Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-12-24 | Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 233.5 | 120-129 | Loss | -112 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. While many teams are just going through the motions with only a couple games left in the regular season, these two teams still have plenty to play for. The Cavs are only one game up on the Magic and the Pacers, who could bump them out of the 4th seed. Despite the massive playoff implications, the total for tonight's game is higher than it has been in any of the previous 10 meetings. The Cavs are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, and they won the last meeting by a score of 108-103 at Indiana last month. While the over is 7-3 in the Cavs last 10 overall, only one of those games saw more than 233 total points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-24 | Alabama v. Connecticut UNDER 161.5 | Top | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 162 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. I had the under in the Huskies win over Illinois, and they didn't even come close to the total of 155.5. Here is what I said before tip off: "I had to rub my eyes when I saw that the total for this game opened at 155.5. I think the bookmakers came up with this number based on offensive efficiency numbers, while ignoring pace of play. Illinois may be the most efficient offense in the country, but they scored just 72 points in a low scoring battle versus Iowa State. It won't get any easier against a UCONN team that ranks 307th in pace of play averaging 68 possessions per game. UCONN hasn't seen a combined 155 points in any NCAA Tournament game in 10 years. We saw six of eight games fail to reach the total in the Sweet 16, and there is every reason to expect these teams to tighten up even more as we get closer to the Final." The Crimson Tide scored 89 points and did go over the total in their game against Clemson. That game was on pace to go under with Alabama leading 58-53 with just 8 minutes remaining, but there were 60 points scored in the final eight minutes. These teams played last Novermber, and the total for that game was 148. The Huskies won 82-67 falling well short of 161.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-24 | NC State v. Purdue UNDER 146.5 | 50-63 | Win | 100 | 136 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. We have seen nine of the last 12 NCAA Tournament games go under the number, and another low score might be expected in a football stadium when such venues have been known to cause problems for long range shooters. Some would say that the Wolfpack have been lucky that Texas Tech, Marquette and Duke shot poorly from beyond the arc. I think it's naive not to give credit to NC State for their defense. Purdue was just 3-of-15 from beyond the arc in the Elite Eight, but with Zack Edey scoring 40 it didn't matter. The Boilermakers won 72-66 versus Tennessee, and I expect a similar score here in the Final Four. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-24 | Mavs v. Rockets UNDER 230.5 | 125-107 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. If the playoffs started today, the Lakers would face the Warriors in the play-in. If that is the matchup you would like to see .... "Houston, we've got a problem!" The Rockets have won 11 straight, and they are just a game back of Golden State. Houston is coming off a 101-100 win at Utah, a dominant effort defensively. They held the Mavs under 100 points the last time these teams met, and the total has gone under in seven of the last 10 meetings. The Mavs have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall. The stakes are high, so expect defense to be intense in Houston tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-24 | Tennessee v. Purdue UNDER 148 | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 37 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The overs might have hit in the first round of the tournament, but seven of the last 10 NCAA Tournament games have gone under the total. Both these teams have a checkered past in the NCAA Tournament, and past failures haunt the likes of Matt Painter and Rick Barnes. The Vols will need to slow Purdue down if they want to advance, and they have been dominant defensively in this tournament. The Vols ranked #1 in the SEC allowing just 67 points per game this season, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 11. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-30-24 | Illinois v. Connecticut UNDER 155.5 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 37 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. |
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03-28-24 | San Diego State v. Connecticut UNDER 136.5 | Top | 52-82 | Win | 100 | 78 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. This is a rematch of last year's Natty, and UCONN won that game by a score of 76-59. The Huskies have won nine straight, and five of their last six opponents have scored 60 points or fewer. UCONN prefers to play at a slow pace, ranking 302nd nationally averaging 68 possessions per game. San Diego State averages just 69.6 possessions per game. They have played strong defense in the tournament so far, allowing an average of 61.5 points per game. We should expect a low score here, and I think the Aztecs will be held to 60 or less. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-24 | Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 231.5 | 132-126 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The NBA would love to see LeBron James and Steph Curry face off in the play-in, but not everything is going according to script. Houston... we've got a problem! The Rockets have won nine straight and 11 of their last 12. They are now just a game back of the Warriors for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Rockets catch the Thunder playing the second game of a back to back, and with a playoff berth on the line we should see some lock down defense. Houston will try to avenge a 112-95 loss to the Thunder in the last meeting. These teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-24 | Northwestern v. Connecticut UNDER 136 | 58-75 | Win | 100 | 43 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Northwestern scored just 19 points in the first half of their first round game against FAU, and it was a late collapse by the Owls that saw them advance. Northwestern ranks 334th in pace of play averaging 67 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the BIG10 in opponent's scoring average allowing 69 points per game. They are missing their best shooter Ty Berry, who hasn't played since early February. The Huskies should completely shut them down, but given the pace of play I expect an overall low score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-24 | Duquesne v. Illinois UNDER 148.5 | 63-89 | Loss | -115 | 37 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Duquesne Dukes have been dominant defensively, which is what got them here to the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The Dukes rank 281st nationally averaging just 68.5 possessions per game, but they have only averaged 65.8 possessions in their last three games. Their only hope here is to slow down an Illinois team that averages over 72 possessions per game. The under is 8-1 in the Dukes last nine overall, and that is a trend I expect to continue here against Illinois. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-24 | Raptors v. Wizards UNDER 232.