanders (52). New York (20-17-3) has lost four straight games with their 6-4 loss in Philadelphia last night. The Islanders have then seen the Over go 16-5-1 in their last 22 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. The Over is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest. Additionally, New York has played 21 of their last 26 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished above the number. This team returns home where they are scoring 4.0 Goals-Per-Game. The Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games on home ice. Some of the issue is goaltending for all these Overs. Their top goalie, Jaroslav Halak who will be between the pipes tonight, has a mediocre 3.0 Goals-Against-Average with a middling .913 save percentage on home ice this season. Moving forward, the Islanders have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. New York has also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against fellow Metropolitan Division opponents. And the Islanders will be playing with revenge on their minds after their 4-3 loss at Pittsburgh back on December 7th. Not only has New York then played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss to their opponent but they have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when their opponent scored at least four goals in that victory. |
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01-02-18 | Hofstra v. Northeastern OVER 149.5 | Top | 71-70 | Loss | -110 | 0 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Hofstra Pride (525) and the Northeastern Huskies (526). Hofstra (7-6) has lost three straight games after their 90-87 loss at William & Mary on Saturday as a 2-point underdog. The Pride have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now Hofstra stays on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total — and they have played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Pride allow their home hosts to make 50.6% of their shots. That is one of the reasons why they have played 12 of their last 15 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6 or less points. |
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12-31-17 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 44.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (331) and the Los Angeles Rams (332). Los Angeles (11-4) will be resting a few key players — including quarterback Jared Goff and running back Todd Gurley — in this game with their slot in the NFC Playoffs as either the third or fourth seed secured. That means that the QB for this game will be Sean Mannion while the bell cow running back will be Malcolm Brown. While those names are not encouraging, the Rams defense should still be in good shape under defensive coordinator Wade Phillips. In fact, Phillips will want to see many adjustments made from the 41-39 game that the Rams won in the first meeting between these two teams back on September 21st. Los Angeles enters this game coming off their 27-23 win at Tennessee last week as a 5.5-point favorite. The Rams have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning a game on the road where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. Los Angeles has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. The Rams return home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. Los Angeles has also played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 8 home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, the Rams have played 6 of these games Under the Total. |
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12-31-17 | Texans v. Colts UNDER 42 | Top | 13-22 | Win | 100 | 1 h 12 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (315) and the Indianapolis Colts (316). Houston (4-11) has lost five straight games after their 34-6 loss to Pittsburgh on Christmas Day. The Texans managed only 227 yards of offense behind quarterbacks T.J. Yates and Taylor Heinicke — and the team will be without their All-World wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins. As it is, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. The Texans have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Additionally, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to generate at least 250 yards of offense. And in their last 10 games after failing to score at least 15 points, the Texans have played 8 of these games Under the Total. The team had to resign QB Josh Johnson off the streets this week with both their quarterbacks going through the concussion protocol this week. Yates has been cleared to start — but he completed just 19 of 47 passes for 211 yards and a QB Rating of 50.9 in his Houston has not scored a point in the first-half in their last two games — and they have then played 21 of their last 28 road games Under the Total after failing to score more than a touchdown in the first-half in two straight games. |
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12-29-17 | Utah State v. New Mexico State OVER 63 | Top | 20-26 | Loss | -116 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
At 5:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Arizona Bowl between the Utah State Aggies (253) and the New Mexico State Aggies (254). Utah State (6-6) enters this game coming off a 38-35 loss at Air Force as a 2.5-point favorite back on November 25th. Utah State has then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Utah State gained 521 yards in that losing effort — and they have then played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. And in their last 4 games against teams outside the Mountain West Conference, the Aggies have played all 4 games Over the Total. |
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12-25-17 | Raiders v. Eagles UNDER 46.5 | Top | 10-19 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oakland Raiders (131) and the Philadelphia Eagles (132). Philadelphia (12-2) enters this game coming off a 34-29 win in New York against the Giants on the heels of a 43-35 win in Los Angeles against the Rams. Those two games went Over the Total by 22 and 31 points respectively which may make it tempting for some bettors to expect another Over tonight. There are a host of empirical situational angles that help inform my decisions that do not end up being documented in my Reports but I wanted to highlight this one that identifies the contrarian play regarding the Under with the Eagles. After the first month of the season in games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, when one team has played their last two games Over the Total by at least two touchdowns, these games finished Under the Total in 34 of the last 44 situations (77%) where these conditions applied. The Eagles should see a much better effort from their defense after giving up 64 combined points over their last two games. Philly has played 5 of the last 6 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored — and they have also played 15 of their last 18 home games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least 50 combined points were scored. Additionally, the Eagles have played 37 of their last 54 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored in two straight contests. Philadelphia has also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after two straight wins on the road. Returning home after playing a rigorous three straight games on the road should help this defense. On their home field, the Eagles are allowing only 15.2 PPG along with just 278.3 total YPG — and they have not given up more than 24 points at home all season. Furthermore, the Eagles have played 11 of their last 18 home games Under the Total as the favorite which includes playing their last two games Under the Total when favored in the 7.5 to 14 point range. |
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12-25-17 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 216.5 | Top | 92-99 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
At 3:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (703) and the Golden State Warriors (704). Over six months after last year’s NBA Finals, it is safe to give away a trade secret: I was pounding the Over in the NBA Finals because the betting public and the oddsmakers were behind on appreciating the style of play that the Cavaliers were deciding to engage against the Warriors. While I expect more of the same for this early regular season game in this marquee television matchup, too much will have changed by the time the 2018 NBA Finals rolls around to ensure near automatic Overs if there is a third sequel between these two teams. The oddsmakers set the number rather high for Game One of the NBA Finals last year at 224.5 — and the Under hit with Cleveland shooting just 34.9% from the field in a Golden State blowout. The Total dropped to 222 and we pounded the Over in what turned out to be the Warriors’ 132-113 victory. The number jumped to 226.5 for Game Three and we still took the Over and got there with Golden State’s 118-113 victory. For Game Four, the number climbed to 227 yet we kept the Over going and won easily with the Cavs’ 137-116 victory. That finally prompted the oddsmakers to traverse the 230 Total threshold with the number placed at 231. We still took the Over and were rewarded with a 129-120 score with the Warriors closing out that series. With this Total for a regular season game with a reconfigured Cavs’ roster facing a Golden State team without Steph Curry who is injured, lets still pound the Over. The Warriors side of this equation is rudimentary. Golden State (26-7) saw their eleven-game winning streak snapped on Saturday in a 96-81 loss to Denver despite being an 8-point favorite. The Warriors shot just 38.6% from the field which was their worst shooting effort in their last twenty-two games. Expect Golden State to come out firing on all cylinders. Not only has Golden State played 6 straight games Over the Total after an upset loss but they have played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total after an upset loss by at least 15 points as a home favorite. While the team certainly misses Curry, they still have plenty of offensive firepower with Kevin Durant, Klay Thompson along with Draymond Green and Shaun Livingston who are both listed as probable after dealing with nagging injuries. The Warriors have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. |
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12-25-17 | Akron v. Davidson UNDER 149.5 | Top | 78-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
At 12:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (711) and the Davidson Wildcats (712) in the Diamond’s Head Classic. This game first consolation match on the last day of this holiday tournament in Hawai’i will be played at 7:30 AM local time to accommodate the early afternoon tipoff on the east coast for the ESPNU national audience. Expect both teams to be a bit sluggish for this one. Akron (6-4) has lost two straight games after their 64-62 loss to Princeton on Saturday as a 5.5-point underdog. The Zips have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Akron has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing their second game in three days — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day or less between games. Furthermore, the Zips have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams outside the Mid-American Conference. And in their last 21 road games against non-conference foes, Akron has played 15 of these games Under the Total. And in their last 7 games played on a neutral court, the Zips have played 6 of these games Under the Total. |
