Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-26-24 | Thunder v. Pelicans OVER 222 | Top | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Thunder/Pelicans (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to more of an offensive affair here in our opinion finally between the Thunder and Pelicans. Oklahoma City had its four-game win streak snapped in a listless 118-93 loss at Milwaukee last time out, but note that the Thunder have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. The Pels play with revenge after a 107-83 loss here to OKC back in January, and note that New Orleans has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 89 or fewer points in; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-25-24 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 225 | Top | 118-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/Hawks. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive battle here on Monday night. The Celtics enter the final stretch of the regular season on top form, having won nine in a row. This is the opener of two straight here though, and we think Boston will control the pace of this one, and not allow the Hawks to play at an "up tempo." Boston has seen the total go "over" in three straight, but that's signficiant to note as the C's have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Atlanta is just 31-39, but it broke a two-game slide last time out with a convincing 132-91 win over Charlotte here. The Hawks have also seen the total soar "over" in three straight, but note that ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for the opening game of this mini two-game series to be a defensive one; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-24-24 | Texas A&M v. Houston UNDER 134.5 | Top | 95-100 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* UNDER Texas A&M/Houston (2ND RND. NCAA TOY) Both teams dominated in their opening round games behind tough defensive play, and we're expecting those trends to continue here. These two teams squared off on December 16h and Houston won 70-66. While we expect another competitive game here as well, we absolutely expect an even lower-scoring defensive "chess match" in this one. Texas A&M averages 75.5 PPG, while allowing 71.2, while Houston averages 73.4 PPG, while allowing a nation-low 56.7. The first game in December went "over" the number, but this one has defensive battle written all over; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-24-24 | Jets v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jets/Capitals (ASSASSIN) Both sides have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring battle here in the Nation's capital finally on Sunday afternoon for a couple of different really good reasons. Winnipeg enters off B2B losses, including a 6-3 loss at the Isles just last night. They return home after this for a five-game homestand, so they'll have to be careful not to "look past" the Capitals today. Washington has won four of its last five, but off a 7-6 shootout win hee over Carolina last time out, we're expecting a much more defensive affair this time around. Washington has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after that high-scoring win, but note that the Capitals have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-23-24 | Celtics v. Bulls UNDER 222 | Top | 124-113 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/Bulls (ULTIMATE TOP) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with some strong supporting trends points to this one being a lot more of a defensive battle than what this O/U line is suggesting. The C's have won eight straight after their 129-102 win at Detroit just last night. They continue their road trip after this with back-to-back games at Atlanta. Overall its a favorable part of the schedule for the Celtics. But Chicago plays with revenge after a 129-112 loss to Boston back in February here, and note that the Bulls have seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-22-24 | College of Charleston v. Alabama UNDER 173.5 | Top | 96-109 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
10* Charleston/Alabama UNDER (NCAA FIRST RND TOY) The 27-7 Charleston Cougars are going for their 13th consecutive win, but to do that the 13th seed will have to get by the No. 4 sedd in 21-11 Alabama. The Cougars did win the CAA in beating Stony Brook 82-79, but they didn't cover the 10.5-point spread. The Tide finished fifth in the SEC and lost to the Gators by a score of 102-88 in the quarterfinals of the Conference Tournament. If we delve a little closer into Charleston's numbers though, we find that it finished 88th overall, with a strength of schedule that was ranked 226th in the country. The Tide's weakness this year was their play on the defensive end, but they catch a break here in our estimation. We're expecting a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State OVER 137.5 | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -112 | 28 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER Drake/Washington State. We're expecting a wide-open shootout here between No. 10 seed Drake and No. 7 seed Washington State. These teams matchup well. It won't be a cake-walk for Washington State. Both have "played down" at times to the level of their competition, but they've also stepped up their against tougher opponents, as evidenced by their winning seasonal records in Quad 1 games. Washington State has a tough defense, but Drake will be pushing the pace. Look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-21-24 | Bulls v. Rockets UNDER 219 | Top | 117-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bulls/Rockets (NON-CONF TOW) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting this non-conference game to be less-intense offensively. Chicago is 34-35 overall, but just 16-18 on the road, while Houston is 33-35 overall, but 23-11 at home. The Bulls are off two straight wins after holding on for the 110-107 victory over Portland. Chicago has seen the total go "over" in five straight, but that's significant to note here as the Bulls have in fact seen the total go "under" in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Houston plays with revenge here after falling 124-119 in OT at Chicago back in January, and note that the Rockets have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. The Rockets have won six straight. They've seen the total go "over" in three straight after beating Washington 137-114, but note that Houston has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for the rematch to be a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring affair; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-21-24 | Blues v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Blues/Senators (NON-CONF TOW) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive affair here between the Blues and Senators on Thursday night. Just a great overall "situational" play and as primarily situational cappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. St. Louis had its four-game win streak come to an end in a 4-3 loss at Colorado last time out. It has a difficult schedule ahead, with games at Minnesota, followed by a home contest vs. Vegas, so it'll have to be careful not to look past the Senators, who they beat 4-2 at home back in December. The Sens enter off B2B high-scoring losses, but are now slightly favored here in this position. Ottawa will be doubling-down defensively here after alling 13 goals over its last two losses and when taking into account the other situational information listed above, all signs do point to this being a defensive affair, not a high-scoring shootout in my opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-20-24 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Leafs/Capitals (EASTERN CONFERENCE NON-DIVISIONAL TOY) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring affair here on Wednesday in our opinion finally. Toronto is 20-8 on the road, but it's off back-to-back losses, including a 4-3 setback at Philly just last night. Note that TO has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row though. Washington has been playing well of late, returning hoe from a five-game Western road-swing by going 3-2 overall, including winning the final three games. Note though that the Caps have interestingly seen the total dip below the posted number in three of their last four after three or more straight victories in a row. Expect these Eastern conference opponents to battle to a classic lower-scoring battle here; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-20-24 | Grambling State v. Montana State OVER 134.5 | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 52 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Grambling/Montanta State. Two teams looking to advance past the First Four collide on Wednesday night and in our opinion, everything points to a wide-open and much higher-scoring affair than what this O/U line is suggesting. Both 16 seeds. Grambling State finally got past Texas Southern in the SWAC, avenging two-straight losses in the Conference Tourney Championship Game, while Montana State rode some hot 3-point shooting to win its final four games to win the Big Sky Conference Tournament and earn a third-straight NCAA Tournament bid. Coming into the regular season finale they were just 13-17. Momentum is a very real thing and it's a factor in which the oddsmakers often have a difficult time properly quantifying into a line, and that's the case here. Look for each side to push the pace and then look for this total to fly "over" the number before the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
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03-19-24 | Rockets v. Wizards UNDER 228.5 | Top | 137-114 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rockets/Wizards (ASSASSIN) The Rockets are playing their best basketball of the season right nbow. They've won five straight and seven of their last eight. Note though that Houston has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 11 after five or more SU victories in a row. The Wizards play with revenge after a 135-119 loss at Houston just last week, and note that Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. The Wizards have lost four straight SU/ATS, and they've seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that Washington has also seen the total go "under" in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. While their last matchup last week flew "over" the number, all signs point to more of a defensive affair this time around in the Nation's capital; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-19-24 | Wagner v. Howard OVER 127.5 | Top | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Wagner/Howard (TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER) The winner of this one will have the unenviable matchup of UNC right after, but regardless, these two hopeful 16 seeds have nothing to lose and we're definitely expecting a faster pace. Both teams managed to come together at the right time and win their conference tournaments. The Bisons though have one of the worst defenses in the nation and are notorious in turning the ball over (21.7% of possessions.) With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-18-24 | Sabres v. Seattle Kraken OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* OVER Sabres/Kraken (NON-CONF TOW) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting this non-conference affair to be much more wide open. Buffalo is 15-14-4-0 on the road, while Seattle is 14-14-5-1 at home. The Sabres are off the 4-1 loss at Detroit, snapping a three-game win streak. They lost 5-2 to Seattle at home back on January 9th, and note that Buffalo has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Seattle enters off four straight losses. It can't afford to look past anyone right now. Now sixth in the Pacific at 28-26, and with a tricky two-game road trip after this starting in Vegas, we're expecting the home side to put an emphasis on pushing the pace. Overall, this one sets up well from a variety of different angles to soar "over" this posted number! AAA Sports |
