Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic +5.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday Florida Atlantic Owls +5.5 vs Tennessee Volunteers @ 9 ET - The Owls are from the smaller conference but are a very confident team that has been scoring very well and confidence building with each win here in March. Florida Atlantic faced a pair of SEC teams early this season and lost to Ole Miss but beat Florida. The Owls beat a solid Memphis team here in the tourney and then beat the Fairleigh Dickinson team that knocked off Purdue and that win over the Boilermakers was no fluke. Tennessee is playing very solid defense but they did lose 7 of last 12 games this season before the NCAA Tourney. The Volunteers then won their first game of the tourney by only 3 points even though it was against a #13 seed. Then Duke made just 6 of 22 three pointers and only 4 free throws in the game the Vols won by 13 last weekend. That is not happening again here against this Owls team. FAU is making 37% of threes this season and averaging 9 made per game. The Owls also average about a dozen free throws made per game. The way these teams match-up it could be a bit of a low-scoring grinder which means even more value with the sizable points here and I look for the Owls to surprise in this one. FLORIDA ATLANTIC +5.5 |
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03-23-23 | Arkansas +4.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 65-88 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday Top Play Arkansas Razorbacks +4.5 vs Connecticut Huskies @ 7:15 ET - Huskies beat a MAAC team and a WCC team to get here. Certainly St Mary's is a solid team year in and year out in recent seasons but they play in the WCC where they face Gonzaga but then a bunch of much weaker teams throughout the season. OF course the Iona team that UConn beat in round one also faces a lot of weaker competition since they come from the MAAC. The point is that UConn might be over-rated here and certainly is a little over-valued in my opinion. The Huskies did beat Alabama early this season but then went 2-5 against ranked teams the rest of the season. Also, heading into the NCAA Tourney, UConn went 11-8 overall after starting the season 14-0. Arkansas, on the other hand, had to beat a Big Ten school and Big 12 team to get here as they knocked off Illinois and then Kansas. So, the point is, the Razorbacks might be putting things together at the right time. Also, Arkansas was down by double digits in the 2nd half of their win over the Jayhawks so they had to show great resiliency in bouncing back for the win. Nick Smith is their #2 leading scorer this season in terms of ppg (missed a lot of the season) and the Razorbacks won that game over Kansas despite him scoring 0 points! Love the fact that Arky beat the Jayhawks despite making only 3 of 15 three pointers. The Huskies had very hot shooting against the Gaels and they can't keep shooting at that clip and the gritty Razorbacks give them a helluva test here and possibly even score the upset. We'll grab the points just in case. Top Play ARKANSAS +4.5 |
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03-22-23 | UAB v. Vanderbilt | Top | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
NIT Wednesday UAB Blazers +1.5 @ Vanderbilt Commodores @ 7 ET - This line is right around a pick'em even though UAB plays in CUSA and Vanderbilt plays in the SEC and even though Commodores are at home for this one. Note that Vandy is 14-5 at home this season while the Blazers are just 6-5 in road games this season. When you consider all of these factors and then you are staring at a line in the pick'em range, I think this tells you all you need to know here. This is a major trap the way I see it and I am not following for it. Play the road team that has the mediocre road record and is from the smaller conference. Go against the home team that is so strong as a host and is from the bigger conference. This is a contrarian play but given all these variables you can see why I like it and this is something that has worked well at a high cash-in rate in the past. More of the same here. Note that the Blazers have won 14 of 16 games and have won easily in each of their two NIT games. As for the Commodores they had to rally from a big 2nd half deficit to down the Wolverines. I know they earned it with the comeback win but that big win for Vanderbilt over Michigan could be their defining moment of the tourney that leaves them finished here. I am backing the road team most will not want here. UAB +1.5 |
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03-21-23 | Wisconsin v. Oregon -4.5 | Top | 61-58 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
NIT Tuesday Top Play Oregon Ducks -4.5 vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 9 ET - The Ducks have been winning even without their top three guys. That shows the depth of this Oregon team. Now, with a win at home over the Badgers Tuesday, the Ducks can head to Las Vegas for the quarterfinals and a potential shot at the NIT Championship should they win in the semi-finals there. First things first though...the Ducks must win this game to get there. That said, I would not be surprised to see 1 or 2 or possibly even all 3 of the top players back for Oregon in this one. Either way, I like the Ducks here but don't be surprised if Dante, Couisnard, and/or Richardson are back for this game. Note that Oregon is 15-5 in home games this season while the Badgers have a losing record in road games this season. Facing the Ducks in Eugene is much different than facing the likes of Liberty and Bradley in Madison. That is no disrespect to the Flames or Braves but, the point is, the travel and facing a very tough Pac-12 team on the road is absolutely a big deal here. Lay the points here. Top Play OREGON -4.5 |
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03-20-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Charlotte -5.5 | Top | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Charlotte 49ers -5.5 vs Milwaukee Panthers @ 7:30 ET - Not only do the 49ers have a built-in rest edge here since they played on Saturday while the Panthers played yesterday on Saturday, note that Milwaukee had to go to OT to get that win yesterday. I feel UWM could be a little worn out here as they also like to play at a faster tempo than Charlotte. The 49ers are capable of slowing this game down and frustrating the Panthers with solid defense. Note that Charlotte has held teams in the 50s and 60s in many of their recent games. At the same time, Milwaukee has allowed 82 ppg in going 4-3 last 7 games and no that does not include OT points of course. This is the time of year when a team with stronger defensive capabilities can really turn up the heat on an opponent and frustrate them and that is what I see happening here. I feel there was a depth of stronger teams in the CUSA that were deeper and stronger then what we saw in the Horizon League this season. I am always hesitant to lay points and love backing dogs but this is absolutely the right situation to expect a blowout win by double digits for the home team. 10* CHARLOTTE -5.5 |
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03-19-23 | Miami-FL +2 v. Indiana | Top | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
NCAA Sunday Top Play Miami Hurricanes +2 vs Indiana Hoosiers @ 8:40 ET - The Hoosiers are off an 11-point win over Kent State Friday. Indiana must have dominated, right? Hardly! The Golden Flashes were a ridiculous 15 of 48 from the field inside the arc. To put that in proper perspective, the Hoosiers made 24 of 48 from inside the 3-point line. So, give Indiana credit for sure but at the same time you can expect there will be no such disparity here. Repeat of that is unlikely and though I am extremely impressed with Trayce Jackson-Davis, as most everyone is, the fact is that the more complete overall team in this match-up is Miami. I look for the Hurricanes defense to help lead the way to an upset here and to be the difference-maker in this one. Miami had to turn up the heat on defense to get past Drake in the first round. The Bulldogs are a solid team and it was impressive and a big confidence booster that the Canes were down 7 at one point in 2nd half and rallied but then fell behind by 8 and again had to rally! The Hurricanes outscored Drake by 16-1 to close out the game and I like the leadership, poise and defensive intensity seen from the Canes in that one. Keep in mind, losses for the Canes have been few and far between this season and, prior to losing in the ACC tourney to Duke, the Hurricanes 4 losses in the 12-4 stretch leading into that game were by an average margin of just 2 points! Given that fact, though I expect the upset here, we'll grab the couple points just in case! Top Play MIAMI +2 |
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03-19-23 | Kentucky v. Kansas State +3 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
NCAA Sunday Kansas State Wildcats +3 vs Kentucky Wildcats @ 2:40 ET - I fell short with my play on Providence Friday but will come right back with a play against Kentucky again here as the situation is similar so some of this write-up may be familiar to you as well. This line has moved toward Kentucky and I understand the move. This is a contrarian play on my part. People are looking at a rock solid UK team and Kentucky is annually one of the top programs in the country. They also see a #6 seed laying a small number to a #3 seed that had the benefit of facing a #14 seed in round one. They also see that Kentucky dominated the boards against Providence. However, that will not happen against this Kansas State team but yet people also see a K-St team that entered this tourney losers of 2 straight and also 6 of last 7 road games. So what do I see? I see odds makers that are sharp! This Kansas State team is a #3 seed with good reason and is the real deal. The Big 12 is a tough conference. Keep in mind too that Kentucky had lost 2 of 3 entering the tournament and both losses were to Vanderbilt. The Commodores are a solid team for sure but they are not in the Big Dance for a reason. Payback time for us here after losing with the Friars Friday when we went against Kentucky. I feel this game has an excellent shot to be an outright upset here but we'll grab the points just in case. KANSAS STATE +3 |
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03-18-23 | Northwestern +7.5 v. UCLA | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
NCAA Saturday Northwestern Wildcats +7.5 @ UCLA Bruins @ 8:40 ET - I often like to refer to the saying that the odds makers are the sharpest people in the room. The point is that, as we all know, the numbers they put out are so often spot on. That said, the low total on this game is telling you that this game is very likely to be grinder. Both these teams are solid defensively. That said, I love having sizable points in a low-scoring grinder and here we can get 7.5 with a Wildcats team that has been playing very solid basketball for a long time. Northwestern just beat a solid Boise State team while higher-seeded UCLA had a much easier draw in the first round. Of course they earned it but I feel that could come back to bite the Bruins here. This Wildcats team is so strong and feisty and so battle-tested. I was a little down on the Pac-12 this season and think the Big Ten was much deeper. That is not to say the Bruins are not the class of the Pac-12 or that they are not very strong because they absolutely are. But, the point is, they did not face the depth of quality opponents that the Wildcats had to deal with on a regular basis throughout the conference portion of the campaign. Note too that Northwestern had a 1-point loss to Auburn in non-conference action and of the only 4 losses they have had since early February, the Wildcats had 2 losses in OT and another loss by just 4 points. This Cats team is tough to blowout and I expect this game to go to the wire so we have excellent value here with the points. NORTHWESTERN +7.5 |
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03-18-23 | Penn State +5.5 v. Texas | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
NCAA Saturday Penn State Nittany Lions +5.5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 7:45 ET - Texas is playing great and deserves all the accolades they are getting for sure. I have been riding with the Longhorns quite often this season. However, this is a much tougher match-up for them. They go from facing a #15 seed in Colgate to facing a tough Big Ten team that just knocked off a solid SEC team in impressive fashion. Penn State did not just beat the Aggies Thursday, they dominated in that game from mid-first period on. They took the lead at that point, widened it by half-time, and then no matter how hard Texas A & M tried to battle back the Nittany Lions just kept on answering. Yes, Andrew Funk shot lights out in that game but keep in mind it was at Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines and this game is too. That means it is unlikely he completely cools off here. Plus even if he just shoots a more normal shooting percentage in that game it still would have led to a PSU win as they won that game by 17. That said, I also certainly like having the 5.5 points on our side in this one. The Lions last 4 losses are by an average margin of just 4.8 points and this is a team that has won 9 of last 11 games too. All the pressure on Texas here and I feel it catches up with them in this one. PENN STATE +5.5 |
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03-17-23 | Kent State +4.5 v. Indiana | Top | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney TOP PLAY Friday Kent State Golden Flashes +4.5 vs Indiana Hoosiers @ 9:55 ET - The Hoosiers have a big-time star in Trayce Jackson-Davis. He had another huge game in the Big Ten Tourney against Penn State. That is the good news. The bad news is that the Hoosiers still lost the game as the Nittany Lions prevailed. As for Kent State, they are not adverse to playing with the big boys so to speak. Yes, the Golden Flashes are a MAC team but they faced both Houston and Gonzaga in non-conference action this season. Kent State put a scare into both the Cougars and the Bulldogs before falling just short in each game by an average margin of only points. That said, Indiana is a rock solid team but they are not quite on the level of Gonzaga and Houston as those teams have only lost a combined 8 games this season. As for the Hoosiers, they started this season 7-0 and have since gone 15-11. Also, if you look at Indiana's last 9 games entering this tournament, they have only 2 wins by more than 3 points! There is great value here with the Golden Flashes getting 4.5 points in this one. Kent only lost 3 non-conference match-ups this season and the 3 teams have a combined record of 90-12! These guys can play with anyone and will not be intimidated here and have veteran leadership with 3 seniors leading the way. TOP PLAY Kent State +4.5 |
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03-17-23 | Providence +4.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 53-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Friday Providence Friars +4.5 vs Kentucky Wildcats @ 7:10 ET - This line has moved toward Kentucky and I understand the move. This is a contrarian play on my part. People are looking at a rock solid Wildcats team and UK is annually one of the top programs in the country. They also see a #6 seed laying a small number to a #11 seed. They also see a Providence team that enters this tourney losers of 3 straight. So what do I see? I see odds makers that are sharp! This Friars team is the real deal. The Big East is a tough conference. Keep in mind too that Kentucky has lost 2 of 3 and both losses were to Vanderbilt. The Commodores are a solid team for sure but they are not in the Big Dance for a reason. I also like the fact here that Bryce Hopkins is now a star player for Providence after not getting much playing time in Kentucky. Watch him show up big here against his former club as he has been huge the for Friars and you know he is relishing this opportunity. Payback time for him here. Hopkins and the Friars have an excellent shot at the upset here but we'll grab the points just in case. PROVIDENCE +4.5 |
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03-17-23 | Pittsburgh +5 v. Iowa State | Top | 59-41 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
NCAA Friday Pittsburgh Panthers +5 vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 3:10 ET - As mentioned in my write-up on Pittsburgh in Tuesday's win over Mississippi State, the Panthers opened the season with a 1-3 mark so they had won 75% of their games (21-7 run) prior to the loss to big bad Duke in the ACC Tourney. I realize the Cyclones also played powerful Kansas in their Big 12 Tourney loss, but the point is simply that Pitt has plenty of confidence here and yet one could argue that Iowa St has become accustomed to mediocrity this season based on their current 6-11 run since their 13-2 start. We have value here with a scrappy ACC team that is going to play very hard in this one and be very difficult for Iowa State to put away. At the same time, I feel the pressure is more on Iowa State here as they advance all the way to the Sweet 16 last year so expectations are high and the pressure is on the Cyclones to avoid an early exit. Conversely, the Panthers are a team on the rise this season playing without fear or pressure after last season's ugly 11-21 disaster. PITTSBURGH +5 |