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12-23-17 | Appalachian State v. Toledo UNDER 61.5 | Top | 34-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Appalachian State Mountaineers (225) and the Toledo Rockets (226) in the Dollar General Bowl. Appalachian State (8-4) enters this bowl game having won three straight games with their 63-14 win over UL-Lafayette back on December 2nd. The Mountaineers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Appalachian State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after holding their last opponent to 20 points or less. This Mountaineers team once again has a stout defense as they ranked 33rd in the FBS by allowing 21.9 PPG — and they also ranked 39th in the nation by limiting their opponents to just 358.9 total YPG. What helps the defense succeed is keeping them off the field by running the ball on offense. Appalachian State rushed for 357 yards again the Ragin’ Cajuns in that last game. Not only have they then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game but they have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after rushing for at least 300 yards in their last contest. Additionally, the Mountaineers have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, Appalachian State has played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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12-21-17 | Bulls v. Cavs OVER 214 | Top | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (503) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (504). Chicago (10-20) has been on fire since getting power forward Nikolo Mirotic back on the court after missing the start of the season due to injuries sustained when he got into a fight with teammate Bobby Portis. The Bulls are undefeated since Mirotic returned to the lineup — and they have won seven straight games after their 112-94 win over Orlando last night as a 5.5-point favorite. Chicago is scoring 111.0 PPG over their last five games while making 47.7% of their shots as they clearly are buoyed with Mirotic’s presence down low. For the season, the Bulls are scoring 99.3 PPG on a 43.5% shooting percentage so Mirotic’s impact has been impressive. The Magic shot just 39.3% from the field against Chicago which was the Bulls’ best defensive effort in their last eighteen games — so they are likely to come back to Earth tonight when facing LeBron James and company at least on the defensive end of the court. As it is, Chicago has palyed 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Bulls have also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing without rest and none of their players logged in more than 29 minutes last night in their easy victory. Chicago goes on the road for this contest where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total. The Bulls have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. |
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12-17-17 | Cowboys v. Raiders UNDER 46.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (329) and the Oakland Raiders (330). Dallas (7-6) looks to build off their 30-10 win in New York against the Giants last week. The Cowboys have found their offense again as they dialed up 454 yards of offense behind a rushing attack that generated 122 yards of offense. Getting Tyron Smith healthy again at left tackle has made a big difference for this team as they have rushed the ball 73 times over their last two games for 304 rushing yards. Rushing the football tonight will keep the clock moving and help our Under tonight. As it is, Dallas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after they gained at least 350 yards in their last game. The Cowboys stay on the road where they have played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total. Additionally, Dallas has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. The Cowboys have also played 8 of their last 10 games against teams from the AFC. And in their last 9 games in the month of December, Dallas has played 8 of these games Under the Total. |
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12-16-17 | Bears v. Lions UNDER 44 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (303) and the Detroit Lions (304). Detroit (7-6) enters this game coming off their 24-21 win in Tampa Bay last week in a pick ‘em game. QB Matthew Stafford was outstanding in that contest as he completed 36 of 44 passes for 381 yards — but the Lions have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. But despite that nice offensive effort, Detroit is scoring only 22.3 PPG over their last three games. One of the concerns for the Lions is their inability to run the football as they rank last in the league by averaging only 76.3 rushing YPG. Over their last four games, Detroit has not rushed for more than 78 yards — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in four straight games. On the other side of the football, the Lions allowed 267 passing yards to the Bucs in that victory — but they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last contest. Furthermore, Detroit has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. |
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12-15-17 | Jazz v. Celtics OVER 198 | Top | 107-95 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (811) and the Boston Celtics (812). Boston (24-6) has won seven of their last nine games with their 124-118 win over Denver on Wednesday. The Celtics have then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a narrow win by 6 points or less. The Over is also 9-2-1 in their last 12 games when playing with one day of rest. Now this team stays at home where they are averaging 106.5 PPG — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. Boston has also played 19 of their last 25 home games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. And the Over is 25-10-1 in the Celtics’ last 36 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The team is likely to get Al Horford back on the court as he is listed as probable with his knee injury. That helps them on offense — and the fact that Marcus Morris will still be out with his knee issue takes away one of their better post defenders. Boston has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points. Additionally, the Celtics have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total with the number set in the 190 to 199.5 point range. And in their last 5 games against Western Conference opponents, the game has finished Over the Total 4 times. |
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12-14-17 | Broncos v. Colts UNDER 40.5 | Top | 25-13 | Win | 100 | 41 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (301) and the Indianapolis Colts (302). Denver (4-9) snapped their eight-game losing streak on Sunday with their 23-0 shutout win over the Jets as a 1-point home underdog. The Broncos held the Jets to just 100 yards of offense. Denver has been a disaster on offense as they have not been able to develop a quarterback between Trevor Siemian, Payton Lynch and Brock Osweiler — but the Broncos defense remains outstanding. Despite little help on offense in staying off the field, the Denver defense remains number one in the league by holding their opponents to just 280.5 total YPG — and they rank 2nd in the NFL in passing defense (191.1 passing YPG) and 4th in the league in rushing defense (89.5 rushing YPG). The Broncos held the Jets to just 41 passing yards last week — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last game. Denver has also played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Additionally, the Broncos have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Denver has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 28 games as the favorite, the Broncos have played 19 of these games Under the Total. |
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12-11-17 | Patriots v. Dolphins UNDER 48.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (133) and the Miami Dolphins (134). New England (10-2) enters this game coming off their 23-3 win in Buffalo last Sunday. The Patriots have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. New England generated 435 yards of offense in that contest with the Bills — but they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. The team will be without tight end Rob Gronkowski in this game which takes away Tom Brady’s security blanket. Brady’s numbers are markedly better with Gronkowski on the field. In his career, Brady completes 66% of his passes while averaging a robust 8.0 Yards Per Passing Attempt with a 5.29:1 touchdown to interception ration and a QB Rating of 79. But in games without Gronkowski, Brady sees those numbers drop to a 62% completion percentage with a 7.0 YPA mark and a 2.95:1 TD to interception ratio and a QBR of 63. Furthermore, South Beach has not been Brady’s favorite place to play as the Patriots are scoring just 23.8 PPG in his fifteen starts in Miami while Brady has gotten sacked 32 times while throwing 13 interceptions. New England has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total — and they have played 5 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home The Patriots have also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing on grass. And in their last 5 games in the month of December, New England has played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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12-08-17 | Kings v. Pelicans OVER 209.5 | Top | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 24 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (509) and the New Orleans Pelicans (510). New Orleans (13-12) has won two of their last three games with their 123-114 win over Denver on Wednesday. The Pelicans have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. The team has been without Anthony Davis for their last three games as he is dealing with a groin injury. The Pelicans hoped he could play tonight but he has been downgraded to doubtful for this contest. His absence probably hurts New Orleans more on defense. Over their last five games with three without Davis, the Pelicans are allowing 117.8 PPG while seeing their opponents shoot 49.1% from the field as compared to the 110.2 PPG they are allowing this season along with an opponents’ field goal goal percentage of 46.2%. But New Orleans is still getting plenty of offensive production from DeMarcus Cousins, Jru Holiday and company. Over their last five games, the Pelicans are scoring 114.2 PPG while shooting 50% from the field which are both well above their 109.4 PPG and 48.3% shooting percentage for the season. Moving forward, New Orleans has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. And while this will be their third straight game at home in the Big Easy, the Pelicans have played 17 of their last 21 home games Over the Total after playing their last two games at home. Additionally, New Orleans has played 5 of their last 6 games on their home court Over the Total. And in their last 5 games against fellow Western Conference opponents, the Pelicans have played all 5 games Over the Total. |
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12-04-17 | Steelers v. Bengals UNDER 43.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (379) and the Cincinnati Bengals (380). Cincinnati (5-6) exploded for 30 points last week with their 30-16 victory over the winless Bengals as a 7.5-point favorite. The Bengals generated 405 yards of offense which was far above their league-bottom 274.3 total YPG average this season. Cincinnati is scoring only 18.1 PPG which is 25th in the NFL. One of the league’s worst offensive lines is the biggest culprit for these problems on offense and helps to explain why they are 26th in the NFL with the pass (198.6 passing YPG) and last in the league with the run (75.6 rushing YPG). The Bengals have then played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight up victory. The Cincinnati defense has been solid this season — despite being on the field too much given their anemic offense. The Bengals are 10th in the NFL by allowing just 19.5 PPG. Cincy did give up 361 yards last week — but they have then played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Bengals stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. Additionally, Cincinnati has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 16 games against fellow AFC North opponents, the Bengals have played 12 of these games Under the Total. |
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12-03-17 | Eagles v. Seahawks OVER 46 | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (377) and the Seattle Seahawks (378). Philadelphia (10-1) has won nine straight games with their 31-3 win over Chicago last week. The Eagles offense is clicking on all cylinders right now — they generated 420 yards of offense against an underrated Bears defense. Philadelphia has then played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now the Eagles go back on the road where they have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total — and this includes playing four of their last five road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Philadelphia has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Eagles have played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total in the month of December. And in their last 11 games played on field turf, Philadelphia has played 9 of these games Over the Total. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Year with the Over. Best of luck for us -- Frank. |