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03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 149 | Top | 87-93 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wisconsin/Illinois (BIG TEN TOURNEY CHAMPIONSHIP) These teams have played to some high-scoring games to reach the Championship game, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive affair with everything on the line here. Wisconsin managed to knock off No. 1 seed Purdue to reach this for this game for the first time since 2016/17, while Illinois beat Nebraska. These teams did have one game in the regular season, and it was a high-scoring one in the Illini's 91-83 victory, but note that Wisconsin has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. This number is now a little bit TOO high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-17-24 | Heat v. Pistons OVER 214.5 | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Pistons (TOTAL ASSASSIN) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a shootout finally here in Detroit on Sunday afternoon in our opinion. Miami broke a four-game slide here at Detroit two days ago with a 108-95 win. We're expecting the Heat to keep the foot on the gas here to try and secure a second straight victory. The only difference we see this time around though is the Pistons being a lot more competitive until the end. Also not, Detroit has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace from start to finish like we suspect, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-17-24 | Islanders v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER Isles/Rangers. These teams both played to high-scoring games just yesterday, so we don't need to overanlayze this pick on the second day of the back-to-back for each. Each will be tired and we're expecting these New York rivals to double down on the defensive end. The Isles fell 4-3 in OT to Ottawa, allowing three unanswered goals at the end. They've lost three in a row. Note that the Isles have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Rangers have won four of their last five after yesterday's big 7-4 win at the Penguins. Now back at home after a successful road trip, eveything points to a very defensive battle; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-15-24 | San Diego State v. Utah State UNDER 137 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER SDSU/Utah State. Quick turn-arounds in these tournaments means that finding edges and angles wherever you can to exploit is the key to success, and as primarily "situational" cappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. SDSU finished 23-9, while Utah State was 27-5. They're pretty evenly matched. They split their regular season series 1-1 this year. But after each played to overtime yesterday, to advance to this contest, we're absolutely expecting each team to be fatigued here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Look for each to double down defensively after their difficult high-scoring contest yesterday; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-15-24 | Heat v. Pistons OVER 216 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Pistons (EAST-CONF NON-DIV TOM) Here's a great "situational" play in our opinion. Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a wide-open offensive affair here. Miami will be super pumped here to stop a four-game slide, most recently a 100-88 loss at home to Denver. That result though is important for us betting the "over" here for TWO reasons, the first in that Miami has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of their last ten off a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 89 or fewer points in, and secondly the Heat have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four as well after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This is the start of two straight here and we're expecting each side to push the pace in this first one. Detroit is arguably playing its best basketball of the season right now by winning three of its last four. This number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-15-24 | Pittsburgh v. North Carolina UNDER 147.5 | Top | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pitt/UNC (ACC TOURNEY TOY) Pitt beat Wake Forest 81-69 to advanced to the quarterfinal of the ACC, while UNC beat FSU 92-67. Both games went "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a much tighter, and ultimatley lower-scoring battle here on Friday night. The strength of each side has been on the offensive end all season, and the oddsmakers know that. The public knows that. But now here at this point of the tournament, the value has swung the other way as far as the total is concerned in our opinion (and finally, note that UNC has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four off a SU/ATS win and playing with 0 days rest.) This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-14-24 | Kent State v. Toledo UNDER 152 | Top | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kent State/Toledo (MAC TOTAL OF YEAR) This is just a great situational play. Kent finished 15-16, while Toledo was 20-11. Kent finished the season with two straight losses, including an 86-71 setback to Toledo in the finale. Note though that the Flashes have seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. Toledo finished with three straight wins and all three victories went "over" the number, but note that's also important as the Rockets have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. We're expecting a MUCH more defensive battle between these foes here in the rematch; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-13-24 | Bulls v. Pacers OVER 231.5 | Top | 132-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Bulls/Pacers (CENTRAL DIV. TOY) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating this particular contest here tonight on Wednesday to finally be more of a wide-open offensive affair. Chicago is coming off B2B losses, most recently a 127-92 setback at home to Dallas. That result though is significant to note though as the Bulls have in fact seen the total soar "over" the number in seven of their last ten after a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. The Pacers have won three of their last four, including the last two on the road. Indiana has seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Pacers have seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each of these hungry division rivals pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-12-24 | Davidson v. Fordham OVER 133.5 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
10* OVER Davidson/Fordham (A-10 TOURNEY TOY) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much more wide-open affair this time around finally between Davidson and Fordham. The A-10 Tourney gets going here with 15-16 Davidson facing off against 12-19 Fordham. The Wildcats finished the year by losing five straight. The beat Fordham 68-53 on February 20th, and note that the Rams have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss in which they were held to 55 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-11-24 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 152.5 | Top | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 5 m | Show |
10* UNDER Milwaukee/UNK (Horizon League Tourney TOY) These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive battle here between Milwaukee and Northern Kentucky on Monday night. Northern Kentucky enters averaging 74.8 PPG, while allowing 72.9, while Milwaukee averages 79.5 PPG, while conceding 78.6. Milwaukee finished 19-14 overall, while UNK was 18-14. The Panthers lost 90-72 at Northern Kentucky on January 18th, but then bounced back and won 73-72 at home on February 17th. These two evenly matched sides have played to a couple of high-scoring affairs to reach this point of the tournament, but everything finally points to much more of a defensive battle in our opinion this time around; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-11-24 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 227 | Top | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Warriors/Spurs (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive battle in our opinion here. These teams just played and the Spurs managed the 126-113 road win as 12.5-point dogs, but note that GS has seen the total dip below the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for SA to come back down to Earth here and expect the Warriors to finally double down on the defensive end after that pathetic performance last time out; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-11-24 | Blues v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
10* OVER Blues/Bruins (NON-CONF TOW) The Bruins have either seen the total go "under" the number, or "push" on the total over their last five games, but we're finally anticipating much more of a wide-open offensive affair here. One of the strengths of Boston is its ability to play any type of game, whether it be a wide-open shootout, or a shutdown defensive one. The Blues have been terrible of late, especially offensively, but we're expecting the visitors to open up the playbook here and to push things from start to finish. This will of course leave the Blues open on the backend. St. Louis has lost three in a row, most recently a 4-0 loss at the Rangers, but note that the Blues have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten following a shutout road loss. A great spot to wager on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-09-24 | Gardner-Webb v. North Carolina-Asheville OVER 149.5 | Top | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
10* OVER Gardner Webb/UNC Asheville. This is a great situational play. Both teams ended the regular season with B2B UNDERS, and they both opened the Tournament with low-scoring victories as well. That's signficant for us to take note of though for two reason. Reason 1: Gardner Webb has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. Reason 2: UNC Asheville has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 11 in the same position. The last time these teams played, Gardner Webb managed the 78-77 victory in late February, and we're expecting an even higher-scoring "shootout" this time around; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-08-24 | Radford v. High Point OVER 150.5 | Top | 63-77 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Radford/High Point (BIG SOUTH TOURNEY TOY) We had a play on Radford in its 67-60 win over SCUS in its opening round of the Big South Conference Tournament. The Highlanders went on to cover the five points, but the total stayed well under the number of 139.5 in that one. Including its final two regular season losses, Radford has now seen the total go "under" in three straight, but that's significant to note as the Highlanders have in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. High Point finished 24-7 and No. 1 in the regular season in the Conference. It's three-game win streak to end the season was snapped in a 74-72 loss at Longwood, but note that High Point has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four when playing with five or more days of rest. Expect a much faster pace to this contest and then look for the total to sail well "over" the number before the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
