Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-13-22 | Saskatchewan -5 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders -5.5 @ Edmonton Elks @ 10 ET - Great spot here as Saskatchewan off a home loss to a tough BC team two weeks ago and now has had a bye week to fully prepare for this one in a bounce back spot. The Roughriders will take advantage of facing an Elks team that just got hammered by the same Lions team 46-14. The problem for Edmonton is they can't stop anyone. The Elks are allowing 36.3 points per game on the season and are winless at home. The Riders have struggled recently but have had a chance, with a bye week, to hit the reset button now and have allowed only 15.5 points in their 4 victories this season. The Roughriders won the first meeting here in Edmonton by double digits and I expect another big road win here as the Elks struggles continue. 10* SASKATCHEWAN -5.5 |
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08-12-22 | Toronto v. Hamilton +1.5 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +1.5 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 7:30 ET - Yes, Hamilton lost at Toronto last week but the Ti-Cats outgained the Argos and blew a 4th quarter lead. Toronto won the game courtesy of an INT returned for a TD and a punt returned for a TD. Yes I know that QB Dane Evans is out for Hamilton for this game and Matthew Shiltz is getting this start. He has been in the league for 5 seasons and I like him to get the job here. In fact, when in Montreal he was called upon for a spot start in a similar situation and played very well against these same Argonauts. Once again, look for him to beat Toronto here. The Tiger-Cats defense played well last week and the Argos defense got some key plays but overall allowed a lot more yardage than did the Ti-Cats. We have excellent line value here with the hungry home dog in this rivalry game and seeing the Argonauts where they want to be...first place in the division. 10* HAMILTON +1.5 |
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08-11-22 | Montreal +12 v. Winnipeg | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes +12 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - The Blue Bombers are 9-0 on the season but have their first bye week of the season on deck. Don't be surprised if Winnipeg gets caught starting their bye week early. You see this so often with teams off to red hot starts in football and then they have an off week on deck that they are so excited about they get caught taking "off" a little bit too early. Yes, the Bombers just beat the Alouettes by 15 at Montreal last week but that game was tied at 14 entering the 4th quarter! Also, statistically there was not a huge gap between the two teams in that game but the bigger plays went the way of Winnipeg in that one. This is helping to give us line value here as this line is inflated and I fully expect the Als to give the Blue Bombers another challenging game and, this time, the underdog stays inside the number. 10* MONTREAL +12 |
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08-06-22 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 51 | Top | 14-46 | Win | 100 | 32 h 58 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 51 in BC Lions vs Edmonton Elks @ 10 ET - Edmonton had been playing a little better prior to a 24-10 loss to Winnipeg prior to their bye week last week. The Elks certainly want revenge here as they got hammered 59 to 15 at BC earlier this season. I do expect, rested and off a bye week and playing better overall than earlier this season, the Elks will put up a fight here. However, the problem is that BC has been rolling on offense all season and now gets WR Burnham back for this one too. That said, the Lions are going to be hard to stop in this one. BC is averaging 35 points per game this season. The line on this game is around a 10 and the Elks are allowing 35 points per game this year. That said, 35-25 sounds about right here and that puts this total close to 60. The fact is the Lions have allowed 26 points per game last 4 game and I know Edmonton is hell bent on being competitive here after how ugly the first meeting was. The Elks will have to score well to compete here and hence that is why I love the over in this match-up. 10* OVER 51 in BC |
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08-06-22 | Hamilton +2 v. Toronto | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2 @ Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - Hamilton is looking up in the division standings at Toronto and they have extra motivation here and are the better defense. The Tiger-Cats have allowed just 19 points per game in their 3 games since a bye week. As for Toronto, they have allowed 29 points per game last 5 games. This is a value spot because the Ti-Cats are winless in road games this season but, in my opinion, are the better team and that is precisely why the odds makers have priced this game the way they have. The road team is a very small dog for a reason and I sense an upset here but will grab the couple points being offered just in case. 10* HAMILTON +2 |
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08-05-22 | Calgary v. Ottawa OVER 50 | Top | 17-3 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 52 m | Show |
Friday CFL 10* Top Play OVER 50 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7:30 ET - Ottawa is off their first win of the season and it came by a 23-13 final. That Redblacks defense must really be firing on all cylinders, right? Hardly! Ottawa actually allowed 340 passing yards in that game and was very fortunate to only allow 13 points. The fact is that the Redblacks entered that game allowing an average of 27.5 points per game and they are in trouble here against an angry Stampeders team. Calgary is off their 2nd loss of the season to Winnipeg and there is no shame in that as the Blue Bombers remain undefeated on the season and are now 9-0 on the year! I love the fact that Calgary is averaging 31.5 points per game on offense this season and they will be relentless here and put up big points. However, I also expect the Redblacks to hang around in this game and score plenty. Keep in mind, the Stamps had one game this season in which they allowed only 6 points but in their other 5 games they have allowed an average of 28.2 points per game. Evans is off a strong game at QB for the Redblacks so the entire offense has more confidence here and this one should turn into a shootout as a result. 10* OVER 50 in Ottawa |
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08-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +5.5 | Top | 35-20 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes +5.5 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7:30 ET - After this week is in the books Winnipeg will be the only team that still has not had a bye week as Saskatchewan is finally getting theirs this week and some teams have already had multiple bye weeks. That said, the undefeated Blue Bombers are in a bit of a tough spot here. Winnipeg is on short rest and pretty worn out for this Thursday game considering the huge effort that has gone into their season thus far. With consideration to that, I love the home dog Montreal here. The Als have played only 2 home games so far this season and no team has fewer. So they have had a bit of a tough schedule, to say the least, and though only 1-1 at home, one was a 1-point loss to a West Division team and the other was a 37-13 win over a West Division team. That said, the Alouettes fully capable of hanging tough with Winnipeg here and will do just that. An outright upset will not be a shock to me but I am grabbing the generous points here as added insurance. 10* MONTREAL +5.5 |
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07-31-22 | Ottawa v. Toronto OVER 47.5 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 47.5 in Toronto Argonauts vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 5 ET - The Redblacks will keep going hard here as they remain the only winless team in the CFL. In fact, every other team has at least 2 wins this season! As for Ottawa, a big problem is a defense that has allowed 32 points per game in their 4 games since they had a bye in Week 3. As for Toronto, they have scored at least 30 points each of their last two games but have allowed 28 points per game last 4 games. You can see, given these numbers, why I am expecting this game to get into the 50s. 10* OVER 47.5 in Toronto |
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07-30-22 | Winnipeg v. Calgary OVER 46 | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 46 in Calgary Stampeders vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7 ET - The Stampeders ran the ball for over 100 yards but QB Bo Levi Mitchell had a rare bad performance at Winnipeg two weeks ago after starting the season strong. That said, coming off a bye week and now back home, Calgary will get much stronger QB play here. However, there also is no slowing down a Winnipeg team that is undefeated on the season and had over 300 yards through the air in the big win two weeks ago. The Blue Bombers are off a bit of a ho-hum 24-10 victory at Edmonton last week but know they must do much more on offense against this talented Calgary team this week. That was a "sandwich game" for the Bombers after beating the Stamps at home the prior week and then knowing they had this game on deck to again face the Stampeders. The set up is a good one for plenty of points and the Stamps are averaging 32 points per game this season. Winnipeg has averaged 28 points per game last 5 games. This one should get well into the 50s given all of the above. 10* OVER 46 in Calgary |
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07-29-22 | BC v. Saskatchewan +115 | Top | 32-17 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders +115 vs BC Lions @ 9 ET - The Lions are still over-rated in my opinion. Yes they are 4-1 on the season but they have played only one road game so far. Also, in their last divisional game they allowed 43 points. In the only road game BC has had they allowed 31 points and that was at Ottawa and the Redblacks remain the only winless team in the league. Every other team now has at least two wins. As for the Roughriders, they are traditionally one of the best home teams in the league but coming off a home loss last week in a game that got away from them late versus Toronto. They had been 3-0 at home on the season and Saskatchewan should bounce back here with the expected return of QB Cody Fajardo also. Love the long-term home records of the Riders and the fact that the Lions have been a pleasant surprise this season and are a bit over-rated as a result and so we get line value here as a result. You can grab the 1 and 1/2 points or 2 points if you want but I really do not think we'll need any points and I am going with the money line here. 10* SASKATCHEWAN +115 |
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07-28-22 | Montreal v. Hamilton -3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - The Tiger-Cats are the much better team defensively and deserved a better fate last week at BC. Montreal rallied late to win at Ottawa last week but their defense continues to struggle. Hamilton has allowed an average of 24 points last 4 games. The Alouettes have allowed an average of 35 points last 3 games. Also, Ti-Cats are 15-4 SU in home games dating back to 2019 season. The Alouettes, even with last week's rare road win, are on a 12-26 run in road games the past 4+ seasons. Home field edge and situational edge (hungry off loss and facing opponent off win) and the better defense. As a result, I have no hesitation in challenging the Als to win two straight road games! 10* HAMILTON -3 |
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07-24-22 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -107 | 31 h 53 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders PK -110 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - This line would have been around a full TD but has dropped to a pick'em because of the covid issues, injury issues, and suspension issues surrounding this game. Long-time followers know I am a contrarian and this one sets up perfectly to fade the huge move from a team being a TD favorite to being a pick'em even though they are at home. Saskatchewan loves its team and has the most passionate fanbase in the league and is known for being a very tough place for opponents to travel to and face them. That said, lets talk some facts, the Argonauts are 0-1 on the road so far this season and the past 5 seasons went a combined 10-33 on the road! This is also a revenge game since the Roughriders lost to Toronto last week in the Touchdown Atlantic game in Nova Scotia. Saskatchewan is 3-0 at home this season and entered this season having gone 19-6 at home the past 3 seasons. Watch all the Riders step up here to make up for the guys that are out and they get the big win here. 22-6 run at home versus a 10-34 run on the road. Yes I will take pick'em odds on this plus let us not forget the West has dominated the East this season in interdivisional match-ups. More of the same here as last week's Riders loss to the Argos proves to be an aberration in the way the East-West battles have gone this season. 10* SASKATCHEWAN Pick -110 |
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07-22-22 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton Elks OVER 48 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 48 in Edmonton Elks vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 9 ET - This is a tough scheduling spot for the Blue Bombers so I do expect the Elks to come up with a big effort here and be able to score plenty. Winnipeg is the only undefeated team left in the league and off a win against the previously unbeaten Stampeders. That was huge win last week for the Bombers and now next week they face Calgary again! That said, a game at Edmonton in a sandwich spot is the perfect letdown spot for the Winnipeg defense. They will give up plenty of points here as a result as the rejuvenated Elks have won 2 of last 3 games and scored at least 29 points in each win. The problem for Edmonton is they are allowing 36.7 points per game. 10* OVER 48 in Edmonton |
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07-21-22 | Hamilton v. BC OVER 51.5 | Top | 12-17 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 32 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 51.5 in BC Lions vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 10 ET - BC has allowed 37 points per game last two games. They are off their bye week and have scored points like crazy this season. Lions averaging 40 points per game. Hamilton is allowing 28 points per game this season but, on the other side of the ball, the Tiger-Cats did pile up yardage in last week's tight 25-23 win versus the Redblacks. That said, I love the over here. Hamilton is on a short week and traveling and their defense will struggle to slow down a Lions team determined to get back on track after suffering their first loss of the season. However, at the same time, BC defense just can not be trusted in my opinion. As I mentioned earlier this season, they were a little over-rated after first two games. Their true colors are starting to show now their past two games and the Ti-Cats have the firepower to take advantage. Lions score well but Hamilton answers throughout this contest and this should be another high-scoring match-up involving a home game at BC Place in Vancouver. 10* OVER 51.5 in BC Lions |