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12-02-17 | Akron v. Toledo UNDER 60 | Top | 28-45 | Loss | -113 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (319) and the Toledo Rockets (320). Akron (7-5) will be playing the Mid-American Championship Game as a significant underdog considering that they were blown out by the Rockets back on October 21st by a 48-21 score in a game that they managed only 333 yards of offense. Since that game, the Zips have won three of their last four games due in large measure to improved play on the defensive side of the football. They clinched the MAC East Title in their last game back on November 21st with their 24-14 in over Kent State as a 14.5-point favorite led by a defense that held the Golden Flashes to just 246 total yards. Over their last three games, Akron is allowing only 353.7 total YPG which is 67.8 YPG below their season average. The Zips have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 26 of their last 35 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Akron has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Zips have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The offense is an issue with redshirt freshman Kato Nelson taking over for senior Thomas Woodson who was suspended a few weeks ago for violating team rules but will be available to play in this game. Nelson completed only 6 of 20 passes for 69 yards against Kent State last week. Over their last three weeks, Akron has averaged just 302.3 total YPG. Furthermore, this game will be played at Ford Field in Detroit as a neutral site — and the Zips score only 16.7 PPG while averaging 284.7 total YPG when away from home. |
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11-30-17 | Redskins v. Cowboys OVER 47 | Top | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (301) and the Dallas Cowboys (302). Dallas (5-6) has fallen on hard times after Ezekiel Elliott began serving his six-game suspension as they ave lost three straight games after their 28-6 loss to the Chargers last Thursday on Thanksgiving. The Cowboys’ offense has been a complete disaster as they have scored only a combined 22 points while failing to reach double-digits in all three of those games. Given that, it might be very tempting to take the Under — but this is a good situation to take the contrarian play with the Over. I do expect the Dallas’ offense behind QB Dak Prescott to be much better with a full week of practice under their belts. Remember, the Elliott injury came at the very worst time in terms of the schedule with the Cowboys playing three games over an twelve day period. They simply did not have much time to address the problems with the offense after that Falcons game with the Giants coming to town just four days later. Furthermore, left tackle Tyron Smith has had a full week to getting healthier after the Dallas offense spent the entire first-half in their game last Thursday avoiding running the ball to his side. But even if the Cowboys’ offense remains limited without Elliott, the defense presents another set of problems for this team. The Dallas defense has surrendered 92 combined points over their last three games. At home this season, the Cowboys are allowing 25.8 PPG along with 368.0 total YPG. Additionally, Dallas has played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road — and linebacker Sean Lee has been declared out for this game once again this week. |
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11-29-17 | Liverpool v. Stoke City OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 0 h 21 m | Show |
At 3:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total (of 3.0) in the match between Stoke City (35568) and Liverpool (35567). Liverpool (6-5-2) returns to the pitch looking to get back into the Top Four of the English Premier League table after falling to 6th place on Saturday with their 1-1 draw with Chelsea. That was the second straight match where the Reds surrendered a lead after blowing a 3-0 lead last Tuesday in a midweek Champions League match with Sevilla that ended in a 3-3 draw. Defense was an issue for this team last year that lacks depth in their back-line and too often plays sloppy in manager Jurgen Clop’s high-pressing system. Liverpool has allowed 16 goals in their six matches on the road in EPL action this season. But the Pool Boys are a powerful on offense as they are 3rd in the EPL with 25 goals for the year. Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino did not play in that match against Chelsea as they were given the day off after that Champions League match. Both players should be back on the pitch this afternoon which will boost their offensive attack. |
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11-27-17 | Texans v. Ravens OVER 39 | Top | 16-23 | Push | 0 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (275) and the Baltimore Ravens (276). Baltimore (5-5) pitched their third shutout of the season — and second in their last three games — with their 23-0 win at Green Bay last Sunday. The strong Ravens’ defense has facilitated the Total being set at a low number below 40 (as of this writing) — so lets attack that Over. Baltimore has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Additionally, the Ravens have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after the first month of the season. And while this Baltimore offense looks anemic with their 21.3 PPG scoring mark which is 18th in the league, they are getting better on that side of the ball as they get healthier after suffering from a barrage of injuries. In their last three games, the Ravens are scoring 27.7 PPG while still not getting very aggressive with their play-calling with their two of those games being blowout shutouts. Their close game in their last three games was a 23-20 loss at Tennessee in a game where Joe Flacco aired the football out 53 times for 268 passing yards. Those are Over numbers. Moving forward, Baltimore has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against AFC opponents. |
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11-25-17 | Texas A&M v. LSU UNDER 51 | Top | 21-45 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 19 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (199) and the LSU Tigers (200). Texas A&M (7-4) will be playing one for their head coach Kevin Sumlin who has been reported by the Houston Chronicle earlier this week that he will be relieved of his coaching duties win or loss after this game. Expect the Aggies to play hard — particularly on defense — in this contest. Texas A&M comes off a 31-24 victory at Ole Miss last week as a 2.5-point favorite. The Aggies have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Texas A&M has played 6 straight games Under the Total after a close victory by 7 points or less against a conference rival. Now the Aggies stay on the road where they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total — and this includes playing 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. |
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11-23-17 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 45.5 | Top | 30-23 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
At 12:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (107) and the Detroit Lions (108). Minnesota (8-2) stymied the high-powered Rams offense on Sunday in their 24-7 victory where they held that Sean McVay offense to just 254 total yards. The Vikings should continue to flex their muscles on defense as they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. Minnesota did generate 451 yards against the Rams’ defense — but the Under is 17-7-1 in their last 25 games after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. Now the Vikings go on the road where they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Minnesota has also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. And in their last 23 games against fellow NFC North opponents, the Vikings have played 18 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, Minnesota has played 7 of their last 10 games played on a short week on a Thursday Under the Total. |
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11-22-17 | Sharks v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
At 9:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (73) and the Arizona Coyotes (74). San Jose (10-8-0) looks to snap their three-game losing streak with their 3-2 loss to Anaheim on Monday. The Sharks have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Scoring has been an issue for this team — as epitomized by the play of defenseman Brett Burns who has yet to score this season while registering a mere 7 points in nineteen games after being one of the best offensive players on the blue-line in the entire NHL. San Jose is getting outstanding play from their goalie Martin Jones when on the road this year where he owns an outstanding 1.01 Goals-Against-Average along with a .967 save percentage in four starts. The Sharks have played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road. San Jose has also seen the Under go 5-1-1 in their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% at home. Furthermore, the Under is a decisive 30-11-18 in the Sharks’ last 59 games against fellow Pacific Division opponents. |
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11-19-17 | Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 48 | Top | 37-9 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (473) and the Dallas Cowboys (474). Philadelphia (8-1) returns from their bye week off coming off a 51-23 win over the Broncos back on November 5th. The Eagles have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. Philadelphia generated 419 yards in that victory — and they have then played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total after averaging at least 350 yards in their last game. One of the reasons that is making the Eagles so tough this season is their Red Zone offense as they are tops in the league in that category with QB Carson Wentz throwing 15 passing TDs in the Red Zone with zero interceptions. This efficiency has helped them score 31.4 PPG which is second best in the NFL so far this season. The Philly defense has also been outstanding as they held the Broncos to just 226 yards of offense. But the Over is then 16-6-2 in the Eagles’ last 24 games after allowing less than 250 yards in their last game. Now this team goes on the road where they have played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total — and this includes playing four of their last five road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Philadelphia has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 12 games against fellow NFC East rivals, the Eagles have played 10 of these games Over the Total. |
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11-16-17 | Rockets v. Suns OVER 228 | Top | 142-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (503) and the Phoenix Suns (504). Houston (11-4) saw their six-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 1219-113 loss to Toronto despite being a 6.5-point favorite in that game. Chris Paul may take the court again for the Rockets which does not shape much into the rationale for this play (outside of helping this Houston team ensure they always have a potent point guard on the court since the original plan was to have one of these two stars on the court at all times this season). The Rockets shot just 41.8% from the field against the Raptors which was their worst shooting effort in their last seven games. Expect Houston to get back to their torrid shooting pace as they are scoring 119.2 PPG over their last five games while nailing 48% of their shots even with their poor performance on Tuesday during that span. But the Rockets’ style of play does allow the opposition to find easy shots on their own. Over their last five games, Houston is allowing 108.6 PPG while seeing these opponents make 48.5% of their shots. The Rockets have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Houston has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Rockets have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, Houston has played a decisive 38 of their last 53 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% — and they have played 6 straight Overs against teams with a losing record. And in their last 24 road games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on their home court, the Rockets have played 17 of these games Over the Total. |
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11-13-17 | Grizzlies v. Bucks UNDER 200 | Top | 103-110 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Memphis Grizzlies (705) and the Milwaukee Bucks (706). Memphis (7-5) has lost four of their last six games with their 111-96 loss at Houston on Saturday. The Grizzlies have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Despite moving on from Zach Randolph and defensive wizard Tony Allen in the offseason who were the face of their “Grit-n-Grind” identity, this Memphis team still is playing great defense. Opposing teams are shooting just 42.6% from the field this season. Now this team stays on the road for their fifth straight contest — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games on the road. The Under is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 games when playing with one day of rest. Furthermore, the Under is 11-5-1 in the Grizzlies last 17 games when playing on the road. And in their last 7 games with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range, the game finished Under the Total 5 times. |