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03-07-24 | CS-Fullerton v. Cal-Riverside UNDER 136 | Top | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cal State Fullerton/UC Riverside (BIG WEST TOY) As primarily situational handicappers, this one falls right into our "wheelhouse." These teams are needing a win here and we're expecting that to translate into a defensive battle. There are many reasons to believe it'll be a defensive war instead of a wide-open offensive shootout. UC Riverside averages 69.6 PPG, while CSU Fullerton averages just 67.6. Each team's defense catches a break this week. The Highlanders beat the Titans 81-73 as 1.5-point favorites on the road on February 15th, and note that Cal State Fullerton has in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU and ATS conference home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. In our opinion, this one has defensive "war" written all over it; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-04-24 | Wizards v. Jazz UNDER 240.5 | Top | 115-127 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wizards/Jazz (NON-CONF TOM) Looking at the sides here, not really attractive betting either team. Washington is just 9-51 overall this year, including 6-26 on the road, while Utah is only 23-34 overall, but a much more respectable 18-11 at home. But Utah returns home after going winless on its road trip, most recently falling 126-120 at Miami. Previous to that the Jazz had seen the total go "under" in four straight. As primarily situational cappers, these are the types of games that we're always on the look out for. The first game back after a road trip can be a difficult one. It can be a letdown spot if its been a successful road trip, or it can be the starting point of a new win streak if the team got destroyed away from friendly confines. And so that's the case here for Utah, as we think it'll for sure be looking to double down on the defensive end here to snap the three-game slide. The Jazz actually beat the Wizards 123-108 in the Nation's capital back on January 25th. But that's significant to note, because the Wizards have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 games when trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread loss against an opponent. After their most recent 140-115 loss at the Clippers, following a 134-131 OT loss at the Lakers, the Wizards have lost 14 straight. This is the end of a three-game trip. They'll have a night off before playing Orlando at home after this. But for us, we see this one playing out similar to the first matchup between these clubs. Utah averages 114.6 PPG, and the Jazz average 117.5. Add those two averages together and it comes to well "under" tonight's total on this contest. We don't think either team will even reach its average tonight though. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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03-03-24 | Pistons v. Magic OVER 218 | Top | 91-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
10* OVER Pistons/Magic (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more a high-scoring "shootout" here on Sunday in our opinion. Detroit has now seen the total go "under" in eight straight after its most recent 110-100 loss to Cleveland (note though that the Pistons have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 100 or fewer points in.) Orlando is off B2B wins. It's seen the total go "under" in three straight, but that's significant to note as the Magic have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-02-24 | Orlando City SC v. Inter Miami OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 122 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER OCSC/Miami (TOM) As primarily situational cappers, we love the way this one sets up to be a higher-scoring affair. Both teams played to lower-scoring games to open the season, and because of that we absolutely believe there's an overreaction here and that this O/U line is in fact way too low now. OCSC went to a 0-0 draw tih Montreal, while Miami opened with a 2-0 win over Real Salt Lake, before the uninspiring 1-1 draw with LA to close out Week 1. With two games under their belts and now back at home, we're expecting Messi's side to push the pace from start to finish here. With this faster-paced affair like we're anticipating, all signs do indeed point to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-02-24 | Oklahoma State v. Texas UNDER 144.5 | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
10* UNDER OKS/Texas (BIG 12 TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much tighter, and lower-scoring battle finally here between these BIG 12 opponents on Saturday afternoon in our opinion. Oklahoma State is 12-16 overall, including just 1-7 on the road, while Texas is 18-10 overall, including 12-4 at home. The Cowboys are big underdogs after two straight home losses. OKS has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but that's significant for us to take note of as the Cowboys have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in nine of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Texas is off an upset 81-69 win at Texas Tech as a three-point dog, and note that the Longhorns have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four off an upset SU/ATS conference road win as a dog. Texas won't need to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish, so expect this slower-paced affair to stay well "under" once the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
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03-01-24 | Old Dominion v. Georgia Southern UNDER 152 | Top | 75-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
10* UNDER ODU/Georgia Southern. Overall we love the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. This one is all about the overall "situation," combined with a couple of strong O/U ATS stat that fully support us here. ODU is 7-23 overall, including only 1-11 on the road. Georgia Southern is 7-23 overall as well, but 5-6 at home. This is a game that each club will feel it has an opportunity to actually win in. Expect this to tranlsate into a defensive affair. Georgia Southern has seen the total go "over" in six straight now, but despite its most recent 83-73 victory over Marshall, note that the Eagles have still seen the total go "under" the number eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-29-24 | St. Mary's v. Pepperdine UNDER 138 | Top | 83-57 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 28 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saint Mary's/Pepperdine (WEST COAST TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to much more of a defensive affair in this contest finally here at Pepperdine on Thursday night. Just a great situational play overall for a few different reasons. Saint Mary's is 23-6, including a perfect 8-0 on the road. 6-2 ATS. Pepperdine is just 12-18 overall, but 9-7 SU and 8-6 ATS. The Waves play with revenge here after a humbling 103-59 loss at the Gaels in the middle of the month, and note that Pepperdine has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. Saint Mary's is off the 88-62 win over San Diego and it's now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is significant to note as the Gaels have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The overall situation that each team finds itself in points to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-29-24 | Rockets v. Suns OVER 234 | Top | 105-110 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Rockets/Suns (WEST-CONF NON-DIV TOM) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games, but all signs point to more of a wide-open shootout finally here in the opener of two straight between the clubs. Houston is 25-33, but only 5-23 on the road, while Phoenix is 33-24, including 18-11 at home. After back-to-back losses to OKC, the Rockets have now seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, but that's significant to note, as Houston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Suns have played to four straight "unders," but after three whole nights off between games, we're expecting the well-rested home side to come out fired up here and to push the pace from start to finish. Finally note that the Suns play with revenge after a 114-110 loss to Houston just last week as three-point favorites, and note that Phoenix has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-28-24 | Blue Jackets v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Jackets/Rangers (METROPOLITAN TOY) The stars and the planets have aligned for a very offensive affair here in our opinion. Columbus is 19-28-9-1, including only 9-13-5-1 on the road, while the Rangers are 39-17-1-2, including 20-7-0-0 at home. The Jackets are off the 4-2 win here two nights ago, but note that the Rangers have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. New York has now seen the total go "under" in five straight, but that's significant to note as well as the Rangers have in fact seen the total "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Expect a much faster-paced and ultimately higher-scoring affair here in the re-match; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-26-24 | Heat v. Kings OVER 224.5 | Top | 121-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
10* Heat/Kings OVER (NON-CONF TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of an offensive affair in this contest on Monday in Sacramento. Miami is 31-25 overall, including 16-12 on the road, while Sacramento is 32-23 overall, including 16-9 at home. Miami is 4-1 SU in its last five and it's seen the total go "over" in five straight. But that's significant to note here, as Sacramento has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. The Kings have won three in a row, including a 123-107 win at the Clippers just last night. Now on the second game of the B2B scenario, we expect the defense to take a step-back, not the offense for these efficient scorers. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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02-25-24 | Hurricanes v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER Canes/Sabres (EAST-CONF NON-DIV TOY) As primarily "situational" cappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. Both sides have been playing to some lower-scoring contests of late, but everything now finally points to more of a wide-open "shootout" here on Sunday night in our opinion. Carolina is coming off a 2-1 home loss to Dallas. It's scored just two goals in its last two games. Note though that the Hurricanes have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 off a home loss as a favorite. They beat the Sabres 6-2 back on December 2nd, and while we're expecting another high-scoring game this time around, we believe it'll be much more competitive. The Sabres have won two straight. Both were on the road vs. "lesser" competition. Looking to avenge the earlier loss and to add to the winning run, everything points to the home side keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish. This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-25-24 | Youngstown State v. Green Bay UNDER 144.5 | Top | 71-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Youngstown State/Wisconsin Green Bay (HORIZON LEAGUE TOM) Youngstown State is 20-9, but just 7-7 on the road. Wisconsin Green Bay is 17-11 overall, including 10-3 at home. The Penguins are off an 84-80 OT win over Milwaukee Wisconsin. They've seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight now. They play with revenge after an 84-83 loss to the Phoenix as 11-point favorites at home back on February 10th, and note that Youngstown State has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Phoenix though have lost two straight since that upset, both as favorites. They've failed to reach the 60-point plateau in either. We have a hard time seeing them mustering much of an offensive attack this afternoon either; for all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-24-24 | Boston College v. NC State UNDER 149.5 | Top | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