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07-21-22 | Montreal v. Ottawa +3 | Top | 40-33 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 55 m | Show |
Thursday CFL 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +3 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - Both teams off tight losses last week but the Redblacks remain the only winless team in the league. Ottawa is very hungry for that first win here, they are at home, they put forth a very strong effort against a quality opponent last week and they should have recently acquired Nick Arbuckle available at QB for this one. The change of scenery will serve Arbuckle well plus the Redblacks showed against the Tiger-Cats that they absolutely are not ready to throw in the towel on the season just because they lost starting QB Jeremiah Masoli to injury. That said, look for a huge effort from the home team here and note that Montreal is on an 11-26 run in road games the past 4+ seasons. I do look for the Redblacks to get their first win of the season but will grab the 3 points in case they fall just short. 10* OTTAWA +3 |
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07-16-22 | Ottawa v. Hamilton OVER 44.5 | Top | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 44.5 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 5 ET - Long-time followers know I am a contrarian and that goes for all sports. That said, the fact that Ottawa just loss QB Masoli to injury and then acquired Arbuckle (but unavailable for this game) is even more reason I like the over here. We get a low number because Evans will be under center for the Redblacks. Now in his 2nd CFL season and getting his first significant work of the season Saturday, don't be surprised if Caleb Evans has a big game both through the air and with his legs in this one - as he is a running threat too. The Tiger-Cats also have a QB by the name of Evans and Dane Evans gets the start here. He is off to a shaky start this season but the Redblacks have some injuries in the secondary and we've seen Evans average 270 yards per game through the air this season but he has been done in by interceptions. This is a match-up of two very hungry teams each seeking their first win of the season and also each dealing with some injuries on the defensive side of the ball. The weather is going to be good for this one too and all signs point to a higher-scoring game than many expect here. Take advantage of the low total here and don't be surprised when this one gets into the 50s for total points scored. 10* OVER 44.5 in Hamilton |
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07-16-22 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto +3 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +2.5 or +3 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 2 ET - The location of this Touchdown Atlantic game in Halifax certainly favors the Argonauts. The fact Toronto has fresh legs and has only played 3 games this season, compared to Saskatchewan having played 5 games already, certainly favors the Argos as well. I know the Riders are 4-1 this season and the Argos are just 1-2. However, other than 1 blowout loss Toronto has played quite well and their only other loss was by 1 point to a Winnipeg team that remains undefeated on the season after last night's win over the only other team, Calgary, that was also undefeated on the year. In other words, this Argonauts team deserves some credit plus note that the Roughriders historically do not play as well when they are away from home. Situational edges and I will grab the home dog in this one. Again, is not a true home game for them but certainly the location in Atlantic Canada favors the Argos over the Riders. 10* TORONTO +2.5 or +3 |
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07-15-22 | Calgary +4 v. Winnipeg | Top | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +4 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Just too many points here. Match-up of unbeatens and Blue Bombers have home field edge and are the 2x defending champs. However, it was not that long ago that Calgary was in the Grey Cup championship 3 straight years and 5 of 7 years. The Stampeders appear to be back this season and also have a dual rest edge here. Not only did they play earlier in the week last week than Winnipeg did, they also had their bye week the week before. The Blue Bombers have yet to have a bye week and will be playing on short rest and a 6th straight week. Also, Winnipeg off the blowout win over a previously unbeaten BC team. The Lions were a bit over-rated in my opinion and yet that big Bombers win last week is giving us extra line value this week. 10* CALGARY +4 |
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07-14-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Montreal OVER 49 | Top | 32-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 49 in Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks @ 7:30 ET - The Elks are changing things up at QB and that will be a good thing as they are off a 49-6 loss last week. Ford is listed as out for this week and Arbuckle was traded to Ottawa. That means Edmonton wanted change and they got it. Most likely Taylor Cornelius under center for this one and remember he averaged, before a dismal final game of the season last year, about 250 yards per game with a 6-1 TD-INT ratio over a 4-game stretch. No matter who is under center for the Elks, they will enjoy success against an Als defense that has allowed 26 points per game game this season. The key here though is Montreal is off a bye week which followed their own blowout loss, 41-20, at Saskatchewan. That said, the Alouettes are primed for a huge bounce back effort and they are scoring an average of 26 points per game this season and facing an Elks team that is giving up 38 points per game this season. So worst defense in CFL against highest scoring team from the East Division. Perfect set-up too considering each team off an embarrassing loss. Focused efforts here and solid offensive production with Edmonton buoyed by the QB change as well. 10* OVER 49 in Montreal |
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07-09-22 | Winnipeg v. BC OVER 50 | Top | 43-22 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 50 in BC Lions vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7 ET - I know the Blue Bombers defense has been solid in the red zone and in terms of takeaways this season. However, Winnipeg has still given up a pile of yardage and this includes through the air where they have been particularly weak. That does not bode well for now facing a BC team that has been lighting up opposing defenses so far this season. In fact, it should mean a ton of points here because the Lions are likely to move the ball very well at home in this match-up as they look to take down the defending champs. BC is out to prove their hot start this season is no fluke and I do expect them to achieve that goal with offensive production here as they have been the offensive juggernaut of the CFL so far this season. However, I do not trust this Lions defense. They have faced some weak offensive units so far this season. I know the Blue Bombers have not put up big points on offense so far this season but the 2x defending champs are more than capable on that side of the ball and they will need to (and can) score plenty to keep up with high-flying Lions. A match-up of unbeatens in a Week 5 game might have you thinking under and certainly intensity will be high here. But the offenses are going to be the story here. BC dictates flow of game at home and this will be another shootout at BC Place in Vancouver! 10* OVER 50 in BC |
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07-08-22 | Ottawa +6 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 59 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +6 @ Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 9:30 ET - The Redblacks had been playing well, despite their record, but were then severely out-statted by BC in last week's 3-point loss. Ottawa should bounce back here and is a much better team their winless record on the season would lead you to believe. I know that Saskatchewan is off big win last week but Redblacks have the rest edge here as they played earlier last week and were coming off a bye entering that one. Additionally, the Riders off a very satisfying and dominating win. They could be a little complacent here as a result. There will be nothing complacent about this Redblacks team as they are very hungry with an 0-3 SU record on the season and an average margin of defeat of only 4 points. An outright win here would not shock me at all but I am, of course, even more confident with having the points on our side. Let's grab them for a big play here. 10* OTTAWA +6 |
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07-07-22 | Calgary v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 52 | Top | 49-6 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play UNDER 52 in Edmonton Elks vs Calgary Stampeders @ 9 ET - This total opened up at a 50.5 and has risen to a 52. That gives us some line value here because actually the yardage stats were way down in the Elks upset win at Hamilton last week even though the game found its way over the total. Also, when the Elks visited Calgary a few weeks ago that game had late scoring as a key in getting to a total of 53 points. That said, we really have some solid line value here with this total at a 52 as I feel strongly that it will prove to be too high. Edmonton has the confidence in going toe to toe with the Stampeders earlier this season and nearly getting the upset. The Stamps come into this one with fresh legs off a bye week and will put the clamps down defensively on the Elks in this one. Calgary looks to grind out a road win and control the clock and I look for that to help key a low-scoring battle here. 10* UNDER 52 in Edmonton |
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07-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Toronto +5.5 | Top | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
CFL Monday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +5.5 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7:30 ET - This is a contrarian play all the way but, as per usual, it is not without good reasoning either. The Blue Bombers are undefeated on the season and, overall, the West has absolutely dominated the East so far this season. However, Winnipeg is 3-0 but the only two teams they have played are a combined 0-7 on the season. They are the only two teams in the league that remain winless after Week 4 action is in the books. Not only that, the Blue Bombers off huge win versus Hamilton in a Grey Cup rematch game. On deck for Winnipeg is a huge game versus fellow undefeated foe BC next week. That said, this is absolutely a tricky spot for the Blue Bombers and they are facing an Argos team that has another bye week on deck and that is coming off a 44-3 thrashing at the hands of the Lions last week. Simply put it is the ideal set-up for a huge effort from Toronto here. The Argonauts are very fresh as they have played only 2 games this season and, by the way, one was against a BC team that remains undefeated and the other was an Argos win over a Montreal team that is the other East Division team, besides Argonauts, that also has a win this season. Based on all of the above we have a lot of line value here with a big home dog. Keep in mind, it is hard to cover 5 points on the road when you are in a tough scheduling situation plus have averaged scoring only 21 points per game this season. By the way the Blue Bombers vaunted defense did give up big yardage to the now 0-3 Redblacks in the first two games of this season. Of course the defending champs are strong team but they are simply over-rated here! 10* TORONTO +5.5 |
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07-02-22 | Montreal v. Saskatchewan -4.5 | Top | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders -4.5 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - Special teams and turnovers were the difference in last week's Als blowout win in their home opener. Now the Riders are back at home and angry and will get their revenge. Note that yardage was roughly equal in last week's game so the 37-13 final was deceiving. Certainly Montreal deserved the win and they got it but now it is time for Saskatchewan payback! The West has dominated the East so far this season as the Riders loss to the Als is actually the only such loss for a West team versus an East team. We'll lay the points here. I know Sask is without Evans at WR but they still have Williams and many other weapons at the WR position. Additionally, I like the fact that the Roughriders went 5-2 at home last season and 4-1 against teams from the East. The Riders already won their first home game this season and are now 14-3 SU last 17 home games. We'll lay the very fair number here and look for immediate payback from the hosts this week. 10* SASKATCHEWAN -4.5 |
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07-01-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton OVER 46 | Top | 29-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 46 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Edmonton Elks @ 7:30 ET - We are getting some line value here because this total is being held lower due to the treat of rain in the forecast for this game. The key here is I do not expect it to be full-on rain event. Rather look for some scattered storms which means it may or may not happen during the game. Additionally, the winds are not expected to be too bad. That said, I love the over here. Edmonton allowing 38 points per game this season and Hamilton allowing 30 points per game this season. Each team has allowed at least 26 points in all 3 of their games. Given those numbers you can see why I am fully expecting this non-divisional match-up to get into the 50s for total points. 10* OVER 46 in Hamilton |
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06-30-22 | BC v. Ottawa +2.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +2.5 vs BC Lions @ 7:30 ET - Yes the Lions are 2-0 this season and the Redblacks are 0-2. However, a ton of edges for the home team in this one. First off BC playing their first road game of the season. The Lions also are on short rest and will be without wide receiver Burnham. Conversely, Ottawa is coming off a bye week. The Redblacks are 0-2 on the season but they outgained Winnipeg in each of the first two games of the season. Keep in mind, this Blue Bombers team is a very strong team and now 3-0 on the season after beating a strong Hamilton team last week. The point is that Ottawa is playing much better than their record indicates and this includes against strong competition too. As for the Lions, they are 2-0 this season but played a bad Edmonton team and a Toronto team known for inconsistency. The Argonauts seemed to not show up last weekend at BC. You can bet (literally) the Redblacks are going to show up here and I expect the hosts to hand the Lions their first loss of the season but will grab the added insurance of the points here. 10* OTTAWA +2.5 |