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11-12-17 | Patriots v. Broncos UNDER 44.5 | Top | 41-16 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (273) and the Denver Broncos (274). Denver (3-5) embarrassed themselves last week by losing in Philadelphia to the Eagles by a 51-23 score as a 7-point underdog. After surrendering over 50 points, expect this proud “No Fly Zone” Broncos’ defense to step up in this opportunity to make a statement against Tom Brayed and this Patriots’ offense. Denver has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up defeat — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Broncos surrendered 197 rushing yards in that game to the Eagles — but they have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. Denver has bigger issues on offense with Brock Osweiler under center for an ineffective Trevor Siemian. The Broncos managed only 226 yards of offense last week — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to generate at least 250 yards in their last game. Additionally, Denver has played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. |
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11-09-17 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh UNDER 52.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (117) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (118). North Carolina (1-8) has lost six straight games in a disaster of a season with their 24-19 loss to Miami (FL) two Saturdays ago as a 21-point underdog. Larry Fedora’s team is a M*A*S*H unit this season with injuries on the offensive line particularly hurting this team from week-to-week. The Tar Heels rank 109th in the FBS by scoring 21.3 PPG while ranking 108th in the FBS any averaging 344.2 total YPG. On the road, North Carolina sees their yardage numbers drop to 310.0 total YPG. And over their last three games, the Tar Heels are scoring just 13.3 PPG while averaging 285.7 total YPG. North Carolina has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The Tar Heels have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. And while UNC covered the three-touchdown spread against the Hurricanes, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The defense does seem to be playing better after limiting the Miami (FL) rushing attack to just 59 yards in that game. Over their last three games, they are holding their opponents to just 17.4 PPG while allowing more than 46 YPG below their season average. The Tar Heels have played 12 of the last 14 games Under the Total after the first month of the season. North Carolina has also played 4 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Moving forward, the Tar Heels have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 8 games played on a Thursday night, North Carolina has played all 8 games Under the Total. |
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11-04-17 | Western Kentucky v. Vanderbilt OVER 53.5 | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -102 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (377) and the Vanderbilt Commodores (378). Vanderbilt (3-5) has lost five straight games with their 34-27 loss at South Carolina last Saturday. The Commodores have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Now Vanderbilt returns home where they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Gone are the salad days of September when this team went into their meeting with Alabama with the best statistical defense in the nation. Over their last three games, the Commodores have given up 45.3 PPG along with 512.7 total YPG. Vandy allowed 212 rushing yards to the Gamecocks last week — and they have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. The Commodores’ offense has kicked into another gear with junior QB Kyle Shurmur completing 27 of 49 passes for 333 yards and 3 TDs against South Carolina. This team is scoring 25.3 PPG over their last three games while averaging 364.3 total YPG which is well above their 314.9 total YPG seasonal average. |
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11-02-17 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 43 | Top | 21-34 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (307) and the New York Jets (308). New York (3-5) looks to snap a three-game losing streak tonight after they lost by a 25-20 score at home versus Atlanta on Sunday as a 6.5-point underdog. The Jets managed only 43 rushing yards in that game — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. New York was outrushed by 97 yards in that contest — and they have then played 25 of their last 37 home games Under the Total after being out rushed by at least 75 yards. And while the Falcons outgained them by 107 net yards, the Jets have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after being outgained by at least 100 yards. New York allowed 386 yards to Atlanta in that game — but they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. The Jets do play better defense at home where they are holding their opponents to just 18.2 PPG along with 324.2 total YPG which is 5 points fewer along with -37.2 net YPG lower than their seasonal averages. This shapes up to be low scoring game with both teams on a short week and when considering that New York has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against fellow AFC East opponents. These two teams have also played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total. |
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10-29-17 | Steelers v. Lions UNDER 45 | Top | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (271) and the Detroit Lions (272). Detroit (3-3) looks to bounce-back from their 52-38 loss in New Orleans two weeks ago. The Lions have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Detroit has also played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total after a game where they surrendered at least 30 points. The Lions did pass for 312 yards in that loss — but they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Detroit is struggling to getting a credible ground game going as they have not rushed for more than 97 yards in four straight games. The Lions have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. Additionally, Detroit has played 4 straight games Under the Total after their bye week. With Golden Tate still not 100%, this Lions defense might struggle to reach the 298.0 total YPG they are averaging this season which is just 26th in the NFL. |
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10-29-17 | Texans v. Seahawks OVER 45.5 | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (267) and the Seattle Seahawks (268). Houston (3-3) has quickly transformed from a defensive-oriented low-scoring team to a high-flying offensive juggernaut that has to outscore their opponents. Season-ending injuries to J.J. Watt and Whitney Mercilus on defense along with the emergence of rookie QB Deshaun Watson has been the reasons for this transformation for Bill O’Brien’s team. Over his last three games coinciding with the return of Will Fuller at wide receiver, Watson has throw 12 TD passes with just two interceptions for a Passer Rating of 117. During that span, Watson is being sacked only once in ever 20 pass attempts — and he received a big boost this week when Houston’s star left tackle Duane Brown ended his holdout. Brown should be on the field this afternoon blocking for Watson and this rushing attack that is 3rd in the NFL by averaging 137.7 rushing YPG. The Texans come off their bye week after their 33-17 win over the Browns two weeks ago as a 7.5-point favorite. Houston has then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Texans have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. And in their last 5 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game, Houston has played 4 of these games Over the Total. Moving forward, the Texans have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 21 games in the month of October, Houston has played 16 of these games Over the Total. |
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10-29-17 | Vikings v. Browns UNDER 38 | Top | 33-16 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 59 m | Show |
At 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (251) and the Cleveland Browns (252). Cleveland (0-7) has already had a tumultuous trip to London this week when they were awoken by a late night alarm at their hotel. The Browns remained winless this season with their 12-9 loss in overtime to Tennessee last Sunday. Cleveland has then played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss. The Browns have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. The Cleveland defense is good — they rank 9th in the league by allowing only 304.7 total YPG. But the offense is a mess as they rank 31st in the NFL by scoring 14.7 PPG. Rookie QB Deshone Kizer is clearly not ready for the league as he is struggling mightily with NFL defenses. His job just became much worse as well with the season ending injury to the rock on the Cleveland offensive line in Joe Thomas at left tackle. With Thomas out, expect the Browns to run the ball even more which will burn time off the clock. Cleveland has played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And while the Browns have failed to cover the point spread in five of their last six games, they have then played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after playing five or six of their last seven games Under the Total. |
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10-28-17 | Buffalo University v. Akron UNDER 50 | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
At 11:30 AM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (123) and the Akron Zips (124). Buffalo (3-5) will be starting a true freshman at QB in Kyle Vantrease with both Drew Anderson and Tyree Jackson declared out for this game. Vantrease completed just 17 of 41 passes last week for 202 yards in the Bulls’ 24-14 loss at Miami (OH) as a 3-point underdog. Buffalo is playing all of their opponents tough with three of their losses by 4 points or less and all five of their defeats being within 10 points — so expect a conservative game plan in this contest with a freshman QB playing in a hostile environment. As it is, the Bulls have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road. Furthermore, Buffalo has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And in their last 5 games after a loss by at least 20 points, the Bulls have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Moving forward, Buffalo has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of October. |
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10-27-17 | Dodgers v. Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (905) and the Houston Astros (906) listing both starting pitchers Yu Darvish and Lance McCullers. Los Angeles (112-60) evened this series at 1-1 on Wednesday with their 7-6 win in extra innings in what became a game for the ages in World Series history. The Dodgers have played 5 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Under is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after an off day. Now they go on the road where the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games away from home. They give the ball to Darvish who is 10-12 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP this season. The right-hander was been more effective on the road during the regular season where he had a 2.44 ERA with a .206 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 5.25 ERA along with a .246 opponent’s batting average at home with Texas and then the Dodgers after being traded to LA. The right-hander has been outstanding in this postseason where he has a 2–0 record with a 1.59 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in two starts. Darvish’s teams have played 11 of their last 12 road games Under the Total when priced in the +/- 125 price-range. He faces an Astros team that is hitting just .201 over their last seven games with a .280 On-Base Percentage and .638 OPS over that span. Houston has played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Astros have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. |