10* BC/NC State UNDER (ACC TOM) We base our picks on many different things. This particular one is just a great "situational" play. We're primarily situational handicappers, and we're also contrarian at heart. This particular play definitely falls right into our "wheel house." Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring battle here between these two hungry sides. BC is 15-11 overall, but just 4-5 on the road, while NC State is 16-10 overall, including 11-4 at home. BC is off an 84-76 loss at FSU and it's now seen the total go "over" in three straight. Note thought that the Eagles have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. They lost 84-78 in OT at home to the Wolfpack, and note as well that BC has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. NC State is off an 87-73 home loss to Syracuse as a seven-point fav, and note that the Wolfpack have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite. With each side doubling down defensively like we suspect, everything does indeed point to the "under" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-23-24 | Wild v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 110 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wild/Oilers (WEST-CONF NON-DIV TOM) This is a great "situational" play. This one sets up well to be a lower-scoring defensive battle in our opinion. Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring battles of late, but the overall situation that each team finds itself coming into this one, combined with some strong supporting O/U ATS stats, does all point to this evening's contest being a much more defensive battle. Minnesota is just 26-24 after a 6-3 loss at Winnipeg last time out. Previous to that it beat Vancouver 10-7. But with a contest at Seattle tomorrow night, we see the visiting side playing a more defensive "trap" style of contest this evening, so as to be able to reserve some gas for tomorrow night's difficult affair. The Wild play with revenge as well after a high-scoring 4-3 loss at Edmonton in December. After their 6-5 OT home loss to the Oilers, the Bruins have seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but that's also significant for us to take note of, as Boston has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-22-24 | Bruins v. Flames UNDER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bruins/Flames (ASSASSIN) This is a great situational play. The Bruins have played three straight extra-period games, and gone 2-1 in the process. All three games went "over" the number, but note that Boston has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. One of those wins came just last night in a tough 6-5 OT win at Edmonton. Now playing the second game of the B2B here, we're absolutely expecting fatigue to be an issue. Boston actually plays with revenge as well after a 4-1 loss at home to Calgary at the start of the month. The Flames snapped a three-game slide with a 6-3 win over Winnipeg here last time out, but we're for sure expecting a more methodical pace here with Boston in town; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-21-24 | Bruins v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -116 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bruins/Oilers (NON-CONF TOM) These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a lower-scoring affair this time around in our opinion. Boston is 33-12-9-2, including 15-5-5-1 on the road, while Edmonton is 33-18-1-0 overall, including 17-6-1-0 at home. The Bruins just snapped a four-game slide with a 4-3 shootout win over Dallas, but with a game tomorrow night in Calgary, we expect the visiting side to play a more conservative defensive affair this evening. Edmonton has won two in a row. It's seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but that's definitely significant for us to take note of here as the Oilers have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. With each team doubling-down on the defensive end like we suspect tonight, all signs do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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02-21-24 | St Bonaventure v. La Salle UNDER 145.5 | Top | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saint Bonaventure/La Salle (A-10 TOY) This is a great "situational" play, which is backed by some strong supporting O/U ATS trends, and all of these factors collide here and make this play strong enough to become our one and only A-10 TOY. Saint Bonaventure is 16-9 overall, but just 4-4 on the road, while La Salle is 12-14 overall, including 8-6 at home. The Bonnies have won two straight, most recently holding on for an 81-80 OT thriller at home over Davidson. St. Bonaventure has now seen the total fly "over" the number in five straight, but that's signficant for us to take note of here, as the Bonnies have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. La Salle just snapped a five-game losing streak with an 82-81 win over UMass as a six-point dog, but note that the Explorers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS conference victory as an underdog. The overall situation that each team finds itself coming into this one, combined with the above listed trends, does indeed make the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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02-19-24 | Florida A&M v. Alcorn State OVER 138 | Top | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER FAMU/Alcorn State (SWAC TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now finally anticipating much more of a wide-open "shootout" here between these conference rivals on Monday night. FAMU is just 4-19, including only 2-12 on the road, while Alcorn State is only a slightly better 8-17 overall, including 3-3 at home. This is a game that each side will believe that it can actually win, and because of that, we're definitely expecting a faster-paced, wide-open affair. FAMU has lost five straight, but note that the Rattlers have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after five or more straight losses in a row. They play with revenge as well after a 76-67 home loss to Alcorn State as 2.5-point dogs back in January, and note that the Rattlers have seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent. The Braves are coming off three straight SU/ATS victories, with all three games going "under" the number. That's also significant for us to take note of though, as Alcorn State has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This total is low in our opinion, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-19-24 | Red Wings v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
10* OVER Wings/Kraken (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a wide-open offensive battle here on Monday in our opinion. The Wings are 28-20-6-0 overall, including 13-12-1-0 on the road, while the Kraken are 23-21-6-4, including 11-9-3-1 at home. Detroit snapped a two-game slide with a 5-0 win at Calgary last time out. It's seen the total go "under" in two straight. The Wings lost to Seattle 5-4 in OT at the start of the season, but note that Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Seattle has snapped a three-game slide by winning two straight, most recent a 4-1 upset at Boston. That was three nights ago. Note that Seattle has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four after playing with three or more nights of rest. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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02-18-24 | Murray State v. Drake UNDER 140.5 | Top | 72-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Murray State/Drake (MISSOURI VALLEY TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games lately, but all signs point to much more of a defensive battle here finally in our opinion. Murray State is 11-15, including 4-6 on the road, while Drake is 21-5, including 13-0 at home. The Racers won't be rolling over here despite being a big dog, as they come in off B2B convincing victories, most recently an 82-72 win over Missouri State (note though that Murray State has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) Drake has won three straight, with two of the three games flying "over" the number, but note that the Bulldogs have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after three or more SU victories in a row. We think Murray State will do everything it can to slow down the pace of this one; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-17-24 | Chelsea v. Manchester City UNDER 3.25 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chelseas/Man City. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring "under" on Saturday afternoon in our opinion. Chelsea is in tenth, and Man City is second. Last weekend the Blues won 3-1, but we expect they'll be in for a "war of attrition" this weekend. The home side got past FC Copenhagen 3-1 in Champions League this week, and while confident, we don't anticipate a wide-open affair, as City will be cautious here in this spot vs. the Blues. With each side waiting for the other to make the first mistake, all signs point to this one staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-12-24 | Knicks v. Rockets OVER 220.5 | Top | 103-105 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER Knicks/Rockets (NON-CONF TOW) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring contests, but everything finally points to more of a wide-open shootout here in our opinion between these non-conference opponents on Monday night. The Knicks are 33-20, including 14-12 on the road, while Houston is 23-29, including 18-9 at home. The Knicks will be eager to get back on track after back-to-back home losses. Both games went "over" the number. But it's Houston that plays with revenge after a 109-94 loss in the Big Apple in mid-January, and note that the Rockets have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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02-12-24 | Coyotes v. Flyers OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Coyotes/Flyers (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a wide-open "shootout" here between these non-conference opponents on Monday night in our opinon. Arizona is 23-23-4-0, including just 8-13-4-0 on the road, while Philadelphia is 28-19-4-2 overall, but only 13-12-1-1 at home. The Coyotes have lost five straight. They're off a tough 5-4 OT loss at Nashville last time out, but we can expect that offensive momentum to be carried over here. Philly has won three straight, and it's also seen the total go "under" in three straight. That's significant to note however, as Philly has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each team opening things up from the "get go," all signs point to this total flying well "over" the posted number before the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