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06-25-22 | Toronto +5.5 v. BC | Top | 3-44 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +5.5 @ BC Lions @ 10 ET - The Lions are off a bye week and they rolled 59 to 15 in Week 1 but are they really that good? Or is Edmonton just that bad? The Elks were plagued by turnovers in that game and BC will face a much tougher test this week with the Argonauts in town. Toronto had a bye in Week 1 so that negates some of the Lions rest edge here. There is truly not a big edge in terms of rest as a result. That said, like getting the points here with a scrappy Argos team that is facing a bit of an over-rated BC team in this one. Lions are going to be better this season than last season but this line has gone from around a 3 to a 5.5 and this is excellent line value on the under-valued road dog in this one. 10* TORONTO +5.5 |
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06-25-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary OVER 48.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 48.5 in Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Elks @ 7 ET - The Elks are so bad defensively and then you look at all the points the Stampeders have given up this season and you can see how this one should play out. This should be an absolutely shootout with both offensive units on full display and we get some added value because Edmonton's game last week stayed under the total. Lets not forget the Elks are allowing 42.5 points per game this season and the Stampeders first two games both have gone over the total. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 48.5 in Calgary |
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06-24-22 | Hamilton +4.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 12-26 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
Friday CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +4.5 or +5 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Revenge game for the Tiger-Cats as they lost the Grey Cup to Winnipeg last year. Not only that, Hamilton also lost the Grey Cup in the prior season played (2019) and that makes this a double-revenge spot for the Ti-Cats. Yes it is now Dane Evans at QB rather than Jeremiah Masoli for Hamilton but I do feel he is settling in nicely. Also, this is similar situation to last night's play on Montreal which won 37 to 13. Here we have an 0-2 underdog against a 2-0 favorite and I like the extra hunger that will mean for this highly motivated Tiger-Cats team. Also, the Blue Bombers are indeed 2-0 this season but they were outgained in both games and are down big in the yardage differential department so far this year. In other words, though Winnipeg is indeed a good team, they have been fortunate, to say the least, early this season and we take advantage with the substantial value being offered to the underdog. 10* HAMILTON +4.5 or +5 |
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06-23-22 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal +3.5 | Top | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes +3.5 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7:30 ET - The Alouettes have a two day rest edge here compared to the Roughriders. Also, the Als have the home field edge. Montreal is off B2B tight losses to start the season. Extra hunger here for the 0-2 host facing a 2-0 Saskatchewan team. We get line value with as many as 3.5 points available for this one and looking at statistical factors, these teams are much more evenly matched than their records would suggest. Turnovers have been the difference early this season and now we take advantage of the added line value as a result of those factors. 10* MONTREAL +3.5 |
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06-18-22 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton Elks OVER 49.5 | Top | 26-16 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Edmonton Elks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 9:30 ET - These are the perfect type of set-ups I like to look for when it comes to an over. Edmonton has a leaky defense and allowed 59 points last week at BC. The Elks are back home and their offense will respond after moving the ball but having too many turnovers last week. As for Saskatchewan, they are on the road now and coming off a huge win over a Hamilton team that was playing for the Grey Cup in November! In other words, that was a huge win for the Riders and their defense gave a massive effort at home and now they go on the road to face an Elks team that is off to a horrific start and had a horrible season last year too. In other words, this is the perfect set-up for a flat-footed performance from the Riders defense. So Elks offense bounces back and Riders offense responds against a bad defense as the game goes on and "Voila" the perfect set up for a high-scoring game comes to fruition. 10* OVER 49.5 in Edmonton |
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06-18-22 | Calgary v. Hamilton -115 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats Money Line -115 vs Calgary Stampeders @ 6:30 ET - Love the setup here with Calgary off a hard-fought time win over Montreal and Hamilton off an ugly loss at Saskatchewan. Now the Ti-Cats are at home and the Stamps are on the road. Hamilton went 4-2 against the West last season and Calgary went just 2-2 against the East last season. Also, the Tiger-Cats did go 5-2 in home games last season. With this line coming down to a -1 we can get the money line in nearly a pick'em range so that is the way to play this one in my opinion. 10* HAMILTON -115 |
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06-17-22 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa OVER 45.5 | Top | 19-12 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 45.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7:30 ET - These teams just met last week in the season opener and Ottawa gave Winnipeg all they could handle. However, the Redblacks managed just 17 points despite new QB Masoli throwing for 380 yards. The way I see the rematch playing out in Ottawa is that the hosts will again pile up big yardage but this time the points will match it. However, can you really doubt the defending champion Blue Bombers here? I don't think so and I absolutely feel this one turns into a back and forth high-scoring affair. Instead of a 19-17 final look for a 30-27 type game but as to who the winner is it looks like another tight finish in my book. That said, over is the play. 10* OVER 45.5 in Ottawa |
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06-16-22 | Montreal v. Toronto OVER 49.5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Toronto Argonauts vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - Both meetings between these teams last season reached at least 53 points and now we have a total in the upper 40s for first match-up this season between these rivals. Keep in mind, scoring is expected to be up this season so this is a strong value. Montreal scored 27 points in week 1 despite 2 interceptions and turning the ball over 1 time on downs too. The Als issue this season, especially early on in my opinion, will be a defense with a lot of new faces. Toronto is also in the same boat in terms of a leaky defense in my opinion and though this is their first game of the new season I do expect the offense to do just fine. Rule changes are designed to help the offense this season and a match-up like this is conducive to offense. As we saw in Week 1 with two overs and two unders, you can not just blindly play overs that is for sure. But the scoring is expected to be up overall and this is the right match-up for another high-scoring game. 10* OVER 49.5 in Toronto |
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06-11-22 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 48 | Top | 15-59 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 48 in BC Lions vs Edmonton Elks @ 10 ET - These teams are both coming off rough seasons and it had a lot to do with not being able to stop the opposition. Note that the BC Lions allowed 25 points per game last season and Elks allowed 27 points per game! Couple that with the fact that some rule changes were made coming into this season that are supposed to improve point production plus the fact that Edmonton wants to play fast and you have a great set up for an over here. The Elks and Lions both want to be very aggressive in the passing attack and that emphasis should help lead to a shootout here. Each team has some unproven areas defensively and I expect the quarterbacks to be successful in attacking those weaknesses. Look for an absolute shootout with a raucous atmosphere at BC Place in Vancouver for this one. Huge crowd expected and an electric atmosphere. Big scoring rules the night in this one. 10* OVER 48 in BC |
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06-10-22 | Ottawa +9.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +9.5 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Early in the season it is tough to just come in and right away start blowing out teams by a double digit margin. That task becomes even tougher when you are the defending champs and everyone is gunning for you. That tasks becomes even tougher yet when you are facing a star QB that has revenge against you. Yes, Jeremiah Masoli is formerly with Hamilton and now with Ottawa. The Redblacks are off a 3-11 season but are totally rebuilt team and that includes much more than just Masoli. A stronger offensive line, good weapons on offense, a rebuilt defense. Ottawa is not going to be a dominant force this season but they are much better than they were last season and Winnipeg will have its hands full here. Yes the Blue Bombers are a great team but they will struggle to win this game by more than a margin of one possession. The Redblacks are hungry and Masoli wants revenge and, as you know, the QB position is key in the pass-happy CFL. Look for the big dogs to stay inside the number here. 10* OTTAWA +9.5 |
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06-09-22 | Montreal v. Calgary -3.5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders -3.5 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 9 ET - The Alouettes are off a 7-7 season but were the only team to get bounced by a double digit margin in any of the post-season games last year. Montreal also went just 2-4 against West Division opponents last season and that means they are now 8-18 the last 3 seasons combined when facing teams from the West. I know the Stampeders disappointed last season but they lost in OT in first round of the playoffs and this Calgary team is hell-bent on a much stronger performance this season. Look for them to come into the new year and, especially this season opener at home, with a chip on their shoulder. The Stamps were 98-26-2 the last 7 seasons prior to last year's disappointing 8-6 result. This has been the class of the CFL for the past decade in terms of consistent results year in and year out and I do not trust the Montreal defense early in the season as they have a lot of question marks there in my opinion. That said, the better D, the long-term more consistent team, the motivational edge, and the home field edge - all of this adds up to a solid home win and cover in my opinion. 10* CALGARY -3.5 |
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12-12-21 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +3 | Top | 33-25 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
CFL Grey Cup Sunday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +3 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 6 ET - I am aware the Ti-Cats have some injury issues heading into this one but it also is a revenge game from the most recent Grey Cup (2019) and Hamilton is also the host city for this one and we are getting a full +3 here. There is tremendous irony here in how this one will play out. In 2019 Hamilton had a huge season while Winnipeg caught fire late and it carried into a post-season run and the Blue Bombers rode the momentum all the way to winning it all. Now this season it is Winnipeg with the much better regular season record but the Tiger-Cats caught fire late in the season and now riding a post-season streak coming into this one. Again, just very ironic and I feel strongly the same script that played out in the most recent Grey Cup plays out in this one as Hamilton (8-6 regular season) gets it done against Winnipeg (11-3 - top regular season record). Remember we saw this happen in 2019 with Hamilton (15-3) losing to Winnipeg (11-7). Looking closer at this season's standings, note that Ti-Cats went 5-2 at home while the Bombers were 4-3 on road. Also, Winnipeg was 3-2 against the East while Hamilton was 4-2 against the West. Considering all of the above and the fact we can get a full 3 points, I like my changes with a Tiger-Cats team determined to get revenge here in the biggest game of them all. 10* HAMILTON +3 |
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11-28-21 | Calgary +3 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 30-33 | Push | 0 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Month - 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +3 @ Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 4:30 ET - The Roughriders are at home, have the better record on the season, and they did beat the Stampeders the last time they faced them. Yet they are a very small favorite here as low as 2.5 in most books as of game day morning. Why is that? You know why! Don't let the line fool you. This game has upset written all over it. Keep in mind, the Riders did lose each of the first two games against the Stamps this season plus they lost both games against Winnipeg. The Blue Bombers and Stampeders are the other two top teams in the West and the Roughriders went a combined 1-4 against those two teams this season. Calgary did go 5-2 on the road this season and will not be intimidated at all in this venue. The Stampeders seemed to get stronger as the season went on and, unlike Saskatchewan, also had some big margin wins in the latter stages of the season. I like the way this road team has been playing and sense a first round upset in this one but will grab the points for added insurance. 10* CALGARY +3 |
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11-28-21 | Montreal v. Hamilton -4.5 | 12-23 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
CFL Early Crusher - 8* Hamilton Tiger-Cats -4.5 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 1 ET - Hamilton has unfinished business from the most recent CFL season (2019) when they went 15-3 but then ended up losing in the Grey Cup title game 33 to 12 against Winnipeg. The Tiger-Cats did win a playoff game to get to the title game while Montreal was bounced in the first round of that post-season. I know Hamilton was not as impressive in this regular season but, trust me, they are where they want to be now. They are hosting a playoff game and have a chance to get another shot at the title. The Ti-Cats have the better defense in this match-up and the home field edge and I also love the fact that Alouettes linebacker Patrick Levels gave the home team some bulletin board material by guaranteeing a Montreal win and even calling out a couple Ti-Cats players. Not smart! The highly motivated home team lets their play on the field do the talking while Levels runs his mouth! 8* HAMILTON -4.5 |
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11-19-21 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 46.5 | Top | 10-43 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Total of the Week - 10* OVER 46.5 in BC Lions - I know the Lions are starting Rourke here at QB but it is with good reason and he has already gained some experience this season and I expect the 23 year old to fare very well here. Keep in mind, the Elks are playing their 3rd game in 7 days in a scheduling quirk to close out the regular season. Edmonton is off an upset win at Toronto Tuesday. Look for BC to throw all over a tired Elks defense and stretch them out here. However, the Elks will have some success when they have the ball too. Edmonton had averaged 21 points per game last 3 games before the low-scoring win over the Argos. Keep in mind neither of these teams in tonight's match-up will be going to the post-season so this should be played as a rather wide-open affair. Note that Elks Cornelius has been gaining confidence at QB and they can attack a Lions defense allowing 33.3 points per game last 4 home games. 10* OVER 46.5 in BC Lions |
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11-13-21 | Edmonton Elks +11 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #239 Saturday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +11 @ Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 4 ET - Taylor Cornelius continues to improve at QB for the Elks despite being without key weapons on offense. Last week he nearly rallied them to the outright win over the Roughriders. Yes, Saskatchewan is the better team in this match-up but this is too many points in my opinion. This is particularly true when you consider Edmonton is 2-2 SU in road games this season and the Riders are only 4-4 SU in divisional games this season. Also, the Roughriders only have a point differential of +22 on the season so their average margin on the season is 2 points per game this season. Give me the big points here! 10* EDMONTON +11 |
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11-12-21 | Calgary v. BC OVER 45.5 | Top | 33-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Year - 10* Top Play OVER 45.5 in BC Lions - Both these teams have gotten stronger at the WR position as the Stampeders recently added Reggie Begelton to the roster again after the former Calgary WR had spent some time with the Packers in the NFL. As for the Lions, they welcomed back Lucky Whitehead from injury a few weeks ago and he is ramping back up into top form and is one of the most dangerous receives in the league as he has phenomenal speed. The Lions have allowed about 26 points per game game this season and this line has Calgary as a 1.5 point favorite which means you are looking at about a 26-25 game under normal circumstances here based on that line. However, I am expecting even much more than that because the Lions need this win to keep their playoff hopes alive but they allowed 39 points the last time they faced the Stamps and I feel this one is going to turn into an absolute shootout as BC going to have to rely on their offense in this one and they will be airing it out here. 10* OVER 45.5 in BC Lions |
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11-06-21 | Toronto v. Ottawa +10.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +10.5 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 4 ET - The Redblacks lost and failed to cover last week but played better than the final score indicates. Also, this is their home finale and it is against the rival Argonauts. Adding to the value is the fact that Toronto has a big game with Hamilton on deck. In what has been a disappointing season for Ottawa this is essentially their Super Bowl. The Redblacks can finish the home part of their schedule with an upset win here and play the role of spoiler and of course that is their goal with this one. I look for them to achieve that goal in a big way in this one. Maybe they do fall just short of the upset but, if so, they should still keep this loss to a one-possession game and that would get us the cash as well. Coming off an OT win last week, the Argos are in the perfect spot to fade here and you know the Redblacks are going to give a huge effort as a double digit home dog in this one. 10* OTTAWA +10.5 |
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11-05-21 | BC +7 v. Hamilton | Top | 18-26 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
ESPN+ Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Friday 10* Top Play BC Lions +7 @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 7 ET - The BC Lions are off a tight OT loss at Toronto last week but had won all 3 of their non-divisional games prior to that. Hamilton is off a big win at Edmonton and has a game at first place Toronto on deck. The Ti-Cats are just behind the Argonauts in the standings so it could be tough for them to avoid looking ahead to that match-up. Hamilton is just 2-2 against West Division opponents this season and a rather unimpressive 3-2 in home games this season. In other words, that means a lot of line value here with getting a full TD with the visitors because all those stats are SU stats and this one is too: road teams in BC games are 7-4 this season. From a situational standpoint and with having the big points on your side, this is a great spot. 10* BC +7 |
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10-30-21 | BC +3.5 v. Toronto | Top | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #673 Saturday 10* Top Play BC Lions +3.5 @ Toronto Argonauts @ 4 ET - Both teams off bad losses and will be looking to respond here. That said, I like having the value of the points on my side for this one particularly with the rainy weather projected in Toronto for this one as well. I know the Argonauts have played well at home this season but the Lions are a perfect 3-0 SU against East Division teams. Also, just playing the road team in BC games this season would have netted you a 7-3 record. I look for the Lions to be rejuvenated by the return of Whitehead as that will give a boost to the offense. Look for the road team, still alive for a playoff spot but needing to get back on track, to get it done here as they get a boost with the return of Whitehead and improve to 4-0 SU in non-divisional games on the season. Will grab the points just in case they do fall short of the outright upset win though. We should get at least the cover in this one. 10* BC Lions +3.5 |
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10-29-21 | Calgary v. Ottawa OVER 42.5 | Top | 26-13 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Non-Conf Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #669 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 42.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7 ET - The Stamps are angry off a home loss to Saskatchewan in which interceptions were the difference. Calgary has a bye on deck so they will go all out here and that means plenty of points as they look to bounce back from the loss to the Roughriders last week. Ottawa has very ugly numbers on the season but they do tend to score better at home and this includes averaging 25 points per game the past two games as a host. The Redblacks can take advantage of a Stampeders pass defense which ranks among the worst in the league. 10* OVER 42.5 in Ottawa |
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10-23-21 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary OVER 44 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 44 in Calgary Stampeders vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 9:45 ET - The Stampeders have been red hot and are off a 39-point outburst last week. The Roughriders had a much needed bye last week and have some key weapons entering the lineup this week to help out QB Cody Fajardo. Look for the rested Riders to enjoy some success on the offensive side of the ball but they also will struggle to stop this red-hot Calgary team. The last two games between these teams totaled right around 40 but I think the better health of each of these two offenses will lead to the 3rd game in this 3-game set getting into the 50s. That said, excellent line value with this total in the 44 range. 10* OVER 44 in Calgary |
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10-22-21 | Toronto +1 v. Montreal | Top | 16-37 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Friday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +1 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - The Alouettes are at home and trailing the Argonauts by just one game in the division. However, Toronto is off a bye week and getting healthier while Montreal is down to their 2nd string quarterback. Also, the Argos are 4-1 in divisional games this season and the Als are just 1-2 in home games. The Argonauts defense has been much better since they hired defensive consultant Chris Jones. Hotter and healthier team on the road and that means line value so I am stepping out big with this one. 10* TORONTO |
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10-16-21 | Calgary +3.5 v. BC | Top | 39-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
ESPN+ Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +3.5 @ BC Lions @ 7 ET - I am very tempted to take the Stamps on the money line here but the trade off of losing 3.5 points to have a +150 money line is just not worth it in my opinion. But I really do expect an outright win for the road dogs in this one. This line has gone from nearly a pick'em to now catching 3.5 points. Keep in mind, BC lost star WR Lucky Whitehead to injury. Yes the Lions are coming off a bye week and the Stampeders are off back to back wins over rival Saskatchewan, but I still feel we have excellent line value here. Calgary is a very strong team that is now finally starting to play back up to their potential again. As for the Lions, they are only 1-4 in divisional games this season! I am still not sold on this BC team and also the road team has dominated their games this season. The Lions are 3-1 on the road and just 1-3 at home. So, playing the road team in BC games all season long would have netted you a 6-2 record. Again, I do expect an outright road upset here but getting 3.5 is a strong value to have and I will not pass that up. 10* CALGARY +3.5 |
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10-15-21 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton Elks +12 | Top | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
West Div Game of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #672 Friday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +12 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 9 ET - If you look at this game on paper, the Elks have no chance. But, as the long-time saying goes, the games are not played on paper! The fact is that Edmonton is a huge home dog here and offering substantial value as I expect them to step up big after last week's embarrassing loss at Winnipeg. The Elks did not just lose to the Blue Bombers last week, they got destroyed. Now, coming back home and with an immediate shot at revenge, Edmonton can get some redemption here. Of course this does not mean they win the game outright, but I do expect them to be ultra competitive here and lose this game by no more than a single score margin. Note that Winnipeg has been rolling teams but this looks like a tough spot as they won big at Edmonton a few weeks ago as well and have BC on deck. This is the final meeting between these teams this season and the Elks have a bye on deck and will go all out here with a week of rest on deck. They have had enough of being embarrassed by the Blue Bombers and will put up a strong fight in this one. I know the Elks have an ugly record this season but they are better than their record shows and will prove to be a tough home dog to put away in this spot. 10* EDMONTON |
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10-11-21 | Toronto v. Hamilton -4.5 | Top | 24-23 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #688 Monday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats -4.5 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 4 ET - Toronto is coming off a big win versus Ottawa on Wednesday but the Argonauts were fortunate. The Redblacks actually outgained them by 153 yards but interceptions where the difference in the game. That said, this is now a battle for first place at the top of the division and the team trailing, Hamilton, is the better team and is coming off a loss and has a rest edge here. Last week the Tiger-Cats lost in OT to Montreal so this is a great spot to back them. Toronto is just 1-3 on the road this season and the Ti-Cats can pull equal with them in the standings by notching a win in this one. Hamilton is allowing only 18 points per game this season while the Argos are allowing 23 points a game. Again, the home/road dichotomy for the Argonauts is another reason to look for the Tiger-Cats to bounce back big at home in this one. Hamilton's wins have been by an average margin of 13 points per game and that includes a big win over Toronto. Look for another dominating victory here. 10* HAMILTON -4.5 |
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10-11-21 | Ottawa +9.5 v. Montreal | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #685 Monday 8* Ottawa Redblacks (+) @ Montreal Alouettes @ 1 ET - I lost with the Redblacks at Toronto on Wednesday but that was a turnover-fueled loss. Ottawa QB Caleb Evans threw for 334 yards but 3 interceptions. The Redblacks outgained the Argonauts by over 150 yards but the turnovers were the difference in the game. That has led to solid line value in this spot on Thanksgiving Monday in Canada. Note that the Als are actually 0-2 at home this season and coming off an OT win at Hamilton. That makes this the perfect spot to fade them with a Redblacks team that has been playing better in recent weeks. Look for a cleaner game from the visitors here with fewer turnovers and, as a result, they easily stay inside the number here. 8* OTTAWA +9.5 |
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10-09-21 | Calgary +4.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #663 Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +4.5 @ Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7 ET - I know the Riders outgained the Stamps last week but still lost the game. However, I am not taking the bait here on Saskatchewan. The Roughriders opened up as a 3.5 point favorite and are up to a 4.5 point favorite. Everyone seems to be liking the revenge factor here but this Stampeders team is better than their record shows and the Riders also have had trouble matching up with them. Look for the Calgary offensive line to again help key the victory as they win battles in the trenches. This is a battle of brothers in the coaching ranks and the Stamps hold a 3-0 edge in games in which they have squared off. Look for that to be 4-0 after today but I am grabbing the points also as added insurance in what could be a tight finish. 10* CALGARY +4.5 |