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10-26-17 | Dolphins v. Ravens UNDER 37.5 | Top | 0-40 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins (101) and the Baltimore Ravens (102). With this Total set in the 37.5 range as of this writing, oddsmakers seem to be trying coax Over bets. Lets not take the bait. After a week where three teams were shutout and another six teams scored 10 points or less in regulation time, there is a good chance that at least one of these teams with limited offenses will fail to score more than 10 points when playing on a short week. Miami (4-2) enters this game coming off their 31-28 win over the NY Jets last week as a 3-point favorite. The Dolphins did generate 357 yards in that game in their best statistical effort on offense all season — but they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Miami rushed for just 53 yards in that game — and they have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. QB Jay Cutler has been declared out for this game with his rib injury — and while Matt Moore is a capable backup, some of the talk defending him that approaches Dan Marino territory is a bit overblown. Now this team goes on the road where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total. Miami has also played 3 straight games Under the Total as an underdog. The Dolphins do have a top-ten defense in yards allowed while ranking 7th in the NFL by allowing 18.7 PPG. The Under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 games played on a Thursday night. And in their last 26 games in the month of October, the Under is 17-8-1. |
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10-22-17 | Bengals v. Steelers UNDER 40.5 | Top | 14-29 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bengals (455) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (456). Pittsburgh (4-2) returns home this week after their triumphant 19-13 win at Kansas City last week as a 3.5-point underdog. The Steelers defense flexed their muscles by holding the explosive Chiefs offense to just 251 yards of offense in that contest. Pittsburgh was able to control the football for 36L39 of that game due to the outstanding performance of running back LeVeon Bell who ran the ball 32 times for 179 yards. Expect the Steelers to commit to running the football as well in this divisional rivalry. Pittsburgh has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. The Steelers did generate 439 yards of offense in that victory — but they have then seen the Under go 13-2-1 in their last 16 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Furthermore, Pittsburgh has played 21 of their last 27 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 31 games against fellow AFC North opponents, the Under is 21-8-1. |
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10-21-17 | Boston College v. Virginia UNDER 47 | Top | 41-10 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston College Eagles (361) and the Virginia Cavaliers (362). Boston College (3-4) looks to build off their 45-42 upset win at Louisville last week as a 20-point underdog. The offensive explosion in that game from this Eagles team that typically relies on stout defense with points hard to come by on offense was a surprise. Expect things to get back to the lower-scoring ways under fifth-year head coach Steve Addazio. Boston College has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Eagles have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. Additionally, while BC allowed 625 yards of offense in that game, the Under is then 43-19-1 in their last 63 games after a game where they allowed at least 450 yards in their last game contest. Now the Eagles stay on the road where the Under is a decisive 36-14-1. |
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10-20-17 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary UNDER 51.5 | Top | 30-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Saskatchewan Roughriders (651) and the Calgary Stampeders (652). Calgary (13-1-1) has won eleven straight games with their 28-25 win at Hamilton last Friday as a 9.5-point favorite. The Stampeders have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a victory on the road where they failed to cover the point spread. Calgary has also played 31 of their last 43 games Under the Total after win by 3 points or less — and this includes playing sixteen of their last twenty-one games Under the Total with a win on the road by a field goal or less. And in their last 8 games after a point spread loss, the Stamps have played 6 of these games Under the Total. This Calgary team needs a win to clinch the West Division and secure home field up until the Grey Cup. They lead the CFL by holding opponents to just 326.0 total YPG. Moving forward, the Stampeders have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total in the month of October. Calgary has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games against West Division foes, the Stampeders have played 6 of these games Under the Total. |
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10-20-17 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -122 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (913) and the Houston Astros (914) listing both starting pitchers Luis Severino and Justin Verlander. Houston (106-65) returns home having lost all three games in Yankee Stadium after their 5-0 loss on Wednesday. The Astros have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss. Houston has not scored more than four runs in five straight games — and they have then played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after not scoring more than four runs in at least four straight games. Furthermore, the Under is 15-5-1 in the Astros’ last 21 home ames against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to Verlander tonight who has been outstanding for them since being acquired from the Tigers at the trade deadline. In his five regular season starts wearing an Astros uniform, Verlander had a 5-0 record with a 1.06 ERA and a 0.65 WHIP. In his two regular season starts in Houston, Verlander had a 0.64 ERA, 0.50 WHIP and 0.93 WHIP. The right-hander has been outstanding in the postseason with a 3-0 record along with a 2.04 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP with 16 strikeouts in 17 2/3 innings of work. In his 116 innings in his career in the playoffs, Verlander has a 10-5 record with a 3.18 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Verlander comes off a complete game where he allowed only one earned run against the Yankees in Game Two of this series — and not only am I not worried about the carry over from the pitch count from that effort with him pitching on his normal four days of rest but his teams have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total when he is following up a start where he allowed one earned run or less. Furthermore, the Astros have played 5 of their 7 games Under the Total with Verlander on the mound for them. He faces a Yankees lineup that is hitting only .227 with a .301 On-Base Percentage and .688 OPS over their last seven games. Additionally, the Under is 3-0-1 in New York’s last 4 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. |
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10-18-17 | Dodgers v. Cubs UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
At 9:01 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (967) and the Chicago Cubs (968) listing both starting pitchers Alex Wood and Jake Arrieta. Chicago (95-75) finds themselves on the brink of elimination tonight after their 6-1 loss to the Dodgers last night. The Cubs have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss. Chicago has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Furthermore, not only have the Cubs played 4 straight home games Under the Total but they have also played 24 of their last 36 games Under the Total at home when a money-line favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. I was a little surprised to the see the Total listed at 9.5 (as of this writing) when it opened — but Chicago has played 29 of their last 46 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 9 to 9.5 range. They give the ball to Arrieta who is 14-10 with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.90 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP and .206 opponent’s batting average in ten starts. Arrieta has been good in the playoffs throughout his career given his 3.33 ERA along with a 1.07 WHIP in 46 innings of work. Additionally, the Under is 4-1-1 in the Cubs’ last 6 games with Arrieta facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Dodgers team that has seen the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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10-16-17 | Colts v. Titans OVER 47 | Top | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (275) and the Tennessee Titans (276). Indianapolis (2-3) has won two of their last three games with their 26-23 win in overtime over San Francisco last week. The Colts have found an answer at QB during the continued absence of Andrew Luck with Jacoby Brissett who was always an intriguing prospect when initially drafted in the 3rd round by the Patriots after a good career at NC State. Brissett completed 22 of 34 passes for 314 yards with a TD while adding another 14 yards with a TD on the ground. By giving the Colts a credible passing attack, the running game has thrived as well behind age-less wonder Frank Gore and Marlon Mack. Indy ran the ball 35 times for 159 yards in their win over the 49ers — and they have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. But defense has been a problem for this team. Brain Hoyer passed for 336 yards against them — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing at least 300 passing yards in their last game. The Colts are allowing 408 YPG over their last three games — and they have then played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after allowing at least 400 YPG over their last three games. Moving forward, Indianapolis has played 12 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing on grass. The Colts have also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, Indianapolis has played 25 of their last 34 games on the road — and they have 19 of their last 25 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 7.5 to 10 points. And in their last 7 games played in the month of October, Indy has played 6 of these games Over the Total. |
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10-09-17 | Vikings v. Bears OVER 40.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
PLEASE NOTE: Our play is on the Under. I committed a data entry error when loading this play and there lacks a quick fix to this on my end of things. I apologize for the confusion while hoping it is my only mistake of the day. Thanks, Frank. At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (475) and the Chicago Bears (476). Minnesota (2-2) looks to bounce-back from their 14-7 loss at Detroit last Sunday. The Vikings have now played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total against NFC North opponents. Minnesota has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total in the month of October. And in their last 18 games after failing to score more than 14 points, the Vikings have played 13 of these games Under the Total. The teams looks to get QB Sam Bradford back under center tonight but he returns with his phenom running back Dalvin Cook out the season with a torn ACL. Losing Cook will slow down this offense. Moving forward, Minnesota has seen the Under go 15-6-1 in their last 22 games on the road — and this includes playing 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Chicago (1-3) looks to bounce-back from a 35-14 loss in Green Bay two Thursdays ago as a 7.5-point underdog. The Bears have then played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Chicago has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. And in their last 4 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game, the Bears have played all 4 games Under the Total. With head coach John Fox tapping rookie Mitch Trubisky to make his first NFL start tonight, expect the team to game plan to put him in a position to succeed by running the ball plenty and shortening the length of this game — and that helps our Under play. Moving forward, Chicago has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the month of October. Lastly, the Bears have played a decisive 48 of their last 76 games at home Under the Total as an underdog getting 7 points or less. 25* NFL NFC North Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (475) and the Chicago Bears (476). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