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 19 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. This total looks far too high when you consider who is going to start for both teams. The Raptors have lost nine straight, scoring an average of 104.7 points in those games. Their entire starting lineup has been out for the last two games, and it should be all backups again in the second game of a back to back. The Wizards have lost six of seven, scoring an average of 106.8 points during that span. They are coming off a 109-102 home win over the Kings on Thursday, and this is a great opportunity to earn another rare home win. Toronto has gone under in seven of their last 10, and the under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Grand Canyon v. St. Mary's UNDER 132.5 | 75-66 | Loss | -125 | 115 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Gaels rank 1st in the WCC in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 58.7 points per game. Grand Canyon ranks 2nd in the WAC allowing 66.9 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Pacers v. Warriors UNDER 240.5 | 123-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Under. Prior to the All Star break one might think these two teams would be sure to get into a shootout, but times have changed. The Warriors are battling for a play-in spot, while the Pacers are only a half game out of a play-in spot. Indiana has seemingly learned how to play defense, as eight of their last 10 have gone under the total. The under is 5-5 in the Warriors last 10 overall, but none of those games saw a total as high as tonight's game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Vermont v. Duke UNDER 133 | 47-64 | Win | 100 | 111 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. Duke ranks 3rd in the ACC in opponents scoring average allowing 67.4 points per game. Vermont ranks 338th in pace of play averaging 66.8 possessions per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Northwestern v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 141.5 | 77-65 | Loss | -120 | 104 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. Northwestern ranks 334th in pace of play averaging 67 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the BIG10 in opponent's scoring average allowing 69 points per game. The Owls won their first round matchup by a score of 66-65 versus Memphis last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | South Dakota State v. Iowa State UNDER 133.5 | 65-82 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Cyclones won the BIG12 Tournament with a 69-41 win over Houston. They ranked #2 in the BIG12 allowing just 61.3 points per game. South Dakota ranks 316th nationally averaging just 67.7 possessions per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | Nevada v. Dayton UNDER 136.5 | 60-63 | Win | 100 | 86 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Dayton Flyers rank 347th nationally in pace of play, averaging 66.3 possessions per game. The Wolfpack are not much faster, ranking 274th averaging 68.7 possessions per game. Nevada ranks #2 in the Mountain West in opponent's scoring average allowing 67.1 points per game, while Dayton allowed just 66.3 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | Oregon v. South Carolina UNDER 133.5 | 87-73 | Loss | -115 | 85 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Gamecocks were #1 in the SEC in opponents scoring average, allowing just 67 points per game. That's all the more impressive when you consider they played the likes of Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama and Auburn. The Ducks won the PAC12 Tournament, and they have held four consecutive opponents under 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-24 | Colorado v. Boise State UNDER 141.5 | 60-53 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Neither of the first two play-in games saw a combined 140 points, and low scores have long been the trend in these elimination games in the NCAA Tournament. The under was 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament. We see teams play at a slower pace in these tournament games, and Boise comes in ranking 285th in pace of play averaging just 68.5 possessions per game. Colorado plays a bit faster, averaging 71.4 possessions per game, but they have averaged just 65.5 possessions in their last three games. This total is higher than it was in four of the Broncos last five games. i wouldn't be surprised if neither of these teams hit 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 149.5 | 87-93 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Last year's SEC Final ended with Purdue defeating Penn State by a score of 67-65. Yesterday's game between Wisconsin and Purdue nearly ended with a similar score, but the Badgers forced overtime with a buzzer beater that tied the score at 66-66. We saw the BIG12, PAC12,BIG10, BIG EAST, ACC & A-10 tournament finals all saw scores below 140 last year. We saw 33 of the first 44 games in last year's NCAA Tournament fail to reach the total. The fact is that defensive intensity is increased in elimination games. Illinois was knocked out of the first round of last year's tournament in a 73-63 loss to Arkansas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-24 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 238 | 128-121 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Lakers host the Warriors tonight, it what should look a lot like a playoff game. These two teams sit in the 9th and 10th spot in the Western Conference, battling for a play-in spot. Steph Curry is expected to return for an ankle injury, but it remains to be seen if he will be limited in any capacity. When you think of Lakers versus Warriors you might expect a history of high scoring games. Only once in the last 10 head to head meetings have they combined to score enough points to reach tonight's total, and that was a controversial double overtime win for the Lakers in January this year. This number looks a little inflated given the high stakes here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-24 | Pacers v. Thunder UNDER 242 | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. This total opened at 236.5, and has been bet up several points. Of course this is a matchup between the Pacers #1 scoring offense and the Thunder's #3 scoring offense. But things have changed since the All Star break, and defense is no longer an after thought. The Pacers have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, and these teams have only gone over once in the last four head to head meetings, and that game would have fallen short in regulation, but it went to overtime. Oklahoma City has gone under in four of their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-24 | Lehigh v. Boston University UNDER 140 | 84-79 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Boston University will host Lehigh in the semifinals of the Patriot Conference tournament, and these teams just played just a couple weeks ago. The Terriers won that game 64-62 in overtime, and neither team has scored 70 in three of the last four head to head meetings between these teams. The Terriers rank 320th nationally, averaging 67.6 possessions per game. They also rank 3rd in the Patriot allowing 66.1 points per game. Lehigh hasn't seen a combined 140 points in any of their last four games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-24 | Raptors v. Blazers OVER 226 | 118-128 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Scoring normally takes a nose dive after the All Star break, and defense usually intensifies as the playoffs approach. That was on full display last night, when six of eight games failed to combine for 226 points, and five teams failed to score 100 points. These two teams are the exception to the rule though, as Toronto has an exciting group of young players that are pushing the pace and having fun, without the pressure of playoff expectations. The Blazers are giving backups and third string players a chance to earn jobs, and they have been competitive despite being hit hard by injuries. The Blazers have gone over in seven of their last 10, and Toronto has allowed and average of 124 points over their last five games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-24 | Boise State v. San Diego State UNDER 137 | 79-77 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Aztecs are coming off a 62-58 loss at UNLV, and they host Boise State in their final home game Friday. The Aztecs rank 1st in the Mountain West in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 65.8 points per game. Boise State isn't far behind, allowing 66.9 points per game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven straight head to head meetings. Neither team has scored 70 in six of the last seven meetings. Another low score should be expected here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-24 | VCU v. Dayton UNDER 139 | Top | 86-91 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. |