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02-12-24 | Lehigh v. Bucknell UNDER 140 | Top | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lehigh/Bucknell. This is a fantastic "situational" play in our estimation. Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we feel that this particular battle here tonight will be a much tigher, and ultimatley lower-scoring affair here on Monday. These are two teams in need of a victory and we expect this great sense of competition to translate into a scrappy defensive-contest on the floor. Lehigh is 8-15 overall, including just 3-10 on the road, while Bucknell is a slightly better 10-15 overall, but only 4-7 at home. The Mountain Hawks are off a 94-90 OT win over Lafayette and we believe they'll still be fatigued here, so that definitely plays a big factor here. Bucknell actually upset Lehigh 86-80 on the road back in January, and note that the Mountain Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for the rematch to be a lower-scoring "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 270 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER 49ers/Chiefs (TOM) Two great offenses. Two great defenses. Honestly, it would not be difficult for us to write a convincing argument for this to be a high-scoring game, but for a number of different reasons we are expecting Super Bowl 58 to be a very defensive affair. San Francisco averages 28.9 PPG, which ranks third, while allowing 17.5, which ranks third as well. Kansas City only averages 21.8 PPG though, which is 15th overall. The big news for the Chiefs in the postseason and throughout the regular season as well though has been their tough defensive play, as they enter the big game conceding 17.3, ranked second in the league. Despite having Patrick Mahomes under center, the last thing that KC wants to do here is to turn this into a "track meet" with the hungry 49ers. Instead they'll look to suffocate this offense and control the clock. Mahomes won't feel nearly as much pressure as his counterpart and should expertly be able to "control" the pace of this one. In our opinion Super Bowl 58 will be decided in the trenches and by field position and in a contest like that, the "under" becomes the savvy call as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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02-09-24 | Penguins v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER Pens/Wild (NON-CONF TOW) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a wide-open shootout in our opinion here in Minnesota on Friday night. Pittsburgh has seen the total go "under" in three straight after its most recent 3-0 win, but note that the Pens have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Minnesota snapped a two-game slide with a 2-1 win at Chicago last time out and it's also seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is also significant for us to take note of, as Minnesota has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-07-24 | Wild v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
10* OVER Wild/Hawks (CENTRAL DIVISION TOY) The second half of the NHL season is now underway and here's a great situational play in our opinion, as we think the stage is set for these hungry sides to open things up and play to a high-scoring shootout once it's all said and done. Both teams went into the break on losing streaks. The Wild lost 3-2 to Nashville and 3-2 to the Ducks. Clearly at 21-23, the Wild have a lot of work to do in the second half. The Blackhawks are already out of contention at 14-34 and they also enter the second half on a losing streak as they went into the break on four straight losses (including getting shutout in back-to-back games in Edmonton and Calgary.) But with the extra time off to prepare and find their legs, we think this faster paced affair will go OVER the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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02-06-24 | Magic v. Heat OVER 212.5 | Top | 95-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER Magic/Heat (Southeast TOY) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to a "shootout" here between these two hungry division rivals in our opinion. Orlando is 27-23, including only 12-16 on the road, while Miami is 26-24, including a pedestrian 13-12 at home. We like betting on motivated teams when betting on "overs," and that's for sure the case here. The Magic are off three straight road wins after a 111-99 victory at Detroit last time out, but note that Orlando has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after a SU/ATS road victory in which it held its opponent to 99 or fewer points in. The Heat play with revenge after a humbling 105-87 loss at Orlando in January, and note that Miami has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace of this one like we expect, all signs do indeed point to the "over" as the savvy call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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02-06-24 | Rutgers v. Maryland OVER 128.5 | Top | 56-53 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* OVER Rutgers/Maryland (BIG TEN TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring affairs of late, but all signs finally point to much more of a wide-open "shootout" here on Tuesday in our opinion. Rutgers is 11-10, while Maryland is 13-9. The Scarlet Knights just snapped a three-game slide with a huge 69-59 win at Michigan as 4.5-point dogs, and note that Rutgers has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a SU/ATS conference road win as an underdog. Maryland has seen the total go "under" four straight now after its most recent 63-54 road loss at Michigan State, but note that the Terps have seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS conference road loss in which they were held to 55 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we expect, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-05-24 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Prairie View A&M UNDER 157.5 | Top | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
10* UNDER Arkansas-Pine Bluff/Prairie View A&M. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair here between these Conference rivals in our opinion on Monday night. Both teams really need a victory here, and we're expecting that sense of competition to translate into a very defensive affair. Akransas-Pine Bluff is 10-11 overall, including just 4-8 on the road, while Prairie View A&M is 8-13, including 4-2 at home. The Panthers have lost three of their last four, including an 80-69 loss here to Texas Southern last time out. While Prairie View A&M has now seen the total go "over" in four straight, note that the Panthers have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Golden Lions have won two straight. Both games went "over" the number. But with the home side doubling down on the defensive end like we expect, everything points to a much more methodical pace to this one than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-02-24 | Pelicans v. Spurs OVER 234.5 | Top | 114-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* OVER Pels/Spurs (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a wide-open offensive affair in this one in our opinion. The Pels are 27-21 overall, including 13-11 on the road, while the Spurs are 10-38 overall, including 5-19 at home. New Orleans is off the 110-99 win at Houston, snapping a three-game slide, but note that the Pels have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS road win in which they held their opponent to 99 or fewer points in. New Orleans beat the Spurs 146-110 in mid-December here in San Antonio and while we do think the home side will put up a much more competitive battle, we are in fact expecting a similar final combined score here once it's all said and done. With each side pushing the pace like we anticipate, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number! AAA Sports |
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02-02-24 | Columbia v. Harvard UNDER 151 | Top | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Columbia/Harvard (IVY LEAGUE TOM) Both sides have been involved in some higher-scoring "shootouts" out of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive battle here between these conference rivals in our estimation on Friday night. Columbia is 10-7 overall, including 2-5 on the road, while Harvard is 10-7 overall, including 6-3 at home. That's a stark contrast between winning and losing at home for each side. The Lions won't be rolling over here after snapping a three-game slide with an 84-81 win over Penn as 1.5-point dogs (note though that Columbia has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten off a SU/ATS conference home win as an underdog.) Harvard has lost three of its last four and it's seen the total go "over" in all three losses. That includes a 78-65 setback to Yale here last time out. With each team doubling down defensively like we're expecting, the "under" does indeed become the savvy call as far as the total is concerned in this one in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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02-01-24 | Tulane v. SMU UNDER 157.5 | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER Tulane/SMU (AAC TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating much more of a defensive affair here on Thursday night finally between these hungry conference rivals. Tulane is 12-8 overall, but only 2-3 on the road, while SMU is 13-6 overall, including 9-2 at home. The Green Wave won't be lacking for motivation here after back-to-back losses, most recently a 75-71 home setback to Charlotte as 3.5-point favs, but note that Tulane has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. SMU fans can empathize, as their team also enters off back-to-back losses, including a 77-72 loss at Wichita State as 5.5-point favorites last time out. But that's also important for us to take note of hee, as the Mustangs have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 off a SU/ATS conference road loss as favorites. With each team doubling down defensively like we expect, all signs do indeed point to the "under" as the savvy call here as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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01-31-24 | Nuggets v. Thunder OVER 228 | Top | 100-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Denver/OKC (NORTHWEST DIV. TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to more of an offensive affair here in our opinion between these