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10-08-17 | Indians v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (953) and the New York Yankees (954) listing both starting pitchers Carlos Carrasco and Masahiro Tanaka. New York (92-73) finds themselves on the brink of elimination tonight after falling behind by a 2-0 margin in this series on Friday with their 9-8 loss to the Indians. The Yankees have then played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a loss. New York has also valued 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Furthermore, the Yankees have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Now New York returns home to Yankee Stadium where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. The Yanks have also played 7 of their last 9 games in the playoffs at home Under the Total. They give the ball to Tanaka who is 13-12 with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP this season. But the right-hander has been much better at home where he owns a 3.22 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and .223 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts as compared to his 6.48 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and .292 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts on the road. The Under is 6-2-1 in the Yankees’ last 9 home games with Tanaka on the hill. He should pitch well against this Cleveland team that is hitting just .220 over their last seven games with a mediocre .324 On-Base Percentage and a .703 OPS over that span. The Indians have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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10-04-17 | Arkansas State v. Georgia Southern UNDER 55 | Top | 43-25 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arkansas State Red Wolves (301) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (302). Georgia Southern (0-3) is still looking for the first win of the season after their 52-17 loss at Indiana back on September 23rd. The play of the Eagles defense was not quite as bad as the scoreboard reflected with two of the Hoosiers’ touchdowns resulting from a 70-yard punt return as well as a 22-yard fumble recovery. Overall, Georgia Southern allowed 468 yards in that game — but they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Eagles have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. Now Georgia Southern begins conference play with a bit of a blank slate. This team needs to get their “Flexbone” offense going again after this team got away from that foundation last season in the first year under head coach Tyson Summers. The team averaged 22 passing attempts last season which was double the amount in the previous season under Willie Fritz. The Eagles did rush for 242 yards against Indiana — and they have then played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Keeping the potent Arkansas State offense off the field has to be a top priority for this team tonight. Georgia Southern has played 7 of their last 9 games in the Sun Belt Under the Total. And in their last 6 games in the month of October, the Eagles have played 5 of these games Under the Total. |
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10-03-17 | Twins v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Twins (931) and the New York Yankees (932) listing both starting pitchers Ervin Santana and Luis Severino. We have a strong technical situation here. New York (91-71) hosts this AL Wildcard game tonight as a heavy money-line favorite — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Over the Total as a money-line favorite priced at least at -200. The Yankees enter this game having allowing 2 runs, 1 run and zero runs in their last three games. But New York has then played 20 of their last 30 games Over the Total after allowing three runs or less in their last two contests — and they have played 8 straight home games Over the Total after allowing no more than three runs in three straight games. And in their last 10 games after an off day, the Yankees have played 7 of these games Over the Total. They give the ball to Severino who is 14-6 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.04 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been less effective at home where he owns a 3.71 ERA in sixteen starts as compared to his 2.24 ERA in fifteen starts on the road. New York has played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with Severino on the mound — and that includes playing four straight Overs at home with Severino facing a team with a winning record. Furthermore, while Severino comes off a strong outing where he allowed just one earned run in 6 innings against the Rays — and not only have the Yankees played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total with Severino following up a Quality Start but they have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total with Severino following up a start where he allowed only one earned run. |
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09-29-17 | Tigers v. Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:10 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (925) and the Minnesota Twins (926) while listing both starting pitchers Matthew Boyd and Kyle Gibson. Detroit (63-96) snapped their nine-game losing streak last night with their 4-1 win in Kansas City. The Tigers have then played 12 of their last 15 Over the Total after allowing two runs or less in their last game. Furthermore, not only has Detroit played 34 of their last 46 games Over the Total after losing three of their last four games but they have played 26 of their last 35 games Over the Total after losing four of their last five contests. This team has not scored more than four runs in eight straight games — but they have then played 19 of their last 25 games Over the Total after failing to score more than four runs in three straight games. And while the Tigers are looking to avenge getting swept at home in a four-game series against this Minnesota team, they have then played 16 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with revenge after being swept in at least a three-game series against their opponent. Additionally, Detroit has played 6 of their last 7 opening games to a new series Over the Total. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, the Over is 3-0-1. They give the ball to Boyd who is 6-10 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.54 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been less effective on the road where he owns a 5.86 ERA, 1.870 WHIP and .328 opponent’s batting average in twelve starts as compared to his 4.52 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and .256 opponent’s batting average in thirteen starts at home. The Tigers have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with Boyd on the hill. He faces a red-hot Minnesota offense that is scoring 7.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last three games with a .296 batting average along with a .350 On-Base Percentage and .815 OPS. The Over is 3-1-1 in the Twins’ last 5 games against starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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09-29-17 | Miami-FL v. Duke UNDER 56 | Top | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (105) and the Duke Blue Devils (106). Duke (4-0) returns home still undefeated after they pulled the upset last Saturday with their 27-17 win at North Carolina as a 1.5-point underdog. The Blue Devils have then played 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Duke has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. The Blue Devils relied on their defense to win that game against the Tar Heels as it was a 61-yard interception returned for a touchdown at the 4:01 mark that provided their last touchdown in that contest. Head coach David Cutliffe appears to have one of his best defensives in his ten years at Duke. 66% of the tackles from last year returned to a unit that is allowing only 15.3 PPG (17th in the FBS) while ranking 11th in the nation in total defense (261.5 total YPG). Moving forward, Duke returns home where they have played 7 of their last 9 games at home Under the Total. And in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, the Blue Devils have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, Duke has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the month of September. |
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09-28-17 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 45.5 | Top | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 0 m | Show |
At 8:25 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (101) and the Green Bay Packers (102). In a game between two divisional rivals both who are banged-up and coming off a game on Sunday that required overtime — and now both playing on a short week — expect this contest to a grind where both opposing coaches look to rise to the challenge by winning the battle at the line of scrimmage in what should result in a lower scoring game. Chicago (1-2) travels to Lambeau Field with confidence after their 23-17 upset win over the Steelers in overtime as a 7-point underdog. The Bears have an underrated defense that limited the potent Pittsburgh offense to just 282 yards of offense. Chicago has now played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of September. The Bears have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games against NFC North opponents, Chicago has played 5 of these games Under the Total. |
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09-28-17 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:15 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (957) and the St. Louis Cardinals (958) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Lance Lynn. Chicago (89-69) won the third game of this series yesterday with their 5-2 victory yesterday. The Cubs have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against an opponent that allowed at least five runs in their last game. Chicago has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 28 of their last 39 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. They give the ball to Hendricks who is 7-5 with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.07 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and .235 opponent’s batting average in ten starts as compared to his 3.20 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .248 opponent’s batting average in thirteen starts at home. The Cubs have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total with Hendricks on the mound. He faces a Cardinals team that has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total at home against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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09-27-17 | Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 9 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (905) and the Philadelphia Phillies (906) listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and Mark Leiter. Philadelphia (63-95) has won two of their last three games with their 4-1 victory over the Nationals last night. The Phillies have now seen the Under go 6-2-3 in their last 11 games at home. That was just the second time in their last six games where they managed to score four runs — and they have then played 29 of their last 43 games Under the Total after playing at least four straight games where they scored no more than four runs. Additionally, the Under is 5-0-2 in Philly’s last 7 games Under the Total against NL East opponents. They give the ball to Leiter who is 3-6 with a 4.69 ERA and 1.27 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics call for immediate improvement with both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.10 or 4.12 moving forward. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.36 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and .207 opponent’s batting average in eleven starts as compared to his ugly 7.35 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and .281 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts on the road. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Phillies’ last 5 home games with Leiter on the hill. He should fare well against this Washington team that is scoring just 3.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .192 batting average, .259 On-Base Percentage and .626 OPS over that span. Furthermore, the Under is 21-7-3 in the Nationals’ last 31 games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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09-26-17 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