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03-16-23 | Penn State +2.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 76-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Thursday Penn State Nittany Lions +2.5 or +3 vs Texas A & M Aggies @ 9:55 ET - This is a contrarian play but you can just sense what is about to happen if you are a believer in the contrarian theory like I am. The thing is the Aggies were bitter with the committee last season and then perhaps that resulted in them being under-seeded here this season. But how about what that has set up for them? A win here and they likely would be facing Texas next unless Colgate pulls off a monumental upset. So the point is that it is almost unavoidable that Texas A & M already has one eye on facing big-time in-state rival Longhorns. Yes they do not meet often like they did before the Aggies bolted to the SEC but it is still a big rivalry in Texas. That said, don't be surprised if there is a slight distraction here for the Aggies. That said, all it takes is a little distraction and a solid Big Ten team like Penn State can swoop in and take advantage. The Aggies just got hammered by Alabama by nearly 20 points in the SEC Championship Game while the Nittany Lions lost by only 2 points to the Nittany Lions. Each of last 5 losses by PSU were by only a single digit margin. This line simply looks funny to me and I feel we are getting excellent situation to back the Lions for the mild upset because the odds makers are telling us something here with this very low line on the Aggies in this one. PENN STATE +2.5 or +3 |
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03-16-23 | Colgate v. Texas -13 | Top | 61-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday Texas Longhorns -13 vs Colgate Raiders @ 7:25 ET - I know that Colgate has strong shooters but Texas is so strong defensively and just beat Kansas by 20 points to capture the Big 12 title. The Raiders lost by just 7 in the Big Dance last year but faced a Wisconsin team that certainly was built much differently than this Longhorns team is. Also, the prior year Colgate lost by 17 to Arkansas in the NCAA Tourney. Also, I like the fact that this line has ticked down a little bit. Keep in mind, UT has allowed only 55.5 points last 4 games. Colgate has won 9 straight games but the level of competition different of course plus, in the last 7 victories, the Raiders have allowed an average of 71 ppg! That is much different than the Horns recent average and then when you factor in the difference in level of competition you can see why I am expecting this one to be a blowout in the 20-point range. Fade the line move here. TEXAS -13 |
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03-16-23 | Illinois v. Arkansas OVER 144 | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Thursday OVER 144 in Arkansas Razorbacks vs Illinois Illini @ 4:30 ET - I just do not trust either team defensively here and I like the pacing with which both these teams should play here. Note that Illinois was 3-5 in final 8 games of the season and, not including OT points, allowed at least 69 points in 7 of 8 games. In fact, those 8 games saw the Illini allow an average of 74 points per game. As for the Razorbacks, they lost 4 of their last 5 games and allowed an average of 78 points per game in those 5 games. Also, Arkansas did score at least 76 points in 5 of 6 games before bowing out in the SEC Tourney against Texas A & M. Given all these numbers and this line right around a pick'em, you can see why I am projecting a game in which each team gets into the 75 point range and that pushes this game into the 150s this afternoon. OVER 144 in Arkansas |
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03-15-23 | Arizona State v. Nevada +2.5 | Top | 98-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
NCAA Wednesday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack +2.5 vs Arizona State Sun Devils @ 9:10 ET - The Mountain West was quite solid this season and that is absolutely a factor in this play for me. Yes, Arizona State comes from the perceived tougher conference since they are from the Pac-12. However, the Sun Devils started the season 15-3. That means ASU is entering this game having lost 9 of 16 games. Indeed, Arizona State is on a 7-9 run so it is hard to be excited about this team right now in my opinion. As for Nevada, they have lost 3 straight games but the last two were in OT and one of those was in double-OT! That said, very tight losses for the Wolf Pack and all of this preceded by a a 22-7 start to the season! Of their 10 losses his season, 4 were by a single digit margin in regulation and another 3 were decided in overtime! They are ultra-competitive and match up well with the Sun Devils. That said, I am expecting an outright upset here but a loss by just a 1 or 2 point margin would not shock me either and we would still get the cash. Roll with the underdog Wolf Pack in this one! 10* NEVADA +2.5 |
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03-15-23 | Texas Southern v. Fairleigh Dickinson +2.5 | Top | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
NCAA Wednesday 10* Top Play Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +2.5 vs Texas Southern Tigers @ 6:40 ET - The Knights got a new head coach and he has been a winner in his career and brought the winning to Fairleigh Dickinson immediately. It was a big turnaround from last season for the Knights and similar to my successful selection on Pittsburgh yesterday (Panthers also off a turnaround season) I feel Fairleigh Dickinson will follow the same storyline here. They have won 16 of 25 games since a slow start to the season. Conversely, the Tigers are just 14-20 this season and went 7-11 in a weak SWAC and plus lost their 3 final regular season games before getting hot in their conference tourney. Give them credit for making it but this team is so much weaker than the one that went 18-12 last season and then knocked off Texas A & M Corpus Christi the First Four last March. That said, there is a reason this line opened up around a pick'em on Texas Southern. People like them with the experience edge here but I am fading that as I like the coaching of the Knights and they were the stronger overall team winning 64% of their last 25 games and now have built confidence. Grab the points but we should not need them. 10* FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON +2.5 |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2.5 | Top | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
NCAA Tuesday 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Panthers +2.5 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs @ 9:10 ET - I hesitate to oversimplify things but I can not help myself here so I will. First off, this line was around a pick'em and is now up to Mississippi State favored by 2.5 points. I love fading line moves and now at the risk of oversimplifying here it is. The Bulldogs opened the season 11-0 so we are talking about a team here that is 10-12 their last 22 games. Conversely, the Panthers opened the season with a 1-3 mark so they had won 75% of their games (21-7 run) prior to the loss to big bad Duke in the ACC Tourney. I realize the Bulldogs also played powerful Alabama in their SEC Tourney loss. but the point is simply that Pitt has plenty of confidence here and yet one could argue that Miss St has become accustomed to mediocrity this season their their run since that 11-0 start. I also like the fact that both teams faced a solid Vandy team this season and the Panthers were ahead by 1 when the Commodores sank two free throws with 1 second left to win the game. Conversely, the Bulldogs were down quite big much of the 2nd half in their 5 point loss at Vandy which felt not even as close as that final score shows. We have value here with a scrappy ACC team that is going to play very hard here and be very hard to put away. At the same time, I feel the pressure is more on Mississippi State here as they lost in first round of NIT last year and are desperate to fend off another early exit. Conversely, the Panthers are a team on the rise this season playing without fear or pressure after last season's ugly 11-21 disaster. 10* PITTSBURGH +2.5 |
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03-14-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. SE Missouri State +4 | Top | 75-71 | Push | 0 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
NCAA Tuesday 10* Top Play Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +4 vs Texas A&M Corpus Christi Islanders @ 6:40 ET - Lets face it. This is a match-up involving a pair of teams from a pair of weak conferences. I like a couple things though that sway this match-up in favor of the Redhawks. First off, we are getting 4 points and is nice to have the points on your side in what could be a tight finish. Secondly, speaking of tight finishes, SE Mo St had a 6 point lead with about a minute to go in their conference championship game. That game ended up going to OT and the Redhawks even trailed by 4 at one point in the OT. They rallied to win the game by 7 and punch their ticket to the NCAA Tourney. That kind of game and the finish it had is a huge boost for confidence. Thirdly, and definitely a last but NOT least, all the pressure is on the Islanders here. Texas A&M CC is supposed to win this game. Not only because they are favored but because they were here last year too and lost to Texas Southern in the First Four. Simply put, the Islanders must win this game or it will be a a major disappointment. That, ladies and gentlemen, is huge pressure. Not only that, they lost Terrion Murdix to a season-ending injury in their Conference Championship Game win. He is finished for the season and their season will end tonight most likely anyway. He is their starting point guard and leads the team in assists AND steals AND at the guard position he is the top rebounder. This is a major loss you don't replace so fast. Look for a loose and relaxed Redhawks team to topple a pressure-filled injury-hampered Islanders team in this one. 10* SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE +4 |
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03-12-23 | Penn State v. Purdue OVER 134 | Top | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 134.5 in Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions @ 3:30 ET - I wanted to play Penn State here because they are playing with a lot of confidence and want to make up for the two ugly regular season losses to Purdue that were each by double digits. However, though I do expect this confident PSU team to score well as they are playing without pressure (this is Boilermakers game to not lose rather than Nittany Lions game to win), I just feel that they have no one to stop the 7'4 300 lb beast that is Zach Edey. No one really has anyone to stop this guy but the fact is Penn State is built for small ball. Unlike the prior match-ups though, PSU has now learned their lesson and will worry less about stopping him and more about simply looking to get super hot and outscore these guys with speed and quick passing and a killer outside game. It is their only choice here. The result should be plenty of points in this one in my opinion as the Nittany Lions hang around in this one and score very well but fail to stop the red hot and big bad Boilermakers. 10* OVER 134.5 in Purdue |
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03-12-23 | Memphis +6 v. Houston | Top | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Memphis Tigers +6 vs Houston Cougars @ 3:15 ET - Ton of value here with Memphis. The Tigers are 25-8 this season and 2 of the losses came in OT (one was double OT) and overall, Memphis has only 2 loss by more than 6 points this entire season out of 33 games! One of those was by 7 points and one of them was by 8 points. So the point is, getting 6 points here, we are virtually guaranteed of at least having a chance to cover this game in terms of how all 33 of their other 33 games have played out this season! I like the double revenge angle here and the fact that Memphis was able to coast yesterday in a win by a 40-point margin. The Cougars are, of course, one of the best teams in the nation but the Tigers have given them more trouble than anyone else this season and this is one of those situations where third time absolutely could be the charm. Either way, even if the #1 ranked team in the country does not lose this game SU look for them to at least lose it ATS. Grab the points with the underdog in this one. 10* MEMPHIS +6 |
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03-11-23 | Texas v. Kansas -125 | Top | 76-56 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks Money Line -125 vs Texas Longhorns @ 6 ET - Yes Texas has been hot and yes the Longhorns won the most recent meeting. However, Kansas had already won the Big 12 regular season title. Now this game is different. The Jayhawks are fully motivated and they are out for revenge! In that season-ending meeting, Dajuan Harris shot just 2 of 12 from the field. How unusual was this? Well, in his other 4 recent games he has made 23 of 36 from the field. In other words, that was absolutely an outlier for Harris and you know he will be ready to respond here. Also, Jalen Wilson was again a beast in that match-up for the Jayhawks and he is the Big 12 scoring leader and rebounding leader. Kansas just knocked off Iowa State yesterday despite hitting only 6 of 19 threes. The Jayhawks have been doing a great job of getting to the free throw line and this is going to be another physical battle with the Longhorns. This time Kansas is 100% focused and also they know what the Longhorns brought to the floor in terms of how they matched up and the way they played. Jayhawks perhaps even are rallying around the fact head coach Bill Self missing the tourney after a health issue. Like Texas, they are currently being coached by an assistant coach. Definitely have to like what we've seen from Jayhawks in this tourney thus far even without coach Self. At the same time, ton of respect for what Longhorns have been doing too. But the Jayhawks are just too talented and driven here and remember that in the first meeting between these teams this season, Texas lost by 8 even though Kansas made just 2 of 10 three pointers in that one. I feel, given all of the above, we have a lot of value here being able to take the Jayhawks at a very small price just to win this game without any concern for the spread. 10* KANSAS -125 |
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03-11-23 | Vanderbilt +6 v. Texas A&M | Top | 75-87 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Vanderbilt +6 vs Texas A & M Aggies @ 3:30 ET - The Commodores are starting to believe they can do this! This Vanderbilt team has been red hot for a long-time and has carried that into this tournament and they will not let up here! Vandy has won 10 of 11 games and now just knocked off Kentucky. Also, unlike A & M, they did not have to rally back in yesterday's action like the Aggies did. Certainly there is a chance that the Texas A & M rally yesterday took a little something out of them for today. The Aggies were down double digits in the 2nd half of their win over Arkansas. Remember they were also losing to Alabama with under 5 minutes to go in their prior game in this SEC tourney. So the point is, how much will the Aggies have left here PLUS it is the Aggies that are laying 6 points in this match-up. I love having the points with this scrappy underdog Vandy. The Commodores led yesterday's 2nd half throughout in the eventual 7 point win over Kentucky. That was also the case in their win over LSU. This team is truly the definition of a "live dog" in a match-up like this with the Aggies. Yes, Texas A & M won the regular season meeting but they were at home for that. Also, that 6-point loss was a tie game with less than 2 minutes to go. 10* VANDERBILT +6 |
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03-10-23 | TCU v. Texas -130 | Top | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns Money Line -130 vs TCU Horned Frogs @ 9:30 ET - First off, I am recommending playing the money line here rather than laying 2 points with the Longhorns. I really like Texas here but do not want to get burned if they win the game by 2 (push) or 1 (loss). If we lay the 2 we have to win by 3, here any win cashes for us and I have been too frequently burned on tight games of late. Lets make sure a Horns win is a win we cash at the counter too! This is a revenge game for Texas because they lost by 2 points to TCU in most recent meeting. In that one the Longhorns had 8 more shots from the field but they shot poorly in that game. So they lost to the Horned Frogs despite TCU having twice as many turnovers in the game as that factor was 22 to 11. Additionally, the Horns Timmy Allen did not play yesterday and I truly feel that was more precautionary than anything else and he should be back out there today. The Horns felt they could save him for this game is what I truly feel. He will have fresh legs as a result but, even if he does not play, note that he only had 6 points and was limited by foul trouble in that 2-point loss to the Frogs. In other words, he is just a bonus here but I do expect the senior leader and leading rebounder of this team to indeed be back tonight. Even if Allen does not play, the other factors will lead to a win. The Longhorns off another strong defensive effort and throughout this season they have proven more often than TCU that they are build well to win grinders. They grind out another win here. Horned Frogs off big win versus Kansas State yesterday but had lost 6 of last 9 games heading into that one. The Longhorns have allowed 59 points or less in 3 of last 5 games. The Horned Frogs have allowed at least 63 points in 12 straight games and only allowed less than 70 ONCE in TEN games prior to yesterday 80 to 67 win. The better and more disciplined defensive team prevails here. 10* TEXAS -130 |
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03-10-23 | Connecticut v. Marquette +4 | Top | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Marquette Golden Eagles +4 vs Connecticut Huskies @ 6:30 ET - Marquette won in overtime yesterday so they have no chance to win this game. Seriously that is what the betting markets seem to think with the Huskies now a 4 point favorite in this one. Both Connecticut and the Golden Eagles had scares yesterday and certainly Marquette had the tougher time. However, the fact the Huskies nearly blew all of a 26 point lead is a bit of a concern. Yes they won the game by 7 but they outscored the Friars by 21 points from three-point land. In other words, that was certainly a factor in the final margin. Also, I like the fact that the shooting edge helped mask the fact they had twice as many turnovers as Providence did. The point is that UConn is now over-valued here. I like the fact that the Golden Eagles did not shoot well from beyond the arc yesterday and yet still hung on for the win. All of this has led to line value here as this is a team that relies on its outside shot and odds suggest they will shoot better here today and the Huskies will regress. That is simply a regression to the mean today on Friday. 10* MARQUETTE +4 |