division rivals. OKC had won five in a row, but it's now coming off two straight losses. It's seen the total go "under" the number in three straight now after its most recent 107-101 loss to Minnesota, but that's significant to take note of here as the Thunder have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Denver plays with revenge after a 119-93 home loss in late December to the Thunder, and note that the Nuggets have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss in which they where held to 95 or fewer points in. Considering all of the above-listed factors, this O/U line is indeed a tad low; so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-30-24 | Wyoming v. Air Force UNDER 137.5 | Top | 83-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wyoming/Air Force (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a defensive affair here finally in our opinion between these conference rivals. After their most recent 84-70 loss at Fresno State, the Falcons have now seen the total eclipse the posted number in five straight, but that's significant for us to take note of here, as Air Force has in fact seen the total "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five of more straight "overs" in a row. Wyoming is off a high-scoring 79-76 OT win over Colorado State and it's now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight. But that's also important for us to take note of, as the Cowboys have seen the total "under" in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. These two teams are in need of a victory here and we're expecting that sense of competition to lead to a very defensive, and ultimately lower-scoring affair; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-30-24 | Blue Jackets v. Blues UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 104 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jackets/Blues (TOW) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair this time around in our opinion. Columbus has seen the total go "over" in three straight after its most recent 4-2 loss at Seatle, but note that the Jackets have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. the Blues have won five straight and theyv'e seen the total go "over" in four straight. St. Louis has played to three straight 4-3 OT victories, but everything now is pointing to this particular contest being a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring "under" once the final horn sounds! AAA Sports |
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01-30-24 | Lakers v. Hawks UNDER 247 | Top | 122-138 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
10* Lakers/Hawks UNDER (EXPRESS) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends finally point to much more of a defensive affair this time around. LA is just 7-16 on the road after last night's humbling 135-119 loss at Houston as a 1-point favorite. Note though that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four off a road loss as a favorite. Atlanta snapped a three-game slide with a 126-125 win over Toronto. Note though that the Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. With the Lakers coming in on the second game of the B2B, and taking into account the rest of the above-listed factors, everything does indeed point to the "under" as the correct call in this contest as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs v. Ravens UNDER 44.5 | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 96 h 37 m | Show |
10* Chiefs/Ravens UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) Although this game definitely features two of the best QB's on Earth right now, we're expecting this contest to be won in the trenches and by field position. Whichever team establishes the run and looks after the football is going to come out on top. Each offense will be doing its best to limit the time the other unit is on the field, and that means establishing the run game throughout. The Chiefs beat the Fish 26-7 in the Wildcard at home, before holding on for the 27-24 win at Buffalo last weekend. We're anticipating more of a defensive lower-scoring battle like the Chiefs participated in the Wildcard. Baltimore held the Texans to just ten points, and the Chiefs' sub-par offense could be in trouble on the road here as well. In our opinion, this number is indeed high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-27-24 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 243.5 | Top | 120-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kings/Mavericks (ASSASSIN) We feel this number is way too high for a number of different reasons. The Mavericks are coming off a 148-143 win at Atlanta where star Luke Doncic scored a career-high 72 points. Now on the second game of the B2B here, everything points to a predictable letdown after that historic victory in our opinion. The Kings are off a 134-133 road win at the Warriors, but note that Sacramento has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four off a SU/ATS road win. This number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-27-24 | UNLV v. San Jose State UNDER 147 | Top | 77-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER UNLV/SJSU (MW TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but everything points to much more of a defensive affair this time around in our opinion. UNLV is 9-9 this season, including 2-2 on the road, while SJSU is 8-11 overall, including 5-4 at home. The Spartans though have now seen the total go "over" the number in ten straight after their most recent 95-75 loss to New Mexico and note that SJSU has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to ten or more straight "overs" in a row. UNLV is coming off B2B high-scoring losses as well, most recently a 98-58 setback to Air Force as a 10.5-point favorite. Note though that the Rebels have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which they were held to 59 or fewer points in. Look for this competitive battle to be a defensive one; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-26-24 | Cavs v. Bucks UNDER 238 | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cavs/Bucks (ASSASSIN) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to more of a defensive affair here. In fact, this is the second game of a back-to-back hee between the clubs in Milwaukee, with the Bucks winning their third straight by a score of 126-116. Note though that Cleveland has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. That loss snapped an eight-game win streak for the Cavs, who have seen the total fly "over" the number in two straight now. The rematch here though on Friday night has all the makings of a much more defensive battle this time around in our opinion; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-25-24 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 224 | Top | 143-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER Celtics/Heat (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but the situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with some strong O/U ATS stats/numbers points to this number now being a TOO low. Boston is 14-9 on the road this year after B2B wins to open up this road trip. The C's have now seen the total go "under" in five straight games, but note that Boston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten (70%) after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Miami will be desperate to snap a four-game slide after last night's 105-96 loss at home to Memphis. Note though that the Heat have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. Look for defense to take a back seat here and expect this total to indeed fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-25-24 | UTEP v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 136.5 | Top | 54-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER UTEP/Louisiana Tech (CONF USA TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a defensive affair in this one in our opinion. UTEP is 11-8 overall, but 0-5 SU/ATS in true road games. Louisiana Tech is 13-6 overall, and a perfect 9-0 SU at home. The Miners come in off B2B home wins, with both victories flying "over" the number, but in their last road game, a 72-68 loss at FIU, the total stayed "under" the number. We suspect UTEP will once again struggle to find offensive consistency away from friendly confines. Louisiana Tech has won three straight SU/ATS, but note that the Bulldogs have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. The overall situation that each team finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends all do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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01-23-24 | Knicks v. Nets OVER 222.5 | Top | 108-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Knicks/Nets (BATTLE) The Knicks are 26-17 after three straight victories. They've now seen the total go "under" the number in five straight, but note that New York has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Brooklyn beat the Lakers, then fell to the Clippers. The Nets have seen the total go "over" the number in two straight and now back at home, and looking to rebound, everything in our opinion points to this great situational play soaring "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-22-24 | Sharks v. Kings OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
10* OVER Sharks/Kings (PACIFIC DIV. TOM) These two teams have struggled to put pucks in the net of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself in coming into this contest, combined with the numbers/trends all point to this one finally being more of a high-scoring offensive shootout. San Jose snapped a three-game slide with a 5-3 win over Anaheim in its last game and we look for it to keep that offensive momentum rolling here. The Kings snapped a two-game slide witha 2-1 home win over the Rangers. LA has seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Kings have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs v. Bills UNDER 45.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chiefs/Bills (BLOOD-BATH) These teams played in Kansas City back on December 10th and the Bills won a tight and lower-scoring battle by a score of 20-17. Will the Chiefs get their revenge here, or will the Bills take advantage of home field and pull out another win and cover? We're not 100% sure WHO will win and cover in this game, but we're for sure absolutely expecting another lower-scoring battle. Note that KC has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. We're expecting this one to be decided in the trenches and by field position and in a contest like that, the "under" is almost always the correct call as far as the total is concerned, and that's the case here in this divisional round matchup; in our estimation, this number is a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Grand Canyon v. Seattle University UNDER 143 | Top | 79-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