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03-06-24 | Tennessee v. South Carolina UNDER 140 | 66-59 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Tennessee Volunteers are looking to clinch the SEC title on the road at South Carolina tonight. This is a revenge game for Tennessee, after losing 62-59 at home to the Gamecocks in January. I have previously mentioned that defensive intensity increases at this time of year, and that 33 of the first 44 NCAA Tournament games failed to reach the total last season. With a conference title on the line, this is the type of game where you expect to see no easy buckets. The under is 2-2-1 in the last five head to head meetings, but none of those games saw 140 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-24 | Duke v. NC State UNDER 148.5 | 79-64 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. Duke will play at NC State on Monday, and this looks like a tough spot to ask the Blue Devils to cover a big spread. The Blue Devils have North Carolina on deck, and could get caught looking ahead here. We look at the history between these teams, and we can see that three of the last four meetings have gone under the total, and Wolfpack have covered in the last two meetings. Duke is ranked 3rd in the ACC in opponent's scoring average, allowing 66.8 points per game. Duke has gone under in eight of their last 10 overall, and they scored just 60 points in a loss in their last game at NC State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-24 | Nuggets v. Lakers UNDER 229.5 | 124-114 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Nuggets will be in LA to take on the Lakers Saturday, and Denver has won four straight in this series. The under is 4-2 in those games, and these teams have gone under in seven of the last 10 meetings. This is a big game for LeBron James, as he's just nine points away from 40,000 for his career. The Nuggets aren't interested in participating in any milestones for LeBron, and they have held opponents to an average of just 107.6 points in their last 10 overall. The under is 14-4 in Denver's last 18 overall. This number looks a little inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-24 | Florida v. South Carolina UNDER 145.5 | 76-82 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Gamecocks are #1 in the SEC in opponent's scoring average allowing just 65 points per game this season. They rank 332nd nationally in pace of play, averaging just 66.9 possessions per game. This should be a pace war as Florida ranks among the fastest pace teams in the country. The Gators though haven't had a lot of success on the road. These teams have gone under in two of the last three head to head meetings, and none of those games saw a combined 145 points. This game looks similar to when Florida played at Texas A&M, and lost by a score of 67-66. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-24 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 238.5 | 120-105 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Warriors will be playing the second game of a back to back in Toronto. The Dubs are a solid 8-4 this season when playing on back to back nights. The over is 4-0 in their last four when playing on the road in the second game of a back to back. Toronto has gone over this number in four of their last five, and history tells us that these teams have scored plenty in recent meetings. The over is 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings, and the Raptors won the last meeting by a score of 133-118 at Golden State in January. We expect another shootout north of the border. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-29-24 | Michigan v. Rutgers UNDER 138.5 | 52-82 | Win | 105 | 29 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Rutgers will be a big favorite at home versus Michigan tonight, despite the fact that they scored just 46 points in a loss to Maryland in their last home game. Rutgers ranks dead last in the BIG10 in scoring, averaging just 66 points per game, and they rank 3rd in the conference in opponent's scoring allowing 66 points per game. The under is 7-1 in the last eight head to head meetings between these teams. Rutgers has gone under in 14 of their last 20 conference games, and they have averaged just 60 points in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-24 | Cavs v. 76ers UNDER 229.5 | 97-104 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Cavs are favored on the road at Philly on Friday, with both teams coming off a loss last night in the first game back from the All Star break. This makes plenty of sense, as Philly is just 6-15 without Joel Embiid this season, and they averaged just 112 points in those games. This is significantly less than the over 121 points per game that they averaged in games that Embiid played. The Cavs are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 2nd in opponents scoring average allowing 109 points per game. We should expect a strong effort on defense from both these teams coming off a loss. This number appears to be a bit inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-24 | Nets v. Raptors OVER 231.5 | 93-121 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Raptors lost 119-116 at home versus Brooklyn in December, but so much has changed since then. Toronto traded elite defender OJ Anunoby to the Knicks for a couple of talented offensive players (Quickley and Barrett). This has changed the style of play, and following the trade the Raptors went over in seven straight games. Coming out of the All Star break, we should expect Toronto to get right back to pushing the pace. The Nets just fired their coach, and Kevin Ollie takes over as interim coach for the remainder of the season. We'll see if the players respond here in his debut. I expect both teams to score their share of points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-24 | Connecticut v. Creighton UNDER 145.5 | 66-85 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UNDER. The Huskies are the #1 ranked team in the country, 14-1 in the Big East and 24-2 overall. The defending champs are coming off a 28-point win over Marquette, and they could be due for a let down here on the road at Creighton. History suggests that this is a tough spot for UCONN, as they are just 2-6 straight up in the last six head to head meetings, and they have lost four straight at Creighton. History also tells us that when these two teams get together they put on a defensive clinic. This was on full display when the Huskies won 62-48 at home versus Creighton earlier this season. Neither team has scored 70 points in any of the last six head to head meetings, and neither team has scored 70 in regulation in any of the last eight meetings. The Blue Jays won at home by a score of 56-53 versus UCONN last February. Don't be surprised if history repeats itself. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-24 | Warriors v. Jazz OVER 237.5 | 140-137 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The last time Golden State was on the second game of a back to back Curry scored 42 in a win over Indiana, prior to that Curry scored 60 in a loss at Atlanta. I expect another high score here in Utah, against a Jazz team that likes to play fast and loose. The over is 9-4 in Utah's last 13 games overall, and the Jazz have gone over in seven of their last eight versus Western Conference teams. The Warriors have gone over in four straight when playing on back to back nights. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-24 | Northwestern v. Rutgers UNDER 131.5 | 60-63 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. History paints a pretty clear picture that games between these two teams are normally ugly, defensive and low scoring. The under is 7-2 in the last nine head to head meetings, and the two games that went over the number both went to overtime. Last March Northwestern won by a score of 65-53. In six of the last eight meetings neither team reached 70 points. Rutgers ranks dead last in the conference in scoring averaging just 67 points per game, and they rank 2nd in scoring defense allowing 65 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-24 | Dayton v. VCU UNDER 135.5 | 47-49 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Dayton Flyers are first in the A-10 with a 9-1 record, their only loss coming at Richmond by a score of 69-64. The Flyers are one of the slowest paced teams in the country, averaging only 65.9 possessions per game (352nd). VCU ranked 292nd nationally averaging just 68 possessions per game. Both teams allow roughly 65 points per game, ranking as two of the top defenses in the conference. History tells us that the under has cashed in each of the last three head to head meetings. These teams haven't gone over 134 combined points in any of the last five head to head meetings. We expect a slow, defensive game here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-24 | Northeastern v. Campbell UNDER 136.5 | 86-76 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Campbell Camels will host Northeastern Thursday in a matchup between two of the lowest scoring teams in the CAA. These teams rank 11th and 12th respectively in scoring in the conference. Campbell is also one of the top defensive teams in the CAA, allowing just 67.6 points per game. The Camels rank among the slowest teams in the country, ranking 337th averaging 67 possessions per game. The Huskies only average 67.8 possessions per game. Expect a slow pace and a low score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-24 | Davidson v. Duquesne UNDER 136.5 | 72-59 | Win | 100 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
This is 4* play on Under. The Davidson Wildcats rank 14th in the A-10 Conference in scoring, ahead of only Saint Louis. The Duquense Dukes rank 11th in scoring, averaging less than one point more than Davidson. There are 362 Division 1 teams, and Davidson ranks 359th in pace of play averaging just 64.8 possessions per game. Davidson has failed to score 70 points in three of their last four games. Duquense has gone under the total in all four of their home games in conference play, and their most recent home game was a 65-60 win over Chicago State. Davidson is 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they failed to reach the total in all but one of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-24 | Raptors v. Thunder OVER 233.5 | 127-135 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Immediately following the trade that sent OJ Anunoby to New York in exchange for RJ Barrett and Emanuel Quickley, the Raptors appeared to improve on offense and regress on defense. The result was a stretch of several high scoring games before cooling off. They have gone over in four straight against the Thunder, and there are several storylines ahead of this game. You have Canada's team taking on Canada's best player (SGA). Canadian RJ Barrett has missed three straight games, but is expected to give it a go in the morning shoot around to see if he can return tonight. The over is 6-1 in the Raptors last seven at Oklahoma City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | Lakers v. Knicks UNDER 228.5 | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. This number looks a little high, as the Knicks have gone under this number in 11 straight games. The Lakers are coming off a 114-105 win at Boston, but they had gone over in seven straight prior to that. These teams have gone under in six of the last nine head to head meetings, and all three games that went over the number required overtime to do so. My only concern here is that the Lakers seem to get awarded 3 x more free throws than their opponent. The Knicks have been dominant defensively since the trade with Toronto, and even a few favorable calls for LeBron shouldn't be enough to keep LA in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | Houston v. Kansas UNDER 134.5 | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Houston Cougars will be the favorite at Kansas, but I expect this game to be a defensive battle. Houston has held opponents to 52.9 points per game this season, and they rank 349th in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. Kansas can play defense as well, and you look at recent games against top tier opponents and it gives you an idea what to expect. Games against #4 Marquette, #7 Tennessee and #4 UCONN all went under this total. I'd be surprised if either of these teams reaches 70. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | Connecticut v. St. John's UNDER 146.5 | 77-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The #1 ranked Huskies might have a battle on their hands here at MSG versus St. John's. These two teams played in December, and UCONN won that game by a score of 69-65 at home. The Huskies are one of the slowest teams in the country, ranking 278th averaging just 68 possessions per game. The Red Storm have failed to reach the total in four of their last five games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-24 | Raptors v. Rockets UNDER 227.5 | 106-135 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So immediately following the trade that sent RJ Barrett and Emanuel Quickly to Toronto in exchange for OJ Anunoby, we saw the Knicks games trend under and the Raptors games go over. Toronto is coming off a 118-107 win at Chicago, falling short of 227 despite shooting 52 percent from the field and 48 percent from beyond the arc. Barrett and Quickly didn't play, and they both remain questionable for Friday's game at Houston. I don't like the Raptors chances of shooting as hot as they did in Chicago. The under is 7-1 in the Raptors last eight overall, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in five of the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-24 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska OVER 144.5 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OVER. The Badgers beat Nebraska at home by a score of 88-72 earlier this season, going way over the total of 144. The bookmakers haven't adjusted for this game at Nebraska, despite the fact that the Cornhuskers are one of the better offensive teams in the BIG10, and they have scored over 81 points per game at home in conference play. The Badgers have averaged just over 71 points per game on the road in conference play. Wisconsin ranks 1st in the BIG 10 in free throw percentage hitting over 77 percent of their attempts, while Nebraska ranks 3rd hitting better than 75 percent. This number looks like it should be a few points higher. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-24 | Baylor v. UCF UNDER 140 | 77-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. While this might look like an easy game for a ranked Baylor team, let's dig a little deeper. The Central Florida Knights have held five of their last six opponents under 70 points. That includes a 65-60 home win over Kansas. They held BYU to just 63 in a home loss, and held West Virginia to 59 in a win in their most recent home game. Baylor on the other hand scored just 64 in an outright loss at Kansas State last week. Baylor has gone under in six of their last nine road games, and UCF has gone under in six of their last seven overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-24 | Nuggets v. Knicks UNDER 224.5 | Top | 84-122 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Nuggets have failed to reach the total in three straight, and they rank dead last in the NBA in pace of play. The Knicks are right behind them, with both teams averaging roughly 100 possessions per game. The Knicks have been a different team since the trade with Toronto, and they have now gone under in 10 of their last 11 games. These teams have gone under in four of the last six head to head meetings, and it doesn't look like the bookmakers have adjusted here with what looks like an inflated number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-24 | Elon v. Campbell UNDER 142.5 | 68-78 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Campbell Camels have played two home games in conference play, and neither team scored 70 points in either of those contests. Campbell is one of the slowest teams in country, ranking 339th out of 362 teams in pace of play. They average just 66 possessions per game, and Elon is also fairly slow averaging just 70 possessions per game. These teams have only met twice in the last five years, but both of those games went under the number and nobody reach the 70 point mark in either game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-24 | Knicks v. Nets UNDER 225 | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Knicks are a completely different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from Toronto. They have won nine of 11 and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 10 overall. They have held opponents to roughly 100 points per game during that span. The Brooklyn Nets are trending in the opposite direction, losing 10 of 12. Brooklyn are 3-15-1 ATS in their last 19 games. I expect the Knicks to shut down the Nets, resulting in another low scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-24 | Raptors v. Knicks UNDER 228 | 100-126 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I said this about the Knicks prior to their recent game: "The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span." They come off a 98-94 home loss to Orlando, and they followed that up with a 109-94 win over Houston. Now they play the Raptors who just dealt Pascal Siakam to Indiana. This should be another low scoring battle at MSG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-24 | Richmond v. Davidson UNDER 137 | Top | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Of the 362 Division 1 teams in the country, Davidson ranks 360th in pace of play averaging just 63.8 possessions per game. The Wildcats host Richmond Saturday, and these teams have failed to reach the total in back to back games the last two seasons. Richmond also plays at a slow pace, ranking 282nd nationally averaging 68.8 possessions per game. The Spiders are coming off a 63-61 win at Duquesne, and their previous road game was 58-56 win at Loyala Chicago. I expect both teams to score fewer than 70 points here GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-24 | Rockets v. Knicks UNDER 220 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I said this about the Knicks prior to their last game: "The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span." They come off a 98-94 home loss to Orlando, and they now face a Houston team that they have owned in recent seasons. The Knicks have won seven straight in this series, and Houston has averaged just 100 points per game in the last six meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-24 | Iowa State v. BYU UNDER 142 | 72-87 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Iowa State Cyclones are scoring just 62 points per game in the BIG12 so far, but they have held opponents to just 55 points per game. The BYU Cougars are scoring just 65 points per game in conference play, and they are allowing 70 points per game. We should see a defensive battle here in Provo and I wouldn't expect both these teams to reach 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-24 | Magic v. Knicks UNDER 222 | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span. The Magic rank 24th in the NBA in scoring, and they are 7th in opponent's scoring average. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in six straight meetings and eight of the last 10. The Magic are coming in off four consecutive unders. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-24 | Knicks v. Mavs UNDER 234 | 124-128 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Knicks are a different team since the trade with the Raptors. New York is 5-0 since the trade, allowing opponents to average much less than 100 points per game during that span. The Raptors are also doing well since the trade, but they have gone over in all their games. It makes sense that after trading a pair of offensive minded players for an elite defender, this would be the result. These teams have gone under in seven of the last 10 meetings, and they haven't scored 234 points in regulation in any of the last five meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-24 | Stony Brook v. Towson UNDER 130.5 | 64-73 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Towson Tigers rank 335th nationally in pace of play, averaging just 66 possessions per game. This is even slower than they played last season, and they host the Stonybrook Seawolves, who also play at a below average pace. When these two teams played last year the Tigers won 67-55, going under the total of 127. The total for tonight's game sits several points higher... and that's hard for me to justify. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-24 | East Carolina v. Temple UNDER 143 | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The East Carolina Pirates rank 301st nationally in pace of play, averaging just 68 possessions per game game. They are on the road tonight at Temple, and the Owls are coming off a 68-61 win over Wichita State. These teams have gone under in four of the last five meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-24 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech UNDER 145 | 72-87 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Clemson Tigers rank 233rd nationally in pace of play, averaging just over 70 possessions per game. They are coming off a 65-55 loss to North Carolina, and we might expect another low scoring game at Virginia Tech. The Tigers won the last meeting by a score of 51-50, and they have gone under in eight of the last 10 meetings. The total for tonight's game is much higher than it was in any of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-24 | Indiana v. Rutgers UNDER 140 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Rutgers is 8-2 SU in the last 10 head to head meetings versus Indiana, and they are 5-0 at home in those games. Neither team has scored 70 points in each of the last four meetings, and they have failed to reach 140 combined points in five straight meetings. Rutgers has failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. Rutgers ranks 349th in scoring averaging just 68 points per game, but they are great defensively allowing just 64 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-24 | Rhode Island v. Davidson UNDER 140 | 79-74 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. There are 362 Div 1 teams, and none of them play slower than the Davidson Wildcats. Their average of 62 possessions per game ranks 362nd in the country. The Wildcats host Rhode Island, and these teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last 10 meetings. Only two of those games went over a combined 140 points, and one of those went to overtime. Davidson won the last meeting by a score 68-54, and we could see a similar score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-06-24 | Knicks v. Wizards UNDER 239 | 121-105 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Throw out the previous numbers for the Knicks, since the trade this team is trending in a different direction. They gave up a couple of offensive players to acquire an elite defender, and in the three games Anunoby has played the Knicks have held opponents under 100 points per game. Washington has lost six of their last seven at home, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven versus the Knicks. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-06-24 | West Virginia v. Houston UNDER 135 | 55-89 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The West Virginia Mountaineers rank 268th nationally in pace of play, averaging 69 possessions per game. Houston ranks 342nd nationally, averaging just 66 possessions per game. The Mountaineers rank 353rd in scoring, averaging 68 points per game, and they face a Houston team that is allowing just 49 points per game. With both these teams playing so slow, it's hard to imagine that the Mountaineers can score 50 here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-24 | North Texas v. Wichita State UNDER 132.5 | 74-62 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The North Texas Mean Green are a defensive powerhouse, allowing 58.9 points per game on the season. They rank 354th nationally in pace of play averaging 66 possessions per game. They held St. Johns to 53 points, LSU to 66 points, and the last time they faced Wichita State they won 62-52. The Shockers are averaging over 75 points per game this season, but have failed to score 70 in four straight games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-24 | Campbell v. North Carolina A&T UNDER 142.5 | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Campbell Camels ranks 344th nationally in scoring, averaging just 68 points per game. They are strong defensively though, allowing opponents to average just 64 points per game. Campbell ranks 350th in pace of play, averaging fewer than 68 possessions per game. The last time these teams played, Campbell won by a score of 64-63 at home. The total in both games last year was listed 10+ points lower than the listed number for tonight's game. Tonight's total is higher than in any of Campbell's last 10 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-24 | Stanford v. UCLA UNDER 139 | 59-53 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The UCLA Bruins have struggled to score this season, ranking 368th in scoring averaging 67 points per game. Putting that in perspective there are only 362 Division 1 teams. UCLA has been pretty solid defensively though, allowing opponents to average just 62 points per game. Gonzaga, Ohio State, Villanova, Oregon, Oregon State and Maryland all failed to score 70 against UCLA. Stanford is coming off an upset win over Arizona, scoring 100 points in the victory. They only score 60 in a loss at San Diego State in their last road game. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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01-03-24 | Dayton v. Davidson UNDER 137.5 | 72-59 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. There are 362 Division 1 teams, and 361 of them play at a faster pace than the Davidson Wildcats, who rank dead last in possessions per game. The Dayton Flyers are only slightly faster, ranking 355th in possessions per game. History tells us that these teams play low scoring games, with both meetings going under last season. The total for this game is seven points higher than it was in those two games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-24 | Northwestern v. Illinois UNDER 143 | Top | 66-96 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Illinois comes in averaging over 82 points per game, but those numbers came in non-conference play. It's time to buckle up for the BIG10, and their one conference game came against Rutgers, winning by a score of 76-58. Terrance Shannon Jr. scored 23 points in that game, and he leads the team in scoring averaging almost 22 points per game. Nobody else averages 12 points per game, and Shannon is their best three-point shooter hitting better than 40 percent from beyond the arc. The kid is a great player, but he's got himself in some trouble with the law and he will be away from the team for the foreseeable future. The Wildcats lost by a score of 66-62 at Illinois in the most recent meeting between the two teams. The under is 6-0 in the last six meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in the last four meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-24 | Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 260 | 122-113 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. How high can an NBA total go? The Bucks and the Pacers are high flying offensive powerhouses, so it comes as no shocker that they have gone over in seven of the last eight meetings. We have yet to see a total as high as 260 though. Only four of the last seven meetings have gone over 260 combined points. These teams rank 1st and 2nd in the NBA in scoring, but both average well below 130 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-23 | Suns v. Rockets UNDER 226 | 129-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. You gotta have a big set to be betting unders in the NBA these days, but the Iceman has a pair, don't you worry about that. Houston ranks 2nd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing 108 points per game. They lost at home last night to Indiana, in a game that they let get away from them. The Suns are also coming in off an ugly loss, and I am expecting both these teams to reign it in here as they look to bounce back. The last time Phoenix played at Houston they scored just 97 points. We might see both these teams bring it on defense tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-23 | Bucks v. Knicks UNDER 224.5 | 122-129 | Loss | -110 | 1341 h 56 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-24-23 | Nevada v. Georgia Tech OVER 139.5 | Top | 72-64 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. This number looks a little too low. Perhaps the bookmakers haven't fully adjusted for the fact that Georgia Tech is playing at a far faster pace than they did last year. Their average of over 72 possessions per game ranks among the faster teams in the country. Nevada is right behind them averaging just short of 72 points per game. Nevada comes in averaging over 79 points per game. The Yellow Jackets have averaged over 72 points per game, and they have allowed 71 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-23 | Texas-Arlington v. North Texas UNDER 131.5 | 52-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Mean Green rank 353rd nationally in pace of play, averaging just 65 possessions per game. They rank 360th in the nation in scoring, but they are holding opponents to an average of just 59.8 points per game. They are 4-0 in their last four versus Texas Arlington, and the Mavericks have averaged just 55 points per game during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-23 | Maryland v. UCLA UNDER 129.5 | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Bruins are slumping, losing four of their last five overall and scoring just 63.8 points per game during that span. UCLA ranks 309th in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. They host Maryland, and the Terps last road game was a 65-53 loss at Indiana. We should expect this game to be played at a snail's pace, and the score should reflect that. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-23 | USC Upstate v. Davidson UNDER 139 | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. There are 362 division 1 teams, and Davidson ranks 251st in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. They will be a heavy favorite versus USC Upstate, who only scored 53 points in their last game. Davidson is 6-0 at home, holding opponents to an average of 55 points in those games. Expect the Wildcats to shut down USC Upstate here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-23 | Northwestern v. Arizona State UNDER 138.5 | 65-46 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Northwestern Wildcats will play Arizona State at a neutral site Wednesday, and we are expecting a low score here. The Wildcats rank 340th in pace of play, averaging just 66.8 possessions per game. The Sun Devils actually play at above average pace, yet rank 323rd in scoring, averaging less than 70 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-23 | Wolves v. Heat UNDER 219 | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So we go inside the numbers here and we find that both these teams rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. Minnesota ranks 2nd allowing less than 106 points per game. Both teams also rank in the bottom 10 in the NBA in pace of play, and Miami ranks 28th averaging just 100 possessions per game. These teams have gone under in three of four head to head meetings dating back to 2021. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-13-23 | Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 258.5 | 126-140 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. We expect a high scoring game here in Milwaukee tonight, but how high are we talking. This is the biggest number I have ever seen, and I think there are just so many things that can happen to prevent these two offensive juggernauts from getting there. Putting things in perspective, last week's meeting in the In-Season Tourney ended with a final score of 128-119, going under the inflated number. The previous head to head meeting went over the listed number of 239.5, but the score of 126-124 wouldn't have come anywhere near this number. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 head to head meetings, but only three of those games saw enough points to go over this inflated total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-13-23 | Boston University v. Dartmouth UNDER 130.5 | 54-63 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. We should expect a snail's pace here in this game between Boston University and Dartmouth. Both these teams rank near the bottom of Division I in pace of play each averaging fewer than 70 possessions per game. The Terriers are averaging just 66 points per game, but Dartmouth ranks 413th nationally averaging just 62 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-23 | Oral Roberts v. Texas Tech UNDER 142 | 76-82 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Red Raiders are 4-0 at home, and they have held opponents to an average of 52.5 points per game. Oral Roberts is 0-3 on the road with losses at Texas A&M, Missouri State and Kansas State. There are 362 division I teams, and Texas Tech ranks 258th in pace of play averaging just 69.9 possessions per game. Oral Roberts is much the same averaging just 70.4 possessions per game (235th). We have Texas Tech scoring 70-77 points, and Oral Roberts scoring 53-60 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-23 | Pacers v. Lakers UNDER 241 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Pacers are cooking fire heading into the NBA In-Season Tournament Final, but the Lakers may be able to cool them off. These two teams have gone under in three straight head to head meetings, and the Lakers have held opponents to just 105 points per game in their last five. We saw LA hold the Pelicans to just 89 points in the Semi Finals. Expect a strong defensive effort here in a Championship Game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-23 | Rutgers v. Seton Hall UNDER 132.5 | Top | 70-63 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Last year Seton Hall beat Rutgers in New Jersey by a score of 45-43, and while that game may look like anomaly, low scoring games have been the norm when these teams play. The under is 7-1 in the last eight head to head meetings. Rutgers has gone under in seven of their last eight overall, and the under is 5-1 in their last six road games. The Pirates are 5-0 at home, and they have held opponents to 62 points per game. This one should be a defensive battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-23 | Drexel v. West Virginia UNDER 129.5 | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Of 362 Division 1 teams, West Virginia ranks 341st in possessions per game. Drexel ranks 340th, so we should expect a snail's pace here in this matchup. The total has gone under in eight of West Virginia's last 11 games. The total has gone under in six of Drexel's last seven games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-23 | Colgate v. Vermont UNDER 134 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Catamounts last home game was a 66-65 win over Yale, and they came back from down five in the final three seconds. Vermont is 5-0 at home, and the majority of those games have been low scoring. Of the 362 Division 1 teams, Vermont ranks 358th in possessions per game. The total has gone under in eight of Colgate's last nine games. The total has gone under in 8 of Vermont's last 11 games, and the under is 5-0 in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-23 | Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 221 | 123-133 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Under. These two rivals rank 3rd and 4th respectively in opponent's scoring average, and history tells us that low scores have been the norm in recent meetings. They have failed to reach the total in three of the last four head to head meetings, and both previous meetings this season have gone under. The Celtics have won nine straight at home and the total has gone under in 10 of Boston's last 14 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-23 | St. Peter's v. Duquesne UNDER 131 | 59-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The St. Peters Peacocks rank 341st in pace of play, averaging just 66 possessions per game. They are coming off a 54-52 win at Canisius, and they rank 411th nationally scoring just 61.5 points per game. Duquesne has failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall, and they have gone under in three straight home games. While this is a low number, I think the Peacocks are gonna struggle to score 50. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-23 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 227 | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Oklahoma City Thunder come in averaging over 119 points per game, but the Rockets rank 2nd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 107 points per game. These teams have gone over this number in the last two meetings, but both those games were at Oklahoma City. They have gone under in four straight at Houston. The total has gone under in eight of Houston's last 11 games, and they have won eight straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-23 | Campbell v. Davidson UNDER 130.5 | 50-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. We should expect a snail's pace here in Davidson's home game against Campbell. There are 362 Division 1 teams in college basketball, and 350 of them average more possessions per game than both these two teams. Campbell ranked 359th, and Davidson ranks 351st in possessions per game. Campbell is 0-3 on the road, and they have scored an average of 51 points in those games. They might be lucky to reach a half a hundred here at Davidson. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-23 | Penn State v. Maryland UNDER 138.5 | 75-81 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Terps will be a favorite at home versus Penn State, and history tells us we should see a low score. Four of the last five meetings have gone under the total, and the last time these teams played Penn State won 65-64. Both teams have scored fewer than 70 points in four of the last five meetings. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Maryland's last 13 games, and they are 15-0 in their last 15 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-23 | USC v. Gonzaga UNDER 154.5 | 76-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Gonzaga ranks 220th in the country in possessions per game, and they play solid defense allowing under 65 points per game. USC is coming off a 106-78 win over Eastern Washington, but we should see a lot more defense here in this game. Gonzaga is 3-6 ATS in their nine overall, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last six games overall. The last time these teams played head to head Gonzaga won 85-66 falling a half point short of the total of 151.5. The number is a little higher here this time, and I don't think this is the same high flying Gonzaga team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-23 | Illinois v. Rutgers UNDER 138.5 | 76-58 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4% play on Under. These two teams have gone under in each of the last two head to head meetings, and three of the last four meetings have gone under 138 points. The total of 138 is higher than the number listed in each of the the last four meetings. Rutgers has gone under in five of their last six overall, and the under is 8-3 in their last 11 BIG10 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-23 | Knicks v. Raptors UNDER 217 | 119-106 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the under. This matchup features two of the top 10 defensive teams in the NBA. In fact the Knicks rank 1st in the NBA in opponents scoring average allowing 105 points per game. The Raptors have failed to reach the total in each of their last three games, and this looks like a matchup where both teams are content to play at a slow pace. A few weeks ago an article was published in The Athleitc titled: "Toronto Raptors are slow, stingy and soft on glass" ... noting that they ranked 28th in the NBA in pace of play. I suspect that one of these teams will fail to score 100 points in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-23 | Rockets v. Nuggets UNDER 216.5 | 124-134 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Rockets lost a tough one last night in Dallas, but they could catch a break in their second game of a back to back at Denver. The Nuggets are banged up, and it remains to be seen how much of their starting lineup can play. Ime Udoka has done a helluva job making this team competitive, and the Rockets currently rank #1 in the NBA in opponents scoring average. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 15 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference, and they are trending 13-7 overall to the under. Houston has gone under in seven of their last nine overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-23 | Howard v. Rutgers UNDER 143 | 63-85 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I bet under in Rutgers home win over Georgetown, and here is what I said before that game: "Rutgers is damn near a double digit favorite at home against Georgetown, and they have yet to score 70 points this season. They have held their opponents to an average of 57 points while winning two of three. There plenty of strong defensive teams in the BIG10, but Rutgers ranked 1st in opponent scoring average last season allowing 61 points per game. They ranked just 10th in scoring averaging 68.4 points per game. In their only Div 1 game so far, Georgetown lost 68-67 to Holy Cross. It seems reasonable to expect a low score here at Rutgers." They beat the Hoyas 71-60. That was the highest score of any of the Scarlet Knights four games this year, and now they face a Howard team coming off a 64-53 win over Boston University. The Bisons might be lucky to score 60 here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-23 | Georgetown v. Rutgers UNDER 136.5 | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Rutgers is damn near a double digit favorite at home against Georgetown, and they have yet to score 70 points this season. They have held their opponents to an average of 57 points while winning two of three. There plenty of strong defensive teams in the BIG10, but Rutgers ranked 1st in opponent scoring average last season allowing 61 points per game. They ranked just 10th in scoring averaging 68.4 points per game. In their only Div 1 game so far, Georgetown lost 68-67 to Holy Cross. It seems reasonable to expect a low score here at Rutgers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Nuggets have gone under this number in all of their games this season, and they have gone over this number just once in their last eight games versus Dallas. Opponents have averaged just 103.6 points per game so far, and the Nuggets did rank in the Top 10 in opponent scoring average last season. Dallas is 4-0 and the Mavs have averaged 222.5 points in those games. They have had a soft schedule so far, and this Game at Denver should be a far bigger challenge for them. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-23 | Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 231 | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. These teams went under in three of four meetings last season, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those games. Denver ranked 5th in opponent's scoring average last season, and three games in they rank 5th in that category so far this year. The Jazz have gone over in each of their first three games, but they faced opponents that were willing to pay at their desired pace. On the road at Denver, we expect the Nuggets to dictate the pace and style of this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-23 | 76ers v. Bucks UNDER 227 | 117-118 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. |
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10-25-23 | Mavs v. Spurs OVER 229.5 | 126-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Spurs ranked dead last in the NBA in opponents scoring average, allowing over 121 points per game. They have gone over in six straight versus Texas rivals Dallas, and during that span they have done plenty of scoring in their own right. San Antonio scored an average of 123 points in their last six meetings versus the Mavs. San Antonio did plenty of scoring in the pre-season, with 120 or more in three of their five games. We might see another shootout in Texas tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets UNDER 209.5 | 89-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Finals are expected to come to a conclusion tonight, and if that's the case there is a trend of low scores in closeout games in the NBA Finals over the last 10 seasons. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 closeout games in the Finals, and the majority of those games went under 200 combined points. The Heat have failed to score 100 points in three of four games in this series, and they are averaging 99 points per game in their last eight in the playoffs. Seven of those games went under the total. GL, Jesse Schule |