At 9:40 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (961) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (962) listing both starting pitchers Matt Moore and Robbie Ray. San Francisco (62-95) exploded for nine runs last night in their 9-2 victory over the Diamondbacks in the opening game of this National League West series. The Giants have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. San Francisco has also played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams that allowed at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 48 games at night on the road, the Giants have played 30 of these games Over the Total. They give the ball to Moore who is 6-14 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.50 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been particularly ineffective on the road where he has been saddled with a 6.51 ERA, 1.69 WHIP and .306 opponent’s batting average in fourteen starts (sixteen games) on the road as compared to his 4.21 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and .260 opponent’s batting average in fourteen starts (seventeen games) at home. San Francisco has seen the Over go 7-0-1 in their last 8 road games with Moore facing a team with a winning record. He faces a hot-hitting Diamondbacks team that is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with an OPS of .802 over that span. |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys v. Cardinals UNDER 47 | Top | 28-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (489) and the Arizona Cardinals (490). Dallas (1-1) was embarrassed last week on the road in Denver where they were spanked by a 42-17 score despite being a 2.5-point favorite. The Cowboys surrendered 380 yards in that contest while seeing their defense be on the field for 33:50 minutes in that game. Ezekiel Elliott rushed the ball only nine times for 8 yards. Overall, Dallas rushed the ball only 14 times for 40 yards with Dak Prescott ending up as their leading rusher with 24 yards. The Cowboys have to get back to running the football behind the bruising offensive line in an attempt to control the clock and impose their will while keeping their defense off the field. Dallas will not be successful in the long run if Prescott attempts 50 passes like he did against the Broncos. As it is, the Cowboys have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Additionally, Dallas has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Cowboys have played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. And in their last 14 games on the road, Dallas has played 11 of these games Under the Total. |
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09-25-17 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays (917) and the Boston Red Sox (918) listing both starting pitchers Brett Anderson and Drew Pomeranz. Boston (91-64) begins this series coming off a 5-4 win at Cincinnati yesterday afternoon. The Under is then 21-8-2 in the Red Sox’s last 31 games after a victory. Boston has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 51 games at home, the Under is 33-16-2 for the Red Sox — and this includes playing twenty-one of their last thirty home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to Pomeranz who is 16-5 with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 3.11 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and .241 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts at home as compared to his 3.19 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and .255 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts on the road. The Red Sox have played 4 of their las 5 games Under the Total with Pomeranz pitching on grass. He should fare well again this Blue Jays team that is hitting only .201 over their last seven games with a .274 On-Base Percentage and .636 OPS. The Under is a decisive 46-19-5 in Toronto’s last 70 games against left-handed starting pitchers. And in their last 27 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher, the Under is 18-8-1. |
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09-24-17 | Raiders v. Redskins OVER 53.5 | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oakland Raiders (487) and the Washington Redskins (488). Oakland (2-0) looked very good for the second straight week with their dominant 45-20 win over the Jets last Sunday as a 14-point favorite. The Raiders have then played 19 of their last 25 gams Over the Total after a straight-up win. The Over is also 31-13-2 in Oakland’s last 46 games after a point spread victory. And in their last 6 games after a win by at least two touchdowns, the Raiders have played 5 of these games Over the Total. But while the Raiders defense has impressed by only allowing 292 yards last week to the Jets, but concerns remain when going deeper inside the numbers as they are allowing opponents to convert on 50% of their 3rd down plays. Moving forward, Oakland has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total in the month of September. |
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09-24-17 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Angels (971) and the Houston Astros (972) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Skaggs and Lance McCullers. Houston (95-59) has won eight of their last nine games with their 6-2 victory in the second game of this series. The Astros have now played 5 straight games Under the Total after a victory. Houston has also seen the Under go 15-5-1 in their last 21 games at home — and that includes playing 6 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to McCullers making his first start since the beginning of the month after dealing with arm fatigue. He was fine in his last bullpen session and will be motivated to prove himself in this audition to be included in the team’s playoff rotation. For the season, McCullers has a 7-3 record along with a 3.97 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. The deeper sabermetrics are bullish with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.39 and 3.15 moving forward. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.87 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and .217 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 4.78 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and .265 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Astros have played 17 of their last 22 home games Under the Total with McCullers on the mound. He should fare well against this LA team that has played 4 straight road games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. This is a slumping Angels’ team playing out the string. Over their last seven games, this team is scoring only 2.1 Runs-Per-Game with a .186 batting average along with a .272 On-Base Percentage and .576 OPS. |
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09-23-17 | UMass v. Tennessee OVER 59.5 | Top | 13-17 | Loss | -117 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Massachusetts Minutemen (327)/Tennessee Volunteers (328) Over the Total. Tennessee (2-1) looks to bounce-back from their heartbreaking 26-20 loss to Florida that ended on a Hail Mary pass from Florida with the game-tied that featured such terrible defense that it will likely be the signature visual that gets head coach Butch Jones relieved of his duties in early December. But I do expect the Volunteers to beat up on the Minutemen this afternoon. Tennessee did cover the ending +6.5-point spread in that game — and they have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread win. The Vols have also played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total in the month of September. Additionally, not only has Tennessee played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total at home but they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total agains teams with a losing record on the road. |
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09-21-17 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 40 | Top | 41-39 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:25 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (301) and the San Francisco 49ers (302). In this game between two rebuilding teams in the NFC West, look for both teams to try to win the battle at the line of scrimmage with both teams playing on a short week under the leadership of first-year head coaches trying to re-establish the identity of their respective franchises. Expect both teams to stay committed to running the football to keep their defenses off the field — which also serves to limit the number of offensive plays in this game. Los Angeles (1-1) looks to rebound from a 27-20 loss to Washington on Sunday as a 3-point favorite. The Rams allowed the Skins to rush for 229 yards in that game on 33 carries in a strategy that the 49ers will likely try to replicate behind Carlos Hyde — and Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. The Rams have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against fellow NFC West opponents. Furthermore, the Under is 35-15-1 in Los Angeles’ last 51 games on the road — and that includes playing 9 of their last 10 road games against teams with a losing record at home. |
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09-17-17 | Titans v. Jaguars OVER 41 | Top | 37-16 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (261) and the Jacksonville Jaguars (262). Tennessee (0-1) looks to bounce-back from an opening week 29-16 upset loss to the Raiders last Sunday despite being a 2.5-point favorite. The Over is then 10-4-1 in the Titans’ last 15 gamers are a point spread loss. Tennessee did generate 350 yards of offense in that loss — and the Over is then 11-4-1 in their last 16 games after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. The Titans have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. |
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09-14-17 | New Mexico v. Boise State UNDER 59 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (103) and the Boise State Broncos (104). Boise State (101) looks to bounce-back from a heartbreaking 47-44 overtime loss at Washington State last week in a game where they had a 31-7 lead with under 11 minutes to go before blowing that lead and eventually succumbing in overtime. This team has quarterback issues with the inconsistent junior QB Brett Rypien benched in their first game before suffering a head injury in the 1st quarter last week against the Huskies. Graduate transfer Montell Cozart finished that game out — but while this 12 of 20 passing for 161 yards with two touchdowns with an additional 72 rushing yards looks dynamic, he completed only 3 of 9 passes to close out the game for just 33 yards which helped Washington State eke that game out. Rypien’s status for this game is questionable which makes things even more difficult for the Broncos on a short week. Don’t be surprised if the former Kansas QB gets the start tonight. Boise State needs to tighten things up on defense after allowing 455 yards to the Cougars. The Broncos have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, Boise State has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 14 games at home, the Broncos have played 11 of thee games Under the Total. |
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09-11-17 | Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 42 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
At 10:20 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (481) and the Denver Broncos (482). Denver (0-0) had the 4th best defense in the NFL last year by holding their opponents to just 316.1 total YPG. The Broncos defense was even better at home as they held their visitors to last year to only 300.6 total YPG. Denver has played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total as the favorite. The Under is also 13-6-1 in the Broncos’ last 20 home games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 45 point range. Furthermore, Denver has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow AFC opponents. And in their last 5 games played on grass, the Broncos have played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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09-11-17 | Huddersfield Town v. West Ham United UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
At 3:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between West Ham United (81832) and Huddersfield Town (81833). West Ham (0-0-3) remained winless back on August 26th with their 3-0 loss at Newcastle. The Hammers have yet to score a goal this season — and this was after last year’s campaign where they only scored 47 goals for the entire season. Defense was their calling card under manager Slaven Bilic whose tactics kept things afloat despite their difficulties in scoring goals. The team did make a major signing last month when they acquired Javier “Chicharito” Hernandez from Bayer Leverkusen in the German Professional League. Unfortunately for Bilic, the Mexican star will not have many of his key teammates in this match. Midfielder Marko Arnautovic is suspended for this match while midfielders Manuel Lanzini, Andrew Ayew and Edmilison Fernandes are all out with injuries. Forward Andy Carroll is also questionable for this afternoon’s match with a knock of his own leaving this side thin up front. West Ham does return home to play their first match this season — and they need a result. They managed only eight shots against Newcastle and they will likely lean heavily on their good depth in their backfield along with a strong keeper in Joe Hart who is on load with the club from Man City.
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09-10-17 | Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 46.5 | Top | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Giants (477) and the Dallas Cowboys (478). New York (0-0) may be a team where most of their attention goes to their offense with Eli Manning and Odell Beckham — and now they have added Brandon Marshall to that mix. But it is the defense that should be mentioned when first considering this Giants team. Last year, the Giants were 2nd in the NFL by holding opponents to just 17.8 PPG — and they were 10th in the NFL by allowing only 339.7 total YPG. Defensive coordinator is one of the best in the business — and his return to this franchise where he was the coordinator for their last Super Bowl run which earned him a head coaching stint with the Rams — has helped make this an elite defense once again. In particular, the Giants boast two of the best safeties in the league Landon Collins and Darian Thompson. New York has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against NFC opponents. The Giants have also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing on turf. Furthermore, New York has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total when the number at 45.5 or higher. Additionally, the Giants have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. |
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09-07-17 | Chiefs v. Patriots UNDER 49 | Top | 42-27 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (451) and the New England Patriots (452). Kansas City (0-0) was just 20th in the NFL last season by averaging 343.0 total YPG. Yet this team was able to generate more points than that level of production would suggest as they ranked 13th in the league by scoring 24.3 PPG. But this is an offense under QB Alex Smith that was middling at best in both the pass where they averaged just 233.8 passing YPG (19th in the NFL) and only 109.2 rushing YPG (15th in the NFL). This is a team that seems to have taken a step back then this season with the decision to cut wide receiver Jeremy Maclin via voicemail and then running back Spencer Ware suffered a season-ending knee injury. The defense remains stout after finishing in the Top-Ten in points allowed for the fourth straight season by allowing just 19.4 PPG which was 7th best in the NFL. The Chiefs secondary is elite with strong safety Eric Berry and a true shutdown cornerback in Marcus Peters anchoring a great group that can play man-to-man and afford an extra defender in the box. This defensive group will also be buoyed by the return of linebackers Justin Houston and Derrick Johnson after they suffered season-ending injuries before the playoffs last season. Kansas City has played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. The Chiefs have also played 12 of their last 18 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 7.5 to 10 points. And in head coach Andy Reid’s last 6 road games that he has coached as an underdog in the 7.5 to 10 point range, those games finished Under the Total 5 times. |
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08-31-17 | Eagles v. Jets UNDER 36 | Top | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (105) and the New York Jets (106). Philadelphia (2-1) looks to build off their 38-31 victory over the Dolphins last Thursday. Despite all those points, the Eagles defense played pretty well in holding the Dolphins to just 302 yards of offense. With likely backup QB Nick Foles still dealing with an injury, expect the uninspiring Mitch McGloin to handle the quarterbacking duties tonight with Carson Wentz not risking taking the field and getting injured. The starting offensive line for the Eagles will not be playing in this game either which will make things more difficult for the former Penn State QB. As it is, Philadelphia has played 5 straight preseason games under the leadership of head coach Doug Pederson Under the Total with the number in the 35.5-42 point range. The Eagles have also played 4 of their last 6 preseason games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3 point range. |
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08-30-17 | Giants v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
At 9:10 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (911) and the San Diego Padres (912) listing both starting pitchers Ty Blach and Travis Wood. San Diego (58-74) snapped their four-game losing streak last night with their 6-3 win over the Giants. The Padres have then seen the Over go 13-4-1 in their last 18 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 19-7-1 in San Diego’s last 27 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They give the ball to Wood who is 3-4 with a 6.67 ERA and 1.63 WHIP this season. Since being picked up by the Padres after being waived by the Royals, the left-hander has struggled at home where he has a 1.85 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .355 as opposed to his more mild 1.77 WHIP and .283 opponent’s batting average on the road. Wood’s teams have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when he is making the start. He faces a Giants team that has played 4 straight games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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08-26-17 | Rice v. Stanford UNDER 51.5 | Top | 7-62 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rice Owls (297) and the Stanford Cardinal (298). Stanford (0-0) should be loaded for bear once again on defense this season as they return eight starters from a 10-3 team that won their last six games including beating North Carolina (and future Chicago Bears’ Hall of Fame quarterback Mitch Trubisky?) by a 25-23 score in the Sun Bowl. The Cardinal held their opponents to just 20.0 PPG and only 368 YPG. Stanford was 10th in the FBS with the most 3-and-outs on defense last year. Redshirt junior Keller Chryst returns as the starting quarterback but he missed all of spring ball from the injury he sistine in the Sun Bowl. Expect head coach David Shaw to rely on his defense along with a physical ground game with this team struggling to effectively execute the forward pass. The Cardinal has played 7 of their last 9 games in the first two weeks of the season Under the Total. Stanford has also played 21 of their last 32 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 56 point range. |
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08-26-17 | Leicester v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 33 m | Show |
At 12:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between Manchester United (84578) and Leicester City (84577). Manchester United (2-0-0) has been the toast of the new English Premier League season so far this year after winning their second straight game by a 4-0 score. This side looks dominant — particularly on offense after scoring eight goals so far this season. The $100 million acquisition of forward Romelu Lukaku looks to be just what the doctor ordered as he has given the team an active and fluid attacker that better fits the team as compared to their big pickup last year of Zlatan Ibrahimovic. But the key newcomer for this team is midfielder Nemanja Matic who played a key role for the champions Chelsea last season. Matic reunites with manager Jose Mouinho from his time in Chelsea. Not only does he offer the side a defensive-minded controlling midfielder but his presence on the pitch frees up Paul Pogba to become more of an attacker from the middle of the field. It is the chemistry between Pogba and Lukaku that makes the Red Devils very dangerous this season. Man United should score at least twice on their home field this afternoon. |
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08-25-17 | Chiefs v. Seahawks UNDER 44 | Top | 13-26 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (257) and the Seattle Seahawks (258). Seattle (2-0) looks to build off their 20-13 win over the Vikings last Friday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Seahawks under head coach Pete Carroll have then played 10 of their last 14 preseason games Under the total after a points spread win — and Carroll’s teams have played 18 of their last 25 preseason games Under the Total after a point spread in win in the preseason in his three-team head-coaching tenure in the NFL. Seattle will be undermanned at running back in this contest with both the likely starter Thomas Rawls and impressive backup C.J. Prosise not playing tonight as they deal with injuries. That means the majority of the carries — at least with the starters in the first half — will be by Eddie Lacy but the former Packers’ running back has not impressed this preseason after managing just 30 yards on 10 carries. As it is, the biggest weakness for this Seahawks team on offense is their offensive line. Not only was this a liability last year, but the team suffered devastating news this month with the season-ending ACl injury to tackle George Fant. Seattle did average 6.06 Yards-Per-Play last week against the Minnesota defense — and the Seahawks have then played 5 of their last 7 preseason games Under the Total after a preseason game under Carroll where they averaged at least 6.0 YPP. Carroll’s teams have also played 7 of their last preseason games Under the Total in his coaching career where his team averaged at least 6.0 YPP in their last preseason game. |
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08-24-17 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (907) and the Cincinnati Reds (908) listing both starting pitchers Jake Arrieta and Sal Romano. Cincinnati (53-74) has lost three straight games after their 9-3 loss to the Cubs . The Reds’ pitching is just getting clobbered right now as they have surrendered at least eight runs in four straight games. Cincinnati has then played 7 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least seven runs in three straight games. The Reds have also played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a loss. Furthermore, Cincy has played 8 of ther last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. And this Reds team has played 20 of their last 26 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss by at least six runs. Additionally, Cincinnati has played 7 straight home games Over the Total at home. They give the ball to Romano who is 3-5 with a 5.32 ERA and 1.58 WHIP this season. The right-hander has particularly struggled at home where he has been saddled with a 6.63 ERA along with a 1.74 WHIP and .296 opponent’s batting average in four starts as compared to his 4.39 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .282 opponent’s batting average in five starts on the road. He faces a red-hot Cubs team that is scoring 6.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games along with a .297 batting average with a .380 On-Base Percentage and .864 OPS during that span. Chicago has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Cubs have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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08-21-17 | Dodgers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (951) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (952) listing both starting pitchers Alex Wood and Gerrit Cole. Los Angeles (87-35) suffered a rare loss yesterday in a 6-1 loss to the Tigers and Justin Verlander. The Dodgers have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road. They give the ball to Wood who is 14-1 with a 2.30 ERA and 1.01 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been particularly tough on the road where he enjoys a 1.72 ERA along with a 1.01 WHIP and .201 opponent’s batting average in nine starts as compared to his still strong (but not filthy) 2.77 ERA along with a 1.02 WHIP and .211 opponent’s batting average in ten starts (twelve games) at home. Furthermore, while Wood comes off another strong start where he allowed only one run at home against the White Sox — and the Dodgers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Wood looking to follow up a Quality Start. |