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03-09-23 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -6 | Top | 47-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns -6 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys @ 7 ET - The Cowboys knocked off the rival Sooners yesterday to advance to face the Longhorns today. Texas has the rest edge here and also a confidence edge since they knocked off Kansas to close out the regular season. The Horns also loaded with confidence as it pertains to this match-up thanks to knocking off Oklahoma State by a double digit margin in each of their two regular season meetings. Texas is having a fantastic season and only has 2 losses to unranked foes this season. The Longhorns performed well against ranked teams too but the point is they were practically unbeatable (16-2) in games against unranked foes. As for the Cowboys, they were 3-9 against ranked teams this season. Also, Oklahoma State had lost 5 straight games before winning their regular season finale and then opening the Big 12 tourney with a win over Oklahoma. Yes, we have the matter of covering the spread here but first key to that is getting a SU win and, based on the numbers above and the situation, you can see why I am confident of that. Each of the Cowboys last 5 road losses was by 8 or more points. 10* TEXAS -6 |
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03-09-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa -3 | Top | 73-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes -3 or -3.5 vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ 2:30 ET - Iowa is off a loss and they have been great off a loss this season including a tightener that has them nearly perfect in this role this season. The Hawkeyes are 7-1 this season when off a loss by a margin of 14 or less points. They are rested here and taking on a Buckeyes team that had to battle it out with the Badgers yesterday. Keep in mind, Ohio State had lost 15 of 18 games before getting the win over Wisconsin yesterday. They take a big step up in level of opponent now as they face the high-scoring Hawkeyes after facing the slow-paced Badgers. Look for Iowa to be aggressive and look to run the Buckeyes right out of the arena as they catch them in the 2nd game of a B2B spot. Ohio State had a recent 9-game losing streak and then also had another loss in their regular season finale. All 10 of those losses by 4 or more points and I am confident this will be an 11th straight loss by 4 or more points. 10* IOWA -3 or -3.5 |
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03-08-23 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +2.5 | Top | 65-57 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Wisconsin Badgers +2.5 vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ 6:30 ET - The Buckeyes won 1 road game all season long! This is a neutral site game but the fact is that means both teams are traveling and it was the Badgers that were better on the road this season. In fact, Wisconsin won 3 of their last 5 road games this season and that included a win at Ohio State. Not only that, both losses were in OT and one of those was a loss at Michigan that only went to OT because of a 3-pointer at the buzzer of regulation. The fact is the Badgers did lose in regulation time of any of their final 5 road games and very easily could have a 5-game road winning streak heading into this one. Again, compare this to an Ohio State team that has ONE WIN on the road this ENTIRE SEASON. The Badgers are the better defensive team in this match-up. I feel Ohio State is getting some attention from the betting masses here because of the revenge angle and the fact the Buckeyes are the higher-scoring team. But this one sets up to be another grinder and the Buckeyes don't have a key inside player, Zed Key, like they did for the first meeting with the Badgers when they dominated the glass. That said, I feel we have exceptional line value here as this line was around a pick'em but now has Badgers getting 2.5 points here. 10* WISCONSIN +2.5 |
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03-08-23 | Butler v. St. John's -6 | Top | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm -6 vs Butler Bulldogs @ 3 ET - So this is the Big East tourney so it is a neutral site game yet it is really not neutral for the Red Storm as they split their home games each season between Carnesecca Arena and here at Madison Square Garden. That said, this is a significant edge here for St John's and they already beat the Bulldogs by double digits at Carnesecca Arena earlier this season. Also, 4 of the last 6 regular season home games for the Red Storm were here at Madison Square Garden so big edge here. Not only was St John's 11-6 at home and Butler 3-9 on the road this season, the Bulldogs were frequently blown out of games. This is just not a very good Butler team this season and their 3 wins in their season-ending 3-9 run were all by a margin of 2 or less points. Conversely, their 17 losses this season were by an average margin of defeat of 18 points and all the losses were by 6 or more points! Look for the Red Storm to take advantage of the home court edge here and pull away for a big-margin win in the 2nd half. 10* ST JOHN'S -6 |
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03-07-23 | Northern Kentucky v. Cleveland State OVER 126.5 | Top | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 126.5 in Cleveland State Vikings vs Northern Kentucky Norse @ 7 ET - This is the Horizon League Championship Game and there was some very ugly shooting in the two regular season meetings between these clubs. However, that is simply serving to keep this total lower than it should be. The first meeting saw the Vikings make just 10% of their three pointers plus both clubs struggled at the free throw line. Then the 2nd meeting got to 127 points even though there was more unimpressive shooting in that one. The key to the value though is the first very low-scoring game saw some unreal shooting numbers at the free throw line. So the opportunity was there for each of the two regular season meetings to get well into the 130s and yet the fact those games did not has led to line value here because both of these teams are coming into this game with plenty of confidence on the offensive end. The Norse have won 6 of 7 games and scored an average of 73 ppg during this stretch. The Vikings have won 10 of 13 and, not including OT points of course, have averaged 74.6 during this stretch. That would put this game into the 140s but yes is a conference championship game and should feature some solid defense too but that still only pushes this one down into the 130s in my opinion. Both teams loaded with confidence right now. 10* OVER 126.5 in Cleveland State |
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03-06-23 | Cleveland State -2.5 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | Top | 93-80 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Cleveland State Vikings -2.5 vs Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers @ 9:30 ET - This is a neutral site game and I love the fact that the Vikings are favored here even though they lost both the regular season meetings. This is certainly no mistake by the odds makers. The fact is that this is a double revenge spot for Cleveland State and the Vikings have won 12 of 16 games. The Panthers have lost each of last two road games and even lost at home to a very bad Green Bay team last month. Milwaukee won the first meeting in OT thanks to scoring 15 more points from 3-point land in that game. They then won the 2nd game thanks to the Vikings having one of the worst shooting days you can imagine. The Vikes had 74 shots from the field compared to just 57 for the Panthers but made just 3 of 20 three pointers plus they only hit 13 of 25 at free throw line. Despite all this, Cleveland State still only lost the game by a single digit margin. That says a lot for sure. This is a big part of the reason the Vikings are now favored here and they had plenty of opportunities to win each of the first two games and will make up for all that here in tourney action. The third time will be the charm and I look for them to get the SU win and also cover the short number along the way! 10* CLEVELAND STATE -2.5 |
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03-05-23 | Northwestern +5.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 65-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Northwestern Wildcats +5.5 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 7:30 ET - Scarlet Knights off devastating road loss at Minnesota as Rutgers led that game by 10 points with under a minute and a half to go and ended up losing the game. That is a hard defeat to bounce back from. Now they host a Northwestern team that is off a tough OT loss to Penn State. That is a tough loss to bounce back from too but the Wildcats are getting a handful of points here and are a scrappy defensive-minded team and that Rutgers loss was truly of the devastating variety. With the Cats having lost 3 straight games for the first time this season, they will be fully focused on getting back into the win column here in the regular season finale. The Scarlet Knights have lost each of their last two games so their home has hardly been a fortress for them of late and I feel we have great line value with the sizable points here considering the key factors with this one. 10* NORTHWESTERN +5.5 |
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03-04-23 | Davidson v. Rhode Island +3.5 | Top | 68-54 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Rhode Island Rams +3.5 vs Davidson Wildcats @ 8 ET - The Rams are 7-7 SU at home this season. The Wildcats are 4-6 on the road this season. So, on the surface with Davidson having a much better record overall and opening up at nearly a pick'em, they look like the play here. Sure enough everyone jumped all over them and the line is up to a 3.5 on the Wildcats in this one. Davidson, however, has not been very strong on the road and Rams have been a rather strong home team this season plus they have been done in by some tighter losses this season that has impacted their record. Rhode Island is only 6-5 SU in their last 11 home games but 2 of those losses by just 1 point and another loss was in OT. Davidson will have their hands full here as Rams will show up big here in their home finale. Rhode Island is almost always very tough to beat on their home floor and that should be the case again here as the Rams are off a road win but had lost 3 straight at home and want to make up for that here. One loss by 1 point and another loss in OT at home. Here the Rams get it done in their home finale. 10* RHODE ISLAND +3.5 |
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03-04-23 | Kansas v. Texas -3 | Top | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns -3 vs Kansas Jayhawks @ 4 ET - Kansas already wrapped up the #1 spot in the Big 12 Conference for the regular season. This could be a tough spot for the Jayhawks to match the intensity of the Longhorns. Texas enters this one in a 3-way tie for the #2 spot in the Big 12 but, even more importantly, this is their home finale and they enter this game off B2B losses. That means an extra intense effort from the Horns in this one and adding to the intensity is that this is a revenge game from an 88-80 loss at Kansas earlier this season. That was the most points that UT allowed in a road game all season long. The Horns are 16-1 at home this season and, even though the Jayhawks have won 7 straight games you can see why Texas is favored here per all the key factors in this one. Lay it with the Longhorns. 10* TEXAS -3 |
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03-03-23 | Dayton -120 v. St. Louis | Top | 61-65 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Dayton Flyers -120 @ St Louis Billikens @ 7 ET - Dayton has won 7 of 9 games and the Flyers beat the Billikens by double digits during this hot run as well. Of course we are not quite yet into tourney time but St Louis is not nearly as strong as Dayton is defensively. That said, March is the time of year - above all others - where defensive intensity picks up and it is crunch time for teams. I like the fact that Dayton allows only 60.7 ppg while St Louis allows 71.4 ppg. This is a great spot for the road team at a great price. The Flyers did lose at St Louis last season and these guys do not lose often. They remember that defeat and want to get it done on the Billikens home floor this time around. The Billikens have lost 6 of last 10 games and simply are not in a groove in the same way the Flyers are right now. This is the A-10 finale for these teams and Dayton is off a win that followed a loss. The fact is that in Dec, Jan, and Feb the Flyers only had one time in which they had a standalone win. In other words, the odds favor that Dayton gets another win here. The Flyers wrap the regular season on a 2-game winning streak and solidify their spot in the standings above the Billikens. 10* DAYTON -120 |
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03-02-23 | Valparaiso +2.5 v. Murray State | Top | 50-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Valparaiso Beacons +2.5 vs Murray State Racers @ 7 ET in MVC Tournament 1st Round in St Louis, MO - Why is this line 2.5 is the million dollar question here? This makes absolutely no sense. The Racers were just favored by 6.5 at home and and also favored by 3.5 when they faced the Beacons at Valparaiso earlier this season. Yes the most recent win came in OT for the Racers in the final game of the regular season as they defeated these same Beacons by just 1 point. But this line really looks funny to me. Valparaiso has lost 4 straight games and 7 of last 8 and they are 5-15 in conference action while Murray State is 11-9 in conference action and has won 3 of last 4 games. So the fact is this is a trap line. Many will be looking at the Racers here but a sharp book I follow also has this line down at a 2 which also says a lot. This looks like a great spot for Valparaiso to score the upset. Do not let the line fool you. Yes, the Beacons have struggled to get wins but they have been on the cusp and 3 of last 7 losses have been in OT and another regulation loss was by just a single point. In the most recent loss to Murray State, Valparaiso actually had 9 more field goal attempts in the game but were outscored by 11 at the free throw line and that certainly impacted the final outcome. On a neutral court, the Beacons should shoot better than they did in that game plus Murray State won't have such a big free throw edge either. 10* VALPARAISO +2.5 |
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03-01-23 | Texas +2.5 v. TCU | Top | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns +2.5 @ TCU Horned Frogs @ 9 ET - This line opened up around a pick'em. This is despite TCU being 12-4 at home this season and Texas having a losing record on the road for the season. As I expected, the betting markets are jumping on the Horned Frogs and so now we can get +2.5 with the Longhorns in this one. Texas is coming off a loss to Baylor. That sets this up perfect (literally!) as UT has not lost B2B game this entire season. Texas is 6-0 when coming off a loss this season and now takes on a Horned Frogs team off a 1-point win. TCU, prior to that win, had lost 6 of 8 games. Also, if you look at TCU's last 8 games, they were solid defensively against Kansas but allowed an average of 76 points in the other 7 games. The Longhorns are not only 6-0 SU when off a loss this season, they have allowed an average (not including OT points of course) of only 59 points in those 6 games. As you can see, Texas responds well off a loss and definitely tends to D up when off a defeat! Overall, the Longhorns have allowed just 65.5 ppg last 6 games. Love the situation and fading the line move. Yes this is a revenge game for the Horned Frogs because they lost in Austin earlier this season but revenge tends to be over-played. Horns aren't going to lay down here after losing to the Bears. 10* TEXAS +2.5 |
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02-28-23 | Villanova v. Seton Hall +2 | Top | 76-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
NCAAB Tuesday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates +2 vs Villanova Wildcats @ 8:30 ET - The Pirates are at home off B2B losses. Seton Hall is 3-0 this season when they are at home and on a losing streak of 2 or more games. Also, Villanova is 4-8 on the road this season while the Pirates are a solid 10-5 at home this season and this is their home finale. The Wildcats have surprised with wins in 5 of their last 6 games but they still are just 2-4 this season when they are entering a road game and coming off a victory. Give Nova some credit for sure too but in the win over Xavier, the Musketeers were sloppy and had twice as many turnovers. That was before the win over Creighton which saw the Bluejays make just 19% of their three pointers. This as set up great line value here. 10* SETON HALL +2 |
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02-28-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne +5.5 v. Detroit | Top | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Horizon League Tourney 10* Top Play IPFW Mastodons +5.5 @ Detroit Mercy Titans @ 7 ET - I like the scrappy Mastodons to get revenge here. If they fall short, I do expect at least a cover in this one! IPFW is actually 7-7 SU in road games this season and they had some impressive Horizon League wins this season too. However, they got blasted for one of their worst losses this season when they lost 85-52 at Detroit! Having also lost to the Mercy Titans when they hosted them, Indiana-Purdue Fort Wayne is out for revenge big time here. With the success that IPFW has had on the road this season plus the double revenge (including big loss) angle here, this one sets up well for an upset. That said, I am happy to have the handful of points. Note that other than the ugly loss at Detroit, the Mastodons had only 4 Horizon League losses and 3 of the 4 were by 5 or less points. Happy to grab the underdog here. The Titans are 8-13 SU last 21 games and will struggle just to win this game let alone cover the spread. Indiana-Purdue Fort Wayne will shoot much better than they did in their other trip to Detroit! 10* IPFW Mastodons +5.5 |
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02-27-23 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State +1.5 | Top | 74-68 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys +1.5 vs Baylor Bears @ 9 ET - This line looks funny, does it not? Baylor is a solid team in the upper half of the Big 12 standings and facing an Oklahoma State team that is in the lower half of the Big 12 standings and yet the line opened in the pick'em range. Of course you know what this usually means...in other words, do not fall for the trap! The fact is that the Bears have played 3 straight ranked teams and have another one, Iowa State, on deck to wrap the regular season at home. Also, Baylor is off huge win versus rival Texas in most recent game. This is a tricky spot for the Bears while it is a great spot to back the Cowboys. Note that Oklahoma State is angry off 4 straight losses. This game is in Stillwater, OK and this is a proud school that draws fans well here and this is their home finale. Last but not least, this is a revenge game for the Cowboys also as they lost by 16 at Baylor earlier this season. Ideal set-up for payback here. 10* OKLAHOMA STATE +1.5 |
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02-27-23 | Bellarmine v. North Florida -4.5 | Top | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
Atlantic Sun Tourney Monday 10* Top Play North Florida Ospreys -4.5 vs Bellarmine @ 7 ET in Lynchburg, VA - North Florida just beat Bellarmine by a dozen in a match-up just a few days ago and it was no fluke. The Ospreys dominated the rebounding battle and that was a key to the win. Even though the ASUN decided to have this game at a neutral site, since the winner faces Liberty here in Lynchburg VA tomorrow, I really like North Florida's odds on advancing here. Of course we must cover the 4.5 point spread too but note that Bellarmine's 8 of last 10 losses have all been by double digit margins! Conversely, the Ospreys enter this game having an exceptional month as they are 6-2 with each of the 2 losses by just 2 points. I love the competitiveness of this North Florida team as evidenced in the post-game melee after a recent tough 2-point road loss at Austin Peay. This Ospreys team has the rebounding edge and edge in blocked shots over Bellarmine. The Knights play a smaller lineup emphasizing guard play but just like the recent meeting, it will not work again here either. The bigger Ospreys dominate again. Bellarmine won this tournament last year but their top two players from that team are gone. That is why the Knights had a much less impressive season this year and I feel this hungry Ospreys team is built well to advance. 10* NORTH FLORIDA -4.5 |
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02-26-23 | Wichita State +6.5 v. Tulane | Top | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Wichita State Shockers +6.5 @ Tulane Green Wave @ 3 ET - The Shockers have been an anomaly this season as they buck the trend of home dominance in College Basketball. I am talking SU not ATS. I love grabbing road dogs in CBB and fading home faves in CBB as a general rule but Wichita State has taken things to another level this season. Yes I am still going to grab the points here and go ATS with this play but check out these SU stats involving the Shockers. Note that Wichita State is 7-9 SU in home games this season and 6-3 SU in road games! The trend is showing no signs of going away either as the road team has prevailed in 8 of last 9 Shockers games! The only exception was a double-OT win for Wichita State at home. Look for this road dominance to continue here as the Shockers have won 4 straight road games and they are seeking revenge for a loss at home versus Tulane earlier this season. The Green Wave are 5-3 SU last 8 games and 3 of their 5 wins were in OT so they have been far from dominant of late. They just got embarrassed at Houston and could be hanging heads a bit here as they also got knocked out of AAC Tourney by the Cougars last season. That game had extra meaning as a result but they continue to get pummeled by Houston. Of course the Cougars are at another level but Tulane was not even able to compete for very long in that game. Conversely the Shockers lost by just single digits when they faced Houston this season and they were right in the game even with just a few minutes left. The Shockers lost the first meeting this season in OT to Tulane when they blew a double digit lead at home. It is time for payback here and the Shockers are in their element for sure as a road underdog here. 10* WICHITA STATE SHOCKERS +6.5 |
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02-26-23 | Wisconsin +5 v. Michigan | Top | 79-87 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Wisconsin Badgers +5 @ Michigan Wolverines @ 2 ET - This is Michigan's regular season home finale and I get that. However, this team is off B2B big wins. They had the emotional home win over rival Michigan State. They then followed that up by going on the road and getting an upset win at Rutgers after trailing by double digits early. The Wolverines do have revenge here against the Badgers but this Wisconsin team makes for a scrappy underdog and I like them in this spot against a Michigan team off B2B big wins. The Badgers are 4-3 in the month of February and one of the losses was in OT and the other two losses were by 2 and 1 point, respectively. That means at the end of regulation time, the 3 games in which Wisconsin lost, the net margin of the 3 losses was 3 points! The Badgers will again be ultra-competitive here and have allowed 61 points or less in regulation time of 7 of last 8 games! Michigan shot well in the win over Michigan State but has been held to 59 ppg in their other 3 games the past two weeks. The Badgers will be in this "grinder" all the way! 10* WISCONSIN +5 |
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02-25-23 | San Diego State -2.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 73-71 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play San Diego State Aztecs -2.5 @ New Mexico Lobos @ 10 ET - Great spot for San Diego State. They have one home loss this season. It came against the Lobos. This is a big revenge game for the Aztecs. They are a rock solid 7-1 in true road games this season. New Mexico has a great home court and a strong record there this season but the losses have all been more recent as they started the season 10-0 there and then have gone 4-3 since at home! Overall, the Lobos have been struggling as they enter this game having lost 6 of 8 games and that included a pair of home losses including most recent one by double digits versus Wyoming. The Aztecs are a ranked team and are the top team in the Mountain West Conference and they will get their payback here and the line is small enough that I am confident we get the cover as well. In fact, San Diego State has 22 wins this season and only 2 of them were by less than 3 points. Keep in mind also that, as strong as the Aztecs season has been, they still have not locked up the #1 spot in the standings for the regular season so they have plenty of motivation here in addition to the revenge angle. Lay it! 10* SAN DIEGO STATE -2.5 |
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02-25-23 | Indiana v. Purdue -7 | Top | 79-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Purdue Boilermakers -7 vs Indiana Hoosiers @ 7:30 ET - This is a revenge game and is a "buy low" situation on Purdue. As a result of having been cooled off in recent weeks we are getting solid line value here. Keep in mind, the Boilermakers were sloppy in the loss at Indiana earlier this month. They had too many turnovers plus they also were hurt by poor free throw shooting and did make a modest, though unimpressive, 6 of 18 from 3 point land. Purdue did dominate the glass in that one and I expect rebounding, as well the facets of the game, to be dominated by the Boilermakers in this revenge rematch. Purdue is 13-1 this season in home games and Indiana is 4-7 this season in road games. Those are SU records of course but note that Boilermakers have 24 wins SU wins this season and 75% of them (18) have come by a margin of 8 or more points. The Hoosiers have 9 losses this season and 6 of them have been by a double digit margin. This one will be too. Blowout revenge at home for a Boilermakers team that is still looking to wrap up the regular season top spot in the Big Ten standings as they have not quite done so yet. 10* PURDUE -7 |
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02-24-23 | Xavier -120 v. Seton Hall | Top | 82-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Xavier Musketeers Money Line -120/-125 @ Seton Hall Pirates @ 7 ET - The Pirates have a middle of the road Big East record but they truly have struggled against teams above them in the standings. They have 9 wins in the Big East this season and 2 each have come against the bottom 4 teams in the conference. Those 8 victories coming over St John's, Georgetown, DePaul, and Butler. The combined record of those teams is 18-53 in Big East games. The record for this ranked Xavier team is 20-8 including 12-5 in conference action. The point is that we have excellent line value here with just asking the Musketeers to win this game. Amazingly 6 of the 8 Musketeers losses have come by an average margin of defeat of only 1.83 points! The point is that Xavier is a very high-quality team and they are off a tight loss here and I again expect Seton Hall to struggle against an upper-tier opponent. Adding to the value is that the Musketeers are off a loss by just a single point. 10* XAVIER -120/-125 |
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02-23-23 | Northern Kentucky v. Detroit OVER 139 | Top | 67-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 139 in Detroit Mercy Titans vs Northern Kentucky Norse @ 7 ET - The Titans continue to be involved in high-scoring games and just allowed 68 to a bad IUPUI team. The point is that facing a respectable Northern Kentucky team is likely to lead to even more points being scored in this one. The first meeting did go to OT but, even without the OT, the game hit 142 in regulation time. That said, we have excellent line value here as Detroit enters this one averaging 77.4 ppg but allowing 75.8 ppg on the season. I know the Norse have lower-scoring trending but the Titans will dictate the pace of this game on their home floor. Northern Kentucky is facing a Detroit team that, not including OT points of course, has seen nearly ever single one of their games total at least 140 points this season! The Titans have been putting up huge points and, other than one outlier versus IPFW, they have allowed an average of 78 points last 14 games. That does not include OT points either. This game is priced right around pick'em so, given Detroit's knack for finishing in the 70s and 80s for points scored in most games, you can see why I love the over in this spot. 10* OVER 139 in Detroit |
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02-22-23 | Wake Forest +6.5 v. NC State | Top | 74-90 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Wake Forest Demon Deacons +6.5 @ NC State Wolfpack @ 9 ET - Fantastic spot here as Wake Forest is off a 9-point loss at Miami as the Hurricanes just would not miss in that game. Also, the Demon Deacons have revenge here for a 2 point home loss to NC State which is actually one of FIVE losses for WF this season that have come by just 2 points! The fact is that Wake Forest just does not get blown out very often at all and they are actually catching NC State at the perfect time to get an upset win of their own here. The Wolfpack are off a big win over rival North Carolina. They also finish the season with a revenge game against Clemson after this one plus then close it out with big game versus Duke. So this is a true "sandwich spot" game where NC State could look right past the revenge minded Demon Deacons. Prior to that win over Tar Heels, the Wolfpack had played 16 ACC games and only 6 of them were wins by more than a 4 point margin. This game very likely to go down to the wire and could be decided by just a single possession one way or the other late. The fact is potential upset here and definitely great spot for value with the sizable points. 10* WAKE FOREST +6.5 |
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02-22-23 | Minnesota v. Maryland OVER 129.5 | Top | 70-88 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 129.5 in Maryland Terrapins vs Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 7 ET - Minnesota is 1-14 in Big Ten action and has lost 10 games in a row! But this total is simply too low. You know the Golden Gophers are going to do better than the 46 points they just scored in the home loss to the Terrapins earlier this month. At the same time, you know the Minnesota defense is highly likely to struggle here again, particularly on the road! This Gophers defense has allowed an average of 79 points last 6 losses. That means if the odds makers are right (this line is in the -16 range) and Minnesota allows their recent typical average of 79 points, that puts this game at 79-63 which is more than double digits above the current posted total on this game. As for Maryland, I was very fortunate to win the over in their most recent game as they lost 70-66 at Nebraska in OT. However, in that game, the Terrapins took 69 shots but made only 23 of them! The Terps should have had much more than the 58 points they had in regulation time of that game. Maryland has averaged 72 points per game in their 8 Big Ten home games. Keep in mind, that included home games against 4 ranked Big Ten teams. Here they face the league-worst Gophers and they will pile up the points again. Look for a rather free flowing game here with a ton of points. 10* OVER 129.5 in Maryland |
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02-21-23 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 74-63 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
CBB 10* Top Play Texas Tech Red Raiders +2.5 @ Oklahoma Sooners @ 9 ET - Red Raiders have won 3 straight games and 5 of last 7. Texas Tech also has revenge from a home loss to the Sooners earlier this season. Oklahoma, other than the OT win over the Red Raiders, has gone 2-11 in their other games in Conference action this season. They are at the basement of the Big 12 standings. Sooners also are off a disappointing OT loss at rival Texas so that could leave them a little flat here. Not only did their win over Texas Tech earlier this season come in OT, Oklahoma also had a 1-point win in Big 12 action over West Virginia. The point is that they have only one convincing win in 14 Big 12 games this season. That said, excellent line value here with the revenge minded Red Raiders plus the points. 10* TEXAS TECH +2.5 |
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02-21-23 | Indiana v. Michigan State OVER 135.5 | Top | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 135.5 in Michigan State Spartans vs Indiana Hoosiers @ 9 ET - The Spartans will have an emotional night tonight in their first home game since the school shooting. Their first road game after the on-campus tragedy was an 84-72 loss at Michigan. I believe this high-scoring trend will continue here. When these teams met at Indiana the game finished 82-69. That was a double digit loss for the Spartans and they will want revenge here. Michigan State has played some ugly low-scoring grinders this season for sure but in the right match-ups, we have seen points aplenty. The loss to Michigan was the 3rd time in recent weeks that the Spartans have allowed 77 points or more. Indiana's game versus Illinois stayed under the total because the Illini were without their leading scorer and had some long scoring droughts in the 2nd half of that game. Indiana has gone through a recent under stretch but the game against the Illini never should have stayed under the total and is giving us some line value here. Prior to the recent under stretch, the Hoosiers had scored 79 or more in 4 of 6 games. They can put up big points again here. Indiana has won 9 of 11 games and averaged 73 points in last 8 victories. Hoosiers score well but of course Spartans are expected to get their revenge. They are favored for a reason. This one will be quite the battle and should also be tight enough late to see both teams scoring well. The one in the lead and the one battling back. Plenty of late points too. A lot of line value here. 10* OVER 135.5 in Michigan State |
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02-20-23 | Kansas v. TCU -125 | Top | 63-58 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play TCU Horned Frogs Money Line -125 vs Kansas Jayhawks @ 9 ET - Mike Miles got hurt in the OT loss at Mississippi State late last month and played only 4 minutes in that game. What does that have to do with this play? A whole lot! After that game he missed the next 6 games and TCU was not the same team without him. He is their top offensive threat. Not including the OT loss he hardly played in, Miles has logged 18 full games this season and the Horned Frogs have gone 15-3 in those games. Also, Kansas has revenge in this match-up plus they are 10-4 in conference play while TCU is only 7-7 so why are Horned Frogs favored here? Exactly! Do not let the line fool you. They are favored for a reason and, by the way, rather than laying 2 points here and needing to win by 3 to get the cash, I would recommend a money line play as that is available as low as a -125 as of early Monday morning. Kansas is ranked #5 in the country while TCU is barely in the Top 25 yet Horned Frogs favored in a big revenge spot for the Jayhawks. You know the old saying about "someone must know something" and I feel certain that is the case again here. I like the Frogs angle here with Miles back on the floor as others will look at the losses in 5 of 6 games and think TCU has no business being favored over a Kansas team that has won 4 straight. Remember too that the Jayhawks knocked the Horned Frogs out of the Big 12 tournament in the semi-finals last year. Considering that plus the fact the Frogs now hosting the #1 team in the Big 12 you know the home team is motivated here. 10* TCU -125 |
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02-20-23 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia OVER 143 | Top | 67-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 143 in West Virginia Mountaineers vs Oklahoma State Cowboys @ 7 ET - With both teams off recent losses and giving up plenty of points, this one already had my attention. Then, when I looked at it even closer, it really stands out as a great spot for a play on the over in my opinion. The first meeting had a posted total about 5 points less than this and still went under the total by double digits! That said, why would this game have a total more than 15 points above where the first game finished? Well, it is because the odds makers are expecting the same thing I am here...an absolutely fast-paced shootout. Note that the teams both took a lot of threes in the first meeting but combined to make only 29% of them. Also, that 67-60 Oklahoma State win featured horrible shooting from the Mountaineers from the field overall and even at the free throw line too. West Virginia will be much better here at home in terms of scoring plenty. However, do note that WVU has lost 3 straight games and allowed an average of 84 points per game in those 3 defeats! As for the Cowboys, they have lost B2B games and allowed 93.5 ppg in those 2 losses. However, OSU has scored an average of 74 points last 8 games. The Mountaineers are about a 5 point favorite here so that would put this game at 79-74 which is a full 10 points above the current posted total on this game. I'll take it! 10* OVER 143 in West Virginia |
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02-19-23 | Iowa -120 v. Northwestern | Top | 60-80 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes Money Line -120 @ Northwestern Wildcats @ 6:30 ET - The Hawkeyes are a -1.5 point favorite in most spots so I am recommending to take the money line instead which is in the -120 range. But this is a contrarian play all the way and I love spots like this. Why in the world is Iowa favored here? Exactly! That is why I like them. But, really when you look at this it is likely to fool the markets. The fact is Northwestern is above the Hawkeyes in the Big Ten standings PLUS they are 12-4 at home PLUS Iowa is 3-5 on the road PLUS the Wildcats have revenge here. So all those factors and yet the Hawkeyes are favored? Don't be fooled here ladies and gentlemen. Iowa is favored for a reason and I love the fact that Northwestern had to fight so hard for their win Wednesday night over Indiana. The Cats allowed the Hoosiers to rally from a 19-point deficit and then had to win it on a floater with just a couple ticks on the clock. Northwestern's luck runs out here. Give them credit but still take note of the fact the wins in their current 4-game winning streak by an average margin of only 4 points. The Hawkeyes have won 5 of 6 games and 4 of the 5 wins were by a double digit margin. That includes a 16 point win over the Wildcats and, once again, the Cats will struggle to keep up with the high-scoring Hawkeyes in this one. 10* IOWA -120 |
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02-19-23 | Maryland v. Nebraska OVER 133.5 | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 133.5 in Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Maryland Terrapins @ 5 ET - The Cornhuskers off first win at Rutgers since 2018. The Terrapins off big win over the top team in the Big Ten as they just beat Purdue. That said, this game is set up perfectly for plenty of confidence from the scores and plenty of lax defense on the other end. It is simply a natural reaction after big wins like that and I feel we will see a good flow with this game. In terms of pure numbers, the Huskers have seen 6 of last 8 games (not including OT of course) total at least 135 points. Also, Nebraska has allowed 75 ppg last 8 games and, again, no OT points included in that. At home, the Cornhuskers should score well here but they are not good defensively and the Terps already hung 82 on them when these teams met in Maryland. The Terrapins enter this game having won 6 of 7 games and averaging 74 points in the 6 victories. Maryland favored by about 5 here and based on the above numbers that puts this game at around 75-70 which is more than 10 points above the early posted total. I feel we have good value with the over given the confidence level of each of these teams right now and their ability to get big buckets when needed. Both teams have been playing well lately in that regard as Tominaga is on fire for the Huskers and has come out of nowhere to be a huge scorer and they had 4 guys in double digits at Rutgers. Young continues to be the go to guy for the Terps but they also are getting big games from Scott, Hart, and Reese plus had solid bench support in the win over Boilermakers. 10* OVER 133.5 in Nebraska |
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02-18-23 | Creighton v. St. John's +7.5 | Top | 77-67 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm +7.5 vs Creighton Bluejays @ 7:30 ET - I love spots for home dogs like this. Creighton is off a loss to Providence so some will look to back the Bluejays here. However, the Jays are in a 3-way tie for 2nd place in the Big East and they have a game on deck at home versus first-place Marquette on deck! Coming off games against ranked teams in UConn and Providence plus having another ranked team on deck with the 1st place Golden Eagles up next, this is a tough spot for Creighton. Also, the Bluejays hammered the Red Storm ruthlessly when these teams met earlier this season at Creighton as the Jays put up 104 points against them! When a team puts up 100+ on you in a college game you do NOT forget about that team. The Red Storm will be ready to exact revenge here and they are a quality home team. Note that St John's is 11-4 SU in home games this season while the Bluejays are 3-5 SU in road games this season. Yes, the Jays are off a loss and the Red Storm are off a win that came in double OT. However, St John's confidence is growing again with B2B victories and they want revenge here and they catch Creighton in a clear lookahead spot! An outright upset would not surprise me here but I am looking for at least a home dog cover in this one ATS to get us the cash! 10* ST JOHN'S +7.5 |
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02-18-23 | Hofstra -12.5 v. Stony Brook | Top | 68-65 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Hofstra Pride -12.5 @ Stony Brook Seawolves @ 6:30 ET - The formula is simple for Hofstra at this point. Win out and they earn the regular season title for the Colonial Athletic Association. That is because they are currently tied with Charleston for the top spot in the conference but they already beat them (at Charleston!) in their only meeting this season. That also ended a 20-game win streak for the Cougars. The fact is that this Pride team is very strong and I see Hofstra rolling to an easy win here. Their final game of the regular season is next week at home against a weak Northeastern team so there is no way they will look past their final road challenge. Also, Hofstra is facing a Stony Brook team that is off a win and only ONE TIME this entire season have the Seawolves managed back to back wins. Of course you can tell by this line that, indeed, B2B wins unlikely for Stony Brook here. The key is covering this big number but I have no qualms about that because the Pride have made big-margin wins a regular thing for sure! Hofstra has won 15 of 17 games and 13 of the 15 wins by 13 or more points! We can cover this 12.5 as the only only tight wins were versus Towson and Charleston. Those two teams are a combined 24-7 in CAA action this season! The Seawolves are 6-9 in CAA games and 10-18 overall on the season. This is a complete mismatch and the Pride coasted to a 21 point margin of victory in the first meeting. Also, the Seawolves have lost big to the top teams in the conference (and finally face Charleston next week) and Stony Brook should get hammered again here. 10* HOFSTRA -12.5 |
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02-17-23 | Dayton v. Loyola-Chicago OVER 131 | Top | 65-49 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 131 in Loyola-Chicago Ramblers vs Dayton Flyers @ 7 ET - This is a tricky spot for the Flyers that should translate to big points. Dayton should still find a way to win and they are a 7-point favorite with good reason here. But note that the Flyers, since they faced the Ramblers in an OT win in Dayton recently, have played 3 straight games against stronger teams including the last two against solid teams in VCU and St Louis. That sets this game up well as a letdown spot. Also, the Flyers and Ramblers combined for 144 points in regulation time of Dayton's 85-81 win two weeks ago. Dayton is fully capable of playing solid defense but I feel their motivation will be a little "off" in that regard after facing VCU and St Louis in the last two games. So here you have a last-place Loyola-Chicago team lying in the weeds so to speak. The Ramblers can, and have, scored well at home this season but the reason they are at the very bottom of the A-10 standings is because they are not exactly known for defensive prowess! Loyola-Chicago is off a 64-62 win over a bad UMass team but, prior to this allowed 80 ppg in regulation time of the 11 defeats in the 2-11 stretch that preceded that! If they give up 80 here and the odds makers are right about the spread that puts this game at 80-73 for 153 points! By the way, not including OT points, the Ramblers are averaging 70.6 ppg at home this season. So again, you can see why I would be projecting at least 140s here for the final score and yet anything in the 130s basically makes us a winner too. I feel given the numbers here as well as the situation (bad team off rare win, good team in a flat spot) it sets up well for lackluster defense and a lot of scoring. 10* OVER 131 in Loyola-Chicago |
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02-16-23 | UCF v. Memphis -6.5 | Top | 63-64 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Memphis Tigers -6.5 vs UCF Knights @ 8 ET - Earlier this season these teams met at UCF and the Knights forced OT with a late 3-pointer. That led to an eventual 3 point win in double-OT for Central Florida in a memorable game that the Tigers certainly have not forgotten. Keep in mind, Memphis was outscored by 30 points from 3-point land in that game and yet still lost the game by only 3 points! Don't be surprised if the Tigers have the better shooting numbers from deep in this one as they are at home where they are 11-1 this season and note that UCF is only 3-4 this season on the road. I feel we have the much stronger team here plus line value considering they are at home and laying a very reasonable number. Note that the Knights, after that crazy 2-OT win over Memphis, then lost 5 straight games! That was followed by a 2-game winning streak that UCF now brings into this game. However, those two victories for the Knights were against teams that are a combined 7-20 in AAC action. Memphis has a 9-3 record in conference games! Yes, they are #2 in the conference and they have a game at #1 Houston on deck. However, there is no way they will look past this revenge game with UCF and they are at home and they catch UCF off a rare blowout win. Memphis brings it every night. That is why their 6 losses have all been by single digits and the average margin of defeat only 3.5 points. They will be ready for payback here at home and UCF gets a quick dose of reality here after taking advantage of a bad Tulsa team in most recent game. Now is back to reality and playing at Memphis is tough. The Tigers get payback here at home. Kendric Davis and DeAndre Williams given the Tigers a great inside-out combo and lead the way here at home as Williams has been playing extremely well and Davis put up 42 points in the last game versus the Knights! 10* MEMPHIS -6.5 |
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02-15-23 | VCU v. Rhode Island +8.5 | Top | 55-54 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Rhode Island Rams +8.5 vs VCU Rams @ 7 ET - VCU is off a loss and they are the top team in the A 10 so, of course, they are attracting some market attention here. However, it has led to exceptional line value on the road dog here in my opinion. First off, only 2 times out of 6 has VCU - when off a loss this season - responded with a win by more than 4 points! Also, VCU is off big games versus St Louis and Dayton and they have Fordham on deck. Those 3 teams combined with VCU are the top 4 teams in the A 10. Don't be surprised if VCU underestimates Rhode Island here. The betting markets certainly seem to have undervalued RI in this spot. RI actually is 7-5 SU at home this season plus they have wins over La Salle, Dayton, St Bonaventure and Fordham on this floor! The combined conference record of those 4 teams is 30-20 and 2 of those 4 teams are two of the top teams in the conference. None of those teams have a losing conference record on the season. The point is that RI has been quite solid at home this season and it is just their horrible road record that drags them down. Also, we do NOT need them to win this game outright. We just need them to cover a spread that, in my mind, is very inflated for a road team that is in a sandwich spot of big games! 4 of the 5 Rhode Island home losses this season have been by 7 or less points. The average margin of those 4 home defeats was only 4 points! 3 of the 5 VCU road wins by 7 or less points and average margin of victory of those 3 road wins was only 4 points. So big home dog value here in a scheduling spot that is a tough one for VCU who also could be rusty because they have not played in a week! 10* RHODE ISLAND +8.5 |
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02-14-23 | Missouri +6.5 v. Auburn | Top | 56-89 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Missouri Tigers +6.5 @ Auburn Tigers @ 7 ET - This line has already moved toward Auburn. I do understand the move as they are at home and they catch Missouri off the huge upset win on a last-second 3-pointer at Tennessee. However, Missouri actually led that game big early in the 2nd half and played a very strong game overall against the Volunteers. I know the mindset the betting markets have is now Missouri will be flat off the buzzer-beating win but I disagree. This Missouri team is rock solid this season and playing much better defense and piling up steals. Missouri has won 6 of 8 games and that included 3 wins over ranked opponents. Speaking of ranked teams, this is the first time these teams have met since Missouri suffered a 1-point loss to Auburn at home last season when Auburn had just become the #1 ranked team in the country. This is not the same Auburn team this season and Missouri will get their revenge. Yes, Auburn is still a high-quality team but they actually enter this game having lost 5 of 6 games! So the point is, here you have a match-up of two teams that have been heading opposite directions plus the hotter team is on the road and off a last-second win so you get line value as well as market-inflated value. The other helper on this game is the fact that it is a revenge game! All of those are factors in favor of Mizzou and I love the fact we are getting a half-dozen points here plus the hook. This Mizz team is really starting to believe in themselves and they have a ton of momentum right now. 10* MISSOURI +6.5 |
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02-13-23 | Texas v. Texas Tech +4 | Top | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Texas Tech Red Raiders +4 or +4.5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 9 ET - The Red Raiders are so much better than their 2-10 Big 12 Conference record shows. That is why they opened as a very small home dog here. Now the line is all the way up to the 4 or 4.5 range and that does not surprise me at all. Texas is a strong team of course and at the top of the conference but this is a rivalry game and it is a revenge game after the Red Raiders lost at the Moody Center in Austin by just 2 points early this season. That tight loss has been a recurring them for Texas Tech this season but they are turning the corner now. They have won 3 of 5 games and are coming off a home win over a solid Kansas State team. That was a tight win over the Wildcats and that does wonders for the Red Raiders confidence as they managed to hang on in a tight game and get the job done. Note that, in addition to winning 3 of 5 games, Texas Tech lost by just 3 points in most recent road game and, against, the loss to Longhorns was by just 2 points! The Horns are 9-3 in Conference games and the Red Raiders are 2-10 so this line looks like a gift to most bettors but we know better. This game priced this way for a reason and we take advantage with a hungry home dog seeking revenge! Keep in mind, 5 of the Longhorns 9 Big 12 wins were very close wins and the average margin of victory of those was just 3 points. I am sensing upset here but note also that UT is just 2-3 in last 5 road games and one of those wins by just 3 points. The Red Raiders have gone to a smaller lineup and are having success with it and forcing a lot of turnovers. Texas has another big rival, Oklahoma, on deck plus that is followed by final 4 games all against Big 12 teams that are currently ranked. So this could be a bit of a trap game for the Longhorns after they already beat Texas Tech this season. This is a payback game for the Red Raiders and I look for them to get their revenge. 10* TEXAS TECH +4 or +4.5 |
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02-12-23 | SMU v. Wichita State OVER 136.5 | Top | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 136.5 in Wichita State Shockers vs SMU Mustangs @ 4 ET - The last time these teams met the Mustangs won 92-67 at SMU. That said, do you think Wichita State will take their foot off the gas here if they have the chance to return the favor and run up the score on their home floor? No, of course not! The Shockers will run and gun here given the chance and the fact is the Mustangs have allowed an average of 79 points last 6 games and have allowed more than 70 points in all 6 of those! As for Wichita State, if you look at their last 8 games and remove the one against Houston (such a strong team), all of the other 7 games totaled at least 140 points! That is more than this total and, not including OT points of course, the average points totaled has been 152 points! I feel we have truly exceptional line value with this total given all the of above variables. Also, the Shockers have allowed at least 66 points in 11 straight games! They are a 7 point favorite here. So if they allow at least 66 which is the LEAST they have allowed in last 11 games plus if the odds makers are correct about the 7 point spread here, you are talking about a game getting to 139 and again, that is at a minimum! The point is you can see why I am expecting at least 140s here and feel we have a better chance of 150s than 130s too given all of the above! 10* OVER 136.5 in Wichita State |
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02-11-23 | Seton Hall +5.5 v. Villanova | Top | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates +5 or +5.5 @ Villanova Wildcats @ 8 ET - I know Seton Hall is on the road for this game but this is still a high-value spot especially after the line move. I have been saying this all season long and it is so true...Villanova is just not the same team they use to be when Jay Wright was patrolling the sideline. The Wildcats have a losing record this season overall plus are just 5-8 in Big East games. Here is the big key with that record too. Villanova's 5 wins in conference action have included St John's (2), Georgetown (2), and DePaul. Those teams have a combined record of 8-34 in Big East games and are the 3 lowest teams in the standings. Even 5-10 (Big East record) Butler beat the Wildcats. Now they are facing an 8-6 (Big East record) Seton Hall team that is off a loss by a double digit margin and has gone 5-1 this season when off a loss by double digits. So the set-up here is perfect, the line move toward Nova is only adding value for us, and the Pirates lost at home to Creighton because the Bluejays made a ridiculous 12 of 20 three pointers! The result is line value in this bounce back spot here. 10* SETON HALL +5 or +5.5 |
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02-11-23 | Duke +6.5 v. Virginia | Top | 62-69 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Duke Blue Devils +6 or +6.5 @ Virginia Cavaliers @ 4 ET - Yes the Cavaliers are off huge win versus NC State but the Wolfpack actually had 10 more field goal attempts in the game plus outrebounded Virginia. We are getting line value here because prior to that win, if you look at the Cavs 7-2 run that preceded, none of those 9 teams have fewer losses on the season. Now certainly the Blue Devils are not the same team this season that they typically are. However, they are definitely still a high-quality program loaded with talent and they are off a bad loss that was not a huge surprise as it was on the heels of a huge win over North Carolina. After that big win over rival Tar Heels, the Blue Devils fell short badly in their next game at Miami. However, Duke is 6-0 this season when off a SU loss. The Blue Devils will respond here again off a loss plus you know they want this game badly as it is Virginia that is currently topping the ACC standings and that is a position the Blue Devils are use to occupying. I have a lot of respect for the Cavs but look at the game they are off of and the game Duke is off of. Look at the situation here and the line value. This will be one of the toughest tests the Cavs will have this season and yet the game is not really priced that way in my opinion. I also like the fact that the move here on this line has gone toward Virginia. That means even more value with the underdog Blue Devils. I am expecting Duke to improve to a perfect 7-0 SU this season when off a loss. I do expect the outright upset here. However, I will grab the points with the road dog as added insurance. The play here is 10* DUKE +6 or +6.5 |
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02-10-23 | Kent State v. Buffalo OVER 150.5 | Top | 72-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 150.5 in Buffalo Bulls vs Kent State Golden Flashes @ 6 ET - The Bulls and Golden Flashes met at Kent State two weeks ago and that game totaled 142 points despite the teams combining to make 12 of 53 from three point land! The point is that, despite poor shooting, thanks to an overall strong pace to the game the teams still totaled over 140 points. We can easily get past the 150 mark with normal shooting in the rematch. In fact the total should get close to a 160 with a normal performance on offense. Both teams recently faced Akron - a strong defensive team - and they each struggled with shooting. However, other than that, Buffalo has scored points like crazy this season. Overall on the year the Bulls are averaging 80 points per game but they also allow 78 points per game! As for Kent State, other than struggling at Akron recently (eliminating that from the equation), they have averaged 78 points per game last 10 games! Also, they have allowed an average of 70 points per game last 4 road games and the Bulls are known for firing away (and connecting!) when on their home floor. Unlike the game played at Kent State, the rematch sees much more normal shooting and - as a result - an absolute shootout expected here! 10* OVER 150.5 in Buffalo |
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02-09-23 | USC +4.5 v. Oregon | Top | 60-78 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday 10* Top Play USC Trojans +4.5 @ Oregon Ducks @ 11 PM ET - The Trojans have won 4 straight and 13 of 16 games. Also 2 of those 3 losses were to ranked teams. Not only is Oregon unranked, the Ducks are just 7-5 last 12 games and the first 4 of those 5 losses were to unranked teams. Of course Oregon gets some line shading here for home court but this is just too much here. USC is too strong a team to be getting 4.5 points here in this one. Southern Cal has a great shot at the outright upset here and if they do fall short I would expect it to be by only a bucket or two. Note that the road team won both meetings between these teams last season. Also, the most recent meeting prior to that actually was in the Big Dance in 2021 and USC won that match-up by double digits. The Trojans are playing with a lot of confidence right now and Oregon is off a win but is 2-5 SU the last 7 times when off a win. The Ducks just have not been as consistent this season plus they have Pac-12 leaders UCLA on deck and the Bruins already beat Oregon this season too. So the point is that this is not necessarily a great scheduling spot for the Ducks. As for the Trojans, love their confidence level right now plus the fact they have been off since Saturday. That minimizes the travel aspect to this game and, once again, for the 3rd straight time in regular season action, look for the road team to prevail. I will grab the points here just in case and if Trojans do fall short I would expect it to be by only a bucket or two. 10* USC +4.5 |
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02-08-23 | Illinois-Chicago +12.5 v. Southern Illinois | Top | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames +12.5 @ Southern Illinois Salukis @ 8 ET - This is a very bad scheduling spot for Southern Illinois. Yes the Salukis are at home but they have a huge game on deck at Drake. Yes they already did beat the Bulldogs earlier this season but right now Drake is in first place in the Missouri Valley Conference and the Salukis know that is a big game that is awaiting them Saturday. Not only that, the Salukis lost all 3 games to Drake last season including in the MVC Tournament. That said, the Salukis could look right past this Flames team. Illinois-Chicago is certainly having a rough season but they are off a win and also have been much more competitive for a long time now! That is the key here is the line value with this large number when you consider this is a clear lookahead spot for Southern Illinois. Note that the Flames are just 2-10 last 12 games but only 3 of those losses by more than 10 points and here we are catching a dozen points plus the hook. Also, the last 5 losses for UIC all by 10 or less points and an average margin of defeat of only 6.6 points and one of those was in OT! So none of last 6 Flames games were losses by more than 10 points and this team, off a confidence-boosting win, will be tough to put away in this game. Look for UIC to hang around throughout this game! 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO +12.5 |
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02-07-23 | Rutgers v. Indiana -4 | Top | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Indiana Hoosiers -4 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 6:30 ET - As the saying goes, if it was too easy everyone would be doing it! That theory applies here. The Hoosiers were a 5 point favorite and are already down to a -4 in early market movement. Why? Because everyone knows they just knocked off the best team in the country when they beat Purdue this past weekend. So that's it, right? It is that easy? Just fade Hoosiers because they beat the #1 team in the country and the fans stormed the court after the game? Ladies and gentlemen, nothing is automatic in this business and nothing is truly easy. The fact here is a quote from Indiana star Trayce Jackson-Davis tells you the key info you really need to know here. What did he reference after the big win over the Boilermakers? Rutgers! Why? Because he was saying that ever since they got drilled by the Scarlet Knights early this season in their Big Ten opener they have toughened up and been a different team. All that said, and this revenge game being at home, you know Jackson-Davis and the Hoosiers are going to bring it in this game! They want payback for being held to just 48 points in the first match-up at Rutgers earlier this season. So this is a classic case where the public views this game in a certain way and the market moves it in the same way and we get line value fading the movement! I love spots like this and feel the Hoosiers get their revenge in a big way on their home court here. The Scarlet Knights have gone 2-4 in road games this season and the Hoosiers are 12-1 in home games! Rutgers last 3 Big Ten losses all by double digits and that includes 0-2 in last two road games. Hoosiers get payback for having one of their worst games of the season against these guys earlier this year. 10* INDIANA -4 |
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02-06-23 | Texas v. Kansas -3.5 | Top | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks -3.5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 9 ET - Great spot for Kansas in this one. They are off a sloppy road loss at Iowa State but perhaps got caught looking ahead to this showdown with the team leading the Big 12. Texas is having a great season, even surviving the situation head coach Beard and now having an interim head coach on the sidelines. I did have the Longhorns here as one of my two plays Saturday but it was not an easy win for them at Kansas State. The Horns were down big to the Wildcats at halftime and had to rally back and it was a physical game and it used a lot of energy for UT in the eventual 3-point win. That makes this is a very tough spot for Texas and their win at Kansas State was their first win over a ranked foe that was not a home game for UT. Prior to defeating the Wildcats, the Longhorns other 3 non-home games versus ranked foes had seen them lose in a neutral site game against Illinois plus the Horns lost by double digits at Iowa State and at Tennessee. I feel sure the Jayhawks are going to bounce back strong here Monday after their ugly loss at Iowa State. Also note that the last 8 times Kansas has been off a loss in which they allowed 79 points or less, they have gone a perfect 8-0 in their next game. The Jayhawks get it done again here coming off a loss as the guys surrounding Wilson do a much better job in this home game than they did against the Cyclones Saturday. Home court matters in this key Big 12 battle and KU gets it done at home! 10* KANSAS -3.5 |
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02-05-23 | Wichita State -5.5 v. Tulsa | Top | 86-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Wichita State Shockers -5.5 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ 3 ET - Tulsa is the worst team in the AAC. The Golden Hurricane have lost 10 of last 11 games and the average margin of defeat has been 14 points. Yes, Tulsa almost beat the Shockers at Wichita State but would you believe the Golden Hurricane were up huge in that game and yet still lost despite a crazy stat. The Shockers were 2 of 17 from three point land in that game and Tulsa was 10 of 22 from downtown. That means the Golden Hurricane outscored Wichita State by 24 points from beyond the arc and yet still lost the game by 4 points! I am sure that the Shockers are going to play much better here even though they are on the road and I am projecting a win by a double digit margin. A big key here is Wichita State enters this game angry off a loss. Believe it or not the Shockers are actually a fantastic 4-1 when they are on the road and coming off a loss! The most recent one was a big 13 point win at East Carolina and Tulsa is worse than the Pirates. Also, the only loss for Wichita State when in this situation was at Kansas State and, of course the Wildcats are a ranked Big 12 team that is having an excellent season. There is just a big disparity in these programs right now and I do not see the Shockers being denied off a loss and I look for Tulsa's knack for blowout losses to add another one to the list Sunday. 10* WICHITA STATE -5.5 |
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02-04-23 | Villanova +10 v. Creighton | Top | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats +10 @ Creighton Bluejays @ 7:30 ET - The Wildcats recently got Justin Moore back and he is a senior guard who is a key player for them. Villanova also has been a better team since Cam Whitmore joined the playing rotation at the start of the season. What is happening with this line here is that Creighton is over-valued. Yes, the Bluejays are known for playing well at home and have revenge from last year's Big East title loss. But the key here with Creighton is that they are laying double digits against a Nova team that is getting stronger and more confident and healthier. Yes they just lost at Marquette but they had key guys in foul trouble plus it was just the 2nd game for Moore since he came back. He'll be even better here. Note that Villanova is only 10-12 this season but the average margin of defeat is 6.5 points per loss and only one defeat was by more than 10 points. The Wildcats are 0-4 against ranked teams but no loss was by a double digit margin. This is just too many points here. The revenge angle for Creighton is making this line higher than it should be. The Bluejays only scored 63 against a bad Georgetown team in most recent game and, again, the Cats likely would have won at Marquette if not for foul trouble "slowing their roll" in that game. They will be very strong in this game as they are off B2B tight losses but have their team together again with Moore back in the lineup and it is showing in how competitive they have been against ranked foes in the last two games. That continues here and the points are just too much here for the Bluejays to be laying. 10* VILLANOVA +10 |
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02-04-23 | Texas -120 v. Kansas State | Top | 69-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns Money Line -115 @ Kansas State Wildcats @ 4 ET - The Wildcats are ranked higher. Kansas State also is undefeated at home this season. The Cats also already beat the Longhorns at Texas earlier this season. All that and yet this line is right around a pick'em even though KSU is at home. Must be a mistake, right? No, not at all! The road team has won 4 straight meetings in this series. Also, UT is the better team defensively and you would never know that considering they allowed the Wildcats to put up 116 on them in Austin in the prior meeting this season. You think the Horns have forgotten that? Of course not! UT comes up huge on the defensive end in this one and gets a convincing win! Kansas State is a solid team for sure but the Longhorns are even better. The Wildcats have lost 3 of last 4 games against ranked teams. Texas has won 4 of 7 against ranked teams and they catch KSU off a disappointing big game loss to their biggest rival as they just lost to the Jayhawks. 10* TEXAS -115 |
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02-03-23 | Kent State +2.5 v. Akron | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Kent State Golden Flashes +2.5 @ Akron Zips @ 9 ET - Love this play a ton because the "deeper dive" here reveals key factors that the markets are likely missing here. The markets will look and see that these two teams are tied at the top of the MAC and have identical records in MAC games and then they will look at Akron being at home for this one where they are 11-0 this season. You don't think the odds makers know all these facts too? Yet they set the line at right around a pick'em on this game and, of course, everyone jumping in on the Zips here. Now the line is as high as a 2.5 as of early gameday morning. Now the key factors the odds makers (and yours truly) are considering here! The fact is that Akron lost to Ball State and has yet to play Toledo! Those are the 2 other top teams out of the 4 top teams in the league (with Zips and Golden Flashes being the other 2). As for Kent State, unlike the Zips, they beat Ball State and also they have played the Rockets and they beat them too! So the point is that the records may be identical in the MAC but the Zips have played the weaker in-conference schedule. Also, in terms of overall records, Akron has 6 losses and the average margin of defeat was 12.5 points and they did NOT play the tough non-conference schedule that Kent State did! The Golden Flashes faced both Gonzaga AND Houston and they nearly beat both of them outright! Overall, Kent State only has 2 other losses this season and one was by 2 points in non-conference action and the other was an upset at hands of Northern Illinois but the Huskies shot a ridiculously high percentage in that game including from 3-point land. So the point is all the boxes are checked that this is a HIGH VALUE spot for grabbing the points with Kent State and then you have the final "kicker" that pushes this over the top! The Golden Flashes lost to Akron in the Championship Game of the MAC Tourney and that sent the Zips to the Big Dance where they got to face UCLA in the NCAA Tourney while it sent the Golden Flashes to play in The Basketball Classic and to ponder "what could have been". So all these factors considered plus the rivalry aspect with these two teams and I love the underdog in this spot. 10* KENT STATE +2.5 |
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02-02-23 | Wright State +6.5 v. Youngstown State | Top | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Wright State Raiders +6.5 @ Youngstown State Penguins @ 7 ET - The Raiders are well-coached and they are use to being at the top of the Horizon League. Youngstown State is having an uncharacteristically strong season thus far. The result is exceptional line value here because the Penguins also have hit threes at a crazy high rate in last two wins and can not maintain that clip. You can bet Wright State will be guarding tight on the perimeter in this one. Youngstown State is tied at the top of the conference for the top spot but one of their 3 losses was to Northern Kentucky and that is who they have on deck next game and the Norse are tied with Penguins in a 3-way tie atop the league standings. Wright State is off B2B wins. Yes, those were home games but the Raiders also have won 3 straight road games and 4 of last 5 away from home. This is a high-quality well-coached team that still has sights set on making a major move up the standings. Keep in mind, this is one of 8 remaining conference games so there is still plenty of time to make a big move before the conference tourney starts at the end of this month. I am looking for a big push from this Raiders team and would not be surprised if they make it 3 straight league wins here but, at the very least, they stay inside this inflated number. The Penguins won at Wright State earlier this season by 11 points but they outscored them by 21 points from 3-point land. That is not happening again here. The Raiders get revenge and, if they don't win outright, they at least stay within a bucket or two in my opinion. Note that Youngstown State, other than the first win over the Raiders, is currently 4-3 SU against teams that currently have a .500 or better record in the Horizon League. The Penguins are over-rated right now. We take advantage. 10* WRIGHT STATE +6.5 |
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02-01-23 | Penn State v. Purdue OVER 134.5 | Top | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 134.5 in Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions @ 6:30 ET - The Boilermakers are the #1 team in the country and at home and do have some lower-scoring grinder type games on occasion. However, there is no need for that here. They already beat the Nittany Lions when these teams met in a game played in Philly earlier this season. So Penn State was not in their true home for that game and yet they still scored a respectable 63 points despite unimpressive shooting. Purdue scored 76 points in that one and now are at home where they have scored at least 73 points in 8 of last 10 victories. In fact, in those 10 home wins the Boilermakers have averaged 76 points per game. So based on the current line on this game of 10 points that would put this game at 76-66 if Purdue just hits their typical home victory average and that totals 142 points. Not only is that already above the 135 we need for a win here, I do not expect this to be an "average" home game for Purdue. The Boilermakers can score a pile of points on the rather unimpressive defense Penn State plays plus the Nittany Lions come into this game with some confidence on the offensive end so they will be will be willing to play with tempo here. Even though that will prove to be a mistake as the Boilersmakers are so superior to the Lions but the point is PSU will get caught up in a bit of an uptempo game. To their credit, Penn State has scored big in games against Indiana, Iowa and Illinois and won all 3 and the latter was a road game. Even lumping that in with other tough Big Ten they have faced (this Purdue team) it means those 4 games (only 2 of which were played at State College) saw the Nittany Lions score an average of 76 points per game! Also, Penn State enters this game off a win versus Michigan in which they scored 83 points. This Nittany Lions team is playing with some confidence right now and will hang around long enough in this game to make sure it gets over the total in my opinion. I am projecting at least a 75-65 type game though I expect to get well into the 140s actually. 10* OVER 134.5 in Purdue |
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01-31-23 | Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL -4 | Top | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Miami Hurricanes -4 @ Virginia Tech Hokies @ 7 ET - The Hokies are off B2B wins but they were at home. One of the wins was an upset of Duke so now this Virginia Tech team getting a little too much respect on the road here. Not only have they struggled in true road games all season long, the Hokies had lost 7 straight games overall prior to those B2B wins. So, yes, they started the season 11-1 but a lot has changed since then. Now they face a Miami team that is angry off a home loss to Pittsburgh in which the Panthers scored the final 11 points in the 3 point defeat! Ironically, the Hurricanes also blew their home game against the Hokies late last season in a game in which Virginia Tech rallied from a big 2nd half deficit. So the point is that this is a great spot to back a very angry Canes team! Also, Miami has gone 4-0 this season when off a loss. They will respond here and the point spread is small enough at 4 points that this is a very manageable number. The Hurricanes will be very determined off a loss and they catch Virginia Tech at the right time as Hokies on the road after B2B home wins following a 7-game slide. This one gets ugly. 10* MIAMI -4 |
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01-30-23 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech +1.5 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Texas Tech Red Raiders +1.5 vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 9 ET - I have been betting for 3 decades already. I have been a handicapper releasing plays to the public for 2 decades already. Possibly another decade to go with the handicapping and, as for sports betting, that will likely be a part of my life until I am laid to rest. Why the long intro? What is this all about? Well, I have always been a contrarian and will always be a contrarian as long as I am betting. Of course you can't be contrarian on every single game but the point is there are match-ups where it pays to scratch your head a bit and say "Wait, what is going on here?" and this is one of those. Now, of course, nothing is 100% in anything but being contrarian in the right spots pays off more than not long-term. This is one of those spots in my opinion. Just look at this match-up once! Iowa State is ranked #12 in the country and blasted the Red Raiders by 34 points in their meeting earlier this season and the Cyclones are 15-5 this season. They are basically a PICK'EM yes indeed a PICK'EM here against a Texas Tech team that is 0-8 in Big 12 games this season! So the odds makers must have really messed up here, eh? Of course not! This game is priced this way for a reason and I sense the Red Raiders will come up huge on their home floor and get a much-needed conference win! Texas Tech is off a non-conference win and Cyclones are off a loss so many will look at that and point to a play on ISU here. But note Iowa State has been struggling on the road recently and this Red Raiders team is VERY hungry to get that first conference win. Don't let the line lead you astray here, the home team is the bet! 10* TEXAS TECH +1.5 |
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01-29-23 | Providence -1 v. Villanova | Top | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Providence Friars -120 @ Villanova Wildcats @ Noon ET - The Wildcats are 4-5 in Big East games. They are not the same team they were when they were coached by Jay Wright. Also, their 4 wins are against two of the worst teams in the conference as they have a pair of victories against both Georgetown and St John's. Those two teams are a combined 4-16 in Big East action! Now Villanova is facing a Providence team that is 8-2 this season and we can get the Friars at right around a pick'em price! I will take it! Keep in mind this is also a double revenge game for the Friars as they lost both meetings last season and they were very close games. I know Villanova has played a lot of close games this season but close loss does not mean a win and the fact is the Cats keep falling just short against the better teams in the conference. That should continue here against a very determined visitor in this one. 10* PROVIDENCE -120 |
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01-28-23 | Texas v. Tennessee -5 | Top | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Tennessee Volunteers -5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 6 ET - The Volunteers were as high as a -7.5 favorite here and have dropped to a -5 and I love the line value here. Tennessee is a very strong team and home court can mean an awful lot in College Basketball to a team that is firing on all cylinders. The Vols are hot and they are at home here. Give credit to the Longhorns too as they are having a very strong season. However, they have lost 2 of last 3 games against ranked teams and this is a tough road venue for this Big 12/SEC Challenge match-up! The one game they did win in those last 3 against ranked teams came when they rallied from 18 down against TCU but the Horns were at home for that one. This is a whole other situation here and Tennessee has won 8 of 9 games and the only loss was when they shot a ridiculous 3 of 21 from three point land against Kentucky plus the Wildcats had a 25 to 10 edge in free throw attempts and yet the Volunteers only lost that game by 7 points. That says a lot right here and, as I have mentioned often in the past, I have a ton of respect for the odds makers. The Vols opened up as a bigger favorite with good season. The home team rolls big here! 10* TENNESSEE -5 |
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01-28-23 | Seton Hall -2 v. Butler | Top | 70-49 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates -2 @ Butler Bulldogs @ 4 ET - Butler wants revenge for a 25 point loss at Seton Hall 3 weeks ago. However, the Pirates are off a beatdown at home at the hands of Marquette. After losing that one by 21 points, it is certainly noteworthy that Seton Hall is a PERFECT 4-0 this season when off a loss by a margin of 14 points or more. By the way, all 4 of the Pirates wins in this situation have come by more than 21 points! This included a blowout win over the Bulldogs. Yes, Butler is at home and they have been known for being tough at home traditionally. However, that was then and this is now. The Bulldogs have lost 3 straight games overall and have lost 8 of 11 - all in Big East action. They have 3 home losses this season - all in Big East action - and all by a margin of at least 20 points. Considering all of the above and the fact this line is only a -2, this is a great spot for the Pirates! 10* SETON HALL |
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01-27-23 | St. Louis -125 v. Davidson | Top | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play St Louis Billikens -120 @ Davidson Wildcats @ 7 ET - This is a revenge spot for St Louis as they lost in the A-10 Tourney to Davidson by 15 last season plus the Wildcats beat the Billikens by 21 points in the regular season meeting too. St Louis is a 1 or 1.5 point favorite here in this game so the best value is with the money line which is in the -120 range on this one. The Billikens come into this one red hot and rolling with confidence as they have won 5 straight. The Wildcats are off a win but this followed 4 straight losses. We get line value here because many will be looking at Davidson as a home dog here but the Billikens are not 14-6 on the season thus far by pure accident. The road team is the better team in this match-up and the revenge angle helps push this one over the top for me as the motivation angle is a key here too. 10* ST LOUIS Money Line -120 |
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01-26-23 | Iowa +3 v. Michigan State | Top | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes +3 @ Michigan State Spartans @ 7 ET - Uh oh...the odds makers did it again and made a massive "mistake" here, right? After all this line opened up at nearly a pick'em even though Michigan State is 8-2 at home this season and the Hawkeyes are 3-5 in games played away from their home in Iowa. Wow...what a "gift" from the odds makers, right? Long-time followers know the respect I have for the odds makers and the fact is this game was priced this way for a reason. Now that we are able to get as much as +3 on this one with the Hawkeyes, it is absolutely "go time" for me. Iowa could get Patrick McCaffery back tonight. Already he is back with the team and this is providing an emotional boost for him and for the team. They are going to rally around this even if he is not on the floor tonight. A big key here is the play of Kris Murray and he could do what his brother Keegan did against Michigan State last season as he dominated in the 26 point win for the Hawkeyes. The fact is Kris Murray is "in the zone" right now and I love the fact Iowa enters this game off a loss in which Ohio State simply shot "lights out" against them. The Buckeyes won the game on ridiculously hot shooting but the Spartans have not been playing like that very often at all this season. Michigan State has lost 3 of 4 while the Hawkeyes had won 4 straight before the loss to the Buckeyes. By the way, the Spartans only win last 4 games was against Rutgers by 13 points but it was a game in which they outscored the Scarlet Knights by 30 points from three point land. Statistical anomaly for sure as it was a classic case of hot versus not for one game on the floor. That is not happening here against the Hawkeyes. 10* IOWA +3 |
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01-25-23 | Richmond -115 v. Massachusetts | Top | 76-85 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Richmond Spiders -115 @ Massachusetts Minutemen @ 7 ET - Great spot for a road win here and we get some value in the line since these teams have nearly identical overall records on the season. The key is not the overall records but the record in A-10 action that matters the most here as well as the current situation here. Massachusetts has lost 5 of 7 games in conference action. Richmond was 4-2 in conference action prior to losing to a solid VCU team this past weekend. Now the Spiders will bounce back. I know they do not have a good road record but this Spiders team is better than that shows and this is a great spot for them. They are catching a slumping UMass team and Richmond is actually 4-0 SU the last 4 times they are off a loss! Spiders will bounce back again here after falling short against the Rams. The Minutemen just are not very good defensively this season and the road team takes advantage here. 10* RICHMOND -115 |
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01-24-23 | Missouri +1.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 89-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Missouri Tigers +1.5 @ Ole Miss Rebels @ 7 ET - Home court is so important in college basketball. Wait a second, if that is the case why am I am playing the road team here in a game that is nearly a pick'em? Well ladies and gentlemen, that is because sometimes the value of home court is so strongly baked into the lines and baked into the minds of the betting masses that it creates value for strong road teams. That is the case here. Let's not forget that Missouri is a respectable 3-4 in SEC action and also 3-3 in games against ranked teams this season. The Tigers have won 14 of their 19 games overall this season! Conversely, Ole Miss is the only team (other than SC) in the SEC with an overall losing record on the season plus they are 1-6 in SEC action plus they have gone 0-4 this season against ranked teams! The Rebels have lost 10 of 13 since they started the season 6-0. There is simply a talent gap between these teams that has not been properly factored here and we will take advantage. Yes, the Tigers can (and will) win on the road here. Grab the +1.5 and look for an upset. 10* MISSOURI +1.5 |
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01-23-23 | New Mexico v. Nevada -2.5 | Top | 94-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack -2.5 vs New Mexico Lobos @ 9 ET - So the Lobos have only 2 losses this season but they are the underdog here? Well, a few keys here. One is that Nevada is at home and very strong there and they are coming off a loss. Nevada, on the season, is 4-0 / 100% PERFECT SU and the average margin of victory in those 4 games was 9 points so the spread should not be a problem here. Lay the small number with the Wolf Pack as they bounce back off a loss. They are catching the Lobos at the perfect time for a big win. New Mexico is off a hard-fought win in OT over Boise State over the weekend. The Lobos would like revenge here as the Wolf Pack knocked them out of the MWC tourney but this is not the right spot for it. Nevada won both meetings with New Mexico last season and they are angry off a loss here. In about two weeks the Lobos get them on their court and that could be different but here on the road it is a too big of an ask. Keep in mind, the two teams New Mexico lost to are a combined 4-10 now in MWC action and I feel they are susceptible to an ugly road result here. 10* NEVADA -2.5 |
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01-22-23 | Wichita State +2 v. SMU | Top | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Wichita State Shockers +2 @ SMU Mustangs @ 3 ET - SMU is off a win in OT but they were fortunate Tulsa had such a poor shooting night from distance on their home court. Now the Mustangs are back home but there is a reason this line is so low. The Shockers are the better team. Southern Methodist had lost 4 straight and 11 of 16 prior to knocking off the Golden Hurricane. Coming off a rare win, and on the road and in OT no loss, SMU is in trouble here against a hungry Wichita State team. The Shockers are off a loss but Memphis had a hot shooting night from downtown against them. They bounce back here and keep in mind the win the Mustangs just had was against the worst team in the conference. As for Wichita State, this will prove to be a much tougher test. The Shockers are 5-2 SU when coming off a non-OT loss this season. By the way, one of those 2 losses was to a Cincinnati team that is one of the best teams in the conference. 10* WICHITA STATE +2 |
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01-21-23 | Texas +1.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns +1.5 @ West Virginia Mountaineers @ 6 ET - Great set-up here. The Longhorns are off a loss by 11 points but they led the game at half and the difference in the game was UT was horrible from 3-point land and outscored by 15 points from there by Iowa State. After the road loss to the Cyclones, look for the Horns to bounce back big here. They have responded well under interim head coach Rodney Terry and UT did win at West Virginia last season too. The Mountaineers are not what they use to be and are scuffling a bit this season. A big key to the value here is West Virginia is off a big home win over a ranked TCU team. Lets not forget that this victory followed 5 straight Big 12 losses for the Mountaineers and the win has the Longhorns attention so they will come in and take care of business here. 10* TEXAS +1.5 |
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01-21-23 | Northern Iowa v. Illinois-Chicago +5 | Top | 78-72 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames +5 vs Northern Iowa Panthers @ 2 ET - As long-time followers know, I follow UIC closely and we have had good success in their games though we came up short earlier this week. I really like the Flames in this spot. Illinois-Chicago is tough at home and they catch UNI off a tight 2-point win over the Redbirds. That was at home and now the Panthers are on the road where they lost most recent game and also their most recent win away from home was also by just 2 points. Value with points here with a hungry home dog. The Flames have won 3 of last 5 home games but the last two were very tight losses including one in OT. That said, it is worth noting the two teams that UIC lost to at home so closely are each now 14-6 on the season while Panthers are barely a .500 team on the season. Value here. 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO +5 |
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01-20-23 | Ball State v. Kent State -9 | Top | 65-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
NCAAB Friday 10* Top Play Kent State Golden Flashes -9 vs Ball State Cardinals @ 6:30 ET - At first glance this line might seem too high on Kent State. Key words...first glance. The factors at play here are that when the Golden Flashes come to a game in which their opponent has their full attention, they have been fantastic this season. Overall, Kent State is 15-3 on the season and arguably it is two of the losses that are their most impressive performances of the season. They played at Gonzaga and let the game late before the Bulldogs closed the game on an 11-0 run. The Golden Flashes also played at Houston and led the game late before the Cougars closed the game on a 6-0 run. Houston is the #1 team in the country and Gonzaga is ranked #6 now and BOTH those games were road games for Kent State. These guys can play! This Golden Flashes team has the right mix to win the MAC this season and they are already 5-0 in conference play. One of the possible threats, at least based on early performance, is Ball State as the Cardinals sit just behind them in the standings at 4-1. That said, the Cards have the full attention of the Golden Flashes. Unlike Houston and Gonzaga, Ball State is no powerhouse and this is not a road game for the Flashes either. The result? I am forecasting a huge double digit margin home blowout here. 10* KENT STATE -9 |
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01-19-23 | Michigan v. Maryland -2 | Top | 58-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins -2 vs Michigan Wolverines @ 7 ET - The Terrapins are out for big time revenge here. You can not just always play revenge as it certainly is never an automatic. But certain situations, like this one, certainly command attention. The Terps did not just lose at Ann Arbor at the turn of the new year, they were absolutely destroyed by Michigan. However, the game was a bit of a statistical anomaly because the Terrapins actually had a dozen more shots from the field than the Wolverines did in that game yet they lost by 35 points! The Wolverines simply could not miss while the Terps simply could not hit! Overall, Michigan has won some games this season simply on the strength of shooting. Perfect example of that was against Northwestern in most recent game. But now, on the road and facing an angry Terrapins team that you know is going to want to "D up" in this game, the points will be much tougher to come by for Michigan. Also, Maryland has played well at home this season and they are the better defensive team. When you look at the standings in the Big Ten, the Terps are down near the bottom and the Wolverines are up near the top. Don't be fooled, the Terrapins are favored here for a reason and they fully realize the importance of this game and will take advantage of home court and a relentless effort on the floor as they are hell-bent on getting payback here. 10* MARYLAND -2 |
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01-18-23 | Connecticut v. Seton Hall +5.5 | Top | 66-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates +5.5 vs Connecticut Huskies @ 6:30 ET - The Pirates lost to the Huskies in the Big East Tournament last spring in the quarterfinals. Not only that, Seton Hall comes into this game hot plus they are on their home floor and they are catching the Huskies in a slump. Connecticut has lost 4 of 5 after starting the season 14-0. The Huskies are a bit of a fragile team now and will struggle to close out games like this, particularly on the road. The key here too is UConn may not even end up being the team looking to close out this game! The Huskies are likely going to be in a battle just to win it! Seton Hall has won 7 of 9 home games and Connecticut has lost 3 of 5 in their true road games this season. One of the Pirates home losses this season was by just 4 points also and I love the home dog value here with the revenge-minded host in this one. 10* SETON HALL +5.5 |
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01-17-23 | Illinois-Chicago +3 v. Valparaiso | Top | 66-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames +3 @ Valparaiso Beacons @ 7 ET - Valparaiso off their first MVC win of the season but it was against last place Evansville who also had not won an MVC game and, with the loss, dropped to 0-8 in MVC action this season. The Beacons were fortunate to even win the game as the Purple Aces shot a ridiculously poor 18 of 36 from the free throw line! Now we catch a Valparaiso team off a rare win and hosting a Flames team very hungry for a road win. UIC matches up well with the Beacons. Illinois-Chicago is off a loss at Murray State but they shot poorly in that game. The Flames will take advantage of facing a weak Beacons defense in this one! For comparison purposes, both of these teams hosted Belmont this season and UIC lost by just 6 while Valpo lost by 15. Also, both teams faced Indiana State and the results were nearly identical but the Beacons hosted the Sycamores while the Flames were on the road for their meeting with ISU. The point is that we have the better team here catching points and we have situational factors in our favor too. I know this is a match-up of two teams having tough stretches but the road dog is the play here in a game they should win outright. I have been following the Flames closely as long-time followers know and this is a great spot for them to get an outright win. We'll grab the points as added, but likely unneeded, insurance. 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO +3 |
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01-16-23 | Princeton v. Pennsylvania -102 | Top | 72-60 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Pennsylvania Quakers Pick'em vs Princeton @ 7 ET - This line is basically a pick'em so just do the best you can whether you are playing the spread or the money line here. This line looks funny to me and, upon further review, I really like this play including the fact it is an invitation to take Princeton here. Indeed the Tigers have the better record this season and dominated the Quakers in both meetings last season. But, again, there is a reason this game is priced like this. For one thing, Penn is off a road loss in which they blew a huge double digit lead. Additionally, Dingle had a rare poor shooting night yet the Quakers still should have won. They got big games from Spinosa and Martz. It also is worth noting that Slajchert has also proven capable of big games though that was not the case against the Big Green. That said, it is worth noting that this is Penn's Ivy League home opener for this season. They will want to make it count. Dingle will bounce back huge at home and I just do not see the Quakers being denied in what is a huge home game for them. The Quakers have a strange scheduling quirk in that they have a stretch of 6 of 7 Ivy games at home starting late January but, until then, this is the first and only. They make it count and I am confident this game was priced this way for a reason. Don't fall for the trap. Grab the home team. 10* PENNSYLVANIA Pick'em |
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01-15-23 | St. John's +14.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 85-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm +14.5 @ Connecticut Huskies @ Noon ET - Yes the Red Storm just snapped a 5-game losing streak with the win over Butler Tuesday but they were competitive in the majority of those losses and the Big East is ultra-competitive. Of course the Huskies know this all too well as they have lost 3 of 4 after they had an overall 14-0 start to the season. UConn has quickly come back down to earth and Connecticut should win this game but I expect the points to prove to be too much. Look for this one to be decided by a single digit margin. The Red Storm could also get a boost to the rotation with the return of Montez Mathis (toe) but, either way, I like the big dog here. This team has gained confidence with the big win over Butler and they are a gritty, hard-working team that is hard to blowout. 10* ST JOHN'S +14.5 |
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01-14-23 | Illinois-Chicago v. Murray State -9 | Top | 64-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
#682 CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Murray State Racers vs Illinois-Chicago Flames @ 4 ET - This is a fantastic set-up. From January 5th to January 22nd this is the only home game for Murray State. The Racers are entering this game off B2B road losses. Though their overall record is similar to that of UIC, note that the Racers are 4-3 in conference action while the Flames are 1-6 in conference action. Illinois-Chicago has found the move to the MVC to be tough while the Racers are proving they belong in this conference! This is simply a great spot for the Racers to race right past the Flames as UIC is off an OT loss at home where they do play much more competitive. On the road, Illinois-Chicago often gets throttled. More of the same expected here. The Flames have 5 losses in true road games (not neutral site) and the average margin has been 24 points per game. 10* MURRAY STATE -9 |
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01-14-23 | Providence v. Creighton OVER 145.5 | Top | 67-73 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 145.5 in Creighton Bluejays vs Providence Friars @ 2 ET - The Friars are loaded with confidence and on a 9-game winning streak. The Bluejays love playing at home in Omaha and are known for putting up big point totals at home and shooting lights out in games here! The Friars, however, will not back down in this one and are loaded with confidence. I look for Creighton to prevail but not sure about laying a half-dozen points here. I think the game is close enough late that we will also see some late fouling and "scramble points" with a late push from the trailing team. The fact is that Providence is averaging 80 points per game this season. Creighton is averaging 77 points per game. I expect this game to get into the 150s. I know it is a big game and so the defensive intensity will be up for this one. However, I just can not ignore the fact that both these teams are loaded with scoring options and that makes them each very difficult to defend. The Bluejays don't mind playing at a fast pace, particularly when they are at home, but this Providence team very comfortable in running right along with them and putting up big points. This should fly over the mid-140s total. 10* OVER 145.5 in Creighton |
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01-13-23 | Nebraska v. Purdue -14.5 | Top | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Purdue Boilermakers -15 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers @ 7 ET - The Boilermakers have a big game with Michigan State on deck Monday. However, there is no way they are looking past the Huskers here. The Cornhuskers took Purdue to OT when these teams met last month in Nebraska. You can bet the Boilers come to play tonight at home after what happened in that one. Also, the Cornhuskers lost Juwan Gary as he re-aggravated his shoulder injury in most recent game and will be unavailable here. Additionally, the Huskers loss to the Boilers is their only close this season! All of their other defeats have been by a double digit margin. In fact, the average margin of those 7 defeats is 17 ppg! Last year when these teams met here in West Lafayette, the Boilermakers won by 27 points. Purdue has a knack for dominating teams here at home and, after what happened in Lincoln, the Boilermakers will get a huge lead in this game and they will not take their foot off the gas either. Boilers by 20+ is the likely final here. 10* PURDUE -15 |
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01-12-23 | Northern Kentucky v. Wisc-Milwaukee -118 | Top | 75-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Panthers Money Line -115/-120 vs Northern Kentucky Norse @ 8 ET - Instead of laying a point or point and a half and possibly getting burned on a tight finish I would recommend the money line at very small odds here as it is a bargain. Milwaukee has not forgotten what happened on their home floor last year when they hosted the Norse. Northern Kentucky took it to them in that one with a 75-39 shellacking in an embarrassing defeat. The Panthers have a new head coach now and they have responded extremely well so far this season. They have a 5-1 conference record just like the Norse do and I like them here at home to get their revenge. Keep in mind, this is their first home game in a month, it is against a team that beat them by 36 the last time they faced them, and it is against a team off an OT win and a loss in their last two games. Northern Kentucky has been living dangerously so to speak and I just do not see coach Lundy letting his team be denied in this one. The Panthers will be ready for this huge game at the top of the Horizon League standings and they will take advantage of their home floor here. 10* MILWAUKEE -115/-120 |
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01-11-23 | Creighton +3.5 v. Xavier | Top | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Creighton Bluejays +3.5 @ Xavier Musketeers @ 7 ET - Something is very off with this line and that is why, in typical contrarian fashion, I am on the other side of the line move here. This one opened up at around a -2 and is now up to a 3.5 as everyone grabbing Xavier. After all, the Musketeers are ranked #12 in the country, they have won 9 games in a row and they are on their home floor facing a Bluejays team that has struggled on the road. When you consider all these factors, how could Xavier be such a short home favorite? Precisely! That is just it! The odds makers were on to something here with this one and the fact is that this season's Creighton team matches up well with Xavier and this one has the makings of an upset. The Bluejays have been solid defensively and will get the job done here. Don't be fooled by this line. The Jays had won 3 straight by an average margin of 20 points per game before losing to a strong Huskies team at UConn this past weekend. 10* CREIGHTON +3.5 |