10* Grand Canyon/Seattle UNDER (WAC TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a lower-scoring defensive battle in our opinion. Normally the eyes of the basketball world wouldn't pay much attention to a Western Athletic Game, but that won't be the case here, as Grand Canyon enters at 17-1. Seattle is 10-8 overall, but 9-2 at home. The Redhawks won't be rolling over here after three straight road losses (all went "over" the number, and two went to OT.) Note though that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Grand Canyon had seen the total go "under" in three straight before its most recent 78-65 win over Utah Valley. The Antelopes will have their hands full here and we're expecting them to once again double-down on the defensive end; when you add it all up, this number is indeed high in our opinion, so the play is on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens OVER 43.5 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 76 h 27 m | Show |
10* OVER Texans/Ravens (DIV. RND TOY) With nearly 65% of the early public money on the Texans, most everyone here feels that CJ Stroud and company can keep the offensive momentum rolling here vs. this difficult Ravens defense. And why not though, as the Browns had the No. 1 defense in the league and were just torched for 45 points. And for Baltimore, it has had the advantage of having a week off to heal up. We're expecting LaMar Jackson to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. We base our picks on many different things, this particular one sets up really from a "situational" stand point in our opinion. Everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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01-18-24 | Tenn-Martin v. Morehead State OVER 149.5 | Top | 66-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
10* OVER Tennessee Martin/Morehead State (OHIO VALLEY TOY) These teams have both been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in this particular matchup here on Thursday night. Tennessee Martin is 10-8 and Morehead State is 13-5. The Skyhawks snapped a two-game slide with a win over Little Rock last time out, and despite now having seen the total go "under" in four straight, note that Tennessee Martin has still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Morehead State won't be taking anything for granted here after its five-game win streak came to an end last time out in a 61-48 loss at SIU Edwardsville. But note that the Eagles have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 49 or fewer points in. This number is indeed a little low when you take into account all of the above listed situational and trend-based factors; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-17-24 | Magic v. Hawks OVER 232 | Top | 104-106 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* OVER Magic/Hawks (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now finally expecting more of a wide-open shootout here between two clubs in need of a victory. This is a great situational play. Orlando is just 9-13 on the road. It snapped a three-game slide with a 98-94 road win at New York last time out. Note though that the Magic have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Atlanta broke a two-game slide as well with a 109-99 victory over San Antonio last time out, but note that the Hawks have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each team pushing the pace from the ouset and throughout like we expect, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-16-24 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson UNDER 150.5 | Top | 93-90 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Georgia Tech/Clemson (ACC TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair here in our opinion. Georgia Tech is 8-8 and Clemson is 12-4. The Yellow Jackets are just 1-4 on the road though. they're coming off an 84-79 loss at Duke. Previous to that they fell 75-68 in OT at home to Notre Dame as 6-point favorites. The Jackets come to town dejected and fatigued. Clemson just snapped a three-game slide with an 89-78 win over BC, but note that the last time these teams met, the Tigers won 72-51 and we're fully expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Both teams have seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, but that fact has only helped in driving this particular O/U line here tonight, a few points higher than it normally would/should be; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs OVER 43 | Top | 9-32 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Eagles/Bucs (BLOCKBUSTER) Both teams struggled down the stretch of the regular season after great starts. Regardless, here we are and in our opinion, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. This playoffs has so far been anything but predictable. The Browns had the best defense in the league and they just gave up 45 points to the Texans, while the Dolphins leds the league in total offense, and only managed 7 points vs. a sub-par Chiefs' defense. And we absolutely believe that the oddsmakers are wrong in this case as well. Philadelphia held Tampa to just 11 points in a low-scoring win here earlier in the year, but note that Tampa has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-15-24 | Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 244 | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/Raptors (EAST-CONF TOW) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair in our opinion. Boston is 30-9, but just 11-9 on the road. The Raptors are only 15-24 overall, but a more respectable 9-9 at home. Boston has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four, including in its most recent blowout 145-118 victory over the Rockets. Toronto has lost four of its last five. It's off a humbling 145-113 loss at Utah. Note though that the Raptors have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for a much more defensive affair overall here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-14-24 | Washington v. UCLA OVER 140 | Top | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER Washington/UCLA (PAC 12 TOM) These two teams are in need of a win and we're expecting this faster-paced affair to ultimately eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. Washington is 10-6 overall, bust just 1-2 on the road, while UCLA is 6-10 overall, including 4-4 at home. The Huskies are slight favs on the road here, as they've snapped a three-game slide by winning their last two, including an 82-67 victory over ASU last time out. We're expecting a similar final combined scored here as well. The Bruins have lost four in a row and they've seen the total go "under" in four straight. Despite their 90-44 loss to Utah last time out though, note that the Bruins have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 off a conference road loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we expect, all signs point to this total eclipsing the posted number; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Browns v. Texans UNDER 44.5 | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -109 | 97 h 50 m | Show |
10* Browns/Texans UNDER (WILDCARD RND TOY) They say defense wins championships, and in our estimation the team that plays the best on that side of the field and wins the war in the trenches and the field position battle will be the one that comes out on top. These teams will look to establish the run throughout as to limit the mistakes their QB's can make in this pressure packed situation. The Texans won the AFC South at 10-7, while Cleveland was second in the AFC North. This is the second meeting between the teams in the last three weeks, with the Browns getting the better of the Texans by a score of 36-22 on Christmas Eve. Note though that Houston has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. CJ Stroud didn't play in that game and while he'll be back in this one, as stated off the top, we're absolutely expecting each side to try and use the run game to set up the pass. These teams didn't get here because of their explosive offenses and unbelievable QB's. They got here because of their great defensive play. And that's what we're expecting, a lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-12-24 | Predators v. Stars UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER Predators/Stars (CENTRAL DIVISION TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much tighter and ultimately lower-scoring battle here between the Predators and Stars in our opinion. Nashville is 10-7-1-0 on the road, while Dallas is 13-7-2-0 at home. The Predators have lost two of their last three after a 5-3 setback at home to the lowly Ducks last time out. Note though that the Predators have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Dallas has won two of its last three. It's seen the total go "over" the number in six of its last seven after a 7-2 victory over the Wild here last time out. Note though that the Stars play with revenge here after falling 4-3 here to the Predators at the start of the month (and that's significant to note, because Dallas has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a divsional home loss as a favorite.) This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-12-24 | Fairfield v. Niagara UNDER 146.5 | Top | 72-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Fairfield/Niagara (MAAC TOY) This one sets up well from a situational stand point to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Fairfield is 9-6 and Niagara is 6-8. The Stags come in on a big winning run, having won eight in a row. They've also seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after their 82-61 victory over Marist last time out (but note that Fairfield has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) Niagara has won three straight and it's seen the total go "over" in four of its last five, most recently off a 75-73 win at Iona as a 9.5-point underdog (note though that the Purple Eagles have seen the total go "under" the number in five or their last six off an ATS/SU conference road win as an underdog.) We expect this competitive battle to be defensive in nature; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-11-24 | Michigan v. Maryland OVER 139.5 | Top | 57-64 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER Michigan/Maryland (BIG TEN TOY) These two teams are in need of a victory. Each has been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to much more of a wide-open offensive contest here on Thursday night in our opinion. Michigan is 6-9, including 2-1 on the road, while Maryland is 9-6, including 8-1 at home. To say the Wolverines are hungry for a win would be an understatement after four straight SU losses and five straight ATS losses (note though that Michigan has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after five or more ATS losses in a row.) Maryland is just 1-2 SU in its last two and it's seen the total go "under" in three straight. As bettors though, that's important for us to take note of as the Terrapins have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-10-24 | Northern Kentucky v. Oakland UNDER 148.5 | Top | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