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10-08-21 | Edmonton Elks v. Winnipeg UNDER 48.5 | Top | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL 10* Top Play UNDER 48.5 in Winnipeg vs Edmonton @ 8:30 ET - Edmonton's defense is not getting any respect here because of the ugly loss at Ottawa last week. However, the Elks have had a knack this season for allowing more points than they should have based on yardage allowed. This is shading some value toward the under in this one as a result as there should be a regression to the mean in that regard. Winnipeg is 7-1 this season and has been incredibly good on defense. In the 7 wins the Blue Bombers have allowed only 11 points per game. So if the odds makers are correct and Winnipeg wins this by 10 and has an "average" game for them in a victory (allowing around 11 points) that puts this game around 21-11. You can see why I feel we have some very solid line value here! This total, per the above as well as the simulation report, is simply too high. Also note that it did open up at 43.5 and has jumped to 48.5 and the odds makers likely had it in the better range with their original number and it will be the betting markets that are proven wrong in this one. 10* UNDER 48.5 in Winnipeg |
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10-06-21 | Ottawa +9.5 v. Toronto | Top | 16-35 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
ESPN+ Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #679 Wednesday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +9.5 @ Toronto Argonauts @ 7:30 ET - Ottawa was much better in last week's win versus Edmonton. That was a Wednesday game too so they are fine on rest here too. The Argonauts are off a bye week so they are set up well here but I feel this is a dangerous game for them. Toronto has a big game with rival Hamilton on deck and that is on Monday. The Redblacks also have a game Monday at Montreal but the point is those big Thanksgiving Day (Canada) match-ups are more of a lookahead for the Argos in this case. Toronto is 4-3 and Hamilton is right behind them in the standings at 4-4 plus coming off their huge 2019 season. It is hard for the Argonauts to not already be thinking about that key battle with the Tigercats. As for the Redblacks, their mindset is quite different. The win over the Elks was key and if they get a win here they are suddenly just a game out of 1st place in the division! I look for another very motivated effort, just like we saw from them last week, as Ottawa makes this a difficult match-up for Toronto. Yes the Argos are the better team and at home and they may still win the game here but I don't see them covering this large number. The Redblacks capable of making this one a battle all the way to the finish. The Argonauts 4 wins this season all by 7 or less points and, in fact, the average margin was just 3.5 points in those 4 victories. Look for another tight one here. 10* OTTAWA +9.5 |
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10-02-21 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary +2.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
ATS Game of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders (+) vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7 ET - This line may look funny but Calgary is way better than their record shows. Keep in mind, the Stampeders are coming off a huge season and have been looking better in recent games. Also, they enter this game off a bye week and are 14-2 SU the last 16 times when coming off a bye. I really don't think we'll need the points here but I am grabbing the 2.5 points. The Stampeders are only 2-5 on the season but only 1 of their losses was by more than 6 points. This is a team that has been within one possession of a 6-1 season thus far. The fact is the Riders are a strong team and they have the record to show for it too. However, they have played only 2 road games this season (went 1-1) and that has certainly helped their strong start. Also, the Roughriders are off a big comeback win last week and that was on the road and it took a lot in rallying for the win. The Stamps will be the more rested team and fresher team and they bring it big-time in what is essentially a must-win game for them to get back into the thick of things out west. Look for them to do just that as they improve to 15-2 when off a bye week! 10* CALGARY +2.5 |
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10-02-21 | Montreal v. Hamilton -142 | 23-20 | Loss | -142 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Money Line Day Game - Rickenbach CFL Saturday 8* Hamilton Tiger-Cats -140 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 4 ET - This money line is low enough (-140 range) to make it worth laying the price to avoid getting burned should the Ti-Cats (currently -2.5) win this game by just a point or two. Hamilton was in the most recent Grey Cup and lost to Winnipeg. This season the Tiger-Cats and Blue Bombers are atop their respective divisions. Not only that, Hamilton is now betting healthier and getting some key star power back on the field this week with Masoli and Banks coming back plus Addison making his Ti-Cats debut. Montreal has been struggling and made a bunch of coaching changes on defense heading into this match-up. I know Alouettes are hoping the shake-up will provide immediate improvement but I do not feel this is the time or place for that. The Ti-Cats are the better team and note that the Als only have two wins this season and they were against Edmonton and Ottawa - a pair of 2-5 teams. The Tiger-Cats are 2-0 at home and 3-1 in divisional games and the Als already got blasted at home by the Ti-Cats earlier this season. More of the same expected now on the road. 8* HAMILTON -140 |
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10-01-21 | Winnipeg -120 v. BC | Top | 30-9 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
Money Line Game of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Friday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Blue Bombers -120 @ BC Lions @ 10 ET - The Blue Bombers have only 1 loss in 7 games this season. Both these teams have great offenses led by strong quarterbacks but the Winnipeg defense is what should key a win here. The fact the Blue Bombers are on the road is helping to give us line value here as otherwise they would likely be about a TD favorite if they were the hosts. That said I love the extra value here and instead of even laying the point and a half lets grab the very affordable money line which is in a -120 price range as of early game day morning. Another big variance here is that Winnipeg has a number of wins over strong teams. Unlike the Blue Bombers, the Lions wins have only come against teams that currently have losing records: Ottawa (2-5) twice, Calgary (2-5) and Montreal (2-4). The road team is the far superior team in this match-up in my opinion and has already handed Saskatchewan its only 2 losses and has wins over Hamilton and Toronto - both those teams have winning records this season. Last but certainly not least, the Blue Bombers are off a bye last week while BC was battling it out with Saskatchewan last week. Big rest edge for the road team. 10* WINNIPEG -120 |
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09-28-21 | Edmonton Elks -6.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
ESPN+ Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Tuesday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks -6.5 @ Ottawa Redblacks @ 7:30 ET - Both teams dealing with QB injuries but the situation for the Redblacks is even worse. Also I like what I saw from Elks QB Taylor Cornelius last week but he just needs to cut down on the turnovers. This is a revenge game for a week 2 home loss for Edmonton in which they lost 16 to 12 despite a massive yardage edge! The Elks outgained Ottawa by a 443 to 127 edge! I seriously do not know if there has ever been another CFL game in history with that type of yardage domination and yet a loss for the team with the big edge! It is payback time here and Ottawa is 0-3 at home this season and their win over the Elks is their only win this year! The Redblacks 5 losses have been by an average margin of 19.2 points! The very first number to come out on this game is 6.5 and I expect it to climb but, either way, expect a road rout by a double digit margin. Elks have #1 pass defense and #2 rush defense in the league in terms of yards allowed per game. 10* EDMONTON -6.5 |
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09-24-21 | Montreal v. Toronto -135 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts -135 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - Recommend laying the -135 price on the money line rather than the 2.5 points here. Feel it absolutely could prove worth the extra 25 cent price to do so. In terms of SU win this season, Montreal has just 2 and they were against a pair of teams that have a combined 3-9 record. Conversely, Toronto is 3-3 on the season and has a pair of wins against teams with a combined 10-4 record. The Argonauts also have not yet faced the worst team (Ottawa) in the league either. That said, I feel we have some solid line value here with the Argos at home and the Als being a bit over-rated at this point in the season. Toronto also hired long-time CFL veteran coach Chris Jones to be, essentially, their defensive coordinator. With him calling the plays now on defense, look for his presence to be felt immediately and the Argonauts respond well here. Yes I am aware of the QB situation for the home team here but Bethel-Thompson certainly use to being a starter so no issues there. 10* TORONTO -135 |
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09-22-21 | Hamilton v. Ottawa +9 | Top | 24-7 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
CFL Wednesday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +8.5 vs Hamilton @ 7:30 PM ET - Yes Ottawa has been a horrible team so far this season. Definitely the worst team in the league thus far. However, they have some big edges here as they are at home and playing with extra rest and they are catching Hamilton on the road and playing on short rest. Though the Tiger-Cats defeated the Stampeders last week at home, they actually were outgained in the game and were helped greatly by turnovers. The Ti-Cats are still down to their back-up QB and the Redblacks are going to make a game of this one in my strong opinion. Hamilton will get caught looking ahead to big game with Montreal coming up next week. 10* OTTAWA +8.5 |
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09-18-21 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton Elks +7 | Top | 37-22 | Loss | -104 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Edmonton +7 - The Elks are starting back-up QB. I am well aware of this but, at home and with solid running skills, Taylor Cornelius is going to be a pleasant surprise. Getting a full +7 with Edmonton at home is a huge value. The Elks have been very strong statistically this season and should have a better record. They have a solid defense and added another key piece to that defense with a recent star acquisition. This team solid on both sides of the ball and they catch Winnipeg off a key divisional win over Saskatchewan. The set up here is perfect for a home dog upset. Yes the Blue Bombers have been very solid early this season but laying a full 7 on the road against a quality home team is simply too much. Yes the Elks Cornelius is making his first start at QB but he has solid QB skills and there is a big difference between making your first ever start at home comparted to on the road. He is going to have a solid game and this defense for the Elks also keys a very tight game decided by a single score margin in my strong estimation. 10* EDMONTON +7 |
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09-18-21 | BC v. Montreal -2.5 | 27-18 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
CFL 8* Montreal Alouettes -2.5 - The Als are off a bye week and they also opened the season with a bye. Montreal is playing just their 2nd home game of the season and they lost their first one. They want this game and they will get it! BC has a solid record but 2 of their games were against a bad Ottawa team. The Redblacks are so much worse than everyone else in the league right now. One of the Lions road wins was at Ottawa and the other road win was at Calgary in a game in which the Stampeders threw 4 picks. The other road game was BC's season opener in which they only lost by 4 points but they were down huge early in that game. I do not see the Als being denied at home here and they have the fresher legs right now and the Lions simply a bit over-valued, particularly on the road, because of the reasons I just mentioned. 8* MONTREAL -2.5 |
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09-17-21 | Calgary +2.5 v. Hamilton | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +2.5 - I absolutely do respect the Tiger-Cats defense. However, they have a major issue at QB. They lost starting QB Dane Evans to injury last week and now they are starting a guy, David Watford, who has hardly played at the CFL level. This is no disrespect to him but just saying it is going to be a difficult situation for him. For Calgary, the situation is completely different. Not only is Bo Levi Mitchell back, the other QB that had filled in him for was fantastic. Jake Maier can step right if Mitchell got hurt again. The point is that right now the Stampeders have two healthy quarterbacks that are both better than the Tiger-Cats current starting QB. Losing Evans really hurts this team. I look for the Stamps to build off last week's dominating win at Edmonton and get another big road win here. Note that Hamilton is still over-valued because of their success in the 2019 season. This Ti-Cats team simply is not the same team right now. They are likely to struggle to score points here. 10* CALGARY +2.5 |
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09-11-21 | Calgary v. Edmonton Elks OVER 45.5 | Top | 32-16 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
10* Top Play OVER 45.5 in Edmonton - The Elks and Stampeders had a high-scoring game last week and the way Harris played at QB for Edmonton and with how leaky the Calgary defense has been, we should again see a huge game from the Elks offense. However, the Stampeders should get a boost with the return of Mitchell because, even under the direction of rookie QB Maier, the Calgary offense has been electric early this season. The Stampeders problem has been in terms of bogging down in the red zone. However, with the veteran Mitchell now back at the pivot, look for the Stamps to get more production out of all their red zone opportunities. No team has more red zone opportunities this season than Calgary. However, no defense has allowed more passing yardage than the Stampeders have. Another shootout likely here. 10* OVER 45.5 in Edmonton |
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09-10-21 | Hamilton +3 v. Toronto | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
10* Top Play HAMILTON +3 - The Tiger-Cats were the top team in the East last season and went all the way to the Grey Cup Game where they fell short against Winnipeg. This Hamilton team is still being undervalued by the markets. Yes they started the season 0-2 with a pair of losses out west against teams known for being very strong at home. However, the Tiger-Cats have responded by winning two straight games in divisional action and now here is their chance to start creating some separation in the division. Right now things are very tight in the division and I know Toronto wants revenge here because of the loss last week at Hamilton. However, revenge is over-valued and the Argos still are too mistake-prone and not quite on the level of this Ti-Cats team just yet. 10* HAMILTON +3 |
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09-06-21 | Edmonton Elks +6 v. Calgary | Top | 32-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
ESPNews Network Rout - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #677 Monday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +6 @ Calgary Stampeders @ 4:30 ET - The Stampeders have played the tougher schedule. Also, they are at home for this rivalry game. However, there is plenty of reason to like the Elks in this one. I know their schedule has been a little weaker but in their 30-13 loss to Montreal the yardage was nearly equal. In their other two games they outgained their opponents by about 250 yards in one and 300 yards in the other. It is very hard to ignore domination like that and I like Edmonton getting 6 points here considering how tough their defense has been too this season. The Elks D has a lot of confidence right now and this offense actually averaging more yardage per game than any other team in the CFL. That said, love fading the line move here too as it went from an early opener of 3 to now as high as 6.5 for this Monday afternoon match-up. The Stampeders are a better team than their record shows but, still, they will have their hands full here. Also, with their #2 QB playing well but the #1 QB now coming back from injury, could this disrupt the chemistry on offense? I say yes it will and the Stamps will struggle just to win this game let alone cover the sizable spread. Elks off a bye week afforded by covid and they won their game solidly before the bye and were strong both on the ground and through the air and the defense does a great job with its pass rush. There is a lot to like in Edmonton right now but they are flying under the radar because of their 1-2 record. Grab the generous points. 10* EDMONTON |
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09-06-21 | Toronto v. Hamilton OVER 44 | Top | 19-32 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #675 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Toronto Argonauts @ 1 ET - I know this is a rivalry game and an early-season battle for first place in the East. However, the over should prove to be the play here. Hamilton is coming off a big road win at Montreal and got a big game from QB Dane Evans, filling in for the injured Jeremiah Masoli. Ironically, Evans also was the starting QB in the most recent Labor Day battle (2019) between these teams and he led them to the comeback win with 31 of 37 completions and over 440 yards passing! As for the Argonauts, they have looked very strong early this season and Nick Arbuckle coming off a huge game at QB for them two weeks ago in their big win versus Winnipeg. He completed 23 of 32 for over 300 yards of offense. Don't be surprised if both offenses fare much better than you would think in a typical rivalry game as each of these units is "feeling it" right now and playing with a lot of confidence. 10* OVER the total in Hamilton |
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09-05-21 | Winnipeg +190 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 23-8 | Win | 190 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
Money Line Mauling - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #673 Sunday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Blue Bombers Money Line +190 @ Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 6 ET - Yes, the Roughriders want revenge for losing to the Blue Bombers in the post-season last season (2019). However, Winnipeg has plenty of motivation for this game as well. This is a big rivalry game and the Riders are currently the only undefeated team in the league sitting nicely at 3-0 on the young campaign. That means the Blue Bombers, the defending Grey Cup Champions, are not only on a mission to defend their title they also want to knock off their rivals and move into first place in the division. Winnipeg also has not forgotten losing here at Saskatchewan in the most recent CFL season and, in fact, they lost a pair of regular season meetings with the Roughriders in that year. There is no way they will overlook them here and they want to be the first to hand them a loss this season. In terms of line value, this one opened up with the home team at -3.5 and is now up to a -5. I love fading line moves and here is where the value gets really big. The very first money lines that came out on this game had Saskatchewan at -146 and Winnipeg at +122 and now that has been bet all the way up to the Roughriders being more than a 2 to 1 favorite and the Blue Bombers available at a +190 price. Give me the defending champs that will be highly motivated for a road win here and note Andrew Harris was back at running back last week and looked strong and he'll be ready to go here and is an MVP player for the road dog Bombers. 10* WINNIPEG +190 |
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09-03-21 | Montreal v. Ottawa +7.5 | Top | 51-29 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
East Div GAME OF THE MONTH - Rickenbach CFL Friday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +7.5 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - These teams have traditionally played on Labour Day weekend in Canada for many years. The games are almost always tight. The odds makers know this too. This line opened up at a 2.5 and yet has been driven all the way up to a 7.5 and that means it is "go time" with the Redblacks in this one. Tremendous home dog value here. The offense looked much better for Ottawa last week in what was their first home game of the season. They should build off that performance this week and have much more in the way of points on the scoreboard to show for it. Montreal is simply over-valued here. This is particularly true when you consider they will be without a key O-lineman and key D-lineman in this game. The Alouettes have been a pleasant surprise early this season but this is a rivalry game and they are on the road and the Redblacks are showing signs of turning the corner. I will gladly grab the generous points being offered to the home dog in this one. 10* OTTAWA +7.5 |
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08-29-21 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -6.5 | Top | 16-18 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #686 Sunday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Blue Bombers -6.5 vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7 ET - I really like Jake Maier for Calgary at QB and he got much better as last week's game went on after a rough early start. That showed resilience and he also showed a lot of grit and determination in the 28-22 win versus Montreal. However, the back-up QB now goes on the road and he faces a very tough and physical Winnipeg defense which also is angry off their first loss of the season - at Toronto - last week. Keep in mind, the Blue Bombers are the defending champs and this defense allowed only 13 points total in its first two games this season. Those were at at home and this game is too and the Winnipeg defense bounces back. Also, I am looking for a huge game from the offense as well as they are expected to get a boost with the return of Andrew Harris at RB. He is a fantastic running back and, overall, one of the best players in the league at any position. All signs pointing to a home blowout here! 10* WINNIPEG -6.5 |
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08-28-21 | BC v. Ottawa OVER 43.5 | Top | 24-12 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
ESPN+ Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #683 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 43.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs BC Lions @ 7 ET - The news on the injury front for each of these teams was better on the offensive front and worse on the defensive front. That, in and of itself, certainly helps an over. What also helps an over is value in the line and this total has been pushed very low because of early season results. I look for both teams to come out strong offensively in this one. BC has allowed at least 21 points in 2 of 3 games this season. Ottawa has played only two games but did allow 23 points (and 400 yards!) last week at Saskatchewan. This is the Redblacks home opener. They should respond better at home and, looking to bounce back after some ugly performances on offense, I do expect Ottawa to score more in this one. However, the Redblacks also allowed just 12 points (but on 443 yards!) in their very fortunate week one upset at Edmonton. That said, this defense just can not be trusted and the BC offense is capable of a big showing here. It all points to this total being set far too low and I am expecting 50+ in this one so we elevate this one to a top play rating. 10* OVER 43.5 in Ottawa |
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08-27-21 | Hamilton -129 v. Montreal | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
ESPNews Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #681 Friday 8* Hamilton Tiger-Cats Money Line -130 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - The Als are off a loss but are 1-1 on the season. While Montreal wants to bounce back, they at least have already tasted victory once. Hamilton, on the other hand, is 0-2 this season plus coming off their bye week and let us not forget the Tiger-Cats were playing for the Grey Cup to wrap up the most reason. Falling short there, falling short the first two weeks of this new season, refreshed off a bye week, and now laying a very small number on the road...it all adds up to great value with the Ti-Cats. I know they are available at a -2 on the spread but the money line is so small (-130 range) I am recommending just playing them on the money line here as they get into the win column finally. I know the Als are improved but the Tiger-Cats came into this season as one of the frontrunners for the Grey Cup and I am sure they re-establish dominance here and we get a value spot to back them since they are on the road. That keeps this price lower than it should be. 8* HAMILTON Money Line -130 |
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08-21-21 | Winnipeg v. Toronto +3.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass - CFL 10* Toronto Argonauts +3.5 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 4 ET - Look for a strong effort from the Argos here as they play their home opener. They lost at Winnipeg last week so they will take advantage of this shot at revenge right away this week. The Argonauts did get a boost in the game when they made a QB switch and I expect that to wake up the team and give them some momentum for this week's rematch. The Blue Bombers were already down RB Harris but now also lost WR Demski to injury. Things are starting to catch up with this Winnipeg offense and the Argos did do a solid job defensively last week and could be even stronger this week in their home opener in my opinion. That said, value with the home dog in this one. The Blue Bombers did open up as a TD favorite here and are now in the range of a FG but this line move was fully justified based on the Winnipeg injury issues and the fact that the home dog is a revenge-minded one that had some positives to pull from last week's game for sure. 10* TORONTO +3.5 |
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08-20-21 | Montreal v. Calgary +5.5 | Top | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
ESPN+ Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #674 Friday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +5.5 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 9:30 ET - Some are surprised at who the starting QB is for Calgary here as they are going with the perceived #3 and letting the #2 serve as the back-up as the #1 guy Bo Levi Mitchell now out with an injury. However, the way I view this is that the Stampeders have seen some good things from the UC-Davis product and he is in line for a big game here. Love the line move as, because of Mitchell's injury, the line has gone from Calgary being about a 2-point favorite to now being a +5.5 dog. The Stampeders were great at home last season but now already off to an 0-2 start at home this season. In other words, the likelihood of them falling into an 0-3 start at home is slim odds in my opinion and I love having the big points. Yes Montreal is off a blowout win last week but the yardage was very nearly equal in their 30-13 win at Edmonton. I do respect the Alouettes but they are over-valued in this spot and the value is with the big home dog no matter who is at the pivot position for the hosts! 10* CALGARY +5.5 |
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08-19-21 | Edmonton Elks +4 v. BC | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show |
ESPN2 Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #671 Thursday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +4 @ BC Lions @ 10 ET - Statistically, the Elks have been much better than what has been reflected on the scoreboard the first two weeks. That is helping lead to line value here especially with Edmonton available at +4 in this one. The road team is a perfect 2-0 ATS in BC games this season and 2-0 SU/ATS in Elks games this season and I look for that trend to continue here but will grab the points as added insurance. Keep in mind, the Lions lost in Week 1 by just 4 points and Edmonton also lost in Week 1 by just a 4-point margin. 10* EDMONTON +4 |
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08-14-21 | Hamilton +3 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 8-30 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
ESPNews Network Rout - Rickenbach CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +1.5 @ Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 10 ET - Saskatchewan off a non-covering win in which they nearly entirely blew a 31-0 lead in their season opener. That gives me some major question marks about the Roughriders defense but really this play is more about taking an extremely good team as an underdog coming off a loss. Yes we faded Hamilton with Winnipeg in Week 1 and got the win but the Blue Bombers, now 2-0 on the season, certainly look quite strong. Also, the Tiger-Cats were done in by turnovers in that game and that is helping to give us line value here as the Blue Bombers defense has looked strong this season. Hamilton will take advantage of a leaky Riders defense in this one and I look for the hungry Ti-Cats, a true Grey Cup favorite this season, to gets into the win column! 10* HAMILTON |
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08-14-21 | Montreal v. Edmonton Elks -5 | 30-13 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
ESPN+ Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Saturday 8* Edmonton Elks (-) vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - Edmonton outgained Ottawa 443 to 127 last week. Yet, not only did the Elks not cover the spread, they did not even win the game. I feel that is helping to give us some rock solid line value here. Edmonton QB Trevor Harris threw 3 picks against 0 touchdowns last week and that is not happening again. Additionally the Als have not even played a game yet this season. The game under the belt edge for the Elks is another edge over Montreal here. Edmonton had a winning record at home and in non-divisional play last season. The Alouettes did not have a winning record in non-divisional play or on the road. In other words, the early line move from 3.5 down to a 3 makes this one an even bigger value and what sure looks to me like the perfect set up for a home win. 8* EDMONTON -3 |
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08-13-21 | Toronto v. Winnipeg OVER 47.5 | Top | 7-20 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #681 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Toronto Argonauts @ 8:30 ET - The early line on this total was a 47.5 and it dropped to a 46.5 but where it goes from there is a big question mark as the odds makers have been slow putting up numbers on CFL action early this season. In any event, I am going big on the over here as both teams are off victories last week in which they each received strong QB play. Also, Blue Bombers still missing RB Andrew Harris which could make them pass even more which is good for an over. Toronto was a pass-heavy team last week and that should continue here. Winnipeg off big win in a Grey Cup rematch and Argonauts off big upset road win. That sets this one up well for a bit of a letdown for each defense and we have good value with the early line movement on an already low total. I know we have seen a lot of unders so far in this young season but this one should play out much differently. 10* OVER the total in Winnipeg |
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08-12-21 | BC v. Calgary -7 | Top | 15-9 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
ESPN+ Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #680 Thursday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders (-) vs BC Lions @ 9:30 ET - The early line on this game was a 6.5 but where it goes from there is a big question mark as the odds makers have been slow putting up numbers on CFL action early this season. In any event, I am going big on the Stampeders here as they blew a 20-12 lead in the 4th quarter to lose their opener to Toronto. Calgary is well aware of the fact that BC rallied from a 31-0 deficit to put a scare into the Roughriders last week at Saskatchewan. The Riders appeared to let up with a big lead and the Stamps will not make the same mistake here and should prove to be the better team on the ground in this one as well. 10* CALGARY |
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08-07-21 | Ottawa +7 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 16-12 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
ESPN2 Game of the Week - 10* OTTAWA +7 - I know QB Matt Nichols is questionable for this game but I doubt he'll miss it and they do have some options behind him. That being said, I also feel - though it is hard to fully judge early in the season - the Redblacks could very well have the better defense in this match-up. That said, there is a reason why this line is below a full TD as it opened up. Edmonton was only an 8-10 team last season and thy have some question marks, particularly on defense, entering the new season. That said, I really like the defensive coordinator - Benevides - for Ottawa here and feel the defensive schemes could be a difference in this game. He used to be with Edmonton and knows them well. Whether that leads to an outright upset remains to be seen but I do feel it means that if the Elks do prevail here it will be by the slimmest of margins. Good value with the points in this one. 10* OTTAWA +7 |
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08-07-21 | Toronto +5.5 v. Calgary | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
ESPN+ Early Dominator - 8* TORONTO +5.5 - Something funny with this line. Toronto is off a 4-18 season in which they won just once on the road and also just once against the West. However, they are a rather small dog here given those numbers. The fact is that the Argonauts have undergone a major overhaul and there is a certain rejuvenated attitude here among the Argos. As strong as Calgary tends to be, particularly when at home, note that the Stampeders did go just 4-4 against the East last season. Also, the Stamps are not quite as talented as they have been in recent seasons and I am forecasting a bit of an early season hangover for Calgary after the disappointing way their 2019 season ended. 8* TORONTO +5.5 |
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08-06-21 | BC v. Saskatchewan -6.5 | Top | 29-33 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
ESPN+ Top Play - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #674 Friday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders -6.5 vs BC Lions @ 9:30 ET - I know that hope springs eternal at the start of a season but I just do not think the Lions have what it takes and there are going to be some growing pains as they look to rebound from last year's poor season. Not only did BC go just 5-13 last season they were 0-10 in divisional games. Conversely, Saskatchewan is known for being tough to play at home annually and last season was no different. The Roughriders were a fantastic 8-1 in home games last season. With a raucous sold out crowd likely - the prairie region of Canada is where CFL is most popular - look for the home team to roll by a big margin in this one. The average margin of loss was 15.4 in the Lions 5 road losses to divisional opponents last season and this included 4 of the 5 by at least points. BC lost all 3 games with the Roughriders and those defeats were by margin of 16 points per game. The Lions offense might keep them in this game a little bit early on but eventually the home team should pull away in this game and win by a double digit margin. 10* SASKATCHEWAN -6.5 |
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08-05-21 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg +3.5 | 6-19 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
ESPN2 Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #672 Thursday 8* Winnipeg Blue Bombers +3.5 vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 8:30 ET - Revenge game from 2019 CFL Grey Cup which Winnipeg dominated by a 33-12 count. Both teams have some injury issues. However, the popular choice here is Hamilton to get revenge and, do not get me wrong, the Tiger-Cats are a very solid team. However, revenge can often be over-played and over-valued. Here we are a getting a Blue Bombers team that is at home where they went 8-1 last season and they are a home dog of more than a field goal as of very early morning on gameday. This is a ton of value and I am aware of the injury issues but feel they are equally impacting to both teams so I am calling that a wash. That said, I like the home dog here as they do not want to let the Ti-Cats come in and spoil the unfurling of the championship banner in this one. The Blue Bombers only home loss last season came against Hamilton so the revenge factor actually goes both ways here. Being the first game of a new season after a 2020 season that was lost to the pandemic and without any 2021 pre-season games, I truly feel there is even more value than usual with having the points on your side in an opener and this is particularly true of a home dog. 8* WINNIPEG +3.5 |
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11-24-19 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg +4 | Top | 12-33 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Grey Cup Dominator - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #896 Sunday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+) vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 6 ET - Give Hamilton credit for being here and certainly they are a great team but I don't see Winnipeg being denied. The Tiger-Cats had the best regular season and record and then, after a bye the first week of the playoffs, they faced an Edmonton team that was truly only a mediocre team this season. But how about these Blue Bombers and what they have faced. They didn't get a first round bye they went on the road and beat a great Calgary team in the first week of the playoffs. Then last week, courtesy of some great late game defense including goal line stands, they went on the road again and beat another great team in Saskatchewan. The point is that the Blue Bombers defense is rising to the occasion at the right time and they truly seem like a team of destiny at this point. They are on a roll and playing every week and winning every week and even on the road in tough venues. I feel Hamilton, as strong as they are, may struggle here in playing their first non-home game since October! Look for the road warrior Blue Bombers to deliver the shocking upset here but of course I am grabbing the points and loving the line move here. A line that opened up with Hamilton as the slightest of favorites now has the Ti-Cats as a 4-point fave here. Fade the move, this Blue Bombers teams is special this year and has allowed just 13.5 points per game in this post-season. If Hamilton does prevail I certainly expect it to be by 3 or less points so I love the underdog value here and I expect the outright upset. Grab the points. 10* WINNIPEG |
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11-17-19 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan UNDER 45 | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Playoff Total of the Year - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #894 Sunday 10* Top Play UNDER the total in Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 4:30 ET - I know this is a low total but don't let that scare you away. The Blue Bombers are off a fantastic defensive effort last week in their playoff upset win. The Roughriders are known for their tough defense, particularly when at home. Also, Winnipeg has been employing a two-headed QB system primarily because one of the two is more of a running QB and the Bombers are emphasizing the run more and more. The Riders are known for being very tough to beat when a team has to face them at Regina and their QB is currently dealing with an injury. They will also emphasize the ground game here more than you would typically see in a CFL game. Saskatchewan wants to control the tempo here and grind it out with long drives and this game will be a ball-control type playoff game with a lot less than scoring than you typically expect in a CFL game. All 3 meetings between these teams this season stayed under the total and I am looking for another one here. When Winnipeg enters a game on a winning streak of 2 or more games the under has cashed in 4 of 6 times. The Roughriders have stayed under in 30 of 45 November games long-term including 5 straight unders cashing in recent seasons as they enter this match-up. Look for that streak to reach 6 in a row here! 10* UNDER the total in Saskatchewan |
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11-10-19 | Winnipeg +6 v. Calgary | Top | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Playoff Game of the Year - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #823 Sunday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+) @ Calgary Stampeders @ 4:30 ET - Revenge for the Blue Bombers after last year's Western Division Final propelled the Stamps to the Grey Cup. I like the fact that Winnipeg is the better team on both side of the ball when it comes to the ground game. The Blue Bombers have a very strong rushing attack and also are adept at stopping the run. I know the Stampeders are a great passing team but Winnipeg can move the ball down the field through the air in a hurry too. Also, the Stamps have some injury issues at wide receiver. The Blue Bombers also got a boost with the return of Zach Collaros at QB in the final week of the regular season. Note that he has a personal 3-game winning streak when facing Calgary. Also, Winnipeg still has a "running QB" option too since they also have Chris Streveler and he saw plenty of action this season during the time Collaros was out. I love having the points here too because after about 3 to 6 inches of snow fell last night and this morning the forecast here is temperatures to remain right around 12 degrees fahrenheit or -11 celsius during this game. It is going to be another all-out war between these all-too familiar foes and note that 14 of Calgary's 18 games this season (including 7 in a row entering the playoffs) have been decided by 7 or less points! The Blue Bombers went 6-1 ATS this season as an underdog. The Stampeders went 2-11 ATS this season as a favorite. 10* WINNIPEG |
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11-02-19 | Toronto v. Hamilton OVER 52.5 | Top | 18-21 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #815 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Toronto Argonauts @ 7:05 ET - Not much defense expected in this one. The Tiger-Cats already wrapped up the top spot in the CFL for the season and, of course, are awaiting post-season action. The Argonauts have struggled on defense all season as their 31.8 points per game allowed is dead last in the league. However, Toronto has been scoring well recently as they have averaged 30.3 points per game the last 3 weeks. Their is a little renewed enthusiasm on the team since they made some changes in the front office and it is translating to more inspired play on the field. That said, I am expecting this game to be quite entertaining with plenty of points. The Argos scored 39 points last week. The Tiger-Cats can score plenty even with back-ups seeing action in this one. Hamilton is the highest scoring team in the CFL this season and have averaged 35.2 points per game their last 5 games with 3 of the 5 going over. The total is a perfect 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams and I look for them to make it 6 in a row here on Saturday. 10* OVER the total in Hamilton |
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11-01-19 | Montreal v. Ottawa +9.5 | Top | 42-32 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #812 Friday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks (+) vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - Yes the Redblacks are putting the wraps on an ugly season and mired in a long losing streak. However, Ottawa will always be motivated when facing the rival Alouettes and one could easily question Montreal's motivation here. You see the Als are locked into a home playoff game next week against Edmonton. The Alouettes main focus here is simply keeping their guys healthy physical and then, from a mental standpoint, the Eskimos match-up is already on the minds of the Als. That said I won't hesitate to grab the big home dog value with Ottawa here. The Redblacks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings with Montreal. Also, Ottawa has won 11 of the last 14 games SU. The Alouettes also have a long-term tendency NOT to blow teams out. That is they are 2-7 ATS as a favorite including 0-4 ATS this season. The Redblacks are 6-3 ATS the last 9 times they have been a home underdog. An outright upset would not be a complete shock here but I am grabbing the generous points being offered. 10* OTTAWA |
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10-26-19 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton UNDER 47 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #696 Saturday 10* Top Play UNDER the total in Edmonton Eskimos vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7 ET - Temperatures below freezing with northerly winds blowing at nearly 20 mph sets up this divisional battle for a low-scoring grudge match. The Roughriders still have their sights set on winning the division and even though the Eskimos clinched a post-season berth they certainly won't be laying down against their division rivals. This is particularly true at home and also coming in rest off a bye week. This is the front end of a home and home set to close out the regular season as the Eskimos will be at Saskatchewan next week. With Edmonton at home this week and rested off a bye week but having seen some struggles on offense due to inconsistent QB play, this game will be all about defense! The Riders have allowed an average of only 17.8 points per game in their last 4 games. The Eskimos have allowed 16 points or less in 2 of their past 3 games. More of the same here. 10* UNDER the total in Edmonton |
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10-25-19 | Calgary v. Winnipeg OVER 47.5 | Top | 28-29 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #689 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Calgary Stampeders @ 8:30 ET - The Blue Bombers become the first team to wrap up their regular season as their Friday game is their final one since they have a bye next week. Last week Winnipeg lost 37 to 33 at Calgary. The Blue Bombers passing attack was not good though even though that point total would lead you to believe otherwise. That said, back home and with pleasant weather expected in Winnipeg for this one, the Blue Bombers offense gets back on track. However, the reason the Bombers limped down the stretch run is a struggling defense as they have allowed 30.6 points per game in going 1-4 SU their past 5 games. Calgary has allowed 27.3 points per game their past 3 games and we've got a low total to work with here. The Stampeders rarely run the ball and I also look for the Blue Bombers to throw more here as this is their last chance to get their aerial attack back on track before the post-season begins. The over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these teams in Winnipeg. Also, the over is 11-4 in Blue Bombers games where their line is in a +3 to -3 range. Look for the over to improve to a perfect 4-0 the last 4 times Calgary was in a road game where the posted total was in a range between 45.5 and 49 points. 10* OVER the total in Winnipeg |
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10-19-19 | Winnipeg v. Calgary -6.5 | Top | 33-37 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
Divisional Dominator - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #688 Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders (-) vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7 ET - I am well aware of the fact that Calgary has had trouble covering the spread this season but in this revenge game I foresee them getting a big home win. The odds makers opened this one up with a line of -7 with good reason. The fact is that the Stampeders are 6-2 at home this season and also 6-1 in divisional games. Note that Winnipeg is only 3-5 on the road this season. The Blue Bombers got a win last week but they previously had lost 4 of 5. Unlike slumping Winnipeg, Calgary actually entered last week's action having won 4 of 5 SU and they won again last week! The Stamps have dominated this series long-term and, having lost at Winnipeg at earlier this season (a rare loss for them against the Blue Bombers) I know they won't take their foot off the gas in this one. As a result, look for a home win by a double digit margin. 10* CALGARY |
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10-18-19 | Toronto +10.5 v. Montreal | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #681 Friday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts (+) @ Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - The Alouettes have already clinched their playoff position. Of course Montreal does not want to go into the post-season on a losing streak but the fact is they are not highly motivated for a blowout win here either. Even if they were I am not sure they would get it as the Als have been scuffling a bit and plus QB Adams was a turnover machine last week! McLeod Bethel-Thompson returned to the starting role for the Argonauts last week and they got a much-needed win versus Ottawa. Trust me, I know that Toronto is not a very good football team as they have had a frustrating season. But some recent organizational changes as well as the strong QB play they got last week plus the fact this is a divisional match-up for pride...all of these factors have me very happy to grab the double digits in points being offered here. The Argos will go hard here and I am not so sure the Als will even be able to match their intensity considering their playoff position is set and they already won at Toronto earlier this season. Now the Argonauts seek to return the favor at Montreal! While they may not get the outright win I do expect this game to be decided by a TD or less! Grab the generous points! The Alouettes are 6-14 ATS (and SU!) the last 20 times they have faced a team with a losing record! Tonight's game is likely to be a much closer game than many are expecting. 10* TORONTO |
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10-12-19 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -3.5 | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #694 Saturday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-) vs Montreal Alouettes @ 4 ET - The Blue Bombers saw the Stampeders beat the Roughriders yesterday. How does that impact Winnipeg? It means that with a win today the Blue Bombers can also each 20 points in the West Division standings just like Calgary and Saskatchewan. I like having the Bombers off a loss here and look for Streveler to have a much better game under center. Winnipeg is off a loss and Montreal is off a win. In a spot like this I'll gladly lay the short number with the small home favorite off a loss. The Blue Bombers are 5-2 ATS in their 7 home games this season and only have 1 SU home loss on the year. The Alouettes have lost 4 of 7 road games this season. Also, Montreal is thrilled they have clinched a playoff spot. Could they be flat after last week's win? I just don't think they'll be able to match the intensity of a hungry Bombers team off a loss in this one. 10* WINNIPEG |
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10-11-19 | Ottawa v. Toronto OVER 47.5 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #689 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Argonauts vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - No pressure on either team here as both know the playoffs are out of sight. Even Ottawa knows this is the case, barring a miracle, and that is why Arndt is getting the start at QB in this one. Look for Arndt, under no pressure, to have a big game here as he has had only limited action so far this season but now gets the start and gets to take on a struggling Toronto defense. The Argonauts counter with Bethel-Thompson at QB and he had a huge game in a rout of the Redblacks in their earlier meeting this season. With Toronto making some organizational changes coming into this week there is no shortage of motivation for the Argos to again have a huge game against their rivals from Ottawa. However, the Redblacks want payback for that ugly home loss earlier this season and, to get it, they're going to have put up plenty of points too because their defense has been struggling also. Rain will be coming to Toronto but it is not expected until after this game is already in the books and with both teams unlikely to enjoy success on the ground their will be a heavy dose of the "aerial attack" from both teams in this one. The result should be this one flying over the low total. Ottawa has allowed 35.2 points per game their past 5 games. The Argonauts have allowed 33.3 points per game in their last 4 home games. Overall, in just their past two games the Argos have allowed 48 points per game! 10* OVER the total in Toronto |
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10-05-19 | Calgary v. Montreal OVER 51 | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #683 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Montreal Alouettes vs Calgary Stampeders @ 4 ET - Great QB match-up here as Calgary's Bo Levi Mitchell is delivering a huge season and so too is Montreal's Vernon Adams and he returns this week after a one week suspension. Look for a huge game from Adams here but note that Mitchell and the Stamps are seeking revenge on the Als after an OT loss in Calgary in their most recent meeting. That game totaled 74 points. While this game won't get quite that many I do expect it to get well into the 50s. The weather will be beautiful in Montreal this afternoon with light winds and clear skies and cool autumn temperatures. Both teams can have the playbooks fully opened up for this one. Also, with Adams and Mitchell both out of action last week due to suspension and bye week, respectively, look for both of them to be very aggressive in attacking downfield in this game. I also, as a general rule, like overs in non-divisional match-ups in CFL action and this one "checks all the boxes" for me based on the reasons noted above. Look for a shootout in this one. 10* OVER the total in Montreal |
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10-04-19 | Edmonton v. Hamilton OVER 46.5 | Top | 12-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #681 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Edmonton Eskimos @ 7 ET - Nice weather expected in Hamilton with light winds and no precipitation and a cool autumn evening on tap. The Tiger-Cats offense has continued to roll as they scored 33 points last week with QB Dane Evans throwing for over 350 yards and three scores! Edmonton also comes into this game riding the momentum of a win, though theirs was much more dramatic, as the Eskimos own on a late TD strike to get past Ottawa last week. The Ti-Cats won't sit back on their heels here and the way Evans and Company have been playing on offense will force the Eskimos to have to throw plenty to keep up in this game. I particularly like overs in a situation like this that involves an East-West match-up as well. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Last week Edmonton's game stayed under the total but the Eskimos entered that game on a 4-1 run to the over. Friday games for Edmonton are on an 11-4 run to the over and that includes 5-1 this season! Even without QB Trevor Harris, the Eskimos score plenty here and Hamilton rolls up big points too as the over improves to 6-2 in their past 8 October games. 10* OVER the total in Hamilton |
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09-28-19 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto OVER 49 | Top | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #693 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Argonauts vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7 ET - Making the QB switch in the 2nd half last week shows the Argos are ready, willing and able to give the offense a shot in the arm if needed. I feel that was the wake up call Toronto needed on the offensive side of the ball and they will have a much stronger game this week. However, their defense can not be trusted and the Roughriders certainly are capable of taking advantage. Saskatchewan has averaged 33.5 points per game in their last two match-ups with East Division opponents. However, the Riders enter this game having allowed 30 points per game in their past two games. The Argonauts had averaged scoring 30 points per game in their 5 games preceding last week's dismal effort at home. Toronto will bounce back on offense but this is a defense that has allowed 32 points per game on the season! The over is 9-2 in the Argonauts last 11 September games. The Roughriders have averaged 29 points per game in their last 7 games against the Argos. Coming off their bye week, Saskatchewan's offense runs wild in this one as the over improves to 6-2 (and 3-0 this season) when coming off a bye week. Some rain in the area this morning but it will move out by game time this evening. 10* OVER the total in Toronto |
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09-27-19 | Hamilton +5.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 33-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #689 Friday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats (+) @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - I know this is a revenge for Winnipeg and they are at home but is very hard to trust the Blue Bombers right now. They are off a gut-wrenching loss at Montreal last week where they blew a huge lead and lost in the final seconds. Their defense is a question mark and certainly that is the case in comparing their D with that of the Tiger-Cats. Yes, Hamilton also blew a big lead last week but they managed to get the win on a last-second field goal. That leaves the Ti-Cats with a much different feeling than that of the Bombers coming into this week. Also, Hamilton notched 3 sacks and 3 interceptions in the win over the Eskimos. Dane Evans has been very impressive in filling in for the injured Jeremiah Masoli. He has been putting up big numbers compared to that of Winnipeg's Chris Streveler. Prior to last week's rather high-scoring win, the Tiger-Cats had allowed an average of only 15.8 points per game their 4 prior games. I like having a high quality team getting significant points here when they have been the ones playing better defense and they also have a solid offense. As for the Blue Bombers defense, they have now allowed an average of 30 points per game in their last 3 games against East Division opponents. Hamilton is on a 7-3 ATS run as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and the Tiger-Cats are on a 14-3 ATS run in Friday games. 10* HAMILTON |