10* Horizon league TOY on the UNDER UNK/Oakland. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games leading up to this contest, but everything finally points to much more of a defensive battle here on Wednesday night in our opinion. These teams are evenly matched and we're expecting a war until the end. UNK is 8-8 and Oakland is 9-8. The Norse have lost three of their last four, including a heart-breaking 88-85 OT loss at Cleveland State just two nights ago. We believe that fatigue will indeed be a factor here. Oakland has won three straight and it's seen the total go "over" in three straight as well, which is significant to note as well as the Grizzlies have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Expect this tight battle to be a very low-scoring defensive one; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan UNDER 57 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 30 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER Washington/Michigan (TOW) We think the time off between games will be detrimental to these offenses, and beneficial to the defenses early on. Note that when these teams met in 2021, the combined to score just 41 points. The Wolverines will be content throughout to let the clock run on offense as they use the run to set up the pass. This Michigan defense just held Alabama to 288 total yards of offnse in the win over the Rose Bowl and we're anticipating Michael Penix Jr. to have a hell of a time in this one as well. Everything points to this total being just a bit TOO high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-08-24 | Bulls v. Hornets OVER 216 | Top | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Bulls/Hornets (ASSASSIN) These teams have both been playing to several "unders" of late (including in the Bulls 104-91 home win on the 5th.) With that loss, Charlotte has now seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Hornets have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Charlotte has also seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. Chicago has seen the total go "under" in eight straight games now, but that fact has only helped in driving this particular total here tonight a few points lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion. With each side pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-07-24 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 239.5 | Top | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hawks/Magic (ASSASSIN) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair in our opinion finally in this one. Atlanta is 14-20 and Orlando is 20-15. The Hawks are 9-11 on the road and the Magic are 12-4 at home. The Hawks two-game win streak came to an end last time out in a terrible 150-116 loss at the Pacers, but note that Atlanta has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. After that poor defensive effort, we can expect the visiting side to "double down" on that end of the court. And for the Magic, they snapped a three-game slide with an upset 122-120 road win at the Nuggets as 10.5-point underdogs. Can anyone say "mental letdown spot?!" When you add up all of the above listed factors, we definitely feel that this O/U line is too high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Santa Clara v. Pepperdine OVER 149.5 | Top | 78-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
10* Santa Clara/Peppderine OVER (WEST COAST TOY) This is a great situational play in our opinion. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends all finally point to a much higher-scoring offensive affair this time around. Santa Clara is 10-6 and Pepperdine is 7-9. Santa Clara is off the 68-57 road win at Loyola Marymount as a 2-point dog, but note that the Broncos have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten off an upset road win as an underdog in which they held their opponent to 59 or fewer points in. Pepperdine had won two in a row before an 86-60 loss at Gonzaga last time out. They fell 91-82 to Santa Clara in this game last year and we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Coastal Carolina v. UL - Lafayette OVER 149.5 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER CC/UL Lafayette (SUNBELT TOM) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much higher-scoring affair here finally in our opinion. Coastal Carolina won't be lacking for motivation here after starting the year 4-9. The Chanticleers comes in off a rare 71-63 win at Texas State as 8.5-point dogs and we're fully expecting them to keep that offensive momentum carried over here. UL Lafayette is 7-7 after back-to-back losses as an underdog. The last time the Cajuns plays CC, UL Lafayette stumbled and lost 77-76 as a 3.5-point favorite. We're expecting another tight and competitive battle here, but one that also flies "over" the number before it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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01-05-24 | Heat v. Suns OVER 229.5 | Top | 97-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Suns (NON-CONF TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but in our opinion, the overall situation here finally points to more of an offensive affair. Miami is 20-14 and 11-8 on the road after snapping a two-game slide with a 110-97 win over the Lakers last time out. Despite that total going "under" the number and despite Miami having seen the total go "under" in four straight now, note that the Heat have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Suns four-game win streak came to an end in a 131-122 loss to the Clippers here last time out. We're anticipating a similar final combined score in this one as well; this number is low in our opinion, so the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-04-24 | Avalanche v. Stars UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Avs/Stars (CENTRAL DIVISION TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to a much tighter and lower-scoring defensive battle in this one in our opinion. Colorado is coming off three straight wins and it's off a 5-4 OT win over the Islanders. The Avs could have their hands full here though with Dallas, who plays with revenge after a 6-3 loss here in mid November to the Avs. Note though that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a divisional home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Everything points to a much tighter and lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-04-24 | College of Charleston v. Hofstra UNDER 154 | Top | 73-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Charleston/Hofstra (CAA TOY) Charleston is 9-4 and Hofstra is 7-6. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but from a situational stand point, this one now here on Thursday finally sets up as more of a defensive affair in our opinion. The Cougars enter off five straight victories and they've seen the total go "over" in six straight, but despite their 96-59 win over Montreat College last time out, the Cougars have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Pride have lost four of their last five and the last thing they'll want to do is to turn this into a shootout, instead they'll look to control the pace. When you add up all of the above factors, everything points to a much more defensive affair than what this O/U line is suggesting; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-03-24 | Xavier v. Villanova OVER 138.5 | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Xavier/Villanova (BIG EAST TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring contests of late, but in our opinion everything finally points to more of a wide-open offensive battle between these Big East rivals. Xaiver is 7-6 overall, while Villanova is 9-4. The Musketeers have gone 3-1 in their last four and they've seen the total go "under" in three straight after their most recent 74-54 win over Seton Hall, but note that the Musketeers have in fact seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Villanova is 3-2 SU in its last five, but it's seen the total go "under" in five straight after its most recent 84-48 win at DePaul, but that's significant to note for a couple of reasons, as the Wildcats have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four off a SU/ATS road conference road win in which they held their opponent to 49 or fewer points in and also in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. We base our picks on many different things, and this particular one is a great situational play that's backed by very strong trends in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-01-24 | North Alabama v. Texas Tech UNDER 144.5 | Top | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER North Alabama/Texas Tech. Here's a great "situational" play. We're fully expecting Texas Tech to go up early, and then to take the foot off the gas as it plays its final "tune-up" game before the conference schedule. The Red Raiders are 10-2 overall and 7-0 at home. Texas Tech enters on a five game unbeaten streak, but that is in fact significant to note here, as the Red Raiders have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after five or more straight SU victories in a row. North Alabama is 6-7, including a terrible 1-6 on the road. It's coming off back-to-back losses, failing to top 68 points in either game. We have a hard time seeing the offensively-challenged Lions even reaching 60 in this one though vs. this difficult Red Raiders' defense; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-01-24 | Liberty v. Oregon OVER 65.5 | Top | 6-45 | Loss | -110 | 333 h 16 m | Show |
10* OVER Liberty/Oregon (BOWL TOY) We're expecting very little defense to be played here in the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl in what sets up to be an interesting matchup between two teams that have somethng to prove. Liberty finished 13-0, capped off by a 49-35 win over New Mexico State in the Conference USA Championship Game. Clearly, the Flames will be out to prove to the nation that they should have been part of the College Football championship. Oregon went 11-2 and lost 34-31 to Washington in the final PAC 12 Championship Game. The Ducks averaged 44.2 PPG, while allowing just 17.3, but with the Flames pushing the pace like we anticipate, despite being such big underdogs, everything definitely points to a high-paced, wide-open "shootout," rather than a grind-it-out defensive affair. Liberty averaged 40.8 PPG, while allowing 22.7 and while these are admittedly two very good defensive teams, we're anticipating plenty of offensive fireworks; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Celtics v. Spurs UNDER 240.5 | Top | 134-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/Spurs (BOB) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle here on New Year's night. Boston has won five straight, and it's seen the total go "over" in six straight, but note that the C's have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Spurs' issues are well documented this season. And with a game at Memphis on January 2nd, we believe the home side will get caught looking ahead here as well. Look for Boston to control the pace of this one here and for this total to ultimatley stay "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Washington v. Utah OVER 153.5 | Top | 90-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Washington/Utah (PAC TOY) Washington enters 8-4 overall and 0-1 in Pac 12 action, while Utah is 10-2 and 1-0. Washington lost its conference opener by a score of 73-69, and clearly it won't be happy about that sub-par offensive performance. Note though that the Huskies do have a notable 78-73 win over Gonzaga this year already. Utah destroyed Washington State by 22 points in its conference opener and we're expecting it to push the pace here as well in this potentially difficult matchup. The bottom line here though is that each team really likes to push the ball, as each ranks in the Top 100 in adjusted tempo. Each also has multiple double-digit scoring forwards. For all the reasons listed above, look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |